{"unit_id": "orig:1645450346859474944", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-10T15:35:08+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I require 3.50% in order to short the Nasdaq. Getting close to pulling the trigger but still 100% in cash.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Conditionally bearish Nasdaq; will short once 10Y yield hits 3.50%, currently at 3.42% and not yet triggered.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Still early in the day for the markets but very interesting day in TNX.  Today is a big jump in yield to 3.42%.  I require 3.50% in order to short the Nasdaq.  Getting close to pulling the trigger but still 100% in cash.  Let the market come to you. https://t.co/CLVxY22uyP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0005664571854326894, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0005664571854326894, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015916085169263017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0015916085169263017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010251513314936123, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010251513314936123, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006417761342813577, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006417761342813577, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006686255206343139, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006686255206343139, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00026849386352956195, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00026849386352956195, "ret_p1w": 0.0030511999629079245, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0030511999629079245, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00752011523631313, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00752011523631313, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010571315199221054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010571315199221054, "ret_p1m": 0.011860289023260862, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011860289023260862, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008637664064555572, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008637664064555572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003222624958705289, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003222624958705289, "ret_p3m": 0.15759267336392324, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15759267336392324, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08024299887877318, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08024299887877318, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07734967448515007, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07734967448515007, "ret_p6m": 0.1197070464593688, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1197070464593688, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0829924705725551, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0829924705725551, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036714575886813705, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036714575886813705, "ret_p1y": 0.4087594568075663, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4087594568075663, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11302413912941489, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11302413912941489, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2957353176781514, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2957353176781514, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0030511999629079245, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00752011523631313, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00752011523631313, "price_path": [-0.1282, -0.1235, -0.1175, -0.1175, -0.1157, -0.1272, -0.1357, -0.1121, -0.0924, -0.0942, -0.0962, -0.0786, -0.0694, -0.0882, -0.0746, -0.0548, -0.0209, -0.0383, -0.0464, -0.0266, -0.044, -0.0524, -0.0586, -0.0435, -0.0365, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.054, -0.054, -0.0764, -0.0757, -0.0677, -0.0833, -0.0767, -0.0779, -0.0853, -0.0777, -0.0587, -0.0576, -0.0692, -0.0645, -0.0807, -0.0936, -0.0869, -0.0659, -0.061, -0.0363, -0.0408, -0.0374, -0.0237, -0.037, -0.0255, -0.022, -0.0287, -0.0338, -0.0162, -0.0069, 0.0096, 0.0072, 0.0038, -0.0061, 0.0006, 0.0006, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0152, 0.0041, 0.0022, 0.0031, 0.0031, 0.0026, -0.005, -0.004, -0.006, -0.0248, -0.0189, 0.0078, 0.0148, 0.0136, 0.0048, -0.0018, -0.0053, 0.0158, 0.0183, 0.0119, 0.0229, 0.0262, 0.0225, 0.0281, 0.0292, 0.0417, 0.061, 0.0586, 0.0622, 0.0487, 0.0434, 0.0687, 0.096, 0.096, 0.101, 0.0948, 0.1074, 0.1157, 0.1165, 0.1163, 0.0974, 0.111, 0.1152, 0.1341, 0.1428, 0.1511, 0.1648, 0.1575, 0.1575, 0.1558, 0.1401, 0.1535, 0.1421, 0.1268, 0.1462, 0.1484, 0.1461, 0.1638, 0.1665, 0.1665, 0.1665, 0.1576, 0.1537, 0.1541, 0.1598, 0.1745, 0.1944, 0.1942, 0.2053, 0.2152, 0.2149, 0.1869, 0.1833, 0.1852, 0.1933, 0.1893, 0.1864, 0.2081, 0.2087, 0.2059, 0.1794, 0.1775, 0.172, 0.1819, 0.1719, 0.159, 0.1612, 0.1537, 0.1667, 0.1543, 0.1421, 0.1296, 0.1282, 0.1464, 0.1447, 0.1628, 0.1379, 0.1468, 0.1554, 0.1806, 0.1872, 0.1908, 0.1895, 0.1895, 0.191, 0.1805, 0.1721, 0.1737, 0.1876, 0.1744, 0.1789, 0.1885, 0.1681, 0.1694, 0.1669, 0.1501, 0.129, 0.1291, 0.1345, 0.1175, 0.1201, 0.1295, 0.1303, 0.1397, 0.1197]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1743081382849786067", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-05T01:26:01+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was correct staying fully committed to #SPXU into the new year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Holding SPXU (3x inverse S&P) long; expects SPX to break 4687.50 support and drop to 4609 near-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was correct staying fully committed to #SPXU into the new year.  4687.50 on SPX held today.  Tomorrow if we break support, then we could very quickly get to 4,609.38. That would take care of a good portion of the December gains.  What is causing risk off? War?  Recession? jobs? https://t.co/Mhe7qPxVjf", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004425036824577511, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004425036824577511, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005792764852762811, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005792764852762811, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0013677280281853, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013677280281853, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.042035198817371944, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.042035198817371944, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05631118344952957, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05631118344952957, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014275984632157623, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014275984632157623, "ret_p1w": -0.050884781537616885, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050884781537616885, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06960586546459868, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06960586546459868, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018721083926981796, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018721083926981796, "ret_p1m": -0.1360617329358511, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1360617329358511, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1886989379197641, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1886989379197641, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052637204983913, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052637204983913, "ret_p3m": -0.25382433621011125, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25382433621011125, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36731324398753673, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36731324398753673, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11348890777742549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11348890777742549, "ret_p6m": -0.3408314705854052, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3408314705854052, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5136799225977162, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5136799225977162, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17284845201231103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17284845201231103, "ret_p1y": -0.5013910470669256, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5013910470669256, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.802923511173723, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.802923511173723, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30153246410679735, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30153246410679735, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.050884781537616885, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06960586546459868, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06960586546459868, "price_path": [0.2338, 0.2176, 0.2436, 0.2598, 0.223, 0.2219, 0.2718, 0.3075, 0.3562, 0.3638, 0.3357, 0.392, 0.444, 0.4646, 0.4126, 0.3887, 0.3432, 0.2696, 0.236, 0.2284, 0.2187, 0.2165, 0.2447, 0.1873, 0.1927, 0.1233, 0.1179, 0.1158, 0.1103, 0.0865, 0.093, 0.0822, 0.0822, 0.0822, 0.0876, 0.0854, 0.0887, 0.0757, 0.0583, 0.0768, 0.0768, 0.0908, 0.067, 0.0551, 0.0421, 0.0291, -0.0142, -0.0218, -0.0175, -0.0326, -0.0489, -0.0077, -0.0365, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.052, -0.0575, -0.0575, -0.0487, -0.0487, -0.0299, -0.0055, 0.0044, 0.0, -0.042, -0.0365, -0.0531, -0.0498, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.0387, -0.0243, -0.0487, -0.0819, -0.0885, -0.0962, -0.0985, -0.1117, -0.1073, -0.1272, -0.1261, -0.0841, -0.1173, -0.1449, -0.1361, -0.1416, -0.1615, -0.1626, -0.177, -0.1748, -0.1405, -0.1648, -0.1792, -0.1659, -0.1659, -0.1527, -0.1549, -0.2058, -0.2069, -0.1969, -0.2013, -0.198, -0.2058, -0.2279, -0.2246, -0.2002, -0.2135, -0.2345, -0.2212, -0.2179, -0.2445, -0.2389, -0.2334, -0.2179, -0.2301, -0.2445, -0.2628, -0.2707, -0.2662, -0.2595, -0.2538, -0.273, -0.2719, -0.2719, -0.2662, -0.2527, -0.2538, -0.2256, -0.2504, -0.2504, -0.2516, -0.2306, -0.2464, -0.2141, -0.1853, -0.1799, -0.1643, -0.1585, -0.1359, -0.1582, -0.1887, -0.1875, -0.1767, -0.1997, -0.2072, -0.1693, -0.1612, -0.1826, -0.2135, -0.2374, -0.2396, -0.2392, -0.2511, -0.2536, -0.2531, -0.2633, -0.2901, -0.284, -0.287, -0.2892, -0.2937, -0.2872, -0.2705, -0.2847, -0.2847, -0.2856, -0.2701, -0.255, -0.2739, -0.2755, -0.2773, -0.3032, -0.3025, -0.2989, -0.3048, -0.3093, -0.3264, -0.3298, -0.3302, -0.3453, -0.3501, -0.3501, -0.344, -0.3393, -0.3336, -0.3413, -0.3436, -0.3457, -0.3372, -0.3408]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1828155517254205547", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-26T19:40:15+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'll be selling my position this week in #oil and will take a new position in #SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Contingent plan: sell oil and buy SPXU if SPX breaks below 5,489.90 this week.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If #SPX falls below 5,489.90, I’ll be selling my position this week in #oil and will take a new position in #SPXU.  I don’t think that will happen this week but it’s always best to have a plan in place.  When I look back at 2024, nothing has been based off of emotional trades. https://t.co/yZkJgznXr3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0075644326994360744, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0075644326994360744, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009953825249357728, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009953825249357728, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002389392549921654, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002389392549921654, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0034040754450844757, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0034040754450844757, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00477703470987445, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00477703470987445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0013729592647899747, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013729592647899747, "ret_p1w": -0.011346568318815753, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011346568318815753, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016499928526037544, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016499928526037544, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005153360207221791, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005153360207221791, "ret_p1m": -0.056732357212048834, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056732357212048834, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07859842978759146, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07859842978759146, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021866072575542628, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021866072575542628, "ret_p3m": -0.14647583414016574, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14647583414016574, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20835448316964067, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20835448316964067, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06187864902947493, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06187864902947493, "ret_p6m": -0.21588769828682952, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21588769828682952, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31590582540460777, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31590582540460777, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10001812711777824, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10001812711777824, "ret_p1y": -0.3926449575790327, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3926449575790327, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5543170109447326, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5543170109447326, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1616720533656999, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1616720533656999, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.056732357212048834, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07859842978759146, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07859842978759146, "price_path": [0.2004, 0.2252, 0.194, 0.1915, 0.1885, 0.1459, 0.147, 0.1529, 0.1433, 0.1358, 0.1077, 0.1021, 0.1014, 0.0765, 0.0687, 0.0687, 0.0788, 0.0865, 0.0958, 0.0832, 0.0794, 0.076, 0.09, 0.084, 0.0632, 0.0499, 0.0499, 0.0333, 0.0306, 0.028, -0.0015, 0.0242, 0.0064, -0.0004, -0.0185, 0.0231, 0.0473, 0.0707, 0.0374, 0.0439, 0.1142, 0.1335, 0.0976, 0.0957, 0.1135, 0.0613, 0.1048, 0.1675, 0.2693, 0.2356, 0.2625, 0.1755, 0.1623, 0.1604, 0.1033, 0.0938, 0.0382, 0.0325, 0.0034, 0.0087, -0.0015, 0.0238, -0.0076, 0.0, -0.0034, 0.014, 0.0148, -0.0113, -0.0113, 0.0488, 0.0564, 0.0643, 0.1199, 0.0825, 0.0692, 0.0374, 0.0117, -0.003, -0.0072, -0.0079, 0.0023, -0.048, -0.042, -0.0484, -0.0567, -0.0498, -0.061, -0.0548, -0.0667, -0.0406, -0.0409, -0.0355, -0.0598, -0.0348, -0.0614, -0.0806, -0.0756, -0.0899, -0.1126, -0.0914, -0.1026, -0.1018, -0.1114, -0.1064, -0.1049, -0.0795, -0.0848, -0.0829, -0.0906, -0.0952, -0.0856, -0.0309, -0.0421, -0.0355, -0.0702, -0.1392, -0.1592, -0.1688, -0.1707, -0.1627, -0.163, -0.1465, -0.113, -0.1226, -0.1326, -0.1334, -0.1465, -0.153, -0.1611, -0.1746, -0.1657, -0.1657, -0.18, -0.1846, -0.185, -0.1996, -0.1954, -0.1992, -0.1858, -0.1781, -0.1969, -0.1842, -0.1819, -0.1923, -0.1811, -0.1087, -0.1064, -0.1368, -0.1529, -0.1801, -0.1801, -0.1797, -0.1533, -0.123, -0.1131, -0.1053, -0.1379, -0.1529, -0.1242, -0.1261, -0.1261, -0.086, -0.0899, -0.0923, -0.1415, -0.1368, -0.1608, -0.1608, -0.1836, -0.1966, -0.2096, -0.2013, -0.1679, -0.1883, -0.1777, -0.1899, -0.1761, -0.1596, -0.1761, -0.1856, -0.1942, -0.1706, -0.1868, -0.1883, -0.1805, -0.206, -0.2045, -0.2045, -0.21, -0.2159]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038775153581236621", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-31T00:27:29+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SPXU was the same", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Calls S&P500 officially a bear market; urges longs to rethink, holds SPXU (inverse S&P ETF) as a short-market bet.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was down -0.39% for the day to close at 6,343.84.  My family accounts were up 1.07% and  $SPXU was the same.  I’m ready to now call this officially a “Bear Market”.  This is bad.  Those wishing for the “Pop Up”and are still long…rethink your strategy. https://t.co/FzdNL0aJ7S", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09376103890107035, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09376103890107035, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12200783073203503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12200783073203503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02824679183096468, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02824679183096468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023087761852409905, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023087761852409905, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030622253262713395, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030622253262713395, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00753449141030349, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00753449141030349, "ret_p1w": -0.03877333999713439, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03877333999713439, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052427635607576795, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052427635607576795, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013654295610442402, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013654295610442402, "ret_p1m": -0.23563623794930577, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23563623794930577, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3298023727556827, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3298023727556827, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416613480637692, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09416613480637692, "ret_p3m": -0.3054033829202524, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3054033829202524, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4374138825621817, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4374138825621817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13201049964192935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13201049964192935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.23563623794930577, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3298023727556827, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3298023727556827, "price_path": [-0.1306, -0.1343, -0.1514, -0.1663, -0.1579, -0.1568, -0.1727, -0.1764, -0.1713, -0.1589, -0.1656, -0.1619, -0.1619, -0.1105, -0.1413, -0.1544, -0.154, -0.167, -0.1766, -0.1761, -0.1703, -0.1619, -0.1748, -0.1532, -0.1407, -0.1077, -0.1587, -0.1698, -0.1628, -0.1624, -0.1231, -0.1233, -0.1233, -0.1274, -0.14, -0.1337, -0.1509, -0.1248, -0.1439, -0.1649, -0.1505, -0.1381, -0.1383, -0.1149, -0.1337, -0.1194, -0.0834, -0.1072, -0.1021, -0.0984, -0.0572, -0.04, -0.0687, -0.0759, -0.0372, -0.0287, 0.0147, -0.0178, -0.008, -0.0236, 0.0289, 0.0825, 0.0938, 0.0, -0.0231, -0.0249, -0.0249, -0.0374, -0.0388, -0.1112, -0.1265, -0.1235, -0.1489, -0.1794, -0.1988, -0.2044, -0.2323, -0.2277, -0.2124, -0.2356, -0.2263, -0.2437, -0.2474, -0.236, -0.2356, -0.2575, -0.2631, -0.255, -0.2723, -0.3024, -0.2956, -0.3123, -0.3169, -0.3137, -0.325, -0.3403, -0.3157, -0.3142, -0.3, -0.3218, -0.3255, -0.3324, -0.3324, -0.3451, -0.3449, -0.3557, -0.3592, -0.3639, -0.3664, -0.3534, -0.3602, -0.3097, -0.3144, -0.3081, -0.2751, -0.3114, -0.3218, -0.3574, -0.346, -0.3213, -0.3405, -0.3405, -0.3343, -0.3061, -0.3045, -0.3054, -0.3054, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1732578612195516815", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-07T01:51:45+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I went from all cash to fully invested in SPXU at a purchase price of $10.08... mkt has become more overvalued and indicators are now going off. $10.15 confirms my trade.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Fully invested in SPXU (3× short S&P 500); market overvalued, indicators confirming, current price $10.15 validates the bearish position.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "On November 21, I went from all cash to fully invested in SPXU at a purchase price of $10.08.  At the time, no indicator gave confirmations. Over the last 12 trading days, mkt has become more overvalued and indicators are now going off.  $10.15 confirms my trade.  Fade consensus. https://t.co/Bl26vZdGgH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0223351459864225, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0223351459864225, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029907721235139073, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029907721235139073, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007572575248716573, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007572575248716573, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011167434964598377, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011167434964598377, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01546661371881608, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01546661371881608, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004299178754217703, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004299178754217703, "ret_p1w": -0.08324873713021219, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08324873713021219, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11332101375787595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11332101375787595, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030072276627663763, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030072276627663763, "ret_p1m": -0.06280651553944527, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06280651553944527, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08809327785761534, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08809327785761534, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025286762318170064, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025286762318170064, "ret_p3m": -0.25045241178315303, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25045241178315303, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3617639430471584, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3617639430471584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11131153126400539, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11131153126400539, "ret_p6m": -0.319492207456637, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.319492207456637, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4786336006330322, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4786336006330322, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1591413931763952, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1591413931763952, "ret_p1y": -0.5219039906096374, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5219039906096374, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8435331237902182, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8435331237902182, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32162913318058073, "bench_c_p1y": 0.32162913318058073, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06280651553944527, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08809327785761534, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08809327785761534, "price_path": [0.055, 0.0719, 0.0679, 0.043, 0.0809, 0.0799, 0.0879, 0.1178, 0.1736, 0.1827, 0.1706, 0.2213, 0.2203, 0.202, 0.2132, 0.2132, 0.2609, 0.2355, 0.2406, 0.1949, 0.1736, 0.1563, 0.1411, 0.1655, 0.1807, 0.1462, 0.1452, 0.1919, 0.2254, 0.2711, 0.2782, 0.2518, 0.3046, 0.3533, 0.3726, 0.3239, 0.3015, 0.2589, 0.1898, 0.1584, 0.1513, 0.1421, 0.1401, 0.1665, 0.1127, 0.1178, 0.0528, 0.0477, 0.0457, 0.0406, 0.0183, 0.0244, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0193, 0.0173, 0.0203, 0.0081, -0.0081, 0.0091, 0.0091, 0.0223, 0.0, -0.0112, -0.0234, -0.0355, -0.0761, -0.0832, -0.0792, -0.0934, -0.1086, -0.0701, -0.097, -0.1012, -0.1012, -0.1115, -0.1167, -0.1167, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.0908, -0.068, -0.0587, -0.0628, -0.1022, -0.097, -0.1126, -0.1095, -0.1105, -0.1105, -0.0991, -0.0856, -0.1084, -0.1395, -0.1457, -0.153, -0.1551, -0.1675, -0.1634, -0.182, -0.181, -0.1416, -0.1727, -0.1986, -0.1903, -0.1955, -0.2142, -0.2152, -0.2287, -0.2266, -0.1945, -0.2173, -0.2308, -0.2183, -0.2183, -0.2059, -0.2079, -0.2556, -0.2567, -0.2473, -0.2515, -0.2484, -0.2556, -0.2764, -0.2733, -0.2505, -0.2629, -0.2826, -0.2702, -0.267, -0.2919, -0.2867, -0.2816, -0.267, -0.2784, -0.2919, -0.3091, -0.3165, -0.3123, -0.306, -0.3007, -0.3186, -0.3176, -0.3176, -0.3123, -0.2996, -0.3007, -0.2743, -0.2975, -0.2975, -0.2986, -0.2789, -0.2937, -0.2635, -0.2365, -0.2314, -0.2168, -0.2113, -0.1902, -0.2111, -0.2396, -0.2386, -0.2284, -0.25, -0.257, -0.2215, -0.2139, -0.2339, -0.2629, -0.2853, -0.2874, -0.287, -0.2982, -0.3005, -0.3001, -0.3096, -0.3347, -0.329, -0.3317, -0.3339, -0.3381, -0.332, -0.3163, -0.3296, -0.3296, -0.3305, -0.3159, -0.3017, -0.3195]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1821763138553049267", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-09T04:19:13+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I already have a full position based on the possibility of Iran striking Israel", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds a full long position in oil; watching $77 as a price marker for confirmation.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CL=F is crude oil futures; USO is liquid tradable proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Exactly $77.00 will be the price marker to confirm my full position in purchasing Oil.  I already have a full position based on the possibility of Iran striking Israel.  Sources in Israel tell me it may not happen.  So far this week in oil, I’m up +2.67%. https://t.co/f3d8kM2AmQ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011283135615038131, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011283135615038131, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006892919732376268, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006892919732376268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004390215882661863, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004390215882661863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03161894508157315, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03161894508157315, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03109353994990527, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03109353994990527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005254051316678776, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005254051316678776, "ret_p1w": 0.0013119715628386874, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0013119715628386874, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.038688919351708595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.038688919351708595, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04000089091454728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04000089091454728, "ret_p1m": -0.09118347502399327, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09118347502399327, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11636224406143048, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11636224406143048, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02517876903743721, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02517876903743721, "ret_p3m": -0.022041462585537852, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.022041462585537852, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13435659781698805, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13435659781698805, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1123151352314502, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1123151352314502, "ret_p6m": 0.016924703422557252, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.016924703422557252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11941476315408006, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11941476315408006, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1363394665766373, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1363394665766373, "ret_p1y": 0.044214052259449854, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.044214052259449854, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1564701935579409, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1564701935579409, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20068424581739075, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20068424581739075, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09118347502399327, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11636224406143048, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11636224406143048, "price_path": [-0.0133, -0.0045, 0.0004, 0.0098, 0.0067, -0.0008, -0.0177, -0.0232, -0.0114, -0.0114, 0.0189, 0.0046, -0.0091, -0.0184, -0.0576, -0.0673, -0.0568, -0.0388, -0.042, -0.01, -0.0093, -0.0031, -0.0063, -0.0018, 0.0206, 0.0321, 0.0321, 0.0419, 0.0319, 0.0457, 0.0352, 0.0332, 0.0485, 0.0442, 0.0698, 0.0642, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.0668, 0.0551, 0.0466, 0.0559, 0.0619, 0.0529, 0.0512, 0.0373, 0.0577, 0.0483, 0.0234, 0.0184, 0.0052, 0.0077, 0.0163, -0.0014, -0.0135, -0.0231, 0.0199, 0.0009, -0.0371, -0.0394, -0.0495, -0.0201, -0.0113, 0.0, 0.0316, 0.0186, 0.0049, 0.0156, 0.0013, -0.0241, -0.0314, -0.0475, -0.0346, -0.0088, 0.0211, 0.0035, -0.0097, 0.0072, -0.0247, -0.0247, -0.0673, -0.0867, -0.083, -0.0956, -0.0912, -0.1215, -0.1098, -0.083, -0.0837, -0.0701, -0.059, -0.0729, -0.0455, -0.0433, -0.0521, -0.0384, -0.0622, -0.0946, -0.0781, -0.0827, -0.0539, -0.0454, -0.0064, 0.0017, 0.0391, -0.0056, -0.0127, 0.0203, 0.0167, -0.0038, -0.0454, -0.0501, -0.0472, -0.0635, -0.052, -0.0294, -0.035, -0.0415, -0.0261, -0.076, -0.0861, -0.0638, -0.0412, -0.0551, -0.0253, -0.0195, -0.022, -0.0205, -0.0405, -0.0693, -0.0726, -0.072, -0.0647, -0.0849, -0.0544, -0.0513, -0.0551, -0.0396, -0.0258, -0.0541, -0.0605, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0605, -0.068, -0.0417, -0.0569, -0.0623, -0.0785, -0.0663, -0.0632, -0.0379, -0.0395, -0.0264, -0.0331, -0.0383, -0.043, -0.0474, -0.0409, -0.0415, -0.0337, -0.0337, -0.0405, -0.0311, -0.0184, -0.0088, 0.0093, 0.0223, 0.0142, 0.0256, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.058, 0.0789, 0.0715, 0.1065, 0.0882, 0.0827, 0.0827, 0.0642, 0.0552, 0.0392, 0.0443, 0.0224, 0.0346, 0.0205, 0.0201, 0.0236, 0.021, 0.0169]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1947326595922116640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-21T16:03:34+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have bought $SPXU at $15.88 just moments ago. Price target for the day trade will be $15.95 or great if possible.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $15.88, intraday target $15.95+; implied short S&P 500.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "New week new opportunities.  I have bought $SPXU at $15.88 just moments ago.  A very strong day for the bulls.  Price target for the day trade will be $15.95 or great if possible.  It’s moments like these when mental fortitude is important and not giving in to the impossibility. https://t.co/9O5ugLYQUs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0049781815811027474, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0049781815811027474, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00687083466379923, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00687083466379923, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018926530826964827, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018926530826964827, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0001431954391026835, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0001431954391026835, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": -0.03609212870781353, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03609212870781353, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04908581436801218, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04908581436801218, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.04355946352843143, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04355946352843143, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06111754061488417, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06111754061488417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.1264690181948802, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1264690181948802, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1800681801040689, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1800681801040689, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053599161909188675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053599161909188675, "ret_p6m": -0.23261951669997694, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23261951669997694, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3398771208783393, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3398771208783393, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10725760417836239, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10725760417836239, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0001431954391026835, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0001431954391026835, "price_path": [0.6089, 0.5079, 0.4759, 0.4735, 0.4488, 0.4445, 0.4168, 0.3552, 0.3786, 0.4125, 0.3965, 0.37, 0.3762, 0.2407, 0.2167, 0.2118, 0.1951, 0.173, 0.1693, 0.1828, 0.2426, 0.2432, 0.2697, 0.2697, 0.1927, 0.213, 0.1995, 0.2056, 0.1853, 0.165, 0.1674, 0.1847, 0.1496, 0.1477, 0.128, 0.1379, 0.1256, 0.165, 0.1311, 0.1613, 0.1631, 0.1631, 0.1736, 0.1379, 0.1016, 0.1002, 0.0741, 0.061, 0.0454, 0.0473, 0.0336, 0.01, 0.01, 0.033, 0.0361, 0.018, 0.0093, 0.0212, 0.0162, 0.0299, 0.0199, 0.0019, 0.005, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0249, -0.0261, -0.0361, -0.0361, -0.028, -0.0236, -0.0112, 0.0373, -0.0087, 0.0068, -0.0156, -0.0137, -0.0348, -0.028, -0.0591, -0.0678, -0.0678, -0.0604, -0.0597, -0.0436, -0.0355, -0.023, -0.0666, -0.0541, -0.0653, -0.0716, -0.0809, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.0417, -0.056, -0.0797, -0.0703, -0.0772, -0.0828, -0.0909, -0.1126, -0.1114, -0.1245, -0.1201, -0.1164, -0.1288, -0.1406, -0.1518, -0.1388, -0.1303, -0.117, -0.1315, -0.1385, -0.1479, -0.1567, -0.1586, -0.1574, -0.1662, -0.1561, -0.1706, -0.1637, -0.0956, -0.1359, -0.1328, -0.1435, -0.1265, -0.1397, -0.1656, -0.1649, -0.1523, -0.1668, -0.1858, -0.2154, -0.2211, -0.2217, -0.1965, -0.2022, -0.2059, -0.1782, -0.1858, -0.1593, -0.1618, -0.199, -0.2047, -0.2059, -0.1668, -0.1649, -0.141, -0.1195, -0.129, -0.0893, -0.1153, -0.1542, -0.1776, -0.1938, -0.1938, -0.2063, -0.1951, -0.1987, -0.2067, -0.2081, -0.2115, -0.2042, -0.2018, -0.2171, -0.2227, -0.1965, -0.1924, -0.1854, -0.1578, -0.1771, -0.1982, -0.213, -0.2236, -0.231, -0.23, -0.2215, -0.2183, -0.2005, -0.2038, -0.2196, -0.2333, -0.2255, -0.2246, -0.2392, -0.2426, -0.2379, -0.2265, -0.2326]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1785495090582147549", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-05-01T02:22:57+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I did not cover my full position in #SPXU last week", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Still holding SPXU long; daily Buy signal fresh, trend supports rising yields to 5% on 10-year.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "#SPXU was up +4.78% today to generate a new daily “Buy” signal.  I did not cover my full position in #SPXU last week.  I’m worried that Powell will say something to push up the markets tomorrow but the trend is still rising yields to 5% on the 10 year. https://t.co/UXhjli6YyG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00967498280225454, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00967498280225454, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0129325231694849, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0129325231694849, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0032575403672303604, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0032575403672303604, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025530911989096405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025530911989096405, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0348842357939706, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0348842357939706, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009353323804874192, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009353323804874192, "ret_p1w": -0.09298575451955116, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09298575451955116, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12664203571708033, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12664203571708033, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03365628119752917, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03365628119752917, "ret_p1m": -0.11179792845152636, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11179792845152636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15628666198201835, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15628666198201835, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044488733530491986, "bench_c_p1m": 0.044488733530491986, "ret_p3m": -0.20567912454140813, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20567912454140813, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2979493344017722, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2979493344017722, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09227020986036405, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09227020986036405, "ret_p6m": -0.3365600248429437, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3365600248429437, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5015267648083401, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5015267648083401, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16496673996539646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16496673996539646, "ret_p1y": -0.20972406236440355, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20972406236440355, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.27689806999092903, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.27689806999092903, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.06717400762652548, "bench_c_p1y": 0.06717400762652548, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09298575451955116, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12664203571708033, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12664203571708033, "price_path": [0.0194, 0.0299, 0.0233, -0.0004, -0.0017, -0.0189, -0.0162, 0.0247, -0.0044, -0.0215, -0.0057, -0.0057, 0.0102, 0.0075, -0.0531, -0.0545, -0.0426, -0.0479, -0.0439, -0.0531, -0.0795, -0.0756, -0.0466, -0.0624, -0.0874, -0.0716, -0.0677, -0.0993, -0.0927, -0.0861, -0.0677, -0.0822, -0.0993, -0.1212, -0.1306, -0.1252, -0.1172, -0.1105, -0.1333, -0.132, -0.132, -0.1252, -0.1091, -0.1105, -0.0769, -0.1064, -0.1064, -0.1078, -0.0828, -0.1016, -0.0632, -0.0288, -0.0223, -0.0038, 0.0032, 0.0301, 0.0035, -0.0328, -0.0314, -0.0185, -0.046, -0.0548, -0.0097, 0.0, -0.0255, -0.0623, -0.0908, -0.0935, -0.093, -0.1072, -0.1102, -0.1096, -0.1217, -0.1537, -0.1465, -0.15, -0.1526, -0.158, -0.1502, -0.1303, -0.1473, -0.1473, -0.1483, -0.1298, -0.1118, -0.1344, -0.1363, -0.1384, -0.1693, -0.1685, -0.1642, -0.1712, -0.1766, -0.197, -0.201, -0.2016, -0.2196, -0.2252, -0.2252, -0.218, -0.2123, -0.2056, -0.2147, -0.2175, -0.2199, -0.2098, -0.2142, -0.2293, -0.2389, -0.2389, -0.2509, -0.2528, -0.2548, -0.2761, -0.2575, -0.2704, -0.2753, -0.2885, -0.2583, -0.2408, -0.2238, -0.2479, -0.2432, -0.1922, -0.1783, -0.2043, -0.2057, -0.1928, -0.2306, -0.1991, -0.1536, -0.0798, -0.1042, -0.0848, -0.1478, -0.1574, -0.1588, -0.2002, -0.2071, -0.2474, -0.2515, -0.2726, -0.2687, -0.2761, -0.2578, -0.2805, -0.275, -0.2775, -0.2649, -0.2644, -0.2833, -0.2833, -0.2397, -0.2342, -0.2284, -0.1881, -0.2153, -0.2249, -0.2479, -0.2665, -0.2772, -0.2803, -0.2808, -0.2734, -0.3099, -0.3055, -0.3101, -0.3162, -0.3112, -0.3192, -0.3148, -0.3234, -0.3044, -0.3047, -0.3008, -0.3184, -0.3003, -0.3195, -0.3335, -0.3299, -0.3402, -0.3567, -0.3413, -0.3494, -0.3488, -0.3558, -0.3522, -0.3511, -0.3327, -0.3366]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032907651349373233", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-14T19:52:08+00:00", "symbol": "HYG", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "HYG hit a \"Monthly Sell\" this Friday!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "HYG monthly sell signal triggered Friday, implying SPX decline ahead; author is short-only SPX, drawing parallel to 2021-2022 setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I began trading as a short only $SPX trader in November of 2021. I had successfully transitioned my portfolio due to looming war worries with Ukraine.  HYG on the “Monthly” chart went off in December of 2021.  $SPX was down 22% by June 2022.  HYG hit a “Monthly Sell” this Friday! https://t.co/r12lBwkpRV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003146667155444094, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003146667155444094, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006927672658655015, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006927672658655015, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01007433981409911, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01007433981409911, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004531103208342824, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004531103208342824, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0019005582172373359, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0019005582172373359, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002630544991105488, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002630544991105488, "ret_p1w": -0.0001258666862177238, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0001258666862177238, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017601559620552876, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017601559620552876, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177274263067706, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0177274263067706, "ret_p1m": 0.01812987258118537, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01812987258118537, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02271520352504308, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02271520352504308, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084507610622845, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084507610622845, "ret_p3m": 0.021547674712905085, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.021547674712905085, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08419469439542437, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08419469439542437, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10574236910832946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10574236910832946, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01812987258118537, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02271520352504308, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02271520352504308, "price_path": [-0.0001, 0.0006, -0.0007, 0.0021, 0.0016, 0.0024, 0.0032, 0.0051, 0.0046, 0.0049, 0.0059, 0.0049, 0.0054, 0.008, 0.0083, 0.008, 0.0088, 0.0095, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.008, 0.011, 0.0118, 0.0113, 0.0118, 0.0117, 0.01, 0.0099, 0.011, 0.0117, 0.011, 0.0098, 0.0086, 0.0122, 0.0135, 0.0125, 0.0124, 0.0119, 0.0127, 0.0127, 0.0122, 0.0134, 0.0138, 0.0145, 0.0129, 0.0122, 0.0135, 0.0127, 0.011, 0.0104, 0.0084, 0.012, 0.0079, 0.003, 0.0091, 0.0074, 0.0052, -0.0013, -0.0031, 0.0, 0.0045, -0.0006, 0.0026, -0.0067, -0.0001, -0.0035, -0.0004, -0.0067, -0.0092, -0.0081, 0.0014, 0.0038, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.008, 0.0083, 0.0142, 0.0153, 0.0113, 0.0151, 0.0181, 0.0176, 0.0162, 0.02, 0.0191, 0.0165, 0.0181, 0.0165, 0.0179, 0.0183, 0.0169, 0.0135, 0.0166, 0.0179, 0.0146, 0.0161, 0.0191, 0.0153, 0.0189, 0.0169, 0.0155, 0.016, 0.0152, 0.0102, 0.0113, 0.0088, 0.0153, 0.0158, 0.016, 0.016, 0.0194, 0.0188, 0.02, 0.021, 0.0203, 0.021, 0.0182, 0.0201, 0.015, 0.0164, 0.0175, 0.0155, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0228, 0.0227, 0.0189, 0.0224, 0.0224, 0.0215, 0.0207, 0.0204, 0.0208, 0.0208, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1818296613301043251", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-07-30T14:44:29+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I remain in a full position in #SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short SPX targeting 5,362.80 (-1.7%) on weekly sell signal; holds full SPXU position.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "5,362.80 is the number to watch this week if #SPX triggers a “Weekly Sell Signal”. That is only about -1.7% more of a drop from here.  I believe it is very possible to get there and maybe even this week.   I remain in a full position in #SPXU. https://t.co/iMwTnAbttt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015964818280225557, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015964818280225557, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021057174661942457, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021057174661942457, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0050923563817169, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0050923563817169, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.046875124615820773, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.046875124615820773, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06312985702012996, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06312985702012996, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01625473240430919, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01625473240430919, "ret_p1w": 0.10971463248936542, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10971463248936542, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14633821403611835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14633821403611835, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03662358154675294, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03662358154675294, "ret_p1m": -0.08933440832227046, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08933440832227046, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11940818783401763, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11940818783401763, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030073779511747167, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030073779511747167, "ret_p3m": -0.17637559552767867, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17637559552767867, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24799205181018813, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24799205181018813, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07161645628250946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07161645628250946, "ret_p6m": -0.2901339796800989, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2901339796800989, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42238273428627504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.42238273428627504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13224875460617613, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13224875460617613, "ret_p1y": -0.41949596842896697, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41949596842896697, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5940373912177777, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5940373912177777, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17454142278881069, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17454142278881069, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08933440832227046, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11940818783401763, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11940818783401763, "price_path": [0.2072, 0.1616, 0.1263, 0.123, 0.1236, 0.106, 0.1023, 0.103, 0.088, 0.0484, 0.0574, 0.0531, 0.0497, 0.0431, 0.0527, 0.0774, 0.0564, 0.0564, 0.0551, 0.078, 0.1003, 0.0724, 0.07, 0.0674, 0.0291, 0.0301, 0.0354, 0.0268, 0.0201, -0.0052, -0.0102, -0.0109, -0.0332, -0.0402, -0.0402, -0.0312, -0.0242, -0.0159, -0.0272, -0.0306, -0.0336, -0.0211, -0.0265, -0.0452, -0.0571, -0.0571, -0.072, -0.0744, -0.0768, -0.1033, -0.0802, -0.0961, -0.1022, -0.1185, -0.0812, -0.0594, -0.0384, -0.0683, -0.0625, 0.0007, 0.018, -0.0143, -0.016, 0.0, -0.0469, -0.0078, 0.0486, 0.1399, 0.1097, 0.1338, 0.0557, 0.0438, 0.0421, -0.0092, -0.0177, -0.0676, -0.0727, -0.0988, -0.0941, -0.1033, -0.0805, -0.1087, -0.1019, -0.105, -0.0893, -0.0887, -0.1121, -0.1121, -0.0581, -0.0513, -0.0442, 0.0058, -0.0279, -0.0397, -0.0683, -0.0914, -0.1046, -0.1084, -0.109, -0.0999, -0.145, -0.1396, -0.1454, -0.1529, -0.1466, -0.1567, -0.1511, -0.1618, -0.1383, -0.1387, -0.1338, -0.1556, -0.1331, -0.157, -0.1743, -0.1698, -0.1826, -0.203, -0.184, -0.194, -0.1933, -0.202, -0.1975, -0.1961, -0.1733, -0.1781, -0.1764, -0.1833, -0.1874, -0.1788, -0.1297, -0.1397, -0.1338, -0.165, -0.2269, -0.2449, -0.2535, -0.2552, -0.248, -0.2483, -0.2335, -0.2034, -0.212, -0.221, -0.2217, -0.2335, -0.2393, -0.2466, -0.2587, -0.2507, -0.2507, -0.2635, -0.2677, -0.268, -0.2812, -0.2774, -0.2808, -0.2687, -0.2618, -0.2788, -0.2674, -0.2653, -0.2746, -0.2646, -0.1996, -0.1975, -0.2248, -0.2392, -0.2636, -0.2636, -0.2633, -0.2396, -0.2124, -0.2035, -0.1965, -0.2258, -0.2392, -0.2134, -0.2152, -0.2152, -0.1791, -0.1827, -0.1848, -0.229, -0.2247, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2668, -0.2785, -0.2901]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1732576550363754625", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-07T01:43:33+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my current trade in SPXU that I went all in at $10.08", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "All-in long SPXU (3x inverse S&P) at $10.08; expects 10Y yield reversal to 4.36% to pressure SPX in December.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For the month of December only, I believe the 10 Year bottomed today at 4.12%.  The 10 Yr is now overbought and in the Panic Buying Zone.  A reversal to 4.36% will be enough to create some trouble with SPX and help with my current trade in SPXU that I went all in at $10.08. https://t.co/e8sOqQF4Fq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0223351459864225, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0223351459864225, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.029907721235139073, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029907721235139073, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007572575248716573, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007572575248716573, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011167434964598377, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011167434964598377, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01546661371881608, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01546661371881608, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004299178754217703, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004299178754217703, "ret_p1w": -0.08324873713021219, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08324873713021219, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11332101375787595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11332101375787595, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030072276627663763, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030072276627663763, "ret_p1m": -0.06280651553944527, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06280651553944527, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08809327785761534, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08809327785761534, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025286762318170064, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025286762318170064, "ret_p3m": -0.25045241178315303, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25045241178315303, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3617639430471584, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3617639430471584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11131153126400539, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11131153126400539, "ret_p6m": -0.319492207456637, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.319492207456637, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4786336006330322, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4786336006330322, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1591413931763952, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1591413931763952, "ret_p1y": -0.5219039906096374, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5219039906096374, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8435331237902182, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8435331237902182, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32162913318058073, "bench_c_p1y": 0.32162913318058073, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06280651553944527, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08809327785761534, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08809327785761534, "price_path": [0.055, 0.0719, 0.0679, 0.043, 0.0809, 0.0799, 0.0879, 0.1178, 0.1736, 0.1827, 0.1706, 0.2213, 0.2203, 0.202, 0.2132, 0.2132, 0.2609, 0.2355, 0.2406, 0.1949, 0.1736, 0.1563, 0.1411, 0.1655, 0.1807, 0.1462, 0.1452, 0.1919, 0.2254, 0.2711, 0.2782, 0.2518, 0.3046, 0.3533, 0.3726, 0.3239, 0.3015, 0.2589, 0.1898, 0.1584, 0.1513, 0.1421, 0.1401, 0.1665, 0.1127, 0.1178, 0.0528, 0.0477, 0.0457, 0.0406, 0.0183, 0.0244, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0193, 0.0173, 0.0203, 0.0081, -0.0081, 0.0091, 0.0091, 0.0223, 0.0, -0.0112, -0.0234, -0.0355, -0.0761, -0.0832, -0.0792, -0.0934, -0.1086, -0.0701, -0.097, -0.1012, -0.1012, -0.1115, -0.1167, -0.1167, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.0908, -0.068, -0.0587, -0.0628, -0.1022, -0.097, -0.1126, -0.1095, -0.1105, -0.1105, -0.0991, -0.0856, -0.1084, -0.1395, -0.1457, -0.153, -0.1551, -0.1675, -0.1634, -0.182, -0.181, -0.1416, -0.1727, -0.1986, -0.1903, -0.1955, -0.2142, -0.2152, -0.2287, -0.2266, -0.1945, -0.2173, -0.2308, -0.2183, -0.2183, -0.2059, -0.2079, -0.2556, -0.2567, -0.2473, -0.2515, -0.2484, -0.2556, -0.2764, -0.2733, -0.2505, -0.2629, -0.2826, -0.2702, -0.267, -0.2919, -0.2867, -0.2816, -0.267, -0.2784, -0.2919, -0.3091, -0.3165, -0.3123, -0.306, -0.3007, -0.3186, -0.3176, -0.3176, -0.3123, -0.2996, -0.3007, -0.2743, -0.2975, -0.2975, -0.2986, -0.2789, -0.2937, -0.2635, -0.2365, -0.2314, -0.2168, -0.2113, -0.1902, -0.2111, -0.2396, -0.2386, -0.2284, -0.25, -0.257, -0.2215, -0.2139, -0.2339, -0.2629, -0.2853, -0.2874, -0.287, -0.2982, -0.3005, -0.3001, -0.3096, -0.3347, -0.329, -0.3317, -0.3339, -0.3381, -0.332, -0.3163, -0.3296, -0.3296, -0.3305, -0.3159, -0.3017, -0.3195]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1964925081819488449", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-08T05:33:40+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'll continue with $SPXU.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short SPX over 3-6 months via continued SPXU position; downside target 5,200 vs upside 6,900.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX remains in a buy.  The upside potential is 6,900 by year end representing +6.46% upside.  The downside potential is 5,200 representing -19.76% downside.  The short term advantage over the next 3-6 months leans towards shorting $SPX vs being long.  I’ll continue with $SPXU. https://t.co/HkB6FmsD4O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0074174406997571385, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0074174406997571385, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00986809356201146, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00986809356201146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450652862254321, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450652862254321, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006068833573597776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006068833573597776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008380813305635226, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008380813305635226, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023119797320374502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023119797320374502, "ret_p1w": -0.051247476817579574, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.051247476817579574, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06986562855965361, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06986562855965361, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01861815174207404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01861815174207404, "ret_p1m": -0.08555132140693378, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08555132140693378, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11968212669169265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11968212669169265, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080528475887, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080528475887, "ret_p3m": -0.1419354017930946, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1419354017930946, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19966612920024096, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19966612920024096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.057730727407146354, "bench_c_p3m": 0.057730727407146354, "ret_p6m": -0.12245229545059444, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12245229545059444, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17853435342071844, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17853435342071844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.056082057970124, "bench_c_p6m": 0.056082057970124, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08555132140693378, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11968212669169265, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11968212669169265, "price_path": [0.233, 0.2197, 0.2624, 0.2257, 0.2584, 0.2604, 0.2604, 0.2717, 0.233, 0.1937, 0.1922, 0.1639, 0.1497, 0.1328, 0.1349, 0.12, 0.0944, 0.0944, 0.1194, 0.1227, 0.1032, 0.0937, 0.1065, 0.1011, 0.116, 0.1052, 0.0856, 0.089, 0.0836, 0.0836, 0.0566, 0.0553, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0533, 0.058, 0.0715, 0.1241, 0.0742, 0.091, 0.0668, 0.0688, 0.0459, 0.0533, 0.0196, 0.0101, 0.0101, 0.0182, 0.0189, 0.0364, 0.0452, 0.0587, 0.0115, 0.0249, 0.0128, 0.0061, -0.004, 0.0148, 0.0148, 0.0384, 0.0229, -0.0027, 0.0074, 0.0, -0.0061, -0.0148, -0.0384, -0.0371, -0.0512, -0.0465, -0.0425, -0.056, -0.0688, -0.0809, -0.0668, -0.0575, -0.0432, -0.0589, -0.0664, -0.0767, -0.0862, -0.0883, -0.0869, -0.0965, -0.0856, -0.1013, -0.0938, -0.0199, -0.0637, -0.0603, -0.0719, -0.0534, -0.0678, -0.0958, -0.0951, -0.0815, -0.0972, -0.1177, -0.1498, -0.1559, -0.1566, -0.1293, -0.1354, -0.1395, -0.1095, -0.1177, -0.089, -0.0917, -0.132, -0.1382, -0.1395, -0.0972, -0.0951, -0.0691, -0.0459, -0.0562, -0.0131, -0.0413, -0.0835, -0.1088, -0.1264, -0.1264, -0.1399, -0.1278, -0.1317, -0.1404, -0.1419, -0.1455, -0.1377, -0.1351, -0.1517, -0.1577, -0.1293, -0.1248, -0.1173, -0.0874, -0.1083, -0.1312, -0.1472, -0.1587, -0.1667, -0.1657, -0.1564, -0.1529, -0.1336, -0.1373, -0.1543, -0.1692, -0.1608, -0.1597, -0.1756, -0.1793, -0.1742, -0.1618, -0.1685, -0.1648, -0.1648, -0.1136, -0.1442, -0.1573, -0.157, -0.1698, -0.1794, -0.1789, -0.1732, -0.1648, -0.1777, -0.1561, -0.1437, -0.1108, -0.1617, -0.1726, -0.1657, -0.1653, -0.1261, -0.1263, -0.1263, -0.1305, -0.143, -0.1367, -0.1538, -0.1279, -0.1468, -0.1678, -0.1535, -0.1411, -0.1413, -0.1179, -0.1367, -0.1225]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1626615035572416514", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-02-17T16:10:20+00:00", "symbol": "EWG", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The ETF to short is EWG. The Panic Selling Zone is $23.75.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short EWG targeting $23.75 (-15.3% from $28.05); DAX in Panic Buying Zone after China reopening rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Germany’s DAX is clearly in the Panic Buying Zone.  The ETF to short is EWG.  The Panic Selling Zone is $23.75.  Based on yesterdays close of $28.05, this represents a -15.3% return.  The DAX rallied based on China reopening story.  Interesting set up. https://t.co/FaxIxWRaty", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0035523340285555927, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0035523340285555927, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006057042945581181, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006057042945581181, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0025047089170255887, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0025047089170255887, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.03943139581715882, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03943139581715882, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01271625091338846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01271625091338846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02671514490377036, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02671514490377036, "ret_p1m": -0.045115322544741376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.045115322544741376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.015607781028491696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015607781028491696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02950754151624968, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02950754151624968, "ret_p3m": 0.02877454164064086, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02877454164064086, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.005313457259433996, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.005313457259433996, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.023461084381206865, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023461084381206865, "ret_p6m": 0.026255648835282086, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.026255648835282086, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08235104070690569, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08235104070690569, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10860668954218777, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10860668954218777, "ret_p1y": 0.06866275486410323, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.06866275486410323, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.16270750766365372, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.16270750766365372, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23137026252775694, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23137026252775694, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.045115322544741376, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.015607781028491696, "alpha_c_stated": 0.015607781028491696, "price_path": [-0.1161, -0.1097, -0.1097, -0.103, -0.1186, -0.1154, -0.0984, -0.0916, -0.0859, -0.0984, -0.1094, -0.1062, -0.1033, -0.103, -0.1019, -0.087, -0.0877, -0.1169, -0.1261, -0.1261, -0.1243, -0.1147, -0.124, -0.1215, -0.1215, -0.1186, -0.1265, -0.1101, -0.1215, -0.1215, -0.1066, -0.081, -0.0867, -0.0636, -0.0512, -0.0416, -0.0298, -0.0135, -0.0128, -0.0128, -0.0121, -0.016, -0.0227, -0.0135, -0.0099, -0.0114, -0.005, -0.005, -0.0057, -0.0107, -0.0039, 0.0131, 0.0256, 0.0096, -0.0025, -0.0007, -0.0011, -0.0007, -0.0135, -0.0043, -0.0007, 0.0007, -0.0036, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0167, -0.0213, -0.0128, -0.0394, -0.0238, -0.0306, -0.0234, -0.027, -0.0075, -0.0021, -0.021, -0.0146, -0.022, -0.0302, -0.0426, -0.0252, -0.06, -0.048, -0.0607, -0.0451, -0.0238, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0369, -0.0242, -0.0231, -0.0096, 0.0082, 0.011, 0.0135, 0.0181, 0.0078, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0156, 0.0178, 0.0238, 0.0362, 0.0352, 0.0295, 0.0373, 0.0369, 0.0298, 0.0394, 0.043, 0.0298, 0.033, 0.0405, 0.0448, 0.0455, 0.0316, 0.0373, 0.033, 0.048, 0.0455, 0.0387, 0.0377, 0.0288, 0.0249, 0.0295, 0.0224, 0.0288, 0.033, 0.0416, 0.0377, 0.0242, 0.0075, 0.005, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0099, -0.006, 0.0099, 0.0163, 0.0096, 0.0128, 0.0084, 0.0211, 0.0131, 0.027, 0.0361, 0.0423, 0.0558, 0.0551, 0.0551, 0.0383, 0.0361, 0.0346, 0.0193, 0.0182, 0.0292, 0.0295, 0.0244, 0.0427, 0.0376, 0.0376, 0.0204, -0.0004, 0.0102, 0.0179, 0.0288, 0.0536, 0.0719, 0.066, 0.0682, 0.0708, 0.0664, 0.0595, 0.062, 0.0562, 0.058, 0.0569, 0.0598, 0.0737, 0.0701, 0.0547, 0.0336, 0.0277, 0.0303, 0.0387, 0.0248, 0.0284, 0.035, 0.0259, 0.0263]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1686537013720383493", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-02T00:38:53+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SPX is in a short term sell signal", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short-term sell signal on SPX pending VIX confirmation above 14.26; higher yields and weaker economic data reinforce bearish view.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tomorrow we should get confirmation from the VIX that SPX is in a short term sell signal.  I require a move above 14.26 on the VIX to confirm the sell signal from last week.  The bond market is telling us that higher yields are refusing to go lower.  Weaker economic data coming. https://t.co/6d6aTtDl6A", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014106970895699122, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014106970895699122, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014106970895699122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014106970895699122, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002866010658975515, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002866010658975515, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002866010658975515, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002866010658975515, "ret_p1w": -0.009730685356983959, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009730685356983959, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009730685356983959, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009730685356983959, "ret_p1m": 0.0004886700882955619, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0004886700882955619, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0004886700882955619, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0004886700882955619, "ret_p3m": -0.07347679760078751, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07347679760078751, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07347679760078751, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07347679760078751, "ret_p6m": 0.0924333828102415, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0924333828102415, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0924333828102415, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0924333828102415, "ret_p1y": 0.2366846549429007, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2366846549429007, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2366846549429007, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2366846549429007, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009730685356983959, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.0867, -0.0865, -0.0905, -0.0862, -0.0878, -0.089, -0.0859, -0.092, -0.0809, -0.0721, -0.0734, -0.0731, -0.0835, -0.0901, -0.0822, -0.0703, -0.0703, -0.07, -0.0751, -0.0664, -0.0529, -0.0547, -0.0526, -0.0559, -0.0502, -0.0485, -0.0398, -0.0335, -0.0324, -0.0204, -0.0237, -0.0237, -0.0288, -0.0337, -0.0303, -0.0376, -0.0415, -0.031, -0.0305, -0.0267, -0.0152, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0156, -0.0233, -0.0257, -0.0233, -0.017, -0.0091, -0.0013, -0.0019, 0.0016, 0.009, 0.0113, 0.0046, 0.0046, 0.009, 0.0118, 0.012, 0.0052, 0.0151, 0.017, 0.0141, 0.0, -0.0029, -0.0074, 0.0013, -0.0031, -0.0097, -0.0094, -0.01, -0.0045, -0.0161, -0.0233, -0.0307, -0.0303, -0.024, -0.0266, -0.0158, -0.0294, -0.0226, -0.0164, -0.0022, 0.002, 0.0005, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.002, -0.0087, -0.0117, -0.0102, -0.0037, -0.0092, -0.008, 0.0005, -0.0115, -0.011, -0.013, -0.0221, -0.0383, -0.0404, -0.0364, -0.0505, -0.0502, -0.0447, -0.047, -0.0473, -0.0601, -0.0533, -0.0536, -0.0424, -0.0362, -0.0312, -0.0273, -0.0332, -0.038, -0.0279, -0.0279, -0.0409, -0.0493, -0.061, -0.0626, -0.0556, -0.0691, -0.0803, -0.0844, -0.0735, -0.0677, -0.0577, -0.0397, -0.0309, -0.0287, -0.0259, -0.0252, -0.0328, -0.0177, -0.0186, 0.0004, 0.0025, 0.0038, 0.005, 0.0127, 0.0105, 0.0144, 0.0144, 0.0151, 0.0132, 0.0142, 0.0135, 0.0175, 0.0235, 0.0182, 0.018, 0.0138, 0.0216, 0.026, 0.03, 0.0347, 0.0489, 0.0523, 0.0506, 0.0565, 0.0629, 0.0482, 0.0581, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0647, 0.0666, 0.067, 0.064, 0.064, 0.058, 0.0494, 0.046, 0.0474, 0.0624, 0.0608, 0.0668, 0.0663, 0.067, 0.067, 0.0631, 0.0572, 0.0666, 0.0799, 0.0822, 0.0853, 0.0865, 0.0924]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1909236201602564181", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-07T13:25:57+00:00", "symbol": "HYG", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "HYG went into a 'Monthly Sell' last Friday. 5.00% downside remains until 4,700", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish near-term: expects market to fade green open and close red; HYG on monthly sell with 5% downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Plan of action for today is to remain in cash at the open.  My expectations are to see the markets trade into the green today but close in the red.  Today should be a good opportunity to make money.  HYG went into a “Monthly Sell” last Friday.  5.00% downside remains until 4,700. https://t.co/NHM00DNbTL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008672693250300068, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008672693250300068, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006888326504461251, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006888326504461251, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017843667458388168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017843667458388168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004599225460284906, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004599225460284906, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011063467500215918, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011063467500215918, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015662692960500824, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015662692960500824, "ret_p1w": 0.01340354601378091, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01340354601378091, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05547324352991101, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05547324352991101, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06887678954369192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06887678954369192, "ret_p1m": 0.03709109242824127, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03709109242824127, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07546298479946079, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07546298479946079, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11255407722770205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11255407722770205, "ret_p3m": 0.07160192467890614, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07160192467890614, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17188253211971705, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17188253211971705, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.24348445679862318, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24348445679862318, "ret_p6m": 0.09522419425785023, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09522419425785023, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2376694182282748, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2376694182282748, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.33289361248612503, "bench_c_p6m": 0.33289361248612503, "ret_p1y": 0.09234127717349594, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.09234127717349594, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.17498615289723762, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.17498615289723762, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26732743007073356, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26732743007073356, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01340354601378091, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05547324352991101, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05547324352991101, "price_path": [0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0175, 0.0173, 0.0186, 0.0275, 0.0287, 0.0296, 0.0296, 0.0323, 0.0309, 0.0322, 0.0333, 0.0341, 0.0337, 0.0331, 0.035, 0.0329, 0.0316, 0.0349, 0.0376, 0.0361, 0.0328, 0.0349, 0.0345, 0.0323, 0.037, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0372, 0.038, 0.0387, 0.0367, 0.038, 0.0406, 0.0421, 0.0401, 0.043, 0.0408, 0.0407, 0.0412, 0.0373, 0.039, 0.035, 0.0314, 0.0326, 0.0268, 0.0315, 0.034, 0.0322, 0.039, 0.0375, 0.036, 0.039, 0.0384, 0.0343, 0.0323, 0.0305, 0.0316, 0.034, 0.0361, 0.0233, 0.0087, 0.0, -0.0046, 0.0221, 0.0054, 0.0084, 0.0134, 0.0162, 0.016, 0.0219, 0.0159, 0.0198, 0.025, 0.0342, 0.0351, 0.0356, 0.0384, 0.0329, 0.0342, 0.0374, 0.037, 0.0362, 0.0371, 0.0368, 0.0375, 0.0478, 0.0496, 0.0458, 0.0478, 0.049, 0.0485, 0.0479, 0.0409, 0.043, 0.0428, 0.0428, 0.0491, 0.0485, 0.05, 0.051, 0.0508, 0.0528, 0.0548, 0.0525, 0.0524, 0.0529, 0.0554, 0.0552, 0.0563, 0.0532, 0.0553, 0.0541, 0.0557, 0.0557, 0.059, 0.061, 0.0639, 0.0636, 0.0667, 0.0662, 0.0703, 0.0689, 0.0709, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.068, 0.0665, 0.0695, 0.0684, 0.0671, 0.0679, 0.0647, 0.0675, 0.0685, 0.07, 0.0715, 0.0733, 0.0739, 0.0725, 0.0732, 0.0727, 0.0733, 0.0711, 0.0717, 0.0718, 0.0754, 0.0749, 0.0759, 0.0749, 0.075, 0.075, 0.0774, 0.0802, 0.0774, 0.0782, 0.0774, 0.0771, 0.0767, 0.0747, 0.0834, 0.0813, 0.0837, 0.0851, 0.0856, 0.0836, 0.0836, 0.0824, 0.0854, 0.0883, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.0877, 0.0885, 0.0912, 0.0901, 0.0932, 0.0924, 0.0913, 0.0937, 0.0941, 0.0949, 0.0941, 0.0926, 0.0895, 0.0917, 0.0936, 0.0932, 0.0952]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1816549532328477031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-07-25T19:02:13+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I remain committed to my position in #SPXU. Too early to sell.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF); believes correction has just started and it's too early to cover.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So many on X today calling to BTFD.  The correction just got started.  But if they are correct, I’ll be covering at 5,595.50.  I remain committed to my position in #SPXU.  Too early to sell.  I remember I used to sell at any uptick 20 years ago. https://t.co/pHzCgzpUF1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017016971175702222, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017016971175702222, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022254685784487194, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022254685784487194, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005237714608784971, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005237714608784971, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03169830198503787, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03169830198503787, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04289797130172013, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04289797130172013, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01119966931668226, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01119966931668226, "ret_p1w": -0.025358655832345534, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025358655832345534, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03390250734606659, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03390250734606659, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008543851513721057, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008543851513721057, "ret_p1m": -0.12445771001693717, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12445771001693717, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16851334781008565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16851334781008565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04405563779314847, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04405563779314847, "ret_p3m": -0.2103091949405047, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2103091949405047, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2970446348249791, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2970446348249791, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08673543988447441, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08673543988447441, "ret_p6m": -0.2596263616407998, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2596263616407998, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37667532867319553, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37667532867319553, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11704896703239576, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11704896703239576, "ret_p1y": -0.4184066750570431, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4184066750570431, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5922234865253114, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5922234865253114, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17381681146826833, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17381681146826833, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12445771001693717, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16851334781008565, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16851334781008565, "price_path": [0.1502, 0.2052, 0.2169, 0.1859, 0.1411, 0.1064, 0.1031, 0.1038, 0.0864, 0.0828, 0.0835, 0.0688, 0.0299, 0.0387, 0.0344, 0.0312, 0.0246, 0.0341, 0.0583, 0.0377, 0.0377, 0.0364, 0.059, 0.0809, 0.0534, 0.0511, 0.0485, 0.0109, 0.0119, 0.0171, 0.0086, 0.0021, -0.0228, -0.0277, -0.0284, -0.0503, -0.0571, -0.0571, -0.0483, -0.0414, -0.0333, -0.0444, -0.0477, -0.0507, -0.0384, -0.0437, -0.0621, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0884, -0.0908, -0.0931, -0.1191, -0.0964, -0.1121, -0.1181, -0.1341, -0.0974, -0.0761, -0.0554, -0.0848, -0.0791, -0.017, 0.0, -0.0317, -0.0334, -0.0177, -0.0637, -0.0254, 0.03, 0.1198, 0.0901, 0.1138, 0.037, 0.0254, 0.0237, -0.0267, -0.035, -0.0841, -0.0891, -0.1148, -0.1101, -0.1191, -0.0968, -0.1245, -0.1178, -0.1208, -0.1054, -0.1048, -0.1278, -0.1278, -0.0747, -0.0681, -0.0611, -0.012, -0.045, -0.0567, -0.0848, -0.1074, -0.1205, -0.1241, -0.1248, -0.1158, -0.1602, -0.1548, -0.1605, -0.1678, -0.1617, -0.1716, -0.1661, -0.1767, -0.1536, -0.1539, -0.1491, -0.1706, -0.1485, -0.1719, -0.1889, -0.1845, -0.1971, -0.2171, -0.1984, -0.2083, -0.2076, -0.2161, -0.2117, -0.2103, -0.1879, -0.1926, -0.1909, -0.1977, -0.2018, -0.1933, -0.1451, -0.1549, -0.1491, -0.1797, -0.2406, -0.2582, -0.2667, -0.2684, -0.2613, -0.2616, -0.247, -0.2174, -0.2259, -0.2348, -0.2355, -0.247, -0.2528, -0.2599, -0.2718, -0.264, -0.264, -0.2766, -0.2806, -0.281, -0.2939, -0.2902, -0.2936, -0.2817, -0.2749, -0.2915, -0.2803, -0.2783, -0.2874, -0.2776, -0.2137, -0.2117, -0.2385, -0.2527, -0.2766, -0.2766, -0.2763, -0.253, -0.2263, -0.2176, -0.2107, -0.2395, -0.2527, -0.2273, -0.2291, -0.2291, -0.1936, -0.1971, -0.1992, -0.2426, -0.2384, -0.2596, -0.2596]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993687877478146307", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T14:26:45+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I plan to buy $SPXU at the open. I will buy at the $51.65 range and price target will be $51.88 or greater", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Day trade: long SPXU (3x inverse S&P) at $51.65, target $51.88+, expects a new trading channel to begin.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Game plan for trading on Wednesday: Futures are up  by 0.35%.  I plan to buy $SPXU at the open.  This will be a strict day trade.  I will buy at the $51.65 range and price target will be $51.88 or greater if selling shows up.  I see the beginning of a trading channel. https://t.co/lwlepwaBGw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020144637541685384, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020144637541685384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027000706186939727, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027000706186939727, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006856068645254343, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006856068645254343, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.016037598758399496, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016037598758399496, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022231701530706416, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022231701530706416, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "ret_p1m": -0.04496317058033794, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04496317058033794, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06360397020541408, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06360397020541408, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640799625076143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018640799625076143, "ret_p3m": -0.04735678076200789, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04735678076200789, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0701884011269791, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0701884011269791, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.022831620364971217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022831620364971217, "ret_p6m": -0.2384541093935857, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2384541093935857, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34174631893081986, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34174631893081986, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329220953723417, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10329220953723417, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.1617, 0.1617, 0.1887, 0.1709, 0.1416, 0.1532, 0.1447, 0.1377, 0.1277, 0.1007, 0.1022, 0.086, 0.0914, 0.096, 0.0806, 0.0659, 0.052, 0.0683, 0.0788, 0.0952, 0.0773, 0.0686, 0.0569, 0.046, 0.0436, 0.0452, 0.0342, 0.0467, 0.0288, 0.0374, 0.1218, 0.0718, 0.0757, 0.0624, 0.0835, 0.0671, 0.035, 0.0358, 0.0514, 0.0334, 0.01, -0.0268, -0.0338, -0.0346, -0.0033, -0.0104, -0.0151, 0.0194, 0.01, 0.0428, 0.0397, -0.0065, -0.0135, -0.0151, 0.0334, 0.0358, 0.0655, 0.0921, 0.0804, 0.1297, 0.0974, 0.0491, 0.0201, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0155, -0.0016, -0.0061, -0.016, -0.0178, -0.0219, -0.0129, -0.01, -0.0289, -0.0358, -0.0033, 0.0018, 0.0104, 0.0446, 0.0207, -0.0055, -0.0239, -0.037, -0.0462, -0.045, -0.0344, -0.0304, -0.0083, -0.0125, -0.032, -0.049, -0.0394, -0.0382, -0.0563, -0.0605, -0.0547, -0.0406, -0.0482, -0.044, -0.044, 0.0147, -0.0204, -0.0354, -0.035, -0.0498, -0.0607, -0.0601, -0.0535, -0.044, -0.0587, -0.034, -0.0198, 0.0179, -0.0404, -0.0529, -0.045, -0.0446, 0.0003, 0.0001, 0.0001, -0.0047, -0.019, -0.0119, -0.0314, -0.0017, -0.0234, -0.0474, -0.031, -0.0168, -0.017, 0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0045, 0.0456, 0.0185, 0.0243, 0.0284, 0.0755, 0.0951, 0.0623, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.108, 0.1575, 0.1204, 0.1316, 0.1138, 0.1737, 0.2348, 0.2477, 0.1407, 0.1144, 0.1124, 0.1124, 0.0981, 0.0965, 0.0139, -0.0036, -0.0002, -0.0292, -0.064, -0.0861, -0.0925, -0.1243, -0.119, -0.1015, -0.1281, -0.1174, -0.1373, -0.1416, -0.1285, -0.1281, -0.153, -0.1594, -0.1502, -0.1699, -0.2043, -0.1964, -0.2155, -0.2208, -0.2171, -0.23, -0.2475, -0.2194, -0.2177, -0.2015, -0.2264, -0.2306, -0.2385, -0.2385]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1741582310049300867", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-31T22:09:14+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Base case is for a 26.72% drop to the Panic Selling Zone", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish Nasdaq outlook for 2024, targeting 26.72% drop; considers SQQQ but hesitant to commit after past losses.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Confirmation of my outlook for 2024 would be a close below 12,532.20.  Base case is for a 26.72% drop to the Panic Selling Zone.  #SQQQ could be an option for me to consider.  However, in May and June of 2023, it significantly hurt my returns.  Very shy to commit capital again. https://t.co/99tO6NZqbt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01721365477001857, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01721365477001857, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01158570899816147, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01158570899816147, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005627945771857101, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005627945771857101, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010581365120551078, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010581365120551078, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002414617971040589, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002414617971040589, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00816674714951049, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00816674714951049, "ret_p1w": 0.007849215777496088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007849215777496088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005246959331219436, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005246959331219436, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0026022564462766518, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026022564462766518, "ret_p1m": 0.035718905966433345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.035718905966433345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014074940782912604, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014074940782912604, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02164396518352074, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02164396518352074, "ret_p3m": 0.10434221612841577, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10434221612841577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005771351150585691, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005771351150585691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11011356727900146, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11011356727900146, "ret_p6m": 0.19667580430359033, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19667580430359033, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03520274211097152, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03520274211097152, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1614730621926188, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1614730621926188, "ret_p1y": 0.28267693634218793, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.28267693634218793, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.030954004851047046, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.030954004851047046, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2517229314911409, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2517229314911409, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.035718905966433345, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014074940782912604, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014074940782912604, "price_path": [-0.1113, -0.0964, -0.0918, -0.0868, -0.0802, -0.0834, -0.095, -0.0847, -0.0877, -0.0997, -0.1081, -0.1214, -0.1188, -0.1102, -0.132, -0.1485, -0.1444, -0.1348, -0.1307, -0.1156, -0.0995, -0.0889, -0.0852, -0.0766, -0.076, -0.0831, -0.0625, -0.0654, -0.0453, -0.0446, -0.0437, -0.0435, -0.0319, -0.0375, -0.0336, -0.0336, -0.0349, -0.0358, -0.0332, -0.0342, -0.0366, -0.0339, -0.0428, -0.0404, -0.046, -0.0326, -0.0283, -0.02, -0.0122, 0.0003, -0.0005, 0.0043, 0.0106, 0.0158, 0.0007, 0.0123, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0201, 0.0221, 0.0216, 0.0172, 0.0172, 0.0, -0.0106, -0.0157, -0.0145, 0.0059, 0.0078, 0.0147, 0.0168, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.0172, 0.0115, 0.0258, 0.0462, 0.0475, 0.0519, 0.0577, 0.059, 0.0527, 0.0635, 0.0564, 0.0357, 0.0479, 0.0656, 0.0642, 0.0621, 0.073, 0.075, 0.0856, 0.0813, 0.0645, 0.0761, 0.0793, 0.0695, 0.0695, 0.0614, 0.0572, 0.0881, 0.0849, 0.0844, 0.087, 0.0812, 0.0904, 0.1069, 0.1029, 0.0831, 0.0899, 0.1065, 0.0905, 0.0864, 0.102, 0.0935, 0.0908, 0.0778, 0.0881, 0.0908, 0.1037, 0.109, 0.1102, 0.1062, 0.1026, 0.1064, 0.1043, 0.1043, 0.1067, 0.0971, 0.0996, 0.0828, 0.0955, 0.0959, 0.0999, 0.0903, 0.1077, 0.0901, 0.0721, 0.0722, 0.0591, 0.0531, 0.0313, 0.0417, 0.0572, 0.0608, 0.0557, 0.072, 0.0763, 0.056, 0.0484, 0.0618, 0.0831, 0.095, 0.0952, 0.0945, 0.0969, 0.0995, 0.102, 0.1091, 0.1265, 0.1242, 0.1236, 0.1315, 0.1337, 0.1334, 0.1283, 0.139, 0.139, 0.1433, 0.1353, 0.1231, 0.121, 0.127, 0.1301, 0.1529, 0.1525, 0.1515, 0.1561, 0.1641, 0.1793, 0.1857, 0.1918, 0.2064, 0.2068, 0.2068, 0.1975, 0.1943, 0.1807, 0.1942, 0.1967]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1741582310049300867", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-12-31T22:09:14+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "#SQQQ could be an option for me to consider", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish Nasdaq outlook for 2024, targeting 26.72% drop; considers SQQQ but hesitant to commit after past losses.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Confirmation of my outlook for 2024 would be a close below 12,532.20.  Base case is for a 26.72% drop to the Panic Selling Zone.  #SQQQ could be an option for me to consider.  However, in May and June of 2023, it significantly hurt my returns.  Very shy to commit capital again. https://t.co/99tO6NZqbt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04879769784031329, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04879769784031329, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.054425643612170393, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.054425643612170393, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005627945771857101, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005627945771857101, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03182454995782291, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03182454995782291, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0399912971073334, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0399912971073334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00816674714951049, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00816674714951049, "ret_p1w": -0.02263082973603825, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02263082973603825, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0252330861823149, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0252330861823149, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0026022564462766518, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026022564462766518, "ret_p1m": -0.09618110311954753, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09618110311954753, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11782506830306827, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11782506830306827, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02164396518352074, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02164396518352074, "ret_p3m": -0.24759175302289427, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24759175302289427, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3577053203018957, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3577053203018957, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11011356727900146, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11011356727900146, "ret_p6m": -0.4013021887461522, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4013021887461522, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.562775250938771, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.562775250938771, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1614730621926188, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1614730621926188, "ret_p1y": -0.528994481168892, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.528994481168892, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7807174126600329, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7807174126600329, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2517229314911409, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2517229314911409, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09618110311954753, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11782506830306827, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11782506830306827, "price_path": [0.4109, 0.341, 0.3202, 0.2994, 0.2724, 0.2876, 0.3368, 0.2911, 0.3043, 0.3583, 0.3964, 0.4601, 0.4476, 0.4068, 0.51, 0.5993, 0.5758, 0.5259, 0.503, 0.4248, 0.3507, 0.3036, 0.289, 0.2537, 0.2509, 0.2821, 0.1969, 0.208, 0.1318, 0.129, 0.1269, 0.1276, 0.0875, 0.1075, 0.0951, 0.0951, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.0958, 0.1006, 0.1096, 0.1013, 0.1325, 0.1242, 0.1443, 0.0978, 0.0847, 0.057, 0.032, -0.0067, -0.0019, -0.013, -0.0351, -0.0483, -0.0057, -0.0382, -0.0431, -0.0431, -0.0601, -0.0651, -0.0615, -0.0488, -0.0488, 0.0, 0.0318, 0.0495, 0.0467, -0.0177, -0.0226, -0.0424, -0.046, -0.0474, -0.0474, -0.046, -0.0297, -0.07, -0.1245, -0.1273, -0.1379, -0.1521, -0.1535, -0.1379, -0.1634, -0.1464, -0.0962, -0.1273, -0.1711, -0.1669, -0.1612, -0.186, -0.1902, -0.2136, -0.2037, -0.1655, -0.1931, -0.1987, -0.1761, -0.1761, -0.157, -0.1464, -0.2207, -0.2136, -0.2115, -0.2171, -0.2044, -0.2228, -0.2581, -0.2489, -0.2086, -0.2235, -0.2567, -0.2249, -0.2157, -0.2496, -0.2306, -0.2249, -0.1966, -0.2185, -0.2242, -0.2512, -0.2605, -0.262, -0.2541, -0.2476, -0.2533, -0.2476, -0.2476, -0.2526, -0.2332, -0.2375, -0.2016, -0.2289, -0.2289, -0.2383, -0.2174, -0.2533, -0.2182, -0.1787, -0.1787, -0.1485, -0.1334, -0.0782, -0.1047, -0.1449, -0.1521, -0.1385, -0.1794, -0.188, -0.1421, -0.1227, -0.1543, -0.2045, -0.2318, -0.2304, -0.2289, -0.2332, -0.2383, -0.2426, -0.2576, -0.2914, -0.2864, -0.2842, -0.2993, -0.3029, -0.3014, -0.2907, -0.3108, -0.3108, -0.3187, -0.3043, -0.2806, -0.2806, -0.2871, -0.2921, -0.3352, -0.333, -0.3309, -0.3381, -0.3517, -0.3768, -0.3869, -0.3948, -0.4163, -0.417, -0.417, -0.4027, -0.3969, -0.3761, -0.3976, -0.4013]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1978820909612904842", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T13:50:44+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have just purchased $SPXU at $13.42. Price objective is $13.55. This will be a strict day trade.