Summary: Conditionally bearish Nasdaq; will short once 10Y yield hits 3.50%, currently at 3.42% and not yet triggered.

structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker

Still early in the day for the markets but very interesting day in TNX.  Today is a big jump in yield to 3.42%.  I require 3.50% in order to short the Nasdaq.  Getting close to pulling the trigger but still 100% in cash.  Let the market come to you. https://t.co/CLVxY22uyP


Summary: Holding SPXU (3x inverse S&P) long; expects SPX to break 4687.50 support and drop to 4609 near-term.

I was correct staying fully committed to #SPXU into the new year.  4687.50 on SPX held today.  Tomorrow if we break support, then we could very quickly get to 4,609.38. That would take care of a good portion of the December gains.  What is causing risk off? War?  Recession? jobs? https://t.co/Mhe7qPxVjf


I'll be selling my position this week in #oil and will take a new position in #SPXU

Summary: Contingent plan: sell oil and buy SPXU if SPX breaks below 5,489.90 this week.

If #SPX falls below 5,489.90, I’ll be selling my position this week in #oil and will take a new position in #SPXU.  I don’t think that will happen this week but it’s always best to have a plan in place.  When I look back at 2024, nothing has been based off of emotional trades. https://t.co/yZkJgznXr3


Summary: Calls S&P500 officially a bear market; urges longs to rethink, holds SPXU (inverse S&P ETF) as a short-market bet.

$SPX was down -0.39% for the day to close at 6,343.84.  My family accounts were up 1.07% and  $SPXU was the same.  I’m ready to now call this officially a “Bear Market”.  This is bad.  Those wishing for the “Pop Up”and are still long…rethink your strategy. https://t.co/FzdNL0aJ7S


I went from all cash to fully invested in SPXU at a purchase price of $10.08... mkt has become more overvalued and indicators are now going off. $10.15 confirms my trade.

Summary: Fully invested in SPXU (3× short S&P 500); market overvalued, indicators confirming, current price $10.15 validates the bearish position.

On November 21, I went from all cash to fully invested in SPXU at a purchase price of $10.08.  At the time, no indicator gave confirmations. Over the last 12 trading days, mkt has become more overvalued and indicators are now going off.  $10.15 confirms my trade.  Fade consensus. https://t.co/Bl26vZdGgH


Summary: Holds a full long position in oil; watching $77 as a price marker for confirmation.

CL=F is crude oil futures; USO is liquid tradable proxy

Exactly $77.00 will be the price marker to confirm my full position in purchasing Oil.  I already have a full position based on the possibility of Iran striking Israel.  Sources in Israel tell me it may not happen.  So far this week in oil, I’m up +2.67%. https://t.co/f3d8kM2AmQ


I have bought $SPXU at $15.88 just moments ago. Price target for the day trade will be $15.95 or great if possible.

Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $15.88, intraday target $15.95+; implied short S&P 500.

New week new opportunities.  I have bought $SPXU at $15.88 just moments ago.  A very strong day for the bulls.  Price target for the day trade will be $15.95 or great if possible.  It’s moments like these when mental fortitude is important and not giving in to the impossibility. https://t.co/9O5ugLYQUs


Summary: Still holding SPXU long; daily Buy signal fresh, trend supports rising yields to 5% on 10-year.

#SPXU was up +4.78% today to generate a new daily “Buy” signal.  I did not cover my full position in #SPXU last week.  I’m worried that Powell will say something to push up the markets tomorrow but the trend is still rising yields to 5% on the 10 year. https://t.co/UXhjli6YyG


Summary: HYG monthly sell signal triggered Friday, implying SPX decline ahead; author is short-only SPX, drawing parallel to 2021-2022 setup.

I began trading as a short only $SPX trader in November of 2021. I had successfully transitioned my portfolio due to looming war worries with Ukraine.  HYG on the “Monthly” chart went off in December of 2021.  $SPX was down 22% by June 2022.  HYG hit a “Monthly Sell” this Friday! https://t.co/r12lBwkpRV


Summary: Short SPX targeting 5,362.80 (-1.7%) on weekly sell signal; holds full SPXU position.

5,362.80 is the number to watch this week if #SPX triggers a “Weekly Sell Signal”. That is only about -1.7% more of a drop from here.  I believe it is very possible to get there and maybe even this week.   I remain in a full position in #SPXU. https://t.co/iMwTnAbttt


Summary: All-in long SPXU (3x inverse S&P) at $10.08; expects 10Y yield reversal to 4.36% to pressure SPX in December.

For the month of December only, I believe the 10 Year bottomed today at 4.12%.  The 10 Yr is now overbought and in the Panic Buying Zone.  A reversal to 4.36% will be enough to create some trouble with SPX and help with my current trade in SPXU that I went all in at $10.08. https://t.co/e8sOqQF4Fq


Summary: Short SPX over 3-6 months via continued SPXU position; downside target 5,200 vs upside 6,900.

$SPX remains in a buy.  The upside potential is 6,900 by year end representing +6.46% upside.  The downside potential is 5,200 representing -19.76% downside.  The short term advantage over the next 3-6 months leans towards shorting $SPX vs being long.  I’ll continue with $SPXU. https://t.co/HkB6FmsD4O


Summary: Short EWG targeting $23.75 (-15.3% from $28.05); DAX in Panic Buying Zone after China reopening rally.

Germany’s DAX is clearly in the Panic Buying Zone.  The ETF to short is EWG.  The Panic Selling Zone is $23.75.  Based on yesterdays close of $28.05, this represents a -15.3% return.  The DAX rallied based on China reopening story.  Interesting set up. https://t.co/FaxIxWRaty


Summary: Short-term sell signal on SPX pending VIX confirmation above 14.26; higher yields and weaker economic data reinforce bearish view.

Tomorrow we should get confirmation from the VIX that SPX is in a short term sell signal.  I require a move above 14.26 on the VIX to confirm the sell signal from last week.  The bond market is telling us that higher yields are refusing to go lower.  Weaker economic data coming. https://t.co/6d6aTtDl6A


HYG went into a 'Monthly Sell' last Friday. 5.00% downside remains until 4,700

Summary: Bearish near-term: expects market to fade green open and close red; HYG on monthly sell with 5% downside.

Plan of action for today is to remain in cash at the open.  My expectations are to see the markets trade into the green today but close in the red.  Today should be a good opportunity to make money.  HYG went into a “Monthly Sell” last Friday.  5.00% downside remains until 4,700. https://t.co/NHM00DNbTL


Summary: Holding SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF); believes correction has just started and it's too early to cover.

So many on X today calling to BTFD.  The correction just got started.  But if they are correct, I’ll be covering at 5,595.50.  I remain committed to my position in #SPXU.  Too early to sell.  I remember I used to sell at any uptick 20 years ago. https://t.co/pHzCgzpUF1


I plan to buy $SPXU at the open. I will buy at the $51.65 range and price target will be $51.88 or greater

Summary: Day trade: long SPXU (3x inverse S&P) at $51.65, target $51.88+, expects a new trading channel to begin.

Game plan for trading on Wednesday: Futures are up  by 0.35%.  I plan to buy $SPXU at the open.  This will be a strict day trade.  I will buy at the $51.65 range and price target will be $51.88 or greater if selling shows up.  I see the beginning of a trading channel. https://t.co/lwlepwaBGw


Summary: Bearish Nasdaq outlook for 2024, targeting 26.72% drop; considers SQQQ but hesitant to commit after past losses.

Confirmation of my outlook for 2024 would be a close below 12,532.20.  Base case is for a 26.72% drop to the Panic Selling Zone.  #SQQQ could be an option for me to consider.  However, in May and June of 2023, it significantly hurt my returns.  Very shy to commit capital again. https://t.co/99tO6NZqbt


#SQQQ could be an option for me to consider


Summary: Long SPXU at $13.42 targeting $13.55 as a strict day trade, implying short S&P 500 exposure.

