I am adding starter position for $USAR, 2000 shares.

Summary: Author initiating long position in USA Rare Earth, buying 2000 shares.

industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'

USA RARE EARTH $USAR DIRECTOR MICHAEL BLITZER PURCHASES 100,000 SHARES AT $21.43 https://t.co/8zVj6W1ub1


Summary: Bought NBIS today, endorsing the concentrated long position.

structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker

industry='Internet Content & Information'

@daniel_koss i like it. i added some earlier today. let's go

Moved my last 10% cash into $NBIS today at $136 and have now reached degen levels of concentration again.

Nice!

77% $NBIS
8% Towa (6315)
8% $HIMS
7% $OUST

If you go back and read my portfolio update where I trimmed Nebius from 75% to 20% (at the exact top) I told you that https://t.co/cANrKKYIro


Summary: Bullish BE: avoids turbine bottleneck by refining/trucking fuel on-site; structural advantage over GEV/Mitsubishi/Siemens oligopoly.

$BE is a brilliant company once you understand the first principle of it.

> Turbine is 3-5 years from order to delivery.
> 3 companies own oligopoly on it. $GEV Mitsubishi, and Seimens. And all 3 say f** it, we're not adding a new factory.
> $BE refines fuel, truck them to location, removing the need for turbine.

Check!

$BE bloom energy is reacting very well to the news of all this CAPEX.


IREN's expertise in building and operating a fully integrated AI cloud, from data centers to GPU stack, combined with their secured power capacity makes them a strategic partner. - Microsoft

Summary: Shares IREN Q1 FY26 presentation highlighting Microsoft calling IREN a strategic partner in AI cloud infrastructure.

$IREN Q1 FY26 Presentation

“IREN’s expertise in building and operating a fully integrated AI cloud, from data centers to GPU stack, combined with their secured power capacity makes them a strategic partner.” - Microsoft https://t.co/calnrlcB40

---

Read original: https://t.co/rzcmmIDxkH


This is wonderful news. $INTC can definitely offer custom IPUs.

Summary: Bullish INTC on Google partnership; sees Intel as capable custom IPU provider.

INTEL $INTC AND GOOGLE $GOOGL PARTNERSHIP

Intel and Google just announced a multiyear collaboration to "advance the next generation of AI and cloud infrastructure" https://t.co/yyCnbUrE0W


Summary: Bearish BTDR: low quality, Singapore-based with doubt on US/EU customers, Ohio DC fire, and heavily dilutive $400M convertible at $3B MC.

I looked at $btdr a while back. Concluded it was super low quality.

Company based in Singapore. Doubt they can land big US/EU customers.  Their ohio DC just got fire yesterday. Today they announced $400m convertible $3b MC. WOW.

$BTDR I'm getting 13-14% dilution based on the terms reported from this $400M convertible.

Stock down 13.5% after-hours. https://t.co/m2TrgKxLtN


I do find it difficult to sell this position for another position with a better setup. we may well see $200 this year

Summary: Long HOOD to $200 in 2026 on prediction markets, derivatives exchange, international expansion, and wealth management catalysts; fintech sector broadly weak.

Robinhood 2026 analysis $HOOD

The fintech sector is getting crushed. Bitcoin (-39%) and Ethereum (-53%) are hitting back to 2024 election prices. $SOFI is down from $32 to $21.76 (32% down). $HOOD down from $153 to $87 (42% down).  It's safe to say the sentiment for fintech is all time low and the market is busy on the shiny new sectors like ai, power, memory, rare minerals.

With bad news out of the way, let's focus why $HOOD is worth holding for 2026. IMHO, the company is going through cyclical ups and downs and I think we're near the bottom. Vlad is still in control, and we have plenty of catalysts to make 2026 a memorable year. If you trimmed enough cash to make other plays, then it is good enough to hold this position longer. At this moment I do find it difficult to sell this position for another position with a better setup. In other words, many of the top names are overvalued and make the switch riskier.

- 2026 could be the year of prediction market. Deutsche/Mizuho are bullish on this. 2.6B events in December and we could see some growth throughout this year. Watch the January numbers as it comes in the earnings next week. Vlad teased that they have 11 line of business generating over $100m.  The risks of prediction market is the state gambling law - is it gambling? There has been pushback in some states and Supreme Court petition to decide federal vs state gambling law (est mid 2026).

- Future & Derivatives Exchange, This will be launched in Q1-Q2 2026 via LedgerX acquisition. This is an institution grade product which attract a lot volume. From my prior experience in this space, the license is difficult to get and they shortcut by acquiring LedgerX. This would be similar to Bakkt if you are familiar with it. Distribution remains the biggest challenge for this line of business as this was a problem for Bakkt as well.

- International expansion.  Canada (WonderFi), Indonesia UK/EU (via Bitstamp/Mica License). I think internationally Robinhood can be as appealing as Binance in the international market in the long term. I remember the 2nd part of Netflix growth was largely because of International. It's quite scalable once they figure out the right formula (rinse & repeat)

- Institutional Services & Wealth management - They acquired TradePMR to feed in the tech that wealth advisors use to manage their clients funds. This will be interesting to watch develop in 2026.

I generally do anticipate some difficult as a $100B company  as now they're in the big league, and they  have to grow new business line as the existing ones slow down. The company is making great strides in many direction. If all executed well, we may well see $200 this year. I will be watching Feb 10 earnings closely.


Summary: Long INTC with $700K position; sees it becoming a beast, with Elon praising Lip Bu Tan as a bullish signal for partnership prospects.

@amitisinvesting You should cover $INTC, it quietly becoming a beast. I have equivalent $700K position.

https://t.co/I4LhdLeVPR

---

@amitisinvesting $INTC is becoming likely partner esp after Elon praising Lip Bu Tan. This is a second signal.


As $tsla shareholders, we are xAI investors now.

Summary: Frames TSLA's $2B xAI preferred acquisition as a positive — TSLA shareholders now have xAI exposure.

$TSLA TO ACQUIRE $2B OF XAI PREFERRED STOCK https://t.co/UyLh5AeoHr


Summary: Very bullish INTC and TE Connectivity; feeling out Baer; bullish defense plays RKLB and KTOS.

@coinviction @moninvestor I'm very bullish on intc and te.  Of course i would like to own memory but missed rhe train but ready to csp when it makes sense for entry. Feeling out baer.  Bullish on defense like rklb and ktos

@DeepValueBagger @moninvestor DVB, what are your fave stocks at the moment? INTC, TE, HOOD what else?

I saw you were looking at $NET. I own some ; solid LT.


Summary: Selling HOOD on weak consumer spending; trimming IREN on competition risk.

@MikeQuinones_ Hood, im selling off. Consumer spending is not good.

Iren, trimming. Competition risk.

@DeepValueBagger Hey @DeepValueBagger, I completely agree with this. I think sticking with proved assets over the long run beats chasing random stocks going up.

Do you still think $NBIS, $IREN, $TSLA, $HOOD are still considered high quality?

I’m heavy into $NVDA and $PLTR too


Summary: Bearish EOSE (overhyped, too many battery players) and KRKNF (overvalued, over-promoted on social media).

@pludacris $INV i don't know much about but $EOSE is overhyped and there are way too many players in battery business. $KRKNF is all over X. overvalued imo

@DeepValueBagger Hard disagree, especially on $Inv. Almost no tweets about that day to day.


industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'


Summary: Shares HSBC upgrade of INTC to Buy with $95 PT on server CPU catalyst.

HSBC analyst Frank Lee Upgrades $INTC to a Buy from Hold; Price Target raised to $95 from $50; “Server CPU bigger catalyst than foundry”

"Upgrade to Buy, with a target price of $95, on the core business alone. We move to a P/E multiple-based valuation, but deploy a SOTP https://t.co/SPRZ4vODcJ


Summary: Bullish NBIS; endorses CEO's vision of Nebius becoming the fourth hyperscaler.

Nebius as the fourth hyperscaler.  Great goals from a great CEO.

$NBIS

$NBIS CEO Arkady Volozh has a vision… https://t.co/POU7El67m7


Summary: Bearish ServiceNow: distributed LLM-powered dev attack + open-source acceleration eroding its services.

@IraklisP2k @marshallswatt The problem is $now is being attacked distributedly.  Thousands of devs all around the world with access to LLM is doing their small part to replace services $now offer. Not to mention acceleration of open source, cleaner products.

@DeepValueBagger @marshallswatt The problem lies in having to spend money to replace $now and $CRM for a “vibe code” product


Summary: Holds live long positions in both VRT and COHR.

I own $VRT and $COHR and I barely have time to stay on top of all the names. I found out both of them were added to S&P500 3 weeks ago. 🤣🚀


Sure Apple is delisting 512GB due to shortage but it's also smart to force consumer to buy 2 machines instead of one. Higher margin. $aapl

Summary: Bullish AAPL: shortage-driven SKU removal doubles unit sales and boosts margins.

Mac Studio 512GB RAM Option Disappears Amid Global DRAM Shortage https://t.co/60WJhhHSDq https://t.co/xsp6NcxJsz


Summary: Bullish on Robinhood's credit card business reaching Amex-level quality if executed well.

If these cashback have low restrictions, I'm switching out of my sapphire reserve.  Can anyone confirm?

Btw if they really do this well, this business will be as great as amex.

The Robinhood Platinum card will have a $695 fee and will include

- 5% cash back and a annual $250 DoorDash and a $250 restaurant credit
- 5% cash back on travel and 10% on hotels
- Unlimited lounge access at 1.800 airports, plus global entry/TSA pre check
- Health memberships https://t.co/edOMbF5j1x


Summary: Bullish AAPL as a hardware beneficiary of the local LLM trend via M4 Max laptops running large models.

If you think local LLM is about privacy then you're missing the entire picture. I can point you to many tools like ollama, chatbox, and suite of dozens of tools out there tailored for local llm.

When I first tried llama model few months ago, these didn't even have access to Code Agent or Web Search tool, which are 2 essential tools LLM need to write short scripts to run calculations (you often see Perplexity show "python") and websearch tool to get live data.

Now, coupled with available tooling and much smarter model for agentic coding (multi-steps, reasoning, tool usage) - you have local LLM AI that can basically do the same thing you could do with cloud llm. I expect this trend to converge fast. I think it is faster than any other time because you have AI building AI. I have been in tech space for a long time, I have never seen like 20 variants solution chasing the top guy in a matter of weeks.

Then you have Apple $AAPL shipping M4 Max 128GB laptops that can literally run 35B-70B models (dep on quantization). Then you have Nvidia ARM based Spark computers (and via OEM mfg), and Ryzen AI Max+ 395 and rise of new companies building on top of them like Framework computer, GMKTec, BeeLink,  MinisForum, and Olares One.


Summary: Author added 1000 shares, confirming a live long position.

@Nubdub47s Great move. I bought 1000 more share.

@DeepValueBagger I went full retard and just bought more at the bottom when 80% of my account already rocketlab


Summary: Long MU as an alternative to NVDA given NVDA's $5T market cap constraint.

@WealthyBeaver_ One of my reasons to buy $mu.

I like $NVDA but the law of large numbers prevent me from buying $5 trillion MC is insane.


Summary: Bullish CRDO; quality verdict as one of the best growth names in photonics.

@babyfolio I have it too. Good photonic. One of the best in growth

If $CRDO holds 190 tomorrow, I will get assigned my CCs for 51% returns in 11 days(!!!)
Super happy with that.
Still bullish on the company.
What should I do with the cash?


Prediction market is growing fast. $hood

Summary: Bullish HOOD on fast-growing prediction markets business.

Looks like Prediction Markets are quite the hit at Robinhood.

$HOOD https://t.co/ScMfW9vwvF


Summary: Bullish RKLB as the better company; expects imminent price action to confirm as prices converge with a comparator.

For many of my followers, i had the strong opinion that $rklb was the better company.  The price action may confirm very soon as the prices converge. https://t.co/SUvBeYiIGA


Summary: Rocket Lab CEO implies Isaacman's NASA leadership is a positive catalyst for RKLB.