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Long SPXU at $13.42 targeting $13.55 as a strict day trade, implying short S&P 500 exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have just purchased $SPXU at $13.42.  Price objective is $13.55.  This will be a strict day trade.  Looking at $SPX, a new “Daily Buy Signal” will be triggered at 6.722.70.  Be careful today.  We are only 30 points away from that trigger point.  I’m a short seller. https://t.co/4KnmUaiNwZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01949460956233806, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01949460956233806, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026351627647222653, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026351627647222653, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006857018084884592, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006857018084884592, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015162442330588388, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015162442330588388, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020838834859056354, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020838834859056354, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005676392528467966, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005676392528467966, "ret_p1w": -0.04620937869381281, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04620937869381281, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06304163009756392, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06304163009756392, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683225140375111, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01683225140375111, "ret_p1m": -0.044043438058472995, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.044043438058472995, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.061132885861250874, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061132885861250874, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708944780277788, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708944780277788, "ret_p3m": -0.12151887078548784, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12151887078548784, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17244757708014846, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17244757708014846, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05092870629466062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05092870629466062, "ret_p6m": -0.1360968086887555, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1360968086887555, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19327517322706367, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19327517322706367, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05717836453830816, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05717836453830816, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015162442330588388, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.020838834859056354, "alpha_c_stated": -0.020838834859056354, "price_path": [0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1163, 0.1149, 0.1035, 0.1035, 0.1127, 0.1177, 0.132, 0.1875, 0.1348, 0.1526, 0.127, 0.1291, 0.1049, 0.1127, 0.0771, 0.0671, 0.0671, 0.0757, 0.0764, 0.0949, 0.1042, 0.1184, 0.0686, 0.0828, 0.07, 0.0629, 0.0522, 0.0721, 0.0721, 0.0971, 0.0807, 0.0536, 0.0643, 0.0564, 0.05, 0.0408, 0.0158, 0.0173, 0.0023, 0.0073, 0.0116, -0.0027, -0.0162, -0.029, -0.0141, -0.0043, 0.0108, -0.0058, -0.0137, -0.0245, -0.0347, -0.0368, -0.0354, -0.0455, -0.0339, -0.0505, -0.0426, 0.0354, -0.0108, -0.0072, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0152, -0.0448, -0.044, -0.0296, -0.0462, -0.0679, -0.1018, -0.1083, -0.109, -0.0801, -0.0866, -0.091, -0.0592, -0.0679, -0.0375, -0.0404, -0.083, -0.0895, -0.091, -0.0462, -0.044, -0.0166, 0.0079, -0.0029, 0.0426, 0.0128, -0.0318, -0.0585, -0.0771, -0.0771, -0.0913, -0.0785, -0.0827, -0.0919, -0.0935, -0.0973, -0.089, -0.0863, -0.1038, -0.1101, -0.0801, -0.0755, -0.0675, -0.0359, -0.0579, -0.0821, -0.0991, -0.1112, -0.1197, -0.1186, -0.1088, -0.1051, -0.0847, -0.0886, -0.1066, -0.1223, -0.1134, -0.1123, -0.1291, -0.1329, -0.1276, -0.1145, -0.1215, -0.1177, -0.1177, -0.0635, -0.0959, -0.1097, -0.1094, -0.123, -0.1331, -0.1326, -0.1265, -0.1177, -0.1313, -0.1084, -0.0954, -0.0606, -0.1143, -0.1259, -0.1186, -0.1182, -0.0768, -0.077, -0.077, -0.0814, -0.0946, -0.088, -0.1061, -0.0786, -0.0987, -0.1208, -0.1057, -0.0926, -0.0928, -0.0681, -0.088, -0.0729, -0.035, -0.06, -0.0547, -0.0508, -0.0074, 0.0107, -0.0195, -0.0271, 0.0136, 0.0226, 0.0683, 0.034, 0.0443, 0.0279, 0.0832, 0.1396, 0.1515, 0.0528, 0.0285, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.0135, 0.012, -0.0643, -0.0804, -0.0773, -0.104, -0.1361]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1649850042495414272", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-22T18:57:57+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect MSFT and Google to contribute to the downside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short Nasdaq via a live position; expects MSFT and Google earnings next week to contribute to the downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Next week is key for me.  Shorting the Nasdaq comes with great risk. MSFT, Google, META and Amazon report next week.  Everyone knows the significant weight it has.  I expect MSFT and Google to contribute to the downside.  If not, I could be in trouble.  Life of a short seller.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014160415149065297, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014160415149065297, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0152024124242921, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0152024124242921, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010419972752268025, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010419972752268025, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022536130208752336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022536130208752336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006662373152462875, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006662373152462875, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01587375705628946, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01587375705628946, "ret_p1w": 0.08443071004410241, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08443071004410241, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07745095413329328, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07745095413329328, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006979755910809127, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006979755910809127, "ret_p1m": 0.12130181196602474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12130181196602474, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1177633516485681, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1177633516485681, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0035384603174566376, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035384603174566376, "ret_p3m": 0.233730572665531, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.233730572665531, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13381133265548617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13381133265548617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09991924001004482, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09991924001004482, "ret_p6m": 0.18355572721086832, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18355572721086832, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11920416998242533, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11920416998242533, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06435155722844299, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06435155722844299, "ret_p1y": 0.5144759725278412, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5144759725278412, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.25047410043098406, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.25047410043098406, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2640018720968571, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2640018720968571, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12130181196602474, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1177633516485681, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1177633516485681, "price_path": [-0.1482, -0.122, -0.1215, -0.1408, -0.1227, -0.1052, -0.0633, -0.0854, -0.091, -0.0528, -0.0557, -0.0668, -0.0686, -0.0395, -0.0365, -0.0442, -0.0696, -0.0841, -0.0841, -0.1033, -0.1074, -0.0958, -0.1155, -0.1122, -0.1148, -0.126, -0.1088, -0.094, -0.0884, -0.098, -0.0996, -0.1045, -0.1178, -0.0988, -0.0745, -0.058, -0.0198, -0.0083, -0.0339, -0.0284, -0.0336, -0.0146, -0.0043, -0.0191, -0.0232, -0.0045, 0.0081, 0.0232, 0.0194, 0.0192, 0.0091, 0.0349, 0.0349, 0.027, 0.0038, 0.0061, 0.0286, 0.0155, 0.0249, 0.0234, 0.0237, 0.0154, 0.0142, 0.0, -0.0225, 0.0483, 0.0818, 0.0905, 0.0844, 0.0839, 0.0803, 0.0839, 0.1025, 0.0954, 0.0895, 0.1084, 0.1006, 0.0965, 0.0983, 0.1064, 0.1168, 0.1329, 0.1323, 0.1424, 0.1213, 0.1163, 0.1592, 0.184, 0.184, 0.178, 0.168, 0.1829, 0.1929, 0.1949, 0.1868, 0.1502, 0.1569, 0.1623, 0.1803, 0.189, 0.1998, 0.2381, 0.2176, 0.2176, 0.2024, 0.1864, 0.2083, 0.1916, 0.1687, 0.19, 0.1945, 0.1917, 0.2112, 0.2021, 0.2021, 0.2027, 0.2138, 0.1994, 0.1802, 0.1825, 0.1993, 0.2188, 0.2279, 0.2297, 0.2786, 0.2629, 0.2337, 0.2227, 0.2275, 0.2483, 0.2014, 0.1763, 0.2035, 0.1948, 0.1963, 0.1648, 0.1618, 0.1658, 0.1741, 0.1597, 0.1461, 0.1486, 0.1418, 0.1525, 0.1448, 0.142, 0.1294, 0.128, 0.1473, 0.1493, 0.1655, 0.1405, 0.1512, 0.1538, 0.1705, 0.1719, 0.1682, 0.1714, 0.1714, 0.1889, 0.1865, 0.1759, 0.1914, 0.2045, 0.1825, 0.1978, 0.2072, 0.177, 0.1729, 0.1714, 0.1433, 0.1389, 0.1299, 0.1318, 0.1126, 0.1149, 0.1179, 0.1254, 0.147, 0.117, 0.1369, 0.1383, 0.1664, 0.1756, 0.1705, 0.1848, 0.1803, 0.1681, 0.1856, 0.1836]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1649850042495414272", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-04-22T18:57:57+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect MSFT and Google to contribute to the downside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short Nasdaq via a live position; expects MSFT and Google earnings next week to contribute to the downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Alphabet Inc Class A, US listed", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Next week is key for me.  Shorting the Nasdaq comes with great risk. MSFT, Google, META and Amazon report next week.  Everyone knows the significant weight it has.  I expect MSFT and Google to contribute to the downside.  If not, I could be in trouble.  Life of a short seller.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005284501263435604, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005284501263435604, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004242503988208801, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00632553200182262, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010419972752268025, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0010410307383870165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02000563786664933, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02000563786664933, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004131880810359867, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004388668050642974, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01587375705628946, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015616969816006354, "ret_p1w": 0.011607090521607244, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011607090521607244, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004627334610798117, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027608701983273143, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006979755910809127, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03921579250488039, "ret_p1m": 0.15655372217955765, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15655372217955765, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15301526186210102, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0946067697593258, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0035384603174566376, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06194695242023185, "ret_p3m": 0.1248466419647436, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1248466419647436, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02492740195469878, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02607387472116862, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09991924001004482, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15092051668591222, "ret_p6m": 0.31848622481490807, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31848622481490807, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2541346675864651, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.126885546101271, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06435155722844299, "bench_c_p6m": 0.19160067871363706, "ret_p1y": 0.473435893308785, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.473435893308785, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2094340212119279, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.03784010346203037, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2640018720968571, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4355957898467546, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15655372217955765, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15301526186210102, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0946067697593258, "price_path": [-0.1014, -0.0797, -0.0623, -0.0852, -0.0673, -0.0523, 0.0167, -0.0112, -0.029, 0.0158, -0.0623, -0.1034, -0.1076, -0.1072, -0.1065, -0.0852, -0.0987, -0.1097, -0.1097, -0.1338, -0.1351, -0.1423, -0.1589, -0.1519, -0.1501, -0.1473, -0.1318, -0.1163, -0.1023, -0.1143, -0.1106, -0.1288, -0.1448, -0.1402, -0.1132, -0.093, -0.0533, -0.041, -0.0448, -0.0099, -0.0245, -0.0035, -0.005, -0.0331, -0.0466, -0.0432, -0.0479, -0.0211, -0.0152, -0.0118, -0.0142, 0.0231, 0.0231, 0.0044, -0.0059, -0.0126, 0.0138, 0.0274, 0.0, -0.0139, -0.0169, -0.0064, -0.0053, 0.0, -0.02, -0.0213, 0.0153, 0.0129, 0.0116, -0.0061, -0.0053, -0.0121, -0.0038, 0.017, 0.013, 0.0545, 0.1, 0.1089, 0.0995, 0.1278, 0.1403, 0.1591, 0.1584, 0.1801, 0.1566, 0.1409, 0.1652, 0.1759, 0.1759, 0.167, 0.1595, 0.1675, 0.1765, 0.1891, 0.2014, 0.156, 0.1526, 0.1534, 0.1667, 0.1685, 0.167, 0.1804, 0.1657, 0.1657, 0.1616, 0.1376, 0.1621, 0.1545, 0.1167, 0.1166, 0.1341, 0.1239, 0.1296, 0.1315, 0.1315, 0.1489, 0.1334, 0.1275, 0.0989, 0.1054, 0.1223, 0.1752, 0.1835, 0.1763, 0.1679, 0.1516, 0.1248, 0.1326, 0.1468, 0.1533, 0.2199, 0.2211, 0.2511, 0.2524, 0.2414, 0.2115, 0.2121, 0.2089, 0.2412, 0.24, 0.2236, 0.2238, 0.2226, 0.2393, 0.2247, 0.2145, 0.226, 0.2028, 0.2114, 0.2181, 0.2491, 0.2247, 0.2256, 0.2363, 0.2699, 0.2822, 0.285, 0.2802, 0.2802, 0.2812, 0.2688, 0.2764, 0.287, 0.2921, 0.2772, 0.2901, 0.3032, 0.2966, 0.3042, 0.3026, 0.2621, 0.2309, 0.2291, 0.2372, 0.2133, 0.2319, 0.2486, 0.2349, 0.2661, 0.2497, 0.2762, 0.2746, 0.2983, 0.3062, 0.3028, 0.3263, 0.3114, 0.2962, 0.3126, 0.3185]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1832472498807652627", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-09-07T17:34:24+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "#SPXU will be my method of choice for me and only me", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short SPX to year-end; downside target 4,200 by March 2025 vs 5,650 upside; plans 100% short via SPXU on confirmation below 5,389.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "#SPX was down -4.25% for the week, triggering a new “Daily Sell Signal” and a new “Weekly Sell Warning Signal”.  Now the upside is 5,650 and the downside is to 4,200 by March of 2025.  Upside is +4.28% and downside is -22.30%.  Risk to reward favours the short side to year end. https://t.co/07BhWj0leb\n\n---\n\nThe number to confirm the downtrend is more serious is 5,389.40.  In that case I’ll be back to 100% short SPX with no exposure to oil.  #SPXU will be my method of choice for me and only me.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.034591225223141064, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.034591225223141064, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0456636249638489, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0456636249638489, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011072399740707839, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011072399740707839, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012229282812708964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012229282812708964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016585083821908264, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016585083821908264, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0043558010091993005, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0043558010091993005, "ret_p1w": -0.08280930804647024, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08280930804647024, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1128783195862042, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1128783195862042, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03006901153973396, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03006901153973396, "ret_p1m": -0.1328514202511637, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1328514202511637, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1850429337059154, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1850429337059154, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "ret_p3m": -0.25667897776492, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25667897776492, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.370349569984853, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.370349569984853, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11367059221993303, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11367059221993303, "ret_p6m": -0.1596100662675236, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1596100662675236, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23355977370630054, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23355977370630054, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07394970743877693, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07394970743877693, "ret_p1y": -0.44076539724454245, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.44076539724454245, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6359927117862492, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6359927117862492, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19522731454170672, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19522731454170672, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1328514202511637, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1850429337059154, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1850429337059154, "price_path": [0.0233, 0.0182, 0.0175, -0.0055, -0.0127, -0.0127, -0.0034, 0.0038, 0.0123, 0.0007, -0.0028, -0.0059, 0.007, 0.0014, -0.0178, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0454, -0.0479, -0.0503, -0.0776, -0.0538, -0.0702, -0.0765, -0.0933, -0.0549, -0.0325, -0.0108, -0.0416, -0.0356, 0.0294, 0.0472, 0.014, 0.0122, 0.0287, -0.0196, 0.0206, 0.0786, 0.1726, 0.1415, 0.1663, 0.086, 0.0737, 0.072, 0.0192, 0.0105, -0.0409, -0.0461, -0.073, -0.0681, -0.0776, -0.0542, -0.0832, -0.0762, -0.0793, -0.0632, -0.0625, -0.0867, -0.0867, -0.0311, -0.0241, -0.0168, 0.0346, 0.0, -0.0122, -0.0416, -0.0653, -0.079, -0.0828, -0.0835, -0.0741, -0.1205, -0.115, -0.1209, -0.1286, -0.1222, -0.1325, -0.1268, -0.1378, -0.1136, -0.114, -0.109, -0.1314, -0.1083, -0.1329, -0.1506, -0.146, -0.1592, -0.1802, -0.1606, -0.1709, -0.1702, -0.1791, -0.1745, -0.1731, -0.1496, -0.1546, -0.1528, -0.1599, -0.1642, -0.1553, -0.1047, -0.1151, -0.109, -0.141, -0.2047, -0.2232, -0.2321, -0.2339, -0.2264, -0.2268, -0.2115, -0.1805, -0.1894, -0.1987, -0.1994, -0.2115, -0.2175, -0.225, -0.2375, -0.2293, -0.2293, -0.2424, -0.2467, -0.2471, -0.2606, -0.2567, -0.2602, -0.2478, -0.2407, -0.2581, -0.2464, -0.2442, -0.2538, -0.2435, -0.1766, -0.1745, -0.2026, -0.2174, -0.2425, -0.2425, -0.2422, -0.2178, -0.1898, -0.1807, -0.1734, -0.2036, -0.2174, -0.1909, -0.1927, -0.1927, -0.1556, -0.1592, -0.1614, -0.2069, -0.2025, -0.2247, -0.2247, -0.2458, -0.2578, -0.2698, -0.2622, -0.2312, -0.2502, -0.2403, -0.2516, -0.2389, -0.2236, -0.2389, -0.2476, -0.2556, -0.2338, -0.2487, -0.2502, -0.2429, -0.2665, -0.2651, -0.2651, -0.2702, -0.2756, -0.2665, -0.228, -0.2167, -0.2043, -0.2047, -0.1672, -0.2043, -0.1632, -0.1323, -0.1596]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1647263474865819649", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-15T15:39:51+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I went long SQQQ on Friday", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Took a live long SQQQ position Friday, implying a short bet on the Nasdaq from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Nasdaq was up +0.29% for the week. I went long SQQQ on Friday. For the week I am up +0.90%.  MTD the Nasdaq is up +0.71% while I’m up +1.03.  YTD the Nasdaq is up +16.87% vs my personal return of 17.15%. Achieved by only being short SPX/Nasdaq or in cash.  The pressure is on. https://t.co/tjcnmNbLmx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0013320497918303253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0013320497918303253, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004907470828784621, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004907470828784621, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003575421036954296, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003575421036954296, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00033306318884562813, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00033306318884562813, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00098502507334719, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00098502507334719, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0006519618845015618, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006519618845015618, "ret_p1w": 0.02996990253487275, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02996990253487275, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033134851810425414, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.033134851810425414, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0031649492755526643, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0031649492755526643, "ret_p1m": -0.07392602343863697, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07392602343863697, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06501155072970921, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06501155072970921, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008914472708927756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008914472708927756, "ret_p3m": -0.40786900854131514, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40786900854131514, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.49795419525757645, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.49795419525757645, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09008518671626131, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09008518671626131, "ret_p6m": -0.35563095989785254, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35563095989785254, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4130125156749277, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4130125156749277, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.057381555777075155, "bench_c_p6m": 0.057381555777075155, "ret_p1y": -0.6219002137815093, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6219002137815093, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.894866085788979, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.894866085788979, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2729658720074697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2729658720074697, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02996990253487275, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.033134851810425414, "alpha_c_stated": -0.033134851810425414, "price_path": [0.5666, 0.6156, 0.4822, 0.3846, 0.3942, 0.4038, 0.3234, 0.2856, 0.3634, 0.3025, 0.2191, 0.0924, 0.1473, 0.1774, 0.1046, 0.1635, 0.1956, 0.2201, 0.1615, 0.1371, 0.1112, 0.1748, 0.2009, 0.2009, 0.2863, 0.2853, 0.2526, 0.3168, 0.2883, 0.2949, 0.326, 0.2949, 0.2155, 0.2112, 0.2562, 0.238, 0.3055, 0.3594, 0.33, 0.2396, 0.2221, 0.1258, 0.1414, 0.1308, 0.0834, 0.1275, 0.0886, 0.0769, 0.0992, 0.1172, 0.0576, 0.0283, -0.0223, -0.0157, -0.0053, 0.027, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0087, 0.0283, 0.0553, -0.0043, 0.0013, 0.0, -0.0003, 0.0013, 0.026, 0.0233, 0.03, 0.0886, 0.0706, -0.0157, -0.0356, -0.0326, -0.0073, 0.013, 0.025, -0.0396, -0.0463, -0.0276, -0.0586, -0.0663, -0.0563, -0.0709, -0.0739, -0.1072, -0.1548, -0.1489, -0.1575, -0.1252, -0.1119, -0.1742, -0.2371, -0.2371, -0.2478, -0.2321, -0.2601, -0.2761, -0.2774, -0.2767, -0.2394, -0.2657, -0.2744, -0.311, -0.3267, -0.3413, -0.363, -0.351, -0.351, -0.3483, -0.3218, -0.3444, -0.3241, -0.2975, -0.3322, -0.3366, -0.3316, -0.3616, -0.3657, -0.3657, -0.3657, -0.3505, -0.3434, -0.3441, -0.3532, -0.3775, -0.4079, -0.4075, -0.4234, -0.4376, -0.4376, -0.3974, -0.3913, -0.3944, -0.4065, -0.4004, -0.3947, -0.4274, -0.4291, -0.4241, -0.3863, -0.3815, -0.3731, -0.3886, -0.3724, -0.3518, -0.3542, -0.3414, -0.3633, -0.3431, -0.3214, -0.2985, -0.2951, -0.3292, -0.3255, -0.3576, -0.3144, -0.3309, -0.3458, -0.3876, -0.3981, -0.4021, -0.4001, -0.4001, -0.4018, -0.3863, -0.3717, -0.3741, -0.3961, -0.3758, -0.3822, -0.3964, -0.3647, -0.367, -0.3623, -0.335, -0.2966, -0.2969, -0.3069, -0.2753, -0.2804, -0.2966, -0.2979, -0.3148, -0.2783, -0.3072, -0.3003, -0.335, -0.3453, -0.3556]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1903093950665331052", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-21T14:38:50+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Selling all the way to 4,700.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish SPY; selling down to 4,700 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HostileCharts Selling all the way to 4,700.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SPY - You buy or selling this? \n\nS&P 500 upside down. https://t.co/9ztlCE8bOZ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HostileCharts", "ret_m1d": -0.00032967348935686314, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00032967348935686314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00032967348935686314, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00032967348935686314, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017908711172002434, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017908711172002434, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.017908711172002434, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017908711172002434, "ret_p1w": -0.014752010690025075, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014752010690025075, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014752010690025075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014752010690025075, "ret_p1m": -0.06512620765961896, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06512620765961896, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06512620765961896, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06512620765961896, "ret_p3m": 0.05932849768317672, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05932849768317672, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05932849768317672, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05932849768317672, "ret_p6m": 0.17371411426149508, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17371411426149508, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17371411426149508, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17371411426149508, "ret_p1y": 0.18454175933703576, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18454175933703576, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18454175933703576, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18454175933703576, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06512620765961896, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.0513, 0.063, 0.063, 0.063, 0.0519, 0.0399, 0.0361, 0.0335, 0.0464, 0.0525, 0.0406, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0262, 0.0278, 0.0292, 0.0479, 0.0459, 0.0564, 0.0564, 0.0661, 0.0721, 0.0779, 0.0748, 0.0596, 0.0687, 0.0639, 0.0696, 0.0639, 0.0567, 0.0638, 0.0681, 0.0718, 0.062, 0.0693, 0.0701, 0.0666, 0.0779, 0.0778, 0.0778, 0.081, 0.0835, 0.079, 0.0606, 0.0557, 0.0505, 0.051, 0.0342, 0.0504, 0.032, 0.0198, 0.0307, 0.0124, 0.0181, -0.009, -0.0172, -0.012, -0.0252, -0.0051, 0.0026, -0.0082, 0.0026, -0.0003, 0.0, 0.0179, 0.0204, 0.0082, 0.0055, -0.0148, -0.0081, -0.0053, 0.001, -0.0484, -0.1041, -0.1057, -0.1197, -0.0272, -0.0699, -0.0533, -0.0441, -0.0468, -0.0679, -0.0666, -0.0888, -0.0651, -0.0506, -0.0307, -0.0237, -0.0233, -0.0171, -0.0167, -0.0098, 0.0049, -0.0008, -0.0092, -0.005, 0.0019, 0.0006, 0.0337, 0.0405, 0.0419, 0.047, 0.0536, 0.0547, 0.0512, 0.0335, 0.0339, 0.0268, 0.0268, 0.0482, 0.0421, 0.0462, 0.0451, 0.0509, 0.0569, 0.0567, 0.0515, 0.0623, 0.0633, 0.0693, 0.0663, 0.0705, 0.0585, 0.0686, 0.0595, 0.0593, 0.0593, 0.0568, 0.0673, 0.0791, 0.0797, 0.0881, 0.0935, 0.0988, 0.0984, 0.1034, 0.1121, 0.1121, 0.1038, 0.1032, 0.1098, 0.1129, 0.109, 0.1111, 0.1064, 0.1101, 0.1169, 0.1161, 0.1182, 0.1183, 0.1279, 0.1282, 0.133, 0.1327, 0.1297, 0.1283, 0.1241, 0.1056, 0.1224, 0.1168, 0.1253, 0.1244, 0.1331, 0.1309, 0.1429, 0.1468, 0.1469, 0.1443, 0.144, 0.1378, 0.1348, 0.1302, 0.1476, 0.1425, 0.1473, 0.1499, 0.154, 0.1471, 0.1471, 0.1386, 0.1448, 0.1544, 0.151, 0.1538, 0.1565, 0.1599, 0.1695, 0.1691, 0.1753, 0.1737]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016931708533428588", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-29T17:49:26+00:00", "symbol": "ZSL", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$3.40 is my actual target. Nearly stopped out today but that's the risk to reward ratio. I am personally holding the position.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding ZSL (2x inverse silver ETF) with $3.40 price target; confirmed live short-silver position.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZSL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@InflationFix $3.40 is my actual target.  Nearly stopped out today but that’s the risk to reward ratio.  I am personally holding the position.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@RonCyr9 Absolutely crazy swings in $GLL and $ZSL today. Do they still go higher?  Are you still holding onto that $4 price target for $ZSL?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "InflationFix", "ret_m1d": -0.006329137991299971, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006329137991299971, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008317460728349602, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008317460728349602, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019883227370496304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019883227370496304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.49367089218826665, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.49367089218826665, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.4966534647030334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.4966534647030334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002982572514766746, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002982572514766746, "ret_p1w": 0.8481012918001334, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.8481012918001334, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.8717598569136362, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.8717598569136362, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02365856511350284, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02365856511350284, "ret_p1m": 0.007594929374080017, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007594929374080017, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019193684961651525, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019193684961651525, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011598755587571508, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011598755587571508, "ret_p3m": 0.46075947120812, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.46075947120812, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4325282058453652, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4325282058453652, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.028231265362754776, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028231265362754776, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007594929374080017, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019193684961651525, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019193684961651525, "price_path": [7.3861, 7.5633, 7.6203, 8.038, 7.6392, 7.6835, 7.519, 6.7848, 6.5759, 5.9177, 6.1709, 6.6076, 6.7848, 6.5823, 6.5, 6.6899, 6.8734, 6.4114, 6.4494, 5.8861, 5.8861, 5.019, 4.7025, 4.5506, 4.6076, 4.8797, 4.5949, 4.6772, 4.1456, 3.9873, 3.6709, 3.943, 3.6266, 3.6709, 3.2342, 3.3861, 3.1076, 2.943, 2.6329, 2.6013, 1.943, 2.3987, 1.981, 2.3797, 2.2215, 1.8418, 1.4747, 1.6582, 1.7405, 1.519, 1.1709, 1.0949, 0.7848, 0.8481, 0.943, 0.943, 0.7215, 0.7785, 0.6392, 0.4241, 0.1772, 0.0823, -0.0063, 0.0, 0.4937, 0.6203, 0.4114, 0.3291, 0.8481, 0.6582, 0.3924, 0.4937, 0.3608, 0.6899, 0.5886, 0.5886, 0.7342, 0.5443, 0.5, 0.2785, 0.1456, 0.1899, 0.1519, 0.1373, 0.0076, 0.0943, 0.2892, 0.269, 0.307, 0.243, 0.1665, 0.1057, 0.1627, 0.2051, 0.3291, 0.3044, 0.3658, 0.4804, 0.5918, 0.8089, 0.7551, 0.7259, 0.5987, 0.8196, 0.6722, 0.6627, 0.4247, 0.4291, 0.5247, 0.5247, 0.5114, 0.5139, 0.4399, 0.3975, 0.369, 0.4019, 0.2538, 0.2576, 0.2816, 0.1911, 0.2373, 0.369, 0.2981, 0.3709, 0.3557, 0.3734, 0.4608, 0.519, 0.4348, 0.362, 0.4582, 0.4589, 0.2791, 0.2203, 0.1734, 0.0139, 0.0, -0.0259, 0.0684, 0.2538, 0.2203, 0.3348, 0.2633, 0.238, 0.2747, 0.2747, 0.2297, 0.3101, 0.2759, 0.2759, 0.3006, 0.2899, 0.3582, 0.3259, 0.5563, 0.5532, 0.6816, 0.7614, 0.5671, 0.5392, 0.4323, 0.4354, 0.5576, 0.6095, 0.6095, 0.6411, 0.8228, 1.0867, 1.0411, 1.0411, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1864872507599393232", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-06T03:20:28+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "13,900 will be my 2025 target and $SQQQ will gen alpha", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish Nasdaq to 13,900 in 2025; long SQQQ as the vehicle to generate alpha on the decline.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Nasdaq, over the last 24 months is up +78.88%.  Only 2 years ago we were trading at 11,014 if anyone wants to know where the Nasdaq was on Dec.6, 2022.  I have been prudent to avoid even trying to short the Nasdaq.  13,900 will be my 2025 target and $SQQQ will gen alpha. https://t.co/YybZmWC62c", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026698261145508217, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026698261145508217, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02859026659750097, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02859026659750097, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001892005451992751, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001892005451992751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02433272877622361, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02433272877622361, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02948240237402644, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02948240237402644, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0051496735978028285, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0051496735978028285, "ret_p1w": -0.022304914516551144, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022304914516551144, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016382123752144873, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016382123752144873, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005922790764406272, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005922790764406272, "ret_p1m": 0.05437423706514166, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05437423706514166, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08267048933253529, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08267048933253529, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02829625226739363, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02829625226739363, "ret_p3m": 0.22101878296399757, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22101878296399757, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2755956898804448, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2755956898804448, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05457690691644723, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05457690691644723, "ret_p6m": -0.2081616367978394, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2081616367978394, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19487537643444153, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19487537643444153, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.013286260363397862, "bench_c_p6m": -0.013286260363397862, "ret_p1y": -0.4931026635257493, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4931026635257493, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6249420961905644, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6249420961905644, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13183943266481513, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13183943266481513, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05437423706514166, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08267048933253529, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08267048933253529, "price_path": [0.511, 0.4133, 0.3719, 0.3536, 0.3752, 0.3719, 0.3918, 0.2857, 0.2973, 0.2874, 0.2675, 0.2623, 0.2369, 0.2589, 0.2487, 0.3045, 0.296, 0.3028, 0.2555, 0.2977, 0.2403, 0.2116, 0.2166, 0.2116, 0.1811, 0.2301, 0.2285, 0.2268, 0.2048, 0.1997, 0.1947, 0.2521, 0.2234, 0.2014, 0.2014, 0.1693, 0.193, 0.2842, 0.2572, 0.2707, 0.2217, 0.1237, 0.071, 0.0689, 0.071, 0.0767, 0.0818, 0.1044, 0.1859, 0.1612, 0.1386, 0.1396, 0.1284, 0.1247, 0.1203, 0.1024, 0.1291, 0.1291, 0.101, 0.0656, 0.0561, 0.0176, 0.0267, 0.0, 0.0243, 0.0355, -0.0203, -0.0007, -0.0223, -0.0639, -0.0514, 0.051, 0.0662, 0.0392, 0.0096, -0.0303, -0.0303, -0.0276, 0.012, 0.0533, 0.0811, 0.0881, 0.036, 0.0002, 0.0544, 0.0537, 0.0537, 0.1051, 0.1162, 0.12, 0.0443, 0.0655, 0.0134, 0.0134, -0.0036, -0.0414, -0.0473, -0.0303, 0.0554, 0.0082, 0.0148, 0.0016, 0.0079, 0.0318, -0.0053, -0.0178, -0.0335, 0.0044, -0.031, -0.0244, -0.0258, -0.0671, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0831, -0.0835, -0.071, -0.0126, 0.0231, 0.062, 0.0551, 0.1429, 0.0901, 0.1606, 0.1738, 0.1287, 0.221, 0.1967, 0.3321, 0.347, 0.3016, 0.3727, 0.2752, 0.2505, 0.3137, 0.2637, 0.2759, 0.2637, 0.1849, 0.1637, 0.2279, 0.2494, 0.3491, 0.3505, 0.3188, 0.2892, 0.4981, 0.7739, 0.7672, 0.8658, 0.2075, 0.3459, 0.2758, 0.2487, 0.2448, 0.3575, 0.3611, 0.4614, 0.3484, 0.2596, 0.1525, 0.1148, 0.1163, 0.0948, 0.0941, 0.0571, 0.0078, 0.0264, 0.0543, 0.0426, 0.0116, 0.0145, -0.1081, -0.149, -0.1638, -0.1669, -0.1765, -0.1779, -0.1691, -0.1349, -0.1391, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.1758, -0.1645, -0.1694, -0.1641, -0.1835, -0.2025, -0.2082]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1630763156250427393", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-03-01T02:53:29+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm expecting a very weak markets until the first week of April. Then we will review markets again. Back to $23.00?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long SPXU (bearish S&P 500) expecting weak markets through early April, targeting $23 on SPXU.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For the month the S&P 500 was down a total of -2.61%, while my personal accounts were up a total of +8.34% by being long SPXU.  I’m expecting a very weak markets until the first week of April.  Then we will review markets again.  3927 is key to break this week.  Back to $23.00? https://t.co/9d6luBDqkI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010423727884731893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010423727884731893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014274282946318939, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014274282946318939, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0038505550615870465, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038505550615870465, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020195417880117028, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020195417880117028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027972691762488622, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027972691762488622, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007777273882371594, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007777273882371594, "ret_p1w": -0.03061902330492039, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03061902330492039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04120829228402756, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04120829228402756, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01058926897910717, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01058926897910717, "ret_p1m": -0.07484212006791868, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07484212006791868, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10144372789942901, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10144372789942901, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.026601607831510332, "bench_c_p1m": 0.026601607831510332, "ret_p3m": -0.16742354045981134, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16742354045981134, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23552655428886993, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23552655428886993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06810301382905859, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06810301382905859, "ret_p6m": -0.24684437602472176, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24684437602472176, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36197446849577253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.36197446849577253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11513009247105077, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11513009247105077, "ret_p1y": -0.47986216890126443, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.47986216890126443, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.764509988729828, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.764509988729828, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2846478198285636, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2846478198285636, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07484212006791868, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10144372789942901, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10144372789942901, "price_path": [-0.0721, -0.0209, 0.0213, 0.0271, 0.0031, 0.0265, -0.0176, -0.0397, -0.0202, 0.0531, 0.0907, 0.118, 0.1141, 0.0661, 0.1134, 0.0938, 0.0938, 0.1081, 0.1492, 0.0906, 0.099, 0.099, 0.1134, 0.0873, 0.1251, 0.0502, 0.0502, 0.0293, -0.0098, -0.0189, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0248, 0.0221, 0.0456, -0.0098, -0.0456, -0.043, -0.0436, -0.073, -0.0795, -0.0456, -0.0853, -0.1147, -0.1531, -0.1244, -0.1101, -0.144, -0.1147, -0.0906, -0.0964, -0.129, -0.1257, -0.1342, -0.0984, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.0339, -0.03, -0.0443, -0.0124, -0.0235, -0.0104, 0.0, -0.0202, -0.0684, -0.0691, -0.0267, -0.0306, 0.0235, 0.0684, 0.0756, 0.0221, 0.0404, -0.0117, 0.0235, -0.0039, -0.043, 0.0046, -0.0013, -0.0203, -0.0243, -0.019, -0.0597, -0.0748, -0.1149, -0.1234, -0.1096, -0.0998, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1129, -0.1136, -0.1024, -0.1366, -0.13, -0.1392, -0.1398, -0.1385, -0.1241, -0.1254, -0.1274, -0.0847, -0.0722, -0.1274, -0.1484, -0.1458, -0.1182, -0.0985, -0.0781, -0.1293, -0.1287, -0.1182, -0.1274, -0.1241, -0.1195, -0.1267, -0.1103, -0.1412, -0.1648, -0.1615, -0.1622, -0.1339, -0.1136, -0.1352, -0.1674, -0.1674, -0.1681, -0.1549, -0.1773, -0.2121, -0.2081, -0.2127, -0.2042, -0.2167, -0.2206, -0.241, -0.2561, -0.258, -0.285, -0.2771, -0.2771, -0.2653, -0.2542, -0.2615, -0.2442, -0.2342, -0.2581, -0.2601, -0.2675, -0.2914, -0.294, -0.294, -0.2901, -0.2734, -0.2675, -0.2714, -0.2854, -0.3027, -0.3186, -0.3173, -0.3226, -0.3386, -0.3406, -0.3286, -0.3279, -0.3366, -0.3406, -0.3412, -0.3266, -0.3459, -0.3505, -0.3432, -0.3166, -0.3093, -0.3, -0.3173, -0.3087, -0.294, -0.294, -0.292, -0.302, -0.2794, -0.2621, -0.2435, -0.2455, -0.2581, -0.2522, -0.2761, -0.2468]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1898732838901686708", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-09T13:49:20+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2 issues that will continue to bring prices down... 4,700 by June", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short SPY/S&P500 to 4,700 by June on tariff war failure and Israel-Iran escalation.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives What most bears are failing to understand are 2 issues that will continue to bring prices down.  Trumps tariff war will be a failure and you will know it once the Commerce Secretary is fired and lastly Israel will be given the go to hit Iran Nuke program.  4,700 by June.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SPY $QQQ Every bear account I follow says a bounce this week.\n\nWhat does that say about this week?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.027364375801776086, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027364375801776086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027364375801776086, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027364375801776086, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008312890256780947, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008312890256780947, "ret_p1w": 0.01171999585379857, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01171999585379857, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01171999585379857, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01171999585379857, "ret_p1m": -0.11168160140829098, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11168160140829098, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.11168160140829098, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11168160140829098, "ret_p3m": 0.07200104718164613, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07200104718164613, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07200104718164613, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07200104718164613, "ret_p6m": 0.15520569766040837, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15520569766040837, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15520569766040837, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15520569766040837, "ret_p1y": 0.23878886620881268, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23878886620881268, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23878886620881268, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23878886620881268, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11168160140829098, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.0717, 0.08, 0.0744, 0.0742, 0.0788, 0.0744, 0.0423, 0.042, 0.0545, 0.0608, 0.0726, 0.0726, 0.0727, 0.0614, 0.0493, 0.0455, 0.0429, 0.056, 0.062, 0.05, 0.0516, 0.0516, 0.0355, 0.0371, 0.0385, 0.0574, 0.0554, 0.066, 0.066, 0.0758, 0.0818, 0.0877, 0.0845, 0.0692, 0.0784, 0.0735, 0.0793, 0.0736, 0.0663, 0.0735, 0.0778, 0.0816, 0.0717, 0.079, 0.0798, 0.0763, 0.0877, 0.0876, 0.0876, 0.0908, 0.0934, 0.0888, 0.0702, 0.0653, 0.06, 0.0606, 0.0437, 0.0599, 0.0414, 0.029, 0.0401, 0.0216, 0.0274, 0.0, -0.0083, -0.0031, -0.0163, 0.004, 0.0117, 0.0008, 0.0117, 0.0088, 0.0091, 0.0272, 0.0296, 0.0173, 0.0146, -0.0058, 0.0009, 0.0037, 0.0101, -0.0397, -0.0959, -0.0975, -0.1117, -0.0184, -0.0614, -0.0447, -0.0354, -0.0381, -0.0595, -0.0581, -0.0805, -0.0566, -0.042, -0.0218, -0.0148, -0.0144, -0.0082, -0.0078, -0.0008, 0.0141, 0.0083, -0.0002, 0.004, 0.011, 0.0097, 0.0431, 0.05, 0.0513, 0.0565, 0.0632, 0.0643, 0.0607, 0.0429, 0.0433, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0577, 0.0516, 0.0557, 0.0546, 0.0605, 0.0665, 0.0663, 0.0611, 0.072, 0.073, 0.0791, 0.076, 0.0802, 0.0682, 0.0783, 0.0691, 0.069, 0.069, 0.0664, 0.077, 0.0889, 0.0895, 0.098, 0.1035, 0.1087, 0.1084, 0.1134, 0.1222, 0.1222, 0.1138, 0.1132, 0.1199, 0.123, 0.1191, 0.1212, 0.1164, 0.1202, 0.127, 0.1262, 0.1283, 0.1285, 0.1381, 0.1385, 0.1433, 0.143, 0.14, 0.1386, 0.1343, 0.1157, 0.1326, 0.1269, 0.1355, 0.1346, 0.1434, 0.1412, 0.1533, 0.1573, 0.1574, 0.1547, 0.1544, 0.1482, 0.1451, 0.1405, 0.158, 0.1529, 0.1578, 0.1604, 0.1645, 0.1576, 0.1576, 0.149, 0.1552]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988606169636835366", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T13:53:52+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I plan to buy $SPXU at $12.45 with a price target of $12.50", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Planning to buy SPXU at $12.45 targeting $12.50 as a day trade with stop at $12.32.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Game plan for trading on Wednesday: Futures are up by a 0.35%.  I plan to buy $SPXU at $12.45 with a price target of $12.50.  Once again, this will be a strict day trade with of stop at $12.32.  Risk management has been very good this week vs my tool $SPXU. https://t.co/MaWcqg0DfW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0015885499202932252, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015885499202932252, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0021446308384868162, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021446308384868162, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005560809181935911, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005560809181935911, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0492455193989636, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0492455193989636, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06583951431940083, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06583951431940083, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016593994920437227, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016593994920437227, "ret_p1w": 0.09690233158767692, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09690233158767692, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12726615079284775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12726615079284775, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036381920517084, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03036381920517084, "ret_p1m": -0.021048463395088035, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021048463395088035, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02952097530219877, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02952097530219877, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472511907110736, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008472511907110736, "ret_p3m": -0.029955557722661674, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029955557722661674, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04550276971304512, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04550276971304512, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015547211990383447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015547211990383447, "ret_p6m": -0.2088479533037576, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2088479533037576, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29683634431536465, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29683634431536465, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08798839101160705, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08798839101160705, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0492455193989636, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06583951431940083, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06583951431940083, "price_path": [0.1833, 0.1841, 0.2045, 0.2147, 0.2304, 0.1755, 0.1912, 0.1771, 0.1692, 0.1575, 0.1794, 0.1794, 0.2068, 0.1888, 0.159, 0.1708, 0.1622, 0.1551, 0.1449, 0.1175, 0.1191, 0.1026, 0.1081, 0.1128, 0.0971, 0.0822, 0.0681, 0.0846, 0.0953, 0.112, 0.0937, 0.085, 0.0731, 0.062, 0.0596, 0.0612, 0.05, 0.0627, 0.0445, 0.0532, 0.139, 0.0882, 0.0921, 0.0786, 0.1001, 0.0834, 0.0508, 0.0516, 0.0675, 0.0492, 0.0254, -0.0119, -0.0191, -0.0199, 0.0119, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0349, 0.0254, 0.0588, 0.0556, 0.0087, 0.0016, 0.0, 0.0492, 0.0516, 0.0818, 0.1088, 0.0969, 0.1469, 0.1142, 0.0651, 0.0357, 0.0153, 0.0153, -0.0004, 0.0137, 0.0091, -0.001, -0.0028, -0.0069, 0.0022, 0.0052, -0.0141, -0.021, 0.0119, 0.0171, 0.0258, 0.0606, 0.0363, 0.0097, -0.0089, -0.0222, -0.0316, -0.0304, -0.0196, -0.0156, 0.0069, 0.0026, -0.0172, -0.0344, -0.0247, -0.0235, -0.0419, -0.0462, -0.0403, -0.0259, -0.0336, -0.0293, -0.0293, 0.0302, -0.0055, -0.0206, -0.0202, -0.0352, -0.0464, -0.0458, -0.0391, -0.0293, -0.0443, -0.0192, -0.0048, 0.0334, -0.0257, -0.0385, -0.0304, -0.03, 0.0156, 0.0154, 0.0154, 0.0105, -0.004, 0.0033, -0.0166, 0.0136, -0.0085, -0.0328, -0.0162, -0.0018, -0.002, 0.0251, 0.0033, 0.0199, 0.0616, 0.034, 0.0399, 0.0442, 0.092, 0.1118, 0.0786, 0.0703, 0.115, 0.125, 0.1752, 0.1375, 0.1489, 0.1308, 0.1916, 0.2537, 0.2667, 0.1582, 0.1314, 0.1294, 0.1294, 0.1149, 0.1132, 0.0294, 0.0116, 0.0151, -0.0143, -0.0496, -0.0721, -0.0786, -0.1109, -0.1056, -0.0878, -0.1148, -0.1039, -0.1241, -0.1284, -0.1152, -0.1148, -0.1401, -0.1466, -0.1372, -0.1572, -0.1921, -0.1841, -0.2035, -0.2088]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000937972972318875", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-16T14:36:03+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU during the first couple of minutes of trading. Bought $SPXU at $51.35.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $51.35; watching 6,808.56 S&P level to decide on overnight hold.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU during the first couple of minutes of trading.  Bought $SPXU at $51.35.  I need to watch markets today very closely to determine if I hold overnight or not.  6,808.56 is the number to close below today. https://t.co/JIgaJVPCHl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008517275934486479, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008517275934486479, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011257137567122655, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011257137567122655, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0027398616326361758, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027398616326361758, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033875368983441456, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.033875368983441456, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.044878962966841685, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044878962966841685, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011003593983400228, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011003593983400228, "ret_p1w": -0.046844787641945995, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.046844787641945995, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06322911306614687, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06322911306614687, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016384325424200874, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016384325424200874, "ret_p1m": -0.053774082583138205, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.053774082583138205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07562471479823263, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07562471479823263, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021850632215094423, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021850632215094423, "ret_p3m": 0.04335564541311321, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04335564541311321, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.052338156313545436, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.052338156313545436, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.008982510900432228, "bench_c_p3m": -0.008982510900432228, "ret_p6m": -0.2343283571791146, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2343283571791146, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33317423216621944, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33317423216621944, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09884587498710484, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09884587498710484, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.033875368983441456, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.044878962966841685, "alpha_c_stated": -0.044878962966841685, "price_path": [0.0695, 0.055, 0.0413, 0.0573, 0.0678, 0.084, 0.0662, 0.0577, 0.0461, 0.0352, 0.0329, 0.0345, 0.0236, 0.036, 0.0182, 0.0267, 0.1103, 0.0608, 0.0647, 0.0515, 0.0724, 0.0561, 0.0244, 0.0252, 0.0407, 0.0228, -0.0004, -0.0368, -0.0437, -0.0445, -0.0136, -0.0205, -0.0252, 0.0089, -0.0004, 0.0321, 0.029, -0.0166, -0.0236, -0.0252, 0.0228, 0.0252, 0.0546, 0.0809, 0.0693, 0.1181, 0.0861, 0.0383, 0.0097, -0.0103, -0.0103, -0.0256, -0.0118, -0.0163, -0.0261, -0.0279, -0.0319, -0.023, -0.0201, -0.0389, -0.0457, -0.0136, -0.0085, 0.0, 0.0339, 0.0103, -0.0157, -0.0339, -0.0468, -0.0559, -0.0548, -0.0443, -0.0403, -0.0184, -0.0226, -0.0419, -0.0587, -0.0492, -0.048, -0.066, -0.0702, -0.0644, -0.0504, -0.0579, -0.0538, -0.0538, 0.0043, -0.0305, -0.0453, -0.0449, -0.0595, -0.0704, -0.0698, -0.0633, -0.0538, -0.0684, -0.0439, -0.0299, 0.0074, -0.0502, -0.0627, -0.0548, -0.0544, -0.0099, -0.0101, -0.0101, -0.0149, -0.0291, -0.022, -0.0413, -0.0119, -0.0334, -0.0571, -0.0409, -0.0269, -0.0271, -0.0007, -0.022, -0.0058, 0.0349, 0.008, 0.0137, 0.0179, 0.0645, 0.0838, 0.0514, 0.0434, 0.087, 0.0967, 0.1456, 0.1089, 0.12, 0.1023, 0.1616, 0.2221, 0.2349, 0.129, 0.1029, 0.101, 0.101, 0.0868, 0.0852, 0.0035, -0.0139, -0.0105, -0.0391, -0.0736, -0.0954, -0.1018, -0.1332, -0.1281, -0.1108, -0.137, -0.1265, -0.1462, -0.1504, -0.1374, -0.137, -0.1617, -0.1681, -0.1589, -0.1784, -0.2124, -0.2047, -0.2236, -0.2288, -0.2252, -0.2379, -0.2552, -0.2274, -0.2258, -0.2097, -0.2343, -0.2385, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2606, -0.2604, -0.2725, -0.2765, -0.2819, -0.2847, -0.2699, -0.2777, -0.2206, -0.226, -0.2188, -0.1816, -0.2226, -0.2343]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1999165501465841866", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T17:12:52+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at $49.92 as a day trade only. My price target is $50.33.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P500 ETF) as a day trade with target $50.33 from $49.92 entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $49.92 as a day trade only.  My price target is $50.33.  I am slowly running out of trading days for 2025.  I know mentally that I’ve had a strong year but  have been hesitant very hesitantly to make more trades. https://t.co/ey2PazQRhe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0070994464774343236, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0070994464774343236, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009420990401477591, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009420990401477591, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002321543924043268, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002321543924043268, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033671357454623685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033671357454623685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04442334373288637, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04442334373288637, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010751986278262682, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010751986278262682, "ret_p1w": 0.058620723728685986, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058620723728685986, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07704868183981117, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07704868183981117, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018427958111125187, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018427958111125187, "ret_p1m": -0.019648962529797642, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019648962529797642, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02929830920601073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02929830920601073, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009649346676213089, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009649346676213089, "ret_p3m": 0.11543629919380494, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11543629919380494, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14611357601331654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14611357601331654, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0306772768195116, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0306772768195116, "ret_p6m": -0.1814121786532823, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1814121786532823, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2569766563701932, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2569766563701932, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07556447771691088, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07556447771691088, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.033671357454623685, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04442334373288637, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04442334373288637, "price_path": [0.1263, 0.1319, 0.1367, 0.1207, 0.1055, 0.0911, 0.1079, 0.1189, 0.1359, 0.1172, 0.1083, 0.0961, 0.0848, 0.0824, 0.084, 0.0726, 0.0856, 0.0669, 0.0759, 0.1635, 0.1116, 0.1156, 0.1018, 0.1237, 0.1067, 0.0734, 0.0742, 0.0905, 0.0718, 0.0475, 0.0093, 0.002, 0.0012, 0.0337, 0.0264, 0.0215, 0.0572, 0.0475, 0.0815, 0.0783, 0.0304, 0.0231, 0.0215, 0.0718, 0.0742, 0.1051, 0.1327, 0.1205, 0.1716, 0.1381, 0.088, 0.058, 0.0371, 0.0371, 0.0211, 0.0355, 0.0308, 0.0205, 0.0187, 0.0144, 0.0237, 0.0268, 0.0071, 0.0, 0.0337, 0.0389, 0.0479, 0.0834, 0.0586, 0.0314, 0.0124, -0.0012, -0.0108, -0.0095, 0.0015, 0.0056, 0.0286, 0.0242, 0.0039, -0.0136, -0.0037, -0.0025, -0.0213, -0.0256, -0.0196, -0.005, -0.0128, -0.0085, -0.0085, 0.0523, 0.0159, 0.0004, 0.0008, -0.0145, -0.0259, -0.0252, -0.0184, -0.0085, -0.0238, 0.0019, 0.0166, 0.0557, -0.0048, -0.0178, -0.0095, -0.0091, 0.0374, 0.0372, 0.0372, 0.0323, 0.0174, 0.0248, 0.0046, 0.0354, 0.0128, -0.012, 0.005, 0.0197, 0.0194, 0.0472, 0.0248, 0.0418, 0.0844, 0.0563, 0.0623, 0.0666, 0.1154, 0.1357, 0.1018, 0.0933, 0.139, 0.1492, 0.2005, 0.162, 0.1736, 0.1551, 0.2172, 0.2806, 0.294, 0.1831, 0.1557, 0.1537, 0.1537, 0.1389, 0.1372, 0.0515, 0.0333, 0.0369, 0.0069, -0.0292, -0.0521, -0.0588, -0.0918, -0.0863, -0.0682, -0.0957, -0.0847, -0.1053, -0.1097, -0.0961, -0.0957, -0.1216, -0.1282, -0.1187, -0.1391, -0.1747, -0.1666, -0.1864, -0.1918, -0.1881, -0.2014, -0.2196, -0.1904, -0.1887, -0.1718, -0.1977, -0.2021, -0.2102, -0.2102, -0.2252, -0.225, -0.2377, -0.2419, -0.2475, -0.2504, -0.235, -0.2431, -0.1833, -0.1889, -0.1814]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1821697261631676636", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-08-08T23:57:27+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am currently long oil", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds first significant long since Nov 2021; currently long oil; watching 5,421.40 SPX for new daily buy signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "5,421.40 is the number on $SPX to generate at new daily buy signal.  We did not break the “Panic Selling Zone” but todays action was pretty encouraging for long positions.  I am currently in my first significant long position since Nov. of 2021.  I am currently long oil. https://t.co/963UJmWxsc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011283135615038131, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011283135615038131, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006892919732376268, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006892919732376268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004390215882661863, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004390215882661863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03161894508157315, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03161894508157315, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03109353994990527, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03109353994990527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005254051316678776, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005254051316678776, "ret_p1w": 0.0013119715628386874, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0013119715628386874, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.038688919351708595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.038688919351708595, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04000089091454728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04000089091454728, "ret_p1m": -0.09118347502399327, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09118347502399327, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11636224406143048, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11636224406143048, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02517876903743721, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02517876903743721, "ret_p3m": -0.022041462585537852, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.022041462585537852, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13435659781698805, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13435659781698805, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1123151352314502, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1123151352314502, "ret_p6m": 0.016924703422557252, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.016924703422557252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11941476315408006, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11941476315408006, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1363394665766373, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1363394665766373, "ret_p1y": 0.044214052259449854, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.044214052259449854, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1564701935579409, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1564701935579409, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20068424581739075, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20068424581739075, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09118347502399327, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11636224406143048, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11636224406143048, "price_path": [-0.0133, -0.0045, 0.0004, 0.0098, 0.0067, -0.0008, -0.0177, -0.0232, -0.0114, -0.0114, 0.0189, 0.0046, -0.0091, -0.0184, -0.0576, -0.0673, -0.0568, -0.0388, -0.042, -0.01, -0.0093, -0.0031, -0.0063, -0.0018, 0.0206, 0.0321, 0.0321, 0.0419, 0.0319, 0.0457, 0.0352, 0.0332, 0.0485, 0.0442, 0.0698, 0.0642, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.0668, 0.0551, 0.0466, 0.0559, 0.0619, 0.0529, 0.0512, 0.0373, 0.0577, 0.0483, 0.0234, 0.0184, 0.0052, 0.0077, 0.0163, -0.0014, -0.0135, -0.0231, 0.0199, 0.0009, -0.0371, -0.0394, -0.0495, -0.0201, -0.0113, 0.0, 0.0316, 0.0186, 0.0049, 0.0156, 0.0013, -0.0241, -0.0314, -0.0475, -0.0346, -0.0088, 0.0211, 0.0035, -0.0097, 0.0072, -0.0247, -0.0247, -0.0673, -0.0867, -0.083, -0.0956, -0.0912, -0.1215, -0.1098, -0.083, -0.0837, -0.0701, -0.059, -0.0729, -0.0455, -0.0433, -0.0521, -0.0384, -0.0622, -0.0946, -0.0781, -0.0827, -0.0539, -0.0454, -0.0064, 0.0017, 0.0391, -0.0056, -0.0127, 0.0203, 0.0167, -0.0038, -0.0454, -0.0501, -0.0472, -0.0635, -0.052, -0.0294, -0.035, -0.0415, -0.0261, -0.076, -0.0861, -0.0638, -0.0412, -0.0551, -0.0253, -0.0195, -0.022, -0.0205, -0.0405, -0.0693, -0.0726, -0.072, -0.0647, -0.0849, -0.0544, -0.0513, -0.0551, -0.0396, -0.0258, -0.0541, -0.0605, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0605, -0.068, -0.0417, -0.0569, -0.0623, -0.0785, -0.0663, -0.0632, -0.0379, -0.0395, -0.0264, -0.0331, -0.0383, -0.043, -0.0474, -0.0409, -0.0415, -0.0337, -0.0337, -0.0405, -0.0311, -0.0184, -0.0088, 0.0093, 0.0223, 0.0142, 0.0256, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.058, 0.0789, 0.0715, 0.1065, 0.0882, 0.0827, 0.0827, 0.0642, 0.0552, 0.0392, 0.0443, 0.0224, 0.0346, 0.0205, 0.0201, 0.0236, 0.021, 0.0169]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1706897295722283271", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-27T05:03:22+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still long SPXU and will cover if the 10 year reverses back to 4.35%", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding SPXU (3x inverse S&P), targeting 4275 cover; bearish on S&P 500 from 4457.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@markminervini I became cautious on July 27.  I tweeted that day that the top for the year was in.  I went long SPXU at 4457.  I have stated that 4,275 would be my target to cover.  However, I’m still long SPXU and will cover if the 10 year reverses back to 4.35%.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The major indexes are oversold and may bounce, but stocks are still under selling pressure. Our short term model switched to cautious on 7/26 and very cautious on 8/3 (an effective sell signal for individual breakout trading). Our long term $SPY model that went on a buy signal on https://t.co/jKTL3G41jI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "markminervini", "ret_m1d": 0.0008318860285978502, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0008318860285978502, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0012310039535343709, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0012310039535343709, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00039911792493652065, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00039911792493652065, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014975004207690379, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014975004207690379, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02077225319089182, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02077225319089182, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005797248983201442, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005797248983201442, "ret_p1w": 0.01247911990198336, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01247911990198336, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01574155886739148, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01574155886739148, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003262438965408121, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003262438965408121, "ret_p1m": 0.10898506284992449, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10898506284992449, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14067141054231602, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14067141054231602, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03168634769239154, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03168634769239154, "ret_p3m": -0.26343391875025257, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26343391875025257, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37966517865596394, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.37966517865596394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11623125990571137, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11623125990571137, "ret_p6m": -0.43992221202054194, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43992221202054194, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6743929906909452, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6743929906909452, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.23447077867040322, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23447077867040322, "ret_p1y": -0.5343852383362521, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5343852383362521, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8672521067623272, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8672521067623272, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.33286686842607516, "bench_c_p1y": 0.33286686842607516, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10898506284992449, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14067141054231602, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14067141054231602, "price_path": [-0.1273, -0.1306, -0.1306, -0.1257, -0.1052, -0.0978, -0.1028, -0.1199, -0.1412, -0.1609, -0.1592, -0.1658, -0.1854, -0.1879, -0.1732, -0.1723, -0.183, -0.1879, -0.1887, -0.1707, -0.1944, -0.2002, -0.1912, -0.1584, -0.1494, -0.138, -0.1592, -0.1486, -0.1306, -0.1306, -0.1281, -0.1404, -0.1126, -0.0913, -0.0684, -0.0708, -0.0864, -0.079, -0.1085, -0.0725, -0.0905, -0.106, -0.1445, -0.156, -0.1502, -0.1535, -0.1535, -0.1429, -0.1257, -0.1167, -0.1199, -0.1355, -0.1216, -0.1249, -0.1453, -0.1142, -0.115, -0.1085, -0.084, -0.0383, -0.0308, -0.0408, 0.0008, 0.0, -0.015, -0.0058, -0.0058, 0.0333, 0.0125, 0.0166, -0.0208, -0.0383, -0.0524, -0.0649, -0.0449, -0.0324, -0.0607, -0.0616, -0.0233, 0.0042, 0.0416, 0.0474, 0.0258, 0.0691, 0.109, 0.1248, 0.0849, 0.0666, 0.0316, -0.025, -0.0507, -0.0566, -0.0641, -0.0657, -0.0441, -0.0882, -0.084, -0.1373, -0.1414, -0.1431, -0.1473, -0.1656, -0.1606, -0.1689, -0.1689, -0.1689, -0.1647, -0.1664, -0.1639, -0.1739, -0.1872, -0.173, -0.173, -0.1622, -0.1805, -0.1897, -0.1997, -0.2097, -0.2429, -0.2488, -0.2454, -0.2571, -0.2696, -0.2379, -0.26, -0.2634, -0.2634, -0.2719, -0.2762, -0.2762, -0.2694, -0.2694, -0.2549, -0.2362, -0.2286, -0.232, -0.2643, -0.26, -0.2728, -0.2702, -0.2711, -0.2711, -0.2617, -0.2507, -0.2694, -0.2949, -0.3, -0.3059, -0.3076, -0.3178, -0.3144, -0.3297, -0.3288, -0.2966, -0.3221, -0.3433, -0.3365, -0.3407, -0.356, -0.3569, -0.3679, -0.3662, -0.3399, -0.3586, -0.3696, -0.3594, -0.3594, -0.3492, -0.3509, -0.39, -0.3909, -0.3832, -0.3866, -0.3841, -0.39, -0.407, -0.4045, -0.3858, -0.396, -0.4121, -0.4019, -0.3994, -0.4198, -0.4155, -0.4113, -0.3994, -0.4087, -0.4198, -0.4339, -0.4399]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1992367079237066852", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T22:58:22+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm fully invested in $SPXU and continue to believe we go lower", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Fully invested in SPXU (3x inverse S&P); expects S&P 500 to go lower, watching 6,586.40 as confirmation level.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was down -1.94% for the week to close at 6,602.99.  My family accounts were up +8.94% and $SPXU was up 5.95%.  The model did trigger a “Weekly Sell Signal” but I’m not convinced until we trade below 6,586.40.  I’m fully invested in $SPXU and continue to believe we go lower. https://t.co/nx0cjvgWET", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.046047723430572285, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.046047723430572285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06055283526797628, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06055283526797628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02759139119946219, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02759139119946219, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03699741129158973, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03699741129158973, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009406020092127543, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009406020092127543, "ret_p1w": -0.048284879222087906, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.048284879222087906, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06554148890446332, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06554148890446332, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": -0.08202835655326646, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08202835655326646, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11382421987379132, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11382421987379132, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": -0.048394230280777495, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.048394230280777495, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07183630356233361, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07183630356233361, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02344207328155612, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02344207328155612, "ret_p6m": -0.26661574938775223, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26661574938775223, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3835822457902095, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3835822457902095, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11696649640245727, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11696649640245727, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08202835655326646, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11382421987379132, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11382421987379132, "price_path": [0.0977, 0.0867, 0.1073, 0.1073, 0.133, 0.1161, 0.0882, 0.0992, 0.0911, 0.0845, 0.0749, 0.0492, 0.0506, 0.0352, 0.0403, 0.0448, 0.03, 0.0161, 0.0028, 0.0183, 0.0283, 0.044, 0.0268, 0.0186, 0.0075, -0.003, -0.0052, -0.0037, -0.0142, -0.0022, -0.0194, -0.0112, 0.0694, 0.0216, 0.0254, 0.0127, 0.0328, 0.0172, -0.0134, -0.0127, 0.0022, -0.0149, -0.0373, -0.0723, -0.079, -0.0798, -0.05, -0.0567, -0.0611, -0.0283, -0.0373, -0.006, -0.0089, -0.0529, -0.0597, -0.0611, -0.0149, -0.0127, 0.0157, 0.041, 0.0298, 0.0768, 0.046, 0.0, -0.0276, -0.0468, -0.0468, -0.0615, -0.0483, -0.0526, -0.0621, -0.0638, -0.0677, -0.0591, -0.0563, -0.0744, -0.0809, -0.05, -0.0451, -0.0369, -0.0043, -0.027, -0.052, -0.0695, -0.082, -0.0908, -0.0897, -0.0796, -0.0758, -0.0547, -0.0587, -0.0773, -0.0935, -0.0843, -0.0832, -0.1005, -0.1045, -0.099, -0.0855, -0.0927, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.0328, -0.0663, -0.0805, -0.0801, -0.0942, -0.1047, -0.1041, -0.0978, -0.0887, -0.1028, -0.0792, -0.0657, -0.0298, -0.0853, -0.0973, -0.0897, -0.0893, -0.0465, -0.0467, -0.0467, -0.0512, -0.0649, -0.0581, -0.0767, -0.0484, -0.0691, -0.0919, -0.0763, -0.0628, -0.063, -0.0376, -0.0581, -0.0425, -0.0033, -0.0292, -0.0237, -0.0197, 0.0252, 0.0438, 0.0126, 0.0048, 0.0469, 0.0562, 0.1033, 0.068, 0.0786, 0.0617, 0.1188, 0.177, 0.1893, 0.0873, 0.0622, 0.0603, 0.0603, 0.0467, 0.0452, -0.0336, -0.0503, -0.047, -0.0746, -0.1078, -0.1288, -0.135, -0.1652, -0.1603, -0.1436, -0.1689, -0.1587, -0.1777, -0.1817, -0.1693, -0.1689, -0.1926, -0.1988, -0.19, -0.2087, -0.2415, -0.234, -0.2522, -0.2572, -0.2538, -0.266, -0.2827, -0.2559, -0.2544, -0.2388, -0.2626, -0.2666]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1885329597811876036", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-31T14:09:38+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "At the open I will be purchasing a full position in $SPXU. The purpose is in anticipation of the start of tariff wars. We should see a negative response.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought full position in SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF) anticipating negative market reaction to tariff wars.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At the open I will be purchasing a full position in $SPXU.  The objective is to not day trade today.  The purpose is in anticipation of the start of tariff wars.  We should see a negative response. https://t.co/nKeHj1vbKo\n\n---\n\nPurchased a full position in $SPXU at $20.30.\n\n---\n\nLast hour of trading and we have a bearish reversal today.  It was pretty apparent this morning and didn’t understand why we didn’t open lower.  What a great way to end the month. https://t.co/BNr2FVtlcw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016722556485430307, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016722556485430307, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022072941842530946, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022072941842530946, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00535038535710064, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00535038535710064, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020066832608245377, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020066832608245377, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026796488471434454, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026796488471434454, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006729655863189077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006729655863189077, "ret_p1w": 0.006688944202748459, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006688944202748459, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008433482591722163, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008433482591722163, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0017445383889737043, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0017445383889737043, "ret_p1m": 0.09937886555459285, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09937886555459285, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12937126827145973, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12937126827145973, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.029992402716866873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029992402716866873, "ret_p3m": 0.1115681439987739, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1115681439987739, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18080832800466196, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18080832800466196, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06924018400588805, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06924018400588805, "ret_p6m": -0.2374146488877531, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2374146488877531, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2992846946003942, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2992846946003942, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0618700457126411, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0618700457126411, "ret_p1y": -0.3896211028928591, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3896211028928591, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.548312513424148, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.548312513424148, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15869141053128888, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15869141053128888, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006688944202748459, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008433482591722163, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008433482591722163, "price_path": [0.1706, 0.1286, 0.0449, 0.0206, 0.0089, 0.0065, 0.0164, 0.0159, 0.036, 0.0767, 0.065, 0.0528, 0.0519, 0.036, 0.028, 0.0182, 0.0019, 0.0126, 0.0126, -0.0047, -0.0103, -0.0108, -0.0285, -0.0234, -0.0281, -0.0117, -0.0023, -0.0252, -0.0098, -0.007, -0.0196, -0.0061, 0.0818, 0.0846, 0.0477, 0.0282, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.0043, 0.0277, 0.0645, 0.0764, 0.086, 0.0463, 0.0282, 0.0631, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.1094, 0.1046, 0.1018, 0.042, 0.0478, 0.0186, 0.0186, -0.0091, -0.0248, -0.0406, -0.0306, 0.01, -0.0148, -0.0019, -0.0167, 0.0, 0.0201, 0.0, -0.0115, -0.022, 0.0067, -0.0129, -0.0148, -0.0053, -0.0363, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0411, -0.0483, -0.0363, 0.0143, 0.0291, 0.0454, 0.0449, 0.0941, 0.0454, 0.0994, 0.14, 0.1042, 0.1624, 0.1452, 0.2365, 0.2676, 0.2489, 0.2991, 0.2207, 0.1935, 0.2312, 0.1935, 0.2021, 0.2026, 0.1409, 0.1328, 0.1724, 0.184, 0.256, 0.2333, 0.2212, 0.199, 0.3695, 0.6188, 0.6299, 0.7038, 0.2265, 0.3492, 0.2811, 0.2449, 0.2541, 0.3391, 0.3372, 0.4309, 0.3232, 0.2623, 0.1831, 0.1579, 0.156, 0.1367, 0.1333, 0.1116, 0.0633, 0.0816, 0.1082, 0.0956, 0.0749, 0.0797, -0.0266, -0.0454, -0.0493, -0.0623, -0.0797, -0.0826, -0.072, -0.0251, -0.0247, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0643, -0.0483, -0.059, -0.0541, -0.0701, -0.086, -0.0841, -0.0706, -0.0981, -0.0995, -0.115, -0.1073, -0.1169, -0.086, -0.1126, -0.0889, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0792, -0.1073, -0.1358, -0.1368, -0.1573, -0.1676, -0.1798, -0.1783, -0.1891, -0.2076, -0.2076, -0.1896, -0.1871, -0.2013, -0.2081, -0.1988, -0.2028, -0.192, -0.1998, -0.214, -0.2115, -0.2154, -0.2154, -0.235, -0.236, -0.2438, -0.2438, -0.2374]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016173233310204186", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T15:35:32+00:00", "symbol": "ZSL", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $ZSL a double inverse Silver ETF. I have purchased $ZSL at a price of $1.83. I plan to hold this position for one week.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought ZSL (2x inverse silver ETF) at $1.83, plans to hold for one week; effectively short silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZSL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $ZSL a double inverse Silver ETF.  I have purchased $ZSL at a price of $1.83.  I didn’t purchase right at the open as per my post last night but did within the first 15 minutes.  I plan to hold this position for one week.  I will review the trade at that time. https://t.co/pmDL9zg4h5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $47.14 as a strict day trade.  My price target is $47.37.  The market continues to ride higher and need to keep risk management at the highest.  Secondly I need to do this because I have also shorted silver. https://t.co/z2iJt1xmmZ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RonCyr9", "ret_m1d": 0.08771929628875696, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08771929628875696, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0916877393103106, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0916877393103106, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08187137666509581, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08187137666509581, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08177071208477094, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08177071208477094, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "ret_p1w": 0.30409349354317894, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.30409349354317894, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3126629519271533, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3126629519271533, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "ret_p1m": 0.06432750625325911, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06432750625325911, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06769196179286363, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06769196179286363, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "bench_c_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "ret_p3m": 0.25263155546508353, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25263155546508353, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2232999612204507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2232999612204507, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.30409349354317894, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3126629519271533, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3126629519271533, "price_path": [7.2632, 7.1988, 6.7485, 6.9123, 6.9649, 7.3509, 6.9825, 7.0234, 6.8713, 6.193, 6.0, 5.3918, 5.6257, 6.0292, 6.193, 6.0058, 5.9298, 6.1053, 6.2749, 5.848, 5.883, 5.3626, 5.3626, 4.5614, 4.269, 4.1287, 4.1813, 4.4327, 4.1696, 4.2456, 3.7544, 3.6082, 3.3158, 3.5673, 3.2749, 3.3158, 2.9123, 3.0526, 2.7953, 2.6433, 2.3567, 2.3275, 1.7193, 2.1404, 1.7544, 2.1228, 1.9766, 1.6257, 1.2865, 1.4561, 1.5322, 1.3275, 1.0058, 0.9357, 0.6491, 0.7076, 0.7953, 0.7953, 0.5906, 0.6433, 0.5146, 0.3158, 0.0877, 0.0, -0.0819, -0.076, 0.3801, 0.4971, 0.3041, 0.2281, 0.7076, 0.5322, 0.2865, 0.3801, 0.2573, 0.5614, 0.4678, 0.4678, 0.6023, 0.4269, 0.386, 0.1813, 0.0585, 0.0994, 0.0643, 0.0509, -0.069, 0.0111, 0.1912, 0.1725, 0.2076, 0.1485, 0.0778, 0.0216, 0.0743, 0.1135, 0.2281, 0.2053, 0.262, 0.3678, 0.4708, 0.6713, 0.6216, 0.5947, 0.4772, 0.6813, 0.545, 0.5363, 0.3164, 0.3205, 0.4088, 0.4088, 0.3965, 0.3988, 0.3304, 0.2912, 0.2649, 0.2953, 0.1585, 0.162, 0.1842, 0.1006, 0.1433, 0.2649, 0.1994, 0.2667, 0.2526, 0.269, 0.3497, 0.4035, 0.3257, 0.2585, 0.3474, 0.348, 0.1819, 0.1275, 0.0842, -0.0632, -0.076, -0.1, -0.0129, 0.1585, 0.1275, 0.2333, 0.1673, 0.1439, 0.1778, 0.1778, 0.1363, 0.2105, 0.1789, 0.1789, 0.2018, 0.1918, 0.255, 0.2251, 0.438, 0.4351, 0.5538, 0.6275, 0.448, 0.4222, 0.3234, 0.3263, 0.4392, 0.4871, 0.4871, 0.5164, 0.6842, 0.9281, 0.886, 0.886, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1822999797927940102", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-12T14:13:16+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "oil hit a new buy signal. My short term price target is $82.00 by the 3rd week of September", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long oil to $82 by 3rd week of September on buy signal + Middle East escalation; long HOU with target exit at $14.75.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "On Friday I explained that #oil hit a new buy signal.  My short term price target is $82.00 by the 3rd week of September.  The one danger in this trade is the recession fears turn to reality.  However, oil triggers a buy signal right as Middle East war fears begin to escalate. https://t.co/RUYOiWV8eT\n\n---\n\nI bought near the “Panic Selling Zone”.  $69.00 was the PSZ but we didn’t get there because most commodity traders are playing the war trade.  Today #HOU is up another +2.33% in early trading at $14.05.  Purchased last week at $13.09 and up over +7.30% since initial trade. https://t.co/TUMbIU3H38\n\n---\n\nI am up over 7.30% today and I’m going to try and sell #HOU at $14.75.  If nothing happens in Israel tonight, probably see some profit taking tomorrow from other traders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030649829796478678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030649829796478678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030124700570401064, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030124700570401064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005251292260776141, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005251292260776141, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012590587541022713, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012590587541022713, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02903631797796724, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02903631797796724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016445730436944528, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016445730436944528, "ret_p1w": -0.054050618700934194, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.054050618700934194, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10344393158679921, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10344393158679921, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.049393312885865015, "bench_c_p1w": 0.049393312885865015, "ret_p1m": -0.14841661676947382, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14841661676947382, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.177520164238836, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.177520164238836, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029103547469362168, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029103547469362168, "ret_p3m": -0.05048955525858201, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05048955525858201, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17081678973499104, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17081678973499104, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12032723447640903, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12032723447640903, "ret_p6m": -0.03230320493769234, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03230320493769234, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1726506103751817, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1726506103751817, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14034740543748936, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14034740543748936, "ret_p1y": -0.01487979409657747, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.01487979409657747, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.19526414369907497, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.19526414369907497, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1803843496024975, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1803843496024975, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14841661676947382, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.177520164238836, "alpha_c_stated": -0.177520164238836, "price_path": [-0.035, -0.0303, -0.0211, -0.0242, -0.0314, -0.0478, -0.0532, -0.0417, -0.0417, -0.0123, -0.0262, -0.0394, -0.0485, -0.0865, -0.0959, -0.0857, -0.0683, -0.0713, -0.0403, -0.0397, -0.0337, -0.0368, -0.0324, -0.0107, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0099, 0.0003, 0.0136, 0.0034, 0.0015, 0.0164, 0.0122, 0.037, 0.0315, 0.0336, 0.0336, 0.0341, 0.0228, 0.0145, 0.0235, 0.0294, 0.0206, 0.0189, 0.0055, 0.0253, 0.0162, -0.008, -0.0128, -0.0256, -0.0231, -0.0149, -0.032, -0.0437, -0.053, -0.0113, -0.0298, -0.0666, -0.0688, -0.0786, -0.0501, -0.0416, -0.0306, 0.0, -0.0126, -0.0259, -0.0155, -0.0294, -0.0541, -0.061, -0.0767, -0.0642, -0.0392, -0.0102, -0.0272, -0.0401, -0.0237, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0959, -0.1147, -0.1112, -0.1234, -0.119, -0.1484, -0.1371, -0.1112, -0.1118, -0.0986, -0.0879, -0.1014, -0.0748, -0.0726, -0.0811, -0.0679, -0.0909, -0.1223, -0.1063, -0.1108, -0.0829, -0.0747, -0.0369, -0.029, 0.0072, -0.0361, -0.043, -0.0109, -0.0145, -0.0343, -0.0747, -0.0792, -0.0764, -0.0922, -0.081, -0.0591, -0.0646, -0.0708, -0.056, -0.1043, -0.1141, -0.0925, -0.0706, -0.0841, -0.0552, -0.0496, -0.052, -0.0505, -0.0699, -0.0978, -0.101, -0.1005, -0.0933, -0.1129, -0.0834, -0.0804, -0.0841, -0.0691, -0.0557, -0.083, -0.0893, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0893, -0.0965, -0.0711, -0.0858, -0.0911, -0.1067, -0.0949, -0.0919, -0.0674, -0.0689, -0.0562, -0.0627, -0.0678, -0.0724, -0.0766, -0.0703, -0.0708, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0699, -0.0608, -0.0485, -0.0392, -0.0216, -0.009, -0.0169, -0.0059, -0.0169, -0.0169, 0.0256, 0.0458, 0.0387, 0.0726, 0.0548, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0315, 0.0229, 0.0074, 0.0123, -0.0089, 0.0029, -0.0108, -0.0112, -0.0078, -0.0103, -0.0142, -0.0323]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037916180040778030", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-28T15:34:14+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SPXU up 6.57%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish SPX; model targets 5,250 or worse by end of May, calling potential new bear market; long SPXU.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was down -2.11% for the week to close at 6,368.74.  My family accounts were up 10.74% and  $SPXU up 6.57%.  Model points to 5,250 or worse before the end of May.  