I have just purchased $SPXU at $13.42.  Price objective is $13.55.  This will be a strict day trade.  Looking at $SPX, a new “Daily Buy Signal” will be triggered at 6.722.70.  Be careful today.  We are only 30 points away from that trigger point.  I’m a short seller. https://t.co/4KnmUaiNwZ


Summary: Short Nasdaq via a live position; expects MSFT and Google earnings next week to contribute to the downside.

Next week is key for me.  Shorting the Nasdaq comes with great risk. MSFT, Google, META and Amazon report next week.  Everyone knows the significant weight it has.  I expect MSFT and Google to contribute to the downside.  If not, I could be in trouble.  Life of a short seller.


industry='Internet Content & Information'


Summary: Short SPX to year-end; downside target 4,200 by March 2025 vs 5,650 upside; plans 100% short via SPXU on confirmation below 5,389.

#SPX was down -4.25% for the week, triggering a new “Daily Sell Signal” and a new “Weekly Sell Warning Signal”.  Now the upside is 5,650 and the downside is to 4,200 by March of 2025.  Upside is +4.28% and downside is -22.30%.  Risk to reward favours the short side to year end. https://t.co/07BhWj0leb

---

The number to confirm the downtrend is more serious is 5,389.40.  In that case I’ll be back to 100% short SPX with no exposure to oil.  #SPXU will be my method of choice for me and only me.


Summary: Took a live long SQQQ position Friday, implying a short bet on the Nasdaq from current levels.

The Nasdaq was up +0.29% for the week. I went long SQQQ on Friday. For the week I am up +0.90%.  MTD the Nasdaq is up +0.71% while I’m up +1.03.  YTD the Nasdaq is up +16.87% vs my personal return of 17.15%. Achieved by only being short SPX/Nasdaq or in cash.  The pressure is on. https://t.co/tjcnmNbLmx


Summary: Bearish SPY; selling down to 4,700 target.

@HostileCharts Selling all the way to 4,700.

$SPY - You buy or selling this?

S&P 500 upside down. https://t.co/9ztlCE8bOZ


$3.40 is my actual target. Nearly stopped out today but that's the risk to reward ratio. I am personally holding the position.

Summary: Holding ZSL (2x inverse silver ETF) with $3.40 price target; confirmed live short-silver position.

@InflationFix $3.40 is my actual target.  Nearly stopped out today but that’s the risk to reward ratio.  I am personally holding the position.

@RonCyr9 Absolutely crazy swings in $GLL and $ZSL today. Do they still go higher?  Are you still holding onto that $4 price target for $ZSL?


Summary: Bearish Nasdaq to 13,900 in 2025; long SQQQ as the vehicle to generate alpha on the decline.

The Nasdaq, over the last 24 months is up +78.88%.  Only 2 years ago we were trading at 11,014 if anyone wants to know where the Nasdaq was on Dec.6, 2022.  I have been prudent to avoid even trying to short the Nasdaq.  13,900 will be my 2025 target and $SQQQ will gen alpha. https://t.co/YybZmWC62c


I'm expecting a very weak markets until the first week of April. Then we will review markets again. Back to $23.00?

Summary: Long SPXU (bearish S&P 500) expecting weak markets through early April, targeting $23 on SPXU.

For the month the S&P 500 was down a total of -2.61%, while my personal accounts were up a total of +8.34% by being long SPXU.  I’m expecting a very weak markets until the first week of April.  Then we will review markets again.  3927 is key to break this week.  Back to $23.00? https://t.co/9d6luBDqkI


2 issues that will continue to bring prices down... 4,700 by June

Summary: Short SPY/S&P500 to 4,700 by June on tariff war failure and Israel-Iran escalation.

@Mr_Derivatives What most bears are failing to understand are 2 issues that will continue to bring prices down.  Trumps tariff war will be a failure and you will know it once the Commerce Secretary is fired and lastly Israel will be given the go to hit Iran Nuke program.  4,700 by June.

$SPY $QQQ Every bear account I follow says a bounce this week.

What does that say about this week?


Summary: Planning to buy SPXU at $12.45 targeting $12.50 as a day trade with stop at $12.32.

Game plan for trading on Wednesday: Futures are up by a 0.35%.  I plan to buy $SPXU at $12.45 with a price target of $12.50.  Once again, this will be a strict day trade with of stop at $12.32.  Risk management has been very good this week vs my tool $SPXU. https://t.co/MaWcqg0DfW


Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $51.35; watching 6,808.56 S&P level to decide on overnight hold.

I have purchased $SPXU during the first couple of minutes of trading.  Bought $SPXU at $51.35.  I need to watch markets today very closely to determine if I hold overnight or not.  6,808.56 is the number to close below today. https://t.co/JIgaJVPCHl


Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P500 ETF) as a day trade with target $50.33 from $49.92 entry.

I have purchased $SPXU at $49.92 as a day trade only.  My price target is $50.33.  I am slowly running out of trading days for 2025.  I know mentally that I’ve had a strong year but  have been hesitant very hesitantly to make more trades. https://t.co/ey2PazQRhe


Summary: Holds first significant long since Nov 2021; currently long oil; watching 5,421.40 SPX for new daily buy signal.

Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF

5,421.40 is the number on $SPX to generate at new daily buy signal.  We did not break the “Panic Selling Zone” but todays action was pretty encouraging for long positions.  I am currently in my first significant long position since Nov. of 2021.  I am currently long oil. https://t.co/963UJmWxsc


I'm still long SPXU and will cover if the 10 year reverses back to 4.35%

Summary: Still holding SPXU (3x inverse S&P), targeting 4275 cover; bearish on S&P 500 from 4457.

@markminervini I became cautious on July 27.  I tweeted that day that the top for the year was in.  I went long SPXU at 4457.  I have stated that 4,275 would be my target to cover.  However, I’m still long SPXU and will cover if the 10 year reverses back to 4.35%.

The major indexes are oversold and may bounce, but stocks are still under selling pressure. Our short term model switched to cautious on 7/26 and very cautious on 8/3 (an effective sell signal for individual breakout trading). Our long term $SPY model that went on a buy signal on https://t.co/jKTL3G41jI


I'm fully invested in $SPXU and continue to believe we go lower

Summary: Fully invested in SPXU (3x inverse S&P); expects S&P 500 to go lower, watching 6,586.40 as confirmation level.

$SPX was down -1.94% for the week to close at 6,602.99.  My family accounts were up +8.94% and $SPXU was up 5.95%.  The model did trigger a “Weekly Sell Signal” but I’m not convinced until we trade below 6,586.40.  I’m fully invested in $SPXU and continue to believe we go lower. https://t.co/nx0cjvgWET


At the open I will be purchasing a full position in $SPXU. The purpose is in anticipation of the start of tariff wars. We should see a negative response.

Summary: Bought full position in SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF) anticipating negative market reaction to tariff wars.

At the open I will be purchasing a full position in $SPXU.  The objective is to not day trade today.  The purpose is in anticipation of the start of tariff wars.  We should see a negative response. https://t.co/nKeHj1vbKo

---

Purchased a full position in $SPXU at $20.30.

---

Last hour of trading and we have a bearish reversal today.  It was pretty apparent this morning and didn’t understand why we didn’t open lower.  What a great way to end the month. https://t.co/BNr2FVtlcw


I have purchased $ZSL a double inverse Silver ETF. I have purchased $ZSL at a price of $1.83. I plan to hold this position for one week.

Summary: Bought ZSL (2x inverse silver ETF) at $1.83, plans to hold for one week; effectively short silver.

I have purchased $ZSL a double inverse Silver ETF.  I have purchased $ZSL at a price of $1.83.  I didn’t purchase right at the open as per my post last night but did within the first 15 minutes.  I plan to hold this position for one week.  I will review the trade at that time. https://t.co/pmDL9zg4h5

I have purchased $SPXU at $47.14 as a strict day trade.  My price target is $47.37.  The market continues to ride higher and need to keep risk management at the highest.  Secondly I need to do this because I have also shorted silver. https://t.co/z2iJt1xmmZ


Summary: Long oil to $82 by 3rd week of September on buy signal + Middle East escalation; long HOU with target exit at $14.75.