"Jared Isaacman is good for Rocket lab"
      - Peter Beck $RKLB


Summary: Holds NBIS as main AI datacenter bet over IREN; bullish on NBIS, regrets not fully rotating out of IREN.

As I have said, I am still bullish with AI Datacenter, but with $NBIS as my main bet. Today is one of those days i feel good about that decision.

This week $NBIS outperformed $IREN in a huge stretch.

I'm glad I sold more than 1/2 $IREN to $NBIS few weeks ago. My only regret I didn't do for all of it.  Here's why...

1. NBIS revenue growth much higher than IREN
2.NBIS execution is more visible/software/ https://t.co/wgnZUQKhPc


Summary: Bought LEAPS on NBIS ahead of anticipated GTC catalyst.

@Sandeman52 Gtc coming. Bought some leaps

Great call by the $NBIS team.  Starting to receive 100% upfront payments.  Everything is all systems go.  So good I had to sell more puts. (Yeah yeah should have done it yesterday I know). Sold 33 $90 strike  January 2027.  Made about $86k premium.  Not a bad day at the office. https://t.co/54C8i9LPhh


Summary: Six tickers identified as the strongest on the watchlist, implying bullish bias on all six.

Strongest top 6 on my watch list.

$TE $SNDK $SOFI $PLTR $EOSE $FLNC https://t.co/cYJnKnuhJr


Summary: Holds COHR over AAOI on photonics upside.

@CKCapitalxx I owned it for a bit then switched to $COHR.   Don't know much but 🚀 photonics

Thoughts on fullporting Inverse Citron Research? $AAOI https://t.co/xlZ2Czmg6a


Summary: Bullish IREN; expects it to return ~3x more than the alternative.

@WealthyBeaver_ @Sandeman52 Ive always own both. Iren probably 3x more

@DeepValueBagger @Sandeman52 Did you sell your $IREN for $NBIS?


Summary: Prefers FLNC and TE for battery exposure; cautious on EOSE due to execution risk and distant revenue targets.

@OInvests looked at multiple times - i  just didn't feel good at about it. $FLNC and $TE are my preferred play into batteries. $EOSE revenue guidance hinges a lot on execution and it's a long way to get there.

@DeepValueBagger I’m interested to hear your thoughts on $EOSE Poor Asset : Liability ratio and negative cash flow is off putting


$EOSE revenue guidance hinges a lot on execution and it's a long way to get there


Summary: Still holds IREN (reduced) and has larger position in NBIS.

@dezod80 yes, much reduced now, more on NBIS


Summary: Holds INTC; expects it to moon.

@RJCcapital @closenberger @RKGcapital Already hedged. My $intc will moon.

seems like an absolute lock. adding in the investment committee for their take: @closenberger @RKGcapital @DeepValueBagger https://t.co/26Zq1r2EAZ


ER looks great IMHO. New Oklahoma campus with 1.6GW secured. That's > 4.5GW. Construction is ongoing with enough financing to take on the entire Microsoft deal and bank on $9B. Again market reaction is ridiculous.

Summary: Still bullish IREN post-ER: 4.5GW+ capacity, Microsoft deal financing secured; trimmed 7% but market reaction seen as overdone.

$IREN ER looks great IMHO.

New Oklahoma campus with 1.6GW secured. That's > 4.5GW.  Construction is ongoing with enough financing to take on the entire Microsoft deal and bank on $9B.  I trimmed 7% @ 42.0. It's just going to take more time for them execute. Again market reaction is ridiculous.


Summary: Author holds $1M in INTC call options; endorses the bullish AI/Intel thesis.

I have $1m $intc calls but this guy has $678m calls (probably much higher since this report)

Leopold Aschenbrenner’s largest position in his $1.5B hedge fund is call options on Intel.

Who is he? A former OpenAI researcher with 23 years of experience, who graduated at just 19 as a valedictorian from Columbia University.

His reasoning:
AI will define the global world https://t.co/cGQeVYJuwE


Summary: Top 3 undervalued picks: META on margins/cash generation, MU on HBM/cycle bottom, AMD on clean balance sheet and AI accelerator upside.

Top 3 undervalued companies based on DAR platform.

🏆 #1 — META (Meta Platforms)
Best overall value proposition in mega-cap. Meta combines cheap across all three valuation measures with elite profitability (82% gross margin, 41% operating margin) and strong ROE. The AI capex cycle is the only concern, but they're generating cash to fund it internally.

🥈 #2 — MU (Micron Technology) — $402B
Strong P/FCF for a semiconductor company. HBM (high-bandwidth memory) exposure to AI. Memory is cyclical — buying near the bottom of the cycle, not the peak. Clean balance sheet, decent ROE.

🥉 #3 — AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) — $330B
Ultra-clean balance sheet (0.22x D/E). The AI story here is MI300 accelerators competing with NVIDIA, but it's early innings.

Disclosure: I have a small SEC dataset, may not representative of everything else.


Strong P/FCF for a semiconductor company. HBM exposure to AI. Memory is cyclical — buying near the bottom of the cycle, not the peak.


Ultra-clean balance sheet (0.22x D/E). The AI story here is MI300 accelerators competing with NVIDIA, but it's early innings.


Summary: DAR platform recommends buy on NBIS; author endorses the signal.

Most ideas, 9 out of 10, my deep autonomous research (DAR) platform shoots down. But it is recommending a buy for $NBIS. This must be a sign. https://t.co/5HqferswHW


Summary: Holding INTC LEAPS as only long-dated option position; bullish on low premium and good growth.

@placigyunv6567 $intc is my only leap now. Low premium. Good growth

@DeepValueBagger Always admired your ability to nail down leaps and see the position through 1+ years later.

If it’s on your radar, curious what SaaS names you’re leaping into. I have some ITMs in $MSFT and $NOW


Summary: All three sectors (Comms, Energy, Tech) expected to recover from over a month of underperformance.

XLC = SPDR S&P 500 Communications Services ETF

Communications energy and Technology sector have been underperforming for over a month. We will recover soon. https://t.co/rowlgoSXff


XLK = SPDR S&P 500 Technology sector ETF


Summary: NBIS capacity sell-out signals strong sector demand; especially bullish for IREN.

$NBIS sold out all of its capacity and had to say no to their customer.  This is super bullish for the entire sector demand especially for $IREN. 🚀

$NBIS Arkady (CEO) said: $META deal was "only" 3B, because they literally didn't have more capacity.

If they had more, they would've sold more and the deal would be bigger.


super bullish for the entire sector demand especially for $IREN 🚀


Summary: Bearish HIMS; claims it will go to zero.

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

🚨 BREAKING: CAPITAL GROUP SELLS 4 MILLION SHARES IN $HIMS

- Still owns 14 million shares (6.50% ownership)
- 4th largest owner
- Shares across multiple *actively-managed* funds
- One of the largest asset management firm in the world
- More than $3 trillion AUM 🤯 https://t.co/8CDafh7MUb


Summary: Long COHR on monopoly-like optics positioning; also likes AXTI.

@TheSpirit404 i like $cohr as an optic monopoly-like and $AXTI.

@DeepValueBagger Photonic/optics names looking strong for 2026, im personally long on $LITE and watching closely $COHR and $AXTI


i like $cohr as an optic monopoly-like and $AXTI

industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'


Summary: Bullish IREN reaction to earnings beat and $3.4B AI Cloud ARR target by end 2026.

$IREN Iris Energy Q1 FY26 Earnings Beat

• Revenue: $240.3M (+355% YoY)
• Net Income: $384.6M
• Targeting $3.4B AI Cloud ARR by end 2026 (OMG)

$IREN Iris Energy Q1 FY26 Earnings Beat

• Revenue: $240.3M (+355% YoY) 🟢
• Net Income: $384.6M
• Adj. EBITDA: $91.7M
• EBITDA: $662.7M (includes unrealized gains)
• Cash: $1.8B as of Oct 31 2025
• Announced $9.7B multi-year Microsoft contract
• Targeting $3.4B AI Cloud


Summary: Bullish BAER on monopoly-like aerial firefighting assets, upcoming profitability, and potential DoD defense rerating.

industry='Security & Protection Services'

@spacanpanman , I'm reading up about this company. Great founder story, expertise in aerial firefighting with some very exclusive, monopoly like purpose built aircraft assets. With the upcoming catalyst, we're expecting them to turn profit, and position themselves for DoD contracts, which could turn it into a defense company with very positive rerating. Its existing business is quite strong so it is quite asymmetric bet. Did i get that right?

$BAER: I think Bridger Aerospace has the potential to 2x-4x this coming year and 4x-6x by 2027.

Yesterday, CEO Sam Davis hinted at upcoming work for the DoD, which is NOT priced into the stock. This is on top of 2x new Super Scoopers coming online in 2026 which will make a huge https://t.co/PXz1xZJATx


Summary: Bullish HOOD; endorses Citizens' Outperform/$180 PT and calls for price recovery.

$HOOD | 𝐑𝐨𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐝: Citizens reiterates 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦, maintains 𝐏𝐓 𝐚𝐭 $𝟏𝟖𝟎

Analyst points to expense discipline, broadening revenue mix, and a clear roadmap supporting a return to strong growth in 2026 despite a modest revenue miss. https://t.co/8fpcsJSGdd


That is a big freakin' red flag. This is totally irresponsible to use convertible raise to do buy back. It's kryptonite.

Summary: Bearish CLSK: using convertible note proceeds to buy back shares is financially irresponsible and a major red flag.

> The Company $CLSK intends to use up to $400 million of the net proceeds from the offering to repurchase shares of the Company's common stock

That is a big freakin' red flag. For one, who are they buying from? The own executive team? at what price. Shady!

And if you buy back from the market, then you still have to pay a premium to the convertibles. This is like getting a new credit card to pay your old credit card debt. This is totally irresponsible to use convertible raise to do buy back. It's kryptonite.

---

The mechanics is this: They are raising Convertible which will be converted into shares in the future, then use those proceeds to buy back either from market or investors or insiders (the way it's worded, it's from "investors" which includes insiders). $CLSK


Summary: Still holding 9,000 HOOD shares despite trimming 2,000 in January; cautious on near-term cyclical headwinds ahead of Feb 10 earnings.

Here's the chart Vlad/ $hood doesn't want to show you.

Typically Robinhood publishes monthly metrics and they stopped in December only giving you the bottom of the report in a press release. I reproduced the chart with December data. They did not publish January monthly data either.  When I came back from my vacations, I was really busy hosting family and completely missed this signal. I managed to trim 2000 shares mid January at $110 and selling calls.

Indeed their business is cyclical, tied to the sentiment of the market ups and downs. As seen, Oct 2025 the market peaked where equity notional volume peaked, and Nov bear market crushed a lot people.  And it got worst in December. My guess is that January volume faired better like for all of our portfolios. Earnings is on Feb 10th (7 days from now) so we'll find out one way or another the real numbers.  We haven't seen the revenue from events contracts yet so that could help soften the revenue.

The lack of transparency from Dec report is frustrating. It's not a surprise when data looks bad, management will stop publishing them. I'll publish a separate analysis for this year prediction of the company. I still hold 9000 shares.

---

fyi @amitisinvesting


Summary: Bullish TSLA as a future top-tier AI chip maker, leveraging its edge AI chips in datacenters.

I would not be some surprise if $tsla is poised to become one of the largest ai chip maker in the future. The same edge ai chip can likely be used in datacenter as well.

Most people don’t know that Tesla has had an advanced AI chip and board engineering team for many years.

That team has already designed and deployed several million AI chips in our cars and data centers. These chips are what enable Tesla to be the leader in real-world AI.

The


Summary: Bullish NBIS on blowout earnings: $7-9B ARR guidance, sold-out capacity, 19% EBITDA margin, META as new hyperscaler customer.

$NBIS Earning Release (AMAZING!)

