Summary: Sees BTC bottoming on technical support; suggests loading up on BTC proxies MSTR, MTPLF, and ALCPB.

structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker

Got a great feeling for Bitcoin $BTC finding its bottom right now. Technical support levels being bounced off. Maybe time to load up on some $MSTR $MTPLF $ALCPB?


Summary: Expects a better day for OUST after it hit $50 earlier in the week.

Morning guys, hope we’re all doing well.

Big day ahead, just about surviving the rare British Heat!

Hoping to see a better day today for $OUST after hitting $50 earlier this week… https://t.co/9INxgApUaW


Summary: BTC is the only asset needed on a 30-year timeline; decisive long conviction.

@Leo_Traydes $BTC is the only asset you need

You have a 30 year timeline

Which one are you buying more of

$VOO

$GLD

$BTC

$QQQ


Summary: Bullish on drone economy names KTOS and RCAT as autonomous systems move from thesis to real-world deployment.

I mapped the drone economy before:

 — The $33B DoD drone budget
— $KTOS landing $447M from Space Force
— $RCAT drones being deployed in the Iran campaign
— The US Navy using autonomous underwater drones to clear the Strait of Hormuz
— The UK building a drone mothership to hunt Iranian mines

Today the blockade starts.

Autonomous systems aren't a thesis anymore. They're clearing minefields in real time.  The map always works.

Follow for sector maps nobody else is building ☕


$RCAT drones being deployed in the Iran campaign


I still hold $TE ... I'm holding with moderate conviction and watching closely

Summary: Holding TE with moderate conviction into Feb 26 earnings; bullish on fundamentals, analyst Buy ratings, and institutional buying despite noted risks.

I've laid out the bear case.

Now here's why I still hold $TE:

The fundamentals haven't changed:

• G1_Dallas is producing modules and generating revenue NOW
• G2_Austin Phase 1 (2.1 GW) construction is underway
• $160M in 45X tax credits already monetised and SOLD
• 900 MW supply deal with Treaty Oak signed
• 2.0 GW fixed-margin offtake contract for 2026 deliveries
• Analyst targets: BTIG $7, Roth $15 (top pick), Alliance $8.50 - all Buy

The institutional data shows Vanguard, UBS, Goldman, and 45 new institutions buying this quarter.

That's not nothing.

But I won't pretend the risks don't exist. The Culper allegations, the RWE lawsuit, and the insider selling pattern deserve scrutiny - not dismissal.

Feb 26 earnings. That's the day this gets resolved one way or another.

Until then, I'm holding with moderate conviction and watching closely.
$TE


Summary: Bullish ONDS: Q4 beat + 3x sequential revenue growth is the inflection point he predicted, moving faster than the bull case.

BREAKING: $ONDS just dropped preliminary Q4 results.

The numbers:

📊 Q4 revenue: $29.1-$30.1M — BEAT guidance of $27-29M
📈 That's 3x sequential from Q3's $10.1M
💰 Full year 2025: $49.7-50.7M — also above guidance
🔁 Reiterating $170-180M revenue target for 2026
🏦 Cash position: over $1.5 BILLION

Read that Q4 number again. $30M in a single quarter. Q3 was $10M.

This is the revenue inflection I mapped in my deep dive last Saturday. It's happening faster than even the bull case suggested.

Final earnings drop March 25.

$ONDS

Ondas reported preliminary Q4 and FY2025 results, with revenue higher than prior targets. The Company also reiterated its revenue outlook of $170–$180 million for FY2026. Fourth quarter and full year 2025 results will be reported and an investor call will be held on March 25,


Summary: Shares/endorses Needham Buy on ONDS with $23 PT on defense network exposure and precision strike segment growth.

💚 $ONDS BUY RATING - $23 TARGET

“He sees the recent deals as strategically important, broadening the company’s exposure to fast-growing precision strike and missile segments while embedding it more deeply in U.S. and allied defense networks”

Analysts and Institutions are noticing👀

$ONDS

🚨 NEW: NEEDHAM RAISES THEIR ONDAS PT TO $23, REITERATES BUY RATING

Austin Bohlig has given his Buy rating due to a combination of factors, starting with Ondas’ decision to more than double its 2026 revenue goal on the back of an increasingly assertive acquisition


Summary: Bullish into Q1 on PL (satellite data), ONDS (drone delivery growth), PATH (AI automation), and NBIS (cloud infrastructure).

BULLISH into Q1 🚨🚨

Here's what I'm watching this week:

$PL - Satellite data demand is exploding. Government contracts incoming.
$ONDS - Drone deliveries aren't a meme anymore. 600% YoY growth.
$PATH - The AI automation play nobody's talking about.
$NBIS - Nvidia's secret weapon for cloud infrastructure.

Which one are you adding? 👇


$ONDS - Drone deliveries aren't a meme anymore. 600% YoY growth.


$PATH - The AI automation play nobody's talking about.


$NBIS - Nvidia's secret weapon for cloud infrastructure.

industry='Internet Content & Information'


I'm a big fan of all of these names, particularly $NBIS

Summary: Author endorses all named holdings, calling it an elite portfolio with particular conviction in NBIS, SK Square, ASTS, and PNG.

This is an elite portfolio. One for retail to pay attention to.

I’m a big fan of all of these names, particularly $NBIS, SK Square, $ASTS and $PNG.V $KRKNF.

Great account also. Go give him a follow.

Portfolio Update:
$NBIS 50%
$402340(SK Square) 10%
$FCEL 10%
$ASTS 10%
$AAOI 8%
$PNG 8%
$TRT 4%


I'm a big fan of all of these names, particularly $NBIS, SK Square, $ASTS


I'm a big fan of all of these names, particularly $NBIS, SK Square, $ASTS and $PNG.V $KRKNF

industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'


Summary: Bullish ONDS on exceptional execution; endorses the Palantir/WorldView AI-ISR partnership announcement.

$ONDS x $PLTR

Never seen a company execute like this. Wow.

Ondas, @PalantirTech , and @WorldViewSpace  partnered to develop an AI-enabled multi-domain ISR platform integrating stratospheric sensing with autonomous aerial and ground systems to support next-generation intelligence missions. $ONDS

https://t.co/m6xsAAuXn9


quietly added $HIMS last week. up 15%. april 16th was a bigger deal than the market realised. FDA + MAHA + a July PCAC meeting that nobody is talking about. $HIMS isn't just a telehealth stock anymore. it's becoming a manufacturing OS for the longevity economy.

Summary: Long HIMS; April 16 FDA/MAHA catalyst underappreciated, July PCAC meeting upcoming, repositioning as manufacturing OS for longevity economy.

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic


it's going to be the base layer for the AI robotics revolution

Summary: Bullish OUST as AI robotics base-layer pick endorsed by NVDA partnership; implies NVDA also a winner.

me waiting for $OUST to skyrocket

it’s going to be the base layer for the AI robotics revolution

unsure? ask their partner $NVDA

that’s right.

they’ve chosen their winner.

and you haven’t read this yet?

don’t miss out. read the article below https://t.co/PSjdvNu4js


unsure? ask their partner $NVDA. that's right. they've chosen their winner.


Summary: Still long TE but trimmed on CAO termination concerns; thesis intact pending Feb 26 earnings clarity on accounting and Austin fab timeline.

I'm one of the biggest $TE bulls on here.

But I'm not going to pretend the sudden termination of their Chief Accounting Officer doesn't raise questions.

Denise Cruz was terminated on Feb 5. Same day, they promoted the SEC reporting lead to replace her.

No transition period. No explanation beyond the 8-K filing.

Here's what concerns me:

This is a company building a $400M+ fab in Austin. They just completed a $160M tax credit sale. They have earnings on Feb 26. And they fire their CAO with ZERO public explanation three weeks before reporting?

In small-cap investing, trust is everything. $TE's thesis is strong - 5 GW capacity, domestic solar manufacturing, 45X tax credits - but management transparency has to match the ambition.

I need to see three things from the Feb 26 earnings call:

1) A clear explanation of why the CAO was terminated
2) Confirmation that accounting/reporting processes remain intact
3) G2_Austin construction timeline holding firm

I have trimmed my position. The thesis hasn't changed. But I'm watching closely.

When you're bullish on a stock, the most valuable thing you can do is hold management accountable - not stay silent.

$TE holders deserve answers. 👇


Summary: Adding to IREN position here, endorsing bullish technical breakout thesis.

From a technical perspective, $IREN just perfectly backtested a 3 + year resistance line and turned it into support. Which is #Bullish AS FUCK!

All time high inbound soon? https://t.co/8i3LZbA21K


Summary: Bullish PL: cancelable backlog collapsed from 46% to 5.3% while total backlog nearly quadrupled; 85% multi-year contracts, defense 59% of revenue growing 50%+ YoY — two years of revenue locked in.

Everyone's tweeting the $PL revenue beat.  I read the appendix.

Here's the number nobody is talking about:
$900M backlog.

Everyone saw that. But here's what matters:

In FY23, 46% of Planet's backlog was cancelable.
In FY24, 45%.
In FY25, 18%.

Today? 5.3%.

The cancelable portion collapsed from $128M to $48M - while total backlog nearly QUADRUPLED.

That means the backlog isn't just bigger. It's harder to walk away from. These are committed, multi-year defense and sovereign contracts.

85% of contracts are now annual or multi-year. Defense & Intelligence is 59% of revenue, growing 50%+ YoY.

$PL didn't just beat earnings. They locked in the next two years of revenue.


Summary: Bullish on $P after 20% post-earnings drop; beat on all metrics except $0.01 EPS miss, guidance raised — selling looks wrong, buying opportunity.

$P Everpure was down 20% today after earnings came out yesterday.

Should you panic as an investor?
Let's see what the earnings actually said.

1. Revenue:$1.1B - up 35% YoY. Product revenue $577M, up 55%. Subscription services $476M, up 17%. RPO $3.8B, up 41% - that's future contracted revenue. The pipeline is accelerating, not slowing.

2. Profitability: GAAP gross margin 68.7%. Non-GAAP operating income $159M at 15.1% margin. Operating cash flow $180M. Free cash flow $112M. GAAP EPS missed by $0.01. The operating business is not what's being sold.

3. Guidance raised:FY27 revenue lifted to $4.41-4.51B. Non-GAAP operating income raised to $820-860M. CFO called it "record revenue and operating profit, exceeding the high-end of guidance."

GAAP EPS missed by a penny. Everything else beat or was raised.

The stock ran 21% into this print. That's what's being sold - not the business.

Selling here looks like the wrong call to me. The market has already bounced 9% from bottom... could be a fantastic buying opportunity.


$AMPG's vertically integrated LNA/MMIC stack gives it a defensible hardware moat at the intersection of O-RAN certification, AI-RAN trials, and cryogenic quantum readout, while trading at 6.4x sales as it approaches first-time profitability on a $50M+ FY2026 revenue guide. Up 4% today. Big day ahead.

Summary: Long AMPG on hardware moat across O-RAN/AI-RAN/quantum, cheap at 6.4x sales approaching first profitability on $50M+ FY2026 guide; 'big day ahead'.


Summary: Bearish TE; if $8 breaks, next support at $7.50.

$TE not looking good right now.

Did not expect the contagion.

If we break $8, $7.50 next. https://t.co/tb7IXprnhH


The mispricing isn't that it's undiscovered. It's that the screens are misreading a tax event as an operating result. One micro-cap, four secular themes: critical materials, defense, semis, fusion.