On Friday I explained that #oil hit a new buy signal.  My short term price target is $82.00 by the 3rd week of September.  The one danger in this trade is the recession fears turn to reality.  However, oil triggers a buy signal right as Middle East war fears begin to escalate. https://t.co/RUYOiWV8eT

---

I bought near the “Panic Selling Zone”.  $69.00 was the PSZ but we didn’t get there because most commodity traders are playing the war trade.  Today #HOU is up another +2.33% in early trading at $14.05.  Purchased last week at $13.09 and up over +7.30% since initial trade. https://t.co/TUMbIU3H38

---

I am up over 7.30% today and I’m going to try and sell #HOU at $14.75.  If nothing happens in Israel tonight, probably see some profit taking tomorrow from other traders.


Summary: Bearish SPX; model targets 5,250 or worse by end of May, calling potential new bear market; long SPXU.

$SPX was down -2.11% for the week to close at 6,368.74.  My family accounts were up 10.74% and  $SPXU up 6.57%.  Model points to 5,250 or worse before the end of May.  Next week is critical for me to calling this a new “Bear Market”.  You don’t call it at -20%.  It’s too late. https://t.co/b0aFLOfrtc


The price of oil is trading very close to the 'Panic Selling Zone'. Geopolitical issues that I have been concerned about for all of 2024 are beginning to emerge.

Summary: Bought HOU (leveraged oil ETF) as oil nears panic-selling zone; geopolitical risks justify contrarian long despite bearish technicals.

I purchased HOU today.  The price of oil is trading very close to the “Panic Selling Zone”.  Traditional Technical analysis would state this is a strong sell.  Geopolitical issues that I have been concerned about for all of 2024 are beginning to emerge.  I need to get here now. https://t.co/KDIhgFpRai


Summary: Opened new SPXU position at $25.77; triple-leveraged inverse S&P 500 ETF, implying bearish S&P view.

I have purchased a new position in $SPXU at $25.77. I have a good set up here and have already taken a hit today but will try once again.  If I take a loss again today, it just part of the process of being a short only trader. https://t.co/MR7xAPPhpR


Summary: Bearish NVDA to $250 by March 2024, trapping investors in a prolonged downturn.

@Mr_Derivatives By March of 2024, NVDA could be back at $250.  Trapping most investors/rookies into holding it for years. https://t.co/V21xClF9V3

$NVDA Well well what do we have here...

One of the greatest MOAT's I have seen (Mother of All Trendlines).

Today formed a nasty reversal candle and I think we should get a decent HEALTHY further pullback to fill that gap around $432.99 sooner rather than later. That's only an https://t.co/jmPt9Gp2iM


Summary: If SPX 4,288 breaks, author goes 100% into SPXU (3x inverse S&P), implying bearish view on SPX below that level.

4,288 on SPX is a must hold.  If broken I will resort back to being 100% in SPXU.  Remember that back in 1973 the market initially rallied on the Yom Kippur war. https://t.co/TPiX3inl7T


I'm closely watching NVDA to confirm that it is close to breaking down

Summary: Watching NVDA for a potential breakdown; not base case but flagged as a real bearish possibility to monitor.

$SPX was down -0.34% to close at 6,920.95.  My family accounts were in cash while $SPXU was up 0.92%.  WTD $SPX is still up 0.91%, my accounts down -1.49% and $SPXU down -2.71%.  I’m closely watching NVDA to confirm that it is close to breaking down.  Not my base case but watch. https://t.co/SDwzu5SYak


Summary: Short Nasdaq since Apr 14 with high conviction; also views Google and Microsoft as overvalued.

I’ve shorted the Nasdaq since April 14th.  However, if I do have to cover, the level is 12,115.  I am confident that this trade will still work and provide a strong return.  But I will freely admit that Google and Microsoft saved the market this week but are now overvalued. https://t.co/tilSG1TkVV


Summary: Bearish NVDA: limited upside with buying zone at $140 and selling zone at $100.

@alexkoh Panic Buying Zone is $140 and the Panic Selling Zone is $100.  Limited upside.

$NVDA cross roads 🐂 🆚 🧸

Bull case - 4 hours Golden Cross confirmed!

Bear case - 1 week Head and Shoulder forming.

Which side are you on? https://t.co/bTUeLCTCTZ


I have purchased $SPXU at $16.61. The beginning of a correction looks to be in place.

Summary: Long SPXU (3× inverse S&P 500) at $16.61; expects S&P 500 correction with a sell signal trigger at 6,120.80.

I have purchased $SPXU at $16.61.  A new daily sell signal will be triggered at 6,120.80.  We are still -1.7% off from hitting that point.  Rising yields is something to watch that could be the trigger.  The beginning of a correction looks to be in place. https://t.co/ldI9Quiw4s


Summary: Added to SPXU (3x inverse S&P) at $9.46; sees little S&P upside left in 2024 with 4700 already hit and 13% rally ripe for profit-taking.

I have added a new position to SPXU this morning at $9.46.  The rally to this point has been most impressive.  4700 is my year end 2024 target and we are nearly there already.  That leaves little upside for 2024.  A 13.00% rally since late October will lead to profit taking. https://t.co/CoB3SRwD3b


Summary: Full position in SPXU (3x inverse S&P) on geopolitical risk; watching for oil buy signal amid Israel conflict.

Full position added to #SPXU at $31.89.  Events are developing in Israel.  Drones are going to be much more effective in striking Israeli targets.  Waiting for the buy signal in oil.  Remain committed to short but may one hold daily.


Summary: Opened long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) at $21.26; bearish S&P 500 bet, duration uncertain.

Bought SPXU at $21.26.  Not sure if this will be a day-trade only or if I will hold for more than a day.  Will watch what the day brings.  My charts haven’t been updating since Dec.23 and that’s a problem for me.


Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P); SPX broke 5,916 support and targets 5,700 next.

I had no choice to purchase $SPXU at $22.61 due to the breakdown of $SPX today.  As mentioned over the weekend, 5,916 on $SPX was a must hold and it was broken.  I expected the markets to rally late in the day and it didn’t.  I’m more convince now that next stop is 5,700. https://t.co/HDRQihzoTA

---

$SPX was down -1.76% today while my family accounts resulted in a gain of +1.76%.  $SPXU closed at $23.01 today while last Friday it was  $23.00 that I sold at.  Todays action confirmed my suspicions that Friday was simply short covering.


Summary: 100% invested in SPXU (3x inverse S&P) expecting an imminent sell-off on elevated valuations, inflation, and FED day uncertainty.

$SPX was up 0.23% to close at 6,890.91.  My family accounts were down -0.68% and $SPXU the same.

$SPX is up 2.85% in the last 5 trading sessions.  I remain 100% invested in $SPXU and expect a sell off.

FED day is problematic.  Valuations, inflation and momentum is elevated. https://t.co/KG9zz5P6jf


Summary: Gold to $3,100 by June/July on strong uptrend; USD to continue selling off into fall.

Gold commodity; GLD is SPDR Gold Shares ETF

The uptrend in gold is strong but has entered the “Panic Buying Zone”, it suggests that prices could go to $3,100 by June or July.  It’s looking to be a hot summer for volatility and economic news.  While the US dollar will continue to sell off into the fall.  Supportive. https://t.co/6whydYc771


Summary: Long SQQQ (short Nasdaq) at $29.80 targeting $38.74, triggered by 10-year yield hitting 3.50%.

I have shorted the Nasdaq just minutes ago.  My trigger was the Ten year hitting 3.50% this morning.  Purchase SQQQ at $29.80.  I plan to cover at $38.74.  This looks to have a very good risk to reward ratio. https://t.co/xhObYb7JYq


I have shorted the Nasdaq just minutes ago


Summary: Long ZSL (2x inverse silver ETF) with PT $3.40, bought at $1.83; implicitly bearish on silver.

