{"unit_id": "reply:1912607201002418320", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-16T20:41:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "He still has maybe a month or two to buy under $100,000. Then it could be gone forever.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC will break above $100K permanently within a month or two; $10K call is dead wrong.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Dstanc2 @daveweisberger @mikemcglone11 @scottmelker @jameslavish 2020 was the last time that was possible. He still has maybe a month or two to buy under $100,000. Then it could be gone forever. Poor guy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @daveweisberger @mikemcglone11 @scottmelker @jameslavish His call is for $10k BTC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Dstanc2", "ret_m1d": -0.004341999389197104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004341999389197104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0029173147316293724, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0029173147316293724, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0014246846575677319, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0014246846575677319, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.11501603473673883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11501603473673883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0764907603112217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0764907603112217, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03852527442551712, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03852527442551712, "ret_p1m": 0.234557495652562, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.234557495652562, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10577938291, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10577938291, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.128778112742562, "bench_c_p1m": 0.128778112742562, "ret_p3m": 0.4262071607104092, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4262071607104092, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24085859092120177, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24085859092120177, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18534856978920744, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18534856978920744, "ret_p6m": 0.4482920994929964, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4482920994929964, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2006592841270487, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2006592841270487, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24763281536594772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24763281536594772, "ret_p1y": -0.20352229639556596, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20352229639556596, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.46961487209185904, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.46961487209185904, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2660925756962931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2660925756962931, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.234557495652562, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10577938291, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10577938291, "price_path": [0.2431, 0.214, 0.2631, 0.2335, 0.2371, 0.2473, 0.2148, 0.2059, 0.2341, 0.2463, 0.2186, 0.2067, 0.1647, 0.1497, 0.1495, 0.1487, 0.1595, 0.1394, 0.1648, 0.1498, 0.1604, 0.1397, 0.1369, 0.15, 0.1702, 0.1439, 0.0879, 0.056, 0.0037, 0.008, 0.004, 0.0242, 0.0379, 0.0784, 0.0705, 0.0322, -0.0655, -0.0139, -0.0037, -0.0353, -0.0008, 0.0005, -0.0157, 0.0336, 0.0016, 0.0001, 0.0412, 0.0409, 0.0341, 0.0374, 0.0038, -0.0177, 0.0135, -0.0184, -0.0111, -0.0023, -0.0571, -0.0924, -0.0174, -0.0525, -0.0075, 0.0061, -0.0043, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.005, 0.0415, 0.112, 0.115, 0.1179, 0.1272, 0.1302, 0.122, 0.1211, 0.1483, 0.1532, 0.1275, 0.1519, 0.1547, 0.2286, 0.2253, 0.2235, 0.2396, 0.2321, 0.2346, 0.2315, 0.2567, 0.2708, 0.3052, 0.3289, 0.2767, 0.3023, 0.297, 0.2828, 0.2571, 0.2376, 0.26, 0.2546, 0.2463, 0.2088, 0.2422, 0.3125, 0.3121, 0.2934, 0.2606, 0.2625, 0.2709, 0.2447, 0.2481, 0.2457, 0.2294, 0.2564, 0.2619, 0.2776, 0.2728, 0.2743, 0.2749, 0.2578, 0.2954, 0.3048, 0.2856, 0.2888, 0.2965, 0.3248, 0.3802, 0.3984, 0.4262, 0.4015, 0.413, 0.4195, 0.4042, 0.3975, 0.4279, 0.4132, 0.4086, 0.3999, 0.4033, 0.4033, 0.4022, 0.3775, 0.3485, 0.3694, 0.3583, 0.3688, 0.3982, 0.3886, 0.4129, 0.4301, 0.4678, 0.4085, 0.397, 0.3834, 0.3427, 0.3599, 0.3378, 0.3908, 0.3105, 0.3304, 0.3235, 0.3393, 0.2901, 0.3001, 0.3233, 0.3295, 0.3176, 0.3167, 0.3336, 0.3272, 0.3561, 0.3745, 0.3816, 0.3738, 0.3904, 0.386, 0.3939, 0.3767, 0.3417, 0.333, 0.3486, 0.2977, 0.3056, 0.3614, 0.3573, 0.4119, 0.4361, 0.455, 0.4846, 0.4453, 0.4679, 0.4483]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920324625629585732", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-08T03:47:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$104.5K next up after that.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC target $104.5K after breaching $100K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dotkrueger You’re a winner in my book either way.\n\n$104.5K next up after that.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "It's 5:43 pm. in Hawaii.\n99K has just been breeched.\nPlenty of time to cross 100k. https://t.co/YFYzYZSQDZ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dotkrueger", "ret_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05322227077695407, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05322227077695407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00691965833385999, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00691965833385999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0013470190026019235, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0013470190026019235, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012741118157988396, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012741118157988396, "ret_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04007729328807841, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04007729328807841, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.044951107383024436, "bench_c_p1w": 0.044951107383024436, "ret_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04918408000079699, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04918408000079699, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06031219463679105, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06031219463679105, "ret_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.009041103986170418, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009041103986170418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11461869147884052, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11461869147884052, "ret_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15281813394461263, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15281813394461263, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21398254471193767, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21398254471193767, "ret_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5307865595975227, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5307865595975227, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2801620943629206, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2801620943629206, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011128114635994057, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04918408000079699, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04918408000079699, "price_path": [-0.0562, -0.0726, -0.0519, -0.0641, -0.0555, -0.0723, -0.0746, -0.064, -0.0475, -0.0689, -0.1145, -0.1405, -0.183, -0.1796, -0.1828, -0.1664, -0.1552, -0.1222, -0.1286, -0.1598, -0.2393, -0.1974, -0.1891, -0.2148, -0.1867, -0.1856, -0.1988, -0.1587, -0.1848, -0.186, -0.1525, -0.1527, -0.1583, -0.1556, -0.183, -0.2004, -0.175, -0.201, -0.1951, -0.1879, -0.2325, -0.2612, -0.2002, -0.2287, -0.1921, -0.1811, -0.1896, -0.186, -0.1777, -0.182, -0.1523, -0.0949, -0.0924, -0.0901, -0.0825, -0.08, -0.0868, -0.0875, -0.0654, -0.0613, -0.0823, -0.0624, -0.0601, 0.0, -0.0026, -0.0042, 0.009, 0.0029, 0.0049, 0.0024, 0.0229, 0.0344, 0.0623, 0.0817, 0.0392, 0.06, 0.0557, 0.0442, 0.0232, 0.0073, 0.0256, 0.0212, 0.0144, -0.0161, 0.0111, 0.0683, 0.068, 0.0527, 0.026, 0.0276, 0.0344, 0.0132, 0.0159, 0.014, 0.0007, 0.0226, 0.0272, 0.0399, 0.036, 0.0373, 0.0377, 0.0238, 0.0544, 0.0621, 0.0464, 0.049, 0.0553, 0.0783, 0.1235, 0.1383, 0.1609, 0.1408, 0.1501, 0.1554, 0.143, 0.1375, 0.1623, 0.1503, 0.1465, 0.1394, 0.1422, 0.1422, 0.1413, 0.1212, 0.0976, 0.1146, 0.1056, 0.1142, 0.1381, 0.1303, 0.15, 0.164, 0.1947, 0.1464, 0.1371, 0.126, 0.0929, 0.1069, 0.0889, 0.132, 0.0667, 0.0829, 0.0773, 0.0901, 0.0501, 0.0582, 0.0771, 0.0822, 0.0725, 0.0718, 0.0855, 0.0803, 0.1038, 0.1188, 0.1246, 0.1182, 0.1317, 0.1281, 0.1346, 0.1206, 0.0921, 0.085, 0.0977, 0.0563, 0.0627, 0.1081, 0.1048, 0.1492, 0.1689, 0.1843, 0.2084, 0.1764, 0.1948, 0.1788, 0.0966, 0.1165, 0.0957, 0.073, 0.0479, 0.0313, 0.0712, 0.0507, 0.0431, 0.0661, 0.0755, 0.1054, 0.0941, 0.066, 0.0491, 0.0612]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1922292881152147820", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-13T14:08:31+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You are on drugs if you think it won't", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disagrees with 150K cycle cap; implicitly bullish BTC above $150K this cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LuckyHorseShoe4 You are on drugs if you think it won’t", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred BTC isn’t going over 150k this cycle.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LuckyHorseShoe4", "ret_m1d": -0.013025456631209686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013025456631209686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006464710428463749, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006464710428463749, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006560746202745937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006560746202745937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006051642240404331, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006051642240404331, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007329619279849209, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007329619279849209, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "ret_p1w": 0.025163465063354984, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025163465063354984, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014922351707730375, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014922351707730375, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "ret_p1m": 0.04336009052526624, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04336009052526624, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018617623939930716, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018617623939930716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02474246658533552, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02474246658533552, "ret_p3m": 0.12017794562604212, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12017794562604212, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03118678388616658, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03118678388616658, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "ret_p6m": -0.002668494411468769, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.002668494411468769, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1639170917955446, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1639170917955446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "ret_p1y": -0.26750064648047633, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26750064648047633, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5061658381174419, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5061658381174419, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04336009052526624, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.018617623939930716, "alpha_c_stated": 0.018617623939930716, "price_path": [-0.0724, -0.0639, -0.0806, -0.0828, -0.0723, -0.056, -0.0772, -0.1224, -0.1482, -0.1903, -0.1869, -0.19, -0.1738, -0.1627, -0.13, -0.1364, -0.1673, -0.2461, -0.2045, -0.1963, -0.2218, -0.1939, -0.1929, -0.2059, -0.1662, -0.192, -0.1932, -0.16, -0.1603, -0.1658, -0.1631, -0.1902, -0.2076, -0.1824, -0.2082, -0.2022, -0.1951, -0.2394, -0.2678, -0.2073, -0.2356, -0.1993, -0.1884, -0.1968, -0.1933, -0.185, -0.1893, -0.1598, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0882, -0.0949, -0.0956, -0.0737, -0.0697, -0.0904, -0.0707, -0.0685, -0.0089, -0.0115, -0.013, 0.0, -0.0061, -0.0041, -0.0065, 0.0138, 0.0252, 0.0529, 0.072, 0.0299, 0.0506, 0.0463, 0.0349, 0.0141, -0.0016, 0.0164, 0.0121, 0.0054, -0.0249, 0.0021, 0.0588, 0.0584, 0.0434, 0.0169, 0.0184, 0.0252, 0.0041, 0.0068, 0.0049, -0.0083, 0.0135, 0.018, 0.0306, 0.0268, 0.028, 0.0285, 0.0147, 0.045, 0.0526, 0.0371, 0.0396, 0.0459, 0.0687, 0.1134, 0.1281, 0.1505, 0.1306, 0.1399, 0.1451, 0.1328, 0.1274, 0.1519, 0.14, 0.1363, 0.1293, 0.132, 0.132, 0.1311, 0.1112, 0.0878, 0.1047, 0.0957, 0.1042, 0.1279, 0.1202, 0.1398, 0.1536, 0.1841, 0.1362, 0.127, 0.116, 0.0831, 0.097, 0.0792, 0.122, 0.0572, 0.0733, 0.0677, 0.0804, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0675, 0.0725, 0.0629, 0.0622, 0.0759, 0.0707, 0.0939, 0.1088, 0.1145, 0.1082, 0.1217, 0.1181, 0.1245, 0.1106, 0.0824, 0.0753, 0.0879, 0.0468, 0.0532, 0.0982, 0.0949, 0.139, 0.1585, 0.1737, 0.1976, 0.1659, 0.1842, 0.1683, 0.0868, 0.1066, 0.0859, 0.0635, 0.0386, 0.0221, 0.0616, 0.0413, 0.0338, 0.0566, 0.0659, 0.0955, 0.0843, 0.0565, 0.0397, 0.0517, 0.0228, -0.0248, -0.0027]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1923100914778358117", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-15T19:39:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there will be no parabolic breakout in BTC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC, MSTR, and bitcoin miners; argues miner leadership is prerequisite for parabolic BTC/MSTR breakout.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Microstrategy holders, including yours truly, should be rooting for a huge rally in the miners. Without significant participation and leadership from this group, there will be no parabolic breakout in BTC or MSTR. I don’t make the rules but this is how it works. Let’s see.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0019781895359956003, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0019781895359956003, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028824596253458346, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028824596253458346, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0024613470244020386, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0024613470244020386, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008795285466801306, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008795285466801306, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "ret_p1w": 0.07642458036612432, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07642458036612432, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0889063961713159, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0889063961713159, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "ret_p1m": 0.022616379129223096, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022616379129223096, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01154045132385706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01154045132385706, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "ret_p3m": 0.15835290889273357, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15835290889273357, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06667888538844968, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06667888538844968, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "ret_p6m": -0.0035879865481003304, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0035879865481003304, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1464582622476429, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1464582622476429, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "ret_p1y": -0.23053464960614678, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23053464960614678, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4604924121687287, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4604924121687287, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.022616379129223096, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01154045132385706, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01154045132385706, "price_path": [-0.0768, -0.0791, -0.0685, -0.0522, -0.0734, -0.1188, -0.1447, -0.187, -0.1835, -0.1867, -0.1704, -0.1593, -0.1265, -0.1329, -0.1639, -0.243, -0.2013, -0.193, -0.2186, -0.1906, -0.1896, -0.2027, -0.1628, -0.1887, -0.1899, -0.1566, -0.1569, -0.1624, -0.1597, -0.1869, -0.2043, -0.179, -0.2049, -0.199, -0.1918, -0.2362, -0.2648, -0.2041, -0.2325, -0.1961, -0.1851, -0.1935, -0.19, -0.1817, -0.186, -0.1564, -0.0993, -0.0968, -0.0945, -0.087, -0.0845, -0.0912, -0.0919, -0.0699, -0.0659, -0.0867, -0.0669, -0.0647, -0.0049, -0.0075, -0.009, 0.0041, -0.002, 0.0, -0.0025, 0.0179, 0.0294, 0.0572, 0.0764, 0.0342, 0.0549, 0.0506, 0.0391, 0.0183, 0.0024, 0.0206, 0.0163, 0.0095, -0.0209, 0.0062, 0.0631, 0.0628, 0.0476, 0.0211, 0.0226, 0.0294, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0091, -0.0042, 0.0177, 0.0222, 0.0349, 0.031, 0.0322, 0.0327, 0.0188, 0.0493, 0.0569, 0.0413, 0.0439, 0.0502, 0.0731, 0.118, 0.1328, 0.1552, 0.1353, 0.1445, 0.1498, 0.1374, 0.132, 0.1566, 0.1447, 0.141, 0.1339, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1358, 0.1158, 0.0923, 0.1092, 0.1002, 0.1088, 0.1326, 0.1248, 0.1445, 0.1584, 0.1889, 0.1409, 0.1316, 0.1206, 0.0876, 0.1015, 0.0836, 0.1266, 0.0615, 0.0777, 0.0721, 0.0848, 0.045, 0.0531, 0.0719, 0.0769, 0.0673, 0.0666, 0.0803, 0.075, 0.0984, 0.1134, 0.1191, 0.1128, 0.1263, 0.1226, 0.1291, 0.1151, 0.0868, 0.0797, 0.0924, 0.0511, 0.0575, 0.1027, 0.0994, 0.1437, 0.1633, 0.1785, 0.2025, 0.1707, 0.189, 0.1731, 0.0913, 0.1111, 0.0904, 0.0678, 0.0428, 0.0262, 0.066, 0.0456, 0.038, 0.061, 0.0703, 0.1, 0.0888, 0.0608, 0.044, 0.056, 0.027, -0.0208, 0.0014, -0.0236, -0.0036]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1923100914778358117", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-05-15T19:39:22+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there will be no parabolic breakout in BTC or MSTR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC, MSTR, and bitcoin miners; argues miner leadership is prerequisite for parabolic BTC/MSTR breakout.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Microstrategy holders, including yours truly, should be rooting for a huge rally in the miners. Without significant participation and leadership from this group, there will be no parabolic breakout in BTC or MSTR. I don’t make the rules but this is how it works. Let’s see.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.049668793998775884, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.049668793998775884, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05452944316011732, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05452944316011732, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006976775110667743, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006976775110667743, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0006428366682684761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0006428366682684761, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "ret_p1w": 0.0061204258702174386, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0061204258702174386, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018602241675409026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018602241675409026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "ret_p1m": -0.03566482055674769, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03566482055674769, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.046740748362113727, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.046740748362113727, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "ret_p3m": -0.00664933163482917, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.00664933163482917, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09832335513911306, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09832335513911306, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "ret_p6m": -0.3906505971346851, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3906505971346851, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5335208728342277, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5335208728342277, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "ret_p1y": -0.5370626813669828, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5370626813669828, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7670204439295647, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7670204439295647, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03566482055674769, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.046740748362113727, "alpha_c_stated": -0.046740748362113727, "price_path": [-0.1494, -0.1588, -0.1974, -0.1841, -0.2452, -0.2878, -0.369, -0.3369, -0.3954, -0.3566, -0.368, -0.307, -0.2229, -0.234, -0.2767, -0.3974, -0.3437, -0.3387, -0.3369, -0.2507, -0.2588, -0.2867, -0.2337, -0.2392, -0.2343, -0.1544, -0.1391, -0.1706, -0.1825, -0.2711, -0.2739, -0.2292, -0.2128, -0.289, -0.2605, -0.3246, -0.4007, -0.2523, -0.3141, -0.2444, -0.2156, -0.2174, -0.215, -0.2011, -0.2011, -0.1997, -0.136, -0.1292, -0.1176, -0.0713, -0.07, -0.0392, -0.0426, -0.0389, -0.0067, -0.0264, -0.0288, -0.0115, 0.0437, 0.0479, 0.0198, 0.0619, 0.0497, 0.0, 0.007, 0.0413, 0.0501, 0.0143, 0.0061, -0.0693, -0.0693, -0.0625, -0.0826, -0.0665, -0.0704, -0.0624, -0.0242, -0.0477, -0.0711, -0.0568, -0.0124, -0.0147, -0.025, -0.0435, -0.0357, -0.0372, -0.055, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0688, -0.0752, -0.0504, -0.0211, -0.0267, -0.0331, 0.0181, -0.0598, 0.0132, 0.0175, 0.0175, -0.0034, -0.0002, 0.0463, 0.0622, 0.0946, 0.136, 0.114, 0.1483, 0.1368, 0.066, 0.0737, 0.074, 0.0394, 0.0451, 0.0223, 0.0171, -0.006, -0.005, 0.0122, -0.0766, -0.0196, -0.0543, -0.0343, 0.0125, -0.0048, 0.0081, -0.0066, -0.018, -0.0607, -0.0773, -0.0842, -0.1523, -0.1326, -0.1497, -0.098, -0.1356, -0.115, -0.1385, -0.1466, -0.1577, -0.1577, -0.1396, -0.1682, -0.1749, -0.154, -0.1691, -0.1725, -0.1778, -0.1789, -0.1652, -0.1744, -0.156, -0.1696, -0.1207, -0.1317, -0.1539, -0.1744, -0.1857, -0.2426, -0.2216, -0.1778, -0.1884, -0.1476, -0.1126, -0.1143, -0.094, -0.1729, -0.1668, -0.1933, -0.2323, -0.2054, -0.2427, -0.2526, -0.2851, -0.2699, -0.2529, -0.2396, -0.2927, -0.2824, -0.2719, -0.2554, -0.2831, -0.3065, -0.3588, -0.3212, -0.3334, -0.3779, -0.3577, -0.4026, -0.3907]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1923100914778358117", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-05-15T19:39:22+00:00", "symbol": "bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "should be rooting for a huge rally in the miners", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC, MSTR, and bitcoin miners; argues miner leadership is prerequisite for parabolic BTC/MSTR breakout.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Bitcoin miners ETF WGMI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Microstrategy holders, including yours truly, should be rooting for a huge rally in the miners. Without significant participation and leadership from this group, there will be no parabolic breakout in BTC or MSTR. I don’t make the rules but this is how it works. Let’s see.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022933076349659354, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022933076349659354, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02779372551100079, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02779372551100079, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08630056315706836, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08630056315706836, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07996662471466909, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07996662471466909, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "ret_p1w": 0.09293910343331979, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09293910343331979, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10542091923851138, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10542091923851138, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "ret_p1m": 0.1382016268981976, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1382016268981976, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12712569909283156, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12712569909283156, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "ret_p3m": 0.5334942857813776, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5334942857813776, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4418202622770937, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4418202622770937, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "ret_p6m": 2.3246832327821783, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.3246832327821783, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.1818129570826357, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.1818129570826357, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "ret_p1y": 2.0476765799684418, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.0476765799684418, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.8177188174058598, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.8177188174058598, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1382016268981976, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12712569909283156, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12712569909283156, "price_path": [0.4122, 0.3784, 0.3748, 0.3573, 0.2384, 0.1587, 0.0284, 0.0392, 0.0193, 0.0754, -0.0042, -0.0187, 0.038, -0.0465, -0.0151, -0.1261, -0.0899, -0.0772, -0.1207, -0.0766, -0.0724, -0.14, -0.0827, -0.096, -0.1068, -0.0157, -0.0555, -0.1358, -0.1527, -0.2076, -0.2293, -0.175, -0.1406, -0.2305, -0.2565, -0.2511, -0.3066, -0.2118, -0.2752, -0.2444, -0.2336, -0.277, -0.2812, -0.2734, -0.2734, -0.2915, -0.2094, -0.1847, -0.1515, -0.1213, -0.1352, -0.1436, -0.1744, -0.1195, -0.0966, -0.1394, -0.1225, -0.1195, -0.0628, -0.0616, -0.0139, 0.038, 0.0229, 0.0, 0.0863, 0.0941, 0.0857, 0.0712, 0.0929, 0.0628, 0.0628, 0.1008, 0.0422, 0.0199, -0.006, 0.038, 0.0815, 0.1581, 0.0984, 0.1811, 0.2167, 0.2239, 0.207, 0.1835, 0.1382, 0.1889, 0.1273, 0.1285, 0.1285, 0.1213, 0.0917, 0.172, 0.1756, 0.2975, 0.3102, 0.3724, 0.3935, 0.5178, 0.5709, 0.5709, 0.5021, 0.5027, 0.5232, 0.5383, 0.4955, 0.5432, 0.5118, 0.5794, 0.6192, 0.6144, 0.5981, 0.6632, 0.65, 0.6361, 0.6029, 0.5769, 0.5033, 0.4912, 0.5244, 0.4134, 0.4985, 0.4997, 0.5528, 0.5311, 0.5063, 0.5124, 0.5335, 0.5389, 0.6276, 0.6113, 0.7073, 0.6053, 0.6457, 0.6222, 0.7073, 0.7266, 0.7737, 0.7689, 0.7906, 0.8479, 0.8479, 0.9095, 0.8527, 0.7604, 0.7773, 0.7918, 0.9994, 1.1418, 1.1527, 1.2523, 1.3374, 1.4056, 1.4834, 1.4804, 1.5081, 1.6536, 1.589, 1.7158, 1.5444, 1.4508, 1.6681, 1.6699, 1.72, 1.8057, 1.9083, 2.1557, 2.2215, 2.3422, 2.4744, 2.3398, 2.6729, 2.8497, 2.9771, 2.5806, 2.5142, 2.6071, 2.3802, 2.0972, 2.2601, 2.5987, 2.6717, 2.5896, 2.5395, 2.4225, 2.4635, 2.7091, 2.5269, 2.7526, 2.4128, 2.3247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1932642791475331548", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-11T03:35:22+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "85% up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "85% probability of a big move up on COIN Bollinger band squeeze.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow 85% up", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$COIN daily Bollinger band is squeezing super hard, implying volatility will come very soon.\nIs it going to be a big move up or a big move down? https://t.co/X2H8G3memd", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.016993816379812676, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016993816379812676, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014133478198934624, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015817298804762014, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028603381808780526, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0011765175750506618, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03841546954438624, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03841546954438624, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04238984825888392, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03841546954438624, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003974378714497684, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.1779560282931607, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1779560282931607, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1844745651701255, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19325014701625343, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006518536876964798, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01529411872309272, "ret_p1m": 0.5516196059497349, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5516196059497349, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5078684017484929, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5145482505703911, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04375120420124201, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03707135537934381, "ret_p3m": 0.20552106684430838, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20552106684430838, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12339351290844358, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1605796351026021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0821275539358648, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044941431741706284, "ret_p6m": 0.09322640737194066, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09322640737194066, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.051373151458127486, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03398825966608898, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14459955883006814, "bench_c_p6m": 0.059238147705851674, "ret_p1y": -0.24593105033404017, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.24593105033404017, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.518300374943879, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2729211378914598, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27236932460983887, "bench_c_p1y": 0.026990087557419606, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1779560282931607, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1844745651701255, "alpha_c_stated": 0.19325014701625343, "price_path": [-0.2695, -0.2462, -0.2774, -0.2431, -0.2405, -0.2426, -0.19, -0.1853, -0.2263, -0.2477, -0.3062, -0.3129, -0.3038, -0.2702, -0.3188, -0.3595, -0.3726, -0.3958, -0.2936, -0.3234, -0.2999, -0.2956, -0.2996, -0.313, -0.3018, -0.3018, -0.3019, -0.2421, -0.2229, -0.1867, -0.1637, -0.1811, -0.1777, -0.1906, -0.197, -0.1825, -0.2046, -0.2146, -0.2159, -0.1762, -0.2049, -0.1734, 0.0248, 0.0508, -0.0249, 0.0629, 0.0531, 0.0427, 0.0331, 0.0848, 0.0498, 0.0498, 0.0627, 0.0144, -0.0073, -0.0162, -0.0158, 0.0328, 0.0212, -0.0258, 0.0024, 0.0237, 0.017, 0.0, -0.0384, -0.0318, 0.0434, 0.0126, 0.178, 0.178, 0.2302, 0.227, 0.3755, 0.4176, 0.4962, 0.4099, 0.3982, 0.3377, 0.414, 0.4193, 0.4193, 0.4245, 0.4154, 0.4913, 0.5516, 0.544, 0.5718, 0.5479, 0.5885, 0.6385, 0.6746, 0.65, 0.6134, 0.5869, 0.5825, 0.5624, 0.5138, 0.4817, 0.5058, 0.5069, 0.2553, 0.2692, 0.1887, 0.211, 0.2398, 0.2388, 0.275, 0.287, 0.3045, 0.296, 0.2668, 0.2794, 0.205, 0.2143, 0.1979, 0.2759, 0.2207, 0.2306, 0.2325, 0.2305, 0.2149, 0.2149, 0.2109, 0.206, 0.2239, 0.193, 0.2055, 0.2717, 0.2579, 0.2923, 0.2887, 0.3045, 0.3081, 0.2788, 0.3688, 0.3661, 0.3242, 0.2768, 0.2836, 0.2234, 0.247, 0.3323, 0.3463, 0.3809, 0.4842, 0.516, 0.5401, 0.499, 0.5449, 0.5438, 0.4242, 0.4241, 0.3625, 0.3416, 0.3174, 0.3404, 0.3714, 0.3508, 0.2778, 0.2875, 0.414, 0.4418, 0.417, 0.3907, 0.3105, 0.3714, 0.3181, 0.2259, 0.2737, 0.1777, 0.2332, 0.2683, 0.2127, 0.2127, 0.1295, 0.1329, 0.0529, 0.0443, 0.0264, -0.0499, -0.041, 0.0211, 0.0137, 0.057, 0.057, 0.0883, 0.0365, 0.0502, 0.1047, 0.0932]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1924239879296487916", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T23:05:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going to new all time highs and fast. Don't fade it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC: weekly close + equity decoupling signals fast move to new all-time highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin has entered absolute beast mode. Huge weekly close. Decoupling from equities fully. Don’t fade it. We are going to new all time highs and fast.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924650771733479487", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T02:17:56+00:00", "symbol": "LLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Lilly can't pass a basic value screen. Sorry.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on Lilly; fails basic value screen, implying overvalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["LLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JSMinPA1 @Melt_Dem Lilly can’t pass a basic value screen. Sorry.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @Melt_Dem Novo Nordisk. Probably should long Eli Lilly too.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JSMinPA1", "ret_m1d": 0.010843211999367108, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010843211999367108, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0074697161115493405, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0074697161115493405, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003373495887817768, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003373495887817768, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02953104494586989, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02953104494586989, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012680165198736493, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012680165198736493, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016850879747133396, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016850879747133396, "ret_p1w": -0.02916965391625026, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02916965391625026, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02630229203221235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02630229203221235, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002867361884037911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002867361884037911, "ret_p1m": 0.05089623247383113, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05089623247383113, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04315398998490472, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04315398998490472, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00774224248892641, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00774224248892641, "ret_p3m": -0.059222543559262264, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.059222543559262264, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14776477844782676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14776477844782676, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "ret_p6m": 0.3654642488246358, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3654642488246358, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20614823547764827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20614823547764827, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15931601334698753, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15931601334698753, "ret_p1y": 0.31212385443281243, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.31212385443281243, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.06397244937328894, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.06397244937328894, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05089623247383113, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04315398998490472, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04315398998490472, "price_path": [0.1664, 0.1672, 0.1775, 0.2047, 0.2224, 0.2092, 0.2299, 0.242, 0.2171, 0.242, 0.2194, 0.1617, 0.1085, 0.1009, 0.0979, 0.0709, 0.0868, 0.1018, 0.0988, 0.1182, 0.1256, 0.1189, 0.1554, 0.1387, 0.1045, 0.0977, 0.0988, 0.1034, 0.0757, 0.0931, 0.0542, -0.0138, -0.0331, -0.0298, 0.0069, -0.0369, -0.0216, 0.0078, 0.0115, -0.0182, 0.1221, 0.1221, 0.0928, 0.1055, 0.108, 0.1485, 0.1817, 0.172, 0.1826, 0.2009, 0.0609, 0.1003, 0.0974, 0.0355, 0.0376, 0.0039, -0.0187, 0.0094, -0.0033, -0.0441, -0.0204, 0.0139, 0.0108, 0.0, -0.0295, -0.0426, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0292, -0.037, -0.0327, -0.0125, 0.0001, 0.005, 0.0252, 0.025, 0.0306, 0.0357, 0.0806, 0.0825, 0.087, 0.0969, 0.0811, 0.0592, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.021, 0.0316, 0.0416, 0.0606, 0.0644, 0.0381, 0.0435, 0.0387, 0.0432, 0.0451, 0.0451, 0.0346, 0.041, 0.0534, 0.0584, 0.0616, 0.0701, 0.0331, 0.0573, 0.0194, 0.0331, 0.0203, 0.0394, 0.0695, 0.0782, 0.0879, 0.0818, 0.0213, 0.0175, -0.0093, 0.0205, 0.0294, 0.0254, -0.0009, -0.1421, -0.1625, -0.1496, -0.144, -0.1158, -0.0838, -0.0592, -0.0635, -0.0566, -0.0536, -0.0477, -0.0452, -0.0671, -0.0125, -0.015, -0.018, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0137, -0.0101, -0.0033, -0.0244, -0.009, 0.007, 0.0124, 0.0146, 0.0134, 0.0038, 0.0259, 0.0198, 0.0236, 0.0089, 0.0128, 0.0022, -0.0047, -0.0413, -0.0279, -0.0253, 0.0236, 0.1074, 0.0999, 0.1268, 0.1337, 0.1318, 0.1346, 0.1475, 0.1182, 0.0993, 0.0899, 0.1089, 0.0993, 0.0771, 0.0853, 0.0727, 0.09, 0.1015, 0.1074, 0.1087, 0.1003, 0.0914, 0.133, 0.1576, 0.2028, 0.2167, 0.2421, 0.2577, 0.2401, 0.2969, 0.3263, 0.3655]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914143903227543604", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-21T02:27:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm waiting for $150,000 to buy more. Want to make sure the breakout is confirmed with volume.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Planning to buy more BTC at $150K once breakout is confirmed with volume.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JamesWMarshall5 I’m waiting for $150,000 to buy more. Want to make sure the breakout is confirmed with volume.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Waiting until we drop to the 176 SMA to buy back in", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JamesWMarshall5", "ret_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "price_path": [0.1844, 0.1879, 0.1977, 0.1665, 0.1578, 0.1849, 0.1967, 0.1701, 0.1587, 0.1183, 0.1039, 0.1037, 0.103, 0.1133, 0.094, 0.1185, 0.104, 0.1141, 0.0943, 0.0916, 0.1042, 0.1236, 0.0983, 0.0446, 0.0139, -0.0362, -0.0322, -0.0359, -0.0166, -0.0034, 0.0355, 0.0279, -0.0089, -0.1027, -0.0532, -0.0434, -0.0737, -0.0406, -0.0393, -0.0548, -0.0076, -0.0383, -0.0397, -0.0002, -0.0005, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0362, -0.0568, -0.0268, -0.0575, -0.0505, -0.042, -0.0946, -0.1285, -0.0565, -0.0902, -0.047, -0.034, -0.044, -0.0398, -0.03, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0677, 0.0706, 0.0734, 0.0823, 0.0852, 0.0773, 0.0764, 0.1025, 0.1073, 0.0826, 0.1061, 0.1087, 0.1796, 0.1766, 0.1748, 0.1903, 0.1831, 0.1854, 0.1825, 0.2067, 0.2202, 0.2532, 0.276, 0.2259, 0.2505, 0.2454, 0.2318, 0.2071, 0.1883, 0.2098, 0.2047, 0.1967, 0.1606, 0.1928, 0.2602, 0.2598, 0.2419, 0.2104, 0.2122, 0.2203, 0.1952, 0.1984, 0.1961, 0.1804, 0.2063, 0.2117, 0.2267, 0.2221, 0.2236, 0.2241, 0.2077, 0.2438, 0.2528, 0.2344, 0.2374, 0.2449, 0.272, 0.3253, 0.3428, 0.3694, 0.3457, 0.3567, 0.363, 0.3483, 0.3419, 0.3711, 0.3569, 0.3525, 0.3441, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.3464, 0.3227, 0.2948, 0.3148, 0.3042, 0.3143, 0.3425, 0.3333, 0.3566, 0.3731, 0.4093, 0.3524, 0.3414, 0.3283, 0.2892, 0.3057, 0.2845, 0.3354, 0.2583, 0.2775, 0.2708, 0.2859, 0.2387, 0.2483, 0.2706, 0.2766, 0.2651, 0.2643, 0.2805, 0.2744, 0.3021, 0.3198, 0.3266, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3308, 0.3384, 0.3219, 0.2883, 0.2799, 0.2949, 0.246, 0.2536, 0.3072, 0.3032, 0.3557, 0.3789, 0.397, 0.4254, 0.3877, 0.4095, 0.3906, 0.2936, 0.3171, 0.2925]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1907970451235815733", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-04T01:36:18+00:00", "symbol": "NKE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long Nike with a $56 average and willing to add if we go lower", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds Nike long at $56 avg, willing to add on further weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["NKE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ramahluwalia Yup in the meantime I’m long Nike with a $56 average and willing to add if we go lower.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "1/ Nike has 100+ factories in Vietnam employing 500,000 people far below minimum wage. \n\nThat’s a complex supply chain as large as a fielded army. \n\n(And no one wants to thread needles and get measured against a quota in the Carolinas.)\n\nThe fact is it is cheaper for $NKE to pay https://t.co/Q7fAhYgzg0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ramahluwalia", "ret_m1d": -0.029170288186114224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029170288186114224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09135356024069319, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07424939457077184, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.062183272054578964, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04507910638465762, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02864625328831205, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02864625328831205, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026865064835915664, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016829445175376212, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017811884523963872, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01181680811293584, "ret_p1w": -0.04995636258583791, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04995636258583791, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10667749487830935, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08786865004970923, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672113229247144, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03791228746387132, "ret_p1m": 0.0017468059645702194, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0017468059645702194, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.113496184900852, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08852074987964431, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524299086542222, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09026755584421453, "ret_p3m": 0.3431904821369156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3431904821369156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11162722498865829, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13700965617433414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.23156325714825732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.20618082596258147, "ret_p6m": 0.22927601863590485, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22927601863590485, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09174893215051116, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09299241937171421, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.321024950786416, "bench_c_p6m": 0.32226843800761906, "ret_p1y": -0.04222870856685412, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.04222870856685412, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3497567562215155, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2517795268779496, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30752804765466135, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20955081831109545, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0017468059645702194, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.113496184900852, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08852074987964431, "price_path": [0.2529, 0.239, 0.239, 0.2374, 0.2527, 0.2369, 0.2351, 0.2358, 0.2311, 0.2311, 0.2716, 0.2868, 0.2911, 0.2786, 0.3135, 0.2928, 0.3309, 0.3613, 0.3365, 0.3311, 0.3333, 0.296, 0.2468, 0.1936, 0.2329, 0.2398, 0.2558, 0.2723, 0.2694, 0.2694, 0.3485, 0.3344, 0.3422, 0.3295, 0.3952, 0.4202, 0.4107, 0.3907, 0.3804, 0.3696, 0.3506, 0.3591, 0.3574, 0.3728, 0.3345, 0.2955, 0.2852, 0.2688, 0.2517, 0.2873, 0.2805, 0.2749, 0.2552, 0.1867, 0.1771, 0.1623, 0.1483, 0.1493, 0.1055, 0.1088, 0.1312, 0.1347, -0.0292, 0.0, -0.0286, -0.0695, 0.0362, -0.0498, -0.05, -0.0321, -0.0423, -0.0646, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0197, -0.0033, 0.0024, 0.0215, 0.0065, 0.001, 0.0051, -0.0148, -0.0086, 0.0234, 0.0017, -0.0037, 0.0239, 0.029, 0.0183, 0.0931, 0.0898, 0.0783, 0.09, 0.1024, 0.0844, 0.0928, 0.0477, 0.0711, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.0975, 0.0791, 0.0732, 0.0583, 0.0826, 0.0967, 0.1037, 0.1019, 0.1042, 0.0886, 0.123, 0.1097, 0.1042, 0.0643, 0.0884, 0.055, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0513, 0.0687, 0.08, 0.0696, 0.0997, 0.2667, 0.2491, 0.2908, 0.3432, 0.3432, 0.3432, 0.3457, 0.2998, 0.2934, 0.3121, 0.2771, 0.2704, 0.2658, 0.2678, 0.2832, 0.2743, 0.3015, 0.3256, 0.3495, 0.3261, 0.3411, 0.3933, 0.3773, 0.3483, 0.3133, 0.3121, 0.3156, 0.3078, 0.3272, 0.3073, 0.3045, 0.3015, 0.317, 0.3574, 0.3432, 0.3534, 0.3615, 0.3518, 0.3409, 0.3395, 0.3782, 0.3921, 0.3829, 0.3726, 0.3701, 0.3604, 0.3604, 0.3131, 0.321, 0.3318, 0.3063, 0.3106, 0.3009, 0.3123, 0.3138, 0.2903, 0.2908, 0.2858, 0.2781, 0.2743, 0.253, 0.2599, 0.2537, 0.2588, 0.2238, 0.225, 0.2293]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1919162719820824884", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-04T22:50:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$104.5k, $109k, $121k coming in quick succession. Stay vigilant.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC: Sunday dumps weakening, bears cornered; targets $104.5k, $109k, $121k in quick succession.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These fake little Sunday afternoon dumps are getting weaker and weaker. Bears and manipulators running out of ammunition. They are cornered in a bunker and will be hunted down and massacred over the coming weeks. $104.5k, $109k, $121k coming in quick succession. Stay vigilant.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925404664088207598", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-22T04:13:38+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If it stays under $4, I probably will too.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Likely to buy more CIFR if it stays under $4.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KellyOB18 If it stays under $4, I probably will too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred I'm buying more CIFR tomorrow !!!!!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KellyOB18", "ret_m1d": -0.018207232497855386, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018207232497855386, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017812573995814707, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017945622893346114, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00026160960450927195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028011178292021377, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028011178292021377, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021185327034968227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016979493181821792, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011031685110199585, "ret_p1w": -0.08963583731838531, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08963583731838531, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10157218711786642, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09962101701705117, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009985179698665858, "ret_p1m": 0.06162465902636405, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06162465902636405, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.039420819289984976, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012788945704399035, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04883571332196501, "ret_p3m": 0.6134454724344374, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6134454724344374, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5129268648380361, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4708030533046319, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14264241912980546, "ret_p6m": 3.022408942633617, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.022408942633617, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.8634374621770147, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.7622777506089515, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2601311920246654, "ret_p1y": 4.680672567470957, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.680672567470957, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.3982377261946874, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.120573572520793, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5600989949501642, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08963583731838531, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10157218711786642, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09962101701705117, "price_path": [0.3908, 0.1485, 0.1695, 0.112, 0.1429, 0.0784, 0.0504, 0.1653, 0.0616, 0.0896, -0.1373, -0.1092, -0.1036, -0.1513, -0.1485, -0.1261, -0.1961, -0.1429, -0.1597, -0.1821, -0.1036, -0.1485, -0.2493, -0.2885, -0.3501, -0.3557, -0.3109, -0.2577, -0.3529, -0.4118, -0.3754, -0.409, -0.3109, -0.3782, -0.3221, -0.3165, -0.3501, -0.3487, -0.3361, -0.3361, -0.3445, -0.2325, -0.1989, -0.1597, -0.1373, -0.1429, -0.1373, -0.2017, -0.1275, -0.1148, -0.1653, -0.1485, -0.1541, -0.1261, -0.1653, -0.1176, -0.0392, -0.0728, -0.112, 0.0812, 0.0672, 0.0588, -0.0182, 0.0, -0.028, -0.028, 0.0, -0.0616, -0.0896, -0.1261, -0.0896, -0.0378, 0.0476, -0.0112, 0.0924, 0.1597, 0.1373, 0.1429, 0.0756, 0.042, 0.1008, 0.0308, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0616, -0.0112, 0.0784, 0.0784, 0.1737, 0.1933, 0.3389, 0.3725, 0.591, 0.6947, 0.6947, 0.6218, 0.6891, 0.7535, 0.7479, 0.6443, 0.6891, 0.6723, 0.7563, 0.7983, 0.7815, 0.7507, 0.944, 0.8711, 0.8627, 0.8123, 0.7255, 0.591, 0.5266, 0.5294, 0.381, 0.4538, 0.4034, 0.4594, 0.3641, 0.3305, 0.3333, 0.3221, 0.3725, 0.4902, 0.4594, 0.6947, 0.6134, 0.6667, 0.6527, 0.7871, 0.8599, 0.9944, 0.958, 0.9664, 1.1401, 1.1401, 1.3305, 1.2717, 1.0728, 1.1064, 1.1625, 1.5826, 1.8711, 1.7927, 2.0392, 2.0392, 2.2241, 2.4678, 2.3193, 2.4398, 2.9104, 2.9636, 2.9608, 2.2661, 2.2129, 2.5434, 2.5266, 2.5294, 2.8683, 3.1176, 3.2969, 3.4118, 3.93, 4.0392, 3.7535, 4.6975, 4.8515, 4.8908, 4.2437, 4.2549, 4.577, 4.063, 3.5126, 3.8333, 4.7871, 4.7535, 4.591, 4.4874, 4.3417, 4.2241, 5.3754, 5.3053, 5.9216, 5.0812, 4.7955, 4.5042, 4.2297, 3.8683, 3.1821, 3.0224]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914147161044123791", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-21T02:40:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$1M per coin is inevitable. All this short term chart voodoo is noise.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "BTC will reach $1M per coin; dismisses short-term bearish chart analysis as noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Incorrect. $1M per coin is inevitable. All this short term chart voodoo is noise.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Only goal for #BTC Bulls now is to break $89k, create & confirm a higher-high, and confirm an end to the downtrend: https://t.co/cnObvjPm0z", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1873372003549233, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.517919346484493, "alpha_c_stated": -0.517919346484493, "price_path": [0.1844, 0.1879, 0.1977, 0.1665, 0.1578, 0.1849, 0.1967, 0.1701, 0.1587, 0.1183, 0.1039, 0.1037, 0.103, 0.1133, 0.094, 0.1185, 0.104, 0.1141, 0.0943, 0.0916, 0.1042, 0.1236, 0.0983, 0.0446, 0.0139, -0.0362, -0.0322, -0.0359, -0.0166, -0.0034, 0.0355, 0.0279, -0.0089, -0.1027, -0.0532, -0.0434, -0.0737, -0.0406, -0.0393, -0.0548, -0.0076, -0.0383, -0.0397, -0.0002, -0.0005, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0362, -0.0568, -0.0268, -0.0575, -0.0505, -0.042, -0.0946, -0.1285, -0.0565, -0.0902, -0.047, -0.034, -0.044, -0.0398, -0.03, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0677, 0.0706, 0.0734, 0.0823, 0.0852, 0.0773, 0.0764, 0.1025, 0.1073, 0.0826, 0.1061, 0.1087, 0.1796, 0.1766, 0.1748, 0.1903, 0.1831, 0.1854, 0.1825, 0.2067, 0.2202, 0.2532, 0.276, 0.2259, 0.2505, 0.2454, 0.2318, 0.2071, 0.1883, 0.2098, 0.2047, 0.1967, 0.1606, 0.1928, 0.2602, 0.2598, 0.2419, 0.2104, 0.2122, 0.2203, 0.1952, 0.1984, 0.1961, 0.1804, 0.2063, 0.2117, 0.2267, 0.2221, 0.2236, 0.2241, 0.2077, 0.2438, 0.2528, 0.2344, 0.2374, 0.2449, 0.272, 0.3253, 0.3428, 0.3694, 0.3457, 0.3567, 0.363, 0.3483, 0.3419, 0.3711, 0.3569, 0.3525, 0.3441, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.3464, 0.3227, 0.2948, 0.3148, 0.3042, 0.3143, 0.3425, 0.3333, 0.3566, 0.3731, 0.4093, 0.3524, 0.3414, 0.3283, 0.2892, 0.3057, 0.2845, 0.3354, 0.2583, 0.2775, 0.2708, 0.2859, 0.2387, 0.2483, 0.2706, 0.2766, 0.2651, 0.2643, 0.2805, 0.2744, 0.3021, 0.3198, 0.3266, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3308, 0.3384, 0.3219, 0.2883, 0.2799, 0.2949, 0.246, 0.2536, 0.3072, 0.3032, 0.3557, 0.3789, 0.397, 0.4254, 0.3877, 0.4095, 0.3906, 0.2936, 0.3171, 0.2925]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1921546899330314685", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-11T12:44:16+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My confidence about seeing those prices in 2025 has never wavered since December 2022", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Confident BTC reaches $150k–$200k+ in 2025; conviction unchanged since Dec 2022.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant My confidence about seeing those prices in 2025 has never wavered since December 2022.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m more confident than I’ve ever been that $150k is minimum that Bitcoin $BTC goes to for this cycle\n\n$200k+ is becoming very realistic but let’s see new ATH first", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "ret_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "ret_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "ret_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "ret_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "ret_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "price_path": [-0.0479, -0.0602, -0.0516, -0.0685, -0.0707, -0.0601, -0.0436, -0.065, -0.1108, -0.1369, -0.1796, -0.1761, -0.1794, -0.1629, -0.1516, -0.1186, -0.125, -0.1563, -0.2362, -0.194, -0.1857, -0.2115, -0.1833, -0.1822, -0.1954, -0.1552, -0.1814, -0.1826, -0.149, -0.1492, -0.1548, -0.1521, -0.1795, -0.1971, -0.1716, -0.1977, -0.1917, -0.1845, -0.2293, -0.2581, -0.1969, -0.2255, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1862, -0.1827, -0.1743, -0.1786, -0.1488, -0.0911, -0.0886, -0.0863, -0.0787, -0.0762, -0.0829, -0.0837, -0.0615, -0.0574, -0.0784, -0.0585, -0.0562, 0.0042, 0.0015, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0071, 0.0091, 0.0066, 0.0272, 0.0387, 0.0668, 0.0862, 0.0435, 0.0645, 0.0601, 0.0485, 0.0275, 0.0115, 0.0298, 0.0255, 0.0187, -0.012, 0.0153, 0.0728, 0.0724, 0.0571, 0.0303, 0.0319, 0.0387, 0.0174, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.0048, 0.0269, 0.0314, 0.0442, 0.0403, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.0281, 0.0588, 0.0665, 0.0508, 0.0534, 0.0597, 0.0828, 0.1281, 0.143, 0.1657, 0.1455, 0.1549, 0.1603, 0.1477, 0.1423, 0.1671, 0.1551, 0.1513, 0.1442, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1461, 0.1259, 0.1022, 0.1192, 0.1102, 0.1188, 0.1428, 0.135, 0.1548, 0.1688, 0.1997, 0.1512, 0.1419, 0.1307, 0.0974, 0.1115, 0.0934, 0.1368, 0.0711, 0.0874, 0.0818, 0.0947, 0.0544, 0.0626, 0.0816, 0.0867, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0901, 0.0848, 0.1084, 0.1235, 0.1293, 0.1229, 0.1365, 0.1328, 0.1393, 0.1252, 0.0966, 0.0895, 0.1023, 0.0607, 0.0671, 0.1127, 0.1094, 0.154, 0.1738, 0.1892, 0.2134, 0.1813, 0.1998, 0.1838, 0.1012, 0.1212, 0.1002, 0.0775, 0.0523, 0.0355, 0.0756, 0.0551, 0.0474, 0.0706, 0.08, 0.11, 0.0987, 0.0704, 0.0534, 0.0656, 0.0363, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919160380510896239", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-04T22:41:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC is going A LOT higher than $150,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author implies BTC will exceed $150K if SPX hits 7,000; bullish on BTC beyond the parent's target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CyclesWithBach Bro if SPX goes to 7,000, BTC is going A LOT higher than $150,000 😂🤣", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Credit markets are doing very well ✅\n\nAny comparison to 2008 is ridiculous at this point in time - It’s a made up narrative which has no valid place in the current environment \n\nIgnore the noise - We’re in major wave 5, not an ABC correction \n\nSPX to 7,000 and BTC at 150,000 https://t.co/VaQ7RYeyng", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CyclesWithBach", "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924150004257870318", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T17:08:04+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "HIGHER STEVE. MUCH HIGHER.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC, expects price to go significantly above $109K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@grassosteve HIGHER STEVE. MUCH HIGHER.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Coming for $109,144.88…. $BTC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "grassosteve", "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1924259821773308382", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-19T00:24:27+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The period just ahead of us will be known as the Great Summer of Bitcoin in the history books a century from now. By the end of the year, you will barely remember what Bitcoin felt like before this summer.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC into year-end; predicts a historically significant summer rally for Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m calling it right now. The period just ahead of us will be known as the Great Summer of Bitcoin in the history books a century from now. Strap in. By the end of the year, you will barely remember what Bitcoin felt like before this summer.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1917057445467504875", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-29T03:24:46+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will. Not sure about the rest of it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin making the world better; skeptical of the rest of crypto.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MikeIppolito_ Bitcoin will. Not sure about the rest of it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Know it's not cool to say this anymore, but I truly believe crypto will make the world a better place.\n\nKeep the faith y'all, I believe.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MikeIppolito_", "ret_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "ret_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "ret_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "ret_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "ret_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "ret_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1433692454202704, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08309718567556823, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08309718567556823, "price_path": [0.1108, 0.0861, 0.0755, 0.038, 0.0247, 0.0245, 0.0238, 0.0334, 0.0155, 0.0382, 0.0248, 0.0342, 0.0158, 0.0133, 0.0249, 0.0429, 0.0195, -0.0304, -0.0588, -0.1054, -0.1016, -0.1051, -0.0872, -0.0749, -0.0388, -0.0459, -0.08, -0.1671, -0.1211, -0.112, -0.1402, -0.1094, -0.1083, -0.1227, -0.0788, -0.1073, -0.1086, -0.072, -0.0723, -0.0783, -0.0754, -0.1053, -0.1245, -0.0967, -0.1251, -0.1186, -0.1107, -0.1596, -0.191, -0.1242, -0.1555, -0.1154, -0.1033, -0.1126, -0.1087, -0.0996, -0.1043, -0.0718, -0.0089, -0.0062, -0.0036, 0.0046, 0.0074, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0234, 0.0278, 0.0049, 0.0267, 0.0291, 0.095, 0.0921, 0.0905, 0.1048, 0.0982, 0.1003, 0.0976, 0.1201, 0.1326, 0.1633, 0.1844, 0.1379, 0.1607, 0.156, 0.1434, 0.1205, 0.103, 0.123, 0.1182, 0.1108, 0.0773, 0.1072, 0.1698, 0.1694, 0.1527, 0.1235, 0.1252, 0.1327, 0.1094, 0.1124, 0.1103, 0.0957, 0.1198, 0.1247, 0.1387, 0.1344, 0.1358, 0.1363, 0.1211, 0.1546, 0.1629, 0.1458, 0.1486, 0.1555, 0.1807, 0.2302, 0.2464, 0.2711, 0.2492, 0.2594, 0.2652, 0.2516, 0.2456, 0.2727, 0.2595, 0.2554, 0.2477, 0.2507, 0.2507, 0.2497, 0.2278, 0.2019, 0.2205, 0.2106, 0.22, 0.2462, 0.2376, 0.2593, 0.2746, 0.3082, 0.2553, 0.2451, 0.233, 0.1967, 0.212, 0.1923, 0.2396, 0.168, 0.1858, 0.1796, 0.1937, 0.1498, 0.1587, 0.1794, 0.185, 0.1744, 0.1736, 0.1886, 0.1829, 0.2086, 0.2251, 0.2314, 0.2244, 0.2393, 0.2353, 0.2424, 0.227, 0.1958, 0.188, 0.202, 0.1566, 0.1636, 0.2133, 0.2097, 0.2584, 0.28, 0.2968, 0.3231, 0.2881, 0.3083, 0.2908, 0.2008, 0.2226, 0.1998, 0.175, 0.1474, 0.1292, 0.1729, 0.1505, 0.1422]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1919033655671845213", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-04T14:17:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$88,000 to $92,000 is the bottom for Bitcoin. $315,000 is the top. That's $7,000 of max downside and $220,000 of potential upside.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC with downside floor $88-92K and upside target $315K; highly asymmetric risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In the short term, $88,000 to $92,000 is the bottom for Bitcoin. $315,000 is the top. That’s $7,000 of max downside and $220,000 of potential upside. This is the kind of asymmetry that has made many billionaires.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1930020294212890740", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-03T21:54:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is EXACTLY the right view. We may only be in the 3rd to 4th inning.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses longer bitcoin cycle thesis; only in the 3rd–4th inning, implying significant upside remaining.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@intangiblecoins This is EXACTLY the right view. We may only be in the 3rd to 4th inning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "this is looking like a longer and more measured bitcoin cycle than priors https://t.co/Je63fPk4Xe", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "intangiblecoins", "ret_m1d": 0.004259242957355136, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004259242957355136, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003990658407281522, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003990658407281522, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0066439151364365845, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0066439151364365845, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018111588721381189, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018111588721381189, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "ret_p1w": 0.04576166793969727, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04576166793969727, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03664983841049807, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03664983841049807, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "ret_p1m": 0.03250281059647486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03250281059647486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019950941917091125, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019950941917091125, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "ret_p3m": 0.0282490510068798, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0282490510068798, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05737676293880689, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05737676293880689, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "ret_p6m": -0.14145643879272252, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14145643879272252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28853639192648417, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28853639192648417, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "ret_p1y": -0.26456078668839855, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26456078668839855, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5301251626972134, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5301251626972134, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03250281059647486, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019950941917091125, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019950941917091125, "price_path": [-0.1467, -0.1773, -0.2551, -0.2141, -0.2059, -0.2311, -0.2036, -0.2026, -0.2154, -0.1762, -0.2017, -0.2029, -0.1701, -0.1704, -0.1758, -0.1731, -0.1999, -0.217, -0.1922, -0.2176, -0.2118, -0.2048, -0.2485, -0.2766, -0.2168, -0.2448, -0.2089, -0.1981, -0.2064, -0.203, -0.1948, -0.199, -0.1699, -0.1137, -0.1113, -0.109, -0.1016, -0.0992, -0.1057, -0.1065, -0.0848, -0.0808, -0.1013, -0.0819, -0.0797, -0.0208, -0.0233, -0.0248, -0.012, -0.018, -0.016, -0.0184, 0.0016, 0.0129, 0.0403, 0.0592, 0.0176, 0.038, 0.0338, 0.0225, 0.002, -0.0136, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0066, -0.0366, -0.0099, 0.0461, 0.0458, 0.0309, 0.0047, 0.0062, 0.0129, -0.0079, -0.0052, -0.0071, -0.0201, 0.0014, 0.0058, 0.0183, 0.0145, 0.0157, 0.0162, 0.0025, 0.0325, 0.04, 0.0247, 0.0272, 0.0334, 0.0559, 0.1001, 0.1146, 0.1367, 0.1171, 0.1262, 0.1314, 0.1192, 0.1139, 0.1381, 0.1264, 0.1227, 0.1157, 0.1185, 0.1185, 0.1176, 0.0979, 0.0748, 0.0914, 0.0826, 0.091, 0.1144, 0.1068, 0.1261, 0.1398, 0.1699, 0.1226, 0.1135, 0.1026, 0.0702, 0.0839, 0.0663, 0.1085, 0.0445, 0.0604, 0.0549, 0.0675, 0.0282, 0.0362, 0.0547, 0.0597, 0.0502, 0.0495, 0.063, 0.0578, 0.0808, 0.0956, 0.1012, 0.095, 0.1082, 0.1047, 0.111, 0.0973, 0.0694, 0.0624, 0.0749, 0.0343, 0.0406, 0.0851, 0.0818, 0.1254, 0.1446, 0.1597, 0.1832, 0.1519, 0.17, 0.1543, 0.0738, 0.0933, 0.0729, 0.0507, 0.0261, 0.0098, 0.0489, 0.0289, 0.0214, 0.044, 0.0531, 0.0824, 0.0714, 0.0438, 0.0273, 0.0391, 0.0106, -0.0364, -0.0146, -0.0392, -0.0195, 0.0054, -0.0231, -0.0358, -0.0544, -0.1047, -0.1265, -0.1184, -0.1325, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.1628, -0.1716, -0.1415]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931374710685868432", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-07T15:36:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "between 30-40% of all corn is grown by publicly traded US firms. Insane. Can you say supply squeeze?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: corporate treasury accumulation by public firms creating a supply squeeze.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@smatthewschultz Yup between 30-40% of all corn is grown by publicly traded US firms. Insane. Can you say supply squeeze?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Something to think about over the weekend, extracted from a chat I had with Grok. \n\n“Recent posts on X from early June 2025 suggest significant bitcoin treasury activity. For instance, one post claimed that from June 2 to June 6, 2025, 16 companies added 4,456 Bitcoin to their", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "smatthewschultz", "ret_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "price_path": [-0.2409, -0.265, -0.2387, -0.2377, -0.25, -0.2125, -0.2369, -0.238, -0.2067, -0.2069, -0.2121, -0.2096, -0.2352, -0.2516, -0.2278, -0.2521, -0.2465, -0.2398, -0.2816, -0.3085, -0.2513, -0.2781, -0.2438, -0.2335, -0.2414, -0.2381, -0.2303, -0.2343, -0.2065, -0.1528, -0.1505, -0.1482, -0.1412, -0.1389, -0.1452, -0.1459, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.141, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0678, -0.0555, -0.0612, -0.0594, -0.0617, -0.0425, -0.0318, -0.0056, 0.0125, -0.0273, -0.0077, -0.0118, -0.0226, -0.0422, -0.0571, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.079, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0381, -0.0317, -0.0516, -0.0491, -0.0509, -0.0633, -0.0428, -0.0385, -0.0266, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0286, -0.0417, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0205, -0.0181, -0.0122, 0.0094, 0.0516, 0.0655, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0766, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0648, 0.088, 0.0767, 0.0732, 0.0666, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0683, 0.0495, 0.0274, 0.0433, 0.0349, 0.0429, 0.0653, 0.058, 0.0765, 0.0896, 0.1183, 0.0731, 0.0644, 0.054, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0193, 0.0597, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0084, 0.0204, -0.0171, -0.0095, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0161, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0594, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0156, 0.0275, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0372, 0.0341, 0.0758, 0.0942, 0.1086, 0.1311, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1035, 0.0265, 0.0451, 0.0256, 0.0044, -0.0191, -0.0347, 0.0027, -0.0165, -0.0236, -0.002, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0241, -0.0022, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.034, -0.0789, -0.058, -0.0815, -0.0628, -0.039, -0.0662, -0.0783, -0.0961, -0.1441, -0.165, -0.1573, -0.1707, -0.2145, -0.2285, -0.1997, -0.2081, -0.1793, -0.1723, -0.1757, -0.2174, -0.1718]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1934612883796898124", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-16T14:03:49+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "quietly Bitcoin is just chilling at $107,000. You know what to do.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC amid geopolitical turmoil and weakness in dollar, bonds, real estate; implied buy signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Middle East is burning. The dollar is crashing. Bonds are a melting ice cube. Real estate is a death trap. And quietly Bitcoin is just chilling at $107,000. You know what to do.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006608712445551279, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006608712445551279, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028159624544621398, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028159624544621398, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020559056941174436, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020559056941174436, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012013885542743297, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012013885542743297, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": -0.011414057879361228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011414057879361228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010159912998309872, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010159912998309872, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "ret_p1m": 0.10281613330226769, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10281613330226769, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06747527126559882, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06747527126559882, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": 0.08156409827808875, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08156409827808875, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012837724319359145, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.012837724319359145, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "ret_p6m": -0.13207373673050848, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13207373673050848, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2719133557136528, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2719133557136528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": -0.4005963430098862, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4005963430098862, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6664193956141367, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6664193956141367, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10281613330226769, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06747527126559882, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06747527126559882, "price_path": [-0.1867, -0.2119, -0.2131, -0.1807, -0.181, -0.1863, -0.1837, -0.2102, -0.227, -0.2025, -0.2276, -0.2219, -0.2149, -0.2581, -0.2858, -0.2268, -0.2544, -0.219, -0.2084, -0.2166, -0.2131, -0.2051, -0.2092, -0.1805, -0.125, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.1131, -0.1107, -0.1172, -0.1179, -0.0965, -0.0926, -0.1128, -0.0936, -0.0914, -0.0333, -0.0358, -0.0373, -0.0246, -0.0305, -0.0286, -0.031, -0.0111, -0.0001, 0.027, 0.0457, 0.0046, 0.0248, 0.0206, 0.0094, -0.0108, -0.0262, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.0193, -0.0489, -0.0225, 0.0327, 0.0324, 0.0177, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0, -0.0206, -0.0179, -0.0198, -0.0327, -0.0114, -0.007, 0.0053, 0.0015, 0.0027, 0.0032, -0.0103, 0.0193, 0.0267, 0.0116, 0.0141, 0.0202, 0.0424, 0.0861, 0.1004, 0.1222, 0.1028, 0.1118, 0.117, 0.1049, 0.0997, 0.1236, 0.112, 0.1083, 0.1015, 0.1042, 0.1042, 0.1033, 0.0839, 0.0611, 0.0775, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.1002, 0.0926, 0.1118, 0.1252, 0.1549, 0.1083, 0.0993, 0.0885, 0.0565, 0.07, 0.0526, 0.0944, 0.0312, 0.0469, 0.0414, 0.0538, 0.0151, 0.023, 0.0412, 0.0461, 0.0368, 0.0361, 0.0494, 0.0443, 0.067, 0.0816, 0.0871, 0.081, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0968, 0.0833, 0.0557, 0.0489, 0.0612, 0.0211, 0.0273, 0.0712, 0.068, 0.111, 0.13, 0.1449, 0.1681, 0.1372, 0.155, 0.1396, 0.0601, 0.0793, 0.0592, 0.0373, 0.013, -0.0031, 0.0355, 0.0157, 0.0084, 0.0306, 0.0397, 0.0686, 0.0577, 0.0305, 0.0141, 0.0258, -0.0023, -0.0487, -0.0272, -0.0515, -0.0321, -0.0075, -0.0356, -0.0481, -0.0665, -0.1161, -0.1377, -0.1297, -0.1436, -0.1888, -0.2032, -0.1735, -0.1822, -0.1524, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1917, -0.1446, -0.1242, -0.1372, -0.163, -0.1513, -0.1321]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1905317099507224976", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-27T17:52:50+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm on the bid as I type this", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively buying CIFR alongside the parent; live long position disclosure.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bitcoin_few I’m very sorry too. I’m on the bid as I type this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just want to apologize to everyone. I said I was finished buying. Just bought $CIFR at 2.55 🤦‍♂️🙏4😳", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "IREN_few", "ret_m1d": 0.05511815236486828, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05511815236486828, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052455344770043766, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045804128548222245, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026628075948245122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009314023816646033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08661418579303093, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08661418579303093, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06647575516104065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06236009585277236, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02013843063199028, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024254089940258572, "ret_p1w": -0.0905511899715512, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0905511899715512, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03697840878323855, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013580902012618301, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.05357278118831266, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0769702879589329, "ret_p1m": 0.21259841337126506, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21259841337126506, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2415889302093729, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2269712262427782, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028990516838107827, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014372812871513152, "ret_p3m": 0.5157480167140813, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5157480167140813, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.44257707204114816, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3448823878155318, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07317094467293317, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1708656288985495, "ret_p6m": 3.834645636770979, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.834645636770979, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.657549667644136, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.5137515834650093, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17709596912684322, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3208940533059699, "ret_p1y": 4.960630145945964, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.960630145945964, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.770575077989088, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.6424912189488206, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19005506795687555, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3181389269971433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21259841337126506, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2415889302093729, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2269712262427782, "price_path": [0.8346, 0.8268, 0.8268, 0.9016, 1.1929, 1.3031, 1.122, 0.9882, 0.9882, 0.9606, 0.8937, 0.9488, 1.063, 1.0472, 1.1378, 1.1378, 1.122, 1.1693, 1.1772, 1.3228, 0.7756, 0.7677, 0.7717, 0.8504, 1.2559, 1.2913, 1.2874, 1.248, 1.3189, 1.3504, 1.3465, 1.2441, 1.2756, 1.3543, 1.3858, 1.3858, 1.3228, 1.3701, 1.3937, 1.1614, 0.9547, 0.6142, 0.6437, 0.563, 0.6063, 0.5157, 0.4764, 0.6378, 0.4921, 0.5315, 0.2126, 0.252, 0.2598, 0.1929, 0.1969, 0.2283, 0.1299, 0.2047, 0.1811, 0.1496, 0.2598, 0.1969, 0.0551, 0.0, -0.0866, -0.0945, -0.0315, 0.0433, -0.0906, -0.1732, -0.122, -0.1693, -0.0315, -0.126, -0.0472, -0.0394, -0.0866, -0.0846, -0.0669, -0.0669, -0.0787, 0.0787, 0.126, 0.1811, 0.2126, 0.2047, 0.2126, 0.122, 0.2264, 0.2441, 0.1732, 0.1969, 0.189, 0.2283, 0.1732, 0.2402, 0.3504, 0.3031, 0.248, 0.5197, 0.5, 0.4882, 0.3799, 0.4055, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.4055, 0.3189, 0.2795, 0.2283, 0.2795, 0.3524, 0.4724, 0.3898, 0.5354, 0.6299, 0.5984, 0.6063, 0.5118, 0.4646, 0.5472, 0.4488, 0.5, 0.5, 0.4921, 0.3898, 0.5157, 0.5157, 0.6496, 0.6772, 0.8819, 0.9291, 1.2362, 1.3819, 1.3819, 1.2795, 1.374, 1.4646, 1.4567, 1.311, 1.374, 1.3504, 1.4685, 1.5276, 1.5039, 1.4606, 1.7323, 1.6299, 1.6181, 1.5472, 1.4252, 1.2362, 1.1457, 1.1496, 0.9409, 1.0433, 0.9724, 1.0512, 0.9173, 0.8701, 0.874, 0.8583, 0.9291, 1.0945, 1.0512, 1.3819, 1.2677, 1.3425, 1.3228, 1.5118, 1.6142, 1.8031, 1.752, 1.7638, 2.0079, 2.0079, 2.2756, 2.1929, 1.9134, 1.9606, 2.0394, 2.6299, 3.0354, 2.9252, 3.2717, 3.2717, 3.5315, 3.874, 3.6654, 3.8346]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1925395460648493067", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-22T03:37:04+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's best to just buy as much of it as you can and wait", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy and hold BTC; bullish at $110,900 on its unique role as decentralized monetary network.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin looking relaxed and comfortable at $110,900. If it was one of your buds, you'd say \"homie, you look super chill today\". But since it's just the world's first fully decentralized monetary network and native asset, it's best to just buy as much of it as you can and wait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "ret_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "ret_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "ret_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "ret_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "ret_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "price_path": [-0.1814, -0.2054, -0.2447, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2293, -0.219, -0.1885, -0.1944, -0.2232, -0.2968, -0.258, -0.2503, -0.2741, -0.2481, -0.2471, -0.2593, -0.2222, -0.2463, -0.2474, -0.2165, -0.2167, -0.2218, -0.2194, -0.2446, -0.2608, -0.2373, -0.2614, -0.2558, -0.2492, -0.2905, -0.317, -0.2606, -0.287, -0.2531, -0.2429, -0.2508, -0.2475, -0.2398, -0.2438, -0.2163, -0.1633, -0.161, -0.1588, -0.1518, -0.1495, -0.1557, -0.1564, -0.1359, -0.1322, -0.1516, -0.1332, -0.1311, -0.0755, -0.0779, -0.0793, -0.0672, -0.0728, -0.071, -0.0733, -0.0543, -0.0437, -0.0179, 0.0, -0.0393, -0.02, -0.024, -0.0347, -0.054, -0.0687, -0.0519, -0.0559, -0.0622, -0.0904, -0.0652, -0.0124, -0.0127, -0.0267, -0.0514, -0.05, -0.0437, -0.0633, -0.0608, -0.0626, -0.0749, -0.0546, -0.0504, -0.0386, -0.0422, -0.0411, -0.0406, -0.0535, -0.0252, -0.0181, -0.0326, -0.0302, -0.0244, -0.0031, 0.0386, 0.0523, 0.0732, 0.0547, 0.0633, 0.0682, 0.0567, 0.0516, 0.0745, 0.0634, 0.0599, 0.0534, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0551, 0.0366, 0.0147, 0.0304, 0.0221, 0.03, 0.0521, 0.0449, 0.0632, 0.0761, 0.1045, 0.0599, 0.0513, 0.041, 0.0104, 0.0233, 0.0067, 0.0466, -0.0139, 0.0012, -0.004, 0.0078, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0042, 0.0004, -0.0085, -0.0092, 0.0036, -0.0013, 0.0204, 0.0343, 0.0397, 0.0338, 0.0463, 0.0429, 0.0489, 0.036, 0.0096, 0.0031, 0.0148, -0.0235, -0.0176, 0.0244, 0.0213, 0.0625, 0.0807, 0.0949, 0.1171, 0.0876, 0.1046, 0.0898, 0.0138, 0.0322, 0.0129, -0.008, -0.0312, -0.0466, -0.0097, -0.0286, -0.0357, -0.0144, -0.0057, 0.0219, 0.0115, -0.0145, -0.0302, -0.019, -0.0459, -0.0903, -0.0697, -0.0929, -0.0743, -0.0508, -0.0777, -0.0896, -0.1072, -0.1547]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1915029312711057719", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-23T13:05:42+00:00", "symbol": "data centers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The data center space is going t absolutely skyrocket over the next few quarters", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on data center sector; expects it to skyrocket over the next few quarters.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQIX", "DLR", "VRT", "SMCI"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US data center sector basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "REIT - Specialty", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel EXACTLY. The data center space is going t absolutely skyrocket over the next few quarters.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "dATa sPEnDiNG gROWTH iS tAPPed oUT https://t.co/PsjWJyeovt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": -0.0475539624840125, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0475539624840125, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0322948126411054, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0322948126411054, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.046908255801493715, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.046908255801493715, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02585934285162539, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02585934285162539, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "ret_p1w": 0.04635214444231145, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04635214444231145, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010641958354920933, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010641958354920933, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "ret_p1m": 0.19399414214045624, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19399414214045624, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10496114528809447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10496114528809447, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "ret_p3m": 0.3351668296603037, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3351668296603037, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15734602089218513, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15734602089218513, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "ret_p6m": 0.524258258421637, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.524258258421637, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28330712582560025, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28330712582560025, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "ret_p1y": 0.7851123679765196, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7851123679765196, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5015424059403032, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5015424059403032, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3351668296603037, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15734602089218513, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15734602089218513, "price_path": [0.3059, 0.0956, 0.0993, 0.1087, 0.1367, 0.1403, 0.1099, 0.1291, 0.1818, 0.2034, 0.2262, 0.2889, 0.2491, 0.2122, 0.2245, 0.2657, 0.2657, 0.3335, 0.3692, 0.3564, 0.2866, 0.2242, 0.1777, 0.2461, 0.1608, 0.155, 0.0829, 0.1098, 0.1188, 0.0564, 0.0724, 0.0251, 0.0753, 0.1084, 0.0594, 0.1043, 0.1193, 0.0643, 0.1039, 0.0954, 0.1101, 0.137, 0.1119, 0.0461, 0.0024, -0.0193, -0.0203, 0.0008, 0.0158, -0.058, -0.1196, -0.0884, -0.1044, -0.001, -0.0543, -0.0458, -0.0355, -0.0282, -0.0432, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.079, -0.0476, 0.0, 0.0469, 0.0783, 0.0847, 0.0765, 0.0464, 0.0785, 0.1025, 0.096, 0.0951, 0.0981, 0.0917, 0.0862, 0.1212, 0.1757, 0.2314, 0.2164, 0.2415, 0.2341, 0.2171, 0.1912, 0.194, 0.1838, 0.1838, 0.2215, 0.222, 0.22, 0.2089, 0.2245, 0.2526, 0.2705, 0.2421, 0.2611, 0.2598, 0.2485, 0.2503, 0.2659, 0.2384, 0.2735, 0.2692, 0.2884, 0.2884, 0.2899, 0.2552, 0.2942, 0.2862, 0.2844, 0.2976, 0.3206, 0.2829, 0.3018, 0.3099, 0.3099, 0.2891, 0.2987, 0.3134, 0.2885, 0.2842, 0.2977, 0.3326, 0.3315, 0.3556, 0.3443, 0.3352, 0.327, 0.3552, 0.3628, 0.399, 0.4516, 0.451, 0.4655, 0.4517, 0.41, 0.4208, 0.4078, 0.3251, 0.3279, 0.3107, 0.3132, 0.3392, 0.314, 0.2874, 0.2912, 0.2966, 0.2591, 0.2498, 0.2406, 0.2605, 0.2556, 0.2703, 0.2836, 0.2901, 0.2486, 0.2486, 0.2191, 0.2137, 0.2226, 0.2174, 0.2017, 0.2446, 0.3047, 0.3083, 0.3088, 0.3283, 0.3137, 0.3095, 0.3363, 0.3436, 0.385, 0.3566, 0.3396, 0.3308, 0.3264, 0.3406, 0.3819, 0.4449, 0.4493, 0.4468, 0.4799, 0.4668, 0.5251, 0.5277, 0.4756, 0.5289, 0.5081, 0.5387, 0.5243]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925747805944946718", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-23T02:57:10+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why so bearish? BTC might be $120k+ in May", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC reaching $120k+ before May end, sooner than parent's June assumption.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BitMasterK Why so bearish? BTC might be $120k+ in May", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If $BTC ends June at $120k, $MSTR will show ~$20B of Earnings.\n\nAssuming 300M shares, that’s a $66 EPS for the freaking quarter LMAO.\n\nIf the avg PE Ratio is about 20, that means the other 3 quarters BTC can be flat & MSTR would still deserve a $1,320 share price. 🤣", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitMasterK", "ret_m1d": 0.04087589178580564, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04087589178580564, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.034003128065875465, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.034003128065875465, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006872763719930175, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006872763719930175, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020063514912212588, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020063514912212588, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020063514912212588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020063514912212588, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.030657974702679835, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030657974702679835, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04840938126526351, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04840938126526351, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01775140656258367, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01775140656258367, "ret_p1m": -0.015938657399147904, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015938657399147904, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05533395251918105, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05533395251918105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03939529512003315, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03939529512003315, "ret_p3m": 0.06512339255731403, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06512339255731403, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0400146623003903, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0400146623003903, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10513805485770433, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10513805485770433, "ret_p6m": -0.14161836031270447, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14161836031270447, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2976835889912123, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2976835889912123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1560652286785078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1560652286785078, "ret_p1y": -0.24989146453194888, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.24989146453194888, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5391839968447864, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5391839968447864, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28929253231283747, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28929253231283747, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015938657399147904, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05533395251918105, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05533395251918105, "price_path": [-0.1729, -0.2138, -0.2105, -0.2136, -0.1978, -0.187, -0.1553, -0.1615, -0.1915, -0.268, -0.2277, -0.2196, -0.2444, -0.2173, -0.2164, -0.229, -0.1905, -0.2155, -0.2167, -0.1844, -0.1847, -0.19, -0.1874, -0.2138, -0.2306, -0.2062, -0.2312, -0.2254, -0.2185, -0.2615, -0.2891, -0.2304, -0.2578, -0.2226, -0.212, -0.2201, -0.2167, -0.2087, -0.2129, -0.1843, -0.1291, -0.1267, -0.1244, -0.1171, -0.1147, -0.1212, -0.1219, -0.1006, -0.0967, -0.1169, -0.0977, -0.0956, -0.0377, -0.0402, -0.0417, -0.0291, -0.0349, -0.033, -0.0354, -0.0157, -0.0046, 0.0223, 0.0409, 0.0, 0.0201, 0.0159, 0.0048, -0.0153, -0.0307, -0.0131, -0.0173, -0.0238, -0.0532, -0.027, 0.028, 0.0277, 0.013, -0.0127, -0.0112, -0.0046, -0.025, -0.0224, -0.0243, -0.0371, -0.0159, -0.0116, 0.0007, -0.0031, -0.0019, -0.0014, -0.0148, 0.0146, 0.022, 0.007, 0.0094, 0.0155, 0.0376, 0.0811, 0.0953, 0.1171, 0.0978, 0.1067, 0.1119, 0.0999, 0.0946, 0.1184, 0.1069, 0.1033, 0.0965, 0.0991, 0.0991, 0.0983, 0.079, 0.0562, 0.0726, 0.0639, 0.0721, 0.0952, 0.0876, 0.1067, 0.1201, 0.1497, 0.1032, 0.0942, 0.0836, 0.0517, 0.0651, 0.0478, 0.0894, 0.0264, 0.0421, 0.0367, 0.049, 0.0105, 0.0183, 0.0365, 0.0413, 0.032, 0.0313, 0.0446, 0.0395, 0.0621, 0.0766, 0.0822, 0.076, 0.0891, 0.0856, 0.0918, 0.0783, 0.0509, 0.0441, 0.0563, 0.0164, 0.0226, 0.0663, 0.0631, 0.1059, 0.1248, 0.1396, 0.1628, 0.132, 0.1498, 0.1344, 0.0552, 0.0744, 0.0543, 0.0326, 0.0084, -0.0076, 0.0308, 0.0111, 0.0037, 0.0259, 0.0349, 0.0637, 0.0528, 0.0258, 0.0095, 0.0211, -0.0069, -0.0531, -0.0317, -0.0558, -0.0365, -0.012, -0.04, -0.0524, -0.0707, -0.1201, -0.1416]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1930077470298124506", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-04T01:41:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Of course. The real question is do we breach $200,000.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $150K+ by end of 2025, with $200K as the real question.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NeilJacobs Of course. The real question is do we breach $200,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Do you think Bitcoin will hit $150,000 by the end of 2025? \n\nWhat catalyst(s) will send it there?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NeilJacobs", "ret_m1d": 0.006688351979390328, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006688351979390328, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006419767429316714, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006419767429316714, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030134359325224014, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030134359325224014, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025301603060925548, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025301603060925548, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "ret_p1w": 0.03775962661836085, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03775962661836085, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028647797089161653, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028647797089161653, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "ret_p1m": 0.04693878586218658, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04693878586218658, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005514966651379405, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005514966651379405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "ret_p3m": 0.04314450262701808, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04314450262701808, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04248131131866861, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04248131131866861, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "ret_p6m": -0.12839066742833305, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12839066742833305, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2754706205620947, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2754706205620947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "ret_p1y": -0.27922455935515167, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.27922455935515167, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5447889353639666, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5447889353639666, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04693878586218658, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.005514966651379405, "alpha_c_stated": -0.005514966651379405, "price_path": [-0.1718, -0.2502, -0.2088, -0.2006, -0.226, -0.1982, -0.1972, -0.2102, -0.1707, -0.1964, -0.1975, -0.1645, -0.1648, -0.1703, -0.1676, -0.1946, -0.2118, -0.1868, -0.2124, -0.2065, -0.1994, -0.2434, -0.2717, -0.2116, -0.2397, -0.2036, -0.1928, -0.2011, -0.1976, -0.1894, -0.1936, -0.1644, -0.1078, -0.1053, -0.103, -0.0956, -0.0931, -0.0998, -0.1005, -0.0787, -0.0747, -0.0953, -0.0757, -0.0735, -0.0142, -0.0168, -0.0183, -0.0054, -0.0114, -0.0094, -0.0119, 0.0083, 0.0197, 0.0472, 0.0663, 0.0244, 0.045, 0.0407, 0.0293, 0.0087, -0.007, 0.011, 0.0067, 0.0, -0.0301, -0.0033, 0.0531, 0.0528, 0.0378, 0.0114, 0.013, 0.0197, -0.0012, 0.0014, -0.0005, -0.0136, 0.0081, 0.0125, 0.0251, 0.0213, 0.0225, 0.0229, 0.0092, 0.0394, 0.0469, 0.0315, 0.0341, 0.0403, 0.063, 0.1075, 0.1221, 0.1443, 0.1246, 0.1337, 0.139, 0.1267, 0.1213, 0.1457, 0.1339, 0.1302, 0.1232, 0.126, 0.1259, 0.1251, 0.1053, 0.082, 0.0987, 0.0898, 0.0983, 0.1219, 0.1142, 0.1337, 0.1474, 0.1777, 0.1301, 0.1209, 0.11, 0.0773, 0.0911, 0.0734, 0.1159, 0.0515, 0.0675, 0.062, 0.0746, 0.0351, 0.0431, 0.0618, 0.0668, 0.0572, 0.0565, 0.0701, 0.0649, 0.0881, 0.1029, 0.1086, 0.1023, 0.1156, 0.1121, 0.1184, 0.1046, 0.0765, 0.0695, 0.0821, 0.0412, 0.0476, 0.0923, 0.089, 0.1329, 0.1523, 0.1674, 0.1912, 0.1596, 0.1778, 0.1621, 0.081, 0.1006, 0.0801, 0.0578, 0.033, 0.0166, 0.0559, 0.0358, 0.0282, 0.051, 0.0602, 0.0896, 0.0785, 0.0508, 0.0341, 0.0461, 0.0173, -0.03, -0.008, -0.0328, -0.013, 0.0121, -0.0166, -0.0293, -0.0481, -0.0987, -0.1207, -0.1125, -0.1267, -0.1728, -0.1875, -0.1572, -0.166, -0.1357, -0.1284]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1934616806293200947", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-16T14:19:24+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners transitioning to AI", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The most undervalued stocks in the entire stock market globally are companies with gigawatts of secured power that started as Bitcoin miners but are about to announce large AI deals", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ex-Bitcoin miners with secured power capacity pivoting to AI data center deals; called the most undervalued stocks globally.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ", "IREN", "BTBT", "HUT", "HIVE"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "BTC miners pivoting to AI/HPC with power assets", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The most undervalued stocks in the entire stock market globally are companies with gigawatts of secured power that started as Bitcoin miners but are about to announce large AI deals. Period. Full stop.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03570105414127582, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03570105414127582, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0262763792412624, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02442071421174956, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011280339929526262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.060428022281884, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.060428022281884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05188285088345286, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05468880749385725, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0057392147880267474, "ret_p1w": -0.08204134471531388, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08204134471531388, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08078719983426252, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09122731935291561, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009185974637601735, "ret_p1m": 0.26452957229054513, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26452957229054513, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22918871025387627, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2388614620696194, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025668110220925744, "ret_p3m": 0.8160419499621498, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8160419499621498, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.721640127364702, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.743111727136299, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07293022282585082, "ret_p6m": 1.1957151456123154, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1957151456123154, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.055875526629171, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1341954249225634, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06151972068975198, "ret_p1y": 2.762905296143689, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.762905296143689, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.4970822435394386, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.7406307885118526, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.02227450763183625, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.26452957229054513, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.22918871025387627, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2388614620696194, "price_path": [-0.2162, -0.2202, -0.2292, -0.1683, -0.1949, -0.256, -0.2676, -0.3143, -0.3303, -0.2701, -0.2489, -0.3303, -0.3423, -0.3447, -0.3911, -0.3208, -0.3718, -0.3459, -0.3434, -0.372, -0.3776, -0.3688, -0.3688, -0.3828, -0.3315, -0.3068, -0.2776, -0.2435, -0.2534, -0.2648, -0.289, -0.2463, -0.2307, -0.2657, -0.2524, -0.2536, -0.2061, -0.2074, -0.165, -0.1182, -0.1367, -0.1572, -0.0746, -0.0585, -0.0638, -0.0781, -0.0509, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0471, -0.0945, -0.1196, -0.1273, -0.1184, -0.0732, -0.0184, -0.0765, 0.0044, 0.0241, 0.0319, 0.0174, -0.0008, -0.0357, 0.0, -0.0604, -0.0608, -0.0608, -0.0646, -0.082, -0.0081, -0.0123, 0.0657, 0.0791, 0.121, 0.1729, 0.2579, 0.3263, 0.3263, 0.3058, 0.3024, 0.2856, 0.2939, 0.252, 0.2897, 0.2645, 0.3359, 0.3496, 0.3281, 0.2923, 0.3253, 0.3322, 0.2985, 0.2688, 0.2294, 0.1854, 0.1886, 0.2114, 0.1412, 0.2286, 0.2274, 0.2958, 0.2578, 0.2503, 0.2612, 0.2845, 0.2892, 0.3342, 0.3287, 0.3772, 0.2951, 0.3181, 0.2895, 0.3748, 0.4153, 0.4698, 0.4691, 0.4766, 0.5431, 0.5431, 0.5982, 0.5611, 0.48, 0.475, 0.4787, 0.6648, 0.8015, 0.816, 0.8949, 0.9962, 0.9827, 1.0474, 1.0231, 1.048, 1.1421, 1.097, 1.2651, 1.1482, 1.039, 1.1972, 1.2299, 1.2866, 1.3518, 1.4355, 1.7307, 1.8595, 1.9258, 2.0683, 1.9109, 2.1005, 2.2361, 2.2483, 1.9396, 1.887, 1.9017, 1.7625, 1.5063, 1.6365, 1.9794, 2.044, 1.9505, 1.9426, 1.8173, 1.9005, 2.1053, 1.9242, 2.1247, 1.8319, 1.7514, 1.7175, 1.5775, 1.4438, 1.1544, 1.0715, 1.1154, 1.1618, 1.032, 0.9166, 0.8924, 1.1313, 1.1095, 1.1726, 1.1726, 1.222, 1.1826, 0.9635, 1.0761, 1.171, 1.1007, 1.1434, 1.1957]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920648862274105703", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-09T01:15:47+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Looks like it wants to go", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish IWM thesis; implies upward move is imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Looks like it wants to go", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Miners are waiting for $IWM. \nI've said this since March 2024.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.001842392913558255, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001842392913558255, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0005666556658583399, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005666556658583399, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03515759307467814, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03515759307467814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0021102733348048464, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0021102733348048464, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "ret_p1w": 0.04501764019423682, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04501764019423682, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007893649893958132, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007893649893958132, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "ret_p1m": 0.06249693011502111, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06249693011502111, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00012463754363589707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00012463754363589707, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "ret_p3m": 0.1013886581396104, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1013886581396104, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02320059603337854, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02320059603337854, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "ret_p6m": 0.22910603563637966, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22910603563637966, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.011293642055206776, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.011293642055206776, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "ret_p1y": 0.3787250311530772, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3787250311530772, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.10316699207265656, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.10316699207265656, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06249693011502111, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00012463754363589707, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00012463754363589707, "price_path": [0.1214, 0.1111, 0.1236, 0.1228, 0.1228, 0.1289, 0.1251, 0.1143, 0.0822, 0.0744, 0.0703, 0.0716, 0.0553, 0.0665, 0.0374, 0.0256, 0.0358, 0.02, 0.0233, -0.0024, -0.0025, -0.0008, -0.0157, 0.0081, 0.0208, 0.012, 0.0277, 0.0212, 0.0148, 0.0401, 0.0343, 0.0238, 0.0189, -0.0018, -0.0066, -0.0065, 0.0092, -0.0556, -0.0977, -0.1059, -0.1294, -0.0554, -0.0951, -0.0819, -0.0711, -0.07, -0.0789, -0.0714, -0.0714, -0.09, -0.0664, -0.0526, -0.0336, -0.0333, -0.0292, -0.0235, -0.0296, -0.0236, -0.0016, -0.0093, -0.0201, -0.0169, 0.0018, 0.0, 0.0352, 0.0389, 0.0297, 0.0365, 0.045, 0.0406, 0.0412, 0.012, 0.0119, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0343, 0.0234, 0.0264, 0.0212, 0.0244, 0.0409, 0.038, 0.0384, 0.0552, 0.0625, 0.0682, 0.0638, 0.0596, 0.0402, 0.0525, 0.0414, 0.0469, 0.0469, 0.0447, 0.0575, 0.071, 0.0585, 0.0757, 0.076, 0.0776, 0.0887, 0.1037, 0.114, 0.114, 0.0972, 0.1048, 0.1168, 0.1226, 0.1071, 0.1145, 0.0927, 0.1037, 0.1182, 0.1102, 0.1057, 0.1149, 0.1319, 0.1163, 0.1205, 0.1192, 0.112, 0.1064, 0.0955, 0.0732, 0.0972, 0.1028, 0.1014, 0.0978, 0.1002, 0.0999, 0.1326, 0.1546, 0.1397, 0.1342, 0.1383, 0.1296, 0.1256, 0.1284, 0.1726, 0.1603, 0.1699, 0.1782, 0.1796, 0.1743, 0.1743, 0.168, 0.1669, 0.1814, 0.1873, 0.1897, 0.1827, 0.1806, 0.2025, 0.1902, 0.1952, 0.1933, 0.1963, 0.2261, 0.2168, 0.2238, 0.2211, 0.2099, 0.1983, 0.2086, 0.21, 0.2117, 0.2143, 0.222, 0.2311, 0.236, 0.2227, 0.2355, 0.2276, 0.1908, 0.2239, 0.2414, 0.2536, 0.2272, 0.2189, 0.2427, 0.2369, 0.2186, 0.234, 0.2491, 0.2534, 0.2467, 0.2361, 0.2262, 0.2331, 0.2291]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1912201927213084821", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-15T17:50:41+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$1,000,000 before 2033", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $1,000,000 before 2033.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PeterDiamandis Maybe this year. $1,000,000 before 2033.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin is hovering around the 100Ks (I predict it'll reach 300K), so for those telling you 'you're too late', you might want to think again.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PeterDiamandis", "ret_m1d": 0.010438735004035138, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010438735004035138, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007629845844979499, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007629845844979499, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028088891590556386, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028088891590556386, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004360934564412222, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004360934564412222, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026589012956343305, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026589012956343305, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.022228078391931083, "bench_c_p1d": -0.022228078391931083, "ret_p1w": 0.11680430446203038, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11680430446203038, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13607486364718313, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13607486364718313, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019270559185152747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019270559185152747, "ret_p1m": 0.23748848116242294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23748848116242294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14452136489849643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14452136489849643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09296711626392651, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09296711626392651, "ret_p3m": 0.40454652452544826, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40454652452544826, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24113141358134937, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24113141358134937, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.16341511094409888, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16341511094409888, "ret_p6m": 0.4743199835736638, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4743199835736638, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21509571038726127, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21509571038726127, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2592242731864025, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2592242731864025, "ret_p1y": -0.2005572367526015, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2005572367526015, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.43444083513325926, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.43444083513325926, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23388359838065775, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23388359838065775, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2005572367526015, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.43444083513325926, "alpha_c_stated": -0.43444083513325926, "price_path": [0.1923, 0.2485, 0.2193, 0.2686, 0.2388, 0.2425, 0.2528, 0.2201, 0.2111, 0.2394, 0.2518, 0.2239, 0.212, 0.1698, 0.1547, 0.1545, 0.1537, 0.1646, 0.1444, 0.1699, 0.1548, 0.1654, 0.1447, 0.1419, 0.155, 0.1753, 0.1489, 0.0926, 0.0606, 0.0081, 0.0124, 0.0084, 0.0286, 0.0425, 0.0831, 0.0752, 0.0367, -0.0614, -0.0096, 0.0006, -0.0311, 0.0036, 0.0049, -0.0114, 0.0381, 0.006, 0.0045, 0.0458, 0.0454, 0.0386, 0.0419, 0.0082, -0.0134, 0.0179, -0.0141, -0.0068, 0.0021, -0.053, -0.0884, -0.0131, -0.0483, -0.0032, 0.0104, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0147, 0.0093, 0.046, 0.1168, 0.1199, 0.1228, 0.1321, 0.1352, 0.1269, 0.126, 0.1533, 0.1583, 0.1324, 0.157, 0.1597, 0.2339, 0.2307, 0.2288, 0.245, 0.2375, 0.2399, 0.2369, 0.2622, 0.2764, 0.3109, 0.3347, 0.2823, 0.308, 0.3027, 0.2884, 0.2626, 0.243, 0.2655, 0.2601, 0.2517, 0.214, 0.2477, 0.3182, 0.3178, 0.299, 0.266, 0.268, 0.2764, 0.2502, 0.2536, 0.2512, 0.2347, 0.2619, 0.2674, 0.2832, 0.2784, 0.2799, 0.2805, 0.2633, 0.3011, 0.3105, 0.2912, 0.2944, 0.3022, 0.3306, 0.3863, 0.4045, 0.4324, 0.4077, 0.4191, 0.4257, 0.4104, 0.4036, 0.4342, 0.4193, 0.4147, 0.406, 0.4094, 0.4094, 0.4083, 0.3835, 0.3544, 0.3753, 0.3642, 0.3748, 0.4043, 0.3946, 0.4191, 0.4363, 0.4742, 0.4146, 0.4031, 0.3894, 0.3485, 0.3658, 0.3436, 0.3969, 0.3162, 0.3362, 0.3293, 0.3451, 0.2957, 0.3057, 0.3291, 0.3353, 0.3234, 0.3225, 0.3395, 0.333, 0.362, 0.3805, 0.3876, 0.3798, 0.3965, 0.392, 0.4, 0.3827, 0.3476, 0.3388, 0.3545, 0.3033, 0.3113, 0.3673, 0.3632, 0.4181, 0.4424, 0.4613, 0.491, 0.4516, 0.4743]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1905612318400282641", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-28T13:25:55+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "In the back half of this year when Bitcoin and a bunch of related assets are going parabolic", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects Bitcoin and related crypto assets to go parabolic in H2 of this year; current weakness is temporary.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In the back half of this year when Bitcoin and a bunch of related assets are going parabolic, this period will seem like a strange bad dream. This is how it always goes. The human mind can absorb and then quickly move on once conditions change.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03347774418986105, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03347774418986105, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01292542204401026, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01292542204401026, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020552322145850788, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020552322145850788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02138905788841794, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02138905788841794, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028101859261342677, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028101859261342677, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006712801372924737, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006712801372924737, "ret_p1w": -0.0060382304565358424, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0060382304565358424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08462858636123427, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08462858636123427, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09066681681777011, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09066681681777011, "ret_p1m": 0.1259656783335461, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1259656783335461, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13462175578300017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13462175578300017, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00865607744945407, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00865607744945407, "ret_p3m": 0.27275934332252527, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27275934332252527, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17691849547226468, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17691849547226468, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09584084785026059, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09584084785026059, "ret_p6m": 0.3366247721747937, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3366247721747937, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1296533945618108, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1296533945618108, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2069713776129829, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2069713776129829, "ret_p1y": -0.12365480208161317, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.12365480208161317, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3413630974733889, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3413630974733889, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21770829539177572, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21770829539177572, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1259656783335461, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13462175578300017, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13462175578300017, "price_path": [0.1076, 0.1193, 0.1486, 0.1631, 0.2101, 0.149, 0.1267, 0.0964, 0.1227, 0.1205, 0.1444, 0.1915, 0.1826, 0.2384, 0.2094, 0.2584, 0.2288, 0.2324, 0.2426, 0.2102, 0.2013, 0.2294, 0.2416, 0.214, 0.2022, 0.1603, 0.1454, 0.1451, 0.1443, 0.1551, 0.1351, 0.1604, 0.1455, 0.156, 0.1354, 0.1326, 0.1456, 0.1657, 0.1396, 0.0838, 0.052, -0.0001, 0.0042, 0.0002, 0.0203, 0.034, 0.0743, 0.0665, 0.0283, -0.069, -0.0177, -0.0075, -0.039, -0.0046, -0.0033, -0.0194, 0.0297, -0.0022, -0.0037, 0.0373, 0.037, 0.0302, 0.0335, 0.0, -0.0214, 0.0097, -0.0221, -0.0148, -0.006, -0.0607, -0.0958, -0.0211, -0.056, -0.0112, 0.0022, -0.0081, -0.0038, 0.0064, 0.0012, 0.0375, 0.1077, 0.1108, 0.1137, 0.1229, 0.126, 0.1177, 0.1168, 0.1439, 0.1489, 0.1232, 0.1476, 0.1503, 0.2239, 0.2207, 0.2188, 0.2349, 0.2275, 0.2299, 0.2269, 0.252, 0.266, 0.3002, 0.3239, 0.2719, 0.2974, 0.2921, 0.278, 0.2524, 0.2329, 0.2552, 0.2499, 0.2416, 0.2042, 0.2375, 0.3075, 0.3071, 0.2885, 0.2558, 0.2577, 0.2661, 0.24, 0.2434, 0.241, 0.2247, 0.2516, 0.2572, 0.2728, 0.268, 0.2695, 0.2701, 0.253, 0.2905, 0.2999, 0.2807, 0.2839, 0.2916, 0.3198, 0.375, 0.3932, 0.4208, 0.3962, 0.4076, 0.4142, 0.3989, 0.3922, 0.4225, 0.4078, 0.4032, 0.3946, 0.398, 0.398, 0.3969, 0.3723, 0.3434, 0.3642, 0.3531, 0.3636, 0.3929, 0.3833, 0.4076, 0.4246, 0.4622, 0.4031, 0.3917, 0.3782, 0.3376, 0.3547, 0.3327, 0.3855, 0.3055, 0.3254, 0.3185, 0.3342, 0.2852, 0.2952, 0.3183, 0.3245, 0.3126, 0.3118, 0.3286, 0.3222, 0.3509, 0.3693, 0.3764, 0.3686, 0.3852, 0.3807, 0.3887, 0.3715, 0.3366]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924971370171261319", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T23:31:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was thinking $315,000 in Nov/Dec", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC with personal $315K target by Nov/Dec.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SuperBitcoinBro I was thinking $315,000 in Nov/Dec. You think it’s possible by mid July? Wouldn’t be the craziest thing I’ve ever seen but it would be close.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC preparing to enter up-only mode https://t.co/dYNqxqJqPv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SuperBitcoinBro", "ret_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028235252649113085, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028235252649113085, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026639204130851635, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026639204130851635, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "ret_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012278804945740074, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012278804945740074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "ret_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.042879032860159705, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.042879032860159705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "ret_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.00763131894638347, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00763131894638347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "ret_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2076370709930332, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2076370709930332, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "ret_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5308060615502499, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5308060615502499, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017864391917659872, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.042879032860159705, "alpha_c_stated": -0.042879032860159705, "price_path": [-0.0792, -0.0999, -0.144, -0.1691, -0.2102, -0.2068, -0.2099, -0.1941, -0.1832, -0.1514, -0.1576, -0.1877, -0.2646, -0.2241, -0.216, -0.2409, -0.2137, -0.2127, -0.2254, -0.1867, -0.2119, -0.213, -0.1807, -0.1809, -0.1863, -0.1837, -0.2101, -0.227, -0.2025, -0.2276, -0.2218, -0.2149, -0.258, -0.2858, -0.2268, -0.2544, -0.219, -0.2083, -0.2165, -0.2131, -0.205, -0.2092, -0.1805, -0.125, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1171, -0.1178, -0.0964, -0.0925, -0.1128, -0.0935, -0.0914, -0.0332, -0.0358, -0.0373, -0.0245, -0.0304, -0.0285, -0.0309, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.027, 0.0457, 0.0047, 0.0248, 0.0206, 0.0095, -0.0108, -0.0261, -0.0085, -0.0127, -0.0193, -0.0488, -0.0225, 0.0328, 0.0325, 0.0177, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0001, -0.0205, -0.0179, -0.0197, -0.0326, -0.0114, -0.007, 0.0053, 0.0016, 0.0028, 0.0032, -0.0102, 0.0194, 0.0268, 0.0116, 0.0141, 0.0202, 0.0425, 0.0861, 0.1004, 0.1223, 0.1029, 0.1119, 0.117, 0.105, 0.0997, 0.1236, 0.112, 0.1084, 0.1016, 0.1043, 0.1042, 0.1034, 0.084, 0.0611, 0.0775, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.1003, 0.0927, 0.1118, 0.1253, 0.155, 0.1083, 0.0993, 0.0886, 0.0566, 0.0701, 0.0527, 0.0944, 0.0312, 0.0469, 0.0415, 0.0539, 0.0152, 0.023, 0.0413, 0.0462, 0.0368, 0.0361, 0.0494, 0.0444, 0.0671, 0.0816, 0.0872, 0.081, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0969, 0.0833, 0.0558, 0.0489, 0.0612, 0.0211, 0.0274, 0.0713, 0.068, 0.111, 0.1301, 0.1449, 0.1682, 0.1373, 0.1551, 0.1397, 0.0601, 0.0794, 0.0593, 0.0374, 0.0131, -0.003, 0.0356, 0.0158, 0.0084, 0.0307, 0.0397, 0.0686, 0.0577, 0.0306, 0.0142, 0.0259, -0.0023, -0.0487, -0.0271, -0.0514, -0.032, -0.0074, -0.0355, -0.048]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1935477946032209948", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-18T23:21:16+00:00", "symbol": "Bloom Energy", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bullish", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses bullish stance on Bloom Energy as data center power bottleneck play.", "resolved_tickers": ["BE"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Bloom Energy NYSE ticker BE", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JarronJackson4 Bullish", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bloom Energy 2025 Datacenter Report: Mid-Year Pulse (Summarized by ChatGPT) \n\n🔌 Executive Context: Power Is Now the Bottleneck\n\nAI’s exponential growth is colliding with a fundamental constraint: electricity.\n\nBy 2028, U.S. data centers are expected to consume 12% of the https://t.co/BR0fX9CYeC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JarronJackson4", "ret_m1d": -0.011494252873563204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011494252873563204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013848255441169521, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010370630573988904, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011236222995743006, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03724135475597157, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03724135475597157, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027363972858748697, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023700067271451353, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013541287484520215, "ret_p1w": 0.0197701289735992, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0197701289735992, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014944062051284401, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014413947995018273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03418407696861747, "ret_p1m": 0.16597703955639376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16597703955639376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10794047645206373, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10452745463460134, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06144958492179242, "ret_p3m": 2.662988421560704, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.662988421560704, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.5537807294583, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5981571897607667, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06483123179993755, "ret_p6m": 3.118620773841595, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.118620773841595, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.969974893854916, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.0080047916618815, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11061598217971391, "ret_p1y": 10.93609128053161, "ret_signed_p1y": 10.93609128053161, "alpha_spy_p1y": 10.685331076539514, "alpha_c_p1y": 10.686062506697647, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2500287738339628, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16597703955639376, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10794047645206373, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10452745463460134, "price_path": [0.0625, 0.0244, 0.011, -0.0653, -0.0961, -0.0234, -0.029, -0.1108, -0.2368, -0.2074, -0.2175, -0.1784, -0.2253, -0.189, -0.177, -0.1582, -0.1802, -0.2184, -0.2184, -0.2469, -0.2239, -0.2064, -0.166, -0.1297, -0.1154, -0.1306, -0.1577, -0.2271, -0.2441, -0.2497, -0.2487, -0.24, -0.2074, -0.1899, -0.1306, -0.1191, -0.069, -0.0887, -0.0754, -0.1159, -0.1214, -0.1628, -0.1554, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.0915, -0.0993, -0.1462, -0.1508, -0.1595, -0.0616, -0.069, -0.0598, 0.0014, -0.0147, -0.0055, 0.0359, 0.023, 0.0092, 0.0533, -0.0189, -0.0115, -0.0115, 0.0, 0.0372, 0.0552, -0.0069, 0.0267, 0.0198, 0.0998, 0.0175, 0.0372, 0.1145, 0.1145, 0.12, 0.1172, 0.32, 0.1885, 0.1678, 0.1936, 0.1637, 0.1352, 0.1177, 0.149, 0.166, 0.1922, 0.2363, 0.52, 0.5789, 0.5991, 0.5977, 0.7297, 0.7191, 0.6883, 0.6598, 0.7292, 0.7867, 0.692, 0.692, 0.731, 0.8966, 1.0267, 1.074, 1.0818, 1.1379, 0.9816, 1.0464, 1.0611, 1.2317, 1.269, 1.2961, 1.3379, 1.5195, 1.434, 1.434, 1.3609, 1.4115, 1.5246, 1.6239, 1.457, 1.5287, 1.8947, 2.0938, 2.0924, 2.0814, 2.3697, 2.663, 2.7228, 2.9048, 2.9664, 2.5577, 2.1807, 2.1582, 2.2331, 2.3839, 2.8883, 3.1467, 3.046, 3.1513, 2.9986, 2.9568, 3.0267, 2.9839, 2.994, 4.0533, 4.2441, 4.36, 4.2915, 4.1264, 4.0143, 3.7991, 3.3389, 3.663, 4.0749, 3.9899, 4.2083, 5.1476, 4.8782, 5.0763, 5.5457, 4.9333, 5.5016, 5.2924, 5.2166, 5.4014, 4.8423, 4.8262, 3.7609, 4.1444, 3.9246, 3.8262, 4.0083, 3.2933, 3.1375, 3.3936, 3.3352, 3.6501, 3.6501, 4.0225, 3.5485, 3.8276, 3.7126, 4.4294, 4.4795, 4.1398, 4.0317, 3.657, 4.011, 3.3669, 3.1186]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910794640238010395", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-11T20:38:37+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bottom is in on Bitcoin for 2025 and a lot of chart monkeys and kid analysts are going to be crying in a few months when they realize how much richer they would have been if they had bought and held", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bitcoin 2025 bottom is in; buy-and-hold thesis for significant upside over coming months.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The bottom is in on Bitcoin for 2025 and a lot of chart monkeys and kid analysts are going to be crying in a few months when they realize how much richer they would have been if they had bought and held instead of overtrading.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0453054702407375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0453054702407375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035697179272498825, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.035697179272498825, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013638953601592618, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013638953601592618, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01643997500200234, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01643997500200234, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "ret_p1w": 0.012540864546317199, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012540864546317199, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05935809233188005, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05935809233188005, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "ret_p1m": 0.23269774431357448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23269774431357448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14418314899216877, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14418314899216877, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "ret_p3m": 0.3347733789791678, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3347733789791678, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1705240924371354, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1705240924371354, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "ret_p6m": 0.49574697735133944, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.49574697735133944, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24749310961585014, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24749310961585014, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "ret_p1y": -0.18190220347497466, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18190220347497466, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.41122271412007283, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.41122271412007283, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23269774431357448, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14418314899216877, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14418314899216877, "price_path": [0.1574, 0.205, 0.1961, 0.2525, 0.2232, 0.2727, 0.2428, 0.2465, 0.2568, 0.224, 0.2149, 0.2434, 0.2557, 0.2278, 0.2158, 0.1735, 0.1584, 0.1581, 0.1574, 0.1682, 0.148, 0.1736, 0.1585, 0.1691, 0.1483, 0.1455, 0.1586, 0.179, 0.1525, 0.0961, 0.0639, 0.0113, 0.0156, 0.0116, 0.0319, 0.0458, 0.0866, 0.0786, 0.04, -0.0584, -0.0065, 0.0038, -0.028, 0.0068, 0.008, -0.0082, 0.0414, 0.0091, 0.0077, 0.0491, 0.0488, 0.0419, 0.0452, 0.0114, -0.0103, 0.0212, -0.011, -0.0036, 0.0053, -0.05, -0.0855, -0.01, -0.0453, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0032, 0.0075, 0.0179, 0.0125, 0.0493, 0.1203, 0.1234, 0.1264, 0.1357, 0.1388, 0.1304, 0.1295, 0.1569, 0.1619, 0.136, 0.1606, 0.1634, 0.2378, 0.2346, 0.2327, 0.249, 0.2414, 0.2439, 0.2408, 0.2662, 0.2804, 0.315, 0.3389, 0.2863, 0.3122, 0.3068, 0.2925, 0.2666, 0.2469, 0.2695, 0.2641, 0.2557, 0.2179, 0.2516, 0.3224, 0.322, 0.3031, 0.2701, 0.272, 0.2805, 0.2541, 0.2575, 0.2551, 0.2387, 0.2658, 0.2715, 0.2872, 0.2824, 0.284, 0.2845, 0.2673, 0.3052, 0.3146, 0.2953, 0.2985, 0.3063, 0.3348, 0.3907, 0.409, 0.437, 0.4121, 0.4236, 0.4303, 0.4148, 0.4081, 0.4387, 0.4238, 0.4192, 0.4104, 0.4139, 0.4139, 0.4128, 0.3879, 0.3587, 0.3797, 0.3685, 0.3792, 0.4088, 0.3991, 0.4236, 0.4408, 0.4789, 0.4191, 0.4076, 0.3938, 0.3528, 0.3701, 0.3479, 0.4013, 0.3204, 0.3405, 0.3335, 0.3494, 0.2998, 0.3099, 0.3333, 0.3395, 0.3275, 0.3267, 0.3437, 0.3372, 0.3663, 0.3849, 0.392, 0.3842, 0.4009, 0.3964, 0.4044, 0.3871, 0.3518, 0.343, 0.3588, 0.3075, 0.3154, 0.3716, 0.3675, 0.4226, 0.4469, 0.4659, 0.4957]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1916580940815699973", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-27T19:51:19+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is WAY overdue for a 50%+ month. May is going to be absolutely MASSIVE.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC for May, expecting 50%+ monthly move.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is WAY overdue for a 50%+ month.\n\nMay is going to be absolutely MASSIVE.\n\nIf you don’t understand this, you may be beyond help.\n\nLFG!!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0027190292565442142, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0027190292565442142, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0023377895319267594, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0023377895319267594, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003812397246174548, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003812397246174548, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007306486319308303, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007306486319308303, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01360564972676681, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01360564972676681, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006299163407458508, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006299163407458508, "ret_p1w": -0.00242891502046505, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00242891502046505, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025411389453920075, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025411389453920075, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022982474433455025, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022982474433455025, "ret_p1m": 0.14756869957753715, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14756869957753715, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07440909979722465, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07440909979722465, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0731595997803125, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0731595997803125, "ret_p3m": 0.24625771554163434, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24625771554163434, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09114213687074413, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09114213687074413, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1551155786708902, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1551155786708902, "ret_p6m": 0.14211748022584003, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14211748022584003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08351744740041056, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08351744740041056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2256349276262506, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2256349276262506, "ret_p1y": -0.21240195175236565, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21240195175236565, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.49762241235916704, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.49762241235916704, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2852204606068014, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2852204606068014, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14756869957753715, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07440909979722465, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07440909979722465, "price_path": [0.0919, 0.1027, 0.0782, 0.0677, 0.0305, 0.0172, 0.017, 0.0163, 0.0259, 0.0081, 0.0306, 0.0173, 0.0266, 0.0084, 0.0059, 0.0174, 0.0353, 0.0121, -0.0375, -0.0657, -0.1119, -0.1082, -0.1117, -0.0938, -0.0817, -0.0459, -0.0528, -0.0867, -0.1732, -0.1276, -0.1185, -0.1465, -0.1159, -0.1148, -0.1291, -0.0855, -0.1138, -0.1151, -0.0788, -0.079, -0.085, -0.0821, -0.1119, -0.1309, -0.1033, -0.1315, -0.125, -0.1172, -0.1658, -0.197, -0.1306, -0.1616, -0.1219, -0.1099, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1062, -0.1108, -0.0785, -0.0162, -0.0135, -0.0109, -0.0027, 0.0, -0.0073, -0.0081, 0.0159, 0.0203, -0.0024, 0.0192, 0.0216, 0.087, 0.0841, 0.0825, 0.0968, 0.0901, 0.0923, 0.0896, 0.1119, 0.1244, 0.1548, 0.1758, 0.1296, 0.1523, 0.1476, 0.135, 0.1123, 0.095, 0.1148, 0.1101, 0.1027, 0.0695, 0.0991, 0.1613, 0.1609, 0.1443, 0.1153, 0.117, 0.1244, 0.1013, 0.1043, 0.1022, 0.0877, 0.1116, 0.1165, 0.1304, 0.1261, 0.1275, 0.128, 0.1129, 0.1461, 0.1544, 0.1375, 0.1403, 0.1471, 0.1721, 0.2212, 0.2373, 0.2619, 0.24, 0.2502, 0.256, 0.2424, 0.2365, 0.2634, 0.2503, 0.2463, 0.2385, 0.2416, 0.2416, 0.2406, 0.2188, 0.1931, 0.2116, 0.2018, 0.2111, 0.2371, 0.2286, 0.2501, 0.2653, 0.2986, 0.2462, 0.236, 0.224, 0.188, 0.2032, 0.1836, 0.2305, 0.1595, 0.1771, 0.171, 0.1849, 0.1414, 0.1503, 0.1708, 0.1763, 0.1658, 0.165, 0.18, 0.1743, 0.1998, 0.2161, 0.2224, 0.2155, 0.2302, 0.2263, 0.2333, 0.218, 0.1871, 0.1794, 0.1932, 0.1481, 0.1551, 0.2045, 0.2009, 0.2492, 0.2706, 0.2873, 0.3135, 0.2787, 0.2988, 0.2814, 0.192, 0.2137, 0.191, 0.1664, 0.1391, 0.121, 0.1644, 0.1421]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1935927738386571593", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-20T05:08:35+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One of the best companies in the world at the center of the 2 most important megatrends of our lifetimes. It is probably inevitable that this would happen.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses IREN as best-in-class at intersection of two major megatrends; retail tailwind inevitable.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@optionscjp One of the best companies in the world at the center of the 2 most important megatrends of our lifetimes. It is probably inevitable that this would happen.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If I’m reading X correctly, i think $IREN is one of the next name to pick up the same sort of retail tailwind as $OSCR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "optionscjp", "ret_m1d": -0.06399236477613568, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06399236477613568, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.066346367343742, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06121229559589292, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0027800691802427613, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018147046374165976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018147046374165976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008269664476943106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005554491574955467, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012592554799210509, "ret_p1w": 0.3371537385808434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3371537385808434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3024395475559598, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.302245140774811, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03490859780603239, "ret_p1m": 0.7335242746541883, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7335242746541883, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6754877115498583, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6896493227324734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04387495192171498, "ret_p3m": 2.619866338039189, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.619866338039189, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.5106586459367852, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5423180229809432, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07754831505824611, "ret_p6m": 2.3887295737677086, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.3887295737677086, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.2400836937810293, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.2894425796548914, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09928699411281738, "ret_p1y": 4.159503255016969, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.159503255016969, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.9087430510248744, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.101717768418412, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.05778548659855676, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7335242746541883, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6754877115498583, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6896493227324734, "price_path": [-0.2932, -0.3591, -0.383, -0.4202, -0.4183, -0.3658, -0.3543, -0.4231, -0.4327, -0.4384, -0.4938, -0.4365, -0.4756, -0.4623, -0.4508, -0.4795, -0.4776, -0.4661, -0.4661, -0.4737, -0.4212, -0.4174, -0.3983, -0.3754, -0.3897, -0.4011, -0.4164, -0.3916, -0.3763, -0.4088, -0.3792, -0.3725, -0.3419, -0.3276, -0.2827, -0.2245, -0.2388, -0.2598, -0.1968, -0.1843, -0.1777, -0.1509, -0.1137, -0.1289, -0.1289, -0.1175, -0.1538, -0.1786, -0.1987, -0.1662, -0.1509, -0.0993, -0.1452, -0.0688, -0.0124, 0.0019, -0.0162, -0.0287, -0.0611, -0.0067, -0.0669, -0.064, -0.064, 0.0, 0.0181, 0.1022, 0.1337, 0.2521, 0.3372, 0.3916, 0.4546, 0.4957, 0.6065, 0.6065, 0.6189, 0.6132, 0.6199, 0.6266, 0.5501, 0.6504, 0.6122, 0.6533, 0.724, 0.7135, 0.7335, 0.7755, 0.8138, 0.7326, 0.6925, 0.5836, 0.5081, 0.5415, 0.5387, 0.4709, 0.574, 0.5712, 0.7498, 0.7736, 0.7622, 0.7163, 0.703, 0.6934, 0.8223, 0.8806, 0.9776, 0.7889, 0.8873, 0.8711, 1.0468, 1.2082, 1.1958, 1.1351, 1.2006, 1.5291, 1.5291, 1.7803, 1.6944, 1.4957, 1.4976, 1.5014, 1.8835, 2.212, 2.1375, 2.2436, 2.5473, 2.4814, 2.6199, 2.469, 2.6905, 3.0019, 2.9895, 3.5024, 3.4212, 2.9981, 3.3868, 3.4823, 3.4967, 3.4909, 3.8195, 4.5158, 4.8911, 4.7393, 5.0984, 4.7087, 5.1261, 5.6437, 5.4928, 4.9054, 4.7994, 4.6562, 4.2717, 3.9503, 4.3352, 5.0076, 5.2073, 4.9618, 4.7708, 4.5606, 4.8023, 5.4709, 5.3639, 6.298, 5.3954, 4.958, 4.7469, 4.4804, 4.32, 3.6466, 3.4288, 3.5282, 3.6657, 3.3773, 3.1519, 3.0363, 3.6313, 3.5339, 3.6275, 3.6275, 3.5664, 3.6313, 2.9274, 3.1987, 3.4365, 3.2703, 3.426, 3.4737, 3.1948, 3.1968, 2.8329, 2.3887]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1923496135722999844", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-16T21:49:50+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Endorses bullish CLSK thesis; expects price to move higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Higher", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CLSK closed the week above a flattening 20 week SMA, which I think will hold as support. This means that it'll go to upper Bollinger band most likely to 12 bucks. https://t.co/yCXmwlXdId", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.006097603525028306, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006097603525028306, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005004979016194344, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0055164101825310174, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005811933424972882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014227676946319434, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014227676946319434, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010865523270102595, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0088034818629531, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005424195083366334, "ret_p1w": -0.04878053744586641, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04878053744586641, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02232010812070273, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01836593227856209, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03041460516730432, "ret_p1m": -0.09552850807734992, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09552850807734992, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10003395840179719, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06879466857316097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02673383950418895, "ret_p3m": 0.011178826724745239, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.011178826724745239, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07624944670586475, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.019268234302965537, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030447061027710776, "ret_p6m": 0.4273373839938561, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4273373839938561, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2725615712730889, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3895976944526103, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03773968954124585, "ret_p1y": 0.47357721292174415, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.47357721292174415, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.22579648614800085, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4538075275387643, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.01976968538297985, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09552850807734992, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10003395840179719, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06879466857316097, "price_path": [0.0051, 0.0224, -0.06, -0.0955, -0.1717, -0.1992, -0.2368, -0.188, -0.2083, -0.2114, -0.1311, -0.1717, -0.1026, -0.189, -0.1606, -0.1768, -0.2185, -0.19, -0.1748, -0.2287, -0.186, -0.2124, -0.2439, -0.1067, -0.1128, -0.1748, -0.2027, -0.2693, -0.3171, -0.2317, -0.185, -0.247, -0.2561, -0.2449, -0.315, -0.2246, -0.2754, -0.2378, -0.2093, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2368, -0.2368, -0.2409, -0.1087, -0.0986, -0.0996, -0.0843, -0.1291, -0.1423, -0.1697, -0.1189, -0.1047, -0.1778, -0.1778, -0.1839, -0.1179, -0.065, -0.0224, 0.0163, -0.0234, -0.0488, -0.0061, 0.0, -0.0142, 0.0274, 0.003, -0.0488, -0.0488, 0.002, -0.0742, -0.1077, -0.123, -0.125, -0.064, -0.0315, -0.0833, -0.0051, 0.0285, 0.0295, 0.0132, -0.0132, -0.0549, -0.0224, -0.0955, -0.0671, -0.0671, -0.0854, -0.1006, 0.0203, 0.0772, 0.0986, 0.0843, 0.1209, 0.126, 0.2683, 0.2449, 0.2449, 0.1514, 0.1789, 0.2673, 0.311, 0.2856, 0.2805, 0.2388, 0.2774, 0.3191, 0.2988, 0.2591, 0.3049, 0.2652, 0.2541, 0.2012, 0.2226, 0.1921, 0.1606, 0.1555, 0.061, 0.0793, 0.1006, 0.1179, 0.0894, 0.0234, 0.003, 0.0081, 0.0132, 0.0112, -0.0091, 0.0, -0.0488, -0.0356, -0.0518, -0.002, -0.0396, -0.0163, -0.0264, -0.0295, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.0203, -0.0407, -0.0772, -0.061, -0.0681, -0.0173, 0.0193, 0.0366, 0.0518, 0.0457, 0.1382, 0.1626, 0.3679, 0.3841, 0.3963, 0.4136, 0.4685, 0.3902, 0.3171, 0.5112, 0.4736, 0.4827, 0.5386, 0.6199, 0.7713, 0.8252, 0.9289, 1.0417, 0.9593, 1.0366, 1.2337, 1.3577, 1.0315, 0.9842, 1.0732, 0.9075, 0.7134, 0.7957, 0.968, 1.0528, 0.9461, 0.9197, 0.7978, 0.8089, 0.7703, 0.6484, 0.685, 0.565, 0.5823, 0.5274, 0.4273]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920661510155587683", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-09T02:06:02+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is the least risky thing you own. Keep studying!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; frames it as the least risky asset to own.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@amitisinvesting Bitcoin is the least risky thing you own. Keep studying!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "risk….on https://t.co/qQTBgutmYB", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "ret_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "ret_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "ret_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "ret_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "ret_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "price_path": [-0.0702, -0.0494, -0.0616, -0.053, -0.0699, -0.0722, -0.0615, -0.045, -0.0665, -0.1122, -0.1382, -0.1809, -0.1774, -0.1806, -0.1642, -0.1529, -0.1199, -0.1263, -0.1576, -0.2373, -0.1953, -0.1869, -0.2127, -0.1845, -0.1835, -0.1967, -0.1565, -0.1826, -0.1838, -0.1503, -0.1505, -0.1561, -0.1534, -0.1808, -0.1983, -0.1729, -0.1989, -0.1929, -0.1858, -0.2305, -0.2593, -0.1981, -0.2267, -0.19, -0.179, -0.1874, -0.1839, -0.1755, -0.1799, -0.1501, -0.0925, -0.09, -0.0877, -0.0801, -0.0776, -0.0844, -0.0851, -0.0629, -0.0589, -0.0799, -0.0599, -0.0577, 0.0026, 0.0, -0.0015, 0.0116, 0.0055, 0.0075, 0.005, 0.0256, 0.0371, 0.0651, 0.0845, 0.0419, 0.0628, 0.0585, 0.0469, 0.0259, 0.01, 0.0283, 0.0239, 0.0171, -0.0135, 0.0138, 0.0711, 0.0708, 0.0555, 0.0287, 0.0303, 0.0372, 0.0158, 0.0186, 0.0166, 0.0033, 0.0253, 0.0299, 0.0426, 0.0387, 0.04, 0.0404, 0.0265, 0.0572, 0.0648, 0.0492, 0.0518, 0.0581, 0.0811, 0.1264, 0.1413, 0.1639, 0.1438, 0.1531, 0.1585, 0.146, 0.1405, 0.1653, 0.1533, 0.1495, 0.1424, 0.1452, 0.1452, 0.1443, 0.1242, 0.1005, 0.1175, 0.1085, 0.1171, 0.1411, 0.1332, 0.1531, 0.1671, 0.1979, 0.1494, 0.1401, 0.129, 0.0958, 0.1098, 0.0918, 0.135, 0.0695, 0.0858, 0.0801, 0.093, 0.0528, 0.061, 0.0799, 0.085, 0.0753, 0.0746, 0.0884, 0.0831, 0.1067, 0.1217, 0.1275, 0.1211, 0.1347, 0.1311, 0.1376, 0.1235, 0.095, 0.0878, 0.1006, 0.059, 0.0655, 0.111, 0.1077, 0.1523, 0.172, 0.1874, 0.2115, 0.1795, 0.198, 0.1819, 0.0995, 0.1195, 0.0986, 0.0759, 0.0506, 0.034, 0.074, 0.0535, 0.0458, 0.0689, 0.0783, 0.1083, 0.097, 0.0688, 0.0518, 0.064, 0.0347]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1914669453088055525", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-22T13:15:45+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you can buy it this Wednesday for $95,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; frames $95K as a buying opportunity this Wednesday.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you didn’t buy Bitcoin two Wednesdays ago for $75,000, that’s OK because you can buy it this Wednesday for $95,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "ret_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "ret_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "ret_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "ret_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "ret_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009020562746131722, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.042321369484142446, "alpha_c_stated": -0.042321369484142446, "price_path": [0.1126, 0.1218, 0.0925, 0.0844, 0.1098, 0.1209, 0.0959, 0.0852, 0.0474, 0.034, 0.0337, 0.033, 0.0428, 0.0247, 0.0476, 0.0341, 0.0435, 0.025, 0.0224, 0.0342, 0.0524, 0.0287, -0.0217, -0.0504, -0.0973, -0.0935, -0.0971, -0.0789, -0.0666, -0.0302, -0.0372, -0.0717, -0.1596, -0.1132, -0.104, -0.1324, -0.1014, -0.1002, -0.1148, -0.0705, -0.0993, -0.1006, -0.0636, -0.0639, -0.07, -0.067, -0.0973, -0.1166, -0.0885, -0.1173, -0.1106, -0.1027, -0.152, -0.1837, -0.1163, -0.1479, -0.1074, -0.0952, -0.1046, -0.1007, -0.0915, -0.0962, -0.0634, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0054, 0.0137, 0.0164, 0.009, 0.0082, 0.0326, 0.0371, 0.014, 0.036, 0.0384, 0.1049, 0.102, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1081, 0.1103, 0.1075, 0.1302, 0.1429, 0.1738, 0.1951, 0.1482, 0.1712, 0.1664, 0.1537, 0.1306, 0.113, 0.1331, 0.1283, 0.1208, 0.087, 0.1172, 0.1803, 0.18, 0.1631, 0.1336, 0.1354, 0.1429, 0.1194, 0.1224, 0.1203, 0.1056, 0.1299, 0.1349, 0.149, 0.1447, 0.146, 0.1465, 0.1312, 0.165, 0.1734, 0.1562, 0.159, 0.166, 0.1914, 0.2413, 0.2576, 0.2826, 0.2604, 0.2707, 0.2766, 0.2629, 0.2568, 0.2842, 0.2709, 0.2668, 0.2589, 0.262, 0.262, 0.261, 0.2388, 0.2127, 0.2315, 0.2215, 0.231, 0.2574, 0.2488, 0.2706, 0.2861, 0.32, 0.2667, 0.2564, 0.2441, 0.2075, 0.2229, 0.2031, 0.2508, 0.1785, 0.1965, 0.1903, 0.2044, 0.1602, 0.1692, 0.1901, 0.1956, 0.1849, 0.1842, 0.1994, 0.1936, 0.2195, 0.2361, 0.2425, 0.2355, 0.2504, 0.2464, 0.2536, 0.2381, 0.2066, 0.1988, 0.2128, 0.167, 0.1741, 0.2243, 0.2206, 0.2698, 0.2915, 0.3085, 0.3351, 0.2998, 0.3201, 0.3025, 0.2116, 0.2336, 0.2106, 0.1856]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1926475256320909714", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-25T03:07:47+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Get long $PEP at 52 week lows sub $130 just like $BUD at 52 week lows around $45 in January and then ride it up to $200+ over the next 1-2 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long PEP at 52-week lows sub $130, targeting $200+ over 1-2 years while collecting 4.4% yield.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pepsi is the next Anheuser-Busch. Get long $PEP at 52 week lows sub $130 just like $BUD at 52 week lows around $45 in January and then ride it up to $200+ over the next 1-2 years. Collect 4.4% yield while you wait. Investing doesn’t have to be hard if you focus on value.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01545242612300679, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01545242612300679, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004914809815833698, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004914809815833698, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005328325982999149, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005328325982999149, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0004571257579970567, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0004571257579970567, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": 0.0036540684945269852, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0036540684945269852, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004702415929240589, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004702415929240589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.014807504335795918, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014807504335795918, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04485872605794394, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04485872605794394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.15157163520938477, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15157163520938477, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05672664159299212, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05672664159299212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": 0.14317617693343165, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14317617693343165, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.015828811320564462, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.015828811320564462, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": 0.1770213256334987, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1770213256334987, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.10310491420712165, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10310491420712165, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1770213256334987, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10310491420712165, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10310491420712165, "price_path": [0.147, 0.158, 0.177, 0.1634, 0.1611, 0.1666, 0.1756, 0.1894, 0.1595, 0.1279, 0.1292, 0.1311, 0.152, 0.1341, 0.1274, 0.1201, 0.1072, 0.1148, 0.1079, 0.1315, 0.1393, 0.1363, 0.1414, 0.1393, 0.1351, 0.1522, 0.116, 0.09, 0.068, 0.1082, 0.0972, 0.0994, 0.1171, 0.0873, 0.0664, 0.0873, 0.0873, 0.0789, 0.092, 0.0829, 0.03, 0.0153, 0.0182, 0.0224, 0.032, 0.0166, 0.0181, 0.0047, -0.0048, 0.0042, 0.0005, -0.0071, 0.0024, -0.0081, -0.0222, 0.001, 0.0046, 0.0032, 0.0033, -0.0093, -0.0095, -0.0155, -0.0155, 0.0, -0.0053, 0.0042, 0.0006, -0.0035, 0.0037, 0.0028, -0.002, 0.0007, 0.0001, 0.0145, -0.0003, 0.0181, 0.007, 0.0113, -0.005, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0066, 0.0085, -0.0148, -0.0133, 0.0084, 0.0161, 0.0409, 0.0503, 0.0418, 0.0418, 0.0347, 0.0392, 0.0349, 0.0472, 0.0409, 0.0433, 0.0298, 0.0416, 0.1192, 0.1023, 0.0905, 0.1239, 0.1209, 0.1121, 0.1039, 0.0895, 0.1073, 0.0994, 0.0614, 0.0718, 0.074, 0.0732, 0.0835, 0.1076, 0.1175, 0.1149, 0.1303, 0.1493, 0.1437, 0.1574, 0.1509, 0.171, 0.16, 0.1465, 0.1516, 0.1405, 0.1313, 0.1362, 0.1311, 0.144, 0.144, 0.1565, 0.1439, 0.1304, 0.1376, 0.1012, 0.112, 0.1086, 0.1208, 0.1154, 0.0929, 0.0882, 0.0975, 0.0936, 0.1016, 0.0959, 0.1027, 0.1048, 0.0873, 0.0913, 0.0892, 0.0913, 0.1123, 0.1059, 0.1033, 0.0856, 0.0941, 0.0789, 0.1245, 0.1663, 0.157, 0.1776, 0.1746, 0.1864, 0.1945, 0.1939, 0.1903, 0.1892, 0.1774, 0.1777, 0.1861, 0.1666, 0.1358, 0.1466, 0.1352, 0.1159, 0.1105, 0.1101, 0.1002, 0.1108, 0.1083, 0.1274, 0.122, 0.1269, 0.1334, 0.1488, 0.1561, 0.1432]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914670603937956142", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-22T13:20:19+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now just wait until you learn about Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies Bitcoin will outperform or follow gold's breakout above $3,500; bullish BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Geiger_Capital Now just wait until you learn about Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Can’t sleep…\n\nWatching Gold break above $3,500. https://t.co/FcWbenYfQu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Geiger_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "ret_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "ret_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "ret_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "ret_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "ret_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17375705255321616, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06828529259983407, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06828529259983407, "price_path": [0.1126, 0.1218, 0.0925, 0.0844, 0.1098, 0.1209, 0.0959, 0.0852, 0.0474, 0.034, 0.0337, 0.033, 0.0428, 0.0247, 0.0476, 0.0341, 0.0435, 0.025, 0.0224, 0.0342, 0.0524, 0.0287, -0.0217, -0.0504, -0.0973, -0.0935, -0.0971, -0.0789, -0.0666, -0.0302, -0.0372, -0.0717, -0.1596, -0.1132, -0.104, -0.1324, -0.1014, -0.1002, -0.1148, -0.0705, -0.0993, -0.1006, -0.0636, -0.0639, -0.07, -0.067, -0.0973, -0.1166, -0.0885, -0.1173, -0.1106, -0.1027, -0.152, -0.1837, -0.1163, -0.1479, -0.1074, -0.0952, -0.1046, -0.1007, -0.0915, -0.0962, -0.0634, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0054, 0.0137, 0.0164, 0.009, 0.0082, 0.0326, 0.0371, 0.014, 0.036, 0.0384, 0.1049, 0.102, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1081, 0.1103, 0.1075, 0.1302, 0.1429, 0.1738, 0.1951, 0.1482, 0.1712, 0.1664, 0.1537, 0.1306, 0.113, 0.1331, 0.1283, 0.1208, 0.087, 0.1172, 0.1803, 0.18, 0.1631, 0.1336, 0.1354, 0.1429, 0.1194, 0.1224, 0.1203, 0.1056, 0.1299, 0.1349, 0.149, 0.1447, 0.146, 0.1465, 0.1312, 0.165, 0.1734, 0.1562, 0.159, 0.166, 0.1914, 0.2413, 0.2576, 0.2826, 0.2604, 0.2707, 0.2766, 0.2629, 0.2568, 0.2842, 0.2709, 0.2668, 0.2589, 0.262, 0.262, 0.261, 0.2388, 0.2127, 0.2315, 0.2215, 0.231, 0.2574, 0.2488, 0.2706, 0.2861, 0.32, 0.2667, 0.2564, 0.2441, 0.2075, 0.2229, 0.2031, 0.2508, 0.1785, 0.1965, 0.1903, 0.2044, 0.1602, 0.1692, 0.1901, 0.1956, 0.1849, 0.1842, 0.1994, 0.1936, 0.2195, 0.2361, 0.2425, 0.2355, 0.2504, 0.2464, 0.2536, 0.2381, 0.2066, 0.1988, 0.2128, 0.167, 0.1741, 0.2243, 0.2206, 0.2698, 0.2915, 0.3085, 0.3351, 0.2998, 0.3201, 0.3025, 0.2116, 0.2336, 0.2106, 0.1856]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914672589936713971", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-22T13:28:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It was always inevitable.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; endorses the higher-high / end-of-downtrend thesis as inevitable.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ No need for the chart. It was always inevitable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC attempting to make its first higher-high since the all time highs\n\nA higher-high would confirm an end to the downtrend: https://t.co/duHg6JbIjo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "ret_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "ret_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "ret_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "ret_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "ret_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17375705255321616, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06828529259983407, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06828529259983407, "price_path": [0.1126, 0.1218, 0.0925, 0.0844, 0.1098, 0.1209, 0.0959, 0.0852, 0.0474, 0.034, 0.0337, 0.033, 0.0428, 0.0247, 0.0476, 0.0341, 0.0435, 0.025, 0.0224, 0.0342, 0.0524, 0.0287, -0.0217, -0.0504, -0.0973, -0.0935, -0.0971, -0.0789, -0.0666, -0.0302, -0.0372, -0.0717, -0.1596, -0.1132, -0.104, -0.1324, -0.1014, -0.1002, -0.1148, -0.0705, -0.0993, -0.1006, -0.0636, -0.0639, -0.07, -0.067, -0.0973, -0.1166, -0.0885, -0.1173, -0.1106, -0.1027, -0.152, -0.1837, -0.1163, -0.1479, -0.1074, -0.0952, -0.1046, -0.1007, -0.0915, -0.0962, -0.0634, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0054, 0.0137, 0.0164, 0.009, 0.0082, 0.0326, 0.0371, 0.014, 0.036, 0.0384, 0.1049, 0.102, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1081, 0.1103, 0.1075, 0.1302, 0.1429, 0.1738, 0.1951, 0.1482, 0.1712, 0.1664, 0.1537, 0.1306, 0.113, 0.1331, 0.1283, 0.1208, 0.087, 0.1172, 0.1803, 0.18, 0.1631, 0.1336, 0.1354, 0.1429, 0.1194, 0.1224, 0.1203, 0.1056, 0.1299, 0.1349, 0.149, 0.1447, 0.146, 0.1465, 0.1312, 0.165, 0.1734, 0.1562, 0.159, 0.166, 0.1914, 0.2413, 0.2576, 0.2826, 0.2604, 0.2707, 0.2766, 0.2629, 0.2568, 0.2842, 0.2709, 0.2668, 0.2589, 0.262, 0.262, 0.261, 0.2388, 0.2127, 0.2315, 0.2215, 0.231, 0.2574, 0.2488, 0.2706, 0.2861, 0.32, 0.2667, 0.2564, 0.2441, 0.2075, 0.2229, 0.2031, 0.2508, 0.1785, 0.1965, 0.1903, 0.2044, 0.1602, 0.1692, 0.1901, 0.1956, 0.1849, 0.1842, 0.1994, 0.1936, 0.2195, 0.2361, 0.2425, 0.2355, 0.2504, 0.2464, 0.2536, 0.2381, 0.2066, 0.1988, 0.2128, 0.167, 0.1741, 0.2243, 0.2206, 0.2698, 0.2915, 0.3085, 0.3351, 0.2998, 0.3201, 0.3025, 0.2116, 0.2336, 0.2106, 0.1856]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925608364719186041", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-22T17:43:04+00:00", "symbol": "crypto miners", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy is building. I can see it in the way they are trading. They are under heavy accumulation imo.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish crypto miners: sees heavy accumulation and building energy, expects price discovery to close lag with BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA", "RIOT", "CLSK", "CORZ", "IREN"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Crypto miner equities basket", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmettLong8 Energy is building. I can see it in the way they are trading. They are under heavy accumulation imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred It is interesting that the lag between price discovery and that being reflected in the miners has still not really shown up.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmettLong8", "ret_m1d": -0.004274308630728507, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004274308630728507, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003879650128687828, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005468784187084496, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0011944755563559895, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03703470874226731, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03703470874226731, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03020885748521416, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03345104991079793, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003583658831469383, "ret_p1w": -0.06962066856744369, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06962066856744369, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08155701836692479, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08196373742472245, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01234306885727876, "ret_p1m": 0.02391208022144591, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02391208022144591, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0017082404850668371, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021323933768140613, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0025881464533052956, "ret_p3m": 0.3197614243692646, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3197614243692646, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21924281677286328, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2689897513706263, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05077167299863827, "ret_p6m": 0.9624635876297084, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9624635876297084, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8034921071731062, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9112391205604361, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.051224467069272306, "ret_p1y": 1.6401759926484907, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.6401759926484907, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.3577411513722215, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.6055290818671861, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03464691078130455, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02391208022144591, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0017082404850668371, "alpha_c_stated": 0.021323933768140613, "price_path": [-0.0176, -0.0982, -0.1132, -0.1191, -0.0689, -0.1173, -0.1365, -0.084, -0.1513, -0.1195, -0.2072, -0.1784, -0.1757, -0.2198, -0.177, -0.1759, -0.2363, -0.188, -0.1956, -0.2019, -0.1024, -0.1312, -0.197, -0.2081, -0.2602, -0.2926, -0.236, -0.1982, -0.2808, -0.2869, -0.2901, -0.3482, -0.2572, -0.3093, -0.2783, -0.2657, -0.3012, -0.3132, -0.2986, -0.2986, -0.3141, -0.2249, -0.209, -0.1923, -0.1664, -0.1867, -0.193, -0.2204, -0.1758, -0.1466, -0.1971, -0.1861, -0.1856, -0.1297, -0.0986, -0.0623, -0.0214, -0.0408, -0.0542, -0.0096, -0.007, -0.0095, -0.0043, 0.0, -0.037, -0.037, 0.0218, -0.048, -0.0696, -0.0866, -0.0623, -0.0059, 0.0411, -0.0127, 0.0556, 0.097, 0.1117, 0.0952, 0.0707, 0.0295, 0.0655, 0.0141, 0.0245, 0.0245, 0.0239, 0.0073, 0.092, 0.1129, 0.234, 0.2535, 0.3059, 0.3241, 0.4151, 0.4411, 0.4411, 0.3412, 0.3407, 0.376, 0.3963, 0.3596, 0.4035, 0.3754, 0.4145, 0.4542, 0.4515, 0.4416, 0.4831, 0.456, 0.443, 0.4212, 0.3988, 0.3381, 0.3343, 0.3331, 0.2219, 0.2829, 0.2826, 0.3422, 0.3453, 0.3122, 0.3043, 0.3211, 0.3019, 0.3436, 0.3366, 0.3952, 0.3198, 0.3557, 0.3386, 0.415, 0.4363, 0.4596, 0.4438, 0.4678, 0.5396, 0.5396, 0.6017, 0.554, 0.4862, 0.4938, 0.5024, 0.6588, 0.7929, 0.7527, 0.7984, 0.891, 0.9273, 0.9649, 0.993, 1.04, 1.1245, 1.1042, 1.2508, 1.1657, 1.0778, 1.2922, 1.2956, 1.3035, 1.3252, 1.415, 1.6738, 1.7481, 1.7535, 1.8729, 1.7292, 1.8873, 2.0749, 2.0904, 1.7973, 1.7533, 1.7943, 1.6439, 1.4569, 1.5995, 1.8341, 1.9414, 1.8278, 1.8057, 1.695, 1.7437, 1.9272, 1.8097, 2.0286, 1.7273, 1.6161, 1.5441, 1.3891, 1.3042, 1.045, 0.9625]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1934289339493855716", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-15T16:38:10+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It turns out there may be some demand for IREN's infrastructure", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN: implies strong demand for its infrastructure in context of Oracle's astronomical AI demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FransBakker9812 It turns out there may be some demand for IREN’s infrastructure", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN $ORCL\nOracle is Scrambling to Meet ‘Astronomical’ AI Demand\n\nEllison:  Oracle is building data centers as fast as it can, and still cannot keep up with customer demand, the company’s leadership said in an earnings call.\n\n“We recently got an order that said ‘we'll take all https://t.co/SSk3M5tnsh", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FransBakker9812", "ret_m1d": -0.05480766497420031, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05480766497420031, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04538299007418689, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04352732504467405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011280339929526262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.060576844603349445, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.060576844603349445, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.052031673204918305, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0548376298153227, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0057392147880267474, "ret_p1w": 0.02500002292486414, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02500002292486414, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026254167805915496, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015814048287262406, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009185974637601735, "ret_p1m": 0.62307690191551, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.62307690191551, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5877360398788412, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5974087916945843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025668110220925744, "ret_p3m": 2.158653815293452, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.158653815293452, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.064251992696004, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.085723592467601, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07293022282585082, "ret_p6m": 3.5038463337181653, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.5038463337181653, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.364006714735021, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.4423266130284134, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06151972068975198, "ret_p1y": 5.29615439987749, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.29615439987749, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.03033134727324, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.273879892245653, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.02227450763183625, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.62307690191551, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5877360398788412, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5974087916945843, "price_path": [-0.3077, -0.3067, -0.3125, -0.2606, -0.2885, -0.3548, -0.3788, -0.4163, -0.4144, -0.3615, -0.35, -0.4192, -0.4288, -0.4346, -0.4904, -0.4327, -0.4721, -0.4587, -0.4471, -0.476, -0.474, -0.4625, -0.4625, -0.4702, -0.4173, -0.4135, -0.3942, -0.3712, -0.3856, -0.3971, -0.4125, -0.3875, -0.3721, -0.4048, -0.375, -0.3683, -0.3375, -0.3231, -0.2779, -0.2192, -0.2337, -0.2548, -0.1913, -0.1788, -0.1721, -0.1452, -0.1077, -0.1231, -0.1231, -0.1115, -0.1481, -0.1731, -0.1933, -0.1606, -0.1452, -0.0933, -0.1394, -0.0625, -0.0058, 0.0087, -0.0096, -0.0221, -0.0548, 0.0, -0.0606, -0.0577, -0.0577, 0.0067, 0.025, 0.1096, 0.1413, 0.2606, 0.3462, 0.401, 0.4644, 0.5058, 0.6173, 0.6173, 0.6298, 0.624, 0.6308, 0.6375, 0.5606, 0.6615, 0.6231, 0.6644, 0.7356, 0.725, 0.7452, 0.7875, 0.826, 0.7442, 0.7038, 0.5942, 0.5183, 0.5519, 0.549, 0.4808, 0.5846, 0.5817, 0.7615, 0.7856, 0.774, 0.7279, 0.7144, 0.7048, 0.8346, 0.8933, 0.9909, 0.801, 0.9, 0.8837, 1.0606, 1.2231, 1.2106, 1.1495, 1.2154, 1.5462, 1.5462, 1.799, 1.7125, 1.5125, 1.5144, 1.5183, 1.9029, 2.2337, 2.1587, 2.2654, 2.5712, 2.5048, 2.6442, 2.4923, 2.7154, 3.0288, 3.0163, 3.5327, 3.451, 3.025, 3.4163, 3.5125, 3.5269, 3.5212, 3.8519, 4.5529, 4.9308, 4.7779, 5.1394, 4.7471, 5.1673, 5.6885, 5.5365, 4.9452, 4.8385, 4.6942, 4.3072, 3.9837, 4.3712, 5.0481, 5.249, 5.0019, 4.8096, 4.5981, 4.8413, 5.5144, 5.4067, 6.3471, 5.4385, 4.9981, 4.7856, 4.5173, 4.3558, 3.6779, 3.4587, 3.5587, 3.6971, 3.4067, 3.1798, 3.0635, 3.6625, 3.5644, 3.6587, 3.6587, 3.5971, 3.6625, 2.9538, 3.2269, 3.4663, 3.299, 3.4558, 3.5038]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1908872512126992639", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-06T13:20:46+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like the stonk", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish IREN setup; decisive if terse positive verdict on the stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@elcapital618 I like the stonk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN\n\nPure technically speaking: \n\nIF this level holds, which I think is more probable than not, I expect $18 next, followed by $28 (ATH) this year.\n\nI don't hold IREN myself, but this is what I observe when looking at this chart. \n\nLet's see how this will play out https://t.co/V1pkxC71c2", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "elcapitalx", "ret_m1d": 0.010204071702683226, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010204071702683226, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00841970495684441, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007709104573053072, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017843667458388168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024949671296301545, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09863944088735821, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09863944088735821, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0829766865704602, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09478365473070083, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01566275431689801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038557861566573814, "ret_p1w": -0.022108862569857002, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022108862569857002, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09098565211354892, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09151239623820373, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06887678954369192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06940353366834673, "ret_p1m": 0.1054421553558138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1054421553558138, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002452639774868981, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009549917774168692, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10789479513068279, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1149920731299825, "ret_p3m": 1.8605441101124023, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8605441101124023, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.617059653313779, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.6500136366708111, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.24348445679862318, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21053047344159115, "ret_p6m": 6.9812924135696175, "ret_signed_p6m": 6.9812924135696175, "alpha_spy_p6m": 6.6529254306495815, "alpha_c_p6m": 6.751250166905454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3283669829200355, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23004224666416406, "ret_p1y": 6.045918282114698, "ret_signed_p1y": 6.045918282114698, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.728757677020362, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.909562981303602, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31716060509433586, "bench_c_p1y": 0.13635530081109581, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1054421553558138, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.002452639774868981, "alpha_c_stated": -0.009549917774168692, "price_path": [0.7874, 0.7874, 0.8707, 0.7789, 0.8656, 0.9643, 0.9473, 1.0391, 1.0391, 0.8384, 0.983, 1.0884, 1.2653, 0.716, 0.7143, 0.6973, 0.7517, 0.7381, 0.8163, 0.8163, 0.8827, 0.9711, 1.1207, 1.1871, 1.1122, 1.2126, 1.2245, 1.2126, 1.2126, 1.2058, 1.2109, 1.102, 0.8503, 0.7279, 0.4932, 0.4439, 0.3367, 0.4014, 0.2874, 0.2823, 0.3707, 0.2959, 0.3095, 0.1259, 0.199, 0.1973, 0.148, 0.2262, 0.25, 0.1207, 0.2245, 0.2262, 0.216, 0.3078, 0.2585, 0.1412, 0.0986, 0.0323, 0.0357, 0.1293, 0.1497, 0.0272, 0.0102, 0.0, -0.0986, 0.0034, -0.0663, -0.0425, -0.0221, -0.0731, -0.0697, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0629, 0.0306, 0.0374, 0.0714, 0.1122, 0.0867, 0.0663, 0.0391, 0.0833, 0.1105, 0.0527, 0.1054, 0.1173, 0.1718, 0.1973, 0.2772, 0.381, 0.3554, 0.318, 0.4303, 0.4524, 0.4643, 0.5119, 0.5782, 0.551, 0.551, 0.5714, 0.5068, 0.4626, 0.4269, 0.4847, 0.5119, 0.6037, 0.5221, 0.6582, 0.7585, 0.784, 0.7517, 0.7296, 0.6718, 0.7687, 0.6616, 0.6667, 0.6667, 0.7806, 0.8129, 0.9626, 1.0187, 1.2296, 1.381, 1.4779, 1.5901, 1.6633, 1.8605, 1.8605, 1.8827, 1.8724, 1.8844, 1.8963, 1.7602, 1.9388, 1.8707, 1.9439, 2.0697, 2.051, 2.0867, 2.1616, 2.2296, 2.085, 2.0136, 1.8197, 1.6854, 1.7449, 1.7398, 1.619, 1.8027, 1.7976, 2.1156, 2.1582, 2.1378, 2.0561, 2.0323, 2.0153, 2.2449, 2.3486, 2.5213, 2.1854, 2.3605, 2.3316, 2.6446, 2.932, 2.9099, 2.8019, 2.9184, 3.5034, 3.5034, 3.9507, 3.7976, 3.4439, 3.4473, 3.4541, 4.1344, 4.7194, 4.5867, 4.7755, 5.3163, 5.199, 5.4456, 5.1769, 5.5714, 6.1259, 6.1037, 7.017, 6.8724, 6.119, 6.8112, 6.9813]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925004006046499170", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-21T01:41:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "He has been bearish on Bitcoin for 10+ years. One of the worst calls of all time. Not listening, sorry.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses JPM CEO's bearish Bitcoin call; implicitly long BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AAGresearch He has been bearish on Bitcoin for 10+ years. One of the worst calls of all time. Not listening, sorry.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "When the CEO of the largest bank in the US is bearish, you better listen https://t.co/QKa4vqIayh", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AAGresearch", "ret_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0434621164730119, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0434621164730119, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017796634319811044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017796634319811044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "ret_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025457775566363527, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025457775566363527, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "ret_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07054597361965143, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07054597361965143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "ret_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04701738714210868, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04701738714210868, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "ret_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2506179462930155, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2506179462930155, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "ret_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5489155890092844, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5489155890092844, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07054597361965143, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07054597361965143, "price_path": [-0.1236, -0.1665, -0.1909, -0.231, -0.2277, -0.2307, -0.2153, -0.2047, -0.1737, -0.1798, -0.2091, -0.284, -0.2445, -0.2367, -0.2609, -0.2344, -0.2334, -0.2458, -0.2081, -0.2326, -0.2337, -0.2022, -0.2025, -0.2077, -0.2052, -0.2309, -0.2474, -0.2235, -0.2479, -0.2423, -0.2355, -0.2776, -0.3046, -0.2471, -0.274, -0.2395, -0.2292, -0.2371, -0.2338, -0.226, -0.23, -0.202, -0.148, -0.1457, -0.1435, -0.1364, -0.134, -0.1403, -0.1411, -0.1202, -0.1164, -0.1361, -0.1174, -0.1153, -0.0587, -0.0612, -0.0626, -0.0502, -0.056, -0.0541, -0.0564, -0.0371, -0.0263, 0.0, 0.0182, -0.0218, -0.0022, -0.0062, -0.0171, -0.0368, -0.0518, -0.0346, -0.0387, -0.0451, -0.0739, -0.0482, 0.0056, 0.0053, -0.009, -0.0342, -0.0327, -0.0263, -0.0463, -0.0437, -0.0455, -0.0581, -0.0374, -0.0331, -0.0211, -0.0248, -0.0236, -0.0232, -0.0363, -0.0075, -0.0003, -0.015, -0.0126, -0.0066, 0.015, 0.0575, 0.0715, 0.0927, 0.0738, 0.0826, 0.0876, 0.0759, 0.0708, 0.0941, 0.0828, 0.0792, 0.0726, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0743, 0.0554, 0.0332, 0.0492, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0713, 0.0639, 0.0825, 0.0957, 0.1246, 0.0792, 0.0704, 0.0599, 0.0287, 0.0419, 0.025, 0.0656, 0.0041, 0.0194, 0.0141, 0.0261, -0.0116, -0.0039, 0.0139, 0.0186, 0.0095, 0.0089, 0.0218, 0.0169, 0.039, 0.0532, 0.0586, 0.0526, 0.0653, 0.0619, 0.068, 0.0548, 0.028, 0.0213, 0.0333, -0.0057, 0.0003, 0.0431, 0.0399, 0.0818, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1374, 0.1073, 0.1247, 0.1097, 0.0322, 0.051, 0.0314, 0.0101, -0.0136, -0.0293, 0.0083, -0.011, -0.0181, 0.0036, 0.0124, 0.0405, 0.0299, 0.0034, -0.0125, -0.0011, -0.0285, -0.0737, -0.0528, -0.0764, -0.0575, -0.0336, -0.0609, -0.0731, -0.091]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920623086841307539", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-08T23:33:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "retail FOMO wouldn't even really start until around $500,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; 2017 fractal implies retail FOMO doesn't kick in until ~$500K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@blackwidowbtc Using this fractal, retail FOMO wouldn’t even really start until around $500,000. Insane.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "2017 fractal overlay (update)\n\n#Bitcoin https://t.co/lRvhAwSchG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blackwidowbtc", "ret_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06141766635851398, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06141766635851398, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.035668450558274056, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.035668450558274056, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "ret_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048037475993248924, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048037475993248924, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "ret_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05149345302266295, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05149345302266295, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "ret_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01901166668031884, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01901166668031884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "ret_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15664798281384784, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15664798281384784, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "ret_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5261825043150228, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5261825043150228, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011128114635994057, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05149345302266295, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05149345302266295, "price_path": [-0.0562, -0.0726, -0.0519, -0.0641, -0.0555, -0.0723, -0.0746, -0.064, -0.0475, -0.0689, -0.1145, -0.1405, -0.183, -0.1796, -0.1828, -0.1664, -0.1552, -0.1222, -0.1286, -0.1598, -0.2393, -0.1974, -0.1891, -0.2148, -0.1867, -0.1856, -0.1988, -0.1587, -0.1848, -0.186, -0.1525, -0.1527, -0.1583, -0.1556, -0.183, -0.2004, -0.175, -0.201, -0.1951, -0.1879, -0.2325, -0.2612, -0.2002, -0.2287, -0.1921, -0.1811, -0.1896, -0.186, -0.1777, -0.182, -0.1523, -0.0949, -0.0924, -0.0901, -0.0825, -0.08, -0.0868, -0.0875, -0.0654, -0.0613, -0.0823, -0.0624, -0.0601, 0.0, -0.0026, -0.0042, 0.009, 0.0029, 0.0049, 0.0024, 0.0229, 0.0344, 0.0623, 0.0817, 0.0392, 0.06, 0.0557, 0.0442, 0.0232, 0.0073, 0.0256, 0.0212, 0.0144, -0.0161, 0.0111, 0.0683, 0.068, 0.0527, 0.026, 0.0276, 0.0344, 0.0132, 0.0159, 0.014, 0.0007, 0.0226, 0.0272, 0.0399, 0.036, 0.0373, 0.0377, 0.0238, 0.0544, 0.0621, 0.0464, 0.049, 0.0553, 0.0783, 0.1235, 0.1383, 0.1609, 0.1408, 0.1501, 0.1554, 0.143, 0.1375, 0.1623, 0.1503, 0.1465, 0.1394, 0.1422, 0.1422, 0.1413, 0.1212, 0.0976, 0.1146, 0.1056, 0.1142, 0.1381, 0.1303, 0.15, 0.164, 0.1947, 0.1464, 0.1371, 0.126, 0.0929, 0.1069, 0.0889, 0.132, 0.0667, 0.0829, 0.0773, 0.0901, 0.0501, 0.0582, 0.0771, 0.0822, 0.0725, 0.0718, 0.0855, 0.0803, 0.1038, 0.1188, 0.1246, 0.1182, 0.1317, 0.1281, 0.1346, 0.1206, 0.0921, 0.085, 0.0977, 0.0563, 0.0627, 0.1081, 0.1048, 0.1492, 0.1689, 0.1843, 0.2084, 0.1764, 0.1948, 0.1788, 0.0966, 0.1165, 0.0957, 0.073, 0.0479, 0.0313, 0.0712, 0.0507, 0.0431, 0.0661, 0.0755, 0.1054, 0.0941, 0.066, 0.0491, 0.0612]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1927071427087171806", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-26T18:36:46+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$150,000 is just around the corner", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC on track to $150K; higher highs and higher lows confirm uptrend.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Higher highs, higher lows. Tick tock. $150,000 is just around the corner.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "price_path": [-0.2293, -0.226, -0.2291, -0.2136, -0.203, -0.1719, -0.178, -0.2074, -0.2824, -0.2429, -0.235, -0.2593, -0.2327, -0.2318, -0.2442, -0.2064, -0.2309, -0.2321, -0.2005, -0.2007, -0.206, -0.2034, -0.2292, -0.2457, -0.2218, -0.2463, -0.2407, -0.2339, -0.276, -0.3031, -0.2455, -0.2724, -0.2379, -0.2275, -0.2355, -0.2321, -0.2243, -0.2283, -0.2003, -0.1462, -0.1438, -0.1416, -0.1345, -0.1321, -0.1385, -0.1392, -0.1183, -0.1145, -0.1342, -0.1155, -0.1134, -0.0566, -0.0591, -0.0606, -0.0482, -0.0539, -0.052, -0.0544, -0.035, -0.0242, 0.0022, 0.0204, -0.0197, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.015, -0.0347, -0.0497, -0.0325, -0.0366, -0.043, -0.0719, -0.0461, 0.0078, 0.0075, -0.0069, -0.0321, -0.0306, -0.0242, -0.0442, -0.0416, -0.0435, -0.056, -0.0353, -0.031, -0.019, -0.0227, -0.0215, -0.0211, -0.0342, -0.0053, 0.0019, -0.0128, -0.0104, -0.0045, 0.0172, 0.0598, 0.0738, 0.0951, 0.0762, 0.085, 0.09, 0.0782, 0.0731, 0.0964, 0.0851, 0.0816, 0.0749, 0.0775, 0.0775, 0.0767, 0.0577, 0.0355, 0.0515, 0.043, 0.0511, 0.0736, 0.0662, 0.0849, 0.0981, 0.127, 0.0815, 0.0727, 0.0622, 0.031, 0.0442, 0.0272, 0.0679, 0.0062, 0.0216, 0.0163, 0.0284, -0.0094, -0.0017, 0.0161, 0.0209, 0.0117, 0.0111, 0.024, 0.0191, 0.0413, 0.0554, 0.0609, 0.0549, 0.0676, 0.0642, 0.0703, 0.0571, 0.0302, 0.0235, 0.0355, -0.0036, 0.0025, 0.0453, 0.0422, 0.0841, 0.1027, 0.1172, 0.1399, 0.1097, 0.1271, 0.1121, 0.0345, 0.0533, 0.0336, 0.0123, -0.0115, -0.0272, 0.0105, -0.0088, -0.016, 0.0058, 0.0146, 0.0428, 0.0321, 0.0056, -0.0104, 0.0011, -0.0264, -0.0717, -0.0507, -0.0744, -0.0554, -0.0315, -0.0589, -0.0711, -0.089, -0.1374, -0.1585, -0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1917751869042221347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-01T01:24:10+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Even if you're not in crypto", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses having BTC exposure even for non-crypto investors; implicitly bullish Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@udiWertheimer Even if you’re not in crypto", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "if you’re in crypto and you don’t have any bitcoin exposure you’re out of your fucking mind\n\nabsolutely batshit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "udiWertheimer", "ret_m1d": -0.02368088009580427, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02368088009580427, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016643771472353852, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016643771472353852, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0043291974532626565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0043291974532626565, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010514939057955752, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010514939057955752, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "ret_p1w": 0.06994467420056605, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06994467420056605, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05814452826279615, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05814452826279615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "ret_p1m": 0.07779099036281956, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07779099036281956, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02242540560985873, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02242540560985873, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "ret_p3m": 0.2220882341772772, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2220882341772772, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08122470549775684, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08122470549775684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "ret_p6m": 0.15070197851691436, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15070197851691436, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06894345299252191, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06894345299252191, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "ret_p1y": -0.21369378510388493, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21369378510388493, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.497280086104525, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.497280086104525, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07779099036281956, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02242540560985873, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02242540560985873, "price_path": [0.0509, 0.0143, 0.0013, 0.001, 0.0004, 0.0098, -0.0077, 0.0144, 0.0014, 0.0105, -0.0075, -0.0099, 0.0015, 0.0191, -0.0038, -0.0526, -0.0804, -0.1259, -0.1222, -0.1256, -0.1081, -0.0961, -0.0608, -0.0677, -0.101, -0.1861, -0.1413, -0.1323, -0.1599, -0.1298, -0.1287, -0.1427, -0.0999, -0.1277, -0.129, -0.0932, -0.0935, -0.0994, -0.0965, -0.1258, -0.1445, -0.1173, -0.1452, -0.1388, -0.1311, -0.1788, -0.2096, -0.1442, -0.1748, -0.1356, -0.1238, -0.1329, -0.1291, -0.1202, -0.1248, -0.093, -0.0316, -0.0289, -0.0264, -0.0184, -0.0157, -0.0229, -0.0237, 0.0, 0.0043, -0.0181, 0.0032, 0.0056, 0.0699, 0.0671, 0.0655, 0.0796, 0.073, 0.0752, 0.0725, 0.0945, 0.1067, 0.1367, 0.1573, 0.1119, 0.1342, 0.1296, 0.1172, 0.0948, 0.0778, 0.0973, 0.0927, 0.0854, 0.0527, 0.0819, 0.143, 0.1427, 0.1264, 0.0978, 0.0995, 0.1068, 0.084, 0.087, 0.0849, 0.0707, 0.0942, 0.099, 0.1126, 0.1085, 0.1098, 0.1103, 0.0954, 0.1282, 0.1363, 0.1196, 0.1224, 0.1291, 0.1537, 0.202, 0.2179, 0.2421, 0.2206, 0.2305, 0.2363, 0.2229, 0.2171, 0.2436, 0.2307, 0.2267, 0.2191, 0.2221, 0.2221, 0.2211, 0.1997, 0.1744, 0.1925, 0.1829, 0.1921, 0.2177, 0.2093, 0.2305, 0.2454, 0.2783, 0.2266, 0.2167, 0.2048, 0.1693, 0.1843, 0.1651, 0.2112, 0.1413, 0.1587, 0.1527, 0.1664, 0.1235, 0.1322, 0.1524, 0.1578, 0.1475, 0.1467, 0.1615, 0.1558, 0.181, 0.1971, 0.2032, 0.1964, 0.2109, 0.207, 0.214, 0.1989, 0.1685, 0.1609, 0.1745, 0.1301, 0.137, 0.1856, 0.182, 0.2296, 0.2507, 0.2671, 0.2929, 0.2587, 0.2784, 0.2613, 0.1733, 0.1946, 0.1723, 0.1481, 0.1212, 0.1034, 0.1461, 0.1242, 0.116, 0.1407, 0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1929998676669448369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-03T20:28:36+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy Bitcoin Elon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy Bitcoin as a hedge against unsustainable US deficit and debt.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@elonmusk Buy Bitcoin Elon", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "It will massively increase the already gigantic budget deficit to $2.5 trillion (!!!) and burden America citizens with crushingly unsustainable debt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "elonmusk", "ret_m1d": 0.004259242957355136, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004259242957355136, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003990658407281522, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003990658407281522, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0066439151364365845, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0066439151364365845, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018111588721381189, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018111588721381189, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "ret_p1w": 0.04576166793969727, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04576166793969727, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03664983841049807, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03664983841049807, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "ret_p1m": 0.03250281059647486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03250281059647486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019950941917091125, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019950941917091125, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "ret_p3m": 0.0282490510068798, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0282490510068798, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05737676293880689, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05737676293880689, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "ret_p6m": -0.14145643879272252, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14145643879272252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28853639192648417, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28853639192648417, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "ret_p1y": -0.26456078668839855, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26456078668839855, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5301251626972134, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5301251626972134, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03250281059647486, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019950941917091125, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019950941917091125, "price_path": [-0.1467, -0.1773, -0.2551, -0.2141, -0.2059, -0.2311, -0.2036, -0.2026, -0.2154, -0.1762, -0.2017, -0.2029, -0.1701, -0.1704, -0.1758, -0.1731, -0.1999, -0.217, -0.1922, -0.2176, -0.2118, -0.2048, -0.2485, -0.2766, -0.2168, -0.2448, -0.2089, -0.1981, -0.2064, -0.203, -0.1948, -0.199, -0.1699, -0.1137, -0.1113, -0.109, -0.1016, -0.0992, -0.1057, -0.1065, -0.0848, -0.0808, -0.1013, -0.0819, -0.0797, -0.0208, -0.0233, -0.0248, -0.012, -0.018, -0.016, -0.0184, 0.0016, 0.0129, 0.0403, 0.0592, 0.0176, 0.038, 0.0338, 0.0225, 0.002, -0.0136, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0066, -0.0366, -0.0099, 0.0461, 0.0458, 0.0309, 0.0047, 0.0062, 0.0129, -0.0079, -0.0052, -0.0071, -0.0201, 0.0014, 0.0058, 0.0183, 0.0145, 0.0157, 0.0162, 0.0025, 0.0325, 0.04, 0.0247, 0.0272, 0.0334, 0.0559, 0.1001, 0.1146, 0.1367, 0.1171, 0.1262, 0.1314, 0.1192, 0.1139, 0.1381, 0.1264, 0.1227, 0.1157, 0.1185, 0.1185, 0.1176, 0.0979, 0.0748, 0.0914, 0.0826, 0.091, 0.1144, 0.1068, 0.1261, 0.1398, 0.1699, 0.1226, 0.1135, 0.1026, 0.0702, 0.0839, 0.0663, 0.1085, 0.0445, 0.0604, 0.0549, 0.0675, 0.0282, 0.0362, 0.0547, 0.0597, 0.0502, 0.0495, 0.063, 0.0578, 0.0808, 0.0956, 0.1012, 0.095, 0.1082, 0.1047, 0.111, 0.0973, 0.0694, 0.0624, 0.0749, 0.0343, 0.0406, 0.0851, 0.0818, 0.1254, 0.1446, 0.1597, 0.1832, 0.1519, 0.17, 0.1543, 0.0738, 0.0933, 0.0729, 0.0507, 0.0261, 0.0098, 0.0489, 0.0289, 0.0214, 0.044, 0.0531, 0.0824, 0.0714, 0.0438, 0.0273, 0.0391, 0.0106, -0.0364, -0.0146, -0.0392, -0.0195, 0.0054, -0.0231, -0.0358, -0.0544, -0.1047, -0.1265, -0.1184, -0.1325, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.1628, -0.1716, -0.1415]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1924986596996358557", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-21T00:32:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we're headed to $200,000-$315,000 soon so the only question you should be asking is: \"Do I have enough Bitcoin?\"", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC targeting $200K–$315K; urges accumulation.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin closed over $107,000 for the first time in the history of the asset and protocol. That’s great but we’re headed to $200,000-$315,000 soon so the only question you should be asking is: “Do I have enough Bitcoin?”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0434621164730119, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0434621164730119, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017796634319811044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017796634319811044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "ret_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025457775566363527, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025457775566363527, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "ret_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07054597361965143, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07054597361965143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "ret_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04701738714210868, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04701738714210868, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "ret_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2506179462930155, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2506179462930155, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "ret_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5489155890092844, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5489155890092844, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07054597361965143, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07054597361965143, "price_path": [-0.1236, -0.1665, -0.1909, -0.231, -0.2277, -0.2307, -0.2153, -0.2047, -0.1737, -0.1798, -0.2091, -0.284, -0.2445, -0.2367, -0.2609, -0.2344, -0.2334, -0.2458, -0.2081, -0.2326, -0.2337, -0.2022, -0.2025, -0.2077, -0.2052, -0.2309, -0.2474, -0.2235, -0.2479, -0.2423, -0.2355, -0.2776, -0.3046, -0.2471, -0.274, -0.2395, -0.2292, -0.2371, -0.2338, -0.226, -0.23, -0.202, -0.148, -0.1457, -0.1435, -0.1364, -0.134, -0.1403, -0.1411, -0.1202, -0.1164, -0.1361, -0.1174, -0.1153, -0.0587, -0.0612, -0.0626, -0.0502, -0.056, -0.0541, -0.0564, -0.0371, -0.0263, 0.0, 0.0182, -0.0218, -0.0022, -0.0062, -0.0171, -0.0368, -0.0518, -0.0346, -0.0387, -0.0451, -0.0739, -0.0482, 0.0056, 0.0053, -0.009, -0.0342, -0.0327, -0.0263, -0.0463, -0.0437, -0.0455, -0.0581, -0.0374, -0.0331, -0.0211, -0.0248, -0.0236, -0.0232, -0.0363, -0.0075, -0.0003, -0.015, -0.0126, -0.0066, 0.015, 0.0575, 0.0715, 0.0927, 0.0738, 0.0826, 0.0876, 0.0759, 0.0708, 0.0941, 0.0828, 0.0792, 0.0726, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0743, 0.0554, 0.0332, 0.0492, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0713, 0.0639, 0.0825, 0.0957, 0.1246, 0.0792, 0.0704, 0.0599, 0.0287, 0.0419, 0.025, 0.0656, 0.0041, 0.0194, 0.0141, 0.0261, -0.0116, -0.0039, 0.0139, 0.0186, 0.0095, 0.0089, 0.0218, 0.0169, 0.039, 0.0532, 0.0586, 0.0526, 0.0653, 0.0619, 0.068, 0.0548, 0.028, 0.0213, 0.0333, -0.0057, 0.0003, 0.0431, 0.0399, 0.0818, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1374, 0.1073, 0.1247, 0.1097, 0.0322, 0.051, 0.0314, 0.0101, -0.0136, -0.0293, 0.0083, -0.011, -0.0181, 0.0036, 0.0124, 0.0405, 0.0299, 0.0034, -0.0125, -0.0011, -0.0285, -0.0737, -0.0528, -0.0764, -0.0575, -0.0336, -0.0609, -0.0731, -0.091]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1923508343336992954", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-16T22:38:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You're still not bullish enough", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author implies parent's bullish BTC corporate-adoption view is too conservative; more bullish on BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EricBalchunas You’re still not bullish enough", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Anyone out there tracking the # of companies adding btc to balance sheet? Would love to see a chart. Feels like you'd hear about one a week announcing it but lately it feels like 3-4/day.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EricBalchunas", "ret_m1d": 0.0024674202017735958, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0024674202017735958, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0035600447106075572, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0035600447106075572, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020455166367232103, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020455166367232103, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023817320043448942, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023817320043448942, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.036704357010376, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036704357010376, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06316478633553968, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06316478633553968, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": 0.03195952721254591, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03195952721254591, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.027454076888098644, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027454076888098644, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.19185341417805235, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19185341417805235, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10442514074744236, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10442514074744236, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": 0.024227673319755505, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.024227673319755505, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13054813940101173, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13054813940101173, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.21801516446184155, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21801516446184155, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.46579589123558485, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.46579589123558485, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03195952721254591, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.027454076888098644, "alpha_c_stated": 0.027454076888098644, "price_path": [-0.0768, -0.0662, -0.0498, -0.0712, -0.1166, -0.1426, -0.185, -0.1815, -0.1847, -0.1684, -0.1572, -0.1243, -0.1307, -0.1618, -0.2412, -0.1993, -0.191, -0.2167, -0.1886, -0.1876, -0.2007, -0.1607, -0.1867, -0.1879, -0.1545, -0.1548, -0.1603, -0.1576, -0.1849, -0.2023, -0.177, -0.203, -0.197, -0.1898, -0.2344, -0.263, -0.2021, -0.2306, -0.1941, -0.1831, -0.1915, -0.188, -0.1797, -0.184, -0.1543, -0.0971, -0.0946, -0.0922, -0.0847, -0.0822, -0.0889, -0.0897, -0.0676, -0.0636, -0.0845, -0.0646, -0.0624, -0.0024, -0.005, -0.0065, 0.0066, 0.0005, 0.0025, 0.0, 0.0205, 0.0319, 0.0598, 0.0791, 0.0367, 0.0575, 0.0532, 0.0417, 0.0208, 0.0049, 0.0231, 0.0188, 0.012, -0.0185, 0.0087, 0.0658, 0.0654, 0.0502, 0.0236, 0.0251, 0.032, 0.0107, 0.0135, 0.0115, -0.0017, 0.0202, 0.0247, 0.0374, 0.0335, 0.0348, 0.0352, 0.0213, 0.0519, 0.0595, 0.0439, 0.0465, 0.0528, 0.0757, 0.1208, 0.1355, 0.1581, 0.1381, 0.1474, 0.1527, 0.1402, 0.1348, 0.1595, 0.1475, 0.1438, 0.1367, 0.1395, 0.1395, 0.1386, 0.1186, 0.095, 0.1119, 0.1029, 0.1115, 0.1354, 0.1275, 0.1473, 0.1612, 0.1919, 0.1437, 0.1344, 0.1233, 0.0903, 0.1042, 0.0863, 0.1293, 0.0641, 0.0803, 0.0747, 0.0875, 0.0476, 0.0557, 0.0745, 0.0796, 0.0699, 0.0692, 0.0829, 0.0777, 0.1011, 0.1161, 0.1219, 0.1155, 0.129, 0.1254, 0.1319, 0.1179, 0.0895, 0.0824, 0.0951, 0.0537, 0.0601, 0.1054, 0.1021, 0.1465, 0.1661, 0.1814, 0.2055, 0.1736, 0.192, 0.176, 0.094, 0.1138, 0.093, 0.0705, 0.0454, 0.0288, 0.0686, 0.0482, 0.0406, 0.0636, 0.0729, 0.1027, 0.0915, 0.0634, 0.0465, 0.0586, 0.0296, -0.0183, 0.0039, -0.0211, -0.0011, 0.0242]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914145466503278883", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-21T02:33:36+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I own a shit ton of Bitcoin and they are powering up the money printers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC; bullish on money-printing catalyst driving Bitcoin higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SpecialSitsNews It’s a fantastic sign. I own a shit ton of Bitcoin and they are powering up the money printers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin up, stocks down is not a good sign", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SpecialSitsNews", "ret_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "price_path": [0.1844, 0.1879, 0.1977, 0.1665, 0.1578, 0.1849, 0.1967, 0.1701, 0.1587, 0.1183, 0.1039, 0.1037, 0.103, 0.1133, 0.094, 0.1185, 0.104, 0.1141, 0.0943, 0.0916, 0.1042, 0.1236, 0.0983, 0.0446, 0.0139, -0.0362, -0.0322, -0.0359, -0.0166, -0.0034, 0.0355, 0.0279, -0.0089, -0.1027, -0.0532, -0.0434, -0.0737, -0.0406, -0.0393, -0.0548, -0.0076, -0.0383, -0.0397, -0.0002, -0.0005, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0362, -0.0568, -0.0268, -0.0575, -0.0505, -0.042, -0.0946, -0.1285, -0.0565, -0.0902, -0.047, -0.034, -0.044, -0.0398, -0.03, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0677, 0.0706, 0.0734, 0.0823, 0.0852, 0.0773, 0.0764, 0.1025, 0.1073, 0.0826, 0.1061, 0.1087, 0.1796, 0.1766, 0.1748, 0.1903, 0.1831, 0.1854, 0.1825, 0.2067, 0.2202, 0.2532, 0.276, 0.2259, 0.2505, 0.2454, 0.2318, 0.2071, 0.1883, 0.2098, 0.2047, 0.1967, 0.1606, 0.1928, 0.2602, 0.2598, 0.2419, 0.2104, 0.2122, 0.2203, 0.1952, 0.1984, 0.1961, 0.1804, 0.2063, 0.2117, 0.2267, 0.2221, 0.2236, 0.2241, 0.2077, 0.2438, 0.2528, 0.2344, 0.2374, 0.2449, 0.272, 0.3253, 0.3428, 0.3694, 0.3457, 0.3567, 0.363, 0.3483, 0.3419, 0.3711, 0.3569, 0.3525, 0.3441, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.3464, 0.3227, 0.2948, 0.3148, 0.3042, 0.3143, 0.3425, 0.3333, 0.3566, 0.3731, 0.4093, 0.3524, 0.3414, 0.3283, 0.2892, 0.3057, 0.2845, 0.3354, 0.2583, 0.2775, 0.2708, 0.2859, 0.2387, 0.2483, 0.2706, 0.2766, 0.2651, 0.2643, 0.2805, 0.2744, 0.3021, 0.3198, 0.3266, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3308, 0.3384, 0.3219, 0.2883, 0.2799, 0.2949, 0.246, 0.2536, 0.3072, 0.3032, 0.3557, 0.3789, 0.397, 0.4254, 0.3877, 0.4095, 0.3906, 0.2936, 0.3171, 0.2925]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1932816614506013021", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-11T15:06:05+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was telling him COIN was a huge buy at $30-40 so he's listening now", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long COIN; author has been bullish since $30-40 and continues to advocate for the stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson People online are generally retarded. Not useful to factor that noise in.\n\nI’ve been talking with Stephen Glagola for at least 3-4 years now. I’ve been trying to drag him in to the more bullish camp. I was telling him COIN was a huge buy at $30-40 so he’s listening now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred No… I meant more the commentary being positive on the announcement yesterday compared to the bears online saying it was like an ATM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": 0.016993816379812676, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016993816379812676, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014133478198934624, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015817298804762014, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028603381808780526, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0011765175750506618, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03841546954438624, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03841546954438624, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04238984825888392, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03841546954438624, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003974378714497684, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.1779560282931607, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1779560282931607, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1844745651701255, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19325014701625343, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006518536876964798, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01529411872309272, "ret_p1m": 0.5516196059497349, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5516196059497349, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5078684017484929, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5145482505703911, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04375120420124201, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03707135537934381, "ret_p3m": 0.20552106684430838, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20552106684430838, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12339351290844358, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1605796351026021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0821275539358648, "bench_c_p3m": 0.044941431741706284, "ret_p6m": 0.09322640737194066, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09322640737194066, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.051373151458127486, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03398825966608898, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14459955883006814, "bench_c_p6m": 0.059238147705851674, "ret_p1y": -0.24593105033404017, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.24593105033404017, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.518300374943879, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2729211378914598, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27236932460983887, "bench_c_p1y": 0.026990087557419606, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5516196059497349, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5078684017484929, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5145482505703911, "price_path": [-0.2695, -0.2462, -0.2774, -0.2431, -0.2405, -0.2426, -0.19, -0.1853, -0.2263, -0.2477, -0.3062, -0.3129, -0.3038, -0.2702, -0.3188, -0.3595, -0.3726, -0.3958, -0.2936, -0.3234, -0.2999, -0.2956, -0.2996, -0.313, -0.3018, -0.3018, -0.3019, -0.2421, -0.2229, -0.1867, -0.1637, -0.1811, -0.1777, -0.1906, -0.197, -0.1825, -0.2046, -0.2146, -0.2159, -0.1762, -0.2049, -0.1734, 0.0248, 0.0508, -0.0249, 0.0629, 0.0531, 0.0427, 0.0331, 0.0848, 0.0498, 0.0498, 0.0627, 0.0144, -0.0073, -0.0162, -0.0158, 0.0328, 0.0212, -0.0258, 0.0024, 0.0237, 0.017, 0.0, -0.0384, -0.0318, 0.0434, 0.0126, 0.178, 0.178, 0.2302, 0.227, 0.3755, 0.4176, 0.4962, 0.4099, 0.3982, 0.3377, 0.414, 0.4193, 0.4193, 0.4245, 0.4154, 0.4913, 0.5516, 0.544, 0.5718, 0.5479, 0.5885, 0.6385, 0.6746, 0.65, 0.6134, 0.5869, 0.5825, 0.5624, 0.5138, 0.4817, 0.5058, 0.5069, 0.2553, 0.2692, 0.1887, 0.211, 0.2398, 0.2388, 0.275, 0.287, 0.3045, 0.296, 0.2668, 0.2794, 0.205, 0.2143, 0.1979, 0.2759, 0.2207, 0.2306, 0.2325, 0.2305, 0.2149, 0.2149, 0.2109, 0.206, 0.2239, 0.193, 0.2055, 0.2717, 0.2579, 0.2923, 0.2887, 0.3045, 0.3081, 0.2788, 0.3688, 0.3661, 0.3242, 0.2768, 0.2836, 0.2234, 0.247, 0.3323, 0.3463, 0.3809, 0.4842, 0.516, 0.5401, 0.499, 0.5449, 0.5438, 0.4242, 0.4241, 0.3625, 0.3416, 0.3174, 0.3404, 0.3714, 0.3508, 0.2778, 0.2875, 0.414, 0.4418, 0.417, 0.3907, 0.3105, 0.3714, 0.3181, 0.2259, 0.2737, 0.1777, 0.2332, 0.2683, 0.2127, 0.2127, 0.1295, 0.1329, 0.0529, 0.0443, 0.0264, -0.0499, -0.041, 0.0211, 0.0137, 0.057, 0.057, 0.0883, 0.0365, 0.0502, 0.1047, 0.0932]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1922797459295613059", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-14T23:33:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's better money. This move is inevitable whether it happens in this arbitrary timeline or not.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC breakout move is inevitable; timeline is secondary, upward move is certain.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TonyTheBullCMT It's better money. This move is inevitable whether it happens in this arbitrary timeline or not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Range breakouts in Bitcoin tend to be strong and happen in one large weekly candle, closing above the upper Bollinger Band for confirmation\n\nBulls want to see this within two weeks, leading to a strong May close https://t.co/LydL73how3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TonySeverinoCMT", "ret_m1d": 0.0060884875890785395, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0060884875890785395, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010949136750419974, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010949136750419974, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00198211052629782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00198211052629782, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004351827916101447, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004351827916101447, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "ret_p1w": 0.05928818622437326, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05928818622437326, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07177000202956485, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07177000202956485, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "ret_p1m": 0.023079526252268723, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.023079526252268723, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012003598446902686, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012003598446902686, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "ret_p3m": 0.14672703518323527, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14672703518323527, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05505301167895138, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05505301167895138, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "ret_p6m": -0.02161616443617298, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02161616443617298, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16448644013571556, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16448644013571556, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "ret_p1y": -0.24493488100281857, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.24493488100281857, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4748926435654005, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4748926435654005, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.023079526252268723, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012003598446902686, "alpha_c_stated": 0.012003598446902686, "price_path": [-0.0582, -0.075, -0.0773, -0.0667, -0.0503, -0.0716, -0.1171, -0.143, -0.1854, -0.1819, -0.1851, -0.1688, -0.1576, -0.1247, -0.1311, -0.1622, -0.2415, -0.1997, -0.1914, -0.217, -0.189, -0.188, -0.2011, -0.1611, -0.1871, -0.1883, -0.1549, -0.1552, -0.1607, -0.158, -0.1853, -0.2027, -0.1774, -0.2033, -0.1974, -0.1902, -0.2347, -0.2634, -0.2025, -0.231, -0.1945, -0.1835, -0.1919, -0.1884, -0.1801, -0.1844, -0.1547, -0.0975, -0.095, -0.0927, -0.0852, -0.0827, -0.0894, -0.0901, -0.0681, -0.064, -0.0849, -0.0651, -0.0628, -0.0029, -0.0055, -0.007, 0.0061, 0.0, 0.002, -0.0005, 0.02, 0.0314, 0.0593, 0.0786, 0.0362, 0.057, 0.0527, 0.0412, 0.0203, 0.0044, 0.0226, 0.0183, 0.0115, -0.019, 0.0082, 0.0652, 0.0649, 0.0497, 0.0231, 0.0246, 0.0315, 0.0103, 0.013, 0.0111, -0.0022, 0.0197, 0.0242, 0.0369, 0.033, 0.0343, 0.0347, 0.0209, 0.0514, 0.059, 0.0434, 0.046, 0.0523, 0.0752, 0.1202, 0.135, 0.1575, 0.1375, 0.1468, 0.1521, 0.1397, 0.1342, 0.1589, 0.147, 0.1432, 0.1361, 0.1389, 0.1389, 0.138, 0.118, 0.0945, 0.1114, 0.1024, 0.111, 0.1348, 0.127, 0.1467, 0.1606, 0.1913, 0.1431, 0.1339, 0.1228, 0.0897, 0.1037, 0.0858, 0.1288, 0.0636, 0.0798, 0.0742, 0.087, 0.047, 0.0552, 0.074, 0.079, 0.0694, 0.0687, 0.0824, 0.0772, 0.1006, 0.1156, 0.1213, 0.115, 0.1285, 0.1249, 0.1313, 0.1173, 0.0889, 0.0819, 0.0945, 0.0532, 0.0596, 0.1049, 0.1016, 0.1459, 0.1656, 0.1809, 0.2049, 0.173, 0.1914, 0.1755, 0.0934, 0.1133, 0.0925, 0.07, 0.0449, 0.0283, 0.0681, 0.0477, 0.0401, 0.0631, 0.0724, 0.1022, 0.0909, 0.0629, 0.046, 0.0581, 0.0291, -0.0188, 0.0034, -0.0216]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1933284612345901161", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-12T22:05:44+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like $PEP", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Terse bullish endorsement of PEP in reply to chart discussion.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk I like $PEP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Who wants to do a Twitter space of me going over this $PEP chart??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": 0.011081313498278123, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011081313498278123, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00022525810822893177, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00022525810822893177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011306571606507054, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011306571606507054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004279533384051737, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004279533384051737, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005234811119797289, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005234811119797289, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "ret_p1w": -0.013603438998646689, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013603438998646689, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01199025835901224, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01199025835901224, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "ret_p1m": 0.03607174695120685, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03607174695120685, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013605197037730665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013605197037730665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049676943988937516, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049676943988937516, "ret_p3m": 0.10092120711184949, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10092120711184949, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005212423125549481, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005212423125549481, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "ret_p6m": 0.13483318445302905, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13483318445302905, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.016845192114962382, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.016845192114962382, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15167837656799144, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15167837656799144, "ret_p1y": 0.11643207587919036, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11643207587919036, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.17046484364040948, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.17046484364040948, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03607174695120685, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013605197037730665, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013605197037730665, "price_path": [0.1263, 0.1196, 0.1124, 0.0995, 0.1071, 0.1002, 0.1236, 0.1314, 0.1284, 0.1335, 0.1314, 0.1273, 0.1443, 0.1083, 0.0824, 0.0606, 0.1006, 0.0896, 0.0918, 0.1093, 0.0798, 0.059, 0.0798, 0.0798, 0.0714, 0.0845, 0.0754, 0.0229, 0.0083, 0.0111, 0.0153, 0.0249, 0.0096, 0.0111, -0.0022, -0.0117, -0.0028, -0.0065, -0.014, -0.0046, -0.0149, -0.029, -0.0059, -0.0023, -0.0037, -0.0037, -0.0161, -0.0164, -0.0223, -0.0223, -0.0069, -0.0122, -0.0028, -0.0063, -0.0104, -0.0033, -0.0041, -0.0089, -0.0063, -0.0068, 0.0075, -0.0073, 0.0111, 0.0, 0.0043, -0.0119, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0135, 0.0015, -0.0216, -0.0201, 0.0015, 0.0091, 0.0337, 0.043, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0275, 0.032, 0.0277, 0.04, 0.0337, 0.0361, 0.0226, 0.0344, 0.1115, 0.0947, 0.0829, 0.1161, 0.1132, 0.1044, 0.0963, 0.0819, 0.0997, 0.0918, 0.054, 0.0644, 0.0666, 0.0657, 0.076, 0.0999, 0.1097, 0.1071, 0.1224, 0.1414, 0.1358, 0.1494, 0.1429, 0.1629, 0.1519, 0.1386, 0.1436, 0.1326, 0.1234, 0.1283, 0.1233, 0.136, 0.136, 0.1485, 0.136, 0.1226, 0.1297, 0.0936, 0.1043, 0.1009, 0.113, 0.1076, 0.0853, 0.0806, 0.0899, 0.086, 0.094, 0.0883, 0.0951, 0.0971, 0.0798, 0.0838, 0.0817, 0.0838, 0.1046, 0.0982, 0.0957, 0.0781, 0.0865, 0.0714, 0.1167, 0.1582, 0.149, 0.1694, 0.1665, 0.1782, 0.1862, 0.1857, 0.1821, 0.1809, 0.1692, 0.1695, 0.1779, 0.1585, 0.1279, 0.1387, 0.1274, 0.1082, 0.1028, 0.1025, 0.0926, 0.1032, 0.1006, 0.1196, 0.1143, 0.1191, 0.1255, 0.1408, 0.1481, 0.1353, 0.1275, 0.1292, 0.1228, 0.1275, 0.142, 0.142, 0.1478, 0.1538, 0.1468, 0.1426, 0.1337, 0.1301, 0.1348]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1931089248213700793", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-06T20:42:09+00:00", "symbol": "REGN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Took an initial 2,500 share position in Regeneron $REGN at the close near $494. Way too cheap.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated 2,500-share long position in REGN at ~$494; considers it way too cheap.", "resolved_tickers": ["REGN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Took an initial 2,500 share position in Regeneron $REGN at the close near $494. First time back in this name since exiting in 2020. Way too cheap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04710196263068467, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04710196263068467, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04620164845478747, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.048816677596822955, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017147149661382866, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01145677110609622, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01145677110609622, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005786845707390187, "alpha_c_p1d": 5.1579285005098896e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01140519182109112, "ret_p1w": 0.0098146354950992, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0098146354950992, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004811766214566138, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0018142855810339142, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011628921076133114, "ret_p1m": 0.05824969211439357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05824969211439357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020739628990221748, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.047333820826159556, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010915871288234014, "ret_p3m": 0.09752957592944589, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09752957592944589, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011885370844007426, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0681886004512886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029340975478157283, "ret_p6m": 0.4375163843043137, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4375163843043137, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.29450679801741053, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2760836333182306, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16143275098608312, "ret_p1y": 0.21943591396821893, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.21943591396821893, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.04634430327140926, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.09052355908989784, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1289123548783211, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05824969211439357, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.020739628990221748, "alpha_c_stated": 0.047333820826159556, "price_path": [0.3301, 0.313, 0.2865, 0.3088, 0.2828, 0.2971, 0.2783, 0.2703, 0.2752, 0.2233, 0.2349, 0.2266, 0.2296, 0.2235, 0.1903, 0.2069, 0.178, 0.1063, 0.105, 0.0742, 0.1126, 0.0541, 0.0691, 0.1017, 0.0763, 0.0596, 0.0864, 0.0864, 0.0832, 0.1295, 0.134, 0.157, 0.1626, 0.1784, 0.0975, 0.1551, 0.1382, 0.1683, 0.1644, 0.0775, 0.0821, 0.0565, 0.0182, 0.1105, 0.1076, 0.1022, 0.1285, 0.1465, 0.1508, 0.1878, 0.1681, 0.1531, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1655, 0.1435, 0.1696, -0.0528, -0.0518, -0.0575, -0.0631, -0.0667, -0.0471, 0.0, 0.0115, 0.0019, 0.0082, 0.0225, 0.0098, -0.0169, -0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0152, -0.011, 0.009, 0.0052, 0.0066, 0.0066, 0.0143, 0.0334, 0.0582, 0.0575, 0.0575, 0.0396, 0.0582, 0.0676, 0.0815, 0.0969, 0.1024, 0.0587, 0.0586, 0.0626, 0.0481, 0.054, 0.0837, 0.1059, 0.0909, 0.0879, 0.0793, 0.0783, 0.0714, 0.0538, 0.0797, 0.1042, 0.101, 0.0725, 0.0815, 0.0877, 0.0548, 0.0753, 0.0849, 0.0935, 0.1213, 0.1105, 0.1064, 0.1436, 0.1574, 0.1406, 0.1075, 0.1371, 0.1357, 0.1215, 0.1236, 0.1236, 0.1182, 0.0909, 0.0975, 0.1094, 0.0805, 0.0768, 0.0755, 0.0994, 0.0836, 0.1079, 0.1127, 0.1329, 0.1585, 0.1455, 0.1526, 0.0988, 0.1164, 0.0749, 0.0911, 0.085, 0.088, 0.1608, 0.161, 0.161, 0.1329, 0.1285, 0.091, 0.1027, 0.0925, 0.0792, 0.1079, 0.1153, 0.1013, 0.1185, 0.116, 0.121, 0.1314, 0.1139, 0.1183, 0.1325, 0.2664, 0.2633, 0.2655, 0.2612, 0.2427, 0.2151, 0.2465, 0.2516, 0.2723, 0.2669, 0.3052, 0.3191, 0.3448, 0.3419, 0.3628, 0.4035, 0.3598, 0.4278, 0.4644, 0.4752, 0.5253, 0.5201, 0.5201, 0.5115, 0.4532, 0.4375]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1922430899594924048", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-13T23:16:58+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You need some IREN, sir.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends adding IREN to portfolio alongside crypto/mining positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow You need some IREN, sir.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Top 20 stock exposure on my biggest portfolio here.\nWill my $COIN or $TSLA or miner positions get as big as my $PLTR's girth? https://t.co/9gIGCOS1mq", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.018820589625614614, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018820589625614614, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02009693552430669, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01607217379732795, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0012763458986920773, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027484158282866655, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027603487576297714, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027603487576297714, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03248787804607989, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.034278070014273854, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004884390469782174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00667458243797614, "ret_p1w": 0.11543294571516927, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11543294571516927, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12348297316550694, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1281930062738721, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008050027450337671, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760060558702824, "ret_p1m": 0.27603517490800233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27603517490800233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24853311771270636, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27485727150890105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02750205719529597, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0011779033991012877, "ret_p3m": 1.254705117491901, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.254705117491901, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1692546180558654, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2337465867730106, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08545049943603567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020958530718890422, "ret_p6m": 7.401505752469099, "ret_signed_p6m": 7.401505752469099, "alpha_spy_p6m": 7.254182760799424, "alpha_c_p6m": 7.365723693595296, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14732299166967566, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03578205887380337, "ret_p1y": 4.728983820501976, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.728983820501976, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.488473989994644, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.694006514753783, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24050983050733188, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03497730574819302, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.27603517490800233, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.24853311771270636, "alpha_c_stated": 0.27485727150890105, "price_path": [0.6324, 0.6324, 0.6274, 0.6311, 0.5508, 0.3651, 0.2748, 0.1016, 0.0652, -0.0138, 0.0339, -0.0502, -0.054, 0.0113, -0.0439, -0.0339, -0.1694, -0.1154, -0.1167, -0.1531, -0.0954, -0.0778, -0.1731, -0.0966, -0.0954, -0.1029, -0.0351, -0.0715, -0.1581, -0.1895, -0.2384, -0.2359, -0.1669, -0.1518, -0.2422, -0.2547, -0.2622, -0.335, -0.2597, -0.3112, -0.2936, -0.2785, -0.3162, -0.3137, -0.2986, -0.2986, -0.3087, -0.2396, -0.2346, -0.2095, -0.1794, -0.1982, -0.2133, -0.2334, -0.2008, -0.1807, -0.2233, -0.1844, -0.1757, -0.1355, -0.1167, -0.0577, 0.0188, 0.0, -0.0276, 0.0552, 0.0715, 0.0803, 0.1154, 0.1644, 0.1443, 0.1443, 0.1593, 0.1117, 0.079, 0.0527, 0.0954, 0.1154, 0.1832, 0.123, 0.2233, 0.2974, 0.3162, 0.2923, 0.276, 0.2334, 0.3049, 0.2258, 0.2296, 0.2296, 0.3137, 0.3375, 0.4479, 0.4893, 0.6449, 0.7566, 0.8281, 0.9109, 0.9649, 1.1104, 1.1104, 1.1267, 1.1192, 1.128, 1.1368, 1.0364, 1.1681, 1.1179, 1.1719, 1.2647, 1.2509, 1.2773, 1.3325, 1.3827, 1.276, 1.2233, 1.0803, 0.9812, 1.0251, 1.0213, 0.9322, 1.0678, 1.064, 1.2986, 1.33, 1.3149, 1.2547, 1.2371, 1.2246, 1.394, 1.4705, 1.5979, 1.3501, 1.4793, 1.458, 1.6888, 1.9009, 1.8846, 1.8049, 1.8908, 2.3225, 2.3225, 2.6524, 2.5395, 2.2785, 2.2811, 2.2861, 2.788, 3.2196, 3.1217, 3.261, 3.66, 3.5734, 3.7553, 3.5571, 3.8482, 4.2572, 4.2409, 4.9147, 4.808, 4.2522, 4.7629, 4.8883, 4.9072, 4.8996, 5.3312, 6.2459, 6.739, 6.5395, 7.0113, 6.4994, 7.0477, 7.7277, 7.5295, 6.7578, 6.6186, 6.4304, 5.9253, 5.5031, 6.0088, 6.8921, 7.1543, 6.8319, 6.5809, 6.3049, 6.6223, 7.5006, 7.3601, 8.5872, 7.4015]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1922011975330017359", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-12T19:32:18+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If we can break $104,500 on convincing volume then I believe $109,000 becomes inevitable. If we can break $109,000 then I believe $146,000 becomes inevitable. If we can break $146,000 then I believe $315,000 becomes inevitable.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC with cascading targets: $109K → $146K → $315K on successive breakouts from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If we can break $104,500 on convincing volume then I believe $109,000 becomes inevitable.\n\nIf we can break $109,000 then I believe $146,000 becomes inevitable.\n\nIf we can break $146,000 then I believe $315,000 becomes inevitable.\n\nIt’s simple.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "ret_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "ret_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "ret_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "ret_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "ret_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "price_path": [-0.0479, -0.0602, -0.0516, -0.0685, -0.0707, -0.0601, -0.0436, -0.065, -0.1108, -0.1369, -0.1796, -0.1761, -0.1794, -0.1629, -0.1516, -0.1186, -0.125, -0.1563, -0.2362, -0.194, -0.1857, -0.2115, -0.1833, -0.1822, -0.1954, -0.1552, -0.1814, -0.1826, -0.149, -0.1492, -0.1548, -0.1521, -0.1795, -0.1971, -0.1716, -0.1977, -0.1917, -0.1845, -0.2293, -0.2581, -0.1969, -0.2255, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1862, -0.1827, -0.1743, -0.1786, -0.1488, -0.0911, -0.0886, -0.0863, -0.0787, -0.0762, -0.0829, -0.0837, -0.0615, -0.0574, -0.0784, -0.0585, -0.0562, 0.0042, 0.0015, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0071, 0.0091, 0.0066, 0.0272, 0.0387, 0.0668, 0.0862, 0.0435, 0.0645, 0.0601, 0.0485, 0.0275, 0.0115, 0.0298, 0.0255, 0.0187, -0.012, 0.0153, 0.0728, 0.0724, 0.0571, 0.0303, 0.0319, 0.0387, 0.0174, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.0048, 0.0269, 0.0314, 0.0442, 0.0403, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.0281, 0.0588, 0.0665, 0.0508, 0.0534, 0.0597, 0.0828, 0.1281, 0.143, 0.1657, 0.1455, 0.1549, 0.1603, 0.1477, 0.1423, 0.1671, 0.1551, 0.1513, 0.1442, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1461, 0.1259, 0.1022, 0.1192, 0.1102, 0.1188, 0.1428, 0.135, 0.1548, 0.1688, 0.1997, 0.1512, 0.1419, 0.1307, 0.0974, 0.1115, 0.0934, 0.1368, 0.0711, 0.0874, 0.0818, 0.0947, 0.0544, 0.0626, 0.0816, 0.0867, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0901, 0.0848, 0.1084, 0.1235, 0.1293, 0.1229, 0.1365, 0.1328, 0.1393, 0.1252, 0.0966, 0.0895, 0.1023, 0.0607, 0.0671, 0.1127, 0.1094, 0.154, 0.1738, 0.1892, 0.2134, 0.1813, 0.1998, 0.1838, 0.1012, 0.1212, 0.1002, 0.0775, 0.0523, 0.0355, 0.0756, 0.0551, 0.0474, 0.0706, 0.08, 0.11, 0.0987, 0.0704, 0.0534, 0.0656, 0.0363, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1923496330510602395", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-16T21:50:36+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've heard the entire story and I still can't believe where the stock is trading", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; author implies stock is undervalued relative to its fundamentals/deal potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BTCStocksInvest I’ve heard the entire story and I still can’t believe where the stock is trading", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Some are puzzled why $CIFR is up 20% today. \nI am wondering same thing. It should be UP 200%.\nIt has 600 Megawatts Energised Now. \nAnd yes, rumour that Softbank screwed up but  with Fortress engaged believe the BIG DEAL IS IMMINENT. 600 MW for AI WOULD BE WORLD\"S BIGGEST PROJECT!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BTCStocksInvest", "ret_m1d": 0.013123347261734475, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013123347261734475, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014215971770568436, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011673778549203595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014495687125308798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007874008357040663, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007874008357040663, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004511854680823824, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0041221218018904215, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003751886555150241, "ret_p1w": -0.0892388239568499, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0892388239568499, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06277839463168622, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05623943708727375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03299938686957615, "ret_p1m": -0.0341207028805095, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0341207028805095, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03862615320495677, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06298447263693419, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028863769756424684, "ret_p3m": 0.3963255253437701, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3963255253437701, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3088972519131601, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25297130889300923, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14335421645076085, "ret_p6m": 3.900262560810819, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.900262560810819, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.7454867480900518, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.6473407585217985, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2529218022890203, "ret_p1y": 4.750656214295878, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.750656214295878, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.502875487522135, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.2925305330398515, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4581256812560266, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0341207028805095, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03862615320495677, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06298447263693419, "price_path": [0.5801, 0.5958, 0.4409, 0.3031, 0.0761, 0.0958, 0.042, 0.0709, 0.0105, -0.0157, 0.0919, -0.0052, 0.021, -0.1916, -0.1654, -0.1601, -0.2047, -0.2021, -0.1811, -0.2467, -0.1969, -0.2126, -0.2336, -0.1601, -0.2021, -0.2966, -0.3333, -0.3911, -0.3963, -0.3543, -0.3045, -0.3937, -0.4488, -0.4147, -0.4462, -0.3543, -0.4173, -0.3648, -0.3596, -0.3911, -0.3898, -0.378, -0.378, -0.3858, -0.2808, -0.2493, -0.2126, -0.1916, -0.1969, -0.1916, -0.252, -0.1824, -0.1706, -0.2178, -0.2021, -0.2073, -0.1811, -0.2178, -0.1732, -0.0997, -0.1312, -0.168, 0.0131, 0.0, -0.0079, -0.0801, -0.063, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.063, -0.1207, -0.147, -0.1811, -0.147, -0.0984, -0.0184, -0.0735, 0.0236, 0.0866, 0.0656, 0.0709, 0.0079, -0.0236, 0.0315, -0.0341, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0052, -0.0735, 0.0105, 0.0105, 0.0997, 0.1181, 0.2546, 0.2861, 0.4908, 0.5879, 0.5879, 0.5197, 0.5827, 0.643, 0.6378, 0.5407, 0.5827, 0.5669, 0.6457, 0.685, 0.6693, 0.6404, 0.8215, 0.7533, 0.7454, 0.6982, 0.6168, 0.4908, 0.4304, 0.4331, 0.294, 0.3622, 0.315, 0.3675, 0.2782, 0.2467, 0.2493, 0.2388, 0.2861, 0.3963, 0.3675, 0.5879, 0.5118, 0.5617, 0.5486, 0.6745, 0.7428, 0.8688, 0.8346, 0.8425, 1.0052, 1.0052, 1.1837, 1.1286, 0.9423, 0.9738, 1.0262, 1.4199, 1.6903, 1.6168, 1.8478, 1.8478, 2.021, 2.2493, 2.1102, 2.2231, 2.664, 2.7139, 2.7113, 2.0604, 2.0105, 2.3202, 2.3045, 2.3071, 2.6247, 2.8583, 3.0262, 3.1339, 3.6194, 3.7218, 3.4541, 4.3386, 4.4829, 4.5197, 3.9134, 3.9239, 4.2257, 3.7441, 3.2283, 3.5289, 4.4226, 4.3911, 4.2388, 4.1417, 4.0052, 3.895, 4.9738, 4.9081, 5.4856, 4.6982, 4.4304, 4.1575, 3.9003]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914074670325964842", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-20T21:52:17+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great for Bitcoin. Learn the game.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Firing Powell would be bullish for Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bariksis For stonks and bonds maybe. Great for Bitcoin. Learn the game.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred firing Powell would be a net negative IMO. Market wouldn't like it.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bariksis", "ret_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "price_path": [0.1844, 0.1879, 0.1977, 0.1665, 0.1578, 0.1849, 0.1967, 0.1701, 0.1587, 0.1183, 0.1039, 0.1037, 0.103, 0.1133, 0.094, 0.1185, 0.104, 0.1141, 0.0943, 0.0916, 0.1042, 0.1236, 0.0983, 0.0446, 0.0139, -0.0362, -0.0322, -0.0359, -0.0166, -0.0034, 0.0355, 0.0279, -0.0089, -0.1027, -0.0532, -0.0434, -0.0737, -0.0406, -0.0393, -0.0548, -0.0076, -0.0383, -0.0397, -0.0002, -0.0005, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0362, -0.0568, -0.0268, -0.0575, -0.0505, -0.042, -0.0946, -0.1285, -0.0565, -0.0902, -0.047, -0.034, -0.044, -0.0398, -0.03, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0677, 0.0706, 0.0734, 0.0823, 0.0852, 0.0773, 0.0764, 0.1025, 0.1073, 0.0826, 0.1061, 0.1087, 0.1796, 0.1766, 0.1748, 0.1903, 0.1831, 0.1854, 0.1825, 0.2067, 0.2202, 0.2532, 0.276, 0.2259, 0.2505, 0.2454, 0.2318, 0.2071, 0.1883, 0.2098, 0.2047, 0.1967, 0.1606, 0.1928, 0.2602, 0.2598, 0.2419, 0.2104, 0.2122, 0.2203, 0.1952, 0.1984, 0.1961, 0.1804, 0.2063, 0.2117, 0.2267, 0.2221, 0.2236, 0.2241, 0.2077, 0.2438, 0.2528, 0.2344, 0.2374, 0.2449, 0.272, 0.3253, 0.3428, 0.3694, 0.3457, 0.3567, 0.363, 0.3483, 0.3419, 0.3711, 0.3569, 0.3525, 0.3441, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.3464, 0.3227, 0.2948, 0.3148, 0.3042, 0.3143, 0.3425, 0.3333, 0.3566, 0.3731, 0.4093, 0.3524, 0.3414, 0.3283, 0.2892, 0.3057, 0.2845, 0.3354, 0.2583, 0.2775, 0.2708, 0.2859, 0.2387, 0.2483, 0.2706, 0.2766, 0.2651, 0.2643, 0.2805, 0.2744, 0.3021, 0.3198, 0.3266, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3308, 0.3384, 0.3219, 0.2883, 0.2799, 0.2949, 0.246, 0.2536, 0.3072, 0.3032, 0.3557, 0.3789, 0.397, 0.4254, 0.3877, 0.4095, 0.3906, 0.2936, 0.3171, 0.2925]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1919896421295345700", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-06T23:25:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$150,000+ is coming and it's coming a lot sooner than most people think", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC to $150K+, expects move sooner than consensus.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Remember that when Bitcoin decides to go, it just goes. It doesn’t wait for news, trendlines, RSI, Saylor buys, chart squiggles, kid analyst opinions, or anything else. $150,000+ is coming and it’s coming a lot sooner than most people think. Hold on tight.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021222823505693822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021222823505693822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01703501817246289, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01703501817246289, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004187805333230932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004187805333230932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0023743581586117557, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0023743581586117557, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004593515480141974, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004593515480141974, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00696787363875373, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00696787363875373, "ret_p1w": 0.07610689518613012, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07610689518613012, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028989232062685666, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028989232062685666, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04711766312344445, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04711766312344445, "ret_p1m": 0.08191430729956961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08191430729956961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.025066791150797574, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.025066791150797574, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05684751614877204, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05684751614877204, "ret_p3m": 0.1706320949788458, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1706320949788458, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04252747396596335, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04252747396596335, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12810462101288245, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12810462101288245, "ret_p6m": 0.13690587881233984, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13690587881233984, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08153877416939781, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08153877416939781, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21844465298173765, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21844465298173765, "ret_p1y": -0.1914571206815554, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1914571206815554, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47832222720102235, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47832222720102235, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28686510651946695, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28686510651946695, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08191430729956961, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.025066791150797574, "alpha_c_stated": 0.025066791150797574, "price_path": [-0.0022, -0.0028, 0.0066, -0.0109, 0.0112, -0.0018, 0.0073, -0.0106, -0.013, -0.0017, 0.0158, -0.007, -0.0556, -0.0833, -0.1287, -0.125, -0.1284, -0.1109, -0.099, -0.0638, -0.0707, -0.1039, -0.1887, -0.144, -0.1351, -0.1626, -0.1326, -0.1315, -0.1455, -0.1028, -0.1305, -0.1318, -0.0961, -0.0964, -0.1023, -0.0994, -0.1286, -0.1472, -0.1202, -0.1479, -0.1415, -0.1339, -0.1815, -0.2121, -0.147, -0.1774, -0.1384, -0.1267, -0.1357, -0.1319, -0.123, -0.1276, -0.0959, -0.0347, -0.0321, -0.0295, -0.0215, -0.0188, -0.026, -0.0268, -0.0032, 0.0011, -0.0212, 0.0, 0.0024, 0.0665, 0.0637, 0.0621, 0.0761, 0.0696, 0.0717, 0.0691, 0.0909, 0.1032, 0.133, 0.1536, 0.1083, 0.1306, 0.1259, 0.1136, 0.0913, 0.0743, 0.0938, 0.0892, 0.0819, 0.0493, 0.0784, 0.1394, 0.139, 0.1228, 0.0943, 0.096, 0.1032, 0.0806, 0.0835, 0.0814, 0.0672, 0.0907, 0.0955, 0.1091, 0.1049, 0.1063, 0.1067, 0.0919, 0.1246, 0.1327, 0.116, 0.1188, 0.1255, 0.15, 0.1982, 0.214, 0.2381, 0.2167, 0.2266, 0.2323, 0.219, 0.2132, 0.2396, 0.2268, 0.2228, 0.2152, 0.2182, 0.2182, 0.2172, 0.1958, 0.1706, 0.1887, 0.1791, 0.1883, 0.2138, 0.2054, 0.2265, 0.2414, 0.2742, 0.2227, 0.2128, 0.2009, 0.1656, 0.1805, 0.1613, 0.2073, 0.1376, 0.155, 0.149, 0.1626, 0.1199, 0.1286, 0.1487, 0.1541, 0.1438, 0.1431, 0.1577, 0.1521, 0.1772, 0.1932, 0.1994, 0.1926, 0.207, 0.2032, 0.2101, 0.1951, 0.1647, 0.1571, 0.1707, 0.1265, 0.1334, 0.1818, 0.1782, 0.2257, 0.2467, 0.2631, 0.2887, 0.2546, 0.2743, 0.2573, 0.1695, 0.1908, 0.1686, 0.1444, 0.1176, 0.0998, 0.1424, 0.1206, 0.1125, 0.1371, 0.147, 0.1789, 0.1669, 0.1369]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1936570432964214865", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-21T23:42:25+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am long and added yesterday.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVO; added to position yesterday after after-hours news.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk I am long and added yesterday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NVO After hours news yesterday 👀\n\nhttps://t.co/TBL1PJWPJF https://t.co/Etab0jsLto", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": 0.058089505994385116, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.058089505994385116, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06787027945686874, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06787027945686874, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014486583645602957, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014486583645602957, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0034392936434435306, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0034392936434435306, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "ret_p1w": -0.010040239426653552, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010040239426653552, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03953289245849889, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03953289245849889, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "ret_p1m": -0.04216874173437479, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04216874173437479, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09000691306423247, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09000691306423247, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "ret_p3m": -0.10288363055167804, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10288363055167804, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20637449439883637, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20637449439883637, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "ret_p6m": -0.28984937633248076, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28984937633248076, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4241527768116533, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4241527768116533, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "ret_p1y": -0.3562801658035083, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3562801658035083, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.575280895873122, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.575280895873122, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04216874173437479, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09000691306423247, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09000691306423247, "price_path": [0.0125, -0.0096, -0.0218, -0.004, -0.0242, -0.0212, -0.0376, -0.1028, -0.0872, -0.1165, -0.0664, -0.1221, -0.0716, -0.0525, -0.075, -0.0981, -0.167, -0.167, -0.1634, -0.1407, -0.1208, -0.1017, -0.1096, -0.1018, -0.0654, -0.0469, -0.0591, -0.007, -0.0086, -0.0492, -0.0311, -0.0699, -0.0567, -0.0284, -0.062, -0.0762, -0.0512, -0.0767, -0.0387, -0.0218, -0.0218, -0.0222, -0.034, -0.034, 0.0103, -0.0161, -0.0037, 0.0255, 0.0446, 0.0171, 0.0333, 0.042, 0.0704, 0.0823, 0.1378, 0.1292, 0.1625, 0.145, 0.1047, 0.0663, 0.0615, 0.0615, 0.0581, 0.0, 0.0145, -0.034, -0.029, -0.0174, -0.01, 0.0014, 0.0014, -0.0079, -0.0079, -0.0057, -0.0011, -0.0004, 0.0185, -0.0113, -0.0112, -0.0359, -0.0384, -0.0635, -0.0776, -0.0688, -0.0422, 0.0044, 0.0145, 0.0284, -0.0103, -0.2263, -0.2824, -0.3249, -0.3088, -0.2999, -0.3227, -0.3491, -0.3006, -0.2674, -0.2847, -0.286, -0.2699, -0.2692, -0.2483, -0.2204, -0.2054, -0.2124, -0.1957, -0.1735, -0.1828, -0.1973, -0.1814, -0.1861, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.1822, -0.177, -0.1857, -0.1989, -0.2127, -0.2124, -0.2114, -0.2124, -0.2041, -0.1932, -0.1703, -0.1558, -0.1029, -0.1094, -0.1194, -0.1364, -0.148, -0.1872, -0.1934, -0.195, -0.1951, -0.1418, -0.148, -0.1351, -0.1348, -0.1439, -0.1354, -0.1489, -0.1742, -0.166, -0.1782, -0.1773, -0.1864, -0.2114, -0.1915, -0.2054, -0.2257, -0.2279, -0.2318, -0.2328, -0.245, -0.2549, -0.2742, -0.2826, -0.2877, -0.3001, -0.2971, -0.3254, -0.3374, -0.3337, -0.2871, -0.271, -0.2869, -0.3, -0.2971, -0.3103, -0.2893, -0.3096, -0.3091, -0.3477, -0.3174, -0.2935, -0.2935, -0.2842, -0.2975, -0.312, -0.31, -0.3039, -0.3058, -0.3216, -0.3276, -0.2885, -0.2706, -0.2722, -0.2694, -0.2898]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1932788069712998600", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-11T13:12:39+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin should start its move towards $121,000 soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long BTC to $121K on bullish CPI print catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The CPI print is so bullish that the market is in shock. Give it the rest of the day to respond properly. Bitcoin should start its move towards $121,000 soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014450806389470605, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014450806389470605, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011590468208592553, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011590468208592553, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028603381808780526, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028603381808780526, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025371753999169577, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025371753999169577, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02934613271366726, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02934613271366726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003974378714497684, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003974378714497684, "ret_p1w": -0.03499323743836924, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03499323743836924, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028474700561404442, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028474700561404442, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006518536876964798, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006518536876964798, "ret_p1m": 0.06717089729302028, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06717089729302028, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02341969309177827, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02341969309177827, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04375120420124201, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04375120420124201, "ret_p3m": 0.031142789533670667, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.031142789533670667, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05098476440219413, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05098476440219413, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0821275539358648, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0821275539358648, "ret_p6m": -0.15222664242265316, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15222664242265316, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2968262012527213, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2968262012527213, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14459955883006814, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14459955883006814, "ret_p1y": -0.3249167187084887, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3249167187084887, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5972860433183276, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5972860433183276, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27236932460983887, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27236932460983887, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03499323743836924, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.028474700561404442, "alpha_c_stated": -0.028474700561404442, "price_path": [-0.2274, -0.2264, -0.2389, -0.2009, -0.2256, -0.2267, -0.1949, -0.1952, -0.2004, -0.1979, -0.2239, -0.2405, -0.2164, -0.2411, -0.2354, -0.2286, -0.271, -0.2982, -0.2403, -0.2674, -0.2326, -0.2221, -0.2302, -0.2268, -0.2189, -0.223, -0.1948, -0.1403, -0.1379, -0.1356, -0.1285, -0.1261, -0.1325, -0.1332, -0.1122, -0.1084, -0.1282, -0.1093, -0.1072, -0.0501, -0.0526, -0.054, -0.0416, -0.0474, -0.0455, -0.0478, -0.0283, -0.0174, 0.0091, 0.0275, -0.0129, 0.0069, 0.0028, -0.0081, -0.028, -0.0431, -0.0258, -0.0299, -0.0364, -0.0654, -0.0395, 0.0148, 0.0145, 0.0, -0.0254, -0.0239, -0.0174, -0.0376, -0.035, -0.0368, -0.0495, -0.0286, -0.0243, -0.0122, -0.0159, -0.0147, -0.0143, -0.0275, 0.0016, 0.0088, -0.006, -0.0036, 0.0024, 0.0243, 0.0672, 0.0812, 0.1027, 0.0836, 0.0925, 0.0976, 0.0857, 0.0805, 0.104, 0.0926, 0.0891, 0.0823, 0.085, 0.085, 0.0841, 0.0651, 0.0426, 0.0587, 0.0502, 0.0583, 0.0811, 0.0736, 0.0924, 0.1057, 0.1349, 0.089, 0.0802, 0.0696, 0.0381, 0.0514, 0.0343, 0.0753, 0.0132, 0.0287, 0.0233, 0.0355, -0.0025, 0.0052, 0.0231, 0.0279, 0.0187, 0.0181, 0.0311, 0.0262, 0.0485, 0.0628, 0.0682, 0.0622, 0.075, 0.0716, 0.0778, 0.0644, 0.0374, 0.0306, 0.0427, 0.0033, 0.0094, 0.0526, 0.0494, 0.0917, 0.1104, 0.1249, 0.1478, 0.1174, 0.135, 0.1198, 0.0417, 0.0606, 0.0408, 0.0193, -0.0046, -0.0204, 0.0175, -0.0019, -0.0092, 0.0127, 0.0216, 0.05, 0.0393, 0.0126, -0.0035, 0.008, -0.0197, -0.0653, -0.0441, -0.068, -0.0489, -0.0248, -0.0523, -0.0646, -0.0827, -0.1315, -0.1527, -0.1448, -0.1584, -0.2029, -0.2171, -0.1878, -0.1964, -0.1672, -0.1601, -0.1635, -0.2058, -0.1595, -0.1395, -0.1522]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1937352747751206972", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-24T03:31:03+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR could get to 3-3.5% market share by the end of Q3 if global hashrate stays down", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "CIFR could reach 3-3.5% Bitcoin mining market share by end of Q3 if global hashrate stays suppressed.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LvngstonThunder CIFR could get to 3-3.5% market share by the end of Q3 if global hashrate stays down", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Hopefully for CIFR too!!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LvngstonThunder", "ret_m1d": -0.08311686783621819, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08311686783621819, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07219028694193008, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06548213534320957, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010926580894288107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01763473249300862, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005603844216792719, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008534151869413309, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005603844216792719, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008534151869413309, "ret_p1w": 0.2727273290244592, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2727273290244592, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2548130289903683, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2576408434809867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01791430003409089, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015086485543472472, "ret_p1m": 0.7350649334564441, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7350649334564441, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6898590984612811, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6822822110596403, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04520583499516295, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052782722396803816, "ret_p3m": 2.189610399261336, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.189610399261336, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.0927711911465625, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.0614757775724626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09683920811477331, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12813462168887346, "ret_p6m": 2.737662519421826, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.737662519421826, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.628098211698976, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.6086450629934115, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10956430772284986, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1290174564284141, "ret_p1y": 4.877922005539981, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.877922005539981, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.651748005261721, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.389876940393849, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22617400027825996, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4880450651461312, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": 2.189610399261336, "alpha_spy_stated": 2.0927711911465625, "alpha_c_stated": 2.0614757775724626, "price_path": [-0.3403, -0.3974, -0.4026, -0.361, -0.3117, -0.4, -0.4545, -0.4208, -0.4519, -0.361, -0.4234, -0.3714, -0.3662, -0.3974, -0.3961, -0.3844, -0.3844, -0.3922, -0.2883, -0.2571, -0.2208, -0.2, -0.2052, -0.2, -0.2597, -0.1909, -0.1792, -0.226, -0.2104, -0.2156, -0.1896, -0.226, -0.1818, -0.1091, -0.1403, -0.1766, 0.0026, -0.0104, -0.0182, -0.0896, -0.0727, -0.0987, -0.0987, -0.0727, -0.1299, -0.1558, -0.1896, -0.1558, -0.1078, -0.0286, -0.0831, 0.013, 0.0753, 0.0545, 0.0597, -0.0026, -0.0338, 0.0208, -0.0442, -0.0104, -0.0104, -0.0156, -0.0831, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0883, 0.1065, 0.2416, 0.2727, 0.4753, 0.5714, 0.5714, 0.5039, 0.5662, 0.626, 0.6208, 0.5247, 0.5662, 0.5506, 0.6286, 0.6675, 0.6519, 0.6234, 0.8026, 0.7351, 0.7273, 0.6805, 0.6, 0.4753, 0.4156, 0.4182, 0.2805, 0.3481, 0.3013, 0.3532, 0.2649, 0.2338, 0.2364, 0.226, 0.2727, 0.3818, 0.3532, 0.5714, 0.4961, 0.5455, 0.5325, 0.6571, 0.7247, 0.8494, 0.8156, 0.8234, 0.9844, 0.9844, 1.161, 1.1065, 0.9221, 0.9532, 1.0052, 1.3948, 1.6623, 1.5896, 1.8182, 1.8182, 1.9896, 2.2156, 2.0779, 2.1896, 2.626, 2.6753, 2.6727, 2.0286, 1.9792, 2.2857, 2.2701, 2.2727, 2.587, 2.8182, 2.9844, 3.0909, 3.5714, 3.6727, 3.4078, 4.2831, 4.426, 4.4623, 3.8623, 3.8727, 4.1714, 3.6948, 3.1844, 3.4818, 4.3662, 4.3351, 4.1844, 4.0883, 3.9532, 3.8442, 4.9117, 4.8468, 5.4182, 4.639, 4.374, 4.1039, 3.8494, 3.5143, 2.8779, 2.7299, 2.7273, 2.787, 2.7974, 2.7818, 2.6753, 3.3403, 3.5506, 3.974, 3.974, 4.2857, 4.1143, 3.5818, 3.839, 4.1506, 4.0078, 4.0597, 4.0805, 3.8, 3.9039, 3.4286, 2.8286, 2.8935, 2.7377]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1925327662186402154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-21T23:07:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NOBODY HAS ENOUGH BITCOIN FOR WHAT IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN. NO ONE. PERIOD.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Extremely bullish BTC; claims no one holds enough for the imminent move up.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BREAKING: NOBODY HAS ENOUGH BITCOIN FOR WHAT IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN. NO ONE. PERIOD.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02592775922130508, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02592775922130508, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025017299895732537, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025017299895732537, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "ret_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029038673546093574, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029038673546093574, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "ret_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06773517241353066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06773517241353066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "ret_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.040577418915949126, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.040577418915949126, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "ret_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24997039389603304, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24997039389603304, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "ret_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5513246048841688, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5513246048841688, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06773517241353066, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06773517241353066, "price_path": [-0.1236, -0.1665, -0.1909, -0.231, -0.2277, -0.2307, -0.2153, -0.2047, -0.1737, -0.1798, -0.2091, -0.284, -0.2445, -0.2367, -0.2609, -0.2344, -0.2334, -0.2458, -0.2081, -0.2326, -0.2337, -0.2022, -0.2025, -0.2077, -0.2052, -0.2309, -0.2474, -0.2235, -0.2479, -0.2423, -0.2355, -0.2776, -0.3046, -0.2471, -0.274, -0.2395, -0.2292, -0.2371, -0.2338, -0.226, -0.23, -0.202, -0.148, -0.1457, -0.1435, -0.1364, -0.134, -0.1403, -0.1411, -0.1202, -0.1164, -0.1361, -0.1174, -0.1153, -0.0587, -0.0612, -0.0626, -0.0502, -0.056, -0.0541, -0.0564, -0.0371, -0.0263, 0.0, 0.0182, -0.0218, -0.0022, -0.0062, -0.0171, -0.0368, -0.0518, -0.0346, -0.0387, -0.0451, -0.0739, -0.0482, 0.0056, 0.0053, -0.009, -0.0342, -0.0327, -0.0263, -0.0463, -0.0437, -0.0455, -0.0581, -0.0374, -0.0331, -0.0211, -0.0248, -0.0236, -0.0232, -0.0363, -0.0075, -0.0003, -0.015, -0.0126, -0.0066, 0.015, 0.0575, 0.0715, 0.0927, 0.0738, 0.0826, 0.0876, 0.0759, 0.0708, 0.0941, 0.0828, 0.0792, 0.0726, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0743, 0.0554, 0.0332, 0.0492, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0713, 0.0639, 0.0825, 0.0957, 0.1246, 0.0792, 0.0704, 0.0599, 0.0287, 0.0419, 0.025, 0.0656, 0.0041, 0.0194, 0.0141, 0.0261, -0.0116, -0.0039, 0.0139, 0.0186, 0.0095, 0.0089, 0.0218, 0.0169, 0.039, 0.0532, 0.0586, 0.0526, 0.0653, 0.0619, 0.068, 0.0548, 0.028, 0.0213, 0.0333, -0.0057, 0.0003, 0.0431, 0.0399, 0.0818, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1374, 0.1073, 0.1247, 0.1097, 0.0322, 0.051, 0.0314, 0.0101, -0.0136, -0.0293, 0.0083, -0.011, -0.0181, 0.0036, 0.0124, 0.0405, 0.0299, 0.0034, -0.0125, -0.0011, -0.0285, -0.0737, -0.0528, -0.0764, -0.0575, -0.0336, -0.0609, -0.0731, -0.091]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1912520497063162110", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-16T14:56:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You will know when Bitcoin is beginning its decisive cycle move when the miners move up sustainably", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin's decisive cycle move will be signaled by sustained miner strength; watch miners as the leading proxy.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You will know when Bitcoin is beginning its decisive cycle move when the miners move up sustainably and not a moment before. There is no other proxy that can predict this. Watch carefully.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004341999389197104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004341999389197104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027075397537278834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027075397537278834, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008829657219519671, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008829657219519671, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "ret_p1w": 0.11501603473673883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11501603473673883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09644881117896009, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09644881117896009, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "ret_p1m": 0.234557495652562, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.234557495652562, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11128368285571932, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11128368285571932, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "ret_p3m": 0.4262071607104092, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4262071607104092, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23407319222865097, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23407319222865097, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "ret_p6m": 0.4482920994929964, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4482920994929964, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1641722505316907, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1641722505316907, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "ret_p1y": -0.20352229639556596, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20352229639556596, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.46545626188659883, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.46545626188659883, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.234557495652562, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11128368285571932, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11128368285571932, "price_path": [0.2431, 0.214, 0.2631, 0.2335, 0.2371, 0.2473, 0.2148, 0.2059, 0.2341, 0.2463, 0.2186, 0.2067, 0.1647, 0.1497, 0.1495, 0.1487, 0.1595, 0.1394, 0.1648, 0.1498, 0.1604, 0.1397, 0.1369, 0.15, 0.1702, 0.1439, 0.0879, 0.056, 0.0037, 0.008, 0.004, 0.0242, 0.0379, 0.0784, 0.0705, 0.0322, -0.0655, -0.0139, -0.0037, -0.0353, -0.0008, 0.0005, -0.0157, 0.0336, 0.0016, 0.0001, 0.0412, 0.0409, 0.0341, 0.0374, 0.0038, -0.0177, 0.0135, -0.0184, -0.0111, -0.0023, -0.0571, -0.0924, -0.0174, -0.0525, -0.0075, 0.0061, -0.0043, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.005, 0.0415, 0.112, 0.115, 0.1179, 0.1272, 0.1302, 0.122, 0.1211, 0.1483, 0.1532, 0.1275, 0.1519, 0.1547, 0.2286, 0.2253, 0.2235, 0.2396, 0.2321, 0.2346, 0.2315, 0.2567, 0.2708, 0.3052, 0.3289, 0.2767, 0.3023, 0.297, 0.2828, 0.2571, 0.2376, 0.26, 0.2546, 0.2463, 0.2088, 0.2422, 0.3125, 0.3121, 0.2934, 0.2606, 0.2625, 0.2709, 0.2447, 0.2481, 0.2457, 0.2294, 0.2564, 0.2619, 0.2776, 0.2728, 0.2743, 0.2749, 0.2578, 0.2954, 0.3048, 0.2856, 0.2888, 0.2965, 0.3248, 0.3802, 0.3984, 0.4262, 0.4015, 0.413, 0.4195, 0.4042, 0.3975, 0.4279, 0.4132, 0.4086, 0.3999, 0.4033, 0.4033, 0.4022, 0.3775, 0.3485, 0.3694, 0.3583, 0.3688, 0.3982, 0.3886, 0.4129, 0.4301, 0.4678, 0.4085, 0.397, 0.3834, 0.3427, 0.3599, 0.3378, 0.3908, 0.3105, 0.3304, 0.3235, 0.3393, 0.2901, 0.3001, 0.3233, 0.3295, 0.3176, 0.3167, 0.3336, 0.3272, 0.3561, 0.3745, 0.3816, 0.3738, 0.3904, 0.386, 0.3939, 0.3767, 0.3417, 0.333, 0.3486, 0.2977, 0.3056, 0.3614, 0.3573, 0.4119, 0.4361, 0.455, 0.4846, 0.4453, 0.4679, 0.4483]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1912520497063162110", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-16T14:56:34+00:00", "symbol": "crypto miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "when the miners move up sustainably and not a moment before", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin's decisive cycle move will be signaled by sustained miner strength; watch miners as the leading proxy.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crypto/BTC miner sector ETF WGMI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You will know when Bitcoin is beginning its decisive cycle move when the miners move up sustainably and not a moment before. There is no other proxy that can predict this. Watch carefully.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005877388389675664, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005877388389675664, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016856009758406065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016856009758406065, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010915207061834353, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010915207061834353, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009488489782047305, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009488489782047305, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "ret_p1w": 0.13434092375890216, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13434092375890216, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11577370020112343, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11577370020112343, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "ret_p1m": 0.3912678343505325, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3912678343505325, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2679940215536898, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2679940215536898, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "ret_p3m": 1.1469353503291817, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1469353503291817, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9548013818474235, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9548013818474235, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "ret_p6m": 3.833753184919934, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.833753184919934, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.5496333359586285, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.5496333359586285, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "ret_p1y": 2.002518789225962, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.002518789225962, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.7405848237349293, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.7405848237349293, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3912678343505325, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2679940215536898, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2679940215536898, "price_path": [1.1301, 1.1301, 1.0966, 1.1436, 1.1537, 1.2015, 0.7448, 0.749, 0.7767, 0.8892, 0.8934, 0.9051, 0.895, 0.8858, 0.911, 0.9437, 0.9731, 0.8757, 0.9085, 0.9547, 0.9647, 0.9647, 0.9177, 0.9127, 0.8883, 0.7229, 0.6121, 0.4307, 0.4458, 0.4181, 0.4962, 0.3854, 0.3652, 0.4442, 0.3266, 0.3703, 0.2158, 0.2662, 0.2838, 0.2233, 0.2846, 0.2905, 0.1965, 0.2762, 0.2578, 0.2427, 0.3694, 0.314, 0.2024, 0.1788, 0.1024, 0.0722, 0.1478, 0.1956, 0.0705, 0.0344, 0.042, -0.0353, 0.0966, 0.0084, 0.0512, 0.0663, 0.0059, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.0109, -0.0143, 0.0999, 0.1343, 0.1805, 0.2225, 0.2032, 0.1914, 0.1486, 0.225, 0.2569, 0.1973, 0.2208, 0.225, 0.3039, 0.3056, 0.372, 0.4442, 0.4232, 0.3913, 0.5113, 0.5223, 0.5105, 0.4903, 0.5206, 0.4786, 0.4786, 0.5315, 0.45, 0.419, 0.3829, 0.4442, 0.5046, 0.6113, 0.5281, 0.6432, 0.6927, 0.7028, 0.6793, 0.6465, 0.5835, 0.6541, 0.5684, 0.5701, 0.5701, 0.56, 0.5189, 0.6306, 0.6356, 0.8052, 0.8228, 0.9093, 0.9387, 1.1117, 1.1856, 1.1856, 1.0898, 1.0907, 1.1192, 1.1402, 1.0806, 1.1469, 1.1033, 1.1973, 1.2527, 1.246, 1.2233, 1.314, 1.2956, 1.2762, 1.2301, 1.194, 1.0915, 1.0747, 1.1209, 0.9664, 1.0848, 1.0865, 1.1604, 1.1301, 1.0957, 1.1041, 1.1335, 1.1411, 1.2645, 1.2418, 1.3753, 1.2334, 1.2897, 1.2569, 1.3753, 1.4022, 1.4677, 1.461, 1.4912, 1.5709, 1.5709, 1.6566, 1.5777, 1.4492, 1.4727, 1.4929, 1.7817, 1.9798, 1.995, 2.1335, 2.2519, 2.3468, 2.4551, 2.4509, 2.4895, 2.6919, 2.602, 2.7783, 2.5399, 2.4097, 2.712, 2.7145, 2.7842, 2.9034, 3.0462, 3.3904, 3.4819, 3.6499, 3.8338]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1914092355743027646", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-20T23:02:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they haven't dumped Bitcoin below $84,000 yet. Spooky AF for the bears. Feels like the quiet just before the storm that rips the faces off the non-believers.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish BTC: holding above $84K despite red futures/DXY weakness signals an imminent face-ripping squeeze higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s Sunday night.\n\nIt’s so quiet you can hear a pin drop.\n\nFutures are red. DXY down.\n\nBut then you realize that they haven’t dumped Bitcoin below $84,000 yet.\n\nSpooky AF for the bears.\n\nFeels like the quiet just before the storm that rips the faces off the non-believers.\n\nLFG!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08523693987549108, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01329385218516288, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01329385218516288, "price_path": [0.1844, 0.1879, 0.1977, 0.1665, 0.1578, 0.1849, 0.1967, 0.1701, 0.1587, 0.1183, 0.1039, 0.1037, 0.103, 0.1133, 0.094, 0.1185, 0.104, 0.1141, 0.0943, 0.0916, 0.1042, 0.1236, 0.0983, 0.0446, 0.0139, -0.0362, -0.0322, -0.0359, -0.0166, -0.0034, 0.0355, 0.0279, -0.0089, -0.1027, -0.0532, -0.0434, -0.0737, -0.0406, -0.0393, -0.0548, -0.0076, -0.0383, -0.0397, -0.0002, -0.0005, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0362, -0.0568, -0.0268, -0.0575, -0.0505, -0.042, -0.0946, -0.1285, -0.0565, -0.0902, -0.047, -0.034, -0.044, -0.0398, -0.03, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0677, 0.0706, 0.0734, 0.0823, 0.0852, 0.0773, 0.0764, 0.1025, 0.1073, 0.0826, 0.1061, 0.1087, 0.1796, 0.1766, 0.1748, 0.1903, 0.1831, 0.1854, 0.1825, 0.2067, 0.2202, 0.2532, 0.276, 0.2259, 0.2505, 0.2454, 0.2318, 0.2071, 0.1883, 0.2098, 0.2047, 0.1967, 0.1606, 0.1928, 0.2602, 0.2598, 0.2419, 0.2104, 0.2122, 0.2203, 0.1952, 0.1984, 0.1961, 0.1804, 0.2063, 0.2117, 0.2267, 0.2221, 0.2236, 0.2241, 0.2077, 0.2438, 0.2528, 0.2344, 0.2374, 0.2449, 0.272, 0.3253, 0.3428, 0.3694, 0.3457, 0.3567, 0.363, 0.3483, 0.3419, 0.3711, 0.3569, 0.3525, 0.3441, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.3464, 0.3227, 0.2948, 0.3148, 0.3042, 0.3143, 0.3425, 0.3333, 0.3566, 0.3731, 0.4093, 0.3524, 0.3414, 0.3283, 0.2892, 0.3057, 0.2845, 0.3354, 0.2583, 0.2775, 0.2708, 0.2859, 0.2387, 0.2483, 0.2706, 0.2766, 0.2651, 0.2643, 0.2805, 0.2744, 0.3021, 0.3198, 0.3266, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3308, 0.3384, 0.3219, 0.2883, 0.2799, 0.2949, 0.246, 0.2536, 0.3072, 0.3032, 0.3557, 0.3789, 0.397, 0.4254, 0.3877, 0.4095, 0.3906, 0.2936, 0.3171, 0.2925]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918128424226570681", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-02T02:20:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stay long BTC bro. All this trading is going to net out to much less than just holding BTC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Stay long BTC; holding outperforms short-term trading.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AtradeZ_ You always say that but I think you might have some kind of disease 🤣\n\nStay long BTC bro. All this trading is going to net out to much less than just holding BTC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Ain’t no way I’m longing top\n\nThis is local top Mike lol\n\nBTC pulling back here\n\nI’m bullish long term though", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AtradeZ_", "ret_m1d": -0.004310536290531575, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004310536290531575, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01031647487026488, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01031647487026488, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022309504244793943, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022309504244793943, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016575179447369304, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016575179447369304, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "ret_p1w": 0.06254026264201618, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06254026264201618, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06681001889198679, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06681001889198679, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "ret_p1m": 0.0925751153473553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0925751153473553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04678853741753297, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04678853741753297, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "ret_p3m": 0.21588176667333903, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21588176667333903, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09312141479684888, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09312141479684888, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "ret_p6m": 0.17757966491001764, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17757966491001764, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.038404499271927905, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.038404499271927905, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "ret_p1y": -0.21212756124012844, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21212756124012844, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4686582472328532, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4686582472328532, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21212756124012844, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4686582472328532, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4686582472328532, "price_path": [0.0099, -0.003, -0.0033, -0.0039, 0.0054, -0.012, 0.0101, -0.003, 0.0062, -0.0117, -0.0141, -0.0028, 0.0147, -0.0081, -0.0567, -0.0843, -0.1296, -0.126, -0.1294, -0.1119, -0.1, -0.0649, -0.0717, -0.1049, -0.1896, -0.145, -0.1361, -0.1635, -0.1335, -0.1324, -0.1464, -0.1038, -0.1315, -0.1328, -0.0971, -0.0974, -0.1033, -0.1004, -0.1296, -0.1482, -0.1212, -0.1488, -0.1425, -0.1348, -0.1824, -0.213, -0.1479, -0.1784, -0.1394, -0.1276, -0.1366, -0.1329, -0.124, -0.1286, -0.0969, -0.0358, -0.0331, -0.0306, -0.0226, -0.0199, -0.0271, -0.0279, -0.0043, 0.0, -0.0223, -0.0011, 0.0013, 0.0653, 0.0625, 0.0609, 0.0749, 0.0684, 0.0705, 0.0679, 0.0897, 0.102, 0.1318, 0.1523, 0.1071, 0.1293, 0.1247, 0.1124, 0.0901, 0.0731, 0.0926, 0.0879, 0.0807, 0.0481, 0.0772, 0.1381, 0.1377, 0.1215, 0.0931, 0.0947, 0.102, 0.0794, 0.0823, 0.0802, 0.066, 0.0894, 0.0943, 0.1078, 0.1037, 0.105, 0.1055, 0.0907, 0.1233, 0.1314, 0.1148, 0.1175, 0.1242, 0.1488, 0.1969, 0.2126, 0.2367, 0.2153, 0.2252, 0.2309, 0.2177, 0.2118, 0.2382, 0.2254, 0.2214, 0.2139, 0.2168, 0.2168, 0.2159, 0.1945, 0.1693, 0.1874, 0.1778, 0.187, 0.2124, 0.2041, 0.2252, 0.24, 0.2728, 0.2213, 0.2114, 0.1996, 0.1643, 0.1792, 0.16, 0.206, 0.1364, 0.1537, 0.1477, 0.1613, 0.1187, 0.1273, 0.1475, 0.1529, 0.1425, 0.1418, 0.1564, 0.1509, 0.1759, 0.1919, 0.198, 0.1913, 0.2057, 0.2018, 0.2087, 0.1938, 0.1634, 0.1559, 0.1694, 0.1253, 0.1321, 0.1805, 0.1769, 0.2243, 0.2453, 0.2616, 0.2873, 0.2532, 0.2729, 0.2559, 0.1682, 0.1895, 0.1673, 0.1432, 0.1164, 0.0986, 0.1412, 0.1194, 0.1112, 0.1358, 0.1457, 0.1776]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1936909937978028525", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-22T22:11:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you'll be able to buy it again tomorrow for $104,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "BTC going to $104K by tomorrow from ~$98K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you didn’t buy Bitcoin a couple hours ago for $98,000, that’s OK because you’ll be able to buy it again tomorrow for $104,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "ret_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "ret_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "ret_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "ret_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "ret_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.014752750027656525, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014739903004188815, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014739903004188815, "price_path": [-0.1769, -0.1743, -0.201, -0.2181, -0.1933, -0.2187, -0.2129, -0.2059, -0.2495, -0.2776, -0.2179, -0.2458, -0.21, -0.1992, -0.2075, -0.2041, -0.1959, -0.2001, -0.171, -0.1149, -0.1125, -0.1102, -0.1028, -0.1004, -0.107, -0.1077, -0.0861, -0.0821, -0.1026, -0.0831, -0.0809, -0.0221, -0.0247, -0.0262, -0.0133, -0.0193, -0.0174, -0.0198, 0.0003, 0.0115, 0.0388, 0.0577, 0.0162, 0.0366, 0.0324, 0.0211, 0.0006, -0.015, 0.0029, -0.0014, -0.008, -0.0379, -0.0112, 0.0447, 0.0443, 0.0294, 0.0033, 0.0049, 0.0115, -0.0093, -0.0066, -0.0085, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0169, 0.0131, 0.0143, 0.0148, 0.0011, 0.0311, 0.0386, 0.0233, 0.0258, 0.0319, 0.0545, 0.0986, 0.1131, 0.1352, 0.1155, 0.1247, 0.1299, 0.1177, 0.1124, 0.1366, 0.1248, 0.1211, 0.1142, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1161, 0.0964, 0.0733, 0.0899, 0.0811, 0.0895, 0.1129, 0.1052, 0.1246, 0.1382, 0.1683, 0.1211, 0.112, 0.1011, 0.0687, 0.0824, 0.0648, 0.107, 0.0431, 0.059, 0.0535, 0.066, 0.0268, 0.0348, 0.0533, 0.0582, 0.0487, 0.0481, 0.0615, 0.0564, 0.0793, 0.0941, 0.0997, 0.0935, 0.1067, 0.1032, 0.1095, 0.0958, 0.0679, 0.061, 0.0734, 0.0329, 0.0392, 0.0836, 0.0803, 0.1238, 0.1431, 0.1581, 0.1816, 0.1503, 0.1684, 0.1528, 0.0723, 0.0918, 0.0714, 0.0493, 0.0247, 0.0084, 0.0475, 0.0275, 0.02, 0.0425, 0.0517, 0.0809, 0.0699, 0.0424, 0.0258, 0.0377, 0.0092, -0.0378, -0.016, -0.0405, -0.0209, 0.004, -0.0244, -0.0371, -0.0557, -0.1059, -0.1277, -0.1196, -0.1337, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.1639, -0.1727, -0.1426, -0.1354, -0.1388, -0.1824, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1273, -0.1533, -0.1415, -0.1221, -0.1284, -0.1238, -0.145, -0.1815, -0.168]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925373715321430107", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-22T02:10:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Anyone under 100 (not dead) should own dividend stocks and Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Everyone should own dividend stocks and Bitcoin; decisive buy/own stance on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jdorman81 Anyone under 100 (not dead) should own dividend stocks and Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bonds down stocks down. \n\nHow financial advisors still peddle the 60/40 portfolio is beyond me. \n\nNo one under 60 should own bonds — under 60 should own stocks and crypto. \n\nReal estate is a dead investment too.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jdorman81", "ret_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "ret_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "ret_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "ret_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "ret_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "ret_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "price_path": [-0.1814, -0.2054, -0.2447, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2293, -0.219, -0.1885, -0.1944, -0.2232, -0.2968, -0.258, -0.2503, -0.2741, -0.2481, -0.2471, -0.2593, -0.2222, -0.2463, -0.2474, -0.2165, -0.2167, -0.2218, -0.2194, -0.2446, -0.2608, -0.2373, -0.2614, -0.2558, -0.2492, -0.2905, -0.317, -0.2606, -0.287, -0.2531, -0.2429, -0.2508, -0.2475, -0.2398, -0.2438, -0.2163, -0.1633, -0.161, -0.1588, -0.1518, -0.1495, -0.1557, -0.1564, -0.1359, -0.1322, -0.1516, -0.1332, -0.1311, -0.0755, -0.0779, -0.0793, -0.0672, -0.0728, -0.071, -0.0733, -0.0543, -0.0437, -0.0179, 0.0, -0.0393, -0.02, -0.024, -0.0347, -0.054, -0.0687, -0.0519, -0.0559, -0.0622, -0.0904, -0.0652, -0.0124, -0.0127, -0.0267, -0.0514, -0.05, -0.0437, -0.0633, -0.0608, -0.0626, -0.0749, -0.0546, -0.0504, -0.0386, -0.0422, -0.0411, -0.0406, -0.0535, -0.0252, -0.0181, -0.0326, -0.0302, -0.0244, -0.0031, 0.0386, 0.0523, 0.0732, 0.0547, 0.0633, 0.0682, 0.0567, 0.0516, 0.0745, 0.0634, 0.0599, 0.0534, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0551, 0.0366, 0.0147, 0.0304, 0.0221, 0.03, 0.0521, 0.0449, 0.0632, 0.0761, 0.1045, 0.0599, 0.0513, 0.041, 0.0104, 0.0233, 0.0067, 0.0466, -0.0139, 0.0012, -0.004, 0.0078, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0042, 0.0004, -0.0085, -0.0092, 0.0036, -0.0013, 0.0204, 0.0343, 0.0397, 0.0338, 0.0463, 0.0429, 0.0489, 0.036, 0.0096, 0.0031, 0.0148, -0.0235, -0.0176, 0.0244, 0.0213, 0.0625, 0.0807, 0.0949, 0.1171, 0.0876, 0.1046, 0.0898, 0.0138, 0.0322, 0.0129, -0.008, -0.0312, -0.0466, -0.0097, -0.0286, -0.0357, -0.0144, -0.0057, 0.0219, 0.0115, -0.0145, -0.0302, -0.019, -0.0459, -0.0903, -0.0697, -0.0929, -0.0743, -0.0508, -0.0777, -0.0896, -0.1072, -0.1547]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920818884531065146", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-09T12:31:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If it gets back to $85,000 again, I'd be pretty surprised. The buy pressure is building. Where would the selling come from?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Doubts BTC revisits $85K; sees building buy pressure with no clear source of selling pressure — implicitly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Freedom_By_40 If it gets back to $85,000 again, I’d be pretty surprised. The buy pressure is building. Where would the selling come from?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Amazing run off the lows for #Bitcoin.\n\nMaybe a little higher and then thinking a cool off is likely in the cards before much higher (as long as we hold the retracement zone).\n\nNothing has to happen ofc but I think its probable and this way you're at least mentally prepared. https://t.co/kTFnlgcGEo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Freedom_By_40", "ret_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "ret_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "ret_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "ret_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "ret_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "ret_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "price_path": [-0.0702, -0.0494, -0.0616, -0.053, -0.0699, -0.0722, -0.0615, -0.045, -0.0665, -0.1122, -0.1382, -0.1809, -0.1774, -0.1806, -0.1642, -0.1529, -0.1199, -0.1263, -0.1576, -0.2373, -0.1953, -0.1869, -0.2127, -0.1845, -0.1835, -0.1967, -0.1565, -0.1826, -0.1838, -0.1503, -0.1505, -0.1561, -0.1534, -0.1808, -0.1983, -0.1729, -0.1989, -0.1929, -0.1858, -0.2305, -0.2593, -0.1981, -0.2267, -0.19, -0.179, -0.1874, -0.1839, -0.1755, -0.1799, -0.1501, -0.0925, -0.09, -0.0877, -0.0801, -0.0776, -0.0844, -0.0851, -0.0629, -0.0589, -0.0799, -0.0599, -0.0577, 0.0026, 0.0, -0.0015, 0.0116, 0.0055, 0.0075, 0.005, 0.0256, 0.0371, 0.0651, 0.0845, 0.0419, 0.0628, 0.0585, 0.0469, 0.0259, 0.01, 0.0283, 0.0239, 0.0171, -0.0135, 0.0138, 0.0711, 0.0708, 0.0555, 0.0287, 0.0303, 0.0372, 0.0158, 0.0186, 0.0166, 0.0033, 0.0253, 0.0299, 0.0426, 0.0387, 0.04, 0.0404, 0.0265, 0.0572, 0.0648, 0.0492, 0.0518, 0.0581, 0.0811, 0.1264, 0.1413, 0.1639, 0.1438, 0.1531, 0.1585, 0.146, 0.1405, 0.1653, 0.1533, 0.1495, 0.1424, 0.1452, 0.1452, 0.1443, 0.1242, 0.1005, 0.1175, 0.1085, 0.1171, 0.1411, 0.1332, 0.1531, 0.1671, 0.1979, 0.1494, 0.1401, 0.129, 0.0958, 0.1098, 0.0918, 0.135, 0.0695, 0.0858, 0.0801, 0.093, 0.0528, 0.061, 0.0799, 0.085, 0.0753, 0.0746, 0.0884, 0.0831, 0.1067, 0.1217, 0.1275, 0.1211, 0.1347, 0.1311, 0.1376, 0.1235, 0.095, 0.0878, 0.1006, 0.059, 0.0655, 0.111, 0.1077, 0.1523, 0.172, 0.1874, 0.2115, 0.1795, 0.198, 0.1819, 0.0995, 0.1195, 0.0986, 0.0759, 0.0506, 0.034, 0.074, 0.0535, 0.0458, 0.0689, 0.0783, 0.1083, 0.097, 0.0688, 0.0518, 0.064, 0.0347]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1915028853556384020", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-23T13:03:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stay long. $1M per coin is coming when you're still in your 20s.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC with $1M per coin target on a long-term horizon.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wclemente In retrospect, it was inevitable. Stay long. $1M per coin is coming when you’re still in your 20s.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Biggest Bitcoin ETF inflow day in a while yesterday at $912mm. \n\nWhat's even more impressive to me, though, is the lack of large outflows throughout all of March/April during market turmoil. $37b now held by BTC ETFs. https://t.co/ym8oLszuUX", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WClemente", "ret_m1d": -0.002745156829298878, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002745156829298878, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012513993013608227, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012513993013608227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0026114175645013393, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0026114175645013393, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018437495385366987, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018437495385366987, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "ret_p1w": 0.005423777540574992, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005423777540574992, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030286408546815524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030286408546815524, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "ret_p1m": 0.1918286309751811, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1918286309751811, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10279563412281933, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10279563412281933, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "ret_p3m": 0.2533687870232224, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2533687870232224, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07554797825510384, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07554797825510384, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "ret_p6m": 0.1546111781011792, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1546111781011792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08633995449485754, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08633995449485754, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "ret_p1y": -0.22113403892746442, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22113403892746442, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5047040009636808, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5047040009636808, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22113403892746442, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5047040009636808, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5047040009636808, "price_path": [0.1187, 0.0895, 0.0815, 0.1068, 0.1178, 0.0929, 0.0822, 0.0445, 0.0311, 0.0309, 0.0302, 0.0399, 0.0219, 0.0447, 0.0312, 0.0407, 0.0221, 0.0196, 0.0313, 0.0495, 0.0259, -0.0243, -0.053, -0.0998, -0.096, -0.0995, -0.0815, -0.0691, -0.0328, -0.0399, -0.0742, -0.1619, -0.1157, -0.1065, -0.1348, -0.1038, -0.1027, -0.1172, -0.0731, -0.1017, -0.1031, -0.0662, -0.0665, -0.0726, -0.0696, -0.0997, -0.119, -0.091, -0.1197, -0.1131, -0.1052, -0.1544, -0.186, -0.1187, -0.1502, -0.1099, -0.0977, -0.107, -0.1032, -0.094, -0.0987, -0.066, -0.0027, 0.0, 0.0026, 0.0109, 0.0137, 0.0063, 0.0054, 0.0298, 0.0343, 0.0112, 0.0331, 0.0356, 0.1018, 0.099, 0.0973, 0.1117, 0.105, 0.1072, 0.1045, 0.1271, 0.1397, 0.1705, 0.1918, 0.145, 0.168, 0.1632, 0.1505, 0.1275, 0.1099, 0.13, 0.1252, 0.1177, 0.0841, 0.1141, 0.1771, 0.1767, 0.16, 0.1305, 0.1323, 0.1398, 0.1164, 0.1194, 0.1172, 0.1026, 0.1268, 0.1318, 0.1458, 0.1415, 0.1429, 0.1434, 0.1281, 0.1618, 0.1702, 0.153, 0.1558, 0.1628, 0.1881, 0.2379, 0.2542, 0.2791, 0.257, 0.2672, 0.2731, 0.2594, 0.2534, 0.2806, 0.2674, 0.2633, 0.2555, 0.2585, 0.2585, 0.2575, 0.2354, 0.2094, 0.2281, 0.2182, 0.2276, 0.254, 0.2454, 0.2672, 0.2825, 0.3164, 0.2632, 0.2529, 0.2407, 0.2042, 0.2196, 0.1998, 0.2473, 0.1753, 0.1932, 0.187, 0.2011, 0.157, 0.166, 0.1868, 0.1924, 0.1817, 0.1809, 0.1961, 0.1903, 0.2162, 0.2327, 0.2391, 0.2321, 0.247, 0.243, 0.2501, 0.2347, 0.2033, 0.1955, 0.2095, 0.1638, 0.1709, 0.2209, 0.2173, 0.2663, 0.288, 0.3049, 0.3314, 0.2962, 0.3165, 0.2989, 0.2083, 0.2302, 0.2073, 0.1823, 0.1546]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919810733832822881", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-06T17:45:21+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$150,000 inbound", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Decisively bullish BTC with $150K price target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Nothing matters. $150,000 inbound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC Daily currently https://t.co/qgdjLyIHkW", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.021222823505693822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021222823505693822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02965160057208338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02965160057208338, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008428777066389559, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008428777066389559, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0023743581586117557, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0023743581586117557, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001831058641523331, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001831058641523331, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004205416800135087, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004205416800135087, "ret_p1w": 0.07610689518613012, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07610689518613012, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02592777065891827, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02592777065891827, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05017912452721185, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05017912452721185, "ret_p1m": 0.08191430729956961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08191430729956961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.015468433875881038, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015468433875881038, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06644587342368857, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06644587342368857, "ret_p3m": 0.1706320949788458, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1706320949788458, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05474466209516238, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05474466209516238, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11588743288368342, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11588743288368342, "ret_p6m": 0.13690587881233984, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13690587881233984, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10026930568415104, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10026930568415104, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2371751844964909, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2371751844964909, "ret_p1y": -0.1914571206815554, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1914571206815554, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47379678473556486, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47379678473556486, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28233966405400945, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28233966405400945, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08191430729956961, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.015468433875881038, "alpha_c_stated": 0.015468433875881038, "price_path": [-0.0022, -0.0028, 0.0066, -0.0109, 0.0112, -0.0018, 0.0073, -0.0106, -0.013, -0.0017, 0.0158, -0.007, -0.0556, -0.0833, -0.1287, -0.125, -0.1284, -0.1109, -0.099, -0.0638, -0.0707, -0.1039, -0.1887, -0.144, -0.1351, -0.1626, -0.1326, -0.1315, -0.1455, -0.1028, -0.1305, -0.1318, -0.0961, -0.0964, -0.1023, -0.0994, -0.1286, -0.1472, -0.1202, -0.1479, -0.1415, -0.1339, -0.1815, -0.2121, -0.147, -0.1774, -0.1384, -0.1267, -0.1357, -0.1319, -0.123, -0.1276, -0.0959, -0.0347, -0.0321, -0.0295, -0.0215, -0.0188, -0.026, -0.0268, -0.0032, 0.0011, -0.0212, 0.0, 0.0024, 0.0665, 0.0637, 0.0621, 0.0761, 0.0696, 0.0717, 0.0691, 0.0909, 0.1032, 0.133, 0.1536, 0.1083, 0.1306, 0.1259, 0.1136, 0.0913, 0.0743, 0.0938, 0.0892, 0.0819, 0.0493, 0.0784, 0.1394, 0.139, 0.1228, 0.0943, 0.096, 0.1032, 0.0806, 0.0835, 0.0814, 0.0672, 0.0907, 0.0955, 0.1091, 0.1049, 0.1063, 0.1067, 0.0919, 0.1246, 0.1327, 0.116, 0.1188, 0.1255, 0.15, 0.1982, 0.214, 0.2381, 0.2167, 0.2266, 0.2323, 0.219, 0.2132, 0.2396, 0.2268, 0.2228, 0.2152, 0.2182, 0.2182, 0.2172, 0.1958, 0.1706, 0.1887, 0.1791, 0.1883, 0.2138, 0.2054, 0.2265, 0.2414, 0.2742, 0.2227, 0.2128, 0.2009, 0.1656, 0.1805, 0.1613, 0.2073, 0.1376, 0.155, 0.149, 0.1626, 0.1199, 0.1286, 0.1487, 0.1541, 0.1438, 0.1431, 0.1577, 0.1521, 0.1772, 0.1932, 0.1994, 0.1926, 0.207, 0.2032, 0.2101, 0.1951, 0.1647, 0.1571, 0.1707, 0.1265, 0.1334, 0.1818, 0.1782, 0.2257, 0.2467, 0.2631, 0.2887, 0.2546, 0.2743, 0.2573, 0.1695, 0.1908, 0.1686, 0.1444, 0.1176, 0.0998, 0.1424, 0.1206, 0.1125, 0.1371, 0.147, 0.1789, 0.1669, 0.1369]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1923039136560164887", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-15T15:33:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$150,000 inbound", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: $100K now support after first full week above it; targets $150K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For the first time in its history, Bitcoin has spent an entire week above $100,000. $100,000 is now support. Bears have to be shitting their pants here. $150,000 inbound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0019781895359956003, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0019781895359956003, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028824596253458346, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028824596253458346, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0024613470244020386, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0024613470244020386, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008795285466801306, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008795285466801306, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "ret_p1w": 0.07642458036612432, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07642458036612432, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0889063961713159, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0889063961713159, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "ret_p1m": 0.022616379129223096, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022616379129223096, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01154045132385706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01154045132385706, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "ret_p3m": 0.15835290889273357, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15835290889273357, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06667888538844968, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06667888538844968, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "ret_p6m": -0.0035879865481003304, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0035879865481003304, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1464582622476429, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1464582622476429, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "ret_p1y": -0.23053464960614678, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23053464960614678, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4604924121687287, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4604924121687287, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.022616379129223096, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01154045132385706, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01154045132385706, "price_path": [-0.0768, -0.0791, -0.0685, -0.0522, -0.0734, -0.1188, -0.1447, -0.187, -0.1835, -0.1867, -0.1704, -0.1593, -0.1265, -0.1329, -0.1639, -0.243, -0.2013, -0.193, -0.2186, -0.1906, -0.1896, -0.2027, -0.1628, -0.1887, -0.1899, -0.1566, -0.1569, -0.1624, -0.1597, -0.1869, -0.2043, -0.179, -0.2049, -0.199, -0.1918, -0.2362, -0.2648, -0.2041, -0.2325, -0.1961, -0.1851, -0.1935, -0.19, -0.1817, -0.186, -0.1564, -0.0993, -0.0968, -0.0945, -0.087, -0.0845, -0.0912, -0.0919, -0.0699, -0.0659, -0.0867, -0.0669, -0.0647, -0.0049, -0.0075, -0.009, 0.0041, -0.002, 0.0, -0.0025, 0.0179, 0.0294, 0.0572, 0.0764, 0.0342, 0.0549, 0.0506, 0.0391, 0.0183, 0.0024, 0.0206, 0.0163, 0.0095, -0.0209, 0.0062, 0.0631, 0.0628, 0.0476, 0.0211, 0.0226, 0.0294, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0091, -0.0042, 0.0177, 0.0222, 0.0349, 0.031, 0.0322, 0.0327, 0.0188, 0.0493, 0.0569, 0.0413, 0.0439, 0.0502, 0.0731, 0.118, 0.1328, 0.1552, 0.1353, 0.1445, 0.1498, 0.1374, 0.132, 0.1566, 0.1447, 0.141, 0.1339, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1358, 0.1158, 0.0923, 0.1092, 0.1002, 0.1088, 0.1326, 0.1248, 0.1445, 0.1584, 0.1889, 0.1409, 0.1316, 0.1206, 0.0876, 0.1015, 0.0836, 0.1266, 0.0615, 0.0777, 0.0721, 0.0848, 0.045, 0.0531, 0.0719, 0.0769, 0.0673, 0.0666, 0.0803, 0.075, 0.0984, 0.1134, 0.1191, 0.1128, 0.1263, 0.1226, 0.1291, 0.1151, 0.0868, 0.0797, 0.0924, 0.0511, 0.0575, 0.1027, 0.0994, 0.1437, 0.1633, 0.1785, 0.2025, 0.1707, 0.189, 0.1731, 0.0913, 0.1111, 0.0904, 0.0678, 0.0428, 0.0262, 0.066, 0.0456, 0.038, 0.061, 0.0703, 0.1, 0.0888, 0.0608, 0.044, 0.056, 0.027, -0.0208, 0.0014, -0.0236, -0.0036]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924958606438629779", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T22:41:10+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a super conservative approach to finishing all capex for Black Pearl phase 1. Puts them at 23 EH of really good hash within months and if you read between the lines they have no additional capex at all if they lease remaining 150 EH at Black Pearl for AI.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: capex finishing soon puts them at 23 EH, with potential zero additional capex via AI lease at Black Pearl.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GAVR1EL11 lol chill. This is a super conservative approach to finishing all capex for Black Pearl phase 1. Puts them at 23 EH of really good hash within months and if you read between the lines they have no additional capex at all if they lease remaining 150 EH at Black Pearl for AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What a disgusting move by $CIFR \nThey couldn’t stand people finally coming back \n🤢 https://t.co/gF7vaSAAix", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GAVR1EL11", "ret_m1d": 0.07845930041937188, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07845930041937188, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06131960166970574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059312440592971916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019146859826399965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018544883503448295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018544883503448295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018150069184579953, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018283205441444794, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00026167806200350086, "ret_p1w": -0.044222597645499295, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044222597645499295, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052578049465250354, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052771127400104145, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00854852975460485, "ret_p1m": 0.08701849311844412, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08701849311844412, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.062003852175944285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.033241540529349134, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.053776952589094984, "ret_p3m": 0.7261055615400167, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7261055615400167, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6191469857174559, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5628497449995911, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16325581654042565, "ret_p6m": 3.259629049272446, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.259629049272446, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.100010016418861, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.0059919755019493, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2536370737704967, "ret_p1y": 4.863052372635507, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.863052372635507, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.583026547234122, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.323248861029834, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5398035116056734, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08701849311844412, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.062003852175944285, "alpha_c_stated": 0.033241540529349134, "price_path": [0.5663, 0.4165, 0.1698, 0.1912, 0.1327, 0.1641, 0.0984, 0.0699, 0.1869, 0.0813, 0.1098, -0.1213, -0.0927, -0.087, -0.1355, -0.1327, -0.1098, -0.1812, -0.127, -0.1441, -0.1669, -0.087, -0.1327, -0.2354, -0.2753, -0.3381, -0.3438, -0.2981, -0.2439, -0.3409, -0.4009, -0.3638, -0.398, -0.2981, -0.3666, -0.3096, -0.3039, -0.3381, -0.3367, -0.3238, -0.3238, -0.3324, -0.2183, -0.184, -0.1441, -0.1213, -0.127, -0.1213, -0.1869, -0.1113, -0.0984, -0.1498, -0.1327, -0.1384, -0.1098, -0.1498, -0.1013, -0.0214, -0.0556, -0.0956, 0.1013, 0.087, 0.0785, 0.0, 0.0185, -0.01, -0.01, 0.0185, -0.0442, -0.0728, -0.1098, -0.0728, -0.02, 0.067, 0.0071, 0.1127, 0.1812, 0.1583, 0.1641, 0.0956, 0.0613, 0.1213, 0.0499, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0813, 0.0071, 0.0984, 0.0984, 0.1954, 0.2154, 0.3638, 0.398, 0.6205, 0.7261, 0.7261, 0.6519, 0.7204, 0.786, 0.7803, 0.6748, 0.7204, 0.7033, 0.7889, 0.8317, 0.8146, 0.7832, 0.98, 0.9058, 0.8973, 0.8459, 0.7575, 0.6205, 0.5549, 0.5578, 0.4066, 0.4807, 0.4294, 0.4864, 0.3894, 0.3552, 0.3581, 0.3466, 0.398, 0.5178, 0.4864, 0.7261, 0.6434, 0.6976, 0.6833, 0.8203, 0.8944, 1.0314, 0.9943, 1.0029, 1.1797, 1.1797, 1.3738, 1.3138, 1.1113, 1.1455, 1.2026, 1.6305, 1.9244, 1.8445, 2.0956, 2.0956, 2.2839, 2.5321, 2.3809, 2.5036, 2.9829, 3.0371, 3.0342, 2.3267, 2.2725, 2.6091, 2.592, 2.5949, 2.9401, 3.194, 3.3766, 3.4936, 4.0214, 4.1327, 3.8417, 4.8031, 4.9601, 5.0, 4.3409, 4.3524, 4.6805, 4.1569, 3.5963, 3.923, 4.8944, 4.8602, 4.6947, 4.5892, 4.4408, 4.321, 5.4936, 5.4223, 6.0499, 5.194, 4.903, 4.6063, 4.3267, 3.9586, 3.2596]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1937257047663476924", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-23T21:10:47+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "when it actually happens it will have been worth the wait", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish setup in BTC miners; expects a meaningful move up when BTC makes its next move.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lacabra_Capital Agree. This setup has been a long time coming but when it actually happens it will have been worth the wait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Feels like the miners finally have some juice in them, and will see a nice gap up next time BTC makes a move\n\nPrice action telling a story", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lacabra_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01055684124231071, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01055684124231071, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010926580894288107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010926580894288107, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003871034803854645, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003871034803854645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005603844216792719, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005603844216792719, "ret_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003161550006434366, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003161550006434366, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01791430003409089, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01791430003409089, "ret_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09135359560823919, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09135359560823919, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04520583499516295, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04520583499516295, "ret_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.012648132933794631, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012648132933794631, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09683920811477331, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09683920811477331, "ret_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2775332701768465, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2775332701768465, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10956430772284986, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10956430772284986, "ret_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6441453491542922, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6441453491542922, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22617400027825996, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22617400027825996, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09135359560823919, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09135359560823919, "price_path": [-0.1769, -0.1743, -0.201, -0.2181, -0.1933, -0.2187, -0.2129, -0.2059, -0.2495, -0.2776, -0.2179, -0.2458, -0.21, -0.1992, -0.2075, -0.2041, -0.1959, -0.2001, -0.171, -0.1149, -0.1125, -0.1102, -0.1028, -0.1004, -0.107, -0.1077, -0.0861, -0.0821, -0.1026, -0.0831, -0.0809, -0.0221, -0.0247, -0.0262, -0.0133, -0.0193, -0.0174, -0.0198, 0.0003, 0.0115, 0.0388, 0.0577, 0.0162, 0.0366, 0.0324, 0.0211, 0.0006, -0.015, 0.0029, -0.0014, -0.008, -0.0379, -0.0112, 0.0447, 0.0443, 0.0294, 0.0033, 0.0049, 0.0115, -0.0093, -0.0066, -0.0085, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0169, 0.0131, 0.0143, 0.0148, 0.0011, 0.0311, 0.0386, 0.0233, 0.0258, 0.0319, 0.0545, 0.0986, 0.1131, 0.1352, 0.1155, 0.1247, 0.1299, 0.1177, 0.1124, 0.1366, 0.1248, 0.1211, 0.1142, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1161, 0.0964, 0.0733, 0.0899, 0.0811, 0.0895, 0.1129, 0.1052, 0.1246, 0.1382, 0.1683, 0.1211, 0.112, 0.1011, 0.0687, 0.0824, 0.0648, 0.107, 0.0431, 0.059, 0.0535, 0.066, 0.0268, 0.0348, 0.0533, 0.0582, 0.0487, 0.0481, 0.0615, 0.0564, 0.0793, 0.0941, 0.0997, 0.0935, 0.1067, 0.1032, 0.1095, 0.0958, 0.0679, 0.061, 0.0734, 0.0329, 0.0392, 0.0836, 0.0803, 0.1238, 0.1431, 0.1581, 0.1816, 0.1503, 0.1684, 0.1528, 0.0723, 0.0918, 0.0714, 0.0493, 0.0247, 0.0084, 0.0475, 0.0275, 0.02, 0.0425, 0.0517, 0.0809, 0.0699, 0.0424, 0.0258, 0.0377, 0.0092, -0.0378, -0.016, -0.0405, -0.0209, 0.004, -0.0244, -0.0371, -0.0557, -0.1059, -0.1277, -0.1196, -0.1337, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.1639, -0.1727, -0.1426, -0.1354, -0.1388, -0.1824, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1273, -0.1533, -0.1415, -0.1221, -0.1284, -0.1238, -0.145, -0.1815, -0.168]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1937257047663476924", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-23T21:10:47+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agree. This setup has been a long time coming but when it actually happens it will have been worth the wait", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish setup in BTC miners; expects a meaningful move up when BTC makes its next move.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI Bitcoin miner ETF; AI optionality context fits", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lacabra_Capital Agree. This setup has been a long time coming but when it actually happens it will have been worth the wait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Feels like the miners finally have some juice in them, and will see a nice gap up next time BTC makes a move\n\nPrice action telling a story", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lacabra_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.06848609260973126, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06848609260973126, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05755951171544316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05755951171544316, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010926580894288107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010926580894288107, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003089570839684308, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003089570839684308, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002529186418005036, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002529186418005036, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005603844216792719, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005603844216792719, "ret_p1w": 0.18898043572996315, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18898043572996315, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17106613569587226, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17106613569587226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01791430003409089, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01791430003409089, "ret_p1m": 0.4078269848187033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4078269848187033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3626211498235403, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3626211498235403, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04520583499516295, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04520583499516295, "ret_p3m": 1.1400618542748329, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1400618542748329, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0432226461600596, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0432226461600596, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09683920811477331, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09683920811477331, "ret_p6m": 0.8800205035066437, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8800205035066437, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7704561957837939, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7704561957837939, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10956430772284986, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10956430772284986, "ret_p1y": 2.291452004007593, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.291452004007593, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.065278003729333, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.065278003729333, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22617400027825996, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22617400027825996, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4078269848187033, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3626211498235403, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3626211498235403, "price_path": [-0.277, -0.3239, -0.3424, -0.2961, -0.2667, -0.3435, -0.3656, -0.361, -0.4083, -0.3275, -0.3816, -0.3553, -0.346, -0.3831, -0.3867, -0.38, -0.38, -0.3955, -0.3254, -0.3043, -0.276, -0.2503, -0.2621, -0.2693, -0.2956, -0.2487, -0.2291, -0.2657, -0.2513, -0.2487, -0.2003, -0.1993, -0.1586, -0.1143, -0.1272, -0.1468, -0.0731, -0.0664, -0.0736, -0.086, -0.0675, -0.0932, -0.0932, -0.0608, -0.1107, -0.1298, -0.1519, -0.1143, -0.0772, -0.0118, -0.0628, 0.0077, 0.0381, 0.0443, 0.0299, 0.0098, -0.0288, 0.0144, -0.0381, -0.0371, -0.0371, -0.0433, -0.0685, 0.0, 0.0031, 0.1071, 0.1179, 0.171, 0.189, 0.2951, 0.3404, 0.3404, 0.2817, 0.2822, 0.2997, 0.3126, 0.276, 0.3167, 0.2899, 0.3476, 0.3816, 0.3774, 0.3635, 0.4192, 0.4078, 0.396, 0.3677, 0.3455, 0.2827, 0.2724, 0.3007, 0.206, 0.2786, 0.2796, 0.3249, 0.3064, 0.2853, 0.2904, 0.3084, 0.3131, 0.3888, 0.3749, 0.4567, 0.3697, 0.4042, 0.3841, 0.4567, 0.4732, 0.5134, 0.5093, 0.5278, 0.5767, 0.5767, 0.6292, 0.5808, 0.5021, 0.5165, 0.5288, 0.706, 0.8275, 0.8368, 0.9217, 0.9943, 1.0525, 1.1189, 1.1164, 1.1401, 1.2642, 1.2091, 1.3172, 1.171, 1.0911, 1.2765, 1.2781, 1.3208, 1.3939, 1.4815, 1.6926, 1.7487, 1.8517, 1.9645, 1.8496, 2.1339, 2.2848, 2.3934, 2.0551, 1.9985, 2.0778, 1.8841, 1.6426, 1.7817, 2.0705, 2.1329, 2.0628, 2.0201, 1.9202, 1.9552, 2.1648, 2.0093, 2.2019, 1.9119, 1.8368, 1.759, 1.5772, 1.4578, 1.1612, 1.0875, 1.1071, 1.154, 1.0803, 0.9959, 0.9588, 1.2204, 1.2477, 1.3749, 1.3749, 1.4938, 1.4336, 1.2492, 1.3414, 1.4351, 1.3445, 1.3908, 1.4423, 1.3641, 1.3862, 1.2008, 0.9531, 0.9753, 0.88]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919866202052071930", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-06T21:25:46+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I buying Bitcoin and holding 10+ years is both the maximum risk adjusted outcome and the hardest to do", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC for 10+ years as the maximum risk-adjusted outcome.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TonyTheBullCMT Exactly why I buying Bitcoin and holding 10+ years is both the maximum risk adjusted outcome and the hardest to do.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\"Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon.\" \n\n–– Jesse Livermore", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TonySeverinoCMT", "ret_m1d": -0.021222823505693822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021222823505693822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01703501817246289, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01703501817246289, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004187805333230932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004187805333230932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0023743581586117557, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0023743581586117557, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004593515480141974, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004593515480141974, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00696787363875373, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00696787363875373, "ret_p1w": 0.07610689518613012, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07610689518613012, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028989232062685666, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028989232062685666, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04711766312344445, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04711766312344445, "ret_p1m": 0.08191430729956961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08191430729956961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.025066791150797574, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.025066791150797574, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05684751614877204, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05684751614877204, "ret_p3m": 0.1706320949788458, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1706320949788458, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04252747396596335, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04252747396596335, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12810462101288245, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12810462101288245, "ret_p6m": 0.13690587881233984, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13690587881233984, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08153877416939781, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08153877416939781, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21844465298173765, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21844465298173765, "ret_p1y": -0.1914571206815554, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1914571206815554, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47832222720102235, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47832222720102235, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28686510651946695, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28686510651946695, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1914571206815554, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.47832222720102235, "alpha_c_stated": -0.47832222720102235, "price_path": [-0.0022, -0.0028, 0.0066, -0.0109, 0.0112, -0.0018, 0.0073, -0.0106, -0.013, -0.0017, 0.0158, -0.007, -0.0556, -0.0833, -0.1287, -0.125, -0.1284, -0.1109, -0.099, -0.0638, -0.0707, -0.1039, -0.1887, -0.144, -0.1351, -0.1626, -0.1326, -0.1315, -0.1455, -0.1028, -0.1305, -0.1318, -0.0961, -0.0964, -0.1023, -0.0994, -0.1286, -0.1472, -0.1202, -0.1479, -0.1415, -0.1339, -0.1815, -0.2121, -0.147, -0.1774, -0.1384, -0.1267, -0.1357, -0.1319, -0.123, -0.1276, -0.0959, -0.0347, -0.0321, -0.0295, -0.0215, -0.0188, -0.026, -0.0268, -0.0032, 0.0011, -0.0212, 0.0, 0.0024, 0.0665, 0.0637, 0.0621, 0.0761, 0.0696, 0.0717, 0.0691, 0.0909, 0.1032, 0.133, 0.1536, 0.1083, 0.1306, 0.1259, 0.1136, 0.0913, 0.0743, 0.0938, 0.0892, 0.0819, 0.0493, 0.0784, 0.1394, 0.139, 0.1228, 0.0943, 0.096, 0.1032, 0.0806, 0.0835, 0.0814, 0.0672, 0.0907, 0.0955, 0.1091, 0.1049, 0.1063, 0.1067, 0.0919, 0.1246, 0.1327, 0.116, 0.1188, 0.1255, 0.15, 0.1982, 0.214, 0.2381, 0.2167, 0.2266, 0.2323, 0.219, 0.2132, 0.2396, 0.2268, 0.2228, 0.2152, 0.2182, 0.2182, 0.2172, 0.1958, 0.1706, 0.1887, 0.1791, 0.1883, 0.2138, 0.2054, 0.2265, 0.2414, 0.2742, 0.2227, 0.2128, 0.2009, 0.1656, 0.1805, 0.1613, 0.2073, 0.1376, 0.155, 0.149, 0.1626, 0.1199, 0.1286, 0.1487, 0.1541, 0.1438, 0.1431, 0.1577, 0.1521, 0.1772, 0.1932, 0.1994, 0.1926, 0.207, 0.2032, 0.2101, 0.1951, 0.1647, 0.1571, 0.1707, 0.1265, 0.1334, 0.1818, 0.1782, 0.2257, 0.2467, 0.2631, 0.2887, 0.2546, 0.2743, 0.2573, 0.1695, 0.1908, 0.1686, 0.1444, 0.1176, 0.0998, 0.1424, 0.1206, 0.1125, 0.1371, 0.147, 0.1789, 0.1669, 0.1369]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1933668341333569855", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-13T23:30:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My original cycle top target is $315,000 and I'm sticking with it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Maintains $315K BTC cycle-top target; firmly bullish against the parent's near-top warning.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@eddyluxe_ My original cycle top target is $315,000 and I’m sticking with it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Sir, $BTC already did a 7x this cycle from $16K to $112K.\nNot saying that BTC can't go higher this cycle, but we are likely closer to the top than not.\nOf course, I would love to be proven wrong and see my original cycle top target of $180K hit.\nHowever, unless Bitcoin starts", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "eddyluxe_", "ret_m1d": -0.001526181393267767, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001526181393267767, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007898493506745652, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007898493506745652, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006652678081987995, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006652678081987995, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015197849480419134, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015197849480419134, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": -0.026216813931204674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026216813931204674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02496266905015332, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02496266905015332, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "ret_p1m": 0.1296880831338436, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1296880831338436, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09434722109717475, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09434722109717475, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": 0.07412874741046238, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07412874741046238, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.020273075186985512, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.020273075186985512, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "ret_p6m": -0.14563695484211514, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14563695484211514, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2854765738252595, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2854765738252595, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": -0.3712598062217243, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3712598062217243, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6370828588259747, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6370828588259747, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1296880831338436, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09434722109717475, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09434722109717475, "price_path": [-0.2203, -0.1813, -0.2067, -0.2078, -0.1752, -0.1755, -0.1809, -0.1783, -0.2049, -0.2219, -0.1972, -0.2225, -0.2167, -0.2097, -0.2531, -0.2811, -0.2217, -0.2495, -0.2138, -0.2031, -0.2113, -0.2079, -0.1998, -0.204, -0.1751, -0.1192, -0.1168, -0.1145, -0.1072, -0.1047, -0.1113, -0.112, -0.0905, -0.0865, -0.1069, -0.0876, -0.0854, -0.0269, -0.0294, -0.0309, -0.0181, -0.0241, -0.0221, -0.0245, -0.0046, 0.0066, 0.0338, 0.0526, 0.0113, 0.0316, 0.0274, 0.0161, -0.0042, -0.0197, -0.002, -0.0062, -0.0128, -0.0426, -0.016, 0.0396, 0.0393, 0.0245, -0.0015, 0.0, 0.0067, -0.014, -0.0114, -0.0133, -0.0262, -0.0048, -0.0004, 0.012, 0.0082, 0.0094, 0.0098, -0.0037, 0.0261, 0.0335, 0.0183, 0.0208, 0.027, 0.0493, 0.0933, 0.1077, 0.1297, 0.1102, 0.1192, 0.1244, 0.1123, 0.107, 0.1311, 0.1194, 0.1157, 0.1088, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.1107, 0.0911, 0.0681, 0.0847, 0.0759, 0.0842, 0.1075, 0.0999, 0.1191, 0.1327, 0.1626, 0.1156, 0.1066, 0.0958, 0.0635, 0.0771, 0.0596, 0.1016, 0.038, 0.0538, 0.0484, 0.0608, 0.0219, 0.0298, 0.0482, 0.0531, 0.0437, 0.043, 0.0564, 0.0513, 0.0741, 0.0888, 0.0944, 0.0882, 0.1013, 0.0978, 0.1041, 0.0905, 0.0628, 0.0558, 0.0682, 0.0279, 0.0341, 0.0783, 0.0751, 0.1184, 0.1375, 0.1525, 0.1759, 0.1448, 0.1627, 0.1472, 0.0671, 0.0865, 0.0662, 0.0442, 0.0197, 0.0036, 0.0424, 0.0225, 0.0151, 0.0375, 0.0466, 0.0757, 0.0647, 0.0374, 0.0209, 0.0327, 0.0043, -0.0424, -0.0207, -0.0451, -0.0256, -0.0009, -0.0292, -0.0417, -0.0603, -0.1102, -0.1319, -0.1239, -0.1379, -0.1834, -0.1979, -0.168, -0.1767, -0.1468, -0.1396, -0.143, -0.1863, -0.1389, -0.1184, -0.1315, -0.1574, -0.1456]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1905280476673171757", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-27T15:27:18+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy BTC over GME; explicit buy instruction on Bitcoin, implicit avoid on GameStop.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Buy Bitcoin, not Gamestop.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003168478247719375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003168478247719375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005831285842543887, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005831285842543887, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026628075948245122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026628075948245122, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032393289916566204, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032393289916566204, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012254859284575925, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012254859284575925, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02013843063199028, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02013843063199028, "ret_p1w": -0.046735591852397396, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.046735591852397396, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006837189335915261, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006837189335915261, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.05357278118831266, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05357278118831266, "ret_p1m": 0.08652958520411347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08652958520411347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1155201020422213, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1155201020422213, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028990516838107827, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028990516838107827, "ret_p3m": 0.21643907530548678, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21643907530548678, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14326813063255361, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14326813063255361, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07317094467293317, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07317094467293317, "ret_p6m": 0.3270555834212845, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3270555834212845, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14995961429444127, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14995961429444127, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17709596912684322, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17709596912684322, "ret_p1y": -0.14127580986585409, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14127580986585409, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.33133087782272963, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.33133087782272963, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19005506795687555, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19005506795687555, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08652958520411347, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1155201020422213, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1155201020422213, "price_path": [0.0627, 0.0717, 0.0831, 0.1114, 0.1254, 0.1709, 0.1118, 0.0902, 0.0609, 0.0863, 0.0842, 0.1073, 0.1529, 0.1443, 0.1983, 0.1702, 0.2176, 0.189, 0.1925, 0.2024, 0.171, 0.1624, 0.1896, 0.2014, 0.1747, 0.1632, 0.1227, 0.1083, 0.108, 0.1073, 0.1177, 0.0983, 0.1228, 0.1084, 0.1185, 0.0986, 0.0959, 0.1085, 0.128, 0.1026, 0.0486, 0.0179, -0.0325, -0.0284, -0.0322, -0.0127, 0.0005, 0.0395, 0.0319, -0.005, -0.0992, -0.0495, -0.0396, -0.0701, -0.0368, -0.0356, -0.0511, -0.0037, -0.0345, -0.0359, 0.0037, 0.0034, -0.0032, 0.0, -0.0324, -0.0531, -0.023, -0.0538, -0.0467, -0.0382, -0.0911, -0.1251, -0.0528, -0.0866, -0.0433, -0.0302, -0.0402, -0.0361, -0.0262, -0.0313, 0.0039, 0.0719, 0.0748, 0.0776, 0.0865, 0.0895, 0.0815, 0.0806, 0.1069, 0.1116, 0.0868, 0.1104, 0.113, 0.1843, 0.1812, 0.1794, 0.1949, 0.1877, 0.19, 0.1871, 0.2114, 0.225, 0.2581, 0.281, 0.2307, 0.2554, 0.2503, 0.2366, 0.2118, 0.193, 0.2146, 0.2094, 0.2014, 0.1652, 0.1975, 0.2652, 0.2647, 0.2467, 0.2151, 0.217, 0.2251, 0.1999, 0.2031, 0.2008, 0.1851, 0.2111, 0.2164, 0.2315, 0.2269, 0.2284, 0.2289, 0.2125, 0.2487, 0.2578, 0.2393, 0.2423, 0.2498, 0.277, 0.3305, 0.348, 0.3748, 0.351, 0.362, 0.3684, 0.3536, 0.3471, 0.3765, 0.3622, 0.3578, 0.3494, 0.3527, 0.3527, 0.3516, 0.3279, 0.2999, 0.32, 0.3093, 0.3195, 0.3478, 0.3385, 0.362, 0.3785, 0.4149, 0.3577, 0.3467, 0.3335, 0.2943, 0.3108, 0.2895, 0.3407, 0.2632, 0.2825, 0.2758, 0.291, 0.2436, 0.2532, 0.2756, 0.2816, 0.2701, 0.2693, 0.2856, 0.2794, 0.3072, 0.325, 0.3318, 0.3243, 0.3403, 0.336, 0.3437, 0.3271]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1936071245248053285", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-20T14:38:49+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's primetime for Bitcoin \"miners\" with AI optionality. Hyperscalers are desperately trying to secure capacity.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin miners with AI optionality as hyperscalers scramble for capacity and financial institutions compete for a slice.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI Bitcoin miner ETF; AI optionality context fits", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s primetime for Bitcoin “miners” with AI optionality. Hyperscalers are desperately trying to secure capacity. Neoclouds don’t have any physical infrastructure which makes them vulnerable. And a number of financial institutions want a slice of the pie. Mad scramble. Enjoy it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006458602783969258, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006458602783969258, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004104600216362941, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004104600216362941, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026372431277191688, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026372431277191688, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03624981317441456, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03624981317441456, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "ret_p1w": 0.1684606659644312, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1684606659644312, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1337464749395476, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1337464749395476, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "ret_p1m": 0.42518835581106407, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42518835581106407, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36715179270673404, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.36715179270673404, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "ret_p3m": 1.2147471310468623, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2147471310468623, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1055394389444584, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1055394389444584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "ret_p6m": 1.041442436002448, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.041442436002448, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8927965560157689, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8927965560157689, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "ret_p1y": 2.397739576283218, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.397739576283218, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.1469793722911232, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.1469793722911232, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.42518835581106407, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.36715179270673404, "alpha_c_stated": 0.36715179270673404, "price_path": [-0.1577, -0.2293, -0.2443, -0.2933, -0.3127, -0.2643, -0.2336, -0.3138, -0.3369, -0.3321, -0.3816, -0.2971, -0.3536, -0.3262, -0.3165, -0.3552, -0.359, -0.352, -0.352, -0.3681, -0.2949, -0.2729, -0.2433, -0.2164, -0.2287, -0.2363, -0.2637, -0.2147, -0.1943, -0.2325, -0.2174, -0.2147, -0.1642, -0.1631, -0.1206, -0.0743, -0.0877, -0.1082, -0.0312, -0.0242, -0.0318, -0.0447, -0.0253, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.0183, -0.0705, -0.0904, -0.1136, -0.0743, -0.0355, 0.0328, -0.0205, 0.0533, 0.085, 0.0915, 0.0764, 0.0554, 0.0151, 0.0603, 0.0054, 0.0065, 0.0065, 0.0, -0.0264, 0.0452, 0.0484, 0.1572, 0.1685, 0.2239, 0.2427, 0.3536, 0.401, 0.401, 0.3396, 0.3402, 0.3584, 0.3719, 0.3337, 0.3762, 0.3482, 0.4085, 0.444, 0.4397, 0.4252, 0.4833, 0.4715, 0.4591, 0.4295, 0.4064, 0.3407, 0.3299, 0.3595, 0.2605, 0.3364, 0.3375, 0.3848, 0.3654, 0.3434, 0.3488, 0.3676, 0.3724, 0.4516, 0.437, 0.5226, 0.4316, 0.4677, 0.4467, 0.5226, 0.5398, 0.5818, 0.5775, 0.5969, 0.648, 0.648, 0.7029, 0.6523, 0.57, 0.585, 0.598, 0.7831, 0.9101, 0.9198, 1.0086, 1.0845, 1.1453, 1.2147, 1.2121, 1.2368, 1.3665, 1.3089, 1.422, 1.2691, 1.1857, 1.3794, 1.3811, 1.4257, 1.5022, 1.5936, 1.8143, 1.873, 1.9806, 2.0985, 1.9785, 2.2756, 2.4333, 2.5468, 2.1932, 2.134, 2.2169, 2.0145, 1.7621, 1.9074, 2.2094, 2.2745, 2.2013, 2.1566, 2.0522, 2.0888, 2.3079, 2.1453, 2.3466, 2.0436, 1.965, 1.8837, 1.6938, 1.5689, 1.2589, 1.1819, 1.2024, 1.2513, 1.1744, 1.0861, 1.0474, 1.3208, 1.3493, 1.4822, 1.4822, 1.6066, 1.5436, 1.3509, 1.4473, 1.5452, 1.4505, 1.4989, 1.5527, 1.4709, 1.4941, 1.3003, 1.0414]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1910845176580292647", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-11T23:59:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$444,000 is inevitable.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC target of $444,000 is inevitable; strongly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CedYoungelman $444,000 is inevitable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "When $84k becomes the Bitcoin base for five Fridays in a row then you know exactly where we’re gonna go.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CedYoungelman", "ret_m1d": -0.013455435540565497, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013455435540565497, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038471445723268216, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038471445723268216, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01033089354397465, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01033089354397465, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007529872143564931, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007529872143564931, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "ret_p1w": 0.0352073747027426, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0352073747027426, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08202460248830545, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08202460248830545, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "ret_p1m": 0.23216071523290926, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23216071523290926, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14364611991150356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14364611991150356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "ret_p3m": 0.3719413689101603, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3719413689101603, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20769208236812786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20769208236812786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "ret_p6m": 0.43657379350928416, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43657379350928416, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18831992577379486, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18831992577379486, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "ret_p1y": -0.19474060073043975, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19474060073043975, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4240611113755379, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4240611113755379, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23216071523290926, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14364611991150356, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14364611991150356, "price_path": [0.1888, 0.18, 0.2356, 0.2067, 0.2555, 0.226, 0.2297, 0.2398, 0.2075, 0.1986, 0.2266, 0.2388, 0.2113, 0.1995, 0.1577, 0.1428, 0.1425, 0.1418, 0.1525, 0.1325, 0.1578, 0.1429, 0.1534, 0.1328, 0.1301, 0.143, 0.1631, 0.137, 0.0813, 0.0496, -0.0023, 0.0019, -0.002, 0.018, 0.0317, 0.0719, 0.0641, 0.026, -0.0711, -0.0199, -0.0097, -0.0411, -0.0068, -0.0055, -0.0216, 0.0273, -0.0044, -0.0059, 0.035, 0.0346, 0.0279, 0.0312, -0.0022, -0.0236, 0.0074, -0.0243, -0.017, -0.0083, -0.0628, -0.0978, -0.0233, -0.0582, -0.0135, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.006, 0.0042, -0.0011, 0.0352, 0.1053, 0.1083, 0.1112, 0.1204, 0.1234, 0.1152, 0.1143, 0.1413, 0.1463, 0.1207, 0.145, 0.1477, 0.2212, 0.218, 0.2161, 0.2322, 0.2247, 0.2271, 0.2241, 0.2492, 0.2632, 0.2973, 0.3209, 0.269, 0.2945, 0.2892, 0.2751, 0.2496, 0.2301, 0.2524, 0.2471, 0.2388, 0.2015, 0.2348, 0.3046, 0.3042, 0.2856, 0.253, 0.2549, 0.2632, 0.2373, 0.2406, 0.2382, 0.222, 0.2488, 0.2543, 0.2699, 0.2652, 0.2667, 0.2672, 0.2502, 0.2876, 0.297, 0.2779, 0.281, 0.2887, 0.3168, 0.3719, 0.39, 0.4176, 0.3931, 0.4045, 0.411, 0.3958, 0.3891, 0.4194, 0.4047, 0.4001, 0.3914, 0.3949, 0.3948, 0.3938, 0.3692, 0.3404, 0.3611, 0.3501, 0.3606, 0.3898, 0.3802, 0.4044, 0.4215, 0.459, 0.4, 0.3886, 0.3751, 0.3346, 0.3517, 0.3297, 0.3824, 0.3026, 0.3224, 0.3156, 0.3312, 0.2823, 0.2923, 0.3153, 0.3215, 0.3097, 0.3088, 0.3256, 0.3192, 0.3479, 0.3663, 0.3733, 0.3655, 0.3821, 0.3776, 0.3855, 0.3684, 0.3336, 0.325, 0.3405, 0.2899, 0.2977, 0.3532, 0.3491, 0.4034, 0.4275, 0.4462, 0.4756, 0.4366]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920598008464314801", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-08T21:53:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my sources are adamant that they started weeks ago", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Claims GameStop has already started buying BTC, implying ongoing accumulation is a bullish catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@lylepratt @ryancohen @gamestop Huh? There is no proof that they haven't purchased some BTC and my sources are adamant that they started weeks ago.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Probably the biggest fail during this dip: @ryancohen and @gamestop could have stacked at $75k but didn’t.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lylepratt", "ret_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06141766635851398, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06141766635851398, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.035668450558274056, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.035668450558274056, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "ret_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048037475993248924, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048037475993248924, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "ret_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05149345302266295, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05149345302266295, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "ret_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01901166668031884, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01901166668031884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "ret_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15664798281384784, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15664798281384784, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "ret_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5261825043150228, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5261825043150228, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011128114635994057, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05149345302266295, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05149345302266295, "price_path": [-0.0562, -0.0726, -0.0519, -0.0641, -0.0555, -0.0723, -0.0746, -0.064, -0.0475, -0.0689, -0.1145, -0.1405, -0.183, -0.1796, -0.1828, -0.1664, -0.1552, -0.1222, -0.1286, -0.1598, -0.2393, -0.1974, -0.1891, -0.2148, -0.1867, -0.1856, -0.1988, -0.1587, -0.1848, -0.186, -0.1525, -0.1527, -0.1583, -0.1556, -0.183, -0.2004, -0.175, -0.201, -0.1951, -0.1879, -0.2325, -0.2612, -0.2002, -0.2287, -0.1921, -0.1811, -0.1896, -0.186, -0.1777, -0.182, -0.1523, -0.0949, -0.0924, -0.0901, -0.0825, -0.08, -0.0868, -0.0875, -0.0654, -0.0613, -0.0823, -0.0624, -0.0601, 0.0, -0.0026, -0.0042, 0.009, 0.0029, 0.0049, 0.0024, 0.0229, 0.0344, 0.0623, 0.0817, 0.0392, 0.06, 0.0557, 0.0442, 0.0232, 0.0073, 0.0256, 0.0212, 0.0144, -0.0161, 0.0111, 0.0683, 0.068, 0.0527, 0.026, 0.0276, 0.0344, 0.0132, 0.0159, 0.014, 0.0007, 0.0226, 0.0272, 0.0399, 0.036, 0.0373, 0.0377, 0.0238, 0.0544, 0.0621, 0.0464, 0.049, 0.0553, 0.0783, 0.1235, 0.1383, 0.1609, 0.1408, 0.1501, 0.1554, 0.143, 0.1375, 0.1623, 0.1503, 0.1465, 0.1394, 0.1422, 0.1422, 0.1413, 0.1212, 0.0976, 0.1146, 0.1056, 0.1142, 0.1381, 0.1303, 0.15, 0.164, 0.1947, 0.1464, 0.1371, 0.126, 0.0929, 0.1069, 0.0889, 0.132, 0.0667, 0.0829, 0.0773, 0.0901, 0.0501, 0.0582, 0.0771, 0.0822, 0.0725, 0.0718, 0.0855, 0.0803, 0.1038, 0.1188, 0.1246, 0.1182, 0.1317, 0.1281, 0.1346, 0.1206, 0.0921, 0.085, 0.0977, 0.0563, 0.0627, 0.1081, 0.1048, 0.1492, 0.1689, 0.1843, 0.2084, 0.1764, 0.1948, 0.1788, 0.0966, 0.1165, 0.0957, 0.073, 0.0479, 0.0313, 0.0712, 0.0507, 0.0431, 0.0661, 0.0755, 0.1054, 0.0941, 0.066, 0.0491, 0.0612]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914880569718267964", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-23T03:14:39+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going to $150,000+ no matter what happens on Sunday.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC heading to $150K+ regardless of Sunday's weekly close.