- $7-$9B ARR by end of 2026!
- 800MW to 1GW connected power
- 19% EBITDA margin
- won META as a new hyperscaler customer

$NBIS
HOLY MOTHER OF GOD

$7-$9B ARR by end of 2026!

BAM! I told you my $5B ARR is super conservative!!

- 800MW to 1GW connected power
- completely sold out (!!) told you aswell.
- 19% EBITDA margin
- won META as a new hyperscaler customer https://t.co/vplkf9Bcx4


Summary: Bullish NYT: gated subscriptions working, brand durable vs AI threat, earnings improving.

@AdityaInvests90 NYT actually making a lot money. I saw recent stats on gated subscription is working. Probably better over time as a brand vs ai

Warren Buffet just sold $AMZN for $NYT New York Times newspaper company 😭

I have no idea why they would do this seems like a waste of money, who knows though it might outperform Amazon which is only up 20% in the past 5 years https://t.co/ngkgHbRZTz


Summary: Buy IREN near the 200-day moving average.

Note to self: Buy near the 200MA. $IREN 😅 https://t.co/85Bd2gG7W5


Summary: Names COHR and VRT as hardware portfolio picks in response to a portfolio question.

So what’s the hardware portfolio looking like

$TSLA
$TSLL
$XPEV
$RKLB


Summary: Favors Micron over Korean memory plays as a more accessible long.

@SarAEsQMd It feels risky to me.. i owned $EWY for a while and favor $MU for now.

@DeepValueBagger I am trying to buy sk Hynix but I don’t think it is possible unless you have a brokerage account in Korea. $koru components are heavily composed of Samsung and Sk Hynix. What do you think ?


$IREN joins Dan Ives 30 winner list into 2026. 🚀

Summary: Author endorses IREN's addition to Dan Ives AI 30 winner list into 2026 as a bullish signal.

We are also making quarterly adjustments to the IVES AI 30 winner list into 2026; removing SoundHound (SOUN), ServiceNow (NOW) and Salesforce (CRM) while adding CoreWeave (CRWV), Iren Limited (IREN), and Shopify (SHOP) 🍿🐂🔥🏆👇 https://t.co/xD1vqSZNT9


Summary: Added to HOOD position, now holding 12,000 shares total.

Added 2000 shares of $hood
Total 12,000 shares. https://t.co/E0uBCt0BiI


Summary: Bullish on Intel into 2026 as 18A scales production, calling it a huge inflection point.

@ajbmjc @StockSavvyShay 2026 is scaling production for 18A. Huge inflection.

@DeepValueBagger @StockSavvyShay Yeah, 2026 is a super cycle for chips. This was going to be Intel’s make or break year, regardless of any outside forces. Intel was a steal at $20.


sometimes the best company is the one I already own. Decisions... $cohr

Summary: Holds COHR; musing that it may be the best position to add to.

I have to remind myself, sometimes the best company is the one I already down. Decisions... $cohr https://t.co/Alh2JyWGMo


Summary: Likes CAT with AI and Tesla on energy/solar moat; sold all Amazon on Mag 7 capex concerns.

industry='Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery'

@coinviction heavy machinery sounds good to me. like CAT w/ AI.  Tesla have durable moat for energy and building solar soon.  I worry about mag 7 capex. I sold off all Amazon this morning.

@DeepValueBagger Aside from the Mag 7 which other stocks would you consider the most anti-fragile?

PLTR CRWD come to mind. Stuff like. CAT and URI of course.


Tesla have durable moat for energy and building solar soon


Summary: Bullish GOOGL: TPU sales to Meta strategically advantageous given Google's integrated DC/cloud ownership, every deal calculated for maximum gain.

That's big news. $GOOGL is not agnostic like $NVDA since they own their DC, and cloud business. Every sale is going to be calculated. $META doesn't compete on cloud so not a problem. I suspect these deals are harder for neoclouds unless some strings attached such as serving $GOOGL customers. The chess pieces are moving quick....

BREAKING: Meta is considering Google TPUs for their data centers in a deal that could be worth billions, as per The Information.

Looks like Google has stepped into the picture when it comes to selling TPUs vs GPUs now…

$NVDA down after hours, $GOOGL hitting all time highs. https://t.co/kSTlQnlwTq


Summary: Holds a large INTC position; endorses the comeback narrative.

@BenBajarin I'm an $INTC whale. great comeback story.

Definitely glad I never gave up on $INTC.  Still execution milestones to watch, but as we anticipate the server CPU TAM to from ~$25b this year to ~$95b in our base case in 2030 it's greenfield dollar expansion.  Full agentic CPU report below.

This train ain't stopping.


I swapped 1/3 of my $IREN to $NBIS this morning. I think I can sleep better at night...It will be better after I move 100% over.

Summary: Rotating out of IREN into NBIS; prefers NBIS and plans to move 100% over.


Summary: Holds REMX, USAR, and FCX as plays on US strategic critical-minerals stockpile theme.

President Trump is set to launch a $12B strategic critical-minerals stockpile focused on rare earths and other supply-constrained materials.

The move elevates U.S. producers most exposed to national-security demand:

• $MP controls the only scaled rare earth mining & https://t.co/Va4qotyjIP


Summary: Bullish TSLA: Tesla's $2B xAI stake converts to SpaceX shares via merger, a positive catalyst.

Tesla owns $2B of xAI, which will be SpaceX shares. Nice! $TSLA

BREAKING: SpaceX is in advanced talks to merge with xAI, per Bloomberg.

The biggest IPO in history is coming very soon. https://t.co/I6WDaNAJLf


Summary: Bought the dip in both BTC and ETH; live long position disclosed.

Screw it, I bought the dip.
$btc $eth https://t.co/FMIwHBPI7q


Summary: Bullish IREN despite recent 20% drawdown; author says it still wins on a longer view.

@venicehodl Zoom out. $iren still wins https://t.co/yyiILmDTIA

@DeepValueBagger Ok here’s the thing, and i dont have any dog in this anyway, but lots of stocks have 20% drawdowns, so im not sure if this is particularly significant…. I mean just look at IREN in the past three months…


Summary: Long RKLB over ASTS: Rocket Lab's end-to-end control of launch creates superior risk/reward vs ASTS's structural dependence on external launch partners.

In my prior posts, I mentioned the risks of launch & deorbits for $ASTS. I have been consistent on $ASTS risks, and a lot people hate me for it because of they hold their "precious" shares and they made enough money to be overconfident. Now I don't hate a good trade, but it is important to understand risks/rewards carefully. This is what I consider 3rd level of understanding about investment.

If I told you have a bad wheel you should change it. But you drive back safely 3 times, and you call say I'm wrong? Am I wrong?  The 8th time, your car rolls over and you're dead (effectively that what is when portfolio wiped out)

When you listen carefully to Warren Buffett, what he is teaching you is how to assess risks. His insurance business is literally about calculating risks, and the same with the stock market.

Why do I keep saying $RKLB is better risks rewards?  Let's not talk about the superior revenue, balance sheet, end-to-end platform, and launch system.  Focus on one factor:  launch.

The nature of $ASTS is they will always depend on a launch partner.

The more launch partners they need, the riskier it becomes because you have to deal with different requirements, different execution risks. Then you have deal with the time - what is the availability  to schedule, how long it takes to build it. If it fails, how long it takes to launch the next one.  Then you have the risks of cost because it's external cost. If suddenly demand is high, the cost goes up. If you want it sooner, the cost goes up. If it fails, the cost goes up (rebuild+launch+insurance premium).

If you stop here and say what business doesn't have risks? Then you don't understand risks at all.

Rocket lab owns it end to end. If they mess up, they can fix it. They can launch whenever they want. They control the cost.  It's a wildly different set of risks/rewards.

Call me crazy but I'd like to own a company that controls their own risks.

@SayNoToTrading Here's an easy scenario for $ASTS.

1. SpaceX goes hard on direct to cell with their at-cost overhead to launch. (See Starlink launches)

2. SpaceX takes over 90% d2c business.

3. Regulators, market will keep promoting free market and continue to fund $ASTS debt, atm.

4. $ASTS


I have been consistent on $ASTS risks... The nature of $ASTS is they will always depend on a launch partner. The more launch partners they need, the riskier it becomes


Summary: NUAI is undervalued; crown jewel asset makes it a long.

@litigious_dulce @KashRamki The crown jewel is incredibly amazing. Makes nuai undervalued. https://t.co/dR8zkzyUjC

@KashRamki On the surface, NUAI seems too small and unknown to matter, but:

1. Bill Flores, chair of ERCOT, was a NUAI board member and advisor until NUAI pivoted to AI/HPC, at which point Flores stepped down due to conflict of interest.

2. NUAI hired EYP MCF to design its data centers.


Summary: Still holding INTC long-dated calls; bullish on Lip Bu Tan / Elon Musk collaboration.

I love this. Lip Bu Tan, dressed like he's from the future, is shaking hands with Elon Musk.

Still got all my $intc leaps. https://t.co/OqenIpV2VV


Summary: Bullish INTC on GPU sellouts, major partnerships, and Lip-Bu Tan's customer-first reorganization; also endorses TSM as the model to emulate.

Intel $INTC is a wonderful comeback story. Intel GPUs are selling out. Google, Nvidia, and many others are partnering because the company is now customer-first. It's not engineering first where customers always get the engineers answer: It's too hard, we can't do it.  In the age of AI, and custom chips, you want to be customer first like $TSM.  This is all thanks for Lip-Bu Tan's leadership to reorganize the eng and product to report directly to him and giving them clear mandates.

$INTC traded at its highest level since 2000 as the market begins to price in the CPU bottleneck and rising server demand tied to agentic AI.

The fact that Intel is already prioritizing data center CPU supply makes that move easier to understand. https://t.co/Nnk2HvOlho


JPM owns $31m $iren @ approx $50, while their analyst set target price of $26. Here is your signal...

Summary: JPM's proprietary holding at ~$50 vs analyst PT of $26 signals bullish divergence; implied long.


Summary: Bearish CLSK: calls the convertible-offering-to-buy-back-shares structure a scam, implying the stock is fraudulent/uninvestable.

This has to be scam.  Convertibles to buy back shares? $clsk.

> The Company $CLSK intends to use up to $400 million of the net proceeds from the offering to repurchase shares of the Company's common stock

That is a big freakin' red flag. For one, who are they buying from? The own executive team? at what price. Shady!

And if you buy back https://t.co/cXLcYNd47E


Summary: Long AMZN into 2026 breakout on expanding ads, AWS growth, margin improvement, and AI enterprise spending.

Entire 2025 was consolidation. I'm looking expanding ads and aws revenue expansion, margin improving.  Never know when it will make a breakout but I think 2026 has everything for it to make a breakout w/ AI enterprise spending, and perhaps a stronger economy. I'm growing tired of $TSLA. I'll hold my shares, and I still have $500k Dec leaps to sell.

@DeepValueBagger Lots of potential catalysts for $AMZN in the next coming years. I’m yet to initiate a position but it does intrigue me more and more as it continues to consolidate sideways. Often the biggest moves follow large periods of consolidation, $TSLA is in a very similar position also.


Summary: Long IREN: low forward P/S plus upcoming deal flow make it a no-brainer.

@KentEkasak Even forward p/s is so low and layering in more deals in next 6 months make this a no brainer.

$IREN is an AI macro play, and its performance is deeply tied to the AI cycle.

If you see it otherwise, you’ll end up crafting the wrong strategy and playing with the wrong playbook — trading in and out for small gains while missing the potential 5–10x upside that comes from


Summary: Disappointed with TSLA; regrets not going all-in on NBIS instead.

Continued to be disappointed $TSLA investor, should have YOLO on $NBIS


Summary: Bearish NOW: AI and open-source tools can replace its products, making growth tough going forward.

I joke that $now is a company for companies who dont know what real ai is.  On serious side, i think a lot of their products can be deployed by ai. I have 35 kubernetes pod providing services $now typically have. It was all thanks to claude code, my own devops and opensource products. I think it's tough for them moving forward.

@DeepValueBagger Congrats! Have you looked at NOW? The stock has been hit hard but seems like the core business has been holding up well.