Summary: Long ELMT: GAAP loss is a one-time tax artifact masking strong adj. EBITDA growth; four secular tailwinds (critical materials, defense, semis, fusion) make it mispriced.

$ELMT picking up traction. The "two metals the defense industry runs on" framing is exactly right. $ELMT is the only integrated US source for both.
But there's a reason "nobody is talking about it," and it's more specific than under-coverage.

Pull $ELMT up on a screener and you see a GAAP net loss last quarter. So every quant filter and most retail screens file it as a loss-making industrial and skip it. The loss is an accounting artifact - a one-time tax charge from its S-corp to C-corp conversion during the April IPO reorg. Strip it out and adjusted EBITDA more than doubled. The mispricing isn't that it's undiscovered. It's that the screens are misreading a tax event as an operating result.

And the defense angle is only one of four. The part almost everyone misses: Elmet supplies refractory components into EUV lithography, ion implantation and plasma etch tools - it's embedded in the semiconductor equipment chain - plus tungsten shielding and RF ignition systems for nuclear fusion reactors.

One micro-cap, four secular themes: critical materials, defense, semis, fusion.
$ELMT

The US just got its first and only domestic producer of two metals the entire defense industry runs on.

Stock IPO’d at $14 in April and nobody is talking about it.

Here it is:


Summary: Most confident 5-year hold is CIFR.

What’s the one stock you feel most confident holding for the next 5 years?


Summary: Long Filtronic long-term as a sub-$1B SpaceX supplier; calls it an easy buy.

Filtronic plc on LSE AIM; Starlink RF/GaN supplier context confirms

super happy with filtronic price action.

my report went viral. ftc up 11% since.

who knew people would like a company who supplies for spaceX?

and is under $1 billion marketcap?

short term is very hot right now.

but long term this is an easy buy. https://t.co/tR9wfWABlH


No other listed quantum name has that structure imo. Here we see a company that has moved from lab to operational deployment to domestic manufacturing scale-up, embedded inside allied defence procurement frameworks on both sides of the Atlantic. It's in a different conversation to the most of the quantum basket.

Summary: Strongly bullish INFQ: proven product, UK manufacturing scale-up, ProQure pipeline, $100M CHIPS Act LOI, AUKUS defence contracts — structurally differentiated from quantum peers.

$INFQ tripled its UK manufacturing footprint this week with the Oxford announcement. I’m yet to see a deeper analytical breakdown of why this is so important.

Infleqtion already delivered the UK’s first 100-qubit quantum computer to the National Quantum Computing Centre. already ran its atomic clock on a Royal Navy submarine across multiple dives without GPS.

You don’t triple production capacity before you’ve proven the product. they’ve proven the product in action…

The key part nobody is talking about is ProQure. This is the UK government’s structured procurement pathway for quantum systems beyond 2030. Infleqtion is explicitly named inside it. A clear pipeline for the business.

Then lets add the $100M US CHIPS Act LOI from last week. Active government relationships with two of three AUKUS partners. Contracted sensing programmes across all three.

No other listed quantum name has that structure imo. Here we see a company that has moved from lab to operational deployment to domestic manufacturing scale-up, embedded inside allied defence procurement frameworks on both sides of the Atlantic. It’s in a different conversation to the most of the quantum basket.

$INFQ $IONQ $RGTI $QBTS


Summary: Positions Filtronic as the cleanest listed proxy on SpaceX/Starlink, with GaN E-band monopoly and potential V-band TAM expansion; implicitly bullish but notes 'easy money's been made'.

New deep-dive: Filtronic ( $FTC $FTC.L) - updated thesis, June 2026.

The company that ran 114p → 480p. The only company that can mass-produce the high-power GaN E-band amplifiers Starlink needs to get data from space to the ground.

The easy money's been made. So the real question now:
→ Can they repeat the E-band monopoly in V-band - where the market isn't a few thousand ground stations, but tens of millions of dishes?
→ And with SpaceX going public June 12 at $135 ($1.77T), is FTC the cleanest listed proxy on the trade - or already priced for perfection?

Full breakdown inside: the monopoly, the TAM step-change, the flat FY2026 reset nobody's talking about, and what the IPO really means for Filtronic. 👇


Summary: Holds long positions across AI miners (IREN, CIFR, NBIS), defence (ONDS), solar (TE), AI automation (PATH), space (RKLB), and satellite data (PL).

Portfolio update 🚨🚨

$IREN, $CIFR, $NBIS AI THESIS

$ONDS DEFENCE

$TE US MADE SOLAR POWER

$PATH AI AUTOMATION

$RKLB SPACE THESIS

$PL SATELLITES/DATA

GREEN EVERYWHERE🎄🎄🎄🍀🍀🍀 https://t.co/VMRwYseK5b


Summary: Overrated (short): IONQ, RGTI, TE on hype vs fundamentals; Underrated (long): ONDS, RKLB, KTOS on real revenue/backlog/defense funding.

Most overrated vs underrated stocks right now:

OVERRATED:
• $IONQ - $8B market cap. $43M revenue. Science project, not a business.
• $RGTI - Insiders dumping shares while retail holds the bag.
• $TE - Great thesis, but so many hazards right now.

UNDERRATED:
• $ONDS - $375M revenue guide. Nobody is mapping the ecosystem being built.
• $RKLB - $2B backlog at a 32% discount from ATH.
• $KTOS - The drone prime that defense budgets are actually funding.

The gap between hype and fundamentals has never been wider.

Agree or disagree?


$RGTI - Insiders dumping shares while retail holds the bag.


$TE - Great thesis, but so many hazards right now.


$ONDS - $375M revenue guide. Nobody is mapping the ecosystem being built.


$RKLB - $2B backlog at a 32% discount from ATH.


$KTOS - The drone prime that defense budgets are actually funding.


Summary: Looking to accumulate more ONDS and seeking entry in PATH.

Doing some more research on some names this weekend.

$ONDS i’m looking to accumulate more.

$PATH really appeals to me. Looking for entry.

Feel free to drop any other names into the comments.

In the meantime… https://t.co/3DN92cb4rR


$PATH really appeals to me. Looking for entry


Summary: Long RKLB into earnings in 6 days; bull case on Electron reliability, defense revenue, Neutron progress, and raised PTs from BofA/Goldman.

$RKLB earnings in 6 days.

Here's what I'm watching.

The bull case is stacking:
1. 80 Electron missions completed — reliability proven 2. BofA raised PT to $120. Goldman raised to $69
3. Hypersonic HASTE program = recurring defense revenue
4. Trading ~30% below ATH while fundamentals improved 5. Neutron tank testing progress — Archimedes engine firing ahead

The bear case is real too:
— Still unprofitable. -$0.39 EPS TTM
— P/E of -197x means you're paying for 2028+
— 22.7% decline in 30 days shows momentum has stalled
— Neutron delays could crush the narrative

I am a bull. But I'm not pretending this is risk-free.

Feb 26 after close. Set your alerts.


Summary: Five physical-AI/robotics plays framed as long ideas: OUST (defense-perception stack), AEVA (OEM design wins vs tiny rev), AMBA (edge-AI silicon + profit swing), RIVN (robotaxi optionality), SERV (delivery robots, explosive growth).

Blackrock's iShares just filed an actively-managed robotics fund.

The biggest asset managers in the world are chasing the robotics revolution.

here are 5 names fuelling the physical AI revolution👇 https://t.co/BvBLmuC5lG

---

T2/ $OUST - the lidar + perception layer.
2025 revenue $169m (+52% yoy). q1 2026 revenue $49m, up 49% yoy, beat the $46m street number. gross margin 43%, up 200bps. shipped a record 8,300 lidar units. adjusted ebitda loss narrowed to -$7m.

the reframe: this stopped being a lidar story. stereolabs (vision) + the argus counter-drone deal make it a defense-perception stack. rosenblatt just took the PT to $53. Roth to $75.

---

T3/ $AEVA
fmcw 4d lidar. measures velocity directly, not just distance.
record q1 revenue $6.3m, up 85% yoy ($3.4m). but: gaap operating loss $35.1m, equity at a -$12.4m deficit. liquidity $224.5m ($99.5m cash + $125m facility). guiding ~$33m revenue for 2026.
the reframe: production-intent atlas sensors already delivered to daimler truck, plus integration work on nvidia's drive hyperion. tiny revenue, real OEM design wins. the gap between those two facts is the entire bet.

---

T4/ $AMBA
The edge-AI silicon a lot of robots actually run on.
q1 fy27 revenue $100.4m, +16.9% yoy. non-gaap gross margin 59.9%. swung to a non-gaap profit of $5.0m (11c, beat 10c). q2 guide $105-111m. signed a long-term edge-AI deal with hanwha + a $50m buyback. https://t.co/tXEtJy1TW8

---

T5/ $RIVN
The robotaxi/autonomy angle people file under "EV" and miss.
q1 revenue $1.38b (+11.4%). software & services revenue $473m at 38% gross margin - a genuine high-margin line growing inside a loss-making carmaker (adj ebitda -$472m).

the reframe: the uber deal contemplates up to 50,000 autonomous R2 robotaxis + $1.25b of uber investment through 2031, on an in-house autonomy processor (RAP1). that's the optionality the auto multiple ignores.

---

T6 - $SERV

$SERV - sidewalk + healthcare delivery robots.

q1 revenue $3.0m, up 578% yoy and 238% sequentially. ~2,000 robots across 44 cities. software now ~1/3 of revenue, ~half recurring. but: net loss $49m, ~$41m quarterly burn against $197m liquidity. 2026 guide just ~$26m. https://t.co/1jspPt44pY


tiny revenue, real OEM design wins. the gap between those two facts is the entire bet.


The edge-AI silicon a lot of robots actually run on.

industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'


the reframe: the uber deal contemplates up to 50,000 autonomous R2 robotaxis + $1.25b of uber investment through 2031, on an in-house autonomy processor (RAP1). that's the optionality the auto multiple ignores.


sidewalk + healthcare delivery robots. q1 revenue $3.0m, up 578% yoy


$MU is now the only US-domiciled HBM producer. that's not a trend. that's a structural moat with a national security premium attached. but the floor is higher than it's ever been.

Summary: Long MU: sole US HBM producer with structural moat and national security premium; floor structurally higher despite near-term corrections.

the parabolic move since 2023 isn't just "AI demand."

Samsung deliberately flooded supply in 2022-23 to inflict pain on Micron. Micron cut capex, idled fabs, survived.

then HBM changed the economics entirely. you can't flood HBM supply - yields are too complex.

$MU is now the only US-domiciled HBM producer. that's not a trend. that's a structural moat with a national security premium attached.

the next correction will come. we saw a drop of 30% in march.

but the floor is higher than it's ever been.

A $10K investment in $MU at the IPO would be worth ~$4.6M today.

Getting that return required surviving multiple 50%+ drawdowns along the way. https://t.co/m1U9LRlmPh


Summary: Author announces intent to begin accumulating RDDT following blowout earnings.

@aleabitoreddit Would appreciate a read legend! I'm going to begin accumulating now.

https://t.co/TRPRkbnVHy

Wow, $RDDT just posted an absolute blowout quarter.

-> $663M revenue (69% growth Y/Y) vs. ~$608M consensus.
-> $1.01 EPS reported vs. $0.6 consensus (68.3% beat).
-> 91.5% gross margins.
-> Q1 GAAP net income was $204M. This is probably the most important figure for true https://t.co/LI89hVGSIk


$SATS is the cleanest pure place SpaceX activity proxy on the market. You're paying $33B for an unencumbered equity position in a company that is about to IPO at $1.75T.