Next week is critical for me to calling this a new “Bear Market”.  You don’t call it at -20%.  It’s too late. https://t.co/b0aFLOfrtc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010312666114777103, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010312666114777103, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013667272562167043, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013667272562167043, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.085723513241315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.085723513241315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11479137902607217, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11479137902607217, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "ret_p1w": -0.11988400633112661, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11988400633112661, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.162544297841537, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.162544297841537, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "ret_p1m": -0.30148246554342606, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.30148246554342606, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4276276746386749, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4276276746386749, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "ret_p3m": -0.3649466452218607, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3649466452218607, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5298622741343176, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5298622741343176, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.16491562891245692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16491562891245692, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.30148246554342606, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4276276746386749, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4276276746386749, "price_path": [-0.2229, -0.2051, -0.2085, -0.2241, -0.2377, -0.2301, -0.2291, -0.2437, -0.247, -0.2424, -0.231, -0.2371, -0.2337, -0.2337, -0.1867, -0.2149, -0.2269, -0.2265, -0.2384, -0.2472, -0.2467, -0.2414, -0.2337, -0.2456, -0.2257, -0.2144, -0.1842, -0.2309, -0.2409, -0.2345, -0.2342, -0.1982, -0.1984, -0.1984, -0.2022, -0.2138, -0.208, -0.2237, -0.1998, -0.2173, -0.2365, -0.2233, -0.212, -0.2122, -0.1907, -0.208, -0.1949, -0.162, -0.1837, -0.1791, -0.1757, -0.138, -0.1223, -0.1485, -0.1551, -0.1198, -0.1119, -0.0723, -0.102, -0.0931, -0.1073, -0.0593, -0.0103, 0.0, -0.0857, -0.1068, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.1199, -0.1212, -0.1874, -0.2014, -0.1987, -0.2219, -0.2498, -0.2675, -0.2726, -0.2981, -0.2939, -0.2799, -0.3012, -0.2926, -0.3086, -0.312, -0.3015, -0.3012, -0.3211, -0.3263, -0.3189, -0.3347, -0.3622, -0.3559, -0.3713, -0.3754, -0.3725, -0.3829, -0.3969, -0.3743, -0.373, -0.36, -0.38, -0.3833, -0.3896, -0.3896, -0.4012, -0.4011, -0.4109, -0.4141, -0.4185, -0.4207, -0.4088, -0.4151, -0.3688, -0.3732, -0.3674, -0.3373, -0.3704, -0.38, -0.4125, -0.402, -0.3795, -0.397, -0.397, -0.3914, -0.3656, -0.3641, -0.3649, -0.3649, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1821241749408461006", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-08-07T17:47:24+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The price of oil is trading very close to the 'Panic Selling Zone'. Geopolitical issues that I have been concerned about for all of 2024 are beginning to emerge.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought HOU (leveraged oil ETF) as oil nears panic-selling zone; geopolitical risks justify contrarian long despite bearish technicals.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I purchased HOU today.  The price of oil is trading very close to the “Panic Selling Zone”.  Traditional Technical analysis would state this is a strong sell.  Geopolitical issues that I have been concerned about for all of 2024 are beginning to emerge.  I need to get here now. https://t.co/KDIhgFpRai", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029990700494638922, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029990700494638922, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03671966212208422, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03671966212208422, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006728961627445296, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006728961627445296, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0089703862236572, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0089703862236572, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014147036526879209, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014147036526879209, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02311742275053641, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02311742275053641, "ret_p1w": 0.02543839649724089, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02543839649724089, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022936318672174494, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022936318672174494, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04837471516941538, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04837471516941538, "ret_p1m": -0.06426567003426431, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06426567003426431, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12393886332249293, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12393886332249293, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05967319328822862, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05967319328822862, "ret_p3m": -0.005355489527433144, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.005355489527433144, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10734482083728547, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10734482083728547, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10198933130985233, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10198933130985233, "ret_p6m": 0.04458420260827434, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04458420260827434, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12322857255880537, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12322857255880537, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1678127751670797, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1678127751670797, "ret_p1y": 0.0684161258979783, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.0684161258979783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.17164927905249483, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.17164927905249483, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24006540495047313, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24006540495047313, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06426567003426431, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12393886332249293, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12393886332249293, "price_path": [0.0082, 0.0193, 0.007, 0.0159, 0.0209, 0.0305, 0.0273, 0.0197, 0.0024, -0.0032, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0398, 0.0252, 0.0112, 0.0017, -0.0383, -0.0482, -0.0375, -0.0191, -0.0224, 0.0103, 0.011, 0.0173, 0.0141, 0.0186, 0.0415, 0.0533, 0.0533, 0.0632, 0.053, 0.0671, 0.0564, 0.0544, 0.07, 0.0656, 0.0917, 0.086, 0.0881, 0.0881, 0.0886, 0.0767, 0.068, 0.0775, 0.0837, 0.0744, 0.0727, 0.0585, 0.0794, 0.0698, 0.0443, 0.0392, 0.0258, 0.0284, 0.0371, 0.019, 0.0067, -0.0031, 0.0408, 0.0214, -0.0174, -0.0197, -0.03, 0.0, 0.009, 0.0205, 0.0528, 0.0395, 0.0254, 0.0364, 0.0218, -0.0042, -0.0115, -0.028, -0.0149, 0.0115, 0.042, 0.0241, 0.0106, 0.0278, -0.0047, -0.0047, -0.0482, -0.068, -0.0643, -0.0771, -0.0726, -0.1035, -0.0916, -0.0643, -0.0649, -0.051, -0.0398, -0.054, -0.026, -0.0237, -0.0327, -0.0187, -0.043, -0.076, -0.0592, -0.0639, -0.0345, -0.0258, 0.0139, 0.0222, 0.0604, 0.0147, 0.0075, 0.0412, 0.0375, 0.0166, -0.0258, -0.0307, -0.0277, -0.0443, -0.0325, -0.0095, -0.0153, -0.0218, -0.0062, -0.057, -0.0673, -0.0446, -0.0216, -0.0357, -0.0054, 0.0005, -0.002, -0.0004, -0.0209, -0.0502, -0.0536, -0.053, -0.0455, -0.0661, -0.0351, -0.0319, -0.0357, -0.0199, -0.0059, -0.0347, -0.0412, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.0412, -0.0489, -0.0221, -0.0376, -0.0431, -0.0596, -0.0471, -0.044, -0.0182, -0.0198, -0.0064, -0.0133, -0.0186, -0.0234, -0.0278, -0.0213, -0.0218, -0.0139, -0.0139, -0.0209, -0.0112, 0.0017, 0.0115, 0.03, 0.0432, 0.0349, 0.0466, 0.0349, 0.0349, 0.0797, 0.101, 0.0935, 0.1292, 0.1105, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.086, 0.0769, 0.0605, 0.0657, 0.0434, 0.0558, 0.0414, 0.041, 0.0446]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1900569883630277110", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-14T15:29:05+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased a new position in $SPXU at $25.77", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Opened new SPXU position at $25.77; triple-leveraged inverse S&P 500 ETF, implying bearish S&P view.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased a new position in $SPXU at $25.77. I have a good set up here and have already taken a hit today but will try once again.  If I take a loss again today, it just part of the process of being a short only trader. https://t.co/MR7xAPPhpR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06418796695962525, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06418796695962525, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08442562308360313, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08442562308360313, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020237656123977876, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020237656123977876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022309067961892914, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022309067961892914, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030020515906448164, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030020515906448164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00771144794455525, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00771144794455525, "ret_p1w": -0.014872792245274491, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014872792245274491, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019965959234616415, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019965959234616415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005093166989341924, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005093166989341924, "ret_p1m": 0.019793545418635317, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019793545418635317, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05900411446262799, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05900411446262799, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03921056904399267, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03921056904399267, "ret_p3m": -0.2766074624921204, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2766074624921204, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3525767680371359, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3525767680371359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07596930554501546, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07596930554501546, "ret_p6m": -0.4105006811368479, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4105006811368479, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5729085554152404, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5729085554152404, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16240787427839254, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16240787427839254, "ret_p1y": -0.4582374132163586, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4582374132163586, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6669507063226366, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6669507063226366, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20871329310627806, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20871329310627806, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.022309067961892914, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.030020515906448164, "alpha_c_stated": 0.030020515906448164, "price_path": [-0.1969, -0.1858, -0.1138, -0.1115, -0.1418, -0.1577, -0.1847, -0.1847, -0.1843, -0.1581, -0.128, -0.1182, -0.1104, -0.1429, -0.1577, -0.1292, -0.1311, -0.1311, -0.0912, -0.0951, -0.0975, -0.1464, -0.1417, -0.1656, -0.1656, -0.1883, -0.2012, -0.2141, -0.2059, -0.1726, -0.193, -0.1824, -0.1945, -0.1808, -0.1644, -0.1808, -0.1902, -0.1988, -0.1753, -0.1914, -0.193, -0.1851, -0.2106, -0.209, -0.209, -0.2145, -0.2204, -0.2106, -0.1691, -0.1569, -0.1436, -0.144, -0.1037, -0.1436, -0.0994, -0.0661, -0.0955, -0.0477, -0.0618, 0.0129, 0.0384, 0.0231, 0.0642, 0.0, -0.0223, 0.0086, -0.0223, -0.0153, -0.0149, -0.0654, -0.072, -0.0396, -0.0301, 0.0289, 0.0103, 0.0004, -0.0178, 0.1219, 0.3261, 0.3352, 0.3957, 0.0048, 0.1053, 0.0495, 0.0198, 0.0273, 0.097, 0.0954, 0.1721, 0.0839, 0.034, -0.0309, -0.0514, -0.053, -0.0688, -0.0716, -0.0894, -0.129, -0.114, -0.0922, -0.1025, -0.1195, -0.1155, -0.2026, -0.218, -0.2212, -0.2319, -0.2461, -0.2485, -0.2398, -0.2014, -0.201, -0.184, -0.184, -0.2335, -0.2204, -0.2291, -0.2252, -0.2382, -0.2513, -0.2497, -0.2386, -0.2612, -0.2624, -0.275, -0.2687, -0.2766, -0.2513, -0.273, -0.2537, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2457, -0.2687, -0.292, -0.2929, -0.3097, -0.3181, -0.3281, -0.3269, -0.3357, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3361, -0.3341, -0.3457, -0.3513, -0.3437, -0.3469, -0.3381, -0.3445, -0.3561, -0.3541, -0.3573, -0.3573, -0.3733, -0.3741, -0.3805, -0.3805, -0.3753, -0.3725, -0.3645, -0.3333, -0.3629, -0.3529, -0.3673, -0.3661, -0.3797, -0.3753, -0.3953, -0.4009, -0.4009, -0.3961, -0.3957, -0.3853, -0.3801, -0.3721, -0.4001, -0.3921, -0.3993, -0.4033, -0.4093, -0.3981, -0.3981, -0.3841, -0.3933, -0.4085, -0.4025, -0.4069, -0.4105]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1694961977486184792", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-25T06:36:40+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "By March of 2024, NVDA could be back at $250. Trapping most investors/rookies into holding it for years.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish NVDA to $250 by March 2024, trapping investors in a prolonged downturn.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives By March of 2024, NVDA could be back at $250.  Trapping most investors/rookies into holding it for years. https://t.co/V21xClF9V3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NVDA Well well what do we have here...\n\nOne of the greatest MOAT's I have seen (Mother of All Trendlines).\n\nToday formed a nasty reversal candle and I think we should get a decent HEALTHY further pullback to fill that gap around $432.99 sooner rather than later. That's only an https://t.co/jmPt9Gp2iM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.02488171399629535, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02488171399629535, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03188223195053019, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026692517172312358, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007000517954234842, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018108031760170062, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0177540717578224, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0177540717578224, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011412840282390091, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005412496287477753, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006341231475432307, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012341575470344646, "ret_p1w": 0.054130994263567045, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.054130994263567045, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028629343995424605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006374445053758837, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02550165026814244, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04775654920980821, "ret_p1m": -0.08241365408277124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08241365408277124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06828683751704834, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04129768476984219, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0141268165657229, "bench_c_p1m": -0.041115969312929046, "ret_p3m": 0.058716502797451664, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.058716502797451664, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02086178082454282, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.028680400464577316, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.037854721972908845, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08739690326202898, "ret_p6m": 0.5781948433731017, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5781948433731017, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.43424345302525147, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21682865851183108, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1439513903478502, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3613661848612706, "ret_p1y": 1.5245509799677506, "ret_signed_p1y": -1.5245509799677506, "alpha_spy_p1y": -1.2753255713822091, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.9307908489882228, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24922540858554143, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5937601309795277, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08241365408277124, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06828683751704834, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04129768476984219, "price_path": [-0.1285, -0.1779, -0.1359, -0.1455, -0.1489, -0.1601, -0.1856, -0.1632, -0.1575, -0.142, -0.1086, -0.0656, -0.0731, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.048, -0.0646, -0.065, -0.0828, -0.117, -0.09, -0.1065, -0.1129, -0.0808, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0804, -0.0851, -0.0764, -0.0834, -0.0785, -0.046, -0.0009, -0.0119, 0.0096, 0.0321, 0.023, -0.0108, -0.0371, -0.0306, -0.0074, -0.0123, -0.0026, 0.0159, 0.0155, 0.0106, -0.038, -0.0327, -0.0291, -0.0131, -0.0294, -0.0753, -0.0789, -0.1122, -0.0492, -0.0452, -0.055, -0.0581, -0.0591, 0.0206, -0.0076, 0.0239, 0.0249, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0601, 0.0705, 0.0725, 0.0541, 0.0541, 0.055, 0.0227, 0.0049, -0.0096, -0.0182, -0.0249, -0.0115, -0.0094, -0.0459, -0.0445, -0.0542, -0.082, -0.1086, -0.0957, -0.0824, -0.0892, -0.0771, -0.0636, -0.0547, -0.0268, -0.0543, -0.0429, -0.0288, -0.0055, -0.0161, -0.0047, 0.0172, 0.0202, -0.012, 0.0018, -0.0451, -0.083, -0.085, -0.1006, -0.066, -0.0511, -0.092, -0.1236, -0.1198, -0.1055, -0.1138, -0.0802, -0.0545, -0.0219, -0.0057, -0.0013, 0.0122, 0.0203, 0.0504, 0.0566, 0.0791, 0.0625, 0.0753, 0.0714, 0.0955, 0.0854, 0.0587, 0.0587, 0.0383, 0.0484, 0.0393, 0.0462, 0.0164, 0.0163, -0.011, 0.0121, -0.011, 0.0127, 0.0325, 0.0134, 0.0358, 0.0452, 0.0509, 0.0626, 0.0884, 0.0781, 0.0457, 0.0648, 0.0613, 0.0613, 0.071, 0.074, 0.0763, 0.0763, 0.0763, 0.0469, 0.0339, 0.0432, 0.0671, 0.1357, 0.155, 0.1813, 0.1915, 0.1891, 0.1891, 0.2254, 0.2183, 0.2412, 0.293, 0.2965, 0.3013, 0.3337, 0.3392, 0.3265, 0.3576, 0.3644, 0.3372, 0.3698, 0.4379, 0.5069, 0.4828, 0.5236, 0.5136, 0.5678, 0.5703, 0.5677, 0.6062, 0.5792, 0.5782, 0.5782]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1714718112254489077", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-18T19:00:30+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If broken I will resort back to being 100% in SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "If SPX 4,288 breaks, author goes 100% into SPXU (3x inverse S&P), implying bearish view on SPX below that level.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "4,288 on SPX is a must hold.  If broken I will resort back to being 100% in SPXU.  Remember that back in 1973 the market initially rallied on the Yom Kippur war. https://t.co/TPiX3inl7T", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.039182283714541244, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.039182283714541244, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05268733160782091, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05268733160782091, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013505047893279665, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013505047893279665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02810898766200709, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02810898766200709, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0368952920946265, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0368952920946265, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008786304432619407, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008786304432619407, "ret_p1w": 0.09454860956700917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09454860956700917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12397618824232715, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12397618824232715, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.029427578675317978, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029427578675317978, "ret_p1m": -0.12265759722901626, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12265759722901626, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16919304224749587, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16919304224749587, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046535445018479615, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046535445018479615, "ret_p3m": -0.2536950361443402, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2536950361443402, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36620440216627625, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36620440216627625, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11250936602193606, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11250936602193606, "ret_p6m": -0.40742015911662544, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40742015911662544, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.62012130663591, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.62012130663591, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2127011475192846, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2127011475192846, "ret_p1y": -0.5504343867814985, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5504343867814985, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.9003056764353936, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.9003056764353936, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.34987128965389513, "bench_c_p1y": 0.34987128965389513, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09454860956700917, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12397618824232715, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12397618824232715, "price_path": [-0.1526, -0.1635, -0.1685, -0.1694, -0.1509, -0.1752, -0.1811, -0.1719, -0.1384, -0.1291, -0.1174, -0.1392, -0.1283, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.1073, -0.1199, -0.0914, -0.0696, -0.0462, -0.0487, -0.0646, -0.057, -0.0872, -0.0503, -0.0688, -0.0847, -0.1241, -0.1358, -0.13, -0.1333, -0.1333, -0.1224, -0.1048, -0.0956, -0.099, -0.1149, -0.1006, -0.104, -0.1249, -0.0931, -0.0939, -0.0872, -0.0622, -0.0153, -0.0077, -0.0179, 0.0247, 0.0239, 0.0085, 0.0179, 0.0179, 0.0579, 0.0366, 0.0409, 0.0026, -0.0153, -0.0298, -0.0426, -0.0221, -0.0094, -0.0383, -0.0392, 0.0, 0.0281, 0.0664, 0.0724, 0.0503, 0.0945, 0.1354, 0.1516, 0.1107, 0.092, 0.0562, -0.0017, -0.0281, -0.0341, -0.0417, -0.0434, -0.0213, -0.0664, -0.0622, -0.1167, -0.121, -0.1227, -0.1269, -0.1457, -0.1405, -0.1491, -0.1491, -0.1491, -0.1448, -0.1465, -0.144, -0.1542, -0.1678, -0.1533, -0.1533, -0.1422, -0.161, -0.1704, -0.1806, -0.1908, -0.2249, -0.2308, -0.2274, -0.2394, -0.2521, -0.2198, -0.2424, -0.2459, -0.2459, -0.2546, -0.2589, -0.2589, -0.252, -0.252, -0.2372, -0.218, -0.2102, -0.2137, -0.2467, -0.2424, -0.2554, -0.2528, -0.2537, -0.2537, -0.2441, -0.2328, -0.252, -0.2781, -0.2833, -0.2894, -0.2911, -0.3015, -0.2981, -0.3137, -0.3128, -0.2798, -0.3059, -0.3276, -0.3207, -0.325, -0.3407, -0.3415, -0.3529, -0.3511, -0.3242, -0.3433, -0.3546, -0.3442, -0.3442, -0.3337, -0.3355, -0.3755, -0.3763, -0.3685, -0.372, -0.3694, -0.3755, -0.3929, -0.3903, -0.3711, -0.3816, -0.3981, -0.3876, -0.385, -0.4059, -0.4016, -0.3972, -0.385, -0.3946, -0.4059, -0.4204, -0.4266, -0.423, -0.4177, -0.4133, -0.4283, -0.4275, -0.4275, -0.423, -0.4124, -0.4133, -0.3911, -0.4106, -0.4106, -0.4115, -0.395, -0.4074]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2009115096514265096", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T04:09:01+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm closely watching NVDA to confirm that it is close to breaking down", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Watching NVDA for a potential breakdown; not base case but flagged as a real bearish possibility to monitor.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was down -0.34% to close at 6,920.95.  My family accounts were in cash while $SPXU was up 0.92%.  WTD $SPX is still up 0.91%, my accounts down -1.49% and $SPXU down -2.71%.  I’m closely watching NVDA to confirm that it is close to breaking down.  Not my base case but watch. https://t.co/SDwzu5SYak", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02199527939545609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02199527939545609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021893741772340602, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006057821344240599, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010153762311548853, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0009727536507572188, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009727536507572188, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007586136647645847, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027992622608290163, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613382996888628, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": 0.010862525850379168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010862525850379168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006903181479078535, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03512932641227229, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959344371300633, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": 0.0019996684282241883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0019996684282241883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0003898388031944311, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05781874482042104, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016098296250297572, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": -0.037453244746866066, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.037453244746866066, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003865537648841677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09265400020547232, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131878239570774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0019996684282241883, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0003898388031944311, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05781874482042104, "price_path": [0.0406, -0.0102, 0.0177, -0.0271, -0.0282, -0.0175, -0.0099, -0.013, -0.021, -0.0258, -0.0156, 0.0065, 0.0348, 0.0864, 0.1188, 0.0964, 0.0942, 0.118, 0.0737, 0.0549, 0.0164, 0.0168, 0.0757, 0.0438, 0.0473, 0.0098, 0.0277, 0.0084, -0.0199, 0.0079, -0.0238, -0.0333, -0.0135, -0.0391, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0435, -0.0277, -0.0194, -0.0295, -0.009, -0.0142, 0.0028, -0.0004, -0.0068, -0.0222, -0.0542, -0.0473, -0.0396, -0.0762, -0.0589, -0.0219, -0.0073, 0.0225, 0.0193, 0.0297, 0.0172, 0.0135, 0.0079, 0.0206, 0.0166, 0.0119, 0.022, 0.0, -0.001, -0.0005, 0.0042, -0.0103, 0.0109, 0.0064, 0.0064, -0.0377, -0.0093, -0.0011, 0.0142, 0.0077, 0.0188, 0.035, 0.0404, 0.0329, 0.0031, -0.0254, -0.0586, -0.0711, 0.002, 0.027, 0.0189, 0.0271, 0.0103, -0.0121, -0.0121, -0.0004, 0.0159, 0.0155, 0.0258, 0.0352, 0.0422, 0.0569, -0.0008, -0.0424, -0.0138, -0.027, -0.0108, -0.0092, -0.039, -0.0129, -0.0015, 0.0054, -0.0102, -0.0258, -0.0098, -0.0168, -0.025, -0.035, -0.0666, -0.0507, -0.0531, -0.0343, -0.0745, -0.0946, -0.1073, -0.0575, -0.0502, -0.0413, -0.0413, -0.0399, -0.0375, -0.0159, -0.0061, 0.0195, 0.0231, 0.062, 0.0748, 0.072, 0.09, 0.092, 0.0803, 0.0944, 0.079, 0.1256, 0.1707, 0.1521, 0.1309, 0.0786, 0.0725, 0.0727, 0.062, 0.1232, 0.1431, 0.1631, 0.186, 0.1932, 0.2205, 0.2741, 0.2177, 0.2015, 0.1923, 0.2078, 0.1863, 0.1638, 0.1638, 0.1612, 0.149, 0.1579, 0.1411, 0.2126, 0.2042, 0.1606, 0.1831, 0.1098, 0.1289, 0.1265, 0.0844, 0.1085, 0.1102, 0.1495, 0.1223, 0.1073, 0.14, 0.14, 0.129, 0.0824, 0.0768, 0.0591, 0.0591, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1651587357244788738", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-04-27T14:01:25+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Google and Microsoft saved the market this week but are now overvalued", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short Nasdaq since Apr 14 with high conviction; also views Google and Microsoft as overvalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Alphabet Inc Class A, US listed", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve shorted the Nasdaq since April 14th.  However, if I do have to cover, the level is 12,115.  I am confident that this trade will still work and provide a strong return.  But I will freely admit that Google and Microsoft saved the market this week but are now overvalued. https://t.co/tilSG1TkVV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03606286695821814, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03606286695821814, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016543463659701385, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01882870704871764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.019519403298516758, "bench_c_m1d": -0.054891574006935784, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023236364911085605, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0023236364911085605, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010858879843184566, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010910699371955657, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008535243352076005, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008587062880847096, "ret_p1w": -0.026954111756327226, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026954111756327226, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00930171343705577, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003017491403420225, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017652398319271456, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02997160315974745, "ret_p1m": 0.1581931436984596, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1581931436984596, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13974057836099485, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11155230516649217, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018452565337464755, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04664083853196743, "ret_p3m": 0.1358862333838171, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1358862333838171, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.027445986254866384, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02463852392384691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10844024712895073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1112477094599702, "ret_p6m": 0.2603402896962317, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2603402896962317, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23164120754076567, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1356690307696471, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028699082155466016, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1246712589265846, "ret_p1y": 0.43935301604153354, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.43935301604153354, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1984638877818301, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.07468174114372284, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24088912825970343, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3646712748978107, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1581931436984596, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13974057836099485, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11155230516649217, "price_path": [-0.099, -0.0813, -0.0665, 0.0014, -0.0261, -0.0436, 0.0005, -0.0764, -0.1169, -0.121, -0.1206, -0.12, -0.099, -0.1123, -0.1231, -0.1231, -0.1469, -0.1482, -0.1552, -0.1716, -0.1647, -0.1629, -0.1601, -0.1449, -0.1296, -0.1158, -0.1276, -0.124, -0.1419, -0.1576, -0.1532, -0.1266, -0.1067, -0.0676, -0.0555, -0.0592, -0.0248, -0.0392, -0.0185, -0.02, -0.0477, -0.061, -0.0576, -0.0623, -0.0359, -0.03, -0.0267, -0.029, 0.0077, 0.0077, -0.0107, -0.0208, -0.0274, -0.0015, 0.0119, -0.0151, -0.0287, -0.0317, -0.0214, -0.0203, -0.0151, -0.0348, -0.0361, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.0036, -0.0211, -0.0203, -0.027, -0.0188, 0.0017, -0.0022, 0.0387, 0.0835, 0.0922, 0.0829, 0.1108, 0.1232, 0.1416, 0.141, 0.1623, 0.1391, 0.1237, 0.1477, 0.1582, 0.1582, 0.1495, 0.142, 0.1499, 0.1588, 0.1712, 0.1833, 0.1386, 0.1352, 0.1361, 0.1492, 0.1509, 0.1495, 0.1627, 0.1482, 0.1482, 0.1442, 0.1205, 0.1446, 0.1371, 0.0999, 0.0998, 0.117, 0.107, 0.1126, 0.1144, 0.1144, 0.1316, 0.1164, 0.1105, 0.0823, 0.0888, 0.1054, 0.1575, 0.1657, 0.1586, 0.1503, 0.1342, 0.1079, 0.1155, 0.1296, 0.1359, 0.2015, 0.2027, 0.2323, 0.2336, 0.2227, 0.1932, 0.1939, 0.1907, 0.2225, 0.2213, 0.2051, 0.2054, 0.2042, 0.2207, 0.2062, 0.1962, 0.2075, 0.1847, 0.1931, 0.1997, 0.2303, 0.2062, 0.2072, 0.2177, 0.2508, 0.2629, 0.2656, 0.2609, 0.2609, 0.2619, 0.2497, 0.2572, 0.2676, 0.2726, 0.2579, 0.2707, 0.2836, 0.2771, 0.2846, 0.283, 0.2431, 0.2124, 0.2106, 0.2186, 0.195, 0.2133, 0.2298, 0.2163, 0.247, 0.2309, 0.257, 0.2554, 0.2787, 0.2866, 0.2832, 0.3063, 0.2917, 0.2767, 0.2929, 0.2986, 0.2823, 0.2803, 0.2603]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1651587357244788738", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2023-04-27T14:01:25+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Google and Microsoft saved the market this week but are now overvalued", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short Nasdaq since Apr 14 with high conviction; also views Google and Microsoft as overvalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve shorted the Nasdaq since April 14th.  However, if I do have to cover, the level is 12,115.  I am confident that this trade will still work and provide a strong return.  But I will freely admit that Google and Microsoft saved the market this week but are now overvalued. https://t.co/tilSG1TkVV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03103403439263208, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03103403439263208, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011514631094115324, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011514631094115324, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.019519403298516758, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019519403298516758, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007971547076856433, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007971547076856433, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005636962752195718, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005636962752195718, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008535243352076005, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008535243352076005, "ret_p1w": 0.0019026336352350182, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0019026336352350182, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019555031954506474, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019555031954506474, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017652398319271456, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017652398319271456, "ret_p1m": 0.09443841444526702, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09443841444526702, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07598584910780226, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07598584910780226, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018452565337464755, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018452565337464755, "ret_p3m": 0.1539127391104651, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1539127391104651, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.045472491981514374, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.045472491981514374, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10844024712895073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10844024712895073, "ret_p6m": 0.07626289682621201, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07626289682621201, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.047563814670745996, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.047563814670745996, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028699082155466016, "bench_c_p6m": 0.028699082155466016, "ret_p1y": 0.3680899222143801, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3680899222143801, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.12720079395467665, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.12720079395467665, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24088912825970343, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24088912825970343, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09443841444526702, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07598584910780226, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07598584910780226, "price_path": [-0.2058, -0.1891, -0.1729, -0.1341, -0.1546, -0.1598, -0.1245, -0.1272, -0.1374, -0.1391, -0.1122, -0.1094, -0.1165, -0.14, -0.1534, -0.1534, -0.1711, -0.1749, -0.1642, -0.1824, -0.1793, -0.1818, -0.1921, -0.1762, -0.1625, -0.1573, -0.1663, -0.1677, -0.1723, -0.1845, -0.167, -0.1445, -0.1292, -0.0939, -0.0833, -0.1069, -0.1019, -0.1067, -0.0891, -0.0796, -0.0933, -0.0971, -0.0798, -0.0682, -0.0542, -0.0577, -0.0579, -0.0672, -0.0434, -0.0434, -0.0507, -0.0722, -0.07, -0.0492, -0.0613, -0.0526, -0.054, -0.0537, -0.0614, -0.0626, -0.0756, -0.0965, -0.031, 0.0, 0.008, 0.0024, 0.0019, -0.0014, 0.0019, 0.0191, 0.0125, 0.0071, 0.0245, 0.0173, 0.0136, 0.0152, 0.0227, 0.0323, 0.0472, 0.0466, 0.0559, 0.0365, 0.0318, 0.0715, 0.0944, 0.0944, 0.0889, 0.0796, 0.0934, 0.1027, 0.1045, 0.097, 0.0632, 0.0694, 0.0744, 0.091, 0.099, 0.1091, 0.1444, 0.1255, 0.1255, 0.1114, 0.0966, 0.1169, 0.1014, 0.0803, 0.1, 0.1042, 0.1015, 0.1196, 0.1112, 0.1112, 0.1117, 0.122, 0.1087, 0.091, 0.0931, 0.1086, 0.1266, 0.135, 0.1367, 0.1819, 0.1674, 0.1404, 0.1302, 0.1346, 0.1539, 0.1105, 0.0873, 0.1125, 0.1044, 0.1058, 0.0767, 0.074, 0.0776, 0.0853, 0.072, 0.0594, 0.0617, 0.0554, 0.0653, 0.0582, 0.0556, 0.044, 0.0427, 0.0605, 0.0624, 0.0774, 0.0542, 0.0641, 0.0665, 0.082, 0.0832, 0.0799, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0989, 0.0967, 0.0869, 0.1013, 0.1134, 0.0931, 0.1072, 0.1159, 0.088, 0.0841, 0.0828, 0.0568, 0.0527, 0.0444, 0.0462, 0.0284, 0.0305, 0.0333, 0.0403, 0.0602, 0.0325, 0.0509, 0.0522, 0.0782, 0.0866, 0.0819, 0.0952, 0.0911, 0.0798, 0.0959, 0.094, 0.0876, 0.0916, 0.0763]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1927783083236798544", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-28T17:44:38+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Panic Buying Zone is $140 and the Panic Selling Zone is $100. Limited upside.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NVDA: limited upside with buying zone at $140 and selling zone at $100.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@alexkoh Panic Buying Zone is $140 and the Panic Selling Zone is $100.  Limited upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NVDA cross roads 🐂 🆚 🧸\n\nBull case - 4 hours Golden Cross confirmed!\n\nBear case - 1 week Head and Shoulder forming.\n\nWhich side are you on? https://t.co/bTUeLCTCTZ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "alexkoh", "ret_m1d": 0.0051183649523312, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0051183649523312, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0007005417819305748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00565071502197223, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005818906734261775, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01076907997430343, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03249006182343783, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03249006182343783, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028542725272531433, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02539319782742311, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0039473365509063996, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007096863996014724, "ret_p1w": 0.052740796758848685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.052740796758848685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03878890028283877, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013996789861302261, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013951896476009917, "bench_c_p1w": 0.038744006897546424, "ret_p1m": 0.14999460473078963, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14999460473078963, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10584378810401796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006241489605877781, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04415081662677167, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14375311512491185, "ret_p3m": 0.3338957561447129, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3338957561447129, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23752621475944347, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12115429212378981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09636954138526943, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2127414640209231, "ret_p6m": 0.34012853888855643, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34012853888855643, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22350439992984117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0012643946629398162, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11662413895871526, "bench_c_p6m": 0.34139293355149625, "ret_p1y": 0.6368369486170882, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6368369486170882, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.37411238810224834, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6145766518067077, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26272456051483983, "bench_c_p1y": 1.251413600423796, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14999460473078963, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10584378810401796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.006241489605877781, "price_path": [-0.1088, -0.0734, -0.154, -0.1397, -0.13, -0.1799, -0.1642, -0.2065, -0.1933, -0.1415, -0.1426, -0.0975, -0.1133, -0.1438, -0.1283, -0.1208, -0.1269, -0.0994, -0.1047, -0.1561, -0.1734, -0.1865, -0.1961, -0.1829, -0.1809, -0.2449, -0.3004, -0.2757, -0.2857, -0.1519, -0.2021, -0.1771, -0.1788, -0.1677, -0.2249, -0.2472, -0.2811, -0.2664, -0.2381, -0.2105, -0.1765, -0.1935, -0.1913, -0.192, -0.1721, -0.1507, -0.1557, -0.1578, -0.1317, -0.1294, -0.1347, -0.0876, -0.0362, 0.0039, 0.0001, 0.0044, 0.0056, -0.0032, -0.0223, -0.0147, -0.0261, -0.0261, 0.0051, 0.0, 0.0325, 0.0024, 0.0191, 0.0475, 0.0527, 0.0384, 0.0513, 0.058, 0.0679, 0.0596, 0.0757, 0.0532, 0.0734, 0.0691, 0.0792, 0.0792, 0.0671, 0.0695, 0.0972, 0.1447, 0.15, 0.1702, 0.172, 0.1372, 0.1665, 0.182, 0.182, 0.1739, 0.1869, 0.2083, 0.2174, 0.2234, 0.2171, 0.2663, 0.2713, 0.2834, 0.279, 0.2714, 0.2391, 0.2669, 0.2889, 0.2871, 0.3112, 0.302, 0.3299, 0.3195, 0.2887, 0.3353, 0.3224, 0.331, 0.341, 0.3553, 0.3506, 0.3587, 0.3471, 0.3503, 0.3386, 0.3502, 0.303, 0.3012, 0.2981, 0.3204, 0.3339, 0.3484, 0.3472, 0.3366, 0.2921, 0.2921, 0.2669, 0.2657, 0.2734, 0.239, 0.2486, 0.2668, 0.3155, 0.3144, 0.3192, 0.3187, 0.2974, 0.2633, 0.3075, 0.3107, 0.3622, 0.3237, 0.3129, 0.3182, 0.322, 0.3491, 0.3842, 0.3891, 0.4013, 0.3919, 0.3765, 0.3728, 0.403, 0.4286, 0.3588, 0.3971, 0.3356, 0.3341, 0.3488, 0.3593, 0.355, 0.344, 0.3375, 0.3514, 0.3818, 0.4206, 0.4914, 0.536, 0.5052, 0.5022, 0.5348, 0.474, 0.4482, 0.3953, 0.3958, 0.4767, 0.433, 0.4378, 0.3863, 0.4108, 0.3843, 0.3455, 0.3838, 0.3401]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1942590339539427603", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-08T14:23:23+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at $16.61. The beginning of a correction looks to be in place.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long SPXU (3× inverse S&P 500) at $16.61; expects S&P 500 correction with a sell signal trigger at 6,120.80.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $16.61.  A new daily sell signal will be triggered at 6,120.80.  We are still -1.7% off from hitting that point.  Rising yields is something to watch that could be the trigger.  The beginning of a correction looks to be in place. https://t.co/ldI9Quiw4s", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0030028292413606383, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0030028292413606383, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0035507652347168683, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0035507652347168683, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00054793599335623, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00054793599335623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017417373977006823, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017417373977006823, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02341403005535103, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02341403005535103, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "ret_p1w": -0.006006020124139422, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006006020124139422, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008907554096220682, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008907554096220682, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029015339720812605, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0029015339720812605, "ret_p1m": -0.04984973799079262, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04984973799079262, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06990322044336128, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06990322044336128, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02005348245256866, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02005348245256866, "ret_p3m": -0.18672643393835942, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18672643393835942, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2684967287842295, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2684967287842295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "ret_p6m": -0.23156894512814763, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23156894512814763, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3391684333630923, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3391684333630923, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1075994882349447, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1075994882349447, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006006020124139422, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008907554096220682, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008907554096220682, "price_path": [0.5089, 0.6598, 0.5761, 0.5315, 0.5428, 0.6474, 0.645, 0.7603, 0.6278, 0.5529, 0.4554, 0.4245, 0.4221, 0.3984, 0.3942, 0.3675, 0.308, 0.3306, 0.3633, 0.3478, 0.3223, 0.3282, 0.1975, 0.1743, 0.1696, 0.1535, 0.1321, 0.1286, 0.1416, 0.1993, 0.1999, 0.2254, 0.2254, 0.1511, 0.1707, 0.1577, 0.1636, 0.144, 0.1244, 0.1268, 0.1434, 0.1095, 0.1078, 0.0887, 0.0982, 0.0864, 0.1244, 0.0917, 0.1208, 0.1226, 0.1226, 0.1327, 0.0982, 0.0632, 0.0619, 0.0366, 0.024, 0.009, 0.0108, -0.0024, -0.0252, -0.0252, -0.003, 0.0, -0.0174, -0.0258, -0.0144, -0.0192, -0.006, -0.0156, -0.033, -0.03, -0.0348, -0.0348, -0.0589, -0.0601, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0619, -0.0577, -0.0456, 0.0012, -0.0432, -0.0282, -0.0498, -0.048, -0.0685, -0.0619, -0.0919, -0.1003, -0.1003, -0.0931, -0.0925, -0.0769, -0.0691, -0.0571, -0.0991, -0.0871, -0.0979, -0.1039, -0.1129, -0.0961, -0.0961, -0.0751, -0.0889, -0.1117, -0.1027, -0.1093, -0.1147, -0.1225, -0.1435, -0.1423, -0.155, -0.1508, -0.1471, -0.1592, -0.1706, -0.1814, -0.1688, -0.1606, -0.1478, -0.1618, -0.1685, -0.1776, -0.1861, -0.1879, -0.1867, -0.1952, -0.1855, -0.1995, -0.1928, -0.1271, -0.166, -0.163, -0.1733, -0.1569, -0.1697, -0.1946, -0.194, -0.1819, -0.1959, -0.2141, -0.2427, -0.2482, -0.2488, -0.2245, -0.2299, -0.2336, -0.2068, -0.2141, -0.1886, -0.191, -0.2269, -0.2324, -0.2336, -0.1959, -0.194, -0.1709, -0.1502, -0.1593, -0.121, -0.1461, -0.1837, -0.2062, -0.2219, -0.2219, -0.2339, -0.2231, -0.2266, -0.2344, -0.2357, -0.2389, -0.2319, -0.2296, -0.2444, -0.2497, -0.2245, -0.2205, -0.2138, -0.1872, -0.2057, -0.2261, -0.2404, -0.2506, -0.2578, -0.2569, -0.2486, -0.2455, -0.2283, -0.2316]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1734961132975325385", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-13T15:39:02+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have added a new position to SPXU this morning at $9.46", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Added to SPXU (3x inverse S&P) at $9.46; sees little S&P upside left in 2024 with 4700 already hit and 13% rally ripe for profit-taking.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have added a new position to SPXU this morning at $9.46.  The rally to this point has been most impressive.  4700 is my year end 2024 target and we are nearly there already.  That leaves little upside for 2024.  A 13.00% rally since late October will lead to profit taking. https://t.co/CoB3SRwD3b", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.043956026443417784, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043956026443417784, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05755871110083144, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05755871110083144, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013602684657413655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013602684657413655, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0076923444688228315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0076923444688228315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010901709640196433, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010901709640196433, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032093651713736016, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032093651713736016, "ret_p1w": 0.006579678664585975, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006579678664585975, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007305386862398344, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007305386862398344, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0007257081978123692, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0007257081978123692, "ret_p1m": -0.03606258339266355, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03606258339266355, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.052600907655482976, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.052600907655482976, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016538324262819426, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016538324262819426, "ret_p3m": -0.2066312332094138, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2066312332094138, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2977106646116401, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2977106646116401, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0910794314022263, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0910794314022263, "ret_p6m": -0.29244933092639214, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29244933092639214, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4369673055718907, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4369673055718907, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14451797464549854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14451797464549854, "ret_p1y": -0.4941430411523995, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4941430411523995, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7921196188314215, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7921196188314215, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.29797657767902197, "bench_c_p1y": 0.29797657767902197, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03606258339266355, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.052600907655482976, "alpha_c_stated": -0.052600907655482976, "price_path": [0.17, 0.1689, 0.1776, 0.2099, 0.2703, 0.2802, 0.267, 0.322, 0.3209, 0.3011, 0.3132, 0.3132, 0.3648, 0.3374, 0.3429, 0.2934, 0.2703, 0.2516, 0.2352, 0.2615, 0.278, 0.2407, 0.2396, 0.2901, 0.3264, 0.3758, 0.3835, 0.3549, 0.4121, 0.4648, 0.4857, 0.433, 0.4088, 0.3626, 0.2879, 0.2538, 0.2462, 0.2363, 0.2341, 0.2626, 0.2044, 0.2099, 0.1396, 0.1341, 0.1319, 0.1264, 0.1022, 0.1088, 0.0978, 0.0978, 0.0978, 0.1033, 0.1011, 0.1044, 0.0912, 0.0736, 0.0923, 0.0923, 0.1066, 0.0824, 0.0703, 0.0571, 0.044, 0.0, -0.0077, -0.0033, -0.0187, -0.0352, 0.0066, -0.0226, -0.0271, -0.0271, -0.0383, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.0349, -0.0349, -0.0159, 0.0088, 0.0189, 0.0144, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0394, -0.0361, -0.0372, -0.0372, -0.0248, -0.0103, -0.0349, -0.0686, -0.0753, -0.0832, -0.0854, -0.0989, -0.0944, -0.1146, -0.1135, -0.0708, -0.1045, -0.1326, -0.1236, -0.1292, -0.1494, -0.1505, -0.1651, -0.1629, -0.1281, -0.1528, -0.1674, -0.1539, -0.1539, -0.1404, -0.1427, -0.1943, -0.1954, -0.1853, -0.1898, -0.1864, -0.1943, -0.2167, -0.2134, -0.1887, -0.2021, -0.2235, -0.21, -0.2066, -0.2336, -0.228, -0.2223, -0.2066, -0.219, -0.2336, -0.2522, -0.2602, -0.2556, -0.2488, -0.2431, -0.2625, -0.2613, -0.2613, -0.2556, -0.2419, -0.2431, -0.2145, -0.2396, -0.2396, -0.2408, -0.2195, -0.2355, -0.2028, -0.1735, -0.168, -0.1523, -0.1463, -0.1235, -0.1461, -0.177, -0.1758, -0.1648, -0.1882, -0.1957, -0.1573, -0.1491, -0.1708, -0.2021, -0.2264, -0.2286, -0.2282, -0.2403, -0.2428, -0.2424, -0.2527, -0.2799, -0.2737, -0.2767, -0.279, -0.2835, -0.2769, -0.26, -0.2744, -0.2744, -0.2753, -0.2595, -0.2442, -0.2634, -0.265, -0.2668, -0.2931, -0.2924]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1820854632387949005", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-06T16:09:08+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Full position added to #SPXU at $31.89", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Full position in SPXU (3x inverse S&P) on geopolitical risk; watching for oil buy signal amid Israel conflict.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Full position added to #SPXU at $31.89.  Events are developing in Israel.  Drones are going to be much more effective in striking Israeli targets.  Waiting for the buy signal in oil.  Remain committed to short but may one hold daily.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02724222094411477, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02724222094411477, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03637748553760545, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03637748553760545, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009135264593490677, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009135264593490677, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021732413662252315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021732413662252315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028416399008782456, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028416399008782456, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006683985346530141, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006683985346530141, "ret_p1w": -0.10713197645021433, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10713197645021433, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14522453645782463, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14522453645782463, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0380925600076103, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0380925600076103, "ret_p1m": -0.14508725783481968, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14508725783481968, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20024382296863164, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20024382296863164, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05515656513381195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05515656513381195, "ret_p3m": -0.2247633662857237, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2247633662857237, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3217499279554007, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3217499279554007, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09698656166967701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09698656166967701, "ret_p6m": -0.34438833795462154, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34438833795462154, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5106019548165222, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5106019548165222, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16621361686190061, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16621361686190061, "ret_p1y": -0.495769102284475, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.495769102284475, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7308035312377019, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7308035312377019, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2350344289532269, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2350344289532269, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10713197645021433, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14522453645782463, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14522453645782463, "price_path": [-0.0033, -0.0066, -0.006, -0.0195, -0.0553, -0.0472, -0.0511, -0.0541, -0.0601, -0.0514, -0.0291, -0.0481, -0.0481, -0.0493, -0.0285, -0.0084, -0.0337, -0.0358, -0.0382, -0.0727, -0.0718, -0.067, -0.0748, -0.0808, -0.1036, -0.1081, -0.1087, -0.1288, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.127, -0.1207, -0.1132, -0.1234, -0.1264, -0.1292, -0.1178, -0.1227, -0.1396, -0.1503, -0.1503, -0.1638, -0.1659, -0.168, -0.1919, -0.1711, -0.1855, -0.191, -0.2057, -0.172, -0.1524, -0.1335, -0.1604, -0.1552, -0.0983, -0.0826, -0.1117, -0.1133, -0.0989, -0.1411, -0.1059, -0.0551, 0.0272, 0.0, 0.0217, -0.0487, -0.0594, -0.0609, -0.1071, -0.1148, -0.1598, -0.1644, -0.1879, -0.1837, -0.1919, -0.1714, -0.1968, -0.1907, -0.1934, -0.1794, -0.1788, -0.1999, -0.1999, -0.1512, -0.1451, -0.1387, -0.0937, -0.124, -0.1347, -0.1604, -0.1812, -0.1931, -0.1965, -0.1971, -0.1889, -0.2296, -0.2247, -0.2299, -0.2366, -0.231, -0.24, -0.235, -0.2447, -0.2235, -0.2238, -0.2195, -0.2391, -0.2188, -0.2403, -0.2559, -0.2519, -0.2634, -0.2818, -0.2647, -0.2737, -0.2731, -0.2809, -0.2768, -0.2756, -0.255, -0.2594, -0.2578, -0.264, -0.2678, -0.26, -0.2157, -0.2248, -0.2195, -0.2475, -0.3033, -0.3195, -0.3273, -0.3289, -0.3223, -0.3226, -0.3092, -0.2821, -0.2899, -0.298, -0.2986, -0.3092, -0.3145, -0.3211, -0.332, -0.3248, -0.3248, -0.3364, -0.3401, -0.3404, -0.3523, -0.3488, -0.3519, -0.341, -0.3348, -0.3501, -0.3398, -0.3379, -0.3463, -0.3373, -0.2787, -0.2768, -0.3014, -0.3144, -0.3364, -0.3364, -0.3361, -0.3148, -0.2902, -0.2823, -0.2759, -0.3023, -0.3144, -0.2912, -0.2928, -0.2928, -0.2603, -0.2635, -0.2654, -0.3052, -0.3014, -0.3208, -0.3208, -0.3393, -0.3498, -0.3603, -0.3536, -0.3265, -0.3431, -0.3345, -0.3444]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1820854632387949005", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-08-06T16:09:08+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Waiting for the buy signal in oil", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Full position in SPXU (3x inverse S&P) on geopolitical risk; watching for oil buy signal amid Israel conflict.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Full position added to #SPXU at $31.89.  Events are developing in Israel.  Drones are going to be much more effective in striking Israeli targets.  Waiting for the buy signal in oil.  Remain committed to short but may one hold daily.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0106280787425157, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0106280787425157, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019763343336006378, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019763343336006378, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009135264593490677, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009135264593490677, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030917951518539155, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030917951518539155, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037601936865069296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.037601936865069296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006683985346530141, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006683985346530141, "ret_p1w": 0.0716356474813098, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0716356474813098, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033543087473699496, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033543087473699496, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0380925600076103, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0380925600076103, "ret_p1m": -0.03919939899955416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03919939899955416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09435596413336611, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09435596413336611, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05515656513381195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05515656513381195, "ret_p3m": -0.005935132136485444, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.005935132136485444, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10292169380616245, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10292169380616245, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09698656166967701, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09698656166967701, "ret_p6m": 0.07315394444452639, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07315394444452639, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09305967241737423, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09305967241737423, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16621361686190061, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16621361686190061, "ret_p1y": 0.06514839778495873, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.06514839778495873, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.16988603116826817, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.16988603116826817, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2350344289532269, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2350344289532269, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0716356474813098, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.033543087473699496, "alpha_c_stated": 0.033543087473699496, "price_path": [0.0562, 0.0393, 0.0508, 0.0381, 0.0473, 0.0525, 0.0624, 0.0591, 0.0512, 0.0334, 0.0276, 0.04, 0.04, 0.0719, 0.0569, 0.0425, 0.0327, -0.0086, -0.0188, -0.0077, 0.0112, 0.0079, 0.0415, 0.0422, 0.0487, 0.0454, 0.0501, 0.0737, 0.0859, 0.0859, 0.0961, 0.0856, 0.1001, 0.089, 0.087, 0.1031, 0.0986, 0.1255, 0.1195, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1223, 0.11, 0.101, 0.1108, 0.1172, 0.1077, 0.1059, 0.0912, 0.1128, 0.1028, 0.0766, 0.0714, 0.0576, 0.0602, 0.0692, 0.0505, 0.0378, 0.0277, 0.073, 0.053, 0.013, 0.0106, 0.0, 0.0309, 0.0402, 0.052, 0.0853, 0.0716, 0.0571, 0.0685, 0.0534, 0.0266, 0.019, 0.0021, 0.0156, 0.0428, 0.0743, 0.0558, 0.0418, 0.0596, 0.0261, 0.0261, -0.0188, -0.0392, -0.0353, -0.0486, -0.0439, -0.0758, -0.0635, -0.0353, -0.036, -0.0217, -0.0101, -0.0247, 0.0041, 0.0065, -0.0028, 0.0116, -0.0134, -0.0475, -0.0301, -0.0349, -0.0047, 0.0043, 0.0453, 0.0538, 0.0932, 0.0461, 0.0386, 0.0734, 0.0696, 0.048, 0.0043, -0.0007, 0.0023, -0.0148, -0.0026, 0.0211, 0.0152, 0.0084, 0.0246, -0.0279, -0.0385, -0.015, 0.0087, -0.0059, 0.0254, 0.0315, 0.0288, 0.0305, 0.0094, -0.0208, -0.0243, -0.0237, -0.016, -0.0373, -0.0052, -0.0019, -0.0059, 0.0104, 0.0248, -0.0048, -0.0116, -0.0101, -0.0101, -0.0116, -0.0195, 0.0081, -0.0079, -0.0135, -0.0305, -0.0177, -0.0145, 0.0121, 0.0105, 0.0243, 0.0173, 0.0117, 0.0068, 0.0022, 0.009, 0.0084, 0.0166, 0.0166, 0.0094, 0.0193, 0.0327, 0.0428, 0.0618, 0.0755, 0.0669, 0.079, 0.0669, 0.0669, 0.113, 0.135, 0.1273, 0.1641, 0.1448, 0.139, 0.139, 0.1195, 0.1101, 0.0933, 0.0987, 0.0756, 0.0885, 0.0736, 0.0732]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1872667284541681907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-27T15:34:07+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought SPXU at $21.26", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Opened long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) at $21.26; bearish S&P 500 bet, duration uncertain.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bought SPXU at $21.26.  Not sure if this will be a day-trade only or if I will hold for more than a day.  Will watch what the day brings.  My charts haven’t been updating since Dec.23 and that’s a problem for me.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.031148365970321557, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031148365970321557, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04178683255375715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04178683255375715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01063846658343559, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01063846658343559, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03579720362265526, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03579720362265526, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04720889313405474, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04720889313405474, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011411689511399481, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011411689511399481, "ret_p1w": 0.000465007716439203, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.000465007716439203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00012312582086115853, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00012312582086115853, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005881335373003616, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005881335373003616, "ret_p1m": -0.04137605670786737, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04137605670786737, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05735895336309138, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05735895336309138, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01598289665522401, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01598289665522401, "ret_p3m": 0.15210376661017677, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15210376661017677, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1961772648351341, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1961772648351341, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04407349822495732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04407349822495732, "ret_p6m": -0.1601174027683835, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1601174027683835, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18656494474162832, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18656494474162832, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026447541973244837, "bench_c_p6m": 0.026447541973244837, "ret_p1y": -0.37178544465778884, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.37178544465778884, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5186526241354446, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5186526241354446, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1468671794776557, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1468671794776557, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.000465007716439203, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00012312582086115853, "alpha_c_stated": 0.00012312582086115853, "price_path": [0.1332, 0.1327, 0.1391, 0.1104, 0.14, 0.1086, 0.0858, 0.0918, 0.0749, 0.0481, 0.0731, 0.0599, 0.0608, 0.0495, 0.0554, 0.0572, 0.0872, 0.0808, 0.0831, 0.074, 0.0686, 0.0799, 0.1445, 0.1313, 0.1391, 0.0981, 0.0167, -0.007, -0.0183, -0.0206, -0.011, -0.0115, 0.0081, 0.0476, 0.0363, 0.0244, 0.0235, 0.0081, 0.0003, -0.0092, -0.0251, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0315, -0.037, -0.0374, -0.0547, -0.0497, -0.0543, -0.0383, -0.0292, -0.0515, -0.0365, -0.0338, -0.0461, -0.0329, 0.0526, 0.0554, 0.0194, 0.0005, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.0311, 0.0, 0.0358, 0.0474, 0.0567, 0.0181, 0.0005, 0.0344, 0.0321, 0.0321, 0.0795, 0.0748, 0.0721, 0.0139, 0.0195, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0358, -0.0511, -0.0665, -0.0567, -0.0172, -0.0414, -0.0288, -0.0432, -0.027, -0.0074, -0.027, -0.0381, -0.0483, -0.0205, -0.0395, -0.0414, -0.0321, -0.0623, -0.0604, -0.0604, -0.0669, -0.0739, -0.0623, -0.013, 0.0014, 0.0172, 0.0167, 0.0646, 0.0172, 0.0697, 0.1093, 0.0744, 0.1311, 0.1144, 0.2032, 0.2334, 0.2152, 0.2641, 0.1878, 0.1613, 0.198, 0.1613, 0.1697, 0.1702, 0.1102, 0.1023, 0.1408, 0.1521, 0.2221, 0.2, 0.1883, 0.1667, 0.3326, 0.5752, 0.586, 0.6579, 0.1935, 0.3129, 0.2466, 0.2113, 0.2203, 0.303, 0.3011, 0.3923, 0.2875, 0.2283, 0.1512, 0.1267, 0.1248, 0.106, 0.1027, 0.0816, 0.0346, 0.0525, 0.0783, 0.0661, 0.0459, 0.0506, -0.0528, -0.0712, -0.0749, -0.0876, -0.1045, -0.1074, -0.097, -0.0514, -0.051, -0.0307, -0.0307, -0.0895, -0.074, -0.0843, -0.0796, -0.0951, -0.1107, -0.1088, -0.0956, -0.1224, -0.1238, -0.1389, -0.1313, -0.1407, -0.1107, -0.1365, -0.1135, -0.1121, -0.1121, -0.1041, -0.1313, -0.1591, -0.1601]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1896714432065245366", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-04T00:08:54+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I had no choice to purchase $SPXU at $22.61 due to the breakdown of $SPX today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P); SPX broke 5,916 support and targets 5,700 next.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I had no choice to purchase $SPXU at $22.61 due to the breakdown of $SPX today.  As mentioned over the weekend, 5,916 on $SPX was a must hold and it was broken.  I expected the markets to rally late in the day and it didn’t.  I’m more convince now that next stop is 5,700. https://t.co/HDRQihzoTA\n\n---\n\n$SPX was down -1.76% today while my family accounts resulted in a gain of +1.76%.  $SPXU closed at $23.01 today while last Friday it was  $23.00 that I sold at.  Todays action confirmed my suspicions that Friday was simply short covering.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03562447373297939, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03562447373297939, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.047603131515916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.047603131515916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03143324793868363, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03143324793868363, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04218119516707208, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04218119516707208, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "ret_p1w": 0.11190280619586268, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11190280619586268, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14820274099058772, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14820274099058772, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "ret_p1m": 0.051768171233062654, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.051768171233062654, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0702160231018304, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0702160231018304, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "ret_p3m": -0.18426531662665113, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18426531662665113, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21483258960516116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21483258960516116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "ret_p6m": -0.3674617675282804, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3674617675282804, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4990989386460133, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4990989386460133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "ret_p1y": -0.45815650704136246, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.45815650704136246, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6636858153542655, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6636858153542655, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.051768171233062654, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0702160231018304, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0702160231018304, "price_path": [-0.1478, -0.1433, -0.1474, -0.1331, -0.1249, -0.1449, -0.1314, -0.129, -0.14, -0.1281, -0.051, -0.0486, -0.081, -0.0981, -0.127, -0.127, -0.1266, -0.0985, -0.0662, -0.0557, -0.0474, -0.0821, -0.0981, -0.0675, -0.0696, -0.0696, -0.0268, -0.031, -0.0335, -0.0859, -0.0809, -0.1065, -0.1065, -0.1308, -0.1446, -0.1584, -0.1496, -0.114, -0.1358, -0.1245, -0.1375, -0.1228, -0.1052, -0.1228, -0.1329, -0.1421, -0.1169, -0.1341, -0.1358, -0.1274, -0.1547, -0.153, -0.153, -0.1588, -0.1651, -0.1547, -0.1102, -0.0972, -0.083, -0.0834, -0.0402, -0.083, -0.0356, 0.0, -0.0314, 0.0197, 0.0046, 0.0847, 0.1119, 0.0956, 0.1396, 0.0708, 0.0469, 0.0801, 0.0469, 0.0545, 0.0549, 0.0008, -0.0063, 0.0285, 0.0386, 0.1018, 0.0819, 0.0713, 0.0518, 0.2014, 0.42, 0.4298, 0.4946, 0.0759, 0.1836, 0.1238, 0.092, 0.1001, 0.1747, 0.173, 0.2552, 0.1607, 0.1073, 0.0378, 0.0157, 0.0141, -0.0029, -0.0059, -0.0249, -0.0673, -0.0512, -0.0279, -0.0389, -0.0571, -0.0529, -0.1461, -0.1627, -0.166, -0.1775, -0.1927, -0.1953, -0.186, -0.1449, -0.1444, -0.1262, -0.1262, -0.1792, -0.1652, -0.1745, -0.1703, -0.1843, -0.1982, -0.1966, -0.1847, -0.2088, -0.2101, -0.2237, -0.2169, -0.2254, -0.1982, -0.2216, -0.2008, -0.1995, -0.1995, -0.1923, -0.2169, -0.2419, -0.2428, -0.2608, -0.2698, -0.2805, -0.2792, -0.2887, -0.3049, -0.3049, -0.2891, -0.2869, -0.2994, -0.3054, -0.2972, -0.3007, -0.2912, -0.2981, -0.3105, -0.3084, -0.3118, -0.3118, -0.3289, -0.3298, -0.3366, -0.3366, -0.3311, -0.3281, -0.3195, -0.2861, -0.3178, -0.3071, -0.3225, -0.3212, -0.3358, -0.3311, -0.3525, -0.3585, -0.3585, -0.3533, -0.3529, -0.3418, -0.3362, -0.3276, -0.3576, -0.349, -0.3568, -0.361, -0.3675]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983337067469004814", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T00:56:20+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I remain 100% invested in $SPXU and expect a sell off", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "100% invested in SPXU (3x inverse S&P) expecting an imminent sell-off on elevated valuations, inflation, and FED day uncertainty.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was up 0.23% to close at 6,890.91.  My family accounts were down -0.68% and $SPXU the same. \n\n$SPX is up 2.85% in the last 5 trading sessions.  I remain 100% invested in $SPXU and expect a sell off.\n\nFED day is problematic.  Valuations, inflation and momentum is elevated. https://t.co/KG9zz5P6jf", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0008104867566336438, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0008104867566336438, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0012906267501643365, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0012906267501643365, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801399935306927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004801399935306927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03241481644573185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03241481644573185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.043412914059992036, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.043412914059992036, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998097614260183, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010998097614260183, "ret_p1w": 0.04619124582831202, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04619124582831202, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060462675242585084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060462675242585084, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271429414273062, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014271429414273062, "ret_p1m": 0.03585904414878072, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03585904414878072, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04707541163144069, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04707541163144069, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011216367482659972, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011216367482659972, "ret_p3m": -0.026419332736949075, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.026419332736949075, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04109050577813145, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04109050577813145, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014671173041182373, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014671173041182373, "ret_p6m": -0.11076893055466064, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11076893055466064, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15710669252214782, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15710669252214782, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04633776196748718, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04633776196748718, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04619124582831202, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.060462675242585084, "alpha_c_stated": 0.060462675242585084, "price_path": [0.3328, 0.2737, 0.2937, 0.2649, 0.2673, 0.2401, 0.2489, 0.2089, 0.1977, 0.1977, 0.2073, 0.2081, 0.2289, 0.2393, 0.2553, 0.1993, 0.2153, 0.2009, 0.1929, 0.1809, 0.2033, 0.2033, 0.2313, 0.2129, 0.1825, 0.1945, 0.1857, 0.1785, 0.1681, 0.1401, 0.1417, 0.125, 0.1306, 0.1353, 0.1194, 0.1042, 0.0898, 0.1066, 0.1175, 0.1345, 0.1159, 0.107, 0.0948, 0.0835, 0.081, 0.0827, 0.0713, 0.0843, 0.0656, 0.0746, 0.1621, 0.1102, 0.1143, 0.1005, 0.1224, 0.1053, 0.0721, 0.0729, 0.0891, 0.0705, 0.0462, 0.0081, 0.0008, 0.0, 0.0324, 0.0251, 0.0203, 0.0559, 0.0462, 0.0802, 0.077, 0.0292, 0.0219, 0.0203, 0.0705, 0.0729, 0.1037, 0.1313, 0.1191, 0.1702, 0.1368, 0.0867, 0.0567, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.0199, 0.0342, 0.0296, 0.0192, 0.0174, 0.0132, 0.0225, 0.0255, 0.0059, -0.0012, 0.0324, 0.0377, 0.0466, 0.0821, 0.0573, 0.0302, 0.0111, -0.0024, -0.012, -0.0107, 0.0002, 0.0044, 0.0273, 0.023, 0.0027, -0.0148, -0.0049, -0.0037, -0.0225, -0.0268, -0.0208, -0.0062, -0.014, -0.0097, -0.0097, 0.0511, 0.0147, -0.0008, -0.0004, -0.0157, -0.027, -0.0264, -0.0196, -0.0097, -0.025, 0.0006, 0.0153, 0.0544, -0.006, -0.019, -0.0107, -0.0103, 0.0362, 0.036, 0.036, 0.031, 0.0161, 0.0236, 0.0033, 0.0341, 0.0116, -0.0132, 0.0037, 0.0184, 0.0182, 0.0459, 0.0236, 0.0405, 0.0831, 0.055, 0.061, 0.0653, 0.1141, 0.1343, 0.1004, 0.092, 0.1376, 0.1478, 0.199, 0.1606, 0.1721, 0.1537, 0.2158, 0.2791, 0.2924, 0.1816, 0.1543, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.1375, 0.1358, 0.0502, 0.0321, 0.0356, 0.0056, -0.0304, -0.0533, -0.06, -0.0929, -0.0874, -0.0693, -0.0968, -0.0858, -0.1064, -0.1108]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1900992814684782969", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-15T19:29:40+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "prices could go to $3,100 by June or July", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Gold to $3,100 by June/July on strong uptrend; USD to continue selling off into fall.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Gold commodity; GLD is SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The uptrend in gold is strong but has entered the “Panic Buying Zone”, it suggests that prices could go to $3,100 by June or July.  It’s looking to be a hot summer for volatility and economic news.  While the US dollar will continue to sell off into the fall.  Supportive. https://t.co/6whydYc771", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005384384392001285, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005384384392001285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002268052186231828, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002268052186231828, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007652436578233113, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007652436578233113, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011671955843306048, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011671955843306048, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022480334282242276, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022480334282242276, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010808378438936228, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010808378438936228, "ret_p1w": 0.0018790481445019047, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0018790481445019047, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013384887086884456, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013384887086884456, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01526393523138636, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01526393523138636, "ret_p1m": 0.07606687730738648, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07606687730738648, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12530042411995856, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12530042411995856, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04923354681257208, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04923354681257208, "ret_p3m": 0.14295521261894573, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14295521261894573, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08715714911415362, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08715714911415362, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.055798063504792106, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055798063504792106, "ret_p6m": 0.2115057870690742, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2115057870690742, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.054658694707094835, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.054658694707094835, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15684709236197936, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15684709236197936, "ret_p1y": 0.707548802152298, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.707548802152298, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.49757785603853844, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.49757785603853844, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20997094611375955, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20997094611375955, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07606687730738648, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12530042411995856, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12530042411995856, "price_path": [-0.1185, -0.1354, -0.1342, -0.1251, -0.1293, -0.1275, -0.1275, -0.1216, -0.1277, -0.1305, -0.125, -0.1131, -0.1201, -0.1212, -0.1163, -0.1116, -0.1116, -0.1031, -0.112, -0.1073, -0.1006, -0.0944, -0.0992, -0.0992, -0.0853, -0.0806, -0.0819, -0.0762, -0.0858, -0.0779, -0.0814, -0.0675, -0.0657, -0.0607, -0.0514, -0.0455, -0.0481, -0.0464, -0.0302, -0.0338, -0.0327, -0.0232, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.0218, -0.0212, -0.0207, -0.0216, -0.0163, -0.0293, -0.0278, -0.0426, -0.0486, -0.0361, -0.0277, -0.0257, -0.0306, -0.0301, -0.0386, -0.0274, -0.0231, -0.0058, -0.0054, 0.0, 0.0117, 0.0158, 0.0145, 0.0064, 0.0019, 0.0063, 0.0055, 0.0189, 0.0265, 0.0412, 0.0392, 0.0413, 0.035, 0.0108, -0.0109, -0.0055, 0.0313, 0.0564, 0.0766, 0.0705, 0.0761, 0.1111, 0.1062, 0.1404, 0.1242, 0.0973, 0.1133, 0.1012, 0.1169, 0.106, 0.0977, 0.0749, 0.0768, 0.109, 0.14, 0.1229, 0.1008, 0.1088, 0.0775, 0.0821, 0.0594, 0.0763, 0.0633, 0.077, 0.097, 0.1051, 0.0953, 0.1193, 0.1193, 0.1004, 0.0979, 0.1044, 0.0971, 0.1263, 0.1163, 0.1235, 0.1178, 0.1028, 0.108, 0.1083, 0.1143, 0.1282, 0.143, 0.1267, 0.1272, 0.1212, 0.1212, 0.1207, 0.1241, 0.1065, 0.1098, 0.1086, 0.0885, 0.1015, 0.1114, 0.1175, 0.1099, 0.1099, 0.1107, 0.0991, 0.104, 0.1065, 0.1171, 0.113, 0.1084, 0.1139, 0.1115, 0.1144, 0.1315, 0.1423, 0.1281, 0.1212, 0.1108, 0.1036, 0.1067, 0.0876, 0.0948, 0.117, 0.1235, 0.1244, 0.122, 0.1315, 0.1312, 0.115, 0.114, 0.1174, 0.1103, 0.1109, 0.1092, 0.1031, 0.1143, 0.1104, 0.1223, 0.1196, 0.1277, 0.13, 0.1384, 0.1494, 0.1494, 0.1766, 0.1858, 0.1805, 0.1963, 0.2099, 0.2072, 0.2115]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1646890196288565248", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-04-14T14:56:35+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Purchase SQQQ at $29.80. I plan to cover at $38.74.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SQQQ (short Nasdaq) at $29.80 targeting $38.74, triggered by 10-year yield hitting 3.50%.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have shorted the Nasdaq just minutes ago.  My trigger was the Ten year hitting 3.50% this morning.  Purchase SQQQ at $29.80.  I plan to cover at $38.74.  This looks to have a very good risk to reward ratio. https://t.co/xhObYb7JYq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005653528611005987, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005653528611005987, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008102070797983307, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008102070797983307, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024485421869773205, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024485421869773205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001330277795569712, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001330277795569712, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004918528339002748, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004918528339002748, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003588250543433036, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003588250543433036, "ret_p1w": 0.021948671505907624, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021948671505907624, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022579153389401085, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022579153389401085, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0006304818834934611, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0006304818834934611, "ret_p1m": -0.07216508741362215, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07216508741362215, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07349843441677506, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07349843441677506, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001333347003152907, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001333347003152907, "ret_p3m": -0.37831409028295204, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.37831409028295204, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.46369624563371903, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.46369624563371903, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08538215535076699, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08538215535076699, "ret_p6m": -0.3461974486556958, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3461974486556958, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40187858068942495, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.40187858068942495, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05568113203372915, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05568113203372915, "ret_p1y": -0.6202697658646218, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6202697658646218, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8964016365580986, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8964016365580986, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2761318706934768, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2761318706934768, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07216508741362215, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07349843441677506, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07349843441677506, "price_path": [0.5077, 0.5645, 0.6134, 0.4802, 0.3828, 0.3923, 0.4019, 0.3216, 0.2839, 0.3616, 0.3008, 0.2175, 0.0909, 0.1458, 0.1759, 0.1032, 0.162, 0.194, 0.2185, 0.16, 0.1355, 0.1098, 0.1732, 0.1993, 0.1993, 0.2846, 0.2836, 0.2509, 0.315, 0.2866, 0.2932, 0.3243, 0.2932, 0.2139, 0.2096, 0.2545, 0.2363, 0.3038, 0.3576, 0.3282, 0.238, 0.2205, 0.1243, 0.1398, 0.1293, 0.082, 0.126, 0.0871, 0.0755, 0.0978, 0.1157, 0.0562, 0.0269, -0.0236, -0.017, -0.0067, 0.0256, 0.0047, 0.0047, 0.0073, 0.0269, 0.0539, -0.0057, 0.0, -0.0013, -0.0017, 0.0, 0.0246, 0.0219, 0.0286, 0.0871, 0.0692, -0.017, -0.0369, -0.0339, -0.0086, 0.0116, 0.0236, -0.0409, -0.0476, -0.0289, -0.0599, -0.0675, -0.0575, -0.0722, -0.0752, -0.1084, -0.156, -0.15, -0.1586, -0.1264, -0.1131, -0.1753, -0.2381, -0.2381, -0.2488, -0.2331, -0.2611, -0.277, -0.2784, -0.2777, -0.2404, -0.2667, -0.2754, -0.3119, -0.3276, -0.3422, -0.3638, -0.3518, -0.3518, -0.3492, -0.3227, -0.3453, -0.325, -0.2984, -0.3331, -0.3375, -0.3325, -0.3625, -0.3665, -0.3665, -0.3665, -0.3513, -0.3443, -0.3449, -0.354, -0.3783, -0.4087, -0.4083, -0.4242, -0.4383, -0.4383, -0.3982, -0.3921, -0.3952, -0.4073, -0.4012, -0.3955, -0.4282, -0.4299, -0.4248, -0.3871, -0.3824, -0.3739, -0.3894, -0.3733, -0.3527, -0.3551, -0.3422, -0.3642, -0.3439, -0.3223, -0.2994, -0.2961, -0.3301, -0.3264, -0.3584, -0.3153, -0.3318, -0.3466, -0.3884, -0.3989, -0.4029, -0.4009, -0.4009, -0.4026, -0.3871, -0.3726, -0.3749, -0.3969, -0.3766, -0.383, -0.3972, -0.3655, -0.3679, -0.3631, -0.3359, -0.2975, -0.2978, -0.3078, -0.2762, -0.2814, -0.2975, -0.2989, -0.3157, -0.2793, -0.3081, -0.3013, -0.3359, -0.3462]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1646890196288565248", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-04-14T14:56:35+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have shorted the Nasdaq just minutes ago", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SQQQ (short Nasdaq) at $29.80 targeting $38.74, triggered by 10-year yield hitting 3.50%.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have shorted the Nasdaq just minutes ago.  My trigger was the Ten year hitting 3.50% this morning.  Purchase SQQQ at $29.80.  I plan to cover at $38.74.  This looks to have a very good risk to reward ratio. https://t.co/xhObYb7JYq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001883423162835296, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001883423162835296, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0005651190241420245, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005651190241420245, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024485421869773205, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024485421869773205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008469889727462654, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008469889727462654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0027412615706867705, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0027412615706867705, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003588250543433036, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003588250543433036, "ret_p1w": -0.006152821484434523, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006152821484434523, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005522339600941062, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005522339600941062, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0006304818834934611, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0006304818834934611, "ret_p1m": 0.025802614285438175, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025802614285438175, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024469267282285267, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.024469267282285267, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001333347003152907, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001333347003152907, "ret_p3m": 0.17189747587916338, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17189747587916338, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08651532052839639, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08651532052839639, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08538215535076699, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08538215535076699, "ret_p6m": 0.15388807760050893, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15388807760050893, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09820694556677978, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09820694556677978, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05568113203372915, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05568113203372915, "ret_p1y": 0.39390862864891885, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.39390862864891885, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11777675795544207, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11777675795544207, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2761318706934768, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2761318706934768, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.025802614285438175, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.024469267282285267, "alpha_c_stated": -0.024469267282285267, "price_path": [-0.1176, -0.1291, -0.1376, -0.114, -0.0943, -0.0962, -0.0982, -0.0806, -0.0715, -0.0902, -0.0766, -0.0569, -0.023, -0.0404, -0.0485, -0.0288, -0.0461, -0.0545, -0.0607, -0.0456, -0.0386, -0.0312, -0.0494, -0.0561, -0.0561, -0.0785, -0.0778, -0.0697, -0.0853, -0.0787, -0.0799, -0.0873, -0.0798, -0.0608, -0.0597, -0.0712, -0.0666, -0.0828, -0.0956, -0.0889, -0.068, -0.0631, -0.0384, -0.0429, -0.0396, -0.0258, -0.0391, -0.0277, -0.0241, -0.0308, -0.0359, -0.0184, -0.0091, 0.0074, 0.005, 0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0022, -0.0086, -0.0174, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.0009, 0.0004, -0.0072, -0.0062, -0.0082, -0.0269, -0.021, 0.0056, 0.0125, 0.0114, 0.0025, -0.004, -0.0075, 0.0136, 0.0161, 0.0096, 0.0206, 0.024, 0.0203, 0.0258, 0.027, 0.0394, 0.0587, 0.0563, 0.0599, 0.0464, 0.0411, 0.0664, 0.0936, 0.0936, 0.0986, 0.0924, 0.105, 0.1133, 0.114, 0.1139, 0.095, 0.1085, 0.1128, 0.1316, 0.1403, 0.1486, 0.1623, 0.1549, 0.1549, 0.1533, 0.1376, 0.151, 0.1396, 0.1243, 0.1436, 0.1459, 0.1436, 0.1612, 0.1639, 0.1639, 0.1639, 0.155, 0.1512, 0.1516, 0.1573, 0.1719, 0.1918, 0.1915, 0.2027, 0.2125, 0.2122, 0.1843, 0.1807, 0.1826, 0.1906, 0.1867, 0.1838, 0.2054, 0.206, 0.2032, 0.1768, 0.1749, 0.1694, 0.1793, 0.1693, 0.1565, 0.1586, 0.1512, 0.1641, 0.1518, 0.1396, 0.1271, 0.1257, 0.1439, 0.1422, 0.1602, 0.1354, 0.1442, 0.1528, 0.178, 0.1846, 0.1881, 0.1869, 0.1869, 0.1884, 0.1779, 0.1695, 0.1711, 0.1849, 0.1718, 0.1763, 0.1859, 0.1656, 0.1668, 0.1643, 0.1475, 0.1265, 0.1267, 0.132, 0.115, 0.1176, 0.127, 0.1278, 0.1372, 0.1172, 0.1325, 0.1291, 0.148, 0.1539]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016178662249529730", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T15:57:06+00:00", "symbol": "ZSL", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I went with $ZSL this morning. My price target is $3.40. Bought at $1.83.