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Irrelevant. We are going to $150,000+ no matter what happens on Sunday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC Weekly \n\nSunday close all important now: https://t.co/sScH2ksZHF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.002745156829298878, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002745156829298878, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012513993013608227, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012513993013608227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0026114175645013393, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0026114175645013393, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018437495385366987, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018437495385366987, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "ret_p1w": 0.005423777540574992, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005423777540574992, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030286408546815524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030286408546815524, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "ret_p1m": 0.1918286309751811, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1918286309751811, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10279563412281933, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10279563412281933, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "ret_p3m": 0.2533687870232224, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2533687870232224, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07554797825510384, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07554797825510384, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "ret_p6m": 0.1546111781011792, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1546111781011792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08633995449485754, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08633995449485754, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "ret_p1y": -0.22113403892746442, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22113403892746442, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5047040009636808, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5047040009636808, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1918286309751811, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10279563412281933, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10279563412281933, "price_path": [0.1187, 0.0895, 0.0815, 0.1068, 0.1178, 0.0929, 0.0822, 0.0445, 0.0311, 0.0309, 0.0302, 0.0399, 0.0219, 0.0447, 0.0312, 0.0407, 0.0221, 0.0196, 0.0313, 0.0495, 0.0259, -0.0243, -0.053, -0.0998, -0.096, -0.0995, -0.0815, -0.0691, -0.0328, -0.0399, -0.0742, -0.1619, -0.1157, -0.1065, -0.1348, -0.1038, -0.1027, -0.1172, -0.0731, -0.1017, -0.1031, -0.0662, -0.0665, -0.0726, -0.0696, -0.0997, -0.119, -0.091, -0.1197, -0.1131, -0.1052, -0.1544, -0.186, -0.1187, -0.1502, -0.1099, -0.0977, -0.107, -0.1032, -0.094, -0.0987, -0.066, -0.0027, 0.0, 0.0026, 0.0109, 0.0137, 0.0063, 0.0054, 0.0298, 0.0343, 0.0112, 0.0331, 0.0356, 0.1018, 0.099, 0.0973, 0.1117, 0.105, 0.1072, 0.1045, 0.1271, 0.1397, 0.1705, 0.1918, 0.145, 0.168, 0.1632, 0.1505, 0.1275, 0.1099, 0.13, 0.1252, 0.1177, 0.0841, 0.1141, 0.1771, 0.1767, 0.16, 0.1305, 0.1323, 0.1398, 0.1164, 0.1194, 0.1172, 0.1026, 0.1268, 0.1318, 0.1458, 0.1415, 0.1429, 0.1434, 0.1281, 0.1618, 0.1702, 0.153, 0.1558, 0.1628, 0.1881, 0.2379, 0.2542, 0.2791, 0.257, 0.2672, 0.2731, 0.2594, 0.2534, 0.2806, 0.2674, 0.2633, 0.2555, 0.2585, 0.2585, 0.2575, 0.2354, 0.2094, 0.2281, 0.2182, 0.2276, 0.254, 0.2454, 0.2672, 0.2825, 0.3164, 0.2632, 0.2529, 0.2407, 0.2042, 0.2196, 0.1998, 0.2473, 0.1753, 0.1932, 0.187, 0.2011, 0.157, 0.166, 0.1868, 0.1924, 0.1817, 0.1809, 0.1961, 0.1903, 0.2162, 0.2327, 0.2391, 0.2321, 0.247, 0.243, 0.2501, 0.2347, 0.2033, 0.1955, 0.2095, 0.1638, 0.1709, 0.2209, 0.2173, 0.2663, 0.288, 0.3049, 0.3314, 0.2962, 0.3165, 0.2989, 0.2083, 0.2302, 0.2073, 0.1823, 0.1546]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1916639836200636875", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-27T23:45:21+00:00", "symbol": "MARA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A sector that fell too far and is about to explode higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MARA; sector fell too far and is about to explode higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Fibonacci_TA A sector that fell too far and is about to explode higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$MARA - tell me what you see? https://t.co/YKBEFSSTgr", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Fibonacci_TA", "ret_m1d": 0.02069949729588072, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02069949729588072, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021080737020498175, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023813512421719585, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003812397246174548, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003114015125838865, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014989295839842542, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014989295839842542, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008690132432384035, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004609406814306771, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006299163407458508, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010379889025535771, "ret_p1w": -0.06566738481540857, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06566738481540857, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0886498592488636, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09203229325663376, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022982474433455025, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026364908441225188, "ret_p1m": 0.1734475564223259, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1734475564223259, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1002879566420134, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11615045279774106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0731595997803125, "bench_c_p1m": 0.057297103624584844, "ret_p3m": 0.23197715538220143, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23197715538220143, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07686157671131122, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12647838358998653, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1551155786708902, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1054987717922149, "ret_p6m": 0.4325481346852229, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4325481346852229, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20691320705897231, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33051594305252974, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2256349276262506, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10203219163269317, "ret_p1y": -0.25267665267808215, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25267665267808215, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5378971132848835, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.35244004918099847, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2852204606068014, "bench_c_p1y": 0.09976339650291632, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1734475564223259, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1002879566420134, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11615045279774106, "price_path": [0.3148, 0.369, 0.3091, 0.2812, 0.2598, 0.2156, 0.1991, 0.197, 0.1963, 0.1435, 0.1592, 0.207, 0.2063, 0.2063, 0.1456, 0.1263, 0.1385, 0.0464, -0.0086, -0.1135, -0.1113, -0.0628, -0.0064, -0.0157, -0.0029, 0.0792, 0.0771, 0.1435, -0.0428, -0.0493, -0.0642, -0.132, -0.0592, -0.0742, -0.1385, -0.1056, -0.1078, -0.1163, 0.0428, 0.0171, -0.0157, -0.0264, -0.1099, -0.1792, -0.1549, -0.1135, -0.1984, -0.1934, -0.1963, -0.2491, -0.1213, -0.162, -0.1071, -0.0757, -0.1021, -0.1206, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1228, 0.0036, 0.0086, 0.0, 0.0207, 0.0, 0.015, -0.0457, 0.0029, 0.0335, -0.0657, -0.0614, -0.0485, 0.02, 0.1249, 0.1385, 0.1685, 0.1328, 0.1192, 0.157, 0.1649, 0.1556, 0.1306, 0.1171, 0.0514, 0.0514, 0.1734, 0.0607, 0.0428, 0.0079, 0.025, 0.0942, 0.1185, 0.0621, 0.1263, 0.1613, 0.177, 0.167, 0.1292, 0.0735, 0.0935, 0.0471, 0.0343, 0.0343, 0.0221, 0.0121, 0.0621, 0.0692, 0.0899, 0.0728, 0.1192, 0.1206, 0.2705, 0.2605, 0.2605, 0.1956, 0.2505, 0.3176, 0.3562, 0.3662, 0.3712, 0.339, 0.3876, 0.4254, 0.3926, 0.344, 0.419, 0.2541, 0.232, 0.2313, 0.2248, 0.1856, 0.1813, 0.1478, 0.1064, 0.1449, 0.1149, 0.1342, 0.1385, 0.0978, 0.1178, 0.1221, 0.132, 0.1242, 0.1185, 0.1485, 0.0828, 0.1028, 0.1071, 0.1627, 0.0992, 0.1306, 0.1313, 0.1392, 0.1406, 0.1406, 0.1463, 0.1342, 0.0785, 0.0842, 0.0849, 0.137, 0.132, 0.1213, 0.1642, 0.1592, 0.2512, 0.2377, 0.3205, 0.3055, 0.3098, 0.2641, 0.2591, 0.147, 0.1513, 0.3319, 0.3034, 0.3283, 0.3412, 0.3433, 0.4682, 0.4454, 0.4418, 0.4418, 0.3312, 0.4447, 0.5874, 0.6303, 0.4468, 0.3969, 0.4797, 0.4325]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924663512233869527", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T03:08:34+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If BTC is $150k and they do a 450-600MW deal the price is going a lot higher than $7-10", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CIFR calls; holds 80%+ OI in 3 strikes and targets well above $7-10 on BTC $150k + large power deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@web3_eth 1. If BTC is $150k and they do a 450-600MW deal the price is going a lot higher than $7-10\n\n2. I am 80%+ of the OI in 3 of those strikes.\n\nGood luck out there!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR OI > 5K (key date & strike) 👀\n\nJun 20 $5 13.8K\nJan 16 (2026) $10 13K\nJan 16 (2026) $12 9.6K\nJun 20 $6 9K\nJan 16 (2026) $7 8.3K\nJan 16 (2026) $15 7.3K\nJan 15 (2027) $7 7.3K\nSep 19 $4 7.1K\nJun 20 $4 7.1K\nJun 20 $7 6.6K\nJan 16 (2026) $5 6K\nJun 20 $10 5.3K\nJan 16 (2026) $5.50", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SignalScale", "ret_m1d": 0.007936500427734305, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007936500427734305, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0045630045399165375, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004170484206958758, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003373495887817768, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037660162207755477, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.072751285457747, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.072751285457747, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05590040571061361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05396414046309794, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016850879747133396, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018787144994649063, "ret_p1w": -0.055555566067838624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.055555566067838624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05268820418380071, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04926460416485767, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002867361884037911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006290961902980952, "ret_p1m": 0.007936500427734305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007936500427734305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00019425793880789577, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02604299176104985, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00774224248892641, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033979492188784155, "ret_p3m": 0.37830689883085955, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37830689883085955, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28976466394229505, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23934868533069475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1389582135001648, "ret_p6m": 3.597883410664841, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.597883410664841, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.4385673973178537, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.3363371478948007, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15931601334698753, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26154626277004045, "ret_p1y": 4.472222122355532, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.472222122355532, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.224070717296009, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.011531741280138, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.46069038107539373, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.007936500427734305, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00019425793880789577, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02604299176104985, "price_path": [0.6085, 0.4524, 0.3135, 0.0847, 0.1045, 0.0503, 0.0794, 0.0185, -0.0079, 0.1005, 0.0026, 0.0291, -0.1852, -0.1587, -0.1534, -0.1984, -0.1958, -0.1746, -0.2407, -0.1905, -0.2063, -0.2275, -0.1534, -0.1958, -0.291, -0.328, -0.3862, -0.3915, -0.3492, -0.2989, -0.3889, -0.4444, -0.4101, -0.4418, -0.3492, -0.4127, -0.3598, -0.3545, -0.3862, -0.3849, -0.373, -0.373, -0.381, -0.2751, -0.2434, -0.2063, -0.1852, -0.1905, -0.1852, -0.246, -0.1759, -0.164, -0.2116, -0.1958, -0.2011, -0.1746, -0.2116, -0.1667, -0.0926, -0.1243, -0.1614, 0.0212, 0.0079, 0.0, -0.0728, -0.0556, -0.082, -0.082, -0.0556, -0.1138, -0.1402, -0.1746, -0.1402, -0.0913, -0.0106, -0.0661, 0.0317, 0.0952, 0.0741, 0.0794, 0.0159, -0.0159, 0.0397, -0.0265, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0026, -0.0661, 0.0185, 0.0185, 0.1085, 0.127, 0.2646, 0.2963, 0.5026, 0.6005, 0.6005, 0.5317, 0.5952, 0.6561, 0.6508, 0.5529, 0.5952, 0.5794, 0.6587, 0.6984, 0.6825, 0.6534, 0.836, 0.7672, 0.7593, 0.7116, 0.6296, 0.5026, 0.4418, 0.4444, 0.3042, 0.373, 0.3254, 0.3783, 0.2884, 0.2566, 0.2593, 0.2487, 0.2963, 0.4074, 0.3783, 0.6005, 0.5238, 0.5741, 0.5608, 0.6878, 0.7566, 0.8836, 0.8492, 0.8571, 1.0212, 1.0212, 1.2011, 1.1455, 0.9577, 0.9894, 1.0423, 1.4392, 1.7116, 1.6376, 1.8704, 1.8704, 2.045, 2.2751, 2.1349, 2.2487, 2.6931, 2.7434, 2.7407, 2.0847, 2.0344, 2.3466, 2.3307, 2.3333, 2.6534, 2.8889, 3.0582, 3.1667, 3.6561, 3.7593, 3.4894, 4.381, 4.5265, 4.5635, 3.9524, 3.963, 4.2672, 3.7817, 3.2619, 3.5648, 4.4656, 4.4339, 4.2804, 4.1825, 4.045, 3.9339, 5.0212, 4.955, 5.537, 4.7434, 4.4735, 4.1984, 3.9392, 3.5979]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1923896437986951650", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T00:20:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm willing to bet $10M that Bitcoin hits $124,000 before $84,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Betting $10M BTC hits $124K before $84K; explicitly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m in a good mood and feeling bullish so I’m willing to bet $10M that Bitcoin hits $124,000 before $84,000. \n\nAnyone want to take the other side? Respond below and include your choice of escrow services please. 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1930313841625444823", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-04T17:20:57+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will be $120,000 before July 15", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC to $120K before July 15; DXY breaking down, Russell 2000 on breakout verge, massive gains expected in BTC proxy equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The DXY is under 99 and breaking down. Long term yields are receding from recent highs. The Russell 2000 small cap index looks to be on the verge of a breakout. Bitcoin will be $120,000 before July 15. It's the perfect set of conditions for massive gains in Bitcoin proxies. Enjoy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006688351979390328, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006688351979390328, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006419767429316714, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006419767429316714, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030134359325224014, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030134359325224014, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025301603060925548, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025301603060925548, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "ret_p1w": 0.03775962661836085, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03775962661836085, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028647797089161653, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028647797089161653, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "ret_p1m": 0.04693878586218658, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04693878586218658, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005514966651379405, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005514966651379405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "ret_p3m": 0.04314450262701808, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04314450262701808, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04248131131866861, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04248131131866861, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "ret_p6m": -0.12839066742833305, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12839066742833305, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2754706205620947, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2754706205620947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "ret_p1y": -0.27922455935515167, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.27922455935515167, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5447889353639666, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5447889353639666, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04693878586218658, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.005514966651379405, "alpha_c_stated": -0.005514966651379405, "price_path": [-0.1718, -0.2502, -0.2088, -0.2006, -0.226, -0.1982, -0.1972, -0.2102, -0.1707, -0.1964, -0.1975, -0.1645, -0.1648, -0.1703, -0.1676, -0.1946, -0.2118, -0.1868, -0.2124, -0.2065, -0.1994, -0.2434, -0.2717, -0.2116, -0.2397, -0.2036, -0.1928, -0.2011, -0.1976, -0.1894, -0.1936, -0.1644, -0.1078, -0.1053, -0.103, -0.0956, -0.0931, -0.0998, -0.1005, -0.0787, -0.0747, -0.0953, -0.0757, -0.0735, -0.0142, -0.0168, -0.0183, -0.0054, -0.0114, -0.0094, -0.0119, 0.0083, 0.0197, 0.0472, 0.0663, 0.0244, 0.045, 0.0407, 0.0293, 0.0087, -0.007, 0.011, 0.0067, 0.0, -0.0301, -0.0033, 0.0531, 0.0528, 0.0378, 0.0114, 0.013, 0.0197, -0.0012, 0.0014, -0.0005, -0.0136, 0.0081, 0.0125, 0.0251, 0.0213, 0.0225, 0.0229, 0.0092, 0.0394, 0.0469, 0.0315, 0.0341, 0.0403, 0.063, 0.1075, 0.1221, 0.1443, 0.1246, 0.1337, 0.139, 0.1267, 0.1213, 0.1457, 0.1339, 0.1302, 0.1232, 0.126, 0.1259, 0.1251, 0.1053, 0.082, 0.0987, 0.0898, 0.0983, 0.1219, 0.1142, 0.1337, 0.1474, 0.1777, 0.1301, 0.1209, 0.11, 0.0773, 0.0911, 0.0734, 0.1159, 0.0515, 0.0675, 0.062, 0.0746, 0.0351, 0.0431, 0.0618, 0.0668, 0.0572, 0.0565, 0.0701, 0.0649, 0.0881, 0.1029, 0.1086, 0.1023, 0.1156, 0.1121, 0.1184, 0.1046, 0.0765, 0.0695, 0.0821, 0.0412, 0.0476, 0.0923, 0.089, 0.1329, 0.1523, 0.1674, 0.1912, 0.1596, 0.1778, 0.1621, 0.081, 0.1006, 0.0801, 0.0578, 0.033, 0.0166, 0.0559, 0.0358, 0.0282, 0.051, 0.0602, 0.0896, 0.0785, 0.0508, 0.0341, 0.0461, 0.0173, -0.03, -0.008, -0.0328, -0.013, 0.0121, -0.0166, -0.0293, -0.0481, -0.0987, -0.1207, -0.1125, -0.1267, -0.1728, -0.1875, -0.1572, -0.166, -0.1357, -0.1284]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1930313841625444823", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-06-04T17:20:57+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin proxies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "perfect set of conditions for massive gains in Bitcoin proxies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC to $120K before July 15; DXY breaking down, Russell 2000 on breakout verge, massive gains expected in BTC proxy equities.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR", "MARA", "RIOT", "CORZ", "HUT"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Bitcoin proxy equities: treasury+miner cos", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The DXY is under 99 and breaking down. Long term yields are receding from recent highs. The Russell 2000 small cap index looks to be on the verge of a breakout. Bitcoin will be $120,000 before July 15. It's the perfect set of conditions for massive gains in Bitcoin proxies. Enjoy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03257087442600175, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03257087442600175, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03283945897607536, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038280709347828276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005709834921826529, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04388915877526924, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04388915877526924, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03905640251097078, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04113262604449488, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0027565327307743637, "ret_p1w": 0.048368151778816725, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.048368151778816725, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.039256322249617524, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04423346748397385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004134684294842872, "ret_p1m": 0.2394239344329498, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2394239344329498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1869701819193838, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1885814917425334, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05084244269041638, "ret_p3m": 0.21331941211326622, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21331941211326622, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12769359816757953, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1466718126700679, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06664759944319831, "ret_p6m": 0.30547444960118986, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30547444960118986, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1583944964674282, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2559297975517414, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04954465204944847, "ret_p1y": 1.42379402719057, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.42379402719057, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.1582296511817551, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.3853602294374308, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.038433797753139265, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2394239344329498, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1869701819193838, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1885814917425334, "price_path": [-0.1847, -0.2806, -0.2525, -0.2432, -0.2761, -0.2211, -0.2237, -0.2707, -0.2251, -0.2286, -0.2266, -0.1401, -0.1597, -0.21, -0.2187, -0.2748, -0.2989, -0.2443, -0.2158, -0.2998, -0.3019, -0.3186, -0.3682, -0.263, -0.3166, -0.2775, -0.2677, -0.2937, -0.3088, -0.2975, -0.2975, -0.3158, -0.2404, -0.2214, -0.2003, -0.169, -0.1799, -0.1751, -0.2022, -0.1603, -0.1285, -0.1728, -0.1695, -0.1666, -0.1037, -0.0885, -0.0593, -0.0203, -0.0354, -0.0562, -0.0159, -0.0095, -0.0131, -0.0347, -0.0275, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.0225, -0.0869, -0.0942, -0.1055, -0.0884, -0.0326, 0.0, -0.0439, 0.0193, 0.0486, 0.0586, 0.0484, 0.0269, -0.006, 0.0212, -0.0218, -0.0209, -0.0209, -0.0352, -0.0621, -0.0026, 0.0083, 0.1007, 0.0898, 0.1424, 0.1271, 0.2243, 0.2394, 0.2394, 0.1516, 0.146, 0.177, 0.2, 0.1915, 0.2231, 0.2007, 0.2371, 0.2488, 0.2315, 0.2232, 0.246, 0.2138, 0.2156, 0.1997, 0.196, 0.1487, 0.1457, 0.1653, 0.058, 0.1175, 0.0948, 0.119, 0.1239, 0.0968, 0.1187, 0.1444, 0.1361, 0.1563, 0.1315, 0.1756, 0.1104, 0.1294, 0.1057, 0.1662, 0.1512, 0.2044, 0.2044, 0.2137, 0.2133, 0.2133, 0.2274, 0.2022, 0.1612, 0.1666, 0.1729, 0.2732, 0.3389, 0.3258, 0.352, 0.3938, 0.4393, 0.4701, 0.4956, 0.4741, 0.499, 0.4459, 0.4909, 0.3948, 0.4, 0.5129, 0.4991, 0.5307, 0.5787, 0.5907, 0.6789, 0.6471, 0.6993, 0.7286, 0.6488, 0.7654, 0.7989, 0.8658, 0.7072, 0.6971, 0.7713, 0.7089, 0.5329, 0.5928, 0.7216, 0.7922, 0.7558, 0.7946, 0.7067, 0.7308, 0.8149, 0.6604, 0.6526, 0.532, 0.5344, 0.5516, 0.441, 0.3806, 0.2306, 0.2244, 0.2213, 0.2549, 0.2078, 0.1318, 0.1246, 0.2424, 0.254, 0.3055, 0.3055]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920828467043606550", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-09T13:09:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have been rock solid on this target since $16k. No wavering.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reaffirms $315k BTC cycle top target; no revision from prior call made at $16k.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@adamoFINM I have been rock solid on this target since $16k. No wavering.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Still have same cycle potential top of $315k or is that to be revised as well?  Asking for a friend...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "adamoFINM", "ret_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "ret_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "ret_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "ret_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "ret_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "ret_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "price_path": [-0.0702, -0.0494, -0.0616, -0.053, -0.0699, -0.0722, -0.0615, -0.045, -0.0665, -0.1122, -0.1382, -0.1809, -0.1774, -0.1806, -0.1642, -0.1529, -0.1199, -0.1263, -0.1576, -0.2373, -0.1953, -0.1869, -0.2127, -0.1845, -0.1835, -0.1967, -0.1565, -0.1826, -0.1838, -0.1503, -0.1505, -0.1561, -0.1534, -0.1808, -0.1983, -0.1729, -0.1989, -0.1929, -0.1858, -0.2305, -0.2593, -0.1981, -0.2267, -0.19, -0.179, -0.1874, -0.1839, -0.1755, -0.1799, -0.1501, -0.0925, -0.09, -0.0877, -0.0801, -0.0776, -0.0844, -0.0851, -0.0629, -0.0589, -0.0799, -0.0599, -0.0577, 0.0026, 0.0, -0.0015, 0.0116, 0.0055, 0.0075, 0.005, 0.0256, 0.0371, 0.0651, 0.0845, 0.0419, 0.0628, 0.0585, 0.0469, 0.0259, 0.01, 0.0283, 0.0239, 0.0171, -0.0135, 0.0138, 0.0711, 0.0708, 0.0555, 0.0287, 0.0303, 0.0372, 0.0158, 0.0186, 0.0166, 0.0033, 0.0253, 0.0299, 0.0426, 0.0387, 0.04, 0.0404, 0.0265, 0.0572, 0.0648, 0.0492, 0.0518, 0.0581, 0.0811, 0.1264, 0.1413, 0.1639, 0.1438, 0.1531, 0.1585, 0.146, 0.1405, 0.1653, 0.1533, 0.1495, 0.1424, 0.1452, 0.1452, 0.1443, 0.1242, 0.1005, 0.1175, 0.1085, 0.1171, 0.1411, 0.1332, 0.1531, 0.1671, 0.1979, 0.1494, 0.1401, 0.129, 0.0958, 0.1098, 0.0918, 0.135, 0.0695, 0.0858, 0.0801, 0.093, 0.0528, 0.061, 0.0799, 0.085, 0.0753, 0.0746, 0.0884, 0.0831, 0.1067, 0.1217, 0.1275, 0.1211, 0.1347, 0.1311, 0.1376, 0.1235, 0.095, 0.0878, 0.1006, 0.059, 0.0655, 0.111, 0.1077, 0.1523, 0.172, 0.1874, 0.2115, 0.1795, 0.198, 0.1819, 0.0995, 0.1195, 0.0986, 0.0759, 0.0506, 0.034, 0.074, 0.0535, 0.0458, 0.0689, 0.0783, 0.1083, 0.097, 0.0688, 0.0518, 0.064, 0.0347]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1907259968287609294", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-02T02:33:06+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am bullish.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Btcup21m119850 I am bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred And IREN?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Btcup21m119850", "ret_m1d": -0.01775153229781612, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01775153229781612, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01146292057598075, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00957769755845661, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006288611721835369, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008173834739359509, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10650891163474163, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10650891163474163, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05722800090491642, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05726650735327188, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.04928091072982521, "bench_c_p1d": -0.049242404281469754, "ret_p1w": -0.12721895035448183, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12721895035448183, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09905335517959912, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06880588709802915, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028165595174882707, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05841306325645268, "ret_p1m": -0.05769235652633453, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05769235652633453, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04697517279640284, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029582269560917696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01071718372993169, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028110086965416836, "ret_p3m": 1.155325325667071, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.155325325667071, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0576202298380224, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1076881625592547, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09770509582904863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047637163107816294, "ret_p6m": 5.847633039678775, "ret_signed_p6m": 5.847633039678775, "alpha_spy_p6m": 5.67526508358558, "alpha_c_p6m": 5.774469721074747, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17236795609319522, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0731633186040277, "ret_p1y": 5.1079880943076645, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.1079880943076645, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.945930229256095, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.119490901968557, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1620578650515696, "bench_c_p1y": -0.011502807660892178, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05769235652633453, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04697517279640284, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029582269560917696, "price_path": [0.6775, 0.7411, 0.6834, 0.5547, 0.5547, 0.6272, 0.5473, 0.6228, 0.7086, 0.6938, 0.7737, 0.7737, 0.5991, 0.7249, 0.8166, 0.9704, 0.4926, 0.4911, 0.4763, 0.5237, 0.5118, 0.5799, 0.5799, 0.6376, 0.7145, 0.8447, 0.9024, 0.8373, 0.9246, 0.9349, 0.9246, 0.9246, 0.9186, 0.9231, 0.8284, 0.6095, 0.503, 0.2988, 0.2559, 0.1627, 0.2189, 0.1198, 0.1154, 0.1923, 0.1272, 0.1391, -0.0207, 0.0429, 0.0414, -0.0015, 0.0666, 0.0873, -0.0251, 0.0651, 0.0666, 0.0577, 0.1376, 0.0947, -0.0074, -0.0444, -0.1021, -0.0991, -0.0178, 0.0, -0.1065, -0.1213, -0.1302, -0.216, -0.1272, -0.1879, -0.1672, -0.1494, -0.1938, -0.1908, -0.1731, -0.1731, -0.1849, -0.1036, -0.0976, -0.068, -0.0325, -0.0547, -0.0725, -0.0962, -0.0577, -0.034, -0.0843, -0.0385, -0.0281, 0.0192, 0.0414, 0.1109, 0.2012, 0.179, 0.1464, 0.2441, 0.2633, 0.2737, 0.3151, 0.3728, 0.3491, 0.3491, 0.3669, 0.3107, 0.2722, 0.2411, 0.2914, 0.3151, 0.395, 0.324, 0.4423, 0.5296, 0.5518, 0.5237, 0.5044, 0.4541, 0.5385, 0.4453, 0.4497, 0.4497, 0.5488, 0.5769, 0.7071, 0.7559, 0.9393, 1.071, 1.1553, 1.253, 1.3166, 1.4882, 1.4882, 1.5074, 1.4985, 1.5089, 1.5192, 1.4009, 1.5562, 1.497, 1.5607, 1.6701, 1.6538, 1.6849, 1.75, 1.8092, 1.6834, 1.6213, 1.4527, 1.3358, 1.3876, 1.3831, 1.2781, 1.4379, 1.4334, 1.7101, 1.747, 1.7293, 1.6583, 1.6376, 1.6228, 1.8225, 1.9127, 2.0629, 1.7707, 1.9231, 1.8979, 2.1701, 2.4201, 2.4009, 2.307, 2.4083, 2.9172, 2.9172, 3.3062, 3.1731, 2.8654, 2.8683, 2.8743, 3.466, 3.9749, 3.8595, 4.0237, 4.4941, 4.392, 4.6065, 4.3728, 4.716, 5.1982, 5.179, 5.9734, 5.8476]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1910374447988793665", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-10T16:48:56+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Same except mine sent an automated email", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added BTC below $79k; endorses parent's buy action at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wclemente Same except mine sent an automated email", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "My quant texted me so I added some more BTC sub 79k", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WClemente", "ret_m1d": 0.03702066277308047, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03702066277308047, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00880638526847477, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00880638526847477, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04745546227457886, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04745546227457886, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02961256851346228, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02961256851346228, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "ret_p1w": 0.06617938950246582, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06617938950246582, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06269108943668789, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06269108943668789, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "ret_p1m": 0.2931789831111131, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2931789831111131, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21738500106290926, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21738500106290926, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "ret_p3m": 0.36827268761652365, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36827268761652365, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18223072536662022, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18223072536662022, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "ret_p6m": 0.5355074387670664, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5355074387670664, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25248247556441394, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25248247556441394, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "bench_c_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "ret_p1y": -0.1624428260741163, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1624428260741163, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3809692213498973, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3809692213498973, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "bench_c_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2931789831111131, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21738500106290926, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21738500106290926, "price_path": [0.187, 0.2123, 0.2622, 0.2528, 0.3119, 0.2812, 0.3331, 0.3017, 0.3056, 0.3164, 0.2821, 0.2726, 0.3024, 0.3153, 0.2861, 0.2735, 0.2291, 0.2134, 0.2131, 0.2123, 0.2237, 0.2025, 0.2293, 0.2135, 0.2246, 0.2028, 0.1999, 0.2136, 0.2349, 0.2072, 0.1481, 0.1144, 0.0593, 0.0638, 0.0596, 0.0809, 0.0954, 0.1381, 0.1298, 0.0894, -0.0137, 0.0406, 0.0514, 0.0181, 0.0545, 0.0559, 0.0388, 0.0908, 0.057, 0.0555, 0.0989, 0.0985, 0.0914, 0.0948, 0.0594, 0.0367, 0.0696, 0.0359, 0.0437, 0.053, -0.0049, -0.0421, 0.037, 0.0, 0.0475, 0.0617, 0.0508, 0.0554, 0.0662, 0.0606, 0.0991, 0.1735, 0.1767, 0.1798, 0.1896, 0.1928, 0.1841, 0.1831, 0.2118, 0.2171, 0.1899, 0.2157, 0.2186, 0.2966, 0.2932, 0.2912, 0.3082, 0.3003, 0.3029, 0.2997, 0.3263, 0.3412, 0.3774, 0.4025, 0.3474, 0.3744, 0.3688, 0.3539, 0.3267, 0.3061, 0.3297, 0.3241, 0.3153, 0.2757, 0.311, 0.3851, 0.3847, 0.365, 0.3303, 0.3324, 0.3412, 0.3137, 0.3172, 0.3147, 0.2974, 0.3259, 0.3318, 0.3483, 0.3433, 0.3449, 0.3455, 0.3274, 0.3671, 0.377, 0.3568, 0.3601, 0.3683, 0.3981, 0.4566, 0.4759, 0.5052, 0.4791, 0.4912, 0.4981, 0.482, 0.4749, 0.507, 0.4914, 0.4865, 0.4774, 0.481, 0.4809, 0.4798, 0.4538, 0.4232, 0.4452, 0.4335, 0.4446, 0.4756, 0.4655, 0.4911, 0.5092, 0.549, 0.4864, 0.4744, 0.46, 0.417, 0.4351, 0.4118, 0.4678, 0.383, 0.4041, 0.3968, 0.4134, 0.3615, 0.372, 0.3965, 0.4031, 0.3905, 0.3896, 0.4075, 0.4007, 0.4311, 0.4506, 0.4581, 0.4498, 0.4674, 0.4627, 0.4711, 0.4529, 0.416, 0.4068, 0.4233, 0.3695, 0.3778, 0.4367, 0.4324, 0.4901, 0.5156, 0.5355]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926792682703143113", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-26T00:09:08+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bullish for transaction fees and miners looking out for 1-6 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin miners/transaction fees over 1-6 months as DOG token activity drives on-chain demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Bullish for transaction fees and miners looking out for 1-6 months", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$DOG up 45% in last 5 days and continues to look like the most bullish alt in crypto", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "price_path": [-0.2293, -0.226, -0.2291, -0.2136, -0.203, -0.1719, -0.178, -0.2074, -0.2824, -0.2429, -0.235, -0.2593, -0.2327, -0.2318, -0.2442, -0.2064, -0.2309, -0.2321, -0.2005, -0.2007, -0.206, -0.2034, -0.2292, -0.2457, -0.2218, -0.2463, -0.2407, -0.2339, -0.276, -0.3031, -0.2455, -0.2724, -0.2379, -0.2275, -0.2355, -0.2321, -0.2243, -0.2283, -0.2003, -0.1462, -0.1438, -0.1416, -0.1345, -0.1321, -0.1385, -0.1392, -0.1183, -0.1145, -0.1342, -0.1155, -0.1134, -0.0566, -0.0591, -0.0606, -0.0482, -0.0539, -0.052, -0.0544, -0.035, -0.0242, 0.0022, 0.0204, -0.0197, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.015, -0.0347, -0.0497, -0.0325, -0.0366, -0.043, -0.0719, -0.0461, 0.0078, 0.0075, -0.0069, -0.0321, -0.0306, -0.0242, -0.0442, -0.0416, -0.0435, -0.056, -0.0353, -0.031, -0.019, -0.0227, -0.0215, -0.0211, -0.0342, -0.0053, 0.0019, -0.0128, -0.0104, -0.0045, 0.0172, 0.0598, 0.0738, 0.0951, 0.0762, 0.085, 0.09, 0.0782, 0.0731, 0.0964, 0.0851, 0.0816, 0.0749, 0.0775, 0.0775, 0.0767, 0.0577, 0.0355, 0.0515, 0.043, 0.0511, 0.0736, 0.0662, 0.0849, 0.0981, 0.127, 0.0815, 0.0727, 0.0622, 0.031, 0.0442, 0.0272, 0.0679, 0.0062, 0.0216, 0.0163, 0.0284, -0.0094, -0.0017, 0.0161, 0.0209, 0.0117, 0.0111, 0.024, 0.0191, 0.0413, 0.0554, 0.0609, 0.0549, 0.0676, 0.0642, 0.0703, 0.0571, 0.0302, 0.0235, 0.0355, -0.0036, 0.0025, 0.0453, 0.0422, 0.0841, 0.1027, 0.1172, 0.1399, 0.1097, 0.1271, 0.1121, 0.0345, 0.0533, 0.0336, 0.0123, -0.0115, -0.0272, 0.0105, -0.0088, -0.016, 0.0058, 0.0146, 0.0428, 0.0321, 0.0056, -0.0104, 0.0011, -0.0264, -0.0717, -0.0507, -0.0744, -0.0554, -0.0315, -0.0589, -0.0711, -0.089, -0.1374, -0.1585, -0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1931080194389106713", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-06T20:06:10+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are only 10% of the way to $1M BTC and 1% of the way to $10M BTC. I believe there is a 99.5% chance that we will achieve both targets within 20 years.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Extremely high-conviction long BTC: 99.5% chance of reaching $1M–$10M within 20 years based on 20yr fiat/Bitcoin study.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have studied the global fiat system for 20 years and Bitcoin for nearly 20,000 hours.\n\nWe are only 10% of the way to $1M BTC and 1% of the way to $10M BTC.\n\nI believe there is a 99.5% chance that we will achieve both targets within 20 years.\n\nPlease consider and act accordingly", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0269602582374866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0269602582374866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026059944061589402, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026059944061589402, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05655463523176674, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05655463523176674, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.050884709833060704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.050884709833060704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": 0.01629101829641222, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01629101829641222, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011288149015879156, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011288149015879156, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": 0.03745085677524651, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03745085677524651, "alpha_spy_p1m": -5.92063489253114e-05, "alpha_c_p1m": -5.92063489253114e-05, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.07024468858021171, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07024468858021171, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.015399516505226751, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015399516505226751, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1730885519523926, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1730885519523926, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3160981382392958, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3160981382392958, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.273632678549351, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.273632678549351, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5394128957889792, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5394128957889792, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.273632678549351, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5394128957889792, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5394128957889792, "price_path": [-0.2062, -0.198, -0.2234, -0.1956, -0.1946, -0.2076, -0.168, -0.1937, -0.1949, -0.1618, -0.1621, -0.1675, -0.1649, -0.1919, -0.2092, -0.1841, -0.2098, -0.2039, -0.1968, -0.241, -0.2694, -0.209, -0.2372, -0.201, -0.1901, -0.1985, -0.195, -0.1867, -0.191, -0.1616, -0.1049, -0.1024, -0.1001, -0.0926, -0.0902, -0.0968, -0.0975, -0.0757, -0.0717, -0.0924, -0.0727, -0.0705, -0.011, -0.0136, -0.0151, -0.0021, -0.0082, -0.0062, -0.0086, 0.0116, 0.023, 0.0507, 0.0698, 0.0278, 0.0484, 0.0441, 0.0327, 0.012, -0.0038, 0.0143, 0.01, 0.0033, -0.027, 0.0, 0.0566, 0.0562, 0.0412, 0.0147, 0.0163, 0.0231, 0.002, 0.0047, 0.0028, -0.0104, 0.0114, 0.0159, 0.0285, 0.0246, 0.0258, 0.0263, 0.0125, 0.0428, 0.0504, 0.0349, 0.0375, 0.0437, 0.0664, 0.1111, 0.1257, 0.1481, 0.1282, 0.1374, 0.1427, 0.1304, 0.125, 0.1495, 0.1376, 0.1339, 0.1269, 0.1296, 0.1296, 0.1288, 0.1089, 0.0855, 0.1023, 0.0934, 0.1019, 0.1256, 0.1178, 0.1374, 0.1512, 0.1816, 0.1338, 0.1246, 0.1136, 0.0809, 0.0947, 0.0769, 0.1196, 0.0549, 0.071, 0.0654, 0.0781, 0.0385, 0.0466, 0.0652, 0.0702, 0.0607, 0.06, 0.0736, 0.0684, 0.0916, 0.1065, 0.1122, 0.1059, 0.1193, 0.1157, 0.1221, 0.1082, 0.0801, 0.073, 0.0856, 0.0446, 0.051, 0.0959, 0.0926, 0.1366, 0.1561, 0.1712, 0.1951, 0.1634, 0.1817, 0.1659, 0.0845, 0.1042, 0.0836, 0.0612, 0.0364, 0.0199, 0.0594, 0.0391, 0.0316, 0.0544, 0.0636, 0.0932, 0.0821, 0.0543, 0.0375, 0.0495, 0.0207, -0.0268, -0.0048, -0.0296, -0.0098, 0.0154, -0.0133, -0.0261, -0.045, -0.0957, -0.1178, -0.1096, -0.1238, -0.1701, -0.1849, -0.1544, -0.1633, -0.1329, -0.1255, -0.129, -0.1731]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1930713015462379949", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-05T19:47:08+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Elon Musk and Donald Trump going to war on social media like a couple of grade school kids is super bullish for Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Musk-Trump social media feud seen as bullish catalyst for Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Elon Musk and Donald Trump going to war on social media like a couple of grade school kids is super bullish for Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.031070653564197137, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031070653564197137, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02621442834705978, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02621442834705978, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0048562252171373554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0048562252171373554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027707252931573167, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027707252931573167, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01743822195780864, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01743822195780864, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010269030973764526, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010269030973764526, "ret_p1w": 0.04285563096949763, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04285563096949763, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024813258210196087, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024813258210196087, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01804237275930154, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01804237275930154, "ret_p1m": 0.06358180862504215, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06358180862504215, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006017103658648937, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006017103658648937, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05756470496639321, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05756470496639321, "ret_p3m": 0.09475306424795105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09475306424795105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01193903562136378, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01193903562136378, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08281402862658727, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08281402862658727, "ret_p6m": -0.10491348761341002, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10491348761341002, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2638555859126509, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2638555859126509, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15894209829924089, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15894209829924089, "ret_p1y": -0.23919070104713824, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23919070104713824, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.510900942692638, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.510900942692638, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27171024164549973, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27171024164549973, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06358180862504215, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.006017103658648937, "alpha_c_stated": 0.006017103658648937, "price_path": [-0.2269, -0.1842, -0.1758, -0.2019, -0.1733, -0.1723, -0.1856, -0.1449, -0.1714, -0.1726, -0.1386, -0.1389, -0.1445, -0.1418, -0.1696, -0.1873, -0.1615, -0.1879, -0.1819, -0.1746, -0.2199, -0.2491, -0.1871, -0.2161, -0.1789, -0.1677, -0.1763, -0.1727, -0.1642, -0.1686, -0.1384, -0.0801, -0.0775, -0.0751, -0.0675, -0.0649, -0.0718, -0.0725, -0.05, -0.0459, -0.0672, -0.047, -0.0447, 0.0164, 0.0137, 0.0122, 0.0255, 0.0193, 0.0214, 0.0188, 0.0397, 0.0513, 0.0798, 0.0994, 0.0562, 0.0774, 0.073, 0.0613, 0.04, 0.0239, 0.0424, 0.038, 0.0311, 0.0, 0.0277, 0.0858, 0.0855, 0.07, 0.0429, 0.0444, 0.0514, 0.0298, 0.0326, 0.0306, 0.0171, 0.0394, 0.044, 0.057, 0.053, 0.0543, 0.0547, 0.0406, 0.0717, 0.0795, 0.0636, 0.0662, 0.0726, 0.096, 0.1419, 0.1569, 0.1799, 0.1595, 0.169, 0.1744, 0.1617, 0.1562, 0.1813, 0.1691, 0.1653, 0.1581, 0.1609, 0.1609, 0.16, 0.1396, 0.1156, 0.1329, 0.1237, 0.1324, 0.1567, 0.1488, 0.1689, 0.1831, 0.2143, 0.1652, 0.1558, 0.1445, 0.1108, 0.125, 0.1067, 0.1506, 0.0842, 0.1007, 0.095, 0.108, 0.0673, 0.0756, 0.0948, 0.0999, 0.0901, 0.0893, 0.1033, 0.098, 0.1219, 0.1372, 0.143, 0.1365, 0.1503, 0.1466, 0.1532, 0.1389, 0.11, 0.1028, 0.1157, 0.0736, 0.0801, 0.1263, 0.1229, 0.1681, 0.1881, 0.2037, 0.2282, 0.1957, 0.2144, 0.1982, 0.1146, 0.1348, 0.1136, 0.0906, 0.0651, 0.0482, 0.0887, 0.0679, 0.0602, 0.0836, 0.0931, 0.1235, 0.112, 0.0835, 0.0663, 0.0786, 0.0489, 0.0001, 0.0228, -0.0027, 0.0177, 0.0435, 0.014, 0.0009, -0.0185, -0.0707, -0.0933, -0.0849, -0.0995, -0.1471, -0.1623, -0.131, -0.1401, -0.1089, -0.1013, -0.1049]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1906430005003087998", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-30T19:35:07+00:00", "symbol": "AI infrastructure", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just want to own the infrastructure", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Wants to own AI infrastructure as the core play on mass AI adoption.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA", "ANET", "VRT", "EQIX", "SMCI"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "AI infrastructure basket: GPU, networking, DC, power", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ZssBecker I just want to own the infrastructure", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We are about to see AI go from a thing only top tech people get and is used for novelties...\n\nTo something the masses get and demand 24/7 in higher amounts than electricity can provide.\n\nAI and AI crypto is going to go absolutely fucking parabolic. Buy it all. Now. NOW.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ZssBecker", "ret_m1d": 0.004941882314284218, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004941882314284218, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011609922458176214, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005426071747167971, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004841894328837526, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020293784853069152, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020293784853069152, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01746923115202753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0129805674191244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007313217433944752, "ret_p1w": -0.0888407530664091, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0888407530664091, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009498427503210671, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0226469332901566, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "bench_c_p1w": -0.1114876863565657, "ret_p1m": 0.08290907907979517, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08290907907979517, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09197247973269107, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07022007163836841, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012689007441426758, "ret_p3m": 0.3461741726273636, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3461741726273636, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24912395470034354, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12820558801643223, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21796858461093138, "ret_p6m": 0.5512653778442911, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5512653778442911, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3588685479654521, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.190139903430544, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3611254744137471, "ret_p1y": 0.883797184507521, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.883797184507521, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6910867857949015, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5415254081677683, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3422717763397527, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08290907907979517, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09197247973269107, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07022007163836841, "price_path": [0.26, 0.2776, 0.3428, 0.4008, 0.3619, 0.3483, 0.3483, 0.3277, 0.294, 0.3139, 0.3323, 0.3479, 0.3616, 0.3616, 0.4093, 0.4626, 0.4788, 0.4531, 0.1656, 0.1949, 0.2103, 0.2544, 0.2638, 0.2246, 0.2423, 0.3002, 0.319, 0.3519, 0.4223, 0.3733, 0.3138, 0.3226, 0.3534, 0.3534, 0.4306, 0.4349, 0.416, 0.3393, 0.2682, 0.2268, 0.3046, 0.208, 0.2097, 0.1157, 0.1398, 0.154, 0.0939, 0.1061, 0.0444, 0.0976, 0.1267, 0.0872, 0.1369, 0.1519, 0.0988, 0.1362, 0.1228, 0.1388, 0.1728, 0.1523, 0.0714, 0.0256, 0.0049, 0.0, 0.0203, 0.0368, -0.0547, -0.1339, -0.0888, -0.0995, 0.0099, -0.0488, -0.0443, -0.0326, -0.0261, -0.0484, -0.0444, -0.0444, -0.0951, -0.0639, -0.0132, 0.0454, 0.0757, 0.0821, 0.0829, 0.0576, 0.1072, 0.1373, 0.1257, 0.1255, 0.1144, 0.1115, 0.1035, 0.1594, 0.2297, 0.288, 0.2618, 0.2838, 0.2765, 0.2579, 0.2259, 0.2283, 0.2138, 0.2138, 0.2524, 0.2554, 0.2283, 0.2195, 0.2432, 0.2851, 0.3005, 0.2738, 0.2985, 0.2947, 0.2709, 0.2779, 0.2984, 0.2608, 0.303, 0.2814, 0.3017, 0.3017, 0.292, 0.2733, 0.3224, 0.3265, 0.3462, 0.3506, 0.378, 0.3334, 0.358, 0.3708, 0.3708, 0.3483, 0.3648, 0.3885, 0.3627, 0.3702, 0.3791, 0.4101, 0.4084, 0.4397, 0.4255, 0.4166, 0.399, 0.4386, 0.4481, 0.4897, 0.5562, 0.5552, 0.5823, 0.5745, 0.5213, 0.5391, 0.52, 0.5118, 0.5132, 0.4987, 0.498, 0.5353, 0.4993, 0.4706, 0.4761, 0.4875, 0.4296, 0.4179, 0.4129, 0.4306, 0.4267, 0.4427, 0.4499, 0.4694, 0.4295, 0.4295, 0.405, 0.4075, 0.4262, 0.4254, 0.4035, 0.448, 0.5227, 0.5321, 0.49, 0.5252, 0.5018, 0.5043, 0.5441, 0.5602, 0.5854, 0.5513]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1934713683567169764", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-16T20:44:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going to $315,000. Everyone is too bearish.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC to $315,000; dismisses consensus bearishness this cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoJelleNL We are going to $315,000. Everyone is too bearish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If the midlevel of this 8-year-long channel breaks, my targets for #Bitcoin this cycle are way too low 👀 https://t.co/5SJEQD128R", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoJelleNL", "ret_m1d": -0.006608712445551279, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006608712445551279, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015227533144103966, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015227533144103966, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008618820698552687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008618820698552687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020559056941174436, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020559056941174436, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020408343850732646, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020408343850732646, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001507130904417897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001507130904417897, "ret_p1w": -0.011414057879361228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011414057879361228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02989645474577196, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02989645474577196, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018482396866410733, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018482396866410733, "ret_p1m": 0.10281613330226769, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10281613330226769, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05506059304245081, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05506059304245081, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.047755540259816875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.047755540259816875, "ret_p3m": 0.08156409827808875, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08156409827808875, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.021901008016073087, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.021901008016073087, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10346510629416183, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10346510629416183, "ret_p6m": -0.13207373673050848, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13207373673050848, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28936206123081165, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28936206123081165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15728832450030317, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15728832450030317, "ret_p1y": -0.4005963430098862, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4005963430098862, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6821536701779665, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6821536701779665, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28155732716808024, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28155732716808024, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10281613330226769, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05506059304245081, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05506059304245081, "price_path": [-0.1867, -0.2119, -0.2131, -0.1807, -0.181, -0.1863, -0.1837, -0.2102, -0.227, -0.2025, -0.2276, -0.2219, -0.2149, -0.2581, -0.2858, -0.2268, -0.2544, -0.219, -0.2084, -0.2166, -0.2131, -0.2051, -0.2092, -0.1805, -0.125, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.1131, -0.1107, -0.1172, -0.1179, -0.0965, -0.0926, -0.1128, -0.0936, -0.0914, -0.0333, -0.0358, -0.0373, -0.0246, -0.0305, -0.0286, -0.031, -0.0111, -0.0001, 0.027, 0.0457, 0.0046, 0.0248, 0.0206, 0.0094, -0.0108, -0.0262, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.0193, -0.0489, -0.0225, 0.0327, 0.0324, 0.0177, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0, -0.0206, -0.0179, -0.0198, -0.0327, -0.0114, -0.007, 0.0053, 0.0015, 0.0027, 0.0032, -0.0103, 0.0193, 0.0267, 0.0116, 0.0141, 0.0202, 0.0424, 0.0861, 0.1004, 0.1222, 0.1028, 0.1118, 0.117, 0.1049, 0.0997, 0.1236, 0.112, 0.1083, 0.1015, 0.1042, 0.1042, 0.1033, 0.0839, 0.0611, 0.0775, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.1002, 0.0926, 0.1118, 0.1252, 0.1549, 0.1083, 0.0993, 0.0885, 0.0565, 0.07, 0.0526, 0.0944, 0.0312, 0.0469, 0.0414, 0.0538, 0.0151, 0.023, 0.0412, 0.0461, 0.0368, 0.0361, 0.0494, 0.0443, 0.067, 0.0816, 0.0871, 0.081, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0968, 0.0833, 0.0557, 0.0489, 0.0612, 0.0211, 0.0273, 0.0712, 0.068, 0.111, 0.13, 0.1449, 0.1681, 0.1372, 0.155, 0.1396, 0.0601, 0.0793, 0.0592, 0.0373, 0.013, -0.0031, 0.0355, 0.0157, 0.0084, 0.0306, 0.0397, 0.0686, 0.0577, 0.0305, 0.0141, 0.0258, -0.0023, -0.0487, -0.0272, -0.0515, -0.0321, -0.0075, -0.0356, -0.0481, -0.0665, -0.1161, -0.1377, -0.1297, -0.1436, -0.1888, -0.2032, -0.1735, -0.1822, -0.1524, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1917, -0.1446, -0.1242, -0.1372, -0.163, -0.1513, -0.1321]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910386542239244510", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-10T17:36:59+00:00", "symbol": "GME", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GameStop has initiated its TWAP buy program this week. Huge, if true.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Rumor that GameStop has begun a TWAP buy program this week; bullish if confirmed.", "resolved_tickers": ["GME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just got a call from a friend who works at a major crypto broker. His analytics team is seeing signs that GameStop has initiated its TWAP buy program this week. Huge, if true. 👀", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01518781589984708, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01518781589984708, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03063923214170816, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025472133990872114, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "bench_c_m1d": 0.040659949890719194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.055155840748131846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.055155840748131846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03731294698701526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04546990538172313, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009685935366408716, "ret_p1w": 0.07034373288093643, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07034373288093643, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06685543281515849, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08364869009121911, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013304957210282686, "ret_p1m": 0.10071944091358787, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10071944091358787, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024925458865383998, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023497430555482923, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07722201035810494, "ret_p3m": -0.09072743470151667, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09072743470151667, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2767693969514201, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2515725674993122, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16084513279779555, "ret_p6m": 0.014388437106971352, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.014388437106971352, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2686365260956811, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2564267203354049, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2708151574423763, "ret_p1y": -0.10991206833278366, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10991206833278366, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.32843846360856466, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.24344190221764705, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1335298338848634, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07034373288093643, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06685543281515849, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08364869009121911, "price_path": [0.2398, 0.1143, 0.1175, 0.1079, 0.0995, 0.0995, 0.0979, 0.1051, 0.1323, 0.1099, 0.0779, 0.0975, 0.0995, 0.1187, 0.0751, 0.0348, 0.0352, -0.0036, -0.0088, -0.0116, 0.0839, 0.0616, 0.0388, 0.0528, 0.0791, 0.0791, 0.0779, 0.0392, 0.0807, 0.056, -0.0008, -0.024, -0.0164, -0.0216, 0.0008, -0.0248, -0.0288, 0.002, -0.0328, -0.0408, -0.1039, -0.0963, -0.1211, -0.1227, -0.0787, -0.0608, -0.0687, -0.0524, -0.0604, -0.0108, 0.0236, 0.0152, 0.1335, -0.1171, -0.1315, -0.1079, -0.0963, -0.0931, -0.1567, -0.0612, -0.0292, -0.0651, 0.0152, 0.0, 0.0552, 0.0783, 0.0671, 0.0492, 0.0703, 0.0703, 0.0699, 0.1111, 0.0839, 0.0823, 0.0975, 0.1027, 0.0895, 0.1135, 0.0963, 0.0983, 0.0631, 0.0408, 0.0396, 0.0703, 0.1007, 0.1211, 0.1347, 0.1483, 0.1443, 0.1371, 0.1147, 0.1395, 0.1211, 0.2334, 0.3201, 0.3201, 0.3993, 0.2474, 0.1819, 0.191, 0.2246, 0.203, 0.197, 0.1771, 0.1823, 0.2126, 0.205, 0.1411, -0.1151, -0.1151, -0.0679, -0.0811, -0.0631, -0.0631, -0.0624, -0.0879, -0.0691, -0.0588, -0.0456, -0.0572, -0.0252, -0.0536, -0.0428, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0959, -0.0907, -0.0731, -0.0767, -0.0675, -0.0528, -0.0719, -0.0536, -0.0647, -0.0695, -0.0328, -0.0304, -0.0424, -0.0596, -0.0675, -0.0815, -0.0987, -0.1027, -0.1027, -0.1167, -0.0955, -0.0883, -0.0883, -0.0947, -0.1099, -0.1043, -0.0835, -0.0799, -0.0851, -0.0831, -0.0763, -0.0879, -0.0955, -0.0983, -0.0851, -0.0935, -0.1087, -0.1007, -0.0891, -0.1043, -0.1043, -0.0643, -0.0855, -0.1059, -0.0963, -0.0719, -0.0572, -0.026, -0.0068, -0.0036, 0.0204, 0.0528, 0.0432, 0.0344, 0.0424, 0.0703, 0.0711, 0.0492, 0.01, 0.056, 0.0875, 0.0903, 0.1067, 0.0879, 0.0144]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931141542745666036", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-07T00:09:57+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They had a deal done in February and politics got in the way. They will get it over the line soon imo.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Endorses bullish CIFR thesis; expects a pending deal to close soon after political delays.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@litigious_dulce You’re barking up the right tree.\n\nThey had a deal done in February and politics got in the way. They will get it over the line soon imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I like $CIFR right now. After $APLD, I feel like a deal is on the horizon. https://t.co/dkx0gZ72lk", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "litigious_dulce", "ret_m1d": -0.05797096107684119, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05797096107684119, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05707064690094399, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05308643474311858, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004884526333722605, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019323653692280396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019323653692280396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02499357909098643, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024917863536919715, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00559420984463932, "ret_p1w": -0.050724590942236025, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050724590942236025, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05572746022276909, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06537829823037256, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01465370728813653, "ret_p1m": 0.4565218367813997, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4565218367813997, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.41901177365722786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3847781192508315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07174371753056819, "ret_p3m": 0.7874396942068544, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7874396942068544, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.701795489121416, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6891417287355486, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09829796547130587, "ret_p6m": 3.260869555201908, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.260869555201908, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.117859968915005, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.049531142388811, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21133841281309707, "ret_p1y": 5.077294845125244, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.077294845125244, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.811514627885615, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.528562089459578, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5487327556656656, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4565218367813997, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.41901177365722786, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3847781192508315, "price_path": [-0.2271, -0.2681, -0.2657, -0.2464, -0.3068, -0.2609, -0.2754, -0.2947, -0.2271, -0.2657, -0.3527, -0.3865, -0.4396, -0.4444, -0.4058, -0.3599, -0.442, -0.4928, -0.4614, -0.4903, -0.4058, -0.4638, -0.4155, -0.4106, -0.4396, -0.4384, -0.4275, -0.4275, -0.4348, -0.3382, -0.3092, -0.2754, -0.256, -0.2609, -0.256, -0.3116, -0.2476, -0.2367, -0.2802, -0.2657, -0.2705, -0.2464, -0.2802, -0.2391, -0.1715, -0.2005, -0.2343, -0.0676, -0.0797, -0.087, -0.1534, -0.1377, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1377, -0.1908, -0.215, -0.2464, -0.215, -0.1703, -0.0966, -0.1473, -0.058, 0.0, -0.0193, -0.0145, -0.0725, -0.1014, -0.0507, -0.1111, -0.0797, -0.0797, -0.0845, -0.1473, -0.07, -0.07, 0.0121, 0.029, 0.1546, 0.1836, 0.372, 0.4614, 0.4614, 0.3986, 0.4565, 0.5121, 0.5072, 0.4179, 0.4565, 0.442, 0.5145, 0.5507, 0.5362, 0.5097, 0.6763, 0.6135, 0.6063, 0.5628, 0.4879, 0.372, 0.3164, 0.3188, 0.1908, 0.2536, 0.2101, 0.2585, 0.1763, 0.1473, 0.1498, 0.1401, 0.1836, 0.285, 0.2585, 0.4614, 0.3913, 0.4372, 0.4251, 0.5411, 0.6039, 0.7198, 0.6884, 0.6957, 0.8454, 0.8454, 1.0097, 0.9589, 0.7874, 0.8164, 0.8647, 1.2271, 1.4758, 1.4082, 1.6208, 1.6208, 1.7802, 1.9903, 1.8623, 1.9662, 2.372, 2.4179, 2.4155, 1.8164, 1.7705, 2.0556, 2.0411, 2.0435, 2.3357, 2.5507, 2.7053, 2.8043, 3.2512, 3.3454, 3.099, 3.913, 4.0459, 4.0797, 3.5217, 3.5314, 3.8092, 3.3659, 2.8913, 3.1679, 3.9903, 3.9614, 3.8213, 3.7319, 3.6063, 3.5048, 4.4976, 4.4372, 4.9686, 4.244, 3.9976, 3.7464, 3.5097, 3.1981, 2.6063, 2.4686, 2.4662, 2.5217, 2.5314, 2.5169, 2.4179, 3.0362, 3.2319, 3.6256, 3.6256, 3.9155, 3.756, 3.2609]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1930340831447396775", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-04T19:08:12+00:00", "symbol": "physical infrastructure", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "3 is becoming increasingly constrained by the physical world. We are about to rip, folks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on physical AI infra (land/power/data centers) as the scarce bottleneck in large-scale AI compute buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["PAVE"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US physical infrastructure ETF PAVE", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There are 3 broad things you need to spin up a large scale AI compute business.\n\n1. Capital\n2. Chips (probably NVDA)\n3. Physical infra (land/power/DC bldgs)\n\n1 and 2 are widely available. \n\n3 is becoming increasingly constrained by the physical world. \n\nWe are about to rip, folks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00023711022439010243, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00023711022439010243, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005056947744637164, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005056947744637164, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0009485321991484774, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009485321991484774, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005781288463446943, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005781288463446943, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "ret_p1w": 0.008062660645144382, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008062660645144382, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0010491688840548186, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0010491688840548186, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "ret_p1m": 0.0650686332298338, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0650686332298338, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012614880716267818, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012614880716267818, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "ret_p3m": 0.10572185226818709, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10572185226818709, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.020096038322500398, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020096038322500398, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "ret_p6m": 0.14827715729218482, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14827715729218482, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0011972041584231707, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0011972041584231707, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "ret_p1y": 0.31494291094297, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.31494291094297, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.049378534934155116, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.049378534934155116, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0650686332298338, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012614880716267818, "alpha_c_stated": 0.012614880716267818, "price_path": [-0.079, -0.1005, -0.1029, -0.1003, -0.1152, -0.0911, -0.0825, -0.0882, -0.0764, -0.082, -0.093, -0.0683, -0.0671, -0.0783, -0.0856, -0.1081, -0.1053, -0.0991, -0.0839, -0.1447, -0.1843, -0.1859, -0.199, -0.1235, -0.153, -0.1387, -0.1307, -0.1349, -0.1461, -0.1413, -0.1413, -0.1629, -0.1409, -0.125, -0.0991, -0.1001, -0.1005, -0.0956, -0.0899, -0.0792, -0.0595, -0.0614, -0.0704, -0.0676, -0.0503, -0.0477, -0.0145, -0.0059, -0.0097, -0.0066, 0.0055, 0.0043, -0.0014, -0.0213, -0.0237, -0.023, -0.023, -0.0019, -0.0133, -0.0128, -0.0157, -0.0147, -0.0002, 0.0, 0.0009, 0.0109, 0.0104, 0.0121, 0.0081, 0.0097, -0.005, 0.0052, -0.0033, -0.0024, -0.0024, -0.0047, 0.01, 0.023, 0.0142, 0.0282, 0.0384, 0.0361, 0.0465, 0.0577, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0553, 0.0577, 0.0663, 0.072, 0.0689, 0.0689, 0.0575, 0.0601, 0.0789, 0.08, 0.0732, 0.0831, 0.0972, 0.096, 0.114, 0.1093, 0.1024, 0.0953, 0.0862, 0.0701, 0.0793, 0.0827, 0.0765, 0.0834, 0.0877, 0.0817, 0.1081, 0.12, 0.1041, 0.0941, 0.0969, 0.101, 0.0905, 0.0884, 0.1145, 0.1062, 0.1136, 0.114, 0.1157, 0.1057, 0.1057, 0.0965, 0.0915, 0.1086, 0.1088, 0.1079, 0.0931, 0.1031, 0.1207, 0.106, 0.1112, 0.105, 0.0993, 0.1164, 0.1131, 0.1188, 0.1169, 0.1086, 0.1031, 0.119, 0.1233, 0.1323, 0.1319, 0.1378, 0.14, 0.1404, 0.1309, 0.1476, 0.1326, 0.1036, 0.119, 0.1343, 0.1359, 0.1236, 0.1214, 0.1392, 0.1454, 0.1217, 0.1395, 0.149, 0.1526, 0.1483, 0.1545, 0.1419, 0.1473, 0.144, 0.1323, 0.1388, 0.1331, 0.1354, 0.1442, 0.1392, 0.1454, 0.12, 0.1171, 0.1003, 0.0974, 0.1007, 0.0819, 0.1043, 0.1169, 0.1407, 0.1483, 0.1483]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1931703231077650796", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-08T13:21:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long Bitcoin, short dollar", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC and short USD alongside major bank consensus on dollar weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Mike Alfred: long Bitcoin, short dollar", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Favorite trades:\n\nGoldman: short dollar\nMorgan Stanley: short dollar\nDeutsche Bank: short dollar \nJPMorgan: short dollar", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "price_path": [-0.2409, -0.265, -0.2387, -0.2377, -0.25, -0.2125, -0.2369, -0.238, -0.2067, -0.2069, -0.2121, -0.2096, -0.2352, -0.2516, -0.2278, -0.2521, -0.2465, -0.2398, -0.2816, -0.3085, -0.2513, -0.2781, -0.2438, -0.2335, -0.2414, -0.2381, -0.2303, -0.2343, -0.2065, -0.1528, -0.1505, -0.1482, -0.1412, -0.1389, -0.1452, -0.1459, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.141, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0678, -0.0555, -0.0612, -0.0594, -0.0617, -0.0425, -0.0318, -0.0056, 0.0125, -0.0273, -0.0077, -0.0118, -0.0226, -0.0422, -0.0571, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.079, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0381, -0.0317, -0.0516, -0.0491, -0.0509, -0.0633, -0.0428, -0.0385, -0.0266, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0286, -0.0417, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0205, -0.0181, -0.0122, 0.0094, 0.0516, 0.0655, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0766, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0648, 0.088, 0.0767, 0.0732, 0.0666, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0683, 0.0495, 0.0274, 0.0433, 0.0349, 0.0429, 0.0653, 0.058, 0.0765, 0.0896, 0.1183, 0.0731, 0.0644, 0.054, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0193, 0.0597, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0084, 0.0204, -0.0171, -0.0095, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0161, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0594, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0156, 0.0275, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0372, 0.0341, 0.0758, 0.0942, 0.1086, 0.1311, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1035, 0.0265, 0.0451, 0.0256, 0.0044, -0.0191, -0.0347, 0.0027, -0.0165, -0.0236, -0.002, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0241, -0.0022, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.034, -0.0789, -0.058, -0.0815, -0.0628, -0.039, -0.0662, -0.0783, -0.0961, -0.1441, -0.165, -0.1573, -0.1707, -0.2145, -0.2285, -0.1997, -0.2081, -0.1793, -0.1723, -0.1757, -0.2174, -0.1718]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931736234831061071", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-08T15:33:02+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MSTR, Metaplanet, and all the Treasury companies will be buying relentlessly. Watch and enjoy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC: corporate treasury buyers (MSTR, Metaplanet et al.) will buy relentlessly through the summer ETF-flow lull.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PDPhilaPhil They also aren’t around to sell.\n\nBut MSTR, Metaplanet, and all the Treasury companies will be buying relentlessly \n\nWatch and enjoy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Question Mike. \n\nHow important is the ETF flow to price. FA’s, Inst Consultants, Pensions Allocators are off for the summer and back in Sept. We will not get a lot of demand to push price here from ETFs. \n\nYour thoughts ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PDPhilaPhil", "ret_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "price_path": [-0.2409, -0.265, -0.2387, -0.2377, -0.25, -0.2125, -0.2369, -0.238, -0.2067, -0.2069, -0.2121, -0.2096, -0.2352, -0.2516, -0.2278, -0.2521, -0.2465, -0.2398, -0.2816, -0.3085, -0.2513, -0.2781, -0.2438, -0.2335, -0.2414, -0.2381, -0.2303, -0.2343, -0.2065, -0.1528, -0.1505, -0.1482, -0.1412, -0.1389, -0.1452, -0.1459, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.141, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0678, -0.0555, -0.0612, -0.0594, -0.0617, -0.0425, -0.0318, -0.0056, 0.0125, -0.0273, -0.0077, -0.0118, -0.0226, -0.0422, -0.0571, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.079, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0381, -0.0317, -0.0516, -0.0491, -0.0509, -0.0633, -0.0428, -0.0385, -0.0266, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0286, -0.0417, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0205, -0.0181, -0.0122, 0.0094, 0.0516, 0.0655, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0766, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0648, 0.088, 0.0767, 0.0732, 0.0666, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0683, 0.0495, 0.0274, 0.0433, 0.0349, 0.0429, 0.0653, 0.058, 0.0765, 0.0896, 0.1183, 0.0731, 0.0644, 0.054, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0193, 0.0597, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0084, 0.0204, -0.0171, -0.0095, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0161, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0594, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0156, 0.0275, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0372, 0.0341, 0.0758, 0.0942, 0.1086, 0.1311, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1035, 0.0265, 0.0451, 0.0256, 0.0044, -0.0191, -0.0347, 0.0027, -0.0165, -0.0236, -0.002, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0241, -0.0022, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.034, -0.0789, -0.058, -0.0815, -0.0628, -0.039, -0.0662, -0.0783, -0.0961, -0.1441, -0.165, -0.1573, -0.1707, -0.2145, -0.2285, -0.1997, -0.2081, -0.1793, -0.1723, -0.1757, -0.2174, -0.1718]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1935825948408197215", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-19T22:24:06+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is way way overdue for a +50% month. July will be explosive.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC: expects a +50% explosive move in July.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is way way overdue for a +50% month.\n\nJuly will be explosive.\n\nMark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001901326973536177, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001901326973536177, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0004526755940701399, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0004526755940701399, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013131746055793259, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013131746055793259, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02300912795301613, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02300912795301613, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "ret_p1w": 0.021738801093078353, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021738801093078353, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012975389931805248, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012975389931805248, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "ret_p1m": 0.12722957398170953, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12722957398170953, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0691930108773795, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0691930108773795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "ret_p3m": 0.11614826395048383, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11614826395048383, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.006940571848079946, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006940571848079946, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "ret_p6m": -0.13768899926706712, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13768899926706712, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2863348792537461, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2863348792537461, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "ret_p1y": -0.3973251343753902, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3973251343753902, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6480853383674853, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6480853383674853, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12722957398170953, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0691930108773795, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0691930108773795, "price_path": [-0.1642, -0.1644, -0.1699, -0.1672, -0.1942, -0.2114, -0.1864, -0.2121, -0.2062, -0.1991, -0.2431, -0.2714, -0.2112, -0.2394, -0.2033, -0.1924, -0.2007, -0.1973, -0.189, -0.1933, -0.164, -0.1074, -0.1049, -0.1026, -0.0952, -0.0927, -0.0993, -0.1001, -0.0783, -0.0743, -0.0949, -0.0753, -0.0731, -0.0138, -0.0164, -0.0179, -0.0049, -0.0109, -0.009, -0.0114, 0.0088, 0.0201, 0.0477, 0.0668, 0.0249, 0.0454, 0.0412, 0.0298, 0.0091, -0.0066, 0.0114, 0.0071, 0.0005, -0.0297, -0.0028, 0.0536, 0.0532, 0.0382, 0.0119, 0.0134, 0.0202, -0.0008, 0.0019, 0.0, -0.0131, 0.0085, 0.013, 0.0256, 0.0217, 0.023, 0.0234, 0.0097, 0.0399, 0.0474, 0.032, 0.0345, 0.0408, 0.0635, 0.108, 0.1226, 0.1449, 0.1251, 0.1343, 0.1395, 0.1272, 0.1218, 0.1463, 0.1344, 0.1307, 0.1237, 0.1265, 0.1265, 0.1256, 0.1058, 0.0825, 0.0992, 0.0903, 0.0988, 0.1224, 0.1147, 0.1342, 0.148, 0.1782, 0.1306, 0.1215, 0.1105, 0.0778, 0.0916, 0.0739, 0.1164, 0.052, 0.068, 0.0625, 0.0751, 0.0356, 0.0436, 0.0622, 0.0672, 0.0577, 0.057, 0.0706, 0.0654, 0.0886, 0.1034, 0.1091, 0.1028, 0.1161, 0.1126, 0.119, 0.1051, 0.077, 0.07, 0.0826, 0.0417, 0.048, 0.0928, 0.0895, 0.1334, 0.1528, 0.168, 0.1917, 0.1602, 0.1784, 0.1626, 0.0815, 0.1011, 0.0806, 0.0583, 0.0335, 0.017, 0.0564, 0.0362, 0.0287, 0.0514, 0.0607, 0.0901, 0.079, 0.0513, 0.0346, 0.0465, 0.0178, -0.0296, -0.0076, -0.0323, -0.0125, 0.0125, -0.0161, -0.0289, -0.0476, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1121, -0.1263, -0.1724, -0.1872, -0.1568, -0.1657, -0.1353, -0.128, -0.1315, -0.1754, -0.1274, -0.1066, -0.1198, -0.1461, -0.1342, -0.1146, -0.121, -0.1163, -0.1377]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1912153120924131576", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-15T14:36:44+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$1,000,000+ per coin is inevitable. It's just math.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC inevitable to $1M+ per coin on M2 expansion, corporate/sovereign accumulation, and continued block issuance.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There is a lot of noise in the market right now. But what’s important is that M2 is spiking, GameStop is buying, Saylor is adding, other corporates are loading, nation states are scheming, and the blocks keep minting. That’s it. $1,000,000+ per coin is inevitable. It’s just math.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010438735004035138, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010438735004035138, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007629845844979499, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007629845844979499, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028088891590556386, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028088891590556386, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004360934564412222, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004360934564412222, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026589012956343305, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026589012956343305, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.022228078391931083, "bench_c_p1d": -0.022228078391931083, "ret_p1w": 0.11680430446203038, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11680430446203038, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13607486364718313, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13607486364718313, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019270559185152747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019270559185152747, "ret_p1m": 0.23748848116242294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23748848116242294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14452136489849643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14452136489849643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09296711626392651, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09296711626392651, "ret_p3m": 0.40454652452544826, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40454652452544826, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24113141358134937, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24113141358134937, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.16341511094409888, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16341511094409888, "ret_p6m": 0.4743199835736638, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4743199835736638, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21509571038726127, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21509571038726127, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2592242731864025, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2592242731864025, "ret_p1y": -0.2005572367526015, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2005572367526015, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.43444083513325926, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.43444083513325926, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23388359838065775, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23388359838065775, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23748848116242294, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14452136489849643, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14452136489849643, "price_path": [0.1923, 0.2485, 0.2193, 0.2686, 0.2388, 0.2425, 0.2528, 0.2201, 0.2111, 0.2394, 0.2518, 0.2239, 0.212, 0.1698, 0.1547, 0.1545, 0.1537, 0.1646, 0.1444, 0.1699, 0.1548, 0.1654, 0.1447, 0.1419, 0.155, 0.1753, 0.1489, 0.0926, 0.0606, 0.0081, 0.0124, 0.0084, 0.0286, 0.0425, 0.0831, 0.0752, 0.0367, -0.0614, -0.0096, 0.0006, -0.0311, 0.0036, 0.0049, -0.0114, 0.0381, 0.006, 0.0045, 0.0458, 0.0454, 0.0386, 0.0419, 0.0082, -0.0134, 0.0179, -0.0141, -0.0068, 0.0021, -0.053, -0.0884, -0.0131, -0.0483, -0.0032, 0.0104, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0147, 0.0093, 0.046, 0.1168, 0.1199, 0.1228, 0.1321, 0.1352, 0.1269, 0.126, 0.1533, 0.1583, 0.1324, 0.157, 0.1597, 0.2339, 0.2307, 0.2288, 0.245, 0.2375, 0.2399, 0.2369, 0.2622, 0.2764, 0.3109, 0.3347, 0.2823, 0.308, 0.3027, 0.2884, 0.2626, 0.243, 0.2655, 0.2601, 0.2517, 0.214, 0.2477, 0.3182, 0.3178, 0.299, 0.266, 0.268, 0.2764, 0.2502, 0.2536, 0.2512, 0.2347, 0.2619, 0.2674, 0.2832, 0.2784, 0.2799, 0.2805, 0.2633, 0.3011, 0.3105, 0.2912, 0.2944, 0.3022, 0.3306, 0.3863, 0.4045, 0.4324, 0.4077, 0.4191, 0.4257, 0.4104, 0.4036, 0.4342, 0.4193, 0.4147, 0.406, 0.4094, 0.4094, 0.4083, 0.3835, 0.3544, 0.3753, 0.3642, 0.3748, 0.4043, 0.3946, 0.4191, 0.4363, 0.4742, 0.4146, 0.4031, 0.3894, 0.3485, 0.3658, 0.3436, 0.3969, 0.3162, 0.3362, 0.3293, 0.3451, 0.2957, 0.3057, 0.3291, 0.3353, 0.3234, 0.3225, 0.3395, 0.333, 0.362, 0.3805, 0.3876, 0.3798, 0.3965, 0.392, 0.4, 0.3827, 0.3476, 0.3388, 0.3545, 0.3033, 0.3113, 0.3673, 0.3632, 0.4181, 0.4424, 0.4613, 0.491, 0.4516, 0.4743]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1906764798341369956", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-31T17:45:28+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bottom in many assets is likely already in", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees bottom is already in; bullish on broad market assets from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheSwingTraderr The bottom in many assets is likely already in", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SPY The stock market will likely put a local bottom in the first two weeks of April before a huge face ripper rally. https://t.co/9czoi0qkEa", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheSwingTraderr", "ret_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "ret_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "ret_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "ret_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "ret_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "bench_c_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "ret_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009063400652895903, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.0446, 0.042, 0.055, 0.0611, 0.0491, 0.0506, 0.0506, 0.0346, 0.0362, 0.0376, 0.0565, 0.0545, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0748, 0.0809, 0.0868, 0.0836, 0.0683, 0.0774, 0.0726, 0.0784, 0.0726, 0.0654, 0.0726, 0.0769, 0.0806, 0.0708, 0.078, 0.0788, 0.0754, 0.0867, 0.0867, 0.0867, 0.0899, 0.0924, 0.0879, 0.0693, 0.0644, 0.0591, 0.0596, 0.0427, 0.059, 0.0405, 0.0281, 0.0392, 0.0207, 0.0265, -0.0009, -0.0092, -0.0039, -0.0172, 0.0031, 0.0108, -0.0001, 0.0108, 0.0079, 0.0082, 0.0263, 0.0287, 0.0164, 0.0137, -0.0067, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0092, -0.0406, -0.0967, -0.0983, -0.1125, -0.0193, -0.0622, -0.0455, -0.0362, -0.0389, -0.0603, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0814, -0.0575, -0.0429, -0.0227, -0.0156, -0.0153, -0.0091, -0.0087, -0.0016, 0.0132, 0.0074, -0.0011, 0.0031, 0.0101, 0.0088, 0.0422, 0.0491, 0.0504, 0.0555, 0.0622, 0.0634, 0.0598, 0.042, 0.0424, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.0568, 0.0507, 0.0548, 0.0536, 0.0596, 0.0656, 0.0653, 0.0602, 0.0711, 0.072, 0.0781, 0.075, 0.0793, 0.0672, 0.0774, 0.0682, 0.068, 0.068, 0.0655, 0.076, 0.0879, 0.0885, 0.0971, 0.1025, 0.1078, 0.1074, 0.1124, 0.1212, 0.1212, 0.1128, 0.1122, 0.1189, 0.1221, 0.1181, 0.1203, 0.1155, 0.1192, 0.126, 0.1252, 0.1274, 0.1275, 0.1371, 0.1375, 0.1423, 0.142, 0.139, 0.1376, 0.1333, 0.1147, 0.1317, 0.1259, 0.1345, 0.1336, 0.1424, 0.1402, 0.1523, 0.1563, 0.1564, 0.1537, 0.1534, 0.1471, 0.1441, 0.1395, 0.157, 0.1519, 0.1567, 0.1594, 0.1635, 0.1565, 0.1565, 0.148, 0.1542, 0.1638, 0.1605, 0.1633, 0.166, 0.1694, 0.1791, 0.1787, 0.185, 0.1833, 0.1819, 0.1874, 0.1933, 0.1989, 0.1924]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1930974805878046832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-06T13:07:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Decisive buy instruction on Bitcoin in context of macro/inflation discussion.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wclemente Buy Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Watching oil get bid and the long end sell off after this NFP print. Looks like oil is bottoming out this quarter -- inflation bottoming too?  The main risk to the short long-duration thesis is a sharp economic decline, but it doesn't seem like that's the case, at least yet. https://t.co/y9beyZKwGo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WClemente", "ret_m1d": -0.0269602582374866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0269602582374866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016795608368068704, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016795608368068704, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010164649869417897, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010164649869417897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05655463523176674, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05655463523176674, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.055653509759832964, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055653509759832964, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009011254719337725, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009011254719337725, "ret_p1w": 0.01629101829641222, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01629101829641222, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01986287595061209, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01986287595061209, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035718576541998726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035718576541998726, "ret_p1m": 0.03745085677524651, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03745085677524651, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0015632377858005864, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0015632377858005864, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0390140945610471, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0390140945610471, "ret_p3m": 0.07024468858021171, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07024468858021171, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007371625354836819, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007371625354836819, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07761631393504853, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07761631393504853, "ret_p6m": -0.1730885519523926, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1730885519523926, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31501307621175845, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31501307621175845, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14192452425936586, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14192452425936586, "ret_p1y": -0.273632678549351, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.273632678549351, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5407730447246772, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5407730447246772, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2671403661753262, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2671403661753262, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03745085677524651, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0015632377858005864, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0015632377858005864, "price_path": [-0.2062, -0.198, -0.2234, -0.1956, -0.1946, -0.2076, -0.168, -0.1937, -0.1949, -0.1618, -0.1621, -0.1675, -0.1649, -0.1919, -0.2092, -0.1841, -0.2098, -0.2039, -0.1968, -0.241, -0.2694, -0.209, -0.2372, -0.201, -0.1901, -0.1985, -0.195, -0.1867, -0.191, -0.1616, -0.1049, -0.1024, -0.1001, -0.0926, -0.0902, -0.0968, -0.0975, -0.0757, -0.0717, -0.0924, -0.0727, -0.0705, -0.011, -0.0136, -0.0151, -0.0021, -0.0082, -0.0062, -0.0086, 0.0116, 0.023, 0.0507, 0.0698, 0.0278, 0.0484, 0.0441, 0.0327, 0.012, -0.0038, 0.0143, 0.01, 0.0033, -0.027, 0.0, 0.0566, 0.0562, 0.0412, 0.0147, 0.0163, 0.0231, 0.002, 0.0047, 0.0028, -0.0104, 0.0114, 0.0159, 0.0285, 0.0246, 0.0258, 0.0263, 0.0125, 0.0428, 0.0504, 0.0349, 0.0375, 0.0437, 0.0664, 0.1111, 0.1257, 0.1481, 0.1282, 0.1374, 0.1427, 0.1304, 0.125, 0.1495, 0.1376, 0.1339, 0.1269, 0.1296, 0.1296, 0.1288, 0.1089, 0.0855, 0.1023, 0.0934, 0.1019, 0.1256, 0.1178, 0.1374, 0.1512, 0.1816, 0.1338, 0.1246, 0.1136, 0.0809, 0.0947, 0.0769, 0.1196, 0.0549, 0.071, 0.0654, 0.0781, 0.0385, 0.0466, 0.0652, 0.0702, 0.0607, 0.06, 0.0736, 0.0684, 0.0916, 0.1065, 0.1122, 0.1059, 0.1193, 0.1157, 0.1221, 0.1082, 0.0801, 0.073, 0.0856, 0.0446, 0.051, 0.0959, 0.0926, 0.1366, 0.1561, 0.1712, 0.1951, 0.1634, 0.1817, 0.1659, 0.0845, 0.1042, 0.0836, 0.0612, 0.0364, 0.0199, 0.0594, 0.0391, 0.0316, 0.0544, 0.0636, 0.0932, 0.0821, 0.0543, 0.0375, 0.0495, 0.0207, -0.0268, -0.0048, -0.0296, -0.0098, 0.0154, -0.0133, -0.0261, -0.045, -0.0957, -0.1178, -0.1096, -0.1238, -0.1701, -0.1849, -0.1544, -0.1633, -0.1329, -0.1255, -0.129, -0.1731]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1935898784485216667", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-20T03:13:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin has a truncated left tail and is more certain than any other assets to eventually achieve 10x due to its superior structure and decentralization", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC: superior structure and decentralization make a 10x more certain than any other asset, with limited downside risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HHorsley Every other thing that could 10x has idiosyncratic risk and could be a zero. Bitcoin has a truncated left tail and is more certain than any other assets to eventually achieve 10x due to its superior structure and decentralization.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred I know you've encountered the 1st.\n\nWhat do you say on either topic?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HHorsley", "ret_m1d": 0.013306483416919868, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013306483416919868, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01095248084931355, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01095248084931355, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021955092660267406, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021955092660267406, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012077710763044536, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012077710763044536, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "ret_p1w": 0.03657770495527357, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03657770495527357, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0018635139303899706, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0018635139303899706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "ret_p1m": 0.1367727421874887, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1367727421874887, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07873617908315866, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07873617908315866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "ret_p3m": 0.12737350692461202, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12737350692461202, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.018165814822208137, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.018165814822208137, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "ret_p6m": -0.16348742088877422, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16348742088877422, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3121333008754532, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3121333008754532, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "ret_p1y": -0.4033102410843499, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4033102410843499, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.654070445076445, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.654070445076445, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.4033102410843499, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.654070445076445, "alpha_c_stated": -0.654070445076445, "price_path": [-0.1533, -0.1588, -0.1562, -0.1835, -0.201, -0.1756, -0.2016, -0.1956, -0.1884, -0.233, -0.2617, -0.2007, -0.2292, -0.1927, -0.1817, -0.1901, -0.1866, -0.1782, -0.1825, -0.1528, -0.0955, -0.093, -0.0907, -0.0831, -0.0806, -0.0874, -0.0881, -0.066, -0.0619, -0.0829, -0.063, -0.0608, -0.0007, -0.0033, -0.0048, 0.0083, 0.0022, 0.0042, 0.0017, 0.0222, 0.0337, 0.0616, 0.081, 0.0385, 0.0593, 0.055, 0.0435, 0.0226, 0.0067, 0.0249, 0.0205, 0.0138, -0.0168, 0.0105, 0.0676, 0.0673, 0.052, 0.0254, 0.0269, 0.0338, 0.0125, 0.0152, 0.0133, 0.0, 0.022, 0.0265, 0.0392, 0.0353, 0.0366, 0.037, 0.0231, 0.0537, 0.0614, 0.0457, 0.0483, 0.0546, 0.0776, 0.1227, 0.1375, 0.1601, 0.14, 0.1493, 0.1547, 0.1422, 0.1368, 0.1615, 0.1495, 0.1458, 0.1387, 0.1415, 0.1414, 0.1406, 0.1205, 0.0969, 0.1139, 0.1048, 0.1134, 0.1373, 0.1295, 0.1493, 0.1632, 0.1939, 0.1457, 0.1364, 0.1253, 0.0922, 0.1061, 0.0882, 0.1313, 0.066, 0.0822, 0.0766, 0.0894, 0.0494, 0.0575, 0.0764, 0.0814, 0.0718, 0.0711, 0.0848, 0.0796, 0.103, 0.1181, 0.1238, 0.1175, 0.131, 0.1274, 0.1338, 0.1198, 0.0914, 0.0843, 0.097, 0.0556, 0.062, 0.1074, 0.104, 0.1485, 0.1682, 0.1835, 0.2076, 0.1756, 0.194, 0.1781, 0.0959, 0.1158, 0.0949, 0.0723, 0.0472, 0.0306, 0.0705, 0.05, 0.0424, 0.0654, 0.0748, 0.1046, 0.0934, 0.0653, 0.0484, 0.0605, 0.0313, -0.0166, 0.0056, -0.0194, 0.0006, 0.026, -0.003, -0.0159, -0.035, -0.0863, -0.1086, -0.1003, -0.1146, -0.1614, -0.1764, -0.1456, -0.1546, -0.1238, -0.1164, -0.1199, -0.1644, -0.1158, -0.0947, -0.1081, -0.1348, -0.1226, -0.1028, -0.1093, -0.1045, -0.1262, -0.1635]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1924440061275525519", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-19T12:20:39+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "before we move to all time highs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; expects price to break through $101-103k resistance and move to new all-time highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looks like we get to take out a few more kid analysts and chart monkeys chattering about bearish divergences in this $101-103k area before we move to all time highs. You just have to admire how Bitcoin systematically sidelines people who don’t understand what they own. Beautiful.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931703099053269033", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-08T13:21:22+00:00", "symbol": "MP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MP", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends MP Materials as a rare earth play.", "resolved_tickers": ["MP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "qme", "tweet_text": "@LawrenceLepard $MP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This is going to be a problem.  Anyone have good rare earth names?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LawrenceLepard", "ret_m1d": -0.07186709038414585, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07186709038414585, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07096677620824865, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06519053147191822, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006676558912227626, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01661253098408233, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01661253098408233, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022282456382788363, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022836269616747007, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006223738632664677, "ret_p1w": 0.25135431049417134, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.25135431049417134, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24635144121363828, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2541834432457035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002829132751532182, "ret_p1m": 0.12639941973620172, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12639941973620172, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0888893566120299, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08877654861000184, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037622871126199886, "ret_p3m": 1.3178042277838489, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3178042277838489, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2321600226984104, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2791578502930723, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038646377490776596, "ret_p6m": 1.1971830617250103, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1971830617250103, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0541734754381071, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1873192665308958, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00986379519411451, "ret_p1y": 1.3550017272215977, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.3550017272215977, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.0892215099819695, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.1739977544194415, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1810039728021562, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12639941973620172, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0888893566120299, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08877654861000184, "price_path": [-0.121, -0.1195, -0.0311, -0.0361, -0.0311, -0.0318, -0.052, -0.0646, -0.0444, -0.0274, -0.0589, -0.0549, -0.0621, -0.1185, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.1036, -0.1672, -0.1336, -0.2077, -0.1401, -0.1499, -0.1809, -0.0036, -0.0946, -0.004, -0.0484, -0.0484, -0.1625, -0.1748, -0.1733, -0.0607, -0.1185, -0.1026, -0.1123, -0.1166, -0.121, -0.0968, -0.0899, -0.1083, -0.147, -0.1387, -0.2073, -0.2365, -0.2499, -0.2387, -0.23, -0.2304, -0.2326, -0.2546, -0.2958, -0.2748, -0.2889, -0.2889, -0.3221, -0.2922, -0.286, -0.2131, -0.2597, -0.2055, -0.1123, -0.0636, -0.0719, 0.0, -0.0166, -0.074, 0.0545, 0.1033, 0.2514, 0.2813, 0.3442, 0.3442, 0.3629, 0.3203, 0.2607, 0.2784, 0.2997, 0.1882, 0.2015, 0.1372, 0.169, 0.1499, 0.1499, 0.1213, 0.1264, 0.0845, 0.6334, 0.6291, 0.7523, 1.1026, 1.1145, 1.1762, 1.2831, 1.1311, 1.1697, 1.208, 1.2232, 1.242, 1.3153, 1.1762, 1.1975, 1.221, 1.3001, 1.3626, 1.4698, 1.4381, 1.5666, 1.684, 1.6251, 1.7068, 1.723, 1.7656, 1.7096, 1.6078, 1.5023, 1.4619, 1.4659, 1.4514, 1.6114, 1.5218, 1.5785, 1.6544, 1.5692, 1.5692, 1.4308, 1.3832, 1.3178, 1.277, 1.2651, 1.2806, 1.255, 1.2763, 1.2936, 1.3814, 1.3828, 1.4128, 1.6049, 1.6443, 1.6443, 1.6977, 1.5724, 1.7855, 1.4785, 1.4623, 1.4222, 1.4424, 1.5627, 1.5822, 1.6844, 1.6641, 1.5493, 1.6107, 1.8292, 2.433, 2.5627, 2.2449, 2.0278, 1.9177, 1.9939, 1.6764, 1.5208, 1.472, 1.5572, 1.368, 1.3453, 1.3218, 1.3445, 1.2784, 1.0823, 0.9827, 0.9837, 0.8761, 1.1163, 1.3178, 1.2373, 1.1567, 1.078, 1.1177, 1.0578, 1.113, 1.2951, 1.0469, 0.996, 1.1322, 1.1022, 1.1723, 1.1723, 1.2373, 1.0982, 1.1972]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1913273254825046207", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-18T16:47:45+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is not the high. Learn Bitcoin.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying BTC at current levels is justified; current price is not the high.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheBottomFeedr This is not the high. Learn Bitcoin.\n\nThere was a lot of career risk to buy Bitcoin before now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Why so delayed and buying at near high?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ChAsEdxPaPeR", "ret_m1d": 0.005268692396081631, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005268692396081631, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01911433954061037, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01911433954061037, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03633004533057016, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03633004533057016, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01031234424365124, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01031234424365124, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.12160565373535248, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12160565373535248, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04966256604502428, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04966256604502428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.25050530990536934, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25050530990536934, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09683129403262591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09683129403262591, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.40600800965576944, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40600800965576944, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1802418563525412, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1802418563525412, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.36494943478095565, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36494943478095565, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06887022583459879, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06887022583459879, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.14813478224147325, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14813478224147325, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47871692837104296, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47871692837104296, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.25050530990536934, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09683129403262591, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09683129403262591, "price_path": [0.2569, 0.2274, 0.231, 0.2412, 0.2088, 0.1999, 0.228, 0.2402, 0.2126, 0.2008, 0.1589, 0.144, 0.1438, 0.143, 0.1538, 0.1338, 0.1591, 0.1441, 0.1546, 0.1341, 0.1313, 0.1443, 0.1644, 0.1382, 0.0825, 0.0507, -0.0012, 0.003, -0.0009, 0.0191, 0.0328, 0.0731, 0.0653, 0.0271, -0.0701, -0.0188, -0.0086, -0.0401, -0.0057, -0.0044, -0.0205, 0.0285, -0.0034, -0.0048, 0.0361, 0.0358, 0.029, 0.0323, -0.0012, -0.0225, 0.0085, -0.0233, -0.016, -0.0072, -0.0618, -0.0968, -0.0222, -0.0571, -0.0124, 0.0011, -0.0093, -0.0049, 0.0053, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.1065, 0.1095, 0.1124, 0.1216, 0.1247, 0.1164, 0.1155, 0.1426, 0.1475, 0.1219, 0.1463, 0.149, 0.2225, 0.2193, 0.2174, 0.2335, 0.226, 0.2285, 0.2254, 0.2505, 0.2645, 0.2987, 0.3223, 0.2704, 0.2959, 0.2906, 0.2765, 0.2509, 0.2315, 0.2538, 0.2484, 0.2402, 0.2028, 0.2361, 0.306, 0.3056, 0.287, 0.2543, 0.2562, 0.2646, 0.2386, 0.2419, 0.2396, 0.2233, 0.2502, 0.2557, 0.2713, 0.2665, 0.2681, 0.2686, 0.2516, 0.289, 0.2984, 0.2793, 0.2824, 0.2901, 0.3182, 0.3734, 0.3915, 0.4192, 0.3946, 0.406, 0.4125, 0.3973, 0.3906, 0.4209, 0.4062, 0.4016, 0.393, 0.3964, 0.3963, 0.3953, 0.3707, 0.3418, 0.3626, 0.3516, 0.3621, 0.3913, 0.3817, 0.4059, 0.423, 0.4605, 0.4015, 0.3901, 0.3766, 0.3361, 0.3532, 0.3312, 0.3839, 0.304, 0.3239, 0.317, 0.3327, 0.2837, 0.2937, 0.3167, 0.3229, 0.3111, 0.3102, 0.3271, 0.3207, 0.3494, 0.3677, 0.3748, 0.367, 0.3836, 0.3791, 0.387, 0.3699, 0.3351, 0.3264, 0.3419, 0.2913, 0.2991, 0.3546, 0.3506, 0.4049, 0.429, 0.4478, 0.4772, 0.4381, 0.4607, 0.4411, 0.3406, 0.3649]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1925207053687275858", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-21T15:08:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are at $109,400 heading to $150,000. Retail FOMO hasn't even started yet. This is one of the best setups in the history of financial markets.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC to $150K; retail FOMO not yet started, calling it one of the best setups in market history.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin has achieved new all time highs. We are at $109,400 heading to $150,000. Retail FOMO hasn’t even started yet. Most people have no idea that BTC is even over $100,000. This is one of the best setups in the history of financial markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0434621164730119, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0434621164730119, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017796634319811044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017796634319811044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "ret_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025457775566363527, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025457775566363527, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "ret_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07054597361965143, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07054597361965143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "ret_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04701738714210868, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04701738714210868, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "ret_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2506179462930155, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2506179462930155, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "ret_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5489155890092844, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5489155890092844, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07054597361965143, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07054597361965143, "price_path": [-0.1236, -0.1665, -0.1909, -0.231, -0.2277, -0.2307, -0.2153, -0.2047, -0.1737, -0.1798, -0.2091, -0.284, -0.2445, -0.2367, -0.2609, -0.2344, -0.2334, -0.2458, -0.2081, -0.2326, -0.2337, -0.2022, -0.2025, -0.2077, -0.2052, -0.2309, -0.2474, -0.2235, -0.2479, -0.2423, -0.2355, -0.2776, -0.3046, -0.2471, -0.274, -0.2395, -0.2292, -0.2371, -0.2338, -0.226, -0.23, -0.202, -0.148, -0.1457, -0.1435, -0.1364, -0.134, -0.1403, -0.1411, -0.1202, -0.1164, -0.1361, -0.1174, -0.1153, -0.0587, -0.0612, -0.0626, -0.0502, -0.056, -0.0541, -0.0564, -0.0371, -0.0263, 0.0, 0.0182, -0.0218, -0.0022, -0.0062, -0.0171, -0.0368, -0.0518, -0.0346, -0.0387, -0.0451, -0.0739, -0.0482, 0.0056, 0.0053, -0.009, -0.0342, -0.0327, -0.0263, -0.0463, -0.0437, -0.0455, -0.0581, -0.0374, -0.0331, -0.0211, -0.0248, -0.0236, -0.0232, -0.0363, -0.0075, -0.0003, -0.015, -0.0126, -0.0066, 0.015, 0.0575, 0.0715, 0.0927, 0.0738, 0.0826, 0.0876, 0.0759, 0.0708, 0.0941, 0.0828, 0.0792, 0.0726, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0743, 0.0554, 0.0332, 0.0492, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0713, 0.0639, 0.0825, 0.0957, 0.1246, 0.0792, 0.0704, 0.0599, 0.0287, 0.0419, 0.025, 0.0656, 0.0041, 0.0194, 0.0141, 0.0261, -0.0116, -0.0039, 0.0139, 0.0186, 0.0095, 0.0089, 0.0218, 0.0169, 0.039, 0.0532, 0.0586, 0.0526, 0.0653, 0.0619, 0.068, 0.0548, 0.028, 0.0213, 0.0333, -0.0057, 0.0003, 0.0431, 0.0399, 0.0818, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1374, 0.1073, 0.1247, 0.1097, 0.0322, 0.051, 0.0314, 0.0101, -0.0136, -0.0293, 0.0083, -0.011, -0.0181, 0.0036, 0.0124, 0.0405, 0.0299, 0.0034, -0.0125, -0.0011, -0.0285, -0.0737, -0.0528, -0.0764, -0.0575, -0.0336, -0.0609, -0.0731, -0.091]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1922301895382552985", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-13T14:44:21+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies holding or generating Bitcoin being added to the S&P and other major indices", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adds to bullish BTC flywheel thesis: index inclusion of BTC-holding companies drives further institutional demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@tadtweets 8) Companies holding or generating Bitcoin being added to the S&P and other major indices", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "On my mind this morning…\n\n1) ETFs proliferating that acquire $BTC\n2) companies popping up everywhere to issue fixed income securities or their shares to acquire $BTC\n3) more sovereign entities acquiring stakes in these companies or in ETFs that acquire $BTC\n4) more ETFs", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tadtweets", "ret_m1d": -0.013025456631209686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013025456631209686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006464710428463749, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006464710428463749, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006560746202745937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006560746202745937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006051642240404331, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006051642240404331, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007329619279849209, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007329619279849209, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "ret_p1w": 0.025163465063354984, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025163465063354984, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014922351707730375, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014922351707730375, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "ret_p1m": 0.04336009052526624, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04336009052526624, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018617623939930716, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018617623939930716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02474246658533552, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02474246658533552, "ret_p3m": 0.12017794562604212, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12017794562604212, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03118678388616658, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03118678388616658, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "ret_p6m": -0.002668494411468769, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.002668494411468769, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1639170917955446, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1639170917955446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "ret_p1y": -0.26750064648047633, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26750064648047633, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5061658381174419, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5061658381174419, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04336009052526624, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.018617623939930716, "alpha_c_stated": 0.018617623939930716, "price_path": [-0.0724, -0.0639, -0.0806, -0.0828, -0.0723, -0.056, -0.0772, -0.1224, -0.1482, -0.1903, -0.1869, -0.19, -0.1738, -0.1627, -0.13, -0.1364, -0.1673, -0.2461, -0.2045, -0.1963, -0.2218, -0.1939, -0.1929, -0.2059, -0.1662, -0.192, -0.1932, -0.16, -0.1603, -0.1658, -0.1631, -0.1902, -0.2076, -0.1824, -0.2082, -0.2022, -0.1951, -0.2394, -0.2678, -0.2073, -0.2356, -0.1993, -0.1884, -0.1968, -0.1933, -0.185, -0.1893, -0.1598, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0882, -0.0949, -0.0956, -0.0737, -0.0697, -0.0904, -0.0707, -0.0685, -0.0089, -0.0115, -0.013, 0.0, -0.0061, -0.0041, -0.0065, 0.0138, 0.0252, 0.0529, 0.072, 0.0299, 0.0506, 0.0463, 0.0349, 0.0141, -0.0016, 0.0164, 0.0121, 0.0054, -0.0249, 0.0021, 0.0588, 0.0584, 0.0434, 0.0169, 0.0184, 0.0252, 0.0041, 0.0068, 0.0049, -0.0083, 0.0135, 0.018, 0.0306, 0.0268, 0.028, 0.0285, 0.0147, 0.045, 0.0526, 0.0371, 0.0396, 0.0459, 0.0687, 0.1134, 0.1281, 0.1505, 0.1306, 0.1399, 0.1451, 0.1328, 0.1274, 0.1519, 0.14, 0.1363, 0.1293, 0.132, 0.132, 0.1311, 0.1112, 0.0878, 0.1047, 0.0957, 0.1042, 0.1279, 0.1202, 0.1398, 0.1536, 0.1841, 0.1362, 0.127, 0.116, 0.0831, 0.097, 0.0792, 0.122, 0.0572, 0.0733, 0.0677, 0.0804, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0675, 0.0725, 0.0629, 0.0622, 0.0759, 0.0707, 0.0939, 0.1088, 0.1145, 0.1082, 0.1217, 0.1181, 0.1245, 0.1106, 0.0824, 0.0753, 0.0879, 0.0468, 0.0532, 0.0982, 0.0949, 0.139, 0.1585, 0.1737, 0.1976, 0.1659, 0.1842, 0.1683, 0.0868, 0.1066, 0.0859, 0.0635, 0.0386, 0.0221, 0.0616, 0.0413, 0.0338, 0.0566, 0.0659, 0.0955, 0.0843, 0.0565, 0.0397, 0.0517, 0.0228, -0.0248, -0.0027]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1907927065372013033", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-03T22:43:54+00:00", "symbol": "NKE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought Nike today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed long NKE purchase today.", "resolved_tickers": ["NKE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@balajis Well said Balaji\n\nAlso I bought Nike today", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Uncle Sam cannot get a better deal from Vietnam than free.\n\nVietnamese women grind in factories to produce Nikes, while Uncle Sam sends them printed money in return.\n\nWho is ripping off whom?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "balajis", "ret_m1d": -0.029170288186114224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029170288186114224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09135356024069319, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07424939457077184, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.062183272054578964, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04507910638465762, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02864625328831205, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02864625328831205, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026865064835915664, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016829445175376212, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017811884523963872, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01181680811293584, "ret_p1w": -0.04995636258583791, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04995636258583791, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10667749487830935, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08786865004970923, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672113229247144, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03791228746387132, "ret_p1m": 0.0017468059645702194, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0017468059645702194, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.113496184900852, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08852074987964431, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524299086542222, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09026755584421453, "ret_p3m": 0.3431904821369156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3431904821369156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11162722498865829, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13700965617433414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.23156325714825732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.20618082596258147, "ret_p6m": 0.22927601863590485, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22927601863590485, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09174893215051116, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09299241937171421, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.321024950786416, "bench_c_p6m": 0.32226843800761906, "ret_p1y": -0.04222870856685412, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.04222870856685412, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3497567562215155, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2517795268779496, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30752804765466135, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20955081831109545, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0017468059645702194, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.113496184900852, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08852074987964431, "price_path": [0.2529, 0.239, 0.239, 0.2374, 0.2527, 0.2369, 0.2351, 0.2358, 0.2311, 0.2311, 0.2716, 0.2868, 0.2911, 0.2786, 0.3135, 0.2928, 0.3309, 0.3613, 0.3365, 0.3311, 0.3333, 0.296, 0.2468, 0.1936, 0.2329, 0.2398, 0.2558, 0.2723, 0.2694, 0.2694, 0.3485, 0.3344, 0.3422, 0.3295, 0.3952, 0.4202, 0.4107, 0.3907, 0.3804, 0.3696, 0.3506, 0.3591, 0.3574, 0.3728, 0.3345, 0.2955, 0.2852, 0.2688, 0.2517, 0.2873, 0.2805, 0.2749, 0.2552, 0.1867, 0.1771, 0.1623, 0.1483, 0.1493, 0.1055, 0.1088, 0.1312, 0.1347, -0.0292, 0.0, -0.0286, -0.0695, 0.0362, -0.0498, -0.05, -0.0321, -0.0423, -0.0646, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0197, -0.0033, 0.0024, 0.0215, 0.0065, 0.001, 0.0051, -0.0148, -0.0086, 0.0234, 0.0017, -0.0037, 0.0239, 0.029, 0.0183, 0.0931, 0.0898, 0.0783, 0.09, 0.1024, 0.0844, 0.0928, 0.0477, 0.0711, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.0975, 0.0791, 0.0732, 0.0583, 0.0826, 0.0967, 0.1037, 0.1019, 0.1042, 0.0886, 0.123, 0.1097, 0.1042, 0.0643, 0.0884, 0.055, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0513, 0.0687, 0.08, 0.0696, 0.0997, 0.2667, 0.2491, 0.2908, 0.3432, 0.3432, 0.3432, 0.3457, 0.2998, 0.2934, 0.3121, 0.2771, 0.2704, 0.2658, 0.2678, 0.2832, 0.2743, 0.3015, 0.3256, 0.3495, 0.3261, 0.3411, 0.3933, 0.3773, 0.3483, 0.3133, 0.3121, 0.3156, 0.3078, 0.3272, 0.3073, 0.3045, 0.3015, 0.317, 0.3574, 0.3432, 0.3534, 0.3615, 0.3518, 0.3409, 0.3395, 0.3782, 0.3921, 0.3829, 0.3726, 0.3701, 0.3604, 0.3604, 0.3131, 0.321, 0.3318, 0.3063, 0.3106, 0.3009, 0.3123, 0.3138, 0.2903, 0.2908, 0.2858, 0.2781, 0.2743, 0.253, 0.2599, 0.2537, 0.2588, 0.2238, 0.225, 0.2293]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1904998297636659634", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-26T20:46:01+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Doesn't make a lot of sense especially as we move in to the later stages of an institutionally driven supercycle", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Implicitly bullish on CIFR at 52-week lows; price-value discrepancy doesn't make sense into an institutional crypto supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy Doesn’t make a lot of sense especially as we move in to the later stages of an institutionally driven supercycle", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Wow, new 52-week low for $CIFR\n\nI haven’t seen such a discrepancy between price and value in a long time… maybe ever?\n\n$CIFR could easily 10x in a year from here… with more upside to go…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": 0.05511815236486828, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05511815236486828, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052455344770043766, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045804128548222245, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026628075948245122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009314023816646033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08661418579303093, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08661418579303093, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06647575516104065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06236009585277236, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02013843063199028, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024254089940258572, "ret_p1w": -0.0905511899715512, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0905511899715512, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03697840878323855, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013580902012618301, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.05357278118831266, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0769702879589329, "ret_p1m": 0.21259841337126506, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21259841337126506, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2415889302093729, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2269712262427782, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.028990516838107827, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014372812871513152, "ret_p3m": 0.5157480167140813, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5157480167140813, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.44257707204114816, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3448823878155318, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07317094467293317, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1708656288985495, "ret_p6m": 3.834645636770979, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.834645636770979, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.657549667644136, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.5137515834650093, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17709596912684322, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3208940533059699, "ret_p1y": 4.960630145945964, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.960630145945964, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.770575077989088, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.6424912189488206, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19005506795687555, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3181389269971433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21259841337126506, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2415889302093729, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2269712262427782, "price_path": [0.8346, 0.8268, 0.8268, 0.9016, 1.1929, 1.3031, 1.122, 0.9882, 0.9882, 0.9606, 0.8937, 0.9488, 1.063, 1.0472, 1.1378, 1.1378, 1.122, 1.1693, 1.1772, 1.3228, 0.7756, 0.7677, 0.7717, 0.8504, 1.2559, 1.2913, 1.2874, 1.248, 1.3189, 1.3504, 1.3465, 1.2441, 1.2756, 1.3543, 1.3858, 1.3858, 1.3228, 1.3701, 1.3937, 1.1614, 0.9547, 0.6142, 0.6437, 0.563, 0.6063, 0.5157, 0.4764, 0.6378, 0.4921, 0.5315, 0.2126, 0.252, 0.2598, 0.1929, 0.1969, 0.2283, 0.1299, 0.2047, 0.1811, 0.1496, 0.2598, 0.1969, 0.0551, 0.0, -0.0866, -0.0945, -0.0315, 0.0433, -0.0906, -0.1732, -0.122, -0.1693, -0.0315, -0.126, -0.0472, -0.0394, -0.0866, -0.0846, -0.0669, -0.0669, -0.0787, 0.0787, 0.126, 0.1811, 0.2126, 0.2047, 0.2126, 0.122, 0.2264, 0.2441, 0.1732, 0.1969, 0.189, 0.2283, 0.1732, 0.2402, 0.3504, 0.3031, 0.248, 0.5197, 0.5, 0.4882, 0.3799, 0.4055, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.4055, 0.3189, 0.2795, 0.2283, 0.2795, 0.3524, 0.4724, 0.3898, 0.5354, 0.6299, 0.5984, 0.6063, 0.5118, 0.4646, 0.5472, 0.4488, 0.5, 0.5, 0.4921, 0.3898, 0.5157, 0.5157, 0.6496, 0.6772, 0.8819, 0.9291, 1.2362, 1.3819, 1.3819, 1.2795, 1.374, 1.4646, 1.4567, 1.311, 1.374, 1.3504, 1.4685, 1.5276, 1.5039, 1.4606, 1.7323, 1.6299, 1.6181, 1.5472, 1.4252, 1.2362, 1.1457, 1.1496, 0.9409, 1.0433, 0.9724, 1.0512, 0.9173, 0.8701, 0.874, 0.8583, 0.9291, 1.0945, 1.0512, 1.3819, 1.2677, 1.3425, 1.3228, 1.5118, 1.6142, 1.8031, 1.752, 1.7638, 2.0079, 2.0079, 2.2756, 2.1929, 1.9134, 1.9606, 2.0394, 2.6299, 3.0354, 2.9252, 3.2717, 3.2717, 3.5315, 3.874, 3.6654, 3.8346]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1931345540299784382", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-07T13:40:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are left only with a quiet move back to ATHs. Same story, different day. Hold", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC; the $100K wick shook out weak hands and price is quietly returning to all-time highs — hold.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s Saturday. Bitcoin wicked to $100,000 on Thursday night and scared kid analysts and chart monkeys out of their coins. The posts about head and shoulders patterns and re-tests of $95k are gone and we are left only with a quiet move back to ATHs. Same story, different day. Hold", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "price_path": [-0.2409, -0.265, -0.2387, -0.2377, -0.25, -0.2125, -0.2369, -0.238, -0.2067, -0.2069, -0.2121, -0.2096, -0.2352, -0.2516, -0.2278, -0.2521, -0.2465, -0.2398, -0.2816, -0.3085, -0.2513, -0.2781, -0.2438, -0.2335, -0.2414, -0.2381, -0.2303, -0.2343, -0.2065, -0.1528, -0.1505, -0.1482, -0.1412, -0.1389, -0.1452, -0.1459, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.141, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0678, -0.0555, -0.0612, -0.0594, -0.0617, -0.0425, -0.0318, -0.0056, 0.0125, -0.0273, -0.0077, -0.0118, -0.0226, -0.0422, -0.0571, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.079, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0381, -0.0317, -0.0516, -0.0491, -0.0509, -0.0633, -0.0428, -0.0385, -0.0266, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0286, -0.0417, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0205, -0.0181, -0.0122, 0.0094, 0.0516, 0.0655, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0766, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0648, 0.088, 0.0767, 0.0732, 0.0666, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0683, 0.0495, 0.0274, 0.0433, 0.0349, 0.0429, 0.0653, 0.058, 0.0765, 0.0896, 0.1183, 0.0731, 0.0644, 0.054, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0193, 0.0597, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0084, 0.0204, -0.0171, -0.0095, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0161, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0594, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0156, 0.0275, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0372, 0.0341, 0.0758, 0.0942, 0.1086, 0.1311, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1035, 0.0265, 0.0451, 0.0256, 0.0044, -0.0191, -0.0347, 0.0027, -0.0165, -0.0236, -0.002, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0241, -0.0022, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.034, -0.0789, -0.058, -0.0815, -0.0628, -0.039, -0.0662, -0.0783, -0.0961, -0.1441, -0.165, -0.1573, -0.1707, -0.2145, -0.2285, -0.1997, -0.2081, -0.1793, -0.1723, -0.1757, -0.2174, -0.1718]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1923191736970412121", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-16T01:40:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is no decision long term. This is all just short term noise.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC long-term; dismisses current price action as short-term noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ There is no decision long term. This is all just short term noise.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC decision coming https://t.co/HUUgLMecfx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": 0.0024674202017735958, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0024674202017735958, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008761492378453806, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008761492378453806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00629407217668021, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00629407217668021, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020455166367232103, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020455166367232103, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01936134672424794, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01936134672424794, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010938196429841618, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010938196429841618, "ret_p1w": 0.036704357010376, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036704357010376, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.062099909629913075, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.062099909629913075, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025395552619537076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025395552619537076, "ret_p1m": 0.03195952721254591, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03195952721254591, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01768820681776262, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01768820681776262, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014271320394783293, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014271320394783293, "ret_p3m": 0.19185341417805235, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19185341417805235, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10333693714602532, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10333693714602532, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08851647703202703, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08851647703202703, "ret_p6m": 0.024227673319755505, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.024227673319755505, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12917071421030468, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12917071421030468, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1533983875300602, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1533983875300602, "ret_p1y": -0.21801516446184155, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21801516446184155, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.45003638295879944, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.45003638295879944, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2320212184969579, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2320212184969579, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03195952721254591, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01768820681776262, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01768820681776262, "price_path": [-0.0768, -0.0662, -0.0498, -0.0712, -0.1166, -0.1426, -0.185, -0.1815, -0.1847, -0.1684, -0.1572, -0.1243, -0.1307, -0.1618, -0.2412, -0.1993, -0.191, -0.2167, -0.1886, -0.1876, -0.2007, -0.1607, -0.1867, -0.1879, -0.1545, -0.1548, -0.1603, -0.1576, -0.1849, -0.2023, -0.177, -0.203, -0.197, -0.1898, -0.2344, -0.263, -0.2021, -0.2306, -0.1941, -0.1831, -0.1915, -0.188, -0.1797, -0.184, -0.1543, -0.0971, -0.0946, -0.0922, -0.0847, -0.0822, -0.0889, -0.0897, -0.0676, -0.0636, -0.0845, -0.0646, -0.0624, -0.0024, -0.005, -0.0065, 0.0066, 0.0005, 0.0025, 0.0, 0.0205, 0.0319, 0.0598, 0.0791, 0.0367, 0.0575, 0.0532, 0.0417, 0.0208, 0.0049, 0.0231, 0.0188, 0.012, -0.0185, 0.0087, 0.0658, 0.0654, 0.0502, 0.0236, 0.0251, 0.032, 0.0107, 0.0135, 0.0115, -0.0017, 0.0202, 0.0247, 0.0374, 0.0335, 0.0348, 0.0352, 0.0213, 0.0519, 0.0595, 0.0439, 0.0465, 0.0528, 0.0757, 0.1208, 0.1355, 0.1581, 0.1381, 0.1474, 0.1527, 0.1402, 0.1348, 0.1595, 0.1475, 0.1438, 0.1367, 0.1395, 0.1395, 0.1386, 0.1186, 0.095, 0.1119, 0.1029, 0.1115, 0.1354, 0.1275, 0.1473, 0.1612, 0.1919, 0.1437, 0.1344, 0.1233, 0.0903, 0.1042, 0.0863, 0.1293, 0.0641, 0.0803, 0.0747, 0.0875, 0.0476, 0.0557, 0.0745, 0.0796, 0.0699, 0.0692, 0.0829, 0.0777, 0.1011, 0.1161, 0.1219, 0.1155, 0.129, 0.1254, 0.1319, 0.1179, 0.0895, 0.0824, 0.0951, 0.0537, 0.0601, 0.1054, 0.1021, 0.1465, 0.1661, 0.1814, 0.2055, 0.1736, 0.192, 0.176, 0.094, 0.1138, 0.093, 0.0705, 0.0454, 0.0288, 0.0686, 0.0482, 0.0406, 0.0636, 0.0729, 0.1027, 0.0915, 0.0634, 0.0465, 0.0586, 0.0296, -0.0183, 0.0039, -0.0211, -0.0011, 0.0242]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1904602724101992743", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-25T18:34:09+00:00", "symbol": "WGMI", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agree. Spring should be solid. Everything lining up.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish wave-count thesis on WGMI Bitcoin miners ETF; expects solid spring.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant Agree. Spring should be solid. Everything lining up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$WGMI - Valkyrie Bitcoin $BTC miners ETF\n\nFor those that want to know how the next few weeks unfold for all your miners this is likely what happens. \n\nWe're in minor wave 4 (yellow) of a subwave 1 (green) within a larger Wave 1 (in blue)\n\nPatience, party is just getting started https://t.co/ITU4l0LiWS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": 0.04217251523959398, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04217251523959398, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04457057201339454, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04457057201339454, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002398056773800561, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002398056773800561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08498402275558381, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08498402275558381, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07304568817890922, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07304568817890922, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011938334576674592, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011938334576674592, "ret_p1w": -0.12651754571878226, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12651754571878226, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1013375193719942, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1013375193719942, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025180026346788065, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025180026346788065, "ret_p1m": -0.13674117839048294, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13674117839048294, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06716193108947988, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06716193108947988, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06957924730100307, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06957924730100307, "ret_p3m": 0.18722047134790554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18722047134790554, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1514633324610961, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1514633324610961, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.035757138886809425, "bench_c_p3m": 0.035757138886809425, "ret_p6m": 1.6293931328378775, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.6293931328378775, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4805233472346504, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.4805233472346504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14886978560322706, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14886978560322706, "ret_p1y": 1.425559106054315, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.425559106054315, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.2580401698381507, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.2580401698381507, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1675189362161642, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1675189362161642, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13674117839048294, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06716193108947988, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06716193108947988, "price_path": [0.5879, 0.508, 0.4441, 0.4179, 0.4179, 0.4824, 0.6441, 0.6709, 0.5559, 0.4792, 0.4792, 0.4767, 0.4198, 0.4741, 0.57, 0.5719, 0.6211, 0.6211, 0.5955, 0.6313, 0.639, 0.6754, 0.3278, 0.331, 0.3521, 0.4377, 0.4409, 0.4498, 0.4422, 0.4351, 0.4543, 0.4792, 0.5016, 0.4275, 0.4524, 0.4875, 0.4952, 0.4952, 0.4594, 0.4556, 0.4371, 0.3112, 0.2268, 0.0888, 0.1003, 0.0792, 0.1387, 0.0543, 0.039, 0.099, 0.0096, 0.0428, -0.0748, -0.0364, -0.023, -0.069, -0.0224, -0.0179, -0.0895, -0.0288, -0.0428, -0.0543, 0.0422, 0.0, -0.085, -0.1029, -0.161, -0.184, -0.1265, -0.0901, -0.1853, -0.2128, -0.207, -0.2658, -0.1655, -0.2326, -0.2, -0.1885, -0.2345, -0.239, -0.2307, -0.2307, -0.2498, -0.1629, -0.1367, -0.1016, -0.0696, -0.0843, -0.0933, -0.1259, -0.0677, -0.0435, -0.0888, -0.0709, -0.0677, -0.0077, -0.0064, 0.0441, 0.099, 0.0831, 0.0588, 0.1502, 0.1585, 0.1495, 0.1342, 0.1572, 0.1252, 0.1252, 0.1655, 0.1035, 0.0799, 0.0524, 0.099, 0.145, 0.2262, 0.1629, 0.2505, 0.2882, 0.2958, 0.278, 0.253, 0.2051, 0.2588, 0.1936, 0.1949, 0.1949, 0.1872, 0.1559, 0.2409, 0.2447, 0.3738, 0.3872, 0.453, 0.4754, 0.607, 0.6633, 0.6633, 0.5904, 0.5911, 0.6128, 0.6288, 0.5834, 0.6339, 0.6006, 0.6722, 0.7144, 0.7093, 0.692, 0.761, 0.747, 0.7323, 0.6971, 0.6696, 0.5917, 0.5789, 0.6141, 0.4965, 0.5866, 0.5879, 0.6441, 0.6211, 0.5949, 0.6013, 0.6236, 0.6294, 0.7233, 0.7061, 0.8077, 0.6997, 0.7425, 0.7176, 0.8077, 0.8281, 0.878, 0.8728, 0.8958, 0.9565, 0.9565, 1.0217, 0.9617, 0.8639, 0.8818, 0.8971, 1.1169, 1.2677, 1.2792, 1.3847, 1.4748, 1.547, 1.6294]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1935112363084337560", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-17T23:08:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you didn't buy Bitcoin yesterday for $109,000, that's OK because you can buy it today for $104,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Encourages buying BTC at $104k, framing the dip from $109k as a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you didn’t buy Bitcoin yesterday for $109,000, that’s OK because you can buy it today for $104,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020990603963285226, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020990603963285226, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020839868154983954, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020839868154983954, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001507358083012722, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001507358083012722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0026979724986506692, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0026979724986506692, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026979724986506692, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026979724986506692, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.013809753316598616, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013809753316598616, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00539699301730967, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00539699301730967, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019206746333908287, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019206746333908287, "ret_p1m": 0.13515525460075528, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13515525460075528, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08082892970551936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08082892970551936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05432632489523592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05432632489523592, "ret_p3m": 0.1099458710071437, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1099458710071437, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0004389480378037547, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0004389480378037547, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10950692296933995, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10950692296933995, "ret_p6m": -0.12026804505777644, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12026804505777644, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2804242715862426, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2804242715862426, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16015622652846617, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16015622652846617, "ret_p1y": -0.3900488261097236, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3900488261097236, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6387181552576778, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6387181552576778, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24866932914795425, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24866932914795425, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13515525460075528, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08082892970551936, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08082892970551936, "price_path": [-0.1954, -0.1965, -0.1635, -0.1638, -0.1692, -0.1666, -0.1936, -0.2108, -0.1858, -0.2114, -0.2055, -0.1984, -0.2425, -0.2708, -0.2106, -0.2388, -0.2026, -0.1918, -0.2001, -0.1966, -0.1884, -0.1926, -0.1633, -0.1067, -0.1042, -0.1019, -0.0945, -0.092, -0.0986, -0.0994, -0.0775, -0.0735, -0.0942, -0.0746, -0.0724, -0.013, -0.0156, -0.0171, -0.0041, -0.0102, -0.0082, -0.0106, 0.0096, 0.0209, 0.0485, 0.0676, 0.0257, 0.0463, 0.042, 0.0306, 0.0099, -0.0058, 0.0122, 0.0079, 0.0013, -0.0289, -0.002, 0.0544, 0.0541, 0.0391, 0.0127, 0.0142, 0.021, 0.0, 0.0027, 0.0008, -0.0123, 0.0093, 0.0138, 0.0264, 0.0226, 0.0238, 0.0242, 0.0105, 0.0407, 0.0482, 0.0328, 0.0354, 0.0416, 0.0643, 0.1089, 0.1235, 0.1458, 0.126, 0.1352, 0.1404, 0.1281, 0.1227, 0.1472, 0.1353, 0.1316, 0.1246, 0.1274, 0.1274, 0.1265, 0.1067, 0.0834, 0.1001, 0.0912, 0.0997, 0.1233, 0.1156, 0.1351, 0.1489, 0.1792, 0.1315, 0.1223, 0.1114, 0.0787, 0.0925, 0.0747, 0.1173, 0.0528, 0.0688, 0.0633, 0.0759, 0.0364, 0.0444, 0.0631, 0.0681, 0.0585, 0.0578, 0.0714, 0.0662, 0.0894, 0.1043, 0.1099, 0.1037, 0.117, 0.1135, 0.1198, 0.106, 0.0779, 0.0709, 0.0834, 0.0425, 0.0489, 0.0937, 0.0904, 0.1343, 0.1537, 0.1689, 0.1927, 0.1611, 0.1793, 0.1635, 0.0823, 0.102, 0.0814, 0.0591, 0.0343, 0.0178, 0.0572, 0.0371, 0.0295, 0.0523, 0.0615, 0.091, 0.0799, 0.0521, 0.0354, 0.0474, 0.0186, -0.0288, -0.0068, -0.0315, -0.0117, 0.0133, -0.0153, -0.0281, -0.0469, -0.0975, -0.1196, -0.1114, -0.1256, -0.1718, -0.1865, -0.1561, -0.165, -0.1346, -0.1273, -0.1308, -0.1748, -0.1267, -0.1059, -0.1191, -0.1454, -0.1335, -0.1139, -0.1203]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1915750270581309894", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-25T12:50:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will crack $95,000 today. There is nothing but air between here and $109,000 then clear skies to $315,000.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC: expects $95K today, then $109K and ultimately $315K with no meaningful resistance.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin will crack $95,000 today. There is nothing but air between here and $109,000 then clear skies to $315,000. The bears and chart squigglers who flipped bearish are in complete disarray. Bitcoin has a tendency to do this. It breaks anyone who fades it. Do not attempt this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008199947477050884, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008199947477050884, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0010263551989924125, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0010263551989924125, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0071735922780584715, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0071735922780584715, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002726442533559359, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002726442533559359, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002345057409782303, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002345057409782303, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000381385123777056, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000381385123777056, "ret_p1w": 0.02311611860684848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02311611860684848, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006158702252860859, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006158702252860859, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02927482085970934, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02927482085970934, "ret_p1m": 0.15540318291710875, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15540318291710875, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10369992684582963, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10369992684582963, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.051703256071279124, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051703256071279124, "ret_p3m": 0.25374085797161117, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25374085797161117, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09856724456169208, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09856724456169208, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1551736134099191, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1551736134099191, "ret_p6m": 0.1675289898965906, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1675289898965906, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05859169843105749, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05859169843105749, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2261206883276481, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2261206883276481, "ret_p1y": -0.21683680539059658, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21683680539059658, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4924813580521489, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4924813580521489, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2756445526615523, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2756445526615523, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15540318291710875, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10369992684582963, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10369992684582963, "price_path": [0.0698, 0.0948, 0.1057, 0.0811, 0.0706, 0.0333, 0.02, 0.0198, 0.0191, 0.0287, 0.0108, 0.0334, 0.0201, 0.0294, 0.0111, 0.0086, 0.0202, 0.0381, 0.0148, -0.0349, -0.0632, -0.1095, -0.1057, -0.1092, -0.0914, -0.0792, -0.0433, -0.0502, -0.0842, -0.1709, -0.1252, -0.1161, -0.1441, -0.1135, -0.1124, -0.1267, -0.083, -0.1114, -0.1127, -0.0762, -0.0765, -0.0826, -0.0796, -0.1095, -0.1285, -0.1008, -0.1292, -0.1227, -0.1148, -0.1635, -0.1948, -0.1282, -0.1594, -0.1195, -0.1075, -0.1167, -0.1128, -0.1037, -0.1084, -0.076, -0.0135, -0.0108, -0.0082, 0.0, 0.0027, -0.0046, -0.0054, 0.0187, 0.0231, 0.0003, 0.022, 0.0244, 0.09, 0.0871, 0.0854, 0.0998, 0.0931, 0.0953, 0.0926, 0.1149, 0.1274, 0.1579, 0.179, 0.1327, 0.1554, 0.1507, 0.1381, 0.1153, 0.098, 0.1178, 0.1131, 0.1057, 0.0724, 0.1021, 0.1644, 0.164, 0.1474, 0.1183, 0.12, 0.1275, 0.1043, 0.1073, 0.1052, 0.0907, 0.1146, 0.1196, 0.1335, 0.1292, 0.1306, 0.1311, 0.1159, 0.1493, 0.1576, 0.1406, 0.1434, 0.1502, 0.1753, 0.2245, 0.2407, 0.2653, 0.2434, 0.2536, 0.2594, 0.2458, 0.2399, 0.2668, 0.2537, 0.2497, 0.2419, 0.245, 0.2449, 0.244, 0.2221, 0.1964, 0.2149, 0.205, 0.2144, 0.2405, 0.2319, 0.2535, 0.2687, 0.3022, 0.2496, 0.2394, 0.2273, 0.1912, 0.2064, 0.1869, 0.2339, 0.1626, 0.1803, 0.1742, 0.1882, 0.1445, 0.1534, 0.174, 0.1795, 0.169, 0.1682, 0.1832, 0.1775, 0.2031, 0.2195, 0.2257, 0.2188, 0.2336, 0.2296, 0.2367, 0.2214, 0.1903, 0.1826, 0.1965, 0.1513, 0.1583, 0.2078, 0.2041, 0.2526, 0.2741, 0.2908, 0.3171, 0.2822, 0.3023, 0.2849, 0.1952, 0.217, 0.1942, 0.1696, 0.1422, 0.124, 0.1675]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1912337051367972978", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-16T02:47:37+00:00", "symbol": "APLD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Even APLD is probably undervalued, especially after the -35% massacre today", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "APLD likely undervalued after -35% drop today; implied recovery upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["APLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Fllw_the_light @carmelo52056091 Even APLD is probably undervalued, especially after the -35% massacre today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @carmelo52056091 I want to say,  \"so $APLD?\" But im too defeated to even do so.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Fllw_the_light", "ret_m1d": -0.15686271530717433, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15686271530717433, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17959611345525606, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.19285877737126278, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03599606206408845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03186271530717433, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03186271530717433, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033289432586961376, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026447776109459475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005414939197714852, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018567223557778734, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021298449190128244, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021298449190128244, "ret_p1m": 0.37009810223482353, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.37009810223482353, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24682428943798085, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16103197541664804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2090661268181755, "ret_p3m": 1.3333334891624729, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3333334891624729, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1411995206807146, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0128049975622804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3205284916001925, "ret_p6m": 6.178921927263633, "ret_signed_p6m": 6.178921927263633, "alpha_spy_p6m": 5.894802078302327, "alpha_c_p6m": 5.677944455505646, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "bench_c_p6m": 0.5009774717579873, "ret_p1y": 5.019607824804415, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.019607824804415, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.757673859313382, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.60898260814861, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4106252166558051, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.37009810223482353, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.24682428943798085, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16103197541664804, "price_path": [1.1814, 1.1814, 1.3064, 1.3627, 1.2721, 1.1961, 0.587, 0.598, 0.6397, 0.8088, 0.7451, 0.8015, 0.8848, 0.9853, 0.9314, 0.9093, 0.9877, 0.8603, 0.8529, 0.9387, 1.2328, 1.2328, 1.3603, 1.4387, 1.4951, 1.6103, 1.2108, 0.9363, 0.9865, 0.9191, 0.9608, 0.6863, 0.6961, 0.8848, 0.7157, 0.7794, 0.5294, 0.5625, 0.6225, 0.5392, 0.7157, 0.799, 0.7181, 0.7794, 0.7868, 0.7328, 0.9583, 0.8235, 0.6005, 0.4951, 0.402, 0.3775, 0.4926, 0.5294, 0.3873, 0.2059, 0.2892, 0.2451, 0.3529, 0.2574, 0.2966, 0.3162, -0.1569, 0.0, -0.0319, -0.0319, -0.0319, -0.0123, 0.0, 0.1127, 0.152, 0.1544, 0.098, 0.1127, 0.277, 0.299, 0.2672, 0.277, 0.2868, 0.348, 0.3211, 0.3015, 0.375, 0.4657, 0.3701, 0.674, 0.6716, 0.6495, 0.6618, 0.8333, 0.8039, 0.8039, 0.8603, 0.7819, 0.7255, 0.674, 1.4853, 1.5123, 2.2475, 2.1299, 2.3971, 2.1912, 2.0588, 1.9534, 2.0662, 1.7402, 1.8309, 1.6936, 1.6005, 1.6005, 1.5319, 1.4191, 1.5294, 1.4069, 1.5882, 1.5441, 1.4681, 1.3922, 1.5882, 1.5613, 1.5613, 1.3676, 1.2598, 1.3309, 1.2868, 1.25, 1.3333, 1.4436, 1.4657, 1.674, 1.924, 1.7181, 1.6838, 1.6789, 1.7451, 1.6348, 1.5931, 1.4804, 1.4583, 2.2206, 2.0686, 2.4191, 2.6495, 2.625, 2.4902, 2.4804, 2.4387, 2.6691, 2.6275, 2.5662, 2.4534, 3.0049, 2.7598, 2.8529, 2.8652, 2.9338, 2.9093, 3.0368, 3.0931, 3.0686, 2.9167, 2.9167, 2.7402, 2.5245, 2.5123, 2.4044, 2.4093, 2.7255, 3.1618, 3.2108, 3.5784, 3.7426, 3.7696, 3.8603, 3.8799, 4.0196, 4.9926, 5.0466, 4.7475, 4.5368, 4.3211, 4.4289, 4.6225, 5.1275, 5.4877, 5.5025, 5.7917, 5.6912, 5.848, 6.1789]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910374310172361168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-10T16:48:23+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gold runs first as we enter the crux of the crisis and the money printers get plugged in", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Gold leads the current cycle higher first; Bitcoin follows and outperforms — both bullish on money-printing/crisis thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick and friendly reminder:\n\nIn prior cycles, gold runs first as we enter the crux of the crisis and the money printers get plugged in.\n\nThen, Bitcoin runs later and harder.\n\nThis is the pattern.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.031281678720620154, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031281678720620154, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0771087267621754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0771087267621754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02123478734687345, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02123478734687345, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0033918935857568666, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0033918935857568666, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "ret_p1w": 0.048649848623060654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.048649848623060654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.045161548557282716, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045161548557282716, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "ret_p1m": 0.05711205437390632, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05711205437390632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01868192767429755, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01868192767429755, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "ret_p3m": 0.04811107098671985, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04811107098671985, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13793089126318359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13793089126318359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "ret_p6m": 0.2299696085462839, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2299696085462839, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05305535465636857, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05305535465636857, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "bench_c_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "ret_p1y": 0.43445742584998315, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.43445742584998315, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.21593103057420215, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21593103057420215, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "bench_c_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05711205437390632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01868192767429755, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01868192767429755, "price_path": [-0.1527, -0.1514, -0.1403, -0.1296, -0.1302, -0.1302, -0.1268, -0.1228, -0.1243, -0.1198, -0.1324, -0.1231, -0.1224, -0.1053, -0.1086, -0.1018, -0.0957, -0.0899, -0.0948, -0.0912, -0.0764, -0.0769, -0.078, -0.0727, -0.0861, -0.0861, -0.0709, -0.0747, -0.0682, -0.069, -0.0657, -0.0795, -0.0756, -0.0862, -0.1009, -0.084, -0.0778, -0.076, -0.0756, -0.0794, -0.0837, -0.0768, -0.0685, -0.0542, -0.0509, -0.0492, -0.0381, -0.0378, -0.0365, -0.0434, -0.045, -0.0417, -0.0426, -0.0301, -0.0218, -0.0103, -0.0115, -0.0048, -0.0184, -0.0454, -0.0646, -0.0592, -0.0313, 0.0, 0.0212, 0.0157, 0.0201, 0.0543, 0.0486, 0.0486, 0.0796, 0.0778, 0.0384, 0.056, 0.0403, 0.0562, 0.0519, 0.0475, 0.0174, 0.0243, 0.0495, 0.0812, 0.0717, 0.0448, 0.0571, 0.0205, 0.027, 0.0083, 0.0208, 0.0085, 0.0234, 0.0396, 0.0488, 0.0435, 0.066, 0.066, 0.0456, 0.0439, 0.0513, 0.0424, 0.0683, 0.0618, 0.0692, 0.062, 0.0531, 0.0561, 0.0525, 0.0526, 0.0715, 0.0875, 0.0764, 0.0733, 0.0744, 0.0744, 0.0675, 0.0705, 0.0514, 0.0545, 0.0565, 0.0376, 0.0441, 0.0575, 0.0611, 0.0559, 0.0562, 0.0561, 0.0481, 0.0496, 0.0514, 0.0636, 0.0622, 0.0553, 0.0625, 0.0586, 0.0627, 0.0782, 0.09, 0.0757, 0.0684, 0.0567, 0.0488, 0.0533, 0.0446, 0.0437, 0.061, 0.0695, 0.0718, 0.0712, 0.0777, 0.09, 0.0627, 0.0614, 0.0645, 0.057, 0.0573, 0.0559, 0.0501, 0.0596, 0.0576, 0.0695, 0.0693, 0.074, 0.079, 0.0877, 0.1009, 0.1009, 0.1249, 0.1388, 0.1301, 0.1452, 0.153, 0.1547, 0.1548, 0.1527, 0.1566, 0.167, 0.1691, 0.1669, 0.1548, 0.1636, 0.1856, 0.1982, 0.1828, 0.1844, 0.1965, 0.211, 0.2173, 0.2258, 0.2169, 0.23]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910374310172361168", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-10T16:48:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin runs later and harder", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Gold leads the current cycle higher first; Bitcoin follows and outperforms — both bullish on money-printing/crisis thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick and friendly reminder:\n\nIn prior cycles, gold runs first as we enter the crux of the crisis and the money printers get plugged in.\n\nThen, Bitcoin runs later and harder.\n\nThis is the pattern.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03702066277308047, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03702066277308047, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00880638526847477, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00880638526847477, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04745546227457886, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04745546227457886, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02961256851346228, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02961256851346228, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "ret_p1w": 0.06617938950246582, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06617938950246582, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06269108943668789, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06269108943668789, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "ret_p1m": 0.2931789831111131, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2931789831111131, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21738500106290926, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21738500106290926, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "ret_p3m": 0.36827268761652365, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36827268761652365, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18223072536662022, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18223072536662022, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "ret_p6m": 0.5355074387670664, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5355074387670664, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25248247556441394, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25248247556441394, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "bench_c_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "ret_p1y": -0.1624428260741163, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1624428260741163, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3809692213498973, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3809692213498973, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "bench_c_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2931789831111131, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21738500106290926, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21738500106290926, "price_path": [0.187, 0.2123, 0.2622, 0.2528, 0.3119, 0.2812, 0.3331, 0.3017, 0.3056, 0.3164, 0.2821, 0.2726, 0.3024, 0.3153, 0.2861, 0.2735, 0.2291, 0.2134, 0.2131, 0.2123, 0.2237, 0.2025, 0.2293, 0.2135, 0.2246, 0.2028, 0.1999, 0.2136, 0.2349, 0.2072, 0.1481, 0.1144, 0.0593, 0.0638, 0.0596, 0.0809, 0.0954, 0.1381, 0.1298, 0.0894, -0.0137, 0.0406, 0.0514, 0.0181, 0.0545, 0.0559, 0.0388, 0.0908, 0.057, 0.0555, 0.0989, 0.0985, 0.0914, 0.0948, 0.0594, 0.0367, 0.0696, 0.0359, 0.0437, 0.053, -0.0049, -0.0421, 0.037, 0.0, 0.0475, 0.0617, 0.0508, 0.0554, 0.0662, 0.0606, 0.0991, 0.1735, 0.1767, 0.1798, 0.1896, 0.1928, 0.1841, 0.1831, 0.2118, 0.2171, 0.1899, 0.2157, 0.2186, 0.2966, 0.2932, 0.2912, 0.3082, 0.3003, 0.3029, 0.2997, 0.3263, 0.3412, 0.3774, 0.4025, 0.3474, 0.3744, 0.3688, 0.3539, 0.3267, 0.3061, 0.3297, 0.3241, 0.3153, 0.2757, 0.311, 0.3851, 0.3847, 0.365, 0.3303, 0.3324, 0.3412, 0.3137, 0.3172, 0.3147, 0.2974, 0.3259, 0.3318, 0.3483, 0.3433, 0.3449, 0.3455, 0.3274, 0.3671, 0.377, 0.3568, 0.3601, 0.3683, 0.3981, 0.4566, 0.4759, 0.5052, 0.4791, 0.4912, 0.4981, 0.482, 0.4749, 0.507, 0.4914, 0.4865, 0.4774, 0.481, 0.4809, 0.4798, 0.4538, 0.4232, 0.4452, 0.4335, 0.4446, 0.4756, 0.4655, 0.4911, 0.5092, 0.549, 0.4864, 0.4744, 0.46, 0.417, 0.4351, 0.4118, 0.4678, 0.383, 0.4041, 0.3968, 0.4134, 0.3615, 0.372, 0.3965, 0.4031, 0.3905, 0.3896, 0.4075, 0.4007, 0.4311, 0.4506, 0.4581, 0.4498, 0.4674, 0.4627, 0.4711, 0.4529, 0.416, 0.4068, 0.4233, 0.3695, 0.3778, 0.4367, 0.4324, 0.4901, 0.5156, 0.5355]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1916139173469425781", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-26T14:35:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy Bitcoin every week or every month for 10 years straight. All these other approaches will make you relatively poor.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly advocates consistent long-term BTC accumulation; dismisses technical/timing approaches as wealth-destroying.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TonyTheBullCMT NO. This is all just noise. Buy Bitcoin every week or every month for 10 years straight. All these other approaches will make you relatively poor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Let’s say Bitcoin revisits $108K. How do you avoid getting caught in a 2021-style double top?\n\nOnly buy a close above the upper Bollinger Band. Failing to close above the upper Bollinger Band is non-confirmation\n\nI’m not reentering BTC until this occurs — I already made my money https://t.co/HHZ0A5DHKD", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TonySeverinoCMT", "ret_m1d": -0.0027190292565442142, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0027190292565442142, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0023377895319267594, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0023377895319267594, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003812397246174548, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003812397246174548, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007306486319308303, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007306486319308303, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01360564972676681, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01360564972676681, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006299163407458508, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006299163407458508, "ret_p1w": -0.00242891502046505, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00242891502046505, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025411389453920075, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025411389453920075, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022982474433455025, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022982474433455025, "ret_p1m": 0.14756869957753715, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14756869957753715, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07440909979722465, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07440909979722465, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0731595997803125, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0731595997803125, "ret_p3m": 0.24625771554163434, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24625771554163434, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09114213687074413, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09114213687074413, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1551155786708902, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1551155786708902, "ret_p6m": 0.14211748022584003, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14211748022584003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08351744740041056, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08351744740041056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2256349276262506, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2256349276262506, "ret_p1y": -0.21240195175236565, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21240195175236565, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.49762241235916704, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.49762241235916704, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2852204606068014, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2852204606068014, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21240195175236565, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.49762241235916704, "alpha_c_stated": -0.49762241235916704, "price_path": [0.0919, 0.1027, 0.0782, 0.0677, 0.0305, 0.0172, 0.017, 0.0163, 0.0259, 0.0081, 0.0306, 0.0173, 0.0266, 0.0084, 0.0059, 0.0174, 0.0353, 0.0121, -0.0375, -0.0657, -0.1119, -0.1082, -0.1117, -0.0938, -0.0817, -0.0459, -0.0528, -0.0867, -0.1732, -0.1276, -0.1185, -0.1465, -0.1159, -0.1148, -0.1291, -0.0855, -0.1138, -0.1151, -0.0788, -0.079, -0.085, -0.0821, -0.1119, -0.1309, -0.1033, -0.1315, -0.125, -0.1172, -0.1658, -0.197, -0.1306, -0.1616, -0.1219, -0.1099, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1062, -0.1108, -0.0785, -0.0162, -0.0135, -0.0109, -0.0027, 0.0, -0.0073, -0.0081, 0.0159, 0.0203, -0.0024, 0.0192, 0.0216, 0.087, 0.0841, 0.0825, 0.0968, 0.0901, 0.0923, 0.0896, 0.1119, 0.1244, 0.1548, 0.1758, 0.1296, 0.1523, 0.1476, 0.135, 0.1123, 0.095, 0.1148, 0.1101, 0.1027, 0.0695, 0.0991, 0.1613, 0.1609, 0.1443, 0.1153, 0.117, 0.1244, 0.1013, 0.1043, 0.1022, 0.0877, 0.1116, 0.1165, 0.1304, 0.1261, 0.1275, 0.128, 0.1129, 0.1461, 0.1544, 0.1375, 0.1403, 0.1471, 0.1721, 0.2212, 0.2373, 0.2619, 0.24, 0.2502, 0.256, 0.2424, 0.2365, 0.2634, 0.2503, 0.2463, 0.2385, 0.2416, 0.2416, 0.2406, 0.2188, 0.1931, 0.2116, 0.2018, 0.2111, 0.2371, 0.2286, 0.2501, 0.2653, 0.2986, 0.2462, 0.236, 0.224, 0.188, 0.2032, 0.1836, 0.2305, 0.1595, 0.1771, 0.171, 0.1849, 0.1414, 0.1503, 0.1708, 0.1763, 0.1658, 0.165, 0.18, 0.1743, 0.1998, 0.2161, 0.2224, 0.2155, 0.2302, 0.2263, 0.2333, 0.218, 0.1871, 0.1794, 0.1932, 0.1481, 0.1551, 0.2045, 0.2009, 0.2492, 0.2706, 0.2873, 0.3135, 0.2787, 0.2988, 0.2814, 0.192, 0.2137, 0.191, 0.1664, 0.1391, 0.121, 0.1644, 0.1421]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1910399709732364393", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-10T18:29:18+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you sold too much, just buy it back. You won't be able to talk it down too much further.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Advises buying back SPY; sellers exhausted and downside limited from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BobLoukas If you sold too much, just buy it back. You won’t be able to talk it down too much further.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Markets forced their hand and sellers likely exhausted, mid cycle bounce for a few weeks.  $SPY.  But intermediate trend is established now. https://t.co/tUe9Or2Ivx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BobLoukas", "ret_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "ret_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "ret_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "ret_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "ret_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "bench_c_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "ret_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "bench_c_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07579398204820387, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [0.105, 0.1065, 0.1266, 0.1245, 0.1357, 0.1357, 0.1461, 0.1526, 0.1589, 0.1555, 0.1391, 0.1489, 0.1438, 0.1499, 0.1438, 0.1361, 0.1437, 0.1484, 0.1524, 0.1418, 0.1496, 0.1504, 0.1467, 0.1588, 0.1588, 0.1588, 0.1622, 0.1649, 0.1601, 0.1402, 0.135, 0.1294, 0.13, 0.1119, 0.1293, 0.1095, 0.0964, 0.1081, 0.0885, 0.0946, 0.0654, 0.0566, 0.0622, 0.048, 0.0697, 0.0779, 0.0663, 0.0779, 0.0748, 0.0751, 0.0944, 0.097, 0.0839, 0.081, 0.0592, 0.0664, 0.0694, 0.0761, 0.0231, -0.0368, -0.0385, -0.0536, 0.0458, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0277, 0.0248, 0.0021, 0.0035, 0.0035, -0.0204, 0.0051, 0.0207, 0.0421, 0.0497, 0.0501, 0.0567, 0.0571, 0.0646, 0.0804, 0.0742, 0.0652, 0.0697, 0.0772, 0.0758, 0.1113, 0.1187, 0.1201, 0.1256, 0.1327, 0.134, 0.1301, 0.1111, 0.1115, 0.1039, 0.1039, 0.1269, 0.1204, 0.1248, 0.1235, 0.1299, 0.1363, 0.136, 0.1305, 0.1421, 0.1432, 0.1496, 0.1464, 0.1509, 0.1381, 0.1489, 0.1391, 0.1389, 0.1389, 0.1362, 0.1474, 0.1601, 0.1608, 0.1698, 0.1757, 0.1813, 0.1809, 0.1863, 0.1956, 0.1956, 0.1867, 0.186, 0.1932, 0.1965, 0.1923, 0.1946, 0.1895, 0.1935, 0.2008, 0.1999, 0.2022, 0.2023, 0.2126, 0.213, 0.2181, 0.2178, 0.2146, 0.213, 0.2085, 0.1887, 0.2067, 0.2006, 0.2098, 0.2088, 0.2182, 0.2158, 0.2288, 0.233, 0.2331, 0.2302, 0.2299, 0.2233, 0.22, 0.2151, 0.2338, 0.2284, 0.2335, 0.2363, 0.2407, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.2241, 0.2308, 0.2411, 0.2375, 0.2405, 0.2434, 0.247, 0.2573, 0.2569, 0.2636, 0.2619, 0.2603, 0.2662, 0.2725, 0.2785, 0.2715, 0.2675, 0.2616, 0.2689, 0.2724, 0.2772, 0.2816, 0.283, 0.283]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1934374803613655159", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-15T22:17:46+00:00", "symbol": "AI compute", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every company controlling high quality compute will re-rate massively", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on all high-quality compute operators; endorses thesis that US AI/Bitcoin compute demand will drive massive re-rating across the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA", "AMD", "AVGO", "SMCI", "ALAB"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US AI compute hardware basket", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You have been warned and warned repeatedly and aggressively for several years now.\n\nIf you still don’t get what is about to happen, you will have no one else to blame but yourself.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "EVERY single spare or idle megawatt in the United States will be used for AI and Bitcoin compute over the next 5 years and we're still short 50 GW (GIGAWATTS!!). Coreweave's 3x in 1 month is just the appetizer. Every company controlling high quality compute will re-rate massively", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05040654782077292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05040654782077292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0409818729207595, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0261449104836613, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02426163733711162, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010891394123346387, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010891394123346387, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002346222724915248, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004095104402628502, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006796289720717885, "ret_p1w": -0.03199156277067422, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03199156277067422, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030737417889622864, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02644822745950165, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00554333531117257, "ret_p1m": 0.13358609922936707, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13358609922936707, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0982452371926982, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02947802435662386, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1041080748727432, "ret_p3m": 0.5278427766951002, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5278427766951002, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.43344095409765226, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.37388280730996026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1539599693851399, "ret_p6m": 0.4816004192599986, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4816004192599986, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.34176080027685424, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08058294589254406, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4010174733674545, "ret_p1y": 1.7772118800248415, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.7772118800248415, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.511388827420591, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.34769980580995763, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 1.429512074214884, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 1.7772118800248415, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.511388827420591, "alpha_c_stated": 0.34769980580995763, "price_path": [-0.1863, -0.1945, -0.1717, -0.1529, -0.1643, -0.2167, -0.2551, -0.2726, -0.2783, -0.2664, -0.2568, -0.3307, -0.3758, -0.3482, -0.3682, -0.246, -0.3066, -0.2874, -0.2908, -0.2849, -0.3155, -0.3224, -0.3224, -0.3543, -0.3411, -0.2997, -0.2523, -0.236, -0.2319, -0.2422, -0.2629, -0.2443, -0.2228, -0.2286, -0.2308, -0.226, -0.2211, -0.2203, -0.164, -0.0943, -0.0416, -0.0485, -0.0399, -0.0512, -0.0532, -0.0704, -0.0686, -0.0774, -0.0774, -0.046, -0.0462, -0.0476, -0.0739, -0.0471, -0.0167, -0.0042, -0.0421, -0.0495, -0.028, -0.0282, -0.0143, -0.0161, -0.0504, 0.0, -0.0109, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0056, -0.032, 0.01, 0.0485, 0.0917, 0.0632, 0.0723, 0.035, 0.0535, 0.0624, 0.0624, 0.0438, 0.0659, 0.0982, 0.1016, 0.0957, 0.0847, 0.1336, 0.1415, 0.1608, 0.1563, 0.2115, 0.175, 0.2051, 0.2274, 0.25, 0.3051, 0.2927, 0.3413, 0.3368, 0.2945, 0.3406, 0.3192, 0.3477, 0.3583, 0.3704, 0.3722, 0.4264, 0.4436, 0.4278, 0.4028, 0.4038, 0.3187, 0.3124, 0.3195, 0.345, 0.3246, 0.348, 0.3553, 0.388, 0.333, 0.333, 0.308, 0.314, 0.3502, 0.3646, 0.4391, 0.4511, 0.5385, 0.5278, 0.5309, 0.5471, 0.5586, 0.57, 0.5793, 0.5596, 0.5441, 0.5283, 0.4589, 0.4446, 0.4295, 0.4325, 0.4365, 0.4664, 0.5227, 0.4866, 0.6288, 0.6249, 0.7212, 0.7273, 0.5917, 0.62, 0.5017, 0.554, 0.5537, 0.5266, 0.5486, 0.5389, 0.5009, 0.5111, 0.562, 0.6159, 0.6227, 0.6641, 0.6119, 0.6617, 0.6675, 0.5866, 0.5822, 0.4822, 0.4715, 0.5252, 0.4819, 0.4966, 0.4088, 0.4162, 0.383, 0.3603, 0.3606, 0.2988, 0.298, 0.38, 0.3568, 0.4121, 0.4121, 0.4386, 0.4436, 0.369, 0.4022, 0.4026, 0.4412, 0.5001, 0.4816]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931390326700425422", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-07T16:38:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Study Bitcoin.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish real estate (overvalued, late cycle); bullish Bitcoin as the better alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cashrulesNC Why?\n\nTerrible time to be stacking houses. They are overvalued shitcans. You are late. This was a good business to get in to 20 or 30 years ago when there were few other options.\n\nStudy Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bought house #3 today😁 https://t.co/dzESEa7zi3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cashrulesNC", "ret_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "price_path": [-0.2409, -0.265, -0.2387, -0.2377, -0.25, -0.2125, -0.2369, -0.238, -0.2067, -0.2069, -0.2121, -0.2096, -0.2352, -0.2516, -0.2278, -0.2521, -0.2465, -0.2398, -0.2816, -0.3085, -0.2513, -0.2781, -0.2438, -0.2335, -0.2414, -0.2381, -0.2303, -0.2343, -0.2065, -0.1528, -0.1505, -0.1482, -0.1412, -0.1389, -0.1452, -0.1459, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.141, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0678, -0.0555, -0.0612, -0.0594, -0.0617, -0.0425, -0.0318, -0.0056, 0.0125, -0.0273, -0.0077, -0.0118, -0.0226, -0.0422, -0.0571, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.079, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0381, -0.0317, -0.0516, -0.0491, -0.0509, -0.0633, -0.0428, -0.0385, -0.0266, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0286, -0.0417, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0205, -0.0181, -0.0122, 0.0094, 0.0516, 0.0655, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0766, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0648, 0.088, 0.0767, 0.0732, 0.0666, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0683, 0.0495, 0.0274, 0.0433, 0.0349, 0.0429, 0.0653, 0.058, 0.0765, 0.0896, 0.1183, 0.0731, 0.0644, 0.054, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0193, 0.0597, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0084, 0.0204, -0.0171, -0.0095, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0161, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0594, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0156, 0.0275, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0372, 0.0341, 0.0758, 0.0942, 0.1086, 0.1311, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1035, 0.0265, 0.0451, 0.0256, 0.0044, -0.0191, -0.0347, 0.0027, -0.0165, -0.0236, -0.002, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0241, -0.0022, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.034, -0.0789, -0.058, -0.0815, -0.0628, -0.039, -0.0662, -0.0783, -0.0961, -0.1441, -0.165, -0.1573, -0.1707, -0.2145, -0.2285, -0.1997, -0.2081, -0.1793, -0.1723, -0.1757, -0.2174, -0.1718]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1908213562579026376", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-04T17:42:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "people are voting with their feet. They are moving to Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: surging hashrate and collapse of fiat-political order driving capital into Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin's global hashrate is exploding to the upside. The fiat-political global superstructure is collapsing before our eyes and people are voting with their feet. They are moving to Bitcoin. Stop asking why Bitcoin is stronger than other assets. Study. Learn. Win. Godspeed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00883758275595603, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00883758275595603, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.071020854810535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.071020854810535, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.062183272054578964, "bench_c_m1d": 0.062183272054578964, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05496492874072856, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05496492874072856, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05318374028833217, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05318374028833217, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017811884523963872, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017811884523963872, "ret_p1w": -0.005235553797160231, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005235553797160231, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061956686089631674, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.061956686089631674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672113229247144, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05672113229247144, "ret_p1m": 0.13005433186914628, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13005433186914628, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014811341003724054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014811341003724054, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524299086542222, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11524299086542222, "ret_p3m": 0.29835854561034103, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29835854561034103, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06679528846208371, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06679528846208371, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.23156325714825732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.23156325714825732, "ret_p6m": 0.36444646374159095, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36444646374159095, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.043421512955174935, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.043421512955174935, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.321024950786416, "bench_c_p6m": 0.321024950786416, "ret_p1y": -0.15893774575435893, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.15893774575435893, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4664657934090203, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4664657934090203, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30752804765466135, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30752804765466135, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13005433186914628, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014811341003724054, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014811341003724054, "price_path": [0.156, 0.1336, 0.1031, 0.1295, 0.1273, 0.1514, 0.1987, 0.1898, 0.2459, 0.2167, 0.266, 0.2363, 0.2399, 0.2502, 0.2176, 0.2086, 0.2369, 0.2492, 0.2214, 0.2095, 0.1673, 0.1523, 0.1521, 0.1513, 0.1621, 0.142, 0.1675, 0.1524, 0.163, 0.1423, 0.1395, 0.1526, 0.1728, 0.1465, 0.0903, 0.0584, 0.006, 0.0103, 0.0063, 0.0265, 0.0403, 0.0809, 0.073, 0.0346, -0.0634, -0.0117, -0.0014, -0.0331, 0.0015, 0.0028, -0.0134, 0.0359, 0.0039, 0.0024, 0.0436, 0.0433, 0.0365, 0.0398, 0.0061, -0.0154, 0.0158, -0.0162, -0.0088, 0.0, -0.055, -0.0903, -0.0151, -0.0503, -0.0052, 0.0083, -0.0021, 0.0023, 0.0125, 0.0072, 0.0438, 0.1145, 0.1175, 0.1205, 0.1297, 0.1328, 0.1245, 0.1236, 0.1509, 0.1558, 0.1301, 0.1546, 0.1573, 0.2314, 0.2281, 0.2262, 0.2424, 0.2349, 0.2374, 0.2343, 0.2596, 0.2737, 0.3081, 0.3319, 0.2796, 0.3053, 0.3, 0.2858, 0.26, 0.2404, 0.2628, 0.2575, 0.2491, 0.2115, 0.2451, 0.3155, 0.315, 0.2963, 0.2634, 0.2653, 0.2738, 0.2476, 0.2509, 0.2486, 0.2322, 0.2592, 0.2648, 0.2805, 0.2757, 0.2772, 0.2778, 0.2607, 0.2984, 0.3078, 0.2885, 0.2917, 0.2994, 0.3278, 0.3834, 0.4016, 0.4294, 0.4047, 0.4162, 0.4228, 0.4074, 0.4007, 0.4312, 0.4164, 0.4118, 0.403, 0.4065, 0.4065, 0.4054, 0.3806, 0.3516, 0.3725, 0.3614, 0.3719, 0.4014, 0.3917, 0.4161, 0.4333, 0.4711, 0.4117, 0.4002, 0.3865, 0.3457, 0.3629, 0.3408, 0.394, 0.3134, 0.3335, 0.3265, 0.3423, 0.293, 0.303, 0.3263, 0.3325, 0.3206, 0.3197, 0.3367, 0.3302, 0.3591, 0.3777, 0.3847, 0.3769, 0.3936, 0.3891, 0.3971, 0.3798, 0.3447, 0.336, 0.3517, 0.3006, 0.3085, 0.3644]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924207860185223546", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T20:57:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "anyone who says that BTC can be successful and these companies will skyrocket without miner participation doesn't understand the basic of how the Bitcoin network and protocol functions", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses BTC supercycle thesis; miners essential to BTC success, implying continued BTC appreciation.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kevinlhr88 Exactly. And anyone who says that BTC can be successful and these companies will skyrocket without miner participation doesn’t understand the basic of how the Bitcoin network and protocol functions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I just had an epiphany—we’re still so early in this $BTC supercycle. If $MSTR taps into just 1% of fixed income, that’s $1 trillion potentially flowing into Bitcoin. You’ve got $MTPLF and $CEP potentially stacking over 300,000 BTC in the coming years. Firms like $ASST and $KDLY", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kevinlhr88", "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1920825155611177144", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-09T12:56:18+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are at worst early/mid cycle. I was not bullish enough and I am deeply sorry", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Upgrades Bitcoin cycle view to early/mid at worst; massive ETF, corporate, wealth, and sovereign inflows signal more upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Two months ago, I said the bull cycle was in the middle stages, but I was wrong. Bitcoin is seeing massive inflows via ETFs, corporates, wealth management, and sovereigns. We are at worst early/mid cycle. I was not bullish enough and I am deeply sorry. Let’s move forward together", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "ret_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "ret_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "ret_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "ret_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "ret_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "price_path": [-0.0702, -0.0494, -0.0616, -0.053, -0.0699, -0.0722, -0.0615, -0.045, -0.0665, -0.1122, -0.1382, -0.1809, -0.1774, -0.1806, -0.1642, -0.1529, -0.1199, -0.1263, -0.1576, -0.2373, -0.1953, -0.1869, -0.2127, -0.1845, -0.1835, -0.1967, -0.1565, -0.1826, -0.1838, -0.1503, -0.1505, -0.1561, -0.1534, -0.1808, -0.1983, -0.1729, -0.1989, -0.1929, -0.1858, -0.2305, -0.2593, -0.1981, -0.2267, -0.19, -0.179, -0.1874, -0.1839, -0.1755, -0.1799, -0.1501, -0.0925, -0.09, -0.0877, -0.0801, -0.0776, -0.0844, -0.0851, -0.0629, -0.0589, -0.0799, -0.0599, -0.0577, 0.0026, 0.0, -0.0015, 0.0116, 0.0055, 0.0075, 0.005, 0.0256, 0.0371, 0.0651, 0.0845, 0.0419, 0.0628, 0.0585, 0.0469, 0.0259, 0.01, 0.0283, 0.0239, 0.0171, -0.0135, 0.0138, 0.0711, 0.0708, 0.0555, 0.0287, 0.0303, 0.0372, 0.0158, 0.0186, 0.0166, 0.0033, 0.0253, 0.0299, 0.0426, 0.0387, 0.04, 0.0404, 0.0265, 0.0572, 0.0648, 0.0492, 0.0518, 0.0581, 0.0811, 0.1264, 0.1413, 0.1639, 0.1438, 0.1531, 0.1585, 0.146, 0.1405, 0.1653, 0.1533, 0.1495, 0.1424, 0.1452, 0.1452, 0.1443, 0.1242, 0.1005, 0.1175, 0.1085, 0.1171, 0.1411, 0.1332, 0.1531, 0.1671, 0.1979, 0.1494, 0.1401, 0.129, 0.0958, 0.1098, 0.0918, 0.135, 0.0695, 0.0858, 0.0801, 0.093, 0.0528, 0.061, 0.0799, 0.085, 0.0753, 0.0746, 0.0884, 0.0831, 0.1067, 0.1217, 0.1275, 0.1211, 0.1347, 0.1311, 0.1376, 0.1235, 0.095, 0.0878, 0.1006, 0.059, 0.0655, 0.111, 0.1077, 0.1523, 0.172, 0.1874, 0.2115, 0.1795, 0.198, 0.1819, 0.0995, 0.1195, 0.0986, 0.0759, 0.0506, 0.034, 0.074, 0.0535, 0.0458, 0.0689, 0.0783, 0.1083, 0.097, 0.0688, 0.0518, 0.064, 0.0347]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1929651004888465627", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-02T21:27:05+00:00", "symbol": "AutoNation", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Autonation could be on a similar trajectory in terms of buybacks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AutoNation: buyback program could replicate NVR's long-run compounding trajectory.", "resolved_tickers": ["AN"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "AutoNation NYSE ticker AN", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto & Truck Dealerships'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto & Truck Dealerships", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JeffWeniger Autonation could be on a similar trajectory in terms of buybacks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$1 invested in the homebuilder NVR in 1993 has grown to $729.85, an annual return >23%. Since commencing a buyback program in 1994, management has reduced shares outstanding by 83.7%. This is one of the poster children for share buybacks as an investment strategy. https://t.co/Knd6ylRp6k", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JeffWeniger", "ret_m1d": -0.019315862208867385, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019315862208867385, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013645535874889592, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014024419422534407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005670326333977793, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005291442786332978, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011168620407523422, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011168620407523422, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01090010797574048, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008522863250249202, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00026851243178294126, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00264575715727422, "ret_p1w": 0.041976901548617995, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041976901548617995, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03025040503050569, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0373816428822058, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011726496518112306, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004595258666412194, "ret_p1m": 0.1437898439724159, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1437898439724159, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09984632046423547, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12040612592576849, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043943523508180427, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023383718046647406, "ret_p3m": 0.18204384460898093, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18204384460898093, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09670953469060306, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10409768861753088, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08533430991837787, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07794615599145005, "ret_p6m": 0.1362361093067419, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1362361093067419, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010535838599354364, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.041197857090100376, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14677194790609627, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09503825221664153, "ret_p1y": 0.005881063771596695, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.005881063771596695, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.25438868012091365, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10475935194466857, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26026974389251034, "bench_c_p1y": 0.11064041571626526, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.005881063771596695, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.25438868012091365, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10475935194466857, "price_path": [-0.0729, -0.077, -0.1102, -0.11, -0.1077, -0.1547, -0.1356, -0.1141, -0.1189, -0.103, -0.106, -0.1, -0.0547, -0.0449, -0.0789, -0.1191, -0.1417, -0.1264, -0.1145, -0.0966, -0.1401, -0.1445, -0.1475, -0.1599, -0.0649, -0.1027, -0.0945, -0.1084, -0.1157, -0.1254, -0.1055, -0.1055, -0.1178, -0.0879, -0.0887, -0.0646, -0.0553, -0.0735, -0.0595, -0.0604, -0.0557, -0.0463, -0.0513, -0.0478, -0.0527, -0.0308, -0.0305, 0.0179, 0.0293, 0.0248, 0.0289, 0.0257, 0.0165, 0.0106, -0.0186, -0.0256, -0.0169, -0.0169, 0.0006, -0.0136, -0.0148, -0.008, -0.0193, 0.0, -0.0112, 0.0028, 0.0094, 0.0211, 0.042, 0.0482, 0.0357, 0.0231, 0.0415, 0.0277, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0606, 0.0695, 0.0847, 0.0787, 0.0793, 0.0734, 0.0718, 0.1007, 0.1438, 0.1465, 0.1465, 0.1402, 0.1354, 0.1507, 0.1591, 0.1485, 0.1565, 0.1078, 0.1028, 0.0597, 0.0616, 0.0731, 0.0894, 0.1043, 0.0804, 0.0966, 0.0589, 0.0426, 0.0374, 0.0394, 0.0283, 0.0212, 0.0548, 0.0549, 0.0489, 0.0588, 0.0717, 0.1081, 0.14, 0.1223, 0.1124, 0.1178, 0.1384, 0.1309, 0.1347, 0.1805, 0.1822, 0.192, 0.1982, 0.1996, 0.182, 0.182, 0.1878, 0.1886, 0.2175, 0.2238, 0.2257, 0.2139, 0.2045, 0.2248, 0.1977, 0.1877, 0.1865, 0.1897, 0.1929, 0.1752, 0.1834, 0.1892, 0.1899, 0.1656, 0.1744, 0.1731, 0.1804, 0.2062, 0.2082, 0.2106, 0.1843, 0.161, 0.1669, 0.1773, 0.1497, 0.1646, 0.1923, 0.1688, 0.1527, 0.1585, 0.1688, 0.18, 0.1678, 0.1259, 0.0802, 0.0526, 0.0642, 0.0601, 0.056, 0.0784, 0.0699, 0.0485, 0.0442, 0.0295, 0.046, 0.0411, 0.0346, 0.0453, 0.0619, 0.0608, 0.0424, 0.0679, 0.077, 0.0698, 0.1167, 0.1271, 0.1616, 0.1362]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1933495118054445408", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-13T12:02:13+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't want to hear any whining when it trades for $1.39M", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin will reach $1.39M; buy now or regret missing it.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you didn’t buy Bitcoin for $103,900, I don’t want to hear any whining when it trades for $1.39M.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001526181393267767, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001526181393267767, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012832752999774821, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012832752999774821, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011306571606507054, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011306571606507054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006652678081987995, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006652678081987995, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002861666421861031, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002861666421861031, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "ret_p1w": -0.026216813931204674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026216813931204674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024603633291570226, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024603633291570226, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "ret_p1m": 0.1296880831338436, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1296880831338436, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0800111391449061, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0800111391449061, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049676943988937516, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049676943988937516, "ret_p3m": 0.07412874741046238, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07412874741046238, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.021580036575837624, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.021580036575837624, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "ret_p6m": -0.14563695484211514, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14563695484211514, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2973153314101066, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2973153314101066, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15167837656799144, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15167837656799144, "ret_p1y": -0.3712598062217243, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3712598062217243, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6581567257413241, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6581567257413241, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1296880831338436, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0800111391449061, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0800111391449061, "price_path": [-0.2203, -0.1813, -0.2067, -0.2078, -0.1752, -0.1755, -0.1809, -0.1783, -0.2049, -0.2219, -0.1972, -0.2225, -0.2167, -0.2097, -0.2531, -0.2811, -0.2217, -0.2495, -0.2138, -0.2031, -0.2113, -0.2079, -0.1998, -0.204, -0.1751, -0.1192, -0.1168, -0.1145, -0.1072, -0.1047, -0.1113, -0.112, -0.0905, -0.0865, -0.1069, -0.0876, -0.0854, -0.0269, -0.0294, -0.0309, -0.0181, -0.0241, -0.0221, -0.0245, -0.0046, 0.0066, 0.0338, 0.0526, 0.0113, 0.0316, 0.0274, 0.0161, -0.0042, -0.0197, -0.002, -0.0062, -0.0128, -0.0426, -0.016, 0.0396, 0.0393, 0.0245, -0.0015, 0.0, 0.0067, -0.014, -0.0114, -0.0133, -0.0262, -0.0048, -0.0004, 0.012, 0.0082, 0.0094, 0.0098, -0.0037, 0.0261, 0.0335, 0.0183, 0.0208, 0.027, 0.0493, 0.0933, 0.1077, 0.1297, 0.1102, 0.1192, 0.1244, 0.1123, 0.107, 0.1311, 0.1194, 0.1157, 0.1088, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.1107, 0.0911, 0.0681, 0.0847, 0.0759, 0.0842, 0.1075, 0.0999, 0.1191, 0.1327, 0.1626, 0.1156, 0.1066, 0.0958, 0.0635, 0.0771, 0.0596, 0.1016, 0.038, 0.0538, 0.0484, 0.0608, 0.0219, 0.0298, 0.0482, 0.0531, 0.0437, 0.043, 0.0564, 0.0513, 0.0741, 0.0888, 0.0944, 0.0882, 0.1013, 0.0978, 0.1041, 0.0905, 0.0628, 0.0558, 0.0682, 0.0279, 0.0341, 0.0783, 0.0751, 0.1184, 0.1375, 0.1525, 0.1759, 0.1448, 0.1627, 0.1472, 0.0671, 0.0865, 0.0662, 0.0442, 0.0197, 0.0036, 0.0424, 0.0225, 0.0151, 0.0375, 0.0466, 0.0757, 0.0647, 0.0374, 0.0209, 0.0327, 0.0043, -0.0424, -0.0207, -0.0451, -0.0256, -0.0009, -0.0292, -0.0417, -0.0603, -0.1102, -0.1319, -0.1239, -0.1379, -0.1834, -0.1979, -0.168, -0.1767, -0.1468, -0.1396, -0.143, -0.1863, -0.1389, -0.1184, -0.1315, -0.1574, -0.1456]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1913216119118397477", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-18T13:00:43+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "YOU are not ready for $315,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC with a $315,000 price target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@thescalpingpro Wrong. YOU are not ready for $315,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin - you are not ready for what's coming https://t.co/miKXS1JYll", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thescalpingpro", "ret_m1d": 0.005268692396081631, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005268692396081631, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01911433954061037, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01911433954061037, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03633004533057016, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03633004533057016, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01031234424365124, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01031234424365124, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.12160565373535248, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12160565373535248, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04966256604502428, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04966256604502428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.25050530990536934, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25050530990536934, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09683129403262591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09683129403262591, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.40600800965576944, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40600800965576944, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1802418563525412, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1802418563525412, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.36494943478095565, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36494943478095565, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06887022583459879, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06887022583459879, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.14813478224147325, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14813478224147325, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47871692837104296, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47871692837104296, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.25050530990536934, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09683129403262591, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09683129403262591, "price_path": [0.2569, 0.2274, 0.231, 0.2412, 0.2088, 0.1999, 0.228, 0.2402, 0.2126, 0.2008, 0.1589, 0.144, 0.1438, 0.143, 0.1538, 0.1338, 0.1591, 0.1441, 0.1546, 0.1341, 0.1313, 0.1443, 0.1644, 0.1382, 0.0825, 0.0507, -0.0012, 0.003, -0.0009, 0.0191, 0.0328, 0.0731, 0.0653, 0.0271, -0.0701, -0.0188, -0.0086, -0.0401, -0.0057, -0.0044, -0.0205, 0.0285, -0.0034, -0.0048, 0.0361, 0.0358, 0.029, 0.0323, -0.0012, -0.0225, 0.0085, -0.0233, -0.016, -0.0072, -0.0618, -0.0968, -0.0222, -0.0571, -0.0124, 0.0011, -0.0093, -0.0049, 0.0053, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.1065, 0.1095, 0.1124, 0.1216, 0.1247, 0.1164, 0.1155, 0.1426, 0.1475, 0.1219, 0.1463, 0.149, 0.2225, 0.2193, 0.2174, 0.2335, 0.226, 0.2285, 0.2254, 0.2505, 0.2645, 0.2987, 0.3223, 0.2704, 0.2959, 0.2906, 0.2765, 0.2509, 0.2315, 0.2538, 0.2484, 0.2402, 0.2028, 0.2361, 0.306, 0.3056, 0.287, 0.2543, 0.2562, 0.2646, 0.2386, 0.2419, 0.2396, 0.2233, 0.2502, 0.2557, 0.2713, 0.2665, 0.2681, 0.2686, 0.2516, 0.289, 0.2984, 0.2793, 0.2824, 0.2901, 0.3182, 0.3734, 0.3915, 0.4192, 0.3946, 0.406, 0.4125, 0.3973, 0.3906, 0.4209, 0.4062, 0.4016, 0.393, 0.3964, 0.3963, 0.3953, 0.3707, 0.3418, 0.3626, 0.3516, 0.3621, 0.3913, 0.3817, 0.4059, 0.423, 0.4605, 0.4015, 0.3901, 0.3766, 0.3361, 0.3532, 0.3312, 0.3839, 0.304, 0.3239, 0.317, 0.3327, 0.2837, 0.2937, 0.3167, 0.3229, 0.3111, 0.3102, 0.3271, 0.3207, 0.3494, 0.3677, 0.3748, 0.367, 0.3836, 0.3791, 0.387, 0.3699, 0.3351, 0.3264, 0.3419, 0.2913, 0.2991, 0.3546, 0.3506, 0.4049, 0.429, 0.4478, 0.4772, 0.4381, 0.4607, 0.4411, 0.3406, 0.3649]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924582211896148232", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-19T21:45:30+00:00", "symbol": "Novo Nordisk", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just went long Novo Norodisk on Friday", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed long position in Novo Nordisk taken Friday.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Novo Nordisk US ADR NVO", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Melt_Dem I just went long Novo Norodisk on Friday. Please stab away and stab freely.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "you know how they say “you can just do things”\n\ni’m stabbing people with ozempic pens this summer and no one can stop me", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Melt_Dem", "ret_m1d": -0.017302127038752224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017302127038752224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020675622926569992, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020675622926569992, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003373495887817768, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003373495887817768, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016850879747133396, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016850879747133396, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016850879747133396, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016850879747133396, "ret_p1w": 0.032844622310123084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032844622310123084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035711984194160995, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035711984194160995, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002867361884037911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002867361884037911, "ret_p1m": 0.08519073545195943, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08519073545195943, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07744849296303302, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07744849296303302, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00774224248892641, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00774224248892641, "ret_p3m": -0.231524921940089, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.231524921940089, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3200671568286535, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3200671568286535, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "ret_p6m": -0.25474557582319435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25474557582319435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4140615891701819, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4140615891701819, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15931601334698753, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15931601334698753, "ret_p1y": -0.2959716699754562, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2959716699754562, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5441230750349797, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5441230750349797, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08519073545195943, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07744849296303302, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07744849296303302, "price_path": [0.2084, 0.271, 0.3072, 0.3124, 0.2922, 0.2875, 0.3081, 0.2896, 0.2626, 0.3111, 0.2704, 0.2579, 0.1393, 0.1271, 0.0792, 0.0951, 0.1133, 0.1566, 0.1686, 0.14, 0.137, 0.1091, 0.087, 0.0621, 0.0351, 0.0124, 0.0, 0.0182, -0.0025, 0.0006, -0.0161, -0.0828, -0.0669, -0.0968, -0.0456, -0.1025, -0.0509, -0.0314, -0.0544, -0.078, -0.1484, -0.1484, -0.1447, -0.1216, -0.1012, -0.0817, -0.0897, -0.0818, -0.0446, -0.0257, -0.0381, 0.0151, 0.0135, -0.028, -0.0095, -0.0491, -0.0356, -0.0067, -0.0411, -0.0556, -0.0301, -0.0562, -0.0173, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0004, -0.0125, -0.0125, 0.0328, 0.0059, 0.0185, 0.0484, 0.0679, 0.0397, 0.0563, 0.0652, 0.0943, 0.1065, 0.1632, 0.1544, 0.1884, 0.1705, 0.1293, 0.09, 0.0852, 0.0852, 0.0817, 0.0223, 0.0371, -0.0125, -0.0073, 0.0045, 0.012, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0164, 0.0211, 0.0218, 0.0412, 0.0107, 0.0109, -0.0144, -0.017, -0.0427, -0.057, -0.0481, -0.0208, 0.0268, 0.0371, 0.0513, 0.0117, -0.2091, -0.2664, -0.3098, -0.2934, -0.2843, -0.3076, -0.3346, -0.285, -0.251, -0.2688, -0.2701, -0.2537, -0.2529, -0.2315, -0.203, -0.1877, -0.1948, -0.1778, -0.1551, -0.1646, -0.1794, -0.1631, -0.168, -0.1628, -0.1628, -0.164, -0.1587, -0.1676, -0.1811, -0.1951, -0.1948, -0.1938, -0.1948, -0.1864, -0.1753, -0.1518, -0.137, -0.0829, -0.0896, -0.0998, -0.1171, -0.129, -0.169, -0.1754, -0.177, -0.1772, -0.1226, -0.129, -0.1158, -0.1155, -0.1249, -0.1161, -0.1299, -0.1558, -0.1474, -0.1598, -0.159, -0.1683, -0.1938, -0.1735, -0.1877, -0.2085, -0.2107, -0.2147, -0.2157, -0.2282, -0.2383, -0.258, -0.2666, -0.2718, -0.2845, -0.2814, -0.3104, -0.3227, -0.3188, -0.2712, -0.2547]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1916161912917922001", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-26T16:06:15+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin Miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You are really going to regret your miner sizing. It's really hard to own the most undervalued thing when it's out of favor.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin miners are the most undervalued play; regret implied from under-allocation — strong bullish call on miners.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI is dedicated US Bitcoin miner ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheBTCTherapist You are really going to regret your miner sizing. I totally get it btw. It's really hard to own the most undervalued thing when it's out of favor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "MY PORTFOLIO:\n\nBTC ~63%\nMSTR ~ 33%\nGME ~ 3%\nMINERS <1%", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBTCTherapist", "ret_m1d": 0.016050278934765183, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016050278934765183, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016431518659382638, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016431518659382638, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003812397246174548, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003812397246174548, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00976973789728719, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00976973789728719, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016068901304745697, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016068901304745697, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006299163407458508, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006299163407458508, "ret_p1w": -0.004884835673196197, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004884835673196197, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027867310106651222, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027867310106651222, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022982474433455025, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022982474433455025, "ret_p1m": 0.27285414293295385, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27285414293295385, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19969454315264135, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19969454315264135, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0731595997803125, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0731595997803125, "ret_p3m": 0.8918353632021736, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8918353632021736, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7367197845312834, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7367197845312834, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1551155786708902, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1551155786708902, "ret_p6m": 2.908583295166395, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.908583295166395, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.6829483675401447, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.6829483675401447, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2256349276262506, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2256349276262506, "ret_p1y": 2.300767584709639, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.300767584709639, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.0155471241028375, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.0155471241028375, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2852204606068014, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2852204606068014, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.27285414293295385, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.19969454315264135, "alpha_c_stated": 0.19969454315264135, "price_path": [0.4766, 0.5701, 0.5736, 0.5834, 0.575, 0.5673, 0.5883, 0.6155, 0.6399, 0.559, 0.5862, 0.6246, 0.6329, 0.6329, 0.5939, 0.5897, 0.5694, 0.432, 0.3398, 0.1891, 0.2017, 0.1786, 0.2435, 0.1514, 0.1347, 0.2003, 0.1026, 0.1389, 0.0105, 0.0523, 0.067, 0.0167, 0.0677, 0.0726, -0.0056, 0.0607, 0.0454, 0.0328, 0.1382, 0.0921, -0.0007, -0.0202, -0.0837, -0.1089, -0.0461, -0.0063, -0.1103, -0.1403, -0.134, -0.1982, -0.0886, -0.1619, -0.1263, -0.1137, -0.164, -0.1689, -0.1598, -0.1598, -0.1807, -0.0858, -0.0572, -0.0188, 0.0161, 0.0, -0.0098, -0.0454, 0.0181, 0.0447, -0.0049, 0.0147, 0.0181, 0.0837, 0.0851, 0.1403, 0.2003, 0.1828, 0.1563, 0.2561, 0.2652, 0.2554, 0.2387, 0.2638, 0.2289, 0.2289, 0.2729, 0.2052, 0.1793, 0.1493, 0.2003, 0.2505, 0.3391, 0.2701, 0.3657, 0.4068, 0.4152, 0.3957, 0.3685, 0.3161, 0.3747, 0.3036, 0.305, 0.305, 0.2966, 0.2624, 0.3552, 0.3594, 0.5003, 0.515, 0.5869, 0.6113, 0.7551, 0.8165, 0.8165, 0.7369, 0.7376, 0.7613, 0.7788, 0.7292, 0.7844, 0.7481, 0.8262, 0.8723, 0.8667, 0.8479, 0.9232, 0.9079, 0.8918, 0.8535, 0.8234, 0.7383, 0.7244, 0.7627, 0.6343, 0.7327, 0.7341, 0.7955, 0.7704, 0.7418, 0.7488, 0.7732, 0.7795, 0.8821, 0.8632, 0.9742, 0.8562, 0.903, 0.8758, 0.9742, 0.9965, 1.0509, 1.0454, 1.0705, 1.1368, 1.1368, 1.208, 1.1424, 1.0356, 1.0551, 1.0719, 1.3119, 1.4766, 1.4892, 1.6043, 1.7027, 1.7816, 1.8716, 1.8681, 1.9002, 2.0684, 1.9937, 2.1403, 1.9421, 1.8339, 2.0851, 2.0872, 2.1452, 2.2442, 2.3629, 2.649, 2.7251, 2.8646, 3.0174, 2.8618, 3.247, 3.4515, 3.5987, 3.1403, 3.0635, 3.171, 2.9086]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1925405260925059314", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-22T04:16:01+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if they move quickly they may still be able to buy sub $1,000,000 Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $1M; urges buying now before it passes that level.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I see a lot of tradfi bros in my feed who missed the opportunity to buy sub $100,000 Bitcoin. The good news is that if they move quickly they may still be able to buy sub $1,000,000 Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "ret_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "ret_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "ret_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "ret_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "ret_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "price_path": [-0.1814, -0.2054, -0.2447, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2293, -0.219, -0.1885, -0.1944, -0.2232, -0.2968, -0.258, -0.2503, -0.2741, -0.2481, -0.2471, -0.2593, -0.2222, -0.2463, -0.2474, -0.2165, -0.2167, -0.2218, -0.2194, -0.2446, -0.2608, -0.2373, -0.2614, -0.2558, -0.2492, -0.2905, -0.317, -0.2606, -0.287, -0.2531, -0.2429, -0.2508, -0.2475, -0.2398, -0.2438, -0.2163, -0.1633, -0.161, -0.1588, -0.1518, -0.1495, -0.1557, -0.1564, -0.1359, -0.1322, -0.1516, -0.1332, -0.1311, -0.0755, -0.0779, -0.0793, -0.0672, -0.0728, -0.071, -0.0733, -0.0543, -0.0437, -0.0179, 0.0, -0.0393, -0.02, -0.024, -0.0347, -0.054, -0.0687, -0.0519, -0.0559, -0.0622, -0.0904, -0.0652, -0.0124, -0.0127, -0.0267, -0.0514, -0.05, -0.0437, -0.0633, -0.0608, -0.0626, -0.0749, -0.0546, -0.0504, -0.0386, -0.0422, -0.0411, -0.0406, -0.0535, -0.0252, -0.0181, -0.0326, -0.0302, -0.0244, -0.0031, 0.0386, 0.0523, 0.0732, 0.0547, 0.0633, 0.0682, 0.0567, 0.0516, 0.0745, 0.0634, 0.0599, 0.0534, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0551, 0.0366, 0.0147, 0.0304, 0.0221, 0.03, 0.0521, 0.0449, 0.0632, 0.0761, 0.1045, 0.0599, 0.0513, 0.041, 0.0104, 0.0233, 0.0067, 0.0466, -0.0139, 0.0012, -0.004, 0.0078, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0042, 0.0004, -0.0085, -0.0092, 0.0036, -0.0013, 0.0204, 0.0343, 0.0397, 0.0338, 0.0463, 0.0429, 0.0489, 0.036, 0.0096, 0.0031, 0.0148, -0.0235, -0.0176, 0.0244, 0.0213, 0.0625, 0.0807, 0.0949, 0.1171, 0.0876, 0.1046, 0.0898, 0.0138, 0.0322, 0.0129, -0.008, -0.0312, -0.0466, -0.0097, -0.0286, -0.0357, -0.0144, -0.0057, 0.0219, 0.0115, -0.0145, -0.0302, -0.019, -0.0459, -0.0903, -0.0697, -0.0929, -0.0743, -0.0508, -0.0777, -0.0896, -0.1072, -0.1547]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1921631870548107447", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-11T18:21:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going to $120,000+ now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC: $75K will never be seen again, targeting $120K+.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AtradeZ_ You're nuts. We may never see $75,000 ever again. We are going to $120,000+ now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred *****$70,000", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AtradeZ_", "ret_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "ret_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "ret_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "ret_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "ret_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "ret_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "price_path": [-0.0479, -0.0602, -0.0516, -0.0685, -0.0707, -0.0601, -0.0436, -0.065, -0.1108, -0.1369, -0.1796, -0.1761, -0.1794, -0.1629, -0.1516, -0.1186, -0.125, -0.1563, -0.2362, -0.194, -0.1857, -0.2115, -0.1833, -0.1822, -0.1954, -0.1552, -0.1814, -0.1826, -0.149, -0.1492, -0.1548, -0.1521, -0.1795, -0.1971, -0.1716, -0.1977, -0.1917, -0.1845, -0.2293, -0.2581, -0.1969, -0.2255, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1862, -0.1827, -0.1743, -0.1786, -0.1488, -0.0911, -0.0886, -0.0863, -0.0787, -0.0762, -0.0829, -0.0837, -0.0615, -0.0574, -0.0784, -0.0585, -0.0562, 0.0042, 0.0015, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0071, 0.0091, 0.0066, 0.0272, 0.0387, 0.0668, 0.0862, 0.0435, 0.0645, 0.0601, 0.0485, 0.0275, 0.0115, 0.0298, 0.0255, 0.0187, -0.012, 0.0153, 0.0728, 0.0724, 0.0571, 0.0303, 0.0319, 0.0387, 0.0174, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.0048, 0.0269, 0.0314, 0.0442, 0.0403, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.0281, 0.0588, 0.0665, 0.0508, 0.0534, 0.0597, 0.0828, 0.1281, 0.143, 0.1657, 0.1455, 0.1549, 0.1603, 0.1477, 0.1423, 0.1671, 0.1551, 0.1513, 0.1442, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1461, 0.1259, 0.1022, 0.1192, 0.1102, 0.1188, 0.1428, 0.135, 0.1548, 0.1688, 0.1997, 0.1512, 0.1419, 0.1307, 0.0974, 0.1115, 0.0934, 0.1368, 0.0711, 0.0874, 0.0818, 0.0947, 0.0544, 0.0626, 0.0816, 0.0867, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0901, 0.0848, 0.1084, 0.1235, 0.1293, 0.1229, 0.1365, 0.1328, 0.1393, 0.1252, 0.0966, 0.0895, 0.1023, 0.0607, 0.0671, 0.1127, 0.1094, 0.154, 0.1738, 0.1892, 0.2134, 0.1813, 0.1998, 0.1838, 0.1012, 0.1212, 0.1002, 0.0775, 0.0523, 0.0355, 0.0756, 0.0551, 0.0474, 0.0706, 0.08, 0.11, 0.0987, 0.0704, 0.0534, 0.0656, 0.0363, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1932133618824229217", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-09T17:52:06+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sorry but time is running out", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses CIFR as a compelling play; urgency implies limited window to accumulate before move up.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@twils1211 Sorry but time is running out", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m with Mike on this, $cifr is one of my favorite plays right now. But Idk I’m ready for people to know what I know yet… I want to keep stacking", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "twils1211", "ret_m1d": -0.05797096107684119, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05797096107684119, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05707064690094399, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05308643474311858, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004884526333722605, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019323653692280396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019323653692280396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02499357909098643, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024917863536919715, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00559420984463932, "ret_p1w": -0.050724590942236025, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050724590942236025, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05572746022276909, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06537829823037256, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01465370728813653, "ret_p1m": 0.4565218367813997, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4565218367813997, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.41901177365722786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3847781192508315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07174371753056819, "ret_p3m": 0.7874396942068544, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7874396942068544, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.701795489121416, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6891417287355486, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09829796547130587, "ret_p6m": 3.260869555201908, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.260869555201908, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.117859968915005, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.049531142388811, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21133841281309707, "ret_p1y": 5.077294845125244, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.077294845125244, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.811514627885615, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.528562089459578, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5487327556656656, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4565218367813997, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.41901177365722786, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3847781192508315, "price_path": [-0.2271, -0.2681, -0.2657, -0.2464, -0.3068, -0.2609, -0.2754, -0.2947, -0.2271, -0.2657, -0.3527, -0.3865, -0.4396, -0.4444, -0.4058, -0.3599, -0.442, -0.4928, -0.4614, -0.4903, -0.4058, -0.4638, -0.4155, -0.4106, -0.4396, -0.4384, -0.4275, -0.4275, -0.4348, -0.3382, -0.3092, -0.2754, -0.256, -0.2609, -0.256, -0.3116, -0.2476, -0.2367, -0.2802, -0.2657, -0.2705, -0.2464, -0.2802, -0.2391, -0.1715, -0.2005, -0.2343, -0.0676, -0.0797, -0.087, -0.1534, -0.1377, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1377, -0.1908, -0.215, -0.2464, -0.215, -0.1703, -0.0966, -0.1473, -0.058, 0.0, -0.0193, -0.0145, -0.0725, -0.1014, -0.0507, -0.1111, -0.0797, -0.0797, -0.0845, -0.1473, -0.07, -0.07, 0.0121, 0.029, 0.1546, 0.1836, 0.372, 0.4614, 0.4614, 0.3986, 0.4565, 0.5121, 0.5072, 0.4179, 0.4565, 0.442, 0.5145, 0.5507, 0.5362, 0.5097, 0.6763, 0.6135, 0.6063, 0.5628, 0.4879, 0.372, 0.3164, 0.3188, 0.1908, 0.2536, 0.2101, 0.2585, 0.1763, 0.1473, 0.1498, 0.1401, 0.1836, 0.285, 0.2585, 0.4614, 0.3913, 0.4372, 0.4251, 0.5411, 0.6039, 0.7198, 0.6884, 0.6957, 0.8454, 0.8454, 1.0097, 0.9589, 0.7874, 0.8164, 0.8647, 1.2271, 1.4758, 1.4082, 1.6208, 1.6208, 1.7802, 1.9903, 1.8623, 1.9662, 2.372, 2.4179, 2.4155, 1.8164, 1.7705, 2.0556, 2.0411, 2.0435, 2.3357, 2.5507, 2.7053, 2.8043, 3.2512, 3.3454, 3.099, 3.913, 4.0459, 4.0797, 3.5217, 3.5314, 3.8092, 3.3659, 2.8913, 3.1679, 3.9903, 3.9614, 3.8213, 3.7319, 3.6063, 3.5048, 4.4976, 4.4372, 4.9686, 4.244, 3.9976, 3.7464, 3.5097, 3.1981, 2.6063, 2.4686, 2.4662, 2.5217, 2.5314, 2.5169, 2.4179, 3.0362, 3.2319, 3.6256, 3.6256, 3.9155, 3.756, 3.2609]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931093522452713584", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-06T20:59:08+00:00", "symbol": "REGN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "world class commercial biopharma companies like Regeneron are just plain cheap with little downside and tremendous upside. The kind of asymmetry I like.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Regeneron: cheap valuation, little downside, tremendous upside — favorable asymmetry.", "resolved_tickers": ["REGN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy Yes, the pre-commercial and earlier stage biotechs.   But world class commercial biopharma companies like Regeneron are just plain cheap with little downside and tremendous upside. The kind of asymmetry I like.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Many are trading well under cash. Many should consider buying bitcoin 😜", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.04710196263068467, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04710196263068467, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04620164845478747, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.048816677596822955, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017147149661382866, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01145677110609622, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01145677110609622, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005786845707390187, "alpha_c_p1d": 5.1579285005098896e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01140519182109112, "ret_p1w": 0.0098146354950992, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0098146354950992, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004811766214566138, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0018142855810339142, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011628921076133114, "ret_p1m": 0.05824969211439357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05824969211439357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020739628990221748, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.047333820826159556, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010915871288234014, "ret_p3m": 0.09752957592944589, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09752957592944589, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011885370844007426, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0681886004512886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029340975478157283, "ret_p6m": 0.4375163843043137, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4375163843043137, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.29450679801741053, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2760836333182306, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16143275098608312, "ret_p1y": 0.21943591396821893, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.21943591396821893, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.04634430327140926, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.09052355908989784, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1289123548783211, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05824969211439357, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.020739628990221748, "alpha_c_stated": 0.047333820826159556, "price_path": [0.3301, 0.313, 0.2865, 0.3088, 0.2828, 0.2971, 0.2783, 0.2703, 0.2752, 0.2233, 0.2349, 0.2266, 0.2296, 0.2235, 0.1903, 0.2069, 0.178, 0.1063, 0.105, 0.0742, 0.1126, 0.0541, 0.0691, 0.1017, 0.0763, 0.0596, 0.0864, 0.0864, 0.0832, 0.1295, 0.134, 0.157, 0.1626, 0.1784, 0.0975, 0.1551, 0.1382, 0.1683, 0.1644, 0.0775, 0.0821, 0.0565, 0.0182, 0.1105, 0.1076, 0.1022, 0.1285, 0.1465, 0.1508, 0.1878, 0.1681, 0.1531, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1655, 0.1435, 0.1696, -0.0528, -0.0518, -0.0575, -0.0631, -0.0667, -0.0471, 0.0, 0.0115, 0.0019, 0.0082, 0.0225, 0.0098, -0.0169, -0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0152, -0.011, 0.009, 0.0052, 0.0066, 0.0066, 0.0143, 0.0334, 0.0582, 0.0575, 0.0575, 0.0396, 0.0582, 0.0676, 0.0815, 0.0969, 0.1024, 0.0587, 0.0586, 0.0626, 0.0481, 0.054, 0.0837, 0.1059, 0.0909, 0.0879, 0.0793, 0.0783, 0.0714, 0.0538, 0.0797, 0.1042, 0.101, 0.0725, 0.0815, 0.0877, 0.0548, 0.0753, 0.0849, 0.0935, 0.1213, 0.1105, 0.1064, 0.1436, 0.1574, 0.1406, 0.1075, 0.1371, 0.1357, 0.1215, 0.1236, 0.1236, 0.1182, 0.0909, 0.0975, 0.1094, 0.0805, 0.0768, 0.0755, 0.0994, 0.0836, 0.1079, 0.1127, 0.1329, 0.1585, 0.1455, 0.1526, 0.0988, 0.1164, 0.0749, 0.0911, 0.085, 0.088, 0.1608, 0.161, 0.161, 0.1329, 0.1285, 0.091, 0.1027, 0.0925, 0.0792, 0.1079, 0.1153, 0.1013, 0.1185, 0.116, 0.121, 0.1314, 0.1139, 0.1183, 0.1325, 0.2664, 0.2633, 0.2655, 0.2612, 0.2427, 0.2151, 0.2465, 0.2516, 0.2723, 0.2669, 0.3052, 0.3191, 0.3448, 0.3419, 0.3628, 0.4035, 0.3598, 0.4278, 0.4644, 0.4752, 0.5253, 0.5201, 0.5201, 0.5115, 0.4532, 0.4375]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1917060144149762072", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-29T03:35:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is most certainly the safest haven over the long term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC over the long term as the ultimate safe haven asset.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Melt_Dem @CoinSharesCo You might not think it but Bitcoin is most certainly the safest haven over the long term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "follow the flows \n\n$3.4B of inflows into crypto ETFs last week, 3rd largest week on record.\n\ni don't think it's a \"safe haven\" - Saylor moon effect + bitcoin oversold along w all risk assets post liberation day. \n\n$MSTR + ETFs = $7B!\n\nvia @CoinSharesCo \n\nhttps://t.co/HPI5JBL33K", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Melt_Dem", "ret_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "ret_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "ret_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "ret_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "ret_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "ret_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.20292410303126673, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.48323789134731143, "alpha_c_stated": -0.48323789134731143, "price_path": [0.1108, 0.0861, 0.0755, 0.038, 0.0247, 0.0245, 0.0238, 0.0334, 0.0155, 0.0382, 0.0248, 0.0342, 0.0158, 0.0133, 0.0249, 0.0429, 0.0195, -0.0304, -0.0588, -0.1054, -0.1016, -0.1051, -0.0872, -0.0749, -0.0388, -0.0459, -0.08, -0.1671, -0.1211, -0.112, -0.1402, -0.1094, -0.1083, -0.1227, -0.0788, -0.1073, -0.1086, -0.072, -0.0723, -0.0783, -0.0754, -0.1053, -0.1245, -0.0967, -0.1251, -0.1186, -0.1107, -0.1596, -0.191, -0.1242, -0.1555, -0.1154, -0.1033, -0.1126, -0.1087, -0.0996, -0.1043, -0.0718, -0.0089, -0.0062, -0.0036, 0.0046, 0.0074, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0234, 0.0278, 0.0049, 0.0267, 0.0291, 0.095, 0.0921, 0.0905, 0.1048, 0.0982, 0.1003, 0.0976, 0.1201, 0.1326, 0.1633, 0.1844, 0.1379, 0.1607, 0.156, 0.1434, 0.1205, 0.103, 0.123, 0.1182, 0.1108, 0.0773, 0.1072, 0.1698, 0.1694, 0.1527, 0.1235, 0.1252, 0.1327, 0.1094, 0.1124, 0.1103, 0.0957, 0.1198, 0.1247, 0.1387, 0.1344, 0.1358, 0.1363, 0.1211, 0.1546, 0.1629, 0.1458, 0.1486, 0.1555, 0.1807, 0.2302, 0.2464, 0.2711, 0.2492, 0.2594, 0.2652, 0.2516, 0.2456, 0.2727, 0.2595, 0.2554, 0.2477, 0.2507, 0.2507, 0.2497, 0.2278, 0.2019, 0.2205, 0.2106, 0.22, 0.2462, 0.2376, 0.2593, 0.2746, 0.3082, 0.2553, 0.2451, 0.233, 0.1967, 0.212, 0.1923, 0.2396, 0.168, 0.1858, 0.1796, 0.1937, 0.1498, 0.1587, 0.1794, 0.185, 0.1744, 0.1736, 0.1886, 0.1829, 0.2086, 0.2251, 0.2314, 0.2244, 0.2393, 0.2353, 0.2424, 0.227, 0.1958, 0.188, 0.202, 0.1566, 0.1636, 0.2133, 0.2097, 0.2584, 0.28, 0.2968, 0.3231, 0.2881, 0.3083, 0.2908, 0.2008, 0.2226, 0.1998, 0.175, 0.1474, 0.1292, 0.1729, 0.1505, 0.1422]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1907780709600887113", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-03T13:02:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "once we clear this tariff noise we will see a completely different landscape. Back half of 2025 will be excellent for risk assets", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "DXY heading sub-100 on continued breakdown; BTC, alts, small caps, risk assets all rally in H2 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DXY crashing hard now down 2%+ to 101.50. The dollar breakdown continues. Sub 100 inbound and once we clear this tariff noise we will see a completely different landscape. Back half of 2025 will be excellent for risk assets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "DXY quietly down another 1.14% today to 105.53. The dollar bulls are starting to disappear from my feed and replies. This is always how it starts. The new trend is our friend. We're going to sub 100 and BTC, alts, proxies, small caps, biotech etc are all going to Valhalla. Watch.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00742594688320064, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00742594688320064, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05926135366740215, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05926135366740215, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.05183540678420151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.05183540678420151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008916382019940938, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008916382019940938, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06745926599353058, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06745926599353058, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.05854288397358964, "bench_c_p1d": -0.05854288397358964, "ret_p1w": -0.04183597091028601, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04183597091028601, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01925364091636239, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01925364091636239, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022582329993923622, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022582329993923622, "ret_p1m": 0.16614647779172675, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16614647779172675, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11013752964523915, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11013752964523915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0560089481464876, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0560089481464876, "ret_p3m": 0.27189752304233017, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27189752304233017, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11766608374025611, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11766608374025611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15423143930207406, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15423143930207406, "ret_p6m": 0.32020570900396184, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.32020570900396184, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08000300797656035, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08000300797656035, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2402027010274015, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2402027010274015, "ret_p1y": -0.14666129932025107, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14666129932025107, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3817889786640353, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3817889786640353, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2351276793437842, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2351276793437842, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16614647779172675, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11013752964523915, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11013752964523915, "price_path": [0.2283, 0.1663, 0.1437, 0.1129, 0.1396, 0.1373, 0.1616, 0.2094, 0.2004, 0.257, 0.2276, 0.2773, 0.2473, 0.251, 0.2613, 0.2285, 0.2194, 0.2479, 0.2603, 0.2323, 0.2202, 0.1777, 0.1626, 0.1623, 0.1616, 0.1725, 0.1522, 0.1779, 0.1627, 0.1734, 0.1525, 0.1497, 0.1628, 0.1833, 0.1567, 0.1001, 0.0678, 0.015, 0.0193, 0.0153, 0.0357, 0.0496, 0.0905, 0.0825, 0.0438, -0.055, -0.0029, 0.0075, -0.0245, 0.0104, 0.0117, -0.0046, 0.0451, 0.0128, 0.0113, 0.0529, 0.0526, 0.0457, 0.049, 0.015, -0.0067, 0.0249, -0.0074, 0.0, 0.0089, -0.0465, -0.0822, -0.0064, -0.0418, 0.0036, 0.0173, 0.0068, 0.0112, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.0531, 0.1244, 0.1275, 0.1305, 0.1398, 0.1429, 0.1346, 0.1336, 0.1611, 0.1661, 0.1401, 0.1649, 0.1676, 0.2423, 0.2391, 0.2372, 0.2535, 0.2459, 0.2484, 0.2453, 0.2708, 0.285, 0.3198, 0.3438, 0.291, 0.3169, 0.3116, 0.2972, 0.2712, 0.2514, 0.2741, 0.2687, 0.2603, 0.2223, 0.2562, 0.3272, 0.3268, 0.3079, 0.2747, 0.2766, 0.2851, 0.2587, 0.2621, 0.2597, 0.2432, 0.2704, 0.2761, 0.2919, 0.2871, 0.2886, 0.2892, 0.2719, 0.3099, 0.3194, 0.3, 0.3032, 0.311, 0.3396, 0.3957, 0.4141, 0.4422, 0.4172, 0.4288, 0.4354, 0.42, 0.4132, 0.4439, 0.429, 0.4244, 0.4155, 0.419, 0.419, 0.4179, 0.393, 0.3636, 0.3847, 0.3735, 0.3842, 0.4139, 0.4041, 0.4287, 0.4461, 0.4842, 0.4243, 0.4127, 0.3989, 0.3577, 0.3751, 0.3528, 0.4064, 0.3252, 0.3454, 0.3384, 0.3543, 0.3045, 0.3146, 0.3381, 0.3444, 0.3324, 0.3315, 0.3486, 0.3421, 0.3713, 0.3899, 0.3971, 0.3892, 0.406, 0.4015, 0.4095, 0.3921, 0.3567, 0.3479, 0.3637, 0.3122, 0.3202]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1907780709600887113", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-04-03T13:02:20+00:00", "symbol": "small caps", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Back half of 2025 will be excellent for risk assets", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "DXY heading sub-100 on continued breakdown; BTC, alts, small caps, risk assets all rally in H2 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US small caps sector ETF IWM", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DXY crashing hard now down 2%+ to 101.50. The dollar breakdown continues. Sub 100 inbound and once we clear this tariff noise we will see a completely different landscape. Back half of 2025 will be excellent for risk assets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "DXY quietly down another 1.14% today to 105.53. The dollar bulls are starting to disappear from my feed and replies. This is always how it starts. The new trend is our friend. We're going to sub 100 and BTC, alts, proxies, small caps, biotech etc are all going to Valhalla. Watch.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0686000688990771, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0686000688990771, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016764662114875595, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016764662114875595, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.05183540678420151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.05183540678420151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0446084841730211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0446084841730211, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013934399800568542, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013934399800568542, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.05854288397358964, "bench_c_p1d": -0.05854288397358964, "ret_p1w": -0.04186646067592503, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04186646067592503, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01928413068200141, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01928413068200141, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022582329993923622, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022582329993923622, "ret_p1m": 0.05710520510844441, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05710520510844441, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0010962569619568097, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0010962569619568097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0560089481464876, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0560089481464876, "ret_p3m": 0.1527172664576435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1527172664576435, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0015141728444305613, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0015141728444305613, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15423143930207406, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15423143930207406, "ret_p6m": 0.2796929996678954, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2796929996678954, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.039490298640493915, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.039490298640493915, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2402027010274015, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2402027010274015, "ret_p1y": 0.3188327622448708, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3188327622448708, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.08370508290108658, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.08370508290108658, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2351276793437842, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2351276793437842, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05710520510844441, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0010962569619568097, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0010962569619568097, "price_path": [0.1812, 0.1717, 0.1664, 0.1664, 0.1408, 0.143, 0.156, 0.1787, 0.1811, 0.1862, 0.1862, 0.2089, 0.201, 0.2065, 0.2032, 0.1916, 0.1929, 0.1902, 0.2023, 0.1915, 0.1776, 0.1939, 0.2069, 0.2029, 0.189, 0.1944, 0.1874, 0.1765, 0.1897, 0.1888, 0.1888, 0.1954, 0.1913, 0.1798, 0.1459, 0.1376, 0.1333, 0.1347, 0.1174, 0.1293, 0.0984, 0.086, 0.0968, 0.08, 0.0835, 0.0563, 0.0562, 0.058, 0.0422, 0.0674, 0.0809, 0.0715, 0.0882, 0.0813, 0.0746, 0.1013, 0.0952, 0.084, 0.0789, 0.0569, 0.0519, 0.052, 0.0686, 0.0, -0.0446, -0.0533, -0.0782, 0.0002, -0.0419, -0.0279, -0.0165, -0.0152, -0.0247, -0.0167, -0.0167, -0.0364, -0.0115, 0.0032, 0.0233, 0.0236, 0.0279, 0.034, 0.0275, 0.0339, 0.0571, 0.049, 0.0375, 0.041, 0.0608, 0.0588, 0.0961, 0.1001, 0.0903, 0.0974, 0.1065, 0.1019, 0.1025, 0.0715, 0.0714, 0.0681, 0.0681, 0.0952, 0.0836, 0.0868, 0.0813, 0.0847, 0.1022, 0.0991, 0.0996, 0.1173, 0.125, 0.1311, 0.1264, 0.122, 0.1015, 0.1144, 0.1027, 0.1085, 0.1085, 0.1062, 0.1197, 0.134, 0.1208, 0.139, 0.1393, 0.141, 0.1527, 0.1687, 0.1795, 0.1795, 0.1618, 0.1698, 0.1825, 0.1886, 0.1722, 0.1801, 0.157, 0.1686, 0.184, 0.1756, 0.1708, 0.1805, 0.1986, 0.182, 0.1864, 0.185, 0.1775, 0.1715, 0.16, 0.1364, 0.1618, 0.1677, 0.1662, 0.1624, 0.1649, 0.1647, 0.1992, 0.2226, 0.2068, 0.2009, 0.2053, 0.1961, 0.1918, 0.1948, 0.2417, 0.2286, 0.2387, 0.2475, 0.249, 0.2434, 0.2434, 0.2367, 0.2355, 0.251, 0.2572, 0.2597, 0.2523, 0.2501, 0.2732, 0.2602, 0.2656, 0.2635, 0.2667, 0.2983, 0.2884, 0.2959, 0.2929, 0.2811, 0.2688, 0.2797]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924669903518499146", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T03:33:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is no damage when you just buy Bitcoin and stay long for years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Buy and hold BTC long-term; short-term volatility irrelevant to multi-year holders.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BigCheds There is no damage when you just buy Bitcoin and stay long for years", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC daily with 2nd  high wave outside bar in last 8 sessions.\n\nHigh volatility candles causing damage in both directions https://t.co/Kd6Zomh12z", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BigCheds", "ret_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01446904978726471, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01446904978726471, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003373495887817768, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003373495887817768, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04388489819685337, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04388489819685337, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016850879747133396, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016850879747133396, "ret_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023501618649529044, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023501618649529044, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002867361884037911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002867361884037911, "ret_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02560663440658628, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02560663440658628, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00774224248892641, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00774224248892641, "ret_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.010785021987612886, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.010785021987612886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "ret_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20733405148643602, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20733405148643602, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15931601334698753, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15931601334698753, "ret_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4989316412083886, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4989316412083886, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.25078023614886513, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4989316412083886, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4989316412083886, "price_path": [-0.0792, -0.0999, -0.144, -0.1691, -0.2102, -0.2068, -0.2099, -0.1941, -0.1832, -0.1514, -0.1576, -0.1877, -0.2646, -0.2241, -0.216, -0.2409, -0.2137, -0.2127, -0.2254, -0.1867, -0.2119, -0.213, -0.1807, -0.1809, -0.1863, -0.1837, -0.2101, -0.227, -0.2025, -0.2276, -0.2218, -0.2149, -0.258, -0.2858, -0.2268, -0.2544, -0.219, -0.2083, -0.2165, -0.2131, -0.205, -0.2092, -0.1805, -0.125, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1171, -0.1178, -0.0964, -0.0925, -0.1128, -0.0935, -0.0914, -0.0332, -0.0358, -0.0373, -0.0245, -0.0304, -0.0285, -0.0309, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.027, 0.0457, 0.0047, 0.0248, 0.0206, 0.0095, -0.0108, -0.0261, -0.0085, -0.0127, -0.0193, -0.0488, -0.0225, 0.0328, 0.0325, 0.0177, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0001, -0.0205, -0.0179, -0.0197, -0.0326, -0.0114, -0.007, 0.0053, 0.0016, 0.0028, 0.0032, -0.0102, 0.0194, 0.0268, 0.0116, 0.0141, 0.0202, 0.0425, 0.0861, 0.1004, 0.1223, 0.1029, 0.1119, 0.117, 0.105, 0.0997, 0.1236, 0.112, 0.1084, 0.1016, 0.1043, 0.1042, 0.1034, 0.084, 0.0611, 0.0775, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.1003, 0.0927, 0.1118, 0.1253, 0.155, 0.1083, 0.0993, 0.0886, 0.0566, 0.0701, 0.0527, 0.0944, 0.0312, 0.0469, 0.0415, 0.0539, 0.0152, 0.023, 0.0413, 0.0462, 0.0368, 0.0361, 0.0494, 0.0444, 0.0671, 0.0816, 0.0872, 0.081, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0969, 0.0833, 0.0558, 0.0489, 0.0612, 0.0211, 0.0274, 0.0713, 0.068, 0.111, 0.1301, 0.1449, 0.1682, 0.1373, 0.1551, 0.1397, 0.0601, 0.0794, 0.0593, 0.0374, 0.0131, -0.003, 0.0356, 0.0158, 0.0084, 0.0307, 0.0397, 0.0686, 0.0577, 0.0306, 0.0142, 0.0259, -0.0023, -0.0487, -0.0271, -0.0514, -0.032, -0.0074, -0.0355, -0.048]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931227878513127587", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-07T05:53:01+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One of the most important names in the space. Not under the radar unless you don't understand what's actually happening here.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; calls it one of the most important names in AI data center space, implying it's underappreciated.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DrStoxx One of the most important names in the space. Not under the radar unless you don't understand what's actually happening here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN: here is an under the radar AI play: former BTC miner, now using the same tech to build out sustainable AI data centers; seeing massive growth on the transition. Funds in the stock went from 28 to 44 last Q.  C&H target is 14.  #IBDPartner\n\nWe are long in the Live Trading https://t.co/671qVbxUV0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DrStoxx", "ret_m1d": -0.057059975230292936, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.057059975230292936, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05615966105439574, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0625501873296741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005490212099381164, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014506732719218762, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014506732719218762, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00883680732051273, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0133302151441681, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011765175750506618, "ret_p1w": 0.005802656195064593, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005802656195064593, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0007997869145315306, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015018380250321539, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009215724055256946, "ret_p1m": 0.6334621992651728, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6334621992651728, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.595952136141001, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6062282869006408, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027233912364531987, "ret_p3m": 1.5270791852190446, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5270791852190446, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4414349801336062, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.4634464745548685, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06363271066417608, "ret_p6m": 2.9767890062935125, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.9767890062935125, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.8337794200066093, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.9337374264093716, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04305157988414088, "ret_p1y": 5.560927982279735, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.560927982279735, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.295147765040107, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.53712362321962, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.023804359060115132, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6334621992651728, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.595952136141001, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6062282869006408, "price_path": [-0.3191, -0.3472, -0.3027, -0.2892, -0.3627, -0.3037, -0.3027, -0.3085, -0.2563, -0.2843, -0.3511, -0.3752, -0.413, -0.411, -0.3578, -0.3462, -0.4159, -0.4255, -0.4313, -0.4874, -0.4294, -0.4691, -0.4555, -0.4439, -0.4729, -0.471, -0.4594, -0.4594, -0.4671, -0.4139, -0.4101, -0.3907, -0.3675, -0.382, -0.3936, -0.4091, -0.3839, -0.3685, -0.4014, -0.3714, -0.3646, -0.3337, -0.3191, -0.2737, -0.2147, -0.2292, -0.2505, -0.1867, -0.1741, -0.1673, -0.1402, -0.1025, -0.118, -0.118, -0.1064, -0.1431, -0.1683, -0.1886, -0.1557, -0.1402, -0.088, -0.1344, -0.0571, 0.0, 0.0145, -0.0039, -0.0164, -0.0493, 0.0058, -0.0551, -0.0522, -0.0522, 0.0126, 0.0309, 0.1161, 0.148, 0.2679, 0.354, 0.4091, 0.4729, 0.5145, 0.6267, 0.6267, 0.6393, 0.6335, 0.6402, 0.647, 0.5696, 0.6712, 0.6325, 0.6741, 0.7456, 0.735, 0.7553, 0.7979, 0.8366, 0.7544, 0.7137, 0.6035, 0.5271, 0.5609, 0.558, 0.4894, 0.5938, 0.5909, 0.7718, 0.7959, 0.7843, 0.7379, 0.7244, 0.7147, 0.8453, 0.9043, 1.0024, 0.8114, 0.911, 0.8946, 1.0725, 1.236, 1.2234, 1.162, 1.2282, 1.5609, 1.5609, 1.8153, 1.7282, 1.5271, 1.529, 1.5329, 1.9197, 2.2524, 2.177, 2.2843, 2.5919, 2.5251, 2.6654, 2.5126, 2.7369, 3.0522, 3.0397, 3.559, 3.4768, 3.0484, 3.442, 3.5387, 3.5532, 3.5474, 3.8801, 4.5851, 4.9652, 4.8114, 5.175, 4.7805, 5.2031, 5.7273, 5.5745, 4.9797, 4.8723, 4.7273, 4.338, 4.0126, 4.4023, 5.0832, 5.2853, 5.0368, 4.8433, 4.6306, 4.8752, 5.5522, 5.4439, 6.3897, 5.4758, 5.0329, 4.8191, 4.5493, 4.3868, 3.705, 3.4845, 3.5851, 3.7244, 3.4323, 3.2041, 3.087, 3.6896, 3.5909, 3.6857, 3.6857, 3.6238, 3.6896, 2.9768]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924288117756023065", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-19T02:16:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If it goes to $302 it will tap $315k in a wick", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Conditionally bullish BTC: if $302k is reached, expects a wick to $315k, implying upside beyond the cited target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FrankAFetter @_checkonchain @VibeCapitalMgmt If it goes to $302 it will tap $315k in a wick", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Sharing this one for the giga bulls out there: the Vibes-Based Investor Tool calculates a $BTC top at $302k. This is the highest number I could find on the @_checkonchain suite; it takes the two-year simple moving average and slaps a 5x multiple on it, because why not? https://t.co/kmYIzNWiVS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FrankAFetter", "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1915025232810983448", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-23T12:49:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's here, amigo. $315k inbound.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin bull market is here; price target $315k.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BitQua It’s here, amigo. $315k inbound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "One day, the bull market will begin.☝️😁", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitQua", "ret_m1d": -0.002745156829298878, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002745156829298878, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012513993013608227, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012513993013608227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0026114175645013393, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0026114175645013393, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018437495385366987, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018437495385366987, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "ret_p1w": 0.005423777540574992, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005423777540574992, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030286408546815524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030286408546815524, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "ret_p1m": 0.1918286309751811, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1918286309751811, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10279563412281933, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10279563412281933, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "ret_p3m": 0.2533687870232224, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2533687870232224, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07554797825510384, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07554797825510384, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "ret_p6m": 0.1546111781011792, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1546111781011792, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08633995449485754, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08633995449485754, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "ret_p1y": -0.22113403892746442, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22113403892746442, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5047040009636808, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5047040009636808, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1918286309751811, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10279563412281933, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10279563412281933, "price_path": [0.1187, 0.0895, 0.0815, 0.1068, 0.1178, 0.0929, 0.0822, 0.0445, 0.0311, 0.0309, 0.0302, 0.0399, 0.0219, 0.0447, 0.0312, 0.0407, 0.0221, 0.0196, 0.0313, 0.0495, 0.0259, -0.0243, -0.053, -0.0998, -0.096, -0.0995, -0.0815, -0.0691, -0.0328, -0.0399, -0.0742, -0.1619, -0.1157, -0.1065, -0.1348, -0.1038, -0.1027, -0.1172, -0.0731, -0.1017, -0.1031, -0.0662, -0.0665, -0.0726, -0.0696, -0.0997, -0.119, -0.091, -0.1197, -0.1131, -0.1052, -0.1544, -0.186, -0.1187, -0.1502, -0.1099, -0.0977, -0.107, -0.1032, -0.094, -0.0987, -0.066, -0.0027, 0.0, 0.0026, 0.0109, 0.0137, 0.0063, 0.0054, 0.0298, 0.0343, 0.0112, 0.0331, 0.0356, 0.1018, 0.099, 0.0973, 0.1117, 0.105, 0.1072, 0.1045, 0.1271, 0.1397, 0.1705, 0.1918, 0.145, 0.168, 0.1632, 0.1505, 0.1275, 0.1099, 0.13, 0.1252, 0.1177, 0.0841, 0.1141, 0.1771, 0.1767, 0.16, 0.1305, 0.1323, 0.1398, 0.1164, 0.1194, 0.1172, 0.1026, 0.1268, 0.1318, 0.1458, 0.1415, 0.1429, 0.1434, 0.1281, 0.1618, 0.1702, 0.153, 0.1558, 0.1628, 0.1881, 0.2379, 0.2542, 0.2791, 0.257, 0.2672, 0.2731, 0.2594, 0.2534, 0.2806, 0.2674, 0.2633, 0.2555, 0.2585, 0.2585, 0.2575, 0.2354, 0.2094, 0.2281, 0.2182, 0.2276, 0.254, 0.2454, 0.2672, 0.2825, 0.3164, 0.2632, 0.2529, 0.2407, 0.2042, 0.2196, 0.1998, 0.2473, 0.1753, 0.1932, 0.187, 0.2011, 0.157, 0.166, 0.1868, 0.1924, 0.1817, 0.1809, 0.1961, 0.1903, 0.2162, 0.2327, 0.2391, 0.2321, 0.247, 0.243, 0.2501, 0.2347, 0.2033, 0.1955, 0.2095, 0.1638, 0.1709, 0.2209, 0.2173, 0.2663, 0.288, 0.3049, 0.3314, 0.2962, 0.3165, 0.2989, 0.2083, 0.2302, 0.2073, 0.1823, 0.1546]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1924941530709819648", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T21:33:19+00:00", "symbol": "Cipher Mining", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "All will be well and stock will again trade on fundamentals. Market absorbing the deal today but there should be no overhang in the coming days and weeks. AI deals coming quickly now.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on Cipher Mining: capex fully funded to 23 EH/s, positive investor feedback, no near-term overhang, AI deals imminent, stock to re-rate on fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Cipher Mining NASDAQ ticker CIFR", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Spoke to Cipher. Convertible note covers all remaining capex for Black Pearl Phase 1. Cipher will be 23EH by July/Aug after miners plugged in. Accelerating Bitmain payment created significant savings. Dilution should be minimal and company may end up buying debt back w cash flow.\n\n---\n\nInitial after hours response was quants/algos. To minimize shorting tomorrow, Morgan Stanley is offering shares to convertible note buyers who want to delta hedge. Those shares are offered at a discount to closing price. All will be well and stock will again trade on fundamentals\n\n---\n\nFollowed up with mgmt today. Feedback from investors very positive. All capex for mining funded to 23 EH/s just as BTC breaking out. Market absorbing the deal today but there should be no overhang in the coming days and weeks. AI deals coming quickly now. 300-450MW available ASAP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07845930041937188, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07845930041937188, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06131960166970574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059312440592971916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019146859826399965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018544883503448295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018544883503448295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018150069184579953, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018283205441444794, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00026167806200350086, "ret_p1w": -0.044222597645499295, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044222597645499295, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052578049465250354, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052771127400104145, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00854852975460485, "ret_p1m": 0.08701849311844412, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08701849311844412, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.062003852175944285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.033241540529349134, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.053776952589094984, "ret_p3m": 0.7261055615400167, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7261055615400167, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6191469857174559, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5628497449995911, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16325581654042565, "ret_p6m": 3.259629049272446, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.259629049272446, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.100010016418861, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.0059919755019493, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2536370737704967, "ret_p1y": 4.863052372635507, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.863052372635507, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.583026547234122, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.323248861029834, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5398035116056734, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08701849311844412, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.062003852175944285, "alpha_c_stated": 0.033241540529349134, "price_path": [0.5663, 0.4165, 0.1698, 0.1912, 0.1327, 0.1641, 0.0984, 0.0699, 0.1869, 0.0813, 0.1098, -0.1213, -0.0927, -0.087, -0.1355, -0.1327, -0.1098, -0.1812, -0.127, -0.1441, -0.1669, -0.087, -0.1327, -0.2354, -0.2753, -0.3381, -0.3438, -0.2981, -0.2439, -0.3409, -0.4009, -0.3638, -0.398, -0.2981, -0.3666, -0.3096, -0.3039, -0.3381, -0.3367, -0.3238, -0.3238, -0.3324, -0.2183, -0.184, -0.1441, -0.1213, -0.127, -0.1213, -0.1869, -0.1113, -0.0984, -0.1498, -0.1327, -0.1384, -0.1098, -0.1498, -0.1013, -0.0214, -0.0556, -0.0956, 0.1013, 0.087, 0.0785, 0.0, 0.0185, -0.01, -0.01, 0.0185, -0.0442, -0.0728, -0.1098, -0.0728, -0.02, 0.067, 0.0071, 0.1127, 0.1812, 0.1583, 0.1641, 0.0956, 0.0613, 0.1213, 0.0499, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0813, 0.0071, 0.0984, 0.0984, 0.1954, 0.2154, 0.3638, 0.398, 0.6205, 0.7261, 0.7261, 0.6519, 0.7204, 0.786, 0.7803, 0.6748, 0.7204, 0.7033, 0.7889, 0.8317, 0.8146, 0.7832, 0.98, 0.9058, 0.8973, 0.8459, 0.7575, 0.6205, 0.5549, 0.5578, 0.4066, 0.4807, 0.4294, 0.4864, 0.3894, 0.3552, 0.3581, 0.3466, 0.398, 0.5178, 0.4864, 0.7261, 0.6434, 0.6976, 0.6833, 0.8203, 0.8944, 1.0314, 0.9943, 1.0029, 1.1797, 1.1797, 1.3738, 1.3138, 1.1113, 1.1455, 1.2026, 1.6305, 1.9244, 1.8445, 2.0956, 2.0956, 2.2839, 2.5321, 2.3809, 2.5036, 2.9829, 3.0371, 3.0342, 2.3267, 2.2725, 2.6091, 2.592, 2.5949, 2.9401, 3.194, 3.3766, 3.4936, 4.0214, 4.1327, 3.8417, 4.8031, 4.9601, 5.0, 4.3409, 4.3524, 4.6805, 4.1569, 3.5963, 3.923, 4.8944, 4.8602, 4.6947, 4.5892, 4.4408, 4.321, 5.4936, 5.4223, 6.0499, 5.194, 4.903, 4.6063, 4.3267, 3.9586, 3.2596]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1907472228947820960", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-02T16:36:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is the apex monetary asset. It is reflexive, impulsive, and networked. You cannot stop it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC with a cascading price target path: $120K → $200K → $500K → $1M, citing reflexivity and network effects.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If Bitcoin goes to $120,000, then it will go to $200,000.\n\nIf it goes to $200,000, then it will go to $500,000.\n\nIf it goes to $500,000, then it will go to $1M.\n\nBitcoin is the apex monetary asset. It is reflexive, impulsive, and networked. You cannot stop it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.032532433884618905, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.032532433884618905, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038821045606454274, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.038821045606454274, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006288611721835369, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006288611721835369, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007481504135517403, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007481504135517403, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.056762414865342614, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.056762414865342614, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.04928091072982521, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04928091072982521, "ret_p1w": 0.0010697875607432739, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0010697875607432739, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02923538273562598, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02923538273562598, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028165595174882707, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028165595174882707, "ret_p1m": 0.16980668337347438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16980668337347438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18052386710340607, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18052386710340607, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01071718372993169, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01071718372993169, "ret_p3m": 0.2988350917976228, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2988350917976228, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20112999596857417, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20112999596857417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09770509582904863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09770509582904863, "ret_p6m": 0.3220385424710397, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3220385424710397, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14967058637784447, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14967058637784447, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17236795609319522, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17236795609319522, "ret_p1y": -0.14503269553031484, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14503269553031484, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.30709056058188444, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.30709056058188444, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1620578650515696, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1620578650515696, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16980668337347438, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18052386710340607, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18052386710340607, "price_path": [0.1894, 0.2375, 0.175, 0.1522, 0.1212, 0.1481, 0.1459, 0.1703, 0.2184, 0.2094, 0.2664, 0.2368, 0.2868, 0.2566, 0.2603, 0.2708, 0.2376, 0.2285, 0.2572, 0.2697, 0.2415, 0.2294, 0.1865, 0.1713, 0.171, 0.1703, 0.1813, 0.1608, 0.1867, 0.1714, 0.1821, 0.1611, 0.1583, 0.1715, 0.1921, 0.1654, 0.1083, 0.0758, 0.0226, 0.0269, 0.0229, 0.0434, 0.0574, 0.0987, 0.0906, 0.0516, -0.0479, 0.0046, 0.015, -0.0172, 0.018, 0.0193, 0.0028, 0.053, 0.0204, 0.0189, 0.0608, 0.0604, 0.0535, 0.0569, 0.0226, 0.0008, 0.0325, 0.0, 0.0075, 0.0165, -0.0394, -0.0753, 0.0011, -0.0347, 0.0111, 0.0249, 0.0143, 0.0188, 0.0292, 0.0238, 0.061, 0.1328, 0.1359, 0.1389, 0.1483, 0.1515, 0.143, 0.1421, 0.1698, 0.1749, 0.1487, 0.1736, 0.1764, 0.2516, 0.2483, 0.2464, 0.2629, 0.2552, 0.2577, 0.2546, 0.2803, 0.2947, 0.3297, 0.3539, 0.3007, 0.3268, 0.3214, 0.3069, 0.2807, 0.2608, 0.2836, 0.2782, 0.2697, 0.2314, 0.2656, 0.3371, 0.3367, 0.3176, 0.2842, 0.2862, 0.2947, 0.2681, 0.2715, 0.2691, 0.2525, 0.28, 0.2856, 0.3016, 0.2967, 0.2983, 0.2988, 0.2814, 0.3197, 0.3293, 0.3097, 0.313, 0.3208, 0.3496, 0.4061, 0.4247, 0.453, 0.4278, 0.4395, 0.4462, 0.4306, 0.4238, 0.4547, 0.4397, 0.435, 0.4261, 0.4296, 0.4296, 0.4285, 0.4034, 0.3738, 0.3951, 0.3838, 0.3945, 0.4245, 0.4147, 0.4394, 0.4569, 0.4953, 0.4349, 0.4233, 0.4094, 0.3679, 0.3854, 0.3629, 0.4169, 0.3351, 0.3554, 0.3484, 0.3644, 0.3143, 0.3245, 0.3481, 0.3545, 0.3423, 0.3415, 0.3587, 0.3521, 0.3815, 0.4003, 0.4075, 0.3996, 0.4165, 0.412, 0.4201, 0.4025, 0.3669, 0.358, 0.3739, 0.322]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926495329181893114", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-25T04:27:33+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buffett is adding to STZ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish STZ, DEO, and alcohol sector broadly; out-of-favor setup mirrors tobacco pre-rally; entering/adding.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mvk5000 Buffett is adding to STZ and DEO also looks to already have bottomed. Disagree with your characterization. Alcohol is deeply out of favor (like tobacco a few years ago just before it began a major rally) which is what I like to see when I enter or add.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Yes… but have to wonder if BUD is a one off. Look at STZ and DEO; they look terrible, and perhaps speak to a change in consumer behavior/taste, as well as regulatory stance.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mvk5000", "ret_m1d": -0.008014806370738814, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008014806370738814, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012352429568101675, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012352429568101675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03862097884482618, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03862097884482618, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.032835527103829976, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.032835527103829976, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": -0.04970156182965646, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04970156182965646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.058058046253424034, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.058058046253424034, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.13113879278069718, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13113879278069718, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1611900145028452, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1611900145028452, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": -0.0931202458691135, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0931202458691135, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18796523948550614, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18796523948550614, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.29511708095172784, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29511708095172784, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42246444656459503, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.42246444656459503, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": -0.2231429462394835, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2231429462394835, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5032691860801038, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5032691860801038, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13113879278069718, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1611900145028452, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1611900145028452, "price_path": [-0.0733, -0.0612, -0.0624, -0.0769, -0.0682, -0.0427, -0.0037, 0.0136, -0.009, -0.0165, -0.0286, -0.03, -0.0178, -0.0406, -0.0425, -0.0431, -0.0509, -0.0356, -0.0459, -0.0151, -0.0141, -0.0171, -0.0183, -0.0114, -0.0225, -0.0291, -0.07, -0.0767, -0.0855, -0.0189, -0.0117, -0.007, 0.0018, -0.0165, -0.0209, -0.0016, -0.0016, 0.0017, 0.0003, 0.0018, 0.003, -0.0085, -0.0063, 0.002, 0.0088, -0.0025, 0.0057, 0.0082, 0.0062, 0.0209, 0.0295, 0.0224, 0.0215, 0.0095, 0.0046, 0.0255, 0.0522, 0.0377, 0.0186, -0.0011, -0.0062, -0.008, -0.008, 0.0, -0.0386, -0.0333, -0.041, -0.0631, -0.0497, -0.0481, -0.0824, -0.0752, -0.0795, -0.0772, -0.0907, -0.0866, -0.1131, -0.1243, -0.1364, -0.1394, -0.1394, -0.1265, -0.1216, -0.1152, -0.1311, -0.1323, -0.1322, -0.125, -0.1048, -0.0648, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0838, -0.0826, -0.0907, -0.0742, -0.0738, -0.1147, -0.1071, -0.0957, -0.0774, -0.0825, -0.0966, -0.0567, -0.0528, -0.0552, -0.0559, -0.0716, -0.0542, -0.0723, -0.0963, -0.1009, -0.0787, -0.0767, -0.0848, -0.0628, -0.077, -0.0872, -0.0804, -0.0782, -0.0829, -0.0898, -0.1005, -0.1024, -0.1003, -0.1077, -0.0931, -0.1144, -0.1432, -0.1316, -0.1393, -0.1239, -0.1239, -0.1816, -0.2074, -0.2107, -0.1969, -0.2096, -0.2102, -0.2269, -0.2264, -0.2453, -0.2673, -0.2713, -0.2802, -0.2803, -0.2809, -0.2778, -0.287, -0.2783, -0.2823, -0.2832, -0.2617, -0.2714, -0.2482, -0.2398, -0.2307, -0.2495, -0.2418, -0.2276, -0.2265, -0.2354, -0.2348, -0.2358, -0.2486, -0.2462, -0.2403, -0.2359, -0.2341, -0.2415, -0.2441, -0.2446, -0.2536, -0.274, -0.2914, -0.2972, -0.2836, -0.2867, -0.2956, -0.2878, -0.3023, -0.304, -0.2995, -0.2813, -0.2891, -0.2928, -0.2957, -0.2859, -0.2882, -0.2951]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926495329181893114", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-05-25T04:27:33+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DEO also looks to already have bottomed", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish STZ, DEO, and alcohol sector broadly; out-of-favor setup mirrors tobacco pre-rally; entering/adding.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mvk5000 Buffett is adding to STZ and DEO also looks to already have bottomed. Disagree with your characterization. Alcohol is deeply out of favor (like tobacco a few years ago just before it began a major rally) which is what I like to see when I enter or add.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Yes… but have to wonder if BUD is a one off. Look at STZ and DEO; they look terrible, and perhaps speak to a change in consumer behavior/taste, as well as regulatory stance.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mvk5000", "ret_m1d": -0.006821291330572188, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006821291330572188, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013545944608268301, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013545944608268301, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017007662903041787, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017007662903041787, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011222211162045581, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011222211162045581, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": -0.021464299364903572, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021464299364903572, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029820783788671146, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029820783788671146, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.09176897848434518, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09176897848434518, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1218202002064932, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1218202002064932, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.04893136674836085, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04893136674836085, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0459136268680318, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0459136268680318, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.17241459917603907, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17241459917603907, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29976196478890627, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29976196478890627, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": -0.24032822640958995, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.24032822640958995, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5204544662502103, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5204544662502103, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09176897848434518, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1218202002064932, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1218202002064932, "price_path": [-0.0266, -0.0103, -0.0073, -0.0149, 0.0366, 0.0386, 0.0263, 0.0204, 0.0041, -0.0139, -0.0182, -0.0209, -0.006, -0.0166, -0.0319, -0.0177, -0.0265, -0.0342, -0.0432, -0.0363, -0.0403, -0.0416, -0.0469, -0.0495, -0.0316, -0.0176, -0.0544, -0.0743, -0.075, -0.0216, -0.0265, -0.0038, 0.0059, -0.0216, -0.0159, -0.0034, -0.0034, -0.0023, 0.022, 0.0091, 0.0153, 0.0056, 0.0114, 0.0086, 0.0188, 0.0124, 0.0303, 0.0288, 0.0429, 0.0528, 0.0496, 0.0495, 0.0447, 0.0211, 0.0254, 0.044, 0.0464, 0.039, 0.0395, 0.0363, 0.0083, -0.0068, -0.0068, 0.0, -0.017, -0.0027, -0.0085, -0.0116, -0.0215, 0.0079, -0.0432, -0.0438, -0.0244, -0.0206, -0.0298, -0.024, -0.0424, -0.0622, -0.0698, -0.0757, -0.0757, -0.0839, -0.0878, -0.0796, -0.0918, -0.0856, -0.0865, -0.0829, -0.055, -0.0451, -0.0475, -0.0475, -0.0638, -0.0433, -0.0474, -0.0406, -0.0582, -0.0732, -0.0762, -0.0616, -0.0618, -0.0609, -0.0699, -0.0404, -0.0352, -0.0401, -0.0264, -0.0524, -0.0512, -0.0648, -0.1091, -0.1136, -0.1071, -0.075, -0.0271, -0.0086, -0.0044, 0.0146, 0.0136, 0.0093, 0.0069, 0.0091, 0.0063, 0.0375, 0.0482, 0.0405, 0.0489, 0.0336, 0.011, 0.0189, 0.0202, 0.0171, 0.0171, 0.0068, 0.0006, -0.0019, 0.0027, -0.0323, -0.0451, -0.0514, -0.0569, -0.0749, -0.0863, -0.0899, -0.0991, -0.1069, -0.112, -0.1271, -0.1239, -0.1318, -0.1483, -0.1437, -0.1359, -0.1321, -0.122, -0.1237, -0.1244, -0.1416, -0.1278, -0.129, -0.1322, -0.1298, -0.1301, -0.1377, -0.134, -0.1026, -0.0888, -0.0856, -0.0858, -0.087, -0.0959, -0.1019, -0.1111, -0.1222, -0.144, -0.1507, -0.1405, -0.1277, -0.1314, -0.1236, -0.1856, -0.1525, -0.1129, -0.0916, -0.0948, -0.1035, -0.1171, -0.1321, -0.1487, -0.1724]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926495329181893114", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-05-25T04:27:33+00:00", "symbol": "alcohol", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Alcohol is deeply out of favor (like tobacco a few years ago just before it began a major rally) which is what I like to see when I enter or add", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish STZ, DEO, and alcohol sector broadly; out-of-favor setup mirrors tobacco pre-rally; entering/adding.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO", "BUD", "STZ", "BF-B"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Alcohol sector basket; tobacco comparison context", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mvk5000 Buffett is adding to STZ and DEO also looks to already have bottomed. Disagree with your characterization. Alcohol is deeply out of favor (like tobacco a few years ago just before it began a major rally) which is what I like to see when I enter or add.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Yes… but have to wonder if BUD is a one off. Look at STZ and DEO; they look terrible, and perhaps speak to a change in consumer behavior/taste, as well as regulatory stance.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mvk5000", "ret_m1d": -0.011364883910949641, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011364883910949641, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009002352027890848, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009002352027890848, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020395928431301447, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020395928431301447, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01461047669030524, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01461047669030524, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": -0.025811313915396816, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025811313915396816, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03416779833916439, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03416779833916439, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.12137993207133238, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12137993207133238, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1514311537934804, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1514311537934804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": -0.05555892009854088, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05555892009854088, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15040391371493353, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15040391371493353, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.20037208021087063, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20037208021087063, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3277194458237378, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3277194458237378, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": -0.12889167926882036, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.12889167926882036, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.40901791910944074, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.40901791910944074, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12137993207133238, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1514311537934804, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1514311537934804, "price_path": [-0.0789, -0.0703, -0.0672, -0.0741, -0.0313, -0.0252, -0.0064, 0.0018, -0.0217, -0.0412, -0.0453, -0.0427, -0.0254, -0.0365, -0.0455, -0.0418, -0.0488, -0.0572, -0.0624, -0.0489, -0.0465, -0.0484, -0.0552, -0.0572, -0.0464, -0.0534, -0.0861, -0.0932, -0.1076, -0.049, -0.0536, -0.0356, -0.0269, -0.046, -0.044, -0.027, -0.027, -0.023, -0.009, -0.0152, -0.0145, -0.0274, -0.0239, -0.0214, -0.0106, -0.0227, -0.0103, -0.0108, -0.0072, 0.001, 0.01, 0.0084, 0.0065, -0.0048, -0.0045, 0.0153, 0.0266, 0.0216, 0.0147, 0.005, -0.0083, -0.0114, -0.0114, 0.0, -0.0204, -0.0111, -0.02, -0.0246, -0.0258, -0.015, -0.0815, -0.0734, -0.0713, -0.0714, -0.0761, -0.0732, -0.0923, -0.1038, -0.1122, -0.1139, -0.1139, -0.1117, -0.1046, -0.1068, -0.1214, -0.1172, -0.1177, -0.1109, -0.0901, -0.0711, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.09, -0.0832, -0.0875, -0.0756, -0.081, -0.0996, -0.1068, -0.0963, -0.0813, -0.083, -0.0921, -0.0571, -0.0454, -0.047, -0.0447, -0.0735, -0.0668, -0.083, -0.1355, -0.1405, -0.1229, -0.1041, -0.0906, -0.0733, -0.0749, -0.0753, -0.0753, -0.0744, -0.0827, -0.0796, -0.0818, -0.0715, -0.0663, -0.07, -0.0556, -0.0693, -0.0919, -0.0824, -0.0953, -0.0851, -0.0851, -0.1125, -0.1322, -0.1351, -0.1215, -0.1459, -0.1507, -0.159, -0.1589, -0.1699, -0.1787, -0.1831, -0.1837, -0.1861, -0.1847, -0.195, -0.1935, -0.1874, -0.1984, -0.1968, -0.1872, -0.1894, -0.1779, -0.1734, -0.171, -0.1869, -0.1751, -0.1727, -0.1776, -0.1828, -0.1818, -0.1765, -0.1813, -0.1601, -0.1499, -0.1467, -0.1487, -0.1555, -0.1589, -0.1628, -0.1621, -0.1714, -0.193, -0.2022, -0.1889, -0.1834, -0.1851, -0.1799, -0.203, -0.1932, -0.1766, -0.158, -0.165, -0.1628, -0.1709, -0.179, -0.1878, -0.2004]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1925955510450241576", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-23T16:42:30+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Coreweave's 3x in 1 month is just the appetizer. Every company controlling high quality compute will re-rate massively", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long CoreWeave and high-quality compute companies; AI/BTC power shortage means massive re-rating ahead over 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "EVERY single spare or idle megawatt in the United States will be used for AI and Bitcoin compute over the next 5 years and we're still short 50 GW (GIGAWATTS!!). Coreweave's 3x in 1 month is just the appetizer. Every company controlling high quality compute will re-rate massively", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02511187711996221, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02511187711996221, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031984640839892386, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031984640839892386, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006872763719930175, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006872763719930175, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.08341444299218126, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08341444299218126, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06566303642959759, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06566303642959759, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01775140656258367, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01775140656258367, "ret_p1m": 0.6904807892450635, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6904807892450635, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6510854941250304, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6510854941250304, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03939529512003315, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03939529512003315, "ret_p3m": -0.10920772293163317, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10920772293163317, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2143457777893375, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2143457777893375, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10513805485770433, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10513805485770433, "ret_p6m": -0.26678992215923303, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26678992215923303, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42285515083774083, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.42285515083774083, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1560652286785078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1560652286785078, "ret_p1y": 0.04876389176952878, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.04876389176952878, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2405286405433087, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2405286405433087, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28929253231283747, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28929253231283747, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04876389176952878, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2405286405433087, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2405286405433087, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.6107, -0.6391, -0.4883, -0.4028, -0.4763, -0.5346, -0.5148, -0.5755, -0.5253, -0.5893, -0.5742, -0.5755, -0.6031, -0.6036, -0.6195, -0.6195, -0.6553, -0.6252, -0.5949, -0.5934, -0.5957, -0.591, -0.5832, -0.598, -0.5686, -0.4981, -0.5035, -0.4715, -0.4783, -0.4647, -0.5, -0.4307, -0.3843, -0.3434, -0.3598, -0.2184, -0.1572, -0.1217, 0.0453, -0.0251, 0.0, 0.0, 0.2066, 0.1305, 0.0274, 0.0834, 0.1699, 0.4647, 0.5875, 0.3145, 0.3642, 0.5778, 0.5077, 0.4571, 0.45, 0.4326, 0.5427, 0.6734, 0.6547, 0.6547, 0.7868, 0.6905, 0.6802, 0.5525, 0.5386, 0.5572, 0.5871, 0.5178, 0.4772, 0.6079, 0.6079, 0.5544, 0.4741, 0.4897, 0.346, 0.2248, 0.2884, 0.3684, 0.3923, 0.2868, 0.1974, 0.2158, 0.2631, 0.2269, 0.168, 0.1254, 0.0734, 0.0584, 0.0015, 0.1109, 0.0136, 0.0318, 0.0886, 0.073, 0.1785, 0.261, 0.3605, 0.4478, 0.1462, -0.0315, -0.027, -0.0578, -0.0959, -0.1092, -0.1163, -0.0852, -0.1008, -0.1105, -0.0566, 0.0005, 0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0915, -0.1252, -0.1485, -0.1329, -0.0894, -0.0245, 0.1402, 0.0968, 0.0897, 0.1726, 0.1558, 0.1764, 0.1815, 0.2153, 0.2968, 0.274, 0.2984, 0.2328, 0.1713, 0.1925, 0.332, 0.3339, 0.3432, 0.312, 0.3028, 0.2539, 0.3625, 0.3926, 0.3474, 0.3784, 0.3048, 0.3553, 0.3796, 0.3322, 0.2367, 0.2172, 0.1829, 0.2005, 0.2901, 0.3243, 0.312, 0.362, 0.2756, 0.3014, 0.2295, 0.1266, 0.1137, 0.0408, 0.0124, 0.0279, -0.1397, -0.1685, -0.2375, -0.247, -0.2668]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1930096319978451151", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-04T02:56:36+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The rally should pick up with a sharp spike in the first half of July", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects Bitcoin rally to accelerate with a sharp spike in the first half of July.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bitcoinmining87 The rally should pick up with a sharp spike in the first half of July", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006688351979390328, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006688351979390328, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006419767429316714, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006419767429316714, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030134359325224014, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030134359325224014, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025301603060925548, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025301603060925548, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "ret_p1w": 0.03775962661836085, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03775962661836085, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028647797089161653, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028647797089161653, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "ret_p1m": 0.04693878586218658, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04693878586218658, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005514966651379405, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005514966651379405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "ret_p3m": 0.04314450262701808, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04314450262701808, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04248131131866861, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04248131131866861, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "ret_p6m": -0.12839066742833305, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12839066742833305, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2754706205620947, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2754706205620947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "ret_p1y": -0.27922455935515167, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.27922455935515167, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5447889353639666, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5447889353639666, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04693878586218658, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.005514966651379405, "alpha_c_stated": -0.005514966651379405, "price_path": [-0.1718, -0.2502, -0.2088, -0.2006, -0.226, -0.1982, -0.1972, -0.2102, -0.1707, -0.1964, -0.1975, -0.1645, -0.1648, -0.1703, -0.1676, -0.1946, -0.2118, -0.1868, -0.2124, -0.2065, -0.1994, -0.2434, -0.2717, -0.2116, -0.2397, -0.2036, -0.1928, -0.2011, -0.1976, -0.1894, -0.1936, -0.1644, -0.1078, -0.1053, -0.103, -0.0956, -0.0931, -0.0998, -0.1005, -0.0787, -0.0747, -0.0953, -0.0757, -0.0735, -0.0142, -0.0168, -0.0183, -0.0054, -0.0114, -0.0094, -0.0119, 0.0083, 0.0197, 0.0472, 0.0663, 0.0244, 0.045, 0.0407, 0.0293, 0.0087, -0.007, 0.011, 0.0067, 0.0, -0.0301, -0.0033, 0.0531, 0.0528, 0.0378, 0.0114, 0.013, 0.0197, -0.0012, 0.0014, -0.0005, -0.0136, 0.0081, 0.0125, 0.0251, 0.0213, 0.0225, 0.0229, 0.0092, 0.0394, 0.0469, 0.0315, 0.0341, 0.0403, 0.063, 0.1075, 0.1221, 0.1443, 0.1246, 0.1337, 0.139, 0.1267, 0.1213, 0.1457, 0.1339, 0.1302, 0.1232, 0.126, 0.1259, 0.1251, 0.1053, 0.082, 0.0987, 0.0898, 0.0983, 0.1219, 0.1142, 0.1337, 0.1474, 0.1777, 0.1301, 0.1209, 0.11, 0.0773, 0.0911, 0.0734, 0.1159, 0.0515, 0.0675, 0.062, 0.0746, 0.0351, 0.0431, 0.0618, 0.0668, 0.0572, 0.0565, 0.0701, 0.0649, 0.0881, 0.1029, 0.1086, 0.1023, 0.1156, 0.1121, 0.1184, 0.1046, 0.0765, 0.0695, 0.0821, 0.0412, 0.0476, 0.0923, 0.089, 0.1329, 0.1523, 0.1674, 0.1912, 0.1596, 0.1778, 0.1621, 0.081, 0.1006, 0.0801, 0.0578, 0.033, 0.0166, 0.0559, 0.0358, 0.0282, 0.051, 0.0602, 0.0896, 0.0785, 0.0508, 0.0341, 0.0461, 0.0173, -0.03, -0.008, -0.0328, -0.013, 0.0121, -0.0166, -0.0293, -0.0481, -0.0987, -0.1207, -0.1125, -0.1267, -0.1728, -0.1875, -0.1572, -0.166, -0.1357, -0.1284]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1932533208496951458", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-10T20:19:56+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "definitely don't sell it based on short term down moves of charts", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Hold BTC through short-term dips; endorses parent's long thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BobLoukas Agreed and definitely don’t sell it based on short term down moves of charts", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin $2.1T market cap for an asset that has captured (and expanding) so much global admiration and mindshare remains significantly cheap, IMO.   \n\nIt’s just more a question of time.  Which means patience.  \n\nMost are better off just capturing this over time versus chasing in a", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BobLoukas", "ret_m1d": 0.00033437431755833913, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00033437431755833913, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0025259638633197135, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0025259638633197135, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028603381808780526, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028603381808780526, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014244955298426398, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014244955298426398, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018219334012924082, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018219334012924082, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003974378714497684, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003974378714497684, "ret_p1w": -0.05129928407475526, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05129928407475526, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04478074719779046, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04478074719779046, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006518536876964798, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006518536876964798, "ret_p1m": 0.00969841406381633, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00969841406381633, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03405279013742568, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03405279013742568, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04375120420124201, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04375120420124201, "ret_p3m": 0.003571194237112829, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003571194237112829, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07855635969875197, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07855635969875197, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0821275539358648, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0821275539358648, "ret_p6m": -0.1517309025782464, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1517309025782464, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29633046140831454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29633046140831454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14459955883006814, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14459955883006814, "ret_p1y": -0.3330455357025184, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3330455357025184, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6054148603123573, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6054148603123573, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27236932460983887, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27236932460983887, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00969841406381633, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03405279013742568, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03405279013742568, "price_path": [-0.2647, -0.2384, -0.2375, -0.2498, -0.2123, -0.2366, -0.2378, -0.2064, -0.2067, -0.2118, -0.2093, -0.2349, -0.2513, -0.2275, -0.2519, -0.2463, -0.2396, -0.2814, -0.3082, -0.2511, -0.2778, -0.2435, -0.2332, -0.2411, -0.2378, -0.23, -0.2341, -0.2062, -0.1525, -0.1502, -0.148, -0.1409, -0.1386, -0.1449, -0.1456, -0.1248, -0.1211, -0.1407, -0.122, -0.1199, -0.0636, -0.0661, -0.0675, -0.0552, -0.0609, -0.0591, -0.0614, -0.0422, -0.0314, -0.0053, 0.0128, -0.0269, -0.0074, -0.0115, -0.0223, -0.0419, -0.0568, -0.0397, -0.0438, -0.0501, -0.0787, -0.0532, 0.0003, 0.0, -0.0142, -0.0393, -0.0378, -0.0314, -0.0513, -0.0487, -0.0505, -0.063, -0.0424, -0.0382, -0.0263, -0.0299, -0.0287, -0.0283, -0.0413, -0.0127, -0.0055, -0.0202, -0.0178, -0.0119, 0.0097, 0.052, 0.0658, 0.087, 0.0682, 0.0769, 0.0819, 0.0703, 0.0651, 0.0883, 0.0771, 0.0736, 0.0669, 0.0695, 0.0695, 0.0687, 0.0499, 0.0278, 0.0437, 0.0352, 0.0433, 0.0657, 0.0583, 0.0769, 0.0899, 0.1187, 0.0735, 0.0648, 0.0544, 0.0233, 0.0364, 0.0196, 0.06, -0.0012, 0.014, 0.0088, 0.0207, -0.0167, -0.0091, 0.0086, 0.0133, 0.0042, 0.0036, 0.0165, 0.0115, 0.0335, 0.0476, 0.053, 0.0471, 0.0597, 0.0563, 0.0624, 0.0493, 0.0226, 0.0159, 0.0279, -0.011, -0.0049, 0.0376, 0.0345, 0.0761, 0.0945, 0.1089, 0.1315, 0.1015, 0.1188, 0.1038, 0.0268, 0.0455, 0.026, 0.0048, -0.0188, -0.0344, 0.003, -0.0161, -0.0233, -0.0017, 0.007, 0.035, 0.0245, -0.0018, -0.0177, -0.0064, -0.0336, -0.0786, -0.0577, -0.0812, -0.0624, -0.0386, -0.0658, -0.0779, -0.0958, -0.1438, -0.1647, -0.157, -0.1704, -0.2143, -0.2283, -0.1994, -0.2078, -0.179, -0.1721, -0.1754, -0.2171, -0.1715, -0.1517]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1917016501787496558", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-29T00:42:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is going to $1M. Just buy some and hold and stop dicking around like you were at much lower prices.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC to $1M; urges buying and holding rather than trading alts.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CredibleCrypto Bitcoin is going to $1M. Just buy some and hold and stop dicking around like you were at much lower prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "With $BTC looking quite strong here, there is a chance that it could lead the next leg with a breakout to the upside.\n\nIf this occurs, it's possible we see a small window where $BTC leads before alts follow. Leading to an ALT/BTC \"capitulation\" move.\n\nLet's take $CRV for example. https://t.co/aUPHfCIISl", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CredibleCrypto", "ret_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "ret_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "ret_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "ret_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "ret_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "ret_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1433692454202704, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08309718567556823, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08309718567556823, "price_path": [0.1108, 0.0861, 0.0755, 0.038, 0.0247, 0.0245, 0.0238, 0.0334, 0.0155, 0.0382, 0.0248, 0.0342, 0.0158, 0.0133, 0.0249, 0.0429, 0.0195, -0.0304, -0.0588, -0.1054, -0.1016, -0.1051, -0.0872, -0.0749, -0.0388, -0.0459, -0.08, -0.1671, -0.1211, -0.112, -0.1402, -0.1094, -0.1083, -0.1227, -0.0788, -0.1073, -0.1086, -0.072, -0.0723, -0.0783, -0.0754, -0.1053, -0.1245, -0.0967, -0.1251, -0.1186, -0.1107, -0.1596, -0.191, -0.1242, -0.1555, -0.1154, -0.1033, -0.1126, -0.1087, -0.0996, -0.1043, -0.0718, -0.0089, -0.0062, -0.0036, 0.0046, 0.0074, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0234, 0.0278, 0.0049, 0.0267, 0.0291, 0.095, 0.0921, 0.0905, 0.1048, 0.0982, 0.1003, 0.0976, 0.1201, 0.1326, 0.1633, 0.1844, 0.1379, 0.1607, 0.156, 0.1434, 0.1205, 0.103, 0.123, 0.1182, 0.1108, 0.0773, 0.1072, 0.1698, 0.1694, 0.1527, 0.1235, 0.1252, 0.1327, 0.1094, 0.1124, 0.1103, 0.0957, 0.1198, 0.1247, 0.1387, 0.1344, 0.1358, 0.1363, 0.1211, 0.1546, 0.1629, 0.1458, 0.1486, 0.1555, 0.1807, 0.2302, 0.2464, 0.2711, 0.2492, 0.2594, 0.2652, 0.2516, 0.2456, 0.2727, 0.2595, 0.2554, 0.2477, 0.2507, 0.2507, 0.2497, 0.2278, 0.2019, 0.2205, 0.2106, 0.22, 0.2462, 0.2376, 0.2593, 0.2746, 0.3082, 0.2553, 0.2451, 0.233, 0.1967, 0.212, 0.1923, 0.2396, 0.168, 0.1858, 0.1796, 0.1937, 0.1498, 0.1587, 0.1794, 0.185, 0.1744, 0.1736, 0.1886, 0.1829, 0.2086, 0.2251, 0.2314, 0.2244, 0.2393, 0.2353, 0.2424, 0.227, 0.1958, 0.188, 0.202, 0.1566, 0.1636, 0.2133, 0.2097, 0.2584, 0.28, 0.2968, 0.3231, 0.2881, 0.3083, 0.2908, 0.2008, 0.2226, 0.1998, 0.175, 0.1474, 0.1292, 0.1729, 0.1505, 0.1422]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1918291185028014345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-02T13:07:13+00:00", "symbol": "bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The big miners are about to run", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish on large Bitcoin miners: hashprice recovery, hashrate stabilization, and upcoming -4.5% difficulty adjustment expected to boost margins imminently.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US Bitcoin miners ETF WGMI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hashprice is back over $50. Hashrate has settled out between 800-900 EH/s with large players signaling a pause. The next difficulty adjustment should be  -4.5% and could happen as soon as tomorrow. The sun is coming out and the birds are chirping. The big miners are about to run.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02538410872829855, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02538410872829855, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010757097567502094, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010757097567502094, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04742819141498189, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04742819141498189, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04169386661755725, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04169386661755725, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "ret_p1w": 0.03874414918906144, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03874414918906144, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04301390543903205, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04301390543903205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "ret_p1m": 0.1489646263281763, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1489646263281763, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10317804839835398, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10317804839835398, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "ret_p3m": 0.6506345119375878, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6506345119375878, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5278741600610977, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5278741600610977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "ret_p6m": 3.064128194211662, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.064128194211662, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.8481440300297165, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.8481440300297165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "ret_p1y": 2.171676599552926, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.171676599552926, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.9151459135602014, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9151459135602014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03874414918906144, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04301390543903205, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04301390543903205, "price_path": [0.5077, 0.5003, 0.5204, 0.5464, 0.5698, 0.4923, 0.5184, 0.5551, 0.5631, 0.5631, 0.5257, 0.5217, 0.5023, 0.3707, 0.2826, 0.1383, 0.1503, 0.1283, 0.1904, 0.1022, 0.0862, 0.149, 0.0554, 0.0902, -0.0327, 0.0073, 0.0214, -0.0267, 0.022, 0.0267, -0.0481, 0.0154, 0.0007, -0.0114, 0.0895, 0.0454, -0.0434, -0.0621, -0.1229, -0.147, -0.0868, -0.0488, -0.1483, -0.177, -0.171, -0.2325, -0.1276, -0.1977, -0.1637, -0.1516, -0.1997, -0.2044, -0.1957, -0.1957, -0.2158, -0.1249, -0.0975, -0.0608, -0.0274, -0.0428, -0.0521, -0.0862, -0.0254, 0.0, -0.0474, -0.0287, -0.0254, 0.0374, 0.0387, 0.0915, 0.149, 0.1323, 0.1069, 0.2024, 0.2111, 0.2017, 0.1857, 0.2098, 0.1764, 0.1764, 0.2184, 0.1536, 0.1289, 0.1002, 0.149, 0.1971, 0.2819, 0.2158, 0.3073, 0.3467, 0.3547, 0.336, 0.31, 0.2599, 0.316, 0.2478, 0.2492, 0.2492, 0.2411, 0.2084, 0.2973, 0.3013, 0.4362, 0.4502, 0.519, 0.5424, 0.68, 0.7388, 0.7388, 0.6627, 0.6633, 0.686, 0.7027, 0.6553, 0.7081, 0.6733, 0.7482, 0.7923, 0.7869, 0.7689, 0.841, 0.8263, 0.811, 0.7742, 0.7455, 0.664, 0.6506, 0.6874, 0.5645, 0.6587, 0.66, 0.7188, 0.6947, 0.6673, 0.674, 0.6974, 0.7034, 0.8016, 0.7836, 0.8898, 0.7769, 0.8216, 0.7956, 0.8898, 0.9112, 0.9633, 0.9579, 0.982, 1.0454, 1.0454, 1.1136, 1.0508, 0.9486, 0.9673, 0.9833, 1.2131, 1.3707, 1.3828, 1.493, 1.5872, 1.6627, 1.7488, 1.7455, 1.7762, 1.9372, 1.8657, 2.006, 1.8163, 1.7128, 1.9532, 1.9552, 2.0107, 2.1055, 2.2191, 2.493, 2.5658, 2.6994, 2.8457, 2.6967, 3.0655, 3.2612, 3.4021, 2.9633, 2.8898, 2.9927, 2.7415, 2.4282, 2.6086, 2.9833, 3.0641]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1915207595939475907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-24T00:54:08+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "More announcements on deck", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC: SoftBank confirmed buying, more corporate buying announcements imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "SoftBank ✅\n\nMore announcements on deck", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "It turns out I was right. The institutions were always coming to Bitcoin. I received confirmation today that 2 more large corporate entities have started a Bitcoin buying program. This does not include GameStop. Things are about to get crazy. Make sure you have enough BTC.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0026046158249871665, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0026046158249871665, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01801037399862171, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01801037399862171, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020614989823608876, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020614989823608876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008267742531563593, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008267742531563593, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010423180039078606, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0010423180039078606, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007225424527655733, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007225424527655733, "ret_p1w": 0.027128337870897967, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027128337870897967, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005580564081708594, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005580564081708594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021547773789189373, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021547773789189373, "ret_p1m": 0.142042374737688, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.142042374737688, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08274011616417609, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08274011616417609, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0593022585735119, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0593022585735119, "ret_p3m": 0.27731066929478954, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27731066929478954, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12360544284022557, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12360544284022557, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15370522645456397, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15370522645456397, "ret_p6m": 0.13331366842841375, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13331366842841375, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08895406649609794, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08895406649609794, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22226773492451168, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22226773492451168, "ret_p1y": -0.20713614839191585, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20713614839191585, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47653036187071773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47653036187071773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2693942134788019, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2693942134788019, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.142042374737688, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08274011616417609, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08274011616417609, "price_path": [0.0867, 0.0787, 0.1039, 0.1149, 0.0901, 0.0794, 0.0418, 0.0284, 0.0282, 0.0275, 0.0372, 0.0192, 0.042, 0.0285, 0.038, 0.0195, 0.017, 0.0287, 0.0467, 0.0232, -0.0269, -0.0554, -0.1022, -0.0984, -0.1019, -0.0839, -0.0715, -0.0353, -0.0424, -0.0767, -0.1641, -0.118, -0.1088, -0.1371, -0.1062, -0.105, -0.1195, -0.0755, -0.1041, -0.1054, -0.0686, -0.0689, -0.075, -0.072, -0.1021, -0.1213, -0.0934, -0.122, -0.1154, -0.1075, -0.1566, -0.1881, -0.121, -0.1524, -0.1122, -0.1001, -0.1094, -0.1055, -0.0963, -0.101, -0.0684, -0.0053, -0.0026, 0.0, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0036, 0.0028, 0.0271, 0.0316, 0.0086, 0.0304, 0.0329, 0.099, 0.0961, 0.0944, 0.1089, 0.1021, 0.1043, 0.1016, 0.1241, 0.1368, 0.1675, 0.1887, 0.142, 0.165, 0.1602, 0.1475, 0.1245, 0.107, 0.1271, 0.1223, 0.1148, 0.0812, 0.1112, 0.174, 0.1737, 0.1569, 0.1276, 0.1293, 0.1368, 0.1134, 0.1164, 0.1143, 0.0997, 0.1238, 0.1288, 0.1428, 0.1386, 0.1399, 0.1404, 0.1251, 0.1588, 0.1672, 0.15, 0.1528, 0.1597, 0.185, 0.2346, 0.2509, 0.2758, 0.2537, 0.2639, 0.2698, 0.2561, 0.2501, 0.2773, 0.2641, 0.26, 0.2522, 0.2553, 0.2552, 0.2543, 0.2322, 0.2063, 0.2249, 0.215, 0.2244, 0.2507, 0.2421, 0.2639, 0.2792, 0.313, 0.2599, 0.2497, 0.2375, 0.201, 0.2164, 0.1967, 0.2441, 0.1722, 0.1901, 0.1839, 0.198, 0.154, 0.1629, 0.1837, 0.1893, 0.1786, 0.1778, 0.193, 0.1872, 0.213, 0.2295, 0.2359, 0.2289, 0.2438, 0.2398, 0.2469, 0.2315, 0.2002, 0.1924, 0.2063, 0.1608, 0.1679, 0.2178, 0.2141, 0.263, 0.2846, 0.3015, 0.3279, 0.2928, 0.3131, 0.2955, 0.2051, 0.227, 0.2041, 0.1792, 0.1516, 0.1333]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1937003509154726162", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-23T04:23:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN is next, brother. It's one of the best companies on the planet.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; calls it one of the best companies on the planet.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@amitisinvesting @FransBakker9812 IREN is next, brother.\n\nIt’s one of the best companies on the planet.\n\nI’m on the board so obviously biased but happy to discuss with you anytime.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@FransBakker9812 streets are saying shes next", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.017823600666319606, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017823600666319606, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008042827203835978, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00538764630389843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012435954362421175, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08255160666391115, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08255160666391115, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07150431666175172, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06759685738664589, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014954749277265256, "ret_p1w": 0.3667917357767436, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3667917357767436, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3372990827448983, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3362919292047646, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030499806571979038, "ret_p1m": 0.7439024783007777, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7439024783007777, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.69606430697092, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.707302771396636, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.036599706904141716, "ret_p3m": 2.407129476051681, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.407129476051681, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.303638612204523, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.341997630557792, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0651318454938894, "ret_p6m": 2.432457849562795, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.432457849562795, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.2981544490836225, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.3537512827291263, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07870656683366906, "ret_p1y": 3.8330207500210234, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.8330207500210234, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.6140200199514094, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.792969829856295, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04005092016472833, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7439024783007777, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.69606430697092, "alpha_c_stated": 0.707302771396636, "price_path": [-0.3705, -0.394, -0.4306, -0.4287, -0.3771, -0.3659, -0.4334, -0.4428, -0.4484, -0.5028, -0.4465, -0.485, -0.4719, -0.4606, -0.4887, -0.4869, -0.4756, -0.4756, -0.4831, -0.4315, -0.4278, -0.409, -0.3865, -0.4006, -0.4118, -0.4268, -0.4024, -0.3874, -0.4193, -0.3902, -0.3837, -0.3537, -0.3396, -0.2955, -0.2383, -0.2523, -0.273, -0.2111, -0.1989, -0.1923, -0.166, -0.1295, -0.1445, -0.1445, -0.1332, -0.1689, -0.1932, -0.2129, -0.1811, -0.166, -0.1154, -0.1604, -0.0854, -0.03, -0.0159, -0.0338, -0.046, -0.0779, -0.0244, -0.0835, -0.0807, -0.0807, -0.0178, 0.0, 0.0826, 0.1135, 0.2298, 0.3133, 0.3668, 0.4287, 0.469, 0.5779, 0.5779, 0.5901, 0.5844, 0.591, 0.5976, 0.5225, 0.621, 0.5835, 0.6238, 0.6932, 0.6829, 0.7026, 0.7439, 0.7814, 0.7017, 0.6623, 0.5553, 0.4812, 0.5141, 0.5113, 0.4447, 0.546, 0.5432, 0.7186, 0.742, 0.7308, 0.6857, 0.6726, 0.6632, 0.7899, 0.8471, 0.9423, 0.757, 0.8537, 0.8377, 1.0103, 1.1689, 1.1567, 1.0971, 1.1614, 1.4841, 1.4841, 1.7308, 1.6463, 1.4512, 1.4531, 1.4568, 1.8321, 2.1548, 2.0816, 2.1857, 2.4841, 2.4193, 2.5553, 2.4071, 2.6248, 2.9306, 2.9184, 3.4221, 3.3424, 2.9268, 3.3086, 3.4024, 3.4165, 3.4109, 3.7336, 4.4174, 4.7861, 4.637, 4.9897, 4.6069, 5.0169, 5.5253, 5.3771, 4.8002, 4.6961, 4.5553, 4.1778, 3.8621, 4.2402, 4.9006, 5.0966, 4.8555, 4.6679, 4.4615, 4.6989, 5.3555, 5.2505, 6.1679, 5.2814, 4.8518, 4.6445, 4.3827, 4.2251, 3.5638, 3.3499, 3.4475, 3.5826, 3.2992, 3.0779, 2.9644, 3.5488, 3.4531, 3.545, 3.545, 3.485, 3.5488, 2.8574, 3.1238, 3.3574, 3.1942, 3.3471, 3.394, 3.1201, 3.122, 2.7645, 2.3283, 2.4325]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1930044652033585452", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-03T23:31:18+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm big in August IBIT calls", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds large position in August IBIT calls; bullish BTC via IBIT options.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson I’m big in August IBIT calls", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Someone bought the June 27 $IBIT $77 calls to open 3000x this morning and paid 13 cents. \n\nBTC has to go to $135K by then to pay", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": 0.012743161368347966, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012743161368347966, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012474576818274352, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012474576818274352, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02967807638963338, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02967807638963338, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024845320125334913, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024845320125334913, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "ret_p1w": 0.03688800780439472, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03688800780439472, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027776178275195518, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027776178275195518, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "ret_p1m": 0.042756526880567636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042756526880567636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009697225632998352, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009697225632998352, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "ret_p3m": 0.030181074035573685, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030181074035573685, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.055444739910113006, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.055444739910113006, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "ret_p6m": -0.14436620889446183, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14436620889446183, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2914461620282235, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2914461620282235, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "ret_p1y": -0.2796780763896334, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2796780763896334, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5452424523984483, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5452424523984483, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.042756526880567636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.009697225632998352, "alpha_c_stated": -0.009697225632998352, "price_path": [-0.1712, -0.247, -0.2079, -0.2094, -0.2368, -0.1928, -0.1942, -0.2151, -0.1849, -0.1977, -0.2002, -0.1586, -0.1593, -0.1754, -0.171, -0.2025, -0.2151, -0.1901, -0.1715, -0.2191, -0.2, -0.2577, -0.2691, -0.2148, -0.2426, -0.2007, -0.1905, -0.1995, -0.1958, -0.1908, -0.1908, -0.1663, -0.1268, -0.108, -0.107, -0.09, -0.0966, -0.0909, -0.1028, -0.0786, -0.0746, -0.1008, -0.0951, -0.0832, -0.0339, -0.0164, -0.0295, -0.0003, -0.0151, -0.0163, -0.0074, 0.0059, 0.0213, 0.036, 0.0602, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.048, 0.0193, 0.0059, -0.003, -0.0047, 0.0127, 0.0, -0.0297, -0.0064, 0.0357, 0.0444, 0.0369, 0.0178, 0.0017, 0.0362, -0.0023, -0.0112, -0.0112, -0.0163, -0.0163, 0.007, 0.0274, 0.0252, 0.0181, 0.0263, 0.0034, 0.0466, 0.0428, 0.0428, 0.0295, 0.0366, 0.0661, 0.0815, 0.1269, 0.1432, 0.1093, 0.1373, 0.1343, 0.118, 0.1122, 0.1372, 0.1283, 0.1345, 0.1127, 0.1251, 0.1185, 0.1128, 0.112, 0.0768, 0.0932, 0.0823, 0.0984, 0.1206, 0.1088, 0.1341, 0.1393, 0.171, 0.1239, 0.114, 0.1075, 0.0763, 0.0882, 0.0679, 0.1108, 0.0543, 0.058, 0.0672, 0.0661, 0.0302, 0.0302, 0.0558, 0.0692, 0.0454, 0.0634, 0.0681, 0.06, 0.082, 0.0904, 0.113, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1011, 0.1192, 0.0961, 0.0672, 0.0632, 0.0801, 0.0412, 0.0386, 0.0894, 0.0899, 0.119, 0.1531, 0.1705, 0.1953, 0.1591, 0.1747, 0.1526, 0.11, 0.1035, 0.0716, 0.0592, 0.03, 0.0139, 0.0552, 0.0646, 0.0263, 0.049, 0.0535, 0.0946, 0.0813, 0.0521, 0.0127, 0.0446, 0.0149, -0.0412, -0.0121, -0.0399, -0.0127, 0.0092, -0.0216, -0.0344, -0.0679, -0.1034, -0.1264, -0.117, -0.1494, -0.1791, -0.1957, -0.1521, -0.169, -0.1444, -0.1444]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1935818952564986002", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-19T21:56:18+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR are two of the most important and most mispriced equities on the planet right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Fully endorses IREN and CIFR as most mispriced equities on the planet; expects the undervaluation to close.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I fully endorse this Fox Business video with Eric Jackson. IREN and CIFR are two of the most important and most mispriced equities on the planet right now. I do not know how much longer this situation will persist.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Great to be back on Making Money with @cvpayne and pinch hitter @cherylcasone today talking about AI Datacenters, why $IREN and $CIFR are undervalued and ChatGPT https://t.co/zvAC2ocSII", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06399236477613568, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06399236477613568, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.066346367343742, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06121229559589292, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0027800691802427613, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018147046374165976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018147046374165976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008269664476943106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005554491574955467, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012592554799210509, "ret_p1w": 0.3371537385808434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3371537385808434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3024395475559598, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.302245140774811, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03490859780603239, "ret_p1m": 0.7335242746541883, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7335242746541883, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6754877115498583, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6896493227324734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04387495192171498, "ret_p3m": 2.619866338039189, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.619866338039189, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.5106586459367852, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5423180229809432, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07754831505824611, "ret_p6m": 2.3887295737677086, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.3887295737677086, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.2400836937810293, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.2894425796548914, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09928699411281738, "ret_p1y": 4.159503255016969, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.159503255016969, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.9087430510248744, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.101717768418412, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.05778548659855676, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7335242746541883, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6754877115498583, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6896493227324734, "price_path": [-0.2932, -0.3591, -0.383, -0.4202, -0.4183, -0.3658, -0.3543, -0.4231, -0.4327, -0.4384, -0.4938, -0.4365, -0.4756, -0.4623, -0.4508, -0.4795, -0.4776, -0.4661, -0.4661, -0.4737, -0.4212, -0.4174, -0.3983, -0.3754, -0.3897, -0.4011, -0.4164, -0.3916, -0.3763, -0.4088, -0.3792, -0.3725, -0.3419, -0.3276, -0.2827, -0.2245, -0.2388, -0.2598, -0.1968, -0.1843, -0.1777, -0.1509, -0.1137, -0.1289, -0.1289, -0.1175, -0.1538, -0.1786, -0.1987, -0.1662, -0.1509, -0.0993, -0.1452, -0.0688, -0.0124, 0.0019, -0.0162, -0.0287, -0.0611, -0.0067, -0.0669, -0.064, -0.064, 0.0, 0.0181, 0.1022, 0.1337, 0.2521, 0.3372, 0.3916, 0.4546, 0.4957, 0.6065, 0.6065, 0.6189, 0.6132, 0.6199, 0.6266, 0.5501, 0.6504, 0.6122, 0.6533, 0.724, 0.7135, 0.7335, 0.7755, 0.8138, 0.7326, 0.6925, 0.5836, 0.5081, 0.5415, 0.5387, 0.4709, 0.574, 0.5712, 0.7498, 0.7736, 0.7622, 0.7163, 0.703, 0.6934, 0.8223, 0.8806, 0.9776, 0.7889, 0.8873, 0.8711, 1.0468, 1.2082, 1.1958, 1.1351, 1.2006, 1.5291, 1.5291, 1.7803, 1.6944, 1.4957, 1.4976, 1.5014, 1.8835, 2.212, 2.1375, 2.2436, 2.5473, 2.4814, 2.6199, 2.469, 2.6905, 3.0019, 2.9895, 3.5024, 3.4212, 2.9981, 3.3868, 3.4823, 3.4967, 3.4909, 3.8195, 4.5158, 4.8911, 4.7393, 5.0984, 4.7087, 5.1261, 5.6437, 5.4928, 4.9054, 4.7994, 4.6562, 4.2717, 3.9503, 4.3352, 5.0076, 5.2073, 4.9618, 4.7708, 4.5606, 4.8023, 5.4709, 5.3639, 6.298, 5.3954, 4.958, 4.7469, 4.4804, 4.32, 3.6466, 3.4288, 3.5282, 3.6657, 3.3773, 3.1519, 3.0363, 3.6313, 3.5339, 3.6275, 3.6275, 3.5664, 3.6313, 2.9274, 3.1987, 3.4365, 3.2703, 3.426, 3.4737, 3.1948, 3.1968, 2.8329, 2.3887]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1935818952564986002", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-19T21:56:18+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR are two of the most important and most mispriced equities on the planet right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Fully endorses IREN and CIFR as most mispriced equities on the planet; expects the undervaluation to close.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I fully endorse this Fox Business video with Eric Jackson. IREN and CIFR are two of the most important and most mispriced equities on the planet right now. I do not know how much longer this situation will persist.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Great to be back on Making Money with @cvpayne and pinch hitter @cherylcasone today talking about AI Datacenters, why $IREN and $CIFR are undervalued and ChatGPT https://t.co/zvAC2ocSII", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005277039875413392, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005277039875413392, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002923037307807075, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0008287158566353536, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004448324018778038, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06860158128765159, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06860158128765159, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07847896318487446, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08000324600147246, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01140166471382087, "ret_p1w": 0.1240106257940472, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1240106257940472, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0892964347691636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07975337237256408, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04425725342148312, "ret_p1m": 0.649076533748622, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.649076533748622, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5910399706442919, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5612615766695002, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08781495707912179, "ret_p3m": 2.2664908282447636, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.2664908282447636, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1572831361423597, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.1362012177084915, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13028961053627208, "ret_p6m": 2.8891820368017638, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.8891820368017638, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.740536156815085, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.702526676712483, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18665536008928063, "ret_p1y": 5.077836432523264, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.077836432523264, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.827076228531169, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.566211847002666, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5116245855205974, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.649076533748622, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5910399706442919, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5612615766695002, "price_path": [-0.1979, -0.2929, -0.3298, -0.3879, -0.3931, -0.3509, -0.3008, -0.3905, -0.4459, -0.4116, -0.4433, -0.3509, -0.4142, -0.3615, -0.3562, -0.3879, -0.3865, -0.3747, -0.3747, -0.3826, -0.277, -0.2454, -0.2084, -0.1873, -0.1926, -0.1873, -0.248, -0.1781, -0.1662, -0.2137, -0.1979, -0.2032, -0.1768, -0.2137, -0.1689, -0.095, -0.1266, -0.1636, 0.0185, 0.0053, -0.0026, -0.0752, -0.058, -0.0844, -0.0844, -0.058, -0.1161, -0.1425, -0.1768, -0.1425, -0.0937, -0.0132, -0.0686, 0.029, 0.0923, 0.0712, 0.0765, 0.0132, -0.0185, 0.0369, -0.029, 0.0053, 0.0053, 0.0, -0.0686, 0.0158, 0.0158, 0.1055, 0.124, 0.2612, 0.2929, 0.4987, 0.5963, 0.5963, 0.5277, 0.591, 0.6517, 0.6464, 0.5488, 0.591, 0.5752, 0.6544, 0.6939, 0.6781, 0.6491, 0.8311, 0.7625, 0.7546, 0.7071, 0.6253, 0.4987, 0.438, 0.4406, 0.3008, 0.3694, 0.3219, 0.3747, 0.285, 0.2533, 0.2559, 0.2454, 0.2929, 0.4037, 0.3747, 0.5963, 0.5198, 0.5699, 0.5567, 0.6834, 0.752, 0.8786, 0.8443, 0.8522, 1.0158, 1.0158, 1.1953, 1.1398, 0.9525, 0.9842, 1.0369, 1.4327, 1.7045, 1.6306, 1.8628, 1.8628, 2.0369, 2.2665, 2.1266, 2.2401, 2.6834, 2.7335, 2.7309, 2.0765, 2.0264, 2.3377, 2.3219, 2.3245, 2.6438, 2.8786, 3.0475, 3.1557, 3.6438, 3.7467, 3.4776, 4.3668, 4.5119, 4.5488, 3.9393, 3.9499, 4.2533, 3.7691, 3.2507, 3.5528, 4.4512, 4.4195, 4.2665, 4.1689, 4.0317, 3.9208, 5.0053, 4.9393, 5.5198, 4.7282, 4.4591, 4.1847, 3.9261, 3.5858, 2.9393, 2.7889, 2.7863, 2.847, 2.8575, 2.8417, 2.7335, 3.409, 3.6227, 4.0528, 4.0528, 4.3694, 4.1953, 3.6544, 3.9156, 4.2322, 4.0871, 4.1398, 4.1609, 3.876, 3.9815, 3.4987, 2.8892]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1907455464100774029", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-02T15:29:56+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin infrastructure", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think pretty much all BTC infrastructure companies are wildly undervalued right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on all BTC infrastructure companies; author views the entire sector as wildly undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA", "CLSK", "RIOT", "CORZ", "IREN"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "BTC infrastructure: major public miners+data center cos", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TannerLeighton I am only commenting on those names in particular because they have signed deals with Coreweave. I think pretty much all BTC infrastructure companies are wildly undervalued right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Do you agree galaxy and core scientific are looking more  bullish rn now than the other btc proxies?? That is my take, but my perspective is limited (only been in the space for a little over a year...)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TannerLeighton", "ret_m1d": -0.04630774886357223, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04630774886357223, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04001913714173686, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03813391412421272, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006288611721835369, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008173834739359509, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10379780404939676, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10379780404939676, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05451689331957155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.054555399767927004, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.04928091072982521, "bench_c_p1d": -0.049242404281469754, "ret_p1w": -0.07464081148485353, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07464081148485353, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04647521630997083, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016227748228400854, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028165595174882707, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05841306325645268, "ret_p1m": 0.02777244654060269, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02777244654060269, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03848963027053438, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05588253350601953, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01071718372993169, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028110086965416836, "ret_p3m": 0.6458820363816609, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6458820363816609, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5481769405526122, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5982448732738446, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09770509582904863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047637163107816294, "ret_p6m": 1.7869062187787166, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.7869062187787166, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.6145382626855214, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.7137429001746889, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17236795609319522, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0731633186040277, "ret_p1y": 1.3014437124815312, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.3014437124815312, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.1393858474299616, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.3129465201424235, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1620578650515696, "bench_c_p1y": -0.011502807660892178, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02777244654060269, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03848963027053438, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05588253350601953, "price_path": [0.5941, 0.6448, 0.5557, 0.4914, 0.4914, 0.4974, 0.457, 0.4979, 0.5941, 0.5912, 0.6616, 0.6616, 0.5885, 0.6469, 0.6812, 0.7207, 0.4035, 0.3846, 0.3998, 0.4751, 0.4458, 0.461, 0.467, 0.4535, 0.4594, 0.5101, 0.5237, 0.4508, 0.4742, 0.5282, 0.522, 0.522, 0.4761, 0.4591, 0.4439, 0.306, 0.2295, 0.1273, 0.1091, 0.1016, 0.1637, 0.1021, 0.0791, 0.1445, 0.0605, 0.0995, -0.0104, 0.0266, 0.0297, -0.0247, 0.0286, 0.0304, -0.0464, 0.0147, 0.0054, -0.0032, 0.1206, 0.084, 0.0013, -0.0127, -0.0778, -0.1175, -0.0463, 0.0, -0.1038, -0.1112, -0.1154, -0.188, -0.0746, -0.1394, -0.101, -0.0848, -0.1286, -0.1431, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1442, -0.0337, -0.0146, 0.0061, 0.0396, 0.0144, 0.0069, -0.0272, 0.0278, 0.0629, 0.0005, 0.0154, 0.0162, 0.0854, 0.1243, 0.1706, 0.2224, 0.1983, 0.1818, 0.238, 0.2423, 0.2394, 0.2467, 0.2529, 0.2073, 0.2073, 0.2799, 0.1936, 0.1666, 0.145, 0.1753, 0.245, 0.3042, 0.2369, 0.3219, 0.3746, 0.3924, 0.3707, 0.3408, 0.2898, 0.3348, 0.2706, 0.2827, 0.2827, 0.2849, 0.2652, 0.3713, 0.3983, 0.554, 0.5809, 0.6459, 0.6705, 0.7825, 0.8185, 0.8185, 0.694, 0.6927, 0.7342, 0.7585, 0.7107, 0.7689, 0.7341, 0.7827, 0.8317, 0.8264, 0.814, 0.8664, 0.8333, 0.8139, 0.7862, 0.7552, 0.6796, 0.6761, 0.6751, 0.5411, 0.6197, 0.6203, 0.6981, 0.7032, 0.6632, 0.6522, 0.6722, 0.6466, 0.7004, 0.6962, 0.7694, 0.671, 0.7167, 0.6956, 0.7928, 0.8238, 0.8515, 0.8307, 0.8618, 0.9609, 0.9609, 1.0442, 0.9839, 0.8945, 0.9036, 0.9143, 1.1153, 1.2893, 1.2389, 1.2985, 1.4205, 1.4612, 1.5117, 1.5426, 1.6076, 1.722, 1.6974, 1.8917, 1.7869]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924116602603356377", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T14:55:21+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "You meant rip higher, right?", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastically dismisses bearish BTC thesis; actual stance is bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@K_to_Macro You meant rip higher, right?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC looks ready to roll over https://t.co/36rEXjjIoC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "K_to_Macro", "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1932567145495605375", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-10T22:34:47+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You can still buy a Bitcoin for less than a Cadillac Escalade. Focus, people! Time is running out. Execute. Win.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; urges buying now at $110K before opportunity closes.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is $110,000 and people are bored to tears. They’re simply not paying attention. They’re scrolling Instagram and talking about Donald Trump. Fiat brain rot. You can still buy a Bitcoin for less than a Cadillac Escalade. Focus, people! Time is running out. Execute. Win.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00033437431755833913, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00033437431755833913, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0025259638633197135, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0025259638633197135, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028603381808780526, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028603381808780526, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014244955298426398, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014244955298426398, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018219334012924082, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018219334012924082, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003974378714497684, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003974378714497684, "ret_p1w": -0.05129928407475526, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05129928407475526, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04478074719779046, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04478074719779046, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006518536876964798, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006518536876964798, "ret_p1m": 0.00969841406381633, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00969841406381633, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03405279013742568, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03405279013742568, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04375120420124201, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04375120420124201, "ret_p3m": 0.003571194237112829, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003571194237112829, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07855635969875197, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07855635969875197, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0821275539358648, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0821275539358648, "ret_p6m": -0.1517309025782464, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1517309025782464, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29633046140831454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29633046140831454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14459955883006814, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14459955883006814, "ret_p1y": -0.3330455357025184, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3330455357025184, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6054148603123573, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6054148603123573, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27236932460983887, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27236932460983887, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00969841406381633, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03405279013742568, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03405279013742568, "price_path": [-0.2647, -0.2384, -0.2375, -0.2498, -0.2123, -0.2366, -0.2378, -0.2064, -0.2067, -0.2118, -0.2093, -0.2349, -0.2513, -0.2275, -0.2519, -0.2463, -0.2396, -0.2814, -0.3082, -0.2511, -0.2778, -0.2435, -0.2332, -0.2411, -0.2378, -0.23, -0.2341, -0.2062, -0.1525, -0.1502, -0.148, -0.1409, -0.1386, -0.1449, -0.1456, -0.1248, -0.1211, -0.1407, -0.122, -0.1199, -0.0636, -0.0661, -0.0675, -0.0552, -0.0609, -0.0591, -0.0614, -0.0422, -0.0314, -0.0053, 0.0128, -0.0269, -0.0074, -0.0115, -0.0223, -0.0419, -0.0568, -0.0397, -0.0438, -0.0501, -0.0787, -0.0532, 0.0003, 0.0, -0.0142, -0.0393, -0.0378, -0.0314, -0.0513, -0.0487, -0.0505, -0.063, -0.0424, -0.0382, -0.0263, -0.0299, -0.0287, -0.0283, -0.0413, -0.0127, -0.0055, -0.0202, -0.0178, -0.0119, 0.0097, 0.052, 0.0658, 0.087, 0.0682, 0.0769, 0.0819, 0.0703, 0.0651, 0.0883, 0.0771, 0.0736, 0.0669, 0.0695, 0.0695, 0.0687, 0.0499, 0.0278, 0.0437, 0.0352, 0.0433, 0.0657, 0.0583, 0.0769, 0.0899, 0.1187, 0.0735, 0.0648, 0.0544, 0.0233, 0.0364, 0.0196, 0.06, -0.0012, 0.014, 0.0088, 0.0207, -0.0167, -0.0091, 0.0086, 0.0133, 0.0042, 0.0036, 0.0165, 0.0115, 0.0335, 0.0476, 0.053, 0.0471, 0.0597, 0.0563, 0.0624, 0.0493, 0.0226, 0.0159, 0.0279, -0.011, -0.0049, 0.0376, 0.0345, 0.0761, 0.0945, 0.1089, 0.1315, 0.1015, 0.1188, 0.1038, 0.0268, 0.0455, 0.026, 0.0048, -0.0188, -0.0344, 0.003, -0.0161, -0.0233, -0.0017, 0.007, 0.035, 0.0245, -0.0018, -0.0177, -0.0064, -0.0336, -0.0786, -0.0577, -0.0812, -0.0624, -0.0386, -0.0658, -0.0779, -0.0958, -0.1438, -0.1647, -0.157, -0.1704, -0.2143, -0.2283, -0.1994, -0.2078, -0.179, -0.1721, -0.1754, -0.2171, -0.1715, -0.1517]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924619618905423985", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T00:14:09+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It will likely go up 50-100% between now and mid July, cloud or no cloud.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects CLSK to rise 50–100% by mid-July regardless of Ichimoku cloud resistance.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow It will likely go up 50-100% between now and mid July, cloud or no cloud.