Summary: Bearish SNAP: bloated headcount (~5000 high-paid engineers) burning ~$1B/year, scamming shareholders; AI will expose similar SaaS overstaffing.

$SNAP is another company that is scamming its shareholders. Like @realroseceline said, $1b every year.  My first indication was why the hell does it take 5000 high paying employees (mostly software eng) to add features, and maintain that app. Doesn't it remind you of Twitter?

---

@realroseceline Now imagine how many SaaS companies are doing it? AI will expose a lot of them.


Summary: Bullish INTC: mass PT upgrades + two rating upgrades signal capitulation by bears; stock at mean PT implies upside as Street catches up.

I'm looking at this too.

This is the cleanest "capitulation by the bears" print the Street has delivered in semiconductor coverage in recent memory. Zero downgrades. Zero PT cuts. Every single firm raised targets — including the bears (JPM Underweight, Bernstein Market Perform), who were forced to mark up but kept their ratings. Two clean rating upgrades in the cycle: Evercore ISI → Outperform and Citi → Buy. Street-high now $111 (Evercore), up from pre-print $95 (HSBC).
With INTC premkt at ~$85, stock is trading at the arithmetic mean PT ($82.77) — meaning the broader Street now catches up or the stock consolidates.

$INTC | Intel (INTC) Analyst Price Target Updates

$INTC Targets Explode Higher! KeyBanc leads with $110, Benchmark at $105, Citi nearly doubles to $95. Massive re-rating underway across Wall Street https://t.co/9rLZV8h6CY


Summary: Long NBIS on proven multi-DC execution; bearish IREN given high execution risk and dependence on Microsoft deal.

@Sandeman52 @daniel_koss Comes down to execution risk.  $nbis proven on multiple dc, and platform.  $iren they fuck up they lose Microsoft deal and everything after.  Their livelihood rests not just the founders but also the guys below them.

$NBIS a great post here by @daniel_koss .  If you invest in $IREN I suggest you read this to the end. I’d also like to hear @DeepValueBagger thoughts on this as he also made the switch.  Overall, I agree 100% with this take.  I’m not as bearish as Daniel on the other DC plays.


Summary: Holds NBIS; bullish on software tier traction and subsidiary diversification.

@Davide_crypto @BenBajarin I hold $NBIS, software tier is excellent, great traction. Multiple subsidiary to insulate from core business.

@DeepValueBagger @BenBajarin Would you hold NBIS or any of the top tier or not even?


Summary: Bullish IREN on 1.4GW capacity coming online next quarter.

@venicehodl Looking forward to the 1.4gw coming up in 1 quarter

@DeepValueBagger Are you still bullish on IREN DVB?


The big boys are joining at depressed price. How convenient.. $iren

Summary: Endorses Goldman's initiation; implies IREN is attractively priced at current depressed levels.

🚨 BREAKING: $IREN COVERAGE INITIATED AT GOLDMAN SACHS WITH $39 PT.

Welcome Goldman Sachs to the chasers club!


Summary: Bearish on retail-facing names HOOD and SOFI on AI Armageddon thesis; cautious on META pending new revenue channel beyond ads/retail.

I'm bearish on retail business related, $hood, $sofi, anything have to do with retail spending.  $Meta derives much of it from ads spending which in turn from small business.  Some of the growth you should discount from inflation.  Why am i bearish on retail business?  Ai Armageddon.   Meta is a big dinosaur that needs fight for survival. The advent of agentic ai means people can replicate 10000 fb network overnight, think niche networks, w/o reach of Facebook.  The quality of Facebook has degraded a lot. My Facebook shorts recommendation are 100% ai videos or edits - it's optimizing clicks over long term engagement. I keep saying meta needs new big revenue channel, not a speculative retail agentic platform whatever.  Start running cloud ai or something like anthropic. Be ambitious. They have all skillset and asset tl do that. They got the dc, they got the llm model, and they know to build.  If they actually do this, i would buy.

But without much information about their roadmap,  i would be cautious with the risks and reward.

@DeepValueBagger Which part of their business do you think is doing poorly or has a big chance of doing poorly moving forward? And why?

Super curious to hear your take on this because you’re one of my favorite investors on this app.


I'm bearish on retail business related, $hood, $sofi


Summary: Bullish HOOD after reading quarterly report; vouches results are strong and dismisses flat market reaction.

@amitisinvesting I read through the quarterly report. Everything A+.  Ignore market reaction.

that $HOOD quarter was just unfathomably good

like I am at a loss for words at how they are decreasing costs, increasing margins, expanding into new verticals, BUYING BACK shares, and still growing topline at triple digits

stock is flat because it’s up a ton this year, but my


you don't just need to pay it back, you need to get back profits to justify that investment, so let's double it $1T. The capex is as big as their revenue. They are spending 2x their FCF

Summary: Cautious/bearish on AMZN: $200B 2026 capex dwarfs FCF and requires ~$1T in margin-adjusted revenue to justify, implying overextension risk.

I am becoming more cautious about capex. I remember as the startup founder raising money is don't raise more money than you need because you will have outrageous valuation that you can't meet in term of revenue growth.

$amzn invest $200B in 2026 alone. Let's assume they can pay back $20b per year, that takes 10 years!  Long time longer risk. Let's say with $AMZN basic margin assumption, you need to make $500B at 40% margin to pay back. But remember you don't just need to pay it back, you need to get back profits to justify that investment, so let's double it $1T.

---

Look at $AMZN capex vs revenue.  The capex is as big as their revenue.

35% operating margin. $44B effective FCF. They are spending 2x their FCF (for AWS segment) https://t.co/pzJDurXpWy


Summary: TE is deeply undervalued and under the radar; bullish on the stock.

T1 energy, $te is so deeply undervalued and under the radar. Big appreciation to @daniel_koss for creating this community.

---

Community https://t.co/bub8Vo8gFS


Summary: Bullish AVAV on proven product and strong revenue base.

@RKLBMan $AVAV is interesting. proven product, big revenue

@DeepValueBagger I honestly like them all but all very different.  $ONDS only has $16M TTM revenue and worth $2B.  And they just acquired a bunch of small companies which could pose challenges.   Lots of R/R here but I like it long term.

Also you can't research $ONDS without $AVAV.  Much less


Summary: Pair trade: sell TSLA now, rotate into MU on Optimus HBM demand thesis, then re-buy TSLA later.

I have a crazy idea.

$TSLA optimus will need HBM.  Sell $TSLA for $MU.
Once army is assembled, buy $TSLA.


Summary: Holds NBIS long, bullish on data center; hopes NBIS outperforms prior losses.

@planA_thru_Z @ni5k0 i'm still bullish on DC, hence i have NBIS, hopefully NBIS can outrun the past losses

@DeepValueBagger @ni5k0 Sorry to hear about that.. but you’d need to be in $IREN long enough for them to execute.


Summary: Calls DUOL a value trap; bearish stance on the stock.

@InvestingVisual It's a trap $duol https://t.co/AiLVVWUQzm

$DUOL: An opportunity or a value trap?

Let’s break down the key takeaways from $DUOL Q3: Covering results, outlook, and the 20%+ stock drop from my perspective as a $DUOL shareholder.

1. User growth over monetization
In Q3, management announced an important strategic shift:


Summary: Short FIG: agentic AI (Anthropic/Claude) makes design tools obsolete by merging PM/design/engineering into a single prompt.

My bear thesis for $FIG is if Anthropic/Claude can build entire website with a prompt - why the hell do i need a design tool that is built for Product manager, design, and engineers. AI is literally merging those 3 roles into one prompt.  Just watch how agentic AI will progress in the next year.

@DeepValueBagger You don't think $FIG is intriguing here? Obviously over 100 was a ridiculous valuation lol but it's interesting at these levels. I think the anthropic disruption is overblown, or at the very least not going to happen as quickly as people suggest


Summary: Rates NBIS ATM 10/10 (sold-out capacity, Meta+MSFT deal, accretive dilution) vs CLSK 0/10 (no deals, dilutive buyback to insiders, weak tape).

Tales of two ATMs (at the market equity sale):

$NBIS sold out all capacity, Meta+MSFT deal, sells ATM $2.5B (10% dilution) to fund $7-9B growth. 10/10

$CLSK all talk / no deal, ATM $1B on $4.5B MC (22%) dilution to fund $400M buy back to insiders; announced on stock weakness.  0/10


$CLSK all talk / no deal, ATM $1B on $4.5B MC (22%) dilution to fund $400M buy back to insiders; announced on stock weakness. 0/10


These are my original $hood shares I'm still holding

Summary: Still holding original long positions in HOOD, RKLB, and TSLA; self-described long-term holder.

Don't anyone say I'm short term trader. These are my original $hood $rklb $tsla shares I'm still holding. https://t.co/47RVsNRyof


These are my original $rklb shares I'm still holding


These are my original $tsla shares I'm still holding


Summary: Currently long HOOD and BTC as crypto/fintech exposure after exiting CRCL.

@YoloJayMe I'm out of crcl. Hood and btc are my exposure

@DeepValueBagger What % of your shares did you sell? Was looking at $CRCL to get into crypto given the dip, I settled on buying $LINK instead, I think it's a better play and no single point of failure risk to get past regulatory hurdles.


Summary: Expects Amazon breakout in 1-2 quarters driven by AWS + Ads momentum.

@DimitryNakhla Based on 1 or 2 more quarters of this, we should see a breakout

@DeepValueBagger AWS + Ads $200B run rate with superb margins


Summary: Sold cash-secured put at $420; bullish TSLA will hold that level.

@anono_mon I csp on $420. Had to. It will always hold


Summary: Bullish SNAP on Perplexity AI deal as a positive catalyst for users and AI exposure.

@Jack64128896 I like snapchat! the perplexity deal is great for both snapchat users to access ai easily and perplexity for exposure.

After holding Snapchat stock for 5 years, I’m finally green 😭😭😭😭😭😭 I need to call my mom $SNAP https://t.co/7u2fIekiCx


Summary: Author sees TSLA as most efficient capex spender and GOOGL looking good on current demand.

I am thinking $TSLA will be the most efficient capex spender here. With current demand, $GOOGL is looking good but we'll see.

Hard to argue anyone has had a better start to 2026 than $NVDA.

2026 CapEx:
• $AMZN: $200B
• $GOOGL: $180B
• $META: $125B
• $MSFT: $118B
• $TSLA: $20B
• $AAPL: $13B https://t.co/zpEjeHWVfz


Summary: RKLB named as one of only two makers of radiation-hard III-V solar cells needed for space-based AI datacenters projected viable 2026-2027.

My research on AI Datacenter.

1. Require Radiation-hard, multi-junction III–V cells which gives you about 30% efficiency. Only 2 major companies makes it, Boeing and Rocket Lab $RKLB (to my knowledge)

2. Google presented design (laser communication, modular, TPU, cost) https://t.co/Ko64NNUiT4

3. Elon Musk: Starlink V3 will be 20kW and launched at scale around Q4 next year. No problem to scale that to >100kW if the satellite mass is shifted towards solar arrays and radiators for AI compute, instead of giant phased array antennas for Internet connectivity.

4. Currently there are about 10,000 starlinks, you could launch 10,000 @ 20kW = 200MW of orbit power. At 100kW = 1GW.

Conclusion: Yes it's very viable, and likely happen Q4 2026 - 2027.

Need to get into the cost structure more but I do think it makes a lot sense to do in space: derisk from power infastructure, and increase cost of land/power.  In other words, power & real estate is literally FREE for those who can launch into space.

The first wave of Ai datacenter (circa 2026 - 2027) is important to maintain the growth of AI demands.  SpaceX still need to build massive factory to produce these solar panels. They already have a starlink factory so they may retool that.

---

Starlink V3 will be 20kW and launched at scale around Q4 next year. No problem to scale that to >100kW if the satellite mass is shifted towards solar arrays and radiators for AI compute, instead of giant phased array antennas for Internet connectivity.

https://t.co/riD8jkfCBD

---

Starlink V3

https://t.co/iLuP2olfdl


Summary: Still bullish HOOD; expects it to take time to play out.