@LiQuidPr0Qu0 I went with $ZSL this morning.  My price target is $3.40.  Bought at $1.83.

$SLV gaps galore 👏 target SEVENTY 7_0

*Entry 106 but looking to ADD

It's HOW you trade this here that will make you your bag!

Cue Zeppelin lyric "...hangman, Hangman" https://t.co/pJJyQNT3HS


Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF) at $19.25 with $19.43 price target as a strict day trade.

I have purchased $SPXU at $19.25.  This will be a strict day trade.  Price target is $19.43.  It has been a difficult week to earn a positive rate of return as a short seller.  This is not something I would recommend someone to do or try.  It is very hard work to short daily. https://t.co/bnVUDuTEYh


Summary: Bought SPXU at $18.45 day trade, targeting $18.52+; implies short-term bearish bet on S&P 500.

Just moments ago, purchased $SPXU at $18.45 for a strict day trade.  The price target is $18.52 or possibly a little higher. Volatility has been very low and it has been relatively easier to make small gains on the short side even with the general trend being up.  Set up is good. https://t.co/Qzmi5kEydm


Summary: Looking to add gold stocks to US dollar account in the near future; sector showing up on buy list.

Gold mining stocks; GDX is VanEck Gold Miners ETF

This is another stock that I’m looking at adding sometime in the near future in my US dollar account.  Gold stocks are beginning to show up on my list of interesting sectors to buy.  Years ago, I’d go to a fancy hotel to hear Eric Sprott speak about his interesting ideas. https://t.co/jdL8pwpl7c


Summary: Short S&P 500 via SPXU; daily sell signal triggers at 6,206.70 amid Fed-independence fears.

We are now less then 20 points from triggering a confirmed “Daily Sell Signal”.  Trump is playing with fire if he believes he can easily fire Powell.  This threatens the integrity and independence of the FED.  Sell signal will be triggered at 6,206.70.  I’m still holding $SPXU. https://t.co/xACyLz5vIg


I have purchased SPXU near the open at $22.34. I will try again to hold this position for further gains entering into January.

Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) purchased at $22.34, holding into January for further gains on a daily sell signal.

I have purchased SPXU near the open at $22.34.  We definitely have so far a “Daily Sell signal”.  I will try again to hold this position for further gains entering into January.  I certainly wish I held my Fridays position vs selling it for a day-trade.


Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF), expecting further market losses intraday.

Purchased SPXU at $21.70.  I have the rest of the day to hopefully see further losses in the market.  SPX and HYG are trending lower in the first 15.


Summary: SPX to breach 7,000 this week; still short silver despite a 5.46% hit today.

Silver commodity; SLV is iShares Silver Trust ETF

$SPX was up 0.41% to close at 6,978.60.  My family accounts were down -0.70% and  $SPXU was down -1.23%.  $SPX could see a new high this week and finally breach 7,000.  I am still committed to shorting Silver.  I took a -5.46% hit today but allocation is 10% of portfolio. https://t.co/ClXRxe9Lin


Summary: Model targets copper at $330 by early June 2025, implying further downside from current levels.

Copper commodity; CPER is US Copper Index Fund ETF

Dr. Copper was down a massive -5.55% for the week.  Same kind of selling we saw in June and July.  Model is forecasting a price of $330.00 by early June of 2025. https://t.co/f46csJKmKg


I'm thinking energy, materials and tech for a bounce

Summary: Planning to buy energy, materials, and tech sectors over next 3–4 months for a bounce.

US energy sector; XLE is Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF

@dc10023 @leadlagreport De-risking should have happened a year ago.  We shouldn’t be talking about now.  I’m still very bearish but I’m already preparing a plan of action of what to buy in the next 3 to 4 months.  I’m thinking energy, materials and tech for a bounce.

@RonCyr9 @leadlagreport Potato Pata to. If the purpose is to understand if this is a good time to take money off the table and de-risk, the primary suggestion here is it is prudent to de-risk. How long that last might indicate be more important to funds on how aggressive to leverage a short.


US materials sector; XLB is Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF


US technology sector; XLK is Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF


Summary: HYG drop to $77.88 would confirm bear market; targets SPX 4,700 on the downside.

$HYG needs to be reviewed. Another confirmation signal of a pending bear market is a drop to $77.88.  A drop of -0.82% is all that is needed for me to say we are officially going to 4,700 $SPX. Review the chart and observe the signals & correlate that to SPX.  It gave you a sign. https://t.co/4I5dzq7NSu


Summary: Expects NVDA earnings to be supportive for markets; bullish read into the print.

I have just sold $SPXU at $22.27.  That is a gain of +3.39% in one hour of trading.  I believe tomorrow that earnings from NVDA will be supportive for the markets based on research from a reliable source.  It’s close to month end and I’ve had a tremendous month. 100% in cash. https://t.co/IixTdQFlxG


Summary: Initiating 10% position in ZSL (2x inverse silver ETF) at open Tuesday, targeting $3.40 within a week as 7th week of panic buying zones ends.

I reviewed today my old April 2011 trading journal.  The whole week I was extremely excited to short silver.  I made a full trade on Friday April 29, 2011.  I had placed $125,000 into ZSL on that date.  It was an incredible week.  Closed out my trade 4 sessions later at $168,000. https://t.co/tr6X73Tq8n

---

Game plan for Tuesday.  I plan to place a 10% position into ZSL.  I plan to make that trade at the open.  My price target is $3.40.  This will be held for the next week.  Weekly Panic Buying Zones at this level usually last 7 weeks.  This is the 7th week.  So many burned. https://t.co/KHdb8Hoa6y


Summary: Simultaneous US-China recession thesis: gold and oil rising as tells; US yields forced to 7%, inflation to 3.5%.

When will we realize that we are entering a period of a simultaneous recession in China and the US.  The tell is gold and oil.  Xi is importing gold and oil.  Secondly, uniting enemies of Israel. Creating a second front for the US, forcing yields to 7% and inflation to 3.5%. https://t.co/XqRPcswpgK


Summary: Short SPX via long SPXU (entry $24.74, target $32.00) on confirmed daily sell signal.

Encouraging week.  Accounts up +5.312% for the week.  I have a confirmed daily sell signal on $SPX. Purchased SPXU at $24.74 as a day trade on Thursday after covering after almost a month short.  Upside potential is $32.00 and downside is $22.  Meaning +28.6% upside/-11.5% DS. https://t.co/ZMty0axb6p


I remain fully invested in $SPXU. Going to follow the downwards trend. Stay short.

Summary: Fully invested in SPXU (3x inverse S&P), targeting S&P 6,500 by early March; stay short.

Update for trading for Tuesday.  I remain fully invested in $SPXU.  No more day trades for now.  Going to follow the downwards trend.  We should get to my first target of 6,500 rather quickly.  Most likely by the first week of March.  Currently up 1.90% today.  Stay short. https://t.co/UCZsBhrL7D


Summary: Holds SPXU (3× inverse S&P) on 10-year reversal triggering a new daily SELL signal; bearish S&P 500.

The 10 year reversed today.  A new daily “SELL” signal was triggered.  See how it went off in late October and caused this massive rally in SPX.  Another indicator confirming my position in #SPXU. https://t.co/l8gEzv6dKZ


Summary: Author initiated a long oil position as a 'war trade', endorsing podcast guest's thesis as a good summary of his own.

Listen to the most recent podcast from the David Lin Report.  Guest speaker, Philip Pikington, explains very well why I initiated my war trade and invested into oil this week.  @davidlin_TV.  This was released today and thought it was a very good summary of my thesis. https://t.co/1bPqLCrObJ


I have bought a full position of $SPXU at $28.21. I am holding.

Summary: Full position in SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) on fears fixed income, USD stress, and US-China tariff standoff escalate into geopolitical crisis.