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CLSK is never going to break this monthly Ichimoku cloud resistance, is it? https://t.co/RK7ZFpkSw8", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.014433025368622232, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014433025368622232, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011059529480804464, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008979247932501044, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003373495887817768, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005453777436121188, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04226802633753568, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04226802633753568, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.059118906084669076, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0627198999373415, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016850879747133396, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020451873599805825, "ret_p1w": 0.0164948299544585, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0164948299544585, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019362191838496412, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024480796761456647, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002867361884037911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007985966806998146, "ret_p1m": -0.053608197351990516, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053608197351990516, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.061350439840916926, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031792860464576966, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00774224248892641, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02181533688741355, "ret_p3m": 0.005154658940003776, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005154658940003776, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08338757594856072, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02016246476725958, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025317123707263356, "ret_p6m": 0.3742268232803114, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3742268232803114, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2149108099333239, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32180738387360264, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15931601334698753, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05241943940670879, "ret_p1y": 0.44123709454953497, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.44123709454953497, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.19308568949001148, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4216416255058226, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.019595469043712344, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.053608197351990516, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.061350439840916926, "alpha_c_stated": -0.031792860464576966, "price_path": [0.0371, -0.0464, -0.0825, -0.1598, -0.1876, -0.2258, -0.1763, -0.1969, -0.2, -0.1186, -0.1598, -0.0897, -0.1773, -0.1485, -0.1649, -0.2072, -0.1784, -0.1629, -0.2175, -0.1742, -0.201, -0.233, -0.0938, -0.1, -0.1629, -0.1912, -0.2588, -0.3072, -0.2206, -0.1732, -0.2361, -0.2454, -0.234, -0.3052, -0.2134, -0.2649, -0.2268, -0.1979, -0.2495, -0.2495, -0.2258, -0.2258, -0.2299, -0.0959, -0.0856, -0.0866, -0.0711, -0.1165, -0.1299, -0.1577, -0.1062, -0.0918, -0.166, -0.166, -0.1722, -0.1052, -0.0515, -0.0082, 0.0309, -0.0093, -0.0351, 0.0082, 0.0144, 0.0, 0.0423, 0.0175, -0.0351, -0.0351, 0.0165, -0.0608, -0.0948, -0.1103, -0.1124, -0.0505, -0.0175, -0.0701, 0.0093, 0.0433, 0.0443, 0.0278, 0.001, -0.0412, -0.0082, -0.0825, -0.0536, -0.0536, -0.0722, -0.0876, 0.0351, 0.0928, 0.1144, 0.1, 0.1371, 0.1423, 0.2866, 0.2629, 0.2629, 0.168, 0.1959, 0.2856, 0.3299, 0.3041, 0.299, 0.2567, 0.2959, 0.3381, 0.3175, 0.2773, 0.3237, 0.2835, 0.2722, 0.2186, 0.2402, 0.2093, 0.1773, 0.1722, 0.0763, 0.0948, 0.1165, 0.134, 0.1052, 0.0381, 0.0175, 0.0227, 0.0278, 0.0258, 0.0052, 0.0144, -0.0351, -0.0216, -0.0381, 0.0124, -0.0258, -0.0021, -0.0124, -0.0155, -0.0237, -0.0237, -0.0062, -0.0268, -0.0639, -0.0474, -0.0546, -0.0031, 0.034, 0.0515, 0.067, 0.0608, 0.1546, 0.1794, 0.3876, 0.4041, 0.4165, 0.434, 0.4897, 0.4103, 0.3361, 0.533, 0.4948, 0.5041, 0.5608, 0.6433, 0.7969, 0.8515, 0.9567, 1.0711, 0.9876, 1.066, 1.266, 1.3918, 1.0608, 1.0129, 1.1031, 0.9351, 0.7381, 0.8216, 0.9964, 1.0825, 0.9742, 0.9474, 0.8237, 0.8351, 0.7959, 0.6722, 0.7093, 0.5876, 0.6052, 0.5495, 0.4479, 0.3742]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931142599425044481", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-07T00:14:09+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You should be in IREN and CIFR now, sir. Not gold miners. It's not going to be close over the next 6 months. They will smoke everything.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong buy on IREN and CIFR over next 6 months; says they will outperform gold miners and everything else.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoshMandell6 You should be in IREN and CIFR now, sir. Not gold miners. It’s not going to be close over the next 6 months. They will smoke everything.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "FWIW (might not be much):  In the bitcoin space, I added to my position in MTLPF, STRF and STRK in this dip.   Also, a couple of gold miners, but I doubt many follow me on this. https://t.co/aTFZ3mqfc3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoshMandell6", "ret_m1d": -0.057059975230292936, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.057059975230292936, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05615966105439574, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0625501873296741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005490212099381164, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014506732719218762, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014506732719218762, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00883680732051273, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0133302151441681, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011765175750506618, "ret_p1w": 0.005802656195064593, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005802656195064593, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0007997869145315306, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015018380250321539, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009215724055256946, "ret_p1m": 0.6334621992651728, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6334621992651728, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.595952136141001, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6062282869006408, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027233912364531987, "ret_p3m": 1.5270791852190446, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5270791852190446, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4414349801336062, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.4634464745548685, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06363271066417608, "ret_p6m": 2.9767890062935125, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.9767890062935125, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.8337794200066093, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.9337374264093716, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04305157988414088, "ret_p1y": 5.560927982279735, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.560927982279735, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.295147765040107, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.53712362321962, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.023804359060115132, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6334621992651728, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.595952136141001, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6062282869006408, "price_path": [-0.3191, -0.3472, -0.3027, -0.2892, -0.3627, -0.3037, -0.3027, -0.3085, -0.2563, -0.2843, -0.3511, -0.3752, -0.413, -0.411, -0.3578, -0.3462, -0.4159, -0.4255, -0.4313, -0.4874, -0.4294, -0.4691, -0.4555, -0.4439, -0.4729, -0.471, -0.4594, -0.4594, -0.4671, -0.4139, -0.4101, -0.3907, -0.3675, -0.382, -0.3936, -0.4091, -0.3839, -0.3685, -0.4014, -0.3714, -0.3646, -0.3337, -0.3191, -0.2737, -0.2147, -0.2292, -0.2505, -0.1867, -0.1741, -0.1673, -0.1402, -0.1025, -0.118, -0.118, -0.1064, -0.1431, -0.1683, -0.1886, -0.1557, -0.1402, -0.088, -0.1344, -0.0571, 0.0, 0.0145, -0.0039, -0.0164, -0.0493, 0.0058, -0.0551, -0.0522, -0.0522, 0.0126, 0.0309, 0.1161, 0.148, 0.2679, 0.354, 0.4091, 0.4729, 0.5145, 0.6267, 0.6267, 0.6393, 0.6335, 0.6402, 0.647, 0.5696, 0.6712, 0.6325, 0.6741, 0.7456, 0.735, 0.7553, 0.7979, 0.8366, 0.7544, 0.7137, 0.6035, 0.5271, 0.5609, 0.558, 0.4894, 0.5938, 0.5909, 0.7718, 0.7959, 0.7843, 0.7379, 0.7244, 0.7147, 0.8453, 0.9043, 1.0024, 0.8114, 0.911, 0.8946, 1.0725, 1.236, 1.2234, 1.162, 1.2282, 1.5609, 1.5609, 1.8153, 1.7282, 1.5271, 1.529, 1.5329, 1.9197, 2.2524, 2.177, 2.2843, 2.5919, 2.5251, 2.6654, 2.5126, 2.7369, 3.0522, 3.0397, 3.559, 3.4768, 3.0484, 3.442, 3.5387, 3.5532, 3.5474, 3.8801, 4.5851, 4.9652, 4.8114, 5.175, 4.7805, 5.2031, 5.7273, 5.5745, 4.9797, 4.8723, 4.7273, 4.338, 4.0126, 4.4023, 5.0832, 5.2853, 5.0368, 4.8433, 4.6306, 4.8752, 5.5522, 5.4439, 6.3897, 5.4758, 5.0329, 4.8191, 4.5493, 4.3868, 3.705, 3.4845, 3.5851, 3.7244, 3.4323, 3.2041, 3.087, 3.6896, 3.5909, 3.6857, 3.6857, 3.6238, 3.6896, 2.9768]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931142599425044481", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-07T00:14:09+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You should be in IREN and CIFR now, sir. Not gold miners. It's not going to be close over the next 6 months. They will smoke everything.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong buy on IREN and CIFR over next 6 months; says they will outperform gold miners and everything else.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoshMandell6 You should be in IREN and CIFR now, sir. Not gold miners. It’s not going to be close over the next 6 months. They will smoke everything.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "FWIW (might not be much):  In the bitcoin space, I added to my position in MTLPF, STRF and STRK in this dip.   Also, a couple of gold miners, but I doubt many follow me on this. https://t.co/aTFZ3mqfc3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoshMandell6", "ret_m1d": -0.05797096107684119, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05797096107684119, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05707064690094399, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05308643474311858, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004884526333722605, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019323653692280396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019323653692280396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02499357909098643, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024917863536919715, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00559420984463932, "ret_p1w": -0.050724590942236025, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050724590942236025, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05572746022276909, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06537829823037256, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01465370728813653, "ret_p1m": 0.4565218367813997, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4565218367813997, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.41901177365722786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3847781192508315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07174371753056819, "ret_p3m": 0.7874396942068544, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7874396942068544, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.701795489121416, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6891417287355486, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09829796547130587, "ret_p6m": 3.260869555201908, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.260869555201908, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.117859968915005, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.049531142388811, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21133841281309707, "ret_p1y": 5.077294845125244, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.077294845125244, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.811514627885615, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.528562089459578, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5487327556656656, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4565218367813997, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.41901177365722786, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3847781192508315, "price_path": [-0.2271, -0.2681, -0.2657, -0.2464, -0.3068, -0.2609, -0.2754, -0.2947, -0.2271, -0.2657, -0.3527, -0.3865, -0.4396, -0.4444, -0.4058, -0.3599, -0.442, -0.4928, -0.4614, -0.4903, -0.4058, -0.4638, -0.4155, -0.4106, -0.4396, -0.4384, -0.4275, -0.4275, -0.4348, -0.3382, -0.3092, -0.2754, -0.256, -0.2609, -0.256, -0.3116, -0.2476, -0.2367, -0.2802, -0.2657, -0.2705, -0.2464, -0.2802, -0.2391, -0.1715, -0.2005, -0.2343, -0.0676, -0.0797, -0.087, -0.1534, -0.1377, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1377, -0.1908, -0.215, -0.2464, -0.215, -0.1703, -0.0966, -0.1473, -0.058, 0.0, -0.0193, -0.0145, -0.0725, -0.1014, -0.0507, -0.1111, -0.0797, -0.0797, -0.0845, -0.1473, -0.07, -0.07, 0.0121, 0.029, 0.1546, 0.1836, 0.372, 0.4614, 0.4614, 0.3986, 0.4565, 0.5121, 0.5072, 0.4179, 0.4565, 0.442, 0.5145, 0.5507, 0.5362, 0.5097, 0.6763, 0.6135, 0.6063, 0.5628, 0.4879, 0.372, 0.3164, 0.3188, 0.1908, 0.2536, 0.2101, 0.2585, 0.1763, 0.1473, 0.1498, 0.1401, 0.1836, 0.285, 0.2585, 0.4614, 0.3913, 0.4372, 0.4251, 0.5411, 0.6039, 0.7198, 0.6884, 0.6957, 0.8454, 0.8454, 1.0097, 0.9589, 0.7874, 0.8164, 0.8647, 1.2271, 1.4758, 1.4082, 1.6208, 1.6208, 1.7802, 1.9903, 1.8623, 1.9662, 2.372, 2.4179, 2.4155, 1.8164, 1.7705, 2.0556, 2.0411, 2.0435, 2.3357, 2.5507, 2.7053, 2.8043, 3.2512, 3.3454, 3.099, 3.913, 4.0459, 4.0797, 3.5217, 3.5314, 3.8092, 3.3659, 2.8913, 3.1679, 3.9903, 3.9614, 3.8213, 3.7319, 3.6063, 3.5048, 4.4976, 4.4372, 4.9686, 4.244, 3.9976, 3.7464, 3.5097, 3.1981, 2.6063, 2.4686, 2.4662, 2.5217, 2.5314, 2.5169, 2.4179, 3.0362, 3.2319, 3.6256, 3.6256, 3.9155, 3.756, 3.2609]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1921620930695934326", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-11T17:38:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*$147,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Corrects bearish BTC target to $147K; implying Bitcoin will be significantly higher in coming months.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@AtradeZ_ *$147,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If you didn’t buy Bitcoin a month ago for $74,000, that’s OK because you can buy it in a few months for $70,000.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AtradeZ_", "ret_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "ret_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "ret_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "ret_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "ret_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "ret_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "price_path": [-0.0479, -0.0602, -0.0516, -0.0685, -0.0707, -0.0601, -0.0436, -0.065, -0.1108, -0.1369, -0.1796, -0.1761, -0.1794, -0.1629, -0.1516, -0.1186, -0.125, -0.1563, -0.2362, -0.194, -0.1857, -0.2115, -0.1833, -0.1822, -0.1954, -0.1552, -0.1814, -0.1826, -0.149, -0.1492, -0.1548, -0.1521, -0.1795, -0.1971, -0.1716, -0.1977, -0.1917, -0.1845, -0.2293, -0.2581, -0.1969, -0.2255, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1862, -0.1827, -0.1743, -0.1786, -0.1488, -0.0911, -0.0886, -0.0863, -0.0787, -0.0762, -0.0829, -0.0837, -0.0615, -0.0574, -0.0784, -0.0585, -0.0562, 0.0042, 0.0015, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0071, 0.0091, 0.0066, 0.0272, 0.0387, 0.0668, 0.0862, 0.0435, 0.0645, 0.0601, 0.0485, 0.0275, 0.0115, 0.0298, 0.0255, 0.0187, -0.012, 0.0153, 0.0728, 0.0724, 0.0571, 0.0303, 0.0319, 0.0387, 0.0174, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.0048, 0.0269, 0.0314, 0.0442, 0.0403, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.0281, 0.0588, 0.0665, 0.0508, 0.0534, 0.0597, 0.0828, 0.1281, 0.143, 0.1657, 0.1455, 0.1549, 0.1603, 0.1477, 0.1423, 0.1671, 0.1551, 0.1513, 0.1442, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1461, 0.1259, 0.1022, 0.1192, 0.1102, 0.1188, 0.1428, 0.135, 0.1548, 0.1688, 0.1997, 0.1512, 0.1419, 0.1307, 0.0974, 0.1115, 0.0934, 0.1368, 0.0711, 0.0874, 0.0818, 0.0947, 0.0544, 0.0626, 0.0816, 0.0867, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0901, 0.0848, 0.1084, 0.1235, 0.1293, 0.1229, 0.1365, 0.1328, 0.1393, 0.1252, 0.0966, 0.0895, 0.1023, 0.0607, 0.0671, 0.1127, 0.1094, 0.154, 0.1738, 0.1892, 0.2134, 0.1813, 0.1998, 0.1838, 0.1012, 0.1212, 0.1002, 0.0775, 0.0523, 0.0355, 0.0756, 0.0551, 0.0474, 0.0706, 0.08, 0.11, 0.0987, 0.0704, 0.0534, 0.0656, 0.0363, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1921550727018922106", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-11T12:59:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*$315,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Corrects $200K BTC target upward to $315,000; implied bullish above consensus target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@TheBTCTherapist *$315,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "It’s time to start thinking about what you’re going to do when Bitcoin hits $200,000.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBTCTherapist", "ret_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "ret_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "ret_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "ret_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "ret_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "ret_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "price_path": [-0.0479, -0.0602, -0.0516, -0.0685, -0.0707, -0.0601, -0.0436, -0.065, -0.1108, -0.1369, -0.1796, -0.1761, -0.1794, -0.1629, -0.1516, -0.1186, -0.125, -0.1563, -0.2362, -0.194, -0.1857, -0.2115, -0.1833, -0.1822, -0.1954, -0.1552, -0.1814, -0.1826, -0.149, -0.1492, -0.1548, -0.1521, -0.1795, -0.1971, -0.1716, -0.1977, -0.1917, -0.1845, -0.2293, -0.2581, -0.1969, -0.2255, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1862, -0.1827, -0.1743, -0.1786, -0.1488, -0.0911, -0.0886, -0.0863, -0.0787, -0.0762, -0.0829, -0.0837, -0.0615, -0.0574, -0.0784, -0.0585, -0.0562, 0.0042, 0.0015, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0071, 0.0091, 0.0066, 0.0272, 0.0387, 0.0668, 0.0862, 0.0435, 0.0645, 0.0601, 0.0485, 0.0275, 0.0115, 0.0298, 0.0255, 0.0187, -0.012, 0.0153, 0.0728, 0.0724, 0.0571, 0.0303, 0.0319, 0.0387, 0.0174, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.0048, 0.0269, 0.0314, 0.0442, 0.0403, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.0281, 0.0588, 0.0665, 0.0508, 0.0534, 0.0597, 0.0828, 0.1281, 0.143, 0.1657, 0.1455, 0.1549, 0.1603, 0.1477, 0.1423, 0.1671, 0.1551, 0.1513, 0.1442, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1461, 0.1259, 0.1022, 0.1192, 0.1102, 0.1188, 0.1428, 0.135, 0.1548, 0.1688, 0.1997, 0.1512, 0.1419, 0.1307, 0.0974, 0.1115, 0.0934, 0.1368, 0.0711, 0.0874, 0.0818, 0.0947, 0.0544, 0.0626, 0.0816, 0.0867, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0901, 0.0848, 0.1084, 0.1235, 0.1293, 0.1229, 0.1365, 0.1328, 0.1393, 0.1252, 0.0966, 0.0895, 0.1023, 0.0607, 0.0671, 0.1127, 0.1094, 0.154, 0.1738, 0.1892, 0.2134, 0.1813, 0.1998, 0.1838, 0.1012, 0.1212, 0.1002, 0.0775, 0.0523, 0.0355, 0.0756, 0.0551, 0.0474, 0.0706, 0.08, 0.11, 0.0987, 0.0704, 0.0534, 0.0656, 0.0363, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920321472863875130", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-08T03:34:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's going to $150,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $150,000.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Who cares. It’s going to $150,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC new local highs: https://t.co/NDvxRzKX9l", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05322227077695407, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05322227077695407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00691965833385999, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00691965833385999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0013470190026019235, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0013470190026019235, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012741118157988396, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012741118157988396, "ret_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04007729328807841, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04007729328807841, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.044951107383024436, "bench_c_p1w": 0.044951107383024436, "ret_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04918408000079699, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04918408000079699, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06031219463679105, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06031219463679105, "ret_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.009041103986170418, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009041103986170418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11461869147884052, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11461869147884052, "ret_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15281813394461263, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15281813394461263, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21398254471193767, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21398254471193767, "ret_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5307865595975227, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5307865595975227, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2801620943629206, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2801620943629206, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011128114635994057, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04918408000079699, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04918408000079699, "price_path": [-0.0562, -0.0726, -0.0519, -0.0641, -0.0555, -0.0723, -0.0746, -0.064, -0.0475, -0.0689, -0.1145, -0.1405, -0.183, -0.1796, -0.1828, -0.1664, -0.1552, -0.1222, -0.1286, -0.1598, -0.2393, -0.1974, -0.1891, -0.2148, -0.1867, -0.1856, -0.1988, -0.1587, -0.1848, -0.186, -0.1525, -0.1527, -0.1583, -0.1556, -0.183, -0.2004, -0.175, -0.201, -0.1951, -0.1879, -0.2325, -0.2612, -0.2002, -0.2287, -0.1921, -0.1811, -0.1896, -0.186, -0.1777, -0.182, -0.1523, -0.0949, -0.0924, -0.0901, -0.0825, -0.08, -0.0868, -0.0875, -0.0654, -0.0613, -0.0823, -0.0624, -0.0601, 0.0, -0.0026, -0.0042, 0.009, 0.0029, 0.0049, 0.0024, 0.0229, 0.0344, 0.0623, 0.0817, 0.0392, 0.06, 0.0557, 0.0442, 0.0232, 0.0073, 0.0256, 0.0212, 0.0144, -0.0161, 0.0111, 0.0683, 0.068, 0.0527, 0.026, 0.0276, 0.0344, 0.0132, 0.0159, 0.014, 0.0007, 0.0226, 0.0272, 0.0399, 0.036, 0.0373, 0.0377, 0.0238, 0.0544, 0.0621, 0.0464, 0.049, 0.0553, 0.0783, 0.1235, 0.1383, 0.1609, 0.1408, 0.1501, 0.1554, 0.143, 0.1375, 0.1623, 0.1503, 0.1465, 0.1394, 0.1422, 0.1422, 0.1413, 0.1212, 0.0976, 0.1146, 0.1056, 0.1142, 0.1381, 0.1303, 0.15, 0.164, 0.1947, 0.1464, 0.1371, 0.126, 0.0929, 0.1069, 0.0889, 0.132, 0.0667, 0.0829, 0.0773, 0.0901, 0.0501, 0.0582, 0.0771, 0.0822, 0.0725, 0.0718, 0.0855, 0.0803, 0.1038, 0.1188, 0.1246, 0.1182, 0.1317, 0.1281, 0.1346, 0.1206, 0.0921, 0.085, 0.0977, 0.0563, 0.0627, 0.1081, 0.1048, 0.1492, 0.1689, 0.1843, 0.2084, 0.1764, 0.1948, 0.1788, 0.0966, 0.1165, 0.0957, 0.073, 0.0479, 0.0313, 0.0712, 0.0507, 0.0431, 0.0661, 0.0755, 0.1054, 0.0941, 0.066, 0.0491, 0.0612]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1934333037774602254", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-15T19:31:49+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "way way way too bearish. Try $500k-$1M BTC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $500k-$1M, dismissing the parent's much lower price scenarios as far too bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Fernandoo1492 lol way way way too bearish. Try $500k-$1M BTC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What will happen to our miners when that happens? 🙂 \n\n$clsk $379\n$mara $413\n$riot $341\n$cifr $257\n$iren $396", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Fernandoo1492", "ret_m1d": -0.006608712445551279, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006608712445551279, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028159624544621398, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028159624544621398, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020559056941174436, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020559056941174436, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012013885542743297, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012013885542743297, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": -0.011414057879361228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011414057879361228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010159912998309872, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010159912998309872, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "ret_p1m": 0.10281613330226769, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10281613330226769, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06747527126559882, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06747527126559882, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": 0.08156409827808875, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08156409827808875, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012837724319359145, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.012837724319359145, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "ret_p6m": -0.13207373673050848, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13207373673050848, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2719133557136528, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2719133557136528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": -0.4005963430098862, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4005963430098862, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6664193956141367, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6664193956141367, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10281613330226769, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06747527126559882, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06747527126559882, "price_path": [-0.1867, -0.2119, -0.2131, -0.1807, -0.181, -0.1863, -0.1837, -0.2102, -0.227, -0.2025, -0.2276, -0.2219, -0.2149, -0.2581, -0.2858, -0.2268, -0.2544, -0.219, -0.2084, -0.2166, -0.2131, -0.2051, -0.2092, -0.1805, -0.125, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.1131, -0.1107, -0.1172, -0.1179, -0.0965, -0.0926, -0.1128, -0.0936, -0.0914, -0.0333, -0.0358, -0.0373, -0.0246, -0.0305, -0.0286, -0.031, -0.0111, -0.0001, 0.027, 0.0457, 0.0046, 0.0248, 0.0206, 0.0094, -0.0108, -0.0262, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.0193, -0.0489, -0.0225, 0.0327, 0.0324, 0.0177, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0, -0.0206, -0.0179, -0.0198, -0.0327, -0.0114, -0.007, 0.0053, 0.0015, 0.0027, 0.0032, -0.0103, 0.0193, 0.0267, 0.0116, 0.0141, 0.0202, 0.0424, 0.0861, 0.1004, 0.1222, 0.1028, 0.1118, 0.117, 0.1049, 0.0997, 0.1236, 0.112, 0.1083, 0.1015, 0.1042, 0.1042, 0.1033, 0.0839, 0.0611, 0.0775, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.1002, 0.0926, 0.1118, 0.1252, 0.1549, 0.1083, 0.0993, 0.0885, 0.0565, 0.07, 0.0526, 0.0944, 0.0312, 0.0469, 0.0414, 0.0538, 0.0151, 0.023, 0.0412, 0.0461, 0.0368, 0.0361, 0.0494, 0.0443, 0.067, 0.0816, 0.0871, 0.081, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0968, 0.0833, 0.0557, 0.0489, 0.0612, 0.0211, 0.0273, 0.0712, 0.068, 0.111, 0.13, 0.1449, 0.1681, 0.1372, 0.155, 0.1396, 0.0601, 0.0793, 0.0592, 0.0373, 0.013, -0.0031, 0.0355, 0.0157, 0.0084, 0.0306, 0.0397, 0.0686, 0.0577, 0.0305, 0.0141, 0.0258, -0.0023, -0.0487, -0.0272, -0.0515, -0.0321, -0.0075, -0.0356, -0.0481, -0.0665, -0.1161, -0.1377, -0.1297, -0.1436, -0.1888, -0.2032, -0.1735, -0.1822, -0.1524, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1917, -0.1446, -0.1242, -0.1372, -0.163, -0.1513, -0.1321]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1936551816487165965", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-21T22:28:27+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin...It's all about to print generational wealth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish everything: BTC, MicroStrategy, alts, biotech, and small caps all about to rip to generational wealth despite widespread bearishness.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s wild how negative and bearish everyone is when EVERYTHING is about to rip. Bitcoin, Microstrategy, Alts, Biotech, Small Caps, you name it. It’s all about to print generational wealth. And people are worried about irrelevant geopolitics. This is why most people aren’t rich.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "ret_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "ret_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "ret_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "ret_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "ret_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08872125927354446, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08872125927354446, "price_path": [-0.1769, -0.1743, -0.201, -0.2181, -0.1933, -0.2187, -0.2129, -0.2059, -0.2495, -0.2776, -0.2179, -0.2458, -0.21, -0.1992, -0.2075, -0.2041, -0.1959, -0.2001, -0.171, -0.1149, -0.1125, -0.1102, -0.1028, -0.1004, -0.107, -0.1077, -0.0861, -0.0821, -0.1026, -0.0831, -0.0809, -0.0221, -0.0247, -0.0262, -0.0133, -0.0193, -0.0174, -0.0198, 0.0003, 0.0115, 0.0388, 0.0577, 0.0162, 0.0366, 0.0324, 0.0211, 0.0006, -0.015, 0.0029, -0.0014, -0.008, -0.0379, -0.0112, 0.0447, 0.0443, 0.0294, 0.0033, 0.0049, 0.0115, -0.0093, -0.0066, -0.0085, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0169, 0.0131, 0.0143, 0.0148, 0.0011, 0.0311, 0.0386, 0.0233, 0.0258, 0.0319, 0.0545, 0.0986, 0.1131, 0.1352, 0.1155, 0.1247, 0.1299, 0.1177, 0.1124, 0.1366, 0.1248, 0.1211, 0.1142, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1161, 0.0964, 0.0733, 0.0899, 0.0811, 0.0895, 0.1129, 0.1052, 0.1246, 0.1382, 0.1683, 0.1211, 0.112, 0.1011, 0.0687, 0.0824, 0.0648, 0.107, 0.0431, 0.059, 0.0535, 0.066, 0.0268, 0.0348, 0.0533, 0.0582, 0.0487, 0.0481, 0.0615, 0.0564, 0.0793, 0.0941, 0.0997, 0.0935, 0.1067, 0.1032, 0.1095, 0.0958, 0.0679, 0.061, 0.0734, 0.0329, 0.0392, 0.0836, 0.0803, 0.1238, 0.1431, 0.1581, 0.1816, 0.1503, 0.1684, 0.1528, 0.0723, 0.0918, 0.0714, 0.0493, 0.0247, 0.0084, 0.0475, 0.0275, 0.02, 0.0425, 0.0517, 0.0809, 0.0699, 0.0424, 0.0258, 0.0377, 0.0092, -0.0378, -0.016, -0.0405, -0.0209, 0.004, -0.0244, -0.0371, -0.0557, -0.1059, -0.1277, -0.1196, -0.1337, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.1639, -0.1727, -0.1426, -0.1354, -0.1388, -0.1824, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1273, -0.1533, -0.1415, -0.1221, -0.1284, -0.1238, -0.145, -0.1815, -0.168]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1936551816487165965", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-21T22:28:27+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Microstrategy...It's all about to print generational wealth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish everything: BTC, MicroStrategy, alts, biotech, and small caps all about to rip to generational wealth despite widespread bearishness.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s wild how negative and bearish everyone is when EVERYTHING is about to rip. Bitcoin, Microstrategy, Alts, Biotech, Small Caps, you name it. It’s all about to print generational wealth. And people are worried about irrelevant geopolitics. This is why most people aren’t rich.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006863172235735515, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006863172235735515, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016643945698219142, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016643945698219142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026798835813963695, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026798835813963695, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01575154581180427, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01575154581180427, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "ret_p1w": 0.10090424056209923, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10090424056209923, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0714115875302539, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0714115875302539, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "ret_p1m": 0.16128330083876374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16128330083876374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11344512950890606, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11344512950890606, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "ret_p3m": -0.04918567982689803, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04918567982689803, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15267654367405636, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15267654367405636, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "ret_p6m": -0.5438204604249721, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5438204604249721, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6781238609041447, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6781238609041447, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "ret_p1y": -0.6858489003348971, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.6858489003348971, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.9048496304045108, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.9048496304045108, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16128330083876374, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11344512950890606, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11344512950890606, "price_path": [-0.1031, -0.116, -0.2118, -0.2149, -0.1666, -0.1488, -0.2312, -0.2004, -0.2697, -0.352, -0.1915, -0.2583, -0.183, -0.1518, -0.1538, -0.1512, -0.1361, -0.1361, -0.1346, -0.0658, -0.0584, -0.0459, 0.0042, 0.0056, 0.0389, 0.0352, 0.0393, 0.0741, 0.0527, 0.0502, 0.0689, 0.1285, 0.133, 0.1027, 0.1482, 0.135, 0.0813, 0.0888, 0.1259, 0.1355, 0.0967, 0.0879, 0.0063, 0.0063, 0.0137, -0.008, 0.0094, 0.0051, 0.0139, 0.0552, 0.0297, 0.0044, 0.0199, 0.0679, 0.0654, 0.0543, 0.0343, 0.0427, 0.041, 0.0218, 0.005, 0.005, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0268, 0.0585, 0.0525, 0.0455, 0.1009, 0.0167, 0.0956, 0.1003, 0.1003, 0.0776, 0.0811, 0.1314, 0.1486, 0.1836, 0.2283, 0.2046, 0.2416, 0.2292, 0.1526, 0.161, 0.1613, 0.1239, 0.13, 0.1054, 0.0997, 0.0748, 0.0759, 0.0944, -0.0015, 0.0601, 0.0226, 0.0442, 0.0949, 0.0761, 0.0901, 0.0741, 0.0619, 0.0157, -0.0023, -0.0097, -0.0834, -0.0621, -0.0806, -0.0246, -0.0653, -0.0431, -0.0684, -0.0772, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0696, -0.1006, -0.1078, -0.0853, -0.1015, -0.1053, -0.1109, -0.1121, -0.0973, -0.1073, -0.0874, -0.102, -0.0492, -0.0611, -0.0851, -0.1073, -0.1195, -0.1811, -0.1583, -0.111, -0.1225, -0.0784, -0.0404, -0.0423, -0.0204, -0.1056, -0.0991, -0.1277, -0.1699, -0.1408, -0.1811, -0.1918, -0.227, -0.2106, -0.1922, -0.1778, -0.2352, -0.224, -0.2127, -0.1949, -0.2248, -0.2501, -0.3067, -0.266, -0.2792, -0.3273, -0.3055, -0.354, -0.3411, -0.3494, -0.3699, -0.3883, -0.432, -0.456, -0.4678, -0.4368, -0.4921, -0.5176, -0.5357, -0.5124, -0.531, -0.5217, -0.5217, -0.5175, -0.5331, -0.5062, -0.4869, -0.4934, -0.5125, -0.4997, -0.4853, -0.4971, -0.5008, -0.5194, -0.5586, -0.5438]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1936551816487165965", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-06-21T22:28:27+00:00", "symbol": "altcoins", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Alts...It's all about to print generational wealth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish everything: BTC, MicroStrategy, alts, biotech, and small caps all about to rip to generational wealth despite widespread bearishness.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD", "SOL-USD", "XRP-USD"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Altcoin basket ex-BTC: ETH, SOL, XRP", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s wild how negative and bearish everyone is when EVERYTHING is about to rip. Bitcoin, Microstrategy, Alts, Biotech, Small Caps, you name it. It’s all about to print generational wealth. And people are worried about irrelevant geopolitics. This is why most people aren’t rich.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019836559501877904, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019836559501877904, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010055786039394277, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010055786039394277, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00992414105791887, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00992414105791887, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0011231489442405564, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0011231489442405564, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "ret_p1w": 0.04279980116789835, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04279980116789835, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013307148136053014, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013307148136053014, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "ret_p1m": 0.5358991789187862, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5358991789187862, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48806100758892856, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48806100758892856, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "ret_p3m": 0.6749772526338452, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6749772526338452, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5714863887866869, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5714863887866869, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "ret_p6m": 0.0024086628438905557, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0024086628438905557, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.131894737635282, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.131894737635282, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "ret_p1y": -0.462823905922193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.462823905922193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6818246359918068, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6818246359918068, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5358991789187862, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.48806100758892856, "alpha_c_stated": 0.48806100758892856, "price_path": [-0.0461, -0.0462, -0.1021, -0.1405, -0.117, -0.1703, -0.1634, -0.14, -0.2479, -0.2784, -0.1807, -0.2283, -0.1932, -0.1518, -0.1694, -0.1597, -0.1542, -0.1552, -0.1471, -0.0749, -0.0638, -0.0667, -0.0709, -0.0591, -0.0706, -0.0761, -0.059, -0.0656, -0.0833, -0.0808, -0.0847, 0.0385, 0.0813, 0.1361, 0.1903, 0.1587, 0.1058, 0.1005, 0.0985, 0.0978, 0.1201, 0.1541, 0.1008, 0.111, 0.1302, 0.1154, 0.091, 0.0368, 0.0583, 0.0601, 0.0508, -0.012, 0.0141, 0.0968, 0.1217, 0.1018, 0.0543, 0.0277, 0.0418, 0.0181, 0.0181, 0.0188, -0.0198, 0.0, 0.0099, -0.0004, -0.0234, -0.0095, 0.0428, 0.0035, 0.0479, 0.0547, 0.0271, 0.0425, 0.065, 0.1135, 0.1761, 0.2028, 0.2429, 0.2586, 0.3318, 0.4209, 0.4226, 0.5161, 0.5359, 0.4258, 0.4143, 0.4263, 0.4208, 0.4208, 0.4098, 0.3711, 0.3111, 0.3746, 0.3308, 0.3544, 0.4532, 0.4645, 0.4668, 0.576, 0.6233, 0.5437, 0.5123, 0.4859, 0.4049, 0.4823, 0.4348, 0.6, 0.4731, 0.5475, 0.5433, 0.5703, 0.5066, 0.4711, 0.5178, 0.5353, 0.488, 0.4945, 0.5429, 0.5464, 0.5729, 0.6084, 0.6848, 0.6236, 0.6328, 0.6703, 0.675, 0.6247, 0.5249, 0.5003, 0.5095, 0.3971, 0.4567, 0.5143, 0.4891, 0.5625, 0.6258, 0.6255, 0.6405, 0.5595, 0.5937, 0.5415, 0.326, 0.4649, 0.4193, 0.3666, 0.3195, 0.2994, 0.3682, 0.3339, 0.3024, 0.3397, 0.3728, 0.4298, 0.3966, 0.3773, 0.3239, 0.3463, 0.2334, 0.151, 0.2064, 0.1529, 0.201, 0.265, 0.1938, 0.1897, 0.1376, 0.0916, 0.0501, 0.0947, 0.0551, 0.0046, -0.0235, 0.0673, 0.065, 0.0881, 0.0777, 0.0691, -0.0105, 0.0634, 0.1115, 0.074, 0.0366, 0.0558, 0.0989, 0.0862, 0.0726, 0.0382, -0.0059, 0.0024]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1936551816487165965", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-06-21T22:28:27+00:00", "symbol": "biotechnology", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Biotech...It's all about to print generational wealth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish everything: BTC, MicroStrategy, alts, biotech, and small caps all about to rip to generational wealth despite widespread bearishness.", "resolved_tickers": ["XBI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US biotech ETF XBI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s wild how negative and bearish everyone is when EVERYTHING is about to rip. Bitcoin, Microstrategy, Alts, Biotech, Small Caps, you name it. It’s all about to print generational wealth. And people are worried about irrelevant geopolitics. This is why most people aren’t rich.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001251983852678329, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001251983852678329, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011032757315161956, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011032757315161956, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018840405270498906, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018840405270498906, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007793115268339479, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007793115268339479, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "ret_p1w": 0.00802232945201875, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00802232945201875, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02147032357982659, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02147032357982659, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "ret_p1m": 0.05421186037403558, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05421186037403558, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006373689044177899, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006373689044177899, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "ret_p3m": 0.17515504700692097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17515504700692097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07166418315976264, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07166418315976264, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "ret_p6m": 0.48346270841399486, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.48346270841399486, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3491593079348223, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3491593079348223, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "ret_p1y": 0.5718099704830297, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5718099704830297, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.352809240413416, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.352809240413416, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05421186037403558, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.006373689044177899, "alpha_c_stated": 0.006373689044177899, "price_path": [0.0341, 0.0395, 0.0258, -0.0143, -0.05, -0.0205, -0.0503, -0.1047, -0.1129, -0.1516, -0.0899, -0.1296, -0.0966, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0869, -0.0771, -0.0771, -0.0822, -0.0564, -0.0386, -0.0169, -0.0246, -0.011, -0.0048, 0.0082, 0.0027, 0.0149, 0.0045, -0.0621, -0.0599, -0.0515, -0.0716, -0.0344, -0.0575, -0.0718, -0.0571, -0.0396, -0.0311, -0.0107, -0.0358, -0.0368, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.0362, -0.0426, -0.0221, -0.0375, -0.0126, 0.0008, 0.0025, 0.0034, 0.0241, 0.0242, 0.0365, 0.0254, 0.0253, 0.0161, 0.0133, -0.0022, 0.0047, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0188, 0.0122, 0.0171, 0.009, 0.008, 0.0098, 0.0306, 0.0361, 0.0361, 0.0159, 0.0297, 0.0681, 0.0743, 0.0577, 0.0729, 0.0442, 0.0675, 0.0711, 0.0486, 0.0438, 0.0542, 0.0723, 0.0634, 0.0649, 0.0523, 0.0434, 0.0483, 0.0412, 0.0445, 0.0553, 0.0557, 0.0469, 0.0371, 0.0384, 0.0351, 0.0565, 0.0881, 0.0887, 0.1022, 0.0965, 0.0794, 0.0845, 0.093, 0.1051, 0.0793, 0.0927, 0.0975, 0.0975, 0.0921, 0.0921, 0.129, 0.1383, 0.1361, 0.1604, 0.1478, 0.1545, 0.1414, 0.1632, 0.144, 0.1357, 0.1394, 0.1398, 0.1752, 0.162, 0.183, 0.1766, 0.1847, 0.1655, 0.1909, 0.2086, 0.2183, 0.2328, 0.2473, 0.2596, 0.2601, 0.2606, 0.282, 0.2951, 0.2765, 0.2799, 0.2781, 0.3176, 0.312, 0.3107, 0.3395, 0.3321, 0.3049, 0.3078, 0.3179, 0.3568, 0.3618, 0.3491, 0.3607, 0.3704, 0.3357, 0.3136, 0.3278, 0.3288, 0.3248, 0.3385, 0.3862, 0.3874, 0.3607, 0.3862, 0.3962, 0.4004, 0.3922, 0.384, 0.4183, 0.4539, 0.4757, 0.4937, 0.4937, 0.4974, 0.4572, 0.4403, 0.4813, 0.4985, 0.5005, 0.5035, 0.4735, 0.4839, 0.4957, 0.4971, 0.4936, 0.4835]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1912593559682969756", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-16T19:46:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is the future. All the real money is made by people focused on the future.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin as the forward-looking asset; dismissive/bearish on gold as a relic.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TBM945DM Gold is the past.\n\nBitcoin is the future.\n\nAll the real money is made by people focused on the future.\n\nGood luck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Gold up 3.6%", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TBM945DM", "ret_m1d": -0.004341999389197104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004341999389197104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027075397537278834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027075397537278834, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008829657219519671, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008829657219519671, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "ret_p1w": 0.11501603473673883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11501603473673883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09644881117896009, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09644881117896009, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "ret_p1m": 0.234557495652562, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.234557495652562, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11128368285571932, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11128368285571932, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "ret_p3m": 0.4262071607104092, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4262071607104092, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23407319222865097, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23407319222865097, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "ret_p6m": 0.4482920994929964, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4482920994929964, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1641722505316907, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1641722505316907, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "ret_p1y": -0.20352229639556596, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20352229639556596, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.46545626188659883, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.46545626188659883, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.234557495652562, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11128368285571932, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11128368285571932, "price_path": [0.2431, 0.214, 0.2631, 0.2335, 0.2371, 0.2473, 0.2148, 0.2059, 0.2341, 0.2463, 0.2186, 0.2067, 0.1647, 0.1497, 0.1495, 0.1487, 0.1595, 0.1394, 0.1648, 0.1498, 0.1604, 0.1397, 0.1369, 0.15, 0.1702, 0.1439, 0.0879, 0.056, 0.0037, 0.008, 0.004, 0.0242, 0.0379, 0.0784, 0.0705, 0.0322, -0.0655, -0.0139, -0.0037, -0.0353, -0.0008, 0.0005, -0.0157, 0.0336, 0.0016, 0.0001, 0.0412, 0.0409, 0.0341, 0.0374, 0.0038, -0.0177, 0.0135, -0.0184, -0.0111, -0.0023, -0.0571, -0.0924, -0.0174, -0.0525, -0.0075, 0.0061, -0.0043, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.005, 0.0415, 0.112, 0.115, 0.1179, 0.1272, 0.1302, 0.122, 0.1211, 0.1483, 0.1532, 0.1275, 0.1519, 0.1547, 0.2286, 0.2253, 0.2235, 0.2396, 0.2321, 0.2346, 0.2315, 0.2567, 0.2708, 0.3052, 0.3289, 0.2767, 0.3023, 0.297, 0.2828, 0.2571, 0.2376, 0.26, 0.2546, 0.2463, 0.2088, 0.2422, 0.3125, 0.3121, 0.2934, 0.2606, 0.2625, 0.2709, 0.2447, 0.2481, 0.2457, 0.2294, 0.2564, 0.2619, 0.2776, 0.2728, 0.2743, 0.2749, 0.2578, 0.2954, 0.3048, 0.2856, 0.2888, 0.2965, 0.3248, 0.3802, 0.3984, 0.4262, 0.4015, 0.413, 0.4195, 0.4042, 0.3975, 0.4279, 0.4132, 0.4086, 0.3999, 0.4033, 0.4033, 0.4022, 0.3775, 0.3485, 0.3694, 0.3583, 0.3688, 0.3982, 0.3886, 0.4129, 0.4301, 0.4678, 0.4085, 0.397, 0.3834, 0.3427, 0.3599, 0.3378, 0.3908, 0.3105, 0.3304, 0.3235, 0.3393, 0.2901, 0.3001, 0.3233, 0.3295, 0.3176, 0.3167, 0.3336, 0.3272, 0.3561, 0.3745, 0.3816, 0.3738, 0.3904, 0.386, 0.3939, 0.3767, 0.3417, 0.333, 0.3486, 0.2977, 0.3056, 0.3614, 0.3573, 0.4119, 0.4361, 0.455, 0.4846, 0.4453, 0.4679, 0.4483]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1911547336104591453", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-13T22:29:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I always set it aside when thinking deeply about the future", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Implicitly bullish on Bitcoin long-term by endorsing the thesis that declining institutional trust makes it increasingly important.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HHorsley I always set it aside when thinking deeply about the future.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Set aside intraday price for a moment.\n\nIs trust in the world increasing or declining right now?\n\nBitcoin is a solution when you don't trust institutions.\n\nBitcoin is becoming more and more important.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HHorsley", "ret_m1d": -0.013455435540565497, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013455435540565497, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038471445723268216, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038471445723268216, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01033089354397465, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01033089354397465, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007529872143564931, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007529872143564931, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "ret_p1w": 0.0352073747027426, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0352073747027426, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08202460248830545, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08202460248830545, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "ret_p1m": 0.23216071523290926, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23216071523290926, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14364611991150356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14364611991150356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "ret_p3m": 0.3719413689101603, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3719413689101603, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20769208236812786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20769208236812786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "ret_p6m": 0.43657379350928416, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43657379350928416, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18831992577379486, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18831992577379486, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "ret_p1y": -0.19474060073043975, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19474060073043975, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4240611113755379, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4240611113755379, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19474060073043975, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4240611113755379, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4240611113755379, "price_path": [0.1888, 0.18, 0.2356, 0.2067, 0.2555, 0.226, 0.2297, 0.2398, 0.2075, 0.1986, 0.2266, 0.2388, 0.2113, 0.1995, 0.1577, 0.1428, 0.1425, 0.1418, 0.1525, 0.1325, 0.1578, 0.1429, 0.1534, 0.1328, 0.1301, 0.143, 0.1631, 0.137, 0.0813, 0.0496, -0.0023, 0.0019, -0.002, 0.018, 0.0317, 0.0719, 0.0641, 0.026, -0.0711, -0.0199, -0.0097, -0.0411, -0.0068, -0.0055, -0.0216, 0.0273, -0.0044, -0.0059, 0.035, 0.0346, 0.0279, 0.0312, -0.0022, -0.0236, 0.0074, -0.0243, -0.017, -0.0083, -0.0628, -0.0978, -0.0233, -0.0582, -0.0135, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.006, 0.0042, -0.0011, 0.0352, 0.1053, 0.1083, 0.1112, 0.1204, 0.1234, 0.1152, 0.1143, 0.1413, 0.1463, 0.1207, 0.145, 0.1477, 0.2212, 0.218, 0.2161, 0.2322, 0.2247, 0.2271, 0.2241, 0.2492, 0.2632, 0.2973, 0.3209, 0.269, 0.2945, 0.2892, 0.2751, 0.2496, 0.2301, 0.2524, 0.2471, 0.2388, 0.2015, 0.2348, 0.3046, 0.3042, 0.2856, 0.253, 0.2549, 0.2632, 0.2373, 0.2406, 0.2382, 0.222, 0.2488, 0.2543, 0.2699, 0.2652, 0.2667, 0.2672, 0.2502, 0.2876, 0.297, 0.2779, 0.281, 0.2887, 0.3168, 0.3719, 0.39, 0.4176, 0.3931, 0.4045, 0.411, 0.3958, 0.3891, 0.4194, 0.4047, 0.4001, 0.3914, 0.3949, 0.3948, 0.3938, 0.3692, 0.3404, 0.3611, 0.3501, 0.3606, 0.3898, 0.3802, 0.4044, 0.4215, 0.459, 0.4, 0.3886, 0.3751, 0.3346, 0.3517, 0.3297, 0.3824, 0.3026, 0.3224, 0.3156, 0.3312, 0.2823, 0.2923, 0.3153, 0.3215, 0.3097, 0.3088, 0.3256, 0.3192, 0.3479, 0.3663, 0.3733, 0.3655, 0.3821, 0.3776, 0.3855, 0.3684, 0.3336, 0.325, 0.3405, 0.2899, 0.2977, 0.3532, 0.3491, 0.4034, 0.4275, 0.4462, 0.4756, 0.4366]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910502242677125540", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-11T01:16:44+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is set up nicely to warm up significantly between mid/late April and mid July", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC from mid/late April to mid July; macro/trade noise only delays the inevitable move higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As strange as it sounds right now, my gut and intuition says that Bitcoin is set up nicely to warm up significantly between mid/late April and mid July. The macro and trade stuff is only delaying the inevitable. Pattern recognition and fundamentals. Stay focused on what matters.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0453054702407375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0453054702407375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027775364297585647, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027775364297585647, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017530105943151852, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017530105943151852, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013638953601592618, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013638953601592618, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0039374477422271514, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0039374477422271514, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009701505859365467, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009701505859365467, "ret_p1w": 0.012540864546317199, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012540864546317199, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02664382069340565, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02664382069340565, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014102956147088452, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014102956147088452, "ret_p1m": 0.23269774431357448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23269774431357448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14083366925916785, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14083366925916785, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09186407505440664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09186407505440664, "ret_p3m": 0.3347733789791678, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3347733789791678, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16253525136098879, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16253525136098879, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17223812761817903, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17223812761817903, "ret_p6m": 0.49574697735133944, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.49574697735133944, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23069307842217746, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23069307842217746, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.265053898929162, "bench_c_p6m": 0.265053898929162, "ret_p1y": -0.18190220347497466, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18190220347497466, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4138667479787723, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4138667479787723, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23196454450379766, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23196454450379766, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23269774431357448, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14083366925916785, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14083366925916785, "price_path": [0.1574, 0.205, 0.1961, 0.2525, 0.2232, 0.2727, 0.2428, 0.2465, 0.2568, 0.224, 0.2149, 0.2434, 0.2557, 0.2278, 0.2158, 0.1735, 0.1584, 0.1581, 0.1574, 0.1682, 0.148, 0.1736, 0.1585, 0.1691, 0.1483, 0.1455, 0.1586, 0.179, 0.1525, 0.0961, 0.0639, 0.0113, 0.0156, 0.0116, 0.0319, 0.0458, 0.0866, 0.0786, 0.04, -0.0584, -0.0065, 0.0038, -0.028, 0.0068, 0.008, -0.0082, 0.0414, 0.0091, 0.0077, 0.0491, 0.0488, 0.0419, 0.0452, 0.0114, -0.0103, 0.0212, -0.011, -0.0036, 0.0053, -0.05, -0.0855, -0.01, -0.0453, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0032, 0.0075, 0.0179, 0.0125, 0.0493, 0.1203, 0.1234, 0.1264, 0.1357, 0.1388, 0.1304, 0.1295, 0.1569, 0.1619, 0.136, 0.1606, 0.1634, 0.2378, 0.2346, 0.2327, 0.249, 0.2414, 0.2439, 0.2408, 0.2662, 0.2804, 0.315, 0.3389, 0.2863, 0.3122, 0.3068, 0.2925, 0.2666, 0.2469, 0.2695, 0.2641, 0.2557, 0.2179, 0.2516, 0.3224, 0.322, 0.3031, 0.2701, 0.272, 0.2805, 0.2541, 0.2575, 0.2551, 0.2387, 0.2658, 0.2715, 0.2872, 0.2824, 0.284, 0.2845, 0.2673, 0.3052, 0.3146, 0.2953, 0.2985, 0.3063, 0.3348, 0.3907, 0.409, 0.437, 0.4121, 0.4236, 0.4303, 0.4148, 0.4081, 0.4387, 0.4238, 0.4192, 0.4104, 0.4139, 0.4139, 0.4128, 0.3879, 0.3587, 0.3797, 0.3685, 0.3792, 0.4088, 0.3991, 0.4236, 0.4408, 0.4789, 0.4191, 0.4076, 0.3938, 0.3528, 0.3701, 0.3479, 0.4013, 0.3204, 0.3405, 0.3335, 0.3494, 0.2998, 0.3099, 0.3333, 0.3395, 0.3275, 0.3267, 0.3437, 0.3372, 0.3663, 0.3849, 0.392, 0.3842, 0.4009, 0.3964, 0.4044, 0.3871, 0.3518, 0.343, 0.3588, 0.3075, 0.3154, 0.3716, 0.3675, 0.4226, 0.4469, 0.4659, 0.4957]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914778399631167488", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-22T20:28:39+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe as soon as May for 52 week highs in IREN, CIFR, CLSK etc If recent past is prologue, by mid July at the latest.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects 52-week highs for Bitcoin miners IREN, CIFR, CLSK by May or mid-July at the latest.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy Maybe as soon as May for 52 week highs in IREN, CIFR, CLSK etc If recent past is prologue, by mid July at the latest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I think we’ll see new ATH’s for $IREN $CLSK $BTBT within the next 5 months", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.006557370898096271, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006557370898096271, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008701778944810834, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00517770346281532, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01173507436091159, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03278693266050836, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03278693266050836, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011738019710640035, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02168055063501617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01110638202549219, "ret_p1w": 0.00163938180953771, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00163938180953771, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.034070804277852806, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020154362628412636, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021793744437950346, "ret_p1m": 0.5213114554188127, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5213114554188127, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.432278458566451, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.46871292695639233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05259852846242041, "ret_p3m": 1.9754098200471257, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.9754098200471257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.7975890112790072, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.873784774990706, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10162504505641978, "ret_p6m": 9.1360660324107, "ret_signed_p6m": 9.1360660324107, "alpha_spy_p6m": 8.895114899814663, "alpha_c_p6m": 9.044105482488186, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09196054992251312, "ret_p1y": 5.4459016900907065, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.4459016900907065, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.16233172805449, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.365558344898456, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08034334519225084, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5213114554188127, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.432278458566451, "alpha_c_stated": 0.46871292695639233, "price_path": [1.1836, 0.6541, 0.6525, 0.6361, 0.6885, 0.6754, 0.7508, 0.7508, 0.8148, 0.9, 1.0443, 1.1082, 1.0361, 1.1328, 1.1443, 1.1328, 1.1328, 1.1262, 1.1311, 1.0262, 0.7836, 0.6656, 0.4393, 0.3918, 0.2885, 0.3508, 0.241, 0.2361, 0.3213, 0.2492, 0.2623, 0.0852, 0.1557, 0.1541, 0.1066, 0.182, 0.2049, 0.0803, 0.1803, 0.182, 0.1721, 0.2607, 0.2131, 0.1, 0.059, -0.0049, -0.0016, 0.0885, 0.1082, -0.0098, -0.0262, -0.0361, -0.1311, -0.0328, -0.1, -0.077, -0.0574, -0.1066, -0.1033, -0.0836, -0.0836, -0.0967, -0.0066, 0.0, 0.0328, 0.0721, 0.0475, 0.0279, 0.0016, 0.0443, 0.0705, 0.0148, 0.0656, 0.077, 0.1295, 0.1541, 0.2311, 0.3311, 0.3066, 0.2705, 0.3787, 0.4, 0.4115, 0.4574, 0.5213, 0.4951, 0.4951, 0.5148, 0.4525, 0.4098, 0.3754, 0.4311, 0.4574, 0.5459, 0.4672, 0.5984, 0.6951, 0.7197, 0.6885, 0.6672, 0.6115, 0.7049, 0.6016, 0.6066, 0.6066, 0.7164, 0.7475, 0.8918, 0.9459, 1.1492, 1.2951, 1.3885, 1.4967, 1.5672, 1.7574, 1.7574, 1.7787, 1.7689, 1.7803, 1.7918, 1.6607, 1.8328, 1.7672, 1.8377, 1.959, 1.941, 1.9754, 2.0475, 2.1131, 1.9738, 1.9049, 1.718, 1.5885, 1.6459, 1.641, 1.5246, 1.7016, 1.6967, 2.0033, 2.0443, 2.0246, 1.9459, 1.923, 1.9066, 2.1279, 2.2279, 2.3943, 2.0705, 2.2393, 2.2115, 2.5131, 2.7902, 2.7689, 2.6648, 2.777, 3.341, 3.341, 3.7721, 3.6246, 3.2836, 3.2869, 3.2934, 3.9492, 4.5131, 4.3852, 4.5672, 5.0885, 4.9754, 5.2131, 4.9541, 5.3344, 5.8689, 5.8475, 6.7279, 6.5885, 5.8623, 6.5295, 6.6934, 6.718, 6.7082, 7.2721, 8.4672, 9.1115, 8.8508, 9.4672, 8.7984, 9.5148, 10.4033, 10.1443, 9.1361]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914778399631167488", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-22T20:28:39+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe as soon as May for 52 week highs in IREN, CIFR, CLSK etc If recent past is prologue, by mid July at the latest.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects 52-week highs for Bitcoin miners IREN, CIFR, CLSK by May or mid-July at the latest.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy Maybe as soon as May for 52 week highs in IREN, CIFR, CLSK etc If recent past is prologue, by mid July at the latest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I think we’ll see new ATH’s for $IREN $CLSK $BTBT within the next 5 months", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.041958003482745365, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041958003482745365, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02669885363983826, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013781940385816815, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02817606309692855, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04895108742634546, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04895108742634546, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027902174476477137, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011635350875665917, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "bench_c_p1d": 0.037315736550679546, "ret_p1w": -0.0034965002902287434, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0034965002902287434, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03920668637761926, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06373694631082416, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06024044602059542, "ret_p1m": 0.24825177069567128, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24825177069567128, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1592187738433095, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0902027686646587, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15804900203101258, "ret_p3m": 1.1853147654715532, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1853147654715532, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0074939567034347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8640512907819404, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3212634746896128, "ret_p6m": 5.545454545454546, "ret_signed_p6m": 5.545454545454546, "alpha_spy_p6m": 5.304503412858509, "alpha_c_p6m": 5.1045949210231525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4408596244313936, "ret_p1y": 4.779720731805015, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.779720731805015, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.496150769768798, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.331174462552425, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "bench_c_p1y": 0.44854626925259056, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.24825177069567128, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1592187738433095, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0902027686646587, "price_path": [1.0629, 0.5769, 0.5699, 0.5734, 0.6434, 1.0035, 1.035, 1.0315, 0.9965, 1.0594, 1.0874, 1.0839, 0.993, 1.021, 1.0909, 1.1189, 1.1189, 1.0629, 1.1049, 1.1259, 0.9196, 0.736, 0.4336, 0.4598, 0.3881, 0.4266, 0.3462, 0.3112, 0.4545, 0.3252, 0.3601, 0.0769, 0.1119, 0.1189, 0.0594, 0.0629, 0.0909, 0.0035, 0.0699, 0.049, 0.021, 0.1189, 0.0629, -0.0629, -0.1119, -0.1888, -0.1958, -0.1399, -0.0734, -0.1923, -0.2657, -0.2203, -0.2622, -0.1399, -0.2238, -0.1538, -0.1469, -0.1888, -0.1871, -0.1713, -0.1713, -0.1818, -0.042, 0.0, 0.049, 0.0769, 0.0699, 0.0769, -0.0035, 0.0892, 0.1049, 0.042, 0.0629, 0.0559, 0.0909, 0.042, 0.1014, 0.1993, 0.1573, 0.1084, 0.3497, 0.3322, 0.3217, 0.2255, 0.2483, 0.2133, 0.2133, 0.2483, 0.1713, 0.1364, 0.0909, 0.1364, 0.201, 0.3077, 0.2343, 0.3636, 0.4476, 0.4196, 0.4266, 0.3427, 0.3007, 0.3741, 0.2867, 0.3322, 0.3322, 0.3252, 0.2343, 0.3462, 0.3462, 0.465, 0.4895, 0.6713, 0.7133, 0.986, 1.1154, 1.1154, 1.0245, 1.1084, 1.1888, 1.1818, 1.0524, 1.1084, 1.0874, 1.1923, 1.2448, 1.2238, 1.1853, 1.4266, 1.3357, 1.3252, 1.2622, 1.1538, 0.986, 0.9056, 0.9091, 0.7238, 0.8147, 0.7517, 0.8217, 0.7028, 0.6608, 0.6643, 0.6503, 0.7133, 0.8601, 0.8217, 1.1154, 1.014, 1.0804, 1.0629, 1.2308, 1.3217, 1.4895, 1.4441, 1.4545, 1.6713, 1.6713, 1.9091, 1.8357, 1.5874, 1.6294, 1.6993, 2.2238, 2.5839, 2.486, 2.7937, 2.7937, 3.0245, 3.3287, 3.1434, 3.2937, 3.8811, 3.9476, 3.9441, 3.0769, 3.0105, 3.4231, 3.4021, 3.4056, 3.8287, 4.1399, 4.3636, 4.507, 5.1538, 5.2902, 4.9336, 6.1119, 6.3042, 6.3531, 5.5455]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914778399631167488", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-04-22T20:28:39+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe as soon as May for 52 week highs in IREN, CIFR, CLSK etc If recent past is prologue, by mid July at the latest.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects 52-week highs for Bitcoin miners IREN, CIFR, CLSK by May or mid-July at the latest.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy Maybe as soon as May for 52 week highs in IREN, CIFR, CLSK etc If recent past is prologue, by mid July at the latest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I think we’ll see new ATH’s for $IREN $CLSK $BTBT within the next 5 months", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.011273892794318452, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011273892794318452, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003985257048588653, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00046118156659313847, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01173507436091159, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00112742153448242, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00112742153448242, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022176334484350746, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01223380355997461, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01110638202549219, "ret_p1w": -0.07891767962757024, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07891767962757024, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11462786571496075, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10071142406552058, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021793744437950346, "ret_p1m": 0.11273957304419624, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11273957304419624, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023706576191834472, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06014104458177583, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05259852846242041, "ret_p3m": 0.39684334872365157, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.39684334872365157, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.219022539955533, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2952183036672318, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10162504505641978, "ret_p6m": 1.2536640393494416, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2536640393494416, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0127129067534049, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1617034894269285, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09196054992251312, "ret_p1y": 0.1296505735109268, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1296505735109268, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.15391938852528964, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.049307228318675955, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "bench_c_p1y": 0.08034334519225084, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11273957304419624, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.023706576191834472, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06014104458177583, "price_path": [0.2999, 0.1618, 0.133, 0.1567, 0.2368, 0.177, 0.1939, 0.2221, 0.1623, 0.1702, 0.2773, 0.2604, 0.159, 0.186, 0.2029, 0.1838, 0.1838, 0.1364, 0.115, 0.1342, 0.0428, 0.0034, -0.0812, -0.1116, -0.1533, -0.0992, -0.1218, -0.1251, -0.0361, -0.0812, -0.0045, -0.1003, -0.0688, -0.0868, -0.133, -0.1015, -0.0846, -0.1443, -0.097, -0.1263, -0.1612, -0.009, -0.0158, -0.0846, -0.1156, -0.1894, -0.2424, -0.1477, -0.0958, -0.1646, -0.1747, -0.1623, -0.2401, -0.1398, -0.1962, -0.1545, -0.1229, -0.1793, -0.1793, -0.1533, -0.1533, -0.1578, -0.0113, 0.0, -0.0011, 0.0158, -0.0338, -0.0485, -0.0789, -0.0225, -0.0068, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0947, -0.0214, 0.0372, 0.0846, 0.1274, 0.0834, 0.0552, 0.1026, 0.1094, 0.0936, 0.1398, 0.1127, 0.0552, 0.0552, 0.1116, 0.0271, -0.0101, -0.0271, -0.0293, 0.0383, 0.0744, 0.0169, 0.1037, 0.1409, 0.1421, 0.124, 0.0947, 0.0485, 0.0846, 0.0034, 0.0349, 0.0349, 0.0147, -0.0023, 0.1319, 0.195, 0.2187, 0.2029, 0.2435, 0.2492, 0.407, 0.3811, 0.3811, 0.2773, 0.3078, 0.4059, 0.4543, 0.4262, 0.4205, 0.3743, 0.4171, 0.4634, 0.4408, 0.3968, 0.4476, 0.4036, 0.3912, 0.3326, 0.3563, 0.3224, 0.2875, 0.2818, 0.177, 0.1973, 0.221, 0.2401, 0.2086, 0.1353, 0.1127, 0.1184, 0.124, 0.1218, 0.0992, 0.1094, 0.0552, 0.0699, 0.0519, 0.1071, 0.0654, 0.0913, 0.08, 0.0767, 0.0676, 0.0676, 0.0868, 0.0643, 0.0237, 0.0417, 0.0338, 0.0902, 0.1308, 0.1499, 0.1669, 0.1601, 0.2627, 0.2897, 0.5175, 0.5355, 0.549, 0.5682, 0.6291, 0.5423, 0.4611, 0.6764, 0.6347, 0.6449, 0.7069, 0.7971, 0.9651, 1.0248, 1.1398, 1.2649, 1.1736, 1.2593, 1.478, 1.6156, 1.2537]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1906101112530469034", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-29T21:48:13+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's why we IREN and don't give up so easily", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds/owns IREN as a play on AI capex and data center infrastructure demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ehrazahmedd Yes and it’s why we IREN and don’t give up so easily", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This post highlights the demand for AI capex is nowhere near its limit. It also shows that scaling up isn’t seamless, it comes with many challenges like managing heat, power, and system stability and speed. This is why $SMCI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ehrazahmedd", "ret_m1d": -0.003284069035370152, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003284069035370152, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003383971108521844, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008761717658980928, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01204578669435108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09031193762187151, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09031193762187151, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08748738392082989, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09151656311530865, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012046254934371392, "ret_p1w": -0.03448276402057804, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03448276402057804, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06385641654904173, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0803536473535652, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "bench_c_p1w": -0.11483641137414324, "ret_p1m": 0.02955662131833181, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02955662131833181, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.038620021971227714, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05244364725360029, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02288702593526848, "ret_p3m": 1.1527092492939053, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1527092492939053, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0556590313668852, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1093949402924825, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043314309001422746, "ret_p6m": 5.858784796583936, "ret_signed_p6m": 5.858784796583936, "alpha_spy_p6m": 5.666387966705097, "alpha_c_p6m": 5.772219469023898, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08656532756003799, "ret_p1y": 5.931034158765316, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.931034158765316, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.738323760052697, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.9378221563064315, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "bench_c_p1y": -0.006787997541115587, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02955662131833181, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.038620021971227714, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05244364725360029, "price_path": [0.6125, 0.7176, 0.8621, 0.9327, 0.8686, 0.7258, 0.7258, 0.8062, 0.7176, 0.8013, 0.8966, 0.8801, 0.9688, 0.9688, 0.775, 0.9146, 1.0164, 1.1872, 0.6568, 0.6552, 0.6388, 0.6913, 0.6782, 0.7537, 0.7537, 0.8177, 0.9031, 1.0476, 1.1117, 1.0394, 1.1363, 1.1478, 1.1363, 1.1363, 1.1297, 1.1346, 1.0296, 0.7865, 0.6683, 0.4417, 0.3941, 0.2906, 0.353, 0.243, 0.2381, 0.3235, 0.2512, 0.2644, 0.087, 0.1576, 0.156, 0.1084, 0.1839, 0.2069, 0.0821, 0.1823, 0.1839, 0.1741, 0.2627, 0.2151, 0.1018, 0.0608, -0.0033, 0.0, 0.0903, 0.11, -0.0082, -0.0246, -0.0345, -0.1297, -0.0312, -0.0985, -0.0755, -0.0558, -0.1051, -0.1018, -0.0821, -0.0821, -0.0952, -0.0049, 0.0016, 0.0345, 0.0739, 0.0493, 0.0296, 0.0033, 0.046, 0.0722, 0.0164, 0.0673, 0.0788, 0.1314, 0.156, 0.2332, 0.3333, 0.3087, 0.2726, 0.381, 0.4023, 0.4138, 0.4598, 0.5238, 0.4975, 0.4975, 0.5172, 0.4548, 0.4122, 0.3777, 0.4335, 0.4598, 0.5484, 0.4696, 0.601, 0.6979, 0.7225, 0.6913, 0.67, 0.6141, 0.7077, 0.6043, 0.6092, 0.6092, 0.7192, 0.7504, 0.8949, 0.9491, 1.1527, 1.2989, 1.3924, 1.5008, 1.5714, 1.7619, 1.7619, 1.7833, 1.7734, 1.7849, 1.7964, 1.665, 1.8374, 1.7718, 1.8424, 1.9639, 1.9458, 1.9803, 2.0525, 2.1182, 1.9787, 1.9097, 1.7225, 1.5928, 1.6502, 1.6453, 1.5287, 1.7061, 1.7011, 2.0082, 2.0493, 2.0296, 1.9507, 1.9278, 1.9113, 2.133, 2.2332, 2.3998, 2.0755, 2.2447, 2.2167, 2.5189, 2.7964, 2.775, 2.6708, 2.7833, 3.3481, 3.3481, 3.78, 3.6322, 3.2906, 3.2939, 3.3005, 3.9573, 4.5222, 4.3941, 4.5764, 5.0985, 4.9852, 5.2233, 4.9639, 5.3448, 5.8801, 5.8588]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920817122613035084", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-09T12:24:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "As I said, it was little more than a mid cycle correction.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC: the recent downturn was a mid-cycle correction, bull cycle continues.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ki_young_ju I forgive you and all other kid analysts for getting this so wrong. As I said, it was little more than a mid cycle correction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Two months ago, I said the bull cycle was over, but I was wrong. #Bitcoin selling pressure is easing, and massive inflows are coming through ETFs.\n\nIn the past, the Bitcoin market was pretty simple. The main players were old whales, miners, and new retail investors, basically https://t.co/oN4n6vNc0s", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ki_young_ju", "ret_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002628019200518583, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001352281952818668, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0015334284907234652, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03458074823059676, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "ret_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00503479860691769, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04787649148127726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "ret_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008498073374466175, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "ret_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11709283019944428, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007496423973544664, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "ret_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03473479941873725, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18307759416243563, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "ret_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2585215066551373, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5340795457355579, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07111964103312318, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008498073374466175, "price_path": [-0.0702, -0.0494, -0.0616, -0.053, -0.0699, -0.0722, -0.0615, -0.045, -0.0665, -0.1122, -0.1382, -0.1809, -0.1774, -0.1806, -0.1642, -0.1529, -0.1199, -0.1263, -0.1576, -0.2373, -0.1953, -0.1869, -0.2127, -0.1845, -0.1835, -0.1967, -0.1565, -0.1826, -0.1838, -0.1503, -0.1505, -0.1561, -0.1534, -0.1808, -0.1983, -0.1729, -0.1989, -0.1929, -0.1858, -0.2305, -0.2593, -0.1981, -0.2267, -0.19, -0.179, -0.1874, -0.1839, -0.1755, -0.1799, -0.1501, -0.0925, -0.09, -0.0877, -0.0801, -0.0776, -0.0844, -0.0851, -0.0629, -0.0589, -0.0799, -0.0599, -0.0577, 0.0026, 0.0, -0.0015, 0.0116, 0.0055, 0.0075, 0.005, 0.0256, 0.0371, 0.0651, 0.0845, 0.0419, 0.0628, 0.0585, 0.0469, 0.0259, 0.01, 0.0283, 0.0239, 0.0171, -0.0135, 0.0138, 0.0711, 0.0708, 0.0555, 0.0287, 0.0303, 0.0372, 0.0158, 0.0186, 0.0166, 0.0033, 0.0253, 0.0299, 0.0426, 0.0387, 0.04, 0.0404, 0.0265, 0.0572, 0.0648, 0.0492, 0.0518, 0.0581, 0.0811, 0.1264, 0.1413, 0.1639, 0.1438, 0.1531, 0.1585, 0.146, 0.1405, 0.1653, 0.1533, 0.1495, 0.1424, 0.1452, 0.1452, 0.1443, 0.1242, 0.1005, 0.1175, 0.1085, 0.1171, 0.1411, 0.1332, 0.1531, 0.1671, 0.1979, 0.1494, 0.1401, 0.129, 0.0958, 0.1098, 0.0918, 0.135, 0.0695, 0.0858, 0.0801, 0.093, 0.0528, 0.061, 0.0799, 0.085, 0.0753, 0.0746, 0.0884, 0.0831, 0.1067, 0.1217, 0.1275, 0.1211, 0.1347, 0.1311, 0.1376, 0.1235, 0.095, 0.0878, 0.1006, 0.059, 0.0655, 0.111, 0.1077, 0.1523, 0.172, 0.1874, 0.2115, 0.1795, 0.198, 0.1819, 0.0995, 0.1195, 0.0986, 0.0759, 0.0506, 0.034, 0.074, 0.0535, 0.0458, 0.0689, 0.0783, 0.1083, 0.097, 0.0688, 0.0518, 0.064, 0.0347]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1937012432603693517", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-23T04:58:46+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR has the steepest EH growth curve over the next 2 months of any miner public or private", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: steepest EH (exahash) growth curve of any miner over next 2 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@web3_eth And CIFR. CIFR has the steepest EH growth curve over the next 2 months of any miner public or private.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The next couple of days/weeks, it's going to be great being $MARA, $CLSK and $IREN. ⛏️", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SignalScale", "ret_m1d": 0.07365438883017728, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07365438883017728, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0834351622926609, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08492752106992585, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011273132239748573, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0906515398969856, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0906515398969856, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07960424989482617, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07270024105092454, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01795129884606106, "ret_p1w": 0.35410771913588723, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.35410771913588723, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3246150661040419, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3114941147081285, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042613604427758744, "ret_p1m": 0.9660056978663834, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9660056978663834, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9181675265365257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9004176441960126, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0655880536703708, "ret_p3m": 2.3569406451876964, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.3569406451876964, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.253449781340538, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.2200829428574496, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13685770233024708, "ret_p6m": 3.246458893090744, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.246458893090744, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.1121554926115715, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.071037279511199, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.175421613579545, "ret_p1y": 4.954674398903194, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.954674398903194, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.73567366883358, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.494319571410498, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4603548274926952, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.9660056978663834, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.9181675265365257, "alpha_c_stated": 0.9004176441960126, "price_path": [-0.2408, -0.2805, -0.3428, -0.3484, -0.3031, -0.2493, -0.3456, -0.4051, -0.3683, -0.4023, -0.3031, -0.3711, -0.3144, -0.3088, -0.3428, -0.3414, -0.3286, -0.3286, -0.3371, -0.2238, -0.1898, -0.1501, -0.1275, -0.1331, -0.1275, -0.1926, -0.1176, -0.1048, -0.1558, -0.1388, -0.1445, -0.1161, -0.1558, -0.1076, -0.0283, -0.0623, -0.102, 0.0935, 0.0793, 0.0708, -0.0071, 0.0113, -0.017, -0.017, 0.0113, -0.051, -0.0793, -0.1161, -0.0793, -0.0269, 0.0595, 0.0, 0.1048, 0.1728, 0.1501, 0.1558, 0.0878, 0.0538, 0.1133, 0.0425, 0.0793, 0.0793, 0.0737, 0.0, 0.0907, 0.0907, 0.187, 0.2068, 0.3541, 0.3881, 0.6091, 0.7139, 0.7139, 0.6402, 0.7082, 0.7734, 0.7677, 0.6629, 0.7082, 0.6912, 0.7762, 0.8187, 0.8017, 0.7705, 0.966, 0.8924, 0.8839, 0.8329, 0.745, 0.6091, 0.5439, 0.5467, 0.3966, 0.4703, 0.4193, 0.4759, 0.3796, 0.3456, 0.3484, 0.3371, 0.3881, 0.5071, 0.4759, 0.7139, 0.6317, 0.6856, 0.6714, 0.8074, 0.881, 1.017, 0.9802, 0.9887, 1.1643, 1.1643, 1.3569, 1.2975, 1.0963, 1.1303, 1.187, 1.6119, 1.9037, 1.8244, 2.0737, 2.0737, 2.2606, 2.5071, 2.3569, 2.4788, 2.9547, 3.0085, 3.0057, 2.3031, 2.2493, 2.5836, 2.5666, 2.5694, 2.9122, 3.1643, 3.3456, 3.4618, 3.9858, 4.0963, 3.8074, 4.762, 4.9178, 4.9575, 4.3031, 4.3144, 4.6402, 4.1204, 3.5637, 3.8881, 4.8527, 4.8187, 4.6544, 4.5496, 4.4023, 4.2833, 5.4476, 5.3768, 6.0, 5.1501, 4.8612, 4.5666, 4.289, 3.9235, 3.2295, 3.068, 3.0652, 3.1303, 3.1416, 3.1246, 3.0085, 3.7337, 3.9632, 4.4249, 4.4249, 4.7649, 4.5779, 3.9972, 4.2776, 4.6176, 4.4618, 4.5184, 4.5411, 4.2351, 4.3484, 3.83, 3.1756, 3.2465]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1920462784120107211", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-08T12:56:22+00:00", "symbol": "crypto", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The cycle cannot top until this reaches a mania phase.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on the broader crypto cycle; M&A wave signals we're far from a mania top.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD", "ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Broad crypto: BTC+ETH as primary proxies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel Here comes the M&A deluge I’ve been pounding the table on. The cycle cannot top until this reaches a mania phase.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨Coinbase to buy Deribit for $2.9B ($700M cash, 11M shares) in Crypto's Largest Ever M&A: WSJ https://t.co/s08UP26MQO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": -0.1195577847004764, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1195577847004764, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11263812636661641, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11263812636661641, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00691965833385999, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00691965833385999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030185413074258816, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030185413074258816, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.031459524890057655, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031459524890057655, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012741118157988396, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012741118157988396, "ret_p1w": 0.07955905200972302, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07955905200972302, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034607944626698584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034607944626698584, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.044951107383024436, "bench_c_p1w": 0.044951107383024436, "ret_p1m": 0.06690064893612357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06690064893612357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006588454299332525, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006588454299332525, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06031219463679105, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06031219463679105, "ret_p3m": 0.3712513896371431, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3712513896371431, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2566326981583026, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2566326981583026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11461869147884052, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11461869147884052, "ret_p6m": 0.4023371980345972, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4023371980345972, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18835465332265955, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18835465332265955, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21398254471193767, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21398254471193767, "ret_p1y": -0.10343399209108939, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10343399209108939, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.38359608645401, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.38359608645401, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2801620943629206, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2801620943629206, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06690064893612357, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.006588454299332525, "alpha_c_stated": 0.006588454299332525, "price_path": [0.0749, 0.0535, 0.0942, 0.0743, 0.09, 0.0854, 0.0676, 0.0834, 0.0972, 0.0682, 0.0124, -0.0052, -0.0632, -0.0673, -0.0843, -0.097, -0.0859, -0.0531, -0.0652, -0.0952, -0.1979, -0.1637, -0.162, -0.1852, -0.1606, -0.1562, -0.1615, -0.1131, -0.1432, -0.1477, -0.1055, -0.1078, -0.1239, -0.1241, -0.162, -0.187, -0.1557, -0.1937, -0.1861, -0.1826, -0.2638, -0.2969, -0.2221, -0.2694, -0.241, -0.2228, -0.2348, -0.2354, -0.2302, -0.231, -0.2182, -0.1492, -0.1392, -0.144, -0.1364, -0.1324, -0.1357, -0.1373, -0.1159, -0.1131, -0.1288, -0.1199, -0.1196, 0.0, 0.0302, 0.0636, 0.1118, 0.0929, 0.0796, 0.0759, 0.0846, 0.0892, 0.1095, 0.1445, 0.0921, 0.1111, 0.1313, 0.1299, 0.1082, 0.077, 0.1036, 0.0983, 0.0983, 0.0395, 0.0669, 0.1418, 0.1715, 0.1549, 0.1139, 0.0983, 0.0929, 0.0755, 0.08, 0.0784, 0.0458, 0.0601, 0.0683, 0.0682, 0.0655, 0.0679, 0.0823, 0.0571, 0.1099, 0.1182, 0.0916, 0.1007, 0.1203, 0.167, 0.2313, 0.2394, 0.2633, 0.2819, 0.339, 0.3656, 0.3757, 0.4215, 0.4307, 0.3976, 0.4135, 0.4143, 0.4293, 0.4307, 0.4336, 0.3983, 0.3393, 0.4, 0.3713, 0.3919, 0.456, 0.4738, 0.5329, 0.6223, 0.6751, 0.6038, 0.5747, 0.5402, 0.4695, 0.5356, 0.5014, 0.6608, 0.5243, 0.5839, 0.5591, 0.5664, 0.5131, 0.5068, 0.5187, 0.5495, 0.5103, 0.5119, 0.519, 0.5166, 0.5374, 0.5703, 0.6308, 0.5849, 0.5864, 0.6048, 0.6074, 0.5734, 0.4984, 0.4864, 0.49, 0.4047, 0.4459, 0.5097, 0.4919, 0.5606, 0.6014, 0.6152, 0.6664, 0.5968, 0.6234, 0.5795, 0.4191, 0.5203, 0.4827, 0.4401, 0.4065, 0.3841, 0.4376, 0.4038, 0.3845, 0.4069, 0.4293, 0.4863, 0.4494, 0.4175, 0.3866, 0.4023]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919161242129924233", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-04T22:44:31+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It will go to a million by 2033 at the latest. Could be as soon as 2027.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "BTC to $1M by 2033 at the latest, possibly as soon as 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ It will go to a million by 2033 at the latest. Could be as soon as 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Why not a million?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4511960137451003, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918079267499590038", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-01T23:05:08+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still long. Still bullish.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reaffirms ongoing long position in MSTR; still bullish on the thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PunterJeff Yes I have been following this thread for some time. I was just wondering if he said anything brand new that he hasn’t said before. \n\nStill long. Still bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred MSTR is going to become the first investment grade fixed income Bitcoin instrument\n\nCredit rating crusade is kicked off and the fixed income market will fomo in when they figure out the risk adjusted yield of MSTR's fixed income is MATERIALLY Higher than other FI instruments", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PunterJeff", "ret_m1d": -0.0323807317285314, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0323807317285314, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017753720567734943, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017753720567734943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019879799262012776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019879799262012776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014145474464588137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014145474464588137, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "ret_p1w": 0.05492305177951762, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05492305177951762, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05919280802948823, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05919280802948823, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "ret_p1m": -0.05603876151112508, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05603876151112508, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1018253394409474, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1018253394409474, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "ret_p3m": 0.0016989462586658455, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0016989462586658455, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1210614056178243, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1210614056178243, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "ret_p6m": -0.2503739925879358, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2503739925879358, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46635815676988135, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46635815676988135, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "ret_p1y": -0.5842229296070578, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5842229296070578, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.8407536155997826, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.8407536155997826, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05603876151112508, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1018253394409474, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1018253394409474, "price_path": [-0.1168, -0.1462, -0.1747, -0.1694, -0.1515, -0.1899, -0.1713, -0.1761, -0.1436, -0.1436, -0.1532, -0.192, -0.1786, -0.2401, -0.283, -0.3648, -0.3324, -0.3913, -0.3523, -0.3637, -0.3023, -0.2176, -0.2289, -0.2718, -0.3933, -0.3392, -0.3343, -0.3325, -0.2457, -0.2538, -0.2819, -0.2286, -0.234, -0.2292, -0.1487, -0.1333, -0.165, -0.1769, -0.2661, -0.269, -0.224, -0.2075, -0.2842, -0.2555, -0.3201, -0.3966, -0.2473, -0.3094, -0.2393, -0.2103, -0.2121, -0.2097, -0.1957, -0.1957, -0.1943, -0.1302, -0.1233, -0.1116, -0.0651, -0.0637, -0.0328, -0.0362, -0.0324, 0.0, -0.0199, -0.0222, -0.0048, 0.0507, 0.0549, 0.0267, 0.0691, 0.0567, 0.0067, 0.0138, 0.0483, 0.0572, 0.0211, 0.0129, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0562, -0.0764, -0.0602, -0.0642, -0.056, -0.0176, -0.0413, -0.0649, -0.0505, -0.0057, -0.0081, -0.0184, -0.037, -0.0292, -0.0307, -0.0487, -0.0643, -0.0643, -0.0626, -0.0689, -0.044, -0.0145, -0.0201, -0.0266, 0.025, -0.0534, 0.0201, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.0033, 0.0065, 0.0534, 0.0694, 0.102, 0.1436, 0.1216, 0.156, 0.1445, 0.0732, 0.0809, 0.0812, 0.0464, 0.0521, 0.0292, 0.0239, 0.0007, 0.0017, 0.019, -0.0703, -0.013, -0.0479, -0.0278, 0.0194, 0.0019, 0.0149, 0.0001, -0.0113, -0.0543, -0.0711, -0.078, -0.1466, -0.1268, -0.144, -0.0919, -0.1298, -0.1091, -0.1326, -0.1408, -0.152, -0.152, -0.1338, -0.1626, -0.1693, -0.1483, -0.1635, -0.1669, -0.1722, -0.1733, -0.1596, -0.1688, -0.1503, -0.164, -0.1147, -0.1258, -0.1482, -0.1689, -0.1802, -0.2375, -0.2163, -0.1723, -0.183, -0.1419, -0.1066, -0.1084, -0.0879, -0.1673, -0.1612, -0.1878, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.2376, -0.2475, -0.2803, -0.265, -0.2479, -0.2344, -0.288, -0.2775, -0.267, -0.2504]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926993223865553361", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-26T13:26:01+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher, homie.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's BTC bullish thesis and raises the bar — expects Bitcoin to go even higher than $140K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoJelleNL Higher, homie.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "All hurdles have been overcome.\n\nIt's time for the power of three setup to play out.\n\nBring on $140,000.\n\n#Bitcoin https://t.co/8Qc2Y7OCnv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoJelleNL", "ret_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "price_path": [-0.2293, -0.226, -0.2291, -0.2136, -0.203, -0.1719, -0.178, -0.2074, -0.2824, -0.2429, -0.235, -0.2593, -0.2327, -0.2318, -0.2442, -0.2064, -0.2309, -0.2321, -0.2005, -0.2007, -0.206, -0.2034, -0.2292, -0.2457, -0.2218, -0.2463, -0.2407, -0.2339, -0.276, -0.3031, -0.2455, -0.2724, -0.2379, -0.2275, -0.2355, -0.2321, -0.2243, -0.2283, -0.2003, -0.1462, -0.1438, -0.1416, -0.1345, -0.1321, -0.1385, -0.1392, -0.1183, -0.1145, -0.1342, -0.1155, -0.1134, -0.0566, -0.0591, -0.0606, -0.0482, -0.0539, -0.052, -0.0544, -0.035, -0.0242, 0.0022, 0.0204, -0.0197, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.015, -0.0347, -0.0497, -0.0325, -0.0366, -0.043, -0.0719, -0.0461, 0.0078, 0.0075, -0.0069, -0.0321, -0.0306, -0.0242, -0.0442, -0.0416, -0.0435, -0.056, -0.0353, -0.031, -0.019, -0.0227, -0.0215, -0.0211, -0.0342, -0.0053, 0.0019, -0.0128, -0.0104, -0.0045, 0.0172, 0.0598, 0.0738, 0.0951, 0.0762, 0.085, 0.09, 0.0782, 0.0731, 0.0964, 0.0851, 0.0816, 0.0749, 0.0775, 0.0775, 0.0767, 0.0577, 0.0355, 0.0515, 0.043, 0.0511, 0.0736, 0.0662, 0.0849, 0.0981, 0.127, 0.0815, 0.0727, 0.0622, 0.031, 0.0442, 0.0272, 0.0679, 0.0062, 0.0216, 0.0163, 0.0284, -0.0094, -0.0017, 0.0161, 0.0209, 0.0117, 0.0111, 0.024, 0.0191, 0.0413, 0.0554, 0.0609, 0.0549, 0.0676, 0.0642, 0.0703, 0.0571, 0.0302, 0.0235, 0.0355, -0.0036, 0.0025, 0.0453, 0.0422, 0.0841, 0.1027, 0.1172, 0.1399, 0.1097, 0.1271, 0.1121, 0.0345, 0.0533, 0.0336, 0.0123, -0.0115, -0.0272, 0.0105, -0.0088, -0.016, 0.0058, 0.0146, 0.0428, 0.0321, 0.0056, -0.0104, 0.0011, -0.0264, -0.0717, -0.0507, -0.0744, -0.0554, -0.0315, -0.0589, -0.0711, -0.089, -0.1374, -0.1585, -0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926090550555373984", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-24T01:39:06+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*when 🚀", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish Bitcoin momentum thesis; corrects 'if' to 'when' implying a certain upward move.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheBTCTherapist *when 🚀", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This is the part where bitcoin moves incredibly fast and rips your nuts off when you’re not paying attention.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBTCTherapist", "ret_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "price_path": [-0.2293, -0.226, -0.2291, -0.2136, -0.203, -0.1719, -0.178, -0.2074, -0.2824, -0.2429, -0.235, -0.2593, -0.2327, -0.2318, -0.2442, -0.2064, -0.2309, -0.2321, -0.2005, -0.2007, -0.206, -0.2034, -0.2292, -0.2457, -0.2218, -0.2463, -0.2407, -0.2339, -0.276, -0.3031, -0.2455, -0.2724, -0.2379, -0.2275, -0.2355, -0.2321, -0.2243, -0.2283, -0.2003, -0.1462, -0.1438, -0.1416, -0.1345, -0.1321, -0.1385, -0.1392, -0.1183, -0.1145, -0.1342, -0.1155, -0.1134, -0.0566, -0.0591, -0.0606, -0.0482, -0.0539, -0.052, -0.0544, -0.035, -0.0242, 0.0022, 0.0204, -0.0197, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.015, -0.0347, -0.0497, -0.0325, -0.0366, -0.043, -0.0719, -0.0461, 0.0078, 0.0075, -0.0069, -0.0321, -0.0306, -0.0242, -0.0442, -0.0416, -0.0435, -0.056, -0.0353, -0.031, -0.019, -0.0227, -0.0215, -0.0211, -0.0342, -0.0053, 0.0019, -0.0128, -0.0104, -0.0045, 0.0172, 0.0598, 0.0738, 0.0951, 0.0762, 0.085, 0.09, 0.0782, 0.0731, 0.0964, 0.0851, 0.0816, 0.0749, 0.0775, 0.0775, 0.0767, 0.0577, 0.0355, 0.0515, 0.043, 0.0511, 0.0736, 0.0662, 0.0849, 0.0981, 0.127, 0.0815, 0.0727, 0.0622, 0.031, 0.0442, 0.0272, 0.0679, 0.0062, 0.0216, 0.0163, 0.0284, -0.0094, -0.0017, 0.0161, 0.0209, 0.0117, 0.0111, 0.024, 0.0191, 0.0413, 0.0554, 0.0609, 0.0549, 0.0676, 0.0642, 0.0703, 0.0571, 0.0302, 0.0235, 0.0355, -0.0036, 0.0025, 0.0453, 0.0422, 0.0841, 0.1027, 0.1172, 0.1399, 0.1097, 0.1271, 0.1121, 0.0345, 0.0533, 0.0336, 0.0123, -0.0115, -0.0272, 0.0105, -0.0088, -0.016, 0.0058, 0.0146, 0.0428, 0.0321, 0.0056, -0.0104, 0.0011, -0.0264, -0.0717, -0.0507, -0.0744, -0.0554, -0.0315, -0.0589, -0.0711, -0.089, -0.1374, -0.1585, -0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1904627540444274805", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-25T20:12:46+00:00", "symbol": "GME", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Meme stock kids have a chance at salvation again. Hallelujah!", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GME on Bitcoin reserve asset approval; views it as a positive catalyst for shareholders.", "resolved_tickers": ["GME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BREAKING: GameStop board has approved Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Meme stock kids have a chance at salvation again. Hallelujah!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10437238815646821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10437238815646821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11645496862128124, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11760865864037817, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01208258046481303, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013236270483909962, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.22108604805442378, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.22108604805442378, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.21843031217327347, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.22172571291735077, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002655735881150312, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006396648629269919, "ret_p1w": -0.19992947652562332, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19992947652562332, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19277138823310025, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20032316310318576, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007158088292523068, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0003936865775624465, "ret_p1m": -0.045134014777781784, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.045134014777781784, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00661762594722104, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00025874942605252915, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.038516388830560744, "bench_c_p1m": -0.044875265351729254, "ret_p3m": -0.19534558520091183, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19534558520091183, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25397152354477637, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2525510049730164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.058625938343864537, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05720541977210458, "ret_p6m": -0.0874471578353826, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0874471578353826, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25563120902946235, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27325296722981185, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16818405119407975, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18580580939442926, "ret_p1y": -0.17031028983628005, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17031028983628005, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3452477063648913, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.26770950167453855, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.17493741652861128, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0973992118382585, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.045134014777781784, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00661762594722104, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00025874942605252915, "price_path": [0.1354, 0.1287, 0.1051, 0.1051, 0.0811, 0.116, 0.1573, 0.1767, 0.1622, 0.1622, 0.1393, 0.0938, -0.0169, -0.0141, -0.0226, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0314, -0.025, -0.0011, -0.0208, -0.049, -0.0317, -0.03, -0.013, -0.0515, -0.0871, -0.0867, -0.1209, -0.1255, -0.128, -0.0437, -0.0635, -0.0836, -0.0712, -0.048, -0.048, -0.049, -0.0832, -0.0465, -0.0684, -0.1185, -0.1389, -0.1322, -0.1368, -0.1171, -0.1396, -0.1432, -0.116, -0.1467, -0.1537, -0.2094, -0.2028, -0.2246, -0.226, -0.1872, -0.1714, -0.1784, -0.164, -0.171, -0.1273, -0.097, -0.1044, 0.0, -0.2211, -0.2338, -0.213, -0.2028, -0.1999, -0.256, -0.1717, -0.1435, -0.1752, -0.1044, -0.1178, -0.0691, -0.0487, -0.0585, -0.0744, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0561, -0.0197, -0.0437, -0.0451, -0.0317, -0.0272, -0.0388, -0.0176, -0.0328, -0.031, -0.0621, -0.0818, -0.0829, -0.0557, -0.0289, -0.0109, 0.0011, 0.013, 0.0095, 0.0032, -0.0166, 0.0053, -0.0109, 0.0882, 0.1647, 0.1647, 0.2345, 0.1005, 0.0427, 0.0508, 0.0804, 0.0614, 0.0561, 0.0384, 0.043, 0.0698, 0.0631, 0.0067, -0.2193, -0.2193, -0.1777, -0.1894, -0.1735, -0.1735, -0.1728, -0.1953, -0.1788, -0.1696, -0.158, -0.1682, -0.14, -0.165, -0.1555, -0.1682, -0.1682, -0.2024, -0.1978, -0.1823, -0.1855, -0.1774, -0.1643, -0.1812, -0.165, -0.1749, -0.1791, -0.1467, -0.1446, -0.1551, -0.1703, -0.1774, -0.1897, -0.2049, -0.2084, -0.2084, -0.2207, -0.202, -0.1957, -0.1957, -0.2013, -0.2147, -0.2098, -0.1915, -0.1883, -0.1929, -0.1911, -0.1851, -0.1953, -0.202, -0.2045, -0.1929, -0.2003, -0.2137, -0.2066, -0.1964, -0.2098, -0.2098, -0.1745, -0.1932, -0.2112, -0.2028, -0.1812, -0.1682, -0.1407, -0.1238, -0.1209, -0.0998, -0.0712, -0.0797, -0.0874]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924183446211240320", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T19:20:57+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we will be a lot higher soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; price will be a lot higher soon regardless of short-term path.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Maybe. Maybe not. All that matters is that we will be a lot higher soon, not the exact path.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Be careful of Sunday morning low liquidity pump of #Bitcoin. On this daily chart, I still think my 45 degree probably gets back-tested at some point. \nRegardless, it's a bullish structure overall and I'm not going to try to sell and buy back lower.\nJust doubt that major levels https://t.co/ECJFYDfVpd", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1936090982166257985", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-20T15:57:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's go time for BTC and proxies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC and proxies, short dollar to 90, Russell 2000 strong; macro setup of falling rates + expanding M2 = go time.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Fed is behind the curve and Powell risks destroying his legacy so rates will come down in July. Long term yields already topped in late May. The dollar is under 99 and headed to 90. Global M2 is still expanding. The Russell 2000 is strong. It's go time for BTC and proxies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013306483416919868, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013306483416919868, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01095248084931355, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01095248084931355, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021955092660267406, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021955092660267406, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012077710763044536, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012077710763044536, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "ret_p1w": 0.03657770495527357, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03657770495527357, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0018635139303899706, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0018635139303899706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "ret_p1m": 0.1367727421874887, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1367727421874887, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07873617908315866, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07873617908315866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "ret_p3m": 0.12737350692461202, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12737350692461202, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.018165814822208137, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.018165814822208137, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "ret_p6m": -0.16348742088877422, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16348742088877422, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3121333008754532, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3121333008754532, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "ret_p1y": -0.4033102410843499, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4033102410843499, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.654070445076445, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.654070445076445, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1367727421874887, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07873617908315866, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07873617908315866, "price_path": [-0.1533, -0.1588, -0.1562, -0.1835, -0.201, -0.1756, -0.2016, -0.1956, -0.1884, -0.233, -0.2617, -0.2007, -0.2292, -0.1927, -0.1817, -0.1901, -0.1866, -0.1782, -0.1825, -0.1528, -0.0955, -0.093, -0.0907, -0.0831, -0.0806, -0.0874, -0.0881, -0.066, -0.0619, -0.0829, -0.063, -0.0608, -0.0007, -0.0033, -0.0048, 0.0083, 0.0022, 0.0042, 0.0017, 0.0222, 0.0337, 0.0616, 0.081, 0.0385, 0.0593, 0.055, 0.0435, 0.0226, 0.0067, 0.0249, 0.0205, 0.0138, -0.0168, 0.0105, 0.0676, 0.0673, 0.052, 0.0254, 0.0269, 0.0338, 0.0125, 0.0152, 0.0133, 0.0, 0.022, 0.0265, 0.0392, 0.0353, 0.0366, 0.037, 0.0231, 0.0537, 0.0614, 0.0457, 0.0483, 0.0546, 0.0776, 0.1227, 0.1375, 0.1601, 0.14, 0.1493, 0.1547, 0.1422, 0.1368, 0.1615, 0.1495, 0.1458, 0.1387, 0.1415, 0.1414, 0.1406, 0.1205, 0.0969, 0.1139, 0.1048, 0.1134, 0.1373, 0.1295, 0.1493, 0.1632, 0.1939, 0.1457, 0.1364, 0.1253, 0.0922, 0.1061, 0.0882, 0.1313, 0.066, 0.0822, 0.0766, 0.0894, 0.0494, 0.0575, 0.0764, 0.0814, 0.0718, 0.0711, 0.0848, 0.0796, 0.103, 0.1181, 0.1238, 0.1175, 0.131, 0.1274, 0.1338, 0.1198, 0.0914, 0.0843, 0.097, 0.0556, 0.062, 0.1074, 0.104, 0.1485, 0.1682, 0.1835, 0.2076, 0.1756, 0.194, 0.1781, 0.0959, 0.1158, 0.0949, 0.0723, 0.0472, 0.0306, 0.0705, 0.05, 0.0424, 0.0654, 0.0748, 0.1046, 0.0934, 0.0653, 0.0484, 0.0605, 0.0313, -0.0166, 0.0056, -0.0194, 0.0006, 0.026, -0.003, -0.0159, -0.035, -0.0863, -0.1086, -0.1003, -0.1146, -0.1614, -0.1764, -0.1456, -0.1546, -0.1238, -0.1164, -0.1199, -0.1644, -0.1158, -0.0947, -0.1081, -0.1348, -0.1226, -0.1028, -0.1093, -0.1045, -0.1262, -0.1635]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1931348671247044891", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-07T13:53:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "dozens of companies & governments scrambling to accumulate billions of dollars of Bitcoin right now... You can see them in the lit market climbing all over each other on the bid trying to gobble up the coins. Wow. This is getting nuts.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Massive institutional/government demand is driving intense BTC accumulation; bullish on Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There are dozens of companies & governments scrambling to accumulate billions of dollars of Bitcoin right now. It’s like Black Friday but for corn. You can see them in the lit market climbing all over each other on the bid trying to gobble up the coins. Wow. This is getting nuts.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "price_path": [-0.2409, -0.265, -0.2387, -0.2377, -0.25, -0.2125, -0.2369, -0.238, -0.2067, -0.2069, -0.2121, -0.2096, -0.2352, -0.2516, -0.2278, -0.2521, -0.2465, -0.2398, -0.2816, -0.3085, -0.2513, -0.2781, -0.2438, -0.2335, -0.2414, -0.2381, -0.2303, -0.2343, -0.2065, -0.1528, -0.1505, -0.1482, -0.1412, -0.1389, -0.1452, -0.1459, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.141, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0678, -0.0555, -0.0612, -0.0594, -0.0617, -0.0425, -0.0318, -0.0056, 0.0125, -0.0273, -0.0077, -0.0118, -0.0226, -0.0422, -0.0571, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.079, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0381, -0.0317, -0.0516, -0.0491, -0.0509, -0.0633, -0.0428, -0.0385, -0.0266, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0286, -0.0417, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0205, -0.0181, -0.0122, 0.0094, 0.0516, 0.0655, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0766, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0648, 0.088, 0.0767, 0.0732, 0.0666, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0683, 0.0495, 0.0274, 0.0433, 0.0349, 0.0429, 0.0653, 0.058, 0.0765, 0.0896, 0.1183, 0.0731, 0.0644, 0.054, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0193, 0.0597, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0084, 0.0204, -0.0171, -0.0095, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0161, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0594, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0156, 0.0275, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0372, 0.0341, 0.0758, 0.0942, 0.1086, 0.1311, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1035, 0.0265, 0.0451, 0.0256, 0.0044, -0.0191, -0.0347, 0.0027, -0.0165, -0.0236, -0.002, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0241, -0.0022, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.034, -0.0789, -0.058, -0.0815, -0.0628, -0.039, -0.0662, -0.0783, -0.0961, -0.1441, -0.165, -0.1573, -0.1707, -0.2145, -0.2285, -0.1997, -0.2081, -0.1793, -0.1723, -0.1757, -0.2174, -0.1718]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1917260565665440005", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-29T16:51:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Time to flip uber bullish. Go time.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin miners on unusual accumulation patterns matching prior rallies; time to go long.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Someone very large is quietly and systematically accumulating several Bitcoin miners right now. I am seeing the same trading patterns from last November and June/July. Time to flip uber bullish. Go time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "ret_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "ret_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "ret_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "ret_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "ret_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1433692454202704, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08309718567556823, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08309718567556823, "price_path": [0.1108, 0.0861, 0.0755, 0.038, 0.0247, 0.0245, 0.0238, 0.0334, 0.0155, 0.0382, 0.0248, 0.0342, 0.0158, 0.0133, 0.0249, 0.0429, 0.0195, -0.0304, -0.0588, -0.1054, -0.1016, -0.1051, -0.0872, -0.0749, -0.0388, -0.0459, -0.08, -0.1671, -0.1211, -0.112, -0.1402, -0.1094, -0.1083, -0.1227, -0.0788, -0.1073, -0.1086, -0.072, -0.0723, -0.0783, -0.0754, -0.1053, -0.1245, -0.0967, -0.1251, -0.1186, -0.1107, -0.1596, -0.191, -0.1242, -0.1555, -0.1154, -0.1033, -0.1126, -0.1087, -0.0996, -0.1043, -0.0718, -0.0089, -0.0062, -0.0036, 0.0046, 0.0074, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0234, 0.0278, 0.0049, 0.0267, 0.0291, 0.095, 0.0921, 0.0905, 0.1048, 0.0982, 0.1003, 0.0976, 0.1201, 0.1326, 0.1633, 0.1844, 0.1379, 0.1607, 0.156, 0.1434, 0.1205, 0.103, 0.123, 0.1182, 0.1108, 0.0773, 0.1072, 0.1698, 0.1694, 0.1527, 0.1235, 0.1252, 0.1327, 0.1094, 0.1124, 0.1103, 0.0957, 0.1198, 0.1247, 0.1387, 0.1344, 0.1358, 0.1363, 0.1211, 0.1546, 0.1629, 0.1458, 0.1486, 0.1555, 0.1807, 0.2302, 0.2464, 0.2711, 0.2492, 0.2594, 0.2652, 0.2516, 0.2456, 0.2727, 0.2595, 0.2554, 0.2477, 0.2507, 0.2507, 0.2497, 0.2278, 0.2019, 0.2205, 0.2106, 0.22, 0.2462, 0.2376, 0.2593, 0.2746, 0.3082, 0.2553, 0.2451, 0.233, 0.1967, 0.212, 0.1923, 0.2396, 0.168, 0.1858, 0.1796, 0.1937, 0.1498, 0.1587, 0.1794, 0.185, 0.1744, 0.1736, 0.1886, 0.1829, 0.2086, 0.2251, 0.2314, 0.2244, 0.2393, 0.2353, 0.2424, 0.227, 0.1958, 0.188, 0.202, 0.1566, 0.1636, 0.2133, 0.2097, 0.2584, 0.28, 0.2968, 0.3231, 0.2881, 0.3083, 0.2908, 0.2008, 0.2226, 0.1998, 0.175, 0.1474, 0.1292, 0.1729, 0.1505, 0.1422]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1912332105138495602", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-16T02:27:57+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buy Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Bitcoin and AI companies as stated investment stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy @nic_carter I said use AI, invest in AI companies, and buy Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @nic_carter Replace that with “buy bitcoin”", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.004341999389197104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004341999389197104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027075397537278834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027075397537278834, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01025637449930672, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008829657219519671, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008829657219519671, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "ret_p1w": 0.11501603473673883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11501603473673883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09644881117896009, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09644881117896009, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "ret_p1m": 0.234557495652562, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.234557495652562, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11128368285571932, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11128368285571932, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "ret_p3m": 0.4262071607104092, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4262071607104092, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23407319222865097, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23407319222865097, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "ret_p6m": 0.4482920994929964, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4482920994929964, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1641722505316907, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1641722505316907, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "ret_p1y": -0.20352229639556596, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20352229639556596, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.46545626188659883, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.46545626188659883, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.234557495652562, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11128368285571932, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11128368285571932, "price_path": [0.2431, 0.214, 0.2631, 0.2335, 0.2371, 0.2473, 0.2148, 0.2059, 0.2341, 0.2463, 0.2186, 0.2067, 0.1647, 0.1497, 0.1495, 0.1487, 0.1595, 0.1394, 0.1648, 0.1498, 0.1604, 0.1397, 0.1369, 0.15, 0.1702, 0.1439, 0.0879, 0.056, 0.0037, 0.008, 0.004, 0.0242, 0.0379, 0.0784, 0.0705, 0.0322, -0.0655, -0.0139, -0.0037, -0.0353, -0.0008, 0.0005, -0.0157, 0.0336, 0.0016, 0.0001, 0.0412, 0.0409, 0.0341, 0.0374, 0.0038, -0.0177, 0.0135, -0.0184, -0.0111, -0.0023, -0.0571, -0.0924, -0.0174, -0.0525, -0.0075, 0.0061, -0.0043, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.005, 0.0415, 0.112, 0.115, 0.1179, 0.1272, 0.1302, 0.122, 0.1211, 0.1483, 0.1532, 0.1275, 0.1519, 0.1547, 0.2286, 0.2253, 0.2235, 0.2396, 0.2321, 0.2346, 0.2315, 0.2567, 0.2708, 0.3052, 0.3289, 0.2767, 0.3023, 0.297, 0.2828, 0.2571, 0.2376, 0.26, 0.2546, 0.2463, 0.2088, 0.2422, 0.3125, 0.3121, 0.2934, 0.2606, 0.2625, 0.2709, 0.2447, 0.2481, 0.2457, 0.2294, 0.2564, 0.2619, 0.2776, 0.2728, 0.2743, 0.2749, 0.2578, 0.2954, 0.3048, 0.2856, 0.2888, 0.2965, 0.3248, 0.3802, 0.3984, 0.4262, 0.4015, 0.413, 0.4195, 0.4042, 0.3975, 0.4279, 0.4132, 0.4086, 0.3999, 0.4033, 0.4033, 0.4022, 0.3775, 0.3485, 0.3694, 0.3583, 0.3688, 0.3982, 0.3886, 0.4129, 0.4301, 0.4678, 0.4085, 0.397, 0.3834, 0.3427, 0.3599, 0.3378, 0.3908, 0.3105, 0.3304, 0.3235, 0.3393, 0.2901, 0.3001, 0.3233, 0.3295, 0.3176, 0.3167, 0.3336, 0.3272, 0.3561, 0.3745, 0.3816, 0.3738, 0.3904, 0.386, 0.3939, 0.3767, 0.3417, 0.333, 0.3486, 0.2977, 0.3056, 0.3614, 0.3573, 0.4119, 0.4361, 0.455, 0.4846, 0.4453, 0.4679, 0.4483]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1912332105138495602", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-16T02:27:57+00:00", "symbol": "AI companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "invest in AI companies", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Bitcoin and AI companies as stated investment stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["BOTZ", "IRBO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Broad AI sector; BOTZ/IRBO as proxy ETFs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy @nic_carter I said use AI, invest in AI companies, and buy Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @nic_carter Replace that with “buy bitcoin”", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": 0.02531816723355851, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02531816723355851, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002584769085476779, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002584769085476779, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00042950045758233246, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00042950045758233246, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018562177373693811, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018562177373693811, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "ret_p1w": 0.031171341581367584, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031171341581367584, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01260411802358885, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01260411802358885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "ret_p1m": 0.20015217547452846, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20015217547452846, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07687836267768577, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07687836267768577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "ret_p3m": 0.29946930572352837, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29946930572352837, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10733533724177013, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10733533724177013, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "ret_p6m": 0.532780234621616, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.532780234621616, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24866038566031023, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24866038566031023, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "ret_p1y": 0.43105156753949336, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.43105156753949336, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.1691176020484605, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1691176020484605, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.20015217547452846, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07687836267768577, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07687836267768577, "price_path": [0.2726, 0.2726, 0.3033, 0.3244, 0.3309, 0.328, 0.2431, 0.2735, 0.2649, 0.2805, 0.2747, 0.2563, 0.2843, 0.3022, 0.3029, 0.2987, 0.3263, 0.3126, 0.3125, 0.3175, 0.3188, 0.3188, 0.3387, 0.3318, 0.3216, 0.2837, 0.254, 0.2386, 0.2558, 0.2089, 0.2057, 0.1664, 0.168, 0.1903, 0.1447, 0.1597, 0.112, 0.1243, 0.1414, 0.111, 0.1454, 0.1549, 0.1347, 0.1501, 0.1391, 0.138, 0.1584, 0.1582, 0.1252, 0.1081, 0.0759, 0.0618, 0.071, 0.0835, 0.0139, -0.0562, -0.0603, -0.0728, 0.0447, -0.0036, 0.0155, 0.0224, 0.0253, 0.0, -0.0004, -0.0004, -0.0228, -0.0025, 0.0312, 0.0642, 0.0813, 0.0788, 0.0836, 0.0789, 0.0939, 0.119, 0.1177, 0.1128, 0.1118, 0.1305, 0.1223, 0.1743, 0.1974, 0.2064, 0.2002, 0.2076, 0.1992, 0.2023, 0.1813, 0.187, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.2143, 0.2024, 0.2064, 0.1975, 0.2035, 0.2192, 0.2258, 0.2192, 0.229, 0.2331, 0.2359, 0.2363, 0.2373, 0.2157, 0.24, 0.2256, 0.2325, 0.2325, 0.216, 0.2235, 0.2551, 0.2633, 0.2885, 0.2933, 0.3018, 0.2825, 0.2938, 0.3094, 0.3094, 0.2912, 0.2998, 0.3152, 0.3061, 0.2978, 0.2995, 0.3079, 0.3139, 0.3343, 0.3323, 0.33, 0.322, 0.3649, 0.3636, 0.3676, 0.3735, 0.3689, 0.3682, 0.3582, 0.3317, 0.3623, 0.3539, 0.346, 0.3416, 0.345, 0.3375, 0.3591, 0.369, 0.357, 0.3599, 0.362, 0.3332, 0.3175, 0.3108, 0.3409, 0.3338, 0.3414, 0.3534, 0.3695, 0.3469, 0.3469, 0.3326, 0.331, 0.339, 0.3483, 0.3641, 0.3665, 0.3773, 0.3901, 0.3818, 0.3983, 0.3966, 0.3906, 0.4201, 0.4225, 0.4505, 0.4368, 0.4201, 0.4124, 0.411, 0.4217, 0.4342, 0.4531, 0.4713, 0.477, 0.5156, 0.4961, 0.5268, 0.5328]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924912357958156549", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T19:37:23+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR is a lock for a large deal in the short term from my perspective", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "CIFR is a near-certain target for a large deal in the short term.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jayp2020 @matthew_sigel CIFR is a lock for a large deal in the short term from my perspective", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@matthew_sigel @matthew_sigel  CIFR?? Interesting. Thoughts 🧐@mikealfred", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jayp2020", "ret_m1d": 0.007936500427734305, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007936500427734305, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0045630045399165375, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004170484206958758, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003373495887817768, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037660162207755477, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.072751285457747, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.072751285457747, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05590040571061361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05396414046309794, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016850879747133396, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018787144994649063, "ret_p1w": -0.055555566067838624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.055555566067838624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05268820418380071, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04926460416485767, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002867361884037911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006290961902980952, "ret_p1m": 0.007936500427734305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007936500427734305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00019425793880789577, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02604299176104985, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00774224248892641, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033979492188784155, "ret_p3m": 0.37830689883085955, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37830689883085955, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28976466394229505, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23934868533069475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0885422348885645, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1389582135001648, "ret_p6m": 3.597883410664841, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.597883410664841, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.4385673973178537, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.3363371478948007, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15931601334698753, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26154626277004045, "ret_p1y": 4.472222122355532, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.472222122355532, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.224070717296009, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.011531741280138, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2481514050595235, "bench_c_p1y": 0.46069038107539373, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.007936500427734305, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.00019425793880789577, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02604299176104985, "price_path": [0.6085, 0.4524, 0.3135, 0.0847, 0.1045, 0.0503, 0.0794, 0.0185, -0.0079, 0.1005, 0.0026, 0.0291, -0.1852, -0.1587, -0.1534, -0.1984, -0.1958, -0.1746, -0.2407, -0.1905, -0.2063, -0.2275, -0.1534, -0.1958, -0.291, -0.328, -0.3862, -0.3915, -0.3492, -0.2989, -0.3889, -0.4444, -0.4101, -0.4418, -0.3492, -0.4127, -0.3598, -0.3545, -0.3862, -0.3849, -0.373, -0.373, -0.381, -0.2751, -0.2434, -0.2063, -0.1852, -0.1905, -0.1852, -0.246, -0.1759, -0.164, -0.2116, -0.1958, -0.2011, -0.1746, -0.2116, -0.1667, -0.0926, -0.1243, -0.1614, 0.0212, 0.0079, 0.0, -0.0728, -0.0556, -0.082, -0.082, -0.0556, -0.1138, -0.1402, -0.1746, -0.1402, -0.0913, -0.0106, -0.0661, 0.0317, 0.0952, 0.0741, 0.0794, 0.0159, -0.0159, 0.0397, -0.0265, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0026, -0.0661, 0.0185, 0.0185, 0.1085, 0.127, 0.2646, 0.2963, 0.5026, 0.6005, 0.6005, 0.5317, 0.5952, 0.6561, 0.6508, 0.5529, 0.5952, 0.5794, 0.6587, 0.6984, 0.6825, 0.6534, 0.836, 0.7672, 0.7593, 0.7116, 0.6296, 0.5026, 0.4418, 0.4444, 0.3042, 0.373, 0.3254, 0.3783, 0.2884, 0.2566, 0.2593, 0.2487, 0.2963, 0.4074, 0.3783, 0.6005, 0.5238, 0.5741, 0.5608, 0.6878, 0.7566, 0.8836, 0.8492, 0.8571, 1.0212, 1.0212, 1.2011, 1.1455, 0.9577, 0.9894, 1.0423, 1.4392, 1.7116, 1.6376, 1.8704, 1.8704, 2.045, 2.2751, 2.1349, 2.2487, 2.6931, 2.7434, 2.7407, 2.0847, 2.0344, 2.3466, 2.3307, 2.3333, 2.6534, 2.8889, 3.0582, 3.1667, 3.6561, 3.7593, 3.4894, 4.381, 4.5265, 4.5635, 3.9524, 3.963, 4.2672, 3.7817, 3.2619, 3.5648, 4.4656, 4.4339, 4.2804, 4.1825, 4.045, 3.9339, 5.0212, 4.955, 5.537, 4.7434, 4.4735, 4.1984, 3.9392, 3.5979]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925336067974341039", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-21T23:41:04+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's coming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish thesis that a Bitcoin 'God candle' (major upward move) is imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk It’s coming", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin Very possible we are close to a God candle @mikealfred \n\n$BTCUSD https://t.co/LBbJBjYe3R", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02592775922130508, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02592775922130508, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025017299895732537, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025017299895732537, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "ret_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029038673546093574, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029038673546093574, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "ret_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06773517241353066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06773517241353066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "ret_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.040577418915949126, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.040577418915949126, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "ret_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24997039389603304, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24997039389603304, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "ret_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5513246048841688, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5513246048841688, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06773517241353066, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06773517241353066, "price_path": [-0.1236, -0.1665, -0.1909, -0.231, -0.2277, -0.2307, -0.2153, -0.2047, -0.1737, -0.1798, -0.2091, -0.284, -0.2445, -0.2367, -0.2609, -0.2344, -0.2334, -0.2458, -0.2081, -0.2326, -0.2337, -0.2022, -0.2025, -0.2077, -0.2052, -0.2309, -0.2474, -0.2235, -0.2479, -0.2423, -0.2355, -0.2776, -0.3046, -0.2471, -0.274, -0.2395, -0.2292, -0.2371, -0.2338, -0.226, -0.23, -0.202, -0.148, -0.1457, -0.1435, -0.1364, -0.134, -0.1403, -0.1411, -0.1202, -0.1164, -0.1361, -0.1174, -0.1153, -0.0587, -0.0612, -0.0626, -0.0502, -0.056, -0.0541, -0.0564, -0.0371, -0.0263, 0.0, 0.0182, -0.0218, -0.0022, -0.0062, -0.0171, -0.0368, -0.0518, -0.0346, -0.0387, -0.0451, -0.0739, -0.0482, 0.0056, 0.0053, -0.009, -0.0342, -0.0327, -0.0263, -0.0463, -0.0437, -0.0455, -0.0581, -0.0374, -0.0331, -0.0211, -0.0248, -0.0236, -0.0232, -0.0363, -0.0075, -0.0003, -0.015, -0.0126, -0.0066, 0.015, 0.0575, 0.0715, 0.0927, 0.0738, 0.0826, 0.0876, 0.0759, 0.0708, 0.0941, 0.0828, 0.0792, 0.0726, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0743, 0.0554, 0.0332, 0.0492, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0713, 0.0639, 0.0825, 0.0957, 0.1246, 0.0792, 0.0704, 0.0599, 0.0287, 0.0419, 0.025, 0.0656, 0.0041, 0.0194, 0.0141, 0.0261, -0.0116, -0.0039, 0.0139, 0.0186, 0.0095, 0.0089, 0.0218, 0.0169, 0.039, 0.0532, 0.0586, 0.0526, 0.0653, 0.0619, 0.068, 0.0548, 0.028, 0.0213, 0.0333, -0.0057, 0.0003, 0.0431, 0.0399, 0.0818, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1374, 0.1073, 0.1247, 0.1097, 0.0322, 0.051, 0.0314, 0.0101, -0.0136, -0.0293, 0.0083, -0.011, -0.0181, 0.0036, 0.0124, 0.0405, 0.0299, 0.0034, -0.0125, -0.0011, -0.0285, -0.0737, -0.0528, -0.0764, -0.0575, -0.0336, -0.0609, -0.0731, -0.091]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1937637513738539359", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-24T22:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When I run I sometimes take multiple steps up in a single stride", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish IREN setup; implies price could skip multiple resistance levels in a single move up.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nanotitan28 When I run I sometimes take multiple steps up in a single stride", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN The stage is set gentlemen. Time to be extra alert.\n\nFirst boss: $12.88-$13.26\nSecond boss: $14.99-$15.34\nThird boss: $17.25-$17.72\n\nFinal boss: $28.25\n\nLet’s take this one step at a time. https://t.co/FK3BQWfPEu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nanotitan28", "ret_m1d": -0.027801173284553227, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027801173284553227, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027241102717694754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03110796328093335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005600705668584727, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033067899963801217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10446501963548749, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10446501963548749, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09664120990741742, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09707349551906885, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007823809728070064, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007391524116418635, "ret_p1w": 0.3192923334787814, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3192923334787814, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29733614421111576, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.29575598214824383, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021956189267665627, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023536351330537553, "ret_p1m": 0.5282223727497564, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5282223727497564, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4832560247574822, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4959329443804461, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04496634799227417, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03228942836931026, "ret_p3m": 2.529907491983552, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.529907491983552, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.42849629711823, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.476070352671874, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1014111948653218, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05383713931167766, "ret_p6m": 2.016006704483161, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.016006704483161, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8986899121038614, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.9516311500736405, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1173167923792997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06437555440952059, "ret_p1y": 4.0353834064041765, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.0353834064041765, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.8032684112110253, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.9854187318792995, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23211499519315115, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04996467452487696, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5282223727497564, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4832560247574822, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4959329443804461, "price_path": [-0.4886, -0.4869, -0.4406, -0.4305, -0.4912, -0.4996, -0.5046, -0.5535, -0.5029, -0.5375, -0.5257, -0.5156, -0.5409, -0.5392, -0.5291, -0.5291, -0.5358, -0.4895, -0.4861, -0.4693, -0.449, -0.4617, -0.4718, -0.4853, -0.4634, -0.4499, -0.4785, -0.4524, -0.4465, -0.4195, -0.4069, -0.3673, -0.3159, -0.3286, -0.3471, -0.2915, -0.2805, -0.2746, -0.2511, -0.2182, -0.2317, -0.2317, -0.2216, -0.2536, -0.2755, -0.2932, -0.2645, -0.2511, -0.2056, -0.246, -0.1786, -0.1289, -0.1163, -0.1323, -0.1432, -0.1719, -0.1238, -0.1769, -0.1744, -0.1744, -0.1179, -0.1019, -0.0278, 0.0, 0.1045, 0.1794, 0.2275, 0.2831, 0.3193, 0.417, 0.417, 0.428, 0.4229, 0.4288, 0.4347, 0.3673, 0.4558, 0.4221, 0.4583, 0.5206, 0.5114, 0.5291, 0.5661, 0.5998, 0.5282, 0.4928, 0.3968, 0.3302, 0.3597, 0.3572, 0.2974, 0.3884, 0.3858, 0.5434, 0.5644, 0.5543, 0.5139, 0.5021, 0.4937, 0.6074, 0.6588, 0.7443, 0.5779, 0.6647, 0.6504, 0.8054, 0.9478, 0.9368, 0.8833, 0.941, 1.2308, 1.2308, 1.4524, 1.3766, 1.2013, 1.203, 1.2064, 1.5434, 1.8332, 1.7675, 1.861, 2.1289, 2.0708, 2.1929, 2.0598, 2.2553, 2.5299, 2.519, 2.9714, 2.8997, 2.5265, 2.8694, 2.9537, 2.9663, 2.9612, 3.2511, 3.8652, 4.1963, 4.0623, 4.3791, 4.0354, 4.4035, 4.8602, 4.727, 4.2089, 4.1154, 3.989, 3.65, 3.3665, 3.706, 4.2991, 4.4751, 4.2586, 4.0901, 3.9048, 4.1179, 4.7077, 4.6133, 5.4372, 4.6411, 4.2553, 4.0691, 3.834, 3.6925, 3.0986, 2.9065, 2.9941, 3.1154, 2.861, 2.6622, 2.5602, 3.0851, 2.9992, 3.0817, 3.0817, 3.0278, 3.0851, 2.4642, 2.7035, 2.9132, 2.7666, 2.904, 2.9461, 2.7001, 2.7018, 2.3808, 1.989, 2.0826, 1.8458, 2.016]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1931730197382139910", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-08T15:09:03+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If we hold $106,000 for the next 48 hours, we will see $121,000 within 10 days. It's basically a done deal at this point.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "BTC long: holding $106K support leads to $121K within 10 days, called a near-certainty.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If we hold $106,000 for the next 48 hours, we will see $121,000 within 10 days. It’s basically a done deal at this point.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03671212390479939, "price_path": [-0.2409, -0.265, -0.2387, -0.2377, -0.25, -0.2125, -0.2369, -0.238, -0.2067, -0.2069, -0.2121, -0.2096, -0.2352, -0.2516, -0.2278, -0.2521, -0.2465, -0.2398, -0.2816, -0.3085, -0.2513, -0.2781, -0.2438, -0.2335, -0.2414, -0.2381, -0.2303, -0.2343, -0.2065, -0.1528, -0.1505, -0.1482, -0.1412, -0.1389, -0.1452, -0.1459, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.141, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0678, -0.0555, -0.0612, -0.0594, -0.0617, -0.0425, -0.0318, -0.0056, 0.0125, -0.0273, -0.0077, -0.0118, -0.0226, -0.0422, -0.0571, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.079, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0381, -0.0317, -0.0516, -0.0491, -0.0509, -0.0633, -0.0428, -0.0385, -0.0266, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0286, -0.0417, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0205, -0.0181, -0.0122, 0.0094, 0.0516, 0.0655, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0766, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0648, 0.088, 0.0767, 0.0732, 0.0666, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0683, 0.0495, 0.0274, 0.0433, 0.0349, 0.0429, 0.0653, 0.058, 0.0765, 0.0896, 0.1183, 0.0731, 0.0644, 0.054, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0193, 0.0597, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0084, 0.0204, -0.0171, -0.0095, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0161, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0594, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0156, 0.0275, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0372, 0.0341, 0.0758, 0.0942, 0.1086, 0.1311, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1035, 0.0265, 0.0451, 0.0256, 0.0044, -0.0191, -0.0347, 0.0027, -0.0165, -0.0236, -0.002, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0241, -0.0022, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.034, -0.0789, -0.058, -0.0815, -0.0628, -0.039, -0.0662, -0.0783, -0.0961, -0.1441, -0.165, -0.1573, -0.1707, -0.2145, -0.2285, -0.1997, -0.2081, -0.1793, -0.1723, -0.1757, -0.2174, -0.1718]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1907264370691998112", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-02T02:50:35+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CORZ are somewhere between undervalued and extremely undervalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both IREN and CORZ are undervalued to extremely undervalued; bullish on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattsteele007 IREN is different than both. IREN and CORZ are somewhere between undervalued and extremely undervalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01775153229781612, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01775153229781612, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01146292057598075, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00957769755845661, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006288611721835369, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008173834739359509, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10650891163474163, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10650891163474163, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05722800090491642, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05726650735327188, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.04928091072982521, "bench_c_p1d": -0.049242404281469754, "ret_p1w": -0.12721895035448183, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12721895035448183, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09905335517959912, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06880588709802915, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028165595174882707, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05841306325645268, "ret_p1m": -0.05769235652633453, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05769235652633453, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04697517279640284, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029582269560917696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01071718372993169, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028110086965416836, "ret_p3m": 1.155325325667071, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.155325325667071, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0576202298380224, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1076881625592547, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09770509582904863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047637163107816294, "ret_p6m": 5.847633039678775, "ret_signed_p6m": 5.847633039678775, "alpha_spy_p6m": 5.67526508358558, "alpha_c_p6m": 5.774469721074747, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17236795609319522, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0731633186040277, "ret_p1y": 5.1079880943076645, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.1079880943076645, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.945930229256095, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.119490901968557, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1620578650515696, "bench_c_p1y": -0.011502807660892178, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05769235652633453, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04697517279640284, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029582269560917696, "price_path": [0.6775, 0.7411, 0.6834, 0.5547, 0.5547, 0.6272, 0.5473, 0.6228, 0.7086, 0.6938, 0.7737, 0.7737, 0.5991, 0.7249, 0.8166, 0.9704, 0.4926, 0.4911, 0.4763, 0.5237, 0.5118, 0.5799, 0.5799, 0.6376, 0.7145, 0.8447, 0.9024, 0.8373, 0.9246, 0.9349, 0.9246, 0.9246, 0.9186, 0.9231, 0.8284, 0.6095, 0.503, 0.2988, 0.2559, 0.1627, 0.2189, 0.1198, 0.1154, 0.1923, 0.1272, 0.1391, -0.0207, 0.0429, 0.0414, -0.0015, 0.0666, 0.0873, -0.0251, 0.0651, 0.0666, 0.0577, 0.1376, 0.0947, -0.0074, -0.0444, -0.1021, -0.0991, -0.0178, 0.0, -0.1065, -0.1213, -0.1302, -0.216, -0.1272, -0.1879, -0.1672, -0.1494, -0.1938, -0.1908, -0.1731, -0.1731, -0.1849, -0.1036, -0.0976, -0.068, -0.0325, -0.0547, -0.0725, -0.0962, -0.0577, -0.034, -0.0843, -0.0385, -0.0281, 0.0192, 0.0414, 0.1109, 0.2012, 0.179, 0.1464, 0.2441, 0.2633, 0.2737, 0.3151, 0.3728, 0.3491, 0.3491, 0.3669, 0.3107, 0.2722, 0.2411, 0.2914, 0.3151, 0.395, 0.324, 0.4423, 0.5296, 0.5518, 0.5237, 0.5044, 0.4541, 0.5385, 0.4453, 0.4497, 0.4497, 0.5488, 0.5769, 0.7071, 0.7559, 0.9393, 1.071, 1.1553, 1.253, 1.3166, 1.4882, 1.4882, 1.5074, 1.4985, 1.5089, 1.5192, 1.4009, 1.5562, 1.497, 1.5607, 1.6701, 1.6538, 1.6849, 1.75, 1.8092, 1.6834, 1.6213, 1.4527, 1.3358, 1.3876, 1.3831, 1.2781, 1.4379, 1.4334, 1.7101, 1.747, 1.7293, 1.6583, 1.6376, 1.6228, 1.8225, 1.9127, 2.0629, 1.7707, 1.9231, 1.8979, 2.1701, 2.4201, 2.4009, 2.307, 2.4083, 2.9172, 2.9172, 3.3062, 3.1731, 2.8654, 2.8683, 2.8743, 3.466, 3.9749, 3.8595, 4.0237, 4.4941, 4.392, 4.6065, 4.3728, 4.716, 5.1982, 5.179, 5.9734, 5.8476]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1907264370691998112", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-02T02:50:35+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CORZ are somewhere between undervalued and extremely undervalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both IREN and CORZ are undervalued to extremely undervalued; bullish on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattsteele007 IREN is different than both. IREN and CORZ are somewhere between undervalued and extremely undervalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04988124376345704, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04988124376345704, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04359263204162167, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04359263204162167, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006288611721835369, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006288611721835369, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15083135028729155, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15083135028729155, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10155043955746634, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10155043955746634, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.04928091072982521, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04928091072982521, "ret_p1w": -0.10807599039982962, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10807599039982962, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07991039522494692, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07991039522494692, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028165595174882707, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028165595174882707, "ret_p1m": 0.015439443380401707, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015439443380401707, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026156627110333397, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026156627110333397, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01071718372993169, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01071718372993169, "ret_p3m": 1.0273158598755692, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0273158598755692, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9296107640465205, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9296107640465205, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09770509582904863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09770509582904863, "ret_p6m": 1.0, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8276320439068048, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8276320439068048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17236795609319522, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17236795609319522, "ret_p1y": 0.8776722418481799, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8776722418481799, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7156143767966103, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7156143767966103, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1620578650515696, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1620578650515696, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015439443380401707, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.026156627110333397, "alpha_c_stated": 0.026156627110333397, "price_path": [0.8266, 0.7957, 0.677, 0.6686, 0.6686, 0.6675, 0.6152, 0.652, 0.7257, 0.7375, 0.7815, 0.7815, 0.8135, 0.8967, 0.9406, 0.8979, 0.3397, 0.3432, 0.361, 0.4561, 0.4572, 0.4644, 0.4501, 0.5095, 0.4881, 0.4917, 0.5226, 0.4561, 0.4359, 0.4893, 0.4857, 0.4857, 0.4715, 0.4276, 0.4062, 0.2827, 0.171, 0.1591, 0.19, 0.272, 0.3254, 0.2043, 0.139, 0.1395, -0.0677, -0.076, -0.0487, 0.0249, 0.0629, 0.0285, 0.0463, 0.0404, -0.0475, 0.0309, 0.0202, 0.0107, 0.1057, 0.0285, -0.0938, -0.0641, -0.1116, -0.1401, -0.0499, 0.0, -0.1508, -0.1473, -0.1663, -0.2268, -0.1081, -0.19, -0.1603, -0.1615, -0.1865, -0.2173, -0.2126, -0.2126, -0.2411, -0.1781, -0.1544, -0.1057, -0.0131, -0.0214, -0.0154, -0.038, 0.0154, 0.038, 0.0392, 0.0677, 0.057, 0.1223, 0.1069, 0.1734, 0.2162, 0.2257, 0.2482, 0.2803, 0.2886, 0.2969, 0.2803, 0.2862, 0.2684, 0.2684, 0.3397, 0.2803, 0.2696, 0.2648, 0.2981, 0.4014, 0.4917, 0.4169, 0.4477, 0.5095, 0.5166, 0.4549, 0.4418, 0.4121, 0.4347, 0.4121, 0.4133, 0.4133, 0.4086, 0.348, 0.4501, 0.4608, 0.943, 0.9774, 1.0273, 1.0487, 1.0855, 1.1378, 1.1378, 0.7613, 0.6651, 0.595, 0.5653, 0.4857, 0.6105, 0.6342, 0.6532, 0.5998, 0.5855, 0.576, 0.601, 0.6021, 0.6259, 0.6342, 0.6324, 0.5665, 0.5505, 0.6081, 0.5024, 0.6211, 0.6722, 0.6758, 0.7043, 0.7114, 0.7257, 0.7945, 0.6449, 0.6431, 0.6781, 0.7257, 0.7043, 0.6722, 0.6378, 0.6093, 0.6247, 0.6675, 0.6865, 0.7043, 0.7043, 0.7043, 0.6627, 0.6128, 0.6176, 0.6176, 0.6544, 0.7257, 0.899, 0.8468, 0.8836, 0.9382, 0.9216, 0.9323, 0.9893, 0.9739, 1.0392, 1.019, 1.0202, 1.0]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1913002911996756455", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-17T22:53:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Things are about to get crazy. Make sure you have enough BTC.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: 2 more large corporates starting Bitcoin buying programs; institutions arriving in force.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It turns out I was right. The institutions were always coming to Bitcoin. I received confirmation today that 2 more large corporate entities have started a Bitcoin buying program. This does not include GameStop. Things are about to get crazy. Make sure you have enough BTC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01015224922920166, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01015224922920166, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03453528116589366, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03453528116589366, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005241078764249063, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005241078764249063, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031258779851167984, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031258779851167984, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.10657832547565693, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10657832547565693, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03463523778532873, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03463523778532873, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.21901613523056218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21901613523056218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06534211935781875, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06534211935781875, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.3873154722115064, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3873154722115064, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16154931890827817, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16154931890827817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.33356931516006405, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.33356931516006405, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.037490106213707186, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.037490106213707186, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.1888895719161442, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1888895719161442, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5194717180457139, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5194717180457139, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21901613523056218, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06534211935781875, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06534211935781875, "price_path": [0.2017, 0.2503, 0.2209, 0.2246, 0.2347, 0.2025, 0.1936, 0.2215, 0.2337, 0.2062, 0.1945, 0.1528, 0.138, 0.1378, 0.137, 0.1477, 0.1278, 0.153, 0.1381, 0.1486, 0.1281, 0.1254, 0.1383, 0.1583, 0.1323, 0.0768, 0.0452, -0.0065, -0.0023, -0.0062, 0.0138, 0.0274, 0.0675, 0.0597, 0.0218, -0.075, -0.024, -0.0138, -0.0451, -0.0109, -0.0097, -0.0256, 0.0231, -0.0086, -0.01, 0.0307, 0.0303, 0.0236, 0.0269, -0.0064, -0.0276, 0.0032, -0.0284, -0.0211, -0.0124, -0.0667, -0.1016, -0.0273, -0.0621, -0.0176, -0.0042, -0.0145, -0.0102, 0.0, -0.0052, 0.0309, 0.1007, 0.1037, 0.1066, 0.1157, 0.1188, 0.1106, 0.1097, 0.1366, 0.1415, 0.1161, 0.1403, 0.143, 0.2161, 0.2129, 0.211, 0.227, 0.2196, 0.222, 0.219, 0.244, 0.2579, 0.2919, 0.3154, 0.2638, 0.2891, 0.2839, 0.2698, 0.2444, 0.225, 0.2472, 0.2419, 0.2337, 0.1965, 0.2296, 0.2992, 0.2987, 0.2802, 0.2478, 0.2497, 0.258, 0.2321, 0.2354, 0.2331, 0.2169, 0.2436, 0.2491, 0.2646, 0.2599, 0.2614, 0.262, 0.245, 0.2823, 0.2916, 0.2726, 0.2757, 0.2833, 0.3113, 0.3662, 0.3843, 0.4117, 0.3873, 0.3986, 0.4051, 0.39, 0.3833, 0.4134, 0.3988, 0.3943, 0.3857, 0.3891, 0.389, 0.388, 0.3635, 0.3348, 0.3554, 0.3445, 0.3549, 0.384, 0.3745, 0.3986, 0.4155, 0.4529, 0.3942, 0.3829, 0.3694, 0.3291, 0.3461, 0.3242, 0.3767, 0.2972, 0.3169, 0.3101, 0.3257, 0.277, 0.2869, 0.3098, 0.316, 0.3042, 0.3034, 0.3201, 0.3137, 0.3423, 0.3606, 0.3676, 0.3598, 0.3763, 0.3719, 0.3798, 0.3627, 0.3281, 0.3194, 0.3349, 0.2845, 0.2923, 0.3475, 0.3435, 0.3976, 0.4215, 0.4402, 0.4695, 0.4306, 0.453, 0.4336, 0.3336]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924180805724873167", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T19:10:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$1M+ by 2033 which is the shortest timeframe that matters to me. It's the best money ever created. As long as they keep printing money, it will not stop rising in fiat terms.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC to $1M+ by 2033; will keep rising in fiat terms as long as money printing continues.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoshMandell6 $1M+ by 2033 which is the shortest timeframe that matters to me \n\nIt’s the best money ever created. As long as they keep printing money, it will not stop rising in fiat terms.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred LOL\n\nWhere's the BTC tracking?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoshMandell6", "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_stated": -0.47673180244987523, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919154935314407582", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-04T22:19:27+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is the protection sir. Buy it and hold.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy and hold Bitcoin as the ultimate protection asset.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wclemente Bitcoin is the protection sir. Buy it and hold.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Implied volatility is at its lowest since IBIT options came out. Interesting area to express views through longer dated otm calls/puts or pick up some protection. https://t.co/err7VJcqzG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WClemente", "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925374891223835037", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-22T02:15:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We're going to $1M+ by 2033", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $1M+ by 2033; dismisses recent move as immaterial to the long-term thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@missteencrypto What pump? We’re going to $1M+ by 2033", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Did you take profits from the Bitcoin pump?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "missteencrypto", "ret_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "ret_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "ret_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "ret_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "ret_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "ret_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2681481554031081, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5505829966793773, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5505829966793773, "price_path": [-0.1814, -0.2054, -0.2447, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2293, -0.219, -0.1885, -0.1944, -0.2232, -0.2968, -0.258, -0.2503, -0.2741, -0.2481, -0.2471, -0.2593, -0.2222, -0.2463, -0.2474, -0.2165, -0.2167, -0.2218, -0.2194, -0.2446, -0.2608, -0.2373, -0.2614, -0.2558, -0.2492, -0.2905, -0.317, -0.2606, -0.287, -0.2531, -0.2429, -0.2508, -0.2475, -0.2398, -0.2438, -0.2163, -0.1633, -0.161, -0.1588, -0.1518, -0.1495, -0.1557, -0.1564, -0.1359, -0.1322, -0.1516, -0.1332, -0.1311, -0.0755, -0.0779, -0.0793, -0.0672, -0.0728, -0.071, -0.0733, -0.0543, -0.0437, -0.0179, 0.0, -0.0393, -0.02, -0.024, -0.0347, -0.054, -0.0687, -0.0519, -0.0559, -0.0622, -0.0904, -0.0652, -0.0124, -0.0127, -0.0267, -0.0514, -0.05, -0.0437, -0.0633, -0.0608, -0.0626, -0.0749, -0.0546, -0.0504, -0.0386, -0.0422, -0.0411, -0.0406, -0.0535, -0.0252, -0.0181, -0.0326, -0.0302, -0.0244, -0.0031, 0.0386, 0.0523, 0.0732, 0.0547, 0.0633, 0.0682, 0.0567, 0.0516, 0.0745, 0.0634, 0.0599, 0.0534, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0551, 0.0366, 0.0147, 0.0304, 0.0221, 0.03, 0.0521, 0.0449, 0.0632, 0.0761, 0.1045, 0.0599, 0.0513, 0.041, 0.0104, 0.0233, 0.0067, 0.0466, -0.0139, 0.0012, -0.004, 0.0078, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0042, 0.0004, -0.0085, -0.0092, 0.0036, -0.0013, 0.0204, 0.0343, 0.0397, 0.0338, 0.0463, 0.0429, 0.0489, 0.036, 0.0096, 0.0031, 0.0148, -0.0235, -0.0176, 0.0244, 0.0213, 0.0625, 0.0807, 0.0949, 0.1171, 0.0876, 0.1046, 0.0898, 0.0138, 0.0322, 0.0129, -0.008, -0.0312, -0.0466, -0.0097, -0.0286, -0.0357, -0.0144, -0.0057, 0.0219, 0.0115, -0.0145, -0.0302, -0.019, -0.0459, -0.0903, -0.0697, -0.0929, -0.0743, -0.0508, -0.0777, -0.0896, -0.1072, -0.1547]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1936149525447819583", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-20T19:49:53+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I strongly agree on PEP, REGN, and TGT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses PEP, REGN, TGT as neglected value plays; cautious on SBUX as still overpriced.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant I strongly agree on PEP, REGN, and TGT\n\nI’m a little worried that SBUX is still a bit overpriced but it’s a great company and might be worth it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "While many of you are FOMO chasing high growth stocks and speculative names \n\nValue companies with large moats are being neglected like Nike $NKE - that’s where my interest is\n\nStrong offense = strong defense\n\nThere are others as well\n$PEP, $SBUX, $HSY, $TGT, $REGN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002354002567606317, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002354002567606317, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00015485613158694456, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00015485613158694456, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009722525765635925, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009722525765635925, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "ret_p1w": 0.015262915293265955, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015262915293265955, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019451275731617645, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019451275731617645, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "ret_p1m": 0.0978537739023051, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0978537739023051, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03981721079797507, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03981721079797507, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "ret_p3m": 0.104916196716202, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.104916196716202, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004291495386201882, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.004291495386201882, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "ret_p6m": 0.19464500122870976, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19464500122870976, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04599912124203076, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04599912124203076, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "ret_p1y": 0.15001939695949829, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.15001939695949829, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1007408070325968, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1007408070325968, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0978537739023051, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03981721079797507, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03981721079797507, "price_path": [0.1154, 0.1391, 0.147, 0.144, 0.1491, 0.147, 0.1428, 0.16, 0.1236, 0.0974, 0.0752, 0.1157, 0.1046, 0.1069, 0.1246, 0.0947, 0.0736, 0.0947, 0.0947, 0.0862, 0.0994, 0.0902, 0.037, 0.0222, 0.0251, 0.0293, 0.039, 0.0235, 0.025, 0.0115, 0.0019, 0.011, 0.0072, -0.0004, 0.0091, -0.0014, -0.0156, 0.0078, 0.0114, 0.01, 0.0101, -0.0026, -0.0028, -0.0088, -0.0088, 0.0068, 0.0014, 0.011, 0.0074, 0.0032, 0.0105, 0.0096, 0.0048, 0.0074, 0.0069, 0.0214, 0.0064, 0.025, 0.0138, 0.0181, 0.0017, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0002, 0.0153, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0153, 0.023, 0.048, 0.0574, 0.0489, 0.0489, 0.0417, 0.0463, 0.0419, 0.0543, 0.048, 0.0504, 0.0367, 0.0487, 0.1268, 0.1098, 0.0979, 0.1315, 0.1285, 0.1196, 0.1114, 0.0968, 0.1148, 0.1068, 0.0686, 0.0791, 0.0813, 0.0804, 0.0909, 0.1151, 0.125, 0.1224, 0.1379, 0.1571, 0.1515, 0.1653, 0.1587, 0.1789, 0.1678, 0.1543, 0.1594, 0.1482, 0.1389, 0.1439, 0.1388, 0.1517, 0.1517, 0.1643, 0.1516, 0.1381, 0.1453, 0.1087, 0.1195, 0.1161, 0.1284, 0.1229, 0.1003, 0.0955, 0.1049, 0.101, 0.1091, 0.1034, 0.1102, 0.1123, 0.0947, 0.0987, 0.0966, 0.0987, 0.1199, 0.1134, 0.1108, 0.0929, 0.1015, 0.0862, 0.1321, 0.1742, 0.1648, 0.1856, 0.1826, 0.1944, 0.2026, 0.202, 0.1984, 0.1972, 0.1853, 0.1857, 0.1941, 0.1745, 0.1435, 0.1544, 0.1429, 0.1235, 0.118, 0.1177, 0.1077, 0.1184, 0.1158, 0.135, 0.1296, 0.1346, 0.1411, 0.1566, 0.1639, 0.1509, 0.143, 0.1448, 0.1383, 0.1431, 0.1577, 0.1577, 0.1637, 0.1697, 0.1627, 0.1584, 0.1494, 0.1457, 0.1505, 0.1427, 0.1826, 0.1774, 0.1901, 0.1946]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1936149525447819583", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-20T19:49:53+00:00", "symbol": "REGN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I strongly agree on PEP, REGN, and TGT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses PEP, REGN, TGT as neglected value plays; cautious on SBUX as still overpriced.", "resolved_tickers": ["REGN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant I strongly agree on PEP, REGN, and TGT\n\nI’m a little worried that SBUX is still a bit overpriced but it’s a great company and might be worth it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "While many of you are FOMO chasing high growth stocks and speculative names \n\nValue companies with large moats are being neglected like Nike $NKE - that’s where my interest is\n\nStrong offense = strong defense\n\nThere are others as well\n$PEP, $SBUX, $HSY, $TGT, $REGN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": 0.007572837907099617, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007572837907099617, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0052188353394933, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0027464313718161826, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004826406535283434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004316173266743162, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004316173266743162, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005561208630479708, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0028765804043568988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001439592862386263, "ret_p1w": 0.022129884440116543, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022129884440116543, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012584306584767058, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007278090625295386, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014851793814821157, "ret_p1m": 0.07025445183251056, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07025445183251056, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012217888728180526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0769227890245221, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006668337192011542, "ret_p3m": 0.1504142257333696, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1504142257333696, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.041206533630965714, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11078418827595615, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03963003745741345, "ret_p6m": 0.4806323629077107, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4806323629077107, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3319864829210317, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2923783912925244, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1882539716151863, "ret_p1y": 0.2154843092190375, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.2154843092190375, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.03527589477305759, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.02900885888305016, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18647545033598734, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07025445183251056, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012217888728180526, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0769227890245221, "price_path": [0.2423, 0.254, 0.2456, 0.2486, 0.2424, 0.2087, 0.2255, 0.1962, 0.1234, 0.1221, 0.0908, 0.1298, 0.0704, 0.0856, 0.1187, 0.0929, 0.076, 0.1032, 0.1032, 0.0999, 0.147, 0.1516, 0.1749, 0.1806, 0.1967, 0.1145, 0.173, 0.1558, 0.1864, 0.1824, 0.0941, 0.0988, 0.0729, 0.0339, 0.1276, 0.1248, 0.1193, 0.146, 0.1643, 0.1686, 0.2061, 0.1862, 0.1709, 0.1542, 0.1542, 0.1835, 0.1611, 0.1877, -0.0381, -0.0371, -0.0429, -0.0486, -0.0523, -0.0324, 0.0155, 0.0271, 0.0174, 0.0238, 0.0383, 0.0254, -0.0017, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0, 0.0043, 0.0246, 0.0207, 0.0221, 0.0221, 0.03, 0.0494, 0.0746, 0.0738, 0.0738, 0.0557, 0.0746, 0.0841, 0.0982, 0.1138, 0.1194, 0.075, 0.075, 0.079, 0.0643, 0.0703, 0.1005, 0.1229, 0.1077, 0.1047, 0.096, 0.095, 0.088, 0.0701, 0.0964, 0.1213, 0.1181, 0.0891, 0.0983, 0.1045, 0.0711, 0.0919, 0.1017, 0.1104, 0.1387, 0.1276, 0.1235, 0.1612, 0.1753, 0.1582, 0.1246, 0.1546, 0.1533, 0.1388, 0.141, 0.141, 0.1355, 0.1078, 0.1145, 0.1266, 0.0972, 0.0935, 0.0921, 0.1164, 0.1003, 0.125, 0.1299, 0.1504, 0.1764, 0.1632, 0.1704, 0.1158, 0.1337, 0.0915, 0.108, 0.1018, 0.1048, 0.1788, 0.1789, 0.1789, 0.1504, 0.146, 0.1079, 0.1198, 0.1094, 0.0959, 0.1251, 0.1326, 0.1183, 0.1358, 0.1333, 0.1383, 0.1489, 0.1311, 0.1356, 0.15, 0.2859, 0.2829, 0.2851, 0.2807, 0.2619, 0.2339, 0.2657, 0.271, 0.2919, 0.2865, 0.3254, 0.3395, 0.3655, 0.3626, 0.3839, 0.4252, 0.3808, 0.4499, 0.4871, 0.498, 0.5489, 0.5436, 0.5436, 0.5349, 0.4757, 0.4597, 0.4237, 0.422, 0.4132, 0.3835, 0.3625, 0.4287, 0.4692, 0.4583, 0.4806]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1936149525447819583", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-06-20T19:49:53+00:00", "symbol": "TGT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I strongly agree on PEP, REGN, and TGT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses PEP, REGN, TGT as neglected value plays; cautious on SBUX as still overpriced.", "resolved_tickers": ["TGT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant I strongly agree on PEP, REGN, and TGT\n\nI’m a little worried that SBUX is still a bit overpriced but it’s a great company and might be worth it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "While many of you are FOMO chasing high growth stocks and speculative names \n\nValue companies with large moats are being neglected like Nike $NKE - that’s where my interest is\n\nStrong offense = strong defense\n\nThere are others as well\n$PEP, $SBUX, $HSY, $TGT, $REGN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": -0.004396069692649385, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004396069692649385, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006750072260255702, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028859936222854765, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007282063314934861, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010362045203452297, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010362045203452297, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.000484663306229427, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012202474128715224, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01158229261632382, "ret_p1w": 0.03862260039249721, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03862260039249721, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003908409367613608, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03760364551260276, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010189548798944514, "ret_p1m": 0.06458026586294596, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06458026586294596, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006543702758615932, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05946035133159899, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00511991453134697, "ret_p3m": -0.059091221655114934, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.059091221655114934, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16829891375751882, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.056257694931154734, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0028335267239602002, "ret_p6m": 0.0452281239437935, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0452281239437935, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1034177560428855, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04872649996922829, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0034983760254347906, "ret_p1y": 0.38320296627598927, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.38320296627598927, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.13244276228389418, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.31648212814686727, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.066720838129122, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06458026586294596, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.006543702758615932, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05946035133159899, "price_path": [0.0907, 0.0979, 0.1022, 0.0726, 0.08, 0.0807, 0.0946, -0.0243, -0.0094, -0.0233, -0.0815, 0.0109, -0.0406, -0.0399, -0.0205, -0.0471, -0.0639, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0295, -0.0262, -0.0464, -0.0137, -0.0005, -0.0027, 0.0029, 0.0007, -0.0069, 0.0076, -0.027, -0.0309, -0.0118, 0.0031, -0.0024, 0.046, 0.0254, -0.0029, 0.016, 0.0318, 0.0256, 0.027, -0.0265, -0.005, -0.0131, -0.0131, 0.0152, 0.0042, -0.007, -0.016, -0.0232, 0.0025, -0.0167, -0.0211, 0.0186, 0.0189, 0.0547, 0.0269, 0.0393, -0.0018, 0.0192, -0.0054, -0.0044, -0.0044, 0.0, 0.0104, 0.0208, 0.0121, 0.0216, 0.0386, 0.0326, 0.087, 0.1037, 0.0892, 0.0892, 0.0634, 0.0677, 0.0721, 0.0963, 0.0911, 0.0977, 0.0698, 0.0607, 0.0849, 0.0829, 0.0646, 0.1151, 0.1245, 0.1076, 0.11, 0.114, 0.0904, 0.0795, 0.0519, 0.0443, 0.0445, 0.0721, 0.1031, 0.106, 0.1032, 0.0887, 0.1122, 0.1147, 0.103, 0.09, 0.1104, 0.1147, 0.0442, 0.0269, 0.05, 0.0277, 0.0169, 0.0364, 0.0243, 0.0155, 0.0155, -0.022, -0.0229, -0.0191, -0.0142, -0.0319, -0.0381, -0.0395, -0.0317, -0.0482, -0.063, -0.0507, -0.0591, -0.0539, -0.0676, -0.0842, -0.079, -0.0657, -0.078, -0.0705, -0.0601, -0.0509, -0.0569, -0.053, -0.058, -0.0588, -0.0555, -0.0437, -0.0573, -0.0951, -0.0759, -0.0588, -0.0381, -0.047, -0.0389, -0.0316, -0.0012, -0.0052, -0.0028, -0.0027, 0.0344, 0.0275, -0.0042, -0.0169, -0.019, -0.0324, -0.048, -0.0272, -0.0568, -0.0347, -0.04, -0.0311, -0.0153, -0.0291, -0.0368, -0.0521, -0.0515, -0.0778, -0.1035, -0.0613, -0.0943, -0.0724, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0291, -0.0212, -0.0307, -0.0259, -0.0187, -0.0123, -0.003, 0.003, 0.0137, 0.0389, 0.0402, 0.0452]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1936149525447819583", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-06-20T19:49:53+00:00", "symbol": "SBUX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm a little worried that SBUX is still a bit overpriced", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses PEP, REGN, TGT as neglected value plays; cautious on SBUX as still overpriced.", "resolved_tickers": ["SBUX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant I strongly agree on PEP, REGN, and TGT\n\nI’m a little worried that SBUX is still a bit overpriced but it’s a great company and might be worth it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "While many of you are FOMO chasing high growth stocks and speculative names \n\nValue companies with large moats are being neglected like Nike $NKE - that’s where my interest is\n\nStrong offense = strong defense\n\nThere are others as well\n$PEP, $SBUX, $HSY, $TGT, $REGN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": -0.009020728224230612, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009020728224230612, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011374730791836929, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00783410839234111, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011866198318895016, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008376324420944825, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008376324420944825, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018253706318167695, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02819718381223668, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019820859391291856, "ret_p1w": -0.01084630073702375, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01084630073702375, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04556049176190735, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050597516523141706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.039751215786117955, "ret_p1m": -0.004939784446381212, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.004939784446381212, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06297634755071124, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06671416107964756, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06177437663326635, "ret_p3m": -0.10041775665065422, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10041775665065422, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2096254487530581, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24947623968048382, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1490584830298296, "ret_p6m": -0.07018350413720187, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07018350413720187, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21882938412388087, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23027448685781393, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16009098272061206, "ret_p1y": 0.07367478858206944, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.07367478858206944, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.17708541541002565, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.03498127503942006, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1086560636214895, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.004939784446381212, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06297634755071124, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06671416107964756, "price_path": [0.0224, 0.0447, 0.0541, 0.0422, 0.046, 0.0475, 0.0601, -0.0588, -0.1245, -0.1469, -0.1502, -0.0543, -0.0978, -0.089, -0.0884, -0.1073, -0.1388, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.1396, -0.1282, -0.1169, -0.1057, -0.1063, -0.1053, -0.0952, -0.1464, -0.1255, -0.0969, -0.1292, -0.1173, -0.118, -0.1235, -0.1437, -0.0864, -0.0735, -0.0772, -0.0695, -0.0811, -0.0914, -0.0809, -0.1089, -0.0983, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0656, -0.0765, -0.0974, -0.0985, -0.0852, -0.07, -0.0538, -0.0658, -0.0374, -0.0263, -0.0181, 0.0244, 0.0129, 0.0015, 0.0039, -0.0164, -0.009, -0.009, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.0174, -0.0217, -0.0137, -0.0108, -0.016, 0.0193, 0.0114, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0056, 0.0195, 0.0229, 0.0218, 0.0195, 0.0032, -0.0069, -0.0066, 0.0008, 0.0073, -0.0049, 0.041, 0.0301, 0.0062, 0.014, 0.0059, -0.0017, -0.0039, -0.0425, -0.0672, -0.0359, -0.0314, -0.0444, -0.0226, -0.0107, -0.0148, 0.0027, 0.0114, -0.0006, -0.0206, 0.0003, -0.0171, -0.0324, -0.0427, -0.0446, -0.0724, -0.0636, -0.0524, -0.0485, -0.0467, -0.0467, -0.0295, -0.0569, -0.0594, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.094, -0.1041, -0.1097, -0.1147, -0.1063, -0.088, -0.1004, -0.0983, -0.0859, -0.078, -0.0737, -0.0891, -0.0938, -0.0986, -0.0743, -0.0855, -0.0877, -0.0626, -0.0658, -0.1124, -0.1213, -0.1348, -0.1376, -0.1519, -0.1349, -0.1228, -0.1043, -0.0883, -0.0773, -0.0863, -0.0714, -0.0758, -0.0764, -0.0694, -0.0572, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.1012, -0.1258, -0.1248, -0.1395, -0.1041, -0.1112, -0.075, -0.0855, -0.0658, -0.0567, -0.0656, -0.0769, -0.0888, -0.0927, -0.0889, -0.1005, -0.0707, -0.0926, -0.0646, -0.056, -0.056, -0.0516, -0.0755, -0.0724, -0.0516, -0.0745, -0.0732, -0.0919, -0.1042, -0.0871, -0.0774, -0.0707, -0.0702]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918660459625898342", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-03T13:34:35+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Exactly what I've been calling for", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's view that bitcoin is poised to take the lead over gold based on Sharpe Ratio rotation.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TimmerFidelity Exactly what I’ve been calling for", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Ironically, gold and bitcoin are negatively correlated to each other. As the chart below shows, both assets have been taking turns lately, as measured by their Sharpe Ratios. From the looks of it, it may well be bitcoin’s turn to take the lead, given that its Sharpe Ratio is https://t.co/yhTDRemt3e", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TimmerFidelity", "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1915224895954575590", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-24T02:02:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Countries are buying Bitcoin. Sovereign wealth funds are buying Bitcoin. Strategy is buying Bitcoin. GameStop is buying Bitcoin. 21 Capital is buying Bitcoin. Blackrock is buying Bitcoin. Even your crazy uncle Jim is starting to buy Bitcoin. What's your excuse now?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; broad institutional and sovereign adoption removes excuses for not owning it.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Countries are buying Bitcoin. Sovereign wealth funds are buying Bitcoin. Strategy is buying Bitcoin. GameStop is buying Bitcoin. 21 Capital is buying Bitcoin. Blackrock is buying Bitcoin. Even your crazy uncle Jim is starting to buy Bitcoin. What’s your excuse now? Be honest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0026046158249871665, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0026046158249871665, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01801037399862171, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01801037399862171, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020614989823608876, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020614989823608876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008267742531563593, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008267742531563593, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010423180039078606, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0010423180039078606, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007225424527655733, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007225424527655733, "ret_p1w": 0.027128337870897967, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027128337870897967, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005580564081708594, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005580564081708594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021547773789189373, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021547773789189373, "ret_p1m": 0.142042374737688, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.142042374737688, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08274011616417609, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08274011616417609, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0593022585735119, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0593022585735119, "ret_p3m": 0.27731066929478954, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27731066929478954, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12360544284022557, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12360544284022557, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15370522645456397, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15370522645456397, "ret_p6m": 0.13331366842841375, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13331366842841375, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08895406649609794, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08895406649609794, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22226773492451168, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22226773492451168, "ret_p1y": -0.20713614839191585, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20713614839191585, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47653036187071773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47653036187071773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2693942134788019, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2693942134788019, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.142042374737688, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08274011616417609, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08274011616417609, "price_path": [0.0867, 0.0787, 0.1039, 0.1149, 0.0901, 0.0794, 0.0418, 0.0284, 0.0282, 0.0275, 0.0372, 0.0192, 0.042, 0.0285, 0.038, 0.0195, 0.017, 0.0287, 0.0467, 0.0232, -0.0269, -0.0554, -0.1022, -0.0984, -0.1019, -0.0839, -0.0715, -0.0353, -0.0424, -0.0767, -0.1641, -0.118, -0.1088, -0.1371, -0.1062, -0.105, -0.1195, -0.0755, -0.1041, -0.1054, -0.0686, -0.0689, -0.075, -0.072, -0.1021, -0.1213, -0.0934, -0.122, -0.1154, -0.1075, -0.1566, -0.1881, -0.121, -0.1524, -0.1122, -0.1001, -0.1094, -0.1055, -0.0963, -0.101, -0.0684, -0.0053, -0.0026, 0.0, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0036, 0.0028, 0.0271, 0.0316, 0.0086, 0.0304, 0.0329, 0.099, 0.0961, 0.0944, 0.1089, 0.1021, 0.1043, 0.1016, 0.1241, 0.1368, 0.1675, 0.1887, 0.142, 0.165, 0.1602, 0.1475, 0.1245, 0.107, 0.1271, 0.1223, 0.1148, 0.0812, 0.1112, 0.174, 0.1737, 0.1569, 0.1276, 0.1293, 0.1368, 0.1134, 0.1164, 0.1143, 0.0997, 0.1238, 0.1288, 0.1428, 0.1386, 0.1399, 0.1404, 0.1251, 0.1588, 0.1672, 0.15, 0.1528, 0.1597, 0.185, 0.2346, 0.2509, 0.2758, 0.2537, 0.2639, 0.2698, 0.2561, 0.2501, 0.2773, 0.2641, 0.26, 0.2522, 0.2553, 0.2552, 0.2543, 0.2322, 0.2063, 0.2249, 0.215, 0.2244, 0.2507, 0.2421, 0.2639, 0.2792, 0.313, 0.2599, 0.2497, 0.2375, 0.201, 0.2164, 0.1967, 0.2441, 0.1722, 0.1901, 0.1839, 0.198, 0.154, 0.1629, 0.1837, 0.1893, 0.1786, 0.1778, 0.193, 0.1872, 0.213, 0.2295, 0.2359, 0.2289, 0.2438, 0.2398, 0.2469, 0.2315, 0.2002, 0.1924, 0.2063, 0.1608, 0.1679, 0.2178, 0.2141, 0.263, 0.2846, 0.3015, 0.3279, 0.2928, 0.3131, 0.2955, 0.2051, 0.227, 0.2041, 0.1792, 0.1516, 0.1333]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918794571305152768", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-03T22:27:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy Bitcoin and related proxies instead", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author dismisses the listed stocks and advocates buying Bitcoin and related proxies instead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MrMikeInvesting Silly. Buy Bitcoin and related proxies instead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "These 5 stocks below will create generational wealth over the next year…\n\n1. $TSLA is a $1,000 stock\n2. $HIMS is a $100 stock\n3: $PLTR is a $300 stock\n4: $AMD is a $400 stock\n5: $BABA is a $250 stock\n\nDon’t miss these once in a lifetime opportunities… https://t.co/61d0f93wEv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MrMikeInvesting", "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925744535918801404", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-23T02:44:10+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It should be 50%+ higher by mid July", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "CLSK should be 50%+ higher by mid-July.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@lalli_sl It should be 50%+ higher by mid July", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Big fucking short squeeze incoming $clsk", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lalli_sl", "ret_m1d": 0.05448720593894585, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05448720593894585, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.047614442219015674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05089065830779527, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006872763719930175, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035965476311505817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.07799140694578555, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07799140694578555, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09574281350836922, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09617335786550785, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01775140656258367, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0181819509197223, "ret_p1m": -0.054487104050660484, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.054487104050660484, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09388239917069363, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07335165964193369, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03939529512003315, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018864555591273202, "ret_p3m": 0.013888901624924621, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.013888901624924621, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09124915323277971, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.046075072319443855, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10513805485770433, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059963973944368476, "ret_p6m": 0.1335470134454837, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1335470134454837, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.022518215233024108, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09865627640407992, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1560652286785078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034890737041403774, "ret_p1y": 0.4391026454172535, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.4391026454172535, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.14981011310441605, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.39261912349713146, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28929253231283747, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04648352192012206, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.054487104050660484, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09388239917069363, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07335165964193369, "price_path": [-0.1293, -0.1581, -0.1976, -0.1464, -0.1677, -0.1709, -0.0865, -0.1293, -0.0566, -0.1474, -0.1175, -0.1346, -0.1784, -0.1485, -0.1325, -0.1891, -0.1442, -0.172, -0.2051, -0.0609, -0.0673, -0.1325, -0.1619, -0.2318, -0.2821, -0.1923, -0.1432, -0.2083, -0.2179, -0.2062, -0.2799, -0.1848, -0.2382, -0.1987, -0.1688, -0.2222, -0.2222, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2019, -0.063, -0.0524, -0.0534, -0.0374, -0.0844, -0.0983, -0.1271, -0.0737, -0.0588, -0.1357, -0.1357, -0.1421, -0.0726, -0.0171, 0.0278, 0.0684, 0.0267, 0.0, 0.0449, 0.0513, 0.0363, 0.0801, 0.0545, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0534, -0.0267, -0.062, -0.078, -0.0801, -0.016, 0.0182, -0.0363, 0.0459, 0.0812, 0.0823, 0.0652, 0.0374, -0.0064, 0.0278, -0.0491, -0.0192, -0.0192, -0.0385, -0.0545, 0.0726, 0.1325, 0.1549, 0.14, 0.1784, 0.1838, 0.3333, 0.3088, 0.3088, 0.2105, 0.2393, 0.3323, 0.3782, 0.3515, 0.3462, 0.3024, 0.3429, 0.3868, 0.3654, 0.3237, 0.3718, 0.3301, 0.3184, 0.2628, 0.2853, 0.2532, 0.2201, 0.2147, 0.1154, 0.1346, 0.1571, 0.1752, 0.1453, 0.0759, 0.0545, 0.0598, 0.0652, 0.063, 0.0417, 0.0513, 0.0, 0.0139, -0.0032, 0.0491, 0.0096, 0.0342, 0.0235, 0.0203, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0299, 0.0085, -0.0299, -0.0128, -0.0203, 0.0331, 0.0716, 0.0897, 0.1058, 0.0994, 0.1966, 0.2222, 0.438, 0.4551, 0.4679, 0.4861, 0.5438, 0.4615, 0.3846, 0.5887, 0.5491, 0.5588, 0.6175, 0.703, 0.8622, 0.9188, 1.0278, 1.1464, 1.0598, 1.141, 1.3483, 1.4786, 1.1357, 1.086, 1.1795, 1.0053, 0.8013, 0.8878, 1.0689, 1.1581, 1.0459, 1.0182, 0.89, 0.9017, 0.8611, 0.7329, 0.7714, 0.6453, 0.6635, 0.6058, 0.5005, 0.4241, 0.2799, 0.1709, 0.1335]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925385210625200183", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-22T02:56:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going A LOT higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Institutions driving BTC; expects significantly higher prices from current all-time highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tylersmith56054 @JoshMandell6 No it’s because institutions are driving this. We are going A LOT higher", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@JoshMandell6 @mikealfred Why is btc at all time high and there is no euphoria?? \nPeople must be in alts and miners..", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BankruptedBit", "ret_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "ret_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "ret_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "ret_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "ret_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "ret_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "price_path": [-0.1814, -0.2054, -0.2447, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2293, -0.219, -0.1885, -0.1944, -0.2232, -0.2968, -0.258, -0.2503, -0.2741, -0.2481, -0.2471, -0.2593, -0.2222, -0.2463, -0.2474, -0.2165, -0.2167, -0.2218, -0.2194, -0.2446, -0.2608, -0.2373, -0.2614, -0.2558, -0.2492, -0.2905, -0.317, -0.2606, -0.287, -0.2531, -0.2429, -0.2508, -0.2475, -0.2398, -0.2438, -0.2163, -0.1633, -0.161, -0.1588, -0.1518, -0.1495, -0.1557, -0.1564, -0.1359, -0.1322, -0.1516, -0.1332, -0.1311, -0.0755, -0.0779, -0.0793, -0.0672, -0.0728, -0.071, -0.0733, -0.0543, -0.0437, -0.0179, 0.0, -0.0393, -0.02, -0.024, -0.0347, -0.054, -0.0687, -0.0519, -0.0559, -0.0622, -0.0904, -0.0652, -0.0124, -0.0127, -0.0267, -0.0514, -0.05, -0.0437, -0.0633, -0.0608, -0.0626, -0.0749, -0.0546, -0.0504, -0.0386, -0.0422, -0.0411, -0.0406, -0.0535, -0.0252, -0.0181, -0.0326, -0.0302, -0.0244, -0.0031, 0.0386, 0.0523, 0.0732, 0.0547, 0.0633, 0.0682, 0.0567, 0.0516, 0.0745, 0.0634, 0.0599, 0.0534, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0551, 0.0366, 0.0147, 0.0304, 0.0221, 0.03, 0.0521, 0.0449, 0.0632, 0.0761, 0.1045, 0.0599, 0.0513, 0.041, 0.0104, 0.0233, 0.0067, 0.0466, -0.0139, 0.0012, -0.004, 0.0078, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0042, 0.0004, -0.0085, -0.0092, 0.0036, -0.0013, 0.0204, 0.0343, 0.0397, 0.0338, 0.0463, 0.0429, 0.0489, 0.036, 0.0096, 0.0031, 0.0148, -0.0235, -0.0176, 0.0244, 0.0213, 0.0625, 0.0807, 0.0949, 0.1171, 0.0876, 0.1046, 0.0898, 0.0138, 0.0322, 0.0129, -0.008, -0.0312, -0.0466, -0.0097, -0.0286, -0.0357, -0.0144, -0.0057, 0.0219, 0.0115, -0.0145, -0.0302, -0.019, -0.0459, -0.0903, -0.0697, -0.0929, -0.0743, -0.0508, -0.0777, -0.0896, -0.1072, -0.1547]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1913688635532284378", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-19T20:18:19+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If the dollar and 10 year yields fall, Bitcoin and stocks are highly likely to be higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "If dollar and 10Y yields fall, Bitcoin and stocks are likely higher by year-end 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PeterLBrandt If the dollar and 10 year yields fall, Bitcoin and stocks are highly likely to be higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The Red Dots are where I think we end the year in 2025\nS&Ps, then Yen, then 10-Yr Bonds⬇️⬇️ https://t.co/Hn9YHITp3x", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PeterLBrandt", "ret_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "price_path": [0.1844, 0.1879, 0.1977, 0.1665, 0.1578, 0.1849, 0.1967, 0.1701, 0.1587, 0.1183, 0.1039, 0.1037, 0.103, 0.1133, 0.094, 0.1185, 0.104, 0.1141, 0.0943, 0.0916, 0.1042, 0.1236, 0.0983, 0.0446, 0.0139, -0.0362, -0.0322, -0.0359, -0.0166, -0.0034, 0.0355, 0.0279, -0.0089, -0.1027, -0.0532, -0.0434, -0.0737, -0.0406, -0.0393, -0.0548, -0.0076, -0.0383, -0.0397, -0.0002, -0.0005, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0362, -0.0568, -0.0268, -0.0575, -0.0505, -0.042, -0.0946, -0.1285, -0.0565, -0.0902, -0.047, -0.034, -0.044, -0.0398, -0.03, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0677, 0.0706, 0.0734, 0.0823, 0.0852, 0.0773, 0.0764, 0.1025, 0.1073, 0.0826, 0.1061, 0.1087, 0.1796, 0.1766, 0.1748, 0.1903, 0.1831, 0.1854, 0.1825, 0.2067, 0.2202, 0.2532, 0.276, 0.2259, 0.2505, 0.2454, 0.2318, 0.2071, 0.1883, 0.2098, 0.2047, 0.1967, 0.1606, 0.1928, 0.2602, 0.2598, 0.2419, 0.2104, 0.2122, 0.2203, 0.1952, 0.1984, 0.1961, 0.1804, 0.2063, 0.2117, 0.2267, 0.2221, 0.2236, 0.2241, 0.2077, 0.2438, 0.2528, 0.2344, 0.2374, 0.2449, 0.272, 0.3253, 0.3428, 0.3694, 0.3457, 0.3567, 0.363, 0.3483, 0.3419, 0.3711, 0.3569, 0.3525, 0.3441, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.3464, 0.3227, 0.2948, 0.3148, 0.3042, 0.3143, 0.3425, 0.3333, 0.3566, 0.3731, 0.4093, 0.3524, 0.3414, 0.3283, 0.2892, 0.3057, 0.2845, 0.3354, 0.2583, 0.2775, 0.2708, 0.2859, 0.2387, 0.2483, 0.2706, 0.2766, 0.2651, 0.2643, 0.2805, 0.2744, 0.3021, 0.3198, 0.3266, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3308, 0.3384, 0.3219, 0.2883, 0.2799, 0.2949, 0.246, 0.2536, 0.3072, 0.3032, 0.3557, 0.3789, 0.397, 0.4254, 0.3877, 0.4095, 0.3906, 0.2936, 0.3171, 0.2925]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1907259578871619761", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-02T02:31:33+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Core Scientific is worth $2.4B. This is not hard. Follow the money, do the math, place your bets, and prosper", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Core Scientific and Galaxy as essential infrastructure for Coreweave, which is essential for OpenAI; valuation gap implies upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In order for OpenAI to scale, it needs Coreweave.\n\nIn order for Coreweave to scale, it needs Core Scientific and Galaxy.\n\nOpenAI is worth $300B. Coreweave is worth $24B. Core Scientific is worth $2.4B.\n\nThis is not hard. Follow the money, do the math, place your bets, and prosper", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04988124376345704, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04988124376345704, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04359263204162167, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04359263204162167, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006288611721835369, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006288611721835369, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15083135028729155, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15083135028729155, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10155043955746634, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10155043955746634, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.04928091072982521, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04928091072982521, "ret_p1w": -0.10807599039982962, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10807599039982962, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07991039522494692, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07991039522494692, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.028165595174882707, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028165595174882707, "ret_p1m": 0.015439443380401707, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015439443380401707, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026156627110333397, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026156627110333397, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01071718372993169, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01071718372993169, "ret_p3m": 1.0273158598755692, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0273158598755692, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9296107640465205, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9296107640465205, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09770509582904863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09770509582904863, "ret_p6m": 1.0, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8276320439068048, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8276320439068048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.17236795609319522, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17236795609319522, "ret_p1y": 0.8776722418481799, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8776722418481799, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.7156143767966103, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.7156143767966103, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1620578650515696, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1620578650515696, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015439443380401707, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.026156627110333397, "alpha_c_stated": 0.026156627110333397, "price_path": [0.8266, 0.7957, 0.677, 0.6686, 0.6686, 0.6675, 0.6152, 0.652, 0.7257, 0.7375, 0.7815, 0.7815, 0.8135, 0.8967, 0.9406, 0.8979, 0.3397, 0.3432, 0.361, 0.4561, 0.4572, 0.4644, 0.4501, 0.5095, 0.4881, 0.4917, 0.5226, 0.4561, 0.4359, 0.4893, 0.4857, 0.4857, 0.4715, 0.4276, 0.4062, 0.2827, 0.171, 0.1591, 0.19, 0.272, 0.3254, 0.2043, 0.139, 0.1395, -0.0677, -0.076, -0.0487, 0.0249, 0.0629, 0.0285, 0.0463, 0.0404, -0.0475, 0.0309, 0.0202, 0.0107, 0.1057, 0.0285, -0.0938, -0.0641, -0.1116, -0.1401, -0.0499, 0.0, -0.1508, -0.1473, -0.1663, -0.2268, -0.1081, -0.19, -0.1603, -0.1615, -0.1865, -0.2173, -0.2126, -0.2126, -0.2411, -0.1781, -0.1544, -0.1057, -0.0131, -0.0214, -0.0154, -0.038, 0.0154, 0.038, 0.0392, 0.0677, 0.057, 0.1223, 0.1069, 0.1734, 0.2162, 0.2257, 0.2482, 0.2803, 0.2886, 0.2969, 0.2803, 0.2862, 0.2684, 0.2684, 0.3397, 0.2803, 0.2696, 0.2648, 0.2981, 0.4014, 0.4917, 0.4169, 0.4477, 0.5095, 0.5166, 0.4549, 0.4418, 0.4121, 0.4347, 0.4121, 0.4133, 0.4133, 0.4086, 0.348, 0.4501, 0.4608, 0.943, 0.9774, 1.0273, 1.0487, 1.0855, 1.1378, 1.1378, 0.7613, 0.6651, 0.595, 0.5653, 0.4857, 0.6105, 0.6342, 0.6532, 0.5998, 0.5855, 0.576, 0.601, 0.6021, 0.6259, 0.6342, 0.6324, 0.5665, 0.5505, 0.6081, 0.5024, 0.6211, 0.6722, 0.6758, 0.7043, 0.7114, 0.7257, 0.7945, 0.6449, 0.6431, 0.6781, 0.7257, 0.7043, 0.6722, 0.6378, 0.6093, 0.6247, 0.6675, 0.6865, 0.7043, 0.7043, 0.7043, 0.6627, 0.6128, 0.6176, 0.6176, 0.6544, 0.7257, 0.899, 0.8468, 0.8836, 0.9382, 0.9216, 0.9323, 0.9893, 0.9739, 1.0392, 1.019, 1.0202, 1.0]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1937255160495112704", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-23T21:03:17+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It will ALWAYS be in an uptrend on the long term timescale that matters", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Decisively bullish BTC on long-term basis; always in an uptrend over meaningful timescales.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ It will ALWAYS be in an uptrend on the long term timescale that matters", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC is in an uptrend", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01055684124231071, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01055684124231071, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010926580894288107, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010926580894288107, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003871034803854645, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003871034803854645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005603844216792719, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005603844216792719, "ret_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003161550006434366, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003161550006434366, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01791430003409089, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01791430003409089, "ret_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09135359560823919, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09135359560823919, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04520583499516295, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04520583499516295, "ret_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.012648132933794631, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012648132933794631, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09683920811477331, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09683920811477331, "ret_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2775332701768465, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2775332701768465, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10956430772284986, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10956430772284986, "ret_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6441453491542922, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6441453491542922, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22617400027825996, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22617400027825996, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.41797134887603227, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.6441453491542922, "alpha_c_stated": -0.6441453491542922, "price_path": [-0.1769, -0.1743, -0.201, -0.2181, -0.1933, -0.2187, -0.2129, -0.2059, -0.2495, -0.2776, -0.2179, -0.2458, -0.21, -0.1992, -0.2075, -0.2041, -0.1959, -0.2001, -0.171, -0.1149, -0.1125, -0.1102, -0.1028, -0.1004, -0.107, -0.1077, -0.0861, -0.0821, -0.1026, -0.0831, -0.0809, -0.0221, -0.0247, -0.0262, -0.0133, -0.0193, -0.0174, -0.0198, 0.0003, 0.0115, 0.0388, 0.0577, 0.0162, 0.0366, 0.0324, 0.0211, 0.0006, -0.015, 0.0029, -0.0014, -0.008, -0.0379, -0.0112, 0.0447, 0.0443, 0.0294, 0.0033, 0.0049, 0.0115, -0.0093, -0.0066, -0.0085, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0169, 0.0131, 0.0143, 0.0148, 0.0011, 0.0311, 0.0386, 0.0233, 0.0258, 0.0319, 0.0545, 0.0986, 0.1131, 0.1352, 0.1155, 0.1247, 0.1299, 0.1177, 0.1124, 0.1366, 0.1248, 0.1211, 0.1142, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1161, 0.0964, 0.0733, 0.0899, 0.0811, 0.0895, 0.1129, 0.1052, 0.1246, 0.1382, 0.1683, 0.1211, 0.112, 0.1011, 0.0687, 0.0824, 0.0648, 0.107, 0.0431, 0.059, 0.0535, 0.066, 0.0268, 0.0348, 0.0533, 0.0582, 0.0487, 0.0481, 0.0615, 0.0564, 0.0793, 0.0941, 0.0997, 0.0935, 0.1067, 0.1032, 0.1095, 0.0958, 0.0679, 0.061, 0.0734, 0.0329, 0.0392, 0.0836, 0.0803, 0.1238, 0.1431, 0.1581, 0.1816, 0.1503, 0.1684, 0.1528, 0.0723, 0.0918, 0.0714, 0.0493, 0.0247, 0.0084, 0.0475, 0.0275, 0.02, 0.0425, 0.0517, 0.0809, 0.0699, 0.0424, 0.0258, 0.0377, 0.0092, -0.0378, -0.016, -0.0405, -0.0209, 0.004, -0.0244, -0.0371, -0.0557, -0.1059, -0.1277, -0.1196, -0.1337, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.1639, -0.1727, -0.1426, -0.1354, -0.1388, -0.1824, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1273, -0.1533, -0.1415, -0.1221, -0.1284, -0.1238, -0.145, -0.1815, -0.168]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1913272242156482715", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-18T16:43:44+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if BTC is what I think it is, the best time to start investing in BTC is right now from a risk adjusted perspective", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Now is the best risk-adjusted time to invest in BTC; strong forward long conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cullenroche You realize that if BTC is what I think it is, the best time to start investing in BTC is right now from a risk adjusted perspective, right?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Well, in retrospect, shoulda been a BTC maximalist. Lol.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cullenroche", "ret_m1d": 0.005268692396081631, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005268692396081631, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01911433954061037, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01911433954061037, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03633004533057016, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03633004533057016, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01031234424365124, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01031234424365124, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.12160565373535248, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12160565373535248, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04966256604502428, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04966256604502428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.25050530990536934, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25050530990536934, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09683129403262591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09683129403262591, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.40600800965576944, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40600800965576944, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1802418563525412, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1802418563525412, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.36494943478095565, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36494943478095565, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06887022583459879, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06887022583459879, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.14813478224147325, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14813478224147325, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47871692837104296, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47871692837104296, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.25050530990536934, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09683129403262591, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09683129403262591, "price_path": [0.2569, 0.2274, 0.231, 0.2412, 0.2088, 0.1999, 0.228, 0.2402, 0.2126, 0.2008, 0.1589, 0.144, 0.1438, 0.143, 0.1538, 0.1338, 0.1591, 0.1441, 0.1546, 0.1341, 0.1313, 0.1443, 0.1644, 0.1382, 0.0825, 0.0507, -0.0012, 0.003, -0.0009, 0.0191, 0.0328, 0.0731, 0.0653, 0.0271, -0.0701, -0.0188, -0.0086, -0.0401, -0.0057, -0.0044, -0.0205, 0.0285, -0.0034, -0.0048, 0.0361, 0.0358, 0.029, 0.0323, -0.0012, -0.0225, 0.0085, -0.0233, -0.016, -0.0072, -0.0618, -0.0968, -0.0222, -0.0571, -0.0124, 0.0011, -0.0093, -0.0049, 0.0053, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.1065, 0.1095, 0.1124, 0.1216, 0.1247, 0.1164, 0.1155, 0.1426, 0.1475, 0.1219, 0.1463, 0.149, 0.2225, 0.2193, 0.2174, 0.2335, 0.226, 0.2285, 0.2254, 0.2505, 0.2645, 0.2987, 0.3223, 0.2704, 0.2959, 0.2906, 0.2765, 0.2509, 0.2315, 0.2538, 0.2484, 0.2402, 0.2028, 0.2361, 0.306, 0.3056, 0.287, 0.2543, 0.2562, 0.2646, 0.2386, 0.2419, 0.2396, 0.2233, 0.2502, 0.2557, 0.2713, 0.2665, 0.2681, 0.2686, 0.2516, 0.289, 0.2984, 0.2793, 0.2824, 0.2901, 0.3182, 0.3734, 0.3915, 0.4192, 0.3946, 0.406, 0.4125, 0.3973, 0.3906, 0.4209, 0.4062, 0.4016, 0.393, 0.3964, 0.3963, 0.3953, 0.3707, 0.3418, 0.3626, 0.3516, 0.3621, 0.3913, 0.3817, 0.4059, 0.423, 0.4605, 0.4015, 0.3901, 0.3766, 0.3361, 0.3532, 0.3312, 0.3839, 0.304, 0.3239, 0.317, 0.3327, 0.2837, 0.2937, 0.3167, 0.3229, 0.3111, 0.3102, 0.3271, 0.3207, 0.3494, 0.3677, 0.3748, 0.367, 0.3836, 0.3791, 0.387, 0.3699, 0.3351, 0.3264, 0.3419, 0.2913, 0.2991, 0.3546, 0.3506, 0.4049, 0.429, 0.4478, 0.4772, 0.4381, 0.4607, 0.4411, 0.3406, 0.3649]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919420243488776642", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-05T15:53:41+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We will see much higher prices, and potentially astronomically higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; expects much higher and potentially astronomically higher prices as hashprice rips and AI co-location deals materialize.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LexSokolin @Invst_Informant Because\n\n1) Bitcoin hasn't broken out in to untethered price discovery whereby hashprice rips higher.\n\n2) AI co-location deals have taken longer than expected to materialize.\n\nI am completely unbothered. We will see much higher prices, and potentially astronomically higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Is this right? Do most BTC miners trade at such low multiples? Why?\n\n@mikealfred @Invst_Informant https://t.co/eNDoGnrzNA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LexSokolin", "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1911962864090493320", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-15T02:00:44+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "YOU CANNOT SIT WITH IT AND IT WILL NOT UNDERPERFORM", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin will not underperform; emphatic bullish stance rejecting any underperformance scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoeCarlasare YOU CANNOT SIT WITH IT AND IT WILL NOT UNDERPERFORM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "honestly, I’d rather sit with bitcoin even if it underperforms than buy gold\n\n🤷", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoeCarlasare", "ret_m1d": 0.010438735004035138, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010438735004035138, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007629845844979499, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007629845844979499, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0028088891590556386, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0028088891590556386, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004360934564412222, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004360934564412222, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026589012956343305, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026589012956343305, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.022228078391931083, "bench_c_p1d": -0.022228078391931083, "ret_p1w": 0.11680430446203038, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11680430446203038, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13607486364718313, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13607486364718313, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019270559185152747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019270559185152747, "ret_p1m": 0.23748848116242294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23748848116242294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14452136489849643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14452136489849643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09296711626392651, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09296711626392651, "ret_p3m": 0.40454652452544826, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40454652452544826, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24113141358134937, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24113141358134937, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.16341511094409888, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16341511094409888, "ret_p6m": 0.4743199835736638, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4743199835736638, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21509571038726127, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21509571038726127, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2592242731864025, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2592242731864025, "ret_p1y": -0.2005572367526015, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2005572367526015, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.43444083513325926, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.43444083513325926, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23388359838065775, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23388359838065775, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23748848116242294, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14452136489849643, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14452136489849643, "price_path": [0.1923, 0.2485, 0.2193, 0.2686, 0.2388, 0.2425, 0.2528, 0.2201, 0.2111, 0.2394, 0.2518, 0.2239, 0.212, 0.1698, 0.1547, 0.1545, 0.1537, 0.1646, 0.1444, 0.1699, 0.1548, 0.1654, 0.1447, 0.1419, 0.155, 0.1753, 0.1489, 0.0926, 0.0606, 0.0081, 0.0124, 0.0084, 0.0286, 0.0425, 0.0831, 0.0752, 0.0367, -0.0614, -0.0096, 0.0006, -0.0311, 0.0036, 0.0049, -0.0114, 0.0381, 0.006, 0.0045, 0.0458, 0.0454, 0.0386, 0.0419, 0.0082, -0.0134, 0.0179, -0.0141, -0.0068, 0.0021, -0.053, -0.0884, -0.0131, -0.0483, -0.0032, 0.0104, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0147, 0.0093, 0.046, 0.1168, 0.1199, 0.1228, 0.1321, 0.1352, 0.1269, 0.126, 0.1533, 0.1583, 0.1324, 0.157, 0.1597, 0.2339, 0.2307, 0.2288, 0.245, 0.2375, 0.2399, 0.2369, 0.2622, 0.2764, 0.3109, 0.3347, 0.2823, 0.308, 0.3027, 0.2884, 0.2626, 0.243, 0.2655, 0.2601, 0.2517, 0.214, 0.2477, 0.3182, 0.3178, 0.299, 0.266, 0.268, 0.2764, 0.2502, 0.2536, 0.2512, 0.2347, 0.2619, 0.2674, 0.2832, 0.2784, 0.2799, 0.2805, 0.2633, 0.3011, 0.3105, 0.2912, 0.2944, 0.3022, 0.3306, 0.3863, 0.4045, 0.4324, 0.4077, 0.4191, 0.4257, 0.4104, 0.4036, 0.4342, 0.4193, 0.4147, 0.406, 0.4094, 0.4094, 0.4083, 0.3835, 0.3544, 0.3753, 0.3642, 0.3748, 0.4043, 0.3946, 0.4191, 0.4363, 0.4742, 0.4146, 0.4031, 0.3894, 0.3485, 0.3658, 0.3436, 0.3969, 0.3162, 0.3362, 0.3293, 0.3451, 0.2957, 0.3057, 0.3291, 0.3353, 0.3234, 0.3225, 0.3395, 0.333, 0.362, 0.3805, 0.3876, 0.3798, 0.3965, 0.392, 0.4, 0.3827, 0.3476, 0.3388, 0.3545, 0.3033, 0.3113, 0.3673, 0.3632, 0.4181, 0.4424, 0.4613, 0.491, 0.4516, 0.4743]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1924962720904053170", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T22:57:31+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you can't already feel new Bitcoin all time highs in your bones right now, you're not very good at this", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; new all-time highs coming, dismissing skeptics.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you can’t already feel new Bitcoin all time highs in your bones right now, you’re not very good at this. Stick to your day job or go chart something that actually follows your arbitrary rules. Leave BTC to those who understand it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028235252649113085, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028235252649113085, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026639204130851635, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026639204130851635, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "ret_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012278804945740074, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012278804945740074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "ret_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.042879032860159705, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.042879032860159705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "ret_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.00763131894638347, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00763131894638347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "ret_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2076370709930332, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2076370709930332, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "ret_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5308060615502499, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5308060615502499, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017864391917659872, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.042879032860159705, "alpha_c_stated": -0.042879032860159705, "price_path": [-0.0792, -0.0999, -0.144, -0.1691, -0.2102, -0.2068, -0.2099, -0.1941, -0.1832, -0.1514, -0.1576, -0.1877, -0.2646, -0.2241, -0.216, -0.2409, -0.2137, -0.2127, -0.2254, -0.1867, -0.2119, -0.213, -0.1807, -0.1809, -0.1863, -0.1837, -0.2101, -0.227, -0.2025, -0.2276, -0.2218, -0.2149, -0.258, -0.2858, -0.2268, -0.2544, -0.219, -0.2083, -0.2165, -0.2131, -0.205, -0.2092, -0.1805, -0.125, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1171, -0.1178, -0.0964, -0.0925, -0.1128, -0.0935, -0.0914, -0.0332, -0.0358, -0.0373, -0.0245, -0.0304, -0.0285, -0.0309, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.027, 0.0457, 0.0047, 0.0248, 0.0206, 0.0095, -0.0108, -0.0261, -0.0085, -0.0127, -0.0193, -0.0488, -0.0225, 0.0328, 0.0325, 0.0177, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0001, -0.0205, -0.0179, -0.0197, -0.0326, -0.0114, -0.007, 0.0053, 0.0016, 0.0028, 0.0032, -0.0102, 0.0194, 0.0268, 0.0116, 0.0141, 0.0202, 0.0425, 0.0861, 0.1004, 0.1223, 0.1029, 0.1119, 0.117, 0.105, 0.0997, 0.1236, 0.112, 0.1084, 0.1016, 0.1043, 0.1042, 0.1034, 0.084, 0.0611, 0.0775, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.1003, 0.0927, 0.1118, 0.1253, 0.155, 0.1083, 0.0993, 0.0886, 0.0566, 0.0701, 0.0527, 0.0944, 0.0312, 0.0469, 0.0415, 0.0539, 0.0152, 0.023, 0.0413, 0.0462, 0.0368, 0.0361, 0.0494, 0.0444, 0.0671, 0.0816, 0.0872, 0.081, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0969, 0.0833, 0.0558, 0.0489, 0.0612, 0.0211, 0.0274, 0.0713, 0.068, 0.111, 0.1301, 0.1449, 0.1682, 0.1373, 0.1551, 0.1397, 0.0601, 0.0794, 0.0593, 0.0374, 0.0131, -0.003, 0.0356, 0.0158, 0.0084, 0.0307, 0.0397, 0.0686, 0.0577, 0.0306, 0.0142, 0.0259, -0.0023, -0.0487, -0.0271, -0.0514, -0.032, -0.0074, -0.0355, -0.048]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1930063359350845726", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-04T00:45:38+00:00", "symbol": "MARA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This will mean revert. Mara is starting to do a good job of actually mining as well.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MARA: expects mean reversion vs Metaplanet on improving mining execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy This will mean revert. Mara is starting to do a good job of actually mining as well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Metaplanet now has a larger market cap than $MARA 😳", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.021697520799776715, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021697520799776715, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02196610534985033, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027407355721603244, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005709834921826529, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.050414802680707305, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.050414802680707305, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04558204641640884, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04765826994993294, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0027565327307743637, "ret_p1w": 0.04339504159955343, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04339504159955343, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03428321207035423, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03926035730471056, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004134684294842872, "ret_p1m": 0.12699424131648196, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12699424131648196, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07454048880291597, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07615179862606558, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05084244269041638, "ret_p3m": 0.019782990710469628, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.019782990710469628, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06584282323521706, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.046864608732728685, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06664759944319831, "ret_p6m": -0.2910019398477992, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2910019398477992, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.43808189298156086, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3405465918972477, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04954465204944847, "ret_p1y": -0.11869812684245673, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.11869812684245673, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3842625028512716, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.157131924595596, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.038433797753139265, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12699424131648196, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07454048880291597, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07615179862606558, "price_path": [0.0223, -0.1442, -0.15, -0.1634, -0.224, -0.1589, -0.1723, -0.2297, -0.2004, -0.2023, -0.21, -0.0676, -0.0906, -0.12, -0.1295, -0.2042, -0.2661, -0.2444, -0.2074, -0.2833, -0.2789, -0.2814, -0.3287, -0.2144, -0.2508, -0.2017, -0.1736, -0.1972, -0.2138, -0.1921, -0.1921, -0.2157, -0.1027, -0.0983, -0.1059, -0.0874, -0.1059, -0.0925, -0.1468, -0.1034, -0.0759, -0.1646, -0.1608, -0.1493, -0.0881, 0.0057, 0.0179, 0.0447, 0.0128, 0.0006, 0.0345, 0.0415, 0.0332, 0.0108, -0.0013, -0.06, -0.06, 0.0491, -0.0517, -0.0676, -0.0989, -0.0836, -0.0217, 0.0, -0.0504, 0.007, 0.0383, 0.0523, 0.0434, 0.0096, -0.0402, -0.0223, -0.0638, -0.0753, -0.0753, -0.0862, -0.0951, -0.0504, -0.044, -0.0255, -0.0408, 0.0006, 0.0019, 0.1359, 0.127, 0.127, 0.0689, 0.1181, 0.178, 0.2125, 0.2214, 0.2259, 0.1972, 0.2406, 0.2744, 0.2451, 0.2017, 0.2687, 0.1213, 0.1015, 0.1008, 0.0951, 0.06, 0.0562, 0.0262, -0.0108, 0.0236, -0.0032, 0.014, 0.0179, -0.0185, -0.0006, 0.0032, 0.0121, 0.0051, 0.0, 0.0268, -0.0319, -0.014, -0.0102, 0.0396, -0.0172, 0.0108, 0.0115, 0.0185, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0249, 0.014, -0.0357, -0.0306, -0.03, 0.0166, 0.0121, 0.0026, 0.0408, 0.0364, 0.1187, 0.1066, 0.1806, 0.1672, 0.171, 0.1302, 0.1257, 0.0255, 0.0294, 0.1908, 0.1653, 0.1876, 0.1991, 0.201, 0.3127, 0.2923, 0.2891, 0.2891, 0.1902, 0.2916, 0.4193, 0.4576, 0.2936, 0.2489, 0.3229, 0.2808, 0.2221, 0.2265, 0.247, 0.2482, 0.2048, 0.2048, 0.1334, 0.1659, 0.1366, 0.0606, 0.0932, 0.0185, 0.0128, -0.0057, -0.0664, -0.0804, -0.1844, -0.2348, -0.2655, -0.2419, -0.2916, -0.3465, -0.3574, -0.2846, -0.2872, -0.291, -0.291]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910837064855064758", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-11T23:27:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "God candles loading. Got Bitcoin?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; 'god candles' (massive up moves) loading, urging people to hold/buy Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "God candles loading.\n\nGot Bitcoin? https://t.co/zORkRHc8f5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0453054702407375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0453054702407375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035697179272498825, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.035697179272498825, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013638953601592618, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013638953601592618, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01643997500200234, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01643997500200234, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "ret_p1w": 0.012540864546317199, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012540864546317199, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05935809233188005, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05935809233188005, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "ret_p1m": 0.23269774431357448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23269774431357448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14418314899216877, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14418314899216877, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "ret_p3m": 0.3347733789791678, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3347733789791678, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1705240924371354, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1705240924371354, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "ret_p6m": 0.49574697735133944, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.49574697735133944, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24749310961585014, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24749310961585014, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "ret_p1y": -0.18190220347497466, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18190220347497466, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.41122271412007283, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.41122271412007283, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23269774431357448, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14418314899216877, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14418314899216877, "price_path": [0.1574, 0.205, 0.1961, 0.2525, 0.2232, 0.2727, 0.2428, 0.2465, 0.2568, 0.224, 0.2149, 0.2434, 0.2557, 0.2278, 0.2158, 0.1735, 0.1584, 0.1581, 0.1574, 0.1682, 0.148, 0.1736, 0.1585, 0.1691, 0.1483, 0.1455, 0.1586, 0.179, 0.1525, 0.0961, 0.0639, 0.0113, 0.0156, 0.0116, 0.0319, 0.0458, 0.0866, 0.0786, 0.04, -0.0584, -0.0065, 0.0038, -0.028, 0.0068, 0.008, -0.0082, 0.0414, 0.0091, 0.0077, 0.0491, 0.0488, 0.0419, 0.0452, 0.0114, -0.0103, 0.0212, -0.011, -0.0036, 0.0053, -0.05, -0.0855, -0.01, -0.0453, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0032, 0.0075, 0.0179, 0.0125, 0.0493, 0.1203, 0.1234, 0.1264, 0.1357, 0.1388, 0.1304, 0.1295, 0.1569, 0.1619, 0.136, 0.1606, 0.1634, 0.2378, 0.2346, 0.2327, 0.249, 0.2414, 0.2439, 0.2408, 0.2662, 0.2804, 0.315, 0.3389, 0.2863, 0.3122, 0.3068, 0.2925, 0.2666, 0.2469, 0.2695, 0.2641, 0.2557, 0.2179, 0.2516, 0.3224, 0.322, 0.3031, 0.2701, 0.272, 0.2805, 0.2541, 0.2575, 0.2551, 0.2387, 0.2658, 0.2715, 0.2872, 0.2824, 0.284, 0.2845, 0.2673, 0.3052, 0.3146, 0.2953, 0.2985, 0.3063, 0.3348, 0.3907, 0.409, 0.437, 0.4121, 0.4236, 0.4303, 0.4148, 0.4081, 0.4387, 0.4238, 0.4192, 0.4104, 0.4139, 0.4139, 0.4128, 0.3879, 0.3587, 0.3797, 0.3685, 0.3792, 0.4088, 0.3991, 0.4236, 0.4408, 0.4789, 0.4191, 0.4076, 0.3938, 0.3528, 0.3701, 0.3479, 0.4013, 0.3204, 0.3405, 0.3335, 0.3494, 0.2998, 0.3099, 0.3333, 0.3395, 0.3275, 0.3267, 0.3437, 0.3372, 0.3663, 0.3849, 0.392, 0.3842, 0.4009, 0.3964, 0.4044, 0.3871, 0.3518, 0.343, 0.3588, 0.3075, 0.3154, 0.3716, 0.3675, 0.4226, 0.4469, 0.4659, 0.4957]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1921211592466714630", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-10T14:31:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We will see $150-200k before we ever see sub $90,000 Bitcoin again (if ever).", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC: $150-200K before any sub-$90K move; dismisses bearish thesis entirely.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m sorry if you fell for the doomer BS on X but $88,000 is now completely off the table.\n\nWe will see $150-200k before we ever see sub $90,000 Bitcoin again (if ever).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "In the short term, $88,000 to $92,000 is the bottom for Bitcoin. $315,000 is the top. That’s $7,000 of max downside and $220,000 of potential upside. This is the kind of asymmetry that has made many billionaires.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "ret_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "ret_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "ret_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "ret_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "ret_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "price_path": [-0.0479, -0.0602, -0.0516, -0.0685, -0.0707, -0.0601, -0.0436, -0.065, -0.1108, -0.1369, -0.1796, -0.1761, -0.1794, -0.1629, -0.1516, -0.1186, -0.125, -0.1563, -0.2362, -0.194, -0.1857, -0.2115, -0.1833, -0.1822, -0.1954, -0.1552, -0.1814, -0.1826, -0.149, -0.1492, -0.1548, -0.1521, -0.1795, -0.1971, -0.1716, -0.1977, -0.1917, -0.1845, -0.2293, -0.2581, -0.1969, -0.2255, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1862, -0.1827, -0.1743, -0.1786, -0.1488, -0.0911, -0.0886, -0.0863, -0.0787, -0.0762, -0.0829, -0.0837, -0.0615, -0.0574, -0.0784, -0.0585, -0.0562, 0.0042, 0.0015, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0071, 0.0091, 0.0066, 0.0272, 0.0387, 0.0668, 0.0862, 0.0435, 0.0645, 0.0601, 0.0485, 0.0275, 0.0115, 0.0298, 0.0255, 0.0187, -0.012, 0.0153, 0.0728, 0.0724, 0.0571, 0.0303, 0.0319, 0.0387, 0.0174, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.0048, 0.0269, 0.0314, 0.0442, 0.0403, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.0281, 0.0588, 0.0665, 0.0508, 0.0534, 0.0597, 0.0828, 0.1281, 0.143, 0.1657, 0.1455, 0.1549, 0.1603, 0.1477, 0.1423, 0.1671, 0.1551, 0.1513, 0.1442, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1461, 0.1259, 0.1022, 0.1192, 0.1102, 0.1188, 0.1428, 0.135, 0.1548, 0.1688, 0.1997, 0.1512, 0.1419, 0.1307, 0.0974, 0.1115, 0.0934, 0.1368, 0.0711, 0.0874, 0.0818, 0.0947, 0.0544, 0.0626, 0.0816, 0.0867, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0901, 0.0848, 0.1084, 0.1235, 0.1293, 0.1229, 0.1365, 0.1328, 0.1393, 0.1252, 0.0966, 0.0895, 0.1023, 0.0607, 0.0671, 0.1127, 0.1094, 0.154, 0.1738, 0.1892, 0.2134, 0.1813, 0.1998, 0.1838, 0.1012, 0.1212, 0.1002, 0.0775, 0.0523, 0.0355, 0.0756, 0.0551, 0.0474, 0.0706, 0.08, 0.11, 0.0987, 0.0704, 0.0534, 0.0656, 0.0363, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925739844573052974", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-23T02:25:32+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's the most obvious thing ever. It's going to be insane. Every single MW is going to be employed.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish IREN; every MW will be deployed, outcome will be insane.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Umbisam It’s the most obvious thing ever. It’s going to be insane. Every single MW is going to be employed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "if you trust Elon Musk, you should buy $IREN … not $TSLA 😂 https://t.co/PQJJ1zFFlj", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Umbisam", "ret_m1d": 0.017543843138140724, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017543843138140724, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01067107941821055, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013947295506990143, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006872763719930175, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035965476311505817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.08004381046015518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08004381046015518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09779521702273886, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09822576137987749, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01775140656258367, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0181819509197223, "ret_p1m": 0.1688596470589343, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1688596470589343, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12946435193890116, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1499950914676611, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03939529512003315, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018864555591273202, "ret_p3m": 1.1666667189514435, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1666667189514435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0615286640937391, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.106702745007075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10513805485770433, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059963973944368476, "ret_p6m": 4.1984649607817115, "ret_signed_p6m": 4.1984649607817115, "alpha_spy_p6m": 4.0423997321032035, "alpha_c_p6m": 4.163574223740308, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1560652286785078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034890737041403774, "ret_p1y": 5.201754614366832, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.201754614366832, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.912462082053995, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.155271092446711, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28929253231283747, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04648352192012206, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1688596470589343, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12946435193890116, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1499950914676611, "price_path": [-0.0373, -0.0691, -0.1382, -0.0965, -0.17, -0.1732, -0.1162, -0.1645, -0.1557, -0.2741, -0.227, -0.2281, -0.2599, -0.2094, -0.1941, -0.2774, -0.2105, -0.2094, -0.216, -0.1568, -0.1886, -0.2643, -0.2917, -0.3344, -0.3322, -0.2719, -0.2588, -0.3377, -0.3487, -0.3553, -0.4189, -0.3531, -0.398, -0.3827, -0.3695, -0.4024, -0.4002, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.3958, -0.3355, -0.3311, -0.3092, -0.2829, -0.2993, -0.3125, -0.33, -0.3015, -0.284, -0.3213, -0.2873, -0.2796, -0.2445, -0.2281, -0.1765, -0.1096, -0.1261, -0.1502, -0.0779, -0.0636, -0.0559, -0.0252, 0.0175, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0132, -0.0285, -0.057, -0.08, -0.0428, -0.0252, 0.034, -0.0186, 0.0691, 0.1338, 0.1502, 0.1294, 0.1151, 0.0779, 0.1404, 0.0713, 0.0746, 0.0746, 0.148, 0.1689, 0.2654, 0.3015, 0.4375, 0.5351, 0.5976, 0.67, 0.7171, 0.8443, 0.8443, 0.8586, 0.852, 0.8596, 0.8673, 0.7796, 0.8947, 0.8509, 0.898, 0.9792, 0.9671, 0.9901, 1.0384, 1.0822, 0.989, 0.943, 0.818, 0.7314, 0.7697, 0.7664, 0.6886, 0.807, 0.8037, 1.0088, 1.0362, 1.023, 0.9704, 0.955, 0.9441, 1.0921, 1.159, 1.2703, 1.0537, 1.1667, 1.148, 1.3498, 1.5351, 1.5208, 1.4512, 1.5263, 1.9035, 1.9035, 2.1919, 2.0932, 1.8651, 1.8673, 1.8717, 2.3103, 2.6875, 2.602, 2.7237, 3.0724, 2.9967, 3.1557, 2.9825, 3.2368, 3.5943, 3.58, 4.1689, 4.0757, 3.5899, 4.0362, 4.1458, 4.1623, 4.1557, 4.5329, 5.3322, 5.7632, 5.5888, 6.0011, 5.5537, 6.0329, 6.6272, 6.4539, 5.7796, 5.6579, 5.4934, 5.0521, 4.6831, 5.125, 5.8969, 6.1261, 5.8443, 5.625, 5.3838, 5.6612, 6.4287, 6.3059, 7.3783, 6.3421, 5.8399, 5.5976, 5.2917, 5.1075, 4.3344, 4.0844, 4.1985]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924467547925323949", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-19T14:09:52+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think it is 60-70% likely that Black Pearl is completely converted.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Assigns 60-70% probability to full Black Pearl conversion for CIFR, implying bullish re-rate thesis from parent.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BTCStocksInvest I think it is 60-70% likely that Black Pearl is completely converted.\n\nI think that is essentially what SoftBank wanted back in January.\n\nJust an educated guess at this point so let’s see what transpires.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We believe $CIFR deal for 300 MW Barber Lake is IMMINENT. An additional 300 MW for the entire Black Pearly is also likely. This will create up to $15 BN in Shareholder Value. With Barber Lake deal we anticipate re-rate to $20s and with Black Pearl to $40s.\nhttps://t.co/2k6N8VTKgt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BTCStocksInvest", "ret_m1d": 0.013123347261734475, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013123347261734475, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014215971770568436, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011673778549203595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014495687125308798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007874008357040663, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007874008357040663, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004511854680823824, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0041221218018904215, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003751886555150241, "ret_p1w": -0.0892388239568499, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0892388239568499, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06277839463168622, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05623943708727375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03299938686957615, "ret_p1m": -0.0341207028805095, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0341207028805095, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03862615320495677, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06298447263693419, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028863769756424684, "ret_p3m": 0.3963255253437701, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3963255253437701, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3088972519131601, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25297130889300923, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14335421645076085, "ret_p6m": 3.900262560810819, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.900262560810819, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.7454867480900518, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.6473407585217985, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2529218022890203, "ret_p1y": 4.750656214295878, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.750656214295878, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.502875487522135, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.2925305330398515, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4581256812560266, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0341207028805095, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03862615320495677, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06298447263693419, "price_path": [0.5801, 0.5958, 0.4409, 0.3031, 0.0761, 0.0958, 0.042, 0.0709, 0.0105, -0.0157, 0.0919, -0.0052, 0.021, -0.1916, -0.1654, -0.1601, -0.2047, -0.2021, -0.1811, -0.2467, -0.1969, -0.2126, -0.2336, -0.1601, -0.2021, -0.2966, -0.3333, -0.3911, -0.3963, -0.3543, -0.3045, -0.3937, -0.4488, -0.4147, -0.4462, -0.3543, -0.4173, -0.3648, -0.3596, -0.3911, -0.3898, -0.378, -0.378, -0.3858, -0.2808, -0.2493, -0.2126, -0.1916, -0.1969, -0.1916, -0.252, -0.1824, -0.1706, -0.2178, -0.2021, -0.2073, -0.1811, -0.2178, -0.1732, -0.0997, -0.1312, -0.168, 0.0131, 0.0, -0.0079, -0.0801, -0.063, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.063, -0.1207, -0.147, -0.1811, -0.147, -0.0984, -0.0184, -0.0735, 0.0236, 0.0866, 0.0656, 0.0709, 0.0079, -0.0236, 0.0315, -0.0341, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0052, -0.0735, 0.0105, 0.0105, 0.0997, 0.1181, 0.2546, 0.2861, 0.4908, 0.5879, 0.5879, 0.5197, 0.5827, 0.643, 0.6378, 0.5407, 0.5827, 0.5669, 0.6457, 0.685, 0.6693, 0.6404, 0.8215, 0.7533, 0.7454, 0.6982, 0.6168, 0.4908, 0.4304, 0.4331, 0.294, 0.3622, 0.315, 0.3675, 0.2782, 0.2467, 0.2493, 0.2388, 0.2861, 0.3963, 0.3675, 0.5879, 0.5118, 0.5617, 0.5486, 0.6745, 0.7428, 0.8688, 0.8346, 0.8425, 1.0052, 1.0052, 1.1837, 1.1286, 0.9423, 0.9738, 1.0262, 1.4199, 1.6903, 1.6168, 1.8478, 1.8478, 2.021, 2.2493, 2.1102, 2.2231, 2.664, 2.7139, 2.7113, 2.0604, 2.0105, 2.3202, 2.3045, 2.3071, 2.6247, 2.8583, 3.0262, 3.1339, 3.6194, 3.7218, 3.4541, 4.3386, 4.4829, 4.5197, 3.9134, 3.9239, 4.2257, 3.7441, 3.2283, 3.5289, 4.4226, 4.3911, 4.2388, 4.1417, 4.0052, 3.895, 4.9738, 4.9081, 5.4856, 4.6982, 4.4304, 4.1575, 3.9003]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1927420118281163080", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-27T17:42:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy and hold Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Decisive buy-and-hold instruction on Bitcoin; zero interest in altcoins/narratives.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@virtualbacon Zero interest in all that. Buy and hold Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What coin or narrative are you eyeing for the next big rotation?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "virtualbacon", "ret_m1d": 0.004089435590081347, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004089435590081347, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024456671528921836, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024456671528921836, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010939184653144474, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010939184653144474, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005153732912148268, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005153732912148268, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": -0.03268208284897034, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03268208284897034, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.041038567272737914, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.041038567272737914, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.014985900252836415, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014985900252836415, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04503712197498444, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04503712197498444, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.07229204360248787, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07229204360248787, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.022552950013904782, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.022552950013904782, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.16082119576693632, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16082119576693632, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2881685613798035, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2881685613798035, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": -0.25637398742512707, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25637398742512707, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5365002272657474, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5365002272657474, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.014985900252836415, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04503712197498444, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04503712197498444, "price_path": [-0.2229, -0.2259, -0.2104, -0.1998, -0.1686, -0.1746, -0.2042, -0.2795, -0.2398, -0.2319, -0.2562, -0.2296, -0.2286, -0.2411, -0.2031, -0.2278, -0.2289, -0.1972, -0.1975, -0.2027, -0.2002, -0.2261, -0.2426, -0.2186, -0.2432, -0.2376, -0.2308, -0.273, -0.3002, -0.2424, -0.2694, -0.2348, -0.2243, -0.2324, -0.229, -0.2211, -0.2252, -0.197, -0.1427, -0.1403, -0.1381, -0.131, -0.1286, -0.135, -0.1357, -0.1147, -0.1109, -0.1307, -0.1119, -0.1098, -0.0528, -0.0553, -0.0567, -0.0443, -0.0501, -0.0482, -0.0505, -0.0311, -0.0202, 0.0063, 0.0246, -0.0157, 0.0041, 0.0, -0.0109, -0.0308, -0.0458, -0.0286, -0.0327, -0.0391, -0.0681, -0.0422, 0.0119, 0.0116, -0.0028, -0.0281, -0.0266, -0.0202, -0.0403, -0.0377, -0.0395, -0.0522, -0.0313, -0.0271, -0.015, -0.0187, -0.0175, -0.0171, -0.0302, -0.0012, 0.006, -0.0088, -0.0064, -0.0004, 0.0214, 0.0642, 0.0782, 0.0996, 0.0806, 0.0894, 0.0945, 0.0827, 0.0775, 0.1009, 0.0895, 0.086, 0.0793, 0.0819, 0.0819, 0.0811, 0.0621, 0.0397, 0.0558, 0.0472, 0.0554, 0.078, 0.0706, 0.0893, 0.1026, 0.1317, 0.0859, 0.0771, 0.0666, 0.0352, 0.0484, 0.0314, 0.0723, 0.0104, 0.0258, 0.0204, 0.0326, -0.0054, 0.0023, 0.0202, 0.025, 0.0159, 0.0152, 0.0282, 0.0233, 0.0455, 0.0598, 0.0652, 0.0592, 0.072, 0.0686, 0.0747, 0.0614, 0.0344, 0.0277, 0.0398, 0.0005, 0.0066, 0.0496, 0.0464, 0.0886, 0.1072, 0.1218, 0.1446, 0.1143, 0.1318, 0.1166, 0.0387, 0.0576, 0.0378, 0.0164, -0.0074, -0.0232, 0.0146, -0.0048, -0.012, 0.0099, 0.0187, 0.047, 0.0363, 0.0097, -0.0063, 0.0052, -0.0225, -0.0679, -0.0468, -0.0706, -0.0516, -0.0275, -0.055, -0.0673, -0.0853, -0.1339, -0.1551, -0.1472, -0.1608]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910104303068668228", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-09T22:55:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy and hold.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong buy-and-hold conviction on Bitcoin; trading around positions always leaves sellers with less BTC net of taxes, fees, and skill.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don’t be fooled. People who sold Bitcoin at slightly higher prices in an attempt to buy it back lower always end up with less Bitcoin in the long run net of taxes, fees, and poor trading skill. Always. There are no exceptions. Buy and hold.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07631946590300775, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07631946590300775, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.122146513944563, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.122146513944563, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04582704804155524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0356990599146636, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0356990599146636, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.053541953675780185, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.053541953675780185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017842893761116585, "ret_p1w": 0.017680079580179253, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017680079580179253, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014191779514401315, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014191779514401315, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0034883000657779384, "ret_p1m": 0.2502908850835037, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2502908850835037, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17449690303529986, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17449690303529986, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07579398204820387, "ret_p3m": 0.31154979825849294, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31154979825849294, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1255078360085895, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1255078360085895, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18604196224990344, "ret_p6m": 0.4614930404241804, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4614930404241804, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1784680772215279, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1784680772215279, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "bench_c_p6m": 0.28302496320265247, "ret_p1y": -0.19661863711941552, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19661863711941552, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4151450323951965, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4151450323951965, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "bench_c_p1y": 0.218526395275781, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19661863711941552, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4151450323951965, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4151450323951965, "price_path": [0.1469, 0.1446, 0.1691, 0.2171, 0.2081, 0.2651, 0.2355, 0.2855, 0.2553, 0.259, 0.2694, 0.2363, 0.2272, 0.2559, 0.2684, 0.2402, 0.2281, 0.1853, 0.17, 0.1698, 0.169, 0.18, 0.1595, 0.1854, 0.1701, 0.1809, 0.1598, 0.157, 0.1703, 0.1909, 0.1641, 0.1071, 0.0746, 0.0215, 0.0258, 0.0218, 0.0423, 0.0563, 0.0975, 0.0895, 0.0505, -0.0489, 0.0035, 0.0139, -0.0183, 0.0169, 0.0182, 0.0018, 0.0518, 0.0193, 0.0178, 0.0596, 0.0593, 0.0524, 0.0557, 0.0215, -0.0003, 0.0314, -0.0011, 0.0064, 0.0154, -0.0404, -0.0763, 0.0, -0.0357, 0.0101, 0.0238, 0.0133, 0.0177, 0.0281, 0.0227, 0.0599, 0.1316, 0.1347, 0.1377, 0.1471, 0.1502, 0.1418, 0.1409, 0.1686, 0.1736, 0.1474, 0.1723, 0.1751, 0.2503, 0.247, 0.2451, 0.2615, 0.2539, 0.2564, 0.2533, 0.2789, 0.2933, 0.3282, 0.3524, 0.2993, 0.3254, 0.32, 0.3055, 0.2794, 0.2595, 0.2823, 0.2768, 0.2683, 0.2301, 0.2642, 0.3357, 0.3353, 0.3162, 0.2828, 0.2848, 0.2933, 0.2668, 0.2702, 0.2678, 0.2511, 0.2786, 0.2843, 0.3002, 0.2953, 0.2969, 0.2974, 0.28, 0.3183, 0.3279, 0.3083, 0.3115, 0.3194, 0.3482, 0.4046, 0.4232, 0.4514, 0.4263, 0.438, 0.4446, 0.4291, 0.4222, 0.4532, 0.4382, 0.4335, 0.4246, 0.4281, 0.4281, 0.427, 0.4019, 0.3723, 0.3936, 0.3823, 0.393, 0.4229, 0.4131, 0.4379, 0.4553, 0.4937, 0.4334, 0.4217, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3839, 0.3614, 0.4154, 0.3336, 0.354, 0.3469, 0.363, 0.3129, 0.3231, 0.3467, 0.353, 0.3409, 0.34, 0.3572, 0.3507, 0.38, 0.3988, 0.406, 0.3981, 0.415, 0.4105, 0.4186, 0.401, 0.3654, 0.3565, 0.3725, 0.3206, 0.3287, 0.3854, 0.3813, 0.4369, 0.4615]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1915208612777254960", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-24T00:58:10+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Get to 10+ Bitcoin ASAP. For your legacy and progeny.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong buy call on Bitcoin: nations and sovereign wealth funds accumulating; urgent advice to hold 10+ BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I warned you months ago that multiple nations and sovereign wealth funds are buying Bitcoin. Today Coinbase confirmed what many of us have known this entire time. Don’t be the last to figure this out. Get to 10+ Bitcoin ASAP. For your legacy and progeny.\n\n---\n\nHere is the video of Coinbase institutional head of strategy on CNBC this morning in case you missed it https://t.co/6ZMMH4OyF3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0026046158249871665, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0026046158249871665, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01801037399862171, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01801037399862171, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.020614989823608876, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020614989823608876, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008267742531563593, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008267742531563593, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010423180039078606, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0010423180039078606, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007225424527655733, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007225424527655733, "ret_p1w": 0.027128337870897967, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027128337870897967, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005580564081708594, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005580564081708594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021547773789189373, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021547773789189373, "ret_p1m": 0.142042374737688, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.142042374737688, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08274011616417609, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08274011616417609, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0593022585735119, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0593022585735119, "ret_p3m": 0.27731066929478954, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27731066929478954, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12360544284022557, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12360544284022557, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15370522645456397, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15370522645456397, "ret_p6m": 0.13331366842841375, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13331366842841375, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08895406649609794, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08895406649609794, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22226773492451168, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22226773492451168, "ret_p1y": -0.20713614839191585, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20713614839191585, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47653036187071773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47653036187071773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2693942134788019, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2693942134788019, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.142042374737688, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08274011616417609, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08274011616417609, "price_path": [0.0867, 0.0787, 0.1039, 0.1149, 0.0901, 0.0794, 0.0418, 0.0284, 0.0282, 0.0275, 0.0372, 0.0192, 0.042, 0.0285, 0.038, 0.0195, 0.017, 0.0287, 0.0467, 0.0232, -0.0269, -0.0554, -0.1022, -0.0984, -0.1019, -0.0839, -0.0715, -0.0353, -0.0424, -0.0767, -0.1641, -0.118, -0.1088, -0.1371, -0.1062, -0.105, -0.1195, -0.0755, -0.1041, -0.1054, -0.0686, -0.0689, -0.075, -0.072, -0.1021, -0.1213, -0.0934, -0.122, -0.1154, -0.1075, -0.1566, -0.1881, -0.121, -0.1524, -0.1122, -0.1001, -0.1094, -0.1055, -0.0963, -0.101, -0.0684, -0.0053, -0.0026, 0.0, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0036, 0.0028, 0.0271, 0.0316, 0.0086, 0.0304, 0.0329, 0.099, 0.0961, 0.0944, 0.1089, 0.1021, 0.1043, 0.1016, 0.1241, 0.1368, 0.1675, 0.1887, 0.142, 0.165, 0.1602, 0.1475, 0.1245, 0.107, 0.1271, 0.1223, 0.1148, 0.0812, 0.1112, 0.174, 0.1737, 0.1569, 0.1276, 0.1293, 0.1368, 0.1134, 0.1164, 0.1143, 0.0997, 0.1238, 0.1288, 0.1428, 0.1386, 0.1399, 0.1404, 0.1251, 0.1588, 0.1672, 0.15, 0.1528, 0.1597, 0.185, 0.2346, 0.2509, 0.2758, 0.2537, 0.2639, 0.2698, 0.2561, 0.2501, 0.2773, 0.2641, 0.26, 0.2522, 0.2553, 0.2552, 0.2543, 0.2322, 0.2063, 0.2249, 0.215, 0.2244, 0.2507, 0.2421, 0.2639, 0.2792, 0.313, 0.2599, 0.2497, 0.2375, 0.201, 0.2164, 0.1967, 0.2441, 0.1722, 0.1901, 0.1839, 0.198, 0.154, 0.1629, 0.1837, 0.1893, 0.1786, 0.1778, 0.193, 0.1872, 0.213, 0.2295, 0.2359, 0.2289, 0.2438, 0.2398, 0.2469, 0.2315, 0.2002, 0.1924, 0.2063, 0.1608, 0.1679, 0.2178, 0.2141, 0.263, 0.2846, 0.3015, 0.3279, 0.2928, 0.3131, 0.2955, 0.2051, 0.227, 0.2041, 0.1792, 0.1516, 0.1333]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1922419781514187120", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-13T22:32:47+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$150,000 coming next. Mark it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC headed to $150K next; decisive bullish call.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TonyTheBullCMT It's just fundamentals, homie.\n\n$150,000 coming next. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "One of my cyclical impulse charts is starting to suggest that this will be a bullish impulse\n\nThe bearish thesis is running out of time – I give it two more weeks max\n\nBy the end of May we will know - new ATH, or lower high https://t.co/IWbnhvsbzv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TonySeverinoCMT", "ret_m1d": -0.013025456631209686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013025456631209686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01174911073251761, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01174911073251761, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0012763458986920773, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0012763458986920773, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006051642240404331, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006051642240404331, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010936032710186505, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010936032710186505, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004884390469782174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004884390469782174, "ret_p1w": 0.025163465063354984, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025163465063354984, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033213492513692655, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033213492513692655, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008050027450337671, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008050027450337671, "ret_p1m": 0.04336009052526624, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04336009052526624, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.015858033329970267, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015858033329970267, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02750205719529597, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02750205719529597, "ret_p3m": 0.12017794562604212, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12017794562604212, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03472744619000645, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03472744619000645, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08545049943603567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08545049943603567, "ret_p6m": -0.002668494411468769, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.002668494411468769, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14999148608114443, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14999148608114443, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14732299166967566, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14732299166967566, "ret_p1y": -0.26750064648047633, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26750064648047633, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5080104769878082, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5080104769878082, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24050983050733188, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24050983050733188, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04336009052526624, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.015858033329970267, "alpha_c_stated": 0.015858033329970267, "price_path": [-0.0724, -0.0639, -0.0806, -0.0828, -0.0723, -0.056, -0.0772, -0.1224, -0.1482, -0.1903, -0.1869, -0.19, -0.1738, -0.1627, -0.13, -0.1364, -0.1673, -0.2461, -0.2045, -0.1963, -0.2218, -0.1939, -0.1929, -0.2059, -0.1662, -0.192, -0.1932, -0.16, -0.1603, -0.1658, -0.1631, -0.1902, -0.2076, -0.1824, -0.2082, -0.2022, -0.1951, -0.2394, -0.2678, -0.2073, -0.2356, -0.1993, -0.1884, -0.1968, -0.1933, -0.185, -0.1893, -0.1598, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0882, -0.0949, -0.0956, -0.0737, -0.0697, -0.0904, -0.0707, -0.0685, -0.0089, -0.0115, -0.013, 0.0, -0.0061, -0.0041, -0.0065, 0.0138, 0.0252, 0.0529, 0.072, 0.0299, 0.0506, 0.0463, 0.0349, 0.0141, -0.0016, 0.0164, 0.0121, 0.0054, -0.0249, 0.0021, 0.0588, 0.0584, 0.0434, 0.0169, 0.0184, 0.0252, 0.0041, 0.0068, 0.0049, -0.0083, 0.0135, 0.018, 0.0306, 0.0268, 0.028, 0.0285, 0.0147, 0.045, 0.0526, 0.0371, 0.0396, 0.0459, 0.0687, 0.1134, 0.1281, 0.1505, 0.1306, 0.1399, 0.1451, 0.1328, 0.1274, 0.1519, 0.14, 0.1363, 0.1293, 0.132, 0.132, 0.1311, 0.1112, 0.0878, 0.1047, 0.0957, 0.1042, 0.1279, 0.1202, 0.1398, 0.1536, 0.1841, 0.1362, 0.127, 0.116, 0.0831, 0.097, 0.0792, 0.122, 0.0572, 0.0733, 0.0677, 0.0804, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0675, 0.0725, 0.0629, 0.0622, 0.0759, 0.0707, 0.0939, 0.1088, 0.1145, 0.1082, 0.1217, 0.1181, 0.1245, 0.1106, 0.0824, 0.0753, 0.0879, 0.0468, 0.0532, 0.0982, 0.0949, 0.139, 0.1585, 0.1737, 0.1976, 0.1659, 0.1842, 0.1683, 0.0868, 0.1066, 0.0859, 0.0635, 0.0386, 0.0221, 0.0616, 0.0413, 0.0338, 0.0566, 0.0659, 0.0955, 0.0843, 0.0565, 0.0397, 0.0517, 0.0228, -0.0248, -0.0027]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914878207289122918", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-23T03:05:15+00:00", "symbol": "crypto miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They are about to literally demolish several hedge funds that are short the sector", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish crypto miners; shorts in the sector are about to get squeezed hard.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crypto/BTC miner sector ETF WGMI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthughes13 They are about to literally demolish several hedge funds that are short the sector", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Yup. Miners are about to have their fun", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthughes13", "ret_m1d": -0.030347878642933424, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030347878642933424, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015088728800026319, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015088728800026319, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015259149842907105, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04071059818038103, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04071059818038103, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019661685230512704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019661685230512704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021048912949868326, "ret_p1w": 0.012583277084667888, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012583277084667888, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02312690900272263, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02312690900272263, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035710186087390516, "ret_p1m": 0.3404885494846841, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3404885494846841, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25145555263232233, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25145555263232233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08903299685236177, "ret_p3m": 0.9600295406085246, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9600295406085246, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7822087318404061, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7822087318404061, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17782080876811857, "ret_p6m": 3.3915618672025127, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.3915618672025127, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.150610734606476, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.150610734606476, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24095113259603673, "ret_p1y": 2.122871792149545, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.122871792149545, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.8393018301133286, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.8393018301133286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835699620362164, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3404885494846841, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.25145555263232233, "alpha_c_stated": 0.25145555263232233, "price_path": [0.9408, 0.5381, 0.5418, 0.5662, 0.6654, 0.6691, 0.6795, 0.6706, 0.6625, 0.6847, 0.7135, 0.7395, 0.6536, 0.6825, 0.7232, 0.7321, 0.7321, 0.6906, 0.6862, 0.6647, 0.5189, 0.4212, 0.2613, 0.2746, 0.2502, 0.319, 0.2213, 0.2036, 0.2731, 0.1695, 0.208, 0.0718, 0.1162, 0.1318, 0.0785, 0.1325, 0.1377, 0.0548, 0.1251, 0.1088, 0.0955, 0.2073, 0.1584, 0.06, 0.0392, -0.0281, -0.0548, 0.0118, 0.054, -0.0563, -0.0881, -0.0814, -0.1495, -0.0333, -0.111, -0.0733, -0.06, -0.1132, -0.1184, -0.1088, -0.1088, -0.131, -0.0303, 0.0, 0.0407, 0.0777, 0.0607, 0.0503, 0.0126, 0.0799, 0.1081, 0.0555, 0.0762, 0.0799, 0.1495, 0.151, 0.2095, 0.2731, 0.2546, 0.2265, 0.3323, 0.342, 0.3316, 0.3138, 0.3405, 0.3035, 0.3035, 0.3501, 0.2783, 0.2509, 0.2191, 0.2731, 0.3264, 0.4204, 0.3472, 0.4486, 0.4922, 0.5011, 0.4804, 0.4515, 0.396, 0.4582, 0.3827, 0.3842, 0.3842, 0.3753, 0.339, 0.4375, 0.4419, 0.5914, 0.607, 0.6832, 0.7091, 0.8616, 0.9267, 0.9267, 0.8423, 0.8431, 0.8682, 0.8868, 0.8342, 0.8927, 0.8542, 0.9371, 0.9859, 0.98, 0.96, 1.04, 1.0237, 1.0067, 0.966, 0.9341, 0.8438, 0.829, 0.8697, 0.7335, 0.8379, 0.8394, 0.9045, 0.8779, 0.8475, 0.8549, 0.8808, 0.8875, 0.9963, 0.9763, 1.094, 0.9689, 1.0185, 0.9896, 1.094, 1.1177, 1.1754, 1.1695, 1.1962, 1.2665, 1.2665, 1.342, 1.2724, 1.1591, 1.1799, 1.1976, 1.4523, 1.6269, 1.6403, 1.7624, 1.8668, 1.9504, 2.0459, 2.0422, 2.0762, 2.2546, 2.1754, 2.3309, 2.1207, 2.0059, 2.2724, 2.2746, 2.336, 2.4412, 2.567, 2.8705, 2.9511, 3.0992, 3.2613, 3.0962, 3.5048, 3.7217, 3.8779, 3.3916]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924150457557250259", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T17:09:52+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's going to $20-30 so I might buy more at $7", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Targets $20-30 for CIFR; plans to buy more at $7.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rulesnorulers @Fernandoo1492 It’s going to $20-30 so I might buy more at $7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @Fernandoo1492 what about when $CIFR hits $7?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rulesnorulers", "ret_m1d": 0.013123347261734475, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013123347261734475, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014215971770568436, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011673778549203595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014495687125308798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007874008357040663, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007874008357040663, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004511854680823824, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0041221218018904215, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003751886555150241, "ret_p1w": -0.0892388239568499, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0892388239568499, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06277839463168622, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05623943708727375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03299938686957615, "ret_p1m": -0.0341207028805095, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0341207028805095, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03862615320495677, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06298447263693419, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028863769756424684, "ret_p3m": 0.3963255253437701, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3963255253437701, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3088972519131601, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25297130889300923, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14335421645076085, "ret_p6m": 3.900262560810819, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.900262560810819, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.7454867480900518, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.6473407585217985, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2529218022890203, "ret_p1y": 4.750656214295878, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.750656214295878, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.502875487522135, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.2925305330398515, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4581256812560266, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0341207028805095, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03862615320495677, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06298447263693419, "price_path": [0.5801, 0.5958, 0.4409, 0.3031, 0.0761, 0.0958, 0.042, 0.0709, 0.0105, -0.0157, 0.0919, -0.0052, 0.021, -0.1916, -0.1654, -0.1601, -0.2047, -0.2021, -0.1811, -0.2467, -0.1969, -0.2126, -0.2336, -0.1601, -0.2021, -0.2966, -0.3333, -0.3911, -0.3963, -0.3543, -0.3045, -0.3937, -0.4488, -0.4147, -0.4462, -0.3543, -0.4173, -0.3648, -0.3596, -0.3911, -0.3898, -0.378, -0.378, -0.3858, -0.2808, -0.2493, -0.2126, -0.1916, -0.1969, -0.1916, -0.252, -0.1824, -0.1706, -0.2178, -0.2021, -0.2073, -0.1811, -0.2178, -0.1732, -0.0997, -0.1312, -0.168, 0.0131, 0.0, -0.0079, -0.0801, -0.063, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.063, -0.1207, -0.147, -0.1811, -0.147, -0.0984, -0.0184, -0.0735, 0.0236, 0.0866, 0.0656, 0.0709, 0.0079, -0.0236, 0.0315, -0.0341, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0052, -0.0735, 0.0105, 0.0105, 0.0997, 0.1181, 0.2546, 0.2861, 0.4908, 0.5879, 0.5879, 0.5197, 0.5827, 0.643, 0.6378, 0.5407, 0.5827, 0.5669, 0.6457, 0.685, 0.6693, 0.6404, 0.8215, 0.7533, 0.7454, 0.6982, 0.6168, 0.4908, 0.4304, 0.4331, 0.294, 0.3622, 0.315, 0.3675, 0.2782, 0.2467, 0.2493, 0.2388, 0.2861, 0.3963, 0.3675, 0.5879, 0.5118, 0.5617, 0.5486, 0.6745, 0.7428, 0.8688, 0.8346, 0.8425, 1.0052, 1.0052, 1.1837, 1.1286, 0.9423, 0.9738, 1.0262, 1.4199, 1.6903, 1.6168, 1.8478, 1.8478, 2.021, 2.2493, 2.1102, 2.2231, 2.664, 2.7139, 2.7113, 2.0604, 2.0105, 2.3202, 2.3045, 2.3071, 2.6247, 2.8583, 3.0262, 3.1339, 3.6194, 3.7218, 3.4541, 4.3386, 4.4829, 4.5197, 3.9134, 3.9239, 4.2257, 3.7441, 3.2283, 3.5289, 4.4226, 4.3911, 4.2388, 4.1417, 4.0052, 3.895, 4.9738, 4.9081, 5.4856, 4.6982, 4.4304, 4.1575, 3.9003]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1927456970593775906", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-27T20:08:46+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this period of euphoria won't last once investors realize they won't be able to grow the way they forecast without controlling the infra", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV: current euphoria will fade as investors recognize growth constraints from lacking infra control; richly valued now.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JaMarc0 Yes because this period of euphoria won't last once investors realize they won't be able to grow the way they forecast without controlling the infra. So they would use their public currency now while it's so richly valued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred You said investors are enamored with CRWV's asset lite model, so you now suggest they should spend billions to become asset heavy which investors dont want? Huh?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JaMarc0", "ret_m1d": 0.0673267291613584, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0673267291613584, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.061507611194187906, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.061507611194187906, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005819117967170495, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005819117967170495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09126128570699465, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09126128570699465, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09520872798365498, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09520872798365498, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003947442276660329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003947442276660329, "ret_p1w": 0.40421871683898325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.40421871683898325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3902668188936984, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3902668188936984, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013951897945284841, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013951897945284841, "ret_p1m": 0.36099870645144616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.36099870645144616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.31684767455502993, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.31684767455502993, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044151031896416226, "bench_c_p1m": 0.044151031896416226, "ret_p3m": -0.20464919466371978, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20464919466371978, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3010188515077311, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3010188515077311, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09636965684401133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09636965684401133, "ret_p6m": -0.404132602882039, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.404132602882039, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.520756859432509, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.520756859432509, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11662425655047004, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11662425655047004, "ret_p1y": -0.07619456184121753, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.07619456184121753, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.34828131963829534, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.34828131963829534, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2720867577970778, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2720867577970778, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.36099870645144616, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.31684767455502993, "alpha_c_stated": -0.31684767455502993, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.6556, -0.6808, -0.5474, -0.4717, -0.5368, -0.5883, -0.5708, -0.6245, -0.5801, -0.6367, -0.6233, -0.6245, -0.6489, -0.6493, -0.6635, -0.6635, -0.6951, -0.6684, -0.6417, -0.6404, -0.6424, -0.6382, -0.6313, -0.6444, -0.6184, -0.556, -0.5608, -0.5325, -0.5385, -0.5265, -0.5577, -0.4964, -0.4554, -0.4192, -0.4337, -0.3087, -0.2545, -0.2231, -0.0754, -0.1377, -0.1155, -0.1155, 0.0673, 0.0, -0.0913, -0.0417, 0.0349, 0.2956, 0.4042, 0.1627, 0.2067, 0.3956, 0.3336, 0.2889, 0.2826, 0.2672, 0.3646, 0.4802, 0.4636, 0.4636, 0.5805, 0.4953, 0.4862, 0.3732, 0.361, 0.3774, 0.4039, 0.3426, 0.3067, 0.4223, 0.4223, 0.3749, 0.3039, 0.3177, 0.1906, 0.0834, 0.1397, 0.2104, 0.2315, 0.1383, 0.0591, 0.0754, 0.1173, 0.0852, 0.0331, -0.0046, -0.0505, -0.0638, -0.1142, -0.0174, -0.1034, -0.0873, -0.0371, -0.0509, 0.0424, 0.1154, 0.2034, 0.2807, 0.0139, -0.1433, -0.1393, -0.1666, -0.2003, -0.2121, -0.2183, -0.1908, -0.2046, -0.2132, -0.1655, -0.115, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.1964, -0.2262, -0.2468, -0.233, -0.1946, -0.1372, 0.0085, -0.0298, -0.0361, 0.0372, 0.0224, 0.0406, 0.0451, 0.075, 0.1471, 0.1269, 0.1485, 0.0905, 0.0361, 0.0548, 0.1782, 0.1799, 0.1881, 0.1605, 0.1524, 0.1092, 0.2052, 0.2319, 0.1918, 0.2193, 0.1542, 0.1988, 0.2203, 0.1784, 0.0939, 0.0767, 0.0463, 0.0619, 0.1412, 0.1714, 0.1606, 0.2047, 0.1284, 0.1512, 0.0876, -0.0034, -0.0149, -0.0794, -0.1045, -0.0907, -0.239, -0.2645, -0.3255, -0.334, -0.3514, -0.3551, -0.355, -0.4041]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1932098739495395704", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-09T15:33:30+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The fact that the market doesn't believe what I already know to be true is the alpha. Watch and learn.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR as structurally superior AI/HPC play vs APLD which cedes economics in deals; market undervalues CIFR.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The difference between CIFR and APLD is that CIFR doesn’t have to give away a big chunk of its long term economics to get a large AI/HPC deal done. The fact that the market doesn’t believe what I already know to be true is the alpha. Watch and learn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05797096107684119, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05797096107684119, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05707064690094399, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05308643474311858, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004884526333722605, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019323653692280396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019323653692280396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02499357909098643, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024917863536919715, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00559420984463932, "ret_p1w": -0.050724590942236025, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050724590942236025, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05572746022276909, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06537829823037256, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01465370728813653, "ret_p1m": 0.4565218367813997, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4565218367813997, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.41901177365722786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3847781192508315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07174371753056819, "ret_p3m": 0.7874396942068544, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7874396942068544, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.701795489121416, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6891417287355486, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09829796547130587, "ret_p6m": 3.260869555201908, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.260869555201908, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.117859968915005, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.049531142388811, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21133841281309707, "ret_p1y": 5.077294845125244, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.077294845125244, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.811514627885615, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.528562089459578, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5487327556656656, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.4565218367813997, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.41901177365722786, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3847781192508315, "price_path": [-0.2271, -0.2681, -0.2657, -0.2464, -0.3068, -0.2609, -0.2754, -0.2947, -0.2271, -0.2657, -0.3527, -0.3865, -0.4396, -0.4444, -0.4058, -0.3599, -0.442, -0.4928, -0.4614, -0.4903, -0.4058, -0.4638, -0.4155, -0.4106, -0.4396, -0.4384, -0.4275, -0.4275, -0.4348, -0.3382, -0.3092, -0.2754, -0.256, -0.2609, -0.256, -0.3116, -0.2476, -0.2367, -0.2802, -0.2657, -0.2705, -0.2464, -0.2802, -0.2391, -0.1715, -0.2005, -0.2343, -0.0676, -0.0797, -0.087, -0.1534, -0.1377, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1377, -0.1908, -0.215, -0.2464, -0.215, -0.1703, -0.0966, -0.1473, -0.058, 0.0, -0.0193, -0.0145, -0.0725, -0.1014, -0.0507, -0.1111, -0.0797, -0.0797, -0.0845, -0.1473, -0.07, -0.07, 0.0121, 0.029, 0.1546, 0.1836, 0.372, 0.4614, 0.4614, 0.3986, 0.4565, 0.5121, 0.5072, 0.4179, 0.4565, 0.442, 0.5145, 0.5507, 0.5362, 0.5097, 0.6763, 0.6135, 0.6063, 0.5628, 0.4879, 0.372, 0.3164, 0.3188, 0.1908, 0.2536, 0.2101, 0.2585, 0.1763, 0.1473, 0.1498, 0.1401, 0.1836, 0.285, 0.2585, 0.4614, 0.3913, 0.4372, 0.4251, 0.5411, 0.6039, 0.7198, 0.6884, 0.6957, 0.8454, 0.8454, 1.0097, 0.9589, 0.7874, 0.8164, 0.8647, 1.2271, 1.4758, 1.4082, 1.6208, 1.6208, 1.7802, 1.9903, 1.8623, 1.9662, 2.372, 2.4179, 2.4155, 1.8164, 1.7705, 2.0556, 2.0411, 2.0435, 2.3357, 2.5507, 2.7053, 2.8043, 3.2512, 3.3454, 3.099, 3.913, 4.0459, 4.0797, 3.5217, 3.5314, 3.8092, 3.3659, 2.8913, 3.1679, 3.9903, 3.9614, 3.8213, 3.7319, 3.6063, 3.5048, 4.4976, 4.4372, 4.9686, 4.244, 3.9976, 3.7464, 3.5097, 3.1981, 2.6063, 2.4686, 2.4662, 2.5217, 2.5314, 2.5169, 2.4179, 3.0362, 3.2319, 3.6256, 3.6256, 3.9155, 3.756, 3.2609]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1936973576999248142", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-23T02:24:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I warned people to make sure to be long going in to this summer. I could not have been more adamant.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author restates prior adamant long BTC call into summer, implying continued bullish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SageMudir I warned people to make sure to be long going in to this summer. I could not have been more adamant.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Holy Sh**! Global hash rate drops like a rock around the same time nuclear sites were bombed by the US.\n\nCould it be Iran has nuclear powered asics as a way to convert energy into btc under the radar to fund their operations?\n\nExtremely bullish for all pubco miners if true!!!! https://t.co/QdTFEQDyvX", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mudirearningsIQ", "ret_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "ret_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "ret_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "ret_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "ret_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "ret_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08872125927354446, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08872125927354446, "price_path": [-0.1769, -0.1743, -0.201, -0.2181, -0.1933, -0.2187, -0.2129, -0.2059, -0.2495, -0.2776, -0.2179, -0.2458, -0.21, -0.1992, -0.2075, -0.2041, -0.1959, -0.2001, -0.171, -0.1149, -0.1125, -0.1102, -0.1028, -0.1004, -0.107, -0.1077, -0.0861, -0.0821, -0.1026, -0.0831, -0.0809, -0.0221, -0.0247, -0.0262, -0.0133, -0.0193, -0.0174, -0.0198, 0.0003, 0.0115, 0.0388, 0.0577, 0.0162, 0.0366, 0.0324, 0.0211, 0.0006, -0.015, 0.0029, -0.0014, -0.008, -0.0379, -0.0112, 0.0447, 0.0443, 0.0294, 0.0033, 0.0049, 0.0115, -0.0093, -0.0066, -0.0085, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0169, 0.0131, 0.0143, 0.0148, 0.0011, 0.0311, 0.0386, 0.0233, 0.0258, 0.0319, 0.0545, 0.0986, 0.1131, 0.1352, 0.1155, 0.1247, 0.1299, 0.1177, 0.1124, 0.1366, 0.1248, 0.1211, 0.1142, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1161, 0.0964, 0.0733, 0.0899, 0.0811, 0.0895, 0.1129, 0.1052, 0.1246, 0.1382, 0.1683, 0.1211, 0.112, 0.1011, 0.0687, 0.0824, 0.0648, 0.107, 0.0431, 0.059, 0.0535, 0.066, 0.0268, 0.0348, 0.0533, 0.0582, 0.0487, 0.0481, 0.0615, 0.0564, 0.0793, 0.0941, 0.0997, 0.0935, 0.1067, 0.1032, 0.1095, 0.0958, 0.0679, 0.061, 0.0734, 0.0329, 0.0392, 0.0836, 0.0803, 0.1238, 0.1431, 0.1581, 0.1816, 0.1503, 0.1684, 0.1528, 0.0723, 0.0918, 0.0714, 0.0493, 0.0247, 0.0084, 0.0475, 0.0275, 0.02, 0.0425, 0.0517, 0.0809, 0.0699, 0.0424, 0.0258, 0.0377, 0.0092, -0.0378, -0.016, -0.0405, -0.0209, 0.004, -0.0244, -0.0371, -0.0557, -0.1059, -0.1277, -0.1196, -0.1337, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.1639, -0.1727, -0.1426, -0.1354, -0.1388, -0.1824, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1273, -0.1533, -0.1415, -0.1221, -0.1284, -0.1238, -0.145, -0.1815, -0.168]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1937863809462387161", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-25T13:21:50+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$121,000 inbound", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $121K; endorses thesis that recent volatility unlocks the next leg higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$121,000 inbound", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This was the downside volatility we needed to unlock $121,000. It’s pretty obvious now. In life and markets, it’s always easier to predict the ultimate destination than it is to predict the exact path it will take to get there. Don’t be fooled by randomness. The path is higher.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012254187653964133, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012254187653964133, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01169411708710566, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01169411708710566, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005600705668584727, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005600705668584727, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003737454466123835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003737454466123835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011561264194193899, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011561264194193899, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007823809728070064, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007823809728070064, "ret_p1w": 0.013953473818425932, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013953473818425932, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008002715449239695, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008002715449239695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021956189267665627, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021956189267665627, "ret_p1m": 0.1025206150874518, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1025206150874518, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.057554267095177636, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.057554267095177636, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04496634799227417, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04496634799227417, "ret_p3m": 0.050178715392926065, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.050178715392926065, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05123247947239573, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05123247947239573, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1014111948653218, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1014111948653218, "ret_p6m": -0.2039725544036085, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2039725544036085, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3212893467829082, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3212893467829082, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1173167923792997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1173167923792997, "ret_p1y": -0.40813659868139407, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.40813659868139407, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6402515938745452, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6402515938745452, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23211499519315115, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23211499519315115, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1025206150874518, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.057554267095177636, "alpha_c_stated": 0.057554267095177636, "price_path": [-0.2143, -0.2311, -0.2067, -0.2317, -0.226, -0.219, -0.262, -0.2896, -0.2309, -0.2583, -0.2231, -0.2125, -0.2207, -0.2173, -0.2093, -0.2134, -0.1848, -0.1296, -0.1273, -0.125, -0.1177, -0.1153, -0.1218, -0.1225, -0.1012, -0.0973, -0.1175, -0.0983, -0.0962, -0.0384, -0.0409, -0.0424, -0.0297, -0.0356, -0.0337, -0.0361, -0.0163, -0.0053, 0.0216, 0.0402, -0.0007, 0.0194, 0.0152, 0.0041, -0.016, -0.0313, -0.0138, -0.018, -0.0245, -0.0539, -0.0277, 0.0273, 0.027, 0.0123, -0.0133, -0.0118, -0.0053, -0.0257, -0.0231, -0.0249, -0.0377, -0.0166, -0.0123, 0.0, -0.0037, -0.0025, -0.0021, -0.0155, 0.014, 0.0213, 0.0063, 0.0087, 0.0148, 0.0369, 0.0803, 0.0946, 0.1163, 0.097, 0.106, 0.1111, 0.0991, 0.0939, 0.1177, 0.1061, 0.1025, 0.0957, 0.0984, 0.0984, 0.0975, 0.0782, 0.0555, 0.0718, 0.0632, 0.0714, 0.0944, 0.0869, 0.1059, 0.1193, 0.1489, 0.1024, 0.0935, 0.0828, 0.0509, 0.0644, 0.0471, 0.0886, 0.0257, 0.0414, 0.036, 0.0483, 0.0098, 0.0176, 0.0358, 0.0406, 0.0313, 0.0306, 0.0439, 0.0388, 0.0614, 0.0759, 0.0814, 0.0753, 0.0883, 0.0848, 0.0911, 0.0776, 0.0502, 0.0433, 0.0556, 0.0157, 0.0219, 0.0656, 0.0624, 0.1051, 0.1241, 0.1388, 0.162, 0.1312, 0.149, 0.1336, 0.0545, 0.0737, 0.0536, 0.0319, 0.0077, -0.0083, 0.0301, 0.0104, 0.003, 0.0252, 0.0342, 0.0629, 0.0521, 0.0251, 0.0088, 0.0204, -0.0076, -0.0538, -0.0323, -0.0564, -0.0372, -0.0127, -0.0406, -0.0531, -0.0714, -0.1207, -0.1422, -0.1342, -0.1481, -0.1931, -0.2074, -0.1778, -0.1865, -0.1569, -0.1497, -0.1531, -0.196, -0.1491, -0.1288, -0.1418, -0.1674, -0.1557, -0.1366, -0.1429, -0.1383, -0.1592, -0.1951, -0.1818, -0.1976, -0.204]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919123691704930565", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-04T20:15:18+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you get $88-90k remember to be very thankful as you probably don't deserve it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects BTC to reach $88-90k rather than dipping to $86k; implicitly bullish near-term floor.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@K_to_Macro Won’t happen. Sorry bud. If you get $88-90k remember to be very thankful as you probably don’t deserve it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC to 86.000$ would be very welcomed pls I am waiting with open arms", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "K_to_Macro", "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926395251402363385", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-24T21:49:53+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One investor's \"concern\" is another's opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish view on IREN: lack of signed customer is a buying opportunity, not a concern.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GlobalCollapse One investor’s “concern” is another’s opportunity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Thats why I dont understand the concern about $IREN not having a signed customer yet... if I was them I wouldnt sign a customer until they were closer to energization anyway, the prices will only keep going up.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GlobalCollapse", "ret_m1d": -0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007380235015510328, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004291721794335457, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017278722717665618, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04112555452963318, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04112555452963318, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03534010278863697, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03444966183849463, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006675892691138552, "ret_p1w": -0.037878726890169134, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.037878726890169134, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04623521131393671, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04082398713458246, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002945260244413328, "ret_p1m": 0.2846320540679681, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2846320540679681, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2545808323458201, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27174798111093557, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012884072957032533, "ret_p3m": 1.3192641597416905, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3192641597416905, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2244191661252979, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.26382359875544, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0554405609862505, "ret_p6m": 3.9599570309847145, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.9599570309847145, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.832609665371847, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.940773494462083, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019183536522631384, "ret_p1y": 5.320346642044529, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.320346642044529, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.040220402203909, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.297727006731997, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.022619635312532305, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2846320540679681, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2545808323458201, "alpha_c_stated": 0.27174798111093557, "price_path": [-0.1494, -0.1082, -0.1807, -0.184, -0.1277, -0.1753, -0.1667, -0.2835, -0.237, -0.2381, -0.2695, -0.2197, -0.2045, -0.2868, -0.2208, -0.2197, -0.2262, -0.1677, -0.1991, -0.2738, -0.3009, -0.3431, -0.3409, -0.2814, -0.2684, -0.3463, -0.3571, -0.3636, -0.4264, -0.3615, -0.4058, -0.3907, -0.3777, -0.4102, -0.408, -0.395, -0.395, -0.4037, -0.3442, -0.3398, -0.3182, -0.2922, -0.3084, -0.3214, -0.3387, -0.3106, -0.2933, -0.3301, -0.2965, -0.289, -0.2543, -0.2381, -0.1872, -0.1212, -0.1374, -0.1613, -0.0898, -0.0758, -0.0682, -0.0379, 0.0043, -0.013, -0.013, 0.0, -0.0411, -0.0693, -0.092, -0.0552, -0.0379, 0.0206, -0.0314, 0.0552, 0.119, 0.1353, 0.1147, 0.1006, 0.0639, 0.1255, 0.0574, 0.0606, 0.0606, 0.1331, 0.1537, 0.2489, 0.2846, 0.4188, 0.5152, 0.5768, 0.6483, 0.6948, 0.8203, 0.8203, 0.8344, 0.8279, 0.8355, 0.8431, 0.7565, 0.8701, 0.8268, 0.8734, 0.9535, 0.9416, 0.9643, 1.0119, 1.0552, 0.9632, 0.9177, 0.7944, 0.7089, 0.7468, 0.7435, 0.6667, 0.7835, 0.7803, 0.9827, 1.0097, 0.9968, 0.9448, 0.9297, 0.9188, 1.0649, 1.131, 1.2408, 1.0271, 1.1385, 1.1201, 1.3193, 1.5022, 1.4881, 1.4194, 1.4935, 1.8658, 1.8658, 2.1504, 2.053, 1.8279, 1.8301, 1.8344, 2.2673, 2.6396, 2.5552, 2.6753, 3.0195, 2.9448, 3.1017, 2.9307, 3.1818, 3.5346, 3.5206, 4.1017, 4.0097, 3.5303, 3.9708, 4.079, 4.0952, 4.0887, 4.461, 5.25, 5.6753, 5.5032, 5.9102, 5.4686, 5.9416, 6.5281, 6.3571, 5.6916, 5.5714, 5.4091, 4.9735, 4.6093, 5.0455, 5.8074, 6.0335, 5.7554, 5.539, 5.3009, 5.5747, 6.3323, 6.211, 7.2695, 6.2468, 5.7511, 5.5119, 5.21, 5.0281, 4.2652, 4.0184, 4.131, 4.2868, 3.96]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924131358110269658", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T15:53:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It will grow well in excess of GDP because everyone is significantly underallocated", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: will outpace GDP growth as investors are significantly underallocated.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daveweisberger It will grow well in excess of GDP because everyone is significantly underallocated", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Once Secretary Bessent confirmed the complete nonsense of the “Austerity” argument, I don’t understand WHO is selling anymore.  \n\nWe WILL be printing until hyper growth can be achieved and when THAT happens, Bitcoin will grow along with GDP…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daveweisberger", "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1918763859810111995", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-03T20:25:27+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Get 1 Bitcoin while you can still buy one for less than an Escalade. Hurry. This deal won't last.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Urgent call to buy BTC below $100K; argues scarcity (1 of 21M) makes current price a deal that won't last.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s hard to believe you can buy a Bitcoin for less than $100,000. Think about it. 1 out of 21 million total. In contrast, I can’t even buy a Cadillac Escalade for $100,000. Insane. Get 1 Bitcoin while you can still buy one for less than an Escalade. Hurry. This deal won’t last.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1915515331155812682", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-24T21:16:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still see $150-200k", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $150-200k; views price as the dominant driver for miners.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Fernandoo1492 Agree. BTC price is the wildcard but I still see $150-200k and I think that will be more meaningful to miners than any other proxy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Can miners really 5x this year? The next few months will be critical. There are some factors that are pretty significant. One of them is transaction fee revenues which seem to be reduced. The other critical side of this business is energy costs which is quite volatile. Regarding", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Fernandoo1492", "ret_m1d": -0.0026046158249871665, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0026046158249871665, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004568976453071305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004568976453071305, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0071735922780584715, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0071735922780584715, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008267742531563593, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008267742531563593, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007886357407786537, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007886357407786537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000381385123777056, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000381385123777056, "ret_p1w": 0.027128337870897967, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027128337870897967, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0021464829888113712, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0021464829888113712, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02927482085970934, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02927482085970934, "ret_p1m": 0.142042374737688, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.142042374737688, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09033911866640887, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09033911866640887, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.051703256071279124, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051703256071279124, "ret_p3m": 0.27731066929478954, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27731066929478954, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12213705588487045, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12213705588487045, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1551736134099191, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1551736134099191, "ret_p6m": 0.13331366842841375, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13331366842841375, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09280701989923434, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09280701989923434, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2261206883276481, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2261206883276481, "ret_p1y": -0.20713614839191585, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20713614839191585, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.48278070105346815, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.48278070105346815, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2756445526615523, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2756445526615523, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.142042374737688, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09033911866640887, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09033911866640887, "price_path": [0.0867, 0.0787, 0.1039, 0.1149, 0.0901, 0.0794, 0.0418, 0.0284, 0.0282, 0.0275, 0.0372, 0.0192, 0.042, 0.0285, 0.038, 0.0195, 0.017, 0.0287, 0.0467, 0.0232, -0.0269, -0.0554, -0.1022, -0.0984, -0.1019, -0.0839, -0.0715, -0.0353, -0.0424, -0.0767, -0.1641, -0.118, -0.1088, -0.1371, -0.1062, -0.105, -0.1195, -0.0755, -0.1041, -0.1054, -0.0686, -0.0689, -0.075, -0.072, -0.1021, -0.1213, -0.0934, -0.122, -0.1154, -0.1075, -0.1566, -0.1881, -0.121, -0.1524, -0.1122, -0.1001, -0.1094, -0.1055, -0.0963, -0.101, -0.0684, -0.0053, -0.0026, 0.0, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0036, 0.0028, 0.0271, 0.0316, 0.0086, 0.0304, 0.0329, 0.099, 0.0961, 0.0944, 0.1089, 0.1021, 0.1043, 0.1016, 0.1241, 0.1368, 0.1675, 0.1887, 0.142, 0.165, 0.1602, 0.1475, 0.1245, 0.107, 0.1271, 0.1223, 0.1148, 0.0812, 0.1112, 0.174, 0.1737, 0.1569, 0.1276, 0.1293, 0.1368, 0.1134, 0.1164, 0.1143, 0.0997, 0.1238, 0.1288, 0.1428, 0.1386, 0.1399, 0.1404, 0.1251, 0.1588, 0.1672, 0.15, 0.1528, 0.1597, 0.185, 0.2346, 0.2509, 0.2758, 0.2537, 0.2639, 0.2698, 0.2561, 0.2501, 0.2773, 0.2641, 0.26, 0.2522, 0.2553, 0.2552, 0.2543, 0.2322, 0.2063, 0.2249, 0.215, 0.2244, 0.2507, 0.2421, 0.2639, 0.2792, 0.313, 0.2599, 0.2497, 0.2375, 0.201, 0.2164, 0.1967, 0.2441, 0.1722, 0.1901, 0.1839, 0.198, 0.154, 0.1629, 0.1837, 0.1893, 0.1786, 0.1778, 0.193, 0.1872, 0.213, 0.2295, 0.2359, 0.2289, 0.2438, 0.2398, 0.2469, 0.2315, 0.2002, 0.1924, 0.2063, 0.1608, 0.1679, 0.2178, 0.2141, 0.263, 0.2846, 0.3015, 0.3279, 0.2928, 0.3131, 0.2955, 0.2051, 0.227, 0.2041, 0.1792, 0.1516, 0.1333]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1931141142248300871", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-07T00:08:21+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You're about to get your face ripped off 😂🤣🚀", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; implies imminent sharp upside move that will surprise skeptics.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BigCheds You’re about to get your face ripped off 😂🤣🚀", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC looking forward to this exciting summer price action 🤝😂 https://t.co/LaLqSoBhkM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BigCheds", "ret_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "price_path": [-0.2409, -0.265, -0.2387, -0.2377, -0.25, -0.2125, -0.2369, -0.238, -0.2067, -0.2069, -0.2121, -0.2096, -0.2352, -0.2516, -0.2278, -0.2521, -0.2465, -0.2398, -0.2816, -0.3085, -0.2513, -0.2781, -0.2438, -0.2335, -0.2414, -0.2381, -0.2303, -0.2343, -0.2065, -0.1528, -0.1505, -0.1482, -0.1412, -0.1389, -0.1452, -0.1459, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.141, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0678, -0.0555, -0.0612, -0.0594, -0.0617, -0.0425, -0.0318, -0.0056, 0.0125, -0.0273, -0.0077, -0.0118, -0.0226, -0.0422, -0.0571, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.079, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0381, -0.0317, -0.0516, -0.0491, -0.0509, -0.0633, -0.0428, -0.0385, -0.0266, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0286, -0.0417, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0205, -0.0181, -0.0122, 0.0094, 0.0516, 0.0655, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0766, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0648, 0.088, 0.0767, 0.0732, 0.0666, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0683, 0.0495, 0.0274, 0.0433, 0.0349, 0.0429, 0.0653, 0.058, 0.0765, 0.0896, 0.1183, 0.0731, 0.0644, 0.054, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0193, 0.0597, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0084, 0.0204, -0.0171, -0.0095, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0161, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0594, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0156, 0.0275, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0372, 0.0341, 0.0758, 0.0942, 0.1086, 0.1311, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1035, 0.0265, 0.0451, 0.0256, 0.0044, -0.0191, -0.0347, 0.0027, -0.0165, -0.0236, -0.002, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0241, -0.0022, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.034, -0.0789, -0.058, -0.0815, -0.0628, -0.039, -0.0662, -0.0783, -0.0961, -0.1441, -0.165, -0.1573, -0.1707, -0.2145, -0.2285, -0.1997, -0.2081, -0.1793, -0.1723, -0.1757, -0.2174, -0.1718]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1937626128598073347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-24T21:37:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If Bitcoin can break through stiff resistance at $112,000, it might go straight to $146,000 in a single daily candle", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Conditional long BTC: break above $112K resistance could trigger a single-candle run to $146K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If Bitcoin can break through stiff resistance at $112,000, it might go straight to $146,000 in a single daily candle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004411868387142581, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004411868387142581, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038517978202841086, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038517978202841086, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005600705668584727, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005600705668584727, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012406215749838134, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012406215749838134, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004582406021768071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004582406021768071, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007823809728070064, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007823809728070064, "ret_p1w": -0.003275491439747924, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003275491439747924, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02523168070741355, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02523168070741355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021956189267665627, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021956189267665627, "ret_p1m": 0.1198477276991825, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1198477276991825, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07488137970690834, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07488137970690834, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04496634799227417, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04496634799227417, "ret_p3m": 0.09093468827283302, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09093468827283302, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.010476506592488777, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.010476506592488777, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1014111948653218, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1014111948653218, "ret_p6m": -0.18767274495111586, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18767274495111586, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30498953733041556, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30498953733041556, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1173167923792997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1173167923792997, "ret_p1y": -0.4006254382970892, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4006254382970892, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6327404334902403, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6327404334902403, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23211499519315115, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23211499519315115, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003275491439747924, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02523168070741355, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02523168070741355, "price_path": [-0.1779, -0.2046, -0.2216, -0.1969, -0.2222, -0.2163, -0.2094, -0.2528, -0.2808, -0.2213, -0.2491, -0.2135, -0.2028, -0.211, -0.2076, -0.1994, -0.2036, -0.1747, -0.1189, -0.1164, -0.1141, -0.1068, -0.1044, -0.1109, -0.1116, -0.0901, -0.0861, -0.1065, -0.0872, -0.085, -0.0264, -0.029, -0.0305, -0.0177, -0.0236, -0.0217, -0.0241, -0.0041, 0.007, 0.0343, 0.0531, 0.0117, 0.032, 0.0278, 0.0166, -0.0038, -0.0193, -0.0015, -0.0058, -0.0124, -0.0421, -0.0156, 0.0401, 0.0397, 0.0249, -0.0011, 0.0004, 0.0071, -0.0136, -0.011, -0.0128, -0.0258, -0.0044, 0.0, 0.0124, 0.0086, 0.0098, 0.0103, -0.0033, 0.0265, 0.034, 0.0188, 0.0213, 0.0274, 0.0498, 0.0937, 0.1082, 0.1302, 0.1106, 0.1197, 0.1249, 0.1128, 0.1074, 0.1315, 0.1198, 0.1162, 0.1093, 0.112, 0.112, 0.1111, 0.0916, 0.0686, 0.0851, 0.0763, 0.0847, 0.108, 0.1004, 0.1196, 0.1332, 0.1631, 0.1161, 0.1071, 0.0962, 0.064, 0.0776, 0.0601, 0.1021, 0.0385, 0.0543, 0.0488, 0.0613, 0.0223, 0.0302, 0.0486, 0.0535, 0.0441, 0.0434, 0.0568, 0.0517, 0.0746, 0.0892, 0.0948, 0.0886, 0.1018, 0.0983, 0.1046, 0.0909, 0.0632, 0.0563, 0.0687, 0.0283, 0.0346, 0.0788, 0.0755, 0.1188, 0.138, 0.153, 0.1764, 0.1453, 0.1632, 0.1477, 0.0676, 0.087, 0.0667, 0.0447, 0.0202, 0.004, 0.0428, 0.0229, 0.0155, 0.0379, 0.047, 0.0761, 0.0652, 0.0378, 0.0213, 0.0331, 0.0047, -0.042, -0.0203, -0.0447, -0.0252, -0.0005, -0.0287, -0.0413, -0.0599, -0.1098, -0.1316, -0.1235, -0.1375, -0.1831, -0.1976, -0.1676, -0.1764, -0.1464, -0.1392, -0.1426, -0.186, -0.1386, -0.118, -0.1311, -0.1571, -0.1453, -0.1259, -0.1323, -0.1276, -0.1488, -0.1851, -0.1716, -0.1877]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1923061228693291260", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-15T17:01:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When Bitcoin breaks $150,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC above $150K; expects AI co-location sector to explode with multiple 5-10x opportunities once catalyst hits.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Bitcoin breaks $150,000 and several large scale AI co-location deals are announced, this entire sector is going to explode higher. It's a spring loaded powder keg and it's just waiting for someone to light the match. I see several 5-10x opportunities hiding in plain sight.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0019781895359956003, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0019781895359956003, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028824596253458346, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028824596253458346, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0024613470244020386, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0024613470244020386, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008795285466801306, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008795285466801306, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "ret_p1w": 0.07642458036612432, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07642458036612432, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0889063961713159, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0889063961713159, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "ret_p1m": 0.022616379129223096, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022616379129223096, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01154045132385706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01154045132385706, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "ret_p3m": 0.15835290889273357, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15835290889273357, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06667888538844968, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06667888538844968, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "ret_p6m": -0.0035879865481003304, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0035879865481003304, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1464582622476429, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1464582622476429, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "ret_p1y": -0.23053464960614678, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23053464960614678, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4604924121687287, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4604924121687287, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.022616379129223096, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01154045132385706, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01154045132385706, "price_path": [-0.0768, -0.0791, -0.0685, -0.0522, -0.0734, -0.1188, -0.1447, -0.187, -0.1835, -0.1867, -0.1704, -0.1593, -0.1265, -0.1329, -0.1639, -0.243, -0.2013, -0.193, -0.2186, -0.1906, -0.1896, -0.2027, -0.1628, -0.1887, -0.1899, -0.1566, -0.1569, -0.1624, -0.1597, -0.1869, -0.2043, -0.179, -0.2049, -0.199, -0.1918, -0.2362, -0.2648, -0.2041, -0.2325, -0.1961, -0.1851, -0.1935, -0.19, -0.1817, -0.186, -0.1564, -0.0993, -0.0968, -0.0945, -0.087, -0.0845, -0.0912, -0.0919, -0.0699, -0.0659, -0.0867, -0.0669, -0.0647, -0.0049, -0.0075, -0.009, 0.0041, -0.002, 0.0, -0.0025, 0.0179, 0.0294, 0.0572, 0.0764, 0.0342, 0.0549, 0.0506, 0.0391, 0.0183, 0.0024, 0.0206, 0.0163, 0.0095, -0.0209, 0.0062, 0.0631, 0.0628, 0.0476, 0.0211, 0.0226, 0.0294, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0091, -0.0042, 0.0177, 0.0222, 0.0349, 0.031, 0.0322, 0.0327, 0.0188, 0.0493, 0.0569, 0.0413, 0.0439, 0.0502, 0.0731, 0.118, 0.1328, 0.1552, 0.1353, 0.1445, 0.1498, 0.1374, 0.132, 0.1566, 0.1447, 0.141, 0.1339, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1358, 0.1158, 0.0923, 0.1092, 0.1002, 0.1088, 0.1326, 0.1248, 0.1445, 0.1584, 0.1889, 0.1409, 0.1316, 0.1206, 0.0876, 0.1015, 0.0836, 0.1266, 0.0615, 0.0777, 0.0721, 0.0848, 0.045, 0.0531, 0.0719, 0.0769, 0.0673, 0.0666, 0.0803, 0.075, 0.0984, 0.1134, 0.1191, 0.1128, 0.1263, 0.1226, 0.1291, 0.1151, 0.0868, 0.0797, 0.0924, 0.0511, 0.0575, 0.1027, 0.0994, 0.1437, 0.1633, 0.1785, 0.2025, 0.1707, 0.189, 0.1731, 0.0913, 0.1111, 0.0904, 0.0678, 0.0428, 0.0262, 0.066, 0.0456, 0.038, 0.061, 0.0703, 0.1, 0.0888, 0.0608, 0.044, 0.056, 0.027, -0.0208, 0.0014, -0.0236, -0.0036]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1923061228693291260", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-05-15T17:01:40+00:00", "symbol": "AI data center", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this entire sector is going to explode higher. It's a spring loaded powder keg and it's just waiting for someone to light the match. I see several 5-10x opportunities hiding in plain sight", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC above $150K; expects AI co-location sector to explode with multiple 5-10x opportunities once catalyst hits.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQIX", "DLR", "VRT", "SMCI", "CORZ"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US AI data center sector basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "REIT - Specialty", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Bitcoin breaks $150,000 and several large scale AI co-location deals are announced, this entire sector is going to explode higher. It's a spring loaded powder keg and it's just waiting for someone to light the match. I see several 5-10x opportunities hiding in plain sight.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004518580531683436, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004518580531683436, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009379229693024871, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009379229693024871, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004860649161341435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02104981008601725, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02104981008601725, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014715871643617984, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014715871643617984, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006333938442399267, "ret_p1w": -0.007065148124748233, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007065148124748233, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0054166676804433544, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0054166676804433544, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012481815805191587, "ret_p1m": 0.042326393883827085, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042326393883827085, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03125046607846105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03125046607846105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011075927805366037, "ret_p3m": 0.1573466618175212, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1573466618175212, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0656726383132373, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0656726383132373, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09167402350428389, "ret_p6m": 0.30429963173049196, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30429963173049196, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16142935603094938, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16142935603094938, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14287027569954258, "ret_p1y": 0.6565845479700396, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.6565845479700396, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4266267854074577, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4266267854074577, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22995776256258194, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.042326393883827085, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03125046607846105, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03125046607846105, "price_path": [0.0694, 0.1078, 0.1234, 0.1129, 0.0492, -0.0076, -0.0378, 0.0086, -0.0296, -0.0251, -0.0873, -0.0817, -0.0754, -0.1499, -0.1421, -0.168, -0.1257, -0.098, -0.135, -0.1043, -0.0948, -0.1431, -0.1058, -0.1127, -0.1064, -0.0733, -0.102, -0.1616, -0.1841, -0.2063, -0.2106, -0.183, -0.1648, -0.2358, -0.2743, -0.2598, -0.2796, -0.1942, -0.2411, -0.2304, -0.224, -0.2234, -0.2373, -0.2296, -0.2296, -0.2632, -0.233, -0.1994, -0.1629, -0.1271, -0.1242, -0.1279, -0.149, -0.121, -0.1019, -0.1048, -0.1012, -0.1011, -0.0951, -0.1007, -0.0691, -0.0298, 0.0045, 0.0, 0.021, 0.0181, 0.0091, -0.0101, -0.0071, -0.0161, -0.0161, 0.0189, 0.0096, 0.0076, 0.0001, 0.0151, 0.0488, 0.0752, 0.0461, 0.0628, 0.0716, 0.0663, 0.0564, 0.0639, 0.0423, 0.067, 0.0607, 0.0724, 0.0724, 0.0722, 0.0425, 0.0829, 0.0749, 0.1469, 0.1624, 0.1853, 0.1656, 0.1829, 0.1958, 0.1958, 0.1224, 0.1122, 0.1096, 0.0897, 0.0738, 0.1025, 0.1272, 0.1302, 0.1372, 0.1286, 0.122, 0.1221, 0.1388, 0.1471, 0.17, 0.2003, 0.1907, 0.196, 0.1962, 0.1529, 0.1789, 0.1791, 0.1294, 0.1363, 0.1267, 0.1302, 0.1573, 0.1181, 0.1011, 0.1094, 0.1193, 0.0941, 0.0835, 0.0719, 0.0806, 0.0798, 0.0958, 0.1075, 0.1137, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.063, 0.0509, 0.0576, 0.0549, 0.0506, 0.0889, 0.1545, 0.1492, 0.1547, 0.1758, 0.1637, 0.1623, 0.1877, 0.19, 0.2259, 0.206, 0.195, 0.186, 0.184, 0.2008, 0.2377, 0.275, 0.2805, 0.2746, 0.2966, 0.273, 0.3165, 0.3281, 0.3043, 0.35, 0.3331, 0.3712, 0.3568, 0.3281, 0.3436, 0.3465, 0.3052, 0.3157, 0.3536, 0.391, 0.3832, 0.4015, 0.3925, 0.4159, 0.4323, 0.3697, 0.3613, 0.3175, 0.3043]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1936148868787499146", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-20T19:47:16+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm thinking a quick 3-4x for a handful of the best names", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on select Bitcoin miners; expects 3-4x gains for the best names.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI Bitcoin miner ETF; AI optionality context fits", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AlemzadehC I’m thinking a quick 3-4x for a handful of the best names", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "And now Bitcoin miners look ready for a quick double and yet all I hear about are other proxies…bullish $CIFR 1hr https://t.co/OI4LMGx8tl", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AlemzadehC", "ret_m1d": 0.006458602783969258, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006458602783969258, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004104600216362941, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004104600216362941, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002354002567606317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026372431277191688, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026372431277191688, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03624981317441456, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03624981317441456, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00987738189722287, "ret_p1w": 0.1684606659644312, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1684606659644312, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1337464749395476, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1337464749395476, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0347141910248836, "ret_p1m": 0.42518835581106407, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42518835581106407, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36715179270673404, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.36715179270673404, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05803656310433003, "ret_p3m": 1.2147471310468623, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2147471310468623, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1055394389444584, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1055394389444584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10920769210240389, "ret_p6m": 1.041442436002448, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.041442436002448, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8927965560157689, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8927965560157689, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "bench_c_p6m": 0.148645879986679, "ret_p1y": 2.397739576283218, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.397739576283218, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.1469793722911232, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.1469793722911232, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2507602039920951, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.42518835581106407, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.36715179270673404, "alpha_c_stated": 0.36715179270673404, "price_path": [-0.1577, -0.2293, -0.2443, -0.2933, -0.3127, -0.2643, -0.2336, -0.3138, -0.3369, -0.3321, -0.3816, -0.2971, -0.3536, -0.3262, -0.3165, -0.3552, -0.359, -0.352, -0.352, -0.3681, -0.2949, -0.2729, -0.2433, -0.2164, -0.2287, -0.2363, -0.2637, -0.2147, -0.1943, -0.2325, -0.2174, -0.2147, -0.1642, -0.1631, -0.1206, -0.0743, -0.0877, -0.1082, -0.0312, -0.0242, -0.0318, -0.0447, -0.0253, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.0183, -0.0705, -0.0904, -0.1136, -0.0743, -0.0355, 0.0328, -0.0205, 0.0533, 0.085, 0.0915, 0.0764, 0.0554, 0.0151, 0.0603, 0.0054, 0.0065, 0.0065, 0.0, -0.0264, 0.0452, 0.0484, 0.1572, 0.1685, 0.2239, 0.2427, 0.3536, 0.401, 0.401, 0.3396, 0.3402, 0.3584, 0.3719, 0.3337, 0.3762, 0.3482, 0.4085, 0.444, 0.4397, 0.4252, 0.4833, 0.4715, 0.4591, 0.4295, 0.4064, 0.3407, 0.3299, 0.3595, 0.2605, 0.3364, 0.3375, 0.3848, 0.3654, 0.3434, 0.3488, 0.3676, 0.3724, 0.4516, 0.437, 0.5226, 0.4316, 0.4677, 0.4467, 0.5226, 0.5398, 0.5818, 0.5775, 0.5969, 0.648, 0.648, 0.7029, 0.6523, 0.57, 0.585, 0.598, 0.7831, 0.9101, 0.9198, 1.0086, 1.0845, 1.1453, 1.2147, 1.2121, 1.2368, 1.3665, 1.3089, 1.422, 1.2691, 1.1857, 1.3794, 1.3811, 1.4257, 1.5022, 1.5936, 1.8143, 1.873, 1.9806, 2.0985, 1.9785, 2.2756, 2.4333, 2.5468, 2.1932, 2.134, 2.2169, 2.0145, 1.7621, 1.9074, 2.2094, 2.2745, 2.2013, 2.1566, 2.0522, 2.0888, 2.3079, 2.1453, 2.3466, 2.0436, 1.965, 1.8837, 1.6938, 1.5689, 1.2589, 1.1819, 1.2024, 1.2513, 1.1744, 1.0861, 1.0474, 1.3208, 1.3493, 1.4822, 1.4822, 1.6066, 1.5436, 1.3509, 1.4473, 1.5452, 1.4505, 1.4989, 1.5527, 1.4709, 1.4941, 1.3003, 1.0414]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1905688629151985723", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-28T18:29:09+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Holding Bitcoin from $3500 until now has been my strategy. Good point. Not selling.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding BTC long from $3500, not selling; reaffirms conviction against bearish cycle comparison.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheSwingTraderr Correct. Holding Bitcoin from $3500 until now has been my strategy. Good point. Not selling. I’m not a penny flipper.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred On December 17, 2017 Bitcoin topped at $19,666.\n\nApril 6, 2018, Bitcoin bottomed at $6510\n\nIt rallied in April/May, nearly hitting $10,000 in May\n\nIn May, Bitcoin put a lower high and crashed to $3122.\n\nHope isn't a strategy.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheSwingTraderr", "ret_m1d": 0.03347774418986105, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03347774418986105, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01292542204401026, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01292542204401026, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020552322145850788, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020552322145850788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02138905788841794, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02138905788841794, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028101859261342677, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028101859261342677, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006712801372924737, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006712801372924737, "ret_p1w": -0.0060382304565358424, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0060382304565358424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08462858636123427, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08462858636123427, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09066681681777011, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09066681681777011, "ret_p1m": 0.1259656783335461, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1259656783335461, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13462175578300017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13462175578300017, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00865607744945407, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00865607744945407, "ret_p3m": 0.27275934332252527, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27275934332252527, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17691849547226468, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17691849547226468, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09584084785026059, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09584084785026059, "ret_p6m": 0.3366247721747937, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3366247721747937, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1296533945618108, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1296533945618108, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2069713776129829, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2069713776129829, "ret_p1y": -0.12365480208161317, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.12365480208161317, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3413630974733889, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3413630974733889, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21770829539177572, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21770829539177572, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1259656783335461, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13462175578300017, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13462175578300017, "price_path": [0.1076, 0.1193, 0.1486, 0.1631, 0.2101, 0.149, 0.1267, 0.0964, 0.1227, 0.1205, 0.1444, 0.1915, 0.1826, 0.2384, 0.2094, 0.2584, 0.2288, 0.2324, 0.2426, 0.2102, 0.2013, 0.2294, 0.2416, 0.214, 0.2022, 0.1603, 0.1454, 0.1451, 0.1443, 0.1551, 0.1351, 0.1604, 0.1455, 0.156, 0.1354, 0.1326, 0.1456, 0.1657, 0.1396, 0.0838, 0.052, -0.0001, 0.0042, 0.0002, 0.0203, 0.034, 0.0743, 0.0665, 0.0283, -0.069, -0.0177, -0.0075, -0.039, -0.0046, -0.0033, -0.0194, 0.0297, -0.0022, -0.0037, 0.0373, 0.037, 0.0302, 0.0335, 0.0, -0.0214, 0.0097, -0.0221, -0.0148, -0.006, -0.0607, -0.0958, -0.0211, -0.056, -0.0112, 0.0022, -0.0081, -0.0038, 0.0064, 0.0012, 0.0375, 0.1077, 0.1108, 0.1137, 0.1229, 0.126, 0.1177, 0.1168, 0.1439, 0.1489, 0.1232, 0.1476, 0.1503, 0.2239, 0.2207, 0.2188, 0.2349, 0.2275, 0.2299, 0.2269, 0.252, 0.266, 0.3002, 0.3239, 0.2719, 0.2974, 0.2921, 0.278, 0.2524, 0.2329, 0.2552, 0.2499, 0.2416, 0.2042, 0.2375, 0.3075, 0.3071, 0.2885, 0.2558, 0.2577, 0.2661, 0.24, 0.2434, 0.241, 0.2247, 0.2516, 0.2572, 0.2728, 0.268, 0.2695, 0.2701, 0.253, 0.2905, 0.2999, 0.2807, 0.2839, 0.2916, 0.3198, 0.375, 0.3932, 0.4208, 0.3962, 0.4076, 0.4142, 0.3989, 0.3922, 0.4225, 0.4078, 0.4032, 0.3946, 0.398, 0.398, 0.3969, 0.3723, 0.3434, 0.3642, 0.3531, 0.3636, 0.3929, 0.3833, 0.4076, 0.4246, 0.4622, 0.4031, 0.3917, 0.3782, 0.3376, 0.3547, 0.3327, 0.3855, 0.3055, 0.3254, 0.3185, 0.3342, 0.2852, 0.2952, 0.3183, 0.3245, 0.3126, 0.3118, 0.3286, 0.3222, 0.3509, 0.3693, 0.3764, 0.3686, 0.3852, 0.3807, 0.3887, 0.3715, 0.3366]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1910545538107519401", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-11T04:08:47+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is firming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Dollar tanking, yields spiking but equities and Bitcoin firming on expectations of trade deals and monetary intervention.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Dollar tanking and yields spiking but equity futures have gone green and Bitcoin is firming. The market smells trade deals and monetary intervention.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0453054702407375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0453054702407375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027775364297585647, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027775364297585647, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017530105943151852, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017530105943151852, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013638953601592618, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013638953601592618, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0039374477422271514, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0039374477422271514, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009701505859365467, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009701505859365467, "ret_p1w": 0.012540864546317199, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012540864546317199, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02664382069340565, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02664382069340565, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014102956147088452, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014102956147088452, "ret_p1m": 0.23269774431357448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23269774431357448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14083366925916785, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14083366925916785, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09186407505440664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09186407505440664, "ret_p3m": 0.3347733789791678, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3347733789791678, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16253525136098879, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16253525136098879, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.17223812761817903, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17223812761817903, "ret_p6m": 0.49574697735133944, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.49574697735133944, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23069307842217746, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23069307842217746, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.265053898929162, "bench_c_p6m": 0.265053898929162, "ret_p1y": -0.18190220347497466, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18190220347497466, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4138667479787723, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4138667479787723, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23196454450379766, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23196454450379766, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.013638953601592618, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0039374477422271514, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0039374477422271514, "price_path": [0.1574, 0.205, 0.1961, 0.2525, 0.2232, 0.2727, 0.2428, 0.2465, 0.2568, 0.224, 0.2149, 0.2434, 0.2557, 0.2278, 0.2158, 0.1735, 0.1584, 0.1581, 0.1574, 0.1682, 0.148, 0.1736, 0.1585, 0.1691, 0.1483, 0.1455, 0.1586, 0.179, 0.1525, 0.0961, 0.0639, 0.0113, 0.0156, 0.0116, 0.0319, 0.0458, 0.0866, 0.0786, 0.04, -0.0584, -0.0065, 0.0038, -0.028, 0.0068, 0.008, -0.0082, 0.0414, 0.0091, 0.0077, 0.0491, 0.0488, 0.0419, 0.0452, 0.0114, -0.0103, 0.0212, -0.011, -0.0036, 0.0053, -0.05, -0.0855, -0.01, -0.0453, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0032, 0.0075, 0.0179, 0.0125, 0.0493, 0.1203, 0.1234, 0.1264, 0.1357, 0.1388, 0.1304, 0.1295, 0.1569, 0.1619, 0.136, 0.1606, 0.1634, 0.2378, 0.2346, 0.2327, 0.249, 0.2414, 0.2439, 0.2408, 0.2662, 0.2804, 0.315, 0.3389, 0.2863, 0.3122, 0.3068, 0.2925, 0.2666, 0.2469, 0.2695, 0.2641, 0.2557, 0.2179, 0.2516, 0.3224, 0.322, 0.3031, 0.2701, 0.272, 0.2805, 0.2541, 0.2575, 0.2551, 0.2387, 0.2658, 0.2715, 0.2872, 0.2824, 0.284, 0.2845, 0.2673, 0.3052, 0.3146, 0.2953, 0.2985, 0.3063, 0.3348, 0.3907, 0.409, 0.437, 0.4121, 0.4236, 0.4303, 0.4148, 0.4081, 0.4387, 0.4238, 0.4192, 0.4104, 0.4139, 0.4139, 0.4128, 0.3879, 0.3587, 0.3797, 0.3685, 0.3792, 0.4088, 0.3991, 0.4236, 0.4408, 0.4789, 0.4191, 0.4076, 0.3938, 0.3528, 0.3701, 0.3479, 0.4013, 0.3204, 0.3405, 0.3335, 0.3494, 0.2998, 0.3099, 0.3333, 0.3395, 0.3275, 0.3267, 0.3437, 0.3372, 0.3663, 0.3849, 0.392, 0.3842, 0.4009, 0.3964, 0.4044, 0.3871, 0.3518, 0.343, 0.3588, 0.3075, 0.3154, 0.3716, 0.3675, 0.4226, 0.4469, 0.4659, 0.4957]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1914067458371232124", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-20T21:23:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Got Bitcoin? BIGGEST. BULL. RUN. EVER!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC on global liquidity expansion (QE, China/US printing, M2 surge) setting up biggest bull run ever.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "QT ending. QE starting.\n\nPowell fired. Rate cut.\n\nGlobal M2 ripping.\n\nChina printing.\n\nU.S. about to print.\n\nEverything is lining up.\n\nBIGGEST. BULL. RUN. EVER!\n\nLOADING. \n\nGot Bitcoin?\n\n████████▒▒▒", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03505644316138834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05943947509808034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06767662701452015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04165892592760123, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08523693987549108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01329385218516288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06653188606630178, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36301799075556884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1372518374523406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29250545864197197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.003573750304384893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1873372003549233, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.517919346484493, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2202059019390452, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06653188606630178, "price_path": [0.1844, 0.1879, 0.1977, 0.1665, 0.1578, 0.1849, 0.1967, 0.1701, 0.1587, 0.1183, 0.1039, 0.1037, 0.103, 0.1133, 0.094, 0.1185, 0.104, 0.1141, 0.0943, 0.0916, 0.1042, 0.1236, 0.0983, 0.0446, 0.0139, -0.0362, -0.0322, -0.0359, -0.0166, -0.0034, 0.0355, 0.0279, -0.0089, -0.1027, -0.0532, -0.0434, -0.0737, -0.0406, -0.0393, -0.0548, -0.0076, -0.0383, -0.0397, -0.0002, -0.0005, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0362, -0.0568, -0.0268, -0.0575, -0.0505, -0.042, -0.0946, -0.1285, -0.0565, -0.0902, -0.047, -0.034, -0.044, -0.0398, -0.03, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0677, 0.0706, 0.0734, 0.0823, 0.0852, 0.0773, 0.0764, 0.1025, 0.1073, 0.0826, 0.1061, 0.1087, 0.1796, 0.1766, 0.1748, 0.1903, 0.1831, 0.1854, 0.1825, 0.2067, 0.2202, 0.2532, 0.276, 0.2259, 0.2505, 0.2454, 0.2318, 0.2071, 0.1883, 0.2098, 0.2047, 0.1967, 0.1606, 0.1928, 0.2602, 0.2598, 0.2419, 0.2104, 0.2122, 0.2203, 0.1952, 0.1984, 0.1961, 0.1804, 0.2063, 0.2117, 0.2267, 0.2221, 0.2236, 0.2241, 0.2077, 0.2438, 0.2528, 0.2344, 0.2374, 0.2449, 0.272, 0.3253, 0.3428, 0.3694, 0.3457, 0.3567, 0.363, 0.3483, 0.3419, 0.3711, 0.3569, 0.3525, 0.3441, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.3464, 0.3227, 0.2948, 0.3148, 0.3042, 0.3143, 0.3425, 0.3333, 0.3566, 0.3731, 0.4093, 0.3524, 0.3414, 0.3283, 0.2892, 0.3057, 0.2845, 0.3354, 0.2583, 0.2775, 0.2708, 0.2859, 0.2387, 0.2483, 0.2706, 0.2766, 0.2651, 0.2643, 0.2805, 0.2744, 0.3021, 0.3198, 0.3266, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3308, 0.3384, 0.3219, 0.2883, 0.2799, 0.2949, 0.246, 0.2536, 0.3072, 0.3032, 0.3557, 0.3789, 0.397, 0.4254, 0.3877, 0.4095, 0.3906, 0.2936, 0.3171, 0.2925]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1916160144569995592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-26T15:59:13+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If the stock is undervalued, it will go up. Give it a little more time.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CLSK; dismisses TA noise, says undervalued stock will go up given time.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@teorexinvesting Focus on what matters. A lot of this stuff is arbitrary. If the stock is undervalued, it will go up. Give it a little more time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CLSK coitus interruptus..\nI hoped we could do somewhat better, we closed 1 cent under the 200 SMA on the weekly.\nOn the daily things look a little merrier, closinng above 8.95ish is surely a strong achievement.\nWe'll need confirmation from next week price action though.. no https://t.co/9bJPzcVXGm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "teorexinvesting", "ret_m1d": 0.0513419544604361, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0513419544604361, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.051723194185053556, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.054455969586274966, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003812397246174548, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003114015125838865, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015169208759649111, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015169208759649111, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02146837216710762, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025549097785184882, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006299163407458508, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010379889025535771, "ret_p1w": -0.05600928346896206, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05600928346896206, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07899175790241708, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08237419191018724, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022982474433455025, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026364908441225188, "ret_p1m": 0.15052508842352852, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15052508842352852, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07736548864321602, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09322798479894367, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0731595997803125, "bench_c_p1m": 0.057297103624584844, "ret_p3m": 0.4399067201881621, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4399067201881621, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2847911415172719, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33440794839594723, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1551155786708902, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1054987717922149, "ret_p6m": 1.1901984978015414, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1901984978015414, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9645635701752908, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0881663061688482, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2256349276262506, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10203219163269317, "ret_p1y": 0.31388572110244306, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.31388572110244306, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.028665260495641665, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.21412232459952674, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2852204606068014, "bench_c_p1y": 0.09976339650291632, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15052508842352852, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07736548864321602, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09322798479894367, "price_path": [0.1972, 0.28, 0.2182, 0.2357, 0.2649, 0.203, 0.2112, 0.3221, 0.3046, 0.1995, 0.2275, 0.245, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.1762, 0.154, 0.1739, 0.0793, 0.0385, -0.049, -0.0805, -0.1237, -0.0677, -0.091, -0.0945, -0.0023, -0.049, 0.0303, -0.0688, -0.0362, -0.0548, -0.1027, -0.07, -0.0525, -0.1144, -0.0653, -0.0957, -0.1319, 0.0257, 0.0187, -0.0525, -0.0846, -0.161, -0.2159, -0.1179, -0.0642, -0.1354, -0.1459, -0.133, -0.2135, -0.1097, -0.168, -0.1249, -0.0922, -0.1505, -0.1505, -0.1237, -0.1237, -0.1284, 0.0233, 0.035, 0.0338, 0.0513, 0.0, -0.0152, -0.0467, 0.0117, 0.028, -0.056, -0.056, -0.063, 0.0128, 0.0735, 0.1225, 0.1669, 0.1214, 0.0922, 0.1412, 0.1482, 0.1319, 0.1797, 0.1517, 0.0922, 0.0922, 0.1505, 0.063, 0.0245, 0.007, 0.0047, 0.0747, 0.112, 0.0525, 0.1424, 0.1809, 0.182, 0.1634, 0.133, 0.0852, 0.1225, 0.0385, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.0502, 0.0327, 0.1715, 0.2369, 0.2614, 0.245, 0.287, 0.2929, 0.4562, 0.4294, 0.4294, 0.3221, 0.3536, 0.4551, 0.5053, 0.4761, 0.4702, 0.4224, 0.4667, 0.5146, 0.4912, 0.4457, 0.4982, 0.4527, 0.4399, 0.3792, 0.4037, 0.3687, 0.3326, 0.3267, 0.2182, 0.2392, 0.2637, 0.2835, 0.2509, 0.175, 0.1517, 0.1575, 0.1634, 0.161, 0.1377, 0.1482, 0.0922, 0.1074, 0.0887, 0.1459, 0.1027, 0.1295, 0.1179, 0.1144, 0.105, 0.105, 0.1249, 0.1015, 0.0595, 0.0782, 0.07, 0.1284, 0.1704, 0.1902, 0.2077, 0.2007, 0.3069, 0.3349, 0.5706, 0.5893, 0.6033, 0.6231, 0.6861, 0.5963, 0.5123, 0.7351, 0.6919, 0.7025, 0.7666, 0.86, 1.0338, 1.0957, 1.2147, 1.3442, 1.2497, 1.3384, 1.5648, 1.7071, 1.3326, 1.2783, 1.3804, 1.1902]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1937629914687324210", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-24T21:52:25+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's not a pump if it sustains for decades. This is not a fad stock or a meme stock. It's a heavy duty infrastructure developer.