$NBIS is a high-conviction Long for 2026. The Microsoft deal ($17B) provides the floor. The Blackwell upgrade provides the ceiling. I'm accumulating in this $80 zone.

Summary: High-conviction long NBIS accumulating ~$80; $17B Microsoft deal as floor, Blackwell ramp as ceiling into 2026.

$NBIS / Nebius Group: The sleeper AI infrastructure play of 2025.

Nebius is currently suffering a drawback from the highs of October. Here is why I see massive opportunity.

Please consider liking and sharing this to help the community grow! Thank you.

Here is the short analysis. 🧵👇

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2/10

What $NBIS is:

Nebius Group builds and operates full‑stack infrastructure aimed at serving AI workloads, including data centers and related cloud services.

Its business model targets the rapid growth in demand for compute and storage from AI models and inference, which has attracted significant speculative interest.

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3/10

The Context:

Nebius isn't a "new" startup. It’s the reborn, Dutch-listed parent of Yandex (post-divestment).

Why does this matter?

NBIS has 15+ years of engineering DNA managing massive scale.

They aren't just renting bare metal; they have a proprietary full-stack cloud architecture.

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4/10

The Numbers: Q3 2025 Reality Check

The growth is undeniable. Q3 Revenue hit $146.1M, up a staggering 355%.

They are spending heavily to win, with nearly $1B in CapEx in just one quarter.

Yes, Net Loss widened to ~$100M, but in this phase of the AI cycle, Cash Flow < Market Share.

You pay for the land grab.

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5/10

The Game Changer: The Microsoft Deal

In Sept, Nebius signed a $17.4 Billion deal with Microsoft.

This isn't a pilot. It's a 5-year commitment for dedicated GPU capacity in New Jersey.

This validates their stack against Hyperscalers. When Satya Nadella outsources his own compute to you, the tech risk is effectively zero.

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6/10

Nebius is winning on efficiency and price.

Nebius H100 rentals have undercut competitors by ~34% while maintaining gross margins on inference.

They are diversifying globally (Finland, Paris) while peers are US-concentrated.

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7/10

Hardware Supremacy

Scale matters. Nebius is tripling its Finland capacity to 60,000 GPUs.

Critically, they are a launch partner for Nvidia’s Blackwell platform and are already deploying H200s.

In the AI arms race, they have the best ammo. Old hardware = margin compression. Nebius has the new stuff.

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8/10

Valuation: Expert View

Market Cap is ~$19B at ~$76/share.

With the $17B+ Microsoft backlog, you are buying massive revenue visibility.

~32x Sales is "expensive" traditionally, but cheap compared to private valuations of CoreWeave (often 50x+).

You are buying a proxy for Azure's overflow capacity at a discount.

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9/10
The Bear Case (Risks)

I always look for the exit before I enter.

Dilution: They utilize ATM equity programs to fund that massive CapEx.

Customer Concentration: Microsoft and Meta now dominate their order book. If MSFT brings it in-house in 2028, what then?

Volatility: Beta is >1.1; expect massive swings.

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10/10

The Verdict

$NBIS is a high-conviction Long for 2026.

The Microsoft deal ($17B) provides the floor. The Blackwell upgrade provides the ceiling.

I’m accumulating in this $80 zone.

Follow @shabamlo for more research. Join the Coffee House community today! https://t.co/7qJgyMN5Sz


$NVDA is the king of the AI acceleration. It's last few consecutive earnings calls have been incredible. Furthermore, it's been hovering around it's lowest p/e since 2019 for a while now.

Summary: Attractive entry across NVDA, GOOGL, META, AMZN, MSFT, AVGO on AI-driven growth, undervaluation, and forward P/E compression.

structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker

I think right now is an attractive entry to all of these names, here’s why.

$NVDA is the king of the AI acceleration. It’s last few consecutive earnings calls have been incredible. Furthermore, it’s been hovering around it’s lowest p/e since 2019 for a while now.

$GOOG Gemini is a fantastic model with incredible research abilities (my personal favourite for deep research. It also holds big investments in the likes of Anthropic, $PL, $ASTS, $ARM and $PATH.

$META has been undervalued for a while. The market isn’t pricing in its ability to use AI most effectively. I believe high capex will pay off for the company.

$AMZN still undervalued imo due to its leading role in automation. It has repeatedly been at the forefront in terms of using robotics to improve cost efficiency. Also, many exciting catalysts coming with same-day delivery and drone usage.

$MSFT has been absolutely killed by the software fear spread. Azure continues to grow rapidly. The new self-built models signal a shift in the software giant’s approach to AI development as the company moves to reduce its reliance on frontier labs for AI capabilities.

$AVGO has indicated that its AI semiconductor revenue alone could surpass $100 billion by 2027. Also, growing dominance in AI inference infrastructure through custom ASICs and hyperscale networking solutions.

There is no stock market bubble.

Large Cap Fwd P/E's (2027/28) & Analysis:

$NVDA: 22.9x -> 16.1x
$GOOGL: 24.8x -> 20.6x
$MSFT: 20.2x -> 16.8x
$AMZN: 24.2x -> 17.9x
$META: 15.7x -> 13.8x
$AVGO: 19.7x -> 16.2x

Analysis:

$NVDA: 16.1x (2028) on >40% growth is the market pricing a https://t.co/Nkl0knvWVD


$GOOG Gemini is a fantastic model with incredible research abilities

industry='Internet Content & Information'


$META has been undervalued for a while. The market isn't pricing in its ability to use AI most effectively. I believe high capex will pay off for the company.


$AMZN still undervalued imo due to its leading role in automation


$MSFT has been absolutely killed by the software fear spread. Azure continues to grow rapidly.


$AVGO has indicated that its AI semiconductor revenue alone could surpass $100 billion by 2027


Summary: Bullish ONDS; terse decisive quality verdict on continued execution.

🚨 $ONDS subsidiary, Sentrycs, deploys C-UAS solutions for German State Police.

Sentrycs also announces the release of its new man-carried system, Sentrycs Scout.

“Designed to detect, identify, and take control of unauthorized drones without jamming or kinetic engagement, https://t.co/Z4EFGhNLTP


$TE is fine if tariffs are removed. 1. Domestic Incentives Persist... BULLISH

Summary: Long $TE: 45X tax credits, IRA subsidies, 3GW locked contracts, and domestic demand shield it even without tariffs.

I expect sell-offs today out of fear.

But a reminder… $TE is fine if tariffs are removed.

1. Domestic Incentives Persist

The 45X manufacturing tax credit provides up to $0.07/W for modules, $0.04/W for cells, and more for polysilicon, directly rewarding T1’s Texas operations regardless of tariff status. Inflation Reduction Act subsidies and potential extensions under Trump policies further bolster U.S. solar production, with T1’s G1 factory already at 5GW capacity.

2. Cost and Contract Advantages

T1’s integrated supply chain and gigafactory efficiencies yield module costs competitive with tariff-free imports, supported by 3GW fixed-margin sales locked for 2026. Utility-scale buyers prioritize reliable domestic supply amid supply chain risks from Asia, giving T1 an edge over volatile importers.

3. Market Positioning

Even without tariffs, growing U.S. solar demand (projected 30GW+ deployments in 2026) and domestic content bonuses for federal projects favor T1 over foreign panels facing non-tariff barriers like AD/CVD duties. Expansion to G2 Austin cell fab positions T1 for full vertical integration, reducing import dependency long-term.

BULLISH


Summary: Endorses Bitcoin as the only perfect play; decisively bullish.

@Leo_Traydes Awesome… everything else really is just fun. Bitcoin is the only perfect play

Picked up some Sats at about $88,900 per $BTC

This is the lowest price I have ever bought Bitcoin at https://t.co/bfX5wsF5oK


Summary: Tariff exemption on Chinese semis until 2027 is bullish for AI stocks IREN, CIFR, and NBIS.

BREAKING: The US announces that tariffs on Chinese semiconductors will be 0% until 2027.


Summary: Bullish TE with a target of $10.

@sub_marine_x @FirstSquawk @accounting_ds @SJCapitalInvest $TE GANG TO $10

@FirstSquawk @accounting_ds @SJCapitalInvest we should fucking fly today brothers 🦖🦖 https://t.co/kMxsCOT027


Summary: Tempted to dollar-cost average into MSTR; implied bullish lean.

@Kaizen_Investor $MSTR tempted to DCA this…

I have identified 6 companies with an average analyst upside exceeding 75%.

1. $IREN - Upside: 77.53%

- Datacenter Industry
- Market Cap: $14.93B
- P/E: 39.1
- 5Y Rev CAGR: 200.9%
- 5Y EPS CAGR: 52%

High price target $125
Low Price target: $39 https://t.co/K55p1vRHCK


$12.2 trillion is benchmarked to Russell indexes. Every fund tracking it must now hold $ELMT - price-insensitive, rules-based buying on open. This means passive inflows improve liquidity, active managers can no longer ignore it without taking an underweight, analyst coverage follows. It could be a big moment for a company that is still sub-$500mn marketcap.

Summary: Bullish ELMT on imminent Russell 3000 inclusion driving mandatory passive inflows, improved liquidity, and institutional visibility for a sub-$500M cap stock.

$ELMT joins the Russell 3000 on Friday.

$12.2 trillion is benchmarked to Russell indexes. Every fund tracking it must now hold $ELMT - price-insensitive, rules-based buying on open.

This means passive inflows improve liquidity, active managers can no longer ignore it without taking an underweight, analyst coverage follows.

For a stock that IPO'd in April, this is the inflection that puts it on institutional radars.

It could be a big moment for a company that is still sub-$500mn marketcap.

$ELMT


Summary: Bearish on IREN (no deal likely), CIFR, and CLSK as data center selloff continues.

It's becoming more and more likely that $IREN hasn't earnt a deal.

Big sell off continues amongst Data Centers... glad I didn't fomo in.

$IREN $CIFR $CLSK https://t.co/W6ydgHG5ca


Big macro catalyst potentially upcoming alongside the safe Lidar act this year also! BUILD America 250 Act … Gives $OUST a further domestic advantage over Chinese competitors!

Summary: Bullish OUST on upcoming BUILD America 250 Act and SAFE Lidar Act providing domestic advantage over Chinese competitors.

@ParadisLabs Big macro catalyst potentially upcoming alongside the safe Lidar act this year also!

BUILD America 250 Act @ParadisLabs

Gives $OUST a further domestic advantage over Chinese competitors!

Major $OUST catalyst just in:

$OUST announce partnership with Fujifilm to develop the world's first colour lidar sensors.

That gives $OUST a stronger value proposition in physical AI / robotics / automation.

Since colour accuracy & consistency are important for perception https://t.co/hvDDKhwr7p


Summary: Long OUST as sole robotics play with US regulatory moat via SAFE LiDAR Act; bearish HSAI on Chinese government risk and intense domestic competition.

$OUST is the only robotics play you need imo. Everything else is a distraction.

This post is so wrong.