I have bought a full position of $SPXU at $28.21.  I don't like what I see in the fixed income market, US dollar and China playing chicken with the US administration.  I have always assumed the Tariff policy would fail with China and lead to a geopolitical crisis.  I am holding.


I have purchased $SPXU at $25.56. I have gone short in anticipation of "Liberation Day". The long term chart is still very negative and I'm going to take advantage of it.

Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) at $25.56, short US equities into Liberation Day; long-term chart bearish, held overnight.

I have purchased $SPXU at $25.56.  I have gone short in anticipation of “Liberation Day”.  A new “daily buy signal” will be triggered at 5,720.30.  The long term chart is still very negative and I’m going to take advantage of it.  Trade will be held overnight. https://t.co/DCYtsTsDuS


Summary: Planning to go fully into SPXU (3x short S&P) on VIX buy signal; bearish DXY/TNX signals reinforce short S&P stance with 4730.6 as trigger level.

Update to potentially going fully into #SPXU by tomorrow.  The #VIX triggered another new buy signal today.  This is now the third buy trigger that did not produce results.  Big move in #DXY.  Bearish.  #TNX higher = Caution.  4,730.6 will be my trigger tomorrow or a -0.74% drop. https://t.co/G38Q97wLnW


Summary: Gold has peaked for the year; author recommends reducing exposure.

$SPX up 0.58% to 6,753.72.  My family accounts were down 1.28% and $SPXU lost 1.72%.  WTD $SPX is up 0.56% my family accounts are down 1.67% and $SPXU is down 1.57%.
The AI dip buyers came back in force.  Broke my 1% stop loss rule today.  Gold has topped for the year.  Reduce. https://t.co/t96E1hz6RM


Summary: Holds 50% long oil and 50% short SPX, viewing current equity weakness as a bear trap unconfirmed by HYG.

@alexkoh @C0Bu1 I believe it could be a bear trap because HYG is acting fine and not confirming the downtrend.  Secondly, valuations wasn’t that overvalued.  That is primarily why I am still 50% long oil and 50% short SPX.

---

@alexkoh @C0Bu1 https://t.co/0SJzFpSfvE


Summary: Bought SPXU (3× inverse S&P 500 ETF) speculating on a market drop ahead of an upcoming news event.

I have purchased $SPXU at $16.85.  I’m still on vacation and not entirely plugged in.  This reminds me of 2008 when the bill failed to pass and the market fell 800 points in a minute.  I’ll speculate before the news is out. https://t.co/3YjD4cHpq6


Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF) intraday, targeting $21.61 from $21.45 entry.

Purchased $SPXU near the open at $21.45.  Objective is to day trade.  Price target is only $21.61.  Unless things change during the day.  Starting out to be a strong move up.


a new buy signal to purchase SQQQ was triggered today. Purchased SQQQ on April 14th. Refused to cover last Friday or today

Summary: Long SQQQ (3x inverse Nasdaq ETF); new buy signal triggered, holding position with Nasdaq close below 11,991 needed to confirm.

Once again, a new buy signal to purchase SQQQ was triggered today.  I require the Nasdaq to close below 11,991 tomorrow.  These kind of markets are not profitable for a trend follower with a bias to short.  Purchased SQQQ on April 14th.  Refused to cover last Friday or today. https://t.co/AX7kJkL9dL


Summary: Model forecasts -10.8% to -25.1% US market decline to year-end with no new highs; also long oil.

I’m confused.  Markets have gone higher yet my model is still forecasting lower markets to year end.  If true, the downside potential is between a minimum of -10.8% to -25.10% and no year end rally to new highs.  A drop to 5,418 would confirm that view.  Currently long #oil. https://t.co/8PX78BhLSm


I have just purchased moments ago $SPXU at $28.05. Bias is to remain short.

Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P) as a day trade; remains bearish on the S&P 500 short-term.

I have just purchased moments ago $SPXU at $28.05.  I will view this as a day trade unless the market sell off later on into the day.  5,399.00 is the number to watch for a new “Daily Buy Signal”.  Bias is to remain short. https://t.co/3mhKadYMIb

---

I saw so many post’s yesterday stating that once Europe opens today, the selling would be massive.  When you trade $SPXU, you can’t fall for that kind of click bate.  Watch for a good set up and hope it is profitable.  That’s the best that I can do.


Summary: Gold's move confirms a geopolitical red line; implicitly bullish on gold given NATO/Ukraine escalation risk.

Biden has certainly tapped Frances Macron to float a plan.  NATO troops in Western Ukraine.  This has been backed up by Poland and accidentally confirmed by Germany in the last week.  This plan was rebuked by Putin and gold has confirmed a Red Line being crossed. https://t.co/Wn4GZ1cP8X


I'm back in SPXU this morning. Bought SPXU at $12.09

Summary: Short S&P via SPXU; bearish TLT to $79 by Dec; TNX potentially rising to 5%; year-end rally pushed to Q1 2024.

I’m back in SPXU this morning.  Bought SPXU at $12.09 which is a lower price paid vs selling last week.  I can see TLT at $79 by December.  I never thought we would get there but now it needs to be discussed.  TNX now possible to see 5.00%.  Year end rally now 1st Quarter 24? https://t.co/osdj6g1wLt


Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P500) at open; no price target, watching inflation report impact, acknowledges risk of dip being bought.

I have purchased $SPXU at the open at $15.12.  I have no price objective today.  I want to determine if the inflation report this morning has any impact on the markets.  This could be a dangerous trade today because the small dip today could be aggressively bought. https://t.co/YzNXdT6OJz


Summary: Bought SPXU at $19 targeting $19.20 intraday; bearish on S&P500 expecting an imminent correction.

I have purchased $SPXU at $19.00 for a strict day trade.  Price target is $19.20.  $SPX has been opening in the red and ending the day in the green as of late.  I’m looking for that trend to change.  I’m very confident that a correction is around the corner and I’m in wait. https://t.co/hlOVVOjkqN


Facebook on Friday triggered a "Monthly" Sell Signal. This is the start of a "Bear Market".

Summary: Monthly chart sell signal on Facebook signals start of a bear market; bearish META.

Want a true indicator of the economy?  Follow Facebook.  The Monthly Chart has accurately triggered proper “BUY” and “SELL” signals for major trends.  Facebook on Friday triggered a “Monthly” Sell Signal.  Everyone uses Facebook.  This is the start of a “Bear Market”. https://t.co/uh1V9wkx32


Summary: Bearish TLT on bond fund run fears; Nikkei 225 1990 analog implies further downside ahead.

Pay attention to Jeffrey Gundlach from Doubleline.  He made a post about a potential run on a bond fund.  TLT is getting destroyed and I have a feeling this is the calm before the storm.  Nikkei 225 back in 1990 had a similar start to the year. https://t.co/DxMrDfafHZ


Summary: Short SPX on Sell Warning Order signal; long NVDA to $110 by fall 2026.

Game plan for trading for Thursday.  A daily "Sell Warning Order" was triggered on Wednesday.  It's a heads up that a possible trend change is forming.  I didn't  expect to see this since $SPX is having a good week.  NVDA is poised to be at $110 by the fall of 2026.  I’m short. https://t.co/mrtzrCU5eN


I expect a positive reaction from NVDA and don't want to be squeezed by the news

Summary: Expects positive NVDA reaction; bearish SPX approaching weekly sell signal at 5,914.

SPX was down -0.47% today to close at 5,955.36. My family accounts were up by +3.39% and covered my short position to cash. I expect a positive reaction from NVDA and don’t want to be squeezed by the news.  We are now even closer to triggering a weekly sell signal on $SPX 5,914! https://t.co/ZwKlb2vjLV


Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P500) at $21.93, targeting $22.07; still holding as of second tweet.

Just purchased $SPXU at $21.93 just moments ago.  Objective is a day trade only.  Price objective is $22.07.  Fast approaching a 52 week high.  Remember the old saying of not shorting at new highs.  But I am. https://t.co/CfrXBk82si

---

I did not cover today.  $SPX still being impacted by the Trump transition to power, moving higher by +0.76% and 50 points from hitting a new high.  Family accounts were down again by -0.86%.  Looks like the downtrend channel was broken today.  Perhaps to eager to trade again.