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish IREN as a durable infrastructure play, not a meme stock, expected to sustain for decades.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives It’s not a pump if it sustains for decades \n\nThis is not a fad stock or a meme stock\n\nIt’s a heavy duty infrastructure developer \n\nYou might want to get up to speed quickly", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Next retail name to pump according to Fintwit?\n\n$IREN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": -0.027801173284553227, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027801173284553227, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027241102717694754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03110796328093335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005600705668584727, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033067899963801217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10446501963548749, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10446501963548749, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09664120990741742, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09707349551906885, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007823809728070064, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007391524116418635, "ret_p1w": 0.3192923334787814, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3192923334787814, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29733614421111576, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.29575598214824383, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021956189267665627, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023536351330537553, "ret_p1m": 0.5282223727497564, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5282223727497564, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4832560247574822, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4959329443804461, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04496634799227417, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03228942836931026, "ret_p3m": 2.529907491983552, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.529907491983552, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.42849629711823, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.476070352671874, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1014111948653218, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05383713931167766, "ret_p6m": 2.016006704483161, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.016006704483161, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8986899121038614, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.9516311500736405, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1173167923792997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06437555440952059, "ret_p1y": 4.0353834064041765, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.0353834064041765, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.8032684112110253, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.9854187318792995, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23211499519315115, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04996467452487696, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 4.0353834064041765, "alpha_spy_stated": 3.8032684112110253, "alpha_c_stated": 3.9854187318792995, "price_path": [-0.4886, -0.4869, -0.4406, -0.4305, -0.4912, -0.4996, -0.5046, -0.5535, -0.5029, -0.5375, -0.5257, -0.5156, -0.5409, -0.5392, -0.5291, -0.5291, -0.5358, -0.4895, -0.4861, -0.4693, -0.449, -0.4617, -0.4718, -0.4853, -0.4634, -0.4499, -0.4785, -0.4524, -0.4465, -0.4195, -0.4069, -0.3673, -0.3159, -0.3286, -0.3471, -0.2915, -0.2805, -0.2746, -0.2511, -0.2182, -0.2317, -0.2317, -0.2216, -0.2536, -0.2755, -0.2932, -0.2645, -0.2511, -0.2056, -0.246, -0.1786, -0.1289, -0.1163, -0.1323, -0.1432, -0.1719, -0.1238, -0.1769, -0.1744, -0.1744, -0.1179, -0.1019, -0.0278, 0.0, 0.1045, 0.1794, 0.2275, 0.2831, 0.3193, 0.417, 0.417, 0.428, 0.4229, 0.4288, 0.4347, 0.3673, 0.4558, 0.4221, 0.4583, 0.5206, 0.5114, 0.5291, 0.5661, 0.5998, 0.5282, 0.4928, 0.3968, 0.3302, 0.3597, 0.3572, 0.2974, 0.3884, 0.3858, 0.5434, 0.5644, 0.5543, 0.5139, 0.5021, 0.4937, 0.6074, 0.6588, 0.7443, 0.5779, 0.6647, 0.6504, 0.8054, 0.9478, 0.9368, 0.8833, 0.941, 1.2308, 1.2308, 1.4524, 1.3766, 1.2013, 1.203, 1.2064, 1.5434, 1.8332, 1.7675, 1.861, 2.1289, 2.0708, 2.1929, 2.0598, 2.2553, 2.5299, 2.519, 2.9714, 2.8997, 2.5265, 2.8694, 2.9537, 2.9663, 2.9612, 3.2511, 3.8652, 4.1963, 4.0623, 4.3791, 4.0354, 4.4035, 4.8602, 4.727, 4.2089, 4.1154, 3.989, 3.65, 3.3665, 3.706, 4.2991, 4.4751, 4.2586, 4.0901, 3.9048, 4.1179, 4.7077, 4.6133, 5.4372, 4.6411, 4.2553, 4.0691, 3.834, 3.6925, 3.0986, 2.9065, 2.9941, 3.1154, 2.861, 2.6622, 2.5602, 3.0851, 2.9992, 3.0817, 3.0817, 3.0278, 3.0851, 2.4642, 2.7035, 2.9132, 2.7666, 2.904, 2.9461, 2.7001, 2.7018, 2.3808, 1.989, 2.0826, 1.8458, 2.016]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1932066650892972240", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-09T13:26:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "now is not the time to be bearish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pushes back on cautious BTC stance; bullish from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SuperBitcoinBro Bro, now is not the time to be bearish", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC daily\n\nI believe the bottom is likely in, but seasonality says this is not the time for complacency, and there is potential for a retest until it makes a higher high above $107K https://t.co/NTVMTprgQv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SuperBitcoinBro", "ret_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053527411972747574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052627097796850375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009003141758971989, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003342625487465778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060041879474526105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005669925398706033, "ret_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031709254624266325, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03671212390479939, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005002869280533062, "ret_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04969410656767814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03751006312417182, "ret_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0038941339012279474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08175007118421052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08564420508543846, "ret_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1717580375480472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3147676238349504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1430095862869032, "ret_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3259412600331004, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5917214772727286, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2657802172396282, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01218404344350632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04969410656767814, "price_path": [-0.2409, -0.265, -0.2387, -0.2377, -0.25, -0.2125, -0.2369, -0.238, -0.2067, -0.2069, -0.2121, -0.2096, -0.2352, -0.2516, -0.2278, -0.2521, -0.2465, -0.2398, -0.2816, -0.3085, -0.2513, -0.2781, -0.2438, -0.2335, -0.2414, -0.2381, -0.2303, -0.2343, -0.2065, -0.1528, -0.1505, -0.1482, -0.1412, -0.1389, -0.1452, -0.1459, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.141, -0.1223, -0.1202, -0.0639, -0.0664, -0.0678, -0.0555, -0.0612, -0.0594, -0.0617, -0.0425, -0.0318, -0.0056, 0.0125, -0.0273, -0.0077, -0.0118, -0.0226, -0.0422, -0.0571, -0.04, -0.0441, -0.0504, -0.079, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0381, -0.0317, -0.0516, -0.0491, -0.0509, -0.0633, -0.0428, -0.0385, -0.0266, -0.0302, -0.0291, -0.0286, -0.0417, -0.013, -0.0059, -0.0205, -0.0181, -0.0122, 0.0094, 0.0516, 0.0655, 0.0866, 0.0678, 0.0766, 0.0816, 0.0699, 0.0648, 0.088, 0.0767, 0.0732, 0.0666, 0.0692, 0.0692, 0.0683, 0.0495, 0.0274, 0.0433, 0.0349, 0.0429, 0.0653, 0.058, 0.0765, 0.0896, 0.1183, 0.0731, 0.0644, 0.054, 0.023, 0.0361, 0.0193, 0.0597, -0.0015, 0.0137, 0.0084, 0.0204, -0.0171, -0.0095, 0.0082, 0.013, 0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0161, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0473, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0594, 0.056, 0.062, 0.0489, 0.0223, 0.0156, 0.0275, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0372, 0.0341, 0.0758, 0.0942, 0.1086, 0.1311, 0.1012, 0.1184, 0.1035, 0.0265, 0.0451, 0.0256, 0.0044, -0.0191, -0.0347, 0.0027, -0.0165, -0.0236, -0.002, 0.0067, 0.0347, 0.0241, -0.0022, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.034, -0.0789, -0.058, -0.0815, -0.0628, -0.039, -0.0662, -0.0783, -0.0961, -0.1441, -0.165, -0.1573, -0.1707, -0.2145, -0.2285, -0.1997, -0.2081, -0.1793, -0.1723, -0.1757, -0.2174, -0.1718]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924960971896062064", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T22:50:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's time to move on and focus on $150,000-$200,000 area", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC targeting $150K–$200K; dismisses bear-scenario analysis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TonyTheBullCMT Let it go bud. It’s time to move on and focus on $150,000-$200,000 area.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Here is the monthly BTCUSD LMACD reflecting the sideways momentum on the monthly\n\nIt very well could diverge up and keep the bull run going\n\nIt equally could cross back down bearish and bring us into a real bear market\n\nThe May monthly close will make the decision https://t.co/Lw2917QvKA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TonySeverinoCMT", "ret_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028235252649113085, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028235252649113085, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026639204130851635, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026639204130851635, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "ret_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012278804945740074, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012278804945740074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "ret_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.042879032860159705, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.042879032860159705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "ret_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.00763131894638347, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00763131894638347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "ret_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2076370709930332, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2076370709930332, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "ret_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5308060615502499, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5308060615502499, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017864391917659872, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.042879032860159705, "alpha_c_stated": -0.042879032860159705, "price_path": [-0.0792, -0.0999, -0.144, -0.1691, -0.2102, -0.2068, -0.2099, -0.1941, -0.1832, -0.1514, -0.1576, -0.1877, -0.2646, -0.2241, -0.216, -0.2409, -0.2137, -0.2127, -0.2254, -0.1867, -0.2119, -0.213, -0.1807, -0.1809, -0.1863, -0.1837, -0.2101, -0.227, -0.2025, -0.2276, -0.2218, -0.2149, -0.258, -0.2858, -0.2268, -0.2544, -0.219, -0.2083, -0.2165, -0.2131, -0.205, -0.2092, -0.1805, -0.125, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1171, -0.1178, -0.0964, -0.0925, -0.1128, -0.0935, -0.0914, -0.0332, -0.0358, -0.0373, -0.0245, -0.0304, -0.0285, -0.0309, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.027, 0.0457, 0.0047, 0.0248, 0.0206, 0.0095, -0.0108, -0.0261, -0.0085, -0.0127, -0.0193, -0.0488, -0.0225, 0.0328, 0.0325, 0.0177, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0001, -0.0205, -0.0179, -0.0197, -0.0326, -0.0114, -0.007, 0.0053, 0.0016, 0.0028, 0.0032, -0.0102, 0.0194, 0.0268, 0.0116, 0.0141, 0.0202, 0.0425, 0.0861, 0.1004, 0.1223, 0.1029, 0.1119, 0.117, 0.105, 0.0997, 0.1236, 0.112, 0.1084, 0.1016, 0.1043, 0.1042, 0.1034, 0.084, 0.0611, 0.0775, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.1003, 0.0927, 0.1118, 0.1253, 0.155, 0.1083, 0.0993, 0.0886, 0.0566, 0.0701, 0.0527, 0.0944, 0.0312, 0.0469, 0.0415, 0.0539, 0.0152, 0.023, 0.0413, 0.0462, 0.0368, 0.0361, 0.0494, 0.0444, 0.0671, 0.0816, 0.0872, 0.081, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0969, 0.0833, 0.0558, 0.0489, 0.0612, 0.0211, 0.0274, 0.0713, 0.068, 0.111, 0.1301, 0.1449, 0.1682, 0.1373, 0.1551, 0.1397, 0.0601, 0.0794, 0.0593, 0.0374, 0.0131, -0.003, 0.0356, 0.0158, 0.0084, 0.0307, 0.0397, 0.0686, 0.0577, 0.0306, 0.0142, 0.0259, -0.0023, -0.0487, -0.0271, -0.0514, -0.032, -0.0074, -0.0355, -0.048]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1933284037939851469", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-12T22:03:27+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agree. $121,000 likely by end of June.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC to $121K by end of June; endorses parent's bullish higher-low thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DonnyDicey Agree. $121,000 likely by end of June.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Don't fear this dip on BTC & ETH\n\nBTC flipped 1D market structure to bullish above 107k, this is a leverage flush to put in a higher low, where a higher high should follow\n\n104k sweep at the worst — alts and ETH are holding up well, which gives me signal the next rally is going https://t.co/AqVpWEzDyI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DonnyDicey", "ret_m1d": 0.02603223752572026, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02603223752572026, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014725665919213204, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014725665919213204, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011306571606507054, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011306571606507054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015285141831733462, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015285141831733462, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00798583032067568, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00798583032067568, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009514344503849026, "ret_p1w": -0.011750936781907195, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011750936781907195, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010137756142272747, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010137756142272747, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0016131806396344484, "ret_p1m": 0.10939338158152578, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10939338158152578, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05971643759258827, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05971643759258827, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049676943988937516, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049676943988937516, "ret_p3m": 0.052879658031735444, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.052879658031735444, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04282912595456456, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04282912595456456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0957087839863, "ret_p6m": -0.15615448399684373, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15615448399684373, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30783286056483516, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30783286056483516, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15167837656799144, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15167837656799144, "ret_p1y": -0.3267213263830251, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3267213263830251, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6136182459026249, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6136182459026249, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28689691951959984, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10939338158152578, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05971643759258827, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05971643759258827, "price_path": [-0.2063, -0.2191, -0.1801, -0.2054, -0.2066, -0.174, -0.1742, -0.1796, -0.177, -0.2037, -0.2207, -0.196, -0.2213, -0.2155, -0.2085, -0.252, -0.28, -0.2205, -0.2483, -0.2126, -0.2019, -0.2101, -0.2067, -0.1986, -0.2028, -0.1738, -0.1179, -0.1155, -0.1131, -0.1058, -0.1034, -0.1099, -0.1107, -0.0891, -0.0851, -0.1056, -0.0862, -0.084, -0.0254, -0.0279, -0.0294, -0.0166, -0.0226, -0.0206, -0.023, -0.003, 0.0081, 0.0354, 0.0542, 0.0128, 0.0331, 0.0289, 0.0177, -0.0027, -0.0182, -0.0004, -0.0047, -0.0113, -0.0411, -0.0145, 0.0412, 0.0409, 0.026, 0.0, 0.0015, 0.0082, -0.0125, -0.0099, -0.0118, -0.0247, -0.0033, 0.0011, 0.0135, 0.0097, 0.0109, 0.0114, -0.0022, 0.0277, 0.0351, 0.0199, 0.0224, 0.0285, 0.051, 0.095, 0.1094, 0.1314, 0.1118, 0.1209, 0.1261, 0.114, 0.1087, 0.1328, 0.1211, 0.1174, 0.1105, 0.1132, 0.1132, 0.1124, 0.0928, 0.0698, 0.0863, 0.0775, 0.0859, 0.1092, 0.1016, 0.1209, 0.1345, 0.1644, 0.1173, 0.1083, 0.0975, 0.0652, 0.0788, 0.0613, 0.1033, 0.0396, 0.0554, 0.05, 0.0625, 0.0234, 0.0314, 0.0498, 0.0547, 0.0453, 0.0446, 0.058, 0.0529, 0.0758, 0.0904, 0.096, 0.0898, 0.103, 0.0995, 0.1058, 0.0921, 0.0644, 0.0574, 0.0699, 0.0295, 0.0357, 0.08, 0.0767, 0.1201, 0.1393, 0.1542, 0.1777, 0.1465, 0.1645, 0.1489, 0.0688, 0.0882, 0.0679, 0.0458, 0.0213, 0.0051, 0.044, 0.0241, 0.0166, 0.0391, 0.0482, 0.0773, 0.0663, 0.039, 0.0224, 0.0342, 0.0058, -0.041, -0.0192, -0.0437, -0.0241, 0.0006, -0.0277, -0.0403, -0.0588, -0.1089, -0.1306, -0.1225, -0.1365, -0.1822, -0.1967, -0.1667, -0.1755, -0.1455, -0.1382, -0.1417, -0.1851, -0.1376, -0.1171, -0.1302, -0.1562]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1905717211173675283", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-28T20:22:44+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is the most disciplined money in human history. There is no Fed chair or human intervention at all. It's completely algorithmic and driven by the protocol.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin as the most disciplined, algorithm-driven money with no human intervention.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cullenroche Agreed. Bitcoin is the most disciplined money in human history. There is no Fed chair or human intervention at all. It’s completely algorithmic and driven by the protocol. Well said.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "It's another great day to have some Discipline in your portfolio.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cullenroche", "ret_m1d": 0.03347774418986105, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03347774418986105, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04014578433375304, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04014578433375304, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02138905788841794, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02138905788841794, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02421361158945956, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02421361158945956, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "ret_p1w": -0.0060382304565358424, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0060382304565358424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09230095011308392, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09230095011308392, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "ret_p1m": 0.1259656783335461, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1259656783335461, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.135029078986442, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.135029078986442, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "ret_p3m": 0.27275934332252527, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27275934332252527, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1757091253955052, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1757091253955052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "ret_p6m": 0.3366247721747937, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3366247721747937, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1442279422959547, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1442279422959547, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "bench_c_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "ret_p1y": -0.12365480208161317, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.12365480208161317, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3163652007942327, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3163652007942327, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1259656783335461, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.135029078986442, "alpha_c_stated": 0.135029078986442, "price_path": [0.1076, 0.1193, 0.1486, 0.1631, 0.2101, 0.149, 0.1267, 0.0964, 0.1227, 0.1205, 0.1444, 0.1915, 0.1826, 0.2384, 0.2094, 0.2584, 0.2288, 0.2324, 0.2426, 0.2102, 0.2013, 0.2294, 0.2416, 0.214, 0.2022, 0.1603, 0.1454, 0.1451, 0.1443, 0.1551, 0.1351, 0.1604, 0.1455, 0.156, 0.1354, 0.1326, 0.1456, 0.1657, 0.1396, 0.0838, 0.052, -0.0001, 0.0042, 0.0002, 0.0203, 0.034, 0.0743, 0.0665, 0.0283, -0.069, -0.0177, -0.0075, -0.039, -0.0046, -0.0033, -0.0194, 0.0297, -0.0022, -0.0037, 0.0373, 0.037, 0.0302, 0.0335, 0.0, -0.0214, 0.0097, -0.0221, -0.0148, -0.006, -0.0607, -0.0958, -0.0211, -0.056, -0.0112, 0.0022, -0.0081, -0.0038, 0.0064, 0.0012, 0.0375, 0.1077, 0.1108, 0.1137, 0.1229, 0.126, 0.1177, 0.1168, 0.1439, 0.1489, 0.1232, 0.1476, 0.1503, 0.2239, 0.2207, 0.2188, 0.2349, 0.2275, 0.2299, 0.2269, 0.252, 0.266, 0.3002, 0.3239, 0.2719, 0.2974, 0.2921, 0.278, 0.2524, 0.2329, 0.2552, 0.2499, 0.2416, 0.2042, 0.2375, 0.3075, 0.3071, 0.2885, 0.2558, 0.2577, 0.2661, 0.24, 0.2434, 0.241, 0.2247, 0.2516, 0.2572, 0.2728, 0.268, 0.2695, 0.2701, 0.253, 0.2905, 0.2999, 0.2807, 0.2839, 0.2916, 0.3198, 0.375, 0.3932, 0.4208, 0.3962, 0.4076, 0.4142, 0.3989, 0.3922, 0.4225, 0.4078, 0.4032, 0.3946, 0.398, 0.398, 0.3969, 0.3723, 0.3434, 0.3642, 0.3531, 0.3636, 0.3929, 0.3833, 0.4076, 0.4246, 0.4622, 0.4031, 0.3917, 0.3782, 0.3376, 0.3547, 0.3327, 0.3855, 0.3055, 0.3254, 0.3185, 0.3342, 0.2852, 0.2952, 0.3183, 0.3245, 0.3126, 0.3118, 0.3286, 0.3222, 0.3509, 0.3693, 0.3764, 0.3686, 0.3852, 0.3807, 0.3887, 0.3715, 0.3366]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1927760075248025775", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-28T16:13:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Study. Hold. Win.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses 5% dip fear; bullish BTC given institutional and sovereign accumulation across the board.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Gamestop is buying Bitcoin. Microstrategy is buying Bitcoin. Cantor Fitzgerald is buying Bitcoin. Metaplanet is buying Bitcoin. Marathon is buying Bitcoin. The US, UAE, El Salvador, and Bhutan are acquiring Bitcoin. And you're worried that the price dropped 5%? Study. Hold. Win.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011060173938149731, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011060173938149731, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005241055970979236, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005241055970979236, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005819117967170495, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005819117967170495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020041963379443528, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020041963379443528, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023989405656103857, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023989405656103857, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003947442276660329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003947442276660329, "ret_p1w": -0.028481237867514775, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028481237867514775, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042433135812799616, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042433135812799616, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013951897945284841, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013951897945284841, "ret_p1m": -0.007813635750271497, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007813635750271497, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05196466764668772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05196466764668772, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044151031896416226, "bench_c_p1m": 0.044151031896416226, "ret_p3m": 0.021539640913947, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.021539640913947, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07483001593006433, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07483001593006433, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09636965684401133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09636965684401133, "ret_p6m": -0.19638193400565762, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19638193400565762, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31300619055612766, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31300619055612766, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11662425655047004, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11662425655047004, "ret_p1y": -0.266567976196015, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.266567976196015, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5386547339930928, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5386547339930928, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2720867577970778, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2720867577970778, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007813635750271497, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05196466764668772, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05196466764668772, "price_path": [-0.2173, -0.2016, -0.1909, -0.1594, -0.1655, -0.1954, -0.2715, -0.2314, -0.2234, -0.248, -0.2211, -0.2201, -0.2327, -0.1943, -0.2192, -0.2204, -0.1883, -0.1886, -0.1939, -0.1913, -0.2175, -0.2343, -0.21, -0.2348, -0.2291, -0.2222, -0.265, -0.2925, -0.234, -0.2614, -0.2263, -0.2158, -0.2239, -0.2205, -0.2125, -0.2166, -0.1882, -0.1332, -0.1308, -0.1286, -0.1214, -0.119, -0.1254, -0.1261, -0.1049, -0.101, -0.1211, -0.102, -0.0999, -0.0423, -0.0448, -0.0463, -0.0337, -0.0395, -0.0376, -0.04, -0.0204, -0.0094, 0.0174, 0.0359, -0.0048, 0.0152, 0.0111, 0.0, -0.02, -0.0353, -0.0178, -0.022, -0.0285, -0.0578, -0.0317, 0.0231, 0.0228, 0.0082, -0.0174, -0.0159, -0.0093, -0.0297, -0.0271, -0.0289, -0.0417, -0.0206, -0.0163, -0.0041, -0.0078, -0.0066, -0.0062, -0.0195, 0.0098, 0.0171, 0.0022, 0.0046, 0.0106, 0.0327, 0.0759, 0.0901, 0.1118, 0.0925, 0.1014, 0.1066, 0.0946, 0.0894, 0.1131, 0.1016, 0.098, 0.0912, 0.0939, 0.0939, 0.093, 0.0738, 0.0512, 0.0674, 0.0588, 0.067, 0.0899, 0.0824, 0.1014, 0.1148, 0.1442, 0.0979, 0.089, 0.0784, 0.0466, 0.06, 0.0428, 0.0842, 0.0215, 0.0371, 0.0317, 0.044, 0.0056, 0.0134, 0.0315, 0.0364, 0.0271, 0.0264, 0.0396, 0.0346, 0.0571, 0.0715, 0.077, 0.0709, 0.0839, 0.0804, 0.0866, 0.0732, 0.0459, 0.0391, 0.0513, 0.0116, 0.0177, 0.0612, 0.058, 0.1006, 0.1195, 0.1342, 0.1572, 0.1266, 0.1443, 0.129, 0.0502, 0.0693, 0.0493, 0.0277, 0.0036, -0.0124, 0.0258, 0.0063, -0.0011, 0.021, 0.03, 0.0586, 0.0478, 0.0209, 0.0047, 0.0163, -0.0116, -0.0576, -0.0363, -0.0603, -0.0411, -0.0168, -0.0446, -0.0569, -0.0752, -0.1243, -0.1457, -0.1378, -0.1515, -0.1964]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1903964563978309806", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-24T00:18:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When Bitcoin is $150,000, people will suddenly remember that the halving happened a year earlier and there are only 450 Bitcoin per day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $150K; post-halving supply squeeze will drive the next cycle surge as in prior cycles.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Bitcoin is $150,000, people will suddenly remember that the halving happened a year earlier and there are only 450 Bitcoin per day. The same thing happens every cycle. Gradually, then suddenly. People are lemmings who don’t think independently. This is where alpha originates", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0394938830044409, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0394938830044409, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0219003608154541, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0219003608154541, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0175935221889868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0175935221889868, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003109860024155253, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003109860024155253, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002714807276104514, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002714807276104514, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024038212736889886, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0024038212736889886, "ret_p1w": -0.05657213067197886, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05657213067197886, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03098312114639501, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03098312114639501, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02558900952558385, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02558900952558385, "ret_p1m": 0.06792057508570859, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06792057508570859, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1494948149537787, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1494948149537787, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.08157423986807011, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08157423986807011, "ret_p3m": 0.19640672326201192, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19640672326201192, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15571577342916676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15571577342916676, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04069094983284516, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04069094983284516, "ret_p6m": 0.33536728714758146, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.33536728714758146, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18230329909854937, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18230329909854937, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1530639880490321, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1530639880490321, "ret_p1y": -0.19764852438793656, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19764852438793656, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3860193381853704, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3860193381853704, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.1883708137974338, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1883708137974338, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06792057508570859, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1494948149537787, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1494948149537787, "price_path": [0.1349, 0.0948, 0.0762, 0.0588, 0.0678, 0.0791, 0.1073, 0.1212, 0.1666, 0.1077, 0.0862, 0.057, 0.0823, 0.0802, 0.1033, 0.1486, 0.1401, 0.1939, 0.1659, 0.2131, 0.1846, 0.1881, 0.198, 0.1667, 0.1581, 0.1852, 0.197, 0.1704, 0.1589, 0.1185, 0.1042, 0.1039, 0.1032, 0.1136, 0.0943, 0.1187, 0.1043, 0.1144, 0.0946, 0.0919, 0.1044, 0.1238, 0.0986, 0.0448, 0.0141, -0.036, -0.0319, -0.0357, -0.0164, -0.0032, 0.0357, 0.0281, -0.0086, -0.1025, -0.053, -0.0432, -0.0735, -0.0403, -0.0391, -0.0546, -0.0074, -0.0381, -0.0395, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0068, -0.0037, -0.036, -0.0566, -0.0266, -0.0573, -0.0502, -0.0418, -0.0944, -0.1283, -0.0563, -0.09, -0.0468, -0.0338, -0.0438, -0.0396, -0.0298, -0.0348, 0.0002, 0.0679, 0.0709, 0.0737, 0.0825, 0.0855, 0.0776, 0.0767, 0.1028, 0.1076, 0.0828, 0.1063, 0.109, 0.1799, 0.1768, 0.175, 0.1905, 0.1833, 0.1857, 0.1827, 0.2069, 0.2205, 0.2535, 0.2763, 0.2262, 0.2508, 0.2457, 0.232, 0.2073, 0.1886, 0.2101, 0.205, 0.197, 0.1609, 0.193, 0.2605, 0.2601, 0.2421, 0.2106, 0.2125, 0.2205, 0.1955, 0.1987, 0.1964, 0.1807, 0.2066, 0.212, 0.227, 0.2224, 0.2239, 0.2244, 0.208, 0.2441, 0.2531, 0.2347, 0.2377, 0.2452, 0.2723, 0.3256, 0.3431, 0.3697, 0.346, 0.357, 0.3633, 0.3486, 0.3422, 0.3714, 0.3572, 0.3528, 0.3444, 0.3477, 0.3477, 0.3467, 0.323, 0.2951, 0.3151, 0.3045, 0.3146, 0.3428, 0.3336, 0.3569, 0.3734, 0.4097, 0.3527, 0.3417, 0.3286, 0.2895, 0.306, 0.2848, 0.3357, 0.2586, 0.2778, 0.2711, 0.2862, 0.239, 0.2486, 0.2709, 0.2769, 0.2654, 0.2646, 0.2808, 0.2747, 0.3024, 0.3201, 0.3269, 0.3194, 0.3354]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1914476045941744012", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-22T00:27:13+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$90,000 on deck", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "BTC at $88K; $90K next target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$88,000 ✅\n\n$90,000 on deck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "ret_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "ret_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "ret_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "ret_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "ret_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009020562746131722, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.042321369484142446, "alpha_c_stated": -0.042321369484142446, "price_path": [0.1126, 0.1218, 0.0925, 0.0844, 0.1098, 0.1209, 0.0959, 0.0852, 0.0474, 0.034, 0.0337, 0.033, 0.0428, 0.0247, 0.0476, 0.0341, 0.0435, 0.025, 0.0224, 0.0342, 0.0524, 0.0287, -0.0217, -0.0504, -0.0973, -0.0935, -0.0971, -0.0789, -0.0666, -0.0302, -0.0372, -0.0717, -0.1596, -0.1132, -0.104, -0.1324, -0.1014, -0.1002, -0.1148, -0.0705, -0.0993, -0.1006, -0.0636, -0.0639, -0.07, -0.067, -0.0973, -0.1166, -0.0885, -0.1173, -0.1106, -0.1027, -0.152, -0.1837, -0.1163, -0.1479, -0.1074, -0.0952, -0.1046, -0.1007, -0.0915, -0.0962, -0.0634, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0054, 0.0137, 0.0164, 0.009, 0.0082, 0.0326, 0.0371, 0.014, 0.036, 0.0384, 0.1049, 0.102, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1081, 0.1103, 0.1075, 0.1302, 0.1429, 0.1738, 0.1951, 0.1482, 0.1712, 0.1664, 0.1537, 0.1306, 0.113, 0.1331, 0.1283, 0.1208, 0.087, 0.1172, 0.1803, 0.18, 0.1631, 0.1336, 0.1354, 0.1429, 0.1194, 0.1224, 0.1203, 0.1056, 0.1299, 0.1349, 0.149, 0.1447, 0.146, 0.1465, 0.1312, 0.165, 0.1734, 0.1562, 0.159, 0.166, 0.1914, 0.2413, 0.2576, 0.2826, 0.2604, 0.2707, 0.2766, 0.2629, 0.2568, 0.2842, 0.2709, 0.2668, 0.2589, 0.262, 0.262, 0.261, 0.2388, 0.2127, 0.2315, 0.2215, 0.231, 0.2574, 0.2488, 0.2706, 0.2861, 0.32, 0.2667, 0.2564, 0.2441, 0.2075, 0.2229, 0.2031, 0.2508, 0.1785, 0.1965, 0.1903, 0.2044, 0.1602, 0.1692, 0.1901, 0.1956, 0.1849, 0.1842, 0.1994, 0.1936, 0.2195, 0.2361, 0.2425, 0.2355, 0.2504, 0.2464, 0.2536, 0.2381, 0.2066, 0.1988, 0.2128, 0.167, 0.1741, 0.2243, 0.2206, 0.2698, 0.2915, 0.3085, 0.3351, 0.2998, 0.3201, 0.3025, 0.2116, 0.2336, 0.2106, 0.1856]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919157807992979861", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-04T22:30:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going to $200,000 soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $200,000 soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Irrelevant. We are going to $200,000 soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC Weekly close incoming https://t.co/qzjQowfmMm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1912336381181108615", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-16T02:44:57+00:00", "symbol": "data centers", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bullish on all high quality data centers. They are ALL vastly undervalued.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish all high-quality data centers; sees entire sector as vastly undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQIX", "DLR", "VRT", "SMCI", "CORZ"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Broad data center sector basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "REIT - Specialty", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@carmelo52056091 I’m bullish on all high quality data centers. They are ALL vastly undervalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Thoughts on galaxies Helios data center??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "carmelo52056091", "ret_m1d": 0.020452194042427707, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020452194042427707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002281204105654022, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002281204105654022, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02273339814808173, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009600042345681615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009600042345681615, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008173325065894566, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008173325065894566, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014267172797870487, "ret_p1w": 0.05265248205438775, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05265248205438775, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03408525849660902, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03408525849660902, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018567223557778734, "ret_p1m": 0.33803190133058814, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33803190133058814, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21475808853374545, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21475808853374545, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12327381279684269, "ret_p3m": 0.5002892751299017, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5002892751299017, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3081553066481435, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3081553066481435, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19213396848175823, "ret_p6m": 0.8326394712943135, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8326394712943135, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5485196223330078, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5485196223330078, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2841198489613057, "ret_p1y": 0.8837221707265321, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8837221707265321, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.6217882052354993, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6217882052354993, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26193396549103287, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.33803190133058814, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21475808853374545, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21475808853374545, "price_path": [0.5004, 0.5004, 0.5506, 0.5922, 0.6197, 0.5839, 0.2614, 0.266, 0.2789, 0.3269, 0.3305, 0.3066, 0.3186, 0.3784, 0.3909, 0.4108, 0.4711, 0.4209, 0.3836, 0.4071, 0.44, 0.44, 0.4926, 0.5105, 0.494, 0.4036, 0.3229, 0.2816, 0.3469, 0.2966, 0.3058, 0.214, 0.2196, 0.2275, 0.1221, 0.1336, 0.1005, 0.1615, 0.1988, 0.1493, 0.1915, 0.2026, 0.1341, 0.1874, 0.1777, 0.1873, 0.2345, 0.1938, 0.1068, 0.0776, 0.0472, 0.0388, 0.0797, 0.1051, 0.0043, -0.0469, -0.0253, -0.0542, 0.063, -0.0027, 0.0121, 0.0206, 0.0205, 0.0, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0363, 0.0064, 0.0527, 0.1047, 0.1547, 0.1577, 0.1525, 0.1217, 0.163, 0.1889, 0.1838, 0.1901, 0.1902, 0.2016, 0.1929, 0.2398, 0.2963, 0.3453, 0.338, 0.3671, 0.3631, 0.3512, 0.3252, 0.3291, 0.3161, 0.3161, 0.3663, 0.3515, 0.3469, 0.3365, 0.3581, 0.4081, 0.4461, 0.4033, 0.4274, 0.4416, 0.4336, 0.4196, 0.4297, 0.3989, 0.4344, 0.4251, 0.4416, 0.4416, 0.4416, 0.3972, 0.4563, 0.4522, 0.5742, 0.5944, 0.6263, 0.5998, 0.6251, 0.6456, 0.6456, 0.532, 0.5153, 0.5099, 0.4806, 0.4571, 0.5003, 0.5355, 0.5392, 0.5463, 0.5329, 0.5226, 0.5221, 0.5464, 0.5588, 0.5918, 0.6356, 0.6183, 0.6263, 0.6299, 0.5678, 0.6069, 0.609, 0.5419, 0.5514, 0.5391, 0.5448, 0.5844, 0.5245, 0.5013, 0.5135, 0.5305, 0.4932, 0.4771, 0.4605, 0.4696, 0.4693, 0.4929, 0.5088, 0.5195, 0.4843, 0.4843, 0.4488, 0.4318, 0.4404, 0.4359, 0.432, 0.4862, 0.5816, 0.5711, 0.5808, 0.6113, 0.5948, 0.5941, 0.6315, 0.6339, 0.6859, 0.656, 0.6422, 0.6294, 0.6259, 0.6529, 0.7066, 0.761, 0.7686, 0.7578, 0.7882, 0.7523, 0.8148, 0.8326]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918047020352454983", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-01T20:56:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "HIGHER", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's $166K Bitcoin target; expects BTC to move higher from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoCon_ HIGHER", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This move has certainly taken much longer than I originally thought, but I believe one way or another, the next step up for Bitcoin is still 166k.\n\nThis Fibonacci retrace/extension has nailed every major local high we've seen this cycle.\n\nCongrats to anyone who's made it this far https://t.co/PsiAwVUTtv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoCon_", "ret_m1d": -0.02368088009580427, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02368088009580427, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009053868935007814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009053868935007814, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0043291974532626565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0043291974532626565, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010063522250687296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010063522250687296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "ret_p1w": 0.06994467420056605, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06994467420056605, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07421443045053666, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07421443045053666, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "ret_p1m": 0.07779099036281956, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07779099036281956, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03200441243299723, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03200441243299723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "ret_p3m": 0.2220882341772772, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2220882341772772, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09932788230078704, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09932788230078704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "ret_p6m": 0.15070197851691436, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15070197851691436, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06528218566503119, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06528218566503119, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "ret_p1y": -0.21369378510388493, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21369378510388493, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4702244710966097, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4702244710966097, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07779099036281956, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03200441243299723, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03200441243299723, "price_path": [0.0509, 0.0143, 0.0013, 0.001, 0.0004, 0.0098, -0.0077, 0.0144, 0.0014, 0.0105, -0.0075, -0.0099, 0.0015, 0.0191, -0.0038, -0.0526, -0.0804, -0.1259, -0.1222, -0.1256, -0.1081, -0.0961, -0.0608, -0.0677, -0.101, -0.1861, -0.1413, -0.1323, -0.1599, -0.1298, -0.1287, -0.1427, -0.0999, -0.1277, -0.129, -0.0932, -0.0935, -0.0994, -0.0965, -0.1258, -0.1445, -0.1173, -0.1452, -0.1388, -0.1311, -0.1788, -0.2096, -0.1442, -0.1748, -0.1356, -0.1238, -0.1329, -0.1291, -0.1202, -0.1248, -0.093, -0.0316, -0.0289, -0.0264, -0.0184, -0.0157, -0.0229, -0.0237, 0.0, 0.0043, -0.0181, 0.0032, 0.0056, 0.0699, 0.0671, 0.0655, 0.0796, 0.073, 0.0752, 0.0725, 0.0945, 0.1067, 0.1367, 0.1573, 0.1119, 0.1342, 0.1296, 0.1172, 0.0948, 0.0778, 0.0973, 0.0927, 0.0854, 0.0527, 0.0819, 0.143, 0.1427, 0.1264, 0.0978, 0.0995, 0.1068, 0.084, 0.087, 0.0849, 0.0707, 0.0942, 0.099, 0.1126, 0.1085, 0.1098, 0.1103, 0.0954, 0.1282, 0.1363, 0.1196, 0.1224, 0.1291, 0.1537, 0.202, 0.2179, 0.2421, 0.2206, 0.2305, 0.2363, 0.2229, 0.2171, 0.2436, 0.2307, 0.2267, 0.2191, 0.2221, 0.2221, 0.2211, 0.1997, 0.1744, 0.1925, 0.1829, 0.1921, 0.2177, 0.2093, 0.2305, 0.2454, 0.2783, 0.2266, 0.2167, 0.2048, 0.1693, 0.1843, 0.1651, 0.2112, 0.1413, 0.1587, 0.1527, 0.1664, 0.1235, 0.1322, 0.1524, 0.1578, 0.1475, 0.1467, 0.1615, 0.1558, 0.181, 0.1971, 0.2032, 0.1964, 0.2109, 0.207, 0.214, 0.1989, 0.1685, 0.1609, 0.1745, 0.1301, 0.137, 0.1856, 0.182, 0.2296, 0.2507, 0.2671, 0.2929, 0.2587, 0.2784, 0.2613, 0.1733, 0.1946, 0.1723, 0.1481, 0.1212, 0.1034, 0.1461, 0.1242, 0.116, 0.1407, 0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925739194535575576", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-23T02:22:57+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Once you do, the true believers will get their 5-20x. Same as always. Rinse and repeat.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin miners; predicts 5-20x gains after final capitulation from doubters.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI Bitcoin miner ETF; AI optionality context fits", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SteveUrkelDude They’re just waiting for the last few traders to capitulate. Once you do, the true believers will get their 5-20x. Same as always. Rinse and repeat.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin at $111,000 and Bitcoin miners still fucking suck", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SteveUrkelDude", "ret_m1d": 0.028392957562198395, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028392957562198395, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02152019384226822, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02152019384226822, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006872763719930175, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006872763719930175, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.06473601689297792, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06473601689297792, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08248742345556159, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08248742345556159, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01775140656258367, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01775140656258367, "ret_p1m": 0.02725721326518138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02725721326518138, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012138081854851768, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012138081854851768, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03939529512003315, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03939529512003315, "ret_p3m": 0.5485519314368303, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5485519314368303, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.443413876579126, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.443413876579126, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10513805485770433, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10513805485770433, "ret_p6m": 1.3236795429122017, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3236795429122017, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1676143142336939, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1676143142336939, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1560652286785078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1560652286785078, "ret_p1y": 2.2782508541368993, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.2782508541368993, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.9889583218240618, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9889583218240618, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28929253231283747, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28929253231283747, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02725721326518138, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012138081854851768, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012138081854851768, "price_path": [-0.0324, -0.0221, -0.0409, 0.0119, -0.063, -0.0767, -0.0233, -0.1028, -0.0733, -0.1777, -0.1437, -0.1317, -0.1726, -0.1312, -0.1272, -0.1908, -0.1369, -0.1493, -0.1596, -0.0738, -0.1113, -0.1868, -0.2027, -0.2544, -0.2748, -0.2237, -0.1914, -0.276, -0.3004, -0.2953, -0.3475, -0.2584, -0.318, -0.289, -0.2788, -0.3197, -0.3237, -0.3163, -0.3163, -0.3333, -0.2561, -0.2328, -0.2016, -0.1732, -0.1863, -0.1942, -0.2232, -0.1715, -0.1499, -0.1902, -0.1743, -0.1715, -0.1181, -0.117, -0.0721, -0.0233, -0.0375, -0.0591, 0.0221, 0.0295, 0.0216, 0.0079, 0.0284, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0358, -0.0193, -0.0403, -0.0647, -0.0233, 0.0176, 0.0897, 0.0335, 0.1113, 0.1448, 0.1516, 0.1357, 0.1136, 0.071, 0.1187, 0.0608, 0.0619, 0.0619, 0.0551, 0.0273, 0.1028, 0.1062, 0.2209, 0.2328, 0.2913, 0.3112, 0.4282, 0.4781, 0.4781, 0.4134, 0.414, 0.4333, 0.4475, 0.4072, 0.452, 0.4225, 0.4861, 0.5236, 0.519, 0.5037, 0.565, 0.5525, 0.5395, 0.5082, 0.4838, 0.4145, 0.4032, 0.4344, 0.3299, 0.41, 0.4111, 0.4611, 0.4407, 0.4174, 0.4231, 0.4429, 0.448, 0.5315, 0.5162, 0.6065, 0.5105, 0.5486, 0.5264, 0.6065, 0.6246, 0.6689, 0.6644, 0.6848, 0.7388, 0.7388, 0.7967, 0.7433, 0.6564, 0.6723, 0.686, 0.8813, 1.0153, 1.0256, 1.1193, 1.1993, 1.2635, 1.3367, 1.3339, 1.36, 1.4969, 1.4361, 1.5554, 1.3941, 1.3061, 1.5105, 1.5122, 1.5593, 1.64, 1.7365, 1.9693, 2.0312, 2.1448, 2.2692, 2.1425, 2.456, 2.6224, 2.7422, 2.3691, 2.3066, 2.3941, 2.1806, 1.9143, 2.0676, 2.3861, 2.4549, 2.3776, 2.3305, 2.2203, 2.2589, 2.4901, 2.3186, 2.5309, 2.2112, 2.1283, 2.0426, 1.8421, 1.7104, 1.3833, 1.3021, 1.3237]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1913271689045291418", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-18T16:41:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's all predicated on $150-200k BTC in that window", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Ranks BTC miners, MSTR, then BTC as top 6-12 month return assets, predicated on BTC reaching $150-200k; highest convexity plays win.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheBTCTherapist 1. Miners\n2. MSTR\n3. Bitcoin\n\nIt's all predicated on $150-200k BTC in that window. If we get it, the highest returns will accrue to the asset with the highest convexity at the far end of the BTC price curve.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Make your case below for what asset will have the best return over the next 6-12 months.\n\nBitcoin, MSTR, GME, leverage products, miners, gold, real estate, other equities, commodities etc.\n\nI want to hear it all and I want to know why👇", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBTCTherapist", "ret_m1d": 0.005268692396081631, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005268692396081631, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01911433954061037, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01911433954061037, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03633004533057016, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03633004533057016, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01031234424365124, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01031234424365124, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.12160565373535248, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12160565373535248, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04966256604502428, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04966256604502428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.25050530990536934, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25050530990536934, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09683129403262591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09683129403262591, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.40600800965576944, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40600800965576944, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1802418563525412, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1802418563525412, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 0.36494943478095565, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36494943478095565, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06887022583459879, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06887022583459879, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.14813478224147325, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.14813478224147325, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47871692837104296, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47871692837104296, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.25050530990536934, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09683129403262591, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09683129403262591, "price_path": [0.2569, 0.2274, 0.231, 0.2412, 0.2088, 0.1999, 0.228, 0.2402, 0.2126, 0.2008, 0.1589, 0.144, 0.1438, 0.143, 0.1538, 0.1338, 0.1591, 0.1441, 0.1546, 0.1341, 0.1313, 0.1443, 0.1644, 0.1382, 0.0825, 0.0507, -0.0012, 0.003, -0.0009, 0.0191, 0.0328, 0.0731, 0.0653, 0.0271, -0.0701, -0.0188, -0.0086, -0.0401, -0.0057, -0.0044, -0.0205, 0.0285, -0.0034, -0.0048, 0.0361, 0.0358, 0.029, 0.0323, -0.0012, -0.0225, 0.0085, -0.0233, -0.016, -0.0072, -0.0618, -0.0968, -0.0222, -0.0571, -0.0124, 0.0011, -0.0093, -0.0049, 0.0053, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.1065, 0.1095, 0.1124, 0.1216, 0.1247, 0.1164, 0.1155, 0.1426, 0.1475, 0.1219, 0.1463, 0.149, 0.2225, 0.2193, 0.2174, 0.2335, 0.226, 0.2285, 0.2254, 0.2505, 0.2645, 0.2987, 0.3223, 0.2704, 0.2959, 0.2906, 0.2765, 0.2509, 0.2315, 0.2538, 0.2484, 0.2402, 0.2028, 0.2361, 0.306, 0.3056, 0.287, 0.2543, 0.2562, 0.2646, 0.2386, 0.2419, 0.2396, 0.2233, 0.2502, 0.2557, 0.2713, 0.2665, 0.2681, 0.2686, 0.2516, 0.289, 0.2984, 0.2793, 0.2824, 0.2901, 0.3182, 0.3734, 0.3915, 0.4192, 0.3946, 0.406, 0.4125, 0.3973, 0.3906, 0.4209, 0.4062, 0.4016, 0.393, 0.3964, 0.3963, 0.3953, 0.3707, 0.3418, 0.3626, 0.3516, 0.3621, 0.3913, 0.3817, 0.4059, 0.423, 0.4605, 0.4015, 0.3901, 0.3766, 0.3361, 0.3532, 0.3312, 0.3839, 0.304, 0.3239, 0.317, 0.3327, 0.2837, 0.2937, 0.3167, 0.3229, 0.3111, 0.3102, 0.3271, 0.3207, 0.3494, 0.3677, 0.3748, 0.367, 0.3836, 0.3791, 0.387, 0.3699, 0.3351, 0.3264, 0.3419, 0.2913, 0.2991, 0.3546, 0.3506, 0.4049, 0.429, 0.4478, 0.4772, 0.4381, 0.4607, 0.4411, 0.3406, 0.3649]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1913271689045291418", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-18T16:41:32+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "1. Miners\n2. MSTR\n3. Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Ranks BTC miners, MSTR, then BTC as top 6-12 month return assets, predicated on BTC reaching $150-200k; highest convexity plays win.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheBTCTherapist 1. Miners\n2. MSTR\n3. Bitcoin\n\nIt's all predicated on $150-200k BTC in that window. If we get it, the highest returns will accrue to the asset with the highest convexity at the far end of the BTC price curve.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Make your case below for what asset will have the best return over the next 6-12 months.\n\nBitcoin, MSTR, GME, leverage products, miners, gold, real estate, other equities, commodities etc.\n\nI want to hear it all and I want to know why👇", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBTCTherapist", "ret_m1d": -0.0017623286171434271, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0017623286171434271, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02614536055383543, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02614536055383543, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07952539097764588, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07952539097764588, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05350768989072696, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05350768989072696, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.16204049802350284, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16204049802350284, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09009741033317464, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09009741033317464, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.3120594178457141, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3120594178457141, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15838540197297069, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15838540197297069, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 0.4203801059510044, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4203801059510044, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19461395264777614, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19461395264777614, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": -0.05378271592607242, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05378271592607242, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3498619248724293, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3498619248724293, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": -0.5962361558762854, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.5962361558762854, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.9268183020058551, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.9268183020058551, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3120594178457141, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15838540197297069, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15838540197297069, "price_path": [0.1874, 0.1742, 0.113, 0.0949, 0.0572, 0.0739, 0.0703, 0.0536, 0.0923, 0.0961, 0.0596, 0.0242, 0.0308, 0.0531, 0.0053, 0.0285, 0.0225, 0.0628, 0.0628, 0.051, 0.0029, 0.0194, -0.0569, -0.1101, -0.2116, -0.1715, -0.2446, -0.1962, -0.2103, -0.1341, -0.029, -0.043, -0.0962, -0.247, -0.1799, -0.1737, -0.1715, -0.0638, -0.0739, -0.1088, -0.0426, -0.0494, -0.0433, 0.0565, 0.0757, 0.0363, 0.0215, -0.0892, -0.0928, -0.0369, -0.0164, -0.1117, -0.076, -0.1562, -0.2512, -0.0658, -0.1429, -0.056, -0.0199, -0.0222, -0.0192, -0.0018, -0.0018, 0.0, 0.0795, 0.088, 0.1025, 0.1603, 0.162, 0.2004, 0.1962, 0.2009, 0.2411, 0.2164, 0.2135, 0.2351, 0.3041, 0.3093, 0.2742, 0.3268, 0.3115, 0.2495, 0.2582, 0.301, 0.3121, 0.2673, 0.2571, 0.1629, 0.1629, 0.1713, 0.1463, 0.1664, 0.1614, 0.1715, 0.2193, 0.1899, 0.1606, 0.1785, 0.234, 0.2311, 0.2182, 0.1951, 0.2049, 0.203, 0.1807, 0.1613, 0.1613, 0.1635, 0.1555, 0.1865, 0.2232, 0.2161, 0.2081, 0.2721, 0.1748, 0.266, 0.2714, 0.2714, 0.2452, 0.2492, 0.3073, 0.3272, 0.3676, 0.4194, 0.392, 0.4347, 0.4204, 0.3319, 0.3415, 0.3419, 0.2987, 0.3058, 0.2773, 0.2708, 0.242, 0.2432, 0.2647, 0.1538, 0.2249, 0.1816, 0.2066, 0.2651, 0.2435, 0.2596, 0.2412, 0.227, 0.1737, 0.1528, 0.1443, 0.0592, 0.0837, 0.0624, 0.127, 0.0801, 0.1057, 0.0765, 0.0663, 0.0524, 0.0524, 0.0751, 0.0393, 0.0309, 0.057, 0.0382, 0.0339, 0.0273, 0.026, 0.0431, 0.0316, 0.0545, 0.0376, 0.0987, 0.0849, 0.0572, 0.0315, 0.0175, -0.0537, -0.0274, 0.0273, 0.014, 0.065, 0.1088, 0.1066, 0.132, 0.0335, 0.041, 0.008, -0.0408, -0.0072, -0.0538]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1913271689045291418", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-04-18T16:41:32+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "1. Miners", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Ranks BTC miners, MSTR, then BTC as top 6-12 month return assets, predicated on BTC reaching $150-200k; highest convexity plays win.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI Bitcoin miner ETF; AI optionality context fits", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheBTCTherapist 1. Miners\n2. MSTR\n3. Bitcoin\n\nIt's all predicated on $150-200k BTC in that window. If we get it, the highest returns will accrue to the asset with the highest convexity at the far end of the BTC price curve.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Make your case below for what asset will have the best return over the next 6-12 months.\n\nBitcoin, MSTR, GME, leverage products, miners, gold, real estate, other equities, commodities etc.\n\nI want to hear it all and I want to know why👇", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBTCTherapist", "ret_m1d": 0.025553679436425503, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025553679436425503, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0011706474997335015, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0011706474997335015, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "bench_c_m1d": 0.024383031936692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11584332511635398, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11584332511635398, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08982562402943506, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08982562402943506, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02601770108691892, "ret_p1w": 0.22061330520291889, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22061330520291889, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14867021751259069, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14867021751259069, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0719430876903282, "ret_p1m": 0.5323679831217514, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5323679831217514, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.37869396724900795, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.37869396724900795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15367401587274343, "ret_p3m": 1.2853492714464219, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2853492714464219, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0595831181431936, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0595831181431936, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22576615330322825, "ret_p6m": 4.4335606609174345, "ret_signed_p6m": 4.4335606609174345, "alpha_spy_p6m": 4.137481451971078, "alpha_c_p6m": 4.137481451971078, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29607920894635686, "ret_p1y": 2.4505961764320263, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.4505961764320263, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.120014030302457, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.120014030302457, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3305821461295697, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5323679831217514, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.37869396724900795, "alpha_c_stated": 0.37869396724900795, "price_path": [1.1746, 1.1848, 1.2334, 0.77, 0.7743, 0.8024, 0.9165, 0.9208, 0.9327, 0.9225, 0.9131, 0.9387, 0.9719, 1.0017, 0.9029, 0.9361, 0.983, 0.9932, 0.9932, 0.9455, 0.9404, 0.9157, 0.7479, 0.6354, 0.4514, 0.4668, 0.4387, 0.5179, 0.4055, 0.385, 0.4651, 0.3458, 0.3901, 0.2334, 0.2845, 0.3024, 0.2411, 0.3032, 0.3092, 0.2138, 0.2947, 0.276, 0.2606, 0.3893, 0.333, 0.2198, 0.1959, 0.1184, 0.0877, 0.1644, 0.2129, 0.086, 0.0494, 0.0571, -0.0213, 0.1124, 0.023, 0.0664, 0.0818, 0.0204, 0.0145, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0, 0.1158, 0.1508, 0.1976, 0.2402, 0.2206, 0.2087, 0.1652, 0.2428, 0.2751, 0.2147, 0.2385, 0.2428, 0.3228, 0.3245, 0.3918, 0.4651, 0.4438, 0.4114, 0.5332, 0.5443, 0.5324, 0.5119, 0.5426, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5537, 0.471, 0.4395, 0.4029, 0.4651, 0.5264, 0.6346, 0.5503, 0.667, 0.7172, 0.7274, 0.7036, 0.6704, 0.6065, 0.678, 0.5911, 0.5928, 0.5928, 0.5826, 0.5409, 0.6542, 0.6593, 0.8313, 0.8492, 0.937, 0.9668, 1.1422, 1.2172, 1.2172, 1.1201, 1.121, 1.1499, 1.1712, 1.1107, 1.178, 1.1337, 1.2291, 1.2853, 1.2785, 1.2555, 1.3475, 1.3288, 1.3092, 1.2624, 1.2257, 1.1218, 1.1048, 1.1516, 0.9949, 1.115, 1.1167, 1.1917, 1.161, 1.1261, 1.1346, 1.1644, 1.1721, 1.2973, 1.2743, 1.4097, 1.2658, 1.3228, 1.2896, 1.4097, 1.437, 1.5034, 1.4966, 1.5273, 1.6082, 1.6082, 1.6951, 1.615, 1.4847, 1.5085, 1.529, 1.822, 2.023, 2.0383, 2.1789, 2.299, 2.3952, 2.5051, 2.5009, 2.54, 2.7453, 2.6542, 2.833, 2.5911, 2.4591, 2.7658, 2.7683, 2.839, 2.96, 3.1048, 3.454, 3.5468, 3.7172, 3.9037, 3.7138, 4.184, 4.4336]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926737141863768252", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-25T20:28:26+00:00", "symbol": "BUD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BUD is still cheap when looking at the performance of Michelob Ultra and Busch as well as the massive reduction in their debt and increasing cash flows. BUD is already in an uptrend.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers BUD (cheap, uptrend, improving fundamentals) over PEP (could fall further before recovering).", "resolved_tickers": ["BUD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ziv_roy @clearvisio1 @mcF_dan Tough question. I want to own both. BUD is still cheap when looking at the performance of Michelob Ultra and Busch as well as the massive reduction in their debt and increasing cash flows. PEP could go down more before it goes back up. BUD is already in an uptrend. Taxes too...", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @clearvisio1 @mcF_dan If you had 0 powder available would you trade $bud for $pep or is  trading apple for apples right now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ziv_roy", "ret_m1d": -0.01268353656033716, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01268353656033716, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007683699378503328, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007683699378503328, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005700463390229782, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005700463390229782, "alpha_spy_p1d": 8.498835076642397e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": 8.498835076642397e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": 0.006983073170107268, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006983073170107268, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.001373411253660306, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.001373411253660306, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.022801743219403536, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022801743219403536, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05285296494155156, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05285296494155156, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": -0.08992447343925236, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08992447343925236, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.184769467055645, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.184769467055645, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.1351004968457774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1351004968457774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2624478624586446, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2624478624586446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": 0.1677170075557457, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1677170075557457, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.11240923228487465, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.11240923228487465, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.022801743219403536, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05285296494155156, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05285296494155156, "price_path": [-0.1664, -0.1618, -0.1491, -0.1444, -0.1283, -0.1253, -0.1166, -0.1251, -0.1244, -0.1241, -0.14, -0.1267, -0.1129, -0.1101, -0.1164, -0.1169, -0.1206, -0.1381, -0.1357, -0.1333, -0.1295, -0.1309, -0.1377, -0.1371, -0.1301, -0.1189, -0.1466, -0.1697, -0.1802, -0.1428, -0.1496, -0.1242, -0.1123, -0.1136, -0.0945, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0809, -0.0629, -0.0724, -0.0778, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.09, -0.0781, -0.0892, -0.0753, -0.0757, -0.0734, -0.0666, -0.0452, -0.0413, -0.0609, -0.0607, -0.0557, -0.0378, -0.0366, -0.0217, -0.0229, -0.0195, -0.0259, -0.0127, -0.0127, 0.0, -0.0057, 0.0051, 0.0046, 0.0157, 0.007, 0.0194, 0.011, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0021, 0.0141, 0.0218, 0.015, 0.0152, 0.0046, 0.0111, 0.0111, 0.0145, 0.0187, 0.0006, -0.0228, -0.0148, -0.0238, -0.0207, -0.0131, -0.0118, -0.018, -0.018, -0.0228, -0.0372, -0.0379, -0.0362, -0.0381, -0.0338, -0.0459, -0.0349, -0.0331, -0.0322, -0.0286, -0.0118, 0.005, -0.0011, 0.0004, -0.0544, -0.0469, -0.0517, -0.1781, -0.1863, -0.1707, -0.1498, -0.1404, -0.1257, -0.1166, -0.1254, -0.1251, -0.1287, -0.1352, -0.1253, -0.1228, -0.113, -0.1009, -0.1013, -0.0899, -0.1016, -0.106, -0.1052, -0.1073, -0.1069, -0.1069, -0.1254, -0.1512, -0.1568, -0.1417, -0.1531, -0.1548, -0.1596, -0.159, -0.1683, -0.1656, -0.1744, -0.1618, -0.1652, -0.1541, -0.165, -0.1578, -0.1522, -0.1489, -0.1572, -0.1471, -0.1505, -0.1515, -0.1441, -0.1512, -0.1662, -0.1495, -0.1516, -0.1566, -0.1509, -0.1541, -0.1418, -0.1412, -0.123, -0.1144, -0.1159, -0.1187, -0.1193, -0.1223, -0.1265, -0.1217, -0.1191, -0.1244, -0.1448, -0.1321, -0.1285, -0.1179, -0.1042, -0.1039, -0.0982, -0.0972, -0.0771, -0.0801, -0.0797, -0.0904, -0.1147, -0.1284, -0.1351]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926737141863768252", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-05-25T20:28:26+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "PEP could go down more before it goes back up.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers BUD (cheap, uptrend, improving fundamentals) over PEP (could fall further before recovering).", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ziv_roy @clearvisio1 @mcF_dan Tough question. I want to own both. BUD is still cheap when looking at the performance of Michelob Ultra and Busch as well as the massive reduction in their debt and increasing cash flows. PEP could go down more before it goes back up. BUD is already in an uptrend. Taxes too...", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @clearvisio1 @mcF_dan If you had 0 powder available would you trade $bud for $pep or is  trading apple for apples right now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ziv_roy", "ret_m1d": -0.01545242612300679, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01545242612300679, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004914809815833698, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004914809815833698, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005328325982999149, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005328325982999149, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0004571257579970567, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0004571257579970567, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": 0.0036540684945269852, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0036540684945269852, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004702415929240589, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004702415929240589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.014807504335795918, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.014807504335795918, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04485872605794394, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04485872605794394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.15157163520938477, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15157163520938477, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05672664159299212, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05672664159299212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": 0.14317617693343165, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14317617693343165, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.015828811320564462, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.015828811320564462, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": 0.1770213256334987, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1770213256334987, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.10310491420712165, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.10310491420712165, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.014807504335795918, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04485872605794394, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04485872605794394, "price_path": [0.147, 0.158, 0.177, 0.1634, 0.1611, 0.1666, 0.1756, 0.1894, 0.1595, 0.1279, 0.1292, 0.1311, 0.152, 0.1341, 0.1274, 0.1201, 0.1072, 0.1148, 0.1079, 0.1315, 0.1393, 0.1363, 0.1414, 0.1393, 0.1351, 0.1522, 0.116, 0.09, 0.068, 0.1082, 0.0972, 0.0994, 0.1171, 0.0873, 0.0664, 0.0873, 0.0873, 0.0789, 0.092, 0.0829, 0.03, 0.0153, 0.0182, 0.0224, 0.032, 0.0166, 0.0181, 0.0047, -0.0048, 0.0042, 0.0005, -0.0071, 0.0024, -0.0081, -0.0222, 0.001, 0.0046, 0.0032, 0.0033, -0.0093, -0.0095, -0.0155, -0.0155, 0.0, -0.0053, 0.0042, 0.0006, -0.0035, 0.0037, 0.0028, -0.002, 0.0007, 0.0001, 0.0145, -0.0003, 0.0181, 0.007, 0.0113, -0.005, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0066, 0.0085, -0.0148, -0.0133, 0.0084, 0.0161, 0.0409, 0.0503, 0.0418, 0.0418, 0.0347, 0.0392, 0.0349, 0.0472, 0.0409, 0.0433, 0.0298, 0.0416, 0.1192, 0.1023, 0.0905, 0.1239, 0.1209, 0.1121, 0.1039, 0.0895, 0.1073, 0.0994, 0.0614, 0.0718, 0.074, 0.0732, 0.0835, 0.1076, 0.1175, 0.1149, 0.1303, 0.1493, 0.1437, 0.1574, 0.1509, 0.171, 0.16, 0.1465, 0.1516, 0.1405, 0.1313, 0.1362, 0.1311, 0.144, 0.144, 0.1565, 0.1439, 0.1304, 0.1376, 0.1012, 0.112, 0.1086, 0.1208, 0.1154, 0.0929, 0.0882, 0.0975, 0.0936, 0.1016, 0.0959, 0.1027, 0.1048, 0.0873, 0.0913, 0.0892, 0.0913, 0.1123, 0.1059, 0.1033, 0.0856, 0.0941, 0.0789, 0.1245, 0.1663, 0.157, 0.1776, 0.1746, 0.1864, 0.1945, 0.1939, 0.1903, 0.1892, 0.1774, 0.1777, 0.1861, 0.1666, 0.1358, 0.1466, 0.1352, 0.1159, 0.1105, 0.1101, 0.1002, 0.1108, 0.1083, 0.1274, 0.122, 0.1269, 0.1334, 0.1488, 0.1561, 0.1432]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1918697204098748482", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-03T16:00:35+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you can justify a minimum 10% allocation to BTC in every portfolio. 1% is NOT enough. Think bigger.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Argues for at least 10% portfolio allocation to BTC based on fixed supply vs infinite USD issuance.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin's supply issuance is rapidly and asymptotically approaching zero.\n\nUSD's supply issuance is arbitrarily and parabolically approaching infinity.\n\nWith just these 2 facts, you can justify a minimum 10% allocation to BTC in every portfolio. \n\n1% is NOT enough. Think bigger.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1923464432069316870", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-16T19:43:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bullish!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin; dismisses FUD from those who misunderstand how it works.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@YoBigSexy LOL. I love how many people still don’t understand how Bitcoin works. Bullish!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Well then we are all cooked. Thanks for the FUD.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YoBigSexy", "ret_m1d": 0.0024674202017735958, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0024674202017735958, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008761492378453806, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008761492378453806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00629407217668021, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00629407217668021, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020455166367232103, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020455166367232103, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01936134672424794, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01936134672424794, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0010938196429841618, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010938196429841618, "ret_p1w": 0.036704357010376, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.036704357010376, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.062099909629913075, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.062099909629913075, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025395552619537076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025395552619537076, "ret_p1m": 0.03195952721254591, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03195952721254591, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01768820681776262, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01768820681776262, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014271320394783293, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014271320394783293, "ret_p3m": 0.19185341417805235, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19185341417805235, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10333693714602532, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10333693714602532, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08851647703202703, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08851647703202703, "ret_p6m": 0.024227673319755505, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.024227673319755505, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12917071421030468, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12917071421030468, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1533983875300602, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1533983875300602, "ret_p1y": -0.21801516446184155, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21801516446184155, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.45003638295879944, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.45003638295879944, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2320212184969579, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2320212184969579, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03195952721254591, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01768820681776262, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01768820681776262, "price_path": [-0.0768, -0.0662, -0.0498, -0.0712, -0.1166, -0.1426, -0.185, -0.1815, -0.1847, -0.1684, -0.1572, -0.1243, -0.1307, -0.1618, -0.2412, -0.1993, -0.191, -0.2167, -0.1886, -0.1876, -0.2007, -0.1607, -0.1867, -0.1879, -0.1545, -0.1548, -0.1603, -0.1576, -0.1849, -0.2023, -0.177, -0.203, -0.197, -0.1898, -0.2344, -0.263, -0.2021, -0.2306, -0.1941, -0.1831, -0.1915, -0.188, -0.1797, -0.184, -0.1543, -0.0971, -0.0946, -0.0922, -0.0847, -0.0822, -0.0889, -0.0897, -0.0676, -0.0636, -0.0845, -0.0646, -0.0624, -0.0024, -0.005, -0.0065, 0.0066, 0.0005, 0.0025, 0.0, 0.0205, 0.0319, 0.0598, 0.0791, 0.0367, 0.0575, 0.0532, 0.0417, 0.0208, 0.0049, 0.0231, 0.0188, 0.012, -0.0185, 0.0087, 0.0658, 0.0654, 0.0502, 0.0236, 0.0251, 0.032, 0.0107, 0.0135, 0.0115, -0.0017, 0.0202, 0.0247, 0.0374, 0.0335, 0.0348, 0.0352, 0.0213, 0.0519, 0.0595, 0.0439, 0.0465, 0.0528, 0.0757, 0.1208, 0.1355, 0.1581, 0.1381, 0.1474, 0.1527, 0.1402, 0.1348, 0.1595, 0.1475, 0.1438, 0.1367, 0.1395, 0.1395, 0.1386, 0.1186, 0.095, 0.1119, 0.1029, 0.1115, 0.1354, 0.1275, 0.1473, 0.1612, 0.1919, 0.1437, 0.1344, 0.1233, 0.0903, 0.1042, 0.0863, 0.1293, 0.0641, 0.0803, 0.0747, 0.0875, 0.0476, 0.0557, 0.0745, 0.0796, 0.0699, 0.0692, 0.0829, 0.0777, 0.1011, 0.1161, 0.1219, 0.1155, 0.129, 0.1254, 0.1319, 0.1179, 0.0895, 0.0824, 0.0951, 0.0537, 0.0601, 0.1054, 0.1021, 0.1465, 0.1661, 0.1814, 0.2055, 0.1736, 0.192, 0.176, 0.094, 0.1138, 0.093, 0.0705, 0.0454, 0.0288, 0.0686, 0.0482, 0.0406, 0.0636, 0.0729, 0.1027, 0.0915, 0.0634, 0.0465, 0.0586, 0.0296, -0.0183, 0.0039, -0.0211, -0.0011, 0.0242]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918019800544219392", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-01T19:08:50+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why would you buy any of that for beta when you can just buy BTC directly or IBIT/BITB", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers direct BTC or spot ETFs (IBIT/BITB) over bitcoin treasury stocks or MSTR leaps for BTC beta exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wclemente Why would you buy any of that for beta when you can just buy BTC directly or IBIT/BITB?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Why would you buy the 10th bitcoin treasury stock for beta when you can just buy leaps on MSTR with more volume/liquidity and a proven track record of executing the btc acquisition strategy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WClemente", "ret_m1d": -0.02368088009580427, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02368088009580427, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016643771472353852, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016643771472353852, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0043291974532626565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0043291974532626565, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010514939057955752, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010514939057955752, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "ret_p1w": 0.06994467420056605, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06994467420056605, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05814452826279615, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05814452826279615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "ret_p1m": 0.07779099036281956, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07779099036281956, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02242540560985873, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02242540560985873, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "ret_p3m": 0.2220882341772772, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2220882341772772, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08122470549775684, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08122470549775684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "ret_p6m": 0.15070197851691436, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15070197851691436, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06894345299252191, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06894345299252191, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "ret_p1y": -0.21369378510388493, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21369378510388493, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.497280086104525, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.497280086104525, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07779099036281956, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02242540560985873, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02242540560985873, "price_path": [0.0509, 0.0143, 0.0013, 0.001, 0.0004, 0.0098, -0.0077, 0.0144, 0.0014, 0.0105, -0.0075, -0.0099, 0.0015, 0.0191, -0.0038, -0.0526, -0.0804, -0.1259, -0.1222, -0.1256, -0.1081, -0.0961, -0.0608, -0.0677, -0.101, -0.1861, -0.1413, -0.1323, -0.1599, -0.1298, -0.1287, -0.1427, -0.0999, -0.1277, -0.129, -0.0932, -0.0935, -0.0994, -0.0965, -0.1258, -0.1445, -0.1173, -0.1452, -0.1388, -0.1311, -0.1788, -0.2096, -0.1442, -0.1748, -0.1356, -0.1238, -0.1329, -0.1291, -0.1202, -0.1248, -0.093, -0.0316, -0.0289, -0.0264, -0.0184, -0.0157, -0.0229, -0.0237, 0.0, 0.0043, -0.0181, 0.0032, 0.0056, 0.0699, 0.0671, 0.0655, 0.0796, 0.073, 0.0752, 0.0725, 0.0945, 0.1067, 0.1367, 0.1573, 0.1119, 0.1342, 0.1296, 0.1172, 0.0948, 0.0778, 0.0973, 0.0927, 0.0854, 0.0527, 0.0819, 0.143, 0.1427, 0.1264, 0.0978, 0.0995, 0.1068, 0.084, 0.087, 0.0849, 0.0707, 0.0942, 0.099, 0.1126, 0.1085, 0.1098, 0.1103, 0.0954, 0.1282, 0.1363, 0.1196, 0.1224, 0.1291, 0.1537, 0.202, 0.2179, 0.2421, 0.2206, 0.2305, 0.2363, 0.2229, 0.2171, 0.2436, 0.2307, 0.2267, 0.2191, 0.2221, 0.2221, 0.2211, 0.1997, 0.1744, 0.1925, 0.1829, 0.1921, 0.2177, 0.2093, 0.2305, 0.2454, 0.2783, 0.2266, 0.2167, 0.2048, 0.1693, 0.1843, 0.1651, 0.2112, 0.1413, 0.1587, 0.1527, 0.1664, 0.1235, 0.1322, 0.1524, 0.1578, 0.1475, 0.1467, 0.1615, 0.1558, 0.181, 0.1971, 0.2032, 0.1964, 0.2109, 0.207, 0.214, 0.1989, 0.1685, 0.1609, 0.1745, 0.1301, 0.137, 0.1856, 0.182, 0.2296, 0.2507, 0.2671, 0.2929, 0.2587, 0.2784, 0.2613, 0.1733, 0.1946, 0.1723, 0.1481, 0.1212, 0.1034, 0.1461, 0.1242, 0.116, 0.1407, 0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918019800544219392", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-05-01T19:08:50+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why would you buy any of that for beta when you can just buy BTC directly or IBIT/BITB", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers direct BTC or spot ETFs (IBIT/BITB) over bitcoin treasury stocks or MSTR leaps for BTC beta exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wclemente Why would you buy any of that for beta when you can just buy BTC directly or IBIT/BITB?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Why would you buy the 10th bitcoin treasury stock for beta when you can just buy leaps on MSTR with more volume/liquidity and a proven track record of executing the btc acquisition strategy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WClemente", "ret_m1d": -0.026205685558014502, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026205685558014502, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019168576934564086, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019168576934564086, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0043675679788415245, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0043675679788415245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010476568532376884, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010476568532376884, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "ret_p1w": 0.04858959293674969, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04858959293674969, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03678944699897979, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03678944699897979, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "ret_p1m": 0.08207458159991377, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08207458159991377, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026708996846952937, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026708996846952937, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "ret_p3m": 0.2140127053367511, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2140127053367511, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07314917665723075, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07314917665723075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "ret_p6m": 0.14340311116846838, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14340311116846838, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0762423203409679, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0762423203409679, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "ret_p1y": -0.21292084805266132, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21292084805266132, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4965071490533014, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4965071490533014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08207458159991377, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.026708996846952937, "alpha_c_stated": 0.026708996846952937, "price_path": [0.0479, 0.0215, 0.0069, 0.0031, -0.0087, 0.0078, -0.0153, 0.0038, -0.0038, 0.0069, 0.0069, -0.0262, -0.0055, 0.0198, -0.0187, -0.028, -0.0895, -0.1272, -0.1383, -0.1283, -0.1101, -0.1012, -0.0639, -0.0784, -0.1005, -0.1827, -0.1403, -0.1419, -0.1716, -0.1239, -0.1254, -0.1481, -0.1154, -0.1292, -0.1319, -0.0868, -0.0875, -0.105, -0.1003, -0.1345, -0.1481, -0.121, -0.1008, -0.1525, -0.1318, -0.1944, -0.2067, -0.1478, -0.178, -0.1325, -0.1214, -0.1312, -0.1272, -0.1217, -0.1217, -0.0952, -0.0522, -0.0318, -0.0308, -0.0124, -0.0195, -0.0133, -0.0262, 0.0, 0.0044, -0.024, -0.0178, -0.0049, 0.0486, 0.0675, 0.0533, 0.085, 0.069, 0.0677, 0.0773, 0.0917, 0.1085, 0.1245, 0.1507, 0.1252, 0.1252, 0.1374, 0.1063, 0.0917, 0.0821, 0.0803, 0.0992, 0.0854, 0.0531, 0.0784, 0.1241, 0.1336, 0.1254, 0.1046, 0.0872, 0.1247, 0.0828, 0.0732, 0.0732, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.093, 0.1151, 0.1126, 0.105, 0.1139, 0.089, 0.1359, 0.1318, 0.1318, 0.1174, 0.125, 0.1571, 0.1738, 0.2231, 0.2408, 0.204, 0.2344, 0.2311, 0.2135, 0.2071, 0.2342, 0.2246, 0.2313, 0.2076, 0.2211, 0.214, 0.2078, 0.2069, 0.1687, 0.1865, 0.1747, 0.1922, 0.2162, 0.2035, 0.2309, 0.2366, 0.271, 0.2198, 0.2091, 0.202, 0.1682, 0.1811, 0.1591, 0.2056, 0.1443, 0.1483, 0.1583, 0.1571, 0.1181, 0.1181, 0.146, 0.1605, 0.1347, 0.1541, 0.1592, 0.1505, 0.1743, 0.1834, 0.208, 0.192, 0.2078, 0.1951, 0.2147, 0.1896, 0.1583, 0.154, 0.1723, 0.1301, 0.1272, 0.1823, 0.1829, 0.2146, 0.2515, 0.2704, 0.2974, 0.2581, 0.275, 0.251, 0.2047, 0.1976, 0.1631, 0.1496, 0.1179, 0.1005, 0.1452, 0.1554, 0.1139, 0.1385, 0.1434]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918019800544219392", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-05-01T19:08:50+00:00", "symbol": "BITB", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why would you buy any of that for beta when you can just buy BTC directly or IBIT/BITB", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers direct BTC or spot ETFs (IBIT/BITB) over bitcoin treasury stocks or MSTR leaps for BTC beta exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["BITB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wclemente Why would you buy any of that for beta when you can just buy BTC directly or IBIT/BITB?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Why would you buy the 10th bitcoin treasury stock for beta when you can just buy leaps on MSTR with more volume/liquidity and a proven track record of executing the btc acquisition strategy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WClemente", "ret_m1d": -0.025860441270309398, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025860441270309398, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01882333264685898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01882333264685898, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004183328010359366, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004183328010359366, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010660808500859043, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010660808500859043, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "ret_p1w": 0.04867848195214419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04867848195214419, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03687833601437429, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03687833601437429, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "ret_p1m": 0.08252519756599241, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08252519756599241, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.027159612813031586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027159612813031586, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "ret_p3m": 0.2152500411100906, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2152500411100906, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07438651243057026, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07438651243057026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "ret_p6m": 0.14394370931470157, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14394370931470157, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0757017221947347, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0757017221947347, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "ret_p1y": -0.21163721307894956, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21163721307894956, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.49522351407958964, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.49522351407958964, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08252519756599241, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.027159612813031586, "alpha_c_stated": 0.027159612813031586, "price_path": [0.0481, 0.0222, 0.0072, 0.004, -0.008, 0.0076, -0.0137, 0.0044, -0.0032, 0.0078, 0.0078, -0.0255, -0.0046, 0.0202, -0.0183, -0.0274, -0.0888, -0.1274, -0.1375, -0.1284, -0.1103, -0.1014, -0.0635, -0.0783, -0.1, -0.1825, -0.1403, -0.142, -0.1708, -0.1238, -0.1255, -0.1481, -0.1149, -0.1289, -0.1314, -0.0865, -0.0873, -0.1046, -0.0991, -0.1333, -0.1466, -0.1202, -0.1, -0.1521, -0.1312, -0.1932, -0.2061, -0.1487, -0.1766, -0.132, -0.1211, -0.1303, -0.1268, -0.1209, -0.1209, -0.0955, -0.0531, -0.0323, -0.031, -0.0125, -0.019, -0.0135, -0.0259, 0.0, 0.0042, -0.0243, -0.0173, -0.004, 0.0487, 0.0683, 0.054, 0.0852, 0.0688, 0.0673, 0.077, 0.0924, 0.1088, 0.1249, 0.1506, 0.1257, 0.1257, 0.139, 0.1071, 0.0924, 0.0825, 0.0812, 0.0994, 0.0865, 0.0542, 0.0793, 0.1245, 0.1333, 0.1259, 0.105, 0.088, 0.1249, 0.0835, 0.0747, 0.0747, 0.069, 0.0686, 0.0932, 0.1154, 0.1129, 0.1055, 0.1141, 0.0899, 0.136, 0.131, 0.131, 0.1177, 0.1253, 0.1573, 0.174, 0.2229, 0.2407, 0.2048, 0.2345, 0.2314, 0.2145, 0.208, 0.2345, 0.2251, 0.2318, 0.2088, 0.2211, 0.2153, 0.2086, 0.2073, 0.1696, 0.1869, 0.1761, 0.1926, 0.2166, 0.2048, 0.2314, 0.2377, 0.2715, 0.2206, 0.2099, 0.2029, 0.1692, 0.1818, 0.1595, 0.2069, 0.146, 0.1495, 0.1593, 0.158, 0.1194, 0.1194, 0.1458, 0.1609, 0.1356, 0.1544, 0.1595, 0.1517, 0.1753, 0.1846, 0.2094, 0.1928, 0.2088, 0.1962, 0.2158, 0.1905, 0.1599, 0.1546, 0.1734, 0.1306, 0.1289, 0.1835, 0.1831, 0.2154, 0.2512, 0.2706, 0.2982, 0.2577, 0.2763, 0.2518, 0.2056, 0.1989, 0.1647, 0.1508, 0.1192, 0.1006, 0.1464, 0.1569, 0.1143, 0.1398, 0.1439]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1930471088712233402", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-05T03:45:48+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN is making money hand over fist", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; decisive quality verdict that the company is highly profitable.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BeagleBitcoin IREN is making money hand over fist. Sorry if you missed it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred But unlike bitcoin mining stocks, the boat operator made money", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BeagleBitcoin", "ret_m1d": 0.053631341468157734, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053631341468157734, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04877511625102038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.050867189261352364, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0048562252171373554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027641522068053703, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0893854980764015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0893854980764015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07911646710263698, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0769470817559541, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010269030973764526, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012438416320447399, "ret_p1w": 0.1363128819026176, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1363128819026176, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11827050914331605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12940261650425144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01804237275930154, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006910265398366144, "ret_p1m": 0.879329614891385, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.879329614891385, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8217649099249917, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8255824837440013, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05756470496639321, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05374713114738361, "ret_p3m": 2.2525141039909937, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.2525141039909937, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1697000753644065, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.1908425121648785, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08281402862658727, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06167159182611548, "ret_p6m": 4.341899708623187, "ret_signed_p6m": 4.341899708623187, "alpha_spy_p6m": 4.182957610323946, "alpha_c_p6m": 4.281901020975764, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15894209829924089, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05999868764742389, "ret_p1y": 5.349721010298085, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.349721010298085, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.078010768652585, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.308416823471265, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27171024164549973, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0413041868268198, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.879329614891385, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8217649099249917, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8255824837440013, "price_path": [-0.2603, -0.2123, -0.2134, -0.2458, -0.1944, -0.1788, -0.2637, -0.1955, -0.1944, -0.2011, -0.1408, -0.1732, -0.2503, -0.2782, -0.3218, -0.3196, -0.2581, -0.2447, -0.3251, -0.3363, -0.343, -0.4078, -0.3408, -0.3866, -0.3709, -0.3575, -0.3911, -0.3888, -0.3754, -0.3754, -0.3844, -0.3229, -0.3184, -0.2961, -0.2693, -0.286, -0.2994, -0.3173, -0.2883, -0.2704, -0.3084, -0.2737, -0.2659, -0.2302, -0.2134, -0.1609, -0.0927, -0.1095, -0.1341, -0.0603, -0.0458, -0.038, -0.0067, 0.0369, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0324, -0.0101, -0.0391, -0.0626, -0.0246, -0.0067, 0.0536, 0.0, 0.0894, 0.1553, 0.1721, 0.1508, 0.1363, 0.0983, 0.162, 0.0916, 0.095, 0.095, 0.1698, 0.1911, 0.2894, 0.3263, 0.4648, 0.5642, 0.6279, 0.7017, 0.7497, 0.8793, 0.8793, 0.8939, 0.8872, 0.895, 0.9028, 0.8134, 0.9307, 0.886, 0.9341, 1.0168, 1.0045, 1.0279, 1.0771, 1.1218, 1.0268, 0.9799, 0.8525, 0.7642, 0.8034, 0.8, 0.7207, 0.8413, 0.838, 1.0469, 1.0749, 1.0615, 1.0078, 0.9922, 0.981, 1.1318, 1.2, 1.3134, 1.0927, 1.2078, 1.1888, 1.3944, 1.5832, 1.5687, 1.4978, 1.5743, 1.9587, 1.9587, 2.2525, 2.152, 1.9196, 1.9218, 1.9263, 2.3732, 2.7575, 2.6704, 2.7944, 3.1497, 3.0726, 3.2346, 3.0581, 3.3173, 3.6816, 3.667, 4.267, 4.1721, 3.6771, 4.1318, 4.2436, 4.2603, 4.2536, 4.638, 5.4525, 5.8916, 5.714, 6.1341, 5.6782, 6.1665, 6.7721, 6.5955, 5.9084, 5.7844, 5.6168, 5.167, 4.7911, 5.2413, 6.0279, 6.2615, 5.9743, 5.7508, 5.505, 5.7877, 6.5698, 6.4447, 7.5374, 6.4816, 5.9698, 5.7229, 5.4112, 5.2235, 4.4358, 4.181, 4.2972, 4.4581, 4.1207, 3.857, 3.7218, 4.4179, 4.3039, 4.4134, 4.4134, 4.3419]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1908214090922942637", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-04T17:44:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if Bitcoin is headed to $200,000+, everyone will be welcomed in Valhalla", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $200K+; short-term miner pain is temporary on the way to Valhalla.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rwp3d Agreed. Short term pain. But if Bitcoin is headed to $200,000+, everyone will be welcomed in Valhalla.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred But the miners, sir. This is insane.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RobSats", "ret_m1d": -0.00883758275595603, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00883758275595603, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.071020854810535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.071020854810535, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.062183272054578964, "bench_c_m1d": 0.062183272054578964, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05496492874072856, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05496492874072856, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05318374028833217, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05318374028833217, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0017811884523963872, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017811884523963872, "ret_p1w": -0.005235553797160231, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005235553797160231, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061956686089631674, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.061956686089631674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05672113229247144, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05672113229247144, "ret_p1m": 0.13005433186914628, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13005433186914628, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014811341003724054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014811341003724054, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11524299086542222, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11524299086542222, "ret_p3m": 0.29835854561034103, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29835854561034103, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06679528846208371, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06679528846208371, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.23156325714825732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.23156325714825732, "ret_p6m": 0.36444646374159095, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36444646374159095, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.043421512955174935, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.043421512955174935, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.321024950786416, "bench_c_p6m": 0.321024950786416, "ret_p1y": -0.15893774575435893, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.15893774575435893, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4664657934090203, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4664657934090203, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.30752804765466135, "bench_c_p1y": 0.30752804765466135, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13005433186914628, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014811341003724054, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014811341003724054, "price_path": [0.156, 0.1336, 0.1031, 0.1295, 0.1273, 0.1514, 0.1987, 0.1898, 0.2459, 0.2167, 0.266, 0.2363, 0.2399, 0.2502, 0.2176, 0.2086, 0.2369, 0.2492, 0.2214, 0.2095, 0.1673, 0.1523, 0.1521, 0.1513, 0.1621, 0.142, 0.1675, 0.1524, 0.163, 0.1423, 0.1395, 0.1526, 0.1728, 0.1465, 0.0903, 0.0584, 0.006, 0.0103, 0.0063, 0.0265, 0.0403, 0.0809, 0.073, 0.0346, -0.0634, -0.0117, -0.0014, -0.0331, 0.0015, 0.0028, -0.0134, 0.0359, 0.0039, 0.0024, 0.0436, 0.0433, 0.0365, 0.0398, 0.0061, -0.0154, 0.0158, -0.0162, -0.0088, 0.0, -0.055, -0.0903, -0.0151, -0.0503, -0.0052, 0.0083, -0.0021, 0.0023, 0.0125, 0.0072, 0.0438, 0.1145, 0.1175, 0.1205, 0.1297, 0.1328, 0.1245, 0.1236, 0.1509, 0.1558, 0.1301, 0.1546, 0.1573, 0.2314, 0.2281, 0.2262, 0.2424, 0.2349, 0.2374, 0.2343, 0.2596, 0.2737, 0.3081, 0.3319, 0.2796, 0.3053, 0.3, 0.2858, 0.26, 0.2404, 0.2628, 0.2575, 0.2491, 0.2115, 0.2451, 0.3155, 0.315, 0.2963, 0.2634, 0.2653, 0.2738, 0.2476, 0.2509, 0.2486, 0.2322, 0.2592, 0.2648, 0.2805, 0.2757, 0.2772, 0.2778, 0.2607, 0.2984, 0.3078, 0.2885, 0.2917, 0.2994, 0.3278, 0.3834, 0.4016, 0.4294, 0.4047, 0.4162, 0.4228, 0.4074, 0.4007, 0.4312, 0.4164, 0.4118, 0.403, 0.4065, 0.4065, 0.4054, 0.3806, 0.3516, 0.3725, 0.3614, 0.3719, 0.4014, 0.3917, 0.4161, 0.4333, 0.4711, 0.4117, 0.4002, 0.3865, 0.3457, 0.3629, 0.3408, 0.394, 0.3134, 0.3335, 0.3265, 0.3423, 0.293, 0.303, 0.3263, 0.3325, 0.3206, 0.3197, 0.3367, 0.3302, 0.3591, 0.3777, 0.3847, 0.3769, 0.3936, 0.3891, 0.3971, 0.3798, 0.3447, 0.336, 0.3517, 0.3006, 0.3085, 0.3644]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1919773372822782373", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-06T15:16:54+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect it to light a fire under their ass. Don't be surprised to see more new investors in the cap table soon. If anything CIFR has only become more valuable with dedicated financing in place.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: Fortress financing in place, Softbank still at 300MW site, multiple NDA prospects, more investors expected; stock more valuable now than Softbank's $4.80/share entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you missed @rftylerpage's comments on the Cipher earnings call, Softbank is still in the mix for the 300MW Barber Lake site. There are at least half a dozen others under NDA. Now that the Fortress financing agreement is in place, I expect it to light a fire under their ass.\n\n---\n\nDon't forget. Softbank paid $4.80 per share for more than 10M shares back in late January. If anything CIFR has only become more valuable with dedicated financing in place. Don't be surprised to see more new investors in the cap table soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019736823530408287, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019736823530408287, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028165600596797846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02811416072033346, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008428777066389559, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008377337189925171, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0065789411768027994, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0065789411768027994, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010784357976937886, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016594383123890277, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004205416800135087, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010015441947087478, "ret_p1w": 0.12828950980198406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12828950980198406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07811038527477221, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03960139219151304, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05017912452721185, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08868811761047102, "ret_p1m": 0.2302631764695917, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2302631764695917, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16381730304590314, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12201221516793814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06644587342368857, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10825096130165357, "ret_p3m": 0.6217104901980159, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6217104901980159, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5058230573143325, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.41659951131519324, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11588743288368342, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2051109788828227, "ret_p6m": 5.444079078424342, "ret_signed_p6m": 5.444079078424342, "alpha_spy_p6m": 5.206903893927851, "alpha_c_p6m": 5.016524676570589, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2371751844964909, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4275544018537527, "ret_p1y": 5.148026568613887, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.148026568613887, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.865686904559878, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.6809924111707435, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28233966405400945, "bench_c_p1y": 0.46703415744314425, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2302631764695917, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16381730304590314, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12201221516793814, "price_path": [0.9375, 0.9638, 0.9605, 0.875, 0.9013, 0.9671, 0.9934, 0.9934, 0.9408, 0.9803, 1.0, 0.8059, 0.6332, 0.3487, 0.3734, 0.3059, 0.3421, 0.2664, 0.2336, 0.3684, 0.2467, 0.2796, 0.0132, 0.0461, 0.0526, -0.0033, 0.0, 0.0263, -0.0559, 0.0066, -0.0132, -0.0395, 0.0526, 0.0, -0.1184, -0.1645, -0.2368, -0.2434, -0.1908, -0.1283, -0.2401, -0.3092, -0.2664, -0.3059, -0.1908, -0.2697, -0.2039, -0.1974, -0.2368, -0.2352, -0.2204, -0.2204, -0.2303, -0.0987, -0.0592, -0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0066, 0.0132, -0.0625, 0.0247, 0.0395, -0.0197, 0.0, -0.0066, 0.0263, -0.0197, 0.0362, 0.1283, 0.0888, 0.0428, 0.2697, 0.2533, 0.2434, 0.153, 0.1743, 0.1414, 0.1414, 0.1743, 0.102, 0.0691, 0.0263, 0.0691, 0.1299, 0.2303, 0.1612, 0.2829, 0.3618, 0.3355, 0.3421, 0.2632, 0.2237, 0.2928, 0.2105, 0.2533, 0.2533, 0.2467, 0.1612, 0.2664, 0.2664, 0.3783, 0.4013, 0.5724, 0.6118, 0.8684, 0.9901, 0.9901, 0.9046, 0.9836, 1.0592, 1.0526, 0.9309, 0.9836, 0.9638, 1.0625, 1.1118, 1.0921, 1.0559, 1.2829, 1.1974, 1.1875, 1.1283, 1.0263, 0.8684, 0.7928, 0.7961, 0.6217, 0.7072, 0.648, 0.7138, 0.602, 0.5625, 0.5658, 0.5526, 0.6118, 0.75, 0.7138, 0.9901, 0.8947, 0.9572, 0.9408, 1.0987, 1.1842, 1.3421, 1.2993, 1.3092, 1.5132, 1.5132, 1.7368, 1.6678, 1.4342, 1.4737, 1.5395, 2.0329, 2.3717, 2.2796, 2.5691, 2.5691, 2.7862, 3.0724, 2.898, 3.0395, 3.5921, 3.6546, 3.6513, 2.8355, 2.773, 3.1612, 3.1414, 3.1447, 3.5428, 3.8355, 4.0461, 4.1809, 4.7895, 4.9178, 4.5822, 5.6908, 5.8717, 5.9178, 5.1579, 5.1711, 5.5493, 4.9457, 4.2993, 4.676, 5.7961, 5.7566, 5.5658, 5.4441]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918132664365924533", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-02T02:37:19+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe sooner", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Endorses BTC reaching $104.5K, possibly sooner than next Thursday.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GoingParabolic Maybe sooner", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "BTC $104.5K next week Thursday.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GoingParabolic", "ret_m1d": -0.004310536290531575, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004310536290531575, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01031647487026488, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01031647487026488, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014627011160796455, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022309504244793943, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022309504244793943, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016575179447369304, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016575179447369304, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005734324797424639, "ret_p1w": 0.06254026264201618, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06254026264201618, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06681001889198679, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06681001889198679, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004269756249970613, "ret_p1m": 0.0925751153473553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0925751153473553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04678853741753297, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04678853741753297, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045786577929822325, "ret_p3m": 0.21588176667333903, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21588176667333903, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09312141479684888, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09312141479684888, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12276035187649015, "ret_p6m": 0.17757966491001764, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17757966491001764, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.038404499271927905, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.038404499271927905, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21598416418194555, "ret_p1y": -0.21212756124012844, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21212756124012844, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4686582472328532, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4686582472328532, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "bench_c_p1y": 0.25653068599272477, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06254026264201618, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06681001889198679, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06681001889198679, "price_path": [0.0099, -0.003, -0.0033, -0.0039, 0.0054, -0.012, 0.0101, -0.003, 0.0062, -0.0117, -0.0141, -0.0028, 0.0147, -0.0081, -0.0567, -0.0843, -0.1296, -0.126, -0.1294, -0.1119, -0.1, -0.0649, -0.0717, -0.1049, -0.1896, -0.145, -0.1361, -0.1635, -0.1335, -0.1324, -0.1464, -0.1038, -0.1315, -0.1328, -0.0971, -0.0974, -0.1033, -0.1004, -0.1296, -0.1482, -0.1212, -0.1488, -0.1425, -0.1348, -0.1824, -0.213, -0.1479, -0.1784, -0.1394, -0.1276, -0.1366, -0.1329, -0.124, -0.1286, -0.0969, -0.0358, -0.0331, -0.0306, -0.0226, -0.0199, -0.0271, -0.0279, -0.0043, 0.0, -0.0223, -0.0011, 0.0013, 0.0653, 0.0625, 0.0609, 0.0749, 0.0684, 0.0705, 0.0679, 0.0897, 0.102, 0.1318, 0.1523, 0.1071, 0.1293, 0.1247, 0.1124, 0.0901, 0.0731, 0.0926, 0.0879, 0.0807, 0.0481, 0.0772, 0.1381, 0.1377, 0.1215, 0.0931, 0.0947, 0.102, 0.0794, 0.0823, 0.0802, 0.066, 0.0894, 0.0943, 0.1078, 0.1037, 0.105, 0.1055, 0.0907, 0.1233, 0.1314, 0.1148, 0.1175, 0.1242, 0.1488, 0.1969, 0.2126, 0.2367, 0.2153, 0.2252, 0.2309, 0.2177, 0.2118, 0.2382, 0.2254, 0.2214, 0.2139, 0.2168, 0.2168, 0.2159, 0.1945, 0.1693, 0.1874, 0.1778, 0.187, 0.2124, 0.2041, 0.2252, 0.24, 0.2728, 0.2213, 0.2114, 0.1996, 0.1643, 0.1792, 0.16, 0.206, 0.1364, 0.1537, 0.1477, 0.1613, 0.1187, 0.1273, 0.1475, 0.1529, 0.1425, 0.1418, 0.1564, 0.1509, 0.1759, 0.1919, 0.198, 0.1913, 0.2057, 0.2018, 0.2087, 0.1938, 0.1634, 0.1559, 0.1694, 0.1253, 0.1321, 0.1805, 0.1769, 0.2243, 0.2453, 0.2616, 0.2873, 0.2532, 0.2729, 0.2559, 0.1682, 0.1895, 0.1673, 0.1432, 0.1164, 0.0986, 0.1412, 0.1194, 0.1112, 0.1358, 0.1457, 0.1776]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1930286849857335618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-04T15:33:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "May short all of them", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Considering shorting Bitcoin after claim that quantum computing could trivially mine all remaining BTC in 48 hours.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is not to be shared broadly but I was approached by one of the major quantum companies and they advised me to stop investing in Bitcoin mining because with their technology it would be “relatively trivial” to mine all remaining 21M Bitcoin in 48 hours. May short all of them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006688351979390328, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006688351979390328, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006419767429316714, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006419767429316714, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030134359325224014, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030134359325224014, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025301603060925548, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025301603060925548, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "ret_p1w": 0.03775962661836085, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03775962661836085, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028647797089161653, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028647797089161653, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "ret_p1m": 0.04693878586218658, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04693878586218658, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005514966651379405, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005514966651379405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "ret_p3m": 0.04314450262701808, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04314450262701808, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04248131131866861, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04248131131866861, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "ret_p6m": -0.12839066742833305, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12839066742833305, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2754706205620947, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2754706205620947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "ret_p1y": -0.27922455935515167, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.27922455935515167, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5447889353639666, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5447889353639666, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04693878586218658, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005514966651379405, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005514966651379405, "price_path": [-0.1718, -0.2502, -0.2088, -0.2006, -0.226, -0.1982, -0.1972, -0.2102, -0.1707, -0.1964, -0.1975, -0.1645, -0.1648, -0.1703, -0.1676, -0.1946, -0.2118, -0.1868, -0.2124, -0.2065, -0.1994, -0.2434, -0.2717, -0.2116, -0.2397, -0.2036, -0.1928, -0.2011, -0.1976, -0.1894, -0.1936, -0.1644, -0.1078, -0.1053, -0.103, -0.0956, -0.0931, -0.0998, -0.1005, -0.0787, -0.0747, -0.0953, -0.0757, -0.0735, -0.0142, -0.0168, -0.0183, -0.0054, -0.0114, -0.0094, -0.0119, 0.0083, 0.0197, 0.0472, 0.0663, 0.0244, 0.045, 0.0407, 0.0293, 0.0087, -0.007, 0.011, 0.0067, 0.0, -0.0301, -0.0033, 0.0531, 0.0528, 0.0378, 0.0114, 0.013, 0.0197, -0.0012, 0.0014, -0.0005, -0.0136, 0.0081, 0.0125, 0.0251, 0.0213, 0.0225, 0.0229, 0.0092, 0.0394, 0.0469, 0.0315, 0.0341, 0.0403, 0.063, 0.1075, 0.1221, 0.1443, 0.1246, 0.1337, 0.139, 0.1267, 0.1213, 0.1457, 0.1339, 0.1302, 0.1232, 0.126, 0.1259, 0.1251, 0.1053, 0.082, 0.0987, 0.0898, 0.0983, 0.1219, 0.1142, 0.1337, 0.1474, 0.1777, 0.1301, 0.1209, 0.11, 0.0773, 0.0911, 0.0734, 0.1159, 0.0515, 0.0675, 0.062, 0.0746, 0.0351, 0.0431, 0.0618, 0.0668, 0.0572, 0.0565, 0.0701, 0.0649, 0.0881, 0.1029, 0.1086, 0.1023, 0.1156, 0.1121, 0.1184, 0.1046, 0.0765, 0.0695, 0.0821, 0.0412, 0.0476, 0.0923, 0.089, 0.1329, 0.1523, 0.1674, 0.1912, 0.1596, 0.1778, 0.1621, 0.081, 0.1006, 0.0801, 0.0578, 0.033, 0.0166, 0.0559, 0.0358, 0.0282, 0.051, 0.0602, 0.0896, 0.0785, 0.0508, 0.0341, 0.0461, 0.0173, -0.03, -0.008, -0.0328, -0.013, 0.0121, -0.0166, -0.0293, -0.0481, -0.0987, -0.1207, -0.1125, -0.1267, -0.1728, -0.1875, -0.1572, -0.166, -0.1357, -0.1284]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1911772586708811887", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-14T13:24:38+00:00", "symbol": "GC=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Capital is slowly starting to leak out of gold. Gold is way overbought and declining in importance.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish gold (overbought, losing relevance to younger investors); bullish BTC as the new digital store of value, possibly backed by US government buying.", "resolved_tickers": ["GC=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Capital is slowly starting to leak out of gold. Gold is way overbought and declining in importance. Young people don’t want it. They want a digital store of value. I wouldn’t be surprised if the US Government dumps gold to buy Bitcoin. This would put the pressure back on China.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0054293254114596845, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0054293254114596845, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01503761637969836, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01503761637969836, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004337213595847489, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004337213595847489, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007138234996257209, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007138234996257209, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "ret_p1w": 0.06284320371793384, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06284320371793384, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10966043150349669, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10966043150349669, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "ret_p1m": 0.01107713412978173, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01107713412978173, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07743746119162398, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07743746119162398, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "ret_p3m": 0.035134751560178756, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.035134751560178756, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12911453498185366, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12911453498185366, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "ret_p6m": 0.2408262721758081, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2408262721758081, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.007427595559681199, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.007427595559681199, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "ret_p1y": 0.49251127135421036, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.49251127135421036, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.2631907607091122, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.2631907607091122, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01107713412978173, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07743746119162398, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07743746119162398, "price_path": [-0.1536, -0.143, -0.1437, -0.1437, -0.1404, -0.1364, -0.1378, -0.1334, -0.1458, -0.1367, -0.136, -0.1191, -0.1224, -0.1157, -0.1097, -0.104, -0.1088, -0.1053, -0.0906, -0.0912, -0.0923, -0.087, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.0852, -0.0891, -0.0826, -0.0834, -0.0802, -0.0937, -0.0899, -0.1003, -0.1148, -0.0982, -0.0921, -0.0903, -0.0899, -0.0936, -0.0979, -0.0911, -0.0829, -0.0688, -0.0656, -0.0639, -0.053, -0.0527, -0.0514, -0.0582, -0.0598, -0.0565, -0.0574, -0.0451, -0.0369, -0.0256, -0.0268, -0.0203, -0.0336, -0.0602, -0.0791, -0.0738, -0.0463, -0.0155, 0.0054, 0.0, 0.0043, 0.038, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0628, 0.0612, 0.0223, 0.0397, 0.0242, 0.0398, 0.0356, 0.0313, 0.0016, 0.0085, 0.0332, 0.0645, 0.0551, 0.0286, 0.0408, 0.0047, 0.0111, -0.0073, 0.005, -0.0071, 0.0075, 0.0236, 0.0326, 0.0273, 0.0496, 0.0496, 0.0294, 0.0277, 0.035, 0.0262, 0.0517, 0.0454, 0.0526, 0.0455, 0.0368, 0.0397, 0.0362, 0.0364, 0.0549, 0.0706, 0.0598, 0.0567, 0.0577, 0.0577, 0.051, 0.054, 0.0351, 0.0382, 0.0402, 0.0215, 0.028, 0.0412, 0.0447, 0.0396, 0.0398, 0.0398, 0.0319, 0.0333, 0.0351, 0.0472, 0.0458, 0.039, 0.0461, 0.0422, 0.0462, 0.0615, 0.0731, 0.0591, 0.0519, 0.0403, 0.0325, 0.037, 0.0284, 0.0276, 0.0446, 0.0529, 0.0553, 0.0547, 0.061, 0.0731, 0.0463, 0.045, 0.048, 0.0407, 0.0409, 0.0396, 0.0339, 0.0432, 0.0412, 0.0529, 0.0527, 0.0574, 0.0623, 0.0708, 0.0839, 0.0839, 0.1075, 0.1212, 0.1126, 0.1274, 0.1352, 0.1368, 0.1369, 0.1348, 0.1387, 0.149, 0.1511, 0.1488, 0.137, 0.1456, 0.1672, 0.1797, 0.1645, 0.166, 0.178, 0.1922, 0.1985, 0.2068, 0.1981, 0.2109, 0.2321, 0.2408]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1911772586708811887", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-14T13:24:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They want a digital store of value. I wouldn't be surprised if the US Government dumps gold to buy Bitcoin.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish gold (overbought, losing relevance to younger investors); bullish BTC as the new digital store of value, possibly backed by US government buying.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Capital is slowly starting to leak out of gold. Gold is way overbought and declining in importance. Young people don’t want it. They want a digital store of value. I wouldn’t be surprised if the US Government dumps gold to buy Bitcoin. This would put the pressure back on China.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013455435540565497, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013455435540565497, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038471445723268216, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038471445723268216, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01033089354397465, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01033089354397465, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007529872143564931, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007529872143564931, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "ret_p1w": 0.0352073747027426, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0352073747027426, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08202460248830545, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08202460248830545, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "ret_p1m": 0.23216071523290926, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23216071523290926, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14364611991150356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14364611991150356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "ret_p3m": 0.3719413689101603, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3719413689101603, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20769208236812786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20769208236812786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "ret_p6m": 0.43657379350928416, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43657379350928416, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18831992577379486, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18831992577379486, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "ret_p1y": -0.19474060073043975, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19474060073043975, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4240611113755379, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4240611113755379, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23216071523290926, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14364611991150356, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14364611991150356, "price_path": [0.1888, 0.18, 0.2356, 0.2067, 0.2555, 0.226, 0.2297, 0.2398, 0.2075, 0.1986, 0.2266, 0.2388, 0.2113, 0.1995, 0.1577, 0.1428, 0.1425, 0.1418, 0.1525, 0.1325, 0.1578, 0.1429, 0.1534, 0.1328, 0.1301, 0.143, 0.1631, 0.137, 0.0813, 0.0496, -0.0023, 0.0019, -0.002, 0.018, 0.0317, 0.0719, 0.0641, 0.026, -0.0711, -0.0199, -0.0097, -0.0411, -0.0068, -0.0055, -0.0216, 0.0273, -0.0044, -0.0059, 0.035, 0.0346, 0.0279, 0.0312, -0.0022, -0.0236, 0.0074, -0.0243, -0.017, -0.0083, -0.0628, -0.0978, -0.0233, -0.0582, -0.0135, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.006, 0.0042, -0.0011, 0.0352, 0.1053, 0.1083, 0.1112, 0.1204, 0.1234, 0.1152, 0.1143, 0.1413, 0.1463, 0.1207, 0.145, 0.1477, 0.2212, 0.218, 0.2161, 0.2322, 0.2247, 0.2271, 0.2241, 0.2492, 0.2632, 0.2973, 0.3209, 0.269, 0.2945, 0.2892, 0.2751, 0.2496, 0.2301, 0.2524, 0.2471, 0.2388, 0.2015, 0.2348, 0.3046, 0.3042, 0.2856, 0.253, 0.2549, 0.2632, 0.2373, 0.2406, 0.2382, 0.222, 0.2488, 0.2543, 0.2699, 0.2652, 0.2667, 0.2672, 0.2502, 0.2876, 0.297, 0.2779, 0.281, 0.2887, 0.3168, 0.3719, 0.39, 0.4176, 0.3931, 0.4045, 0.411, 0.3958, 0.3891, 0.4194, 0.4047, 0.4001, 0.3914, 0.3949, 0.3948, 0.3938, 0.3692, 0.3404, 0.3611, 0.3501, 0.3606, 0.3898, 0.3802, 0.4044, 0.4215, 0.459, 0.4, 0.3886, 0.3751, 0.3346, 0.3517, 0.3297, 0.3824, 0.3026, 0.3224, 0.3156, 0.3312, 0.2823, 0.2923, 0.3153, 0.3215, 0.3097, 0.3088, 0.3256, 0.3192, 0.3479, 0.3663, 0.3733, 0.3655, 0.3821, 0.3776, 0.3855, 0.3684, 0.3336, 0.325, 0.3405, 0.2899, 0.2977, 0.3532, 0.3491, 0.4034, 0.4275, 0.4462, 0.4756, 0.4366]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1908720496834916743", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-06T03:16:43+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Soon we'll be saying the same thing about Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; implies BTC will reach similarly impressive gains.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pokerkat Soon we’ll be saying the same thing about Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bagging 209k", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pokerkat", "ret_m1d": 0.05816178723133203, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05816178723133203, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05637742048549321, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05637742048549321, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017843667458388168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017843667458388168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03739976334343409, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03739976334343409, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02173700902653608, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02173700902653608, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01566275431689801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01566275431689801, "ret_p1w": 0.0669783831255053, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0669783831255053, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0018984064181866156, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0018984064181866156, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06887678954369192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06887678954369192, "ret_p1m": 0.22170841351460635, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22170841351460635, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11381361838392356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11381361838392356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10789479513068279, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10789479513068279, "ret_p3m": 0.3838267392339849, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3838267392339849, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14034228243536173, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14034228243536173, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.24348445679862318, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24348445679862318, "ret_p6m": 0.43945986456681707, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43945986456681707, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11109288164678155, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11109288164678155, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3283669829200355, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3283669829200355, "ret_p1y": -0.10002422569712477, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10002422569712477, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4171848307914606, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4171848307914606, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31716060509433586, "bench_c_p1y": 0.31716060509433586, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22170841351460635, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11381361838392356, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11381361838392356, "price_path": [0.1995, 0.1672, 0.1952, 0.1929, 0.2183, 0.2684, 0.259, 0.3184, 0.2875, 0.3396, 0.3082, 0.312, 0.3229, 0.2884, 0.2789, 0.3088, 0.3218, 0.2924, 0.2798, 0.2352, 0.2193, 0.2191, 0.2183, 0.2297, 0.2084, 0.2354, 0.2195, 0.2306, 0.2087, 0.2058, 0.2196, 0.241, 0.2132, 0.1538, 0.1199, 0.0645, 0.069, 0.0648, 0.0862, 0.1008, 0.1437, 0.1354, 0.0947, -0.0089, 0.0458, 0.0566, 0.0231, 0.0597, 0.0611, 0.044, 0.0962, 0.0622, 0.0607, 0.1043, 0.1039, 0.0967, 0.1002, 0.0646, 0.0418, 0.0749, 0.041, 0.0488, 0.0582, 0.0, -0.0374, 0.0421, 0.0049, 0.0526, 0.067, 0.056, 0.0606, 0.0714, 0.0658, 0.1045, 0.1793, 0.1825, 0.1856, 0.1954, 0.1987, 0.1899, 0.189, 0.2178, 0.2231, 0.1958, 0.2217, 0.2246, 0.303, 0.2996, 0.2976, 0.3147, 0.3067, 0.3093, 0.3061, 0.3328, 0.3478, 0.3842, 0.4094, 0.354, 0.3812, 0.3756, 0.3605, 0.3333, 0.3125, 0.3363, 0.3306, 0.3218, 0.282, 0.3175, 0.392, 0.3915, 0.3717, 0.3369, 0.3389, 0.3478, 0.3201, 0.3237, 0.3212, 0.3038, 0.3325, 0.3384, 0.355, 0.3499, 0.3515, 0.3521, 0.334, 0.3739, 0.3838, 0.3635, 0.3668, 0.375, 0.405, 0.4638, 0.4831, 0.5126, 0.4864, 0.4986, 0.5055, 0.4893, 0.4822, 0.5144, 0.4988, 0.4939, 0.4846, 0.4883, 0.4883, 0.4871, 0.4609, 0.4302, 0.4523, 0.4405, 0.4517, 0.4829, 0.4727, 0.4985, 0.5167, 0.5567, 0.4938, 0.4816, 0.4672, 0.424, 0.4422, 0.4188, 0.475, 0.3898, 0.411, 0.4037, 0.4204, 0.3682, 0.3788, 0.4034, 0.41, 0.3974, 0.3965, 0.4144, 0.4076, 0.4382, 0.4578, 0.4653, 0.457, 0.4746, 0.4699, 0.4783, 0.4601, 0.423, 0.4137, 0.4303, 0.3763, 0.3846, 0.4438, 0.4395]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1930026457650344285", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-03T22:19:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is no such thing as a \"final push\" in Bitcoin unless they end the global fiat system", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Implicitly bullish BTC long-term; rejects notion of a final top unless fiat collapses, suggesting Bitcoin keeps rising indefinitely.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GertvanLagen There is no such thing as a “final push” in Bitcoin unless they end the global fiat system", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC [1W] Step-like formation playing out like ⏰\n\nStructure is setup for a swift inal push to the HTF sell line at ~$320k. https://t.co/eeiEmvc2pE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GertvanLagen", "ret_m1d": 0.004259242957355136, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004259242957355136, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003990658407281522, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003990658407281522, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002685845500736139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0066439151364365845, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0066439151364365845, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018111588721381189, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018111588721381189, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004832756264298466, "ret_p1w": 0.04576166793969727, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04576166793969727, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03664983841049807, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03664983841049807, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0091118295291992, "ret_p1m": 0.03250281059647486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03250281059647486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019950941917091125, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019950941917091125, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05245375251356599, "ret_p3m": 0.0282490510068798, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0282490510068798, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05737676293880689, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05737676293880689, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08562581394568669, "ret_p6m": -0.14145643879272252, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14145643879272252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28853639192648417, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28853639192648417, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14707995313376165, "ret_p1y": -0.26456078668839855, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26456078668839855, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5301251626972134, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5301251626972134, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2655643760088149, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.26456078668839855, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5301251626972134, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5301251626972134, "price_path": [-0.1467, -0.1773, -0.2551, -0.2141, -0.2059, -0.2311, -0.2036, -0.2026, -0.2154, -0.1762, -0.2017, -0.2029, -0.1701, -0.1704, -0.1758, -0.1731, -0.1999, -0.217, -0.1922, -0.2176, -0.2118, -0.2048, -0.2485, -0.2766, -0.2168, -0.2448, -0.2089, -0.1981, -0.2064, -0.203, -0.1948, -0.199, -0.1699, -0.1137, -0.1113, -0.109, -0.1016, -0.0992, -0.1057, -0.1065, -0.0848, -0.0808, -0.1013, -0.0819, -0.0797, -0.0208, -0.0233, -0.0248, -0.012, -0.018, -0.016, -0.0184, 0.0016, 0.0129, 0.0403, 0.0592, 0.0176, 0.038, 0.0338, 0.0225, 0.002, -0.0136, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0066, -0.0366, -0.0099, 0.0461, 0.0458, 0.0309, 0.0047, 0.0062, 0.0129, -0.0079, -0.0052, -0.0071, -0.0201, 0.0014, 0.0058, 0.0183, 0.0145, 0.0157, 0.0162, 0.0025, 0.0325, 0.04, 0.0247, 0.0272, 0.0334, 0.0559, 0.1001, 0.1146, 0.1367, 0.1171, 0.1262, 0.1314, 0.1192, 0.1139, 0.1381, 0.1264, 0.1227, 0.1157, 0.1185, 0.1185, 0.1176, 0.0979, 0.0748, 0.0914, 0.0826, 0.091, 0.1144, 0.1068, 0.1261, 0.1398, 0.1699, 0.1226, 0.1135, 0.1026, 0.0702, 0.0839, 0.0663, 0.1085, 0.0445, 0.0604, 0.0549, 0.0675, 0.0282, 0.0362, 0.0547, 0.0597, 0.0502, 0.0495, 0.063, 0.0578, 0.0808, 0.0956, 0.1012, 0.095, 0.1082, 0.1047, 0.111, 0.0973, 0.0694, 0.0624, 0.0749, 0.0343, 0.0406, 0.0851, 0.0818, 0.1254, 0.1446, 0.1597, 0.1832, 0.1519, 0.17, 0.1543, 0.0738, 0.0933, 0.0729, 0.0507, 0.0261, 0.0098, 0.0489, 0.0289, 0.0214, 0.044, 0.0531, 0.0824, 0.0714, 0.0438, 0.0273, 0.0391, 0.0106, -0.0364, -0.0146, -0.0392, -0.0195, 0.0054, -0.0231, -0.0358, -0.0544, -0.1047, -0.1265, -0.1184, -0.1325, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.1628, -0.1716, -0.1415]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1936929361585914348", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-22T23:28:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's pretty obvious now. The path is higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $121K; recent downside volatility was the necessary shakeout before resuming higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This was the downside volatility we needed to unlock $121,000. It’s pretty obvious now. In life and markets, it’s always easier to predict the ultimate destination than it is to predict the exact path it will take to get there. Don’t be fooled by randomness. The path is higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "ret_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "ret_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "ret_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "ret_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "ret_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08872125927354446, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08872125927354446, "price_path": [-0.1769, -0.1743, -0.201, -0.2181, -0.1933, -0.2187, -0.2129, -0.2059, -0.2495, -0.2776, -0.2179, -0.2458, -0.21, -0.1992, -0.2075, -0.2041, -0.1959, -0.2001, -0.171, -0.1149, -0.1125, -0.1102, -0.1028, -0.1004, -0.107, -0.1077, -0.0861, -0.0821, -0.1026, -0.0831, -0.0809, -0.0221, -0.0247, -0.0262, -0.0133, -0.0193, -0.0174, -0.0198, 0.0003, 0.0115, 0.0388, 0.0577, 0.0162, 0.0366, 0.0324, 0.0211, 0.0006, -0.015, 0.0029, -0.0014, -0.008, -0.0379, -0.0112, 0.0447, 0.0443, 0.0294, 0.0033, 0.0049, 0.0115, -0.0093, -0.0066, -0.0085, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0169, 0.0131, 0.0143, 0.0148, 0.0011, 0.0311, 0.0386, 0.0233, 0.0258, 0.0319, 0.0545, 0.0986, 0.1131, 0.1352, 0.1155, 0.1247, 0.1299, 0.1177, 0.1124, 0.1366, 0.1248, 0.1211, 0.1142, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1161, 0.0964, 0.0733, 0.0899, 0.0811, 0.0895, 0.1129, 0.1052, 0.1246, 0.1382, 0.1683, 0.1211, 0.112, 0.1011, 0.0687, 0.0824, 0.0648, 0.107, 0.0431, 0.059, 0.0535, 0.066, 0.0268, 0.0348, 0.0533, 0.0582, 0.0487, 0.0481, 0.0615, 0.0564, 0.0793, 0.0941, 0.0997, 0.0935, 0.1067, 0.1032, 0.1095, 0.0958, 0.0679, 0.061, 0.0734, 0.0329, 0.0392, 0.0836, 0.0803, 0.1238, 0.1431, 0.1581, 0.1816, 0.1503, 0.1684, 0.1528, 0.0723, 0.0918, 0.0714, 0.0493, 0.0247, 0.0084, 0.0475, 0.0275, 0.02, 0.0425, 0.0517, 0.0809, 0.0699, 0.0424, 0.0258, 0.0377, 0.0092, -0.0378, -0.016, -0.0405, -0.0209, 0.004, -0.0244, -0.0371, -0.0557, -0.1059, -0.1277, -0.1196, -0.1337, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.1639, -0.1727, -0.1426, -0.1354, -0.1388, -0.1824, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1273, -0.1533, -0.1415, -0.1221, -0.1284, -0.1238, -0.145, -0.1815, -0.168]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1909379268515385361", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-07T22:54:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin to $315,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish macro scenario: BTC to $315K, MSTR to $1500, miners 10-15x in 9 months, DXY to 90 on rate cuts and tariff rollback.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ok, picture this. China, Japan, and EU capitulate. Other tariffs dialed back. The Fed lowers rates 4x. Yields drop. Inflation at 1%. DXY to 90. Bitcoin to $315,000. MSTR to $1500. Miners 10-15x in 9 months. Everyone gets new girlfriends and a bulletproof Cybertruck. Visualize it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05816178723133203, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05816178723133203, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04224980748497131, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04224980748497131, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015911979746360716, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015911979746360716, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03739976334343409, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03739976334343409, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.14241901666751222, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.14241901666751222, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.10501925332407813, "bench_c_p1d": 0.10501925332407813, "ret_p1w": 0.0669783831255053, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0669783831255053, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01586476586261054, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01586476586261054, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.08284314898811584, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08284314898811584, "ret_p1m": 0.22170841351460635, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22170841351460635, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09145152300872406, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09145152300872406, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1302568905058823, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1302568905058823, "ret_p3m": 0.3838267392339849, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3838267392339849, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1205559829438676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1205559829438676, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2632707562901173, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2632707562901173, "ret_p6m": 0.43945986456681707, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43945986456681707, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08535740058015717, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08535740058015717, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3541024639866599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3541024639866599, "ret_p1y": -0.10002422569712477, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10002422569712477, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4142463535060855, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4142463535060855, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31422212780896075, "bench_c_p1y": 0.31422212780896075, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22170841351460635, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09145152300872406, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09145152300872406, "price_path": [0.1995, 0.1672, 0.1952, 0.1929, 0.2183, 0.2684, 0.259, 0.3184, 0.2875, 0.3396, 0.3082, 0.312, 0.3229, 0.2884, 0.2789, 0.3088, 0.3218, 0.2924, 0.2798, 0.2352, 0.2193, 0.2191, 0.2183, 0.2297, 0.2084, 0.2354, 0.2195, 0.2306, 0.2087, 0.2058, 0.2196, 0.241, 0.2132, 0.1538, 0.1199, 0.0645, 0.069, 0.0648, 0.0862, 0.1008, 0.1437, 0.1354, 0.0947, -0.0089, 0.0458, 0.0566, 0.0231, 0.0597, 0.0611, 0.044, 0.0962, 0.0622, 0.0607, 0.1043, 0.1039, 0.0967, 0.1002, 0.0646, 0.0418, 0.0749, 0.041, 0.0488, 0.0582, 0.0, -0.0374, 0.0421, 0.0049, 0.0526, 0.067, 0.056, 0.0606, 0.0714, 0.0658, 0.1045, 0.1793, 0.1825, 0.1856, 0.1954, 0.1987, 0.1899, 0.189, 0.2178, 0.2231, 0.1958, 0.2217, 0.2246, 0.303, 0.2996, 0.2976, 0.3147, 0.3067, 0.3093, 0.3061, 0.3328, 0.3478, 0.3842, 0.4094, 0.354, 0.3812, 0.3756, 0.3605, 0.3333, 0.3125, 0.3363, 0.3306, 0.3218, 0.282, 0.3175, 0.392, 0.3915, 0.3717, 0.3369, 0.3389, 0.3478, 0.3201, 0.3237, 0.3212, 0.3038, 0.3325, 0.3384, 0.355, 0.3499, 0.3515, 0.3521, 0.334, 0.3739, 0.3838, 0.3635, 0.3668, 0.375, 0.405, 0.4638, 0.4831, 0.5126, 0.4864, 0.4986, 0.5055, 0.4893, 0.4822, 0.5144, 0.4988, 0.4939, 0.4846, 0.4883, 0.4883, 0.4871, 0.4609, 0.4302, 0.4523, 0.4405, 0.4517, 0.4829, 0.4727, 0.4985, 0.5167, 0.5567, 0.4938, 0.4816, 0.4672, 0.424, 0.4422, 0.4188, 0.475, 0.3898, 0.411, 0.4037, 0.4204, 0.3682, 0.3788, 0.4034, 0.41, 0.3974, 0.3965, 0.4144, 0.4076, 0.4382, 0.4578, 0.4653, 0.457, 0.4746, 0.4699, 0.4783, 0.4601, 0.423, 0.4137, 0.4303, 0.3763, 0.3846, 0.4438, 0.4395]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1909379268515385361", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-07T22:54:26+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MSTR to $1500", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish macro scenario: BTC to $315K, MSTR to $1500, miners 10-15x in 9 months, DXY to 90 on rate cuts and tariff rollback.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ok, picture this. China, Japan, and EU capitulate. Other tariffs dialed back. The Fed lowers rates 4x. Yields drop. Inflation at 1%. DXY to 90. Bitcoin to $315,000. MSTR to $1500. Miners 10-15x in 9 months. Everyone gets new girlfriends and a bulletproof Cybertruck. Visualize it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.126875470003734, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.126875470003734, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11096349025737329, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11096349025737329, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015911979746360716, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015911979746360716, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2475729739813115, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2475729739813115, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.14255372065723337, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.14255372065723337, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.10501925332407813, "bench_c_p1d": 0.10501925332407813, "ret_p1w": 0.3058205724133274, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3058205724133274, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22297742342521154, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22297742342521154, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.08284314898811584, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08284314898811584, "ret_p1m": 0.6494222148349034, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6494222148349034, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5191653243290211, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5191653243290211, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1302568905058823, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1302568905058823, "ret_p3m": 0.6977936348629123, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6977936348629123, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.43452287857279503, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.43452287857279503, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2632707562901173, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2632707562901173, "ret_p6m": 0.42218956924684803, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.42218956924684803, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06808710526018813, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06808710526018813, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3541024639866599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3541024639866599, "ret_p1y": -0.4413532490832702, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4413532490832702, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.755575376892231, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.755575376892231, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31422212780896075, "bench_c_p1y": 0.31422212780896075, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6494222148349034, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5191653243290211, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5191653243290211, "price_path": [0.394, 0.3781, 0.3801, 0.438, 0.5155, 0.5423, 0.6663, 0.6663, 0.6352, 0.5857, 0.5681, 0.4863, 0.4622, 0.4118, 0.4341, 0.4292, 0.407, 0.4587, 0.4638, 0.415, 0.3678, 0.3766, 0.4063, 0.3426, 0.3735, 0.3655, 0.4193, 0.4193, 0.4035, 0.3392, 0.3613, 0.2595, 0.1883, 0.0528, 0.1064, 0.0088, 0.0735, 0.0545, 0.1563, 0.2967, 0.278, 0.2069, 0.0055, 0.0951, 0.1034, 0.1064, 0.2502, 0.2367, 0.1901, 0.2785, 0.2695, 0.2776, 0.4109, 0.4365, 0.3839, 0.3641, 0.2163, 0.2115, 0.2861, 0.3135, 0.1863, 0.2339, 0.1269, 0.0, 0.2476, 0.1445, 0.2607, 0.3089, 0.3058, 0.3098, 0.3331, 0.3331, 0.3354, 0.4416, 0.453, 0.4723, 0.5495, 0.5518, 0.6031, 0.5974, 0.6037, 0.6574, 0.6244, 0.6205, 0.6494, 0.7415, 0.7484, 0.7016, 0.7718, 0.7514, 0.6685, 0.6802, 0.7374, 0.7521, 0.6923, 0.6788, 0.5529, 0.5529, 0.5642, 0.5308, 0.5576, 0.551, 0.5645, 0.6282, 0.589, 0.5499, 0.5737, 0.6479, 0.644, 0.6269, 0.596, 0.609, 0.6064, 0.5767, 0.5509, 0.5509, 0.5537, 0.5431, 0.5845, 0.6334, 0.624, 0.6133, 0.6988, 0.5688, 0.6906, 0.6978, 0.6978, 0.6628, 0.6682, 0.7458, 0.7724, 0.8264, 0.8954, 0.8588, 0.9159, 0.8968, 0.7786, 0.7915, 0.792, 0.7343, 0.7437, 0.7058, 0.697, 0.6586, 0.6602, 0.6888, 0.5408, 0.6358, 0.5779, 0.6113, 0.6895, 0.6606, 0.6821, 0.6574, 0.6386, 0.5673, 0.5395, 0.5281, 0.4145, 0.4472, 0.4187, 0.5051, 0.4423, 0.4766, 0.4375, 0.424, 0.4054, 0.4054, 0.4357, 0.3879, 0.3767, 0.4115, 0.3864, 0.3807, 0.3719, 0.3701, 0.3929, 0.3776, 0.4082, 0.3856, 0.4672, 0.4488, 0.4118, 0.3775, 0.3587, 0.2637, 0.2988, 0.3718, 0.3541, 0.4222]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1909379268515385361", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-04-07T22:54:26+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Miners 10-15x in 9 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish macro scenario: BTC to $315K, MSTR to $1500, miners 10-15x in 9 months, DXY to 90 on rate cuts and tariff rollback.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI Bitcoin miner ETF; AI optionality context fits", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ok, picture this. China, Japan, and EU capitulate. Other tariffs dialed back. The Fed lowers rates 4x. Yields drop. Inflation at 1%. DXY to 90. Bitcoin to $315,000. MSTR to $1500. Miners 10-15x in 9 months. Everyone gets new girlfriends and a bulletproof Cybertruck. Visualize it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08006963399655609, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08006963399655609, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06415765425019537, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06415765425019537, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015911979746360716, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015911979746360716, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1366406161682412, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1366406161682412, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03162136284416306, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03162136284416306, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.10501925332407813, "bench_c_p1d": 0.10501925332407813, "ret_p1w": 0.04264575986762442, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04264575986762442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04019738912049142, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04019738912049142, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.08284314898811584, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08284314898811584, "ret_p1m": 0.269799864510184, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.269799864510184, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1395429740043017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1395429740043017, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1302568905058823, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1302568905058823, "ret_p3m": 1.265448320728066, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.265448320728066, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0021775644379487, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0021775644379487, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.2632707562901173, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2632707562901173, "ret_p6m": 2.9225413918731675, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.9225413918731675, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.5684389278865076, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.5684389278865076, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3541024639866599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3541024639866599, "ret_p1y": 2.2271542706433145, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.2271542706433145, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.9129321428343538, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9129321428343538, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31422212780896075, "bench_c_p1y": 0.31422212780896075, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.269799864510184, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1395429740043017, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1395429740043017, "price_path": [1.0148, 1.0113, 0.9339, 1.0078, 1.1384, 1.141, 1.208, 1.208, 1.1732, 1.2219, 1.2324, 1.282, 0.8085, 0.8129, 0.8416, 0.9582, 0.9626, 0.9748, 0.9643, 0.9547, 0.9809, 1.0148, 1.0453, 0.9443, 0.9782, 1.0261, 1.0366, 1.0366, 0.9878, 0.9826, 0.9574, 0.7859, 0.671, 0.483, 0.4987, 0.47, 0.5509, 0.436, 0.4151, 0.497, 0.3751, 0.4204, 0.2602, 0.3124, 0.3307, 0.2681, 0.3316, 0.3377, 0.2402, 0.3229, 0.3037, 0.2881, 0.4195, 0.3621, 0.2463, 0.2219, 0.1427, 0.1114, 0.1897, 0.2393, 0.1097, 0.0722, 0.0801, 0.0, 0.1366, 0.0453, 0.0896, 0.1053, 0.0426, 0.0366, 0.0479, 0.0479, 0.0218, 0.1401, 0.1758, 0.2237, 0.2672, 0.2472, 0.235, 0.1906, 0.2698, 0.3029, 0.2411, 0.2654, 0.2698, 0.3516, 0.3534, 0.4221, 0.497, 0.4752, 0.4421, 0.5666, 0.5779, 0.5657, 0.5448, 0.5762, 0.5326, 0.5326, 0.5875, 0.503, 0.4708, 0.4334, 0.497, 0.5596, 0.6701, 0.584, 0.7032, 0.7546, 0.765, 0.7406, 0.7067, 0.6414, 0.7145, 0.6258, 0.6275, 0.6275, 0.6171, 0.5744, 0.6902, 0.6954, 0.8712, 0.8895, 0.9791, 1.0096, 1.1889, 1.2654, 1.2654, 1.1662, 1.1671, 1.1967, 1.2185, 1.1567, 1.2254, 1.1802, 1.2776, 1.3351, 1.3281, 1.3046, 1.3986, 1.3795, 1.3594, 1.3116, 1.2742, 1.168, 1.1506, 1.1984, 1.0383, 1.161, 1.1628, 1.2393, 1.208, 1.1723, 1.181, 1.2115, 1.2193, 1.3473, 1.3238, 1.4621, 1.3151, 1.3734, 1.3394, 1.4621, 1.49, 1.5579, 1.5509, 1.5822, 1.6649, 1.6649, 1.7537, 1.6719, 1.5387, 1.5631, 1.584, 1.8834, 2.0888, 2.1044, 2.248, 2.3708, 2.4691, 2.5814, 2.577, 2.6171, 2.8268, 2.7337, 2.9164, 2.6693, 2.5344, 2.8477, 2.8503, 2.9225]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1930435159356256345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-05T01:23:02+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I added to calls at lower strikes today. I am holding a significant amount.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author added to IBIT call options at lower strikes and holds a significant position; bullish BTC/IBIT.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson I added to calls at lower strikes today. I am holding a significant amount.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Looks like the same $IBIT Aug $90 call buyer is buying 4000x at 40 cents… that’s playing for a BTC move to $160k by then (although many have pointed out they could dump these sooner on some quick move up and increase in IV)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": 0.030585804223826507, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030585804223826507, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02572957900668915, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02572957900668915, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0048562252171373554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0048562252171373554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024019343620250044, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024019343620250044, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013750312646485519, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013750312646485519, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010269030973764526, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010269030973764526, "ret_p1w": 0.048902745520795765, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.048902745520795765, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030860372761494226, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030860372761494226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01804237275930154, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01804237275930154, "ret_p1m": 0.0746500738648539, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0746500738648539, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017085368898460684, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.017085368898460684, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05756470496639321, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05756470496639321, "ret_p3m": 0.08812860520044685, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08812860520044685, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005314576573859586, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005314576573859586, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08281402862658727, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08281402862658727, "ret_p6m": -0.10921029568815277, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10921029568815277, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.26815239398739366, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26815239398739366, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15894209829924089, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15894209829924089, "ret_p1y": -0.2576464510559566, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2576464510559566, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5293566927014564, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5293566927014564, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27171024164549973, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27171024164549973, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0746500738648539, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.017085368898460684, "alpha_c_stated": 0.017085368898460684, "price_path": [-0.224, -0.1837, -0.1852, -0.2134, -0.1681, -0.1695, -0.1911, -0.16, -0.1731, -0.1757, -0.1329, -0.1336, -0.1502, -0.1457, -0.1782, -0.1911, -0.1654, -0.1462, -0.1953, -0.1756, -0.235, -0.2468, -0.1908, -0.2195, -0.1763, -0.1657, -0.175, -0.1712, -0.1661, -0.1661, -0.1408, -0.1001, -0.0807, -0.0797, -0.0622, -0.0689, -0.0631, -0.0753, -0.0505, -0.0463, -0.0733, -0.0674, -0.0551, -0.0043, 0.0137, 0.0002, 0.0302, 0.015, 0.0138, 0.023, 0.0366, 0.0525, 0.0677, 0.0926, 0.0684, 0.0684, 0.08, 0.0505, 0.0366, 0.0275, 0.0257, 0.0437, 0.0306, 0.0, 0.024, 0.0674, 0.0764, 0.0686, 0.0489, 0.0323, 0.0679, 0.0282, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0378, 0.0588, 0.0565, 0.0492, 0.0577, 0.034, 0.0786, 0.0747, 0.0747, 0.061, 0.0683, 0.0987, 0.1146, 0.1614, 0.1782, 0.1433, 0.1721, 0.169, 0.1522, 0.1462, 0.1719, 0.1628, 0.1692, 0.1467, 0.1595, 0.1528, 0.1469, 0.146, 0.1097, 0.1267, 0.1154, 0.132, 0.1548, 0.1427, 0.1688, 0.1742, 0.2068, 0.1583, 0.1481, 0.1414, 0.1092, 0.1215, 0.1006, 0.1448, 0.0866, 0.0904, 0.0999, 0.0987, 0.0617, 0.0617, 0.0881, 0.102, 0.0774, 0.0959, 0.1007, 0.0924, 0.1151, 0.1237, 0.1471, 0.1318, 0.1469, 0.1348, 0.1534, 0.1296, 0.0999, 0.0957, 0.1132, 0.0731, 0.0703, 0.1227, 0.1232, 0.1533, 0.1884, 0.2063, 0.2319, 0.1946, 0.2106, 0.1878, 0.1439, 0.1372, 0.1044, 0.0916, 0.0615, 0.0449, 0.0874, 0.0971, 0.0577, 0.081, 0.0857, 0.128, 0.1144, 0.0843, 0.0437, 0.0766, 0.046, -0.0119, 0.0181, -0.0105, 0.0175, 0.0401, 0.0083, -0.0048, -0.0394, -0.0759, -0.0997, -0.09, -0.1234, -0.154, -0.1711, -0.1261, -0.1436, -0.1182, -0.1182, -0.1092]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1928912979967488237", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-31T20:34:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I AM IRRESPONSIBLY LONG BITCOIN", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds a large long position in Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NicoleBehnam I AM IRRESPONSIBLY LONG BITCOIN. I AM A HUGE DEGENERATE AND I AM WAY AHEAD.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Disciplined people in their 30s and 40s who have ABSTAINED from DEGENERACY are ahead of most people.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NicoleBehnam", "ret_m1d": -0.01778365797387349, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01778365797387349, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012182288165361155, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012182288165361155, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005601369808512335, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005601369808512335, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004241178746647534, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004241178746647534, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009943841036782808, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009943841036782808, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005702662290135274, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005702662290135274, "ret_p1w": 0.041674598585860645, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041674598585860645, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02991516802086469, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02991516802086469, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011759430564995954, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011759430564995954, "ret_p1m": -0.0017307078754587035, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0017307078754587035, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04688940238871653, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04688940238871653, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.045158694513257824, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045158694513257824, "ret_p3m": 0.06293140417252885, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06293140417252885, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03514091636199468, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03514091636199468, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09807232053452353, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09807232053452353, "ret_p6m": -0.17509796473594164, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17509796473594164, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3205022778533493, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3205022778533493, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.14540431311740765, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14540431311740765, "ret_p1y": -0.2684486848361479, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2684486848361479, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5333968183864212, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5333968183864212, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26494813355027325, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26494813355027325, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0017307078754587035, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04688940238871653, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04688940238871653, "price_path": [-0.1441, -0.1504, -0.1808, -0.2583, -0.2174, -0.2093, -0.2344, -0.207, -0.2059, -0.2188, -0.1797, -0.2051, -0.2063, -0.1736, -0.1739, -0.1793, -0.1767, -0.2033, -0.2204, -0.1956, -0.221, -0.2151, -0.2081, -0.2517, -0.2796, -0.2201, -0.248, -0.2123, -0.2015, -0.2098, -0.2063, -0.1982, -0.2024, -0.1734, -0.1175, -0.1151, -0.1127, -0.1054, -0.103, -0.1095, -0.1103, -0.0887, -0.0847, -0.1052, -0.0857, -0.0836, -0.0249, -0.0275, -0.029, -0.0162, -0.0221, -0.0202, -0.0226, -0.0026, 0.0086, 0.0359, 0.0547, 0.0133, 0.0336, 0.0294, 0.0181, -0.0023, -0.0178, 0.0, -0.0042, -0.0109, -0.0407, -0.0141, 0.0417, 0.0413, 0.0265, 0.0004, 0.002, 0.0086, -0.0121, -0.0094, -0.0113, -0.0243, -0.0029, 0.0015, 0.014, 0.0102, 0.0114, 0.0118, -0.0017, 0.0281, 0.0356, 0.0203, 0.0228, 0.029, 0.0514, 0.0954, 0.1099, 0.1319, 0.1123, 0.1214, 0.1266, 0.1145, 0.1092, 0.1333, 0.1216, 0.1179, 0.111, 0.1137, 0.1137, 0.1129, 0.0933, 0.0703, 0.0868, 0.078, 0.0864, 0.1097, 0.1021, 0.1214, 0.135, 0.1649, 0.1178, 0.1088, 0.0979, 0.0656, 0.0793, 0.0617, 0.1038, 0.0401, 0.0559, 0.0504, 0.0629, 0.0239, 0.0318, 0.0502, 0.0552, 0.0457, 0.045, 0.0585, 0.0534, 0.0763, 0.0909, 0.0965, 0.0903, 0.1035, 0.1, 0.1063, 0.0926, 0.0649, 0.0579, 0.0703, 0.0299, 0.0362, 0.0805, 0.0772, 0.1206, 0.1398, 0.1547, 0.1782, 0.147, 0.165, 0.1495, 0.0693, 0.0887, 0.0684, 0.0463, 0.0218, 0.0055, 0.0445, 0.0245, 0.0171, 0.0396, 0.0487, 0.0778, 0.0668, 0.0394, 0.0229, 0.0347, 0.0063, -0.0405, -0.0188, -0.0433, -0.0237, 0.0011, -0.0272, -0.0398, -0.0584, -0.1085, -0.1302, -0.1221, -0.1361, -0.1818, -0.1964, -0.1663, -0.1751]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1908677731245842497", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-06T00:26:47+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's time for Bitcoin miners to shine", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin and US Bitcoin miners; endorses made-in-USA BTC thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@saylor @ryancohen Made in the USA Bitcoin.\n\nIt’s time for Bitcoin miners to shine.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@ryancohen You're going to love your $1,000,000 made in the USA Bitcoin.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "saylor", "ret_m1d": 0.05816178723133203, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05816178723133203, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05637742048549321, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05637742048549321, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017843667458388168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017843667458388168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03739976334343409, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03739976334343409, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02173700902653608, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02173700902653608, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01566275431689801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01566275431689801, "ret_p1w": 0.0669783831255053, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0669783831255053, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0018984064181866156, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0018984064181866156, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06887678954369192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06887678954369192, "ret_p1m": 0.22170841351460635, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22170841351460635, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11381361838392356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11381361838392356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10789479513068279, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10789479513068279, "ret_p3m": 0.3838267392339849, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3838267392339849, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14034228243536173, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14034228243536173, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.24348445679862318, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24348445679862318, "ret_p6m": 0.43945986456681707, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43945986456681707, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11109288164678155, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11109288164678155, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3283669829200355, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3283669829200355, "ret_p1y": -0.10002422569712477, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10002422569712477, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4171848307914606, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4171848307914606, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31716060509433586, "bench_c_p1y": 0.31716060509433586, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22170841351460635, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11381361838392356, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11381361838392356, "price_path": [0.1995, 0.1672, 0.1952, 0.1929, 0.2183, 0.2684, 0.259, 0.3184, 0.2875, 0.3396, 0.3082, 0.312, 0.3229, 0.2884, 0.2789, 0.3088, 0.3218, 0.2924, 0.2798, 0.2352, 0.2193, 0.2191, 0.2183, 0.2297, 0.2084, 0.2354, 0.2195, 0.2306, 0.2087, 0.2058, 0.2196, 0.241, 0.2132, 0.1538, 0.1199, 0.0645, 0.069, 0.0648, 0.0862, 0.1008, 0.1437, 0.1354, 0.0947, -0.0089, 0.0458, 0.0566, 0.0231, 0.0597, 0.0611, 0.044, 0.0962, 0.0622, 0.0607, 0.1043, 0.1039, 0.0967, 0.1002, 0.0646, 0.0418, 0.0749, 0.041, 0.0488, 0.0582, 0.0, -0.0374, 0.0421, 0.0049, 0.0526, 0.067, 0.056, 0.0606, 0.0714, 0.0658, 0.1045, 0.1793, 0.1825, 0.1856, 0.1954, 0.1987, 0.1899, 0.189, 0.2178, 0.2231, 0.1958, 0.2217, 0.2246, 0.303, 0.2996, 0.2976, 0.3147, 0.3067, 0.3093, 0.3061, 0.3328, 0.3478, 0.3842, 0.4094, 0.354, 0.3812, 0.3756, 0.3605, 0.3333, 0.3125, 0.3363, 0.3306, 0.3218, 0.282, 0.3175, 0.392, 0.3915, 0.3717, 0.3369, 0.3389, 0.3478, 0.3201, 0.3237, 0.3212, 0.3038, 0.3325, 0.3384, 0.355, 0.3499, 0.3515, 0.3521, 0.334, 0.3739, 0.3838, 0.3635, 0.3668, 0.375, 0.405, 0.4638, 0.4831, 0.5126, 0.4864, 0.4986, 0.5055, 0.4893, 0.4822, 0.5144, 0.4988, 0.4939, 0.4846, 0.4883, 0.4883, 0.4871, 0.4609, 0.4302, 0.4523, 0.4405, 0.4517, 0.4829, 0.4727, 0.4985, 0.5167, 0.5567, 0.4938, 0.4816, 0.4672, 0.424, 0.4422, 0.4188, 0.475, 0.3898, 0.411, 0.4037, 0.4204, 0.3682, 0.3788, 0.4034, 0.41, 0.3974, 0.3965, 0.4144, 0.4076, 0.4382, 0.4578, 0.4653, 0.457, 0.4746, 0.4699, 0.4783, 0.4601, 0.423, 0.4137, 0.4303, 0.3763, 0.3846, 0.4438, 0.4395]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1908677731245842497", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-04-06T00:26:47+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's time for Bitcoin miners to shine", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin and US Bitcoin miners; endorses made-in-USA BTC thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI dedicated Bitcoin miner ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@saylor @ryancohen Made in the USA Bitcoin.\n\nIt’s time for Bitcoin miners to shine.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@ryancohen You're going to love your $1,000,000 made in the USA Bitcoin.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "saylor", "ret_m1d": -0.007252228339604594, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007252228339604594, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00903659508544341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00903659508544341, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0017843667458388168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017843667458388168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07413377015357459, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07413377015357459, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.058471015836676576, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.058471015836676576, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01566275431689801, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01566275431689801, "ret_p1w": 0.023368248623588883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023368248623588883, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.045508540920103036, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.045508540920103036, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.06887678954369192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06887678954369192, "ret_p1m": 0.17163578893073828, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17163578893073828, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06374099380005549, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06374099380005549, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10789479513068279, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10789479513068279, "ret_p3m": 1.0975020956244101, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0975020956244101, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.854017638825787, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.854017638825787, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.24348445679862318, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24348445679862318, "ret_p6m": 2.5648672217906823, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.5648672217906823, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.2365002388706468, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.2365002388706468, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.3283669829200355, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3283669829200355, "ret_p1y": 2.247381122689088, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.247381122689088, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.9302205175947522, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9302205175947522, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.31716060509433586, "bench_c_p1y": 0.31716060509433586, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17163578893073828, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06374099380005549, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06374099380005549, "price_path": [0.8654, 0.8654, 0.8622, 0.7905, 0.859, 0.9799, 0.9823, 1.0443, 1.0443, 1.0121, 1.0572, 1.0669, 1.1128, 0.6745, 0.6785, 0.7051, 0.8131, 0.8171, 0.8284, 0.8187, 0.8098, 0.834, 0.8654, 0.8936, 0.8002, 0.8316, 0.8759, 0.8856, 0.8856, 0.8405, 0.8356, 0.8122, 0.6535, 0.5471, 0.3731, 0.3876, 0.361, 0.4359, 0.3296, 0.3102, 0.386, 0.2732, 0.3151, 0.1668, 0.2151, 0.2321, 0.1741, 0.2329, 0.2385, 0.1483, 0.2248, 0.2071, 0.1926, 0.3143, 0.2611, 0.1539, 0.1313, 0.058, 0.029, 0.1015, 0.1475, 0.0274, -0.0073, 0.0, -0.0741, 0.0524, -0.0322, 0.0089, 0.0234, -0.0346, -0.0403, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.054, 0.0556, 0.0886, 0.133, 0.1732, 0.1547, 0.1434, 0.1023, 0.1757, 0.2063, 0.1491, 0.1716, 0.1757, 0.2514, 0.253, 0.3167, 0.386, 0.3658, 0.3352, 0.4504, 0.4609, 0.4496, 0.4303, 0.4593, 0.419, 0.419, 0.4698, 0.3916, 0.3618, 0.3272, 0.386, 0.444, 0.5463, 0.4666, 0.577, 0.6245, 0.6342, 0.6116, 0.5802, 0.5197, 0.5874, 0.5052, 0.5068, 0.5068, 0.4972, 0.4577, 0.5649, 0.5697, 0.7325, 0.7494, 0.8324, 0.8606, 1.0266, 1.0975, 1.0975, 1.0056, 1.0064, 1.0338, 1.054, 0.9968, 1.0604, 1.0185, 1.1088, 1.162, 1.1555, 1.1338, 1.2208, 1.2031, 1.1845, 1.1402, 1.1056, 1.0073, 0.9911, 1.0355, 0.8872, 1.0008, 1.0024, 1.0733, 1.0443, 1.0113, 1.0193, 1.0475, 1.0548, 1.1732, 1.1515, 1.2796, 1.1434, 1.1974, 1.166, 1.2796, 1.3054, 1.3683, 1.3618, 1.3908, 1.4674, 1.4674, 1.5496, 1.4738, 1.3505, 1.3731, 1.3924, 1.6696, 1.8598, 1.8743, 2.0073, 2.1209, 2.2119, 2.3159, 2.3118, 2.3489, 2.5431, 2.4569, 2.6261, 2.3973, 2.2724, 2.5624, 2.5649]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1921219899453575316", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-10T15:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC ATHs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bitcoin miners set to rally soon on BTC ATHs, AI/HPC deals, M&A activity, and short covering.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmettLong8 BTC ATHs, AI/HPC deals, M&A, short covering, soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Catalyst and timing in your opinion on miners?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmettLong8", "ret_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03352591513623748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006593284393510812, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "ret_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006824669859374355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "ret_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0379456550769357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "ret_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05512030526507994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "ret_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1767705432204454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "ret_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4975329421613748, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0379456550769357, "price_path": [-0.0479, -0.0602, -0.0516, -0.0685, -0.0707, -0.0601, -0.0436, -0.065, -0.1108, -0.1369, -0.1796, -0.1761, -0.1794, -0.1629, -0.1516, -0.1186, -0.125, -0.1563, -0.2362, -0.194, -0.1857, -0.2115, -0.1833, -0.1822, -0.1954, -0.1552, -0.1814, -0.1826, -0.149, -0.1492, -0.1548, -0.1521, -0.1795, -0.1971, -0.1716, -0.1977, -0.1917, -0.1845, -0.2293, -0.2581, -0.1969, -0.2255, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1862, -0.1827, -0.1743, -0.1786, -0.1488, -0.0911, -0.0886, -0.0863, -0.0787, -0.0762, -0.0829, -0.0837, -0.0615, -0.0574, -0.0784, -0.0585, -0.0562, 0.0042, 0.0015, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0071, 0.0091, 0.0066, 0.0272, 0.0387, 0.0668, 0.0862, 0.0435, 0.0645, 0.0601, 0.0485, 0.0275, 0.0115, 0.0298, 0.0255, 0.0187, -0.012, 0.0153, 0.0728, 0.0724, 0.0571, 0.0303, 0.0319, 0.0387, 0.0174, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.0048, 0.0269, 0.0314, 0.0442, 0.0403, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.0281, 0.0588, 0.0665, 0.0508, 0.0534, 0.0597, 0.0828, 0.1281, 0.143, 0.1657, 0.1455, 0.1549, 0.1603, 0.1477, 0.1423, 0.1671, 0.1551, 0.1513, 0.1442, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1461, 0.1259, 0.1022, 0.1192, 0.1102, 0.1188, 0.1428, 0.135, 0.1548, 0.1688, 0.1997, 0.1512, 0.1419, 0.1307, 0.0974, 0.1115, 0.0934, 0.1368, 0.0711, 0.0874, 0.0818, 0.0947, 0.0544, 0.0626, 0.0816, 0.0867, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0901, 0.0848, 0.1084, 0.1235, 0.1293, 0.1229, 0.1365, 0.1328, 0.1393, 0.1252, 0.0966, 0.0895, 0.1023, 0.0607, 0.0671, 0.1127, 0.1094, 0.154, 0.1738, 0.1892, 0.2134, 0.1813, 0.1998, 0.1838, 0.1012, 0.1212, 0.1002, 0.0775, 0.0523, 0.0355, 0.0756, 0.0551, 0.0474, 0.0706, 0.08, 0.11, 0.0987, 0.0704, 0.0534, 0.0656, 0.0363, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1921219899453575316", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-05-10T15:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "crypto miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC ATHs, AI/HPC deals, M&A, short covering, soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bitcoin miners set to rally soon on BTC ATHs, AI/HPC deals, M&A activity, and short covering.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crypto/BTC miner sector ETF WGMI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EmmettLong8 BTC ATHs, AI/HPC deals, M&A, short covering, soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Catalyst and timing in your opinion on miners?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EmmettLong8", "ret_m1d": -0.04834761043303348, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04834761043303348, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016357478801701464, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016357478801701464, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03199013163133202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.052631615809095145, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.052631615809095145, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046027541953880924, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.046027541953880924, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006604073855214221, "ret_p1w": 0.1095470619010499, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1095470619010499, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08920369040376763, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08920369040376763, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02034337149728227, "ret_p1m": 0.241126101423788, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.241126101423788, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2066656926368715, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2066656926368715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034460408786916474, "ret_p3m": 0.5526316158090951, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5526316158090951, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4649299821435109, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4649299821435109, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08770163366558426, "ret_p6m": 2.57649927056172, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.57649927056172, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.4116185685562597, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.4116185685562597, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1648807020054599, "ret_p1y": 1.7772338215632182, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.7772338215632182, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.542671832873325, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.542671832873325, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2345619886898931, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.241126101423788, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2066656926368715, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2066656926368715, "price_path": [0.3911, 0.4247, 0.4321, 0.4321, 0.3978, 0.3941, 0.3764, 0.2558, 0.175, 0.0428, 0.0539, 0.0337, 0.0906, 0.0098, -0.0049, 0.0526, -0.033, -0.0012, -0.1138, -0.0771, -0.0643, -0.1083, -0.0636, -0.0594, -0.1279, -0.0698, -0.0832, -0.0942, -0.0018, -0.0422, -0.1236, -0.1408, -0.1965, -0.2185, -0.1634, -0.1285, -0.2197, -0.246, -0.2405, -0.2968, -0.2007, -0.265, -0.2338, -0.2228, -0.2668, -0.2711, -0.2632, -0.2632, -0.2815, -0.1983, -0.1732, -0.1395, -0.1089, -0.123, -0.1316, -0.1628, -0.1071, -0.0838, -0.1273, -0.1102, -0.1071, -0.0496, -0.0483, 0.0, 0.0526, 0.0373, 0.0141, 0.1016, 0.1095, 0.101, 0.0863, 0.1083, 0.0777, 0.0777, 0.1163, 0.0569, 0.0343, 0.008, 0.0526, 0.0967, 0.1744, 0.1138, 0.1977, 0.2338, 0.2411, 0.224, 0.2001, 0.1542, 0.2056, 0.1432, 0.1444, 0.1444, 0.1371, 0.1071, 0.1885, 0.1922, 0.3158, 0.3286, 0.3917, 0.4131, 0.5392, 0.593, 0.593, 0.5233, 0.5239, 0.5447, 0.56, 0.5165, 0.5649, 0.533, 0.6016, 0.642, 0.6371, 0.6206, 0.6867, 0.6732, 0.6591, 0.6255, 0.5991, 0.5245, 0.5122, 0.5459, 0.4333, 0.5196, 0.5208, 0.5747, 0.5526, 0.5275, 0.5337, 0.5551, 0.5606, 0.6506, 0.634, 0.7313, 0.6279, 0.6689, 0.645, 0.7313, 0.7509, 0.7987, 0.7938, 0.8158, 0.8739, 0.8739, 0.9364, 0.8788, 0.7852, 0.8023, 0.817, 1.0275, 1.172, 1.183, 1.284, 1.3703, 1.4394, 1.5184, 1.5153, 1.5435, 1.6909, 1.6255, 1.754, 1.5802, 1.4853, 1.7056, 1.7075, 1.7583, 1.8452, 1.9492, 2.2001, 2.2668, 2.3892, 2.5233, 2.3868, 2.7246, 2.9039, 3.033, 2.631, 2.5636, 2.6579, 2.4278, 2.1408, 2.306, 2.6493, 2.7234, 2.6401, 2.5894, 2.4706, 2.5122, 2.7613, 2.5765]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1926257549021462588", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-24T12:42:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just before we fund the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and pump the price to $200,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $200K on Strategic Bitcoin Reserve funding; mocks analysts selling on macro/chart signals.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“So these kid analysts are selling Bitcoin based on macro and lines on a chart just before we fund the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and pump the price to $200,000. Hilarious, right?”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019668887886789332, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006983480520511565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004072780217708405, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001712671523287801, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0325184941256893, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040874978549456875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061070254847136796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02721723381461949, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06762775980177316, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15068929875980552, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2780366643726727, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.27561356723449637, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5557398070751167, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03101903312498877, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.061070254847136796, "price_path": [-0.2293, -0.226, -0.2291, -0.2136, -0.203, -0.1719, -0.178, -0.2074, -0.2824, -0.2429, -0.235, -0.2593, -0.2327, -0.2318, -0.2442, -0.2064, -0.2309, -0.2321, -0.2005, -0.2007, -0.206, -0.2034, -0.2292, -0.2457, -0.2218, -0.2463, -0.2407, -0.2339, -0.276, -0.3031, -0.2455, -0.2724, -0.2379, -0.2275, -0.2355, -0.2321, -0.2243, -0.2283, -0.2003, -0.1462, -0.1438, -0.1416, -0.1345, -0.1321, -0.1385, -0.1392, -0.1183, -0.1145, -0.1342, -0.1155, -0.1134, -0.0566, -0.0591, -0.0606, -0.0482, -0.0539, -0.052, -0.0544, -0.035, -0.0242, 0.0022, 0.0204, -0.0197, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.015, -0.0347, -0.0497, -0.0325, -0.0366, -0.043, -0.0719, -0.0461, 0.0078, 0.0075, -0.0069, -0.0321, -0.0306, -0.0242, -0.0442, -0.0416, -0.0435, -0.056, -0.0353, -0.031, -0.019, -0.0227, -0.0215, -0.0211, -0.0342, -0.0053, 0.0019, -0.0128, -0.0104, -0.0045, 0.0172, 0.0598, 0.0738, 0.0951, 0.0762, 0.085, 0.09, 0.0782, 0.0731, 0.0964, 0.0851, 0.0816, 0.0749, 0.0775, 0.0775, 0.0767, 0.0577, 0.0355, 0.0515, 0.043, 0.0511, 0.0736, 0.0662, 0.0849, 0.0981, 0.127, 0.0815, 0.0727, 0.0622, 0.031, 0.0442, 0.0272, 0.0679, 0.0062, 0.0216, 0.0163, 0.0284, -0.0094, -0.0017, 0.0161, 0.0209, 0.0117, 0.0111, 0.024, 0.0191, 0.0413, 0.0554, 0.0609, 0.0549, 0.0676, 0.0642, 0.0703, 0.0571, 0.0302, 0.0235, 0.0355, -0.0036, 0.0025, 0.0453, 0.0422, 0.0841, 0.1027, 0.1172, 0.1399, 0.1097, 0.1271, 0.1121, 0.0345, 0.0533, 0.0336, 0.0123, -0.0115, -0.0272, 0.0105, -0.0088, -0.016, 0.0058, 0.0146, 0.0428, 0.0321, 0.0056, -0.0104, 0.0011, -0.0264, -0.0717, -0.0507, -0.0744, -0.0554, -0.0315, -0.0589, -0.0711, -0.089, -0.1374, -0.1585, -0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1920622706325664148", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-08T23:31:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "not until we've seen $315,000 Bitcoin and not before 2027", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "BTC to $315K before 2027; any dip to $75K only after that peak.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We might see $75,000 Bitcoin again one more time but not until we’ve seen $315,000 Bitcoin and not before 2027. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06014192911081406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06141766635851398, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06141766635851398, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012757372476999151, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002621130818400763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.035668450558274056, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.035668450558274056, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03304731973987329, "ret_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004873814094946027, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048037475993248924, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048037475993248924, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05291129008819495, "ret_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011128114635994057, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05149345302266295, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05149345302266295, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062621567658657, "ret_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1055775874926701, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01901166668031884, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01901166668031884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12458925417298894, "ret_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06116441076732504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15664798281384784, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15664798281384784, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21781239358117288, "ret_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25062446523460213, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5261825043150228, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5261825043150228, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27555803908042065, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.25062446523460213, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5261825043150228, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5261825043150228, "price_path": [-0.0562, -0.0726, -0.0519, -0.0641, -0.0555, -0.0723, -0.0746, -0.064, -0.0475, -0.0689, -0.1145, -0.1405, -0.183, -0.1796, -0.1828, -0.1664, -0.1552, -0.1222, -0.1286, -0.1598, -0.2393, -0.1974, -0.1891, -0.2148, -0.1867, -0.1856, -0.1988, -0.1587, -0.1848, -0.186, -0.1525, -0.1527, -0.1583, -0.1556, -0.183, -0.2004, -0.175, -0.201, -0.1951, -0.1879, -0.2325, -0.2612, -0.2002, -0.2287, -0.1921, -0.1811, -0.1896, -0.186, -0.1777, -0.182, -0.1523, -0.0949, -0.0924, -0.0901, -0.0825, -0.08, -0.0868, -0.0875, -0.0654, -0.0613, -0.0823, -0.0624, -0.0601, 0.0, -0.0026, -0.0042, 0.009, 0.0029, 0.0049, 0.0024, 0.0229, 0.0344, 0.0623, 0.0817, 0.0392, 0.06, 0.0557, 0.0442, 0.0232, 0.0073, 0.0256, 0.0212, 0.0144, -0.0161, 0.0111, 0.0683, 0.068, 0.0527, 0.026, 0.0276, 0.0344, 0.0132, 0.0159, 0.014, 0.0007, 0.0226, 0.0272, 0.0399, 0.036, 0.0373, 0.0377, 0.0238, 0.0544, 0.0621, 0.0464, 0.049, 0.0553, 0.0783, 0.1235, 0.1383, 0.1609, 0.1408, 0.1501, 0.1554, 0.143, 0.1375, 0.1623, 0.1503, 0.1465, 0.1394, 0.1422, 0.1422, 0.1413, 0.1212, 0.0976, 0.1146, 0.1056, 0.1142, 0.1381, 0.1303, 0.15, 0.164, 0.1947, 0.1464, 0.1371, 0.126, 0.0929, 0.1069, 0.0889, 0.132, 0.0667, 0.0829, 0.0773, 0.0901, 0.0501, 0.0582, 0.0771, 0.0822, 0.0725, 0.0718, 0.0855, 0.0803, 0.1038, 0.1188, 0.1246, 0.1182, 0.1317, 0.1281, 0.1346, 0.1206, 0.0921, 0.085, 0.0977, 0.0563, 0.0627, 0.1081, 0.1048, 0.1492, 0.1689, 0.1843, 0.2084, 0.1764, 0.1948, 0.1788, 0.0966, 0.1165, 0.0957, 0.073, 0.0479, 0.0313, 0.0712, 0.0507, 0.0431, 0.0661, 0.0755, 0.1054, 0.0941, 0.066, 0.0491, 0.0612]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1927450441756909614", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-27T19:42:50+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR could legitimately be worth $10B+ by the end of the cycle", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR to $10B+ valuation by end of cycle; too valuable to be acquired at any price CRWV could offer.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy I don't think CRWV could offer a price high enough for them to accept. CIFR could legitimately be worth $10B+ by the end of the cycle. There are others with less upside that might be better options.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred $CIFR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.028011178292021377, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028011178292021377, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007643942353180888, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0047984630124868755, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0232127152795345, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06162465902636394, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06162465902636394, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05583920728536773, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.057490394722074734, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0041342643042892036, "ret_p1w": -0.03781512408618737, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03781512408618737, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04617160850995494, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05611834674259886, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01830322265641149, "ret_p1m": 0.07843136600157674, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07843136600157674, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.048380144279428716, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.002792810051577055, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07563855594999969, "ret_p3m": 0.7871149114128038, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7871149114128038, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6922699177964111, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6550952358586919, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13201967555411187, "ret_p6m": 3.0952381397607063, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.0952381397607063, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.967890774147839, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.881640439190064, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21359770057064242, "ret_p1y": 5.243697852195838, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.243697852195838, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.963571612355218, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.6887812034663074, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5549166487295314, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07843136600157674, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.048380144279428716, "alpha_c_stated": 0.002792810051577055, "price_path": [0.112, 0.1429, 0.0784, 0.0504, 0.1653, 0.0616, 0.0896, -0.1373, -0.1092, -0.1036, -0.1513, -0.1485, -0.1261, -0.1961, -0.1429, -0.1597, -0.1821, -0.1036, -0.1485, -0.2493, -0.2885, -0.3501, -0.3557, -0.3109, -0.2577, -0.3529, -0.4118, -0.3754, -0.409, -0.3109, -0.3782, -0.3221, -0.3165, -0.3501, -0.3487, -0.3361, -0.3361, -0.3445, -0.2325, -0.1989, -0.1597, -0.1373, -0.1429, -0.1373, -0.2017, -0.1275, -0.1148, -0.1653, -0.1485, -0.1541, -0.1261, -0.1653, -0.1176, -0.0392, -0.0728, -0.112, 0.0812, 0.0672, 0.0588, -0.0182, 0.0, -0.028, -0.028, 0.0, -0.0616, -0.0896, -0.1261, -0.0896, -0.0378, 0.0476, -0.0112, 0.0924, 0.1597, 0.1373, 0.1429, 0.0756, 0.042, 0.1008, 0.0308, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0616, -0.0112, 0.0784, 0.0784, 0.1737, 0.1933, 0.3389, 0.3725, 0.591, 0.6947, 0.6947, 0.6218, 0.6891, 0.7535, 0.7479, 0.6443, 0.6891, 0.6723, 0.7563, 0.7983, 0.7815, 0.7507, 0.944, 0.8711, 0.8627, 0.8123, 0.7255, 0.591, 0.5266, 0.5294, 0.381, 0.4538, 0.4034, 0.4594, 0.3641, 0.3305, 0.3333, 0.3221, 0.3725, 0.4902, 0.4594, 0.6947, 0.6134, 0.6667, 0.6527, 0.7871, 0.8599, 0.9944, 0.958, 0.9664, 1.1401, 1.1401, 1.3305, 1.2717, 1.0728, 1.1064, 1.1625, 1.5826, 1.8711, 1.7927, 2.0392, 2.0392, 2.2241, 2.4678, 2.3193, 2.4398, 2.9104, 2.9636, 2.9608, 2.2661, 2.2129, 2.5434, 2.5266, 2.5294, 2.8683, 3.1176, 3.2969, 3.4118, 3.93, 4.0392, 3.7535, 4.6975, 4.8515, 4.8908, 4.2437, 4.2549, 4.577, 4.063, 3.5126, 3.8333, 4.7871, 4.7535, 4.591, 4.4874, 4.3417, 4.2241, 5.3754, 5.3053, 5.9216, 5.0812, 4.7955, 4.5042, 4.2297, 3.8683, 3.1821, 3.0224, 3.0196, 3.084, 3.0952]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1917432323748028521", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-30T04:14:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin doesn't need tradfi issues to be resolved to go to $150,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC to $150K+, independent of tradfi resolution.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ruth_capital Bitcoin doesn’t need tradfi issues to be resolved to go to $150,000+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "my take on the current market environment... the easy portion of this V-shape recovery is done, but this does set in motion two probable scenarios that I will go through and are likely to play out in the coming weeks, and specifically for the month of May...\n\nVIX seems to have", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ruth_capital", "ret_m1d": 0.0008224049751976992, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0008224049751976992, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0012190776570621953, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0012190776570621953, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003966726818644961, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003966726818644961, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02425526614507767, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02425526614507767, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017168285670213335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017168285670213335, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007086980474864335, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007086980474864335, "ret_p1w": 0.029987139400670104, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029987139400670104, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018067315052780364, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018067315052780364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01191982434788974, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01191982434788974, "ret_p1m": 0.12137534772048619, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12137534772048619, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05734016640289896, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05734016640289896, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06403518131758723, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06403518131758723, "ret_p3m": 0.2517550223343863, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2517550223343863, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09976766317885932, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09976766317885932, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15198735915552697, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15198735915552697, "ret_p6m": 0.16837773673354706, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16837773673354706, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04995441201357442, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04995441201357442, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21833214874712148, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21833214874712148, "ret_p1y": -0.18130691818641997, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.18130691818641997, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4765801736525561, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4765801736525561, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.29527325546613614, "bench_c_p1y": 0.29527325546613614, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12137534772048619, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05734016640289896, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05734016640289896, "price_path": [0.087, 0.0764, 0.0389, 0.0256, 0.0253, 0.0246, 0.0343, 0.0163, 0.039, 0.0257, 0.035, 0.0166, 0.0141, 0.0258, 0.0438, 0.0204, -0.0296, -0.0581, -0.1047, -0.1009, -0.1044, -0.0864, -0.0741, -0.038, -0.0451, -0.0792, -0.1664, -0.1204, -0.1113, -0.1395, -0.1087, -0.1075, -0.122, -0.0781, -0.1066, -0.1079, -0.0712, -0.0715, -0.0776, -0.0746, -0.1046, -0.1238, -0.0959, -0.1244, -0.1179, -0.11, -0.1589, -0.1904, -0.1235, -0.1548, -0.1147, -0.1026, -0.1119, -0.108, -0.0988, -0.1036, -0.071, -0.0081, -0.0054, -0.0028, 0.0054, 0.0082, 0.0008, 0.0, 0.0243, 0.0287, 0.0057, 0.0275, 0.03, 0.0959, 0.093, 0.0913, 0.1058, 0.0991, 0.1012, 0.0985, 0.121, 0.1336, 0.1642, 0.1854, 0.1388, 0.1617, 0.157, 0.1443, 0.1214, 0.1039, 0.1239, 0.1192, 0.1117, 0.0782, 0.1081, 0.1708, 0.1704, 0.1537, 0.1244, 0.1261, 0.1336, 0.1103, 0.1133, 0.1112, 0.0966, 0.1207, 0.1257, 0.1396, 0.1354, 0.1367, 0.1372, 0.122, 0.1555, 0.1639, 0.1468, 0.1496, 0.1565, 0.1817, 0.2312, 0.2474, 0.2722, 0.2502, 0.2604, 0.2662, 0.2526, 0.2466, 0.2737, 0.2606, 0.2565, 0.2487, 0.2518, 0.2517, 0.2508, 0.2288, 0.2029, 0.2215, 0.2116, 0.221, 0.2472, 0.2386, 0.2603, 0.2756, 0.3093, 0.2564, 0.2462, 0.234, 0.1977, 0.213, 0.1933, 0.2406, 0.169, 0.1868, 0.1806, 0.1947, 0.1508, 0.1597, 0.1804, 0.1859, 0.1753, 0.1745, 0.1896, 0.1839, 0.2096, 0.2261, 0.2324, 0.2254, 0.2403, 0.2363, 0.2434, 0.228, 0.1968, 0.189, 0.203, 0.1575, 0.1646, 0.2143, 0.2107, 0.2594, 0.281, 0.2978, 0.3242, 0.2892, 0.3094, 0.2919, 0.2018, 0.2236, 0.2007, 0.176, 0.1484, 0.1301, 0.1739, 0.1515, 0.1431, 0.1684]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1930612327231176851", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-05T13:07:02+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I believe we are on the verge of a major breakout in Bitcoin that will take us to at least $121,000 but possibly as much as $166,000 by July 18", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC to $121K–$166K by July 18 on proprietary indicators firing.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Please keep this between us for now but I believe we are on the verge of a major breakout in Bitcoin that will take us to at least $121,000 but possibly as much as $166,000 by July 18. All my proprietary indicators are firing now. It’s go time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.031070653564197137, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031070653564197137, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02621442834705978, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02621442834705978, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0048562252171373554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0048562252171373554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027707252931573167, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027707252931573167, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01743822195780864, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01743822195780864, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010269030973764526, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010269030973764526, "ret_p1w": 0.04285563096949763, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04285563096949763, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024813258210196087, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024813258210196087, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01804237275930154, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01804237275930154, "ret_p1m": 0.06358180862504215, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06358180862504215, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006017103658648937, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006017103658648937, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05756470496639321, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05756470496639321, "ret_p3m": 0.09475306424795105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09475306424795105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01193903562136378, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01193903562136378, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08281402862658727, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08281402862658727, "ret_p6m": -0.10491348761341002, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10491348761341002, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2638555859126509, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2638555859126509, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15894209829924089, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15894209829924089, "ret_p1y": -0.23919070104713824, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23919070104713824, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.510900942692638, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.510900942692638, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27171024164549973, "bench_c_p1y": 0.27171024164549973, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06358180862504215, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.006017103658648937, "alpha_c_stated": 0.006017103658648937, "price_path": [-0.2269, -0.1842, -0.1758, -0.2019, -0.1733, -0.1723, -0.1856, -0.1449, -0.1714, -0.1726, -0.1386, -0.1389, -0.1445, -0.1418, -0.1696, -0.1873, -0.1615, -0.1879, -0.1819, -0.1746, -0.2199, -0.2491, -0.1871, -0.2161, -0.1789, -0.1677, -0.1763, -0.1727, -0.1642, -0.1686, -0.1384, -0.0801, -0.0775, -0.0751, -0.0675, -0.0649, -0.0718, -0.0725, -0.05, -0.0459, -0.0672, -0.047, -0.0447, 0.0164, 0.0137, 0.0122, 0.0255, 0.0193, 0.0214, 0.0188, 0.0397, 0.0513, 0.0798, 0.0994, 0.0562, 0.0774, 0.073, 0.0613, 0.04, 0.0239, 0.0424, 0.038, 0.0311, 0.0, 0.0277, 0.0858, 0.0855, 0.07, 0.0429, 0.0444, 0.0514, 0.0298, 0.0326, 0.0306, 0.0171, 0.0394, 0.044, 0.057, 0.053, 0.0543, 0.0547, 0.0406, 0.0717, 0.0795, 0.0636, 0.0662, 0.0726, 0.096, 0.1419, 0.1569, 0.1799, 0.1595, 0.169, 0.1744, 0.1617, 0.1562, 0.1813, 0.1691, 0.1653, 0.1581, 0.1609, 0.1609, 0.16, 0.1396, 0.1156, 0.1329, 0.1237, 0.1324, 0.1567, 0.1488, 0.1689, 0.1831, 0.2143, 0.1652, 0.1558, 0.1445, 0.1108, 0.125, 0.1067, 0.1506, 0.0842, 0.1007, 0.095, 0.108, 0.0673, 0.0756, 0.0948, 0.0999, 0.0901, 0.0893, 0.1033, 0.098, 0.1219, 0.1372, 0.143, 0.1365, 0.1503, 0.1466, 0.1532, 0.1389, 0.11, 0.1028, 0.1157, 0.0736, 0.0801, 0.1263, 0.1229, 0.1681, 0.1881, 0.2037, 0.2282, 0.1957, 0.2144, 0.1982, 0.1146, 0.1348, 0.1136, 0.0906, 0.0651, 0.0482, 0.0887, 0.0679, 0.0602, 0.0836, 0.0931, 0.1235, 0.112, 0.0835, 0.0663, 0.0786, 0.0489, 0.0001, 0.0228, -0.0027, 0.0177, 0.0435, 0.014, 0.0009, -0.0185, -0.0707, -0.0933, -0.0849, -0.0995, -0.1471, -0.1623, -0.131, -0.1401, -0.1089, -0.1013, -0.1049]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1934625127289000365", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-16T14:52:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DO NOT get caught without a full stack of Bitcoin. The window to front run sovereign nations is closing.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Urgently bullish BTC: US gov budget-neutral acquisition program imminent (<60 days), window to front-run sovereign buyers closing fast.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I believe the US Government is less than 60 days away from announcing a comprehensive budget neutral Bitcoin acquisition program, adding to the previously announced SBR. DO NOT get caught without a full stack of Bitcoin. The window to front run sovereign nations is closing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006608712445551279, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006608712445551279, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028159624544621398, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028159624544621398, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009424674900013419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020559056941174436, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020559056941174436, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012013885542743297, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012013885542743297, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00854517139843114, "ret_p1w": -0.011414057879361228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011414057879361228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010159912998309872, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010159912998309872, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012541448810513556, "ret_p1m": 0.10281613330226769, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10281613330226769, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06747527126559882, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06747527126559882, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03534086203666886, "ret_p3m": 0.08156409827808875, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08156409827808875, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012837724319359145, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.012837724319359145, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09440182259744789, "ret_p6m": -0.13207373673050848, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13207373673050848, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2719133557136528, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2719133557136528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13983961898314434, "ret_p1y": -0.4005963430098862, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4005963430098862, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6664193956141367, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6664193956141367, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "bench_c_p1y": 0.26582305260425043, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.011414057879361228, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.010159912998309872, "alpha_c_stated": -0.010159912998309872, "price_path": [-0.1867, -0.2119, -0.2131, -0.1807, -0.181, -0.1863, -0.1837, -0.2102, -0.227, -0.2025, -0.2276, -0.2219, -0.2149, -0.2581, -0.2858, -0.2268, -0.2544, -0.219, -0.2084, -0.2166, -0.2131, -0.2051, -0.2092, -0.1805, -0.125, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.1131, -0.1107, -0.1172, -0.1179, -0.0965, -0.0926, -0.1128, -0.0936, -0.0914, -0.0333, -0.0358, -0.0373, -0.0246, -0.0305, -0.0286, -0.031, -0.0111, -0.0001, 0.027, 0.0457, 0.0046, 0.0248, 0.0206, 0.0094, -0.0108, -0.0262, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.0193, -0.0489, -0.0225, 0.0327, 0.0324, 0.0177, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0, -0.0206, -0.0179, -0.0198, -0.0327, -0.0114, -0.007, 0.0053, 0.0015, 0.0027, 0.0032, -0.0103, 0.0193, 0.0267, 0.0116, 0.0141, 0.0202, 0.0424, 0.0861, 0.1004, 0.1222, 0.1028, 0.1118, 0.117, 0.1049, 0.0997, 0.1236, 0.112, 0.1083, 0.1015, 0.1042, 0.1042, 0.1033, 0.0839, 0.0611, 0.0775, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.1002, 0.0926, 0.1118, 0.1252, 0.1549, 0.1083, 0.0993, 0.0885, 0.0565, 0.07, 0.0526, 0.0944, 0.0312, 0.0469, 0.0414, 0.0538, 0.0151, 0.023, 0.0412, 0.0461, 0.0368, 0.0361, 0.0494, 0.0443, 0.067, 0.0816, 0.0871, 0.081, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0968, 0.0833, 0.0557, 0.0489, 0.0612, 0.0211, 0.0273, 0.0712, 0.068, 0.111, 0.13, 0.1449, 0.1681, 0.1372, 0.155, 0.1396, 0.0601, 0.0793, 0.0592, 0.0373, 0.013, -0.0031, 0.0355, 0.0157, 0.0084, 0.0306, 0.0397, 0.0686, 0.0577, 0.0305, 0.0141, 0.0258, -0.0023, -0.0487, -0.0272, -0.0515, -0.0321, -0.0075, -0.0356, -0.0481, -0.0665, -0.1161, -0.1377, -0.1297, -0.1436, -0.1888, -0.2032, -0.1735, -0.1822, -0.1524, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1917, -0.1446, -0.1242, -0.1372, -0.163, -0.1513, -0.1321]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1906048186848088475", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-29T18:17:55+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like it long.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin following a rare 4th-ever signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TechDev_52 I like it long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "4th signal since Bitcoin existed. https://t.co/zi4Tb5bCAO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TechDev_52", "ret_m1d": 0.02185654887760191, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02185654887760191, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028524589021493907, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028524589021493907, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0317418810684309, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0317418810684309, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02891732736738928, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02891732736738928, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "ret_p1w": -0.0401407839537562, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0401407839537562, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05819839661586357, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05819839661586357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "ret_p1m": 0.14216873878091785, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14216873878091785, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15123213943381375, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15123213943381375, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "ret_p3m": 0.2957166210450415, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2957166210450415, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19866640311802142, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19866640311802142, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "ret_p6m": 0.3569469843684536, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3569469843684536, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16455015448961463, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16455015448961463, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "bench_c_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "ret_p1y": -0.13692894771386022, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.13692894771386022, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.32963934642647974, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.32963934642647974, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14216873878091785, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15123213943381375, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15123213943381375, "price_path": [0.1438, 0.1737, 0.1885, 0.2366, 0.1741, 0.1514, 0.1204, 0.1472, 0.145, 0.1694, 0.2175, 0.2085, 0.2655, 0.2358, 0.2859, 0.2557, 0.2594, 0.2698, 0.2367, 0.2275, 0.2563, 0.2688, 0.2405, 0.2284, 0.1856, 0.1704, 0.1701, 0.1694, 0.1804, 0.1599, 0.1858, 0.1705, 0.1812, 0.1602, 0.1574, 0.1706, 0.1912, 0.1645, 0.1074, 0.075, 0.0218, 0.0261, 0.0221, 0.0426, 0.0566, 0.0978, 0.0898, 0.0508, -0.0487, 0.0038, 0.0142, -0.018, 0.0172, 0.0185, 0.0021, 0.0522, 0.0196, 0.0181, 0.06, 0.0596, 0.0527, 0.0561, 0.0219, 0.0, 0.0317, -0.0008, 0.0067, 0.0157, -0.0401, -0.076, 0.0003, -0.0354, 0.0104, 0.0241, 0.0136, 0.018, 0.0284, 0.023, 0.0602, 0.132, 0.1351, 0.138, 0.1474, 0.1506, 0.1422, 0.1412, 0.1689, 0.174, 0.1478, 0.1727, 0.1755, 0.2507, 0.2474, 0.2455, 0.2619, 0.2543, 0.2568, 0.2537, 0.2793, 0.2937, 0.3286, 0.3528, 0.2997, 0.3258, 0.3204, 0.3059, 0.2797, 0.2598, 0.2827, 0.2772, 0.2687, 0.2305, 0.2646, 0.3361, 0.3357, 0.3166, 0.2832, 0.2852, 0.2937, 0.2671, 0.2706, 0.2681, 0.2515, 0.279, 0.2846, 0.3006, 0.2957, 0.2973, 0.2978, 0.2804, 0.3187, 0.3283, 0.3087, 0.3119, 0.3198, 0.3486, 0.4051, 0.4236, 0.4519, 0.4268, 0.4384, 0.4451, 0.4295, 0.4227, 0.4536, 0.4386, 0.4339, 0.425, 0.4285, 0.4285, 0.4274, 0.4023, 0.3728, 0.394, 0.3827, 0.3935, 0.4234, 0.4136, 0.4383, 0.4558, 0.4942, 0.4338, 0.4222, 0.4083, 0.3668, 0.3843, 0.3618, 0.4158, 0.334, 0.3544, 0.3473, 0.3634, 0.3133, 0.3235, 0.3471, 0.3534, 0.3413, 0.3404, 0.3576, 0.3511, 0.3805, 0.3993, 0.4065, 0.3985, 0.4154, 0.4109, 0.419, 0.4015, 0.3658, 0.3569]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1917048476564902031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-29T02:49:08+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "THERE IS NOT GOING TO BE ENOUGH BITCOIN FOR EVERYONE WHO WANTS IT. ACT ACCORDINGLY!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC on supply scarcity: MicroStrategy alone buying 15K BTC/week vs ~3,150 mined; demand vastly exceeds new supply.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Bitcoin network is only creating approximately 3,150 new Bitcoin per week via mining.\n\nMicrostrategy bought more than 15,000 BTC last week alone.\n\nTHERE IS NOT GOING TO BE ENOUGH BITCOIN FOR EVERYONE WHO WANTS IT.\n\nACT ACCORDINGLY!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007360263987439053, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01361999631805988, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0008217291810309613, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012185592745529439, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "ret_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026703008248033067, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018621028554925534, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "ret_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1433692454202704, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08309718567556823, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "ret_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24766554586573775, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09493162770116959, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "ret_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1421628770481187, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06946770606880426, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "ret_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.20292410303126673, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.48323789134731143, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1433692454202704, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08309718567556823, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08309718567556823, "price_path": [0.1108, 0.0861, 0.0755, 0.038, 0.0247, 0.0245, 0.0238, 0.0334, 0.0155, 0.0382, 0.0248, 0.0342, 0.0158, 0.0133, 0.0249, 0.0429, 0.0195, -0.0304, -0.0588, -0.1054, -0.1016, -0.1051, -0.0872, -0.0749, -0.0388, -0.0459, -0.08, -0.1671, -0.1211, -0.112, -0.1402, -0.1094, -0.1083, -0.1227, -0.0788, -0.1073, -0.1086, -0.072, -0.0723, -0.0783, -0.0754, -0.1053, -0.1245, -0.0967, -0.1251, -0.1186, -0.1107, -0.1596, -0.191, -0.1242, -0.1555, -0.1154, -0.1033, -0.1126, -0.1087, -0.0996, -0.1043, -0.0718, -0.0089, -0.0062, -0.0036, 0.0046, 0.0074, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0234, 0.0278, 0.0049, 0.0267, 0.0291, 0.095, 0.0921, 0.0905, 0.1048, 0.0982, 0.1003, 0.0976, 0.1201, 0.1326, 0.1633, 0.1844, 0.1379, 0.1607, 0.156, 0.1434, 0.1205, 0.103, 0.123, 0.1182, 0.1108, 0.0773, 0.1072, 0.1698, 0.1694, 0.1527, 0.1235, 0.1252, 0.1327, 0.1094, 0.1124, 0.1103, 0.0957, 0.1198, 0.1247, 0.1387, 0.1344, 0.1358, 0.1363, 0.1211, 0.1546, 0.1629, 0.1458, 0.1486, 0.1555, 0.1807, 0.2302, 0.2464, 0.2711, 0.2492, 0.2594, 0.2652, 0.2516, 0.2456, 0.2727, 0.2595, 0.2554, 0.2477, 0.2507, 0.2507, 0.2497, 0.2278, 0.2019, 0.2205, 0.2106, 0.22, 0.2462, 0.2376, 0.2593, 0.2746, 0.3082, 0.2553, 0.2451, 0.233, 0.1967, 0.212, 0.1923, 0.2396, 0.168, 0.1858, 0.1796, 0.1937, 0.1498, 0.1587, 0.1794, 0.185, 0.1744, 0.1736, 0.1886, 0.1829, 0.2086, 0.2251, 0.2314, 0.2244, 0.2393, 0.2353, 0.2424, 0.227, 0.1958, 0.188, 0.202, 0.1566, 0.1636, 0.2133, 0.2097, 0.2584, 0.28, 0.2968, 0.3231, 0.2881, 0.3083, 0.2908, 0.2008, 0.2226, 0.1998, 0.175, 0.1474, 0.1292, 0.1729, 0.1505, 0.1422]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924955568038711347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T22:29:06+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Market will figure it out", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: small convertible fully funds capex for foreseeable future; market hasn't priced it in yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bitcoin_few Nice pick-up after hours. I was sitting on $3.48 and $3.49 for a bit but not much for sale there. This is a very small convertible that means Cipher has all capex funded for forseeable future. Market will figure it out.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bought 4800 shares of $CIFR at 3.50 \n☀️🏖️⛳️🥃 soon! 🍻", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "IREN_few", "ret_m1d": 0.07845930041937188, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07845930041937188, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06131960166970574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059312440592971916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019146859826399965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018544883503448295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018544883503448295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018150069184579953, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018283205441444794, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00026167806200350086, "ret_p1w": -0.044222597645499295, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044222597645499295, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052578049465250354, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052771127400104145, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00854852975460485, "ret_p1m": 0.08701849311844412, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08701849311844412, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.062003852175944285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.033241540529349134, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.053776952589094984, "ret_p3m": 0.7261055615400167, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7261055615400167, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6191469857174559, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5628497449995911, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16325581654042565, "ret_p6m": 3.259629049272446, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.259629049272446, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.100010016418861, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.0059919755019493, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2536370737704967, "ret_p1y": 4.863052372635507, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.863052372635507, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.583026547234122, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.323248861029834, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5398035116056734, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08701849311844412, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.062003852175944285, "alpha_c_stated": 0.033241540529349134, "price_path": [0.5663, 0.4165, 0.1698, 0.1912, 0.1327, 0.1641, 0.0984, 0.0699, 0.1869, 0.0813, 0.1098, -0.1213, -0.0927, -0.087, -0.1355, -0.1327, -0.1098, -0.1812, -0.127, -0.1441, -0.1669, -0.087, -0.1327, -0.2354, -0.2753, -0.3381, -0.3438, -0.2981, -0.2439, -0.3409, -0.4009, -0.3638, -0.398, -0.2981, -0.3666, -0.3096, -0.3039, -0.3381, -0.3367, -0.3238, -0.3238, -0.3324, -0.2183, -0.184, -0.1441, -0.1213, -0.127, -0.1213, -0.1869, -0.1113, -0.0984, -0.1498, -0.1327, -0.1384, -0.1098, -0.1498, -0.1013, -0.0214, -0.0556, -0.0956, 0.1013, 0.087, 0.0785, 0.0, 0.0185, -0.01, -0.01, 0.0185, -0.0442, -0.0728, -0.1098, -0.0728, -0.02, 0.067, 0.0071, 0.1127, 0.1812, 0.1583, 0.1641, 0.0956, 0.0613, 0.1213, 0.0499, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0813, 0.0071, 0.0984, 0.0984, 0.1954, 0.2154, 0.3638, 0.398, 0.6205, 0.7261, 0.7261, 0.6519, 0.7204, 0.786, 0.7803, 0.6748, 0.7204, 0.7033, 0.7889, 0.8317, 0.8146, 0.7832, 0.98, 0.9058, 0.8973, 0.8459, 0.7575, 0.6205, 0.5549, 0.5578, 0.4066, 0.4807, 0.4294, 0.4864, 0.3894, 0.3552, 0.3581, 0.3466, 0.398, 0.5178, 0.4864, 0.7261, 0.6434, 0.6976, 0.6833, 0.8203, 0.8944, 1.0314, 0.9943, 1.0029, 1.1797, 1.1797, 1.3738, 1.3138, 1.1113, 1.1455, 1.2026, 1.6305, 1.9244, 1.8445, 2.0956, 2.0956, 2.2839, 2.5321, 2.3809, 2.5036, 2.9829, 3.0371, 3.0342, 2.3267, 2.2725, 2.6091, 2.592, 2.5949, 2.9401, 3.194, 3.3766, 3.4936, 4.0214, 4.1327, 3.8417, 4.8031, 4.9601, 5.0, 4.3409, 4.3524, 4.6805, 4.1569, 3.5963, 3.923, 4.8944, 4.8602, 4.6947, 4.5892, 4.4408, 4.321, 5.4936, 5.4223, 6.0499, 5.194, 4.903, 4.6063, 4.3267, 3.9586, 3.2596]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1935094322258657428", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-17T21:56:53+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I thought IREN could reach $200 per share or more one day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long IREN with $200+ price target; bullish on HPC/AI prospects over the long term.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@7radek I once said in a space that I thought IREN could reach $200 per share or more one say. Unsurprisingly, the kid analysts and traders sneered with derision. They don’t have the patience to build significant value in the real world.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN\nHere are some of my thoughts on why I believe IREN has simply better prospects to succeed in the HPC/AI segment “more effectively” than any other hybrid BTC miner.  \n\n1) Unique Sweetwater and Childress Locations:\n\nJust listen to Oracle’s latest earnings call, and it’s clear", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "7radek", "ret_m1d": -0.003061197182379072, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003061197182379072, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003211932990680344, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0034593575945833788, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001507358083012722, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000398160412204307, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.21122445454452565, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21122445454452565, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19201770821061737, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18402043851160288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019206746333908287, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027204016032922773, "ret_p1m": 0.8418366209957235, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8418366209957235, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7875102961004876, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.792653902519904, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05432632489523592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049182718475819565, "ret_p3m": 2.789795782326761, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.789795782326761, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.680288859357421, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.7172357687781608, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10950692296933995, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07256001354859998, "ret_p6m": 3.483673241991447, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.483673241991447, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.323517015462981, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.3837271608373145, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16015622652846617, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09994608115413262, "ret_p1y": 4.545918103706241, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.545918103706241, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.2972487745582875, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.4884189102442456, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24866932914795425, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0574991934619955, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 4.545918103706241, "alpha_spy_stated": 4.2972487745582875, "alpha_c_stated": 4.4884189102442456, "price_path": [-0.2704, -0.2153, -0.2449, -0.3153, -0.3408, -0.3806, -0.3786, -0.3224, -0.3102, -0.3837, -0.3939, -0.4, -0.4592, -0.398, -0.4398, -0.4255, -0.4133, -0.4439, -0.4418, -0.4296, -0.4296, -0.4378, -0.3816, -0.3776, -0.3571, -0.3327, -0.348, -0.3602, -0.3765, -0.35, -0.3337, -0.3684, -0.3367, -0.3296, -0.2969, -0.2816, -0.2337, -0.1714, -0.1867, -0.2092, -0.1418, -0.1286, -0.1214, -0.0929, -0.0531, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0571, -0.0959, -0.1224, -0.1439, -0.1092, -0.0929, -0.0378, -0.0867, -0.0051, 0.0551, 0.0704, 0.051, 0.0378, 0.0031, 0.0612, -0.0031, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0684, 0.0878, 0.1776, 0.2112, 0.3378, 0.4286, 0.4867, 0.5541, 0.598, 0.7163, 0.7163, 0.7296, 0.7235, 0.7306, 0.7378, 0.6561, 0.7633, 0.7224, 0.7663, 0.8418, 0.8306, 0.852, 0.8969, 0.9378, 0.851, 0.8082, 0.6918, 0.6112, 0.6469, 0.6439, 0.5714, 0.6816, 0.6786, 0.8694, 0.8949, 0.8827, 0.8337, 0.8194, 0.8092, 0.9469, 1.0092, 1.1128, 0.9112, 1.0163, 0.999, 1.1867, 1.3592, 1.3459, 1.2811, 1.351, 1.702, 1.702, 1.9704, 1.8786, 1.6663, 1.6684, 1.6724, 2.0806, 2.4316, 2.352, 2.4653, 2.7898, 2.7194, 2.8673, 2.7061, 2.9429, 3.2755, 3.2622, 3.8102, 3.7235, 3.2714, 3.6867, 3.7888, 3.8041, 3.798, 4.149, 4.8929, 5.2939, 5.1316, 5.5153, 5.099, 5.5449, 6.098, 5.9367, 5.3092, 5.1959, 5.0429, 4.6321, 4.2888, 4.7, 5.4184, 5.6316, 5.3694, 5.1653, 4.9408, 5.199, 5.9133, 5.799, 6.7969, 5.8327, 5.3653, 5.1398, 4.8551, 4.6837, 3.9643, 3.7316, 3.8378, 3.9847, 3.6765, 3.4357, 3.3122, 3.948, 3.8439, 3.9439, 3.9439, 3.8786, 3.948, 3.1959, 3.4857, 3.7398, 3.5622, 3.7286, 3.7796, 3.4816, 3.4837]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924150097711132976", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-18T17:08:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$150,000+ is inevitable", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC will inevitably reach $150,000+.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Doesn’t matter. $150,000+ is inevitable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC https://t.co/7dgEV4KzJw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1917232117089710248", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-29T14:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buffett is long $STZ now so it won't be a problem", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Relays/endorses Buffett's long position in STZ as a positive signal ahead of Cinco de Mayo.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@tomyoungjr @dotkrueger Buffett is long $STZ now so it won't be a problem.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@dotkrueger @mikealfred What about Corona Beer ahead of Cinco de Mayo? \n\nDisaster looms. https://t.co/FAPjxDrBIT", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tomyoungjr", "ret_m1d": -0.008320623898292467, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008320623898292467, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002060891567671641, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002060891567671641, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006259732330620826, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006764024851401151, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006764024851401151, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006367194757879169, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006367194757879169, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003968300935219826, "ret_p1w": 0.004241040384662886, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004241040384662886, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0038409393084446464, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0038409393084446464, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008081979693107533, "ret_p1m": -0.04053038624202365, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04053038624202365, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10080244598672583, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10080244598672583, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06027205974470218, "ret_p3m": -0.057762436617240454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.057762436617240454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21049635478180861, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21049635478180861, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15273391816456816, "ret_p6m": -0.24297795125113086, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24297795125113086, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4546085343680538, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4546085343680538, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21163058311692295, "ret_p1y": -0.10033968203513399, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.10033968203513399, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3806534703511787, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3806534703511787, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2803137883160447, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04053038624202365, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10080244598672583, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10080244598672583, "price_path": [-0.0218, -0.0404, -0.0744, -0.084, -0.0826, -0.0926, -0.0977, -0.1191, -0.1205, -0.1402, -0.1287, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.0957, -0.0795, -0.08, -0.0605, -0.0445, -0.0496, -0.0478, -0.0751, -0.063, -0.0642, -0.0787, -0.0701, -0.0446, -0.0057, 0.0115, -0.0109, -0.0185, -0.0305, -0.0319, -0.0197, -0.0425, -0.0444, -0.045, -0.0528, -0.0375, -0.0478, -0.0171, -0.016, -0.0191, -0.0202, -0.0133, -0.0244, -0.0311, -0.0718, -0.0786, -0.0873, -0.0209, -0.0137, -0.009, -0.0002, -0.0184, -0.0228, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0003, -0.0016, -0.0002, 0.001, -0.0105, -0.0083, 0.0, 0.0068, -0.0045, 0.0037, 0.0062, 0.0042, 0.0188, 0.0274, 0.0203, 0.0194, 0.0075, 0.0026, 0.0235, 0.0501, 0.0356, 0.0166, -0.0031, -0.0082, -0.01, -0.01, -0.002, -0.0405, -0.0353, -0.0429, -0.065, -0.0516, -0.05, -0.0842, -0.077, -0.0813, -0.0791, -0.0925, -0.0884, -0.1149, -0.126, -0.1381, -0.1411, -0.1411, -0.1282, -0.1234, -0.117, -0.1329, -0.134, -0.1339, -0.1267, -0.1066, -0.0666, -0.0749, -0.0749, -0.0856, -0.0844, -0.0925, -0.076, -0.0756, -0.1165, -0.1089, -0.0975, -0.0792, -0.0843, -0.0984, -0.0586, -0.0547, -0.0571, -0.0578, -0.0734, -0.0561, -0.0742, -0.0981, -0.1027, -0.0805, -0.0786, -0.0866, -0.0647, -0.0788, -0.089, -0.0822, -0.0801, -0.0847, -0.0916, -0.1023, -0.1042, -0.102, -0.1094, -0.0949, -0.1162, -0.1449, -0.1334, -0.141, -0.1256, -0.1256, -0.1833, -0.209, -0.2123, -0.1985, -0.2111, -0.2118, -0.2284, -0.228, -0.2468, -0.2688, -0.2728, -0.2816, -0.2817, -0.2823, -0.2793, -0.2884, -0.2797, -0.2837, -0.2846, -0.2631, -0.2728, -0.2497, -0.2413, -0.2322, -0.251, -0.2433, -0.2292, -0.228, -0.2369, -0.2363, -0.2374, -0.2501, -0.2477, -0.2418, -0.2374, -0.2356, -0.243]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919160891263660360", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-04T22:43:07+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is not a stonk and a minor recession is already priced in", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses recession bear case for BTC; recession already priced in, implying upside from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@i_danforth @MatthewHyland_ Bitcoin is not a stonk and a minor recession is already priced in. Learn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @MatthewHyland_ What's your reasoning behind that prediction since a #recession is likely this year and there's a #RiskOff investor sentiment?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "i_danforth", "ret_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022818575348388936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017051178423762803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02168299794413664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030041324539009873, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "ret_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08511940919631344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05055039495339453, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "ret_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05495037240275358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "ret_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2217475441242156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09674784617417931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "ret_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19217396531310715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0340715624252943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "ret_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.17462050465910783, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4511960137451003, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11276657972281923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05495037240275358, "price_path": [0.0197, 0.0195, 0.0188, 0.0284, 0.0105, 0.0331, 0.0198, 0.0291, 0.0108, 0.0084, 0.0199, 0.0378, 0.0145, -0.0351, -0.0635, -0.1098, -0.106, -0.1095, -0.0916, -0.0794, -0.0435, -0.0505, -0.0845, -0.1711, -0.1254, -0.1164, -0.1444, -0.1138, -0.1126, -0.127, -0.0833, -0.1117, -0.113, -0.0765, -0.0768, -0.0828, -0.0799, -0.1097, -0.1288, -0.1011, -0.1294, -0.1229, -0.1151, -0.1637, -0.195, -0.1285, -0.1596, -0.1197, -0.1077, -0.1169, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.1087, -0.0763, -0.0138, -0.0111, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.0024, -0.0049, -0.0057, 0.0184, 0.0228, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0241, 0.0896, 0.0868, 0.0851, 0.0994, 0.0928, 0.095, 0.0923, 0.1146, 0.1271, 0.1576, 0.1786, 0.1323, 0.1551, 0.1504, 0.1378, 0.115, 0.0976, 0.1175, 0.1128, 0.1054, 0.0721, 0.1018, 0.1641, 0.1637, 0.1471, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.1272, 0.104, 0.107, 0.1049, 0.0904, 0.1143, 0.1192, 0.1331, 0.1289, 0.1302, 0.1307, 0.1156, 0.1489, 0.1573, 0.1402, 0.143, 0.1499, 0.175, 0.2242, 0.2403, 0.2649, 0.2431, 0.2532, 0.259, 0.2454, 0.2395, 0.2665, 0.2534, 0.2493, 0.2416, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.2436, 0.2217, 0.196, 0.2145, 0.2047, 0.214, 0.2401, 0.2316, 0.2531, 0.2683, 0.3018, 0.2492, 0.2391, 0.227, 0.1909, 0.2061, 0.1865, 0.2335, 0.1623, 0.18, 0.1739, 0.1878, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1736, 0.1792, 0.1686, 0.1678, 0.1828, 0.1771, 0.2027, 0.2191, 0.2254, 0.2184, 0.2332, 0.2292, 0.2363, 0.221, 0.19, 0.1822, 0.1961, 0.1509, 0.1579, 0.2074, 0.2038, 0.2523, 0.2737, 0.2904, 0.3167, 0.2818, 0.3019, 0.2845, 0.1949, 0.2166, 0.1939, 0.1692, 0.1418, 0.1237, 0.1672, 0.1449, 0.1366, 0.1617, 0.1719, 0.2045, 0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918668566087242218", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-03T14:06:47+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN, CLSK, CIFR etc are going to surprise everyone", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin miners IREN, CLSK, and CIFR; expects them to surprise to the upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Micro2Macr0 @CleanSpark 100% agreed. IREN, CLSK, CIFR etc are going to surprise everyone.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": ".@Cleanspark $CLSK:\n\n- Forward PE Ratio of 7.81\n- Down 63% from it's high 15 months ago\n- 165% upside just to get back to that previous high\n- Is breaking out from a 5 month down trend (1)\n- Can pretty easily hit the $30 range this year, roughly 265% higher. = If #Bitcoin gets https://t.co/BkUlJZxDrn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Micro2Macr0", "ret_m1d": 0.0549273262431218, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0549273262431218, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049159929318495665, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04845483738709766, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006472488856024139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05008076573730147, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05008076573730147, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0584390923321747, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05574413451828675, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005663368780985278, "ret_p1w": 0.21324719862023822, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21324719862023822, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1786781843773193, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1843231411948063, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028924057425431915, "ret_p1m": 0.43618744121865105, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.43618744121865105, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3783712338985854, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40301579823944444, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033171642979206606, "ret_p3m": 1.6025848887609793, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6025848887609793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.477585190810943, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.5396908397758389, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0628940489851404, "ret_p6m": 9.084006073010316, "ret_signed_p6m": 9.084006073010316, "alpha_spy_p6m": 8.857760545271915, "alpha_c_p6m": 9.004988197439948, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07901787557036832, "ret_p1y": 6.817447325093783, "ret_signed_p1y": 6.817447325093783, "alpha_spy_p1y": 6.54087181600779, "alpha_c_p1y": 6.745112650827315, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07233467426646722, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.43618744121865105, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3783712338985854, "alpha_c_stated": 0.40301579823944444, "price_path": [0.7884, 0.8724, 1.0145, 1.0775, 1.0065, 1.1018, 1.1131, 1.1018, 1.1018, 1.0953, 1.1002, 0.9968, 0.7577, 0.6414, 0.4184, 0.3716, 0.2698, 0.3312, 0.2229, 0.2181, 0.3021, 0.231, 0.2439, 0.0695, 0.1389, 0.1373, 0.0905, 0.1648, 0.1874, 0.0646, 0.1632, 0.1648, 0.1551, 0.2423, 0.1955, 0.084, 0.0436, -0.0194, -0.0162, 0.0727, 0.0921, -0.0242, -0.0404, -0.0501, -0.1438, -0.0468, -0.1131, -0.0905, -0.0711, -0.1195, -0.1163, -0.0969, -0.0969, -0.1099, -0.021, -0.0145, 0.0178, 0.0565, 0.0323, 0.0129, -0.0129, 0.0291, 0.0549, 0.0, 0.0501, 0.0614, 0.1131, 0.1373, 0.2132, 0.3118, 0.2876, 0.252, 0.3586, 0.3796, 0.391, 0.4362, 0.4992, 0.4733, 0.4733, 0.4927, 0.4313, 0.3893, 0.3554, 0.4103, 0.4362, 0.5234, 0.4459, 0.5751, 0.6704, 0.6947, 0.664, 0.643, 0.588, 0.6801, 0.5784, 0.5832, 0.5832, 0.6914, 0.7221, 0.8643, 0.9176, 1.1179, 1.2617, 1.3538, 1.4604, 1.5299, 1.7173, 1.7173, 1.7383, 1.7286, 1.7399, 1.7512, 1.622, 1.7916, 1.727, 1.7964, 1.916, 1.8982, 1.9321, 2.0032, 2.0679, 1.9305, 1.8627, 1.6785, 1.5509, 1.6074, 1.6026, 1.4879, 1.6624, 1.6575, 1.9596, 2.0, 1.9806, 1.9031, 1.8805, 1.8643, 2.0824, 2.1809, 2.3449, 2.0258, 2.1922, 2.1648, 2.462, 2.7351, 2.7141, 2.6115, 2.7221, 3.2779, 3.2779, 3.7027, 3.5574, 3.2213, 3.2246, 3.231, 3.8772, 4.433, 4.3069, 4.4863, 5.0, 4.8885, 5.1228, 4.8675, 5.2423, 5.769, 5.748, 6.6155, 6.4782, 5.7625, 6.42, 6.5816, 6.6058, 6.5961, 7.1519, 8.3296, 8.9645, 8.7076, 9.315, 8.6559, 9.3619, 10.2375, 9.9822, 8.9887, 8.8094, 8.567, 7.9168, 7.3732, 8.0242, 9.1616, 9.4992, 9.084]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918668566087242218", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-05-03T14:06:47+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN, CLSK, CIFR etc are going to surprise everyone", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin miners IREN, CLSK, and CIFR; expects them to surprise to the upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Micro2Macr0 @CleanSpark 100% agreed. IREN, CLSK, CIFR etc are going to surprise everyone.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": ".@Cleanspark $CLSK:\n\n- Forward PE Ratio of 7.81\n- Down 63% from it's high 15 months ago\n- 165% upside just to get back to that previous high\n- Is breaking out from a 5 month down trend (1)\n- Can pretty easily hit the $30 range this year, roughly 265% higher. = If #Bitcoin gets https://t.co/BkUlJZxDrn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Micro2Macr0", "ret_m1d": 0.08899879523469356, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08899879523469356, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08323139831006743, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08252630637866942, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006472488856024139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008358326594873233, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005663368780985278, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005663368780985278, "ret_p1w": 0.1891223367260091, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1891223367260091, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15455332248309017, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16019827930057717, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028924057425431915, "ret_p1m": 0.1384425048744662, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1384425048744662, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08062629755440054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10527086189525958, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033171642979206606, "ret_p3m": 0.40543877269544426, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40543877269544426, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28043907474540797, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34254472371030387, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0628940489851404, "ret_p6m": 1.3671198093122934, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3671198093122934, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.140874281573892, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.288101933741925, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07901787557036832, "ret_p1y": 0.5092706808220695, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5092706808220695, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.232695171736077, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4369360065556023, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.07233467426646722, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1384425048744662, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08062629755440054, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10527086189525958, "price_path": [0.2744, 0.2831, 0.4005, 0.382, 0.2707, 0.3004, 0.3189, 0.2979, 0.2979, 0.246, 0.2225, 0.2435, 0.1434, 0.1001, 0.0074, -0.026, -0.0717, -0.0124, -0.0371, -0.0408, 0.0569, 0.0074, 0.0915, -0.0136, 0.021, 0.0012, -0.0494, -0.0148, 0.0037, -0.0618, -0.0099, -0.042, -0.0803, 0.0865, 0.0791, 0.0037, -0.0303, -0.1112, -0.1693, -0.0655, -0.0087, -0.0841, -0.0952, -0.0816, -0.1669, -0.0569, -0.1187, -0.0729, -0.0383, -0.1001, -0.1001, -0.0717, -0.0717, -0.0766, 0.0841, 0.0964, 0.0952, 0.1137, 0.0593, 0.0433, 0.0099, 0.0717, 0.089, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0074, 0.0729, 0.1372, 0.1891, 0.2361, 0.1879, 0.157, 0.2089, 0.2163, 0.199, 0.2497, 0.22, 0.157, 0.157, 0.2188, 0.1261, 0.0853, 0.0667, 0.0643, 0.1384, 0.178, 0.115, 0.2101, 0.2509, 0.2522, 0.2324, 0.2002, 0.1496, 0.1891, 0.1001, 0.1347, 0.1347, 0.1125, 0.0939, 0.241, 0.3103, 0.3362, 0.3189, 0.3634, 0.3696, 0.5426, 0.5142, 0.5142, 0.4005, 0.4339, 0.5414, 0.5946, 0.5637, 0.5575, 0.5068, 0.5538, 0.6044, 0.5797, 0.5315, 0.5871, 0.5389, 0.5253, 0.4611, 0.487, 0.4499, 0.4116, 0.4054, 0.2905, 0.3127, 0.3387, 0.3597, 0.3251, 0.2447, 0.22, 0.2262, 0.2324, 0.2299, 0.2052, 0.2163, 0.157, 0.1731, 0.1533, 0.2138, 0.1681, 0.1965, 0.1842, 0.1805, 0.1706, 0.1706, 0.1916, 0.1669, 0.1224, 0.1422, 0.1335, 0.1953, 0.2398, 0.2608, 0.2794, 0.2719, 0.3844, 0.4141, 0.6638, 0.6836, 0.6984, 0.7194, 0.7862, 0.691, 0.602, 0.8381, 0.7923, 0.8035, 0.8714, 0.9703, 1.1545, 1.22, 1.3461, 1.4833, 1.3832, 1.4771, 1.7169, 1.8677, 1.471, 1.4135, 1.5216, 1.3201, 1.0841, 1.1842, 1.3937, 1.4969, 1.3671]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1918668566087242218", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-05-03T14:06:47+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN, CLSK, CIFR etc are going to surprise everyone", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin miners IREN, CLSK, and CIFR; expects them to surprise to the upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Micro2Macr0 @CleanSpark 100% agreed. IREN, CLSK, CIFR etc are going to surprise everyone.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": ".@Cleanspark $CLSK:\n\n- Forward PE Ratio of 7.81\n- Down 63% from it's high 15 months ago\n- 165% upside just to get back to that previous high\n- Is breaking out from a 5 month down trend (1)\n- Can pretty easily hit the $30 range this year, roughly 265% higher. = If #Bitcoin gets https://t.co/BkUlJZxDrn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Micro2Macr0", "ret_m1d": 0.06040270657889657, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06040270657889657, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.054635309654270436, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05506528123610588, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005767396924626134, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053374253427906915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020134208857554237, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020134208857554237, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02849253545242747, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028441949304469194, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008358326594873233, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008307740446914957, "ret_p1w": 0.057047005102637494, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057047005102637494, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022477990859718577, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00023821341489904668, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034569014242918916, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05680879168773845, "ret_p1m": 0.152684537179137, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.152684537179137, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09486832985907134, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05526506171279588, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05781620732006565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09741947546634111, "ret_p3m": 0.8322147661745802, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8322147661745802, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7072150682245439, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6107562183787061, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12499969795003629, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22145854779587415, "ret_p6m": 5.6979862270868145, "ret_signed_p6m": 5.6979862270868145, "alpha_spy_p6m": 5.471740699348413, "alpha_c_p6m": 5.292392673213967, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.22624552773840145, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4055935538728477, "ret_p1y": 5.5234900703462815, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.5234900703462815, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.246914561260289, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.047638802025868, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2765755090859925, "bench_c_p1y": 0.47585126832041347, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.152684537179137, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09486832985907134, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05526506171279588, "price_path": [0.9161, 0.9765, 1.0034, 1.0, 0.9128, 0.9396, 1.0067, 1.0336, 1.0336, 0.9799, 1.0201, 1.0403, 0.8423, 0.6661, 0.3758, 0.401, 0.3322, 0.3691, 0.2919, 0.2584, 0.396, 0.2718, 0.3054, 0.0336, 0.0671, 0.0738, 0.0168, 0.0201, 0.047, -0.0369, 0.0268, 0.0067, -0.0201, 0.0738, 0.0201, -0.1007, -0.1477, -0.2215, -0.2282, -0.1745, -0.1107, -0.2248, -0.2953, -0.2517, -0.2919, -0.1745, -0.255, -0.1879, -0.1812, -0.2215, -0.2198, -0.2047, -0.2047, -0.2148, -0.0805, -0.0403, 0.0067, 0.0336, 0.0268, 0.0336, -0.0436, 0.0453, 0.0604, 0.0, 0.0201, 0.0134, 0.047, 0.0, 0.057, 0.151, 0.1107, 0.0638, 0.2953, 0.2785, 0.2685, 0.1762, 0.198, 0.1644, 0.1644, 0.198, 0.1242, 0.0906, 0.047, 0.0906, 0.1527, 0.255, 0.1846, 0.3087, 0.3893, 0.3624, 0.3691, 0.2886, 0.2483, 0.3188, 0.2349, 0.2785, 0.2785, 0.2718, 0.1846, 0.2919, 0.2919, 0.406, 0.4295, 0.604, 0.6443, 0.906, 1.0302, 1.0302, 0.943, 1.0235, 1.1007, 1.094, 0.9698, 1.0235, 1.0034, 1.104, 1.1544, 1.1342, 1.0973, 1.3289, 1.2416, 1.2315, 1.1711, 1.0671, 0.906, 0.8289, 0.8322, 0.6544, 0.7416, 0.6812, 0.7483, 0.6342, 0.594, 0.5973, 0.5839, 0.6443, 0.7852, 0.7483, 1.0302, 0.9329, 0.9966, 0.9799, 1.1409, 1.2282, 1.3893, 1.3456, 1.3557, 1.5638, 1.5638, 1.7919, 1.7215, 1.4832, 1.5235, 1.5906, 2.094, 2.4396, 2.3456, 2.6409, 2.6409, 2.8624, 3.1544, 2.9765, 3.1208, 3.6846, 3.7483, 3.745, 2.9128, 2.849, 3.245, 3.2248, 3.2282, 3.6342, 3.9329, 4.1477, 4.2852, 4.906, 5.0369, 4.6946, 5.8255, 6.0101, 6.057, 5.2819, 5.2953, 5.6812, 5.0654, 4.406, 4.7903, 5.9329, 5.8926, 5.698]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1925373911660908628", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-22T02:11:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I own Bitcoin instead.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds Bitcoin as effectively his only crypto position.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SelfMadeMastery Almost zero. I own Bitcoin instead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What percentage of your portfolio is crypto right now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SelfMadeMastery", "ret_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0178664323521881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01747177385014742, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000394658502040679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03927066820202352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03244481694497037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0068258512570531504, "ret_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05401044341123451, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06594679321071562, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011936349799481105, "ret_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09709802744074547, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022203839736379072, "ret_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.010368625552497512, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09014998204390379, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1005186075964013, "ret_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15469673671382334, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3136682171704256, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15897148045660225, "ret_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2681481554031081, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5505829966793773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28243484127626917, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0748941877043664, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09709802744074547, "price_path": [-0.1814, -0.2054, -0.2447, -0.2415, -0.2445, -0.2293, -0.219, -0.1885, -0.1944, -0.2232, -0.2968, -0.258, -0.2503, -0.2741, -0.2481, -0.2471, -0.2593, -0.2222, -0.2463, -0.2474, -0.2165, -0.2167, -0.2218, -0.2194, -0.2446, -0.2608, -0.2373, -0.2614, -0.2558, -0.2492, -0.2905, -0.317, -0.2606, -0.287, -0.2531, -0.2429, -0.2508, -0.2475, -0.2398, -0.2438, -0.2163, -0.1633, -0.161, -0.1588, -0.1518, -0.1495, -0.1557, -0.1564, -0.1359, -0.1322, -0.1516, -0.1332, -0.1311, -0.0755, -0.0779, -0.0793, -0.0672, -0.0728, -0.071, -0.0733, -0.0543, -0.0437, -0.0179, 0.0, -0.0393, -0.02, -0.024, -0.0347, -0.054, -0.0687, -0.0519, -0.0559, -0.0622, -0.0904, -0.0652, -0.0124, -0.0127, -0.0267, -0.0514, -0.05, -0.0437, -0.0633, -0.0608, -0.0626, -0.0749, -0.0546, -0.0504, -0.0386, -0.0422, -0.0411, -0.0406, -0.0535, -0.0252, -0.0181, -0.0326, -0.0302, -0.0244, -0.0031, 0.0386, 0.0523, 0.0732, 0.0547, 0.0633, 0.0682, 0.0567, 0.0516, 0.0745, 0.0634, 0.0599, 0.0534, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0551, 0.0366, 0.0147, 0.0304, 0.0221, 0.03, 0.0521, 0.0449, 0.0632, 0.0761, 0.1045, 0.0599, 0.0513, 0.041, 0.0104, 0.0233, 0.0067, 0.0466, -0.0139, 0.0012, -0.004, 0.0078, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0042, 0.0004, -0.0085, -0.0092, 0.0036, -0.0013, 0.0204, 0.0343, 0.0397, 0.0338, 0.0463, 0.0429, 0.0489, 0.036, 0.0096, 0.0031, 0.0148, -0.0235, -0.0176, 0.0244, 0.0213, 0.0625, 0.0807, 0.0949, 0.1171, 0.0876, 0.1046, 0.0898, 0.0138, 0.0322, 0.0129, -0.008, -0.0312, -0.0466, -0.0097, -0.0286, -0.0357, -0.0144, -0.0057, 0.0219, 0.0115, -0.0145, -0.0302, -0.019, -0.0459, -0.0903, -0.0697, -0.0929, -0.0743, -0.0508, -0.0777, -0.0896, -0.1072, -0.1547]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1922317060056416615", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-13T15:44:36+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When 1 Bitcoin is $10,000,000 per coin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $10M long-term; encourages accumulation regardless of current entry price.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When 1 Bitcoin is $10,000,000 per coin, you won’t care whether you paid $102,420.66 or $103,664.20. Just make sure you get to 1 Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013025456631209686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013025456631209686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006464710428463749, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006464710428463749, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006560746202745937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006560746202745937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006051642240404331, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006051642240404331, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007329619279849209, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007329619279849209, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "ret_p1w": 0.025163465063354984, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025163465063354984, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014922351707730375, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014922351707730375, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "ret_p1m": 0.04336009052526624, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04336009052526624, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018617623939930716, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018617623939930716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02474246658533552, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02474246658533552, "ret_p3m": 0.12017794562604212, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12017794562604212, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03118678388616658, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03118678388616658, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "ret_p6m": -0.002668494411468769, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.002668494411468769, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1639170917955446, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1639170917955446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "ret_p1y": -0.26750064648047633, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26750064648047633, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5061658381174419, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5061658381174419, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.26750064648047633, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5061658381174419, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5061658381174419, "price_path": [-0.0724, -0.0639, -0.0806, -0.0828, -0.0723, -0.056, -0.0772, -0.1224, -0.1482, -0.1903, -0.1869, -0.19, -0.1738, -0.1627, -0.13, -0.1364, -0.1673, -0.2461, -0.2045, -0.1963, -0.2218, -0.1939, -0.1929, -0.2059, -0.1662, -0.192, -0.1932, -0.16, -0.1603, -0.1658, -0.1631, -0.1902, -0.2076, -0.1824, -0.2082, -0.2022, -0.1951, -0.2394, -0.2678, -0.2073, -0.2356, -0.1993, -0.1884, -0.1968, -0.1933, -0.185, -0.1893, -0.1598, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0882, -0.0949, -0.0956, -0.0737, -0.0697, -0.0904, -0.0707, -0.0685, -0.0089, -0.0115, -0.013, 0.0, -0.0061, -0.0041, -0.0065, 0.0138, 0.0252, 0.0529, 0.072, 0.0299, 0.0506, 0.0463, 0.0349, 0.0141, -0.0016, 0.0164, 0.0121, 0.0054, -0.0249, 0.0021, 0.0588, 0.0584, 0.0434, 0.0169, 0.0184, 0.0252, 0.0041, 0.0068, 0.0049, -0.0083, 0.0135, 0.018, 0.0306, 0.0268, 0.028, 0.0285, 0.0147, 0.045, 0.0526, 0.0371, 0.0396, 0.0459, 0.0687, 0.1134, 0.1281, 0.1505, 0.1306, 0.1399, 0.1451, 0.1328, 0.1274, 0.1519, 0.14, 0.1363, 0.1293, 0.132, 0.132, 0.1311, 0.1112, 0.0878, 0.1047, 0.0957, 0.1042, 0.1279, 0.1202, 0.1398, 0.1536, 0.1841, 0.1362, 0.127, 0.116, 0.0831, 0.097, 0.0792, 0.122, 0.0572, 0.0733, 0.0677, 0.0804, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0675, 0.0725, 0.0629, 0.0622, 0.0759, 0.0707, 0.0939, 0.1088, 0.1145, 0.1082, 0.1217, 0.1181, 0.1245, 0.1106, 0.0824, 0.0753, 0.0879, 0.0468, 0.0532, 0.0982, 0.0949, 0.139, 0.1585, 0.1737, 0.1976, 0.1659, 0.1842, 0.1683, 0.0868, 0.1066, 0.0859, 0.0635, 0.0386, 0.0221, 0.0616, 0.0413, 0.0338, 0.0566, 0.0659, 0.0955, 0.0843, 0.0565, 0.0397, 0.0517, 0.0228, -0.0248, -0.0027]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1922022698554683765", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-12T20:14:55+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC 315k is a reasonable cycle target. Stay focused.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC to $315k cycle target; dismisses near-term pullback concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BigCheds BTC 315k is a reasonable cycle target. Stay focused.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC 95-97k is a reasonable throwback target", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BigCheds", "ret_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015357835049054636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008096529707651401, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008096529707651401, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006560746202745937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006560746202745937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013197358248725033, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011919381209280155, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011919381209280155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012779770394448775, "ret_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027168041356656625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016926928001032016, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016926928001032016, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01024111335562461, "ret_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.047663597278516656, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.047663597278516656, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02474246658533552, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02474246658533552, "ret_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1428219389306642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05383077719078866, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05383077719078866, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08899116173987554, "ret_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.011889841214985486, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1731384385990613, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1731384385990613, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16124859738407582, "ret_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2629709534714817, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5016361451084472, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5016361451084472, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23866519163696553, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07240606386385218, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.047663597278516656, "alpha_c_stated": 0.047663597278516656, "price_path": [-0.0479, -0.0602, -0.0516, -0.0685, -0.0707, -0.0601, -0.0436, -0.065, -0.1108, -0.1369, -0.1796, -0.1761, -0.1794, -0.1629, -0.1516, -0.1186, -0.125, -0.1563, -0.2362, -0.194, -0.1857, -0.2115, -0.1833, -0.1822, -0.1954, -0.1552, -0.1814, -0.1826, -0.149, -0.1492, -0.1548, -0.1521, -0.1795, -0.1971, -0.1716, -0.1977, -0.1917, -0.1845, -0.2293, -0.2581, -0.1969, -0.2255, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1862, -0.1827, -0.1743, -0.1786, -0.1488, -0.0911, -0.0886, -0.0863, -0.0787, -0.0762, -0.0829, -0.0837, -0.0615, -0.0574, -0.0784, -0.0585, -0.0562, 0.0042, 0.0015, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0071, 0.0091, 0.0066, 0.0272, 0.0387, 0.0668, 0.0862, 0.0435, 0.0645, 0.0601, 0.0485, 0.0275, 0.0115, 0.0298, 0.0255, 0.0187, -0.012, 0.0153, 0.0728, 0.0724, 0.0571, 0.0303, 0.0319, 0.0387, 0.0174, 0.0201, 0.0182, 0.0048, 0.0269, 0.0314, 0.0442, 0.0403, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.0281, 0.0588, 0.0665, 0.0508, 0.0534, 0.0597, 0.0828, 0.1281, 0.143, 0.1657, 0.1455, 0.1549, 0.1603, 0.1477, 0.1423, 0.1671, 0.1551, 0.1513, 0.1442, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1461, 0.1259, 0.1022, 0.1192, 0.1102, 0.1188, 0.1428, 0.135, 0.1548, 0.1688, 0.1997, 0.1512, 0.1419, 0.1307, 0.0974, 0.1115, 0.0934, 0.1368, 0.0711, 0.0874, 0.0818, 0.0947, 0.0544, 0.0626, 0.0816, 0.0867, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0901, 0.0848, 0.1084, 0.1235, 0.1293, 0.1229, 0.1365, 0.1328, 0.1393, 0.1252, 0.0966, 0.0895, 0.1023, 0.0607, 0.0671, 0.1127, 0.1094, 0.154, 0.1738, 0.1892, 0.2134, 0.1813, 0.1998, 0.1838, 0.1012, 0.1212, 0.1002, 0.0775, 0.0523, 0.0355, 0.0756, 0.0551, 0.0474, 0.0706, 0.08, 0.11, 0.0987, 0.0704, 0.0534, 0.0656, 0.0363, -0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1914670683101032909", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-22T13:20:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It won't follow. It will lead. Watch and enjoy.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; claims it will outpace gold's trajectory and lead the next run higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ECC3_12_13 It won’t follow. It will lead. Watch and enjoy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred If btc follows golds trajectory, which it likely will, considering it's a similar asset class, we can expect a 33% rise.  \n\nI suspect the next run is 120k.\n\nAnd very soon.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ECC3_12_13", "ret_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06338682078651492, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03802887514936182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0253579456371531, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0027527134594511615, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012742886058404457, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015495599517855618, "ret_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009020562746131722, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042321369484142446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05134193223027417, "ret_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17375705255321616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06828529259983407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1054717599533821, "ret_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26285144460603105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06904322796228679, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19380821664374426, "ret_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18558350351764408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08323787254690718, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "bench_c_p6m": 0.26882137606455125, "ret_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.23195231127099214, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5362751281806014, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "bench_c_p1y": 0.3043228169096093, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17375705255321616, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06828529259983407, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06828529259983407, "price_path": [0.1126, 0.1218, 0.0925, 0.0844, 0.1098, 0.1209, 0.0959, 0.0852, 0.0474, 0.034, 0.0337, 0.033, 0.0428, 0.0247, 0.0476, 0.0341, 0.0435, 0.025, 0.0224, 0.0342, 0.0524, 0.0287, -0.0217, -0.0504, -0.0973, -0.0935, -0.0971, -0.0789, -0.0666, -0.0302, -0.0372, -0.0717, -0.1596, -0.1132, -0.104, -0.1324, -0.1014, -0.1002, -0.1148, -0.0705, -0.0993, -0.1006, -0.0636, -0.0639, -0.07, -0.067, -0.0973, -0.1166, -0.0885, -0.1173, -0.1106, -0.1027, -0.152, -0.1837, -0.1163, -0.1479, -0.1074, -0.0952, -0.1046, -0.1007, -0.0915, -0.0962, -0.0634, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0054, 0.0137, 0.0164, 0.009, 0.0082, 0.0326, 0.0371, 0.014, 0.036, 0.0384, 0.1049, 0.102, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1081, 0.1103, 0.1075, 0.1302, 0.1429, 0.1738, 0.1951, 0.1482, 0.1712, 0.1664, 0.1537, 0.1306, 0.113, 0.1331, 0.1283, 0.1208, 0.087, 0.1172, 0.1803, 0.18, 0.1631, 0.1336, 0.1354, 0.1429, 0.1194, 0.1224, 0.1203, 0.1056, 0.1299, 0.1349, 0.149, 0.1447, 0.146, 0.1465, 0.1312, 0.165, 0.1734, 0.1562, 0.159, 0.166, 0.1914, 0.2413, 0.2576, 0.2826, 0.2604, 0.2707, 0.2766, 0.2629, 0.2568, 0.2842, 0.2709, 0.2668, 0.2589, 0.262, 0.262, 0.261, 0.2388, 0.2127, 0.2315, 0.2215, 0.231, 0.2574, 0.2488, 0.2706, 0.2861, 0.32, 0.2667, 0.2564, 0.2441, 0.2075, 0.2229, 0.2031, 0.2508, 0.1785, 0.1965, 0.1903, 0.2044, 0.1602, 0.1692, 0.1901, 0.1956, 0.1849, 0.1842, 0.1994, 0.1936, 0.2195, 0.2361, 0.2425, 0.2355, 0.2504, 0.2464, 0.2536, 0.2381, 0.2066, 0.1988, 0.2128, 0.167, 0.1741, 0.2243, 0.2206, 0.2698, 0.2915, 0.3085, 0.3351, 0.2998, 0.3201, 0.3025, 0.2116, 0.2336, 0.2106, 0.1856]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1906463423627751484", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-03-30T21:47:55+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the gap between CRWV and \"miners\" with AI/HPC exposure will start closing now that CRWV is public", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Gap between CRWV and AI/HPC-exposed miners like IREN will narrow post-IPO; implies CRWV relatively cheaper/IREN closes valuation discount.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JohnGalt69420 My view is the gap between CRWV and “miners” with AI/HPC exposure will start closing now that CRWV is public.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Can someone help me understand why $CRWV is valued so much higher than $IREN despite only having ~2-3x higher adjusted EBITDA? Sure IREN is still mostly a BTC miner, but they are quickly transitioning into AI/HPC.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JohnGalt69420", "ret_m1d": -0.003284069035370152, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003284069035370152, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003383971108521844, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008761717658980928, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006668040143891996, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01204578669435108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09031193762187151, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09031193762187151, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08748738392082989, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09151656311530865, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002824553701041621, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012046254934371392, "ret_p1w": -0.03448276402057804, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03448276402057804, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06385641654904173, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0803536473535652, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.09833918056961977, "bench_c_p1w": -0.11483641137414324, "ret_p1m": 0.02955662131833181, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02955662131833181, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.038620021971227714, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05244364725360029, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009063400652895903, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02288702593526848, "ret_p3m": 1.1527092492939053, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1527092492939053, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0556590313668852, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1093949402924825, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09705021792702007, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043314309001422746, "ret_p6m": 5.858784796583936, "ret_signed_p6m": 5.858784796583936, "alpha_spy_p6m": 5.666387966705097, "alpha_c_p6m": 5.772219469023898, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.192396829878839, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08656532756003799, "ret_p1y": 5.931034158765316, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.931034158765316, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.738323760052697, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.9378221563064315, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19271039871261952, "bench_c_p1y": -0.006787997541115587, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02955662131833181, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.038620021971227714, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05244364725360029, "price_path": [0.6125, 0.7176, 0.8621, 0.9327, 0.8686, 0.7258, 0.7258, 0.8062, 0.7176, 0.8013, 0.8966, 0.8801, 0.9688, 0.9688, 0.775, 0.9146, 1.0164, 1.1872, 0.6568, 0.6552, 0.6388, 0.6913, 0.6782, 0.7537, 0.7537, 0.8177, 0.9031, 1.0476, 1.1117, 1.0394, 1.1363, 1.1478, 1.1363, 1.1363, 1.1297, 1.1346, 1.0296, 0.7865, 0.6683, 0.4417, 0.3941, 0.2906, 0.353, 0.243, 0.2381, 0.3235, 0.2512, 0.2644, 0.087, 0.1576, 0.156, 0.1084, 0.1839, 0.2069, 0.0821, 0.1823, 0.1839, 0.1741, 0.2627, 0.2151, 0.1018, 0.0608, -0.0033, 0.0, 0.0903, 0.11, -0.0082, -0.0246, -0.0345, -0.1297, -0.0312, -0.0985, -0.0755, -0.0558, -0.1051, -0.1018, -0.0821, -0.0821, -0.0952, -0.0049, 0.0016, 0.0345, 0.0739, 0.0493, 0.0296, 0.0033, 0.046, 0.0722, 0.0164, 0.0673, 0.0788, 0.1314, 0.156, 0.2332, 0.3333, 0.3087, 0.2726, 0.381, 0.4023, 0.4138, 0.4598, 0.5238, 0.4975, 0.4975, 0.5172, 0.4548, 0.4122, 0.3777, 0.4335, 0.4598, 0.5484, 0.4696, 0.601, 0.6979, 0.7225, 0.6913, 0.67, 0.6141, 0.7077, 0.6043, 0.6092, 0.6092, 0.7192, 0.7504, 0.8949, 0.9491, 1.1527, 1.2989, 1.3924, 1.5008, 1.5714, 1.7619, 1.7619, 1.7833, 1.7734, 1.7849, 1.7964, 1.665, 1.8374, 1.7718, 1.8424, 1.9639, 1.9458, 1.9803, 2.0525, 2.1182, 1.9787, 1.9097, 1.7225, 1.5928, 1.6502, 1.6453, 1.5287, 1.7061, 1.7011, 2.0082, 2.0493, 2.0296, 1.9507, 1.9278, 1.9113, 2.133, 2.2332, 2.3998, 2.0755, 2.2447, 2.2167, 2.5189, 2.7964, 2.775, 2.6708, 2.7833, 3.3481, 3.3481, 3.78, 3.6322, 3.2906, 3.2939, 3.3005, 3.9573, 4.5222, 4.3941, 4.5764, 5.0985, 4.9852, 5.2233, 4.9639, 5.3448, 5.8801, 5.8588]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1917944989776220628", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-01T14:11:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are going over $100,000 in the next week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Strongly disagrees with the short; calls BTC above $100K within a week.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TonyTheBullCMT Respectfully, we are going over $100,000 in the next week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I just shorted Bitcoin", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TonySeverinoCMT", "ret_m1d": -0.02368088009580427, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02368088009580427, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016643771472353852, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016643771472353852, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0070371086234504165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0043291974532626565, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0043291974532626565, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010514939057955752, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010514939057955752, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014844136511218409, "ret_p1w": 0.06994467420056605, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06994467420056605, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05814452826279615, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05814452826279615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011800145937769901, "ret_p1m": 0.07779099036281956, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07779099036281956, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02242540560985873, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02242540560985873, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05536558475296083, "ret_p3m": 0.2220882341772772, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2220882341772772, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08122470549775684, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08122470549775684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14086352867952034, "ret_p6m": 0.15070197851691436, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15070197851691436, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06894345299252191, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06894345299252191, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21964543150943627, "ret_p1y": -0.21369378510388493, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.21369378510388493, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.497280086104525, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.497280086104525, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2835863010006401, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06994467420056605, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05814452826279615, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05814452826279615, "price_path": [0.0509, 0.0143, 0.0013, 0.001, 0.0004, 0.0098, -0.0077, 0.0144, 0.0014, 0.0105, -0.0075, -0.0099, 0.0015, 0.0191, -0.0038, -0.0526, -0.0804, -0.1259, -0.1222, -0.1256, -0.1081, -0.0961, -0.0608, -0.0677, -0.101, -0.1861, -0.1413, -0.1323, -0.1599, -0.1298, -0.1287, -0.1427, -0.0999, -0.1277, -0.129, -0.0932, -0.0935, -0.0994, -0.0965, -0.1258, -0.1445, -0.1173, -0.1452, -0.1388, -0.1311, -0.1788, -0.2096, -0.1442, -0.1748, -0.1356, -0.1238, -0.1329, -0.1291, -0.1202, -0.1248, -0.093, -0.0316, -0.0289, -0.0264, -0.0184, -0.0157, -0.0229, -0.0237, 0.0, 0.0043, -0.0181, 0.0032, 0.0056, 0.0699, 0.0671, 0.0655, 0.0796, 0.073, 0.0752, 0.0725, 0.0945, 0.1067, 0.1367, 0.1573, 0.1119, 0.1342, 0.1296, 0.1172, 0.0948, 0.0778, 0.0973, 0.0927, 0.0854, 0.0527, 0.0819, 0.143, 0.1427, 0.1264, 0.0978, 0.0995, 0.1068, 0.084, 0.087, 0.0849, 0.0707, 0.0942, 0.099, 0.1126, 0.1085, 0.1098, 0.1103, 0.0954, 0.1282, 0.1363, 0.1196, 0.1224, 0.1291, 0.1537, 0.202, 0.2179, 0.2421, 0.2206, 0.2305, 0.2363, 0.2229, 0.2171, 0.2436, 0.2307, 0.2267, 0.2191, 0.2221, 0.2221, 0.2211, 0.1997, 0.1744, 0.1925, 0.1829, 0.1921, 0.2177, 0.2093, 0.2305, 0.2454, 0.2783, 0.2266, 0.2167, 0.2048, 0.1693, 0.1843, 0.1651, 0.2112, 0.1413, 0.1587, 0.1527, 0.1664, 0.1235, 0.1322, 0.1524, 0.1578, 0.1475, 0.1467, 0.1615, 0.1558, 0.181, 0.1971, 0.2032, 0.1964, 0.2109, 0.207, 0.214, 0.1989, 0.1685, 0.1609, 0.1745, 0.1301, 0.137, 0.1856, 0.182, 0.2296, 0.2507, 0.2671, 0.2929, 0.2587, 0.2784, 0.2613, 0.1733, 0.1946, 0.1723, 0.1481, 0.1212, 0.1034, 0.1461, 0.1242, 0.116, 0.1407, 0.1507]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1911178801683521878", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-04-12T22:05:08+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there is no reason to sell any Bitcoin for less than $1,000,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bitcoin should not be sold below $1,000,000; strong long-term hold conviction for most investors.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve been thinking about this a lot. If you’re under the age of 60 and in good health (80+ life expectancy), there is no reason to sell any Bitcoin for less than $1,000,000 unless you’re one of the top 1% traders in the world and can make all trades in a tax deferred account.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013455435540565497, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013455435540565497, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038471445723268216, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038471445723268216, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009608290968238675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01033089354397465, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01033089354397465, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007529872143564931, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007529872143564931, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00280102140040972, "ret_p1w": 0.0352073747027426, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0352073747027426, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08202460248830545, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08202460248830545, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046817227785562854, "ret_p1m": 0.23216071523290926, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23216071523290926, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14364611991150356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14364611991150356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08851459532140571, "ret_p3m": 0.3719413689101603, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3719413689101603, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20769208236812786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20769208236812786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1642492865420324, "ret_p6m": 0.43657379350928416, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43657379350928416, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18831992577379486, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18831992577379486, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2482538677354893, "ret_p1y": -0.19474060073043975, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.19474060073043975, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4240611113755379, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4240611113755379, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22932051064509817, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19474060073043975, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4240611113755379, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4240611113755379, "price_path": [0.1888, 0.18, 0.2356, 0.2067, 0.2555, 0.226, 0.2297, 0.2398, 0.2075, 0.1986, 0.2266, 0.2388, 0.2113, 0.1995, 0.1577, 0.1428, 0.1425, 0.1418, 0.1525, 0.1325, 0.1578, 0.1429, 0.1534, 0.1328, 0.1301, 0.143, 0.1631, 0.137, 0.0813, 0.0496, -0.0023, 0.0019, -0.002, 0.018, 0.0317, 0.0719, 0.0641, 0.026, -0.0711, -0.0199, -0.0097, -0.0411, -0.0068, -0.0055, -0.0216, 0.0273, -0.0044, -0.0059, 0.035, 0.0346, 0.0279, 0.0312, -0.0022, -0.0236, 0.0074, -0.0243, -0.017, -0.0083, -0.0628, -0.0978, -0.0233, -0.0582, -0.0135, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.006, 0.0042, -0.0011, 0.0352, 0.1053, 0.1083, 0.1112, 0.1204, 0.1234, 0.1152, 0.1143, 0.1413, 0.1463, 0.1207, 0.145, 0.1477, 0.2212, 0.218, 0.2161, 0.2322, 0.2247, 0.2271, 0.2241, 0.2492, 0.2632, 0.2973, 0.3209, 0.269, 0.2945, 0.2892, 0.2751, 0.2496, 0.2301, 0.2524, 0.2471, 0.2388, 0.2015, 0.2348, 0.3046, 0.3042, 0.2856, 0.253, 0.2549, 0.2632, 0.2373, 0.2406, 0.2382, 0.222, 0.2488, 0.2543, 0.2699, 0.2652, 0.2667, 0.2672, 0.2502, 0.2876, 0.297, 0.2779, 0.281, 0.2887, 0.3168, 0.3719, 0.39, 0.4176, 0.3931, 0.4045, 0.411, 0.3958, 0.3891, 0.4194, 0.4047, 0.4001, 0.3914, 0.3949, 0.3948, 0.3938, 0.3692, 0.3404, 0.3611, 0.3501, 0.3606, 0.3898, 0.3802, 0.4044, 0.4215, 0.459, 0.4, 0.3886, 0.3751, 0.3346, 0.3517, 0.3297, 0.3824, 0.3026, 0.3224, 0.3156, 0.3312, 0.2823, 0.2923, 0.3153, 0.3215, 0.3097, 0.3088, 0.3256, 0.3192, 0.3479, 0.3663, 0.3733, 0.3655, 0.3821, 0.3776, 0.3855, 0.3684, 0.3336, 0.325, 0.3405, 0.2899, 0.2977, 0.3532, 0.3491, 0.4034, 0.4275, 0.4462, 0.4756, 0.4366]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1925233879616782686", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-21T16:55:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is the best risk adjusted 10x opportunity you'll ever see. There is a 90%+ probability of $1M+ within 10 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC from $100K; 90%+ probability of $1M+ within 10 years, left-tail truncated, can't go to zero.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From $100,000, Bitcoin is the best risk adjusted 10x opportunity you’ll ever see. There is a 90%+ probability of $1M+ within 10 years and the left tail of the distribution of outcomes is highly truncated. Like the internet, Bitcoin can’t go to zero. Power of decentralization.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02632241772334576, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0434621164730119, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0434621164730119, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018191448638679386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017796634319811044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017796634319811044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "ret_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01710232374661247, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025457775566363527, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025457775566363527, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "ret_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04553133267715159, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07054597361965143, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07054597361965143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "ret_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05994118868045217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04701738714210868, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04701738714210868, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "ret_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09099891343943078, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2506179462930155, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2506179462930155, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "ret_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.2688897636078996, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5489155890092844, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5489155890092844, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2688897636078996, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5489155890092844, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5489155890092844, "price_path": [-0.1236, -0.1665, -0.1909, -0.231, -0.2277, -0.2307, -0.2153, -0.2047, -0.1737, -0.1798, -0.2091, -0.284, -0.2445, -0.2367, -0.2609, -0.2344, -0.2334, -0.2458, -0.2081, -0.2326, -0.2337, -0.2022, -0.2025, -0.2077, -0.2052, -0.2309, -0.2474, -0.2235, -0.2479, -0.2423, -0.2355, -0.2776, -0.3046, -0.2471, -0.274, -0.2395, -0.2292, -0.2371, -0.2338, -0.226, -0.23, -0.202, -0.148, -0.1457, -0.1435, -0.1364, -0.134, -0.1403, -0.1411, -0.1202, -0.1164, -0.1361, -0.1174, -0.1153, -0.0587, -0.0612, -0.0626, -0.0502, -0.056, -0.0541, -0.0564, -0.0371, -0.0263, 0.0, 0.0182, -0.0218, -0.0022, -0.0062, -0.0171, -0.0368, -0.0518, -0.0346, -0.0387, -0.0451, -0.0739, -0.0482, 0.0056, 0.0053, -0.009, -0.0342, -0.0327, -0.0263, -0.0463, -0.0437, -0.0455, -0.0581, -0.0374, -0.0331, -0.0211, -0.0248, -0.0236, -0.0232, -0.0363, -0.0075, -0.0003, -0.015, -0.0126, -0.0066, 0.015, 0.0575, 0.0715, 0.0927, 0.0738, 0.0826, 0.0876, 0.0759, 0.0708, 0.0941, 0.0828, 0.0792, 0.0726, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0743, 0.0554, 0.0332, 0.0492, 0.0407, 0.0488, 0.0713, 0.0639, 0.0825, 0.0957, 0.1246, 0.0792, 0.0704, 0.0599, 0.0287, 0.0419, 0.025, 0.0656, 0.0041, 0.0194, 0.0141, 0.0261, -0.0116, -0.0039, 0.0139, 0.0186, 0.0095, 0.0089, 0.0218, 0.0169, 0.039, 0.0532, 0.0586, 0.0526, 0.0653, 0.0619, 0.068, 0.0548, 0.028, 0.0213, 0.0333, -0.0057, 0.0003, 0.0431, 0.0399, 0.0818, 0.1003, 0.1148, 0.1374, 0.1073, 0.1247, 0.1097, 0.0322, 0.051, 0.0314, 0.0101, -0.0136, -0.0293, 0.0083, -0.011, -0.0181, 0.0036, 0.0124, 0.0405, 0.0299, 0.0034, -0.0125, -0.0011, -0.0285, -0.0737, -0.0528, -0.0764, -0.0575, -0.0336, -0.0609, -0.0731, -0.091]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1930679902657011795", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-05T17:35:33+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cantor Fitzgerald raises IREN price target to $24 and says \"the Bitcoin mining business is worth more than where shares trade today\"", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares Cantor Fitzgerald's bullish call on IREN: PT raised to $24, Bitcoin mining alone exceeds current share price, AI/HPC optionality is free.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Cantor Fitzgerald raises IREN price target to $24 and says “the Bitcoin mining business is worth more than where shares trade today”, meaning you’re getting Horizon 1 and the rest of the future AI/HPC business for free by their calculations. https://t.co/xcAgqq83eX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.053631341468157734, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053631341468157734, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04877511625102038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.050867189261352364, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0048562252171373554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027641522068053703, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0893854980764015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0893854980764015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07911646710263698, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0769470817559541, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010269030973764526, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012438416320447399, "ret_p1w": 0.1363128819026176, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1363128819026176, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11827050914331605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12940261650425144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01804237275930154, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006910265398366144, "ret_p1m": 0.879329614891385, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.879329614891385, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8217649099249917, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8255824837440013, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05756470496639321, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05374713114738361, "ret_p3m": 2.2525141039909937, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.2525141039909937, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1697000753644065, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.1908425121648785, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08281402862658727, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06167159182611548, "ret_p6m": 4.341899708623187, "ret_signed_p6m": 4.341899708623187, "alpha_spy_p6m": 4.182957610323946, "alpha_c_p6m": 4.281901020975764, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15894209829924089, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05999868764742389, "ret_p1y": 5.349721010298085, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.349721010298085, "alpha_spy_p1y": 5.078010768652585, "alpha_c_p1y": 5.308416823471265, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.27171024164549973, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0413041868268198, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.879329614891385, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8217649099249917, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8255824837440013, "price_path": [-0.2603, -0.2123, -0.2134, -0.2458, -0.1944, -0.1788, -0.2637, -0.1955, -0.1944, -0.2011, -0.1408, -0.1732, -0.2503, -0.2782, -0.3218, -0.3196, -0.2581, -0.2447, -0.3251, -0.3363, -0.343, -0.4078, -0.3408, -0.3866, -0.3709, -0.3575, -0.3911, -0.3888, -0.3754, -0.3754, -0.3844, -0.3229, -0.3184, -0.2961, -0.2693, -0.286, -0.2994, -0.3173, -0.2883, -0.2704, -0.3084, -0.2737, -0.2659, -0.2302, -0.2134, -0.1609, -0.0927, -0.1095, -0.1341, -0.0603, -0.0458, -0.038, -0.0067, 0.0369, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0324, -0.0101, -0.0391, -0.0626, -0.0246, -0.0067, 0.0536, 0.0, 0.0894, 0.1553, 0.1721, 0.1508, 0.1363, 0.0983, 0.162, 0.0916, 0.095, 0.095, 0.1698, 0.1911, 0.2894, 0.3263, 0.4648, 0.5642, 0.6279, 0.7017, 0.7497, 0.8793, 0.8793, 0.8939, 0.8872, 0.895, 0.9028, 0.8134, 0.9307, 0.886, 0.9341, 1.0168, 1.0045, 1.0279, 1.0771, 1.1218, 1.0268, 0.9799, 0.8525, 0.7642, 0.8034, 0.8, 0.7207, 0.8413, 0.838, 1.0469, 1.0749, 1.0615, 1.0078, 0.9922, 0.981, 1.1318, 1.2, 1.3134, 1.0927, 1.2078, 1.1888, 1.3944, 1.5832, 1.5687, 1.4978, 1.5743, 1.9587, 1.9587, 2.2525, 2.152, 1.9196, 1.9218, 1.9263, 2.3732, 2.7575, 2.6704, 2.7944, 3.1497, 3.0726, 3.2346, 3.0581, 3.3173, 3.6816, 3.667, 4.267, 4.1721, 3.6771, 4.1318, 4.2436, 4.2603, 4.2536, 4.638, 5.4525, 5.8916, 5.714, 6.1341, 5.6782, 6.1665, 6.7721, 6.5955, 5.9084, 5.7844, 5.6168, 5.167, 4.7911, 5.2413, 6.0279, 6.2615, 5.9743, 5.7508, 5.505, 5.7877, 6.5698, 6.4447, 7.5374, 6.4816, 5.9698, 5.7229, 5.4112, 5.2235, 4.4358, 4.181, 4.2972, 4.4581, 4.1207, 3.857, 3.7218, 4.4179, 4.3039, 4.4134, 4.4134, 4.3419]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1919849140974125061", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-06T20:17:58+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still very bullish and think a deal is more imminent than the market seems to think", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; believes an AI infra deal is closer than the market is pricing in.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel Good summary. Still very bullish and think a deal is more imminent than the market seems to think.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨 Another Bitcoin Miner Signs Landmark AI Infra Deal\n\n$CIFR open +3% before fading to flat, still the best performing major miner in an otherwise weak tape. \n\nDespite miss on revenue and EPS, the market rewards two key moves:\n\n1) Tactical pivot to redeploy idle Bitcoin mining", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": 0.006622510282393357, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006622510282393357, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010810315615624289, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016538637829691005, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004187805333230932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009916127547297648, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033112551411967006, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033112551411967006, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026144677773213276, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023567200064852578, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00696787363875373, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009545351347114428, "ret_p1w": 0.09602647804125408, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09602647804125408, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04890881491780963, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011136953757513224, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04711766312344445, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08488952428374086, "ret_p1m": 0.1688741700941312, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1688741700941312, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11202665394535916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07471737661341327, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05684751614877204, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09415679348071793, "ret_p3m": 0.7185430761586313, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7185430761586313, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5904384551457489, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5011540995315571, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12810462101288245, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21738897662707424, "ret_p6m": 5.314569475253336, "ret_signed_p6m": 5.314569475253336, "alpha_spy_p6m": 5.096124822271598, "alpha_c_p6m": 4.918551802442117, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.21844465298173765, "bench_c_p6m": 0.396017672811219, "ret_p1y": 5.026490356915773, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.026490356915773, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.7396252503963066, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.533180240285727, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28686510651946695, "bench_c_p1y": 0.493310116630046, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1688741700941312, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11202665394535916, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07471737661341327, "price_path": [0.9768, 0.9735, 0.8874, 0.9139, 0.9801, 1.0066, 1.0066, 0.9536, 0.9934, 1.0132, 0.8179, 0.644, 0.3576, 0.3825, 0.3146, 0.351, 0.2748, 0.2417, 0.3775, 0.255, 0.2881, 0.0199, 0.053, 0.0596, 0.0033, 0.0066, 0.0331, -0.0497, 0.0132, -0.0066, -0.0331, 0.0596, 0.0066, -0.1126, -0.1589, -0.2318, -0.2384, -0.1854, -0.1225, -0.2351, -0.3046, -0.2616, -0.3013, -0.1854, -0.2649, -0.1987, -0.1921, -0.2318, -0.2301, -0.2152, -0.2152, -0.2252, -0.0927, -0.053, -0.0066, 0.0199, 0.0132, 0.0199, -0.0563, 0.0315, 0.0464, -0.0132, 0.0066, 0.0, 0.0331, -0.0132, 0.043, 0.1358, 0.096, 0.0497, 0.2781, 0.2616, 0.2517, 0.1606, 0.1821, 0.149, 0.149, 0.1821, 0.1093, 0.0762, 0.0331, 0.0762, 0.1374, 0.2384, 0.1689, 0.2914, 0.3709, 0.3444, 0.351, 0.2715, 0.2318, 0.3013, 0.2185, 0.2616, 0.2616, 0.255, 0.1689, 0.2748, 0.2748, 0.3874, 0.4106, 0.5828, 0.6225, 0.8808, 1.0033, 1.0033, 0.9172, 0.9967, 1.0728, 1.0662, 0.9437, 0.9967, 0.9768, 1.0762, 1.1258, 1.106, 1.0695, 1.298, 1.2119, 1.202, 1.1424, 1.0397, 0.8808, 0.8046, 0.8079, 0.6325, 0.7185, 0.6589, 0.7252, 0.6126, 0.5728, 0.5762, 0.5629, 0.6225, 0.7616, 0.7252, 1.0033, 0.9073, 0.9702, 0.9536, 1.1126, 1.1987, 1.3576, 1.3146, 1.3245, 1.5298, 1.5298, 1.755, 1.6854, 1.4503, 1.4901, 1.5563, 2.053, 2.394, 2.3013, 2.5927, 2.5927, 2.8113, 3.0993, 2.9238, 3.0662, 3.6225, 3.6854, 3.6821, 2.8609, 2.798, 3.1887, 3.1689, 3.1722, 3.5728, 3.8675, 4.0795, 4.2152, 4.8278, 4.957, 4.6192, 5.7351, 5.9172, 5.9636, 5.1987, 5.2119, 5.5927, 4.9851, 4.3344, 4.7136, 5.8411, 5.8013, 5.6093, 5.4868, 5.3146]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1926467882298339372", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-25T02:38:29+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's rarely this cheap", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Pepsi; notes it's rarely this cheap, implying attractive entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@americanmlnm @HyperTechInvest It’s rarely this cheap", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @HyperTechInvest That Pepsi call! Adding next week", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "americanmlnm", "ret_m1d": -0.01545242612300679, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01545242612300679, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004914809815833698, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004914809815833698, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02036723593884049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005328325982999149, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005328325982999149, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0004571257579970567, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0004571257579970567, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005785451740996206, "ret_p1w": 0.0036540684945269852, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0036540684945269852, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004702415929240589, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004702415929240589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008356484423767574, "ret_p1m": -0.014807504335795918, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014807504335795918, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04485872605794394, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04485872605794394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030051221722148025, "ret_p3m": 0.15157163520938477, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15157163520938477, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05672664159299212, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05672664159299212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09484499361639265, "ret_p6m": 0.14317617693343165, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14317617693343165, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.015828811320564462, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.015828811320564462, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1273473656128672, "ret_p1y": 0.1770213256334987, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1770213256334987, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.10310491420712165, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.10310491420712165, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28012623984062035, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.014807504335795918, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04485872605794394, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04485872605794394, "price_path": [0.147, 0.158, 0.177, 0.1634, 0.1611, 0.1666, 0.1756, 0.1894, 0.1595, 0.1279, 0.1292, 0.1311, 0.152, 0.1341, 0.1274, 0.1201, 0.1072, 0.1148, 0.1079, 0.1315, 0.1393, 0.1363, 0.1414, 0.1393, 0.1351, 0.1522, 0.116, 0.09, 0.068, 0.1082, 0.0972, 0.0994, 0.1171, 0.0873, 0.0664, 0.0873, 0.0873, 0.0789, 0.092, 0.0829, 0.03, 0.0153, 0.0182, 0.0224, 0.032, 0.0166, 0.0181, 0.0047, -0.0048, 0.0042, 0.0005, -0.0071, 0.0024, -0.0081, -0.0222, 0.001, 0.0046, 0.0032, 0.0033, -0.0093, -0.0095, -0.0155, -0.0155, 0.0, -0.0053, 0.0042, 0.0006, -0.0035, 0.0037, 0.0028, -0.002, 0.0007, 0.0001, 0.0145, -0.0003, 0.0181, 0.007, 0.0113, -0.005, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0066, 0.0085, -0.0148, -0.0133, 0.0084, 0.0161, 0.0409, 0.0503, 0.0418, 0.0418, 0.0347, 0.0392, 0.0349, 0.0472, 0.0409, 0.0433, 0.0298, 0.0416, 0.1192, 0.1023, 0.0905, 0.1239, 0.1209, 0.1121, 0.1039, 0.0895, 0.1073, 0.0994, 0.0614, 0.0718, 0.074, 0.0732, 0.0835, 0.1076, 0.1175, 0.1149, 0.1303, 0.1493, 0.1437, 0.1574, 0.1509, 0.171, 0.16, 0.1465, 0.1516, 0.1405, 0.1313, 0.1362, 0.1311, 0.144, 0.144, 0.1565, 0.1439, 0.1304, 0.1376, 0.1012, 0.112, 0.1086, 0.1208, 0.1154, 0.0929, 0.0882, 0.0975, 0.0936, 0.1016, 0.0959, 0.1027, 0.1048, 0.0873, 0.0913, 0.0892, 0.0913, 0.1123, 0.1059, 0.1033, 0.0856, 0.0941, 0.0789, 0.1245, 0.1663, 0.157, 0.1776, 0.1746, 0.1864, 0.1945, 0.1939, 0.1903, 0.1892, 0.1774, 0.1777, 0.1861, 0.1666, 0.1358, 0.1466, 0.1352, 0.1159, 0.1105, 0.1101, 0.1002, 0.1108, 0.1083, 0.1274, 0.122, 0.1269, 0.1334, 0.1488, 0.1561, 0.1432]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1936525700934316445", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-21T20:44:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is why we buy Bitcoin and hold it instead.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC as the superior store of value vs altcoins that bleed out over time.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@milesdeutscher This is why we buy Bitcoin and hold it instead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Worst feeling is opening your phantom wallet \n\nSeeing $100k of an old token you held\n\n\"oh sh*t, I must of forgotten about this!\"\n\n*Clicks into the wallet, price refreshes*\n\n$2k.....", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "milesdeutscher", "ret_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021483422136598818, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01170264867411519, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009780773462483627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004431419225533917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00661587077662551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011047290002159427, "ret_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014752750027656525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014739903004188815, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02949265303184534, "ret_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08872125927354446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04783817132985768, "ret_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10948734104856794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005996477201409611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10349086384715833, "ret_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16796896245399662, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30227236293316917, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13430340047917255, "ret_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41797134887603227, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.636972078945646, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "bench_c_p1y": 0.21900073006961374, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13655943060340214, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08872125927354446, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08872125927354446, "price_path": [-0.1769, -0.1743, -0.201, -0.2181, -0.1933, -0.2187, -0.2129, -0.2059, -0.2495, -0.2776, -0.2179, -0.2458, -0.21, -0.1992, -0.2075, -0.2041, -0.1959, -0.2001, -0.171, -0.1149, -0.1125, -0.1102, -0.1028, -0.1004, -0.107, -0.1077, -0.0861, -0.0821, -0.1026, -0.0831, -0.0809, -0.0221, -0.0247, -0.0262, -0.0133, -0.0193, -0.0174, -0.0198, 0.0003, 0.0115, 0.0388, 0.0577, 0.0162, 0.0366, 0.0324, 0.0211, 0.0006, -0.015, 0.0029, -0.0014, -0.008, -0.0379, -0.0112, 0.0447, 0.0443, 0.0294, 0.0033, 0.0049, 0.0115, -0.0093, -0.0066, -0.0085, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0169, 0.0131, 0.0143, 0.0148, 0.0011, 0.0311, 0.0386, 0.0233, 0.0258, 0.0319, 0.0545, 0.0986, 0.1131, 0.1352, 0.1155, 0.1247, 0.1299, 0.1177, 0.1124, 0.1366, 0.1248, 0.1211, 0.1142, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1161, 0.0964, 0.0733, 0.0899, 0.0811, 0.0895, 0.1129, 0.1052, 0.1246, 0.1382, 0.1683, 0.1211, 0.112, 0.1011, 0.0687, 0.0824, 0.0648, 0.107, 0.0431, 0.059, 0.0535, 0.066, 0.0268, 0.0348, 0.0533, 0.0582, 0.0487, 0.0481, 0.0615, 0.0564, 0.0793, 0.0941, 0.0997, 0.0935, 0.1067, 0.1032, 0.1095, 0.0958, 0.0679, 0.061, 0.0734, 0.0329, 0.0392, 0.0836, 0.0803, 0.1238, 0.1431, 0.1581, 0.1816, 0.1503, 0.1684, 0.1528, 0.0723, 0.0918, 0.0714, 0.0493, 0.0247, 0.0084, 0.0475, 0.0275, 0.02, 0.0425, 0.0517, 0.0809, 0.0699, 0.0424, 0.0258, 0.0377, 0.0092, -0.0378, -0.016, -0.0405, -0.0209, 0.004, -0.0244, -0.0371, -0.0557, -0.1059, -0.1277, -0.1196, -0.1337, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.1639, -0.1727, -0.1426, -0.1354, -0.1388, -0.1824, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1273, -0.1533, -0.1415, -0.1221, -0.1284, -0.1238, -0.145, -0.1815, -0.168]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924292289503150592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-19T02:33:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's going to get taken out sir", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects BTC to break above ATH, invalidating the parent's short setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TonyTheBullCMT It’s going to get taken out sir", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin came $200 shy of the monthly Parabolic SAR\n\nThis is one of my first invalidation levels outlined in my newsletter two weeks ago\n\nThe next and last invalidation is new ATH\n\nNew short is now open at $107K — stop loss above ATH\n\nStop buy (long) is placed above ATH (above https://t.co/dN0dRp26Rg", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TonySeverinoCMT", "ret_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020045139699817804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018952515190983843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010926245088339614, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011220046530480143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014582200206696982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003362153676216839, "ret_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03630646910385149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06276689842901517, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02646042932516368, "ret_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014022530697717972, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004505450324447269, "ret_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12076375147021379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033335478039603794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08742827343060999, "ret_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.024702256489340435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17947806921010767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15477581272076724, "ret_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.22895107567613193, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.47673180244987523, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2477807267737433, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009517080373270703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "alpha_c_stated": -0.014022530697717972, "price_path": [-0.0849, -0.0689, -0.0898, -0.1343, -0.1597, -0.2013, -0.1979, -0.2011, -0.185, -0.1741, -0.1419, -0.1481, -0.1786, -0.2564, -0.2154, -0.2072, -0.2324, -0.2049, -0.2039, -0.2167, -0.1776, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1715, -0.1717, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.2012, -0.2183, -0.1935, -0.2189, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2497, -0.2778, -0.2181, -0.246, -0.2102, -0.1995, -0.2077, -0.2043, -0.1961, -0.2003, -0.1713, -0.1152, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1031, -0.1006, -0.1072, -0.1079, -0.0863, -0.0823, -0.1028, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0224, -0.025, -0.0264, -0.0136, -0.0196, -0.0176, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0386, 0.0575, 0.0159, 0.0363, 0.0321, 0.0208, 0.0003, -0.0152, 0.0026, -0.0016, -0.0083, -0.0382, -0.0115, 0.0444, 0.044, 0.0292, 0.0031, 0.0046, 0.0113, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0087, -0.0217, -0.0003, 0.0042, 0.0166, 0.0128, 0.014, 0.0145, 0.0009, 0.0308, 0.0383, 0.023, 0.0255, 0.0317, 0.0542, 0.0983, 0.1128, 0.1349, 0.1152, 0.1244, 0.1296, 0.1174, 0.1121, 0.1363, 0.1245, 0.1208, 0.1139, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.1158, 0.0961, 0.073, 0.0896, 0.0808, 0.0892, 0.1126, 0.1049, 0.1243, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1208, 0.1117, 0.1008, 0.0684, 0.0821, 0.0645, 0.1067, 0.0428, 0.0587, 0.0532, 0.0657, 0.0266, 0.0345, 0.053, 0.0579, 0.0485, 0.0478, 0.0612, 0.0561, 0.0791, 0.0938, 0.0994, 0.0932, 0.1064, 0.1029, 0.1092, 0.0955, 0.0676, 0.0607, 0.0731, 0.0326, 0.0389, 0.0833, 0.08, 0.1235, 0.1427, 0.1578, 0.1813, 0.15, 0.1681, 0.1524, 0.072, 0.0915, 0.0711, 0.049, 0.0244, 0.0082, 0.0472, 0.0272, 0.0197, 0.0423, 0.0514, 0.0806, 0.0696, 0.0421, 0.0256, 0.0374, 0.0089, -0.038, -0.0162, -0.0408, -0.0212, 0.0037, -0.0247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1924964228643094856", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-05-20T23:03:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Watch what happens when BTC rips to $150,000-$200,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $150K–$200K; expects miners to reset higher when hashrate growth slows at next ATH.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewG_NYC Rising hashrate and difficulty.\n\nWatch what happens when BTC rips to $150,000-$200,000 and hashrate growth slows down.\n\nEvery cycle there is a reset. Previous levels have little meaning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Can someone explain how the miners are 50% of what they were at these previous BTC ATHs? It Can’t be ATM announcements since November.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewG_NYC", "ret_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011095553899446942, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028235252649113085, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028235252649113085, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017139698749666143, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027034018449719976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026639204130851635, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026639204130851635, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00039481431886834173, "ret_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020634256765491132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012278804945740074, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012278804945740074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008355451819751059, "ret_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017864391917659872, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.042879032860159705, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.042879032860159705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025014640942499833, "ret_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09932725687617738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.00763131894638347, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00763131894638347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10695857582256085, "ret_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04801803813944849, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2076370709930332, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2076370709930332, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1596190328535847, "ret_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.25078023614886513, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5308060615502499, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5308060615502499, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "bench_c_p1y": 0.28002582540138476, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.017864391917659872, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.042879032860159705, "alpha_c_stated": -0.042879032860159705, "price_path": [-0.0792, -0.0999, -0.144, -0.1691, -0.2102, -0.2068, -0.2099, -0.1941, -0.1832, -0.1514, -0.1576, -0.1877, -0.2646, -0.2241, -0.216, -0.2409, -0.2137, -0.2127, -0.2254, -0.1867, -0.2119, -0.213, -0.1807, -0.1809, -0.1863, -0.1837, -0.2101, -0.227, -0.2025, -0.2276, -0.2218, -0.2149, -0.258, -0.2858, -0.2268, -0.2544, -0.219, -0.2083, -0.2165, -0.2131, -0.205, -0.2092, -0.1805, -0.125, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1171, -0.1178, -0.0964, -0.0925, -0.1128, -0.0935, -0.0914, -0.0332, -0.0358, -0.0373, -0.0245, -0.0304, -0.0285, -0.0309, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.027, 0.0457, 0.0047, 0.0248, 0.0206, 0.0095, -0.0108, -0.0261, -0.0085, -0.0127, -0.0193, -0.0488, -0.0225, 0.0328, 0.0325, 0.0177, -0.0081, -0.0066, 0.0001, -0.0205, -0.0179, -0.0197, -0.0326, -0.0114, -0.007, 0.0053, 0.0016, 0.0028, 0.0032, -0.0102, 0.0194, 0.0268, 0.0116, 0.0141, 0.0202, 0.0425, 0.0861, 0.1004, 0.1223, 0.1029, 0.1119, 0.117, 0.105, 0.0997, 0.1236, 0.112, 0.1084, 0.1016, 0.1043, 0.1042, 0.1034, 0.084, 0.0611, 0.0775, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.1003, 0.0927, 0.1118, 0.1253, 0.155, 0.1083, 0.0993, 0.0886, 0.0566, 0.0701, 0.0527, 0.0944, 0.0312, 0.0469, 0.0415, 0.0539, 0.0152, 0.023, 0.0413, 0.0462, 0.0368, 0.0361, 0.0494, 0.0444, 0.0671, 0.0816, 0.0872, 0.081, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0969, 0.0833, 0.0558, 0.0489, 0.0612, 0.0211, 0.0274, 0.0713, 0.068, 0.111, 0.1301, 0.1449, 0.1682, 0.1373, 0.1551, 0.1397, 0.0601, 0.0794, 0.0593, 0.0374, 0.0131, -0.003, 0.0356, 0.0158, 0.0084, 0.0307, 0.0397, 0.0686, 0.0577, 0.0306, 0.0142, 0.0259, -0.0023, -0.0487, -0.0271, -0.0514, -0.032, -0.0074, -0.0355, -0.048]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1938350299909132501", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-26T21:34:58+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CANTOR FITZGERALD OUT WITH A NEW RESEARCH NOTE SAYING CORE SCIENTIFIC COULD BE WORTH $30+ PER SHARE TO COREWEAVE IN A FULL ACQUISITION", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Shares Cantor Fitzgerald note seeing CORZ worth $30+ in full CRWV acquisition; author smells several massive green days for the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BREAKING: CANTOR FITZGERALD OUT WITH A NEW RESEARCH NOTE SAYING CORE SCIENTIFIC COULD BE WORTH $30+ PER SHARE TO COREWEAVE IN A FULL ACQUISITION.\n\n---\n\nThe key is that CRWV could save $5B in expenses tied to the data center contract with CORZ, justifying a higher total price. Inclusive of infrastructure value, prices between $24-30 make a lot of sense. \n\nI smell several massive green days coming for the sector.\n\n---\n\nSOURCE https://t.co/YGAnm7kRXI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017417358247621917, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017417358247621917, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012473598147793363, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012473598147793363, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025225230385381714, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025225230385381714, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020444051056583312, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020444051056583312, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "ret_p1w": 0.08108110584983264, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08108110584983264, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06411921458184522, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06411921458184522, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "ret_p1m": -0.17447446243410913, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17447446243410913, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21030094178364156, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21030094178364156, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "ret_p3m": 0.021621658774749086, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.021621658774749086, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05647572068415396, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05647572068415396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "ret_p6m": -0.05165163221506186, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05165163221506186, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17174703702010652, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17174703702010652, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "ret_p1y": 0.68648652054352, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.68648652054352, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.45590885099234923, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.45590885099234923, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08108110584983264, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06411921458184522, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06411921458184522, "price_path": [-0.5195, -0.4943, -0.5706, -0.5688, -0.5784, -0.609, -0.5489, -0.5904, -0.5754, -0.576, -0.5886, -0.6042, -0.6018, -0.6018, -0.6162, -0.5844, -0.5724, -0.5477, -0.5009, -0.5051, -0.5021, -0.5135, -0.4865, -0.4751, -0.4745, -0.4601, -0.4655, -0.4324, -0.4402, -0.4066, -0.385, -0.3802, -0.3688, -0.3526, -0.3483, -0.3441, -0.3526, -0.3495, -0.3586, -0.3586, -0.3225, -0.3526, -0.358, -0.3604, -0.3435, -0.2913, -0.2456, -0.2835, -0.2679, -0.2366, -0.233, -0.2643, -0.2709, -0.2859, -0.2745, -0.2859, -0.2853, -0.2853, -0.2877, -0.3183, -0.2667, -0.2613, -0.0174, 0.0, 0.0252, 0.036, 0.0547, 0.0811, 0.0811, -0.1093, -0.158, -0.1934, -0.2084, -0.2486, -0.1856, -0.1736, -0.164, -0.191, -0.1982, -0.203, -0.1904, -0.1898, -0.1778, -0.1736, -0.1745, -0.2078, -0.2159, -0.1868, -0.2402, -0.1802, -0.1544, -0.1526, -0.1381, -0.1345, -0.1273, -0.0925, -0.1682, -0.1691, -0.1514, -0.1273, -0.1381, -0.1544, -0.1718, -0.1862, -0.1784, -0.1568, -0.1471, -0.1381, -0.1381, -0.1381, -0.1592, -0.1844, -0.182, -0.182, -0.1634, -0.1273, -0.0396, -0.0661, -0.0474, -0.0198, -0.0282, -0.0228, 0.006, -0.0018, 0.0312, 0.021, 0.0216, 0.0114, 0.012, 0.0408, 0.0775, 0.0793, 0.0871, 0.0703, 0.0757, 0.027, 0.0529, 0.0835, 0.1123, 0.1538, 0.1375, 0.1976, 0.1814, 0.1411, 0.1297, 0.155, 0.0691, 0.0847, 0.1616, 0.1934, 0.2066, 0.2474, 0.2456, 0.2937, 0.3754, 0.3057, 0.3093, 0.2366, 0.2126, 0.1586, 0.0402, -0.0126, -0.0895, -0.1033, -0.1117, -0.0733, -0.0757, -0.0895, -0.1153, -0.0541, -0.0661, -0.0282, -0.0282, 0.0144, -0.0036, -0.0498, -0.006, 0.0258, 0.0276, 0.0625, 0.0505, 0.0408, 0.045, -0.0072, -0.0823, -0.1153, -0.185, -0.1255, -0.0631, -0.0517]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1938350299909132501", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-26T21:34:58+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CRWV could save $5B in expenses tied to the data center contract with CORZ, justifying a higher total price", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Shares Cantor Fitzgerald note seeing CORZ worth $30+ in full CRWV acquisition; author smells several massive green days for the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BREAKING: CANTOR FITZGERALD OUT WITH A NEW RESEARCH NOTE SAYING CORE SCIENTIFIC COULD BE WORTH $30+ PER SHARE TO COREWEAVE IN A FULL ACQUISITION.\n\n---\n\nThe key is that CRWV could save $5B in expenses tied to the data center contract with CORZ, justifying a higher total price. Inclusive of infrastructure value, prices between $24-30 make a lot of sense. \n\nI smell several massive green days coming for the sector.\n\n---\n\nSOURCE https://t.co/YGAnm7kRXI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011938268620104386, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011938268620104386, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006994508520275833, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006994508520275833, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019188649040710715, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019188649040710715, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014407469711912313, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014407469711912313, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "ret_p1w": 0.03256448075627283, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03256448075627283, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015602589488285412, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015602589488285412, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "ret_p1m": -0.31070695047879826, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31070695047879826, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3465334298283307, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3465334298283307, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "ret_p3m": -0.16619795414542815, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16619795414542815, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2442953336043312, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2442953336043312, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "ret_p6m": -0.4697793679700871, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4697793679700871, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5898747727751318, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5898747727751318, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "ret_p1y": -0.26851681504381697, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.26851681504381697, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.49909448459498773, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.49909448459498773, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03256448075627283, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.015602589488285412, "alpha_c_stated": 0.015602589488285412, "price_path": [-0.6714, -0.6165, -0.6637, -0.7011, -0.6884, -0.7274, -0.6952, -0.7362, -0.7265, -0.7274, -0.7451, -0.7454, -0.7557, -0.7557, -0.7786, -0.7593, -0.7399, -0.7389, -0.7404, -0.7374, -0.7324, -0.7419, -0.723, -0.6777, -0.6812, -0.6606, -0.665, -0.6562, -0.6789, -0.6344, -0.6046, -0.5783, -0.5889, -0.4981, -0.4588, -0.436, -0.3288, -0.374, -0.3578, -0.3578, -0.2251, -0.274, -0.3403, -0.3043, -0.2487, -0.0594, 0.0194, -0.1559, -0.1239, 0.0132, -0.0318, -0.0643, -0.0689, -0.08, -0.0093, 0.0746, 0.0626, 0.0626, 0.1474, 0.0856, 0.0789, -0.0031, -0.0119, 0.0, 0.0192, -0.0253, -0.0514, 0.0326, 0.0326, -0.0018, -0.0534, -0.0434, -0.1356, -0.2135, -0.1726, -0.1213, -0.1059, -0.1736, -0.2311, -0.2193, -0.1889, -0.2121, -0.25, -0.2773, -0.3107, -0.3203, -0.3569, -0.2866, -0.3491, -0.3374, -0.301, -0.311, -0.2432, -0.1903, -0.1263, -0.0703, -0.264, -0.3781, -0.3751, -0.395, -0.4194, -0.428, -0.4325, -0.4125, -0.4226, -0.4288, -0.3941, -0.3575, -0.356, -0.356, -0.4166, -0.4382, -0.4532, -0.4432, -0.4153, -0.3736, -0.2678, -0.2956, -0.3002, -0.247, -0.2578, -0.2446, -0.2413, -0.2196, -0.1673, -0.1819, -0.1662, -0.2083, -0.2478, -0.2342, -0.1446, -0.1434, -0.1374, -0.1575, -0.1634, -0.1948, -0.1251, -0.1057, -0.1348, -0.1148, -0.1621, -0.1297, -0.1141, -0.1445, -0.2058, -0.2183, -0.2404, -0.2291, -0.1715, -0.1496, -0.1574, -0.1254, -0.1808, -0.1643, -0.2105, -0.2765, -0.2848, -0.3316, -0.3499, -0.3399, -0.4475, -0.466, -0.5103, -0.5165, -0.5292, -0.5318, -0.5317, -0.5674, -0.5522, -0.54, -0.5544, -0.5357, -0.5357, -0.543, -0.5183, -0.5248, -0.504, -0.464, -0.4481, -0.461, -0.4333, -0.449, -0.4538, -0.5088, -0.5478, -0.5656, -0.5965, -0.577, -0.4812, -0.4698]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944899905182408840", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-14T23:20:46+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$146k is the next target. Lock in.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC; next target $146k, above the parent's $128k, with high conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow $146k is the next target. Lock in.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Will #Bitcoin close above this horizontal Gann line resistance for the week? 128K is the next target if it's able to convincingly close above... https://t.co/8ABm0uaFZc", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023755186406069995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023755186406069995, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020635895485057287, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020635895485057287, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030911323974251448, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030911323974251448, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03387056985559744, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03387056985559744, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03706000379269225, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03706000379269225, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.332702487729883, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.332702487729883, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03387056985559744, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03387056985559744, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1960523811536646324", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T02:04:36+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is no such thing as resistance, long term, for great companies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish IREN long-term; dismisses technical resistance as irrelevant for great companies.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nanotitan28 There is no such thing as resistance, long term, for great companies", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN 1D. Backtesting the mini boss; healthily cooling off along the upper Bollinger, but already inside this potential resistance zone. https://t.co/taVjWDAKYB", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nanotitan28", "ret_m1d": 0.028405289281357327, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028405289281357327, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03067875314242463, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03045064614120474, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0020453568598474137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030641976619002476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030641976619002476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027100557050683927, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029340425180348406, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013015514386540694, "ret_p1w": 0.2619100721149292, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2619100721149292, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.266379506232195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.267116493966414, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005206421851484788, "ret_p1m": 1.0706777840934203, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0706777840934203, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0501956135395396, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.0731690208251625, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002491236731742341, "ret_p3m": 1.1690898086064556, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1690898086064556, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1320454795922774, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2010567302266089, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03196692162015313, "ret_p6m": 0.9364796153870438, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9364796153870438, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8718741895367805, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9601958145053254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0237161991182816, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.6247, -0.6095, -0.6023, -0.5782, -0.5996, -0.5639, -0.5375, -0.5308, -0.5393, -0.5451, -0.5603, -0.5348, -0.563, -0.5616, -0.5616, -0.5316, -0.5231, -0.4838, -0.469, -0.4136, -0.3737, -0.3482, -0.3187, -0.2995, -0.2476, -0.2476, -0.2418, -0.2445, -0.2413, -0.2382, -0.274, -0.227, -0.2449, -0.2257, -0.1926, -0.1975, -0.1881, -0.1684, -0.1505, -0.1885, -0.2073, -0.2583, -0.2937, -0.278, -0.2794, -0.3111, -0.2628, -0.2641, -0.1805, -0.1693, -0.1747, -0.1962, -0.2024, -0.2069, -0.1465, -0.1192, -0.0738, -0.1622, -0.1161, -0.1237, -0.0414, 0.0342, 0.0284, 0.0, 0.0306, 0.1845, 0.1845, 0.3022, 0.2619, 0.1689, 0.1698, 0.1716, 0.3505, 0.5044, 0.4695, 0.5191, 0.6614, 0.6305, 0.6954, 0.6247, 0.7285, 0.8743, 0.8685, 1.1087, 1.0707, 0.8725, 1.0546, 1.0993, 1.106, 1.1033, 1.2572, 1.5833, 1.7591, 1.688, 1.8562, 1.6737, 1.8692, 2.1116, 2.0409, 1.7658, 1.7162, 1.6491, 1.469, 1.3185, 1.4988, 1.8137, 1.9072, 1.7922, 1.7028, 1.6043, 1.7175, 2.0306, 1.9805, 2.418, 1.9953, 1.7904, 1.6916, 1.5668, 1.4916, 1.1762, 1.0743, 1.1208, 1.1852, 1.0501, 0.9445, 0.8904, 1.1691, 1.1235, 1.1673, 1.1673, 1.1387, 1.1691, 0.8394, 0.9665, 1.0778, 1.0, 1.0729, 1.0953, 0.9647, 0.9656, 0.7951, 0.5871, 0.6368, 0.5111, 0.6014, 0.7857, 0.8806, 0.8819, 0.8779, 0.8779, 0.8027, 0.7629, 0.7133, 0.6896, 0.6896, 0.9101, 1.1579, 1.0537, 0.9515, 1.0434, 1.059, 1.2514, 1.3704, 1.3655, 1.3212, 1.5864, 1.5864, 1.4272, 1.3923, 1.3377, 1.5355, 1.3422, 1.6835, 1.8155, 1.6768, 1.4039, 1.3744, 1.433, 1.0103, 0.7799, 0.8712, 1.0644, 0.9204, 0.9087, 0.7907, 0.8886, 0.8886, 0.8327, 0.8824, 0.9365]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1946972718957781391", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-20T16:37:23+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ethereum $3,800. This is a MAJOR move and a very positive signal for all risk assets", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ETH at $3,800 signals rip higher in BTC, small caps, and biotech while dollar and yields fall; author calls it a virtual inevitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ethereum $3,800. This is a MAJOR move and a very positive signal for all risk assets. Bitcoin is going to rip. Small caps are going to rip. Biotech is going to rip. And the dollar and yields will fall. This is a virtual inevitability at this point. Pay attention. This is our time", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05695823271824574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05695823271824574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05506567778184057, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05506567778184057, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0037800761075303946, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0037800761075303946, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003923271546633078, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003923271546633078, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.006391727310347539, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006391727310347539, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006601958349851111, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006601958349851111, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": 0.08239760193616918, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08239760193616918, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06483952484971645, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06483952484971645, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": 0.034910999963736034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.034910999963736034, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01868826009174418, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01868826009174418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.1172554710356023, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1172554710356023, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22696035298916895, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22696035298916895, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08239760193616918, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06483952484971645, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06483952484971645, "price_path": [-0.5227, -0.5297, -0.5253, -0.522, -0.5219, -0.5234, -0.5113, -0.5104, -0.5165, -0.5177, -0.5186, -0.4137, -0.3768, -0.3367, -0.2878, -0.3065, -0.3233, -0.3261, -0.328, -0.3293, -0.3218, -0.2921, -0.3287, -0.3187, -0.2924, -0.2873, -0.3005, -0.3277, -0.3072, -0.3109, -0.3068, -0.3579, -0.3418, -0.2875, -0.2524, -0.263, -0.2954, -0.3146, -0.3249, -0.3328, -0.3292, -0.3299, -0.3603, -0.3565, -0.3495, -0.3571, -0.358, -0.3559, -0.3393, -0.3607, -0.3167, -0.3115, -0.3334, -0.3243, -0.305, -0.2638, -0.2148, -0.214, -0.1993, -0.1657, -0.1041, -0.0762, -0.057, 0.0, -0.0038, -0.0355, -0.0147, -0.0096, 0.0064, 0.008, 0.0119, -0.0177, -0.0731, -0.0118, -0.0402, -0.0211, 0.0401, 0.0655, 0.1232, 0.2199, 0.2638, 0.2085, 0.1798, 0.1459, 0.0824, 0.1518, 0.1222, 0.2838, 0.162, 0.2224, 0.1966, 0.1976, 0.1586, 0.1464, 0.1493, 0.1826, 0.1423, 0.1444, 0.1447, 0.145, 0.1557, 0.1854, 0.2529, 0.2029, 0.1967, 0.2204, 0.2196, 0.188, 0.1168, 0.1069, 0.1037, 0.0279, 0.0724, 0.1206, 0.1017, 0.1562, 0.1925, 0.1997, 0.2456, 0.1828, 0.2031, 0.161, 0.0212, 0.1281, 0.0962, 0.0595, 0.0349, 0.0184, 0.0578, 0.0301, 0.0119, 0.0246, 0.0455, 0.0948, 0.0582, 0.0372, 0.0109, 0.0222, -0.0428, -0.1251, -0.0899, -0.1199, -0.0872, -0.0518, -0.0925, -0.0931, -0.141, -0.1753, -0.1963, -0.1702, -0.1967, -0.2475, -0.2651, -0.2154, -0.214, -0.1955, -0.199, -0.1943, -0.2559, -0.2034, -0.1519, -0.1672, -0.1964, -0.1696, -0.1175, -0.1164, -0.1399, -0.1805, -0.2124, -0.2124, -0.2476, -0.2488, -0.2087, -0.2012, -0.2126, -0.2173, -0.2285, -0.2226, -0.2202, -0.2104, -0.2116, -0.2027, -0.1698, -0.1428, -0.1242, -0.1585, -0.1751, -0.1808, -0.1783, -0.1173]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1946972718957781391", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-20T16:37:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is going to rip", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ETH at $3,800 signals rip higher in BTC, small caps, and biotech while dollar and yields fall; author calls it a virtual inevitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ethereum $3,800. This is a MAJOR move and a very positive signal for all risk assets. Bitcoin is going to rip. Small caps are going to rip. Biotech is going to rip. And the dollar and yields will fall. This is a virtual inevitability at this point. Pay attention. This is our time", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "price_path": [-0.2022, -0.2001, -0.1935, -0.1913, -0.1972, -0.1978, -0.1784, -0.1748, -0.1932, -0.1757, -0.1738, -0.1209, -0.1232, -0.1245, -0.113, -0.1184, -0.1166, -0.1188, -0.1008, -0.0907, -0.0661, -0.0491, -0.0864, -0.0681, -0.0719, -0.0821, -0.1005, -0.1145, -0.0984, -0.1022, -0.1082, -0.1351, -0.1111, -0.0608, -0.0612, -0.0745, -0.098, -0.0966, -0.0906, -0.1093, -0.1069, -0.1086, -0.1203, -0.101, -0.097, -0.0858, -0.0892, -0.0881, -0.0877, -0.1, -0.0731, -0.0663, -0.0801, -0.0778, -0.0723, -0.0521, -0.0124, 0.0007, 0.0205, 0.0029, 0.0111, 0.0158, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0112, 0.0079, 0.0017, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0033, -0.0143, -0.0351, -0.0202, -0.0281, -0.0205, 0.0005, -0.0064, 0.011, 0.0233, 0.0503, 0.0078, -0.0004, -0.0101, -0.0392, -0.0269, -0.0427, -0.0048, -0.0623, -0.048, -0.0529, -0.0417, -0.0769, -0.0697, -0.0531, -0.0487, -0.0572, -0.0578, -0.0457, -0.0503, -0.0297, -0.0165, -0.0114, -0.017, -0.0051, -0.0083, -0.0026, -0.0149, -0.0399, -0.0462, -0.035, -0.0714, -0.0658, -0.0259, -0.0288, 0.0103, 0.0276, 0.0411, 0.0623, 0.0342, 0.0504, 0.0363, -0.036, -0.0185, -0.0368, -0.0567, -0.0788, -0.0934, -0.0583, -0.0763, -0.083, -0.0628, -0.0545, -0.0283, -0.0382, -0.0629, -0.0778, -0.0671, -0.0927, -0.135, -0.1154, -0.1374, -0.1198, -0.0974, -0.123, -0.1343, -0.1511, -0.1962, -0.2158, -0.2085, -0.2212, -0.2623, -0.2755, -0.2484, -0.2563, -0.2292, -0.2227, -0.2258, -0.265, -0.2222, -0.2036, -0.2154, -0.2389, -0.2282, -0.2107, -0.2164, -0.2123, -0.2313, -0.2641, -0.252, -0.2665, -0.2723, -0.2498, -0.2465, -0.2557, -0.254, -0.2572, -0.2566, -0.258, -0.247, -0.2549, -0.2444, -0.2341, -0.2006, -0.2019, -0.2225, -0.2249, -0.2293, -0.2235, -0.1883]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1946972718957781391", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-07-20T16:37:23+00:00", "symbol": "Biotech", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Biotech is going to rip", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ETH at $3,800 signals rip higher in BTC, small caps, and biotech while dollar and yields fall; author calls it a virtual inevitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["XBI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US biotech ETF XBI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ethereum $3,800. This is a MAJOR move and a very positive signal for all risk assets. Bitcoin is going to rip. Small caps are going to rip. Biotech is going to rip. And the dollar and yields will fall. This is a virtual inevitability at this point. Pay attention. This is our time", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004658210186940792, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004658210186940792, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0065507651233459585, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0065507651233459585, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010015196529343351, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010015196529343351, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009872001090240667, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009872001090240667, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.008151823199725294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008151823199725294, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004841862460473356, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004841862460473356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": 0.03412141193305107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03412141193305107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.016563334846598332, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016563334846598332, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": 0.25702208004124283, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25702208004124283, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20342281998576262, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20342281998576262, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": 0.4474767388494372, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4474767388494372, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3377718568958705, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3377718568958705, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03412141193305107, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.016563334846598332, "alpha_c_stated": 0.016563334846598332, "price_path": [-0.0789, -0.0581, -0.0655, -0.0525, -0.0465, -0.0341, -0.0393, -0.0277, -0.0376, -0.1014, -0.0993, -0.0913, -0.1105, -0.0748, -0.097, -0.1107, -0.0966, -0.0798, -0.0717, -0.0521, -0.0762, -0.0772, -0.0796, -0.0796, -0.0766, -0.0828, -0.0631, -0.0779, -0.054, -0.0412, -0.0396, -0.0386, -0.0188, -0.0187, -0.007, -0.0176, -0.0177, -0.0265, -0.0292, -0.044, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0407, -0.0419, -0.0239, -0.0303, -0.0255, -0.0333, -0.0342, -0.0325, -0.0126, -0.0073, -0.0073, -0.0267, -0.0135, 0.0233, 0.0292, 0.0134, 0.0279, 0.0005, 0.0227, 0.0262, 0.0047, 0.0, 0.01, 0.0274, 0.0189, 0.0203, 0.0082, -0.0003, 0.0043, -0.0024, 0.0007, 0.0111, 0.0114, 0.003, -0.0064, -0.0051, -0.0083, 0.0122, 0.0425, 0.0431, 0.056, 0.0505, 0.0341, 0.039, 0.0472, 0.0588, 0.034, 0.0469, 0.0515, 0.0515, 0.0463, 0.0463, 0.0816, 0.0906, 0.0885, 0.1118, 0.0997, 0.1061, 0.0935, 0.1145, 0.0961, 0.088, 0.0917, 0.092, 0.1259, 0.1133, 0.1334, 0.1273, 0.1351, 0.1167, 0.141, 0.1579, 0.1672, 0.1811, 0.1951, 0.2068, 0.2073, 0.2077, 0.2282, 0.2408, 0.223, 0.2263, 0.2245, 0.2624, 0.257, 0.2557, 0.2833, 0.2762, 0.2501, 0.2529, 0.2626, 0.2999, 0.3047, 0.2926, 0.3036, 0.3129, 0.2797, 0.2585, 0.2722, 0.2731, 0.2693, 0.2824, 0.3281, 0.3292, 0.3036, 0.3281, 0.3376, 0.3417, 0.3338, 0.326, 0.3588, 0.393, 0.4138, 0.4311, 0.4311, 0.4347, 0.3961, 0.3799, 0.4192, 0.4357, 0.4376, 0.4405, 0.4117, 0.4217, 0.433, 0.4343, 0.4309, 0.4213, 0.4088, 0.398, 0.4378, 0.4716, 0.4596, 0.4761, 0.4761, 0.4607, 0.4421, 0.422, 0.425, 0.425, 0.4202, 0.4042, 0.4269, 0.4776, 0.4458, 0.4551, 0.4484, 0.4475]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1940758157753798932", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-03T13:02:57+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It should run hard for at least 2 weeks from here. $16-18 in the short term.