Summary: Long SATS: SpaceX stake alone worth 86% of market cap; AT&T cash leg clears debt, leaving a clean balance sheet ahead of SpaceX IPO at ~$1.75T.

The SpaceX stake math is right. $SATS is the cleanest pure place SpaceX activity proxy on the market. It's SpaceX stake alone is worth 86% of the company's market cap.

Also, the $22.65B AT&T cash leg retires most of the $24.56B debt load. Once that closes, the >2% SpaceX stake sits on a near-clean balance sheet. You're paying $33B for an unencumbered equity position in a company that is about to IPO at $1.75T.

 $SATS

---

Full breakdown here:


$ASST — 42% ... This is the highest amplification Bitcoin vehicle

Summary: Portfolio update: long ASST 42%, POET 15%, IREN 15%, OUST 15%, HIMS 13% with full theses on each position.

OFFICIAL PORTFOLIO UPDATE

5 positions. April 2026 Portfolio Update. 👇

$ASST $POET $OUST $IREN $HIMS

🔵 $ASST — 42%

This is the highest amplification Bitcoin vehicle. Unlike traditional proxies, $ASST utilizes $SATA (Strive Asset Treasury Architecture) as its preferred financing instrument. By issuing SATA perpetual preferred stock at a 13% dividend to fund aggressive $BTC accumulation,

🔬 $POET — 15%

The Optical Interposer has officially transitioned from a speculative R&D project to the foundational "connective tissue" of AI compute. Following the 2026 OFC demonstration, $POET ’s Blazar has proven it can solve the Indium Phosphide bottleneck that has plagued the industry for years. As a critical supplier to the Marvell/Celestial AI stack, POET is setting the global standard for how light-speed data moves between GPUs, backed by a massive cash runway.

⚡ $IREN — 15%

In a world starved for energy, owning the "Power Pipeline" is the ultimate competitive moat. $IREN ’s 3GW pipeline and outright ownership of substations provide a structural cost advantage ($0.033/kWh) that competitors cannot replicate. By anchoring their 140,000 GPU expansion with a Microsoft contract, they have successfully de-risked the transition from Bitcoin miner to AI infrastructure titan. This is a play on physical land and power being the rarest commodities in the AI era.

👁 $OUST — 15%

This has matured from a hardware story into a high-margin "Infrastructure OS" play. By consolidating digital LiDAR onto a single chip, Ouster has achieved the price points and durability necessary for mass-market industrial adoption. The multi-million dollar Komatsu deal for autonomous mining validates that their software platforms—BlueCity and Gemini—are the real long-term value drivers. With 45% gross margins and zero debt, it is the most disciplined player in the spatial sensing market.

💊 $HIMS — 13%

$HIMS is successfully navigating the transition from a direct-to-consumer pharmacy to a global healthcare platform. The noise surrounding GLP-1 compounding has been silenced by the sheer scale of their 2.5M subscriber base and the strategic pivot toward branded collaborations and R&D. Bolstered by the 2026 peptide deregulation tailwinds, the company is now a vertically integrated health giant that is scaling international revenue at a pace that far outstrips its domestic peers.


$POET — 15% ... The Optical Interposer has officially transitioned from a speculative R&D project to the foundational 'connective tissue' of AI compute


$IREN — 15% ... owning the 'Power Pipeline' is the ultimate competitive moat


$OUST — 15% ... matured from a hardware story into a high-margin 'Infrastructure OS' play


$HIMS — 13% ... successfully navigating the transition from a direct-to-consumer pharmacy to a global healthcare platform


Summary: Initiated positions in MSTR and BMNR; believes crypto bottom is in.

Just brought first amounts of $MSTR and $BMNR, will update shortly.

@Leo_Traydes I was wrong, bottom is in for crypto.


Just brought first amounts of $MSTR and $BMNR


Generic crypto reference; BTC and ETH as proxy basket


Yesterday's drop was a controlled shakeout, not a broken chart. Price closed at $8.14 (‑4.24%), but the overall uptrend and key supports are still intact.

Summary: TE drop was a controlled shakeout; uptrend and key supports intact, swing structure shows higher lows/highs, bullish over weeks.

Price Analysis: $TE chart 01/26/26

Yesterday’s drop was a controlled shakeout, not a broken chart. Price closed at $8.14 (‑4.24%), but the overall uptrend and key supports are still intact.

1. What actually happened

•Intraday, TE sold off from the low $8.60s to a low just under $8.00, then bounced and based around $8.10–8.20 into the close.
•The daily candle is a red bar inside the recent range, not a new breakdown; it sits above the last meaningful swing low around $7.25–7.30 from the prior flush.
•RSI on the daily chart eased back to the mid‑60s, and Stoch RSI rolled over from overbought, which is exactly what you’d expect after the prior strong run.

This is classic post‑squeeze digestion: early profit‑taking plus some weak‑hand stops from Friday/Monday getting hit, but buyers still defended the 8‑handle and prevented a close near the lows.

2. How the intraday action looked
•On the 1‑hour chart, yesterday is a series of lower highs from ~8.60 with a floor building around 8.00–8.10.
•The final hours show volatility compressing and candles with smaller bodies – selling pressure faded instead of accelerating into the close.
•Hourly RSI sits just under 50 and Stoch RSI is in the lower half of its band, indicating momentum cooled but hasn’t turned into a strong downtrend.

Bears controlled the morning, but they couldn’t extend the move. That usually leads to either a sideways day or a bounce attempt the next session, not an immediate collapse, unless fresh news hits.

3. What it means for the trade

•The short‑term momentum (1–3 days) has shifted from “squeeze mode” to “consolidation/pullback,” but the swing structure (weeks) still shows higher lows from $7.24 → $8.00+ and higher highs near $9.20.


Summary: Bullish KEEL on 2.2GW power pipeline and implied Amazon partnership.

This is INSANE.

$KEEL holds a total power capacity pipeline of 2.2GW. Of course, a massive name like $AMZN wants a piece.

Follow @CKCapitalxx for more alpha

Insane find here for $KEEL

Here is the guy who I believe was first to post it. @Billions777888

$KEEL x $AMZN coming??? https://t.co/h2a0DMrVDX


Summary: Bullish OUST: NVDA partnership, 49% YoY revenue growth, Stereolabs acquisition — still only $2B market cap implies upside.

$OUST is up 16% on the day.

up 29% since I authored this article.

did you listen anon?

a reminder that they're now partnered with $NVDA. $49M revenue.+49% YoY. 12,600+ sensors. Stereolabs in Q2.

still only $2bn market cap btw. https://t.co/ABQXfBiGIV


Summary: Bullish BTC: peak fear + whale accumulation signals good times ahead.

$BTC

Peak fear, smart accumulation.

The good times are near.

SSDD: retail dumping, whales buying https://t.co/DtbCQGUQhE


Leopold Aschenbrenner will have brought a position in $OUST

Calling it now…

Summary: Predicts Aschenbrenner's fund holds OUST as a position.

Today, Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness 13F drops.

The 24 year old former OpenAI researcher turned a viral AGI manifesto into a multi-billion dollar hedge fund.

His #1 position: Bloom Energy $BE, already up +200% YTD and 1,400% over the past year.

His thesis was https://t.co/u9HDbjlw4I


This is so massively undervalued. Come back in 2030. Amazon's entire workforce will be automated.

Summary: Strongly bullish AMZN: calls it massively undervalued with full workforce automation as multi-year thesis.

@qualtrim This is so massively undervalued. Come back in 2030. Amazon’s entire workforce will be automated.

Amazon erased its entire earnings rally and is now flat YTD.

Is this where long-term investors step in?

$AMZN https://t.co/kwKlfNXtca


You're still not bullish enough. More deals expected in 2026. A leader in power generation. Demand for power continues to grow. Nothing has even happened yet.

Summary: Strong long on CIFR: more deals in 2026, power generation leadership, growing demand, and catalysts still ahead.

You're still not bullish enough.

1. More deals expected in 2026
2. A leader in power generation
3. Demand for power continues to grow

$CIFR is the stock.

P.S. Nothing has even happened yet. https://t.co/8fSEOkDDiE


Summary: Software sector in structural bear market; IGV down 22%, traditional vendors starved of capital as AI cannibalizes IT budgets.

The market is dark red, here's why:

Go touch grass.

The primary driver of market sentiment on February 4, 2026, is a massive global sell-off in software and data company stocks.

The catalyst for this rout was the release of a suite of 11 advanced artificial intelligence plugins by Anthropic, integrated into the "Claude Cowork" platform.

These tools were specifically designed to automate high-value, routine professional tasks in the legal, financial, and marketing sectors, such as contract review, compliance triage, and data synthesis.

The Disruption of the Billable Hour Model

The fundamental economic threat posed by these AI agents is the obsolescence of "time-based" or "headcount-based" revenue models.

For decades, professional service firms have billed clients based on the number of hours human employees spend on tasks.

The Anthropic plugins collapse the time required for these tasks from weeks or days to mere seconds, essentially "killing the clock" as a unit of value.

This has led to an immediate $285 billion contraction in market capitalization across the software and financial services sectors

The narrative dominating the software sector is that the industry has entered a structural, rather than cyclical, bear market.

The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has officially entered bear market territory, falling 22% from its recent highs.

Analysts note that while overall IT budgets remain resilient, they are being aggressively cannibalized to fund AI-specific infrastructure, leaving traditional software vendors "starved" of capital.


Summary: Initiated long position in $TE, bullish on US energy for AI amid China cost competition.

New position 🚨

I am delighted to announce that in the last couple of days I have purchased my first shares of $TE.

American-made energy for the AI race.

The Chinese can produce energy much cheaper than the US. That money printer’s gunna have to invest in great US companies to break this dominance!

$TE GANG


Summary: Bullish TE: needs to break $8.50 resistance, establish it as support, then target $8.80–$9 region.

$TE we didn't finish above $8.50 yesterday. So here's what we need to do:

1. Break $8.50 resistance early
2. Establish a floor of $8.50
3. Once we establish this as a floor/support, we can start looking to attack the $8.80-$9 region.

I recommend you keep an eye on volumes on green and red candles, it'll tell us a lot about buying/selling pressure at these key points.

Let's have another great day $TE clan 🟢


Summary: Bullish on TE if it holds $9; above $9 is insanely bullish after retesting prior resistance.

Ideally, $TE holds $9 today.

Then this is just a healthy retest of a previous resistance level.

Anything above $9 is insanely bullish. https://t.co/fZownDurB2


Agreed - there's so much going on when you read deeper. The market is missing this.

Summary: Agrees market is undervaluing OUST despite ongoing partnership news flow; bullish.

@Godlikex3 Agreed - there’s so much going on when you read deeper. The market is missing this.

@CoffeeStocksGuy News comes in every day in the form of new partnerships. I’m suprised the stock is still below 50$ when you compare $OUST  to other stocks that have already taken off this year.


Summary: Four hardware infrastructure stocks flagged as dominant Physical AI plays: OUST, AMBA, ARBE, and Pure Storage.

Jensen Huang says Physical AI is already a $9B annual run-rate business for Nvidia.

The market is hyper-focused on software, but the real asymmetric upside belongs to the hardware layer.

Here are the 4 hardware infrastructure stocks dominating my radar right now. 🧵 https://t.co/DT5ut39joe

---

1/ $OUST (Ouster)

Humanoid robots swept the Beijing robotic half-marathon running on Ouster LiDAR.
13 consecutive quarters of revenue growth ($49M in Q1). Selected by NASA for the 2026 Astrolab lunar rover. https://t.co/NT6oSgqPt3

---

2/ The Edge Compute Layer: $AMBA (Ambarella)

Centralized cloud compute falls short when an autonomous vehicle or robotic arm requires real-time latency. Processing must happen at the device level.