(1) Investing in Chinese companies is a horrifically complex trade with government.
(2) $HSAI is in a heavily competitive domestic environment
(3) $OUST has the regulatory moat of the US government backing domestic production. They will outcompete any chinese rivals purely because the SAFE LiDAR act will block any chinese procurement.

Stay focused.
$OUST

Forget $OUST, here's a better robotics play nobody's talking about:

The ticker is $HSAI.

Here's a review of $OUST vs $HSAI (and why I'm more bullish $HSAI here):

Market Cap: $HSAI $2.85B–$3.17B | $OUST ~$2.5B–$2.87B

TTM Revenue: $HSAI $430M–$451M | $OUST $185M (HSAI is https://t.co/1SeY46Cu0J


Investing in Chinese companies is a horrifically complex trade with government. $HSAI is in a heavily competitive domestic environment


Summary: Strongly bullish TE; expects price to go much higher from current levels.


Summary: Long OUST: Rev8 lidar gaining design-wins across autonomous vehicles, robotics, lunar, and industrial AI; thesis is industry standardization on Ouster's sensor architecture.

$OUST expanding its FieldAI partnership today, moving FieldAI up to Rev8, Ouster's highest-spec native color lidar.

FieldAI was already an Ouster lidar customer. This is an existing customer upgrading to the top sensor as it scales into safety-critical work.

More on FieldAI:
FieldAI doesn't build robots. It builds the "brain" - Field Foundation Models that let a robot enter an unmapped, GPS-denied site with no prior route and operate.

That kind of model company is sensor-agnostic by design. When one deepens its dependence on a single lidar instead of hedging vendors, it's a signal about which input the model layer trusts.

FieldAI is backed by $NVDA's venture arm, with roots in $GOOGL DeepMind and NASA JPL. Over $400M raised.
It's scaling into construction, mining, energy, manufacturing, security, and government.

Now widen the frame on Rev8 in the last month:

$NVDA DRIVE Hyperion qualified Rev8 for autonomous vehicles.

$NVDA Jetson integrated Rev8 for robotics and edge AI.

NASA selected Ouster's lidar for the Astrolab FLIP rover headed to the lunar south pole.

And today, general-purpose industrial robots via FieldAI.

One sensor architecture across cars, robots, the Moon, and frontier physical AI. This is all inside the same $NVDA -centric ecosystem.

The design-ins keep landing across industries. The thesis is that Ouster becomes the input the best foundation models standardize on.
$OUST $NVDA


Summary: Bullish TE targeting $10 this week as price breaks ATH and continues higher overnight.

$TE ATH SMASHED!!!

We continue to push up in the overnight’s market.

I called $10 this week, will it prove me right? https://t.co/YKumzji3no


Summary: Long OUST as a positioned beneficiary of humanoid/robotics growth via LiDAR.

$OUST is already positioned. LiDAR will encompass all areas of robotics. https://t.co/SSzgDMOHmM

Humanoid market could be $200B by 2035 (Barclays)

Exponential growth.

Current humanoid market = ~$3B
2035 base case = $40B
2035 upside scenario = $200B

MS assign a $5T TAM by 2050 also.

Physical AI will be the next major investing theme.

After the current software-driven AI https://t.co/YNMssKvfJh


Summary: Still holding TE despite management transparency concerns; thesis on US domestic solar manufacturing at scale intact, analyst target $10.50 vs ~$6.60.

To be clear on $TE - here's why I still hold despite the CAO concerns:

• G1_Dallas fully ramped, producing modules NOW
• G2_Austin construction started - 2.1 GW Phase 1
• $160M in 45X tax credits already monetised
• 900 MW supply deal with Treaty Oak signed
• Analyst target $10.50 vs current ~$6.60

The thesis is US domestic solar manufacturing at scale. That hasn't changed.

What changed is my confidence in management transparency. And that matters.

Both things can be true. 📊

I AM NOT A BEAR


$OUST Buy, PT $75 by Roth

Why so bearish? 😉

Summary: Sarcastically calls $75 PT bearish, endorsing bullish Roth/MKM Buy initiation on Ouster.

Roth/MKM Initiates $OUST at Buy, PT $75

Analyst comments: "We believe Ouster is poised to outgrow the broader sensor market with advanced lidar and stereoscopic camera offerings that enable an AI-compute/software-based perception platform. We expect firm pricing and revenue


Summary: Highest-conviction small-cap into March is ONDS; full thesis published.

Markets closed today. Perfect time to ask:

What's your highest conviction small-cap heading into March?

Mine is $ONDS - I just published the full thesis on why.

Drop yours below.

I'll give you my honest take on every single one.


Summary: Warming to VELO; finds BRUN an interesting play while skeptical on NUAI.

@moninvestor $VELO a name I'm warming to a lot rn.

Not completely sure on $NUAI, I think $BRUN is an interesting play though.

My favourite stocks in each sector right now:

Nuclear: $SMR
Robotics: $OUST
Rare Earth: $UAMY
Copper: $COPX ETF
Memory: $DRAM ETF
Space: $SATL & $VELO
Solar: $CSIQ, $TE & $ENPH
Drones: $ONDS & $KRKNF (UUVs)
Neoclouds: $IREN, $NUAI & $KEEL
Health/Bio Tech: $HIMS, $IBRX, $PRME


I think this is the biggest disconnect in the markets as of now

Summary: Long INFQ over QNT: INFQ has better fundamentals (2x revenue, lower losses, NASA contracts) but was repriced down on rotation while QNT was lifted by brand/hype.

Since $QNT's IPO three weeks ago:
$QNT: +22% from its $60 IPO price
$INFQ: -17%

Both are pre-commercial quantum companies. $INFQ has 2x the TTM revenue. A net loss one-fifth the size. And 2026 guidance of $40M.

The market repriced $QNT on Honeywell brand and IPO hype. It repriced $INFQ down on rotation.

Meanwhile $INFQ has hardware on the ISS and $20M in NASA contracts. The disconnect is not subtle and I think this is the biggest in the markets as of now.

$INFQ $QNT

Honeywell's Quantinuum $QNT upsized its IPO after being oversubscribed by 20x and is set to debut on Nasdaq this week at a valuation of up to $14.3B.

That's 460x sales on $30.9M of 2025 revenue - for a company that lost $192.6M last year.

The deal was lifted from $1.05B to https://t.co/3uYeyeCSFW


Summary: Bullish on three Korean HBM suppliers (Hanmi, KCTech, Wonik IPS) as critical monopoly/sole-domestic-manufacturer backbone of HBM ramp; also bullish MU on near-vertical earnings trajectory through mid-2027.

Wonik IPS is KOSDAQ-listed (240810.KQ), not KOSPI

industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'

SK Hynix: $9B → $74B operating income.
Samsung: $6B → $57B.
$MU : $4B → $36B.

All three are in a near-vertical earnings ramp from Q1 2026 through Q2 2027.
Q1 2026 was the inflection - SK Hynix hit $38B, Samsung $16B, $MU $16B in a single quarter.

Three Korean micro-cap suppliers form the critical backbone of HBM production, controlling high-precision thermal compression, slurry polishing, and chemical vapor deposition.  $IBKR

1. Hanmi Semiconductor (KRX: 042700)
The Role: Controls a near-monopoly in the manufacture of Thermal Compression (TC) Bonders, the machines required to physically stack memory dies in high-bandwidth memory.

The Catalyst: With an estimated 70% global market share in this process, they are a critical bottleneck. Following massive orders from SK Hynix, Hanmi is actively testing Wide TC Bonders for the upcoming HBM5 and HBM6 generations.

Valuation: Market cap sits around ₩30.4 trillion, trading on the KRX.

2. KCTech (KRX: 281820)
The Role: Korea's sole domestic manufacturer of Chemical Mechanical Polishing (CMP) systems and the CMP slurry required to polish chips.

The Catalyst: Anchor clients include both Samsung and SK Hynix. Net income surged 270% in a previous high-yield quarter, showcasing rapid margin expansion driven by the AI server boom.

Valuation: Market cap is approximately ₩1.4 trillion.

3. Wonik IPS (KOSDAQ: 240810)
The Role: Provides the Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD) and Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD) equipment used to build nanometre-thin layers in every HBM die.

The Catalyst: Benefiting directly from increased AI memory demands, Meritz projects strong, sustained operating profits in the coming years. Major institutional funds (including Vanguard) are heavily invested.

Valuation: Market cap has soared to roughly ₩5.9 trillion.


$MU : $4B → $36B. All three are in a near-vertical earnings ramp from Q1 2026 through Q2 2027.


Summary: Bullish TE: record weekly volume signals market recognition of a real-time turnaround.

Did you know?

This is the highest ever volume for $TE in a week.

Just incredible. This is the market recognising a turnaround in real time. https://t.co/CVe3nauPTj


Summary: Bullish on AI players CIFR (favourite), wants to add more NBIS and IREN.

I love these AI players.

$CIFR is my favourite. But I want to add more $NBIS and $IREN!!!

Can't make my mind up haha


Summary: Tariffs pose low risk to TE; U.S.-centric solar manufacturing strategy is insulated and benefits from domestic supply chain acceleration.

Will Tariffs impact the $TE thesis?

No.

Risk Assessment:

Low danger overall. TE’s U.S.-centric strategy insulates it; tariffs align with its growth (e.g., accelerating domestic supply chain). Monitor USMCA outcomes or if TE discloses Canadian supply reliance, but current cycle favors U.S. manufacturers like TE.

1. Current News Cycle:

President Donald Trump threatened 100% tariffs on all Canadian goods entering the U.S. if Canada finalizes its recent trade deal with China, which slashes Canadian tariffs on Chinese EVs from 100% to 6.1% (with a 49,000-unit quota) in exchange for lower Chinese tariffs on Canadian agriculture like canola.

This stems from fears Canada could serve as a “drop-off port” for Chinese products to bypass U.S. tariffs.

The threat, posted January 24, 2026, escalates U.S.-Canada trade tensions amid USMCA review, but Canada’s Finance Minister denied pursuing free trade with China.

2. TE’s Profile

T1 Energy (NYSE: TE) focuses on U.S. solar module manufacturing (5 GW capacity at G1 Dallas, Texas) and planned solar cell production near Austin, Texas, with HQ in Austin and over 1,000 Texas employees.

It rebranded from FREYR Battery in February 2025, shifting to vertically integrated U.S. solar + battery storage, while optimizing European assets (e.g., Norway).

No significant Canadian operations are evident.

3. Potential Impacts

Direct risks to TE are minimal: its Texas facilities avoid Canada-U.S. tariff crossfire, and it has historically benefited from U.S. tariffs protecting domestic solar manufacturing.

Indirectly, broader trade war escalation could raise U.S. input costs but past tariffs on Canada/Mexico solar products were limited and TE positions itself as a U.S. beneficiary.

EV/battery aspects of the Canada-China deal don’t overlap TE’s core solar focus.


Summary: Bullish ARBE: Phoenix chipset, NVIDIA DRIVE integration, DoD contract, serial production at scale starting late 2026 — market re-rating not done.

industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'

i covered $ARBE last month.

200,000 people read it. it's up 44% in the past month.

looking for robotics exposure?