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ZSL (2x inverse silver ETF) with PT $3.40, bought at $1.83; implicitly bearish on silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZSL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LiQuidPr0Qu0 I went with $ZSL this morning.  My price target is $3.40.  Bought at $1.83.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SLV gaps galore 👏 target SEVENTY 7_0 \n\n*Entry 106 but looking to ADD \n\nIt's HOW you trade this here that will make you your bag! \n\nCue Zeppelin lyric \"...hangman, Hangman\" https://t.co/pJJyQNT3HS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LiQuidPr0Qu0", "ret_m1d": 0.08771929628875696, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08771929628875696, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0916877393103106, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0916877393103106, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08187137666509581, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08187137666509581, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08177071208477094, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08177071208477094, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "ret_p1w": 0.30409349354317894, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.30409349354317894, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3126629519271533, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3126629519271533, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "ret_p1m": 0.06432750625325911, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06432750625325911, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06769196179286363, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06769196179286363, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "bench_c_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "ret_p3m": 0.25263155546508353, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25263155546508353, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2232999612204507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2232999612204507, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06432750625325911, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06769196179286363, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06769196179286363, "price_path": [7.2632, 7.1988, 6.7485, 6.9123, 6.9649, 7.3509, 6.9825, 7.0234, 6.8713, 6.193, 6.0, 5.3918, 5.6257, 6.0292, 6.193, 6.0058, 5.9298, 6.1053, 6.2749, 5.848, 5.883, 5.3626, 5.3626, 4.5614, 4.269, 4.1287, 4.1813, 4.4327, 4.1696, 4.2456, 3.7544, 3.6082, 3.3158, 3.5673, 3.2749, 3.3158, 2.9123, 3.0526, 2.7953, 2.6433, 2.3567, 2.3275, 1.7193, 2.1404, 1.7544, 2.1228, 1.9766, 1.6257, 1.2865, 1.4561, 1.5322, 1.3275, 1.0058, 0.9357, 0.6491, 0.7076, 0.7953, 0.7953, 0.5906, 0.6433, 0.5146, 0.3158, 0.0877, 0.0, -0.0819, -0.076, 0.3801, 0.4971, 0.3041, 0.2281, 0.7076, 0.5322, 0.2865, 0.3801, 0.2573, 0.5614, 0.4678, 0.4678, 0.6023, 0.4269, 0.386, 0.1813, 0.0585, 0.0994, 0.0643, 0.0509, -0.069, 0.0111, 0.1912, 0.1725, 0.2076, 0.1485, 0.0778, 0.0216, 0.0743, 0.1135, 0.2281, 0.2053, 0.262, 0.3678, 0.4708, 0.6713, 0.6216, 0.5947, 0.4772, 0.6813, 0.545, 0.5363, 0.3164, 0.3205, 0.4088, 0.4088, 0.3965, 0.3988, 0.3304, 0.2912, 0.2649, 0.2953, 0.1585, 0.162, 0.1842, 0.1006, 0.1433, 0.2649, 0.1994, 0.2667, 0.2526, 0.269, 0.3497, 0.4035, 0.3257, 0.2585, 0.3474, 0.348, 0.1819, 0.1275, 0.0842, -0.0632, -0.076, -0.1, -0.0129, 0.1585, 0.1275, 0.2333, 0.1673, 0.1439, 0.1778, 0.1778, 0.1363, 0.2105, 0.1789, 0.1789, 0.2018, 0.1918, 0.255, 0.2251, 0.438, 0.4351, 0.5538, 0.6275, 0.448, 0.4222, 0.3234, 0.3263, 0.4392, 0.4871, 0.4871, 0.5164, 0.6842, 0.9281, 0.886, 0.886, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1923416197707547131", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-16T16:32:11+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at $19.25. This will be a strict day trade. Price target is $19.43.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF) at $19.25 with $19.43 price target as a strict day trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $19.25.  This will be a strict day trade.  Price target is $19.43.  It has been a difficult week to earn a positive rate of return as a short seller.  This is not something I would recommend someone to do or try.  It is very hard work to short daily. https://t.co/bnVUDuTEYh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018897686423496873, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018897686423496873, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025191862763556117, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025191862763556117, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006294176340059243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006294176340059243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0031496498969283415, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0031496498969283415, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004243573703291537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004243573703291537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001093923806363195, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001093923806363195, "ret_p1w": 0.08241477417925958, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08241477417925958, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10781022263541773, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10781022263541773, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025395448456158154, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025395448456158154, "ret_p1m": -0.035695393290968824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.035695393290968824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04996671368575212, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04996671368575212, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014271320394783293, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014271320394783293, "ret_p3m": -0.2052970658636728, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2052970658636728, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29381354289569983, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29381354289569983, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08851647703202703, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08851647703202703, "ret_p6m": -0.31712512990442443, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31712512990442443, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4705235174344846, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4705235174344846, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1533983875300602, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1533983875300602, "ret_p1y": -0.44770202267577563, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.44770202267577563, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6930176132357818, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6930176132357818, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24531559056000618, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24531559056000618, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0031496498969283415, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.004243573703291537, "alpha_c_stated": -0.004243573703291537, "price_path": [0.0493, 0.042, 0.0342, 0.0472, 0.1022, 0.1183, 0.136, 0.1354, 0.1889, 0.136, 0.1946, 0.2388, 0.1998, 0.2632, 0.2445, 0.3436, 0.3774, 0.3571, 0.4116, 0.3265, 0.2969, 0.3379, 0.2969, 0.3063, 0.3068, 0.2398, 0.231, 0.274, 0.2866, 0.3648, 0.3402, 0.327, 0.3029, 0.4882, 0.7591, 0.7711, 0.8514, 0.3328, 0.4661, 0.3921, 0.3528, 0.3627, 0.4551, 0.453, 0.5549, 0.4378, 0.3717, 0.2856, 0.2583, 0.2562, 0.2352, 0.2315, 0.2079, 0.1554, 0.1753, 0.2042, 0.1906, 0.168, 0.1732, 0.0577, 0.0373, 0.0331, 0.0189, 0.0, -0.0031, 0.0084, 0.0593, 0.0598, 0.0824, 0.0824, 0.0168, 0.0341, 0.0226, 0.0278, 0.0105, -0.0068, -0.0047, 0.01, -0.0199, -0.0215, -0.0383, -0.0299, -0.0404, -0.0068, -0.0357, -0.01, -0.0084, -0.0084, 0.0005, -0.0299, -0.0609, -0.0621, -0.0843, -0.0955, -0.1087, -0.1072, -0.1188, -0.139, -0.139, -0.1194, -0.1167, -0.1321, -0.1395, -0.1294, -0.1337, -0.122, -0.1305, -0.1459, -0.1432, -0.1475, -0.1475, -0.1687, -0.1698, -0.1782, -0.1782, -0.1713, -0.1676, -0.157, -0.1156, -0.1549, -0.1416, -0.1607, -0.1591, -0.1772, -0.1713, -0.1979, -0.2053, -0.2053, -0.1989, -0.1984, -0.1846, -0.1777, -0.1671, -0.2042, -0.1936, -0.2032, -0.2085, -0.2164, -0.2016, -0.2016, -0.183, -0.1952, -0.2154, -0.2074, -0.2133, -0.218, -0.2249, -0.2435, -0.2424, -0.2536, -0.2499, -0.2467, -0.2573, -0.2674, -0.2769, -0.2658, -0.2585, -0.2472, -0.2596, -0.2655, -0.2736, -0.2811, -0.2827, -0.2816, -0.2892, -0.2806, -0.2929, -0.287, -0.2289, -0.2634, -0.2607, -0.2698, -0.2553, -0.2666, -0.2886, -0.2881, -0.2773, -0.2897, -0.3058, -0.3311, -0.3359, -0.3365, -0.315, -0.3198, -0.323, -0.2994, -0.3058, -0.2833, -0.2854, -0.3171]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1932471547916382718", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-10T16:14:55+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just moments ago, purchased $SPXU at $18.45 for a strict day trade. The price target is $18.52 or possibly a little higher.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU at $18.45 day trade, targeting $18.52+; implies short-term bearish bet on S&P 500.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just moments ago, purchased $SPXU at $18.45 for a strict day trade.  The price target is $18.52 or possibly a little higher. Volatility has been very low and it has been relatively easier to make small gains on the short side even with the general trend being up.  Set up is good. https://t.co/Qzmi5kEydm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0174672711493844, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0174672711493844, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0231051271138335, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0231051271138335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005637855964449101, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005637855964449101, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008733746296628153, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008733746296628153, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011585926278206093, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011585926278206093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028521799815779403, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028521799815779403, "ret_p1w": 0.0294759508633764, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0294759508633764, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.038678646943694384, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038678646943694384, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009202696080317985, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009202696080317985, "ret_p1m": -0.0975028438929213, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0975028438929213, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13534998219404182, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13534998219404182, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03784713830112052, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03784713830112052, "ret_p3m": -0.1758368419269426, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1758368419269426, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25223351570071106, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25223351570071106, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07639667377376846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07639667377376846, "ret_p6m": -0.2967636863938463, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2967636863938463, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4372647755507695, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4372647755507695, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14050108915692316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14050108915692316, "ret_p1y": -0.48144388933386806, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.48144388933386806, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7536391114115536, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7536391114115536, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27219522207768554, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27219522207768554, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008733746296628153, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011585926278206093, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011585926278206093, "price_path": [0.4112, 0.4679, 0.3794, 0.3486, 0.3912, 0.3486, 0.3583, 0.3588, 0.2892, 0.28, 0.3248, 0.3379, 0.4192, 0.3936, 0.3799, 0.3548, 0.5475, 0.8291, 0.8417, 0.9252, 0.3859, 0.5246, 0.4476, 0.4067, 0.417, 0.5131, 0.5109, 0.6168, 0.4951, 0.4263, 0.3368, 0.3084, 0.3062, 0.2844, 0.2806, 0.256, 0.2014, 0.2222, 0.2522, 0.238, 0.2145, 0.22, 0.0999, 0.0786, 0.0742, 0.0595, 0.0398, 0.0366, 0.0486, 0.1015, 0.1021, 0.1255, 0.1255, 0.0573, 0.0753, 0.0633, 0.0688, 0.0508, 0.0328, 0.0349, 0.0502, 0.0191, 0.0175, 0.0, 0.0087, -0.0022, 0.0328, 0.0027, 0.0295, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.0404, 0.0087, -0.0235, -0.0247, -0.0479, -0.0594, -0.0732, -0.0716, -0.0837, -0.1047, -0.1047, -0.0843, -0.0815, -0.0975, -0.1052, -0.0947, -0.0992, -0.087, -0.0958, -0.1118, -0.1091, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.1356, -0.1367, -0.1455, -0.1455, -0.1383, -0.1345, -0.1234, -0.0804, -0.1212, -0.1074, -0.1273, -0.1256, -0.1444, -0.1383, -0.1659, -0.1736, -0.1736, -0.167, -0.1665, -0.1521, -0.1449, -0.1339, -0.1725, -0.1615, -0.1714, -0.1769, -0.1852, -0.1698, -0.1698, -0.1505, -0.1631, -0.1841, -0.1758, -0.1819, -0.1869, -0.194, -0.2133, -0.2122, -0.2238, -0.22, -0.2167, -0.2277, -0.2382, -0.2481, -0.2365, -0.229, -0.2172, -0.2301, -0.2362, -0.2446, -0.2525, -0.2541, -0.253, -0.2608, -0.2519, -0.2648, -0.2586, -0.1982, -0.234, -0.2312, -0.2407, -0.2256, -0.2374, -0.2603, -0.2597, -0.2485, -0.2614, -0.2782, -0.3045, -0.3095, -0.31, -0.2877, -0.2927, -0.2961, -0.2715, -0.2782, -0.2547, -0.2569, -0.2899, -0.2949, -0.2961, -0.2614, -0.2597, -0.2385, -0.2195, -0.2279, -0.1926, -0.2157, -0.2502, -0.2709, -0.2853, -0.2853, -0.2963, -0.2864, -0.2896, -0.2968]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1629903462912917504", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-02-26T17:57:22+00:00", "symbol": "gold stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold stocks are beginning to show up on my list of interesting sectors to buy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Looking to add gold stocks to US dollar account in the near future; sector showing up on buy list.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDX"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Gold mining stocks; GDX is VanEck Gold Miners ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is another stock that I’m looking at adding sometime in the near future in my US dollar account.  Gold stocks are beginning to show up on my list of interesting sectors to buy.  Years ago, I’d go to a fancy hotel to hear Eric Sprott speak about his interesting ideas. https://t.co/jdL8pwpl7c", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0077207415165905235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0077207415165905235, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004326440113635588, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004326440113635588, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033943014029549357, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033943014029549357, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01139701876744148, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01139701876744148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015092962738157079, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015092962738157079, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036959439707155983, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0036959439707155983, "ret_p1w": 0.03235288135937919, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03235288135937919, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01540665165475219, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01540665165475219, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016946229704627003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016946229704627003, "ret_p1m": 0.18786762409333302, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18786762409333302, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1894268730250056, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1894268730250056, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0015592489316725855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0015592489316725855, "ret_p3m": 0.11249998184124022, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11249998184124022, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06597970049113644, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06597970049113644, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.046520281350103776, "bench_c_p3m": 0.046520281350103776, "ret_p6m": 0.02757342312961142, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02757342312961142, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08236546275408618, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08236546275408618, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1099388858836976, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1099388858836976, "ret_p1y": -0.02804816574734914, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.02804816574734914, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3006392400964243, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3006392400964243, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27259107434907515, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27259107434907515, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.18786762409333302, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1894268730250056, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1894268730250056, "price_path": [0.0502, 0.086, 0.0817, 0.0426, 0.043, 0.0633, 0.0633, 0.051, 0.0463, 0.0766, 0.0712, 0.0238, 0.034, 0.0169, 0.0566, 0.0691, 0.0574, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0882, 0.0544, 0.0596, 0.0537, 0.0537, 0.0904, 0.1368, 0.1268, 0.1603, 0.1493, 0.1706, 0.1607, 0.1831, 0.2004, 0.2004, 0.1588, 0.1474, 0.1772, 0.1919, 0.1912, 0.2033, 0.2232, 0.2044, 0.1879, 0.1702, 0.1772, 0.2037, 0.1662, 0.1147, 0.1107, 0.1261, 0.1165, 0.0941, 0.089, 0.0875, 0.0897, 0.0585, 0.054, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0335, 0.0092, 0.004, -0.0077, 0.0, 0.0114, 0.0335, 0.0357, 0.0526, 0.0324, -0.0114, -0.0143, -0.0191, 0.0, 0.0699, 0.0783, 0.0783, 0.0721, 0.1243, 0.1437, 0.1029, 0.1235, 0.1511, 0.1599, 0.1588, 0.1879, 0.1779, 0.1956, 0.1893, 0.2162, 0.257, 0.2625, 0.2658, 0.2658, 0.2496, 0.2713, 0.2838, 0.3187, 0.2901, 0.261, 0.2702, 0.2529, 0.2522, 0.2357, 0.2393, 0.2415, 0.2254, 0.2445, 0.2346, 0.2283, 0.2772, 0.2816, 0.3121, 0.3015, 0.3, 0.296, 0.2868, 0.2324, 0.2353, 0.2467, 0.2136, 0.2033, 0.1721, 0.1824, 0.1717, 0.1636, 0.1368, 0.1125, 0.118, 0.118, 0.1103, 0.1364, 0.1768, 0.1548, 0.1603, 0.1629, 0.1415, 0.1596, 0.1426, 0.1485, 0.1357, 0.1349, 0.1397, 0.154, 0.154, 0.1081, 0.1051, 0.0974, 0.0952, 0.1055, 0.0901, 0.0743, 0.089, 0.107, 0.1283, 0.1283, 0.0967, 0.0687, 0.0827, 0.1044, 0.1118, 0.1699, 0.1835, 0.175, 0.1754, 0.1996, 0.1897, 0.154, 0.1577, 0.1504, 0.1684, 0.1636, 0.1158, 0.1294, 0.1548, 0.1114, 0.0765, 0.0765, 0.0868, 0.0783, 0.0691, 0.071, 0.0724, 0.0831, 0.0643, 0.0371, 0.0232, 0.0151, 0.0092, 0.0187, 0.0276]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1945511231793844597", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-16T15:49:58+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still holding $SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short S&P 500 via SPXU; daily sell signal triggers at 6,206.70 amid Fed-independence fears.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are now less then 20 points from triggering a confirmed “Daily Sell Signal”.  Trump is playing with fire if he believes he can easily fire Powell.  This threatens the integrity and independence of the FED.  Sell signal will be triggered at 6,206.70.  I’m still holding $SPXU. https://t.co/xACyLz5vIg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009761974417983987, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009761974417983987, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013094107899860319, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013094107899860319, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033321334818763315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033321334818763315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017693670477154533, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017693670477154533, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02381340721636549, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02381340721636549, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006119736739210957, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006119736739210957, "ret_p1w": -0.04392919102945625, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04392919102945625, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.059933317912116535, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.059933317912116535, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016004126882660286, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016004126882660286, "ret_p1m": -0.0860280424703933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0860280424703933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11923756471036995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11923756471036995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03320952223997664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03320952223997664, "ret_p3m": -0.152799832377558, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.152799832377558, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21793436683436884, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21793436683436884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06513453445681083, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06513453445681083, "ret_p6m": -0.25737741414952364, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25737741414952364, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37741063958849674, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37741063958849674, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1200332254389731, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1200332254389731, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04392919102945625, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.059933317912116535, "alpha_c_stated": -0.059933317912116535, "price_path": [0.6711, 0.7882, 0.6536, 0.5775, 0.4785, 0.4471, 0.4447, 0.4205, 0.4163, 0.3892, 0.3288, 0.3517, 0.3849, 0.3692, 0.3433, 0.3493, 0.2165, 0.1929, 0.1881, 0.1718, 0.1501, 0.1465, 0.1597, 0.2183, 0.2189, 0.2449, 0.2449, 0.1694, 0.1893, 0.176, 0.1821, 0.1622, 0.1422, 0.1446, 0.1616, 0.1271, 0.1253, 0.106, 0.1157, 0.1036, 0.1422, 0.109, 0.1386, 0.1404, 0.1404, 0.1507, 0.1157, 0.08, 0.0787, 0.0531, 0.0403, 0.025, 0.0268, 0.0134, -0.0098, -0.0098, 0.0128, 0.0159, -0.0018, -0.0104, 0.0012, -0.0037, 0.0098, 0.0, -0.0177, -0.0146, -0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0439, -0.0451, -0.0549, -0.0549, -0.047, -0.0427, -0.0305, 0.0171, -0.0281, -0.0128, -0.0348, -0.0329, -0.0537, -0.047, -0.0775, -0.086, -0.086, -0.0787, -0.0781, -0.0622, -0.0543, -0.0421, -0.0848, -0.0726, -0.0836, -0.0897, -0.0988, -0.0818, -0.0818, -0.0604, -0.0744, -0.0976, -0.0885, -0.0952, -0.1007, -0.1086, -0.13, -0.1287, -0.1415, -0.1373, -0.1336, -0.1458, -0.1574, -0.1684, -0.1556, -0.1472, -0.1342, -0.1485, -0.1553, -0.1645, -0.1732, -0.1751, -0.1738, -0.1825, -0.1726, -0.1868, -0.18, -0.1132, -0.1528, -0.1497, -0.1602, -0.1435, -0.1565, -0.1819, -0.1812, -0.1689, -0.1831, -0.2017, -0.2307, -0.2363, -0.2369, -0.2122, -0.2177, -0.2214, -0.1942, -0.2017, -0.1757, -0.1782, -0.2146, -0.2202, -0.2214, -0.1831, -0.1812, -0.1577, -0.1367, -0.146, -0.107, -0.1325, -0.1707, -0.1936, -0.2095, -0.2095, -0.2218, -0.2108, -0.2143, -0.2222, -0.2236, -0.2269, -0.2197, -0.2174, -0.2324, -0.2378, -0.2122, -0.2081, -0.2013, -0.1743, -0.1932, -0.2139, -0.2284, -0.2388, -0.246, -0.2451, -0.2367, -0.2336, -0.2161, -0.2194, -0.2348, -0.2482, -0.2407, -0.2397, -0.2541, -0.2574]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1873749566119645347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-30T15:14:43+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased SPXU near the open at $22.34. I will try again to hold this position for further gains entering into January.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) purchased at $22.34, holding into January for further gains on a daily sell signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased SPXU near the open at $22.34.  We definitely have so far a “Daily Sell signal”.  I will try again to hold this position for further gains entering into January.  I certainly wish I held my Fridays position vs selling it for a day-trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03456005045915944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03456005045915944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046103469888991944, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.046103469888991944, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011543419429832502, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011543419429832502, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01122112436034306, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01122112436034306, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014859154743295022, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014859154743295022, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036380303829519622, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0036380303829519622, "ret_p1w": -0.0013463508194780927, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0013463508194780927, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002043540593774762, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002043540593774762, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0006971897742966693, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0006971897742966693, "ret_p1m": -0.0623877024577576, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0623877024577576, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08549132199773057, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08549132199773057, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.023103619539972975, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023103619539972975, "ret_p3m": 0.17990463240968158, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17990463240968158, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23241623588072835, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23241623588072835, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.052511603471046775, "bench_c_p3m": -0.052511603471046775, "ret_p6m": -0.2084062882849529, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2084062882849529, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2548258715710576, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2548258715710576, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04641958328610474, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04641958328610474, "ret_p1y": -0.409068804086809, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.409068804086809, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5796892734350495, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5796892734350495, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1706204693482405, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1706204693482405, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0623877024577576, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08549132199773057, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08549132199773057, "price_path": [0.0936, 0.0997, 0.072, 0.1006, 0.0703, 0.0483, 0.054, 0.0378, 0.0119, 0.036, 0.0233, 0.0242, 0.0132, 0.0189, 0.0207, 0.0496, 0.0435, 0.0457, 0.0369, 0.0316, 0.0426, 0.105, 0.0922, 0.0997, 0.0602, -0.0184, -0.0413, -0.0523, -0.0544, -0.0452, -0.0457, -0.0268, 0.0114, 0.0005, -0.011, -0.0118, -0.0268, -0.0342, -0.0435, -0.0588, -0.0487, -0.0487, -0.065, -0.0703, -0.0707, -0.0874, -0.0826, -0.0869, -0.0716, -0.0628, -0.0843, -0.0698, -0.0672, -0.079, -0.0663, 0.0163, 0.0189, -0.0158, -0.0341, -0.0651, -0.0651, -0.0646, -0.0346, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0202, -0.0171, -0.0341, -0.0013, -0.0036, -0.0036, 0.0422, 0.0377, 0.035, -0.0211, -0.0157, -0.0431, -0.0431, -0.0691, -0.0839, -0.0987, -0.0893, -0.0512, -0.0745, -0.0624, -0.0763, -0.0606, -0.0417, -0.0606, -0.0714, -0.0812, -0.0543, -0.0727, -0.0745, -0.0655, -0.0947, -0.0929, -0.0929, -0.0992, -0.1059, -0.0947, -0.0471, -0.0332, -0.018, -0.0184, 0.0278, -0.018, 0.0328, 0.0709, 0.0373, 0.092, 0.0759, 0.1616, 0.1908, 0.1732, 0.2204, 0.1468, 0.1212, 0.1566, 0.1212, 0.1293, 0.1297, 0.0718, 0.0642, 0.1014, 0.1123, 0.1799, 0.1586, 0.1472, 0.1264, 0.2865, 0.5207, 0.5312, 0.6006, 0.1522, 0.2675, 0.2035, 0.1695, 0.1781, 0.258, 0.2561, 0.3442, 0.243, 0.1858, 0.1114, 0.0878, 0.086, 0.0678, 0.0646, 0.0442, -0.0012, 0.0161, 0.041, 0.0292, 0.0097, 0.0143, -0.0856, -0.1033, -0.1069, -0.1192, -0.1355, -0.1382, -0.1282, -0.0842, -0.0838, -0.0642, -0.0642, -0.121, -0.106, -0.116, -0.1114, -0.1264, -0.1414, -0.1396, -0.1269, -0.1527, -0.1541, -0.1686, -0.1614, -0.1704, -0.1414, -0.1664, -0.1441, -0.1428, -0.1428, -0.135, -0.1614, -0.1881, -0.1891, -0.2084]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1857072492461908269", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-14T14:45:59+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Purchased SPXU at $21.70. I have the rest of the day to hopefully see further losses in the market.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF), expecting further market losses intraday.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Purchased SPXU at $21.70.  I have the rest of the day to hopefully see further losses in the market.  SPX and HYG are trending lower in the first 15.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019404243051310388, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019404243051310388, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02587616963940209, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02587616963940209, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006471926588091703, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006471926588091703, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03926012810742696, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03926012810742696, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05206866395397436, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05206866395397436, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012808535846547398, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012808535846547398, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.000539379704941112, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.000539379704941112, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.000539379704941112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.000539379704941112, "ret_p1m": -0.04151616268305802, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04151616268305802, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05981906501407486, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05981906501407486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018302902331016835, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018302902331016835, "ret_p3m": -0.03981732665199533, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03981732665199533, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06011009708483328, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06011009708483328, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.020292770432837948, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020292770432837948, "ret_p6m": -0.07859885611139739, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07859885611139739, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07394127351717417, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07394127351717417, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00465758259422322, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00465758259422322, "ret_p1y": -0.3833759137947359, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3833759137947359, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5392160218302442, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5392160218302442, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1558401080355083, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1558401080355083, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03926012810742696, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05206866395397436, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05206866395397436, "price_path": [0.1756, 0.1818, 0.1698, 0.1995, 0.1628, 0.1716, 0.1676, 0.188, 0.1889, 0.1583, 0.1583, 0.2288, 0.2376, 0.2469, 0.3121, 0.2682, 0.2527, 0.2155, 0.1853, 0.1681, 0.1632, 0.1623, 0.1743, 0.1153, 0.1224, 0.1149, 0.1051, 0.1133, 0.1002, 0.1074, 0.0934, 0.1241, 0.1236, 0.13, 0.1015, 0.1309, 0.0997, 0.0772, 0.083, 0.0663, 0.0397, 0.0645, 0.0514, 0.0523, 0.0411, 0.0469, 0.0487, 0.0785, 0.0722, 0.0745, 0.0654, 0.06, 0.0713, 0.1354, 0.1223, 0.13, 0.0894, 0.0086, -0.0149, -0.0262, -0.0284, -0.019, -0.0194, 0.0, 0.0393, 0.028, 0.0162, 0.0153, 0.0, -0.0077, -0.0171, -0.0329, -0.0226, -0.0226, -0.0393, -0.0447, -0.0451, -0.0623, -0.0573, -0.0618, -0.046, -0.037, -0.0591, -0.0442, -0.0415, -0.0537, -0.0406, 0.0442, 0.0469, 0.0113, -0.0075, -0.0394, -0.0394, -0.0389, -0.008, 0.0275, 0.039, 0.0483, 0.01, -0.0075, 0.0261, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.0709, 0.0663, 0.0635, 0.0058, 0.0114, -0.0168, -0.0168, -0.0435, -0.0587, -0.0739, -0.0643, -0.0251, -0.049, -0.0366, -0.0509, -0.0347, -0.0154, -0.0347, -0.0458, -0.056, -0.0283, -0.0472, -0.049, -0.0398, -0.0698, -0.0679, -0.0679, -0.0744, -0.0813, -0.0698, -0.0209, -0.0066, 0.0091, 0.0086, 0.0561, 0.0091, 0.0612, 0.1004, 0.0658, 0.1221, 0.1055, 0.1935, 0.2235, 0.2055, 0.254, 0.1783, 0.152, 0.1885, 0.152, 0.1603, 0.1608, 0.1013, 0.0935, 0.1317, 0.1429, 0.2124, 0.1905, 0.1788, 0.1573, 0.3219, 0.5626, 0.5733, 0.6446, 0.1839, 0.3024, 0.2366, 0.2016, 0.2105, 0.2926, 0.2907, 0.3812, 0.2772, 0.2184, 0.142, 0.1177, 0.1158, 0.0972, 0.0939, 0.0729, 0.0263, 0.044, 0.0697, 0.0576, 0.0375, 0.0422, -0.0604, -0.0786]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016280361492509067", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-27T22:41:13+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am still committed to shorting Silver", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "SPX to breach 7,000 this week; still short silver despite a 5.46% hit today.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity; SLV is iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was up 0.41% to close at 6,978.60.  My family accounts were down -0.70% and  $SPXU was down -1.23%.  $SPX could see a new high this week and finally breach 7,000.  I am still committed to shorting Silver.  I took a -5.46% hit today but allocation is 10% of portfolio. https://t.co/ClXRxe9Lin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03797350562664248, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03797350562664248, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03807418034134524, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03807418034134524, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0002840793535070496, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0002840793535070496, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0017002978013267445, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017002978013267445, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "ret_p1w": -0.25018938021500015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.25018938021500015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2369169058202153, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2369169058202153, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "ret_p1m": -0.23816289667885082, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23816289667885082, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22936246193349208, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22936246193349208, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "ret_p3m": -0.352935579371244, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.352935579371244, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3841442997603267, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3841442997603267, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.25018938021500015, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2369169058202153, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2369169058202153, "price_path": [-0.5906, -0.5801, -0.5832, -0.5856, -0.5953, -0.5866, -0.5876, -0.5841, -0.5664, -0.5601, -0.5424, -0.5509, -0.5648, -0.5694, -0.5634, -0.5601, -0.5665, -0.571, -0.5584, -0.558, -0.5417, -0.5417, -0.5151, -0.5027, -0.4969, -0.4974, -0.5098, -0.4986, -0.5009, -0.4776, -0.469, -0.4544, -0.4688, -0.4497, -0.4533, -0.4294, -0.4383, -0.423, -0.4084, -0.386, -0.3824, -0.3265, -0.3749, -0.3468, -0.39, -0.3774, -0.3458, -0.302, -0.328, -0.3399, -0.3146, -0.2687, -0.2557, -0.1992, -0.211, -0.2328, -0.2328, -0.1914, -0.2049, -0.1749, -0.1202, -0.0688, -0.038, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.2856, -0.314, -0.2712, -0.2502, -0.3685, -0.3353, -0.2799, -0.3048, -0.275, -0.3586, -0.3398, -0.3398, -0.3715, -0.3363, -0.3276, -0.2744, -0.237, -0.2511, -0.242, -0.2382, -0.1952, -0.2276, -0.2928, -0.2866, -0.2967, -0.2809, -0.2589, -0.2416, -0.2622, -0.2758, -0.3116, -0.3066, -0.3214, -0.3494, -0.378, -0.4174, -0.4084, -0.4039, -0.3825, -0.4245, -0.3992, -0.3985, -0.3547, -0.3547, -0.377, -0.377, -0.3741, -0.3756, -0.3611, -0.3524, -0.3458, -0.3534, -0.3178, -0.3197, -0.3254, -0.3027, -0.3168, -0.3514, -0.3336, -0.3525, -0.3486, -0.3529, -0.3731, -0.386, -0.3687, -0.3533, -0.3756, -0.3759, -0.3359, -0.322, -0.3086, -0.2614, -0.2562, -0.2486, -0.2849, -0.3462, -0.3377, -0.3665, -0.3491, -0.3423, -0.3527, -0.3527, -0.3398, -0.3608, -0.3527, -0.3529, -0.3592, -0.3562, -0.373, -0.3657, -0.417, -0.4169, -0.4412, -0.454, -0.4241, -0.4196, -0.399, -0.3997, -0.426, -0.4365, -0.4365, -0.4421, -0.4723, -0.5097, -0.5042, -0.5042, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1857963505498169664", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-17T01:46:33+00:00", "symbol": "copper", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Model is forecasting a price of $330.00 by early June of 2025", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Model targets copper at $330 by early June 2025, implying further downside from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["CPER"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Copper commodity; CPER is US Copper Index Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Dr. Copper was down a massive -5.55% for the week.  Same kind of selling we saw in June and July.  Model is forecasting a price of $330.00 by early June of 2025. https://t.co/f46csJKmKg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015005748098614102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015005748098614102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010925058663216247, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010925058663216247, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004080689435397855, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004080689435397855, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0061562081116257605, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0061562081116257605, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0025007339076810187, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0025007339076810187, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003655474203944742, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003655474203944742, "ret_p1w": -0.0019237875144619832, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0019237875144619832, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017871953407074592, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017871953407074592, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01594816589261261, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01594816589261261, "ret_p1m": -0.0038476484167134783, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0038476484167134783, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.031289440264167134, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.031289440264167134, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027441791847453656, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027441791847453656, "ret_p3m": 0.12620241306390723, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12620241306390723, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0860733213204643, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0860733213204643, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.040129091743442924, "bench_c_p3m": 0.040129091743442924, "ret_p6m": 0.12620241306390723, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12620241306390723, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11586592325323974, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11586592325323974, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.010336489810667482, "bench_c_p6m": 0.010336489810667482, "ret_p1y": 0.18006927073452728, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18006927073452728, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.025385607037730518, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.025385607037730518, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.15468366369679676, "bench_c_p1y": 0.15468366369679676, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0038476484167134783, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.031289440264167134, "alpha_c_stated": 0.031289440264167134, "price_path": [0.015, -0.0012, 0.0189, 0.0239, 0.0319, 0.0112, 0.0088, 0.0123, 0.0123, -0.02, -0.0208, -0.0069, -0.0223, -0.0058, -0.0135, 0.0012, 0.0127, 0.0158, 0.0254, 0.0312, 0.0254, 0.0458, 0.0431, 0.0469, 0.0889, 0.0796, 0.115, 0.102, 0.0908, 0.1004, 0.1212, 0.0943, 0.1, 0.0973, 0.0773, 0.0635, 0.0716, 0.0839, 0.0643, 0.0492, 0.0546, 0.0466, 0.0612, 0.0546, 0.0608, 0.0473, 0.0539, 0.0554, 0.0562, 0.0566, 0.0527, 0.0527, 0.0523, 0.0704, 0.0777, 0.0265, 0.0712, 0.0431, 0.0265, 0.0027, -0.0135, -0.01, -0.015, 0.0, 0.0062, 0.0019, -0.0035, -0.0123, -0.0019, -0.0115, -0.0077, -0.0077, -0.0073, -0.0046, 0.0081, 0.0073, 0.0077, 0.0062, 0.0231, 0.0235, 0.0231, 0.0165, 0.005, 0.0058, -0.0038, -0.0139, -0.0181, -0.0142, -0.0154, -0.0127, -0.0127, -0.0038, -0.0077, -0.0139, -0.0319, -0.0258, -0.0169, 0.0004, 0.0085, 0.0289, 0.0289, 0.0346, 0.0419, 0.0481, 0.0619, 0.0677, 0.0485, 0.0485, 0.0477, 0.0389, 0.0439, 0.0446, 0.0246, 0.0269, 0.035, 0.0454, 0.0331, 0.045, 0.0573, 0.0746, 0.0808, 0.112, 0.1351, 0.1112, 0.1381, 0.1604, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.1097, 0.1085, 0.1185, 0.1004, 0.0927, 0.0912, 0.1004, 0.1039, 0.092, 0.0993, 0.0962, 0.1574, 0.1504, 0.1343, 0.1189, 0.1504, 0.1628, 0.1843, 0.172, 0.1958, 0.2051, 0.2312, 0.2309, 0.2274, 0.2251, 0.2574, 0.2601, 0.2297, 0.2293, 0.2159, 0.2128, 0.2132, 0.157, 0.0589, 0.0265, -0.0104, 0.0673, 0.0577, 0.097, 0.1312, 0.1162, 0.1281, 0.1339, 0.1462, 0.1689, 0.1685, 0.1778, 0.1689, 0.1712, 0.1612, 0.0981, 0.1089, 0.1197, 0.125, 0.1412, 0.1058, 0.0997, 0.1135, 0.1127, 0.1316, 0.1158, 0.1262]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1604166198236950530", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-12-17T17:26:40+00:00", "symbol": "energy", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm thinking energy, materials and tech for a bounce", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Planning to buy energy, materials, and tech sectors over next 3–4 months for a bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US energy sector; XLE is Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dc10023 @leadlagreport De-risking should have happened a year ago.  We shouldn’t be talking about now.  I’m still very bearish but I’m already preparing a plan of action of what to buy in the next 3 to 4 months.  I’m thinking energy, materials and tech for a bounce.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@RonCyr9 @leadlagreport Potato Pata to. If the purpose is to understand if this is a good time to take money off the table and de-risk, the primary suggestion here is it is prudent to de-risk. How long that last might indicate be more important to funds on how aggressive to leverage a short.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dc10023", "ret_m1d": 0.00011977009474040123, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00011977009474040123, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008432346467814211, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008432346467814211, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008552116562554612, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008552116562554612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015091749737515814, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015091749737515814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013723548823035836, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013723548823035836, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0013682009144799778, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013682009144799778, "ret_p1w": 0.04275956450855234, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04275956450855234, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035154883616997035, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035154883616997035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007604680891555304, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007604680891555304, "ret_p1m": 0.07965018928904666, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07965018928904666, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03294205582970222, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03294205582970222, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046708133459344436, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046708133459344436, "ret_p3m": -0.06336094368990541, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06336094368990541, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10570059328904047, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10570059328904047, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042339649599135054, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042339649599135054, "ret_p6m": -0.020545698392445355, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.020545698392445355, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17397585476342325, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17397585476342325, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1534301563709779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1534301563709779, "ret_p1y": 0.007425848416794167, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.007425848416794167, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.202530129124588, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.202530129124588, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20995597754138218, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20995597754138218, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07965018928904666, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03294205582970222, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03294205582970222, "price_path": [-0.0993, -0.1025, -0.1644, -0.1849, -0.1758, -0.1393, -0.1393, -0.1462, -0.0979, -0.0592, -0.0397, -0.0226, -0.0302, -0.0501, -0.0577, -0.0501, -0.0114, -0.0483, -0.0364, -0.028, 0.0007, 0.0017, 0.0306, 0.0354, 0.0365, 0.0506, 0.0544, 0.0581, 0.067, 0.0773, 0.0513, 0.0708, 0.0838, 0.1024, 0.1035, 0.0496, 0.0729, 0.1041, 0.1037, 0.1154, 0.0926, 0.095, 0.0863, 0.0716, 0.1052, 0.0932, 0.0932, 0.0892, 0.0593, 0.0753, 0.0806, 0.0771, 0.0707, 0.0389, 0.0115, 0.0091, 0.0046, -0.0198, 0.0059, 0.025, 0.0187, 0.0126, 0.0001, 0.0, 0.0151, 0.0344, 0.0105, 0.0428, 0.0428, 0.0539, 0.0303, 0.0411, 0.0477, 0.0477, 0.0109, 0.0108, 0.0292, 0.0487, 0.045, 0.0525, 0.0557, 0.0758, 0.0774, 0.0774, 0.0797, 0.0599, 0.0731, 0.0837, 0.0852, 0.081, 0.0811, 0.1152, 0.0927, 0.0677, 0.0771, 0.0559, 0.0319, 0.0296, 0.0249, 0.0582, 0.0487, 0.0398, 0.0805, 0.0777, 0.0781, 0.0598, 0.0493, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0069, 0.0002, 0.0153, 0.014, 0.017, 0.0024, 0.0222, 0.0311, 0.0452, 0.0456, 0.0274, 0.0169, 0.0025, -0.0103, -0.0304, -0.0208, -0.0734, -0.0634, -0.0781, -0.0596, -0.0271, -0.0478, -0.061, -0.0573, -0.0372, -0.0224, -0.0088, -0.0044, 0.0024, 0.0478, 0.0288, 0.0443, 0.0285, 0.0285, 0.0367, 0.0465, 0.0472, 0.0538, 0.0557, 0.0432, 0.0473, 0.0437, 0.0345, 0.0285, 0.0442, 0.0246, 0.0109, 0.0146, 0.0303, 0.0187, -0.0256, -0.044, -0.0547, -0.029, -0.029, -0.0287, -0.0397, -0.0512, -0.0497, -0.0449, -0.0684, -0.0504, -0.0435, -0.0362, -0.0402, -0.0299, -0.0256, -0.0429, -0.0467, -0.0467, -0.0565, -0.0731, -0.0616, -0.033, -0.0394, -0.0317, -0.006, -0.0103, -0.0157, -0.0251, -0.0205]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1604166198236950530", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2022-12-17T17:26:40+00:00", "symbol": "materials", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm thinking energy, materials and tech for a bounce", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Planning to buy energy, materials, and tech sectors over next 3–4 months for a bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLB"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US materials sector; XLB is Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dc10023 @leadlagreport De-risking should have happened a year ago.  We shouldn’t be talking about now.  I’m still very bearish but I’m already preparing a plan of action of what to buy in the next 3 to 4 months.  I’m thinking energy, materials and tech for a bounce.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@RonCyr9 @leadlagreport Potato Pata to. If the purpose is to understand if this is a good time to take money off the table and de-risk, the primary suggestion here is it is prudent to de-risk. How long that last might indicate be more important to funds on how aggressive to leverage a short.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dc10023", "ret_m1d": 0.013166000963291458, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013166000963291458, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004613884400736845, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004613884400736845, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008552116562554612, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008552116562554612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006576426369363952, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006576426369363952, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005208225454883975, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005208225454883975, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0013682009144799778, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013682009144799778, "ret_p1w": 0.012508063806125014, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012508063806125014, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004903382914569709, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004903382914569709, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007604680891555304, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007604680891555304, "ret_p1m": 0.0696325765460708, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0696325765460708, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.022924443086726365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.022924443086726365, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046708133459344436, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046708133459344436, "ret_p3m": -0.010960675553674415, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.010960675553674415, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05330032515280947, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05330032515280947, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042339649599135054, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042339649599135054, "ret_p6m": 0.05162077112338537, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05162077112338537, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10180938524759253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10180938524759253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1534301563709779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1534301563709779, "ret_p1y": 0.06030354306785113, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.06030354306785113, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.14965243447353105, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.14965243447353105, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20995597754138218, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20995597754138218, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0696325765460708, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.022924443086726365, "alpha_c_stated": 0.022924443086726365, "price_path": [-0.0941, -0.105, -0.1233, -0.1375, -0.1356, -0.1133, -0.1264, -0.1287, -0.1003, -0.0673, -0.0778, -0.0875, -0.1101, -0.1082, -0.1151, -0.1217, -0.096, -0.1265, -0.1047, -0.0872, -0.0979, -0.1044, -0.0734, -0.0788, -0.056, -0.0494, -0.0518, -0.0423, -0.0509, -0.0485, -0.0732, -0.0661, -0.0337, -0.0262, -0.0094, -0.0254, 0.0285, 0.041, 0.0396, 0.038, 0.0279, 0.018, 0.0248, 0.0283, 0.0516, 0.0557, 0.0557, 0.0553, 0.0317, 0.0352, 0.0602, 0.0615, 0.0731, 0.0519, 0.0425, 0.0402, 0.0479, 0.0375, 0.0465, 0.061, 0.0496, 0.0175, 0.0132, 0.0, 0.0066, 0.0153, 0.0055, 0.0125, 0.0125, 0.0134, -0.0021, 0.0088, 0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0006, 0.0181, 0.0019, 0.0364, 0.0429, 0.0534, 0.0699, 0.0739, 0.0805, 0.0805, 0.0696, 0.0545, 0.0464, 0.0674, 0.0709, 0.0716, 0.0738, 0.0789, 0.0754, 0.0681, 0.0916, 0.0988, 0.0953, 0.0756, 0.0637, 0.078, 0.0694, 0.0539, 0.0578, 0.0633, 0.0658, 0.0704, 0.0583, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.0311, 0.0388, 0.04, 0.0469, 0.0504, 0.0552, 0.0634, 0.0756, 0.0909, 0.0732, 0.0521, 0.0573, 0.03, 0.0081, -0.0022, 0.0106, -0.0222, -0.011, -0.0263, -0.0063, 0.0058, -0.0121, -0.0133, -0.0052, 0.0021, 0.0069, 0.0209, 0.0279, 0.0446, 0.0512, 0.0361, 0.0337, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.0362, 0.0442, 0.045, 0.0558, 0.0481, 0.0542, 0.0586, 0.0556, 0.0545, 0.0451, 0.0523, 0.0295, 0.0173, 0.0312, 0.0432, 0.0427, 0.0326, 0.0212, 0.0146, 0.0317, 0.0283, 0.019, 0.0196, 0.0097, 0.0115, 0.02, 0.0032, 0.0098, 0.0157, 0.0183, 0.013, -0.0026, -0.014, -0.0175, -0.0126, -0.0126, -0.0179, -0.0284, -0.0155, 0.0176, 0.0168, 0.0233, 0.0354, 0.0317, 0.0231, 0.0278, 0.0516]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1604166198236950530", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2022-12-17T17:26:40+00:00", "symbol": "technology", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm thinking energy, materials and tech for a bounce", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Planning to buy energy, materials, and tech sectors over next 3–4 months for a bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLK"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US technology sector; XLK is Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dc10023 @leadlagreport De-risking should have happened a year ago.  We shouldn’t be talking about now.  I’m still very bearish but I’m already preparing a plan of action of what to buy in the next 3 to 4 months.  I’m thinking energy, materials and tech for a bounce.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@RonCyr9 @leadlagreport Potato Pata to. If the purpose is to understand if this is a good time to take money off the table and de-risk, the primary suggestion here is it is prudent to de-risk. How long that last might indicate be more important to funds on how aggressive to leverage a short.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dc10023", "ret_m1d": 0.013514604876309955, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013514604876309955, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004962488313755342, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004962488313755342, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008552116562554612, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008552116562554612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015148267193771936, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015148267193771936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00014662580489721577, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00014662580489721577, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0013682009144799778, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013682009144799778, "ret_p1w": -0.006538014305138895, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006538014305138895, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0141426951966942, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0141426951966942, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007604680891555304, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007604680891555304, "ret_p1m": 0.04512848826412785, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04512848826412785, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0015796451952165835, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0015796451952165835, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046708133459344436, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046708133459344436, "ret_p3m": 0.14543134144016023, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14543134144016023, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10309169184102518, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10309169184102518, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042339649599135054, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042339649599135054, "ret_p6m": 0.36363194490315554, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36363194490315554, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21020178853217764, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21020178853217764, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1534301563709779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1534301563709779, "ret_p1y": 0.4673878228097048, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4673878228097048, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.25743184526832263, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.25743184526832263, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20995597754138218, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20995597754138218, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04512848826412785, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0015796451952165835, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0015796451952165835, "price_path": [0.0071, -0.0032, -0.0162, -0.0231, -0.0218, -0.0114, -0.0372, -0.0557, -0.0264, 0.0063, 0.0096, 0.0014, -0.0398, -0.056, -0.0704, -0.0733, -0.0445, -0.0714, -0.0431, -0.035, -0.0378, -0.0372, -0.0114, 0.0022, 0.0214, -0.0014, -0.0127, 0.0302, 0.0166, 0.0081, -0.0267, -0.0553, -0.0381, -0.022, -0.0126, -0.0383, 0.0407, 0.0585, 0.0495, 0.0622, 0.0476, 0.049, 0.0502, 0.0389, 0.059, 0.0684, 0.0684, 0.0622, 0.0394, 0.0293, 0.0809, 0.0824, 0.0762, 0.0583, 0.0356, 0.0304, 0.0472, 0.0408, 0.0635, 0.0761, 0.067, 0.0271, 0.0135, 0.0, 0.0015, 0.0181, -0.0076, -0.0065, -0.0065, -0.0159, -0.0318, -0.0065, -0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0172, -0.0147, -0.0338, -0.0055, 0.0061, 0.0123, 0.0298, 0.0375, 0.0404, 0.0404, 0.0451, 0.0317, 0.0196, 0.0472, 0.071, 0.0706, 0.0683, 0.0854, 0.0899, 0.0691, 0.084, 0.1096, 0.1399, 0.1304, 0.1166, 0.1445, 0.1307, 0.1245, 0.1193, 0.1387, 0.1435, 0.1489, 0.1289, 0.1148, 0.1148, 0.0883, 0.0867, 0.1048, 0.0851, 0.0909, 0.0885, 0.0805, 0.0938, 0.1174, 0.1227, 0.1088, 0.1179, 0.1019, 0.0825, 0.0884, 0.1135, 0.1142, 0.1454, 0.1438, 0.1469, 0.1562, 0.1447, 0.1633, 0.1663, 0.1573, 0.1519, 0.176, 0.1897, 0.2067, 0.2048, 0.1981, 0.1845, 0.1912, 0.1912, 0.1906, 0.1794, 0.1727, 0.1945, 0.1878, 0.1921, 0.1958, 0.1924, 0.1846, 0.1807, 0.1755, 0.1504, 0.1675, 0.1923, 0.2053, 0.206, 0.1947, 0.1846, 0.179, 0.2085, 0.2079, 0.1986, 0.2132, 0.2078, 0.2062, 0.2162, 0.2175, 0.2337, 0.259, 0.2584, 0.2608, 0.2422, 0.2331, 0.2804, 0.3167, 0.3167, 0.3238, 0.3127, 0.3261, 0.3337, 0.326, 0.3257, 0.3059, 0.32, 0.3266, 0.3554, 0.3636]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1900387881744539778", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-14T03:25:53+00:00", "symbol": "HYG", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Another confirmation signal of a pending bear market is a drop to $77.88. A drop of -0.82% is all that is needed for me to say we are officially going to 4,700 $SPX", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "HYG drop to $77.88 would confirm bear market; targets SPX 4,700 on the downside.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$HYG needs to be reviewed. Another confirmation signal of a pending bear market is a drop to $77.88.  A drop of -0.82% is all that is needed for me to say we are officially going to 4,700 $SPX. Review the chart and observe the signals & correlate that to SPX.  It gave you a sign. https://t.co/4I5dzq7NSu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004563847495800966, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004563847495800966, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01567380862817691, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01567380862817691, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020237656123977876, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020237656123977876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002409113622920289, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002409113622920289, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0053023343216349605, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0053023343216349605, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00771144794455525, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00771144794455525, "ret_p1w": 0.004310404496068454, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004310404496068454, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00078276249327347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00078276249327347, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005093166989341924, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005093166989341924, "ret_p1m": -0.017555013003655473, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017555013003655473, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0216555560403372, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0216555560403372, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03921056904399267, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03921056904399267, "ret_p3m": 0.02407708497459793, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02407708497459793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.051892220570417535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.051892220570417535, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07596930554501546, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07596930554501546, "ret_p6m": 0.054434039924089905, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.054434039924089905, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10797383435430263, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10797383435430263, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16240787427839254, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16240787427839254, "ret_p1y": 0.07079594528670441, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07079594528670441, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13791734781957365, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13791734781957365, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20871329310627806, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20871329310627806, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017555013003655473, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0216555560403372, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0216555560403372, "price_path": [-0.0058, -0.0079, -0.0181, -0.0191, -0.0129, -0.0156, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0099, -0.0133, -0.0119, -0.0121, -0.0097, -0.0082, -0.0064, -0.0097, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0136, -0.0138, -0.0126, -0.0039, -0.0028, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0008, -0.0006, 0.0006, 0.0018, 0.0025, 0.0021, 0.0015, 0.0034, 0.0014, 0.0001, 0.0033, 0.0059, 0.0044, 0.0013, 0.0033, 0.0029, 0.0008, 0.0053, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0056, 0.0063, 0.0069, 0.005, 0.0063, 0.0088, 0.0102, 0.0083, 0.0111, 0.009, 0.0089, 0.0094, 0.0056, 0.0072, 0.0034, -0.0001, 0.001, -0.0046, 0.0, 0.0024, 0.0006, 0.0072, 0.0058, 0.0043, 0.0072, 0.0067, 0.0027, 0.0008, -0.001, 0.0001, 0.0024, 0.0045, -0.008, -0.0221, -0.0305, -0.035, -0.0091, -0.0253, -0.0224, -0.0176, -0.0149, -0.015, -0.0093, -0.0151, -0.0113, -0.0063, 0.0026, 0.0035, 0.004, 0.0066, 0.0013, 0.0026, 0.0057, 0.0053, 0.0045, 0.0054, 0.0052, 0.0058, 0.0158, 0.0176, 0.0139, 0.0158, 0.0169, 0.0164, 0.0159, 0.0091, 0.0112, 0.0109, 0.0109, 0.0171, 0.0164, 0.018, 0.0189, 0.0187, 0.0206, 0.0225, 0.0203, 0.0202, 0.0207, 0.0232, 0.0229, 0.0241, 0.021, 0.023, 0.0219, 0.0234, 0.0234, 0.0267, 0.0286, 0.0314, 0.0312, 0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0376, 0.0363, 0.0382, 0.0389, 0.0389, 0.0354, 0.034, 0.0368, 0.0358, 0.0345, 0.0352, 0.0321, 0.0349, 0.0359, 0.0373, 0.0387, 0.0405, 0.0411, 0.0398, 0.0404, 0.0399, 0.0405, 0.0383, 0.039, 0.039, 0.0426, 0.042, 0.0431, 0.042, 0.0422, 0.0422, 0.0445, 0.0472, 0.0445, 0.0453, 0.0445, 0.0442, 0.0439, 0.0419, 0.0503, 0.0483, 0.0506, 0.0519, 0.0524, 0.0505, 0.0505, 0.0493, 0.0522, 0.0551, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.0544]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1894411121081421881", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-25T15:36:22+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I believe tomorrow that earnings from NVDA will be supportive for the markets based on research from a reliable source", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects NVDA earnings to be supportive for markets; bullish read into the print.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have just sold $SPXU at $22.27.  That is a gain of +3.39% in one hour of trading.  I believe tomorrow that earnings from NVDA will be supportive for the markets based on research from a reliable source.  It’s close to month end and I’ve had a tremendous month. 100% in cash. https://t.co/IixTdQFlxG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028824295865284677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028824295865284677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023826256761442455, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00712440768938194, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004998039103842222, "bench_c_m1d": 0.021699888175902737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0367212871813456, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0367212871813456, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03621638514989067, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013342431431090374, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005049020314549235, "bench_c_p1d": 0.023378855750255223, "ret_p1w": -0.08402419034358155, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08402419034358155, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.054776750321199996, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02937570386211652, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.029247440022381554, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05464848648146503, "ret_p1m": -0.1015519679302842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1015519679302842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06126594662306328, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03338828715846531, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04028602130722092, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06816368077181889, "ret_p3m": 0.03689542695439907, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03689542695439907, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05942483882971994, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.040295185317725024, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02252941187532087, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0033997583633259554, "ret_p6m": 0.3820441981949563, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3820441981949563, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3061381899965925, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17549649448217264, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0759060081983638, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20654770371278364, "ret_p1y": 0.46111198201110803, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.46111198201110803, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.29850291826223807, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.25464049085873164, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16260906374886996, "bench_c_p1y": 0.7157524728698397, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08402419034358155, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.054776750321199996, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02937570386211652, "price_path": [0.0687, 0.0687, 0.0917, 0.0947, 0.1076, 0.1461, 0.1455, 0.1249, 0.0962, 0.0667, 0.1001, 0.0846, 0.0602, 0.0424, 0.0297, 0.018, 0.032, 0.0637, 0.103, 0.1073, 0.1073, 0.105, 0.082, 0.0858, 0.0605, 0.0922, 0.1409, 0.1801, 0.1067, 0.1065, 0.1065, 0.0733, 0.0521, 0.0405, 0.0759, 0.0548, 0.0875, 0.0875, 0.1121, 0.1614, 0.1626, 0.1263, -0.0648, 0.0186, -0.0231, -0.0156, -0.0518, -0.0787, -0.063, -0.0142, 0.0162, 0.0253, 0.0548, 0.0487, 0.0356, 0.0684, 0.0965, 0.0965, 0.1008, 0.0995, 0.1065, 0.0616, 0.0288, 0.0, 0.0367, -0.0512, -0.0135, -0.0993, -0.084, -0.0737, -0.1268, -0.1101, -0.1552, -0.1411, -0.0859, -0.0872, -0.0391, -0.056, -0.0884, -0.0719, -0.0639, -0.0704, -0.0411, -0.0468, -0.1016, -0.12, -0.1339, -0.144, -0.1301, -0.1279, -0.196, -0.2552, -0.2289, -0.2394, -0.0971, -0.1504, -0.1239, -0.1256, -0.1139, -0.1748, -0.1985, -0.2346, -0.219, -0.1888, -0.1594, -0.1233, -0.1413, -0.139, -0.1398, -0.1185, -0.0957, -0.1011, -0.1033, -0.0755, -0.073, -0.0787, -0.0286, 0.0262, 0.0689, 0.0649, 0.0694, 0.0707, 0.0613, 0.0409, 0.0491, 0.0369, 0.0369, 0.0701, 0.0647, 0.0993, 0.0672, 0.085, 0.1153, 0.1208, 0.1056, 0.1193, 0.1265, 0.137, 0.1281, 0.1453, 0.1213, 0.1428, 0.1383, 0.149, 0.149, 0.1362, 0.1387, 0.1682, 0.2188, 0.2244, 0.246, 0.2479, 0.2108, 0.242, 0.2585, 0.2585, 0.2498, 0.2637, 0.2865, 0.2961, 0.3026, 0.2959, 0.3482, 0.3535, 0.3664, 0.3617, 0.3536, 0.3193, 0.3489, 0.3723, 0.3704, 0.396, 0.3862, 0.4159, 0.4049, 0.3721, 0.4217, 0.408, 0.4171, 0.4278, 0.443, 0.438, 0.4467, 0.4343, 0.4376, 0.4252, 0.4376, 0.3873, 0.3854, 0.382]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2016039847002309056", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T06:45:30+00:00", "symbol": "ZSL", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I plan to place a 10% position into ZSL. I plan to make that trade at the open. My price target is $3.40. This will be held for the next week.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Initiating 10% position in ZSL (2x inverse silver ETF) at open Tuesday, targeting $3.40 within a week as 7th week of panic buying zones ends.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZSL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I reviewed today my old April 2011 trading journal.  The whole week I was extremely excited to short silver.  I made a full trade on Friday April 29, 2011.  I had placed $125,000 into ZSL on that date.  It was an incredible week.  Closed out my trade 4 sessions later at $168,000. https://t.co/tr6X73Tq8n\n\n---\n\nGame plan for Tuesday.  I plan to place a 10% position into ZSL.  I plan to make that trade at the open.  My price target is $3.40.  This will be held for the next week.  Weekly Panic Buying Zones at this level usually last 7 weeks.  This is the 7th week.  So many burned. https://t.co/KHdb8Hoa6y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08771929628875696, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08771929628875696, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0916877393103106, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0916877393103106, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003968443021553636, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08187137666509581, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08187137666509581, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08177071208477094, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08177071208477094, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "ret_p1w": 0.30409349354317894, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.30409349354317894, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3126629519271533, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3126629519271533, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "ret_p1m": 0.06432750625325911, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06432750625325911, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06769196179286363, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06769196179286363, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "bench_c_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "ret_p3m": 0.25263155546508353, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25263155546508353, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2232999612204507, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2232999612204507, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06432750625325911, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06769196179286363, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06769196179286363, "price_path": [7.2632, 7.1988, 6.7485, 6.9123, 6.9649, 7.3509, 6.9825, 7.0234, 6.8713, 6.193, 6.0, 5.3918, 5.6257, 6.0292, 6.193, 6.0058, 5.9298, 6.1053, 6.2749, 5.848, 5.883, 5.3626, 5.3626, 4.5614, 4.269, 4.1287, 4.1813, 4.4327, 4.1696, 4.2456, 3.7544, 3.6082, 3.3158, 3.5673, 3.2749, 3.3158, 2.9123, 3.0526, 2.7953, 2.6433, 2.3567, 2.3275, 1.7193, 2.1404, 1.7544, 2.1228, 1.9766, 1.6257, 1.2865, 1.4561, 1.5322, 1.3275, 1.0058, 0.9357, 0.6491, 0.7076, 0.7953, 0.7953, 0.5906, 0.6433, 0.5146, 0.3158, 0.0877, 0.0, -0.0819, -0.076, 0.3801, 0.4971, 0.3041, 0.2281, 0.7076, 0.5322, 0.2865, 0.3801, 0.2573, 0.5614, 0.4678, 0.4678, 0.6023, 0.4269, 0.386, 0.1813, 0.0585, 0.0994, 0.0643, 0.0509, -0.069, 0.0111, 0.1912, 0.1725, 0.2076, 0.1485, 0.0778, 0.0216, 0.0743, 0.1135, 0.2281, 0.2053, 0.262, 0.3678, 0.4708, 0.6713, 0.6216, 0.5947, 0.4772, 0.6813, 0.545, 0.5363, 0.3164, 0.3205, 0.4088, 0.4088, 0.3965, 0.3988, 0.3304, 0.2912, 0.2649, 0.2953, 0.1585, 0.162, 0.1842, 0.1006, 0.1433, 0.2649, 0.1994, 0.2667, 0.2526, 0.269, 0.3497, 0.4035, 0.3257, 0.2585, 0.3474, 0.348, 0.1819, 0.1275, 0.0842, -0.0632, -0.076, -0.1, -0.0129, 0.1585, 0.1275, 0.2333, 0.1673, 0.1439, 0.1778, 0.1778, 0.1363, 0.2105, 0.1789, 0.1789, 0.2018, 0.1918, 0.255, 0.2251, 0.438, 0.4351, 0.5538, 0.6275, 0.448, 0.4222, 0.3234, 0.3263, 0.4392, 0.4871, 0.4871, 0.5164, 0.6842, 0.9281, 0.886, 0.886, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1715598718047842447", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-21T05:19:43+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The tell is gold and oil. Xi is importing gold and oil.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Simultaneous US-China recession thesis: gold and oil rising as tells; US yields forced to 7%, inflation to 3.5%.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Gold commodity; GLD is SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When will we realize that we are entering a period of a simultaneous recession in China and the US.  The tell is gold and oil.  Xi is importing gold and oil.  Secondly, uniting enemies of Israel. Creating a second front for the US, forcing yields to 7% and inflation to 3.5%. https://t.co/XqRPcswpgK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0033885069303773996, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0033885069303773996, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0016523432934636428, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016523432934636428, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017361636369137567, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017361636369137567, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0001093308866343401, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0001093308866343401, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007648647380496754, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007648647380496754, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075393164938624135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075393164938624135, "ret_p1w": 0.011641279273115535, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011641279273115535, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023223861571408544, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023223861571408544, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01158258229829301, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01158258229829301, "ret_p1m": 0.013007623473433094, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.013007623473433094, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06502589756266763, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06502589756266763, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07803352103610073, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07803352103610073, "ret_p3m": 0.02404762456757581, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02404762456757581, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11380576517443419, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11380576517443419, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13785338974201, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13785338974201, "ret_p6m": 0.20905066264858285, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20905066264858285, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.002889976897729518, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.002889976897729518, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20616068575085333, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20616068575085333, "ret_p1y": 0.31742909462517344, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.31742909462517344, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.07377175539381664, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.07377175539381664, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3912008500189901, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3912008500189901, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.013007623473433094, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06502589756266763, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06502589756266763, "price_path": [0.0018, -0.0139, -0.0061, -0.0034, -0.0137, -0.0184, -0.0187, -0.0152, -0.0174, -0.0237, -0.0283, -0.0293, -0.0293, -0.0323, -0.0349, -0.0404, -0.0419, -0.0418, -0.0391, -0.0375, -0.0278, -0.028, -0.0292, -0.0265, -0.0169, -0.0145, -0.0161, -0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0237, -0.0281, -0.0271, -0.0267, -0.0249, -0.03, -0.0322, -0.0317, -0.0253, -0.0196, -0.0205, -0.0198, -0.0269, -0.0238, -0.0288, -0.0366, -0.0485, -0.0532, -0.063, -0.0728, -0.0755, -0.0756, -0.0773, -0.0725, -0.0555, -0.0571, -0.0502, -0.0531, -0.0226, -0.0274, -0.0256, -0.0115, 0.0007, 0.0034, 0.0, -0.0001, 0.0041, 0.0057, 0.0174, 0.0116, 0.0061, 0.003, 0.0063, 0.0099, 0.0021, -0.0021, -0.012, -0.0081, -0.0189, -0.0134, -0.0046, -0.0073, 0.0039, 0.0038, 0.0022, 0.013, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0139, 0.0208, 0.0344, 0.0359, 0.0316, 0.0494, 0.0267, 0.0228, 0.0266, 0.0283, 0.0146, 0.0034, 0.0028, 0.0255, 0.0315, 0.022, 0.0267, 0.0337, 0.028, 0.0353, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.0478, 0.0526, 0.0465, 0.0448, 0.0448, 0.0424, 0.0337, 0.0347, 0.0349, 0.0268, 0.0271, 0.0248, 0.0268, 0.0368, 0.0368, 0.027, 0.0157, 0.024, 0.0271, 0.0232, 0.0272, 0.0187, 0.0228, 0.0221, 0.0293, 0.0307, 0.03, 0.0407, 0.0308, 0.0251, 0.0305, 0.0302, 0.0293, 0.0253, 0.0226, 0.0085, 0.0079, 0.0147, 0.0184, 0.0184, 0.0246, 0.0246, 0.0251, 0.0309, 0.0286, 0.0275, 0.0293, 0.0347, 0.0542, 0.0713, 0.0777, 0.0866, 0.0927, 0.102, 0.104, 0.0919, 0.0996, 0.095, 0.0915, 0.0932, 0.092, 0.105, 0.1038, 0.095, 0.0985, 0.102, 0.11, 0.1243, 0.1243, 0.1358, 0.1526, 0.1627, 0.156, 0.1758, 0.1831, 0.1896, 0.1784, 0.2013, 0.1854, 0.2076, 0.2091]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1715598718047842447", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-10-21T05:19:43+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The tell is gold and oil. Xi is importing gold and oil.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Simultaneous US-China recession thesis: gold and oil rising as tells; US yields forced to 7%, inflation to 3.5%.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When will we realize that we are entering a period of a simultaneous recession in China and the US.  The tell is gold and oil.  Xi is importing gold and oil.  Secondly, uniting enemies of Israel. Creating a second front for the US, forcing yields to 7% and inflation to 3.5%. https://t.co/XqRPcswpgK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02294330805675293, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02294330805675293, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021207144419839175, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021207144419839175, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017361636369137567, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017361636369137567, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02484470908399883, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02484470908399883, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03238402557786124, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03238402557786124, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075393164938624135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075393164938624135, "ret_p1w": -0.035999446822955306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.035999446822955306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024416864524662296, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024416864524662296, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01158258229829301, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01158258229829301, "ret_p1m": -0.0806185911973285, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0806185911973285, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15865211223342923, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15865211223342923, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07803352103610073, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07803352103610073, "ret_p3m": -0.12460390299286184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12460390299286184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26245729273487184, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26245729273487184, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13785338974201, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13785338974201, "ret_p6m": 0.030929173029330848, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.030929173029330848, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1752315127215225, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1752315127215225, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.20616068575085333, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20616068575085333, "ret_p1y": -0.04614018782875107, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.04614018782875107, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.43734103784774114, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.43734103784774114, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3912008500189901, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3912008500189901, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0806185911973285, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15865211223342923, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15865211223342923, "price_path": [-0.1043, -0.0946, -0.0862, -0.0725, -0.0752, -0.0939, -0.0729, -0.0646, -0.0643, -0.0612, -0.048, -0.0594, -0.0588, -0.0644, -0.0795, -0.0953, -0.0876, -0.0773, -0.08, -0.0838, -0.0954, -0.0948, -0.0816, -0.0821, -0.0706, -0.0663, -0.0485, -0.025, -0.025, -0.0143, -0.0047, -0.0119, -0.0075, -0.0066, 0.0103, 0.01, 0.0283, 0.0304, 0.0325, 0.0331, 0.0158, 0.0193, 0.0221, 0.019, 0.0252, 0.0508, 0.034, 0.025, 0.0063, 0.0132, -0.0418, -0.0621, -0.06, -0.0223, -0.0276, -0.0408, -0.044, 0.0013, -0.0063, -0.0011, 0.012, 0.0354, 0.0229, 0.0, -0.0248, -0.0055, -0.0254, -0.0067, -0.036, -0.0491, -0.0525, -0.0344, -0.0512, -0.0504, -0.0899, -0.1103, -0.1095, -0.09, -0.0757, -0.0786, -0.0957, -0.1374, -0.1032, -0.0835, -0.0806, -0.0923, -0.0923, -0.1023, -0.1132, -0.0967, -0.0807, -0.1109, -0.1223, -0.1321, -0.1434, -0.1791, -0.1747, -0.1567, -0.1533, -0.1856, -0.1719, -0.1487, -0.1488, -0.1369, -0.1208, -0.128, -0.125, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.11, -0.1264, -0.1484, -0.1552, -0.1552, -0.1663, -0.1356, -0.1435, -0.125, -0.1583, -0.1458, -0.1563, -0.1425, -0.1378, -0.1378, -0.1475, -0.1388, -0.1246, -0.1276, -0.1166, -0.117, -0.1058, -0.0844, -0.0734, -0.0867, -0.0771, -0.101, -0.1245, -0.1443, -0.1358, -0.1278, -0.12, -0.0934, -0.0915, -0.0859, -0.0791, -0.093, -0.0767, -0.0695, -0.0695, -0.082, -0.0721, -0.0671, -0.0884, -0.0773, -0.0639, -0.0668, -0.0701, -0.0498, -0.0619, -0.069, -0.0577, -0.0591, -0.0701, -0.0668, -0.0702, -0.0482, -0.0328, -0.0325, -0.0115, -0.0058, -0.0208, -0.0262, -0.028, -0.0143, -0.0203, -0.0175, -0.002, -0.002, 0.0099, 0.0241, 0.0299, 0.0428, 0.0445, 0.042, 0.0286, 0.0406, 0.0337, 0.0335, 0.035, 0.0309]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1852753481905692676", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-11-02T16:43:47+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Purchased SPXU at $24.74 as a day trade on Thursday after covering after almost a month short. Upside potential is $32.00 and downside is $22", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Short SPX via long SPXU (entry $24.74, target $32.00) on confirmed daily sell signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Encouraging week.  Accounts up +5.312% for the week.  I have a confirmed daily sell signal on $SPX. Purchased SPXU at $24.74 as a day trade on Thursday after covering after almost a month short.  Upside potential is $32.00 and downside is $22.  Meaning +28.6% upside/-11.5% DS. https://t.co/ZMty0axb6p", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006789138516774096, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006789138516774096, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00894778994064549, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00894778994064549, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002158651423871394, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002158651423871394, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03594249802998051, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03594249802998051, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04803442223373522, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04803442223373522, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012091924203754711, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012091924203754711, "ret_p1w": -0.14017557490502308, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14017557490502308, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19098209854267711, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19098209854267711, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05080652363765403, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05080652363765403, "ret_p1m": -0.15495201891218757, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15495201891218757, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21479663142786198, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21479663142786198, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05984461251567441, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05984461251567441, "ret_p3m": -0.1457642026815703, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1457642026815703, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20549567374671007, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20549567374671007, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05973147106513976, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05973147106513976, "ret_p6m": -0.05045870023744026, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05045870023744026, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03681416924919945, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03681416924919945, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01364453098824081, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01364453098824081, "ret_p1y": -0.4542975974215888, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4542975974215888, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6573016723721701, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6573016723721701, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20300407495058126, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20300407495058126, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14017557490502308, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19098209854267711, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19098209854267711, "price_path": [0.309, 0.2188, 0.2051, 0.2031, 0.1439, 0.1341, 0.0765, 0.0706, 0.0404, 0.0459, 0.0353, 0.0616, 0.029, 0.0369, 0.0333, 0.0514, 0.0522, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0874, 0.0953, 0.1035, 0.1612, 0.1223, 0.1086, 0.0757, 0.049, 0.0337, 0.0294, 0.0286, 0.0392, -0.0129, -0.0067, -0.0133, -0.022, -0.0148, -0.0264, -0.02, -0.0323, -0.0052, -0.0056, 0.0, -0.0252, 0.0008, -0.0268, -0.0467, -0.0415, -0.0563, -0.0799, -0.0579, -0.0695, -0.0687, -0.0787, -0.0735, -0.0719, -0.0455, -0.0511, -0.0491, -0.0571, -0.0619, -0.0519, 0.0048, -0.0068, 0.0, -0.0359, -0.1074, -0.1282, -0.1382, -0.1402, -0.1318, -0.1322, -0.115, -0.0803, -0.0903, -0.1006, -0.1014, -0.115, -0.1218, -0.1302, -0.1442, -0.135, -0.135, -0.1498, -0.1546, -0.155, -0.1701, -0.1657, -0.1697, -0.1558, -0.1478, -0.1673, -0.1542, -0.1518, -0.1625, -0.151, -0.0759, -0.0735, -0.105, -0.1217, -0.1498, -0.1498, -0.1494, -0.1221, -0.0907, -0.0805, -0.0723, -0.1062, -0.1217, -0.0919, -0.0939, -0.0939, -0.0523, -0.0564, -0.0588, -0.1098, -0.105, -0.1298, -0.1298, -0.1535, -0.167, -0.1805, -0.1719, -0.1372, -0.1584, -0.1474, -0.16, -0.1458, -0.1286, -0.1458, -0.1556, -0.1645, -0.1401, -0.1568, -0.1584, -0.1503, -0.1768, -0.1752, -0.1752, -0.1809, -0.187, -0.1768, -0.1335, -0.1209, -0.107, -0.1074, -0.0654, -0.107, -0.0609, -0.0262, -0.0568, -0.007, -0.0217, 0.0563, 0.0828, 0.0669, 0.1097, 0.0428, 0.0195, 0.0518, 0.0195, 0.0269, 0.0273, -0.0254, -0.0323, 0.0015, 0.0114, 0.0729, 0.0535, 0.0432, 0.0242, 0.1699, 0.3828, 0.3923, 0.4555, 0.0478, 0.1526, 0.0944, 0.0634, 0.0713, 0.1439, 0.1423, 0.2223, 0.1303, 0.0783, 0.0106, -0.0108, -0.0125, -0.029, -0.0319, -0.0505]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023790195360096530", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-17T16:02:37+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I remain fully invested in $SPXU. Going to follow the downwards trend. Stay short.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Fully invested in SPXU (3x inverse S&P), targeting S&P 6,500 by early March; stay short.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Update for trading for Tuesday.  I remain fully invested in $SPXU.  No more day trades for now.  Going to follow the downwards trend.  We should get to my first target of 6,500 rather quickly.  Most likely by the first week of March.  Currently up 1.90% today.  Stay short. https://t.co/UCZsBhrL7D", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004809532025529695, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004809532025529695, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006420415910787125, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006420415910787125, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014428907373160493, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014428907373160493, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019466614923737247, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019466614923737247, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "ret_p1w": -0.018837722887372177, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018837722887372177, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025427726924690974, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025427726924690974, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "ret_p1m": 0.10340680632831689, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10340680632831689, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13477532618688404, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13477532618688404, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "ret_p3m": -0.21569147957159052, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21569147957159052, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30112565487712795, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30112565487712795, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10340680632831689, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13477532618688404, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13477532618688404, "price_path": [0.0972, 0.0855, 0.135, 0.1025, 0.054, 0.0249, 0.0047, 0.0047, -0.0108, 0.0031, -0.0014, -0.0114, -0.0132, -0.0173, -0.0083, -0.0053, -0.0244, -0.0313, 0.0014, 0.0065, 0.0151, 0.0495, 0.0255, -0.0008, -0.0193, -0.0324, -0.0417, -0.0405, -0.0299, -0.0259, -0.0036, -0.0078, -0.0275, -0.0445, -0.0349, -0.0337, -0.0519, -0.0561, -0.0503, -0.0361, -0.0437, -0.0395, -0.0395, 0.0194, -0.0158, -0.0309, -0.0305, -0.0453, -0.0563, -0.0557, -0.0491, -0.0395, -0.0543, -0.0295, -0.0152, 0.0226, -0.0359, -0.0485, -0.0405, -0.0401, 0.005, 0.0048, 0.0048, 0.0, -0.0144, -0.0072, -0.0269, 0.003, -0.0188, -0.0429, -0.0265, -0.0122, -0.0124, 0.0144, -0.0072, 0.0092, 0.0505, 0.0232, 0.0291, 0.0333, 0.0806, 0.1002, 0.0673, 0.0591, 0.1034, 0.1132, 0.1629, 0.1257, 0.1369, 0.119, 0.1792, 0.2406, 0.2535, 0.1461, 0.1196, 0.1176, 0.1176, 0.1032, 0.1016, 0.0186, 0.001, 0.0045, -0.0246, -0.0596, -0.0818, -0.0882, -0.1202, -0.1149, -0.0973, -0.124, -0.1133, -0.1333, -0.1375, -0.1244, -0.124, -0.149, -0.1555, -0.1462, -0.166, -0.2005, -0.1927, -0.2119, -0.2171, -0.2135, -0.2264, -0.244, -0.2157, -0.2141, -0.1977, -0.2228, -0.227, -0.2349, -0.2349, -0.2494, -0.2492, -0.2615, -0.2656, -0.271, -0.2739, -0.2589, -0.2668, -0.2088, -0.2143, -0.207, -0.1692, -0.2108, -0.2228, -0.2636, -0.2504, -0.2222, -0.2442, -0.2442, -0.2371, -0.2048, -0.2029, -0.2039, -0.2039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1742402448789315617", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-03T04:28:10+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Another indicator confirming my position in #SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds SPXU (3× inverse S&P) on 10-year reversal triggering a new daily SELL signal; bearish S&P 500.