Ambarella’s CV-series chips serve as the hyper-efficient edge AI inference engine. They process high-resolution sensory workloads locally without draining battery or thermal budgets. Watch their Q2 numbers closely.

---

3/ The Environment Layer: $ARBE (Arbe Robotics)

While LiDAR maps high-fidelity 3D structures, physical AI systems require complete environmental redundancy. Optics fail in dense fog, blinding dust, heavy rain, and total darkness.

$ARBE delivers 4D imaging radar with 100x the resolution of conventional radar, filling the exact safety gaps left by cameras. Highly differentiated tech play. Q1 results drop May 28.

---

4/ The Data/Storage Layer: $P (Pure Storage)

Nobody is talking about the massive Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) jumping in this space. AI data centers are hitting severe rack space and power limits.

Every $1 spent on Nvidia GPUs requires $0.50 to $1.00 in high-performance storage and networking layers to stop chips from sitting idle. $P supplies the structural data layer keeping the entire physical AI pipeline feeding efficiently.


Ambarella's CV-series chips serve as the hyper-efficient edge AI inference engine


$P supplies the structural data layer keeping the entire physical AI pipeline feeding efficiently


Summary: Bullish DRAM ETF; re-rating of memory as infrastructure still has further upside from here.

$DRAM is up 25% since my article.

This ETF is 5 weeks old. It already has $5B in AUM.

The market is finally pricing memory as infrastructure, not a commodity cycle.

The re-rating still has room to run. https://t.co/ERdHYLHmyB

The $DRAM ETF launched 5 weeks ago and pulled $2B in its first month.

That's institutional capital moving into Korean memory before most Western investors even have a route in.

SK Hynix just posted the biggest quarterly revenue in Korean corporate history.

This is not a trade. https://t.co/1NLNiXvqzi


The structural margin story is sitting unread in the CFO's prepared remarks. hyperscaler gross margins run 75–85%. Their standard product ceiling is 70%. The market is reading the headline revenue numbers.

Summary: Bullish $P: market missing a structural margin uplift from hyperscalers sourcing own NAND, driving 75–85% gross margins vs 70% ceiling — hidden in CFO remarks.

i read the $P earnings remarks.

They've essentially removed their biggest input cost risk on their fastest growing segment - and handed it to customers who have more purchasing power to absorb it anyway.

Hyperscalers now source their own NAND.

Everpure handles everything else.

That one change means hyperscaler gross margins run 75–85%. Their standard product ceiling is 70%.

The market is reading the headline revenue numbers. The structural margin story is sitting unread in the CFO's prepared remarks.


Name another AI infrastructure company that did this in 6 weeks … I'll wait.

Summary: Bullish IREN on rapid milestones: 1.4GW energised, NVDA partnership, two acquisitions, $3B raise, $4.4B ARR target.

Name another AI infrastructure company that did this in 6 weeks:
→ 1.4GW energised
→ $3.4B $NVDA  partnership signed
→ Two acquisitions closed
→ $3.0B raised, oversubscribed
→ $4.4B ARR target set

I'll wait.

Deep dive dropping today.

$IREN https://t.co/E4NKi5fc5g


I'm holding and adding here on weakness.

Summary: Holding and adding ELMT on weakness; domestic Tungsten monopoly across semis, defense, nuclear, rare earths at sub-$500M market cap.

The hype for $ELMT has quickly left. Lots of retail jumped in last week after my own and others articles brought coverage.

We’re now almost back to prices seen before the big gap up. Maybe the market needs reminding that this name holds a domestic monopoly over key Tungsten production in the US.

What industries use this?

- Semiconductors
- Space
- Defence
- Rare earths
- Nuclear

Under $500 million marketcap. I’m holding and adding here on weakness.

New coverage. $ELMT - The Elmet Group.

Four of the most-searched themes in the market right now - semiconductors, defense, nuclear fusion, critical materials. Investors are buying separate stocks for each.
There's one ~$460m micro-cap sitting inside all four. The screens have it https://t.co/mZ31Vl1zJU


I've been pounding the table on this name for weeks. Down 27% from the $96 ATH while the fundamentals were accelerating. The market was wrong. $1.85B backlog is the number that matters most. That's visibility. That's locked-in revenue. 73% backlog growth on top of 38% revenue growth = this is still accelerating.

Summary: Long RKLB: record Q4 results, $1.85B backlog up 73%, 38% revenue growth signal continued acceleration while stock is down 27% from ATH.

$RKLB just reported Q4 earnings. They didn’t just beat — they set RECORDS across the board.

The numbers:
1.Q4 Revenue: $180M — RECORD quarter (beat the $178M estimate)
2.Full Year Revenue: $602M — RECORD annual revenue
3.Annual Growth: 38% YoY
4.Backlog: $1.85B — up 73% from last year
5.Gross Margin: 44.3% non-GAAP — RECORD

Every single metric came in at a record.

I’ve been pounding the table on this name for weeks.

Down 27% from the $96 ATH while the fundamentals were accelerating. The market was wrong.

$1.85B backlog is the number that
matters most. That’s visibility. That’s locked-in revenue. 73% backlog growth on top of 38% revenue growth = this is still accelerating.

This is still just the Electron chapter.


Summary: Long CML Microsystems: trading at 270p vs 305p NAV, author asserts market is mispricing it; thesis backed by GaN HFET satellite communications moat and $30M contract.

CML Microsystems listed on LSE; 270p/NAV context confirms UK listing

I spent weeks researching the RF semiconductor moat in satellite communications.

The real barrier to entry in next-gen satellite ground infrastructure isn't capital - it's linearity. Whoever masters GaN HFET performance at Ka-band and above controls the design-in for the next 20 years.

In the article:
→ Why GaAs and GaN outperform silicon at high frequency - and why that gap widens at mmWave
→ How $CML is trading at 270p whilst NAV sits at 305p. The market is wrong.
→ The $30M contract that proves the thesis is already converting


$AMPX makes the highest energy-density commercial battery on the planet... Amprius is the front-runner for NDAA-compliant drone batteries. $12M contract from the Defence Innovation Unit to prove it.

Summary: Long AMPX as front-runner for DoD NDAA-compliant drone batteries, 2x energy density, 234% revenue growth, $12M DIU contract.

The part of the drone economy nobody is watching: batteries.

Every drone in the Iran conflict runs on lithium-ion cells. Flight time, payload, range - all constrained by one thing: energy density.

$AMPX makes the highest energy-density commercial battery on the planet.

520 Wh/kg. That's 2x any standard lithium-ion cell.

Nokia chose them for their drone-in-a-box platform.

AeroVironment, L3Harris, Airbus AALTO are all customers. Revenue up 234% YoY.

Here's the kicker: by January 2028, the DoD is BANNED from buying batteries made with Chinese or Russian materials for weapons systems.

Amprius is the front-runner for NDAA-compliant drone batteries. $12M contract from the Defence Innovation Unit to prove it.

This is just 1 of the 7 layers I mapped in my full drone economy report today.

Counter-drone. Manufacturers. Batteries. Components. ISR. Munitions. Software.

8 companies. $400B TAM.

Full breakdown pinned on my account✅


Summary: Bullish IREN on 3.2 GW power pipeline, $9.7B Microsoft/Blackwell contract through 2031, and industry-leading power costs.

You don't own enough $IREN

Unmatched Power Scale.
-  IREN holds a massive 3.2 GW power pipeline with 2.9 GW already secured, providing the rare electrical capacity needed to bypass years of grid wait times.

Hyperscale Validation.
- A landmark $9.7 billion contract with Microsoft for 76,000 NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs provides guaranteed high-margin revenue and visibility through 2031.

Vertical Cost Advantage:
- By owning its own land, proprietary data center designs, and high-voltage infrastructure, IREN achieves industry-leading power costs of approximately $0.0385 per kWh.

Have you got enough?


Summary: Bullish RKLB into earnings if Neutron timeline holds at mid-2026; record launches and $1.1B backlog support thesis.

$RKLB earnings in 8 days.

Price is far from highs, but...
✅ Record 21 Electron launches
✅$1.1B backlog (+56% YoY)
✅$1.3B+ in SDA defence contracts already locked in

The make-or-break moment:

Neutron's schedule update after a tank rupture in January.
✅Mid-2026 reaffirmation = bullish.
❌ Any slip to 2027 = sell-off

Read below to prepare yourself. Be ready for volatility.

THE ULTIMATE $RKLB INVESTMENT REPORT

Pre-Earnings Analysis. 8 days to go. This is EVERYTHING you need to know!

THE BUSINESS MODEL ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Rocket Lab operates two segments: Launch Services and Space Systems. It has evolved from a pure-play https://t.co/X1GXen76Z7


Summary: Bullish on both ONDS and RKLB as buying opportunities: down 30%+ from highs, catalysts stacking, earnings within a month.

Two deep dives in one week: $ONDS and $RKLB (today).

Both down 30%+ from highs. Both stacking catalysts. Both reporting earnings within the next month.

This is the kind of setup I live for.

The market is handing us entries.

If you missed either breakdown, they're both on my profile.


Summary: Bullish IREN as a beneficiary of Nvidia CEO's comment that he needs more energy.

The CEO of the world’s company is saying he needs more energy.

Idk but sounds like some $IREN might be good!

*NVIDIA CEO SAYS "WE WISH WE HAD MORE ENERGY'


Summary: Bullish OUST with a $76 price target.

How I’m feeling on Holiday knowing $OUST is up 10% and is going to $76: https://t.co/YNXL5DFmnK


Summary: Holds 70% of portfolio in BTC; targets 0.1 BTC price by end of year.

@CarsonTalkMoney 70% of my portfolio is $BTC at about 0.0985, will be at 0.1 by EOY😁

@shabamlo Thanks :) do you own any $BTC?


Summary: Long OUST; defense vertical not yet priced in, expanding partnerships with NASA, NVDA DRIVE, and European defense signal much more upside.

Great post on $OUST. But “Overheated” assumes the defense vertical is priced in.

This morning: ARGUS Interception - German counter-drone company, founded by former Armed Forces officers - integrated Ouster lidar into their A1-Falke® interceptor. Captures hostile drones intact for forensic analysis.

NASA. $NVDA DRIVE. Now European defense.

It’s going so much higher.

$OUST up 67% since this post 18 days ago

AI is making its way into the real world via drones, autonomous vehicles, robotics, smart sensors, etc.

Near unlimited defense and civilian applications.
An accelerating trend.

And Ouster has best-in-class hardware + software to act as


Summary: Bullish MU, SNDK, INTC on a sustained memory cycle with no end in sight.

When you read this article and finally realise the memory cycle isn’t going away anytime soon

 $MU $SNDK $INTC $DRAM will continue to fly https://t.co/LyUDRPsUwU


The local bottom is in for $IREN. Be ready for a relief rally

Summary: Local bottom in for IREN; expects a relief rally from here.

The local bottom is in for $IREN

Be ready for a relief rally https://t.co/p8HiJUZfT6


Summary: Fundamentals unchanged; both IREN and CIFR remain fine — implicitly bullish hold.

Did the fundamentals change?

No.

$IREN AND $CIFR are just fine.


Summary: Long DRAM on constrained supply vs. infinite AI demand; author explicitly calls prices higher.

DRAM sector basket: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron

This is great for $DRAM.

Have a think. Supply remains constrained whilst Demand is essentially infinite right now.