1. Arbe's Phoenix chipset delivers 2,304 virtual channels - 100x the resolution of legacy radar. It is the perception layer that makes autonomous vehicles and robotics platforms actually work in real-world conditions.
2. It is already integrated into the NVIDIA DRIVE platform.
3. It is already inside the US Department of Defense's autonomous vehicle programme through Forterra.
4. Serial production with a Chinese state OEM starts late 2026. That's when chipset revenue at scale begins.

The market is starting to price the perception layer of the robotics stack.

It is not finished doing so. $ARBE $NVDA $OUST


Summary: Four SpaceX supply-chain beneficiaries—Filtronic, EchoStar, STMicro, Velo3D—will be discovered by institutional analysts forced to research the SpaceX IPO; all four are longs.

SpaceX S-1 is now public. The roadshow begins June 8th. Listing expected June 12th on Nasdaq.

I have identified 4 companies that will benefit directly from the SpaceX IPO and the growth of its supply chain.

1. $FTC - Filtronic.
SpaceX occupies every production line they own. $115M+ contracted, zero US institutional presence. The V-band terminal transition - tens of millions of consumer units - hasn't been priced in yet.

 2. $SATS - EchoStar.
Holds $11.1B in SpaceX equity contractually. At $1.75T valuation, that stake is worth $35B. The operating business trades at 2.5x EBITDA. Peers trade at 6–8x.

3. $STM - STMicroelectronics.
5 billion RF antenna chips shipped. ~90% LEO satellite receiver market share. $600M in space revenue in 2025, targeting $3B cumulative by 2028.

4. $VELO - Velo3D.
5 Raptor engine parts qualified exclusively on their machines. When Velo3D hit distress, SpaceX paid $8M just to license the IP. That's how irreplaceable the process is.

The IPO doesn't create value in these names. It forces institutional analysts to find them for the first time.

Full analysis in the comments👇(Exclusive Article)

$FTC $SATS $STM $VELO $SPCX

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30k people have already read this - don't be late.

https://t.co/ZwEJChIwz7


5 billion RF antenna chips shipped. ~90% LEO satellite receiver market share. $600M in space revenue in 2025, targeting $3B cumulative by 2028.


5 Raptor engine parts qualified exclusively on their machines. When Velo3D hit distress, SpaceX paid $8M just to license the IP. That's how irreplaceable the process is.


Summary: Long GOOG as a safe compounder with diversified stakes in SpaceX, Anthropic, Waymo, and space assets.

$GOOG is one of the safest buy and hold compounders in the market.

-> 6% stake in $SPCX
-> 14% stake in Anthropic
-> 10% stake in $PL
-> 10% stake in $ASTS

Seems like Google is mega bullish on compute and space!

Everyone wants in on SpaceX and Anthropic.

But did you know that Google is the low-risk side door into both SpaceX and Anthropic.

This chart shows what Google owns:
- 6% of SpaceX
- 14% of Anthropic
- 80% of Waymo
- Plus stakes in AST SpaceMobile, Planet and Apptronik https://t.co/GvXiYWMHNn


Summary: Added to long TE position at $8.45; dismisses current weakness as FUD and holds conviction.

Suffering today.

This is all FUD though.

Sticking to the plan $TE

Added more shares at $8.45 https://t.co/61g00ssHjC


I'll also be adding filtronic at these levels.

Summary: Adding Filtronic at current levels; bullish on the dip near £200.

I’ll also be adding filtronic at these levels.

$FTC.L

I’ll add filtronic below £200. We are almost there. https://t.co/oKy6XLStc3


Summary: Likes IREN, CIFR, NBIS; explicitly avoids CRWV vs the other AI data center names.

@CaesarCapitalz $IREN strong narrative. $CIFR is a hedge but also excellent team. Love $NBIS asw but $CRWV is a big avoid compared to the others.

$NBIS is my second biggest position, yet I still feel like I don’t own enough AI data center stocks.

Should I also buy some $CRWV, $IREN, $CIFR, or $BITF? https://t.co/bzLfpSHiDI


$CIFR is a hedge but also excellent team


$CRWV is a big avoid compared to the others


Summary: Looking to enter all three this week: POET (photonics), ASYS (AI GPU packaging equipment), OUST (lidar/physical AI) as under-the-radar AI infrastructure plays.

Three names I'm looking to enter this week:

$POET — The optical assembly layer nobody is mapping. Passive alignment kills the manufacturing bottleneck that's been holding photonics back. 30,000 engines shipping in 2026. $430M cash. More on this later today.
$ASYS — $188M market cap making thermal processing equipment for AI GPU packaging. CEO guiding for AI demand surge in H2. Nobody covers this. Panel-level packaging is the next semiconductor bottleneck.
$OUST — Physical AI sensing platform. 12 straight quarters of product revenue growth. StereoLabs acquisition adds cameras + AI compute to the lidar stack. Q1 guidance beat consensus. Earnings May 5.

Three different layers of the AI infrastructure stack. None of them on anyone else's radar.

Bookmark for later👇


$ASYS — $188M market cap making thermal processing equipment for AI GPU packaging. CEO guiding for AI demand surge in H2.


$OUST — Physical AI sensing platform. 12 straight quarters of product revenue growth.


Revenue up 1,065% year-over-year. One quarter of revenue = the entire revenue for 2025. Backlog went from $68M to $457M in three months. Every layer of the thesis firing at once.

Summary: Bullish ONDS: 1,065% YoY revenue growth, backlog surging $68M→$457M in one quarter, all thesis catalysts firing simultaneously.

In March I wrote about $ONDS and the drone economy. Over a million people read it.

Q1 2026 just reported. Revenue up 1,065% year-over-year. One quarter of revenue = the entire revenue for 2025. Backlog went from $68M to $457M in three months.

Counter-UAS. Autonomous systems. Stratospheric ISR. Every layer of the thesis firing at once.

The drone economy isn't coming. It's here 👇


Summary: Author names BTC, OUST, MSTR, ASST, SWC as his picks in a market where S&P is at ATH but BTC hasn't run yet.

@ZynxBTC $BTC $OUST $MSTR $ASST $SWC are my picks.

You look around the market and everything is up wildly.

The S&P 500 is at all time highs.

The only thing that hasn't had a significant run is the best performing asset since 2009.

It also happens to be the hardest asset.

So what do you buy?

Bitcoin is the only answer for me.


Summary: Bullish defense small-caps RKLB, ONDS, AVAV, OSS as US-Israel strike on Iran and Hormuz closure accelerate defense/space catalysts despite broad market selloff.

The world changed this weekend.
US and Israel struck Iran. The Supreme Leader is dead.
The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed.

Markets are selling off across the board. S&P futures down ~1%.

But here's what you're missing — what this means for defense and space:

$RKLB — $816M SDA contract. Space surveillance becomes critical when the Middle East is on fire. Rocket Lab's defense backlog just became more valuable overnight.
$ONDS — Drone autonomy for defense. $170-180M revenue target. Counter-drone tech demand just accelerated.
$AVAV — The blue-chip drone play. $186M contract just awarded. LOCUST counter-drone system already deployed. Earnings March 10. This is the name institutions buy first.
$OSS — Edge computing for the Navy. When carriers deploy, they need real-time AI processing.

The selloff is real. But the catalysts for defense small-caps just got stronger.


Drone autonomy for defense. $170-180M revenue target. Counter-drone tech demand just accelerated.


The blue-chip drone play. $186M contract just awarded. LOCUST counter-drone system already deployed. This is the name institutions buy first.


Edge computing for the Navy. When carriers deploy, they need real-time AI processing.


Summary: Bullish OUST on upcoming SAFE Lidar Act + BUILD America 250 Act giving domestic advantage over Chinese rivals.

@StockSavvyShay Big macro catalyst potentially upcoming alongside the safe Lidar act this year also!

BUILD America 250 Act @StockSavvyShay

Gives $OUST a further domestic advantage over Chinese competitors!

$OUST partnered with Fujifilm to bring native color lidar to its Rev8 OS digital lidar family.

Combining 3D depth and color in one sensor should make the data more useful for mapping, robotics, AI training and object recognition. https://t.co/VahkoRlJb1


Summary: Long SpaceX proxies FTC, Sphere, SATS, and RDW ahead of SpaceX IPO as institutional mapping/bid front-runs the listing.

The FT ran a piece friday on the "speculative frenzy" into SpaceX proxies ahead of the june IPO.
Net $14bn has flowed into funds holding SpaceX slices since December.

Three names in their coverage we'd already filtered into our supply chain breakdown:
1. $FTC Filtronic - $115m+ contracted from SpaceX, every production line occupied, AIM-listed so passive US capital structurally can't own it yet. up 100%+ ytd per the FT. that last part is the whole thesis: the bid can't arrive until the mapping does.
2. Sphere - $1.05bn 10yr nickel superalloy deal, KOSDAQ-only, no ADR. also up 100%+. uninvestable for almost everyone reading the FT, which is exactly why it's mispriced. $IBKR
3. $SATS echostar - the one the FT called "unusual." ~$11bn in SpaceX equity sitting inside a leveraged telecom shell. strip the stake out and the legacy business implies ~2.5x EBITDA vs peers at 6-8x. "unusual" is FT-speak for "not yet modeled."

Here's the reframe: we said the supply chain mapping would happen after the IPO. the ETF spaghetti-cannon and the FT itself are doing it pre-listing. the institutional bid is front-running its own event.
$MARS  $UFO $NASA lead the way.

Honourable mention to $RDW - the FT flagged it as retail's favourite proxy, record buying the week of the announcement.


strip the stake out and the legacy business implies ~2.5x EBITDA vs peers at 6-8x. "unusual" is FT-speak for "not yet modeled"


the FT flagged it as retail's favourite proxy, record buying the week of the announcement


Summary: Bullish on IREN; holders have a lot to look forward to.

Fantastic article from Lando here.

Looks like $IREN holders have a lot to look forward to.


Summary: Rotation call: NBIS exhausted at $160, IREN poised to run next.

THE GREAT $NBIS -> $IREN ROTATION

$NBIS looks exhausted and blocked at $160.

Time for $IREN to have its run… https://t.co/VmB6HGamJy


Summary: Bullish P (Pure Storage): post-earnings 20% selloff is an overreaction; Evergreen//One growing 73%, ARR >$2B, RPO up 41% — re-rating has further to run.

Most people read the $P earnings and saw a storage beat. Then sold it off 20%. But I think this was an incredible overreaction the https://t.co/LjkbTGxm38 fact, here's why I think $P is more bullish than ever.

Evergreen//One - their storage-as-a-service arm - grew 73% last quarter. Not because of AI hype. Because enterprise CFOs are terrified of hardware quotes that expire in 30 days. The CEO said he's never seen a supply chain like this in 40 years.

Think about what that means for buying behaviour. You're a CTO. Component costs are moving faster than your procurement cycle. Your vendor won't give you a fixed price until shipment. Do you buy capex? Or do you lock in a multi-year contract and let someone else absorb the volatility? That's why Evergreen//One is growing at 3x the rate of the core subscription business.