Short the Nasdaq. I will do the opposite and short.

Summary: Short the Nasdaq via SQQQ; megacap flow to names like MSFT seen as a topping signal.

Microsoft is up nearly 25% YTD.  This is the largest component of the Nasdaq.  Short the Nasdaq.  Once again, money has been flowing to the Mega Cap stocks for protection from the downside.  I will do the opposite and short.  Sqqq seems to be the best option.  Warning Order! https://t.co/MRZ1pRvafb


SQQQ could be the best opportunity for 2024. I'm not brave enough.

Summary: SQQQ flagged as best opportunity for 2024 on Nasdaq downside thesis, though author admits insufficient conviction to act.

Looking at the long term charts, 14,500 on the Nasdaq is my Panic Buying Zone and 11,475 is my Panic Selling Zone for the first half of 2024.  That represents +1.74% upside and -24.75 downside for the Nasdaq.  SQQQ could be the best opportunity for 2024.  I’m not brave enough. https://t.co/q9NTYvdV6O


Summary: Long SPXU at $14.78 targeting $14.85+; trading against the (upward) market trend for small wins.

I have placed a second trade today to $SPXU at a price of $14.78.  The price objective is $14.85 or potentially greater if the market gives it to me.  I’m trying to achieve small wins when trading against the trend. https://t.co/nMEu0Dy3BQ


Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P) expecting market decline driven by NVDA nearing a weekly sell signal.

I have purchased $SPXU at $48.20.  NVDA is down today and very close to triggering a “Confirmed Weekly Sell Signal”.  This last happened in December of 2024.  At 8% of the index, this is important to watch.  If NVDA reverses lower so will other related stocks.  Speculative trade. https://t.co/Q6moBXVhCJ


NVDA is down today and very close to triggering a 'Confirmed Weekly Sell Signal'


first crack in high yield bonds. A 'Daily Sell Signal' was triggered today. That is not good for stocks.

Summary: HYG triggered a Daily Sell Signal; $79.10 must hold or high yield cracks further, bearish for stocks.

Lastly, today I witnessed the first crack in high yield bonds.  A “Daily Sell Signal” was triggered today.  That is not good for stocks.  HYG last week showed no evidence of trouble.  Today it did.  $79.10 is now a must hold. https://t.co/JvUMtPIfhK


Model gave me a buy price at $16.42 today and an exit price of $20.00 by the end of January. I'm going to follow it but did not execute.

Summary: Model signals buy SQQQ at $16.42 with $20 target by end of January; author intends to follow but hasn't executed yet.

About a week ago I had commented on shorting the Nasdaq going into the new year.  I stated that I was too chicken to purchase SQQQ.  Model gave me a buy price at $16.42 today and an exit price of $20.00 by the end of January.  I’m going to follow it but did not execute. https://t.co/RBkBbJNov7


Summary: Short SPX / long SPXU with $15.75 target implying 22% return; committed to extended short position.

My indicators tell me that this pull back could take $SPXU to $15.75.  That would represent a 22.00% return and complete my best year in the last 14 years.  Lastly I haven’t posted my October return and YTD returns.  Promise to post soon.

$SPX was up 0.37% to close at 6,796.29.  My family accounts were down -0.92% and same for $SPXU.  I remain fully committed to staying short $SPX for an extended time.  Today tested me since every correction since April has lasted only 3 days.  The last 30 min didn’t surprise me. https://t.co/5sjN00iy2k


Summary: Bearish SPX: asymmetric risk with zero upside to 7,525 vs -10.5% downside to 6,800; holding SPXU short position, eyeing June correction.

$SPX is currently down by roughly -0.50% and 2 hours left to trade.  My original trade into $SPXU is positive and looking to potentially sell.  The upside potential for $SPX is 7,525 and the downside is target is 6,800.  Zero upside and -10.50% downside. June correction? https://t.co/Lt0fZouYHv


Summary: Long oil with summer price target of $100/bbl on elevated geopolitical risk in Middle East.

I believe the stock market needs to recognize that the price of oil could go much higher.  Events in Syria between Israel and Iran will not result in direct military conflict.  Risks have certainly risen and oil is reflecting that risk.  Longer term, summer price target $100.00


A daily sell signal was triggered for the price of #oil today. Long term trend line broken as well.

Summary: Bearish oil: daily sell signal triggered, long-term trend line broken, signals early stages of economic slowdown.

A daily sell signal was triggered for the price of #oil today. Based on the geopolitical issues in the world, I would not have expected this yet. This is a potential confirmation for me that we are in the early stages of an economic slowdown. Long term trend line broken as well. https://t.co/hkx664UXk2


Summary: Bearish SPX to 4,300 by June on global recession/credit crisis risk; high yield bonds selling off hard.

High yield bonds; HYG is iShares iBoxx HY Corp Bond ETF

Today is the first time that I believe we now run the risk of a global recession which is going to lead to a credit crisis in the next 3 to 4 weeks. High yield bonds are now selling off in a major way.  It may even be possible to go beyond 4,700 SPX to 4,300 target by June. https://t.co/gaBFtoJVGD


Summary: Long SPXU (inverse S&P ETF) on thesis of global recession by August 2026; author holds it in family accounts.

So far today the market is down.  Down by about -1.20% on $SPX.  Today is a serious hit to the market.  It has woken up to a long term costly war.  WTD $SPX is down about -1.80%, my family accounts are up 5.80% and same for $SPXU.  A global recession is set for August 2026. https://t.co/qymBOoDsFO


Gold has peaked. This is the peak for 2026. We are in the 'Panic Buying Zone'. $3,200 will be the low for 2026. Yes 30% drop from here!

Summary: Calls peak in gold with 30% downside to $3,200 low for 2026; silver in bubble zone with 45-50% downside, generational short opportunity.

I rarely post about Gold or Silver because I bought my physical way back in 1997 and 1998.  However, if I may boldly say that Gold has peaked.  This is the peak for 2026.  We are in the “Panic Buying Zone”.  $3,200 will be the low for 2026.  Yes 30% drop from here!  Time stamped. https://t.co/ivZ9nx8P3e

---

Silver is not in the “Panic Buying Zone”.  It’s in the “BUBBLE” zone.  Just like Chinese stocks way back during the summer of 2008.  45% to 50% downside.  This is the investment of a generation to short.  I wish I was younger and had the courage to do it. https://t.co/3Z09TvBC17


Silver is not in the 'Panic Buying Zone'. It's in the 'BUBBLE' zone. 45% to 50% downside. This is the investment of a generation to short.


The bear market begins at 6,380. Panic selling coming.

Summary: Bearish S&P (bear market at 6,380, panic selling imminent), long SPXU, and long oil to $300 on Middle East escalation.

$SPX was down -1.36% for the day to close at 6,624.71.  My family accounts were up 4.18% and same for $SPXU.  The bear market begins at 6,380.  WTD $SPX is down -0.11%, my family accounts are up 0.29% and same for $SPXU.  Oil prices can go to $300 quickly.  Panic selling coming.

Bloomberg reports that multiple oil and gas facilities in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates have been evacuated so far today, following Israel’s strikes this morning against several energy sites in Southern Iran and threats made by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary https://t.co/LiI68Bs8FB


Summary: Long SPXU (inverse S&P ETF) supported by expected DXY rebound + yield rebound driving near-term equity correction.

Supporting data to my long position into #SPXU. The US dollar index.  Today we hit the Panic Selling Zone.  In the weeks to come, we should see a relative rebound in the dollar.  Combined with a short term rebound in yields and we will get the much needed correction. #DXY https://t.co/Ha7Ii1GtFr


Summary: Shorting gold; model targets $2,000 by April 2025, implying ~20% downside from current levels.