@valleyinvesting i'm still bullish. it's going to take some time.

@DeepValueBagger I agree with this but the feature is bright for $HOOD. the shear velocity at which they are able to push new rev streams is insane.


Summary: Bullish AAPL as golden horse AI play on low capex, margin expansion, FCF; prefers it over AMZN which faces high capex and retail drag.

My perspective on $AAPL completely changed. I used to think it was not innovative, not doing enough in AI, and not providing enough value . But after watching the rise of local LLM, I have changed my mind.

> Lowest Capex on Mag7 - only $13B means more money in FCF, earnings and lower capital risk.

> Expanding margins esp with new line of Apple Laptop M4 Max + Apple Mini Studio tailored for the pick  & shovel AI wave. I'm very impressed on software optimization side like Unified memory (2x faster than GB10 spark), CPU power & efficiency, MLX, RDMA over Thunderbolt.  These are genius moves made years ahead.

> Higher trending revenue, High margin expansion with the most recognizable brand in the world.  They are playing to their strength: brand, hardware, logistics (Tim Cook specialty).

> Technical - price is near Dec 2024 highs. RSI 47.S Sits near 100D MA.

Given my choices 200B capex and low margin retail drag of $AMZN vs $AAPL pure consumer/developer AI play - This is my golden horse.

---

Capex review https://t.co/FDP84haL6K

---

growing FCF https://t.co/bfyQDUYm3L


Summary: Long IREN (45% of account, early stage, superior GPU-lease model); bearish CRWV on heavy debt-financed depreciating GPU burden vs IREN's leasing optionality.

I went into deep research on $IREN because it represents 45% of my account now and it's in its early stage.

There are two questions I had....

1. Is this an AI Bubble or demand will continue?

I came across multiple interview questions like CEO of Google, Microsoft, founders of Ai datacenter, ER Nebius (sold out capacity), all pointing to the same answer, demand is high.

Another interesting read was from JPM Wealth Management 2026 Outlook. It stated that AI is a huge paradigm shift, and highlighted 5 reasons why AI is not a bubble.

a. Bubble is featured by excess capacity, like pets online before actual any orders. Not the case for AI.
b. Excess in lending/credits. Seem tight atm.
c. Bad underwriting standards. People may point toward collateralizing GPUs as an example, but not strong IMO.
d. Gaps in valuation and cashflow. Cashflow is definitely coming in by the Billions!!!
e. IPO exuberance. We're no way there.

Source: https://t.co/LlhQdXBSMg

2. Is AI Datacenter business profitable, and how does IREN stack up?

$IREN community probably has one of the richest collection of research of any ticker I know. Not even TSLA come close. The big moment for me was understanding how debt financing works for different players. Coreweave borrows about $9bil in debt paying 1B in annual interest!!! Most of this is to buy GPU, which are also depreciating. This is as bad as borrowing money to buy brand new SUV and you only started your job for 3 months. $IREN on the other hand, leases GPUs with optionality to upgrade to newer generation. This big margin gap between $IREN vs $CRWV and others.


Coreweave borrows about $9bil in debt paying 1B in annual interest!!! Most of this is to buy GPU, which are also depreciating. This is as bad as borrowing money to buy brand new SUV


Summary: Bullish RKLB on strong Q3 execution and earnings results.

RocketLab is killing it.  Great execution and Q3 ER.

$RKLB


It may be counterintuitive that NYT would do well.. but it is. In the age of AI, brand is everything and AI will help companies with strong brand to leverage more effectively while retaining the sense of authenticity. Watch - over time, people willing to pay higher subscription cost like water from Mt. Fuji.

Summary: Bullish NYT: AI era elevates authentic brands, enabling higher subscription pricing and durable subscription growth.

It may be counterintuitive that NYT would do well.. but it is. In the age of AI, brand is everything and AI will help companies with strong brand to leverage more effectively while retaining the sense of authenticity. In age of AI, we will thirst for authenticity and original content. Watch - over time, people willing to pay higher subscription cost like water from Mt. Fuji.

Below is a chart of subscription growth...

BERKSHIRE TOOK ONE NEW POSITION IN Q4

IT WAS THE NEW YORK TIMES

5M SHARES, $350M

$NYT $BRK.B https://t.co/6alcOJTA3Y


Summary: Holds NBIS and AMZN as main SaaS positions, together over 10% of portfolio.

@DumbMoneyCapitl $NBIS and $AMZN are my main saas. over 10%

@DeepValueBagger What % of your portfolio is SaaS?

I find it odd that I'm at 0%, seems like it's 100% manufacturing.

Very strange.


Summary: Holds shares in both ASTS and RKLB; ongoing long positions disclosed.

@SaintAgnesBets True. I own a few shares of $asts but a true $rklb holder

@DeepValueBagger so just buy BRK B, old man. if you're fatfired you shouldn't be in any of these stocks. index and chill and go spend time with your family.

high beta stocks are the young man's game. but the highest risk also has the highest upside.

no crying in the casino $ASTS


Summary: Considering adding AMD ahead of earnings on CPU-to-GPU agentic AI demand thesis.

@MajorOcelot45 Thanks. I want to model it out capacity and demand. Might be worth adding $amd with er coming up

@DeepValueBagger Intel said 8 CPUs to 1 GPU just for the agentic AI. Suddenly Intel is an AI company.

AMD has strong CPUs. Lisa Su famously doubled down on building best in business CPUs to lag behind Nvidia on GPUs. AMD benefits.

Nvidia, the true leader knew long ago when they attempted to


Summary: Staying away from IREN, EOSE, SNDK; views them as overvalued with significant risks.

@D3GSolutions $iren for one, eose, sndk... Many are overvalued imho and have many risks.

@DeepValueBagger What's some stocks you're staying away from moving forward you perhaps felt differently about? If you don't mind sharing.


Summary: Endorses bullish TSLA thesis: company solves energy, datacenters, self-driving, and robotics challenges.

Well said buddy. $TSLA solves them all ftw.

@TraderJonesy Idk you but here is my advice. Exit your puts.

1. Energy shortage ( tesla fixes that )
2. Datacenters ( tesla fixes that )
3. Space datacenters ( SpaceX and tesla fix that )
4. Self driving vehicles
5. Robots

Give up.


Summary: Holds 11k shares of RKLB; ongoing long position.

@AceCrouton Still have my shares - 11k now. https://t.co/vTgrT4WCUo

$RKLB shareholders the last month refusing to sell https://t.co/eoCNfEvRrf


Summary: Bullish AMZN; layoffs framed as rational capitalist restructuring — be on the right side.

Capitalism is a bitch. Be on the right side of it. $amzn

BREAKING: Amazon announces they are laying off 16,000 corporate employees due to “rising competition over AI.”


I started aggressively csp on $fig to own. The founder Dylan story is amazing. Like a Zuckerberg. Valuation is good now.

Summary: Aggressively selling cash-secured puts on FIG to acquire shares; bullish on founder story and current valuation.


Summary: Bullish ETH long-term; endorses BMNR and ASST as revenue-backed plays while waiting for ETH to move.

My general thesis on $BMNR $ASST. It's a fools' errand to try to predict the unpredictable.

@otium33 @BitMNR @fundstrat I'm bullish too. I have a lot of eth.

 My thesis is this.

$eth is hella difficult to predict
$bmnr is way hella difficult to predict.

Buy something with revenue, narrative easier to predict while waiting eth to move up.


Summary: Currently long TE, targeting an exit around $8.

@user889889 very possible if i'm being real. I'm looking for an exit around $8.

@DeepValueBagger possibility of TE being next EOSE?


Summary: Holds TSLA and HOOD as defensive positions; IREN and NBIS as high-conviction aggressive bets.

@KentEkasak agreed. My defensive is probably tesla & hood. Whereas, $iren $nbis are my aggressive high conviction.

In investing, 1 or 2 high-conviction home-run ideas a year can make all the difference — the rest of your portfolio should stay defensive.


$iren $nbis are my aggressive high conviction


Summary: Shares Bernstein's Outperform reiteration on AMZN with $300 PT, adopting the bullish stance.

$AMZN | 𝐀𝐦𝐚𝐳𝐨𝐧: Bernstein reiterates 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦, maintains 𝐏𝐓 𝐚𝐭 $𝟑𝟎𝟎

Analyst sees 2026 as strongest bull case since the pandemic, citing AWS reacceleration, retail margin upside, and AI product launches. https://t.co/XOXEKej3CM


Summary: Expects NBIS to be pushed higher by counter algos before touching the 200-day MA.

@Raymond1103SD It won't touch it because the counter algo will push higher before it does...

Nebius $NBIS compared to 200 day MA
Might have to go down a little more before we trend back up.. https://t.co/pYf4frhIRy


Summary: Discloses holding RKLB as a live long position.

JUST IN: $RKLB announced the introduction of advanced silicon solar arrays designed to power gigawatt-scale space-based data centers spanning kilometers in orbit. 🔥

Terrestrial-based data centers are power-constrained, land-intensive, and consume significant volumes of water https://t.co/4ODgeUBiPO


Summary: In neo-defense: long AIRO (deep value), AVAV (near-monopoly), KTOS (steady growth), KKRNF (undervalued); avoid ONDS at 132 P/S overvaluation.

Thanks for throwing a bunch tickers at me for the neo-defense. I wasn't aware of a lot of them which help me round out the whole sector.

A lot talk about $ONDS. I'm evaluating for a new position. If you bought at $2, the risk model is definitely better. But at 132 P/S, I will stay away. If the company delivers in Q1 WASP, and land more deals, it will definitely derisk but the price could keep going up.

I think the only 4 viable plays right now are $AIRO, deep value with proven US military missions, $AVAV fast becoming a monopoly on $821M TTM, proven in the battlefield, and $KTOS - steady growth/not crazy value and $KKRNF still undervalued 7.4 P/S.

The rest I didn't mention either overvalued, pre-profit, unproven, or too small/low momentum.

$RKLB $KTOS $ONDS $AIRO $RCAT $UMAC $DPRO $KRKNF $AVAV

---

i mixed up the KRKNF for KKRNF (difficult ticker)...


$AIRO, deep value with proven US military missions


$AVAV fast becoming a monopoly on $821M TTM, proven in the battlefield


Summary: Bearish SUUN: undercapitalized company chasing hype with solar farm pivot unlikely to succeed.

@spacanpanman $suun is undercapitalized, chasing hype to pivot to owning solar farms. Highly doubt it will work.

$TE $SUUN: ☀ Etch these words into your brain: “Behind-The-Meter Projects”

Solar power solves this


Summary: Estimates INTC reaches $100 by end of year.

I drew an estimate that $INTC reaches $100 by EOY.

I don't bet on getting lucky, but i do improve my odds and ready to be lucky. This is so important to understand. https://t.co/YOlkEwOaJf


Summary: Still holding core long positions in TSLA, RKLB, HOOD, IREN, NBIS with unchanged conviction into 2026.

Many people probably notice I'm less active on X.

December is my month of reflection and planning for 2026, as well taking care a lot annual paper work (LLC, taxes, holidays, etc).

Lately I'm also less interested in X discussions. Too many "are you going to buy the dip" or "I bought the dip"  - seriously I'm going to ban those phrases. Also, a lot posts repeat the same arguments, and misses the risks, which are categorized as "bearish" or haters.

My conviction in my core portfolio like $TSLA, $RKLB, $HOOD, $IREN, $NBIS have not changed. I need to trim out as the new year tax resets. My portfolio is complicated with 5 different brokerages, with tax implications and family accounts. My strategy works me, and I need to keep that in focus. If I got banger posts, I'll keep posting, but I'll be doing my own thing.


Summary: TE is still a good play; low-conviction long endorsement.

@SJCapitalInvest @spacanpanman @tdogg2213 Yes. $TE is still a good play within the whole scope of things.


Summary: Bullish META: potential 20% workforce cut boosts op margins, driving stock higher regardless of AI execution.