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The 10 year reversed today.  A new daily “SELL” signal was triggered.  See how it went off in late October and caused this massive rally in SPX.  Another indicator confirming my position in #SPXU. https://t.co/l8gEzv6dKZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024471678420858956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024471678420858956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.032705670501725015, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032705670501725015, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00823399208086606, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00823399208086606, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010011311709015924, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010011311709015924, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01323225310590892, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01323225310590892, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032209413968929956, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032209413968929956, "ret_p1w": -0.047830846261365134, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.047830846261365134, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06440545968502354, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06440545968502354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016574613423658402, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016574613423658402, "ret_p1m": -0.11234678419970379, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11234678419970379, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15588445071822965, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15588445071822965, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043537666518525864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043537666518525864, "ret_p3m": -0.262141969896064, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.262141969896064, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3794491129366705, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3794491129366705, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11730714304060652, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11730714304060652, "ret_p6m": -0.3420221153438885, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3420221153438885, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5149046979502148, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5149046979502148, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17288258260632627, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17288258260632627, "ret_p1y": -0.47218886456684406, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.47218886456684406, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7493767276889395, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7493767276889395, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2771878631220954, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2771878631220954, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11234678419970379, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15588445071822965, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15588445071822965, "price_path": [0.2821, 0.2592, 0.2407, 0.2244, 0.2505, 0.2668, 0.2298, 0.2287, 0.2788, 0.3148, 0.3638, 0.3714, 0.3431, 0.3997, 0.452, 0.4727, 0.4204, 0.3965, 0.3507, 0.2766, 0.2429, 0.2353, 0.2255, 0.2233, 0.2516, 0.1939, 0.1993, 0.1296, 0.1241, 0.122, 0.1165, 0.0926, 0.0991, 0.0882, 0.0882, 0.0882, 0.0936, 0.0915, 0.0947, 0.0817, 0.0642, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0969, 0.0729, 0.061, 0.0479, 0.0348, -0.0087, -0.0164, -0.012, -0.0273, -0.0436, -0.0022, -0.0311, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0467, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0434, -0.0434, -0.0245, 0.0, 0.01, 0.0056, -0.0367, -0.0311, -0.0478, -0.0445, -0.0456, -0.0456, -0.0334, -0.0189, -0.0434, -0.0768, -0.0834, -0.0912, -0.0934, -0.1068, -0.1023, -0.1224, -0.1212, -0.079, -0.1123, -0.1402, -0.1313, -0.1368, -0.1568, -0.158, -0.1724, -0.1702, -0.1357, -0.1602, -0.1746, -0.1613, -0.1613, -0.1479, -0.1502, -0.2013, -0.2024, -0.1924, -0.1969, -0.1935, -0.2013, -0.2236, -0.2202, -0.1958, -0.2091, -0.2303, -0.2169, -0.2136, -0.2403, -0.2347, -0.2291, -0.2136, -0.2258, -0.2403, -0.2587, -0.2667, -0.2621, -0.2553, -0.2497, -0.2689, -0.2678, -0.2678, -0.2621, -0.2485, -0.2497, -0.2213, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2474, -0.2263, -0.2422, -0.2098, -0.1808, -0.1753, -0.1597, -0.1538, -0.1311, -0.1536, -0.1842, -0.183, -0.1721, -0.1953, -0.2028, -0.1647, -0.1565, -0.178, -0.2091, -0.2331, -0.2354, -0.2349, -0.247, -0.2494, -0.249, -0.2592, -0.2862, -0.2801, -0.283, -0.2853, -0.2898, -0.2832, -0.2664, -0.2807, -0.2807, -0.2816, -0.266, -0.2508, -0.2698, -0.2714, -0.2732, -0.2993, -0.2986, -0.295, -0.3009, -0.3054, -0.3227, -0.3261, -0.3265, -0.3417, -0.3465, -0.3465, -0.3403, -0.3356, -0.3299, -0.3376, -0.3399, -0.342]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1822026257422545263", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-08-09T21:44:46+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "invested into oil this week", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author initiated a long oil position as a 'war trade', endorsing podcast guest's thesis as a good summary of his own.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Listen to the most recent podcast from the David Lin Report.  Guest speaker, Philip Pikington, explains very well why I initiated my war trade and invested into oil this week.  @davidlin_TV.  This was released today and thought it was a very good summary of my thesis. https://t.co/1bPqLCrObJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030649829796478678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030649829796478678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030124700570401064, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030124700570401064, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005251292260776141, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005251292260776141, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012590587541022713, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012590587541022713, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02903631797796724, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02903631797796724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.016445730436944528, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016445730436944528, "ret_p1w": -0.054050618700934194, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.054050618700934194, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10344393158679921, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10344393158679921, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.049393312885865015, "bench_c_p1w": 0.049393312885865015, "ret_p1m": -0.14841661676947382, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14841661676947382, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.177520164238836, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.177520164238836, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029103547469362168, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029103547469362168, "ret_p3m": -0.05048955525858201, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05048955525858201, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17081678973499104, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17081678973499104, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12032723447640903, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12032723447640903, "ret_p6m": -0.03230320493769234, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03230320493769234, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1726506103751817, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1726506103751817, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14034740543748936, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14034740543748936, "ret_p1y": -0.01487979409657747, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.01487979409657747, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.19526414369907497, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.19526414369907497, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1803843496024975, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1803843496024975, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14841661676947382, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.177520164238836, "alpha_c_stated": -0.177520164238836, "price_path": [-0.035, -0.0303, -0.0211, -0.0242, -0.0314, -0.0478, -0.0532, -0.0417, -0.0417, -0.0123, -0.0262, -0.0394, -0.0485, -0.0865, -0.0959, -0.0857, -0.0683, -0.0713, -0.0403, -0.0397, -0.0337, -0.0368, -0.0324, -0.0107, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0099, 0.0003, 0.0136, 0.0034, 0.0015, 0.0164, 0.0122, 0.037, 0.0315, 0.0336, 0.0336, 0.0341, 0.0228, 0.0145, 0.0235, 0.0294, 0.0206, 0.0189, 0.0055, 0.0253, 0.0162, -0.008, -0.0128, -0.0256, -0.0231, -0.0149, -0.032, -0.0437, -0.053, -0.0113, -0.0298, -0.0666, -0.0688, -0.0786, -0.0501, -0.0416, -0.0306, 0.0, -0.0126, -0.0259, -0.0155, -0.0294, -0.0541, -0.061, -0.0767, -0.0642, -0.0392, -0.0102, -0.0272, -0.0401, -0.0237, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0959, -0.1147, -0.1112, -0.1234, -0.119, -0.1484, -0.1371, -0.1112, -0.1118, -0.0986, -0.0879, -0.1014, -0.0748, -0.0726, -0.0811, -0.0679, -0.0909, -0.1223, -0.1063, -0.1108, -0.0829, -0.0747, -0.0369, -0.029, 0.0072, -0.0361, -0.043, -0.0109, -0.0145, -0.0343, -0.0747, -0.0792, -0.0764, -0.0922, -0.081, -0.0591, -0.0646, -0.0708, -0.056, -0.1043, -0.1141, -0.0925, -0.0706, -0.0841, -0.0552, -0.0496, -0.052, -0.0505, -0.0699, -0.0978, -0.101, -0.1005, -0.0933, -0.1129, -0.0834, -0.0804, -0.0841, -0.0691, -0.0557, -0.083, -0.0893, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0893, -0.0965, -0.0711, -0.0858, -0.0911, -0.1067, -0.0949, -0.0919, -0.0674, -0.0689, -0.0562, -0.0627, -0.0678, -0.0724, -0.0766, -0.0703, -0.0708, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0699, -0.0608, -0.0485, -0.0392, -0.0216, -0.009, -0.0169, -0.0059, -0.0169, -0.0169, 0.0256, 0.0458, 0.0387, 0.0726, 0.0548, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0315, 0.0229, 0.0074, 0.0123, -0.0089, 0.0029, -0.0108, -0.0112, -0.0078, -0.0103, -0.0142, -0.0323]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910718106475069720", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-11T15:34:30+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have bought a full position of $SPXU at $28.21. I am holding.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Full position in SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) on fears fixed income, USD stress, and US-China tariff standoff escalate into geopolitical crisis.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have bought a full position of $SPXU at $28.21.  I don't like what I see in the fixed income market, US dollar and China playing chicken with the US administration.  I have always assumed the Tariff policy would fail with China and lead to a geopolitical crisis.  I am holding.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05316731551556697, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05316731551556697, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07069742145871882, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07069742145871882, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017530105943151852, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017530105943151852, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028280552071376697, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028280552071376697, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037982057930742164, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.037982057930742164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009701505859365467, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009701505859365467, "ret_p1w": 0.11689299955278254, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11689299955278254, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15446291908866083, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15446291908866083, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03756991953587829, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03756991953587829, "ret_p1m": -0.25490204776911807, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25490204776911807, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3539767578958849, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3539767578958849, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09907471012676683, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09907471012676683, "ret_p3m": -0.38189070992526564, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.38189070992526564, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5574348518232933, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5574348518232933, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1755441418980277, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1755441418980277, "ret_p6m": -0.4832089647847104, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4832089647847104, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7435726588128571, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7435726588128571, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26036369402814663, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26036369402814663, "ret_p1y": -0.4508114811645152, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4508114811645152, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6931759444321695, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6931759444321695, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24236446326765426, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24236446326765426, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.25490204776911807, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3539767578958849, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3539767578958849, "price_path": [-0.14, -0.1866, -0.1821, -0.2049, -0.2049, -0.2265, -0.2388, -0.2511, -0.2433, -0.2116, -0.231, -0.2209, -0.2325, -0.2194, -0.2038, -0.2194, -0.2284, -0.2366, -0.2142, -0.2295, -0.231, -0.2235, -0.2478, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2515, -0.2571, -0.2478, -0.2083, -0.1967, -0.184, -0.1844, -0.146, -0.184, -0.1419, -0.1102, -0.1381, -0.0926, -0.1061, -0.0348, -0.0106, -0.0251, 0.014, -0.0471, -0.0684, -0.0389, -0.0684, -0.0617, -0.0613, -0.1094, -0.1158, -0.0848, -0.0758, -0.0196, -0.0373, -0.0468, -0.0641, 0.069, 0.2636, 0.2722, 0.3299, -0.0426, 0.0532, 0.0, -0.0283, -0.0211, 0.0452, 0.0437, 0.1169, 0.0328, -0.0147, -0.0765, -0.0962, -0.0977, -0.1127, -0.1154, -0.1324, -0.1701, -0.1557, -0.135, -0.1448, -0.161, -0.1572, -0.2402, -0.2549, -0.2579, -0.2681, -0.2817, -0.2839, -0.2756, -0.2391, -0.2387, -0.2225, -0.2225, -0.2696, -0.2572, -0.2655, -0.2617, -0.2741, -0.2866, -0.2851, -0.2745, -0.296, -0.2971, -0.3092, -0.3032, -0.3107, -0.2866, -0.3073, -0.2888, -0.2877, -0.2877, -0.2813, -0.3032, -0.3254, -0.3263, -0.3423, -0.3503, -0.3598, -0.3586, -0.367, -0.3815, -0.3815, -0.3674, -0.3655, -0.3766, -0.3819, -0.3747, -0.3777, -0.3693, -0.3754, -0.3865, -0.3846, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.4028, -0.4036, -0.4097, -0.4097, -0.4048, -0.4021, -0.3945, -0.3647, -0.3929, -0.3834, -0.3971, -0.396, -0.4089, -0.4048, -0.4238, -0.4291, -0.4291, -0.4246, -0.4242, -0.4143, -0.4093, -0.4017, -0.4284, -0.4208, -0.4276, -0.4314, -0.4371, -0.4265, -0.4265, -0.4131, -0.4219, -0.4364, -0.4307, -0.4349, -0.4383, -0.4432, -0.4566, -0.4558, -0.4638, -0.4612, -0.4589, -0.4665, -0.4737, -0.4806, -0.4726, -0.4674, -0.4593, -0.4681, -0.4724, -0.4782, -0.4836, -0.4848, -0.484, -0.4894, -0.4832]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1907132213977628830", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-01T18:05:27+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at $25.56. I have gone short in anticipation of \"Liberation Day\". The long term chart is still very negative and I'm going to take advantage of it.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) at $25.56, short US equities into Liberation Day; long-term chart bearish, held overnight.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $25.56.  I have gone short in anticipation of “Liberation Day”.  A new “daily buy signal” will be triggered at 5,720.30.  The long term chart is still very negative and I’m going to take advantage of it.  Trade will be held overnight. https://t.co/DCYtsTsDuS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009889216510998944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009889216510998944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012705704556619679, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012705704556619679, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028164880456207353, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028164880456207353, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01819629318067073, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01819629318067073, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024524702505412055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024524702505412055, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006328409324741324, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006328409324741324, "ret_p1w": 0.39517388774397677, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.39517388774397677, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.5101352461282062, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.5101352461282062, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.11496135838422938, "bench_c_p1w": -0.11496135838422938, "ret_p1m": -0.08979433947306514, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08979433947306514, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08533774115995685, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08533774115995685, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004456598313108295, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004456598313108295, "ret_p3m": -0.3283853684400734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3283853684400734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4330374228809216, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4330374228809216, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10465205444084824, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10465205444084824, "ret_p6m": -0.43273847560609646, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43273847560609646, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6125257853563396, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6125257853563396, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17978730975024315, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17978730975024315, "ret_p1y": -0.41392948236312865, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.41392948236312865, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5916535521535994, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5916535521535994, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17772406979047073, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17772406979047073, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.39517388774397677, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5101352461282062, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5101352461282062, "price_path": [-0.1107, -0.1432, -0.1581, -0.1295, -0.1315, -0.1315, -0.0916, -0.0955, -0.0978, -0.1467, -0.142, -0.1659, -0.1659, -0.1886, -0.2015, -0.2144, -0.2062, -0.1729, -0.1933, -0.1827, -0.1948, -0.1812, -0.1647, -0.1812, -0.1905, -0.1991, -0.1757, -0.1917, -0.1933, -0.1855, -0.2109, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.2148, -0.2207, -0.2109, -0.1694, -0.1573, -0.144, -0.1444, -0.1041, -0.144, -0.0998, -0.0665, -0.0959, -0.0481, -0.0622, 0.0125, 0.0379, 0.0227, 0.0638, -0.0004, -0.0227, 0.0082, -0.0227, -0.0157, -0.0153, -0.0657, -0.0724, -0.04, -0.0305, 0.0285, 0.0099, 0.0, -0.0182, 0.1214, 0.3256, 0.3347, 0.3952, 0.0044, 0.1048, 0.0491, 0.0194, 0.0269, 0.0965, 0.0949, 0.1717, 0.0835, 0.0336, -0.0313, -0.0518, -0.0534, -0.0692, -0.072, -0.0898, -0.1294, -0.1143, -0.0926, -0.1028, -0.1199, -0.1159, -0.2029, -0.2184, -0.2215, -0.2322, -0.2464, -0.2488, -0.2401, -0.2017, -0.2013, -0.1843, -0.1843, -0.2338, -0.2207, -0.2294, -0.2255, -0.2385, -0.2516, -0.25, -0.2389, -0.2615, -0.2627, -0.2753, -0.269, -0.2769, -0.2516, -0.2733, -0.254, -0.2528, -0.2528, -0.246, -0.269, -0.2923, -0.2932, -0.31, -0.3184, -0.3284, -0.3272, -0.336, -0.3512, -0.3512, -0.3364, -0.3344, -0.346, -0.3516, -0.344, -0.3472, -0.3384, -0.3448, -0.3564, -0.3544, -0.3576, -0.3576, -0.3736, -0.3744, -0.3808, -0.3808, -0.3756, -0.3728, -0.3648, -0.3336, -0.3632, -0.3532, -0.3676, -0.3664, -0.38, -0.3756, -0.3955, -0.4011, -0.4011, -0.3963, -0.3959, -0.3856, -0.3804, -0.3724, -0.4003, -0.3923, -0.3995, -0.4035, -0.4095, -0.3983, -0.3983, -0.3844, -0.3935, -0.4087, -0.4027, -0.4071, -0.4107, -0.4159, -0.4299, -0.4291, -0.4375, -0.4347, -0.4323, -0.4403, -0.4479, -0.4551, -0.4467, -0.4412, -0.4327]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1747436049889112283", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-17T01:49:54+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Update to potentially going fully into #SPXU by tomorrow", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Planning to go fully into SPXU (3x short S&P) on VIX buy signal; bearish DXY/TNX signals reinforce short S&P stance with 4730.6 as trigger level.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Update to potentially going fully into #SPXU by tomorrow.  The #VIX triggered another new buy signal today.  This is now the third buy trigger that did not produce results.  Big move in #DXY.  Bearish.  #TNX higher = Caution.  4,730.6 will be my trigger tomorrow or a -0.74% drop. https://t.co/G38Q97wLnW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014739081495615092, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014739081495615092, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02032884799069834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02032884799069834, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005589766495083248, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005589766495083248, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02494325452114665, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02494325452114665, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03383599828879069, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03383599828879069, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00889274376764404, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00889274376764404, "ret_p1w": -0.07596361647452954, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07596361647452954, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10370090397267406, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10370090397267406, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027737287498144525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027737287498144525, "ret_p1m": -0.15873019946331435, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15873019946331435, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22165750800279538, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22165750800279538, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06292730853948103, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06292730853948103, "ret_p3m": -0.16497187507390376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16497187507390376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2363842806092198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2363842806092198, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07141240553531603, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07141240553531603, "ret_p6m": -0.3616354270918086, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3616354270918086, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5473683226020362, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5473683226020362, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.18573289551022754, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18573289551022754, "ret_p1y": -0.4720255230119207, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4720255230119207, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7487766767574583, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7487766767574583, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2767511537455376, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2767511537455376, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07596361647452954, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10370090397267406, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10370090397267406, "price_path": [0.3901, 0.3978, 0.369, 0.4267, 0.48, 0.5011, 0.4478, 0.4234, 0.3768, 0.3013, 0.2668, 0.2591, 0.2491, 0.2468, 0.2757, 0.2169, 0.2224, 0.1514, 0.1458, 0.1436, 0.138, 0.1136, 0.1203, 0.1092, 0.1092, 0.1092, 0.1147, 0.1125, 0.1158, 0.1025, 0.0847, 0.1036, 0.1036, 0.1181, 0.0936, 0.0814, 0.0681, 0.0548, 0.0104, 0.0026, 0.007, -0.0085, -0.0252, 0.017, -0.0125, -0.017, -0.017, -0.0283, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0249, -0.0249, -0.0057, 0.0193, 0.0295, 0.0249, -0.0181, -0.0125, -0.0295, -0.0261, -0.0272, -0.0272, -0.0147, 0.0, -0.0249, -0.059, -0.0658, -0.0737, -0.076, -0.0896, -0.085, -0.1054, -0.1043, -0.0612, -0.0952, -0.1236, -0.1145, -0.1202, -0.1406, -0.1417, -0.1565, -0.1542, -0.119, -0.144, -0.1587, -0.1451, -0.1451, -0.1315, -0.1338, -0.1859, -0.1871, -0.1769, -0.1814, -0.178, -0.1859, -0.2086, -0.2052, -0.1803, -0.1939, -0.2154, -0.2018, -0.1984, -0.2256, -0.22, -0.2143, -0.1984, -0.2109, -0.2256, -0.2445, -0.2525, -0.2479, -0.241, -0.2352, -0.2549, -0.2537, -0.2537, -0.2479, -0.2341, -0.2352, -0.2063, -0.2317, -0.2317, -0.2329, -0.2114, -0.2276, -0.1945, -0.165, -0.1594, -0.1435, -0.1375, -0.1144, -0.1372, -0.1684, -0.1673, -0.1562, -0.1798, -0.1874, -0.1486, -0.1402, -0.1622, -0.1939, -0.2183, -0.2207, -0.2202, -0.2324, -0.235, -0.2345, -0.2449, -0.2724, -0.2662, -0.2692, -0.2715, -0.2761, -0.2694, -0.2523, -0.2669, -0.2669, -0.2678, -0.2518, -0.2364, -0.2558, -0.2574, -0.2592, -0.2858, -0.2851, -0.2814, -0.2874, -0.2921, -0.3096, -0.3131, -0.3135, -0.329, -0.3339, -0.3339, -0.3276, -0.3228, -0.317, -0.3249, -0.3272, -0.3293, -0.3206, -0.3244, -0.3374, -0.3456, -0.3456, -0.356, -0.3576, -0.3593, -0.3777, -0.3616]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1976105927691686114", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-09T02:02:22+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold has topped for the year. Reduce.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Gold has peaked for the year; author recommends reducing exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX up 0.58% to 6,753.72.  My family accounts were down 1.28% and $SPXU lost 1.72%.  WTD $SPX is up 0.56% my family accounts are down 1.67% and $SPXU is down 1.57%.  \nThe AI dip buyers came back in force.  Broke my 1% stop loss rule today.  Gold has topped for the year.  Reduce. https://t.co/t96E1hz6RM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024579986012164712, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024579986012164712, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02167459444128461, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02167459444128461, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0029053915708801004, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029053915708801004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007500659643053353, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007500659643053353, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03452852182189903, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03452852182189903, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.027027862178845674, "bench_c_p1d": -0.027027862178845674, "ret_p1w": 0.08461093742315118, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08461093742315118, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10028534431239333, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10028534431239333, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015674406889242154, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015674406889242154, "ret_p1m": 0.013455604707856228, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013455604707856228, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013738753390898473, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013738753390898473, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0002831486830422447, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0002831486830422447, "ret_p3m": 0.1275625624650265, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1275625624650265, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09718615535223618, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09718615535223618, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.030376407112790327, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030376407112790327, "ret_p6m": 0.18011809543960067, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18011809543960067, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1923155868779749, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1923155868779749, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01219749143837423, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01219749143837423, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013455604707856228, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013738753390898473, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013738753390898473, "price_path": [-0.1507, -0.1562, -0.1505, -0.1536, -0.1503, -0.138, -0.1285, -0.1399, -0.1458, -0.1552, -0.1615, -0.1578, -0.1648, -0.1655, -0.1517, -0.1449, -0.143, -0.1435, -0.1384, -0.1285, -0.1503, -0.1514, -0.1489, -0.1549, -0.1547, -0.1557, -0.1604, -0.1528, -0.1544, -0.1449, -0.1451, -0.1413, -0.1373, -0.1304, -0.1198, -0.1198, -0.1006, -0.0895, -0.0964, -0.0844, -0.0781, -0.0768, -0.0767, -0.0784, -0.0752, -0.0669, -0.0652, -0.067, -0.0767, -0.0696, -0.0521, -0.042, -0.0543, -0.0531, -0.0433, -0.0318, -0.0267, -0.02, -0.027, -0.0166, 0.0006, 0.0077, 0.0246, 0.0, 0.0075, 0.0411, 0.0488, 0.0584, 0.0846, 0.0617, 0.0989, 0.0358, 0.0249, 0.0454, 0.0436, 0.0141, 0.005, 0.0095, 0.0139, 0.0091, 0.0137, 0.0004, 0.0086, 0.0085, 0.0135, 0.0419, 0.0407, 0.0654, 0.061, 0.0358, 0.0309, 0.0291, 0.0333, 0.0279, 0.033, 0.0369, 0.0489, 0.0555, 0.0555, 0.0689, 0.0742, 0.0609, 0.0641, 0.0673, 0.0676, 0.061, 0.066, 0.0634, 0.086, 0.0897, 0.0913, 0.0908, 0.1017, 0.0996, 0.1052, 0.1263, 0.136, 0.1354, 0.1477, 0.096, 0.1074, 0.0961, 0.0933, 0.1243, 0.1358, 0.1275, 0.1276, 0.1379, 0.1667, 0.1629, 0.1723, 0.1698, 0.1627, 0.1627, 0.2061, 0.2244, 0.2439, 0.261, 0.2872, 0.2873, 0.3434, 0.3477, 0.1945, 0.1714, 0.2426, 0.2468, 0.2319, 0.2546, 0.2799, 0.268, 0.2852, 0.2477, 0.2726, 0.2726, 0.2373, 0.2636, 0.2609, 0.282, 0.3189, 0.3065, 0.3193, 0.3117, 0.3254, 0.3416, 0.2942, 0.2975, 0.2836, 0.304, 0.2902, 0.3252, 0.3094, 0.2964, 0.2803, 0.2655, 0.2673, 0.2391, 0.1658, 0.1581, 0.116, 0.1148, 0.1529, 0.1088, 0.1383, 0.1469, 0.1777, 0.2121, 0.1787, 0.1787, 0.18, 0.1801]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1833211463303106639", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-09T18:30:46+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am still 50% long oil", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 50% long oil and 50% short SPX, viewing current equity weakness as a bear trap unconfirmed by HYG.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@alexkoh @C0Bu1 I believe it could be a bear trap because HYG is acting fine and not confirming the downtrend.  Secondly, valuations wasn’t that overvalued.  That is primarily why I am still 50% long oil and 50% short SPX.\n\n---\n\n@alexkoh @C0Bu1 https://t.co/0SJzFpSfvE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004908277094952895, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004908277094952895, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006164122645754944, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006164122645754944, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011072399740707839, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011072399740707839, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03334773596852725, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03334773596852725, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03770353697772655, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03770353697772655, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0043558010091993005, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0043558010091993005, "ret_p1w": 0.023242394808354883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023242394808354883, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006826616731379076, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006826616731379076, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03006901153973396, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03006901153973396, "ret_p1m": 0.09412450683456997, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09412450683456997, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04193299337981826, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04193299337981826, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0521915134547517, "ret_p3m": 0.031759848191892814, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.031759848191892814, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08191074402804022, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08191074402804022, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11367059221993303, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11367059221993303, "ret_p6m": 0.0310379909061842, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0310379909061842, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.042911716532592736, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.042911716532592736, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07394970743877693, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07394970743877693, "ret_p1y": 0.08040998938581234, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.08040998938581234, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11481732515589438, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11481732515589438, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19522731454170672, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19522731454170672, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09412450683456997, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04193299337981826, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04193299337981826, "price_path": [0.0969, 0.0934, 0.0983, 0.123, 0.1357, 0.1357, 0.1464, 0.1354, 0.1506, 0.139, 0.1369, 0.1537, 0.149, 0.1771, 0.1709, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1738, 0.161, 0.1516, 0.1618, 0.1685, 0.1585, 0.1566, 0.1413, 0.1639, 0.1535, 0.126, 0.1205, 0.1061, 0.1088, 0.1182, 0.0987, 0.0855, 0.0749, 0.1223, 0.1013, 0.0595, 0.057, 0.0459, 0.0782, 0.0879, 0.1003, 0.1351, 0.1208, 0.1057, 0.1175, 0.1018, 0.0738, 0.0658, 0.0481, 0.0622, 0.0907, 0.1236, 0.1042, 0.0896, 0.1083, 0.0732, 0.0732, 0.0263, 0.0049, 0.009, -0.0049, 0.0, -0.0333, -0.0205, 0.009, 0.0082, 0.0232, 0.0354, 0.0201, 0.0502, 0.0527, 0.043, 0.058, 0.0319, -0.0038, 0.0144, 0.0094, 0.041, 0.0504, 0.0933, 0.1022, 0.1434, 0.0941, 0.0863, 0.1227, 0.1187, 0.0961, 0.0504, 0.0452, 0.0484, 0.0305, 0.0432, 0.068, 0.0618, 0.0547, 0.0716, 0.0167, 0.0056, 0.0302, 0.055, 0.0397, 0.0725, 0.0788, 0.0761, 0.0778, 0.0557, 0.0241, 0.0205, 0.0211, 0.0292, 0.0069, 0.0404, 0.0439, 0.0397, 0.0567, 0.0719, 0.0409, 0.0338, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0338, 0.0256, 0.0544, 0.0377, 0.0318, 0.014, 0.0274, 0.0307, 0.0586, 0.0569, 0.0713, 0.064, 0.0582, 0.053, 0.0482, 0.0553, 0.0547, 0.0632, 0.0632, 0.0557, 0.0661, 0.0801, 0.0907, 0.1106, 0.1249, 0.1159, 0.1285, 0.1159, 0.1159, 0.1641, 0.1871, 0.179, 0.2176, 0.1973, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.1709, 0.1611, 0.1435, 0.1491, 0.125, 0.1384, 0.1229, 0.1224, 0.1263, 0.1234, 0.119, 0.0985, 0.0892, 0.0951, 0.1174, 0.1299, 0.1018, 0.1028, 0.0946, 0.0946, 0.111, 0.1181, 0.1226, 0.0878, 0.0967, 0.0702, 0.0661, 0.0868, 0.0859, 0.0585, 0.0583, 0.031]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1940054393510142074", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-01T14:26:26+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at $16.85", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3× inverse S&P 500 ETF) speculating on a market drop ahead of an upcoming news event.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $16.85.  I’m still on vacation and not entirely plugged in.  This reminds me of 2008 when the bill failed to pass and the market fell 800 points in a minute.  I’ll speculate before the news is out. https://t.co/3YjD4cHpq6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001782606766785988, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001782606766785988, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0021064257243127438, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0021064257243127438, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0003238189575267558, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0003238189575267558, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013071793704902634, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013071793704902634, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017605059283706814, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017605059283706814, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00453326557880418, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00453326557880418, "ret_p1w": -0.010695282827155261, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010695282827155261, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015050502931626686, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015050502931626686, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "ret_p1m": -0.06773625457830901, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06773625457830901, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09495223382991658, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09495223382991658, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "ret_p3m": -0.17073329984572805, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17073329984572805, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2452169554810022, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2452169554810022, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07448365563527415, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07448365563527415, "ret_p6m": -0.26573702784623177, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26573702784623177, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3899006662244834, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3899006662244834, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "ret_p1y": -0.4154668134015298, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4154668134015298, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6340178329716448, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6340178329716448, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21855101957011502, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21855101957011502, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.010695282827155261, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.015050502931626686, "alpha_c_stated": -0.015050502931626686, "price_path": [0.4592, 0.6668, 0.9702, 0.9837, 1.0736, 0.4928, 0.6421, 0.5592, 0.5151, 0.5263, 0.6298, 0.6274, 0.7415, 0.6103, 0.5363, 0.4398, 0.4093, 0.4069, 0.3834, 0.3793, 0.3528, 0.294, 0.3164, 0.3487, 0.3334, 0.3082, 0.314, 0.1847, 0.1618, 0.1571, 0.1412, 0.12, 0.1165, 0.1294, 0.1864, 0.187, 0.2123, 0.2123, 0.1388, 0.1582, 0.1453, 0.1512, 0.1318, 0.1124, 0.1147, 0.1312, 0.0977, 0.0959, 0.0771, 0.0865, 0.0747, 0.1124, 0.08, 0.1088, 0.1106, 0.1106, 0.1206, 0.0865, 0.0518, 0.0505, 0.0255, 0.0131, -0.0018, 0.0, -0.0131, -0.0357, -0.0357, -0.0137, -0.0107, -0.0279, -0.0362, -0.025, -0.0297, -0.0166, -0.0261, -0.0434, -0.0404, -0.0452, -0.0452, -0.0689, -0.0701, -0.0796, -0.0796, -0.0719, -0.0677, -0.0559, -0.0095, -0.0535, -0.0386, -0.06, -0.0582, -0.0784, -0.0719, -0.1016, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.1028, -0.1022, -0.0867, -0.079, -0.0671, -0.1087, -0.0969, -0.1075, -0.1135, -0.1224, -0.1058, -0.1058, -0.085, -0.0986, -0.1212, -0.1123, -0.1188, -0.1242, -0.1319, -0.1527, -0.1515, -0.164, -0.1598, -0.1563, -0.1682, -0.1794, -0.1901, -0.1777, -0.1695, -0.1569, -0.1707, -0.1774, -0.1864, -0.1948, -0.1966, -0.1954, -0.2039, -0.1942, -0.2081, -0.2014, -0.1364, -0.1749, -0.1719, -0.1822, -0.1659, -0.1786, -0.2033, -0.2027, -0.1906, -0.2045, -0.2225, -0.2508, -0.2562, -0.2569, -0.2328, -0.2382, -0.2418, -0.2153, -0.2225, -0.1972, -0.1996, -0.2352, -0.2406, -0.2418, -0.2045, -0.2027, -0.1798, -0.1593, -0.1683, -0.1304, -0.1552, -0.1924, -0.2147, -0.2302, -0.2302, -0.2421, -0.2314, -0.2349, -0.2425, -0.2439, -0.2471, -0.2401, -0.2379, -0.2525, -0.2578, -0.2328, -0.2288, -0.2222, -0.1959, -0.2142, -0.2344, -0.2486, -0.2587, -0.2657]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1861062027374182613", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-25T14:58:58+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Purchased $SPXU near the open at $21.45. Objective is to day trade. Price target is only $21.61.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF) intraday, targeting $21.61 from $21.45 entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Purchased $SPXU near the open at $21.45.  Objective is to day trade.  Price target is only $21.61.  Unless things change during the day.  Starting out to be a strong move up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009641777971188592, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009641777971188592, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01302231166790313, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01302231166790313, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033805336967145383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033805336967145383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016069790343536616, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016069790343536616, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021291275814403376, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021291275814403376, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00522148547086676, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00522148547086676, "ret_p1w": -0.028007348884449446, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028007348884449446, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.038216083210298235, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.038216083210298235, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01020873432584879, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01020873432584879, "ret_p1m": -0.022595769878023142, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022595769878023142, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03229203993876839, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03229203993876839, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009696270060745249, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009696270060745249, "ret_p3m": -0.003826589654340462, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.003826589654340462, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.011239183015405607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.011239183015405607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.007412593361065145, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007412593361065145, "ret_p6m": -0.0421225114969469, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0421225114969469, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.024186053730006818, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.024186053730006818, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017936457766940084, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017936457766940084, "ret_p1y": -0.3565808382582363, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3565808382582363, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4947645965185432, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4947645965185432, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.13818375826030693, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13818375826030693, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.016069790343536616, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.021291275814403376, "alpha_c_stated": -0.021291275814403376, "price_path": [0.2087, 0.2096, 0.1785, 0.1785, 0.2502, 0.2592, 0.2687, 0.335, 0.2903, 0.2746, 0.2367, 0.206, 0.1884, 0.1835, 0.1826, 0.1948, 0.1348, 0.142, 0.1343, 0.1244, 0.1327, 0.1194, 0.1267, 0.1125, 0.1437, 0.1433, 0.1497, 0.1208, 0.1506, 0.1189, 0.096, 0.1019, 0.0849, 0.0579, 0.0831, 0.0698, 0.0707, 0.0592, 0.0652, 0.067, 0.0973, 0.0909, 0.0932, 0.084, 0.0785, 0.09, 0.1552, 0.1419, 0.1497, 0.1084, 0.0262, 0.0023, -0.0092, -0.0115, -0.0018, -0.0023, 0.0174, 0.0574, 0.0459, 0.034, 0.0331, 0.0174, 0.0096, 0.0, -0.0161, -0.0055, -0.0055, -0.0225, -0.028, -0.0285, -0.0459, -0.0409, -0.0455, -0.0294, -0.0202, -0.0427, -0.0275, -0.0248, -0.0372, -0.0239, 0.0624, 0.0652, 0.0289, 0.0098, -0.0226, -0.0226, -0.0221, 0.0093, 0.0454, 0.0572, 0.0666, 0.0276, 0.0098, 0.044, 0.0417, 0.0417, 0.0895, 0.0849, 0.082, 0.0234, 0.029, 0.0004, 0.0004, -0.0268, -0.0423, -0.0578, -0.0479, -0.008, -0.0324, -0.0198, -0.0343, -0.0179, 0.0018, -0.0179, -0.0292, -0.0395, -0.0113, -0.0306, -0.0324, -0.0231, -0.0536, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0583, -0.0653, -0.0536, -0.0038, 0.0107, 0.0267, 0.0262, 0.0745, 0.0267, 0.0797, 0.1196, 0.0844, 0.1416, 0.1247, 0.2144, 0.2449, 0.2266, 0.2758, 0.1989, 0.1721, 0.2092, 0.1721, 0.1806, 0.181, 0.1205, 0.1125, 0.1514, 0.1628, 0.2335, 0.2112, 0.1994, 0.1775, 0.345, 0.5898, 0.6007, 0.6733, 0.2046, 0.3251, 0.2582, 0.2226, 0.2316, 0.3151, 0.3132, 0.4053, 0.2995, 0.2397, 0.1619, 0.1372, 0.1353, 0.1163, 0.113, 0.0917, 0.0442, 0.0623, 0.0883, 0.076, 0.0556, 0.0604, -0.044, -0.0625, -0.0663, -0.0791, -0.0962, -0.0991, -0.0886, -0.0426, -0.0421]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1653871864626954240", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-05-03T21:19:14+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a new buy signal to purchase SQQQ was triggered today. Purchased SQQQ on April 14th. Refused to cover last Friday or today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long SQQQ (3x inverse Nasdaq ETF); new buy signal triggered, holding position with Nasdaq close below 11,991 needed to confirm.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Once again, a new buy signal to purchase SQQQ was triggered today.  I require the Nasdaq to close below 11,991 tomorrow.  These kind of markets are not profitable for a trend follower with a bias to short.  Purchased SQQQ on April 14th.  Refused to cover last Friday or today. https://t.co/AX7kJkL9dL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011695935382754041, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011695935382754041, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018829626041541814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018829626041541814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007133690658787772, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007133690658787772, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06302795321625843, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06302795321625843, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0815405624685056, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0815405624685056, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01851260925224718, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01851260925224718, "ret_p1w": -0.0890189097324875, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0890189097324875, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1062974182827453, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1062974182827453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01727850855025781, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01727850855025781, "ret_p1m": -0.29369718487657037, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29369718487657037, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34995090876072354, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34995090876072354, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05625372388415317, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05625372388415317, "ret_p3m": -0.43810669013840475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.43810669013840475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5690417531328691, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5690417531328691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13093506299446434, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13093506299446434, "ret_p6m": -0.2376227835593544, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2376227835593544, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25867650229520833, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25867650229520833, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.021053718735853932, "bench_c_p6m": 0.021053718735853932, "ret_p1y": -0.5668532161594599, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5668532161594599, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8181962473399462, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8181962473399462, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2513430311804863, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2513430311804863, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0890189097324875, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1062974182827453, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1062974182827453, "price_path": [0.1487, 0.0777, 0.1352, 0.1665, 0.1904, 0.1332, 0.1094, 0.0842, 0.1462, 0.1717, 0.1717, 0.255, 0.254, 0.222, 0.2847, 0.2569, 0.2634, 0.2937, 0.2634, 0.1859, 0.1817, 0.2256, 0.2078, 0.2737, 0.3263, 0.2976, 0.2094, 0.1923, 0.0984, 0.1136, 0.1032, 0.0571, 0.1001, 0.0621, 0.0507, 0.0724, 0.09, 0.0318, 0.0032, -0.0461, -0.0396, -0.0296, 0.0019, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0159, 0.0032, 0.0296, -0.0286, -0.0231, -0.0244, -0.0247, -0.0231, 0.001, -0.0016, 0.0049, 0.0621, 0.0445, -0.0396, -0.0591, -0.0562, -0.0315, -0.0117, 0.0, -0.063, -0.0695, -0.0513, -0.0815, -0.089, -0.0793, -0.0936, -0.0965, -0.129, -0.1754, -0.1696, -0.178, -0.1465, -0.1335, -0.1943, -0.2557, -0.2557, -0.2661, -0.2508, -0.2781, -0.2937, -0.295, -0.2943, -0.258, -0.2836, -0.2921, -0.3278, -0.3431, -0.3574, -0.3785, -0.3668, -0.3668, -0.3642, -0.3383, -0.3604, -0.3406, -0.3146, -0.3485, -0.3528, -0.3479, -0.3772, -0.3811, -0.3811, -0.3811, -0.3663, -0.3594, -0.36, -0.3689, -0.3927, -0.4223, -0.422, -0.4374, -0.4513, -0.4513, -0.4121, -0.4062, -0.4091, -0.421, -0.4151, -0.4095, -0.4414, -0.443, -0.4381, -0.4012, -0.3966, -0.3884, -0.4035, -0.3877, -0.3676, -0.3699, -0.3574, -0.3788, -0.3591, -0.338, -0.3156, -0.3123, -0.3456, -0.3419, -0.3732, -0.3311, -0.3472, -0.3617, -0.4025, -0.4127, -0.4167, -0.4147, -0.4147, -0.4164, -0.4012, -0.3871, -0.3894, -0.4108, -0.391, -0.3973, -0.4111, -0.3801, -0.3824, -0.3778, -0.3512, -0.3137, -0.314, -0.3237, -0.2929, -0.2979, -0.3137, -0.315, -0.3315, -0.2959, -0.3241, -0.3174, -0.3512, -0.3613, -0.3713, -0.3844, -0.377, -0.3532, -0.3754, -0.369, -0.3428, -0.3244, -0.2936, -0.2996, -0.3194, -0.2695, -0.2262, -0.2376]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1826254052109484119", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2024-08-21T13:44:30+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Currently long #oil", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Model forecasts -10.8% to -25.1% US market decline to year-end with no new highs; also long oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m confused.  Markets have gone higher yet my model is still forecasting lower markets to year end.  If true, the downside potential is between a minimum of -10.8% to -25.10% and no year end rally to new highs.  A drop to 5,418 would confirm that view.  Currently long #oil. https://t.co/8PX78BhLSm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01694219535516983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01694219535516983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020366997543031062, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020366997543031062, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003424802187861231, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003424802187861231, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013498669111996264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013498669111996264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021347071965024722, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021347071965024722, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007848402853028458, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007848402853028458, "ret_p1w": 0.039669489577731865, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039669489577731865, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0438077829340503, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0438077829340503, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004138293356318434, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004138293356318434, "ret_p1m": 0.0020661367635204098, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0020661367635204098, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016413195340985398, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016413195340985398, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018479332104505808, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018479332104505808, "ret_p3m": -0.007300258821435035, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.007300258821435035, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05962472767897209, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05962472767897209, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052324468857537054, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052324468857537054, "ret_p6m": 0.044352634826169135, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.044352634826169135, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05020065918602179, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05020065918602179, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09455329401219092, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09455329401219092, "ret_p1y": 0.004820915722826724, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.004820915722826724, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.15584911511822463, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.15584911511822463, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16067003084105136, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16067003084105136, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0020661367635204098, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.016413195340985398, "alpha_c_stated": -0.016413195340985398, "price_path": [0.0379, 0.0379, 0.0697, 0.0547, 0.0404, 0.0306, -0.0106, -0.0208, -0.0098, 0.0091, 0.0058, 0.0394, 0.0401, 0.0466, 0.0433, 0.0479, 0.0715, 0.0836, 0.0836, 0.0938, 0.0833, 0.0978, 0.0868, 0.0847, 0.1008, 0.0963, 0.1231, 0.1172, 0.1194, 0.1194, 0.12, 0.1077, 0.0988, 0.1085, 0.1149, 0.1054, 0.1036, 0.089, 0.1105, 0.1006, 0.0744, 0.0691, 0.0554, 0.058, 0.0669, 0.0483, 0.0357, 0.0256, 0.0708, 0.0508, 0.0109, 0.0085, -0.0021, 0.0288, 0.038, 0.0499, 0.0831, 0.0694, 0.055, 0.0663, 0.0512, 0.0245, 0.0169, 0.0, 0.0135, 0.0406, 0.072, 0.0536, 0.0397, 0.0574, 0.024, 0.024, -0.0208, -0.0412, -0.0373, -0.0506, -0.0459, -0.0777, -0.0654, -0.0373, -0.038, -0.0237, -0.0121, -0.0267, 0.0021, 0.0044, -0.0048, 0.0095, -0.0154, -0.0494, -0.0321, -0.0369, -0.0067, 0.0022, 0.0431, 0.0517, 0.0909, 0.0439, 0.0365, 0.0712, 0.0674, 0.0459, 0.0022, -0.0028, 0.0003, -0.0168, -0.0047, 0.019, 0.0131, 0.0063, 0.0225, -0.0299, -0.0405, -0.0171, 0.0066, -0.008, 0.0233, 0.0293, 0.0267, 0.0284, 0.0073, -0.0229, -0.0263, -0.0258, -0.018, -0.0393, -0.0073, -0.004, -0.008, 0.0083, 0.0227, -0.0069, -0.0136, -0.0121, -0.0121, -0.0136, -0.0215, 0.0061, -0.0099, -0.0156, -0.0325, -0.0197, -0.0165, 0.0101, 0.0084, 0.0222, 0.0152, 0.0096, 0.0047, 0.0001, 0.0069, 0.0063, 0.0145, 0.0145, 0.0073, 0.0172, 0.0306, 0.0406, 0.0596, 0.0733, 0.0647, 0.0767, 0.0647, 0.0647, 0.1107, 0.1326, 0.1249, 0.1617, 0.1424, 0.1366, 0.1366, 0.1172, 0.1079, 0.091, 0.0964, 0.0734, 0.0862, 0.0713, 0.0709, 0.0747, 0.0719, 0.0676, 0.0481, 0.0393, 0.0449, 0.0661, 0.0781, 0.0512, 0.0522, 0.0444]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1914686668583657699", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-22T14:24:09+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have just purchased moments ago $SPXU at $28.05. Bias is to remain short.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P) as a day trade; remains bearish on the S&P 500 short-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have just purchased moments ago $SPXU at $28.05.  I will view this as a day trade unless the market sell off later on into the day.  5,399.00 is the number to watch for a new “Daily Buy Signal”.  Bias is to remain short. https://t.co/3mhKadYMIb\n\n---\n\nI saw so many post’s yesterday stating that once Europe opens today, the selling would be massive.  When you trade $SPXU, you can’t fall for that kind of click bate.  Watch for a good set up and hope it is profitable.  That’s the best that I can do.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08141666610506659, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08141666610506659, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10677472615545269, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10677472615545269, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0253580600503861, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0253580600503861, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04600223519325175, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04600223519325175, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06149771550207672, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06149771550207672, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015495480308824972, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015495480308824972, "ret_p1w": -0.1409272238051118, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1409272238051118, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1922692673983588, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1922692673983588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05134204359324701, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05134204359324701, "ret_p1m": -0.26323484792324836, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26323484792324836, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36870659549530027, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.36870659549530027, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10547174757205191, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10547174757205191, "ret_p3m": -0.40410675102863547, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40410675102863547, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.597914710141228, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.597914710141228, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19380795911259252, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19380795911259252, "ret_p6m": -0.4921445346962616, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4921445346962616, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7609657618138688, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7609657618138688, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26882122711760714, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26882122711760714, "ret_p1y": -0.5359129466952103, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5359129466952103, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.8521104309570261, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.8521104309570261, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3161974842618158, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3161974842618158, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04600223519325175, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06149771550207672, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06149771550207672, "price_path": [-0.263, -0.2749, -0.2673, -0.2366, -0.2554, -0.2457, -0.2569, -0.2442, -0.2291, -0.2442, -0.2529, -0.2608, -0.2392, -0.254, -0.2554, -0.2482, -0.2717, -0.2702, -0.2702, -0.2753, -0.2807, -0.2717, -0.2334, -0.2222, -0.2099, -0.2103, -0.1731, -0.2099, -0.1691, -0.1384, -0.1655, -0.1215, -0.1345, -0.0655, -0.042, -0.0561, -0.0182, -0.0774, -0.098, -0.0695, -0.098, -0.0915, -0.0911, -0.1377, -0.1438, -0.1139, -0.1051, -0.0507, -0.0679, -0.077, -0.0938, 0.035, 0.2234, 0.2318, 0.2877, -0.073, 0.0197, -0.0318, -0.0591, -0.0522, 0.012, 0.0106, 0.0814, 0.0, -0.046, -0.1059, -0.1249, -0.1263, -0.1409, -0.1435, -0.1599, -0.1964, -0.1825, -0.1625, -0.172, -0.1877, -0.184, -0.2643, -0.2786, -0.2815, -0.2913, -0.3045, -0.3067, -0.2986, -0.2632, -0.2629, -0.2472, -0.2472, -0.2928, -0.2808, -0.2888, -0.2851, -0.2972, -0.3092, -0.3078, -0.2976, -0.3184, -0.3195, -0.3311, -0.3253, -0.3326, -0.3092, -0.3293, -0.3114, -0.3103, -0.3103, -0.3041, -0.3253, -0.3468, -0.3477, -0.3632, -0.3709, -0.3801, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.4012, -0.4012, -0.3875, -0.3857, -0.3964, -0.4015, -0.3945, -0.3975, -0.3893, -0.3953, -0.406, -0.4041, -0.4071, -0.4071, -0.4218, -0.4226, -0.4285, -0.4285, -0.4237, -0.4211, -0.4137, -0.3849, -0.4122, -0.403, -0.4163, -0.4152, -0.4277, -0.4237, -0.4421, -0.4473, -0.4473, -0.4428, -0.4425, -0.4329, -0.4281, -0.4207, -0.4465, -0.4392, -0.4458, -0.4495, -0.455, -0.4447, -0.4447, -0.4318, -0.4403, -0.4543, -0.4488, -0.4528, -0.4561, -0.4609, -0.4738, -0.4731, -0.4809, -0.4783, -0.4761, -0.4834, -0.4904, -0.4971, -0.4893, -0.4843, -0.4764, -0.485, -0.4892, -0.4948, -0.5, -0.5011, -0.5004, -0.5056, -0.4996, -0.5082, -0.5041, -0.4637, -0.4877, -0.4858, -0.4921]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1769379450066755609", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-03-17T15:05:09+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold has confirmed a Red Line being crossed", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Gold's move confirms a geopolitical red line; implicitly bullish on gold given NATO/Ukraine escalation risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Biden has certainly tapped Frances Macron to float a plan.  NATO troops in Western Ukraine.  This has been backed up by Poland and accidentally confirmed by Germany in the last week.  This plan was rebuked by Putin and gold has confirmed a Red Line being crossed. https://t.co/Wn4GZ1cP8X", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0015735189617169798, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0015735189617169798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004334401998505211, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004334401998505211, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059079209602221905, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0059079209602221905, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002036331949451742, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002036331949451742, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0075934210237792454, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0075934210237792454, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005557089074327504, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005557089074327504, "ret_p1w": 0.006525708323639634, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006525708323639634, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006947678288148795, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006947678288148795, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01347338661178843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01347338661178843, "ret_p1m": 0.10649331367432713, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10649331367432713, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12468536165194721, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12468536165194721, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018192047977620085, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018192047977620085, "ret_p3m": 0.06456241178898581, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06456241178898581, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.006866302356325793, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006866302356325793, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.057696109432660014, "bench_c_p3m": 0.057696109432660014, "ret_p6m": 0.162725091684089, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.162725091684089, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0892147201438942, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0892147201438942, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0735103715401948, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0735103715401948, "ret_p1y": 0.34984040522350446, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.34984040522350446, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.22232086732183598, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.22232086732183598, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.12751953790166848, "bench_c_p1y": 0.12751953790166848, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10649331367432713, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12468536165194721, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12468536165194721, "price_path": [-0.0584, -0.0563, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.0474, -0.0365, -0.0402, -0.0455, -0.0455, -0.0446, -0.0585, -0.0548, -0.0548, -0.0621, -0.0622, -0.0643, -0.0678, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0623, -0.0732, -0.0658, -0.0621, -0.0652, -0.0634, -0.0679, -0.0666, -0.0666, -0.0627, -0.0598, -0.052, -0.0498, -0.0577, -0.0625, -0.0584, -0.0581, -0.0595, -0.0636, -0.066, -0.0777, -0.0789, -0.0734, -0.0691, -0.0691, -0.0616, -0.0641, -0.0653, -0.0565, -0.0612, -0.0586, -0.0591, -0.0532, -0.0342, -0.0199, -0.0126, -0.0048, -0.0012, 0.0083, 0.0101, -0.0001, 0.0068, 0.0011, -0.0016, 0.0, -0.002, -0.0013, 0.01, -0.0012, 0.0065, 0.0069, 0.0138, 0.0262, 0.0262, 0.0351, 0.0464, 0.0619, 0.0593, 0.0764, 0.0791, 0.0846, 0.0782, 0.0898, 0.0905, 0.0949, 0.1065, 0.0977, 0.1026, 0.11, 0.0794, 0.0773, 0.0758, 0.0783, 0.0806, 0.0855, 0.0605, 0.0644, 0.0641, 0.064, 0.0745, 0.0715, 0.0708, 0.0793, 0.0956, 0.0812, 0.0892, 0.1055, 0.1015, 0.1164, 0.1264, 0.1208, 0.1058, 0.0807, 0.0795, 0.0795, 0.09, 0.0831, 0.0843, 0.0751, 0.086, 0.0763, 0.0895, 0.097, 0.0669, 0.068, 0.0679, 0.0811, 0.0646, 0.079, 0.0702, 0.0785, 0.0785, 0.0894, 0.0721, 0.0784, 0.0722, 0.0641, 0.0758, 0.0773, 0.0772, 0.0751, 0.0921, 0.0921, 0.1054, 0.09, 0.0923, 0.0979, 0.1177, 0.1172, 0.1213, 0.1396, 0.1361, 0.1347, 0.1087, 0.107, 0.1129, 0.1169, 0.0885, 0.1015, 0.1002, 0.1131, 0.123, 0.1269, 0.1226, 0.1115, 0.1057, 0.1064, 0.121, 0.1256, 0.1396, 0.1416, 0.129, 0.1353, 0.1564, 0.1579, 0.1623, 0.1609, 0.1473, 0.1609, 0.1652, 0.1644, 0.1575, 0.1689, 0.1542, 0.1542, 0.1524, 0.154, 0.1623, 0.154, 0.1579, 0.1627]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1709229111376486700", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-03T15:29:10+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm back in SPXU this morning. Bought SPXU at $12.09", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short S&P via SPXU; bearish TLT to $79 by Dec; TNX potentially rising to 5%; year-end rally pushed to Q1 2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m back in SPXU this morning.  Bought SPXU at $12.09 which is a lower price paid vs selling last week.  I can see TLT at $79 by December.  I never thought we would get there but now it needs to be discussed.  TNX now possible to see 5.00%.  Year end rally now 1st Quarter 24? https://t.co/osdj6g1wLt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03784227451085709, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03784227451085709, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05141014068365224, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05141014068365224, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013567866172795151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013567866172795151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020128888053370875, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020128888053370875, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027411100223824314, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027411100223824314, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007282212170453439, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007282212170453439, "ret_p1w": -0.08293076189703319, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08293076189703319, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11364788919794266, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11364788919794266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030717127300909475, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030717127300909475, "ret_p1m": -0.0016102614191726428, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0016102614191726428, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004148377522916302, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004148377522916302, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0025381161037436595, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0025381161037436595, "ret_p3m": -0.2929112592339169, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2929112592339169, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4249049019265587, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4249049019265587, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1319936426926418, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1319936426926418, "ret_p6m": -0.4596356758909018, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4596356758909018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7094833657140812, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7094833657140812, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2498476898231794, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2498476898231794, "ret_p1y": -0.5697237721145487, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5697237721145487, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.9381893622937412, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.9381893622937412, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.36846559017919245, "bench_c_p1y": 0.36846559017919245, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0016102614191726428, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.004148377522916302, "alpha_c_stated": 0.004148377522916302, "price_path": [-0.134, -0.1269, -0.1317, -0.1483, -0.1689, -0.1879, -0.1863, -0.1927, -0.2117, -0.2141, -0.1998, -0.199, -0.2093, -0.2141, -0.2148, -0.1974, -0.2204, -0.2259, -0.2172, -0.1855, -0.1768, -0.1657, -0.1863, -0.176, -0.1586, -0.1586, -0.1562, -0.1681, -0.1412, -0.1206, -0.0984, -0.1008, -0.1158, -0.1087, -0.1372, -0.1023, -0.1198, -0.1348, -0.1721, -0.1832, -0.1776, -0.1808, -0.1808, -0.1705, -0.1538, -0.1451, -0.1483, -0.1633, -0.1499, -0.153, -0.1729, -0.1427, -0.1435, -0.1372, -0.1135, -0.0692, -0.062, -0.0717, -0.0314, -0.0322, -0.0467, -0.0378, -0.0378, 0.0, -0.0201, -0.0161, -0.0523, -0.0692, -0.0829, -0.095, -0.0757, -0.0636, -0.091, -0.0918, -0.0548, -0.0282, 0.0081, 0.0137, -0.0072, 0.0346, 0.0733, 0.0886, 0.0499, 0.0322, -0.0016, -0.0564, -0.0813, -0.087, -0.0942, -0.0958, -0.0749, -0.1176, -0.1135, -0.1651, -0.1691, -0.1707, -0.1747, -0.1924, -0.1876, -0.1957, -0.1957, -0.1957, -0.1916, -0.1932, -0.1908, -0.2005, -0.2134, -0.1997, -0.1997, -0.1892, -0.2069, -0.2158, -0.2254, -0.2351, -0.2673, -0.2729, -0.2697, -0.281, -0.2931, -0.2625, -0.2839, -0.2872, -0.2872, -0.2954, -0.2995, -0.2995, -0.2929, -0.2929, -0.2789, -0.2608, -0.2534, -0.2567, -0.288, -0.2839, -0.2962, -0.2937, -0.2946, -0.2946, -0.2855, -0.2748, -0.2929, -0.3176, -0.3225, -0.3283, -0.3299, -0.3398, -0.3365, -0.3513, -0.3505, -0.3192, -0.3439, -0.3644, -0.3579, -0.362, -0.3768, -0.3776, -0.3883, -0.3866, -0.3612, -0.3792, -0.3899, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.3702, -0.3718, -0.4097, -0.4105, -0.4031, -0.4064, -0.4039, -0.4097, -0.4261, -0.4236, -0.4056, -0.4154, -0.431, -0.4212, -0.4187, -0.4384, -0.4343, -0.4302, -0.4187, -0.4278, -0.4384, -0.4521, -0.458, -0.4546, -0.4496, -0.4454, -0.4596]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1709229111376486700", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-10-03T15:29:10+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can see TLT at $79 by December", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short S&P via SPXU; bearish TLT to $79 by Dec; TNX potentially rising to 5%; year-end rally pushed to Q1 2024.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m back in SPXU this morning.  Bought SPXU at $12.09 which is a lower price paid vs selling last week.  I can see TLT at $79 by December.  I never thought we would get there but now it needs to be discussed.  TNX now possible to see 5.00%.  Year end rally now 1st Quarter 24? https://t.co/osdj6g1wLt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.021984386458093974, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021984386458093974, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008416520285298823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008416520285298823, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013567866172795151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013567866172795151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014107364702725222, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014107364702725222, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006825152532271783, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006825152532271783, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007282212170453439, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007282212170453439, "ret_p1w": 0.018810254489553202, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018810254489553202, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011906872811356273, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011906872811356273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030717127300909475, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030717127300909475, "ret_p1m": 0.0039054428214166936, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0039054428214166936, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0013673267176730342, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0013673267176730342, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0025381161037436595, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0025381161037436595, "ret_p3m": 0.17392854228882526, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17392854228882526, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04193489959618346, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04193489959618346, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1319936426926418, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1319936426926418, "ret_p6m": 0.13146383905179881, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13146383905179881, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11838385077138058, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11838385077138058, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2498476898231794, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2498476898231794, "ret_p1y": 0.2098605230533528, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2098605230533528, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.15860506712583966, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.15860506712583966, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.36846559017919245, "bench_c_p1y": 0.36846559017919245, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0039054428214166936, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0013673267176730342, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0013673267176730342, "price_path": [0.1615, 0.1545, 0.156, 0.162, 0.1749, 0.1872, 0.1802, 0.1808, 0.1862, 0.1996, 0.185, 0.1854, 0.1811, 0.1788, 0.18, 0.1571, 0.163, 0.1658, 0.1467, 0.1344, 0.1083, 0.1279, 0.1168, 0.1297, 0.1356, 0.1169, 0.1143, 0.1119, 0.1051, 0.0964, 0.0918, 0.0956, 0.081, 0.0893, 0.1163, 0.109, 0.1126, 0.1137, 0.1253, 0.1241, 0.1292, 0.1116, 0.1116, 0.096, 0.0987, 0.1017, 0.1059, 0.098, 0.1043, 0.1041, 0.0961, 0.0894, 0.0956, 0.0876, 0.0909, 0.0629, 0.0715, 0.0451, 0.0415, 0.0361, 0.0393, 0.0394, 0.022, 0.0, 0.0141, 0.0091, -0.0032, 0.0202, 0.0188, 0.0401, 0.0119, 0.03, 0.0134, 0.0022, -0.0066, -0.0269, -0.0214, -0.0096, 0.0034, -0.0189, -0.0039, -0.0081, -0.0126, -0.0174, 0.0039, 0.0268, 0.0338, 0.0237, 0.0388, 0.0565, 0.0322, 0.038, 0.0356, 0.0591, 0.0443, 0.0572, 0.0622, 0.0687, 0.0682, 0.072, 0.072, 0.0593, 0.077, 0.0792, 0.0927, 0.0801, 0.1005, 0.0961, 0.1196, 0.1345, 0.128, 0.1188, 0.1164, 0.1197, 0.146, 0.1758, 0.1771, 0.1678, 0.174, 0.182, 0.1745, 0.1692, 0.1692, 0.1725, 0.1933, 0.1846, 0.1739, 0.1739, 0.1672, 0.172, 0.1542, 0.1432, 0.1545, 0.1471, 0.1418, 0.1482, 0.1459, 0.1459, 0.1257, 0.1239, 0.1135, 0.1171, 0.1237, 0.1148, 0.1083, 0.1155, 0.1134, 0.1262, 0.1364, 0.1476, 0.1701, 0.1442, 0.1211, 0.1321, 0.1266, 0.1201, 0.1178, 0.1191, 0.0999, 0.1055, 0.1112, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1058, 0.0979, 0.1033, 0.118, 0.1147, 0.1068, 0.1139, 0.1217, 0.1287, 0.1242, 0.1402, 0.1469, 0.1458, 0.1438, 0.1432, 0.1336, 0.1281, 0.1108, 0.1104, 0.1071, 0.1102, 0.1098, 0.1122, 0.1229, 0.1172, 0.1204, 0.1315]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1955985992239997398", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-14T13:32:55+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at the open at $15.12", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P500) at open; no price target, watching inflation report impact, acknowledges risk of dip being bought.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at the open at $15.12.  I have no price objective today.  I want to determine if the inflation report this morning has any impact on the markets.  This could be a dangerous trade today because the small dip today could be aggressively bought. https://t.co/YzNXdT6OJz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 9.300492007513483e-05, "alpha_c_m1d": 9.300492007513483e-05, "bench_spy_m1d": -9.300492007513483e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -9.300492007513483e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008010752641349095, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008010752641349095, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010352046251758007, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010352046251758007, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002341293610408912, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002341293610408912, "ret_p1w": 0.048064046897230206, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.048064046897230206, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06263883644010915, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06263883644010915, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014574789542878941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014574789542878941, "ret_p1m": -0.046728943787998856, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.046728943787998856, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06604822814767142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06604822814767142, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01931928435967256, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01931928435967256, "ret_p3m": -0.1468062737854391, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1468062737854391, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2087391303569256, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2087391303569256, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061932856571486505, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061932856571486505, "ret_p6m": -0.17402190415890417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17402190415890417, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2533143395673698, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2533143395673698, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07929243540846564, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07929243540846564, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008010752641349095, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.010352046251758007, "alpha_c_stated": 0.010352046251758007, "price_path": [0.2544, 0.2689, 0.333, 0.3336, 0.362, 0.362, 0.2795, 0.3013, 0.2867, 0.2933, 0.2715, 0.2497, 0.2524, 0.2709, 0.2332, 0.2312, 0.2101, 0.2207, 0.2075, 0.2497, 0.2134, 0.2458, 0.2478, 0.2478, 0.259, 0.2207, 0.1817, 0.1802, 0.1522, 0.1382, 0.1215, 0.1235, 0.1088, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.1081, 0.1115, 0.0921, 0.0828, 0.0955, 0.0901, 0.1048, 0.0941, 0.0748, 0.0781, 0.0728, 0.0728, 0.0461, 0.0447, 0.034, 0.034, 0.0427, 0.0474, 0.0607, 0.1128, 0.0634, 0.0801, 0.0561, 0.0581, 0.0354, 0.0427, 0.0093, 0.0, 0.0, 0.008, 0.0087, 0.026, 0.0347, 0.0481, 0.0013, 0.0147, 0.0027, -0.004, -0.014, 0.0047, 0.0047, 0.028, 0.0127, -0.0127, -0.0027, -0.01, -0.016, -0.0247, -0.0481, -0.0467, -0.0607, -0.0561, -0.0521, -0.0654, -0.0781, -0.0901, -0.0761, -0.067, -0.0528, -0.0683, -0.0758, -0.0859, -0.0954, -0.0974, -0.0961, -0.1055, -0.0947, -0.1103, -0.1028, -0.0298, -0.0731, -0.0697, -0.0812, -0.0629, -0.0771, -0.1049, -0.1042, -0.0906, -0.1062, -0.1265, -0.1583, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.138, -0.1441, -0.1482, -0.1184, -0.1265, -0.0981, -0.1008, -0.1407, -0.1468, -0.1482, -0.1062, -0.1042, -0.0785, -0.0555, -0.0656, -0.023, -0.0509, -0.0927, -0.1177, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.1485, -0.1365, -0.1404, -0.149, -0.1505, -0.1541, -0.1463, -0.1438, -0.1602, -0.1661, -0.138, -0.1336, -0.1262, -0.0966, -0.1172, -0.1399, -0.1558, -0.1671, -0.1751, -0.174, -0.1649, -0.1614, -0.1423, -0.1459, -0.1628, -0.1775, -0.1692, -0.1682, -0.1839, -0.1875, -0.1825, -0.1702, -0.1768, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.1224, -0.1528, -0.1657, -0.1654, -0.1782, -0.1877, -0.1871, -0.1814, -0.1732, -0.1859, -0.1645, -0.1523, -0.1197, -0.1701, -0.1809, -0.174]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1929925825308373213", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-03T15:39:07+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at $19.00 for a strict day trade. Price target is $19.20.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU at $19 targeting $19.20 intraday; bearish on S&P500 expecting an imminent correction.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $19.00 for a strict day trade.  Price target is $19.20.  $SPX has been opening in the red and ending the day in the green as of late.  I’m looking for that trend to change.  I’m very confident that a correction is around the corner and I’m in wait. https://t.co/hlOVVOjkqN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01744178192706891, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01744178192706891, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023112210916603648, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023112210916603648, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005670428989534737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005670428989534737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0021140871601288413, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0021140871601288413, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023827033692428445, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0023827033692428445, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0002686162091140032, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0002686162091140032, "ret_p1w": -0.03171248671927851, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03171248671927851, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.043438773136009856, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.043438773136009856, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011726286416731346, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011726286416731346, "ret_p1m": -0.11276927299373996, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11276927299373996, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1567124758770604, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1567124758770604, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04394320288332043, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04394320288332043, "ret_p3m": -0.19609747808345923, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19609747808345923, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28143156261460245, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28143156261460245, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08533408453114322, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08533408453114322, "ret_p6m": -0.30796650309892437, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30796650309892437, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4547382128592662, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4547382128592662, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14677170976034182, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14677170976034182, "ret_p1y": -0.47298473427299914, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.47298473427299914, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7382090277692785, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7382090277692785, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2652242934962794, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2652242934962794, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0021140871601288413, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0023827033692428445, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0023827033692428445, "price_path": [0.2081, 0.2718, 0.253, 0.3529, 0.3868, 0.3665, 0.4213, 0.3356, 0.3058, 0.3471, 0.3058, 0.3152, 0.3157, 0.2483, 0.2394, 0.2828, 0.2955, 0.3742, 0.3494, 0.3362, 0.3118, 0.4984, 0.7711, 0.7833, 0.8642, 0.342, 0.4762, 0.4017, 0.3621, 0.3721, 0.4651, 0.463, 0.5655, 0.4477, 0.3811, 0.2944, 0.2669, 0.2648, 0.2437, 0.24, 0.2162, 0.1633, 0.1834, 0.2125, 0.1987, 0.176, 0.1813, 0.065, 0.0444, 0.0402, 0.0259, 0.0069, 0.0037, 0.0153, 0.0666, 0.0671, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.0238, 0.0412, 0.0296, 0.0349, 0.0174, 0.0, 0.0021, 0.0169, -0.0132, -0.0148, -0.0317, -0.0233, -0.0338, 0.0, -0.0291, -0.0032, -0.0016, -0.0016, 0.0074, -0.0233, -0.0544, -0.0556, -0.078, -0.0893, -0.1026, -0.101, -0.1128, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.1133, -0.1106, -0.1261, -0.1336, -0.1235, -0.1277, -0.116, -0.1245, -0.14, -0.1373, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.163, -0.164, -0.1726, -0.1726, -0.1657, -0.1619, -0.1512, -0.1096, -0.1491, -0.1357, -0.155, -0.1534, -0.1715, -0.1657, -0.1924, -0.1998, -0.1998, -0.1934, -0.1929, -0.179, -0.1721, -0.1614, -0.1988, -0.1881, -0.1977, -0.203, -0.2111, -0.1961, -0.1961, -0.1774, -0.1897, -0.21, -0.202, -0.2078, -0.2127, -0.2196, -0.2383, -0.2372, -0.2484, -0.2447, -0.2415, -0.2522, -0.2623, -0.2719, -0.2607, -0.2534, -0.2421, -0.2545, -0.2605, -0.2686, -0.2762, -0.2778, -0.2767, -0.2843, -0.2756, -0.2881, -0.2821, -0.2236, -0.2583, -0.2556, -0.2648, -0.2502, -0.2615, -0.2837, -0.2832, -0.2724, -0.2848, -0.3011, -0.3265, -0.3314, -0.3319, -0.3103, -0.3151, -0.3184, -0.2946, -0.3011, -0.2783, -0.2805, -0.3124, -0.3173, -0.3184, -0.2848, -0.2832, -0.2626, -0.2442, -0.2523, -0.2182, -0.2406, -0.274, -0.294, -0.308]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032898795219071174", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-14T19:16:56+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Facebook on Friday triggered a \"Monthly\" Sell Signal. This is the start of a \"Bear Market\".", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Monthly chart sell signal on Facebook signals start of a bear market; bearish META.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Want a true indicator of the economy?  Follow Facebook.  The Monthly Chart has accurately triggered proper “BUY” and “SELL” signals for major trends.  Facebook on Friday triggered a “Monthly” Sell Signal.  Everyone uses Facebook.  This is the start of a “Bear Market”. https://t.co/uh1V9wkx32", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02273494244068175, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02273494244068175, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01266060262658264, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015104605291680784, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01007433981409911, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630337149000965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0076341043414897, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0076341043414897, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010264649332595188, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00798095901896112, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002630544991105488, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00034685467747141985, "ret_p1w": -0.037277878593915736, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037277878593915736, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019550452287145137, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017679092245950878, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0177274263067706, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01959878634796486, "ret_p1m": 0.05584501113953966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05584501113953966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014999935033311207, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.041954788748669536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084507610622845, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890222390870122, "ret_p3m": -0.09406333910448661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09406333910448661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19980570821281607, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06933252741064677, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10574236910832946, "bench_c_p3m": -0.024730811693839838, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05584501113953966, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014999935033311207, "alpha_c_stated": -0.041954788748669536, "price_path": [0.0311, 0.0464, 0.0343, 0.0581, 0.049, 0.0534, 0.0588, 0.063, 0.0562, 0.0489, 0.0605, 0.0511, 0.0357, 0.049, 0.052, 0.033, 0.0288, 0.0399, 0.0223, 0.0049, -0.0199, -0.0114, -0.0123, -0.0123, -0.038, -0.0239, 0.0313, 0.049, 0.0707, 0.0716, 0.0649, 0.1757, 0.1409, 0.1249, 0.1015, 0.0653, 0.0672, 0.0533, 0.0784, 0.068, 0.0648, 0.0348, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.018, 0.0243, 0.0267, 0.0441, 0.0147, 0.018, 0.0409, 0.0462, 0.0322, 0.0407, 0.0431, 0.0633, 0.0519, 0.0269, 0.0309, 0.0415, 0.0428, 0.0162, -0.0227, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0188, -0.0331, -0.0539, -0.0373, -0.055, -0.0519, -0.1274, -0.1621, -0.1451, -0.0882, -0.0769, -0.0845, -0.0845, -0.0867, -0.0835, -0.024, 0.0015, 0.0038, 0.0113, 0.0558, 0.0703, 0.0788, 0.0974, 0.0693, 0.066, 0.0753, 0.0505, 0.0758, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0664, -0.0248, -0.0298, -0.0272, -0.0358, -0.0232, -0.017, -0.0284, -0.0456, -0.039, -0.0172, -0.0144, -0.0211, -0.0259, -0.0396, -0.0357, -0.032, -0.0274, -0.0274, -0.0241, 0.0124, 0.0125, 0.0081, -0.043, -0.0475, -0.0071, 0.0002, -0.0549, -0.067, -0.0683, -0.09, -0.0941, -0.0964, -0.0533, -0.0425, -0.0946, -0.0792, -0.0792, -0.1005, -0.1032, -0.1104, -0.134, -0.134, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1607973105561137159", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-12-28T05:33:57+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TLT is getting destroyed and I have a feeling this is the calm before the storm", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish TLT on bond fund run fears; Nikkei 225 1990 analog implies further downside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pay attention to Jeffrey Gundlach from Doubleline.  He made a post about a potential run on a bond fund.  TLT is getting destroyed and I have a feeling this is the calm before the storm.  