What is fast approaching the “Panic Buying Zone”? The price of Gold in U.S. dollars.  Almost every podcast I listen to is bullish on gold.  This is fast approaching a shorting opportunity for me.  The model is calling for gold to be at 2,000 by April of 2025.  Downside is 20%. https://t.co/V6svBbhtuY


Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF) as a day trade at $14.93; short S&P 500 stance intraday.

Interesting morning so far,  stopped out at $15.53 for a loss of -1.08%.  My tell all this week was HYG.  It didn’t budge.  I have taken a second trade of the day and have purchased $SPXU at $14.93.  This will be a day trade.  A daily “Buy Signal” was triggered at 6,432.50. https://t.co/OrOUylTCO8


MSFT, triggered a new weekly sell signal this week. Near term target is easily $300.00. weakness is in the cards to at least September

Summary: Short MSFT to $300 target; weekly sell signal triggered, weakness expected through September correction.

Another market leader, MSFT, triggered a new weekly sell signal this week.  Just like Apple did.  The leaders took us up and weakness is in the cards to at least September.  Near term target is easily $300.00.  September is shaping up to be support in a correction or a ST bottom. https://t.co/eJsz3vazQ9


Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $50.16 with intraday target $50.42; net bearish S&P 500 positioning.

I have purchased $SPXU at the open.  Bought at $50.16 and my daily price target is $50.42.  A confirmed “Daily Sell Signal” will not be triggered until we close below 6,806.78.  Based on the open, looks like it probably won’t today.  Need to post last week results. https://t.co/WRbLBXRTXG


Summary: Buying SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at the open, bearish on equities amid Iran geopolitical concerns.

I will be purchasing $SPXU at the open.  I was fooled 2 weeks ago by Trump and “We won’t be fooled again” on a Monday.  I appreciate this kind of move.  Allows me to correct errors.  Missing Friday has ended up being a benefit.  A long war benefits Iran.  No talks are happening. https://t.co/PFdUxHtmbW


Summary: Stay short SPX / long SPXU; 10Y at 5% in view, concerned about long-only exposure.

That got ugly fast.  Stay short SPX or stay long SPXU.  5.00% on the 10 year is now in view.  I’d be concerned if I was long only.  This market demonstrates why you need to be flexible and have short and long biases.  My question is what happens on Monday.


Physical price of oil is pricing in a 100% chance of war and I do agree with that assessment. I'll be placing an order later in the day to hold overnight

Summary: Bullish oil overnight; agrees physical market is pricing 100% chance of war as peace talks expected to break down.

Game plan for today’s trading.  I’m still 100% in cash and waiting for the “Peace Talks” to breakdown tomorrow.  Physical price of oil is pricing in a 100% chance of war and I do agree with that assessment.  I’ll be placing an order later in the day to hold overnight. https://t.co/viEC8voehy


Summary: Bearish QQQ to $400 by end of July 2025, citing model signal and significant downside from current levels.

@shortseller I read your material but rarely engage. I’m going to give you my take.  My model is telling me that we will be at $400 by end of July 2025.  That is a pretty big call and a lot of downside from here.  I was up nearly 25% last year and short only since November of 2021. https://t.co/dji6qLGyRF

$QQQ leaving path for now as we only need over the DTL above to play out - truth be told we can head to my UTL below 1st..as said earlier - no idea on timing just still think sometime in Q1 https://t.co/nlW6Idxq1M


Summary: SPX sell signal triggered; correction target 7,031.25; long SPXU as the inverse-ETF play.

$SPX was down -2.64% to close at 7,383.84.  My family accounts were up 5.18% and $SPXU was up 7.91%.  SPX has triggered a “Confirmed Daily Sell Signal”.  Weekly return for  $SPX was -2.59%, my family accounts up 7.14% and $SPXU up 7.73%.  Correction should take us to 7,031.25. https://t.co/Zk9S2i0VV9


Summary: Watching for SPX drop below 4,728.60 as confirmation to go short via SPXU.

Futures this morning may give me confirmation to be a seller of SPX.  I require a drop below 4,728.60 to give me more confidence in being fully invested in SPXU.  I wish all of you a profitable day. https://t.co/6bLDQuWbUZ


Summary: Bearish SPX with target 4,400 by February; holds long SPXU as the vehicle.

This is a great time to lock in profits in SPX.  Market is certainly getting rich.  Drives me crazy when I’m early on a trade.  But I knew it was going to go against me short term.  Still committed to #SPXU.  4,400 by February? https://t.co/vHEs8h2S7A


Summary: Bullish Equinox Gold, targeting a double within the next year; watching for more sector downside before adding.

Equinox Gold Corp trades on NYSE American as EQX

I’m looking at adding a gold stock to my accounts.  This is really starting to look attractive from my perspective.  I need to see more downside in the sector but Equinox Gold is calling for a double in the next year.  Wish list for this summer? https://t.co/QcLkWQEERw


Summary: Bought inverse 3x S&P ETF SPXU at $20.14; expects to hold short term, implying bearish S&P view.

I have purchased $SPXU just minutes after the open.  Purchase price $20.14.  No price target.  I suspect a sell signal will be triggered today.  This will most likely be a hold for the short term.  When the trend changes, I try to stop doing day trades. https://t.co/NrWkdEU0uz


Summary: Buying SPXU overnight, expecting a high-profile earnings beat to disappoint vs whisper numbers and drag the S&P 500 lower.

My plan of action today is to do something that most investors will think crazy. I will be buying $SPXU today with the purpose of holding overnight to profit from a certain company that will beat earnings but miss the whisper number.  Expectations are so high that it should miss. https://t.co/FVi9WYQBVs


Bought $SPXU at $16.34 and no price target is in place. If the market remains in a "SELL" today, I will be holding $SPXU

Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P) as correction play; targeting S&P 500 down to 5,700.

Last night I warned that the correction has begun.  Bought $SPXU at $16.34 and no price target is in place.  If the market remains in a “SELL” today, I will be holding $SPXU. I have been stating the objective should be to hold $SPXU and trade it aggressively until 5,700 $SPX. https://t.co/3SDA4yOkM8


Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) over the weekend on expectation of a major geopolitical event within days to weeks.

I have bought $SPXU at $13.27 with the intention of holding over the weekend.  Reliable sources that I’ve trusted over many years is saying that a major geopolitical event is only days to a couple of weeks away.  It was my main investment thesis earlier in the year.  Round 2? https://t.co/Y2deb3ptJL


Summary: Model projects oil rises to $102 by year-end, peaking early 2024 before falling back to $65.

The price of oil is getting my attention again.  Remember that the price of oil peaked in May of 2008.  The model is pointing to $102 by year end.  That would be a concern for me if we do get there.  Seems the peak is early 2024 and back to $65. https://t.co/CwXefHpANr


My model is suggesting that the price of oil is going to collapse to $35.00 US by this summer. The daily, weekly and monthly charts are all in a confirmed "Sell Signal".

Summary: Model calls oil collapse to $35 by summer; daily/weekly/monthly charts all on confirmed sell signal.

While completing my weekly review, I came across a new development.  My model is suggesting that the price of oil is going to collapse to $35.00 US by this summer.  The daily, weekly and monthly charts are all in a confirmed “Sell Signal”. Non confidence vote on the economy. https://t.co/ZZAXXEH8Fj


My model has now shown that HYG peaked and entered into the 'Weekly Panic Buying Zone' some 8 weeks ago. Model is predicting lower prices

Summary: Model signals HYG peaked and is predicting lower prices from here.

Markets are giving me more and clarity.  I keep coming back to $HYG, high yield bonds and this is my take. My model has now shown that HYG peaked and entered into the “Weekly Panic Buying Zone” some 8 weeks ago.  Model is predicting lower prices but due to what? Inflation, rates? https://t.co/EcjQXY557O


Summary: Bought SPXU at $48.08 with $48.29 price target, strict intraday day trade.