The market priced $P as a supply chain victim. The actual story is a business model shift accelerating inside the crisis. ARR crossed $2B. RPO up 41%. Customers are locking in. Stock's up 8% today. 12% off the post-earnings low.
The re-rating hasn't finished.
$P

$P Everpure was down 20% today after earnings came out yesterday.

Should you panic as an investor?
Let's see what the earnings actually said.

1. Revenue:$1.1B - up 35% YoY. Product revenue $577M, up 55%. Subscription services $476M, up 17%. RPO $3.8B, up 41% - that's future https://t.co/GTHo3S0d89


Summary: Structural HBM capacity squeeze means no DRAM oversupply before 2027; long MU and SK Hynix on tightening memory supply across the entire stack.

$MU is up 20% since I published a breakdown for subscribers explaining why it'll keep running.

the mechanism most people are missing:

producing one bit of HBM requires 3x the wafer capacity of standard DDR5. manufacturers aren't producing less memory - they're producing different memory.

and that different memory is consuming the capacity that used to supply everything else.

more AI investment = tighter supply for PCs, smartphones, data centres. simultaneously. across the entire memory stack.

this is why the cycle isn't resolving the way every previous DRAM cycle resolved. there's no oversupply coming from the same fabs. the fabs are full - just full of something else.

SK hynix is allocating 33% of total wafer capacity to HBM by 2026. that capacity is not coming back to standard DRAM. Meta alone guided $72B capex this year. Microsoft, Google, Amazon on similar trajectories. this demand isn't discretionary.

relief on the supply side isn't realistic before 2027 at the earliest.

$MU moved 20% in a week. the structural case says it moved because the market is starting to understand what my subscribers read on Wednesday.

$MU $000660 $DRAM $SNDK


SK hynix is allocating 33% of total wafer capacity to HBM by 2026. that capacity is not coming back to standard DRAM


Summary: Names KTOS, RCAT, AVAV, ONDS, RKLB as beneficiaries of autonomous systems deployment in CENTCOM mine-clearance and drone operations.

Here's the autonomous systems layer nobody is mapping.

🇺🇸 CENTCOM is deploying underwater drones to clear Iranian sea mines — the first large-scale autonomous mine countermeasure operation in history.
🛡 Iran laid 2,000-6,000 naval mines. They've lost track of where they put them. The only way to clear the strait is autonomous systems.

Mine clearance & combat autonomy:
🔹 $KTOS — autonomous combat drones + counter-UAS + $447M Space Force contract
🔹 $RCAT — tactical combat drones, deployed in the Iran campaign
🔹 $AVAV — Switchblade loitering munitions, $1B+ funded backlog

ISR, comms & drone infrastructure:
🔹 $ONDS — autonomous ISR systems + Mistral merger + $170-180M 2026 guidance.
🔹 $RKLB — space-based ISR infrastructure + hypersonic test flights for DoD

Drones clearing mines. Drones hunting drones. Drones tracking missiles from space.

I mapped this sector before any of this happened.


$RCAT — tactical combat drones, deployed in the Iran campaign


$AVAV — Switchblade loitering munitions, $1B+ funded backlog


$ONDS — autonomous ISR systems + Mistral merger + $170-180M 2026 guidance


$RKLB — space-based ISR infrastructure + hypersonic test flights for DoD


Summary: Bullish INFQ on Russell 3000 inclusion forcing passive buying, NVDA partnership, AUKUS contracts, and CHIPS Act support.

$INFQ is entering the Russell 3000.

Infleqtion came public via the Churchill Capital X SPAC, which put it under the Russell IPO lock-up rule (4.3.4). That lock-up expired, making it eligible mid-cycle - so passive index funds are now forced buyers, regardless of price.

What they're buying into:
1. Selected by $NVDA to integrate its Sqale quantum processor into Nvidia's HPC stack via NVQLink - the hybrid quantum-GPU bridge Nvidia unveiled at GTC.

2. The only firm with contracted atom-based RF sensing across all three AUKUS partners (integrators: L3Harris, SAIC, $DELL Federal)

3. The UK's only operational 100-qubit system at Harwell and a new Oxford centre tripling UK capacity.

4. A $100M CHIPS Act LOI, direct support from the US Government

The case for $INFQ at current valuations continues to accelerate. I'm keeping a close eye and will continue coverage as this develops.

$INFQ $NVDA


$TE is down 10% this week. And I'm not selling. That's when I buy more.

Summary: Holding and adding to TE on the dip; thesis intact — solar/grid infrastructure is physical and AI-resilient, not a software-model risk.

$TE is down 10% this week.

And I'm not selling.

Here's my thinking:

Solar isn't software.

AI doesn't automate building panels in the Arizona desert.

It doesn't replace grid infrastructure.

 It doesn't negotiate utility contracts.

$TE is physical. Tangible. The kind of business that AI helps, not replaces.

While everyone's panicking about which software stocks survive the AI apocalypse, I'm stacking a company that's building actual things in the real world.

The thesis hasn't changed. The price has.

That's when I buy more.

Yesterday felt like watching a regime change in real time.

Not just a red day.

The moment the market decided certain business models are no longer safe.

$285 billion wiped out in a single session.

The worst day for software stocks since April.

This wasn't a normal selloff. https://t.co/odSd7a8Gr1


Summary: Price targets of $10 short-term then $15 for TE; bullish.

@CoffeeStocksGuy Do you have a price traget for $TE?

I will take a closer look at $TE in the coming weeks.


Summary: CML Microsystems trades at 13.6% discount to book despite GaN RF / LEO satellite exposure via Filtronic-SpaceX Starlink chain; author calls it mispriced, not distressed.

CML Microsystems listed on LSE; 270p/NAV context confirms UK listing

$CML Microsystems. Book value: 316p. Price: 273p.

the market is pricing a GaN RF semiconductor business - with design-in exposure to LEO satellite ground infrastructure - at a 13.6% discount to book.

their chips go into Filtronic. Filtronic supplies SpaceX Starlink.

that's not a distressed business. that's a mispriced one.

$CML $FTC


their chips go into Filtronic. Filtronic supplies SpaceX Starlink.

Filtronic plc on LSE AIM; Starlink RF/GaN supplier context confirms


Summary: High-conviction 'war portfolio' longs: ONDS (counter-drone/UAS), RKLB (orbital infra), OSS (edge AI compute for drones), KRKNF (mine countermeasures), AVAV (Switchblade revenue growth).

My conviction ranking for the war portfolio:

1. $ONDS — touches 5 of 8 capability layers. Counter-drone, demining, airborne protection, tactical UAS, prime contractor access. Earnings March 25.

2. $RKLB — the orbital backbone. Every satellite image you've seen from Iran came through infrastructure they helped build.

3. $OSS — the hidden play. 10,000 AI drones need edge computing. OSS builds exactly that.

4. $KRKNF — mine countermeasures are now mission-critical. Iran mined Hormuz. The demand catalyst arrived.

5. $AVAV — Switchblade is in theater. 150% revenue growth. The data speaks.

Full thesis on each in today's article.


$RKLB — the orbital backbone. Every satellite image you've seen from Iran came through infrastructure they helped build.


$OSS — the hidden play. 10,000 AI drones need edge computing. OSS builds exactly that.


$KRKNF — mine countermeasures are now mission-critical. Iran mined Hormuz. The demand catalyst arrived.


$AVAV — Switchblade is in theater. 150% revenue growth. The data speaks.


Summary: Bearish IREN; expects further downside from here.


Summary: Bullish Pure Storage: market misprices it as a US-only enterprise play; international growth is structural, accelerating, and underpenetrated vs legacy HDD incumbents.

The market is pricing $P as a US enterprise storage company.

The Q4 FY2026 prepared remarks quietly dismantled that thesis...

US revenue in Q4: +9% year-over-year
International revenue in Q4: +48% year-over-year

International now represents 36% of total revenue - up from 28% a year ago.

For the full year: US grew 12%. International grew 25%.
This is a structural shift in where $P's growth is actually coming from.

64% Fortune 500 penetration means the addressable whitespace in the US enterprise market is narrowing.

Meanwhile, international AI infrastructure buildouts are accelerating across Europe, the Middle East, and Asia Pacific - regions where flash storage adoption is earlier cycle, enterprise penetration is lower, and $P's technology advantage is most acute against legacy HDD incumbents still dominant in those markets.

The CFO flagged it directly in the prepared remarks: "The continued expansion of our international footprint remains a significant opportunity and a key strategic focus."

Deals over $5M grew 80% year-over-year in Q4. 1,100 net new customers added in FY26. 335 in Q4 alone.


Most of my money is in $STRC. I'm quietly earning compounding 11.75% interest waiting for an opportunity. I could hold this and outperform the market this year.

Summary: Long STRC (11.75% yield, expects market outperformance this year) and DCA-ing into BTC on a weekly basis.

I’m loving this market right now.

Most of my money is in $STRC.

I’m quietly earning compounding 11.75% interest waiting for an opportunity.

I could hold this and outperform the market this year.

Weekly DCA’s on $BTC also. I just hit my Q1 target two weeks early.

Not enough people around here speak about the monster of $STRC that @saylor has created.

NFA.


Weekly DCA's on $BTC also. I just hit my Q1 target two weeks early.


Summary: Long OUST: NASA lunar qualification of solid-state LiDAR validates digital architecture thesis and creates a permanent, compounding commercial reference no competitor can replicate.

$OUST now being integrated into NASA.

NASA Marshall selected Ouster's system for the Astrolab FLIP rover - launching late 2026 to the lunar south pole for navigation, obstacle detection, and hazard avoidance.
Here's why this is more than a headline.

1. The Moon is the hardest environment a sensor can operate in.

Temperature swings of over 300°C. No atmosphere. Radiation. Abrasive dust that destroys mechanical components.
Getting any LiDAR to survive those conditions requires serious engineering validation - not a press release. NASA Marshall signed off on this system. That means something.

2. $OUST's digital architecture is why they were selected.

Traditional mechanical LiDAR fails in vacuum - moving parts break down under extreme heat and cold. Ouster's solid-state design has no moving parts to fail.
The same silicon architecture that delivers colour LiDAR on Earth is what made this system hardenable for space.

3. A lunar qualification is a permanent commercial reference point.

Every defense contractor, autonomous vehicle platform, and infrastructure operator now has one data point: this sensor survived NASA's qualification process for the harshest environment we've ever sent a rover into.
No competitor can buy that reference. It compounds over time.

When I first covered $OUST, the thesis was that their digital architecture would prove itself across environments no mechanical system could reach. The Moon is the proof of concept.

$OUST $NASA $NVDA


Summary: Bullish on quantum computing stocks on Trump EOs accelerating post-quantum encryption deadline to 2029-2030 and $2B CHIPS Act financing.

Trump signed two quantum EOs today. $INFQ CEO was in the White House with him.

Federal agencies must migrate to post-quantum encryption by 2029–2030.

The original deadline was 2035.

Miss it - explain yourself to the OMB.

$2B in CHIPS Act financing for quantum companies was already announced in May.

The government just put a hard date on the threat window.