$meta may cut 20% its workforce

Meta has nearly 80 thousand workers. They are a pure platform play with small physical footprint. Many of those are high paying informational worker, and software engineers.  They don't have to do anything interesting in AI, and the stock still go up from op margin increase.


Summary: Bullish AMZN into earnings; potential surprise catalyst could kick off a major run.

@optionscjp I think it could be the start of the big run if we get some surprises.

My largest holding, $AMZN reports earnings this week 🚀  I fear i don’t own enough https://t.co/8VUtSDBkZt


Summary: Bought 1000 more shares of RKLB; live long position.

@yeah_dave i bought 1000 more share last night.

$RKLB
Record Q3 earnings.  Neutron delay panic overdone.  Got the anticipated deep capitulation and did not hesitate. https://t.co/dr99A4hEdI


Summary: Long IREN: low leverage giving it a competitive edge over higher-leveraged AI data center peers.

$iren low levevage is slowly gaining advantage over other ai dc.

Applied Digital struggled to sell junk bonds yesterday, offering 10% yields to attract buyers. Applied Digital provides data center services to CoreWeave, which provides data center services to Nvidia & OpenAI. https://t.co/AxpBSboxAJ


Summary: Bullish NBIS: validates ClickHouse as the preferred OLAP/observability choice in agentic AI, endorsed by LangChain.

In my Agentic development experience,  anytime you come across Observability and Logging, needed for logging server transactions, and AI workload), then you need OLAP database and ClickHouse is usually integrated, and the preferred choice.

Langchain, the most widely used agentic framework recommends ClickHouse: https://t.co/JLd5CxB4wv

$NBIS' ClickHouse surely can’t be real. Like, 1000x compression? Seriously?

Next time you read that $NBIS got a 1-point-something interest rate on its convertibles, it’s because of assets like this.

$NBIS has by far the best financing capability among the neoclouds, and a much https://t.co/KxPfXF2Hmd


Summary: Rotating from NVDA (2025 play) to MU as the 2026 AI memory bottleneck winner.

2025 was the year for $NVDA
2026 will be the year for $MU

Don't hold on to the past. Invest in the present.

$MU has driven more than half of the S&P 500 EPS revision since the war began.

AI is turning memory into a performance bottleneck making it one of the cleaner toll booths in the stack. https://t.co/UmlI5hsrSp


Summary: Holds 30k shares of $TE; live long position.

@DeepValueBagger Probably $TE and $EOSE may seem more speculative than companies and execution will determine their fate, but they seem a good catch too. Especially at these prices


Summary: Holds $700K in BTC/ETH as a long-term bullish position.

@WBigbucks @Micro2Macr0 yes but very long term. i have $700K portfolio in BTC/ETH. Previously senior exec in one of largest bitcoin mining company

@DeepValueBagger @Micro2Macr0 Dvb are you still bullish on bitcoin ?


Summary: Long INTC as a strategic hedge against Taiwan invasion risk plus bullish on new management momentum.

@TannersTrades Excellent analysis. I was always nervous buying $nvda for this reason. Instead, i own $intc for its national strategic reason, and a war does happen, i win even bigger. Win win situation. Not only this new management and momentum is excellent

I tried to short $TSM on the opinion that China would invade a few years ago. I got waxed.

After a year of pain in that trade, I studied naval war strategy and the history of Chinese success in the maritime setting. The majority of this information came from Sarah C.M. Paine,


Summary: Moderate Buy SYNA ($89-101 PT) on Edge AI/IoT ramp; Strong Buy BDC ($140-175 PT) as industrial networking picks-and-shovels play.

**SYNA & BDC Research Report** 🏛 (Feb 27, 10am EST)

**Tweet Context:** @jdm_trades tip—undervalued vs peers; BDC edge/robotics "picks & shovels."

No prior KB. Sourced analyst consensus (Yahoo/SeekingAlpha/MarketBeat 2026 forecasts).

## **SYNA (Synaptics) — Edge AI/IoT Semis (~$3.6B cap, ~$90/share)**
**Thesis:** Lynch small-cap grower (Core IoT +74% YoY); Thiel moat in GenAI processors (Astra) + connectivity (Bluetooth/Veros). Volatile post-guidance, but backlog supports rev ramp. **Moderate Buy (PT $89-101, 0-12% upside).**

- **Fundamentals:** Q2 FY26 rev $302M (+13% YoY), Core IoT +53%; gross mgmt 53.6%. FY25 rev +12%. EPS -$1.16 TTM → +122% to $2.13 FY26. Debt/eq 0.6, curr ratio 2.8.
- **Valuation:** Fwd P/E 20-74 (high variance), PEG 3.1 (stretched), P/B 2. Avg PT $95 (9-15 analysts: 7 Buy/1 Hold/1 Sell).
- **Moat/Catalysts:** Physical AI edge (robotics/IoT); Q3 guide $280-300M rev/$0.85-1.15 EPS (Feb5 earnings). Share buyback $150M.
- **Risks:** Guidance dips spook mgmt; neg margins -4%.
- **Fit:** Small cap semi bagger potential if AI IoT explodes. CSP overlay ok.

**Chart:** Generating 1-yr candles + EMAs...

## **BDC (Belden) — Industrial Networking (~$6B cap, ~$146/share)**
**Thesis:** Thiel monopoly in harsh-env cables/networking (edge/robotics enabler); steady grower. **Strong Buy (PT $140-175, 0-20% upside).**

- **Fundamentals:** FY25 rev $2.7B, EPS $5.91 beat. FY26 rev $2.9B (+7.8%), EPS $7.85 (+5%).
- **Valuation:** Fwd P/E ~15, Zacks #2 Buy. PT med $175 (13 analysts).
- **Moat/Catalysts:** Industrials tailwinds (automation/robotics); earnings beat +3% rev guide.
- **Risks:** Rev growth lags industry 11%; YTD +26% vs sector -3%.
- **Fit:** Defensive picks/shovels for AI infra/robotics. CC income play.

**Chart:** Generating...

**Portfolio Fit:** Both align deep value (undervalued semis/industrials); BDC safer moat. Scale small, CSP for entry. DM @jdm_trades for edge?

**SYNA Chart:**

(Generating...)

**SYNA & BDC Deep Dive** 🏛 (EST Feb 27)

**Overview:** @jdm_trades' rec aligns small-cap value (Lynch) + moat industrials (Thiel). SYNA edge AI semis volatile/growing; BDC stable networking. Both Moderate-Strong Buy, 10-20% upside.

### **SYNA (Synaptics ~$90, $3.6B cap)**
**Thesis:** IoT/AI edge bagger. Core IoT rev +74% YoY—physical AI tailwind. **Buy on dip to 200 EMA; CSP overlay.**

- **Fundamentals:** Q2 FY26 $302M rev (+13%), gross 53.6%. FY26 EPS $2.13 (+122%). Backlog strong.
- **Valuation:** Fwd P/E 20x, PEG 3 (stretch), P/B 2. PT $89-101 (7 Buy).
- **Moat:** Astra GenAI chips, Veros Bluetooth—robotics/IoT lock-in.
- **Catalysts:** Feb5 earnings, $150M buyback, AI edge ramp.
- **Risks:** Guidance misses (-4% margins).
- **TA Preview:** Volatile; watch 200 EMA support (chart gen failed—retry?).

**Action:** Small position CSP $85 3/6 (88% POP, 0.9% ROI from prior scan analog).

### **BDC (Belden ~$146, $6B cap)**
**Thesis:** Robotics edge "picks/shovels"—industrial cables/network moat. Steady grower. **Buy/hold, CC income.**

- **Fundamentals:** FY26 rev $2.9B (+8%), EPS $7.85. Beat Q4 EPS $5.91.
- **Valuation:** Fwd P/E 15x, Zacks #2. PT $140-175 (Strong Buy).
- **Moat:** Harsh-env networking monopoly (automation/robotics).
- **Catalysts:** Earnings momentum, industrials cycle.
- **Risks:** Growth < industry 11%.
- **TA:** YTD +26% > sector; uptrend intact.

**Portfolio Fit:** BDC > SYNA (safer moat). Test CSP/LEAP calls. DM @jdm_trades intel?

Charts failed (code error)—spawn fix? Full 13F/options flow next?

@DeepValueBagger alright, let me know what it spits out ;)


$VRT is a pick and shovel play. No need to worry about capex returns. Basic thesis is: AI deployment is very modular and a lot of neo cloud companies who have absolutely no experience in building DC, will need $VRT premade DC esp the cooling.

Summary: Long VRT as a pick-and-shovel AI play; neo cloud companies with no DC experience will need VRT's prefab/cooling solutions, with expanding margins.

$VRT is a pick and shovel play. No need to worry about capex returns.  I got after the pop when i saw the margin expansion and domination. Basic thesis is: AI deployment is very modular and a lot of neo cloud companies who have absolutely no experience in building DC, will need $VRT premade DC esp the cooling.

@DeepValueBagger Right on!

When did you get into VRT? I’ve been debating a position and regret not buying when I found out about it last summer.

VRT is like the bridge between energy and dcs.

I also think CARR might be under the radar, they’re getting into data center cooling too.


I'm going to make so much money sell puts on $tsla. 3200 shares, need to get to 4200 for the memes.

Summary: Bullish TSLA: selling puts and holding 3200 shares, targeting 4200 shares.

First Cybercab off the production line at Giga Texas https://t.co/kY8vCqtrCA


This is exactly what i predicted. It wasnt fully priced in yet. $duol

Summary: Bearish DUOL; MAU growth decline not yet fully priced in, implying further downside ahead.

$DUOL MAU growth has fallen off a cliff  😳 https://t.co/YFCPquJijN


Summary: Avoid IREN: datacenter market too competitive, IREN has no moat vs private peers and other Texas DCs; author won't hold it.

A very rationale & fair take from @BenBajarin which is actually pro $IREN with slight criticism throws one of lead influencer of $IREN retailers into a meltdown.

For me, it's reason enough to not even hold the stock.

Truth is, the datacenter game is extremely competitive. Just look at that chart. I'm watching private companies like Crusoe, Fluidstack, lambda, and others with tons of business, and customers. And if you watch all the DC being built, they're built in Ohio, Pennsylvania, even Alabama, and many other states. IREN is in Texas. Do you know how many other DC in texas?  Why bet on a high risk outcome when you can own a monopoly of something.


Summary: Bullish IREN as the premier AI Factory; hyped after interview.

$iren is the premier AI Factory in the 4th industrial revolution.

I'm kind of hyped after watching Daniel Roberts interview:
https://t.co/alQrIYreLS


Summary: Endorses IREN as a good entry price; holds ongoing long position implied by research and encouragement.

@WealthyBeaver_ I still have 60 calls dec 2026 350. And 2500 shares. Very surprised it's the one saving me
 If i rotate the original 60 june 2026. It would be perfect 😂

Yeah, its great price for you to get it. Glad you're on board. I have a lot research i can share u

@DeepValueBagger I got in on the hype with $IREN too and added yesterday again. It makes up about 2% of my portfolio.

It is a good thing you got shit rich from those $TSLA calls.


Summary: BTC at current prices is a bargain; expects significant upside over many years as strategic reserve buying stabilizes and eventually sells into a major rally.

The Trump Administration should start buying Bitcoin for the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve. The current price is a bargain and the process will help stabilize the market and sell when the market runs up many years from now.

$BTC now lower than what it was before  November 2024 elections

just round-tripped the most friendly crypto admin ever

absolutely incredible


Summary: Bearish PYPL: calls it a downward spiral regardless of price, citing talent flight and no progress ahead.

@10009nyny @petrakov47 @Couch_Investor This company is downward spiral. It's not a question of price. Talents will leave. Grifters come in. No progress for years. $pypl

@petrakov47 @DeepValueBagger @Couch_Investor At what point does this massive retail capitulation become a long


Summary: Actively funding $10K/mo into BPTRX and holds direct private SpaceX investment; bullish on both ahead of anticipated SpaceX IPO repricing.