Price go up.

SK Hynix plans to triple wafer capacity by around 2034 to meet AI memory demand, Chairman Chey Tae-won told Nikkei.

Capacity is expected to double within 5 years, with four new fabs being built in Yongin, South Korea.

Chey said Japan is an “excellent candidate” for future https://t.co/Hm61CaM7Gv


I'm super impressed with the company. Great financial health is key and often a worry with small-caps, btu this doesn't seem to be the case here. Awesome Tech, ENORMOUS TAM - especially with Quantum, Great valuation - p/s only 6.4x, which is above peers but $AMPG has much more room for growth.

Summary: Bullish AMPG: strong financial health, enormous TAM (esp. Quantum), and room to grow despite 6.4x P/S premium to peers.

Below is some of my thoughts on $AMPG from research:

I'm super impressed with the company. Great financial health is key and often a worry with small-caps, btu this doesn't seem to be the case here.

-> Awesome Tech
-> ENORMOUS TAM - especially with Quantum
-> Great valuation - p/s only 6.4x, which is above peers but $AMPG has much more room for growth.

The main questions are focused on execution and scalability over time. Excited to cover this name in more depth over the coming weeks.

Give this 2000 word overview a read this weekend.


Summary: Bullish BTC: LTH accumulation tightening supply, ETF demand absorbing sales, reducing sell pressure for potential breakouts.

2/Price Impact

LTH accumulation tightens supply, countering short-term selling and supporting higher prices if demand (e.g., ETFs, institutions) holds.

Past cycles show positive LTH shifts coinciding with sideways action or early uptrends, as seen in April-June 2025 (+800K BTC added amid price gains), reducing sell pressure for potential breakouts.

---

3/Recent reports confirm LTHs flipped to accumulation around Dec 26-29, 2025, post-distribution peaks, with illiquid supply rising via institutions.

Short-term holders remain steady, not dumping aggressively, amplifying the bullish LTH signal.

ETFs absorbed prior LTH sales in 2024-25, reshaping dynamics toward scarcity.


An in-depth look at 2026 prospects for $MTPLF

Summary: Shares/endorses bullish thesis on Metaplanet as a leveraged Bitcoin play with asymmetric upside through 2026.

$MTPLF: Japan’s Leveraged Bitcoin Play as Macro Tailwinds Align for 2026

The Thesis
Metaplanet Inc. ( $MTPLF / 3350.T ) represents a rare asymmetric opportunity: a structurally designed leverage engine positioned to capture Bitcoin’s move upward through 2026, while macro https://t.co/s03km8kE61


Planet Labs PBC (NYSE: $PL) represents a compelling investment opportunity at an inflection point in the geospatial intelligence market. Current pricing offers favorable risk/reward for growth investors with conviction on defense spending expansion and AI commercialization.

Summary: Long PL: compelling entry at inflection point; bull case $25-30+ on defense contract wins, AI-enabled analytics, and 18%+ CAGR through 2028.

The Ultimate Planet Labs $PL Investment Thesis

Planet Labs PBC (NYSE: $PL) represents a compelling investment opportunity at an inflection point in the geospatial intelligence market.

The company operates the world's largest fleet of Earth observation satellites imaging the entire planet daily and delivering actionable intelligence to commercial, civil government, and defense customers.

With a market capitalization of approximately $5.8 billion , Planet Labs is transitioning from a capital-intensive data provider to a high-margin, AI-enabled intelligence platform capable of capturing disproportionate value from the $10+ billion addressable geospatial market.

Remember to follow if you want more in-depth investment analysis. Please like and share🙏

What do you think about $PL?

---

1. The Markdown

- Q3 FY26 revenue of $81.3 million, up 33% year-over-year, beating guidance by 12.22%

- Defense and intelligence sector is accelerating as a key revenue driver, with government and defense now representing the fastest-growing segment

- $734.5 million backlog, up 216% year-over-year, providing exceptional revenue visibility through FY2026

- FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA profitability guidance of $6-8 million, a major inflection milestone

- Strategic partnerships including NATO expansion, €240 million German government contract, NASA renewal ($20M annually), and Google collaboration on edge-compute satellites (SunCatcher program)

- Net dollar retention rate of 109-110%, indicating strong customer expansion and upsell momentum

- FY2026 revenue guidance of $297-301 million

---

2. Key Evidence

- Defense and intelligence revenue is growing substantially faster than corporate average and becoming a material part of the revenue mix

- NATO expanded its partnership with Planet, committing to multi-year contracts for operational intelligence https://t.co/nYpbLegSVT

---

3. **Q3 FY26 highlights:**

- Revenue of $81.3 million beat guidance by 12.22%

- Adjusted EBITDA of $5.6 million positive, fourth consecutive quarter of adjusted profitability

- Backlog of $734.5 million (9x annual revenue, extremely high for a growth company)

- Government and defense emerging as primary growth drivers, with international expansion accelerating in Asia-Pacific and EMEA regions

---

4. **Commercial traction:**
- Q3 FY26 gross margin of approximately 60%, reflecting balanced mix across data subscriptions, defense services, and emerging AI solutions

- Net dollar retention of 109-110%, indicating strong expansion within existing accounts

- Recurring revenue represents 95%+ of total bookings

---

5.  The Pillars of $PL

1. AI-Enabled Analytics (Software Layer)
Planet acquired Bedrock Research to accelerate AI-powered solutions development and embedded intelligence capabilities. The company now embeds machine learning directly into the data delivery stack.

2. Defense and Intelligence Specialization

Rather than competing as a generic Earth observation provider, Planet has specialized in the highest-margin segment: defense and geopolitical intelligence.

This segment features:
- Government procurement budgets (not cyclical commercial spending)
- Security justifications (classified intelligence requirements)
- 5-10 year contract locks
- Premium pricing reflecting national security value

Recent defense and government contract wins, including NATO expansion and the German government contract, validate this specialization strategy.

As next-generation Pelican and SunCatcher satellites launch through 2026-2028, Planet's revenue mix will shift toward high-margin AI-enabled intelligence, improving overall corporate profitability.

---

6. Financials

| Period | Revenue | YoY Growth | Adjusted EBITDA | Net Income |
|--------|---------|-----------|-----------------|------------|
| Q3 FY26 | $81.3M | +33% | +$5.6M | -$24.8M |
| Q2 FY26 | $61.1M | +14% | Positive | Loss |
| FY2025 (ending Jan 2025) | $244.4M | +10.7% | Loss | -$106.5M |
| FY2024 | $226.2M | +22% | Loss | Loss |
| FY2023 | $185.0M | +45.8% | Loss | Loss |

---

7. **Current balance sheet (as of Q3 FY26):**

- Cash and equivalents: $677 million
- No material debt
- Fully funded through FY2027 operations without requiring external capital

---

8. | Metric | Value | Peer Average | Planet vs. Peers |
|--------|-------|-------------|-----------------|
| Market Cap | $6.0B | N/A | |
| Stock Price | $19.41 (21 Dec 2025) | | |
| Revenue (TTM) | $281M | | |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 20.3x | 8-12x (aerospace) | Growth premium |
| Forward EV/Revenue (FY2026E) | 19.2x | 6-10x | Growth premium |
| Forward EV/Revenue (FY2027E) | 11.4x | 4-7x | Elevated premium |
| Price/Sales | 20.3x | 2-4x (mature SaaS) | Premium reflecting growth optionality |

---

9. **Valuation interpretation:**
- After a 2025 rerating driven by strong FY2026 guidance, defense tailwinds, and AI momentum, Planet trades at a meaningful premium to mature aerospace (10-12x)
- Market is pricing in strong growth (18%+ CAGR through 2028) and significant upside potential from defense contracts
- Valuation reflects high-growth characteristics but remains below high-growth pure-SaaS multiples (25-35x), suggesting balanced pricing

---

10. **Summary valuation range (updated for $19.41 stock price, 21 Dec 2025):**
- Bear case: $6-8 per share
- Base case: $16-19 per share
- Bull case: $25-30+ per share (+29% to +55% upside)
- Current price: $19.41

**Valuation conclusion:**

Market is pricing Planet between high-end base case and mid-range bull case assumptions, with meaningful upside if defense and commercial AI adoption accelerates. Current valuation is justified if:

1. Revenue growth remains 18%+ CAGR through 2030
2. Defense contract wins and backlog conversion meet guidance
3. AI-enabled solutions adoption accelerates and margins expand as expected
4. FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA targets are achieved ($6-8M guidance)

---

11. Risk/Reward Assessment
**For growth investors (3-5 year horizon):**

Current pricing offers favorable risk/reward for growth investors with conviction on defense spending expansion and AI commercialization.

Upside potential is significant if FY2026 guidance is achieved and defense wins accelerate. Position sizing should reflect execution risk on satellite launches and defense contract conversion.

NFA

Like, comment and consider a follow for more $PL !!!


Summary: Explicitly bullish on ONDS.

Shoutout to @CeoOndas of $ONDS for the support.

Did have a little bit of a Superfan moment in the bar when I saw this!

So bullish on $ONDS https://t.co/ixsdK3JFcP


Summary: Bullish watchlist: POET on photonic AI bottleneck, NVDA on data-center lock-in, PLTR on untapped AI platform potential, ASYS on semi structural demand, AMPX on silicon anode battery upside.

My current watchlist this week:

$POET — Photonic integration is the next bottleneck in AI infrastructure, and POET is years ahead of the curve.
$NVDA — Every AI data centre being built today runs on NVIDIA, and that's not changing anytime soon.
$PLTR — Governments and enterprises are just scratching the surface of what Palantir's AI platforms can do.
$ASYS — Semiconductor demand is a structural megatrend, and Amtech sits right in the middle of the supply chain.
$AMPX — Amprius's silicon anode batteries could redefine energy density standards

Bookmark this to remind you to cover these names.


Every AI data centre being built today runs on NVIDIA, and that's not changing anytime soon.


Governments and enterprises are just scratching the surface of what Palantir's AI platforms can do.


Semiconductor demand is a structural megatrend, and Amtech sits right in the middle of the supply chain.


Amprius's silicon anode batteries could redefine energy density standards


More bullish news for $TE. Spending is going to accelerate.

Summary: Bullish TE on accelerating spend tied to data center/solar buildout.

More bullish news for $TE

Spending is going to accelerate.

$Meta has committed up to $6 billion through 2030 for fiber optic cables to support its US AI data center expansion, with $GLW expanding manufacturing in North Carolina and hiring 15-20% more workers

This is bullish for domestic solar because $GLW is simultaneously ramping solar


Sounds like it's going to be good - he wouldn't boast otherwise

Summary: Implied bullish on NVDA: Jensen's boasting signals Blackwell production is tracking well.

@KobeissiLetter Sounds like it’s going to be good - he wouldn’t boast otherwise

BREAKING: President Trump posts 3 quotes of Nvidia, $NVDA, founder Jensen Huang:

1. “As I promised, production of Blackwell has started. AI - invented in America, made in America, built for America and the world.”

2. “After less than a year, we're now manufacturing the most https://t.co/eET9VJ6LzA


Summary: Long ELMT: accounting artifact masked 147% adj. net income growth; sole-source US tungsten/moly supplier with semi, defense, fusion exposure at 1.8x sales.

New coverage. $ELMT - The Elmet Group.

Four of the most-searched themes in the market right now - semiconductors, defense, nuclear fusion, critical materials. Investors are buying separate stocks for each.
There's one ~$460m micro-cap sitting inside all four. The screens have it filed as something else entirely.