$IONQ $RGTI $QBTS $INFQ

President Trump Signs Executive Orders, Jun. 22, 2026 https://t.co/5QGc2meUet


$INFQ CEO was in the White House with him


Summary: Bullish ONDS; author wants to add more shares citing Palantir partnership driving visibility.

Big names are paying attention to $ONDS.

The $PLTR partnership is giving them a lot of visibility.

I need more!

This week I purchased shares in Ondas $ONDS

This position was built after it became apparent that the future will be dominated by autonomous systems.

From land to sea to air, the proliferation of drones and other autonomous systems is going to fundamentally change the way we


$OUST is the only US-listed, fully compliant digital LiDAR company in the market. Not only is the tech elite, but the company has one of the best regulatory positions I've seen of any company. I like this as a play advantageous to the Trump administrations national sovereignty program in the economy. $OUST is a compliance-mandated LiDAR monopoly in formation.

Summary: Long OUST as the sole US-listed compliant LiDAR company set to become a compliance-mandated monopoly once NDAA Section 164 cuts off Chinese suppliers by June 30, 2026.

$OUST is the only US-listed compliant LiDAR company and a hard deadline just got set.

June 30, 2026 - NDAA Section 164 goes live.

From that date, the DoD cannot operate, procure, or use LiDAR manufactured or reliant on software/data infrastructure connected to China, Russia, Iran, or North Korea.

Chinese suppliers currently account for approximately 95% of the global automotive LiDAR market. $HSAI , RoboSense, Huawei, and Seyond together control 89% of the total market.

Section 164 doesn't clip a fringe player - it cuts off the dominant supply chain of an entire industry for every DoD-adjacent application.

The GUARD Act (H.R.9129) runs on a separate track - FCC Covered List mechanism, targeting communications equipment inside humanoid and quadruped robots. Any adversary-produced system not reviewed within 12 months is auto-banned.

Two bills. Two mechanisms. Both route to the same outcome: Chinese LiDAR and Chinese robots become progressively illegal to use if you touch federal money.

$OUST is the only US-listed, fully compliant digital LiDAR company in the market. Not only is the tech elite, but the company has one of the best refulatory positions I've seen of any company.

I like this as a play advantageous to the Trump administrations national sovereignty program in the economy. $OUST  is a compliance-mandated LiDAR monopoly in formation.

---

Shoutout to @usppdd for being the no1 account for $OUST breaking news. My favourite account for this name.


Summary: 2026 watchlist: long ONDS (drones), PATH (AI/S&P inclusion), IREN (data center), TE (solar), NBIS (cloud), MSTR (BTC ATH leverage), CCCX (quantum/gov acquisition).

My current stock watchlist going into 2026:

$ONDS DEFENCE

- Drones are going to run hot

$PATH

- AI automation is growing
- S&P inclusion

$IREN

- AI Data Center demand isn’t going to disappear

$TE

- Solar will be a key theme… energy needs are endless and we need quick solutions

$NBIS

- Demand for Cloud not stopping

$MSTR

- Bitcoin will reach new ATH’s
- MSTR perfectly leveraged for this

$CCCX

- Government acquisition potential
- Quantum resurgence

Any to add guys?


$PATH - AI automation is growing - S&P inclusion


$IREN - AI Data Center demand isn't going to disappear


$TE - Solar will be a key theme… energy needs are endless


Bitcoin will reach new ATH's - MSTR perfectly leveraged for this


this isn't a cycle recovery. NAND margins have never sustained at these levels... AI datacenter demand has structurally repriced NAND. datacenter revenue up 645% YoY. $11B in multiyear supply agreements already signed. the memory cycle used to mean reversion. this one means expansion.

Summary: Structural long SNDK: AI has permanently repriced NAND, margins 78%+ with upside guidance; bullish MU by association in same NAND expansion thesis.

$SNDK gross margins: 22.5% one year ago. 78.4% last quarter.

guidance for next quarter: 79–81%.

this isn't a cycle recovery. NAND margins have never sustained at these levels. the prior cycle peak didn't come close.

what changed: AI datacenter demand has structurally repriced NAND. datacenter revenue up 645% YoY. $11B in multiyear supply agreements already signed.

the memory cycle used to mean reversion. this one means expansion.

$SNDK $DRAM $MU


Summary: Long ONDS: Rotron acquisition adds UK MOD/NATO exposure 9 days before earnings, with Rotron outlook on the March 25 call serving as a near-term catalyst.

$ONDS just completed the Rotron acquisition.

Long-range autonomous strike platforms. Advanced aero-engines. UK Ministry of Defence relationships.

This gives them a UK industrial base for NATO programs — localized development and production across allied markets.

9 days before earnings. Catalyst after catalyst after catalyst.

Rotron outlook will be discussed on the March 25 call.

$ONDS

Ondas has completed the acquisition of Rotron Aerospace, adding advanced propulsion technologies and long-range unmanned aircraft platforms to its autonomous systems portfolio. The transaction strengthens Ondas’ engineering capabilities and expands its presence within the UK and


Summary: Bullish TE: low-volume drift signals weak sellers; expects close above $8.50 to trigger break above $9 tomorrow.

$TE drifting on lower volume. Great sign, the sellers are struggling.

Would really love a close above $8.50.

If so, we’ll finally break $9 tomorrow. https://t.co/PQNVCG7vil


Summary: Quotes bullish Metaplanet thesis (leveraged yen-short/BTC-long play, expects a cracking year) and tags the OTC ticker, implicitly endorsing it.

Metaplanet is up +18.52% in Tokyo right now.

It has not traded at ¥480 since the 31st of October.

Metaplanet is essentially a leveraged expression of the Japanese carry trade.

Short the Yen, long Bitcoin.

I'm extremely bullish and expect the stock to have a cracking year. https://t.co/sJ8BsecDXr


Summary: Bullish AMPX: 27% drop on EPS miss misreads a one-time transition cost; $500M defense awards, expanding DIU contract, and raised guidance make the dip a buying opportunity.

$AMPX just reported 153% revenue growth and raised guidance.

the stock dropped 27%.

the market focused on an EPS miss. it missed why the miss happened - $3M in legacy overhead applied against $618K of remaining old-platform revenue. a one-time transition cost that disappears next quarter.

meanwhile: $500M in new defense awards disclosed. DIU contract expanded for the third time. the only NDAA-compliant 500 Wh/kg battery on the market.

I wrote the full breakdown. link below.

$AMPX


Bitcoin is the greatest capital asset ever created. If you still don't buy $BTC, you will soon.

Summary: Strongly bullish BTC: greatest capital asset ever, capped supply, energy currency; all objections dismissed, price will keep rising.

BTW if you’re an investor and you don’t like bitcoin.

What else do you save in?

Bitcoin is the greatest capital asset ever created.

Volatility? Typical with an infant asset.

Quantum? You’ve got more important worries.

No value? Capped supply, the energy currency.

If you still don’t buy $BTC, you will soon.

Everyone gets bitcoin at the price they deserve🧡👊


Summary: Bullish ONDS: 8 acquisitions building a full-stack autonomous defense platform; earnings in one week.

8 acquisitions since October.

$ONDS isn't building a drone company.  They're assembling a full-stack autonomous defense platform - air, ground, counter-UAS, ISR, AI, and prime contractor access - one acquisition at a time.

Earnings is now one week away. I'll be dropping a complete breakdown and analysis of $ONDS recent M&A activity in a few hours.

Bookmark and turn on notifications to be ready!


Nebius ( $NBIS) presents a high-conviction asymmetric opportunity for investors with: Long time horizons (18-36 months)... Final assessment: Nebius exhibits classic option-like payoff structure - capped downside (~$50-60/share or -30% to -40%) vs. explosive upside ($150-250/share or +80% to +200%)

Summary: High-conviction long NBIS with 18-36 month horizon; 3:1-5:1 risk-reward, $150-250 upside target vs ~$50-60 downside floor on AI infrastructure thesis.

My Conclusion from the thesis below:

Nebius ( $NBIS) presents a high-conviction asymmetric opportunity for investors with:

Long time horizons (18-36 months)

High risk tolerance (comfortable with 20-40% volatility)

Conviction in AI infrastructure TAM (belief that AI compute demand sustains)

Trust in management execution (Yandex pedigree, recent deal velocity)

Why the asymmetry exists:

Structural supply-demand imbalance in AI compute creates tailwinds through 2027

Valuation dislocation vs. peers (3.3x vs. 10x for CoreWeave)

$20+ billion hyperscaler backlog provides revenue visibility

Physical asset base + cash position limits absolute downside

Why it's not a sure thing:

Execution risk on unprecedented infrastructure scaling (18-month 10-20x revenue growth)

AI CapEx slowdown projections for 2026-2027

Customer concentration with 2 hyperscalers

Dilution risk from $5B CapEx financing needs

Competition from better-capitalized hyperscalers and neoclouds

Final assessment: Nebius exhibits classic option-like payoff structure - capped downside (~$50-60/share or -30% to -40%) vs. explosive upside ($150-250/share or +80% to +200%) if execution delivers.

The 3:1 to 5:1 risk-reward ratio justifies position sizing as a growth allocation within diversified portfolios, not a core holding.

The Q4 2025 earnings (February 12, 2026) and subsequent 2026 capacity ramp will be critical inflection points to validate or invalidate the thesis. Monitoring ARR progression, capacity deployment milestones, and financing terms will determine whether the asymmetry materializes or collapses.

THE ULTIMATE NEBIUS ( $NBIS ) INVESTMENT THESIS

Why I believe $NBIS is a highly asymmetric AI infrastructure bet:

1. Multi‑billion, long-term AI deals locked in
2. Massive revenue ramp potential
3. Structural AI compute shortage means every MW of capacity is getting absorbed at https://t.co/sRAyYCTcI5


Summary: Staying long NBIS; thesis of $7-9B ARR by end-2026 intact despite revenue miss, demand side not the concern.

$NBIS Q4 numbers are in - and it's complicated.

Revenue: $227M vs $242M estimate - MISS

Before you panic: remember what happened last quarter.

Nebius "missed" revenue estimates while being COMPLETELY SOLD OUT.

Analysts still don't know how to model this business.

What I'm watching from the conference call:
- 2026 revenue guidance (first time they're giving this)
- Capacity update: are they still on track for 800MW-1GW connected by YE2026?
- Microsoft/Meta revenue ramp pace
- Capex guidance (analysts expect $10.6B for 2026)

The demand side is NOT the question.

Goldman says US data centre demand will exceed supply by 90%.

The question is execution speed.

I'm not changing my thesis based on one quarter. The thesis is $7-9B ARR by end of 2026. Today's call will tell us if that's still on track.

$NBIS holders - conference call at 8AM ET. That's where the real information is. 👇


Summary: Bullish on INFQ.

@CoffeeStocksGuy I read this twice and still don’t know which ticker to buy


Summary: New conviction ranking: long VELO (SpaceX supply chain), BE (AI data centre fuel cells), COPX (copper demand), LUNR (lunar economy), SWC (BTC at discount via UK micro-cap).