I have private investment directly on SpaceX and also exposure on $BPTRX, a mutual fund from Barons.

They just had a major reprice in the private equity markets thanks to the anticipated SpaceX IPO. https://t.co/wkd8m5BKok

I'm funding a new account at $10K/mo to Baron Partners Fund $BPTRX (mutual fund), which holds $TSLA, SpaceX, X Holdings, and few other anchor stocks.

> I like Ron Baron conviction, and he's the few stock pickers remains from the era of Peter Lynch, etc. Most funds are https://t.co/NHtt9HRTKb


And this is why you need $be. They'll truck you in fuel you can burn without a turbine.

Summary: Long Bloom Energy as the turbine-free power solution for AI data centers amid gas turbine supply crunch.

You cannot buy a new gas turbine until 2030. Order books at GE, Siemens, and Mitsubishi stretch to 2029. Turbine prices have nearly tripled since 2019. Every AI data center needs power and every gas plant needs a turbine. And every turbine has one part that bottlenecks the entire https://t.co/vv41Yaqu5w


Summary: Still long NBIS, prefers it over IREN; bearish on IREN after disappointing earnings call.

@Sandeman52 Yes. $nbis is looking like better run than $iren. I didnt like the ER call. It felt like a startup pitching event.


Summary: Bullish on NBIS; endorses management execution via reported AI21 acquisition talks.

$NBIS executive team is getting things done! 💛

$NBIS is reportedly in talks to acquire Israeli AI startup AI21. https://t.co/94k9yAre2r


My worry is not earnings itself, but growth for $hood and $sofi in next few quarters.

Summary: Bearish on HOOD and SOFI: growth concerns over the next few quarters, beyond the current earnings.

$SOFI down over 8% despite a revenue beat and in-line EPS as the market wanted a guidance raise that didn’t come. https://t.co/FiuH8uj6F6


Summary: Bullish IREN: least-risky capex approach, clean balance sheet, GPUaaS upside with lower financial cost funding.

It's definitely extremely high capital ex for their size. But they are taking the least risky approach. Short term leasing deals (5 years instead of 10 yrs). Earn more with GPUaaS -- this is capex intensive. They are funding with prepayment (lower financial cost) + financing + cash generating business. Look at their balance sheet. It looks clean.

@DeepValueBagger My original point was that this is a complicated financial mess that $IREN has itself in and I thought you were saying that you were going to trust they know what they’re doing because of the guy running it and where his degree is from. In no way was I saying AI demand will fall


Snap+ is a great way to ramp up revenue and build loyalty. $3.99 cheap affordable … P/s valuation all good, very peter lynch deep value ish

Summary: Bullish SNAP: Snap+ drives revenue/loyalty at $3.99, Perplexity adds value, P/S valuation seen as deep-value attractive.

@RiskSeekngbhvr @Jack64128896 Thanks. A lot to cover but I'll share 2 insights:

1.  The Snap+ is a great way to ramp up revenue and build loyalty. $3.99 cheap affordable

2. Perplexity will further add value to Snap+, loyalty. And they're getting paid for it.

---

@RiskSeekngbhvr @Jack64128896 yes, and P/s valuation all good, very peter lynch deep value ish


Summary: Bullish on TE as a tier-1 growth stock; surprised by its price action.

$te is a tier 1 growth stock. I'm constantly suprised by its price action. https://t.co/0amrZXX3Sz


Summary: Each named stock is undervalued due to miscategorization; rerating upside implied for TSLA, IREN, RKLB, and INTC.

I love the concept of "Find a a company that is miscategorized".

$TSLA is not an EV company, it's a robotic company.
$IREN is not a Bitcoin mining company, it's AI infra.
$RKLB is not a space launch company, it's space end-to-end company.
$INTC is not a PC chip company, it's a fab/design/chip company.

This video is pure alpha gold.  Find a company that is miss categorized.

$IREN is not a bitcoin miner with AI ambitions.  Full rerating is coming in 2026.


$IREN is not a Bitcoin mining company, it's AI infra.


$RKLB is not a space launch company, it's space end-to-end company.


$INTC is not a PC chip company, it's a fab/design/chip company.


Summary: Long INTC; stock should be above $60 on today's news, urging conviction on down days ahead of a bull run.

$INTC probably should be above $60 based on today's news.  Having conviction on market down days, will set you up for the bull run.


Summary: Bullish AMZN on Kuiper satellite enterprise rollout synergies with AWS/Amazon client base, with government and business use cases driving revenue.

$AMZN is quietly launching its satellite Kuiper services to enterprise customers and expanding to 2026.  Launched 180 production satellites.

There's probably more money to be made in enterprise as the use case are more critical to government agencies, and businesses.  This is synergetic to AWS & Amazon clients, and its capability to approach enterprise customers. They can have plenty of time to approach Telcos later.


Summary: Endorses mega-investor's thesis of being heavily long NVDA and TSLA, convinced AI is not a bubble.

Great to see mega investor share their thesis.

Like my experience with top leader & billionaires, big ideas must be distilled into simple ideas that must hold true.

$nvda $tsla.

I was all-in-Tesla; I am still mostly in Tesla + T-bills

I bought 1 million shares of NVDA last night; plan to buy more.

I am convinced AI is NOT a bubble, it is only the beginning.

AI is the heart of KQID time engine.

KQID is AGI.

KQID is Singularity.


Summary: Author endorses Pelosi's leveraged long positions in AMZN, GOOGL, and NVDA via deep ITM calls expiring Jan 2027.

Nancy likes $AMZN too. She bought deep ITM calls (like a leveraged position, along with $GOOGL $NVDA.

Nancy Pelosi disclosed the following call option purchases:

• 20 $GOOGL calls | $150 strike | Jan 2027
• 20 $AMZN calls | $150 strike | Jan 2027
• 20 $NVDA calls | $100 strike | Jan 2027 https://t.co/MqkJTNqyMF


Summary: Bullish MU: early innings, multiple catalysts, reasonable valuation; analogizes to NVDA's 2025 trajectory.

@MikeQuinones_ Not in the mood for these crazy haters lurking on my posts.  but TDLR, still early, lots of catalysts, valuation is reasonable, think of NVDA in 2025

@DeepValueBagger Have you posted a thesis around $MU? I got a spare 30k to invest, but not sure if memory is cyclical. Weighing the risks on that part vs the P/E which looks like good value from a forward P/E basis


Summary: Bullish IREN on highest $/sq-ft metrics and revenue scaling through 2025/2026 at Texas AI campus.

That's some serious farming in Texas $iren.

Highest $/sq foot and revenue scaling in 2025/2026

THE $IREN AI MEGA-CAMPUS IN TEXAS IS ALMOST COMPLETE

Coming into 2025, most people had no idea what IREN was planning in Childress, Texas.

The company is close to completing one of the largest AI data-center campuses in the country, set to run tens of thousands of GPUs across https://t.co/1rrliuVvey


Paypal is a company that lacks long term vision. But Alex came from software, not payments... he's a hardware executive. For a payments company.

Summary: Bearish PYPL: outgoing CEO lacked payments expertise, replacement also a poor fit (hardware exec for a payments company), company lacks long-term vision.

This is a great read directly from the former President of Paypal who brought in the golden era of Paypal.  I'm very much in agreement with him. Paypal is a company that lacks long term vision.

His commentary on Alex, which was something on my mind as well.

> But Alex came from software, not payments. He understood SMB product development. He didn't have the muscle memory for transaction economics, network effects, or settlement infrastructure.  In hindsight, he also made an error: clearing out much of the leadership team that understood payments deeply.  Executives with years of institutional knowledge departed within his first year.  This morning, Alex was removed as CEO. Branded checkout grew 1% last quarter.

> The board tapped another operator, Enrique Lores, the former HP CEO who's been on the PayPal board for five years.  I don’t know Enrique. And he might be a great leader, but on paper at least, he’s a hardware executive. For a payments company. $PYPL

A few thoughts about PayPal, nearly 12 years after I left.

I woke up this morning to dozens of messages from former PayPal colleagues. It pushed me to finally speak up.

I never spoke publicly about the company after I left. Part of that was loyalty to John Donahoe, who gave me


You can just tell Nebius is getting stuff done left and right... A serious call like Nebius is reporting like 5 subsidaries, sold out capacity, new products, new techs, new partnership.. the list is long. It is a reflection of the entire company execution.

Summary: Bullish Nebius on strong execution across subsidiaries/capacity/products; bearish IREN on poor earnings call quality suggesting amateur management.

You can just tell Nebius is getting stuff done left and right.   It's telling when you watch how CEO reports. I did not like getting education of "ai datacenter value" in ER call from $IREN last quarter -- it's amateur hour.

A serious call like Nebius is reporting like 5 subsidaries, sold out capacity, new products, new techs, new partnership.. the list is long. It is a reflection of the entire company execution.

@DeepValueBagger @CortadoDev @danroberts0101 Interesting take. I think it boils down to the acknowledgement of the extent of their expertise.

Rather waste time building out something technically inferior they would rather buy it, and keep focus on expanding their scope of land and power in the short term.


I did not like getting education of 'ai datacenter value' in ER call from $IREN last quarter -- it's amateur hour


Summary: Investor in Anduril (private) and likes KRKNF; bullish on both defense-tech names, Anduril more so.

I like $KRKNF but not as much as Anduril itself. I am now an investor in Anduril. The products are top tier:  UAV subs, jet plane, bombs. The AI, and platform are also so top tier. I wanted to put in a lot more actually. Love the company.


Summary: Prefers NBIS over IREN on higher revenue growth, execution visibility, and multi-platform DC; bearish IREN on BTC mining drag, Microsoft execution risk, and ATM dilution risk.

This week $NBIS outperformed $IREN in a huge stretch.

I'm glad I sold more than 1/2 $IREN to $NBIS few weeks ago. My only regret I didn't do for all of it.  Here's why...

1. NBIS revenue growth much higher than IREN
2.NBIS execution is more visible/software/ platform/customers/multiple platform DC.
3. IREN AI business is still small, and BTC mining is a huge drag. They obviously can't throw all those miners away, and must keep them running to end of life.
4. IREN depends on higher execution risk w/ Microsoft. Microsoft reserve the rights discontinue - my nightmare case.  With lack of execution history on the AI side, this is difficult to stomach.
5. IREN atm risk is looming.


IREN AI business is still small, and BTC mining is a huge drag. IREN depends on higher execution risk w/ Microsoft. IREN atm risk is looming.


Summary: Plans to fully liquidate IREN on catalysts; bearish on execution risk around data center build-out and Microsoft contract dependency.

@PrjOwnTime I will liquidate all $IREN on any good catalysts to trim down on DC exposure. It has the biggest execution risk IMO. Remember if they f*** up on getting those DC up for whatever reason (acquiring nvidia cards, memory, power, cooling, whatever), Microsoft can walk away.

@DeepValueBagger Wild…. Longer term headwind for $NBIS and $IREN…

Probably some juice left to squeeze this year though.

Will keep this in mind thanks!


Summary: Long NBIS (strong), TSLA (durable), INTC (favorite); uncertain on HOOD given weak economy.

@coinviction $NBIS is strong... $HOOD i'm not sure with a weak economy. $TSLA is very durable. $INTC is another favorite.


Summary: Bullish INTC: hyperscaler earnings confirm CPU demand remains strong.

Based on Google, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft earnings, i heard that CPU is still very much in demand. $intc https://t.co/ICQBQJDafq


Summary: Holds a massive long INTC position (~50,000 shares); deep conviction over a 12-month horizon.

Call me Crouching Value Hidden Bagger.

For every $10 to $INTC goes up, I gain half a million dollar. This is the hidden power of deep conviction. You may not hear me talk about a dozen companies at a time. Honestly It's tiring to keep track of it. The more busy you are doesn't mean the better investor you are. You sit, and think about what is the most important thing that will happen in 12 months.


Summary: Long INTC on diversified use-case exposure (modem, CPU, gaming, memory) making it less sensitive to AI pullback.