I have just made a second trade of the day.  Bought $SPXU at $48.08.  Price target is $48.29.  This will be a strict day trade only. https://t.co/9HFua6DQia

Sometimes you get lucky.  What a great trade.  Ran with it to sell $SPXU at $48.79.  A daily gain of 1.56%.  I was properly set up at the open and we had some initial sellers after the open from Europe.  Will this trend last.  European sellers in the morning followed by buyers? https://t.co/1UapDSeNUU


I have purchased $SPXU just moments ago at $22.74. price target will be $23.08 to sell at

Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $22.74, targeting $23.08 as a day-trade.

I have purchased $SPXU just moments ago at $22.74.  This will be strictly a day-trade unless something significant happens during the day.  However, if not, price target will be $23.08 to sell at. https://t.co/Ev2ZfTZMBr


Summary: Stay short S&P 500; model targets 5,400 by late July/August; holds SPXU as the vehicle.

$SPX was down -0.84% to close at 5,982.72.  We are only -0.25% from triggering a “Daily Sell Signal”.  The number to watch for Wednesday is 5,968.  My family accounts were up +2.67% and same as $SPXU.  WTD $SPX is up +0.01% while my accounts are now up +0.57% and $SPXU is -0.31%. https://t.co/LpIxn7OVnD

---

The model is indicating that we can go to 5,400 by late July or early August.  I don’t place much faith in those numbers because the world is dominated by geopolitical events.  Crude up +19% over the last month is concerning and damaging to the economy.  Stay short. https://t.co/suKZpVkbvz


I did not cover on Monday and remain invested in $SPXU. My plan today is remain invested. A pull back should be imminent.

Summary: Holds SPXU (3x inverse S&P) expecting imminent pullback; 10-year yield 'Sell Signal' reinforces bearish SPX view.

SPX was up +0.44% to close at 6,693.75.  My family accounts were down -1.30% and $SPXU was down -1.30%.  I did not cover on Monday and remain invested in $SPXU.  My plan today is remain invested.  My max pain drawdown will be 3.00% if I’m wrong.  A pull back should be imminent. https://t.co/q1oj2IpX9S

---

Things that I see.  10 year yield has reversed and has triggered a “Sell Signal” for stocks.  Historical correlation has provided strong evidence of this signal. https://t.co/lIBV63ID6T


Gold is currently in the 'Panic Buying Zone' therefore not a buy. 100% chance of loss over the next 3 months.

Summary: Bearish gold: in Panic Buying Zone, rates 10/10 risk, 100% chance of loss over next 3 months.

@InflationFix I shorted gold for about 2 weeks last August and broke even.  Gold is currently in the “Panic Buying Zone” therefore not a buy.  Secondly, the 10 you see in the chart ranks it 10/10 for risk.  100% chance of loss over the next 3 months. https://t.co/qaSPnvnXkV

@RonCyr9 Any thoughts on gold?  It used to be uncorrelated with spx but now it seems (not as most people think) very positively correlated with spx


Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P), expects another down day; watching Trump comments tonight.

Sold $SPXU at $23.87 just moments ago.  I could be wrong but it looks like we are getting a nice rally.  Not sure if it’s international investors closing out their positions for the day.  We came very near to the panic selling zone this morning and I should have taken profits. https://t.co/auD3HK9orQ

---

Not a good looking 15 minutes to close.  Bought $SPXU at $23.58.  Look to continue to hold for another down day.  See what Trump has to say tonight.  I think the biggest message will not be Ukraine but how he plans to deal with Iran. https://t.co/iTDeUqaWVi


Summary: Long SPXU day trade at $20.95 targeting $21.09.

Bought $SPXU at $20.95 for a day trade.  Price target is only $21.09 for today only. https://t.co/4JTZOGKpdC


I have purchased $SPXU at $48.04. This will be a day trade only. Price target is $48.33.

Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P) at $48.04, targeting $48.33 intraday.

I have purchased $SPXU at $48.04.  This will be a day trade only.  If we are fast approaching a new daily “Buy Signal”.  Dip buyers back again.  Price target is $48.33. https://t.co/NipI5ezOH4


Summary: Conditional SPY view: near-term upside to 3980 but if resistance fails, targets 3400 by December.

@Mr_Derivatives I’m not disagreeing with you, everyday I watch for an opportunity to go back to SPXU but I still think we can go to 3980.  That is what my view of the charts are saying for now.  But if we fail here, 3400 by December.

$SPY Something for the bears:

The average bear market rally is 10% of the 7 that occurred this yr.

Currently we are at 10% right now and approaching MAJOR resistance (ala 50dma).

Bears u know what to do…


Summary: Re-entered short via SQQQ at $27.40 after covering last week; expects continued chop.

Omg I have gone short once again after just covering last week.  Chop chop chop is in the back of my mind.  Purchased SQQQ for my accounts at $27.40.  I was right to cover to repurchase at a lower price.  Not all bad. https://t.co/N9al8T80xU


We can now easily go towards a target of $95 per barrel in the price of oil. When things get out of hand, the price could temporarily go to $100, $120, $140 or even $150 per barrel.

Summary: Bullish crude oil with $95 near-term target; potential spike to $150 if conditions deteriorate, citing 2008 precedent.

We can now easily go towards a target of $95 per barrel in the price of oil.  Remember what oil did in 2008.  When things get out of hand, the price could temporarily go to $100, $120, $140 or even $150 per barrel. This will now have to be watched very closely. https://t.co/h8IESA4O9j


Summary: Short-term model targets SPY (S&P 500) at 5,700 by mid-to-late March, implying near-term upside.

@markminervini I agree with your assessment.  My short term model is saying we can go to 5,700 by the second or third week of March. https://t.co/TZKANg5swL

Cycle work suggests continued weakness heading into early April before rallying into the Summer. The long-term trend remains intact; our $SPY Advisor Model has yet to trigger a sell signal. However, it's starting to look like a potential bubble could be in the making (although https://t.co/eSyOMsY3fe


Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $49.43, targeting $49.80+, strict intraday day trade.

I have bought a full position in $SPXU at $49.43.  Price target will be $49.80 or potentially a little better if market conditions permit it.  This will be a strict day trade and doubt this will be a trade held over the weekend. https://t.co/pILkmy2CAq


Summary: Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) day trade with $50.25 price target, implying bearish near-term S&P 500 view.

Bought $SPXU at $49.99.  Price target is $50.25.  This will be a strict day trade only.  Risk management will be key for the remainder of this week. https://t.co/mVUx8uBwIb


the price of oil was in a sell signal. That still remains in place. So far no buy.

Summary: Maintains sell signal on oil; one-day rally did not trigger a buy signal.

The signal is the signal.  Personal views or predictive assumptions can certainly cause us to have a loss. Last week, the price of oil was in a sell signal.  That still remains in place.  The one day rally absolutely got me thinking about the 2 previous Gulf Wars.  So far no buy. https://t.co/ottWjJ46D6


Summary: Model targets SPX 6,400 short-term after Daily Sell Signal; long SPXU as the inverse-S&P play.

$SPX was down -1.17% to close at 6,771.74.  My family accounts were up 1.09% while $SPXU was up 3.49%.  A “Daily Sell Signal” was triggered late in the day.  Model is now indicating 6,400  likely short term.  WTD SPX is down -1.00%, my accounts up 1.98% and $SPXU is up 3.00%. https://t.co/LOsSHXvXGm


Summary: Long SPXU at $15.40, PT $15.46, strict day trade.

I have bought $SPXU at $15.40 for a strict day trade only.  Price target is $15.46 or potentially better.  I just got the set up I was looking for. https://t.co/d6KVNWnLya


Summary: Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) on Daily Sell Signal potential, VIX buy signal at 21.04, and geopolitical risk.

I have purchased $SPXU at $49.36. I have made this decision on some factors that I have been watching earlier this morning. One is the potential for triggering yet again a new “Daily Sell Signal”.  Secondly, the VIX will trigger a “Daily Buy Signal” at 21.04 and last geopolitics. https://t.co/C06kNWcOzK