5 stocks nobody in my feed is talking about.  My new conviction ranking - April 2026:

🚀 1. $VELO — Velo3D prints 5 structural parts inside every SpaceX Raptor engine. Already working on Raptor 4. This is the hidden supply chain play on the SpaceX IPO. Full thesis tomorrow.
⚡ 2. $BE — Bloom Energy. $7.65B in AI data centre deals closed in 90 days. Doubling manufacturing to 2GW by end of year. The grid can't keep up. Fuel cells can.
💡3. $COPX — Copper miners ETF. Down ~23% from its highs on Iran disruption. But AI data centres run on copper. Every server rack. Every power cable. The demand case hasn't changed.
🌕 4. $LUNR — Artemis II is in the sky right now. Intuitive Machines is tracking it. $180M NASA contract just landed in March. The lunar economy is no longer theoretical.
 ₿ 5. $SWC — UK micro-cap most Americans haven't found. Trading at 0.75x mNAV — you're buying Bitcoin at a 25% discount. Largest corporate BTC holder in the UK.

None of these are in most portfolios yet.  That's usually when the best returns happen.

Bookmark these for later 🗒


Bloom Energy. $7.65B in AI data centre deals closed in 90 days. Doubling manufacturing to 2GW by end of year. The grid can't keep up. Fuel cells can.


Intuitive Machines is tracking it. $180M NASA contract just landed in March. The lunar economy is no longer theoretical.


Summary: Long OUST as the key play on physical AI / AI understanding physics.

“The next frontier of AI is physical AI. AI is now beginning to understand the laws of physics.”
- Jensen Huang, CEO of $NVDA

$OUST is building the intelligence layer. Position accordingly. https://t.co/X6G6raevUZ


BUY if: You believe AI data centers will drive U.S. solar demand... For 12-24 month holders: Risk/reward is 4:1 in your favor. Current price ($8.82) = maximum fear from macro selloff. Fundamentals improving, catalysts near-term, downside protected by $860M+ in hard assets.

Summary: Long T1 Energy ($TE) with 12-24 month horizon; 4:1 risk/reward, $12-18 base target, $22-25 bull case on G2_Austin cell factory ramp and Section 45X tax credit stacking.

🔬 T1 ENERGY ( $TE ) - DEEP RESEARCH REPORT

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Quick Answer: T1 Energy ($TE) displays strong asymmetric bet characteristics with a 4:1 risk/reward ratio.

Current Price: $8.82 | 12-Month Target: $12-18 | Bear Case: $5-6 | Bull Case: $22-25

1. 💰 THE BUSINESS MODEL

How They Make Money (Plain English)
T1 Energy manufactures solar panels in Texas. They take silicon, glass, and aluminum and assemble them into the panels that power homes, businesses, and data centers.

Two Revenue Streams:

A. Solar Panel Sales (~$200-210M/quarter)

G1_Dallas: 5 GW module factory (operational, 1,000+ employees)

Customers: Utility developers, data centers (e.g., Treaty Oak: 900 MW, 3-year contract)

Premium Pricing: "Buy American" mandates + >60% U.S. content = 10-20% price premium over Chinese imports

B. Section 45X Tax Credits ($160M sold Dec 2025, $300-500M/year potential)
This is the hidden gem most investors miss:

Federal government pays $0.07-0.12 per watt for U.S.-manufactured solar components

T1 sold its first $160M of credits at $0.91 per dollar (91 cents cash per $1 credit)

No dilution, no debt - pure cash flow for funding growth
Once G2_Austin (cell factory) opens Q4 2026, T1 can "stack" credits from cells AND modules → potentially doubles tax credit revenue

2. 🏭 THE INDUSTRY & MOAT

The Market

80% of new U.S. electricity in 2024 = solar + batteries

U.S. solar demand: 30-40 GW/year (growing due to AI data centers, electrification)

Problem: U.S. has module capacity but almost zero cell manufacturing (<3 GW total)

T1's Unique Moat (What Others Can't Copy)

1. Only Integrated U.S. Cell + Module Manufacturer

G2_Austin (under construction): $400-425M, 2.1 GW TOPCon cell fab
Opens Q4 2026 - will be larger than all existing U.S. cell capacity combined
Allows "stacking" Section 45X credits = 2x tax revenue vs. competitors

2. 100% Domestic Supply Chain

Polysilicon/Wafers: Hemlock Semiconductor & Corning (Michigan)
Frames: NEXTPower (U.S.)
Result: >60% domestic content (highest in industry) → federal contracts + premium pricing

3. FEOC Compliance

Restructured ownership to eliminate "Foreign Entity of Concern" status (Dec 2025)

Ensures access to Section 45X credits through 2032

Chinese-backed competitors cannot access these credits

4. First-Mover Advantage

By opening G2_Austin first, T1 locks in supply deals (Treaty Oak 900 MW) before competitors build cell capacity

3. 🚀 THE CATALYSTS

Recent Wins (Dec 2025 - Feb 2026)

✅ $160M Tax Credit Sale (Dec 30, 2025): Validated business model, +5.3% stock pop
✅ G2_Austin Construction Begins (Dec 17, 2025): $425M investment, 1,800 jobs
✅ Treaty Oak 900 MW Contract (Dec 22, 2025): 3-year revenue visibility
✅ FEOC Compliance (Dec 30, 2025): De-risked Section 45X eligibility through 2032

Upcoming Catalysts (Next 12 Months)

Q1 2026 (NOW):

Q4 2025 Earnings (late Feb): Expected $200-250M revenue, 2026 guidance on tax credit sales

Q2-Q3 2026:

G2_Austin equipment installation: Progress updates = stock drivers
Additional supply contracts: More Treaty Oak-style deals
AI/Data center partnership: Microsoft/Amazon/Google need Texas solar
Q4 2026 (THE BIG ONE):
First cells produced at G2_Austin
First "stacked" tax credit sale (cells + modules = 2x revenue)

Stock re-rating: Expected +30-50% on this news alone

Policy Tailwinds

Trump "Buy American" mandates: Prioritizes domestic solar for federal projects

30%+ tariffs on Chinese imports: Makes T1 price-competitive

AI data center boom: Microsoft, Google, Amazon building gigawatt-scale Texas facilities

4. ⚖ THE ASYMMETRY CHECK

YES - This is an Asymmetric Bet (Score: 8/10)

Downside Case: $5.00-$6.00 (-32% to -43%)

What would have to go wrong:

G2_Austin delayed beyond Q4 2026 or cost overruns

Section 45X repealed (unlikely - bipartisan support)

Solar demand crash (recession)

Floor Valuation (Asset Value):

G1_Dallas facility: $400-500M

G2_Austin (under construction): $300M

Cash from tax credits: $160M

Total: $860M-1.06B = $4.50-$5.50/share

Upside Case: $18-$25 (+100% to +180%)

What needs to go right:

G2_Austin opens on time (Q4 2026)

Tax credit "stacking" validated (2027)

Major partnership with Big Tech (Microsoft/Amazon)

Profitability inflection (2027)

Bull Valuation (2027):

Revenue: $1.2-1.5B (G1 + G2 full capacity + tax credits)

EV/Sales: 1.5x (industry standard for profitable solar)

Market Cap: $2.3-2.75B = $12-14/share

Extreme Bull (2028+):

Phase 2 G2_Austin: 5.3 GW (doubles capacity)

Revenue: $2.5-3.0B

Market Cap: $3.75-6.0B = $20-30/share

Asymmetry Ratio: 4.1:1 (Upside vs. Downside)

🎯 WHY THE ASYMMETRY EXISTS

Market Misunderstanding: Most investors still think "FREYR Battery = failed battery company." The Dec 2024 solar pivot is under-appreciated.

Tax Credit Confusion: Section 45X is complex; retail investors don't understand the $300-500M/year cash flow potential.

Execution Risk Premium: Market prices 40-50% probability of G2_Austin failure. If T1 executes on time, violent re-rating occurs.

Small-Cap Discount: Only 3-4 analysts cover TE (vs. 20+ for First Solar). As company scales, institutional buying will surge.

Macro Overhang: Feb 2-3 selloff (Warsh Fed, metals crash) hit TE -11.7% despite zero company-specific bad news. Technical dislocation = opportunity.

✅ FINAL VERDICT

BUY if:
You believe AI data centers will drive U.S. solar demand
You trust management to execute G2_Austin on time
You have 12-24 month horizon

Comparable Setups:

Tesla (2019): $40 → $400+ after Model 3 ramp

First Solar (2016): $30 → $200+ after utility pivot

T1 Energy (2026): $8.82 → $18-25 if G2_Austin succeeds

Current price ($8.82) = maximum fear from macro selloff. Fundamentals improving, catalysts near-term, downside protected by $860M+ in hard assets.

For 12-24 month holders: Risk/reward is 4:1 in your favor. 🚀


Summary: Bullish TE to $10 end of week.

Feeling bottlenecked? Unsure if you'll be able to get that gas turbine you told investor to expect? Consider solar+storage. It's reliable, scalable ... and you don't have to wait until the 2030s to take receipt. We've got capacity. https://t.co/J9l4jhFplQ


The Fear & Greed Index has only been below 10 three times in history. Each time, Bitcoin was higher 12 months later. This is what accumulation looks like.

Summary: Long BTC: extreme fear (index=5) historically precedes higher prices 12 months out; author holds BTC and frames current dip as accumulation opportunity.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index just hit 5.

Not 25. Not 15. Five.

The last time it was this low?

November 2022. FTX had just collapsed.

$BTC touched $60,000 overnight. Down 50% from the October high. $1.2 trillion in value erased since the peak.

Here's what's actually happening beneath the surface:

1. ETF investors are underwater. Citi estimates the average entry price at ~$81,600.

Panic selling has pulled $1.8B out of spot ETFs this year, $545M in a single day.

2. Whales dumped 81,000 BTC during the crash while spot volume dropped to its lowest since November 2023.

Thin liquidity + forced selling = cascading moves.

3.  $2B+ in leveraged positions liquidated this week. $2.1B in options expire today.

4. Strategy ( $MSTR) just reported a $12.4 BILLION loss.

They hold 713,502 BTC at an average cost of ~$76K. At $65K, that's $7.8B underwater. The stock is down 67% from its high.

The "digital gold" thesis is being stress-tested in real time.

$BTC is down 35% since February 2025.

Gold is up 70% over the same period.

Treasury Secretary Bessent told Congress the Treasury has "no authority to stabilize crypto markets."

The bears will tell you this is the beginning of the end.

I don't think so.

The Fear & Greed Index has only been below 10 three times in history. Each time, Bitcoin was higher 12 months later.

But the next few weeks will separate conviction from cope. Key support at $58-60K (200-day MA).

This is what accumulation looks like. It just doesn't feel like it yet.

Not financial advice. I hold $BTC.

Entertainment/educational purposes only.


Summary: Bullish OUST: REV8 sensor integrates colour in silicon, validated by NVIDIA and NASA, positioned as foundational data layer for physical AI.