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long CLSK; expects hard run to $16-18 over next 2 weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SteveUrkelDude I predicted a breakout in July for CLSK months ago. It should run hard for at least 2 weeks from here. $16-18 in the short term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CLSK got warmer.. then hot. Sheesh breaking out on the weekly https://t.co/zhAFzIXPoa", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SteveUrkelDude", "ret_m1d": 0.018775472835618645, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018775472835618645, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02659514366121718, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029491723434109773, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007819670825598535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010716250598491128, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.05306119334941006, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05306119334941006, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.052293525668693164, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06208550021036541, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0007676676807168992, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009024306860955345, "ret_p1m": -0.14775513629524073, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14775513629524073, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14196609895288081, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11410219983224001, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.005789037342359915, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033652936463000716, "ret_p3m": 0.18367346938775508, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18367346938775508, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11541163816234179, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16755510338983015, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0682618312254133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016118365997924933, "ret_p6m": -0.10938776755819513, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10938776755819513, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21961464251915297, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16218207844380772, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11022687496095784, "bench_c_p6m": 0.052794310885612594, "ret_p1y": 0.424489858199139, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.424489858199139, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.22092371172214542, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.3992340783442452, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20356614647699356, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0252557798548938, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14775513629524073, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14196609895288081, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11410219983224001, "price_path": [-0.3935, -0.4498, -0.3771, -0.418, -0.3878, -0.3649, -0.4057, -0.4057, -0.3869, -0.3869, -0.3902, -0.2841, -0.2759, -0.2767, -0.2645, -0.3004, -0.311, -0.3331, -0.2922, -0.2808, -0.3396, -0.3396, -0.3445, -0.2914, -0.249, -0.2147, -0.1837, -0.2155, -0.2359, -0.2016, -0.1967, -0.2082, -0.1747, -0.1943, -0.2359, -0.2359, -0.1951, -0.2563, -0.2833, -0.2955, -0.2971, -0.2482, -0.222, -0.2637, -0.2008, -0.1739, -0.1731, -0.1861, -0.2073, -0.2408, -0.2147, -0.2735, -0.2506, -0.2506, -0.2653, -0.2776, -0.1804, -0.1347, -0.1176, -0.129, -0.0996, -0.0955, 0.0188, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0751, -0.0531, 0.018, 0.0531, 0.0327, 0.0286, -0.0049, 0.0261, 0.0596, 0.0433, 0.0114, 0.0482, 0.0163, 0.0073, -0.0351, -0.018, -0.0424, -0.0678, -0.0718, -0.1478, -0.1331, -0.1159, -0.102, -0.1249, -0.178, -0.1943, -0.1902, -0.1861, -0.1878, -0.2041, -0.1967, -0.2359, -0.2253, -0.2384, -0.1984, -0.2286, -0.2098, -0.218, -0.2204, -0.2269, -0.2269, -0.2131, -0.2294, -0.2588, -0.2457, -0.2514, -0.2106, -0.1812, -0.1673, -0.1551, -0.16, -0.0857, -0.0661, 0.0988, 0.1118, 0.1216, 0.1355, 0.1796, 0.1167, 0.058, 0.2139, 0.1837, 0.191, 0.2359, 0.3012, 0.4229, 0.4661, 0.5494, 0.64, 0.5739, 0.6359, 0.7943, 0.8939, 0.6318, 0.5939, 0.6653, 0.5322, 0.3763, 0.4424, 0.5808, 0.649, 0.5633, 0.542, 0.4441, 0.4531, 0.422, 0.3241, 0.3535, 0.2571, 0.271, 0.2269, 0.1465, 0.0882, -0.022, -0.1053, -0.1339, -0.1176, -0.1657, -0.2016, -0.2057, -0.0629, -0.0351, 0.098, 0.098, 0.2327, 0.1494, 0.1192, 0.1829, 0.2269, 0.1196, 0.1339, 0.2122, 0.1861, 0.2098, 0.1453, -0.0273, -0.0318, -0.0629, -0.0857, -0.018, -0.0122, -0.0604, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.1094]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1961240718586134710", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-29T01:33:20+00:00", "symbol": "SBET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have 43,000 shares", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 43,000 shares of SBET; live long position disclosure.", "resolved_tickers": ["SBET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@litigious_dulce I have 43,000 shares", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Everyone is looking at $IREN, and they should, but I'm probably buying more $SBET in about a week. MNAV of 1.02x seems ridiculously cheap. https://t.co/TnVAU3xjNC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "litigious_dulce", "ret_m1d": 0.03591466894549522, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03591466894549522, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.029915059276013345, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.038507861837473234, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005999609669481876, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0025931928919780134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.1616161708059629, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1616161708059629, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16501118529028647, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14457590646546126, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0033950144843235552, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017040264340501654, "ret_p1m": -0.03142533532730829, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03142533532730829, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06315939778784474, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03731883812381087, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03173406246053645, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005893502796502581, "ret_p3m": -0.4248035816197522, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4248035816197522, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.48141069099265943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40876928181663275, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05660710937290725, "bench_c_p3m": -0.016034299803119434, "ret_p6m": -0.6358024757428491, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6358024757428491, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6997570787728855, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5818088718691538, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06395460303003642, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05399360387369534, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03142533532730829, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06315939778784474, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03731883812381087, "price_path": [1.8221, 2.3221, 1.3861, 1.3277, 0.6515, 0.9068, 1.0802, 0.8255, -0.4832, -0.2475, -0.3294, -0.4388, -0.4388, -0.4473, -0.4949, -0.4579, -0.4231, -0.4343, -0.4747, -0.4428, -0.4753, -0.3277, -0.2896, -0.2896, -0.289, -0.0859, -0.0426, 0.037, 0.2149, 0.3401, 0.6257, 1.0976, 1.0426, 0.6263, 0.4169, 0.5376, 0.4484, 0.3086, 0.234, 0.1745, 0.0707, 0.0976, 0.0556, -0.0382, 0.0741, 0.1352, 0.2424, 0.3109, 0.3423, 0.2536, 0.2609, 0.3199, 0.3182, 0.1139, 0.1291, 0.0314, 0.0926, 0.0123, 0.1712, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.0814, 0.0359, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0471, -0.0561, -0.1341, -0.1616, -0.1207, -0.0634, -0.0971, -0.0819, -0.0067, -0.0578, -0.0488, -0.0393, -0.0337, -0.0275, -0.0679, -0.0455, -0.0135, -0.0847, -0.1021, -0.0314, -0.0455, -0.0253, 0.0152, 0.0202, 0.0797, -0.0028, -0.014, -0.0488, -0.1403, -0.0948, -0.1223, -0.1498, -0.1824, -0.1953, -0.17, -0.1953, -0.2458, -0.2419, -0.2189, -0.197, -0.229, -0.2363, -0.2834, -0.2233, -0.2654, -0.3446, -0.3193, -0.3732, -0.3288, -0.3294, -0.3513, -0.3507, -0.3833, -0.3889, -0.4226, -0.408, -0.4461, -0.4781, -0.4658, -0.4343, -0.4428, -0.4248, -0.4248, -0.404, -0.4613, -0.4405, -0.4057, -0.3737, -0.3984, -0.3793, -0.349, -0.3255, -0.353, -0.4102, -0.4663, -0.4551, -0.4798, -0.4938, -0.4495, -0.463, -0.4815, -0.4837, -0.4837, -0.5006, -0.4972, -0.5067, -0.4983, -0.4983, -0.4562, -0.4237, -0.4198, -0.431, -0.4231, -0.4377, -0.4242, -0.4085, -0.3895, -0.4141, -0.3827, -0.3827, -0.4416, -0.4405, -0.4512, -0.4529, -0.4736, -0.4394, -0.4405, -0.4742, -0.5017, -0.5629, -0.5701, -0.6027, -0.6594, -0.6055, -0.601, -0.6268, -0.6285, -0.633, -0.6156, -0.6156, -0.6263, -0.6296, -0.6184, -0.6229, -0.6358]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1948870754554028133", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-25T22:19:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The market absorbed the sale of 80,000 Bitcoin by an ancient whale and now we will proceed higher. Great setup.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC after successful retest of $115k-$117k support; whale sale absorbed, expects move higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We successfully retested the $115,000-$117,000 level I mentioned in this video with @scottmelker on Wednesday. The market absorbed the sale of 80,000 Bitcoin by an ancient whale and now we will proceed higher. Great setup.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitcoin To $146,000? Real Bitcoin Bull Market Hasn't Started Yet | Mike Alfred https://t.co/4JSJcUUqZE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006223587310233647, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006223587310233647, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005972455254011466, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005972455254011466, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0024532799270098327, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0024532799270098327, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005090941616281763, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005090941616281763, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "ret_p1w": -0.036687758631258394, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.036687758631258394, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027628692894826723, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027628692894826723, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "ret_p1m": -0.06385408151331373, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06385408151331373, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07675938195958665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07675938195958665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "ret_p3m": -0.08456005631253694, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08456005631253694, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14215165144968245, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14215165144968245, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "ret_p6m": -0.2132197120710072, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2132197120710072, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28312617603767476, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28312617603767476, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06385408151331373, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07675938195958665, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07675938195958665, "price_path": [-0.1985, -0.1992, -0.1797, -0.1762, -0.1946, -0.1771, -0.1751, -0.1224, -0.1247, -0.126, -0.1145, -0.1198, -0.1181, -0.1203, -0.1023, -0.0922, -0.0676, -0.0507, -0.088, -0.0697, -0.0735, -0.0836, -0.102, -0.1159, -0.0999, -0.1037, -0.1097, -0.1365, -0.1126, -0.0624, -0.0627, -0.0761, -0.0995, -0.0981, -0.0921, -0.1108, -0.1084, -0.1101, -0.1218, -0.1025, -0.0985, -0.0873, -0.0908, -0.0897, -0.0893, -0.1015, -0.0746, -0.0679, -0.0816, -0.0794, -0.0738, -0.0536, -0.014, -0.001, 0.0188, 0.0012, 0.0094, 0.0141, 0.0031, -0.0017, 0.0201, 0.0095, 0.0062, 0.0, 0.0025, 0.0024, 0.0017, -0.016, -0.0367, -0.0218, -0.0297, -0.0222, -0.0012, -0.0081, 0.0093, 0.0216, 0.0485, 0.0062, -0.002, -0.0118, -0.0408, -0.0286, -0.0443, -0.0065, -0.0639, -0.0496, -0.0545, -0.0433, -0.0784, -0.0713, -0.0547, -0.0503, -0.0588, -0.0594, -0.0473, -0.0519, -0.0313, -0.0181, -0.013, -0.0186, -0.0067, -0.0099, -0.0042, -0.0166, -0.0415, -0.0478, -0.0366, -0.073, -0.0674, -0.0275, -0.0304, 0.0086, 0.0259, 0.0394, 0.0605, 0.0324, 0.0486, 0.0346, -0.0376, -0.0201, -0.0384, -0.0583, -0.0803, -0.0949, -0.0599, -0.0779, -0.0846, -0.0643, -0.0561, -0.0299, -0.0398, -0.0644, -0.0793, -0.0687, -0.0943, -0.1364, -0.1168, -0.1389, -0.1213, -0.0989, -0.1244, -0.1358, -0.1525, -0.1975, -0.2171, -0.2099, -0.2225, -0.2636, -0.2767, -0.2496, -0.2575, -0.2305, -0.224, -0.2271, -0.2662, -0.2234, -0.2049, -0.2167, -0.2401, -0.2295, -0.212, -0.2177, -0.2136, -0.2326, -0.2654, -0.2533, -0.2677, -0.2735, -0.2511, -0.2478, -0.2569, -0.2552, -0.2584, -0.2579, -0.2593, -0.2483, -0.2561, -0.2457, -0.2354, -0.2019, -0.2032, -0.2238, -0.2262, -0.2306, -0.2248, -0.1897, -0.176, -0.1877, -0.188, -0.2132]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1954048159011025046", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-09T05:12:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is no \"final blowoff\" in Bitcoin until governments stop printing money", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC long-term; rejects blowoff top thesis as long as governments keep printing money.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@milesdeutscher There is no “final blowoff” in Bitcoin until governments stop printing money\n\nStudy fundamentals", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Imo from here:\n\n• $ETH rally &gt; mini alt season\n• Rotation back into $BTC ($120k&gt;$140k+) &gt; alts lag\n• Rotation back into $ETH/alts &gt; final blowoff\n\nThis takes months to fully play out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "milesdeutscher", "ret_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1262, -0.1284, -0.1105, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0594, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.082, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.1241, -0.1082, -0.112, -0.1179, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0846, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1005, -0.119, -0.1166, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.0958, -0.0991, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0831, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0094, -0.008, 0.0001, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0092, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0076, -0.025, -0.0456, -0.0308, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0104, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0031, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0497, -0.0375, -0.0532, -0.0156, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.0521, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.059, -0.0674, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0606, -0.0402, -0.0272, -0.0221, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0191, -0.0134, -0.0256, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0007, 0.0164, 0.0298, 0.0507, 0.0229, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.0669, -0.0888, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.073, -0.0648, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0731, -0.0878, -0.0773, -0.1026, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1468, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1325, -0.1438, -0.1603, -0.2049, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2296, -0.2704, -0.2833, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2376, -0.2312, -0.2342, -0.273, -0.2306, -0.2123, -0.2239, -0.2471, -0.2366, -0.2193, -0.225, -0.2208, -0.2397, -0.2721, -0.2601, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2647, -0.2661, -0.2552, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2377, -0.2319, -0.1972, -0.1836, -0.1952, -0.1955, -0.2205, -0.2562, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2462, -0.2566, -0.2495, -0.2489, -0.2878, -0.2914, -0.3373, -0.363]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1947840805865197681", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-23T02:06:51+00:00", "symbol": "healthcare", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The entire sector is just too damn cheap sir.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on the entire US healthcare sector on valuation grounds — too cheap.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US healthcare sector ETF XLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheTechInvest The entire sector is just too damn cheap sir.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨Healthcare is the best performing sector today due to $OSCR raising its guidance to $12B-$12.2B versus estimated $11.3B.\n\n$UNH +1%🟢\n$CNC +2%🟢\n$ELV +1%🟢 https://t.co/1a3m7OxAbF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheTechInvest", "ret_m1d": -0.020107238147732853, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020107238147732853, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011671624880701503, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011671624880701503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00843561326703135, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00843561326703135, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0037427282484895352, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0037427282484895352, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0040738552362246105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0040738552362246105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003311269877350753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003311269877350753, "ret_p1w": -0.0152639420358478, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0152639420358478, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01565812229659258, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01565812229659258, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00039418026074478085, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00039418026074478085, "ret_p1m": 0.005650379211708634, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005650379211708634, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003537510739279215, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003537510739279215, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002112868472429419, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002112868472429419, "ret_p3m": 0.06738209654076477, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06738209654076477, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005965289496235204, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005965289496235204, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061416807044529564, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061416807044529564, "ret_p6m": 0.1620259198542784, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1620259198542784, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06426590683883737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06426590683883737, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09776001301544102, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09776001301544102, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.005650379211708634, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.003537510739279215, "alpha_c_stated": 0.003537510739279215, "price_path": [0.0082, 0.0123, 0.0172, 0.0259, -0.002, 0.0118, 0.0089, -0.0189, -0.0114, -0.0203, -0.031, -0.007, -0.0369, -0.0595, -0.0472, -0.028, -0.0186, -0.0162, -0.039, -0.0465, -0.0481, -0.0481, -0.0348, -0.0397, -0.0333, -0.0313, -0.0307, -0.0284, -0.0265, -0.0278, -0.0186, -0.0202, -0.0091, -0.0085, -0.0008, -0.0058, -0.0088, -0.0252, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0316, -0.0302, -0.0183, -0.0174, -0.015, -0.0172, -0.0109, 0.0032, -0.0067, -0.0057, -0.0057, -0.014, -0.0095, -0.0057, 0.0004, -0.0079, -0.0091, -0.0269, -0.0148, -0.0261, -0.0325, -0.038, -0.0201, 0.0, -0.0037, 0.0015, -0.0072, -0.0135, -0.0153, -0.0429, -0.0377, -0.0239, -0.0277, -0.0423, -0.0533, -0.0448, -0.0439, -0.0373, -0.0219, -0.017, -0.0004, -0.0028, 0.0036, 0.009, 0.0057, 0.0139, -0.0005, 0.0057, 0.0051, 0.0012, 0.0085, 0.0085, 0.0095, 0.0047, 0.0085, 0.012, 0.0116, 0.017, 0.0078, 0.0253, 0.0135, 0.0048, 0.0048, 0.0068, 0.0088, 0.0075, 0.0072, 0.0095, 0.0055, -0.0112, -0.0011, 0.0018, 0.026, 0.0577, 0.0556, 0.0676, 0.0624, 0.0633, 0.0653, 0.063, 0.0476, 0.0464, 0.0493, 0.0509, 0.0492, 0.0562, 0.0674, 0.0699, 0.076, 0.0766, 0.0765, 0.079, 0.0722, 0.0614, 0.0638, 0.0634, 0.0649, 0.0697, 0.0738, 0.0759, 0.0773, 0.0857, 0.1108, 0.1266, 0.126, 0.1193, 0.1183, 0.1249, 0.123, 0.1163, 0.1398, 0.1446, 0.1704, 0.1679, 0.1679, 0.1622, 0.1448, 0.1379, 0.1432, 0.1345, 0.1298, 0.1163, 0.1055, 0.1216, 0.1322, 0.1357, 0.1508, 0.1358, 0.1337, 0.1346, 0.1422, 0.1497, 0.1474, 0.1534, 0.1534, 0.1553, 0.1535, 0.1525, 0.146, 0.146, 0.1513, 0.1478, 0.1704, 0.182, 0.1706, 0.1646, 0.1651, 0.1604, 0.1687, 0.162]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1954726413724221881", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-11T02:07:48+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The November IBIT calls are going to go ballistic", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish IBIT November calls; expects a major upside move in the Bitcoin ETF.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FrankAFetter @AlemzadehC The November IBIT calls are going to go ballistic", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Volatility is coming. $BTC 🍿 https://t.co/3p4O0XlQqU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FrankAFetter", "ret_m1d": -0.022324100382259293, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022324100382259293, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0243055199881822, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0243055199881822, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00458305087804578, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00458305087804578, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006062930924685128, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006062930924685128, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02350674678057374, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02350674678057374, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.035112093566366354, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.035112093566366354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06534592266158046, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06534592266158046, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08800618955059147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08800618955059147, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.153459508601116, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.153459508601116, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2104611795808492, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2104611795808492, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3598462503285129, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3598462503285129, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45036844047162483, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45036844047162483, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06534592266158046, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08800618955059147, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08800618955059147, "price_path": [-0.1316, -0.1326, -0.1248, -0.1131, -0.0995, -0.0865, -0.0652, -0.0859, -0.0859, -0.076, -0.1013, -0.1131, -0.1209, -0.1224, -0.107, -0.1183, -0.1444, -0.1239, -0.0868, -0.0791, -0.0857, -0.1026, -0.1168, -0.0863, -0.1203, -0.1282, -0.1282, -0.1326, -0.1326, -0.1121, -0.0941, -0.0961, -0.1023, -0.0951, -0.1153, -0.0772, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0923, -0.086, -0.06, -0.0464, -0.0064, 0.008, -0.0219, 0.0028, 0.0001, -0.0142, -0.0194, 0.0027, -0.0052, 0.0003, -0.0189, -0.008, -0.0137, -0.0188, -0.0195, -0.0506, -0.0361, -0.0457, -0.0315, -0.012, -0.0223, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.0325, -0.009, -0.0177, -0.0235, -0.051, -0.0405, -0.0584, -0.0205, -0.0704, -0.0671, -0.059, -0.06, -0.0917, -0.0917, -0.069, -0.0572, -0.0782, -0.0624, -0.0582, -0.0653, -0.046, -0.0386, -0.0186, -0.0316, -0.0188, -0.0291, -0.0132, -0.0336, -0.059, -0.0625, -0.0476, -0.0819, -0.0843, -0.0395, -0.039, -0.0133, 0.0167, 0.0321, 0.054, 0.022, 0.0358, 0.0163, -0.0213, -0.0271, -0.0551, -0.0661, -0.0918, -0.106, -0.0696, -0.0614, -0.0951, -0.0751, -0.0711, -0.0349, -0.0466, -0.0723, -0.107, -0.0789, -0.1051, -0.1546, -0.1289, -0.1535, -0.1295, -0.1101, -0.1373, -0.1486, -0.1781, -0.2094, -0.2297, -0.2215, -0.25, -0.2762, -0.2908, -0.2524, -0.2673, -0.2456, -0.2456, -0.2379, -0.283, -0.2361, -0.2203, -0.2237, -0.2506, -0.2383, -0.2187, -0.224, -0.2297, -0.2431, -0.2806, -0.2651, -0.2799, -0.291, -0.2621, -0.2595, -0.266, -0.2688, -0.2688, -0.2666, -0.27, -0.2633, -0.266, -0.266, -0.2469, -0.2096, -0.2246, -0.238, -0.2383, -0.2436, -0.2331, -0.208, -0.1804, -0.2017, -0.1981, -0.1981, -0.2496, -0.2444, -0.2509, -0.2504, -0.266, -0.2515, -0.2533, -0.2963, -0.2979, -0.3462, -0.3598]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1948215386375405761", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-24T02:55:18+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I agree but also think that Bitcoin mining may be about to come back in favor. The ultimate one two punch.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses 10x bull case on IREN (AI data center mispriced as miner) and adds Bitcoin mining is coming back in favor — double tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Happy_John I agree but also think that Bitcoin mining may be about to come back in favor. The ultimate one two punch.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "After talking to smart friends and doing some research, I've really become convinced of the bullish case for $IREN.  It is priced like a Bitcoin miner instead of like an AI data center.  There is a solid case for a 10x+ move higher here when the market figures this out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Happy_John", "ret_m1d": 0.04685779548343194, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04685779548343194, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.047188812862379304, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.046292587629210846, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005652078542210948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02315325746557728, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02315325746557728, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027377595618068407, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030125103282013566, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006971845816436284, "ret_p1w": -0.1119073234619451, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1119073234619451, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10821885799256337, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09871724230136747, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013190081160577627, "ret_p1m": 0.18136720100469117, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18136720100469117, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16420196068928394, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17194568317743109, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009421517827260084, "ret_p3m": 2.042723349060373, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.042723349060373, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.9816737447978265, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.045859110264252, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0031357612038788174, "ret_p6m": 2.1874311819337278, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.1874311819337278, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.0909540608958563, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.1546422647670083, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0327889171667195, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.18136720100469117, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16420196068928394, "alpha_c_stated": 0.17194568317743109, "price_path": [-0.6477, -0.6544, -0.6632, -0.6488, -0.64, -0.6588, -0.6417, -0.6378, -0.6202, -0.6119, -0.586, -0.5524, -0.5606, -0.5728, -0.5364, -0.5292, -0.5254, -0.5099, -0.4884, -0.4972, -0.4972, -0.4906, -0.5116, -0.5259, -0.5375, -0.5187, -0.5099, -0.4802, -0.5066, -0.4625, -0.43, -0.4217, -0.4322, -0.4394, -0.4581, -0.4267, -0.4614, -0.4598, -0.4598, -0.4228, -0.4123, -0.3638, -0.3456, -0.2773, -0.2282, -0.1968, -0.1604, -0.1367, -0.0728, -0.0728, -0.0656, -0.0689, -0.065, -0.0612, -0.1053, -0.0474, -0.0695, -0.0458, -0.005, -0.011, 0.0006, 0.0248, 0.0469, 0.0, -0.0232, -0.086, -0.1295, -0.1103, -0.1119, -0.151, -0.0915, -0.0932, 0.0099, 0.0237, 0.0171, -0.0094, -0.0171, -0.0226, 0.0518, 0.0854, 0.1414, 0.0325, 0.0893, 0.0799, 0.1814, 0.2745, 0.2674, 0.2324, 0.2701, 0.4598, 0.4598, 0.6047, 0.5551, 0.4405, 0.4416, 0.4438, 0.6643, 0.8539, 0.8109, 0.8721, 1.0474, 1.0094, 1.0893, 1.0022, 1.1301, 1.3098, 1.3026, 1.5987, 1.5518, 1.3076, 1.532, 1.5871, 1.5954, 1.5921, 1.7817, 2.1836, 2.4002, 2.3126, 2.5198, 2.2949, 2.5358, 2.8346, 2.7475, 2.4085, 2.3473, 2.2646, 2.0427, 1.8572, 2.0794, 2.4675, 2.5827, 2.441, 2.3308, 2.2095, 2.349, 2.7348, 2.6731, 3.2122, 2.6913, 2.4388, 2.317, 2.1632, 2.0706, 1.6819, 1.5562, 1.6136, 1.6929, 1.5265, 1.3964, 1.3297, 1.6731, 1.6169, 1.6709, 1.6709, 1.6356, 1.6731, 1.2668, 1.4234, 1.5606, 1.4647, 1.5546, 1.5821, 1.4212, 1.4223, 1.2122, 0.9559, 1.0171, 0.8622, 0.9735, 1.2007, 1.3175, 1.3192, 1.3142, 1.3142, 1.2216, 1.1725, 1.1114, 1.0821, 1.0821, 1.3539, 1.6593, 1.5309, 1.4049, 1.5182, 1.5375, 1.7745, 1.9212, 1.9151, 1.8605, 2.1874]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1948215386375405761", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-24T02:55:18+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin mining may be about to come back in favor", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses 10x bull case on IREN (AI data center mispriced as miner) and adds Bitcoin mining is coming back in favor — double tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Happy_John I agree but also think that Bitcoin mining may be about to come back in favor. The ultimate one two punch.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "After talking to smart friends and doing some research, I've really become convinced of the bullish case for $IREN.  It is priced like a Bitcoin miner instead of like an AI data center.  There is a solid case for a 10x+ move higher here when the market figures this out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Happy_John", "ret_m1d": 0.003269134711239463, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003269134711239463, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0036001520901868256, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0036001520901868256, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006185093838706357, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006185093838706357, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010409431991197482, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010409431991197482, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "ret_p1w": -0.02204816229893214, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02204816229893214, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01835969682955041, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01835969682955041, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "ret_p1m": -0.012620928481515303, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012620928481515303, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02978616879692253, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02978616879692253, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "ret_p3m": -0.08356235954818869, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08356235954818869, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14461196381073527, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14461196381073527, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "ret_p6m": -0.19298191075713034, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19298191075713034, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28945903179500154, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28945903179500154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.012620928481515303, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02978616879692253, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02978616879692253, "price_path": [-0.1976, -0.2035, -0.2041, -0.1848, -0.1813, -0.1995, -0.1822, -0.1802, -0.1278, -0.1301, -0.1314, -0.1199, -0.1253, -0.1235, -0.1257, -0.1078, -0.0978, -0.0734, -0.0566, -0.0936, -0.0754, -0.0792, -0.0893, -0.1075, -0.1214, -0.1055, -0.1093, -0.1152, -0.1419, -0.1181, -0.0682, -0.0685, -0.0818, -0.1051, -0.1037, -0.0978, -0.1163, -0.1139, -0.1156, -0.1272, -0.1081, -0.1041, -0.093, -0.0964, -0.0953, -0.0949, -0.107, -0.0803, -0.0737, -0.0873, -0.0851, -0.0796, -0.0595, -0.0201, -0.0072, 0.0125, -0.005, 0.0031, 0.0078, -0.0031, -0.0078, 0.0137, 0.0033, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0037, -0.0038, -0.0045, -0.022, -0.0426, -0.0278, -0.0357, -0.0282, -0.0074, -0.0142, 0.0031, 0.0152, 0.042, -0.0001, -0.0082, -0.0179, -0.0468, -0.0346, -0.0503, -0.0126, -0.0696, -0.0555, -0.0604, -0.0492, -0.0841, -0.077, -0.0606, -0.0561, -0.0646, -0.0652, -0.0532, -0.0578, -0.0373, -0.0242, -0.0191, -0.0247, -0.0129, -0.016, -0.0104, -0.0226, -0.0475, -0.0537, -0.0426, -0.0787, -0.0731, -0.0335, -0.0364, 0.0024, 0.0195, 0.0329, 0.0539, 0.026, 0.0421, 0.0282, -0.0435, -0.0262, -0.0443, -0.0641, -0.086, -0.1005, -0.0657, -0.0836, -0.0902, -0.0701, -0.062, -0.0359, -0.0457, -0.0702, -0.085, -0.0744, -0.0999, -0.1417, -0.1223, -0.1442, -0.1267, -0.1045, -0.1299, -0.1411, -0.1577, -0.2025, -0.222, -0.2147, -0.2273, -0.2681, -0.2811, -0.2543, -0.2621, -0.2353, -0.2288, -0.2319, -0.2707, -0.2283, -0.2099, -0.2216, -0.2448, -0.2343, -0.2169, -0.2226, -0.2184, -0.2374, -0.2699, -0.2579, -0.2722, -0.278, -0.2557, -0.2524, -0.2615, -0.2598, -0.263, -0.2625, -0.2638, -0.2529, -0.2607, -0.2504, -0.2401, -0.2069, -0.2082, -0.2286, -0.231, -0.2353, -0.2296, -0.1947, -0.1811, -0.1928, -0.193]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1958186103023775786", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-20T15:15:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Everything will be OK once Bitcoin goes to $200,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC with a $200,000 price target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoshMandell6 Everything will be OK once Bitcoin goes to $200,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For the record, I will not say a bad word about the guys at True North.   I think they are in a tough spot in their lives/careers and have hitched their wagons to a single company and leader.   They do not have the luxury of saying some of the things I have said, are probably", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoshMandell6", "ret_m1d": -0.012632384657945028, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012632384657945028, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015296447383097433, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015296447383097433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002664062725152405, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002664062725152405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01623902974513114, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01623902974513114, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012227123617777225, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012227123617777225, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004011906127353915, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004011906127353915, "ret_p1w": -0.02671351191929372, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02671351191929372, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04006544962430614, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04006544962430614, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013351937705012418, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013351937705012418, "ret_p1m": 0.025048938047948832, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025048938047948832, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012797154618146678, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012797154618146678, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03784609266609551, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03784609266609551, "ret_p3m": -0.19410122274532038, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19410122274532038, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24018340550696704, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24018340550696704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04608218276164666, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04608218276164666, "ret_p6m": -0.4205032321022929, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4205032321022929, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4942639308571165, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4942639308571165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0737606987548236, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0737606987548236, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.025048938047948832, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012797154618146678, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012797154618146678, "price_path": [-0.0611, -0.0423, -0.0462, -0.0566, -0.0755, -0.0899, -0.0734, -0.0774, -0.0835, -0.1111, -0.0865, -0.0348, -0.0352, -0.0489, -0.073, -0.0716, -0.0654, -0.0847, -0.0822, -0.0839, -0.096, -0.0761, -0.072, -0.0605, -0.064, -0.0629, -0.0625, -0.0751, -0.0474, -0.0405, -0.0546, -0.0523, -0.0466, -0.0258, 0.015, 0.0284, 0.0488, 0.0306, 0.0391, 0.0439, 0.0326, 0.0277, 0.0501, 0.0392, 0.0358, 0.0294, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0311, 0.013, -0.0084, 0.007, -0.0012, 0.0066, 0.0282, 0.0211, 0.039, 0.0516, 0.0794, 0.0357, 0.0273, 0.0173, -0.0126, 0.0, -0.0162, 0.0227, -0.0363, -0.0216, -0.0267, -0.0151, -0.0513, -0.044, -0.0269, -0.0223, -0.0311, -0.0317, -0.0193, -0.024, -0.0028, 0.0108, 0.016, 0.0102, 0.0225, 0.0192, 0.025, 0.0124, -0.0134, -0.0198, -0.0083, -0.0457, -0.0399, 0.0011, -0.0019, 0.0383, 0.0561, 0.0699, 0.0917, 0.0628, 0.0795, 0.065, -0.0093, 0.0087, -0.0101, -0.0306, -0.0533, -0.0683, -0.0323, -0.0507, -0.0576, -0.0368, -0.0284, -0.0014, -0.0115, -0.0369, -0.0522, -0.0413, -0.0676, -0.111, -0.0909, -0.1135, -0.0954, -0.0724, -0.0987, -0.1104, -0.1276, -0.1739, -0.1941, -0.1866, -0.1996, -0.2419, -0.2554, -0.2276, -0.2357, -0.2079, -0.2012, -0.2044, -0.2446, -0.2006, -0.1816, -0.1937, -0.2178, -0.2068, -0.1889, -0.1947, -0.1904, -0.2101, -0.2438, -0.2313, -0.2462, -0.2521, -0.229, -0.2256, -0.2351, -0.2333, -0.2366, -0.236, -0.2375, -0.2262, -0.2342, -0.2235, -0.2129, -0.1784, -0.1798, -0.201, -0.2034, -0.2079, -0.202, -0.1659, -0.1518, -0.1638, -0.1641, -0.1901, -0.2272, -0.2179, -0.2171, -0.2168, -0.2276, -0.2203, -0.2196, -0.26, -0.2638, -0.3114, -0.3381, -0.361, -0.4513, -0.3826, -0.3864, -0.398, -0.4138, -0.4205]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1946635798042022109", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-19T18:18:35+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd rather own IREN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers IREN over CRWV; decisive long stance with confident forward lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@seekerweb As I said, I’d rather own IREN\n\nWatch and learn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred It’s a 1000 dollar stock on bargain because of ipo lockout period. $crwv is in unique position &amp; Jensen is personally propping it up. Cloud TAM is 350b &amp; going up 18%/yr. 2025 est 4-5b in revenue that’s 1.5% share with access to 10% of gpus. 5% share is 22b in rev. 5x in rev", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "seekerweb", "ret_m1d": -0.011570197734784404, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011570197734784404, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009677642798379238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014433287333812883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002863089599028479, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024242454176604866, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024242454176604866, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024099258737502183, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01870712297067323, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005535331205931637, "ret_p1w": -0.08650136241442807, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08650136241442807, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09949504807462672, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.099480874464693, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01297951205026493, "ret_p1m": 0.0319559193331278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0319559193331278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014397842246675063, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027947593894487976, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004008325438639826, "ret_p3m": 2.4066117427313465, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.4066117427313465, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.353012482675866, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.4153846870078737, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": -0.008772944276527084, "ret_p6m": 1.9195593824898247, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.9195593824898247, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.809854500536258, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.8774009796915687, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.042158402798256, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0319559193331278, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014397842246675063, "alpha_c_stated": 0.027947593894487976, "price_path": [-0.6639, -0.6529, -0.6397, -0.6479, -0.6545, -0.6634, -0.649, -0.6402, -0.659, -0.6419, -0.638, -0.6204, -0.6121, -0.5862, -0.5526, -0.5609, -0.573, -0.5366, -0.5295, -0.5256, -0.5102, -0.4887, -0.4975, -0.4975, -0.4909, -0.5118, -0.5262, -0.5377, -0.519, -0.5102, -0.4804, -0.5069, -0.4628, -0.4303, -0.422, -0.4325, -0.4397, -0.4584, -0.427, -0.4617, -0.4601, -0.4601, -0.4231, -0.4127, -0.3642, -0.346, -0.2777, -0.2287, -0.1972, -0.1609, -0.1372, -0.0733, -0.0733, -0.0661, -0.0694, -0.0656, -0.0617, -0.1058, -0.0479, -0.07, -0.0463, -0.0055, -0.0116, 0.0, 0.0242, 0.0463, -0.0006, -0.0237, -0.0865, -0.13, -0.1107, -0.1124, -0.1515, -0.092, -0.0937, 0.0094, 0.0231, 0.0165, -0.0099, -0.0176, -0.0231, 0.0512, 0.0848, 0.1408, 0.032, 0.0887, 0.0793, 0.1807, 0.2738, 0.2667, 0.2317, 0.2694, 0.459, 0.459, 0.6039, 0.5543, 0.4397, 0.4408, 0.443, 0.6634, 0.8529, 0.8099, 0.8711, 1.0463, 1.0083, 1.0882, 1.0011, 1.1289, 1.3085, 1.3014, 1.5972, 1.5504, 1.3063, 1.5306, 1.5857, 1.5939, 1.5906, 1.7802, 2.1818, 2.3983, 2.3107, 2.5179, 2.2931, 2.5339, 2.8325, 2.7455, 2.4066, 2.3455, 2.2628, 2.041, 1.8556, 2.0777, 2.4656, 2.5807, 2.4391, 2.3289, 2.2077, 2.3471, 2.7328, 2.6711, 3.2099, 2.6893, 2.4369, 2.3152, 2.1614, 2.0689, 1.6804, 1.5548, 1.6121, 1.6915, 1.5251, 1.395, 1.3284, 1.6716, 1.6154, 1.6694, 1.6694, 1.6342, 1.6716, 1.2656, 1.422, 1.5592, 1.4634, 1.5532, 1.5807, 1.4198, 1.4209, 1.211, 0.9548, 1.016, 0.8612, 0.9725, 1.1994, 1.3163, 1.3179, 1.3129, 1.3129, 1.2204, 1.1713, 1.1102, 1.081, 1.081, 1.3526, 1.6579, 1.5295, 1.4036, 1.5168, 1.5361, 1.773, 1.9196]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1944417989496877493", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-13T15:25:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just buy 1 Bitcoin today for $119,000 and wait 4-8 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC: buy at $119K and hold 4–8 years to reach millionaire-level returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you aren’t a millionaire yet but want to be one in the future, just buy 1 Bitcoin today for $119,000 and wait 4-8 years. It’s literally that simple.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1941643186889212339", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-05T23:39:44+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought more than 50,000 shares in a single day. Looking to add.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought 50K+ OSCR shares in one day and looking to add more; strong bullish position disclosure.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@oguzerkan I bought more than 50,000 shares in a single day. Looking to add.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "OSCR was down 20% last week due to Medicaid cuts it has no exposure to whatsoever.\n\nMeanwhile $OSCR in Q1 2025:\n\n- Added 300,000 members.\n- Revenues grew by 40% YoY.\n- Net income grew by 55% YoY.\n\nIt’s trading at 8 times 2027 earnings.\n\nI don’t own enough $OSCR. https://t.co/FSVZZObf08", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "oguzerkan", "ret_m1d": -0.020226065638892066, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020226065638892066, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027733986374466002, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02871055570864034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008484490069748274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015466998045336355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015466998045336355, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014919262750323847, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020007073212924276, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00454007516758792, "ret_p1w": -0.10291490762634259, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10291490762634259, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10956886240641428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1079013524554916, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004986444829149006, "ret_p1m": -0.1778703073236857, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1778703073236857, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18961544625993987, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16402683921513983, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013843468108545864, "ret_p3m": 0.14693642469813462, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14693642469813462, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06574274553758852, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0763438080197858, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07059261667834882, "ret_p6m": -0.136823278413567, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.136823278413567, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25003834440528006, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3057569205889483, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16893364217538132, "ret_p1y": 0.7346817830953081, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7346817830953081, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.540242613728078, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5734104927183816, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16127129037692645, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1778703073236857, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18961544625993987, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16402683921513983, "price_path": [-0.2552, -0.2713, -0.2522, -0.2612, -0.2594, -0.2653, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.3076, -0.3099, -0.2855, -0.2844, -0.2725, -0.2493, -0.2177, -0.2261, -0.2237, -0.2148, -0.2267, -0.2225, 0.0125, 0.0149, 0.0178, 0.0006, 0.0065, -0.0161, -0.0149, 0.0422, -0.0036, -0.0202, -0.116, -0.1452, -0.157, -0.157, -0.1071, -0.1737, -0.1791, -0.1791, -0.1517, -0.1523, -0.1582, -0.069, -0.0827, -0.122, -0.1261, -0.1582, -0.1469, -0.1701, -0.1106, -0.0416, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.2623, 0.2148, 0.191, 0.1416, 0.2183, 0.2142, 0.2754, 0.2165, -0.0113, -0.0202, -0.0202, 0.0, -0.0155, -0.0434, -0.0761, -0.1446, -0.1029, -0.1124, -0.0869, -0.1749, -0.2017, -0.1898, -0.1255, -0.0559, -0.1553, -0.1404, -0.1273, -0.1767, -0.1672, -0.1642, -0.1921, -0.1767, -0.1779, -0.1469, -0.0982, -0.0803, -0.0714, -0.1089, -0.1118, -0.1267, -0.0696, -0.0095, -0.0107, -0.0916, -0.0827, -0.0006, -0.0059, 0.0161, 0.0125, 0.0256, -0.0089, -0.0089, -0.0226, 0.0518, 0.0934, 0.1559, 0.2064, 0.1927, 0.1588, 0.1559, 0.1499, 0.1142, 0.0666, 0.0571, 0.1368, 0.1285, 0.1005, 0.0565, 0.097, 0.0761, 0.0958, 0.138, 0.1261, 0.1243, 0.1469, 0.2885, 0.3272, 0.3367, 0.2968, 0.2219, 0.1166, 0.2136, 0.2308, 0.2296, 0.251, 0.1535, 0.2005, 0.2951, 0.2118, 0.1672, 0.1475, 0.1701, 0.1624, 0.1249, 0.0761, 0.0708, 0.0506, 0.0208, 0.0131, -0.0149, 0.0541, -0.1309, -0.1166, -0.1017, -0.1701, -0.1743, -0.1523, -0.1249, -0.1624, -0.2249, -0.1981, -0.019, -0.0048, 0.0803, 0.0803, 0.069, -0.0095, 0.0024, 0.0173, 0.022, -0.0024, -0.0048, 0.0089, -0.0726, -0.0559, -0.0107, -0.0399, -0.0654, -0.0845, -0.1196, -0.1136, -0.1059, -0.1172, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.113, -0.1356, -0.1368]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1961567425683407051", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-29T23:11:33+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still the early stages of this move", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; views current all-time-high move as still early innings.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel Still the early stages of this move", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨$CIFR market cap all-time high https://t.co/shoF9Mq1PM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": -0.08173075159625831, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08173075159625831, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08919632607113959, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09193104014174869, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010200288545490377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0252403901261693, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0252403901261693, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03065993628917707, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03120672585586126, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005966335729691963, "ret_p1w": 0.10817314966543456, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10817314966543456, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09246090907070226, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08684893416177064, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021324215503663924, "ret_p1m": 0.5144231783215147, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5144231783215147, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46751604196406005, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.41748011209231883, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0969430662291959, "ret_p3m": 1.4459135971037642, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4459135971037642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3756078311457698, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.342803927854169, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10310966924959519, "ret_p6m": 0.9963943773561028, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9963943773561028, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9075949366115521, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8923836233804547, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10401075397564807, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5144231783215147, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.46751604196406005, "alpha_c_stated": 0.41748011209231883, "price_path": [-0.5757, -0.5312, -0.5024, -0.512, -0.5096, -0.5385, -0.5529, -0.5276, -0.5577, -0.5421, -0.5421, -0.5445, -0.5757, -0.5373, -0.5373, -0.4964, -0.488, -0.4255, -0.4111, -0.3173, -0.2728, -0.2728, -0.3041, -0.2752, -0.2476, -0.25, -0.2945, -0.2752, -0.2825, -0.2464, -0.2284, -0.2356, -0.2488, -0.1659, -0.1971, -0.2007, -0.2224, -0.2596, -0.3173, -0.345, -0.3437, -0.4075, -0.3762, -0.3978, -0.3738, -0.4147, -0.4291, -0.4279, -0.4327, -0.4111, -0.3606, -0.3738, -0.2728, -0.3077, -0.2849, -0.2909, -0.2332, -0.2019, -0.1442, -0.1599, -0.1562, -0.0817, -0.0817, 0.0, -0.0252, -0.1106, -0.0962, -0.0721, 0.1082, 0.232, 0.1983, 0.3041, 0.3041, 0.3834, 0.488, 0.4243, 0.476, 0.6779, 0.7007, 0.6995, 0.4014, 0.3786, 0.5204, 0.5132, 0.5144, 0.6599, 0.7668, 0.8438, 0.893, 1.1154, 1.1623, 1.0397, 1.4447, 1.5108, 1.5276, 1.25, 1.2548, 1.393, 1.1725, 0.9363, 1.0739, 1.4832, 1.4688, 1.399, 1.3546, 1.2921, 1.2416, 1.7356, 1.7055, 1.97, 1.6094, 1.4868, 1.3618, 1.244, 1.0889, 0.7945, 0.726, 0.7248, 0.7524, 0.7572, 0.75, 0.7007, 1.0084, 1.1058, 1.3017, 1.3017, 1.4459, 1.3666, 1.1202, 1.2392, 1.3834, 1.3173, 1.3413, 1.351, 1.2212, 1.2692, 1.0493, 0.7716, 0.8017, 0.7296, 0.8209, 0.9483, 0.9639, 0.9123, 0.9495, 0.9495, 0.8257, 0.8125, 0.7536, 0.774, 0.774, 0.9471, 1.1827, 1.1082, 0.9327, 0.9892, 0.9988, 1.125, 1.1935, 1.1791, 1.1058, 1.2596, 1.2596, 1.1538, 1.1298, 1.0901, 1.1118, 0.982, 1.2536, 1.28, 1.1274, 0.9183, 0.9002, 0.9543, 0.7127, 0.5264, 0.7704, 1.0144, 1.0553, 0.9567, 0.9351, 0.9736, 0.9736, 0.8798, 0.8534, 0.899, 0.7608, 0.8293, 1.0577, 0.9964]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1938992117323571353", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-28T16:05:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the bottom was $98,000. $121,000 next.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Calls BTC bottom at $98K, targets $121K next.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Narrator: the bottom was $98,000.\n\n$121,000 next.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0004378224008870779, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0004378224008870779, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004320606028268226, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004320606028268226, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013413452013053329, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013413452013053329, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013089837728918585, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013089837728918585, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "ret_p1w": 0.010869575521556651, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010869575521556651, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0062891349486755566, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0062891349486755566, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "ret_p1m": 0.10068398447261839, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10068398447261839, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07250557032444171, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07250557032444171, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "ret_p3m": 0.01786481657290495, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01786481657290495, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05015241369034418, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05015241369034418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "ret_p6m": -0.18407872402626269, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18407872402626269, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30393926225075285, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30393926225075285, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "ret_p1y": -0.39871896840758436, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.39871896840758436, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6081468513139482, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6081468513139482, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10068398447261839, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07250557032444171, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07250557032444171, "price_path": [-0.2301, -0.2243, -0.2174, -0.2604, -0.2881, -0.2293, -0.2568, -0.2215, -0.2109, -0.219, -0.2156, -0.2076, -0.2117, -0.1831, -0.1278, -0.1254, -0.1231, -0.1159, -0.1135, -0.1199, -0.1207, -0.0993, -0.0954, -0.1156, -0.0964, -0.0943, -0.0363, -0.0389, -0.0403, -0.0277, -0.0336, -0.0316, -0.034, -0.0143, -0.0032, 0.0237, 0.0424, 0.0014, 0.0215, 0.0174, 0.0062, -0.0139, -0.0293, -0.0117, -0.0159, -0.0224, -0.0519, -0.0256, 0.0295, 0.0291, 0.0145, -0.0113, -0.0097, -0.0032, -0.0237, -0.021, -0.0229, -0.0357, -0.0145, -0.0102, 0.0021, -0.0016, -0.0004, 0.0, -0.0134, 0.0161, 0.0235, 0.0084, 0.0109, 0.0169, 0.0391, 0.0826, 0.0969, 0.1187, 0.0993, 0.1083, 0.1135, 0.1014, 0.0962, 0.12, 0.1085, 0.1048, 0.098, 0.1007, 0.1007, 0.0998, 0.0805, 0.0577, 0.0741, 0.0654, 0.0737, 0.0967, 0.0892, 0.1082, 0.1217, 0.1513, 0.1048, 0.0958, 0.0851, 0.0532, 0.0666, 0.0493, 0.0909, 0.0279, 0.0436, 0.0381, 0.0505, 0.0119, 0.0197, 0.0379, 0.0428, 0.0335, 0.0328, 0.0461, 0.041, 0.0637, 0.0781, 0.0837, 0.0776, 0.0906, 0.0871, 0.0934, 0.0798, 0.0524, 0.0455, 0.0578, 0.0179, 0.0241, 0.0678, 0.0646, 0.1075, 0.1264, 0.1412, 0.1644, 0.1336, 0.1514, 0.136, 0.0567, 0.0759, 0.0558, 0.034, 0.0098, -0.0062, 0.0322, 0.0125, 0.0052, 0.0274, 0.0364, 0.0652, 0.0543, 0.0273, 0.0109, 0.0226, -0.0055, -0.0518, -0.0303, -0.0545, -0.0351, -0.0106, -0.0386, -0.0511, -0.0694, -0.1189, -0.1404, -0.1324, -0.1463, -0.1914, -0.2058, -0.1761, -0.1848, -0.1551, -0.1479, -0.1514, -0.1943, -0.1473, -0.127, -0.14, -0.1657, -0.154, -0.1348, -0.1411, -0.1365, -0.1574, -0.1934, -0.1801, -0.1959, -0.2023, -0.1776, -0.174, -0.1841]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1944106485329670590", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-12T18:48:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC is the most underappreciated value investment of all time and will remain so for 20+ years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong long BTC: deeply underappreciated value asset for 20+ years; dismisses bears as intellectually defunct.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you are high intellect and spend 10,000 hours studying Bitcoin, you will understand BTC is the most underappreciated value investment of all time and will remain so for 20+ years.\n\nOnly dead (physically or intellectually) guys still think it's rat poison after doing the work.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1943030741069369358", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-09T19:33:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC runs towards $121,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $121K as shorts lose control and market makers can't hold prices down.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uh oh. The market makers and shorts are losing control. They’re not able to hold the stocks down like they have been in the past. This is big trouble for them. Expect a massive uptick in bear bankruptcies as BTC runs towards $121,000 and the best proxies skyrocket.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "ret_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "ret_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "ret_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "ret_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "ret_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05542562389827399, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.042301830876356306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.042301830876356306, "price_path": [-0.2508, -0.2406, -0.2484, -0.2452, -0.2374, -0.2414, -0.2139, -0.1607, -0.1583, -0.1561, -0.1492, -0.1468, -0.1531, -0.1538, -0.1332, -0.1295, -0.1489, -0.1305, -0.1284, -0.0726, -0.0751, -0.0765, -0.0643, -0.0699, -0.0681, -0.0704, -0.0514, -0.0407, -0.0148, 0.0031, -0.0363, -0.0169, -0.0209, -0.0317, -0.0511, -0.0658, -0.0489, -0.0529, -0.0592, -0.0876, -0.0623, -0.0093, -0.0096, -0.0237, -0.0485, -0.047, -0.0407, -0.0604, -0.0579, -0.0597, -0.072, -0.0516, -0.0474, -0.0356, -0.0392, -0.0381, -0.0376, -0.0506, -0.0222, -0.0151, -0.0296, -0.0272, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0419, 0.0556, 0.0766, 0.0579, 0.0666, 0.0715, 0.06, 0.0549, 0.0779, 0.0667, 0.0633, 0.0567, 0.0593, 0.0592, 0.0584, 0.0398, 0.0179, 0.0336, 0.0253, 0.0332, 0.0554, 0.0482, 0.0665, 0.0795, 0.1079, 0.0632, 0.0545, 0.0442, 0.0135, 0.0265, 0.0098, 0.0498, -0.0108, 0.0043, -0.0009, 0.0109, -0.0262, -0.0186, -0.0011, 0.0036, -0.0054, -0.0061, 0.0067, 0.0018, 0.0236, 0.0376, 0.0429, 0.037, 0.0496, 0.0462, 0.0522, 0.0392, 0.0128, 0.0062, 0.018, -0.0205, -0.0145, 0.0276, 0.0245, 0.0658, 0.084, 0.0983, 0.1206, 0.0909, 0.108, 0.0932, 0.017, 0.0354, 0.0161, -0.0049, -0.0282, -0.0436, -0.0066, -0.0256, -0.0327, -0.0113, -0.0026, 0.0251, 0.0146, -0.0114, -0.0271, -0.0159, -0.0429, -0.0875, -0.0668, -0.0901, -0.0714, -0.0479, -0.0748, -0.0868, -0.1045, -0.1521, -0.1728, -0.1651, -0.1784, -0.2218, -0.2357, -0.2071, -0.2154, -0.1869, -0.18, -0.1833, -0.2246, -0.1794, -0.1599, -0.1723, -0.1971, -0.1858, -0.1674, -0.1734, -0.169, -0.1891, -0.2237, -0.2109, -0.2262, -0.2323, -0.2086, -0.2051, -0.2148, -0.213, -0.2164, -0.2158, -0.2173, -0.2057, -0.2139, -0.203]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1946656710883770376", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-19T19:41:41+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is systematic wealth building. Ignore this truth at your own peril", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong endorsement of Bitcoin as a systematic wealth-building asset; decisively bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mayacfounder You are not even a real person. Bitcoin is systematic wealth building. Ignore this truth at your own peril, bot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred The \"if you don't understand\" framing manipulates insecurity to drive speculation rather than systematic wealth building", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mayacfounder", "ret_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "price_path": [-0.2022, -0.2001, -0.1935, -0.1913, -0.1972, -0.1978, -0.1784, -0.1748, -0.1932, -0.1757, -0.1738, -0.1209, -0.1232, -0.1245, -0.113, -0.1184, -0.1166, -0.1188, -0.1008, -0.0907, -0.0661, -0.0491, -0.0864, -0.0681, -0.0719, -0.0821, -0.1005, -0.1145, -0.0984, -0.1022, -0.1082, -0.1351, -0.1111, -0.0608, -0.0612, -0.0745, -0.098, -0.0966, -0.0906, -0.1093, -0.1069, -0.1086, -0.1203, -0.101, -0.097, -0.0858, -0.0892, -0.0881, -0.0877, -0.1, -0.0731, -0.0663, -0.0801, -0.0778, -0.0723, -0.0521, -0.0124, 0.0007, 0.0205, 0.0029, 0.0111, 0.0158, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0112, 0.0079, 0.0017, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0033, -0.0143, -0.0351, -0.0202, -0.0281, -0.0205, 0.0005, -0.0064, 0.011, 0.0233, 0.0503, 0.0078, -0.0004, -0.0101, -0.0392, -0.0269, -0.0427, -0.0048, -0.0623, -0.048, -0.0529, -0.0417, -0.0769, -0.0697, -0.0531, -0.0487, -0.0572, -0.0578, -0.0457, -0.0503, -0.0297, -0.0165, -0.0114, -0.017, -0.0051, -0.0083, -0.0026, -0.0149, -0.0399, -0.0462, -0.035, -0.0714, -0.0658, -0.0259, -0.0288, 0.0103, 0.0276, 0.0411, 0.0623, 0.0342, 0.0504, 0.0363, -0.036, -0.0185, -0.0368, -0.0567, -0.0788, -0.0934, -0.0583, -0.0763, -0.083, -0.0628, -0.0545, -0.0283, -0.0382, -0.0629, -0.0778, -0.0671, -0.0927, -0.135, -0.1154, -0.1374, -0.1198, -0.0974, -0.123, -0.1343, -0.1511, -0.1962, -0.2158, -0.2085, -0.2212, -0.2623, -0.2755, -0.2484, -0.2563, -0.2292, -0.2227, -0.2258, -0.265, -0.2222, -0.2036, -0.2154, -0.2389, -0.2282, -0.2107, -0.2164, -0.2123, -0.2313, -0.2641, -0.252, -0.2665, -0.2723, -0.2498, -0.2465, -0.2557, -0.254, -0.2572, -0.2566, -0.258, -0.247, -0.2549, -0.2444, -0.2341, -0.2006, -0.2019, -0.2225, -0.2249, -0.2293, -0.2235, -0.1883]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1941589555712229646", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-05T20:06:37+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will break $112,000 this week and $121,000 by July 18. 95% confidence.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "High-conviction long BTC: $112K this week, $121K by July 18, 95% confidence.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin will break $112,000 this week and $121,000 by July 18. 95% confidence. Mark it down. This comes down from on high.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "ret_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "ret_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "ret_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "ret_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "ret_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05393907439133283, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04219393545507866, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04219393545507866, "price_path": [-0.2375, -0.2648, -0.2299, -0.2194, -0.2274, -0.2241, -0.2161, -0.2202, -0.1919, -0.1372, -0.1348, -0.1326, -0.1254, -0.123, -0.1294, -0.1301, -0.109, -0.1052, -0.1251, -0.1062, -0.104, -0.0467, -0.0492, -0.0507, -0.0381, -0.044, -0.0421, -0.0444, -0.0249, -0.0139, 0.0127, 0.0311, -0.0093, 0.0105, 0.0064, -0.0046, -0.0245, -0.0397, -0.0223, -0.0265, -0.0329, -0.0621, -0.0361, 0.0184, 0.0181, 0.0036, -0.0219, -0.0204, -0.0139, -0.0342, -0.0315, -0.0334, -0.0461, -0.0251, -0.0208, -0.0087, -0.0124, -0.0112, -0.0108, -0.024, 0.0052, 0.0124, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0279, 0.071, 0.0851, 0.1066, 0.0875, 0.0964, 0.1015, 0.0896, 0.0844, 0.108, 0.0965, 0.093, 0.0862, 0.0889, 0.0888, 0.088, 0.0689, 0.0464, 0.0625, 0.0539, 0.0621, 0.0849, 0.0775, 0.0963, 0.1096, 0.1389, 0.0929, 0.084, 0.0734, 0.0418, 0.0552, 0.038, 0.0792, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.027, 0.0392, 0.001, 0.0088, 0.0268, 0.0316, 0.0224, 0.0217, 0.0348, 0.0298, 0.0522, 0.0666, 0.072, 0.066, 0.0789, 0.0754, 0.0816, 0.0682, 0.0411, 0.0343, 0.0464, 0.0069, 0.013, 0.0563, 0.0532, 0.0956, 0.1143, 0.129, 0.1519, 0.1214, 0.139, 0.1238, 0.0454, 0.0644, 0.0445, 0.0229, -0.0011, -0.0169, 0.0211, 0.0016, -0.0056, 0.0163, 0.0252, 0.0537, 0.043, 0.0162, 0.0001, 0.0116, -0.0162, -0.062, -0.0407, -0.0646, -0.0455, -0.0213, -0.049, -0.0613, -0.0794, -0.1284, -0.1496, -0.1417, -0.1554, -0.2001, -0.2143, -0.1849, -0.1935, -0.1642, -0.1571, -0.1605, -0.2029, -0.1565, -0.1364, -0.1492, -0.1746, -0.1631, -0.1441, -0.1503, -0.1458, -0.1665, -0.202, -0.1889, -0.2046, -0.2109, -0.1865, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.191, -0.1945, -0.1939, -0.1954, -0.1835]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1952513043440792043", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-04T23:32:40+00:00", "symbol": "Metaplanet", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Metaplanet should be up tomorrow", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Expects Metaplanet stock to rise tomorrow.", "resolved_tickers": ["3350.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Metaplanet Tokyo Stock Exchange 3350.T", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoshMandell6 Metaplanet should be up tomorrow", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "There will be Tigns https://t.co/hnGbheDNaZ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoshMandell6", "ret_m1d": 0.06587473002159827, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06587473002159827, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06077896854262255, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06715375176103411, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005095761478975724, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0012790217394358372, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005399568034557212, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005399568034557212, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013059326750929245, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026184303505775053, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007659758716372034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02078473547121784, "ret_p1w": 0.05291576673866083, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05291576673866083, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02947520497257572, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01714762314655416, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02344056176608511, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03576814359210667, "ret_p1m": -0.13606911447084236, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13606911447084236, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16118176289494368, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1910231461148293, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025112648424101325, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054954031643986934, "ret_p3m": -0.4697624190064795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4697624190064795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5589084686759538, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5677166023797589, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08914604966947426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09795418337327932, "ret_p6m": -0.48704103671706267, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.48704103671706267, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.600802187073375, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6037238129135464, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11376115035631229, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1166827761964837, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005399568034557212, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013059326750929245, "alpha_c_stated": -0.026184303505775053, "price_path": [-0.4492, -0.4341, -0.406, -0.3575, -0.3434, -0.3596, -0.3272, -0.2624, -0.1544, 0.0076, 0.1695, -0.1188, 0.0432, 0.2052, 0.3197, 0.2311, 0.1523, 0.2646, 0.4525, 0.4104, 0.4719, 0.4482, 0.6674, 0.6911, 0.6134, 0.7365, 0.6296, 1.0464, 0.9924, 0.9557, 0.9417, 0.9233, 0.7657, 0.6544, 0.7203, 0.6296, 0.6091, 0.7819, 0.7019, 0.6847, 0.6922, 0.6685, 0.676, 0.6901, 0.6598, 0.6415, 0.689, 0.6825, 0.5508, 0.4503, 0.4568, 0.4395, 0.4395, 0.2365, 0.3369, 0.3229, 0.2754, 0.3391, 0.2894, 0.2905, 0.243, 0.1479, 0.0659, 0.0, -0.0054, 0.0529, 0.0821, 0.0821, 0.0529, 0.0724, 0.0238, -0.0648, -0.0281, -0.0432, -0.1048, -0.0929, -0.0983, -0.0238, -0.0907, -0.0389, -0.0292, -0.0508, -0.1026, -0.0788, -0.1361, -0.1965, -0.2343, -0.2635, -0.3369, -0.2289, -0.3035, -0.3618, -0.3618, -0.351, -0.3585, -0.4276, -0.3434, -0.3639, -0.3639, -0.3942, -0.4244, -0.4417, -0.4482, -0.379, -0.4428, -0.3747, -0.3283, -0.3618, -0.3261, -0.3801, -0.3952, -0.406, -0.406, -0.4795, -0.5032, -0.5356, -0.5659, -0.5097, -0.5421, -0.5464, -0.54, -0.4935, -0.473, -0.4611, -0.487, -0.4741, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.514, -0.5238, -0.5421, -0.5518, -0.5389, -0.554, -0.541, -0.5713, -0.568, -0.5864, -0.635, -0.595, -0.5821, -0.6145, -0.6145, -0.6058, -0.6048, -0.5788, -0.568, -0.5896, -0.6145, -0.5767, -0.5724, -0.5756, -0.5616, -0.5464, -0.4914, -0.5464, -0.5227, -0.5281, -0.5702, -0.5637, -0.5616, -0.5324, -0.513, -0.5022, -0.5, -0.527, -0.5205, -0.5248, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.4946, -0.4492, -0.4266, -0.4665, -0.4168, -0.4168, -0.4298, -0.3467, -0.338, -0.3618, -0.4158, -0.4374, -0.4438, -0.4492, -0.4471, -0.486, -0.4654, -0.487]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1961849197453525448", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-30T17:51:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see $150-200k BTC by Dec 31", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC to $150-200k by Dec 31; bullish from current ~$121k level.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kelly_joe38751 Depends. Do you have enough time left until expiration? I see $150-200k BTC by Dec 31.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Hey, so naturally, I bought strategy calls at the recent top …BTC- $121K….. should I be a little concerned, concerned or worried?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kelly_joe38751", "ret_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "price_path": [-0.0414, -0.0702, -0.0445, 0.0096, 0.0092, -0.0052, -0.0304, -0.0289, -0.0225, -0.0426, -0.04, -0.0418, -0.0544, -0.0336, -0.0293, -0.0173, -0.021, -0.0198, -0.0194, -0.0325, -0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0111, -0.0087, -0.0027, 0.019, 0.0617, 0.0757, 0.097, 0.078, 0.0868, 0.0919, 0.0801, 0.075, 0.0984, 0.087, 0.0835, 0.0768, 0.0794, 0.0794, 0.0785, 0.0596, 0.0372, 0.0533, 0.0448, 0.0529, 0.0755, 0.0681, 0.0868, 0.1, 0.129, 0.0834, 0.0746, 0.0641, 0.0328, 0.046, 0.029, 0.0698, 0.008, 0.0234, 0.018, 0.0302, -0.0077, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0226, 0.0135, 0.0128, 0.0258, 0.0209, 0.0431, 0.0573, 0.0627, 0.0567, 0.0695, 0.0661, 0.0722, 0.0589, 0.032, 0.0253, 0.0373, -0.0018, 0.0042, 0.0471, 0.044, 0.086, 0.1046, 0.1191, 0.1419, 0.1117, 0.1291, 0.114, 0.0363, 0.0551, 0.0354, 0.014, -0.0097, -0.0255, 0.0123, -0.0071, -0.0143, 0.0075, 0.0163, 0.0446, 0.0339, 0.0074, -0.0087, 0.0028, -0.0247, -0.0701, -0.0491, -0.0728, -0.0538, -0.0298, -0.0572, -0.0694, -0.0874, -0.136, -0.157, -0.1492, -0.1628, -0.207, -0.2211, -0.192, -0.2005, -0.1715, -0.1644, -0.1678, -0.2099, -0.1638, -0.1439, -0.1566, -0.1818, -0.1703, -0.1516, -0.1577, -0.1532, -0.1737, -0.209, -0.1959, -0.2115, -0.2177, -0.1936, -0.19, -0.1999, -0.1981, -0.2015, -0.2009, -0.2024, -0.1906, -0.199, -0.1878, -0.1767, -0.1407, -0.1421, -0.1642, -0.1668, -0.1715, -0.1653, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1254, -0.1256, -0.1528, -0.1917, -0.1819, -0.1811, -0.1807, -0.1921, -0.1844, -0.1837, -0.226, -0.2299, -0.2797, -0.3077, -0.3316, -0.4261, -0.3542, -0.3582, -0.3703, -0.3868, -0.3939, -0.3697, -0.3699, -0.3822, -0.392, -0.3871, -0.3775, -0.4085, -0.4135]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1953235577601704063", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-06T23:23:45+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought it a couple times over $4 even though I was annoyed that I was prohibited from buying 3M shares at $1-2 by compliance and trading rules", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Discloses ongoing long position in IREN, buying multiple times above $4.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow I bought it a couple times over $4 even though I was annoyed that I was prohibited from buying 3M shares at $1-2 by compliance and trading rules", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I had to buy $IREN multiple times earlier this week, despite raising my long-term cost averages. It has momentum. #Palantiring", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.013462574265398541, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013462574265398541, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014300912838225988, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024753358681639637, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008383385728274462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011290784416241095, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0064619781290686795, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0064619781290686795, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01425943459285528, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01580601056694131, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007797456463786601, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00934403243787263, "ret_p1w": 0.027463663826768014, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027463663826768014, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007376724144198654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004461786620268526, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02008693968256936, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03192545044703654, "ret_p1m": 0.40818524761843333, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40818524761843333, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.38447643933394215, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.37509189680769395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02370880828449118, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033093350810739386, "ret_p3m": 2.588045145309771, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.588045145309771, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.5170890430560857, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5642458290069543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07095610225368532, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02379931630281673, "ret_p6m": 1.8939150544760142, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.8939150544760142, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.7931814862634234, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.8465466536654596, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10073356821259072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0473684008105546, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.40818524761843333, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.38447643933394215, "alpha_c_stated": 0.37509189680769395, "price_path": [-0.5956, -0.5627, -0.5708, -0.5827, -0.5471, -0.5401, -0.5363, -0.5213, -0.5003, -0.5089, -0.5089, -0.5024, -0.5229, -0.5369, -0.5482, -0.5299, -0.5213, -0.4922, -0.518, -0.475, -0.4432, -0.4351, -0.4453, -0.4523, -0.4707, -0.44, -0.4739, -0.4723, -0.4723, -0.4362, -0.426, -0.3786, -0.3608, -0.294, -0.2461, -0.2154, -0.1799, -0.1567, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.0872, -0.0905, -0.0867, -0.0829, -0.126, -0.0695, -0.091, -0.0679, -0.028, -0.0339, -0.0226, 0.0011, 0.0226, -0.0232, -0.0458, -0.1072, -0.1497, -0.1309, -0.1325, -0.1707, -0.1125, -0.1142, -0.0135, 0.0, -0.0065, -0.0323, -0.0398, -0.0452, 0.0275, 0.0603, 0.115, 0.0086, 0.0641, 0.0549, 0.154, 0.245, 0.238, 0.2038, 0.2407, 0.426, 0.426, 0.5676, 0.5191, 0.4071, 0.4082, 0.4103, 0.6257, 0.811, 0.769, 0.8288, 1.0, 0.9628, 1.0409, 0.9558, 1.0808, 1.2563, 1.2493, 1.5385, 1.4927, 1.2542, 1.4733, 1.5272, 1.5353, 1.532, 1.7173, 2.1099, 2.3215, 2.2359, 2.4383, 2.2186, 2.454, 2.7458, 2.6607, 2.3296, 2.2698, 2.189, 1.9723, 1.7911, 2.0081, 2.3872, 2.4997, 2.3613, 2.2536, 2.1352, 2.2714, 2.6484, 2.588, 3.1147, 2.6058, 2.3592, 2.2402, 2.0899, 1.9995, 1.6198, 1.497, 1.553, 1.6306, 1.468, 1.3409, 1.2757, 1.6112, 1.5563, 1.609, 1.609, 1.5746, 1.6112, 1.2143, 1.3673, 1.5013, 1.4076, 1.4954, 1.5223, 1.3651, 1.3662, 1.161, 0.9106, 0.9704, 0.8191, 0.9278, 1.1497, 1.2639, 1.2655, 1.2606, 1.2606, 1.1702, 1.1222, 1.0625, 1.0339, 1.0339, 1.2994, 1.5977, 1.4723, 1.3492, 1.4599, 1.4787, 1.7103, 1.8535, 1.8476, 1.7943, 2.1136, 2.1136, 1.9219, 1.8799, 1.8142, 2.0522, 1.8196, 2.2305, 2.3893, 2.2224, 1.8939]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1960114690849464634", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-25T22:58:54+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every single quality megawatt in the US will be monetized for AI. The demand is INSANE.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN: all quality US megawatts will be monetized for AI; hyperscaler deal is inevitable.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tsuff101 @GlobalCollapse @icyopro23 @TheKamaHsutra @PPointpass31044 In this case, it's the same thing.\n\nEvery single quality megawatt in the US will be monetized for AI. The demand is INSANE.\n\nIf you don't understand this yet, you shouldn't comment further because you are out of your depth.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@GlobalCollapse @icyopro23 @mikealfred @TheKamaHsutra @PPointpass31044 There’s a difference between being right about the price action which can be purely hype driven and being right about $IREN will get an hyperscaler deal eventually.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tsuff101", "ret_m1d": 0.0056546789651799045, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0056546789651799045, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009824094856691112, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013293985495124283, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004169415891511208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0076393065299443785, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02762071488489415, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02762071488489415, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029899359161376315, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029670263803682317, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002278644276482167, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002049548918788169, "ret_p1w": 0.2662027359792245, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2662027359792245, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2737821790916487, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2676932513929584, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0075794431124242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001490515413733906, "ret_p1m": 1.0504567141783703, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0504567141783703, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0229086681861423, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.0482863360681736, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027548045992227932, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0021703781101967135, "ret_p3m": 0.838190462908291, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.838190462908291, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8138597991209053, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8722859488625111, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024330663787385687, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03409548595422007, "ret_p6m": 0.8303611244015268, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8303611244015268, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7605082711413591, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8438223913555081, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06985285326016766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01346126695398131, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 1.0504567141783703, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.0229086681861423, "alpha_c_stated": 1.0482863360681736, "price_path": [-0.6259, -0.6351, -0.6203, -0.6133, -0.5898, -0.6107, -0.5759, -0.5502, -0.5437, -0.552, -0.5576, -0.5724, -0.5476, -0.575, -0.5737, -0.5737, -0.5446, -0.5363, -0.498, -0.4837, -0.4298, -0.391, -0.3662, -0.3375, -0.3188, -0.2684, -0.2684, -0.2627, -0.2653, -0.2623, -0.2592, -0.294, -0.2484, -0.2658, -0.2471, -0.2149, -0.2197, -0.2105, -0.1914, -0.174, -0.211, -0.2292, -0.2788, -0.3132, -0.298, -0.2993, -0.3301, -0.2832, -0.2845, -0.2031, -0.1923, -0.1975, -0.2184, -0.2244, -0.2288, -0.1701, -0.1435, -0.0994, -0.1853, -0.1405, -0.1479, -0.0679, 0.0057, 0.0, -0.0276, 0.0022, 0.1518, 0.1518, 0.2662, 0.2271, 0.1366, 0.1375, 0.1392, 0.3132, 0.4628, 0.4289, 0.4772, 0.6155, 0.5855, 0.6485, 0.5798, 0.6807, 0.8225, 0.8169, 1.0505, 1.0135, 0.8208, 0.9978, 1.0413, 1.0478, 1.0452, 1.1949, 1.512, 1.6829, 1.6137, 1.7773, 1.5998, 1.7899, 2.0257, 1.9569, 1.6894, 1.6411, 1.5759, 1.4008, 1.2545, 1.4298, 1.736, 1.8269, 1.7151, 1.6281, 1.5324, 1.6425, 1.9469, 1.8982, 2.3236, 1.9126, 1.7134, 1.6172, 1.4959, 1.4228, 1.1161, 1.017, 1.0622, 1.1248, 0.9935, 0.8908, 0.8382, 1.1092, 1.0648, 1.1074, 1.1074, 1.0796, 1.1092, 0.7886, 0.9121, 1.0204, 0.9448, 1.0157, 1.0374, 0.9104, 0.9113, 0.7455, 0.5433, 0.5916, 0.4693, 0.5572, 0.7364, 0.8286, 0.8299, 0.826, 0.826, 0.7529, 0.7142, 0.6659, 0.6429, 0.6429, 0.8573, 1.0983, 0.997, 0.8976, 0.987, 1.0022, 1.1892, 1.3049, 1.3001, 1.2571, 1.515, 1.515, 1.3602, 1.3262, 1.2732, 1.4654, 1.2775, 1.6094, 1.7377, 1.6029, 1.3375, 1.3088, 1.3658, 0.9548, 0.7308, 0.8195, 1.0074, 0.8673, 0.856, 0.7412, 0.8365, 0.8365, 0.7821, 0.8304]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942930329775562809", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-09T12:54:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When BTC breaks out this time, all bets are off. Everything is going to run.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC breakout imminent; expects everything to run when it does.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lacabra_Capital Doubt it. Miners have been crushing BTC over the last several months. When BTC breaks out this time, all bets are off. Everything is going to run.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m thinking we see BTC close the gap and start to outperform vs proxies briefly, then we see a next leg up in miners\n\nException to this would be deal announcements at AI players of course", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lacabra_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "ret_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "ret_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "ret_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "ret_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "ret_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05542562389827399, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.042301830876356306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.042301830876356306, "price_path": [-0.2508, -0.2406, -0.2484, -0.2452, -0.2374, -0.2414, -0.2139, -0.1607, -0.1583, -0.1561, -0.1492, -0.1468, -0.1531, -0.1538, -0.1332, -0.1295, -0.1489, -0.1305, -0.1284, -0.0726, -0.0751, -0.0765, -0.0643, -0.0699, -0.0681, -0.0704, -0.0514, -0.0407, -0.0148, 0.0031, -0.0363, -0.0169, -0.0209, -0.0317, -0.0511, -0.0658, -0.0489, -0.0529, -0.0592, -0.0876, -0.0623, -0.0093, -0.0096, -0.0237, -0.0485, -0.047, -0.0407, -0.0604, -0.0579, -0.0597, -0.072, -0.0516, -0.0474, -0.0356, -0.0392, -0.0381, -0.0376, -0.0506, -0.0222, -0.0151, -0.0296, -0.0272, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0419, 0.0556, 0.0766, 0.0579, 0.0666, 0.0715, 0.06, 0.0549, 0.0779, 0.0667, 0.0633, 0.0567, 0.0593, 0.0592, 0.0584, 0.0398, 0.0179, 0.0336, 0.0253, 0.0332, 0.0554, 0.0482, 0.0665, 0.0795, 0.1079, 0.0632, 0.0545, 0.0442, 0.0135, 0.0265, 0.0098, 0.0498, -0.0108, 0.0043, -0.0009, 0.0109, -0.0262, -0.0186, -0.0011, 0.0036, -0.0054, -0.0061, 0.0067, 0.0018, 0.0236, 0.0376, 0.0429, 0.037, 0.0496, 0.0462, 0.0522, 0.0392, 0.0128, 0.0062, 0.018, -0.0205, -0.0145, 0.0276, 0.0245, 0.0658, 0.084, 0.0983, 0.1206, 0.0909, 0.108, 0.0932, 0.017, 0.0354, 0.0161, -0.0049, -0.0282, -0.0436, -0.0066, -0.0256, -0.0327, -0.0113, -0.0026, 0.0251, 0.0146, -0.0114, -0.0271, -0.0159, -0.0429, -0.0875, -0.0668, -0.0901, -0.0714, -0.0479, -0.0748, -0.0868, -0.1045, -0.1521, -0.1728, -0.1651, -0.1784, -0.2218, -0.2357, -0.2071, -0.2154, -0.1869, -0.18, -0.1833, -0.2246, -0.1794, -0.1599, -0.1723, -0.1971, -0.1858, -0.1674, -0.1734, -0.169, -0.1891, -0.2237, -0.2109, -0.2262, -0.2323, -0.2086, -0.2051, -0.2148, -0.213, -0.2164, -0.2158, -0.2173, -0.2057, -0.2139, -0.203]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938951054487650316", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-28T13:22:10+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been buying it all week", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively buying NVO this week; ongoing long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ziv_roy Yeah I’ve been buying it all week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred  are you still long $nvo? But some for my sister and just wanted your thoughts on it", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ziv_roy", "ret_m1d": -0.007389123457798741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007389123457798741, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002630695028643437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002630695028643437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011590968218182063, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011590968218182063, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011914582502316806, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011914582502316806, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "ret_p1w": 0.004346584110771268, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004346584110771268, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00023385646210982713, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00023385646210982713, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "ret_p1m": -0.21848735211004822, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21848735211004822, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2466657662582249, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2466657662582249, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "ret_p3m": -0.17891203289256785, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17891203289256785, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24692926315581698, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24692926315581698, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "ret_p6m": -0.2438196355326414, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2438196355326414, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3636801737571316, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3636801737571316, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "ret_p1y": -0.3389672169427318, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3389672169427318, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5483950998490956, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5483950998490956, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21848735211004822, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2466657662582249, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2466657662582249, "price_path": [-0.0113, -0.0278, -0.0937, -0.0779, -0.1075, -0.0569, -0.1132, -0.0622, -0.0429, -0.0656, -0.089, -0.1585, -0.1585, -0.1549, -0.132, -0.1119, -0.0926, -0.1006, -0.0927, -0.0559, -0.0372, -0.0496, 0.003, 0.0014, -0.0396, -0.0213, -0.0604, -0.0471, -0.0185, -0.0524, -0.0668, -0.0416, -0.0674, -0.029, -0.0119, -0.0119, -0.0123, -0.0242, -0.0242, 0.0206, -0.0061, 0.0064, 0.0359, 0.0552, 0.0274, 0.0438, 0.0526, 0.0813, 0.0933, 0.1494, 0.1407, 0.1743, 0.1566, 0.1159, 0.0771, 0.0723, 0.0723, 0.0688, 0.0101, 0.0248, -0.0242, -0.0191, -0.0074, 0.0, 0.0116, 0.0116, 0.0022, 0.0022, 0.0043, 0.009, 0.0097, 0.0288, -0.0013, -0.0012, -0.0261, -0.0287, -0.054, -0.0682, -0.0594, -0.0325, 0.0146, 0.0248, 0.0388, -0.0003, -0.2185, -0.2751, -0.318, -0.3018, -0.2928, -0.3159, -0.3425, -0.2935, -0.2599, -0.2775, -0.2788, -0.2625, -0.2618, -0.2407, -0.2125, -0.1974, -0.2044, -0.1876, -0.1651, -0.1745, -0.1892, -0.1731, -0.1779, -0.1728, -0.1728, -0.1739, -0.1687, -0.1774, -0.1908, -0.2047, -0.2044, -0.2034, -0.2044, -0.1961, -0.1851, -0.1619, -0.1473, -0.0938, -0.1004, -0.1105, -0.1276, -0.1394, -0.1789, -0.1852, -0.1868, -0.187, -0.1331, -0.1394, -0.1263, -0.126, -0.1352, -0.1266, -0.1402, -0.1659, -0.1575, -0.1698, -0.1689, -0.1782, -0.2034, -0.1833, -0.1974, -0.2179, -0.2201, -0.224, -0.2251, -0.2374, -0.2473, -0.2668, -0.2753, -0.2804, -0.293, -0.29, -0.3185, -0.3307, -0.3269, -0.2799, -0.2636, -0.2797, -0.2929, -0.29, -0.3033, -0.2821, -0.3026, -0.3021, -0.3411, -0.3105, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.2769, -0.2904, -0.3051, -0.303, -0.2969, -0.2988, -0.3147, -0.3207, -0.2813, -0.2632, -0.2648, -0.262, -0.2826, -0.3001, -0.3024, -0.2954, -0.2952, -0.2438]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1950248697960464642", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-29T17:34:58+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You only lose if you sell before the end of the game", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implicitly bullish on CIFR; advises holding, suggesting price will recover.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NormetUngu16945 Huh? You only lose if you sell before the end of the game", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred  thanks for lowkey pumping $CIFR  just lost 1k.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NormetUngu16945", "ret_m1d": 0.08450704816550747, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08450704816550747, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08186241081762091, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08454514993090867, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644637347886558, "bench_c_m1d": -3.810176540119947e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04049296232826827, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04049296232826827, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03923359270668436, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.042727026816667846, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012593696215839056, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022340644883995786, "ret_p1w": -0.11795767952562763, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11795767952562763, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10648200899436189, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10292490678000632, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011475670531265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015032772745621314, "ret_p1m": 0.2306337997131085, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2306337997131085, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21273557725640324, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22927061612474686, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01789822245670525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0013631835883616272, "ret_p3m": 2.63732402672538, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.63732402672538, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.56826940200519, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5242290423929887, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06905462472018997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1130949843323914, "ret_p6m": 2.1197182832552164, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.1197182832552164, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.0346017415362665, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.0275662595345443, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08511654171895011, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09215202372067233, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2306337997131085, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21273557725640324, "alpha_c_stated": 0.22927061612474686, "price_path": [-0.4516, -0.4437, -0.4754, -0.4648, -0.4683, -0.4507, -0.4754, -0.4454, -0.3961, -0.4173, -0.4419, -0.3204, -0.3292, -0.3345, -0.3829, -0.3715, -0.3891, -0.3891, -0.3715, -0.4102, -0.4278, -0.4507, -0.4278, -0.3952, -0.3415, -0.3785, -0.3134, -0.2711, -0.2852, -0.2817, -0.3239, -0.3451, -0.3081, -0.3521, -0.3292, -0.3292, -0.3327, -0.3785, -0.3222, -0.3222, -0.2623, -0.25, -0.1585, -0.1373, 0.0, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0194, 0.0616, 0.1021, 0.0986, 0.0335, 0.0616, 0.0511, 0.1039, 0.1303, 0.1197, 0.1004, 0.2218, 0.1761, 0.1708, 0.1391, 0.0845, 0.0, -0.0405, -0.0387, -0.132, -0.0863, -0.118, -0.0827, -0.1426, -0.1637, -0.162, -0.169, -0.1373, -0.0634, -0.0827, 0.0651, 0.0141, 0.0475, 0.0387, 0.1232, 0.169, 0.2535, 0.2306, 0.2359, 0.3451, 0.3451, 0.4648, 0.4278, 0.3028, 0.3239, 0.3592, 0.6232, 0.8046, 0.7553, 0.9102, 0.9102, 1.0264, 1.1796, 1.0863, 1.162, 1.4577, 1.4912, 1.4894, 1.0528, 1.0194, 1.2271, 1.2165, 1.2183, 1.4313, 1.588, 1.7007, 1.7729, 2.0986, 2.1673, 1.9877, 2.581, 2.6778, 2.7025, 2.2958, 2.3028, 2.5053, 2.1822, 1.8363, 2.0379, 2.6373, 2.6162, 2.5141, 2.4489, 2.3574, 2.2835, 3.007, 2.963, 3.3504, 2.8222, 2.6426, 2.4595, 2.287, 2.0599, 1.6285, 1.5282, 1.5264, 1.5669, 1.5739, 1.5634, 1.4912, 1.9419, 2.0845, 2.3715, 2.3715, 2.5827, 2.4665, 2.1056, 2.2799, 2.4912, 2.3944, 2.4296, 2.4437, 2.2535, 2.3239, 2.0018, 1.5951, 1.6391, 1.5335, 1.6673, 1.8539, 1.8768, 1.8011, 1.8556, 1.8556, 1.6743, 1.6549, 1.5687, 1.5986, 1.5986, 1.8521, 2.1972, 2.088, 1.831, 1.9137, 1.9278, 2.1127, 2.213, 2.1919, 2.0845, 2.3099, 2.3099, 2.1549, 2.1197]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1960783974680420507", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T19:18:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They are working overtime to keep everything down but they won't be able to do it forever. I love this setup!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC and ETH; claims large-player manipulation is suppressing prices temporarily but won't last.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Somebody large is absolutely terrified of higher prices. I see huge manipulation signatures in a variety of tokens and equities linked to Bitcoin and Ethereum today. They are working overtime to keep everything down but they won’t be able to do it forever. I love this setup!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005220131122815719, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005220131122815719, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007493594983883023, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007493594983883023, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01189280397942638, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01189280397942638, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008351384411107832, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008351384411107832, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "ret_p1w": 0.004505836578061917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004505836578061917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008975270695327664, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008975270695327664, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "ret_p1m": -0.019535453566148386, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019535453566148386, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04001762412002907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04001762412002907, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "ret_p3m": -0.20635743919961924, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20635743919961924, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24340176821379744, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24340176821379744, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "ret_p6m": -0.3979834402234719, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3979834402234719, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46258886607373517, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46258886607373517, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.019535453566148386, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04001762412002907, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04001762412002907, "price_path": [-0.0649, -0.048, -0.0521, -0.0584, -0.0867, -0.0614, -0.0083, -0.0087, -0.0228, -0.0476, -0.0461, -0.0398, -0.0595, -0.057, -0.0588, -0.0711, -0.0507, -0.0465, -0.0347, -0.0383, -0.0372, -0.0367, -0.0497, -0.0212, -0.0142, -0.0287, -0.0263, -0.0204, 0.0009, 0.0428, 0.0566, 0.0776, 0.0589, 0.0676, 0.0725, 0.061, 0.0559, 0.0789, 0.0677, 0.0642, 0.0577, 0.0603, 0.0602, 0.0594, 0.0408, 0.0189, 0.0346, 0.0262, 0.0342, 0.0564, 0.0492, 0.0675, 0.0805, 0.109, 0.0642, 0.0555, 0.0452, 0.0145, 0.0274, 0.0108, 0.0508, -0.0099, 0.0052, 0.0, 0.0119, -0.0253, -0.0177, -0.0002, 0.0045, -0.0045, -0.0051, 0.0076, 0.0028, 0.0246, 0.0385, 0.0439, 0.038, 0.0505, 0.0472, 0.0532, 0.0402, 0.0137, 0.0071, 0.0189, -0.0195, -0.0136, 0.0286, 0.0255, 0.0668, 0.085, 0.0993, 0.1217, 0.092, 0.1091, 0.0943, 0.0179, 0.0364, 0.0171, -0.0039, -0.0273, -0.0427, -0.0057, -0.0247, -0.0318, -0.0104, -0.0017, 0.026, 0.0156, -0.0105, -0.0262, -0.015, -0.042, -0.0866, -0.0659, -0.0892, -0.0706, -0.047, -0.0739, -0.0859, -0.1036, -0.1513, -0.172, -0.1643, -0.1776, -0.2211, -0.2349, -0.2064, -0.2147, -0.1861, -0.1793, -0.1825, -0.2239, -0.1787, -0.1591, -0.1716, -0.1963, -0.1851, -0.1666, -0.1726, -0.1682, -0.1884, -0.223, -0.2102, -0.2255, -0.2316, -0.2079, -0.2044, -0.2141, -0.2123, -0.2157, -0.2151, -0.2165, -0.2049, -0.2132, -0.2022, -0.1913, -0.1559, -0.1573, -0.179, -0.1816, -0.1862, -0.1801, -0.143, -0.1285, -0.1409, -0.1411, -0.1678, -0.206, -0.1964, -0.1956, -0.1953, -0.2064, -0.1989, -0.1981, -0.2397, -0.2436, -0.2925, -0.32, -0.3435, -0.4362, -0.3656, -0.3695, -0.3815, -0.3977, -0.4046, -0.3809, -0.381, -0.3932, -0.4028, -0.398]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1960783974680420507", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-27T19:18:23+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They are working overtime to keep everything down but they won't be able to do it forever. I love this setup!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC and ETH; claims large-player manipulation is suppressing prices temporarily but won't last.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Somebody large is absolutely terrified of higher prices. I see huge manipulation signatures in a variety of tokens and equities linked to Bitcoin and Ethereum today. They are working overtime to keep everything down but they won’t be able to do it forever. I love this setup!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.021546795932624097, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021546795932624097, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0238202597936914, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0238202597936914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008404036496352241, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008404036496352241, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002701015918683325, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002701015918683325, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "ret_p1w": -0.011769771252123418, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011769771252123418, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007300337134857671, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007300337134857671, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "ret_p1m": -0.14101791086560278, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14101791086560278, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16150008141948347, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16150008141948347, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "ret_p3m": -0.3443358517975108, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3443358517975108, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.381380180811689, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.381380180811689, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "ret_p6m": -0.5673926257209055, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5673926257209055, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6319980515711688, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6319980515711688, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14101791086560278, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16150008141948347, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16150008141948347, "price_path": [-0.4382, -0.4211, -0.4241, -0.4207, -0.4635, -0.4499, -0.4046, -0.3752, -0.3841, -0.4112, -0.4272, -0.4358, -0.4425, -0.4395, -0.4401, -0.4654, -0.4622, -0.4564, -0.4628, -0.4635, -0.4618, -0.4479, -0.4658, -0.429, -0.4247, -0.443, -0.4353, -0.4192, -0.3847, -0.3439, -0.3432, -0.3309, -0.3028, -0.2513, -0.228, -0.2119, -0.1643, -0.1675, -0.194, -0.1766, -0.1723, -0.159, -0.1576, -0.1544, -0.1791, -0.2254, -0.1742, -0.198, -0.182, -0.1308, -0.1096, -0.0614, 0.0194, 0.0562, 0.0099, -0.0141, -0.0424, -0.0955, -0.0375, -0.0622, 0.0728, -0.029, 0.0215, 0.0, 0.0008, -0.0318, -0.042, -0.0395, -0.0118, -0.0454, -0.0436, -0.0434, -0.0432, -0.0343, -0.0094, 0.047, 0.0052, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0192, -0.0072, -0.0667, -0.075, -0.0777, -0.141, -0.1038, -0.0635, -0.0794, -0.0338, -0.0034, 0.0025, 0.0409, -0.0116, 0.0054, -0.0298, -0.1466, -0.0573, -0.0839, -0.1146, -0.1352, -0.149, -0.1161, -0.1391, -0.1544, -0.1438, -0.1263, -0.0851, -0.1157, -0.1332, -0.1552, -0.1457, -0.2001, -0.2689, -0.2394, -0.2645, -0.2372, -0.2076, -0.2416, -0.2421, -0.2822, -0.3108, -0.3284, -0.3065, -0.3287, -0.3712, -0.3859, -0.3443, -0.3432, -0.3277, -0.3306, -0.3267, -0.3782, -0.3343, -0.2913, -0.304, -0.3284, -0.306, -0.2625, -0.2616, -0.2812, -0.3151, -0.3418, -0.3418, -0.3713, -0.3722, -0.3387, -0.3325, -0.342, -0.3459, -0.3552, -0.3503, -0.3484, -0.3402, -0.3412, -0.3337, -0.3062, -0.2836, -0.2681, -0.2968, -0.3107, -0.3154, -0.3133, -0.2623, -0.2551, -0.2634, -0.2682, -0.2924, -0.3481, -0.3385, -0.345, -0.3442, -0.3502, -0.3289, -0.3324, -0.3742, -0.3999, -0.4794, -0.5054, -0.524, -0.5955, -0.5418, -0.5329, -0.5516, -0.5691, -0.5677, -0.5451, -0.5564, -0.5576, -0.5661, -0.5674]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939092355501695228", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-28T22:43:38+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's going to $200+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "PEP headed above $200.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk It’s going to $200+\n\nI know you won’t still own it then but that’s where it’s headed", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$PEP #PEP A thing of beauty. https://t.co/L8sTyqIV0S", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.007573512283372996, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007573512283372996, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0028150838542176926, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0028150838542176926, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02438654015893915, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02438654015893915, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024710154443073895, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024710154443073895, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "ret_p1w": 0.01825197178264326, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01825197178264326, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013671531209762167, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013671531209762167, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "ret_p1m": 0.08974552888201592, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08974552888201592, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.061567114733839245, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.061567114733839245, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "ret_p3m": 0.0700449421437026, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0700449421437026, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0020277118804534755, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0020277118804534755, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "ret_p6m": 0.10954715104724233, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10954715104724233, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010313387177247835, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.010313387177247835, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "ret_p1y": 0.11478261224753616, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.11478261224753616, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.09464527065882766, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.09464527065882766, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08974552888201592, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.061567114733839245, "alpha_c_stated": 0.061567114733839245, "price_path": [0.1171, 0.134, 0.0983, 0.0727, 0.051, 0.0907, 0.0798, 0.082, 0.0993, 0.0701, 0.0495, 0.0701, 0.0701, 0.0617, 0.0747, 0.0657, 0.0136, -0.0008, 0.002, 0.0062, 0.0157, 0.0005, 0.002, -0.0112, -0.0206, -0.0118, -0.0154, -0.0228, -0.0136, -0.0238, -0.0377, -0.0149, -0.0113, -0.0127, -0.0127, -0.025, -0.0252, -0.0311, -0.0311, -0.0159, -0.0211, -0.0118, -0.0153, -0.0193, -0.0123, -0.0131, -0.0178, -0.0152, -0.0158, -0.0016, -0.0162, 0.002, -0.009, -0.0048, -0.0208, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0223, -0.0075, -0.0304, -0.0289, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.0244, 0.0336, 0.0253, 0.0253, 0.0183, 0.0227, 0.0185, 0.0306, 0.0244, 0.0267, 0.0134, 0.0251, 0.1015, 0.0848, 0.0732, 0.106, 0.1032, 0.0944, 0.0864, 0.0722, 0.0897, 0.0819, 0.0445, 0.0548, 0.057, 0.0561, 0.0663, 0.09, 0.0997, 0.0972, 0.1123, 0.1311, 0.1256, 0.139, 0.1326, 0.1524, 0.1415, 0.1283, 0.1333, 0.1224, 0.1133, 0.1181, 0.1131, 0.1258, 0.1258, 0.1381, 0.1257, 0.1125, 0.1195, 0.0837, 0.0944, 0.091, 0.103, 0.0977, 0.0756, 0.0709, 0.0801, 0.0762, 0.0841, 0.0785, 0.0852, 0.0873, 0.07, 0.074, 0.072, 0.074, 0.0947, 0.0883, 0.0858, 0.0684, 0.0767, 0.0618, 0.1067, 0.1477, 0.1386, 0.1589, 0.156, 0.1676, 0.1755, 0.175, 0.1715, 0.1703, 0.1587, 0.159, 0.1672, 0.148, 0.1178, 0.1284, 0.1172, 0.0982, 0.0928, 0.0925, 0.0827, 0.0932, 0.0907, 0.1095, 0.1042, 0.109, 0.1154, 0.1305, 0.1377, 0.125, 0.1173, 0.1191, 0.1127, 0.1174, 0.1317, 0.1317, 0.1375, 0.1434, 0.1365, 0.1323, 0.1235, 0.1199, 0.1246, 0.117, 0.156, 0.1509, 0.1634, 0.1678, 0.1612, 0.159, 0.1535, 0.1441, 0.1356, 0.1095]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1956750905719800152", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-16T16:12:25+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you don't think IREN can be a $100B+ company in the coming years, you're either not paying attention or you don't understand what's happening in AI and Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish IREN to $100B+ market cap driven by AI and Bitcoin tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you don’t think IREN can be a $100B+ company in the coming years, you’re either not paying attention or you don’t understand what’s happening in AI and Bitcoin. Sometimes the truth is hard.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049239610085650254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04826000594627433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007619401241683033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08996240987754867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09729238283667951, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019047765219137869, "ret_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11792878941980023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10216233950245357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01447619826263491, "ret_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7402538526232394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02019052782837627, "ret_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3021018720927608, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3372091292186796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01246494492499628, "ret_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9913515649039579, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0464777394280709, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02693450222199334, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.5706, -0.5518, -0.5595, -0.5595, -0.5537, -0.5721, -0.5846, -0.5948, -0.5784, -0.5706, -0.5446, -0.5677, -0.5291, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5025, -0.5088, -0.5252, -0.4977, -0.5281, -0.5267, -0.5267, -0.4943, -0.4851, -0.4426, -0.4267, -0.3668, -0.3238, -0.2963, -0.2644, -0.2437, -0.1876, -0.1876, -0.1814, -0.1843, -0.1809, -0.1775, -0.2161, -0.1654, -0.1847, -0.164, -0.1282, -0.1335, -0.1234, -0.1021, -0.0828, -0.1239, -0.1442, -0.1992, -0.2374, -0.2205, -0.2219, -0.2562, -0.2041, -0.2055, -0.1152, -0.1031, -0.1089, -0.1321, -0.1389, -0.1437, -0.0785, -0.049, 0.0, -0.0954, -0.0456, -0.0539, 0.035, 0.1166, 0.1104, 0.0797, 0.1128, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.4059, 0.3625, 0.262, 0.263, 0.2649, 0.4581, 0.6242, 0.5866, 0.6402, 0.7938, 0.7604, 0.8305, 0.7542, 0.8662, 1.0237, 1.0174, 1.2767, 1.2357, 1.0217, 1.2183, 1.2666, 1.2738, 1.2709, 1.4371, 1.7892, 1.979, 1.9022, 2.0838, 1.8867, 2.0978, 2.3596, 2.2833, 1.9862, 1.9326, 1.8602, 1.6658, 1.5033, 1.6979, 2.0379, 2.1389, 2.0147, 1.9181, 1.8119, 1.9341, 2.2722, 2.2181, 2.6904, 2.234, 2.0128, 1.9061, 1.7713, 1.6902, 1.3497, 1.2396, 1.2898, 1.3593, 1.2135, 1.0995, 1.0411, 1.3419, 1.2927, 1.34, 1.34, 1.3091, 1.3419, 0.986, 1.1232, 1.2434, 1.1594, 1.2381, 1.2623, 1.1212, 1.1222, 0.9382, 0.7136, 0.7672, 0.6315, 0.7291, 0.928, 1.0304, 1.0319, 1.0275, 1.0275, 0.9464, 0.9034, 0.8498, 0.8242, 0.8242, 1.0623, 1.3299, 1.2173, 1.107, 1.2062, 1.2231, 1.4308, 1.5593, 1.554, 1.5062, 1.7926, 1.7926, 1.6206, 1.583, 1.524, 1.7375, 1.5289, 1.8974, 2.0398, 1.8901, 1.5955, 1.5636, 1.6269, 1.1705, 0.9218, 1.0203, 1.2289, 1.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944987998841381366", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-15T05:10:49+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$146,000 INBOUND", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC with $146,000 target; dismisses the bear move as temporary.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@fjturco THEY ALREADY BACKED AWAY FROM THE WALL\n\nTHIS IS OUR CASTLE\n\n$146,000 INBOUND", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Bears taking back the castle for the moment.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "fjturco", "ret_m1d": 0.017596918970407494, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017596918970407494, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013305368073447177, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013305368073447177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00816219450392297, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00816219450392297, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004818921119384534, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004818921119384534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "ret_p1w": 0.018834093508133698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018834093508133698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0080326571652789, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0080326571652789, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "ret_p1m": 0.04726615669948808, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04726615669948808, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.010698849876066063, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.010698849876066063, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "ret_p3m": -0.03874112134406338, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03874112134406338, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09128620990633873, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09128620990633873, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "ret_p6m": -0.22473904645158893, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22473904645158893, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3394962978235908, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3394962978235908, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04726615669948808, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.010698849876066063, "alpha_c_stated": 0.010698849876066063, "price_path": [-0.2792, -0.283, -0.2569, -0.2066, -0.2044, -0.2024, -0.1958, -0.1936, -0.1995, -0.2001, -0.1807, -0.1772, -0.1955, -0.1781, -0.1761, -0.1234, -0.1257, -0.1271, -0.1155, -0.1209, -0.1191, -0.1213, -0.1033, -0.0933, -0.0688, -0.0518, -0.0891, -0.0708, -0.0746, -0.0847, -0.103, -0.117, -0.101, -0.1048, -0.1108, -0.1376, -0.1137, -0.0635, -0.0638, -0.0772, -0.1006, -0.0992, -0.0932, -0.1119, -0.1095, -0.1112, -0.1228, -0.1036, -0.0996, -0.0884, -0.0918, -0.0908, -0.0904, -0.1026, -0.0757, -0.069, -0.0827, -0.0805, -0.0749, -0.0548, -0.0152, -0.0022, 0.0176, 0.0, 0.0082, 0.0128, 0.0019, -0.0029, 0.0188, 0.0083, 0.005, -0.0012, 0.0013, 0.0012, 0.0005, -0.0171, -0.0378, -0.023, -0.0309, -0.0233, -0.0024, -0.0092, 0.0081, 0.0203, 0.0473, 0.0049, -0.0032, -0.0129, -0.042, -0.0297, -0.0455, -0.0077, -0.065, -0.0507, -0.0557, -0.0444, -0.0795, -0.0724, -0.0558, -0.0514, -0.0599, -0.0605, -0.0484, -0.053, -0.0324, -0.0193, -0.0142, -0.0198, -0.0079, -0.0111, -0.0054, -0.0177, -0.0427, -0.0489, -0.0378, -0.0741, -0.0685, -0.0287, -0.0316, 0.0074, 0.0247, 0.0381, 0.0592, 0.0312, 0.0474, 0.0334, -0.0387, -0.0213, -0.0396, -0.0594, -0.0814, -0.096, -0.061, -0.079, -0.0857, -0.0654, -0.0573, -0.0311, -0.0409, -0.0656, -0.0804, -0.0698, -0.0953, -0.1374, -0.1179, -0.1399, -0.1223, -0.1, -0.1255, -0.1368, -0.1535, -0.1985, -0.2181, -0.2108, -0.2234, -0.2644, -0.2775, -0.2505, -0.2584, -0.2314, -0.2249, -0.228, -0.2671, -0.2244, -0.2059, -0.2177, -0.241, -0.2304, -0.213, -0.2187, -0.2145, -0.2335, -0.2662, -0.2542, -0.2686, -0.2744, -0.2519, -0.2487, -0.2578, -0.2561, -0.2593, -0.2588, -0.2601, -0.2492, -0.257, -0.2466, -0.2363, -0.2029, -0.2042, -0.2247]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1940872435462721849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-03T20:37:02+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is bubbling up like a volcano. When it erupts, not all the villagers will be able to evacuate from fiat in time to be saved.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; urges buying before a volcanic price eruption leaves fiat holders behind.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is bubbling up like a volcano. When it erupts, not all the villagers will be able to evacuate from fiat in time to be saved. Please save your family first before attempting to save others. This is your final warning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007192620189853338, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007192620189853338, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014700540925427275, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014700540925427275, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014716556343200904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014716556343200904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014168821048188396, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014168821048188396, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "ret_p1w": 0.057814350626767874, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057814350626767874, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05116039584669618, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05116039584669618, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "ret_p1m": 0.03348998759595778, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03348998759595778, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02174484865970361, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02174484865970361, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "ret_p3m": 0.040202377765606645, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.040202377765606645, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04099130139493945, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04099130139493945, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "ret_p6m": -0.20380263800182696, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20380263800182696, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31701770399354, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31701770399354, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "ret_p1y": -0.41675070098264044, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41675070098264044, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6111898703498705, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6111898703498705, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03348998759595778, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02174484865970361, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02174484865970361, "price_path": [-0.2774, -0.3044, -0.2469, -0.2738, -0.2393, -0.229, -0.2369, -0.2336, -0.2257, -0.2298, -0.2018, -0.1478, -0.1455, -0.1432, -0.1361, -0.1338, -0.1401, -0.1408, -0.12, -0.1162, -0.1359, -0.1172, -0.1151, -0.0584, -0.0609, -0.0623, -0.05, -0.0557, -0.0538, -0.0562, -0.0369, -0.0261, 0.0003, 0.0185, -0.0215, -0.0019, -0.006, -0.0168, -0.0365, -0.0515, -0.0344, -0.0384, -0.0448, -0.0736, -0.048, 0.0059, 0.0056, -0.0088, -0.0339, -0.0324, -0.026, -0.046, -0.0435, -0.0453, -0.0578, -0.0371, -0.0329, -0.0209, -0.0245, -0.0233, -0.0229, -0.036, -0.0072, 0.0, -0.0147, -0.0123, -0.0064, 0.0153, 0.0578, 0.0718, 0.093, 0.0741, 0.0829, 0.0879, 0.0762, 0.0711, 0.0944, 0.0831, 0.0795, 0.0729, 0.0755, 0.0755, 0.0746, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0495, 0.041, 0.0491, 0.0716, 0.0642, 0.0828, 0.096, 0.1249, 0.0795, 0.0707, 0.0602, 0.029, 0.0422, 0.0253, 0.0659, 0.0043, 0.0197, 0.0144, 0.0264, -0.0113, -0.0036, 0.0142, 0.0189, 0.0098, 0.0091, 0.0221, 0.0172, 0.0393, 0.0534, 0.0589, 0.0529, 0.0656, 0.0622, 0.0683, 0.0551, 0.0283, 0.0216, 0.0336, -0.0055, 0.0006, 0.0433, 0.0402, 0.0821, 0.1006, 0.1151, 0.1378, 0.1076, 0.125, 0.11, 0.0325, 0.0513, 0.0317, 0.0104, -0.0133, -0.029, 0.0086, -0.0107, -0.0179, 0.0038, 0.0126, 0.0408, 0.0302, 0.0037, -0.0122, -0.0008, -0.0283, -0.0735, -0.0525, -0.0761, -0.0572, -0.0333, -0.0607, -0.0728, -0.0907, -0.1391, -0.1601, -0.1523, -0.1658, -0.2099, -0.224, -0.195, -0.2034, -0.1745, -0.1675, -0.1708, -0.2127, -0.1669, -0.147, -0.1597, -0.1848, -0.1734, -0.1546, -0.1608, -0.1563, -0.1767, -0.2118, -0.1989, -0.2144, -0.2206, -0.1965, -0.193, -0.2028, -0.201, -0.2044, -0.2038]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1949698098441154627", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-28T05:07:04+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The options market always incorrectly prices the 6-12 month outcomes in a Bitcoin bull market. Always.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Options market underprices BTC upside in bull markets; implied bullish on BTC reaching $200k within 6-12 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoeCarlasare The options market always incorrectly prices the 6-12 month outcomes in a Bitcoin bull market. Always.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The bitcoin options market is pricing in less than a 10% chance of 200k before end of year. \n\nIs it mispriced?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoeCarlasare", "ret_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "ret_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "ret_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "ret_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "ret_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1817, -0.1782, -0.1965, -0.1791, -0.1772, -0.1245, -0.1268, -0.1281, -0.1166, -0.122, -0.1202, -0.1224, -0.1045, -0.0944, -0.0699, -0.053, -0.0902, -0.0719, -0.0757, -0.0858, -0.1042, -0.1181, -0.1021, -0.1059, -0.1119, -0.1386, -0.1148, -0.0647, -0.065, -0.0783, -0.1017, -0.1003, -0.0944, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1123, -0.1239, -0.1047, -0.1007, -0.0896, -0.093, -0.0919, -0.0915, -0.1037, -0.0769, -0.0702, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0761, -0.056, -0.0164, -0.0035, 0.0163, -0.0012, 0.0069, 0.0116, 0.0007, -0.0041, 0.0176, 0.007, 0.0038, -0.0024, 0.0, -0.0, -0.0008, -0.0184, -0.039, -0.0242, -0.0321, -0.0246, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0068, 0.0191, 0.046, 0.0037, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0089, -0.0661, -0.0519, -0.0568, -0.0456, -0.0807, -0.0736, -0.057, -0.0526, -0.0611, -0.0617, -0.0496, -0.0542, -0.0337, -0.0205, -0.0155, -0.021, -0.0092, -0.0123, -0.0067, -0.019, -0.0439, -0.0501, -0.039, -0.0753, -0.0696, -0.0299, -0.0328, 0.0061, 0.0234, 0.0368, 0.0579, 0.0299, 0.046, 0.0321, -0.0399, -0.0225, -0.0408, -0.0606, -0.0826, -0.0972, -0.0622, -0.0801, -0.0868, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0323, -0.0421, -0.0667, -0.0816, -0.071, -0.0965, -0.1385, -0.119, -0.141, -0.1234, -0.1011, -0.1266, -0.1379, -0.1546, -0.1995, -0.219, -0.2118, -0.2244, -0.2654, -0.2784, -0.2515, -0.2593, -0.2324, -0.2259, -0.229, -0.268, -0.2253, -0.2069, -0.2186, -0.242, -0.2314, -0.214, -0.2197, -0.2155, -0.2345, -0.2672, -0.2551, -0.2695, -0.2753, -0.2529, -0.2496, -0.2587, -0.2571, -0.2602, -0.2597, -0.2611, -0.2501, -0.2579, -0.2476, -0.2373, -0.2039, -0.2052, -0.2257, -0.2281, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.1917, -0.178, -0.1897, -0.1899, -0.2151, -0.2511]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938330470816878919", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-26T20:16:11+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR are even more mispriced because of existing mining EBITDA and larger AI portfolio optionality", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IREN and CIFR are mispriced to the upside vs CORZ on mining EBITDA and AI optionality.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson IREN and CIFR are even more mispriced because of existing mining EBITDA and larger AI portfolio optionality", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨Roth says $CRWV can pay up to $38/share for $CORZ in all-stock deal without it being dilutive 🚨\n\nThis re-rating needs a re-rate\n\n$IREN $CIFR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.06357145309448242, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06357145309448242, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05862769299465387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06068348336308427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028879697313981545, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.040714263916015625, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.040714263916015625, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03593308458721722, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.032435432269487974, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008278831646527651, "ret_p1w": 0.20142854963030143, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20142854963030143, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18446665836231402, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17736228437012125, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024066265260180186, "ret_p1m": 0.1842857088361467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1842857088361467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14845922948661427, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1625298342778989, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02175587455824779, "ret_p3m": 2.367142813546317, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.367142813546317, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.289045434087414, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.331592466279163, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03555034726715389, "ret_p6m": 2.002857208251953, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.002857208251953, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8827618034469085, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.9305411663151213, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07231604193683183, "ret_p1y": 3.2271428789411276, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.2271428789411276, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.996565209389957, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.1682137823608, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "bench_c_p1y": 0.058929096580327966, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1842857088361467, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14845922948661427, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1625298342778989, "price_path": [-0.5257, -0.5171, -0.5686, -0.5757, -0.58, -0.6214, -0.5786, -0.6079, -0.5979, -0.5893, -0.6107, -0.6093, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.6064, -0.5671, -0.5643, -0.55, -0.5329, -0.5436, -0.5521, -0.5636, -0.545, -0.5336, -0.5579, -0.5357, -0.5307, -0.5079, -0.4971, -0.4636, -0.42, -0.4307, -0.4464, -0.3993, -0.39, -0.385, -0.365, -0.3371, -0.3486, -0.3486, -0.34, -0.3671, -0.3857, -0.4007, -0.3764, -0.365, -0.3264, -0.3607, -0.3036, -0.2614, -0.2507, -0.2643, -0.2736, -0.2979, -0.2571, -0.3021, -0.3, -0.3, -0.2521, -0.2386, -0.1757, -0.1521, -0.0636, 0.0, 0.0407, 0.0879, 0.1186, 0.2014, 0.2014, 0.2107, 0.2064, 0.2114, 0.2164, 0.1593, 0.2343, 0.2057, 0.2364, 0.2893, 0.2814, 0.2964, 0.3279, 0.3564, 0.2957, 0.2657, 0.1843, 0.1279, 0.1529, 0.1507, 0.1, 0.1771, 0.175, 0.3086, 0.3264, 0.3179, 0.2836, 0.2736, 0.2664, 0.3629, 0.4064, 0.4789, 0.3379, 0.4114, 0.3993, 0.5307, 0.6514, 0.6421, 0.5968, 0.6457, 0.8914, 0.8914, 1.0793, 1.015, 0.8664, 0.8679, 0.8707, 1.1564, 1.4021, 1.3464, 1.4257, 1.6529, 1.6036, 1.7071, 1.5943, 1.76, 1.9929, 1.9836, 2.3671, 2.3064, 1.99, 2.2807, 2.3521, 2.3629, 2.3586, 2.6043, 3.125, 3.4057, 3.2921, 3.5607, 3.2693, 3.5814, 3.9686, 3.8557, 3.4164, 3.3371, 3.23, 2.9425, 2.7021, 2.99, 3.4929, 3.6421, 3.4586, 3.3157, 3.1586, 3.3393, 3.8393, 3.7593, 4.4579, 3.7829, 3.4557, 3.2979, 3.0986, 2.9786, 2.475, 2.3121, 2.3864, 2.4893, 2.2736, 2.105, 2.0186, 2.4636, 2.3907, 2.4607, 2.4607, 2.415, 2.4636, 1.9371, 2.14, 2.3179, 2.1936, 2.31, 2.3457, 2.1371, 2.1386, 1.8664, 1.5343, 1.6136, 1.4129, 1.5571, 1.8514, 2.0029]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938330470816878919", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-26T20:16:11+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR are even more mispriced because of existing mining EBITDA and larger AI portfolio optionality", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IREN and CIFR are mispriced to the upside vs CORZ on mining EBITDA and AI optionality.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson IREN and CIFR are even more mispriced because of existing mining EBITDA and larger AI portfolio optionality", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨Roth says $CRWV can pay up to $38/share for $CORZ in all-stock deal without it being dilutive 🚨\n\nThis re-rating needs a re-rate\n\n$IREN $CIFR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.01643196429586824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01643196429586824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011488204196039686, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017628331020835275, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0011963667249670351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12206571666382349, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12206571666382349, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11728453733502509, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11225598662224079, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009809730041582698, "ret_p1w": 0.42018776189663876, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.42018776189663876, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.40322587062865134, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3955038519066738, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024683909989964947, "ret_p1m": 0.44600927616123265, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.44600927616123265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4101827968117002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3929328967184085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05307637944282417, "ret_p3m": 2.319248728546247, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.319248728546247, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.241151349087344, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.2072821619774516, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11196656656879522, "ret_p6m": 2.835680580908516, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.835680580908516, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.7155851761034713, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.6747201698266574, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16096041108185832, "ret_p1y": 5.152581614145183, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.152581614145183, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.922003944594012, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.659618212727599, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "bench_c_p1y": 0.49296340141758366, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.44600927616123265, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4101827968117002, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3929328967184085, "price_path": [-0.4225, -0.3779, -0.4577, -0.507, -0.4765, -0.5047, -0.4225, -0.4789, -0.4319, -0.4272, -0.4554, -0.4542, -0.4437, -0.4437, -0.4507, -0.3568, -0.3286, -0.2958, -0.277, -0.2817, -0.277, -0.331, -0.2688, -0.2582, -0.3005, -0.2864, -0.2911, -0.2676, -0.3005, -0.2606, -0.1948, -0.223, -0.2559, -0.0939, -0.1056, -0.1127, -0.1772, -0.162, -0.1854, -0.1854, -0.162, -0.2136, -0.2371, -0.2676, -0.2371, -0.1937, -0.1221, -0.1714, -0.0845, -0.0282, -0.0469, -0.0423, -0.0986, -0.1268, -0.0775, -0.1362, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.1103, -0.1714, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.0164, 0.0, 0.1221, 0.1502, 0.3333, 0.4202, 0.4202, 0.3592, 0.4155, 0.4695, 0.4648, 0.3779, 0.4155, 0.4014, 0.4718, 0.507, 0.493, 0.4671, 0.6291, 0.5681, 0.561, 0.5188, 0.446, 0.3333, 0.2793, 0.2817, 0.1573, 0.2183, 0.1761, 0.223, 0.1432, 0.115, 0.1174, 0.108, 0.1502, 0.2488, 0.223, 0.4202, 0.3521, 0.3967, 0.385, 0.4977, 0.5587, 0.6714, 0.6408, 0.6479, 0.7934, 0.7934, 0.9531, 0.9038, 0.7371, 0.7653, 0.8122, 1.1643, 1.4061, 1.3404, 1.5469, 1.5469, 1.7019, 1.9061, 1.7817, 1.8826, 2.277, 2.3216, 2.3192, 1.7371, 1.6925, 1.9695, 1.9554, 1.9577, 2.2418, 2.4507, 2.6009, 2.6972, 3.1315, 3.223, 2.9836, 3.7746, 3.9038, 3.9366, 3.3944, 3.4038, 3.6737, 3.243, 2.7817, 3.0505, 3.8498, 3.8216, 3.6854, 3.5986, 3.4765, 3.3779, 4.3427, 4.284, 4.8005, 4.0962, 3.8568, 3.6127, 3.3826, 3.0798, 2.5047, 2.3709, 2.3685, 2.4225, 2.4319, 2.4178, 2.3216, 2.9225, 3.1127, 3.4953, 3.4953, 3.777, 3.6221, 3.1408, 3.3732, 3.6549, 3.5258, 3.5728, 3.5915, 3.338, 3.4319, 3.0023, 2.4601, 2.5188, 2.3779, 2.5563, 2.8052, 2.8357]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1959078472909037627", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-23T02:21:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bull market has barely started", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses parent's BTC bull cycle thesis; claims the bull market has barely started, implying significant upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TechDev_52 The bull market has barely started", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Every Bitcoin top was marked exactly by a red bar top.\n\nWe're not even out of green. https://t.co/CgI8A4aMAZ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TechDev_52", "ret_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "ret_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "ret_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "ret_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "ret_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "price_path": [-0.0211, -0.0407, -0.0556, -0.0385, -0.0426, -0.049, -0.0776, -0.0521, 0.0015, 0.0012, -0.0131, -0.0381, -0.0366, -0.0302, -0.0502, -0.0476, -0.0494, -0.0619, -0.0413, -0.037, -0.0251, -0.0287, -0.0276, -0.0271, -0.0402, -0.0115, -0.0043, -0.019, -0.0166, -0.0107, 0.0109, 0.0532, 0.0671, 0.0883, 0.0695, 0.0782, 0.0832, 0.0715, 0.0664, 0.0896, 0.0784, 0.0749, 0.0682, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.07, 0.0512, 0.029, 0.0449, 0.0365, 0.0445, 0.0669, 0.0596, 0.0782, 0.0912, 0.12, 0.0748, 0.0661, 0.0556, 0.0246, 0.0377, 0.0208, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.01, 0.022, -0.0156, -0.0079, 0.0098, 0.0145, 0.0054, 0.0048, 0.0177, 0.0128, 0.0348, 0.0489, 0.0543, 0.0483, 0.061, 0.0576, 0.0637, 0.0505, 0.0238, 0.0172, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0037, 0.0388, 0.0357, 0.0774, 0.0959, 0.1103, 0.1328, 0.1029, 0.1201, 0.1052, 0.0281, 0.0467, 0.0272, 0.006, -0.0176, -0.0332, 0.0042, -0.015, -0.0221, -0.0005, 0.0083, 0.0363, 0.0257, -0.0006, -0.0165, -0.0052, -0.0325, -0.0775, -0.0566, -0.0801, -0.0613, -0.0375, -0.0647, -0.0768, -0.0947, -0.1428, -0.1637, -0.156, -0.1694, -0.2133, -0.2273, -0.1984, -0.2069, -0.178, -0.1711, -0.1744, -0.2161, -0.1705, -0.1507, -0.1633, -0.1883, -0.1769, -0.1583, -0.1644, -0.1599, -0.1803, -0.2153, -0.2023, -0.2178, -0.2239, -0.2, -0.1965, -0.2062, -0.2044, -0.2079, -0.2072, -0.2087, -0.197, -0.2054, -0.1943, -0.1832, -0.1475, -0.1489, -0.1709, -0.1734, -0.1781, -0.1719, -0.1344, -0.1198, -0.1323, -0.1326, -0.1596, -0.1981, -0.1884, -0.1876, -0.1872, -0.1985, -0.1909, -0.1901, -0.2321, -0.2361, -0.2855, -0.3132, -0.3369, -0.4306, -0.3593, -0.3633, -0.3753, -0.3917, -0.3987, -0.3747, -0.3749, -0.3871]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1943411811094794579", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-10T20:47:37+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WE ARE IN A RAGING BULL MARKET FOR BITCOIN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Emphatically bullish Bitcoin; claims we are in a raging bull market.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick and friendly reminder:\n\nWE ARE IN A RAGING BULL MARKET FOR BITCOIN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04371034574778376, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04371034574778376, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011281107646610167, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011281107646610167, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "ret_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02212412276201281, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02212412276201281, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "ret_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013675194002670477, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013675194002670477, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "ret_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03524146266319095, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03524146266319095, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "ret_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33364119893785016, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33364119893785016, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013675194002670477, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013675194002670477, "price_path": [-0.2711, -0.2786, -0.2755, -0.2681, -0.2719, -0.2454, -0.1944, -0.1922, -0.1901, -0.1834, -0.1811, -0.1871, -0.1878, -0.1681, -0.1645, -0.1831, -0.1654, -0.1634, -0.1099, -0.1122, -0.1136, -0.1019, -0.1073, -0.1056, -0.1078, -0.0895, -0.0793, -0.0544, -0.0372, -0.075, -0.0564, -0.0603, -0.0706, -0.0892, -0.1034, -0.0871, -0.091, -0.097, -0.1242, -0.1, -0.0491, -0.0494, -0.0629, -0.0867, -0.0853, -0.0792, -0.0982, -0.0957, -0.0974, -0.1093, -0.0897, -0.0857, -0.0744, -0.0778, -0.0767, -0.0763, -0.0887, -0.0615, -0.0547, -0.0686, -0.0663, -0.0607, -0.0402, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0333, 0.0154, 0.0237, 0.0285, 0.0174, 0.0125, 0.0346, 0.0239, 0.0205, 0.0142, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0159, -0.002, -0.023, -0.0079, -0.0159, -0.0083, 0.013, 0.006, 0.0237, 0.0361, 0.0634, 0.0205, 0.0122, 0.0023, -0.0272, -0.0148, -0.0308, 0.0076, -0.0505, -0.0361, -0.0411, -0.0297, -0.0653, -0.0581, -0.0413, -0.0368, -0.0454, -0.046, -0.0338, -0.0384, -0.0175, -0.0041, 0.001, -0.0047, 0.0074, 0.0041, 0.0099, -0.0026, -0.0279, -0.0343, -0.0229, -0.0598, -0.0541, -0.0137, -0.0166, 0.0229, 0.0405, 0.0541, 0.0756, 0.0471, 0.0635, 0.0493, -0.0239, -0.0062, -0.0247, -0.0449, -0.0673, -0.0821, -0.0465, -0.0648, -0.0715, -0.051, -0.0427, -0.0161, -0.0261, -0.0511, -0.0662, -0.0554, -0.0814, -0.1241, -0.1043, -0.1266, -0.1088, -0.0861, -0.112, -0.1235, -0.1404, -0.1861, -0.206, -0.1986, -0.2114, -0.2531, -0.2664, -0.239, -0.247, -0.2196, -0.213, -0.2161, -0.2558, -0.2124, -0.1936, -0.2056, -0.2293, -0.2185, -0.2008, -0.2066, -0.2024, -0.2217, -0.2549, -0.2426, -0.2573, -0.2632, -0.2404, -0.2371, -0.2463, -0.2446, -0.2479, -0.2473, -0.2487, -0.2376, -0.2455, -0.235, -0.2245]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944061193989034173", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-12T15:48:02+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The best exit for the fiat Ponzi is Bitcoin. Not sure why so many people haven't figured this out yet.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Bitcoin as the best escape from fiat currency debasement.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@tunguz The best exit for the fiat Ponzi is Bitcoin. Not sure why so many people haven’t figured this out yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Before you commit yourself to any big endeavor, figure out where all the exits are.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tunguz", "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939054318122082349", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-28T20:12:29+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Release the beast", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish breakout thesis on IREN as it shifts from ranging to trending.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nanotitan28 Release the beast", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN looks ready to switch from a ranging to a trending era.\n\nWeekly BBs have only  looked this expansionary a couple times in history (see arrows).\n\nWeekly Fibonacci SMA bullish alignment has also only happened a couple times in its history - 8 (green) over 13 (yellow) over 21 https://t.co/efvufkLZf8", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nanotitan28", "ret_m1d": -0.03912146237221292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03912146237221292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03436303394305762, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030910607014862812, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00821085535735011, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045298549158279355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045298549158279355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0456221634424141, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039761103922280494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005537445235998861, "ret_p1w": 0.16334942470593838, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16334942470593838, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1587689841330573, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15743006373831792, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005919360967620468, "ret_p1m": 0.08373371946343933, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08373371946343933, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05555530531526265, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07552293807775912, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00821078138568021, "ret_p3m": 2.1770763133214888, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.1770763133214888, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1090590830582396, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.152710858949397, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02436545437209192, "ret_p6m": 1.8874399846260106, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.8874399846260106, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.7675794464015204, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.821813872508186, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06562611211782454, "ret_p1y": 2.9883323148588876, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.9883323148588876, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.778904431952524, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.943895017721569, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04443729713731859, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08373371946343933, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05555530531526265, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07552293807775912, "price_path": [-0.536, -0.5854, -0.5923, -0.5964, -0.6362, -0.5951, -0.6232, -0.6136, -0.6054, -0.6259, -0.6246, -0.6163, -0.6163, -0.6218, -0.5841, -0.5813, -0.5676, -0.5511, -0.5614, -0.5697, -0.5806, -0.5628, -0.5518, -0.5752, -0.5539, -0.5491, -0.5271, -0.5168, -0.4846, -0.4427, -0.453, -0.4681, -0.4228, -0.4139, -0.4091, -0.3898, -0.3631, -0.3741, -0.3741, -0.3658, -0.3919, -0.4097, -0.4242, -0.4008, -0.3898, -0.3528, -0.3857, -0.3308, -0.2903, -0.28, -0.2931, -0.302, -0.3253, -0.2862, -0.3294, -0.3274, -0.3274, -0.2814, -0.2684, -0.208, -0.1853, -0.1002, -0.0391, 0.0, 0.0453, 0.0748, 0.1544, 0.1544, 0.1633, 0.1592, 0.164, 0.1688, 0.1139, 0.186, 0.1585, 0.1881, 0.2388, 0.2313, 0.2457, 0.2759, 0.3034, 0.245, 0.2162, 0.138, 0.0837, 0.1078, 0.1057, 0.057, 0.1311, 0.129, 0.2574, 0.2745, 0.2663, 0.2334, 0.2237, 0.2169, 0.3095, 0.3514, 0.4211, 0.2855, 0.3562, 0.3445, 0.4708, 0.5868, 0.5779, 0.5343, 0.5813, 0.8174, 0.8174, 0.9979, 0.9362, 0.7934, 0.7948, 0.7975, 1.0721, 1.3082, 1.2546, 1.3308, 1.5491, 1.5017, 1.6012, 1.4928, 1.652, 1.8758, 1.8668, 2.2354, 2.1771, 1.873, 2.1524, 2.221, 2.2313, 2.2272, 2.4633, 2.9636, 3.2334, 3.1242, 3.3823, 3.1023, 3.4022, 3.7742, 3.6658, 3.2437, 3.1675, 3.0645, 2.7883, 2.5573, 2.8339, 3.3171, 3.4605, 3.2841, 3.1469, 2.9959, 3.1695, 3.65, 3.5731, 4.2443, 3.5957, 3.2814, 3.1297, 2.9382, 2.8229, 2.3391, 2.1826, 2.2539, 2.3528, 2.1455, 1.9835, 1.9005, 2.3281, 2.2581, 2.3253, 2.3253, 2.2814, 2.3281, 1.8222, 2.0172, 2.1881, 2.0686, 2.1805, 2.2148, 2.0144, 2.0158, 1.7543, 1.4351, 1.5113, 1.3185, 1.4571, 1.7399, 1.8854, 1.8874]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1956816578626175340", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-16T20:33:22+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is not passive investment. This is an active bet on the future of AI and Bitcoin at the energy infrastructure layer. Watch how the pros approach this.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; Fidelity's massive share accumulation framed as a conviction bet on AI/Bitcoin energy infrastructure.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fidelity increased their ownership in IREN from 26,000 shares to 8,670,000 shares in a SINGLE quarter. This is not passive investment. This is an active bet on the future of AI and Bitcoin at the energy infrastructure layer. Watch how the pros approach this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049239610085650254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04826000594627433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007619401241683033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08996240987754867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09729238283667951, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019047765219137869, "ret_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11792878941980023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10216233950245357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01447619826263491, "ret_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7402538526232394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02019052782837627, "ret_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3021018720927608, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3372091292186796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01246494492499628, "ret_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9913515649039579, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0464777394280709, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02693450222199334, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7402538526232394, "price_path": [-0.5706, -0.5518, -0.5595, -0.5595, -0.5537, -0.5721, -0.5846, -0.5948, -0.5784, -0.5706, -0.5446, -0.5677, -0.5291, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5025, -0.5088, -0.5252, -0.4977, -0.5281, -0.5267, -0.5267, -0.4943, -0.4851, -0.4426, -0.4267, -0.3668, -0.3238, -0.2963, -0.2644, -0.2437, -0.1876, -0.1876, -0.1814, -0.1843, -0.1809, -0.1775, -0.2161, -0.1654, -0.1847, -0.164, -0.1282, -0.1335, -0.1234, -0.1021, -0.0828, -0.1239, -0.1442, -0.1992, -0.2374, -0.2205, -0.2219, -0.2562, -0.2041, -0.2055, -0.1152, -0.1031, -0.1089, -0.1321, -0.1389, -0.1437, -0.0785, -0.049, 0.0, -0.0954, -0.0456, -0.0539, 0.035, 0.1166, 0.1104, 0.0797, 0.1128, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.4059, 0.3625, 0.262, 0.263, 0.2649, 0.4581, 0.6242, 0.5866, 0.6402, 0.7938, 0.7604, 0.8305, 0.7542, 0.8662, 1.0237, 1.0174, 1.2767, 1.2357, 1.0217, 1.2183, 1.2666, 1.2738, 1.2709, 1.4371, 1.7892, 1.979, 1.9022, 2.0838, 1.8867, 2.0978, 2.3596, 2.2833, 1.9862, 1.9326, 1.8602, 1.6658, 1.5033, 1.6979, 2.0379, 2.1389, 2.0147, 1.9181, 1.8119, 1.9341, 2.2722, 2.2181, 2.6904, 2.234, 2.0128, 1.9061, 1.7713, 1.6902, 1.3497, 1.2396, 1.2898, 1.3593, 1.2135, 1.0995, 1.0411, 1.3419, 1.2927, 1.34, 1.34, 1.3091, 1.3419, 0.986, 1.1232, 1.2434, 1.1594, 1.2381, 1.2623, 1.1212, 1.1222, 0.9382, 0.7136, 0.7672, 0.6315, 0.7291, 0.928, 1.0304, 1.0319, 1.0275, 1.0275, 0.9464, 0.9034, 0.8498, 0.8242, 0.8242, 1.0623, 1.3299, 1.2173, 1.107, 1.2062, 1.2231, 1.4308, 1.5593, 1.554, 1.5062, 1.7926, 1.7926, 1.6206, 1.583, 1.524, 1.7375, 1.5289, 1.8974, 2.0398, 1.8901, 1.5955, 1.5636, 1.6269, 1.1705, 0.9218, 1.0203, 1.2289, 1.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1956459064856347109", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-15T20:52:44+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are through homie. $111 next?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; implies breakout through resistance with $111 as next target.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow We are through homie. $111 next?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN monthly at 0.886 resistance again. \nIt's a stock that's followed the log fibs extremely well.\nDo we back-test 0.786 or do we push through?\nBollinger bands have extended enough to let price through.\nThis is a #Palantiring candidate.\nLet's see what happens here. https://t.co/fFiKuYTDlT", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049239610085650254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04826000594627433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007619401241683033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08996240987754867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09729238283667951, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019047765219137869, "ret_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11792878941980023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10216233950245357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01447619826263491, "ret_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7402538526232394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02019052782837627, "ret_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3021018720927608, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3372091292186796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01246494492499628, "ret_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9913515649039579, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0464777394280709, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02693450222199334, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7402538526232394, "price_path": [-0.5706, -0.5518, -0.5595, -0.5595, -0.5537, -0.5721, -0.5846, -0.5948, -0.5784, -0.5706, -0.5446, -0.5677, -0.5291, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5025, -0.5088, -0.5252, -0.4977, -0.5281, -0.5267, -0.5267, -0.4943, -0.4851, -0.4426, -0.4267, -0.3668, -0.3238, -0.2963, -0.2644, -0.2437, -0.1876, -0.1876, -0.1814, -0.1843, -0.1809, -0.1775, -0.2161, -0.1654, -0.1847, -0.164, -0.1282, -0.1335, -0.1234, -0.1021, -0.0828, -0.1239, -0.1442, -0.1992, -0.2374, -0.2205, -0.2219, -0.2562, -0.2041, -0.2055, -0.1152, -0.1031, -0.1089, -0.1321, -0.1389, -0.1437, -0.0785, -0.049, 0.0, -0.0954, -0.0456, -0.0539, 0.035, 0.1166, 0.1104, 0.0797, 0.1128, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.4059, 0.3625, 0.262, 0.263, 0.2649, 0.4581, 0.6242, 0.5866, 0.6402, 0.7938, 0.7604, 0.8305, 0.7542, 0.8662, 1.0237, 1.0174, 1.2767, 1.2357, 1.0217, 1.2183, 1.2666, 1.2738, 1.2709, 1.4371, 1.7892, 1.979, 1.9022, 2.0838, 1.8867, 2.0978, 2.3596, 2.2833, 1.9862, 1.9326, 1.8602, 1.6658, 1.5033, 1.6979, 2.0379, 2.1389, 2.0147, 1.9181, 1.8119, 1.9341, 2.2722, 2.2181, 2.6904, 2.234, 2.0128, 1.9061, 1.7713, 1.6902, 1.3497, 1.2396, 1.2898, 1.3593, 1.2135, 1.0995, 1.0411, 1.3419, 1.2927, 1.34, 1.34, 1.3091, 1.3419, 0.986, 1.1232, 1.2434, 1.1594, 1.2381, 1.2623, 1.1212, 1.1222, 0.9382, 0.7136, 0.7672, 0.6315, 0.7291, 0.928, 1.0304, 1.0319, 1.0275, 1.0275, 0.9464, 0.9034, 0.8498, 0.8242, 0.8242, 1.0623, 1.3299, 1.2173, 1.107, 1.2062, 1.2231, 1.4308, 1.5593, 1.554, 1.5062, 1.7926, 1.7926, 1.6206, 1.583, 1.524, 1.7375, 1.5289, 1.8974, 2.0398, 1.8901, 1.5955, 1.5636, 1.6269, 1.1705, 0.9218, 1.0203, 1.2289, 1.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938338600095257065", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-26T20:48:29+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It has been an AI/HPC play since its original founding. Most people just didn't understand that until recently.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses IREN as an AI/HPC play now being recognized; bullish on the re-rating story.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LEADER_TRADING True. It has been an AI/HPC play since its original founding. Most people just didn't understand that until recently.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What you’re seeing with $IREN, in my opinion, has absolutely nothing to do with $BTC or it being a miner.\n\nYou’re finally seeing it start - yes, just START - to be found as an AI play. Which, if you’re long, is what YOU should view it as. The $BTC mining was / is an appetizer.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LEADER_TRADING", "ret_m1d": -0.06357145309448242, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06357145309448242, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05862769299465387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06068348336308427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028879697313981545, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.040714263916015625, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.040714263916015625, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03593308458721722, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.032435432269487974, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008278831646527651, "ret_p1w": 0.20142854963030143, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20142854963030143, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18446665836231402, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17736228437012125, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024066265260180186, "ret_p1m": 0.1842857088361467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1842857088361467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14845922948661427, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1625298342778989, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02175587455824779, "ret_p3m": 2.367142813546317, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.367142813546317, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.289045434087414, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.331592466279163, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03555034726715389, "ret_p6m": 2.002857208251953, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.002857208251953, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8827618034469085, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.9305411663151213, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07231604193683183, "ret_p1y": 3.2271428789411276, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.2271428789411276, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.996565209389957, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.1682137823608, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "bench_c_p1y": 0.058929096580327966, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1842857088361467, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14845922948661427, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1625298342778989, "price_path": [-0.5257, -0.5171, -0.5686, -0.5757, -0.58, -0.6214, -0.5786, -0.6079, -0.5979, -0.5893, -0.6107, -0.6093, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.6064, -0.5671, -0.5643, -0.55, -0.5329, -0.5436, -0.5521, -0.5636, -0.545, -0.5336, -0.5579, -0.5357, -0.5307, -0.5079, -0.4971, -0.4636, -0.42, -0.4307, -0.4464, -0.3993, -0.39, -0.385, -0.365, -0.3371, -0.3486, -0.3486, -0.34, -0.3671, -0.3857, -0.4007, -0.3764, -0.365, -0.3264, -0.3607, -0.3036, -0.2614, -0.2507, -0.2643, -0.2736, -0.2979, -0.2571, -0.3021, -0.3, -0.3, -0.2521, -0.2386, -0.1757, -0.1521, -0.0636, 0.0, 0.0407, 0.0879, 0.1186, 0.2014, 0.2014, 0.2107, 0.2064, 0.2114, 0.2164, 0.1593, 0.2343, 0.2057, 0.2364, 0.2893, 0.2814, 0.2964, 0.3279, 0.3564, 0.2957, 0.2657, 0.1843, 0.1279, 0.1529, 0.1507, 0.1, 0.1771, 0.175, 0.3086, 0.3264, 0.3179, 0.2836, 0.2736, 0.2664, 0.3629, 0.4064, 0.4789, 0.3379, 0.4114, 0.3993, 0.5307, 0.6514, 0.6421, 0.5968, 0.6457, 0.8914, 0.8914, 1.0793, 1.015, 0.8664, 0.8679, 0.8707, 1.1564, 1.4021, 1.3464, 1.4257, 1.6529, 1.6036, 1.7071, 1.5943, 1.76, 1.9929, 1.9836, 2.3671, 2.3064, 1.99, 2.2807, 2.3521, 2.3629, 2.3586, 2.6043, 3.125, 3.4057, 3.2921, 3.5607, 3.2693, 3.5814, 3.9686, 3.8557, 3.4164, 3.3371, 3.23, 2.9425, 2.7021, 2.99, 3.4929, 3.6421, 3.4586, 3.3157, 3.1586, 3.3393, 3.8393, 3.7593, 4.4579, 3.7829, 3.4557, 3.2979, 3.0986, 2.9786, 2.475, 2.3121, 2.3864, 2.4893, 2.2736, 2.105, 2.0186, 2.4636, 2.3907, 2.4607, 2.4607, 2.415, 2.4636, 1.9371, 2.14, 2.3179, 2.1936, 2.31, 2.3457, 2.1371, 2.1386, 1.8664, 1.5343, 1.6136, 1.4129, 1.5571, 1.8514, 2.0029]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1953797557630500999", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-08T12:36:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "think longer cycle slightly more likely", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Leans toward a longer BTC bull cycle extending past Q2 2026, driven by M2, rate cycle, ETF flows, and AI capex.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Kid analysts mechanistically calling for BTC cycle top in 2-4 months based on priors.\n\nSeasoned pros eying M2, rate cycle, Treasury cos, ETF flows, sentiment, AI capex etc wondering how it tops before Q2 2026.\n\nEpic battle. Staying open but think longer cycle slightly more likely", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006925877921609924, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006925877921609924, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014663004477918906, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014663004477918906, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007737126556308982, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007737126556308982, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017505707793510794, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017505707793510794, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01948320913949597, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01948320913949597, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019775013459851776, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019775013459851776, "ret_p1w": 0.006081350109000683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006081350109000683, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003743300397321292, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003743300397321292, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009824650506321975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009824650506321975, "ret_p1m": -0.03956934839396775, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03956934839396775, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05785314879553083, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05785314879553083, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018283800401563077, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018283800401563077, "ret_p3m": -0.10966689758282533, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10966689758282533, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17601953494377043, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17601953494377043, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0663526373609451, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0663526373609451, "ret_p6m": -0.32565237497168786, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32565237497168786, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4232990825113646, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4232990825113646, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09764670753967675, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09764670753967675, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03956934839396775, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05785314879553083, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05785314879553083, "price_path": [-0.1073, -0.1127, -0.1109, -0.1131, -0.095, -0.0848, -0.0601, -0.043, -0.0806, -0.0621, -0.0659, -0.0762, -0.0947, -0.1088, -0.0926, -0.0965, -0.1025, -0.1295, -0.1054, -0.0548, -0.0551, -0.0686, -0.0922, -0.0908, -0.0848, -0.1036, -0.1012, -0.1029, -0.1147, -0.0952, -0.0912, -0.0799, -0.0834, -0.0823, -0.0819, -0.0942, -0.0671, -0.0603, -0.0742, -0.0719, -0.0663, -0.046, -0.006, 0.0071, 0.0271, 0.0093, 0.0176, 0.0223, 0.0113, 0.0064, 0.0283, 0.0177, 0.0144, 0.0081, 0.0106, 0.0106, 0.0098, -0.008, -0.0289, -0.0139, -0.0218, -0.0142, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0175, 0.0299, 0.057, 0.0143, 0.0061, -0.0037, -0.0331, -0.0207, -0.0366, 0.0016, -0.0563, -0.0419, -0.0468, -0.0355, -0.0709, -0.0637, -0.047, -0.0426, -0.0511, -0.0517, -0.0396, -0.0442, -0.0234, -0.0101, -0.005, -0.0107, 0.0013, -0.0019, 0.0038, -0.0086, -0.0338, -0.0401, -0.0288, -0.0655, -0.0598, -0.0196, -0.0226, 0.0168, 0.0342, 0.0478, 0.0691, 0.0408, 0.0571, 0.043, -0.0298, -0.0121, -0.0306, -0.0506, -0.0729, -0.0876, -0.0523, -0.0704, -0.0771, -0.0567, -0.0485, -0.022, -0.032, -0.0568, -0.0718, -0.0611, -0.0869, -0.1294, -0.1097, -0.1319, -0.1141, -0.0916, -0.1173, -0.1288, -0.1456, -0.191, -0.2108, -0.2034, -0.2162, -0.2576, -0.2708, -0.2435, -0.2515, -0.2243, -0.2177, -0.2208, -0.2602, -0.2171, -0.1985, -0.2104, -0.234, -0.2232, -0.2056, -0.2114, -0.2072, -0.2264, -0.2594, -0.2472, -0.2618, -0.2676, -0.245, -0.2417, -0.2509, -0.2492, -0.2524, -0.2518, -0.2532, -0.2422, -0.2501, -0.2396, -0.2292, -0.1954, -0.1968, -0.2175, -0.2199, -0.2243, -0.2185, -0.1831, -0.1693, -0.1811, -0.1814, -0.2068, -0.2432, -0.2341, -0.2333, -0.233, -0.2436, -0.2364, -0.2357, -0.2753, -0.279, -0.3257]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1953876032123293861", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-08T17:48:41+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$4,000+ Ethereum. If this holds, and I think it will", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish ETH holding $4K+; expects risk assets to surge over the final 4-5 months of the year.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$4,000+ Ethereum. If this holds, and I think it will, risk assets are going to go completely ballistic over the last 4-5 months of the year. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023822082115806054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023822082115806054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01608495555949707, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01608495555949707, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007737126556308982, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007737126556308982, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05414616026299024, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05414616026299024, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05612366160897542, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05612366160897542, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019775013459851776, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019775013459851776, "ret_p1w": 0.10727084879691673, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10727084879691673, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09744619829059475, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09744619829059475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009824650506321975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009824650506321975, "ret_p1m": 0.07437272521314564, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07437272521314564, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05608892481158256, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05608892481158256, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018283800401563077, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018283800401563077, "ret_p3m": -0.14581041638139391, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14581041638139391, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21216305374233901, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21216305374233901, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0663526373609451, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0663526373609451, "ret_p6m": -0.4153503632200525, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4153503632200525, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5129970707597292, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5129970707597292, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09764670753967675, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09764670753967675, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07437272521314564, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05608892481158256, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05608892481158256, "price_path": [-0.3316, -0.3491, -0.3648, -0.3675, -0.3693, -0.3705, -0.3635, -0.3356, -0.3699, -0.3605, -0.3359, -0.3311, -0.3435, -0.3691, -0.3498, -0.3533, -0.3494, -0.3974, -0.3822, -0.3313, -0.2983, -0.3083, -0.3387, -0.3567, -0.3664, -0.3739, -0.3705, -0.3711, -0.3997, -0.396, -0.3895, -0.3967, -0.3974, -0.3955, -0.3799, -0.4, -0.3587, -0.3538, -0.3744, -0.3658, -0.3477, -0.309, -0.2631, -0.2623, -0.2485, -0.217, -0.1592, -0.1329, -0.1149, -0.0615, -0.065, -0.0948, -0.0753, -0.0705, -0.0555, -0.054, -0.0503, -0.0781, -0.1301, -0.0725, -0.0992, -0.0813, -0.0238, 0.0, 0.0541, 0.1449, 0.1861, 0.1342, 0.1073, 0.0755, 0.0159, 0.081, 0.0532, 0.2049, 0.0906, 0.1473, 0.1231, 0.124, 0.0874, 0.076, 0.0787, 0.1099, 0.072, 0.0741, 0.0744, 0.0746, 0.0846, 0.1126, 0.1759, 0.1289, 0.1231, 0.1454, 0.1447, 0.115, 0.0481, 0.0388, 0.0358, -0.0353, 0.0065, 0.0517, 0.0339, 0.0851, 0.1192, 0.1259, 0.1691, 0.1101, 0.1291, 0.0896, -0.0416, 0.0588, 0.0288, -0.0056, -0.0287, -0.0442, -0.0073, -0.0332, -0.0503, -0.0384, -0.0188, 0.0275, -0.0069, -0.0266, -0.0512, -0.0406, -0.1016, -0.1789, -0.1458, -0.174, -0.1433, -0.1101, -0.1483, -0.1488, -0.1938, -0.226, -0.2457, -0.2212, -0.2461, -0.2938, -0.3103, -0.2636, -0.2623, -0.2449, -0.2482, -0.2438, -0.3017, -0.2524, -0.2041, -0.2183, -0.2457, -0.2206, -0.1718, -0.1707, -0.1927, -0.2309, -0.2608, -0.2608, -0.2939, -0.295, -0.2573, -0.2503, -0.261, -0.2654, -0.2759, -0.2704, -0.2682, -0.259, -0.2601, -0.2517, -0.2208, -0.1954, -0.178, -0.2102, -0.2258, -0.2311, -0.2288, -0.1715, -0.1634, -0.1728, -0.1782, -0.2053, -0.2679, -0.2571, -0.2644, -0.2635, -0.2702, -0.2463, -0.2502, -0.2972, -0.3261, -0.4154]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1953863167143985283", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-08T16:57:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "always good to get out of fiat in to Bitcoin as early and often as possible", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; endorses moving out of fiat into BTC as early and often as possible.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cryptodisco1970 Agreed always good to get out of fiat in to Bitcoin as early and often as possible!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Better to get out early than too late.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cryptodisco1970", "ret_m1d": 0.006925877921609924, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006925877921609924, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014663004477918906, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014663004477918906, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007737126556308982, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007737126556308982, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017505707793510794, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017505707793510794, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01948320913949597, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01948320913949597, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019775013459851776, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019775013459851776, "ret_p1w": 0.006081350109000683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006081350109000683, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003743300397321292, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003743300397321292, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009824650506321975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009824650506321975, "ret_p1m": -0.03956934839396775, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03956934839396775, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05785314879553083, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05785314879553083, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018283800401563077, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018283800401563077, "ret_p3m": -0.10966689758282533, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10966689758282533, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17601953494377043, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17601953494377043, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0663526373609451, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0663526373609451, "ret_p6m": -0.32565237497168786, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32565237497168786, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4232990825113646, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4232990825113646, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09764670753967675, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09764670753967675, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03956934839396775, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05785314879553083, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05785314879553083, "price_path": [-0.1073, -0.1127, -0.1109, -0.1131, -0.095, -0.0848, -0.0601, -0.043, -0.0806, -0.0621, -0.0659, -0.0762, -0.0947, -0.1088, -0.0926, -0.0965, -0.1025, -0.1295, -0.1054, -0.0548, -0.0551, -0.0686, -0.0922, -0.0908, -0.0848, -0.1036, -0.1012, -0.1029, -0.1147, -0.0952, -0.0912, -0.0799, -0.0834, -0.0823, -0.0819, -0.0942, -0.0671, -0.0603, -0.0742, -0.0719, -0.0663, -0.046, -0.006, 0.0071, 0.0271, 0.0093, 0.0176, 0.0223, 0.0113, 0.0064, 0.0283, 0.0177, 0.0144, 0.0081, 0.0106, 0.0106, 0.0098, -0.008, -0.0289, -0.0139, -0.0218, -0.0142, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0175, 0.0299, 0.057, 0.0143, 0.0061, -0.0037, -0.0331, -0.0207, -0.0366, 0.0016, -0.0563, -0.0419, -0.0468, -0.0355, -0.0709, -0.0637, -0.047, -0.0426, -0.0511, -0.0517, -0.0396, -0.0442, -0.0234, -0.0101, -0.005, -0.0107, 0.0013, -0.0019, 0.0038, -0.0086, -0.0338, -0.0401, -0.0288, -0.0655, -0.0598, -0.0196, -0.0226, 0.0168, 0.0342, 0.0478, 0.0691, 0.0408, 0.0571, 0.043, -0.0298, -0.0121, -0.0306, -0.0506, -0.0729, -0.0876, -0.0523, -0.0704, -0.0771, -0.0567, -0.0485, -0.022, -0.032, -0.0568, -0.0718, -0.0611, -0.0869, -0.1294, -0.1097, -0.1319, -0.1141, -0.0916, -0.1173, -0.1288, -0.1456, -0.191, -0.2108, -0.2034, -0.2162, -0.2576, -0.2708, -0.2435, -0.2515, -0.2243, -0.2177, -0.2208, -0.2602, -0.2171, -0.1985, -0.2104, -0.234, -0.2232, -0.2056, -0.2114, -0.2072, -0.2264, -0.2594, -0.2472, -0.2618, -0.2676, -0.245, -0.2417, -0.2509, -0.2492, -0.2524, -0.2518, -0.2532, -0.2422, -0.2501, -0.2396, -0.2292, -0.1954, -0.1968, -0.2175, -0.2199, -0.2243, -0.2185, -0.1831, -0.1693, -0.1811, -0.1814, -0.2068, -0.2432, -0.2341, -0.2333, -0.233, -0.2436, -0.2364, -0.2357, -0.2753, -0.279, -0.3257]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1950596240829509911", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-30T16:35:58+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes of course. I added more this morning. It will be recover over the next year. Same as always.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long NVO, added more this morning; expects recovery over the next year.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ziv_roy Yes of course. I added more this morning. It will be recover over the next year. Same as always.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Mike are you still in $nvo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ziv_roy", "ret_m1d": 0.07815314596977796, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07815314596977796, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07689218833645661, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07689218833645661, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012609576333213468, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012609576333213468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05916451460845651, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05916451460845651, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0554132531888093, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0554132531888093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037512614196472116, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037512614196472116, "ret_p1w": -0.09294421467041436, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09294421467041436, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09029643707906321, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09029643707906321, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026477775913511525, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026477775913511525, "ret_p1m": 0.13416509214102468, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13416509214102468, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11137399296122097, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11137399296122097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02279109917980371, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02279109917980371, "ret_p3m": 0.06907841069751797, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06907841069751797, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.013952498035274985, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013952498035274985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08303090873279295, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08303090873279295, "ret_p6m": 0.2578700902637441, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2578700902637441, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16571027234587077, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16571027234587077, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09215981791787331, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09215981791787331, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3838, 0.3816, 0.325, 0.3502, 0.2962, 0.3146, 0.354, 0.3072, 0.2874, 0.3222, 0.2866, 0.3396, 0.3632, 0.3632, 0.3626, 0.3462, 0.3462, 0.408, 0.3712, 0.3884, 0.4291, 0.4557, 0.4173, 0.4399, 0.4521, 0.4917, 0.5083, 0.5856, 0.5737, 0.62, 0.5956, 0.5395, 0.4859, 0.4793, 0.4793, 0.4745, 0.3936, 0.4138, 0.3462, 0.3532, 0.3694, 0.3796, 0.3956, 0.3956, 0.3826, 0.3826, 0.3856, 0.392, 0.393, 0.4193, 0.3778, 0.378, 0.3436, 0.34, 0.305, 0.2854, 0.2976, 0.3348, 0.3998, 0.4138, 0.4331, 0.3792, 0.0782, 0.0, -0.0592, -0.0368, -0.0244, -0.0562, -0.0929, -0.0254, 0.021, -0.0032, -0.005, 0.0174, 0.0184, 0.0476, 0.0865, 0.1073, 0.0976, 0.1208, 0.1518, 0.1388, 0.1186, 0.1408, 0.1342, 0.1412, 0.1412, 0.1396, 0.1469, 0.1348, 0.1164, 0.0972, 0.0976, 0.099, 0.0976, 0.1091, 0.1243, 0.1562, 0.1764, 0.2502, 0.2411, 0.2271, 0.2035, 0.1873, 0.1328, 0.1241, 0.1218, 0.1216, 0.196, 0.1873, 0.2053, 0.2057, 0.193, 0.2049, 0.1861, 0.1507, 0.1623, 0.1453, 0.1465, 0.1338, 0.099, 0.1267, 0.1073, 0.079, 0.076, 0.0705, 0.0691, 0.0521, 0.0384, 0.0115, -0.0003, -0.0073, -0.0247, -0.0205, -0.0599, -0.0767, -0.0714, -0.0065, 0.0159, -0.0063, -0.0245, -0.0205, -0.0389, -0.0096, -0.0378, -0.0372, -0.091, -0.0488, -0.0154, -0.0154, -0.0025, -0.0211, -0.0413, -0.0385, -0.03, -0.0326, -0.0546, -0.0629, -0.0085, 0.0165, 0.0143, 0.0181, -0.0104, -0.0344, -0.0376, -0.0279, -0.0277, 0.0432, 0.0624, 0.0624, 0.0592, 0.0404, 0.0353, 0.0284, 0.0284, 0.059, 0.114, 0.1372, 0.1435, 0.159, 0.1887, 0.21, 0.2055, 0.1908, 0.1546, 0.2599, 0.2599, 0.2265, 0.199, 0.2579]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942968816482558411", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-09T15:27:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR have HUGE upside here. The fundamentals are fantastic.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IREN and CIFR on HUGE upside; fantastic fundamentals at convergence of AI and crypto megatrends.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson @ScottWapnerCNBC @CNBCClosingBell 100% agree.\n\nIREN and CIFR have HUGE upside here. The fundamentals are fantastic. They are sitting on the convergence of the 2 most important megatrends in human history.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨Everyone is looking for the next 100-bagger like $CVNA at $3\n\nOur AI model spotted it at $11\nI bought it at $15\nPounded the table with @ScottWapnerCNBC on @CNBCClosingBell at $25\nIt’s now $346\n\nWhat I saw 👇\n• Too many shorts\n• Sentiment was universally negative\n• Sometimes", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.004127340719511374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004127340719511374, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018335698283633572, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005014032680044078, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036259374515069664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004127453181111296, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004127453181111296, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0013070960189358605, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017885189011073166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005915972082218612, "ret_p1w": 0.02063681605915657, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02063681605915657, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020380401974043005, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028079576467610168, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007442760408453597, "ret_p1m": 0.0949292863951603, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0949292863951603, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08180549337324261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11458590983757122, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": -0.019656623442410925, "ret_p3m": 2.4050709385280395, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.4050709385280395, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.32589268188869, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.376888194415087, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02818274411295274, "ret_p6m": 1.2270048641891225, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2270048641891225, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1280221052427877, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1746699285856268, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05233493560349567, "ret_p1y": 1.783608586848021, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.783608586848021, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.6025243715824138, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.7454151473802766, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03819343946774434, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0949292863951603, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08180549337324261, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11458590983757122, "price_path": [-0.668, -0.661, -0.6787, -0.6775, -0.6704, -0.6704, -0.6751, -0.6427, -0.6403, -0.6285, -0.6144, -0.6232, -0.6303, -0.6397, -0.6244, -0.615, -0.635, -0.6167, -0.6126, -0.5937, -0.5849, -0.5572, -0.5212, -0.5301, -0.543, -0.5041, -0.4965, -0.4923, -0.4758, -0.4528, -0.4623, -0.4623, -0.4552, -0.4776, -0.4929, -0.5053, -0.4853, -0.4758, -0.444, -0.4723, -0.4251, -0.3903, -0.3815, -0.3927, -0.4004, -0.4204, -0.3868, -0.4239, -0.4222, -0.4222, -0.3827, -0.3715, -0.3196, -0.3001, -0.227, -0.1745, -0.1409, -0.102, -0.0767, -0.0083, -0.0083, -0.0006, -0.0041, 0.0, 0.0041, -0.043, 0.0189, -0.0047, 0.0206, 0.0643, 0.0578, 0.0702, 0.0961, 0.1197, 0.0696, 0.0448, -0.0224, -0.069, -0.0483, -0.0501, -0.092, -0.0283, -0.0301, 0.0802, 0.0949, 0.0879, 0.0596, 0.0513, 0.0454, 0.125, 0.161, 0.2208, 0.1044, 0.1651, 0.1551, 0.2636, 0.3632, 0.3555, 0.3181, 0.3585, 0.5613, 0.5613, 0.7164, 0.6633, 0.5407, 0.5419, 0.5442, 0.7801, 0.9829, 0.9369, 1.0024, 1.1899, 1.1492, 1.2347, 1.1415, 1.2783, 1.4705, 1.4629, 1.7795, 1.7294, 1.4682, 1.7081, 1.7671, 1.7759, 1.7724, 1.9752, 2.4051, 2.6368, 2.543, 2.7647, 2.5242, 2.7818, 3.1014, 3.0083, 2.6456, 2.5802, 2.4917, 2.2544, 2.056, 2.2936, 2.7087, 2.832, 2.6804, 2.5625, 2.4328, 2.582, 2.9947, 2.9287, 3.5053, 2.9481, 2.6781, 2.5478, 2.3833, 2.2842, 1.8685, 1.7341, 1.7954, 1.8803, 1.7022, 1.5631, 1.4917, 1.8591, 1.7989, 1.8567, 1.8567, 1.819, 1.8591, 1.4245, 1.592, 1.7388, 1.6362, 1.7323, 1.7618, 1.5896, 1.5908, 1.3662, 1.092, 1.1574, 0.9917, 1.1108, 1.3538, 1.4788, 1.4805, 1.4752, 1.4752, 1.3762, 1.3237, 1.2583, 1.227, 1.227]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942968816482558411", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-09T15:27:19+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR have HUGE upside here. The fundamentals are fantastic.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IREN and CIFR on HUGE upside; fantastic fundamentals at convergence of AI and crypto megatrends.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson @ScottWapnerCNBC @CNBCClosingBell 100% agree.\n\nIREN and CIFR have HUGE upside here. The fundamentals are fantastic. They are sitting on the convergence of the 2 most important megatrends in human history.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨Everyone is looking for the next 100-bagger like $CVNA at $3\n\nOur AI model spotted it at $11\nI bought it at $15\nPounded the table with @ScottWapnerCNBC on @CNBCClosingBell at $25\nIt’s now $346\n\nWhat I saw 👇\n• Too many shorts\n• Sentiment was universally negative\n• Sometimes", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.036741215761036616, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036741215761036616, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030780305213161885, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030768438906445206, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005972776854591411, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003194961187284906, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003194961187284906, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006015318349460341, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00010155997182259568, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032965211591075017, "ret_p1w": 0.0015974044215751881, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0015974044215751881, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0013409903364616227, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0018157809015613147, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003413185323136503, "ret_p1m": -0.22204477515986232, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22204477515986232, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23516856818178, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24322161138003373, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021176836220171413, "ret_p3m": 1.4504791680060256, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4504791680060256, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3713009113666759, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.333581794633345, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11689737337268058, "ret_p6m": 1.3578274263926464, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3578274263926464, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2588446674463116, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2379135615498356, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11991386484281086, "ret_p1y": 3.143769901856862, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.143769901856862, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.9626856865912545, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.7315177730482025, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4122521288086596, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22204477515986232, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23516856818178, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24322161138003373, "price_path": [-0.6134, -0.6102, -0.6294, -0.6286, -0.6214, -0.6214, -0.6262, -0.5623, -0.5431, -0.5208, -0.508, -0.5112, -0.508, -0.5447, -0.5024, -0.4952, -0.524, -0.5144, -0.5176, -0.5016, -0.524, -0.4968, -0.4521, -0.4712, -0.4936, -0.3834, -0.3914, -0.3962, -0.4401, -0.4297, -0.4457, -0.4457, -0.4297, -0.4649, -0.4808, -0.5016, -0.4808, -0.4513, -0.4026, -0.4361, -0.377, -0.3387, -0.3514, -0.3482, -0.3866, -0.4058, -0.3722, -0.4121, -0.3914, -0.3914, -0.3946, -0.4361, -0.385, -0.385, -0.3307, -0.3195, -0.2364, -0.2173, -0.0927, -0.0335, -0.0335, -0.0751, -0.0367, 0.0, -0.0032, -0.0623, -0.0367, -0.0463, 0.0016, 0.0256, 0.016, -0.0016, 0.1086, 0.0671, 0.0623, 0.0335, -0.016, -0.0927, -0.1294, -0.1278, -0.2125, -0.1709, -0.1997, -0.1677, -0.222, -0.2412, -0.2396, -0.246, -0.2173, -0.1502, -0.1677, -0.0335, -0.0799, -0.0495, -0.0575, 0.0192, 0.0607, 0.1374, 0.1166, 0.1214, 0.2204, 0.2204, 0.3291, 0.2955, 0.1821, 0.2013, 0.2332, 0.4728, 0.6374, 0.5927, 0.7332, 0.7332, 0.8387, 0.9776, 0.893, 0.9617, 1.23, 1.2604, 1.2588, 0.8626, 0.8323, 1.0208, 1.0112, 1.0128, 1.2061, 1.3482, 1.4505, 1.516, 1.8115, 1.8738, 1.7109, 2.2492, 2.3371, 2.3594, 1.9904, 1.9968, 2.1805, 1.8874, 1.5735, 1.7564, 2.3003, 2.2812, 2.1885, 2.1294, 2.0463, 1.9792, 2.6358, 2.5958, 2.9473, 2.4681, 2.3051, 2.139, 1.9824, 1.7764, 1.385, 1.2939, 1.2923, 1.3291, 1.3355, 1.3259, 1.2604, 1.6693, 1.7987, 2.0591, 2.0591, 2.2508, 2.1454, 1.8179, 1.976, 2.1677, 2.0799, 2.1118, 2.1246, 1.9521, 2.016, 1.7236, 1.3546, 1.3946, 1.2987, 1.4201, 1.5895, 1.6102, 1.5415, 1.5911, 1.5911, 1.4265, 1.4089, 1.3307, 1.3578, 1.3578]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938430888217555452", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-27T02:55:12+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the business itself is about to enter a major explosive growth stage", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish IREN long-term despite ST uncertainty; business entering major explosive growth stage.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow After hours it was bumping up against $13.60\n\nI have no idea what will happen in the very short term\n\nBut what I can tell you is that the business itself is about to enter a major explosive growth stage.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN will probably start slowing down here at the upper Bollinger band on the monthly. \nOr... will it? https://t.co/Z8EO1liGWQ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.06357145309448242, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06357145309448242, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05862769299465387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06068348336308427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028879697313981545, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.040714263916015625, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.040714263916015625, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03593308458721722, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.032435432269487974, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008278831646527651, "ret_p1w": 0.20142854963030143, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20142854963030143, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18446665836231402, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17736228437012125, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024066265260180186, "ret_p1m": 0.1842857088361467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1842857088361467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14845922948661427, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1625298342778989, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02175587455824779, "ret_p3m": 2.367142813546317, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.367142813546317, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.289045434087414, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.331592466279163, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03555034726715389, "ret_p6m": 2.002857208251953, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.002857208251953, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8827618034469085, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.9305411663151213, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07231604193683183, "ret_p1y": 3.2271428789411276, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.2271428789411276, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.996565209389957, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.1682137823608, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "bench_c_p1y": 0.058929096580327966, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1842857088361467, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14845922948661427, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1625298342778989, "price_path": [-0.5257, -0.5171, -0.5686, -0.5757, -0.58, -0.6214, -0.5786, -0.6079, -0.5979, -0.5893, -0.6107, -0.6093, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.6064, -0.5671, -0.5643, -0.55, -0.5329, -0.5436, -0.5521, -0.5636, -0.545, -0.5336, -0.5579, -0.5357, -0.5307, -0.5079, -0.4971, -0.4636, -0.42, -0.4307, -0.4464, -0.3993, -0.39, -0.385, -0.365, -0.3371, -0.3486, -0.3486, -0.34, -0.3671, -0.3857, -0.4007, -0.3764, -0.365, -0.3264, -0.3607, -0.3036, -0.2614, -0.2507, -0.2643, -0.2736, -0.2979, -0.2571, -0.3021, -0.3, -0.3, -0.2521, -0.2386, -0.1757, -0.1521, -0.0636, 0.0, 0.0407, 0.0879, 0.1186, 0.2014, 0.2014, 0.2107, 0.2064, 0.2114, 0.2164, 0.1593, 0.2343, 0.2057, 0.2364, 0.2893, 0.2814, 0.2964, 0.3279, 0.3564, 0.2957, 0.2657, 0.1843, 0.1279, 0.1529, 0.1507, 0.1, 0.1771, 0.175, 0.3086, 0.3264, 0.3179, 0.2836, 0.2736, 0.2664, 0.3629, 0.4064, 0.4789, 0.3379, 0.4114, 0.3993, 0.5307, 0.6514, 0.6421, 0.5968, 0.6457, 0.8914, 0.8914, 1.0793, 1.015, 0.8664, 0.8679, 0.8707, 1.1564, 1.4021, 1.3464, 1.4257, 1.6529, 1.6036, 1.7071, 1.5943, 1.76, 1.9929, 1.9836, 2.3671, 2.3064, 1.99, 2.2807, 2.3521, 2.3629, 2.3586, 2.6043, 3.125, 3.4057, 3.2921, 3.5607, 3.2693, 3.5814, 3.9686, 3.8557, 3.4164, 3.3371, 3.23, 2.9425, 2.7021, 2.99, 3.4929, 3.6421, 3.4586, 3.3157, 3.1586, 3.3393, 3.8393, 3.7593, 4.4579, 3.7829, 3.4557, 3.2979, 3.0986, 2.9786, 2.475, 2.3121, 2.3864, 2.4893, 2.2736, 2.105, 2.0186, 2.4636, 2.3907, 2.4607, 2.4607, 2.415, 2.4636, 1.9371, 2.14, 2.3179, 2.1936, 2.31, 2.3457, 2.1371, 2.1386, 1.8664, 1.5343, 1.6136, 1.4129, 1.5571, 1.8514, 2.0029]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1941170549130150021", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-04T16:21:38+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "go to about 6 minutes in to hear Eric's thesis on IREN and CIFR as potential 100 baggers over 5 years", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Amplifies bullish thesis on IREN and CIFR as potential 100-baggers over 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson @JonErlichman @BNNBloomberg For people who find this video from my retweet, go to about 6 minutes in to hear Eric's thesis on IREN and CIFR as potential 100 baggers over 5 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Great to get 12 mins to go deep on tech with @JonErlichman on @BNNBloomberg this morning.\n\nWe discussed finding multi-year multi-baggers like $CVNA $DEFT $BTQQF and why I think $IREN and $CIFR are the next 5-year 100-baggers. We also touched on $NVDA and the Mag 7 https://t.co/U1EPRNYUhB", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.00766967918960082, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00766967918960082, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015177599925174756, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017350817350416103, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009681138160815284, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0035399038696332097, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0035399038696332097, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029921685746207016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005381824079434883, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008921727949068092, "ret_p1w": 0.019469021171231393, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019469021171231393, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012815066391159702, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02193668152521644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002467660353985046, "ret_p1m": -0.029498523745983052, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029498523745983052, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041243662682237225, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010895657636099565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018602866109883487, "ret_p3m": 1.7740412000789494, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.7740412000789494, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6928475209184033, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7579890904341455, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016052109644803858, "ret_p6m": 1.2595868739311253, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2595868739311253, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1463718079394123, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.205009348164161, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054577525766964285, "ret_p1y": 1.9675514438347181, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.9675514438347181, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.773112274467488, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9319844698766717, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03556697395804642, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 1.9675514438347181, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.773112274467488, "alpha_c_stated": 1.9319844698766717, "price_path": [-0.6519, -0.6761, -0.6678, -0.6608, -0.6785, -0.6773, -0.6702, -0.6702, -0.6749, -0.6425, -0.6401, -0.6283, -0.6142, -0.623, -0.6301, -0.6395, -0.6242, -0.6147, -0.6348, -0.6165, -0.6124, -0.5935, -0.5847, -0.5569, -0.5209, -0.5298, -0.5428, -0.5038, -0.4962, -0.492, -0.4755, -0.4525, -0.4619, -0.4619, -0.4549, -0.4773, -0.4926, -0.505, -0.485, -0.4755, -0.4437, -0.472, -0.4248, -0.39, -0.3811, -0.3923, -0.4, -0.4201, -0.3864, -0.4236, -0.4218, -0.4218, -0.3823, -0.3711, -0.3192, -0.2997, -0.2265, -0.174, -0.1404, -0.1015, -0.0761, -0.0077, -0.0077, 0.0, -0.0035, 0.0006, 0.0047, -0.0425, 0.0195, -0.0041, 0.0212, 0.0649, 0.0584, 0.0708, 0.0968, 0.1204, 0.0702, 0.0454, -0.0218, -0.0684, -0.0478, -0.0496, -0.0914, -0.0277, -0.0295, 0.0808, 0.0956, 0.0885, 0.0602, 0.0519, 0.046, 0.1257, 0.1617, 0.2215, 0.105, 0.1658, 0.1558, 0.2643, 0.364, 0.3563, 0.3189, 0.3593, 0.5622, 0.5622, 0.7174, 0.6643, 0.5416, 0.5428, 0.5451, 0.7811, 0.9841, 0.9381, 1.0035, 1.1912, 1.1504, 1.236, 1.1428, 1.2796, 1.472, 1.4643, 1.7811, 1.731, 1.4696, 1.7097, 1.7687, 1.7776, 1.774, 1.977, 2.4071, 2.6389, 2.5451, 2.767, 2.5263, 2.7841, 3.1038, 3.0106, 2.6478, 2.5823, 2.4938, 2.2563, 2.0578, 2.2956, 2.7109, 2.8342, 2.6826, 2.5646, 2.4348, 2.5841, 2.997, 2.931, 3.508, 2.9504, 2.6802, 2.5499, 2.3853, 2.2861, 1.8702, 1.7357, 1.7971, 1.882, 1.7038, 1.5646, 1.4932, 1.8608, 1.8006, 1.8584, 1.8584, 1.8206, 1.8608, 1.426, 1.5935, 1.7404, 1.6378, 1.7339, 1.7634, 1.5912, 1.5923, 1.3676, 1.0932, 1.1587, 0.9929, 1.1121, 1.3552, 1.4802, 1.482, 1.4767, 1.4767, 1.3776, 1.3251, 1.2596]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1941170549130150021", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-04T16:21:38+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "go to about 6 minutes in to hear Eric's thesis on IREN and CIFR as potential 100 baggers over 5 years", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Amplifies bullish thesis on IREN and CIFR as potential 100-baggers over 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson @JonErlichman @BNNBloomberg For people who find this video from my retweet, go to about 6 minutes in to hear Eric's thesis on IREN and CIFR as potential 100 baggers over 5 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Great to get 12 mins to go deep on tech with @JonErlichman on @BNNBloomberg this morning.\n\nWe discussed finding multi-year multi-baggers like $CVNA $DEFT $BTQQF and why I think $IREN and $CIFR are the next 5-year 100-baggers. We also touched on $NVDA and the Mag 7 https://t.co/U1EPRNYUhB", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": 0.04490504846197374, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04490504846197374, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037397127726399804, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03690262765055308, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008002420811420663, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04145082029992153, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04145082029992153, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04199855559493404, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.036076621352810756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005374198947110775, "ret_p1w": 0.04145082029992153, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04145082029992153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03479686551984984, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038626500194905766, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002824320105015765, "ret_p1m": -0.13471498067532994, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13471498067532994, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14646011961158412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15511359021304527, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02039860953771533, "ret_p3m": 1.3851468930229416, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3851468930229416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3039532138623955, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2611560633685313, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12399082965441033, "ret_p6m": 1.5198618736982716, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5198618736982716, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4066468077065586, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3758346055128374, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1440272681854342, "ret_p1y": 3.528497320570459, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.528497320570459, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.334058151203229, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.0848237572909287, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.44367356327953034, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 3.528497320570459, "alpha_spy_stated": 3.334058151203229, "alpha_c_stated": 3.0848237572909287, "price_path": [-0.5751, -0.6166, -0.582, -0.5786, -0.5993, -0.5984, -0.5907, -0.5907, -0.5959, -0.5268, -0.506, -0.4819, -0.468, -0.4715, -0.468, -0.5078, -0.462, -0.4542, -0.4853, -0.475, -0.4784, -0.4611, -0.4853, -0.456, -0.4076, -0.4283, -0.4525, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.3472, -0.3946, -0.3834, -0.4007, -0.4007, -0.3834, -0.4214, -0.4387, -0.4611, -0.4387, -0.4067, -0.3541, -0.3903, -0.3264, -0.285, -0.2988, -0.2953, -0.3368, -0.3575, -0.3212, -0.3644, -0.342, -0.342, -0.3454, -0.3903, -0.3351, -0.3351, -0.2763, -0.2642, -0.1744, -0.1537, -0.019, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0, 0.0415, 0.0812, 0.0777, 0.0138, 0.0415, 0.0311, 0.0829, 0.1088, 0.0984, 0.0794, 0.1986, 0.1537, 0.1485, 0.1174, 0.0639, -0.019, -0.0587, -0.057, -0.1485, -0.1036, -0.1347, -0.1002, -0.1589, -0.1796, -0.1779, -0.1848, -0.1537, -0.0812, -0.1002, 0.0449, -0.0052, 0.0276, 0.019, 0.1019, 0.1468, 0.2297, 0.2073, 0.2124, 0.3195, 0.3195, 0.437, 0.4007, 0.2781, 0.2988, 0.3333, 0.5924, 0.7703, 0.7219, 0.8739, 0.8739, 0.9879, 1.1382, 1.0466, 1.1209, 1.4111, 1.4439, 1.4421, 1.0138, 0.981, 1.1848, 1.1744, 1.1762, 1.3851, 1.5389, 1.6494, 1.7202, 2.0397, 2.1071, 1.9309, 2.513, 2.6079, 2.6321, 2.2332, 2.2401, 2.4387, 2.1218, 1.7824, 1.9801, 2.5682, 2.5475, 2.4473, 2.3834, 2.2936, 2.2211, 2.9309, 2.8877, 3.2677, 2.7496, 2.5734, 2.3938, 2.2245, 2.0017, 1.5786, 1.4801, 1.4784, 1.5181, 1.525, 1.5147, 1.4439, 1.886, 2.0259, 2.3074, 2.3074, 2.5147, 2.4007, 2.0466, 2.2176, 2.4249, 2.3299, 2.3644, 2.3782, 2.1917, 2.2608, 1.9447, 1.5458, 1.5889, 1.4853, 1.6166, 1.7997, 1.8221, 1.7478, 1.8014, 1.8014, 1.6235, 1.6045, 1.5199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1947643038224027675", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-22T13:01:00+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added down to $12.55 pre-market", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to OSCR position at $12.55 pre-market; sees long-term competitive advantages despite tough market.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Edge_Bolt Guidance not terrible. Competitive market but OSCR has long term advantages. Added down to $12.55 pre-market.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred $OSCR thoughts?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Edge_Bolt", "ret_m1d": -0.07346938351831478, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07346938351831478, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0733262085812102, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.055196315896698156, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0001431749371045843, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018273067621616623, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07959184295747512, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07959184295747512, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07108446473786678, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05907200759332287, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008507378219608341, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02051983536415225, "ret_p1w": -0.058503378764345526, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.058503378764345526, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06868047703524571, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06524344945544402, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010177098270900187, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006740070691098499, "ret_p1m": 0.038775554822747305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.038775554822747305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024066415345334935, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009044367026263211, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01470913947741237, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029731187796484093, "ret_p3m": 0.3190475946419591, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3190475946419591, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2596194955939497, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24119832480659498, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059428099048009386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07784926983536411, "ret_p6m": 0.13537420072197692, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13537420072197692, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03128189989288699, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.057295899733794675, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10409230082908993, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1926701004557716, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.038775554822747305, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.024066415345334935, "alpha_c_stated": 0.009044367026263211, "price_path": [-0.1816, -0.168, -0.1415, -0.1054, -0.115, -0.1122, -0.102, -0.1156, -0.1109, 0.1578, 0.1605, 0.1639, 0.1442, 0.151, 0.1252, 0.1265, 0.1918, 0.1395, 0.1204, 0.0109, -0.0224, -0.0361, -0.0361, 0.0211, -0.0551, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0299, -0.0306, -0.0374, 0.0646, 0.049, 0.0041, -0.0007, -0.0374, -0.0245, -0.051, 0.017, 0.0959, 0.2769, 0.2769, 0.4435, 0.3891, 0.3619, 0.3054, 0.3932, 0.3884, 0.4585, 0.3912, 0.1306, 0.1204, 0.1204, 0.1435, 0.1259, 0.0939, 0.0565, -0.0218, 0.0259, 0.015, 0.0442, -0.0565, -0.0871, -0.0735, 0.0, 0.0796, -0.034, -0.017, -0.002, -0.0585, -0.0476, -0.0442, -0.0762, -0.0585, -0.0599, -0.0245, 0.0313, 0.0517, 0.0619, 0.019, 0.0156, -0.0014, 0.0639, 0.1327, 0.1313, 0.0388, 0.049, 0.1429, 0.1367, 0.1619, 0.1578, 0.1728, 0.1333, 0.1333, 0.1177, 0.2027, 0.2503, 0.3218, 0.3796, 0.3639, 0.3252, 0.3218, 0.315, 0.2741, 0.2197, 0.2088, 0.3, 0.2905, 0.2585, 0.2082, 0.2544, 0.2306, 0.2531, 0.3014, 0.2878, 0.2857, 0.3116, 0.4735, 0.5177, 0.5286, 0.483, 0.3973, 0.2769, 0.3878, 0.4075, 0.4061, 0.4306, 0.319, 0.3728, 0.481, 0.3857, 0.3347, 0.3122, 0.3381, 0.3293, 0.2864, 0.2306, 0.2245, 0.2014, 0.1673, 0.1585, 0.1265, 0.2054, -0.0061, 0.0102, 0.0272, -0.051, -0.0558, -0.0306, 0.0007, -0.0422, -0.1136, -0.083, 0.1218, 0.1381, 0.2354, 0.2354, 0.2224, 0.1327, 0.1463, 0.1633, 0.1687, 0.1408, 0.1381, 0.1537, 0.0605, 0.0796, 0.1313, 0.098, 0.0687, 0.0469, 0.0068, 0.0136, 0.0224, 0.0095, 0.0156, 0.0156, 0.0143, -0.0116, -0.0129, -0.0224, -0.0224, 0.0184, 0.1272, 0.1238, 0.1211, 0.1497, 0.2061, 0.2014, 0.1823, 0.1354]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1947754883236728964", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-22T20:25:26+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fundamentally, should be $10-15 minimum by end of year.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CIFR to $10-15 minimum by year-end on fundamental basis.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Fundamentally, should be $10-15 minimum by end of year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR is at our old friend of 7 dollar resistance once again.\nBreak it? 10 bucks. Then much higher.\nDoesn't break it? Maybe going back to 5 bucks. We got support there. I don't think it's going back down to a buck anymore. https://t.co/Z2Jz5Gps1F", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.038922190952585645, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038922190952585645, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.047357804219616995, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04460810208439814, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00843561326703135, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005685911131812493, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004490978105107568, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004490978105107568, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0048221050928426434, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008717077548620611, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003311269877350753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004226099443513043, "ret_p1w": -0.1841317441140412, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1841317441140412, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.184525924374786, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20099760172806824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00039418026074478085, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016865857614027036, "ret_p1m": -0.11676643009213739, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11676643009213739, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1188792985645668, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1114647419624124, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002112868472429419, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00530168812972498, "ret_p3m": 1.980538975906517, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.980538975906517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.9191221688619875, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.871927972702616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061416807044529564, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10861100320390116, "ret_p6m": 1.6227546269445123, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.6227546269445123, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.5249946139290713, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.5019443077046988, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09776001301544102, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12081031923981356, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11676643009213739, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1188792985645668, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1114647419624124, "price_path": [-0.5389, -0.5419, -0.5389, -0.5734, -0.5337, -0.5269, -0.5539, -0.5449, -0.5479, -0.5329, -0.5539, -0.5284, -0.4865, -0.5045, -0.5254, -0.4222, -0.4296, -0.4341, -0.4753, -0.4656, -0.4805, -0.4805, -0.4656, -0.4985, -0.5135, -0.5329, -0.5135, -0.4858, -0.4401, -0.4716, -0.4162, -0.3802, -0.3922, -0.3892, -0.4251, -0.4431, -0.4117, -0.4491, -0.4296, -0.4296, -0.4326, -0.4716, -0.4237, -0.4237, -0.3728, -0.3623, -0.2844, -0.2665, -0.1497, -0.0943, -0.0943, -0.1332, -0.0973, -0.0629, -0.0659, -0.1213, -0.0973, -0.1063, -0.0614, -0.0389, -0.0479, -0.0644, 0.0389, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0314, -0.0778, -0.1497, -0.1841, -0.1826, -0.262, -0.2231, -0.25, -0.2201, -0.271, -0.2889, -0.2874, -0.2934, -0.2665, -0.2036, -0.2201, -0.0943, -0.1377, -0.1093, -0.1168, -0.0449, -0.006, 0.0659, 0.0464, 0.0509, 0.1437, 0.1437, 0.2455, 0.2141, 0.1078, 0.1257, 0.1557, 0.3802, 0.5344, 0.4925, 0.6243, 0.6243, 0.7231, 0.8533, 0.774, 0.8383, 1.0898, 1.1183, 1.1168, 0.7455, 0.7171, 0.8937, 0.8847, 0.8862, 1.0674, 1.2006, 1.2964, 1.3578, 1.6347, 1.6931, 1.5404, 2.0449, 2.1272, 2.1482, 1.8024, 1.8084, 1.9805, 1.7058, 1.4117, 1.5831, 2.0928, 2.0749, 1.988, 1.9326, 1.8548, 1.7919, 2.4072, 2.3698, 2.6991, 2.25, 2.0973, 1.9416, 1.7949, 1.6018, 1.235, 1.1497, 1.1482, 1.1826, 1.1886, 1.1796, 1.1183, 1.5015, 1.6228, 1.8668, 1.8668, 2.0464, 1.9476, 1.6407, 1.7889, 1.9686, 1.8862, 1.9162, 1.9281, 1.7665, 1.8263, 1.5524, 1.2066, 1.244, 1.1542, 1.268, 1.4266, 1.4461, 1.3817, 1.4281, 1.4281, 1.274, 1.2575, 1.1841, 1.2096, 1.2096, 1.4251, 1.7186, 1.6257, 1.4072, 1.4775, 1.4895, 1.6467, 1.732, 1.7141, 1.6228]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1957417724813992422", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-18T12:22:07+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I agree with the overall conclusion", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish conclusion on IREN despite disputing revenue figures.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Imran_Razaq Revenue figures are way off for IREN in terms of run rate but I agree with the overall conclusion", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Initiated a smaller position in $IREN after @mikealfred's mentions. The business seems promising. Analysis suggests $IREN is a better buy than $CRWV. $IREN's vertical integration (owning power plants, land, datacenters, and network) provides cost control and potential price https://t.co/cdbnSx9VhX", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Imran_Razaq", "ret_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049239610085650254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04826000594627433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007619401241683033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08996240987754867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09729238283667951, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019047765219137869, "ret_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11792878941980023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10216233950245357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01447619826263491, "ret_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7402538526232394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02019052782837627, "ret_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3021018720927608, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3372091292186796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01246494492499628, "ret_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9913515649039579, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0464777394280709, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02693450222199334, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7402538526232394, "price_path": [-0.5706, -0.5518, -0.5595, -0.5595, -0.5537, -0.5721, -0.5846, -0.5948, -0.5784, -0.5706, -0.5446, -0.5677, -0.5291, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5025, -0.5088, -0.5252, -0.4977, -0.5281, -0.5267, -0.5267, -0.4943, -0.4851, -0.4426, -0.4267, -0.3668, -0.3238, -0.2963, -0.2644, -0.2437, -0.1876, -0.1876, -0.1814, -0.1843, -0.1809, -0.1775, -0.2161, -0.1654, -0.1847, -0.164, -0.1282, -0.1335, -0.1234, -0.1021, -0.0828, -0.1239, -0.1442, -0.1992, -0.2374, -0.2205, -0.2219, -0.2562, -0.2041, -0.2055, -0.1152, -0.1031, -0.1089, -0.1321, -0.1389, -0.1437, -0.0785, -0.049, 0.0, -0.0954, -0.0456, -0.0539, 0.035, 0.1166, 0.1104, 0.0797, 0.1128, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.4059, 0.3625, 0.262, 0.263, 0.2649, 0.4581, 0.6242, 0.5866, 0.6402, 0.7938, 0.7604, 0.8305, 0.7542, 0.8662, 1.0237, 1.0174, 1.2767, 1.2357, 1.0217, 1.2183, 1.2666, 1.2738, 1.2709, 1.4371, 1.7892, 1.979, 1.9022, 2.0838, 1.8867, 2.0978, 2.3596, 2.2833, 1.9862, 1.9326, 1.8602, 1.6658, 1.5033, 1.6979, 2.0379, 2.1389, 2.0147, 1.9181, 1.8119, 1.9341, 2.2722, 2.2181, 2.6904, 2.234, 2.0128, 1.9061, 1.7713, 1.6902, 1.3497, 1.2396, 1.2898, 1.3593, 1.2135, 1.0995, 1.0411, 1.3419, 1.2927, 1.34, 1.34, 1.3091, 1.3419, 0.986, 1.1232, 1.2434, 1.1594, 1.2381, 1.2623, 1.1212, 1.1222, 0.9382, 0.7136, 0.7672, 0.6315, 0.7291, 0.928, 1.0304, 1.0319, 1.0275, 1.0275, 0.9464, 0.9034, 0.8498, 0.8242, 0.8242, 1.0623, 1.3299, 1.2173, 1.107, 1.2062, 1.2231, 1.4308, 1.5593, 1.554, 1.5062, 1.7926, 1.7926, 1.6206, 1.583, 1.524, 1.7375, 1.5289, 1.8974, 2.0398, 1.8901, 1.5955, 1.5636, 1.6269, 1.1705, 0.9218, 1.0203, 1.2289, 1.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1956463618620522906", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-15T21:10:50+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The crazy thing is that almost nothing has even happened yet. Still the 1st inning of this game.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; author asserts the stock's move is just beginning, with most of the upside still ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@IndustryRPh @danroberts0101 The crazy thing is that almost nothing has even happened yet. Still the 1st inning of this game.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today is $IREN's highest weekly close in company history for a full week of trading\n\nIt is a massive accomplishment when you put everything in the sector in context. Congrats @danroberts0101  @mikealfred", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "IndustryRPh", "ret_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049239610085650254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04826000594627433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007619401241683033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08996240987754867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09729238283667951, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019047765219137869, "ret_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11792878941980023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10216233950245357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01447619826263491, "ret_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7402538526232394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02019052782837627, "ret_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3021018720927608, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3372091292186796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01246494492499628, "ret_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9913515649039579, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0464777394280709, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02693450222199334, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7402538526232394, "price_path": [-0.5706, -0.5518, -0.5595, -0.5595, -0.5537, -0.5721, -0.5846, -0.5948, -0.5784, -0.5706, -0.5446, -0.5677, -0.5291, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5025, -0.5088, -0.5252, -0.4977, -0.5281, -0.5267, -0.5267, -0.4943, -0.4851, -0.4426, -0.4267, -0.3668, -0.3238, -0.2963, -0.2644, -0.2437, -0.1876, -0.1876, -0.1814, -0.1843, -0.1809, -0.1775, -0.2161, -0.1654, -0.1847, -0.164, -0.1282, -0.1335, -0.1234, -0.1021, -0.0828, -0.1239, -0.1442, -0.1992, -0.2374, -0.2205, -0.2219, -0.2562, -0.2041, -0.2055, -0.1152, -0.1031, -0.1089, -0.1321, -0.1389, -0.1437, -0.0785, -0.049, 0.0, -0.0954, -0.0456, -0.0539, 0.035, 0.1166, 0.1104, 0.0797, 0.1128, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.4059, 0.3625, 0.262, 0.263, 0.2649, 0.4581, 0.6242, 0.5866, 0.6402, 0.7938, 0.7604, 0.8305, 0.7542, 0.8662, 1.0237, 1.0174, 1.2767, 1.2357, 1.0217, 1.2183, 1.2666, 1.2738, 1.2709, 1.4371, 1.7892, 1.979, 1.9022, 2.0838, 1.8867, 2.0978, 2.3596, 2.2833, 1.9862, 1.9326, 1.8602, 1.6658, 1.5033, 1.6979, 2.0379, 2.1389, 2.0147, 1.9181, 1.8119, 1.9341, 2.2722, 2.2181, 2.6904, 2.234, 2.0128, 1.9061, 1.7713, 1.6902, 1.3497, 1.2396, 1.2898, 1.3593, 1.2135, 1.0995, 1.0411, 1.3419, 1.2927, 1.34, 1.34, 1.3091, 1.3419, 0.986, 1.1232, 1.2434, 1.1594, 1.2381, 1.2623, 1.1212, 1.1222, 0.9382, 0.7136, 0.7672, 0.6315, 0.7291, 0.928, 1.0304, 1.0319, 1.0275, 1.0275, 0.9464, 0.9034, 0.8498, 0.8242, 0.8242, 1.0623, 1.3299, 1.2173, 1.107, 1.2062, 1.2231, 1.4308, 1.5593, 1.554, 1.5062, 1.7926, 1.7926, 1.6206, 1.583, 1.524, 1.7375, 1.5289, 1.8974, 2.0398, 1.8901, 1.5955, 1.5636, 1.6269, 1.1705, 0.9218, 1.0203, 1.2289, 1.0734]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1940439929466839293", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-02T15:58:25+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "once we clear that level on volume we will see $121,000 and $146,000 in short order", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC: breakout above $112K on volume targets $121K then $146K in short order.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin quietly moving up to $109,000 with little fanfare. There is nothing but air above $112,000 so once we clear that level on volume we will see $121,000 and $146,000 in short order. Valhalla is so close I can smell it. Pay attention. It's time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02903783574457086, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02903783574457086, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024524928908600696, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024524928908600696, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004512906835970165, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004512906835970165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007244728772290987, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007244728772290987, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006365712249638555, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0006365712249638555, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007881299997254843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007881299997254843, "ret_p1w": 0.022664429356322957, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022664429356322957, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016846178167647885, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016846178167647885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005818251188675072, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005818251188675072, "ret_p1m": 0.06337429622650159, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06337429622650159, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04463001282713197, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04463001282713197, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01874428339936962, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01874428339936962, "ret_p3m": 0.05090113078139202, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05090113078139202, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02173963137102164, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02173963137102164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07264076215241366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07264076215241366, "ret_p6m": -0.19864700664052293, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19864700664052293, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31773739925038813, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31773739925038813, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1190903926098652, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1190903926098652, "ret_p1y": -0.41630320899400486, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41630320899400486, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6331845221202947, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6331845221202947, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2168813131262899, "bench_c_p1y": 0.2168813131262899, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06337429622650159, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04463001282713197, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04463001282713197, "price_path": [-0.2298, -0.2721, -0.2994, -0.2415, -0.2685, -0.2338, -0.2234, -0.2314, -0.2281, -0.2201, -0.2242, -0.196, -0.1416, -0.1393, -0.137, -0.1299, -0.1275, -0.1339, -0.1346, -0.1136, -0.1098, -0.1296, -0.1108, -0.1086, -0.0516, -0.0541, -0.0555, -0.0431, -0.0489, -0.047, -0.0493, -0.0299, -0.019, 0.0075, 0.0258, -0.0144, 0.0053, 0.0012, -0.0097, -0.0296, -0.0447, -0.0274, -0.0315, -0.0379, -0.0669, -0.0411, 0.0132, 0.0128, -0.0016, -0.0269, -0.0254, -0.0189, -0.0391, -0.0365, -0.0384, -0.051, -0.0301, -0.0258, -0.0138, -0.0174, -0.0163, -0.0158, -0.029, 0.0, 0.0072, -0.0076, -0.0051, 0.0008, 0.0227, 0.0655, 0.0795, 0.101, 0.0819, 0.0908, 0.0958, 0.084, 0.0788, 0.1023, 0.0909, 0.0873, 0.0806, 0.0833, 0.0833, 0.0824, 0.0634, 0.041, 0.0571, 0.0485, 0.0567, 0.0793, 0.0719, 0.0907, 0.1039, 0.1331, 0.0873, 0.0784, 0.0679, 0.0365, 0.0497, 0.0327, 0.0736, 0.0116, 0.027, 0.0217, 0.0339, -0.0041, 0.0036, 0.0215, 0.0263, 0.0171, 0.0165, 0.0295, 0.0245, 0.0468, 0.0611, 0.0665, 0.0605, 0.0733, 0.0699, 0.076, 0.0627, 0.0357, 0.029, 0.0411, 0.0017, 0.0078, 0.0509, 0.0477, 0.0899, 0.1086, 0.1232, 0.146, 0.1157, 0.1332, 0.118, 0.04, 0.0589, 0.0391, 0.0177, -0.0062, -0.022, 0.0159, -0.0035, -0.0108, 0.0111, 0.02, 0.0483, 0.0376, 0.011, -0.0051, 0.0064, -0.0212, -0.0668, -0.0456, -0.0694, -0.0504, -0.0263, -0.0538, -0.0661, -0.0842, -0.1328, -0.154, -0.1462, -0.1598, -0.2042, -0.2183, -0.1891, -0.1977, -0.1685, -0.1614, -0.1648, -0.207, -0.1608, -0.1408, -0.1536, -0.1789, -0.1674, -0.1485, -0.1547, -0.1502, -0.1708, -0.2061, -0.1931, -0.2087, -0.2149, -0.1907, -0.1871, -0.197, -0.1952, -0.1986]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939837474001625271", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-01T00:04:28+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a powder keg", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies CIFR is primed for a short squeeze given 17% short float.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson This is a powder keg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "17% of $CIFR ‘s float is short", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.024489772086439876, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024489772086439876, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02481349113068143, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03349482437194751, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00032371904424155495, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009005052285507631, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15918361587556307, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15918361587556307, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1546502503834737, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1486245689694461, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004533365492089381, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010559046906116976, "ret_p1w": 0.23061226376490174, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23061226376490174, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2262570436604303, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20941447165229543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021197792112606306, "ret_p1m": 0.11224483738636803, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11224483738636803, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08502885813476047, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.057616664183870236, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0546281732024978, "ret_p3m": 1.340816335467585, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.340816335467585, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.266332779745596, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.228339297623605, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07448355572198895, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11247703784398011, "ret_p6m": 2.3102038770752755, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.3102038770752755, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.186040238697024, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.14105841398659, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16914546308868572, "ret_p1y": 4.95510198719449, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.95510198719449, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.732704106315305, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.423321434264306, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22239788087918488, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5317805529301838, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11224483738636803, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08502885813476047, "alpha_c_stated": 0.057616664183870236, "price_path": [-0.5286, -0.5714, -0.5449, -0.5694, -0.498, -0.5469, -0.5061, -0.502, -0.5265, -0.5255, -0.5163, -0.5163, -0.5224, -0.4408, -0.4163, -0.3878, -0.3714, -0.3755, -0.3714, -0.4184, -0.3643, -0.3551, -0.3918, -0.3796, -0.3837, -0.3633, -0.3918, -0.3571, -0.3, -0.3245, -0.3531, -0.2122, -0.2224, -0.2286, -0.2847, -0.2714, -0.2918, -0.2918, -0.2714, -0.3163, -0.3367, -0.3633, -0.3367, -0.299, -0.2367, -0.2796, -0.2041, -0.1551, -0.1714, -0.1673, -0.2163, -0.2408, -0.198, -0.249, -0.2224, -0.2224, -0.2265, -0.2796, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.1449, -0.1306, -0.0245, 0.0, 0.1592, 0.2347, 0.2347, 0.1816, 0.2306, 0.2776, 0.2735, 0.198, 0.2306, 0.2184, 0.2796, 0.3102, 0.298, 0.2755, 0.4163, 0.3633, 0.3571, 0.3204, 0.2571, 0.1592, 0.1122, 0.1143, 0.0061, 0.0592, 0.0224, 0.0633, -0.0061, -0.0306, -0.0286, -0.0367, 0.0, 0.0857, 0.0633, 0.2347, 0.1755, 0.2143, 0.2041, 0.302, 0.3551, 0.4531, 0.4265, 0.4327, 0.5592, 0.5592, 0.698, 0.6551, 0.5102, 0.5347, 0.5755, 0.8816, 1.0918, 1.0347, 1.2143, 1.2143, 1.349, 1.5265, 1.4184, 1.5061, 1.849, 1.8878, 1.8857, 1.3796, 1.3408, 1.5816, 1.5694, 1.5714, 1.8184, 2.0, 2.1306, 2.2143, 2.5918, 2.6714, 2.4633, 3.151, 3.2633, 3.2918, 2.8204, 2.8286, 3.0633, 2.6888, 2.2878, 2.5214, 3.2163, 3.1918, 3.0735, 2.998, 2.8918, 2.8061, 3.6449, 3.5939, 4.0429, 3.4306, 3.2224, 3.0102, 2.8102, 2.5469, 2.0469, 1.9306, 1.9286, 1.9755, 1.9837, 1.9714, 1.8878, 2.4102, 2.5755, 2.9082, 2.9082, 3.1531, 3.0184, 2.6, 2.802, 3.0469, 2.9347, 2.9755, 2.9918, 2.7714, 2.8531, 2.4796, 2.0082, 2.0592, 1.9367, 2.0918, 2.3082, 2.3347, 2.2469, 2.3102]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1957586558053425201", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-18T23:33:00+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It should be easier because they aren't overvalued", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses holding IREN, CIFR, BITF as not overvalued, implying room to run from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JacksonBtc73812 It should be easier because they aren’t overvalued", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I sold $PLTR at 15, because I listened when someone told me it was overvalued. It’s trading at 175. I won’t make the same mistake with $IREN or $CIFR or $BITF https://t.co/3LdfP2yZbz", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JacksonBtc73812", "ret_m1d": 0.10544583180667377, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10544583180667377, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09999104206357678, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1073469870527104, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005454789743096988, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019011552460366232, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05499202946176518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05499202946176518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.057649013813943606, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04985889556782164, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026569843521784264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005133133893943542, "ret_p1w": 0.2274426232246025, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2274426232246025, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21908084355917978, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20710039465881325, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00836177966542273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020342228565789267, "ret_p1m": 1.0234918554276544, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0234918554276544, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9932172611538044, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9953549198124045, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030274594273850042, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02813693561524988, "ret_p3m": 1.475707424728974, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.475707424728974, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4225934905739983, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.4752765089722313, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053113934154975784, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00043091575674281124, "ret_p6m": 1.278163332183968, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.278163332183968, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1904516943185797, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2686851003894406, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08771163786538838, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009478231794527447, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 1.0234918554276544, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.9932172611538044, "alpha_c_stated": 0.9953549198124045, "price_path": [-0.5045, -0.5131, -0.5131, -0.5067, -0.527, -0.5408, -0.5521, -0.5339, -0.5254, -0.4965, -0.5222, -0.4794, -0.4479, -0.4399, -0.4501, -0.457, -0.4752, -0.4447, -0.4784, -0.4768, -0.4768, -0.441, -0.4309, -0.3839, -0.3663, -0.3001, -0.2525, -0.2221, -0.1869, -0.1639, -0.102, -0.102, -0.095, -0.0982, -0.0945, -0.0908, -0.1335, -0.0774, -0.0988, -0.0758, -0.0363, -0.0422, -0.031, -0.0075, 0.0139, -0.0315, -0.0539, -0.1148, -0.157, -0.1383, -0.1399, -0.1778, -0.1201, -0.1217, -0.0219, -0.0085, -0.0149, -0.0406, -0.0481, -0.0534, 0.0187, 0.0513, 0.1054, 0.0, 0.055, 0.0459, 0.1442, 0.2344, 0.2274, 0.1935, 0.2301, 0.4138, 0.4138, 0.5542, 0.5061, 0.3951, 0.3962, 0.3983, 0.6119, 0.7955, 0.7539, 0.8131, 0.9829, 0.9461, 1.0235, 0.9391, 1.063, 1.2371, 1.2301, 1.5168, 1.4714, 1.2349, 1.4522, 1.5056, 1.5136, 1.5104, 1.6941, 2.0833, 2.2931, 2.2082, 2.409, 2.1911, 2.4245, 2.7138, 2.6295, 2.3011, 2.2419, 2.1618, 1.9469, 1.7672, 1.9824, 2.3582, 2.4698, 2.3326, 2.2258, 2.1084, 2.2435, 2.6172, 2.5574, 3.0796, 2.575, 2.3305, 2.2125, 2.0635, 1.9738, 1.5974, 1.4757, 1.5312, 1.6081, 1.4469, 1.3209, 1.2563, 1.5889, 1.5344, 1.5868, 1.5868, 1.5526, 1.5889, 1.1954, 1.347, 1.48, 1.3871, 1.4741, 1.5008, 1.3449, 1.346, 1.1426, 0.8943, 0.9536, 0.8035, 0.9114, 1.1313, 1.2445, 1.2461, 1.2413, 1.2413, 1.1516, 1.1041, 1.0448, 1.0166, 1.0166, 1.2798, 1.5755, 1.4511, 1.3292, 1.4389, 1.4576, 1.6871, 1.8292, 1.8233, 1.7704, 2.087, 2.087, 1.897, 1.8553, 1.7902, 2.0262, 1.7955, 2.2029, 2.3604, 2.1949, 1.8692, 1.834, 1.9039, 1.3994, 1.1244, 1.2333, 1.464, 1.292, 1.2782]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1957586558053425201", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-18T23:33:00+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It should be easier because they aren't overvalued", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses holding IREN, CIFR, BITF as not overvalued, implying room to run from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JacksonBtc73812 It should be easier because they aren’t overvalued", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I sold $PLTR at 15, because I listened when someone told me it was overvalued. It’s trading at 175. I won’t make the same mistake with $IREN or $CIFR or $BITF https://t.co/3LdfP2yZbz", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JacksonBtc73812", "ret_m1d": 0.050347213598865403, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.050347213598865403, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044892423855768415, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.032573430500581146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005454789743096988, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017773783098284257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03298603695024238, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03298603695024238, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03564302130242081, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039751624701663824, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026569843521784264, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006765587751421442, "ret_p1w": 0.2361110421242565, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2361110421242565, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22774926245883376, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2307216253670059, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00836177966542273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005389416757250576, "ret_p1m": 1.1493054900180435, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.1493054900180435, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.1190308957441935, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.1118084655070497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030274594273850042, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03749702451099379, "ret_p3m": 1.49305539688579, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.49305539688579, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4399414627308142, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.390233402071056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053113934154975784, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10282199481473397, "ret_p6m": 1.8263888957875745, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.8263888957875745, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.738677257922186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.7303650871850986, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08771163786538838, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09602380860247584, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 1.1493054900180435, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.1190308957441935, "alpha_c_stated": 1.1118084655070497, "price_path": [-0.3802, -0.3976, -0.3976, -0.3802, -0.4184, -0.4358, -0.4583, -0.4358, -0.4036, -0.3507, -0.3872, -0.3229, -0.2813, -0.2951, -0.2917, -0.3333, -0.3542, -0.3177, -0.3611, -0.3385, -0.3385, -0.342, -0.3872, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.2726, -0.2604, -0.1701, -0.1493, -0.0139, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0052, 0.0469, 0.0868, 0.0833, 0.0191, 0.0469, 0.0365, 0.0885, 0.1146, 0.1042, 0.0851, 0.2049, 0.1597, 0.1545, 0.1233, 0.0694, -0.0139, -0.0538, -0.0521, -0.1441, -0.099, -0.1302, -0.0955, -0.1545, -0.1753, -0.1736, -0.1806, -0.1493, -0.0764, -0.0955, 0.0503, 0.0, 0.033, 0.0243, 0.1076, 0.1528, 0.2361, 0.2135, 0.2187, 0.3264, 0.3264, 0.4444, 0.408, 0.2847, 0.3056, 0.3403, 0.6007, 0.7795, 0.7309, 0.8837, 0.8837, 0.9983, 1.1493, 1.0573, 1.1319, 1.4236, 1.4566, 1.4549, 1.0243, 0.9913, 1.1962, 1.1858, 1.1875, 1.3976, 1.5521, 1.6632, 1.7344, 2.0556, 2.1233, 1.9462, 2.5312, 2.6267, 2.651, 2.25, 2.2569, 2.4566, 2.138, 1.7969, 1.9957, 2.5868, 2.566, 2.4653, 2.401, 2.3108, 2.2378, 2.9514, 2.908, 3.2899, 2.7691, 2.592, 2.4115, 2.2413, 2.0174, 1.592, 1.4931, 1.4913, 1.5312, 1.5382, 1.5278, 1.4566, 1.901, 2.0417, 2.3247, 2.3247, 2.533, 2.4184, 2.0625, 2.2344, 2.4427, 2.3472, 2.3819, 2.3958, 2.2083, 2.2778, 1.9601, 1.559, 1.6024, 1.4983, 1.6302, 1.8142, 1.8368, 1.7622, 1.816, 1.816, 1.6372, 1.6181, 1.533, 1.5625, 1.5625, 1.8125, 2.1528, 2.0451, 1.7917, 1.8733, 1.8872, 2.0694, 2.1684, 2.1476, 2.0417, 2.2639, 2.2639, 2.1111, 2.0764, 2.0191, 2.0503, 1.8628, 2.2552, 2.2934, 2.0729, 1.7708, 1.7448, 1.8229, 1.474, 1.2049, 1.5573, 1.9097, 1.9687, 1.8264]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1960891162061094989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-28T02:24:19+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm going to profit via NVO", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVO (Novo Nordisk) on expected mass adoption of Wegovy/Ozempic.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@scottmelker Same personally but most people are not me so they are going to use Wegovy and Ozempic and I’m going to profit via NVO. Don’t hate the player, hate the game.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I literally can't imagine choosing to take a pill for something that can be fixed with behavioral change.\n\nIf you are overweight and there is no underlying medical reason, why would you take a pill instead of hitting the treadmill and dieting?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "scottmelker", "ret_m1d": 0.005881226099546, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005881226099546, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009410148273821584, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009410148273821584, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003528922174275584, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003528922174275584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0062377110312563655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0062377110312563655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0122015400544635, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0122015400544635, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0059638290232071345, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0059638290232071345, "ret_p1w": 0.000534586438715623, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.000534586438715623, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0002263715856696269, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0002263715856696269, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00030821485304599605, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00030821485304599605, "ret_p1m": -0.008911066101384035, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008911066101384035, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03161768512233931, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03161768512233931, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022706619020955277, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022706619020955277, "ret_p3m": -0.16129033167476448, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16129033167476448, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20439495392755358, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20439495392755358, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043104622252789104, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043104622252789104, "ret_p6m": -0.154874448657078, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.154874448657078, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22339486140060683, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22339486140060683, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06852041274352882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06852041274352882, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.008911066101384035, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03161768512233931, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03161768512233931, "price_path": [0.2835, 0.2497, 0.2696, 0.2804, 0.3152, 0.3299, 0.3981, 0.3875, 0.4284, 0.4069, 0.3574, 0.3101, 0.3043, 0.3043, 0.3001, 0.2287, 0.2465, 0.1869, 0.1931, 0.2074, 0.2164, 0.2305, 0.2305, 0.219, 0.219, 0.2217, 0.2273, 0.2282, 0.2514, 0.2148, 0.215, 0.1847, 0.1815, 0.1506, 0.1334, 0.1441, 0.1769, 0.2342, 0.2465, 0.2636, 0.216, -0.0494, -0.1183, -0.1705, -0.1507, -0.1398, -0.1678, -0.2002, -0.1407, -0.0998, -0.1211, -0.1227, -0.103, -0.1021, -0.0764, -0.0421, -0.0237, -0.0323, -0.0118, 0.0155, 0.0041, -0.0137, 0.0059, 0.0, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.0048, 0.0112, 0.0005, -0.0157, -0.0326, -0.0323, -0.031, -0.0323, -0.0221, -0.0087, 0.0194, 0.0372, 0.1023, 0.0943, 0.082, 0.0611, 0.0469, -0.0012, -0.0089, -0.0109, -0.011, 0.0545, 0.0469, 0.0627, 0.0631, 0.0519, 0.0624, 0.0458, 0.0146, 0.0248, 0.0098, 0.0109, -0.0004, -0.031, -0.0066, -0.0237, -0.0487, -0.0513, -0.0561, -0.0574, -0.0724, -0.0845, -0.1082, -0.1185, -0.1248, -0.1401, -0.1363, -0.1711, -0.1859, -0.1813, -0.124, -0.1043, -0.1239, -0.1399, -0.1363, -0.1526, -0.1267, -0.1517, -0.1511, -0.1985, -0.1613, -0.1319, -0.1319, -0.1205, -0.1369, -0.1547, -0.1522, -0.1447, -0.147, -0.1665, -0.1738, -0.1258, -0.1037, -0.1057, -0.1023, -0.1274, -0.1486, -0.1515, -0.1429, -0.1428, -0.0802, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0661, -0.0827, -0.0872, -0.0932, -0.0932, -0.0663, -0.0178, 0.0027, 0.0082, 0.0219, 0.0481, 0.0668, 0.0629, 0.0499, 0.018, 0.1109, 0.1109, 0.0814, 0.0572, 0.1091, 0.1096, 0.1403, 0.1208, 0.0752, 0.0574, 0.0592, 0.0503, -0.1035, -0.159, -0.2276, -0.151, -0.1201, -0.1246, -0.1313, -0.128, -0.1166, -0.1166, -0.1201, -0.1226, -0.1365, -0.1549]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1941169203878543864", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-04T16:16:18+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buy $IREN and $CIFR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy IREN and CIFR as data center plays without overpaying.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@longoption WRONG.\n\nIf you want to invest in data centers and don't want to get hosed overpaying, buy $IREN and $CIFR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00766967918960082, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00766967918960082, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015177599925174756, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017350817350416103, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009681138160815284, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0035399038696332097, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0035399038696332097, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029921685746207016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005381824079434883, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008921727949068092, "ret_p1w": 0.019469021171231393, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019469021171231393, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012815066391159702, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02193668152521644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002467660353985046, "ret_p1m": -0.029498523745983052, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029498523745983052, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041243662682237225, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010895657636099565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018602866109883487, "ret_p3m": 1.7740412000789494, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.7740412000789494, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6928475209184033, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7579890904341455, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016052109644803858, "ret_p6m": 1.2595868739311253, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2595868739311253, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1463718079394123, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.205009348164161, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054577525766964285, "ret_p1y": 1.9675514438347181, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.9675514438347181, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.773112274467488, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9319844698766717, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03556697395804642, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.029498523745983052, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.041243662682237225, "alpha_c_stated": -0.010895657636099565, "price_path": [-0.6519, -0.6761, -0.6678, -0.6608, -0.6785, -0.6773, -0.6702, -0.6702, -0.6749, -0.6425, -0.6401, -0.6283, -0.6142, -0.623, -0.6301, -0.6395, -0.6242, -0.6147, -0.6348, -0.6165, -0.6124, -0.5935, -0.5847, -0.5569, -0.5209, -0.5298, -0.5428, -0.5038, -0.4962, -0.492, -0.4755, -0.4525, -0.4619, -0.4619, -0.4549, -0.4773, -0.4926, -0.505, -0.485, -0.4755, -0.4437, -0.472, -0.4248, -0.39, -0.3811, -0.3923, -0.4, -0.4201, -0.3864, -0.4236, -0.4218, -0.4218, -0.3823, -0.3711, -0.3192, -0.2997, -0.2265, -0.174, -0.1404, -0.1015, -0.0761, -0.0077, -0.0077, 0.0, -0.0035, 0.0006, 0.0047, -0.0425, 0.0195, -0.0041, 0.0212, 0.0649, 0.0584, 0.0708, 0.0968, 0.1204, 0.0702, 0.0454, -0.0218, -0.0684, -0.0478, -0.0496, -0.0914, -0.0277, -0.0295, 0.0808, 0.0956, 0.0885, 0.0602, 0.0519, 0.046, 0.1257, 0.1617, 0.2215, 0.105, 0.1658, 0.1558, 0.2643, 0.364, 0.3563, 0.3189, 0.3593, 0.5622, 0.5622, 0.7174, 0.6643, 0.5416, 0.5428, 0.5451, 0.7811, 0.9841, 0.9381, 1.0035, 1.1912, 1.1504, 1.236, 1.1428, 1.2796, 1.472, 1.4643, 1.7811, 1.731, 1.4696, 1.7097, 1.7687, 1.7776, 1.774, 1.977, 2.4071, 2.6389, 2.5451, 2.767, 2.5263, 2.7841, 3.1038, 3.0106, 2.6478, 2.5823, 2.4938, 2.2563, 2.0578, 2.2956, 2.7109, 2.8342, 2.6826, 2.5646, 2.4348, 2.5841, 2.997, 2.931, 3.508, 2.9504, 2.6802, 2.5499, 2.3853, 2.2861, 1.8702, 1.7357, 1.7971, 1.882, 1.7038, 1.5646, 1.4932, 1.8608, 1.8006, 1.8584, 1.8584, 1.8206, 1.8608, 1.426, 1.5935, 1.7404, 1.6378, 1.7339, 1.7634, 1.5912, 1.5923, 1.3676, 1.0932, 1.1587, 0.9929, 1.1121, 1.3552, 1.4802, 1.482, 1.4767, 1.4767, 1.3776, 1.3251, 1.2596]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1941169203878543864", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-04T16:16:18+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buy $IREN and $CIFR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy IREN and CIFR as data center plays without overpaying.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@longoption WRONG.\n\nIf you want to invest in data centers and don't want to get hosed overpaying, buy $IREN and $CIFR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04490504846197374, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04490504846197374, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037397127726399804, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03690262765055308, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008002420811420663, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04145082029992153, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04145082029992153, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04199855559493404, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.036076621352810756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005374198947110775, "ret_p1w": 0.04145082029992153, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04145082029992153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03479686551984984, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038626500194905766, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002824320105015765, "ret_p1m": -0.13471498067532994, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13471498067532994, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14646011961158412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15511359021304527, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02039860953771533, "ret_p3m": 1.3851468930229416, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3851468930229416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3039532138623955, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2611560633685313, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12399082965441033, "ret_p6m": 1.5198618736982716, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5198618736982716, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4066468077065586, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3758346055128374, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1440272681854342, "ret_p1y": 3.528497320570459, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.528497320570459, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.334058151203229, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.0848237572909287, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.44367356327953034, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13471498067532994, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14646011961158412, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15511359021304527, "price_path": [-0.5751, -0.6166, -0.582, -0.5786, -0.5993, -0.5984, -0.5907, -0.5907, -0.5959, -0.5268, -0.506, -0.4819, -0.468, -0.4715, -0.468, -0.5078, -0.462, -0.4542, -0.4853, -0.475, -0.4784, -0.4611, -0.4853, -0.456, -0.4076, -0.4283, -0.4525, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.3472, -0.3946, -0.3834, -0.4007, -0.4007, -0.3834, -0.4214, -0.4387, -0.4611, -0.4387, -0.4067, -0.3541, -0.3903, -0.3264, -0.285, -0.2988, -0.2953, -0.3368, -0.3575, -0.3212, -0.3644, -0.342, -0.342, -0.3454, -0.3903, -0.3351, -0.3351, -0.2763, -0.2642, -0.1744, -0.1537, -0.019, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0, 0.0415, 0.0812, 0.0777, 0.0138, 0.0415, 0.0311, 0.0829, 0.1088, 0.0984, 0.0794, 0.1986, 0.1537, 0.1485, 0.1174, 0.0639, -0.019, -0.0587, -0.057, -0.1485, -0.1036, -0.1347, -0.1002, -0.1589, -0.1796, -0.1779, -0.1848, -0.1537, -0.0812, -0.1002, 0.0449, -0.0052, 0.0276, 0.019, 0.1019, 0.1468, 0.2297, 0.2073, 0.2124, 0.3195, 0.3195, 0.437, 0.4007, 0.2781, 0.2988, 0.3333, 0.5924, 0.7703, 0.7219, 0.8739, 0.8739, 0.9879, 1.1382, 1.0466, 1.1209, 1.4111, 1.4439, 1.4421, 1.0138, 0.981, 1.1848, 1.1744, 1.1762, 1.3851, 1.5389, 1.6494, 1.7202, 2.0397, 2.1071, 1.9309, 2.513, 2.6079, 2.6321, 2.2332, 2.2401, 2.4387, 2.1218, 1.7824, 1.9801, 2.5682, 2.5475, 2.4473, 2.3834, 2.2936, 2.2211, 2.9309, 2.8877, 3.2677, 2.7496, 2.5734, 2.3938, 2.2245, 2.0017, 1.5786, 1.4801, 1.4784, 1.5181, 1.525, 1.5147, 1.4439, 1.886, 2.0259, 2.3074, 2.3074, 2.5147, 2.4007, 2.0466, 2.2176, 2.4249, 2.3299, 2.3644, 2.3782, 2.1917, 2.2608, 1.9447, 1.5458, 1.5889, 1.4853, 1.6166, 1.7997, 1.8221, 1.7478, 1.8014, 1.8014, 1.6235, 1.6045, 1.5199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1947678158586818649", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-22T15:20:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like what I'm seeing. $146,000 soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $146,000 soon based on chart pattern.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow I like what I'm seeing. $146,000 soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin 8 hour chart\nBollinger band shown\nCurrent move reminds me of beginning of July https://t.co/0VIkshPMjW", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.021299772328538857, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021299772328538857, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021156597391434273, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021156597391434273, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0001431749371045843, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0001431749371045843, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010337504434577038, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010337504434577038, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01884488265418538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01884488265418538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008507378219608341, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008507378219608341, "ret_p1w": -0.017277873835412905, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017277873835412905, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02745497210631309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02745497210631309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010177098270900187, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010177098270900187, "ret_p1m": -0.047674087544882116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.047674087544882116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.062383227022294485, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.062383227022294485, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01470913947741237, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01470913947741237, "ret_p3m": -0.11273451661206058, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11273451661206058, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17216261566006996, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17216261566006996, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059428099048009386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059428099048009386, "ret_p6m": -0.19222472890077247, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19222472890077247, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2963170297298624, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2963170297298624, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10409230082908993, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10409230082908993, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.047674087544882116, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.062383227022294485, "alpha_c_stated": -0.062383227022294485, "price_path": [-0.2171, -0.2106, -0.2085, -0.2143, -0.2149, -0.1959, -0.1924, -0.2104, -0.1933, -0.1914, -0.1396, -0.1419, -0.1432, -0.1319, -0.1371, -0.1354, -0.1376, -0.1199, -0.11, -0.086, -0.0694, -0.1059, -0.088, -0.0917, -0.1016, -0.1196, -0.1333, -0.1176, -0.1214, -0.1272, -0.1535, -0.13, -0.0808, -0.0812, -0.0942, -0.1172, -0.1159, -0.11, -0.1283, -0.1259, -0.1276, -0.1391, -0.1202, -0.1163, -0.1053, -0.1086, -0.1076, -0.1072, -0.1191, -0.0928, -0.0862, -0.0997, -0.0975, -0.092, -0.0722, -0.0334, -0.0207, -0.0012, -0.0185, -0.0105, -0.0059, -0.0166, -0.0213, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0136, -0.0197, -0.0173, -0.0173, -0.018, -0.0353, -0.0556, -0.041, -0.0488, -0.0414, -0.0208, -0.0276, -0.0105, 0.0015, 0.0279, -0.0136, -0.0216, -0.0312, -0.0597, -0.0477, -0.0631, -0.026, -0.0823, -0.0683, -0.0731, -0.0621, -0.0965, -0.0895, -0.0733, -0.0689, -0.0773, -0.0779, -0.066, -0.0705, -0.0503, -0.0374, -0.0324, -0.0379, -0.0263, -0.0294, -0.0238, -0.0359, -0.0604, -0.0665, -0.0556, -0.0912, -0.0857, -0.0466, -0.0495, -0.0112, 0.0057, 0.0189, 0.0396, 0.0121, 0.028, 0.0143, -0.0565, -0.0394, -0.0573, -0.0768, -0.0984, -0.1127, -0.0784, -0.096, -0.1026, -0.0827, -0.0747, -0.049, -0.0587, -0.0828, -0.0974, -0.087, -0.1121, -0.1534, -0.1342, -0.1558, -0.1385, -0.1167, -0.1417, -0.1528, -0.1692, -0.2133, -0.2325, -0.2254, -0.2378, -0.278, -0.2909, -0.2644, -0.2721, -0.2457, -0.2393, -0.2423, -0.2806, -0.2387, -0.2206, -0.2321, -0.2551, -0.2446, -0.2275, -0.2331, -0.229, -0.2477, -0.2798, -0.2679, -0.2821, -0.2878, -0.2658, -0.2626, -0.2715, -0.2699, -0.273, -0.2725, -0.2738, -0.2631, -0.2707, -0.2605, -0.2504, -0.2176, -0.2189, -0.2391, -0.2414, -0.2457, -0.24, -0.2056, -0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1954572130622050563", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-10T15:54:44+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ETH goes to $10,000-$30,000 whether you like it or not", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ETH reaches $10,000–$30,000 regardless of treasury company tokenization debate.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BitcoinPierre Doesn't matter. ETH goes to $10,000-$30,000 whether you like it or not. Personally, I am basically ambivalent and feel nothing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Publicly traded ETH treasury companies list their shares on TradFi exchanges instead of tokenizing them on Ethereum. And then they argue that ETH accrues value because tokenizing on Ethereum is better than listing shares on TradFi exchanges.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinPierre", "ret_m1d": -0.05136494568218286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05136494568218286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05334636528810577, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05334636528810577, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08610382463415012, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08610382463415012, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07545784283141921, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07545784283141921, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": 0.0202362805406322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0202362805406322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008630933754839587, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008630933754839587, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": 0.019416927308709475, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.019416927308709475, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003243339580301541, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003243339580301541, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.21639843138849468, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21639843138849468, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27340010236822787, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27340010236822787, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.4730124590669932, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4730124590669932, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5635346492101051, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5635346492101051, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.019416927308709475, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.003243339580301541, "alpha_c_stated": -0.003243339580301541, "price_path": [-0.3825, -0.3975, -0.4, -0.4017, -0.4028, -0.3962, -0.3697, -0.4023, -0.3934, -0.37, -0.3655, -0.3772, -0.4015, -0.3832, -0.3865, -0.3829, -0.4284, -0.414, -0.3656, -0.3344, -0.3438, -0.3726, -0.3898, -0.399, -0.406, -0.4028, -0.4034, -0.4305, -0.4271, -0.4209, -0.4276, -0.4284, -0.4266, -0.4118, -0.4308, -0.3917, -0.387, -0.4065, -0.3984, -0.3812, -0.3445, -0.301, -0.3002, -0.2871, -0.2572, -0.2024, -0.1775, -0.1604, -0.1097, -0.113, -0.1413, -0.1228, -0.1182, -0.104, -0.1026, -0.0991, -0.1254, -0.1747, -0.1202, -0.1455, -0.1285, -0.074, -0.0514, 0.0, 0.0861, 0.1252, 0.076, 0.0504, 0.0202, -0.0363, 0.0254, -0.0009, 0.143, 0.0345, 0.0884, 0.0654, 0.0663, 0.0315, 0.0207, 0.0233, 0.0529, 0.017, 0.0189, 0.0192, 0.0194, 0.0289, 0.0554, 0.1155, 0.0709, 0.0654, 0.0865, 0.0859, 0.0577, -0.0057, -0.0145, -0.0174, -0.0848, -0.0452, -0.0023, -0.0192, 0.0294, 0.0617, 0.0681, 0.109, 0.053, 0.0711, 0.0336, -0.0908, 0.0044, -0.024, -0.0567, -0.0786, -0.0933, -0.0582, -0.0828, -0.0991, -0.0878, -0.0692, -0.0253, -0.0579, -0.0766, -0.1, -0.0899, -0.1478, -0.2211, -0.1897, -0.2164, -0.1873, -0.1558, -0.192, -0.1925, -0.2352, -0.2657, -0.2845, -0.2612, -0.2848, -0.3301, -0.3457, -0.3015, -0.3002, -0.2837, -0.2868, -0.2826, -0.3375, -0.2908, -0.2449, -0.2585, -0.2845, -0.2607, -0.2143, -0.2133, -0.2342, -0.2704, -0.2987, -0.2987, -0.3302, -0.3312, -0.2955, -0.2888, -0.2989, -0.3031, -0.3131, -0.3078, -0.3058, -0.297, -0.2981, -0.2902, -0.2608, -0.2368, -0.2203, -0.2508, -0.2656, -0.2706, -0.2684, -0.2141, -0.2064, -0.2153, -0.2204, -0.2461, -0.3055, -0.2953, -0.3022, -0.3013, -0.3077, -0.285, -0.2887, -0.3333, -0.3607, -0.4454, -0.473]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1945869467151687683", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-17T15:33:28+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm adding more OSCR here. Up to 207,000 shares now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding to OSCR position, now holds 207,000 shares — live long.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AgogoEhizogie @VolatiCycle @Jake__Wujastyk Blocked that clown. I'm up huge today. He doesn't understand how portfolio management works and is wasting my time.\n\nI'm adding more OSCR here. Up to 207,000 shares now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@VolatiCycle @Jake__Wujastyk @mikealfred Someone check on me too! 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 we will laugh last!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AgogoEhizogie", "ret_m1d": 0.10670515559640092, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10670515559640092, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11278757069477474, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09517698855858314, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006082415098373817, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011528167037817783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032444110524734726, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032444110524734726, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03171167773458139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025813572076864633, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007324327901533367, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0066305384478700935, "ret_p1w": 0.0237923523020096, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0237923523020096, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01363380231848299, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.000887036629680038, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01015854998352661, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022905315672329563, "ret_p1m": 0.12761358849083537, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12761358849083537, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10309281167973228, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10131755288184219, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.024520776811103095, "bench_c_p1m": 0.026296035608993185, "ret_p3m": 0.4917087746770108, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4917087746770108, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4343462382310117, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4143206748102135, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05736253644599909, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07738809986679729, "ret_p6m": 0.27829846348420895, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27829846348420895, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16682335229523204, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08253018396984957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1114751111889769, "bench_c_p6m": 0.19576827951435938, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12761358849083537, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10309281167973228, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10131755288184219, "price_path": [-0.1608, -0.1637, -0.1341, -0.1327, -0.1182, -0.0901, -0.0519, -0.062, -0.0591, -0.0483, -0.0627, -0.0577, 0.2271, 0.23, 0.2336, 0.2127, 0.2199, 0.1925, 0.1939, 0.2632, 0.2076, 0.1875, 0.0714, 0.036, 0.0216, 0.0216, 0.0822, 0.0014, -0.005, -0.005, 0.0281, 0.0274, 0.0202, 0.1283, 0.1118, 0.0642, 0.0591, 0.0202, 0.0339, 0.0058, 0.0779, 0.1615, 0.3533, 0.3533, 0.5299, 0.4722, 0.4434, 0.3836, 0.4766, 0.4715, 0.5458, 0.4744, 0.1983, 0.1875, 0.1875, 0.212, 0.1932, 0.1593, 0.1197, 0.0368, 0.0872, 0.0757, 0.1067, 0.0, -0.0324, -0.018, 0.0598, 0.1442, 0.0238, 0.0418, 0.0577, -0.0022, 0.0094, 0.013, -0.0209, -0.0022, -0.0036, 0.0339, 0.093, 0.1146, 0.1255, 0.08, 0.0764, 0.0584, 0.1276, 0.2004, 0.199, 0.1009, 0.1118, 0.2112, 0.2048, 0.2314, 0.2271, 0.243, 0.2012, 0.2012, 0.1846, 0.2747, 0.3252, 0.4009, 0.4621, 0.4456, 0.4045, 0.4009, 0.3937, 0.3504, 0.2927, 0.2812, 0.3778, 0.3677, 0.3338, 0.2805, 0.3295, 0.3043, 0.328, 0.3792, 0.3648, 0.3627, 0.3901, 0.5616, 0.6085, 0.62, 0.5717, 0.4809, 0.3533, 0.4708, 0.4917, 0.4903, 0.5162, 0.398, 0.4549, 0.5696, 0.4686, 0.4146, 0.3908, 0.4182, 0.4088, 0.3634, 0.3043, 0.2978, 0.2733, 0.2372, 0.2278, 0.1939, 0.2776, 0.0534, 0.0707, 0.0887, 0.0058, 0.0007, 0.0274, 0.0606, 0.0151, -0.0606, -0.0281, 0.1889, 0.2062, 0.3093, 0.3093, 0.2956, 0.2004, 0.2149, 0.2329, 0.2386, 0.2091, 0.2062, 0.2228, 0.124, 0.1442, 0.199, 0.1637, 0.1327, 0.1096, 0.0671, 0.0743, 0.0836, 0.0699, 0.0764, 0.0764, 0.075, 0.0476, 0.0461, 0.036, 0.036, 0.0793, 0.1947, 0.1911, 0.1882, 0.2185, 0.2783]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1954243888404938889", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-09T18:10:25+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Adding a few more Bitcoin here at $116,600. $146,000 then $172,000 coming within months.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC at $116,600 with targets $146K then $172K within months; energy value at $140K+ and margin of safety described as obscene.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Adding a few more Bitcoin here at $116,600. The energy value right now is already in the $140,000 area and it’s going higher. The margin of safety here is obscene. $146,000 then $172,000 coming within months. DO NOT F this up. Seriously.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1262, -0.1284, -0.1105, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0594, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.082, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.1241, -0.1082, -0.112, -0.1179, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0846, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1005, -0.119, -0.1166, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.0958, -0.0991, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0831, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0094, -0.008, 0.0001, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0092, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0076, -0.025, -0.0456, -0.0308, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0104, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0031, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0497, -0.0375, -0.0532, -0.0156, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.0521, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.059, -0.0674, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0606, -0.0402, -0.0272, -0.0221, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0191, -0.0134, -0.0256, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0007, 0.0164, 0.0298, 0.0507, 0.0229, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.0669, -0.0888, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.073, -0.0648, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0731, -0.0878, -0.0773, -0.1026, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1468, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1325, -0.1438, -0.1603, -0.2049, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2296, -0.2704, -0.2833, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2376, -0.2312, -0.2342, -0.273, -0.2306, -0.2123, -0.2239, -0.2471, -0.2366, -0.2193, -0.225, -0.2208, -0.2397, -0.2721, -0.2601, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2647, -0.2661, -0.2552, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2377, -0.2319, -0.1972, -0.1836, -0.1952, -0.1955, -0.2205, -0.2562, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2462, -0.2566, -0.2495, -0.2489, -0.2878, -0.2914, -0.3373, -0.363]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944491724895928549", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-13T20:18:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$121,000 has been pre-ordained this week.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; expects $121K to be reached this week as bulls break through the $120K sell wall.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bitcoinmunger @okotoki Agreed. $121,000 has been pre-ordained this week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin $120k defenders are not going to hold for long.\n\nBulls are going to ram right through the sell wall. https://t.co/zimmQvjnDq", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bitcoinmunger", "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0264478519487662, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1955734494004322345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-13T20:53:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$123,000 US AMERICAN DEBASING DOLLARS PER 1 BITCOIN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC price target of $123,000, framed around USD debasement thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$123,000 US AMERICAN DEBASING DOLLARS PER 1 BITCOIN 🇺🇸", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02570984112024044, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02570984112024044, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025616836200165305, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025616836200165305, "bench_spy_m1d": -9.300492007513483e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -9.300492007513483e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.040411222672351976, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.040411222672351976, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038070024746017284, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038070024746017284, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0023411979263346927, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0023411979263346927, "ret_p1w": -0.07352863306654911, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07352863306654911, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05895384352367017, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05895384352367017, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014574789542878941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014574789542878941, "ret_p1m": -0.06353385220711372, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06353385220711372, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0828532322508605, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0828532322508605, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01931938004374678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01931938004374678, "ret_p3m": -0.14064291704353427, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14064291704353427, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20257577361502077, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20257577361502077, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061932856571486505, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061932856571486505, "ret_p6m": -0.49164883671437365, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.49164883671437365, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.568602179246136, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.568602179246136, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07695334253176234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07695334253176234, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06353385220711372, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0828532322508605, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0828532322508605, "price_path": [-0.161, -0.1438, -0.1342, -0.1108, -0.0946, -0.1302, -0.1127, -0.1163, -0.126, -0.1435, -0.1568, -0.1416, -0.1452, -0.1509, -0.1765, -0.1537, -0.1058, -0.1061, -0.1188, -0.1412, -0.1399, -0.1342, -0.152, -0.1497, -0.1513, -0.1624, -0.144, -0.1402, -0.1296, -0.1328, -0.1318, -0.1314, -0.1431, -0.1174, -0.111, -0.1241, -0.122, -0.1167, -0.0974, -0.0596, -0.0472, -0.0283, -0.0451, -0.0373, -0.0329, -0.0433, -0.0479, -0.0271, -0.0372, -0.0403, -0.0463, -0.0439, -0.044, -0.0447, -0.0615, -0.0813, -0.0671, -0.0746, -0.0674, -0.0474, -0.054, -0.0374, -0.0257, 0.0, -0.0404, -0.0482, -0.0575, -0.0852, -0.0735, -0.0886, -0.0525, -0.1072, -0.0936, -0.0983, -0.0876, -0.1211, -0.1143, -0.0985, -0.0942, -0.1023, -0.1029, -0.0914, -0.0958, -0.0761, -0.0635, -0.0587, -0.064, -0.0527, -0.0557, -0.0503, -0.0621, -0.0859, -0.0919, -0.0812, -0.1159, -0.1105, -0.0725, -0.0753, -0.0381, -0.0216, -0.0087, 0.0114, -0.0153, 0.0001, -0.0133, -0.0821, -0.0655, -0.0829, -0.1018, -0.1229, -0.1368, -0.1034, -0.1205, -0.1269, -0.1076, -0.0998, -0.0748, -0.0842, -0.1077, -0.1219, -0.1118, -0.1362, -0.1764, -0.1577, -0.1787, -0.1619, -0.1406, -0.165, -0.1758, -0.1917, -0.2347, -0.2534, -0.2464, -0.2584, -0.2976, -0.3101, -0.2844, -0.2919, -0.2661, -0.2599, -0.2629, -0.3002, -0.2594, -0.2417, -0.253, -0.2753, -0.2651, -0.2485, -0.2539, -0.25, -0.2681, -0.2994, -0.2878, -0.3016, -0.3071, -0.2857, -0.2826, -0.2913, -0.2897, -0.2928, -0.2922, -0.2935, -0.2831, -0.2905, -0.2806, -0.2708, -0.2389, -0.2401, -0.2597, -0.262, -0.2662, -0.2607, -0.2272, -0.2142, -0.2253, -0.2255, -0.2496, -0.284, -0.2754, -0.2747, -0.2744, -0.2844, -0.2776, -0.2769, -0.3144, -0.3179, -0.362, -0.3868, -0.408, -0.4916]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1940799682915324037", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-03T15:47:57+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR getting stronger as the holiday shortened trading day progresses even as other names sell-off. I still think an announcement of some kind likely next week.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish CIFR into next week on expected announcement or major institutional 13G filing disclosing 5-10% position.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CIFR getting stronger as the holiday shortened trading day progresses even as other names sell-off. I still think an announcement of some kind likely next week. Could also be a 13G filing from a major hyperscaler or well known hedge fund disclosing a 5-10% position. Watch closely", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.061157082765529336, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.061157082765529336, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0533374119399308, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04815898072350089, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007819670825598535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012998102042028448, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.03140488832946997, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03140488832946997, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030637220648753072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031326928489532335, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0007676676807168992, "bench_c_p1w": 7.795983993763578e-05, "ret_p1m": -0.1851240210060554, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1851240210060554, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1793349836636955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18555220318972476, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.005789037342359915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0004281821836693567, "ret_p3m": 1.080991695152103, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.080991695152103, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0127298639266897, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9826797405837071, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0682618312254133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09831195456839592, "ret_p6m": 1.5107436531399925, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5107436531399925, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4005167781790346, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3670570421455657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11022687496095784, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1436866109944268, "ret_p1y": 3.6512394218999873, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.6512394218999873, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.4476732754229937, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.1478272462563486, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20356614647699356, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5034121756436387, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03140488832946997, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.030637220648753072, "alpha_c_stated": 0.031326928489532335, "price_path": [-0.6314, -0.6512, -0.5934, -0.6331, -0.6, -0.5967, -0.6165, -0.6157, -0.6083, -0.6083, -0.6132, -0.5471, -0.5273, -0.5041, -0.4909, -0.4942, -0.4909, -0.5289, -0.4851, -0.4777, -0.5074, -0.4975, -0.5008, -0.4843, -0.5074, -0.4793, -0.4331, -0.4529, -0.476, -0.362, -0.3702, -0.3752, -0.4207, -0.4099, -0.4264, -0.4264, -0.4099, -0.4463, -0.4628, -0.4843, -0.4628, -0.4322, -0.3818, -0.4165, -0.3554, -0.3157, -0.3289, -0.3256, -0.3653, -0.3851, -0.3504, -0.3917, -0.3702, -0.3702, -0.3736, -0.4165, -0.3636, -0.3636, -0.3074, -0.2959, -0.2099, -0.1901, -0.0612, 0.0, 0.0, -0.043, -0.0033, 0.0347, 0.0314, -0.0298, -0.0033, -0.0132, 0.0364, 0.0612, 0.0512, 0.0331, 0.1471, 0.1041, 0.0992, 0.0694, 0.0182, -0.0612, -0.0992, -0.0975, -0.1851, -0.1421, -0.1719, -0.1388, -0.195, -0.2149, -0.2132, -0.2198, -0.1901, -0.1207, -0.1388, 0.0, -0.0479, -0.0165, -0.0248, 0.0545, 0.0975, 0.1769, 0.1554, 0.1603, 0.2628, 0.2628, 0.3752, 0.3405, 0.2231, 0.243, 0.276, 0.524, 0.6942, 0.6479, 0.7934, 0.7934, 0.9025, 1.0463, 0.9587, 1.0298, 1.3074, 1.3388, 1.3372, 0.9273, 0.8959, 1.0909, 1.081, 1.0826, 1.2826, 1.4298, 1.5355, 1.6033, 1.9091, 1.9736, 1.805, 2.362, 2.4529, 2.476, 2.0942, 2.1008, 2.2909, 1.9876, 1.6628, 1.8521, 2.4149, 2.395, 2.2992, 2.238, 2.1521, 2.0826, 2.762, 2.7207, 3.0843, 2.5884, 2.4198, 2.2479, 2.086, 1.8727, 1.4678, 1.3736, 1.3719, 1.4099, 1.4165, 1.4066, 1.3388, 1.762, 1.8959, 2.1653, 2.1653, 2.3636, 2.2545, 1.9157, 2.0793, 2.2777, 2.1868, 2.2198, 2.2331, 2.0545, 2.1207, 1.8182, 1.4364, 1.4777, 1.3785, 1.5041, 1.6793, 1.7008, 1.6298, 1.681, 1.681, 1.5107]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944429516136312860", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-13T16:11:37+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nearly all businesses will underperform holding Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: claims nearly all businesses will underperform simply holding Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Ferraritech Actually that’s a good point. Nearly all businesses will underperform holding Bitcoin. But if you want to be a sacrificial lamb, please proceed. The world needs people like you to go round.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Yes. Why open a business or actually do anything build anything. Just buy Bitcoin. It's that simple!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ferraritech", "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939093164955992345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-28T22:46:51+00:00", "symbol": "Novo Nordisk", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They can both go back to all time highs. Most importantly, they are very cheap right now irrespective of how high they go. There is a nice embedded margin of safety.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long both Novo Nordisk and Regeneron to all-time highs; calls them cheap with margin of safety.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Novo Nordisk US ADR NVO", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@OB03153 @Jake__Wujastyk There can both go back to all time highs. Most importantly, they are very cheap right now irrespective of how high they go. There is a nice embedded margin of safety.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @Jake__Wujastyk I think so too!\n\n@mikealfred - what are your long term targets for novo, regn?\n\nThanks for all you share \n\nYou’ve been talking about miners for so long and now everyone wants in !!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OB03153", "ret_m1d": -0.007389123457798741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007389123457798741, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002630695028643437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002630695028643437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011590968218182063, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011590968218182063, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011914582502316806, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011914582502316806, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "ret_p1w": 0.004346584110771268, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004346584110771268, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00023385646210982713, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00023385646210982713, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "ret_p1m": -0.21848735211004822, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21848735211004822, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2466657662582249, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2466657662582249, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "ret_p3m": -0.17891203289256785, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17891203289256785, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24692926315581698, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24692926315581698, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "ret_p6m": -0.2438196355326414, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2438196355326414, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3636801737571316, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3636801737571316, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "ret_p1y": -0.3389672169427318, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3389672169427318, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5483950998490956, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5483950998490956, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21848735211004822, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2466657662582249, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2466657662582249, "price_path": [-0.0113, -0.0278, -0.0937, -0.0779, -0.1075, -0.0569, -0.1132, -0.0622, -0.0429, -0.0656, -0.089, -0.1585, -0.1585, -0.1549, -0.132, -0.1119, -0.0926, -0.1006, -0.0927, -0.0559, -0.0372, -0.0496, 0.003, 0.0014, -0.0396, -0.0213, -0.0604, -0.0471, -0.0185, -0.0524, -0.0668, -0.0416, -0.0674, -0.029, -0.0119, -0.0119, -0.0123, -0.0242, -0.0242, 0.0206, -0.0061, 0.0064, 0.0359, 0.0552, 0.0274, 0.0438, 0.0526, 0.0813, 0.0933, 0.1494, 0.1407, 0.1743, 0.1566, 0.1159, 0.0771, 0.0723, 0.0723, 0.0688, 0.0101, 0.0248, -0.0242, -0.0191, -0.0074, 0.0, 0.0116, 0.0116, 0.0022, 0.0022, 0.0043, 0.009, 0.0097, 0.0288, -0.0013, -0.0012, -0.0261, -0.0287, -0.054, -0.0682, -0.0594, -0.0325, 0.0146, 0.0248, 0.0388, -0.0003, -0.2185, -0.2751, -0.318, -0.3018, -0.2928, -0.3159, -0.3425, -0.2935, -0.2599, -0.2775, -0.2788, -0.2625, -0.2618, -0.2407, -0.2125, -0.1974, -0.2044, -0.1876, -0.1651, -0.1745, -0.1892, -0.1731, -0.1779, -0.1728, -0.1728, -0.1739, -0.1687, -0.1774, -0.1908, -0.2047, -0.2044, -0.2034, -0.2044, -0.1961, -0.1851, -0.1619, -0.1473, -0.0938, -0.1004, -0.1105, -0.1276, -0.1394, -0.1789, -0.1852, -0.1868, -0.187, -0.1331, -0.1394, -0.1263, -0.126, -0.1352, -0.1266, -0.1402, -0.1659, -0.1575, -0.1698, -0.1689, -0.1782, -0.2034, -0.1833, -0.1974, -0.2179, -0.2201, -0.224, -0.2251, -0.2374, -0.2473, -0.2668, -0.2753, -0.2804, -0.293, -0.29, -0.3185, -0.3307, -0.3269, -0.2799, -0.2636, -0.2797, -0.2929, -0.29, -0.3033, -0.2821, -0.3026, -0.3021, -0.3411, -0.3105, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.2769, -0.2904, -0.3051, -0.303, -0.2969, -0.2988, -0.3147, -0.3207, -0.2813, -0.2632, -0.2648, -0.262, -0.2826, -0.3001, -0.3024, -0.2954, -0.2952, -0.2438]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939093164955992345", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-28T22:46:51+00:00", "symbol": "REGN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They can both go back to all time highs. Most importantly, they are very cheap right now irrespective of how high they go. There is a nice embedded margin of safety.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long both Novo Nordisk and Regeneron to all-time highs; calls them cheap with margin of safety.", "resolved_tickers": ["REGN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@OB03153 @Jake__Wujastyk There can both go back to all time highs. Most importantly, they are very cheap right now irrespective of how high they go. There is a nice embedded margin of safety.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @Jake__Wujastyk I think so too!\n\n@mikealfred - what are your long term targets for novo, regn?\n\nThanks for all you share \n\nYou’ve been talking about miners for so long and now everyone wants in !!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OB03153", "ret_m1d": -0.007619067880764274, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007619067880764274, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0028606394516089706, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0012388250829991065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006380242797765168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01887612699467356, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01887612699467356, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019199741278808302, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00463175953747097, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014244367457202589, "ret_p1w": 0.024971474814900363, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024971474814900363, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020391034242019268, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028161538623087456, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0031900638081870936, "ret_p1m": 0.06314279565633996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06314279565633996, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03496438150816328, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06581362175340244, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002670826097062484, "ret_p3m": 0.059721059284107536, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.059721059284107536, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.008296170979141593, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.060066718638829175, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0003456593547216391, "ret_p6m": 0.4997107445117146, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4997107445117146, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.37985020628722443, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3396703480942245, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16004039641749013, "ret_p1y": 0.1643074040637913, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.1643074040637913, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.04512047884257253, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.031664053335764386, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1326433507280269, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06314279565633996, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03496438150816328, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06581362175340244, "price_path": [0.1899, 0.1614, 0.0907, 0.0894, 0.059, 0.0969, 0.0392, 0.054, 0.0861, 0.0611, 0.0447, 0.0711, 0.0711, 0.0679, 0.1136, 0.1181, 0.1407, 0.1462, 0.1618, 0.082, 0.1388, 0.1222, 0.1518, 0.148, 0.0623, 0.0669, 0.0416, 0.0038, 0.0948, 0.092, 0.0867, 0.1126, 0.1304, 0.1346, 0.171, 0.1517, 0.1369, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1491, 0.1273, 0.1531, -0.0661, -0.0651, -0.0707, -0.0763, -0.0799, -0.0605, -0.0141, -0.0028, -0.0122, -0.006, 0.0081, -0.0044, -0.0307, -0.0218, -0.0218, -0.0291, -0.0249, -0.0052, -0.009, -0.0076, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.0189, 0.0433, 0.0426, 0.0426, 0.025, 0.0433, 0.0525, 0.0662, 0.0814, 0.0868, 0.0437, 0.0437, 0.0476, 0.0334, 0.0391, 0.0684, 0.0903, 0.0755, 0.0726, 0.0641, 0.0631, 0.0563, 0.039, 0.0645, 0.0886, 0.0855, 0.0574, 0.0663, 0.0724, 0.0399, 0.0601, 0.0696, 0.078, 0.1055, 0.0948, 0.0908, 0.1274, 0.1411, 0.1245, 0.0919, 0.121, 0.1197, 0.1057, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.1024, 0.0755, 0.0821, 0.0938, 0.0653, 0.0617, 0.0603, 0.0839, 0.0683, 0.0923, 0.097, 0.1169, 0.1421, 0.1293, 0.1364, 0.0833, 0.1007, 0.0597, 0.0757, 0.0697, 0.0726, 0.1445, 0.1446, 0.1446, 0.1169, 0.1126, 0.0756, 0.0872, 0.0771, 0.064, 0.0923, 0.0996, 0.0858, 0.1027, 0.1003, 0.1052, 0.1155, 0.0982, 0.1025, 0.1166, 0.2485, 0.2455, 0.2477, 0.2434, 0.2252, 0.198, 0.2289, 0.234, 0.2543, 0.249, 0.2868, 0.3005, 0.3258, 0.323, 0.3436, 0.3837, 0.3406, 0.4077, 0.4438, 0.4544, 0.5038, 0.4986, 0.4986, 0.4902, 0.4327, 0.4173, 0.3822, 0.3806, 0.3721, 0.3433, 0.3229, 0.3871, 0.4264, 0.4159, 0.4375, 0.4256, 0.4321, 0.4301, 0.4668, 0.4886, 0.4997]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1943358712543866959", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-10T17:16:37+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "confirming this move in BTC is real. Stay long, amigos. Valhalla is coming!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Stay long BTC and crypto miners; miner outperformance confirms the BTC move is genuine.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Miners outperforming MSTR and confirming this move in BTC is real. Stay long, amigos. Valhalla is coming!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03737001149424246, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03737001149424246, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016704798506829377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016704798506829377, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "ret_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02492692226237847, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02492692226237847, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "ret_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012103746248018021, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012103746248018021, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "ret_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025043237138066443, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025043237138066443, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "ret_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.32242986189414335, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.32242986189414335, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012103746248018021, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012103746248018021, "price_path": [-0.2711, -0.2786, -0.2755, -0.2681, -0.2719, -0.2454, -0.1944, -0.1922, -0.1901, -0.1834, -0.1811, -0.1871, -0.1878, -0.1681, -0.1645, -0.1831, -0.1654, -0.1634, -0.1099, -0.1122, -0.1136, -0.1019, -0.1073, -0.1056, -0.1078, -0.0895, -0.0793, -0.0544, -0.0372, -0.075, -0.0564, -0.0603, -0.0706, -0.0892, -0.1034, -0.0871, -0.091, -0.097, -0.1242, -0.1, -0.0491, -0.0494, -0.0629, -0.0867, -0.0853, -0.0792, -0.0982, -0.0957, -0.0974, -0.1093, -0.0897, -0.0857, -0.0744, -0.0778, -0.0767, -0.0763, -0.0887, -0.0615, -0.0547, -0.0686, -0.0663, -0.0607, -0.0402, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0333, 0.0154, 0.0237, 0.0285, 0.0174, 0.0125, 0.0346, 0.0239, 0.0205, 0.0142, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0159, -0.002, -0.023, -0.0079, -0.0159, -0.0083, 0.013, 0.006, 0.0237, 0.0361, 0.0634, 0.0205, 0.0122, 0.0023, -0.0272, -0.0148, -0.0308, 0.0076, -0.0505, -0.0361, -0.0411, -0.0297, -0.0653, -0.0581, -0.0413, -0.0368, -0.0454, -0.046, -0.0338, -0.0384, -0.0175, -0.0041, 0.001, -0.0047, 0.0074, 0.0041, 0.0099, -0.0026, -0.0279, -0.0343, -0.0229, -0.0598, -0.0541, -0.0137, -0.0166, 0.0229, 0.0405, 0.0541, 0.0756, 0.0471, 0.0635, 0.0493, -0.0239, -0.0062, -0.0247, -0.0449, -0.0673, -0.0821, -0.0465, -0.0648, -0.0715, -0.051, -0.0427, -0.0161, -0.0261, -0.0511, -0.0662, -0.0554, -0.0814, -0.1241, -0.1043, -0.1266, -0.1088, -0.0861, -0.112, -0.1235, -0.1404, -0.1861, -0.206, -0.1986, -0.2114, -0.2531, -0.2664, -0.239, -0.247, -0.2196, -0.213, -0.2161, -0.2558, -0.2124, -0.1936, -0.2056, -0.2293, -0.2185, -0.2008, -0.2066, -0.2024, -0.2217, -0.2549, -0.2426, -0.2573, -0.2632, -0.2404, -0.2371, -0.2463, -0.2446, -0.2479, -0.2473, -0.2487, -0.2376, -0.2455, -0.235, -0.2245]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1943358712543866959", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-10T17:16:37+00:00", "symbol": "crypto miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Miners outperforming MSTR and confirming this move in BTC is real. Stay long, amigos.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Stay long BTC and crypto miners; miner outperformance confirms the BTC move is genuine.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crypto/BTC miner sector ETF WGMI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Miners outperforming MSTR and confirming this move in BTC is real. Stay long, amigos. Valhalla is coming!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009807767840126269, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009807767840126269, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006995342721277886, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006995342721277886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027854024748840245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027854024748840245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024338518002510745, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024338518002510745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "ret_p1w": 0.052569641609263584, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.052569641609263584, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04902238278943494, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04902238278943494, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "ret_p1m": -0.020792494758906765, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020792494758906765, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03894452408125637, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03894452408125637, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "ret_p3m": 1.094154631127077, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.094154631127077, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0220011995858294, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0220011995858294, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "ret_p6m": 0.649666520778315, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.649666520778315, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5517658061594435, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5517658061594435, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.020792494758906765, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03894452408125637, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03894452408125637, "price_path": [-0.5018, -0.53, -0.5328, -0.5277, -0.5277, -0.5394, -0.4861, -0.47, -0.4484, -0.4288, -0.4378, -0.4433, -0.4633, -0.4276, -0.4127, -0.4406, -0.4296, -0.4276, -0.3907, -0.39, -0.359, -0.3252, -0.335, -0.3499, -0.2938, -0.2887, -0.2942, -0.3036, -0.2895, -0.3091, -0.3091, -0.2844, -0.3225, -0.337, -0.3539, -0.3252, -0.297, -0.2472, -0.286, -0.2322, -0.2091, -0.2044, -0.2154, -0.2307, -0.2601, -0.2271, -0.2672, -0.2664, -0.2664, -0.2711, -0.2903, -0.2381, -0.2358, -0.1565, -0.1483, -0.1079, -0.0942, -0.0133, 0.0212, 0.0212, -0.0235, -0.0231, -0.0098, 0.0, -0.0279, 0.0031, -0.0173, 0.0267, 0.0526, 0.0494, 0.0388, 0.0812, 0.0726, 0.0636, 0.042, 0.0251, -0.0228, -0.0306, -0.009, -0.0812, -0.0259, -0.0251, 0.0094, -0.0047, -0.0208, -0.0169, -0.0031, 0.0004, 0.0581, 0.0475, 0.1098, 0.0435, 0.0698, 0.0545, 0.1098, 0.1224, 0.153, 0.1499, 0.164, 0.2013, 0.2013, 0.2413, 0.2044, 0.1444, 0.1554, 0.1648, 0.2997, 0.3923, 0.3994, 0.4641, 0.5194, 0.5638, 0.6144, 0.6124, 0.6304, 0.725, 0.683, 0.7654, 0.654, 0.5932, 0.7344, 0.7356, 0.7681, 0.8239, 0.8905, 1.0514, 1.0942, 1.1726, 1.2585, 1.171, 1.3876, 1.5026, 1.5853, 1.3276, 1.2844, 1.3448, 1.1973, 1.0133, 1.1193, 1.3393, 1.3868, 1.3335, 1.3009, 1.2248, 1.2515, 1.4111, 1.2927, 1.4394, 1.2185, 1.1612, 1.102, 0.9635, 0.8725, 0.6465, 0.5904, 0.6053, 0.641, 0.5849, 0.5206, 0.4923, 0.6916, 0.7124, 0.8093, 0.8093, 0.9, 0.8541, 0.7136, 0.7838, 0.8552, 0.7862, 0.8215, 0.8607, 0.8011, 0.818, 0.6767, 0.488, 0.5049, 0.4323, 0.4708, 0.6124, 0.6548, 0.6285, 0.6403, 0.6403, 0.5594, 0.5445, 0.5014, 0.5014, 0.5014, 0.6497]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1941892448122278339", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-06T16:10:12+00:00", "symbol": "AI infrastructure and compute", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The play right now is the underlying INFRASTRUCTURE and COMPUTE, which is incredibly scarce", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AI infrastructure and compute as the scarce, essential layer enabling all AI at scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA", "ANET", "VRT", "EQIX", "SMCI"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "AI infra+compute basket: GPU, networking, power, DC", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@levie The play right now is the underlying INFRASTRUCTURE and COMPUTE, which is incredibly scarce and without which NONE of what you mention is actually possible at scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The play right now is to go deep in a vertical and build AI Agents with the context of the critical workflows, domain expertise, specialized instructions, and data of that industry. And build anticipating what’s possible with AI models in a year from now, not just today.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "levie", "ret_m1d": 0.01658857106338918, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01658857106338918, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009080650327815243, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008586150251968516, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008002420811420663, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011481177290448868, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011481177290448868, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012028912585461377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006106978343338093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005374198947110775, "ret_p1w": 0.022411275960002613, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022411275960002613, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015757321179930922, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01958695585498685, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002824320105015765, "ret_p1m": 0.12022126734667932, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12022126734667932, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10847612841042514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09982265780896399, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02039860953771533, "ret_p3m": 0.20472753161849788, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20472753161849788, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12353385245795179, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08073670196408755, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12399082965441033, "ret_p6m": 0.059896458275337794, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.059896458275337794, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.053318607716375255, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08413080991009642, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1440272681854342, "ret_p1y": 0.5582040167830695, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.5582040167830695, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.3637648474158395, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.11453045350353919, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.44367356327953034, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12022126734667932, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10847612841042514, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09982265780896399, "price_path": [-0.2186, -0.2616, -0.2587, -0.2504, -0.2461, -0.2627, -0.2596, -0.2596, -0.2955, -0.2732, -0.2377, -0.197, -0.1742, -0.1685, -0.1669, -0.1838, -0.1509, -0.1286, -0.1363, -0.1364, -0.1464, -0.1496, -0.1543, -0.1161, -0.067, -0.0276, -0.0439, -0.0274, -0.0327, -0.0465, -0.0698, -0.0677, -0.0786, -0.0786, -0.0521, -0.0492, -0.0686, -0.0746, -0.0575, -0.0277, -0.0151, -0.0344, -0.0174, -0.0191, -0.0348, -0.0322, -0.0189, -0.0451, -0.0176, -0.0341, -0.0206, -0.0206, -0.0283, -0.0394, -0.0049, -0.0093, -0.0033, 0.0017, 0.0223, -0.0073, 0.0098, 0.0166, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.0115, 0.0275, 0.0123, 0.0164, 0.0224, 0.0434, 0.0439, 0.0649, 0.0559, 0.0521, 0.0407, 0.0668, 0.0728, 0.1006, 0.1458, 0.1469, 0.1648, 0.1574, 0.1189, 0.1335, 0.1202, 0.1156, 0.1175, 0.1064, 0.1058, 0.1323, 0.1088, 0.0895, 0.0939, 0.0997, 0.061, 0.0538, 0.0504, 0.0651, 0.0624, 0.0726, 0.0778, 0.0893, 0.0639, 0.0639, 0.0464, 0.0467, 0.0612, 0.0623, 0.0464, 0.0784, 0.1278, 0.1371, 0.1045, 0.1292, 0.1115, 0.1133, 0.1405, 0.1522, 0.1662, 0.1468, 0.1327, 0.1281, 0.1246, 0.1361, 0.1657, 0.2163, 0.2047, 0.2036, 0.2363, 0.2196, 0.2907, 0.2936, 0.254, 0.2693, 0.2353, 0.2631, 0.2607, 0.2375, 0.2681, 0.2627, 0.248, 0.2628, 0.2755, 0.3148, 0.3057, 0.3317, 0.3111, 0.3201, 0.3062, 0.2566, 0.2128, 0.1719, 0.1658, 0.1915, 0.1588, 0.1403, 0.0859, 0.1098, 0.076, 0.0681, 0.0736, 0.0234, 0.0224, 0.06, 0.06, 0.0739, 0.0739, 0.103, 0.0868, 0.0834, 0.0866, 0.0965, 0.1169, 0.1145, 0.1008, 0.1107, 0.1112, 0.0428, 0.045, 0.044, 0.0002, 0.0111, 0.0518, 0.0632, 0.0637, 0.062, 0.062, 0.068, 0.0674, 0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1949087048230387821", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-26T12:38:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are right back at $118,000 and the next major stop is $146,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC with next major target at $146,000; classic springboard/slingshot setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All the noise, all that drama. All for nothing. We are right back at $118,000 and the next major stop is $146,000. I was never a believer in the “springboard” or “slingshot” moves but after watching them happen dozens of times since Covid, I now believe. This is a classic setup.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "ret_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "ret_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "ret_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "ret_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1817, -0.1782, -0.1965, -0.1791, -0.1772, -0.1245, -0.1268, -0.1281, -0.1166, -0.122, -0.1202, -0.1224, -0.1045, -0.0944, -0.0699, -0.053, -0.0902, -0.0719, -0.0757, -0.0858, -0.1042, -0.1181, -0.1021, -0.1059, -0.1119, -0.1386, -0.1148, -0.0647, -0.065, -0.0783, -0.1017, -0.1003, -0.0944, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1123, -0.1239, -0.1047, -0.1007, -0.0896, -0.093, -0.0919, -0.0915, -0.1037, -0.0769, -0.0702, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0761, -0.056, -0.0164, -0.0035, 0.0163, -0.0012, 0.0069, 0.0116, 0.0007, -0.0041, 0.0176, 0.007, 0.0038, -0.0024, 0.0, -0.0, -0.0008, -0.0184, -0.039, -0.0242, -0.0321, -0.0246, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0068, 0.0191, 0.046, 0.0037, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0089, -0.0661, -0.0519, -0.0568, -0.0456, -0.0807, -0.0736, -0.057, -0.0526, -0.0611, -0.0617, -0.0496, -0.0542, -0.0337, -0.0205, -0.0155, -0.021, -0.0092, -0.0123, -0.0067, -0.019, -0.0439, -0.0501, -0.039, -0.0753, -0.0696, -0.0299, -0.0328, 0.0061, 0.0234, 0.0368, 0.0579, 0.0299, 0.046, 0.0321, -0.0399, -0.0225, -0.0408, -0.0606, -0.0826, -0.0972, -0.0622, -0.0801, -0.0868, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0323, -0.0421, -0.0667, -0.0816, -0.071, -0.0965, -0.1385, -0.119, -0.141, -0.1234, -0.1011, -0.1266, -0.1379, -0.1546, -0.1995, -0.219, -0.2118, -0.2244, -0.2654, -0.2784, -0.2515, -0.2593, -0.2324, -0.2259, -0.229, -0.268, -0.2253, -0.2069, -0.2186, -0.242, -0.2314, -0.214, -0.2197, -0.2155, -0.2345, -0.2672, -0.2551, -0.2695, -0.2753, -0.2529, -0.2496, -0.2587, -0.2571, -0.2602, -0.2597, -0.2611, -0.2501, -0.2579, -0.2476, -0.2373, -0.2039, -0.2052, -0.2257, -0.2281, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.1917, -0.178, -0.1897, -0.1899, -0.2151, -0.2511]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1959716876873072937", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-24T20:38:07+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If it's Bitcoin, I just buy more. No need to look at anything.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buys Bitcoin on every liquidation flush without hesitation; unconditionally bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthughes13 Neither. If it’s Bitcoin, I just buy more. No need to look at anything.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "When you see a liquidation flush, is your first instinct to look to the news or the charts?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthughes13", "ret_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "ret_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "ret_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "ret_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "ret_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "price_path": [-0.0211, -0.0407, -0.0556, -0.0385, -0.0426, -0.049, -0.0776, -0.0521, 0.0015, 0.0012, -0.0131, -0.0381, -0.0366, -0.0302, -0.0502, -0.0476, -0.0494, -0.0619, -0.0413, -0.037, -0.0251, -0.0287, -0.0276, -0.0271, -0.0402, -0.0115, -0.0043, -0.019, -0.0166, -0.0107, 0.0109, 0.0532, 0.0671, 0.0883, 0.0695, 0.0782, 0.0832, 0.0715, 0.0664, 0.0896, 0.0784, 0.0749, 0.0682, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.07, 0.0512, 0.029, 0.0449, 0.0365, 0.0445, 0.0669, 0.0596, 0.0782, 0.0912, 0.12, 0.0748, 0.0661, 0.0556, 0.0246, 0.0377, 0.0208, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.01, 0.022, -0.0156, -0.0079, 0.0098, 0.0145, 0.0054, 0.0048, 0.0177, 0.0128, 0.0348, 0.0489, 0.0543, 0.0483, 0.061, 0.0576, 0.0637, 0.0505, 0.0238, 0.0172, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0037, 0.0388, 0.0357, 0.0774, 0.0959, 0.1103, 0.1328, 0.1029, 0.1201, 0.1052, 0.0281, 0.0467, 0.0272, 0.006, -0.0176, -0.0332, 0.0042, -0.015, -0.0221, -0.0005, 0.0083, 0.0363, 0.0257, -0.0006, -0.0165, -0.0052, -0.0325, -0.0775, -0.0566, -0.0801, -0.0613, -0.0375, -0.0647, -0.0768, -0.0947, -0.1428, -0.1637, -0.156, -0.1694, -0.2133, -0.2273, -0.1984, -0.2069, -0.178, -0.1711, -0.1744, -0.2161, -0.1705, -0.1507, -0.1633, -0.1883, -0.1769, -0.1583, -0.1644, -0.1599, -0.1803, -0.2153, -0.2023, -0.2178, -0.2239, -0.2, -0.1965, -0.2062, -0.2044, -0.2079, -0.2072, -0.2087, -0.197, -0.2054, -0.1943, -0.1832, -0.1475, -0.1489, -0.1709, -0.1734, -0.1781, -0.1719, -0.1344, -0.1198, -0.1323, -0.1326, -0.1596, -0.1981, -0.1884, -0.1876, -0.1872, -0.1985, -0.1909, -0.1901, -0.2321, -0.2361, -0.2855, -0.3132, -0.3369, -0.4306, -0.3593, -0.3633, -0.3753, -0.3917, -0.3987, -0.3747, -0.3749, -0.3871]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1960443578678980634", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-26T20:45:47+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great day for CIFR. The future is bright for AI data centers.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; bright future seen for AI data centers.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson Great day for CIFR. The future is bright for AI data centers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What did you guys think?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": 0.018598014119837636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018598014119837636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02087147798090494, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02396780575025248, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005369791630414844, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004291875649596877, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004291875649596877, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0007504560812783279, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0036111342364157917, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007903009886012669, "ret_p1w": 0.16022888730079599, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16022888730079599, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16469832141806173, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17195138755020845, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01172250024941246, "ret_p1m": 0.6680973146222153, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6680973146222153, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6476151440683346, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6155080655740428, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052589249048172526, "ret_p3m": 1.390557887214297, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.390557887214297, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3535135582001188, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3314940074705306, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05906387974376637, "ret_p6m": 1.2603720612436295, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2603720612436295, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1957666353933663, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1970094712521444, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06336258999148514, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6680973146222153, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6476151440683346, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6155080655740428, "price_path": [-0.5536, -0.5351, -0.5086, -0.4649, -0.495, -0.4421, -0.4077, -0.4192, -0.4163, -0.4506, -0.4678, -0.4378, -0.4735, -0.4549, -0.4549, -0.4578, -0.495, -0.4492, -0.4492, -0.4006, -0.3906, -0.3162, -0.299, -0.1874, -0.1345, -0.1345, -0.1717, -0.1373, -0.1044, -0.1073, -0.1602, -0.1373, -0.1459, -0.103, -0.0815, -0.0901, -0.1059, -0.0072, -0.0443, -0.0486, -0.0744, -0.1187, -0.1874, -0.2203, -0.2189, -0.2947, -0.2575, -0.2833, -0.2546, -0.3033, -0.3205, -0.319, -0.3247, -0.299, -0.2389, -0.2546, -0.1345, -0.176, -0.1488, -0.1559, -0.0873, -0.0501, 0.0186, 0.0, 0.0043, 0.093, 0.093, 0.1903, 0.1602, 0.0587, 0.0758, 0.1044, 0.319, 0.4664, 0.4263, 0.5522, 0.5522, 0.6466, 0.7711, 0.6953, 0.7568, 0.9971, 1.0243, 1.0229, 0.6681, 0.6409, 0.8097, 0.8011, 0.8026, 0.9757, 1.103, 1.1946, 1.2532, 1.5179, 1.5737, 1.4278, 1.9099, 1.9886, 2.0086, 1.6781, 1.6838, 1.8484, 1.5858, 1.3047, 1.4685, 1.9557, 1.9385, 1.8555, 1.8026, 1.7282, 1.6681, 2.2561, 2.2203, 2.5351, 2.1059, 1.9599, 1.8112, 1.671, 1.4864, 1.1359, 1.0544, 1.0529, 1.0858, 1.0916, 1.083, 1.0243, 1.3906, 1.5064, 1.7396, 1.7396, 1.9113, 1.8169, 1.5236, 1.6652, 1.8369, 1.7582, 1.7868, 1.7983, 1.6438, 1.701, 1.4392, 1.1087, 1.1445, 1.0587, 1.1674, 1.319, 1.3376, 1.2761, 1.3205, 1.3205, 1.1731, 1.1574, 1.0873, 1.1116, 1.1116, 1.3176, 1.598, 1.5093, 1.3004, 1.3677, 1.3791, 1.5293, 1.6109, 1.5937, 1.5064, 1.6896, 1.6896, 1.5637, 1.5351, 1.4878, 1.5136, 1.3591, 1.6824, 1.7139, 1.5322, 1.2833, 1.2618, 1.3262, 1.0386, 0.8169, 1.1073, 1.3977, 1.4464, 1.329, 1.3033, 1.3491, 1.3491, 1.2375, 1.206, 1.2604]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1959250221134663989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-23T13:43:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going higher over the next month or two. It's written in the old scrolls.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC for the next 1–2 months; dismisses weekend weakness as a slingshot setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jgilfy LOL.\n\nBro, this is the first weekend in months where it’s creating a massive upside slingshot gap.\n\nWhile you’re crying, pros are going to enjoy the weekend.\n\nWe are going higher over the next month or two. It’s written in the old scrolls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred But the weekend is here and typical destruction on price. BTC has fallen below $115k in steady erosion of price since markets closed. It has been unable over past month to hold any gains made. Not good sign given Fed pivot and why is NO ONE talking about it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jgilfy", "ret_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "ret_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "ret_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "ret_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "ret_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "price_path": [-0.0211, -0.0407, -0.0556, -0.0385, -0.0426, -0.049, -0.0776, -0.0521, 0.0015, 0.0012, -0.0131, -0.0381, -0.0366, -0.0302, -0.0502, -0.0476, -0.0494, -0.0619, -0.0413, -0.037, -0.0251, -0.0287, -0.0276, -0.0271, -0.0402, -0.0115, -0.0043, -0.019, -0.0166, -0.0107, 0.0109, 0.0532, 0.0671, 0.0883, 0.0695, 0.0782, 0.0832, 0.0715, 0.0664, 0.0896, 0.0784, 0.0749, 0.0682, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.07, 0.0512, 0.029, 0.0449, 0.0365, 0.0445, 0.0669, 0.0596, 0.0782, 0.0912, 0.12, 0.0748, 0.0661, 0.0556, 0.0246, 0.0377, 0.0208, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.01, 0.022, -0.0156, -0.0079, 0.0098, 0.0145, 0.0054, 0.0048, 0.0177, 0.0128, 0.0348, 0.0489, 0.0543, 0.0483, 0.061, 0.0576, 0.0637, 0.0505, 0.0238, 0.0172, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0037, 0.0388, 0.0357, 0.0774, 0.0959, 0.1103, 0.1328, 0.1029, 0.1201, 0.1052, 0.0281, 0.0467, 0.0272, 0.006, -0.0176, -0.0332, 0.0042, -0.015, -0.0221, -0.0005, 0.0083, 0.0363, 0.0257, -0.0006, -0.0165, -0.0052, -0.0325, -0.0775, -0.0566, -0.0801, -0.0613, -0.0375, -0.0647, -0.0768, -0.0947, -0.1428, -0.1637, -0.156, -0.1694, -0.2133, -0.2273, -0.1984, -0.2069, -0.178, -0.1711, -0.1744, -0.2161, -0.1705, -0.1507, -0.1633, -0.1883, -0.1769, -0.1583, -0.1644, -0.1599, -0.1803, -0.2153, -0.2023, -0.2178, -0.2239, -0.2, -0.1965, -0.2062, -0.2044, -0.2079, -0.2072, -0.2087, -0.197, -0.2054, -0.1943, -0.1832, -0.1475, -0.1489, -0.1709, -0.1734, -0.1781, -0.1719, -0.1344, -0.1198, -0.1323, -0.1326, -0.1596, -0.1981, -0.1884, -0.1876, -0.1872, -0.1985, -0.1909, -0.1901, -0.2321, -0.2361, -0.2855, -0.3132, -0.3369, -0.4306, -0.3593, -0.3633, -0.3753, -0.3917, -0.3987, -0.3747, -0.3749, -0.3871]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944165196664385697", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-12T22:41:18+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have increased my shares from zero one week ago to 165,000 today. I may go up to 250,000 shares this coming week.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author has built 165,000-share position in OSCR from zero and may increase to 250,000 shares next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tech_Investor20 I have increased my shares from zero one week ago to 165,000 today. I may go up to 250,000 shares this coming week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨BREAKING:\n\nASSENAGON ASSET MANAGEMENT INCREASES ITS STAKE IN $OSCR BY 3879% OR 599,488 SHARES COMPARED TO 15,067 SHARES IN Q1.\n\nFIDUCIARY ALLIANCE INCREASES ITS STAKE IN $OSCR BY 3558% OR 453,588 SHARES COMPARED TO 12,400 SHARES IN Q1.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheTechInvest", "ret_m1d": -0.046419085729882736, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.046419085729882736, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044514535847822057, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04760403537469671, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0011849496448139707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010610069510715747, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010610069510715747, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006336857321359468, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007385735220252654, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0179958047309684, "ret_p1w": -0.09681697914678533, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09681697914678533, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10315494346415488, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06763831274747778, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02917866639930755, "ret_p1m": -0.006631325064698657, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006631325064698657, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035247969781748156, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0218066615740915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028437986638790158, "ret_p3m": 0.3620690331196925, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3620690331196925, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.284908342365535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2893486987123237, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0727203344073688, "ret_p6m": 0.09549075207844715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09549075207844715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01809244276521338, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08564891055238477, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18113966263083192, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006631325064698657, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.035247969781748156, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0218066615740915, "price_path": [-0.181, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2281, -0.2308, -0.2036, -0.2023, -0.189, -0.1631, -0.128, -0.1373, -0.1346, -0.1247, -0.1379, -0.1333, 0.1286, 0.1313, 0.1346, 0.1154, 0.122, 0.0968, 0.0981, 0.1618, 0.1107, 0.0922, -0.0146, -0.0471, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.0046, -0.0789, -0.0849, -0.0849, -0.0544, -0.055, -0.0617, 0.0378, 0.0225, -0.0212, -0.0259, -0.0617, -0.0491, -0.0749, -0.0086, 0.0683, 0.2447, 0.2447, 0.4072, 0.3541, 0.3276, 0.2725, 0.3581, 0.3534, 0.4218, 0.3561, 0.1021, 0.0922, 0.0922, 0.1147, 0.0975, 0.0663, 0.0298, -0.0464, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.0179, -0.0802, -0.1101, -0.0968, -0.0252, 0.0524, -0.0584, -0.0418, -0.0272, -0.0822, -0.0716, -0.0683, -0.0995, -0.0822, -0.0836, -0.0491, 0.0053, 0.0252, 0.0351, -0.0066, -0.0099, -0.0265, 0.0371, 0.1041, 0.1028, 0.0126, 0.0225, 0.1141, 0.1081, 0.1326, 0.1286, 0.1432, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.0895, 0.1724, 0.2188, 0.2885, 0.3448, 0.3296, 0.2918, 0.2885, 0.2818, 0.242, 0.189, 0.1784, 0.2672, 0.258, 0.2268, 0.1777, 0.2228, 0.1996, 0.2215, 0.2686, 0.2553, 0.2533, 0.2785, 0.4363, 0.4794, 0.4901, 0.4456, 0.3621, 0.2447, 0.3528, 0.372, 0.3707, 0.3946, 0.2858, 0.3382, 0.4436, 0.3508, 0.3011, 0.2792, 0.3044, 0.2958, 0.254, 0.1996, 0.1936, 0.1711, 0.1379, 0.1293, 0.0981, 0.1751, -0.0312, -0.0153, 0.0013, -0.0749, -0.0796, -0.055, -0.0245, -0.0663, -0.1359, -0.1061, 0.0935, 0.1094, 0.2042, 0.2042, 0.1916, 0.1041, 0.1174, 0.134, 0.1393, 0.1121, 0.1094, 0.1247, 0.0338, 0.0524, 0.1028, 0.0703, 0.0418, 0.0206, -0.0186, -0.0119, -0.0033, -0.0159, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0113, -0.0365, -0.0378, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0073, 0.0988, 0.0955]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958707464624644445", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-22T01:47:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just bought more. I can't believe how cheap it is. Only 21M coins for 7B people.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought more BTC at $112,900; bullish on scarcity (21M cap vs 7B people), views current price as cheap.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It just hit me like a ton of bricks. There will only be 21 million Bitcoin EVER. For the entirety of human existence. And you can still buy a Bitcoin for one low easy payment of $112,900. Insane. Just bought more. I can’t believe how cheap it is. Only 21M coins for 7B people. Wow", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0352993402421663, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0715281703545142, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0715281703545142, "price_path": [-0.0674, -0.0776, -0.0961, -0.1102, -0.0941, -0.0979, -0.1039, -0.1309, -0.1068, -0.0563, -0.0566, -0.0701, -0.0936, -0.0923, -0.0862, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.1043, -0.1161, -0.0967, -0.0927, -0.0814, -0.0848, -0.0837, -0.0833, -0.0956, -0.0686, -0.0618, -0.0756, -0.0734, -0.0678, -0.0475, -0.0076, 0.0055, 0.0255, 0.0077, 0.016, 0.0207, 0.0097, 0.0048, 0.0267, 0.0161, 0.0128, 0.0065, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0082, -0.0095, -0.0304, -0.0154, -0.0234, -0.0158, 0.0053, -0.0016, 0.0159, 0.0282, 0.0554, 0.0127, 0.0045, -0.0053, -0.0346, -0.0222, -0.0381, 0.0, -0.0578, -0.0434, -0.0484, -0.037, -0.0724, -0.0652, -0.0485, -0.0441, -0.0526, -0.0532, -0.0411, -0.0457, -0.025, -0.0117, -0.0066, -0.0122, -0.0003, -0.0035, 0.0023, -0.0101, -0.0353, -0.0416, -0.0303, -0.067, -0.0613, -0.0212, -0.0241, 0.0152, 0.0326, 0.0461, 0.0674, 0.0392, 0.0555, 0.0413, -0.0313, -0.0137, -0.0321, -0.0521, -0.0743, -0.089, -0.0538, -0.0718, -0.0786, -0.0582, -0.05, -0.0236, -0.0335, -0.0583, -0.0733, -0.0626, -0.0884, -0.1308, -0.1111, -0.1332, -0.1155, -0.0931, -0.1187, -0.1301, -0.147, -0.1923, -0.212, -0.2047, -0.2174, -0.2588, -0.2719, -0.2447, -0.2527, -0.2255, -0.2189, -0.2221, -0.2614, -0.2184, -0.1998, -0.2116, -0.2352, -0.2245, -0.2069, -0.2126, -0.2085, -0.2276, -0.2606, -0.2484, -0.2629, -0.2688, -0.2462, -0.2429, -0.2521, -0.2504, -0.2536, -0.253, -0.2544, -0.2434, -0.2513, -0.2408, -0.2304, -0.1967, -0.198, -0.2187, -0.2212, -0.2256, -0.2197, -0.1844, -0.1707, -0.1824, -0.1827, -0.2081, -0.2444, -0.2353, -0.2345, -0.2342, -0.2448, -0.2376, -0.2369, -0.2765, -0.2802, -0.3267, -0.3529, -0.3752, -0.4635, -0.3963, -0.4, -0.4114, -0.4268, -0.4334, -0.4108, -0.411]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1959710644753809461", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-24T20:13:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$110,000-$112,000 area still holding as strong support. Absolutely nothing has changed.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC holding $110-112K as strong support; bullish continuation after liquidation sweep of levered longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They wiped out all the levered longs. Next they will come for the levered shorts at $120,000. Same story, different day. $110,000-$112,000 area still holding as strong support. Absolutely nothing has changed. Anyone saying otherwise is an easily tricked fool who deserves to lose.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "ret_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "ret_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "ret_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "ret_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "price_path": [-0.0211, -0.0407, -0.0556, -0.0385, -0.0426, -0.049, -0.0776, -0.0521, 0.0015, 0.0012, -0.0131, -0.0381, -0.0366, -0.0302, -0.0502, -0.0476, -0.0494, -0.0619, -0.0413, -0.037, -0.0251, -0.0287, -0.0276, -0.0271, -0.0402, -0.0115, -0.0043, -0.019, -0.0166, -0.0107, 0.0109, 0.0532, 0.0671, 0.0883, 0.0695, 0.0782, 0.0832, 0.0715, 0.0664, 0.0896, 0.0784, 0.0749, 0.0682, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.07, 0.0512, 0.029, 0.0449, 0.0365, 0.0445, 0.0669, 0.0596, 0.0782, 0.0912, 0.12, 0.0748, 0.0661, 0.0556, 0.0246, 0.0377, 0.0208, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.01, 0.022, -0.0156, -0.0079, 0.0098, 0.0145, 0.0054, 0.0048, 0.0177, 0.0128, 0.0348, 0.0489, 0.0543, 0.0483, 0.061, 0.0576, 0.0637, 0.0505, 0.0238, 0.0172, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0037, 0.0388, 0.0357, 0.0774, 0.0959, 0.1103, 0.1328, 0.1029, 0.1201, 0.1052, 0.0281, 0.0467, 0.0272, 0.006, -0.0176, -0.0332, 0.0042, -0.015, -0.0221, -0.0005, 0.0083, 0.0363, 0.0257, -0.0006, -0.0165, -0.0052, -0.0325, -0.0775, -0.0566, -0.0801, -0.0613, -0.0375, -0.0647, -0.0768, -0.0947, -0.1428, -0.1637, -0.156, -0.1694, -0.2133, -0.2273, -0.1984, -0.2069, -0.178, -0.1711, -0.1744, -0.2161, -0.1705, -0.1507, -0.1633, -0.1883, -0.1769, -0.1583, -0.1644, -0.1599, -0.1803, -0.2153, -0.2023, -0.2178, -0.2239, -0.2, -0.1965, -0.2062, -0.2044, -0.2079, -0.2072, -0.2087, -0.197, -0.2054, -0.1943, -0.1832, -0.1475, -0.1489, -0.1709, -0.1734, -0.1781, -0.1719, -0.1344, -0.1198, -0.1323, -0.1326, -0.1596, -0.1981, -0.1884, -0.1876, -0.1872, -0.1985, -0.1909, -0.1901, -0.2321, -0.2361, -0.2855, -0.3132, -0.3369, -0.4306, -0.3593, -0.3633, -0.3753, -0.3917, -0.3987, -0.3747, -0.3749, -0.3871]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1954681967880069488", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-10T23:11:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this move feels decisive. If it can close up here and make new all time highs this week, we should see 3-6 months of extreme up only behavior", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC: new ATH weekly close would trigger 3–6 months of extreme upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin over $119,000 with 50 minutes to the weekly close. I’ve been around a long time and this move feels decisive. If it can close up here and make new all time highs this week, we should see 3-6 months of extreme up only behavior. Valhalla is finally at our doorstep. Godspeed", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1262, -0.1284, -0.1105, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0594, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.082, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.1241, -0.1082, -0.112, -0.1179, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0846, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1005, -0.119, -0.1166, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.0958, -0.0991, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0831, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0094, -0.008, 0.0001, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0092, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0076, -0.025, -0.0456, -0.0308, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0104, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0031, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0497, -0.0375, -0.0532, -0.0156, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.0521, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.059, -0.0674, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0606, -0.0402, -0.0272, -0.0221, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0191, -0.0134, -0.0256, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0007, 0.0164, 0.0298, 0.0507, 0.0229, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.0669, -0.0888, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.073, -0.0648, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0731, -0.0878, -0.0773, -0.1026, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1468, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1325, -0.1438, -0.1603, -0.2049, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2296, -0.2704, -0.2833, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2376, -0.2312, -0.2342, -0.273, -0.2306, -0.2123, -0.2239, -0.2471, -0.2366, -0.2193, -0.225, -0.2208, -0.2397, -0.2721, -0.2601, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2647, -0.2661, -0.2552, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2377, -0.2319, -0.1972, -0.1836, -0.1952, -0.1955, -0.2205, -0.2562, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2462, -0.2566, -0.2495, -0.2489, -0.2878, -0.2914, -0.3373, -0.363]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1945864844324007982", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-17T15:15:05+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Longer buying opportunity!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees the selloff driven by Elevance earnings as a buying opportunity in OSCR.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk It's Elevance earnings. Longer buying opportunity!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OSCR wtf is going on with this name", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": 0.10670515559640092, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10670515559640092, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11278757069477474, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09517698855858314, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006082415098373817, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011528167037817783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032444110524734726, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032444110524734726, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03171167773458139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025813572076864633, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007324327901533367, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0066305384478700935, "ret_p1w": 0.0237923523020096, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0237923523020096, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01363380231848299, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.000887036629680038, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01015854998352661, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022905315672329563, "ret_p1m": 0.12761358849083537, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12761358849083537, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10309281167973228, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10131755288184219, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.024520776811103095, "bench_c_p1m": 0.026296035608993185, "ret_p3m": 0.4917087746770108, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4917087746770108, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4343462382310117, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4143206748102135, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05736253644599909, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07738809986679729, "ret_p6m": 0.27829846348420895, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.27829846348420895, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16682335229523204, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08253018396984957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1114751111889769, "bench_c_p6m": 0.19576827951435938, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12761358849083537, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10309281167973228, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10131755288184219, "price_path": [-0.1608, -0.1637, -0.1341, -0.1327, -0.1182, -0.0901, -0.0519, -0.062, -0.0591, -0.0483, -0.0627, -0.0577, 0.2271, 0.23, 0.2336, 0.2127, 0.2199, 0.1925, 0.1939, 0.2632, 0.2076, 0.1875, 0.0714, 0.036, 0.0216, 0.0216, 0.0822, 0.0014, -0.005, -0.005, 0.0281, 0.0274, 0.0202, 0.1283, 0.1118, 0.0642, 0.0591, 0.0202, 0.0339, 0.0058, 0.0779, 0.1615, 0.3533, 0.3533, 0.5299, 0.4722, 0.4434, 0.3836, 0.4766, 0.4715, 0.5458, 0.4744, 0.1983, 0.1875, 0.1875, 0.212, 0.1932, 0.1593, 0.1197, 0.0368, 0.0872, 0.0757, 0.1067, 0.0, -0.0324, -0.018, 0.0598, 0.1442, 0.0238, 0.0418, 0.0577, -0.0022, 0.0094, 0.013, -0.0209, -0.0022, -0.0036, 0.0339, 0.093, 0.1146, 0.1255, 0.08, 0.0764, 0.0584, 0.1276, 0.2004, 0.199, 0.1009, 0.1118, 0.2112, 0.2048, 0.2314, 0.2271, 0.243, 0.2012, 0.2012, 0.1846, 0.2747, 0.3252, 0.4009, 0.4621, 0.4456, 0.4045, 0.4009, 0.3937, 0.3504, 0.2927, 0.2812, 0.3778, 0.3677, 0.3338, 0.2805, 0.3295, 0.3043, 0.328, 0.3792, 0.3648, 0.3627, 0.3901, 0.5616, 0.6085, 0.62, 0.5717, 0.4809, 0.3533, 0.4708, 0.4917, 0.4903, 0.5162, 0.398, 0.4549, 0.5696, 0.4686, 0.4146, 0.3908, 0.4182, 0.4088, 0.3634, 0.3043, 0.2978, 0.2733, 0.2372, 0.2278, 0.1939, 0.2776, 0.0534, 0.0707, 0.0887, 0.0058, 0.0007, 0.0274, 0.0606, 0.0151, -0.0606, -0.0281, 0.1889, 0.2062, 0.3093, 0.3093, 0.2956, 0.2004, 0.2149, 0.2329, 0.2386, 0.2091, 0.2062, 0.2228, 0.124, 0.1442, 0.199, 0.1637, 0.1327, 0.1096, 0.0671, 0.0743, 0.0836, 0.0699, 0.0764, 0.0764, 0.075, 0.0476, 0.0461, 0.036, 0.036, 0.0793, 0.1947, 0.1911, 0.1882, 0.2185, 0.2783]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942633706474381388", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-08T17:15:42+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not sure about that in CRWV's case because the equity is so overvalued. The proof of the overvaluation is ironically hidden in the strategic rationale for the deal in the first place.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CRWV equity is overvalued; bearish on the stock, with overvaluation evidenced by the deal's own strategic rationale.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Umbisam Not sure about that in CRWV's case because the equity is so overvalued. The proof of the overvaluation is ironically hidden in the strategic rationale for the deal in the first place.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred yeah, but a floor would come with a cap … I’m fine without the collar as I’m open to downside as to upside\n\nhowever, downside has been already priced-in the minute after announcement made … -&gt; upside is now much bigger then downside", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Umbisam", "ret_m1d": 0.054473424669789994, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054473424669789994, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05392538919640577, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05392538919640577, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010564583266795546, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010564583266795546, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004567927188451337, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004567927188451337, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "ret_p1w": -0.07170683941355871, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07170683941355871, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07460847286566796, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07460847286566796, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "ret_p1m": -0.27210300372971363, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27210300372971363, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29215658566231006, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29215658566231006, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "ret_p3m": -0.11000332781652622, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11000332781652622, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19177362266239628, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19177362266239628, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "ret_p6m": -0.5271706698361693, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5271706698361693, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6327436504239352, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6327436504239352, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "ret_p1y": -0.34790357130227245, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.34790357130227245, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5447250053486554, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5447250053486554, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.27210300372971363, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.29215658566231006, "alpha_c_stated": 0.29215658566231006, "price_path": [-0.7214, -0.7111, -0.7121, -0.7307, -0.7311, -0.7419, -0.7419, -0.7662, -0.7457, -0.7252, -0.7242, -0.7257, -0.7225, -0.7173, -0.7273, -0.7074, -0.6595, -0.6632, -0.6415, -0.6461, -0.6368, -0.6608, -0.6138, -0.5823, -0.5546, -0.5657, -0.4698, -0.4283, -0.4042, -0.2909, -0.3387, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.1814, -0.2331, -0.3031, -0.265, -0.2063, -0.0064, 0.0769, -0.1083, -0.0745, 0.0703, 0.0228, -0.0116, -0.0164, -0.0281, 0.0466, 0.1352, 0.1225, 0.1225, 0.2121, 0.1468, 0.1398, 0.0532, 0.0438, 0.0564, 0.0767, 0.0296, 0.0021, 0.0908, 0.0908, 0.0545, 0.0, 0.0106, -0.0869, -0.1691, -0.1259, -0.0717, -0.0555, -0.127, -0.1877, -0.1752, -0.1431, -0.1677, -0.2077, -0.2366, -0.2718, -0.282, -0.3206, -0.2464, -0.3124, -0.3, -0.2615, -0.2721, -0.2005, -0.1446, -0.0771, -0.0178, -0.2224, -0.343, -0.3399, -0.3608, -0.3867, -0.3957, -0.4005, -0.3794, -0.39, -0.3966, -0.36, -0.3213, -0.3196, -0.3196, -0.3837, -0.4065, -0.4224, -0.4118, -0.3823, -0.3383, -0.2265, -0.2559, -0.2607, -0.2046, -0.2159, -0.202, -0.1985, -0.1756, -0.1203, -0.1358, -0.1192, -0.1637, -0.2054, -0.191, -0.0964, -0.0951, -0.0888, -0.11, -0.1162, -0.1494, -0.0757, -0.0553, -0.086, -0.0649, -0.1148, -0.0806, -0.0641, -0.0963, -0.161, -0.1742, -0.1976, -0.1856, -0.1248, -0.1016, -0.1099, -0.0761, -0.1346, -0.1171, -0.1659, -0.2357, -0.2445, -0.294, -0.3132, -0.3027, -0.4164, -0.4359, -0.4827, -0.4892, -0.5026, -0.5054, -0.5053, -0.543, -0.5269, -0.514, -0.5293, -0.5095, -0.5095, -0.5172, -0.4912, -0.498, -0.476, -0.4338, -0.417, -0.4306, -0.4014, -0.4179, -0.423, -0.4811, -0.5223, -0.5411, -0.5738, -0.5531, -0.452, -0.4399, -0.4701, -0.4792, -0.4792, -0.4954, -0.5053, -0.5121, -0.5272]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1950595806635209072", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-30T16:34:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When it breaks out above $123,000, I see $130,000 within a few days and $146,000 within 2 weeks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC: breakout above $123K targets $130K in days and $146K within 2 weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin still coiling like a cobra in a short rectangular structure. When it breaks out above $123,000, I see $130,000 within a few days and $146,000 within 2 weeks. Markets are hard but this is as easy as it gets. Best money of all time monetizing along a predictable curve.