Here's the problem. Pull $ELMT up and you see a GAAP net loss last quarter. Loss-making industrial micro-cap, move on. That's the trap.

The loss is an accounting artifact - a one-time $4.7m tax provision from an S-corp to C-corp conversion during its April IPO reorg. Strip it out and adjusted net income rose 147%. Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled. The screen is reading a tax event as an operating result, and almost nobody reads past the headline.

So what is it actually exposed to?

1. Critical materials. It's the only US-owned, fully integrated domestic manufacturer of pure tungsten and molybdenum. The FY26 NDAA just banned the DoD from sourcing those metals from China, Russia, Iran and North Korea. The low-cost competition is being legislated out of the US defense supply chain. Elmet is what's left.

2. Defense. Already qualified into ~100 active programs. ~$1,800 of molybdenum per Patriot interceptor, ~$28,000 of waveguide hardware per Patriot tracking vehicle - per-unit content on a platform the DoD is actively restocking.

3. Semiconductors. This is the part the screens completely miss. Elmet supplies refractory components into EUV lithography, ion implantation, sputtering targets and plasma etch tools. Management deliberately pivoted toward semi and medical end-markets years ago to escape commodity metals pricing - it's a margin story, not a volume one.

4. Energy. High-density tungsten shielding and high-power RF ignition systems for nuclear fusion reactors - up to ~$4.9m of content per prototype unit, more at commercial scale. Plus molybdenum nuclear-fuel processing hardware. Qualified into 95+ national-lab and advanced-energy programs across the US and Europe.

Now the valuation. $ELMT holds record backlogs of $113.3m, up 52% year over year. ~$70m in pro-forma net cash after the IPO retired debt. Trading around 1.8x trailing revenue and mid-teens EV/EBITDA.

A company with legislated sole-source positioning, embedded semiconductor exposure, fusion optionality and a net cash balance sheet does not normally trade at such low sales. It trades there because the headline says "net loss."

The setup for me is clear. One micro-cap, four secular themes, mispriced because an accounting event hid all of them behind a "net loss" tag.

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This was a fantastic read that helped me develop my own research:

https://t.co/Fsx1lbnmcr


Summary: OUST predicted to reach $50 next week.


Summary: Holding BTC and STRC as hedges amid macro uncertainty.

What can we actually buy which isn't red in the markets right now?

I'm holding $BTC and $STRC as a hedge for this macro uncertanity.

BREAKING: Gold’s selloff accelerates, now down over -9% and trading below $4,200/oz. https://t.co/hWI73Vyi1n


Summary: Bullish OSS on accelerating defense contracts, first profitable quarter, zero debt, and 37% YoY revenue growth.

Yesterday I posted a deep dive on $OSS.
Here's the 60-second version for anyone who missed it:

→ Ruggedized AI/ML edge compute for Navy, Army, mining
→ $10.5M new P-8A Poseidon contract (largest ever)
→ $65M+ lifetime contracted Navy revenue
→ First profitable quarter, zero debt, $29M cash
→ Revenue up 37% YoY, gross margin from -12.5% to 35.7%
→ $228M market cap

The turnaround is real. The contracts are accelerating.

Full thesis in yesterday's post. ⚡


Summary: Bullish IREN despite ATM overhang and IR frustrations; fundamentals intact, patience warranted.

Really important points raised here by mon.

Are investors frustrated with $IREN? Yes.
Has management’s communication been poor? Yes.
Have anon accounts hyped up expectations? Yes.

Everyone has been waiting for another hyperscaler deal. Maybe with Anthropic? Nothing has come yet.

The ATM has created real overhang and hence anger at price action after an explosive 2025.

But the fundamentals are strong and a lot of steady progress has been made to push forward with $MSFT and $NVDA.

Patience is the game.

$IREN - In short, I'm not happy with the recent news, but my long term thesis is still intact.

I'm with everyone, not happy with the management's communication style and the timing of the ATM. Let's be honest though, they have always been weak on IR/PR, and they have always https://t.co/QVyhQXTVdx


Summary: Bullish ASTS: price decline doesn't reflect improved fundamentals; key risk is runway vs debt service, not tech execution.

Lot of noise around $ASTS since the slide to $65 - the commentary is almost entirely about the price.

$ASTS has been on my radar for a while, and I've noticed increasing coverage of it in recent weeks after the Space sector pullback.

Worth separating the two: the price fell, the fundamentals didn't.

Over the same stretch the price dropped, the business advanced: BlueBird 6 live, 98.9 Mbps peak throughput, $1.2B contracted backlog, new US government prime awards since March.

For me, the real risk was never "does the tech work." It's whether 24 months of runway clears the deployment hurdle before $2.96B of debt service forces a dilutive raise.

Love the community around $ASTS also.

Full breakdown here:
$ASTS


Summary: Bullish ZETA on OpenAI deal, 17 consecutive earnings beats, and revenue growth into 2026.

$ZETA down 2%🔴

Here's why this could be a strong buy 👇

- @OpenAI  Deal
- 17 consecutive beats
- Revenue continues to grow into 2026

I'm BULLISH 🔥


Summary: Bullish ONDS into earnings in 6 days: unprice catalyst stack includes $1B+ DOD contracts, $1.5B+ cash, EU JV, Palantir AI integration, and record revenue guide.

6 days until $ONDS reports earnings.

Here's the catalyst stack that hasn't been priced in:

📊 Revenue — Q4 was 3x sequential. Full-year guide $170-180M
🔑 Mistral — $1B+ DOD contracts
💰 Cash — $1.5B+
🏭 Manufacturing — ONBERG JV operational in EU
✈ Rotron — UK MoD relationships, NATO industrial base
🤖 AI — Palantir integration across autonomous platforms

Management called this the most important earnings call in company history.  I believe them.


Metaplanet is at an inflection point. The stock has been punished, the valuation is compressed, and the macro thesis is assembling. For investors with conviction on Bitcoin in 2026 and appetite for leverage, $MTPLF offers asymmetric upside with a defined catalyst window.

Summary: Long MTPLF as leveraged BTC play with mNAV re-rating potential from 1.02x to 3-5x; long BTC to $120k-$150k on Fed liquidity + eSLR deregulation tailwinds in 2026.

$MTPLF: Japan’s Leveraged Bitcoin Play as Macro Tailwinds Align for 2026

The Thesis
Metaplanet Inc. ( $MTPLF / 3350.T ) represents a rare asymmetric opportunity: a structurally designed leverage engine positioned to capture Bitcoin’s move upward through 2026, while macro conditions are shifting decisively in Bitcoin’s favor. This isn’t a typical Bitcoin treasury company. It’s a financial engineering masterpiece built to multiply Bitcoin-per-share through capital arbitrage - and the machinery is now firing at scale.

The company holds 35,102 BTC as of December 31, 2025, making it the fourth-largest public Bitcoin holder globally. But the Bitcoin holdings are only half the story. The real conviction thesis is this: Metaplanet has architected a permanent leverage structure that continues to accumulate BTC without refinancing risk, while 2026 macro conditions (Fed liquidity, banking deregulation) set up for Bitcoin to appreciate meaningfully. The compounding effect is explosive.

Trading at $2.52 USD (down 82% from all-time highs near $16), with an mNAV ratio of 1.02x - meaning the stock is trading near the value of its underlying Bitcoin holdings. This discount to historical peaks (mNAV was 5-7x in mid-2025) creates a window where equity holders capture both BTC appreciation and mNAV expansion back to normalized levels.

---

Part 1: The Business Model - Leverage Without Maturity Risk

Metaplanet has solved a problem that’s plagued corporate treasury companies: how to raise permanent capital to fund perpetual Bitcoin accumulation without the refinancing risk of traditional debt.

The playbook mirrors MicroStrategy’s, but executed with Japanese capital markets structure tailored to Japan’s unique macroeconomic condition.

How the Leverage Engine Works:

Tier 1: Common Equity + Moving-Strike Warrants

The company raises capital through common stock offerings at market prices via moving-strike equity programs. When $MTPLF ’s stock price rises, new shares are issued at those elevated prices, funding Bitcoin purchases with minimal per-share dilution. This is mechanically similar to MSTR’s approach but executed more aggressively - evidenced by a 497% BTC Yield in 2025 (BTC per diluted share growth)

Tier 2: Perpetual Preferred Equity (NEW in Dec 2025)
Metaplanet has just launched two classes of perpetual preferred shares-MARS (Class A) and MERCURY (Class B)-which represent the innovation that unlocks the next phase of growth.

MERCURY Details (Most Recent):

•Raised ¥21.25 billion ($150M) from institutional investors
•Fixed 4.9% annual dividend, paid quarterly (~$0.26 per share initially)
•1,000 yen conversion price into common shares (upside participation)
•No maturity date (perpetual)
•Senior to common equity, subordinate only to MARS
•Covers 25% of NAV without diluting common shareholders

Why This Matters:
Perpetual preferred equity functions as permanent leverage. Unlike traditional debt (which matures and must be refinanced), preferred shares have no maturity date. The dividend obligation is fixed. The company can issue billions in perpetual preferred without triggering refinancing risk.

This is the innovation that separates Metaplanet from competitors still relying on traditional debt or equity dilution.

Tier 3: Bitcoin-Backed Credit Facilities

Beyond preferred equity, the company has secured a $500M Bitcoin-backed credit line, with $230M+ already deployed as of October 2025. The terms are favorable: variable rate, daily renewal, fully collateralized by Bitcoin holdings. This allows the company to borrow against its BTC stack when valuations dip (deploying capital when others capitulate) or buyback common shares when trading below par.

The Result:
A permanent, non-dilutive capital structure that can keep raising capital indefinitely - as long as Bitcoin appreciates and/or equity valuations support it. This is a machine designed to compound Bitcoin per share.

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Part 2: Financial Performance - The Engine is Firing

What’s Driving This?

The Bitcoin Income Generation business (the company’s operational moat) recorded record Q3 results by monetizing volatility.

The team writes cash-secured Bitcoin puts and engages in advanced options strategies, turning what would normally be negative volatility into revenue. Q3 achieved this with a 67.6% operating margin—proving that the business model is capital-efficient and scalable.

Critically, this income generation reduces dependence on equity dilution for funding. New capital can go directly into Bitcoin accumulation rather than operational costs.

This is the compounding machine working.

FY2025 Revenue Guidance Doubled to ¥6.8B from ¥3.4B. Operating profit nearly doubled to ¥4.7B from ¥2.5B. The company was a struggling hotel operator with ¥1.06B in annual revenue. Now it’s a scaled Bitcoin-native operating platform.

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Part 3: The 2026 Macro Setup—Why This Timing Matters

Here’s where conviction crystallizes. Metaplanet is raising leverage precisely as macro conditions are setting up for Bitcoin to appreciate meaningfully. This is not chance; it’s timing awareness.