I just published a deep dive on $OUST’s new REV8 sensor.
Three questions I answer that nobody else is asking:

→ Why can’t a self-driving car just use LiDAR alone? It can’t read a traffic light. It can’t tell a stop sign from a billboard. Geometry without colour is blind to meaning.

→ Why is REV8 different from every previous attempt at colour LiDAR? Because the colour lives in the silicon — not in software stitching two sensors together. Zero lag. Zero misalignment. One sensor doing the job of two.

→ Why did $NVDA and NASA both validate this within 9 days of launch? NVIDIA needs it to cut world model training costs at scale. NASA needs it because the lunar south pole has no room for sensor fusion errors at 1.3 seconds communication lag.

This is not a hardware upgrade.
It is the colour data layer for the physical AI era.

Full report below 👇
$OUST


Summary: FLY profoundly mispriced as cognitive/Space Force layer vs RKLB's hardware layer; both are longs at different valuations.

I said the market was framing $FLY wrong.

Here's the full breakdown.

$RKLB = launch + platform layer + defence. Hardware. 55x revenue.
$FLY = cognitive layer. Missile warning. Space Force backbone. 6x revenue.

These aren't competitors. They're different layers of the same stack.

The mispricing is profound. Full article 👇


$RKLB = launch + platform layer + defence. Hardware. 55x revenue.


The market is mispricing the most important company in the world and it's partners

Summary: Market mispricing NVDA (forward P/E near 4-year low after revenue doubling) and its partners OUST, ARBE, IREN.

$NVDA just DOUBLED revenue in 5 quarters.

The forward P/E is near a 4-year low.

The market is mispricing the most important company in the world and it’s partners.

$NVDA $OUST $ARBE $IREN https://t.co/m94HiMwZM5


Summary: Bullish RKLB at $69; Neutron delay is overblown — $600M+ business growing 38% YoY with $1.85B backlog is significantly stronger than November levels.

$RKLB just reported.

✅ Record Q4 revenue: $180M (beat)
✅ Full year: $602M (+38% YoY)
✅ Backlog: $1.85B (+73% YoY)
✅ Q1 guide: $185-200M (massive)
✅ $816M SDA prime contract secured
❌ Neutron delayed to Q4 2026 (tank test failure)
❌ GAAP margin guide steps back to 34-36%

The market is punishing the Neutron delay. I think that's an opportunity.

Here's the bull case:
$602M revenue growing 38% YoY, backlog that de-risks 2+ years of growth, 21 launches at 100% success rate, and they just acquired Precision Components TODAY.

Neutron matters... but Electron + Space Systems is already a $600M+ business growing at 38%.

At $69, RKLB is trading at the same price it was in November. The business is significantly better.


Summary: Bullish RKLB into earnings on 50%+ EPS growth potential, TE on Treasury-backed 45X tax credits, and OSS on record Navy contract.

This might be the biggest week for small-cap space and defense stocks in 2026.  Here's what's coming:

📅 Wednesday — My full $RKLB pre-earnings analysis drops
📅 Thursday — $RKLB Q4/FY2025 earnings after close 📅 Thursday — $TE earnings after close
📅 Any day — HASTE "Cassowary Vex" hypersonic mission launch

$RKLB is down 29% from ATH heading into earnings that could show 50%+ EPS growth.

$TE has Treasury guidance supporting their 45X tax credits after Culper tried to kill the thesis.

And $OSS just landed their biggest Navy contract ever while nobody was watching.

I've been building this watchlist for months. This is the week it gets tested.

Follow along — it's going to be volatile. ⚡


$TE has Treasury guidance supporting their 45X tax credits after Culper tried to kill the thesis


$OSS just landed their biggest Navy contract ever while nobody was watching


Nobody is mapping $VELO… Most don't have $VELO on their list yet. Full thesis drops today.

Summary: Bullish VELO as an underfollowed SpaceX supply-chain play that Wall Street will be forced to map once the SpaceX IPO S-1 drops; going-concern risk noted but forward lean is long.

Nobody is mapping $VELO.
Here's what Velo3D actually is:

⚙ PRINTER — Sapphire XC. 8 lasers. Prints metal parts no other machine can make.
🔬 PROCESS — SupportFree printing. Zero-degree overhangs. Impossible geometries, solved.
🧱 MATERIAL — GRCop-42 superalloy. The only material that survives inside a rocket combustion chamber.
🚀 CUSTOMER — SpaceX. 5 structural parts inside every Raptor engine. Already on Raptor 4.
📄 CONTRACT — $8M IP license. SpaceX included a bankruptcy clause to keep access if $VELO goes under.
🏭 SCALE — 500 Raptor engines/year targeted. That's 2,500 mission-critical components. One supplier.
🛡 DEFENSE — 56% of revenue. $32.6M Project FORGE contract. First AM vendor qualified by the US Army.
📈 PIVOT — Rapid Production Solutions. Record $31M backlog. Guided $60-70M for 2026.
⚠ RISK — Going concern warning. $500M shelf filed Friday. This is not a clean long.

The SpaceX IPO S-1 forces every Wall Street analyst to map the supply chain.

Most don't have $VELO on their list yet.

Full thesis drops today. Bookmark this tweet.🧵


$ONDS 🟢 HIGH CONVICTION → $959M raise at premium. Rotron acquisition. Blue List. Asia-Pacific contract. Analyst PT: $19.

Summary: Long ONDS, RKLB, and NBIS with high conviction heading into a major earnings week; adding NBIS on dips.

SUNDAY PORTFOLIO UPDATE ☕📊

Here's exactly where I stand heading into a massive week:

$ONDS 🟢 HIGH CONVICTION
→ $959M raise at premium. Rotron acquisition. Blue List. Asia-Pacific contract.
→ Full thesis on my profile. Analyst PT: $19.

$RKLB 🟢 HIGH CONVICTION
→ Earnings Feb 26. This is the week. Electron launch cadence accelerating.
→ If they guide strong, this reprices fast.

$NBIS 🟢 HIGH CONVICTION
→ ARR beat by 14% last quarter. AI infra demand isn't slowing.
→ Adding on any dip.

$PL 🟡 WATCHING
→ Satellite data demand thesis intact. Waiting for next catalyst.

$TE 🔴 REDUCED
→ You know my concerns. CAO departure + selling pattern.
→ Still holding a large position. Feb 26 earnings is decision day.

5 positions. Conviction is key.

This is what real portfolio management looks like - not all-in on one ticker.

Which position do you want me to go deeper on this week? 👇


$RKLB 🟢 HIGH CONVICTION → Earnings Feb 26. This is the week. Electron launch cadence accelerating. If they guide strong, this reprices fast.


$NBIS 🟢 HIGH CONVICTION → ARR beat by 14% last quarter. AI infra demand isn't slowing. Adding on any dip.


Summary: Bullish ONDS: multiple contract wins and raised revenue guidance vs 40% stock decline seen as unsustainable disconnect.

$ONDS in the last 30 days:

✅ $30M+ Israel demining contract
✅ Asia-Pacific defense contract
✅ UK drone maker acquisition (Rotron)
✅ 2026 revenue target raised 25% to $170-180M
✅ $1.5B pro-forma cash

Stock price? Down 40% from highs.

The disconnect won't last. https://t.co/D4wnr0j6Fs


Summary: Decisive bullish endorsement of TE following strategic solar partnership announcement.

@moninvestor Constantly delivering. Love $TE

$TE +7.25% PM.

T1 Energy announced a strategic partnership with Treaty Oak Clean Energy that includes a three-year supply agreement for at least 900 MW of U.S.-made solar modules.

“The U.S. solar market is moving toward domestically produced solar and momentum is growing for https://t.co/bG0XUc2LDC


Summary: Author discloses a new long position of 200 shares at $7.27.

I have officially joined the $TE clan.

200 shares purchased at $7.27.

LETS GO!!! https://t.co/sUqlLvFmly


Summary: Bullish TE with a $20 minimum price target; urges holders not to sell to institutions trying to shake them out.

DO YOU SEE IT?!?!

The institutions are desperate for you to sell your shares to them.

They know $TE is a $20 minimum stock.

Don't let them flush you. https://t.co/7s1GjXz1Mb


Summary: Highest-conviction long ONDS ahead of Q4 earnings; $170-180M 2026 guide seen as conservative given unmodeled acquisitions.

What happens when a $7M revenue company raises $1.5B, acquires 8 defense companies in 5 months, and merges with a US prime contractor sitting on $1B+ in DoD contracts?

We find out Wednesday.

$ONDS reports final Q4 earnings at 8:30 AM ET. Preliminary numbers already beat guidance - $29-30M for Q4, ~$50M full year.

But the revenue number isn't the story. The story is what they built:
→ Sentrycs: Cyber counter-drone (just deployed at Davos WEF)
→ Mistral: $1B+ DoD prime contractor access
→ BIRD: Airborne missile protection + ISR
→ Rotron: Long-range autonomous propulsion
→ INDO: $140M military engineering tender
→ ONBERG: European drone defense JV with Heidelberg
→ Roboteam: Ground robotics
→ 4M Defense: Mine clearance systems

2026 revenue guide: $170-180M. Set before Mistral, BIRD, Rotron, and INDO were acquired.

Five questions I need answers to on Wednesday:
① When does Mistral's contract backlog start converting to Ondas revenue?
② How are recent acquisitions additive to the $170-180M guide?
③ What's the gross margin trajectory as revenue scales?
④ Cash deployment: what's left of the $1.5B and what's earmarked?
⑤ How fast can ONBERG generate European orders?

My highest conviction position. Full breakdown after the call.  $ONDS


Summary: Long SK Square: NAV discount to SK Hynix stake still ~33% and buyback running; re-rating not complete despite 198% YTD gain.

SK Square KOSPI 402340; holding company with SK Hynix stake

SK Square has crossed ₩1,000,000 per share.

In Korea, that's called an "emperor stock." Only a handful of companies ever reach it.

The stock is up 198% this year. It now ranks #3 on the entire KOSPI by market cap - behind only Samsung and SK Hynix.

Most Western investors still can't name it.

The NAV discount to its SK Hynix stake is still ~33%. The shareholder return programme is still running.

The re-rating isn't finished.


Summary: Long INFQ: sensing division underappreciated by market, with contracted NASA revenue, live hardware role, and defence/EO applications further along than priced in.

$INFQ announced the launch of America's Quantum Space Initiative. This shows diversity from basic quantum and that the sensing vertical is a different business entirely - and it's further along than the market realises.

Infleqtion is the hardware partner on NASA JPL's Quantum Gravity Gradiometer Pathfinder (QGGPf) - the first standalone quantum gravity sensor planned for low Earth orbit.

$20M+ in contracted funding. 2030 launch target. Dedicated LEO satellite.

This measures tiny differences in Earth's gravitational field, from orbit. It provides real time groundwater movement, ice loss, subsurface geology, petroleum deposits coverage. Potential sensitivity is 10x over classical mechanical gradiometers.

This is crucial for the technology because microgravity allows longer atom interaction times. Longer interaction times = higher measurement precision.

It cannot be replicated on the ground at the same performance level.

Monarch Quantum - one of the four founding members of the new Quantum Space Initiative - is already under contract supplying photonics subsystems directly to Infleqtion for the QGGPf instrument.