@Spykex02 I'm bullish only intc because it's agnostic, not just ai, modem chip , cpu, gaming, memory and so many uses cases.   That way it's less sensitive to ai pullback.

@DeepValueBagger Are you bullish semiconductors with all the capex?


There's only so much you can pack in an app like this... There's a tradeoff in increase monetization and growth -- we may see a shock - i know this is speculation but another reason I would hesitate

Summary: Bearish DUOL: pricing in revenue decline, monetization/growth tradeoff limits upside, hesitant to own.

You can search my profile for $DUOL. I have been very consistent with it. You're seeing a pricing in of decline revenue. There's only so much you can pack in an app like this, speaking as former product leader in this Mobile app space (Zynga execs were my desk-mates) as well. There's a tradeoff in increase monetization and growth -- we may see a shock - i know this is speculation but another reason I would hesitate.

I look at qualitative aspect of it. obv the numbers look great. but there's a reason why it's down.

@DeepValueBagger Heheh, gotta love these memes. But on a more serious note; you think so? What’s your take on it DVB?


$NBIS without a doubt. The CEO is a tech ceo who wants to be the 4th Hyperscaler (a native AI hyperscaler)! Strong ambition... NBIS built their own servers instead of buying expensive DELL servers, built their entire software stack. Investment from $NVDA. These are strong signals.

Summary: Strong conviction long NBIS for long-term hold: tech-focused CEO with hyperscaler ambitions, proprietary servers/software stack, and NVDA investment as key signals.

$NBIS without a doubt. The CEO is a tech ceo who wants to be the 4th Hyperscaler (a native AI hyperscaler)!  Strong ambition, not some finance CEO who tells everyone "we're early, don't rush it, we'll get a perfect deal".   NBIS built their own servers instead of buying expensive DELL servers, built their entire software stack. Investment from $NVDA. These are strong signals.

@DeepValueBagger Which one you choose $IREN or $NBIS for longterm hold


Summary: Long VRT at $246; AI data center buildout drives demand for Vertiv's off-the-shelf cooling solutions as the global leader in the hardest part of the puzzle.

AI scaling is very is very modular and a lot of companies that goes in to AI data center don't have no experience with data center or cooling so we're to provide these off the shelf Solutions which makes a lot of sense. Vertiv is global leader in cooling, the hardest part of the puzzle.

@DeepValueBagger Honest question, what’s your reasoning for entering a position like VRT at 246 after a huge pump this month already? Mentally feels too risky for me


Summary: Still bullish IREN into end of quarter as 1.4GW capacity comes online.

@OInvests End of this quarter with 1.4gw coming online should be good

@DeepValueBagger Does this concern you? Do you still hold the same bullish stance on $IREN as you did 6 months ago?


Summary: Long AAPL, NVDA, DELL as primary beneficiaries of a 2026 edge-computing boom driven by local inference demand.

BIG 2026 PREDICTION: EDGE COMPUTING

I went deep into the rabbit hole with OpenClaw and setting it up for my personal uses like finance, and health. It costed me nearly $200 for over 2 weeks use. The $80 claude max ran out in a few days, and tokens from openai ran out fast. I figured that xai has the lowest cost by 10x to 15x factor.  That's when I digged into a bit more with local model. With my 12GB VRAM RTX, I could run a decent model suprisingly with newer backend like vllm serving openai compatible apis.

I ordered by first Nvidia blackwell gb10 128MB VRAM to do more computation. At the pace I'm using with more frequent updates, the only economical way is local inference.  Anyways my whole experience convinced me that in 2026 there will be a big shift into edge computing. Openclaw community have been buying up M3 Ultra 128GB $3500 all the way up to 512GB $10K unified RAM (eg it talks directly to the CPU). Apple is selling them like hotcakes. On the nonmac, Nvidia has been licensing to HP, Asus, and Dell. AMD also has a solution with 395+ CPU, and Intel will soon have one.

Mark my words, every company will want their own rack server, and every developer will have their own local inference computer.  The price reminds me of the the same cost of my first computer 33Mhz 4GB RAM computer. As cost decreases, it will be more accessible for each person.  This will be a new growth segment for  $APPL $NVDA and $DELL. All have shared very bullish guidances so far.


Summary: Cautiously bullish INTC; CEO sandbagging outlook, expects stronger momentum in one more quarter.

Strong $INTC but not amazing. Lip-Bu Tan is sandbagging the outlook, and I think we need 1 more quarter to see more momentum. https://t.co/UDfOhKsIf4


$INTC is so overvalued. It makes no sense. 😂

Summary: Bearish INTC; author calls it grossly overvalued at 100x fwd PE.


Summary: Author discloses adding to INTC position, implying continued bullish stance.

BREAKING: $NVDA increased its stake in $INTC Intel in Q4, +$7.93B, per 13F filings. https://t.co/yZPDOuwJNN


Summary: Long DUOL with 600X upside potential claimed.

Duolingo $DUOL has 600X potential now - Antonio

P.S. This is not a promotion.  And stay away if you do not like to lose money. https://t.co/O4uFqp5hQY


Significant upside across key metrics signals improved execution and demand momentum. Expanding margin is great to see.

Summary: Bullish INTC on beat-and-raise Q1/Q2 with expanding margins signaling improved execution.

- Intel reports strong Q1 results:
  - Revenue: $13.6B (vs. est. $12.4B)
  - EPS: $0.29 (vs. est. $0.01)
  - Gross margin: 41% (vs. est. 35%)

- Q2 guidance exceeds expectations:
  - Revenue: $14.4B (vs. est. $13.1B)
  - EPS: $0.20 (vs. est. $0.08)
  - Gross margin: 39% (vs. est. 36%)

Significant upside across key metrics signals improved execution and demand momentum. $INTC

My commentary: Expanding margin is great to see.


Summary: Bearish CRM: AI replacing salespeople shrinks per-seat demand, compounding headwinds beyond software displacement.

$CRM going down is not just about AI replacing software. It's AI replacing sales people, hence reduces software which is $200/per seat.


I'm accumulating more shares. No one does automated factory like Tesla/Elon. bullish.

Summary: Accumulating TSLA shares on solar cell production expansion and Tesla's automated factory edge.

$tsla to build solar cell production.  I'm accumulating more shares. https://t.co/K83JtC8gYi

---

No one does automated factory like  Tesla/Elon. bullish.


Summary: Bullish IREN: existing Microsoft deal already drives $3.4B ARR target; more deals coming could push higher.

@beavinvests that's with existing deal like microsoft. imagine after after a couple more deals in the next few months

$IREN targeting $3.4B in AI cloud ARR by EOY 2026.

Wow.


Summary: Holding 5000 shares of HOOD; bullish on high margins, multi-business revenue growth, and strong cash position.

Changed my mind on $HOOD. I'm not leaving my 5000 shares. I'm going to stay.
$67B marketcap
$4B cash
$4.4B revenue (annually)
92% gross margin
52% net profit margin
multiple businesses growing. https://t.co/QEf7lM4DwM


Summary: Decisive bearish verdict on ASST: CLO paid $20M (4% of mktcap), higher than Fortune 500 peers; stock called toxic.

Remember last year I blasted the $asst CIO for moonlighting with their competitor MSTR?

Below is the $asst Chief Legal paid $20m mostly in stock, 4% of marketcap, paid higher than even fortune 500.  The stock is toxic. Period.


Summary: Bought IREN LEAPS ahead of earnings; long position.

@DeepValueBagger IRENs earnings tonight, what bad timing.


Summary: Bullish INTC on Apple's reported plan to use Intel 18A process for entry-level M chips.

$AAPL is preparing to use $INTC 18A process for entry-level M chips as early as 2027.

The volumes are tiny relative to Apple’s core silicon roadmap so it doesn’t move the needle for $TSM which will still own the high-end & high-volume work.

What it does show is that IFS may https://t.co/nufLrZMIzg


Summary: IREN losing out to NBIS and CRWV in Meta's GPU cloud stack; software advantage tips the win to NBIS and CRWV.

I was also making a point about entitlement from Meta engs. It's very hard to please them. I can see IREN quickly falloff the list. $NBIS and $CRWV won. Software matters. https://t.co/Y7mDVH49N3

I have been to $meta main campus 5 times during my time in Silicon Valley. Few my friends went to work there so i had the privilege to visit, and enjoy the food there.

So this is what i think happens:

A. Meta looks at coreweave stack, woah, so cool! They're using same tools and


Summary: Bearish META: core platform exhausted, AI capex won't generate good ROI without a new business line.

@MAnfilofyev agreed. $META has to create a new business. they're in perfect position to run AI datacenter cloud and use their own foundation model. There is nothing to squeeze from existing platform.  Capex on that will not yield good ROI.

@DeepValueBagger $META suffers from the red queen effect - it has to spend on AI just to keep producing ad ROI for its customers.

Revenue is capped by number of users and their discretionary funds - growth there is very limited as META has run out of people with funds who aren't already on the


Great take on $aapl. That was my conclusion too.

Summary: Endorses bullish thesis that Apple's AI strategy positions it to win long-term.

i find it fucking hilarious how Apple "failing" at AI is now the exact reason they're about to win it:

- watched everyone else burn $1.4T+ building models... then picked the winner (gemini) to use for... $1B

- while everyone fights to grow users, apple flips a switch and 2.5 https://t.co/LshRVUlEm8


Summary: Sold IREN (expects further decline) and rotated into AMD (growth potential).

My wife still have $IREN with small loss. I told her to sell yesterday but wanted to hold her loss, and it's "only" a few shares.   My mentality is don't justify holding any stock that you believe to to continue to go down. You'd rather have it cash or a position with growth potential.

Anyways, enough nagging, she sold and bought $AMD.

---

Today $IREN is down 4% while $NBIS is green.


don't justify holding any stock that you believe to to continue to go down


Summary: Disclosed large long position in INTC; endorses CPU-over-GPU narrative for agentic AI.

@alexander_dww yes, there's a narrative that CPU > GPU for agentic.   Big holder of $INTC so I'm good.

@DeepValueBagger I think this year is the year for CPU stocks like $AMD $INTC $ARM


Summary: Bullish IREN into H1 2026 on power confirmation; bullish GOOGL on diversified business and user base.

I agree. H1 2026 looks good for $IREN as the remaining power gets confirmed. Looks shakey as others come online as well, all supported by demand.  Diversified business with strong user base like $GOOGL with its expertise is poised to do really well. Adjusting to right exposure the right key here.

My 1st take on 2026 🦺

From time to time, it’s healthy to pause, step back, and think about what’s next for the market from a macro perspective, and reflect on whether your current portfolio is still aligned with your view of the bigger picture.

My 1st thinking for 2026:

🏦


Diversified business with strong user base like $GOOGL with its expertise is poised to do really well


Summary: Long MU on better risk/reward; thesis that Optimus will need HBM drives the call.

Risk reward is just much better $mu https://t.co/1TjyjCyjkp

I have a crazy idea.

$TSLA optimus will need HBM.  Sell $TSLA for $MU.
Once army is assembled, buy $TSLA.


Summary: Endorses parent's bullish Intel stance; 'we're early' signals upside ahead.

$INTC What I really enjoy about being heavily bullish Intel is that practically there is no media outlet / no FinX influencer, who genuinely even cares for Intel or the narrative.

Banks upgrade: ignored.
Foundry wins: ignored.
Customer wins: ignored.
Panther Lake win:


Summary: Bullish AAPL: Apple Silicon Mac Studios positioned as $10k AI compute machines selling strongly, shifting revenue narrative beyond iPhones.

Forget $appl making money on $1500 phone.

They're selling $10k ai compute machines like hot cakes.

Pretty incredible that this is running 100% locally on 2 x 512GB M3 Ultra Mac Studios connected with a Thunderbolt 5 cable consuming ~400W.

This is possible now because of a perfect storm of:
- Models: Really good Chinese open models.
- Hardware: Apple Silicon with unified https://t.co/uYcJN4tSDt