Nikkei 225 back in 1990 had a similar start to the year. https://t.co/DxMrDfafHZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005926628841046666, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005926628841046666, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006657598092947525, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006657598092947525, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012584226933994191, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012584226933994191, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011351024828279987, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011351024828279987, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006649417315195638, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006649417315195638, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.018000442143475626, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018000442143475626, "ret_p1w": 0.03314903777509781, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03314903777509781, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01429879553250002, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01429879553250002, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018850242242597792, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018850242242597792, "ret_p1m": 0.07463587898437551, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07463587898437551, "alpha_spy_p1m": -5.928982895686552e-05, "alpha_c_p1m": -5.928982895686552e-05, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07457658915541865, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07457658915541865, "ret_p3m": 0.053402306879562156, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.053402306879562156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0032621332526605595, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0032621332526605595, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056664440132222715, "bench_c_p3m": 0.056664440132222715, "ret_p6m": 0.04089911630389653, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04089911630389653, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1267416415290039, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1267416415290039, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16764075783290044, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16764075783290044, "ret_p1y": 0.030588933040744948, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.030588933040744948, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.23437999193289638, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.23437999193289638, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26496892497364133, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26496892497364133, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07463587898437551, "alpha_spy_stated": -5.928982895686552e-05, "alpha_c_stated": -5.928982895686552e-05, "price_path": [0.0193, 0.0355, 0.0326, 0.0227, 0.017, 0.0071, -0.0085, -0.0041, 0.0008, -0.0088, -0.017, -0.0218, -0.0195, -0.0373, -0.0538, -0.0709, -0.0785, -0.0517, -0.038, -0.028, -0.0347, -0.0415, -0.0326, -0.0368, -0.042, -0.0581, -0.0675, -0.0573, -0.0542, -0.0178, -0.0214, -0.0238, -0.008, 0.0137, 0.003, -0.0039, 0.0003, 0.0145, 0.0322, 0.0322, 0.0287, 0.0316, 0.0195, 0.027, 0.0598, 0.0731, 0.0581, 0.0717, 0.097, 0.094, 0.0655, 0.0689, 0.0793, 0.0839, 0.0881, 0.0759, 0.0579, 0.0391, 0.0417, 0.0415, 0.0262, 0.0262, 0.0059, 0.0, 0.0114, 0.0001, 0.0001, 0.0192, 0.0331, 0.0375, 0.0566, 0.0622, 0.0446, 0.0616, 0.0825, 0.0723, 0.0723, 0.0654, 0.0912, 0.0844, 0.0668, 0.0618, 0.077, 0.0797, 0.0746, 0.0719, 0.068, 0.0765, 0.0895, 0.0909, 0.0746, 0.0666, 0.0581, 0.0631, 0.053, 0.0412, 0.05, 0.0476, 0.0378, 0.0231, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.011, 0.0203, 0.0303, 0.0169, 0.0197, 0.0243, 0.0133, 0.0043, 0.0287, 0.0207, 0.027, 0.028, 0.0305, 0.066, 0.0684, 0.0509, 0.0712, 0.0628, 0.0787, 0.0693, 0.0601, 0.0742, 0.0742, 0.0787, 0.0534, 0.0553, 0.0532, 0.058, 0.0739, 0.0789, 0.0843, 0.0956, 0.0985, 0.0985, 0.0808, 0.083, 0.0819, 0.0734, 0.0636, 0.0509, 0.0547, 0.0536, 0.0627, 0.0567, 0.0669, 0.0826, 0.0711, 0.0604, 0.0775, 0.0465, 0.0725, 0.0785, 0.0679, 0.0643, 0.0494, 0.0456, 0.0558, 0.067, 0.058, 0.0471, 0.0439, 0.0409, 0.0332, 0.0259, 0.0222, 0.0252, 0.0201, 0.0175, 0.0258, 0.0258, 0.036, 0.045, 0.0491, 0.0376, 0.0357, 0.0418, 0.0264, 0.0384, 0.0369, 0.04, 0.0297, 0.0379, 0.0479, 0.0438, 0.0438, 0.0511, 0.0536, 0.0409]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2009142362707259539", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-08T05:57:21+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NVDA is poised to be at $110 by the fall of 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Short SPX on Sell Warning Order signal; long NVDA to $110 by fall 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Game plan for trading for Thursday.  A daily \"Sell Warning Order\" was triggered on Wednesday.  It's a heads up that a possible trend change is forming.  I didn't  expect to see this since $SPX is having a good week.  NVDA is poised to be at $110 by the fall of 2026.  I’m short. https://t.co/mrtzrCU5eN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02199527939545609, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02199527939545609, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021893741772340602, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006057821344240599, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010153762311548853, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0009727536507572188, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0009727536507572188, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007586136647645847, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027992622608290163, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613382996888628, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": 0.010862525850379168, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010862525850379168, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006903181479078535, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03512932641227229, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959344371300633, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": 0.0019996684282241883, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0019996684282241883, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0003898388031944311, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05781874482042104, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016098296250297572, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": -0.037453244746866066, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.037453244746866066, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.003865537648841677, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09265400020547232, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131878239570774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0406, -0.0102, 0.0177, -0.0271, -0.0282, -0.0175, -0.0099, -0.013, -0.021, -0.0258, -0.0156, 0.0065, 0.0348, 0.0864, 0.1188, 0.0964, 0.0942, 0.118, 0.0737, 0.0549, 0.0164, 0.0168, 0.0757, 0.0438, 0.0473, 0.0098, 0.0277, 0.0084, -0.0199, 0.0079, -0.0238, -0.0333, -0.0135, -0.0391, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0435, -0.0277, -0.0194, -0.0295, -0.009, -0.0142, 0.0028, -0.0004, -0.0068, -0.0222, -0.0542, -0.0473, -0.0396, -0.0762, -0.0589, -0.0219, -0.0073, 0.0225, 0.0193, 0.0297, 0.0172, 0.0135, 0.0079, 0.0206, 0.0166, 0.0119, 0.022, 0.0, -0.001, -0.0005, 0.0042, -0.0103, 0.0109, 0.0064, 0.0064, -0.0377, -0.0093, -0.0011, 0.0142, 0.0077, 0.0188, 0.035, 0.0404, 0.0329, 0.0031, -0.0254, -0.0586, -0.0711, 0.002, 0.027, 0.0189, 0.0271, 0.0103, -0.0121, -0.0121, -0.0004, 0.0159, 0.0155, 0.0258, 0.0352, 0.0422, 0.0569, -0.0008, -0.0424, -0.0138, -0.027, -0.0108, -0.0092, -0.039, -0.0129, -0.0015, 0.0054, -0.0102, -0.0258, -0.0098, -0.0168, -0.025, -0.035, -0.0666, -0.0507, -0.0531, -0.0343, -0.0745, -0.0946, -0.1073, -0.0575, -0.0502, -0.0413, -0.0413, -0.0399, -0.0375, -0.0159, -0.0061, 0.0195, 0.0231, 0.062, 0.0748, 0.072, 0.09, 0.092, 0.0803, 0.0944, 0.079, 0.1256, 0.1707, 0.1521, 0.1309, 0.0786, 0.0725, 0.0727, 0.062, 0.1232, 0.1431, 0.1631, 0.186, 0.1932, 0.2205, 0.2741, 0.2177, 0.2015, 0.1923, 0.2078, 0.1863, 0.1638, 0.1638, 0.1612, 0.149, 0.1579, 0.1411, 0.2126, 0.2042, 0.1606, 0.1831, 0.1098, 0.1289, 0.1265, 0.0844, 0.1085, 0.1102, 0.1495, 0.1223, 0.1073, 0.14, 0.14, 0.129, 0.0824, 0.0768, 0.0591, 0.0591, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1894517563247530086", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-02-25T22:39:20+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect a positive reaction from NVDA and don't want to be squeezed by the news", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects positive NVDA reaction; bearish SPX approaching weekly sell signal at 5,914.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "SPX was down -0.47% today to close at 5,955.36. My family accounts were up by +3.39% and covered my short position to cash. I expect a positive reaction from NVDA and don’t want to be squeezed by the news.  We are now even closer to triggering a weekly sell signal on $SPX 5,914! https://t.co/ZwKlb2vjLV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.035420597257324604, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035420597257324604, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03491595002328329, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012575826116224875, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005046472340413111, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02284477114109973, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08478068700982078, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08478068700982078, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06881867306952827, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02313676797747921, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015962013940292508, "bench_c_p1d": -0.061643919032341565, "ret_p1w": -0.10648994451697735, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10648994451697735, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08718094890071515, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04734787395095175, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019308995616262203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.059142070566025606, "ret_p1m": -0.15112546817874506, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15112546817874506, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10780766895859362, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04420231679258679, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04331779922015144, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10692315138615827, "ret_p3m": 0.032239961744837675, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.032239961744837675, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03495083521683884, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027523406429773578, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002710873472001163, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004716555315064097, "ret_p6m": 0.3560231626254142, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3560231626254142, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2641460409377687, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.151692082690436, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0918771216876455, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20433107993497823, "ret_p1y": 0.43229276280868145, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.43229276280868145, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.26441647770982946, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.26499895311170785, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.167876285098852, "bench_c_p1y": 0.6972917159203893, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15112546817874506, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10780766895859362, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04420231679258679, "price_path": [0.0309, 0.053, 0.0559, 0.0683, 0.1055, 0.105, 0.085, 0.0574, 0.0289, 0.0612, 0.0462, 0.0226, 0.0055, -0.0068, -0.0181, -0.0046, 0.0261, 0.0639, 0.0681, 0.0681, 0.0659, 0.0436, 0.0473, 0.0229, 0.0535, 0.1005, 0.1383, 0.0675, 0.0673, 0.0673, 0.0353, 0.0149, 0.0037, 0.0378, 0.0174, 0.049, 0.049, 0.0727, 0.1203, 0.1214, 0.0864, -0.098, -0.0174, -0.0577, -0.0505, -0.0854, -0.1114, -0.0962, -0.0491, -0.0198, -0.011, 0.0174, 0.0116, -0.0011, 0.0305, 0.0577, 0.0577, 0.0619, 0.0606, 0.0673, 0.024, -0.0076, -0.0354, 0.0, -0.0848, -0.0484, -0.1312, -0.1165, -0.1065, -0.1578, -0.1416, -0.1851, -0.1715, -0.1183, -0.1195, -0.0731, -0.0894, -0.1207, -0.1047, -0.097, -0.1034, -0.0751, -0.0806, -0.1334, -0.1511, -0.1645, -0.1744, -0.1609, -0.1588, -0.2245, -0.2815, -0.2562, -0.2664, -0.129, -0.1805, -0.1549, -0.1566, -0.1453, -0.204, -0.2268, -0.2617, -0.2467, -0.2176, -0.1892, -0.1543, -0.1717, -0.1695, -0.1702, -0.1498, -0.1277, -0.1329, -0.1351, -0.1082, -0.1059, -0.1114, -0.063, -0.0102, 0.031, 0.0271, 0.0315, 0.0328, 0.0237, 0.0041, 0.0119, 0.0002, 0.0002, 0.0322, 0.027, 0.0604, 0.0294, 0.0466, 0.0758, 0.0811, 0.0664, 0.0796, 0.0866, 0.0967, 0.0882, 0.1047, 0.0816, 0.1023, 0.098, 0.1083, 0.1083, 0.0959, 0.0984, 0.1268, 0.1756, 0.181, 0.2018, 0.2037, 0.1679, 0.198, 0.2139, 0.2139, 0.2056, 0.219, 0.2409, 0.2502, 0.2564, 0.25, 0.3005, 0.3056, 0.318, 0.3135, 0.3057, 0.2725, 0.3011, 0.3236, 0.3218, 0.3466, 0.3371, 0.3658, 0.3551, 0.3235, 0.3713, 0.3581, 0.3669, 0.3772, 0.3919, 0.387, 0.3954, 0.3834, 0.3867, 0.3748, 0.3866, 0.3381, 0.3363, 0.3331, 0.356]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1881750254783238288", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-21T17:06:36+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just purchased $SPXU at $21.93 just moments ago. Objective is a day trade only. Price objective is $22.07.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P500) at $21.93, targeting $22.07; still holding as of second tweet.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just purchased $SPXU at $21.93 just moments ago.  Objective is a day trade only.  Price objective is $22.07.  Fast approaching a 52 week high.  Remember the old saying of not shorting at new highs.  But I am. https://t.co/CfrXBk82si\n\n---\n\nI did not cover today.  $SPX still being impacted by the Trump transition to power, moving higher by +0.76% and 50 points from hitting a new high.  Family accounts were down again by -0.86%.  Looks like the downtrend channel was broken today.  Perhaps to eager to trade again.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02796523450648869, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02796523450648869, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03703579166859183, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03703579166859183, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009070557162103143, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009070557162103143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015911308674087965, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015911308674087965, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021532744062581766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021532744062581766, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005621435388493801, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005621435388493801, "ret_p1w": -0.005785876488594965, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005785876488594965, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00822357843156074, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00822357843156074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0024377019429657754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0024377019429657754, "ret_p1m": -0.039537185257614404, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.039537185257614404, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05592053941813224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05592053941813224, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016383354160517838, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016383354160517838, "ret_p3m": 0.4439928935869428, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4439928935869428, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5892944958921359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5892944958921359, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.14530160230519307, "bench_c_p3m": -0.14530160230519307, "ret_p6m": -0.20677967073804093, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20677967073804093, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25444003791483727, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25444003791483727, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04766036717679634, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04766036717679634, "ret_p1y": -0.39663394694674625, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.39663394694674625, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5605790792996527, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5605790792996527, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16394513235290642, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16394513235290642, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015911308674087965, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.021532744062581766, "alpha_c_stated": 0.021532744062581766, "price_path": [0.1276, 0.121, 0.1233, 0.1139, 0.1082, 0.12, 0.187, 0.1733, 0.1814, 0.1389, 0.0544, 0.0299, 0.0181, 0.0158, 0.0257, 0.0252, 0.0455, 0.0865, 0.0747, 0.0625, 0.0615, 0.0455, 0.0375, 0.0276, 0.011, 0.0219, 0.0219, 0.0044, -0.0012, -0.0017, -0.0196, -0.0144, -0.0191, -0.0026, 0.0068, -0.0163, -0.0007, 0.0021, -0.0107, 0.003, 0.0917, 0.0946, 0.0573, 0.0376, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0048, 0.0371, 0.0743, 0.0863, 0.0959, 0.0559, 0.0376, 0.0728, 0.0704, 0.0704, 0.1196, 0.1148, 0.1119, 0.0516, 0.0574, 0.028, 0.028, 0.0, -0.0159, -0.0318, -0.0217, 0.0193, -0.0058, 0.0072, -0.0077, 0.0092, 0.0294, 0.0092, -0.0024, -0.013, 0.0159, -0.0039, -0.0058, 0.0039, -0.0275, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0323, -0.0395, -0.0275, 0.0236, 0.0386, 0.055, 0.0545, 0.1041, 0.055, 0.1095, 0.1504, 0.1143, 0.1731, 0.1557, 0.2478, 0.2792, 0.2604, 0.311, 0.2319, 0.2044, 0.2425, 0.2044, 0.2131, 0.2136, 0.1514, 0.1432, 0.1832, 0.1949, 0.2675, 0.2446, 0.2324, 0.21, 0.3821, 0.6336, 0.6448, 0.7194, 0.2378, 0.3616, 0.2929, 0.2563, 0.2656, 0.3514, 0.3494, 0.444, 0.3353, 0.2739, 0.1939, 0.1686, 0.1666, 0.1471, 0.1437, 0.1218, 0.073, 0.0915, 0.1183, 0.1057, 0.0847, 0.0896, -0.0177, -0.0367, -0.0406, -0.0538, -0.0713, -0.0742, -0.0635, -0.0162, -0.0157, 0.0052, 0.0052, -0.0557, -0.0396, -0.0503, -0.0455, -0.0616, -0.0776, -0.0757, -0.062, -0.0898, -0.0913, -0.1069, -0.0991, -0.1088, -0.0776, -0.1045, -0.0806, -0.0791, -0.0791, -0.0708, -0.0991, -0.1279, -0.1289, -0.1496, -0.16, -0.1723, -0.1708, -0.1817, -0.2004, -0.2004, -0.1821, -0.1797, -0.194, -0.2009, -0.1915, -0.1954, -0.1846, -0.1925, -0.2068]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1640938515826610176", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-03-29T04:46:43+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Short the Nasdaq. I will do the opposite and short.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short the Nasdaq via SQQQ; megacap flow to names like MSFT seen as a topping signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Microsoft is up nearly 25% YTD.  This is the largest component of the Nasdaq.  Short the Nasdaq.  Once again, money has been flowing to the Mega Cap stocks for protection from the downside.  I will do the opposite and short.  Sqqq seems to be the best option.  Warning Order! https://t.co/MRZ1pRvafb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017907623717879906, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017907623717879906, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003581127328379452, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003581127328379452, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014326496389500454, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014326496389500454, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0094651187763235, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0094651187763235, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003609702266511139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003609702266511139, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005855416509812361, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005855416509812361, "ret_p1w": 0.010232899430875797, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010232899430875797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005339558357903895, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005339558357903895, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015572457788779692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015572457788779692, "ret_p1m": 0.02439886016091375, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02439886016091375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0031582126029785496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0031582126029785496, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0275570727638923, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0275570727638923, "ret_p3m": 0.14533962511782184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14533962511782184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06637444485902178, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06637444485902178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07896518025880006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07896518025880006, "ret_p6m": 0.14757485911095736, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14757485911095736, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0649291494389761, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0649291494389761, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08264570967198126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08264570967198126, "ret_p1y": 0.3949945115912805, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3949945115912805, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.10631124435854433, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10631124435854433, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2886832672327362, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2886832672327362, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02439886016091375, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0031582126029785496, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0031582126029785496, "price_path": [-0.1498, -0.1498, -0.1556, -0.1515, -0.1648, -0.1418, -0.1362, -0.1289, -0.1138, -0.109, -0.1029, -0.1029, -0.1011, -0.1128, -0.1215, -0.0975, -0.0774, -0.0793, -0.0813, -0.0634, -0.0541, -0.0732, -0.0593, -0.0392, -0.0047, -0.0224, -0.0307, -0.0106, -0.0282, -0.0368, -0.0431, -0.0278, -0.0206, -0.0131, -0.0316, -0.0385, -0.0385, -0.0612, -0.0605, -0.0523, -0.0682, -0.0615, -0.0627, -0.0703, -0.0626, -0.0432, -0.0421, -0.0538, -0.0491, -0.0656, -0.0787, -0.0719, -0.0506, -0.0456, -0.0204, -0.025, -0.0216, -0.0076, -0.0211, -0.0095, -0.0059, -0.0127, -0.0179, 0.0, 0.0095, 0.0263, 0.0238, 0.0203, 0.0102, 0.017, 0.017, 0.0165, 0.0099, 0.001, 0.0206, 0.0187, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0192, 0.0114, 0.0124, 0.0103, -0.0087, -0.0027, 0.0244, 0.0315, 0.0303, 0.0213, 0.0146, 0.011, 0.0325, 0.0351, 0.0285, 0.0397, 0.0431, 0.0394, 0.045, 0.0462, 0.0588, 0.0785, 0.0761, 0.0797, 0.066, 0.0605, 0.0863, 0.1141, 0.1141, 0.1191, 0.1128, 0.1256, 0.1341, 0.1349, 0.1347, 0.1154, 0.1293, 0.1336, 0.1528, 0.1616, 0.1701, 0.184, 0.1765, 0.1765, 0.1749, 0.1589, 0.1725, 0.1609, 0.1453, 0.165, 0.1673, 0.165, 0.1829, 0.1857, 0.1857, 0.1857, 0.1767, 0.1727, 0.1731, 0.1789, 0.1938, 0.2141, 0.2138, 0.2252, 0.2352, 0.2349, 0.2064, 0.2028, 0.2047, 0.2129, 0.2089, 0.206, 0.228, 0.2286, 0.2257, 0.1988, 0.1969, 0.1913, 0.2014, 0.1912, 0.1781, 0.1803, 0.1727, 0.1859, 0.1733, 0.1609, 0.1482, 0.1468, 0.1653, 0.1636, 0.1819, 0.1567, 0.1656, 0.1744, 0.2001, 0.2068, 0.2104, 0.2091, 0.2091, 0.2106, 0.2, 0.1914, 0.1931, 0.2071, 0.1937, 0.1983, 0.2081, 0.1874, 0.1886, 0.1861, 0.169, 0.1476]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1640938515826610176", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-03-29T04:46:43+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sqqq seems to be the best option", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short the Nasdaq via SQQQ; megacap flow to names like MSFT seen as a topping signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Microsoft is up nearly 25% YTD.  This is the largest component of the Nasdaq.  Short the Nasdaq.  Once again, money has been flowing to the Mega Cap stocks for protection from the downside.  I will do the opposite and short.  Sqqq seems to be the best option.  Warning Order! https://t.co/MRZ1pRvafb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05636009217337157, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05636009217337157, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07068658856287202, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07068658856287202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014326496389500454, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014326496389500454, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027707664754144323, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027707664754144323, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033563081263956684, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033563081263956684, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005855416509812361, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005855416509812361, "ret_p1w": -0.02896734830758807, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02896734830758807, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04453980609636776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04453980609636776, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015572457788779692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015572457788779692, "ret_p1m": -0.06926964165514815, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06926964165514815, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09682671441904045, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09682671441904045, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0275570727638923, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0275570727638923, "ret_p3m": -0.3357445283455187, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3357445283455187, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41470970860431877, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.41470970860431877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07896518025880006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07896518025880006, "ret_p6m": -0.3348699560003128, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3348699560003128, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.41751566567229403, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41751566567229403, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08264570967198126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08264570967198126, "ret_p1y": -0.6233018428437298, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6233018428437298, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.911985110076466, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.911985110076466, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2886832672327362, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2886832672327362, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06926964165514815, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09682671441904045, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09682671441904045, "price_path": [0.69, 0.69, 0.7256, 0.7025, 0.7813, 0.6396, 0.6045, 0.5654, 0.485, 0.4625, 0.4334, 0.4334, 0.4274, 0.4813, 0.5276, 0.4015, 0.3092, 0.3182, 0.3273, 0.2513, 0.2156, 0.2891, 0.2316, 0.1527, 0.0329, 0.0848, 0.1133, 0.0445, 0.1002, 0.1305, 0.1537, 0.0983, 0.0751, 0.0507, 0.1108, 0.1355, 0.1355, 0.2162, 0.2153, 0.1843, 0.245, 0.2181, 0.2244, 0.2538, 0.2244, 0.1493, 0.1452, 0.1878, 0.1706, 0.2344, 0.2854, 0.2575, 0.1721, 0.1555, 0.0645, 0.0792, 0.0692, 0.0244, 0.0661, 0.0293, 0.0183, 0.0394, 0.0564, 0.0, -0.0277, -0.0756, -0.0693, -0.0595, -0.029, -0.0488, -0.0488, -0.0463, -0.0277, -0.0022, -0.0586, -0.0532, -0.0545, -0.0548, -0.0532, -0.0299, -0.0324, -0.0261, 0.0293, 0.0123, -0.0693, -0.0882, -0.0853, -0.0614, -0.0422, -0.0309, -0.0919, -0.0982, -0.0806, -0.1099, -0.1171, -0.1077, -0.1215, -0.1244, -0.1559, -0.2009, -0.1952, -0.2034, -0.1729, -0.1603, -0.2191, -0.2787, -0.2787, -0.2887, -0.2739, -0.3004, -0.3155, -0.3168, -0.3161, -0.2809, -0.3057, -0.3139, -0.3486, -0.3634, -0.3772, -0.3977, -0.3863, -0.3863, -0.3838, -0.3587, -0.3801, -0.361, -0.3357, -0.3686, -0.3728, -0.368, -0.3964, -0.4002, -0.4002, -0.4002, -0.3859, -0.3792, -0.3798, -0.3884, -0.4114, -0.4401, -0.4398, -0.4548, -0.4682, -0.4682, -0.4302, -0.4245, -0.4274, -0.4388, -0.4331, -0.4277, -0.4586, -0.4602, -0.4554, -0.4197, -0.4152, -0.4072, -0.4219, -0.4066, -0.3871, -0.3894, -0.3772, -0.398, -0.3788, -0.3584, -0.3367, -0.3335, -0.3657, -0.3622, -0.3926, -0.3517, -0.3673, -0.3814, -0.421, -0.4309, -0.4347, -0.4328, -0.4328, -0.4344, -0.4197, -0.406, -0.4082, -0.429, -0.4098, -0.4159, -0.4293, -0.3993, -0.4015, -0.397, -0.3712, -0.3349]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1728798971043172730", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-11-26T15:32:48+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SQQQ could be the best opportunity for 2024. I'm not brave enough.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "SQQQ flagged as best opportunity for 2024 on Nasdaq downside thesis, though author admits insufficient conviction to act.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looking at the long term charts, 14,500 on the Nasdaq is my Panic Buying Zone and 11,475 is my Panic Selling Zone for the first half of 2024.  That represents +1.74% upside and -24.75 downside for the Nasdaq.  SQQQ could be the best opportunity for 2024.  I’m not brave enough. https://t.co/q9NTYvdV6O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0018833413363052998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018833413363052998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0036877680158442505, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0036877680158442505, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0018044266795389508, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0018044266795389508, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0069052757853809155, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0069052757853809155, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007895418462190218, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007895418462190218, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009901426768093025, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009901426768093025, "ret_p1w": 0.026365480427772203, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026365480427772203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02150276583521804, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02150276583521804, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004862714592554163, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004862714592554163, "ret_p1m": -0.1481799869318794, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1481799869318794, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19900383828545976, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19900383828545976, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05082385135358036, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05082385135358036, "ret_p3m": -0.2936753616221236, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2936753616221236, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4148636578523096, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4148636578523096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12118829623018601, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12118829623018601, "ret_p6m": -0.3681941585908983, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3681941585908983, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5457420344132824, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5457420344132824, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17754787582238407, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17754787582238407, "ret_p1y": -0.5669037326862703, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5669037326862703, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8986799434944248, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8986799434944248, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.33177621080815456, "bench_c_p1y": 0.33177621080815456, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1481799869318794, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19900383828545976, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19900383828545976, "price_path": [0.1001, 0.0927, 0.0964, 0.0964, 0.0933, 0.1217, 0.1482, 0.1439, 0.1038, 0.1408, 0.1291, 0.1032, 0.1612, 0.1568, 0.1655, 0.2153, 0.2856, 0.285, 0.2668, 0.3245, 0.3151, 0.2856, 0.2831, 0.2524, 0.3189, 0.2662, 0.2787, 0.2153, 0.1965, 0.1777, 0.1532, 0.167, 0.2116, 0.1701, 0.182, 0.231, 0.2655, 0.3233, 0.312, 0.275, 0.3685, 0.4495, 0.4281, 0.3829, 0.3622, 0.2913, 0.2241, 0.1814, 0.1682, 0.1362, 0.1337, 0.162, 0.0847, 0.0948, 0.0257, 0.0232, 0.0213, 0.022, -0.0144, 0.0038, -0.0075, -0.0075, -0.0019, 0.0, -0.0069, -0.0025, 0.0056, -0.0019, 0.0264, 0.0188, 0.037, -0.005, -0.0169, -0.0421, -0.0647, -0.0998, -0.0954, -0.1055, -0.1255, -0.1375, -0.0988, -0.1283, -0.1328, -0.1328, -0.1482, -0.1527, -0.1495, -0.1379, -0.1379, -0.0937, -0.0649, -0.0488, -0.0514, -0.1097, -0.1142, -0.1322, -0.1354, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1354, -0.1206, -0.1572, -0.2065, -0.2091, -0.2187, -0.2315, -0.2328, -0.2187, -0.2418, -0.2264, -0.1809, -0.2091, -0.2488, -0.245, -0.2398, -0.2623, -0.2661, -0.2873, -0.2783, -0.2437, -0.2687, -0.2738, -0.2533, -0.2533, -0.236, -0.2264, -0.2937, -0.2873, -0.2853, -0.2905, -0.2789, -0.2956, -0.3276, -0.3193, -0.2828, -0.2962, -0.3264, -0.2975, -0.2892, -0.32, -0.3026, -0.2975, -0.2719, -0.2918, -0.2969, -0.3213, -0.3298, -0.3311, -0.3239, -0.3181, -0.3233, -0.3181, -0.3181, -0.3226, -0.3051, -0.309, -0.2764, -0.3012, -0.3012, -0.3096, -0.2908, -0.3233, -0.2914, -0.2556, -0.2556, -0.2283, -0.2146, -0.1645, -0.1886, -0.225, -0.2316, -0.2192, -0.2563, -0.2641, -0.2224, -0.2049, -0.2335, -0.2791, -0.3038, -0.3025, -0.3012, -0.3051, -0.3096, -0.3135, -0.3272, -0.3578, -0.3532, -0.3513, -0.3649, -0.3682]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965069698946728149", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-08T15:08:20+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have placed a second trade today to $SPXU at a price of $14.78. The price objective is $14.85 or potentially greater", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Long SPXU at $14.78 targeting $14.85+; trading against the (upward) market trend for small wins.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have placed a second trade today to $SPXU at a price of $14.78.  The price objective is $14.85 or potentially greater if the market gives it to me.  I’m trying to achieve small wins when trading against the trend. https://t.co/nMEu0Dy3BQ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0074174406997571385, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0074174406997571385, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00986809356201146, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00986809356201146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450652862254321, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450652862254321, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006068833573597776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006068833573597776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008380813305635226, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008380813305635226, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0023119797320374502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023119797320374502, "ret_p1w": -0.051247476817579574, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.051247476817579574, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06986562855965361, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06986562855965361, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01861815174207404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01861815174207404, "ret_p1m": -0.08555132140693378, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08555132140693378, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11968212669169265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11968212669169265, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080528475887, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080528475887, "ret_p3m": -0.1419354017930946, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1419354017930946, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19966612920024096, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19966612920024096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.057730727407146354, "bench_c_p3m": 0.057730727407146354, "ret_p6m": -0.12245229545059444, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12245229545059444, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17853435342071844, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17853435342071844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.056082057970124, "bench_c_p6m": 0.056082057970124, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006068833573597776, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.008380813305635226, "alpha_c_stated": -0.008380813305635226, "price_path": [0.233, 0.2197, 0.2624, 0.2257, 0.2584, 0.2604, 0.2604, 0.2717, 0.233, 0.1937, 0.1922, 0.1639, 0.1497, 0.1328, 0.1349, 0.12, 0.0944, 0.0944, 0.1194, 0.1227, 0.1032, 0.0937, 0.1065, 0.1011, 0.116, 0.1052, 0.0856, 0.089, 0.0836, 0.0836, 0.0566, 0.0553, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0533, 0.058, 0.0715, 0.1241, 0.0742, 0.091, 0.0668, 0.0688, 0.0459, 0.0533, 0.0196, 0.0101, 0.0101, 0.0182, 0.0189, 0.0364, 0.0452, 0.0587, 0.0115, 0.0249, 0.0128, 0.0061, -0.004, 0.0148, 0.0148, 0.0384, 0.0229, -0.0027, 0.0074, 0.0, -0.0061, -0.0148, -0.0384, -0.0371, -0.0512, -0.0465, -0.0425, -0.056, -0.0688, -0.0809, -0.0668, -0.0575, -0.0432, -0.0589, -0.0664, -0.0767, -0.0862, -0.0883, -0.0869, -0.0965, -0.0856, -0.1013, -0.0938, -0.0199, -0.0637, -0.0603, -0.0719, -0.0534, -0.0678, -0.0958, -0.0951, -0.0815, -0.0972, -0.1177, -0.1498, -0.1559, -0.1566, -0.1293, -0.1354, -0.1395, -0.1095, -0.1177, -0.089, -0.0917, -0.132, -0.1382, -0.1395, -0.0972, -0.0951, -0.0691, -0.0459, -0.0562, -0.0131, -0.0413, -0.0835, -0.1088, -0.1264, -0.1264, -0.1399, -0.1278, -0.1317, -0.1404, -0.1419, -0.1455, -0.1377, -0.1351, -0.1517, -0.1577, -0.1293, -0.1248, -0.1173, -0.0874, -0.1083, -0.1312, -0.1472, -0.1587, -0.1667, -0.1657, -0.1564, -0.1529, -0.1336, -0.1373, -0.1543, -0.1692, -0.1608, -0.1597, -0.1756, -0.1793, -0.1742, -0.1618, -0.1685, -0.1648, -0.1648, -0.1136, -0.1442, -0.1573, -0.157, -0.1698, -0.1794, -0.1789, -0.1732, -0.1648, -0.1777, -0.1561, -0.1437, -0.1108, -0.1617, -0.1726, -0.1657, -0.1653, -0.1261, -0.1263, -0.1263, -0.1305, -0.143, -0.1367, -0.1538, -0.1279, -0.1468, -0.1678, -0.1535, -0.1411, -0.1413, -0.1179, -0.1367, -0.1225]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2009302709074088383", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T16:34:31+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at $48.20", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P) expecting market decline driven by NVDA nearing a weekly sell signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $48.20.  NVDA is down today and very close to triggering a “Confirmed Weekly Sell Signal”.  This last happened in December of 2024.  At 8% of the index, this is important to watch.  If NVDA reverses lower so will other related stocks.  Speculative trade. https://t.co/Q6moBXVhCJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0012443549604872484, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0012443549604872484, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001345892583602737, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001345892583602737, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010153762311548853, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010153762311548853, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01887181758695322, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01887181758695322, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02548520058384185, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02548520058384185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613382996888628, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006613382996888628, "ret_p1w": -0.01036919514773238, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01036919514773238, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014328539519033012, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014328539519033012, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959344371300633, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003959344371300633, "ret_p1m": -0.0022812503145920315, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0022812503145920315, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0038910799396217888, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0038910799396217888, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016098296250297572, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0016098296250297572, "ret_p3m": 0.14000833543061364, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14000833543061364, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18132711782632138, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18132711782632138, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131878239570774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04131878239570774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0022812503145920315, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0038910799396217888, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0038910799396217888, "price_path": [0.0785, 0.1664, 0.1143, 0.1184, 0.1046, 0.1265, 0.1094, 0.0761, 0.0769, 0.0932, 0.0745, 0.0501, 0.0118, 0.0045, 0.0037, 0.0362, 0.0289, 0.024, 0.0598, 0.0501, 0.0842, 0.081, 0.033, 0.0257, 0.024, 0.0745, 0.0769, 0.1078, 0.1355, 0.1233, 0.1745, 0.141, 0.0907, 0.0606, 0.0397, 0.0397, 0.0236, 0.0381, 0.0334, 0.023, 0.0212, 0.0169, 0.0263, 0.0293, 0.0096, 0.0025, 0.0362, 0.0415, 0.0505, 0.0861, 0.0613, 0.034, 0.0149, 0.0013, -0.0083, -0.0071, 0.0039, 0.0081, 0.0311, 0.0268, 0.0064, -0.0112, -0.0012, 0.0, -0.0189, -0.0232, -0.0172, -0.0025, -0.0104, -0.006, -0.006, 0.055, 0.0185, 0.0029, 0.0033, -0.012, -0.0234, -0.0228, -0.016, -0.006, -0.0214, 0.0044, 0.0191, 0.0583, -0.0023, -0.0153, -0.0071, -0.0066, 0.04, 0.0398, 0.0398, 0.0348, 0.0199, 0.0274, 0.0071, 0.038, 0.0153, -0.0095, 0.0075, 0.0222, 0.022, 0.0498, 0.0274, 0.0444, 0.0871, 0.0589, 0.0649, 0.0693, 0.1182, 0.1385, 0.1045, 0.096, 0.1418, 0.152, 0.2034, 0.1649, 0.1765, 0.158, 0.2203, 0.2838, 0.2972, 0.186, 0.1586, 0.1565, 0.1565, 0.1417, 0.14, 0.0541, 0.0359, 0.0395, 0.0094, -0.0268, -0.0498, -0.0565, -0.0895, -0.0841, -0.0659, -0.0935, -0.0824, -0.1031, -0.1075, -0.0939, -0.0935, -0.1194, -0.1261, -0.1165, -0.1369, -0.1727, -0.1645, -0.1844, -0.1898, -0.1861, -0.1994, -0.2176, -0.1884, -0.1867, -0.1698, -0.1957, -0.2001, -0.2082, -0.2082, -0.2233, -0.2231, -0.2358, -0.24, -0.2456, -0.2486, -0.2331, -0.2412, -0.1813, -0.1869, -0.1794, -0.1403, -0.1833, -0.1957, -0.2379, -0.2243, -0.1951, -0.2178, -0.2178, -0.2105, -0.1771, -0.1752, -0.1762, -0.1762, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2009302709074088383", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-08T16:34:31+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NVDA is down today and very close to triggering a 'Confirmed Weekly Sell Signal'", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P) expecting market decline driven by NVDA nearing a weekly sell signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $48.20.  NVDA is down today and very close to triggering a “Confirmed Weekly Sell Signal”.  This last happened in December of 2024.  At 8% of the index, this is important to watch.  If NVDA reverses lower so will other related stocks.  Speculative trade. https://t.co/Q6moBXVhCJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02199527939545609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02199527939545609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021893741772340602, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006057821344240599, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010153762311548853, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0009727536507572188, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009727536507572188, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007586136647645847, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027992622608290163, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613382996888628, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": 0.010862525850379168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010862525850379168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006903181479078535, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03512932641227229, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959344371300633, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": 0.0019996684282241883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0019996684282241883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0003898388031944311, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05781874482042104, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016098296250297572, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": -0.037453244746866066, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.037453244746866066, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003865537648841677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09265400020547232, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131878239570774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0019996684282241883, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0003898388031944311, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05781874482042104, "price_path": [0.0406, -0.0102, 0.0177, -0.0271, -0.0282, -0.0175, -0.0099, -0.013, -0.021, -0.0258, -0.0156, 0.0065, 0.0348, 0.0864, 0.1188, 0.0964, 0.0942, 0.118, 0.0737, 0.0549, 0.0164, 0.0168, 0.0757, 0.0438, 0.0473, 0.0098, 0.0277, 0.0084, -0.0199, 0.0079, -0.0238, -0.0333, -0.0135, -0.0391, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0435, -0.0277, -0.0194, -0.0295, -0.009, -0.0142, 0.0028, -0.0004, -0.0068, -0.0222, -0.0542, -0.0473, -0.0396, -0.0762, -0.0589, -0.0219, -0.0073, 0.0225, 0.0193, 0.0297, 0.0172, 0.0135, 0.0079, 0.0206, 0.0166, 0.0119, 0.022, 0.0, -0.001, -0.0005, 0.0042, -0.0103, 0.0109, 0.0064, 0.0064, -0.0377, -0.0093, -0.0011, 0.0142, 0.0077, 0.0188, 0.035, 0.0404, 0.0329, 0.0031, -0.0254, -0.0586, -0.0711, 0.002, 0.027, 0.0189, 0.0271, 0.0103, -0.0121, -0.0121, -0.0004, 0.0159, 0.0155, 0.0258, 0.0352, 0.0422, 0.0569, -0.0008, -0.0424, -0.0138, -0.027, -0.0108, -0.0092, -0.039, -0.0129, -0.0015, 0.0054, -0.0102, -0.0258, -0.0098, -0.0168, -0.025, -0.035, -0.0666, -0.0507, -0.0531, -0.0343, -0.0745, -0.0946, -0.1073, -0.0575, -0.0502, -0.0413, -0.0413, -0.0399, -0.0375, -0.0159, -0.0061, 0.0195, 0.0231, 0.062, 0.0748, 0.072, 0.09, 0.092, 0.0803, 0.0944, 0.079, 0.1256, 0.1707, 0.1521, 0.1309, 0.0786, 0.0725, 0.0727, 0.062, 0.1232, 0.1431, 0.1631, 0.186, 0.1932, 0.2205, 0.2741, 0.2177, 0.2015, 0.1923, 0.2078, 0.1863, 0.1638, 0.1638, 0.1612, 0.149, 0.1579, 0.1411, 0.2126, 0.2042, 0.1606, 0.1831, 0.1098, 0.1289, 0.1265, 0.0844, 0.1085, 0.1102, 0.1495, 0.1223, 0.1073, 0.14, 0.14, 0.129, 0.0824, 0.0768, 0.0591, 0.0591, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1896719855132586441", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-04T00:30:27+00:00", "symbol": "HYG", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "high yield bonds", "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "first crack in high yield bonds. A 'Daily Sell Signal' was triggered today. That is not good for stocks.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "HYG triggered a Daily Sell Signal; $79.10 must hold or high yield cracks further, bearish for stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lastly, today I witnessed the first crack in high yield bonds.  A “Daily Sell Signal” was triggered today.  That is not good for stocks.  HYG last week showed no evidence of trouble.  Today it did.  $79.10 is now a must hold. https://t.co/JvUMtPIfhK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00012565839116396305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00012565839116396305, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011852999391772645, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011852999391772645, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0005024272290385934, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0005024272290385934, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010245519999349861, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010245519999349861, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "ret_p1w": -0.008921848940456334, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008921848940456334, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027378085854268708, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027378085854268708, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "ret_p1m": -0.00435223718361788, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00435223718361788, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01409561468514986, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01409561468514986, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "ret_p3m": 0.009713042866430932, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009713042866430932, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.020854230112079097, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020854230112079097, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "ret_p6m": 0.04317005376899852, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04317005376899852, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08846711734873436, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08846711734873436, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "ret_p1y": 0.07104032148739914, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07104032148739914, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13448898682550392, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.13448898682550392, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008921848940456334, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.027378085854268708, "alpha_c_stated": -0.027378085854268708, "price_path": [-0.011, -0.0119, -0.0103, -0.0115, -0.011, -0.0108, -0.0135, -0.0164, -0.0145, -0.0166, -0.0267, -0.0277, -0.0216, -0.0242, -0.0211, -0.0211, -0.0186, -0.022, -0.0206, -0.0207, -0.0184, -0.0169, -0.0151, -0.0184, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0222, -0.0225, -0.0212, -0.0126, -0.0115, -0.0107, -0.0107, -0.008, -0.0094, -0.0082, -0.007, -0.0063, -0.0067, -0.0073, -0.0054, -0.0074, -0.0087, -0.0055, -0.0029, -0.0044, -0.0075, -0.0055, -0.0059, -0.008, -0.0035, -0.0024, -0.0024, -0.0033, -0.0025, -0.0019, -0.0038, -0.0025, -0.0, 0.0013, -0.0005, 0.0022, 0.0001, 0.0, 0.0005, -0.0033, -0.0016, -0.0054, -0.0089, -0.0078, -0.0133, -0.0088, -0.0064, -0.0082, -0.0016, -0.003, -0.0045, -0.0016, -0.0021, -0.0062, -0.008, -0.0098, -0.0087, -0.0064, -0.0044, -0.0167, -0.0307, -0.0391, -0.0435, -0.0179, -0.0339, -0.031, -0.0262, -0.0235, -0.0237, -0.018, -0.0238, -0.02, -0.0151, -0.0062, -0.0054, -0.0049, -0.0022, -0.0075, -0.0062, -0.0032, -0.0036, -0.0043, -0.0034, -0.0037, -0.0031, 0.0068, 0.0086, 0.0049, 0.0068, 0.008, 0.0075, 0.007, 0.0002, 0.0023, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0081, 0.0075, 0.009, 0.0099, 0.0097, 0.0116, 0.0135, 0.0114, 0.0112, 0.0118, 0.0142, 0.0139, 0.0151, 0.012, 0.014, 0.0129, 0.0144, 0.0144, 0.0176, 0.0195, 0.0223, 0.0221, 0.025, 0.0245, 0.0285, 0.0272, 0.0291, 0.0297, 0.0297, 0.0263, 0.0249, 0.0277, 0.0267, 0.0254, 0.0261, 0.0231, 0.0258, 0.0268, 0.0282, 0.0296, 0.0314, 0.0319, 0.0306, 0.0313, 0.0308, 0.0314, 0.0292, 0.0299, 0.0299, 0.0334, 0.0329, 0.0339, 0.0329, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0353, 0.038, 0.0353, 0.0361, 0.0353, 0.0351, 0.0347, 0.0327, 0.0411, 0.039, 0.0414, 0.0427, 0.0432]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1732581680312127974", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-07T02:03:57+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Model gave me a buy price at $16.42 today and an exit price of $20.00 by the end of January. I'm going to follow it but did not execute.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Model signals buy SQQQ at $16.42 with $20 target by end of January; author intends to follow but hasn't executed yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "About a week ago I had commented on shorting the Nasdaq going into the new year.  I stated that I was too chicken to purchase SQQQ.  Model gave me a buy price at $16.42 today and an exit price of $20.00 by the end of January.  I’m going to follow it but did not execute. https://t.co/RBkBbJNov7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04227128602504915, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04227128602504915, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04984386127376572, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04984386127376572, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007572575248716573, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007572575248716573, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01198741022280958, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01198741022280958, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016286588977027283, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016286588977027283, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004299178754217703, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004299178754217703, "ret_p1w": -0.09085172060909619, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09085172060909619, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12092399723675995, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12092399723675995, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.030072276627663763, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030072276627663763, "ret_p1m": -0.046609204294019935, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.046609204294019935, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07189596661219, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07189596661219, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025286762318170064, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025286762318170064, "ret_p3m": -0.27915938911433513, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27915938911433513, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3904709203783405, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3904709203783405, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11131153126400539, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11131153126400539, "ret_p6m": -0.34473262101862745, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34473262101862745, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5038740141950226, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5038740141950226, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1591413931763952, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1591413931763952, "ret_p1y": -0.5492157019909891, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5492157019909891, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8708448351715699, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8708448351715699, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.32162913318058073, "bench_c_p1y": 0.32162913318058073, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.046609204294019935, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07189596661219, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07189596661219, "price_path": [0.1093, 0.1466, 0.1348, 0.1087, 0.167, 0.1627, 0.1714, 0.2215, 0.2921, 0.2915, 0.2732, 0.3312, 0.3218, 0.2921, 0.2896, 0.2587, 0.3256, 0.2726, 0.2852, 0.2215, 0.2025, 0.1836, 0.159, 0.1729, 0.2177, 0.176, 0.188, 0.2372, 0.2719, 0.33, 0.3186, 0.2814, 0.3754, 0.4568, 0.4353, 0.3899, 0.3691, 0.2978, 0.2303, 0.1874, 0.1741, 0.142, 0.1394, 0.1678, 0.0902, 0.1003, 0.0309, 0.0284, 0.0265, 0.0271, -0.0095, 0.0088, -0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0032, 0.005, -0.0019, 0.0025, 0.0107, 0.0032, 0.0315, 0.024, 0.0423, 0.0, -0.012, -0.0372, -0.0599, -0.0953, -0.0909, -0.1009, -0.1211, -0.1331, -0.0943, -0.1239, -0.1284, -0.1284, -0.1439, -0.1484, -0.1452, -0.1336, -0.1336, -0.0891, -0.0601, -0.044, -0.0466, -0.1052, -0.1097, -0.1278, -0.131, -0.1323, -0.1323, -0.131, -0.1162, -0.1529, -0.2025, -0.2051, -0.2147, -0.2276, -0.2289, -0.2147, -0.2379, -0.2225, -0.1767, -0.2051, -0.245, -0.2412, -0.236, -0.2585, -0.2624, -0.2837, -0.2747, -0.2399, -0.265, -0.2701, -0.2495, -0.2495, -0.2321, -0.2225, -0.2901, -0.2837, -0.2817, -0.2869, -0.2753, -0.292, -0.3243, -0.3159, -0.2792, -0.2927, -0.323, -0.294, -0.2856, -0.3165, -0.2991, -0.294, -0.2682, -0.2882, -0.2933, -0.3179, -0.3264, -0.3277, -0.3205, -0.3147, -0.3199, -0.3147, -0.3147, -0.3192, -0.3016, -0.3055, -0.2728, -0.2976, -0.2976, -0.3061, -0.2872, -0.3199, -0.2878, -0.2519, -0.2519, -0.2244, -0.2107, -0.1603, -0.1845, -0.2211, -0.2277, -0.2152, -0.2525, -0.2604, -0.2185, -0.2009, -0.2296, -0.2754, -0.3003, -0.299, -0.2976, -0.3016, -0.3061, -0.3101, -0.3238, -0.3545, -0.35, -0.348, -0.3617, -0.365, -0.3637, -0.3539, -0.3722, -0.3722, -0.3794, -0.3663, -0.3447, -0.3447]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986286381224894589", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T04:15:51+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My indicators tell me that this pull back could take $SPXU to $15.75. That would represent a 22.00% return", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short SPX / long SPXU with $15.75 target implying 22% return; committed to extended short position.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My indicators tell me that this pull back could take $SPXU to $15.75.  That would represent a 22.00% return and complete my best year in the last 14 years.  Lastly I haven’t posted my October return and YTD returns.  Promise to post soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SPX was up 0.37% to close at 6,796.29.  My family accounts were down -0.92% and same for $SPXU.  I remain fully committed to staying short $SPX for an extended time.  Today tested me since every correction since April has lasted only 3 days.  The last 30 min didn’t surprise me. https://t.co/5sjN00iy2k", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RonCyr9", "ret_m1d": -0.03150785289679914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03150785289679914, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04235358456756044, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04235358456756044, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845731670761305, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010845731670761305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003000726672336196, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003000726672336196, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003985291750995268, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003985291750995268, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000984565078659072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000984565078659072, "ret_p1w": -0.009002180017008476, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009002180017008476, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011583128682736477, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011583128682736477, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002580948665728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002580948665728, "ret_p1m": -0.06207800656315188, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06207800656315188, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08502257777101319, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08502257777101319, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294457120786131, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02294457120786131, "ret_p3m": -0.02393844224418229, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02393844224418229, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03783096398398322, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03783096398398322, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.013892521739800934, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013892521739800934, "ret_p6m": -0.20399340728509996, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20399340728509996, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2898957004936116, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2898957004936116, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08590229320851162, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08590229320851162, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06207800656315188, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08502257777101319, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08502257777101319, "price_path": [0.1561, 0.1191, 0.1088, 0.1088, 0.1176, 0.1184, 0.1376, 0.1472, 0.1621, 0.1102, 0.125, 0.1117, 0.1043, 0.0932, 0.1139, 0.1139, 0.1398, 0.1228, 0.0947, 0.1058, 0.0977, 0.091, 0.0814, 0.0555, 0.0569, 0.0414, 0.0466, 0.051, 0.0362, 0.0222, 0.0088, 0.0244, 0.0345, 0.0503, 0.033, 0.0248, 0.0135, 0.003, 0.0008, 0.0023, -0.0083, 0.0038, -0.0135, -0.0053, 0.0758, 0.0278, 0.0315, 0.0188, 0.039, 0.0233, -0.0075, -0.0068, 0.0083, -0.009, -0.0315, -0.0668, -0.0735, -0.0743, -0.0443, -0.051, -0.0555, -0.0225, -0.0315, 0.0, -0.003, -0.0473, -0.054, -0.0555, -0.009, -0.0068, 0.0218, 0.0473, 0.036, 0.0833, 0.0523, 0.006, -0.0218, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.0559, -0.0426, -0.0469, -0.0565, -0.0581, -0.0621, -0.0535, -0.0506, -0.0688, -0.0754, -0.0443, -0.0394, -0.0311, 0.0017, -0.0212, -0.0463, -0.064, -0.0765, -0.0853, -0.0842, -0.0741, -0.0702, -0.049, -0.053, -0.0718, -0.088, -0.0788, -0.0777, -0.0951, -0.0991, -0.0936, -0.08, -0.0872, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.027, -0.0607, -0.075, -0.0746, -0.0888, -0.0993, -0.0987, -0.0924, -0.0832, -0.0974, -0.0737, -0.0601, -0.0239, -0.0798, -0.0918, -0.0842, -0.0838, -0.0408, -0.041, -0.041, -0.0456, -0.0593, -0.0524, -0.0712, -0.0427, -0.0635, -0.0865, -0.0708, -0.0572, -0.0574, -0.0318, -0.0524, -0.0368, 0.0026, -0.0234, -0.0178, -0.0138, 0.0313, 0.0501, 0.0187, 0.0109, 0.0531, 0.0625, 0.11, 0.0744, 0.0851, 0.068, 0.1255, 0.1841, 0.1964, 0.0939, 0.0686, 0.0667, 0.0667, 0.053, 0.0514, -0.0278, -0.0446, -0.0413, -0.069, -0.1024, -0.1236, -0.1298, -0.1602, -0.1552, -0.1384, -0.1639, -0.1537, -0.1728, -0.1768, -0.1643, -0.1639, -0.1878, -0.194, -0.1851, -0.204]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2062231352565813352", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-03T17:54:03+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My original trade into $SPXU is positive and looking to potentially sell", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish SPX: asymmetric risk with zero upside to 7,525 vs -10.5% downside to 6,800; holding SPXU short position, eyeing June correction.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX is currently down by roughly -0.50% and 2 hours left to trade.  My original trade into $SPXU is positive and looking to potentially sell.  The upside potential for $SPX is 7,525 and the downside is target is 6,800.  Zero upside and -10.50% downside. June correction? https://t.co/Lt0fZouYHv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020168984290119152, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020168984290119152, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027235755432139852, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027235755432139852, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0070667711420207, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0070667711420207, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010629619696085335, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010629619696085335, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014408305458224469, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014408305458224469, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037786857621391334, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037786857621391334, "ret_p1w": 0.12101390574071513, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12101390574071513, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15921128724737676, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15921128724737676, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03819738150666163, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03819738150666163, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.4175, 0.3807, 0.3886, 0.3943, 0.4581, 0.4846, 0.4402, 0.4291, 0.4889, 0.5022, 0.5692, 0.5189, 0.5341, 0.5099, 0.5912, 0.674, 0.6915, 0.5465, 0.5108, 0.508, 0.508, 0.4887, 0.4865, 0.3745, 0.3508, 0.3554, 0.3162, 0.269, 0.239, 0.2303, 0.1872, 0.1943, 0.218, 0.1821, 0.1965, 0.1695, 0.1638, 0.1815, 0.1821, 0.1483, 0.1395, 0.1521, 0.1254, 0.0788, 0.0894, 0.0635, 0.0564, 0.0613, 0.0439, 0.0202, 0.0583, 0.0605, 0.0826, 0.0488, 0.0431, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0128, 0.0131, -0.0035, -0.009, -0.0164, -0.0202, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.0676, 0.0602, 0.07, 0.121, 0.0649, 0.0488, -0.0063, 0.0114, 0.0496, 0.0199, 0.0199, 0.0294, 0.073, 0.0755, 0.0742, 0.0742, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1774966499612262402", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-02T01:06:05+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Longer term, summer price target $100.00", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long oil with summer price target of $100/bbl on elevated geopolitical risk in Middle East.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I believe the stock market needs to recognize that the price of oil could go much higher.  Events in Syria between Israel and Iran will not result in direct military conflict.  Risks have certainly risen and oil is reflecting that risk.  Longer term, summer price target $100.00", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016911361310646633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016911361310646633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0233102421166016, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0233102421166016, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006398880805954965, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006398880805954965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0032883003438559655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0032883003438559655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002189885808347558, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002189885808347558, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010984145355084074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010984145355084074, "ret_p1w": 0.0009395399838056928, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0009395399838056928, "alpha_spy_p1w": 1.4308162403109392e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": 1.4308162403109392e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009252318214025834, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009252318214025834, "ret_p1m": -0.07222550106484482, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07222550106484482, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03658840070041813, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03658840070041813, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03563710036442669, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03563710036442669, "ret_p3m": -0.04239577857499399, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04239577857499399, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09469635417948741, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09469635417948741, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052300575604493416, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052300575604493416, "ret_p6m": -0.18156193549537436, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18156193549537436, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2871688391249627, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2871688391249627, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10560690362958836, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10560690362958836, "ret_p1y": -0.19812099171195996, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19812099171195996, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2989573065626041, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2989573065626041, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.10083631485064415, "bench_c_p1y": 0.10083631485064415, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07222550106484482, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03658840070041813, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03658840070041813, "price_path": [-0.1522, -0.1332, -0.1689, -0.1516, -0.1618, -0.1542, -0.1464, -0.1464, -0.1497, -0.1479, -0.13, -0.1379, -0.117, -0.1266, -0.1181, -0.0915, -0.0839, -0.0983, -0.0861, -0.1092, -0.1331, -0.1511, -0.1453, -0.139, -0.1326, -0.1049, -0.0976, -0.0967, -0.0855, -0.0999, -0.0836, -0.07, -0.07, -0.0819, -0.085, -0.0768, -0.1017, -0.0889, -0.0738, -0.0776, -0.0809, -0.0608, -0.0753, -0.0822, -0.0707, -0.073, -0.0839, -0.0848, -0.0891, -0.0638, -0.0457, -0.0483, -0.0285, -0.0197, -0.0408, -0.0479, -0.0531, -0.0376, -0.0415, -0.0446, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0169, 0.0, 0.0033, 0.0169, 0.0207, 0.015, 0.0009, 0.0124, -0.0015, 0.006, 0.0031, 0.0025, -0.0289, -0.0284, -0.0236, -0.027, -0.021, -0.0275, -0.0186, -0.0153, -0.0296, -0.0378, -0.0722, -0.0728, -0.0827, -0.0783, -0.0795, -0.0723, -0.0692, -0.0809, -0.0708, -0.0837, -0.0766, -0.0695, -0.0598, -0.0628, -0.0692, -0.089, -0.0972, -0.0873, -0.0873, -0.0625, -0.0695, -0.085, -0.0958, -0.1284, -0.1398, -0.1301, -0.1127, -0.113, -0.087, -0.0851, -0.0781, -0.0767, -0.0787, -0.0566, -0.042, -0.042, -0.035, -0.0519, -0.0413, -0.0507, -0.0499, -0.04, -0.0424, -0.0208, -0.0275, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0234, -0.0331, -0.0439, -0.0358, -0.0297, -0.0345, -0.0381, -0.0516, -0.027, -0.0274, -0.059, -0.0631, -0.0962, -0.0888, -0.0807, -0.0938, -0.1097, -0.1224, -0.085, -0.1038, -0.1366, -0.1434, -0.1403, -0.1165, -0.1052, -0.0976, -0.0598, -0.0799, -0.0959, -0.0821, -0.0998, -0.1266, -0.1305, -0.1553, -0.1426, -0.1212, -0.0908, -0.113, -0.1248, -0.1085, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.1739, -0.1873, -0.1879, -0.2053, -0.1931, -0.2278, -0.2095, -0.19, -0.1938, -0.1769, -0.1639, -0.1672, -0.155, -0.1554, -0.1736, -0.1596, -0.1816]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1780779023809065138", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-04-18T02:02:59+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A daily sell signal was triggered for the price of #oil today. Long term trend line broken as well.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish oil: daily sell signal triggered, long-term trend line broken, signals early stages of economic slowdown.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A daily sell signal was triggered for the price of #oil today. Based on the geopolitical issues in the world, I would not have expected this yet. This is a potential confirmation for me that we are in the early stages of an economic slowdown. Long term trend line broken as well. https://t.co/hkx664UXk2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0016502270224287852, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0016502270224287852, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0004117216608734431, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0004117216608734431, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020619486833022282, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020619486833022282, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008885465334966813, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008885465334966813, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00961688121818527, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00961688121818527, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008728334684688588, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008728334684688588, "ret_p1w": 0.02107138471479164, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02107138471479164, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013123872552124105, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013123872552124105, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007947512162667536, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007947512162667536, "ret_p1m": -0.02297534382634958, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02297534382634958, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0828928847015773, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0828928847015773, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.059917540875227715, "bench_c_p1m": 0.059917540875227715, "ret_p3m": 0.0035541861339867253, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0035541861339867253, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13089943667860449, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13089943667860449, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1344536228125912, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1344536228125912, "ret_p6m": -0.016374726269561046, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.016374726269561046, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1839620775344779, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1839620775344779, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16758735126491686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16758735126491686, "ret_p1y": -0.1959888152570849, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1959888152570849, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.2025531202425347, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.2025531202425347, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.006564304985449798, "bench_c_p1y": 0.006564304985449798, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02297534382634958, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0828928847015773, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0828928847015773, "price_path": [-0.1154, -0.1158, -0.1046, -0.0831, -0.0721, -0.0854, -0.0758, -0.0998, -0.1233, -0.1431, -0.1346, -0.1266, -0.1188, -0.0922, -0.0903, -0.0847, -0.0778, -0.0918, -0.0754, -0.0682, -0.0682, -0.0807, -0.0708, -0.0658, -0.0871, -0.076, -0.0626, -0.0655, -0.0688, -0.0485, -0.0605, -0.0677, -0.0564, -0.0578, -0.0688, -0.0655, -0.0689, -0.0468, -0.0315, -0.0311, -0.0102, -0.0044, -0.0194, -0.0249, -0.0267, -0.0129, -0.0189, -0.0161, -0.0006, -0.0006, 0.0113, 0.0255, 0.0314, 0.0443, 0.046, 0.0434, 0.0301, 0.042, 0.0352, 0.0349, 0.0364, 0.0324, 0.0017, 0.0, 0.0009, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.0109, 0.0211, 0.0204, 0.0091, -0.0051, -0.0362, -0.0362, -0.0463, -0.0396, -0.0416, -0.0339, -0.0287, -0.0442, -0.0336, -0.0453, -0.0368, -0.0321, -0.023, -0.026, -0.0333, -0.0496, -0.055, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.0142, -0.0281, -0.0413, -0.0503, -0.0882, -0.0976, -0.0875, -0.0701, -0.0731, -0.0421, -0.0415, -0.0355, -0.0386, -0.0343, -0.0126, -0.0014, -0.0014, 0.008, -0.0017, 0.0117, 0.0015, -0.0004, 0.0145, 0.0103, 0.035, 0.0296, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0126, 0.0216, 0.0274, 0.0187, 0.017, 0.0036, 0.0234, 0.0142, -0.0099, -0.0147, -0.0274, -0.025, -0.0168, -0.0339, -0.0456, -0.0548, -0.0132, -0.0316, -0.0684, -0.0706, -0.0804, -0.0519, -0.0434, -0.0325, -0.0019, -0.0145, -0.0278, -0.0174, -0.0312, -0.0559, -0.0628, -0.0784, -0.066, -0.041, -0.0121, -0.0291, -0.0419, -0.0255, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.0976, -0.1164, -0.1128, -0.125, -0.1207, -0.15, -0.1387, -0.1128, -0.1135, -0.1003, -0.0896, -0.1031, -0.0765, -0.0744, -0.0829, -0.0697, -0.0927, -0.124, -0.108, -0.1125, -0.0847, -0.0764, -0.0387, -0.0308, 0.0053, -0.038, -0.0448, -0.0128, -0.0164]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1909756524920291506", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-08T23:53:31+00:00", "symbol": "High yield bonds", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "High yield bonds are now selling off in a major way", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish SPX to 4,300 by June on global recession/credit crisis risk; high yield bonds selling off hard.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYG"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "High yield bonds; HYG is iShares iBoxx HY Corp Bond ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today is the first time that I believe we now run the risk of a global recession which is going to lead to a credit crisis in the next 3 to 4 weeks. High yield bonds are now selling off in a major way.  It may even be possible to go beyond 4,700 SPX to 4,300 target by June. https://t.co/gaBFtoJVGD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.026099290541743536, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026099290541743536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0689390453745441, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0689390453745441, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.09503833591628763, "bench_c_m1d": -0.09503833591628763, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016328075834374234, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016328075834374234, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027490878865040203, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027490878865040203, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.043818954699414436, "bench_c_p1d": -0.043818954699414436, "ret_p1w": -0.005914095455166635, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005914095455166635, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03593630844804463, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03593630844804463, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.041850403903211264, "bench_c_p1w": -0.041850403903211264, "ret_p1m": 0.015078259530479476, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015078259530479476, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013575441935052446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013575441935052446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028653701465531922, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028653701465531922, "ret_p3m": 0.043498607481103235, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.043498607481103235, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09057223575336715, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09057223575336715, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13407084323447038, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13407084323447038, "ret_p6m": 0.06997952372733929, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06997952372733929, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15682462673451814, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15682462673451814, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22680415046185742, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22680415046185742, "ret_p1y": 0.08156180608435104, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.08156180608435104, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.126471785521854, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.126471785521854, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20803359160620505, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20803359160620505, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015078259530479476, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013575441935052446, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013575441935052446, "price_path": [-0.0045, -0.0047, -0.0034, 0.0053, 0.0065, 0.0073, 0.0073, 0.01, 0.0086, 0.0099, 0.011, 0.0118, 0.0114, 0.0108, 0.0127, 0.0106, 0.0094, 0.0125, 0.0152, 0.0137, 0.0105, 0.0125, 0.0122, 0.01, 0.0146, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0148, 0.0156, 0.0162, 0.0143, 0.0156, 0.0181, 0.0195, 0.0176, 0.0204, 0.0183, 0.0182, 0.0187, 0.0149, 0.0165, 0.0127, 0.0091, 0.0103, 0.0046, 0.0092, 0.0117, 0.0099, 0.0165, 0.0151, 0.0136, 0.0165, 0.016, 0.0119, 0.01, 0.0082, 0.0094, 0.0117, 0.0138, 0.0012, -0.0131, -0.0216, -0.0261, 0.0, -0.0163, -0.0134, -0.0085, -0.0058, -0.0059, -0.0001, -0.006, -0.0022, 0.0028, 0.0118, 0.0127, 0.0132, 0.0159, 0.0105, 0.0118, 0.0149, 0.0146, 0.0138, 0.0147, 0.0144, 0.0151, 0.0252, 0.027, 0.0232, 0.0252, 0.0263, 0.0258, 0.0253, 0.0184, 0.0205, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0265, 0.0258, 0.0274, 0.0283, 0.0281, 0.03, 0.032, 0.0298, 0.0296, 0.0302, 0.0326, 0.0324, 0.0335, 0.0304, 0.0325, 0.0313, 0.0329, 0.0329, 0.0361, 0.0381, 0.0409, 0.0407, 0.0437, 0.0431, 0.0472, 0.0458, 0.0478, 0.0485, 0.0485, 0.0449, 0.0435, 0.0464, 0.0453, 0.044, 0.0448, 0.0417, 0.0444, 0.0455, 0.0469, 0.0483, 0.0502, 0.0507, 0.0494, 0.05, 0.0495, 0.0502, 0.0479, 0.0486, 0.0486, 0.0522, 0.0517, 0.0527, 0.0517, 0.0518, 0.0518, 0.0541, 0.0569, 0.0541, 0.0549, 0.0541, 0.0539, 0.0535, 0.0515, 0.06, 0.0579, 0.0603, 0.0616, 0.0621, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.059, 0.0619, 0.0648, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0642, 0.065, 0.0676, 0.0665, 0.0696, 0.0688, 0.0677, 0.0701, 0.0705, 0.0713, 0.0705, 0.069, 0.066, 0.0681, 0.07, 0.0696, 0.0716, 0.0712, 0.07]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029974544669385202", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T17:37:01+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my family accounts are up 5.80% and same for $SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SPXU (inverse S&P ETF) on thesis of global recession by August 2026; author holds it in family accounts.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So far today the market is down.  Down by about -1.20% on $SPX.  Today is a serious hit to the market.  It has woken up to a long term costly war.  WTD $SPX is down about -1.80%, my family accounts are up 5.80% and same for $SPXU.  A global recession is set for August 2026. https://t.co/qymBOoDsFO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.039297937169261554, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.039297937169261554, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05257914439245115, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05257914439245115, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281207223189595, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025944199431739756, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025944199431739756, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03470416015464273, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03470416015464273, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00875996072290297, "ret_p1w": 0.047310298344402923, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047310298344402923, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.062316722850975226, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.062316722850975226, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006424506572302, "ret_p1m": 0.05020679128248817, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05020679128248817, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06753397753112389, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06753397753112389, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327186248635718, "ret_p3m": -0.294542542953076, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.294542542953076, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4193526367289703, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4193526367289703, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12481009377589425, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05020679128248817, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06753397753112389, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06753397753112389, "price_path": [-0.0646, -0.056, -0.0531, -0.0713, -0.0778, -0.0468, -0.0419, -0.0337, -0.001, -0.0238, -0.0488, -0.0664, -0.079, -0.0878, -0.0866, -0.0765, -0.0727, -0.0515, -0.0555, -0.0742, -0.0904, -0.0813, -0.0801, -0.0975, -0.1015, -0.096, -0.0824, -0.0897, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.0296, -0.0631, -0.0775, -0.0771, -0.0912, -0.1017, -0.1011, -0.0948, -0.0857, -0.0998, -0.0761, -0.0626, -0.0265, -0.0822, -0.0942, -0.0866, -0.0862, -0.0433, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.0481, -0.0618, -0.0549, -0.0736, -0.0452, -0.066, -0.0889, -0.0733, -0.0597, -0.0599, -0.0343, -0.0549, -0.0393, 0.0, -0.0259, -0.0204, -0.0164, 0.0286, 0.0473, 0.016, 0.0082, 0.0504, 0.0597, 0.107, 0.0715, 0.0822, 0.0652, 0.1225, 0.181, 0.1933, 0.091, 0.0658, 0.0639, 0.0639, 0.0502, 0.0487, -0.0304, -0.0471, -0.0438, -0.0715, -0.1048, -0.1259, -0.1321, -0.1624, -0.1575, -0.1407, -0.1661, -0.1559, -0.1749, -0.179, -0.1665, -0.1661, -0.1899, -0.1961, -0.1873, -0.2061, -0.239, -0.2315, -0.2497, -0.2547, -0.2513, -0.2636, -0.2803, -0.2534, -0.2519, -0.2363, -0.2601, -0.2642, -0.2717, -0.2717, -0.2855, -0.2853, -0.297, -0.3009, -0.3061, -0.3088, -0.2945, -0.302, -0.2469, -0.252, -0.2451, -0.2092, -0.2488, -0.2601, -0.299, -0.2865, -0.2595, -0.2805, -0.2805, -0.2738, -0.243, -0.2412, -0.2422, -0.2422, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2014235660148998419", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T07:16:18+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold has peaked. This is the peak for 2026. We are in the 'Panic Buying Zone'. $3,200 will be the low for 2026. Yes 30% drop from here!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Calls peak in gold with 30% downside to $3,200 low for 2026; silver in bubble zone with 45-50% downside, generational short opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Gold commodity; GLD is SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I rarely post about Gold or Silver because I bought my physical way back in 1997 and 1998.  However, if I may boldly say that Gold has peaked.  This is the peak for 2026.  We are in the “Panic Buying Zone”.  $3,200 will be the low for 2026.  Yes 30% drop from here!  Time stamped. https://t.co/ivZ9nx8P3e\n\n---\n\nSilver is not in the “Panic Buying Zone”.  It’s in the “BUBBLE” zone.  Just like Chinese stocks way back during the summer of 2008.  45% to 50% downside.  This is the investment of a generation to short.  I wish I was younger and had the courage to do it. https://t.co/3Z09TvBC17", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01812789633791101, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01812789633791101, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012931779323261727, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012931779323261727, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013745304981574558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013745304981574558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013382569792600885, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013382569792600885, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "ret_p1w": 0.09763382216801864, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09763382216801864, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0902897036746424, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0902897036746424, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "ret_p1m": 0.0372517901103433, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0372517901103433, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03659863521814288, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03659863521814288, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "ret_p3m": -0.049182143917407495, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.049182143917407495, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07388945990232709, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07388945990232709, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0372517901103433, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03659863521814288, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03659863521814288, "price_path": [-0.1616, -0.1644, -0.1877, -0.1935, -0.1965, -0.1807, -0.1852, -0.1837, -0.198, -0.1888, -0.1897, -0.1848, -0.1625, -0.1592, -0.1456, -0.1525, -0.1678, -0.1774, -0.1714, -0.1701, -0.1703, -0.1716, -0.1585, -0.1587, -0.152, -0.152, -0.1415, -0.1373, -0.1429, -0.1437, -0.1431, -0.1446, -0.1469, -0.1425, -0.1389, -0.1296, -0.1247, -0.1239, -0.1237, -0.1162, -0.1178, -0.1168, -0.0964, -0.0844, -0.0882, -0.0776, -0.1177, -0.1171, -0.1228, -0.1184, -0.0952, -0.0855, -0.0942, -0.0892, -0.0826, -0.0654, -0.0668, -0.0572, -0.063, -0.0675, -0.0675, -0.0322, -0.0181, 0.0, 0.0137, 0.0286, 0.0538, 0.0947, 0.0976, -0.0151, -0.0546, 0.0055, 0.0048, -0.0219, 0.0081, 0.0337, 0.0235, 0.0351, -0.0009, 0.024, 0.024, -0.0079, 0.0144, 0.0172, 0.0373, 0.0653, 0.0505, 0.0479, 0.0569, 0.0707, 0.0846, 0.0362, 0.0443, 0.0317, 0.0481, 0.0459, 0.0577, 0.0541, 0.0334, 0.02, 0.0191, 0.0166, -0.0156, -0.0562, -0.085, -0.1057, -0.1055, -0.0786, -0.1132, -0.0821, -0.0824, -0.0476, -0.0309, -0.0495, -0.0495, -0.0534, -0.0442, -0.0382, -0.0307, -0.0324, -0.0364, -0.0148, -0.0251, -0.0259, -0.013, -0.0215, -0.0492, -0.0366, -0.0459, -0.041, -0.0485, -0.0661, -0.0761, -0.0623, -0.0633, -0.0821, -0.0742, -0.0461, -0.0445, -0.0399, -0.0379, -0.0417, -0.0471, -0.0544, -0.0764, -0.0738, -0.0892, -0.0761, -0.077, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0836, -0.0958, -0.0864, -0.0767, -0.0897, -0.0882, -0.0972, -0.0897, -0.123, -0.1207, -0.135, -0.1709, -0.1449, -0.1444, -0.1223, -0.1199, -0.1399, -0.1431, -0.1431, -0.1487, -0.1648, -0.1901, -0.1822, -0.1822, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2014235660148998419", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-22T07:16:18+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Silver is not in the 'Panic Buying Zone'. It's in the 'BUBBLE' zone. 45% to 50% downside. This is the investment of a generation to short.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Calls peak in gold with 30% downside to $3,200 low for 2026; silver in bubble zone with 45-50% downside, generational short opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity; SLV is iShares Silver Trust ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I rarely post about Gold or Silver because I bought my physical way back in 1997 and 1998.  However, if I may boldly say that Gold has peaked.  This is the peak for 2026.  We are in the “Panic Buying Zone”.  $3,200 will be the low for 2026.  Yes 30% drop from here!  Time stamped. https://t.co/ivZ9nx8P3e\n\n---\n\nSilver is not in the “Panic Buying Zone”.  It’s in the “BUBBLE” zone.  Just like Chinese stocks way back during the summer of 2008.  45% to 50% downside.  This is the investment of a generation to short.  I wish I was younger and had the courage to do it. https://t.co/3Z09TvBC17", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.036382397209601236, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036382397209601236, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031186280194951954, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031186280194951954, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06633773201989479, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06633773201989479, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06597499683092112, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06597499683092112, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "ret_p1w": 0.21163781731535503, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21163781731535503, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2042936988219788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2042936988219788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "ret_p1m": -0.1206242951697516, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1206242951697516, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12127745006195201, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12127745006195201, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "ret_p3m": -0.21393320299820417, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21393320299820417, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23864051898312377, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23864051898312377, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1206242951697516, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12127745006195201, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12127745006195201, "price_path": [-0.4929, -0.4951, -0.5134, -0.5099, -0.5038, -0.4911, -0.4949, -0.4978, -0.5095, -0.499, -0.5002, -0.4959, -0.4745, -0.4669, -0.4454, -0.4558, -0.4725, -0.4781, -0.4709, -0.4669, -0.4746, -0.4801, -0.4648, -0.4644, -0.4445, -0.4445, -0.4123, -0.3972, -0.3902, -0.3909, -0.4059, -0.3923, -0.395, -0.3668, -0.3565, -0.3387, -0.3561, -0.3331, -0.3374, -0.3084, -0.3192, -0.3007, -0.283, -0.2558, -0.2515, -0.1837, -0.2424, -0.2083, -0.2606, -0.2454, -0.2072, -0.154, -0.1856, -0.1999, -0.1693, -0.1136, -0.0979, -0.0295, -0.0437, -0.0701, -0.0701, -0.02, -0.0364, 0.0, 0.0663, 0.1287, 0.166, 0.212, 0.2116, -0.1342, -0.1686, -0.1167, -0.0912, -0.2346, -0.1944, -0.1273, -0.1575, -0.1213, -0.2227, -0.1998, -0.1998, -0.2383, -0.1956, -0.185, -0.1206, -0.0753, -0.0924, -0.0814, -0.0767, -0.0246, -0.0638, -0.1429, -0.1353, -0.1476, -0.1284, -0.1018, -0.0808, -0.1058, -0.1222, -0.1657, -0.1596, -0.1776, -0.2115, -0.2462, -0.2939, -0.283, -0.2775, -0.2516, -0.3025, -0.2719, -0.271, -0.218, -0.218, -0.2449, -0.2449, -0.2415, -0.2432, -0.2256, -0.2151, -0.2072, -0.2163, -0.1732, -0.1755, -0.1824, -0.1549, -0.1719, -0.2139, -0.1924, -0.2152, -0.2105, -0.2158, -0.2402, -0.2558, -0.2349, -0.2162, -0.2432, -0.2435, -0.1951, -0.1782, -0.1621, -0.1048, -0.0985, -0.0893, -0.1334, -0.2076, -0.1973, -0.2322, -0.2112, -0.2029, -0.2154, -0.2154, -0.1998, -0.2253, -0.2154, -0.2158, -0.2233, -0.2197, -0.2401, -0.2313, -0.2934, -0.2932, -0.3227, -0.3382, -0.302, -0.2966, -0.2715, -0.2725, -0.3044, -0.317, -0.317, -0.3239, -0.3604, -0.4057, -0.3991, -0.3991, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2034383781508059147", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T21:37:45+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bear market begins at 6,380. Panic selling coming.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish S&P (bear market at 6,380, panic selling imminent), long SPXU, and long oil to $300 on Middle East escalation.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was down -1.36% for the day to close at 6,624.71.  My family accounts were up 4.18% and same for $SPXU.  The bear market begins at 6,380.  WTD $SPX is down -0.11%, my family accounts are up 0.29% and same for $SPXU.  Oil prices can go to $300 quickly.  Panic selling coming.