The sensing division has contracted government revenue, a $NASA mission with a live hardware role, and applications in defence navigation, Earth observation, and resource mapping.

$INFQ $VOYG


Summary: Bullish Filtronic (FTC.L): largest-ever SpaceX contract validates GaN E-band tech, V-band/Ka-band catalysts expand addressable market, and diversified order book covers 90% of FY2026 revenue.

WOW - just realised my $FTC $FTC.L filtronic piece from April was ready by almost one million people!

Updating the thesis today with a number of new developments, such as:

1. Largest-ever $SPCX contract ($62.5m / £47.3m) is the first deployment of next-gen proprietary GaN E-band tech - delivery starts FY2027, validating technical leadership and providing a multi-year demand floor with revenue visibility rare for a small-cap.
2. V-band amplifiers launching FY2026 open MEO and GEO for the first time, plus a 550W Ka-band SSPA backed by a £1.2m UK Space Agency award - concrete near-term catalysts that extend the addressable market well beyond Starlink ground stations.
3. Rapid customer diversification (€7.0m European aerospace LEO, £13.4m + £11.0m follow-on European defence prime, $8.0m US satcom) - actively de-risks the concentration thesis while record order book holds 90% FY2026 revenue cover.

and many more... lots to cover. Bookmark to come back to later.

$FTC $FTC.L $SPCX


Summary: Four public companies (RKLB, LUNR, ASTS, PL) are plays on the $93B Artemis procurement pipeline as the Moon becomes infrastructure.

In a few hours, four astronauts will leave Earth's orbit for the first time since 1972.

Artemis II isn't just a space mission.  It's a $93 billion procurement pipeline.

The companies building this ecosystem are already public:
$RKLB - Builds satellite buses + operates launch infrastructure
$LUNR - Contracted to deliver payloads to the lunar surface
$ASTS - Testing direct-to-phone satellite comms that Artemis-era networks need
$PL - Earth observation data that feeds mission planning

The Artemis program exists because governments decided the Moon is infrastructure, not exploration.

That changes the entire investment thesis.


$LUNR - Contracted to deliver payloads to the lunar surface


$ASTS - Testing direct-to-phone satellite comms that Artemis-era networks need


$PL - Earth observation data that feeds mission planning


I don't know what's happening inside T1 Energy. Neither do you. And that's the problem... Silence isn't neutral. It's a choice.

Summary: Former $TE bull now bearish-leaning: DOJ subpoenas, SEC request, unexplained CAO termination, and no confirmed earnings date undermine trust in management.

Six weeks ago I posted this about $TE.

I said I needed three things from the Feb 26 earnings call:
1. A clear explanation of the CAO termination
2. Confirmation that accounting processes remain intact
3. G2_Austin construction timeline holding firm

I was one of the biggest $TE bulls on this platform. I got destroyed in the replies for asking those questions.

Here's what happened since:  Feb 26 came and went. No earnings call.  It's now mid-March. Still no confirmed earnings date.

Go check for yourself.

Every financial site shows a DIFFERENT estimated date - https://t.co/BktMFP4u6N said Feb 26. TradingView said Mar 11. CNBC estimated Mar 16. TipRanks now says May 13.  Nobody knows.

Because the company hasn't told anyone.

This is a $2 BILLION company building a $400M+ solar fab, navigating DOJ subpoenas, an SEC information request, an active short report from Culper Research, and an unexplained CAO termination — and they can't confirm when they're reporting earnings?

I don't know what's happening inside T1 Energy. Neither do you. And that's the problem.  The thesis hasn't changed. The technology is real. 45X eligibility looks intact. G2 Austin is under construction.

But I said it six weeks ago and I'll say it again:  In small-cap investing, trust is everything.

Management transparency has to match the ambition.

Silence isn't neutral. It's a choice.

$TE holders deserve answers. 👇

I'm one of the biggest $TE bulls on here.

But I'm not going to pretend the sudden termination of their Chief Accounting Officer doesn't raise questions.

Denise Cruz was terminated on Feb 5. Same day, they promoted the SEC reporting lead to replace her.

No transition period.


Summary: Highest-conviction 5-10 year multibaggers: OUST on early-stage robotics growth, MSTR on Bitcoin.

@RKLBMan $OUST - robotics is in its infancy stage.

$MSTR - Bitcoin.

What are your HIGHEST conviction stocks on a 5-10 year time horizon?

Like the stocks that you absolutely don't care what the price is today.  You KNOW it's going to be a multibagger years from now.  Coffee can stock.

For me, it's $RKLB (even with its current froth), $ASTS,


Summary: Long OUST: Amazon warrant vesting, NVDA DRIVE Hyperion qualification, 55% YoY revenue growth, and €10B Amazon robotics buildout position it as the leading Physical AI perception play.

This morning I posted on $OUST's $AMZN warrant whilst it was down 4%. Now it's up 9% today while the indexes are red.

Today $AMZN  committed €10B to expand and modernize its European fulfillment network, unveiling a next-gen Proteus robot built to operate across entire sites on conversational commands, alongside its Vulcan and STARK robotic systems.

Amazon holds a warrant in Ouster that vests only as Amazon buys Ouster's lidar. As of the last 10-Q it's 87.6% vested - 2,871,875 of 3,277,155 shares - with 142,890 vesting in Q1 alone. Amazon kept paying.

You'll see it claimed all over today that Proteus runs Ouster's lidar. That's reported, not confirmed - Amazon hasn't named a sensor supplier. What's confirmed is the money behind that 87.6%: the warrant vests against a $100M cumulative-spend cap, so Amazon has paid roughly $88M toward it. A €10B robotics buildout is the demand backdrop that spend runs on.

$OUST's Rev8 lidar is qualified for $NVDA's DRIVE Hyperion platform - Nvidia's reference stack for Level 4 autonomous vehicles - and integrated across Jetson.

Q1 product revenue grew 55% YoY. The $55M Stereolabs deal folds cameras and AI compute into one perception stack.

The market is starting to price Ouster as the U.S.-aligned perception layer for Physical AI - robotics, autonomy, defense - not just an automotive lidar name.

A 9% gain on a red day says positioning is rotating toward that read.
$OUST $AMZN $NVDA

$OUST is down another 4% pre-market. Time to go deeper and back to basics.

$AMZN holds a warrant in $OUST that only pays off if Amazon keeps buying Ouster's lidar. That's right, one of the biggest companies in the world has a direct interest in $OUST stock price.

As of the last https://t.co/rYp9TXi9cB


I've been mapping every acquisition, every contract, every capability layer they've added since October. I've posted the full breakdown for you to read before earning next week.

Summary: Bullish ONDS ahead of earnings: 2026 guidance of $170-180M is a 24x revenue increase set before four more acquisitions closed.

18 months ago, $ONDS did $7.2 million in revenue for the entire year.

Their 2026 guidance is $170-180 million.

That's a 24x increase. The guidance was set before their last four acquisitions closed.

I've been mapping every acquisition, every contract, every capability layer they've added since October.

I’ve posted the full breakdown for you to read before earning next week.


Summary: Favors CIFR as a stock pick.

@fantstockleague @Kaizen_Investor Big fan of $CIFR but I know @Kaizen_Investor has brought up $PL before so am very interested, I wish I listened a couple of weeks back!!!

@shabamlo @Kaizen_Investor What’s your fav!


Summary: AMZN's warrant stake aligns its incentives with OUST success, implying bullish outlook for both.

Not many people know also that $AMZN has a real economic incentive for the success of $OUST.

$AMZN holds a warrant to acquire up to 3,271,970 shares of Ouster. The warrant has an exercise price of $50.57.

What I’ve learned about @ousterlidar over the past five years is that they are low-profile engineers focused on R&D, rarely speaking out loud—despite a noticeable shift in character recently since StereoLabs and Rev8.

Thus, we need to read between the lines to see the real https://t.co/r8aVXYOVWV


Summary: Endorses bullish deep-research report on T1 Energy with 4:1 risk/reward and $12-25 upside targets.

$TE is the future of energy.

Give it a read if you haven't already.

🔬 T1 ENERGY ( $TE ) - DEEP RESEARCH REPORT

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Quick Answer: T1 Energy ($TE) displays strong asymmetric bet characteristics with a 4:1 risk/reward ratio.

Current Price: $8.82 | 12-Month Target: $12-18 | Bear Case: $5-6 | Bull Case: $22-25

1. 💰 THE BUSINESS https://t.co/KYVI7aN1jv


Summary: Bullish Samsung on a profitability catalyst; views potential Nasdaq listing of DS/fab unit as an additional positive for Western investors.

@Alisvolatprop12 Well that would be extra good for us Western investors! I've been looking at Samsung for a long time especially with its profitability catalyst.

당연히 삼전 DS(팹)은 나스닥으로 상장하겠지…


Summary: Long INFQ over IONQ: superior balance sheet, DoC selection, deployable neutral-atom tech, and no warrant liabilities justify a premium multiple vs IONQ's inflated cash/earnings.

I don't understand why $INFQ and $IONQ trade at the same forward P/S multiple.

Not because $INFQ is expensive but because $INFQ should trade at a premium. Whilst $IONQ generates $64.7M per quarter. $INFQ generates $9.5M. $IONQ has $470M in contract backlog. By every near-term financial metric, $IONQ is the stronger operating business.

But the multiple is a bet on trajectory, not the present. $INFQ carries $569M in cash, zero debt, and zero warrant liabilities. $IONQ's headline cash looks clean until you find the $1.4B in warrant liabilities sitting underneath it. IONQ's $753M Q4 net income was largely non-cash warrant revaluation - not operating profit.

Then there's the DoC selection. $2B distributed across nine quantum companies. $IONQ - the benchmark name most quantum investors hold - was the only major listed company excluded. $INFQ was selected. The government now holds equity.

INFQ's neutral-atom systems are already deployed in operational defense environments. IONQ's trapped-ion architecture requires ultra-high vacuum. It doesn't leave a controlled facility.

Equal multiples today. One of these companies has the architecture, the balance sheet, and the government on its cap table.

The quantum computing sector has $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS - and then $INFQ, which the market hasn't fully worked out yet.

$INFQ is the only publicly listed neutral-atom quantum company. Every peer uses trapped ions or superconducting circuits. Neutral atoms carry no charge. They https://t.co/EkCdTDZfe2


Summary: Long PL: defense intelligence platform with 33% rev growth, 361% RPO surge, $734M backlog, trading well below ATH.

$PL has two major investor presentations this week that nobody's watching:

1. TODAY: Barclays Industrial Select Conference (12:10 PM ET)
2. WEDNESDAY: Citi Global Industrial Tech Conference (11:20 AM ET)

Why this matters:

• Revenue +33% YoY
• RPO up 361% to $672M
• Backlog $734M (+216% YoY)
• New advisory boards: former NATO commanders, UK intelligence chiefs, Pentagon officials
• Stock at $22 vs ATH of $30.90

This isn't just an earth imaging company anymore. This is a defense intelligence platform.

$PL | Position: Long