Fed Liquidity Inflection (In Progress Now)

The Federal Reserve announced $40 billion per month in Reserve Management Purchases for three months, with an undefined amount thereafter. This is liquidity directly into the banking system. As of mid-December 2025, $38B of the first month’s allocation had already been deployed.[https://t.co/YRiLUVnSFS]
Simultaneously, the Fed has stopped shrinking its balance sheet (no more quantitative tightening) and is now in quantitative easing mode. History shows that when the Fed moves from tightening to easing, Bitcoin tends to rally sharply. The setup from 2020-2021 saw the Fed inject massive liquidity, and Bitcoin rallied from $5k to $68k in that cycle.[investing]

Banking Deregulation (Jan 1 - Apr 1, 2026)
The Enhanced Supplementary Leverage Ratio (eSLR) easing takes effect January 1, 2026, with broader adoption expected by April 1, 2026. This regulatory change is expected to release approximately $219 billion in core capital across large banking groups. That capital will seek higher returns. Crypto—specifically Bitcoin—is increasingly seen as a legitimate institutional asset class. When banks have capital to deploy, Bitcoin is now on the approved list.[https://t.co/YRiLUVnSFS]

What this means:

When Bitcoin appreciates (driven by Fed liquidity + institutional demand), Metaplanet’s capital structure is designed to re-leverage that gain:
1.BTC Price Up → Bitcoin holdings appreciate in value
2.Collateral Base Increases → Can borrow more against enlarged Bitcoin holdings
https://t.co/rygL5g3gZ5 Re-Deployed → New capital deployed into BTC at higher prices
4.Equity Dilution Offset → BTC per share still grows because BTC appreciation > dilution
5.mNAV Expansion → Historical premium multiples (3-5x) re-rate stock

If Bitcoin moves from ~$88k today to $120k-150k (a 35-70% move, well within reason given 2026 setup), and Metaplanet’s mNAV expands from 1.02x back toward 3-5x, common shareholders experience compounded upside: BTC appreciation plus multiple expansion.

Conservative Scenario: BTC +50%, mNAV 1.02 → 2.5x = ~2.7x total return
Base Case: BTC +70%, mNAV 1.02x → 3.5x = ~4.1x total return
Bull Case: BTC +100%, mNAV 1.02x → 4.5x = ~6.5x total return

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Part 4: Comparison with $MSTR

Why Metaplanet is the Riskier, Higher-Return Play:

Metaplanet trades at a lower valuation multiple but has executed a higher BTC yield trajectory. MSTR’s premium reflects stability and scale. Metaplanet’s discount reflects execution risk and newness, but also represents significant re-rating upside if execution holds and 2026 macro cooperates.

Think of it this way:
•MSTR: The institutional-grade play
•MTPLF: The asymmetric, high-torque leverage play

---

Part 5: The Catalysts Timeline

Q1 2026 (Next 3 months):
•Fed liquidity fully deployed and showing effects
•Bitcoin Treasuries finish capitulation
•Potential BTC breakout above $95k resistance
•Metaplanet completes MERCURY issuance and begins Phase II accumulation
•TSE continued inclusion/potential S&P inclusion discussions

Q2 2026:
•eSLR rule fully adopted by large banks; $219B capital seeking homes
•Bitcoin likely in fresh bull market if Q1 plays out
•Metaplanet targets 50k+ BTC milestone
•Company reports strong Q1 FY2026 results (operating leverage kicks in)

H2 2026:
•Bitcoin potentially testing $150k+
•Metaplanet stock price inflection higher as mNAV normalizes
•Execution risk either proves model or breaks it
•Preferred equity conversions potential if stock appreciates

---

Part 9: Why Now? Why This Company?

Three Converging Factors:
1.Macro Inflection (Favorable): Fed shifting from tightening to easing, bank regulation loosening—bullish for Bitcoin
2.Valuation Reset (Attractive): mNAV at 1.02x vs historical 5-7x = massive re-rating potential
https://t.co/rygL5g3gZ5 Structure Innovation (Powerful): Perpetual preferred shares unlocking permanent leverage without maturity risk

Metaplanet is at an inflection point.

The stock has been punished, the valuation is compressed, and the macro thesis is assembling. The next 12 months will either validate the model or expose its flaws.

For investors with conviction on Bitcoin in 2026 and appetite for leverage, $MTPLF offers asymmetric upside with a defined catalyst window.

---

Shoutout to some great accounts to follow for Metaplanet news.

@ZynxBTC @RoaringRagnar

---

@ZynxBTC @RoaringRagnar And @AdamBLiv


macro conditions are shifting decisively in Bitcoin's favor... If Bitcoin moves from ~$88k today to $120k-150k (a 35-70% move, well within reason given 2026 setup)


$OUST is one of the few US-headquartered LiDAR companies positioned as a qualified supplier across infrastructure sensing, smart city systems, and autonomous vehicles - the exact end markets this legislation is written to protect. This is a massive opportunity to quickly gain meaningful market share from the chinese competitors.

Summary: Long OUST: BUILD America 250 Act + SAFE LiDAR Act ban Chinese LiDAR from DOT procurement, positioning OUST as a key qualified US supplier to capture share from Hesai/Robosense.

$OUST fell 14% yesterday. Section 6009 of the BUILD America 250 Act was announced the same day. This is a big moment for the $OUST thesis.

only a few people are discussing the importance of this act, so saving this could be useful alpha 👇

Here's why this act is so important for any $OUST bull:

The BUILD America 250 Act is a bipartisan, five-year surface transportation reauthorization - Chairman Graves (R-MO) and Ranking Member Larsen (D-WA) released the text on Saturday.

Section 6009 prohibits the Department of Transportation from procuring or awarding funding for any LiDAR technology produced or provided by a covered company - using the same definitions established under Section 164 of the FY25 NDAA, which already banned Chinese LiDAR from DoD procurement.

BUILD America 250 applies that same statutory framework to DOT. The effective date is one year after enactment.

The companies that fall under that definition aren't marginal players. Hesai has held the top position in global LiDAR market share for four consecutive years - 33% of the market by revenue in 2024, per Yole Group. Robosense holds 24%. The prohibition targets the dominant global supply chain.

This is the Huawei telecoms playbook, run again. National security designation. Procurement ban across defence and civilian infrastructure. Supply chain realignment toward qualified domestic suppliers. The DoD half of that playbook already passed. BUILD America 250 is the civilian infrastructure extension.

$OUST is one of the few US-headquartered LiDAR companies positioned as a qualified supplier across infrastructure sensing, smart city systems, and autonomous vehicles - the exact end markets this legislation is written to protect.

This follows my thesis of trying to buy US-based companies to win off of favourable national sovereignty concerns being pushed by President Trump. For $OUST, this is a massive opportunity to quickly gain meaningful market share from the chinese competitors.

Remember, The SAFE LiDAR Act is also coming soon. It targets national security risks associated with autonomous and remote-sensing technologies. Aiming to restrict the use of Chinese-manufactured LiDAR in critical U.S. infrastructure due to data security and cybersecurity concerns. 🇨🇳

$OUST is American born and bred. 🇺🇸


I have a feeling this buy at $23.90 will go down as one of my best buys. Still under $3 billion market cap for a company that has complete domestic control of LiDAR technology.

Summary: Long OUST from $23.90; bullish on domestic LiDAR monopoly, NVDA/NASA wins, 49% revenue growth, and pending SAFE LiDAR/BUILD AMERICA tailwinds.

$OUST at $40. Still under $3 billion market cap for a company that has complete domestic control of LiDAR technology.

REV8 on $NVDA DRIVE Hyperion. NASA Astrolab. 49% YoY revenue growth.

Moat about to be secured by the passing of the SAFE LiDAR act and the BUILD AMERICA 250 bill.

I have a feeling this buy at $23.90 will go down as one of my best buys.

$OUST hit $40 pre-market.

Remember after earnings when the stock dropped? I said this is one of those stocks where you don’t focus on the quarterly moves.

This is a long term stock. https://t.co/YLtgBxnTdU


Summary: Bullish ONDS as asymmetric play on drone/counter-UAS defense boom, citing $1B raise, Blue UAS approval, $170-180M 2026 guidance, and multi-domain contract pipeline.

THE ULTIMATE $ONDS INVESTMENT REPORT

$ONDS presents a truly asymmetric opportunity in a hot sector which continues to expand, here's all you need to know.

1. The Business Model: How They Make Money

Ondas operates two segments, with one driving nearly all revenue. Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) generated 99% of Q3 2025's $10.1 million revenue, selling autonomous drones, counter-drone systems, and ground robotics to defense and government customers.

The flagship products include the Iron Drone Raider - an AI-powered counter-UAS system using computer vision and net-based capture - and the Optimus System - a fully autonomous "drone-in-a-box" platform operating 24/7 without human intervention.

The revenue model is straightforward: large hardware purchase orders ranging from $3.4M to $14.3M per contract.

Recent acquisitions expanded the portfolio to include Roboteam (tactical ground robots), Sentrycs (counter-drone detection), and Rotron Aero (long-range UAVs).

Ondas Networks - the legacy business - contributes minimal revenue.

This segment developed the FullMAX Software Defined Radio platform based on IEEE 802.16t standard for mission-critical IoT applications in rail, utilities, and oil/gas.

 While Ondas holds valuable patents underlying the standard, adoption has lagged expectations.

Ondas grew from $7.19M in full-year 2024 revenue to $10.1M in Q3 2025 alone - 582% year-over-year quarterly growth. Management raised 2026 guidance to $170-180M, representing potential 265% annual growth.

This isn't incremental improvement; it's a hockey-stick inflection driven by defense contracts landing as drone warfare proved critical in Ukraine and Middle East conflicts.

The company won a strategic government border-protection tender in December 2025 involving thousands of drones across multiple years - potentially a $100M+ program that could define revenue through 2027-2028.

2. The Industry & Moat

Top 3 Competitors

AeroVironment ( $AVAV) dominates with $11.7-18.9B market cap.

The company posted Q2 FY2026 revenue of $472.5M (+151% YoY) versus Ondas's $10M quarterly figure.

AeroVironment's Switchblade loitering munitions gained combat validation in Ukraine and deploy across 55+ countries.

The company is profitable with 10% EBITDA margins and trades at 6-10x EV/sales - completely opposite Ondas's cash-burning growth profile. Key advantage: massive scale, profitability, and proven combat systems.

Skydio - private but widely regarded as the American AI autonomy leader - competes on technology rather than scale.

Founded by MIT engineers in 2014, Skydio's defining edge is proprietary autonomous navigation AI with 360-degree obstacle avoidance and GPS-denied flight capability.

Blue UAS approved and NDAA-compliant, Skydio serves defense, law enforcement, and critical infrastructure customers. Key advantage: superior AI autonomy software and broader commercial adoption.

Anduril Industries brings Silicon Valley disruption to defense. Founded by Palmer Luckey in 2017, Anduril achieved $8.7B valuation with products including Ghost drones, Anvil counter-UAS, and Lattice AI platform.

Major contracts with CBP, DHS, and DoD demonstrate early government traction. Rumored IPO in 2025-2026 could dominate defense tech mindshare. Key advantage: deep AI/autonomy expertise, larger scale, and defense-first DNA with substantial venture backing.

Ondas's Technological Advantages

1. Ondas's wireless IP forms the core of the global standard for mission-critical IoT in licensed spectrum. The platform provides 1,000x greater coverage than WiFi/LTE with superior spectral efficiency for upstream data collection.

As IEEE 802.16t gains adoption, Ondas benefits through equipment sales, licensing fees, and royalties. The standards-based position creates vendor lock-in potential, though market validation remains limited.

2. 44 patents globally (15 granted, 75% active) split between Networks (14 patents, expire 2029-2044) and OAS (28 patents, expire 2034-2048).

While modest versus defense giants, strategic positioning in standards and autonomous systems creates defensibility.

3. Fully autonomous counter-UAS interception without GPS or RF jamming requirements - critical for contested environments.

AI-driven computer vision enables target locking with net-based capture minimizing collateral damage. Multiple military and homeland security orders totaling $20M+ across 2024-2025 validate operational readiness.

4. Optimus Regulatory Moats: First-ever FAA Type Certification for fully automated BVLOS operation without on-site operators.