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.000771959779324094, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.000771959779324094, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0004889978539972528, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0004889978539972528, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012609576333213468, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012609576333213468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017592832754910526, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017592832754910526, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013841571335263314, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013841571335263314, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037512614196472116, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037512614196472116, "ret_p1w": -0.023789860388193085, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023789860388193085, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021142082796841932, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021142082796841932, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026477775913511525, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026477775913511525, "ret_p1m": -0.04486403748158785, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04486403748158785, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06765513666139156, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06765513666139156, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02279109917980371, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02279109917980371, "ret_p3m": -0.03150150188378609, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03150150188378609, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11453241061657904, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11453241061657904, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08303090873279295, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08303090873279295, "ret_p6m": -0.24075743423191764, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24075743423191764, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33291725214979095, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33291725214979095, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09215981791787331, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09215981791787331, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04486403748158785, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06765513666139156, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06765513666139156, "price_path": [-0.1776, -0.1959, -0.1785, -0.1765, -0.1238, -0.1261, -0.1275, -0.1159, -0.1213, -0.1195, -0.1217, -0.1038, -0.0937, -0.0692, -0.0523, -0.0895, -0.0712, -0.075, -0.0851, -0.1034, -0.1174, -0.1014, -0.1052, -0.1112, -0.138, -0.1141, -0.064, -0.0643, -0.0776, -0.101, -0.0996, -0.0936, -0.1123, -0.1099, -0.1116, -0.1232, -0.104, -0.1, -0.0889, -0.0923, -0.0912, -0.0908, -0.103, -0.0761, -0.0694, -0.0831, -0.0809, -0.0754, -0.0552, -0.0156, -0.0027, 0.0171, -0.0005, 0.0077, 0.0124, 0.0015, -0.0033, 0.0184, 0.0078, 0.0046, -0.0017, 0.0008, 0.0008, 0.0, -0.0176, -0.0383, -0.0234, -0.0313, -0.0238, -0.0028, -0.0097, 0.0076, 0.0199, 0.0468, 0.0045, -0.0037, -0.0134, -0.0424, -0.0302, -0.0459, -0.0081, -0.0654, -0.0512, -0.0561, -0.0449, -0.0799, -0.0728, -0.0563, -0.0518, -0.0603, -0.0609, -0.0489, -0.0535, -0.0329, -0.0197, -0.0147, -0.0203, -0.0084, -0.0116, -0.0059, -0.0182, -0.0431, -0.0494, -0.0382, -0.0745, -0.0689, -0.0291, -0.032, 0.0069, 0.0242, 0.0376, 0.0587, 0.0307, 0.0469, 0.0329, -0.0392, -0.0217, -0.04, -0.0598, -0.0819, -0.0964, -0.0615, -0.0794, -0.0861, -0.0659, -0.0577, -0.0315, -0.0414, -0.066, -0.0808, -0.0702, -0.0958, -0.1378, -0.1183, -0.1403, -0.1227, -0.1004, -0.1259, -0.1372, -0.1539, -0.1989, -0.2184, -0.2112, -0.2238, -0.2648, -0.2779, -0.2509, -0.2588, -0.2318, -0.2253, -0.2284, -0.2674, -0.2247, -0.2063, -0.218, -0.2414, -0.2308, -0.2134, -0.219, -0.2149, -0.2339, -0.2666, -0.2545, -0.2689, -0.2747, -0.2523, -0.249, -0.2581, -0.2565, -0.2597, -0.2591, -0.2605, -0.2495, -0.2573, -0.247, -0.2367, -0.2032, -0.2045, -0.2251, -0.2275, -0.2318, -0.2261, -0.191, -0.1774, -0.1891, -0.1893, -0.2145, -0.2505, -0.2415, -0.2408]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944609503028379690", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-14T04:06:49+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Have a chunk of them", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author confirms holding $80 IBIT calls, a live bullish position in the Bitcoin ETF.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@critterdude Have a chunk of them", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Need those $80 IBIT calls 😉", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "critterdude", "ret_m1d": -0.014227063895003944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014227063895003944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012322514012943264, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012322514012943264, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02962740736322733, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02962740736322733, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025354195173871052, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025354195173871052, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.027134034406577356, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027134034406577356, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033471998723946905, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.033471998723946905, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": -0.003373472512527065, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003373472512527065, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.031990117229576565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031990117229576565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.008213516516385688, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.008213516516385688, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06894717423777186, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06894717423777186, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.230712811261783, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.230712811261783, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34429600610544353, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34429600610544353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003373472512527065, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.031990117229576565, "alpha_c_stated": -0.031990117229576565, "price_path": [-0.2966, -0.2922, -0.2922, -0.2708, -0.2361, -0.2197, -0.2188, -0.204, -0.2097, -0.2048, -0.2152, -0.194, -0.1905, -0.2134, -0.2084, -0.198, -0.1549, -0.1396, -0.1511, -0.1256, -0.1385, -0.1395, -0.1317, -0.1201, -0.1066, -0.0937, -0.0726, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.0833, -0.1084, -0.1201, -0.1279, -0.1294, -0.1141, -0.1253, -0.1512, -0.1308, -0.094, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.1097, -0.1238, -0.0936, -0.1273, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.1395, -0.1395, -0.1191, -0.1013, -0.1033, -0.1094, -0.1022, -0.1223, -0.0845, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0994, -0.0933, -0.0675, -0.054, -0.0142, 0.0, -0.0296, -0.0051, -0.0078, -0.022, -0.0271, -0.0053, -0.0131, -0.0076, -0.0267, -0.0158, -0.0216, -0.0265, -0.0273, -0.0581, -0.0437, -0.0532, -0.0392, -0.0198, -0.0301, -0.0079, -0.0034, 0.0243, -0.0169, -0.0255, -0.0312, -0.0585, -0.0481, -0.0659, -0.0283, -0.0777, -0.0745, -0.0664, -0.0675, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.0764, -0.0647, -0.0855, -0.0698, -0.0657, -0.0727, -0.0535, -0.0462, -0.0264, -0.0393, -0.0265, -0.0368, -0.021, -0.0412, -0.0664, -0.07, -0.0551, -0.0892, -0.0915, -0.0471, -0.0466, -0.0211, 0.0087, 0.0239, 0.0456, 0.0139, 0.0276, 0.0082, -0.029, -0.0348, -0.0626, -0.0735, -0.099, -0.1131, -0.077, -0.0688, -0.1022, -0.0824, -0.0785, -0.0425, -0.0541, -0.0796, -0.1141, -0.0862, -0.1122, -0.1613, -0.1358, -0.1602, -0.1364, -0.1172, -0.1442, -0.1553, -0.1847, -0.2157, -0.2358, -0.2276, -0.2559, -0.2819, -0.2964, -0.2583, -0.2731, -0.2515, -0.2515, -0.2439, -0.2886, -0.2422, -0.2265, -0.2298, -0.2565, -0.2444, -0.2248, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.249, -0.2863, -0.2709, -0.2856, -0.2966, -0.268, -0.2653, -0.2718, -0.2746, -0.2746, -0.2724, -0.2757, -0.2691, -0.2718, -0.2718, -0.2529, -0.2159, -0.2307]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944627874654552382", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-14T05:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Will be even funnier when it's $250,000 and you didn't buy at $119,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $250,000; implies current price is a bargain compared to future target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RJ_KINGGGG Agreed because it’s $121,500 now. Will be even funnier when it’s $250,000 and you didn’t buy at $119,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just buy one bitcoin today for $119,000 is funny asf man. 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RJ_KINGGGG", "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961439642261360896", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-29T14:43:47+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't be surprised to see a deal in September. Seems inevitable.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on CIFR acquisition deal materializing in September; views it as inevitable.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Chatter about a CIFR deal floating around again. Still just rumors but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a deal in September. Seems inevitable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08115181889974066, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08115181889974066, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08715142856922253, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09673568646825115, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005999609669481876, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01558386756851049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.01570679157803201, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01570679157803201, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019101806062355564, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017268790230292375, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0033950144843235552, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015619986522603657, "ret_p1m": 0.6557591413086348, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6557591413086348, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6240250788480983, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5862591433542066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03173406246053645, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06949999795442818, "ret_p3m": 1.5065444964908465, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5065444964908465, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4499373871179393, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.4238822373496243, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05660710937290725, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08266225914122227, "ret_p6m": 0.9921466666242256, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9921466666242256, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9281920635941892, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9335953873528231, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06395460303003642, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05855127927140247, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6557591413086348, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6240250788480983, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5862591433542066, "price_path": [-0.5504, -0.5105, -0.538, -0.4895, -0.4581, -0.4686, -0.466, -0.4974, -0.5131, -0.4856, -0.5183, -0.5013, -0.5013, -0.5039, -0.538, -0.4961, -0.4961, -0.4516, -0.4424, -0.3743, -0.3586, -0.2565, -0.2081, -0.2081, -0.2421, -0.2107, -0.1806, -0.1832, -0.2317, -0.2107, -0.2186, -0.1793, -0.1597, -0.1675, -0.1819, -0.0916, -0.1257, -0.1296, -0.1531, -0.1937, -0.2565, -0.2866, -0.2853, -0.3547, -0.3207, -0.3442, -0.3181, -0.3626, -0.3783, -0.377, -0.3822, -0.3586, -0.3037, -0.3181, -0.2081, -0.2461, -0.2212, -0.2277, -0.1649, -0.1309, -0.0681, -0.0851, -0.0812, 0.0, 0.0, 0.089, 0.0615, -0.0314, -0.0157, 0.0105, 0.2068, 0.3416, 0.305, 0.4202, 0.4202, 0.5065, 0.6204, 0.551, 0.6073, 0.8272, 0.8521, 0.8508, 0.5262, 0.5013, 0.6558, 0.6479, 0.6492, 0.8076, 0.9241, 1.0079, 1.0615, 1.3037, 1.3547, 1.2212, 1.6623, 1.7343, 1.7526, 1.4503, 1.4555, 1.606, 1.3658, 1.1086, 1.2585, 1.7042, 1.6885, 1.6126, 1.5641, 1.4961, 1.4411, 1.9791, 1.9463, 2.2343, 1.8416, 1.7081, 1.572, 1.4437, 1.2749, 0.9542, 0.8796, 0.8783, 0.9084, 0.9136, 0.9058, 0.8521, 1.1872, 1.2932, 1.5065, 1.5065, 1.6636, 1.5772, 1.3089, 1.4385, 1.5955, 1.5236, 1.5497, 1.5602, 1.4188, 1.4712, 1.2317, 0.9293, 0.962, 0.8835, 0.983, 1.1217, 1.1387, 1.0825, 1.123, 1.123, 0.9882, 0.9738, 0.9097, 0.9319, 0.9319, 1.1204, 1.377, 1.2958, 1.1047, 1.1662, 1.1767, 1.3141, 1.3887, 1.373, 1.2932, 1.4607, 1.4607, 1.3455, 1.3194, 1.2762, 1.2997, 1.1584, 1.4542, 1.483, 1.3168, 1.089, 1.0694, 1.1283, 0.8652, 0.6623, 0.928, 1.1937, 1.2382, 1.1309, 1.1073, 1.1492, 1.1492, 1.0471, 1.0183, 1.0681, 0.9175, 0.9921]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1945218207700410377", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-15T20:25:35+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm going to buy some of this.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author commits to buying CIFR on rumored $4B+ AI deal announcement before year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Fernandoo1492 Sounds smart AF. I’m going to buy some of this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I spoke with a well known investor who I admire a lot and he told me that $CIFR is probably going to announce a $4B+ revenue AI deal before end of year. Exciting days ahead. Don’t give up.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Fernandoo1492", "ret_m1d": -0.04784692051793793, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04784692051793793, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04451478736548198, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04475471964215627, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033321331524559517, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003092200875781659, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023923460258969076, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023923460258969076, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017803822986452333, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014839905260790376, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0061196372725167425, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0090835549981787, "ret_p1w": 0.06539072546400937, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06539072546400937, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04938679788691758, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05928340046856273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016003927577091792, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006107324995446639, "ret_p1m": -0.1515151215558307, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1515151215558307, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18472454165097119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1863804957362084, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.033209420095140496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03486537418037772, "ret_p3m": 2.2440191729605496, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.2440191729605496, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1788847438047356, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.1403257971029817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06513442915581402, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10369337585756777, "ret_p6m": 1.6395533153757627, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.6395533153757627, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.5286233847825985, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.521355754131758, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11092993059316414, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11819756124400471, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1515151215558307, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18472454165097119, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1863804957362084, "price_path": [-0.622, -0.6268, -0.563, -0.5439, -0.5215, -0.5088, -0.512, -0.5088, -0.5455, -0.5032, -0.496, -0.5247, -0.5152, -0.5183, -0.5024, -0.5247, -0.4976, -0.453, -0.4721, -0.4944, -0.3844, -0.3923, -0.3971, -0.441, -0.4306, -0.4466, -0.4466, -0.4306, -0.4657, -0.4817, -0.5024, -0.4817, -0.4522, -0.4035, -0.437, -0.378, -0.3397, -0.3525, -0.3493, -0.3876, -0.4067, -0.3732, -0.4131, -0.3923, -0.3923, -0.3955, -0.437, -0.386, -0.386, -0.3317, -0.3206, -0.2376, -0.2185, -0.0941, -0.0351, -0.0351, -0.0766, -0.0383, -0.0016, -0.0048, -0.0638, -0.0383, -0.0478, 0.0, 0.0239, 0.0144, -0.0032, 0.1069, 0.0654, 0.0606, 0.0319, -0.0175, -0.0941, -0.1308, -0.1292, -0.2137, -0.1722, -0.201, -0.1691, -0.2233, -0.2424, -0.2408, -0.2472, -0.2185, -0.1515, -0.1691, -0.0351, -0.0813, -0.051, -0.059, 0.0175, 0.059, 0.1356, 0.1148, 0.1196, 0.2185, 0.2185, 0.327, 0.2935, 0.1802, 0.1994, 0.2313, 0.4705, 0.6348, 0.5901, 0.7305, 0.7305, 0.8357, 0.9745, 0.89, 0.9585, 1.2265, 1.2568, 1.2552, 0.8596, 0.8293, 1.0175, 1.008, 1.0096, 1.2026, 1.3445, 1.4466, 1.512, 1.807, 1.8692, 1.7065, 2.244, 2.3317, 2.3541, 1.9856, 1.992, 2.1754, 1.8828, 1.5694, 1.752, 2.2951, 2.2759, 2.1834, 2.1244, 2.0415, 1.9745, 2.63, 2.5901, 2.941, 2.4625, 2.2998, 2.134, 1.9777, 1.7719, 1.3812, 1.2903, 1.2887, 1.3254, 1.3317, 1.3222, 1.2568, 1.6651, 1.7943, 2.0542, 2.0542, 2.2456, 2.1404, 1.8134, 1.9713, 2.1627, 2.075, 2.1069, 2.1196, 1.9474, 2.0112, 1.7193, 1.3509, 1.3907, 1.2951, 1.4163, 1.5853, 1.6061, 1.5375, 1.5869, 1.5869, 1.4226, 1.4051, 1.327, 1.3541, 1.3541, 1.5837, 1.8963, 1.7974, 1.5646, 1.6396]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943820979450601542", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-11T23:53:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTBT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if BTBT is going to 20 then CIFR can easily go to 50 or more", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on BTBT, CIFR (>$50), and BTC ($500k+); implies listed target prices may be too conservative.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTBT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lacabra_Capital LOL if BTBT is going to 20 then CIFR can easily go to 50 or more \n\nAll of these prices could be too low if BTC goes to $500k", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN is going to 100\n$CIFR is going to 20\n$BTBT is going to 20\nBTC is going to 500k\nETH is going to 20k\n\nI’m not excited yet", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lacabra_Capital", "ret_m1d": 0.012158043257392004, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012158043257392004, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014062593139452684, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019579558707935374, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00742151545054337, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004273212189356279, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017126602469828223, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017126602469828223, "ret_p1w": 0.009118532443044058, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009118532443044058, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0027805681256745096, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012163245389170574, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0030447129461265154, "ret_p1m": -0.07902735364070246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07902735364070246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10764399835775196, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07731458281627979, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0017127708244226714, "ret_p3m": 0.22188450685036742, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22188450685036742, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14472381609620988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20389171443533116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017992792415036263, "ret_p6m": -0.33130696863455, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.33130696863455, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44489016347821053, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41186713035479294, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08056016172024294, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07902735364070246, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10764399835775196, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07731458281627979, "price_path": [-0.465, -0.459, -0.459, -0.465, -0.4377, -0.4134, -0.3799, -0.3647, -0.3587, -0.383, -0.4103, -0.3708, -0.3587, -0.3982, -0.3891, -0.3891, -0.3678, -0.3678, -0.3465, -0.3191, -0.3495, -0.3739, -0.2766, -0.2371, -0.2492, -0.2644, -0.2249, -0.2401, -0.2401, -0.2158, -0.2462, -0.2796, -0.2827, -0.2766, -0.2492, -0.1884, -0.2614, -0.1945, -0.1945, -0.1824, -0.1824, -0.2097, -0.2432, -0.2036, -0.2614, -0.2675, -0.2675, -0.2918, -0.2948, -0.2584, -0.2857, -0.3951, -0.3891, -0.3343, -0.2979, -0.2006, -0.1064, -0.1064, 0.0578, 0.1368, 0.0912, 0.0547, 0.0122, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1945, 0.2188, 0.1672, 0.0091, -0.0061, 0.0213, -0.0182, -0.0426, -0.0881, -0.1094, -0.1368, -0.1155, -0.1733, -0.0517, -0.0426, 0.0456, -0.1033, -0.0912, -0.0881, -0.079, -0.0365, -0.0304, -0.0851, -0.1064, -0.1733, -0.1611, -0.1733, -0.1246, -0.155, -0.1459, -0.1672, -0.2067, -0.2188, -0.2188, -0.2067, -0.2401, -0.2462, -0.2371, -0.2249, -0.1581, -0.0988, -0.1049, -0.0973, -0.1064, -0.1003, -0.079, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0456, -0.0608, -0.0426, -0.1064, -0.1033, -0.0274, -0.0881, -0.0046, 0.0593, 0.0638, 0.1489, 0.1368, 0.228, 0.2219, 0.1429, 0.2158, 0.2553, 0.234, 0.1216, 0.1094, 0.2827, 0.1763, 0.0912, 0.1307, 0.1884, 0.2128, 0.1429, 0.155, 0.076, 0.1125, 0.0395, -0.0334, -0.003, -0.079, -0.0456, -0.076, -0.1033, -0.1368, -0.234, -0.2675, -0.3009, -0.2766, -0.3435, -0.3769, -0.3647, -0.304, -0.3131, -0.2948, -0.2948, -0.2766, -0.3161, -0.3191, -0.2918, -0.2766, -0.3252, -0.3313, -0.2796, -0.2827, -0.2523, -0.3161, -0.3708, -0.3617, -0.4012, -0.386, -0.3222, -0.3283, -0.3587, -0.3526, -0.3526, -0.3769, -0.3891, -0.4134, -0.4255, -0.4255, -0.3799, -0.3283, -0.3313]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943820979450601542", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-11T23:53:30+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR can easily go to 50 or more", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on BTBT, CIFR (>$50), and BTC ($500k+); implies listed target prices may be too conservative.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lacabra_Capital LOL if BTBT is going to 20 then CIFR can easily go to 50 or more \n\nAll of these prices could be too low if BTC goes to $500k", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN is going to 100\n$CIFR is going to 20\n$BTBT is going to 20\nBTC is going to 500k\nETH is going to 20k\n\nI’m not excited yet", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lacabra_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.026534049532703552, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026534049532703552, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024629499650642872, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027355594556965013, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008215450242614608, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009950317998182356, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009950317998182356, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005677105808826077, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018830048474772765, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008879730476590408, "ret_p1w": 0.03648420937594676, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03648420937594676, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030146245058577215, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014617323310597286, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021866886065349478, "ret_p1m": -0.21724715987337162, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21724715987337162, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24586380459042112, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.26641787761343405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04917071774006243, "ret_p3m": 1.9834161103105394, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.9834161103105394, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.906255419556382, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.8467670479801008, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1366490623304386, "ret_p6m": 1.9087894370213982, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.9087894370213982, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.7952062421777377, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.7582559517714376, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15053348524996069, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21724715987337162, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24586380459042112, "alpha_c_stated": -0.26641787761343405, "price_path": [-0.6144, -0.607, -0.607, -0.6119, -0.5456, -0.5257, -0.5025, -0.4892, -0.4925, -0.4892, -0.5274, -0.4834, -0.476, -0.5058, -0.4959, -0.4992, -0.4826, -0.5058, -0.4776, -0.4312, -0.4511, -0.4743, -0.3599, -0.3682, -0.3731, -0.4187, -0.408, -0.4245, -0.4245, -0.408, -0.4444, -0.461, -0.4826, -0.461, -0.4303, -0.3798, -0.4146, -0.3532, -0.3134, -0.3267, -0.3234, -0.3632, -0.3831, -0.3483, -0.3897, -0.3682, -0.3682, -0.3715, -0.4146, -0.3615, -0.3615, -0.3051, -0.2935, -0.2073, -0.1874, -0.058, 0.0033, 0.0033, -0.0398, 0.0, 0.0381, 0.0348, -0.0265, 0.0, -0.01, 0.0398, 0.0647, 0.0547, 0.0365, 0.1509, 0.1078, 0.1028, 0.073, 0.0216, -0.058, -0.0962, -0.0945, -0.1824, -0.1393, -0.1692, -0.136, -0.1924, -0.2123, -0.2106, -0.2172, -0.1874, -0.1177, -0.136, 0.0033, -0.0448, -0.0133, -0.0216, 0.058, 0.1012, 0.1808, 0.1592, 0.1642, 0.267, 0.267, 0.3798, 0.3449, 0.2272, 0.2471, 0.2803, 0.529, 0.6998, 0.6534, 0.7993, 0.7993, 0.9088, 1.0531, 0.9652, 1.0365, 1.3151, 1.3466, 1.3449, 0.9337, 0.9022, 1.0978, 1.0879, 1.0896, 1.2902, 1.4378, 1.5439, 1.6119, 1.9187, 1.9834, 1.8143, 2.3731, 2.4643, 2.4876, 2.1045, 2.1111, 2.3018, 1.9975, 1.6716, 1.8615, 2.4262, 2.4063, 2.3101, 2.2488, 2.1625, 2.0929, 2.7745, 2.733, 3.0978, 2.6003, 2.4312, 2.2587, 2.0962, 1.8823, 1.476, 1.3814, 1.3798, 1.4179, 1.4245, 1.4146, 1.3466, 1.7711, 1.9055, 2.1758, 2.1758, 2.3748, 2.2653, 1.9254, 2.0896, 2.2886, 2.1973, 2.2305, 2.2438, 2.0647, 2.131, 1.8275, 1.4444, 1.4859, 1.3864, 1.5124, 1.6882, 1.7098, 1.6385, 1.6899, 1.6899, 1.5191, 1.5008, 1.4196, 1.4478, 1.4478, 1.6866, 2.0116, 1.9088]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943820979450601542", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-07-11T23:53:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "All of these prices could be too low if BTC goes to $500k", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on BTBT, CIFR (>$50), and BTC ($500k+); implies listed target prices may be too conservative.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lacabra_Capital LOL if BTBT is going to 20 then CIFR can easily go to 50 or more \n\nAll of these prices could be too low if BTC goes to $500k", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN is going to 100\n$CIFR is going to 20\n$BTBT is going to 20\nBTC is going to 500k\nETH is going to 20k\n\nI’m not excited yet", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lacabra_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011113048969169315, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011113048969169315, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024123200638500153, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024123200638500153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002200397775296903, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002200397775296903, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018282367925295695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018282367925295695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.027483832188158974, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.027483832188158974, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3146982596531046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3146982596531046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010334276791753805, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.018282367925295695, "alpha_c_stated": -0.018282367925295695, "price_path": [-0.288, -0.2849, -0.2776, -0.2814, -0.2553, -0.2049, -0.2027, -0.2006, -0.194, -0.1918, -0.1977, -0.1984, -0.1789, -0.1754, -0.1938, -0.1763, -0.1743, -0.1215, -0.1238, -0.1251, -0.1136, -0.1189, -0.1172, -0.1194, -0.1014, -0.0913, -0.0667, -0.0497, -0.087, -0.0687, -0.0725, -0.0827, -0.1011, -0.115, -0.099, -0.1028, -0.1088, -0.1356, -0.1117, -0.0615, -0.0618, -0.0751, -0.0986, -0.0972, -0.0912, -0.1099, -0.1075, -0.1092, -0.1209, -0.1016, -0.0976, -0.0864, -0.0898, -0.0887, -0.0883, -0.1006, -0.0737, -0.067, -0.0807, -0.0784, -0.0729, -0.0527, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0022, 0.0104, 0.0151, 0.0041, -0.0007, 0.0211, 0.0105, 0.0072, 0.001, 0.0035, 0.0034, 0.0027, -0.015, -0.0357, -0.0208, -0.0287, -0.0212, -0.0002, -0.007, 0.0103, 0.0226, 0.0496, 0.0072, -0.001, -0.0108, -0.0399, -0.0276, -0.0434, -0.0055, -0.0629, -0.0486, -0.0536, -0.0423, -0.0775, -0.0703, -0.0537, -0.0493, -0.0578, -0.0584, -0.0463, -0.0509, -0.0303, -0.0171, -0.012, -0.0176, -0.0057, -0.0089, -0.0032, -0.0156, -0.0406, -0.0468, -0.0356, -0.0721, -0.0664, -0.0265, -0.0295, 0.0096, 0.0269, 0.0404, 0.0616, 0.0335, 0.0497, 0.0356, -0.0366, -0.0191, -0.0374, -0.0573, -0.0794, -0.094, -0.059, -0.0769, -0.0836, -0.0634, -0.0552, -0.0289, -0.0388, -0.0635, -0.0784, -0.0677, -0.0933, -0.1355, -0.1159, -0.138, -0.1204, -0.098, -0.1236, -0.1349, -0.1516, -0.1967, -0.2163, -0.2091, -0.2217, -0.2628, -0.2759, -0.2489, -0.2568, -0.2297, -0.2232, -0.2263, -0.2655, -0.2227, -0.2041, -0.2159, -0.2394, -0.2287, -0.2112, -0.217, -0.2128, -0.2319, -0.2646, -0.2525, -0.267, -0.2728, -0.2503, -0.247, -0.2562, -0.2545, -0.2577, -0.2571, -0.2585, -0.2475, -0.2554, -0.2449, -0.2346, -0.2011]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942754792713179639", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-09T01:16:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long, David. We are going higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Bitcoin; expects price to go higher from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DavidFBailey I’m long, David. We are going higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Trump has delivered on every promise to the Bitcoin community so far and is one of the most unconventional President’s in American history. Fade the SBR at your own risk.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DavidFBailey", "ret_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "ret_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "ret_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "ret_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "ret_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "ret_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05542562389827399, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.042301830876356306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.042301830876356306, "price_path": [-0.2508, -0.2406, -0.2484, -0.2452, -0.2374, -0.2414, -0.2139, -0.1607, -0.1583, -0.1561, -0.1492, -0.1468, -0.1531, -0.1538, -0.1332, -0.1295, -0.1489, -0.1305, -0.1284, -0.0726, -0.0751, -0.0765, -0.0643, -0.0699, -0.0681, -0.0704, -0.0514, -0.0407, -0.0148, 0.0031, -0.0363, -0.0169, -0.0209, -0.0317, -0.0511, -0.0658, -0.0489, -0.0529, -0.0592, -0.0876, -0.0623, -0.0093, -0.0096, -0.0237, -0.0485, -0.047, -0.0407, -0.0604, -0.0579, -0.0597, -0.072, -0.0516, -0.0474, -0.0356, -0.0392, -0.0381, -0.0376, -0.0506, -0.0222, -0.0151, -0.0296, -0.0272, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0419, 0.0556, 0.0766, 0.0579, 0.0666, 0.0715, 0.06, 0.0549, 0.0779, 0.0667, 0.0633, 0.0567, 0.0593, 0.0592, 0.0584, 0.0398, 0.0179, 0.0336, 0.0253, 0.0332, 0.0554, 0.0482, 0.0665, 0.0795, 0.1079, 0.0632, 0.0545, 0.0442, 0.0135, 0.0265, 0.0098, 0.0498, -0.0108, 0.0043, -0.0009, 0.0109, -0.0262, -0.0186, -0.0011, 0.0036, -0.0054, -0.0061, 0.0067, 0.0018, 0.0236, 0.0376, 0.0429, 0.037, 0.0496, 0.0462, 0.0522, 0.0392, 0.0128, 0.0062, 0.018, -0.0205, -0.0145, 0.0276, 0.0245, 0.0658, 0.084, 0.0983, 0.1206, 0.0909, 0.108, 0.0932, 0.017, 0.0354, 0.0161, -0.0049, -0.0282, -0.0436, -0.0066, -0.0256, -0.0327, -0.0113, -0.0026, 0.0251, 0.0146, -0.0114, -0.0271, -0.0159, -0.0429, -0.0875, -0.0668, -0.0901, -0.0714, -0.0479, -0.0748, -0.0868, -0.1045, -0.1521, -0.1728, -0.1651, -0.1784, -0.2218, -0.2357, -0.2071, -0.2154, -0.1869, -0.18, -0.1833, -0.2246, -0.1794, -0.1599, -0.1723, -0.1971, -0.1858, -0.1674, -0.1734, -0.169, -0.1891, -0.2237, -0.2109, -0.2262, -0.2323, -0.2086, -0.2051, -0.2148, -0.213, -0.2164, -0.2158, -0.2173, -0.2057, -0.2139, -0.203]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1948193047256424708", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-24T01:26:32+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "All the drama and commotion a couple days ago will be much ado about nothing", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Endorses IREN breakout continuation; recent pullback drama will prove insignificant.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nanotitan28 Yup. All the drama and commotion a couple days ago will be much ado about nothing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN Engulfing hammer for highest close of bull run. \n\nWe are still in a breakout that began last Thursday until proven otherwise. https://t.co/66fiy02pjC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nanotitan28", "ret_m1d": 0.04685779548343194, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04685779548343194, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.047188812862379304, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.046292587629210846, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005652078542210948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02315325746557728, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02315325746557728, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027377595618068407, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030125103282013566, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006971845816436284, "ret_p1w": -0.1119073234619451, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1119073234619451, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10821885799256337, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09871724230136747, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013190081160577627, "ret_p1m": 0.18136720100469117, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18136720100469117, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16420196068928394, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17194568317743109, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009421517827260084, "ret_p3m": 2.042723349060373, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.042723349060373, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.9816737447978265, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.045859110264252, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0031357612038788174, "ret_p6m": 2.1874311819337278, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.1874311819337278, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.0909540608958563, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.1546422647670083, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0327889171667195, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.18136720100469117, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16420196068928394, "alpha_c_stated": 0.17194568317743109, "price_path": [-0.6477, -0.6544, -0.6632, -0.6488, -0.64, -0.6588, -0.6417, -0.6378, -0.6202, -0.6119, -0.586, -0.5524, -0.5606, -0.5728, -0.5364, -0.5292, -0.5254, -0.5099, -0.4884, -0.4972, -0.4972, -0.4906, -0.5116, -0.5259, -0.5375, -0.5187, -0.5099, -0.4802, -0.5066, -0.4625, -0.43, -0.4217, -0.4322, -0.4394, -0.4581, -0.4267, -0.4614, -0.4598, -0.4598, -0.4228, -0.4123, -0.3638, -0.3456, -0.2773, -0.2282, -0.1968, -0.1604, -0.1367, -0.0728, -0.0728, -0.0656, -0.0689, -0.065, -0.0612, -0.1053, -0.0474, -0.0695, -0.0458, -0.005, -0.011, 0.0006, 0.0248, 0.0469, 0.0, -0.0232, -0.086, -0.1295, -0.1103, -0.1119, -0.151, -0.0915, -0.0932, 0.0099, 0.0237, 0.0171, -0.0094, -0.0171, -0.0226, 0.0518, 0.0854, 0.1414, 0.0325, 0.0893, 0.0799, 0.1814, 0.2745, 0.2674, 0.2324, 0.2701, 0.4598, 0.4598, 0.6047, 0.5551, 0.4405, 0.4416, 0.4438, 0.6643, 0.8539, 0.8109, 0.8721, 1.0474, 1.0094, 1.0893, 1.0022, 1.1301, 1.3098, 1.3026, 1.5987, 1.5518, 1.3076, 1.532, 1.5871, 1.5954, 1.5921, 1.7817, 2.1836, 2.4002, 2.3126, 2.5198, 2.2949, 2.5358, 2.8346, 2.7475, 2.4085, 2.3473, 2.2646, 2.0427, 1.8572, 2.0794, 2.4675, 2.5827, 2.441, 2.3308, 2.2095, 2.349, 2.7348, 2.6731, 3.2122, 2.6913, 2.4388, 2.317, 2.1632, 2.0706, 1.6819, 1.5562, 1.6136, 1.6929, 1.5265, 1.3964, 1.3297, 1.6731, 1.6169, 1.6709, 1.6709, 1.6356, 1.6731, 1.2668, 1.4234, 1.5606, 1.4647, 1.5546, 1.5821, 1.4212, 1.4223, 1.2122, 0.9559, 1.0171, 0.8622, 0.9735, 1.2007, 1.3175, 1.3192, 1.3142, 1.3142, 1.2216, 1.1725, 1.1114, 1.0821, 1.0821, 1.3539, 1.6593, 1.5309, 1.4049, 1.5182, 1.5375, 1.7745, 1.9212, 1.9151, 1.8605, 2.1874]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1954555812229058998", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-10T14:49:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC will always break through as long as governments don't stop printing money. It's inevitable.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC on inevitable fiat debasement; dismisses need for charts or price targets.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BigCheds BTC will always break through as long as governments don't stop printing money. It's inevitable. Don't even need prices or charts to know this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC breaks through https://t.co/ehtcKUSr2h", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BigCheds", "ret_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1262, -0.1284, -0.1105, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0594, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.082, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.1241, -0.1082, -0.112, -0.1179, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0846, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1005, -0.119, -0.1166, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.0958, -0.0991, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0831, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0094, -0.008, 0.0001, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0092, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0076, -0.025, -0.0456, -0.0308, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0104, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0031, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0497, -0.0375, -0.0532, -0.0156, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.0521, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.059, -0.0674, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0606, -0.0402, -0.0272, -0.0221, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0191, -0.0134, -0.0256, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0007, 0.0164, 0.0298, 0.0507, 0.0229, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.0669, -0.0888, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.073, -0.0648, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0731, -0.0878, -0.0773, -0.1026, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1468, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1325, -0.1438, -0.1603, -0.2049, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2296, -0.2704, -0.2833, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2376, -0.2312, -0.2342, -0.273, -0.2306, -0.2123, -0.2239, -0.2471, -0.2366, -0.2193, -0.225, -0.2208, -0.2397, -0.2721, -0.2601, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2647, -0.2661, -0.2552, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2377, -0.2319, -0.1972, -0.1836, -0.1952, -0.1955, -0.2205, -0.2562, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2462, -0.2566, -0.2495, -0.2489, -0.2878, -0.2914, -0.3373, -0.363]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1951713045119734186", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-02T18:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR, HUT, WULF etc all seem to be setting up…", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees Bitcoin miners CIFR, HUT, WULF are setting up for a move higher; one deal could be the catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AlemzadehC Agreed. All it takes is one deal to light the match. CIFR, HUT, WULF etc all seem to be setting up…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin Miners look like they want to double again #CIFR https://t.co/WI4sjhs1lt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AlemzadehC", "ret_m1d": -0.05009638266190708, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05009638266190708, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03512409449172871, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030194746960695906, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019901635701211173, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.034682047467071375, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.034682047467071375, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02961212112345879, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02640880290722525, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008273244559846127, "ret_p1w": -0.08285160377607248, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08285160377607248, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09037729708023812, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08982833436198923, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006976730585916746, "ret_p1m": 0.6030827751628298, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6030827751628298, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5886650560176248, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6125762750487928, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00949349988596293, "ret_p3m": 2.6743736964498783, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.6743736964498783, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.5942924430925944, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5276427011692593, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14673099528061906, "ret_p6m": 2.612716723175085, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.612716723175085, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.5044907007079997, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.4806482073531697, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13206851582191503, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6030827751628298, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5886650560176248, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6125762750487928, "price_path": [-0.4181, -0.3988, -0.4258, -0.3931, -0.3391, -0.3622, -0.3892, -0.2563, -0.2659, -0.2717, -0.3247, -0.3121, -0.3314, -0.3314, -0.3121, -0.3545, -0.3738, -0.3988, -0.3738, -0.3382, -0.2794, -0.3198, -0.2486, -0.2023, -0.2177, -0.2139, -0.2601, -0.2832, -0.2428, -0.2909, -0.2659, -0.2659, -0.2697, -0.3198, -0.2582, -0.2582, -0.1927, -0.1792, -0.079, -0.0559, 0.0944, 0.1657, 0.1657, 0.1156, 0.1618, 0.2062, 0.2023, 0.131, 0.1618, 0.1503, 0.2081, 0.237, 0.2254, 0.2042, 0.3372, 0.2871, 0.2813, 0.2466, 0.1869, 0.0944, 0.0501, 0.052, -0.0501, 0.0, -0.0347, 0.0039, -0.0617, -0.0848, -0.0829, -0.0906, -0.0559, 0.025, 0.0039, 0.1657, 0.1098, 0.1464, 0.1368, 0.2293, 0.2794, 0.3719, 0.3468, 0.3526, 0.4721, 0.4721, 0.6031, 0.5626, 0.4258, 0.4489, 0.4875, 0.7765, 0.975, 0.921, 1.0906, 1.0906, 1.2177, 1.3854, 1.2832, 1.3661, 1.6898, 1.7264, 1.7245, 1.2466, 1.21, 1.4374, 1.4258, 1.4277, 1.6609, 1.8324, 1.9557, 2.0347, 2.3911, 2.4663, 2.2697, 2.9191, 3.025, 3.052, 2.6069, 2.6146, 2.8362, 2.4827, 2.104, 2.3247, 2.9807, 2.9576, 2.8459, 2.7746, 2.6744, 2.5934, 3.3854, 3.3372, 3.7611, 3.183, 2.9865, 2.7861, 2.5973, 2.3487, 1.8767, 1.7669, 1.7649, 1.8092, 1.817, 1.8054, 1.7264, 2.2197, 2.3757, 2.6898, 2.6898, 2.921, 2.7938, 2.3988, 2.5896, 2.8208, 2.7148, 2.7534, 2.7688, 2.5607, 2.6378, 2.2852, 1.8401, 1.8882, 1.7726, 1.9191, 2.1233, 2.1484, 2.0655, 2.1252, 2.1252, 1.9268, 1.9056, 1.8112, 1.8439, 1.8439, 2.1214, 2.499, 2.3796, 2.0983, 2.1888, 2.2042, 2.4066, 2.5164, 2.4933, 2.3757, 2.6224, 2.6224, 2.4528, 2.4143, 2.3507, 2.3854, 2.1773, 2.6127]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1951713045119734186", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-02T18:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "HUT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR, HUT, WULF etc all seem to be setting up…", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees Bitcoin miners CIFR, HUT, WULF are setting up for a move higher; one deal could be the catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["HUT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AlemzadehC Agreed. All it takes is one deal to light the match. CIFR, HUT, WULF etc all seem to be setting up…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin Miners look like they want to double again #CIFR https://t.co/WI4sjhs1lt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AlemzadehC", "ret_m1d": -0.06654081226406239, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06654081226406239, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051568524093884016, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05671621896725454, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009824593296807849, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04341670849961876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04341670849961876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038346782156006176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.039371318459182736, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0040453900404360255, "ret_p1w": -0.029259123341545124, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029259123341545124, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03678481664571076, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027718072125211712, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015410512163334111, "ret_p1m": 0.2930627148636282, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2930627148636282, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27864499571842316, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.26069884826836476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03236386659526347, "ret_p3m": 1.2921188518499616, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2921188518499616, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2120375984926777, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.28264202120052, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009476830649441492, "ret_p6m": 1.9183576495524663, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.9183576495524663, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8101316270853811, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.8904184283139298, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.027939221238536538, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2930627148636282, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.27864499571842316, "alpha_c_stated": 0.26069884826836476, "price_path": [-0.4025, -0.3313, -0.3445, -0.2676, -0.2213, -0.2388, -0.2647, -0.1916, -0.1897, -0.2058, -0.2279, -0.194, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.2025, -0.2666, -0.2742, -0.2794, -0.2822, -0.2421, -0.1973, -0.2298, -0.1236, -0.1246, -0.1255, -0.126, -0.1336, -0.1751, -0.1288, -0.1982, -0.1963, -0.1963, -0.2119, -0.2501, -0.1864, -0.1765, -0.1185, -0.1666, -0.1222, -0.1279, -0.0052, 0.0335, 0.0335, 0.0005, -0.0142, 0.0038, 0.0415, 0.0302, 0.0439, 0.0175, 0.0496, 0.0439, 0.0203, 0.0071, 0.0099, 0.0217, -0.0024, -0.0382, -0.0406, -0.0703, -0.0647, 0.0019, -0.0665, 0.0, -0.0434, -0.0236, -0.0552, -0.0819, -0.0293, 0.0184, 0.0552, 0.1232, 0.1005, 0.1524, 0.0373, 0.0529, 0.0085, 0.1029, 0.1067, 0.2227, 0.2435, 0.2511, 0.2614, 0.2614, 0.2931, 0.3058, 0.2086, 0.1977, 0.2025, 0.3827, 0.4606, 0.5083, 0.5309, 0.6137, 0.6531, 0.7834, 0.764, 0.7102, 0.7872, 0.6715, 0.7867, 0.6461, 0.5649, 0.6444, 0.6428, 0.7239, 0.8424, 0.8924, 0.9547, 0.9693, 1.1048, 1.1878, 1.0562, 1.3176, 1.357, 1.5441, 1.302, 1.2869, 1.3558, 1.2143, 0.8329, 0.9179, 1.2492, 1.3502, 1.3705, 1.4502, 1.2921, 1.3908, 1.5956, 1.2704, 1.218, 1.0467, 1.1043, 1.226, 1.0722, 0.9693, 0.6999, 0.7433, 0.7791, 0.8249, 0.7716, 0.5932, 0.6206, 0.8528, 0.8858, 0.9995, 0.9995, 1.1236, 1.0562, 0.7782, 0.8886, 1.0203, 1.0024, 1.026, 1.1194, 1.1727, 1.2062, 0.9495, 0.6725, 0.739, 0.8952, 0.8211, 1.0821, 1.378, 1.4762, 1.4917, 1.4917, 1.3426, 1.3044, 1.184, 1.168, 1.168, 1.4195, 1.7489, 1.7537, 1.7315, 1.7348, 1.8334, 1.883, 1.9014, 1.7546, 1.7032, 1.815, 1.815, 1.7508, 1.7815, 1.6012, 1.7475, 1.6612, 1.9184]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1951713045119734186", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-08-02T18:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR, HUT, WULF etc all seem to be setting up…", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees Bitcoin miners CIFR, HUT, WULF are setting up for a move higher; one deal could be the catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AlemzadehC Agreed. All it takes is one deal to light the match. CIFR, HUT, WULF etc all seem to be setting up…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin Miners look like they want to double again #CIFR https://t.co/WI4sjhs1lt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AlemzadehC", "ret_m1d": -0.026584793691863506, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026584793691863506, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011612505521685135, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016760200395055658, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009824593296807849, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03476484272710678, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03476484272710678, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03983476907071937, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03881023276754281, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0040453900404360255, "ret_p1w": 0.10429452818132057, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10429452818132057, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09676883487715493, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10583557939765398, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015410512163334111, "ret_p1m": 0.9693252305468718, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9693252305468718, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9549075114016667, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9369613639516083, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03236386659526347, "ret_p3m": 2.030674866965842, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.030674866965842, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.9505936136085582, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.0211980363164006, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009476830649441492, "ret_p6m": 2.130879516898612, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.130879516898612, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.022653494431527, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.1029402956600753, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.027939221238536538, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.9693252305468718, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.9549075114016667, "alpha_c_stated": 0.9369613639516083, "price_path": [-0.3763, -0.3252, -0.3845, -0.2883, -0.2168, -0.2515, -0.2802, -0.2045, -0.182, -0.1984, -0.2004, -0.1636, -0.1963, -0.1963, -0.1943, -0.2249, -0.2556, -0.2781, -0.2618, -0.227, -0.1329, -0.2168, -0.1104, -0.0736, -0.0757, -0.0982, -0.1288, -0.1779, -0.1145, -0.1922, -0.2147, -0.2147, -0.2352, -0.2699, -0.2147, -0.2229, -0.1022, -0.137, -0.1043, -0.092, 0.0307, 0.0757, 0.0757, -0.0184, -0.0143, 0.0082, 0.0491, 0.0, 0.045, -0.0041, 0.0736, 0.0961, 0.0491, 0.0204, 0.0757, 0.0634, 0.0879, 0.0573, 0.0429, 0.0675, 0.0245, 0.0552, -0.0266, 0.0, 0.0348, 0.0532, 0.0102, 0.0286, 0.1043, 0.0716, 0.1166, 0.7812, 0.8344, 0.9182, 0.7955, 0.8978, 0.8793, 0.8732, 0.8262, 0.8896, 0.8671, 0.9305, 0.9325, 0.9325, 0.9693, 0.8364, 0.8139, 0.8671, 0.8814, 1.1063, 1.1575, 1.1759, 1.2004, 1.1452, 1.2372, 1.3211, 1.2843, 1.2454, 1.3497, 1.2986, 1.3313, 1.2434, 1.2147, 1.3722, 1.3354, 1.3456, 1.3681, 1.4376, 1.4479, 1.4744, 1.5153, 1.7791, 1.7628, 1.863, 2.1616, 2.1636, 1.8344, 1.8487, 1.8323, 1.6871, 1.5808, 1.6339, 1.8037, 1.7894, 2.2597, 1.9652, 2.0307, 2.1697, 2.2924, 2.0695, 2.1411, 1.9202, 1.8507, 1.9243, 1.5297, 1.5849, 1.3885, 1.2474, 1.2597, 1.454, 1.501, 1.364, 1.3088, 1.5828, 1.8507, 2.0348, 2.0348, 2.1718, 2.1288, 1.908, 1.9509, 2.0879, 1.9652, 2.0593, 2.1881, 2.2229, 2.2372, 1.9305, 1.5542, 1.6564, 1.3661, 1.411, 1.5603, 1.5501, 1.5399, 1.5174, 1.5174, 1.4029, 1.3354, 1.2802, 1.3497, 1.3497, 1.6053, 1.7853, 1.6953, 1.5542, 1.6258, 1.6789, 1.8241, 1.8916, 1.9059, 1.8282, 1.8323, 1.8323, 1.726, 1.683, 1.636, 1.8875, 1.82, 2.1309]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939427710771888450", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-29T20:56:13+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You really don't understand what IREN is yet but that's OK because you will soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; implies market and observers haven't yet grasped its value but soon will.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tsuff101 You really don’t understand what IREN is yet but that’s OK because you will soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CRWV is reportedly preparing an offer for $CORZ.\nCore Scientific — a proven hybrid miner with a CoreWeave deal — have a current market cap of ~$5B for 1.3 GW ($3.8M/MW). $IREN, with ~3 GW, would be ~$11B at the same multiple. But today its market cap is just $3.4B — so the https://t.co/Fwh5ojkeZ1", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tsuff101", "ret_m1d": -0.03912146237221292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03912146237221292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03436303394305762, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030910607014862812, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00821085535735011, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045298549158279355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045298549158279355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0456221634424141, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039761103922280494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005537445235998861, "ret_p1w": 0.16334942470593838, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16334942470593838, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1587689841330573, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15743006373831792, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005919360967620468, "ret_p1m": 0.08373371946343933, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08373371946343933, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05555530531526265, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07552293807775912, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00821078138568021, "ret_p3m": 2.1770763133214888, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.1770763133214888, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1090590830582396, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.152710858949397, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02436545437209192, "ret_p6m": 1.8874399846260106, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.8874399846260106, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.7675794464015204, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.821813872508186, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06562611211782454, "ret_p1y": 2.9883323148588876, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.9883323148588876, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.778904431952524, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.943895017721569, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04443729713731859, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08373371946343933, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05555530531526265, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07552293807775912, "price_path": [-0.536, -0.5854, -0.5923, -0.5964, -0.6362, -0.5951, -0.6232, -0.6136, -0.6054, -0.6259, -0.6246, -0.6163, -0.6163, -0.6218, -0.5841, -0.5813, -0.5676, -0.5511, -0.5614, -0.5697, -0.5806, -0.5628, -0.5518, -0.5752, -0.5539, -0.5491, -0.5271, -0.5168, -0.4846, -0.4427, -0.453, -0.4681, -0.4228, -0.4139, -0.4091, -0.3898, -0.3631, -0.3741, -0.3741, -0.3658, -0.3919, -0.4097, -0.4242, -0.4008, -0.3898, -0.3528, -0.3857, -0.3308, -0.2903, -0.28, -0.2931, -0.302, -0.3253, -0.2862, -0.3294, -0.3274, -0.3274, -0.2814, -0.2684, -0.208, -0.1853, -0.1002, -0.0391, 0.0, 0.0453, 0.0748, 0.1544, 0.1544, 0.1633, 0.1592, 0.164, 0.1688, 0.1139, 0.186, 0.1585, 0.1881, 0.2388, 0.2313, 0.2457, 0.2759, 0.3034, 0.245, 0.2162, 0.138, 0.0837, 0.1078, 0.1057, 0.057, 0.1311, 0.129, 0.2574, 0.2745, 0.2663, 0.2334, 0.2237, 0.2169, 0.3095, 0.3514, 0.4211, 0.2855, 0.3562, 0.3445, 0.4708, 0.5868, 0.5779, 0.5343, 0.5813, 0.8174, 0.8174, 0.9979, 0.9362, 0.7934, 0.7948, 0.7975, 1.0721, 1.3082, 1.2546, 1.3308, 1.5491, 1.5017, 1.6012, 1.4928, 1.652, 1.8758, 1.8668, 2.2354, 2.1771, 1.873, 2.1524, 2.221, 2.2313, 2.2272, 2.4633, 2.9636, 3.2334, 3.1242, 3.3823, 3.1023, 3.4022, 3.7742, 3.6658, 3.2437, 3.1675, 3.0645, 2.7883, 2.5573, 2.8339, 3.3171, 3.4605, 3.2841, 3.1469, 2.9959, 3.1695, 3.65, 3.5731, 4.2443, 3.5957, 3.2814, 3.1297, 2.9382, 2.8229, 2.3391, 2.1826, 2.2539, 2.3528, 2.1455, 1.9835, 1.9005, 2.3281, 2.2581, 2.3253, 2.3253, 2.2814, 2.3281, 1.8222, 2.0172, 2.1881, 2.0686, 2.1805, 2.2148, 2.0144, 2.0158, 1.7543, 1.4351, 1.5113, 1.3185, 1.4571, 1.7399, 1.8854, 1.8874]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1946674249177170289", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-19T20:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "healthcare", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is when you BUY, not sell. Watch and learn how the game is played at the highest levels.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish healthcare sector; calls the panic moment a buy opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US healthcare sector ETF XLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is when you BUY, not sell. Watch and learn how the game is played at the highest levels.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Healthcare is in pure panic territory. https://t.co/3eDXV89RqG", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005721231265626514, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005721231265626514, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0076137862020316804, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0076137862020316804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018613187658351515, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018613187658351515, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018469992219248832, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018469992219248832, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.032039037206360144, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032039037206360144, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019045351546161493, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019045351546161493, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": 0.04325268838534857, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04325268838534857, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02569461129889583, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02569461129889583, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": 0.0906314423512049, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0906314423512049, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03703218229572469, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03703218229572469, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": 0.2062501028881274, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2062501028881274, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09654522093456075, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09654522093456075, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04325268838534857, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02569461129889583, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02569461129889583, "price_path": [0.0305, 0.0431, 0.0481, 0.0523, 0.0574, 0.0665, 0.0374, 0.0517, 0.0488, 0.0198, 0.0277, 0.0184, 0.0073, 0.0322, 0.0012, -0.0224, -0.0095, 0.0104, 0.0202, 0.0227, -0.001, -0.0089, -0.0104, -0.0104, 0.0034, -0.0018, 0.0049, 0.007, 0.0076, 0.01, 0.012, 0.0106, 0.0202, 0.0185, 0.0301, 0.0306, 0.0387, 0.0335, 0.0303, 0.0133, 0.0116, 0.0116, 0.0067, 0.0082, 0.0205, 0.0214, 0.0239, 0.0217, 0.0282, 0.0429, 0.0326, 0.0336, 0.0336, 0.0249, 0.0296, 0.0336, 0.0399, 0.0313, 0.0301, 0.0115, 0.0241, 0.0124, 0.0057, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0395, 0.0356, 0.0411, 0.032, 0.0255, 0.0236, -0.005, 0.0003, 0.0146, 0.0108, -0.0044, -0.0159, -0.0071, -0.0061, 0.0008, 0.0168, 0.0219, 0.0391, 0.0366, 0.0433, 0.0489, 0.0454, 0.054, 0.039, 0.0455, 0.0449, 0.0407, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.0494, 0.0444, 0.0484, 0.0519, 0.0516, 0.0572, 0.0476, 0.0658, 0.0536, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0466, 0.0487, 0.0473, 0.047, 0.0494, 0.0452, 0.0279, 0.0384, 0.0414, 0.0665, 0.0994, 0.0973, 0.1098, 0.1044, 0.1053, 0.1074, 0.105, 0.089, 0.0878, 0.0908, 0.0925, 0.0906, 0.0979, 0.1096, 0.1122, 0.1185, 0.1191, 0.1191, 0.1217, 0.1146, 0.1034, 0.1058, 0.1054, 0.107, 0.1119, 0.1162, 0.1184, 0.1199, 0.1286, 0.1547, 0.1711, 0.1705, 0.1635, 0.1625, 0.1693, 0.1673, 0.1604, 0.1848, 0.1898, 0.2167, 0.214, 0.214, 0.2081, 0.19, 0.1829, 0.1884, 0.1794, 0.1745, 0.1604, 0.1492, 0.1659, 0.1769, 0.1806, 0.1962, 0.1807, 0.1785, 0.1794, 0.1873, 0.1952, 0.1928, 0.199, 0.199, 0.2009, 0.1991, 0.1981, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.1968, 0.1932, 0.2166, 0.2287, 0.2169, 0.2106, 0.2112, 0.2063]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1958727541205684685", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-22T03:06:51+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "And I am not a bear", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish ETH stance by affirming he is not a bear on Ethereum.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Micro2Macr0 @ethereum And I am not a bear", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This is not bearish. @ethereum $ETH https://t.co/NcFmrh4Fm3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Micro2Macr0", "ret_m1d": -0.1258734813183997, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1258734813183997, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11074900792080444, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11074900792080444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09487223437587489, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09487223437587489, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09047130955049898, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09047130955049898, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": -0.09752883440890292, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09752883440890292, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09712594226876148, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09712594226876148, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.13008193760597953, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13008193760597953, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16631076771832742, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16631076771832742, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.37428013779634595, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.37428013779634595, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4039668717047832, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4039668717047832, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.5864679044189953, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5864679044189953, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.648996324667725, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.648996324667725, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13008193760597953, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16631076771832742, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16631076771832742, "price_path": [-0.4488, -0.4448, -0.4551, -0.4763, -0.4604, -0.4632, -0.4601, -0.4999, -0.4873, -0.445, -0.4177, -0.4259, -0.4511, -0.4661, -0.4741, -0.4803, -0.4775, -0.4781, -0.5017, -0.4987, -0.4933, -0.4992, -0.4999, -0.4983, -0.4853, -0.502, -0.4678, -0.4637, -0.4808, -0.4736, -0.4586, -0.4265, -0.3884, -0.3878, -0.3763, -0.3501, -0.3022, -0.2804, -0.2654, -0.2211, -0.224, -0.2487, -0.2325, -0.2285, -0.2161, -0.2148, -0.2118, -0.2348, -0.278, -0.2302, -0.2524, -0.2375, -0.1898, -0.17, -0.1251, -0.0498, -0.0155, -0.0586, -0.081, -0.1074, -0.1569, -0.1028, -0.1259, 0.0, -0.0949, -0.0478, -0.0679, -0.0671, -0.0975, -0.107, -0.1047, -0.0789, -0.1102, -0.1085, -0.1083, -0.1081, -0.0998, -0.0766, -0.024, -0.063, -0.0678, -0.0494, -0.05, -0.0746, -0.1301, -0.1378, -0.1403, -0.1993, -0.1646, -0.1271, -0.1419, -0.0994, -0.0711, -0.0655, -0.0297, -0.0787, -0.0629, -0.0957, -0.2046, -0.1213, -0.1461, -0.1747, -0.1939, -0.2067, -0.1761, -0.1976, -0.2118, -0.2019, -0.1856, -0.1472, -0.1757, -0.1921, -0.2126, -0.2037, -0.2544, -0.3185, -0.2911, -0.3144, -0.289, -0.2614, -0.2931, -0.2936, -0.3309, -0.3576, -0.374, -0.3536, -0.3743, -0.4139, -0.4276, -0.3888, -0.3878, -0.3733, -0.376, -0.3724, -0.4204, -0.3795, -0.3394, -0.3513, -0.374, -0.3531, -0.3126, -0.3117, -0.33, -0.3616, -0.3865, -0.3865, -0.414, -0.4148, -0.3836, -0.3778, -0.3866, -0.3903, -0.399, -0.3944, -0.3926, -0.385, -0.3859, -0.379, -0.3533, -0.3323, -0.3178, -0.3445, -0.3575, -0.3619, -0.3599, -0.3124, -0.3056, -0.3134, -0.3179, -0.3404, -0.3924, -0.3834, -0.3895, -0.3887, -0.3943, -0.3745, -0.3777, -0.4167, -0.4407, -0.5148, -0.5389, -0.5563, -0.6229, -0.5729, -0.5646, -0.582, -0.5983, -0.597, -0.576, -0.5865]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1945525723848216779", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-16T16:47:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$146k is next", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin heading to $146k next.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow $146k is next.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin weekly\nGann Square that I've been following since late 2024\nStill holding the horizontal Gann level after breakout last week... for now\nIf this level holds, I still see 128K being next level based on fibs, then 150-160K is next https://t.co/SM7pKVSAgE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.008096112459304416, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008096112459304416, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004763979306848465, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004763979306848465, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033321331524559517, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033321331524559517, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004643278306736054, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004643278306736054, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0014763589657806886, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0014763589657806886, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0061196372725167425, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0061196372725167425, "ret_p1w": 0.00013856604148987373, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00013856604148987373, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01586536153560192, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01586536153560192, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016003927577091792, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016003927577091792, "ret_p1m": -0.003191295683944162, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003191295683944162, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03640071577908466, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03640071577908466, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.033209420095140496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033209420095140496, "ret_p3m": -0.029202233979354175, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029202233979354175, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0943366631351682, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0943366631351682, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06513442915581402, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06513442915581402, "ret_p6m": -0.23338159896921606, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23338159896921606, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3443115295623802, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3443115295623802, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11092993059316414, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11092993059316414, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003191295683944162, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03640071577908466, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03640071577908466, "price_path": [-0.2888, -0.2629, -0.213, -0.2109, -0.2088, -0.2023, -0.2001, -0.2059, -0.2066, -0.1874, -0.1838, -0.202, -0.1847, -0.1828, -0.1305, -0.1328, -0.1341, -0.1227, -0.128, -0.1263, -0.1284, -0.1106, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0595, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.0821, -0.0921, -0.1103, -0.1241, -0.1083, -0.1121, -0.118, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0847, -0.1079, -0.1065, -0.1006, -0.1191, -0.1167, -0.1184, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1069, -0.0958, -0.0992, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0832, -0.0766, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0232, -0.0103, 0.0094, -0.0081, 0.0, 0.0046, -0.0062, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0001, -0.0031, -0.0093, -0.0069, -0.0069, -0.0076, -0.0251, -0.0456, -0.0309, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0105, -0.0173, -0.0001, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0032, -0.0113, -0.0209, -0.0498, -0.0376, -0.0532, -0.0157, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0633, -0.0522, -0.087, -0.0799, -0.0635, -0.0591, -0.0675, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0607, -0.0403, -0.0272, -0.0222, -0.0277, -0.016, -0.0191, -0.0135, -0.0257, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0456, -0.0816, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0008, 0.0164, 0.0297, 0.0506, 0.0228, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0292, -0.0473, -0.067, -0.0889, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.0931, -0.073, -0.0649, -0.0389, -0.0487, -0.0731, -0.0879, -0.0773, -0.1027, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1469, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1326, -0.1438, -0.1604, -0.205, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2297, -0.2704, -0.2834, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2377, -0.2312, -0.2343, -0.273, -0.2307, -0.2123, -0.224, -0.2472, -0.2366, -0.2194, -0.225, -0.2209, -0.2398, -0.2722, -0.2602, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2648, -0.2661, -0.2553, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2334]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944900640427364692", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-14T23:23:41+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Too bearish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disagrees with a cautious read on Bitcoin; implies more upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoCon_ Too bearish", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin doesn't always get 3 moves to extreme greed in a cycle, but I think this will definitely be one of them.\n\nCurrently in the lower values of greed, with plenty of room for growth! https://t.co/NRa8ud4B88", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoCon_", "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023755186406069995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023755186406069995, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020635895485057287, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020635895485057287, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030911323974251448, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030911323974251448, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03387056985559744, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03387056985559744, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03706000379269225, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03706000379269225, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.332702487729883, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.332702487729883, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03387056985559744, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03387056985559744, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1948468865102397701", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-24T19:42:32+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Coreweave headed sub $120 and then probably sub $100 before it finds a bottom", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish CRWV with targets sub-$120 then sub-$100 as mania unwinds and money rotates to cheaper alternatives.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Coreweave headed sub $120 and then probably sub $100 before it finds a bottom. This is what happens when a mania turns in to outright exuberance. There is always a hangover. Money is rotating to cheaper alternatives.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05041669209798183, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05041669209798183, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05074770947692919, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05074770947692919, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036499977111816406, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036499977111816406, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04072431526430753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04072431526430753, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "ret_p1w": -0.04891668955485029, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04891668955485029, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04522822408546856, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04522822408546856, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "ret_p1m": -0.2167500178019206, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2167500178019206, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23391525811732783, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23391525811732783, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "ret_p3m": 0.0421666463216146, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0421666463216146, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.018882957940931977, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.018882957940931977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "ret_p6m": -0.15641663869222, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15641663869222, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2528937597300912, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2528937597300912, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2167500178019206, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.23391525811732783, "alpha_c_stated": 0.23391525811732783, "price_path": [-0.6498, -0.6432, -0.6558, -0.6307, -0.5703, -0.5749, -0.5475, -0.5533, -0.5417, -0.5719, -0.5126, -0.4728, -0.4378, -0.4519, -0.3308, -0.2784, -0.248, -0.1051, -0.1653, -0.1438, -0.1438, 0.0331, -0.0321, -0.1204, -0.0724, 0.0017, 0.254, 0.3592, 0.1254, 0.168, 0.3508, 0.2908, 0.2475, 0.2414, 0.2266, 0.3208, 0.4327, 0.4167, 0.4167, 0.5298, 0.4473, 0.4385, 0.3292, 0.3173, 0.3333, 0.3588, 0.2995, 0.2648, 0.3767, 0.3767, 0.3308, 0.2621, 0.2754, 0.1524, 0.0487, 0.1031, 0.1716, 0.192, 0.1018, 0.0252, 0.0409, 0.0814, 0.0504, 0.0, -0.0365, -0.081, -0.0938, -0.1426, -0.0489, -0.1322, -0.1166, -0.068, -0.0813, 0.009, 0.0796, 0.1648, 0.2396, -0.0187, -0.1708, -0.1669, -0.1933, -0.2259, -0.2373, -0.2434, -0.2168, -0.2302, -0.2384, -0.1922, -0.1434, -0.1413, -0.1413, -0.2222, -0.251, -0.271, -0.2576, -0.2204, -0.1648, -0.0238, -0.0609, -0.067, 0.0039, -0.0104, 0.0072, 0.0116, 0.0405, 0.1102, 0.0907, 0.1117, 0.0555, 0.0028, 0.021, 0.1404, 0.1421, 0.15, 0.1232, 0.1154, 0.0736, 0.1665, 0.1923, 0.1536, 0.1802, 0.1172, 0.1603, 0.1812, 0.1406, 0.0588, 0.0422, 0.0127, 0.0278, 0.1046, 0.1338, 0.1233, 0.1661, 0.0922, 0.1143, 0.0527, -0.0354, -0.0465, -0.1089, -0.1332, -0.1199, -0.2634, -0.2881, -0.3472, -0.3553, -0.3722, -0.3758, -0.3757, -0.4233, -0.4029, -0.3867, -0.4059, -0.3809, -0.3809, -0.3907, -0.3578, -0.3664, -0.3387, -0.2854, -0.2642, -0.2813, -0.2445, -0.2653, -0.2718, -0.3451, -0.3971, -0.4208, -0.4621, -0.436, -0.3083, -0.2931, -0.3312, -0.3427, -0.3427, -0.3632, -0.3757, -0.3842, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.339, -0.3595, -0.3505, -0.3568, -0.3576, -0.3322, -0.2506, -0.271, -0.2517, -0.2082, -0.1564]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1951019255178440937", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-31T20:36:53+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I added today again. Slowly building. 80,000 shares now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to NVO position today; now holds 80,000 shares.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DeepIceValue @Dividends_Mania I added today again. Slowly building. 80,000 shares now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@Dividends_Mania ✌️.. to make things even better, i have some $NVO as well 😅", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepIceValue", "ret_m1d": -0.02324137028474893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02324137028474893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03990491193973189, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03990491193973189, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01666354165498296, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01666354165498296, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012865869694334897, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012865869694334897, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0023339952336938197, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0023339952336938197, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015199864928028717, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015199864928028717, "ret_p1w": 0.05997101581814679, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05997101581814679, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0351043929380388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0351043929380388, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02486662288010799, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02486662288010799, "ret_p1m": 0.18481469866318068, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18481469866318068, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1472896443907108, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1472896443907108, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03752505427246988, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03752505427246988, "ret_p3m": 0.07800085991551375, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07800085991551375, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.030690884465346402, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.030690884465346402, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10869174438086016, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10869174438086016, "ret_p6m": 0.34262205850097693, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34262205850097693, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22201583071829623, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22201583071829623, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12060622778268071, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12060622778268071, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.18481469866318068, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1472896443907108, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1472896443907108, "price_path": [0.3756, 0.4017, 0.3457, 0.3648, 0.4057, 0.3571, 0.3366, 0.3727, 0.3358, 0.3907, 0.4152, 0.4152, 0.4146, 0.3976, 0.3976, 0.4617, 0.4235, 0.4414, 0.4837, 0.5113, 0.4715, 0.4949, 0.5076, 0.5487, 0.5659, 0.6462, 0.6337, 0.6819, 0.6566, 0.5983, 0.5426, 0.5358, 0.5358, 0.5308, 0.4468, 0.4677, 0.3976, 0.4049, 0.4217, 0.4322, 0.4488, 0.4488, 0.4354, 0.4354, 0.4385, 0.4451, 0.4462, 0.4735, 0.4304, 0.4306, 0.3949, 0.3912, 0.3548, 0.3345, 0.3472, 0.3858, 0.4532, 0.4677, 0.4879, 0.4318, 0.1193, 0.0382, -0.0232, 0.0, 0.0129, -0.0201, -0.0583, 0.0118, 0.06, 0.0349, 0.033, 0.0562, 0.0573, 0.0876, 0.1279, 0.1496, 0.1395, 0.1636, 0.1957, 0.1823, 0.1613, 0.1844, 0.1775, 0.1848, 0.1848, 0.1831, 0.1907, 0.1781, 0.159, 0.1391, 0.1395, 0.141, 0.1395, 0.1514, 0.1672, 0.2003, 0.2213, 0.2979, 0.2885, 0.274, 0.2494, 0.2327, 0.176, 0.167, 0.1647, 0.1645, 0.2417, 0.2327, 0.2513, 0.2518, 0.2385, 0.2509, 0.2314, 0.1947, 0.2066, 0.189, 0.1903, 0.1771, 0.141, 0.1697, 0.1496, 0.1202, 0.117, 0.1114, 0.1099, 0.0923, 0.078, 0.0501, 0.0379, 0.0306, 0.0125, 0.0169, -0.024, -0.0414, -0.0359, 0.0314, 0.0547, 0.0316, 0.0127, 0.0169, -0.0022, 0.0283, -0.0011, -0.0005, -0.0563, -0.0124, 0.0222, 0.0222, 0.0356, 0.0163, -0.0047, -0.0017, 0.0071, 0.0043, -0.0185, -0.0271, 0.0293, 0.0553, 0.053, 0.057, 0.0274, 0.0025, -0.0009, 0.0092, 0.0094, 0.083, 0.103, 0.103, 0.0996, 0.0801, 0.0749, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.0994, 0.1565, 0.1806, 0.1871, 0.2033, 0.2341, 0.2562, 0.2515, 0.2362, 0.1987, 0.308, 0.308, 0.2734, 0.2448, 0.3059, 0.3065, 0.3426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942636891041587620", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-08T17:28:21+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CORZ is going to trade like a proxy for where CRWV will trade in 3-4 months (much lower)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Both CORZ and CRWV headed much lower in 3-4 months; CORZ will trade as a proxy for CRWV's decline given tiny float and heavy short interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Umbisam I understand what you mean and I still don't agree.\n\nI think because the CRWV float is tiny compared to overall share base and it is already heavily shorted with little borrow available, CORZ is going to trade like a proxy for where CRWV will trade in 3-4 months (much lower)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred what I mean by that is that $CORZ, at current levels, is already pricing in ‘as a given’ a 25% correction of CW … I agree CW may rationally appear overstretched at current levels, but I am not in a position to rule out that at $150/sh a -25% is as likely as a +25% in this AI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Umbisam", "ret_m1d": 0.05777456772434264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05777456772434264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05722653225095842, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05722653225095842, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04208274845391846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04208274845391846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04807940453226267, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04807940453226267, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "ret_p1w": -0.018544951525865216, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018544951525865216, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02144658497797447, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02144658497797447, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "ret_p1m": 0.006419343507491515, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006419343507491515, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013634238425104916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013634238425104916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "ret_p3m": 0.27104130620454225, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27104130620454225, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1892710113586722, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1892710113586722, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "ret_p6m": 0.03851640115703403, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03851640115703403, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06705657943073184, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06705657943073184, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "ret_p1y": 0.9450784284862646, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.9450784284862646, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.7482569944398816, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.7482569944398816, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006419343507491515, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013634238425104916, "alpha_c_stated": 0.013634238425104916, "price_path": [-0.5136, -0.4957, -0.4964, -0.5114, -0.53, -0.5271, -0.5271, -0.5442, -0.5064, -0.4922, -0.4629, -0.4073, -0.4123, -0.4087, -0.4223, -0.3902, -0.3766, -0.3759, -0.3588, -0.3652, -0.326, -0.3352, -0.2953, -0.2696, -0.2639, -0.2504, -0.2311, -0.2261, -0.2211, -0.2311, -0.2275, -0.2382, -0.2382, -0.1954, -0.2311, -0.2375, -0.2404, -0.2204, -0.1583, -0.1041, -0.1491, -0.1305, -0.0934, -0.0892, -0.1262, -0.1341, -0.1519, -0.1384, -0.1519, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.1541, -0.1904, -0.1291, -0.1227, 0.1669, 0.1876, 0.2175, 0.2304, 0.2525, 0.2839, 0.2839, 0.0578, 0.0, -0.0421, -0.0599, -0.1077, -0.0328, -0.0185, -0.0071, -0.0392, -0.0478, -0.0535, -0.0385, -0.0378, -0.0235, -0.0185, -0.0196, -0.0592, -0.0688, -0.0342, -0.0977, -0.0264, 0.0043, 0.0064, 0.0235, 0.0278, 0.0364, 0.0777, -0.0121, -0.0132, 0.0078, 0.0364, 0.0235, 0.0043, -0.0164, -0.0335, -0.0243, 0.0014, 0.0128, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0235, -0.0014, -0.0314, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0064, 0.0364, 0.1405, 0.1091, 0.1312, 0.1641, 0.1541, 0.1605, 0.1947, 0.1854, 0.2247, 0.2126, 0.2133, 0.2011, 0.2019, 0.2361, 0.2796, 0.2817, 0.291, 0.271, 0.2775, 0.2197, 0.2504, 0.2867, 0.321, 0.3702, 0.3509, 0.4223, 0.403, 0.3552, 0.3417, 0.3716, 0.2696, 0.2882, 0.3795, 0.4173, 0.433, 0.4815, 0.4793, 0.5364, 0.6334, 0.5506, 0.5549, 0.4686, 0.4401, 0.3759, 0.2354, 0.1726, 0.0813, 0.0649, 0.0549, 0.1006, 0.0977, 0.0813, 0.0506, 0.1234, 0.1091, 0.1541, 0.1541, 0.2047, 0.1833, 0.1284, 0.1805, 0.2183, 0.2204, 0.2618, 0.2475, 0.2361, 0.2411, 0.179, 0.0899, 0.0506, -0.0321, 0.0385, 0.1127, 0.1262, 0.1041, 0.1106, 0.1106, 0.0906, 0.0756, 0.0421, 0.0385]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942636891041587620", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-08T17:28:21+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "where CRWV will trade in 3-4 months (much lower)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Both CORZ and CRWV headed much lower in 3-4 months; CORZ will trade as a proxy for CRWV's decline given tiny float and heavy short interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Umbisam I understand what you mean and I still don't agree.\n\nI think because the CRWV float is tiny compared to overall share base and it is already heavily shorted with little borrow available, CORZ is going to trade like a proxy for where CRWV will trade in 3-4 months (much lower)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred what I mean by that is that $CORZ, at current levels, is already pricing in ‘as a given’ a 25% correction of CW … I agree CW may rationally appear overstretched at current levels, but I am not in a position to rule out that at $150/sh a -25% is as likely as a +25% in this AI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Umbisam", "ret_m1d": 0.054473424669789994, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054473424669789994, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05392538919640577, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05392538919640577, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010564583266795546, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010564583266795546, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004567927188451337, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004567927188451337, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "ret_p1w": -0.07170683941355871, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07170683941355871, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07460847286566796, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07460847286566796, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "ret_p1m": -0.27210300372971363, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27210300372971363, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29215658566231006, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29215658566231006, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "ret_p3m": -0.11000332781652622, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11000332781652622, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19177362266239628, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19177362266239628, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "ret_p6m": -0.5271706698361693, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5271706698361693, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6327436504239352, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6327436504239352, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "ret_p1y": -0.34790357130227245, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.34790357130227245, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5447250053486554, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5447250053486554, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.27210300372971363, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.29215658566231006, "alpha_c_stated": 0.29215658566231006, "price_path": [-0.7214, -0.7111, -0.7121, -0.7307, -0.7311, -0.7419, -0.7419, -0.7662, -0.7457, -0.7252, -0.7242, -0.7257, -0.7225, -0.7173, -0.7273, -0.7074, -0.6595, -0.6632, -0.6415, -0.6461, -0.6368, -0.6608, -0.6138, -0.5823, -0.5546, -0.5657, -0.4698, -0.4283, -0.4042, -0.2909, -0.3387, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.1814, -0.2331, -0.3031, -0.265, -0.2063, -0.0064, 0.0769, -0.1083, -0.0745, 0.0703, 0.0228, -0.0116, -0.0164, -0.0281, 0.0466, 0.1352, 0.1225, 0.1225, 0.2121, 0.1468, 0.1398, 0.0532, 0.0438, 0.0564, 0.0767, 0.0296, 0.0021, 0.0908, 0.0908, 0.0545, 0.0, 0.0106, -0.0869, -0.1691, -0.1259, -0.0717, -0.0555, -0.127, -0.1877, -0.1752, -0.1431, -0.1677, -0.2077, -0.2366, -0.2718, -0.282, -0.3206, -0.2464, -0.3124, -0.3, -0.2615, -0.2721, -0.2005, -0.1446, -0.0771, -0.0178, -0.2224, -0.343, -0.3399, -0.3608, -0.3867, -0.3957, -0.4005, -0.3794, -0.39, -0.3966, -0.36, -0.3213, -0.3196, -0.3196, -0.3837, -0.4065, -0.4224, -0.4118, -0.3823, -0.3383, -0.2265, -0.2559, -0.2607, -0.2046, -0.2159, -0.202, -0.1985, -0.1756, -0.1203, -0.1358, -0.1192, -0.1637, -0.2054, -0.191, -0.0964, -0.0951, -0.0888, -0.11, -0.1162, -0.1494, -0.0757, -0.0553, -0.086, -0.0649, -0.1148, -0.0806, -0.0641, -0.0963, -0.161, -0.1742, -0.1976, -0.1856, -0.1248, -0.1016, -0.1099, -0.0761, -0.1346, -0.1171, -0.1659, -0.2357, -0.2445, -0.294, -0.3132, -0.3027, -0.4164, -0.4359, -0.4827, -0.4892, -0.5026, -0.5054, -0.5053, -0.543, -0.5269, -0.514, -0.5293, -0.5095, -0.5095, -0.5172, -0.4912, -0.498, -0.476, -0.4338, -0.417, -0.4306, -0.4014, -0.4179, -0.423, -0.4811, -0.5223, -0.5411, -0.5738, -0.5531, -0.452, -0.4399, -0.4701, -0.4792, -0.4792, -0.4954, -0.5053, -0.5121, -0.5272]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1960741827159711772", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T16:30:55+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "RIAs want Bitcoin in their client portfolios ASAP. Eaglebrook blew through $400M on the way to $500M and then $1B+. Early days for this key part of the Bitcoin industry.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC: wealth management AUM ramp signals surging institutional demand still in early innings.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The wealth management business is starting to COOK. RIAs want Bitcoin in their client portfolios ASAP.\n\nEaglebrook blew through $400M on the way to $500M and then $1B+\n\nEarly days for this key part of the Bitcoin industry.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Today, Eaglebrook surpasses $400 Million in AUM while delivering $52 Million in client tax savings. Eaglebrook is is now trusted by 90 RIA partners who oversee $1.7 trillion in assets.\n\ncc @mikealfred   \n\nhttps://t.co/PaBoAfJDQR", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005220131122815719, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005220131122815719, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007493594983883023, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007493594983883023, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01189280397942638, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01189280397942638, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008351384411107832, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008351384411107832, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "ret_p1w": 0.004505836578061917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004505836578061917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008975270695327664, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008975270695327664, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "ret_p1m": -0.019535453566148386, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019535453566148386, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04001762412002907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04001762412002907, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "ret_p3m": -0.20635743919961924, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20635743919961924, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24340176821379744, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24340176821379744, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "ret_p6m": -0.3979834402234719, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3979834402234719, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46258886607373517, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46258886607373517, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.019535453566148386, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04001762412002907, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04001762412002907, "price_path": [-0.0649, -0.048, -0.0521, -0.0584, -0.0867, -0.0614, -0.0083, -0.0087, -0.0228, -0.0476, -0.0461, -0.0398, -0.0595, -0.057, -0.0588, -0.0711, -0.0507, -0.0465, -0.0347, -0.0383, -0.0372, -0.0367, -0.0497, -0.0212, -0.0142, -0.0287, -0.0263, -0.0204, 0.0009, 0.0428, 0.0566, 0.0776, 0.0589, 0.0676, 0.0725, 0.061, 0.0559, 0.0789, 0.0677, 0.0642, 0.0577, 0.0603, 0.0602, 0.0594, 0.0408, 0.0189, 0.0346, 0.0262, 0.0342, 0.0564, 0.0492, 0.0675, 0.0805, 0.109, 0.0642, 0.0555, 0.0452, 0.0145, 0.0274, 0.0108, 0.0508, -0.0099, 0.0052, 0.0, 0.0119, -0.0253, -0.0177, -0.0002, 0.0045, -0.0045, -0.0051, 0.0076, 0.0028, 0.0246, 0.0385, 0.0439, 0.038, 0.0505, 0.0472, 0.0532, 0.0402, 0.0137, 0.0071, 0.0189, -0.0195, -0.0136, 0.0286, 0.0255, 0.0668, 0.085, 0.0993, 0.1217, 0.092, 0.1091, 0.0943, 0.0179, 0.0364, 0.0171, -0.0039, -0.0273, -0.0427, -0.0057, -0.0247, -0.0318, -0.0104, -0.0017, 0.026, 0.0156, -0.0105, -0.0262, -0.015, -0.042, -0.0866, -0.0659, -0.0892, -0.0706, -0.047, -0.0739, -0.0859, -0.1036, -0.1513, -0.172, -0.1643, -0.1776, -0.2211, -0.2349, -0.2064, -0.2147, -0.1861, -0.1793, -0.1825, -0.2239, -0.1787, -0.1591, -0.1716, -0.1963, -0.1851, -0.1666, -0.1726, -0.1682, -0.1884, -0.223, -0.2102, -0.2255, -0.2316, -0.2079, -0.2044, -0.2141, -0.2123, -0.2157, -0.2151, -0.2165, -0.2049, -0.2132, -0.2022, -0.1913, -0.1559, -0.1573, -0.179, -0.1816, -0.1862, -0.1801, -0.143, -0.1285, -0.1409, -0.1411, -0.1678, -0.206, -0.1964, -0.1956, -0.1953, -0.2064, -0.1989, -0.1981, -0.2397, -0.2436, -0.2925, -0.32, -0.3435, -0.4362, -0.3656, -0.3695, -0.3815, -0.3977, -0.4046, -0.3809, -0.381, -0.3932, -0.4028, -0.398]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1957585612900561120", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-18T23:29:14+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just wait until you learn about the deal CIFR is about to sign", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Teases an imminent bullish deal for CIFR, implying significant upside catalyst forthcoming.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wclemente If you like this, just wait until you learn about the deal CIFR is about to sign", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Cool to see my Wulf thesis from last yr now play out with Fluidstack at Lake Mariner\n\nGives credence to my current GLXY thesis. Think mkt is asleep, if Novo leases the rest of Helios’ capacity at same economics as their current Coreweave deal, GLXY should re-rate much higher. https://t.co/VEGhv0GGY5", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WClemente", "ret_m1d": 0.050347213598865403, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.050347213598865403, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044892423855768415, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.032573430500581146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005454789743096988, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017773783098284257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03298603695024238, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03298603695024238, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03564302130242081, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039751624701663824, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026569843521784264, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006765587751421442, "ret_p1w": 0.2361110421242565, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2361110421242565, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22774926245883376, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2307216253670059, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00836177966542273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005389416757250576, "ret_p1m": 1.1493054900180435, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.1493054900180435, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.1190308957441935, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.1118084655070497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030274594273850042, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03749702451099379, "ret_p3m": 1.49305539688579, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.49305539688579, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4399414627308142, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.390233402071056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053113934154975784, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10282199481473397, "ret_p6m": 1.8263888957875745, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.8263888957875745, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.738677257922186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.7303650871850986, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08771163786538838, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09602380860247584, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2361110421242565, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.22774926245883376, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2307216253670059, "price_path": [-0.3802, -0.3976, -0.3976, -0.3802, -0.4184, -0.4358, -0.4583, -0.4358, -0.4036, -0.3507, -0.3872, -0.3229, -0.2813, -0.2951, -0.2917, -0.3333, -0.3542, -0.3177, -0.3611, -0.3385, -0.3385, -0.342, -0.3872, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.2726, -0.2604, -0.1701, -0.1493, -0.0139, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0052, 0.0469, 0.0868, 0.0833, 0.0191, 0.0469, 0.0365, 0.0885, 0.1146, 0.1042, 0.0851, 0.2049, 0.1597, 0.1545, 0.1233, 0.0694, -0.0139, -0.0538, -0.0521, -0.1441, -0.099, -0.1302, -0.0955, -0.1545, -0.1753, -0.1736, -0.1806, -0.1493, -0.0764, -0.0955, 0.0503, 0.0, 0.033, 0.0243, 0.1076, 0.1528, 0.2361, 0.2135, 0.2187, 0.3264, 0.3264, 0.4444, 0.408, 0.2847, 0.3056, 0.3403, 0.6007, 0.7795, 0.7309, 0.8837, 0.8837, 0.9983, 1.1493, 1.0573, 1.1319, 1.4236, 1.4566, 1.4549, 1.0243, 0.9913, 1.1962, 1.1858, 1.1875, 1.3976, 1.5521, 1.6632, 1.7344, 2.0556, 2.1233, 1.9462, 2.5312, 2.6267, 2.651, 2.25, 2.2569, 2.4566, 2.138, 1.7969, 1.9957, 2.5868, 2.566, 2.4653, 2.401, 2.3108, 2.2378, 2.9514, 2.908, 3.2899, 2.7691, 2.592, 2.4115, 2.2413, 2.0174, 1.592, 1.4931, 1.4913, 1.5312, 1.5382, 1.5278, 1.4566, 1.901, 2.0417, 2.3247, 2.3247, 2.533, 2.4184, 2.0625, 2.2344, 2.4427, 2.3472, 2.3819, 2.3958, 2.2083, 2.2778, 1.9601, 1.559, 1.6024, 1.4983, 1.6302, 1.8142, 1.8368, 1.7622, 1.816, 1.816, 1.6372, 1.6181, 1.533, 1.5625, 1.5625, 1.8125, 2.1528, 2.0451, 1.7917, 1.8733, 1.8872, 2.0694, 2.1684, 2.1476, 2.0417, 2.2639, 2.2639, 2.1111, 2.0764, 2.0191, 2.0503, 1.8628, 2.2552, 2.2934, 2.0729, 1.7708, 1.7448, 1.8229, 1.474, 1.2049, 1.5573, 1.9097, 1.9687, 1.8264]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1956345174990487845", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-15T13:20:11+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stay long IREN and CIFR (and maybe OPEN too now)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Stay long IREN and CIFR; also considering OPEN as a new long.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don’t mess with @ericjackson \n\nAlso, stay long IREN and CIFR (and maybe OPEN too now)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030980223149128405, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030980223149128405, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.033326915145899805, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04146455624222012, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0023466919967713995, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010484333093091713, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0515489772533424, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0515489772533424, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0517665939012365, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.050786456133737445, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0002176166478941033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007625211196049531, "ret_p1w": 0.0883697168066857, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0883697168066857, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08546358985743896, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06721067879730436, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029061269492467456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021159038009381348, "ret_p1m": 0.8862365862005801, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8862365862005801, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8590858163229442, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.862980725879444, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027150769877635872, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023255860321136135, "ret_p3m": 1.8288470925430227, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8288470925430227, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.763830066845652, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.802413987045427, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06501702569737078, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0264331054975957, "ret_p6m": 1.3438293689252911, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3438293689252911, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2591437880566814, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.308627049017922, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08468558086860978, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03520231990736922, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8862365862005801, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8590858163229442, "alpha_c_stated": 0.862980725879444, "price_path": [-0.5627, -0.5485, -0.5287, -0.5368, -0.5368, -0.5307, -0.55, -0.5632, -0.5739, -0.5566, -0.5485, -0.5211, -0.5455, -0.5048, -0.4749, -0.4672, -0.4769, -0.4835, -0.5008, -0.4718, -0.5038, -0.5023, -0.5023, -0.4683, -0.4586, -0.4139, -0.3972, -0.3342, -0.289, -0.26, -0.2265, -0.2047, -0.1458, -0.1458, -0.1392, -0.1422, -0.1386, -0.1351, -0.1757, -0.1224, -0.1427, -0.1209, -0.0833, -0.0889, -0.0782, -0.0559, -0.0356, -0.0787, -0.1001, -0.1579, -0.1981, -0.1803, -0.1818, -0.2179, -0.163, -0.1646, -0.0696, -0.0569, -0.063, -0.0874, -0.0945, -0.0995, -0.031, 0.0, 0.0515, -0.0488, 0.0036, -0.0051, 0.0884, 0.1742, 0.1676, 0.1353, 0.1701, 0.3448, 0.3448, 0.4784, 0.4327, 0.3271, 0.3281, 0.3301, 0.5333, 0.708, 0.6684, 0.7247, 0.8862, 0.8512, 0.9248, 0.8446, 0.9624, 1.128, 1.1214, 1.3941, 1.3509, 1.126, 1.3327, 1.3834, 1.3911, 1.388, 1.5627, 1.933, 2.1326, 2.0518, 2.2428, 2.0356, 2.2575, 2.5328, 2.4525, 2.1402, 2.0838, 2.0076, 1.8032, 1.6323, 1.837, 2.1945, 2.3007, 2.1701, 2.0686, 1.9568, 2.0853, 2.4408, 2.384, 2.8807, 2.4007, 2.1681, 2.0559, 1.9142, 1.8288, 1.4708, 1.355, 1.4078, 1.481, 1.3276, 1.2077, 1.1463, 1.4627, 1.4109, 1.4606, 1.4606, 1.4281, 1.4627, 1.0884, 1.2326, 1.3591, 1.2707, 1.3535, 1.3789, 1.2306, 1.2316, 1.0381, 0.8019, 0.8583, 0.7156, 0.8182, 1.0274, 1.1351, 1.1366, 1.132, 1.132, 1.0467, 1.0015, 0.9451, 0.9182, 0.9182, 1.1686, 1.45, 1.3316, 1.2156, 1.32, 1.3377, 1.5561, 1.6912, 1.6856, 1.6353, 1.9365, 1.9365, 1.7557, 1.7161, 1.6541, 1.8786, 1.6592, 2.0467, 2.1965, 2.0391, 1.7293, 1.6958, 1.7623, 1.2824, 1.0208, 1.1244, 1.3438]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1956345174990487845", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-15T13:20:11+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stay long IREN and CIFR (and maybe OPEN too now)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Stay long IREN and CIFR; also considering OPEN as a new long.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don’t mess with @ericjackson \n\nAlso, stay long IREN and CIFR (and maybe OPEN too now)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02111326923397261, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02111326923397261, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01876657723720121, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013473047342864142, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0023466919967713995, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007640221891108467, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1612284350167974, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1612284350167974, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1614460516646915, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1590831874387162, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0002176166478941033, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002145247578081211, "ret_p1w": 0.22456815119526885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22456815119526885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2216620242460221, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23691279249267028, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029061269492467456, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012344641297401426, "ret_p1m": 1.0825336472221445, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0825336472221445, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0553828773445086, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.0538546428802695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027150769877635872, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02867900434187498, "ret_p3m": 2.335892328889138, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.335892328889138, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.270875303191767, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.2282605933111075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06501702569737078, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10763173557803052, "ret_p6m": 2.216890615387178, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.216890615387178, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.1322050345185684, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.1348285452232654, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08468558086860978, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08206207016391276, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 1.0825336472221445, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.0553828773445086, "alpha_c_stated": 1.0538546428802695, "price_path": [-0.2745, -0.3273, -0.3148, -0.334, -0.334, -0.3148, -0.357, -0.3762, -0.4012, -0.3762, -0.3407, -0.2821, -0.3225, -0.2514, -0.2054, -0.2207, -0.2169, -0.263, -0.286, -0.2457, -0.2937, -0.2687, -0.2687, -0.2726, -0.3225, -0.261, -0.261, -0.1958, -0.1823, -0.0825, -0.0595, 0.0902, 0.1612, 0.1612, 0.1113, 0.1574, 0.2015, 0.1977, 0.1267, 0.1574, 0.1459, 0.2035, 0.2322, 0.2207, 0.1996, 0.3321, 0.2821, 0.2764, 0.2418, 0.1823, 0.0902, 0.0461, 0.048, -0.0537, -0.0038, -0.0384, 0.0, -0.0653, -0.0883, -0.0864, -0.094, -0.0595, 0.0211, 0.0, 0.1612, 0.1056, 0.142, 0.1324, 0.2246, 0.2745, 0.3666, 0.3417, 0.3474, 0.4664, 0.4664, 0.5969, 0.5566, 0.4203, 0.4434, 0.4818, 0.7697, 0.9674, 0.9136, 1.0825, 1.0825, 1.2092, 1.3762, 1.2745, 1.357, 1.6795, 1.7159, 1.714, 1.238, 1.2015, 1.428, 1.4165, 1.4184, 1.6507, 1.8215, 1.9443, 2.023, 2.3781, 2.453, 2.2572, 2.904, 3.0096, 3.0365, 2.5931, 2.6008, 2.8215, 2.4693, 2.0921, 2.3119, 2.9655, 2.9424, 2.8311, 2.7601, 2.6603, 2.5797, 3.3685, 3.3205, 3.7428, 3.167, 2.9712, 2.7716, 2.5835, 2.3359, 1.8656, 1.7562, 1.7543, 1.7985, 1.8061, 1.7946, 1.7159, 2.2073, 2.3628, 2.6756, 2.6756, 2.906, 2.7793, 2.3858, 2.5758, 2.8061, 2.7006, 2.739, 2.7543, 2.547, 2.6238, 2.2726, 1.8292, 1.8772, 1.762, 1.9079, 2.1113, 2.1363, 2.0537, 2.1132, 2.1132, 1.9155, 1.8944, 1.8004, 1.833, 1.833, 2.1094, 2.4856, 2.3666, 2.0864, 2.1766, 2.1919, 2.3935, 2.5029, 2.4798, 2.3628, 2.6084, 2.6084, 2.4395, 2.4012, 2.3378, 2.3724, 2.1651, 2.5988, 2.6411, 2.3973, 2.0633, 2.0345, 2.1209, 1.7351, 1.4376, 1.8273, 2.2169]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1956345174990487845", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-08-15T13:20:11+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "maybe OPEN too now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Stay long IREN and CIFR; also considering OPEN as a new long.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don’t mess with @ericjackson \n\nAlso, stay long IREN and CIFR (and maybe OPEN too now)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04100949883663774, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04100949883663774, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.043356190833409136, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034476801214156194, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0023466919967713995, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0065326976224815425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19242898435793654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19242898435793654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.19264660100583064, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.20186525167158076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0002176166478941033, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00943626731364422, "ret_p1w": 0.5804416745437555, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5804416745437555, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5775355475945088, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5560042352038712, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029061269492467456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024437439339884293, "ret_p1m": 1.9952680306114408, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.9952680306114408, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.9681172607338049, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.971798479662195, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027150769877635872, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023469550949245743, "ret_p3m": 1.9558358549043229, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.9558358549043229, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.890818829206952, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.9472281695630531, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06501702569737078, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008607685341269766, "ret_p6m": 0.5583596019959169, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5583596019959169, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47367402112730717, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5170398288390894, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08468558086860978, "bench_c_p6m": 0.041319773156827555, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 1.9952680306114408, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.9681172607338049, "alpha_c_stated": 1.971798479662195, "price_path": [-0.7662, -0.7826, -0.7855, -0.7852, -0.7852, -0.7833, -0.7861, -0.7836, -0.7943, -0.8117, -0.8136, -0.8019, -0.7918, -0.7855, -0.8215, -0.8098, -0.8082, -0.8104, -0.8186, -0.8246, -0.8211, -0.817, -0.817, -0.8312, -0.8328, -0.8265, -0.8385, -0.8303, -0.824, -0.8319, -0.8218, -0.8215, -0.8076, -0.8076, -0.8025, -0.7691, -0.7675, -0.7215, -0.7543, -0.7158, -0.6719, -0.53, -0.4795, -0.2902, 0.0126, -0.0915, -0.2776, -0.2366, -0.1987, -0.2618, -0.3533, -0.347, -0.4196, -0.3375, -0.224, -0.205, -0.4006, -0.4164, -0.3849, -0.2713, -0.2208, -0.2366, -0.041, 0.0, 0.1924, 0.142, 0.0158, 0.1356, 0.5804, 0.4322, 0.4826, 0.2681, 0.347, 0.4038, 0.4038, 0.6057, 0.6183, 0.8801, 1.0978, 0.9054, 0.9274, 0.8486, 2.3186, 1.8612, 1.9953, 1.8139, 2.2208, 2.1356, 2.0189, 1.6435, 1.2366, 1.5962, 1.8675, 1.7792, 1.5868, 1.5142, 1.5426, 1.5268, 1.5584, 1.9274, 1.9306, 1.6782, 1.5678, 1.388, 1.2934, 1.4101, 1.3281, 1.2429, 1.2587, 1.3249, 1.1956, 1.1514, 1.2177, 1.5142, 1.5741, 1.5142, 1.4132, 1.3155, 1.4511, 1.3943, 1.183, 1.2808, 1.0694, 1.0694, 1.5142, 1.6751, 1.9558, 1.7003, 1.5615, 1.4732, 1.3722, 1.1104, 0.9432, 1.1293, 1.4259, 1.4416, 1.4543, 1.4543, 1.429, 1.2524, 1.205, 1.1893, 1.3912, 1.2555, 1.224, 1.3375, 1.2082, 1.224, 1.0694, 1.041, 1.123, 0.9306, 0.9811, 1.0063, 1.0252, 0.9779, 0.9811, 0.9811, 0.8959, 0.8391, 0.8423, 0.8391, 0.8391, 0.9148, 0.9937, 1.1861, 0.9306, 1.0284, 1.2997, 1.2145, 1.1356, 1.0946, 0.9874, 1.1041, 1.1041, 1.0158, 1.0442, 1.0252, 0.8959, 0.8517, 0.8328, 0.817, 0.7603, 0.6246, 0.5205, 0.6183, 0.5773, 0.4826, 0.5394, 0.5584]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1941937707644498113", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-06T19:10:03+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you might grok why IREN could become one of the largest companies in the world", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish IREN as a major beneficiary of massive GW-scale AI data center buildout; could become one of the world's largest companies.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why is @elonmusk building massive 1+ Gigawatt (GW) AI data center campuses?\n\nGo spend a week in deep thought running through every dimension of this question.\n\nOnce you achieve a deep understanding, you might grok why IREN could become one of the largest companies in the world.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00766967918960082, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00766967918960082, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015177599925174756, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017350817350416103, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009681138160815284, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0035399038696332097, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0035399038696332097, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029921685746207016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005381824079434883, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008921727949068092, "ret_p1w": 0.019469021171231393, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019469021171231393, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012815066391159702, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02193668152521644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002467660353985046, "ret_p1m": -0.029498523745983052, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029498523745983052, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041243662682237225, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010895657636099565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018602866109883487, "ret_p3m": 1.7740412000789494, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.7740412000789494, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6928475209184033, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7579890904341455, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016052109644803858, "ret_p6m": 1.2595868739311253, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2595868739311253, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1463718079394123, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.205009348164161, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054577525766964285, "ret_p1y": 1.9675514438347181, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.9675514438347181, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.773112274467488, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9319844698766717, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03556697395804642, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 1.9675514438347181, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.773112274467488, "alpha_c_stated": 1.9319844698766717, "price_path": [-0.6519, -0.6761, -0.6678, -0.6608, -0.6785, -0.6773, -0.6702, -0.6702, -0.6749, -0.6425, -0.6401, -0.6283, -0.6142, -0.623, -0.6301, -0.6395, -0.6242, -0.6147, -0.6348, -0.6165, -0.6124, -0.5935, -0.5847, -0.5569, -0.5209, -0.5298, -0.5428, -0.5038, -0.4962, -0.492, -0.4755, -0.4525, -0.4619, -0.4619, -0.4549, -0.4773, -0.4926, -0.505, -0.485, -0.4755, -0.4437, -0.472, -0.4248, -0.39, -0.3811, -0.3923, -0.4, -0.4201, -0.3864, -0.4236, -0.4218, -0.4218, -0.3823, -0.3711, -0.3192, -0.2997, -0.2265, -0.174, -0.1404, -0.1015, -0.0761, -0.0077, -0.0077, 0.0, -0.0035, 0.0006, 0.0047, -0.0425, 0.0195, -0.0041, 0.0212, 0.0649, 0.0584, 0.0708, 0.0968, 0.1204, 0.0702, 0.0454, -0.0218, -0.0684, -0.0478, -0.0496, -0.0914, -0.0277, -0.0295, 0.0808, 0.0956, 0.0885, 0.0602, 0.0519, 0.046, 0.1257, 0.1617, 0.2215, 0.105, 0.1658, 0.1558, 0.2643, 0.364, 0.3563, 0.3189, 0.3593, 0.5622, 0.5622, 0.7174, 0.6643, 0.5416, 0.5428, 0.5451, 0.7811, 0.9841, 0.9381, 1.0035, 1.1912, 1.1504, 1.236, 1.1428, 1.2796, 1.472, 1.4643, 1.7811, 1.731, 1.4696, 1.7097, 1.7687, 1.7776, 1.774, 1.977, 2.4071, 2.6389, 2.5451, 2.767, 2.5263, 2.7841, 3.1038, 3.0106, 2.6478, 2.5823, 2.4938, 2.2563, 2.0578, 2.2956, 2.7109, 2.8342, 2.6826, 2.5646, 2.4348, 2.5841, 2.997, 2.931, 3.508, 2.9504, 2.6802, 2.5499, 2.3853, 2.2861, 1.8702, 1.7357, 1.7971, 1.882, 1.7038, 1.5646, 1.4932, 1.8608, 1.8006, 1.8584, 1.8584, 1.8206, 1.8608, 1.426, 1.5935, 1.7404, 1.6378, 1.7339, 1.7634, 1.5912, 1.5923, 1.3676, 1.0932, 1.1587, 0.9929, 1.1121, 1.3552, 1.4802, 1.482, 1.4767, 1.4767, 1.3776, 1.3251, 1.2596]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1960208433623515643", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-26T05:11:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every single one was nervous that they don't own enough Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Billionaire demand for Bitcoin suggests upside; no interest in altcoins.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I talked to 15 billionaires in the last week.\n\nEvery single one was nervous that they don’t own enough Bitcoin. \n\nNot a single one mentioned Ethereum, Ripple, Nipple, Buttcoin, Fartcoin, Cockcoin, Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, or NFTs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015011313181568564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015011313181568564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010841897290057356, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010841897290057356, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004169415891511208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004169415891511208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005193022862549412, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005193022862549412, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007471667139031579, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007471667139031579, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002278644276482167, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002278644276482167, "ret_p1w": -0.005385116353172514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005385116353172514, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0021943267592516857, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0021943267592516857, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0075794431124242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0075794431124242, "ret_p1m": 0.01364883996215438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01364883996215438, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013899206030073552, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013899206030073552, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027548045992227932, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027548045992227932, "ret_p3m": -0.23892069871998234, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23892069871998234, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.263251362507368, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.263251362507368, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024330663787385687, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024330663787385687, "ret_p6m": -0.40586992706177316, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40586992706177316, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4757227803219408, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4757227803219408, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06985285326016766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06985285326016766, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01364883996215438, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013899206030073552, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013899206030073552, "price_path": [-0.0551, -0.0698, -0.053, -0.057, -0.0632, -0.0915, -0.0663, -0.0135, -0.0138, -0.0279, -0.0525, -0.0511, -0.0448, -0.0644, -0.0619, -0.0637, -0.076, -0.0557, -0.0515, -0.0397, -0.0433, -0.0422, -0.0417, -0.0546, -0.0263, -0.0193, -0.0337, -0.0313, -0.0255, -0.0043, 0.0374, 0.0511, 0.072, 0.0534, 0.062, 0.067, 0.0555, 0.0504, 0.0733, 0.0622, 0.0587, 0.0522, 0.0548, 0.0547, 0.0539, 0.0354, 0.0136, 0.0292, 0.0209, 0.0288, 0.0509, 0.0437, 0.062, 0.0749, 0.1032, 0.0586, 0.05, 0.0398, 0.0092, 0.0221, 0.0055, 0.0454, -0.015, 0.0, -0.0052, 0.0066, -0.0303, -0.0228, -0.0054, -0.0007, -0.0097, -0.0103, 0.0024, -0.0024, 0.0193, 0.0331, 0.0385, 0.0326, 0.0451, 0.0417, 0.0477, 0.0348, 0.0085, 0.0019, 0.0136, -0.0246, -0.0187, 0.0232, 0.0202, 0.0612, 0.0794, 0.0936, 0.1158, 0.0863, 0.1033, 0.0886, 0.0126, 0.031, 0.0118, -0.0091, -0.0323, -0.0477, -0.0109, -0.0297, -0.0368, -0.0155, -0.0069, 0.0207, 0.0103, -0.0156, -0.0313, -0.0201, -0.047, -0.0913, -0.0708, -0.0939, -0.0754, -0.0519, -0.0788, -0.0907, -0.1083, -0.1557, -0.1763, -0.1686, -0.1819, -0.2251, -0.2389, -0.2105, -0.2188, -0.1904, -0.1835, -0.1868, -0.2279, -0.1829, -0.1635, -0.1759, -0.2005, -0.1893, -0.1709, -0.1769, -0.1725, -0.1926, -0.227, -0.2143, -0.2295, -0.2356, -0.212, -0.2085, -0.2181, -0.2164, -0.2197, -0.2191, -0.2206, -0.2091, -0.2173, -0.2064, -0.1955, -0.1603, -0.1617, -0.1833, -0.1858, -0.1904, -0.1843, -0.1474, -0.133, -0.1454, -0.1456, -0.1722, -0.2101, -0.2006, -0.1998, -0.1994, -0.2105, -0.203, -0.2023, -0.2437, -0.2475, -0.2962, -0.3235, -0.3469, -0.4392, -0.3689, -0.3728, -0.3847, -0.4008, -0.4077, -0.3841, -0.3842, -0.3963, -0.4059]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1941982985969963454", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-06T22:09:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*$315k", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author counters parent's $400k BTC target with own $315k EOY forecast; still strongly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@udiWertheimer *$315k", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$400k per btc by the end of the year 🤝", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "udiWertheimer", "ret_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "ret_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "ret_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "ret_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "ret_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "ret_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05393907439133283, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04219393545507866, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04219393545507866, "price_path": [-0.2375, -0.2648, -0.2299, -0.2194, -0.2274, -0.2241, -0.2161, -0.2202, -0.1919, -0.1372, -0.1348, -0.1326, -0.1254, -0.123, -0.1294, -0.1301, -0.109, -0.1052, -0.1251, -0.1062, -0.104, -0.0467, -0.0492, -0.0507, -0.0381, -0.044, -0.0421, -0.0444, -0.0249, -0.0139, 0.0127, 0.0311, -0.0093, 0.0105, 0.0064, -0.0046, -0.0245, -0.0397, -0.0223, -0.0265, -0.0329, -0.0621, -0.0361, 0.0184, 0.0181, 0.0036, -0.0219, -0.0204, -0.0139, -0.0342, -0.0315, -0.0334, -0.0461, -0.0251, -0.0208, -0.0087, -0.0124, -0.0112, -0.0108, -0.024, 0.0052, 0.0124, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0279, 0.071, 0.0851, 0.1066, 0.0875, 0.0964, 0.1015, 0.0896, 0.0844, 0.108, 0.0965, 0.093, 0.0862, 0.0889, 0.0888, 0.088, 0.0689, 0.0464, 0.0625, 0.0539, 0.0621, 0.0849, 0.0775, 0.0963, 0.1096, 0.1389, 0.0929, 0.084, 0.0734, 0.0418, 0.0552, 0.038, 0.0792, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.027, 0.0392, 0.001, 0.0088, 0.0268, 0.0316, 0.0224, 0.0217, 0.0348, 0.0298, 0.0522, 0.0666, 0.072, 0.066, 0.0789, 0.0754, 0.0816, 0.0682, 0.0411, 0.0343, 0.0464, 0.0069, 0.013, 0.0563, 0.0532, 0.0956, 0.1143, 0.129, 0.1519, 0.1214, 0.139, 0.1238, 0.0454, 0.0644, 0.0445, 0.0229, -0.0011, -0.0169, 0.0211, 0.0016, -0.0056, 0.0163, 0.0252, 0.0537, 0.043, 0.0162, 0.0001, 0.0116, -0.0162, -0.062, -0.0407, -0.0646, -0.0455, -0.0213, -0.049, -0.0613, -0.0794, -0.1284, -0.1496, -0.1417, -0.1554, -0.2001, -0.2143, -0.1849, -0.1935, -0.1642, -0.1571, -0.1605, -0.2029, -0.1565, -0.1364, -0.1492, -0.1746, -0.1631, -0.1441, -0.1503, -0.1458, -0.1665, -0.202, -0.1889, -0.2046, -0.2109, -0.1865, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.191, -0.1945, -0.1939, -0.1954, -0.1835]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1939843947817574616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-01T00:30:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When Bitcoin is trading at $10,000,000 per coin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC with a $10M/coin long-run target; current entry price irrelevant at that scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Bitcoin is trading at $10,000,000 per coin, you won’t care whether you bought it at $200,000, $300,000, or $500,000 per coin. Just make sure you get to at least .1 Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013595818877139898, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013595818877139898, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013272099832898343, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013272099832898343, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00032371904424155495, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00032371904424155495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02990624847553991, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02990624847553991, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02537288298345053, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02537288298345053, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004533365492089381, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004533365492089381, "ret_p1w": 0.03076674614801278, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03076674614801278, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026411526043541356, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026411526043541356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "ret_p1m": 0.11478811298078706, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11478811298078706, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08757213372917949, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08757213372917949, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "ret_p3m": 0.037981193521062995, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.037981193521062995, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03650236220092595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03650236220092595, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07448355572198895, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07448355572198895, "ret_p6m": -0.1711127191342101, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1711127191342101, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29527635751246173, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29527635751246173, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "ret_p1y": -0.4049432789972637, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4049432789972637, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6273411598764486, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6273411598764486, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22239788087918488, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22239788087918488, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11478811298078706, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08757213372917949, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08757213372917949, "price_path": [-0.2138, -0.2068, -0.2504, -0.2784, -0.2188, -0.2467, -0.2109, -0.2002, -0.2084, -0.205, -0.1968, -0.201, -0.172, -0.116, -0.1135, -0.1112, -0.1039, -0.1014, -0.108, -0.1087, -0.0871, -0.0831, -0.1036, -0.0842, -0.082, -0.0232, -0.0258, -0.0273, -0.0145, -0.0204, -0.0185, -0.0209, -0.0009, 0.0103, 0.0377, 0.0565, 0.015, 0.0354, 0.0312, 0.0199, -0.0005, -0.0161, 0.0017, -0.0025, -0.0091, -0.039, -0.0124, 0.0435, 0.0431, 0.0283, 0.0022, 0.0037, 0.0104, -0.0104, -0.0077, -0.0096, -0.0226, -0.0011, 0.0033, 0.0157, 0.0119, 0.0132, 0.0136, 0.0, 0.0299, 0.0374, 0.0221, 0.0246, 0.0308, 0.0532, 0.0973, 0.1118, 0.1339, 0.1143, 0.1234, 0.1286, 0.1164, 0.1111, 0.1353, 0.1235, 0.1199, 0.1129, 0.1157, 0.1156, 0.1148, 0.0952, 0.0721, 0.0887, 0.0799, 0.0883, 0.1116, 0.104, 0.1233, 0.1369, 0.1669, 0.1198, 0.1107, 0.0999, 0.0675, 0.0811, 0.0636, 0.1057, 0.0419, 0.0578, 0.0523, 0.0648, 0.0257, 0.0336, 0.0521, 0.057, 0.0475, 0.0469, 0.0603, 0.0552, 0.0781, 0.0928, 0.0984, 0.0922, 0.1054, 0.1019, 0.1082, 0.0945, 0.0667, 0.0598, 0.0722, 0.0317, 0.038, 0.0823, 0.0791, 0.1225, 0.1418, 0.1568, 0.1803, 0.149, 0.167, 0.1514, 0.0711, 0.0906, 0.0702, 0.0481, 0.0235, 0.0073, 0.0463, 0.0263, 0.0188, 0.0414, 0.0505, 0.0797, 0.0687, 0.0412, 0.0247, 0.0365, 0.008, -0.0389, -0.0171, -0.0416, -0.022, 0.0028, -0.0256, -0.0382, -0.0568, -0.1069, -0.1287, -0.1206, -0.1347, -0.1804, -0.195, -0.1649, -0.1737, -0.1436, -0.1364, -0.1398, -0.1833, -0.1357, -0.1151, -0.1283, -0.1543, -0.1425, -0.1231, -0.1294, -0.1248, -0.146, -0.1824, -0.1689, -0.185, -0.1914, -0.1665, -0.1628, -0.173, -0.1711]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1949120196612137099", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-26T14:50:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not selling my Bitty coin", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding Bitcoin; bullish amid dollar-weakening narrative.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MichelleMakori Not selling my Bitty coin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Trump: “You make a hell of a lot more money with a weaker dollar.”\nTriffin’s Dilemma in real time.\nYou can’t weaken your currency to boost exports and expect the world to keep trusting it as the global reserve. One eventually breaks.\nAnd that’s exactly what Trump is leaning", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MichelleMakori", "ret_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "ret_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "ret_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "ret_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "ret_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1817, -0.1782, -0.1965, -0.1791, -0.1772, -0.1245, -0.1268, -0.1281, -0.1166, -0.122, -0.1202, -0.1224, -0.1045, -0.0944, -0.0699, -0.053, -0.0902, -0.0719, -0.0757, -0.0858, -0.1042, -0.1181, -0.1021, -0.1059, -0.1119, -0.1386, -0.1148, -0.0647, -0.065, -0.0783, -0.1017, -0.1003, -0.0944, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1123, -0.1239, -0.1047, -0.1007, -0.0896, -0.093, -0.0919, -0.0915, -0.1037, -0.0769, -0.0702, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0761, -0.056, -0.0164, -0.0035, 0.0163, -0.0012, 0.0069, 0.0116, 0.0007, -0.0041, 0.0176, 0.007, 0.0038, -0.0024, 0.0, -0.0, -0.0008, -0.0184, -0.039, -0.0242, -0.0321, -0.0246, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0068, 0.0191, 0.046, 0.0037, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0089, -0.0661, -0.0519, -0.0568, -0.0456, -0.0807, -0.0736, -0.057, -0.0526, -0.0611, -0.0617, -0.0496, -0.0542, -0.0337, -0.0205, -0.0155, -0.021, -0.0092, -0.0123, -0.0067, -0.019, -0.0439, -0.0501, -0.039, -0.0753, -0.0696, -0.0299, -0.0328, 0.0061, 0.0234, 0.0368, 0.0579, 0.0299, 0.046, 0.0321, -0.0399, -0.0225, -0.0408, -0.0606, -0.0826, -0.0972, -0.0622, -0.0801, -0.0868, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0323, -0.0421, -0.0667, -0.0816, -0.071, -0.0965, -0.1385, -0.119, -0.141, -0.1234, -0.1011, -0.1266, -0.1379, -0.1546, -0.1995, -0.219, -0.2118, -0.2244, -0.2654, -0.2784, -0.2515, -0.2593, -0.2324, -0.2259, -0.229, -0.268, -0.2253, -0.2069, -0.2186, -0.242, -0.2314, -0.214, -0.2197, -0.2155, -0.2345, -0.2672, -0.2551, -0.2695, -0.2753, -0.2529, -0.2496, -0.2587, -0.2571, -0.2602, -0.2597, -0.2611, -0.2501, -0.2579, -0.2476, -0.2373, -0.2039, -0.2052, -0.2257, -0.2281, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.1917, -0.178, -0.1897, -0.1899, -0.2151, -0.2511]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1957447225925108203", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-18T14:19:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The next stop is still $146,000. Absolutely nothing has changed.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC: expects $112K-$115K to hold as support before ripping to $146K next target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin should bottom in this $112,000-$115,000 area where it has built tremendous support. Do not get fooled or shaken out. Bitcoin loves to feign weakness for short periods of time before ripping faces off heads. The next stop is still $146,000. Absolutely nothing has changed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009858204433567774, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009858204433567774, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009640540418360155, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009640540418360155, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029428514056440758, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029428514056440758, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024003317619223696, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024003317619223696, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "ret_p1w": -0.052712593889261306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.052712593889261306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.051422342234549556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.051422342234549556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "ret_p1m": 0.005082694591559189, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005082694591559189, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02087707277175066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02087707277175066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "ret_p3m": -0.1424042236794214, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1424042236794214, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18997642573033646, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18997642573033646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "ret_p6m": -0.40823576358964897, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40823576358964897, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.49029644033575526, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.49029644033575526, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.005082694591559189, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02087707277175066, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02087707277175066, "price_path": [-0.0566, -0.0394, -0.0771, -0.0586, -0.0624, -0.0727, -0.0913, -0.1054, -0.0892, -0.0931, -0.0991, -0.1262, -0.102, -0.0513, -0.0516, -0.0651, -0.0888, -0.0874, -0.0813, -0.1002, -0.0978, -0.0995, -0.1113, -0.0918, -0.0878, -0.0765, -0.0799, -0.0788, -0.0784, -0.0908, -0.0636, -0.0568, -0.0707, -0.0684, -0.0628, -0.0424, -0.0023, 0.0109, 0.0309, 0.0131, 0.0214, 0.0261, 0.0151, 0.0102, 0.0322, 0.0215, 0.0182, 0.0119, 0.0144, 0.0144, 0.0136, -0.0043, -0.0252, -0.0102, -0.0182, -0.0105, 0.0107, 0.0038, 0.0213, 0.0337, 0.061, 0.0181, 0.0099, 0.0, -0.0294, -0.017, -0.033, 0.0053, -0.0527, -0.0383, -0.0433, -0.0319, -0.0675, -0.0602, -0.0435, -0.039, -0.0476, -0.0482, -0.036, -0.0406, -0.0198, -0.0064, -0.0013, -0.0069, 0.0051, 0.0019, 0.0076, -0.0048, -0.0301, -0.0365, -0.0251, -0.062, -0.0563, -0.0159, -0.0189, 0.0206, 0.0381, 0.0517, 0.0731, 0.0447, 0.0611, 0.0469, -0.0261, -0.0084, -0.027, -0.047, -0.0694, -0.0842, -0.0487, -0.0669, -0.0737, -0.0532, -0.0449, -0.0183, -0.0284, -0.0533, -0.0684, -0.0576, -0.0835, -0.1261, -0.1063, -0.1286, -0.1108, -0.0882, -0.114, -0.1255, -0.1424, -0.188, -0.2078, -0.2005, -0.2132, -0.2548, -0.2681, -0.2407, -0.2487, -0.2214, -0.2148, -0.2179, -0.2575, -0.2142, -0.1955, -0.2074, -0.2311, -0.2203, -0.2027, -0.2084, -0.2042, -0.2235, -0.2566, -0.2444, -0.259, -0.2649, -0.2421, -0.2388, -0.2481, -0.2464, -0.2496, -0.249, -0.2504, -0.2393, -0.2473, -0.2367, -0.2263, -0.1924, -0.1937, -0.2146, -0.217, -0.2214, -0.2156, -0.18, -0.1662, -0.1781, -0.1783, -0.2039, -0.2404, -0.2312, -0.2304, -0.2301, -0.2407, -0.2335, -0.2328, -0.2726, -0.2763, -0.3231, -0.3494, -0.3719, -0.4606, -0.3931, -0.3968, -0.4082]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1954694773878702169", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-11T00:02:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Step 2: $123,000+ this week\nStep 3: Valhalla", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC; $119K weekly close achieved, targets $123K+ this week en route to Valhalla.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Step 1: $119,000+ weekly close ✅\n\nStep 2: $123,000+ this week\n\nStep 3: Valhalla", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitcoin over $119,000 with 50 minutes to the weekly close. I’ve been around a long time and this move feels decisive. If it can close up here and make new all time highs this week, we should see 3-6 months of extreme up only behavior. Valhalla is finally at our doorstep. Godspeed", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1262, -0.1284, -0.1105, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0594, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.082, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.1241, -0.1082, -0.112, -0.1179, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0846, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1005, -0.119, -0.1166, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.0958, -0.0991, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0831, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0094, -0.008, 0.0001, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0092, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0076, -0.025, -0.0456, -0.0308, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0104, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0031, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0497, -0.0375, -0.0532, -0.0156, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.0521, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.059, -0.0674, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0606, -0.0402, -0.0272, -0.0221, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0191, -0.0134, -0.0256, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0007, 0.0164, 0.0298, 0.0507, 0.0229, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.0669, -0.0888, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.073, -0.0648, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0731, -0.0878, -0.0773, -0.1026, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1468, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1325, -0.1438, -0.1603, -0.2049, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2296, -0.2704, -0.2833, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2376, -0.2312, -0.2342, -0.273, -0.2306, -0.2123, -0.2239, -0.2471, -0.2366, -0.2193, -0.225, -0.2208, -0.2397, -0.2721, -0.2601, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2647, -0.2661, -0.2552, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2377, -0.2319, -0.1972, -0.1836, -0.1952, -0.1955, -0.2205, -0.2562, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2462, -0.2566, -0.2495, -0.2489, -0.2878, -0.2914, -0.3373, -0.363]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1949475021799490038", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-27T14:20:39+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If Bitcoin can break and hold $118,500, you should expect $146,000 within 30 days", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Conditional long BTC: break/hold $118,500 targets $146,000 within 30 days.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If Bitcoin can break and hold $118,500, you should expect $146,000 within 30 days.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "ret_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "ret_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "ret_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "ret_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02419000561336493, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.015130939876933258, "alpha_c_stated": -0.015130939876933258, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1817, -0.1782, -0.1965, -0.1791, -0.1772, -0.1245, -0.1268, -0.1281, -0.1166, -0.122, -0.1202, -0.1224, -0.1045, -0.0944, -0.0699, -0.053, -0.0902, -0.0719, -0.0757, -0.0858, -0.1042, -0.1181, -0.1021, -0.1059, -0.1119, -0.1386, -0.1148, -0.0647, -0.065, -0.0783, -0.1017, -0.1003, -0.0944, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1123, -0.1239, -0.1047, -0.1007, -0.0896, -0.093, -0.0919, -0.0915, -0.1037, -0.0769, -0.0702, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0761, -0.056, -0.0164, -0.0035, 0.0163, -0.0012, 0.0069, 0.0116, 0.0007, -0.0041, 0.0176, 0.007, 0.0038, -0.0024, 0.0, -0.0, -0.0008, -0.0184, -0.039, -0.0242, -0.0321, -0.0246, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0068, 0.0191, 0.046, 0.0037, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0089, -0.0661, -0.0519, -0.0568, -0.0456, -0.0807, -0.0736, -0.057, -0.0526, -0.0611, -0.0617, -0.0496, -0.0542, -0.0337, -0.0205, -0.0155, -0.021, -0.0092, -0.0123, -0.0067, -0.019, -0.0439, -0.0501, -0.039, -0.0753, -0.0696, -0.0299, -0.0328, 0.0061, 0.0234, 0.0368, 0.0579, 0.0299, 0.046, 0.0321, -0.0399, -0.0225, -0.0408, -0.0606, -0.0826, -0.0972, -0.0622, -0.0801, -0.0868, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0323, -0.0421, -0.0667, -0.0816, -0.071, -0.0965, -0.1385, -0.119, -0.141, -0.1234, -0.1011, -0.1266, -0.1379, -0.1546, -0.1995, -0.219, -0.2118, -0.2244, -0.2654, -0.2784, -0.2515, -0.2593, -0.2324, -0.2259, -0.229, -0.268, -0.2253, -0.2069, -0.2186, -0.242, -0.2314, -0.214, -0.2197, -0.2155, -0.2345, -0.2672, -0.2551, -0.2695, -0.2753, -0.2529, -0.2496, -0.2587, -0.2571, -0.2602, -0.2597, -0.2611, -0.2501, -0.2579, -0.2476, -0.2373, -0.2039, -0.2052, -0.2257, -0.2281, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.1917, -0.178, -0.1897, -0.1899, -0.2151, -0.2511]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1945143718920561108", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-15T15:29:36+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you're awake now and can buy it for $116,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; frames $116K as a buying opportunity after missing the $123K entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you didn't get the opportunity to buy Bitcoin on Sunday night at $123,000, that's OK because you're awake now and can buy it for $116,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017596918970407494, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017596918970407494, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013305368073447177, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013305368073447177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00816219450392297, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00816219450392297, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004818921119384534, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004818921119384534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "ret_p1w": 0.018834093508133698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018834093508133698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0080326571652789, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0080326571652789, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "ret_p1m": 0.04726615669948808, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04726615669948808, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.010698849876066063, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.010698849876066063, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "ret_p3m": -0.03874112134406338, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03874112134406338, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09128620990633873, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09128620990633873, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "ret_p6m": -0.22473904645158893, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22473904645158893, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3394962978235908, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3394962978235908, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04726615669948808, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.010698849876066063, "alpha_c_stated": 0.010698849876066063, "price_path": [-0.2792, -0.283, -0.2569, -0.2066, -0.2044, -0.2024, -0.1958, -0.1936, -0.1995, -0.2001, -0.1807, -0.1772, -0.1955, -0.1781, -0.1761, -0.1234, -0.1257, -0.1271, -0.1155, -0.1209, -0.1191, -0.1213, -0.1033, -0.0933, -0.0688, -0.0518, -0.0891, -0.0708, -0.0746, -0.0847, -0.103, -0.117, -0.101, -0.1048, -0.1108, -0.1376, -0.1137, -0.0635, -0.0638, -0.0772, -0.1006, -0.0992, -0.0932, -0.1119, -0.1095, -0.1112, -0.1228, -0.1036, -0.0996, -0.0884, -0.0918, -0.0908, -0.0904, -0.1026, -0.0757, -0.069, -0.0827, -0.0805, -0.0749, -0.0548, -0.0152, -0.0022, 0.0176, 0.0, 0.0082, 0.0128, 0.0019, -0.0029, 0.0188, 0.0083, 0.005, -0.0012, 0.0013, 0.0012, 0.0005, -0.0171, -0.0378, -0.023, -0.0309, -0.0233, -0.0024, -0.0092, 0.0081, 0.0203, 0.0473, 0.0049, -0.0032, -0.0129, -0.042, -0.0297, -0.0455, -0.0077, -0.065, -0.0507, -0.0557, -0.0444, -0.0795, -0.0724, -0.0558, -0.0514, -0.0599, -0.0605, -0.0484, -0.053, -0.0324, -0.0193, -0.0142, -0.0198, -0.0079, -0.0111, -0.0054, -0.0177, -0.0427, -0.0489, -0.0378, -0.0741, -0.0685, -0.0287, -0.0316, 0.0074, 0.0247, 0.0381, 0.0592, 0.0312, 0.0474, 0.0334, -0.0387, -0.0213, -0.0396, -0.0594, -0.0814, -0.096, -0.061, -0.079, -0.0857, -0.0654, -0.0573, -0.0311, -0.0409, -0.0656, -0.0804, -0.0698, -0.0953, -0.1374, -0.1179, -0.1399, -0.1223, -0.1, -0.1255, -0.1368, -0.1535, -0.1985, -0.2181, -0.2108, -0.2234, -0.2644, -0.2775, -0.2505, -0.2584, -0.2314, -0.2249, -0.228, -0.2671, -0.2244, -0.2059, -0.2177, -0.241, -0.2304, -0.213, -0.2187, -0.2145, -0.2335, -0.2662, -0.2542, -0.2686, -0.2744, -0.2519, -0.2487, -0.2578, -0.2561, -0.2593, -0.2588, -0.2601, -0.2492, -0.257, -0.2466, -0.2363, -0.2029, -0.2042, -0.2247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943435081693245503", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-10T22:20:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "HIGHER", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses BTC going above $130k; bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ HIGHER", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$130k #BTC incoming", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04371034574778376, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04371034574778376, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011281107646610167, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011281107646610167, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "ret_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02212412276201281, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02212412276201281, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "ret_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013675194002670477, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013675194002670477, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "ret_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03524146266319095, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03524146266319095, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "ret_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33364119893785016, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33364119893785016, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013675194002670477, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013675194002670477, "price_path": [-0.2711, -0.2786, -0.2755, -0.2681, -0.2719, -0.2454, -0.1944, -0.1922, -0.1901, -0.1834, -0.1811, -0.1871, -0.1878, -0.1681, -0.1645, -0.1831, -0.1654, -0.1634, -0.1099, -0.1122, -0.1136, -0.1019, -0.1073, -0.1056, -0.1078, -0.0895, -0.0793, -0.0544, -0.0372, -0.075, -0.0564, -0.0603, -0.0706, -0.0892, -0.1034, -0.0871, -0.091, -0.097, -0.1242, -0.1, -0.0491, -0.0494, -0.0629, -0.0867, -0.0853, -0.0792, -0.0982, -0.0957, -0.0974, -0.1093, -0.0897, -0.0857, -0.0744, -0.0778, -0.0767, -0.0763, -0.0887, -0.0615, -0.0547, -0.0686, -0.0663, -0.0607, -0.0402, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0333, 0.0154, 0.0237, 0.0285, 0.0174, 0.0125, 0.0346, 0.0239, 0.0205, 0.0142, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0159, -0.002, -0.023, -0.0079, -0.0159, -0.0083, 0.013, 0.006, 0.0237, 0.0361, 0.0634, 0.0205, 0.0122, 0.0023, -0.0272, -0.0148, -0.0308, 0.0076, -0.0505, -0.0361, -0.0411, -0.0297, -0.0653, -0.0581, -0.0413, -0.0368, -0.0454, -0.046, -0.0338, -0.0384, -0.0175, -0.0041, 0.001, -0.0047, 0.0074, 0.0041, 0.0099, -0.0026, -0.0279, -0.0343, -0.0229, -0.0598, -0.0541, -0.0137, -0.0166, 0.0229, 0.0405, 0.0541, 0.0756, 0.0471, 0.0635, 0.0493, -0.0239, -0.0062, -0.0247, -0.0449, -0.0673, -0.0821, -0.0465, -0.0648, -0.0715, -0.051, -0.0427, -0.0161, -0.0261, -0.0511, -0.0662, -0.0554, -0.0814, -0.1241, -0.1043, -0.1266, -0.1088, -0.0861, -0.112, -0.1235, -0.1404, -0.1861, -0.206, -0.1986, -0.2114, -0.2531, -0.2664, -0.239, -0.247, -0.2196, -0.213, -0.2161, -0.2558, -0.2124, -0.1936, -0.2056, -0.2293, -0.2185, -0.2008, -0.2066, -0.2024, -0.2217, -0.2549, -0.2426, -0.2573, -0.2632, -0.2404, -0.2371, -0.2463, -0.2446, -0.2479, -0.2473, -0.2487, -0.2376, -0.2455, -0.235, -0.2245]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1940891512264695812", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-03T21:52:51+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Needs to 2-3x from here to begin to see actual excitement", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin miners need to 2-3x from current levels before real excitement begins; strongly bullish on sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI Bitcoin miner ETF; AI optionality context fits", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SteveUrkelDude This isn’t even excitement yet. This is a simple re-basing. Needs to 2-3x from here to begin to see actual excitement.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Very, very happy to see the action on the #Bitcoin miners this week and last, after putting in bases in April.\nThis sector was long overdue and many long term investors were waiting/hoping for excitement to return to the sector, and it has.\nGreat to see, hopefully keeps up.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SteveUrkelDude", "ret_m1d": 0.04580157994986478, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04580157994986478, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03829365921429084, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03829365921429084, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.000401776983811164, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.000401776983811164, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009495122788236721, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009495122788236721, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "ret_p1w": 0.02732022185016958, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02732022185016958, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020666267070097888, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020666267070097888, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "ret_p1m": -0.0016070313041207651, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0016070313041207651, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013352170240374939, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013352170240374939, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "ret_p3m": 0.8678185142021995, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8678185142021995, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7866248350416534, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7866248350416534, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "ret_p6m": 0.5375653433595453, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5375653433595453, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42435027736783226, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.42435027736783226, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "ret_p1y": 1.6822018390243691, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.6822018390243691, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.487762669657139, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.487762669657139, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0016070313041207651, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013352170240374939, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013352170240374939, "price_path": [-0.4753, -0.5175, -0.497, -0.4898, -0.5187, -0.5215, -0.5163, -0.5163, -0.5283, -0.4737, -0.4572, -0.4351, -0.415, -0.4243, -0.4299, -0.4504, -0.4138, -0.3986, -0.4271, -0.4158, -0.4138, -0.3761, -0.3753, -0.3435, -0.309, -0.319, -0.3343, -0.2768, -0.2716, -0.2772, -0.2869, -0.2724, -0.2925, -0.2925, -0.2672, -0.3061, -0.321, -0.3383, -0.309, -0.28, -0.229, -0.2688, -0.2137, -0.19, -0.1852, -0.1965, -0.2121, -0.2423, -0.2085, -0.2495, -0.2487, -0.2487, -0.2535, -0.2732, -0.2198, -0.2174, -0.1362, -0.1278, -0.0864, -0.0723, 0.0104, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0141, 0.0241, -0.0044, 0.0273, 0.0064, 0.0514, 0.0779, 0.0747, 0.0639, 0.1073, 0.0984, 0.0892, 0.0671, 0.0498, 0.0008, -0.0072, 0.0149, -0.0591, -0.0024, -0.0016, 0.0337, 0.0193, 0.0028, 0.0068, 0.0209, 0.0245, 0.0836, 0.0727, 0.1366, 0.0687, 0.0956, 0.08, 0.1366, 0.1495, 0.1808, 0.1776, 0.192, 0.2302, 0.2302, 0.2712, 0.2334, 0.172, 0.1832, 0.1928, 0.3311, 0.4259, 0.4331, 0.4994, 0.556, 0.6014, 0.6533, 0.6513, 0.6697, 0.7666, 0.7236, 0.808, 0.6939, 0.6316, 0.7762, 0.7774, 0.8108, 0.8678, 0.9361, 1.1008, 1.1446, 1.225, 1.313, 1.2234, 1.4452, 1.5629, 1.6476, 1.3837, 1.3395, 1.4014, 1.2503, 1.0619, 1.1703, 1.3957, 1.4444, 1.3897, 1.3564, 1.2784, 1.3057, 1.4693, 1.3479, 1.4982, 1.272, 1.2133, 1.1527, 1.0108, 0.9176, 0.6862, 0.6288, 0.644, 0.6806, 0.6231, 0.5573, 0.5283, 0.7324, 0.7537, 0.853, 0.853, 0.9458, 0.8988, 0.7549, 0.8268, 0.9, 0.8292, 0.8654, 0.9056, 0.8445, 0.8618, 0.7172, 0.5239, 0.5412, 0.4669, 0.5062, 0.6513, 0.6947, 0.6677, 0.6798, 0.6798, 0.597, 0.5818, 0.5376]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943822301604327555", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-11T23:58:45+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still adding. 165,000 shares at the close.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still adding to OSCR position despite chart breakdown; 165,000 shares at the close.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk I don’t really care about charts but I do like this potential deviation. I’m still adding. 165,000 shares at the close.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OSCR #OSCR A pretty rough week here as price broke and closed below the diagonal trend zone. https://t.co/hXQ6i2X4aN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.046419085729882736, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.046419085729882736, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044514535847822057, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04760403537469671, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0011849496448139707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010610069510715747, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010610069510715747, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006336857321359468, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007385735220252654, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0179958047309684, "ret_p1w": -0.09681697914678533, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09681697914678533, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10315494346415488, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06763831274747778, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02917866639930755, "ret_p1m": -0.006631325064698657, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006631325064698657, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035247969781748156, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0218066615740915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028437986638790158, "ret_p3m": 0.3620690331196925, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3620690331196925, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.284908342365535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2893486987123237, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0727203344073688, "ret_p6m": 0.09549075207844715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09549075207844715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01809244276521338, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08564891055238477, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18113966263083192, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006631325064698657, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.035247969781748156, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0218066615740915, "price_path": [-0.181, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2281, -0.2308, -0.2036, -0.2023, -0.189, -0.1631, -0.128, -0.1373, -0.1346, -0.1247, -0.1379, -0.1333, 0.1286, 0.1313, 0.1346, 0.1154, 0.122, 0.0968, 0.0981, 0.1618, 0.1107, 0.0922, -0.0146, -0.0471, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.0046, -0.0789, -0.0849, -0.0849, -0.0544, -0.055, -0.0617, 0.0378, 0.0225, -0.0212, -0.0259, -0.0617, -0.0491, -0.0749, -0.0086, 0.0683, 0.2447, 0.2447, 0.4072, 0.3541, 0.3276, 0.2725, 0.3581, 0.3534, 0.4218, 0.3561, 0.1021, 0.0922, 0.0922, 0.1147, 0.0975, 0.0663, 0.0298, -0.0464, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.0179, -0.0802, -0.1101, -0.0968, -0.0252, 0.0524, -0.0584, -0.0418, -0.0272, -0.0822, -0.0716, -0.0683, -0.0995, -0.0822, -0.0836, -0.0491, 0.0053, 0.0252, 0.0351, -0.0066, -0.0099, -0.0265, 0.0371, 0.1041, 0.1028, 0.0126, 0.0225, 0.1141, 0.1081, 0.1326, 0.1286, 0.1432, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.0895, 0.1724, 0.2188, 0.2885, 0.3448, 0.3296, 0.2918, 0.2885, 0.2818, 0.242, 0.189, 0.1784, 0.2672, 0.258, 0.2268, 0.1777, 0.2228, 0.1996, 0.2215, 0.2686, 0.2553, 0.2533, 0.2785, 0.4363, 0.4794, 0.4901, 0.4456, 0.3621, 0.2447, 0.3528, 0.372, 0.3707, 0.3946, 0.2858, 0.3382, 0.4436, 0.3508, 0.3011, 0.2792, 0.3044, 0.2958, 0.254, 0.1996, 0.1936, 0.1711, 0.1379, 0.1293, 0.0981, 0.1751, -0.0312, -0.0153, 0.0013, -0.0749, -0.0796, -0.055, -0.0245, -0.0663, -0.1359, -0.1061, 0.0935, 0.1094, 0.2042, 0.2042, 0.1916, 0.1041, 0.1174, 0.134, 0.1393, 0.1121, 0.1094, 0.1247, 0.0338, 0.0524, 0.1028, 0.0703, 0.0418, 0.0206, -0.0186, -0.0119, -0.0033, -0.0159, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0113, -0.0365, -0.0378, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0073, 0.0988, 0.0955]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1951710501672747060", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-02T18:23:39+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is just casually re-testing support in the $109-112k area one more time before it heads to $146k", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC; support re-test at $109-112k before rally to $146k.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "People are scared. You can smell the fear in the air. And yet Bitcoin is just casually re-testing support in the $109-112k area one more time before it heads to $146k. It’s really that simple. Don’t overcomplicate the easiest long of all time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015223500582278726, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015223500582278726, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0002512124121003545, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0002512124121003545, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008085706753543476, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008085706753543476, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0030157804099308905, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030157804099308905, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "ret_p1w": 0.031802403945740076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031802403945740076, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02427671064157444, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02427671064157444, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "ret_p1m": -0.03364242228753622, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03364242228753622, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04806014143274129, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04806014143274129, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "ret_p3m": -0.05880094921645784, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05880094921645784, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13888220257374173, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13888220257374173, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "ret_p6m": -0.22567904396171934, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22567904396171934, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3339050664288046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3339050664288046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03364242228753622, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04806014143274129, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04806014143274129, "price_path": [-0.1568, -0.1028, -0.1052, -0.1065, -0.0947, -0.1002, -0.0984, -0.1007, -0.0823, -0.072, -0.0469, -0.0295, -0.0676, -0.0489, -0.0528, -0.0632, -0.0819, -0.0962, -0.0799, -0.0838, -0.0899, -0.1173, -0.0928, -0.0415, -0.0418, -0.0555, -0.0795, -0.078, -0.0719, -0.091, -0.0885, -0.0903, -0.1022, -0.0825, -0.0784, -0.067, -0.0705, -0.0694, -0.069, -0.0815, -0.054, -0.0471, -0.0612, -0.0589, -0.0532, -0.0325, 0.008, 0.0212, 0.0415, 0.0235, 0.0319, 0.0367, 0.0255, 0.0206, 0.0428, 0.032, 0.0286, 0.0223, 0.0248, 0.0248, 0.024, 0.006, -0.0152, 0.0, -0.0081, -0.0004, 0.0211, 0.0141, 0.0318, 0.0443, 0.0719, 0.0286, 0.0202, 0.0103, -0.0195, -0.0069, -0.0231, 0.0157, -0.043, -0.0284, -0.0335, -0.022, -0.0579, -0.0506, -0.0336, -0.0291, -0.0378, -0.0384, -0.0261, -0.0308, -0.0097, 0.0038, 0.0089, 0.0032, 0.0154, 0.0121, 0.0179, 0.0054, -0.0202, -0.0266, -0.0151, -0.0523, -0.0466, -0.0058, -0.0088, 0.0311, 0.0487, 0.0625, 0.0841, 0.0554, 0.072, 0.0576, -0.0161, 0.0017, -0.017, -0.0373, -0.0598, -0.0748, -0.039, -0.0573, -0.0642, -0.0435, -0.0351, -0.0083, -0.0184, -0.0436, -0.0588, -0.0479, -0.0741, -0.1172, -0.0972, -0.1197, -0.1017, -0.0789, -0.1049, -0.1165, -0.1336, -0.1797, -0.1997, -0.1923, -0.2051, -0.2471, -0.2605, -0.2329, -0.241, -0.2134, -0.2067, -0.2099, -0.2498, -0.2061, -0.1872, -0.1993, -0.2232, -0.2123, -0.1945, -0.2003, -0.1961, -0.2155, -0.249, -0.2366, -0.2514, -0.2573, -0.2344, -0.231, -0.2404, -0.2386, -0.2419, -0.2413, -0.2428, -0.2315, -0.2395, -0.2289, -0.2184, -0.1841, -0.1855, -0.2065, -0.209, -0.2134, -0.2075, -0.1716, -0.1577, -0.1696, -0.1699, -0.1957, -0.2326, -0.2233, -0.2226, -0.2222, -0.2329, -0.2257]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1951773740465086616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-02T22:34:56+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$116,000 by Monday night", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "BTC to $116,000 by Monday night; endorses violent leg up scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SuperBitcoinBro $116,000 by Monday night", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "if this is going to play out then BTC should close back in between the Bollinger Bands by Sunday or Monday at the latest\n\nif that happens then we can expect a violent leg up", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SuperBitcoinBro", "ret_m1d": -0.015223500582278726, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015223500582278726, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0002512124121003545, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0002512124121003545, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008085706753543476, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008085706753543476, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0030157804099308905, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030157804099308905, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "ret_p1w": 0.031802403945740076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031802403945740076, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02427671064157444, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02427671064157444, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "ret_p1m": -0.03364242228753622, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03364242228753622, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04806014143274129, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04806014143274129, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "ret_p3m": -0.05880094921645784, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05880094921645784, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13888220257374173, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13888220257374173, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "ret_p6m": -0.22567904396171934, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22567904396171934, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3339050664288046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3339050664288046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.031802403945740076, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02427671064157444, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02427671064157444, "price_path": [-0.1568, -0.1028, -0.1052, -0.1065, -0.0947, -0.1002, -0.0984, -0.1007, -0.0823, -0.072, -0.0469, -0.0295, -0.0676, -0.0489, -0.0528, -0.0632, -0.0819, -0.0962, -0.0799, -0.0838, -0.0899, -0.1173, -0.0928, -0.0415, -0.0418, -0.0555, -0.0795, -0.078, -0.0719, -0.091, -0.0885, -0.0903, -0.1022, -0.0825, -0.0784, -0.067, -0.0705, -0.0694, -0.069, -0.0815, -0.054, -0.0471, -0.0612, -0.0589, -0.0532, -0.0325, 0.008, 0.0212, 0.0415, 0.0235, 0.0319, 0.0367, 0.0255, 0.0206, 0.0428, 0.032, 0.0286, 0.0223, 0.0248, 0.0248, 0.024, 0.006, -0.0152, 0.0, -0.0081, -0.0004, 0.0211, 0.0141, 0.0318, 0.0443, 0.0719, 0.0286, 0.0202, 0.0103, -0.0195, -0.0069, -0.0231, 0.0157, -0.043, -0.0284, -0.0335, -0.022, -0.0579, -0.0506, -0.0336, -0.0291, -0.0378, -0.0384, -0.0261, -0.0308, -0.0097, 0.0038, 0.0089, 0.0032, 0.0154, 0.0121, 0.0179, 0.0054, -0.0202, -0.0266, -0.0151, -0.0523, -0.0466, -0.0058, -0.0088, 0.0311, 0.0487, 0.0625, 0.0841, 0.0554, 0.072, 0.0576, -0.0161, 0.0017, -0.017, -0.0373, -0.0598, -0.0748, -0.039, -0.0573, -0.0642, -0.0435, -0.0351, -0.0083, -0.0184, -0.0436, -0.0588, -0.0479, -0.0741, -0.1172, -0.0972, -0.1197, -0.1017, -0.0789, -0.1049, -0.1165, -0.1336, -0.1797, -0.1997, -0.1923, -0.2051, -0.2471, -0.2605, -0.2329, -0.241, -0.2134, -0.2067, -0.2099, -0.2498, -0.2061, -0.1872, -0.1993, -0.2232, -0.2123, -0.1945, -0.2003, -0.1961, -0.2155, -0.249, -0.2366, -0.2514, -0.2573, -0.2344, -0.231, -0.2404, -0.2386, -0.2419, -0.2413, -0.2428, -0.2315, -0.2395, -0.2289, -0.2184, -0.1841, -0.1855, -0.2065, -0.209, -0.2134, -0.2075, -0.1716, -0.1577, -0.1696, -0.1699, -0.1957, -0.2326, -0.2233, -0.2226, -0.2222, -0.2329, -0.2257]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1961649935017021626", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-30T04:39:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the bubble in Bitcoin FUD is about to pop soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC; the bubble in Bitcoin FUD is about to pop, implying price will rise.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PeterLBrandt Yup the bubble in Bitcoin FUD is about to pop soon", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "https://t.co/MZFGnjaDRN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PeterLBrandt", "ret_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "price_path": [-0.0414, -0.0702, -0.0445, 0.0096, 0.0092, -0.0052, -0.0304, -0.0289, -0.0225, -0.0426, -0.04, -0.0418, -0.0544, -0.0336, -0.0293, -0.0173, -0.021, -0.0198, -0.0194, -0.0325, -0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0111, -0.0087, -0.0027, 0.019, 0.0617, 0.0757, 0.097, 0.078, 0.0868, 0.0919, 0.0801, 0.075, 0.0984, 0.087, 0.0835, 0.0768, 0.0794, 0.0794, 0.0785, 0.0596, 0.0372, 0.0533, 0.0448, 0.0529, 0.0755, 0.0681, 0.0868, 0.1, 0.129, 0.0834, 0.0746, 0.0641, 0.0328, 0.046, 0.029, 0.0698, 0.008, 0.0234, 0.018, 0.0302, -0.0077, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0226, 0.0135, 0.0128, 0.0258, 0.0209, 0.0431, 0.0573, 0.0627, 0.0567, 0.0695, 0.0661, 0.0722, 0.0589, 0.032, 0.0253, 0.0373, -0.0018, 0.0042, 0.0471, 0.044, 0.086, 0.1046, 0.1191, 0.1419, 0.1117, 0.1291, 0.114, 0.0363, 0.0551, 0.0354, 0.014, -0.0097, -0.0255, 0.0123, -0.0071, -0.0143, 0.0075, 0.0163, 0.0446, 0.0339, 0.0074, -0.0087, 0.0028, -0.0247, -0.0701, -0.0491, -0.0728, -0.0538, -0.0298, -0.0572, -0.0694, -0.0874, -0.136, -0.157, -0.1492, -0.1628, -0.207, -0.2211, -0.192, -0.2005, -0.1715, -0.1644, -0.1678, -0.2099, -0.1638, -0.1439, -0.1566, -0.1818, -0.1703, -0.1516, -0.1577, -0.1532, -0.1737, -0.209, -0.1959, -0.2115, -0.2177, -0.1936, -0.19, -0.1999, -0.1981, -0.2015, -0.2009, -0.2024, -0.1906, -0.199, -0.1878, -0.1767, -0.1407, -0.1421, -0.1642, -0.1668, -0.1715, -0.1653, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1254, -0.1256, -0.1528, -0.1917, -0.1819, -0.1811, -0.1807, -0.1921, -0.1844, -0.1837, -0.226, -0.2299, -0.2797, -0.3077, -0.3316, -0.4261, -0.3542, -0.3582, -0.3703, -0.3868, -0.3939, -0.3697, -0.3699, -0.3822, -0.392, -0.3871, -0.3775, -0.4085, -0.4135]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1946674383852056910", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-19T20:51:55+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Too bearish. $315k inbound.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC with $315k target, dismissing bearish thesis in parent.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@thescalpingpro Too bearish. $315k inbound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin - what if 🤔 https://t.co/D6ZLmyGAHF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thescalpingpro", "ret_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "price_path": [-0.2022, -0.2001, -0.1935, -0.1913, -0.1972, -0.1978, -0.1784, -0.1748, -0.1932, -0.1757, -0.1738, -0.1209, -0.1232, -0.1245, -0.113, -0.1184, -0.1166, -0.1188, -0.1008, -0.0907, -0.0661, -0.0491, -0.0864, -0.0681, -0.0719, -0.0821, -0.1005, -0.1145, -0.0984, -0.1022, -0.1082, -0.1351, -0.1111, -0.0608, -0.0612, -0.0745, -0.098, -0.0966, -0.0906, -0.1093, -0.1069, -0.1086, -0.1203, -0.101, -0.097, -0.0858, -0.0892, -0.0881, -0.0877, -0.1, -0.0731, -0.0663, -0.0801, -0.0778, -0.0723, -0.0521, -0.0124, 0.0007, 0.0205, 0.0029, 0.0111, 0.0158, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0112, 0.0079, 0.0017, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0033, -0.0143, -0.0351, -0.0202, -0.0281, -0.0205, 0.0005, -0.0064, 0.011, 0.0233, 0.0503, 0.0078, -0.0004, -0.0101, -0.0392, -0.0269, -0.0427, -0.0048, -0.0623, -0.048, -0.0529, -0.0417, -0.0769, -0.0697, -0.0531, -0.0487, -0.0572, -0.0578, -0.0457, -0.0503, -0.0297, -0.0165, -0.0114, -0.017, -0.0051, -0.0083, -0.0026, -0.0149, -0.0399, -0.0462, -0.035, -0.0714, -0.0658, -0.0259, -0.0288, 0.0103, 0.0276, 0.0411, 0.0623, 0.0342, 0.0504, 0.0363, -0.036, -0.0185, -0.0368, -0.0567, -0.0788, -0.0934, -0.0583, -0.0763, -0.083, -0.0628, -0.0545, -0.0283, -0.0382, -0.0629, -0.0778, -0.0671, -0.0927, -0.135, -0.1154, -0.1374, -0.1198, -0.0974, -0.123, -0.1343, -0.1511, -0.1962, -0.2158, -0.2085, -0.2212, -0.2623, -0.2755, -0.2484, -0.2563, -0.2292, -0.2227, -0.2258, -0.265, -0.2222, -0.2036, -0.2154, -0.2389, -0.2282, -0.2107, -0.2164, -0.2123, -0.2313, -0.2641, -0.252, -0.2665, -0.2723, -0.2498, -0.2465, -0.2557, -0.254, -0.2572, -0.2566, -0.258, -0.247, -0.2549, -0.2444, -0.2341, -0.2006, -0.2019, -0.2225, -0.2249, -0.2293, -0.2235, -0.1883]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1952769067477287162", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-05T16:30:01+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it will break out to $150-250k by end of year. Don't be dumb. BTC is something you buy and put in the vault", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC to $150–250k by year-end; buy and hold conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I see a lot of people out here overthinking it. Thinking they’re smart when the smart thing to do is just buy and hold Bitcoin. Nobody knows exactly when it breaks out. But it will break out to $150-250k by end of year. Don’t be dumb. BTC is something you buy and put in the vault", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008151618349081069, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008151618349081069, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0030558568701053446, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0030558568701053446, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005095761478975724, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005095761478975724, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007767158415357134, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007767158415357134, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00010739969898510004, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00010739969898510004, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007659758716372034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007659758716372034, "ret_p1w": 0.052841988473046664, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.052841988473046664, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029401426706961553, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029401426706961553, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02344056176608511, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02344056176608511, "ret_p1m": -0.021186295375700603, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021186295375700603, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04629894379980193, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04629894379980193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025112648424101325, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025112648424101325, "ret_p3m": -0.04017192210459819, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04017192210459819, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12931797177407245, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12931797177407245, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08914604966947426, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08914604966947426, "ret_p6m": -0.21864866816494477, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21864866816494477, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33240981852125706, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33240981852125706, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11376115035631229, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11376115035631229, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.021186295375700603, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04629894379980193, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04629894379980193, "price_path": [-0.0955, -0.0979, -0.0992, -0.0874, -0.0929, -0.0911, -0.0933, -0.0748, -0.0644, -0.0391, -0.0216, -0.06, -0.0412, -0.0451, -0.0555, -0.0745, -0.0889, -0.0724, -0.0763, -0.0824, -0.1101, -0.0854, -0.0337, -0.034, -0.0478, -0.0719, -0.0705, -0.0643, -0.0836, -0.0811, -0.0829, -0.0949, -0.075, -0.0709, -0.0594, -0.0629, -0.0618, -0.0614, -0.074, -0.0463, -0.0394, -0.0535, -0.0512, -0.0455, -0.0247, 0.0162, 0.0296, 0.05, 0.0319, 0.0403, 0.0451, 0.0338, 0.0289, 0.0513, 0.0404, 0.037, 0.0306, 0.0331, 0.0331, 0.0323, 0.0142, -0.0072, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0078, 0.0294, 0.0223, 0.0402, 0.0528, 0.0806, 0.037, 0.0285, 0.0185, -0.0115, 0.0012, -0.0151, 0.0239, -0.0352, -0.0205, -0.0256, -0.014, -0.0502, -0.0428, -0.0258, -0.0212, -0.0299, -0.0306, -0.0181, -0.0229, -0.0016, 0.012, 0.0172, 0.0114, 0.0237, 0.0204, 0.0262, 0.0136, -0.0122, -0.0186, -0.0071, -0.0446, -0.0388, 0.0023, -0.0007, 0.0395, 0.0573, 0.0712, 0.093, 0.064, 0.0807, 0.0663, -0.0081, 0.0099, -0.009, -0.0294, -0.0522, -0.0672, -0.0311, -0.0496, -0.0565, -0.0357, -0.0272, -0.0002, -0.0104, -0.0358, -0.0511, -0.0402, -0.0665, -0.11, -0.0898, -0.1125, -0.0943, -0.0714, -0.0976, -0.1093, -0.1265, -0.173, -0.1932, -0.1857, -0.1987, -0.241, -0.2545, -0.2267, -0.2348, -0.207, -0.2002, -0.2035, -0.2437, -0.1997, -0.1806, -0.1927, -0.2169, -0.2059, -0.1879, -0.1938, -0.1895, -0.2091, -0.2429, -0.2304, -0.2453, -0.2513, -0.2281, -0.2247, -0.2342, -0.2324, -0.2357, -0.2351, -0.2366, -0.2253, -0.2333, -0.2226, -0.212, -0.1775, -0.1788, -0.2, -0.2025, -0.207, -0.2011, -0.1649, -0.1508, -0.1629, -0.1631, -0.1891, -0.2263, -0.217, -0.2162, -0.2159, -0.2267, -0.2194, -0.2186]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1941894722697535868", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-06T16:19:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's going up forever homie. You can close the charts and go to sleep and wake up in 8 years and it will be $1M+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $1M+ over ~8 years; dismiss chart-watching.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ It’s going up forever homie. You can close the charts and go to sleep and wake up in 8 years and it will be $1M+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC 4 HR closes https://t.co/zLPH6FhZFJ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "ret_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "ret_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "ret_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "ret_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "ret_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.4367939389344442, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.6312331083016742, "alpha_c_stated": -0.6312331083016742, "price_path": [-0.2375, -0.2648, -0.2299, -0.2194, -0.2274, -0.2241, -0.2161, -0.2202, -0.1919, -0.1372, -0.1348, -0.1326, -0.1254, -0.123, -0.1294, -0.1301, -0.109, -0.1052, -0.1251, -0.1062, -0.104, -0.0467, -0.0492, -0.0507, -0.0381, -0.044, -0.0421, -0.0444, -0.0249, -0.0139, 0.0127, 0.0311, -0.0093, 0.0105, 0.0064, -0.0046, -0.0245, -0.0397, -0.0223, -0.0265, -0.0329, -0.0621, -0.0361, 0.0184, 0.0181, 0.0036, -0.0219, -0.0204, -0.0139, -0.0342, -0.0315, -0.0334, -0.0461, -0.0251, -0.0208, -0.0087, -0.0124, -0.0112, -0.0108, -0.024, 0.0052, 0.0124, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0279, 0.071, 0.0851, 0.1066, 0.0875, 0.0964, 0.1015, 0.0896, 0.0844, 0.108, 0.0965, 0.093, 0.0862, 0.0889, 0.0888, 0.088, 0.0689, 0.0464, 0.0625, 0.0539, 0.0621, 0.0849, 0.0775, 0.0963, 0.1096, 0.1389, 0.0929, 0.084, 0.0734, 0.0418, 0.0552, 0.038, 0.0792, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.027, 0.0392, 0.001, 0.0088, 0.0268, 0.0316, 0.0224, 0.0217, 0.0348, 0.0298, 0.0522, 0.0666, 0.072, 0.066, 0.0789, 0.0754, 0.0816, 0.0682, 0.0411, 0.0343, 0.0464, 0.0069, 0.013, 0.0563, 0.0532, 0.0956, 0.1143, 0.129, 0.1519, 0.1214, 0.139, 0.1238, 0.0454, 0.0644, 0.0445, 0.0229, -0.0011, -0.0169, 0.0211, 0.0016, -0.0056, 0.0163, 0.0252, 0.0537, 0.043, 0.0162, 0.0001, 0.0116, -0.0162, -0.062, -0.0407, -0.0646, -0.0455, -0.0213, -0.049, -0.0613, -0.0794, -0.1284, -0.1496, -0.1417, -0.1554, -0.2001, -0.2143, -0.1849, -0.1935, -0.1642, -0.1571, -0.1605, -0.2029, -0.1565, -0.1364, -0.1492, -0.1746, -0.1631, -0.1441, -0.1503, -0.1458, -0.1665, -0.202, -0.1889, -0.2046, -0.2109, -0.1865, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.191, -0.1945, -0.1939, -0.1954, -0.1835]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958172984461426989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-20T14:23:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitty looking to bottom above $112,000. Then $146,000 as was written in the ancient scrolls.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC bottoming above $112K with worst-case dip to $110K; targets $146K next.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitty looking to bottom above $112,000. This very minor August macro drama will fade quickly after Powell’s speech is done. It’s really that simple. Looks like worst case is a tap of $110,000. Then $146,000 as was written in the ancient scrolls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012632384657945028, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012632384657945028, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015296447383097433, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015296447383097433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002664062725152405, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002664062725152405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01623902974513114, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01623902974513114, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012227123617777225, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012227123617777225, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004011906127353915, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004011906127353915, "ret_p1w": -0.02671351191929372, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02671351191929372, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04006544962430614, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04006544962430614, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013351937705012418, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013351937705012418, "ret_p1m": 0.025048938047948832, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025048938047948832, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012797154618146678, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012797154618146678, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03784609266609551, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03784609266609551, "ret_p3m": -0.19410122274532038, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19410122274532038, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24018340550696704, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24018340550696704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04608218276164666, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04608218276164666, "ret_p6m": -0.4205032321022929, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4205032321022929, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4942639308571165, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4942639308571165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0737606987548236, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0737606987548236, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.025048938047948832, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012797154618146678, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012797154618146678, "price_path": [-0.0611, -0.0423, -0.0462, -0.0566, -0.0755, -0.0899, -0.0734, -0.0774, -0.0835, -0.1111, -0.0865, -0.0348, -0.0352, -0.0489, -0.073, -0.0716, -0.0654, -0.0847, -0.0822, -0.0839, -0.096, -0.0761, -0.072, -0.0605, -0.064, -0.0629, -0.0625, -0.0751, -0.0474, -0.0405, -0.0546, -0.0523, -0.0466, -0.0258, 0.015, 0.0284, 0.0488, 0.0306, 0.0391, 0.0439, 0.0326, 0.0277, 0.0501, 0.0392, 0.0358, 0.0294, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0311, 0.013, -0.0084, 0.007, -0.0012, 0.0066, 0.0282, 0.0211, 0.039, 0.0516, 0.0794, 0.0357, 0.0273, 0.0173, -0.0126, 0.0, -0.0162, 0.0227, -0.0363, -0.0216, -0.0267, -0.0151, -0.0513, -0.044, -0.0269, -0.0223, -0.0311, -0.0317, -0.0193, -0.024, -0.0028, 0.0108, 0.016, 0.0102, 0.0225, 0.0192, 0.025, 0.0124, -0.0134, -0.0198, -0.0083, -0.0457, -0.0399, 0.0011, -0.0019, 0.0383, 0.0561, 0.0699, 0.0917, 0.0628, 0.0795, 0.065, -0.0093, 0.0087, -0.0101, -0.0306, -0.0533, -0.0683, -0.0323, -0.0507, -0.0576, -0.0368, -0.0284, -0.0014, -0.0115, -0.0369, -0.0522, -0.0413, -0.0676, -0.111, -0.0909, -0.1135, -0.0954, -0.0724, -0.0987, -0.1104, -0.1276, -0.1739, -0.1941, -0.1866, -0.1996, -0.2419, -0.2554, -0.2276, -0.2357, -0.2079, -0.2012, -0.2044, -0.2446, -0.2006, -0.1816, -0.1937, -0.2178, -0.2068, -0.1889, -0.1947, -0.1904, -0.2101, -0.2438, -0.2313, -0.2462, -0.2521, -0.229, -0.2256, -0.2351, -0.2333, -0.2366, -0.236, -0.2375, -0.2262, -0.2342, -0.2235, -0.2129, -0.1784, -0.1798, -0.201, -0.2034, -0.2079, -0.202, -0.1659, -0.1518, -0.1638, -0.1641, -0.1901, -0.2272, -0.2179, -0.2171, -0.2168, -0.2276, -0.2203, -0.2196, -0.26, -0.2638, -0.3114, -0.3381, -0.361, -0.4513, -0.3826, -0.3864, -0.398, -0.4138, -0.4205]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1950791847141667094", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-31T05:33:14+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "And Bitcoin. If you don't mention this, it's incomplete.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin as an essential solution to global poverty/hunger alongside AI and robotics.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@elonmusk And Bitcoin. If you don’t mention this, it’s incomplete.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The path to solving hunger, disease and poverty is AI and robotics", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "elonmusk", "ret_m1d": 0.017907883148130077, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017907883148130077, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014142496779869562, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014142496779869562, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003765386368260515, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003765386368260515, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021062154747402473, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021062154747402473, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004671735525860199, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004671735525860199, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016390419221542274, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016390419221542274, "ret_p1w": 0.015020061348244074, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015020061348244074, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01475098662552976, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01475098662552976, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002690747227143131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0002690747227143131, "ret_p1m": -0.0634716762108517, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0634716762108517, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08399125989094258, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08399125989094258, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02051958368009088, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02051958368009088, "ret_p3m": -0.024205965424966558, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024205965424966558, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11420228273318844, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11420228273318844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08999631730822188, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08999631730822188, "ret_p6m": -0.22680317607081035, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22680317607081035, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3234730541905052, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3234730541905052, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09666987811969485, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09666987811969485, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0634716762108517, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08399125989094258, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08399125989094258, "price_path": [-0.1815, -0.1638, -0.1618, -0.1081, -0.1105, -0.1118, -0.1001, -0.1056, -0.1038, -0.106, -0.0877, -0.0775, -0.0525, -0.0353, -0.0732, -0.0546, -0.0584, -0.0687, -0.0874, -0.1016, -0.0853, -0.0892, -0.0953, -0.1225, -0.0982, -0.0472, -0.0475, -0.0611, -0.0849, -0.0835, -0.0774, -0.0964, -0.0939, -0.0957, -0.1075, -0.0879, -0.0839, -0.0725, -0.076, -0.0749, -0.0745, -0.0869, -0.0596, -0.0528, -0.0667, -0.0644, -0.0588, -0.0383, 0.002, 0.0152, 0.0353, 0.0174, 0.0257, 0.0305, 0.0194, 0.0145, 0.0366, 0.0259, 0.0225, 0.0162, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.0179, 0.0, -0.0211, -0.0059, -0.014, -0.0063, 0.015, 0.008, 0.0257, 0.0381, 0.0655, 0.0225, 0.0142, 0.0043, -0.0253, -0.0128, -0.0288, 0.0096, -0.0487, -0.0342, -0.0392, -0.0278, -0.0635, -0.0562, -0.0394, -0.0349, -0.0435, -0.0441, -0.0318, -0.0365, -0.0156, -0.0022, 0.003, -0.0027, 0.0094, 0.0061, 0.0119, -0.0006, -0.026, -0.0323, -0.021, -0.058, -0.0522, -0.0117, -0.0147, 0.025, 0.0425, 0.0562, 0.0777, 0.0492, 0.0656, 0.0514, -0.022, -0.0042, -0.0228, -0.043, -0.0654, -0.0803, -0.0447, -0.0629, -0.0697, -0.0491, -0.0408, -0.0142, -0.0242, -0.0493, -0.0644, -0.0536, -0.0796, -0.1224, -0.1025, -0.1249, -0.107, -0.0843, -0.1102, -0.1218, -0.1387, -0.1845, -0.2044, -0.197, -0.2099, -0.2516, -0.2649, -0.2375, -0.2455, -0.218, -0.2114, -0.2146, -0.2543, -0.2109, -0.192, -0.204, -0.2278, -0.217, -0.1993, -0.2051, -0.2008, -0.2202, -0.2534, -0.2411, -0.2558, -0.2617, -0.2389, -0.2356, -0.2449, -0.2431, -0.2464, -0.2458, -0.2472, -0.2361, -0.244, -0.2335, -0.223, -0.189, -0.1903, -0.2112, -0.2136, -0.2181, -0.2122, -0.1765, -0.1627, -0.1746, -0.1748, -0.2005, -0.2371, -0.2279, -0.2272, -0.2268]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938954158830153801", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-28T13:34:30+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I dipped a toe in", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author has taken a small long position in OSCR.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tech_Investor20 I dipped a toe in", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OSCR is expected to grow its Q2 REVENUE by 29.9%; EBIT by 80%; and EPS by 111%.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheTechInvest", "ret_m1d": -0.04804107560582116, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04804107560582116, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.043282647176665856, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04166083280805599, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006380242797765168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04617536130866884, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04617536130866884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.045851747024534095, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06041972876587143, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014244367457202589, "ret_p1w": -0.21595153697689695, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21595153697689695, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22053197754977805, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21276147316870986, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0031900638081870936, "ret_p1m": -0.3544776209029036, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3544776209029036, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38265603505108026, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3518067948058411, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002670826097062484, "ret_p3m": -0.15625001390033655, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15625001390033655, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22426724416358568, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1559043545456149, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0003456593547216391, "ret_p6m": -0.3078358310199466, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3078358310199466, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42769636924443677, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46787622743743673, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16004039641749013, "ret_p1y": 0.3185634213421098, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3185634213421098, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.10913553843574597, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.1859200706140829, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.1326433507280269, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3544776209029036, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.38265603505108026, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3518067948058411, "price_path": [-0.3764, -0.3652, -0.3937, -0.4151, -0.4534, -0.416, -0.4286, -0.4137, -0.4207, -0.4193, -0.424, -0.4389, -0.4389, -0.4571, -0.459, -0.4398, -0.4389, -0.4296, -0.4114, -0.3867, -0.3932, -0.3913, -0.3843, -0.3937, -0.3904, -0.2062, -0.2043, -0.202, -0.2155, -0.2108, -0.2285, -0.2276, -0.1828, -0.2188, -0.2318, -0.3069, -0.3298, -0.3391, -0.3391, -0.2999, -0.3521, -0.3563, -0.3563, -0.3349, -0.3354, -0.34, -0.2701, -0.2808, -0.3116, -0.3148, -0.34, -0.3312, -0.3493, -0.3027, -0.2486, -0.1245, -0.1245, -0.0103, -0.0476, -0.0662, -0.1049, -0.0448, -0.048, 0.0, -0.0462, -0.2248, -0.2318, -0.2318, -0.216, -0.2281, -0.25, -0.2757, -0.3293, -0.2966, -0.3041, -0.284, -0.3531, -0.3741, -0.3647, -0.3144, -0.2598, -0.3377, -0.326, -0.3158, -0.3545, -0.347, -0.3447, -0.3666, -0.3545, -0.3554, -0.3312, -0.2929, -0.2789, -0.2719, -0.3013, -0.3036, -0.3153, -0.2705, -0.2234, -0.2243, -0.2878, -0.2808, -0.2164, -0.2206, -0.2034, -0.2062, -0.1959, -0.2229, -0.2229, -0.2337, -0.1754, -0.1427, -0.0938, -0.0541, -0.0648, -0.0914, -0.0938, -0.0984, -0.1264, -0.1637, -0.1712, -0.1087, -0.1152, -0.1371, -0.1716, -0.1399, -0.1563, -0.1409, -0.1077, -0.1171, -0.1185, -0.1007, 0.0103, 0.0406, 0.048, 0.0168, -0.042, -0.1245, -0.0485, -0.035, -0.0359, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.0588, 0.0154, -0.0499, -0.0849, -0.1003, -0.0826, -0.0886, -0.118, -0.1563, -0.1604, -0.1763, -0.1996, -0.2057, -0.2276, -0.1735, -0.3186, -0.3074, -0.2957, -0.3493, -0.3526, -0.3354, -0.3139, -0.3433, -0.3923, -0.3713, -0.2309, -0.2197, -0.153, -0.153, -0.1618, -0.2234, -0.2141, -0.2024, -0.1987, -0.2178, -0.2197, -0.209, -0.2729, -0.2598, -0.2243, -0.2472, -0.2673, -0.2822, -0.3097, -0.305, -0.299, -0.3078]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1946969574769139914", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-20T16:24:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you want real money, you need Bitcoin.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin as the only real money vs fiat.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@tunguz This is fiat in a nutshell.\n\nIf you want real money, you need Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Hype, smoke, and mirrors can only get you so far. Eventually reality kicks in.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tunguz", "ret_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "price_path": [-0.2022, -0.2001, -0.1935, -0.1913, -0.1972, -0.1978, -0.1784, -0.1748, -0.1932, -0.1757, -0.1738, -0.1209, -0.1232, -0.1245, -0.113, -0.1184, -0.1166, -0.1188, -0.1008, -0.0907, -0.0661, -0.0491, -0.0864, -0.0681, -0.0719, -0.0821, -0.1005, -0.1145, -0.0984, -0.1022, -0.1082, -0.1351, -0.1111, -0.0608, -0.0612, -0.0745, -0.098, -0.0966, -0.0906, -0.1093, -0.1069, -0.1086, -0.1203, -0.101, -0.097, -0.0858, -0.0892, -0.0881, -0.0877, -0.1, -0.0731, -0.0663, -0.0801, -0.0778, -0.0723, -0.0521, -0.0124, 0.0007, 0.0205, 0.0029, 0.0111, 0.0158, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0112, 0.0079, 0.0017, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0033, -0.0143, -0.0351, -0.0202, -0.0281, -0.0205, 0.0005, -0.0064, 0.011, 0.0233, 0.0503, 0.0078, -0.0004, -0.0101, -0.0392, -0.0269, -0.0427, -0.0048, -0.0623, -0.048, -0.0529, -0.0417, -0.0769, -0.0697, -0.0531, -0.0487, -0.0572, -0.0578, -0.0457, -0.0503, -0.0297, -0.0165, -0.0114, -0.017, -0.0051, -0.0083, -0.0026, -0.0149, -0.0399, -0.0462, -0.035, -0.0714, -0.0658, -0.0259, -0.0288, 0.0103, 0.0276, 0.0411, 0.0623, 0.0342, 0.0504, 0.0363, -0.036, -0.0185, -0.0368, -0.0567, -0.0788, -0.0934, -0.0583, -0.0763, -0.083, -0.0628, -0.0545, -0.0283, -0.0382, -0.0629, -0.0778, -0.0671, -0.0927, -0.135, -0.1154, -0.1374, -0.1198, -0.0974, -0.123, -0.1343, -0.1511, -0.1962, -0.2158, -0.2085, -0.2212, -0.2623, -0.2755, -0.2484, -0.2563, -0.2292, -0.2227, -0.2258, -0.265, -0.2222, -0.2036, -0.2154, -0.2389, -0.2282, -0.2107, -0.2164, -0.2123, -0.2313, -0.2641, -0.252, -0.2665, -0.2723, -0.2498, -0.2465, -0.2557, -0.254, -0.2572, -0.2566, -0.258, -0.247, -0.2549, -0.2444, -0.2341, -0.2006, -0.2019, -0.2225, -0.2249, -0.2293, -0.2235, -0.1883]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1943812062833955170", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-11T23:18:04+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It has broken definitively in to price discovery. Nothing but blue sky with $121,000 within a week.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $121,000 within a week, now in price discovery with clear upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Huge week for Bitcoin. It has broken definitively in to price discovery. Nothing but blue sky with $121,000 within a week. Relatively speaking, the proxies had a more mediocre week but that is by design. You didn’t think they would just hand you generational wealth, did you?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011113048969169315, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011113048969169315, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024123200638500153, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024123200638500153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002200397775296903, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002200397775296903, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018282367925295695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018282367925295695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.027483832188158974, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.027483832188158974, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3146982596531046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3146982596531046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.004137566542072646, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.002200397775296903, "alpha_c_stated": -0.002200397775296903, "price_path": [-0.288, -0.2849, -0.2776, -0.2814, -0.2553, -0.2049, -0.2027, -0.2006, -0.194, -0.1918, -0.1977, -0.1984, -0.1789, -0.1754, -0.1938, -0.1763, -0.1743, -0.1215, -0.1238, -0.1251, -0.1136, -0.1189, -0.1172, -0.1194, -0.1014, -0.0913, -0.0667, -0.0497, -0.087, -0.0687, -0.0725, -0.0827, -0.1011, -0.115, -0.099, -0.1028, -0.1088, -0.1356, -0.1117, -0.0615, -0.0618, -0.0751, -0.0986, -0.0972, -0.0912, -0.1099, -0.1075, -0.1092, -0.1209, -0.1016, -0.0976, -0.0864, -0.0898, -0.0887, -0.0883, -0.1006, -0.0737, -0.067, -0.0807, -0.0784, -0.0729, -0.0527, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0022, 0.0104, 0.0151, 0.0041, -0.0007, 0.0211, 0.0105, 0.0072, 0.001, 0.0035, 0.0034, 0.0027, -0.015, -0.0357, -0.0208, -0.0287, -0.0212, -0.0002, -0.007, 0.0103, 0.0226, 0.0496, 0.0072, -0.001, -0.0108, -0.0399, -0.0276, -0.0434, -0.0055, -0.0629, -0.0486, -0.0536, -0.0423, -0.0775, -0.0703, -0.0537, -0.0493, -0.0578, -0.0584, -0.0463, -0.0509, -0.0303, -0.0171, -0.012, -0.0176, -0.0057, -0.0089, -0.0032, -0.0156, -0.0406, -0.0468, -0.0356, -0.0721, -0.0664, -0.0265, -0.0295, 0.0096, 0.0269, 0.0404, 0.0616, 0.0335, 0.0497, 0.0356, -0.0366, -0.0191, -0.0374, -0.0573, -0.0794, -0.094, -0.059, -0.0769, -0.0836, -0.0634, -0.0552, -0.0289, -0.0388, -0.0635, -0.0784, -0.0677, -0.0933, -0.1355, -0.1159, -0.138, -0.1204, -0.098, -0.1236, -0.1349, -0.1516, -0.1967, -0.2163, -0.2091, -0.2217, -0.2628, -0.2759, -0.2489, -0.2568, -0.2297, -0.2232, -0.2263, -0.2655, -0.2227, -0.2041, -0.2159, -0.2394, -0.2287, -0.2112, -0.217, -0.2128, -0.2319, -0.2646, -0.2525, -0.267, -0.2728, -0.2503, -0.247, -0.2562, -0.2545, -0.2577, -0.2571, -0.2585, -0.2475, -0.2554, -0.2449, -0.2346, -0.2011]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1942926855012860393", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-09T12:40:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going to break $110,000 and then $112,000 and the move will be sudden and violent. It's imminent.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; expects imminent, rapid breakout above $110K then $112K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are going to break $110,000 and then $112,000 and the move will be sudden and violent. There will be no bloodshed. No physical violence. But there will be tears. Tears of the luddites, bears, and shorts who failed to understand the future of money. Don’t blink. It’s imminent.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "ret_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "ret_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "ret_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "ret_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "ret_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06657848296667201, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06632206888155845, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06632206888155845, "price_path": [-0.2508, -0.2406, -0.2484, -0.2452, -0.2374, -0.2414, -0.2139, -0.1607, -0.1583, -0.1561, -0.1492, -0.1468, -0.1531, -0.1538, -0.1332, -0.1295, -0.1489, -0.1305, -0.1284, -0.0726, -0.0751, -0.0765, -0.0643, -0.0699, -0.0681, -0.0704, -0.0514, -0.0407, -0.0148, 0.0031, -0.0363, -0.0169, -0.0209, -0.0317, -0.0511, -0.0658, -0.0489, -0.0529, -0.0592, -0.0876, -0.0623, -0.0093, -0.0096, -0.0237, -0.0485, -0.047, -0.0407, -0.0604, -0.0579, -0.0597, -0.072, -0.0516, -0.0474, -0.0356, -0.0392, -0.0381, -0.0376, -0.0506, -0.0222, -0.0151, -0.0296, -0.0272, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0419, 0.0556, 0.0766, 0.0579, 0.0666, 0.0715, 0.06, 0.0549, 0.0779, 0.0667, 0.0633, 0.0567, 0.0593, 0.0592, 0.0584, 0.0398, 0.0179, 0.0336, 0.0253, 0.0332, 0.0554, 0.0482, 0.0665, 0.0795, 0.1079, 0.0632, 0.0545, 0.0442, 0.0135, 0.0265, 0.0098, 0.0498, -0.0108, 0.0043, -0.0009, 0.0109, -0.0262, -0.0186, -0.0011, 0.0036, -0.0054, -0.0061, 0.0067, 0.0018, 0.0236, 0.0376, 0.0429, 0.037, 0.0496, 0.0462, 0.0522, 0.0392, 0.0128, 0.0062, 0.018, -0.0205, -0.0145, 0.0276, 0.0245, 0.0658, 0.084, 0.0983, 0.1206, 0.0909, 0.108, 0.0932, 0.017, 0.0354, 0.0161, -0.0049, -0.0282, -0.0436, -0.0066, -0.0256, -0.0327, -0.0113, -0.0026, 0.0251, 0.0146, -0.0114, -0.0271, -0.0159, -0.0429, -0.0875, -0.0668, -0.0901, -0.0714, -0.0479, -0.0748, -0.0868, -0.1045, -0.1521, -0.1728, -0.1651, -0.1784, -0.2218, -0.2357, -0.2071, -0.2154, -0.1869, -0.18, -0.1833, -0.2246, -0.1794, -0.1599, -0.1723, -0.1971, -0.1858, -0.1674, -0.1734, -0.169, -0.1891, -0.2237, -0.2109, -0.2262, -0.2323, -0.2086, -0.2051, -0.2148, -0.213, -0.2164, -0.2158, -0.2173, -0.2057, -0.2139, -0.203]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1943714188758573460", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-11T16:49:09+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you can buy it this week for $117,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish BTC; implies buying at $117K is still a valid entry after last week's $107K level.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you didn’t buy Bitcoin last week for $107,000, that’s OK because you can buy it this week for $117,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016545507985922914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016545507985922914, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017941804335254163, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017941804335254163, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "ret_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0022124917781216613, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0022124917781216613, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "ret_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009389200285248256, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009389200285248256, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "ret_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03267479850037347, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03267479850037347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "ret_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3102271164720224, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3102271164720224, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.004137566542072646, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0022124917781216613, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0022124917781216613, "price_path": [-0.288, -0.2849, -0.2776, -0.2814, -0.2553, -0.2049, -0.2027, -0.2006, -0.194, -0.1918, -0.1977, -0.1984, -0.1789, -0.1754, -0.1938, -0.1763, -0.1743, -0.1215, -0.1238, -0.1251, -0.1136, -0.1189, -0.1172, -0.1194, -0.1014, -0.0913, -0.0667, -0.0497, -0.087, -0.0687, -0.0725, -0.0827, -0.1011, -0.115, -0.099, -0.1028, -0.1088, -0.1356, -0.1117, -0.0615, -0.0618, -0.0751, -0.0986, -0.0972, -0.0912, -0.1099, -0.1075, -0.1092, -0.1209, -0.1016, -0.0976, -0.0864, -0.0898, -0.0887, -0.0883, -0.1006, -0.0737, -0.067, -0.0807, -0.0784, -0.0729, -0.0527, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0022, 0.0104, 0.0151, 0.0041, -0.0007, 0.0211, 0.0105, 0.0072, 0.001, 0.0035, 0.0034, 0.0027, -0.015, -0.0357, -0.0208, -0.0287, -0.0212, -0.0002, -0.007, 0.0103, 0.0226, 0.0496, 0.0072, -0.001, -0.0108, -0.0399, -0.0276, -0.0434, -0.0055, -0.0629, -0.0486, -0.0536, -0.0423, -0.0775, -0.0703, -0.0537, -0.0493, -0.0578, -0.0584, -0.0463, -0.0509, -0.0303, -0.0171, -0.012, -0.0176, -0.0057, -0.0089, -0.0032, -0.0156, -0.0406, -0.0468, -0.0356, -0.0721, -0.0664, -0.0265, -0.0295, 0.0096, 0.0269, 0.0404, 0.0616, 0.0335, 0.0497, 0.0356, -0.0366, -0.0191, -0.0374, -0.0573, -0.0794, -0.094, -0.059, -0.0769, -0.0836, -0.0634, -0.0552, -0.0289, -0.0388, -0.0635, -0.0784, -0.0677, -0.0933, -0.1355, -0.1159, -0.138, -0.1204, -0.098, -0.1236, -0.1349, -0.1516, -0.1967, -0.2163, -0.2091, -0.2217, -0.2628, -0.2759, -0.2489, -0.2568, -0.2297, -0.2232, -0.2263, -0.2655, -0.2227, -0.2041, -0.2159, -0.2394, -0.2287, -0.2112, -0.217, -0.2128, -0.2319, -0.2646, -0.2525, -0.267, -0.2728, -0.2503, -0.247, -0.2562, -0.2545, -0.2577, -0.2571, -0.2585, -0.2475, -0.2554, -0.2449, -0.2346, -0.2011]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1948823640281416130", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-25T19:12:17+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just buy 1 Bitcoin for $116,666 and hold for 4-8 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Buy and hold Bitcoin for 4–8 years to reach millionaire status; strongly bullish long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you’re not a millionaire yet and want to become one, just buy 1 Bitcoin for $116,666 and hold for 4-8 years. Easy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006223587310233647, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006223587310233647, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010430155496245597, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010430155496245597, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00420656818601195, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00420656818601195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0024532799270098327, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0024532799270098327, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0027043489317566394, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0027043489317566394, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0002510690047468067, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0002510690047468067, "ret_p1w": -0.036687758631258394, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.036687758631258394, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012546970137037983, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012546970137037983, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02414078849422041, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02414078849422041, "ret_p1m": -0.06385408151331373, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06385408151331373, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07228290969813433, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07228290969813433, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008428828184820603, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008428828184820603, "ret_p3m": -0.08456005631253694, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08456005631253694, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13565308309371515, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13565308309371515, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05109302678117822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05109302678117822, "ret_p6m": -0.2132197120710072, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2132197120710072, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30508442733483065, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30508442733483065, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09186471526382345, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09186471526382345, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.1985, -0.1992, -0.1797, -0.1762, -0.1946, -0.1771, -0.1751, -0.1224, -0.1247, -0.126, -0.1145, -0.1198, -0.1181, -0.1203, -0.1023, -0.0922, -0.0676, -0.0507, -0.088, -0.0697, -0.0735, -0.0836, -0.102, -0.1159, -0.0999, -0.1037, -0.1097, -0.1365, -0.1126, -0.0624, -0.0627, -0.0761, -0.0995, -0.0981, -0.0921, -0.1108, -0.1084, -0.1101, -0.1218, -0.1025, -0.0985, -0.0873, -0.0908, -0.0897, -0.0893, -0.1015, -0.0746, -0.0679, -0.0816, -0.0794, -0.0738, -0.0536, -0.014, -0.001, 0.0188, 0.0012, 0.0094, 0.0141, 0.0031, -0.0017, 0.0201, 0.0095, 0.0062, 0.0, 0.0025, 0.0024, 0.0017, -0.016, -0.0367, -0.0218, -0.0297, -0.0222, -0.0012, -0.0081, 0.0093, 0.0216, 0.0485, 0.0062, -0.002, -0.0118, -0.0408, -0.0286, -0.0443, -0.0065, -0.0639, -0.0496, -0.0545, -0.0433, -0.0784, -0.0713, -0.0547, -0.0503, -0.0588, -0.0594, -0.0473, -0.0519, -0.0313, -0.0181, -0.013, -0.0186, -0.0067, -0.0099, -0.0042, -0.0166, -0.0415, -0.0478, -0.0366, -0.073, -0.0674, -0.0275, -0.0304, 0.0086, 0.0259, 0.0394, 0.0605, 0.0324, 0.0486, 0.0346, -0.0376, -0.0201, -0.0384, -0.0583, -0.0803, -0.0949, -0.0599, -0.0779, -0.0846, -0.0643, -0.0561, -0.0299, -0.0398, -0.0644, -0.0793, -0.0687, -0.0943, -0.1364, -0.1168, -0.1389, -0.1213, -0.0989, -0.1244, -0.1358, -0.1525, -0.1975, -0.2171, -0.2099, -0.2225, -0.2636, -0.2767, -0.2496, -0.2575, -0.2305, -0.224, -0.2271, -0.2662, -0.2234, -0.2049, -0.2167, -0.2401, -0.2295, -0.212, -0.2177, -0.2136, -0.2326, -0.2654, -0.2533, -0.2677, -0.2735, -0.2511, -0.2478, -0.2569, -0.2552, -0.2584, -0.2579, -0.2593, -0.2483, -0.2561, -0.2457, -0.2354, -0.2019, -0.2032, -0.2238, -0.2262, -0.2306, -0.2248, -0.1897, -0.176, -0.1877, -0.188, -0.2132]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1957447688720638014", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-18T14:21:11+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I did again today. Couldn't resist.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed buying IBIT options again today; ongoing bullish position.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@XavierMichelGo1 I did again today. Couldn’t resist.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Let’s keep loading IBIT options!!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "XavierMichelGo1", "ret_m1d": 0.00590460820028782, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00590460820028782, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0056869441850802005, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0056869441850802005, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028160492421083427, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028160492421083427, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022735295983866366, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022735295983866366, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "ret_p1w": -0.04799397179676912, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04799397179676912, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04670372014205737, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04670372014205737, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "ret_p1m": 0.004844809690220053, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.004844809690220053, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.021114957673089796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.021114957673089796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "ret_p3m": -0.15836491167113653, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15836491167113653, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2059371137220516, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2059371137220516, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "ret_p6m": -0.40999243875635216, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40999243875635216, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.49205311550245845, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.49205311550245845, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.004844809690220053, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.021114957673089796, "alpha_c_stated": -0.021114957673089796, "price_path": [-0.0645, -0.0427, -0.0639, -0.0639, -0.0537, -0.0796, -0.0917, -0.0998, -0.1013, -0.0855, -0.097, -0.1238, -0.1028, -0.0648, -0.0569, -0.0637, -0.081, -0.0955, -0.0643, -0.0992, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.0907, -0.0723, -0.0743, -0.0807, -0.0733, -0.094, -0.055, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0704, -0.064, -0.0374, -0.0235, 0.0176, 0.0322, 0.0017, 0.0269, 0.0242, 0.0095, 0.0042, 0.0268, 0.0188, 0.0244, 0.0047, 0.0159, 0.01, 0.0048, 0.0041, -0.0277, -0.0129, -0.0227, -0.0082, 0.0118, 0.0012, 0.0241, 0.0288, 0.0574, 0.0148, 0.0059, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0174, -0.0357, 0.003, -0.048, -0.0447, -0.0363, -0.0374, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0466, -0.0345, -0.056, -0.0398, -0.0356, -0.0428, -0.023, -0.0154, 0.005, -0.0083, 0.0048, -0.0058, 0.0106, -0.0103, -0.0363, -0.04, -0.0247, -0.0598, -0.0622, -0.0164, -0.0159, 0.0104, 0.0412, 0.0569, 0.0793, 0.0466, 0.0607, 0.0407, 0.0023, -0.0036, -0.0324, -0.0436, -0.0699, -0.0845, -0.0472, -0.0388, -0.0733, -0.0528, -0.0488, -0.0117, -0.0236, -0.05, -0.0855, -0.0568, -0.0836, -0.1343, -0.1079, -0.1331, -0.1086, -0.0887, -0.1166, -0.1281, -0.1584, -0.1904, -0.2112, -0.2027, -0.2319, -0.2587, -0.2737, -0.2344, -0.2497, -0.2274, -0.2274, -0.2195, -0.2657, -0.2177, -0.2015, -0.205, -0.2326, -0.22, -0.1998, -0.2053, -0.2112, -0.2248, -0.2633, -0.2474, -0.2625, -0.2739, -0.2444, -0.2416, -0.2483, -0.2512, -0.2512, -0.2489, -0.2524, -0.2456, -0.2483, -0.2483, -0.2288, -0.1906, -0.2059, -0.2197, -0.22, -0.2254, -0.2147, -0.1889, -0.1606, -0.1824, -0.1788, -0.1788, -0.2315, -0.2262, -0.2329, -0.2324, -0.2483, -0.2335, -0.2353, -0.2793, -0.281, -0.3305, -0.3444, -0.3706, -0.4534, -0.3992, -0.3927, -0.41]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1960535770298769435", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-27T02:52:07+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "heading higher in advance of the September rally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC and Bitcoin miners into September rally; front-running thesis with V-shaped reversal to wreck late shorts.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CrypticTrades_ Yes, exactly my thoughts.\n\nAnd the miners are the smartest capital in Bitcoin so they don’t care about any of the short term noise and are heading higher in advance of the September rally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Something I've been thinking about for $BTC:\n\nWhat if the price is currently front-running the September weakness, making everyone think that in September it will get bloody, before a V-Shaped reversal to wreck all the late-shorts that are currently pilling in? 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CrypticTrades_", "ret_m1d": 0.005220131122815719, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005220131122815719, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007493594983883023, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007493594983883023, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01189280397942638, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01189280397942638, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008351384411107832, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008351384411107832, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "ret_p1w": 0.004505836578061917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004505836578061917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008975270695327664, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008975270695327664, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "ret_p1m": -0.019535453566148386, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019535453566148386, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04001762412002907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04001762412002907, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "ret_p3m": -0.20635743919961924, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20635743919961924, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24340176821379744, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24340176821379744, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "ret_p6m": -0.3979834402234719, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3979834402234719, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46258886607373517, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46258886607373517, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.019535453566148386, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04001762412002907, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04001762412002907, "price_path": [-0.0649, -0.048, -0.0521, -0.0584, -0.0867, -0.0614, -0.0083, -0.0087, -0.0228, -0.0476, -0.0461, -0.0398, -0.0595, -0.057, -0.0588, -0.0711, -0.0507, -0.0465, -0.0347, -0.0383, -0.0372, -0.0367, -0.0497, -0.0212, -0.0142, -0.0287, -0.0263, -0.0204, 0.0009, 0.0428, 0.0566, 0.0776, 0.0589, 0.0676, 0.0725, 0.061, 0.0559, 0.0789, 0.0677, 0.0642, 0.0577, 0.0603, 0.0602, 0.0594, 0.0408, 0.0189, 0.0346, 0.0262, 0.0342, 0.0564, 0.0492, 0.0675, 0.0805, 0.109, 0.0642, 0.0555, 0.0452, 0.0145, 0.0274, 0.0108, 0.0508, -0.0099, 0.0052, 0.0, 0.0119, -0.0253, -0.0177, -0.0002, 0.0045, -0.0045, -0.0051, 0.0076, 0.0028, 0.0246, 0.0385, 0.0439, 0.038, 0.0505, 0.0472, 0.0532, 0.0402, 0.0137, 0.0071, 0.0189, -0.0195, -0.0136, 0.0286, 0.0255, 0.0668, 0.085, 0.0993, 0.1217, 0.092, 0.1091, 0.0943, 0.0179, 0.0364, 0.0171, -0.0039, -0.0273, -0.0427, -0.0057, -0.0247, -0.0318, -0.0104, -0.0017, 0.026, 0.0156, -0.0105, -0.0262, -0.015, -0.042, -0.0866, -0.0659, -0.0892, -0.0706, -0.047, -0.0739, -0.0859, -0.1036, -0.1513, -0.172, -0.1643, -0.1776, -0.2211, -0.2349, -0.2064, -0.2147, -0.1861, -0.1793, -0.1825, -0.2239, -0.1787, -0.1591, -0.1716, -0.1963, -0.1851, -0.1666, -0.1726, -0.1682, -0.1884, -0.223, -0.2102, -0.2255, -0.2316, -0.2079, -0.2044, -0.2141, -0.2123, -0.2157, -0.2151, -0.2165, -0.2049, -0.2132, -0.2022, -0.1913, -0.1559, -0.1573, -0.179, -0.1816, -0.1862, -0.1801, -0.143, -0.1285, -0.1409, -0.1411, -0.1678, -0.206, -0.1964, -0.1956, -0.1953, -0.2064, -0.1989, -0.1981, -0.2397, -0.2436, -0.2925, -0.32, -0.3435, -0.4362, -0.3656, -0.3695, -0.3815, -0.3977, -0.4046, -0.3809, -0.381, -0.3932, -0.4028, -0.398]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1960535770298769435", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-27T02:52:07+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the miners are the smartest capital in Bitcoin so they don't care about any of the short term noise and are heading higher in advance of the September rally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC and Bitcoin miners into September rally; front-running thesis with V-shaped reversal to wreck late shorts.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA", "RIOT", "CLSK", "CORZ", "IREN"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Major publicly traded Bitcoin miners basket", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CrypticTrades_ Yes, exactly my thoughts.\n\nAnd the miners are the smartest capital in Bitcoin so they don’t care about any of the short term noise and are heading higher in advance of the September rally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Something I've been thinking about for $BTC:\n\nWhat if the price is currently front-running the September weakness, making everyone think that in September it will get bloody, before a V-Shaped reversal to wreck all the late-shorts that are currently pilling in? 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CrypticTrades_", "ret_m1d": 0.007455455276982414, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007455455276982414, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009728919138049718, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009500812136829828, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002273463861067304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0020453568598474137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012692825336961033, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012692825336961033, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009151405768642484, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011391273898306964, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003541419568318549, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013015514386540694, "ret_p1w": 0.03975556961722655, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03975556961722655, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0442250037344923, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04496199146871134, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004469434117265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005206421851484788, "ret_p1m": 0.3867745394501465, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3867745394501465, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3662923688962658, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.38926577618188885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020482170553880685, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002491236731742341, "ret_p3m": 0.24163686243262167, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24163686243262167, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20459253341844347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2736037840527748, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0370443290141782, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03196692162015313, "ret_p6m": 0.18539700935966266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18539700935966266, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12079158350939936, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20911320847794426, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0646054258502633, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0237161991182816, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3867745394501465, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3662923688962658, "alpha_c_stated": 0.38926577618188885, "price_path": [-0.2975, -0.2818, -0.2353, -0.2018, -0.2431, -0.1922, -0.1625, -0.1525, -0.1651, -0.185, -0.2172, -0.1926, -0.2316, -0.2235, -0.2235, -0.2296, -0.2443, -0.1795, -0.1626, -0.0788, -0.0721, -0.0343, -0.025, 0.0526, 0.0622, 0.0622, -0.0211, -0.0174, 0.0148, 0.0329, 0.0103, 0.0357, 0.0146, 0.0442, 0.0709, 0.0661, 0.0525, 0.0857, 0.0532, 0.0473, 0.0314, 0.0238, -0.0177, -0.0249, -0.027, -0.1077, -0.0676, -0.067, -0.0351, -0.0358, -0.0641, -0.0669, -0.0534, -0.067, -0.0472, -0.0563, -0.0198, -0.067, -0.047, -0.0589, -0.0117, -0.0129, 0.0075, 0.0, 0.0127, 0.0415, 0.0415, 0.0695, 0.0398, 0.0001, 0.0065, 0.0121, 0.1021, 0.1777, 0.1551, 0.1836, 0.2281, 0.2676, 0.2859, 0.3337, 0.3526, 0.3934, 0.379, 0.4511, 0.3868, 0.347, 0.4929, 0.4865, 0.4931, 0.5129, 0.5596, 0.7106, 0.74, 0.7602, 0.8285, 0.7435, 0.8385, 0.9561, 0.9882, 0.7919, 0.761, 0.8071, 0.7148, 0.5883, 0.668, 0.8021, 0.8693, 0.7976, 0.7929, 0.7177, 0.741, 0.8229, 0.7351, 0.8329, 0.6679, 0.6188, 0.576, 0.4733, 0.4182, 0.265, 0.2111, 0.2041, 0.2357, 0.1773, 0.1244, 0.1033, 0.2416, 0.2438, 0.3031, 0.3031, 0.368, 0.3353, 0.2519, 0.3171, 0.357, 0.296, 0.3266, 0.3589, 0.3206, 0.3294, 0.2559, 0.1188, 0.1161, 0.0496, 0.0789, 0.1705, 0.1915, 0.1609, 0.1638, 0.1638, 0.123, 0.1035, 0.0711, 0.0546, 0.0546, 0.1824, 0.2759, 0.2487, 0.2207, 0.249, 0.2507, 0.3234, 0.3754, 0.3997, 0.3637, 0.4898, 0.4898, 0.4084, 0.3901, 0.3795, 0.4455, 0.3619, 0.4864, 0.5083, 0.4384, 0.3296, 0.2983, 0.3142, 0.1561, 0.0001, 0.1387, 0.2095, 0.1644, 0.1512, 0.0998, 0.1592, 0.1592, 0.114, 0.1365, 0.1854]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1958726594471895532", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-22T03:03:06+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If they can't do it, it's game over. $146,000 next.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC: holding $112K breakout; if bears can't push below $110K on Powell fear, next target is $146K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin still holding the $112,000 breakout level. If the bears have any shot at salvation, they will need to use any fear created by Powell tomorrow to drive BTC under $110,000. If they can’t do it, it’s game over. $146,000 next.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitty looking to bottom above $112,000. This very minor August macro drama will fade quickly after Powell’s speech is done. It’s really that simple. Looks like worst case is a tap of $110,000. Then $146,000 as was written in the ancient scrolls.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0352993402421663, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0715281703545142, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0715281703545142, "price_path": [-0.0674, -0.0776, -0.0961, -0.1102, -0.0941, -0.0979, -0.1039, -0.1309, -0.1068, -0.0563, -0.0566, -0.0701, -0.0936, -0.0923, -0.0862, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.1043, -0.1161, -0.0967, -0.0927, -0.0814, -0.0848, -0.0837, -0.0833, -0.0956, -0.0686, -0.0618, -0.0756, -0.0734, -0.0678, -0.0475, -0.0076, 0.0055, 0.0255, 0.0077, 0.016, 0.0207, 0.0097, 0.0048, 0.0267, 0.0161, 0.0128, 0.0065, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0082, -0.0095, -0.0304, -0.0154, -0.0234, -0.0158, 0.0053, -0.0016, 0.0159, 0.0282, 0.0554, 0.0127, 0.0045, -0.0053, -0.0346, -0.0222, -0.0381, 0.0, -0.0578, -0.0434, -0.0484, -0.037, -0.0724, -0.0652, -0.0485, -0.0441, -0.0526, -0.0532, -0.0411, -0.0457, -0.025, -0.0117, -0.0066, -0.0122, -0.0003, -0.0035, 0.0023, -0.0101, -0.0353, -0.0416, -0.0303, -0.067, -0.0613, -0.0212, -0.0241, 0.0152, 0.0326, 0.0461, 0.0674, 0.0392, 0.0555, 0.0413, -0.0313, -0.0137, -0.0321, -0.0521, -0.0743, -0.089, -0.0538, -0.0718, -0.0786, -0.0582, -0.05, -0.0236, -0.0335, -0.0583, -0.0733, -0.0626, -0.0884, -0.1308, -0.1111, -0.1332, -0.1155, -0.0931, -0.1187, -0.1301, -0.147, -0.1923, -0.212, -0.2047, -0.2174, -0.2588, -0.2719, -0.2447, -0.2527, -0.2255, -0.2189, -0.2221, -0.2614, -0.2184, -0.1998, -0.2116, -0.2352, -0.2245, -0.2069, -0.2126, -0.2085, -0.2276, -0.2606, -0.2484, -0.2629, -0.2688, -0.2462, -0.2429, -0.2521, -0.2504, -0.2536, -0.253, -0.2544, -0.2434, -0.2513, -0.2408, -0.2304, -0.1967, -0.198, -0.2187, -0.2212, -0.2256, -0.2197, -0.1844, -0.1707, -0.1824, -0.1827, -0.2081, -0.2444, -0.2353, -0.2345, -0.2342, -0.2448, -0.2376, -0.2369, -0.2765, -0.2802, -0.3267, -0.3529, -0.3752, -0.4635, -0.3963, -0.4, -0.4114, -0.4268, -0.4334, -0.4108, -0.411]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942385992775999780", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-08T00:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stay bullish my friends", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish BTC stance, echoing the SMA alignment setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SuperBitcoinBro Stay bullish my friends", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC daily\n\nFull bullish SMA alignment likely confirms at tomorrow's close. The last time this happened was November 2024.\n\nNeed to see follow-through but the setup is there. Looking really good bros. 💪 https://t.co/mcvCRtpw0n", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SuperBitcoinBro", "ret_m1d": -0.005969896673762132, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005969896673762132, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006517932147146355, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006517932147146355, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "bench_c_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021810695604753683, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021810695604753683, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015814039526409474, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015814039526409474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "ret_p1w": 0.08101782385671208, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08101782385671208, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07811619040460283, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07811619040460283, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "ret_p1m": 0.055784408526395435, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.055784408526395435, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.035730826593799, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.035730826593799, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "ret_p3m": 0.12222326197408728, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12222326197408728, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04045296712821722, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04045296712821722, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "ret_p6m": -0.1968002891227255, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1968002891227255, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3023732697104914, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3023732697104914, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "ret_p1y": -0.4518446452958219, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4518446452958219, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6486660793422049, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6486660793422049, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.055784408526395435, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.035730826593799, "alpha_c_stated": 0.035730826593799, "price_path": [-0.2692, -0.2345, -0.224, -0.232, -0.2287, -0.2208, -0.2249, -0.1967, -0.1423, -0.14, -0.1377, -0.1306, -0.1282, -0.1346, -0.1353, -0.1143, -0.1105, -0.1304, -0.1115, -0.1094, -0.0524, -0.0549, -0.0563, -0.0439, -0.0497, -0.0478, -0.0501, -0.0307, -0.0198, 0.0067, 0.025, -0.0153, 0.0045, 0.0004, -0.0105, -0.0304, -0.0454, -0.0282, -0.0323, -0.0387, -0.0677, -0.0419, 0.0123, 0.012, -0.0024, -0.0277, -0.0262, -0.0198, -0.0399, -0.0373, -0.0392, -0.0518, -0.031, -0.0267, -0.0146, -0.0183, -0.0171, -0.0167, -0.0298, -0.0008, 0.0064, -0.0084, -0.006, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0646, 0.0786, 0.1, 0.081, 0.0898, 0.0949, 0.0831, 0.0779, 0.1014, 0.09, 0.0864, 0.0797, 0.0824, 0.0823, 0.0815, 0.0625, 0.0401, 0.0562, 0.0476, 0.0558, 0.0784, 0.071, 0.0898, 0.103, 0.1321, 0.0864, 0.0775, 0.067, 0.0356, 0.0489, 0.0318, 0.0727, 0.0108, 0.0262, 0.0209, 0.033, -0.005, 0.0028, 0.0207, 0.0255, 0.0163, 0.0156, 0.0286, 0.0237, 0.0459, 0.0602, 0.0656, 0.0596, 0.0724, 0.069, 0.0751, 0.0619, 0.0349, 0.0281, 0.0402, 0.0009, 0.007, 0.05, 0.0469, 0.089, 0.1077, 0.1222, 0.145, 0.1147, 0.1322, 0.1171, 0.0391, 0.058, 0.0383, 0.0168, -0.007, -0.0228, 0.015, -0.0043, -0.0116, 0.0103, 0.0191, 0.0474, 0.0368, 0.0101, -0.0059, 0.0056, -0.0221, -0.0676, -0.0464, -0.0702, -0.0512, -0.0271, -0.0546, -0.0669, -0.0849, -0.1336, -0.1547, -0.1469, -0.1605, -0.2048, -0.219, -0.1898, -0.1983, -0.1692, -0.1621, -0.1655, -0.2077, -0.1615, -0.1416, -0.1543, -0.1796, -0.1681, -0.1492, -0.1554, -0.1509, -0.1715, -0.2068, -0.1937, -0.2093, -0.2156, -0.1913, -0.1878, -0.1977, -0.1959, -0.1993, -0.1987, -0.2002, -0.1883, -0.1968]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1954412767105908945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-10T05:21:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Your main focus right now should be on Bitcoin. It will go to $1M+ when you're not even 30 yet.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC to $1M+, contradicting the parent's ETH/DeFi thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@milesdeutscher Your main focus right now should be on Bitcoin.\n\nIt will go to $1M+ when you’re not even 30 yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Your main focus right now should be on $ETH betas/DeFi/revenue plays.\n\nMany have still barely pumped.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "milesdeutscher", "ret_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1262, -0.1284, -0.1105, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0594, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.082, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.1241, -0.1082, -0.112, -0.1179, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0846, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1005, -0.119, -0.1166, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.0958, -0.0991, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0831, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0094, -0.008, 0.0001, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0092, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0076, -0.025, -0.0456, -0.0308, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0104, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0031, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0497, -0.0375, -0.0532, -0.0156, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.0521, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.059, -0.0674, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0606, -0.0402, -0.0272, -0.0221, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0191, -0.0134, -0.0256, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0007, 0.0164, 0.0298, 0.0507, 0.0229, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.0669, -0.0888, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.073, -0.0648, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0731, -0.0878, -0.0773, -0.1026, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1468, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1325, -0.1438, -0.1603, -0.2049, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2296, -0.2704, -0.2833, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2376, -0.2312, -0.2342, -0.273, -0.2306, -0.2123, -0.2239, -0.2471, -0.2366, -0.2193, -0.225, -0.2208, -0.2397, -0.2721, -0.2601, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2647, -0.2661, -0.2552, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2377, -0.2319, -0.1972, -0.1836, -0.1952, -0.1955, -0.2205, -0.2562, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2462, -0.2566, -0.2495, -0.2489, -0.2878, -0.2914, -0.3373, -0.363]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1946629323349463348", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-19T17:52:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I want to own Bitcoin, not Solana.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC/IREN/CIFR/MSTR as preferred plays; avoids SOL, CoreWeave, Equinix, and generic BTC treasury copycats.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I want to own Bitcoin, not Solana.\n\nI want to own IREN, not Coreweave.\n\nI want to own CIFR, not Equinix.\n\nI want to own MSTR, not some random BTC Treasury company buying spot at increasing market prices.\n\nI am a discerning. patient, value investor. It’s how I made my fortune.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "price_path": [-0.2022, -0.2001, -0.1935, -0.1913, -0.1972, -0.1978, -0.1784, -0.1748, -0.1932, -0.1757, -0.1738, -0.1209, -0.1232, -0.1245, -0.113, -0.1184, -0.1166, -0.1188, -0.1008, -0.0907, -0.0661, -0.0491, -0.0864, -0.0681, -0.0719, -0.0821, -0.1005, -0.1145, -0.0984, -0.1022, -0.1082, -0.1351, -0.1111, -0.0608, -0.0612, -0.0745, -0.098, -0.0966, -0.0906, -0.1093, -0.1069, -0.1086, -0.1203, -0.101, -0.097, -0.0858, -0.0892, -0.0881, -0.0877, -0.1, -0.0731, -0.0663, -0.0801, -0.0778, -0.0723, -0.0521, -0.0124, 0.0007, 0.0205, 0.0029, 0.0111, 0.0158, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0112, 0.0079, 0.0017, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0033, -0.0143, -0.0351, -0.0202, -0.0281, -0.0205, 0.0005, -0.0064, 0.011, 0.0233, 0.0503, 0.0078, -0.0004, -0.0101, -0.0392, -0.0269, -0.0427, -0.0048, -0.0623, -0.048, -0.0529, -0.0417, -0.0769, -0.0697, -0.0531, -0.0487, -0.0572, -0.0578, -0.0457, -0.0503, -0.0297, -0.0165, -0.0114, -0.017, -0.0051, -0.0083, -0.0026, -0.0149, -0.0399, -0.0462, -0.035, -0.0714, -0.0658, -0.0259, -0.0288, 0.0103, 0.0276, 0.0411, 0.0623, 0.0342, 0.0504, 0.0363, -0.036, -0.0185, -0.0368, -0.0567, -0.0788, -0.0934, -0.0583, -0.0763, -0.083, -0.0628, -0.0545, -0.0283, -0.0382, -0.0629, -0.0778, -0.0671, -0.0927, -0.135, -0.1154, -0.1374, -0.1198, -0.0974, -0.123, -0.1343, -0.1511, -0.1962, -0.2158, -0.2085, -0.2212, -0.2623, -0.2755, -0.2484, -0.2563, -0.2292, -0.2227, -0.2258, -0.265, -0.2222, -0.2036, -0.2154, -0.2389, -0.2282, -0.2107, -0.2164, -0.2123, -0.2313, -0.2641, -0.252, -0.2665, -0.2723, -0.2498, -0.2465, -0.2557, -0.254, -0.2572, -0.2566, -0.258, -0.247, -0.2549, -0.2444, -0.2341, -0.2006, -0.2019, -0.2225, -0.2249, -0.2293, -0.2235, -0.1883]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1946629323349463348", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-19T17:52:51+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I want to own IREN, not Coreweave.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC/IREN/CIFR/MSTR as preferred plays; avoids SOL, CoreWeave, Equinix, and generic BTC treasury copycats.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I want to own Bitcoin, not Solana.\n\nI want to own IREN, not Coreweave.\n\nI want to own CIFR, not Equinix.\n\nI want to own MSTR, not some random BTC Treasury company buying spot at increasing market prices.\n\nI am a discerning. patient, value investor. It’s how I made my fortune.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011570197734784404, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011570197734784404, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009677642798379238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014433287333812883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002863089599028479, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024242454176604866, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024242454176604866, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024099258737502183, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01870712297067323, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005535331205931637, "ret_p1w": -0.08650136241442807, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08650136241442807, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09949504807462672, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.099480874464693, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01297951205026493, "ret_p1m": 0.0319559193331278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0319559193331278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014397842246675063, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027947593894487976, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004008325438639826, "ret_p3m": 2.4066117427313465, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.4066117427313465, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.353012482675866, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.4153846870078737, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": -0.008772944276527084, "ret_p6m": 1.9195593824898247, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.9195593824898247, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.809854500536258, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.8774009796915687, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.042158402798256, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0319559193331278, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014397842246675063, "alpha_c_stated": 0.027947593894487976, "price_path": [-0.6639, -0.6529, -0.6397, -0.6479, -0.6545, -0.6634, -0.649, -0.6402, -0.659, -0.6419, -0.638, -0.6204, -0.6121, -0.5862, -0.5526, -0.5609, -0.573, -0.5366, -0.5295, -0.5256, -0.5102, -0.4887, -0.4975, -0.4975, -0.4909, -0.5118, -0.5262, -0.5377, -0.519, -0.5102, -0.4804, -0.5069, -0.4628, -0.4303, -0.422, -0.4325, -0.4397, -0.4584, -0.427, -0.4617, -0.4601, -0.4601, -0.4231, -0.4127, -0.3642, -0.346, -0.2777, -0.2287, -0.1972, -0.1609, -0.1372, -0.0733, -0.0733, -0.0661, -0.0694, -0.0656, -0.0617, -0.1058, -0.0479, -0.07, -0.0463, -0.0055, -0.0116, 0.0, 0.0242, 0.0463, -0.0006, -0.0237, -0.0865, -0.13, -0.1107, -0.1124, -0.1515, -0.092, -0.0937, 0.0094, 0.0231, 0.0165, -0.0099, -0.0176, -0.0231, 0.0512, 0.0848, 0.1408, 0.032, 0.0887, 0.0793, 0.1807, 0.2738, 0.2667, 0.2317, 0.2694, 0.459, 0.459, 0.6039, 0.5543, 0.4397, 0.4408, 0.443, 0.6634, 0.8529, 0.8099, 0.8711, 1.0463, 1.0083, 1.0882, 1.0011, 1.1289, 1.3085, 1.3014, 1.5972, 1.5504, 1.3063, 1.5306, 1.5857, 1.5939, 1.5906, 1.7802, 2.1818, 2.3983, 2.3107, 2.5179, 2.2931, 2.5339, 2.8325, 2.7455, 2.4066, 2.3455, 2.2628, 2.041, 1.8556, 2.0777, 2.4656, 2.5807, 2.4391, 2.3289, 2.2077, 2.3471, 2.7328, 2.6711, 3.2099, 2.6893, 2.4369, 2.3152, 2.1614, 2.0689, 1.6804, 1.5548, 1.6121, 1.6915, 1.5251, 1.395, 1.3284, 1.6716, 1.6154, 1.6694, 1.6694, 1.6342, 1.6716, 1.2656, 1.422, 1.5592, 1.4634, 1.5532, 1.5807, 1.4198, 1.4209, 1.211, 0.9548, 1.016, 0.8612, 0.9725, 1.1994, 1.3163, 1.3179, 1.3129, 1.3129, 1.2204, 1.1713, 1.1102, 1.081, 1.081, 1.3526, 1.6579, 1.5295, 1.4036, 1.5168, 1.5361, 1.773, 1.9196]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1946629323349463348", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-07-19T17:52:51+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I want to own CIFR, not Equinix.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC/IREN/CIFR/MSTR as preferred plays; avoids SOL, CoreWeave, Equinix, and generic BTC treasury copycats.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I want to own Bitcoin, not Solana.\n\nI want to own IREN, not Coreweave.\n\nI want to own CIFR, not Equinix.\n\nI want to own MSTR, not some random BTC Treasury company buying spot at increasing market prices.\n\nI am a discerning. patient, value investor. It’s how I made my fortune.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017600021362304652, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017600021362304652, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01949257629870982, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018901796121097547, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013017747587928952, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11040000915527348, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11040000915527348, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1102568137161708, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11966392452265107, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009263915367377584, "ret_p1w": -0.014400024414062518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014400024414062518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02739371007426117, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02530968371195197, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010909659297889451, "ret_p1m": -0.0783999633789062, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0783999633789062, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09595804046535894, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0798928060251648, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0014928426462585964, "ret_p3m": 1.995199890136719, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.995199890136719, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.9416006300812387, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.9046833867800543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09051650335666461, "ret_p6m": 1.92, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.92, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8102951180464333, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.7953919122971385, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12460808770286147, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0783999633789062, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09595804046535894, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0798928060251648, "price_path": [-0.5424, -0.52, -0.5072, -0.5104, -0.5072, -0.544, -0.5016, -0.4944, -0.5232, -0.5136, -0.5168, -0.5008, -0.5232, -0.496, -0.4512, -0.4704, -0.4928, -0.3824, -0.3904, -0.3952, -0.4392, -0.4288, -0.4448, -0.4448, -0.4288, -0.464, -0.48, -0.5008, -0.48, -0.4504, -0.4016, -0.4352, -0.376, -0.3376, -0.3504, -0.3472, -0.3856, -0.4048, -0.3712, -0.4112, -0.3904, -0.3904, -0.3936, -0.4352, -0.384, -0.384, -0.3296, -0.3184, -0.2352, -0.216, -0.0912, -0.032, -0.032, -0.0736, -0.0352, 0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0608, -0.0352, -0.0448, 0.0032, 0.0272, 0.0176, 0.0, 0.1104, 0.0688, 0.064, 0.0352, -0.0144, -0.0912, -0.128, -0.1264, -0.2112, -0.1696, -0.1984, -0.1664, -0.2208, -0.24, -0.2384, -0.2448, -0.216, -0.1488, -0.1664, -0.032, -0.0784, -0.048, -0.056, 0.0208, 0.0624, 0.1392, 0.1184, 0.1232, 0.2224, 0.2224, 0.3312, 0.2976, 0.184, 0.2032, 0.2352, 0.4752, 0.64, 0.5952, 0.736, 0.736, 0.8416, 0.9808, 0.896, 0.9648, 1.2336, 1.264, 1.2624, 0.8656, 0.8352, 1.024, 1.0144, 1.016, 1.2096, 1.352, 1.4544, 1.52, 1.816, 1.8784, 1.7152, 2.2544, 2.3424, 2.3648, 1.9952, 2.0016, 2.1856, 1.892, 1.5776, 1.7608, 2.3056, 2.2864, 2.1936, 2.1344, 2.0512, 1.984, 2.6416, 2.6016, 2.9536, 2.4736, 2.3104, 2.144, 1.9872, 1.7808, 1.3888, 1.2976, 1.296, 1.3328, 1.3392, 1.3296, 1.264, 1.6736, 1.8032, 2.064, 2.064, 2.256, 2.1504, 1.8224, 1.9808, 2.1728, 2.0848, 2.1168, 2.1296, 1.9568, 2.0208, 1.728, 1.3584, 1.3984, 1.3024, 1.424, 1.5936, 1.6144, 1.5456, 1.5952, 1.5952, 1.4304, 1.4128, 1.3344, 1.3616, 1.3616, 1.592, 1.9056, 1.8064, 1.5728, 1.648, 1.6608, 1.8288, 1.92]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1946629323349463348", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-07-19T17:52:51+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I want to own MSTR, not some random BTC Treasury company buying spot at increasing market prices.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC/IREN/CIFR/MSTR as preferred plays; avoids SOL, CoreWeave, Equinix, and generic BTC treasury copycats.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I want to own Bitcoin, not Solana.\n\nI want to own IREN, not Coreweave.\n\nI want to own CIFR, not Equinix.\n\nI want to own MSTR, not some random BTC Treasury company buying spot at increasing market prices.\n\nI am a discerning. patient, value investor. It’s how I made my fortune.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007178374700563928, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007178374700563928, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005285819764158761, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005285819764158761, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0002814936603432461, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0002814936603432461, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00013829822124056257, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00013829822124056257, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": -0.05273531728136971, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05273531728136971, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06572900294156836, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06572900294156836, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.21044851203897275, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21044851203897275, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22800658912542549, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22800658912542549, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.3341465770134654, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3341465770134654, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3877458370689456, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3877458370689456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.5941869053473272, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5941869053473272, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7038917873008939, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7038917873008939, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21044851203897275, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22800658912542549, "alpha_c_stated": -0.22800658912542549, "price_path": [-0.189, -0.1781, -0.1351, -0.1338, -0.1052, -0.1083, -0.1048, -0.0749, -0.0932, -0.0954, -0.0793, -0.0279, -0.024, -0.0502, -0.011, -0.0224, -0.0686, -0.0621, -0.0302, -0.022, -0.0553, -0.0629, -0.1332, -0.1332, -0.1269, -0.1455, -0.1305, -0.1342, -0.1267, -0.0911, -0.113, -0.1349, -0.1215, -0.0801, -0.0823, -0.0919, -0.1091, -0.1018, -0.1033, -0.1199, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1327, -0.1386, -0.1156, -0.0882, -0.0935, -0.0995, -0.0517, -0.1243, -0.0563, -0.0523, -0.0523, -0.0718, -0.0688, -0.0255, -0.0107, 0.0195, 0.058, 0.0376, 0.0695, 0.0588, -0.0072, 0.0, 0.0003, -0.0319, -0.0266, -0.0478, -0.0527, -0.0742, -0.0733, -0.0573, -0.1399, -0.0869, -0.1192, -0.1006, -0.0569, -0.0731, -0.0611, -0.0748, -0.0853, -0.1251, -0.1407, -0.147, -0.2104, -0.1922, -0.2081, -0.1599, -0.1949, -0.1758, -0.1976, -0.2051, -0.2155, -0.2155, -0.1986, -0.2253, -0.2315, -0.2121, -0.2261, -0.2293, -0.2342, -0.2352, -0.2225, -0.231, -0.2139, -0.2265, -0.181, -0.1913, -0.2119, -0.2311, -0.2416, -0.2946, -0.275, -0.2343, -0.2441, -0.2061, -0.1735, -0.1751, -0.1562, -0.2296, -0.224, -0.2486, -0.285, -0.2599, -0.2947, -0.3038, -0.3341, -0.32, -0.3042, -0.2918, -0.3413, -0.3316, -0.3219, -0.3065, -0.3323, -0.354, -0.4028, -0.3678, -0.3791, -0.4206, -0.4018, -0.4436, -0.4325, -0.4396, -0.4573, -0.4731, -0.5108, -0.5314, -0.5416, -0.5149, -0.5625, -0.5845, -0.6, -0.58, -0.5961, -0.588, -0.588, -0.5844, -0.5979, -0.5746, -0.5581, -0.5636, -0.5801, -0.5691, -0.5567, -0.5669, -0.57, -0.5861, -0.6198, -0.6071, -0.6238, -0.6288, -0.6134, -0.6145, -0.6296, -0.6277, -0.6277, -0.6275, -0.6355, -0.635, -0.6435, -0.6435, -0.6313, -0.6136, -0.6294, -0.6204, -0.6083, -0.6309, -0.6194, -0.5942]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1941987870559854707", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-06T22:29:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't buy altcoins unless you want to lose money in Bitcoin terms over the long term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Implicitly bullish BTC long-term; altcoins structurally underperform Bitcoin over time.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@udiWertheimer One big piece of advice \n\nDon’t buy altcoins unless you want to lose money in Bitcoin terms over the long term", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "my friends\n\none small piece of advice\n\ndo not buy altcoins mere days before bitcoin enters price discovery", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "udiWertheimer", "ret_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "ret_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "ret_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "ret_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "ret_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "ret_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.4367939389344442, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.6312331083016742, "alpha_c_stated": -0.6312331083016742, "price_path": [-0.2375, -0.2648, -0.2299, -0.2194, -0.2274, -0.2241, -0.2161, -0.2202, -0.1919, -0.1372, -0.1348, -0.1326, -0.1254, -0.123, -0.1294, -0.1301, -0.109, -0.1052, -0.1251, -0.1062, -0.104, -0.0467, -0.0492, -0.0507, -0.0381, -0.044, -0.0421, -0.0444, -0.0249, -0.0139, 0.0127, 0.0311, -0.0093, 0.0105, 0.0064, -0.0046, -0.0245, -0.0397, -0.0223, -0.0265, -0.0329, -0.0621, -0.0361, 0.0184, 0.0181, 0.0036, -0.0219, -0.0204, -0.0139, -0.0342, -0.0315, -0.0334, -0.0461, -0.0251, -0.0208, -0.0087, -0.0124, -0.0112, -0.0108, -0.024, 0.0052, 0.0124, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0279, 0.071, 0.0851, 0.1066, 0.0875, 0.0964, 0.1015, 0.0896, 0.0844, 0.108, 0.0965, 0.093, 0.0862, 0.0889, 0.0888, 0.088, 0.0689, 0.0464, 0.0625, 0.0539, 0.0621, 0.0849, 0.0775, 0.0963, 0.1096, 0.1389, 0.0929, 0.084, 0.0734, 0.0418, 0.0552, 0.038, 0.0792, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.027, 0.0392, 0.001, 0.0088, 0.0268, 0.0316, 0.0224, 0.0217, 0.0348, 0.0298, 0.0522, 0.0666, 0.072, 0.066, 0.0789, 0.0754, 0.0816, 0.0682, 0.0411, 0.0343, 0.0464, 0.0069, 0.013, 0.0563, 0.0532, 0.0956, 0.1143, 0.129, 0.1519, 0.1214, 0.139, 0.1238, 0.0454, 0.0644, 0.0445, 0.0229, -0.0011, -0.0169, 0.0211, 0.0016, -0.0056, 0.0163, 0.0252, 0.0537, 0.043, 0.0162, 0.0001, 0.0116, -0.0162, -0.062, -0.0407, -0.0646, -0.0455, -0.0213, -0.049, -0.0613, -0.0794, -0.1284, -0.1496, -0.1417, -0.1554, -0.2001, -0.2143, -0.1849, -0.1935, -0.1642, -0.1571, -0.1605, -0.2029, -0.1565, -0.1364, -0.1492, -0.1746, -0.1631, -0.1441, -0.1503, -0.1458, -0.1665, -0.202, -0.1889, -0.2046, -0.2109, -0.1865, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.191, -0.1945, -0.1939, -0.1954, -0.1835]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1948259391142080963", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-24T05:50:10+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I never doubted OSCR would bounce given that it's significantly undervalued", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long OSCR; author sees it as significantly undervalued with a bounce expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoshuaKushner I never doubted OSCR would bounce given that it’s significantly undervalued", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "never be disappointed by the most predictable outcome", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoshuaKushner", "ret_m1d": 0.11760564075531277, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11760564075531277, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11793665813426013, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11384885186692695, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037567888883858203, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01760563403929627, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01760563403929627, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013381295886805145, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0123021473421554, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005303486697140869, "ret_p1w": -0.010563353559512212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010563353559512212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006874888090130482, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028697040135404195, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03926039369491641, "ret_p1m": 0.18309855371258354, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18309855371258354, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16593331339717632, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16534657977166844, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0177519739409151, "ret_p3m": 0.533098644378805, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.533098644378805, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4720490401162585, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.45919084746657424, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07390779691223082, "ret_p6m": 0.16549291967328728, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16549291967328728, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06901579863541607, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.008167621620902787, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1573252980523845, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.18309855371258354, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16593331339717632, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16534657977166844, "price_path": [-0.1113, -0.0739, -0.0838, -0.081, -0.0704, -0.0845, -0.0796, 0.1986, 0.2014, 0.2049, 0.1845, 0.1915, 0.1648, 0.1662, 0.2338, 0.1796, 0.1599, 0.0465, 0.012, -0.0021, -0.0021, 0.057, -0.0218, -0.0282, -0.0282, 0.0042, 0.0035, -0.0035, 0.1021, 0.0859, 0.0394, 0.0345, -0.0035, 0.0099, -0.0176, 0.0528, 0.1345, 0.3218, 0.3218, 0.4944, 0.438, 0.4099, 0.3514, 0.4423, 0.4373, 0.5099, 0.4401, 0.1704, 0.1599, 0.1599, 0.1838, 0.1655, 0.1324, 0.0937, 0.0127, 0.062, 0.0507, 0.081, -0.0232, -0.0549, -0.0408, 0.0352, 0.1176, 0.0, 0.0176, 0.0331, -0.0254, -0.0141, -0.0106, -0.0437, -0.0254, -0.0268, 0.0099, 0.0676, 0.0887, 0.0993, 0.0549, 0.0514, 0.0338, 0.1014, 0.1725, 0.1711, 0.0754, 0.0859, 0.1831, 0.1768, 0.2028, 0.1986, 0.2141, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.157, 0.2451, 0.2944, 0.3683, 0.4282, 0.412, 0.3718, 0.3683, 0.3613, 0.319, 0.2627, 0.2514, 0.3458, 0.3359, 0.3028, 0.2507, 0.2986, 0.2739, 0.2972, 0.3472, 0.3331, 0.331, 0.3577, 0.5254, 0.5711, 0.5824, 0.5352, 0.4465, 0.3218, 0.4366, 0.457, 0.4556, 0.481, 0.3655, 0.4211, 0.5331, 0.4345, 0.3817, 0.3585, 0.3852, 0.3761, 0.3317, 0.2739, 0.2676, 0.2437, 0.2085, 0.1993, 0.1662, 0.2479, 0.0289, 0.0458, 0.0634, -0.0176, -0.0225, 0.0035, 0.0359, -0.0085, -0.0824, -0.0507, 0.1613, 0.1782, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.2655, 0.1725, 0.1866, 0.2042, 0.2099, 0.181, 0.1782, 0.1944, 0.0979, 0.1176, 0.1711, 0.1366, 0.1063, 0.0838, 0.0423, 0.0493, 0.0585, 0.0451, 0.0514, 0.0514, 0.05, 0.0232, 0.0218, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0542, 0.1669, 0.1634, 0.1606, 0.1901, 0.2486, 0.2437, 0.2239, 0.1754, 0.2268, 0.1655]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1946316891040997388", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-18T21:11:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just buy Bitcoin bro. You are focused on noise, not signal.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy Bitcoin; dismisses Coinbase/regulatory noise as distraction from the real signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@OHare888 Just buy Bitcoin bro. You are focused on noise, not signal.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Brian Armstrong of $COIN did a masterful job of gaslighting the viewers on the “importance” of his companies position in the “financial services industry”, saying that the Genius Bill is “a financial revolution for America” \n\nSaying among other things that coinbase, unlike the", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OHare888", "ret_m1d": 0.010903237351891804, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010903237351891804, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01279579228829697, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01279579228829697, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004776882093994628, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004776882093994628, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004920077533097311, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004920077533097311, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": -0.0031129975060930626, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0031129975060930626, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016106683166291713, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016106683166291713, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.01483784904451435, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01483784904451435, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03239592613096709, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03239592613096709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.061185297303509856, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.061185297303509856, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11478455735899007, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11478455735899007, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.22719916358219283, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22719916358219283, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3369040455357595, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3369040455357595, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01483784904451435, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03239592613096709, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03239592613096709, "price_path": [-0.2081, -0.206, -0.2039, -0.1973, -0.1951, -0.201, -0.2017, -0.1823, -0.1788, -0.1971, -0.1797, -0.1777, -0.1251, -0.1274, -0.1287, -0.1172, -0.1226, -0.1208, -0.123, -0.1051, -0.095, -0.0706, -0.0536, -0.0908, -0.0726, -0.0763, -0.0864, -0.1048, -0.1187, -0.1027, -0.1065, -0.1125, -0.1392, -0.1154, -0.0653, -0.0656, -0.079, -0.1023, -0.1009, -0.095, -0.1136, -0.1112, -0.1129, -0.1245, -0.1053, -0.1013, -0.0902, -0.0936, -0.0925, -0.0921, -0.1043, -0.0775, -0.0708, -0.0845, -0.0822, -0.0767, -0.0566, -0.0171, -0.0041, 0.0156, -0.0019, 0.0062, 0.0109, 0.0, -0.0048, 0.0169, 0.0064, 0.0031, -0.0031, -0.0007, -0.0007, -0.0015, -0.019, -0.0397, -0.0248, -0.0327, -0.0252, -0.0043, -0.0111, 0.0062, 0.0184, 0.0453, 0.003, -0.0051, -0.0148, -0.0438, -0.0316, -0.0473, -0.0096, -0.0668, -0.0525, -0.0575, -0.0463, -0.0813, -0.0742, -0.0576, -0.0532, -0.0617, -0.0623, -0.0503, -0.0549, -0.0343, -0.0211, -0.0161, -0.0217, -0.0098, -0.013, -0.0073, -0.0196, -0.0445, -0.0508, -0.0396, -0.0759, -0.0703, -0.0305, -0.0334, 0.0055, 0.0227, 0.0361, 0.0572, 0.0292, 0.0454, 0.0314, -0.0406, -0.0232, -0.0414, -0.0612, -0.0832, -0.0978, -0.0628, -0.0807, -0.0874, -0.0672, -0.0591, -0.0329, -0.0428, -0.0674, -0.0822, -0.0716, -0.0971, -0.1391, -0.1196, -0.1415, -0.124, -0.1017, -0.1272, -0.1385, -0.1551, -0.2, -0.2196, -0.2123, -0.2249, -0.2659, -0.2789, -0.252, -0.2598, -0.2329, -0.2264, -0.2295, -0.2685, -0.2259, -0.2074, -0.2192, -0.2425, -0.2319, -0.2145, -0.2202, -0.216, -0.235, -0.2676, -0.2556, -0.27, -0.2758, -0.2534, -0.2501, -0.2592, -0.2575, -0.2607, -0.2602, -0.2616, -0.2506, -0.2584, -0.2481, -0.2378, -0.2044, -0.2057, -0.2262, -0.2286, -0.233, -0.2272]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961524363511173557", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-29T20:20:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we could see a springboard bounce from that level towards $146,000. Hold on, folks. Our time is almost here. By the time you are biting in to the first turkey leg on Thanksgiving, we will be much higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC targeting $146K; expects a springboard bounce from $106,700 by Thanksgiving.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Per @DonnyDicey, I'm keeping a close eye on the $106,700 level as I think we could see a springboard bounce from that level towards $146,000. Hold on, folks. Our time is almost here. By the time you are biting in to the first turkey leg on Thanksgiving, we will be much higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03813243126714094, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03813243126714094, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030666856792259667, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030666856792259667, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007746068972147135, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007746068972147135, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002326522809139364, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002326522809139364, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": 0.02066351041506098, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02066351041506098, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004951269820328674, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004951269820328674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.055248599673680676, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.055248599673680676, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008341463316225983, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008341463316225983, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.1650431766831426, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1650431766831426, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23534894264113704, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23534894264113704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.4039642096431926, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4039642096431926, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4927636503877433, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4927636503877433, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.055248599673680676, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008341463316225983, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008341463316225983, "price_path": [-0.0275, -0.0339, -0.063, -0.0371, 0.0174, 0.017, 0.0025, -0.0229, -0.0214, -0.0149, -0.0351, -0.0325, -0.0344, -0.0471, -0.0261, -0.0218, -0.0097, -0.0134, -0.0122, -0.0118, -0.025, 0.0041, 0.0114, -0.0035, -0.001, 0.005, 0.0269, 0.0699, 0.084, 0.1055, 0.0864, 0.0953, 0.1003, 0.0885, 0.0833, 0.1069, 0.0954, 0.0918, 0.0851, 0.0878, 0.0877, 0.0869, 0.0678, 0.0453, 0.0614, 0.0529, 0.061, 0.0838, 0.0764, 0.0952, 0.1085, 0.1377, 0.0918, 0.0829, 0.0723, 0.0408, 0.0541, 0.037, 0.0781, 0.0158, 0.0313, 0.0259, 0.0381, 0.0, 0.0077, 0.0257, 0.0306, 0.0213, 0.0207, 0.0338, 0.0288, 0.0511, 0.0655, 0.0709, 0.0649, 0.0778, 0.0743, 0.0805, 0.0671, 0.04, 0.0332, 0.0454, 0.0059, 0.012, 0.0552, 0.0521, 0.0944, 0.1132, 0.1278, 0.1507, 0.1203, 0.1378, 0.1226, 0.0443, 0.0633, 0.0434, 0.0219, -0.0021, -0.0179, 0.0201, 0.0006, -0.0067, 0.0153, 0.0242, 0.0527, 0.0419, 0.0152, -0.001, 0.0106, -0.0172, -0.0629, -0.0417, -0.0656, -0.0465, -0.0223, -0.0499, -0.0622, -0.0804, -0.1293, -0.1505, -0.1426, -0.1563, -0.2009, -0.2151, -0.1858, -0.1943, -0.165, -0.158, -0.1613, -0.2038, -0.1574, -0.1373, -0.1501, -0.1755, -0.1639, -0.145, -0.1512, -0.1467, -0.1673, -0.2028, -0.1897, -0.2054, -0.2117, -0.1873, -0.1838, -0.1937, -0.1919, -0.1953, -0.1947, -0.1962, -0.1843, -0.1928, -0.1815, -0.1703, -0.134, -0.1354, -0.1578, -0.1604, -0.1651, -0.1588, -0.1207, -0.1059, -0.1186, -0.1189, -0.1463, -0.1854, -0.1756, -0.1748, -0.1744, -0.1858, -0.1781, -0.1773, -0.22, -0.224, -0.2742, -0.3023, -0.3265, -0.4216, -0.3492, -0.3532, -0.3654, -0.3821, -0.3892, -0.3648, -0.365, -0.3774, -0.3873, -0.3824, -0.3727, -0.404]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1954635377144422573", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-10T20:06:03+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "So incredibly bearish. Stop this madness immediately.", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastic dismissal of bearish framing; author is actually bullish on Bitcoin breakout to $137K target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Washigorira So incredibly bearish. Stop this madness immediately.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin BREAKOUT 🚀\n\nAB = CD pattern targets $137K 🎯📈 https://t.co/GejNlTf8tq", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Washigorira", "ret_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1262, -0.1284, -0.1105, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0594, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.082, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.1241, -0.1082, -0.112, -0.1179, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0846, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1005, -0.119, -0.1166, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.0958, -0.0991, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0831, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0094, -0.008, 0.0001, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0092, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0076, -0.025, -0.0456, -0.0308, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0104, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0031, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0497, -0.0375, -0.0532, -0.0156, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.0521, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.059, -0.0674, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0606, -0.0402, -0.0272, -0.0221, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0191, -0.0134, -0.0256, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0007, 0.0164, 0.0298, 0.0507, 0.0229, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.0669, -0.0888, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.073, -0.0648, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0731, -0.0878, -0.0773, -0.1026, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1468, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1325, -0.1438, -0.1603, -0.2049, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2296, -0.2704, -0.2833, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2376, -0.2312, -0.2342, -0.273, -0.2306, -0.2123, -0.2239, -0.2471, -0.2366, -0.2193, -0.225, -0.2208, -0.2397, -0.2721, -0.2601, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2647, -0.2661, -0.2552, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2377, -0.2319, -0.1972, -0.1836, -0.1952, -0.1955, -0.2205, -0.2562, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2462, -0.2566, -0.2495, -0.2489, -0.2878, -0.2914, -0.3373, -0.363]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1961526064221757913", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-29T20:27:11+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm up to over 15,000 Nov calls", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds over 15,000 November call options on IBIT; sustained bullish position.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@scale_bar @DonnyDicey Same. I'm up to over 15,000 Nov calls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @DonnyDicey Added a few more IBIT Nov and Jan calls today.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "scale_bar", "ret_m1d": -0.024297325144264303, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024297325144264303, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03176289961914558, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03176289961914558, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012704450080231577, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012704450080231577, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007284903917223806, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007284903917223806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": 0.003970144436297174, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003970144436297174, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011742096158435134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011742096158435134, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.05986972478931629, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05986972478931629, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0129625884318616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0129625884318616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.18135622935144458, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18135622935144458, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.251661995309439, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.251661995309439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.37700494232580095, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37700494232580095, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46580438307035166, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46580438307035166, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05986972478931629, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0129625884318616, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0129625884318616, "price_path": [-0.081, -0.0589, -0.0191, -0.0108, -0.0179, -0.036, -0.0513, -0.0186, -0.0551, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.0683, -0.0683, -0.0462, -0.0269, -0.0291, -0.0357, -0.0279, -0.0497, -0.0087, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0249, -0.0183, 0.0097, 0.0243, 0.0673, 0.0827, 0.0507, 0.0772, 0.0743, 0.0589, 0.0534, 0.077, 0.0686, 0.0745, 0.0538, 0.0656, 0.0594, 0.054, 0.0532, 0.0199, 0.0354, 0.0251, 0.0403, 0.0613, 0.0502, 0.0742, 0.0791, 0.1091, 0.0645, 0.0551, 0.0489, 0.0194, 0.0306, 0.0114, 0.0521, -0.0014, 0.0021, 0.0108, 0.0097, -0.0243, -0.0243, 0.0, 0.0127, -0.0098, 0.0071, 0.0116, 0.004, 0.0248, 0.0327, 0.0542, 0.0402, 0.054, 0.0429, 0.06, 0.0381, 0.0108, 0.007, 0.023, -0.0138, -0.0164, 0.0318, 0.0322, 0.0599, 0.0921, 0.1086, 0.1321, 0.0978, 0.1126, 0.0916, 0.0513, 0.0451, 0.0149, 0.0032, -0.0245, -0.0397, -0.0006, 0.0083, -0.0279, -0.0065, -0.0022, 0.0367, 0.0241, -0.0035, -0.0408, -0.0106, -0.0387, -0.0919, -0.0643, -0.0907, -0.065, -0.0441, -0.0734, -0.0854, -0.1172, -0.1508, -0.1726, -0.1637, -0.1944, -0.2225, -0.2382, -0.1969, -0.213, -0.1896, -0.1896, -0.1814, -0.2298, -0.1795, -0.1625, -0.1661, -0.195, -0.1818, -0.1607, -0.1664, -0.1726, -0.1869, -0.2273, -0.2106, -0.2265, -0.2384, -0.2074, -0.2045, -0.2115, -0.2145, -0.2145, -0.2122, -0.2158, -0.2087, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.191, -0.151, -0.1671, -0.1815, -0.1818, -0.1875, -0.1763, -0.1493, -0.1196, -0.1424, -0.1386, -0.1386, -0.1939, -0.1883, -0.1953, -0.1949, -0.2115, -0.196, -0.1979, -0.2441, -0.2458, -0.2978, -0.3124, -0.3398, -0.4267, -0.3699, -0.363, -0.3811, -0.3919, -0.4116, -0.3811, -0.3811, -0.3903, -0.4038, -0.3954, -0.3899, -0.4196, -0.4199, -0.377]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938283411275452653", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-26T17:09:11+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher we go", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on IREN and CIFR; expects institutional catch-up to drive prices higher over the coming weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson Exactly. This feels like May 2024. It will take weeks for institutional investors to get fully caught up on what’s happening here. Higher we go.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "No details in the WSJ story about price or how much cash/stock $CRWV intends to pay for $CORZ\n\nJust that they’re looking to complete the deal in the “coming weeks”\n\nNow what are the next pieces on the chessboard to focus on? $IREN $CIFR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.09458427182235674, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09458427182235674, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0868211988997385, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.087246981464567, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007337290357789739, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06788713704271188, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06788713704271188, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06291881474936645, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0649908027856474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028963342570644812, "ret_p1w": 0.2829900942260801, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2829900942260801, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.260975608522223, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.25595779076032277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027032303465757357, "ret_p1m": 0.351639952509782, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.351639952509782, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31040573173134045, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3197805748824287, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03185937762735325, "ret_p3m": 2.186117585936715, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.186117585936715, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.099205783364919, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.1446621796555423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.041455406281172946, "ret_p6m": 2.0450037539560935, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.0450037539560935, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.9263125807589119, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.9826262391022917, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06237751485380172, "ret_p1y": 3.6414950471130405, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.6414950471130405, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.3973866406423303, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.5949355071395734, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "bench_c_p1y": 0.046559539973466846, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.351639952509782, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.31040573173134045, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3197805748824287, "price_path": [-0.5355, -0.4935, -0.4844, -0.5393, -0.5469, -0.5515, -0.5957, -0.55, -0.5812, -0.5706, -0.5614, -0.5843, -0.5828, -0.5736, -0.5736, -0.5797, -0.5378, -0.5347, -0.5195, -0.5011, -0.5126, -0.5217, -0.5339, -0.5141, -0.5019, -0.5278, -0.5042, -0.4989, -0.4744, -0.463, -0.4272, -0.3806, -0.3921, -0.4088, -0.3585, -0.3486, -0.3432, -0.3219, -0.2921, -0.3043, -0.3043, -0.2952, -0.3242, -0.344, -0.36, -0.3341, -0.3219, -0.2807, -0.3173, -0.2563, -0.2113, -0.1998, -0.2143, -0.2243, -0.2502, -0.2067, -0.2548, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2014, -0.1869, -0.1198, -0.0946, 0.0, 0.0679, 0.1114, 0.1617, 0.1945, 0.283, 0.283, 0.2929, 0.2883, 0.2937, 0.299, 0.238, 0.3181, 0.2876, 0.3204, 0.3768, 0.3684, 0.3844, 0.418, 0.4485, 0.3837, 0.3516, 0.2647, 0.2044, 0.2311, 0.2288, 0.1747, 0.2571, 0.2548, 0.3974, 0.4165, 0.4073, 0.3707, 0.36, 0.3524, 0.4554, 0.5019, 0.5793, 0.4287, 0.5072, 0.4943, 0.6346, 0.7635, 0.7536, 0.7052, 0.7574, 1.0198, 1.0198, 1.2204, 1.1518, 0.9931, 0.9947, 0.9977, 1.3028, 1.5652, 1.5057, 1.5904, 1.833, 1.7803, 1.8909, 1.7704, 1.9474, 2.196, 2.1861, 2.5957, 2.5309, 2.193, 2.5034, 2.5797, 2.5912, 2.5866, 2.849, 3.405, 3.7048, 3.5835, 3.8703, 3.5591, 3.8924, 4.3059, 4.1854, 3.7162, 3.6316, 3.5172, 3.2101, 2.9535, 3.2609, 3.7979, 3.9573, 3.7613, 3.6087, 3.4409, 3.6339, 4.1678, 4.0824, 4.8284, 4.1076, 3.7582, 3.5896, 3.3768, 3.2487, 2.7109, 2.537, 2.6163, 2.7262, 2.4958, 2.3158, 2.2235, 2.6987, 2.6209, 2.6957, 2.6957, 2.6468, 2.6987, 2.1365, 2.3532, 2.5431, 2.4104, 2.5347, 2.5728, 2.3501, 2.3516, 2.061, 1.7063, 1.791, 1.5767, 1.7307, 2.045]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938283411275452653", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-26T17:09:11+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher we go", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on IREN and CIFR; expects institutional catch-up to drive prices higher over the coming weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson Exactly. This feels like May 2024. It will take weeks for institutional investors to get fully caught up on what’s happening here. Higher we go.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "No details in the WSJ story about price or how much cash/stock $CRWV intends to pay for $CORZ\n\nJust that they’re looking to complete the deal in the “coming weeks”\n\nNow what are the next pieces on the chessboard to focus on? $IREN $CIFR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.08114562003453485, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08114562003453485, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07338254711191661, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07429484666112385, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006850773373411001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0167064846552325, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0167064846552325, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011738162361887072, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017901421797164474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011949371419319732, "ret_p1w": 0.4439141069483139, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4439141069483139, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4218996212444568, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.420454629821136, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023459477127177886, "ret_p1m": 0.5441526734688606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5441526734688606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5029184526904191, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5006589531662622, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04349372030259846, "ret_p3m": 2.3770881683273837, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.3770881683273837, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.290176365755588, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.2595507444466634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11753742388072008, "ret_p6m": 2.8687348121961516, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.8687348121961516, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.75004363899897, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.7153844641895715, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15335034800657987, "ret_p1y": 5.212410580231151, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.212410580231151, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.968302173760441, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.678440953102981, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5339696271281706, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5441526734688606, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5029184526904191, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5006589531662622, "price_path": [-0.4511, -0.4129, -0.3675, -0.4487, -0.4988, -0.4678, -0.4964, -0.4129, -0.4702, -0.4224, -0.4177, -0.4463, -0.4451, -0.4344, -0.4344, -0.4415, -0.3461, -0.3174, -0.284, -0.2649, -0.2697, -0.2649, -0.3198, -0.2566, -0.2458, -0.2888, -0.2745, -0.2792, -0.2554, -0.2888, -0.2482, -0.1814, -0.21, -0.2434, -0.0788, -0.0907, -0.0979, -0.1635, -0.148, -0.1718, -0.1718, -0.148, -0.2005, -0.2243, -0.2554, -0.2243, -0.1802, -0.1074, -0.1575, -0.0692, -0.0119, -0.031, -0.0263, -0.0835, -0.1122, -0.0621, -0.1217, -0.0907, -0.0907, -0.0955, -0.1575, -0.0811, -0.0811, 0.0, 0.0167, 0.1408, 0.1695, 0.3556, 0.4439, 0.4439, 0.3819, 0.4391, 0.494, 0.4893, 0.401, 0.4391, 0.4248, 0.4964, 0.5322, 0.5179, 0.4916, 0.6563, 0.5943, 0.5871, 0.5442, 0.4702, 0.3556, 0.3007, 0.3031, 0.1766, 0.2387, 0.1957, 0.2434, 0.1623, 0.1337, 0.136, 0.1265, 0.1695, 0.2697, 0.2434, 0.4439, 0.3747, 0.42, 0.4081, 0.5227, 0.5847, 0.6993, 0.6683, 0.6754, 0.8234, 0.8234, 0.9857, 0.9356, 0.7661, 0.7947, 0.8425, 1.2005, 1.4463, 1.3795, 1.5895, 1.5895, 1.747, 1.9547, 1.8282, 1.9308, 2.3317, 2.3771, 2.3747, 1.7828, 1.7375, 2.0191, 2.0048, 2.0072, 2.2959, 2.5084, 2.6611, 2.7589, 3.2005, 3.2936, 3.0501, 3.8544, 3.9857, 4.0191, 3.4678, 3.4773, 3.7518, 3.3138, 2.8449, 3.1181, 3.9308, 3.9021, 3.7637, 3.6754, 3.5513, 3.4511, 4.432, 4.3723, 4.8974, 4.1814, 3.9379, 3.6897, 3.4558, 3.148, 2.5632, 2.4272, 2.4248, 2.4797, 2.4893, 2.4749, 2.3771, 2.9881, 3.1814, 3.5704, 3.5704, 3.8568, 3.6993, 3.21, 3.4463, 3.7327, 3.6014, 3.6492, 3.6683, 3.4105, 3.506, 3.0692, 2.5179, 2.5776, 2.4344, 2.6158, 2.8687]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958924482644779525", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-22T16:09:26+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ethereum's price action today screaming that all of crypto is about to go vertical", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish on ETH and BTC; ETH price action signals crypto going vertical with BTC breakout imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ethereum’s price action today screaming that all of crypto is about to go vertical. Bitcoin’s next major breakout is nearly upon us.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1258734813183997, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1258734813183997, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11074900792080444, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11074900792080444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09487223437587489, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09487223437587489, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09047130955049898, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09047130955049898, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": -0.09752883440890292, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09752883440890292, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09712594226876148, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09712594226876148, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.13008193760597953, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13008193760597953, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16631076771832742, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16631076771832742, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.37428013779634595, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.37428013779634595, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4039668717047832, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4039668717047832, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.5864679044189953, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5864679044189953, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.648996324667725, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.648996324667725, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09752883440890292, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09712594226876148, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09712594226876148, "price_path": [-0.4488, -0.4448, -0.4551, -0.4763, -0.4604, -0.4632, -0.4601, -0.4999, -0.4873, -0.445, -0.4177, -0.4259, -0.4511, -0.4661, -0.4741, -0.4803, -0.4775, -0.4781, -0.5017, -0.4987, -0.4933, -0.4992, -0.4999, -0.4983, -0.4853, -0.502, -0.4678, -0.4637, -0.4808, -0.4736, -0.4586, -0.4265, -0.3884, -0.3878, -0.3763, -0.3501, -0.3022, -0.2804, -0.2654, -0.2211, -0.224, -0.2487, -0.2325, -0.2285, -0.2161, -0.2148, -0.2118, -0.2348, -0.278, -0.2302, -0.2524, -0.2375, -0.1898, -0.17, -0.1251, -0.0498, -0.0155, -0.0586, -0.081, -0.1074, -0.1569, -0.1028, -0.1259, 0.0, -0.0949, -0.0478, -0.0679, -0.0671, -0.0975, -0.107, -0.1047, -0.0789, -0.1102, -0.1085, -0.1083, -0.1081, -0.0998, -0.0766, -0.024, -0.063, -0.0678, -0.0494, -0.05, -0.0746, -0.1301, -0.1378, -0.1403, -0.1993, -0.1646, -0.1271, -0.1419, -0.0994, -0.0711, -0.0655, -0.0297, -0.0787, -0.0629, -0.0957, -0.2046, -0.1213, -0.1461, -0.1747, -0.1939, -0.2067, -0.1761, -0.1976, -0.2118, -0.2019, -0.1856, -0.1472, -0.1757, -0.1921, -0.2126, -0.2037, -0.2544, -0.3185, -0.2911, -0.3144, -0.289, -0.2614, -0.2931, -0.2936, -0.3309, -0.3576, -0.374, -0.3536, -0.3743, -0.4139, -0.4276, -0.3888, -0.3878, -0.3733, -0.376, -0.3724, -0.4204, -0.3795, -0.3394, -0.3513, -0.374, -0.3531, -0.3126, -0.3117, -0.33, -0.3616, -0.3865, -0.3865, -0.414, -0.4148, -0.3836, -0.3778, -0.3866, -0.3903, -0.399, -0.3944, -0.3926, -0.385, -0.3859, -0.379, -0.3533, -0.3323, -0.3178, -0.3445, -0.3575, -0.3619, -0.3599, -0.3124, -0.3056, -0.3134, -0.3179, -0.3404, -0.3924, -0.3834, -0.3895, -0.3887, -0.3943, -0.3745, -0.3777, -0.4167, -0.4407, -0.5148, -0.5389, -0.5563, -0.6229, -0.5729, -0.5646, -0.582, -0.5983, -0.597, -0.576, -0.5865]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958924482644779525", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-22T16:09:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin's next major breakout is nearly upon us", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish on ETH and BTC; ETH price action signals crypto going vertical with BTC breakout imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ethereum’s price action today screaming that all of crypto is about to go vertical. Bitcoin’s next major breakout is nearly upon us.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0724134005593493, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07201050841920786, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07201050841920786, "price_path": [-0.0674, -0.0776, -0.0961, -0.1102, -0.0941, -0.0979, -0.1039, -0.1309, -0.1068, -0.0563, -0.0566, -0.0701, -0.0936, -0.0923, -0.0862, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.1043, -0.1161, -0.0967, -0.0927, -0.0814, -0.0848, -0.0837, -0.0833, -0.0956, -0.0686, -0.0618, -0.0756, -0.0734, -0.0678, -0.0475, -0.0076, 0.0055, 0.0255, 0.0077, 0.016, 0.0207, 0.0097, 0.0048, 0.0267, 0.0161, 0.0128, 0.0065, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0082, -0.0095, -0.0304, -0.0154, -0.0234, -0.0158, 0.0053, -0.0016, 0.0159, 0.0282, 0.0554, 0.0127, 0.0045, -0.0053, -0.0346, -0.0222, -0.0381, 0.0, -0.0578, -0.0434, -0.0484, -0.037, -0.0724, -0.0652, -0.0485, -0.0441, -0.0526, -0.0532, -0.0411, -0.0457, -0.025, -0.0117, -0.0066, -0.0122, -0.0003, -0.0035, 0.0023, -0.0101, -0.0353, -0.0416, -0.0303, -0.067, -0.0613, -0.0212, -0.0241, 0.0152, 0.0326, 0.0461, 0.0674, 0.0392, 0.0555, 0.0413, -0.0313, -0.0137, -0.0321, -0.0521, -0.0743, -0.089, -0.0538, -0.0718, -0.0786, -0.0582, -0.05, -0.0236, -0.0335, -0.0583, -0.0733, -0.0626, -0.0884, -0.1308, -0.1111, -0.1332, -0.1155, -0.0931, -0.1187, -0.1301, -0.147, -0.1923, -0.212, -0.2047, -0.2174, -0.2588, -0.2719, -0.2447, -0.2527, -0.2255, -0.2189, -0.2221, -0.2614, -0.2184, -0.1998, -0.2116, -0.2352, -0.2245, -0.2069, -0.2126, -0.2085, -0.2276, -0.2606, -0.2484, -0.2629, -0.2688, -0.2462, -0.2429, -0.2521, -0.2504, -0.2536, -0.253, -0.2544, -0.2434, -0.2513, -0.2408, -0.2304, -0.1967, -0.198, -0.2187, -0.2212, -0.2256, -0.2197, -0.1844, -0.1707, -0.1824, -0.1827, -0.2081, -0.2444, -0.2353, -0.2345, -0.2342, -0.2448, -0.2376, -0.2369, -0.2765, -0.2802, -0.3267, -0.3529, -0.3752, -0.4635, -0.3963, -0.4, -0.4114, -0.4268, -0.4334, -0.4108, -0.411]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938947895845089428", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-28T13:09:36+00:00", "symbol": "RIOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Riot can take it down to 50 cents or lower before it recovers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RIOT expected to drop to $0.50 or lower before recovering; BITF bankruptcy rumors dismissed as probably not true.", "resolved_tickers": ["RIOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daknakamoto Probably not but as I’ve said for awhile now Riot can take it down to 50 cents or lower before it recovers", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Is the rumors $bitf going bk this year true?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daknakamoto", "ret_m1d": -0.0663716802956289, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0663716802956289, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.061613251866473595, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05816082493827879, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00821085535735011, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0026548435809575777, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0026548435809575777, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023312292968228343, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008192288816956439, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005537445235998861, "ret_p1w": 0.022123893431876374, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022123893431876374, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01754345285899528, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016204532464255905, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005919360967620468, "ret_p1m": 0.20353983645245322, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20353983645245322, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17536142230427654, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.195329055066773, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00821078138568021, "ret_p3m": 0.48141588394340773, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.48141588394340773, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4133986536801586, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4570504295713158, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02436545437209192, "ret_p6m": 0.20973449960667256, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20973449960667256, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0898739613821824, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14410838748884802, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06562611211782454, "ret_p1y": 1.4274336143521738, "ret_signed_p1y": -1.4274336143521738, "alpha_spy_p1y": -1.21800573144581, "alpha_c_p1y": -1.3829963172148552, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04443729713731859, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.20353983645245322, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17536142230427654, "alpha_c_stated": -0.195329055066773, "price_path": [-0.2903, -0.354, -0.3681, -0.3708, -0.4212, -0.3473, -0.3991, -0.3752, -0.3796, -0.4204, -0.4372, -0.4283, -0.4283, -0.4434, -0.3699, -0.3363, -0.3106, -0.3124, -0.3248, -0.3434, -0.3593, -0.3124, -0.2575, -0.3009, -0.3044, -0.3062, -0.2531, -0.2496, -0.2301, -0.1982, -0.2115, -0.2301, -0.1903, -0.2062, -0.2097, -0.2177, -0.2088, -0.2434, -0.2434, -0.1912, -0.2584, -0.2761, -0.2858, -0.2496, -0.2009, -0.1593, -0.2044, -0.1283, -0.1044, -0.0752, -0.0664, -0.0965, -0.1398, -0.1, -0.1451, -0.1204, -0.1204, -0.154, -0.1796, -0.1133, -0.115, -0.0699, -0.0664, 0.0, -0.0027, 0.0796, 0.077, 0.077, 0.0221, 0.0239, 0.0832, 0.1142, 0.0991, 0.1071, 0.0708, 0.1124, 0.1796, 0.2265, 0.2407, 0.2628, 0.269, 0.3, 0.2867, 0.2841, 0.2035, 0.1965, 0.1867, -0.0239, 0.0106, -0.015, 0.0319, 0.0248, -0.0195, -0.0168, 0.0124, 0.0257, 0.0841, 0.0027, 0.0903, 0.0584, 0.108, 0.0858, 0.1699, 0.1752, 0.2115, 0.1991, 0.2212, 0.2177, 0.2177, 0.2469, 0.1903, 0.1646, 0.1761, 0.1894, 0.346, 0.4513, 0.385, 0.4062, 0.4761, 0.5504, 0.5593, 0.5496, 0.5451, 0.5487, 0.5106, 0.592, 0.4814, 0.5655, 0.7504, 0.6841, 0.6752, 0.7035, 0.7204, 0.908, 0.9, 0.946, 0.9717, 0.8593, 0.9204, 0.9637, 0.9584, 0.7301, 0.7726, 0.9478, 0.8292, 0.6805, 0.8133, 0.8956, 1.0354, 0.9075, 0.9619, 0.8664, 0.7504, 0.8336, 0.7058, 0.6788, 0.5345, 0.5053, 0.5327, 0.4283, 0.3681, 0.2283, 0.2345, 0.2283, 0.2336, 0.1814, 0.131, 0.1248, 0.2283, 0.2735, 0.3239, 0.3239, 0.4274, 0.3699, 0.3469, 0.3841, 0.3796, 0.3221, 0.3239, 0.3726, 0.3779, 0.3938, 0.354, 0.2133, 0.192, 0.1469, 0.1841, 0.2832, 0.2743, 0.2097]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1955984106392785093", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-14T13:25:26+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The stampede has begun. Hold on to your hats.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Google's 8% stake in Terawulf signals a hyperscaler stampede into power/data-center companies; bullish on the sector broadly.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Google took an 8% stake in Terawulf today. For the last year, I couldn’t figure out why Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta weren’t tripping over themselves to buy up these companies while they were really cheap. The stampede has begun. Hold on to your hats.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.3731343267240017, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3731343267240017, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3730413218039266, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3684181267055566, "bench_spy_m1d": -9.300492007513483e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047162000184450825, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02985077241597245, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02985077241597245, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03219197034230714, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.040226324762241084, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0023411979263346927, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010375552346268635, "ret_p1w": 0.05510901723697881, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05510901723697881, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06968380677985775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060957058489551685, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014574789542878941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0058480412525728775, "ret_p1m": 0.23536167413967024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23536167413967024, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21604229409592346, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22045890301407423, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01931938004374678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014902771125596015, "ret_p3m": 0.42020663965355887, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42020663965355887, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35827378308207236, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4131294895608002, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061932856571486505, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007077150092758666, "ret_p6m": 0.640642927585243, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.640642927585243, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5636895850534807, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6101037493481647, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07695334253176234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0305391782370783, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23536167413967024, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21604229409592346, "alpha_c_stated": 0.22045890301407423, "price_path": [-0.5408, -0.5499, -0.5511, -0.5304, -0.5488, -0.5488, -0.5476, -0.5649, -0.5821, -0.5947, -0.5855, -0.566, -0.5132, -0.5603, -0.5006, -0.4799, -0.4811, -0.4937, -0.5109, -0.5385, -0.5029, -0.5465, -0.5591, -0.5591, -0.5706, -0.5901, -0.5591, -0.5637, -0.496, -0.5155, -0.4971, -0.4902, -0.4214, -0.3961, -0.3961, -0.4489, -0.4466, -0.434, -0.411, -0.4386, -0.4133, -0.4409, -0.3972, -0.3846, -0.411, -0.4271, -0.3961, -0.403, -0.3892, -0.4064, -0.4145, -0.4007, -0.4248, -0.4076, -0.4535, -0.4386, -0.4191, -0.4087, -0.4328, -0.4225, -0.38, -0.3984, -0.3731, 0.0, 0.0299, 0.0769, 0.008, 0.0654, 0.0551, 0.0517, 0.0253, 0.0608, 0.0482, 0.0838, 0.085, 0.085, 0.1056, 0.031, 0.0184, 0.0482, 0.0563, 0.1825, 0.2113, 0.2216, 0.2354, 0.2044, 0.256, 0.3031, 0.2824, 0.2606, 0.3192, 0.2905, 0.3088, 0.2595, 0.2434, 0.3318, 0.3111, 0.3169, 0.3295, 0.3685, 0.3743, 0.3892, 0.4122, 0.5603, 0.5511, 0.6073, 0.775, 0.7761, 0.5913, 0.5993, 0.5901, 0.5086, 0.4489, 0.4788, 0.5741, 0.566, 0.8301, 0.6648, 0.7015, 0.7796, 0.8485, 0.7233, 0.7635, 0.6395, 0.6005, 0.6418, 0.4202, 0.4512, 0.341, 0.2618, 0.2687, 0.3777, 0.4041, 0.3272, 0.2962, 0.4501, 0.6005, 0.7038, 0.7038, 0.7807, 0.7566, 0.6326, 0.6567, 0.7336, 0.6648, 0.7176, 0.7899, 0.8094, 0.8175, 0.6452, 0.434, 0.4914, 0.3284, 0.3536, 0.4374, 0.4317, 0.4259, 0.4133, 0.4133, 0.349, 0.3111, 0.2801, 0.3192, 0.3192, 0.4627, 0.5637, 0.5132, 0.434, 0.4742, 0.504, 0.5855, 0.6234, 0.6315, 0.5878, 0.5901, 0.5901, 0.5304, 0.5063, 0.4799, 0.6211, 0.5832, 0.7577, 0.7348, 0.6693, 0.535, 0.5431, 0.6992, 0.5936, 0.3685, 0.6406]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1955984106392785093", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-14T13:25:26+00:00", "symbol": "data center power", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "why Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta weren't tripping over themselves to buy up these companies while they were really cheap", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Google's 8% stake in Terawulf signals a hyperscaler stampede into power/data-center companies; bullish on the sector broadly.", "resolved_tickers": ["VRT", "ETN", "VST", "CEG"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Data center power basket: Vertiv, Eaton, Vistra, Constellation; EATON dropped", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Google took an 8% stake in Terawulf today. For the last year, I couldn’t figure out why Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta weren’t tripping over themselves to buy up these companies while they were really cheap. The stampede has begun. Hold on to your hats.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015596997228538911, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015596997228538911, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015690002148614046, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015690002148614046, "bench_spy_m1d": -9.300492007513483e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -9.300492007513483e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011080095508406912, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011080095508406912, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00873889758207222, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00873889758207222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0023411979263346927, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0023411979263346927, "ret_p1w": -0.04316422604840672, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04316422604840672, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028589436505527782, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028589436505527782, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014574789542878941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014574789542878941, "ret_p1m": 0.0192676497292929, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0192676497292929, "alpha_spy_p1m": -5.1730314453879434e-05, "alpha_c_p1m": -5.1730314453879434e-05, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01931938004374678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01931938004374678, "ret_p3m": 0.08903250583812777, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08903250583812777, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027099649266641268, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027099649266641268, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061932856571486505, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061932856571486505, "ret_p6m": 0.01927617871653642, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.01927617871653642, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05767716381522592, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05767716381522592, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07695334253176234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07695334253176234, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0192676497292929, "alpha_spy_stated": -5.1730314453879434e-05, "alpha_c_stated": -5.1730314453879434e-05, "price_path": [-0.1487, -0.1511, -0.1707, -0.1638, -0.1551, -0.1551, -0.1235, -0.129, -0.1378, -0.1389, -0.1233, -0.1023, -0.1149, -0.1262, -0.1065, -0.1214, -0.1416, -0.1331, -0.1074, -0.1216, -0.0883, -0.0944, -0.0817, -0.0817, -0.0815, -0.0744, -0.0525, -0.0585, -0.0397, -0.0258, -0.0203, -0.0549, -0.048, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0269, -0.0372, -0.0188, -0.039, -0.025, -0.0213, -0.0254, -0.045, -0.0244, -0.006, -0.0234, -0.0249, 0.0078, 0.0061, 0.023, 0.0385, 0.0409, 0.0662, 0.069, 0.053, 0.071, 0.0343, 0.0226, 0.0283, 0.0265, 0.0186, 0.0453, 0.0156, 0.0, -0.0111, -0.0017, -0.0283, -0.0362, -0.0432, -0.0443, -0.0475, -0.0268, -0.0258, -0.0084, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0588, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0567, -0.0626, -0.0477, 0.017, 0.0056, 0.0193, 0.0426, 0.0257, 0.0179, 0.0365, 0.0499, 0.089, 0.0395, 0.0394, 0.0203, 0.0294, 0.0302, 0.043, 0.0866, 0.0952, 0.0913, 0.102, 0.0827, 0.1212, 0.138, 0.105, 0.1535, 0.1472, 0.1801, 0.1645, 0.1368, 0.1217, 0.0988, 0.0761, 0.1253, 0.1638, 0.178, 0.1554, 0.2036, 0.1635, 0.1547, 0.1619, 0.1153, 0.1449, 0.1097, 0.1144, 0.1322, 0.089, 0.0801, 0.0286, 0.0472, 0.033, 0.0263, 0.0622, 0.0135, 0.004, 0.0406, 0.0392, 0.0605, 0.0605, 0.0846, 0.0687, 0.0695, 0.0644, 0.0848, 0.0784, 0.073, 0.0577, 0.0752, 0.0914, 0.0196, 0.023, 0.0316, -0.0344, -0.0026, 0.0007, 0.015, 0.0196, 0.0237, 0.0237, 0.0209, 0.0153, 0.0125, 0.0019, 0.0019, 0.0486, 0.0303, 0.0477, 0.0032, -0.0359, 0.0071, 0.0251, 0.0292, 0.0194, 0.0464, 0.0194, 0.0194, -0.0098, 0.0055, -0.0029, -0.0013, -0.0075, 0.0233, 0.0373, 0.0406, 0.0113, 0.0116, 0.0106, -0.0288, -0.0471, 0.0193]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1945151758449168785", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-15T16:01:33+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IBIT will be $100 by Thanksgiving", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "IBIT to $100 by Thanksgiving; author so confident he's backing it with a public stunt.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IBIT will be $100 by Thanksgiving otherwise I will eat 100 hot dogs in one sitting without puking. If I puke at any point, I will give all my followers who like and retweet this .1 Bitcoin and an all expenses paid trip to El Salvador and Bhutan.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030531991101192757, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030531991101192757, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02624044020423244, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02624044020423244, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025241808895209328, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025241808895209328, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02189853551067089, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02189853551067089, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "ret_p1w": 0.02509062788437455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02509062788437455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014289191541519752, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014289191541519752, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "ret_p1m": 0.05562261898556731, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05562261898556731, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019055312162145288, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019055312162145288, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "ret_p3m": 0.000604493408692397, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.000604493408692397, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05194059515358296, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05194059515358296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "ret_p6m": -0.22097947305518484, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22097947305518484, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3357367244271867, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3357367244271867, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05562261898556731, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019055312162145288, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019055312162145288, "price_path": [-0.2706, -0.2706, -0.2485, -0.2128, -0.1959, -0.195, -0.1797, -0.1856, -0.1805, -0.1912, -0.1694, -0.1658, -0.1894, -0.1843, -0.1735, -0.1291, -0.1134, -0.1252, -0.0989, -0.1122, -0.1132, -0.1052, -0.0933, -0.0794, -0.0661, -0.0443, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.0553, -0.0812, -0.0933, -0.1013, -0.1028, -0.0871, -0.0985, -0.1253, -0.1043, -0.0664, -0.0585, -0.0653, -0.0825, -0.097, -0.0659, -0.1007, -0.1087, -0.1087, -0.1132, -0.1132, -0.0922, -0.0738, -0.0759, -0.0822, -0.0748, -0.0955, -0.0565, -0.06, -0.06, -0.0719, -0.0656, -0.039, -0.0251, 0.0159, 0.0305, 0.0, 0.0252, 0.0225, 0.0079, 0.0026, 0.0251, 0.0171, 0.0227, 0.003, 0.0142, 0.0083, 0.0032, 0.0024, -0.0293, -0.0145, -0.0243, -0.0098, 0.0101, -0.0005, 0.0224, 0.0271, 0.0556, 0.0131, 0.0042, -0.0017, -0.0298, -0.019, -0.0373, 0.0014, -0.0496, -0.0463, -0.0379, -0.039, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0482, -0.0361, -0.0576, -0.0414, -0.0372, -0.0444, -0.0246, -0.0171, 0.0033, -0.01, 0.0032, -0.0074, 0.0089, -0.0119, -0.0379, -0.0416, -0.0263, -0.0614, -0.0638, -0.018, -0.0175, 0.0088, 0.0394, 0.0552, 0.0775, 0.0449, 0.0589, 0.039, 0.0006, -0.0053, -0.034, -0.0452, -0.0715, -0.086, -0.0488, -0.0404, -0.0748, -0.0544, -0.0503, -0.0133, -0.0252, -0.0515, -0.0871, -0.0583, -0.0851, -0.1357, -0.1094, -0.1345, -0.11, -0.0902, -0.118, -0.1295, -0.1598, -0.1917, -0.2125, -0.2041, -0.2332, -0.26, -0.2749, -0.2356, -0.2509, -0.2287, -0.2287, -0.2208, -0.2669, -0.219, -0.2028, -0.2063, -0.2338, -0.2213, -0.2012, -0.2066, -0.2125, -0.2261, -0.2645, -0.2486, -0.2638, -0.2751, -0.2456, -0.2429, -0.2495, -0.2524, -0.2524, -0.2502, -0.2536, -0.2468, -0.2495, -0.2495, -0.23, -0.192, -0.2072, -0.221]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1953473309800034327", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-07T15:08:25+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN: $4B valuation\n\nValue investing is hard!", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IREN trading at $4B vs Nebius at $16B despite higher revenue and more power capacity; implied undervaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nebius: $100M quarterly revenue\n\nIREN: $86M monthly revenue\n\nNebius: Securing 1GW of power by end of 2026\n\nIREN: nearly 3GW of announced power today \n\nNebius: $16B valuation\n\nIREN: $4B valuation \n\nValue investing is hard!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013462574265398541, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013462574265398541, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014300912838225988, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024753358681639637, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008383385728274462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011290784416241095, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0064619781290686795, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0064619781290686795, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01425943459285528, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01580601056694131, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007797456463786601, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00934403243787263, "ret_p1w": 0.027463663826768014, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027463663826768014, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007376724144198654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004461786620268526, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02008693968256936, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03192545044703654, "ret_p1m": 0.40818524761843333, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40818524761843333, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.38447643933394215, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.37509189680769395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02370880828449118, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033093350810739386, "ret_p3m": 2.588045145309771, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.588045145309771, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.5170890430560857, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5642458290069543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07095610225368532, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02379931630281673, "ret_p6m": 1.8939150544760142, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.8939150544760142, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.7931814862634234, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.8465466536654596, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10073356821259072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0473684008105546, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.40818524761843333, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.38447643933394215, "alpha_c_stated": 0.37509189680769395, "price_path": [-0.5956, -0.5627, -0.5708, -0.5827, -0.5471, -0.5401, -0.5363, -0.5213, -0.5003, -0.5089, -0.5089, -0.5024, -0.5229, -0.5369, -0.5482, -0.5299, -0.5213, -0.4922, -0.518, -0.475, -0.4432, -0.4351, -0.4453, -0.4523, -0.4707, -0.44, -0.4739, -0.4723, -0.4723, -0.4362, -0.426, -0.3786, -0.3608, -0.294, -0.2461, -0.2154, -0.1799, -0.1567, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.0872, -0.0905, -0.0867, -0.0829, -0.126, -0.0695, -0.091, -0.0679, -0.028, -0.0339, -0.0226, 0.0011, 0.0226, -0.0232, -0.0458, -0.1072, -0.1497, -0.1309, -0.1325, -0.1707, -0.1125, -0.1142, -0.0135, 0.0, -0.0065, -0.0323, -0.0398, -0.0452, 0.0275, 0.0603, 0.115, 0.0086, 0.0641, 0.0549, 0.154, 0.245, 0.238, 0.2038, 0.2407, 0.426, 0.426, 0.5676, 0.5191, 0.4071, 0.4082, 0.4103, 0.6257, 0.811, 0.769, 0.8288, 1.0, 0.9628, 1.0409, 0.9558, 1.0808, 1.2563, 1.2493, 1.5385, 1.4927, 1.2542, 1.4733, 1.5272, 1.5353, 1.532, 1.7173, 2.1099, 2.3215, 2.2359, 2.4383, 2.2186, 2.454, 2.7458, 2.6607, 2.3296, 2.2698, 2.189, 1.9723, 1.7911, 2.0081, 2.3872, 2.4997, 2.3613, 2.2536, 2.1352, 2.2714, 2.6484, 2.588, 3.1147, 2.6058, 2.3592, 2.2402, 2.0899, 1.9995, 1.6198, 1.497, 1.553, 1.6306, 1.468, 1.3409, 1.2757, 1.6112, 1.5563, 1.609, 1.609, 1.5746, 1.6112, 1.2143, 1.3673, 1.5013, 1.4076, 1.4954, 1.5223, 1.3651, 1.3662, 1.161, 0.9106, 0.9704, 0.8191, 0.9278, 1.1497, 1.2639, 1.2655, 1.2606, 1.2606, 1.1702, 1.1222, 1.0625, 1.0339, 1.0339, 1.2994, 1.5977, 1.4723, 1.3492, 1.4599, 1.4787, 1.7103, 1.8535, 1.8476, 1.7943, 2.1136, 2.1136, 1.9219, 1.8799, 1.8142, 2.0522, 1.8196, 2.2305, 2.3893, 2.2224, 1.8939]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1946651533225107477", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-19T19:21:07+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The real Bitcoin bull market hasn't even started yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; claims the real bull market has not yet begun.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The real Bitcoin bull market hasn’t even started yet. If you don’t understand this, you are in for a very rude wake up call in the near future.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05679834839361009, "price_path": [-0.2022, -0.2001, -0.1935, -0.1913, -0.1972, -0.1978, -0.1784, -0.1748, -0.1932, -0.1757, -0.1738, -0.1209, -0.1232, -0.1245, -0.113, -0.1184, -0.1166, -0.1188, -0.1008, -0.0907, -0.0661, -0.0491, -0.0864, -0.0681, -0.0719, -0.0821, -0.1005, -0.1145, -0.0984, -0.1022, -0.1082, -0.1351, -0.1111, -0.0608, -0.0612, -0.0745, -0.098, -0.0966, -0.0906, -0.1093, -0.1069, -0.1086, -0.1203, -0.101, -0.097, -0.0858, -0.0892, -0.0881, -0.0877, -0.1, -0.0731, -0.0663, -0.0801, -0.0778, -0.0723, -0.0521, -0.0124, 0.0007, 0.0205, 0.0029, 0.0111, 0.0158, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0112, 0.0079, 0.0017, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0033, -0.0143, -0.0351, -0.0202, -0.0281, -0.0205, 0.0005, -0.0064, 0.011, 0.0233, 0.0503, 0.0078, -0.0004, -0.0101, -0.0392, -0.0269, -0.0427, -0.0048, -0.0623, -0.048, -0.0529, -0.0417, -0.0769, -0.0697, -0.0531, -0.0487, -0.0572, -0.0578, -0.0457, -0.0503, -0.0297, -0.0165, -0.0114, -0.017, -0.0051, -0.0083, -0.0026, -0.0149, -0.0399, -0.0462, -0.035, -0.0714, -0.0658, -0.0259, -0.0288, 0.0103, 0.0276, 0.0411, 0.0623, 0.0342, 0.0504, 0.0363, -0.036, -0.0185, -0.0368, -0.0567, -0.0788, -0.0934, -0.0583, -0.0763, -0.083, -0.0628, -0.0545, -0.0283, -0.0382, -0.0629, -0.0778, -0.0671, -0.0927, -0.135, -0.1154, -0.1374, -0.1198, -0.0974, -0.123, -0.1343, -0.1511, -0.1962, -0.2158, -0.2085, -0.2212, -0.2623, -0.2755, -0.2484, -0.2563, -0.2292, -0.2227, -0.2258, -0.265, -0.2222, -0.2036, -0.2154, -0.2389, -0.2282, -0.2107, -0.2164, -0.2123, -0.2313, -0.2641, -0.252, -0.2665, -0.2723, -0.2498, -0.2465, -0.2557, -0.254, -0.2572, -0.2566, -0.258, -0.247, -0.2549, -0.2444, -0.2341, -0.2006, -0.2019, -0.2225, -0.2249, -0.2293, -0.2235, -0.1883]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1944628724055658675", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-14T05:23:11+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$122,000 US AMERICAN RAPIDLY DEBASING DOLLARS PER 1 BITCOIN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; implies USD debasement drives Bitcoin to $122,000.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$122,000  US AMERICAN RAPIDLY DEBASING DOLLARS PER 1 BITCOIN. ���🇸", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1947389529591320939", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-21T20:13:39+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought more Nov $90s", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought more IBIT Nov $90 calls; bullish on Bitcoin ETF near-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@scale_bar I bought more Nov $90s", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Great day to pick up more Dec/Jan IBIT 100 calls", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "scale_bar", "ret_m1d": -0.02196988897779728, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02196988897779728, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021826714040692696, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021826714040692696, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0001431749371045843, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0001431749371045843, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007814785928660584, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007814785928660584, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016322164148268925, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016322164148268925, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008507378219608341, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008507378219608341, "ret_p1w": -0.016366862508792823, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016366862508792823, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02654396077969301, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02654396077969301, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010177098270900187, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010177098270900187, "ret_p1m": -0.04305511916963567, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04305511916963567, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05776425864704804, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05776425864704804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01470913947741237, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01470913947741237, "ret_p3m": -0.108375088575561, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.108375088575561, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16780318762357038, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16780318762357038, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059428099048009386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059428099048009386, "ret_p6m": -0.1825420395727314, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1825420395727314, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28663434040182134, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28663434040182134, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10409230082908993, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10409230082908993, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04305511916963567, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05776425864704804, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05776425864704804, "price_path": [-0.2147, -0.1998, -0.2055, -0.2005, -0.211, -0.1898, -0.1862, -0.2092, -0.2042, -0.1937, -0.1504, -0.1351, -0.1466, -0.1209, -0.1339, -0.1349, -0.1271, -0.1155, -0.1019, -0.0889, -0.0677, -0.0883, -0.0883, -0.0784, -0.1037, -0.1155, -0.1233, -0.1247, -0.1094, -0.1206, -0.1467, -0.1262, -0.0892, -0.0815, -0.0882, -0.105, -0.1191, -0.0888, -0.1227, -0.1305, -0.1305, -0.1349, -0.1349, -0.1144, -0.0965, -0.0985, -0.1047, -0.0975, -0.1177, -0.0796, -0.083, -0.083, -0.0947, -0.0885, -0.0625, -0.049, -0.009, 0.0053, -0.0245, 0.0001, -0.0025, -0.0168, -0.022, 0.0, -0.0078, -0.0024, -0.0215, -0.0106, -0.0164, -0.0214, -0.0221, -0.0531, -0.0386, -0.0482, -0.0341, -0.0146, -0.0249, -0.0027, 0.0019, 0.0298, -0.0116, -0.0203, -0.0261, -0.0535, -0.0431, -0.0609, -0.0231, -0.0728, -0.0696, -0.0615, -0.0625, -0.0941, -0.0941, -0.0715, -0.0597, -0.0807, -0.0649, -0.0607, -0.0678, -0.0485, -0.0411, -0.0212, -0.0342, -0.0214, -0.0317, -0.0158, -0.0361, -0.0615, -0.065, -0.0501, -0.0843, -0.0867, -0.042, -0.0416, -0.0159, 0.014, 0.0293, 0.0512, 0.0193, 0.033, 0.0136, -0.0239, -0.0296, -0.0577, -0.0686, -0.0942, -0.1084, -0.0721, -0.0638, -0.0975, -0.0776, -0.0736, -0.0375, -0.0491, -0.0748, -0.1094, -0.0814, -0.1075, -0.1569, -0.1312, -0.1557, -0.1318, -0.1125, -0.1396, -0.1508, -0.1803, -0.2115, -0.2318, -0.2235, -0.252, -0.2781, -0.2927, -0.2543, -0.2692, -0.2476, -0.2476, -0.2399, -0.2849, -0.2381, -0.2224, -0.2257, -0.2526, -0.2403, -0.2207, -0.226, -0.2318, -0.2451, -0.2825, -0.267, -0.2818, -0.2928, -0.2641, -0.2614, -0.2679, -0.2707, -0.2707, -0.2685, -0.2719, -0.2653, -0.2679, -0.2679, -0.2489, -0.2117, -0.2266, -0.24, -0.2403, -0.2457, -0.2352, -0.2101, -0.1825]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1945154513578422502", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-15T16:12:29+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IBIT will be $100 by Thanksgiving. I am dead serious.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "IBIT will reach $100 by Thanksgiving; stated with full conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@litigious_dulce IBIT will be $100 by Thanksgiving. I am dead serious. Also, I do like hot dogs (but rarely eat them).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Please don’t let this be a joke. I want this to be real. Please please please.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "litigious_dulce", "ret_m1d": 0.030531991101192757, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030531991101192757, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02624044020423244, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02624044020423244, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025241808895209328, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025241808895209328, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02189853551067089, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02189853551067089, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "ret_p1w": 0.02509062788437455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02509062788437455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014289191541519752, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014289191541519752, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "ret_p1m": 0.05562261898556731, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05562261898556731, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019055312162145288, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019055312162145288, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "ret_p3m": 0.000604493408692397, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.000604493408692397, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05194059515358296, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05194059515358296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "ret_p6m": -0.22097947305518484, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22097947305518484, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3357367244271867, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3357367244271867, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05562261898556731, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019055312162145288, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019055312162145288, "price_path": [-0.2706, -0.2706, -0.2485, -0.2128, -0.1959, -0.195, -0.1797, -0.1856, -0.1805, -0.1912, -0.1694, -0.1658, -0.1894, -0.1843, -0.1735, -0.1291, -0.1134, -0.1252, -0.0989, -0.1122, -0.1132, -0.1052, -0.0933, -0.0794, -0.0661, -0.0443, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.0553, -0.0812, -0.0933, -0.1013, -0.1028, -0.0871, -0.0985, -0.1253, -0.1043, -0.0664, -0.0585, -0.0653, -0.0825, -0.097, -0.0659, -0.1007, -0.1087, -0.1087, -0.1132, -0.1132, -0.0922, -0.0738, -0.0759, -0.0822, -0.0748, -0.0955, -0.0565, -0.06, -0.06, -0.0719, -0.0656, -0.039, -0.0251, 0.0159, 0.0305, 0.0, 0.0252, 0.0225, 0.0079, 0.0026, 0.0251, 0.0171, 0.0227, 0.003, 0.0142, 0.0083, 0.0032, 0.0024, -0.0293, -0.0145, -0.0243, -0.0098, 0.0101, -0.0005, 0.0224, 0.0271, 0.0556, 0.0131, 0.0042, -0.0017, -0.0298, -0.019, -0.0373, 0.0014, -0.0496, -0.0463, -0.0379, -0.039, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0482, -0.0361, -0.0576, -0.0414, -0.0372, -0.0444, -0.0246, -0.0171, 0.0033, -0.01, 0.0032, -0.0074, 0.0089, -0.0119, -0.0379, -0.0416, -0.0263, -0.0614, -0.0638, -0.018, -0.0175, 0.0088, 0.0394, 0.0552, 0.0775, 0.0449, 0.0589, 0.039, 0.0006, -0.0053, -0.034, -0.0452, -0.0715, -0.086, -0.0488, -0.0404, -0.0748, -0.0544, -0.0503, -0.0133, -0.0252, -0.0515, -0.0871, -0.0583, -0.0851, -0.1357, -0.1094, -0.1345, -0.11, -0.0902, -0.118, -0.1295, -0.1598, -0.1917, -0.2125, -0.2041, -0.2332, -0.26, -0.2749, -0.2356, -0.2509, -0.2287, -0.2287, -0.2208, -0.2669, -0.219, -0.2028, -0.2063, -0.2338, -0.2213, -0.2012, -0.2066, -0.2125, -0.2261, -0.2645, -0.2486, -0.2638, -0.2751, -0.2456, -0.2429, -0.2495, -0.2524, -0.2524, -0.2502, -0.2536, -0.2468, -0.2495, -0.2495, -0.23, -0.192, -0.2072, -0.221]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1937945334640218414", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-25T18:45:47+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It may go up a lot more in the long term because it's a better company", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish IREN long-term; thinks it's a better company with significant upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@alc2022 It may go up a lot more in the long term because it's a better company", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Will $IREN perform like this after I post my deep dive?\n\nHolding stocks when they go down is hard. Harder when they go up. Harder when many of the companies you study shoot up too. \n\nI love this game.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "alc2022", "ret_m1d": -0.027801173284553227, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027801173284553227, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027241102717694754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03110796328093335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005600705668584727, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033067899963801217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10446501963548749, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10446501963548749, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09664120990741742, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09707349551906885, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007823809728070064, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007391524116418635, "ret_p1w": 0.3192923334787814, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3192923334787814, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29733614421111576, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.29575598214824383, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021956189267665627, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023536351330537553, "ret_p1m": 0.5282223727497564, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5282223727497564, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4832560247574822, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4959329443804461, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04496634799227417, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03228942836931026, "ret_p3m": 2.529907491983552, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.529907491983552, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.42849629711823, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.476070352671874, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1014111948653218, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05383713931167766, "ret_p6m": 2.016006704483161, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.016006704483161, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8986899121038614, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.9516311500736405, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1173167923792997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06437555440952059, "ret_p1y": 4.0353834064041765, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.0353834064041765, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.8032684112110253, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.9854187318792995, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23211499519315115, "bench_c_p1y": 0.04996467452487696, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": 4.0353834064041765, "alpha_spy_stated": 3.8032684112110253, "alpha_c_stated": 3.9854187318792995, "price_path": [-0.4886, -0.4869, -0.4406, -0.4305, -0.4912, -0.4996, -0.5046, -0.5535, -0.5029, -0.5375, -0.5257, -0.5156, -0.5409, -0.5392, -0.5291, -0.5291, -0.5358, -0.4895, -0.4861, -0.4693, -0.449, -0.4617, -0.4718, -0.4853, -0.4634, -0.4499, -0.4785, -0.4524, -0.4465, -0.4195, -0.4069, -0.3673, -0.3159, -0.3286, -0.3471, -0.2915, -0.2805, -0.2746, -0.2511, -0.2182, -0.2317, -0.2317, -0.2216, -0.2536, -0.2755, -0.2932, -0.2645, -0.2511, -0.2056, -0.246, -0.1786, -0.1289, -0.1163, -0.1323, -0.1432, -0.1719, -0.1238, -0.1769, -0.1744, -0.1744, -0.1179, -0.1019, -0.0278, 0.0, 0.1045, 0.1794, 0.2275, 0.2831, 0.3193, 0.417, 0.417, 0.428, 0.4229, 0.4288, 0.4347, 0.3673, 0.4558, 0.4221, 0.4583, 0.5206, 0.5114, 0.5291, 0.5661, 0.5998, 0.5282, 0.4928, 0.3968, 0.3302, 0.3597, 0.3572, 0.2974, 0.3884, 0.3858, 0.5434, 0.5644, 0.5543, 0.5139, 0.5021, 0.4937, 0.6074, 0.6588, 0.7443, 0.5779, 0.6647, 0.6504, 0.8054, 0.9478, 0.9368, 0.8833, 0.941, 1.2308, 1.2308, 1.4524, 1.3766, 1.2013, 1.203, 1.2064, 1.5434, 1.8332, 1.7675, 1.861, 2.1289, 2.0708, 2.1929, 2.0598, 2.2553, 2.5299, 2.519, 2.9714, 2.8997, 2.5265, 2.8694, 2.9537, 2.9663, 2.9612, 3.2511, 3.8652, 4.1963, 4.0623, 4.3791, 4.0354, 4.4035, 4.8602, 4.727, 4.2089, 4.1154, 3.989, 3.65, 3.3665, 3.706, 4.2991, 4.4751, 4.2586, 4.0901, 3.9048, 4.1179, 4.7077, 4.6133, 5.4372, 4.6411, 4.2553, 4.0691, 3.834, 3.6925, 3.0986, 2.9065, 2.9941, 3.1154, 2.861, 2.6622, 2.5602, 3.0851, 2.9992, 3.0817, 3.0817, 3.0278, 3.0851, 2.4642, 2.7035, 2.9132, 2.7666, 2.904, 2.9461, 2.7001, 2.7018, 2.3808, 1.989, 2.0826, 1.8458, 2.016]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1953552267749339363", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-07T20:22:10+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy and hold for 10 years. You can thank me later.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Decisively bullish BTC: buy and hold for 10 years, dismissing short-term bearish trader consensus.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Never forget how confident the traders were just a few days ago that Bitcoin’s next move was lower. It’s the same story over and over and over again. If you listen to traders on X, you will have less Bitcoin than if you don’t. Buy and hold for 10 years. You can thank me later.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02101245624635173, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02101245624635173, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013275329690042748, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013275329690042748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007737126556308982, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007737126556308982, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0068782400705657, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0068782400705657, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004900738724580522, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004900738724580522, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019775013459851776, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019775013459851776, "ret_p1w": 0.007342148592619058, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007342148592619058, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002482501913702917, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002482501913702917, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009824650506321975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009824650506321975, "ret_p1m": -0.05826463637371282, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05826463637371282, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0765484367752759, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0765484367752759, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018283800401563077, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018283800401563077, "ret_p3m": -0.13537697770346735, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13537697770346735, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20172961506441245, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20172961506441245, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0663526373609451, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0663526373609451, "ret_p6m": -0.28399253623915477, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28399253623915477, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3816392437788315, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3816392437788315, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09764670753967675, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09764670753967675, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.125, -0.1134, -0.1188, -0.117, -0.1192, -0.1012, -0.0911, -0.0665, -0.0496, -0.0869, -0.0686, -0.0724, -0.0825, -0.1009, -0.1149, -0.0989, -0.1027, -0.1086, -0.1355, -0.1115, -0.0613, -0.0616, -0.075, -0.0985, -0.0971, -0.0911, -0.1098, -0.1074, -0.109, -0.1207, -0.1014, -0.0975, -0.0863, -0.0897, -0.0886, -0.0882, -0.1004, -0.0735, -0.0668, -0.0805, -0.0783, -0.0727, -0.0525, -0.0128, 0.0002, 0.02, 0.0024, 0.0106, 0.0153, 0.0043, -0.0005, 0.0213, 0.0107, 0.0074, 0.0012, 0.0036, 0.0036, 0.0028, -0.0148, -0.0355, -0.0206, -0.0286, -0.021, 0.0, -0.0069, 0.0105, 0.0228, 0.0498, 0.0073, -0.0008, -0.0106, -0.0397, -0.0274, -0.0432, -0.0053, -0.0627, -0.0485, -0.0534, -0.0421, -0.0773, -0.0702, -0.0536, -0.0491, -0.0576, -0.0583, -0.0462, -0.0508, -0.0301, -0.0169, -0.0119, -0.0175, -0.0056, -0.0088, -0.0031, -0.0154, -0.0404, -0.0467, -0.0355, -0.0719, -0.0662, -0.0264, -0.0293, 0.0098, 0.0271, 0.0406, 0.0618, 0.0337, 0.0499, 0.0358, -0.0364, -0.0189, -0.0373, -0.0571, -0.0792, -0.0939, -0.0588, -0.0768, -0.0835, -0.0632, -0.055, -0.0287, -0.0386, -0.0633, -0.0782, -0.0676, -0.0932, -0.1354, -0.1158, -0.1378, -0.1202, -0.0979, -0.1234, -0.1348, -0.1515, -0.1966, -0.2162, -0.2089, -0.2215, -0.2627, -0.2758, -0.2487, -0.2566, -0.2296, -0.2231, -0.2262, -0.2653, -0.2225, -0.204, -0.2158, -0.2392, -0.2286, -0.2111, -0.2168, -0.2126, -0.2317, -0.2645, -0.2524, -0.2668, -0.2726, -0.2502, -0.2469, -0.256, -0.2543, -0.2576, -0.257, -0.2584, -0.2474, -0.2552, -0.2448, -0.2345, -0.201, -0.2023, -0.2229, -0.2253, -0.2297, -0.2239, -0.1887, -0.175, -0.1868, -0.187, -0.2123, -0.2484, -0.2393, -0.2386, -0.2382, -0.2488, -0.2417, -0.241, -0.2803, -0.284]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944505743098744989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-13T21:14:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I said there is a very good likelihood of $146k by mid September", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High conviction BTC to $146k by mid-September; recommends IBIT $80 Aug call options as a good bet.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoeCarlasare I said there is a very good likelihood of $146k by mid September \n\nSpecifically I said the IBIT $80 Aug monthly expiration options are a good bet", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Wait… you don’t think we get to 140k by August ???", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoeCarlasare", "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944505743098744989", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-13T21:14:30+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the IBIT $80 Aug monthly expiration options are a good bet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High conviction BTC to $146k by mid-September; recommends IBIT $80 Aug call options as a good bet.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoeCarlasare I said there is a very good likelihood of $146k by mid September \n\nSpecifically I said the IBIT $80 Aug monthly expiration options are a good bet", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Wait… you don’t think we get to 140k by August ???", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoeCarlasare", "ret_m1d": -0.014227063895003944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014227063895003944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012322514012943264, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012322514012943264, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02962740736322733, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02962740736322733, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025354195173871052, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025354195173871052, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.027134034406577356, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027134034406577356, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033471998723946905, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.033471998723946905, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": -0.003373472512527065, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003373472512527065, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.031990117229576565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031990117229576565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.008213516516385688, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.008213516516385688, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06894717423777186, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06894717423777186, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.230712811261783, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.230712811261783, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34429600610544353, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34429600610544353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003373472512527065, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.031990117229576565, "alpha_c_stated": -0.031990117229576565, "price_path": [-0.2966, -0.2922, -0.2922, -0.2708, -0.2361, -0.2197, -0.2188, -0.204, -0.2097, -0.2048, -0.2152, -0.194, -0.1905, -0.2134, -0.2084, -0.198, -0.1549, -0.1396, -0.1511, -0.1256, -0.1385, -0.1395, -0.1317, -0.1201, -0.1066, -0.0937, -0.0726, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.0833, -0.1084, -0.1201, -0.1279, -0.1294, -0.1141, -0.1253, -0.1512, -0.1308, -0.094, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.1097, -0.1238, -0.0936, -0.1273, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.1395, -0.1395, -0.1191, -0.1013, -0.1033, -0.1094, -0.1022, -0.1223, -0.0845, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0994, -0.0933, -0.0675, -0.054, -0.0142, 0.0, -0.0296, -0.0051, -0.0078, -0.022, -0.0271, -0.0053, -0.0131, -0.0076, -0.0267, -0.0158, -0.0216, -0.0265, -0.0273, -0.0581, -0.0437, -0.0532, -0.0392, -0.0198, -0.0301, -0.0079, -0.0034, 0.0243, -0.0169, -0.0255, -0.0312, -0.0585, -0.0481, -0.0659, -0.0283, -0.0777, -0.0745, -0.0664, -0.0675, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.0764, -0.0647, -0.0855, -0.0698, -0.0657, -0.0727, -0.0535, -0.0462, -0.0264, -0.0393, -0.0265, -0.0368, -0.021, -0.0412, -0.0664, -0.07, -0.0551, -0.0892, -0.0915, -0.0471, -0.0466, -0.0211, 0.0087, 0.0239, 0.0456, 0.0139, 0.0276, 0.0082, -0.029, -0.0348, -0.0626, -0.0735, -0.099, -0.1131, -0.077, -0.0688, -0.1022, -0.0824, -0.0785, -0.0425, -0.0541, -0.0796, -0.1141, -0.0862, -0.1122, -0.1613, -0.1358, -0.1602, -0.1364, -0.1172, -0.1442, -0.1553, -0.1847, -0.2157, -0.2358, -0.2276, -0.2559, -0.2819, -0.2964, -0.2583, -0.2731, -0.2515, -0.2515, -0.2439, -0.2886, -0.2422, -0.2265, -0.2298, -0.2565, -0.2444, -0.2248, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.249, -0.2863, -0.2709, -0.2856, -0.2966, -0.268, -0.2653, -0.2718, -0.2746, -0.2746, -0.2724, -0.2757, -0.2691, -0.2718, -0.2718, -0.2529, -0.2159, -0.2307]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1938316480241705191", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-26T19:20:35+00:00", "symbol": "CoreWeave", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With CoreWeave taking out Core Scientific, there will be even fewer large publicly traded data center companies left in the market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish data center operators on scarcity: scaled infrastructure takes a decade to build, consolidation via CoreWeave/Core Scientific shrinks public comps further.