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bloomberg reports that multiple oil and gas facilities in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates have been evacuated so far today, following Israel’s strikes this morning against several energy sites in Southern Iran and threats made by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary https://t.co/LiI68Bs8FB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00882079289963078, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00882079289963078, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011291168893572512, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011291168893572512, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024703759939417314, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024703759939417314, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04464449812340732, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04464449812340732, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05898028605422001, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05898028605422001, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014335787930812693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014335787930812693, "ret_p1w": 0.05925407618070633, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05925407618070633, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07887861139263141, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07887861139263141, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624535211925087, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624535211925087, "ret_p1m": -0.20964182796279995, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20964182796279995, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28887706413228875, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.28887706413228875, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0792352361694888, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0792352361694888, "ret_p3m": -0.3266714824400325, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3266714824400325, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4669854723995035, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4669854723995035, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14031398995947097, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14031398995947097, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.20964182796279995, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.28887706413228875, "alpha_c_stated": -0.28887706413228875, "price_path": [-0.0788, -0.1024, -0.119, -0.1309, -0.1392, -0.1381, -0.1285, -0.1249, -0.105, -0.1087, -0.1264, -0.1417, -0.133, -0.132, -0.1483, -0.1521, -0.1469, -0.1341, -0.141, -0.1372, -0.1372, -0.0842, -0.1159, -0.1294, -0.1291, -0.1424, -0.1523, -0.1518, -0.1458, -0.1372, -0.1505, -0.1282, -0.1154, -0.0814, -0.1339, -0.1453, -0.1381, -0.1377, -0.0972, -0.0974, -0.0974, -0.1017, -0.1147, -0.1082, -0.1258, -0.099, -0.1186, -0.1402, -0.1255, -0.1127, -0.1129, -0.0887, -0.1082, -0.0934, -0.0563, -0.0808, -0.0756, -0.0718, -0.0293, -0.0117, -0.0412, -0.0486, -0.0088, 0.0, 0.0446, 0.0112, 0.0212, 0.0052, 0.0593, 0.1144, 0.126, 0.0295, 0.0057, 0.0039, 0.0039, -0.009, -0.0104, -0.085, -0.1008, -0.0977, -0.1238, -0.1552, -0.1752, -0.181, -0.2096, -0.2049, -0.1891, -0.2131, -0.2035, -0.2214, -0.2252, -0.2135, -0.2131, -0.2356, -0.2414, -0.233, -0.2508, -0.2819, -0.2748, -0.292, -0.2967, -0.2935, -0.3051, -0.3209, -0.2955, -0.294, -0.2793, -0.3018, -0.3056, -0.3127, -0.3127, -0.3258, -0.3256, -0.3367, -0.3403, -0.3452, -0.3477, -0.3343, -0.3414, -0.2893, -0.2942, -0.2877, -0.2537, -0.2911, -0.3018, -0.3385, -0.3267, -0.3013, -0.321, -0.321, -0.3147, -0.2857, -0.284, -0.2849, -0.2849, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2034383781508059147", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-18T21:37:45+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil prices can go to $300 quickly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish S&P (bear market at 6,380, panic selling imminent), long SPXU, and long oil to $300 on Middle East escalation.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was down -1.36% for the day to close at 6,624.71.  My family accounts were up 4.18% and same for $SPXU.  The bear market begins at 6,380.  WTD $SPX is down -0.11%, my family accounts are up 0.29% and same for $SPXU.  Oil prices can go to $300 quickly.  Panic selling coming.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bloomberg reports that multiple oil and gas facilities in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates have been evacuated so far today, following Israel’s strikes this morning against several energy sites in Southern Iran and threats made by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary https://t.co/LiI68Bs8FB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.036724587049921986, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036724587049921986, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.034254211055980255, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.034254211055980255, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0024703759939417314, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024703759939417314, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03467961548787879, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03467961548787879, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04901540341869148, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04901540341869148, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014335787930812693, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014335787930812693, "ret_p1w": -0.000852066066811763, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.000852066066811763, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018772469145113324, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018772469145113324, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624535211925087, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624535211925087, "ret_p1m": -0.01124744110394793, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01124744110394793, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09048267727343673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09048267727343673, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0792352361694888, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0792352361694888, "ret_p3m": -0.016104289194096455, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.016104289194096455, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15641827915356743, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15641827915356743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14031398995947097, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14031398995947097, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01124744110394793, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09048267727343673, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09048267727343673, "price_path": [-0.4275, -0.4203, -0.4058, -0.401, -0.4018, -0.4165, -0.4069, -0.4058, -0.4107, -0.4124, -0.4017, -0.4162, -0.4224, -0.3989, -0.3969, -0.3895, -0.3739, -0.3813, -0.3939, -0.3895, -0.3895, -0.3877, -0.3751, -0.388, -0.3699, -0.3739, -0.3553, -0.3471, -0.3257, -0.3224, -0.3581, -0.3399, -0.3364, -0.3465, -0.344, -0.3352, -0.3351, -0.3278, -0.3492, -0.3505, -0.3505, -0.3547, -0.3234, -0.3082, -0.3111, -0.3107, -0.3119, -0.3206, -0.3203, -0.3017, -0.2571, -0.2314, -0.2198, -0.1794, -0.0732, -0.111, -0.098, -0.0793, 0.0088, 0.0216, -0.0199, 0.0126, 0.0367, 0.0, 0.0347, -0.0579, -0.024, -0.0338, -0.0009, 0.0583, 0.1063, 0.0843, 0.0573, 0.1752, 0.1752, 0.1839, 0.1766, 0.0615, 0.0818, 0.0636, 0.0947, 0.0553, 0.0446, 0.0723, -0.0112, 0.0337, 0.0928, 0.1026, 0.1479, 0.1282, 0.1479, 0.1895, 0.2835, 0.2533, 0.2168, 0.2578, 0.2284, 0.1414, 0.1501, 0.1383, 0.1815, 0.2296, 0.2103, 0.2185, 0.263, 0.2721, 0.3033, 0.2293, 0.2146, 0.2007, 0.2007, 0.1673, 0.1165, 0.1143, 0.0999, 0.1546, 0.1696, 0.2002, 0.1651, 0.1334, 0.1516, 0.1188, 0.1443, 0.0977, 0.0688, 0.0328, -0.0161, -0.0267, -0.0212, -0.0212, -0.0398, -0.052, -0.0943, -0.0686, -0.0686, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1735793626909942194", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-12-15T22:47:04+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Supporting data to my long position into #SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long SPXU (inverse S&P ETF) supported by expected DXY rebound + yield rebound driving near-term equity correction.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Supporting data to my long position into #SPXU. The US dollar index.  Today we hit the Panic Selling Zone.  In the weeks to come, we should see a relative rebound in the dollar.  Combined with a short term rebound in yields and we will get the much needed correction. #DXY https://t.co/Ha7Ii1GtFr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0156774639817423, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0156774639817423, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02127108711149217, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02127108711149217, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0055936231297498695, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0055936231297498695, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016797304587408357, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016797304587408357, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022878184081482456, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022878184081482456, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0060808794940740984, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0060808794940740984, "ret_p1w": -0.008563892981280019, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008563892981280019, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012123362337450927, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012123362337450927, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003559469356170908, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003559469356170908, "ret_p1m": -0.0062768116464234636, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0062768116464234636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012548397219931506, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012548397219931506, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006271585573508043, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006271585573508043, "ret_p3m": -0.2075371778859646, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2075371778859646, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2986022283757822, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2986022283757822, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09106505048981761, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09106505048981761, "ret_p6m": -0.28597103517505307, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28597103517505307, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42718419095034665, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.42718419095034665, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1412131557752936, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1412131557752936, "ret_p1y": -0.49686154342719135, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.49686154342719135, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7964992951310733, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7964992951310733, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.29963775170388196, "bench_c_p1y": 0.29963775170388196, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0062768116464234636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012548397219931506, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012548397219931506, "price_path": [0.2329, 0.2945, 0.3046, 0.2912, 0.3471, 0.346, 0.3259, 0.3382, 0.3382, 0.3908, 0.3628, 0.3684, 0.318, 0.2945, 0.2755, 0.2587, 0.2856, 0.3024, 0.2643, 0.2632, 0.3147, 0.3516, 0.402, 0.4099, 0.3807, 0.439, 0.4927, 0.514, 0.4602, 0.4356, 0.3886, 0.3124, 0.2777, 0.2699, 0.2598, 0.2576, 0.2867, 0.2273, 0.2329, 0.1613, 0.1557, 0.1534, 0.1478, 0.1232, 0.1299, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.1243, 0.1221, 0.1254, 0.112, 0.0941, 0.1131, 0.1131, 0.1277, 0.103, 0.0907, 0.0773, 0.0638, 0.019, 0.0112, 0.0157, 0.0, -0.0168, 0.0257, -0.004, -0.0086, -0.0086, -0.02, -0.0257, -0.0257, -0.0166, -0.0166, 0.0029, 0.028, 0.0383, 0.0337, -0.0097, -0.004, -0.0211, -0.0177, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0063, 0.0086, -0.0166, -0.0509, -0.0577, -0.0657, -0.068, -0.0817, -0.0772, -0.0978, -0.0966, -0.0532, -0.0875, -0.1161, -0.1069, -0.1126, -0.1332, -0.1344, -0.1492, -0.1469, -0.1115, -0.1366, -0.1515, -0.1378, -0.1378, -0.1241, -0.1263, -0.1789, -0.1801, -0.1698, -0.1744, -0.1709, -0.1789, -0.2018, -0.1984, -0.1732, -0.187, -0.2087, -0.195, -0.1915, -0.219, -0.2133, -0.2075, -0.1915, -0.2041, -0.219, -0.238, -0.2461, -0.2415, -0.2345, -0.2286, -0.2485, -0.2473, -0.2473, -0.2415, -0.2275, -0.2286, -0.1995, -0.2251, -0.2251, -0.2263, -0.2046, -0.221, -0.1876, -0.1578, -0.1522, -0.1361, -0.1301, -0.1068, -0.1298, -0.1613, -0.1601, -0.1489, -0.1727, -0.1804, -0.1413, -0.1329, -0.155, -0.1869, -0.2116, -0.214, -0.2135, -0.2258, -0.2284, -0.2279, -0.2384, -0.2662, -0.2599, -0.2629, -0.2652, -0.2699, -0.2631, -0.2459, -0.2606, -0.2606, -0.2615, -0.2454, -0.2298, -0.2494, -0.251, -0.2529, -0.2797, -0.279, -0.2753, -0.2813, -0.286]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1838363056000373189", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-09-23T23:41:22+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is fast approaching a shorting opportunity for me. The model is calling for gold to be at 2,000 by April of 2025. Downside is 20%.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Shorting gold; model targets $2,000 by April 2025, implying ~20% downside from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What is fast approaching the “Panic Buying Zone”? The price of Gold in U.S. dollars.  Almost every podcast I listen to is bullish on gold.  This is fast approaching a shorting opportunity for me.  The model is calling for gold to be at 2,000 by April of 2025.  Downside is 20%. https://t.co/V6svBbhtuY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00931651766248609, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00931651766248609, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006463412664776791, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006463412664776791, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028531049977092993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028531049977092993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003017501564325231, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003017501564325231, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00522296655567589, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00522296655567589, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0022054649913506585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022054649913506585, "ret_p1w": 0.006072758732940331, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006072758732940331, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01076378756687646, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01076378756687646, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004691028833936128, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004691028833936128, "ret_p1m": 0.02383824394080114, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02383824394080114, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012128062189464828, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012128062189464828, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011710181751336313, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011710181751336313, "ret_p3m": -0.008486723149664588, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.008486723149664588, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.046714710312872665, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.046714710312872665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03822798716320808, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03822798716320808, "ret_p6m": 0.1466505944435721, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1466505944435721, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15348897511677317, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15348897511677317, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.006838380673201083, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006838380673201083, "ret_p1y": 0.38888051410240876, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.38888051410240876, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.22120051978942934, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.22120051978942934, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.16767999431297942, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16767999431297942, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02383824394080114, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012128062189464828, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012128062189464828, "price_path": [-0.1232, -0.122, -0.1221, -0.1238, -0.1099, -0.1099, -0.0991, -0.1116, -0.1098, -0.1052, -0.0891, -0.0895, -0.0861, -0.0712, -0.0741, -0.0752, -0.0964, -0.0978, -0.093, -0.0897, -0.1129, -0.1023, -0.1033, -0.0929, -0.0848, -0.0815, -0.0851, -0.0941, -0.0989, -0.0983, -0.0864, -0.0826, -0.0712, -0.0696, -0.0799, -0.0747, -0.0576, -0.0564, -0.0528, -0.0539, -0.065, -0.0539, -0.0504, -0.051, -0.0567, -0.0473, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0608, -0.0595, -0.0527, -0.0595, -0.0564, -0.0524, -0.0525, -0.0377, -0.0264, -0.0267, -0.0328, -0.0304, -0.0238, -0.0118, -0.0093, 0.0, 0.003, 0.0071, -0.0026, -0.0057, 0.0061, -0.0015, 0.0022, -0.002, -0.0024, -0.0137, -0.017, -0.0115, 0.0024, -0.0013, 0.0038, 0.0086, 0.015, 0.0236, 0.0271, 0.0351, 0.0238, 0.0316, 0.0338, 0.0346, 0.0442, 0.0518, 0.0329, 0.033, 0.032, 0.0336, 0.0062, 0.0178, 0.0137, -0.0151, -0.0193, -0.0266, -0.0313, -0.0322, -0.0153, -0.0091, -0.0011, 0.0079, 0.0221, -0.013, -0.0117, -0.0043, -0.0043, 0.0022, -0.0061, -0.0025, 0.001, -0.0093, -0.0048, 0.0052, 0.0175, 0.0312, 0.0137, 0.0018, 0.0001, -0.0026, -0.0055, -0.0223, -0.0085, -0.0147, -0.0118, -0.0118, -0.0047, -0.0128, -0.017, -0.0083, 0.0029, -0.0023, -0.0048, 0.0021, 0.005, 0.0123, 0.0216, 0.0084, 0.0099, 0.0231, 0.0359, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0392, 0.0439, 0.0422, 0.0476, 0.0326, 0.0436, 0.0445, 0.0648, 0.0608, 0.0689, 0.0762, 0.0831, 0.0772, 0.0815, 0.0992, 0.0986, 0.0972, 0.1036, 0.0877, 0.0877, 0.1058, 0.1012, 0.1089, 0.108, 0.1119, 0.0955, 0.1002, 0.0875, 0.07, 0.0901, 0.0975, 0.0996, 0.1001, 0.0956, 0.0904, 0.0987, 0.1086, 0.1256, 0.1295, 0.1316, 0.1448, 0.1451, 0.1467]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958912046952849685", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-22T15:20:01+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have taken a second trade of the day and have purchased $SPXU at $14.93", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P ETF) as a day trade at $14.93; short S&P 500 stance intraday.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting morning so far,  stopped out at $15.53 for a loss of -1.08%.  My tell all this week was HYG.  It didn’t budge.  I have taken a second trade of the day and have purchased $SPXU at $14.93.  This will be a day trade.  A daily “Buy Signal” was triggered at 6,432.50. https://t.co/OrOUylTCO8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04666656898733357, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04666656898733357, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06179104238492883, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06179104238492883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01333329586728782, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01333329586728782, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017734220692663727, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017734220692663727, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": 0.003333273789082325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003333273789082325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003736165929223767, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003736165929223767, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.09133332088925394, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09133332088925394, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12756215100160184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12756215100160184, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.06686003160394749, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06686003160394749, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09654676551238472, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09654676551238472, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.1527268557350514, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1527268557350514, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22233099149507107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22233099149507107, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06960413576001967, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06960413576001967, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01333329586728782, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017734220692663727, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017734220692663727, "price_path": [0.2778, 0.2995, 0.285, 0.2916, 0.2698, 0.2481, 0.2507, 0.2692, 0.2316, 0.2296, 0.2085, 0.2191, 0.2059, 0.2481, 0.2118, 0.2441, 0.2461, 0.2461, 0.2573, 0.2191, 0.1801, 0.1787, 0.1507, 0.1367, 0.12, 0.122, 0.1073, 0.082, 0.082, 0.1067, 0.11, 0.0907, 0.0813, 0.094, 0.0887, 0.1033, 0.0927, 0.0733, 0.0767, 0.0713, 0.0713, 0.0447, 0.0433, 0.0327, 0.0327, 0.0413, 0.046, 0.0593, 0.1113, 0.062, 0.0787, 0.0547, 0.0567, 0.034, 0.0413, 0.008, -0.0013, -0.0013, 0.0067, 0.0073, 0.0247, 0.0333, 0.0467, 0.0, 0.0133, 0.0013, -0.0053, -0.0153, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0267, 0.0113, -0.014, -0.004, -0.0113, -0.0173, -0.026, -0.0493, -0.048, -0.062, -0.0573, -0.0533, -0.0667, -0.0793, -0.0913, -0.0773, -0.0682, -0.054, -0.0696, -0.077, -0.0871, -0.0966, -0.0986, -0.0973, -0.1067, -0.0959, -0.1115, -0.104, -0.031, -0.0743, -0.0709, -0.0824, -0.0642, -0.0783, -0.1061, -0.1054, -0.0919, -0.1074, -0.1277, -0.1594, -0.1655, -0.1662, -0.1392, -0.1452, -0.1493, -0.1196, -0.1277, -0.0993, -0.102, -0.1419, -0.1479, -0.1493, -0.1074, -0.1054, -0.0797, -0.0567, -0.0669, -0.0243, -0.0522, -0.0939, -0.1189, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1496, -0.1376, -0.1415, -0.1501, -0.1517, -0.1552, -0.1474, -0.1449, -0.1613, -0.1672, -0.1392, -0.1348, -0.1273, -0.0978, -0.1184, -0.141, -0.1569, -0.1682, -0.1762, -0.1751, -0.166, -0.1625, -0.1434, -0.147, -0.1639, -0.1786, -0.1703, -0.1693, -0.1849, -0.1886, -0.1836, -0.1713, -0.1779, -0.1743, -0.1743, -0.1236, -0.1539, -0.1669, -0.1665, -0.1793, -0.1887, -0.1882, -0.1825, -0.1743, -0.187, -0.1656, -0.1534, -0.1209, -0.1712, -0.182, -0.1751, -0.1748, -0.136, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.1403, -0.1527]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1690514815381626880", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-08-13T00:05:14+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MSFT, triggered a new weekly sell signal this week. Near term target is easily $300.00. weakness is in the cards to at least September", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short MSFT to $300 target; weekly sell signal triggered, weakness expected through September correction.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Another market leader, MSFT, triggered a new weekly sell signal this week.  Just like Apple did.  The leaders took us up and weakness is in the cards to at least September.  Near term target is easily $300.00.  September is shaping up to be support in a correction or a ST bottom. https://t.co/eJsz3vazQ9", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0093510733402149, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0093510733402149, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003861340601603147, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003861340601603147, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005489732738611752, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005489732738611752, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0067280373032589935, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0067280373032589935, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004920864672434022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004920864672434022, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011648901975693016, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011648901975693016, "ret_p1w": -0.004563126348911761, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004563126348911761, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015007888563475458, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015007888563475458, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01957101491238722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01957101491238722, "ret_p1m": 0.02602231450923198, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02602231450923198, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030753258295935226, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030753258295935226, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0047309437867032456, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0047309437867032456, "ret_p3m": 0.11545976448013162, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11545976448013162, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14388967928567764, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14388967928567764, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02842991480554602, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02842991480554602, "ret_p6m": 0.2565521672102564, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2565521672102564, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14581535302391435, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14581535302391435, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11073681418634207, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11073681418634207, "ret_p1y": 0.3011433942113313, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3011433942113313, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.054765455671398344, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.054765455671398344, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24637793853993295, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24637793853993295, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02602231450923198, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.030753258295935226, "alpha_c_stated": -0.030753258295935226, "price_path": [-0.031, -0.017, -0.0176, -0.0088, -0.0271, -0.0314, 0.0058, 0.0273, 0.0273, 0.0221, 0.0134, 0.0264, 0.0351, 0.0367, 0.0297, -0.002, 0.0038, 0.0085, 0.0241, 0.0316, 0.041, 0.0742, 0.0564, 0.0564, 0.0432, 0.0294, 0.0484, 0.0339, 0.0141, 0.0325, 0.0364, 0.034, 0.0509, 0.043, 0.043, 0.0435, 0.0532, 0.0407, 0.024, 0.026, 0.0406, 0.0575, 0.0654, 0.0669, 0.1094, 0.0958, 0.0705, 0.0609, 0.065, 0.0831, 0.0424, 0.0206, 0.0442, 0.0367, 0.038, 0.0107, 0.0081, 0.0115, 0.0187, 0.0062, -0.0056, -0.0034, -0.0094, 0.0, -0.0067, -0.0091, -0.02, -0.0213, -0.0046, -0.0028, 0.0113, -0.0105, -0.0012, 0.0011, 0.0156, 0.0168, 0.0136, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0315, 0.0295, 0.0203, 0.0338, 0.0451, 0.026, 0.0393, 0.0475, 0.0212, 0.0176, 0.0164, -0.008, -0.0118, -0.0196, -0.018, -0.0347, -0.0327, -0.03, -0.0235, -0.0048, -0.0308, -0.0136, -0.0124, 0.0121, 0.02, 0.0156, 0.028, 0.0241, 0.0135, 0.0287, 0.0269, 0.0209, 0.0246, 0.0103, 0.0184, 0.0222, 0.0535, 0.014, 0.02, 0.0432, 0.0456, 0.0702, 0.0772, 0.0911, 0.1026, 0.115, 0.1232, 0.1155, 0.1432, 0.134, 0.1451, 0.1456, 0.1657, 0.1461, 0.1696, 0.1561, 0.1709, 0.1709, 0.1696, 0.1733, 0.1859, 0.174, 0.1742, 0.1605, 0.1439, 0.1544, 0.1429, 0.1495, 0.1597, 0.1506, 0.1601, 0.1601, 0.134, 0.1488, 0.1548, 0.1567, 0.1485, 0.1575, 0.1608, 0.1608, 0.161, 0.1592, 0.1629, 0.1653, 0.1653, 0.1493, 0.1484, 0.1402, 0.1396, 0.1611, 0.1645, 0.1861, 0.1919, 0.2038, 0.2038, 0.2094, 0.2069, 0.2205, 0.2354, 0.2287, 0.2361, 0.2475, 0.2546, 0.2517, 0.2697, 0.2662, 0.232, 0.2513, 0.2743, 0.257, 0.2566]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000574547729256871", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T14:31:55+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at the open. Bought at $50.16 and my daily price target is $50.42.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $50.16 with intraday target $50.42; net bearish S&P 500 positioning.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at the open.  Bought at $50.16 and my daily price target is $50.42.  A confirmed “Daily Sell Signal” will not be triggered until we close below 6,806.78.  Based on the open, looks like it probably won’t today.  Need to post last week results. https://t.co/WRbLBXRTXG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005076199045954799, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005076199045954799, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006589293455560585, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006589293455560585, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008590443108844159, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008590443108844159, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011322818411223512, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011322818411223512, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "ret_p1w": -0.02557593030464078, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02557593030464078, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.034571596148448736, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.034571596148448736, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008995665843807954, "ret_p1m": -0.049827059880327984, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.049827059880327984, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06974020318050289, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06974020318050289, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019913143300174907, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019913143300174907, "ret_p3m": 0.060482144573470675, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060482144573470675, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07476545927450684, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07476545927450684, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014283314701036165, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014283314701036165, "ret_p6m": -0.2159103518257205, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2159103518257205, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3058590546978063, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3058590546978063, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08994870287208578, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08994870287208578, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008590443108844159, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011322818411223512, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011322818411223512, "price_path": [0.0941, 0.0787, 0.0641, 0.0502, 0.0664, 0.0769, 0.0933, 0.0754, 0.0668, 0.0551, 0.0441, 0.0418, 0.0433, 0.0324, 0.0449, 0.0269, 0.0355, 0.1199, 0.0699, 0.0738, 0.0605, 0.0816, 0.0652, 0.0332, 0.034, 0.0496, 0.0316, 0.0082, -0.0285, -0.0355, -0.0363, -0.0051, -0.0121, -0.0168, 0.0176, 0.0082, 0.041, 0.0379, -0.0082, -0.0152, -0.0168, 0.0316, 0.034, 0.0636, 0.0902, 0.0785, 0.1277, 0.0955, 0.0472, 0.0184, -0.0018, -0.0018, -0.0172, -0.0033, -0.0078, -0.0178, -0.0195, -0.0236, -0.0146, -0.0117, -0.0307, -0.0375, -0.0051, 0.0, 0.0086, 0.0428, 0.0189, -0.0072, -0.0256, -0.0387, -0.0478, -0.0466, -0.0361, -0.0321, -0.01, -0.0142, -0.0337, -0.0506, -0.0411, -0.0399, -0.058, -0.0622, -0.0564, -0.0423, -0.0498, -0.0456, -0.0456, 0.0129, -0.0222, -0.0371, -0.0367, -0.0514, -0.0624, -0.0618, -0.0552, -0.0456, -0.0604, -0.0357, -0.0216, 0.0161, -0.0421, -0.0546, -0.0466, -0.0462, -0.0014, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0064, -0.0208, -0.0136, -0.0331, -0.0034, -0.0251, -0.049, -0.0327, -0.0186, -0.0188, 0.0079, -0.0136, 0.0027, 0.0438, 0.0167, 0.0225, 0.0266, 0.0736, 0.0931, 0.0605, 0.0523, 0.0963, 0.1061, 0.1555, 0.1184, 0.1296, 0.1118, 0.1716, 0.2326, 0.2455, 0.1387, 0.1124, 0.1104, 0.1104, 0.0962, 0.0946, 0.0121, -0.0054, -0.002, -0.0309, -0.0656, -0.0877, -0.0941, -0.1258, -0.1206, -0.1031, -0.1296, -0.119, -0.1388, -0.1431, -0.13, -0.1296, -0.1545, -0.1609, -0.1517, -0.1714, -0.2057, -0.1978, -0.2169, -0.2221, -0.2185, -0.2314, -0.2488, -0.2207, -0.2191, -0.2029, -0.2278, -0.232, -0.2398, -0.2398, -0.2542, -0.254, -0.2663, -0.2703, -0.2757, -0.2785, -0.2637, -0.2715, -0.2139, -0.2193, -0.2121, -0.1746, -0.2159]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036068588701016495", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-23T13:12:34+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I will be purchasing $SPXU at the open", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buying SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at the open, bearish on equities amid Iran geopolitical concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I will be purchasing $SPXU at the open.  I was fooled 2 weeks ago by Trump and “We won’t be fooled again” on a Monday.  I appreciate this kind of move.  Allows me to correct errors.  Missing Friday has ended up being a benefit.  A long war benefits Iran.  No talks are happening. https://t.co/PFdUxHtmbW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.033113786497765973, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033113786497765973, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.043504673500884716, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.043504673500884716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009969762243401403, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009969762243401403, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013326576720578909, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013326576720578909, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "ret_p1w": 0.11359554138277872, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11359554138277872, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14931528920339832, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14931528920339832, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "ret_p1m": -0.19808924701238295, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19808924701238295, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27239732885695767, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.27239732885695767, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "ret_p3m": -0.32854107940549926, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32854107940549926, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.47087647439608493, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.47087647439608493, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11359554138277872, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14931528920339832, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14931528920339832, "price_path": [-0.1288, -0.1404, -0.1487, -0.1476, -0.1382, -0.1346, -0.1148, -0.1186, -0.136, -0.1511, -0.1426, -0.1415, -0.1577, -0.1615, -0.1563, -0.1437, -0.1504, -0.1467, -0.1467, -0.0944, -0.1257, -0.139, -0.1387, -0.1519, -0.1617, -0.1611, -0.1552, -0.1467, -0.1599, -0.1378, -0.1252, -0.0915, -0.1435, -0.1547, -0.1476, -0.1472, -0.1072, -0.1074, -0.1074, -0.1116, -0.1244, -0.118, -0.1355, -0.109, -0.1284, -0.1497, -0.1351, -0.1225, -0.1227, -0.0988, -0.118, -0.1034, -0.0668, -0.091, -0.0858, -0.0821, -0.0401, -0.0226, -0.0518, -0.0591, -0.0198, -0.011, 0.0331, 0.0, 0.01, -0.0059, 0.0476, 0.1021, 0.1136, 0.0181, -0.0054, -0.0072, -0.0072, -0.0199, -0.0213, -0.0951, -0.1107, -0.1077, -0.1335, -0.1645, -0.1843, -0.19, -0.2184, -0.2137, -0.1981, -0.2218, -0.2123, -0.23, -0.2338, -0.2221, -0.2218, -0.244, -0.2498, -0.2415, -0.2591, -0.2898, -0.2828, -0.2998, -0.3045, -0.3013, -0.3128, -0.3284, -0.3032, -0.3018, -0.2873, -0.3095, -0.3133, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3332, -0.333, -0.344, -0.3476, -0.3524, -0.3549, -0.3416, -0.3486, -0.2971, -0.302, -0.2955, -0.262, -0.2989, -0.3095, -0.3458, -0.3341, -0.309, -0.3285, -0.3285, -0.3223, -0.2936, -0.2919, -0.2928, -0.2928, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1710277684918694297", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-10-06T12:55:50+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stay short SPX or stay long SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Stay short SPX / long SPXU; 10Y at 5% in view, concerned about long-only exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That got ugly fast.  Stay short SPX or stay long SPXU.  5.00% on the 10 year is now in view.  I’d be concerned if I was long only.  This market demonstrates why you need to be flexible and have short and long biases.  My question is what happens on Monday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038232936304108955, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038232936304108955, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04996647673392629, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04996647673392629, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011733540429817335, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011733540429817335, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017841826452511644, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017841826452511644, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024243950288879934, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024243950288879934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00640212383636829, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00640212383636829, "ret_p1w": -0.011894550968341133, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011894550968341133, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016457512816477338, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016457512816477338, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004562961848136204, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004562961848136204, "ret_p1m": -0.036533439707491566, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036533439707491566, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.050850934020323924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.050850934020323924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014317494312832357, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014317494312832357, "ret_p3m": -0.2200256283686327, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2200256283686327, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31582717730061505, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31582717730061505, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09580154893198234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09580154893198234, "ret_p6m": -0.424489646616524, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.424489646616524, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6488365445931885, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6488365445931885, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22434689797666452, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22434689797666452, "ret_p1y": -0.5501105454422242, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5501105454422242, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8981231746435927, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8981231746435927, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.34801262920136855, "bench_c_p1y": 0.34801262920136855, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.011894550968341133, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.016457512816477338, "alpha_c_stated": -0.016457512816477338, "price_path": [-0.1013, -0.123, -0.1431, -0.1414, -0.1481, -0.1681, -0.1706, -0.1556, -0.1548, -0.1656, -0.1706, -0.1715, -0.1531, -0.1773, -0.1832, -0.174, -0.1405, -0.1314, -0.1196, -0.1414, -0.1305, -0.1121, -0.1121, -0.1096, -0.1222, -0.0937, -0.072, -0.0486, -0.0511, -0.067, -0.0595, -0.0895, -0.0528, -0.0712, -0.087, -0.1263, -0.138, -0.1322, -0.1355, -0.1355, -0.1247, -0.1071, -0.0979, -0.1013, -0.1171, -0.1029, -0.1063, -0.1272, -0.0954, -0.0962, -0.0895, -0.0646, -0.0178, -0.0102, -0.0204, 0.0221, 0.0212, 0.0059, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0552, 0.034, 0.0382, 0.0, -0.0178, -0.0323, -0.045, -0.0246, -0.0119, -0.0408, -0.0416, -0.0025, 0.0255, 0.0637, 0.0697, 0.0476, 0.0918, 0.1325, 0.1487, 0.1079, 0.0892, 0.0535, -0.0042, -0.0306, -0.0365, -0.0442, -0.0459, -0.0238, -0.0688, -0.0646, -0.1189, -0.1232, -0.1249, -0.1291, -0.1478, -0.1427, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.147, -0.1487, -0.1461, -0.1563, -0.1699, -0.1555, -0.1555, -0.1444, -0.1631, -0.1725, -0.1827, -0.1929, -0.2268, -0.2328, -0.2294, -0.2413, -0.254, -0.2218, -0.2443, -0.2478, -0.2478, -0.2565, -0.2608, -0.2608, -0.2539, -0.2539, -0.2391, -0.22, -0.2122, -0.2157, -0.2487, -0.2443, -0.2573, -0.2547, -0.2556, -0.2556, -0.2461, -0.2348, -0.2539, -0.2799, -0.2851, -0.2912, -0.2929, -0.3033, -0.2998, -0.3155, -0.3146, -0.2816, -0.3077, -0.3293, -0.3224, -0.3267, -0.3424, -0.3432, -0.3545, -0.3528, -0.3259, -0.345, -0.3562, -0.3458, -0.3458, -0.3354, -0.3372, -0.3771, -0.3779, -0.3701, -0.3736, -0.371, -0.3771, -0.3944, -0.3918, -0.3727, -0.3831, -0.3996, -0.3892, -0.3866, -0.4074, -0.4031, -0.3988, -0.3866, -0.3961, -0.4074, -0.4218, -0.428, -0.4245, -0.4192, -0.4148, -0.4298, -0.4289, -0.4289, -0.4245]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2046610049267896394", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-21T15:20:34+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Physical price of oil is pricing in a 100% chance of war and I do agree with that assessment. I'll be placing an order later in the day to hold overnight", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish oil overnight; agrees physical market is pricing 100% chance of war as peace talks expected to break down.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Game plan for today’s trading.  I’m still 100% in cash and waiting for the “Peace Talks” to breakdown tomorrow.  Physical price of oil is pricing in a 100% chance of war and I do agree with that assessment.  I’ll be placing an order later in the day to hold overnight. https://t.co/viEC8voehy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05403509009883645, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05403509009883645, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.060625127214238406, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.060625127214238406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006590037115401959, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006590037115401959, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008966814007675517, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008966814007675517, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001159898087443434, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001159898087443434, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01012671209511895, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01012671209511895, "ret_p1w": 0.08849907293189574, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08849907293189574, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07769071677352457, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07769071677352457, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010808356158371168, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010808356158371168, "ret_p1m": 0.1249123140152899, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1249123140152899, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07212005466897464, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07212005466897464, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05279225934631526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05279225934631526, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08849907293189574, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07769071677352457, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07769071677352457, "price_path": [-0.44, -0.4234, -0.4271, -0.4101, -0.4026, -0.3829, -0.38, -0.4126, -0.3959, -0.3927, -0.402, -0.3997, -0.3917, -0.3916, -0.3849, -0.4044, -0.4057, -0.4057, -0.4095, -0.3809, -0.3669, -0.3696, -0.3692, -0.3703, -0.3783, -0.378, -0.361, -0.3202, -0.2967, -0.2861, -0.249, -0.1519, -0.1865, -0.1746, -0.1575, -0.0769, -0.0652, -0.1031, -0.0734, -0.0513, -0.0849, -0.0532, -0.1379, -0.1069, -0.1159, -0.0857, -0.0316, 0.0123, -0.0078, -0.0324, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.0834, 0.0766, -0.0286, -0.0101, -0.0267, 0.0017, -0.0343, -0.0441, -0.0188, -0.0952, -0.054, 0.0, 0.009, 0.0504, 0.0324, 0.0504, 0.0885, 0.1745, 0.1469, 0.1135, 0.151, 0.1241, 0.0444, 0.0524, 0.0416, 0.0812, 0.1251, 0.1075, 0.115, 0.1558, 0.1641, 0.1927, 0.1249, 0.1114, 0.0988, 0.0988, 0.0682, 0.0217, 0.0197, 0.0065, 0.0565, 0.0703, 0.0983, 0.0662, 0.0372, 0.0538, 0.0238, 0.0472, 0.0045, -0.022, -0.0549, -0.0996, -0.1093, -0.1043, -0.1043, -0.1213, -0.1325, -0.1712, -0.1477, -0.1477, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1878149659241349464", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-01-11T18:39:07+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My model is telling me that we will be at $400 by end of July 2025. That is a pretty big call and a lot of downside from here.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish QQQ to $400 by end of July 2025, citing model signal and significant downside from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@shortseller I read your material but rarely engage. I’m going to give you my take.  My model is telling me that we will be at $400 by end of July 2025.  That is a pretty big call and a lot of downside from here.  I was up nearly 25% last year and short only since November of 2021. https://t.co/dji6qLGyRF", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$QQQ leaving path for now as we only need over the DTL above to play out - truth be told we can head to my UTL below 1st..as said earlier - no idea on timing just still think sometime in Q1 https://t.co/nlW6Idxq1M", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ShortSeller", "ret_m1d": 0.0032243218221030823, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0032243218221030823, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00477239919180239, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00477239919180239, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015480773696993078, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015480773696993078, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.000949417432792754, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.000949417432792754, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002325260784191152, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002325260784191152, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001375843351398398, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001375843351398398, "ret_p1w": 0.03200410027677347, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03200410027677347, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00415728711331087, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00415728711331087, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.027846813163462603, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027846813163462603, "ret_p1m": 0.0443668385494127, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0443668385494127, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003224263912446901, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003224263912446901, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0411425746369658, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0411425746369658, "ret_p3m": -0.11613767598764468, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11613767598764468, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.021137748063256856, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.021137748063256856, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.09499992792438783, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09499992792438783, "ret_p6m": 0.10314339146599494, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10314339146599494, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.023338711035911786, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.023338711035911786, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07980468043008315, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07980468043008315, "ret_p1y": 0.22858653807326879, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22858653807326879, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.03180666286551759, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.03180666286551759, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1967798752077512, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1967798752077512, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0443668385494127, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.003224263912446901, "alpha_c_stated": -0.003224263912446901, "price_path": [-0.0307, -0.0305, -0.0299, -0.0235, -0.0216, -0.0206, -0.0356, -0.0278, -0.0218, -0.0217, -0.0123, -0.0197, -0.0445, -0.0374, -0.0402, -0.028, -0.0016, 0.0141, 0.0153, 0.0147, 0.0129, 0.0116, 0.0046, -0.0194, -0.0126, -0.0058, -0.0063, -0.0028, -0.0012, 0.0004, 0.0058, -0.0021, -0.0021, 0.0066, 0.0176, 0.0207, 0.0333, 0.0305, 0.0397, 0.0316, 0.0281, 0.0465, 0.0397, 0.0477, 0.0628, 0.0581, 0.0199, 0.0154, 0.0243, 0.0342, 0.0483, 0.0483, 0.0476, 0.0336, 0.0199, 0.0112, 0.0092, 0.0258, 0.0375, 0.019, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0032, 0.0, -0.0009, 0.022, 0.0149, 0.032, 0.032, 0.0381, 0.0513, 0.0536, 0.0476, 0.0171, 0.0321, 0.0302, 0.0346, 0.0331, 0.0248, 0.0374, 0.0421, 0.0476, 0.0343, 0.0469, 0.0444, 0.045, 0.06, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.0669, 0.0672, 0.0626, 0.0406, 0.0283, 0.0153, 0.0178, -0.0105, 0.0052, -0.0168, -0.0198, -0.007, -0.0343, -0.0272, -0.0649, -0.0672, -0.0566, -0.0736, -0.0512, -0.0451, -0.0614, -0.0488, -0.052, -0.0489, -0.028, -0.0225, -0.0405, -0.0459, -0.0711, -0.0711, -0.0636, -0.0568, -0.1073, -0.1627, -0.1607, -0.1758, -0.0769, -0.1161, -0.0999, -0.0938, -0.0927, -0.1201, -0.1203, -0.142, -0.1195, -0.0995, -0.0742, -0.0639, -0.0642, -0.058, -0.0581, -0.0458, -0.0317, -0.0374, -0.0463, -0.0426, -0.0327, -0.0334, 0.006, 0.0214, 0.0275, 0.0286, 0.0331, 0.0341, 0.0306, 0.0163, 0.0182, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0325, 0.0279, 0.03, 0.0283, 0.0365, 0.0446, 0.0475, 0.0396, 0.0497, 0.0513, 0.0582, 0.0547, 0.0572, 0.0439, 0.0584, 0.0481, 0.0479, 0.0479, 0.0436, 0.0544, 0.0705, 0.0732, 0.0833, 0.087, 0.094, 0.0848, 0.0923, 0.1031, 0.1031, 0.0948, 0.0954, 0.1031]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2063129616433430636", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-06T05:23:26+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SPXU was up 7.91%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "SPX sell signal triggered; correction target 7,031.25; long SPXU as the inverse-ETF play.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was down -2.64% to close at 7,383.84.  My family accounts were up 5.18% and $SPXU was up 7.91%.  SPX has triggered a “Confirmed Daily Sell Signal”.  Weekly return for  $SPX was -2.59%, my family accounts up 7.14% and $SPXU up 7.73%.  Correction should take us to 7,031.25. https://t.co/Zk9S2i0VV9", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0069407803606273966, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0069407803606273966, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009199838072805444, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009199838072805444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022590577121780475, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022590577121780475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009254439846091422, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009254439846091422, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012189890396899217, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012189890396899217, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029354505508077944, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0029354505508077944, "ret_p1w": -0.06272494393146999, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06272494393146999, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08384187703008428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08384187703008428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021116933098614288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021116933098614288, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3151, 0.3752, 0.4002, 0.3584, 0.348, 0.4043, 0.4168, 0.4801, 0.4326, 0.4469, 0.4242, 0.5008, 0.5789, 0.5954, 0.4586, 0.4249, 0.4224, 0.4224, 0.4041, 0.4021, 0.2964, 0.274, 0.2784, 0.2414, 0.1969, 0.1686, 0.1604, 0.1198, 0.1265, 0.1488, 0.1149, 0.1285, 0.1031, 0.0977, 0.1144, 0.1149, 0.083, 0.0748, 0.0866, 0.0614, 0.0175, 0.0275, 0.0031, -0.0036, 0.001, -0.0154, -0.0378, -0.0018, 0.0003, 0.0211, -0.0108, -0.0162, -0.0262, -0.0262, -0.0447, -0.0445, -0.0602, -0.0653, -0.0722, -0.0758, -0.0568, -0.0668, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0093, 0.0573, 0.0044, -0.0108, -0.0627, -0.046, -0.01, -0.038, -0.038, -0.029, 0.0121, 0.0144, 0.0131, 0.0131, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1742542854415880436", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-01-03T13:46:06+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "being fully invested in SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Watching for SPX drop below 4,728.60 as confirmation to go short via SPXU.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Futures this morning may give me confirmation to be a seller of SPX.  I require a drop below 4,728.60 to give me more confidence in being fully invested in SPXU.  I wish all of you a profitable day. https://t.co/6bLDQuWbUZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024471678420858956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024471678420858956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.032705670501725015, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032705670501725015, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00823399208086606, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00823399208086606, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010011311709015924, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010011311709015924, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01323225310590892, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01323225310590892, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032209413968929956, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032209413968929956, "ret_p1w": -0.047830846261365134, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.047830846261365134, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06440545968502354, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06440545968502354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016574613423658402, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016574613423658402, "ret_p1m": -0.11234678419970379, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11234678419970379, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15588445071822965, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15588445071822965, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043537666518525864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043537666518525864, "ret_p3m": -0.262141969896064, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.262141969896064, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3794491129366705, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3794491129366705, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11730714304060652, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11730714304060652, "ret_p6m": -0.3420221153438885, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3420221153438885, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5149046979502148, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5149046979502148, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17288258260632627, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17288258260632627, "ret_p1y": -0.47218886456684406, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.47218886456684406, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7493767276889395, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7493767276889395, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2771878631220954, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2771878631220954, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.047830846261365134, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06440545968502354, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06440545968502354, "price_path": [0.2821, 0.2592, 0.2407, 0.2244, 0.2505, 0.2668, 0.2298, 0.2287, 0.2788, 0.3148, 0.3638, 0.3714, 0.3431, 0.3997, 0.452, 0.4727, 0.4204, 0.3965, 0.3507, 0.2766, 0.2429, 0.2353, 0.2255, 0.2233, 0.2516, 0.1939, 0.1993, 0.1296, 0.1241, 0.122, 0.1165, 0.0926, 0.0991, 0.0882, 0.0882, 0.0882, 0.0936, 0.0915, 0.0947, 0.0817, 0.0642, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0969, 0.0729, 0.061, 0.0479, 0.0348, -0.0087, -0.0164, -0.012, -0.0273, -0.0436, -0.0022, -0.0311, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0467, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0434, -0.0434, -0.0245, 0.0, 0.01, 0.0056, -0.0367, -0.0311, -0.0478, -0.0445, -0.0456, -0.0456, -0.0334, -0.0189, -0.0434, -0.0768, -0.0834, -0.0912, -0.0934, -0.1068, -0.1023, -0.1224, -0.1212, -0.079, -0.1123, -0.1402, -0.1313, -0.1368, -0.1568, -0.158, -0.1724, -0.1702, -0.1357, -0.1602, -0.1746, -0.1613, -0.1613, -0.1479, -0.1502, -0.2013, -0.2024, -0.1924, -0.1969, -0.1935, -0.2013, -0.2236, -0.2202, -0.1958, -0.2091, -0.2303, -0.2169, -0.2136, -0.2403, -0.2347, -0.2291, -0.2136, -0.2258, -0.2403, -0.2587, -0.2667, -0.2621, -0.2553, -0.2497, -0.2689, -0.2678, -0.2678, -0.2621, -0.2485, -0.2497, -0.2213, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2474, -0.2263, -0.2422, -0.2098, -0.1808, -0.1753, -0.1597, -0.1538, -0.1311, -0.1536, -0.1842, -0.183, -0.1721, -0.1953, -0.2028, -0.1647, -0.1565, -0.178, -0.2091, -0.2331, -0.2354, -0.2349, -0.247, -0.2494, -0.249, -0.2592, -0.2862, -0.2801, -0.283, -0.2853, -0.2898, -0.2832, -0.2664, -0.2807, -0.2807, -0.2816, -0.266, -0.2508, -0.2698, -0.2714, -0.2732, -0.2993, -0.2986, -0.295, -0.3009, -0.3054, -0.3227, -0.3261, -0.3265, -0.3417, -0.3465, -0.3465, -0.3403, -0.3356, -0.3299, -0.3376, -0.3399, -0.342]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1737340758175465488", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2023-12-20T05:14:49+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still committed to #SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish SPX with target 4,400 by February; holds long SPXU as the vehicle.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is a great time to lock in profits in SPX.  Market is certainly getting rich.  Drives me crazy when I’m early on a trade.  But I knew it was going to go against me short term.  Still committed to #SPXU.  4,400 by February? https://t.co/vHEs8h2S7A", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.041471570450204887, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041471570450204887, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05552348703782184, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05552348703782184, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014051916587616953, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014051916587616953, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028985412596647664, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028985412596647664, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038467223583068644, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038467223583068644, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00948181098642098, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00948181098642098, "ret_p1w": -0.050167174438801254, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050167174438801254, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06778541157041573, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06778541157041573, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017618237131614478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017618237131614478, "ret_p1m": -0.041248631617674, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.041248631617674, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.058824168776284824, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.058824168776284824, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01757553715861082, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01757553715861082, "ret_p3m": -0.22408039215860898, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22408039215860898, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.32272941469513095, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.32272941469513095, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09864902253652197, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09864902253652197, "ret_p6m": -0.3245644059204559, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3245644059204559, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.48660120268933016, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.48660120268933016, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16203679676887428, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16203679676887428, "ret_p1y": -0.5092521594540067, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5092521594540067, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8195102304370723, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8195102304370723, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31025807098306557, "bench_c_p1y": 0.31025807098306557, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.041248631617674, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.058824168776284824, "alpha_c_stated": -0.058824168776284824, "price_path": [0.2719, 0.2588, 0.3133, 0.3122, 0.2926, 0.3046, 0.3046, 0.3559, 0.3286, 0.3341, 0.285, 0.262, 0.2435, 0.2271, 0.2533, 0.2697, 0.2325, 0.2315, 0.2817, 0.3177, 0.3668, 0.3745, 0.3461, 0.4029, 0.4553, 0.476, 0.4236, 0.3996, 0.3537, 0.2795, 0.2457, 0.238, 0.2282, 0.226, 0.2544, 0.1965, 0.202, 0.1321, 0.1267, 0.1245, 0.119, 0.095, 0.1015, 0.0906, 0.0906, 0.0906, 0.0961, 0.0939, 0.0972, 0.0841, 0.0666, 0.0852, 0.0852, 0.0994, 0.0753, 0.0633, 0.0502, 0.0371, -0.0065, -0.0142, -0.0098, -0.0251, -0.0415, 0.0, -0.029, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.0446, -0.0502, -0.0502, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.0223, 0.0022, 0.0123, 0.0078, -0.0346, -0.029, -0.0457, -0.0424, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.0312, -0.0167, -0.0412, -0.0747, -0.0814, -0.0892, -0.0914, -0.1048, -0.1003, -0.1204, -0.1193, -0.0769, -0.1104, -0.1382, -0.1293, -0.1349, -0.155, -0.1561, -0.1706, -0.1683, -0.1338, -0.1583, -0.1728, -0.1594, -0.1594, -0.146, -0.1483, -0.1996, -0.2007, -0.1906, -0.1951, -0.1918, -0.1996, -0.2219, -0.2185, -0.194, -0.2074, -0.2285, -0.2152, -0.2118, -0.2386, -0.233, -0.2274, -0.2118, -0.2241, -0.2386, -0.2571, -0.265, -0.2605, -0.2537, -0.248, -0.2673, -0.2662, -0.2662, -0.2605, -0.2469, -0.248, -0.2196, -0.2446, -0.2446, -0.2457, -0.2246, -0.2405, -0.208, -0.1789, -0.1735, -0.1578, -0.1519, -0.1292, -0.1517, -0.1823, -0.1812, -0.1703, -0.1935, -0.201, -0.1628, -0.1546, -0.1762, -0.2073, -0.2314, -0.2337, -0.2332, -0.2453, -0.2478, -0.2473, -0.2575, -0.2846, -0.2784, -0.2814, -0.2837, -0.2882, -0.2816, -0.2648, -0.2791, -0.2791, -0.28, -0.2644, -0.2491, -0.2682, -0.2698, -0.2716, -0.2978, -0.2971, -0.2934, -0.2993, -0.3039, -0.3212, -0.3246]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1629902221369544706", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-02-26T17:52:26+00:00", "symbol": "Equinox Gold", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Equinox Gold is calling for a double in the next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Equinox Gold, targeting a double within the next year; watching for more sector downside before adding.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQX"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Equinox Gold Corp trades on NYSE American as EQX", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m looking at adding a gold stock to my accounts.  This is really starting to look attractive from my perspective.  I need to see more downside in the sector but Equinox Gold is calling for a double in the next year.  Wish list for this summer? https://t.co/QcLkWQEERw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02272721564813507, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02272721564813507, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019332914245180133, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019412782166018272, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033943014029549357, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033144334821167964, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0340909931669362, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0340909931669362, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0377869371376518, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02954888046518267, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036959439707155983, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004542112701753531, "ret_p1w": 0.06534095710680532, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06534095710680532, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04839472740217832, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04361233669981268, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016946229704627003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021728620406992638, "ret_p1m": 0.45738642823606335, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.45738642823606335, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.45894567716773593, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4987791451943189, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0015592489316725855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04139271695825553, "ret_p3m": 0.2528410122575937, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2528410122575937, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20632073090748992, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31753590192768444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.046520281350103776, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06469488967009074, "ret_p6m": 0.30965915319477144, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30965915319477144, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19972026731107384, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.30893255935972386, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1099388858836976, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0007265938350475842, "ret_p1y": 0.24715908955924637, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.24715908955924637, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.025431984789828777, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.20474507567105005, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27259107434907515, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04241401388819632, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.45738642823606335, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.45894567716773593, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4987791451943189, "price_path": [-0.0028, 0.1051, 0.0938, 0.0313, 0.0085, 0.054, 0.0597, 0.0313, 0.0028, 0.0682, 0.0369, -0.0085, -0.0057, -0.0398, 0.0114, 0.0284, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0057, -0.071, -0.071, -0.0682, -0.0682, 0.017, 0.1364, 0.1165, 0.1364, 0.125, 0.2102, 0.1591, 0.1449, 0.1818, 0.1818, 0.1392, 0.1392, 0.25, 0.2642, 0.2756, 0.3295, 0.3807, 0.3551, 0.2926, 0.2869, 0.2926, 0.3466, 0.2699, 0.1847, 0.1676, 0.1875, 0.1989, 0.1392, 0.1193, 0.0994, 0.0653, 0.0455, 0.0653, 0.0483, 0.0483, 0.0142, 0.0341, -0.0057, -0.0227, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.0852, 0.0852, 0.1051, 0.0653, 0.0, -0.0199, 0.0028, 0.0256, 0.1477, 0.1875, 0.1733, 0.179, 0.2898, 0.2926, 0.2358, 0.304, 0.3295, 0.3438, 0.3665, 0.4574, 0.4801, 0.5256, 0.4631, 0.5, 0.5767, 0.5881, 0.5739, 0.5739, 0.5597, 0.5909, 0.6136, 0.6108, 0.5455, 0.517, 0.5057, 0.4688, 0.4517, 0.4205, 0.4375, 0.4176, 0.4034, 0.4119, 0.4148, 0.3665, 0.4375, 0.571, 0.5938, 0.6136, 0.625, 0.6477, 0.5966, 0.4886, 0.517, 0.5341, 0.4517, 0.4432, 0.3722, 0.392, 0.392, 0.3665, 0.3295, 0.2528, 0.2699, 0.2699, 0.2955, 0.3352, 0.3949, 0.358, 0.3807, 0.3977, 0.3466, 0.392, 0.358, 0.358, 0.321, 0.3182, 0.3097, 0.3182, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2642, 0.2756, 0.3068, 0.321, 0.2841, 0.2699, 0.2699, 0.3011, 0.3523, 0.3523, 0.304, 0.2642, 0.3409, 0.392, 0.3835, 0.4915, 0.4886, 0.4886, 0.4886, 0.5341, 0.5199, 0.4574, 0.4432, 0.429, 0.4659, 0.4631, 0.3778, 0.4375, 0.4972, 0.4091, 0.3636, 0.3977, 0.4261, 0.3835, 0.3892, 0.3778, 0.3835, 0.4034, 0.3523, 0.304, 0.2585, 0.2614, 0.2926, 0.3011, 0.3097]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1925546450806800715", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-22T13:37:03+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU just minutes after the open. Purchase price $20.14.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought inverse 3x S&P ETF SPXU at $20.14; expects to hold short term, implying bearish S&P view.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU just minutes after the open.  Purchase price $20.14.  No price target.  I suspect a sell signal will be triggered today.  This will most likely be a hold for the short term.  When the trend changes, I try to stop doing day trades. https://t.co/NrWkdEU0uz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0004954020341724208, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0004954020341724208, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00010095578639013336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00010095578639013336, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00039444624778228743, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00039444624778228743, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02129776646119197, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02129776646119197, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028123406146645546, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028123406146645546, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006825639685453577, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006825639685453577, "ret_p1w": -0.035166009412538224, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.035166009412538224, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.047102466627115036, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.047102466627115036, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936457214576812, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011936457214576812, "ret_p1m": -0.05596837383955766, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05596837383955766, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07817232208090708, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07817232208090708, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203948241349414, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022203948241349414, "ret_p3m": -0.2306472215089076, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2306472215089076, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3311659459232409, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3311659459232409, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005187244143333, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1005187244143333, "ret_p6m": -0.3282865820896542, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3282865820896542, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.48725818556884837, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.48725818556884837, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897160347919415, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15897160347919415, "ret_p1y": -0.5006595648660195, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5006595648660195, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7883158599457802, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7883158599457802, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28765629507976076, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28765629507976076, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.035166009412538224, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.047102466627115036, "alpha_c_stated": -0.047102466627115036, "price_path": [0.04, 0.0552, 0.0718, 0.0713, 0.1218, 0.0718, 0.1272, 0.1688, 0.1321, 0.1918, 0.1742, 0.2678, 0.2996, 0.2805, 0.3319, 0.2516, 0.2237, 0.2624, 0.2237, 0.2325, 0.233, 0.1698, 0.1615, 0.2021, 0.214, 0.2878, 0.2645, 0.2521, 0.2293, 0.4042, 0.6597, 0.6711, 0.7469, 0.2576, 0.3834, 0.3135, 0.2764, 0.2858, 0.373, 0.371, 0.4671, 0.3566, 0.2942, 0.213, 0.1872, 0.1852, 0.1654, 0.162, 0.1397, 0.0901, 0.109, 0.1362, 0.1233, 0.102, 0.107, -0.002, -0.0213, -0.0253, -0.0386, -0.0565, -0.0594, -0.0485, -0.0005, 0.0, 0.0213, 0.0213, -0.0406, -0.0243, -0.0352, -0.0302, -0.0466, -0.0629, -0.0609, -0.0471, -0.0753, -0.0768, -0.0926, -0.0847, -0.0946, -0.0629, -0.0901, -0.0659, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.056, -0.0847, -0.1139, -0.115, -0.136, -0.1466, -0.1591, -0.1576, -0.1686, -0.1876, -0.1876, -0.1691, -0.1666, -0.1811, -0.1881, -0.1786, -0.1826, -0.1716, -0.1796, -0.1941, -0.1916, -0.1956, -0.1956, -0.2156, -0.2166, -0.2246, -0.2246, -0.2181, -0.2146, -0.2046, -0.1656, -0.2026, -0.1901, -0.2081, -0.2066, -0.2236, -0.2181, -0.2432, -0.2502, -0.2502, -0.2442, -0.2437, -0.2306, -0.2241, -0.2141, -0.2492, -0.2392, -0.2482, -0.2532, -0.2607, -0.2467, -0.2467, -0.2291, -0.2407, -0.2597, -0.2522, -0.2577, -0.2622, -0.2687, -0.2862, -0.2852, -0.2957, -0.2922, -0.2892, -0.2992, -0.3087, -0.3177, -0.3072, -0.3004, -0.2897, -0.3014, -0.307, -0.3146, -0.3217, -0.3232, -0.3222, -0.3293, -0.3212, -0.3329, -0.3273, -0.2725, -0.3049, -0.3024, -0.311, -0.2973, -0.308, -0.3288, -0.3283, -0.3181, -0.3298, -0.345, -0.3689, -0.3734, -0.3739, -0.3537, -0.3582, -0.3613, -0.3389, -0.345, -0.3237, -0.3257, -0.3557, -0.3602, -0.3613, -0.3298, -0.3283]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1960699175009706264", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T13:41:26+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I will be buying $SPXU today with the purpose of holding overnight to profit from a certain company that will beat earnings but miss the whisper number", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buying SPXU overnight, expecting a high-profile earnings beat to disappoint vs whisper numbers and drag the S&P 500 lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My plan of action today is to do something that most investors will think crazy. I will be buying $SPXU today with the purpose of holding overnight to profit from a certain company that will beat earnings but miss the whisper number.  Expectations are so high that it should miss. https://t.co/FVi9WYQBVs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0067024950982534914, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0067024950982534914, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008975958959320796, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008975958959320796, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01005357449141231, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01005357449141231, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01359489862425689, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01359489862425689, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541324132844581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003541324132844581, "ret_p1w": 0.016756002327278585, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016756002327278585, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021225436444544332, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021225436444544332, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "ret_p1m": -0.048949462405370237, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.048949462405370237, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06943163295925092, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06943163295925092, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "ret_p3m": -0.08902943738376223, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08902943738376223, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12607376639794043, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12607376639794043, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "ret_p6m": -0.13311515657002182, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13311515657002182, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19446995474117268, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19446995474117268, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06135479817115086, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06135479817115086, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.016756002327278585, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.021225436444544332, "alpha_c_stated": 0.021225436444544332, "price_path": [0.2985, 0.2767, 0.2548, 0.2574, 0.276, 0.2382, 0.2362, 0.215, 0.2256, 0.2123, 0.2548, 0.2183, 0.2508, 0.2528, 0.2528, 0.2641, 0.2256, 0.1865, 0.185, 0.1568, 0.1428, 0.126, 0.128, 0.1133, 0.0878, 0.0878, 0.1126, 0.116, 0.0965, 0.0871, 0.0999, 0.0945, 0.1092, 0.0985, 0.0791, 0.0824, 0.0771, 0.0771, 0.0503, 0.0489, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0469, 0.0516, 0.065, 0.1173, 0.0677, 0.0845, 0.0603, 0.0623, 0.0395, 0.0469, 0.0134, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0121, 0.0127, 0.0302, 0.0389, 0.0523, 0.0054, 0.0188, 0.0067, 0.0, -0.0101, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0322, 0.0168, -0.0087, 0.0013, -0.006, -0.0121, -0.0208, -0.0442, -0.0429, -0.057, -0.0523, -0.0483, -0.0617, -0.0744, -0.0865, -0.0724, -0.0632, -0.0489, -0.0646, -0.072, -0.0822, -0.0917, -0.0938, -0.0924, -0.1019, -0.0911, -0.1067, -0.0992, -0.0259, -0.0693, -0.0659, -0.0775, -0.0591, -0.0734, -0.1013, -0.1006, -0.087, -0.1026, -0.123, -0.1549, -0.161, -0.1617, -0.1345, -0.1407, -0.1447, -0.1148, -0.123, -0.0945, -0.0972, -0.1373, -0.1434, -0.1447, -0.1026, -0.1006, -0.0748, -0.0517, -0.0619, -0.0191, -0.0471, -0.089, -0.1142, -0.1317, -0.1317, -0.1451, -0.133, -0.1369, -0.1456, -0.1471, -0.1507, -0.1429, -0.1403, -0.1568, -0.1627, -0.1345, -0.1301, -0.1227, -0.0929, -0.1137, -0.1364, -0.1524, -0.1638, -0.1717, -0.1707, -0.1615, -0.1581, -0.1388, -0.1425, -0.1594, -0.1742, -0.1659, -0.1648, -0.1806, -0.1842, -0.1792, -0.1669, -0.1735, -0.1698, -0.1698, -0.1189, -0.1494, -0.1624, -0.162, -0.1749, -0.1844, -0.1839, -0.1781, -0.1698, -0.1827, -0.1612, -0.1489, -0.1161, -0.1667, -0.1776, -0.1707, -0.1704, -0.1314, -0.1316, -0.1316, -0.1357, -0.1482, -0.1419, -0.1589, -0.1331]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1951280022662291576", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-01T13:53:05+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $SPXU at $16.34 and no price target is in place. If the market remains in a \"SELL\" today, I will be holding $SPXU", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P) as correction play; targeting S&P 500 down to 5,700.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Last night I warned that the correction has begun.  Bought $SPXU at $16.34 and no price target is in place.  If the market remains in a “SELL” today, I will be holding $SPXU. I have been stating the objective should be to hold $SPXU and trade it aggressively until 5,700 $SPX. https://t.co/3SDA4yOkM8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04679058091198873, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04679058091198873, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06345412091296143, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06345412091296143, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0166635400009727, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0166635400009727, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04439107937836184, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04439107937836184, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.059590843538435245, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.059590843538435245, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015199764160073403, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015199764160073403, "ret_p1w": -0.06958602608520281, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06958602608520281, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09445254723784058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09445254723784058, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.024866521152637766, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024866521152637766, "ret_p1m": -0.09718053452692355, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09718053452692355, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13470548581545716, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13470548581545716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.037524951288533615, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037524951288533615, "ret_p3m": -0.24971895045135895, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24971895045135895, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35841068404356025, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.35841068404356025, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1086917335922013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1086917335922013, "ret_p6m": -0.26954087514561176, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26954087514561176, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3944984170106728, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3944984170106728, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12495754186506103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12495754186506103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09718053452692355, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13470548581545716, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13470548581545716, "price_path": [0.3617, 0.3462, 0.3207, 0.3266, 0.1961, 0.1729, 0.1682, 0.1521, 0.1308, 0.1272, 0.1403, 0.1978, 0.1984, 0.224, 0.224, 0.1498, 0.1693, 0.1563, 0.1622, 0.1426, 0.123, 0.1254, 0.142, 0.1082, 0.1064, 0.0874, 0.0969, 0.0851, 0.123, 0.0904, 0.1195, 0.1213, 0.1213, 0.1314, 0.0969, 0.0619, 0.0606, 0.0354, 0.0228, 0.0078, 0.0096, -0.0036, -0.0264, -0.0264, -0.0042, -0.0012, -0.0186, -0.027, -0.0156, -0.0204, -0.0072, -0.0168, -0.0342, -0.0312, -0.036, -0.036, -0.06, -0.0612, -0.0708, -0.0708, -0.063, -0.0588, -0.0468, 0.0, -0.0444, -0.0294, -0.051, -0.0492, -0.0696, -0.063, -0.093, -0.1014, -0.1014, -0.0942, -0.0936, -0.078, -0.0702, -0.0582, -0.1002, -0.0882, -0.099, -0.105, -0.114, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0762, -0.09, -0.1128, -0.1038, -0.1104, -0.1158, -0.1236, -0.1446, -0.1434, -0.156, -0.1518, -0.1482, -0.1602, -0.1716, -0.1824, -0.1698, -0.1616, -0.1488, -0.1628, -0.1695, -0.1786, -0.1871, -0.1889, -0.1877, -0.1962, -0.1865, -0.2005, -0.1938, -0.1281, -0.167, -0.164, -0.1743, -0.1579, -0.1707, -0.1956, -0.195, -0.1828, -0.1968, -0.2151, -0.2436, -0.2491, -0.2497, -0.2254, -0.2309, -0.2345, -0.2078, -0.2151, -0.1895, -0.192, -0.2278, -0.2333, -0.2345, -0.1968, -0.195, -0.1719, -0.1512, -0.1603, -0.122, -0.1471, -0.1847, -0.2072, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.2348, -0.224, -0.2275, -0.2353, -0.2366, -0.2398, -0.2328, -0.2306, -0.2453, -0.2506, -0.2254, -0.2214, -0.2148, -0.1882, -0.2067, -0.2271, -0.2414, -0.2515, -0.2587, -0.2578, -0.2495, -0.2464, -0.2292, -0.2325, -0.2477, -0.2609, -0.2534, -0.2525, -0.2666, -0.2699, -0.2654, -0.2543, -0.2602, -0.257, -0.257, -0.2114, -0.2387, -0.2503, -0.25, -0.2615, -0.27, -0.2695]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974180548911452411", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T18:31:36+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have bought $SPXU at $13.27 with the intention of holding over the weekend", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) over the weekend on expectation of a major geopolitical event within days to weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have bought $SPXU at $13.27 with the intention of holding over the weekend.  Reliable sources that I’ve trusted over many years is saying that a major geopolitical event is only days to a couple of weeks away.  It was my main investment thesis earlier in the year.  Round 2? https://t.co/Y2deb3ptJL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0014970683399839757, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0014970683399839757, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0015117820038095253, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0015117820038095253, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010478959593829051, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010478959593829051, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014065139270102778, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014065139270102778, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "ret_p1w": 0.07335331005515577, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07335331005515577, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09754615983986725, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09754615983986725, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "ret_p1m": -0.05763475949597119, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05763475949597119, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07874905100638951, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07874905100638951, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114291510418326, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114291510418326, "ret_p3m": -0.055138286870606956, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.055138286870606956, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07901506876426656, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07901506876426656, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.023876781893659604, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023876781893659604, "ret_p6m": 0.06620406760879205, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06620406760879205, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0815044387793541, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0815044387793541, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015300371170562044, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015300371170562044, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07335331005515577, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09754615983986725, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09754615983986725, "price_path": [0.2296, 0.2082, 0.1978, 0.2119, 0.206, 0.2222, 0.2104, 0.189, 0.1927, 0.1868, 0.1868, 0.1572, 0.1557, 0.1439, 0.1439, 0.1535, 0.1587, 0.1735, 0.2311, 0.1764, 0.1949, 0.1683, 0.1705, 0.1454, 0.1535, 0.1166, 0.1063, 0.1063, 0.1151, 0.1159, 0.1351, 0.1447, 0.1594, 0.1077, 0.1225, 0.1092, 0.1018, 0.0908, 0.1114, 0.1114, 0.1373, 0.1203, 0.0922, 0.1033, 0.0952, 0.0885, 0.0789, 0.0531, 0.0546, 0.0391, 0.0442, 0.0487, 0.0339, 0.0199, 0.0066, 0.0221, 0.0322, 0.0479, 0.0307, 0.0225, 0.0112, 0.0007, -0.0015, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0015, -0.0157, -0.0075, 0.0734, 0.0254, 0.0292, 0.0165, 0.0367, 0.021, -0.0097, -0.009, 0.006, -0.0112, -0.0337, -0.0689, -0.0756, -0.0763, -0.0464, -0.0531, -0.0576, -0.0247, -0.0337, -0.0022, -0.0052, -0.0494, -0.0561, -0.0576, -0.0112, -0.009, 0.0195, 0.0449, 0.0337, 0.0808, 0.05, 0.0037, -0.024, -0.0432, -0.0432, -0.058, -0.0447, -0.049, -0.0586, -0.0603, -0.0642, -0.0556, -0.0528, -0.0709, -0.0775, -0.0464, -0.0415, -0.0333, -0.0006, -0.0234, -0.0485, -0.0661, -0.0786, -0.0874, -0.0862, -0.0761, -0.0723, -0.0511, -0.0551, -0.0738, -0.0901, -0.0809, -0.0798, -0.0971, -0.1011, -0.0956, -0.082, -0.0893, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.0292, -0.0628, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0908, -0.1013, -0.1007, -0.0945, -0.0853, -0.0994, -0.0757, -0.0622, -0.0261, -0.0819, -0.0939, -0.0862, -0.0859, -0.0429, -0.0431, -0.0431, -0.0477, -0.0614, -0.0546, -0.0733, -0.0448, -0.0656, -0.0885, -0.0729, -0.0593, -0.0595, -0.034, -0.0546, -0.0389, 0.0004, -0.0256, -0.02, -0.016, 0.029, 0.0477, 0.0164, 0.0086, 0.0508, 0.0601, 0.1075, 0.072, 0.0827, 0.0656, 0.1229, 0.1814, 0.1937, 0.0914, 0.0662]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1701761155377861064", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-09-13T00:54:11+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The model is pointing to $102 by year end. That would be a concern for me if we do get there. Seems the peak is early 2024 and back to $65.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Model projects oil rises to $102 by year-end, peaking early 2024 before falling back to $65.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The price of oil is getting my attention again.  Remember that the price of oil peaked in May of 2008.  The model is pointing to $102 by year end.  That would be a concern for me if we do get there.  Seems the peak is early 2024 and back to $65. https://t.co/CwXefHpANr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0002509618849124706, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0002509618849124706, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0014154292425456738, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0014154292425456738, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011644673576332032, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011644673576332032, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01807231972754786, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01807231972754786, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009449912137723615, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009449912137723615, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008622407589824244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008622407589824244, "ret_p1w": 0.005773080857314872, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005773080857314872, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01993341256095671, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01993341256095671, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014160331703641837, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014160331703641837, "ret_p1m": -0.053463882027040444, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053463882027040444, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02811099996323596, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02811099996323596, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025352882063804483, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025352882063804483, "ret_p3m": -0.16164655125611638, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16164655125611638, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19996507571549993, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19996507571549993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03831852445938355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03831852445938355, "ret_p6m": -0.06839855581536902, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06839855581536902, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2301207529511653, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2301207529511653, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16172219713579628, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16172219713579628, "ret_p1y": -0.0670181218227014, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.0670181218227014, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.34708898023605605, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.34708898023605605, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28007085841335466, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28007085841335466, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.053463882027040444, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02811099996323596, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02811099996323596, "price_path": [-0.1924, -0.1924, -0.1978, -0.1837, -0.2154, -0.2166, -0.2127, -0.2307, -0.2154, -0.2098, -0.2024, -0.2044, -0.2044, -0.1889, -0.1913, -0.1736, -0.1775, -0.1588, -0.1482, -0.1329, -0.1532, -0.1644, -0.1471, -0.1505, -0.146, -0.1342, -0.1128, -0.1069, -0.1132, -0.1035, -0.0953, -0.0817, -0.0843, -0.1029, -0.0821, -0.0739, -0.0735, -0.0705, -0.0575, -0.0688, -0.0681, -0.0737, -0.0886, -0.1043, -0.0966, -0.0865, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1044, -0.1038, -0.0907, -0.0912, -0.0798, -0.0756, -0.058, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0241, -0.0146, -0.0217, -0.0173, -0.0164, 0.0003, 0.0, 0.0181, 0.0202, 0.0222, 0.0228, 0.0058, 0.0092, 0.0119, 0.0089, 0.0151, 0.0404, 0.0237, 0.0148, -0.0036, 0.0031, -0.0513, -0.0714, -0.0693, -0.032, -0.0373, -0.0503, -0.0535, -0.0087, -0.0162, -0.011, 0.002, 0.0251, 0.0128, -0.0099, -0.0345, -0.0153, -0.035, -0.0166, -0.0456, -0.0585, -0.0619, -0.0439, -0.0606, -0.0599, -0.0989, -0.1191, -0.1183, -0.099, -0.0848, -0.0877, -0.1047, -0.146, -0.1121, -0.0926, -0.0897, -0.1013, -0.1013, -0.1112, -0.122, -0.1057, -0.0899, -0.1197, -0.131, -0.1407, -0.1519, -0.1872, -0.1829, -0.165, -0.1616, -0.1936, -0.1801, -0.1571, -0.1573, -0.1455, -0.1295, -0.1367, -0.1337, -0.1379, -0.1379, -0.1189, -0.135, -0.1569, -0.1635, -0.1635, -0.1746, -0.1442, -0.152, -0.1337, -0.1667, -0.1542, -0.1647, -0.151, -0.1463, -0.1463, -0.156, -0.1473, -0.1333, -0.1363, -0.1254, -0.1258, -0.1147, -0.0935, -0.0826, -0.0958, -0.0862, -0.1099, -0.1332, -0.1527, -0.1443, -0.1364, -0.1288, -0.1024, -0.1005, -0.095, -0.0882, -0.102, -0.0858, -0.0787, -0.0787, -0.0911, -0.0813, -0.0763, -0.0974, -0.0865, -0.0732, -0.0761, -0.0793, -0.0592, -0.0712, -0.0782, -0.067, -0.0684]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1900991096785957239", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-15T19:22:50+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My model is suggesting that the price of oil is going to collapse to $35.00 US by this summer. The daily, weekly and monthly charts are all in a confirmed \"Sell Signal\".", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Model calls oil collapse to $35 by summer; daily/weekly/monthly charts all on confirmed sell signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CL=F is crude oil futures; USO is liquid tradable proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "While completing my weekly review, I came across a new development.  My model is suggesting that the price of oil is going to collapse to $35.00 US by this summer.  