On January 28, 2026, gained DCMA Blue UAS Cleared List approval - the DoD's authoritative directory of approved, NDAA-compliant systems.

These regulatory clearances create genuine barriers requiring competitors to spend years navigating approval processes.

Blue UAS status enables federal agencies to rapidly procure without lengthy independent evaluations, reducing procurement timelines from 12-24 months to 3-6 months.

Competitive Gaps
Ondas lacks AeroVironment's combat validation and 47x production scale advantage.

Skydio likely maintains superior AI autonomy software given its MIT robotics lab origins versus Ondas's wireless communications heritage.

Integration risk haunts Ondas's strategy of acquiring 8+ companies in under two years - engineering teams must align on common architectures while sales learns cross-selling across countries and regulatory environments.

Focused competitors may iterate faster despite smaller portfolios.

3. The Catalyst: Recent Developments

Blue UAS Approval (January 28, 2026)

The DCMA's addition of Optimus to the Blue UAS Cleared List transforms procurement timelines. U.S. agencies face mounting pressure to eliminate Chinese drones due to NDAA restrictions, creating sudden demand for American alternatives precisely when Ondas gained approval.

This reduces acquisition cycles by 9-18 months for agencies leveraging pre-approved platforms.

$1 Billion Capital Raise (January 2026)
Ondas closed ~$1B registered direct offering on January 12, 2026, issuing 19M shares, 41.79M pre-funded warrants, and 121.58M common warrants at $28 strike (7-year expiry).

Net proceeds of $959M combined with prior raises create ~$1.8B total cash versus just $11.3M debt. This eliminates existential funding risk and provides 24+ years of runway at current burn rates.

However, shares outstanding increased from 105M (March 2025) to 260M (January 2026) - 147% dilution in 10 months. The 121.58M warrants at $28 strike create technical ceiling on near-term appreciation.

Accelerating Revenue Guidance (January 2026)

OAS Investor Day on January 16 delivered upward revisions: Q4 2025 raised to $27-29M (51% above prior target), full-year 2025 to $47.6-49.6M, and 2026 target increased to $170-180M - 25% upward revision representing 265% YoY growth.

Consolidated backlog reached $40M, up from $10M at start of 2025, providing visibility through H1 2026.

Strategic Acquisitions

1. Roboteam (completed December 2025) added combat-proven tactical UGVs, completing multi-domain air-ground autonomy.

2. Rotron Aero (announced February 2026) extends into long-range autonomous strike missions with VTOL platforms and advanced propulsion.

These acquisitions execute the system-of-systems strategy spanning detection, aerial ISR, aerial defense, aerial offense, and ground mobility.

Recent Contract Wins
1. $10M new autonomous systems orders (January 2026)
2. $30M multi-year demining program in Israel (February 2026)
3. Strategic Asia-Pacific defense contract (February 2026)
4. Two $8.2M European airport counter-UAS orders (Q4 2025)
5. Border protection tender: thousands of drones, multi-year, estimated $100M+ value

Unlimited potential, sky is the limit.

Please share with others to spread the word about $ONDS. Thanks for reading!

What's your PT?


This is what a company looks like when it stops trying to be everything and becomes the best at one thing: putting AI compute into the most demanding environments on the planet. $OSS is the picks and shovels. And at 58.5% gross margin, the economics are starting to look very different from where they were 12 months ago.

Summary: Bullish OSS post-Q4: record 58.5% gross margin, profitable, $65M+ defense contracts, refocused on rugged AI compute — economics structurally improving.

$OSS just reported Q4 earnings.

Revenue: $12.0M (beat the $10M consensus by 20%)
Gross margin: 58.5% — a company record
Net income: $2.0M — profitable from continuing operations

But here’s what matters more than the headline numbers.

Last quarter, OSS segment gross margin was 45.6%. They just printed 58.5%.

That’s a 13-point jump in one quarter.

After selling their lower-margin European distribution business (Bressner) and refocusing entirely on rugged AI compute for defense and edge applications.

P-8A Poseidon lifetime contracts now exceed $65M. $10.5M in new Navy awards this quarter alone. New commercial robotics customer secured.

This is what a company looks like when it stops trying to be everything and becomes the best at one thing: putting AI compute into the most demanding environments on the planet.

The autonomous defense platforms being built right now — drones, ground robotics, counter-UAS, ISR systems — all need ruggedised edge compute to operate. $OSS is the picks and shovels.

And at 58.5% gross margin, the economics are starting to look very different from where they were 12 months ago.


$ONDS is our focus ... from $7M revenue in 2024 to projected $175M in 2026, representing 2,400% expansion in just 2 years ... Management just raised 2026 guidance 25% upward after delivering 582% YoY quarterly growth

Summary: Long ONDS on hypergrowth revenue ramp to $175M by 2026, fortress balance sheet, Blue UAS/FAA approvals, and $100M+ border contract backlog.

New Investment thesis dropping today...

$ONDS is our focus, a name I covered way back in November.

Why Ondas?

1. Ondas is experiencing true hypergrowth - from $7M revenue in 2024 to projected $175M in 2026, representing 2,400% expansion in just 2 years.

The company raised $1.8B in cash with only $11M debt, providing a fortress balance sheet that eliminates the typical funding cliff facing pre-profitable growth companies.

2. Blue UAS approval (January 2026) enabling rapid federal procurement, a strategic $100M+ multi-year border protection contract, and $40M revenue backlog providing 2026 visibility.

Management just raised 2026 guidance 25% upward after delivering 582% YoY quarterly growth, validating the revenue inflection is real.

3. Ondas assembled the only integrated autonomous warfare toolkit combining aerial ISR (Optimus), counter-UAS defense (Iron Drone Raider), offensive strike drones (Rotron), tactical ground robots (Roboteam), and mission-critical communications (FullMAX).

No competitor offers this breadth - AeroVironment focuses on tactical air, Skydio on autonomy software, Anduril on AI platforms.

Ondas holds first-ever FAA Type Certification for fully automated BVLOS operations and DCMA Blue UAS status, creating 12-24 month regulatory barriers competitors must overcome.

The company's IP forms the core of IEEE 802.16t industrial wireless standard, positioning for potential licensing revenue as adoption scales.

Turn notifications on to get it when it drops!


$ONDS won't stay at this price for much longer

Summary: Bullish ONDS; current price is a buying opportunity that won't last.

@ATOM_COSMOS Fortunately * more chances to buy. $ONDS won’t stay at this price for much longer

@shabamlo And unfortunately another red day.


Wait until these big accounts fully work out how important $OUST is to the next level of AI capex spend: physical robotics. A strategic partner of $NVDA. Jensen said physical robotics is the next key focus... $OUST produces the only 3D colour LiDAR technology. We're so early.

Summary: Strongly bullish OUST as sole 3D colour LiDAR player, NVDA strategic partner, and beneficiary of US LiDAR legislation banning Chinese competitors.

Wait until these big accounts fully work out how important $OUST is to the next level of AI capex spend: physical robotics.

A strategic partner of $NVDA. Jensen said physical robotics is the next key focus - and it’s generating $9 billion in annual revenie. $OUST produces the only 3D colour LiDAR technology. Now being integrated with NASA technology.

And both the SAFE LiDAR Act and the BUILD AMERICA 250 Bill are coming through to ban Chinese LiDAR from federal and domestic procurement.

We’re so early.

AI capex spend is expected to go to "$3 to $4 trillion annually" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections.

You're not bullish enough.

And it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom:

-> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics.
-> https://t.co/IBg13ThOjF


SK Hynix is the dominant AI memory play. It's just Korean-listed.

Summary: Long SK Hynix as dominant AI memory play with 62% HBM share at 7× forward earnings; MU also cited as HBM demand play.

Leopold added $MU to play HBM demand.

The company with 62% HBM market share - 3× Micron’s position - trades at 7× forward earnings and doesn’t show up in any 13F.

SK Hynix is the dominant AI memory play. It’s just Korean-listed.

$MU $000660

LEOPOLD’S SITUATIONAL AWARENESS 13F IS OUT

New positions included $NVDA, $AMD, $INTC, $TSM, $ASML, $MU, $SMH, $GLW, $HIVE, $TE and $SHAZ.

Added to AI power and compute names including $IREN, $APLD, $CLSK, $RIOT, $BTDR and $CRWV.

Trimmed $SEI, $CORZ and $BE, while exiting https://t.co/RkUzR2Fnb3


The world's dominant HBM supplier. Q1 revenue tripled year-over-year, surpassing 50 trillion won for the first time. Every Nvidia AI chip runs on their memory. 2026 capacity: fully booked.

Summary: Three Korean stocks on radar: SK Hynix (HBM dominance), KC Tech (CMP equipment), and Philoptics (laser/OLED/EV equipment) as plays on Korea's outperforming market.

🇰🇷 Interactive Brokers just opened direct access to Korean stocks for Western investors.

Here are 3 names on my radar:

000660 — SK Hynix

The world’s dominant HBM supplier. Q1 revenue tripled year-over-year, surpassing 50 trillion won for the first time.  Just announced a $13B investment in a new HBM packaging plant — construction started this month.  Every Nvidia AI chip runs on their memory. 2026 capacity: fully booked.

281820 — KC Tech

Korea’s only domestic developer and mass producer of CMP equipment — the process that planarises every advanced chip. Over 50% domestic market share. Supplies Samsung and SK Hynix directly. As HBM demand explodes, KC Tech sits in the critical path of every wafer that ships.

161580 — Philoptics

OLED display laser processing equipment, plus semiconductor wafer bonding and EV battery manufacturing.  Multi-sector exposure in a single KOSDAQ name. Up ~95% over the last year.  Every folding Samsung display passes through laser systems like these.

Korea was the top performer in emerging markets in 2025, up 70%+ in USD terms.

I hope to learn more from the Korean community on X also - feel free to drop a follow and discuss!


Multi-sector exposure in a single KOSDAQ name. Every folding Samsung display passes through laser systems like these.

Philoptics KOSDAQ 087010; laser systems for Samsung display


Summary: Long ONDS on accelerating autonomous defence thesis: Rotron acquisition, NATO footprint, $959M raise, major contracts, analyst PT $19.

$ONDS just acquired Rotron Aerospace - a UK-based developer of long-range unmanned strike platforms for defence customers.

Why this matters for the autonomous defence thesis:

🇬🇧 NATO footprint - Ondas now has UK defence manufacturing capability
🎯 Autonomous strike platforms- the exact category every Western military is scaling right now

📋 Adds to a run of catalysts:

In the last 6 weeks:
• $959M capital raise at 17.5% premium ($16.45/share)
• $30M Israel demining contract (largest ever in the country)
• Asia-Pacific government defence deal via Airobotics
• DoW Blue List approval for Optimus drone
• And now: Rotron acquisition for UK/NATO expansion

Analyst target: $19. The autonomous defence thesis is accelerating.

$ONDS


you don't get to apply traditional multiples to a single-source critical materials provider with a record $113.3M backlog and a government paying to scale your factory

Summary: Long ELMT: single-source US molybdenum/tungsten producer with $4.3M gov grant, $113.3M backlog; traditional valuation multiples don't apply.

$ELMT just received $4.3M from the U.S. government to expand molybdenum manufacturing for interceptor programs.

They’re the only U.S.-owned vertically integrated tungsten and molybdenum producer.

The government isn’t funding capacity expansion at suppliers with alternatives.

They have a big valuation but you don’t get to apply traditional multiples to a single-source critical materials provider with a record $113.3M backlog and a government paying to scale your factory.

They’re up 8% today.

$ELMT