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "CoreWeave IPO'd as CRWV on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Launching a new crypto treasury company is as easy as flipping a light switch which is why dozens will come out every month.\n\nLaunching a world class scaled up data center company takes at least half a decade if you can even get the power and equipment (you can’t).\n\nScarcity.\n\n---\n\nWith CoreWeave taking out Core Scientific, there will be even fewer large publicly traded data center companies left in the market.\n\nThe kid analysts have a lot to learn about how business and markets actually work.\n\nTick tock", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008982781835130016, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008982781835130016, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016745854757748257, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016745854757748257, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012082512904767473, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012082512904767473, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007114190611422044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007114190611422044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "ret_p1w": 0.04504045442001492, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04504045442001492, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023025968716157807, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023025968716157807, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "ret_p1m": -0.268598169234911, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.268598169234911, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3098323900133525, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3098323900133525, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "ret_p3m": -0.17200153167043297, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17200153167043297, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25891333424222884, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25891333424222884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "ret_p6m": -0.47494939879425835, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.47494939879425835, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5936405719914399, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5936405719914399, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "ret_p1y": -0.3249620581449818, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.3249620581449818, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5690704646156918, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5690704646156918, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.268598169234911, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3098323900133525, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3098323900133525, "price_path": [-0.7654, -0.6674, -0.6118, -0.6597, -0.6975, -0.6847, -0.7241, -0.6915, -0.733, -0.7232, -0.7241, -0.742, -0.7423, -0.7527, -0.7527, -0.776, -0.7564, -0.7367, -0.7358, -0.7372, -0.7342, -0.7291, -0.7387, -0.7196, -0.6738, -0.6773, -0.6565, -0.6609, -0.6521, -0.675, -0.63, -0.5998, -0.5733, -0.5839, -0.492, -0.4522, -0.4291, -0.3207, -0.3664, -0.3501, -0.3501, -0.2158, -0.2652, -0.3323, -0.2959, -0.2396, -0.0481, 0.0318, -0.1457, -0.1134, 0.0254, -0.0201, -0.053, -0.0576, -0.0689, 0.0027, 0.0876, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.1613, 0.0987, 0.092, 0.009, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0315, -0.0135, -0.0399, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0102, -0.0419, -0.0318, -0.1252, -0.2039, -0.1626, -0.1106, -0.0951, -0.1637, -0.2218, -0.2098, -0.1791, -0.2026, -0.2409, -0.2686, -0.3024, -0.3121, -0.3491, -0.278, -0.3412, -0.3294, -0.2925, -0.3026, -0.2341, -0.1805, -0.1158, -0.059, -0.2551, -0.3705, -0.3676, -0.3877, -0.4124, -0.4211, -0.4257, -0.4054, -0.4156, -0.4219, -0.3868, -0.3498, -0.3482, -0.3482, -0.4095, -0.4314, -0.4466, -0.4364, -0.4082, -0.366, -0.259, -0.2871, -0.2918, -0.2379, -0.2488, -0.2355, -0.2321, -0.2101, -0.1572, -0.172, -0.1561, -0.1988, -0.2387, -0.2249, -0.1343, -0.133, -0.127, -0.1473, -0.1533, -0.185, -0.1145, -0.0949, -0.1243, -0.1041, -0.1519, -0.1192, -0.1034, -0.1342, -0.1962, -0.2089, -0.2312, -0.2198, -0.1615, -0.1393, -0.1473, -0.1148, -0.1709, -0.1542, -0.2009, -0.2678, -0.2762, -0.3236, -0.342, -0.3319, -0.4409, -0.4596, -0.5044, -0.5106, -0.5235, -0.5262, -0.5261, -0.5622, -0.5467, -0.5344, -0.549, -0.53, -0.53, -0.5374, -0.5125, -0.519, -0.498, -0.4576, -0.4414, -0.4545, -0.4265, -0.4423, -0.4472, -0.5028, -0.5423, -0.5603, -0.5917, -0.5719, -0.4749]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1938316480241705191", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-26T19:20:35+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With CoreWeave taking out Core Scientific, there will be even fewer large publicly traded data center companies left in the market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish data center operators on scarcity: scaled infrastructure takes a decade to build, consolidation via CoreWeave/Core Scientific shrinks public comps further.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Launching a new crypto treasury company is as easy as flipping a light switch which is why dozens will come out every month.\n\nLaunching a world class scaled up data center company takes at least half a decade if you can even get the power and equipment (you can’t).\n\nScarcity.\n\n---\n\nWith CoreWeave taking out Core Scientific, there will be even fewer large publicly traded data center companies left in the market.\n\nThe kid analysts have a lot to learn about how business and markets actually work.\n\nTick tock", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.24816627555917026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.24816627555917026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.24040320263655202, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.24040320263655202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017726100083102603, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017726100083102603, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012757777789757174, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012757777789757174, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "ret_p1w": 0.10024445773007806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10024445773007806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07822997202622095, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07822997202622095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "ret_p1m": -0.1589242227671197, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1589242227671197, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20015844354556123, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20015844354556123, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "ret_p3m": 0.03911976563396258, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03911976563396258, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04779203693783329, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04779203693783329, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "ret_p6m": -0.046454779983379435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.046454779983379435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16514595318056102, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16514595318056102, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "ret_p1y": 0.7249387689813827, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7249387689813827, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4808303625106727, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4808303625106727, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1589242227671197, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.20015844354556123, "alpha_c_stated": -0.20015844354556123, "price_path": [-0.5575, -0.511, -0.4853, -0.563, -0.5611, -0.5709, -0.6021, -0.541, -0.5831, -0.5678, -0.5685, -0.5813, -0.5972, -0.5947, -0.5947, -0.6094, -0.577, -0.5648, -0.5397, -0.4921, -0.4963, -0.4933, -0.5049, -0.4774, -0.4658, -0.4652, -0.4505, -0.456, -0.4224, -0.4303, -0.3961, -0.3741, -0.3692, -0.3576, -0.3411, -0.3368, -0.3325, -0.3411, -0.338, -0.3472, -0.3472, -0.3105, -0.3411, -0.3466, -0.349, -0.3319, -0.2787, -0.2323, -0.2708, -0.2549, -0.2231, -0.2194, -0.2512, -0.2579, -0.2732, -0.2616, -0.2732, -0.2726, -0.2726, -0.2751, -0.3062, -0.2537, -0.2482, 0.0, 0.0177, 0.0434, 0.0544, 0.0733, 0.1002, 0.1002, -0.0935, -0.143, -0.1791, -0.1944, -0.2353, -0.1711, -0.1589, -0.1491, -0.1767, -0.184, -0.1889, -0.176, -0.1754, -0.1632, -0.1589, -0.1598, -0.1938, -0.202, -0.1724, -0.2268, -0.1656, -0.1394, -0.1375, -0.1229, -0.1192, -0.1119, -0.0764, -0.1534, -0.1543, -0.1363, -0.1119, -0.1229, -0.1394, -0.1571, -0.1718, -0.1638, -0.1418, -0.132, -0.1229, -0.1229, -0.1229, -0.1443, -0.1699, -0.1675, -0.1675, -0.1485, -0.1119, -0.0226, -0.0495, -0.0306, -0.0024, -0.011, -0.0055, 0.0238, 0.0159, 0.0495, 0.0391, 0.0397, 0.0293, 0.03, 0.0593, 0.0966, 0.0984, 0.1064, 0.0892, 0.0947, 0.0452, 0.0715, 0.1027, 0.132, 0.1742, 0.1577, 0.2188, 0.2023, 0.1614, 0.1498, 0.1754, 0.088, 0.1039, 0.1822, 0.2145, 0.228, 0.2696, 0.2677, 0.3166, 0.3998, 0.3289, 0.3325, 0.2586, 0.2341, 0.1791, 0.0587, 0.0049, -0.0733, -0.0874, -0.096, -0.0568, -0.0593, -0.0733, -0.0996, -0.0373, -0.0495, -0.011, -0.011, 0.0324, 0.0141, -0.033, 0.0116, 0.044, 0.0458, 0.0813, 0.0691, 0.0593, 0.0636, 0.0104, -0.066, -0.0996, -0.1705, -0.11, -0.0465]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1944470753702973929", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-13T18:55:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is no way they will be able to hold it below $121,000 once regular trading restarts tomorrow.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "BTC will break above $121K once regular trading resumes Monday; Sunday low-volume suppression won't hold.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don’t trust these prices on Sunday because they are always so manipulated by low volume. There is no way they will be able to hold it below $121,000 once regular trading restarts tomorrow.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013019409911162572, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943031382185566444", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-09T19:35:55+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm almost at 100,000 shares thanks to them. This is where all my profit comes from.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds nearly 100k shares of OSCR; calls it the source of all his profit — decisive bullish position disclosure.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DL2828x Sadly? I’m almost at 100,000 shares thanks to them. This is where all my profit comes from.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Sadly, looks like they're having some success with $OSCR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DL2828x", "ret_m1d": 0.02922881315823833, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02922881315823833, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03518972370611306, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03306665244543816, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003837839287199829, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0342039921234093, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0342039921234093, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.037024349285584734, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.040329890852486616, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006125898729077317, "ret_p1w": -0.04539798169775622, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04539798169775622, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04565439578286978, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.036246087689176476, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009151894008579742, "ret_p1m": -0.05721393536436703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05721393536436703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07033772838628471, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009387500165102591, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04782643519926444, "ret_p3m": 0.3874377843156396, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3874377843156396, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30825952767628984, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3188785032026491, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06855928111299048, "ret_p6m": -0.10634328645897517, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10634328645897517, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20532604540530996, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2589755746352952, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15263228817632002, "ret_p1y": 0.8526120060242801, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.8526120060242801, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.671527790758673, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.6485342459208041, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.204077760103476, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05721393536436703, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07033772838628471, "alpha_c_stated": -0.009387500165102591, "price_path": [-0.2183, -0.2276, -0.2257, -0.232, -0.2519, -0.2519, -0.2761, -0.2786, -0.2531, -0.2519, -0.2394, -0.2152, -0.1822, -0.1909, -0.1884, -0.1791, -0.1915, -0.1872, 0.0585, 0.0609, 0.0641, 0.046, 0.0522, 0.0286, 0.0299, 0.0896, 0.0417, 0.0243, -0.0759, -0.1063, -0.1188, -0.1188, -0.0665, -0.1362, -0.1418, -0.1418, -0.1132, -0.1138, -0.12, -0.0267, -0.041, -0.0821, -0.0864, -0.12, -0.1082, -0.1325, -0.0703, 0.0019, 0.1673, 0.1673, 0.3197, 0.2699, 0.245, 0.1934, 0.2736, 0.2693, 0.3333, 0.2718, 0.0336, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.0454, 0.0292, 0.0, -0.0342, -0.1057, -0.0622, -0.0721, -0.0454, -0.1374, -0.1654, -0.153, -0.0858, -0.0131, -0.1169, -0.1014, -0.0877, -0.1393, -0.1294, -0.1262, -0.1555, -0.1393, -0.1405, -0.1082, -0.0572, -0.0386, -0.0292, -0.0684, -0.0715, -0.0871, -0.0274, 0.0354, 0.0342, -0.0504, -0.041, 0.0448, 0.0392, 0.0622, 0.0585, 0.0721, 0.0361, 0.0361, 0.0218, 0.0995, 0.143, 0.2083, 0.2612, 0.2469, 0.2114, 0.2083, 0.2021, 0.1648, 0.115, 0.1051, 0.1884, 0.1797, 0.1505, 0.1045, 0.1468, 0.125, 0.1455, 0.1897, 0.1772, 0.1754, 0.199, 0.347, 0.3874, 0.3974, 0.3557, 0.2774, 0.1673, 0.2687, 0.2867, 0.2854, 0.3078, 0.2058, 0.255, 0.3539, 0.2668, 0.2201, 0.1996, 0.2233, 0.2152, 0.176, 0.125, 0.1194, 0.0983, 0.0672, 0.0591, 0.0299, 0.102, -0.0914, -0.0765, -0.0609, -0.1325, -0.1368, -0.1138, -0.0852, -0.1244, -0.1897, -0.1617, 0.0255, 0.0404, 0.1294, 0.1294, 0.1175, 0.0354, 0.0479, 0.0634, 0.0684, 0.0429, 0.0404, 0.0547, -0.0305, -0.0131, 0.0342, 0.0037, -0.023, -0.0429, -0.0796, -0.0734, -0.0653, -0.0771, -0.0715, -0.0715, -0.0728, -0.0964, -0.0976, -0.1063, -0.1063]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1950338908891332784", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-29T23:33:26+00:00", "symbol": "energy infrastructure", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is EXACTLY what I've been trying to warn people about for more than a year. It's happening.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses the view that energy/power infrastructure is the binding bottleneck for AI buildout, implying long energy infra.", "resolved_tickers": ["ET", "EPD", "WMB", "KMI"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Energy infrastructure basket: ET, EPD, WMB, KMI; MLPs label removed", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is EXACTLY what I’ve been trying to warn people about for more than a year. It’s happening.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "An interesting comment from a Former $META employee. ENERGY is the biggest bottleneck right now.\n\nEven if $META wants to spend $100-$150B on CapEx for AI infrastructure, they can't. It is not just $NVDA.\n\nTransformers, power equipment, cooling equipment, and the availability of https://t.co/Txon2eHZh8", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0013522064213866147, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0013522064213866147, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026131640547079615, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01583675732242712, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012609576333213468, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014484550901040505, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006558047960672914, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006558047960672914, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010309309380320125, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011918422854931582, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037512614196472116, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005360374894258668, "ret_p1w": -0.011338452273827265, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011338452273827265, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008690674682476113, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022420640049662238, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026477775913511525, "bench_c_p1w": -0.033759092323489504, "ret_p1m": -0.0038925193803706626, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0038925193803706626, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02668361856017437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029211861054338095, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02279109917980371, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025319341673967433, "ret_p3m": -0.02794825484416022, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02794825484416022, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11097916357695317, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04338326691581554, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08303090873279295, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015435012071655319, "ret_p6m": 0.07813784211625202, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07813784211625202, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01402197580162129, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05662181404165606, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09215981791787331, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13475965615790808, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0038925193803706626, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02668361856017437, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029211861054338095, "price_path": [-0.0409, -0.05, -0.0586, -0.0364, -0.0403, -0.0294, -0.0261, -0.0098, -0.0055, 0.0014, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0027, -0.0138, -0.0172, -0.0086, -0.0086, 0.0021, -0.0011, -0.0055, -0.0095, 0.001, 0.0087, -0.0105, -0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0073, -0.0058, 0.0022, 0.0078, 0.0074, -0.0016, -0.0114, -0.0095, -0.0095, 0.0004, -0.0043, 0.005, -0.0021, 0.022, 0.022, 0.025, -0.005, 0.0017, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0057, -0.0069, -0.0099, -0.0119, -0.0106, -0.0026, -0.0103, -0.0122, -0.0183, -0.0096, -0.0282, -0.0282, -0.0253, -0.0093, -0.0154, -0.0206, -0.0014, 0.0, 0.0066, 0.0028, 0.0067, -0.0006, -0.0113, -0.0181, -0.015, -0.0184, -0.0178, -0.0099, -0.0124, -0.0189, -0.0268, -0.0243, -0.0194, -0.0121, -0.0132, -0.0178, -0.0143, -0.0117, -0.0039, -0.0024, -0.0024, -0.0081, -0.0098, -0.0098, -0.0172, -0.0247, -0.0193, -0.0032, 0.0041, 0.0024, -0.0003, -0.0029, 0.0066, 0.01, 0.0036, -0.0033, 0.005, 0.0204, 0.0221, 0.0291, 0.0237, 0.02, 0.018, 0.0201, 0.0243, 0.0124, 0.0166, 0.0154, 0.0042, -0.0102, -0.0033, -0.006, 0.0057, -0.0084, -0.0109, 0.0013, -0.0013, 0.0028, -0.0243, -0.0354, -0.0279, -0.0274, -0.0333, -0.0275, -0.0266, -0.0219, -0.0415, -0.0276, -0.0222, -0.0102, 0.0025, 0.003, 0.0021, -0.0003, 0.0201, 0.0077, 0.0041, -0.0001, -0.0035, 0.0045, 0.0029, -0.0035, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0185, 0.0204, 0.0033, 0.0148, 0.0351, 0.0309, 0.0237, 0.0172, 0.0019, 0.0053, 0.003, 0.0024, -0.0121, -0.0049, -0.0114, -0.0095, -0.0035, 0.0051, 0.0032, 0.0032, -0.0003, 0.0033, 0.0121, 0.01, 0.01, 0.0174, 0.018, -0.0049, 0.0042, 0.0165, 0.0141, 0.0121, 0.0262, 0.031, 0.0286, 0.0397, 0.0397, 0.0396, 0.0573, 0.0781]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1945869644499448124", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-17T15:34:10+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Love the setup.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin miners/HPC plays like CIFR; endorses melt-up re-rating thesis on hyperscaler deals lifting all names.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@313ronnieb It's amazing how symbiotic a few of these companies have become.\n\nAny major hyperscaler deal signed by any company causes an additional re-rate in all companies.\n\nLove the setup.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Rushing to cover before the next melt up.\n\nA $cifr or Horizon signing supercharges this move", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bitcoinbutcher1", "ret_m1d": -0.023364500558389678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023364500558389678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01728208546001586, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014362713785444958, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006082415098373817, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00900178677294472, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009345785368615966, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009345785368615966, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00861335257846263, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008694532776737596, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007324327901533367, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006512525918783707, "ret_p1w": 0.03582554771654434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03582554771654434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025666997733017727, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03456135150878037, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01015854998352661, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001264196207763968, "ret_p1m": -0.1884735239513371, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1884735239513371, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2129943007624402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20624724364126945, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.024520776811103095, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773719689932355, "ret_p3m": 2.2538939472579487, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.2538939472579487, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1965314108119496, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.1741734382656217, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05736253644599909, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07972050899232697, "ret_p6m": 1.5903425176229207, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5903425176229207, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4788674064339438, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.467537101955842, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1114751111889769, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12280541566707859, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1884735239513371, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2129943007624402, "alpha_c_stated": -0.20624724364126945, "price_path": [-0.6355, -0.5732, -0.5545, -0.5327, -0.5202, -0.5234, -0.5202, -0.5561, -0.5148, -0.5078, -0.5358, -0.5265, -0.5296, -0.514, -0.5358, -0.5093, -0.4657, -0.4844, -0.5062, -0.3988, -0.4065, -0.4112, -0.454, -0.4439, -0.4595, -0.4595, -0.4439, -0.4782, -0.4938, -0.514, -0.4938, -0.465, -0.4174, -0.4502, -0.3925, -0.3551, -0.3676, -0.3645, -0.4019, -0.4206, -0.3879, -0.4268, -0.4065, -0.4065, -0.4097, -0.4502, -0.4003, -0.4003, -0.3474, -0.3364, -0.2555, -0.2368, -0.1153, -0.0576, -0.0576, -0.0981, -0.0607, -0.0249, -0.028, -0.0857, -0.0607, -0.0701, -0.0234, 0.0, -0.0093, -0.0265, 0.081, 0.0405, 0.0358, 0.0078, -0.0405, -0.1153, -0.1511, -0.1495, -0.2321, -0.1916, -0.2196, -0.1885, -0.2414, -0.2601, -0.2586, -0.2648, -0.2368, -0.1713, -0.1885, -0.0576, -0.1028, -0.0732, -0.081, -0.0062, 0.0343, 0.109, 0.0888, 0.0935, 0.19, 0.19, 0.296, 0.2632, 0.1526, 0.1713, 0.2025, 0.4361, 0.5966, 0.553, 0.69, 0.69, 0.7928, 0.9283, 0.8458, 0.9128, 1.1745, 1.204, 1.2025, 0.8162, 0.7866, 0.9704, 0.9611, 0.9626, 1.1511, 1.2897, 1.3894, 1.4533, 1.7414, 1.8022, 1.6433, 2.1682, 2.2539, 2.2757, 1.9159, 1.9221, 2.1012, 1.8154, 1.5093, 1.6877, 2.2181, 2.1994, 2.109, 2.0514, 1.9704, 1.905, 2.5452, 2.5062, 2.8489, 2.3816, 2.2227, 2.0607, 1.9081, 1.7072, 1.3255, 1.2368, 1.2352, 1.271, 1.2773, 1.2679, 1.204, 1.6028, 1.729, 1.9829, 1.9829, 2.1698, 2.067, 1.7477, 1.9019, 2.0888, 2.0031, 2.0343, 2.0467, 1.8785, 1.9408, 1.6558, 1.296, 1.3349, 1.2414, 1.3598, 1.5249, 1.5452, 1.4782, 1.5265, 1.5265, 1.366, 1.3489, 1.2726, 1.2991, 1.2991, 1.5234, 1.8287, 1.7321, 1.5047, 1.5779, 1.5903]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1943389806920073690", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-10T19:20:11+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Any sign of a deal rejection or outside bid will launch CORZ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long CORZ: already priced in low CRWV, any deal rejection/outside bid or activist involvement is a positive catalyst; CRWV declining as expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CoreWeave dumping, down 9.5%, largely as I’ve expected. CORZ flattish which is a VERY good sign. It has already priced in $100-110 CRWV. Any sign of a deal rejection or outside bid will launch CORZ.\n\n---\n\nAlso, there is a decent possibility of an activist getting involved from the CORZ side, buying up 10% of the stock, and trying to build support to reject this deal. That would be a positive catalyst for the stock as well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01896813309646328, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01896813309646328, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021780558215311663, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021780558215311663, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05083460248713623, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05083460248713623, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04731909574080673, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04731909574080673, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "ret_p1w": 0.022003031497589864, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022003031497589864, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018455772677761217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018455772677761217, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "ret_p1m": 0.09332318010290996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09332318010290996, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07517115078056036, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07517115078056036, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "ret_p3m": 0.297420332741158, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.297420332741158, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22526690119991044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22526690119991044, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "ret_p6m": 0.2132017754839426, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2132017754839426, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11530106086507108, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11530106086507108, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09332318010290996, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07517115078056036, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07517115078056036, "price_path": [-0.4643, -0.4803, -0.5, -0.497, -0.497, -0.5152, -0.475, -0.4598, -0.4287, -0.3695, -0.3748, -0.371, -0.3854, -0.3513, -0.3369, -0.3361, -0.3179, -0.3247, -0.283, -0.2929, -0.2504, -0.2231, -0.217, -0.2026, -0.1821, -0.1768, -0.1715, -0.1821, -0.1783, -0.1897, -0.1897, -0.1442, -0.1821, -0.1889, -0.192, -0.1707, -0.1047, -0.047, -0.0948, -0.0751, -0.0357, -0.0311, -0.0706, -0.0789, -0.0979, -0.0835, -0.0979, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.1002, -0.1388, -0.0736, -0.0668, 0.2413, 0.2633, 0.2951, 0.3088, 0.3323, 0.3657, 0.3657, 0.1252, 0.0637, 0.019, 0.0, -0.0508, 0.0288, 0.044, 0.0561, 0.022, 0.0129, 0.0068, 0.0228, 0.0235, 0.0387, 0.044, 0.0429, 0.0008, -0.0095, 0.0273, -0.0402, 0.0357, 0.0683, 0.0706, 0.0888, 0.0933, 0.1024, 0.1464, 0.0508, 0.0497, 0.0721, 0.1024, 0.0888, 0.0683, 0.0463, 0.0281, 0.0379, 0.0653, 0.0774, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.0622, 0.0303, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0569, 0.1024, 0.2132, 0.1798, 0.2033, 0.2382, 0.2276, 0.2344, 0.2709, 0.261, 0.3027, 0.2898, 0.2906, 0.2777, 0.2785, 0.3149, 0.3612, 0.3634, 0.3733, 0.352, 0.3589, 0.2974, 0.33, 0.3687, 0.4052, 0.4575, 0.437, 0.5129, 0.4924, 0.4416, 0.4272, 0.459, 0.3505, 0.3703, 0.4674, 0.5076, 0.5243, 0.5759, 0.5736, 0.6343, 0.7375, 0.6495, 0.654, 0.5622, 0.5319, 0.4636, 0.3141, 0.2473, 0.1502, 0.1328, 0.1222, 0.1707, 0.1677, 0.1502, 0.1176, 0.195, 0.1798, 0.2276, 0.2276, 0.2815, 0.2587, 0.2003, 0.2557, 0.2959, 0.2982, 0.3422, 0.327, 0.3149, 0.3202, 0.2542, 0.1593, 0.1176, 0.0296, 0.1047, 0.1836, 0.198, 0.1745, 0.1813, 0.1813, 0.1601, 0.1442, 0.1085, 0.1047, 0.1047, 0.2132]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1943389806920073690", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-10T19:20:11+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CoreWeave dumping, down 9.5%, largely as I've expected", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long CORZ: already priced in low CRWV, any deal rejection/outside bid or activist involvement is a positive catalyst; CRWV declining as expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CoreWeave dumping, down 9.5%, largely as I’ve expected. CORZ flattish which is a VERY good sign. It has already priced in $100-110 CRWV. Any sign of a deal rejection or outside bid will launch CORZ.\n\n---\n\nAlso, there is a decent possibility of an activist getting involved from the CORZ side, buying up 10% of the stock, and trying to build support to reject this deal. That would be a positive catalyst for the stock as well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10673230517182386, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10673230517182386, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10954473029067224, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10954473029067224, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0900281839083047, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0900281839083047, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0865126771619752, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0865126771619752, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "ret_p1w": -0.04396548461525818, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04396548461525818, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.047512743435086824, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.047512743435086824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "ret_p1m": -0.06320045309635147, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06320045309635147, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08135248241870108, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08135248241870108, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "ret_p3m": -0.06840691238956575, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06840691238956575, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1405603439308133, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1405603439308133, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "ret_p6m": -0.4264227091926678, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4264227091926678, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5243234238115393, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5243234238115393, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06320045309635147, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08135248241870108, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08135248241870108, "price_path": [-0.6846, -0.7051, -0.7055, -0.7173, -0.7173, -0.7439, -0.7215, -0.699, -0.698, -0.6996, -0.6961, -0.6904, -0.7014, -0.6795, -0.6271, -0.6311, -0.6074, -0.6124, -0.6023, -0.6285, -0.577, -0.5426, -0.5122, -0.5244, -0.4193, -0.3739, -0.3475, -0.2234, -0.2757, -0.2571, -0.2571, -0.1036, -0.1601, -0.2367, -0.1951, -0.1308, 0.0881, 0.1794, -0.0234, 0.0135, 0.1722, 0.1201, 0.0825, 0.0772, 0.0644, 0.1461, 0.2433, 0.2293, 0.2293, 0.3275, 0.2559, 0.2482, 0.1534, 0.1431, 0.1569, 0.1791, 0.1276, 0.0975, 0.1946, 0.1946, 0.1548, 0.0952, 0.1067, 0.0, -0.09, -0.0428, 0.0166, 0.0343, -0.044, -0.1104, -0.0968, -0.0616, -0.0885, -0.1323, -0.1639, -0.2025, -0.2137, -0.256, -0.1747, -0.2469, -0.2334, -0.1913, -0.2028, -0.1244, -0.0632, 0.0108, 0.0756, -0.1485, -0.2805, -0.2771, -0.3, -0.3283, -0.3382, -0.3435, -0.3203, -0.332, -0.3391, -0.2991, -0.2567, -0.2549, -0.2549, -0.325, -0.3501, -0.3674, -0.3558, -0.3235, -0.2753, -0.1529, -0.1851, -0.1904, -0.1289, -0.1413, -0.126, -0.1222, -0.0971, -0.0366, -0.0535, -0.0354, -0.0841, -0.1298, -0.114, -0.0104, -0.009, -0.0021, -0.0253, -0.0321, -0.0684, 0.0122, 0.0346, 0.001, 0.0241, -0.0306, 0.0069, 0.0249, -0.0103, -0.0812, -0.0957, -0.1212, -0.1081, -0.0415, -0.0161, -0.0252, 0.0119, -0.0523, -0.0331, -0.0866, -0.163, -0.1726, -0.2268, -0.2479, -0.2363, -0.3608, -0.3822, -0.4335, -0.4406, -0.4553, -0.4584, -0.4582, -0.4995, -0.4819, -0.4678, -0.4845, -0.4628, -0.4628, -0.4713, -0.4428, -0.4502, -0.4261, -0.3799, -0.3615, -0.3764, -0.3444, -0.3625, -0.3681, -0.4317, -0.4768, -0.4974, -0.5332, -0.5106, -0.3998, -0.3866, -0.4196, -0.4297, -0.4297, -0.4474, -0.4582, -0.4656, -0.4822, -0.4822, -0.4264]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1945977643909935555", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-17T22:43:19+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Experienced value investors are digging in and loving this action. While the kids cry, adults get to work.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish OSCR; value investors buying the dip while others panic.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@epictrades1 Experienced value investors are digging in and loving this action. While the kids cry, adults get to work.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OSCR Goes any lower &amp; the entire Twittersphere will need a shrink.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "epictrades1", "ret_m1d": 0.033532027325398284, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033532027325398284, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.032799057684245625, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026857231386423264, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007329696411526587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00667479593897502, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014903115359770513, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014903115359770513, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013006971867639328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020591800343010558, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001896143492131186, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005688684983240044, "ret_p1w": 0.0767510974005623, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0767510974005623, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06158175279873035, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041556922214547765, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015169344601831947, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03519417518601453, "ret_p1m": 0.2406855084853563, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2406855084853563, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21563690524288504, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2099663976102859, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025048603242471268, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0307191108750704, "ret_p3m": 0.54023844700321, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.54023844700321, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4774032626117857, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.45398258924624146, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06283518439142433, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08625585775696853, "ret_p6m": 0.3159463298817713, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3159463298817713, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2019097645889163, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11166085700129447, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.114036565292855, "bench_c_p6m": 0.20428547288047683, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2406855084853563, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21563690524288504, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2099663976102859, "price_path": [-0.1356, -0.1051, -0.1036, -0.0887, -0.0596, -0.0201, -0.0306, -0.0276, -0.0164, -0.0313, -0.0261, 0.2683, 0.2712, 0.275, 0.2534, 0.2608, 0.2325, 0.234, 0.3055, 0.2481, 0.2273, 0.1073, 0.0708, 0.0559, 0.0559, 0.1185, 0.035, 0.0283, 0.0283, 0.0626, 0.0618, 0.0544, 0.1662, 0.149, 0.0999, 0.0946, 0.0544, 0.0686, 0.0395, 0.114, 0.2004, 0.3987, 0.3987, 0.5812, 0.5216, 0.4918, 0.43, 0.5261, 0.5209, 0.5976, 0.5238, 0.2385, 0.2273, 0.2273, 0.2526, 0.2332, 0.1982, 0.1572, 0.0715, 0.1237, 0.1118, 0.1438, 0.0335, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0954, 0.1826, 0.0581, 0.0768, 0.0931, 0.0313, 0.0432, 0.0469, 0.0119, 0.0313, 0.0298, 0.0686, 0.1297, 0.152, 0.1632, 0.1162, 0.1125, 0.0939, 0.1654, 0.2407, 0.2392, 0.1379, 0.149, 0.2519, 0.2452, 0.2727, 0.2683, 0.2846, 0.2414, 0.2414, 0.2243, 0.3174, 0.3696, 0.4478, 0.5112, 0.494, 0.4516, 0.4478, 0.4404, 0.3957, 0.3361, 0.3241, 0.424, 0.4136, 0.3785, 0.3234, 0.3741, 0.348, 0.3726, 0.4255, 0.4106, 0.4083, 0.4367, 0.614, 0.6624, 0.6744, 0.6244, 0.5306, 0.3987, 0.5201, 0.5417, 0.5402, 0.5671, 0.4449, 0.5037, 0.6222, 0.5179, 0.462, 0.4374, 0.4657, 0.456, 0.4091, 0.348, 0.3413, 0.3159, 0.2787, 0.269, 0.234, 0.3204, 0.0887, 0.1066, 0.1252, 0.0395, 0.0343, 0.0618, 0.0961, 0.0492, -0.0291, 0.0045, 0.2288, 0.2466, 0.3532, 0.3532, 0.339, 0.2407, 0.2556, 0.2742, 0.2802, 0.2496, 0.2466, 0.2638, 0.1617, 0.1826, 0.2392, 0.2027, 0.1706, 0.1468, 0.1028, 0.1103, 0.12, 0.1058, 0.1125, 0.1125, 0.111, 0.0827, 0.0812, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.1155, 0.2347, 0.231, 0.228, 0.2593, 0.3212, 0.3159]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943397468949107128", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-10T19:50:37+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The economics make zero sense for CORZ shareholders imo", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CORZ: deal economics make no sense for shareholders; MSFT/META could disrupt the deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@313ronnieb @ericjackson It's a no brainer to for MSFT or META to try to disrupt this deal. The economics make zero sense for CORZ shareholders imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@ericjackson Someone listened to @mikealfred space and shorting down before they make a competing bid", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bitcoinbutcher1", "ret_m1d": 0.01896813309646328, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01896813309646328, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021780558215311663, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021780558215311663, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002812425118848383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05083460248713623, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05083460248713623, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04731909574080673, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04731909574080673, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035155067463294998, "ret_p1w": 0.022003031497589864, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022003031497589864, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018455772677761217, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018455772677761217, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003547258819828647, "ret_p1m": 0.09332318010290996, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09332318010290996, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07517115078056036, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07517115078056036, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018152029322349605, "ret_p3m": 0.297420332741158, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.297420332741158, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22526690119991044, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22526690119991044, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07215343154124754, "ret_p6m": 0.2132017754839426, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2132017754839426, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11530106086507108, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11530106086507108, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09790071461887151, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09332318010290996, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07517115078056036, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07517115078056036, "price_path": [-0.4643, -0.4803, -0.5, -0.497, -0.497, -0.5152, -0.475, -0.4598, -0.4287, -0.3695, -0.3748, -0.371, -0.3854, -0.3513, -0.3369, -0.3361, -0.3179, -0.3247, -0.283, -0.2929, -0.2504, -0.2231, -0.217, -0.2026, -0.1821, -0.1768, -0.1715, -0.1821, -0.1783, -0.1897, -0.1897, -0.1442, -0.1821, -0.1889, -0.192, -0.1707, -0.1047, -0.047, -0.0948, -0.0751, -0.0357, -0.0311, -0.0706, -0.0789, -0.0979, -0.0835, -0.0979, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.1002, -0.1388, -0.0736, -0.0668, 0.2413, 0.2633, 0.2951, 0.3088, 0.3323, 0.3657, 0.3657, 0.1252, 0.0637, 0.019, 0.0, -0.0508, 0.0288, 0.044, 0.0561, 0.022, 0.0129, 0.0068, 0.0228, 0.0235, 0.0387, 0.044, 0.0429, 0.0008, -0.0095, 0.0273, -0.0402, 0.0357, 0.0683, 0.0706, 0.0888, 0.0933, 0.1024, 0.1464, 0.0508, 0.0497, 0.0721, 0.1024, 0.0888, 0.0683, 0.0463, 0.0281, 0.0379, 0.0653, 0.0774, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.0622, 0.0303, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0569, 0.1024, 0.2132, 0.1798, 0.2033, 0.2382, 0.2276, 0.2344, 0.2709, 0.261, 0.3027, 0.2898, 0.2906, 0.2777, 0.2785, 0.3149, 0.3612, 0.3634, 0.3733, 0.352, 0.3589, 0.2974, 0.33, 0.3687, 0.4052, 0.4575, 0.437, 0.5129, 0.4924, 0.4416, 0.4272, 0.459, 0.3505, 0.3703, 0.4674, 0.5076, 0.5243, 0.5759, 0.5736, 0.6343, 0.7375, 0.6495, 0.654, 0.5622, 0.5319, 0.4636, 0.3141, 0.2473, 0.1502, 0.1328, 0.1222, 0.1707, 0.1677, 0.1502, 0.1176, 0.195, 0.1798, 0.2276, 0.2276, 0.2815, 0.2587, 0.2003, 0.2557, 0.2959, 0.2982, 0.3422, 0.327, 0.3149, 0.3202, 0.2542, 0.1593, 0.1176, 0.0296, 0.1047, 0.1836, 0.198, 0.1745, 0.1813, 0.1813, 0.1601, 0.1442, 0.1085, 0.1047, 0.1047, 0.2132]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1950022910904504709", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-29T02:37:46+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We all win when Bitcoin goes to $150,000+ before the end of the year.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $150k+ by year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoeCarlasare @JRHunt935410253 Hate? LOL. Don’t be a drama queen, Joe. All in good fun. We all win when Bitcoin goes to $150,000+ before the end of the year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@JRHunt935410253 .@mikealfred continues to hate on my 130k - 140k target, but I think it’s going age quite well", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoeCarlasare", "ret_m1d": 1.9742898436314604e-05, "ret_signed_m1d": 1.9742898436314604e-05, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026248944494502435, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0026248944494502435, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644637347886558, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002644637347886558, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007713643170961237, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007713643170961237, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0004880053044877819, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0004880053044877819, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012593696215839056, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012593696215839056, "ret_p1w": -0.032061009531248574, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032061009531248574, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020585338999982827, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020585338999982827, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011475670531265747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011475670531265747, "ret_p1m": -0.05681787540574801, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05681787540574801, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07471609786245326, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07471609786245326, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01789822245670525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01789822245670525, "ret_p3m": -0.058413340104219946, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.058413340104219946, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12746796482440992, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12746796482440992, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06905462472018997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06905462472018997, "ret_p6m": -0.24206807523634333, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24206807523634333, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.32718461695529344, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.32718461695529344, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08511654171895011, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08511654171895011, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05681787540574801, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07471609786245326, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07471609786245326, "price_path": [-0.1817, -0.1782, -0.1965, -0.1791, -0.1771, -0.1245, -0.1268, -0.1281, -0.1166, -0.122, -0.1202, -0.1224, -0.1044, -0.0944, -0.0699, -0.053, -0.0902, -0.0719, -0.0757, -0.0858, -0.1041, -0.1181, -0.1021, -0.1059, -0.1119, -0.1386, -0.1148, -0.0647, -0.065, -0.0783, -0.1017, -0.1003, -0.0943, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1123, -0.1239, -0.1047, -0.1007, -0.0896, -0.093, -0.0919, -0.0915, -0.1037, -0.0769, -0.0702, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0761, -0.0559, -0.0164, -0.0034, 0.0163, -0.0012, 0.0069, 0.0116, 0.0007, -0.0041, 0.0176, 0.0071, 0.0038, -0.0024, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.0184, -0.039, -0.0242, -0.0321, -0.0245, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0069, 0.0191, 0.046, 0.0037, -0.0044, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0089, -0.0661, -0.0519, -0.0568, -0.0456, -0.0807, -0.0735, -0.057, -0.0526, -0.061, -0.0617, -0.0496, -0.0542, -0.0336, -0.0205, -0.0154, -0.021, -0.0091, -0.0123, -0.0067, -0.0189, -0.0439, -0.0501, -0.039, -0.0752, -0.0696, -0.0299, -0.0328, 0.0062, 0.0234, 0.0368, 0.0579, 0.0299, 0.0461, 0.0321, -0.0399, -0.0225, -0.0407, -0.0605, -0.0826, -0.0971, -0.0622, -0.0801, -0.0868, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0322, -0.0421, -0.0667, -0.0816, -0.0709, -0.0965, -0.1385, -0.119, -0.1409, -0.1234, -0.1011, -0.1266, -0.1379, -0.1545, -0.1995, -0.219, -0.2118, -0.2244, -0.2653, -0.2784, -0.2515, -0.2593, -0.2324, -0.2259, -0.229, -0.268, -0.2253, -0.2069, -0.2186, -0.242, -0.2314, -0.214, -0.2196, -0.2155, -0.2345, -0.2671, -0.2551, -0.2695, -0.2753, -0.2529, -0.2496, -0.2587, -0.257, -0.2602, -0.2597, -0.2611, -0.2501, -0.2579, -0.2475, -0.2373, -0.2039, -0.2052, -0.2257, -0.2281, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.1917, -0.178, -0.1897, -0.1899, -0.2151, -0.2511, -0.2421]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1949539599405187400", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-27T18:37:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When Bitcoin is trading for $1,000,000 per coin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $1M; current entry price irrelevant — only whether you own at least 1 BTC matters.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Bitcoin is trading for $1,000,000 per coin, you won't care whether you bought at $115,000, $116,666, or $119,169. You will only care whether you secured at least 1 Bitcoin or not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "ret_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "ret_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "ret_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "ret_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1817, -0.1782, -0.1965, -0.1791, -0.1772, -0.1245, -0.1268, -0.1281, -0.1166, -0.122, -0.1202, -0.1224, -0.1045, -0.0944, -0.0699, -0.053, -0.0902, -0.0719, -0.0757, -0.0858, -0.1042, -0.1181, -0.1021, -0.1059, -0.1119, -0.1386, -0.1148, -0.0647, -0.065, -0.0783, -0.1017, -0.1003, -0.0944, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1123, -0.1239, -0.1047, -0.1007, -0.0896, -0.093, -0.0919, -0.0915, -0.1037, -0.0769, -0.0702, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0761, -0.056, -0.0164, -0.0035, 0.0163, -0.0012, 0.0069, 0.0116, 0.0007, -0.0041, 0.0176, 0.007, 0.0038, -0.0024, 0.0, -0.0, -0.0008, -0.0184, -0.039, -0.0242, -0.0321, -0.0246, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0068, 0.0191, 0.046, 0.0037, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0089, -0.0661, -0.0519, -0.0568, -0.0456, -0.0807, -0.0736, -0.057, -0.0526, -0.0611, -0.0617, -0.0496, -0.0542, -0.0337, -0.0205, -0.0155, -0.021, -0.0092, -0.0123, -0.0067, -0.019, -0.0439, -0.0501, -0.039, -0.0753, -0.0696, -0.0299, -0.0328, 0.0061, 0.0234, 0.0368, 0.0579, 0.0299, 0.046, 0.0321, -0.0399, -0.0225, -0.0408, -0.0606, -0.0826, -0.0972, -0.0622, -0.0801, -0.0868, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0323, -0.0421, -0.0667, -0.0816, -0.071, -0.0965, -0.1385, -0.119, -0.141, -0.1234, -0.1011, -0.1266, -0.1379, -0.1546, -0.1995, -0.219, -0.2118, -0.2244, -0.2654, -0.2784, -0.2515, -0.2593, -0.2324, -0.2259, -0.229, -0.268, -0.2253, -0.2069, -0.2186, -0.242, -0.2314, -0.214, -0.2197, -0.2155, -0.2345, -0.2672, -0.2551, -0.2695, -0.2753, -0.2529, -0.2496, -0.2587, -0.2571, -0.2602, -0.2597, -0.2611, -0.2501, -0.2579, -0.2476, -0.2373, -0.2039, -0.2052, -0.2257, -0.2281, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.1917, -0.178, -0.1897, -0.1899, -0.2151, -0.2511]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1947798016691474652", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-22T23:16:50+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it suddenly wakes up and RIPS YOUR HEAD OFF. Watch", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: lull phase convincing weak hands it won't move, then a sharp breakout imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is doing that thing that it does regularly when it lulls everyone to sleep by playing dead and seemingly doing nothing for just long enough to convince people with little skill or conviction that it will never go up. Then it suddenly wakes up and RIPS YOUR HEAD OFF. Watch", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021299772328538857, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021299772328538857, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012864159061507507, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012864159061507507, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00843561326703135, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00843561326703135, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010337504434577038, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010337504434577038, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010668631422312114, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010668631422312114, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003311269877350753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003311269877350753, "ret_p1w": -0.017277873835412905, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017277873835412905, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017672054096157686, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017672054096157686, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00039418026074478085, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00039418026074478085, "ret_p1m": -0.047674087544882116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.047674087544882116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049786956017311534, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049786956017311534, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002112868472429419, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002112868472429419, "ret_p3m": -0.11273451661206058, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11273451661206058, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17415132365659014, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17415132365659014, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061416807044529564, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061416807044529564, "ret_p6m": -0.19222472890077247, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19222472890077247, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2899847419162135, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2899847419162135, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09776001301544102, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09776001301544102, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.047674087544882116, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.049786956017311534, "alpha_c_stated": -0.049786956017311534, "price_path": [-0.2171, -0.2106, -0.2085, -0.2143, -0.2149, -0.1959, -0.1924, -0.2104, -0.1933, -0.1914, -0.1396, -0.1419, -0.1432, -0.1319, -0.1371, -0.1354, -0.1376, -0.1199, -0.11, -0.086, -0.0694, -0.1059, -0.088, -0.0917, -0.1016, -0.1196, -0.1333, -0.1176, -0.1214, -0.1272, -0.1535, -0.13, -0.0808, -0.0812, -0.0942, -0.1172, -0.1159, -0.11, -0.1283, -0.1259, -0.1276, -0.1391, -0.1202, -0.1163, -0.1053, -0.1086, -0.1076, -0.1072, -0.1191, -0.0928, -0.0862, -0.0997, -0.0975, -0.092, -0.0722, -0.0334, -0.0207, -0.0012, -0.0185, -0.0105, -0.0059, -0.0166, -0.0213, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0136, -0.0197, -0.0173, -0.0173, -0.018, -0.0353, -0.0556, -0.041, -0.0488, -0.0414, -0.0208, -0.0276, -0.0105, 0.0015, 0.0279, -0.0136, -0.0216, -0.0312, -0.0597, -0.0477, -0.0631, -0.026, -0.0823, -0.0683, -0.0731, -0.0621, -0.0965, -0.0895, -0.0733, -0.0689, -0.0773, -0.0779, -0.066, -0.0705, -0.0503, -0.0374, -0.0324, -0.0379, -0.0263, -0.0294, -0.0238, -0.0359, -0.0604, -0.0665, -0.0556, -0.0912, -0.0857, -0.0466, -0.0495, -0.0112, 0.0057, 0.0189, 0.0396, 0.0121, 0.028, 0.0143, -0.0565, -0.0394, -0.0573, -0.0768, -0.0984, -0.1127, -0.0784, -0.096, -0.1026, -0.0827, -0.0747, -0.049, -0.0587, -0.0828, -0.0974, -0.087, -0.1121, -0.1534, -0.1342, -0.1558, -0.1385, -0.1167, -0.1417, -0.1528, -0.1692, -0.2133, -0.2325, -0.2254, -0.2378, -0.278, -0.2909, -0.2644, -0.2721, -0.2457, -0.2393, -0.2423, -0.2806, -0.2387, -0.2206, -0.2321, -0.2551, -0.2446, -0.2275, -0.2331, -0.229, -0.2477, -0.2798, -0.2679, -0.2821, -0.2878, -0.2658, -0.2626, -0.2715, -0.2699, -0.273, -0.2725, -0.2738, -0.2631, -0.2707, -0.2605, -0.2504, -0.2176, -0.2189, -0.2391, -0.2414, -0.2457, -0.24, -0.2056, -0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1951711465632891211", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-02T18:27:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Why would it stop going up when they're going to print money to infinity?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin keeps rising indefinitely driven by endless money printing.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kjsuited007 Why would it stop going up when they’re going to print money to infinity?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Is there a theoretical point in time where Bitcoin will hit a peak or does it go up infinitely?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kjsuited007", "ret_m1d": -0.015223500582278726, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015223500582278726, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0002512124121003545, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0002512124121003545, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008085706753543476, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008085706753543476, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0030157804099308905, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030157804099308905, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "ret_p1w": 0.031802403945740076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031802403945740076, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02427671064157444, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02427671064157444, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "ret_p1m": -0.03364242228753622, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03364242228753622, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04806014143274129, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04806014143274129, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "ret_p3m": -0.05880094921645784, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05880094921645784, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13888220257374173, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13888220257374173, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "ret_p6m": -0.22567904396171934, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22567904396171934, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3339050664288046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3339050664288046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03364242228753622, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04806014143274129, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04806014143274129, "price_path": [-0.1568, -0.1028, -0.1052, -0.1065, -0.0947, -0.1002, -0.0984, -0.1007, -0.0823, -0.072, -0.0469, -0.0295, -0.0676, -0.0489, -0.0528, -0.0632, -0.0819, -0.0962, -0.0799, -0.0838, -0.0899, -0.1173, -0.0928, -0.0415, -0.0418, -0.0555, -0.0795, -0.078, -0.0719, -0.091, -0.0885, -0.0903, -0.1022, -0.0825, -0.0784, -0.067, -0.0705, -0.0694, -0.069, -0.0815, -0.054, -0.0471, -0.0612, -0.0589, -0.0532, -0.0325, 0.008, 0.0212, 0.0415, 0.0235, 0.0319, 0.0367, 0.0255, 0.0206, 0.0428, 0.032, 0.0286, 0.0223, 0.0248, 0.0248, 0.024, 0.006, -0.0152, 0.0, -0.0081, -0.0004, 0.0211, 0.0141, 0.0318, 0.0443, 0.0719, 0.0286, 0.0202, 0.0103, -0.0195, -0.0069, -0.0231, 0.0157, -0.043, -0.0284, -0.0335, -0.022, -0.0579, -0.0506, -0.0336, -0.0291, -0.0378, -0.0384, -0.0261, -0.0308, -0.0097, 0.0038, 0.0089, 0.0032, 0.0154, 0.0121, 0.0179, 0.0054, -0.0202, -0.0266, -0.0151, -0.0523, -0.0466, -0.0058, -0.0088, 0.0311, 0.0487, 0.0625, 0.0841, 0.0554, 0.072, 0.0576, -0.0161, 0.0017, -0.017, -0.0373, -0.0598, -0.0748, -0.039, -0.0573, -0.0642, -0.0435, -0.0351, -0.0083, -0.0184, -0.0436, -0.0588, -0.0479, -0.0741, -0.1172, -0.0972, -0.1197, -0.1017, -0.0789, -0.1049, -0.1165, -0.1336, -0.1797, -0.1997, -0.1923, -0.2051, -0.2471, -0.2605, -0.2329, -0.241, -0.2134, -0.2067, -0.2099, -0.2498, -0.2061, -0.1872, -0.1993, -0.2232, -0.2123, -0.1945, -0.2003, -0.1961, -0.2155, -0.249, -0.2366, -0.2514, -0.2573, -0.2344, -0.231, -0.2404, -0.2386, -0.2419, -0.2413, -0.2428, -0.2315, -0.2395, -0.2289, -0.2184, -0.1841, -0.1855, -0.2065, -0.209, -0.2134, -0.2075, -0.1716, -0.1577, -0.1696, -0.1699, -0.1957, -0.2326, -0.2233, -0.2226, -0.2222, -0.2329, -0.2257]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1946676106775629848", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-19T20:58:46+00:00", "symbol": "RGNX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think it has a chance", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still sees upside in RGNX but prefers PRTA on risk/reward basis right now.", "resolved_tickers": ["RGNX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@otismyman48 @TheShortBear @NDR_Research I still think it has a chance but I like PRTA a little better right now risk/reward", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @TheShortBear @NDR_Research What are you thoughts / projections on $RGNX? Time frame?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "otismyman48", "ret_m1d": -0.03886925001207542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03886925001207542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03697669507567025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04459048127770193, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005721231265626514, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009422841679949556, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009422841679949556, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009279646240846873, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00919034597840196, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018613187658351515, "ret_p1w": 0.03533571246437761, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03533571246437761, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02234202680417896, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0032966752580174674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032039037206360144, "ret_p1m": -0.054181395824276835, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.054181395824276835, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07173947291072957, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0974340842096254, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04325268838534857, "ret_p3m": 0.45347473324639065, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45347473324639065, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.39987547319091044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.36284329089518574, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0906314423512049, "ret_p6m": 0.7726738040597996, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7726738040597996, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6629689221062329, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5664237011716722, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2062501028881274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.054181395824276835, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07173947291072957, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0974340842096254, "price_path": [0.0448, 0.0836, 0.0777, 0.0754, 0.1084, 0.1319, 0.1578, 0.225, 0.1496, -0.0671, -0.1472, -0.1578, -0.1143, -0.0612, -0.0365, -0.0188, 0.0177, 0.0471, 0.1531, 0.1779, 0.1355, 0.1614, 0.1437, 0.1437, 0.0683, 0.0059, 0.0565, 0.0424, 0.2191, 0.1932, 0.1873, -0.0153, 0.1319, 0.1225, 0.1555, 0.2014, 0.2014, 0.0919, 0.0789, 0.02, 0.0094, 0.0094, -0.0071, -0.0742, 0.0082, 0.0059, 0.0306, -0.0118, -0.033, -0.0306, 0.0153, 0.0294, 0.0294, -0.0071, 0.0294, 0.0801, 0.0671, 0.0224, 0.0247, -0.0294, 0.0012, 0.0236, -0.0389, 0.0, 0.0094, 0.0707, 0.0754, 0.0554, 0.0353, -0.0094, 0.0306, 0.0024, -0.0353, -0.0188, -0.0236, -0.0306, -0.0695, -0.0754, -0.1213, -0.0459, 0.0518, 0.0671, 0.0389, 0.0259, -0.0542, -0.0495, -0.0448, 0.0612, 0.0565, 0.0742, 0.0389, 0.0612, 0.0518, 0.0518, 0.0742, 0.1614, 0.1095, 0.1437, 0.1166, 0.1649, 0.1272, 0.1178, 0.0836, 0.0707, 0.0907, 0.0636, 0.1025, 0.0471, 0.0671, 0.0518, 0.1237, 0.1025, 0.1366, 0.1602, 0.1366, 0.1508, 0.2462, 0.2285, 0.2591, 0.2379, 0.4393, 0.4335, 0.2862, 0.3357, 0.3251, 0.4488, 0.4535, 0.3816, 0.4888, 0.5418, 0.4358, 0.4817, 0.5347, 0.6042, 0.5501, 0.5124, 0.51, 0.5041, 0.4122, 0.3616, 0.3675, 0.3157, 0.3204, 0.298, 0.3604, 0.3663, 0.371, 0.3557, 0.3121, 0.3251, 0.2874, 0.2803, 0.3899, 0.4405, 0.5842, 0.5618, 0.5618, 0.5771, 0.4841, 0.4382, 0.5171, 0.5289, 0.5501, 0.5595, 0.4982, 0.5383, 0.5135, 0.6337, 0.629, 0.662, 0.5512, 0.5913, 0.7185, 0.7633, 0.6902, 0.7032, 0.7032, 0.6678, 0.6843, 0.6596, 0.6961, 0.6961, 0.5984, 0.5783, 0.6702, 0.7951, 0.7668, 0.7185, 0.7762, 0.7727]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1946676106775629848", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-19T20:58:46+00:00", "symbol": "PRTA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like PRTA a little better right now risk/reward", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still sees upside in RGNX but prefers PRTA on risk/reward basis right now.", "resolved_tickers": ["PRTA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Prothena Corp NASDAQ ticker PRTA", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@otismyman48 @TheShortBear @NDR_Research I still think it has a chance but I like PRTA a little better right now risk/reward", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @TheShortBear @NDR_Research What are you thoughts / projections on $RGNX? Time frame?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "otismyman48", "ret_m1d": -0.004769432933725115, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004769432933725115, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0028768779973199488, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01049066419935163, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005721231265626514, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03815584251364901, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03815584251364901, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038012647074546324, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019542654855297492, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018613187658351515, "ret_p1w": 0.09220984534556131, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09220984534556131, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07921615968536266, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06017080813920117, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032039037206360144, "ret_p1m": 0.35453108258107036, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.35453108258107036, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3369730054946176, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3112783941957218, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04325268838534857, "ret_p3m": 0.6041335792974134, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6041335792974134, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5505343192419332, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5135021369462085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0906314423512049, "ret_p6m": 0.4276628929566526, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4276628929566526, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31795801100308596, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2214127900685252, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2062501028881274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.35453108258107036, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3369730054946176, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3112783941957218, "price_path": [0.5246, 0.5342, 0.5421, 0.5342, 0.5405, 0.4626, 0.3863, 0.3514, 0.2846, 0.1685, 0.159, 0.1288, 0.1812, 0.2099, 0.2067, 0.0946, 0.0676, 0.1415, 0.1765, 0.159, 0.0843, 0.0413, 0.0461, 0.0461, -0.2719, -0.2687, -0.2528, -0.2703, -0.2591, -0.2321, -0.2242, -0.1955, -0.1399, -0.1653, -0.1638, -0.1892, -0.194, -0.1924, -0.1002, -0.0938, -0.0859, -0.0859, -0.0906, -0.0366, -0.035, -0.0477, -0.0175, -0.0334, -0.035, -0.0048, 0.0048, 0.0231, 0.0231, 0.0, 0.0366, 0.0461, 0.0445, 0.0175, 0.0223, -0.0111, 0.0048, 0.0286, -0.0048, 0.0, 0.0382, 0.0747, 0.0652, 0.062, 0.0922, 0.1017, 0.0938, 0.0922, 0.0827, 0.1033, 0.1176, 0.2591, 0.2273, 0.2226, 0.2194, 0.1987, 0.2798, 0.2814, 0.3116, 0.3561, 0.3545, 0.3545, 0.3609, 0.3943, 0.3323, 0.3275, 0.3609, 0.31, 0.3037, 0.3037, 0.3148, 0.3339, 0.3052, 0.3593, 0.3498, 0.3259, 0.3203, 0.3402, 0.3052, 0.2973, 0.2973, 0.2814, 0.3005, 0.283, 0.318, 0.3211, 0.4817, 0.4881, 0.496, 0.5517, 0.5517, 0.5771, 0.5882, 0.5771, 0.5676, 0.6169, 0.6455, 0.6375, 0.5978, 0.6455, 0.6089, 0.6948, 0.6041, 0.5771, 0.6486, 0.624, 0.5707, 0.5501, 0.5612, 0.6486, 0.6757, 0.6932, 0.6661, 0.7091, 0.6757, 0.6312, 0.6328, 0.6025, 0.6789, 0.6741, 0.6661, 0.725, 0.6184, 0.5787, 0.6296, 0.6471, 0.5882, 0.5978, 0.6661, 0.6534, 0.6693, 0.6582, 0.6582, 0.7091, 0.6328, 0.6455, 0.7758, 0.7742, 0.7599, 0.7059, 0.6407, 0.5692, 0.6423, 0.6471, 0.5851, 0.5501, 0.4992, 0.4913, 0.4642, 0.539, 0.5087, 0.5405, 0.5405, 0.5167, 0.5072, 0.4801, 0.5183, 0.5183, 0.4626, 0.4467, 0.4261, 0.4515, 0.4388, 0.461, 0.4165, 0.4277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1950329729489457443", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-29T22:56:57+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm loaded up with out of the money calls in large size", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IBIT via large OTM calls; explicitly bullish on BTC via ETF options.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant I’m much more greedy than you. I’m loaded up with out of the money calls in large size.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin $BTC is coiling up for a large move with tightening bollinger bands and still holding the structure of this bull flag\n\nIdk why i haven’t been doing this more often but will likely sell alot of puts on $IBIT tomorrow\n\nWin/win scenario as either I get more bitcoin or make https://t.co/njbwhQjsQM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": 0.0051227410550036545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0051227410550036545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0038617834216823077, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0038617834216823077, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012609576333213468, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012609576333213468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007533983680659828, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007533983680659828, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002997863051581229, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002997863051581229, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0037512614196472116, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037512614196472116, "ret_p1w": -0.012957670254064468, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012957670254064468, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010309892662713316, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010309892662713316, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0026477775913511525, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026477775913511525, "ret_p1m": -0.042037076993657774, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.042037076993657774, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06482817617346148, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06482817617346148, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02279109917980371, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02279109917980371, "ret_p3m": -0.01642314181373583, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01642314181373583, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09945405054652878, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09945405054652878, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08303090873279295, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08303090873279295, "ret_p6m": -0.23655271851627657, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23655271851627657, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3287125364341499, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3287125364341499, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09215981791787331, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09215981791787331, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.042037076993657774, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06482817617346148, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06482817617346148, "price_path": [-0.1684, -0.192, -0.1868, -0.1761, -0.1318, -0.1162, -0.1279, -0.1017, -0.115, -0.116, -0.108, -0.0961, -0.0823, -0.069, -0.0473, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.0583, -0.0841, -0.0961, -0.1041, -0.1056, -0.09, -0.1014, -0.1281, -0.1071, -0.0693, -0.0615, -0.0683, -0.0854, -0.0999, -0.0689, -0.1035, -0.1115, -0.1115, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0951, -0.0768, -0.0788, -0.0851, -0.0777, -0.0984, -0.0595, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0749, -0.0686, -0.042, -0.0282, 0.0127, 0.0273, -0.0032, 0.022, 0.0193, 0.0047, -0.0006, 0.0218, 0.0139, 0.0194, -0.0002, 0.011, 0.0051, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.0324, -0.0176, -0.0274, -0.013, 0.0069, -0.0036, 0.0191, 0.0238, 0.0523, 0.0099, 0.0011, -0.0048, -0.0328, -0.0221, -0.0404, -0.0018, -0.0526, -0.0493, -0.041, -0.042, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0512, -0.0392, -0.0606, -0.0444, -0.0402, -0.0475, -0.0277, -0.0202, 0.0002, -0.0131, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0057, -0.0151, -0.041, -0.0446, -0.0294, -0.0643, -0.0667, -0.0211, -0.0206, 0.0056, 0.0362, 0.0518, 0.0741, 0.0416, 0.0556, 0.0357, -0.0026, -0.0084, -0.0371, -0.0482, -0.0744, -0.0889, -0.0518, -0.0434, -0.0777, -0.0574, -0.0533, -0.0164, -0.0283, -0.0545, -0.09, -0.0613, -0.088, -0.1385, -0.1122, -0.1373, -0.1129, -0.0931, -0.1208, -0.1323, -0.1624, -0.1943, -0.215, -0.2066, -0.2356, -0.2623, -0.2772, -0.2381, -0.2533, -0.2311, -0.2311, -0.2233, -0.2692, -0.2215, -0.2054, -0.2088, -0.2363, -0.2237, -0.2037, -0.2091, -0.215, -0.2286, -0.2668, -0.251, -0.2661, -0.2774, -0.248, -0.2453, -0.2519, -0.2548, -0.2548, -0.2525, -0.256, -0.2492, -0.2519, -0.2519, -0.2325, -0.1945, -0.2097, -0.2234, -0.2237, -0.2292, -0.2185, -0.1929, -0.1647, -0.1864, -0.1828, -0.1828, -0.2352, -0.2299, -0.2366]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958893970366267661", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-22T14:08:11+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin to $250,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC to $250K on Fed rate-cut cycle starting September plus potential new Fed chair.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "J-pow admits the risks are to the downside in terms of employment and GDP. Rate cut in September now 100% confirmed. We should get 2-3 cuts by end of year. 100-200 basis points within 12 months and a new Fed chair. Bitcoin to $250,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0352993402421663, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0715281703545142, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0715281703545142, "price_path": [-0.0674, -0.0776, -0.0961, -0.1102, -0.0941, -0.0979, -0.1039, -0.1309, -0.1068, -0.0563, -0.0566, -0.0701, -0.0936, -0.0923, -0.0862, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.1043, -0.1161, -0.0967, -0.0927, -0.0814, -0.0848, -0.0837, -0.0833, -0.0956, -0.0686, -0.0618, -0.0756, -0.0734, -0.0678, -0.0475, -0.0076, 0.0055, 0.0255, 0.0077, 0.016, 0.0207, 0.0097, 0.0048, 0.0267, 0.0161, 0.0128, 0.0065, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0082, -0.0095, -0.0304, -0.0154, -0.0234, -0.0158, 0.0053, -0.0016, 0.0159, 0.0282, 0.0554, 0.0127, 0.0045, -0.0053, -0.0346, -0.0222, -0.0381, 0.0, -0.0578, -0.0434, -0.0484, -0.037, -0.0724, -0.0652, -0.0485, -0.0441, -0.0526, -0.0532, -0.0411, -0.0457, -0.025, -0.0117, -0.0066, -0.0122, -0.0003, -0.0035, 0.0023, -0.0101, -0.0353, -0.0416, -0.0303, -0.067, -0.0613, -0.0212, -0.0241, 0.0152, 0.0326, 0.0461, 0.0674, 0.0392, 0.0555, 0.0413, -0.0313, -0.0137, -0.0321, -0.0521, -0.0743, -0.089, -0.0538, -0.0718, -0.0786, -0.0582, -0.05, -0.0236, -0.0335, -0.0583, -0.0733, -0.0626, -0.0884, -0.1308, -0.1111, -0.1332, -0.1155, -0.0931, -0.1187, -0.1301, -0.147, -0.1923, -0.212, -0.2047, -0.2174, -0.2588, -0.2719, -0.2447, -0.2527, -0.2255, -0.2189, -0.2221, -0.2614, -0.2184, -0.1998, -0.2116, -0.2352, -0.2245, -0.2069, -0.2126, -0.2085, -0.2276, -0.2606, -0.2484, -0.2629, -0.2688, -0.2462, -0.2429, -0.2521, -0.2504, -0.2536, -0.253, -0.2544, -0.2434, -0.2513, -0.2408, -0.2304, -0.1967, -0.198, -0.2187, -0.2212, -0.2256, -0.2197, -0.1844, -0.1707, -0.1824, -0.1827, -0.2081, -0.2444, -0.2353, -0.2345, -0.2342, -0.2448, -0.2376, -0.2369, -0.2765, -0.2802, -0.3267, -0.3529, -0.3752, -0.4635, -0.3963, -0.4, -0.4114, -0.4268, -0.4334, -0.4108, -0.411]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939790267491524825", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-30T20:56:53+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is pure value.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying PEP (value), STZ at $161, and DEO under $100 as rare bargains among quality beverage companies.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk Yup. This is pure value.\n\nAlso buying up STZ at $161 and DEO under $100 today.\n\nRare for beverage companies of this quality to trade at these multiples.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$PEP Never seen something this pinned/coiled up @mikealfred \n\nAnd for that reason, I have been loading and will continue to do so if price stays in this area by next week. https://t.co/fCPNLPIW1b", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.02380599432237318, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02380599432237318, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024129713366614736, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024129713366614736, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00032371904424155495, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00032371904424155495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009019677013726746, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009019677013726746, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004486311521637365, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004486311521637365, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004533365492089381, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004533365492089381, "ret_p1w": -0.0016265183594036392, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0016265183594036392, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005981738463875064, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005981738463875064, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "ret_p1m": 0.05618812305011889, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05618812305011889, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02897214379851132, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02897214379851132, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "ret_p3m": 0.04845357028344277, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04845357028344277, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.026029985438546177, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.026029985438546177, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07448355572198895, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07448355572198895, "ret_p6m": 0.08358561627207939, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08358561627207939, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04057802210617223, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04057802210617223, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "ret_p1y": 0.09154909425597069, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.09154909425597069, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.1308487866232142, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.1308487866232142, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22239788087918488, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22239788087918488, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05618812305011889, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02897214379851132, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02897214379851132, "price_path": [0.107, 0.0721, 0.0471, 0.026, 0.0647, 0.0541, 0.0562, 0.0732, 0.0446, 0.0245, 0.0446, 0.0446, 0.0365, 0.0491, 0.0403, -0.0105, -0.0246, -0.0218, -0.0178, -0.0085, -0.0234, -0.0219, -0.0348, -0.0439, -0.0353, -0.0389, -0.0461, -0.037, -0.0471, -0.0607, -0.0384, -0.0348, -0.0362, -0.0362, -0.0482, -0.0484, -0.0541, -0.0541, -0.0393, -0.0444, -0.0353, -0.0387, -0.0427, -0.0358, -0.0366, -0.0412, -0.0387, -0.0392, -0.0254, -0.0396, -0.0219, -0.0326, -0.0285, -0.0441, -0.0458, -0.0458, -0.0458, -0.0456, -0.0311, -0.0535, -0.052, -0.0312, -0.0238, 0.0, 0.009, 0.0009, 0.0009, -0.006, -0.0016, -0.0058, 0.0061, 0.0, 0.0023, -0.0107, 0.0007, 0.0753, 0.059, 0.0476, 0.0797, 0.0769, 0.0684, 0.0606, 0.0467, 0.0638, 0.0562, 0.0197, 0.0297, 0.0318, 0.031, 0.041, 0.064, 0.0736, 0.071, 0.0858, 0.1042, 0.0988, 0.1119, 0.1056, 0.1249, 0.1144, 0.1014, 0.1063, 0.0957, 0.0868, 0.0915, 0.0866, 0.099, 0.099, 0.111, 0.0989, 0.086, 0.0929, 0.0579, 0.0683, 0.065, 0.0767, 0.0715, 0.0499, 0.0454, 0.0544, 0.0506, 0.0583, 0.0529, 0.0594, 0.0614, 0.0446, 0.0485, 0.0464, 0.0485, 0.0686, 0.0624, 0.06, 0.0429, 0.0511, 0.0365, 0.0803, 0.1204, 0.1115, 0.1313, 0.1285, 0.1398, 0.1475, 0.147, 0.1436, 0.1424, 0.1311, 0.1314, 0.1395, 0.1207, 0.0912, 0.1015, 0.0906, 0.072, 0.0668, 0.0665, 0.057, 0.0672, 0.0647, 0.0831, 0.0779, 0.0826, 0.0888, 0.1036, 0.1106, 0.0982, 0.0907, 0.0924, 0.0862, 0.0908, 0.1047, 0.1047, 0.1104, 0.1162, 0.1094, 0.1053, 0.0968, 0.0932, 0.0978, 0.0904, 0.1285, 0.1235, 0.1357, 0.14, 0.1336, 0.1314, 0.126, 0.1169, 0.1085, 0.0831, 0.0836]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939790267491524825", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-30T20:56:53+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Also buying up STZ at $161", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying PEP (value), STZ at $161, and DEO under $100 as rare bargains among quality beverage companies.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk Yup. This is pure value.\n\nAlso buying up STZ at $161 and DEO under $100 today.\n\nRare for beverage companies of this quality to trade at these multiples.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$PEP Never seen something this pinned/coiled up @mikealfred \n\nAnd for that reason, I have been loading and will continue to do so if price stays in this area by next week. https://t.co/fCPNLPIW1b", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.022473323817117974, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022473323817117974, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02279704286135953, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02279704286135953, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00032371904424155495, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00032371904424155495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0447662997521181, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0447662997521181, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04023293426002872, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04023293426002872, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004533365492089381, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004533365492089381, "ret_p1w": 0.02481671616737291, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02481671616737291, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020461496062901485, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020461496062901485, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "ret_p1m": 0.036296541643361824, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.036296541643361824, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009080562391754254, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009080562391754254, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "ret_p3m": -0.19923637975594555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19923637975594555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2737199354779345, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2737199354779345, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07448355572198895, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07448355572198895, "ret_p6m": -0.14422038718382968, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14422038718382968, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2683840255620813, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2683840255620813, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "ret_p1y": -0.1286445458138714, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1286445458138714, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.3510424266930563, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.3510424266930563, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22239788087918488, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22239788087918488, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.036296541643361824, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.009080562391754254, "alpha_c_stated": 0.009080562391754254, "price_path": [0.0846, 0.039, 0.0314, 0.0216, 0.096, 0.104, 0.1093, 0.1191, 0.0987, 0.0938, 0.1153, 0.1153, 0.119, 0.1175, 0.1192, 0.1205, 0.1076, 0.11, 0.1193, 0.1269, 0.1143, 0.1235, 0.1263, 0.1241, 0.1404, 0.15, 0.1421, 0.1411, 0.1277, 0.1222, 0.1456, 0.1755, 0.1592, 0.1379, 0.1159, 0.1102, 0.1082, 0.1082, 0.1171, 0.074, 0.0799, 0.0713, 0.0466, 0.0616, 0.0634, 0.0251, 0.0331, 0.0283, 0.0308, 0.0157, 0.0204, -0.0093, -0.0217, -0.0352, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0242, -0.0187, -0.0116, -0.0294, -0.0306, -0.0306, -0.0225, 0.0, 0.0448, 0.0355, 0.0355, 0.0236, 0.0248, 0.0157, 0.0343, 0.0347, -0.0111, -0.0026, 0.0102, 0.0306, 0.0249, 0.0092, 0.0537, 0.0581, 0.0554, 0.0547, 0.0371, 0.0565, 0.0363, 0.0096, 0.0044, 0.0292, 0.0314, 0.0224, 0.0469, 0.0311, 0.0197, 0.0274, 0.0297, 0.0245, 0.0168, 0.0048, 0.0027, 0.0051, -0.0032, 0.0131, -0.0107, -0.0428, -0.0299, -0.0385, -0.0212, -0.0212, -0.0858, -0.1146, -0.1183, -0.1029, -0.117, -0.1177, -0.1363, -0.1358, -0.1569, -0.1815, -0.186, -0.1959, -0.196, -0.1966, -0.1933, -0.2035, -0.1938, -0.1983, -0.1992, -0.1752, -0.1861, -0.1602, -0.1508, -0.1405, -0.1616, -0.153, -0.1372, -0.1359, -0.1458, -0.1451, -0.1464, -0.1606, -0.158, -0.1514, -0.1464, -0.1444, -0.1526, -0.1555, -0.1561, -0.1662, -0.189, -0.2084, -0.2149, -0.1997, -0.2031, -0.2131, -0.2043, -0.2206, -0.2224, -0.2174, -0.1971, -0.2058, -0.21, -0.2132, -0.2023, -0.2049, -0.2126, -0.2054, -0.1858, -0.1953, -0.1948, -0.1783, -0.1783, -0.1693, -0.1602, -0.1602, -0.1589, -0.1592, -0.1328, -0.1351, -0.1267, -0.0954, -0.089, -0.102, -0.1261, -0.1314, -0.1489, -0.1666, -0.1776, -0.1366, -0.1519, -0.1442]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939790267491524825", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-06-30T20:56:53+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DEO under $100 today", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying PEP (value), STZ at $161, and DEO under $100 as rare bargains among quality beverage companies.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk Yup. This is pure value.\n\nAlso buying up STZ at $161 and DEO under $100 today.\n\nRare for beverage companies of this quality to trade at these multiples.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$PEP Never seen something this pinned/coiled up @mikealfred \n\nAnd for that reason, I have been loading and will continue to do so if price stays in this area by next week. https://t.co/fCPNLPIW1b", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.029451436128094644, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029451436128094644, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0297751551723362, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0297751551723362, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00032371904424155495, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00032371904424155495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01049081109255856, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01049081109255856, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00595744560046918, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00595744560046918, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004533365492089381, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004533365492089381, "ret_p1w": 0.012415827622765496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012415827622765496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008060607518294072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008060607518294072, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0043552201044714245, "ret_p1m": -0.010394602129125685, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010394602129125685, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.037610581380733255, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.037610581380733255, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02721597925160757, "ret_p3m": -0.09384027439648857, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09384027439648857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1683238301184775, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1683238301184775, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07448355572198895, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07448355572198895, "ret_p6m": -0.15395420742576404, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15395420742576404, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27811784580401566, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27811784580401566, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12416363837825162, "ret_p1y": -0.1973902709751334, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.1973902709751334, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.4197881518543183, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.4197881518543183, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.22239788087918488, "bench_c_p1y": 0.22239788087918488, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.010394602129125685, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.037610581380733255, "alpha_c_stated": -0.037610581380733255, "price_path": [0.0396, 0.0007, -0.0204, -0.0212, 0.0353, 0.0302, 0.0542, 0.0645, 0.0353, 0.0414, 0.0547, 0.0547, 0.0558, 0.0815, 0.0679, 0.0744, 0.0642, 0.0703, 0.0674, 0.0782, 0.0713, 0.0903, 0.0887, 0.1037, 0.1141, 0.1107, 0.1106, 0.1056, 0.0806, 0.0851, 0.1048, 0.1073, 0.0995, 0.1, 0.0966, 0.067, 0.051, 0.051, 0.0582, 0.0402, 0.0553, 0.0493, 0.0459, 0.0355, 0.0666, 0.0125, 0.0118, 0.0324, 0.0364, 0.0267, 0.0328, 0.0134, -0.0076, -0.0157, -0.0218, -0.0218, -0.0306, -0.0346, -0.026, -0.0389, -0.0323, -0.0333, -0.0295, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.008, 0.008, -0.0093, 0.0124, 0.0081, 0.0153, -0.0034, -0.0192, -0.0224, -0.0069, -0.0071, -0.0063, -0.0158, 0.0155, 0.021, 0.0158, 0.0303, 0.0028, 0.004, -0.0104, -0.0573, -0.062, -0.0551, -0.0212, 0.0295, 0.0491, 0.0536, 0.0736, 0.0726, 0.068, 0.0655, 0.0679, 0.0649, 0.0979, 0.1092, 0.1011, 0.11, 0.0937, 0.0699, 0.0782, 0.0796, 0.0763, 0.0763, 0.0654, 0.0589, 0.0562, 0.0611, 0.0241, 0.0105, 0.0038, -0.002, -0.021, -0.0331, -0.0369, -0.0467, -0.0549, -0.0603, -0.0762, -0.0729, -0.0812, -0.0987, -0.0938, -0.0856, -0.0815, -0.0708, -0.0727, -0.0734, -0.0916, -0.077, -0.0782, -0.0817, -0.0791, -0.0794, -0.0875, -0.0835, -0.0503, -0.0357, -0.0324, -0.0326, -0.0339, -0.0432, -0.0496, -0.0593, -0.0711, -0.0942, -0.1012, -0.0904, -0.0769, -0.0809, -0.0726, -0.1382, -0.1032, -0.0612, -0.0387, -0.0421, -0.0513, -0.0657, -0.0816, -0.0991, -0.1242, -0.1236, -0.0913, -0.1034, -0.0995, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.0952, -0.0879, -0.0937, -0.0907, -0.1161, -0.1263, -0.1314, -0.1565, -0.1499, -0.1329, -0.1201, -0.1218, -0.1171, -0.1131, -0.127, -0.1194, -0.142, -0.1563, -0.154]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1942962175464890403", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-09T15:00:55+00:00", "symbol": "biotech", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Biotech really heating up across the board. This is a VERY good sign for all risk assets looking out 6 months.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Biotech heating up is a bullish leading signal for all risk assets over the next 6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["XBI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US biotech ETF XBI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Biotech really heating up across the board. This is a VERY good sign for all risk assets looking out 6 months. Keep an eye on this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03596234883326599, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03596234883326599, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030001438285391258, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030001438285391258, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005804014086914888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005804014086914888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002983656924739453, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002983656924739453, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "ret_p1w": -0.0005690449325693736, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0005690449325693736, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0008254590176829391, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0008254590176829391, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "ret_p1m": -0.029020157657893342, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029020157657893342, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.042143950679811026, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.042143950679811026, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "ret_p3m": 0.17980276016448227, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17980276016448227, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10062450352513252, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10062450352513252, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "ret_p6m": 0.39260192742601197, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.39260192742601197, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2936191684796772, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2936191684796772, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "ret_p1y": 0.7763873217765924, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7763873217765924, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5953031065109853, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5953031065109853, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.029020157657893342, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.042143950679811026, "alpha_c_stated": -0.042143950679811026, "price_path": [-0.1542, -0.129, -0.129, -0.1451, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1407, -0.1165, -0.0999, -0.0795, -0.0868, -0.0741, -0.0682, -0.0561, -0.0612, -0.0498, -0.0595, -0.1218, -0.1198, -0.1119, -0.1307, -0.0959, -0.1175, -0.1309, -0.1172, -0.1008, -0.0928, -0.0737, -0.0973, -0.0982, -0.1006, -0.1006, -0.0976, -0.1036, -0.0844, -0.0989, -0.0755, -0.063, -0.0614, -0.0605, -0.0412, -0.0411, -0.0296, -0.0399, -0.04, -0.0487, -0.0513, -0.0657, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0626, -0.0637, -0.0461, -0.0524, -0.0477, -0.0553, -0.0562, -0.0545, -0.0351, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0488, -0.036, 0.0, 0.0058, -0.0097, 0.0046, -0.0223, -0.0006, 0.0028, -0.0182, -0.0228, -0.013, 0.004, -0.0043, -0.003, -0.0148, -0.0231, -0.0186, -0.0252, -0.0221, -0.0119, -0.0116, -0.0198, -0.029, -0.0278, -0.0308, -0.0108, 0.0188, 0.0193, 0.032, 0.0266, 0.0106, 0.0154, 0.0233, 0.0347, 0.0105, 0.0231, 0.0275, 0.0275, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.057, 0.0658, 0.0637, 0.0865, 0.0747, 0.0809, 0.0686, 0.0891, 0.0711, 0.0633, 0.0668, 0.0671, 0.1003, 0.088, 0.1076, 0.1016, 0.1092, 0.0912, 0.115, 0.1315, 0.1406, 0.1542, 0.1678, 0.1793, 0.1798, 0.1803, 0.2003, 0.2126, 0.1952, 0.1984, 0.1967, 0.2336, 0.2284, 0.2272, 0.2541, 0.2472, 0.2217, 0.2244, 0.2339, 0.2703, 0.275, 0.2631, 0.2739, 0.2831, 0.2506, 0.2299, 0.2432, 0.2441, 0.2404, 0.2532, 0.2979, 0.299, 0.2739, 0.2979, 0.3072, 0.3112, 0.3034, 0.2958, 0.3279, 0.3613, 0.3816, 0.3985, 0.3985, 0.402, 0.3643, 0.3485, 0.3869, 0.403, 0.4049, 0.4077, 0.3796, 0.3894, 0.4004, 0.4017, 0.3984, 0.3889, 0.3767, 0.3662, 0.4051, 0.4381, 0.4264, 0.4425, 0.4425, 0.4274, 0.4093, 0.3896, 0.3926, 0.3926]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938586927294226825", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-27T13:15:15+00:00", "symbol": "CELH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "No need to exit good businesses", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Decisive hold/long stance on CELH; no exit warranted for a good business.", "resolved_tickers": ["CELH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@beaumellin No need to exit good businesses", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Hey Mike. Unrelated, but do you have an exit point on CELH? Been a great run from the low 20s in February", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beaumellin", "ret_m1d": -0.010241909499984492, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010241909499984492, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005298149400155938, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005298149400155938, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010895620105690895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010895620105690895, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0061144407768924935, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0061144407768924935, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "ret_p1w": 0.014600174167657798, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014600174167657798, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002361717100329619, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002361717100329619, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "ret_p1m": 0.023316620376020003, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.023316620376020003, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012509858973512422, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012509858973512422, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "ret_p3m": 0.13052956544205108, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13052956544205108, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05243218598314803, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05243218598314803, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "ret_p6m": -0.03334057092277931, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03334057092277931, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15343597572782397, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15343597572782397, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "ret_p1y": -0.34604487626880875, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.34604487626880875, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.5766225458199795, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.5766225458199795, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "bench_c_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.023316620376020003, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012509858973512422, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012509858973512422, "price_path": [-0.2214, -0.1992, -0.2155, -0.2255, -0.2273, -0.2615, -0.1883, -0.204, -0.1874, -0.1863, -0.192, -0.2011, -0.1885, -0.1885, -0.2136, -0.1754, -0.1878, -0.1894, -0.1994, -0.217, -0.2273, -0.2382, -0.2401, -0.2491, -0.2615, -0.226, -0.2201, -0.2321, -0.1987, -0.1868, -0.1735, -0.1514, -0.1491, -0.1416, -0.1828, -0.1702, -0.2029, -0.2231, -0.2133, -0.2133, -0.1929, -0.2388, -0.2081, -0.1745, -0.1698, -0.1462, -0.1264, -0.1266, -0.1153, -0.0787, -0.0728, -0.0832, -0.0852, -0.1031, -0.0523, -0.0377, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0549, -0.0667, -0.0105, -0.0092, -0.0102, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.0024, 0.0105, 0.0146, 0.0146, -0.0044, -0.0065, 0.0046, -0.0155, -0.0174, -0.0092, -0.0083, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.0318, -0.0497, -0.0338, -0.0159, 0.0092, 0.0163, 0.0233, 0.0338, 0.0142, -0.012, -0.0255, -0.0155, -0.0686, -0.0686, 0.0922, 0.1321, 0.1767, 0.1924, 0.2218, 0.2349, 0.2486, 0.3336, 0.3177, 0.35, 0.3526, 0.3406, 0.3116, 0.2981, 0.3022, 0.3007, 0.3702, 0.3702, 0.3382, 0.3314, 0.324, 0.272, 0.2125, 0.2212, 0.2251, 0.2621, 0.26, 0.2218, 0.2044, 0.2277, 0.2027, 0.1926, 0.1188, 0.1116, 0.1305, 0.129, 0.1852, 0.2399, 0.2528, 0.253, 0.2835, 0.2791, 0.2881, 0.3306, 0.3709, 0.4003, 0.3227, 0.3323, 0.348, 0.375, 0.401, 0.4134, 0.4044, 0.3816, 0.3423, 0.35, 0.3805, 0.3559, 0.3489, 0.3375, 0.3103, 0.3125, 0.2911, 0.2979, 0.3057, -0.0181, -0.0952, -0.029, -0.0471, -0.0214, -0.041, -0.0676, -0.1249, -0.1144, -0.1022, -0.1456, -0.1504, -0.1737, -0.1196, -0.1114, -0.1114, -0.1079, -0.0713, -0.1103, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0835, -0.0346, -0.0584, -0.0351, -0.0423, -0.0447, -0.0453, -0.0597, -0.1103, -0.092, -0.0673, -0.0333]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942927608548823317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-09T12:43:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if I were short Bitcoin, I would never stop buying until I had enough", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; would keep buying aggressively at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Davidoffsk70710 I don’t give personal advice but if I were short Bitcoin, I would never stop buying until I had enough.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Hi @mikealfred should I buy some here or wait ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Davidoffsk70710", "ret_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02134514318412495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015384232636250217, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.041864660687494615, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03904430352531918, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "ret_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06657848296667201, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06632206888155845, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "ret_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05542562389827399, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042301830876356306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "ret_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12059994670802032, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04142169006867058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "ret_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20295759961245774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30194035855879253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "ret_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4608974484482202, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6419816637138274, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05542562389827399, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.042301830876356306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.042301830876356306, "price_path": [-0.2508, -0.2406, -0.2484, -0.2452, -0.2374, -0.2414, -0.2139, -0.1607, -0.1583, -0.1561, -0.1492, -0.1468, -0.1531, -0.1538, -0.1332, -0.1295, -0.1489, -0.1305, -0.1284, -0.0726, -0.0751, -0.0765, -0.0643, -0.0699, -0.0681, -0.0704, -0.0514, -0.0407, -0.0148, 0.0031, -0.0363, -0.0169, -0.0209, -0.0317, -0.0511, -0.0658, -0.0489, -0.0529, -0.0592, -0.0876, -0.0623, -0.0093, -0.0096, -0.0237, -0.0485, -0.047, -0.0407, -0.0604, -0.0579, -0.0597, -0.072, -0.0516, -0.0474, -0.0356, -0.0392, -0.0381, -0.0376, -0.0506, -0.0222, -0.0151, -0.0296, -0.0272, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0419, 0.0556, 0.0766, 0.0579, 0.0666, 0.0715, 0.06, 0.0549, 0.0779, 0.0667, 0.0633, 0.0567, 0.0593, 0.0592, 0.0584, 0.0398, 0.0179, 0.0336, 0.0253, 0.0332, 0.0554, 0.0482, 0.0665, 0.0795, 0.1079, 0.0632, 0.0545, 0.0442, 0.0135, 0.0265, 0.0098, 0.0498, -0.0108, 0.0043, -0.0009, 0.0109, -0.0262, -0.0186, -0.0011, 0.0036, -0.0054, -0.0061, 0.0067, 0.0018, 0.0236, 0.0376, 0.0429, 0.037, 0.0496, 0.0462, 0.0522, 0.0392, 0.0128, 0.0062, 0.018, -0.0205, -0.0145, 0.0276, 0.0245, 0.0658, 0.084, 0.0983, 0.1206, 0.0909, 0.108, 0.0932, 0.017, 0.0354, 0.0161, -0.0049, -0.0282, -0.0436, -0.0066, -0.0256, -0.0327, -0.0113, -0.0026, 0.0251, 0.0146, -0.0114, -0.0271, -0.0159, -0.0429, -0.0875, -0.0668, -0.0901, -0.0714, -0.0479, -0.0748, -0.0868, -0.1045, -0.1521, -0.1728, -0.1651, -0.1784, -0.2218, -0.2357, -0.2071, -0.2154, -0.1869, -0.18, -0.1833, -0.2246, -0.1794, -0.1599, -0.1723, -0.1971, -0.1858, -0.1674, -0.1734, -0.169, -0.1891, -0.2237, -0.2109, -0.2262, -0.2323, -0.2086, -0.2051, -0.2148, -0.213, -0.2164, -0.2158, -0.2173, -0.2057, -0.2139, -0.203]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1959076792574345307", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-23T02:14:39+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$146,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies BTC will reach $146,000, topping the parent's $141,000 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@FrankAFetter $146,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Jerome Powell may have just kicked off Operation $141,000. $BTC https://t.co/8fZJSETkvY", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FrankAFetter", "ret_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "ret_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "ret_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "ret_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "ret_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "price_path": [-0.0211, -0.0407, -0.0556, -0.0385, -0.0426, -0.049, -0.0776, -0.0521, 0.0015, 0.0012, -0.0131, -0.0381, -0.0366, -0.0302, -0.0502, -0.0476, -0.0494, -0.0619, -0.0413, -0.037, -0.0251, -0.0287, -0.0276, -0.0271, -0.0402, -0.0115, -0.0043, -0.019, -0.0166, -0.0107, 0.0109, 0.0532, 0.0671, 0.0883, 0.0695, 0.0782, 0.0832, 0.0715, 0.0664, 0.0896, 0.0784, 0.0749, 0.0682, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.07, 0.0512, 0.029, 0.0449, 0.0365, 0.0445, 0.0669, 0.0596, 0.0782, 0.0912, 0.12, 0.0748, 0.0661, 0.0556, 0.0246, 0.0377, 0.0208, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.01, 0.022, -0.0156, -0.0079, 0.0098, 0.0145, 0.0054, 0.0048, 0.0177, 0.0128, 0.0348, 0.0489, 0.0543, 0.0483, 0.061, 0.0576, 0.0637, 0.0505, 0.0238, 0.0172, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0037, 0.0388, 0.0357, 0.0774, 0.0959, 0.1103, 0.1328, 0.1029, 0.1201, 0.1052, 0.0281, 0.0467, 0.0272, 0.006, -0.0176, -0.0332, 0.0042, -0.015, -0.0221, -0.0005, 0.0083, 0.0363, 0.0257, -0.0006, -0.0165, -0.0052, -0.0325, -0.0775, -0.0566, -0.0801, -0.0613, -0.0375, -0.0647, -0.0768, -0.0947, -0.1428, -0.1637, -0.156, -0.1694, -0.2133, -0.2273, -0.1984, -0.2069, -0.178, -0.1711, -0.1744, -0.2161, -0.1705, -0.1507, -0.1633, -0.1883, -0.1769, -0.1583, -0.1644, -0.1599, -0.1803, -0.2153, -0.2023, -0.2178, -0.2239, -0.2, -0.1965, -0.2062, -0.2044, -0.2079, -0.2072, -0.2087, -0.197, -0.2054, -0.1943, -0.1832, -0.1475, -0.1489, -0.1709, -0.1734, -0.1781, -0.1719, -0.1344, -0.1198, -0.1323, -0.1326, -0.1596, -0.1981, -0.1884, -0.1876, -0.1872, -0.1985, -0.1909, -0.1901, -0.2321, -0.2361, -0.2855, -0.3132, -0.3369, -0.4306, -0.3593, -0.3633, -0.3753, -0.3917, -0.3987, -0.3747, -0.3749, -0.3871]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1961849681186857028", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-30T17:53:08+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would rather be in IBIT calls. Cleaner line of sight to positive outcomes.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Prefers IBIT calls over the parent's position; cleaner path to positive outcomes.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kelly_joe38751 You might still be OK depending on when you bought them and how much you're down. But I don't envy you. I would rather be in IBIT calls. Cleaner line of sight to positive outcomes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Bought the March ‘26…..600 Strike…..ouch", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kelly_joe38751", "ret_m1d": -0.024297325144264303, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024297325144264303, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03176289961914558, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03176289961914558, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012704450080231577, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012704450080231577, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007284903917223806, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007284903917223806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": 0.003970144436297174, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003970144436297174, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011742096158435134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011742096158435134, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.05986972478931629, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05986972478931629, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0129625884318616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0129625884318616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.18135622935144458, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18135622935144458, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.251661995309439, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.251661995309439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.37700494232580095, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37700494232580095, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46580438307035166, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46580438307035166, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05986972478931629, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0129625884318616, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0129625884318616, "price_path": [-0.081, -0.0589, -0.0191, -0.0108, -0.0179, -0.036, -0.0513, -0.0186, -0.0551, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.0683, -0.0683, -0.0462, -0.0269, -0.0291, -0.0357, -0.0279, -0.0497, -0.0087, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0249, -0.0183, 0.0097, 0.0243, 0.0673, 0.0827, 0.0507, 0.0772, 0.0743, 0.0589, 0.0534, 0.077, 0.0686, 0.0745, 0.0538, 0.0656, 0.0594, 0.054, 0.0532, 0.0199, 0.0354, 0.0251, 0.0403, 0.0613, 0.0502, 0.0742, 0.0791, 0.1091, 0.0645, 0.0551, 0.0489, 0.0194, 0.0306, 0.0114, 0.0521, -0.0014, 0.0021, 0.0108, 0.0097, -0.0243, -0.0243, 0.0, 0.0127, -0.0098, 0.0071, 0.0116, 0.004, 0.0248, 0.0327, 0.0542, 0.0402, 0.054, 0.0429, 0.06, 0.0381, 0.0108, 0.007, 0.023, -0.0138, -0.0164, 0.0318, 0.0322, 0.0599, 0.0921, 0.1086, 0.1321, 0.0978, 0.1126, 0.0916, 0.0513, 0.0451, 0.0149, 0.0032, -0.0245, -0.0397, -0.0006, 0.0083, -0.0279, -0.0065, -0.0022, 0.0367, 0.0241, -0.0035, -0.0408, -0.0106, -0.0387, -0.0919, -0.0643, -0.0907, -0.065, -0.0441, -0.0734, -0.0854, -0.1172, -0.1508, -0.1726, -0.1637, -0.1944, -0.2225, -0.2382, -0.1969, -0.213, -0.1896, -0.1896, -0.1814, -0.2298, -0.1795, -0.1625, -0.1661, -0.195, -0.1818, -0.1607, -0.1664, -0.1726, -0.1869, -0.2273, -0.2106, -0.2265, -0.2384, -0.2074, -0.2045, -0.2115, -0.2145, -0.2145, -0.2122, -0.2158, -0.2087, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.191, -0.151, -0.1671, -0.1815, -0.1818, -0.1875, -0.1763, -0.1493, -0.1196, -0.1424, -0.1386, -0.1386, -0.1939, -0.1883, -0.1953, -0.1949, -0.2115, -0.196, -0.1979, -0.2441, -0.2458, -0.2978, -0.3124, -0.3398, -0.4267, -0.3699, -0.363, -0.3811, -0.3919, -0.4116, -0.3811, -0.3811, -0.3903, -0.4038, -0.3954, -0.3899, -0.4196, -0.4199, -0.377]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1959617023492956182", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-24T14:01:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Within months, $146,000 is locked in. $172,000, $200,000, and $250,000 all possible. BTC price always lags value.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC: $146K locked in within months, $172K–$250K possible; price lags value, patience needed.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is playing dead as it tends to do but by now you should be smart enough to see right through this act. In actuality, Bitcoin has never been stronger. Within months, $146,000 is locked in. $172,000, $200,000, and $250,000 all possible. BTC price always lags value. Patience", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "ret_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "ret_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "ret_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "ret_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "price_path": [-0.0211, -0.0407, -0.0556, -0.0385, -0.0426, -0.049, -0.0776, -0.0521, 0.0015, 0.0012, -0.0131, -0.0381, -0.0366, -0.0302, -0.0502, -0.0476, -0.0494, -0.0619, -0.0413, -0.037, -0.0251, -0.0287, -0.0276, -0.0271, -0.0402, -0.0115, -0.0043, -0.019, -0.0166, -0.0107, 0.0109, 0.0532, 0.0671, 0.0883, 0.0695, 0.0782, 0.0832, 0.0715, 0.0664, 0.0896, 0.0784, 0.0749, 0.0682, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.07, 0.0512, 0.029, 0.0449, 0.0365, 0.0445, 0.0669, 0.0596, 0.0782, 0.0912, 0.12, 0.0748, 0.0661, 0.0556, 0.0246, 0.0377, 0.0208, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.01, 0.022, -0.0156, -0.0079, 0.0098, 0.0145, 0.0054, 0.0048, 0.0177, 0.0128, 0.0348, 0.0489, 0.0543, 0.0483, 0.061, 0.0576, 0.0637, 0.0505, 0.0238, 0.0172, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0037, 0.0388, 0.0357, 0.0774, 0.0959, 0.1103, 0.1328, 0.1029, 0.1201, 0.1052, 0.0281, 0.0467, 0.0272, 0.006, -0.0176, -0.0332, 0.0042, -0.015, -0.0221, -0.0005, 0.0083, 0.0363, 0.0257, -0.0006, -0.0165, -0.0052, -0.0325, -0.0775, -0.0566, -0.0801, -0.0613, -0.0375, -0.0647, -0.0768, -0.0947, -0.1428, -0.1637, -0.156, -0.1694, -0.2133, -0.2273, -0.1984, -0.2069, -0.178, -0.1711, -0.1744, -0.2161, -0.1705, -0.1507, -0.1633, -0.1883, -0.1769, -0.1583, -0.1644, -0.1599, -0.1803, -0.2153, -0.2023, -0.2178, -0.2239, -0.2, -0.1965, -0.2062, -0.2044, -0.2079, -0.2072, -0.2087, -0.197, -0.2054, -0.1943, -0.1832, -0.1475, -0.1489, -0.1709, -0.1734, -0.1781, -0.1719, -0.1344, -0.1198, -0.1323, -0.1326, -0.1596, -0.1981, -0.1884, -0.1876, -0.1872, -0.1985, -0.1909, -0.1901, -0.2321, -0.2361, -0.2855, -0.3132, -0.3369, -0.4306, -0.3593, -0.3633, -0.3753, -0.3917, -0.3987, -0.3747, -0.3749, -0.3871]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1959802607565668641", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-25T02:18:47+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "on the way up to $1M+ per coin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Casually bullish BTC to $1M+; dismisses concern over a 2% dip as noise on the way up.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JaguarAnalytics So Bitcoin doesn’t matter but now you’re going to post about it every time it drops 2% on the way up to $1M+ per coin? Interesting strategy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC Bitcoin gave up all gains from Friday https://t.co/jYSnSjIQEQ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JaguarAnalytics", "ret_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06129193297605262, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05687155439684988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015240086898922645, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011053214193819105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "ret_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007934283381492713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011949988884767948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "ret_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017979878098651536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "ret_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21332659663078324, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23180083985707178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "ret_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38710904725105855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45605619510311657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017163764514220636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017979878098651536, "price_path": [-0.0211, -0.0407, -0.0556, -0.0385, -0.0426, -0.049, -0.0776, -0.0521, 0.0015, 0.0012, -0.0131, -0.0381, -0.0366, -0.0302, -0.0502, -0.0476, -0.0494, -0.0619, -0.0413, -0.037, -0.0251, -0.0287, -0.0276, -0.0271, -0.0402, -0.0115, -0.0043, -0.019, -0.0166, -0.0107, 0.0109, 0.0532, 0.0671, 0.0883, 0.0695, 0.0782, 0.0832, 0.0715, 0.0664, 0.0896, 0.0784, 0.0749, 0.0682, 0.0708, 0.0708, 0.07, 0.0512, 0.029, 0.0449, 0.0365, 0.0445, 0.0669, 0.0596, 0.0782, 0.0912, 0.12, 0.0748, 0.0661, 0.0556, 0.0246, 0.0377, 0.0208, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.01, 0.022, -0.0156, -0.0079, 0.0098, 0.0145, 0.0054, 0.0048, 0.0177, 0.0128, 0.0348, 0.0489, 0.0543, 0.0483, 0.061, 0.0576, 0.0637, 0.0505, 0.0238, 0.0172, 0.0291, -0.0098, -0.0037, 0.0388, 0.0357, 0.0774, 0.0959, 0.1103, 0.1328, 0.1029, 0.1201, 0.1052, 0.0281, 0.0467, 0.0272, 0.006, -0.0176, -0.0332, 0.0042, -0.015, -0.0221, -0.0005, 0.0083, 0.0363, 0.0257, -0.0006, -0.0165, -0.0052, -0.0325, -0.0775, -0.0566, -0.0801, -0.0613, -0.0375, -0.0647, -0.0768, -0.0947, -0.1428, -0.1637, -0.156, -0.1694, -0.2133, -0.2273, -0.1984, -0.2069, -0.178, -0.1711, -0.1744, -0.2161, -0.1705, -0.1507, -0.1633, -0.1883, -0.1769, -0.1583, -0.1644, -0.1599, -0.1803, -0.2153, -0.2023, -0.2178, -0.2239, -0.2, -0.1965, -0.2062, -0.2044, -0.2079, -0.2072, -0.2087, -0.197, -0.2054, -0.1943, -0.1832, -0.1475, -0.1489, -0.1709, -0.1734, -0.1781, -0.1719, -0.1344, -0.1198, -0.1323, -0.1326, -0.1596, -0.1981, -0.1884, -0.1876, -0.1872, -0.1985, -0.1909, -0.1901, -0.2321, -0.2361, -0.2855, -0.3132, -0.3369, -0.4306, -0.3593, -0.3633, -0.3753, -0.3917, -0.3987, -0.3747, -0.3749, -0.3871]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1946401055396561049", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-19T02:45:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are SO early", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish BTC; block reward still 3.125 BTC for ~3 more years signals we're very early in the cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Miners are still getting 3.125 Bitcoin per block for almost 3 more years. Do you realize how insanely high that is? We are SO early. https://t.co/ojOIELnD9l", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004799810221496337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006692365157901503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02176332622218302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021620130783080338, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "ret_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004129252412528039, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008864433247670611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "ret_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03924027130715735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05679834839361009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "ret_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07879373568620185, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13239299574168206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "ret_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18833314562593084, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2980380275794975, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.2022, -0.2001, -0.1935, -0.1913, -0.1972, -0.1978, -0.1784, -0.1748, -0.1932, -0.1757, -0.1738, -0.1209, -0.1232, -0.1245, -0.113, -0.1184, -0.1166, -0.1188, -0.1008, -0.0907, -0.0661, -0.0491, -0.0864, -0.0681, -0.0719, -0.0821, -0.1005, -0.1145, -0.0984, -0.1022, -0.1082, -0.1351, -0.1111, -0.0608, -0.0612, -0.0745, -0.098, -0.0966, -0.0906, -0.1093, -0.1069, -0.1086, -0.1203, -0.101, -0.097, -0.0858, -0.0892, -0.0881, -0.0877, -0.1, -0.0731, -0.0663, -0.0801, -0.0778, -0.0723, -0.0521, -0.0124, 0.0007, 0.0205, 0.0029, 0.0111, 0.0158, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0112, 0.0079, 0.0017, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0033, -0.0143, -0.0351, -0.0202, -0.0281, -0.0205, 0.0005, -0.0064, 0.011, 0.0233, 0.0503, 0.0078, -0.0004, -0.0101, -0.0392, -0.0269, -0.0427, -0.0048, -0.0623, -0.048, -0.0529, -0.0417, -0.0769, -0.0697, -0.0531, -0.0487, -0.0572, -0.0578, -0.0457, -0.0503, -0.0297, -0.0165, -0.0114, -0.017, -0.0051, -0.0083, -0.0026, -0.0149, -0.0399, -0.0462, -0.035, -0.0714, -0.0658, -0.0259, -0.0288, 0.0103, 0.0276, 0.0411, 0.0623, 0.0342, 0.0504, 0.0363, -0.036, -0.0185, -0.0368, -0.0567, -0.0788, -0.0934, -0.0583, -0.0763, -0.083, -0.0628, -0.0545, -0.0283, -0.0382, -0.0629, -0.0778, -0.0671, -0.0927, -0.135, -0.1154, -0.1374, -0.1198, -0.0974, -0.123, -0.1343, -0.1511, -0.1962, -0.2158, -0.2085, -0.2212, -0.2623, -0.2755, -0.2484, -0.2563, -0.2292, -0.2227, -0.2258, -0.265, -0.2222, -0.2036, -0.2154, -0.2389, -0.2282, -0.2107, -0.2164, -0.2123, -0.2313, -0.2641, -0.252, -0.2665, -0.2723, -0.2498, -0.2465, -0.2557, -0.254, -0.2572, -0.2566, -0.258, -0.247, -0.2549, -0.2444, -0.2341, -0.2006, -0.2019, -0.2225, -0.2249, -0.2293, -0.2235, -0.1883]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943821256157262205", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-11T23:54:36+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm up to 165,000 shares and still adding", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long OSCR, holding 165K shares and still adding; views recent decline as a better entry price.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant Agreed. I’m up to 165,000 shares and still adding. I appreciate the fear and inexperience that’s giving me a better entry price.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What’s really going on with Oscar Health $OSCR 👇\n\nThe recent decline should not be misread as a reflection of deteriorating fundamentals. Quite simply, $OSCR has received WAY too much attention on social media and the market is doing a sentiment check on who are the REAL", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": -0.046419085729882736, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.046419085729882736, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044514535847822057, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04760403537469671, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0011849496448139707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010610069510715747, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010610069510715747, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006336857321359468, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007385735220252654, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0179958047309684, "ret_p1w": -0.09681697914678533, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09681697914678533, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10315494346415488, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06763831274747778, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02917866639930755, "ret_p1m": -0.006631325064698657, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006631325064698657, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035247969781748156, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0218066615740915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028437986638790158, "ret_p3m": 0.3620690331196925, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3620690331196925, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.284908342365535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2893486987123237, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0727203344073688, "ret_p6m": 0.09549075207844715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09549075207844715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01809244276521338, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08564891055238477, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18113966263083192, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006631325064698657, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.035247969781748156, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0218066615740915, "price_path": [-0.181, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2281, -0.2308, -0.2036, -0.2023, -0.189, -0.1631, -0.128, -0.1373, -0.1346, -0.1247, -0.1379, -0.1333, 0.1286, 0.1313, 0.1346, 0.1154, 0.122, 0.0968, 0.0981, 0.1618, 0.1107, 0.0922, -0.0146, -0.0471, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.0046, -0.0789, -0.0849, -0.0849, -0.0544, -0.055, -0.0617, 0.0378, 0.0225, -0.0212, -0.0259, -0.0617, -0.0491, -0.0749, -0.0086, 0.0683, 0.2447, 0.2447, 0.4072, 0.3541, 0.3276, 0.2725, 0.3581, 0.3534, 0.4218, 0.3561, 0.1021, 0.0922, 0.0922, 0.1147, 0.0975, 0.0663, 0.0298, -0.0464, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.0179, -0.0802, -0.1101, -0.0968, -0.0252, 0.0524, -0.0584, -0.0418, -0.0272, -0.0822, -0.0716, -0.0683, -0.0995, -0.0822, -0.0836, -0.0491, 0.0053, 0.0252, 0.0351, -0.0066, -0.0099, -0.0265, 0.0371, 0.1041, 0.1028, 0.0126, 0.0225, 0.1141, 0.1081, 0.1326, 0.1286, 0.1432, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.0895, 0.1724, 0.2188, 0.2885, 0.3448, 0.3296, 0.2918, 0.2885, 0.2818, 0.242, 0.189, 0.1784, 0.2672, 0.258, 0.2268, 0.1777, 0.2228, 0.1996, 0.2215, 0.2686, 0.2553, 0.2533, 0.2785, 0.4363, 0.4794, 0.4901, 0.4456, 0.3621, 0.2447, 0.3528, 0.372, 0.3707, 0.3946, 0.2858, 0.3382, 0.4436, 0.3508, 0.3011, 0.2792, 0.3044, 0.2958, 0.254, 0.1996, 0.1936, 0.1711, 0.1379, 0.1293, 0.0981, 0.1751, -0.0312, -0.0153, 0.0013, -0.0749, -0.0796, -0.055, -0.0245, -0.0663, -0.1359, -0.1061, 0.0935, 0.1094, 0.2042, 0.2042, 0.1916, 0.1041, 0.1174, 0.134, 0.1393, 0.1121, 0.1094, 0.1247, 0.0338, 0.0524, 0.1028, 0.0703, 0.0418, 0.0206, -0.0186, -0.0119, -0.0033, -0.0159, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0113, -0.0365, -0.0378, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0073, 0.0988, 0.0955]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1944440572569121091", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-13T16:55:33+00:00", "symbol": "bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Their equity values will be orders of magnitude higher from here before the next halving", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bitcoin miners' equity values will be orders of magnitude higher before the next halving; strongly bullish on quality BTC miners.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US Bitcoin miners ETF WGMI", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@QuentinCooper Their equity values will be orders of magnitude higher from here before the next halving.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What will that mean for the quality bitcoin miners?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "QuentinCooper", "ret_m1d": -0.030895542338962967, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030895542338962967, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028990992456902287, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028990992456902287, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02033634978372445, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02033634978372445, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01606313759436817, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01606313759436817, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": 0.035588574824907404, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.035588574824907404, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029250610507537855, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029250610507537855, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": -0.006257326919111961, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006257326919111961, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03487397163616146, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03487397163616146, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 1.2514665773139337, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2514665773139337, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1743058865597762, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1743058865597762, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": 0.7594838566843434, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7594838566843434, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6459006618406828, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6459006618406828, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.5342, -0.5291, -0.5291, -0.5409, -0.4877, -0.4716, -0.4501, -0.4306, -0.4396, -0.4451, -0.465, -0.4294, -0.4145, -0.4423, -0.4314, -0.4294, -0.3926, -0.3919, -0.361, -0.3273, -0.3371, -0.352, -0.2961, -0.291, -0.2964, -0.3058, -0.2917, -0.3113, -0.3113, -0.2867, -0.3246, -0.3391, -0.3559, -0.3273, -0.2992, -0.2495, -0.2882, -0.2346, -0.2116, -0.2069, -0.2178, -0.2331, -0.2624, -0.2296, -0.2695, -0.2687, -0.2687, -0.2734, -0.2925, -0.2405, -0.2382, -0.1592, -0.151, -0.1107, -0.097, -0.0164, 0.018, 0.018, -0.0266, -0.0262, -0.0129, -0.0031, -0.0309, 0.0, -0.0203, 0.0235, 0.0493, 0.0461, 0.0356, 0.0778, 0.0692, 0.0602, 0.0387, 0.0219, -0.0258, -0.0336, -0.0121, -0.0841, -0.0289, -0.0282, 0.0063, -0.0078, -0.0239, -0.0199, -0.0063, -0.0027, 0.0548, 0.0442, 0.1064, 0.0403, 0.0665, 0.0512, 0.1064, 0.1189, 0.1494, 0.1463, 0.1603, 0.1975, 0.1975, 0.2374, 0.2006, 0.1408, 0.1517, 0.1611, 0.2957, 0.388, 0.395, 0.4595, 0.5147, 0.5589, 0.6093, 0.6074, 0.6253, 0.7196, 0.6777, 0.7599, 0.6488, 0.5882, 0.729, 0.7302, 0.7626, 0.8181, 0.8846, 1.045, 1.0876, 1.1658, 1.2515, 1.1643, 1.3801, 1.4947, 1.5772, 1.3203, 1.2773, 1.3375, 1.1905, 1.007, 1.1126, 1.332, 1.3794, 1.3262, 1.2937, 1.2178, 1.2444, 1.4036, 1.2855, 1.4318, 1.2116, 1.1545, 1.0954, 0.9574, 0.8666, 0.6414, 0.5855, 0.6003, 0.6359, 0.58, 0.5158, 0.4877, 0.6864, 0.7071, 0.8037, 0.8037, 0.894, 0.8483, 0.7083, 0.7783, 0.8494, 0.7806, 0.8158, 0.8549, 0.7955, 0.8123, 0.6715, 0.4834, 0.5002, 0.4278, 0.4662, 0.6074, 0.6496, 0.6234, 0.6351, 0.6351, 0.5546, 0.5397, 0.4967, 0.4967, 0.4967, 0.6445, 0.7974, 0.7595]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1954902936850768298", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-11T13:49:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This weekend was the wind-up for the imminent run to $130,000-$150,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC; weekend price action is wind-up for imminent run to $130K-$150K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Anyone who thinks what happened this weekend is just a weekend pump is either short, or not a serious market practitioner. This weekend was the wind-up for the imminent run to $130,000-$150,000. Focus on signal. There is a lot of noise on X.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1262, -0.1284, -0.1105, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0594, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.082, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.1241, -0.1082, -0.112, -0.1179, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0846, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1005, -0.119, -0.1166, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.0958, -0.0991, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0831, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0094, -0.008, 0.0001, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0092, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0076, -0.025, -0.0456, -0.0308, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0104, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0031, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0497, -0.0375, -0.0532, -0.0156, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.0521, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.059, -0.0674, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0606, -0.0402, -0.0272, -0.0221, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0191, -0.0134, -0.0256, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0007, 0.0164, 0.0298, 0.0507, 0.0229, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.0669, -0.0888, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.073, -0.0648, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0731, -0.0878, -0.0773, -0.1026, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1468, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1325, -0.1438, -0.1603, -0.2049, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2296, -0.2704, -0.2833, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2376, -0.2312, -0.2342, -0.273, -0.2306, -0.2123, -0.2239, -0.2471, -0.2366, -0.2193, -0.225, -0.2208, -0.2397, -0.2721, -0.2601, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2647, -0.2661, -0.2552, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2377, -0.2319, -0.1972, -0.1836, -0.1952, -0.1955, -0.2205, -0.2562, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2462, -0.2566, -0.2495, -0.2489, -0.2878, -0.2914, -0.3373, -0.363]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1940615557919002868", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-03T03:36:18+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN doesn't care about lines once it gets going", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; momentum will override technical resistance once breakout is underway.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nanotitan28 IREN doesn’t care about lines once it gets going", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN FIRST DAILY CLOSE ABOVE FEARED SECOND BOSS ZONE IN HISTORY NOT COUNTING IPO DUMP.\n\n3 consecutive higher closes through epic boss battle.\n\nDaily RSI may be hot, but the candles speak a language of their own. Engulfing —&gt; Hammer https://t.co/RmYFPKxTTn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nanotitan28", "ret_m1d": -0.06896550942085089, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06896550942085089, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.061145838595252355, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05824925882235976, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007819670825598535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010716250598491128, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.01248519593528341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01248519593528341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011717528254566512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021509502796238755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0007676676807168992, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009024306860955345, "ret_p1m": -0.0844233116562364, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0844233116562364, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07863427431387648, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.050770375193235684, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.005789037342359915, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033652936463000716, "ret_p3m": 1.7901308654373453, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.7901308654373453, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.721869034211932, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7740124994394204, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0682618312254133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016118365997924933, "ret_p6m": 1.395957191929171, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.395957191929171, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.285730316968213, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3431628810435583, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11022687496095784, "bench_c_p6m": 0.052794310885612594, "ret_p1y": 2.381093933633338, "ret_signed_p1y": 2.381093933633338, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.1775277871563445, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.3558381537784445, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20356614647699356, "bench_c_p1y": 0.0252557798548938, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0844233116562364, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07863427431387648, "alpha_c_stated": -0.050770375193235684, "price_path": [-0.6504, -0.6849, -0.6492, -0.6736, -0.6653, -0.6581, -0.676, -0.6748, -0.6677, -0.6677, -0.6724, -0.6397, -0.6373, -0.6254, -0.6112, -0.6201, -0.6272, -0.6367, -0.6213, -0.6118, -0.632, -0.6136, -0.6094, -0.5904, -0.5815, -0.5535, -0.5172, -0.5262, -0.5392, -0.5, -0.4923, -0.4881, -0.4715, -0.4483, -0.4578, -0.4578, -0.4507, -0.4732, -0.4887, -0.5012, -0.481, -0.4715, -0.4394, -0.4679, -0.4203, -0.3853, -0.3763, -0.3876, -0.3954, -0.4156, -0.3817, -0.4191, -0.4174, -0.4174, -0.3775, -0.3662, -0.3139, -0.2943, -0.2206, -0.1677, -0.1338, -0.0945, -0.069, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0077, 0.0042, 0.0083, 0.0125, -0.0351, 0.0273, 0.0036, 0.0291, 0.0731, 0.0666, 0.0791, 0.1052, 0.129, 0.0785, 0.0535, -0.0143, -0.0612, -0.0404, -0.0422, -0.0844, -0.0202, -0.022, 0.0892, 0.104, 0.0969, 0.0684, 0.06, 0.0541, 0.1344, 0.1706, 0.231, 0.1136, 0.1748, 0.1647, 0.2741, 0.3746, 0.3668, 0.3291, 0.3698, 0.5743, 0.5743, 0.7307, 0.6772, 0.5535, 0.5547, 0.5571, 0.7949, 0.9994, 0.953, 1.019, 1.2081, 1.1671, 1.2533, 1.1593, 1.2973, 1.4911, 1.4834, 1.8026, 1.7521, 1.4887, 1.7307, 1.7901, 1.799, 1.7955, 2.0, 2.4334, 2.6671, 2.5725, 2.7961, 2.5535, 2.8133, 3.1356, 3.0416, 2.676, 2.61, 2.5208, 2.2815, 2.0815, 2.321, 2.7396, 2.8639, 2.7111, 2.5922, 2.4614, 2.6118, 3.0279, 2.9614, 3.5428, 2.981, 2.7087, 2.5773, 2.4114, 2.3115, 1.8924, 1.7568, 1.8187, 1.9043, 1.7247, 1.5844, 1.5125, 1.8829, 1.8222, 1.8805, 1.8805, 1.8424, 1.8829, 1.4447, 1.6136, 1.7616, 1.6581, 1.7551, 1.7848, 1.6112, 1.6124, 1.3859, 1.1094, 1.1754, 1.0083, 1.1284, 1.3734, 1.4994, 1.5012, 1.4958, 1.4958, 1.396]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1943437048054247718", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-10T22:27:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's heading rapidly to $200,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $200K; dismisses euphoria narrative, argues mainstream awareness still absent.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Anyone who thinks there is any euphoria in the Bitcoin market is either a complete beginner or needs to go outside and talk to normal people on the street. The average person has no idea what Bitcoin actually is and still hasn’t noticed that it’s heading rapidly to $200,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040182436613090844, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04371034574778376, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04371034574778376, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013189291760499877, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011281107646610167, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011281107646610167, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "ret_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028474181082207117, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02212412276201281, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02212412276201281, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "ret_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013675194002670477, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013675194002670477, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "ret_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047110194403181094, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03524146266319095, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03524146266319095, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "ret_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22452914727527185, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33364119893785016, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33364119893785016, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006048283074331584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013675194002670477, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013675194002670477, "price_path": [-0.2711, -0.2786, -0.2755, -0.2681, -0.2719, -0.2454, -0.1944, -0.1922, -0.1901, -0.1834, -0.1811, -0.1871, -0.1878, -0.1681, -0.1645, -0.1831, -0.1654, -0.1634, -0.1099, -0.1122, -0.1136, -0.1019, -0.1073, -0.1056, -0.1078, -0.0895, -0.0793, -0.0544, -0.0372, -0.075, -0.0564, -0.0603, -0.0706, -0.0892, -0.1034, -0.0871, -0.091, -0.097, -0.1242, -0.1, -0.0491, -0.0494, -0.0629, -0.0867, -0.0853, -0.0792, -0.0982, -0.0957, -0.0974, -0.1093, -0.0897, -0.0857, -0.0744, -0.0778, -0.0767, -0.0763, -0.0887, -0.0615, -0.0547, -0.0686, -0.0663, -0.0607, -0.0402, 0.0, 0.0132, 0.0333, 0.0154, 0.0237, 0.0285, 0.0174, 0.0125, 0.0346, 0.0239, 0.0205, 0.0142, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.0159, -0.002, -0.023, -0.0079, -0.0159, -0.0083, 0.013, 0.006, 0.0237, 0.0361, 0.0634, 0.0205, 0.0122, 0.0023, -0.0272, -0.0148, -0.0308, 0.0076, -0.0505, -0.0361, -0.0411, -0.0297, -0.0653, -0.0581, -0.0413, -0.0368, -0.0454, -0.046, -0.0338, -0.0384, -0.0175, -0.0041, 0.001, -0.0047, 0.0074, 0.0041, 0.0099, -0.0026, -0.0279, -0.0343, -0.0229, -0.0598, -0.0541, -0.0137, -0.0166, 0.0229, 0.0405, 0.0541, 0.0756, 0.0471, 0.0635, 0.0493, -0.0239, -0.0062, -0.0247, -0.0449, -0.0673, -0.0821, -0.0465, -0.0648, -0.0715, -0.051, -0.0427, -0.0161, -0.0261, -0.0511, -0.0662, -0.0554, -0.0814, -0.1241, -0.1043, -0.1266, -0.1088, -0.0861, -0.112, -0.1235, -0.1404, -0.1861, -0.206, -0.1986, -0.2114, -0.2531, -0.2664, -0.239, -0.247, -0.2196, -0.213, -0.2161, -0.2558, -0.2124, -0.1936, -0.2056, -0.2293, -0.2185, -0.2008, -0.2066, -0.2024, -0.2217, -0.2549, -0.2426, -0.2573, -0.2632, -0.2404, -0.2371, -0.2463, -0.2446, -0.2479, -0.2473, -0.2487, -0.2376, -0.2455, -0.235, -0.2245]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1952208223215534406", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-04T03:21:25+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Only truly skilled investors can tell when a \"growth\" stock is actually a deep value stock", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish thesis on IREN as a deep value play in the AI+BTC era.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moneyqubit Only truly skilled investors can tell when a “growth” stock is actually a deep value stock", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The biggest value stock of the AI + BTC era is hiding in plain sight.\n\n$IREN is not just early but massively undervalued.\n\nWhen 2.9 GW gets priced in, $3.7B MC will look like a typo.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moneyqubit", "ret_m1d": -0.06553397777336945, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06553397777336945, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05056168960319107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.055709384476561596, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009824593296807849, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001820314328285777, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001820314328285777, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003249612015326808, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0022250757121502485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0040453900404360255, "ret_p1w": 0.09041260998214629, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09041260998214629, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08288691667798065, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0919536611984797, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015410512163334111, "ret_p1m": 0.7663835812462256, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7663835812462256, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7519658621010206, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7340197146509622, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03236386659526347, "ret_p3m": 2.5327671624924513, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.5327671624924513, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.4526859091351674, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5232903318430098, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009476830649441492, "ret_p6m": 2.640170105874055, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.640170105874055, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.53194408340697, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.612230884635519, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.027939221238536538, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7663835812462256, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7519658621010206, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7340197146509622, "price_path": [-0.6013, -0.5819, -0.5728, -0.5443, -0.5073, -0.5164, -0.5297, -0.4897, -0.4818, -0.4775, -0.4606, -0.4369, -0.4466, -0.4466, -0.4393, -0.4624, -0.4782, -0.4909, -0.4703, -0.4606, -0.4278, -0.4569, -0.4084, -0.3726, -0.3635, -0.375, -0.3829, -0.4035, -0.3689, -0.4072, -0.4053, -0.4053, -0.3647, -0.3532, -0.2998, -0.2797, -0.2045, -0.1505, -0.1159, -0.0758, -0.0498, 0.0206, 0.0206, 0.0285, 0.0249, 0.0291, 0.0334, -0.0152, 0.0485, 0.0243, 0.0504, 0.0953, 0.0886, 0.1013, 0.128, 0.1523, 0.1007, 0.0752, 0.0061, -0.0419, -0.0206, -0.0225, -0.0655, 0.0, -0.0018, 0.1117, 0.1268, 0.1195, 0.0904, 0.0819, 0.0758, 0.1578, 0.1948, 0.2564, 0.1365, 0.199, 0.1887, 0.3004, 0.4029, 0.395, 0.3565, 0.3981, 0.6068, 0.6068, 0.7664, 0.7118, 0.5856, 0.5868, 0.5892, 0.8319, 1.0407, 0.9933, 1.0607, 1.2536, 1.2118, 1.2998, 1.2039, 1.3447, 1.5425, 1.5346, 1.8604, 1.8089, 1.54, 1.787, 1.8477, 1.8568, 1.8532, 2.0619, 2.5042, 2.7427, 2.6462, 2.8744, 2.6268, 2.892, 3.2209, 3.125, 2.7518, 2.6845, 2.5934, 2.3492, 2.145, 2.3896, 2.8167, 2.9436, 2.7876, 2.6663, 2.5328, 2.6863, 3.111, 3.0431, 3.6365, 3.0631, 2.7852, 2.6511, 2.4818, 2.3799, 1.9521, 1.8137, 1.8768, 1.9642, 1.7809, 1.6377, 1.5643, 1.9424, 1.8805, 1.9399, 1.9399, 1.9011, 1.9424, 1.4951, 1.6675, 1.8186, 1.713, 1.8119, 1.8422, 1.665, 1.6663, 1.4351, 1.1529, 1.2203, 1.0498, 1.1723, 1.4223, 1.551, 1.5528, 1.5473, 1.5473, 1.4454, 1.3914, 1.324, 1.2919, 1.2919, 1.591, 1.9272, 1.7858, 1.6471, 1.7718, 1.7931, 2.054, 2.2154, 2.2087, 2.1487, 2.5085, 2.5085, 2.2925, 2.2451, 2.1711, 2.4393, 2.1772, 2.6402]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1948124947270017357", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-23T20:55:56+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$315k minimum", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC, sees $315k minimum, well above parent's 130-140k cycle top estimate.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "lt", "tweet_text": "@Nakamotolisk NO.\n\n$315k minimum", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "BTC is going to push up to 130k+ IMO. \n\nPotential cycle top at 140k", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Nakamotolisk", "ret_m1d": 0.01044548467876516, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01044548467876516, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010776502057712523, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010776502057712523, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0032584822936673197, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0032584822936673197, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007482820446158445, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007482820446158445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "ret_p1w": -0.007778819766411038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007778819766411038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004090354297029308, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004090354297029308, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "ret_p1m": -0.05335296847796156, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05335296847796156, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07051820879336879, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07051820879336879, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "ret_p3m": -0.06876370625306116, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06876370625306116, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12981331051560774, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12981331051560774, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "ret_p6m": -0.1953920346090805, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1953920346090805, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2918691556469517, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2918691556469517, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05335296847796156, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07051820879336879, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07051820879336879, "price_path": [-0.2024, -0.2002, -0.2061, -0.2067, -0.1875, -0.1839, -0.2022, -0.1849, -0.1829, -0.1306, -0.1329, -0.1342, -0.1228, -0.1281, -0.1264, -0.1285, -0.1107, -0.1007, -0.0764, -0.0596, -0.0966, -0.0784, -0.0822, -0.0922, -0.1104, -0.1243, -0.1084, -0.1122, -0.1181, -0.1447, -0.121, -0.0712, -0.0716, -0.0848, -0.108, -0.1066, -0.1007, -0.1192, -0.1168, -0.1185, -0.1301, -0.111, -0.107, -0.0959, -0.0993, -0.0982, -0.0978, -0.1099, -0.0833, -0.0767, -0.0903, -0.088, -0.0826, -0.0626, -0.0233, -0.0104, 0.0092, -0.0082, -0.0001, 0.0045, -0.0063, -0.0111, 0.0104, 0.0, -0.0033, -0.0094, -0.007, -0.007, -0.0078, -0.0252, -0.0458, -0.031, -0.0388, -0.0314, -0.0106, -0.0174, -0.0002, 0.0119, 0.0386, -0.0033, -0.0114, -0.0211, -0.0499, -0.0377, -0.0534, -0.0158, -0.0727, -0.0585, -0.0634, -0.0523, -0.0871, -0.08, -0.0636, -0.0592, -0.0676, -0.0682, -0.0563, -0.0608, -0.0404, -0.0273, -0.0223, -0.0279, -0.0161, -0.0193, -0.0136, -0.0258, -0.0506, -0.0568, -0.0457, -0.0817, -0.0761, -0.0367, -0.0396, -0.0009, 0.0162, 0.0296, 0.0505, 0.0227, 0.0387, 0.0248, -0.0467, -0.0293, -0.0475, -0.0671, -0.089, -0.1035, -0.0688, -0.0865, -0.0932, -0.0731, -0.065, -0.039, -0.0488, -0.0733, -0.088, -0.0775, -0.1028, -0.1445, -0.1252, -0.147, -0.1295, -0.1074, -0.1327, -0.1439, -0.1605, -0.2051, -0.2245, -0.2173, -0.2298, -0.2705, -0.2835, -0.2567, -0.2645, -0.2378, -0.2313, -0.2344, -0.2731, -0.2308, -0.2124, -0.2241, -0.2473, -0.2367, -0.2195, -0.2251, -0.221, -0.2399, -0.2723, -0.2603, -0.2746, -0.2803, -0.2581, -0.2549, -0.2639, -0.2622, -0.2654, -0.2649, -0.2662, -0.2554, -0.2631, -0.2528, -0.2426, -0.2094, -0.2107, -0.2311, -0.2335, -0.2378, -0.2321, -0.1973, -0.1838, -0.1954]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1949222718190322140", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-26T21:38:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going a lot higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC on demonstrated market depth absorbing $9B supply; expects significantly higher prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tyler_Neville_ Yes, a sign of market depth and liquidity. We are going a lot higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "FWIW I traded for a $100 bln fund and moving a 1% position would sometimes take weeks given the liquidity in the stock, size of the company and footprint you’d leave.\n\nIt is incredible the market took $9 bln BTC of supply so well, and shows the depth of the BTC market now- super", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tyler_Neville_", "ret_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00269840812996458, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00261791918060994, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "ret_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015130939876933258, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "ret_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06481835947312753, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "ret_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12419990436154116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "ret_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3210296503969656, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06481835947312753, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1817, -0.1782, -0.1965, -0.1791, -0.1772, -0.1245, -0.1268, -0.1281, -0.1166, -0.122, -0.1202, -0.1224, -0.1045, -0.0944, -0.0699, -0.053, -0.0902, -0.0719, -0.0757, -0.0858, -0.1042, -0.1181, -0.1021, -0.1059, -0.1119, -0.1386, -0.1148, -0.0647, -0.065, -0.0783, -0.1017, -0.1003, -0.0944, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1123, -0.1239, -0.1047, -0.1007, -0.0896, -0.093, -0.0919, -0.0915, -0.1037, -0.0769, -0.0702, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0761, -0.056, -0.0164, -0.0035, 0.0163, -0.0012, 0.0069, 0.0116, 0.0007, -0.0041, 0.0176, 0.007, 0.0038, -0.0024, 0.0, -0.0, -0.0008, -0.0184, -0.039, -0.0242, -0.0321, -0.0246, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0068, 0.0191, 0.046, 0.0037, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0089, -0.0661, -0.0519, -0.0568, -0.0456, -0.0807, -0.0736, -0.057, -0.0526, -0.0611, -0.0617, -0.0496, -0.0542, -0.0337, -0.0205, -0.0155, -0.021, -0.0092, -0.0123, -0.0067, -0.019, -0.0439, -0.0501, -0.039, -0.0753, -0.0696, -0.0299, -0.0328, 0.0061, 0.0234, 0.0368, 0.0579, 0.0299, 0.046, 0.0321, -0.0399, -0.0225, -0.0408, -0.0606, -0.0826, -0.0972, -0.0622, -0.0801, -0.0868, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0323, -0.0421, -0.0667, -0.0816, -0.071, -0.0965, -0.1385, -0.119, -0.141, -0.1234, -0.1011, -0.1266, -0.1379, -0.1546, -0.1995, -0.219, -0.2118, -0.2244, -0.2654, -0.2784, -0.2515, -0.2593, -0.2324, -0.2259, -0.229, -0.268, -0.2253, -0.2069, -0.2186, -0.242, -0.2314, -0.214, -0.2197, -0.2155, -0.2345, -0.2672, -0.2551, -0.2695, -0.2753, -0.2529, -0.2496, -0.2587, -0.2571, -0.2602, -0.2597, -0.2611, -0.2501, -0.2579, -0.2476, -0.2373, -0.2039, -0.2052, -0.2257, -0.2281, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.1917, -0.178, -0.1897, -0.1899, -0.2151, -0.2511]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1950911046677373016", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-31T13:26:54+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You don't have to be a VC to own IREN shares", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends owning IREN as a retail-accessible way to get energy exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@abpmoon @chamath You don’t have to be a VC to own IREN shares", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @chamath How do you get into energy like you did bitcoin? Only VCs seems to have capital and resources?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "abpmoon", "ret_m1d": 0.0018621215493683785, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018621215493683785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0019032648188921364, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004439155149873697, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003765386368260515, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0063012766992420755, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.044072064861690574, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044072064861690574, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0276816456401483, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025550002552246265, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016390419221542274, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01852206230944431, "ret_p1w": 0.1527001236047112, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1527001236047112, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15243104888199688, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17179517046909276, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0002690747227143131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01909504686438157, "ret_p1m": 0.6436994747983729, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6436994747983729, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.623179891118282, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6127657059987504, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02051958368009088, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030933768799622507, "ret_p3m": 2.8746117817548082, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.8746117817548082, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.7846154644465866, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.859442041552929, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08999631730822188, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015169740201879112, "ret_p6m": 2.5183114933438153, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.5183114933438153, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.4216416152241207, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.498055757007252, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09666987811969485, "bench_c_p6m": 0.020255736336563412, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6436994747983729, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.623179891118282, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6127657059987504, "price_path": [-0.6158, -0.5965, -0.5922, -0.5723, -0.563, -0.5338, -0.496, -0.5053, -0.5189, -0.478, -0.4699, -0.4655, -0.4482, -0.424, -0.4339, -0.4339, -0.4264, -0.45, -0.4662, -0.4792, -0.4581, -0.4482, -0.4146, -0.4444, -0.3948, -0.3582, -0.3489, -0.3606, -0.3687, -0.3898, -0.3544, -0.3935, -0.3917, -0.3917, -0.3501, -0.3383, -0.2837, -0.2632, -0.1862, -0.131, -0.0956, -0.0546, -0.0279, 0.0441, 0.0441, 0.0521, 0.0484, 0.0528, 0.0571, 0.0074, 0.0726, 0.0478, 0.0745, 0.1204, 0.1136, 0.1266, 0.1539, 0.1788, 0.126, 0.0999, 0.0292, -0.0199, 0.0019, 0.0, -0.0441, 0.023, 0.0211, 0.1372, 0.1527, 0.1453, 0.1155, 0.1068, 0.1006, 0.1844, 0.2222, 0.2852, 0.1626, 0.2266, 0.216, 0.3302, 0.4351, 0.4271, 0.3876, 0.4302, 0.6437, 0.6437, 0.807, 0.7511, 0.622, 0.6232, 0.6257, 0.874, 1.0875, 1.0391, 1.108, 1.3054, 1.2626, 1.3526, 1.2545, 1.3985, 1.6009, 1.5928, 1.9261, 1.8734, 1.5984, 1.851, 1.9131, 1.9224, 1.9187, 2.1322, 2.5847, 2.8287, 2.73, 2.9634, 2.7101, 2.9814, 3.3178, 3.2197, 2.838, 2.7691, 2.676, 2.4261, 2.2173, 2.4674, 2.9044, 3.0341, 2.8746, 2.7505, 2.6139, 2.7709, 3.2055, 3.1359, 3.743, 3.1564, 2.8721, 2.7349, 2.5618, 2.4575, 2.0199, 1.8783, 1.9429, 2.0323, 1.8448, 1.6983, 1.6232, 2.0099, 1.9466, 2.0074, 2.0074, 1.9677, 2.0099, 1.5525, 1.7287, 1.8833, 1.7753, 1.8765, 1.9075, 1.7263, 1.7275, 1.491, 1.2024, 1.2713, 1.0968, 1.2222, 1.478, 1.6096, 1.6114, 1.6058, 1.6058, 1.5016, 1.4463, 1.3774, 1.3445, 1.3445, 1.6505, 1.9944, 1.8498, 1.7079, 1.8355, 1.8572, 2.1241, 2.2893, 2.2824, 2.221, 2.5891, 2.5891, 2.3681, 2.3197, 2.2439, 2.5183]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1959750196201726093", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-24T22:50:31+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "#7 for the win and it's not particularly close", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Picks IREN as the standout 10x candidate from the list, with high conviction relative to peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheTechInvest #7 for the win and it’s not particularly close", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "POTENTIAL 10X IN 5 YEARS\n\n1- $OSCR\n2- $HIMS\n3- $NBIS\n4- $DUOL\n5- $SOUN\n6- $EOSE\n7- $IREN\n8- $ASTS\n9- $OKLO\n10- $ONDS\n11- $ACMR\n12- $ADUR\n13- $ACHR\n14- $TEM\n15- $TMDX\n17- $RKLB\n18- $ABCL\n19- $JOBY\n20- $NVTS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheTechInvest", "ret_m1d": -0.07309690625918042, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07309690625918042, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07751728483838316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07891742497873477, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005820518719554357, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005622883364892806, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005622883364892806, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009809756069996345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01332099815340948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0076981147885166745, "ret_p1w": 0.145328658349406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.145328658349406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14131295284613077, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13162222159309533, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01370643675631067, "ret_p1m": 0.8066608538734232, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8066608538734232, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7715172112605511, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7939500943693023, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012710759504120928, "ret_p3m": 0.8801902959681935, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8801902959681935, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.861716052741905, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9173992691230212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03720897315482763, "ret_p6m": 0.7720588120039873, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7720588120039873, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7031116641519293, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.785297922706874, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": -0.013239110702886747, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.6168, -0.628, -0.6371, -0.6224, -0.6155, -0.5921, -0.6129, -0.5783, -0.5528, -0.5463, -0.5545, -0.5601, -0.5748, -0.5502, -0.5774, -0.5761, -0.5761, -0.5471, -0.5389, -0.5009, -0.4866, -0.433, -0.3945, -0.3698, -0.3413, -0.3227, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2669, -0.2695, -0.2664, -0.2634, -0.298, -0.2526, -0.2699, -0.2513, -0.2193, -0.224, -0.215, -0.1959, -0.1786, -0.2154, -0.2336, -0.2829, -0.317, -0.3019, -0.3032, -0.3339, -0.2872, -0.2885, -0.2076, -0.1968, -0.202, -0.2228, -0.2288, -0.2331, -0.1747, -0.1484, -0.1045, -0.1899, -0.1453, -0.1527, -0.0731, 0.0, -0.0056, -0.0331, -0.0035, 0.1453, 0.1453, 0.2591, 0.2202, 0.1302, 0.1311, 0.1328, 0.3058, 0.4546, 0.4208, 0.4689, 0.6064, 0.5766, 0.6393, 0.5709, 0.6713, 0.8123, 0.8067, 1.0389, 1.0022, 0.8106, 0.9866, 1.0298, 1.0363, 1.0337, 1.1825, 1.4978, 1.6678, 1.599, 1.7617, 1.5852, 1.7742, 2.0087, 1.9403, 1.6743, 1.6263, 1.5614, 1.3873, 1.2418, 1.4161, 1.7206, 1.811, 1.6998, 1.6133, 1.5182, 1.6276, 1.9304, 1.8819, 2.3049, 1.8962, 1.6981, 1.6025, 1.4818, 1.4092, 1.1042, 1.0056, 1.0506, 1.1129, 0.9823, 0.8802, 0.8279, 1.0973, 1.0532, 1.0956, 1.0956, 1.0679, 1.0973, 0.7785, 0.9014, 1.0091, 0.9338, 1.0043, 1.026, 0.8997, 0.9005, 0.7357, 0.5346, 0.5826, 0.4611, 0.5484, 0.7266, 0.8183, 0.8196, 0.8157, 0.8157, 0.7431, 0.7046, 0.6566, 0.6337, 0.6337, 0.8469, 1.0865, 0.9857, 0.8869, 0.9758, 0.9909, 1.1769, 1.292, 1.2872, 1.2444, 1.5009, 1.5009, 1.3469, 1.3131, 1.2604, 1.4516, 1.2647, 1.5947, 1.7223, 1.5882, 1.3244, 1.2958, 1.3525, 0.9438, 0.721, 0.8093, 0.9961, 0.8568, 0.8456, 0.7314, 0.8261, 0.8261, 0.7721]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1940763771800318376", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-03T13:25:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "right now they are screaming that a major breakout in Bitcoin is upon us", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin miners signaling imminent major breakout; bullish BTC price discovery ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The miners are the true signal of imminent Bitcoin price discovery. They are closest to the protocol and means of production. They have the smartest and longest tenured capital bases. And right now they are screaming that a major breakout in Bitcoin is upon us. Pay attention.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007192620189853338, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007192620189853338, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006270506357451966, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006270506357451966, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007819670825598535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007819670825598535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014716556343200904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014716556343200904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014716556343200904, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014716556343200904, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.057814350626767874, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057814350626767874, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.057046682946050975, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.057046682946050975, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0007676676807168992, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0007676676807168992, "ret_p1m": 0.03348998759595778, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03348998759595778, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0392790249383177, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0392790249383177, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.005789037342359915, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005789037342359915, "ret_p3m": 0.040202377765606645, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.040202377765606645, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02805945345980665, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02805945345980665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0682618312254133, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0682618312254133, "ret_p6m": -0.20380263800182696, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20380263800182696, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3140295129627848, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3140295129627848, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11022687496095784, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11022687496095784, "ret_p1y": -0.41675070098264044, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41675070098264044, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.620316847459634, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.620316847459634, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20356614647699356, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20356614647699356, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03348998759595778, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0392790249383177, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0392790249383177, "price_path": [-0.2774, -0.3044, -0.2469, -0.2738, -0.2393, -0.229, -0.2369, -0.2336, -0.2257, -0.2298, -0.2018, -0.1478, -0.1455, -0.1432, -0.1361, -0.1338, -0.1401, -0.1408, -0.12, -0.1162, -0.1359, -0.1172, -0.1151, -0.0584, -0.0609, -0.0623, -0.05, -0.0557, -0.0538, -0.0562, -0.0369, -0.0261, 0.0003, 0.0185, -0.0215, -0.0019, -0.006, -0.0168, -0.0365, -0.0515, -0.0344, -0.0384, -0.0448, -0.0736, -0.048, 0.0059, 0.0056, -0.0088, -0.0339, -0.0324, -0.026, -0.046, -0.0435, -0.0453, -0.0578, -0.0371, -0.0329, -0.0209, -0.0245, -0.0233, -0.0229, -0.036, -0.0072, 0.0, -0.0147, -0.0123, -0.0064, 0.0153, 0.0578, 0.0718, 0.093, 0.0741, 0.0829, 0.0879, 0.0762, 0.0711, 0.0944, 0.0831, 0.0795, 0.0729, 0.0755, 0.0755, 0.0746, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0495, 0.041, 0.0491, 0.0716, 0.0642, 0.0828, 0.096, 0.1249, 0.0795, 0.0707, 0.0602, 0.029, 0.0422, 0.0253, 0.0659, 0.0043, 0.0197, 0.0144, 0.0264, -0.0113, -0.0036, 0.0142, 0.0189, 0.0098, 0.0091, 0.0221, 0.0172, 0.0393, 0.0534, 0.0589, 0.0529, 0.0656, 0.0622, 0.0683, 0.0551, 0.0283, 0.0216, 0.0336, -0.0055, 0.0006, 0.0433, 0.0402, 0.0821, 0.1006, 0.1151, 0.1378, 0.1076, 0.125, 0.11, 0.0325, 0.0513, 0.0317, 0.0104, -0.0133, -0.029, 0.0086, -0.0107, -0.0179, 0.0038, 0.0126, 0.0408, 0.0302, 0.0037, -0.0122, -0.0008, -0.0283, -0.0735, -0.0525, -0.0761, -0.0572, -0.0333, -0.0607, -0.0728, -0.0907, -0.1391, -0.1601, -0.1523, -0.1658, -0.2099, -0.224, -0.195, -0.2034, -0.1745, -0.1675, -0.1708, -0.2127, -0.1669, -0.147, -0.1597, -0.1848, -0.1734, -0.1546, -0.1608, -0.1563, -0.1767, -0.2118, -0.1989, -0.2144, -0.2206, -0.1965, -0.193, -0.2028, -0.201, -0.2044, -0.2038]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1957132372702626187", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-17T17:28:14+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "And data center developers exposed to AI and Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Endorses parent's 10x thesis and adds Bitcoin and AI/BTC-exposed data center developers as candidates.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dotkrueger And data center developers exposed to AI and Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Your house is not going to 10x in the next decade.\nNeither will Gold.\nNeither will the SP500.\nAnd certainly no Bond Portfolios.\n\nThe only candidates are Bitcoin, and some carefully selected pre-IPO startups.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dotkrueger", "ret_m1d": 0.009858204433567774, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009858204433567774, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009640540418360155, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009640540418360155, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029428514056440758, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029428514056440758, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024003317619223696, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024003317619223696, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "ret_p1w": -0.052712593889261306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.052712593889261306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.051422342234549556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.051422342234549556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "ret_p1m": 0.005082694591559189, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005082694591559189, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02087707277175066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02087707277175066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "ret_p3m": -0.1424042236794214, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1424042236794214, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18997642573033646, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18997642573033646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "ret_p6m": -0.40823576358964897, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40823576358964897, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.49029644033575526, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.49029644033575526, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0566, -0.0394, -0.0771, -0.0586, -0.0624, -0.0727, -0.0913, -0.1054, -0.0892, -0.0931, -0.0991, -0.1262, -0.102, -0.0513, -0.0516, -0.0651, -0.0888, -0.0874, -0.0813, -0.1002, -0.0978, -0.0995, -0.1113, -0.0918, -0.0878, -0.0765, -0.0799, -0.0788, -0.0784, -0.0908, -0.0636, -0.0568, -0.0707, -0.0684, -0.0628, -0.0424, -0.0023, 0.0109, 0.0309, 0.0131, 0.0214, 0.0261, 0.0151, 0.0102, 0.0322, 0.0215, 0.0182, 0.0119, 0.0144, 0.0144, 0.0136, -0.0043, -0.0252, -0.0102, -0.0182, -0.0105, 0.0107, 0.0038, 0.0213, 0.0337, 0.061, 0.0181, 0.0099, 0.0, -0.0294, -0.017, -0.033, 0.0053, -0.0527, -0.0383, -0.0433, -0.0319, -0.0675, -0.0602, -0.0435, -0.039, -0.0476, -0.0482, -0.036, -0.0406, -0.0198, -0.0064, -0.0013, -0.0069, 0.0051, 0.0019, 0.0076, -0.0048, -0.0301, -0.0365, -0.0251, -0.062, -0.0563, -0.0159, -0.0189, 0.0206, 0.0381, 0.0517, 0.0731, 0.0447, 0.0611, 0.0469, -0.0261, -0.0084, -0.027, -0.047, -0.0694, -0.0842, -0.0487, -0.0669, -0.0737, -0.0532, -0.0449, -0.0183, -0.0284, -0.0533, -0.0684, -0.0576, -0.0835, -0.1261, -0.1063, -0.1286, -0.1108, -0.0882, -0.114, -0.1255, -0.1424, -0.188, -0.2078, -0.2005, -0.2132, -0.2548, -0.2681, -0.2407, -0.2487, -0.2214, -0.2148, -0.2179, -0.2575, -0.2142, -0.1955, -0.2074, -0.2311, -0.2203, -0.2027, -0.2084, -0.2042, -0.2235, -0.2566, -0.2444, -0.259, -0.2649, -0.2421, -0.2388, -0.2481, -0.2464, -0.2496, -0.249, -0.2504, -0.2393, -0.2473, -0.2367, -0.2263, -0.1924, -0.1937, -0.2146, -0.217, -0.2214, -0.2156, -0.18, -0.1662, -0.1781, -0.1783, -0.2039, -0.2404, -0.2312, -0.2304, -0.2301, -0.2407, -0.2335, -0.2328, -0.2726, -0.2763, -0.3231, -0.3494, -0.3719, -0.4606, -0.3931, -0.3968, -0.4082]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1957132372702626187", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-17T17:28:14+00:00", "symbol": "data center developers", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "And data center developers exposed to AI and Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Endorses parent's 10x thesis and adds Bitcoin and AI/BTC-exposed data center developers as candidates.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQIX", "DLR", "CORZ", "IREN", "WDFC"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Data center developers basket incl BTC/AI cos", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "REIT - Specialty", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dotkrueger And data center developers exposed to AI and Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Your house is not going to 10x in the next decade.\nNeither will Gold.\nNeither will the SP500.\nAnd certainly no Bond Portfolios.\n\nThe only candidates are Bitcoin, and some carefully selected pre-IPO startups.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dotkrueger", "ret_m1d": -0.008932367201992909, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008932367201992909, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009150031217200528, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009150031217200528, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017178342770307897, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017178342770307897, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011753146333090835, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011753146333090835, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "ret_p1w": 0.017477496795960314, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017477496795960314, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018767748450672063, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018767748450672063, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "ret_p1m": 0.1815204689273615, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1815204689273615, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15556070156405166, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15556070156405166, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "ret_p3m": 0.25906423463318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25906423463318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21149203258226495, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21149203258226495, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "ret_p6m": 0.3223378067879353, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3223378067879353, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.240277130041829, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.240277130041829, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.12, -0.1132, -0.1187, -0.1187, -0.1002, -0.1154, -0.1124, -0.1132, -0.107, -0.0874, -0.0634, -0.08, -0.0641, -0.0553, -0.054, -0.066, -0.0655, -0.0782, -0.0668, -0.0756, -0.0754, -0.0754, -0.0798, -0.0789, -0.0566, -0.0856, -0.0409, -0.0157, 0.0013, 0.0103, 0.019, 0.0361, 0.0361, -0.0129, -0.0283, -0.036, -0.0456, -0.067, -0.0352, -0.0396, -0.0275, -0.0234, -0.026, -0.0255, -0.0105, -0.0085, -0.0204, -0.0233, -0.0388, -0.0436, -0.0477, -0.0442, -0.0712, -0.0449, -0.0378, -0.022, -0.0116, -0.0152, -0.0209, -0.0086, -0.0235, -0.0188, -0.0089, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0101, -0.0193, 0.005, 0.0175, 0.0213, 0.0262, 0.029, 0.0595, 0.0595, 0.0683, 0.0501, 0.036, 0.0395, 0.0386, 0.0908, 0.1522, 0.1461, 0.1557, 0.1927, 0.1815, 0.1965, 0.1907, 0.2112, 0.2529, 0.2481, 0.2907, 0.275, 0.2341, 0.2727, 0.2967, 0.2924, 0.2964, 0.3291, 0.4019, 0.428, 0.4203, 0.4664, 0.4229, 0.4802, 0.5309, 0.534, 0.466, 0.4494, 0.4351, 0.4046, 0.3574, 0.4094, 0.4981, 0.5185, 0.491, 0.4579, 0.452, 0.4909, 0.5761, 0.5466, 0.6382, 0.5283, 0.4856, 0.4516, 0.3971, 0.3615, 0.2591, 0.2339, 0.2366, 0.2623, 0.2288, 0.2003, 0.1841, 0.2567, 0.2406, 0.263, 0.263, 0.2677, 0.2616, 0.1772, 0.2191, 0.2488, 0.2387, 0.2579, 0.2619, 0.2281, 0.2409, 0.1874, 0.131, 0.1297, 0.0831, 0.1129, 0.1707, 0.1972, 0.1957, 0.1985, 0.1985, 0.1786, 0.1662, 0.149, 0.138, 0.138, 0.205, 0.2706, 0.2574, 0.2225, 0.2516, 0.2606, 0.3032, 0.3488, 0.3511, 0.3476, 0.4199, 0.4199, 0.3701, 0.366, 0.356, 0.4087, 0.3793, 0.4701, 0.494, 0.4691, 0.4003, 0.3893, 0.4023, 0.2977, 0.2368, 0.2898, 0.3575, 0.3223]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1944904028111950088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-14T23:37:09+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it is mind blowing you can still buy 1 Bitcoin for less than $120,000. Not for long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: post-halving scarcity (450 BTC/day) makes sub-$120K prices unsustainably cheap; won't last.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s incredible. They are only making 450 new Bitcoin per day. That’s total new BTC globally. FOR EVERYONE. And make no mistake, EVERYONE needs Bitcoin. When you put it in the correct perspective, it is mind blowing you can still buy 1 Bitcoin for less than $120,000. Not for long", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023755186406069995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023755186406069995, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004291550896960317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020635895485057287, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020635895485057287, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033432733845384366, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030911323974251448, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030911323974251448, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010801436342854798, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03387056985559744, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03387056985559744, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03656730682342202, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03706000379269225, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03706000379269225, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052545088562275355, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.332702487729883, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.332702487729883, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11475725137200188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03387056985559744, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03387056985559744, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1940887663491666362", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-03T21:37:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been banging the drum for 2.5 years that people need to invest and work in these sectors if they want to be protected from economic hardship in the coming decades", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Bitcoin for decades; recommends allocating to crypto as protection against economic hardship.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoWendyO There is no recession in AI and Bitcoin which is why I’ve been banging the drum for 2.5 years that people need to invest and work in these sectors if they want to be protected from economic hardship in the coming decades.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The jobs report is a scam. \n\nUnemployment is serve right now. \n\nWe are in a recession \n\nBitcoin can only do so much.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoWendyO", "ret_m1d": -0.007192620189853338, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007192620189853338, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014700540925427275, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014700540925427275, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014716556343200904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014716556343200904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014168821048188396, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014168821048188396, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "ret_p1w": 0.057814350626767874, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057814350626767874, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05116039584669618, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05116039584669618, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "ret_p1m": 0.03348998759595778, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03348998759595778, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02174484865970361, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02174484865970361, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "ret_p3m": 0.040202377765606645, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.040202377765606645, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04099130139493945, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04099130139493945, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "ret_p6m": -0.20380263800182696, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20380263800182696, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31701770399354, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31701770399354, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "ret_p1y": -0.41675070098264044, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.41675070098264044, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6111898703498705, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6111898703498705, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": -0.41675070098264044, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.6111898703498705, "alpha_c_stated": -0.6111898703498705, "price_path": [-0.2774, -0.3044, -0.2469, -0.2738, -0.2393, -0.229, -0.2369, -0.2336, -0.2257, -0.2298, -0.2018, -0.1478, -0.1455, -0.1432, -0.1361, -0.1338, -0.1401, -0.1408, -0.12, -0.1162, -0.1359, -0.1172, -0.1151, -0.0584, -0.0609, -0.0623, -0.05, -0.0557, -0.0538, -0.0562, -0.0369, -0.0261, 0.0003, 0.0185, -0.0215, -0.0019, -0.006, -0.0168, -0.0365, -0.0515, -0.0344, -0.0384, -0.0448, -0.0736, -0.048, 0.0059, 0.0056, -0.0088, -0.0339, -0.0324, -0.026, -0.046, -0.0435, -0.0453, -0.0578, -0.0371, -0.0329, -0.0209, -0.0245, -0.0233, -0.0229, -0.036, -0.0072, 0.0, -0.0147, -0.0123, -0.0064, 0.0153, 0.0578, 0.0718, 0.093, 0.0741, 0.0829, 0.0879, 0.0762, 0.0711, 0.0944, 0.0831, 0.0795, 0.0729, 0.0755, 0.0755, 0.0746, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0495, 0.041, 0.0491, 0.0716, 0.0642, 0.0828, 0.096, 0.1249, 0.0795, 0.0707, 0.0602, 0.029, 0.0422, 0.0253, 0.0659, 0.0043, 0.0197, 0.0144, 0.0264, -0.0113, -0.0036, 0.0142, 0.0189, 0.0098, 0.0091, 0.0221, 0.0172, 0.0393, 0.0534, 0.0589, 0.0529, 0.0656, 0.0622, 0.0683, 0.0551, 0.0283, 0.0216, 0.0336, -0.0055, 0.0006, 0.0433, 0.0402, 0.0821, 0.1006, 0.1151, 0.1378, 0.1076, 0.125, 0.11, 0.0325, 0.0513, 0.0317, 0.0104, -0.0133, -0.029, 0.0086, -0.0107, -0.0179, 0.0038, 0.0126, 0.0408, 0.0302, 0.0037, -0.0122, -0.0008, -0.0283, -0.0735, -0.0525, -0.0761, -0.0572, -0.0333, -0.0607, -0.0728, -0.0907, -0.1391, -0.1601, -0.1523, -0.1658, -0.2099, -0.224, -0.195, -0.2034, -0.1745, -0.1675, -0.1708, -0.2127, -0.1669, -0.147, -0.1597, -0.1848, -0.1734, -0.1546, -0.1608, -0.1563, -0.1767, -0.2118, -0.1989, -0.2144, -0.2206, -0.1965, -0.193, -0.2028, -0.201, -0.2044, -0.2038]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1954240468495270023", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-09T17:56:50+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ethereum breaking out is the most bullish signal for Bitcoin since the ETFs were approved", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "ETH breakout seen as strongest bullish signal for BTC since ETF approval; both entering steepest part of the bull cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ethereum breaking out is the most bullish signal for Bitcoin since the ETFs were approved. We have entered the launch sequence for the steepest part of the cycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05136494568218286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05136494568218286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05334636528810577, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05334636528810577, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08610382463415012, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08610382463415012, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07545784283141921, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07545784283141921, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": 0.0202362805406322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0202362805406322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008630933754839587, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008630933754839587, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": 0.019416927308709475, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.019416927308709475, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003243339580301541, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003243339580301541, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.21639843138849468, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21639843138849468, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27340010236822787, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27340010236822787, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.4730124590669932, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4730124590669932, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5635346492101051, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5635346492101051, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.019416927308709475, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.003243339580301541, "alpha_c_stated": -0.003243339580301541, "price_path": [-0.3825, -0.3975, -0.4, -0.4017, -0.4028, -0.3962, -0.3697, -0.4023, -0.3934, -0.37, -0.3655, -0.3772, -0.4015, -0.3832, -0.3865, -0.3829, -0.4284, -0.414, -0.3656, -0.3344, -0.3438, -0.3726, -0.3898, -0.399, -0.406, -0.4028, -0.4034, -0.4305, -0.4271, -0.4209, -0.4276, -0.4284, -0.4266, -0.4118, -0.4308, -0.3917, -0.387, -0.4065, -0.3984, -0.3812, -0.3445, -0.301, -0.3002, -0.2871, -0.2572, -0.2024, -0.1775, -0.1604, -0.1097, -0.113, -0.1413, -0.1228, -0.1182, -0.104, -0.1026, -0.0991, -0.1254, -0.1747, -0.1202, -0.1455, -0.1285, -0.074, -0.0514, 0.0, 0.0861, 0.1252, 0.076, 0.0504, 0.0202, -0.0363, 0.0254, -0.0009, 0.143, 0.0345, 0.0884, 0.0654, 0.0663, 0.0315, 0.0207, 0.0233, 0.0529, 0.017, 0.0189, 0.0192, 0.0194, 0.0289, 0.0554, 0.1155, 0.0709, 0.0654, 0.0865, 0.0859, 0.0577, -0.0057, -0.0145, -0.0174, -0.0848, -0.0452, -0.0023, -0.0192, 0.0294, 0.0617, 0.0681, 0.109, 0.053, 0.0711, 0.0336, -0.0908, 0.0044, -0.024, -0.0567, -0.0786, -0.0933, -0.0582, -0.0828, -0.0991, -0.0878, -0.0692, -0.0253, -0.0579, -0.0766, -0.1, -0.0899, -0.1478, -0.2211, -0.1897, -0.2164, -0.1873, -0.1558, -0.192, -0.1925, -0.2352, -0.2657, -0.2845, -0.2612, -0.2848, -0.3301, -0.3457, -0.3015, -0.3002, -0.2837, -0.2868, -0.2826, -0.3375, -0.2908, -0.2449, -0.2585, -0.2845, -0.2607, -0.2143, -0.2133, -0.2342, -0.2704, -0.2987, -0.2987, -0.3302, -0.3312, -0.2955, -0.2888, -0.2989, -0.3031, -0.3131, -0.3078, -0.3058, -0.297, -0.2981, -0.2902, -0.2608, -0.2368, -0.2203, -0.2508, -0.2656, -0.2706, -0.2684, -0.2141, -0.2064, -0.2153, -0.2204, -0.2461, -0.3055, -0.2953, -0.3022, -0.3013, -0.3077, -0.285, -0.2887, -0.3333, -0.3607, -0.4454, -0.473]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1954240468495270023", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-09T17:56:50+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We have entered the launch sequence for the steepest part of the cycle", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "ETH breakout seen as strongest bullish signal for BTC since ETF approval; both entering steepest part of the bull cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ethereum breaking out is the most bullish signal for Bitcoin since the ETFs were approved. We have entered the launch sequence for the steepest part of the cycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017204530313124633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01918594991904754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0019814196059229072, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012140515376580119, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014945335738492105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010645981802730908, "ret_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02088017042136514, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032485517207157755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011605346785792614, "ret_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08330888797289748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022660266889011016, "ret_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14680320115807566, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20380487213780885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05700167097973319, "ret_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629863876757059, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4535085778188178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09052219014311191, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06064862108388647, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08330888797289748, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1262, -0.1284, -0.1105, -0.1006, -0.0763, -0.0594, -0.0964, -0.0783, -0.082, -0.092, -0.1102, -0.1241, -0.1082, -0.112, -0.1179, -0.1445, -0.1208, -0.0711, -0.0714, -0.0846, -0.1078, -0.1065, -0.1005, -0.119, -0.1166, -0.1183, -0.1299, -0.1108, -0.1068, -0.0958, -0.0991, -0.0981, -0.0977, -0.1098, -0.0831, -0.0765, -0.0901, -0.0879, -0.0824, -0.0624, -0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0094, -0.008, 0.0001, 0.0047, -0.0061, -0.0109, 0.0106, 0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0092, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0076, -0.025, -0.0456, -0.0308, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0104, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0388, -0.0031, -0.0112, -0.0209, -0.0497, -0.0375, -0.0532, -0.0156, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.0521, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.059, -0.0674, -0.0681, -0.0561, -0.0606, -0.0402, -0.0272, -0.0221, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0191, -0.0134, -0.0256, -0.0504, -0.0566, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.076, -0.0365, -0.0394, -0.0007, 0.0164, 0.0298, 0.0507, 0.0229, 0.0389, 0.025, -0.0465, -0.0291, -0.0473, -0.0669, -0.0888, -0.1033, -0.0686, -0.0864, -0.093, -0.073, -0.0648, -0.0388, -0.0486, -0.0731, -0.0878, -0.0773, -0.1026, -0.1444, -0.125, -0.1468, -0.1294, -0.1073, -0.1325, -0.1438, -0.1603, -0.2049, -0.2244, -0.2172, -0.2296, -0.2704, -0.2833, -0.2566, -0.2644, -0.2376, -0.2312, -0.2342, -0.273, -0.2306, -0.2123, -0.2239, -0.2471, -0.2366, -0.2193, -0.225, -0.2208, -0.2397, -0.2721, -0.2601, -0.2745, -0.2802, -0.258, -0.2547, -0.2638, -0.2621, -0.2653, -0.2647, -0.2661, -0.2552, -0.263, -0.2527, -0.2425, -0.2093, -0.2106, -0.231, -0.2333, -0.2377, -0.2319, -0.1972, -0.1836, -0.1952, -0.1955, -0.2205, -0.2562, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2462, -0.2566, -0.2495, -0.2489, -0.2878, -0.2914, -0.3373, -0.363]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1938285516518043765", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-26T17:17:33+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CRWV is highly overvalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CRWV is highly overvalued; bearish on the stock while bullish on physical infrastructure operators it cannot afford to acquire.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The interesting dynamic here is that CRWV is highly overvalued and the best physical infrastructure operators are highly undervalued. CRWV can’t pay the 100-300% premium required to buy the best operators for fiduciary reasons. But they need infra ASAP. Let the games begin!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008982781835130016, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008982781835130016, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016745854757748257, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016745854757748257, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012082512904767473, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012082512904767473, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007114190611422044, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007114190611422044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "ret_p1w": 0.04504045442001492, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04504045442001492, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023025968716157807, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023025968716157807, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "ret_p1m": -0.268598169234911, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.268598169234911, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3098323900133525, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3098323900133525, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "ret_p3m": -0.17200153167043297, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17200153167043297, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25891333424222884, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25891333424222884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "ret_p6m": -0.47494939879425835, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47494939879425835, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5936405719914399, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5936405719914399, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "ret_p1y": -0.3249620581449818, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.3249620581449818, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.5690704646156918, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5690704646156918, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.268598169234911, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3098323900133525, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3098323900133525, "price_path": [-0.7654, -0.6674, -0.6118, -0.6597, -0.6975, -0.6847, -0.7241, -0.6915, -0.733, -0.7232, -0.7241, -0.742, -0.7423, -0.7527, -0.7527, -0.776, -0.7564, -0.7367, -0.7358, -0.7372, -0.7342, -0.7291, -0.7387, -0.7196, -0.6738, -0.6773, -0.6565, -0.6609, -0.6521, -0.675, -0.63, -0.5998, -0.5733, -0.5839, -0.492, -0.4522, -0.4291, -0.3207, -0.3664, -0.3501, -0.3501, -0.2158, -0.2652, -0.3323, -0.2959, -0.2396, -0.0481, 0.0318, -0.1457, -0.1134, 0.0254, -0.0201, -0.053, -0.0576, -0.0689, 0.0027, 0.0876, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.1613, 0.0987, 0.092, 0.009, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0315, -0.0135, -0.0399, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0102, -0.0419, -0.0318, -0.1252, -0.2039, -0.1626, -0.1106, -0.0951, -0.1637, -0.2218, -0.2098, -0.1791, -0.2026, -0.2409, -0.2686, -0.3024, -0.3121, -0.3491, -0.278, -0.3412, -0.3294, -0.2925, -0.3026, -0.2341, -0.1805, -0.1158, -0.059, -0.2551, -0.3705, -0.3676, -0.3877, -0.4124, -0.4211, -0.4257, -0.4054, -0.4156, -0.4219, -0.3868, -0.3498, -0.3482, -0.3482, -0.4095, -0.4314, -0.4466, -0.4364, -0.4082, -0.366, -0.259, -0.2871, -0.2918, -0.2379, -0.2488, -0.2355, -0.2321, -0.2101, -0.1572, -0.172, -0.1561, -0.1988, -0.2387, -0.2249, -0.1343, -0.133, -0.127, -0.1473, -0.1533, -0.185, -0.1145, -0.0949, -0.1243, -0.1041, -0.1519, -0.1192, -0.1034, -0.1342, -0.1962, -0.2089, -0.2312, -0.2198, -0.1615, -0.1393, -0.1473, -0.1148, -0.1709, -0.1542, -0.2009, -0.2678, -0.2762, -0.3236, -0.342, -0.3319, -0.4409, -0.4596, -0.5044, -0.5106, -0.5235, -0.5262, -0.5261, -0.5622, -0.5467, -0.5344, -0.549, -0.53, -0.53, -0.5374, -0.5125, -0.519, -0.498, -0.4576, -0.4414, -0.4545, -0.4265, -0.4423, -0.4472, -0.5028, -0.5423, -0.5603, -0.5917, -0.5719, -0.4749]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942689769609158840", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-08T20:58:29+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's undervalued either way", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CIFR is undervalued; options activity suggests upside despite recent volume drop.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daniel_manzella @ericjackson Options activity still saying something is up. We will see. It’s undervalued either way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @ericjackson Even with the drop in volume this week on CIFR?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_manzella", "ret_m1d": -0.036741215761036616, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036741215761036616, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030780305213161885, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030768438906445206, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0059609105478747315, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005972776854591411, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003194961187284906, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003194961187284906, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006015318349460341, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00010155997182259568, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028203571621754353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032965211591075017, "ret_p1w": 0.0015974044215751881, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0015974044215751881, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0013409903364616227, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0018157809015613147, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00025641408511356545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003413185323136503, "ret_p1m": -0.22204477515986232, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22204477515986232, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23516856818178, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24322161138003373, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013123793021917685, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021176836220171413, "ret_p3m": 1.4504791680060256, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4504791680060256, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3713009113666759, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.333581794633345, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07917825663934974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11689737337268058, "ret_p6m": 1.3578274263926464, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3578274263926464, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2588446674463116, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2379135615498356, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09898275894633479, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11991386484281086, "ret_p1y": 3.143769901856862, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.143769901856862, "alpha_spy_p1y": 2.9626856865912545, "alpha_c_p1y": 2.7315177730482025, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.18108421526560714, "bench_c_p1y": 0.4122521288086596, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22204477515986232, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23516856818178, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24322161138003373, "price_path": [-0.6134, -0.6102, -0.6294, -0.6286, -0.6214, -0.6214, -0.6262, -0.5623, -0.5431, -0.5208, -0.508, -0.5112, -0.508, -0.5447, -0.5024, -0.4952, -0.524, -0.5144, -0.5176, -0.5016, -0.524, -0.4968, -0.4521, -0.4712, -0.4936, -0.3834, -0.3914, -0.3962, -0.4401, -0.4297, -0.4457, -0.4457, -0.4297, -0.4649, -0.4808, -0.5016, -0.4808, -0.4513, -0.4026, -0.4361, -0.377, -0.3387, -0.3514, -0.3482, -0.3866, -0.4058, -0.3722, -0.4121, -0.3914, -0.3914, -0.3946, -0.4361, -0.385, -0.385, -0.3307, -0.3195, -0.2364, -0.2173, -0.0927, -0.0335, -0.0335, -0.0751, -0.0367, 0.0, -0.0032, -0.0623, -0.0367, -0.0463, 0.0016, 0.0256, 0.016, -0.0016, 0.1086, 0.0671, 0.0623, 0.0335, -0.016, -0.0927, -0.1294, -0.1278, -0.2125, -0.1709, -0.1997, -0.1677, -0.222, -0.2412, -0.2396, -0.246, -0.2173, -0.1502, -0.1677, -0.0335, -0.0799, -0.0495, -0.0575, 0.0192, 0.0607, 0.1374, 0.1166, 0.1214, 0.2204, 0.2204, 0.3291, 0.2955, 0.1821, 0.2013, 0.2332, 0.4728, 0.6374, 0.5927, 0.7332, 0.7332, 0.8387, 0.9776, 0.893, 0.9617, 1.23, 1.2604, 1.2588, 0.8626, 0.8323, 1.0208, 1.0112, 1.0128, 1.2061, 1.3482, 1.4505, 1.516, 1.8115, 1.8738, 1.7109, 2.2492, 2.3371, 2.3594, 1.9904, 1.9968, 2.1805, 1.8874, 1.5735, 1.7564, 2.3003, 2.2812, 2.1885, 2.1294, 2.0463, 1.9792, 2.6358, 2.5958, 2.9473, 2.4681, 2.3051, 2.139, 1.9824, 1.7764, 1.385, 1.2939, 1.2923, 1.3291, 1.3355, 1.3259, 1.2604, 1.6693, 1.7987, 2.0591, 2.0591, 2.2508, 2.1454, 1.8179, 1.976, 2.1677, 2.0799, 2.1118, 2.1246, 1.9521, 2.016, 1.7236, 1.3546, 1.3946, 1.2987, 1.4201, 1.5895, 1.6102, 1.5415, 1.5911, 1.5911, 1.4265, 1.4089, 1.3307, 1.3578, 1.3578]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1947634085297566139", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-22T12:25:25+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Do not fall for it. It has been making the exact same move for as long as I've watched it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC; current dip is a headfake to shake out weak hands before continuing higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin loves to make these little headfake moves lower. Just low enough and just long enough to trick the weakest of weak hands in to dumping their coins before continuing higher. Do not fall for it. It has been making the exact same move for as long as I’ve watched it. Godspeed", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021299772328538857, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021299772328538857, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021156597391434273, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021156597391434273, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0001431749371045843, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0001431749371045843, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010337504434577038, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010337504434577038, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01884488265418538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01884488265418538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008507378219608341, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008507378219608341, "ret_p1w": -0.017277873835412905, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017277873835412905, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02745497210631309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02745497210631309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010177098270900187, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010177098270900187, "ret_p1m": -0.047674087544882116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.047674087544882116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.062383227022294485, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.062383227022294485, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01470913947741237, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01470913947741237, "ret_p3m": -0.11273451661206058, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11273451661206058, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17216261566006996, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17216261566006996, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059428099048009386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059428099048009386, "ret_p6m": -0.19222472890077247, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19222472890077247, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2963170297298624, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2963170297298624, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10409230082908993, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10409230082908993, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.047674087544882116, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.062383227022294485, "alpha_c_stated": -0.062383227022294485, "price_path": [-0.2171, -0.2106, -0.2085, -0.2143, -0.2149, -0.1959, -0.1924, -0.2104, -0.1933, -0.1914, -0.1396, -0.1419, -0.1432, -0.1319, -0.1371, -0.1354, -0.1376, -0.1199, -0.11, -0.086, -0.0694, -0.1059, -0.088, -0.0917, -0.1016, -0.1196, -0.1333, -0.1176, -0.1214, -0.1272, -0.1535, -0.13, -0.0808, -0.0812, -0.0942, -0.1172, -0.1159, -0.11, -0.1283, -0.1259, -0.1276, -0.1391, -0.1202, -0.1163, -0.1053, -0.1086, -0.1076, -0.1072, -0.1191, -0.0928, -0.0862, -0.0997, -0.0975, -0.092, -0.0722, -0.0334, -0.0207, -0.0012, -0.0185, -0.0105, -0.0059, -0.0166, -0.0213, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0136, -0.0197, -0.0173, -0.0173, -0.018, -0.0353, -0.0556, -0.041, -0.0488, -0.0414, -0.0208, -0.0276, -0.0105, 0.0015, 0.0279, -0.0136, -0.0216, -0.0312, -0.0597, -0.0477, -0.0631, -0.026, -0.0823, -0.0683, -0.0731, -0.0621, -0.0965, -0.0895, -0.0733, -0.0689, -0.0773, -0.0779, -0.066, -0.0705, -0.0503, -0.0374, -0.0324, -0.0379, -0.0263, -0.0294, -0.0238, -0.0359, -0.0604, -0.0665, -0.0556, -0.0912, -0.0857, -0.0466, -0.0495, -0.0112, 0.0057, 0.0189, 0.0396, 0.0121, 0.028, 0.0143, -0.0565, -0.0394, -0.0573, -0.0768, -0.0984, -0.1127, -0.0784, -0.096, -0.1026, -0.0827, -0.0747, -0.049, -0.0587, -0.0828, -0.0974, -0.087, -0.1121, -0.1534, -0.1342, -0.1558, -0.1385, -0.1167, -0.1417, -0.1528, -0.1692, -0.2133, -0.2325, -0.2254, -0.2378, -0.278, -0.2909, -0.2644, -0.2721, -0.2457, -0.2393, -0.2423, -0.2806, -0.2387, -0.2206, -0.2321, -0.2551, -0.2446, -0.2275, -0.2331, -0.229, -0.2477, -0.2798, -0.2679, -0.2821, -0.2878, -0.2658, -0.2626, -0.2715, -0.2699, -0.273, -0.2725, -0.2738, -0.2631, -0.2707, -0.2605, -0.2504, -0.2176, -0.2189, -0.2391, -0.2414, -0.2457, -0.24, -0.2056, -0.1922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1947049639808831934", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-20T21:43:03+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR could go to infinity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IREN and CIFR as leveraged plays on MARA's potential move, implying massive upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Freedom_By_40 If MARA does this, IREN and CIFR could go to infinity.\n\nUpdating my models now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$MARA high time frame https://t.co/6XWL1GxVZy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Freedom_By_40", "ret_m1d": -0.011570197734784404, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011570197734784404, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009677642798379238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014433287333812883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002863089599028479, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024242454176604866, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024242454176604866, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024099258737502183, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01870712297067323, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005535331205931637, "ret_p1w": -0.08650136241442807, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08650136241442807, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09949504807462672, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.099480874464693, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01297951205026493, "ret_p1m": 0.0319559193331278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0319559193331278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014397842246675063, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027947593894487976, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004008325438639826, "ret_p3m": 2.4066117427313465, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.4066117427313465, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.353012482675866, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.4153846870078737, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": -0.008772944276527084, "ret_p6m": 1.9195593824898247, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.9195593824898247, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.809854500536258, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.8774009796915687, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.042158402798256, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0319559193331278, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014397842246675063, "alpha_c_stated": 0.027947593894487976, "price_path": [-0.6639, -0.6529, -0.6397, -0.6479, -0.6545, -0.6634, -0.649, -0.6402, -0.659, -0.6419, -0.638, -0.6204, -0.6121, -0.5862, -0.5526, -0.5609, -0.573, -0.5366, -0.5295, -0.5256, -0.5102, -0.4887, -0.4975, -0.4975, -0.4909, -0.5118, -0.5262, -0.5377, -0.519, -0.5102, -0.4804, -0.5069, -0.4628, -0.4303, -0.422, -0.4325, -0.4397, -0.4584, -0.427, -0.4617, -0.4601, -0.4601, -0.4231, -0.4127, -0.3642, -0.346, -0.2777, -0.2287, -0.1972, -0.1609, -0.1372, -0.0733, -0.0733, -0.0661, -0.0694, -0.0656, -0.0617, -0.1058, -0.0479, -0.07, -0.0463, -0.0055, -0.0116, 0.0, 0.0242, 0.0463, -0.0006, -0.0237, -0.0865, -0.13, -0.1107, -0.1124, -0.1515, -0.092, -0.0937, 0.0094, 0.0231, 0.0165, -0.0099, -0.0176, -0.0231, 0.0512, 0.0848, 0.1408, 0.032, 0.0887, 0.0793, 0.1807, 0.2738, 0.2667, 0.2317, 0.2694, 0.459, 0.459, 0.6039, 0.5543, 0.4397, 0.4408, 0.443, 0.6634, 0.8529, 0.8099, 0.8711, 1.0463, 1.0083, 1.0882, 1.0011, 1.1289, 1.3085, 1.3014, 1.5972, 1.5504, 1.3063, 1.5306, 1.5857, 1.5939, 1.5906, 1.7802, 2.1818, 2.3983, 2.3107, 2.5179, 2.2931, 2.5339, 2.8325, 2.7455, 2.4066, 2.3455, 2.2628, 2.041, 1.8556, 2.0777, 2.4656, 2.5807, 2.4391, 2.3289, 2.2077, 2.3471, 2.7328, 2.6711, 3.2099, 2.6893, 2.4369, 2.3152, 2.1614, 2.0689, 1.6804, 1.5548, 1.6121, 1.6915, 1.5251, 1.395, 1.3284, 1.6716, 1.6154, 1.6694, 1.6694, 1.6342, 1.6716, 1.2656, 1.422, 1.5592, 1.4634, 1.5532, 1.5807, 1.4198, 1.4209, 1.211, 0.9548, 1.016, 0.8612, 0.9725, 1.1994, 1.3163, 1.3179, 1.3129, 1.3129, 1.2204, 1.1713, 1.1102, 1.081, 1.081, 1.3526, 1.6579, 1.5295, 1.4036, 1.5168, 1.5361, 1.773, 1.9196]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1947049639808831934", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-20T21:43:03+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR could go to infinity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IREN and CIFR as leveraged plays on MARA's potential move, implying massive upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Freedom_By_40 If MARA does this, IREN and CIFR could go to infinity.\n\nUpdating my models now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$MARA high time frame https://t.co/6XWL1GxVZy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Freedom_By_40", "ret_m1d": 0.017600021362304652, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017600021362304652, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01949257629870982, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018901796121097547, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925549364051664, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013017747587928952, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11040000915527348, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11040000915527348, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1102568137161708, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11966392452265107, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0001431954391026835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009263915367377584, "ret_p1w": -0.014400024414062518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014400024414062518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02739371007426117, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02530968371195197, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299368566019865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010909659297889451, "ret_p1m": -0.0783999633789062, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0783999633789062, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09595804046535894, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0798928060251648, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01755807708645274, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0014928426462585964, "ret_p3m": 1.995199890136719, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.995199890136719, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.9416006300812387, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.9046833867800543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359926005548021, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09051650335666461, "ret_p6m": 1.92, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.92, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8102951180464333, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.7953919122971385, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970488195356665, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12460808770286147, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0783999633789062, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09595804046535894, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0798928060251648, "price_path": [-0.5424, -0.52, -0.5072, -0.5104, -0.5072, -0.544, -0.5016, -0.4944, -0.5232, -0.5136, -0.5168, -0.5008, -0.5232, -0.496, -0.4512, -0.4704, -0.4928, -0.3824, -0.3904, -0.3952, -0.4392, -0.4288, -0.4448, -0.4448, -0.4288, -0.464, -0.48, -0.5008, -0.48, -0.4504, -0.4016, -0.4352, -0.376, -0.3376, -0.3504, -0.3472, -0.3856, -0.4048, -0.3712, -0.4112, -0.3904, -0.3904, -0.3936, -0.4352, -0.384, -0.384, -0.3296, -0.3184, -0.2352, -0.216, -0.0912, -0.032, -0.032, -0.0736, -0.0352, 0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0608, -0.0352, -0.0448, 0.0032, 0.0272, 0.0176, 0.0, 0.1104, 0.0688, 0.064, 0.0352, -0.0144, -0.0912, -0.128, -0.1264, -0.2112, -0.1696, -0.1984, -0.1664, -0.2208, -0.24, -0.2384, -0.2448, -0.216, -0.1488, -0.1664, -0.032, -0.0784, -0.048, -0.056, 0.0208, 0.0624, 0.1392, 0.1184, 0.1232, 0.2224, 0.2224, 0.3312, 0.2976, 0.184, 0.2032, 0.2352, 0.4752, 0.64, 0.5952, 0.736, 0.736, 0.8416, 0.9808, 0.896, 0.9648, 1.2336, 1.264, 1.2624, 0.8656, 0.8352, 1.024, 1.0144, 1.016, 1.2096, 1.352, 1.4544, 1.52, 1.816, 1.8784, 1.7152, 2.2544, 2.3424, 2.3648, 1.9952, 2.0016, 2.1856, 1.892, 1.5776, 1.7608, 2.3056, 2.2864, 2.1936, 2.1344, 2.0512, 1.984, 2.6416, 2.6016, 2.9536, 2.4736, 2.3104, 2.144, 1.9872, 1.7808, 1.3888, 1.2976, 1.296, 1.3328, 1.3392, 1.3296, 1.264, 1.6736, 1.8032, 2.064, 2.064, 2.256, 2.1504, 1.8224, 1.9808, 2.1728, 2.0848, 2.1168, 2.1296, 1.9568, 2.0208, 1.728, 1.3584, 1.3984, 1.3024, 1.424, 1.5936, 1.6144, 1.5456, 1.5952, 1.5952, 1.4304, 1.4128, 1.3344, 1.3616, 1.3616, 1.592, 1.9056, 1.8064, 1.5728, 1.648, 1.6608, 1.8288, 1.92]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1956195487230648503", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-15T03:25:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin up obviously", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin will rise as Fed Reverse Repo hits multi-year low.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Malone_Wealth Bitcoin up obviously", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "BREAKING NEWS: Federal Reserve Reverse Repo reaches its lowest level in more than four years. Do you know what happens next? https://t.co/EQrDp49xx3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Malone_Wealth", "ret_m1d": 0.008187734748458242, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008187734748458242, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005841042751686842, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005841042751686842, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0023466919967713995, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0023466919967713995, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009761968948004185, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009761968948004185, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009544352300110082, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009544352300110082, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0002176166478941033, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0002176166478941033, "ret_p1w": -0.004465698351146741, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004465698351146741, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007371825300393486, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007371825300393486, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029061269492467456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0029061269492467456, "ret_p1m": -0.016639727359885614, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016639727359885614, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043790497237521486, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043790497237521486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027150769877635872, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027150769877635872, "ret_p3m": -0.13403224025784544, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13403224025784544, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19904926595521621, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19904926595521621, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06501702569737078, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06501702569737078, "ret_p6m": -0.402710682758868, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.402710682758868, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4873962636274778, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4873962636274778, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08468558086860978, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08468558086860978, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.016639727359885614, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.043790497237521486, "alpha_c_stated": -0.043790497237521486, "price_path": [-0.0904, -0.0658, -0.0488, -0.0861, -0.0678, -0.0716, -0.0817, -0.1001, -0.1141, -0.0981, -0.1019, -0.1079, -0.1348, -0.1108, -0.0605, -0.0608, -0.0742, -0.0977, -0.0963, -0.0903, -0.109, -0.1066, -0.1083, -0.12, -0.1007, -0.0967, -0.0855, -0.0889, -0.0878, -0.0874, -0.0997, -0.0727, -0.066, -0.0798, -0.0775, -0.072, -0.0517, -0.012, 0.001, 0.0209, 0.0032, 0.0114, 0.0161, 0.0052, 0.0004, 0.0221, 0.0116, 0.0083, 0.002, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0037, -0.014, -0.0347, -0.0198, -0.0277, -0.0202, 0.0008, -0.006, 0.0114, 0.0236, 0.0506, 0.0082, 0.0, -0.0098, -0.0389, -0.0266, -0.0424, -0.0045, -0.062, -0.0477, -0.0526, -0.0413, -0.0766, -0.0694, -0.0528, -0.0483, -0.0569, -0.0575, -0.0454, -0.05, -0.0293, -0.0161, -0.011, -0.0166, -0.0047, -0.0079, -0.0022, -0.0146, -0.0396, -0.0459, -0.0347, -0.0711, -0.0655, -0.0255, -0.0285, 0.0107, 0.028, 0.0415, 0.0626, 0.0345, 0.0507, 0.0367, -0.0356, -0.0181, -0.0365, -0.0563, -0.0785, -0.0931, -0.058, -0.076, -0.0827, -0.0624, -0.0542, -0.0279, -0.0378, -0.0625, -0.0775, -0.0668, -0.0924, -0.1347, -0.115, -0.1371, -0.1195, -0.0971, -0.1227, -0.134, -0.1508, -0.1959, -0.2155, -0.2083, -0.2209, -0.2621, -0.2752, -0.2481, -0.256, -0.229, -0.2224, -0.2255, -0.2647, -0.2219, -0.2033, -0.2151, -0.2386, -0.2279, -0.2105, -0.2162, -0.212, -0.2311, -0.2639, -0.2517, -0.2662, -0.272, -0.2495, -0.2462, -0.2554, -0.2537, -0.2569, -0.2564, -0.2578, -0.2468, -0.2546, -0.2442, -0.2339, -0.2003, -0.2016, -0.2222, -0.2246, -0.229, -0.2232, -0.188, -0.1744, -0.1861, -0.1863, -0.2116, -0.2478, -0.2387, -0.238, -0.2376, -0.2481, -0.241, -0.2403, -0.2797, -0.2834, -0.3297, -0.3558, -0.378, -0.4659, -0.399, -0.4027]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1960893779466183000", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-28T02:34:43+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IWM candle probably in progress now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "IWM god candle likely forming now, implying a bullish breakout in small-caps.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow IWM candle probably in progress now", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I basically posted a tons of cycle charts tonight.\nNothing else matters if $IWM makes God candle, $DXY crashes and $Gold tops out.\n\nLast cycle:\n$DXY topped March 2020\n$Gold topped August 2020\n$IWM God candle November 2020\n#Bitcoin top November 2021\nMoney printing kept going", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.001185306455335211, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001185306455335211, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002343615718940373, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002343615718940373, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003528922174275584, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003528922174275584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0044449807907386285, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0044449807907386285, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001518848232468506, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001518848232468506, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0059638290232071345, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0059638290232071345, "ret_p1w": 0.0015663327802206695, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0015663327802206695, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0012581179271746734, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0012581179271746734, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00030821485304599605, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00030821485304599605, "ret_p1m": 0.024572673559514202, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024572673559514202, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0018660545385589256, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0018660545385589256, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022706619020955277, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022706619020955277, "ret_p3m": 0.040662583763135585, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.040662583763135585, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0024420384896535197, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0024420384896535197, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043104622252789104, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043104622252789104, "ret_p6m": 0.1271289960119506, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1271289960119506, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05860858326842178, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05860858326842178, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06852041274352882, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06852041274352882, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0015663327802206695, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0012581179271746734, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0012581179271746734, "price_path": [-0.1316, -0.1175, -0.12, -0.1197, -0.1054, -0.0993, -0.0944, -0.0981, -0.1017, -0.1181, -0.1077, -0.1171, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.1143, -0.1035, -0.0921, -0.1027, -0.0881, -0.0878, -0.0865, -0.0771, -0.0643, -0.0556, -0.0556, -0.0698, -0.0634, -0.0532, -0.0483, -0.0615, -0.0552, -0.0737, -0.0643, -0.0521, -0.0588, -0.0626, -0.0548, -0.0404, -0.0536, -0.0501, -0.0512, -0.0573, -0.0621, -0.0712, -0.0902, -0.0698, -0.0651, -0.0663, -0.0693, -0.0673, -0.0675, -0.0398, -0.0212, -0.0338, -0.0385, -0.035, -0.0424, -0.0458, -0.0434, -0.0059, -0.0163, -0.0082, -0.0012, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.0044, -0.0098, -0.0108, 0.0016, 0.0066, 0.0086, 0.0027, 0.0009, 0.0194, 0.009, 0.0133, 0.0116, 0.0142, 0.0394, 0.0315, 0.0375, 0.0352, 0.0257, 0.0159, 0.0246, 0.0258, 0.0272, 0.0295, 0.036, 0.0436, 0.0478, 0.0365, 0.0474, 0.0407, 0.0095, 0.0376, 0.0524, 0.0627, 0.0404, 0.0334, 0.0535, 0.0486, 0.0331, 0.0461, 0.0589, 0.0626, 0.0569, 0.0479, 0.0395, 0.0453, 0.042, 0.024, 0.0388, 0.0204, 0.0257, 0.036, 0.0369, 0.0343, 0.0053, 0.0082, -0.0119, -0.0088, -0.009, -0.0273, 0.0002, 0.0185, 0.0407, 0.0499, 0.0499, 0.056, 0.0427, 0.0408, 0.0598, 0.0691, 0.0646, 0.065, 0.0672, 0.0818, 0.0945, 0.0777, 0.0695, 0.0645, 0.0531, 0.0594, 0.0683, 0.0801, 0.0738, 0.0764, 0.0764, 0.0709, 0.0644, 0.0565, 0.0485, 0.0485, 0.0597, 0.0765, 0.0908, 0.0882, 0.1001, 0.1085, 0.1139, 0.1132, 0.1211, 0.131, 0.132, 0.132, 0.1185, 0.1407, 0.1492, 0.128, 0.1244, 0.1276, 0.1215, 0.1218, 0.106, 0.1168, 0.1193, 0.1097, 0.0897, 0.1289, 0.1368, 0.1337, 0.1286, 0.1055, 0.1201, 0.1201, 0.1204, 0.1245, 0.1271, 0.1271]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1941864175090713026", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-06T14:17:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*when", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Corrects 'if' to 'when' for BTC new record weekly close above $109,050; implicitly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoeCarlasare *when", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If bitcoin closes above $109,050, it will be a new record weekly close tonight. \n\n🔥", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoeCarlasare", "ret_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002451671181162851, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009959591916736787, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006005750382996888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006553485678009396, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "ret_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10664697500378906, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09999302022371737, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "ret_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05393907439133283, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04219393545507866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "ret_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11432523748986556, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033131558329319466, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "ret_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18346949200141016, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2966845579931232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "ret_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.4367939389344442, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6312331083016742, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10664697500378906, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09999302022371737, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09999302022371737, "price_path": [-0.2375, -0.2648, -0.2299, -0.2194, -0.2274, -0.2241, -0.2161, -0.2202, -0.1919, -0.1372, -0.1348, -0.1326, -0.1254, -0.123, -0.1294, -0.1301, -0.109, -0.1052, -0.1251, -0.1062, -0.104, -0.0467, -0.0492, -0.0507, -0.0381, -0.044, -0.0421, -0.0444, -0.0249, -0.0139, 0.0127, 0.0311, -0.0093, 0.0105, 0.0064, -0.0046, -0.0245, -0.0397, -0.0223, -0.0265, -0.0329, -0.0621, -0.0361, 0.0184, 0.0181, 0.0036, -0.0219, -0.0204, -0.0139, -0.0342, -0.0315, -0.0334, -0.0461, -0.0251, -0.0208, -0.0087, -0.0124, -0.0112, -0.0108, -0.024, 0.0052, 0.0124, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0279, 0.071, 0.0851, 0.1066, 0.0875, 0.0964, 0.1015, 0.0896, 0.0844, 0.108, 0.0965, 0.093, 0.0862, 0.0889, 0.0888, 0.088, 0.0689, 0.0464, 0.0625, 0.0539, 0.0621, 0.0849, 0.0775, 0.0963, 0.1096, 0.1389, 0.0929, 0.084, 0.0734, 0.0418, 0.0552, 0.038, 0.0792, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.027, 0.0392, 0.001, 0.0088, 0.0268, 0.0316, 0.0224, 0.0217, 0.0348, 0.0298, 0.0522, 0.0666, 0.072, 0.066, 0.0789, 0.0754, 0.0816, 0.0682, 0.0411, 0.0343, 0.0464, 0.0069, 0.013, 0.0563, 0.0532, 0.0956, 0.1143, 0.129, 0.1519, 0.1214, 0.139, 0.1238, 0.0454, 0.0644, 0.0445, 0.0229, -0.0011, -0.0169, 0.0211, 0.0016, -0.0056, 0.0163, 0.0252, 0.0537, 0.043, 0.0162, 0.0001, 0.0116, -0.0162, -0.062, -0.0407, -0.0646, -0.0455, -0.0213, -0.049, -0.0613, -0.0794, -0.1284, -0.1496, -0.1417, -0.1554, -0.2001, -0.2143, -0.1849, -0.1935, -0.1642, -0.1571, -0.1605, -0.2029, -0.1565, -0.1364, -0.1492, -0.1746, -0.1631, -0.1441, -0.1503, -0.1458, -0.1665, -0.202, -0.1889, -0.2046, -0.2109, -0.1865, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.191, -0.1945, -0.1939, -0.1954, -0.1835]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1942664496314826854", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-08T19:18:03+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN isn't just working on partnerships with hyperscalers on a project by project basis. It's also quietly and organically growing in to a hyperscaler itself.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN: beyond hyperscaler partnerships, organically becoming a hyperscaler itself — a thesis most investors will miss.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here’s a truth bomb that most investors will miss until it’s too late:\n\nIREN isn’t just working on partnerships with hyperscalers on a project by project basis.\n\nIt’s also quietly and organically growing in to a hyperscaler itself.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0035524793048713477, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0035524793048713477, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0030044438314871247, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005449562411375286, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009002041716246634, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004144446261325596, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004144446261325596, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001852209817018613, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005053135422012911, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003639132719124305, "ret_p1w": -0.0005920798841452246, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0005920798841452246, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003493713336254478, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01013388650681768, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010725966390962904, "ret_p1m": 0.08466550366201919, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08466550366201919, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06461192172942276, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08964540072960359, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004979897067584393, "ret_p3m": 1.9875666612160234, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.9875666612160234, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.9057963663701534, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.955257876137729, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03230878507829438, "ret_p6m": 1.236234566172465, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.236234566172465, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.130661585584699, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.180070044073337, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "bench_c_p6m": 0.056164522099128034, "ret_p1y": 1.8265247722700182, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.8265247722700182, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.6297033382236352, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.7868872668693052, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03963750540071298, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08466550366201919, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06461192172942276, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08964540072960359, "price_path": [-0.675, -0.6667, -0.6596, -0.6773, -0.6761, -0.669, -0.669, -0.6738, -0.6412, -0.6388, -0.627, -0.6128, -0.6217, -0.6288, -0.6382, -0.6229, -0.6134, -0.6335, -0.6152, -0.611, -0.5921, -0.5832, -0.5554, -0.5192, -0.5281, -0.5411, -0.5021, -0.4944, -0.4902, -0.4737, -0.4506, -0.46, -0.46, -0.4529, -0.4754, -0.4908, -0.5033, -0.4831, -0.4737, -0.4417, -0.4701, -0.4227, -0.3878, -0.3789, -0.3902, -0.3979, -0.418, -0.3843, -0.4216, -0.4198, -0.4198, -0.3801, -0.3689, -0.3168, -0.2972, -0.2238, -0.1711, -0.1374, -0.0983, -0.0728, -0.0041, -0.0041, 0.0036, 0.0, 0.0041, 0.0083, -0.0391, 0.0231, -0.0006, 0.0249, 0.0687, 0.0622, 0.0746, 0.1007, 0.1243, 0.074, 0.0491, -0.0184, -0.0651, -0.0444, -0.0462, -0.0882, -0.0243, -0.0261, 0.0847, 0.0995, 0.0924, 0.0639, 0.0557, 0.0497, 0.1297, 0.1658, 0.2259, 0.1089, 0.1699, 0.1599, 0.2688, 0.3689, 0.3612, 0.3236, 0.3641, 0.5678, 0.5678, 0.7235, 0.6702, 0.5471, 0.5483, 0.5506, 0.7874, 0.9911, 0.9449, 1.0107, 1.1989, 1.1581, 1.2439, 1.1504, 1.2877, 1.4808, 1.4731, 1.791, 1.7407, 1.4784, 1.7194, 1.7786, 1.7874, 1.7839, 1.9876, 2.4192, 2.6519, 2.5577, 2.7803, 2.5388, 2.7975, 3.1184, 3.0249, 2.6607, 2.595, 2.5062, 2.2679, 2.0687, 2.3073, 2.7241, 2.8478, 2.6957, 2.5773, 2.447, 2.5968, 3.0112, 2.9449, 3.524, 2.9645, 2.6933, 2.5625, 2.3973, 2.2978, 1.8804, 1.7454, 1.807, 1.8922, 1.7134, 1.5737, 1.5021, 1.8709, 1.8105, 1.8686, 1.8686, 1.8307, 1.8709, 1.4346, 1.6027, 1.7501, 1.6471, 1.7436, 1.7732, 1.6004, 1.6015, 1.376, 1.1007, 1.1664, 1.0, 1.1196, 1.3635, 1.489, 1.4908, 1.4855, 1.4855, 1.386, 1.3333, 1.2676, 1.2362]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943494083215003895", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-11T02:14:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "In the long run, it's programmed to go up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC long-term; structurally programmed to appreciate as better money.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@amitisinvesting It’s better money bro. It doesn’t matter exactly why it goes up on any specific time. In the long run, it’s programmed to go up. Think bigger. Understand the asset more deeply.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "so\n\nwhy do we think bitcoin $BTC just did what it did?\n\nthat was not retail…\n\nsaudis? a big corporate? sovereign wealth fund?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016545507985922914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016545507985922914, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035279091346929192, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017941804335254163, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017941804335254163, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019081841138897104, "ret_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0022124917781216613, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0022124917781216613, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006350058320194307, "ret_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009389200285248256, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009389200285248256, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01972347707700206, "ret_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03267479850037347, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03267479850037347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08235165706637204, "ret_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3102271164720224, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3102271164720224, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10911205166257831, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.288, -0.2849, -0.2776, -0.2814, -0.2553, -0.2049, -0.2027, -0.2006, -0.194, -0.1918, -0.1977, -0.1984, -0.1789, -0.1754, -0.1938, -0.1763, -0.1743, -0.1215, -0.1238, -0.1251, -0.1136, -0.1189, -0.1172, -0.1194, -0.1014, -0.0913, -0.0667, -0.0497, -0.087, -0.0687, -0.0725, -0.0827, -0.1011, -0.115, -0.099, -0.1028, -0.1088, -0.1356, -0.1117, -0.0615, -0.0618, -0.0751, -0.0986, -0.0972, -0.0912, -0.1099, -0.1075, -0.1092, -0.1209, -0.1016, -0.0976, -0.0864, -0.0898, -0.0887, -0.0883, -0.1006, -0.0737, -0.067, -0.0807, -0.0784, -0.0729, -0.0527, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0022, 0.0104, 0.0151, 0.0041, -0.0007, 0.0211, 0.0105, 0.0072, 0.001, 0.0035, 0.0034, 0.0027, -0.015, -0.0357, -0.0208, -0.0287, -0.0212, -0.0002, -0.007, 0.0103, 0.0226, 0.0496, 0.0072, -0.001, -0.0108, -0.0399, -0.0276, -0.0434, -0.0055, -0.0629, -0.0486, -0.0536, -0.0423, -0.0775, -0.0703, -0.0537, -0.0493, -0.0578, -0.0584, -0.0463, -0.0509, -0.0303, -0.0171, -0.012, -0.0176, -0.0057, -0.0089, -0.0032, -0.0156, -0.0406, -0.0468, -0.0356, -0.0721, -0.0664, -0.0265, -0.0295, 0.0096, 0.0269, 0.0404, 0.0616, 0.0335, 0.0497, 0.0356, -0.0366, -0.0191, -0.0374, -0.0573, -0.0794, -0.094, -0.059, -0.0769, -0.0836, -0.0634, -0.0552, -0.0289, -0.0388, -0.0635, -0.0784, -0.0677, -0.0933, -0.1355, -0.1159, -0.138, -0.1204, -0.098, -0.1236, -0.1349, -0.1516, -0.1967, -0.2163, -0.2091, -0.2217, -0.2628, -0.2759, -0.2489, -0.2568, -0.2297, -0.2232, -0.2263, -0.2655, -0.2227, -0.2041, -0.2159, -0.2394, -0.2287, -0.2112, -0.217, -0.2128, -0.2319, -0.2646, -0.2525, -0.267, -0.2728, -0.2503, -0.247, -0.2562, -0.2545, -0.2577, -0.2571, -0.2585, -0.2475, -0.2554, -0.2449, -0.2346, -0.2011]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1940160202462130556", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-01T21:26:53+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think we will break out over $5 tomorrow and might possibly see one of those runs that takes it straight up to $5.50-6", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long CIFR: unusual bid-walking signals imminent breakout above $5 with potential run to $5.50–$6+.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Someone is carefully walking the bid up on CIFR after hours. Very unusual behavior in this name vs typical. Everything about the way this stock is trading for the last 4 trading days has been highly unusual. I am not sure what’s up but I’m 99% certain now that something is up.\n\n---\n\nThey've walked it up to $4.99 bid / $5 ask. I think we will break out over $5 tomorrow and might possibly see one of those runs that takes it straight up to $5.50-6. On significant news, it could obviously go a lot higher. Feels like a volcano right now.\n\n---\n\nNeedless to say, anyone holding $6 options across various expirations should be rooting for this as all they would rip in this scenario.\n\n---\n\nThere is goes $5.01 bid / $5.06 ask.\n\nThis is serious business. You do not see activity like this accidentally. \n\nWatch tomorrow.\n\n---\n\n$5.05 bid / $5.06 ask\n\nTick tock\n\n---\n\n$5.06 bid / $5.09 ask\n\nOk, family time now but this is not a coincidence\n\nTomorrow we should see some major movement even if there is opening dip\n\n---\n\n$5.20\n\nTold ya \n\n🎯", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13732390080007062, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13732390080007062, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13281099396410045, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12687518240163165, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004512906835970165, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010448718398438972, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06514091084127083, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06514091084127083, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.057259610844015985, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05197163318443909, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007881299997254843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013169277656831735, "ret_p1w": 0.10211274966056827, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10211274966056827, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0962944984718932, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0855132437073074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005818251188675072, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016599505953260874, "ret_p1m": -0.03873235859867963, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03873235859867963, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05747664199804925, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07469166493983326, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01874428339936962, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03595930634115363, "ret_p3m": 1.2271126762041376, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2271126762041376, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.154471914051724, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1203770981377612, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07264076215241366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10673557806637635, "ret_p6m": 1.855633768231781, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.855633768231781, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.7365433756219157, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.6987043768537216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1190903926098652, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1569293913780594, "ret_p1y": 4.13732415265069, "ret_signed_p1y": 4.13732415265069, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.9204428395243998, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.6215487433662785, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.2168813131262899, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5157754092844111, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10211274966056827, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0962944984718932, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0855132437073074, "price_path": [-0.6303, -0.6074, -0.6285, -0.5669, -0.6092, -0.5739, -0.5704, -0.5915, -0.5907, -0.5827, -0.5827, -0.588, -0.5176, -0.4965, -0.4718, -0.4577, -0.4613, -0.4577, -0.4982, -0.4516, -0.4437, -0.4754, -0.4648, -0.4683, -0.4507, -0.4754, -0.4454, -0.3961, -0.4173, -0.4419, -0.3204, -0.3292, -0.3345, -0.3829, -0.3715, -0.3891, -0.3891, -0.3715, -0.4102, -0.4278, -0.4507, -0.4278, -0.3952, -0.3415, -0.3785, -0.3134, -0.2711, -0.2852, -0.2817, -0.3239, -0.3451, -0.3081, -0.3521, -0.3292, -0.3292, -0.3327, -0.3785, -0.3222, -0.3222, -0.2623, -0.25, -0.1585, -0.1373, 0.0, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0194, 0.0616, 0.1021, 0.0986, 0.0335, 0.0616, 0.0511, 0.1039, 0.1303, 0.1197, 0.1004, 0.2218, 0.1761, 0.1708, 0.1391, 0.0845, 0.0, -0.0405, -0.0387, -0.132, -0.0863, -0.118, -0.0827, -0.1426, -0.1637, -0.162, -0.169, -0.1373, -0.0634, -0.0827, 0.0651, 0.0141, 0.0475, 0.0387, 0.1232, 0.169, 0.2535, 0.2306, 0.2359, 0.3451, 0.3451, 0.4648, 0.4278, 0.3028, 0.3239, 0.3592, 0.6232, 0.8046, 0.7553, 0.9102, 0.9102, 1.0264, 1.1796, 1.0863, 1.162, 1.4577, 1.4912, 1.4894, 1.0528, 1.0194, 1.2271, 1.2165, 1.2183, 1.4313, 1.588, 1.7007, 1.7729, 2.0986, 2.1673, 1.9877, 2.581, 2.6778, 2.7025, 2.2958, 2.3028, 2.5053, 2.1822, 1.8363, 2.0379, 2.6373, 2.6162, 2.5141, 2.4489, 2.3574, 2.2835, 3.007, 2.963, 3.3504, 2.8222, 2.6426, 2.4595, 2.287, 2.0599, 1.6285, 1.5282, 1.5264, 1.5669, 1.5739, 1.5634, 1.4912, 1.9419, 2.0845, 2.3715, 2.3715, 2.5827, 2.4665, 2.1056, 2.2799, 2.4912, 2.3944, 2.4296, 2.4437, 2.2535, 2.3239, 2.0018, 1.5951, 1.6391, 1.5335, 1.6673, 1.8539, 1.8768, 1.8011, 1.8556, 1.8556]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1939092508270608534", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-28T22:44:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is why we Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin as a hedge against government bailouts and monetary debasement.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SpecialSitsNews There will always be more bailouts. This is why we Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Whoa, bailout coming https://t.co/Vs8PVrtWSm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SpecialSitsNews", "ret_m1d": -0.0004378224008870779, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0004378224008870779, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004320606028268226, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004320606028268226, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013413452013053329, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013413452013053329, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013089837728918585, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013089837728918585, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "ret_p1w": 0.010869575521556651, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010869575521556651, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0062891349486755566, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0062891349486755566, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "ret_p1m": 0.10068398447261839, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10068398447261839, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07250557032444171, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07250557032444171, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "ret_p3m": 0.01786481657290495, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01786481657290495, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05015241369034418, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05015241369034418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "ret_p6m": -0.18407872402626269, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18407872402626269, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30393926225075285, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30393926225075285, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "ret_p1y": -0.39871896840758436, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.39871896840758436, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6081468513139482, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6081468513139482, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10068398447261839, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07250557032444171, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07250557032444171, "price_path": [-0.2301, -0.2243, -0.2174, -0.2604, -0.2881, -0.2293, -0.2568, -0.2215, -0.2109, -0.219, -0.2156, -0.2076, -0.2117, -0.1831, -0.1278, -0.1254, -0.1231, -0.1159, -0.1135, -0.1199, -0.1207, -0.0993, -0.0954, -0.1156, -0.0964, -0.0943, -0.0363, -0.0389, -0.0403, -0.0277, -0.0336, -0.0316, -0.034, -0.0143, -0.0032, 0.0237, 0.0424, 0.0014, 0.0215, 0.0174, 0.0062, -0.0139, -0.0293, -0.0117, -0.0159, -0.0224, -0.0519, -0.0256, 0.0295, 0.0291, 0.0145, -0.0113, -0.0097, -0.0032, -0.0237, -0.021, -0.0229, -0.0357, -0.0145, -0.0102, 0.0021, -0.0016, -0.0004, 0.0, -0.0134, 0.0161, 0.0235, 0.0084, 0.0109, 0.0169, 0.0391, 0.0826, 0.0969, 0.1187, 0.0993, 0.1083, 0.1135, 0.1014, 0.0962, 0.12, 0.1085, 0.1048, 0.098, 0.1007, 0.1007, 0.0998, 0.0805, 0.0577, 0.0741, 0.0654, 0.0737, 0.0967, 0.0892, 0.1082, 0.1217, 0.1513, 0.1048, 0.0958, 0.0851, 0.0532, 0.0666, 0.0493, 0.0909, 0.0279, 0.0436, 0.0381, 0.0505, 0.0119, 0.0197, 0.0379, 0.0428, 0.0335, 0.0328, 0.0461, 0.041, 0.0637, 0.0781, 0.0837, 0.0776, 0.0906, 0.0871, 0.0934, 0.0798, 0.0524, 0.0455, 0.0578, 0.0179, 0.0241, 0.0678, 0.0646, 0.1075, 0.1264, 0.1412, 0.1644, 0.1336, 0.1514, 0.136, 0.0567, 0.0759, 0.0558, 0.034, 0.0098, -0.0062, 0.0322, 0.0125, 0.0052, 0.0274, 0.0364, 0.0652, 0.0543, 0.0273, 0.0109, 0.0226, -0.0055, -0.0518, -0.0303, -0.0545, -0.0351, -0.0106, -0.0386, -0.0511, -0.0694, -0.1189, -0.1404, -0.1324, -0.1463, -0.1914, -0.2058, -0.1761, -0.1848, -0.1551, -0.1479, -0.1514, -0.1943, -0.1473, -0.127, -0.14, -0.1657, -0.154, -0.1348, -0.1411, -0.1365, -0.1574, -0.1934, -0.1801, -0.1959, -0.2023, -0.1776, -0.174, -0.1841]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1956840897536270350", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-16T22:10:00+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buying IREN today is like buying EQIX in 2004", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish IREN as a long-term compounder, analogous to EQIX's early-stage explosive growth run starting 2004.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Buying IREN today is like buying EQIX in 2004.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Buying Metaplanet today is like buying MicroStrategy in 2021.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049239610085650254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04826000594627433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007619401241683033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08996240987754867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09729238283667951, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019047765219137869, "ret_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11792878941980023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10216233950245357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01447619826263491, "ret_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7402538526232394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02019052782837627, "ret_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3021018720927608, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3372091292186796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01246494492499628, "ret_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9913515649039579, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0464777394280709, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02693450222199334, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.5706, -0.5518, -0.5595, -0.5595, -0.5537, -0.5721, -0.5846, -0.5948, -0.5784, -0.5706, -0.5446, -0.5677, -0.5291, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5025, -0.5088, -0.5252, -0.4977, -0.5281, -0.5267, -0.5267, -0.4943, -0.4851, -0.4426, -0.4267, -0.3668, -0.3238, -0.2963, -0.2644, -0.2437, -0.1876, -0.1876, -0.1814, -0.1843, -0.1809, -0.1775, -0.2161, -0.1654, -0.1847, -0.164, -0.1282, -0.1335, -0.1234, -0.1021, -0.0828, -0.1239, -0.1442, -0.1992, -0.2374, -0.2205, -0.2219, -0.2562, -0.2041, -0.2055, -0.1152, -0.1031, -0.1089, -0.1321, -0.1389, -0.1437, -0.0785, -0.049, 0.0, -0.0954, -0.0456, -0.0539, 0.035, 0.1166, 0.1104, 0.0797, 0.1128, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.4059, 0.3625, 0.262, 0.263, 0.2649, 0.4581, 0.6242, 0.5866, 0.6402, 0.7938, 0.7604, 0.8305, 0.7542, 0.8662, 1.0237, 1.0174, 1.2767, 1.2357, 1.0217, 1.2183, 1.2666, 1.2738, 1.2709, 1.4371, 1.7892, 1.979, 1.9022, 2.0838, 1.8867, 2.0978, 2.3596, 2.2833, 1.9862, 1.9326, 1.8602, 1.6658, 1.5033, 1.6979, 2.0379, 2.1389, 2.0147, 1.9181, 1.8119, 1.9341, 2.2722, 2.2181, 2.6904, 2.234, 2.0128, 1.9061, 1.7713, 1.6902, 1.3497, 1.2396, 1.2898, 1.3593, 1.2135, 1.0995, 1.0411, 1.3419, 1.2927, 1.34, 1.34, 1.3091, 1.3419, 0.986, 1.1232, 1.2434, 1.1594, 1.2381, 1.2623, 1.1212, 1.1222, 0.9382, 0.7136, 0.7672, 0.6315, 0.7291, 0.928, 1.0304, 1.0319, 1.0275, 1.0275, 0.9464, 0.9034, 0.8498, 0.8242, 0.8242, 1.0623, 1.3299, 1.2173, 1.107, 1.2062, 1.2231, 1.4308, 1.5593, 1.554, 1.5062, 1.7926, 1.7926, 1.6206, 1.583, 1.524, 1.7375, 1.5289, 1.8974, 2.0398, 1.8901, 1.5955, 1.5636, 1.6269, 1.1705, 0.9218, 1.0203, 1.2289, 1.0734]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1941933135878398093", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-06T18:51:53+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The next move for CIFR is a close over $8, breaking a 4+ year downtrend. I believe this move is imminent, possibly within days, and its completion makes a $15-30 year-end closing price probable.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: imminent close above $8 breaks 4-year downtrend, targeting $15-30 by year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The next move for CIFR is a close over $8, breaking a 4+ year downtrend.\n\nI believe this move is imminent, possibly within days, and its completion makes a $15-30 year-end closing price probable.\n\nAs always, this is NFA. Please review with your advisor, accountant, or Jim Cramer.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04490504846197374, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04490504846197374, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037397127726399804, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03690262765055308, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008002420811420663, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04145082029992153, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04145082029992153, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04199855559493404, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.036076621352810756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005374198947110775, "ret_p1w": 0.04145082029992153, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04145082029992153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03479686551984984, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038626500194905766, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002824320105015765, "ret_p1m": -0.13471498067532994, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13471498067532994, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14646011961158412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15511359021304527, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02039860953771533, "ret_p3m": 1.3851468930229416, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3851468930229416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3039532138623955, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2611560633685313, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12399082965441033, "ret_p6m": 1.5198618736982716, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5198618736982716, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4066468077065586, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3758346055128374, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1440272681854342, "ret_p1y": 3.528497320570459, "ret_signed_p1y": 3.528497320570459, "alpha_spy_p1y": 3.334058151203229, "alpha_c_p1y": 3.0848237572909287, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.44367356327953034, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13471498067532994, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14646011961158412, "alpha_c_stated": -0.15511359021304527, "price_path": [-0.5751, -0.6166, -0.582, -0.5786, -0.5993, -0.5984, -0.5907, -0.5907, -0.5959, -0.5268, -0.506, -0.4819, -0.468, -0.4715, -0.468, -0.5078, -0.462, -0.4542, -0.4853, -0.475, -0.4784, -0.4611, -0.4853, -0.456, -0.4076, -0.4283, -0.4525, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.3472, -0.3946, -0.3834, -0.4007, -0.4007, -0.3834, -0.4214, -0.4387, -0.4611, -0.4387, -0.4067, -0.3541, -0.3903, -0.3264, -0.285, -0.2988, -0.2953, -0.3368, -0.3575, -0.3212, -0.3644, -0.342, -0.342, -0.3454, -0.3903, -0.3351, -0.3351, -0.2763, -0.2642, -0.1744, -0.1537, -0.019, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0, 0.0415, 0.0812, 0.0777, 0.0138, 0.0415, 0.0311, 0.0829, 0.1088, 0.0984, 0.0794, 0.1986, 0.1537, 0.1485, 0.1174, 0.0639, -0.019, -0.0587, -0.057, -0.1485, -0.1036, -0.1347, -0.1002, -0.1589, -0.1796, -0.1779, -0.1848, -0.1537, -0.0812, -0.1002, 0.0449, -0.0052, 0.0276, 0.019, 0.1019, 0.1468, 0.2297, 0.2073, 0.2124, 0.3195, 0.3195, 0.437, 0.4007, 0.2781, 0.2988, 0.3333, 0.5924, 0.7703, 0.7219, 0.8739, 0.8739, 0.9879, 1.1382, 1.0466, 1.1209, 1.4111, 1.4439, 1.4421, 1.0138, 0.981, 1.1848, 1.1744, 1.1762, 1.3851, 1.5389, 1.6494, 1.7202, 2.0397, 2.1071, 1.9309, 2.513, 2.6079, 2.6321, 2.2332, 2.2401, 2.4387, 2.1218, 1.7824, 1.9801, 2.5682, 2.5475, 2.4473, 2.3834, 2.2936, 2.2211, 2.9309, 2.8877, 3.2677, 2.7496, 2.5734, 2.3938, 2.2245, 2.0017, 1.5786, 1.4801, 1.4784, 1.5181, 1.525, 1.5147, 1.4439, 1.886, 2.0259, 2.3074, 2.3074, 2.5147, 2.4007, 2.0466, 2.2176, 2.4249, 2.3299, 2.3644, 2.3782, 2.1917, 2.2608, 1.9447, 1.5458, 1.5889, 1.4853, 1.6166, 1.7997, 1.8221, 1.7478, 1.8014, 1.8014, 1.6235, 1.6045, 1.5199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1956839687659676118", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-16T22:05:12+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Swap HIMS for IREN to dramatically improve quality, downside protection, and long term upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefer IREN over HIMS: IREN offers better quality, downside protection, and long-term upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@danielisdizzy Swap HIMS for IREN to dramatically improve quality, downside protection, and long term upside", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "3 stocks I'm buying HEAVILY:\n$HIMS\n$NBIS\n$LMND\n\n3 stocks on my watchlist:\n$DUOL\n$IREN\n$ZETA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "danielisdizzy", "ret_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049021946070442635, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049239610085650254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04826000594627433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00021766401520761924, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007619401241683033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09538760631476573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08996240987754867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09729238283667951, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005425196437217061, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019047765219137869, "ret_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11663853776508848, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11792878941980023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10216233950245357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0012902516547117493, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01447619826263491, "ret_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7402538526232394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02595976736330985, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02019052782837627, "ret_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.349674074143676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3021018720927608, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3372091292186796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04757220205091506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01246494492499628, "ret_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0734122416500642, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9913515649039579, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0464777394280709, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08206067674610629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02693450222199334, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7604443804516157, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7344846130883058, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7402538526232394, "price_path": [-0.5706, -0.5518, -0.5595, -0.5595, -0.5537, -0.5721, -0.5846, -0.5948, -0.5784, -0.5706, -0.5446, -0.5677, -0.5291, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5025, -0.5088, -0.5252, -0.4977, -0.5281, -0.5267, -0.5267, -0.4943, -0.4851, -0.4426, -0.4267, -0.3668, -0.3238, -0.2963, -0.2644, -0.2437, -0.1876, -0.1876, -0.1814, -0.1843, -0.1809, -0.1775, -0.2161, -0.1654, -0.1847, -0.164, -0.1282, -0.1335, -0.1234, -0.1021, -0.0828, -0.1239, -0.1442, -0.1992, -0.2374, -0.2205, -0.2219, -0.2562, -0.2041, -0.2055, -0.1152, -0.1031, -0.1089, -0.1321, -0.1389, -0.1437, -0.0785, -0.049, 0.0, -0.0954, -0.0456, -0.0539, 0.035, 0.1166, 0.1104, 0.0797, 0.1128, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.4059, 0.3625, 0.262, 0.263, 0.2649, 0.4581, 0.6242, 0.5866, 0.6402, 0.7938, 0.7604, 0.8305, 0.7542, 0.8662, 1.0237, 1.0174, 1.2767, 1.2357, 1.0217, 1.2183, 1.2666, 1.2738, 1.2709, 1.4371, 1.7892, 1.979, 1.9022, 2.0838, 1.8867, 2.0978, 2.3596, 2.2833, 1.9862, 1.9326, 1.8602, 1.6658, 1.5033, 1.6979, 2.0379, 2.1389, 2.0147, 1.9181, 1.8119, 1.9341, 2.2722, 2.2181, 2.6904, 2.234, 2.0128, 1.9061, 1.7713, 1.6902, 1.3497, 1.2396, 1.2898, 1.3593, 1.2135, 1.0995, 1.0411, 1.3419, 1.2927, 1.34, 1.34, 1.3091, 1.3419, 0.986, 1.1232, 1.2434, 1.1594, 1.2381, 1.2623, 1.1212, 1.1222, 0.9382, 0.7136, 0.7672, 0.6315, 0.7291, 0.928, 1.0304, 1.0319, 1.0275, 1.0275, 0.9464, 0.9034, 0.8498, 0.8242, 0.8242, 1.0623, 1.3299, 1.2173, 1.107, 1.2062, 1.2231, 1.4308, 1.5593, 1.554, 1.5062, 1.7926, 1.7926, 1.6206, 1.583, 1.524, 1.7375, 1.5289, 1.8974, 2.0398, 1.8901, 1.5955, 1.5636, 1.6269, 1.1705, 0.9218, 1.0203, 1.2289, 1.0734]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1945216043284156515", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-15T20:16:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my feel is that you're too bearish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author thinks $180k BTC top call is too bearish; implied Bitcoin goes higher than $180k.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@VinnyLingham I’m feeling what you’re feeling and my feel is that you’re too bearish", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m feeling like we’ll see a Bitcoin blow off top at $180k around the end of September/early October…\n\nI also do realize that by tweeting this, I’m changing the timeline 😆", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VinnyLingham", "ret_m1d": 0.017596918970407494, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017596918970407494, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020929052122863445, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020929052122863445, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033321331524559517, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033321331524559517, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00816219450392297, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00816219450392297, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002042557231406228, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002042557231406228, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0061196372725167425, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0061196372725167425, "ret_p1w": 0.018834093508133698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018834093508133698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002830165931041906, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002830165931041906, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016003927577091792, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016003927577091792, "ret_p1m": 0.04726615669948808, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04726615669948808, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014056736604347586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014056736604347586, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.033209420095140496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033209420095140496, "ret_p3m": -0.03874112134406338, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03874112134406338, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1038755504998774, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1038755504998774, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06513442915581402, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06513442915581402, "ret_p6m": -0.22473904645158893, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22473904645158893, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33566897704475307, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33566897704475307, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11092993059316414, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11092993059316414, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04726615669948808, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014056736604347586, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014056736604347586, "price_path": [-0.2792, -0.283, -0.2569, -0.2066, -0.2044, -0.2024, -0.1958, -0.1936, -0.1995, -0.2001, -0.1807, -0.1772, -0.1955, -0.1781, -0.1761, -0.1234, -0.1257, -0.1271, -0.1155, -0.1209, -0.1191, -0.1213, -0.1033, -0.0933, -0.0688, -0.0518, -0.0891, -0.0708, -0.0746, -0.0847, -0.103, -0.117, -0.101, -0.1048, -0.1108, -0.1376, -0.1137, -0.0635, -0.0638, -0.0772, -0.1006, -0.0992, -0.0932, -0.1119, -0.1095, -0.1112, -0.1228, -0.1036, -0.0996, -0.0884, -0.0918, -0.0908, -0.0904, -0.1026, -0.0757, -0.069, -0.0827, -0.0805, -0.0749, -0.0548, -0.0152, -0.0022, 0.0176, 0.0, 0.0082, 0.0128, 0.0019, -0.0029, 0.0188, 0.0083, 0.005, -0.0012, 0.0013, 0.0012, 0.0005, -0.0171, -0.0378, -0.023, -0.0309, -0.0233, -0.0024, -0.0092, 0.0081, 0.0203, 0.0473, 0.0049, -0.0032, -0.0129, -0.042, -0.0297, -0.0455, -0.0077, -0.065, -0.0507, -0.0557, -0.0444, -0.0795, -0.0724, -0.0558, -0.0514, -0.0599, -0.0605, -0.0484, -0.053, -0.0324, -0.0193, -0.0142, -0.0198, -0.0079, -0.0111, -0.0054, -0.0177, -0.0427, -0.0489, -0.0378, -0.0741, -0.0685, -0.0287, -0.0316, 0.0074, 0.0247, 0.0381, 0.0592, 0.0312, 0.0474, 0.0334, -0.0387, -0.0213, -0.0396, -0.0594, -0.0814, -0.096, -0.061, -0.079, -0.0857, -0.0654, -0.0573, -0.0311, -0.0409, -0.0656, -0.0804, -0.0698, -0.0953, -0.1374, -0.1179, -0.1399, -0.1223, -0.1, -0.1255, -0.1368, -0.1535, -0.1985, -0.2181, -0.2108, -0.2234, -0.2644, -0.2775, -0.2505, -0.2584, -0.2314, -0.2249, -0.228, -0.2671, -0.2244, -0.2059, -0.2177, -0.241, -0.2304, -0.213, -0.2187, -0.2145, -0.2335, -0.2662, -0.2542, -0.2686, -0.2744, -0.2519, -0.2487, -0.2578, -0.2561, -0.2593, -0.2588, -0.2601, -0.2492, -0.257, -0.2466, -0.2363, -0.2029, -0.2042, -0.2247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1948260081382064398", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-24T05:52:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*$146,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish BTC thesis with a slightly higher price target of $146,000.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@Washigorira *$146,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin Inverse Head &amp; Shoulders\n\nTarget: $144,000 🎯\n\nA retest of the neckline is still possible but likely just fuel for the next leg up. 🔥📈 https://t.co/XNJbzf5Pj0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Washigorira", "ret_m1d": 0.003269134711239463, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003269134711239463, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0036001520901868256, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0036001520901868256, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003310173789473625, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006185093838706357, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006185093838706357, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010409431991197482, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010409431991197482, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004224338152491125, "ret_p1w": -0.02204816229893214, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02204816229893214, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01835969682955041, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01835969682955041, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00368846546938173, "ret_p1m": -0.012620928481515303, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012620928481515303, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02978616879692253, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02978616879692253, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017165240315407226, "ret_p3m": -0.08356235954818869, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08356235954818869, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14461196381073527, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14461196381073527, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061049604262546575, "ret_p6m": -0.19298191075713034, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19298191075713034, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28945903179500154, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28945903179500154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0964771210378712, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.012620928481515303, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02978616879692253, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02978616879692253, "price_path": [-0.1976, -0.2035, -0.2041, -0.1848, -0.1813, -0.1995, -0.1822, -0.1802, -0.1278, -0.1301, -0.1314, -0.1199, -0.1253, -0.1235, -0.1257, -0.1078, -0.0978, -0.0734, -0.0566, -0.0936, -0.0754, -0.0792, -0.0893, -0.1075, -0.1214, -0.1055, -0.1093, -0.1152, -0.1419, -0.1181, -0.0682, -0.0685, -0.0818, -0.1051, -0.1037, -0.0978, -0.1163, -0.1139, -0.1156, -0.1272, -0.1081, -0.1041, -0.093, -0.0964, -0.0953, -0.0949, -0.107, -0.0803, -0.0737, -0.0873, -0.0851, -0.0796, -0.0595, -0.0201, -0.0072, 0.0125, -0.005, 0.0031, 0.0078, -0.0031, -0.0078, 0.0137, 0.0033, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0037, -0.0038, -0.0045, -0.022, -0.0426, -0.0278, -0.0357, -0.0282, -0.0074, -0.0142, 0.0031, 0.0152, 0.042, -0.0001, -0.0082, -0.0179, -0.0468, -0.0346, -0.0503, -0.0126, -0.0696, -0.0555, -0.0604, -0.0492, -0.0841, -0.077, -0.0606, -0.0561, -0.0646, -0.0652, -0.0532, -0.0578, -0.0373, -0.0242, -0.0191, -0.0247, -0.0129, -0.016, -0.0104, -0.0226, -0.0475, -0.0537, -0.0426, -0.0787, -0.0731, -0.0335, -0.0364, 0.0024, 0.0195, 0.0329, 0.0539, 0.026, 0.0421, 0.0282, -0.0435, -0.0262, -0.0443, -0.0641, -0.086, -0.1005, -0.0657, -0.0836, -0.0902, -0.0701, -0.062, -0.0359, -0.0457, -0.0702, -0.085, -0.0744, -0.0999, -0.1417, -0.1223, -0.1442, -0.1267, -0.1045, -0.1299, -0.1411, -0.1577, -0.2025, -0.222, -0.2147, -0.2273, -0.2681, -0.2811, -0.2543, -0.2621, -0.2353, -0.2288, -0.2319, -0.2707, -0.2283, -0.2099, -0.2216, -0.2448, -0.2343, -0.2169, -0.2226, -0.2184, -0.2374, -0.2699, -0.2579, -0.2722, -0.278, -0.2557, -0.2524, -0.2615, -0.2598, -0.263, -0.2625, -0.2638, -0.2529, -0.2607, -0.2504, -0.2401, -0.2069, -0.2082, -0.2286, -0.231, -0.2353, -0.2296, -0.1947, -0.1811, -0.1928, -0.193]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1938274707339677919", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-26T16:34:36+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Coreweave would make another attempt at Core Scientific or another miner", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Coreweave will pursue Core Scientific or Cipher Mining as acquisition targets; both likely to benefit from takeover interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I told you Coreweave would make another attempt at Core Scientific or another miner. They have to move down the stack to the foundation to protect their core franchise long term. This was inevitable. If they can’t buy Core they will try to buy Cipher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.24816627555917026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.24816627555917026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.24040320263655202, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.24040320263655202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017726100083102603, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017726100083102603, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012757777789757174, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012757777789757174, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "ret_p1w": 0.10024445773007806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10024445773007806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07822997202622095, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07822997202622095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "ret_p1m": -0.1589242227671197, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1589242227671197, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20015844354556123, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20015844354556123, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "ret_p3m": 0.03911976563396258, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03911976563396258, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04779203693783329, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04779203693783329, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "ret_p6m": -0.046454779983379435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.046454779983379435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16514595318056102, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16514595318056102, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "ret_p1y": 0.7249387689813827, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7249387689813827, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.4808303625106727, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.4808303625106727, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "bench_c_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1589242227671197, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.20015844354556123, "alpha_c_stated": -0.20015844354556123, "price_path": [-0.5575, -0.511, -0.4853, -0.563, -0.5611, -0.5709, -0.6021, -0.541, -0.5831, -0.5678, -0.5685, -0.5813, -0.5972, -0.5947, -0.5947, -0.6094, -0.577, -0.5648, -0.5397, -0.4921, -0.4963, -0.4933, -0.5049, -0.4774, -0.4658, -0.4652, -0.4505, -0.456, -0.4224, -0.4303, -0.3961, -0.3741, -0.3692, -0.3576, -0.3411, -0.3368, -0.3325, -0.3411, -0.338, -0.3472, -0.3472, -0.3105, -0.3411, -0.3466, -0.349, -0.3319, -0.2787, -0.2323, -0.2708, -0.2549, -0.2231, -0.2194, -0.2512, -0.2579, -0.2732, -0.2616, -0.2732, -0.2726, -0.2726, -0.2751, -0.3062, -0.2537, -0.2482, 0.0, 0.0177, 0.0434, 0.0544, 0.0733, 0.1002, 0.1002, -0.0935, -0.143, -0.1791, -0.1944, -0.2353, -0.1711, -0.1589, -0.1491, -0.1767, -0.184, -0.1889, -0.176, -0.1754, -0.1632, -0.1589, -0.1598, -0.1938, -0.202, -0.1724, -0.2268, -0.1656, -0.1394, -0.1375, -0.1229, -0.1192, -0.1119, -0.0764, -0.1534, -0.1543, -0.1363, -0.1119, -0.1229, -0.1394, -0.1571, -0.1718, -0.1638, -0.1418, -0.132, -0.1229, -0.1229, -0.1229, -0.1443, -0.1699, -0.1675, -0.1675, -0.1485, -0.1119, -0.0226, -0.0495, -0.0306, -0.0024, -0.011, -0.0055, 0.0238, 0.0159, 0.0495, 0.0391, 0.0397, 0.0293, 0.03, 0.0593, 0.0966, 0.0984, 0.1064, 0.0892, 0.0947, 0.0452, 0.0715, 0.1027, 0.132, 0.1742, 0.1577, 0.2188, 0.2023, 0.1614, 0.1498, 0.1754, 0.088, 0.1039, 0.1822, 0.2145, 0.228, 0.2696, 0.2677, 0.3166, 0.3998, 0.3289, 0.3325, 0.2586, 0.2341, 0.1791, 0.0587, 0.0049, -0.0733, -0.0874, -0.096, -0.0568, -0.0593, -0.0733, -0.0996, -0.0373, -0.0495, -0.011, -0.011, 0.0324, 0.0141, -0.033, 0.0116, 0.044, 0.0458, 0.0813, 0.0691, 0.0593, 0.0636, 0.0104, -0.066, -0.0996, -0.1705, -0.11, -0.0465]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1938274707339677919", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-06-26T16:34:36+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If they can't buy Core they will try to buy Cipher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Coreweave will pursue Core Scientific or Cipher Mining as acquisition targets; both likely to benefit from takeover interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I told you Coreweave would make another attempt at Core Scientific or another miner. They have to move down the stack to the foundation to protect their core franchise long term. This was inevitable. If they can’t buy Core they will try to buy Cipher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08114562003453485, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08114562003453485, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07338254711191661, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07429484666112385, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006850773373411001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0167064846552325, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0167064846552325, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011738162361887072, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017901421797164474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011949371419319732, "ret_p1w": 0.4439141069483139, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4439141069483139, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4218996212444568, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.420454629821136, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023459477127177886, "ret_p1m": 0.5441526734688606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5441526734688606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5029184526904191, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5006589531662622, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04349372030259846, "ret_p3m": 2.3770881683273837, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.3770881683273837, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.290176365755588, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.2595507444466634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11753742388072008, "ret_p6m": 2.8687348121961516, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.8687348121961516, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.75004363899897, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.7153844641895715, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15335034800657987, "ret_p1y": 5.212410580231151, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.212410580231151, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.968302173760441, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.678440953102981, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5339696271281706, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5441526734688606, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5029184526904191, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5006589531662622, "price_path": [-0.4511, -0.4129, -0.3675, -0.4487, -0.4988, -0.4678, -0.4964, -0.4129, -0.4702, -0.4224, -0.4177, -0.4463, -0.4451, -0.4344, -0.4344, -0.4415, -0.3461, -0.3174, -0.284, -0.2649, -0.2697, -0.2649, -0.3198, -0.2566, -0.2458, -0.2888, -0.2745, -0.2792, -0.2554, -0.2888, -0.2482, -0.1814, -0.21, -0.2434, -0.0788, -0.0907, -0.0979, -0.1635, -0.148, -0.1718, -0.1718, -0.148, -0.2005, -0.2243, -0.2554, -0.2243, -0.1802, -0.1074, -0.1575, -0.0692, -0.0119, -0.031, -0.0263, -0.0835, -0.1122, -0.0621, -0.1217, -0.0907, -0.0907, -0.0955, -0.1575, -0.0811, -0.0811, 0.0, 0.0167, 0.1408, 0.1695, 0.3556, 0.4439, 0.4439, 0.3819, 0.4391, 0.494, 0.4893, 0.401, 0.4391, 0.4248, 0.4964, 0.5322, 0.5179, 0.4916, 0.6563, 0.5943, 0.5871, 0.5442, 0.4702, 0.3556, 0.3007, 0.3031, 0.1766, 0.2387, 0.1957, 0.2434, 0.1623, 0.1337, 0.136, 0.1265, 0.1695, 0.2697, 0.2434, 0.4439, 0.3747, 0.42, 0.4081, 0.5227, 0.5847, 0.6993, 0.6683, 0.6754, 0.8234, 0.8234, 0.9857, 0.9356, 0.7661, 0.7947, 0.8425, 1.2005, 1.4463, 1.3795, 1.5895, 1.5895, 1.747, 1.9547, 1.8282, 1.9308, 2.3317, 2.3771, 2.3747, 1.7828, 1.7375, 2.0191, 2.0048, 2.0072, 2.2959, 2.5084, 2.6611, 2.7589, 3.2005, 3.2936, 3.0501, 3.8544, 3.9857, 4.0191, 3.4678, 3.4773, 3.7518, 3.3138, 2.8449, 3.1181, 3.9308, 3.9021, 3.7637, 3.6754, 3.5513, 3.4511, 4.432, 4.3723, 4.8974, 4.1814, 3.9379, 3.6897, 3.4558, 3.148, 2.5632, 2.4272, 2.4248, 2.4797, 2.4893, 2.4749, 2.3771, 2.9881, 3.1814, 3.5704, 3.5704, 3.8568, 3.6993, 3.21, 3.4463, 3.7327, 3.6014, 3.6492, 3.6683, 3.4105, 3.506, 3.0692, 2.5179, 2.5776, 2.4344, 2.6158, 2.8687]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1953108110077510041", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-06T14:57:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is building explosive energy like a volcano. Seek shelter asap if you remain in fiat. This is not a test.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; warns fiat holders to exit, describes explosive upside energy building.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is building explosive energy like a volcano. You can feel it bubbling up under the surface. Hot, liquid, molten lava. Seek shelter asap if you remain in fiat. This is not a test.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007707294636957962, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007707294636957962, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00010576182777877197, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00010576182777877197, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00760153280917919, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00760153280917919, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021463456180234486, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021463456180234486, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02230109253019974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02230109253019974, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008376363499652539, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008376363499652539, "ret_p1w": 0.07229598445595853, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07229598445595853, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05315830030932611, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05315830030932611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019137684146632417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019137684146632417, "ret_p1m": -0.03742044056664462, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03742044056664462, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06324292895222994, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06324292895222994, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025822488385585318, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025822488385585318, "ret_p3m": -0.07372532394286613, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07372532394286613, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1566206024298895, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1566206024298895, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08289527848702338, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08289527848702338, "ret_p6m": -0.2648608518143408, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2648608518143408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36796238837820605, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.36796238837820605, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310153656386523, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10310153656386523, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03742044056664462, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06324292895222994, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06324292895222994, "price_path": [-0.1048, -0.1062, -0.0944, -0.0999, -0.0981, -0.1003, -0.0819, -0.0716, -0.0465, -0.0292, -0.0673, -0.0486, -0.0525, -0.0628, -0.0816, -0.0959, -0.0795, -0.0834, -0.0895, -0.1169, -0.0925, -0.0412, -0.0415, -0.0551, -0.0791, -0.0777, -0.0716, -0.0906, -0.0882, -0.0899, -0.1019, -0.0822, -0.0781, -0.0667, -0.0701, -0.069, -0.0686, -0.0811, -0.0536, -0.0468, -0.0608, -0.0585, -0.0528, -0.0322, 0.0083, 0.0216, 0.0419, 0.0239, 0.0323, 0.0371, 0.0259, 0.021, 0.0432, 0.0324, 0.029, 0.0227, 0.0252, 0.0252, 0.0244, 0.0063, -0.0148, 0.0004, -0.0077, 0.0, 0.0215, 0.0144, 0.0322, 0.0447, 0.0723, 0.029, 0.0206, 0.0106, -0.0191, -0.0065, -0.0227, 0.016, -0.0426, -0.028, -0.0331, -0.0216, -0.0575, -0.0502, -0.0333, -0.0287, -0.0374, -0.0381, -0.0257, -0.0304, -0.0093, 0.0042, 0.0093, 0.0036, 0.0158, 0.0125, 0.0183, 0.0057, -0.0198, -0.0262, -0.0148, -0.052, -0.0462, -0.0055, -0.0084, 0.0315, 0.0491, 0.0629, 0.0845, 0.0558, 0.0724, 0.0581, -0.0158, 0.0021, -0.0166, -0.0369, -0.0595, -0.0744, -0.0386, -0.057, -0.0638, -0.0431, -0.0347, -0.0079, -0.018, -0.0432, -0.0584, -0.0476, -0.0737, -0.1168, -0.0968, -0.1193, -0.1013, -0.0785, -0.1046, -0.1162, -0.1333, -0.1793, -0.1994, -0.1919, -0.2048, -0.2469, -0.2603, -0.2326, -0.2407, -0.2131, -0.2064, -0.2096, -0.2496, -0.2058, -0.1869, -0.199, -0.2229, -0.212, -0.1942, -0.2, -0.1957, -0.2152, -0.2487, -0.2363, -0.2511, -0.257, -0.2341, -0.2307, -0.2401, -0.2383, -0.2416, -0.241, -0.2425, -0.2312, -0.2392, -0.2286, -0.2181, -0.1838, -0.1852, -0.2062, -0.2087, -0.2131, -0.2072, -0.1713, -0.1573, -0.1693, -0.1695, -0.1954, -0.2323, -0.223, -0.2223, -0.2219, -0.2326, -0.2254, -0.2247, -0.2649]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1958977553429115076", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-22T19:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I AM LONG.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author discloses long positions in OPEN, IREN, and CIFR referenced in the parent tweet.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson @cvpayne @FoxBusiness @Drake I AM LONG.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just went live on TV with @cvpayne on @foxbusiness 🔥 Broke down why $OPEN, $IREN, and $CIFR are 100-bagger plays. And why I want @Drake to roll with the $OPEN Army to flex on Kendrick. Let’s ride. 🚀 https://t.co/OcDNOL3Xnb", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.28143717761145903, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.28143717761145903, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.26631270421386377, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.26584923749706524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015587940114393795, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09381242426284409, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09381242426284409, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08941149943746818, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08885271410213957, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004959710160704511, "ret_p1w": -0.11177652575510633, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11177652575510633, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11137363361496488, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11106799573214854, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0007085300229577873, "ret_p1m": 0.6726546370460387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6726546370460387, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6364258069336908, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6809672357947311, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00831259874869239, "ret_p3m": 0.33532929173409953, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33532929173409953, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3056425578256623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.37124827810184025, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03591898636774071, "ret_p6m": -0.11277445736695291, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11277445736695291, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17530287761568264, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15932735907793827, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04655290171098536, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6726546370460387, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6364258069336908, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6809672357947311, "price_path": [-0.8629, -0.8647, -0.8631, -0.8699, -0.8808, -0.882, -0.8747, -0.8683, -0.8643, -0.887, -0.8796, -0.8786, -0.88, -0.8852, -0.889, -0.8868, -0.8842, -0.8842, -0.8932, -0.8942, -0.8902, -0.8978, -0.8926, -0.8886, -0.8936, -0.8872, -0.887, -0.8782, -0.8782, -0.875, -0.8539, -0.8529, -0.8238, -0.8445, -0.8202, -0.7924, -0.7026, -0.6707, -0.5509, -0.3593, -0.4251, -0.5429, -0.517, -0.493, -0.5329, -0.5908, -0.5868, -0.6327, -0.5808, -0.509, -0.497, -0.6208, -0.6307, -0.6108, -0.5389, -0.507, -0.517, -0.3932, -0.3673, -0.2455, -0.2774, -0.3573, -0.2814, 0.0, -0.0938, -0.0619, -0.1976, -0.1477, -0.1118, -0.1118, 0.016, 0.024, 0.1896, 0.3273, 0.2056, 0.2196, 0.1697, 1.0998, 0.8104, 0.8952, 0.7804, 1.0379, 0.984, 0.9102, 0.6727, 0.4152, 0.6427, 0.8144, 0.7585, 0.6367, 0.5908, 0.6088, 0.5988, 0.6188, 0.8523, 0.8543, 0.6946, 0.6248, 0.511, 0.4511, 0.525, 0.4731, 0.4192, 0.4291, 0.4711, 0.3892, 0.3613, 0.4032, 0.5908, 0.6287, 0.5908, 0.5269, 0.4651, 0.5509, 0.515, 0.3812, 0.4431, 0.3094, 0.3094, 0.5908, 0.6926, 0.8703, 0.7086, 0.6208, 0.5649, 0.501, 0.3353, 0.2295, 0.3473, 0.5349, 0.5449, 0.5529, 0.5529, 0.5369, 0.4251, 0.3952, 0.3852, 0.513, 0.4271, 0.4072, 0.479, 0.3972, 0.4072, 0.3094, 0.2914, 0.3433, 0.2216, 0.2535, 0.2695, 0.2814, 0.2515, 0.2535, 0.2535, 0.1996, 0.1637, 0.1657, 0.1637, 0.1637, 0.2116, 0.2615, 0.3832, 0.2216, 0.2834, 0.4551, 0.4012, 0.3513, 0.3253, 0.2575, 0.3313, 0.3313, 0.2754, 0.2934, 0.2814, 0.1996, 0.1717, 0.1597, 0.1497, 0.1138, 0.0279, -0.0379, 0.024, -0.002, -0.0619, -0.0259, -0.014, -0.0639, -0.0499, -0.1257, -0.1128, -0.1128]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1958977553429115076", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-22T19:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I AM LONG.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author discloses long positions in OPEN, IREN, and CIFR referenced in the parent tweet.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson @cvpayne @FoxBusiness @Drake I AM LONG.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just went live on TV with @cvpayne on @foxbusiness 🔥 Broke down why $OPEN, $IREN, and $CIFR are 100-bagger plays. And why I want @Drake to roll with the $OPEN Army to flex on Kendrick. Let’s ride. 🚀 https://t.co/OcDNOL3Xnb", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.08586094850140968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08586094850140968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07073647510381442, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06962052133579888, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016240427165610805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07886143303737825, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07886143303737825, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08326235786275415, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08464826936774461, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005786836330366363, "ret_p1w": 0.23565091764561807, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23565091764561807, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23605380978575952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22781063412585523, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007840283519762847, "ret_p1m": 0.9552030298272653, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9552030298272653, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9189741997149175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9438577268743829, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011345302952882497, "ret_p3m": 1.1385908156046929, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1385908156046929, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1089040816962557, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1729433180608604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0343525024561675, "ret_p6m": 0.9701353532181769, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9701353532181769, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9076069329694472, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9994214903380603, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02928613711988337, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.9552030298272653, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.9189741997149175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.9438577268743829, "price_path": [-0.5688, -0.5866, -0.5987, -0.6085, -0.5926, -0.5852, -0.56, -0.5824, -0.545, -0.5175, -0.5105, -0.5194, -0.5254, -0.5413, -0.5147, -0.5441, -0.5427, -0.5427, -0.5114, -0.5026, -0.4615, -0.4461, -0.3882, -0.3467, -0.3201, -0.2893, -0.2692, -0.2151, -0.2151, -0.2091, -0.2119, -0.2086, -0.2053, -0.2427, -0.1937, -0.2123, -0.1923, -0.1577, -0.1629, -0.1531, -0.1325, -0.1139, -0.1535, -0.1731, -0.2263, -0.2632, -0.2469, -0.2483, -0.2814, -0.231, -0.2324, -0.1451, -0.1335, -0.1391, -0.1615, -0.168, -0.1727, -0.1097, -0.0812, -0.0338, -0.126, -0.0779, -0.0859, 0.0, 0.0789, 0.0728, 0.0432, 0.0751, 0.2357, 0.2357, 0.3584, 0.3164, 0.2193, 0.2203, 0.2221, 0.4088, 0.5693, 0.5329, 0.5847, 0.7331, 0.7009, 0.7685, 0.6948, 0.8031, 0.9552, 0.9491, 1.1997, 1.1601, 0.9533, 1.1433, 1.1899, 1.1969, 1.1941, 1.3546, 1.6948, 1.8782, 1.804, 1.9795, 1.7891, 1.993, 2.2459, 2.1722, 1.8852, 1.8334, 1.7634, 1.5756, 1.4186, 1.6066, 1.9351, 2.0327, 1.9127, 1.8194, 1.7168, 1.8348, 2.1615, 2.1092, 2.5656, 2.1246, 1.9109, 1.8077, 1.6776, 1.5992, 1.2702, 1.1638, 1.2123, 1.2795, 1.1386, 1.0285, 0.972, 1.2627, 1.2151, 1.2608, 1.2608, 1.231, 1.2627, 0.9188, 1.0513, 1.1675, 1.0863, 1.1624, 1.1857, 1.0495, 1.0504, 0.8726, 0.6556, 0.7074, 0.5763, 0.6706, 0.8628, 0.9617, 0.9631, 0.9589, 0.9589, 0.8805, 0.839, 0.7872, 0.7625, 0.7625, 0.9925, 1.251, 1.1423, 1.0357, 1.1316, 1.1479, 1.3486, 1.4727, 1.4676, 1.4214, 1.6981, 1.6981, 1.532, 1.4956, 1.4386, 1.6449, 1.4433, 1.7993, 1.937, 1.7923, 1.5077, 1.4769, 1.538, 1.0971, 0.8567, 0.9519, 1.1535, 1.0033, 0.9911, 0.8679, 0.9701, 0.9701]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1958977553429115076", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-08-22T19:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I AM LONG.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author discloses long positions in OPEN, IREN, and CIFR referenced in the parent tweet.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson @cvpayne @FoxBusiness @Drake I AM LONG.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just went live on TV with @cvpayne on @foxbusiness 🔥 Broke down why $OPEN, $IREN, and $CIFR are 100-bagger plays. And why I want @Drake to roll with the $OPEN Army to flex on Kendrick. Let’s ride. 🚀 https://t.co/OcDNOL3Xnb", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.07523511135791705, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07523511135791705, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06011063796032179, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06185963521130733, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013375476146609722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.040752311501715655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.040752311501715655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04515323632709156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04300071016209883, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022483986603831774, "ret_p1w": 0.19749212060242916, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19749212060242916, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1978950127425706, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19737790620575701, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00011421439667214095, "ret_p1m": 1.18808774102511, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.18808774102511, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.1518589109127622, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.1095753385340439, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07851240249106617, "ret_p3m": 1.2915359911149844, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2915359911149844, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2618492572065472, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2194718505543543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07206414056063015, "ret_p6m": 1.5736676773920149, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5736676773920149, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.5111392571432851, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.5070470160193472, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06662066137266764, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 1.18808774102511, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.1518589109127622, "alpha_c_stated": 1.1095753385340439, "price_path": [-0.4404, -0.4749, -0.4906, -0.511, -0.4906, -0.4616, -0.4138, -0.4467, -0.3887, -0.3511, -0.3636, -0.3605, -0.3981, -0.4169, -0.384, -0.4232, -0.4028, -0.4028, -0.406, -0.4467, -0.3966, -0.3966, -0.3433, -0.3323, -0.2508, -0.232, -0.1097, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0925, -0.0549, -0.0188, -0.0219, -0.0799, -0.0549, -0.0643, -0.0172, 0.0063, -0.0031, -0.0204, 0.0878, 0.047, 0.0423, 0.0141, -0.0345, -0.1097, -0.1458, -0.1442, -0.2273, -0.1865, -0.2147, -0.1834, -0.2367, -0.2555, -0.2539, -0.2602, -0.232, -0.1661, -0.1834, -0.0517, -0.0972, -0.0674, -0.0752, 0.0, 0.0408, 0.116, 0.0956, 0.1003, 0.1975, 0.1975, 0.3041, 0.2712, 0.1599, 0.1787, 0.21, 0.4451, 0.6066, 0.5627, 0.7006, 0.7006, 0.8041, 0.9404, 0.8574, 0.9248, 1.1881, 1.2179, 1.2163, 0.8276, 0.7978, 0.9828, 0.9734, 0.9749, 1.1646, 1.3041, 1.4044, 1.4687, 1.7586, 1.8197, 1.6599, 2.1881, 2.2743, 2.2962, 1.9342, 1.9404, 2.1207, 1.8331, 1.5251, 1.7045, 2.2382, 2.2194, 2.1285, 2.0705, 1.989, 1.9232, 2.5674, 2.5282, 2.873, 2.4028, 2.2429, 2.0799, 1.9263, 1.7241, 1.3401, 1.2508, 1.2492, 1.2853, 1.2915, 1.2821, 1.2179, 1.6191, 1.7461, 2.0016, 2.0016, 2.1897, 2.0862, 1.7649, 1.9201, 2.1082, 2.0219, 2.0533, 2.0658, 1.8966, 1.9592, 1.6724, 1.3103, 1.3495, 1.2555, 1.3746, 1.5408, 1.5611, 1.4937, 1.5423, 1.5423, 1.3809, 1.3636, 1.2868, 1.3135, 1.3135, 1.5392, 1.8464, 1.7492, 1.5204, 1.594, 1.6066, 1.7712, 1.8605, 1.8417, 1.7461, 1.9467, 1.9467, 1.8088, 1.7774, 1.7257, 1.7539, 1.5846, 1.9389, 1.9734, 1.7743, 1.5016, 1.4781, 1.5486, 1.2335, 0.9906, 1.3088, 1.627, 1.6803, 1.5517, 1.5235, 1.5737, 1.5737]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1959690784275566859", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-24T18:54:26+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN has a lot brighter future", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN over WU; author asserts IREN has a much brighter future vs Western Union.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@OHare888 A lot more people care about IREN’s future than WU because IREN has a lot brighter future. Sorry brother. Life is hard and then you die.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred No one on here cares what your or my cost basis is in these stocks, the point is that you made a snark comment about $WU and have been very vocal proponent of $IREN so we’ll see which one performs better than the other going forward. \n\nPast performance does not guarantee future https://t.co/x91vDkjrm8", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OHare888", "ret_m1d": -0.07309690625918042, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07309690625918042, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07751728483838316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07891742497873477, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005820518719554357, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005622883364892806, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005622883364892806, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009809756069996345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01332099815340948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0076981147885166745, "ret_p1w": 0.145328658349406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.145328658349406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14131295284613077, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13162222159309533, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01370643675631067, "ret_p1m": 0.8066608538734232, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8066608538734232, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7715172112605511, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7939500943693023, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012710759504120928, "ret_p3m": 0.8801902959681935, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8801902959681935, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.861716052741905, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9173992691230212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03720897315482763, "ret_p6m": 0.7720588120039873, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7720588120039873, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7031116641519293, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.785297922706874, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": -0.013239110702886747, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8066608538734232, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7715172112605511, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7939500943693023, "price_path": [-0.6168, -0.628, -0.6371, -0.6224, -0.6155, -0.5921, -0.6129, -0.5783, -0.5528, -0.5463, -0.5545, -0.5601, -0.5748, -0.5502, -0.5774, -0.5761, -0.5761, -0.5471, -0.5389, -0.5009, -0.4866, -0.433, -0.3945, -0.3698, -0.3413, -0.3227, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2669, -0.2695, -0.2664, -0.2634, -0.298, -0.2526, -0.2699, -0.2513, -0.2193, -0.224, -0.215, -0.1959, -0.1786, -0.2154, -0.2336, -0.2829, -0.317, -0.3019, -0.3032, -0.3339, -0.2872, -0.2885, -0.2076, -0.1968, -0.202, -0.2228, -0.2288, -0.2331, -0.1747, -0.1484, -0.1045, -0.1899, -0.1453, -0.1527, -0.0731, 0.0, -0.0056, -0.0331, -0.0035, 0.1453, 0.1453, 0.2591, 0.2202, 0.1302, 0.1311, 0.1328, 0.3058, 0.4546, 0.4208, 0.4689, 0.6064, 0.5766, 0.6393, 0.5709, 0.6713, 0.8123, 0.8067, 1.0389, 1.0022, 0.8106, 0.9866, 1.0298, 1.0363, 1.0337, 1.1825, 1.4978, 1.6678, 1.599, 1.7617, 1.5852, 1.7742, 2.0087, 1.9403, 1.6743, 1.6263, 1.5614, 1.3873, 1.2418, 1.4161, 1.7206, 1.811, 1.6998, 1.6133, 1.5182, 1.6276, 1.9304, 1.8819, 2.3049, 1.8962, 1.6981, 1.6025, 1.4818, 1.4092, 1.1042, 1.0056, 1.0506, 1.1129, 0.9823, 0.8802, 0.8279, 1.0973, 1.0532, 1.0956, 1.0956, 1.0679, 1.0973, 0.7785, 0.9014, 1.0091, 0.9338, 1.0043, 1.026, 0.8997, 0.9005, 0.7357, 0.5346, 0.5826, 0.4611, 0.5484, 0.7266, 0.8183, 0.8196, 0.8157, 0.8157, 0.7431, 0.7046, 0.6566, 0.6337, 0.6337, 0.8469, 1.0865, 0.9857, 0.8869, 0.9758, 0.9909, 1.1769, 1.292, 1.2872, 1.2444, 1.5009, 1.5009, 1.3469, 1.3131, 1.2604, 1.4516, 1.2647, 1.5947, 1.7223, 1.5882, 1.3244, 1.2958, 1.3525, 0.9438, 0.721, 0.8093, 0.9961, 0.8568, 0.8456, 0.7314, 0.8261, 0.8261, 0.7721]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1959748428235444704", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-24T22:43:30+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "All I know is a great business is being built.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish IREN stance; vouches a great business is being built.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow You might be right, sir. \n\nAll I know is a great business is being built.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN, one of my #Palantiring candidates, is in the process of challenging the 0.886 log fib and has full monthly Bollinger band expansion, indicating that a more volatile move is to come, most likely to the upside. https://t.co/8tnAssG9qu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.07309690625918042, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07309690625918042, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07751728483838316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07891742497873477, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005820518719554357, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005622883364892806, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005622883364892806, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009809756069996345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01332099815340948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0076981147885166745, "ret_p1w": 0.145328658349406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.145328658349406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14131295284613077, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13162222159309533, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01370643675631067, "ret_p1m": 0.8066608538734232, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8066608538734232, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7715172112605511, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7939500943693023, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012710759504120928, "ret_p3m": 0.8801902959681935, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8801902959681935, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.861716052741905, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9173992691230212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03720897315482763, "ret_p6m": 0.7720588120039873, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7720588120039873, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7031116641519293, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.785297922706874, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": -0.013239110702886747, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8066608538734232, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7715172112605511, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7939500943693023, "price_path": [-0.6168, -0.628, -0.6371, -0.6224, -0.6155, -0.5921, -0.6129, -0.5783, -0.5528, -0.5463, -0.5545, -0.5601, -0.5748, -0.5502, -0.5774, -0.5761, -0.5761, -0.5471, -0.5389, -0.5009, -0.4866, -0.433, -0.3945, -0.3698, -0.3413, -0.3227, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2669, -0.2695, -0.2664, -0.2634, -0.298, -0.2526, -0.2699, -0.2513, -0.2193, -0.224, -0.215, -0.1959, -0.1786, -0.2154, -0.2336, -0.2829, -0.317, -0.3019, -0.3032, -0.3339, -0.2872, -0.2885, -0.2076, -0.1968, -0.202, -0.2228, -0.2288, -0.2331, -0.1747, -0.1484, -0.1045, -0.1899, -0.1453, -0.1527, -0.0731, 0.0, -0.0056, -0.0331, -0.0035, 0.1453, 0.1453, 0.2591, 0.2202, 0.1302, 0.1311, 0.1328, 0.3058, 0.4546, 0.4208, 0.4689, 0.6064, 0.5766, 0.6393, 0.5709, 0.6713, 0.8123, 0.8067, 1.0389, 1.0022, 0.8106, 0.9866, 1.0298, 1.0363, 1.0337, 1.1825, 1.4978, 1.6678, 1.599, 1.7617, 1.5852, 1.7742, 2.0087, 1.9403, 1.6743, 1.6263, 1.5614, 1.3873, 1.2418, 1.4161, 1.7206, 1.811, 1.6998, 1.6133, 1.5182, 1.6276, 1.9304, 1.8819, 2.3049, 1.8962, 1.6981, 1.6025, 1.4818, 1.4092, 1.1042, 1.0056, 1.0506, 1.1129, 0.9823, 0.8802, 0.8279, 1.0973, 1.0532, 1.0956, 1.0956, 1.0679, 1.0973, 0.7785, 0.9014, 1.0091, 0.9338, 1.0043, 1.026, 0.8997, 0.9005, 0.7357, 0.5346, 0.5826, 0.4611, 0.5484, 0.7266, 0.8183, 0.8196, 0.8157, 0.8157, 0.7431, 0.7046, 0.6566, 0.6337, 0.6337, 0.8469, 1.0865, 0.9857, 0.8869, 0.9758, 0.9909, 1.1769, 1.292, 1.2872, 1.2444, 1.5009, 1.5009, 1.3469, 1.3131, 1.2604, 1.4516, 1.2647, 1.5947, 1.7223, 1.5882, 1.3244, 1.2958, 1.3525, 0.9438, 0.721, 0.8093, 0.9961, 0.8568, 0.8456, 0.7314, 0.8261, 0.8261, 0.7721]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938288251619381404", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-26T17:28:25+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "To frustrate you so you sell before the actual re-rating", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; the selling pressure is shaking out weak hands before a re-rating higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GXbitcoin To frustrate you so you sell before the actual re-rating", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Why does Cifr get sold into every rally?  So frustrating!!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GXbitcoin", "ret_m1d": -0.08114562003453485, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08114562003453485, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07338254711191661, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07429484666112385, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006850773373411001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0167064846552325, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0167064846552325, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011738162361887072, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017901421797164474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011949371419319732, "ret_p1w": 0.4439141069483139, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4439141069483139, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4218996212444568, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.420454629821136, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023459477127177886, "ret_p1m": 0.5441526734688606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5441526734688606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5029184526904191, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5006589531662622, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04349372030259846, "ret_p3m": 2.3770881683273837, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.3770881683273837, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.290176365755588, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.2595507444466634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11753742388072008, "ret_p6m": 2.8687348121961516, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.8687348121961516, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.75004363899897, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.7153844641895715, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15335034800657987, "ret_p1y": 5.212410580231151, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.212410580231151, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.968302173760441, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.678440953102981, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5339696271281706, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5441526734688606, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5029184526904191, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5006589531662622, "price_path": [-0.4511, -0.4129, -0.3675, -0.4487, -0.4988, -0.4678, -0.4964, -0.4129, -0.4702, -0.4224, -0.4177, -0.4463, -0.4451, -0.4344, -0.4344, -0.4415, -0.3461, -0.3174, -0.284, -0.2649, -0.2697, -0.2649, -0.3198, -0.2566, -0.2458, -0.2888, -0.2745, -0.2792, -0.2554, -0.2888, -0.2482, -0.1814, -0.21, -0.2434, -0.0788, -0.0907, -0.0979, -0.1635, -0.148, -0.1718, -0.1718, -0.148, -0.2005, -0.2243, -0.2554, -0.2243, -0.1802, -0.1074, -0.1575, -0.0692, -0.0119, -0.031, -0.0263, -0.0835, -0.1122, -0.0621, -0.1217, -0.0907, -0.0907, -0.0955, -0.1575, -0.0811, -0.0811, 0.0, 0.0167, 0.1408, 0.1695, 0.3556, 0.4439, 0.4439, 0.3819, 0.4391, 0.494, 0.4893, 0.401, 0.4391, 0.4248, 0.4964, 0.5322, 0.5179, 0.4916, 0.6563, 0.5943, 0.5871, 0.5442, 0.4702, 0.3556, 0.3007, 0.3031, 0.1766, 0.2387, 0.1957, 0.2434, 0.1623, 0.1337, 0.136, 0.1265, 0.1695, 0.2697, 0.2434, 0.4439, 0.3747, 0.42, 0.4081, 0.5227, 0.5847, 0.6993, 0.6683, 0.6754, 0.8234, 0.8234, 0.9857, 0.9356, 0.7661, 0.7947, 0.8425, 1.2005, 1.4463, 1.3795, 1.5895, 1.5895, 1.747, 1.9547, 1.8282, 1.9308, 2.3317, 2.3771, 2.3747, 1.7828, 1.7375, 2.0191, 2.0048, 2.0072, 2.2959, 2.5084, 2.6611, 2.7589, 3.2005, 3.2936, 3.0501, 3.8544, 3.9857, 4.0191, 3.4678, 3.4773, 3.7518, 3.3138, 2.8449, 3.1181, 3.9308, 3.9021, 3.7637, 3.6754, 3.5513, 3.4511, 4.432, 4.3723, 4.8974, 4.1814, 3.9379, 3.6897, 3.4558, 3.148, 2.5632, 2.4272, 2.4248, 2.4797, 2.4893, 2.4749, 2.3771, 2.9881, 3.1814, 3.5704, 3.5704, 3.8568, 3.6993, 3.21, 3.4463, 3.7327, 3.6014, 3.6492, 3.6683, 3.4105, 3.506, 3.0692, 2.5179, 2.5776, 2.4344, 2.6158, 2.8687]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1940881697341689907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-03T21:13:51+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN HAS NO BOSS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Decisive bullish quality verdict on IREN; no peer or superior.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nanotitan28 IREN HAS NO BOSS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN Say hello to the third boss. https://t.co/nYNUIuQdis", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nanotitan28", "ret_m1d": -0.00766967918960082, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00766967918960082, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015177599925174756, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017350817350416103, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009681138160815284, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0035399038696332097, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0035399038696332097, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029921685746207016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005381824079434883, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008921727949068092, "ret_p1w": 0.019469021171231393, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019469021171231393, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012815066391159702, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02193668152521644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002467660353985046, "ret_p1m": -0.029498523745983052, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029498523745983052, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041243662682237225, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010895657636099565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018602866109883487, "ret_p3m": 1.7740412000789494, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.7740412000789494, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6928475209184033, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7579890904341455, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016052109644803858, "ret_p6m": 1.2595868739311253, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2595868739311253, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1463718079394123, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.205009348164161, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054577525766964285, "ret_p1y": 1.9675514438347181, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.9675514438347181, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.773112274467488, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.9319844698766717, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03556697395804642, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.029498523745983052, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.041243662682237225, "alpha_c_stated": -0.010895657636099565, "price_path": [-0.6519, -0.6761, -0.6678, -0.6608, -0.6785, -0.6773, -0.6702, -0.6702, -0.6749, -0.6425, -0.6401, -0.6283, -0.6142, -0.623, -0.6301, -0.6395, -0.6242, -0.6147, -0.6348, -0.6165, -0.6124, -0.5935, -0.5847, -0.5569, -0.5209, -0.5298, -0.5428, -0.5038, -0.4962, -0.492, -0.4755, -0.4525, -0.4619, -0.4619, -0.4549, -0.4773, -0.4926, -0.505, -0.485, -0.4755, -0.4437, -0.472, -0.4248, -0.39, -0.3811, -0.3923, -0.4, -0.4201, -0.3864, -0.4236, -0.4218, -0.4218, -0.3823, -0.3711, -0.3192, -0.2997, -0.2265, -0.174, -0.1404, -0.1015, -0.0761, -0.0077, -0.0077, 0.0, -0.0035, 0.0006, 0.0047, -0.0425, 0.0195, -0.0041, 0.0212, 0.0649, 0.0584, 0.0708, 0.0968, 0.1204, 0.0702, 0.0454, -0.0218, -0.0684, -0.0478, -0.0496, -0.0914, -0.0277, -0.0295, 0.0808, 0.0956, 0.0885, 0.0602, 0.0519, 0.046, 0.1257, 0.1617, 0.2215, 0.105, 0.1658, 0.1558, 0.2643, 0.364, 0.3563, 0.3189, 0.3593, 0.5622, 0.5622, 0.7174, 0.6643, 0.5416, 0.5428, 0.5451, 0.7811, 0.9841, 0.9381, 1.0035, 1.1912, 1.1504, 1.236, 1.1428, 1.2796, 1.472, 1.4643, 1.7811, 1.731, 1.4696, 1.7097, 1.7687, 1.7776, 1.774, 1.977, 2.4071, 2.6389, 2.5451, 2.767, 2.5263, 2.7841, 3.1038, 3.0106, 2.6478, 2.5823, 2.4938, 2.2563, 2.0578, 2.2956, 2.7109, 2.8342, 2.6826, 2.5646, 2.4348, 2.5841, 2.997, 2.931, 3.508, 2.9504, 2.6802, 2.5499, 2.3853, 2.2861, 1.8702, 1.7357, 1.7971, 1.882, 1.7038, 1.5646, 1.4932, 1.8608, 1.8006, 1.8584, 1.8584, 1.8206, 1.8608, 1.426, 1.5935, 1.7404, 1.6378, 1.7339, 1.7634, 1.5912, 1.5923, 1.3676, 1.0932, 1.1587, 0.9929, 1.1121, 1.3552, 1.4802, 1.482, 1.4767, 1.4767, 1.3776, 1.3251, 1.2596]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1955787320852144609", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-14T00:23:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$124,000 US AMERICAN DEBASING DOLLARS PER 1 BITCOIN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; implies price heading to $124K as USD debases.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$124,000 US AMERICAN DEBASING DOLLARS PER 1 BITCOIN 🇺🇸", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.042113063040287946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.042113063040287946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04220606796036308, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04220606796036308, "bench_spy_m1d": -9.300492007513483e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -9.300492007513483e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008121240187970669, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008121240187970669, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005780042261635976, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005780042261635976, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0023411979263346927, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0023411979263346927, "ret_p1w": -0.05019067294009927, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05019067294009927, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03561588339722033, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03561588339722033, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014574789542878941, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014574789542878941, "ret_p1m": -0.01907745900898128, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01907745900898128, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03839683905272806, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03839683905272806, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01931938004374678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01931938004374678, "ret_p3m": -0.12979185646282054, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12979185646282054, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19172471303430705, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19172471303430705, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061932856571486505, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061932856571486505, "ret_p6m": -0.4038894718728535, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4038894718728535, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.48084281440461585, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.48084281440461585, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07695334253176234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07695334253176234, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01907745900898128, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03839683905272806, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03839683905272806, "price_path": [-0.1078, -0.0977, -0.0733, -0.0565, -0.0935, -0.0754, -0.0791, -0.0892, -0.1075, -0.1213, -0.1054, -0.1092, -0.1151, -0.1418, -0.118, -0.0681, -0.0685, -0.0817, -0.105, -0.1037, -0.0977, -0.1162, -0.1139, -0.1155, -0.1272, -0.108, -0.104, -0.0929, -0.0963, -0.0952, -0.0948, -0.107, -0.0803, -0.0736, -0.0872, -0.085, -0.0795, -0.0594, -0.02, -0.0071, 0.0126, -0.0049, 0.0032, 0.0079, -0.003, -0.0078, 0.0138, 0.0033, 0.0001, -0.0061, -0.0037, -0.0037, -0.0045, -0.022, -0.0426, -0.0278, -0.0356, -0.0281, -0.0073, -0.0141, 0.0031, 0.0153, 0.0421, 0.0, -0.0081, -0.0178, -0.0467, -0.0345, -0.0502, -0.0126, -0.0696, -0.0554, -0.0603, -0.0491, -0.0841, -0.077, -0.0605, -0.0561, -0.0645, -0.0651, -0.0531, -0.0577, -0.0372, -0.0241, -0.0191, -0.0246, -0.0128, -0.016, -0.0103, -0.0226, -0.0474, -0.0536, -0.0425, -0.0787, -0.0731, -0.0335, -0.0364, 0.0024, 0.0196, 0.033, 0.054, 0.0261, 0.0422, 0.0283, -0.0435, -0.0261, -0.0443, -0.064, -0.086, -0.1005, -0.0657, -0.0835, -0.0902, -0.07, -0.0619, -0.0358, -0.0457, -0.0702, -0.0849, -0.0744, -0.0998, -0.1417, -0.1222, -0.1441, -0.1266, -0.1045, -0.1298, -0.1411, -0.1577, -0.2024, -0.2219, -0.2147, -0.2272, -0.2681, -0.2811, -0.2542, -0.2621, -0.2352, -0.2287, -0.2318, -0.2707, -0.2282, -0.2098, -0.2215, -0.2448, -0.2342, -0.2169, -0.2225, -0.2184, -0.2373, -0.2699, -0.2578, -0.2722, -0.2779, -0.2556, -0.2524, -0.2615, -0.2598, -0.263, -0.2624, -0.2638, -0.2529, -0.2607, -0.2503, -0.2401, -0.2068, -0.2081, -0.2286, -0.2309, -0.2353, -0.2295, -0.1946, -0.1811, -0.1927, -0.1929, -0.218, -0.2539, -0.2449, -0.2441, -0.2438, -0.2542, -0.2472, -0.2465, -0.2856, -0.2892, -0.3352, -0.361, -0.3831, -0.4702, -0.4039]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1938615069539225911", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-27T15:07:04+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they think CIFR could be worth $30 per share. I didn't say anything to disavow them of the notion", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implicitly endorses $30/share valuation for CIFR based on CoreWeave/CORZ comps; people are waking up to the value.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Chatted with a PM of a large fund this morning that already owns CoreWeave shares. They were doing the math based on indicative CORZ values and they think CIFR could be worth $30 per share. I didn’t say anything to disavow them of the notion. People are waking up quickly now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01643196429586824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01643196429586824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011488204196039686, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017628331020835275, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004943760099828554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0011963667249670351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12206571666382349, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12206571666382349, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11728453733502509, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11225598662224079, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004781179328798402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009809730041582698, "ret_p1w": 0.42018776189663876, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.42018776189663876, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.40322587062865134, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3955038519066738, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016961891267987417, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024683909989964947, "ret_p1m": 0.44600927616123265, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.44600927616123265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4101827968117002, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3929328967184085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035826479349532425, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05307637944282417, "ret_p3m": 2.319248728546247, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.319248728546247, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.241151349087344, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.2072821619774516, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809737945890305, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11196656656879522, "ret_p6m": 2.835680580908516, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.835680580908516, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.7155851761034713, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.6747201698266574, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12009540480504466, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16096041108185832, "ret_p1y": 5.152581614145183, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.152581614145183, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.922003944594012, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.659618212727599, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.23057766955117076, "bench_c_p1y": 0.49296340141758366, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.44600927616123265, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4101827968117002, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3929328967184085, "price_path": [-0.4225, -0.3779, -0.4577, -0.507, -0.4765, -0.5047, -0.4225, -0.4789, -0.4319, -0.4272, -0.4554, -0.4542, -0.4437, -0.4437, -0.4507, -0.3568, -0.3286, -0.2958, -0.277, -0.2817, -0.277, -0.331, -0.2688, -0.2582, -0.3005, -0.2864, -0.2911, -0.2676, -0.3005, -0.2606, -0.1948, -0.223, -0.2559, -0.0939, -0.1056, -0.1127, -0.1772, -0.162, -0.1854, -0.1854, -0.162, -0.2136, -0.2371, -0.2676, -0.2371, -0.1937, -0.1221, -0.1714, -0.0845, -0.0282, -0.0469, -0.0423, -0.0986, -0.1268, -0.0775, -0.1362, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.1103, -0.1714, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.0164, 0.0, 0.1221, 0.1502, 0.3333, 0.4202, 0.4202, 0.3592, 0.4155, 0.4695, 0.4648, 0.3779, 0.4155, 0.4014, 0.4718, 0.507, 0.493, 0.4671, 0.6291, 0.5681, 0.561, 0.5188, 0.446, 0.3333, 0.2793, 0.2817, 0.1573, 0.2183, 0.1761, 0.223, 0.1432, 0.115, 0.1174, 0.108, 0.1502, 0.2488, 0.223, 0.4202, 0.3521, 0.3967, 0.385, 0.4977, 0.5587, 0.6714, 0.6408, 0.6479, 0.7934, 0.7934, 0.9531, 0.9038, 0.7371, 0.7653, 0.8122, 1.1643, 1.4061, 1.3404, 1.5469, 1.5469, 1.7019, 1.9061, 1.7817, 1.8826, 2.277, 2.3216, 2.3192, 1.7371, 1.6925, 1.9695, 1.9554, 1.9577, 2.2418, 2.4507, 2.6009, 2.6972, 3.1315, 3.223, 2.9836, 3.7746, 3.9038, 3.9366, 3.3944, 3.4038, 3.6737, 3.243, 2.7817, 3.0505, 3.8498, 3.8216, 3.6854, 3.5986, 3.4765, 3.3779, 4.3427, 4.284, 4.8005, 4.0962, 3.8568, 3.6127, 3.3826, 3.0798, 2.5047, 2.3709, 2.3685, 2.4225, 2.4319, 2.4178, 2.3216, 2.9225, 3.1127, 3.4953, 3.4953, 3.777, 3.6221, 3.1408, 3.3732, 3.6549, 3.5258, 3.5728, 3.5915, 3.338, 3.4319, 3.0023, 2.4601, 2.5188, 2.3779, 2.5563, 2.8052, 2.8357]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943821878801707362", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-11T23:57:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC has at least another 20-30% left in it this year alone", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC has 20-30% upside remaining this year.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AlemzadehC Which is a great sign because BTC has at least another 20-30% left in it this year alone", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For the first time in 1 year we have bullish alignment on the 4hr 50sma(top)/100sma/200sma(bottom) on #WGMI/BTC \n\nSpring is reloading in this zone for the miners IMO \n\nI’m expecting short term 40-50% outperformance compared to BTC https://t.co/5rGAcBrLtC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AlemzadehC", "ret_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013017598851229994, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011113048969169315, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011113048969169315, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019849988449143874, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024123200638500153, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024123200638500153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004137566542072646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002200397775296903, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002200397775296903, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010334276791753805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018282367925295695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018282367925295695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04967685856599857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.027483832188158974, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.027483832188158974, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20111506480944408, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3146982596531046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3146982596531046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010334276791753805, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.018282367925295695, "alpha_c_stated": -0.018282367925295695, "price_path": [-0.288, -0.2849, -0.2776, -0.2814, -0.2553, -0.2049, -0.2027, -0.2006, -0.194, -0.1918, -0.1977, -0.1984, -0.1789, -0.1754, -0.1938, -0.1763, -0.1743, -0.1215, -0.1238, -0.1251, -0.1136, -0.1189, -0.1172, -0.1194, -0.1014, -0.0913, -0.0667, -0.0497, -0.087, -0.0687, -0.0725, -0.0827, -0.1011, -0.115, -0.099, -0.1028, -0.1088, -0.1356, -0.1117, -0.0615, -0.0618, -0.0751, -0.0986, -0.0972, -0.0912, -0.1099, -0.1075, -0.1092, -0.1209, -0.1016, -0.0976, -0.0864, -0.0898, -0.0887, -0.0883, -0.1006, -0.0737, -0.067, -0.0807, -0.0784, -0.0729, -0.0527, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0022, 0.0104, 0.0151, 0.0041, -0.0007, 0.0211, 0.0105, 0.0072, 0.001, 0.0035, 0.0034, 0.0027, -0.015, -0.0357, -0.0208, -0.0287, -0.0212, -0.0002, -0.007, 0.0103, 0.0226, 0.0496, 0.0072, -0.001, -0.0108, -0.0399, -0.0276, -0.0434, -0.0055, -0.0629, -0.0486, -0.0536, -0.0423, -0.0775, -0.0703, -0.0537, -0.0493, -0.0578, -0.0584, -0.0463, -0.0509, -0.0303, -0.0171, -0.012, -0.0176, -0.0057, -0.0089, -0.0032, -0.0156, -0.0406, -0.0468, -0.0356, -0.0721, -0.0664, -0.0265, -0.0295, 0.0096, 0.0269, 0.0404, 0.0616, 0.0335, 0.0497, 0.0356, -0.0366, -0.0191, -0.0374, -0.0573, -0.0794, -0.094, -0.059, -0.0769, -0.0836, -0.0634, -0.0552, -0.0289, -0.0388, -0.0635, -0.0784, -0.0677, -0.0933, -0.1355, -0.1159, -0.138, -0.1204, -0.098, -0.1236, -0.1349, -0.1516, -0.1967, -0.2163, -0.2091, -0.2217, -0.2628, -0.2759, -0.2489, -0.2568, -0.2297, -0.2232, -0.2263, -0.2655, -0.2227, -0.2041, -0.2159, -0.2394, -0.2287, -0.2112, -0.217, -0.2128, -0.2319, -0.2646, -0.2525, -0.267, -0.2728, -0.2503, -0.247, -0.2562, -0.2545, -0.2577, -0.2571, -0.2585, -0.2475, -0.2554, -0.2449, -0.2346, -0.2011]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1951722147963097527", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-02T19:09:55+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is the greatest value investment in human history.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Decisively bullish Bitcoin as the greatest value investment ever; implicit long stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@OHare888 Bitcoin is the greatest value investment in human history.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Thoughts…\n\nI know the urge to short or go long puts is pretty strong right now especially after this week, but my suggestion is to step back, don’t chase here. \n\nWait for a better setup as the one last week has played out for now, there will be plenty of opportunities to do that", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OHare888", "ret_m1d": -0.015223500582278726, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015223500582278726, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0002512124121003545, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0002512124121003545, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014972288170178372, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008085706753543476, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008085706753543476, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0030157804099308905, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030157804099308905, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005069926343612585, "ret_p1w": 0.031802403945740076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031802403945740076, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02427671064157444, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02427671064157444, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007525693304165637, "ret_p1m": -0.03364242228753622, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03364242228753622, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04806014143274129, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04806014143274129, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014417719145205066, "ret_p3m": -0.05880094921645784, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05880094921645784, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13888220257374173, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13888220257374173, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08008125335728389, "ret_p6m": -0.22567904396171934, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22567904396171934, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3339050664288046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3339050664288046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10822602246708524, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03364242228753622, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04806014143274129, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04806014143274129, "price_path": [-0.1568, -0.1028, -0.1052, -0.1065, -0.0947, -0.1002, -0.0984, -0.1007, -0.0823, -0.072, -0.0469, -0.0295, -0.0676, -0.0489, -0.0528, -0.0632, -0.0819, -0.0962, -0.0799, -0.0838, -0.0899, -0.1173, -0.0928, -0.0415, -0.0418, -0.0555, -0.0795, -0.078, -0.0719, -0.091, -0.0885, -0.0903, -0.1022, -0.0825, -0.0784, -0.067, -0.0705, -0.0694, -0.069, -0.0815, -0.054, -0.0471, -0.0612, -0.0589, -0.0532, -0.0325, 0.008, 0.0212, 0.0415, 0.0235, 0.0319, 0.0367, 0.0255, 0.0206, 0.0428, 0.032, 0.0286, 0.0223, 0.0248, 0.0248, 0.024, 0.006, -0.0152, 0.0, -0.0081, -0.0004, 0.0211, 0.0141, 0.0318, 0.0443, 0.0719, 0.0286, 0.0202, 0.0103, -0.0195, -0.0069, -0.0231, 0.0157, -0.043, -0.0284, -0.0335, -0.022, -0.0579, -0.0506, -0.0336, -0.0291, -0.0378, -0.0384, -0.0261, -0.0308, -0.0097, 0.0038, 0.0089, 0.0032, 0.0154, 0.0121, 0.0179, 0.0054, -0.0202, -0.0266, -0.0151, -0.0523, -0.0466, -0.0058, -0.0088, 0.0311, 0.0487, 0.0625, 0.0841, 0.0554, 0.072, 0.0576, -0.0161, 0.0017, -0.017, -0.0373, -0.0598, -0.0748, -0.039, -0.0573, -0.0642, -0.0435, -0.0351, -0.0083, -0.0184, -0.0436, -0.0588, -0.0479, -0.0741, -0.1172, -0.0972, -0.1197, -0.1017, -0.0789, -0.1049, -0.1165, -0.1336, -0.1797, -0.1997, -0.1923, -0.2051, -0.2471, -0.2605, -0.2329, -0.241, -0.2134, -0.2067, -0.2099, -0.2498, -0.2061, -0.1872, -0.1993, -0.2232, -0.2123, -0.1945, -0.2003, -0.1961, -0.2155, -0.249, -0.2366, -0.2514, -0.2573, -0.2344, -0.231, -0.2404, -0.2386, -0.2419, -0.2413, -0.2428, -0.2315, -0.2395, -0.2289, -0.2184, -0.1841, -0.1855, -0.2065, -0.209, -0.2134, -0.2075, -0.1716, -0.1577, -0.1696, -0.1699, -0.1957, -0.2326, -0.2233, -0.2226, -0.2222, -0.2329, -0.2257]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1949122941133963666", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-26T15:01:36+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been holding it since $300 and will continue holding", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding ETH since $300; ongoing long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dotkrueger I have no idea what it’s meant to do but I’ve been holding it since $300 and will continue holding.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred But \"using\" Bitcoin means \"saving in Bitcoin\". ETH is meant to be transactional.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dotkrueger", "ret_m1d": -0.01588385859458885, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01588385859458885, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016134990650811032, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016134990650811032, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015918602984175134, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015918602984175134, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004229521987689444, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004229521987689444, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "ret_p1w": -0.0180702411660294, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0180702411660294, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009011175429597729, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009011175429597729, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "ret_p1m": 0.21465792955926322, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21465792955926322, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2017526291129903, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2017526291129903, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "ret_p3m": 0.01811272085570992, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01811272085570992, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.039478874281435594, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.039478874281435594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "ret_p6m": -0.22490739556571349, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22490739556571349, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29481385953238104, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29481385953238104, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21465792955926322, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2017526291129903, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2017526291129903, "price_path": [-0.5264, -0.5144, -0.5135, -0.5195, -0.5208, -0.5217, -0.4174, -0.3807, -0.3409, -0.2924, -0.3109, -0.3275, -0.3303, -0.3322, -0.3335, -0.3261, -0.2966, -0.3329, -0.323, -0.2969, -0.2918, -0.3049, -0.332, -0.3116, -0.3153, -0.3112, -0.362, -0.3459, -0.292, -0.2571, -0.2677, -0.2998, -0.3189, -0.3292, -0.3371, -0.3335, -0.3342, -0.3644, -0.3606, -0.3536, -0.3612, -0.3621, -0.36, -0.3435, -0.3648, -0.3211, -0.3159, -0.3377, -0.3286, -0.3094, -0.2684, -0.2198, -0.219, -0.2044, -0.171, -0.1098, -0.082, -0.0629, -0.0064, -0.0101, -0.0416, -0.021, -0.0159, 0.0, 0.0016, 0.0055, -0.024, -0.079, -0.0181, -0.0463, -0.0273, 0.0335, 0.0587, 0.1161, 0.2121, 0.2558, 0.2009, 0.1723, 0.1386, 0.0755, 0.1444, 0.1151, 0.2756, 0.1546, 0.2147, 0.189, 0.19, 0.1512, 0.1392, 0.142, 0.175, 0.135, 0.1372, 0.1375, 0.1377, 0.1483, 0.1779, 0.245, 0.1952, 0.1891, 0.2126, 0.2119, 0.1805, 0.1097, 0.0998, 0.0966, 0.0214, 0.0656, 0.1135, 0.0947, 0.1488, 0.185, 0.1921, 0.2377, 0.1752, 0.1954, 0.1536, 0.0147, 0.1209, 0.0892, 0.0528, 0.0283, 0.0119, 0.051, 0.0236, 0.0055, 0.0181, 0.0389, 0.0878, 0.0514, 0.0306, 0.0045, 0.0158, -0.0489, -0.1307, -0.0956, -0.1255, -0.093, -0.0578, -0.0983, -0.0988, -0.1465, -0.1805, -0.2014, -0.1754, -0.2018, -0.2523, -0.2698, -0.2204, -0.219, -0.2006, -0.2041, -0.1994, -0.2607, -0.2084, -0.1573, -0.1724, -0.2015, -0.1748, -0.1231, -0.122, -0.1453, -0.1857, -0.2174, -0.2174, -0.2524, -0.2536, -0.2137, -0.2063, -0.2176, -0.2223, -0.2334, -0.2275, -0.2252, -0.2155, -0.2166, -0.2078, -0.1751, -0.1482, -0.1298, -0.1639, -0.1803, -0.186, -0.1835, -0.1229, -0.1142, -0.1242, -0.1299, -0.1586, -0.2249]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1943903826748018779", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-12T05:22:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BITCOIN HAS NO TOP BECAUSE FIAT HAS NO BOTTOM", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Emphatically bullish Bitcoin; argues fiat debasement means BTC has no ceiling.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoCon_ BITCOIN HAS NO TOP BECAUSE FIAT HAS NO BOTTOM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Level 3 of the Magic Bands was achieved once again, at 116.6k.\n\nNext up, the still untouched cycle top band at 158k (and increasing).\n\nBitcoin is finally nearing endgame territory. https://t.co/fCjWaP7GwY", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoCon_", "ret_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019463635509109678, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017559085627048998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019045498820606799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01729262210051885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013019409911162572, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004273212189356279, "ret_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02010988763139665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0264478519487662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006337964317369549, "ret_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025919907749224924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0286166447170495, "ret_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015485084769583102, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.061675605984574444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07716069075415755, "ret_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2179452363578811, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33152843120154163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11358319484366053, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0026967369678245756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025919907749224924, "price_path": [-0.2988, -0.2916, -0.2954, -0.2698, -0.2203, -0.2182, -0.2162, -0.2097, -0.2075, -0.2133, -0.214, -0.1949, -0.1914, -0.2094, -0.1923, -0.1904, -0.1386, -0.1408, -0.1422, -0.1308, -0.1361, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1188, -0.109, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.1048, -0.0869, -0.0906, -0.1005, -0.1185, -0.1323, -0.1165, -0.1203, -0.1261, -0.1525, -0.129, -0.0797, -0.08, -0.0931, -0.1162, -0.1148, -0.1089, -0.1272, -0.1249, -0.1265, -0.138, -0.1191, -0.1152, -0.1042, -0.1075, -0.1065, -0.1061, -0.1181, -0.0917, -0.0851, -0.0986, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.0711, -0.0322, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0154, -0.0201, 0.0012, -0.0091, -0.0124, -0.0185, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0168, -0.0341, -0.0545, -0.0399, -0.0476, -0.0402, -0.0196, -0.0264, -0.0093, 0.0027, 0.0292, -0.0124, -0.0205, -0.03, -0.0586, -0.0465, -0.062, -0.0248, -0.0811, -0.0671, -0.072, -0.061, -0.0954, -0.0884, -0.0722, -0.0678, -0.0761, -0.0768, -0.0649, -0.0694, -0.0492, -0.0362, -0.0313, -0.0368, -0.0251, -0.0282, -0.0226, -0.0347, -0.0593, -0.0654, -0.0544, -0.0901, -0.0846, -0.0455, -0.0483, -0.01, 0.0069, 0.0202, 0.0409, 0.0134, 0.0292, 0.0155, -0.0554, -0.0382, -0.0562, -0.0756, -0.0973, -0.1117, -0.0773, -0.0949, -0.1015, -0.0816, -0.0736, -0.0478, -0.0575, -0.0817, -0.0963, -0.0859, -0.111, -0.1524, -0.1331, -0.1548, -0.1375, -0.1156, -0.1406, -0.1517, -0.1681, -0.2124, -0.2316, -0.2245, -0.2368, -0.2772, -0.29, -0.2635, -0.2712, -0.2447, -0.2383, -0.2414, -0.2798, -0.2378, -0.2196, -0.2312, -0.2542, -0.2437, -0.2266, -0.2322, -0.2281, -0.2468, -0.2789, -0.267, -0.2812, -0.2869, -0.2649, -0.2617, -0.2706, -0.269, -0.2721, -0.2716, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.2698, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.2167, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938996057112776893", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-28T16:20:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yup $121,000-$146,000 on deck within 30-45 days", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long BTC to $121K–$146K within 30–45 days.