The daily, weekly and monthly charts are all in a confirmed “Sell Signal”. Non confidence vote on the economy. https://t.co/ZZAXXEH8Fj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005913908823959924, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005913908823959924, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017385277542731892, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017385277542731892, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007652436578233113, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007652436578233113, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006876633286972189, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006876633286972189, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003931745151964039, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003931745151964039, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010808378438936228, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010808378438936228, "ret_p1w": 0.029844563282475978, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029844563282475978, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014580628051089617, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014580628051089617, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01526393523138636, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01526393523138636, "ret_p1m": -0.08568279199537887, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08568279199537887, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03644924518280679, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03644924518280679, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04923354681257208, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04923354681257208, "ret_p3m": 0.10328706135046906, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10328706135046906, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04748899784567695, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04748899784567695, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.055798063504792106, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055798063504792106, "ret_p6m": 0.027506533147888534, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.027506533147888534, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12934055921409082, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12934055921409082, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15684709236197936, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15684709236197936, "ret_p1y": 0.4348783268425942, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4348783268425942, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.22490738072883465, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.22490738072883465, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20997094611375955, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20997094611375955, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08568279199537887, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03644924518280679, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03644924518280679, "price_path": [0.0081, 0.0032, -0.0014, 0.0054, 0.0048, 0.0129, 0.0129, 0.0058, 0.0157, 0.029, 0.0391, 0.058, 0.0717, 0.0631, 0.0751, 0.0631, 0.0631, 0.1091, 0.1309, 0.1232, 0.16, 0.1407, 0.1349, 0.1349, 0.1155, 0.1062, 0.0894, 0.0948, 0.0718, 0.0846, 0.0697, 0.0693, 0.073, 0.0703, 0.066, 0.0465, 0.0377, 0.0433, 0.0645, 0.0765, 0.0496, 0.0506, 0.0428, 0.0428, 0.0585, 0.0652, 0.0695, 0.0363, 0.0448, 0.0195, 0.0157, 0.0353, 0.0345, 0.0084, 0.0083, -0.0177, -0.0217, -0.0085, -0.025, -0.0173, 0.0012, -0.015, -0.0059, 0.0, -0.0069, -0.004, 0.014, 0.0149, 0.0298, 0.029, 0.0373, 0.0381, 0.0283, 0.0635, 0.0601, 0.0692, -0.0063, -0.0659, -0.0926, -0.1289, -0.0706, -0.1016, -0.086, -0.0832, -0.0857, -0.0682, -0.0444, -0.0563, -0.0459, -0.0641, -0.0585, -0.0506, -0.0681, -0.0943, -0.1258, -0.1126, -0.1197, -0.1422, -0.1115, -0.1265, -0.0978, -0.0839, -0.0703, -0.0429, -0.0547, -0.0704, -0.0634, -0.0578, -0.0557, -0.0704, -0.0766, -0.0649, -0.0649, -0.0747, -0.0663, -0.0759, -0.0765, -0.0435, -0.0388, -0.0463, -0.0382, -0.0183, -0.0091, -0.0153, 0.029, 0.0322, 0.1033, 0.0809, 0.1319, 0.1315, 0.1315, 0.1432, 0.0509, 0.004, 0.0083, 0.0121, 0.0078, 0.0055, 0.0168, 0.0396, 0.0341, 0.0341, 0.0518, 0.0585, 0.058, 0.0369, 0.063, 0.04, 0.0351, 0.0341, 0.0474, 0.0443, 0.0396, 0.0363, 0.0353, 0.0465, 0.0294, 0.0613, 0.0975, 0.1146, 0.0946, 0.0653, 0.0468, 0.0318, 0.0149, 0.0098, 0.0081, 0.015, 0.0033, -0.0034, 0.0142, 0.0012, 0.0063, -0.0056, 0.0111, 0.0195, 0.0265, 0.0418, 0.0184, 0.0271, 0.0348, 0.0293, 0.0293, 0.0557, 0.0292, 0.0202, -0.0011, 0.0045, 0.0094, 0.0275]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1856487187896009063", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-11-13T00:00:12+00:00", "symbol": "HYG", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My model has now shown that HYG peaked and entered into the 'Weekly Panic Buying Zone' some 8 weeks ago. Model is predicting lower prices", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Model signals HYG peaked and is predicting lower prices from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["HYG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are giving me more and clarity.  I keep coming back to $HYG, high yield bonds and this is my take. My model has now shown that HYG peaked and entered into the “Weekly Panic Buying Zone” some 8 weeks ago.  Model is predicting lower prices but due to what? Inflation, rates? https://t.co/EcjQXY557O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00025181098456406037, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00025181098456406037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0002339303634354417, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0002339303634354417, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004857413479995021, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004857413479995021, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0021409201700177682, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0021409201700177682, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004289389923211817, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004289389923211817, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006430310093229585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006430310093229585, "ret_p1w": 0.0008814438062190177, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0008814438062190177, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012084160035956582, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012084160035956582, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011202716229737564, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011202716229737564, "ret_p1m": 0.007440224392034622, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007440224392034622, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004515667331348006, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004515667331348006, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011955891723382628, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011955891723382628, "ret_p3m": 0.015207065542290232, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.015207065542290232, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0018011828819186615, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0018011828819186615, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017008248424208894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017008248424208894, "ret_p6m": 0.028242235002654104, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.028242235002654104, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04578827221584425, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04578827221584425, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017546037213190147, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017546037213190147, "ret_p1y": 0.06946516821922022, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.06946516821922022, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.07497649363992487, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.07497649363992487, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1444416618591451, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1444416618591451, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007440224392034622, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.004515667331348006, "alpha_c_stated": 0.004515667331348006, "price_path": [-0.0216, -0.02, -0.0209, -0.0187, -0.0199, -0.0147, -0.0167, -0.0161, -0.0166, -0.0156, -0.0154, -0.0154, -0.0189, -0.0153, -0.0119, -0.0132, -0.0108, -0.0127, -0.0112, -0.0098, -0.0071, -0.0046, -0.0043, -0.0035, -0.0005, 0.0008, -0.0011, -0.001, -0.0021, -0.0005, 0.002, 0.0013, 0.0008, 0.0009, -0.0015, -0.0026, -0.0069, -0.0045, -0.0051, -0.0056, -0.003, -0.0025, -0.0027, -0.001, -0.0025, -0.0001, -0.0041, -0.0055, -0.0085, -0.0056, -0.0066, -0.0041, -0.0039, -0.0056, -0.0084, -0.0083, -0.0055, -0.0028, -0.001, 0.0033, 0.0049, 0.0038, -0.0003, 0.0, -0.0021, -0.0023, -0.0004, 0.0011, 0.0009, 0.0013, 0.001, 0.0048, 0.0029, 0.0059, 0.0059, 0.0079, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.01, 0.0091, 0.0107, 0.0095, 0.01, 0.0102, 0.0074, 0.0045, 0.0064, 0.0043, -0.006, -0.0071, -0.0008, -0.0035, -0.0003, -0.0003, 0.0022, -0.0012, 0.0002, 0.0001, 0.0025, 0.004, 0.0058, 0.0025, 0.0038, 0.0038, -0.0015, -0.0017, -0.0004, 0.0083, 0.0095, 0.0104, 0.0104, 0.013, 0.0116, 0.0129, 0.0141, 0.0148, 0.0144, 0.0138, 0.0157, 0.0137, 0.0124, 0.0156, 0.0183, 0.0167, 0.0135, 0.0156, 0.0152, 0.013, 0.0176, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.0179, 0.0187, 0.0193, 0.0174, 0.0187, 0.0212, 0.0226, 0.0207, 0.0235, 0.0214, 0.0213, 0.0218, 0.0179, 0.0196, 0.0157, 0.0121, 0.0133, 0.0076, 0.0123, 0.0147, 0.0129, 0.0196, 0.0182, 0.0166, 0.0196, 0.0191, 0.015, 0.013, 0.0112, 0.0124, 0.0147, 0.0168, 0.0042, -0.0101, -0.0187, -0.0232, 0.003, -0.0134, -0.0104, -0.0055, -0.0028, -0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0031, 0.0008, 0.0058, 0.0149, 0.0158, 0.0163, 0.019, 0.0136, 0.0149, 0.018, 0.0176, 0.0168, 0.0177, 0.0175, 0.0181, 0.0282]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014380411196211495", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T16:51:30+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $SPXU at $48.08. Price target is $48.29. This will be a strict day trade only.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU at $48.08 with $48.29 price target, strict intraday day trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have just made a second trade of the day.  Bought $SPXU at $48.08.  Price target is $48.29.  This will be a strict day trade only. https://t.co/9HFua6DQia", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Sometimes you get lucky.  What a great trade.  Ran with it to sell $SPXU at $48.79.  A daily gain of 1.56%.  I was properly set up at the open and we had some initial sellers after the open from Europe.  Will this trend last.  European sellers in the morning followed by buyers? https://t.co/1UapDSeNUU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RonCyr9", "ret_m1d": 0.015508725861594685, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015508725861594685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020704842876243967, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020704842876243967, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00041355745738447247, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00041355745738447247, "alpha_spy_p1d": 5.082226841079951e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": 5.082226841079951e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "ret_p1w": -0.0188171855206708, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0188171855206708, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026161304014047038, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026161304014047038, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "ret_p1m": 0.00413573517868282, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00413573517868282, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0034825802864824063, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0034825802864824063, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "ret_p3m": -0.06858300359152569, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06858300359152569, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09329031957644529, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09329031957644529, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00041355745738447247, "alpha_spy_stated": 5.082226841079951e-05, "alpha_c_stated": 5.082226841079951e-05, "price_path": [0.0714, 0.047, 0.0089, 0.0016, 0.0008, 0.0332, 0.0259, 0.0211, 0.0568, 0.047, 0.0811, 0.0778, 0.03, 0.0227, 0.0211, 0.0714, 0.0738, 0.1046, 0.1322, 0.12, 0.1711, 0.1377, 0.0876, 0.0576, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.0207, 0.0351, 0.0304, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.014, 0.0233, 0.0263, 0.0067, -0.0004, 0.0332, 0.0385, 0.0474, 0.0829, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.012, -0.0016, -0.0112, -0.0099, 0.001, 0.0052, 0.0281, 0.0238, 0.0035, -0.0141, -0.0041, -0.0029, -0.0217, -0.0261, -0.0201, -0.0054, -0.0132, -0.0089, -0.0089, 0.0519, 0.0155, 0.0, 0.0004, -0.0149, -0.0263, -0.0256, -0.0188, -0.0089, -0.0242, 0.0014, 0.0161, 0.0552, -0.0052, -0.0182, -0.0099, -0.0095, 0.037, 0.0368, 0.0368, 0.0318, 0.017, 0.0244, 0.0041, 0.0349, 0.0124, -0.0124, 0.0045, 0.0192, 0.019, 0.0467, 0.0244, 0.0414, 0.084, 0.0558, 0.0618, 0.0662, 0.115, 0.1352, 0.1013, 0.0928, 0.1385, 0.1487, 0.2, 0.1615, 0.1731, 0.1546, 0.2167, 0.2801, 0.2934, 0.1826, 0.1553, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1384, 0.1367, 0.051, 0.0329, 0.0365, 0.0064, -0.0296, -0.0525, -0.0592, -0.0921, -0.0867, -0.0686, -0.0961, -0.085, -0.1057, -0.1101, -0.0965, -0.0961, -0.1219, -0.1286, -0.119, -0.1394, -0.1751, -0.167, -0.1868, -0.1922, -0.1884, -0.2018, -0.2199, -0.1907, -0.189, -0.1722, -0.198, -0.2024, -0.2105, -0.2105, -0.2255, -0.2253, -0.238, -0.2422, -0.2478, -0.2507, -0.2353, -0.2434, -0.1836, -0.1893, -0.1818, -0.1428, -0.1857, -0.198, -0.2401, -0.2266, -0.1974, -0.2201, -0.2201, -0.2128, -0.1795, -0.1775, -0.1786, -0.1786, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1919762302305501531", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-06T14:32:54+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU just moments ago at $22.74. price target will be $23.08 to sell at", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $22.74, targeting $23.08 as a day-trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU just moments ago at $22.74.  This will be strictly a day-trade unless something significant happens during the day.  However, if not, price target will be $23.08 to sell at. https://t.co/Ev2ZfTZMBr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0239756539417596, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0239756539417596, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03240443007455995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03240443007455995, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008428776132800353, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008428776132800353, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011333982476666948, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011333982476666948, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015539398811001082, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015539398811001082, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004205416334334133, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004205416334334133, "ret_p1w": -0.13862263715835088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13862263715835088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18880153460336768, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18880153460336768, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0501788974450168, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0501788974450168, "ret_p1m": -0.1734962593498569, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1734962593498569, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2399421254138595, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2399421254138595, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0664458660640026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0664458660640026, "ret_p3m": -0.2656042868925864, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2656042868925864, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3814917069403315, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3814917069403315, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1158874200477451, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1158874200477451, "ret_p6m": -0.44899681358574706, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.44899681358574706, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6861719718122107, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6861719718122107, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.23717515822646362, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23717515822646362, "ret_p1y": -0.5100308472770642, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5100308472770642, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8045339334975138, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8045339334975138, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.29450308622044963, "bench_c_p1y": 0.29450308622044963, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.011333982476666948, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.015539398811001082, "alpha_c_stated": -0.015539398811001082, "price_path": [-0.108, -0.1175, -0.0916, -0.1093, -0.111, -0.1024, -0.1304, -0.1287, -0.1287, -0.1347, -0.1412, -0.1304, -0.0847, -0.0713, -0.0567, -0.0571, -0.0127, -0.0567, -0.0079, 0.0287, -0.0036, 0.049, 0.0334, 0.1158, 0.1438, 0.127, 0.1723, 0.1016, 0.077, 0.111, 0.077, 0.0847, 0.0852, 0.0296, 0.0222, 0.058, 0.0684, 0.1334, 0.1129, 0.102, 0.082, 0.2358, 0.4608, 0.4708, 0.5375, 0.1068, 0.2175, 0.1561, 0.1234, 0.1316, 0.2084, 0.2066, 0.2912, 0.194, 0.1391, 0.0676, 0.0449, 0.0432, 0.0257, 0.0227, 0.0031, -0.0405, -0.024, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.0301, -0.0257, -0.1216, -0.1386, -0.1421, -0.1539, -0.1696, -0.1722, -0.1626, -0.1203, -0.1199, -0.1011, -0.1011, -0.1556, -0.1412, -0.1508, -0.1465, -0.1609, -0.1752, -0.1735, -0.1613, -0.1861, -0.1874, -0.2014, -0.1944, -0.2031, -0.1752, -0.1992, -0.1779, -0.1765, -0.1765, -0.1691, -0.1944, -0.2201, -0.2211, -0.2396, -0.2489, -0.2599, -0.2586, -0.2682, -0.285, -0.285, -0.2687, -0.2665, -0.2793, -0.2854, -0.2771, -0.2806, -0.2709, -0.2779, -0.2907, -0.2885, -0.292, -0.292, -0.3097, -0.3105, -0.3176, -0.3176, -0.3119, -0.3088, -0.3, -0.2656, -0.2982, -0.2872, -0.3031, -0.3017, -0.3167, -0.3119, -0.3339, -0.3401, -0.3401, -0.3348, -0.3343, -0.3229, -0.3171, -0.3083, -0.3392, -0.3304, -0.3383, -0.3427, -0.3493, -0.337, -0.337, -0.3216, -0.3317, -0.3484, -0.3418, -0.3467, -0.3506, -0.3564, -0.3718, -0.3709, -0.3801, -0.3771, -0.3744, -0.3832, -0.3916, -0.3995, -0.3903, -0.3843, -0.3749, -0.3851, -0.3901, -0.3968, -0.403, -0.4043, -0.4035, -0.4097, -0.4026, -0.4128, -0.4079, -0.3597, -0.3883, -0.386, -0.3936, -0.3816, -0.3909, -0.4093, -0.4088, -0.3999, -0.4101, -0.4235, -0.4445, -0.4486, -0.449]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1935149213895254403", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-18T01:35:00+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My family accounts were up +2.67% and same as $SPXU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay short S&P 500; model targets 5,400 by late July/August; holds SPXU as the vehicle.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was down -0.84% to close at 5,982.72.  We are only -0.25% from triggering a “Daily Sell Signal”.  The number to watch for Wednesday is 5,968.  My family accounts were up +2.67% and same as $SPXU.  WTD $SPX is up +0.01% while my accounts are now up +0.57% and $SPXU is -0.31%. https://t.co/LpIxn7OVnD\n\n---\n\nThe model is indicating that we can go to 5,400 by late July or early August.  I don’t place much faith in those numbers because the world is dominated by geopolitical events.  Crude up +19% over the last month is concerning and damaging to the economy.  Stay short. https://t.co/suKZpVkbvz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0015882712540943311, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0015882712540943311, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001739110660889387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001739110660889387, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001508394067950558, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001508394067950558, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.05411504641916298, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05411504641916298, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07332179275307127, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07332179275307127, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019206746333908287, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019206746333908287, "ret_p1m": -0.13864552493755533, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13864552493755533, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19297184983279125, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19297184983279125, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05432632489523592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05432632489523592, "ret_p3m": -0.24725107517835165, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24725107517835165, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3567581017461854, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3567581017461854, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10950702656783373, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10950702656783373, "ret_p6m": -0.33167556872427484, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.33167556872427484, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.491831795252741, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.491831795252741, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16015622652846617, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16015622652846617, "ret_p1y": -0.45291775984922, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.45291775984922, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7007405857053322, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7007405857053322, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24782282585611215, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24782282585611215, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13864552493755533, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19297184983279125, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19297184983279125, "price_path": [0.3173, 0.3178, 0.2503, 0.2414, 0.2848, 0.2975, 0.3764, 0.3515, 0.3383, 0.3139, 0.5008, 0.774, 0.7861, 0.8671, 0.3441, 0.4786, 0.4039, 0.3642, 0.3743, 0.4674, 0.4653, 0.568, 0.45, 0.3833, 0.2965, 0.2689, 0.2668, 0.2456, 0.2419, 0.2181, 0.1652, 0.1853, 0.2144, 0.2006, 0.1779, 0.1832, 0.0667, 0.0461, 0.0418, 0.0275, 0.0085, 0.0053, 0.0169, 0.0683, 0.0688, 0.0916, 0.0916, 0.0254, 0.0429, 0.0312, 0.0365, 0.0191, 0.0016, 0.0037, 0.0185, -0.0116, -0.0132, -0.0302, -0.0217, -0.0323, 0.0016, -0.0275, -0.0016, 0.0, 0.0, 0.009, -0.0217, -0.0529, -0.0541, -0.0766, -0.0878, -0.1012, -0.0996, -0.1114, -0.1317, -0.1317, -0.1119, -0.1092, -0.1247, -0.1322, -0.1221, -0.1263, -0.1146, -0.1231, -0.1386, -0.136, -0.1403, -0.1403, -0.1617, -0.1627, -0.1713, -0.1713, -0.1643, -0.1606, -0.1499, -0.1082, -0.1477, -0.1344, -0.1536, -0.152, -0.1702, -0.1643, -0.1911, -0.1986, -0.1986, -0.1921, -0.1916, -0.1777, -0.1707, -0.16, -0.1975, -0.1868, -0.1964, -0.2018, -0.2098, -0.1948, -0.1948, -0.1761, -0.1884, -0.2087, -0.2007, -0.2066, -0.2114, -0.2184, -0.2371, -0.236, -0.2473, -0.2435, -0.2403, -0.251, -0.2612, -0.2708, -0.2596, -0.2522, -0.2408, -0.2533, -0.2593, -0.2674, -0.275, -0.2766, -0.2756, -0.2831, -0.2745, -0.2869, -0.281, -0.2224, -0.2571, -0.2544, -0.2636, -0.249, -0.2604, -0.2826, -0.2821, -0.2712, -0.2837, -0.3, -0.3254, -0.3303, -0.3309, -0.3092, -0.3141, -0.3173, -0.2934, -0.3, -0.2772, -0.2793, -0.3113, -0.3162, -0.3173, -0.2837, -0.2821, -0.2615, -0.243, -0.2512, -0.217, -0.2394, -0.2728, -0.2929, -0.3069, -0.3069, -0.3176, -0.308, -0.3111, -0.318, -0.3192, -0.3221, -0.3158, -0.3138, -0.3269, -0.3317]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1970479626783990041", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T13:25:27+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I did not cover on Monday and remain invested in $SPXU. My plan today is remain invested. A pull back should be imminent.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Holds SPXU (3x inverse S&P) expecting imminent pullback; 10-year yield 'Sell Signal' reinforces bearish SPX view.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "SPX was up +0.44% to close at 6,693.75.  My family accounts were down -1.30% and $SPXU was down -1.30%.  I did not cover on Monday and remain invested in $SPXU.  My plan today is remain invested.  My max pain drawdown will be 3.00% if I’m wrong.  A pull back should be imminent. https://t.co/q1oj2IpX9S\n\n---\n\nThings that I see.  10 year yield has reversed and has triggered a “Sell Signal” for stocks.  Historical correlation has provided strong evidence of this signal. https://t.co/lIBV63ID6T", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015173400345269261, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015173400345269261, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020646664548299, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020646664548299, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473264203029737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009886464888344326, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009886464888344326, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013068129119211735, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013068129119211735, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031816642308674092, "ret_p1w": -0.010618827848007273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010618827848007273, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01509689405535175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01509689405535175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004478066207344478, "ret_p1m": -0.015745151032095173, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015745151032095173, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02266588316376761, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02266588316376761, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920732131672436, "ret_p3m": -0.06902238101204727, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06902238101204727, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09826050939026898, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09826050939026898, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238128378221706, "ret_p6m": 0.08353426182454382, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08353426182454382, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10004053690747694, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10004053690747694, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.01650627508293312, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01650627508293312, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010618827848007273, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01509689405535175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01509689405535175, "price_path": [0.2471, 0.2319, 0.2139, 0.216, 0.2001, 0.1727, 0.1727, 0.1994, 0.203, 0.1821, 0.172, 0.1857, 0.1799, 0.1958, 0.1842, 0.1633, 0.1669, 0.1611, 0.1611, 0.1322, 0.1308, 0.1192, 0.1192, 0.1286, 0.1337, 0.1481, 0.2045, 0.151, 0.1691, 0.1431, 0.1452, 0.1207, 0.1286, 0.0925, 0.0824, 0.0824, 0.091, 0.0918, 0.1105, 0.1199, 0.1344, 0.0838, 0.0983, 0.0853, 0.078, 0.0672, 0.0874, 0.0874, 0.1127, 0.0961, 0.0686, 0.0795, 0.0715, 0.065, 0.0556, 0.0303, 0.0318, 0.0166, 0.0217, 0.026, 0.0116, -0.0022, -0.0152, 0.0, 0.0099, 0.0253, 0.0084, 0.0004, -0.0106, -0.0209, -0.0231, -0.0216, -0.0319, -0.0201, -0.037, -0.0289, 0.0502, 0.0033, 0.007, -0.0055, 0.0143, -0.0011, -0.0311, -0.0304, -0.0157, -0.0326, -0.0546, -0.089, -0.0956, -0.0963, -0.067, -0.0736, -0.078, -0.0458, -0.0546, -0.0238, -0.0267, -0.0699, -0.0765, -0.078, -0.0326, -0.0304, -0.0026, 0.0223, 0.0114, 0.0575, 0.0273, -0.0179, -0.045, -0.0639, -0.0639, -0.0784, -0.0654, -0.0696, -0.0789, -0.0806, -0.0844, -0.076, -0.0732, -0.091, -0.0974, -0.067, -0.0622, -0.0542, -0.0222, -0.0445, -0.069, -0.0862, -0.0985, -0.1071, -0.106, -0.0961, -0.0924, -0.0716, -0.0756, -0.0938, -0.1097, -0.1008, -0.0996, -0.1166, -0.1206, -0.1151, -0.1019, -0.109, -0.1051, -0.1051, -0.0502, -0.083, -0.097, -0.0967, -0.1105, -0.1207, -0.1202, -0.114, -0.1051, -0.1189, -0.0957, -0.0825, -0.0472, -0.1017, -0.1135, -0.106, -0.1056, -0.0636, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0683, -0.0817, -0.075, -0.0933, -0.0655, -0.0858, -0.1082, -0.0929, -0.0797, -0.0798, -0.0548, -0.075, -0.0597, -0.0212, -0.0466, -0.0412, -0.0373, 0.0068, 0.0251, -0.0055, -0.0132, 0.0281, 0.0372, 0.0835]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1904700073738723494", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-26T01:00:59+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold is currently in the 'Panic Buying Zone' therefore not a buy. 100% chance of loss over the next 3 months.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish gold: in Panic Buying Zone, rates 10/10 risk, 100% chance of loss over next 3 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Gold commodity; GLD is SPDR Gold Shares ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@InflationFix I shorted gold for about 2 weeks last August and broke even.  Gold is currently in the “Panic Buying Zone” therefore not a buy.  Secondly, the 10 you see in the chart ranks it 10/10 for risk.  100% chance of loss over the next 3 months. https://t.co/qaSPnvnXkV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@RonCyr9 Any thoughts on gold?  It used to be uncorrelated with spx but now it seems (not as most people think) very positively correlated with spx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "InflationFix", "ret_m1d": 0.0008266640109295675, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0008266640109295675, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01125591776913315, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01125591776913315, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012082581780062718, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012082581780062718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013405732882559862, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013405732882559862, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01606146905280037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01606146905280037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002655736170240508, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002655736170240508, "ret_p1w": 0.0356527234614199, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0356527234614199, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0428108125331369, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0428108125331369, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007158089071717, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007158089071717, "ret_p1m": 0.09520565584278273, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09520565584278273, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12677492084273378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12677492084273378, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03156926499995105, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03156926499995105, "ret_p3m": 0.10045289386147416, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10045289386147416, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03013178240807446, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03013178240807446, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0703211114533997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0703211114533997, "ret_p6m": 0.2190195679279372, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2190195679279372, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0450495270093314, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0450495270093314, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1739700409186058, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1739700409186058, "ret_p1y": 0.5984042763218507, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5984042763218507, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4249924439977848, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4249924439977848, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17341183232406587, "bench_c_p1y": 0.17341183232406587, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09520565584278273, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12677492084273378, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12677492084273378, "price_path": [-0.1264, -0.1324, -0.1352, -0.1298, -0.118, -0.1249, -0.126, -0.121, -0.1164, -0.1164, -0.1079, -0.1168, -0.1122, -0.1055, -0.0993, -0.1041, -0.1041, -0.0902, -0.0856, -0.0869, -0.0812, -0.0907, -0.0829, -0.0864, -0.0726, -0.0707, -0.0658, -0.0566, -0.0507, -0.0532, -0.0515, -0.0355, -0.039, -0.038, -0.0285, -0.0429, -0.0429, -0.0271, -0.0266, -0.0261, -0.027, -0.0217, -0.0346, -0.0331, -0.0478, -0.0538, -0.0413, -0.033, -0.031, -0.0359, -0.0354, -0.0438, -0.0326, -0.0284, -0.0112, -0.0108, -0.0054, 0.0062, 0.0103, 0.009, 0.0009, -0.0036, 0.0008, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0209, 0.0356, 0.0335, 0.0357, 0.0294, 0.0053, -0.0163, -0.0109, 0.0257, 0.0507, 0.0708, 0.0647, 0.0702, 0.1051, 0.1002, 0.1342, 0.1181, 0.0913, 0.1072, 0.0952, 0.1108, 0.1, 0.0918, 0.0691, 0.0709, 0.1029, 0.1338, 0.1168, 0.0948, 0.1028, 0.0717, 0.0763, 0.0536, 0.0704, 0.0575, 0.0711, 0.0911, 0.0991, 0.0894, 0.1132, 0.1132, 0.0944, 0.0919, 0.0984, 0.0911, 0.1201, 0.1102, 0.1174, 0.1117, 0.0968, 0.102, 0.1023, 0.1083, 0.1221, 0.1368, 0.1205, 0.1211, 0.1151, 0.1151, 0.1146, 0.118, 0.1005, 0.1038, 0.1026, 0.0826, 0.0956, 0.1053, 0.1115, 0.1039, 0.1039, 0.1047, 0.0932, 0.098, 0.1005, 0.1111, 0.107, 0.1024, 0.1079, 0.1055, 0.1084, 0.1254, 0.1361, 0.122, 0.1151, 0.1048, 0.0976, 0.1007, 0.0817, 0.0888, 0.1109, 0.1174, 0.1183, 0.1159, 0.1254, 0.1251, 0.1089, 0.1079, 0.1113, 0.1043, 0.1049, 0.1032, 0.0971, 0.1083, 0.1044, 0.1162, 0.1135, 0.1216, 0.1239, 0.1322, 0.1431, 0.1431, 0.1702, 0.1793, 0.1741, 0.1898, 0.2033, 0.2006, 0.2049, 0.2031, 0.2055, 0.218, 0.2205, 0.2111, 0.2062, 0.219]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1896978010521407540", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-04T17:36:16+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $SPXU at $23.58. Look to continue to hold for another down day.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P), expects another down day; watching Trump comments tonight.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sold $SPXU at $23.87 just moments ago.  I could be wrong but it looks like we are getting a nice rally.  Not sure if it’s international investors closing out their positions for the day.  We came very near to the panic selling zone this morning and I should have taken profits. https://t.co/auD3HK9orQ\n\n---\n\nNot a good looking 15 minutes to close.  Bought $SPXU at $23.58.  Look to continue to hold for another down day.  See what Trump has to say tonight.  I think the biggest message will not be Ukraine but how he plans to deal with Iran. https://t.co/iTDeUqaWVi", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03562447373297939, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03562447373297939, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.047603131515916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.047603131515916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03143324793868363, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03143324793868363, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04218119516707208, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04218119516707208, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "ret_p1w": 0.11190280619586268, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11190280619586268, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14820274099058772, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14820274099058772, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "ret_p1m": 0.051768171233062654, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.051768171233062654, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0702160231018304, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0702160231018304, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "ret_p3m": -0.18426531662665113, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18426531662665113, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21483258960516116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21483258960516116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "ret_p6m": -0.3674617675282804, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3674617675282804, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4990989386460133, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4990989386460133, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "ret_p1y": -0.45815650704136246, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.45815650704136246, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6636858153542655, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6636858153542655, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11190280619586268, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14820274099058772, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14820274099058772, "price_path": [-0.1478, -0.1433, -0.1474, -0.1331, -0.1249, -0.1449, -0.1314, -0.129, -0.14, -0.1281, -0.051, -0.0486, -0.081, -0.0981, -0.127, -0.127, -0.1266, -0.0985, -0.0662, -0.0557, -0.0474, -0.0821, -0.0981, -0.0675, -0.0696, -0.0696, -0.0268, -0.031, -0.0335, -0.0859, -0.0809, -0.1065, -0.1065, -0.1308, -0.1446, -0.1584, -0.1496, -0.114, -0.1358, -0.1245, -0.1375, -0.1228, -0.1052, -0.1228, -0.1329, -0.1421, -0.1169, -0.1341, -0.1358, -0.1274, -0.1547, -0.153, -0.153, -0.1588, -0.1651, -0.1547, -0.1102, -0.0972, -0.083, -0.0834, -0.0402, -0.083, -0.0356, 0.0, -0.0314, 0.0197, 0.0046, 0.0847, 0.1119, 0.0956, 0.1396, 0.0708, 0.0469, 0.0801, 0.0469, 0.0545, 0.0549, 0.0008, -0.0063, 0.0285, 0.0386, 0.1018, 0.0819, 0.0713, 0.0518, 0.2014, 0.42, 0.4298, 0.4946, 0.0759, 0.1836, 0.1238, 0.092, 0.1001, 0.1747, 0.173, 0.2552, 0.1607, 0.1073, 0.0378, 0.0157, 0.0141, -0.0029, -0.0059, -0.0249, -0.0673, -0.0512, -0.0279, -0.0389, -0.0571, -0.0529, -0.1461, -0.1627, -0.166, -0.1775, -0.1927, -0.1953, -0.186, -0.1449, -0.1444, -0.1262, -0.1262, -0.1792, -0.1652, -0.1745, -0.1703, -0.1843, -0.1982, -0.1966, -0.1847, -0.2088, -0.2101, -0.2237, -0.2169, -0.2254, -0.1982, -0.2216, -0.2008, -0.1995, -0.1995, -0.1923, -0.2169, -0.2419, -0.2428, -0.2608, -0.2698, -0.2805, -0.2792, -0.2887, -0.3049, -0.3049, -0.2891, -0.2869, -0.2994, -0.3054, -0.2972, -0.3007, -0.2912, -0.2981, -0.3105, -0.3084, -0.3118, -0.3118, -0.3289, -0.3298, -0.3366, -0.3366, -0.3311, -0.3281, -0.3195, -0.2861, -0.3178, -0.3071, -0.3225, -0.3212, -0.3358, -0.3311, -0.3525, -0.3585, -0.3585, -0.3533, -0.3529, -0.3418, -0.3362, -0.3276, -0.3576, -0.349, -0.3568, -0.361, -0.3675]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1868689072761541030", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2024-12-16T16:06:08+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $SPXU at $20.95 for a day trade. Price target is only $21.09 for today only.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Long SPXU day trade at $20.95 targeting $21.09.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bought $SPXU at $20.95 for a day trade.  Price target is only $21.09 for today only. https://t.co/4JTZOGKpdC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012875336576380958, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012875336576380958, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017127237151301156, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017127237151301156, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004251900574920198, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004251900574920198, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013829179971547534, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013829179971547534, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01794927368171162, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01794927368171162, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0041200937101640855, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0041200937101640855, "ret_p1w": 0.048785446406805155, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.048785446406805155, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06542801349537009, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06542801349537009, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01664256708856493, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01664256708856493, "ret_p1m": 0.06291858087533497, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06291858087533497, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08271938005197321, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08271938005197321, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01980079917663824, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01980079917663824, "ret_p3m": 0.2451888281079848, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2451888281079848, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31454695536648625, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31454695536648625, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.06935812725850143, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06935812725850143, "ret_p6m": -0.09923969395850207, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09923969395850207, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10058178348328495, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10058178348328495, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0013420895247828746, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0013420895247828746, "ret_p1y": -0.36895213261411763, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.36895213261411763, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5127189305470081, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5127189305470081, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1437667979328905, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1437667979328905, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.013829179971547534, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01794927368171162, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01794927368171162, "price_path": [0.2409, 0.1786, 0.1861, 0.1782, 0.1679, 0.1764, 0.1626, 0.1702, 0.1555, 0.1879, 0.1874, 0.1941, 0.164, 0.195, 0.1621, 0.1383, 0.1445, 0.1268, 0.0987, 0.1249, 0.1111, 0.1121, 0.1001, 0.1063, 0.1082, 0.1397, 0.133, 0.1354, 0.1259, 0.1202, 0.1321, 0.1998, 0.186, 0.1941, 0.1512, 0.0658, 0.041, 0.0291, 0.0267, 0.0367, 0.0362, 0.0567, 0.0982, 0.0863, 0.0739, 0.073, 0.0567, 0.0486, 0.0386, 0.0219, 0.0329, 0.0329, 0.0153, 0.0095, 0.0091, -0.0091, -0.0038, -0.0086, 0.0081, 0.0176, -0.0057, 0.01, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.0138, 0.1035, 0.1063, 0.0687, 0.0488, 0.0152, 0.0152, 0.0156, 0.0483, 0.0858, 0.098, 0.1078, 0.0673, 0.0488, 0.0844, 0.0819, 0.0819, 0.1316, 0.1268, 0.1238, 0.0629, 0.0688, 0.039, 0.039, 0.0108, -0.0053, -0.0214, -0.0112, 0.0303, 0.0049, 0.0181, 0.003, 0.02, 0.0405, 0.02, 0.0083, -0.0024, 0.0269, 0.0069, 0.0049, 0.0147, -0.017, -0.0151, -0.0151, -0.0219, -0.0292, -0.017, 0.0347, 0.0498, 0.0663, 0.0658, 0.116, 0.0663, 0.1214, 0.1628, 0.1263, 0.1857, 0.1682, 0.2613, 0.2929, 0.2739, 0.3251, 0.2452, 0.2174, 0.2559, 0.2174, 0.2262, 0.2267, 0.1638, 0.1555, 0.1959, 0.2077, 0.2812, 0.258, 0.2457, 0.223, 0.397, 0.6512, 0.6626, 0.738, 0.2511, 0.3763, 0.3068, 0.2698, 0.2792, 0.3659, 0.364, 0.4595, 0.3497, 0.2876, 0.2068, 0.1811, 0.1792, 0.1595, 0.156, 0.1338, 0.0846, 0.1033, 0.1304, 0.1176, 0.0964, 0.1013, -0.0071, -0.0263, -0.0303, -0.0436, -0.0613, -0.0643, -0.0534, -0.0056, -0.0051, 0.0161, 0.0161, -0.0455, -0.0293, -0.0401, -0.0352, -0.0514, -0.0677, -0.0657, -0.0519, -0.08, -0.0815, -0.0973, -0.0894, -0.0992]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2014347732262301844", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T14:41:38+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at $48.04. This will be a day trade only. Price target is $48.33.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P) at $48.04, targeting $48.33 intraday.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $48.04.  This will be a day trade only.  If we are fast approaching a new daily “Buy Signal”.  Dip buyers back again.  Price target is $48.33. https://t.co/NipI5ezOH4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015508725861594685, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015508725861594685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020704842876243967, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020704842876243967, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00041355745738447247, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00041355745738447247, "alpha_spy_p1d": 5.082226841079951e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": 5.082226841079951e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "ret_p1w": -0.0188171855206708, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0188171855206708, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026161304014047038, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026161304014047038, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "ret_p1m": 0.00413573517868282, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00413573517868282, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0034825802864824063, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0034825802864824063, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "ret_p3m": -0.06858300359152569, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06858300359152569, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09329031957644529, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09329031957644529, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00041355745738447247, "alpha_spy_stated": 5.082226841079951e-05, "alpha_c_stated": 5.082226841079951e-05, "price_path": [0.0714, 0.047, 0.0089, 0.0016, 0.0008, 0.0332, 0.0259, 0.0211, 0.0568, 0.047, 0.0811, 0.0778, 0.03, 0.0227, 0.0211, 0.0714, 0.0738, 0.1046, 0.1322, 0.12, 0.1711, 0.1377, 0.0876, 0.0576, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.0207, 0.0351, 0.0304, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.014, 0.0233, 0.0263, 0.0067, -0.0004, 0.0332, 0.0385, 0.0474, 0.0829, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.012, -0.0016, -0.0112, -0.0099, 0.001, 0.0052, 0.0281, 0.0238, 0.0035, -0.0141, -0.0041, -0.0029, -0.0217, -0.0261, -0.0201, -0.0054, -0.0132, -0.0089, -0.0089, 0.0519, 0.0155, 0.0, 0.0004, -0.0149, -0.0263, -0.0256, -0.0188, -0.0089, -0.0242, 0.0014, 0.0161, 0.0552, -0.0052, -0.0182, -0.0099, -0.0095, 0.037, 0.0368, 0.0368, 0.0318, 0.017, 0.0244, 0.0041, 0.0349, 0.0124, -0.0124, 0.0045, 0.0192, 0.019, 0.0467, 0.0244, 0.0414, 0.084, 0.0558, 0.0618, 0.0662, 0.115, 0.1352, 0.1013, 0.0928, 0.1385, 0.1487, 0.2, 0.1615, 0.1731, 0.1546, 0.2167, 0.2801, 0.2934, 0.1826, 0.1553, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1384, 0.1367, 0.051, 0.0329, 0.0365, 0.0064, -0.0296, -0.0525, -0.0592, -0.0921, -0.0867, -0.0686, -0.0961, -0.085, -0.1057, -0.1101, -0.0965, -0.0961, -0.1219, -0.1286, -0.119, -0.1394, -0.1751, -0.167, -0.1868, -0.1922, -0.1884, -0.2018, -0.2199, -0.1907, -0.189, -0.1722, -0.198, -0.2024, -0.2105, -0.2105, -0.2255, -0.2253, -0.238, -0.2422, -0.2478, -0.2507, -0.2353, -0.2434, -0.1836, -0.1893, -0.1818, -0.1428, -0.1857, -0.198, -0.2401, -0.2266, -0.1974, -0.2201, -0.2201, -0.2128, -0.1795, -0.1775, -0.1786, -0.1786, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1584958848292786176", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2022-10-25T17:23:31+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think we can go to 3980", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Conditional SPY view: near-term upside to 3980 but if resistance fails, targets 3400 by December.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives I’m not disagreeing with you, everyday I watch for an opportunity to go back to SPXU but I still think we can go to 3980.  That is what my view of the charts are saying for now.  But if we fail here, 3400 by December.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SPY Something for the bears:\n\nThe average bear market rally is 10% of the 7 that occurred this yr. \n\nCurrently we are at 10% right now and approaching MAJOR resistance (ala 50dma).\n\nBears u know what to do…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": -0.01571750620310608, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01571750620310608, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01571750620310608, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01571750620310608, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007534354062330606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007534354062330606, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007534354062330606, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007534354062330606, "ret_p1w": -0.001039293057485735, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.001039293057485735, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001039293057485735, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001039293057485735, "ret_p1m": 0.04546392769312435, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04546392769312435, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04546392769312435, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04546392769312435, "ret_p3m": 0.033196071460581233, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.033196071460581233, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033196071460581233, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033196071460581233, "ret_p6m": 0.08497763816508686, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08497763816508686, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08497763816508686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08497763816508686, "ret_p1y": 0.14435919673983344, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.14435919673983344, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.14435919673983344, "bench_c_p1y": 0.14435919673983344, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04546392769312435, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.0506, 0.0659, 0.0628, 0.0558, 0.0723, 0.0716, 0.0698, 0.0685, 0.0643, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.105, 0.1096, 0.1118, 0.1039, 0.1071, 0.0922, 0.0695, 0.0669, 0.0703, 0.0854, 0.0487, 0.0417, 0.0303, 0.0225, 0.0257, 0.0148, 0.0148, 0.011, 0.0292, 0.0359, 0.052, 0.0633, 0.0171, 0.021, 0.0094, 0.0017, 0.0094, -0.0022, -0.0196, -0.0278, -0.0441, -0.0535, -0.056, -0.0374, -0.0575, -0.0721, -0.0476, -0.0181, -0.0203, -0.0304, -0.0575, -0.0647, -0.0706, -0.0737, -0.0492, -0.0709, -0.047, -0.0358, -0.0427, -0.0507, -0.0276, -0.0157, 0.0, -0.0075, -0.0128, 0.0107, 0.0034, -0.001, -0.0261, -0.0361, -0.0223, -0.0129, -0.0076, -0.028, 0.0254, 0.0353, 0.0265, 0.0353, 0.0274, 0.0242, 0.0289, 0.0251, 0.0389, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0452, 0.0286, 0.0268, 0.0591, 0.0583, 0.0571, 0.0381, 0.0231, 0.0214, 0.0294, 0.0217, 0.0364, 0.0443, 0.0376, 0.0122, 0.0003, -0.0082, -0.0068, 0.008, -0.0064, -0.0007, -0.0007, -0.0046, -0.017, 0.0007, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0061, 0.0016, -0.0099, 0.0128, 0.0123, 0.0194, 0.0323, 0.036, 0.04, 0.04, 0.0381, 0.0217, 0.0143, 0.0332, 0.0456, 0.0445, 0.0449, 0.0563, 0.0588, 0.0455, 0.0609, 0.0721, 0.0877, 0.0762, 0.0696, 0.0836, 0.0717, 0.0625, 0.0649, 0.0774, 0.0769, 0.0804, 0.0656, 0.0629, 0.0629, 0.0416, 0.0401, 0.0457, 0.0345, 0.038, 0.0342, 0.0302, 0.0382, 0.0549, 0.0556, 0.0394, 0.0411, 0.0219, 0.0072, 0.0057, 0.0224, 0.016, 0.0338, 0.0217, 0.0315, 0.0451, 0.0273, 0.03, 0.0368, 0.0387, 0.0364, 0.0515, 0.0576, 0.0725, 0.0766, 0.0706, 0.0678, 0.072, 0.072, 0.0731, 0.0734, 0.069, 0.0832, 0.0806, 0.0845, 0.0852, 0.085]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1658541451008159745", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-05-16T18:34:30+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Purchased SQQQ for my accounts at $27.40", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Re-entered short via SQQQ at $27.40 after covering last week; expects continued chop.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Omg I have gone short once again after just covering last week.  Chop chop chop is in the back of my mind.  Purchased SQQQ for my accounts at $27.40.  I was right to cover to repurchase at a lower price.  Not all bad. https://t.co/N9al8T80xU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0032360895598277928, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0032360895598277928, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0034915148845902078, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0034915148845902078, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0067276044444180005, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0067276044444180005, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03595849880335589, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03595849880335589, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.048097435572616254, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.048097435572616254, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012138936769260367, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012138936769260367, "ret_p1w": -0.055375912824693785, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.055375912824693785, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06473613900897646, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06473613900897646, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009360226184282672, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009360226184282672, "ret_p1m": -0.2887451345238409, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2887451345238409, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3543879289298705, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3543879289298705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0656427944060296, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0656427944060296, "ret_p3m": -0.2887869951520571, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2887869951520571, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3791109768101183, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3791109768101183, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09032398165806121, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09032398165806121, "ret_p6m": -0.33015570619537293, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.33015570619537293, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40370171337023397, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40370171337023397, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07354600717486104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07354600717486104, "ret_p1y": -0.547121643478947, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.547121643478947, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7959782173258507, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7959782173258507, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24885657384690374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24885657384690374, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2887451345238409, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3543879289298705, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3543879289298705, "price_path": [0.2686, 0.2968, 0.2968, 0.389, 0.3879, 0.3525, 0.4219, 0.3911, 0.3983, 0.4319, 0.3983, 0.3125, 0.3079, 0.3565, 0.3368, 0.4097, 0.468, 0.4362, 0.3386, 0.3197, 0.2157, 0.2325, 0.221, 0.1699, 0.2175, 0.1755, 0.1629, 0.187, 0.2064, 0.142, 0.1104, 0.0557, 0.0629, 0.0741, 0.109, 0.0863, 0.0863, 0.0892, 0.1104, 0.1395, 0.0752, 0.0813, 0.0798, 0.0795, 0.0813, 0.1079, 0.105, 0.1122, 0.1755, 0.1561, 0.0629, 0.0414, 0.0446, 0.0719, 0.0939, 0.1068, 0.037, 0.0298, 0.05, 0.0165, 0.0083, 0.0191, 0.0032, 0.0, -0.036, -0.0874, -0.0809, -0.0903, -0.0554, -0.041, -0.1082, -0.1762, -0.1762, -0.1877, -0.1708, -0.201, -0.2183, -0.2197, -0.219, -0.1787, -0.2071, -0.2165, -0.256, -0.2729, -0.2887, -0.3121, -0.2992, -0.2992, -0.2963, -0.2676, -0.2921, -0.2702, -0.2414, -0.2789, -0.2837, -0.2782, -0.3107, -0.315, -0.315, -0.315, -0.2986, -0.291, -0.2917, -0.3015, -0.3278, -0.3606, -0.3602, -0.3774, -0.3927, -0.3927, -0.3493, -0.3427, -0.346, -0.3591, -0.3526, -0.3464, -0.3817, -0.3836, -0.3781, -0.3373, -0.3322, -0.3231, -0.3398, -0.3223, -0.3001, -0.3026, -0.2888, -0.3125, -0.2906, -0.2673, -0.2425, -0.2388, -0.2757, -0.2717, -0.3063, -0.2596, -0.2775, -0.2935, -0.3387, -0.35, -0.3544, -0.3522, -0.3522, -0.354, -0.3373, -0.3216, -0.3241, -0.3478, -0.326, -0.3329, -0.3482, -0.3139, -0.3165, -0.3114, -0.2819, -0.2404, -0.2408, -0.2515, -0.2174, -0.223, -0.2404, -0.2419, -0.2601, -0.2207, -0.2519, -0.2445, -0.2819, -0.2931, -0.3042, -0.3187, -0.3105, -0.2842, -0.3086, -0.3016, -0.2727, -0.2523, -0.2181, -0.2248, -0.2467, -0.1914, -0.1436, -0.1562, -0.1829, -0.1951, -0.2371, -0.2767, -0.302, -0.3098, -0.3287, -0.3302]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1936611838776787452", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-22T02:26:57+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We can now easily go towards a target of $95 per barrel in the price of oil. When things get out of hand, the price could temporarily go to $100, $120, $140 or even $150 per barrel.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish crude oil with $95 near-term target; potential spike to $150 if conditions deteriorate, citing 2008 precedent.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We can now easily go towards a target of $95 per barrel in the price of oil.  Remember what oil did in 2008.  When things get out of hand, the price could temporarily go to $100, $120, $140 or even $150 per barrel. This will now have to be watched very closely. https://t.co/h8IESA4O9j", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08781571473474559, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08781571473474559, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0975965900182002, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0975965900182002, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780875283454615, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780875283454615, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04462771232401275, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04462771232401275, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.055675001190215734, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.055675001190215734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047288866202987, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047288866202987, "ret_p1w": -0.04318810225884384, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04318810225884384, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07268075225805726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07268075225805726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029492649999213416, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029492649999213416, "ret_p1m": -0.013872597005435305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013872597005435305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06171066058955643, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06171066058955643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783806358412113, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783806358412113, "ret_p3m": -0.022510157548337517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.022510157548337517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12600090792717666, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12600090792717666, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349075037883915, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349075037883915, "ret_p6m": -0.13401393799751815, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13401393799751815, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.26831722184002016, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26831722184002016, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.134303283842502, "bench_c_p6m": 0.134303283842502, "ret_p1y": 0.6415389908870626, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6415389908870626, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3951145064524022, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3951145064524022, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24642448443466036, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24642448443466036, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013872597005435305, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06171066058955643, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06171066058955643, "price_path": [-0.0208, -0.013, -0.0122, -0.0215, 0.012, 0.0088, 0.0174, -0.0544, -0.1111, -0.1365, -0.1711, -0.1156, -0.1451, -0.1302, -0.1276, -0.13, -0.1133, -0.0907, -0.102, -0.0921, -0.1094, -0.104, -0.0966, -0.1132, -0.1382, -0.1682, -0.1556, -0.1623, -0.1837, -0.1546, -0.1688, -0.1415, -0.1283, -0.1153, -0.0893, -0.1005, -0.1154, -0.1088, -0.1034, -0.1014, -0.1154, -0.1213, -0.1102, -0.1102, -0.1195, -0.1115, -0.1207, -0.1212, -0.0898, -0.0853, -0.0925, -0.0848, -0.0658, -0.0571, -0.0629, -0.0208, -0.0178, 0.0499, 0.0285, 0.0771, 0.0767, 0.0767, 0.0878, 0.0, -0.0446, -0.0406, -0.0369, -0.041, -0.0432, -0.0325, -0.0107, -0.016, -0.016, 0.0009, 0.0072, 0.0068, -0.0133, 0.0115, -0.0103, -0.0151, -0.016, -0.0033, -0.0063, -0.0107, -0.0139, -0.0148, -0.0042, -0.0204, 0.0099, 0.0444, 0.0606, 0.0416, 0.0137, -0.0039, -0.0182, -0.0343, -0.0391, -0.0407, -0.0342, -0.0453, -0.0517, -0.0349, -0.0472, -0.0424, -0.0538, -0.0378, -0.0298, -0.0232, -0.0086, -0.0309, -0.0226, -0.0153, -0.0205, -0.0205, 0.0046, -0.0207, -0.0292, -0.0495, -0.0441, -0.0395, -0.0222, -0.0446, -0.0406, -0.0285, -0.0097, -0.0188, -0.0225, -0.0378, -0.0387, -0.0178, -0.0003, 0.0076, 0.008, -0.0238, -0.0348, -0.0428, -0.0637, -0.0615, -0.0463, -0.042, -0.0377, -0.051, -0.0919, -0.0802, -0.097, -0.0971, -0.1126, -0.1103, -0.1123, -0.1065, -0.0756, -0.0408, -0.0423, -0.0431, -0.0657, -0.0603, -0.0615, -0.0504, -0.048, -0.0586, -0.0704, -0.0724, -0.0674, -0.0619, -0.0483, -0.0866, -0.0859, -0.0658, -0.0669, -0.0512, -0.0724, -0.0819, -0.0931, -0.0784, -0.0937, -0.0834, -0.0834, -0.0699, -0.07, -0.0813, -0.0753, -0.0657, -0.0588, -0.0775, -0.0857, -0.0768, -0.0937, -0.0995, -0.1115, -0.134]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1896720589911634210", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-04T00:33:22+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My short term model is saying we can go to 5,700 by the second or third week of March", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short-term model targets SPY (S&P 500) at 5,700 by mid-to-late March, implying near-term upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@markminervini I agree with your assessment.  My short term model is saying we can go to 5,700 by the second or third week of March. https://t.co/TZKANg5swL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Cycle work suggests continued weakness heading into early April before rallying into the Summer. The long-term trend remains intact; our $SPY Advisor Model has yet to trigger a sell signal. However, it's starting to look like a potential bubble could be in the making (although https://t.co/eSyOMsY3fe", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "markminervini", "ret_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011978657782936608, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010747947228388455, "ret_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03629993479472504, "ret_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01844785186876774, "ret_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03056727297851003, "ret_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13163717111773288, "ret_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20552930831290306, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01844785186876774, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.0499, 0.0481, 0.0501, 0.0447, 0.0415, 0.0495, 0.0441, 0.0439, 0.0484, 0.044, 0.0129, 0.0126, 0.0248, 0.0309, 0.0424, 0.0424, 0.0424, 0.0315, 0.0197, 0.016, 0.0135, 0.0262, 0.0321, 0.0204, 0.0219, 0.0219, 0.0063, 0.0079, 0.0092, 0.0276, 0.0256, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.0454, 0.0513, 0.057, 0.0539, 0.039, 0.0479, 0.0433, 0.0489, 0.0433, 0.0362, 0.0432, 0.0474, 0.0511, 0.0414, 0.0485, 0.0493, 0.0459, 0.057, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.06, 0.0625, 0.0581, 0.04, 0.0353, 0.0301, 0.0306, 0.0142, 0.03, 0.012, 0.0, 0.0107, -0.0072, -0.0016, -0.0282, -0.0363, -0.0312, -0.0441, -0.0244, -0.0168, -0.0275, -0.0169, -0.0197, -0.0194, -0.0018, 0.0006, -0.0114, -0.014, -0.0339, -0.0274, -0.0246, -0.0184, -0.0668, -0.1215, -0.123, -0.1368, -0.0461, -0.0879, -0.0716, -0.0626, -0.0652, -0.086, -0.0847, -0.1065, -0.0833, -0.069, -0.0494, -0.0426, -0.0422, -0.0362, -0.0358, -0.029, -0.0146, -0.0202, -0.0284, -0.0243, -0.0175, -0.0188, 0.0137, 0.0204, 0.0217, 0.0267, 0.0332, 0.0343, 0.0308, 0.0134, 0.0138, 0.0069, 0.0069, 0.0279, 0.0219, 0.0259, 0.0248, 0.0306, 0.0364, 0.0362, 0.0312, 0.0417, 0.0427, 0.0486, 0.0456, 0.0498, 0.038, 0.0479, 0.0389, 0.0388, 0.0388, 0.0364, 0.0466, 0.0582, 0.0587, 0.067, 0.0723, 0.0775, 0.0771, 0.082, 0.0905, 0.0905, 0.0824, 0.0818, 0.0883, 0.0914, 0.0875, 0.0896, 0.0849, 0.0886, 0.0952, 0.0944, 0.0965, 0.0967, 0.106, 0.1064, 0.111, 0.1107, 0.1078, 0.1064, 0.1023, 0.0842, 0.1007, 0.0951, 0.1035, 0.1026, 0.1112, 0.109, 0.1208, 0.1246, 0.1247, 0.1221, 0.1218, 0.1158, 0.1128, 0.1083, 0.1253, 0.1204, 0.1251, 0.1276, 0.1316]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1996967306271027498", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:38:02+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have bought a full position in $SPXU at $49.43. Price target will be $49.80 or potentially a little better", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) at $49.43, targeting $49.80+, strict intraday day trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have bought a full position in $SPXU at $49.43.  Price target will be $49.80 or potentially a little better if market conditions permit it.  This will be a strict day trade and doubt this will be a trade held over the weekend. https://t.co/pILkmy2CAq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004199255896036647, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004199255896036647, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006095139538107697, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006095139538107697, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00189588364207105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00189588364207105, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00919822675205717, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00919822675205717, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012202525608082881, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012202525608082881, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003004298856025711, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003004298856025711, "ret_p1w": 0.018996120931030314, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018996120931030314, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02472748021426352, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02472748021426352, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005731359283233206, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005731359283233206, "ret_p1m": -0.017864498128177586, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017864498128177586, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.026509329045046104, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.026509329045046104, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008644830916868518, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008644830916868518, "ret_p3m": 0.06901038005942661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06901038005942661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08552388199273608, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08552388199273608, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01651350193330947, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01651350193330947, "ret_p6m": -0.2458586557265111, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2458586557265111, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3520941958442311, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3520941958442311, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10623554011771996, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10623554011771996, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00919822675205717, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012202525608082881, "alpha_c_stated": 0.012202525608082881, "price_path": [0.1632, 0.1529, 0.1253, 0.1269, 0.1103, 0.1159, 0.1206, 0.1048, 0.0898, 0.0756, 0.0922, 0.103, 0.1198, 0.1014, 0.0926, 0.0806, 0.0694, 0.067, 0.0686, 0.0574, 0.0702, 0.0518, 0.0606, 0.147, 0.0958, 0.0998, 0.0862, 0.1078, 0.091, 0.0582, 0.059, 0.075, 0.0566, 0.0326, -0.005, -0.0122, -0.013, 0.019, 0.0118, 0.007, 0.0422, 0.0326, 0.0662, 0.063, 0.0158, 0.0086, 0.007, 0.0566, 0.059, 0.0894, 0.1166, 0.1046, 0.155, 0.122, 0.0726, 0.043, 0.0224, 0.0224, 0.0066, 0.0208, 0.0162, 0.006, 0.0042, 0.0, 0.0092, 0.0122, -0.0072, -0.0142, 0.019, 0.0242, 0.033, 0.068, 0.0436, 0.0168, -0.002, -0.0154, -0.0248, -0.0236, -0.0128, -0.0087, 0.0139, 0.0097, -0.0103, -0.0277, -0.0179, -0.0166, -0.0352, -0.0395, -0.0336, -0.0191, -0.0268, -0.0226, -0.0226, 0.0374, 0.0015, -0.0138, -0.0134, -0.0285, -0.0397, -0.0391, -0.0323, -0.0226, -0.0376, -0.0124, 0.0021, 0.0407, -0.0189, -0.0317, -0.0236, -0.0232, 0.0227, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0176, 0.0029, 0.0103, -0.0097, 0.0207, -0.0015, -0.026, -0.0093, 0.0052, 0.005, 0.0323, 0.0103, 0.027, 0.069, 0.0413, 0.0472, 0.0515, 0.0996, 0.1196, 0.0861, 0.0778, 0.1228, 0.1328, 0.1834, 0.1455, 0.1569, 0.1387, 0.2, 0.2625, 0.2756, 0.1663, 0.1393, 0.1373, 0.1373, 0.1227, 0.121, 0.0366, 0.0187, 0.0222, -0.0074, -0.043, -0.0656, -0.0722, -0.1046, -0.0993, -0.0814, -0.1086, -0.0977, -0.118, -0.1223, -0.109, -0.1086, -0.134, -0.1406, -0.1312, -0.1513, -0.1865, -0.1784, -0.198, -0.2033, -0.1996, -0.2128, -0.2306, -0.2019, -0.2002, -0.1836, -0.2091, -0.2134, -0.2214, -0.2214, -0.2362, -0.236, -0.2485, -0.2526, -0.2582, -0.2611, -0.2459]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2003112755730206764", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T14:37:51+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $SPXU at $49.99. Price target is $50.25.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Long SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500 ETF) day trade with $50.25 price target, implying bearish near-term S&P 500 view.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bought $SPXU at $49.99.  Price target is $50.25.  This will be a strict day trade only.  Risk management will be key for the remainder of this week. https://t.co/mVUx8uBwIb", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018833892118158113, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018833892118158113, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025025214840619814, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025025214840619814, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006191322722461701, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006191322722461701, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01342416727835416, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01342416727835416, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017994569618013045, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017994569618013045, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0045704023396588855, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0045704023396588855, "ret_p1w": -0.006701370841351362, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006701370841351362, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009884614407777659, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009884614407777659, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003183243566426297, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003183243566426297, "ret_p1m": -0.011809867677108343, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011809867677108343, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017869749893154152, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017869749893154152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006059882216045809, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006059882216045809, "ret_p3m": 0.1477799511972544, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1477799511972544, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18816981789579412, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18816981789579412, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04038986669853972, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04038986669853972, "ret_p6m": -0.22931291288908284, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22931291288908284, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3255095335509749, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3255095335509749, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09619662066189205, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09619662066189205, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01342416727835416, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017994569618013045, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017994569618013045, "price_path": [0.1052, 0.122, 0.1036, 0.0948, 0.0827, 0.0715, 0.0691, 0.0707, 0.0595, 0.0723, 0.0539, 0.0627, 0.1493, 0.098, 0.102, 0.0884, 0.11, 0.0932, 0.0603, 0.0611, 0.0771, 0.0587, 0.0347, -0.003, -0.0102, -0.011, 0.021, 0.0138, 0.009, 0.0443, 0.0347, 0.0683, 0.0651, 0.0178, 0.0106, 0.009, 0.0587, 0.0611, 0.0916, 0.1188, 0.1068, 0.1573, 0.1242, 0.0747, 0.0451, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.0086, 0.0228, 0.0182, 0.008, 0.0062, 0.002, 0.0112, 0.0142, -0.0052, -0.0122, 0.021, 0.0262, 0.0351, 0.0701, 0.0457, 0.0188, 0.0, -0.0134, -0.0228, -0.0216, -0.0108, -0.0067, 0.016, 0.0117, -0.0083, -0.0257, -0.0159, -0.0147, -0.0333, -0.0376, -0.0316, -0.0171, -0.0249, -0.0206, -0.0206, 0.0395, 0.0035, -0.0118, -0.0114, -0.0265, -0.0378, -0.0371, -0.0304, -0.0206, -0.0357, -0.0104, 0.0041, 0.0427, -0.0169, -0.0298, -0.0216, -0.0212, 0.0248, 0.0246, 0.0246, 0.0197, 0.0049, 0.0123, -0.0077, 0.0227, 0.0005, -0.0241, -0.0073, 0.0072, 0.007, 0.0344, 0.0123, 0.0291, 0.0712, 0.0434, 0.0493, 0.0536, 0.1018, 0.1218, 0.0883, 0.0799, 0.1251, 0.1351, 0.1858, 0.1478, 0.1592, 0.141, 0.2024, 0.265, 0.2782, 0.1686, 0.1416, 0.1396, 0.1396, 0.1249, 0.1233, 0.0386, 0.0207, 0.0242, -0.0054, -0.0411, -0.0637, -0.0703, -0.1029, -0.0975, -0.0796, -0.1068, -0.0959, -0.1162, -0.1206, -0.1072, -0.1068, -0.1323, -0.1389, -0.1294, -0.1496, -0.1848, -0.1768, -0.1964, -0.2017, -0.198, -0.2112, -0.2291, -0.2003, -0.1986, -0.1819, -0.2075, -0.2118, -0.2198, -0.2198, -0.2347, -0.2345, -0.247, -0.2511, -0.2567, -0.2596, -0.2443, -0.2524, -0.1933, -0.1988, -0.1914, -0.1529, -0.1953, -0.2075, -0.2491, -0.2357, -0.2069, -0.2293]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1712283778348122448", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2023-10-12T01:47:20+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the price of oil was in a sell signal. That still remains in place. So far no buy.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Maintains sell signal on oil; one-day rally did not trigger a buy signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil commodity; USO is US Oil Fund ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The signal is the signal.  Personal views or predictive assumptions can certainly cause us to have a loss. Last week, the price of oil was in a sell signal.  That still remains in place.  The one day rally absolutely got me thinking about the 2 previous Gulf Wars.  So far no buy. https://t.co/ottWjJ46D6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003314770698349623, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003314770698349623, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028188634183579087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028188634183579087, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0061336341167075314, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0061336341167075314, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04733492152608121, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04733492152608121, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05231572416698094, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05231572416698094, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004980802640899729, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004980802640899729, "ret_p1w": 0.0830018866111304, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0830018866111304, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09967383290336296, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09967383290336296, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016671946292232565, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016671946292232565, "ret_p1m": -0.04813043412287754, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04813043412287754, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06415681516956517, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06415681516956517, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016026381046687632, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016026381046687632, "ret_p3m": -0.10647041864558515, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10647041864558515, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20364622173340918, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20364622173340918, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09717580308782403, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09717580308782403, "ret_p6m": 0.09254844240778115, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09254844240778115, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11150360227764966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11150360227764966, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2040520446854308, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2040520446854308, "ret_p1y": -0.07292495536369104, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07292495536369104, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.413880359899957, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.413880359899957, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.34095540453626594, "bench_c_p1y": 0.34095540453626594, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04813043412287754, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06415681516956517, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06415681516956517, "price_path": [-0.1172, -0.0989, -0.1025, -0.0977, -0.0853, -0.0627, -0.0565, -0.0631, -0.0529, -0.0442, -0.0298, -0.0326, -0.0522, -0.0302, -0.0216, -0.0212, -0.018, -0.0042, -0.0162, -0.0155, -0.0213, -0.0371, -0.0537, -0.0456, -0.0349, -0.0377, -0.0416, -0.0538, -0.0532, -0.0394, -0.0399, -0.0278, -0.0233, -0.0048, 0.0199, 0.0199, 0.031, 0.0411, 0.0335, 0.0382, 0.0391, 0.0567, 0.0565, 0.0756, 0.0778, 0.08, 0.0806, 0.0626, 0.0662, 0.0691, 0.0659, 0.0724, 0.0992, 0.0815, 0.0721, 0.0526, 0.0598, 0.0023, -0.019, -0.0167, 0.0227, 0.0171, 0.0033, 0.0, 0.0473, 0.0394, 0.0448, 0.0586, 0.083, 0.07, 0.046, 0.02, 0.0403, 0.0195, 0.039, 0.0084, -0.0053, -0.0089, 0.0101, -0.0076, -0.0068, -0.048, -0.0693, -0.0685, -0.0481, -0.0331, -0.0362, -0.0541, -0.0977, -0.0619, -0.0414, -0.0383, -0.0505, -0.0505, -0.061, -0.0724, -0.0552, -0.0385, -0.07, -0.0819, -0.0922, -0.104, -0.1413, -0.1367, -0.1179, -0.1143, -0.1481, -0.1338, -0.1095, -0.1097, -0.0972, -0.0804, -0.0879, -0.0847, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0691, -0.0862, -0.1093, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.128, -0.0959, -0.1041, -0.0847, -0.1196, -0.1065, -0.1175, -0.103, -0.0981, -0.0981, -0.1083, -0.0992, -0.0843, -0.0875, -0.076, -0.0764, -0.0647, -0.0423, -0.0308, -0.0447, -0.0346, -0.0597, -0.0842, -0.1049, -0.096, -0.0876, -0.0796, -0.0517, -0.0497, -0.0439, -0.0367, -0.0513, -0.0342, -0.0267, -0.0267, -0.0398, -0.0294, -0.0241, -0.0464, -0.0349, -0.0208, -0.0239, -0.0273, -0.0061, -0.0187, -0.0261, -0.0143, -0.0158, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0274, -0.0044, 0.0117, 0.0121, 0.0339, 0.0399, 0.0243, 0.0186, 0.0167, 0.031, 0.0248, 0.0277, 0.0439, 0.0439, 0.0564, 0.0712, 0.0773, 0.0908, 0.0925]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985879276605096096", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-05T01:18:10+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SPXU was up 3.49%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Model targets SPX 6,400 short-term after Daily Sell Signal; long SPXU as the inverse-S&P play.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SPX was down -1.17% to close at 6,771.74.  My family accounts were up 1.09% while $SPXU was up 3.49%.  A “Daily Sell Signal” was triggered late in the day.  Model is now indicating 6,400  likely short term.  WTD SPX is down -1.00%, my accounts up 1.98% and $SPXU is up 3.00%. https://t.co/LOsSHXvXGm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00929504699024597, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00929504699024597, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012748555592955513, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012748555592955513, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03253289455267172, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03253289455267172, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04326225842190923, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04326225842190923, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729363869237507, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729363869237507, "ret_p1w": -0.02478702206080008, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02478702206080008, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033346953295798065, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.033346953295798065, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559931234997986, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559931234997986, "ret_p1m": -0.027497981563450624, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027497981563450624, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03754843272478636, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03754843272478636, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050451161335738, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050451161335738, "ret_p3m": -0.02951078098596338, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02951078098596338, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.045210239999254, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.045210239999254, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015699459013290618, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015699459013290618, "ret_p6m": -0.15858955864517832, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15858955864517832, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22429150624819416, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22429150624819416, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06570194760301584, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06570194760301584, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.027497981563450624, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03754843272478636, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03754843272478636, "price_path": [0.1853, 0.1937, 0.1555, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.154, 0.1548, 0.1746, 0.1846, 0.1999, 0.1464, 0.1616, 0.1479, 0.1402, 0.1288, 0.1502, 0.1502, 0.1769, 0.1594, 0.1303, 0.1418, 0.1334, 0.1265, 0.1166, 0.0898, 0.0913, 0.0753, 0.0806, 0.0852, 0.0699, 0.0554, 0.0417, 0.0577, 0.0682, 0.0844, 0.0666, 0.0581, 0.0465, 0.0356, 0.0333, 0.0349, 0.024, 0.0364, 0.0186, 0.0271, 0.1108, 0.0612, 0.0651, 0.0519, 0.0728, 0.0565, 0.0248, 0.0256, 0.0411, 0.0232, 0.0, -0.0364, -0.0434, -0.0442, -0.0132, -0.0201, -0.0248, 0.0093, 0.0, 0.0325, 0.0294, -0.0163, -0.0232, -0.0248, 0.0232, 0.0256, 0.055, 0.0813, 0.0697, 0.1185, 0.0866, 0.0387, 0.0101, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0252, -0.0114, -0.0159, -0.0258, -0.0275, -0.0316, -0.0227, -0.0198, -0.0385, -0.0453, -0.0132, -0.0081, 0.0004, 0.0343, 0.0107, -0.0153, -0.0335, -0.0465, -0.0556, -0.0544, -0.0439, -0.04, -0.0181, -0.0222, -0.0416, -0.0583, -0.0489, -0.0477, -0.0657, -0.0698, -0.0641, -0.0501, -0.0576, -0.0534, -0.0534, 0.0047, -0.0301, -0.0449, -0.0445, -0.0591, -0.07, -0.0694, -0.0629, -0.0534, -0.068, -0.0435, -0.0295, 0.0078, -0.0499, -0.0623, -0.0544, -0.054, -0.0096, -0.0098, -0.0098, -0.0145, -0.0287, -0.0216, -0.041, -0.0115, -0.0331, -0.0568, -0.0406, -0.0265, -0.0267, -0.0003, -0.0216, -0.0054, 0.0353, 0.0084, 0.0141, 0.0183, 0.0649, 0.0842, 0.0519, 0.0438, 0.0874, 0.0971, 0.1461, 0.1093, 0.1204, 0.1028, 0.1621, 0.2226, 0.2353, 0.1294, 0.1034, 0.1014, 0.1014, 0.0872, 0.0857, 0.0038, -0.0135, -0.0101, -0.0388, -0.0732, -0.0951, -0.1015, -0.1329, -0.1277, -0.1104, -0.1367, -0.1261, -0.1458, -0.15, -0.1371, -0.1367, -0.1614, -0.1677, -0.1586]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1954939181836472481", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-11T16:13:16+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have bought $SPXU at $15.40 for a strict day trade only. Price target is $15.46 or potentially better.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Long SPXU at $15.40, PT $15.46, strict day trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have bought $SPXU at $15.40 for a strict day trade only.  Price target is $15.46 or potentially better.  I just got the set up I was looking for. https://t.co/d6KVNWnLya", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007042167102943253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007042167102943253, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009023489473807045, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009023489473807045, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019813223708637917, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019813223708637917, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0320101892304937, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0320101892304937, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04265617000010902, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04265617000010902, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645980769615315, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645980769615315, "ret_p1w": -0.03265042128425599, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03265042128425599, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04425557285828008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04425557285828008, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605151574024086, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605151574024086, "ret_p1m": -0.05633797930428197, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05633797930428197, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07899814695150109, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07899814695150109, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02266016764721912, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02266016764721912, "ret_p3m": -0.13504495341340061, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13504495341340061, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1920464247759801, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1920464247759801, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700147136257949, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700147136257949, "ret_p6m": -0.15575062983992782, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15575062983992782, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22743651712241375, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22743651712241375, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168588728248593, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07168588728248593, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0320101892304937, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04265617000010902, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04265617000010902, "price_path": [0.2467, 0.2296, 0.2068, 0.203, 0.2169, 0.2784, 0.279, 0.3062, 0.3062, 0.227, 0.248, 0.234, 0.2403, 0.2194, 0.1985, 0.2011, 0.2188, 0.1827, 0.1808, 0.1605, 0.1707, 0.158, 0.1985, 0.1637, 0.1947, 0.1966, 0.1966, 0.2074, 0.1707, 0.1333, 0.1319, 0.105, 0.0915, 0.0755, 0.0775, 0.0634, 0.0391, 0.0391, 0.0627, 0.0659, 0.0474, 0.0384, 0.0506, 0.0455, 0.0595, 0.0493, 0.0307, 0.0339, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0032, 0.0019, -0.0083, -0.0083, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0173, 0.0672, 0.0198, 0.0359, 0.0128, 0.0147, -0.007, 0.0, -0.032, -0.041, -0.041, -0.0333, -0.0327, -0.016, -0.0077, 0.0051, -0.0397, -0.0269, -0.0384, -0.0448, -0.0544, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0141, -0.0288, -0.0531, -0.0435, -0.0506, -0.0563, -0.0647, -0.0871, -0.0858, -0.0992, -0.0948, -0.0909, -0.1037, -0.1159, -0.1274, -0.114, -0.1052, -0.0916, -0.1065, -0.1136, -0.1234, -0.1324, -0.1344, -0.1331, -0.1422, -0.1318, -0.1467, -0.1396, -0.0695, -0.111, -0.1078, -0.1188, -0.1013, -0.1149, -0.1415, -0.1409, -0.1279, -0.1428, -0.1623, -0.1928, -0.1986, -0.1993, -0.1733, -0.1792, -0.1831, -0.1545, -0.1623, -0.135, -0.1376, -0.1759, -0.1818, -0.1831, -0.1428, -0.1409, -0.1162, -0.0942, -0.1039, -0.063, -0.0898, -0.1299, -0.1539, -0.1706, -0.1706, -0.1834, -0.1719, -0.1756, -0.1839, -0.1853, -0.1887, -0.1813, -0.1788, -0.1946, -0.2003, -0.1733, -0.1691, -0.162, -0.1336, -0.1534, -0.1751, -0.1904, -0.2012, -0.2089, -0.2079, -0.1991, -0.1958, -0.1774, -0.1809, -0.1971, -0.2112, -0.2032, -0.2022, -0.2173, -0.2208, -0.216, -0.2042, -0.2105, -0.207, -0.207, -0.1584, -0.1875, -0.1999, -0.1996, -0.2118, -0.2209, -0.2204, -0.215, -0.207, -0.2193, -0.1988, -0.187, -0.1558]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027438661365895229", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T17:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "SPXU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased $SPXU at $49.36", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500) on Daily Sell Signal potential, VIX buy signal at 21.04, and geopolitical risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPXU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased $SPXU at $49.36. I have made this decision on some factors that I have been watching earlier this morning. One is the potential for triggering yet again a new “Daily Sell Signal”.  Secondly, the VIX will trigger a “Daily Buy Signal” at 21.04 and last geopolitics. https://t.co/C06kNWcOzK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01440459865565269, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01440459865565269, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01922970941074631, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01922970941074631, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00482511075509362, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00482511075509362, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0002029560197613911, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0002029560197613911, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.000771568452471838, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.000771568452471838, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005686124327104469, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005686124327104469, "ret_p1w": 0.06350159800290012, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06350159800290012, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08334149384405076, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08334149384405076, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839895841150645, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839895841150645, "ret_p1m": 0.2690334101377949, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2690334101377949, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34526495427252235, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34526495427252235, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623154413472744, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623154413472744, "ret_p3m": -0.23992962720619138, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23992962720619138, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33689830665234133, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33689830665234133, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696867944614995, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696867944614995, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06350159800290012, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08334149384405076, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08334149384405076, "price_path": [0.0014, 0.0155, 0.011, 0.0008, -0.001, -0.0052, 0.004, 0.007, -0.0123, -0.0193, 0.0137, 0.0189, 0.0277, 0.0625, 0.0382, 0.0116, -0.0071, -0.0205, -0.0298, -0.0286, -0.0179, -0.0138, 0.0087, 0.0045, -0.0154, -0.0327, -0.0229, -0.0217, -0.0402, -0.0444, -0.0385, -0.0241, -0.0319, -0.0276, -0.0276, 0.0321, -0.0037, -0.0189, -0.0185, -0.0335, -0.0446, -0.044, -0.0373, -0.0276, -0.0426, -0.0174, -0.003, 0.0353, -0.0239, -0.0367, -0.0286, -0.0282, 0.0174, 0.0172, 0.0172, 0.0124, -0.0022, 0.0051, -0.0148, 0.0154, -0.0067, -0.031, -0.0144, 0.0, -0.0002, 0.027, 0.0051, 0.0217, 0.0635, 0.0359, 0.0418, 0.0461, 0.0939, 0.1138, 0.0805, 0.0722, 0.1171, 0.127, 0.1773, 0.1396, 0.1509, 0.1328, 0.1938, 0.2559, 0.269, 0.1602, 0.1335, 0.1314, 0.1314, 0.1169, 0.1153, 0.0312, 0.0134, 0.0169, -0.0125, -0.0479, -0.0704, -0.077, -0.1093, -0.1039, -0.0862, -0.1131, -0.1023, -0.1226, -0.1268, -0.1136, -0.1131, -0.1385, -0.145, -0.1356, -0.1557, -0.1906, -0.1827, -0.2021, -0.2074, -0.2037, -0.2168, -0.2346, -0.206, -0.2043, -0.1878, -0.2131, -0.2174, -0.2254, -0.2254, -0.2401, -0.2399, -0.2524, -0.2565, -0.262, -0.2649, -0.2497, -0.2577, -0.199, -0.2046, -0.1972, -0.159, -0.2011, -0.2131, -0.2544, -0.2412, -0.2125, -0.2348, -0.2348, -0.2277, -0.1949, -0.1931, -0.1941, -0.1941, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}