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Yup $121,000-$146,000 on deck within 30-45 days.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC\n\nConsolidating on support after sizable move up\n\nStocks breaking all time highs + M2 moving higher + in a micro uptrend since April 2025 + in a macro uptrend since 2022 + Above 10/43/55 SMA which are also moving up\n\nHave to like this setup for a continuation upward in July: https://t.co/rafrtzCgG2", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.0004378224008870779, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0004378224008870779, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004320606028268226, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004320606028268226, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004758428429155304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013413452013053329, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013413452013053329, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013089837728918585, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013089837728918585, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00032361428413474336, "ret_p1w": 0.010869575521556651, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010869575521556651, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0062891349486755566, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0062891349486755566, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004580440572881095, "ret_p1m": 0.10068398447261839, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10068398447261839, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07250557032444171, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07250557032444171, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028178414148176678, "ret_p3m": 0.01786481657290495, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01786481657290495, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05015241369034418, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05015241369034418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06801723026324913, "ret_p6m": -0.18407872402626269, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18407872402626269, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30393926225075285, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30393926225075285, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11986053822449017, "ret_p1y": -0.39871896840758436, "ret_signed_p1y": -0.39871896840758436, "alpha_spy_p1y": -0.6081468513139482, "alpha_c_p1y": -0.6081468513139482, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "bench_c_p1y": 0.20942788290636383, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010869575521556651, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0062891349486755566, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0062891349486755566, "price_path": [-0.2301, -0.2243, -0.2174, -0.2604, -0.2881, -0.2293, -0.2568, -0.2215, -0.2109, -0.219, -0.2156, -0.2076, -0.2117, -0.1831, -0.1278, -0.1254, -0.1231, -0.1159, -0.1135, -0.1199, -0.1207, -0.0993, -0.0954, -0.1156, -0.0964, -0.0943, -0.0363, -0.0389, -0.0403, -0.0277, -0.0336, -0.0316, -0.034, -0.0143, -0.0032, 0.0237, 0.0424, 0.0014, 0.0215, 0.0174, 0.0062, -0.0139, -0.0293, -0.0117, -0.0159, -0.0224, -0.0519, -0.0256, 0.0295, 0.0291, 0.0145, -0.0113, -0.0097, -0.0032, -0.0237, -0.021, -0.0229, -0.0357, -0.0145, -0.0102, 0.0021, -0.0016, -0.0004, 0.0, -0.0134, 0.0161, 0.0235, 0.0084, 0.0109, 0.0169, 0.0391, 0.0826, 0.0969, 0.1187, 0.0993, 0.1083, 0.1135, 0.1014, 0.0962, 0.12, 0.1085, 0.1048, 0.098, 0.1007, 0.1007, 0.0998, 0.0805, 0.0577, 0.0741, 0.0654, 0.0737, 0.0967, 0.0892, 0.1082, 0.1217, 0.1513, 0.1048, 0.0958, 0.0851, 0.0532, 0.0666, 0.0493, 0.0909, 0.0279, 0.0436, 0.0381, 0.0505, 0.0119, 0.0197, 0.0379, 0.0428, 0.0335, 0.0328, 0.0461, 0.041, 0.0637, 0.0781, 0.0837, 0.0776, 0.0906, 0.0871, 0.0934, 0.0798, 0.0524, 0.0455, 0.0578, 0.0179, 0.0241, 0.0678, 0.0646, 0.1075, 0.1264, 0.1412, 0.1644, 0.1336, 0.1514, 0.136, 0.0567, 0.0759, 0.0558, 0.034, 0.0098, -0.0062, 0.0322, 0.0125, 0.0052, 0.0274, 0.0364, 0.0652, 0.0543, 0.0273, 0.0109, 0.0226, -0.0055, -0.0518, -0.0303, -0.0545, -0.0351, -0.0106, -0.0386, -0.0511, -0.0694, -0.1189, -0.1404, -0.1324, -0.1463, -0.1914, -0.2058, -0.1761, -0.1848, -0.1551, -0.1479, -0.1514, -0.1943, -0.1473, -0.127, -0.14, -0.1657, -0.154, -0.1348, -0.1411, -0.1365, -0.1574, -0.1934, -0.1801, -0.1959, -0.2023, -0.1776, -0.174, -0.1841]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1959385942038548854", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-23T22:43:06+00:00", "symbol": "WU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That company is structurally broken. Will be shocked if it can stay above $5.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish WU: structurally broken, expects price to fall below $5.", "resolved_tickers": ["WU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@OHare888 @WesternUnion @sydney_sweeney That company is structurally broken. Will be shocked if it can stay above $5.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "“We’re All In” @WesternUnion @sydney_sweeney $WU https://t.co/EqWyMDktlE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OHare888", "ret_m1d": 0.028436141833692252, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028436141833692252, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02401576325448951, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022615623114137895, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420378579202744, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005820518719554357, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0165877967148651, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0165877967148651, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01240092400976156, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008889681926348425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004186872705103539, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0076981147885166745, "ret_p1w": 0.027251200081553018, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027251200081553018, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023235494578277782, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013544763325242348, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015705503275235, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01370643675631067, "ret_p1m": -0.01019053691789984, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01019053691789984, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04533417953077201, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.022901296422020767, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514364261287217, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012710759504120928, "ret_p3m": -0.004095694644345893, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.004095694644345893, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.022569937870634438, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.033113278510481736, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474243226288545, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03720897315482763, "ret_p6m": 0.17971372655097162, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17971372655097162, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1107665786989136, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19295283725385837, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894714785205802, "bench_c_p6m": -0.013239110702886747, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01019053691789984, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04533417953077201, "alpha_c_stated": 0.022901296422020767, "price_path": [0.08, 0.0742, 0.0696, 0.0696, 0.0846, 0.073, 0.0719, 0.0903, 0.0696, 0.0696, 0.0661, 0.0523, -0.0053, 0.0249, -0.0012, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0047, 0.0012, 0.0142, 0.0083, 0.0024, -0.0083, -0.0024, 0.0273, 0.0344, 0.0213, 0.0213, 0.0095, 0.0284, 0.0249, 0.0178, -0.0107, -0.0154, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0403, -0.0498, -0.0403, 0.019, 0.045, 0.0355, 0.0166, 0.0, -0.0415, -0.0403, -0.0462, -0.0616, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0462, -0.0521, -0.0474, -0.0225, -0.0142, 0.0071, -0.019, -0.0095, 0.0024, -0.0024, -0.0166, 0.0071, 0.0284, 0.0, 0.0166, 0.013, 0.0083, 0.0273, 0.0273, 0.0367, 0.0332, 0.0332, 0.0474, 0.0355, 0.0237, 0.0012, 0.0059, -0.0047, -0.0059, -0.0004, 0.0166, -0.0004, -0.0078, -0.0114, -0.0102, -0.0053, -0.0394, -0.0309, -0.0248, -0.026, -0.0151, -0.0175, -0.0236, -0.0163, -0.0041, -0.0138, -0.0163, -0.0334, -0.0078, 0.0093, -0.0053, -0.0151, 0.0105, -0.0126, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0078, 0.0934, 0.0861, 0.1568, 0.1629, 0.1483, 0.1373, 0.1093, 0.1007, 0.0812, 0.1312, 0.1093, 0.0825, 0.0861, 0.0861, 0.091, 0.0764, 0.0849, 0.0642, 0.03, -0.0041, 0.0264, 0.0227, 0.0508, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0715, 0.0532, 0.0617, 0.1032, 0.0885, 0.102, 0.102, 0.1129, 0.1532, 0.1714, 0.1958, 0.169, 0.1714, 0.1763, 0.1714, 0.1653, 0.1647, 0.1535, 0.1685, 0.1685, 0.1747, 0.1647, 0.1622, 0.1635, 0.1635, 0.1535, 0.1785, 0.211, 0.1997, 0.2147, 0.211, 0.1885, 0.1497, 0.1747, 0.1885, 0.1585, 0.1585, 0.1422, 0.1585, 0.176, 0.186, 0.1872, 0.171, 0.1672, 0.171, 0.171, 0.1897, 0.1747, 0.2347, 0.2534, 0.2847, 0.2472, 0.2634, 0.2372, 0.226, 0.1997, 0.1997, 0.1797]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1941168782795473048", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-04T16:14:37+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Increased my position yesterday.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to OSCR position; ongoing long on strong free cash flow.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tech_Investor20 Yup. Increased my position yesterday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OSCR Free Cash Flow \n\n2024: $950.3M\nQ1 2025: $878.5M\n\nINSANE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheTechInvest", "ret_m1d": -0.020226065638892066, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020226065638892066, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027733986374466002, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02871055570864034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007507920735573936, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008484490069748274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015466998045336355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015466998045336355, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014919262750323847, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020007073212924276, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477352950125081, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00454007516758792, "ret_p1w": -0.10291490762634259, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10291490762634259, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10956886240641428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1079013524554916, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006653954780071691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004986444829149006, "ret_p1m": -0.1778703073236857, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1778703073236857, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18961544625993987, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16402683921513983, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011745138936254174, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013843468108545864, "ret_p3m": 0.14693642469813462, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14693642469813462, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06574274553758852, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0763438080197858, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0811936791605461, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07059261667834882, "ret_p6m": -0.136823278413567, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.136823278413567, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25003834440528006, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3057569205889483, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321506599171305, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16893364217538132, "ret_p1y": 0.7346817830953081, "ret_signed_p1y": 0.7346817830953081, "alpha_spy_p1y": 0.540242613728078, "alpha_c_p1y": 0.5734104927183816, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19443916936723005, "bench_c_p1y": 0.16127129037692645, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1778703073236857, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18961544625993987, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16402683921513983, "price_path": [-0.2552, -0.2713, -0.2522, -0.2612, -0.2594, -0.2653, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.3076, -0.3099, -0.2855, -0.2844, -0.2725, -0.2493, -0.2177, -0.2261, -0.2237, -0.2148, -0.2267, -0.2225, 0.0125, 0.0149, 0.0178, 0.0006, 0.0065, -0.0161, -0.0149, 0.0422, -0.0036, -0.0202, -0.116, -0.1452, -0.157, -0.157, -0.1071, -0.1737, -0.1791, -0.1791, -0.1517, -0.1523, -0.1582, -0.069, -0.0827, -0.122, -0.1261, -0.1582, -0.1469, -0.1701, -0.1106, -0.0416, 0.1166, 0.1166, 0.2623, 0.2148, 0.191, 0.1416, 0.2183, 0.2142, 0.2754, 0.2165, -0.0113, -0.0202, -0.0202, 0.0, -0.0155, -0.0434, -0.0761, -0.1446, -0.1029, -0.1124, -0.0869, -0.1749, -0.2017, -0.1898, -0.1255, -0.0559, -0.1553, -0.1404, -0.1273, -0.1767, -0.1672, -0.1642, -0.1921, -0.1767, -0.1779, -0.1469, -0.0982, -0.0803, -0.0714, -0.1089, -0.1118, -0.1267, -0.0696, -0.0095, -0.0107, -0.0916, -0.0827, -0.0006, -0.0059, 0.0161, 0.0125, 0.0256, -0.0089, -0.0089, -0.0226, 0.0518, 0.0934, 0.1559, 0.2064, 0.1927, 0.1588, 0.1559, 0.1499, 0.1142, 0.0666, 0.0571, 0.1368, 0.1285, 0.1005, 0.0565, 0.097, 0.0761, 0.0958, 0.138, 0.1261, 0.1243, 0.1469, 0.2885, 0.3272, 0.3367, 0.2968, 0.2219, 0.1166, 0.2136, 0.2308, 0.2296, 0.251, 0.1535, 0.2005, 0.2951, 0.2118, 0.1672, 0.1475, 0.1701, 0.1624, 0.1249, 0.0761, 0.0708, 0.0506, 0.0208, 0.0131, -0.0149, 0.0541, -0.1309, -0.1166, -0.1017, -0.1701, -0.1743, -0.1523, -0.1249, -0.1624, -0.2249, -0.1981, -0.019, -0.0048, 0.0803, 0.0803, 0.069, -0.0095, 0.0024, 0.0173, 0.022, -0.0024, -0.0048, 0.0089, -0.0726, -0.0559, -0.0107, -0.0399, -0.0654, -0.0845, -0.1196, -0.1136, -0.1059, -0.1172, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.113, -0.1356, -0.1368]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1949136589931917521", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-26T15:55:50+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The gap will continue to close", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Value arbitrage: gap between CoreWeave and IREN will continue to close — implied short CRWV, long IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At one point over the last few months, Coreweave was an $85B company and IREN was a $1.5B company. Today it’s $56B and $4B. The gap will continue to close and it was all completely predictable in advance. Watch and enjoy how value arbitrage works at scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0687575027077334, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0687575027077334, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06850637065151122, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.061785656891297114, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002511320562221808, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006971845816436284, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04764776631412926, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04764776631412926, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04501010462485733, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.042560165666363, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026376616892719307, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005087600647766255, "ret_p1w": -0.006031386123635962, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006031386123635962, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0030276796127957084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01582660239190692, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00905906573643167, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02185798851554288, "ret_p1m": 0.3866103665203944, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3866103665203944, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.37370506607412146, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3753045305284868, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905300446272916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011305835991907598, "ret_p3m": 2.369119473304884, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.369119473304884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.3115278781677384, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.375847220572371, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759159513714551, "bench_c_p3m": -0.006727747267486817, "ret_p6m": 2.272617525404952, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.272617525404952, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.2027110614382845, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.2633527299415057, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990646396666755, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00926479546344594, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3866103665203944, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.37370506607412146, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3753045305284868, "price_path": [-0.6315, -0.6158, -0.6062, -0.6267, -0.608, -0.6037, -0.5844, -0.5754, -0.547, -0.5103, -0.5193, -0.5326, -0.4928, -0.4849, -0.4807, -0.4638, -0.4403, -0.4499, -0.4499, -0.4427, -0.4656, -0.4813, -0.494, -0.4735, -0.4638, -0.4312, -0.4602, -0.4119, -0.3764, -0.3673, -0.3788, -0.3866, -0.4071, -0.3727, -0.4107, -0.4089, -0.4089, -0.3685, -0.3571, -0.304, -0.2841, -0.2093, -0.1556, -0.1212, -0.0814, -0.0555, 0.0145, 0.0145, 0.0223, 0.0187, 0.0229, 0.0271, -0.0211, 0.0422, 0.0181, 0.044, 0.0887, 0.082, 0.0947, 0.1212, 0.1454, 0.0941, 0.0688, 0.0, -0.0476, -0.0265, -0.0283, -0.0712, -0.006, -0.0078, 0.1049, 0.12, 0.1128, 0.0838, 0.0754, 0.0694, 0.1508, 0.1876, 0.2488, 0.1297, 0.1918, 0.1815, 0.2925, 0.3945, 0.3866, 0.3483, 0.3896, 0.5971, 0.5971, 0.7557, 0.7014, 0.576, 0.5772, 0.5796, 0.8209, 1.0283, 0.9813, 1.0483, 1.24, 1.1984, 1.2859, 1.1906, 1.3305, 1.5271, 1.5193, 1.8432, 1.7919, 1.5247, 1.7702, 1.8305, 1.8396, 1.8359, 2.0434, 2.4831, 2.7201, 2.6242, 2.851, 2.6049, 2.8685, 3.1954, 3.1001, 2.7292, 2.6622, 2.5718, 2.329, 2.1261, 2.3691, 2.7937, 2.9198, 2.7648, 2.6441, 2.5115, 2.6641, 3.0862, 3.0187, 3.6086, 3.0386, 2.7624, 2.6291, 2.4608, 2.3595, 1.9343, 1.7967, 1.8595, 1.9463, 1.7642, 1.6218, 1.5489, 1.9246, 1.8631, 1.9222, 1.9222, 1.8836, 1.9246, 1.4801, 1.6514, 1.8016, 1.6966, 1.7949, 1.8251, 1.649, 1.6502, 1.4204, 1.1399, 1.2069, 1.0374, 1.1592, 1.4077, 1.5356, 1.5374, 1.532, 1.532, 1.4306, 1.377, 1.31, 1.278, 1.278, 1.5754, 1.9095, 1.769, 1.6312, 1.7551, 1.7762, 2.0356, 2.196, 2.1894, 2.1297, 2.4873, 2.4873, 2.2726]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942633950738100696", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-08T17:16:40+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Everything is net positive for IREN atm. There are so many forces converging in the same spot.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; multiple converging tailwinds make everything net positive right now.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CochranCrypto Everything is net positive for IREN atm. There are so many forces converging in the same spot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Is this a net positive or or negative for iren?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CochranCrypto", "ret_m1d": 0.0035524793048713477, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0035524793048713477, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0030044438314871247, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005449562411375286, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.000548035473384223, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009002041716246634, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004144446261325596, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004144446261325596, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001852209817018613, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005053135422012911, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005996656078344209, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003639132719124305, "ret_p1w": -0.0005920798841452246, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0005920798841452246, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003493713336254478, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01013388650681768, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0029016334521092535, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010725966390962904, "ret_p1m": 0.08466550366201919, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08466550366201919, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06461192172942276, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08964540072960359, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02005358193259643, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004979897067584393, "ret_p3m": 1.9875666612160234, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.9875666612160234, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.9057963663701534, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.955257876137729, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08177029484587006, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03230878507829438, "ret_p6m": 1.236234566172465, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.236234566172465, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.130661585584699, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.180070044073337, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10557298058776587, "bench_c_p6m": 0.056164522099128034, "ret_p1y": 1.8265247722700182, "ret_signed_p1y": 1.8265247722700182, "alpha_spy_p1y": 1.6297033382236352, "alpha_c_p1y": 1.7868872668693052, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.19682143404638297, "bench_c_p1y": 0.03963750540071298, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08466550366201919, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06461192172942276, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08964540072960359, "price_path": [-0.675, -0.6667, -0.6596, -0.6773, -0.6761, -0.669, -0.669, -0.6738, -0.6412, -0.6388, -0.627, -0.6128, -0.6217, -0.6288, -0.6382, -0.6229, -0.6134, -0.6335, -0.6152, -0.611, -0.5921, -0.5832, -0.5554, -0.5192, -0.5281, -0.5411, -0.5021, -0.4944, -0.4902, -0.4737, -0.4506, -0.46, -0.46, -0.4529, -0.4754, -0.4908, -0.5033, -0.4831, -0.4737, -0.4417, -0.4701, -0.4227, -0.3878, -0.3789, -0.3902, -0.3979, -0.418, -0.3843, -0.4216, -0.4198, -0.4198, -0.3801, -0.3689, -0.3168, -0.2972, -0.2238, -0.1711, -0.1374, -0.0983, -0.0728, -0.0041, -0.0041, 0.0036, 0.0, 0.0041, 0.0083, -0.0391, 0.0231, -0.0006, 0.0249, 0.0687, 0.0622, 0.0746, 0.1007, 0.1243, 0.074, 0.0491, -0.0184, -0.0651, -0.0444, -0.0462, -0.0882, -0.0243, -0.0261, 0.0847, 0.0995, 0.0924, 0.0639, 0.0557, 0.0497, 0.1297, 0.1658, 0.2259, 0.1089, 0.1699, 0.1599, 0.2688, 0.3689, 0.3612, 0.3236, 0.3641, 0.5678, 0.5678, 0.7235, 0.6702, 0.5471, 0.5483, 0.5506, 0.7874, 0.9911, 0.9449, 1.0107, 1.1989, 1.1581, 1.2439, 1.1504, 1.2877, 1.4808, 1.4731, 1.791, 1.7407, 1.4784, 1.7194, 1.7786, 1.7874, 1.7839, 1.9876, 2.4192, 2.6519, 2.5577, 2.7803, 2.5388, 2.7975, 3.1184, 3.0249, 2.6607, 2.595, 2.5062, 2.2679, 2.0687, 2.3073, 2.7241, 2.8478, 2.6957, 2.5773, 2.447, 2.5968, 3.0112, 2.9449, 3.524, 2.9645, 2.6933, 2.5625, 2.3973, 2.2978, 1.8804, 1.7454, 1.807, 1.8922, 1.7134, 1.5737, 1.5021, 1.8709, 1.8105, 1.8686, 1.8686, 1.8307, 1.8709, 1.4346, 1.6027, 1.7501, 1.6471, 1.7436, 1.7732, 1.6004, 1.6015, 1.376, 1.1007, 1.1664, 1.0, 1.1196, 1.3635, 1.489, 1.4908, 1.4855, 1.4855, 1.386, 1.3333, 1.2676, 1.2362]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958974369868480910", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-22T19:27:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is far from over", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, and MicroStrategy; mocks bears who sold the bottom and asserts the rally has further to run.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My condolences to all the emotional people who flipped bearish at the bottom on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, Microstrategy, etc\n\nMarkets always teach the hardest lessons. Take your lumps, learn, and keep going. This is far from over.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03811841309186714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02299393969427188, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05775218963945106, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05335126481407515, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0724134005593493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07201050841920786, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0352993402421663, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0715281703545142, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2173971547772131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24708388868565034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41096304028580977, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4734914605345395, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0352993402421663, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0715281703545142, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0715281703545142, "price_path": [-0.0674, -0.0776, -0.0961, -0.1102, -0.0941, -0.0979, -0.1039, -0.1309, -0.1068, -0.0563, -0.0566, -0.0701, -0.0936, -0.0923, -0.0862, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.1043, -0.1161, -0.0967, -0.0927, -0.0814, -0.0848, -0.0837, -0.0833, -0.0956, -0.0686, -0.0618, -0.0756, -0.0734, -0.0678, -0.0475, -0.0076, 0.0055, 0.0255, 0.0077, 0.016, 0.0207, 0.0097, 0.0048, 0.0267, 0.0161, 0.0128, 0.0065, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0082, -0.0095, -0.0304, -0.0154, -0.0234, -0.0158, 0.0053, -0.0016, 0.0159, 0.0282, 0.0554, 0.0127, 0.0045, -0.0053, -0.0346, -0.0222, -0.0381, 0.0, -0.0578, -0.0434, -0.0484, -0.037, -0.0724, -0.0652, -0.0485, -0.0441, -0.0526, -0.0532, -0.0411, -0.0457, -0.025, -0.0117, -0.0066, -0.0122, -0.0003, -0.0035, 0.0023, -0.0101, -0.0353, -0.0416, -0.0303, -0.067, -0.0613, -0.0212, -0.0241, 0.0152, 0.0326, 0.0461, 0.0674, 0.0392, 0.0555, 0.0413, -0.0313, -0.0137, -0.0321, -0.0521, -0.0743, -0.089, -0.0538, -0.0718, -0.0786, -0.0582, -0.05, -0.0236, -0.0335, -0.0583, -0.0733, -0.0626, -0.0884, -0.1308, -0.1111, -0.1332, -0.1155, -0.0931, -0.1187, -0.1301, -0.147, -0.1923, -0.212, -0.2047, -0.2174, -0.2588, -0.2719, -0.2447, -0.2527, -0.2255, -0.2189, -0.2221, -0.2614, -0.2184, -0.1998, -0.2116, -0.2352, -0.2245, -0.2069, -0.2126, -0.2085, -0.2276, -0.2606, -0.2484, -0.2629, -0.2688, -0.2462, -0.2429, -0.2521, -0.2504, -0.2536, -0.253, -0.2544, -0.2434, -0.2513, -0.2408, -0.2304, -0.1967, -0.198, -0.2187, -0.2212, -0.2256, -0.2197, -0.1844, -0.1707, -0.1824, -0.1827, -0.2081, -0.2444, -0.2353, -0.2345, -0.2342, -0.2448, -0.2376, -0.2369, -0.2765, -0.2802, -0.3267, -0.3529, -0.3752, -0.4635, -0.3963, -0.4, -0.4114, -0.4268, -0.4334, -0.4108, -0.411]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958974369868480910", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-22T19:27:40+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is far from over", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, and MicroStrategy; mocks bears who sold the bottom and asserts the rally has further to run.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My condolences to all the emotional people who flipped bearish at the bottom on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, Microstrategy, etc\n\nMarkets always teach the hardest lessons. Take your lumps, learn, and keep going. This is far from over.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1258734813183997, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1258734813183997, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11074900792080444, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11074900792080444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09487223437587489, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09487223437587489, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09047130955049898, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09047130955049898, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": -0.09752883440890292, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09752883440890292, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09712594226876148, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09712594226876148, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.13008193760597953, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13008193760597953, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16631076771832742, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16631076771832742, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.37428013779634595, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.37428013779634595, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4039668717047832, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4039668717047832, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.5864679044189953, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5864679044189953, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.648996324667725, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.648996324667725, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13008193760597953, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16631076771832742, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16631076771832742, "price_path": [-0.4488, -0.4448, -0.4551, -0.4763, -0.4604, -0.4632, -0.4601, -0.4999, -0.4873, -0.445, -0.4177, -0.4259, -0.4511, -0.4661, -0.4741, -0.4803, -0.4775, -0.4781, -0.5017, -0.4987, -0.4933, -0.4992, -0.4999, -0.4983, -0.4853, -0.502, -0.4678, -0.4637, -0.4808, -0.4736, -0.4586, -0.4265, -0.3884, -0.3878, -0.3763, -0.3501, -0.3022, -0.2804, -0.2654, -0.2211, -0.224, -0.2487, -0.2325, -0.2285, -0.2161, -0.2148, -0.2118, -0.2348, -0.278, -0.2302, -0.2524, -0.2375, -0.1898, -0.17, -0.1251, -0.0498, -0.0155, -0.0586, -0.081, -0.1074, -0.1569, -0.1028, -0.1259, 0.0, -0.0949, -0.0478, -0.0679, -0.0671, -0.0975, -0.107, -0.1047, -0.0789, -0.1102, -0.1085, -0.1083, -0.1081, -0.0998, -0.0766, -0.024, -0.063, -0.0678, -0.0494, -0.05, -0.0746, -0.1301, -0.1378, -0.1403, -0.1993, -0.1646, -0.1271, -0.1419, -0.0994, -0.0711, -0.0655, -0.0297, -0.0787, -0.0629, -0.0957, -0.2046, -0.1213, -0.1461, -0.1747, -0.1939, -0.2067, -0.1761, -0.1976, -0.2118, -0.2019, -0.1856, -0.1472, -0.1757, -0.1921, -0.2126, -0.2037, -0.2544, -0.3185, -0.2911, -0.3144, -0.289, -0.2614, -0.2931, -0.2936, -0.3309, -0.3576, -0.374, -0.3536, -0.3743, -0.4139, -0.4276, -0.3888, -0.3878, -0.3733, -0.376, -0.3724, -0.4204, -0.3795, -0.3394, -0.3513, -0.374, -0.3531, -0.3126, -0.3117, -0.33, -0.3616, -0.3865, -0.3865, -0.414, -0.4148, -0.3836, -0.3778, -0.3866, -0.3903, -0.399, -0.3944, -0.3926, -0.385, -0.3859, -0.379, -0.3533, -0.3323, -0.3178, -0.3445, -0.3575, -0.3619, -0.3599, -0.3124, -0.3056, -0.3134, -0.3179, -0.3404, -0.3924, -0.3834, -0.3895, -0.3887, -0.3943, -0.3745, -0.3777, -0.4167, -0.4407, -0.5148, -0.5389, -0.5563, -0.6229, -0.5729, -0.5646, -0.582, -0.5983, -0.597, -0.576, -0.5865]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958974369868480910", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-08-22T19:27:40+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is far from over", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, and MicroStrategy; mocks bears who sold the bottom and asserts the rally has further to run.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My condolences to all the emotional people who flipped bearish at the bottom on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, Microstrategy, etc\n\nMarkets always teach the hardest lessons. Take your lumps, learn, and keep going. This is far from over.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08586094850140968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08586094850140968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07073647510381442, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06962052133579888, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016240427165610805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07886143303737825, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07886143303737825, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08326235786275415, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08464826936774461, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005786836330366363, "ret_p1w": 0.23565091764561807, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23565091764561807, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23605380978575952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22781063412585523, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007840283519762847, "ret_p1m": 0.9552030298272653, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9552030298272653, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9189741997149175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9438577268743829, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011345302952882497, "ret_p3m": 1.1385908156046929, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1385908156046929, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1089040816962557, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1729433180608604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0343525024561675, "ret_p6m": 0.9701353532181769, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9701353532181769, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9076069329694472, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9994214903380603, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02928613711988337, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.9552030298272653, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.9189741997149175, "alpha_c_stated": 0.9438577268743829, "price_path": [-0.5688, -0.5866, -0.5987, -0.6085, -0.5926, -0.5852, -0.56, -0.5824, -0.545, -0.5175, -0.5105, -0.5194, -0.5254, -0.5413, -0.5147, -0.5441, -0.5427, -0.5427, -0.5114, -0.5026, -0.4615, -0.4461, -0.3882, -0.3467, -0.3201, -0.2893, -0.2692, -0.2151, -0.2151, -0.2091, -0.2119, -0.2086, -0.2053, -0.2427, -0.1937, -0.2123, -0.1923, -0.1577, -0.1629, -0.1531, -0.1325, -0.1139, -0.1535, -0.1731, -0.2263, -0.2632, -0.2469, -0.2483, -0.2814, -0.231, -0.2324, -0.1451, -0.1335, -0.1391, -0.1615, -0.168, -0.1727, -0.1097, -0.0812, -0.0338, -0.126, -0.0779, -0.0859, 0.0, 0.0789, 0.0728, 0.0432, 0.0751, 0.2357, 0.2357, 0.3584, 0.3164, 0.2193, 0.2203, 0.2221, 0.4088, 0.5693, 0.5329, 0.5847, 0.7331, 0.7009, 0.7685, 0.6948, 0.8031, 0.9552, 0.9491, 1.1997, 1.1601, 0.9533, 1.1433, 1.1899, 1.1969, 1.1941, 1.3546, 1.6948, 1.8782, 1.804, 1.9795, 1.7891, 1.993, 2.2459, 2.1722, 1.8852, 1.8334, 1.7634, 1.5756, 1.4186, 1.6066, 1.9351, 2.0327, 1.9127, 1.8194, 1.7168, 1.8348, 2.1615, 2.1092, 2.5656, 2.1246, 1.9109, 1.8077, 1.6776, 1.5992, 1.2702, 1.1638, 1.2123, 1.2795, 1.1386, 1.0285, 0.972, 1.2627, 1.2151, 1.2608, 1.2608, 1.231, 1.2627, 0.9188, 1.0513, 1.1675, 1.0863, 1.1624, 1.1857, 1.0495, 1.0504, 0.8726, 0.6556, 0.7074, 0.5763, 0.6706, 0.8628, 0.9617, 0.9631, 0.9589, 0.9589, 0.8805, 0.839, 0.7872, 0.7625, 0.7625, 0.9925, 1.251, 1.1423, 1.0357, 1.1316, 1.1479, 1.3486, 1.4727, 1.4676, 1.4214, 1.6981, 1.6981, 1.532, 1.4956, 1.4386, 1.6449, 1.4433, 1.7993, 1.937, 1.7923, 1.5077, 1.4769, 1.538, 1.0971, 0.8567, 0.9519, 1.1535, 1.0033, 0.9911, 0.8679, 0.9701, 0.9701]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958974369868480910", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-08-22T19:27:40+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is far from over", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, and MicroStrategy; mocks bears who sold the bottom and asserts the rally has further to run.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My condolences to all the emotional people who flipped bearish at the bottom on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, Microstrategy, etc\n\nMarkets always teach the hardest lessons. Take your lumps, learn, and keep going. This is far from over.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07523511135791705, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07523511135791705, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06011063796032179, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06185963521130733, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013375476146609722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.040752311501715655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.040752311501715655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04515323632709156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04300071016209883, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022483986603831774, "ret_p1w": 0.19749212060242916, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19749212060242916, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1978950127425706, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19737790620575701, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00011421439667214095, "ret_p1m": 1.18808774102511, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.18808774102511, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.1518589109127622, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.1095753385340439, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07851240249106617, "ret_p3m": 1.2915359911149844, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2915359911149844, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2618492572065472, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2194718505543543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07206414056063015, "ret_p6m": 1.5736676773920149, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5736676773920149, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.5111392571432851, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.5070470160193472, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06662066137266764, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 1.18808774102511, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.1518589109127622, "alpha_c_stated": 1.1095753385340439, "price_path": [-0.4404, -0.4749, -0.4906, -0.511, -0.4906, -0.4616, -0.4138, -0.4467, -0.3887, -0.3511, -0.3636, -0.3605, -0.3981, -0.4169, -0.384, -0.4232, -0.4028, -0.4028, -0.406, -0.4467, -0.3966, -0.3966, -0.3433, -0.3323, -0.2508, -0.232, -0.1097, -0.0517, -0.0517, -0.0925, -0.0549, -0.0188, -0.0219, -0.0799, -0.0549, -0.0643, -0.0172, 0.0063, -0.0031, -0.0204, 0.0878, 0.047, 0.0423, 0.0141, -0.0345, -0.1097, -0.1458, -0.1442, -0.2273, -0.1865, -0.2147, -0.1834, -0.2367, -0.2555, -0.2539, -0.2602, -0.232, -0.1661, -0.1834, -0.0517, -0.0972, -0.0674, -0.0752, 0.0, 0.0408, 0.116, 0.0956, 0.1003, 0.1975, 0.1975, 0.3041, 0.2712, 0.1599, 0.1787, 0.21, 0.4451, 0.6066, 0.5627, 0.7006, 0.7006, 0.8041, 0.9404, 0.8574, 0.9248, 1.1881, 1.2179, 1.2163, 0.8276, 0.7978, 0.9828, 0.9734, 0.9749, 1.1646, 1.3041, 1.4044, 1.4687, 1.7586, 1.8197, 1.6599, 2.1881, 2.2743, 2.2962, 1.9342, 1.9404, 2.1207, 1.8331, 1.5251, 1.7045, 2.2382, 2.2194, 2.1285, 2.0705, 1.989, 1.9232, 2.5674, 2.5282, 2.873, 2.4028, 2.2429, 2.0799, 1.9263, 1.7241, 1.3401, 1.2508, 1.2492, 1.2853, 1.2915, 1.2821, 1.2179, 1.6191, 1.7461, 2.0016, 2.0016, 2.1897, 2.0862, 1.7649, 1.9201, 2.1082, 2.0219, 2.0533, 2.0658, 1.8966, 1.9592, 1.6724, 1.3103, 1.3495, 1.2555, 1.3746, 1.5408, 1.5611, 1.4937, 1.5423, 1.5423, 1.3809, 1.3636, 1.2868, 1.3135, 1.3135, 1.5392, 1.8464, 1.7492, 1.5204, 1.594, 1.6066, 1.7712, 1.8605, 1.8417, 1.7461, 1.9467, 1.9467, 1.8088, 1.7774, 1.7257, 1.7539, 1.5846, 1.9389, 1.9734, 1.7743, 1.5016, 1.4781, 1.5486, 1.2335, 0.9906, 1.3088, 1.627, 1.6803, 1.5517, 1.5235, 1.5737, 1.5737]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1958974369868480910", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-08-22T19:27:40+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is far from over", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, and MicroStrategy; mocks bears who sold the bottom and asserts the rally has further to run.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My condolences to all the emotional people who flipped bearish at the bottom on Bitcoin, Ethereum, IREN, Cipher, Microstrategy, etc\n\nMarkets always teach the hardest lessons. Take your lumps, learn, and keep going. This is far from over.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05738144816229862, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05738144816229862, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04225697476470336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04225697476470336, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015124473397595262, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.041688751213868946, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041688751213868946, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03728782638849304, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03728782638849304, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004400924825375907, "ret_p1w": -0.06623293468098213, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06623293468098213, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06583004254084068, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06583004254084068, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00040289214014144203, "ret_p1m": -0.06198869657485284, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06198869657485284, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09821752668720074, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09821752668720074, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0362288301123479, "ret_p3m": -0.47923938944734157, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.47923938944734157, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5089261233557788, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5089261233557788, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029686733908437235, "ret_p6m": -0.6261692596055424, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6261692596055424, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6886976798542721, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6886976798542721, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06252842024872973, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06198869657485284, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09821752668720074, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09821752668720074, "price_path": [0.0393, 0.0171, 0.0349, 0.0305, 0.0395, 0.0818, 0.0558, 0.0298, 0.0456, 0.0949, 0.0923, 0.0809, 0.0604, 0.0691, 0.0673, 0.0476, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0323, 0.0253, 0.0527, 0.0853, 0.079, 0.0719, 0.1287, 0.0424, 0.1233, 0.1281, 0.1281, 0.1048, 0.1084, 0.1599, 0.1776, 0.2135, 0.2594, 0.2351, 0.273, 0.2603, 0.1817, 0.1903, 0.1906, 0.1523, 0.1586, 0.1334, 0.1275, 0.102, 0.1031, 0.1221, 0.0237, 0.0869, 0.0484, 0.0706, 0.1225, 0.1033, 0.1176, 0.1012, 0.0887, 0.0414, 0.0229, 0.0153, -0.0602, -0.0384, -0.0574, 0.0, -0.0417, -0.0189, -0.0449, -0.0539, -0.0662, -0.0662, -0.0461, -0.0778, -0.0853, -0.0622, -0.0788, -0.0827, -0.0885, -0.0897, -0.0745, -0.0847, -0.0643, -0.0794, -0.0252, -0.0374, -0.062, -0.0847, -0.0972, -0.1604, -0.137, -0.0885, -0.1003, -0.0551, -0.0162, -0.0181, 0.0044, -0.083, -0.0763, -0.1057, -0.1489, -0.1191, -0.1604, -0.1714, -0.2074, -0.1906, -0.1718, -0.157, -0.2159, -0.2044, -0.1928, -0.1745, -0.2052, -0.2311, -0.2892, -0.2475, -0.261, -0.3103, -0.288, -0.3377, -0.3245, -0.333, -0.354, -0.3728, -0.4177, -0.4422, -0.4543, -0.4226, -0.4792, -0.5054, -0.5239, -0.5001, -0.5192, -0.5096, -0.5096, -0.5053, -0.5213, -0.4937, -0.474, -0.4806, -0.5002, -0.4871, -0.4723, -0.4844, -0.4882, -0.5073, -0.5474, -0.5323, -0.5522, -0.5581, -0.5398, -0.5412, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5568, -0.5566, -0.5661, -0.5655, -0.5757, -0.5757, -0.5612, -0.5401, -0.5589, -0.5481, -0.5338, -0.5607, -0.547, -0.517, -0.4993, -0.5228, -0.515, -0.515, -0.5526, -0.5426, -0.5505, -0.5446, -0.5516, -0.5488, -0.5576, -0.6002, -0.582, -0.6101, -0.6279, -0.6395, -0.7013, -0.6232, -0.6134, -0.6286, -0.648, -0.6565, -0.6262, -0.6262]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1938318965375467619", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-06-26T19:30:28+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oh yes it is. Should be $10 if the market understood how Black Pearl and Barber Lake will be employed for AI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR with $10 target; market undervaluing Black Pearl and Barber Lake AI deployment.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gule_leo Oh yes it is. Should be $10 if the market understood how Black Pearl and Barber Lake will be employed for AI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred $CIFR .. is not cheap at the moment ??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gule_leo", "ret_m1d": -0.08114562003453485, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08114562003453485, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07338254711191661, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07429484666112385, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0077630729226182416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006850773373411001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0167064846552325, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0167064846552325, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011738162361887072, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017901421797164474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0049683222933454285, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011949371419319732, "ret_p1w": 0.4439141069483139, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4439141069483139, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4218996212444568, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.420454629821136, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022014485703857112, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023459477127177886, "ret_p1m": 0.5441526734688606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5441526734688606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5029184526904191, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5006589531662622, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04123422077844152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04349372030259846, "ret_p3m": 2.3770881683273837, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.3770881683273837, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.290176365755588, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.2595507444466634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08691180257179587, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11753742388072008, "ret_p6m": 2.8687348121961516, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.8687348121961516, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.75004363899897, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.7153844641895715, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11869117319718159, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15335034800657987, "ret_p1y": 5.212410580231151, "ret_signed_p1y": 5.212410580231151, "alpha_spy_p1y": 4.968302173760441, "alpha_c_p1y": 4.678440953102981, "bench_spy_p1y": 0.24410840647070997, "bench_c_p1y": 0.5339696271281706, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5441526734688606, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5029184526904191, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5006589531662622, "price_path": [-0.4511, -0.4129, -0.3675, -0.4487, -0.4988, -0.4678, -0.4964, -0.4129, -0.4702, -0.4224, -0.4177, -0.4463, -0.4451, -0.4344, -0.4344, -0.4415, -0.3461, -0.3174, -0.284, -0.2649, -0.2697, -0.2649, -0.3198, -0.2566, -0.2458, -0.2888, -0.2745, -0.2792, -0.2554, -0.2888, -0.2482, -0.1814, -0.21, -0.2434, -0.0788, -0.0907, -0.0979, -0.1635, -0.148, -0.1718, -0.1718, -0.148, -0.2005, -0.2243, -0.2554, -0.2243, -0.1802, -0.1074, -0.1575, -0.0692, -0.0119, -0.031, -0.0263, -0.0835, -0.1122, -0.0621, -0.1217, -0.0907, -0.0907, -0.0955, -0.1575, -0.0811, -0.0811, 0.0, 0.0167, 0.1408, 0.1695, 0.3556, 0.4439, 0.4439, 0.3819, 0.4391, 0.494, 0.4893, 0.401, 0.4391, 0.4248, 0.4964, 0.5322, 0.5179, 0.4916, 0.6563, 0.5943, 0.5871, 0.5442, 0.4702, 0.3556, 0.3007, 0.3031, 0.1766, 0.2387, 0.1957, 0.2434, 0.1623, 0.1337, 0.136, 0.1265, 0.1695, 0.2697, 0.2434, 0.4439, 0.3747, 0.42, 0.4081, 0.5227, 0.5847, 0.6993, 0.6683, 0.6754, 0.8234, 0.8234, 0.9857, 0.9356, 0.7661, 0.7947, 0.8425, 1.2005, 1.4463, 1.3795, 1.5895, 1.5895, 1.747, 1.9547, 1.8282, 1.9308, 2.3317, 2.3771, 2.3747, 1.7828, 1.7375, 2.0191, 2.0048, 2.0072, 2.2959, 2.5084, 2.6611, 2.7589, 3.2005, 3.2936, 3.0501, 3.8544, 3.9857, 4.0191, 3.4678, 3.4773, 3.7518, 3.3138, 2.8449, 3.1181, 3.9308, 3.9021, 3.7637, 3.6754, 3.5513, 3.4511, 4.432, 4.3723, 4.8974, 4.1814, 3.9379, 3.6897, 3.4558, 3.148, 2.5632, 2.4272, 2.4248, 2.4797, 2.4893, 2.4749, 2.3771, 2.9881, 3.1814, 3.5704, 3.5704, 3.8568, 3.6993, 3.21, 3.4463, 3.7327, 3.6014, 3.6492, 3.6683, 3.4105, 3.506, 3.0692, 2.5179, 2.5776, 2.4344, 2.6158, 2.8687]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965125356756893905", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-08T18:49:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$130,000 pronto", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $130,000 soon, reacting to extreme Monthly Bollinger Bands signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "es", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ $130,000 pronto", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC Monthly Bollinger Bands now at the most extreme level in its entire history: https://t.co/Lxhe7JYRYu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "ret_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "ret_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "ret_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "ret_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08369620295872959, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.049565400920215774, "alpha_c_stated": 0.049565400920215774, "price_path": [-0.0302, -0.0548, -0.0534, -0.0471, -0.0667, -0.0641, -0.0659, -0.0782, -0.0579, -0.0538, -0.042, -0.0456, -0.0445, -0.044, -0.0569, -0.0287, -0.0216, -0.036, -0.0337, -0.0278, -0.0066, 0.0349, 0.0486, 0.0694, 0.0509, 0.0595, 0.0644, 0.0529, 0.0479, 0.0707, 0.0596, 0.0562, 0.0497, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0514, 0.0329, 0.0111, 0.0268, 0.0185, 0.0264, 0.0484, 0.0412, 0.0594, 0.0723, 0.1006, 0.0561, 0.0475, 0.0373, 0.0068, 0.0197, 0.0031, 0.0429, -0.0174, -0.0024, -0.0076, 0.0042, -0.0327, -0.0252, -0.0078, -0.0031, -0.012, -0.0127, 0.0, -0.0048, 0.0168, 0.0307, 0.036, 0.0301, 0.0426, 0.0392, 0.0452, 0.0323, 0.006, -0.0005, 0.0112, -0.027, -0.021, 0.0208, 0.0177, 0.0587, 0.0768, 0.091, 0.1132, 0.0837, 0.1007, 0.086, 0.0102, 0.0286, 0.0093, -0.0115, -0.0347, -0.05, -0.0132, -0.0321, -0.0391, -0.0179, -0.0093, 0.0183, 0.0079, -0.018, -0.0336, -0.0224, -0.0493, -0.0935, -0.073, -0.0961, -0.0776, -0.0542, -0.081, -0.0929, -0.1104, -0.1577, -0.1783, -0.1706, -0.1839, -0.227, -0.2407, -0.2124, -0.2207, -0.1923, -0.1855, -0.1887, -0.2298, -0.1849, -0.1655, -0.1778, -0.2024, -0.1912, -0.1729, -0.1789, -0.1745, -0.1945, -0.2289, -0.2162, -0.2313, -0.2374, -0.2139, -0.2104, -0.22, -0.2182, -0.2216, -0.221, -0.2225, -0.2109, -0.2192, -0.2083, -0.1974, -0.1623, -0.1637, -0.1853, -0.1878, -0.1924, -0.1863, -0.1495, -0.1351, -0.1474, -0.1476, -0.1742, -0.212, -0.2025, -0.2017, -0.2014, -0.2124, -0.2049, -0.2042, -0.2455, -0.2493, -0.2979, -0.3251, -0.3485, -0.4405, -0.3704, -0.3743, -0.3862, -0.4022, -0.4091, -0.3856, -0.3857, -0.3978, -0.4073, -0.4025, -0.3932, -0.4234, -0.4282, -0.3936, -0.3981, -0.4121, -0.3863, -0.3906]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968063529166254301", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T21:24:44+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You should never be short Bitcoin. So silly.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Never short Bitcoin; decisive bullish stance on BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KillaXBT You should never be short Bitcoin. So silly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Im not gonna lie. I have never seen this much $USDT printing ever.\n\nYou already know I track it. Lets just say they printed the most USDT I have ever seen in 2 weeks this entire cycle.\n\nNo shorts for me the next 3-4 weeks.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KillaXBT", "ret_m1d": -0.01196742856745503, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01196742856745503, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013211337630559483, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013211337630559483, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012439090631044536, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012439090631044536, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0032066883445814875, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0032066883445814875, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007879187880935778, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007879187880935778, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004672499536354291, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004672499536354291, "ret_p1w": -0.04132622195025282, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04132622195025282, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.047019444036093594, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.047019444036093594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005693222085840777, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005693222085840777, "ret_p1m": -0.051864585066202507, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.051864585066202507, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05685810245289069, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05685810245289069, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004993517386688184, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004993517386688184, "ret_p3m": -0.22742253105256993, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22742253105256993, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26297780908127133, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26297780908127133, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0355552780287014, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0355552780287014, "ret_p6m": -0.39915296463047967, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39915296463047967, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.41538557066349946, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41538557066349946, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016232606033019792, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016232606033019792, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.051864585066202507, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05685810245289069, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05685810245289069, "price_path": [-0.1041, -0.1158, -0.0964, -0.0924, -0.0812, -0.0846, -0.0835, -0.0831, -0.0954, -0.0683, -0.0616, -0.0754, -0.0731, -0.0676, -0.0472, -0.0073, 0.0058, 0.0257, 0.008, 0.0162, 0.0209, 0.0099, 0.0051, 0.027, 0.0164, 0.0131, 0.0068, 0.0093, 0.0092, 0.0085, -0.0093, -0.0302, -0.0152, -0.0231, -0.0155, 0.0056, -0.0013, 0.0162, 0.0285, 0.0556, 0.013, 0.0048, -0.0051, -0.0343, -0.022, -0.0379, 0.0003, -0.0575, -0.0431, -0.0481, -0.0368, -0.0722, -0.065, -0.0483, -0.0438, -0.0524, -0.053, -0.0408, -0.0455, -0.0247, -0.0114, -0.0063, -0.012, 0.0, -0.0032, 0.0025, -0.0099, -0.035, -0.0413, -0.0301, -0.0667, -0.061, -0.0209, -0.0239, 0.0155, 0.0328, 0.0464, 0.0677, 0.0394, 0.0557, 0.0416, -0.0311, -0.0135, -0.0319, -0.0519, -0.0741, -0.0888, -0.0535, -0.0716, -0.0783, -0.058, -0.0497, -0.0233, -0.0333, -0.0581, -0.0731, -0.0624, -0.0881, -0.1305, -0.1108, -0.133, -0.1153, -0.0928, -0.1185, -0.1299, -0.1467, -0.1921, -0.2118, -0.2045, -0.2172, -0.2586, -0.2718, -0.2445, -0.2525, -0.2253, -0.2187, -0.2219, -0.2612, -0.2182, -0.1995, -0.2114, -0.235, -0.2243, -0.2067, -0.2124, -0.2082, -0.2274, -0.2604, -0.2482, -0.2627, -0.2686, -0.246, -0.2427, -0.2519, -0.2502, -0.2534, -0.2528, -0.2542, -0.2432, -0.2511, -0.2406, -0.2302, -0.1965, -0.1978, -0.2185, -0.2209, -0.2253, -0.2195, -0.1842, -0.1704, -0.1822, -0.1825, -0.2079, -0.2442, -0.2351, -0.2343, -0.234, -0.2446, -0.2374, -0.2367, -0.2763, -0.28, -0.3265, -0.3527, -0.3751, -0.4634, -0.3962, -0.3999, -0.4112, -0.4267, -0.4332, -0.4107, -0.4108, -0.4224, -0.4315, -0.4269, -0.418, -0.447, -0.4516, -0.4184, -0.4227, -0.4362, -0.4114, -0.4155, -0.3777, -0.3937, -0.4169, -0.4146, -0.4015, -0.3992]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977044766652240077", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-11T16:12:58+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like IREN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN as top AI data center stock pick.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JuanNodar1 I like IREN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What’s the best stock to have for AI data center ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JuanNodar1", "ret_m1d": -0.06813219478436794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06813219478436794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05301996055647862, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.058637387624793647, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009494807159574292, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08450262270847553, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08450262270847553, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08572426899611685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07348856428167938, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011014058426796147, "ret_p1w": -0.07670717517561054, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07670717517561054, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08916496006599384, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07917588516190865, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002468709986298112, "ret_p1m": -0.1053944244755356, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1053944244755356, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13549823192432942, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11583883700006115, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010444412524525548, "ret_p3m": -0.28780790863948646, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28780790863948646, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33080295244221647, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.35304486601033713, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06523695737085067, "ret_p6m": -0.4427813841820073, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4427813841820073, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44268114273005066, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.39818652017515954, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "bench_c_p6m": -0.044594864006847756, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1053944244755356, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13549823192432942, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11583883700006115, "price_path": [-0.7301, -0.7186, -0.7203, -0.717, -0.7102, -0.7039, -0.7172, -0.7237, -0.7415, -0.7538, -0.7484, -0.7488, -0.7599, -0.7431, -0.7435, -0.7144, -0.7105, -0.7123, -0.7198, -0.722, -0.7236, -0.7025, -0.693, -0.6772, -0.708, -0.6919, -0.6946, -0.6659, -0.6395, -0.6416, -0.6515, -0.6408, -0.5872, -0.5872, -0.5461, -0.5602, -0.5926, -0.5923, -0.5917, -0.5293, -0.4757, -0.4878, -0.4705, -0.421, -0.4317, -0.4091, -0.4337, -0.3976, -0.3467, -0.3488, -0.265, -0.2783, -0.3474, -0.2839, -0.2683, -0.266, -0.2669, -0.2133, -0.0996, -0.0384, -0.0631, -0.0045, -0.0681, 0.0, 0.0845, 0.0599, -0.036, -0.0533, -0.0767, -0.1395, -0.1919, -0.1291, -0.0193, 0.0133, -0.0268, -0.058, -0.0923, -0.0529, 0.0563, 0.0388, 0.1913, 0.044, -0.0274, -0.0619, -0.1054, -0.1316, -0.2415, -0.2771, -0.2608, -0.2384, -0.2855, -0.3223, -0.3411, -0.244, -0.2599, -0.2446, -0.2446, -0.2546, -0.244, -0.3589, -0.3146, -0.2758, -0.3029, -0.2775, -0.2697, -0.3152, -0.3149, -0.3743, -0.4468, -0.4295, -0.4733, -0.4418, -0.3776, -0.3446, -0.3441, -0.3455, -0.3455, -0.3717, -0.3856, -0.4029, -0.4111, -0.4111, -0.3343, -0.2479, -0.2842, -0.3198, -0.2878, -0.2824, -0.2153, -0.1738, -0.1756, -0.191, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.154, -0.1662, -0.1852, -0.1163, -0.1837, -0.0647, -0.0187, -0.067, -0.1621, -0.1724, -0.152, -0.2993, -0.3796, -0.3478, -0.2805, -0.3307, -0.3347, -0.3759, -0.3418, -0.3418, -0.3612, -0.3439, -0.3251, -0.3767, -0.3396, -0.2914, -0.3135, -0.3103, -0.3616, -0.3547, -0.3943, -0.3165, -0.3744, -0.4278, -0.3944, -0.4057, -0.3455, -0.355, -0.3517, -0.2993, -0.3302, -0.3419, -0.3505, -0.3563, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.3541, -0.4161, -0.4529, -0.507, -0.4655, -0.4685, -0.4579, -0.4579, -0.4523, -0.4428]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982544584052994093", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T20:27:17+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I will buy more tomorrow. 🙏", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Plans to buy more IBIT tomorrow, ignoring the parent's sarcastic warning.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@darkside2030 Thanks for the advice. I will buy more tomorrow. 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Go ahead and buy IBIT - They've already made it clear - You will own nothing and be happy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "darkside2030", "ret_m1d": -0.03753059120796409, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03753059120796409, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02587048869260722, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02587048869260722, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660102515356874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660102515356874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012101729937193051, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012101729937193051, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014757745956272883, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014757745956272883, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002656016019079832, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002656016019079832, "ret_p1w": -0.07276348175279734, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07276348175279734, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06999080363833698, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06999080363833698, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027726781144603585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027726781144603585, "ret_p1m": -0.24080878829598495, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24080878829598495, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2258943611553702, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2258943611553702, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01491442714061475, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01491442714061475, "ret_p3m": -0.22380516059361555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22380516059361555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23223419905546483, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23223419905546483, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.00842903846184928, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00842903846184928, "ret_p6m": -0.34880516059361555, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34880516059361555, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3821497739571105, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3821497739571105, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344613363494924, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344613363494924, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07276348175279734, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06999080363833698, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06999080363833698, "price_path": [0.0167, 0.0159, -0.0162, -0.0012, -0.0112, 0.0035, 0.0237, 0.013, 0.0362, 0.0409, 0.0699, 0.0268, 0.0178, 0.0118, -0.0167, -0.0058, -0.0244, 0.0149, -0.0368, -0.0334, -0.025, -0.026, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0354, -0.0231, -0.0449, -0.0285, -0.0242, -0.0316, -0.0115, -0.0038, 0.0169, 0.0034, 0.0167, 0.006, 0.0225, 0.0014, -0.025, -0.0286, -0.0132, -0.0487, -0.0512, -0.0047, -0.0043, 0.0224, 0.0535, 0.0694, 0.0921, 0.059, 0.0732, 0.053, 0.0141, 0.0081, -0.021, -0.0323, -0.059, -0.0737, -0.036, -0.0274, -0.0623, -0.0417, -0.0375, 0.0, -0.0121, -0.0388, -0.0748, -0.0456, -0.0728, -0.1241, -0.0974, -0.1229, -0.098, -0.078, -0.1062, -0.1178, -0.1484, -0.1808, -0.2019, -0.1933, -0.2229, -0.25, -0.2652, -0.2253, -0.2408, -0.2183, -0.2183, -0.2103, -0.257, -0.2085, -0.1921, -0.1956, -0.2235, -0.2108, -0.1904, -0.1959, -0.2019, -0.2157, -0.2546, -0.2385, -0.2538, -0.2653, -0.2354, -0.2327, -0.2394, -0.2423, -0.2423, -0.24, -0.2436, -0.2367, -0.2394, -0.2394, -0.2197, -0.1811, -0.1965, -0.2105, -0.2108, -0.2163, -0.2054, -0.1794, -0.1507, -0.1728, -0.1691, -0.1691, -0.2224, -0.2171, -0.2238, -0.2233, -0.2394, -0.2244, -0.2263, -0.2708, -0.2725, -0.3226, -0.3367, -0.3632, -0.447, -0.3922, -0.3856, -0.403, -0.4134, -0.4324, -0.403, -0.403, -0.4119, -0.4249, -0.4168, -0.4115, -0.4401, -0.4404, -0.3991, -0.4139, -0.4303, -0.3996, -0.4072, -0.3652, -0.3813, -0.4087, -0.4006, -0.3917, -0.3862, -0.388, -0.3816, -0.3575, -0.3525, -0.3833, -0.39, -0.3908, -0.3865, -0.3983, -0.3847, -0.4053, -0.4271, -0.4228, -0.4115, -0.4081, -0.4184, -0.4184, -0.3946, -0.401, -0.3808, -0.3733, -0.3634, -0.3629, -0.3546, -0.348, -0.3454, -0.3269, -0.3375, -0.3488]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965802535224307766", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T15:40:21+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you will be completely bewildered when you see where the stock price goes next", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish IREN; cloud GPU financing advantage to drive stock significantly higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you don’t understand IREN’s cloud GPU financing advantage, you will be completely bewildered when you see where the stock price goes next. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0994072569829405, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10567572381222812, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033860888196470817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03150384939851758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03955933657797828, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01636568301804231, "ret_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11628323609290958, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10966365694595481, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017306319924253577, "ret_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8922907085380374, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006311624087446344, "ret_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32685560803851654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3686049437473511, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009331383365140944, "ret_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14252214618614611, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22288482202636983, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02975372700411294, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8922907085380374, "price_path": [-0.7077, -0.6908, -0.7095, -0.7086, -0.7086, -0.6887, -0.683, -0.6569, -0.647, -0.6102, -0.5837, -0.5668, -0.5471, -0.5343, -0.4999, -0.4999, -0.496, -0.4978, -0.4957, -0.4936, -0.5174, -0.4862, -0.4981, -0.4853, -0.4633, -0.4665, -0.4603, -0.4472, -0.4353, -0.4606, -0.4731, -0.507, -0.5305, -0.5201, -0.521, -0.5421, -0.51, -0.5109, -0.4552, -0.4478, -0.4514, -0.4657, -0.4698, -0.4728, -0.4326, -0.4145, -0.3843, -0.4431, -0.4124, -0.4175, -0.3628, -0.3125, -0.3164, -0.3353, -0.3149, -0.2126, -0.2126, -0.1344, -0.1612, -0.223, -0.2224, -0.2212, -0.1023, 0.0, -0.0232, 0.0098, 0.1044, 0.0839, 0.127, 0.08, 0.149, 0.2459, 0.242, 0.4017, 0.3764, 0.2447, 0.3657, 0.3955, 0.3999, 0.3982, 0.5004, 0.7172, 0.8341, 0.7868, 0.8986, 0.7773, 0.9072, 1.0684, 1.0214, 0.8385, 0.8055, 0.7609, 0.6412, 0.5412, 0.661, 0.8704, 0.9325, 0.8561, 0.7966, 0.7312, 0.8064, 1.0146, 0.9813, 1.2721, 0.9911, 0.8549, 0.7892, 0.7062, 0.6563, 0.4466, 0.3788, 0.4098, 0.4526, 0.3628, 0.2926, 0.2566, 0.4419, 0.4115, 0.4407, 0.4407, 0.4216, 0.4419, 0.2227, 0.3072, 0.3812, 0.3295, 0.3779, 0.3928, 0.306, 0.3066, 0.1933, 0.055, 0.088, 0.0045, 0.0645, 0.187, 0.2501, 0.251, 0.2483, 0.2483, 0.1983, 0.1719, 0.1389, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.2697, 0.4344, 0.3652, 0.2972, 0.3583, 0.3687, 0.4966, 0.5757, 0.5724, 0.543, 0.7193, 0.7193, 0.6134, 0.5902, 0.554, 0.6854, 0.5569, 0.7838, 0.8715, 0.7794, 0.598, 0.5784, 0.6173, 0.3363, 0.1832, 0.2438, 0.3723, 0.2765, 0.2688, 0.1903, 0.2554, 0.2554, 0.2183, 0.2513, 0.2872, 0.1888, 0.2596, 0.3515, 0.3092, 0.3155, 0.2177, 0.2307, 0.1552, 0.3036, 0.1931]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964416708128756217", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-06T19:53:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The most defensive position is to hold a large Bitcoin position until at least $1M", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC; holding large position is the most defensive strategy, target at least $1M.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wclemente @CavanXy The most defensive position is to hold a large Bitcoin position until at least $1M. Few understand this apparently.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Nice chart from @CavanXy. BTC has also lost trend for the first time since late Feb. No momentum, not in deep value = No man's land.\n\nNot saying sell everything and short crypto, but it's probably not a bad idea to be skewed towards a defensive mindset until shown otherwise. https://t.co/2tF5HVBxmE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WClemente", "ret_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "ret_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "ret_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "ret_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "ret_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0302, -0.0548, -0.0534, -0.0471, -0.0667, -0.0641, -0.0659, -0.0782, -0.0579, -0.0538, -0.042, -0.0456, -0.0445, -0.044, -0.0569, -0.0287, -0.0216, -0.036, -0.0337, -0.0278, -0.0066, 0.0349, 0.0486, 0.0694, 0.0509, 0.0595, 0.0644, 0.0529, 0.0479, 0.0707, 0.0596, 0.0562, 0.0497, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0514, 0.0329, 0.0111, 0.0268, 0.0185, 0.0264, 0.0484, 0.0412, 0.0594, 0.0723, 0.1006, 0.0561, 0.0475, 0.0373, 0.0068, 0.0197, 0.0031, 0.0429, -0.0174, -0.0024, -0.0076, 0.0042, -0.0327, -0.0252, -0.0078, -0.0031, -0.012, -0.0127, 0.0, -0.0048, 0.0168, 0.0307, 0.036, 0.0301, 0.0426, 0.0392, 0.0452, 0.0323, 0.006, -0.0005, 0.0112, -0.027, -0.021, 0.0208, 0.0177, 0.0587, 0.0768, 0.091, 0.1132, 0.0837, 0.1007, 0.086, 0.0102, 0.0286, 0.0093, -0.0115, -0.0347, -0.05, -0.0132, -0.0321, -0.0391, -0.0179, -0.0093, 0.0183, 0.0079, -0.018, -0.0336, -0.0224, -0.0493, -0.0935, -0.073, -0.0961, -0.0776, -0.0542, -0.081, -0.0929, -0.1104, -0.1577, -0.1783, -0.1706, -0.1839, -0.227, -0.2407, -0.2124, -0.2207, -0.1923, -0.1855, -0.1887, -0.2298, -0.1849, -0.1655, -0.1778, -0.2024, -0.1912, -0.1729, -0.1789, -0.1745, -0.1945, -0.2289, -0.2162, -0.2313, -0.2374, -0.2139, -0.2104, -0.22, -0.2182, -0.2216, -0.221, -0.2225, -0.2109, -0.2192, -0.2083, -0.1974, -0.1623, -0.1637, -0.1853, -0.1878, -0.1924, -0.1863, -0.1495, -0.1351, -0.1474, -0.1476, -0.1742, -0.212, -0.2025, -0.2017, -0.2014, -0.2124, -0.2049, -0.2042, -0.2455, -0.2493, -0.2979, -0.3251, -0.3485, -0.4405, -0.3704, -0.3743, -0.3862, -0.4022, -0.4091, -0.3856, -0.3857, -0.3978, -0.4073, -0.4025, -0.3932, -0.4234, -0.4282, -0.3936, -0.3981, -0.4121, -0.3863, -0.3906]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1962987643727446518", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-02T21:14:59+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The close above $8 lit the match. $15 inbound.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; close above $8 triggers move to $15 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson The close above $8 lit the match. $15 inbound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR running like a screaming banshee", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": 0.02589396387632048, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02589396387632048, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03128429688077661, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03182491356895034, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005390333004456127, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005930949692629861, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08754618882446519, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08754618882446519, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09590370223678779, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09248209308506017, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008357513412322604, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004935904260594981, "ret_p1w": 0.263871816759057, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.263871816759057, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2507143004324708, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2302006155947236, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013157516326586238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03367120116433342, "ret_p1m": 0.7028361287594438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7028361287594438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6603728168446692, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6064988983898167, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04246331191477459, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09633723036962705, "ret_p3m": 1.4278669997040199, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4278669997040199, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3681906478404442, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3308017674741262, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05967635186357567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09706523222989372, "ret_p6m": 1.0320592157692348, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0320592157692348, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9551438448314209, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.949944315195719, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07691537093781387, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08211490057351578, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7028361287594438, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6603728168446692, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6064988983898167, "price_path": [-0.5191, -0.4895, -0.4994, -0.4969, -0.5265, -0.5413, -0.5154, -0.5462, -0.5302, -0.5302, -0.5327, -0.5647, -0.5253, -0.5253, -0.4834, -0.4747, -0.4106, -0.3958, -0.2996, -0.254, -0.254, -0.2861, -0.2565, -0.2281, -0.2306, -0.2762, -0.2565, -0.2639, -0.2269, -0.2084, -0.2158, -0.2293, -0.1443, -0.1763, -0.18, -0.2022, -0.2404, -0.2996, -0.328, -0.3268, -0.3921, -0.36, -0.3822, -0.3576, -0.3995, -0.4143, -0.4131, -0.418, -0.3958, -0.344, -0.3576, -0.254, -0.2898, -0.2663, -0.2725, -0.2133, -0.1813, -0.1221, -0.1381, -0.1344, -0.058, -0.058, 0.0259, 0.0, -0.0875, -0.0727, -0.0481, 0.1369, 0.2639, 0.2293, 0.3379, 0.3379, 0.4192, 0.5265, 0.4612, 0.5142, 0.7213, 0.7448, 0.7435, 0.4377, 0.4143, 0.5598, 0.5524, 0.5536, 0.7028, 0.8126, 0.8915, 0.942, 1.1702, 1.2182, 1.0925, 1.508, 1.5758, 1.5931, 1.3083, 1.3132, 1.455, 1.2287, 0.9864, 1.1276, 1.5475, 1.5327, 1.4612, 1.4155, 1.3514, 1.2996, 1.8064, 1.7756, 2.0469, 1.6769, 1.5512, 1.4229, 1.3021, 1.143, 0.8409, 0.7707, 0.7694, 0.7978, 0.8027, 0.7953, 0.7448, 1.0604, 1.1603, 1.3613, 1.3613, 1.5092, 1.4279, 1.1751, 1.2972, 1.4451, 1.3773, 1.402, 1.4118, 1.2787, 1.328, 1.1023, 0.8175, 0.8483, 0.7744, 0.8681, 0.9988, 1.0148, 0.9618, 1.0, 1.0, 0.873, 0.8594, 0.799, 0.82, 0.82, 0.9975, 1.2392, 1.1628, 0.9827, 1.0407, 1.0506, 1.18, 1.2503, 1.2355, 1.1603, 1.3181, 1.3181, 1.2096, 1.185, 1.1443, 1.1665, 1.0333, 1.312, 1.3391, 1.1825, 0.9679, 0.9494, 1.0049, 0.7571, 0.566, 0.8163, 1.0666, 1.1085, 1.0074, 0.9852, 1.0247, 1.0247, 0.9285, 0.9014, 0.9482, 0.8064, 0.8767, 1.111, 1.0481, 1.0321]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1978061751896707568", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-14T11:34:06+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cantor Fitzgerald raises IREN price target to $100", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cantor Fitzgerald raises IREN PT to $100; author shares/adopts the bullish call.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: Cantor Fitzgerald raises IREN price target to $100. https://t.co/pOyGGqXZPx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0779183202871706, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0779183202871706, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07914146081990314, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06702424978934307, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231405327325362, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010894070497827535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022714121005097065, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022714121005097065, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027153650914702454, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022714121005097065, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439529909605389, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.20651233996477936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20651233996477936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2201933554706551, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1969331323491632, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013681015505875749, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009579207615616148, "ret_p1m": -0.19925240486070106, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19925240486070106, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23118992191329857, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2073290570878089, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193751705259751, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00807665222710785, "ret_p3m": -0.3382691145076079, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3382691145076079, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3894460504002496, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.38869704326858356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117693589264172, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05042792876097568, "ret_p6m": -0.47052899477129806, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.47052899477129806, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.49715000446349267, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44053380312259927, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621009692194608, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029995191648698794, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19925240486070106, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23118992191329857, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2073290570878089, "price_path": [-0.7405, -0.7421, -0.7391, -0.7327, -0.727, -0.7392, -0.7453, -0.7616, -0.773, -0.768, -0.7684, -0.7786, -0.7631, -0.7635, -0.7366, -0.733, -0.7348, -0.7417, -0.7437, -0.7451, -0.7257, -0.7169, -0.7023, -0.7307, -0.7159, -0.7184, -0.6919, -0.6676, -0.6695, -0.6786, -0.6688, -0.6193, -0.6193, -0.5815, -0.5945, -0.6244, -0.6241, -0.6235, -0.566, -0.5165, -0.5277, -0.5118, -0.4661, -0.476, -0.4551, -0.4779, -0.4445, -0.3976, -0.3995, -0.3223, -0.3345, -0.3982, -0.3397, -0.3253, -0.3232, -0.324, -0.2746, -0.1698, -0.1133, -0.1361, -0.0821, -0.1407, -0.0779, 0.0, -0.0227, -0.1111, -0.1271, -0.1486, -0.2065, -0.2549, -0.197, -0.0957, -0.0657, -0.1026, -0.1314, -0.163, -0.1267, -0.026, -0.0421, 0.0985, -0.0374, -0.1032, -0.135, -0.1751, -0.1993, -0.3006, -0.3334, -0.3184, -0.2977, -0.3411, -0.3751, -0.3925, -0.3029, -0.3176, -0.3035, -0.3035, -0.3127, -0.3029, -0.4089, -0.368, -0.3322, -0.3572, -0.3338, -0.3266, -0.3686, -0.3683, -0.4231, -0.4899, -0.474, -0.5144, -0.4853, -0.4261, -0.3956, -0.3952, -0.3965, -0.3965, -0.4206, -0.4334, -0.4494, -0.457, -0.457, -0.3861, -0.3065, -0.34, -0.3728, -0.3433, -0.3383, -0.2765, -0.2382, -0.2398, -0.254, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.22, -0.2312, -0.2487, -0.1852, -0.2473, -0.1376, -0.0952, -0.1397, -0.2274, -0.2369, -0.2181, -0.3539, -0.428, -0.3986, -0.3365, -0.3828, -0.3866, -0.4245, -0.393, -0.393, -0.411, -0.3951, -0.3777, -0.4252, -0.391, -0.3466, -0.367, -0.364, -0.4113, -0.405, -0.4415, -0.3698, -0.4232, -0.4724, -0.4416, -0.452, -0.3965, -0.4053, -0.4022, -0.3539, -0.3824, -0.3932, -0.4011, -0.4064, -0.3939, -0.4089, -0.4044, -0.4616, -0.4955, -0.5454, -0.5072, -0.5099, -0.5001, -0.5001, -0.495, -0.4862, -0.4705]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1962959236704673847", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-02T19:22:06+00:00", "symbol": "SharpLink", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I own 57,000 shares now", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 57,000 shares of SharpLink; ongoing long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["SBET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SharpLink Gaming NASDAQ ticker SBET", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@scimmieinborsa I own 57,000 shares now but I don’t think I would join that board because I want to be able to trade it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred SharpLink?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "scimmieinborsa", "ret_m1d": 0.049469974984301945, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.049469974984301945, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04200440050942067, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04200591171466428, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464063269637666, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009422841679949556, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009422841679949556, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014842387842957327, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007743309976818824, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016795317031307322, "ret_p1w": -0.0170788584214836, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0170788584214836, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03279109901621591, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012413773698166874, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004665084723316726, "ret_p1m": 0.02296827488286879, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02296827488286879, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023938861474585904, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023420723403566712, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0004524485206979234, "ret_p3m": -0.37455829376539607, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.37455829376539607, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4448640597233905, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3729825671550473, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": -0.001575726610348771, "ret_p6m": -0.5618374406480942, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5618374406480942, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6506368813926449, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.536322134384758, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0255153062633362, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02296827488286879, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.023938861474585904, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023420723403566712, "price_path": [1.5041, 1.4429, 0.7332, 1.0012, 1.1832, 0.9158, -0.4576, -0.2102, -0.2962, -0.4111, -0.4111, -0.4199, -0.47, -0.4311, -0.3946, -0.4064, -0.4488, -0.4152, -0.4494, -0.2945, -0.2544, -0.2544, -0.2538, -0.0406, 0.0047, 0.0883, 0.275, 0.4064, 0.7061, 1.2014, 1.1437, 0.7067, 0.487, 0.6137, 0.52, 0.3734, 0.2951, 0.2326, 0.1237, 0.1519, 0.1078, 0.0094, 0.1272, 0.1914, 0.3039, 0.3757, 0.4087, 0.3157, 0.3233, 0.3852, 0.3834, 0.169, 0.1849, 0.0824, 0.1466, 0.0624, 0.2291, 0.129, 0.1731, 0.1349, 0.0872, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0, -0.0094, -0.0913, -0.1201, -0.0771, -0.0171, -0.0524, -0.0365, 0.0424, -0.0112, -0.0018, 0.0082, 0.0141, 0.0206, -0.0218, 0.0018, 0.0353, -0.0395, -0.0577, 0.0165, 0.0018, 0.023, 0.0654, 0.0707, 0.1331, 0.0465, 0.0347, -0.0018, -0.0978, -0.0501, -0.0789, -0.1078, -0.1419, -0.1555, -0.129, -0.1555, -0.2085, -0.2044, -0.1802, -0.1572, -0.1908, -0.1985, -0.2479, -0.1849, -0.2291, -0.3121, -0.2856, -0.3422, -0.2956, -0.2962, -0.3192, -0.3186, -0.3528, -0.3587, -0.394, -0.3787, -0.4187, -0.4523, -0.4393, -0.4064, -0.4152, -0.3963, -0.3963, -0.3746, -0.4346, -0.4128, -0.3763, -0.3428, -0.3687, -0.3486, -0.3168, -0.2921, -0.321, -0.381, -0.4399, -0.4282, -0.4541, -0.4688, -0.4223, -0.4364, -0.4558, -0.4582, -0.4582, -0.4759, -0.4723, -0.4823, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4293, -0.3952, -0.391, -0.4028, -0.3946, -0.4099, -0.3958, -0.3793, -0.3592, -0.3852, -0.3522, -0.3522, -0.414, -0.4128, -0.424, -0.4258, -0.4476, -0.4117, -0.4128, -0.4482, -0.477, -0.5412, -0.5489, -0.583, -0.6425, -0.586, -0.5813, -0.6084, -0.6101, -0.6148, -0.5966, -0.5966, -0.6078, -0.6113, -0.5995, -0.6042, -0.6178, -0.6143, -0.5618]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1981061757444706572", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T18:15:03+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have taken an initial 210,000 share position in OPEN at $6.44. I believe the company has a massive opportunity to reshape the US real estate and mortgage market.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated 210,000-share long in Opendoor at $6.44; bullish on new CEO, board, and opportunity to reshape US real estate/mortgage market.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have taken an initial 210,000 share position in OPEN at $6.44. I believe the company has a massive opportunity to reshape the US real estate and mortgage market. I’m a fan of the new CEO and board members and stand behind ⁦@ericjackson⁩ and the OPEN army. LFG! https://t.co/cJgXlJfDIK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020527839143952953, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020527839143952953, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015301660459161148, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024994239413142938, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226178684791805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004466400269189985, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030791793674664447, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030791793674664447, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02486173826764171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031731933415960256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0059300554070227385, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000940139741295809, "ret_p1w": 0.12170086551535442, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12170086551535442, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09236566500725085, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16612955708516775, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335200508103565, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04442869156981333, "ret_p1m": -0.09677423865643231, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09677423865643231, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07390829003371946, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.045763464150495925, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02286594862271285, "bench_c_p1m": -0.051010774505936385, "ret_p3m": -0.02199414832725599, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02199414832725599, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06078394851031177, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025080903652942355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03878980018305578, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0030867553256863633, "ret_p6m": -0.22727274951919507, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22727274951919507, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2839593387784676, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.275379972585577, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0566865892592725, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04810722306638193, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09677423865643231, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07390829003371946, "alpha_c_stated": -0.045763464150495925, "price_path": [-0.6276, -0.6569, -0.6994, -0.6965, -0.7302, -0.6921, -0.6393, -0.6305, -0.7214, -0.7287, -0.7141, -0.6613, -0.6378, -0.6452, -0.5543, -0.5352, -0.4457, -0.4692, -0.5279, -0.4721, -0.2654, -0.3343, -0.3109, -0.4106, -0.3739, -0.3475, -0.3475, -0.2537, -0.2478, -0.1261, -0.0249, -0.1144, -0.1041, -0.1408, 0.5425, 0.3299, 0.3922, 0.3079, 0.4971, 0.4575, 0.4032, 0.2287, 0.0396, 0.2067, 0.3328, 0.2918, 0.2023, 0.1686, 0.1818, 0.1745, 0.1891, 0.3607, 0.3622, 0.2449, 0.1935, 0.11, 0.066, 0.1202, 0.0821, 0.0425, 0.0499, 0.0806, 0.0205, 0.0, 0.0308, 0.1686, 0.1965, 0.1686, 0.1217, 0.0762, 0.1393, 0.1129, 0.0147, 0.0601, -0.0381, -0.0381, 0.1686, 0.2434, 0.3739, 0.2551, 0.1906, 0.1496, 0.1026, -0.0191, -0.0968, -0.0103, 0.1276, 0.1349, 0.1408, 0.1408, 0.129, 0.0469, 0.0249, 0.0176, 0.1114, 0.0484, 0.0337, 0.0865, 0.0264, 0.0337, -0.0381, -0.0513, -0.0132, -0.1026, -0.0792, -0.0674, -0.0587, -0.0806, -0.0792, -0.0792, -0.1188, -0.1452, -0.1437, -0.1452, -0.1452, -0.11, -0.0733, 0.0161, -0.1026, -0.0572, 0.0689, 0.0293, -0.0073, -0.0264, -0.0762, -0.022, -0.022, -0.063, -0.0499, -0.0587, -0.1188, -0.1393, -0.1481, -0.1554, -0.1818, -0.2449, -0.2933, -0.2478, -0.2669, -0.3109, -0.2845, -0.2757, -0.3123, -0.3021, -0.3578, -0.3482, -0.3482, -0.3651, -0.3211, -0.3182, -0.2669, -0.2991, -0.2507, -0.2698, -0.2067, -0.2053, -0.2595, -0.2713, -0.2845, -0.2405, -0.2669, -0.2551, -0.2654, -0.2273, -0.2903, -0.2742, -0.2405, -0.1848, -0.2258, -0.2463, -0.2801, -0.2361, -0.2405, -0.2522, -0.2815, -0.2962, -0.3504, -0.3138, -0.3299, -0.305, -0.305, -0.324, -0.3328, -0.3196, -0.368, -0.3666, -0.3607, -0.3387, -0.2933, -0.2273]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971201866794184888", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T13:15:22+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR has a lot of MWs to monetize. This is not the last deal. They probably announce 1-2 more this year alone.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: expects 1-2 more MW monetization deals this year beyond the current one.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Marc_750 CIFR has a lot of MWs to monetize. This is not the last deal. They probably announce 1-2 more this year alone.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What do you think about the price/MW? Doesn't seem like an increase in desperation since it's more or less similar to Wulf. \nI was hoping for up trending prices as an $Iren shareholder myself", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Marc_750", "ret_m1d": 0.212693012724273, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.212693012724273, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.20805816242825426, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.21093053561074138, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634850296018733, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001762477113531613, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01629498995452139, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01629498995452139, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022023930517148904, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01931661545612806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005728940562627516, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003021625501606673, "ret_p1w": 0.18439113210466918, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18439113210466918, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16741688133532695, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15503859226736316, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974250769342225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029352539837306013, "ret_p1m": 0.771869649895194, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.771869649895194, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.742692537825898, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7158264705284316, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177112069296074, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0560431793667624, "ret_p3m": 0.36449400133939713, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36449400133939713, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3159523612869586, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31290142935606036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854164005243855, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05159257198333678, "ret_p6m": 0.20154377463317896, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20154377463317896, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2103380196379494, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22675804201325656, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00879424500477044, "bench_c_p6m": -0.025214267380077593, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.771869649895194, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.742692537825898, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7158264705284316, "price_path": [-0.5901, -0.5798, -0.5129, -0.4811, -0.4811, -0.5034, -0.4828, -0.4631, -0.4648, -0.4966, -0.4828, -0.488, -0.4623, -0.4494, -0.4545, -0.464, -0.4048, -0.4271, -0.4297, -0.4451, -0.4717, -0.5129, -0.5326, -0.5317, -0.5772, -0.5549, -0.5703, -0.5532, -0.5823, -0.5926, -0.5918, -0.5952, -0.5798, -0.5437, -0.5532, -0.4811, -0.506, -0.4897, -0.494, -0.4528, -0.4305, -0.3894, -0.4005, -0.3979, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.2864, -0.3045, -0.3654, -0.3551, -0.3379, -0.2093, -0.1209, -0.1449, -0.0695, -0.0695, -0.0129, 0.0617, 0.0163, 0.0532, 0.1973, 0.2136, 0.2127, 0.0, -0.0163, 0.0849, 0.0798, 0.0806, 0.1844, 0.2607, 0.3156, 0.3508, 0.5094, 0.5429, 0.4554, 0.7444, 0.7916, 0.8036, 0.6055, 0.6089, 0.7075, 0.5502, 0.3816, 0.4798, 0.7719, 0.7616, 0.7118, 0.6801, 0.6355, 0.5995, 0.952, 0.9305, 1.1192, 0.8619, 0.7744, 0.6852, 0.6012, 0.4906, 0.2804, 0.2316, 0.2307, 0.2504, 0.2539, 0.2487, 0.2136, 0.4331, 0.5026, 0.6424, 0.6424, 0.7453, 0.6887, 0.5129, 0.5978, 0.7007, 0.6535, 0.6707, 0.6775, 0.5849, 0.6192, 0.4623, 0.2642, 0.2856, 0.2341, 0.2993, 0.3902, 0.4014, 0.3645, 0.3911, 0.3911, 0.3027, 0.2933, 0.2513, 0.2659, 0.2659, 0.3894, 0.5575, 0.5043, 0.3791, 0.4194, 0.4262, 0.5163, 0.5652, 0.5549, 0.5026, 0.6123, 0.6123, 0.5369, 0.5197, 0.4914, 0.5069, 0.4142, 0.6081, 0.6269, 0.518, 0.3688, 0.3559, 0.3945, 0.2221, 0.0892, 0.2633, 0.4374, 0.4666, 0.3962, 0.3808, 0.4082, 0.4082, 0.3413, 0.3225, 0.3551, 0.2564, 0.3053, 0.4683, 0.4245, 0.4134, 0.3379, 0.3516, 0.2616, 0.3756, 0.2993, 0.1681, 0.2273, 0.1973, 0.2101, 0.1758, 0.2075, 0.2985, 0.2942, 0.2581, 0.2556, 0.2015]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1961986971653619878", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-31T02:58:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "now we just rip people's faces off in September to catch up. Most likely outcome tbh. Easy.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC for September, expecting a sharp face-ripping rally to catch up after a negative August.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Micro2Macr0 @fundstrat @fs_insight @MarkNewtonCMT But the Septembers were negative. So now we just rip people’s faces off in September to catch up. Most likely outcome tbh. Easy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Here's something NO ONE is talking about in regard to this #Bitcoin chart.\n\nALL OTHERS Augusts near the final year of the #Bitcoin halving historical pump, were positive! Some substantially so. &lt;-- This time is DIFFERENT. \n\n@fundstrat @fs_insight @MarkNewtonCMT https://t.co/hHzelmZrvc", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Micro2Macr0", "ret_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "price_path": [-0.0414, -0.0702, -0.0445, 0.0096, 0.0092, -0.0052, -0.0304, -0.0289, -0.0225, -0.0426, -0.04, -0.0418, -0.0544, -0.0336, -0.0293, -0.0173, -0.021, -0.0198, -0.0194, -0.0325, -0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0111, -0.0087, -0.0027, 0.019, 0.0617, 0.0757, 0.097, 0.078, 0.0868, 0.0919, 0.0801, 0.075, 0.0984, 0.087, 0.0835, 0.0768, 0.0794, 0.0794, 0.0785, 0.0596, 0.0372, 0.0533, 0.0448, 0.0529, 0.0755, 0.0681, 0.0868, 0.1, 0.129, 0.0834, 0.0746, 0.0641, 0.0328, 0.046, 0.029, 0.0698, 0.008, 0.0234, 0.018, 0.0302, -0.0077, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0226, 0.0135, 0.0128, 0.0258, 0.0209, 0.0431, 0.0573, 0.0627, 0.0567, 0.0695, 0.0661, 0.0722, 0.0589, 0.032, 0.0253, 0.0373, -0.0018, 0.0042, 0.0471, 0.044, 0.086, 0.1046, 0.1191, 0.1419, 0.1117, 0.1291, 0.114, 0.0363, 0.0551, 0.0354, 0.014, -0.0097, -0.0255, 0.0123, -0.0071, -0.0143, 0.0075, 0.0163, 0.0446, 0.0339, 0.0074, -0.0087, 0.0028, -0.0247, -0.0701, -0.0491, -0.0728, -0.0538, -0.0298, -0.0572, -0.0694, -0.0874, -0.136, -0.157, -0.1492, -0.1628, -0.207, -0.2211, -0.192, -0.2005, -0.1715, -0.1644, -0.1678, -0.2099, -0.1638, -0.1439, -0.1566, -0.1818, -0.1703, -0.1516, -0.1577, -0.1532, -0.1737, -0.209, -0.1959, -0.2115, -0.2177, -0.1936, -0.19, -0.1999, -0.1981, -0.2015, -0.2009, -0.2024, -0.1906, -0.199, -0.1878, -0.1767, -0.1407, -0.1421, -0.1642, -0.1668, -0.1715, -0.1653, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1254, -0.1256, -0.1528, -0.1917, -0.1819, -0.1811, -0.1807, -0.1921, -0.1844, -0.1837, -0.226, -0.2299, -0.2797, -0.3077, -0.3316, -0.4261, -0.3542, -0.3582, -0.3703, -0.3868, -0.3939, -0.3697, -0.3699, -0.3822, -0.392, -0.3871, -0.3775, -0.4085, -0.4135]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974698276915183814", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-05T04:48:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$125,000 US AMERICAN DOLLARS PER 1 BITCOIN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin with a $125,000 price target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$125,000 US AMERICAN DOLLARS PER 1 BITCOIN 🇺🇸", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01635408642433056, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01635408642433056, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022754152545188755, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022754152545188755, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "ret_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06324172184046095, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06324172184046095, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1910685312545366, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1910685312545366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3070874653755761, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3070874653755761, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4268941991180939, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4268941991180939, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18566363007163433, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1910685312545366, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1910685312545366, "price_path": [-0.1076, -0.0703, -0.058, -0.0393, -0.0559, -0.0482, -0.0438, -0.0541, -0.0586, -0.0381, -0.0481, -0.0512, -0.057, -0.0547, -0.0548, -0.0555, -0.0721, -0.0916, -0.0776, -0.0851, -0.078, -0.0582, -0.0646, -0.0483, -0.0367, -0.0113, -0.0512, -0.059, -0.0681, -0.0956, -0.084, -0.0989, -0.0632, -0.1173, -0.1038, -0.1085, -0.0979, -0.131, -0.1243, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1125, -0.113, -0.1017, -0.106, -0.0865, -0.0741, -0.0693, -0.0746, -0.0634, -0.0664, -0.061, -0.0727, -0.0962, -0.1021, -0.0916, -0.1259, -0.1206, -0.083, -0.0857, -0.0489, -0.0326, -0.0199, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0112, -0.0244, -0.0925, -0.076, -0.0933, -0.112, -0.1328, -0.1466, -0.1135, -0.1305, -0.1368, -0.1177, -0.11, -0.0852, -0.0946, -0.1178, -0.1318, -0.1218, -0.1459, -0.1857, -0.1672, -0.188, -0.1714, -0.1503, -0.1744, -0.1851, -0.2008, -0.2433, -0.2618, -0.2549, -0.2668, -0.3056, -0.3179, -0.2924, -0.2999, -0.2744, -0.2683, -0.2712, -0.3081, -0.2677, -0.2503, -0.2614, -0.2835, -0.2734, -0.257, -0.2624, -0.2584, -0.2764, -0.3073, -0.2959, -0.3095, -0.3149, -0.2938, -0.2907, -0.2993, -0.2977, -0.3007, -0.3002, -0.3015, -0.2912, -0.2985, -0.2887, -0.279, -0.2474, -0.2487, -0.2681, -0.2703, -0.2745, -0.269, -0.2359, -0.223, -0.2341, -0.2343, -0.2581, -0.2921, -0.2836, -0.2829, -0.2825, -0.2925, -0.2858, -0.2851, -0.3222, -0.3256, -0.3692, -0.3937, -0.4147, -0.4974, -0.4344, -0.4379, -0.4486, -0.463, -0.4692, -0.448, -0.4482, -0.459, -0.4675, -0.4633, -0.4549, -0.482, -0.4863, -0.4552, -0.4593, -0.4719, -0.4487, -0.4526, -0.4172, -0.4321, -0.4538, -0.4517, -0.4395, -0.4372, -0.4349, -0.4311, -0.3999, -0.4074, -0.4289, -0.4396, -0.4347, -0.4316, -0.4347, -0.4284, -0.4486, -0.4682, -0.4654, -0.4531]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1973734662339281234", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T12:59:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin could crack $120,000 today and $124,000 by Sunday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "BTC to $120K today and $124K by Sunday; bullish near-term target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin could crack $120,000 today and $124,000 by Sunday. What excuse will the bears come up with then?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015689962283643055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015689962283643055, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013150750196000982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013150750196000982, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005588871828819952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005588871828819952, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "ret_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1113724654901529, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1113724654901529, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "ret_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2968588994983963, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2968588994983963, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "ret_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4032021750663245, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4032021750663245, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.008487880749399102, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005588871828819952, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005588871828819952, "price_path": [-0.1026, -0.0972, -0.0775, -0.0389, -0.0262, -0.0069, -0.0241, -0.0161, -0.0115, -0.0222, -0.0269, -0.0057, -0.016, -0.0192, -0.0252, -0.0228, -0.0229, -0.0236, -0.0408, -0.061, -0.0465, -0.0542, -0.0468, -0.0264, -0.0331, -0.0162, -0.0042, 0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0272, -0.0367, -0.065, -0.0531, -0.0685, -0.0315, -0.0875, -0.0736, -0.0784, -0.0674, -0.1017, -0.0947, -0.0786, -0.0742, -0.0825, -0.0831, -0.0713, -0.0758, -0.0557, -0.0429, -0.0379, -0.0434, -0.0318, -0.0349, -0.0294, -0.0414, -0.0657, -0.0718, -0.0609, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.052, -0.0549, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0337, 0.0064, 0.0222, 0.0085, -0.0619, -0.0448, -0.0627, -0.082, -0.1035, -0.1178, -0.0836, -0.1011, -0.1077, -0.0879, -0.0799, -0.0544, -0.064, -0.088, -0.1025, -0.0922, -0.1171, -0.1582, -0.1391, -0.1606, -0.1434, -0.1217, -0.1465, -0.1576, -0.1739, -0.2178, -0.2369, -0.2298, -0.2421, -0.2821, -0.2949, -0.2686, -0.2763, -0.2499, -0.2436, -0.2466, -0.2847, -0.243, -0.225, -0.2365, -0.2593, -0.2489, -0.2319, -0.2375, -0.2334, -0.252, -0.2839, -0.2721, -0.2862, -0.2918, -0.2699, -0.2667, -0.2757, -0.274, -0.2771, -0.2766, -0.2779, -0.2672, -0.2749, -0.2647, -0.2547, -0.2221, -0.2233, -0.2434, -0.2457, -0.25, -0.2443, -0.2101, -0.1968, -0.2082, -0.2085, -0.2331, -0.2682, -0.2594, -0.2587, -0.2583, -0.2686, -0.2617, -0.261, -0.2993, -0.3029, -0.348, -0.3733, -0.3949, -0.4804, -0.4154, -0.419, -0.43, -0.4449, -0.4513, -0.4294, -0.4295, -0.4407, -0.4496, -0.4452, -0.4365, -0.4646, -0.469, -0.4369, -0.4411, -0.4541, -0.4301, -0.4341, -0.3975, -0.413, -0.4354, -0.4332, -0.4206, -0.4183, -0.4159, -0.4119, -0.3797, -0.3875, -0.4096, -0.4207, -0.4156, -0.4124, -0.4157, -0.4091, -0.43, -0.4503]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970944928537772532", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T20:14:24+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the crazy thing is that nothing has really even happened yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN: new ATH close but catalysts haven't even materialized yet, implying further upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IREN - NEW ALL TIME HIGH CLOSE - $47.14 +12.86%\n\nAs I've said before, the crazy thing is that nothing has really even happened yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018362463972991128, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018362463972991128, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013727613676972394, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015744122279652828, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634850296018733, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026183416933382997, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09570102003799696, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09570102003799696, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10142996060062448, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10299481199959615, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005728940562627516, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007293791961599183, "ret_p1w": 0.01577013453874132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01577013453874132, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0012041162306009046, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018014417102718783, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974250769342225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002244282563977462, "ret_p1m": 0.3588248062613446, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3588248062613446, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32964769419204853, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3655575817410899, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177112069296074, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006732775479745268, "ret_p3m": -0.09116442292589333, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09116442292589333, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13970606297833188, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13144365878808306, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854164005243855, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04027923586218973, "ret_p6m": -0.10801468786151647, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10801468786151647, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09922044285674603, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.029120707050605432, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00879424500477044, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07889398081091104, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3588248062613446, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.32964769419204853, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3655575817410899, "price_path": [-0.6852, -0.671, -0.6617, -0.6366, -0.6366, -0.6338, -0.6351, -0.6336, -0.6321, -0.6494, -0.6267, -0.6353, -0.6261, -0.6101, -0.6124, -0.6079, -0.5984, -0.5898, -0.6081, -0.6172, -0.6418, -0.6589, -0.6513, -0.652, -0.6673, -0.644, -0.6446, -0.6042, -0.5988, -0.6014, -0.6118, -0.6148, -0.617, -0.5878, -0.5746, -0.5527, -0.5954, -0.5731, -0.5768, -0.537, -0.5005, -0.5033, -0.5171, -0.5023, -0.428, -0.428, -0.3711, -0.3906, -0.4355, -0.4351, -0.4342, -0.3478, -0.2735, -0.2903, -0.2664, -0.1977, -0.2126, -0.1812, -0.2154, -0.1653, -0.0948, -0.0976, 0.0184, 0.0, -0.0957, -0.0078, 0.0138, 0.0171, 0.0158, 0.0901, 0.2476, 0.3325, 0.2981, 0.3793, 0.2912, 0.3856, 0.5027, 0.4686, 0.3357, 0.3117, 0.2793, 0.1924, 0.1197, 0.2067, 0.3588, 0.404, 0.3485, 0.3052, 0.2577, 0.3124, 0.4636, 0.4394, 0.6507, 0.4465, 0.3476, 0.2998, 0.2396, 0.2033, 0.051, 0.0017, 0.0242, 0.0553, -0.0099, -0.0609, -0.0871, 0.0475, 0.0255, 0.0467, 0.0467, 0.0328, 0.0475, -0.1117, -0.0503, 0.0035, -0.0341, 0.0011, 0.0119, -0.0512, -0.0508, -0.1331, -0.2335, -0.2095, -0.2703, -0.2266, -0.1376, -0.0918, -0.0912, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.1294, -0.1486, -0.1726, -0.1841, -0.1841, -0.0776, 0.0421, -0.0082, -0.0576, -0.0132, -0.0056, 0.0873, 0.1447, 0.1424, 0.121, 0.2491, 0.2491, 0.1722, 0.1553, 0.129, 0.2245, 0.1311, 0.296, 0.3597, 0.2927, 0.1609, 0.1467, 0.175, -0.0292, -0.1404, -0.0963, -0.003, -0.0726, -0.0782, -0.1352, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.1149, -0.0909, -0.0648, -0.1363, -0.0849, -0.0181, -0.0488, -0.0443, -0.1154, -0.1059, -0.1607, -0.0529, -0.1332, -0.2072, -0.1609, -0.1765, -0.0931, -0.1063, -0.1017, -0.0292, -0.0719, -0.0881, -0.1, -0.108]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1980611152821514637", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-21T12:24:31+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The only correct decision is to own it and own it in size. The next major impulse is starting.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; next major upward impulse beginning, own it in size.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is an unstoppable force of nature. You can hate it. You can short it. You can try to sabotage it. You can speak negatively about it. But it will all be futile. The only correct decision is to own it and own it in size. The next major impulse is starting. Do not F this up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019469944707405373, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019469944707405373, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019455001605329203, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019455001605329203, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4943102076170334e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4943102076170334e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007267028792566799, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007267028792566799, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002068021051214841, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002068021051214841, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0051990077413519575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0051990077413519575, "ret_p1w": 0.04129242100960151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04129242100960151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017800306062859983, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017800306062859983, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023492114946741527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023492114946741527, "ret_p1m": -0.15681587423358168, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15681587423358168, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1439153933682239, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1439153933682239, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012900480865357777, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012900480865357777, "ret_p3m": -0.11939661399655832, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11939661399655832, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15278573796682493, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15278573796682493, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03338912397026661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03338912397026661, "ret_p6m": -0.3104053988457507, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3104053988457507, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35902145215613834, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35902145215613834, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04861605331038765, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04861605331038765, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15681587423358168, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1439153933682239, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1439153933682239, "price_path": [0.0912, 0.0844, 0.0871, 0.0871, 0.0862, 0.0671, 0.0446, 0.0608, 0.0522, 0.0604, 0.0832, 0.0757, 0.0945, 0.1078, 0.1371, 0.0911, 0.0822, 0.0717, 0.0401, 0.0534, 0.0363, 0.0774, 0.0152, 0.0307, 0.0253, 0.0375, -0.0006, 0.0071, 0.0251, 0.0299, 0.0207, 0.02, 0.0331, 0.0282, 0.0505, 0.0648, 0.0703, 0.0642, 0.0771, 0.0737, 0.0798, 0.0665, 0.0394, 0.0326, 0.0447, 0.0053, 0.0114, 0.0546, 0.0514, 0.0938, 0.1125, 0.1271, 0.15, 0.1196, 0.1372, 0.1219, 0.0437, 0.0626, 0.0428, 0.0213, -0.0027, -0.0185, 0.0195, 0.0, -0.0073, 0.0147, 0.0236, 0.052, 0.0413, 0.0146, -0.0016, 0.0099, -0.0178, -0.0635, -0.0423, -0.0661, -0.0471, -0.0229, -0.0505, -0.0628, -0.0809, -0.1298, -0.151, -0.1431, -0.1568, -0.2014, -0.2156, -0.1863, -0.1948, -0.1656, -0.1585, -0.1619, -0.2042, -0.1579, -0.1378, -0.1506, -0.176, -0.1644, -0.1455, -0.1517, -0.1472, -0.1678, -0.2033, -0.1902, -0.2059, -0.2122, -0.1878, -0.1843, -0.1942, -0.1923, -0.1958, -0.1952, -0.1967, -0.1848, -0.1933, -0.182, -0.1708, -0.1345, -0.136, -0.1583, -0.1609, -0.1656, -0.1593, -0.1213, -0.1065, -0.1192, -0.1194, -0.1468, -0.1859, -0.1761, -0.1753, -0.1749, -0.1863, -0.1786, -0.1778, -0.2205, -0.2245, -0.2746, -0.3028, -0.3269, -0.422, -0.3496, -0.3536, -0.3658, -0.3824, -0.3895, -0.3652, -0.3654, -0.3778, -0.3877, -0.3827, -0.3731, -0.4043, -0.4093, -0.3735, -0.3782, -0.3927, -0.366, -0.3704, -0.3297, -0.3469, -0.3719, -0.3694, -0.3554, -0.3528, -0.3502, -0.3458, -0.3099, -0.3185, -0.3432, -0.3555, -0.3499, -0.3463, -0.3499, -0.3426, -0.3658, -0.3885, -0.3852, -0.371, -0.3724, -0.3834, -0.383, -0.3652, -0.3368, -0.3443, -0.3384, -0.3272, -0.3134, -0.3162, -0.3104]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979639997209964762", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T20:05:29+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN has a cloud already homie. The only truly vertically integrated offering at scale.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN as the only truly vertically integrated cloud at scale in the datacenter pivot.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sam_badawi IREN has a cloud already homie. The only truly vertically integrated offering at scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For what it’s worth, I think it’s still too early to say which companies won’t succeed in the datacenter pivot. If I had to guess, $IREN and $CIFR look best positioned.\n\nThis is separate from the Neoclouds, which already have years (some even decades) of experience in the field,", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sam_Badawi", "ret_m1d": 0.025329280126316522, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025329280126316522, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03562272342945916, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03688453121456525, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01155525108824873, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06796692743855903, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06796692743855903, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0679519845597758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06683036814635479, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011365592922042422, "ret_p1w": 0.09743324086675687, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09743324086675687, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07666758975969112, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08720398780980809, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076565110706574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010229253056948773, "ret_p1m": -0.17510980298589918, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17510980298589918, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15839596388165056, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14821067231222718, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026899130673672, "ret_p3m": -0.1237757798034651, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1237757798034651, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15801605726063817, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15730533948785874, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03352955968439364, "ret_p6m": -0.20010135164731535, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20010135164731535, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24049204467236462, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18945672306939176, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010644628577923587, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17510980298589918, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15839596388165056, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14821067231222718, "price_path": [-0.6793, -0.6937, -0.7008, -0.72, -0.7334, -0.7275, -0.728, -0.74, -0.7217, -0.7222, -0.6906, -0.6864, -0.6884, -0.6966, -0.6989, -0.7006, -0.6778, -0.6675, -0.6504, -0.6837, -0.6663, -0.6692, -0.6381, -0.6096, -0.6118, -0.6225, -0.6109, -0.5529, -0.5529, -0.5084, -0.5236, -0.5588, -0.5584, -0.5578, -0.4902, -0.4321, -0.4453, -0.4265, -0.3728, -0.3845, -0.36, -0.3867, -0.3475, -0.2925, -0.2947, -0.204, -0.2183, -0.2931, -0.2244, -0.2075, -0.205, -0.206, -0.1479, -0.0248, 0.0415, 0.0147, 0.0782, 0.0093, 0.0831, 0.1746, 0.1479, 0.0441, 0.0253, 0.0, -0.068, -0.1248, -0.0567, 0.0621, 0.0974, 0.054, 0.0203, -0.0169, 0.0258, 0.144, 0.1251, 0.2903, 0.1307, 0.0534, 0.016, -0.0311, -0.0594, -0.1785, -0.217, -0.1994, -0.1751, -0.2261, -0.266, -0.2864, -0.1812, -0.1984, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.1927, -0.1812, -0.3056, -0.2577, -0.2156, -0.245, -0.2175, -0.2091, -0.2584, -0.258, -0.3224, -0.4009, -0.3821, -0.4296, -0.3955, -0.3259, -0.2901, -0.2896, -0.2911, -0.2911, -0.3195, -0.3345, -0.3533, -0.3622, -0.3622, -0.279, -0.1854, -0.2248, -0.2633, -0.2286, -0.2227, -0.1501, -0.1052, -0.1071, -0.1238, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0838, -0.0969, -0.1175, -0.0429, -0.1158, 0.013, 0.0628, 0.0105, -0.0925, -0.1037, -0.0816, -0.2411, -0.3281, -0.2937, -0.2207, -0.2751, -0.2795, -0.324, -0.2871, -0.2871, -0.3082, -0.2894, -0.269, -0.3249, -0.2847, -0.2325, -0.2565, -0.253, -0.3085, -0.3011, -0.344, -0.2597, -0.3224, -0.3803, -0.3441, -0.3563, -0.2911, -0.3014, -0.2979, -0.2411, -0.2746, -0.2872, -0.2965, -0.3028, -0.2881, -0.3056, -0.3004, -0.3676, -0.4075, -0.4661, -0.4211, -0.4243, -0.4129, -0.4129, -0.4068, -0.3965, -0.3781, -0.3742, -0.336, -0.2727, -0.2001]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965810141409976396", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T16:10:35+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am becoming increasingly convinced that CIFR will sign not one, but possibly two or more major co-location agreements across multiple sites before the end of 2025", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Increasingly confident CIFR signs multiple major co-location deals across sites before end of 2025.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about it this week and I am becoming increasingly convinced that CIFR will sign not one, but possibly two or more major co-location agreements across multiple sites before the end of 2025. It’s a hunch at this stage but I’m gaining confidence.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09760540081681712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08268288285764713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01780489596881052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03562724295772224, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03068552253624257, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003368475417101946, "ret_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19711814843644926, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20306678894394525, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004738100269802814, "ret_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6795233156162872, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07559861327328976, "ret_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.849407041144203, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8061346777219296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09435308249624885, "ret_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42743979443513536, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4373450733784303, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04070366989281582, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6795233156162872, "price_path": [-0.6371, -0.6166, -0.641, -0.6283, -0.6283, -0.6302, -0.6556, -0.6244, -0.6244, -0.5912, -0.5844, -0.5337, -0.522, -0.4459, -0.4098, -0.4098, -0.4351, -0.4117, -0.3893, -0.3912, -0.4273, -0.4117, -0.4176, -0.3883, -0.3737, -0.3795, -0.3902, -0.3229, -0.3483, -0.3512, -0.3688, -0.399, -0.4459, -0.4683, -0.4673, -0.519, -0.4937, -0.5112, -0.4917, -0.5249, -0.5366, -0.5356, -0.5395, -0.522, -0.481, -0.4917, -0.4098, -0.438, -0.4195, -0.4244, -0.3776, -0.3522, -0.3054, -0.318, -0.3151, -0.2546, -0.2546, -0.1883, -0.2088, -0.278, -0.2663, -0.2468, -0.1005, 0.0, -0.0273, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.1229, 0.2078, 0.1561, 0.198, 0.362, 0.3805, 0.3795, 0.1376, 0.119, 0.2341, 0.2283, 0.2293, 0.3473, 0.4341, 0.4966, 0.5366, 0.7171, 0.7551, 0.6556, 0.9844, 1.038, 1.0517, 0.8263, 0.8302, 0.9424, 0.7634, 0.5717, 0.6834, 1.0156, 1.0039, 0.9473, 0.9112, 0.8605, 0.8195, 1.2205, 1.1961, 1.4107, 1.118, 1.0185, 0.9171, 0.8215, 0.6956, 0.4566, 0.401, 0.4, 0.4224, 0.4263, 0.4205, 0.3805, 0.6302, 0.7093, 0.8683, 0.8683, 0.9854, 0.921, 0.721, 0.8176, 0.9346, 0.881, 0.9005, 0.9083, 0.8029, 0.842, 0.6634, 0.438, 0.4624, 0.4039, 0.478, 0.5815, 0.5941, 0.5522, 0.5824, 0.5824, 0.482, 0.4712, 0.4234, 0.44, 0.44, 0.5805, 0.7717, 0.7112, 0.5688, 0.6146, 0.6224, 0.7249, 0.7805, 0.7688, 0.7093, 0.8341, 0.8341, 0.7483, 0.7288, 0.6966, 0.7141, 0.6088, 0.8293, 0.8507, 0.7268, 0.5571, 0.5424, 0.5863, 0.3902, 0.239, 0.4371, 0.6351, 0.6683, 0.5883, 0.5707, 0.602, 0.602, 0.5259, 0.5044, 0.5415, 0.4293, 0.4849, 0.6702, 0.6205, 0.6078, 0.522, 0.5376, 0.4351, 0.5649, 0.478]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984230002741936129", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-31T12:04:32+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The AI data center trade is just starting", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses bullish thesis on CIFR and IREN as AI data center power plays; trade is just starting.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Eric is not wrong. The AI data center trade is just starting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Amazon just confirmed they’ve spent $90B on capex this year.\n\nData centers. GPUs. AI infrastructure.\n\nThat’s not bearish — that’s the biggest tell of the decade.\n\nYou think all that compute runs on air?\n\nIt runs on power — and companies like $CIFR and $IREN are building it. ⚡️", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022520111790063524, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022520111790063524, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02578960890502735, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02348446397751469, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032694971149638263, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009643521874511674, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2203753723548576, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2203753723548576, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21849872287660022, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21628461972199475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018766494782573861, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0040907526328628485, "ret_p1w": 0.10938342934336776, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10938342934336776, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1256431232002032, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15102247346084996, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259693856835455, "bench_c_p1w": -0.041639044117482205, "ret_p1m": 0.055764125297569356, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.055764125297569356, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.058388583366422275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10342272831970889, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026244580688529195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.047658603022139534, "ret_p3m": 0.01715816093134248, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01715816093134248, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.005442206296090379, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.023035879362105938, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02260036722743286, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005877718430763457, "ret_p6m": -0.02627344670995646, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02627344670995646, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08078786286796358, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09726918925400796, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451441615800712, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0709957425440515, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.055764125297569356, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.058388583366422275, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10342272831970889, "price_path": [-0.7314, -0.7206, -0.7389, -0.7453, -0.7448, -0.7469, -0.7373, -0.7147, -0.7206, -0.6756, -0.6912, -0.681, -0.6836, -0.6579, -0.644, -0.6182, -0.6252, -0.6236, -0.5903, -0.5903, -0.5539, -0.5651, -0.6032, -0.5968, -0.5861, -0.5056, -0.4504, -0.4654, -0.4182, -0.4182, -0.3828, -0.3362, -0.3646, -0.3416, -0.2515, -0.2413, -0.2418, -0.3748, -0.385, -0.3217, -0.3249, -0.3244, -0.2595, -0.2118, -0.1775, -0.1555, -0.0563, -0.0354, -0.0901, 0.0906, 0.1201, 0.1276, 0.0038, 0.0059, 0.0676, -0.0308, -0.1362, -0.0748, 0.1078, 0.1013, 0.0702, 0.0504, 0.0225, 0.0, 0.2204, 0.207, 0.3249, 0.1641, 0.1094, 0.0536, 0.0011, -0.0681, -0.1995, -0.23, -0.2306, -0.2182, -0.2161, -0.2193, -0.2413, -0.104, -0.0606, 0.0268, 0.0268, 0.0912, 0.0558, -0.0542, -0.0011, 0.0633, 0.0338, 0.0445, 0.0488, -0.0091, 0.0123, -0.0858, -0.2097, -0.1962, -0.2284, -0.1877, -0.1308, -0.1239, -0.1469, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.1855, -0.1914, -0.2177, -0.2086, -0.2086, -0.1314, -0.0263, -0.0595, -0.1378, -0.1126, -0.1083, -0.052, -0.0214, -0.0279, -0.0606, 0.008, 0.008, -0.0391, -0.0499, -0.0676, -0.0579, -0.1158, 0.0054, 0.0172, -0.0509, -0.1442, -0.1523, -0.1282, -0.2359, -0.319, -0.2102, -0.1013, -0.0831, -0.1271, -0.1367, -0.1196, -0.1196, -0.1614, -0.1732, -0.1528, -0.2145, -0.1839, -0.082, -0.1094, -0.1164, -0.1635, -0.155, -0.2113, -0.1399, -0.1877, -0.2697, -0.2327, -0.2515, -0.2434, -0.2649, -0.245, -0.1882, -0.1909, -0.2134, -0.215, -0.2488, -0.2016, -0.2021, -0.1485, -0.2306, -0.263, -0.3558, -0.3099, -0.3223, -0.3126, -0.3126, -0.2842, -0.2488, -0.1732, -0.1228, -0.1137, -0.0477, -0.0107, -0.0349, -0.0702, 0.0386, 0.0343, -0.0327, 0.0424, 0.0021, -0.0241, -0.0263]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984230002741936129", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-31T12:04:32+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The AI data center trade is just starting", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses bullish thesis on CIFR and IREN as AI data center power plays; trade is just starting.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Eric is not wrong. The AI data center trade is just starting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Amazon just confirmed they’ve spent $90B on capex this year.\n\nData centers. GPUs. AI infrastructure.\n\nThat’s not bearish — that’s the biggest tell of the decade.\n\nYou think all that compute runs on air?\n\nIt runs on power — and companies like $CIFR and $IREN are building it. ⚡️", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0416460704411008, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0416460704411008, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.038376573326136976, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03897280572043149, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032694971149638263, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026732647206693105, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11522633744855959, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11522633744855959, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1133496879703022, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11942719254232037, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018766494782573861, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00420085509376078, "ret_p1w": 0.02683129330230849, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02683129330230849, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.043090987159143945, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01900238342409466, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259693856835455, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00782890987821383, "ret_p1m": -0.20181067195939428, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20181067195939428, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19918621389054136, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2117400462489697, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026244580688529195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00992937428957541, "ret_p3m": 0.03604936011043591, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03604936011043591, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.013448992883003053, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02067406973813335, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02260036722743286, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015375290372302564, "ret_p6m": -0.2039506072370113, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2039506072370113, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2584650233950184, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20181836564283184, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451441615800712, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0021322415941794626, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.20181067195939428, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19918621389054136, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2117400462489697, "price_path": [-0.7292, -0.6984, -0.6943, -0.6963, -0.7042, -0.7065, -0.7081, -0.6859, -0.6759, -0.6592, -0.6917, -0.6747, -0.6775, -0.6472, -0.6194, -0.6216, -0.632, -0.6207, -0.5641, -0.5641, -0.5208, -0.5356, -0.5699, -0.5695, -0.5689, -0.503, -0.4464, -0.4593, -0.441, -0.3886, -0.4, -0.3761, -0.4021, -0.364, -0.3103, -0.3124, -0.224, -0.238, -0.3109, -0.244, -0.2275, -0.225, -0.226, -0.1694, -0.0494, 0.0153, -0.0109, 0.051, -0.0161, 0.0558, 0.145, 0.119, 0.0178, -0.0005, -0.0252, -0.0914, -0.1468, -0.0805, 0.0354, 0.0698, 0.0275, -0.0054, -0.0416, 0.0, 0.1152, 0.0968, 0.2578, 0.1022, 0.0268, -0.0095, -0.0555, -0.0831, -0.1992, -0.2367, -0.2196, -0.1959, -0.2456, -0.2844, -0.3044, -0.2018, -0.2186, -0.2025, -0.2025, -0.213, -0.2018, -0.3231, -0.2764, -0.2354, -0.264, -0.2372, -0.229, -0.277, -0.2767, -0.3394, -0.416, -0.3977, -0.444, -0.4107, -0.3429, -0.308, -0.3075, -0.309, -0.309, -0.3366, -0.3513, -0.3695, -0.3783, -0.3783, -0.2971, -0.2059, -0.2443, -0.2819, -0.2481, -0.2423, -0.1715, -0.1277, -0.1295, -0.1458, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.1068, -0.1197, -0.1398, -0.067, -0.1381, -0.0125, 0.036, -0.015, -0.1154, -0.1263, -0.1047, -0.2602, -0.345, -0.3114, -0.2403, -0.2933, -0.2976, -0.3411, -0.305, -0.305, -0.3256, -0.3073, -0.2874, -0.3419, -0.3027, -0.2519, -0.2752, -0.2718, -0.3259, -0.3187, -0.3605, -0.2784, -0.3395, -0.3959, -0.3607, -0.3725, -0.309, -0.319, -0.3156, -0.2602, -0.2928, -0.3052, -0.3142, -0.3203, -0.306, -0.3231, -0.318, -0.3835, -0.4224, -0.4795, -0.4357, -0.4388, -0.4277, -0.4277, -0.4217, -0.4117, -0.3937, -0.39, -0.3528, -0.291, -0.2202, -0.1964, -0.2148, -0.2079, -0.198, -0.2565, -0.2035, -0.1437, -0.1664, -0.204]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1978186748476752147", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-14T19:50:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going A LOT higher before end of year. So freaking obvious.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish crypto (implied BTC/market): large players failing to spark panic, expects significantly higher prices by year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Big manipulative scam wicks everywhere. This is highly bullish. A lot of large players are out of position and desperately trying to spark panic selling but it is not working. We are going A LOT higher before end of year. So freaking obvious.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01902793036267436, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01902793036267436, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017804789829941825, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017804789829941825, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231405327325362, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012231405327325362, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02064646024028005, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02064646024028005, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02508599014988544, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02508599014988544, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439529909605389, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004439529909605389, "ret_p1w": -0.04103454965606157, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04103454965606157, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05471556516193732, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05471556516193732, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013681015505875749, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013681015505875749, "ret_p1m": -0.10126955314969643, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10126955314969643, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13320707020229394, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13320707020229394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193751705259751, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03193751705259751, "ret_p3m": -0.19983936945639702, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19983936945639702, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25101630534903874, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25101630534903874, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117693589264172, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05117693589264172, "ret_p6m": -0.3712500057841638, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3712500057841638, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3978710154763584, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3978710154763584, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621009692194608, "bench_c_p6m": 0.026621009692194608, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10126955314969643, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13320707020229394, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13320707020229394, "price_path": [0.0546, 0.0432, 0.0382, 0.0608, 0.0498, 0.0464, 0.0399, 0.0425, 0.0425, 0.0417, 0.0233, 0.0018, 0.0173, 0.009, 0.0169, 0.0387, 0.0316, 0.0496, 0.0624, 0.0904, 0.0463, 0.0378, 0.0277, -0.0025, 0.0102, -0.0062, 0.0332, -0.0265, -0.0116, -0.0168, -0.0051, -0.0416, -0.0342, -0.017, -0.0123, -0.0212, -0.0218, -0.0093, -0.014, 0.0074, 0.0211, 0.0264, 0.0206, 0.0329, 0.0296, 0.0355, 0.0227, -0.0033, -0.0098, 0.0019, -0.036, -0.0301, 0.0113, 0.0083, 0.0489, 0.0669, 0.0809, 0.1028, 0.0737, 0.0905, 0.0759, 0.0008, 0.019, 0.0, -0.0206, -0.0436, -0.0588, -0.0224, -0.041, -0.048, -0.027, -0.0184, 0.0088, -0.0014, -0.0271, -0.0425, -0.0315, -0.0581, -0.1019, -0.0816, -0.1045, -0.0862, -0.063, -0.0895, -0.1013, -0.1186, -0.1655, -0.1859, -0.1783, -0.1914, -0.2342, -0.2478, -0.2197, -0.2279, -0.1998, -0.193, -0.1962, -0.2369, -0.1924, -0.1732, -0.1854, -0.2098, -0.1987, -0.1806, -0.1865, -0.1822, -0.202, -0.236, -0.2234, -0.2385, -0.2445, -0.2211, -0.2177, -0.2272, -0.2255, -0.2288, -0.2282, -0.2297, -0.2183, -0.2264, -0.2156, -0.2049, -0.1701, -0.1714, -0.1928, -0.1953, -0.1998, -0.1938, -0.1573, -0.1431, -0.1553, -0.1555, -0.1818, -0.2193, -0.2099, -0.2091, -0.2088, -0.2197, -0.2123, -0.2116, -0.2525, -0.2563, -0.3044, -0.3314, -0.3545, -0.4457, -0.3763, -0.3801, -0.3918, -0.4078, -0.4146, -0.3913, -0.3914, -0.4033, -0.4128, -0.4081, -0.3988, -0.4288, -0.4335, -0.3992, -0.4037, -0.4176, -0.392, -0.3963, -0.3572, -0.3737, -0.3977, -0.3953, -0.3818, -0.3794, -0.3768, -0.3726, -0.3382, -0.3465, -0.3702, -0.382, -0.3766, -0.3731, -0.3766, -0.3696, -0.3919, -0.4136, -0.4104, -0.3968, -0.3982, -0.4087, -0.4083, -0.3913, -0.364, -0.3713]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1973849974409712025", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T20:38:00+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am looking for a move towards $20-25 this month", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish CLSK targeting $20-25 this month after closing above $15.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CLSK very quietly closed over $15 today. I am looking for a move towards $20-25 this month. https://t.co/KNtJwp15eo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05018815922963216, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05018815922963216, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.050202872893457706, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043300557322758504, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006887601906873653, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0934755811804513, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0934755811804513, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08988940150417757, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09384789952701278, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003723183465614843, "ret_p1w": 0.20953583401423725, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20953583401423725, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23372868379894873, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2385752993995921, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029039465385354846, "ret_p1m": 0.09284821423282974, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09284821423282974, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07173383076201256, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12207383879146538, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029225624558635643, "ret_p3m": -0.3651191874551021, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3651191874551021, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.38712264406257635, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.38822829721534124, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023109109760239166, "ret_p6m": -0.48682556333046767, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.48682556333046767, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4365548595041978, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3948389251027893, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09198663822767839, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09284821423282974, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07173383076201256, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12207383879146538, "price_path": [-0.2723, -0.2177, -0.1907, -0.2064, -0.2095, -0.2353, -0.2114, -0.1857, -0.1982, -0.2227, -0.1945, -0.2189, -0.2258, -0.2585, -0.2453, -0.2641, -0.2836, -0.2867, -0.345, -0.3338, -0.3206, -0.3099, -0.3275, -0.3683, -0.3808, -0.3777, -0.3745, -0.3758, -0.3883, -0.3827, -0.4128, -0.4046, -0.4147, -0.3839, -0.4072, -0.3927, -0.399, -0.4009, -0.4059, -0.4059, -0.3952, -0.4078, -0.4304, -0.4203, -0.4247, -0.3934, -0.3708, -0.3601, -0.3507, -0.3545, -0.2974, -0.2823, -0.1556, -0.1455, -0.138, -0.1274, -0.0935, -0.1418, -0.187, -0.0671, -0.0903, -0.0847, -0.0502, 0.0, 0.0935, 0.1267, 0.1907, 0.2604, 0.2095, 0.2572, 0.3789, 0.4555, 0.2541, 0.2249, 0.2798, 0.1775, 0.0577, 0.1085, 0.2149, 0.2673, 0.2014, 0.1851, 0.1098, 0.1167, 0.0928, 0.0176, 0.0402, -0.0339, -0.0232, -0.0571, -0.1189, -0.1637, -0.2484, -0.3124, -0.3344, -0.3218, -0.3588, -0.3864, -0.3896, -0.2798, -0.2585, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.0527, -0.1167, -0.1399, -0.091, -0.0571, -0.1396, -0.1286, -0.0684, -0.0885, -0.0703, -0.1198, -0.2525, -0.256, -0.2798, -0.2974, -0.2453, -0.2409, -0.2779, -0.2848, -0.2848, -0.3156, -0.3275, -0.3463, -0.3651, -0.3651, -0.2754, -0.2284, -0.2478, -0.2516, -0.2478, -0.2716, -0.2497, -0.2127, -0.1631, -0.2014, -0.1612, -0.1612, -0.1995, -0.1964, -0.1725, -0.1399, -0.2196, -0.1675, -0.1562, -0.2102, -0.2572, -0.3074, -0.2873, -0.3588, -0.4815, -0.3676, -0.3607, -0.3708, -0.3965, -0.4159, -0.3821, -0.3821, -0.4178, -0.4184, -0.3839, -0.3946, -0.3839, -0.3507, -0.3444, -0.345, -0.3758, -0.3381, -0.3795, -0.3312, -0.3758, -0.4222, -0.3971, -0.3959, -0.3846, -0.4009, -0.3877, -0.3714, -0.3657, -0.3802, -0.3833, -0.4103, -0.3739, -0.399, -0.3752, -0.4166, -0.4567, -0.4868]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968412642957213772", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-17T20:32:00+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN is my horse in this vertical", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses IREN as his preferred pick in Bitcoin mining / AI data center; serves on its board.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rudrakshm I can only serve on the board of one “Bitcoin miner” or AI data center developer at a time. IREN is my horse in this vertical.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred $CIFR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rudrakshm", "ret_m1d": 0.043502253423197246, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043502253423197246, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.048153022244390886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04442596264208287, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009237092188856266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06387664411668026, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06387664411668026, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05892377566578699, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06165979924457976, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022168448721004985, "ret_p1w": 0.27450444120251194, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27450444120251194, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2781066205317222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28344553421810514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008941093015593204, "ret_p1m": 0.6718062150577613, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6718062150577613, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6658085776222311, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7046573283324081, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03285111327464685, "ret_p3m": 0.00743393337093412, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.00743393337093412, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.020488850261900504, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.005310706081175454, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012744639452109574, "ret_p6m": 0.14482384858004416, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14482384858004416, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13904276868289211, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23548747929903302, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09066363071898886, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6718062150577613, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.6658085776222311, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7046573283324081, "price_path": [-0.7065, -0.6823, -0.6732, -0.639, -0.6145, -0.5988, -0.5807, -0.5688, -0.5369, -0.5369, -0.5333, -0.535, -0.533, -0.5311, -0.5531, -0.5242, -0.5352, -0.5234, -0.503, -0.5061, -0.5003, -0.4882, -0.4771, -0.5006, -0.5121, -0.5435, -0.5653, -0.5556, -0.5564, -0.576, -0.5463, -0.5471, -0.4956, -0.4887, -0.492, -0.5052, -0.5091, -0.5118, -0.4747, -0.4579, -0.4299, -0.4843, -0.4559, -0.4606, -0.41, -0.3634, -0.367, -0.3845, -0.3656, -0.2709, -0.2709, -0.1985, -0.2233, -0.2806, -0.28, -0.2789, -0.1688, -0.0741, -0.0955, -0.065, 0.0226, 0.0036, 0.0435, 0.0, 0.0639, 0.1536, 0.1501, 0.2979, 0.2745, 0.1525, 0.2646, 0.2921, 0.2963, 0.2946, 0.3893, 0.59, 0.6982, 0.6545, 0.758, 0.6456, 0.766, 0.9152, 0.8717, 0.7024, 0.6718, 0.6305, 0.5197, 0.427, 0.538, 0.7318, 0.7894, 0.7186, 0.6635, 0.603, 0.6726, 0.8654, 0.8345, 1.1038, 0.8436, 0.7175, 0.6567, 0.5798, 0.5336, 0.3395, 0.2767, 0.3053, 0.345, 0.2618, 0.1969, 0.1635, 0.3351, 0.307, 0.334, 0.334, 0.3164, 0.3351, 0.1322, 0.2104, 0.2789, 0.231, 0.2759, 0.2896, 0.2093, 0.2098, 0.1049, -0.0231, 0.0074, -0.0699, -0.0143, 0.0991, 0.1575, 0.1583, 0.1558, 0.1558, 0.1096, 0.0851, 0.0545, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.1757, 0.3282, 0.264, 0.2011, 0.2577, 0.2673, 0.3857, 0.459, 0.4559, 0.4287, 0.592, 0.592, 0.4939, 0.4725, 0.4389, 0.5606, 0.4416, 0.6517, 0.7329, 0.6476, 0.4796, 0.4615, 0.4975, 0.2373, 0.0955, 0.1517, 0.2706, 0.182, 0.1748, 0.1021, 0.1624, 0.1624, 0.128, 0.1586, 0.1919, 0.1008, 0.1663, 0.2514, 0.2123, 0.2181, 0.1275, 0.1396, 0.0697, 0.207, 0.1048, 0.0105, 0.0694, 0.0496, 0.1558, 0.139, 0.1448]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1986776065575125110", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T12:41:41+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am buying more OPEN under $5 in the pre-market session", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Adding to long OPEN position under $5 in pre-market; orders filled at $4.85–$4.95.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am buying more OPEN under $5 in the pre-market session. Come to papa!\n\n---\n\nFell back asleep and my orders filed at $4.85 through $4.95. Happy Friday! https://t.co/L4AR9WxRU9", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0009835049445360289, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013084540685971424, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835049445360289, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013084540685971424, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21493900300472824, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21493900300472824, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.19933472437758493, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21566590084388682, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007268978391585801, "ret_p1w": 0.23780487140043371, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23780487140043371, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23637414365355158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24555866977377683, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007753798373343113, "ret_p1m": 0.07469516040082524, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07469516040082524, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.055826870726288114, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08753733854355761, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886828967453713, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012842178142732363, "ret_p3m": -0.23780487140043371, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23780487140043371, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2635104603005032, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2533880047894137, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015583133388979986, "ret_p6m": -0.21798778061158286, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21798778061158286, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2941884559767147, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30500656190567366, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0870187812940908, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.23780487140043371, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.23637414365355158, "alpha_c_stated": 0.24555866977377683, "price_path": [-0.6235, -0.6311, -0.5366, -0.5168, -0.4238, -0.4482, -0.5091, -0.4512, -0.2363, -0.3079, -0.2835, -0.3872, -0.3491, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.2241, -0.218, -0.0915, 0.0137, -0.0793, -0.0686, -0.1067, 0.6037, 0.3826, 0.4474, 0.3598, 0.5564, 0.5152, 0.4588, 0.2774, 0.0808, 0.2546, 0.3857, 0.343, 0.25, 0.2149, 0.2287, 0.221, 0.2363, 0.4146, 0.4162, 0.2942, 0.2409, 0.154, 0.1082, 0.1646, 0.125, 0.0838, 0.0915, 0.1235, 0.061, 0.0396, 0.0716, 0.2149, 0.2439, 0.2149, 0.1662, 0.1189, 0.1845, 0.157, 0.0549, 0.1021, 0.0, 0.0, 0.2149, 0.2927, 0.4284, 0.3049, 0.2378, 0.1951, 0.1463, 0.0198, -0.061, 0.029, 0.1723, 0.1799, 0.186, 0.186, 0.1738, 0.0884, 0.0655, 0.0579, 0.1555, 0.0899, 0.0747, 0.1296, 0.0671, 0.0747, 0.0, -0.0137, 0.0259, -0.0671, -0.0427, -0.0305, -0.0213, -0.0442, -0.0427, -0.0427, -0.0838, -0.1113, -0.1098, -0.1113, -0.1113, -0.0747, -0.0366, 0.0564, -0.0671, -0.0198, 0.1113, 0.0701, 0.032, 0.0122, -0.0396, 0.0168, 0.0168, -0.0259, -0.0122, -0.0213, -0.0838, -0.1052, -0.1143, -0.122, -0.1494, -0.2149, -0.2652, -0.218, -0.2378, -0.2835, -0.2561, -0.247, -0.2851, -0.2744, -0.3323, -0.3224, -0.3224, -0.3399, -0.2942, -0.2912, -0.2378, -0.2713, -0.221, -0.2409, -0.1753, -0.1738, -0.2302, -0.2424, -0.2561, -0.2104, -0.2378, -0.2256, -0.2363, -0.1966, -0.2622, -0.2454, -0.2104, -0.1524, -0.1951, -0.2165, -0.2515, -0.2058, -0.2104, -0.2226, -0.253, -0.2683, -0.3247, -0.2866, -0.3034, -0.2774, -0.2774, -0.2973, -0.3064, -0.2927, -0.343, -0.3415, -0.3354, -0.3125, -0.2652, -0.1966, -0.1936, -0.1845, -0.1692, -0.1723, -0.2043, -0.1601, -0.1784, -0.1646, -0.1494, -0.1799, -0.1707, -0.218]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966260740735774800", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-11T22:01:06+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is turning up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish macro setup: dollar dropping, yields falling, small caps breaking out, Bitcoin turning up — expects asset markets to rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Liquidity is about to spike. The dollar is about to drop. Yields are falling back. Small caps are breaking out. Bitcoin is turning up. AI is taking over everything. And you’re bearish on asset markets? Really? Are you stupid or just playing dumb for engagement?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013437908036982193, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013437908036982193, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01377246268879384, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01377246268879384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005142859655061782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005142859655061782, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0001809149024136758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0001809149024136758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "ret_p1w": 0.014108724640200299, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014108724640200299, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.001741936342328776, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.001741936342328776, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "ret_p1m": -0.01985300607745777, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01985300607745777, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03121303269163711, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03121303269163711, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "ret_p3m": -0.19752674422969552, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19752674422969552, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24630329176086252, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24630329176086252, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "ret_p6m": -0.4101121646212893, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4101121646212893, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4477601703226113, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4477601703226113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01985300607745777, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03121303269163711, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03121303269163711, "price_path": [-0.0754, -0.0944, -0.092, -0.0937, -0.1056, -0.086, -0.0819, -0.0705, -0.074, -0.0729, -0.0725, -0.0849, -0.0576, -0.0507, -0.0647, -0.0624, -0.0568, -0.0362, 0.0042, 0.0174, 0.0376, 0.0196, 0.028, 0.0327, 0.0216, 0.0167, 0.0389, 0.0281, 0.0248, 0.0184, 0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0201, 0.0022, -0.0189, -0.0038, -0.0118, -0.0042, 0.0172, 0.0102, 0.0279, 0.0404, 0.0678, 0.0247, 0.0164, 0.0064, -0.0232, -0.0107, -0.0267, 0.0118, -0.0466, -0.0321, -0.0371, -0.0256, -0.0614, -0.0542, -0.0373, -0.0328, -0.0414, -0.042, -0.0297, -0.0344, -0.0134, 0.0, 0.0051, -0.0005, 0.0116, 0.0083, 0.0141, 0.0016, -0.0239, -0.0302, -0.0189, -0.0559, -0.0502, -0.0096, -0.0126, 0.0272, 0.0448, 0.0585, 0.08, 0.0515, 0.0679, 0.0537, -0.0199, -0.002, -0.0207, -0.0409, -0.0634, -0.0783, -0.0426, -0.0609, -0.0677, -0.0471, -0.0387, -0.012, -0.0221, -0.0472, -0.0624, -0.0515, -0.0776, -0.1205, -0.1006, -0.123, -0.1051, -0.0823, -0.1083, -0.1199, -0.1369, -0.1828, -0.2027, -0.1953, -0.2081, -0.25, -0.2633, -0.2358, -0.2438, -0.2163, -0.2097, -0.2129, -0.2527, -0.2091, -0.1903, -0.2023, -0.2261, -0.2153, -0.1975, -0.2033, -0.1991, -0.2185, -0.2518, -0.2395, -0.2542, -0.2601, -0.2372, -0.2339, -0.2432, -0.2415, -0.2448, -0.2442, -0.2456, -0.2344, -0.2424, -0.2318, -0.2213, -0.1872, -0.1885, -0.2095, -0.2119, -0.2164, -0.2105, -0.1748, -0.1608, -0.1728, -0.173, -0.1987, -0.2355, -0.2262, -0.2255, -0.2251, -0.2358, -0.2286, -0.2279, -0.2679, -0.2717, -0.3188, -0.3452, -0.3678, -0.4572, -0.3892, -0.3929, -0.4044, -0.42, -0.4267, -0.4039, -0.404, -0.4157, -0.4249, -0.4203, -0.4112, -0.4406, -0.4452, -0.4116, -0.416, -0.4296, -0.4046, -0.4088, -0.3705, -0.3867, -0.4101]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965754746121433180", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T12:30:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin likes the PPI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bitcoin reacting positively to PPI print; implied bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin likes the PPI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021278617463005967, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021278617463005967, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018396239453365437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018396239453365437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013620945043858246, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013620945043858246, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0053107492052766325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0053107492052766325, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "ret_p1w": 0.022053797656236718, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022053797656236718, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011367056878937909, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011367056878937909, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "ret_p1m": 0.0680110756089658, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0680110756089658, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03610300059806559, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03610300059806559, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "ret_p3m": -0.20459903226907794, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20459903226907794, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25567975134305343, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25567975134305343, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "ret_p6m": -0.37834319168018504, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37834319168018504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4289521405162958, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4289521405162958, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": 0.013620945043858246, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0053107492052766325, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0053107492052766325, "price_path": [-0.069, -0.0628, -0.0821, -0.0796, -0.0814, -0.0934, -0.0735, -0.0694, -0.0579, -0.0614, -0.0603, -0.0598, -0.0725, -0.0447, -0.0378, -0.052, -0.0496, -0.0439, -0.0231, 0.0178, 0.0313, 0.0517, 0.0335, 0.042, 0.0468, 0.0355, 0.0306, 0.053, 0.0421, 0.0387, 0.0323, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.034, 0.0158, -0.0056, 0.0098, 0.0016, 0.0094, 0.0311, 0.024, 0.0419, 0.0546, 0.0824, 0.0386, 0.0302, 0.0202, -0.0099, 0.0028, -0.0135, 0.0256, -0.0336, -0.0189, -0.024, -0.0124, -0.0487, -0.0413, -0.0242, -0.0196, -0.0284, -0.029, -0.0165, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0188, 0.0131, 0.0253, 0.0221, 0.0279, 0.0152, -0.0106, -0.017, -0.0055, -0.0431, -0.0372, 0.0039, 0.0009, 0.0412, 0.059, 0.0729, 0.0947, 0.0658, 0.0825, 0.068, -0.0065, 0.0115, -0.0073, -0.0278, -0.0506, -0.0657, -0.0295, -0.0481, -0.055, -0.0341, -0.0256, 0.0014, -0.0088, -0.0342, -0.0496, -0.0386, -0.065, -0.1085, -0.0883, -0.111, -0.0929, -0.0698, -0.0962, -0.1079, -0.1251, -0.1716, -0.1918, -0.1843, -0.1974, -0.2398, -0.2533, -0.2254, -0.2335, -0.2057, -0.1989, -0.2022, -0.2425, -0.1984, -0.1793, -0.1914, -0.2156, -0.2046, -0.1866, -0.1925, -0.1882, -0.2078, -0.2416, -0.2291, -0.2441, -0.25, -0.2269, -0.2235, -0.2329, -0.2312, -0.2345, -0.2339, -0.2353, -0.224, -0.2321, -0.2213, -0.2107, -0.1761, -0.1775, -0.1987, -0.2012, -0.2057, -0.1997, -0.1635, -0.1494, -0.1615, -0.1617, -0.1878, -0.225, -0.2157, -0.2149, -0.2146, -0.2254, -0.2181, -0.2174, -0.2579, -0.2617, -0.3095, -0.3363, -0.3592, -0.4498, -0.3809, -0.3847, -0.3963, -0.4121, -0.4189, -0.3957, -0.3959, -0.4077, -0.4171, -0.4124, -0.4032, -0.433, -0.4377, -0.4036, -0.4081, -0.4219, -0.3965, -0.4007, -0.3619, -0.3783]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981342785845547182", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T12:51:46+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this time period will be clearly visible on the chart as the last obvious area to accumulate Bitcoin before $130,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC; current period is the last accumulation window before $130K+.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Day 8. We are in the window. When we look back in a couple months, this time period will be clearly visible on the chart as the last obvious area to accumulate Bitcoin before $130,000+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I have been meditating on this for dozens of hours on long runs in the high mountains over the last couple weeks and I believe the crux cycle move for Bitcoin will begin in earnest in the next 7-12 days with 85% confidence. There is nothing to stop it now. Hang tight.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02163302026236924, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02163302026236924, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01573792310810096, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01573792310810096, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005895097154268281, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005895097154268281, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008759859251149305, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008759859251149305, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005873045566688884, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005873045566688884, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172554694480416, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008172554694480416, "ret_p1w": -0.01602783746808223, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01602783746808223, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028041105353063367, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028041105353063367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012013267884981138, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012013267884981138, "ret_p1m": -0.22693832212180842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22693832212180842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2079880614830082, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2079880614830082, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895026063880023, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01895026063880023, "ret_p3m": -0.19768215105126896, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19768215105126896, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20932640851903472, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20932640851903472, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644257467765762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011644257467765762, "ret_p6m": -0.29929075497243407, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29929075497243407, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3624435715488804, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3624435715488804, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06315281657644634, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06315281657644634, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22693832212180842, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2079880614830082, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2079880614830082, "price_path": [0.0714, 0.0713, 0.0705, 0.0517, 0.0295, 0.0454, 0.037, 0.045, 0.0675, 0.0601, 0.0787, 0.0918, 0.1206, 0.0753, 0.0666, 0.0562, 0.0251, 0.0382, 0.0213, 0.0618, 0.0005, 0.0157, 0.0105, 0.0225, -0.0151, -0.0074, 0.0103, 0.015, 0.0059, 0.0053, 0.0182, 0.0133, 0.0353, 0.0494, 0.0548, 0.0488, 0.0615, 0.0581, 0.0642, 0.0511, 0.0243, 0.0177, 0.0296, -0.0093, -0.0032, 0.0393, 0.0362, 0.0779, 0.0964, 0.1108, 0.1334, 0.1034, 0.1207, 0.1057, 0.0286, 0.0473, 0.0277, 0.0065, -0.0171, -0.0327, 0.0047, -0.0145, -0.0216, 0.0, 0.0088, 0.0368, 0.0262, -0.0001, -0.016, -0.0047, -0.032, -0.077, -0.0561, -0.0797, -0.0608, -0.037, -0.0643, -0.0764, -0.0942, -0.1424, -0.1633, -0.1555, -0.169, -0.2129, -0.2269, -0.198, -0.2065, -0.1776, -0.1707, -0.174, -0.2158, -0.1701, -0.1503, -0.1629, -0.1879, -0.1765, -0.1579, -0.164, -0.1595, -0.1799, -0.2149, -0.2019, -0.2174, -0.2236, -0.1996, -0.1961, -0.2058, -0.204, -0.2075, -0.2069, -0.2083, -0.1966, -0.205, -0.1939, -0.1828, -0.1471, -0.1485, -0.1705, -0.173, -0.1777, -0.1715, -0.134, -0.1194, -0.1319, -0.1321, -0.1591, -0.1977, -0.188, -0.1872, -0.1868, -0.1981, -0.1905, -0.1897, -0.2317, -0.2357, -0.2851, -0.3129, -0.3366, -0.4303, -0.359, -0.3629, -0.375, -0.3914, -0.3984, -0.3744, -0.3745, -0.3868, -0.3965, -0.3917, -0.3822, -0.4129, -0.4178, -0.3826, -0.3872, -0.4015, -0.3752, -0.3795, -0.3394, -0.3564, -0.381, -0.3786, -0.3647, -0.3622, -0.3596, -0.3552, -0.3199, -0.3284, -0.3527, -0.3648, -0.3593, -0.3557, -0.3593, -0.3521, -0.375, -0.3973, -0.3941, -0.3801, -0.3815, -0.3923, -0.3919, -0.3744, -0.3464, -0.3538, -0.348, -0.337, -0.3233, -0.326, -0.3204, -0.3172, -0.2993]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1963578237998518495", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-04T12:21:48+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now it has grown in to its valuation and may actually be a reasonable value again", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSTR now reasonable value after peak exuberance faded; implied bullish at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JavierHermosa21 Too much exuberance at the peak. I called it out correctly at the time. Now it has grown in to its valuation and may actually be a reasonable value again. Rinse and repeat. If you use peak multiples as your benchmark, you will always be easily confused in markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "MSTR hit an all-time high of $543 on November 20, 2024 when BTC was at $94,300.\n\nThat was almost one year ago.\n\nAt the time MSTR owned approximately 331,200 BTC. They have since acquired an additional 305,305 BTC and now hold 636,505 BTC total.\n\nThat's over 3% of all the bitcoin https://t.co/LvxWpsy8A6", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JavierHermosa21", "ret_m1d": 0.008150473022932037, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008150473022932037, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016438717322357688, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016438717322357688, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008288244299425651, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008288244299425651, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025275493366276436, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025275493366276436, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028171877335562145, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028171877335562145, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028963839692857096, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028963839692857096, "ret_p1w": -0.004792598497419864, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004792598497419864, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017902572008236306, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017902572008236306, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013109973510816442, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013109973510816442, "ret_p1m": 0.07338444034819047, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07338444034819047, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03957653013780482, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03957653013780482, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03380791021038565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03380791021038565, "ret_p3m": -0.44647271327533755, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.44647271327533755, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.49931265930254465, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.49931265930254465, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052839946027207096, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052839946027207096, "ret_p6m": -0.604688783394875, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.604688783394875, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6675499935920556, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6675499935920556, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0628612101971806, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0628612101971806, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07338444034819047, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03957653013780482, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03957653013780482, "price_path": [0.197, 0.1941, 0.1817, 0.1593, 0.1687, 0.1669, 0.1453, 0.1265, 0.1265, 0.1285, 0.1209, 0.1509, 0.1865, 0.1796, 0.1718, 0.234, 0.1395, 0.228, 0.2332, 0.2332, 0.2078, 0.2117, 0.2681, 0.2874, 0.3266, 0.3768, 0.3502, 0.3917, 0.3778, 0.2919, 0.3013, 0.3016, 0.2597, 0.2666, 0.239, 0.2326, 0.2047, 0.2059, 0.2267, 0.1192, 0.1882, 0.1461, 0.1704, 0.2272, 0.2062, 0.2218, 0.2039, 0.1902, 0.1384, 0.1182, 0.1099, 0.0274, 0.0512, 0.0305, 0.0932, 0.0477, 0.0726, 0.0442, 0.0343, 0.0208, 0.0208, 0.0428, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0253, 0.0071, 0.0029, -0.0035, -0.0048, 0.0118, 0.0006, 0.0229, 0.0065, 0.0657, 0.0524, 0.0255, 0.0006, -0.0131, -0.0821, -0.0566, -0.0036, -0.0164, 0.033, 0.0755, 0.0734, 0.098, 0.0025, 0.0098, -0.0223, -0.0696, -0.037, -0.0822, -0.0941, -0.1336, -0.1151, -0.0946, -0.0784, -0.1428, -0.1303, -0.1176, -0.0976, -0.1311, -0.1594, -0.2229, -0.1773, -0.1921, -0.246, -0.2216, -0.2759, -0.2615, -0.2708, -0.2938, -0.3144, -0.3634, -0.3902, -0.4035, -0.3687, -0.4307, -0.4593, -0.4795, -0.4535, -0.4744, -0.4638, -0.4638, -0.4591, -0.4767, -0.4465, -0.4249, -0.4322, -0.4536, -0.4393, -0.4231, -0.4364, -0.4405, -0.4614, -0.5052, -0.4887, -0.5104, -0.517, -0.4969, -0.4984, -0.5181, -0.5155, -0.5155, -0.5152, -0.5257, -0.525, -0.5362, -0.5362, -0.5203, -0.4972, -0.5178, -0.506, -0.4903, -0.5197, -0.5048, -0.4719, -0.4526, -0.4783, -0.4697, -0.4697, -0.5109, -0.5, -0.5086, -0.5021, -0.5098, -0.5068, -0.5163, -0.5629, -0.543, -0.5738, -0.5932, -0.6059, -0.6734, -0.5881, -0.5774, -0.594, -0.6152, -0.6245, -0.5913, -0.5913, -0.6072, -0.6178, -0.6048, -0.6, -0.6224, -0.6196, -0.5859, -0.5928, -0.6047]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1971222248548954131", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T14:36:22+00:00", "symbol": "Cipher Mining", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The market digests the convert and then we go higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Cipher Mining; Google-backed deal is first of many, stock goes higher after market digests the convertible.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Cipher Mining NASDAQ ticker CIFR", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "People are freaking out and getting this all wrong, per usual.\n\nThe Cipher deal is massively bullish. It’s the first of many. Google is a shareholder and backing the deal.\n\nThis is the beginning of a new chapter, not the end.\n\nThe market digests the convert and then we go higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.212693012724273, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.212693012724273, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.20805816242825426, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.21093053561074138, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634850296018733, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001762477113531613, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01629498995452139, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01629498995452139, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022023930517148904, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01931661545612806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005728940562627516, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003021625501606673, "ret_p1w": 0.18439113210466918, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18439113210466918, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16741688133532695, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15503859226736316, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974250769342225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029352539837306013, "ret_p1m": 0.771869649895194, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.771869649895194, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.742692537825898, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7158264705284316, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177112069296074, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0560431793667624, "ret_p3m": 0.36449400133939713, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36449400133939713, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3159523612869586, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31290142935606036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854164005243855, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05159257198333678, "ret_p6m": 0.20154377463317896, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20154377463317896, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2103380196379494, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22675804201325656, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00879424500477044, "bench_c_p6m": -0.025214267380077593, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.771869649895194, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.742692537825898, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7158264705284316, "price_path": [-0.5901, -0.5798, -0.5129, -0.4811, -0.4811, -0.5034, -0.4828, -0.4631, -0.4648, -0.4966, -0.4828, -0.488, -0.4623, -0.4494, -0.4545, -0.464, -0.4048, -0.4271, -0.4297, -0.4451, -0.4717, -0.5129, -0.5326, -0.5317, -0.5772, -0.5549, -0.5703, -0.5532, -0.5823, -0.5926, -0.5918, -0.5952, -0.5798, -0.5437, -0.5532, -0.4811, -0.506, -0.4897, -0.494, -0.4528, -0.4305, -0.3894, -0.4005, -0.3979, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.2864, -0.3045, -0.3654, -0.3551, -0.3379, -0.2093, -0.1209, -0.1449, -0.0695, -0.0695, -0.0129, 0.0617, 0.0163, 0.0532, 0.1973, 0.2136, 0.2127, 0.0, -0.0163, 0.0849, 0.0798, 0.0806, 0.1844, 0.2607, 0.3156, 0.3508, 0.5094, 0.5429, 0.4554, 0.7444, 0.7916, 0.8036, 0.6055, 0.6089, 0.7075, 0.5502, 0.3816, 0.4798, 0.7719, 0.7616, 0.7118, 0.6801, 0.6355, 0.5995, 0.952, 0.9305, 1.1192, 0.8619, 0.7744, 0.6852, 0.6012, 0.4906, 0.2804, 0.2316, 0.2307, 0.2504, 0.2539, 0.2487, 0.2136, 0.4331, 0.5026, 0.6424, 0.6424, 0.7453, 0.6887, 0.5129, 0.5978, 0.7007, 0.6535, 0.6707, 0.6775, 0.5849, 0.6192, 0.4623, 0.2642, 0.2856, 0.2341, 0.2993, 0.3902, 0.4014, 0.3645, 0.3911, 0.3911, 0.3027, 0.2933, 0.2513, 0.2659, 0.2659, 0.3894, 0.5575, 0.5043, 0.3791, 0.4194, 0.4262, 0.5163, 0.5652, 0.5549, 0.5026, 0.6123, 0.6123, 0.5369, 0.5197, 0.4914, 0.5069, 0.4142, 0.6081, 0.6269, 0.518, 0.3688, 0.3559, 0.3945, 0.2221, 0.0892, 0.2633, 0.4374, 0.4666, 0.3962, 0.3808, 0.4082, 0.4082, 0.3413, 0.3225, 0.3551, 0.2564, 0.3053, 0.4683, 0.4245, 0.4134, 0.3379, 0.3516, 0.2616, 0.3756, 0.2993, 0.1681, 0.2273, 0.1973, 0.2101, 0.1758, 0.2075, 0.2985, 0.2942, 0.2581, 0.2556, 0.2015]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979984332711481571", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-19T18:53:45+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You are too bearish, period.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pushes back on Chanos's bearish IREN thesis; implies stock is not as overvalued as Chanos claims.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RealJimChanos @bitcoinbutcher1 But if you are wrong about the buildout costs, how is your analysis any better?\n\nYou are too bearish, period.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @bitcoinbutcher1 Mikey, I’m literally responding to a ridiculous $IREN SOTP analysis which omits buildout costs from its NAV calculation. But sure, I know nothing about the Company.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RealJimChanos", "ret_m1d": 0.025329280126316522, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025329280126316522, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03562272342945916, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03688453121456525, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01155525108824873, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06796692743855903, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06796692743855903, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0679519845597758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06683036814635479, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011365592922042422, "ret_p1w": 0.09743324086675687, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09743324086675687, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07666758975969112, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08720398780980809, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076565110706574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010229253056948773, "ret_p1m": -0.17510980298589918, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17510980298589918, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15839596388165056, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14821067231222718, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026899130673672, "ret_p3m": -0.1237757798034651, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1237757798034651, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15801605726063817, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15730533948785874, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03352955968439364, "ret_p6m": -0.20010135164731535, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20010135164731535, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24049204467236462, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18945672306939176, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010644628577923587, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17510980298589918, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.15839596388165056, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14821067231222718, "price_path": [-0.6793, -0.6937, -0.7008, -0.72, -0.7334, -0.7275, -0.728, -0.74, -0.7217, -0.7222, -0.6906, -0.6864, -0.6884, -0.6966, -0.6989, -0.7006, -0.6778, -0.6675, -0.6504, -0.6837, -0.6663, -0.6692, -0.6381, -0.6096, -0.6118, -0.6225, -0.6109, -0.5529, -0.5529, -0.5084, -0.5236, -0.5588, -0.5584, -0.5578, -0.4902, -0.4321, -0.4453, -0.4265, -0.3728, -0.3845, -0.36, -0.3867, -0.3475, -0.2925, -0.2947, -0.204, -0.2183, -0.2931, -0.2244, -0.2075, -0.205, -0.206, -0.1479, -0.0248, 0.0415, 0.0147, 0.0782, 0.0093, 0.0831, 0.1746, 0.1479, 0.0441, 0.0253, 0.0, -0.068, -0.1248, -0.0567, 0.0621, 0.0974, 0.054, 0.0203, -0.0169, 0.0258, 0.144, 0.1251, 0.2903, 0.1307, 0.0534, 0.016, -0.0311, -0.0594, -0.1785, -0.217, -0.1994, -0.1751, -0.2261, -0.266, -0.2864, -0.1812, -0.1984, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.1927, -0.1812, -0.3056, -0.2577, -0.2156, -0.245, -0.2175, -0.2091, -0.2584, -0.258, -0.3224, -0.4009, -0.3821, -0.4296, -0.3955, -0.3259, -0.2901, -0.2896, -0.2911, -0.2911, -0.3195, -0.3345, -0.3533, -0.3622, -0.3622, -0.279, -0.1854, -0.2248, -0.2633, -0.2286, -0.2227, -0.1501, -0.1052, -0.1071, -0.1238, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0838, -0.0969, -0.1175, -0.0429, -0.1158, 0.013, 0.0628, 0.0105, -0.0925, -0.1037, -0.0816, -0.2411, -0.3281, -0.2937, -0.2207, -0.2751, -0.2795, -0.324, -0.2871, -0.2871, -0.3082, -0.2894, -0.269, -0.3249, -0.2847, -0.2325, -0.2565, -0.253, -0.3085, -0.3011, -0.344, -0.2597, -0.3224, -0.3803, -0.3441, -0.3563, -0.2911, -0.3014, -0.2979, -0.2411, -0.2746, -0.2872, -0.2965, -0.3028, -0.2881, -0.3056, -0.3004, -0.3676, -0.4075, -0.4661, -0.4211, -0.4243, -0.4129, -0.4129, -0.4068, -0.3965, -0.3781, -0.3742, -0.336, -0.2727, -0.2001]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978830863400833111", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T14:30:17+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My STZ position is 3-4x larger", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds a notably large long position in STZ, implying strong conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@brener_moshe My STZ position is 3-4x larger", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred I think STZ is more attractive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "brener_moshe", "ret_m1d": -0.0030865222755376287, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0030865222755376287, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009943446568326797, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009943446568326797, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856924292789168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856924292789168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00782373057726149, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00782373057726149, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00214743173090981, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00214743173090981, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056762988463516795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056762988463516795, "ret_p1w": 0.002870889599984716, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002870889599984716, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013961267082444717, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013961267082444717, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016832156682429433, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016832156682429433, "ret_p1m": -0.06564946873052191, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06564946873052191, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0827388217880195, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0827388217880195, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708935305749759, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708935305749759, "ret_p3m": 0.10796777275716019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10796777275716019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05471638579706295, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05471638579706295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251386960097236, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251386960097236, "ret_p6m": 0.2097608233231345, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2097608233231345, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1754171426408646, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1754171426408646, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343680682269895, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343680682269895, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06564946873052191, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0827388217880195, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0827388217880195, "price_path": [0.1985, 0.2514, 0.2566, 0.2534, 0.2525, 0.2317, 0.2547, 0.2307, 0.199, 0.1928, 0.2223, 0.2249, 0.2142, 0.2433, 0.2245, 0.211, 0.2201, 0.2229, 0.2167, 0.2075, 0.1933, 0.1908, 0.1937, 0.1838, 0.2031, 0.1748, 0.1367, 0.152, 0.1419, 0.1624, 0.1624, 0.0857, 0.0515, 0.0471, 0.0654, 0.0487, 0.0478, 0.0257, 0.0263, 0.0012, -0.028, -0.0333, -0.0451, -0.0452, -0.0459, -0.0419, -0.0541, -0.0426, -0.0479, -0.049, -0.0205, -0.0334, -0.0027, 0.0085, 0.0207, -0.0044, 0.0059, 0.0247, 0.0262, 0.0144, 0.0152, 0.0138, -0.0031, 0.0, 0.0078, 0.0137, 0.0161, 0.0063, 0.0029, 0.0022, -0.0098, -0.0368, -0.0599, -0.0677, -0.0496, -0.0536, -0.0655, -0.0551, -0.0744, -0.0766, -0.0706, -0.0465, -0.0568, -0.0618, -0.0656, -0.0526, -0.0557, -0.0649, -0.0563, -0.0331, -0.0443, -0.0438, -0.0242, -0.0242, -0.0134, -0.0026, -0.0027, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0299, 0.0272, 0.0371, 0.0743, 0.0819, 0.0664, 0.0379, 0.0315, 0.0107, -0.0103, -0.0233, 0.0254, 0.0072, 0.0163, 0.0163, 0.0085, 0.002, 0.0137, -0.002, -0.002, 0.0212, 0.0309, 0.0392, 0.0163, 0.0704, 0.0634, 0.0983, 0.108, 0.1311, 0.1484, 0.1331, 0.1331, 0.1838, 0.1819, 0.1627, 0.1486, 0.1687, 0.1665, 0.1411, 0.1268, 0.141, 0.1334, 0.1695, 0.2136, 0.2055, 0.1965, 0.1913, 0.206, 0.1883, 0.1822, 0.0871, 0.0871, 0.1118, 0.138, 0.126, 0.1388, 0.1608, 0.1655, 0.1294, 0.1341, 0.1494, 0.1399, 0.136, 0.1012, 0.0725, 0.0665, 0.0846, 0.0928, 0.0919, 0.0799, 0.0932, 0.0996, 0.1043, 0.1074, 0.1061, 0.0894, 0.1101, 0.1117, 0.1035, 0.0952, 0.1024, 0.0995, 0.0922, 0.1001, 0.1009, 0.1009, 0.1304, 0.1201, 0.0941, 0.1873, 0.2098]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983979458123218954", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T19:28:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It looks like picking up pennies in front of a freight train to me and I believe it will likely be punished shortly here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bearish shorts on BTC will get punished; expects Bitcoin to reverse higher from its mini drawdown.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Shorts are getting pretty aggressive squeezing the juice out of Bitcoin’s mini drawdown. It looks like picking up pennies in front of a freight train to me and I believe it will likely be punished shortly here. At some point, there is no juice left to squeeze. Drink up, bears!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01615575437257588, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01615575437257588, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005035444027891911, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005035444027891911, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011547120379193476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011547120379193476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008266898588548788, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008266898588548788, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "ret_p1w": -0.06467127506021375, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06467127506021375, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05066778047797493, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05066778047797493, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "ret_p1m": -0.16052992438204705, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16052992438204705, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16576645683384728, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16576645683384728, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "ret_p3m": -0.1773037218921295, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1773037218921295, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20336173282632275, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20336173282632275, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "ret_p6m": -0.28484445409435544, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28484445409435544, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3409983822767254, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3409983822767254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06467127506021375, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05066778047797493, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05066778047797493, "price_path": [0.0625, 0.0539, 0.0621, 0.0849, 0.0774, 0.0963, 0.1096, 0.1389, 0.0928, 0.084, 0.0734, 0.0418, 0.0551, 0.038, 0.0791, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.0269, 0.0391, 0.001, 0.0087, 0.0267, 0.0316, 0.0223, 0.0217, 0.0348, 0.0298, 0.0522, 0.0665, 0.072, 0.0659, 0.0788, 0.0754, 0.0815, 0.0682, 0.041, 0.0342, 0.0464, 0.0069, 0.013, 0.0563, 0.0531, 0.0955, 0.1143, 0.1289, 0.1519, 0.1214, 0.139, 0.1237, 0.0453, 0.0643, 0.0444, 0.0229, -0.0011, -0.017, 0.0211, 0.0016, -0.0057, 0.0163, 0.0252, 0.0537, 0.0429, 0.0162, 0.0, 0.0115, -0.0162, -0.062, -0.0408, -0.0647, -0.0455, -0.0213, -0.049, -0.0613, -0.0795, -0.1284, -0.1497, -0.1418, -0.1555, -0.2001, -0.2143, -0.185, -0.1936, -0.1642, -0.1571, -0.1605, -0.203, -0.1566, -0.1364, -0.1492, -0.1747, -0.1631, -0.1442, -0.1504, -0.1458, -0.1665, -0.2021, -0.1889, -0.2046, -0.2109, -0.1865, -0.183, -0.1929, -0.1911, -0.1945, -0.1939, -0.1954, -0.1835, -0.192, -0.1807, -0.1695, -0.1332, -0.1346, -0.1569, -0.1595, -0.1643, -0.158, -0.1199, -0.105, -0.1178, -0.118, -0.1454, -0.1846, -0.1748, -0.174, -0.1736, -0.185, -0.1773, -0.1765, -0.2192, -0.2232, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.3258, -0.4211, -0.3486, -0.3526, -0.3648, -0.3815, -0.3886, -0.3642, -0.3644, -0.3768, -0.3867, -0.3818, -0.3721, -0.4034, -0.4083, -0.3725, -0.3772, -0.3917, -0.365, -0.3694, -0.3287, -0.3459, -0.3709, -0.3684, -0.3544, -0.3518, -0.3491, -0.3447, -0.3088, -0.3175, -0.3422, -0.3545, -0.3489, -0.3452, -0.3489, -0.3416, -0.3648, -0.3875, -0.3842, -0.37, -0.3714, -0.3824, -0.382, -0.3642, -0.3358, -0.3433, -0.3374, -0.3262, -0.3123, -0.3151, -0.3093, -0.3061, -0.2879, -0.2995, -0.295, -0.2779, -0.2773, -0.2848]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969163579094954363", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T22:15:57+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like the stonk", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Casual bullish endorsement of IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nanotitan28 Not sure what this means but I like the stonk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN Working through a fib confluence that includes the magenta 1.414 cycle linear fib. https://t.co/9RtppRNKGG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nanotitan28", "ret_m1d": -0.07780434409332848, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07780434409332848, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07309557217257079, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0791375971521382, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013332530588097136, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0031026506773500495, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0031026506773500495, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023409122598723187, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0013418598680481342, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443562937222368, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004444510545398184, "ret_p1w": 0.09618135161183239, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09618135161183239, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10092011688606295, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09377397394455755, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002407377667274835, "ret_p1m": 0.31730304736943404, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31730304736943404, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3106298492270654, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3408215998653258, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023518552495891742, "ret_p3m": -0.14558477486094568, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14558477486094568, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16002588240382176, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1555848163329382, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441107542876086, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010000041471992516, "ret_p6m": 0.025298270166865144, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025298270166865144, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016402518388536125, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.104312784077215, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07901451391034986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.31730304736943404, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3106298492270654, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3408215998653258, "price_path": [-0.7167, -0.6871, -0.6659, -0.6523, -0.6365, -0.6263, -0.5986, -0.5986, -0.5955, -0.5969, -0.5952, -0.5936, -0.6126, -0.5876, -0.5971, -0.5869, -0.5692, -0.5718, -0.5668, -0.5563, -0.5468, -0.5671, -0.5771, -0.6043, -0.6232, -0.6148, -0.6155, -0.6325, -0.6067, -0.6074, -0.5628, -0.5568, -0.5597, -0.5711, -0.5745, -0.5768, -0.5446, -0.5301, -0.5058, -0.553, -0.5284, -0.5325, -0.4885, -0.4482, -0.4513, -0.4665, -0.4501, -0.368, -0.368, -0.3053, -0.3267, -0.3764, -0.3759, -0.3749, -0.2795, -0.1974, -0.216, -0.1895, -0.1136, -0.1301, -0.0955, -0.1332, -0.0778, 0.0, -0.0031, 0.1251, 0.1048, -0.001, 0.0962, 0.12, 0.1236, 0.1222, 0.2043, 0.3783, 0.4721, 0.4341, 0.5239, 0.4265, 0.5308, 0.6601, 0.6224, 0.4757, 0.4492, 0.4134, 0.3173, 0.237, 0.3332, 0.5012, 0.5511, 0.4897, 0.442, 0.3895, 0.4499, 0.6169, 0.5902, 0.8236, 0.5981, 0.4888, 0.436, 0.3695, 0.3294, 0.1611, 0.1067, 0.1315, 0.1659, 0.0938, 0.0375, 0.0086, 0.1573, 0.1329, 0.1563, 0.1563, 0.1411, 0.1573, -0.0186, 0.0492, 0.1086, 0.0671, 0.106, 0.1179, 0.0482, 0.0487, -0.0422, -0.1532, -0.1267, -0.1938, -0.1456, -0.0473, 0.0033, 0.0041, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0382, -0.0594, -0.0859, -0.0986, -0.0986, 0.0191, 0.1513, 0.0957, 0.0412, 0.0902, 0.0986, 0.2012, 0.2647, 0.2621, 0.2384, 0.38, 0.38, 0.295, 0.2764, 0.2473, 0.3527, 0.2496, 0.4317, 0.5021, 0.4282, 0.2826, 0.2668, 0.2981, 0.0726, -0.0504, -0.0017, 0.1014, 0.0246, 0.0184, -0.0446, 0.0076, 0.0076, -0.0222, 0.0043, 0.0332, -0.0458, 0.011, 0.0847, 0.0508, 0.0558, -0.0227, -0.0122, -0.0728, 0.0463, -0.0424, -0.1241, -0.073, -0.0902, 0.0019, -0.0126, -0.0076, 0.0726, 0.0253]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974231751871639850", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T21:55:03+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We welcome all IREN shorts as sacrifices to the God of Long profits!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; treats shorts as fuel for long-side gains.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RagingVentures We welcome all IREN shorts as sacrifices to the God of Long profits! 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The party feels like it is getting a little long in the tooth, was busy shorting $BE, $QS, $PL, $IREN, $INTC, $QBTS, and $RGTI today.  High octane.  Wish me luck.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RagingVentures", "ret_m1d": -0.1262337820870536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1262337820870536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12266041713953069, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12660623910619662, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0003724570191430132, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06805195333637726, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06805195333637726, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07175937559390422, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0667484256722759, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001303527664101356, "ret_p1w": 0.11064934008049243, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11064934008049243, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12340970837798204, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1300162422411386, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019366902160646182, "ret_p1m": 0.15376618620637172, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15376618620637172, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14836128502346946, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17760228498513697, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023836098778765247, "ret_p3m": -0.34597401804738226, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34597401804738226, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36432548332676795, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36946419197690084, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023490173929518576, "ret_p6m": -0.4064069475446429, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4064069475446429, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3802504695847917, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3337294381604158, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07267750938422712, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15376618620637172, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14836128502346946, "alpha_c_stated": 0.17760228498513697, "price_path": [-0.7063, -0.7051, -0.719, -0.7008, -0.7077, -0.7003, -0.6874, -0.6894, -0.6857, -0.6781, -0.6712, -0.6859, -0.6932, -0.7129, -0.7266, -0.7205, -0.721, -0.7333, -0.7146, -0.7152, -0.6828, -0.6784, -0.6805, -0.6888, -0.6913, -0.693, -0.6696, -0.659, -0.6415, -0.6757, -0.6578, -0.6608, -0.6289, -0.5997, -0.6019, -0.6129, -0.601, -0.5415, -0.5415, -0.4959, -0.5115, -0.5475, -0.5472, -0.5465, -0.4772, -0.4177, -0.4312, -0.4119, -0.3569, -0.3688, -0.3437, -0.3711, -0.3309, -0.2745, -0.2767, -0.1837, -0.1984, -0.2752, -0.2047, -0.1874, -0.1848, -0.1858, -0.1262, 0.0, 0.0681, 0.0405, 0.1056, 0.035, 0.1106, 0.2045, 0.1771, 0.0706, 0.0514, 0.0255, -0.0442, -0.1025, -0.0327, 0.0892, 0.1254, 0.0809, 0.0462, 0.0081, 0.0519, 0.1732, 0.1538, 0.3231, 0.1595, 0.0802, 0.0419, -0.0064, -0.0355, -0.1576, -0.1971, -0.179, -0.1541, -0.2064, -0.2473, -0.2682, -0.1603, -0.178, -0.161, -0.161, -0.1721, -0.1603, -0.288, -0.2388, -0.1957, -0.2258, -0.1976, -0.1889, -0.2395, -0.2391, -0.3051, -0.3856, -0.3664, -0.4151, -0.3801, -0.3087, -0.272, -0.2715, -0.2731, -0.2731, -0.3022, -0.3176, -0.3368, -0.346, -0.346, -0.2606, -0.1647, -0.205, -0.2446, -0.209, -0.2029, -0.1285, -0.0824, -0.0843, -0.1015, 0.0012, 0.0012, -0.0604, -0.0739, -0.0951, -0.0185, -0.0933, 0.0388, 0.0899, 0.0362, -0.0694, -0.0809, -0.0582, -0.2218, -0.311, -0.2757, -0.2009, -0.2566, -0.2611, -0.3068, -0.2689, -0.2689, -0.2906, -0.2713, -0.2504, -0.3077, -0.2665, -0.213, -0.2376, -0.2339, -0.2909, -0.2833, -0.3273, -0.2409, -0.3052, -0.3645, -0.3274, -0.3399, -0.2731, -0.2836, -0.28, -0.2218, -0.2561, -0.2691, -0.2786, -0.285, -0.27, -0.288, -0.2826, -0.3515, -0.3924, -0.4525, -0.4064]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981148026367512860", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T23:57:52+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's going to get easier now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies OPEN's difficulties are easing; forward bullish lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@founderwithadhd It’s going to get easier now", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Been a tough couple weeks for $OPEN. Conviction is intact and growing. Markets test patience. \n\nStepping back from social for a bit to much negativity; clarity matters more than chatter.\n\nOpen aarmy strong https://t.co/OGOmOz1ZWk", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "founderwithadhd", "ret_m1d": -0.02987198177518935, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02987198177518935, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02397688462092107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03081300621095484, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005895097154268281, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0009410244357654918, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13371259634840427, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13371259634840427, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12554004165392385, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13018320182096077, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172554694480416, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003529394527443497, "ret_p1w": 0.04409671885173272, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04409671885173272, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03208345096675158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.082214474624561, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012013267884981138, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03811775577282828, "ret_p1m": -0.03982933164321811, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03982933164321811, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.020879071004417882, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0021822723860468463, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895026063880023, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03764705925717127, "ret_p3m": -0.09103845294767088, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09103845294767088, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10268271041543664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07580218734767064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644257467765762, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015236265600000243, "ret_p6m": -0.24751069644744117, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24751069644744117, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3106635130238875, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31264825676695085, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06315281657644634, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06513756031950968, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03982933164321811, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.020879071004417882, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0021822723860468463, "price_path": [-0.6671, -0.7084, -0.7055, -0.7383, -0.7013, -0.6501, -0.6415, -0.7297, -0.7368, -0.7226, -0.6714, -0.6486, -0.6558, -0.5676, -0.5491, -0.4623, -0.4851, -0.542, -0.4879, -0.2873, -0.3542, -0.3314, -0.4282, -0.3926, -0.367, -0.367, -0.276, -0.2703, -0.1522, -0.0541, -0.1408, -0.1309, -0.1664, 0.4964, 0.2902, 0.3506, 0.2688, 0.4523, 0.4139, 0.3613, 0.192, 0.0085, 0.1707, 0.293, 0.2532, 0.1664, 0.1337, 0.1465, 0.1394, 0.1536, 0.3201, 0.3215, 0.2077, 0.1579, 0.0768, 0.0341, 0.0868, 0.0498, 0.0114, 0.0185, 0.0484, -0.01, -0.0299, 0.0, 0.1337, 0.1607, 0.1337, 0.0882, 0.0441, 0.1053, 0.0797, -0.0156, 0.0284, -0.0669, -0.0669, 0.1337, 0.2063, 0.3329, 0.2176, 0.155, 0.1152, 0.0697, -0.0484, -0.1238, -0.0398, 0.0939, 0.101, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.0953, 0.0156, -0.0057, -0.0128, 0.0782, 0.0171, 0.0028, 0.0541, -0.0043, 0.0028, -0.0669, -0.0797, -0.0427, -0.1294, -0.1067, -0.0953, -0.0868, -0.1081, -0.1067, -0.1067, -0.1451, -0.1707, -0.1693, -0.1707, -0.1707, -0.1366, -0.101, -0.0142, -0.1294, -0.0853, 0.037, -0.0014, -0.037, -0.0555, -0.1038, -0.0512, -0.0512, -0.091, -0.0782, -0.0868, -0.1451, -0.165, -0.1735, -0.1807, -0.2063, -0.2674, -0.3144, -0.2703, -0.2888, -0.3314, -0.3058, -0.2973, -0.3329, -0.3229, -0.377, -0.3677, -0.3677, -0.3841, -0.3414, -0.3385, -0.2888, -0.3201, -0.2731, -0.2916, -0.2304, -0.229, -0.2817, -0.293, -0.3058, -0.2632, -0.2888, -0.2774, -0.2873, -0.2504, -0.3115, -0.2959, -0.2632, -0.2091, -0.2489, -0.2688, -0.3016, -0.2589, -0.2632, -0.2745, -0.303, -0.3172, -0.3698, -0.3343, -0.3499, -0.3257, -0.3257, -0.3442, -0.3528, -0.34, -0.3869, -0.3855, -0.3798, -0.3585, -0.3144, -0.2504, -0.2475]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986057654255620535", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T13:06:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They took it to $98,900. Now they will take it to $126,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC bottomed at $98,900 and will rip to $126,000+; author sees the dip-and-slingshot pattern playing out.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They took it to $98,900. Now they will take it to $126,000+\n\nDifferent day, same story. Learn the patterns.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wouldn’t it be funny if they take BTC to $100,000 or just a touch lower and then slingshot it right back to $126,000? So hilarious. I love markets 🤣🙏", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02215104275743518, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02215104275743518, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018697534154725637, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018697534154725637, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02493503798083263, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02493503798083263, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014205764936037646, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014205764936037646, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "ret_p1w": -0.021451622424313754, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021451622424313754, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03001146283486933, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03001146283486933, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "ret_p1m": -0.11310042633733774, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11310042633733774, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12315096832311612, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12315096832311612, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "ret_p3m": -0.2425895171172242, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2425895171172242, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27193634768931274, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27193634768931274, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "ret_p6m": -0.2655407460659016, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2655407460659016, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33220743089745675, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33220743089745675, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11310042633733774, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12315096832311612, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12315096832311612, "price_path": [0.1232, 0.1428, 0.1567, 0.1872, 0.1393, 0.13, 0.119, 0.086, 0.0999, 0.0821, 0.125, 0.06, 0.0761, 0.0706, 0.0833, 0.0435, 0.0516, 0.0703, 0.0754, 0.0658, 0.0651, 0.0787, 0.0735, 0.0969, 0.1118, 0.1175, 0.1112, 0.1247, 0.1211, 0.1275, 0.1136, 0.0852, 0.0782, 0.0908, 0.0496, 0.056, 0.1011, 0.0978, 0.142, 0.1616, 0.1769, 0.2008, 0.169, 0.1873, 0.1715, 0.0897, 0.1095, 0.0888, 0.0663, 0.0413, 0.0248, 0.0645, 0.0441, 0.0365, 0.0595, 0.0687, 0.0984, 0.0872, 0.0593, 0.0425, 0.0545, 0.0256, -0.0222, 0.0, -0.0249, -0.005, 0.0203, -0.0086, -0.0215, -0.0404, -0.0914, -0.1136, -0.1053, -0.1196, -0.1661, -0.181, -0.1504, -0.1593, -0.1287, -0.1213, -0.1249, -0.1691, -0.1207, -0.0998, -0.1131, -0.1396, -0.1276, -0.1078, -0.1143, -0.1095, -0.1311, -0.1682, -0.1545, -0.1708, -0.1774, -0.152, -0.1482, -0.1586, -0.1567, -0.1603, -0.1597, -0.1613, -0.1488, -0.1577, -0.1459, -0.1342, -0.0963, -0.0978, -0.1211, -0.1238, -0.1288, -0.1222, -0.0825, -0.067, -0.0803, -0.0805, -0.1091, -0.15, -0.1397, -0.1389, -0.1385, -0.1504, -0.1424, -0.1416, -0.1861, -0.1902, -0.2426, -0.272, -0.2972, -0.3965, -0.3209, -0.3251, -0.3378, -0.3552, -0.3626, -0.3372, -0.3374, -0.3503, -0.3606, -0.3555, -0.3454, -0.378, -0.3832, -0.3459, -0.3507, -0.3659, -0.338, -0.3426, -0.3001, -0.3181, -0.3442, -0.3416, -0.3269, -0.3243, -0.3215, -0.3169, -0.2794, -0.2885, -0.3142, -0.3271, -0.3212, -0.3174, -0.3212, -0.3136, -0.3379, -0.3615, -0.3581, -0.3432, -0.3447, -0.3562, -0.3558, -0.3372, -0.3075, -0.3154, -0.3092, -0.2975, -0.2831, -0.286, -0.28, -0.2766, -0.2576, -0.2697, -0.2651, -0.2473, -0.2466, -0.2545, -0.2553, -0.2651, -0.2706, -0.2655]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986058276401021154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T13:09:26+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just bought more right now at $46.85-$46.92", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to Novo Nordisk position at $46.85-$46.92; live long.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DGrantWin I just bought more right now at $46.85-$46.92", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Novo getting more attractive ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DGrantWin", "ret_m1d": -0.004333413497103589, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004333413497103589, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0008799048943940457, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0008799048943940457, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04023932924876206, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04023932924876206, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029510056203967072, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029510056203967072, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "ret_p1w": 0.037144033893688144, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037144033893688144, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02858419348313257, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02858419348313257, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "ret_p1m": -0.009698646516209553, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009698646516209553, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019749188501987924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019749188501987924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "ret_p3m": 0.21605455358096615, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21605455358096615, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1867077230088776, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1867077230088776, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "ret_p6m": -0.09681354317798296, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09681354317798296, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1634802280095381, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1634802280095381, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009698646516209553, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019749188501987924, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019749188501987924, "price_path": [0.0423, 0.0176, 0.0158, 0.0386, 0.0397, 0.0695, 0.1092, 0.1304, 0.1205, 0.1442, 0.1758, 0.1626, 0.142, 0.1647, 0.1579, 0.1651, 0.1651, 0.1634, 0.1709, 0.1585, 0.1397, 0.1201, 0.1205, 0.122, 0.1205, 0.1323, 0.1478, 0.1804, 0.201, 0.2763, 0.267, 0.2528, 0.2286, 0.2121, 0.1564, 0.1475, 0.1453, 0.1451, 0.221, 0.2121, 0.2305, 0.2309, 0.2179, 0.2301, 0.2109, 0.1748, 0.1865, 0.1692, 0.1704, 0.1574, 0.122, 0.1502, 0.1304, 0.1015, 0.0984, 0.0929, 0.0914, 0.0741, 0.06, 0.0326, 0.0206, 0.0134, -0.0043, 0.0, -0.0402, -0.0574, -0.052, 0.0142, 0.0371, 0.0144, -0.0041, 0.0, -0.0188, 0.0111, -0.0177, -0.0171, -0.072, -0.0289, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0184, -0.0006, -0.0213, -0.0184, -0.0097, -0.0124, -0.0349, -0.0433, 0.0122, 0.0378, 0.0355, 0.0394, 0.0103, -0.0142, -0.0175, -0.0076, -0.0074, 0.065, 0.0846, 0.0846, 0.0813, 0.0621, 0.057, 0.0499, 0.0499, 0.0811, 0.1372, 0.161, 0.1674, 0.1832, 0.2136, 0.2352, 0.2307, 0.2156, 0.1787, 0.2862, 0.2862, 0.2522, 0.2241, 0.2842, 0.2848, 0.3203, 0.2978, 0.2449, 0.2243, 0.2264, 0.2161, 0.038, -0.0262, -0.1057, -0.0169, 0.0188, 0.0136, 0.0058, 0.0097, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0188, 0.0159, -0.0002, -0.0215, -0.1822, -0.2037, -0.2125, -0.2237, -0.2272, -0.2208, -0.2435, -0.2055, -0.1938, -0.2039, -0.1791, -0.201, -0.1987, -0.2154, -0.2167, -0.2039, -0.207, -0.2272, -0.2348, -0.2462, -0.2402, -0.2388, -0.2503, -0.2489, -0.2563, -0.2451, -0.2138, -0.2196, -0.2089, -0.2089, -0.2155, -0.2104, -0.1954, -0.1991, -0.1974, -0.1875, -0.1589, -0.127, -0.1244, -0.1332, -0.1345, -0.1567, -0.1625, -0.176, -0.1193, -0.1186, -0.1193, -0.1381, -0.0968]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962226004728160524", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-31T18:48:30+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Literally zero outside investors globally know more about how IREN operates internally than I do", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long IREN with high conviction via structural informational edge; dismisses all bearish influencer commentary on the stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you want to generate exceptional long term returns above an index, you need to have an edge. It has to exist and you have to be able to identify it, whether it is structural, informational, analytical, behavioral etc \n\nThe vast majority of people (95%+) spouting off about investing on X have no long term edge.\n\nFor example, over the last 2.5 years dozens of seemingly intelligent influencer types on here with decent followings have posted about how IREN is a bad company or bad stock that would never go up, never hold its gains, never achieve anything meaningful.\n\nI ignored all of them without a second thought. Why? Because there was a nearly zero chance any of them had any edge on IREN. Literally zero outside investors globally know more about how IREN operates internally than I do.\n\nWhen you add in that I have almost zero susceptibility to FUD and FOMO and a longer duration due to my temperament and permanent capital structure, these detractors never stood much of a chance.\n\nRemember this the next time you read a tweet about a company or asset from some random influencer. Ask yourself: do they have any edge? Are they even capable of assessing whether they have any edge?\n\nOtherwise, you should treat almost every opinion on here as entertainment so you don’t lose too much money.\n\nGood luck and Godspeed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09034699460569584, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09034699460569584, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09781256908057712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0978110578753335, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464063269637666, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030917262350000252, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030917262350000252, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03633680851300802, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02923773064686952, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016795317031307322, "ret_p1w": 0.037100649297891364, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037100649297891364, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021388408703159056, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04176573402120809, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004665084723316726, "ret_p1m": 0.6173136669160002, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6173136669160002, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5704065305585455, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6177661154366981, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0004524485206979234, "ret_p3m": 0.642390943691348, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.642390943691348, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5720851777333535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6439666703016967, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": -0.001575726610348771, "ret_p6m": 0.5125385728655649, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5125385728655649, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4237391321210142, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5380538791289011, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0255153062633362, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.6925, -0.6651, -0.6448, -0.6396, -0.6462, -0.6506, -0.6623, -0.6427, -0.6644, -0.6633, -0.6633, -0.6403, -0.6338, -0.6036, -0.5922, -0.5496, -0.5191, -0.4995, -0.4768, -0.462, -0.4222, -0.4222, -0.4177, -0.4198, -0.4174, -0.415, -0.4425, -0.4064, -0.4201, -0.4054, -0.3799, -0.3837, -0.3765, -0.3614, -0.3476, -0.3768, -0.3913, -0.4304, -0.4576, -0.4456, -0.4466, -0.471, -0.4339, -0.4349, -0.3707, -0.3621, -0.3662, -0.3827, -0.3875, -0.3909, -0.3446, -0.3236, -0.2887, -0.3566, -0.3212, -0.327, -0.2638, -0.2058, -0.2102, -0.2321, -0.2085, -0.0903, -0.0903, 0.0, -0.0309, -0.1024, -0.1017, -0.1003, 0.0371, 0.1553, 0.1285, 0.1666, 0.2759, 0.2521, 0.302, 0.2477, 0.3274, 0.4394, 0.4349, 0.6194, 0.5902, 0.438, 0.5778, 0.6122, 0.6173, 0.6153, 0.7334, 0.9839, 1.1189, 1.0642, 1.1934, 1.0532, 1.2034, 1.3896, 1.3353, 1.124, 1.0859, 1.0344, 0.8961, 0.7805, 0.9189, 1.1608, 1.2326, 1.1443, 1.0756, 1.0, 1.0869, 1.3274, 1.2889, 1.6249, 1.3002, 1.1429, 1.067, 0.9711, 0.9134, 0.6712, 0.5929, 0.6286, 0.6781, 0.5744, 0.4933, 0.4517, 0.6658, 0.6307, 0.6644, 0.6644, 0.6424, 0.6658, 0.4126, 0.5101, 0.5957, 0.5359, 0.5919, 0.6091, 0.5088, 0.5094, 0.3786, 0.2188, 0.257, 0.1604, 0.2298, 0.3713, 0.4442, 0.4452, 0.4421, 0.4421, 0.3844, 0.3538, 0.3157, 0.2975, 0.2975, 0.4668, 0.6572, 0.5771, 0.4986, 0.5692, 0.5812, 0.729, 0.8203, 0.8166, 0.7825, 0.9863, 0.9863, 0.864, 0.8372, 0.7953, 0.9471, 0.7987, 1.0608, 1.1621, 1.0557, 0.8461, 0.8234, 0.8684, 0.5438, 0.3669, 0.437, 0.5854, 0.4748, 0.4658, 0.3751, 0.4504, 0.4504, 0.4074, 0.4456, 0.4871, 0.3734, 0.4552, 0.5613, 0.5125]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985345678596517949", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T13:57:50+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'VE NEVER SEEN ANYTHING LIKE THIS IN MY 25 YEAR CAREER...THE DEMAND IS OFF THE CHARTS AND ONLY SEEMS TO BE GETTING MORE OFF THE CHARTS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CIFR CEO touts unprecedented, accelerating demand; author shares as a bullish signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CIFR CEO TYLER PAGE: \"I'VE NEVER SEEN ANYTHING LIKE THIS IN MY 25 YEAR CAREER...THE DEMAND IS OFF THE CHARTS AND ONLY SEEMS TO BE GETTING MORE OFF THE CHARTS\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17870685558967525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17650590329892613, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001873134261822229, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004074086552571354, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0008694547525396334, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015414367849450272, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01185363741888057, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026398550515791208, "ret_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13386269183511867, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11551110436719125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002780567351014951, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021132154818942372, "ret_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22230728664329846, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18318864291642278, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026488112365360417, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04176745496341172, "ret_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24097930934868328, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19673455797403616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018659475646688017, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0255852757279591, "ret_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28906954027745524, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2902161127095446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417521617954206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04856409405004358, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2249560978798345, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22230728664329846, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18318864291642278, "price_path": [-0.7711, -0.786, -0.7913, -0.7909, -0.7926, -0.7847, -0.7663, -0.7711, -0.7342, -0.7469, -0.7386, -0.7408, -0.7197, -0.7083, -0.6872, -0.6929, -0.6916, -0.6643, -0.6643, -0.6344, -0.6437, -0.6749, -0.6696, -0.6608, -0.5949, -0.5496, -0.562, -0.5233, -0.5233, -0.4943, -0.4561, -0.4793, -0.4605, -0.3866, -0.3783, -0.3787, -0.4877, -0.496, -0.4442, -0.4468, -0.4464, -0.3932, -0.3541, -0.326, -0.308, -0.2267, -0.2096, -0.2544, -0.1063, -0.0822, -0.076, -0.1775, -0.1757, -0.1252, -0.2058, -0.2922, -0.2419, -0.0923, -0.0975, -0.123, -0.1393, -0.1621, -0.1806, 0.0, -0.011, 0.0857, -0.0461, -0.0909, -0.1366, -0.1797, -0.2364, -0.344, -0.3691, -0.3695, -0.3594, -0.3576, -0.3603, -0.3783, -0.2658, -0.2302, -0.1586, -0.1586, -0.1059, -0.1349, -0.225, -0.1815, -0.1287, -0.1529, -0.1441, -0.1406, -0.188, -0.1705, -0.2509, -0.3524, -0.3414, -0.3678, -0.3344, -0.2878, -0.2821, -0.301, -0.2873, -0.2873, -0.3326, -0.3374, -0.359, -0.3515, -0.3515, -0.2882, -0.2021, -0.2293, -0.2935, -0.2728, -0.2693, -0.2232, -0.1982, -0.2034, -0.2302, -0.174, -0.174, -0.2127, -0.2214, -0.2359, -0.228, -0.2755, -0.1762, -0.1665, -0.2223, -0.2988, -0.3054, -0.2856, -0.3739, -0.442, -0.3528, -0.2636, -0.2487, -0.2847, -0.2926, -0.2786, -0.2786, -0.3128, -0.3225, -0.3058, -0.3563, -0.3313, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2759, -0.3146, -0.3076, -0.3537, -0.2953, -0.3344, -0.4016, -0.3713, -0.3866, -0.3801, -0.3976, -0.3814, -0.3348, -0.337, -0.3554, -0.3568, -0.3844, -0.3458, -0.3462, -0.3023, -0.3695, -0.3961, -0.4721, -0.4345, -0.4446, -0.4367, -0.4367, -0.4134, -0.3844, -0.3225, -0.2812, -0.2737, -0.2197, -0.1894, -0.2091, -0.2381, -0.1489, -0.1525, -0.2074, -0.1459, -0.1788, -0.2004, -0.2021, -0.2417]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985407217080918023", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T18:02:22+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This stock is going to $30-50 in the short term and $100+ in the long run", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR with targets of $30-50 near-term and $100+ long-term; dismisses recent dip to $21 as a fake-out by shorts/MMs.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you got shaken out of CIFR by the shorts, quants, and MMs, on that soft and obvious fake move to $21.02, you are not good at this. This stock is going to $30-50 in the short term and $100+ in the long run. Do not be dumb! Play like a champion.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17870685558967525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17650590329892613, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001873134261822229, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004074086552571354, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0008694547525396334, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015414367849450272, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01185363741888057, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026398550515791208, "ret_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13386269183511867, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11551110436719125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002780567351014951, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021132154818942372, "ret_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22230728664329846, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18318864291642278, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026488112365360417, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04176745496341172, "ret_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24097930934868328, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19673455797403616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018659475646688017, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0255852757279591, "ret_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28906954027745524, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2902161127095446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417521617954206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04856409405004358, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2249560978798345, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22230728664329846, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18318864291642278, "price_path": [-0.7711, -0.786, -0.7913, -0.7909, -0.7926, -0.7847, -0.7663, -0.7711, -0.7342, -0.7469, -0.7386, -0.7408, -0.7197, -0.7083, -0.6872, -0.6929, -0.6916, -0.6643, -0.6643, -0.6344, -0.6437, -0.6749, -0.6696, -0.6608, -0.5949, -0.5496, -0.562, -0.5233, -0.5233, -0.4943, -0.4561, -0.4793, -0.4605, -0.3866, -0.3783, -0.3787, -0.4877, -0.496, -0.4442, -0.4468, -0.4464, -0.3932, -0.3541, -0.326, -0.308, -0.2267, -0.2096, -0.2544, -0.1063, -0.0822, -0.076, -0.1775, -0.1757, -0.1252, -0.2058, -0.2922, -0.2419, -0.0923, -0.0975, -0.123, -0.1393, -0.1621, -0.1806, 0.0, -0.011, 0.0857, -0.0461, -0.0909, -0.1366, -0.1797, -0.2364, -0.344, -0.3691, -0.3695, -0.3594, -0.3576, -0.3603, -0.3783, -0.2658, -0.2302, -0.1586, -0.1586, -0.1059, -0.1349, -0.225, -0.1815, -0.1287, -0.1529, -0.1441, -0.1406, -0.188, -0.1705, -0.2509, -0.3524, -0.3414, -0.3678, -0.3344, -0.2878, -0.2821, -0.301, -0.2873, -0.2873, -0.3326, -0.3374, -0.359, -0.3515, -0.3515, -0.2882, -0.2021, -0.2293, -0.2935, -0.2728, -0.2693, -0.2232, -0.1982, -0.2034, -0.2302, -0.174, -0.174, -0.2127, -0.2214, -0.2359, -0.228, -0.2755, -0.1762, -0.1665, -0.2223, -0.2988, -0.3054, -0.2856, -0.3739, -0.442, -0.3528, -0.2636, -0.2487, -0.2847, -0.2926, -0.2786, -0.2786, -0.3128, -0.3225, -0.3058, -0.3563, -0.3313, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2759, -0.3146, -0.3076, -0.3537, -0.2953, -0.3344, -0.4016, -0.3713, -0.3866, -0.3801, -0.3976, -0.3814, -0.3348, -0.337, -0.3554, -0.3568, -0.3844, -0.3458, -0.3462, -0.3023, -0.3695, -0.3961, -0.4721, -0.4345, -0.4446, -0.4367, -0.4367, -0.4134, -0.3844, -0.3225, -0.2812, -0.2737, -0.2197, -0.1894, -0.2091, -0.2381, -0.1489, -0.1525, -0.2074, -0.1459, -0.1788, -0.2004, -0.2021, -0.2417]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1982291263136375213", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T03:40:40+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am updating my price target from $25 to $37. I am increasing my revenue and EBITDA forecast by 32.5% and 45% respectively", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Raises OPEN price target to $37 on 32.5%/45% higher revenue/EBITDA forecasts, driven by lower rates and tokenization optionality.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I spent the day working on my OPEN model and after meaningful consideration, I am updating my price target from $25 to $37. I am increasing my revenue and EBITDA forecast by 32.5% and 45% respectively. Lower rates and tokenization optionality have shifted the curve significantly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023284321173206446, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023284321173206446, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011624218657849572, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021178539092009063, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660102515356874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021057820811973826, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023284321173206446, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023284321173206446, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025940337192286278, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001056825052652477, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002656016019079832, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02222749612055397, "ret_p1w": -0.06985290508369191, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06985290508369191, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06708022696923155, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025163977780867874, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027726781144603585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04468892730282403, "ret_p1m": -0.051470598547516566, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.051470598547516566, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.036556171406901816, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017544425080957216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01491442714061475, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03392617346655935, "ret_p3m": -0.21323527005579457, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21323527005579457, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22166430851764385, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18631935976847047, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.00842903846184928, "bench_c_p3m": -0.026915910287324096, "ret_p6m": -0.33210785402237863, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.33210785402237863, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36545246738587356, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3745958858111572, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344613363494924, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04248803178877858, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.051470598547516566, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.036556171406901816, "alpha_c_stated": -0.017544425080957216, "price_path": [-0.7463, -0.7745, -0.7426, -0.6985, -0.6912, -0.7672, -0.7733, -0.761, -0.7169, -0.6973, -0.7034, -0.6275, -0.6115, -0.5368, -0.5564, -0.6054, -0.5588, -0.386, -0.4436, -0.424, -0.5074, -0.4767, -0.4547, -0.4547, -0.3762, -0.3713, -0.2696, -0.185, -0.2598, -0.2512, -0.2819, 0.2892, 0.1115, 0.1636, 0.0931, 0.2512, 0.2181, 0.1728, 0.027, -0.1311, 0.0086, 0.114, 0.0797, 0.0049, -0.0233, -0.0123, -0.0184, -0.0061, 0.1373, 0.1385, 0.0404, -0.0025, -0.0723, -0.1091, -0.0637, -0.0956, -0.1287, -0.1225, -0.0968, -0.1471, -0.1642, -0.1385, -0.0233, 0.0, -0.0233, -0.0625, -0.1005, -0.0478, -0.0699, -0.152, -0.114, -0.1961, -0.1961, -0.0233, 0.0392, 0.1483, 0.049, -0.0049, -0.0392, -0.0784, -0.1801, -0.2451, -0.1728, -0.0576, -0.0515, -0.0466, -0.0466, -0.0564, -0.125, -0.1434, -0.1495, -0.0711, -0.1238, -0.136, -0.0919, -0.1422, -0.136, -0.1961, -0.2071, -0.1752, -0.25, -0.2304, -0.2206, -0.2132, -0.2316, -0.2304, -0.2304, -0.2635, -0.2855, -0.2843, -0.2855, -0.2855, -0.2561, -0.2255, -0.1507, -0.25, -0.212, -0.1066, -0.1397, -0.1703, -0.1863, -0.2279, -0.1826, -0.1826, -0.2169, -0.2059, -0.2132, -0.2635, -0.2806, -0.288, -0.2941, -0.3162, -0.3689, -0.4093, -0.3713, -0.3873, -0.424, -0.402, -0.3946, -0.4252, -0.4167, -0.4632, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.4694, -0.4326, -0.4301, -0.3873, -0.4142, -0.3738, -0.3897, -0.337, -0.3358, -0.3811, -0.3909, -0.402, -0.3652, -0.3873, -0.3775, -0.386, -0.3542, -0.4069, -0.3934, -0.3652, -0.3186, -0.3529, -0.3701, -0.3983, -0.3615, -0.3652, -0.375, -0.3995, -0.4118, -0.4571, -0.4265, -0.44, -0.4191, -0.4191, -0.435, -0.4424, -0.4314, -0.4718, -0.4706, -0.4657, -0.4473, -0.4093, -0.3542, -0.3517, -0.3444, -0.3321]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965644177603199352", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T05:11:06+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR look pretty good", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both IREN and CIFR look attractive from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ZeroHedge_ @Tradingalpha_ IREN and CIFR look pretty good", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SOL\n\nClearly in stage 2 uptrend 🚀\n\nNow testing local resistance 👋\n\nPhantom indicator turned bullish 🔥 https://t.co/fNzk0vQqtO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ZeroHedge_", "ret_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0994072569829405, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10567572381222812, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033860888196470817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03150384939851758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03955933657797828, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01636568301804231, "ret_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11628323609290958, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10966365694595481, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017306319924253577, "ret_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8922907085380374, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006311624087446344, "ret_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32685560803851654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3686049437473511, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009331383365140944, "ret_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14252214618614611, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22288482202636983, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02975372700411294, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8922907085380374, "price_path": [-0.7077, -0.6908, -0.7095, -0.7086, -0.7086, -0.6887, -0.683, -0.6569, -0.647, -0.6102, -0.5837, -0.5668, -0.5471, -0.5343, -0.4999, -0.4999, -0.496, -0.4978, -0.4957, -0.4936, -0.5174, -0.4862, -0.4981, -0.4853, -0.4633, -0.4665, -0.4603, -0.4472, -0.4353, -0.4606, -0.4731, -0.507, -0.5305, -0.5201, -0.521, -0.5421, -0.51, -0.5109, -0.4552, -0.4478, -0.4514, -0.4657, -0.4698, -0.4728, -0.4326, -0.4145, -0.3843, -0.4431, -0.4124, -0.4175, -0.3628, -0.3125, -0.3164, -0.3353, -0.3149, -0.2126, -0.2126, -0.1344, -0.1612, -0.223, -0.2224, -0.2212, -0.1023, 0.0, -0.0232, 0.0098, 0.1044, 0.0839, 0.127, 0.08, 0.149, 0.2459, 0.242, 0.4017, 0.3764, 0.2447, 0.3657, 0.3955, 0.3999, 0.3982, 0.5004, 0.7172, 0.8341, 0.7868, 0.8986, 0.7773, 0.9072, 1.0684, 1.0214, 0.8385, 0.8055, 0.7609, 0.6412, 0.5412, 0.661, 0.8704, 0.9325, 0.8561, 0.7966, 0.7312, 0.8064, 1.0146, 0.9813, 1.2721, 0.9911, 0.8549, 0.7892, 0.7062, 0.6563, 0.4466, 0.3788, 0.4098, 0.4526, 0.3628, 0.2926, 0.2566, 0.4419, 0.4115, 0.4407, 0.4407, 0.4216, 0.4419, 0.2227, 0.3072, 0.3812, 0.3295, 0.3779, 0.3928, 0.306, 0.3066, 0.1933, 0.055, 0.088, 0.0045, 0.0645, 0.187, 0.2501, 0.251, 0.2483, 0.2483, 0.1983, 0.1719, 0.1389, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.2697, 0.4344, 0.3652, 0.2972, 0.3583, 0.3687, 0.4966, 0.5757, 0.5724, 0.543, 0.7193, 0.7193, 0.6134, 0.5902, 0.554, 0.6854, 0.5569, 0.7838, 0.8715, 0.7794, 0.598, 0.5784, 0.6173, 0.3363, 0.1832, 0.2438, 0.3723, 0.2765, 0.2688, 0.1903, 0.2554, 0.2554, 0.2183, 0.2513, 0.2872, 0.1888, 0.2596, 0.3515, 0.3092, 0.3155, 0.2177, 0.2307, 0.1552, 0.3036, 0.1931]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965644177603199352", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-10T05:11:06+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN and CIFR look pretty good", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both IREN and CIFR look attractive from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ZeroHedge_ @Tradingalpha_ IREN and CIFR look pretty good", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SOL\n\nClearly in stage 2 uptrend 🚀\n\nNow testing local resistance 👋\n\nPhantom indicator turned bullish 🔥 https://t.co/fNzk0vQqtO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ZeroHedge_", "ret_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09760540081681712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08268288285764713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01780489596881052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03562724295772224, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03068552253624257, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003368475417101946, "ret_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19711814843644926, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20306678894394525, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004738100269802814, "ret_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6795233156162872, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07559861327328976, "ret_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.849407041144203, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8061346777219296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09435308249624885, "ret_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42743979443513536, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4373450733784303, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04070366989281582, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6795233156162872, "price_path": [-0.6371, -0.6166, -0.641, -0.6283, -0.6283, -0.6302, -0.6556, -0.6244, -0.6244, -0.5912, -0.5844, -0.5337, -0.522, -0.4459, -0.4098, -0.4098, -0.4351, -0.4117, -0.3893, -0.3912, -0.4273, -0.4117, -0.4176, -0.3883, -0.3737, -0.3795, -0.3902, -0.3229, -0.3483, -0.3512, -0.3688, -0.399, -0.4459, -0.4683, -0.4673, -0.519, -0.4937, -0.5112, -0.4917, -0.5249, -0.5366, -0.5356, -0.5395, -0.522, -0.481, -0.4917, -0.4098, -0.438, -0.4195, -0.4244, -0.3776, -0.3522, -0.3054, -0.318, -0.3151, -0.2546, -0.2546, -0.1883, -0.2088, -0.278, -0.2663, -0.2468, -0.1005, 0.0, -0.0273, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.1229, 0.2078, 0.1561, 0.198, 0.362, 0.3805, 0.3795, 0.1376, 0.119, 0.2341, 0.2283, 0.2293, 0.3473, 0.4341, 0.4966, 0.5366, 0.7171, 0.7551, 0.6556, 0.9844, 1.038, 1.0517, 0.8263, 0.8302, 0.9424, 0.7634, 0.5717, 0.6834, 1.0156, 1.0039, 0.9473, 0.9112, 0.8605, 0.8195, 1.2205, 1.1961, 1.4107, 1.118, 1.0185, 0.9171, 0.8215, 0.6956, 0.4566, 0.401, 0.4, 0.4224, 0.4263, 0.4205, 0.3805, 0.6302, 0.7093, 0.8683, 0.8683, 0.9854, 0.921, 0.721, 0.8176, 0.9346, 0.881, 0.9005, 0.9083, 0.8029, 0.842, 0.6634, 0.438, 0.4624, 0.4039, 0.478, 0.5815, 0.5941, 0.5522, 0.5824, 0.5824, 0.482, 0.4712, 0.4234, 0.44, 0.44, 0.5805, 0.7717, 0.7112, 0.5688, 0.6146, 0.6224, 0.7249, 0.7805, 0.7688, 0.7093, 0.8341, 0.8341, 0.7483, 0.7288, 0.6966, 0.7141, 0.6088, 0.8293, 0.8507, 0.7268, 0.5571, 0.5424, 0.5863, 0.3902, 0.239, 0.4371, 0.6351, 0.6683, 0.5883, 0.5707, 0.602, 0.602, 0.5259, 0.5044, 0.5415, 0.4293, 0.4849, 0.6702, 0.6205, 0.6078, 0.522, 0.5376, 0.4351, 0.5649, 0.478]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1972861762501493217", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-30T03:11:12+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You can go long with impunity here!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish IREN and CIFR; dismisses Chanos's short thesis as ignorant and calls for buying both with impunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If Jimbo is short IREN and CIFR, he’s going to get absolutely crushed. He has demonstrated repeatedly he has no idea what’s going on in this market.\n\nYou can go long with impunity here!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@mikealfred @altols You and I both know that no one is going to pay a premium for colocation deals with power subject to the ERCOT wholesale spot market, Mike. Because that’s where $IREN is buying its power from.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02130833141907551, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02130833141907551, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01755572449259568, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02613477768111172, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752606926479829, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00482644626203621, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0031962822267948, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0031962822267948, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00021129031264344178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012106611475480644, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034075725394382417, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008910329248685844, "ret_p1w": 0.31429788843136364, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.31429788843136364, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3098844967738239, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3161542249438378, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413391657539734, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0018563365124741882, "ret_p1m": 0.2874493453238216, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2874493453238216, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2556110316708433, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32049183420669614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831365297829, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03304248888287453, "ret_p3m": -0.14127426006822397, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14127426006822397, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18055774142916148, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17736842597936597, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03928348136093751, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03609416591114201, "ret_p6m": -0.11719582280491525, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11719582280491525, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10875961656839328, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04103019019583676, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00843620623652197, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07616563260907849, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2874493453238216, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2556110316708433, "alpha_c_stated": 0.32049183420669614, "price_path": [-0.6416, -0.6416, -0.6388, -0.6401, -0.6386, -0.6371, -0.6542, -0.6318, -0.6403, -0.6312, -0.6154, -0.6177, -0.6133, -0.6039, -0.5954, -0.6135, -0.6224, -0.6467, -0.6635, -0.6561, -0.6567, -0.6719, -0.6488, -0.6495, -0.6096, -0.6043, -0.6069, -0.6171, -0.6201, -0.6222, -0.5934, -0.5804, -0.5588, -0.6009, -0.5789, -0.5826, -0.5434, -0.5074, -0.5101, -0.5237, -0.5091, -0.4358, -0.4358, -0.3797, -0.3989, -0.4432, -0.4428, -0.4419, -0.3567, -0.2834, -0.3, -0.2764, -0.2086, -0.2233, -0.1924, -0.2261, -0.1766, -0.1072, -0.11, 0.0045, -0.0136, -0.108, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0032, 0.0019, 0.0752, 0.2306, 0.3143, 0.2804, 0.3605, 0.2736, 0.3667, 0.4822, 0.4485, 0.3175, 0.2938, 0.2619, 0.1761, 0.1044, 0.1903, 0.3403, 0.3848, 0.3301, 0.2874, 0.2406, 0.2945, 0.4436, 0.4198, 0.6282, 0.4268, 0.3292, 0.2821, 0.2227, 0.1869, 0.0367, -0.0119, 0.0102, 0.0409, -0.0234, -0.0737, -0.0995, 0.0332, 0.0115, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0188, 0.0332, -0.1238, -0.0633, -0.0102, -0.0473, -0.0126, -0.0019, -0.0641, -0.0637, -0.1449, -0.244, -0.2203, -0.2802, -0.2372, -0.1494, -0.1042, -0.1036, -0.1055, -0.1055, -0.1413, -0.1602, -0.1839, -0.1952, -0.1952, -0.0901, 0.0279, -0.0217, -0.0704, -0.0266, -0.0192, 0.0724, 0.1291, 0.1268, 0.1057, 0.232, 0.232, 0.1562, 0.1396, 0.1136, 0.2078, 0.1157, 0.2783, 0.3411, 0.2751, 0.1451, 0.131, 0.159, -0.0424, -0.1521, -0.1087, -0.0166, -0.0852, -0.0908, -0.147, -0.1004, -0.1004, -0.127, -0.1033, -0.0776, -0.1481, -0.0974, -0.0315, -0.0618, -0.0573, -0.1274, -0.118, -0.1722, -0.0658, -0.145, -0.218, -0.1724, -0.1877, -0.1055, -0.1185, -0.114, -0.0424, -0.0846, -0.1006, -0.1123, -0.1202, -0.1016, -0.1238, -0.1172]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1972861762501493217", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-30T03:11:12+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If Jimbo is short IREN and CIFR, he's going to get absolutely crushed", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish IREN and CIFR; dismisses Chanos's short thesis as ignorant and calls for buying both with impunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If Jimbo is short IREN and CIFR, he’s going to get absolutely crushed. He has demonstrated repeatedly he has no idea what’s going on in this market.\n\nYou can go long with impunity here!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@mikealfred @altols You and I both know that no one is going to pay a premium for colocation deals with power subject to the ERCOT wholesale spot market, Mike. Because that’s where $IREN is buying its power from.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004765644576267158, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004765644576267158, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008518251502746987, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010193827757258411, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752606926479829, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005428183180991253, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007942993455627434, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007942993455627434, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0026132731938754983, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008997779183248289, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034075725394382417, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009792078528811032, "ret_p1w": 0.2509928363076761, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2509928363076761, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24657944465013637, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23743993350636305, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413391657539734, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01355290280131305, "ret_p1m": 0.555996816136745, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.555996816136745, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5241585024837667, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.47698591792064193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831365297829, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07901089821610308, "ret_p3m": 0.20651305768737238, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20651305768737238, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16722957632643487, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16519997151245058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03928348136093751, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0413130861749218, "ret_p6m": 0.2613185005543279, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2613185005543279, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2697547067908499, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2882273406219006, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00843620623652197, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02690884006757266, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.555996816136745, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5241585024837667, "alpha_c_stated": 0.47698591792064193, "price_path": [-0.5195, -0.5195, -0.5401, -0.521, -0.5028, -0.5044, -0.5338, -0.521, -0.5258, -0.502, -0.4901, -0.4948, -0.5036, -0.4488, -0.4694, -0.4718, -0.4861, -0.5107, -0.5488, -0.5671, -0.5663, -0.6084, -0.5878, -0.6021, -0.5862, -0.6132, -0.6227, -0.6219, -0.6251, -0.6108, -0.5774, -0.5862, -0.5195, -0.5425, -0.5274, -0.5314, -0.4932, -0.4726, -0.4345, -0.4448, -0.4424, -0.3932, -0.3932, -0.3392, -0.3558, -0.4122, -0.4027, -0.3868, -0.2677, -0.1859, -0.2081, -0.1382, -0.1382, -0.0858, -0.0167, -0.0588, -0.0246, 0.1088, 0.1239, 0.1231, -0.0739, -0.089, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.0969, 0.1676, 0.2184, 0.251, 0.3979, 0.4289, 0.3479, 0.6156, 0.6593, 0.6704, 0.4869, 0.4901, 0.5814, 0.4357, 0.2796, 0.3705, 0.641, 0.6315, 0.5854, 0.556, 0.5147, 0.4813, 0.8078, 0.7879, 0.9627, 0.7244, 0.6434, 0.5608, 0.4829, 0.3805, 0.1859, 0.1406, 0.1398, 0.1581, 0.1612, 0.1565, 0.1239, 0.3272, 0.3916, 0.521, 0.521, 0.6164, 0.5639, 0.4011, 0.4797, 0.5751, 0.5314, 0.5473, 0.5536, 0.4678, 0.4996, 0.3542, 0.1708, 0.1906, 0.143, 0.2033, 0.2875, 0.2979, 0.2637, 0.2883, 0.2883, 0.2065, 0.1978, 0.1589, 0.1724, 0.1724, 0.2867, 0.4424, 0.3932, 0.2772, 0.3145, 0.3209, 0.4043, 0.4496, 0.44, 0.3916, 0.4932, 0.4932, 0.4234, 0.4075, 0.3813, 0.3956, 0.3098, 0.4893, 0.5068, 0.4059, 0.2677, 0.2558, 0.2915, 0.1319, 0.0087, 0.17, 0.3312, 0.3582, 0.2931, 0.2788, 0.3042, 0.3042, 0.2423, 0.2248, 0.255, 0.1636, 0.2089, 0.3598, 0.3193, 0.309, 0.2391, 0.2518, 0.1684, 0.274, 0.2033, 0.0818, 0.1366, 0.1088, 0.1207, 0.089, 0.1183, 0.2025, 0.1986, 0.1652, 0.1628, 0.1128, 0.1827, 0.1819, 0.2613]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986425952315088977", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T13:30:27+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The company is executing even better than I expected and likely has 1-2 aces up its sleeve that the market isn't thinking about now. Best in class. May chase it, if necessary.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ASST, may buy more above $1.30 to reach 1.5M shares; company executing better than expected with unpriced catalysts.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wasn’t planning on buying more ASST over $1.30 but I may have to if I want to get up to 1.5M shares. The company is executing even better than I expected and likely has 1-2 aces up its sleeve that the market isn’t thinking about now. Best in class. May chase it, if necessary.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006896578032394851, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006896578032394851, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003949060833133622, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003271366030023426, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845638865528473, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003625212002371425, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041379336653084575, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.041379336653084575, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04039486347430943, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03431965123988645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000984473178775147, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007059685413198125, "ret_p1w": -0.2068965517241379, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2068965517241379, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20947740834341855, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21777233507662985, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002580856619280647, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010875783352491952, "ret_p1m": -0.37862067387021825, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.37862067387021825, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4015651511620586, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4028526526648608, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294447729184035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02423197879464256, "ret_p3m": -0.5296551605750774, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5296551605750774, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5613679951747697, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5545948392192288, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03171283459969221, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024939678644151364, "ret_p6m": -0.4375862253123316, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4375862253123316, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5188073282748403, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4368092731352631, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122110296250873, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0007769521770685239, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.37862067387021825, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4015651511620586, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4028526526648608, "price_path": [1.9448, 1.8483, 2.1345, 2.1241, 1.9517, 1.8828, 1.6828, 1.7586, 1.8483, 2.0483, 2.3103, 2.8552, 3.0759, 3.6138, 3.2414, 3.2414, 3.4552, 3.4897, 2.8, 2.131, 2.6759, 3.331, 4.5793, 5.1448, 4.8552, 3.2897, 2.0897, 1.5379, 1.6345, 1.9655, 1.8276, 1.3103, 1.0759, 0.8966, 0.6828, 0.5862, 0.7241, 0.731, 0.8345, 0.7931, 0.7448, 0.4483, 0.3724, 0.2483, 0.0724, -0.2552, -0.3124, -0.3379, -0.3793, -0.4248, -0.4041, -0.4276, -0.4621, -0.4041, -0.2414, 0.131, -0.0069, -0.1379, -0.1655, -0.0828, -0.1241, -0.1379, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0414, 0.0207, -0.0621, -0.1103, -0.2069, -0.2552, -0.2828, -0.2276, -0.2759, -0.3221, -0.2966, -0.2207, -0.2345, -0.2207, -0.2207, -0.2276, -0.2759, -0.2862, -0.2759, -0.3262, -0.3786, -0.3207, -0.2966, -0.3103, -0.3641, -0.4048, -0.4559, -0.4069, -0.4338, -0.4269, -0.38, -0.4028, -0.4448, -0.4055, -0.4055, -0.4379, -0.4669, -0.4952, -0.491, -0.491, -0.4034, -0.2897, -0.2828, -0.2966, -0.3034, -0.3476, -0.2414, -0.331, -0.2897, -0.3303, -0.3462, -0.3462, -0.3897, -0.3848, -0.4, -0.3993, -0.4579, -0.4352, -0.4476, -0.4586, -0.4338, -0.5014, -0.5297, -0.5917, -0.66, -0.5891, -0.6502, -0.6834, -0.721, -0.7345, -0.7128, -0.7128, -0.7179, -0.7224, -0.72, -0.719, -0.7462, -0.7529, -0.7055, -0.7176, -0.7262, -0.699, -0.7128, -0.6683, -0.681, -0.7, -0.7066, -0.6903, -0.6817, -0.6955, -0.6714, -0.6255, -0.6172, -0.654, -0.6462, -0.6545, -0.64, -0.6576, -0.6259, -0.641, -0.6602, -0.6769, -0.6545, -0.6497, -0.6638, -0.6638, -0.651, -0.6805, -0.6466, -0.6676, -0.6334, -0.6007, -0.5714, -0.5334, -0.5179, -0.4617, -0.4614, -0.4721, -0.4255, -0.4414, -0.4552, -0.459, -0.4731, -0.5031, -0.4703, -0.4376]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974592825192075643", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T21:49:50+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$20-25 low end\n$50-60 high end", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CIFR with year-end price range $20-25 low end, $50-60 high end.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ducks2007quack $20-25 low end\n$50-60 high end", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What do you think $Cifr can reach by year end?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ducks2007quack", "ret_m1d": -0.04172101283941543, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04172101283941543, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03814764789189251, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03170719148831502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010013821351100405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02672749956543785, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02672749956543785, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03043492182296481, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03340338046617153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006675880900733677, "ret_p1w": 0.3259452379572818, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3259452379572818, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3387056062547714, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3343944363423549, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008449198385073076, "ret_p1m": 0.46740547620427186, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.46740547620427186, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4620005750213696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4453608792829795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022044596921292348, "ret_p3m": -0.03780964262951503, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03780964262951503, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05616110790890072, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.040510420285586934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0027007776560719066, "ret_p6m": -0.1610169649582509, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1610169649582509, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1348604869983997, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08776987640125156, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07324708855699935, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.46740547620427186, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4620005750213696, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4453608792829795, "price_path": [-0.5919, -0.5932, -0.6173, -0.6069, -0.6108, -0.5913, -0.5815, -0.5854, -0.5926, -0.5476, -0.5645, -0.5665, -0.5782, -0.5984, -0.6297, -0.6447, -0.6441, -0.6786, -0.6617, -0.6734, -0.6604, -0.6825, -0.6904, -0.6897, -0.6923, -0.6806, -0.6532, -0.6604, -0.6056, -0.6245, -0.6121, -0.6154, -0.5841, -0.5671, -0.5359, -0.5443, -0.5424, -0.502, -0.502, -0.4576, -0.4713, -0.5176, -0.5098, -0.4967, -0.399, -0.3318, -0.3501, -0.2927, -0.2927, -0.2497, -0.193, -0.2275, -0.1995, -0.09, -0.0776, -0.0782, -0.2399, -0.2523, -0.1754, -0.1793, -0.1786, -0.0997, -0.0417, 0.0, 0.0267, 0.1473, 0.1728, 0.1063, 0.3259, 0.3618, 0.3709, 0.2203, 0.2229, 0.2979, 0.1783, 0.0502, 0.1248, 0.3468, 0.339, 0.3012, 0.2771, 0.2432, 0.2158, 0.4837, 0.4674, 0.6108, 0.4153, 0.3488, 0.281, 0.2171, 0.133, -0.0267, -0.0639, -0.0645, -0.0495, -0.0469, -0.0508, -0.0776, 0.0893, 0.1421, 0.2484, 0.2484, 0.3266, 0.2836, 0.1499, 0.2145, 0.2927, 0.2568, 0.2699, 0.2751, 0.2047, 0.2308, 0.1115, -0.0391, -0.0228, -0.0619, -0.0124, 0.0567, 0.0652, 0.0372, 0.0574, 0.0574, -0.0098, -0.0169, -0.0489, -0.0378, -0.0378, 0.0561, 0.1838, 0.1434, 0.0482, 0.0789, 0.0841, 0.1525, 0.1897, 0.1819, 0.1421, 0.2256, 0.2256, 0.1682, 0.1551, 0.1336, 0.1454, 0.075, 0.2223, 0.2366, 0.1538, 0.0404, 0.0306, 0.06, -0.0711, -0.1721, -0.0398, 0.0926, 0.1147, 0.0613, 0.0495, 0.0704, 0.0704, 0.0196, 0.0052, 0.03, -0.045, -0.0078, 0.116, 0.0828, 0.0743, 0.0169, 0.0274, -0.0411, 0.0456, -0.0124, -0.1121, -0.0671, -0.09, -0.0802, -0.1063, -0.0821, -0.013, -0.0163, -0.0437, -0.0456, -0.0867, -0.0293, -0.03, 0.0352, -0.0645, -0.104, -0.2168, -0.161]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975933525292650996", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:37:18+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It could go to $20-25 in one day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "CIFR breaking out slowly; targets $20-25 despite manipulative price action holding closes under $16-17.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CIFR appears to be making a slow motion breakout. CIFR has been the trickiest trade in the group as its price action is frequently highly manipulative. I suspect they will try to hold the daily closes under $16-17 area for as long as possible. It could go to $20-25 in one day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10511365575977549, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10511365575977549, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09918603916833701, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08787885478420476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01723480097557073, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022159055749740197, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022159055749740197, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02505603047467342, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02384469770180908, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016856419520688837, "ret_p1w": 0.19488637675184828, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19488637675184828, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20668236485419267, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21686854750201323, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021982170750164953, "ret_p1m": 0.2335226485182449, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2335226485182449, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23768232973582637, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23878594509552642, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005263296577281529, "ret_p3m": 0.03181815078435912, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03181815078435912, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.007093843835231262, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03529715219459417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034790014102350497, "ret_p6m": -0.2715909422182833, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2715909422182833, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2514669060594015, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20981115811704987, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "bench_c_p6m": -0.061779784101233415, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19488637675184828, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.20668236485419267, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21686854750201323, "price_path": [-0.6665, -0.6574, -0.6608, -0.6438, -0.6352, -0.6386, -0.6449, -0.6057, -0.6205, -0.6222, -0.6324, -0.65, -0.6773, -0.6903, -0.6898, -0.7199, -0.7051, -0.7153, -0.704, -0.7233, -0.7301, -0.7295, -0.7318, -0.7216, -0.6977, -0.704, -0.6562, -0.6727, -0.6619, -0.6648, -0.6375, -0.6227, -0.5955, -0.6028, -0.6011, -0.5659, -0.5659, -0.5273, -0.5392, -0.5795, -0.5727, -0.5614, -0.4761, -0.4176, -0.4335, -0.3835, -0.3835, -0.346, -0.2966, -0.3267, -0.3023, -0.2068, -0.196, -0.1966, -0.3375, -0.3483, -0.2813, -0.2847, -0.2841, -0.2153, -0.1648, -0.1284, -0.1051, 0.0, 0.0222, -0.0358, 0.1557, 0.1869, 0.1949, 0.0636, 0.0659, 0.1312, 0.027, -0.0847, -0.0196, 0.1739, 0.167, 0.1341, 0.1131, 0.0835, 0.0597, 0.2932, 0.279, 0.404, 0.2335, 0.1756, 0.1165, 0.0608, -0.0125, -0.1517, -0.1841, -0.1847, -0.1716, -0.1693, -0.1727, -0.196, -0.0506, -0.0045, 0.0881, 0.0881, 0.1562, 0.1188, 0.0023, 0.0585, 0.1267, 0.0955, 0.1068, 0.1114, 0.05, 0.0727, -0.0313, -0.1625, -0.1483, -0.1824, -0.1392, -0.079, -0.0716, -0.096, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.1369, -0.1432, -0.171, -0.1614, -0.1614, -0.0795, 0.0318, -0.0034, -0.0864, -0.0597, -0.0551, 0.0045, 0.0369, 0.0301, -0.0045, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0182, 0.0068, -0.0119, -0.0017, -0.0631, 0.0653, 0.0778, 0.0057, -0.0932, -0.1017, -0.0761, -0.1903, -0.2784, -0.1631, -0.0477, -0.0284, -0.075, -0.0852, -0.067, -0.067, -0.1114, -0.1239, -0.1023, -0.1676, -0.1352, -0.0273, -0.0562, -0.0636, -0.1136, -0.1045, -0.1642, -0.0886, -0.1392, -0.2261, -0.1869, -0.2068, -0.1983, -0.221, -0.2, -0.1398, -0.1426, -0.1665, -0.1682, -0.204, -0.154, -0.1545, -0.0977, -0.1847, -0.219, -0.3173, -0.2688, -0.2818, -0.2716]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1972673193031987383", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T14:41:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BITCOIN IS IMPULSIVE. NEW ALL TIME HIGHS INBOUND WITHIN 16 DAYS.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs within 16 days based on impulsive price action.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BITCOIN IS IMPULSIVE. NEW ALL TIME HIGHS INBOUND WITHIN 16 DAYS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03817232823889227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03817232823889227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00677632002604911, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00677632002604911, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "ret_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07854202710977498, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07854202710977498, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "ret_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.047852029620300995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047852029620300995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "ret_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28076509420690166, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28076509420690166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "ret_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.373370214657064, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.373370214657064, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0904905052150653, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07854202710977498, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07854202710977498, "price_path": [-0.0484, -0.0415, -0.0556, -0.0533, -0.0476, -0.0269, 0.0139, 0.0272, 0.0476, 0.0295, 0.0379, 0.0427, 0.0315, 0.0266, 0.0489, 0.0381, 0.0347, 0.0283, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.03, 0.0119, -0.0094, 0.0059, -0.0023, 0.0055, 0.0271, 0.02, 0.0379, 0.0505, 0.0782, 0.0346, 0.0262, 0.0162, -0.0137, -0.0011, -0.0173, 0.0216, -0.0374, -0.0227, -0.0278, -0.0162, -0.0524, -0.045, -0.028, -0.0234, -0.0321, -0.0328, -0.0204, -0.0251, -0.0039, 0.0097, 0.0149, 0.0091, 0.0214, 0.0181, 0.0239, 0.0113, -0.0144, -0.0209, -0.0094, -0.0468, -0.041, 0.0, -0.003, 0.0371, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.0905, 0.0616, 0.0783, 0.0639, -0.0104, 0.0076, -0.0112, -0.0316, -0.0543, -0.0693, -0.0333, -0.0518, -0.0587, -0.0379, -0.0294, -0.0025, -0.0126, -0.038, -0.0533, -0.0423, -0.0686, -0.112, -0.0919, -0.1145, -0.0964, -0.0735, -0.0997, -0.1113, -0.1285, -0.1748, -0.195, -0.1875, -0.2005, -0.2427, -0.2562, -0.2284, -0.2365, -0.2088, -0.2021, -0.2053, -0.2454, -0.2015, -0.1825, -0.1946, -0.2186, -0.2077, -0.1898, -0.1956, -0.1913, -0.2109, -0.2446, -0.2321, -0.247, -0.253, -0.2299, -0.2265, -0.2359, -0.2342, -0.2375, -0.2369, -0.2383, -0.227, -0.2351, -0.2244, -0.2138, -0.1794, -0.1807, -0.2019, -0.2043, -0.2088, -0.2029, -0.1668, -0.1527, -0.1648, -0.165, -0.191, -0.2281, -0.2187, -0.218, -0.2176, -0.2284, -0.2211, -0.2204, -0.2608, -0.2646, -0.3122, -0.3389, -0.3617, -0.4519, -0.3833, -0.3871, -0.3987, -0.4144, -0.4211, -0.3981, -0.3982, -0.41, -0.4194, -0.4147, -0.4055, -0.4352, -0.4399, -0.4059, -0.4104, -0.4241, -0.3988, -0.403, -0.3644, -0.3808, -0.4044, -0.4021, -0.3888, -0.3863, -0.3838, -0.3797, -0.3456, -0.3538, -0.3772, -0.3889, -0.3835, -0.3801, -0.3836]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985776389094826352", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T18:29:19+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased another 100,000 shares of ASST at $1.17 and $1.18. Now holding 1.36M shares and looking to add on weakness.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added 100K shares of ASST; holding 1.36M total and willing to buy more on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased another 100,000 shares of ASST at $1.17 and $1.18. Now holding 1.36M shares and looking to add on weakness. https://t.co/vxDkrETfSE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015999984741210893, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015999984741210893, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004004153083319695, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02115071203551344, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005150727294302548, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16800003051757817, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16800003051757817, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.16453455386142402, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.16456628598001033, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00343374453756784, "ret_p1w": 0.0880000305175781, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0880000305175781, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07650774289832696, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07292947401702321, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015070556500554888, "ret_p1m": -0.16000000000000003, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16000000000000003, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17281034262138928, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18155664116923942, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021556641169239388, "ret_p3m": -0.3431999969482422, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3431999969482422, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37100455952204214, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3662211927357639, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02302119578752171, "ret_p6m": -0.42360000610351567, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42360000610351567, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4834183948573767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.422632426288309, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0009675798152066761, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16000000000000003, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17281034262138928, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18155664116923942, "price_path": [1.752, 1.632, 2.416, 2.304, 2.636, 2.624, 2.424, 2.344, 2.112, 2.2, 2.304, 2.536, 2.84, 3.472, 3.728, 4.352, 3.92, 3.92, 4.168, 4.208, 3.408, 2.632, 3.264, 4.024, 5.472, 6.128, 5.792, 3.976, 2.584, 1.944, 2.056, 2.44, 2.28, 1.68, 1.408, 1.2, 0.952, 0.84, 1.0, 1.008, 1.128, 1.08, 1.024, 0.68, 0.592, 0.448, 0.244, -0.136, -0.2024, -0.232, -0.28, -0.3328, -0.3088, -0.336, -0.376, -0.3088, -0.12, 0.312, 0.152, 0.0, -0.032, 0.064, 0.016, 0.0, 0.168, 0.16, 0.208, 0.184, 0.088, 0.032, -0.08, -0.136, -0.168, -0.104, -0.16, -0.2136, -0.184, -0.096, -0.112, -0.096, -0.096, -0.104, -0.16, -0.172, -0.16, -0.2184, -0.2792, -0.212, -0.184, -0.2, -0.2624, -0.3096, -0.3688, -0.312, -0.3432, -0.3352, -0.2808, -0.3072, -0.356, -0.3104, -0.3104, -0.348, -0.3816, -0.4144, -0.4096, -0.4096, -0.308, -0.176, -0.168, -0.184, -0.192, -0.2432, -0.12, -0.224, -0.176, -0.2232, -0.2416, -0.2416, -0.292, -0.2864, -0.304, -0.3032, -0.3712, -0.3448, -0.3592, -0.372, -0.3432, -0.4216, -0.4544, -0.5264, -0.6056, -0.5234, -0.5942, -0.6328, -0.6764, -0.692, -0.6668, -0.6668, -0.6728, -0.678, -0.6752, -0.674, -0.7056, -0.7134, -0.6584, -0.6724, -0.6824, -0.6508, -0.6668, -0.6152, -0.63, -0.652, -0.6596, -0.6408, -0.6308, -0.6468, -0.6188, -0.5656, -0.556, -0.5986, -0.5896, -0.5992, -0.5824, -0.6028, -0.566, -0.5836, -0.6058, -0.6252, -0.5992, -0.5936, -0.61, -0.61, -0.5952, -0.6294, -0.59, -0.6144, -0.5748, -0.5368, -0.5028, -0.4588, -0.4408, -0.3756, -0.3752, -0.3876, -0.3336, -0.352, -0.368, -0.3724, -0.3888, -0.4236]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975990566019269100", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T18:23:57+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Next week is a big Oracle cloud event. One has to wonder if Oracle is doing a deal with CIFR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Speculates Oracle may announce a deal with CIFR at next week's cloud event, implying positive catalysts for both.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Next week is a big Oracle cloud event. One has to wonder if Oracle is doing a deal with CIFR and if they are rushing to finish and announce in advance.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015209865365527597, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015209865365527597, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009282248774089119, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009282248774089119, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030645865663062377, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030645865663062377, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0335428403879956, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0335428403879956, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "ret_p1w": 0.05376043636155936, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05376043636155936, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06555642446390375, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06555642446390375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "ret_p1m": -0.15385412996769532, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15385412996769532, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14969444875011384, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14969444875011384, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "ret_p3m": -0.33158643565523394, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.33158643565523394, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3563107426043618, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3563107426043618, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "ret_p6m": -0.4906224337361774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4906224337361774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4704983975772956, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4704983975772956, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05376043636155936, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06555642446390375, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06555642446390375, "price_path": [-0.2012, -0.2056, -0.1859, -0.164, -0.1382, -0.1496, -0.1562, -0.175, -0.1619, -0.1587, -0.1507, -0.1418, -0.1339, -0.1318, -0.1208, -0.1532, -0.1251, -0.1142, -0.1116, -0.136, -0.1337, -0.1246, -0.1205, -0.154, -0.1513, -0.1398, -0.1371, -0.1871, -0.1856, -0.1922, -0.1811, -0.1844, -0.1885, -0.183, -0.1674, -0.2165, -0.2165, -0.2194, -0.2258, -0.2274, -0.1934, -0.1738, -0.1633, 0.1375, 0.0666, 0.0123, 0.0468, 0.0624, 0.0443, 0.0277, 0.0694, 0.1369, 0.0873, 0.0687, 0.0094, -0.0179, -0.0203, -0.0256, 0.0013, 0.0005, -0.0086, 0.0103, -0.0152, 0.0, 0.0306, 0.0168, 0.069, 0.0377, 0.0538, 0.0863, 0.011, -0.038, -0.045, -0.0537, -0.028, -0.0167, -0.0234, -0.0253, -0.0445, -0.1084, -0.0886, -0.1051, -0.1387, -0.1313, -0.1539, -0.1696, -0.1642, -0.1804, -0.2122, -0.2449, -0.2266, -0.2369, -0.2348, -0.2173, -0.2688, -0.3102, -0.3049, -0.3162, -0.2887, -0.2887, -0.2991, -0.3026, -0.3021, -0.279, -0.2561, -0.2449, -0.2346, -0.2311, -0.226, -0.3099, -0.3407, -0.3582, -0.3453, -0.3806, -0.3752, -0.3337, -0.3115, -0.322, -0.3146, -0.3146, -0.3128, -0.3219, -0.3156, -0.3235, -0.3235, -0.3208, -0.3316, -0.3276, -0.3307, -0.3418, -0.3092, -0.2877, -0.2961, -0.3263, -0.3394, -0.335, -0.335, -0.3739, -0.3949, -0.38, -0.3835, -0.3651, -0.3914, -0.3987, -0.4119, -0.4273, -0.443, -0.4618, -0.4896, -0.5251, -0.503, -0.4551, -0.4436, -0.4531, -0.4555, -0.4427, -0.4427, -0.4642, -0.4566, -0.4553, -0.4847, -0.5083, -0.4915, -0.4854, -0.4769, -0.494, -0.4806, -0.4815, -0.4698, -0.4614, -0.4677, -0.4726, -0.4801, -0.4324, -0.4462, -0.4602, -0.4573, -0.4617, -0.4679, -0.4588, -0.4791, -0.4629, -0.4882, -0.4919, -0.503, -0.514, -0.517, -0.4881, -0.4946, -0.4906]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975990566019269100", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-08T18:23:57+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One has to wonder if Oracle is doing a deal with CIFR and if they are rushing to finish and announce in advance", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Speculates Oracle may announce a deal with CIFR at next week's cloud event, implying positive catalysts for both.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Next week is a big Oracle cloud event. One has to wonder if Oracle is doing a deal with CIFR and if they are rushing to finish and announce in advance.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10511365575977549, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10511365575977549, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09918603916833701, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08787885478420476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01723480097557073, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022159055749740197, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022159055749740197, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02505603047467342, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02384469770180908, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016856419520688837, "ret_p1w": 0.19488637675184828, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19488637675184828, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20668236485419267, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21686854750201323, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021982170750164953, "ret_p1m": 0.2335226485182449, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2335226485182449, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23768232973582637, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23878594509552642, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005263296577281529, "ret_p3m": 0.03181815078435912, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03181815078435912, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.007093843835231262, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03529715219459417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034790014102350497, "ret_p6m": -0.2715909422182833, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2715909422182833, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2514669060594015, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20981115811704987, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "bench_c_p6m": -0.061779784101233415, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19488637675184828, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.20668236485419267, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21686854750201323, "price_path": [-0.6665, -0.6574, -0.6608, -0.6438, -0.6352, -0.6386, -0.6449, -0.6057, -0.6205, -0.6222, -0.6324, -0.65, -0.6773, -0.6903, -0.6898, -0.7199, -0.7051, -0.7153, -0.704, -0.7233, -0.7301, -0.7295, -0.7318, -0.7216, -0.6977, -0.704, -0.6562, -0.6727, -0.6619, -0.6648, -0.6375, -0.6227, -0.5955, -0.6028, -0.6011, -0.5659, -0.5659, -0.5273, -0.5392, -0.5795, -0.5727, -0.5614, -0.4761, -0.4176, -0.4335, -0.3835, -0.3835, -0.346, -0.2966, -0.3267, -0.3023, -0.2068, -0.196, -0.1966, -0.3375, -0.3483, -0.2813, -0.2847, -0.2841, -0.2153, -0.1648, -0.1284, -0.1051, 0.0, 0.0222, -0.0358, 0.1557, 0.1869, 0.1949, 0.0636, 0.0659, 0.1312, 0.027, -0.0847, -0.0196, 0.1739, 0.167, 0.1341, 0.1131, 0.0835, 0.0597, 0.2932, 0.279, 0.404, 0.2335, 0.1756, 0.1165, 0.0608, -0.0125, -0.1517, -0.1841, -0.1847, -0.1716, -0.1693, -0.1727, -0.196, -0.0506, -0.0045, 0.0881, 0.0881, 0.1562, 0.1188, 0.0023, 0.0585, 0.1267, 0.0955, 0.1068, 0.1114, 0.05, 0.0727, -0.0313, -0.1625, -0.1483, -0.1824, -0.1392, -0.079, -0.0716, -0.096, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.1369, -0.1432, -0.171, -0.1614, -0.1614, -0.0795, 0.0318, -0.0034, -0.0864, -0.0597, -0.0551, 0.0045, 0.0369, 0.0301, -0.0045, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0182, 0.0068, -0.0119, -0.0017, -0.0631, 0.0653, 0.0778, 0.0057, -0.0932, -0.1017, -0.0761, -0.1903, -0.2784, -0.1631, -0.0477, -0.0284, -0.075, -0.0852, -0.067, -0.067, -0.1114, -0.1239, -0.1023, -0.1676, -0.1352, -0.0273, -0.0562, -0.0636, -0.1136, -0.1045, -0.1642, -0.0886, -0.1392, -0.2261, -0.1869, -0.2068, -0.1983, -0.221, -0.2, -0.1398, -0.1426, -0.1665, -0.1682, -0.204, -0.154, -0.1545, -0.0977, -0.1847, -0.219, -0.3173, -0.2688, -0.2818, -0.2716]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983980805014876510", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T19:34:19+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Anyone who says it isn't possible doesn't understand Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses $160K-$170K BTC target for this year; dismisses skeptics.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Volatx_intern Anyone who says it isn’t possible doesn’t understand Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred maybe a spike down and we go up? I still feel this is like the 2020/21 rally and we still go up from here!\nSTill think $160K-$170k is possible this year for $BTC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Volatx_intern", "ret_m1d": 0.01615575437257588, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01615575437257588, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005035444027891911, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005035444027891911, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011547120379193476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011547120379193476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008266898588548788, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008266898588548788, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "ret_p1w": -0.06467127506021375, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06467127506021375, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05066778047797493, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05066778047797493, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "ret_p1m": -0.16052992438204705, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16052992438204705, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16576645683384728, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16576645683384728, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "ret_p3m": -0.1773037218921295, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1773037218921295, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20336173282632275, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20336173282632275, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "ret_p6m": -0.28484445409435544, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28484445409435544, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3409983822767254, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3409983822767254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16052992438204705, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16576645683384728, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16576645683384728, "price_path": [0.0625, 0.0539, 0.0621, 0.0849, 0.0774, 0.0963, 0.1096, 0.1389, 0.0928, 0.084, 0.0734, 0.0418, 0.0551, 0.038, 0.0791, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.0269, 0.0391, 0.001, 0.0087, 0.0267, 0.0316, 0.0223, 0.0217, 0.0348, 0.0298, 0.0522, 0.0665, 0.072, 0.0659, 0.0788, 0.0754, 0.0815, 0.0682, 0.041, 0.0342, 0.0464, 0.0069, 0.013, 0.0563, 0.0531, 0.0955, 0.1143, 0.1289, 0.1519, 0.1214, 0.139, 0.1237, 0.0453, 0.0643, 0.0444, 0.0229, -0.0011, -0.017, 0.0211, 0.0016, -0.0057, 0.0163, 0.0252, 0.0537, 0.0429, 0.0162, 0.0, 0.0115, -0.0162, -0.062, -0.0408, -0.0647, -0.0455, -0.0213, -0.049, -0.0613, -0.0795, -0.1284, -0.1497, -0.1418, -0.1555, -0.2001, -0.2143, -0.185, -0.1936, -0.1642, -0.1571, -0.1605, -0.203, -0.1566, -0.1364, -0.1492, -0.1747, -0.1631, -0.1442, -0.1504, -0.1458, -0.1665, -0.2021, -0.1889, -0.2046, -0.2109, -0.1865, -0.183, -0.1929, -0.1911, -0.1945, -0.1939, -0.1954, -0.1835, -0.192, -0.1807, -0.1695, -0.1332, -0.1346, -0.1569, -0.1595, -0.1643, -0.158, -0.1199, -0.105, -0.1178, -0.118, -0.1454, -0.1846, -0.1748, -0.174, -0.1736, -0.185, -0.1773, -0.1765, -0.2192, -0.2232, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.3258, -0.4211, -0.3486, -0.3526, -0.3648, -0.3815, -0.3886, -0.3642, -0.3644, -0.3768, -0.3867, -0.3818, -0.3721, -0.4034, -0.4083, -0.3725, -0.3772, -0.3917, -0.365, -0.3694, -0.3287, -0.3459, -0.3709, -0.3684, -0.3544, -0.3518, -0.3491, -0.3447, -0.3088, -0.3175, -0.3422, -0.3545, -0.3489, -0.3452, -0.3489, -0.3416, -0.3648, -0.3875, -0.3842, -0.37, -0.3714, -0.3824, -0.382, -0.3642, -0.3358, -0.3433, -0.3374, -0.3262, -0.3123, -0.3151, -0.3093, -0.3061, -0.2879, -0.2995, -0.295, -0.2779, -0.2773, -0.2848]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975707479557476591", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T23:39:04+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Possible major news coming within weeks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Hints at imminent major catalyst for CIFR, implying bullish breakout continuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Possible major news coming within weeks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "So far, $CIFR weekly candle is above previous all time high, which points to a possible breakout here. https://t.co/YyqlipwiAs", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.10511365575977549, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10511365575977549, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09918603916833701, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08787885478420476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01723480097557073, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022159055749740197, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022159055749740197, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02505603047467342, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02384469770180908, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016856419520688837, "ret_p1w": 0.19488637675184828, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19488637675184828, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20668236485419267, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21686854750201323, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021982170750164953, "ret_p1m": 0.2335226485182449, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2335226485182449, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23768232973582637, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23878594509552642, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005263296577281529, "ret_p3m": 0.03181815078435912, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03181815078435912, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.007093843835231262, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03529715219459417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034790014102350497, "ret_p6m": -0.2715909422182833, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2715909422182833, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2514669060594015, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20981115811704987, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "bench_c_p6m": -0.061779784101233415, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2335226485182449, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.23768232973582637, "alpha_c_stated": 0.23878594509552642, "price_path": [-0.6665, -0.6574, -0.6608, -0.6438, -0.6352, -0.6386, -0.6449, -0.6057, -0.6205, -0.6222, -0.6324, -0.65, -0.6773, -0.6903, -0.6898, -0.7199, -0.7051, -0.7153, -0.704, -0.7233, -0.7301, -0.7295, -0.7318, -0.7216, -0.6977, -0.704, -0.6562, -0.6727, -0.6619, -0.6648, -0.6375, -0.6227, -0.5955, -0.6028, -0.6011, -0.5659, -0.5659, -0.5273, -0.5392, -0.5795, -0.5727, -0.5614, -0.4761, -0.4176, -0.4335, -0.3835, -0.3835, -0.346, -0.2966, -0.3267, -0.3023, -0.2068, -0.196, -0.1966, -0.3375, -0.3483, -0.2813, -0.2847, -0.2841, -0.2153, -0.1648, -0.1284, -0.1051, 0.0, 0.0222, -0.0358, 0.1557, 0.1869, 0.1949, 0.0636, 0.0659, 0.1312, 0.027, -0.0847, -0.0196, 0.1739, 0.167, 0.1341, 0.1131, 0.0835, 0.0597, 0.2932, 0.279, 0.404, 0.2335, 0.1756, 0.1165, 0.0608, -0.0125, -0.1517, -0.1841, -0.1847, -0.1716, -0.1693, -0.1727, -0.196, -0.0506, -0.0045, 0.0881, 0.0881, 0.1562, 0.1188, 0.0023, 0.0585, 0.1267, 0.0955, 0.1068, 0.1114, 0.05, 0.0727, -0.0313, -0.1625, -0.1483, -0.1824, -0.1392, -0.079, -0.0716, -0.096, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.1369, -0.1432, -0.171, -0.1614, -0.1614, -0.0795, 0.0318, -0.0034, -0.0864, -0.0597, -0.0551, 0.0045, 0.0369, 0.0301, -0.0045, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0182, 0.0068, -0.0119, -0.0017, -0.0631, 0.0653, 0.0778, 0.0057, -0.0932, -0.1017, -0.0761, -0.1903, -0.2784, -0.1631, -0.0477, -0.0284, -0.075, -0.0852, -0.067, -0.067, -0.1114, -0.1239, -0.1023, -0.1676, -0.1352, -0.0273, -0.0562, -0.0636, -0.1136, -0.1045, -0.1642, -0.0886, -0.1392, -0.2261, -0.1869, -0.2068, -0.1983, -0.221, -0.2, -0.1398, -0.1426, -0.1665, -0.1682, -0.204, -0.154, -0.1545, -0.0977, -0.1847, -0.219, -0.3173, -0.2688, -0.2818, -0.2716]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1963392380591329689", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-04T00:03:16+00:00", "symbol": "SBET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bottom signal. We are close.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian bullish call on SBET; author sees a bottom forming.", "resolved_tickers": ["SBET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pakpakchicken Bottom signal. We are close.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "it's time to move on from $sbet\n\nconsistent underperformer. Goes down faster + goes up slower. Total shit show. My apologies for this recommendation. At least I waited for retrace for buy signal, so it's not far. \n\nI've not sold. Feel free to dump this trash stock on me.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pakpakchicken", "ret_m1d": 0.09008421012034473, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09008421012034473, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09837245441977038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1004431209635428, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008288244299425651, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010358910843198066, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03175636520422598, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03175636520422598, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02885998123494027, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01344335465928781, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028963839692857096, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01831301054493817, "ret_p1w": 0.060272215604806334, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.060272215604806334, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04716224209398989, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06082721612003594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013109973510816442, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005550005152296089, "ret_p1m": 0.1782242349715022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1782242349715022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14441632476111654, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18124230555896859, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03380791021038565, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0030180705874663927, "ret_p3m": -0.35385611990658816, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35385611990658816, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40669606593379526, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33450627237587105, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052839946027207096, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019349847530717112, "ret_p6m": -0.5580038861455043, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5580038861455043, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6208650963426849, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5158219838488126, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0628612101971806, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04218190229669172, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1782242349715022, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14441632476111654, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18124230555896859, "price_path": [0.9073, 1.2022, 1.4025, 1.1082, -0.4031, -0.1309, -0.2255, -0.3519, -0.3519, -0.3616, -0.4167, -0.3739, -0.3338, -0.3467, -0.3934, -0.3564, -0.394, -0.2236, -0.1795, -0.1795, -0.1789, 0.0557, 0.1056, 0.1977, 0.4031, 0.5476, 0.8775, 1.4226, 1.359, 0.8782, 0.6364, 0.7758, 0.6727, 0.5113, 0.4251, 0.3564, 0.2366, 0.2677, 0.2191, 0.1108, 0.2404, 0.3111, 0.4349, 0.5139, 0.5502, 0.4478, 0.4563, 0.5243, 0.5224, 0.2865, 0.304, 0.1912, 0.2618, 0.1692, 0.3526, 0.2424, 0.291, 0.2489, 0.1964, 0.1549, 0.1549, 0.1005, 0.0901, 0.0, -0.0318, 0.0156, 0.0817, 0.0428, 0.0603, 0.1471, 0.0881, 0.0985, 0.1095, 0.116, 0.1231, 0.0765, 0.1024, 0.1393, 0.057, 0.0369, 0.1186, 0.1024, 0.1257, 0.1724, 0.1782, 0.2469, 0.1517, 0.1387, 0.0985, -0.0071, 0.0454, 0.0136, -0.0181, -0.0557, -0.0706, -0.0415, -0.0706, -0.129, -0.1244, -0.0979, -0.0726, -0.1095, -0.118, -0.1724, -0.103, -0.1517, -0.243, -0.2139, -0.2761, -0.2249, -0.2255, -0.2508, -0.2502, -0.2878, -0.2942, -0.3331, -0.3163, -0.3603, -0.3973, -0.383, -0.3467, -0.3564, -0.3357, -0.3357, -0.3117, -0.3778, -0.3539, -0.3137, -0.2767, -0.3052, -0.2832, -0.2482, -0.221, -0.2528, -0.3189, -0.3837, -0.3707, -0.3992, -0.4154, -0.3642, -0.3798, -0.4012, -0.4038, -0.4038, -0.4232, -0.4193, -0.4303, -0.4206, -0.4206, -0.372, -0.3344, -0.3299, -0.3428, -0.3338, -0.3506, -0.3351, -0.3169, -0.2949, -0.3234, -0.2871, -0.2871, -0.3552, -0.3539, -0.3662, -0.3681, -0.3921, -0.3526, -0.3539, -0.3927, -0.4245, -0.4951, -0.5036, -0.5412, -0.6066, -0.5444, -0.5392, -0.569, -0.571, -0.5762, -0.5561, -0.5561, -0.5684, -0.5723, -0.5593, -0.5645, -0.5794, -0.5755, -0.5178, -0.5327, -0.558]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962993802777657578", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-02T21:39:27+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When Ethereum goes to $6,000-$8,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETH to $6K-$8K; BMNR and SBET will outperform as leveraged ETH proxies similar to MSTR's run last fall.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Ethereum goes to $6,000-$8,000, BMNR and SBET will run like MSTR did last fall. You don’t have to like any of this, but it will happen anyway.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0025189795525103476, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0025189795525103476, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028713534519457795, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0028713534519457795, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005390333004456127, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005390333004456127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028904708992612438, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028904708992612438, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020547195580289834, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020547195580289834, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008357513412322604, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008357513412322604, "ret_p1w": -0.0037740667024972474, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0037740667024972474, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016931583029083486, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016931583029083486, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013157516326586238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013157516326586238, "ret_p1m": 0.0059524636024161914, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0059524636024161914, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0365108483123584, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0365108483123584, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04246331191477459, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04246331191477459, "ret_p3m": -0.2989484270714554, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2989484270714554, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3586247789350311, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3586247789350311, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05967635186357567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05967635186357567, "ret_p6m": -0.5249816867680422, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5249816867680422, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6018970577058561, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6018970577058561, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07691537093781387, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07691537093781387, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0059524636024161914, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0365108483123584, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0365108483123584, "price_path": [-0.4414, -0.4273, -0.38, -0.3495, -0.3588, -0.3869, -0.4036, -0.4126, -0.4195, -0.4164, -0.417, -0.4434, -0.4401, -0.434, -0.4407, -0.4414, -0.4396, -0.4251, -0.4438, -0.4055, -0.401, -0.42, -0.4121, -0.3953, -0.3594, -0.3169, -0.3162, -0.3033, -0.2741, -0.2205, -0.1962, -0.1795, -0.1299, -0.1332, -0.1608, -0.1427, -0.1383, -0.1244, -0.123, -0.1196, -0.1453, -0.1935, -0.1402, -0.1649, -0.1483, -0.095, -0.0729, -0.0227, 0.0614, 0.0996, 0.0515, 0.0265, -0.003, -0.0582, 0.0021, -0.0236, 0.117, 0.011, 0.0636, 0.0412, 0.042, 0.008, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.0289, -0.0062, -0.0042, -0.004, -0.0038, 0.0055, 0.0314, 0.0901, 0.0466, 0.0412, 0.0618, 0.0612, 0.0337, -0.0283, -0.037, -0.0397, -0.1057, -0.0669, -0.025, -0.0415, 0.006, 0.0376, 0.0438, 0.0838, 0.0291, 0.0468, 0.0101, -0.1115, -0.0185, -0.0462, -0.0781, -0.0996, -0.1139, -0.0797, -0.1037, -0.1196, -0.1085, -0.0904, -0.0475, -0.0793, -0.0976, -0.1205, -0.1106, -0.1672, -0.2388, -0.2081, -0.2342, -0.2058, -0.175, -0.2104, -0.2109, -0.2526, -0.2824, -0.3007, -0.278, -0.3011, -0.3453, -0.3606, -0.3173, -0.3161, -0.3, -0.3031, -0.2989, -0.3526, -0.3069, -0.2621, -0.2754, -0.3008, -0.2775, -0.2322, -0.2312, -0.2516, -0.287, -0.3147, -0.3147, -0.3454, -0.3464, -0.3115, -0.305, -0.3149, -0.319, -0.3287, -0.3236, -0.3216, -0.313, -0.314, -0.3063, -0.2777, -0.2541, -0.238, -0.2678, -0.2823, -0.2872, -0.2851, -0.232, -0.2244, -0.2331, -0.2381, -0.2633, -0.3213, -0.3113, -0.3181, -0.3172, -0.3234, -0.3013, -0.3049, -0.3484, -0.3752, -0.458, -0.485, -0.5044, -0.5788, -0.523, -0.5137, -0.5331, -0.5513, -0.5499, -0.5264, -0.5381, -0.5394, -0.5483, -0.5496, -0.5448, -0.571, -0.5716, -0.525]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962993802777657578", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-02T21:39:27+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BMNR and SBET will run like MSTR did last fall", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETH to $6K-$8K; BMNR and SBET will outperform as leveraged ETH proxies similar to MSTR's run last fall.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Ethereum goes to $6,000-$8,000, BMNR and SBET will run like MSTR did last fall. You don’t have to like any of this, but it will happen anyway.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05283095647135372, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05283095647135372, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04744062346689759, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05451331374686463, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005390333004456127, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001682357275510915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.059518504376409376, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.059518504376409376, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06787601778873198, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06998584547279008, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008357513412322604, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0104673410963807, "ret_p1w": 0.01649571332951183, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01649571332951183, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0033381970029255914, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022850858848999178, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013157516326586238, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0063551455194873485, "ret_p1m": 0.2594738986079581, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2594738986079581, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21701058669318352, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25899491120253915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04246331191477459, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00047898740541896245, "ret_p3m": -0.3548818436234378, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3548818436234378, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41455819548701345, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3467344235372186, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05967635186357567, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00814742008621916, "ret_p6m": -0.5442263982619742, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5442263982619742, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.621141769199788, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5322062400969296, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07691537093781387, "bench_c_p6m": -0.012020158165044537, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2594738986079581, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21701058669318352, "alpha_c_stated": 0.25899491120253915, "price_path": [-0.8318, -0.8464, -0.8495, -0.8596, -0.8749, -0.8894, -0.8941, -0.8926, -0.8952, -0.8952, -0.8972, -0.9019, -0.9015, -0.9026, -0.9015, -0.9049, -0.2443, 0.0254, 0.3041, 2.0094, 2.0094, 1.3959, 1.4855, 0.4873, 0.0256, -0.0945, -0.0856, -0.1092, -0.0013, -0.066, -0.056, -0.1179, -0.101, -0.1195, -0.0693, -0.1128, -0.2173, -0.2867, -0.2332, -0.2278, -0.2938, -0.3061, -0.2577, -0.1424, -0.0798, 0.1465, 0.3148, 0.3919, 0.3738, 0.3475, 0.2887, 0.2231, 0.1097, 0.1605, 0.064, 0.1924, 0.1057, 0.1135, 0.0261, 0.0158, -0.0276, -0.0276, -0.0528, 0.0, -0.0595, -0.0629, -0.0239, -0.0058, 0.0165, 0.0653, 0.228, 0.1839, 0.2468, 0.2722, 0.3366, 0.3663, 0.2283, 0.2147, 0.1574, 0.105, 0.1257, 0.1864, 0.1576, 0.1672, 0.2595, 0.2628, 0.4093, 0.3197, 0.3375, 0.3174, 0.1696, 0.2673, 0.1797, 0.1993, 0.1387, 0.1112, 0.1993, 0.1558, 0.0707, 0.0965, 0.1237, 0.1973, 0.1712, 0.1092, -0.0069, 0.0399, -0.0446, -0.1204, -0.0767, -0.167, -0.1032, -0.0827, -0.1175, -0.0956, -0.1848, -0.2332, -0.3101, -0.2804, -0.3495, -0.42, -0.4204, -0.3067, -0.3556, -0.2925, -0.2925, -0.2617, -0.3549, -0.2887, -0.2497, -0.1904, -0.2407, -0.2008, -0.1257, -0.0992, -0.1442, -0.2227, -0.3099, -0.3001, -0.3462, -0.3661, -0.3007, -0.3068, -0.336, -0.3456, -0.3456, -0.3687, -0.3636, -0.3819, -0.3946, -0.3946, -0.3045, -0.2564, -0.2791, -0.323, -0.3025, -0.3297, -0.3059, -0.3039, -0.2717, -0.3117, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.3703, -0.3456, -0.3556, -0.3578, -0.3801, -0.346, -0.3393, -0.4046, -0.4403, -0.4916, -0.5016, -0.5473, -0.612, -0.5436, -0.5217, -0.5552, -0.5659, -0.5598, -0.5326, -0.5326, -0.5507, -0.5581, -0.5549, -0.5511, -0.5714, -0.5665, -0.5206, -0.5442]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962993802777657578", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-02T21:39:27+00:00", "symbol": "SBET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BMNR and SBET will run like MSTR did last fall", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETH to $6K-$8K; BMNR and SBET will outperform as leveraged ETH proxies similar to MSTR's run last fall.", "resolved_tickers": ["SBET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Ethereum goes to $6,000-$8,000, BMNR and SBET will run like MSTR did last fall. You don’t have to like any of this, but it will happen anyway.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009512476237520051, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009512476237520051, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014902809241976178, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007830118962009136, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005390333004456127, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001682357275510915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08263967983757825, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08263967983757825, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09099719324990085, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09310702093395895, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008357513412322604, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0104673410963807, "ret_p1w": -0.043400687008392835, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.043400687008392835, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056558203334979074, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03704554148890549, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013157516326586238, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0063551455194873485, "ret_p1m": 0.07550537935826895, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07550537935826895, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03304206744349436, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07502639195284999, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04246331191477459, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00047898740541896245, "ret_p3m": -0.42925085876049096, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.42925085876049096, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.48892721062406663, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4211034386742718, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05967635186357567, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00814742008621916, "ret_p6m": -0.5713436284802309, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5713436284802309, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6482589994180448, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5593234703151864, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07691537093781387, "bench_c_p6m": -0.012020158165044537, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07550537935826895, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03304206744349436, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07502639195284999, "price_path": [1.4661, 0.7497, 1.0202, 1.2039, 0.934, -0.4524, -0.2027, -0.2895, -0.4055, -0.4055, -0.4144, -0.4649, -0.4257, -0.3888, -0.4007, -0.4435, -0.4096, -0.4441, -0.2878, -0.2473, -0.2473, -0.2467, -0.0315, 0.0143, 0.0987, 0.2872, 0.4197, 0.7224, 1.2224, 1.1641, 0.7229, 0.5012, 0.629, 0.5345, 0.3864, 0.3074, 0.2444, 0.1344, 0.1629, 0.1183, 0.019, 0.1379, 0.2027, 0.3163, 0.3888, 0.4221, 0.3282, 0.3359, 0.3983, 0.3966, 0.1801, 0.1962, 0.0927, 0.1576, 0.0725, 0.2408, 0.1397, 0.1843, 0.1457, 0.0975, 0.0595, 0.0595, 0.0095, 0.0, -0.0826, -0.1118, -0.0684, -0.0077, -0.0434, -0.0273, 0.0523, -0.0018, 0.0077, 0.0178, 0.0238, 0.0303, -0.0125, 0.0113, 0.0452, -0.0303, -0.0488, 0.0262, 0.0113, 0.0327, 0.0755, 0.0809, 0.1439, 0.0565, 0.0446, 0.0077, -0.0892, -0.041, -0.0702, -0.0993, -0.1338, -0.1474, -0.1207, -0.1474, -0.201, -0.1968, -0.1724, -0.1492, -0.1831, -0.1908, -0.2408, -0.1772, -0.2218, -0.3056, -0.2788, -0.3359, -0.2889, -0.2895, -0.3127, -0.3121, -0.3466, -0.3526, -0.3882, -0.3728, -0.4132, -0.4471, -0.434, -0.4007, -0.4096, -0.3906, -0.3906, -0.3686, -0.4293, -0.4073, -0.3704, -0.3365, -0.3627, -0.3424, -0.3103, -0.2854, -0.3145, -0.3751, -0.4346, -0.4227, -0.4489, -0.4637, -0.4168, -0.431, -0.4507, -0.453, -0.453, -0.4709, -0.4673, -0.4774, -0.4685, -0.4685, -0.4239, -0.3894, -0.3853, -0.3971, -0.3888, -0.4043, -0.39, -0.3734, -0.3532, -0.3793, -0.346, -0.346, -0.4084, -0.4073, -0.4185, -0.4203, -0.4423, -0.4061, -0.4073, -0.4429, -0.4721, -0.5369, -0.5446, -0.5791, -0.6391, -0.582, -0.5773, -0.6046, -0.6064, -0.6112, -0.5927, -0.5927, -0.604, -0.6076, -0.5957, -0.6005, -0.6141, -0.6106, -0.5577, -0.5713]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986627313031938516", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T02:50:35+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cantor reiterates overweight on IREN after MSFT deal and earnings", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cantor reiterates Overweight on IREN post-MSFT deal; calls it 'The Vertically Integrated Neocloud' with low-teens to 50% IRRs.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Cantor reiterates overweight on IREN after MSFT deal and earnings. Says  “the deal was much larger and more sophisticated than originally thought” and modeling low teens to 50% IRRs depending on financing and residual value. Cantor calls IREN “The Vertically Integrated Neocloud” https://t.co/8O5OzQLIM3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07342093520255544, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07342093520255544, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07440444014709147, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08043113083986908, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835049445360289, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007010195637313643, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035428067671187335, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035428067671187335, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051032346298330644, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03902793938442439, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035998717132370572, "ret_p1w": -0.25665280317562844, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25665280317562844, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2580835309225106, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.25040050607004005, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006252297105588389, "ret_p1m": -0.2571337069714478, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2571337069714478, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2760019966459849, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2703963460268076, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886828967453713, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013262639055359848, "ret_p3m": -0.27957682178239796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27957682178239796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3052824106824674, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30550690081453524, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025930079032137288, "ret_p6m": -0.20679707125674585, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20679707125674585, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2829977466218777, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1925178532441606, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014279218012585249, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2571337069714478, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2760019966459849, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2703963460268076, "price_path": [-0.7142, -0.7158, -0.6941, -0.6844, -0.6681, -0.6997, -0.6832, -0.686, -0.6565, -0.6294, -0.6315, -0.6416, -0.6307, -0.5755, -0.5755, -0.5333, -0.5478, -0.5811, -0.5808, -0.5802, -0.516, -0.4609, -0.4734, -0.4556, -0.4046, -0.4157, -0.3924, -0.4178, -0.3806, -0.3283, -0.3304, -0.2443, -0.2579, -0.329, -0.2637, -0.2477, -0.2453, -0.2462, -0.1911, -0.0742, -0.0112, -0.0367, 0.0236, -0.0418, 0.0282, 0.1151, 0.0898, -0.0088, -0.0266, -0.0507, -0.1152, -0.1691, -0.1045, 0.0083, 0.0418, 0.0006, -0.0314, -0.0667, -0.0261, 0.0861, 0.0681, 0.2249, 0.0734, 0.0, -0.0354, -0.0802, -0.1071, -0.2201, -0.2567, -0.24, -0.2169, -0.2653, -0.3031, -0.3225, -0.2227, -0.239, -0.2233, -0.2233, -0.2336, -0.2227, -0.3408, -0.2953, -0.2554, -0.2833, -0.2571, -0.2491, -0.2959, -0.2956, -0.3567, -0.4312, -0.4134, -0.4585, -0.4261, -0.3601, -0.3261, -0.3256, -0.327, -0.327, -0.354, -0.3682, -0.386, -0.3945, -0.3945, -0.3155, -0.2267, -0.264, -0.3007, -0.2677, -0.2621, -0.1932, -0.1505, -0.1523, -0.1682, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.1302, -0.1427, -0.1622, -0.0914, -0.1606, -0.0383, 0.009, -0.0407, -0.1385, -0.1491, -0.1281, -0.2796, -0.3621, -0.3294, -0.2602, -0.3118, -0.316, -0.3583, -0.3232, -0.3232, -0.3432, -0.3254, -0.306, -0.3591, -0.3209, -0.2714, -0.2942, -0.2908, -0.3435, -0.3365, -0.3772, -0.2972, -0.3568, -0.4117, -0.3774, -0.3889, -0.327, -0.3368, -0.3334, -0.2796, -0.3113, -0.3233, -0.3322, -0.3381, -0.3241, -0.3408, -0.3358, -0.3996, -0.4375, -0.4931, -0.4505, -0.4535, -0.4426, -0.4426, -0.4368, -0.4271, -0.4096, -0.4059, -0.3697, -0.3096, -0.2406, -0.2174, -0.2353, -0.2286, -0.219, -0.2759, -0.2243, -0.1661, -0.1882, -0.2248, -0.2876, -0.3129, -0.2704, -0.268, -0.2068]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970314913278255311", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T02:30:56+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's not \"stretched\" at all if you actually understand the underlying business and associated demand drivers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disagrees that IREN is stretched; bullish on underlying business and demand drivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheLongInvest It’s not “stretched” at all if you actually understand the underlying business and associated demand drivers", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN has a technical move to $55 here\n\nBut man is this stretched from $5 in June to $43 today in the PM.\n\nWell done to all holders. https://t.co/0F14Yn5di0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheLongInvest", "ret_m1d": 0.003112307079016885, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003112307079016885, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0023610504242523866, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001352045327731366, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004464352406748251, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12856114132233998, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12856114132233998, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13174271305607899, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13135123588691655, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002790094564576573, "ret_p1w": 0.12353363157440511, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12353363157440511, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11905556495153036, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12148747603986654, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002046155534538574, "ret_p1m": 0.2408427403170208, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2408427403170208, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2339220075431574, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.26558234010971193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024739599792691136, "ret_p3m": -0.04429021471256667, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04429021471256667, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07352843859622593, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06437951325232605, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02008929853975938, "ret_p6m": 0.010533842994660647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010533842994660647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.010270869439277686, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09644982313253714, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08591598013787649, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2408427403170208, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2339220075431574, "alpha_c_stated": 0.26558234010971193, "price_path": [-0.6861, -0.6648, -0.6512, -0.6354, -0.6251, -0.5973, -0.5973, -0.5942, -0.5956, -0.594, -0.5923, -0.6114, -0.5863, -0.5959, -0.5856, -0.5679, -0.5705, -0.5655, -0.5549, -0.5454, -0.5657, -0.5758, -0.6031, -0.622, -0.6136, -0.6143, -0.6313, -0.6055, -0.6062, -0.5614, -0.5554, -0.5583, -0.5698, -0.5731, -0.5755, -0.5432, -0.5286, -0.5043, -0.5516, -0.5269, -0.531, -0.487, -0.4465, -0.4496, -0.4648, -0.4484, -0.3661, -0.3661, -0.3031, -0.3246, -0.3744, -0.374, -0.373, -0.2772, -0.1949, -0.2136, -0.187, -0.1108, -0.1274, -0.0927, -0.1305, -0.0749, 0.0031, 0.0, 0.1286, 0.1082, 0.0022, 0.0996, 0.1235, 0.1271, 0.1257, 0.208, 0.3826, 0.4767, 0.4386, 0.5286, 0.4309, 0.5356, 0.6653, 0.6275, 0.4802, 0.4537, 0.4178, 0.3214, 0.2408, 0.3373, 0.5059, 0.5559, 0.4944, 0.4465, 0.3938, 0.4544, 0.622, 0.5952, 0.8293, 0.6031, 0.4934, 0.4405, 0.3737, 0.3335, 0.1647, 0.1101, 0.135, 0.1695, 0.0972, 0.0407, 0.0117, 0.1609, 0.1365, 0.1599, 0.1599, 0.1446, 0.1609, -0.0156, 0.0524, 0.112, 0.0704, 0.1094, 0.1214, 0.0515, 0.052, -0.0393, -0.1506, -0.124, -0.1913, -0.1429, -0.0443, 0.0065, 0.0072, 0.005, 0.005, -0.0352, -0.0565, -0.0831, -0.0958, -0.0958, 0.0223, 0.1549, 0.0991, 0.0444, 0.0936, 0.102, 0.2049, 0.2686, 0.266, 0.2423, 0.3842, 0.3842, 0.299, 0.2803, 0.2511, 0.357, 0.2535, 0.4362, 0.5068, 0.4326, 0.2866, 0.2708, 0.3021, 0.0759, -0.0474, 0.0014, 0.1049, 0.0278, 0.0215, -0.0417, 0.0108, 0.0108, -0.0192, 0.0074, 0.0364, -0.0429, 0.0141, 0.0881, 0.0541, 0.0591, -0.0196, -0.0091, -0.0699, 0.0496, -0.0394, -0.1214, -0.0701, -0.0874, 0.005, -0.0096, -0.0045, 0.0759, 0.0285, 0.0105]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970548682136396189", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T17:59:51+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a great time to take another look at BKKT. Bakkt sits at the nexus of the most important trends in global finance at the moment", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BKKT as a play on Bitcoin, stablecoins, and AI converging in regulated US finance over the next 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you think Bitcoin, stablecoins, and AI will be at the center of regulated finance in the US over the next 5 years, it's a great time to take another look at BKKT. Bakkt sits at the nexus of the most important trends in global finance at the moment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1448516956040331, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1448516956040331, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15032505310730238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15032505310730238, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16346709590701192, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16346709590701192, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.16664866764075092, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.16664866764075092, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "ret_p1w": 0.9575334776290425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.9575334776290425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.9530554110061678, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.9530554110061678, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "ret_p1m": 0.6346712919407256, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6346712919407256, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6277505591668622, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6277505591668622, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "ret_p3m": -0.3856893489505866, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3856893489505866, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41492757283424586, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.41492757283424586, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "ret_p6m": -0.4805119239244202, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4805119239244202, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4807748974798032, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4807748974798032, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.2245, -0.2565, -0.1885, -0.1815, 0.0838, 0.0535, 0.0535, -0.0122, 0.0198, 0.1611, 0.2112, 0.1315, 0.0739, 0.0361, 0.2443, 0.4026, 0.3246, 0.3886, 0.3025, 0.438, 0.2234, 0.0506, -0.0012, -0.4183, -0.42, -0.4241, -0.4572, -0.4567, -0.4456, -0.4316, -0.4206, -0.3711, -0.4229, -0.4543, -0.4316, -0.4415, -0.4188, -0.4625, -0.5049, -0.5177, -0.5375, -0.4846, -0.5125, -0.4828, -0.4991, -0.4945, -0.4898, -0.4898, -0.4648, -0.5003, -0.5119, -0.5044, -0.4788, -0.434, -0.4526, -0.4218, -0.4462, -0.4375, -0.4084, -0.4375, -0.4119, -0.3927, -0.1449, 0.0, 0.1635, 0.0838, 0.0442, 0.4863, 0.9575, 0.9866, 1.555, 1.349, 1.3851, 1.2641, 1.313, 1.2228, 0.9162, 1.1937, 1.6201, 1.4892, 1.2775, 1.0768, 1.0529, 0.8697, 0.6347, 0.6626, 0.6777, 0.6905, 0.5556, 0.5143, 0.3362, 0.6097, 0.5637, 0.2554, 0.388, 0.2397, 0.3764, 0.2193, 0.249, 0.2571, 0.0774, 0.0558, -0.0233, -0.0041, -0.0122, -0.1414, -0.1873, -0.0925, -0.1059, -0.1338, -0.1338, -0.0826, -0.1943, -0.1926, -0.1466, -0.0925, -0.1856, -0.2577, -0.2397, -0.2525, -0.2635, -0.3275, -0.3787, -0.3514, -0.4177, -0.402, -0.3857, -0.3851, -0.3985, -0.3717, -0.3717, -0.3869, -0.3938, -0.409, -0.4159, -0.4159, -0.3455, -0.1396, -0.1006, -0.1193, -0.0425, -0.0529, 0.1175, 0.089, 0.2222, 0.128, 0.2455, 0.2455, -0.0599, -0.0512, -0.0971, -0.1146, -0.1937, -0.1309, -0.1565, -0.2071, -0.2211, -0.2868, -0.2914, -0.3246, -0.4241, -0.3072, -0.3368, -0.3822, -0.395, -0.4148, -0.3735, -0.3735, -0.4031, -0.3973, -0.395, -0.3927, -0.4095, -0.4124, -0.3671, -0.395, -0.4439, -0.4206, -0.4421, -0.4066, -0.4212, -0.4596, -0.4636, -0.4625, -0.4596, -0.4642, -0.4503, -0.4392, -0.4398, -0.4805]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1963953690567676117", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T13:13:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$130,000+ soon. Pre-programmed.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC to $130,000+ soon; author dismisses technical nuance as irrelevant to the inevitable upside move.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ None of this will matter. $130,000+ soon. Pre-programmed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC Weekly \n\nHidden bullish divergence can be created for the first time since April https://t.co/FjPE5Xnh15", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": 0.0006562724038123857, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0006562724038123857, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0022485249740324953, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0022485249740324953, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002904797377844881, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002904797377844881, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012837168331788718, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012837168331788718, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010380399670496532, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010380399670496532, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024567686612921857, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0024567686612921857, "ret_p1w": 0.04925933357743806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04925933357743806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03354629239493212, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03354629239493212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015713041182505938, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015713041182505938, "ret_p1m": 0.12744167577587362, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12744167577587362, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08691257283538834, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08691257283538834, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040529102940485284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040529102940485284, "ret_p3m": -0.15474945644829474, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15474945644829474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21430409550009477, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21430409550009477, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955463905180003, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05955463905180003, "ret_p6m": -0.37844338257835763, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37844338257835763, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4449980055167605, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4449980055167605, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655462293840286, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06655462293840286, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12744167577587362, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08691257283538834, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08691257283538834, "price_path": [-0.0036, -0.0178, -0.0427, -0.0412, -0.0348, -0.0547, -0.0521, -0.0539, -0.0663, -0.0458, -0.0416, -0.0297, -0.0334, -0.0322, -0.0318, -0.0448, -0.0162, -0.0091, -0.0236, -0.0212, -0.0154, 0.0061, 0.0482, 0.0621, 0.0831, 0.0644, 0.0731, 0.0781, 0.0664, 0.0614, 0.0844, 0.0732, 0.0697, 0.0631, 0.0657, 0.0657, 0.0649, 0.0462, 0.0241, 0.04, 0.0315, 0.0396, 0.0619, 0.0546, 0.073, 0.0861, 0.1147, 0.0697, 0.061, 0.0506, 0.0197, 0.0327, 0.016, 0.0562, -0.0048, 0.0104, 0.0052, 0.0171, -0.0202, -0.0127, 0.005, 0.0097, 0.0007, 0.0, 0.0128, 0.0079, 0.0299, 0.0439, 0.0493, 0.0433, 0.056, 0.0526, 0.0586, 0.0455, 0.019, 0.0123, 0.0242, -0.0145, -0.0085, 0.0339, 0.0308, 0.0723, 0.0906, 0.105, 0.1274, 0.0976, 0.1148, 0.0999, 0.0232, 0.0418, 0.0223, 0.0012, -0.0223, -0.0378, -0.0006, -0.0196, -0.0268, -0.0053, 0.0035, 0.0313, 0.0208, -0.0054, -0.0212, -0.0099, -0.0371, -0.0819, -0.0611, -0.0845, -0.0658, -0.0421, -0.0692, -0.0812, -0.099, -0.1469, -0.1677, -0.16, -0.1734, -0.2171, -0.231, -0.2023, -0.2107, -0.1819, -0.175, -0.1783, -0.2199, -0.1744, -0.1547, -0.1673, -0.1922, -0.1808, -0.1623, -0.1684, -0.1639, -0.1842, -0.219, -0.2061, -0.2215, -0.2276, -0.2038, -0.2003, -0.21, -0.2082, -0.2116, -0.211, -0.2125, -0.2008, -0.2091, -0.1981, -0.1871, -0.1515, -0.1529, -0.1748, -0.1773, -0.182, -0.1759, -0.1385, -0.124, -0.1365, -0.1367, -0.1636, -0.2019, -0.1923, -0.1915, -0.1911, -0.2023, -0.1947, -0.194, -0.2358, -0.2397, -0.2889, -0.3165, -0.3401, -0.4333, -0.3624, -0.3663, -0.3783, -0.3946, -0.4015, -0.3777, -0.3778, -0.39, -0.3997, -0.3949, -0.3854, -0.416, -0.4209, -0.3858, -0.3904, -0.4046, -0.3784]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1964088462837154116", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T22:09:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "super bullish for the longevity of the Bitcoin cycle. Only long term Bitcoin HODLers and advanced investors will make money on a risk adjusted basis", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "MSTR's S&P 500 exclusion is bullish for Bitcoin cycle longevity; only long-term HODLers will profit on a risk-adjusted basis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Microstrategy not getting in to the S&amp;P 500 is super bullish for the longevity of the Bitcoin cycle. If you don’t understand this, you should not be here. Only long term Bitcoin HODLers and advanced investors will make money on a risk adjusted basis.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0006562724038123857, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0006562724038123857, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003107020144857753, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003107020144857753, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012837168331788718, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012837168331788718, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010525283931525298, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010525283931525298, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "ret_p1w": 0.04925933357743806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04925933357743806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030641373829925822, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030641373829925822, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "ret_p1m": 0.12744167577587362, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12744167577587362, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0933108737373598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0933108737373598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "ret_p3m": -0.15474945644829474, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15474945644829474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21248017836456312, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21248017836456312, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "ret_p6m": -0.37844338257835763, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37844338257835763, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4330063083110093, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4330063083110093, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12744167577587362, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0933108737373598, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0933108737373598, "price_path": [-0.0036, -0.0178, -0.0427, -0.0412, -0.0348, -0.0547, -0.0521, -0.0539, -0.0663, -0.0458, -0.0416, -0.0297, -0.0334, -0.0322, -0.0318, -0.0448, -0.0162, -0.0091, -0.0236, -0.0212, -0.0154, 0.0061, 0.0482, 0.0621, 0.0831, 0.0644, 0.0731, 0.0781, 0.0664, 0.0614, 0.0844, 0.0732, 0.0697, 0.0631, 0.0657, 0.0657, 0.0649, 0.0462, 0.0241, 0.04, 0.0315, 0.0396, 0.0619, 0.0546, 0.073, 0.0861, 0.1147, 0.0697, 0.061, 0.0506, 0.0197, 0.0327, 0.016, 0.0562, -0.0048, 0.0104, 0.0052, 0.0171, -0.0202, -0.0127, 0.005, 0.0097, 0.0007, 0.0, 0.0128, 0.0079, 0.0299, 0.0439, 0.0493, 0.0433, 0.056, 0.0526, 0.0586, 0.0455, 0.019, 0.0123, 0.0242, -0.0145, -0.0085, 0.0339, 0.0308, 0.0723, 0.0906, 0.105, 0.1274, 0.0976, 0.1148, 0.0999, 0.0232, 0.0418, 0.0223, 0.0012, -0.0223, -0.0378, -0.0006, -0.0196, -0.0268, -0.0053, 0.0035, 0.0313, 0.0208, -0.0054, -0.0212, -0.0099, -0.0371, -0.0819, -0.0611, -0.0845, -0.0658, -0.0421, -0.0692, -0.0812, -0.099, -0.1469, -0.1677, -0.16, -0.1734, -0.2171, -0.231, -0.2023, -0.2107, -0.1819, -0.175, -0.1783, -0.2199, -0.1744, -0.1547, -0.1673, -0.1922, -0.1808, -0.1623, -0.1684, -0.1639, -0.1842, -0.219, -0.2061, -0.2215, -0.2276, -0.2038, -0.2003, -0.21, -0.2082, -0.2116, -0.211, -0.2125, -0.2008, -0.2091, -0.1981, -0.1871, -0.1515, -0.1529, -0.1748, -0.1773, -0.182, -0.1759, -0.1385, -0.124, -0.1365, -0.1367, -0.1636, -0.2019, -0.1923, -0.1915, -0.1911, -0.2023, -0.1947, -0.194, -0.2358, -0.2397, -0.2889, -0.3165, -0.3401, -0.4333, -0.3624, -0.3663, -0.3783, -0.3946, -0.4015, -0.3777, -0.3778, -0.39, -0.3997, -0.3949, -0.3854, -0.416, -0.4209, -0.3858, -0.3904, -0.4046, -0.3784]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978482750891127243", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T15:27:00+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They will get it done. One of the best teams in any business, period.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Endorses CIFR closing the 300MW Black Pearl deal; bullish on team execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BTCStocksInvest They will get it done. One of the best teams in any business, period.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just learned $CIFR team working real hard to finalise the entire 300 MW Black Pearl deal before October 28th 👀 Many moving parts, including moving around the miners, but team confident this will get done !", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BTCStocksInvest", "ret_m1d": -0.006657217899473156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006657217899473156, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0022373103018450413, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003156216810218937, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004419907597628114, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009813434709692093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.109843143027471, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.109843143027471, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1030329159461949, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11058189062452073, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810227081276099, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000738747597049727, "ret_p1w": -0.23395149384936775, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.23395149384936775, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.23790529099806335, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.23813719139413936, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0039537971486955925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004185697544771605, "ret_p1m": -0.290061825121259, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.290061825121259, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3003900851165202, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2981167064700967, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328259995261213, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008054881348837695, "ret_p3m": -0.1592962563998891, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1592962563998891, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20747059392029066, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1935040958967088, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817433752040157, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034207839496819714, "ret_p6m": -0.22206371487469767, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22206371487469767, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25004357201989424, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22426142162110663, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.027979857145196574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.002197706746408956, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.290061825121259, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3003900851165202, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2981167064700967, "price_path": [-0.6976, -0.7028, -0.67, -0.6824, -0.6838, -0.6923, -0.7071, -0.7299, -0.7408, -0.7404, -0.7656, -0.7532, -0.7618, -0.7523, -0.7684, -0.7741, -0.7737, -0.7756, -0.767, -0.747, -0.7523, -0.7123, -0.7261, -0.7171, -0.7194, -0.6966, -0.6843, -0.6614, -0.6676, -0.6662, -0.6367, -0.6367, -0.6044, -0.6144, -0.6481, -0.6424, -0.6329, -0.5616, -0.5126, -0.5259, -0.4841, -0.4841, -0.4527, -0.4113, -0.4365, -0.4161, -0.3362, -0.3272, -0.3276, -0.4456, -0.4546, -0.3985, -0.4013, -0.4009, -0.3433, -0.301, -0.2706, -0.2511, -0.1631, -0.1446, -0.1931, -0.0328, -0.0067, 0.0, -0.1098, -0.1079, -0.0533, -0.1405, -0.234, -0.1795, -0.0176, -0.0233, -0.0509, -0.0685, -0.0932, -0.1132, 0.0823, 0.0704, 0.175, 0.0323, -0.0162, -0.0656, -0.1122, -0.1736, -0.2901, -0.3172, -0.3176, -0.3067, -0.3048, -0.3077, -0.3272, -0.2054, -0.1669, -0.0894, -0.0894, -0.0323, -0.0637, -0.1612, -0.1141, -0.0571, -0.0832, -0.0737, -0.0699, -0.1213, -0.1022, -0.1893, -0.2991, -0.2872, -0.3157, -0.2796, -0.2292, -0.223, -0.2435, -0.2287, -0.2287, -0.2777, -0.2829, -0.3062, -0.2981, -0.2981, -0.2297, -0.1365, -0.166, -0.2354, -0.213, -0.2092, -0.1593, -0.1322, -0.1379, -0.1669, -0.106, -0.106, -0.1479, -0.1574, -0.1731, -0.1645, -0.2159, -0.1084, -0.098, -0.1583, -0.2411, -0.2482, -0.2268, -0.3224, -0.3961, -0.2996, -0.203, -0.1869, -0.2259, -0.2344, -0.2192, -0.2192, -0.2563, -0.2668, -0.2487, -0.3034, -0.2763, -0.1859, -0.2102, -0.2164, -0.2582, -0.2506, -0.3005, -0.2373, -0.2796, -0.3524, -0.3195, -0.3362, -0.3291, -0.3481, -0.3305, -0.2801, -0.2825, -0.3024, -0.3039, -0.3338, -0.292, -0.2924, -0.2449, -0.3176, -0.3464, -0.4287, -0.388, -0.399, -0.3904, -0.3904, -0.3652, -0.3338, -0.2668, -0.2221]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968677358753214611", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T14:03:53+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IWM is on the verge of a major breakout from a 5+ year consolidation", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IWM on imminent breakout from 5-year consolidation; long BTC to $146K; macro turning accommodative.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Think about it. IWM is on the verge of a major breakout from a 5+ year consolidation and BTC is headed to $146,000. Macro is flipping accommodative. The only terrible decisions you can make right now involve selling too much or selling too soon. Do NOT F this up. Seriously.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02430155592120653, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02430155592120653, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01965078710001289, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965078710001289, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0075968538110948725, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0075968538110948725, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012549722261988139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012549722261988139, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "ret_p1w": -0.022667868479935405, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022667868479935405, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01906568915072515, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01906568915072515, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "ret_p1m": -0.005840536207136315, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005840536207136315, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011838173642666483, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011838173642666483, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "ret_p3m": 0.024089260693328285, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024089260693328285, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0038335229395063397, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0038335229395063397, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "ret_p6m": 0.010524907956738438, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010524907956738438, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004743828059586397, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004743828059586397, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.005840536207136315, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.011838173642666483, "alpha_c_stated": -0.011838173642666483, "price_path": [-0.1375, -0.1265, -0.1367, -0.1227, -0.1224, -0.1211, -0.1121, -0.0998, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1051, -0.0989, -0.0891, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.091, -0.1088, -0.0998, -0.088, -0.0945, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0768, -0.0895, -0.0862, -0.0872, -0.093, -0.0976, -0.1065, -0.1247, -0.1051, -0.1005, -0.1017, -0.1046, -0.1027, -0.1029, -0.0763, -0.0583, -0.0704, -0.075, -0.0716, -0.0787, -0.082, -0.0797, -0.0436, -0.0537, -0.0458, -0.0391, -0.0379, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0474, -0.0483, -0.0364, -0.0316, -0.0297, -0.0354, -0.0371, -0.0193, -0.0293, -0.0252, -0.0268, -0.0243, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0018, -0.0041, -0.0132, -0.0227, -0.0143, -0.0132, -0.0118, -0.0096, -0.0033, 0.004, 0.008, -0.0028, 0.0077, 0.0012, -0.0288, -0.0018, 0.0125, 0.0224, 0.0009, -0.0058, 0.0136, 0.0088, -0.0061, 0.0065, 0.0187, 0.0223, 0.0168, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0025, -0.0149, -0.0007, -0.0183, -0.0132, -0.0033, -0.0025, -0.0049, -0.0329, -0.0301, -0.0493, -0.0464, -0.0466, -0.0642, -0.0377, -0.0202, 0.0012, 0.01, 0.01, 0.016, 0.0032, 0.0013, 0.0196, 0.0285, 0.0242, 0.0246, 0.0268, 0.0407, 0.0529, 0.0368, 0.029, 0.0241, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0392, 0.033, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0303, 0.024, 0.0164, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0195, 0.0357, 0.0494, 0.047, 0.0584, 0.0664, 0.0716, 0.071, 0.0786, 0.0881, 0.0891, 0.0891, 0.0761, 0.0974, 0.1056, 0.0852, 0.0818, 0.0849, 0.079, 0.0793, 0.064, 0.0744, 0.0769, 0.0676, 0.0484, 0.0861, 0.0937, 0.0907, 0.0858, 0.0636, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0779, 0.0818, 0.0843, 0.0844, 0.0675, 0.0791, 0.0842, 0.09, 0.0713, 0.0811, 0.0624, 0.0727, 0.0522, 0.0281, 0.0393, 0.0383, 0.0362, 0.0139, 0.0105]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968677358753214611", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T14:03:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC is headed to $146,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IWM on imminent breakout from 5-year consolidation; long BTC to $146K; macro turning accommodative.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Think about it. IWM is on the verge of a major breakout from a 5+ year consolidation and BTC is headed to $146,000. Macro is flipping accommodative. The only terrible decisions you can make right now involve selling too much or selling too soon. Do NOT F this up. Seriously.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005708650152645545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005708650152645545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0010578813314519042, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0010578813314519042, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0046507688211936404, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012364506846338497, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012364506846338497, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017317375297231763, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017317375297231763, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952868450893266, "ret_p1w": -0.06904650142507829, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06904650142507829, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06544432209586803, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06544432209586803, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036021793292102533, "ret_p1m": -0.09108476024576417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09108476024576417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09708239768129434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09708239768129434, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005997637435530168, "ret_p3m": -0.2500761326761446, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2500761326761446, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2779989163089792, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2779989163089792, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922783632834625, "ret_p6m": -0.39414409998104516, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39414409998104516, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3999251798781972, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3999251798781972, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005781079897152042, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09108476024576417, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09708239768129434, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09708239768129434, "price_path": [-0.0987, -0.0947, -0.0835, -0.0869, -0.0858, -0.0854, -0.0977, -0.0707, -0.0639, -0.0777, -0.0754, -0.0699, -0.0496, -0.0098, 0.0032, 0.0232, 0.0055, 0.0137, 0.0184, 0.0074, 0.0026, 0.0244, 0.0138, 0.0105, 0.0043, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0059, -0.0118, -0.0326, -0.0176, -0.0256, -0.018, 0.0031, -0.0038, 0.0136, 0.0259, 0.053, 0.0104, 0.0022, -0.0076, -0.0368, -0.0244, -0.0403, -0.0022, -0.0599, -0.0455, -0.0505, -0.0392, -0.0745, -0.0673, -0.0507, -0.0462, -0.0548, -0.0554, -0.0432, -0.0479, -0.0272, -0.0139, -0.0088, -0.0144, -0.0025, -0.0057, 0.0, -0.0124, -0.0375, -0.0437, -0.0325, -0.069, -0.0634, -0.0234, -0.0263, 0.0129, 0.0303, 0.0438, 0.065, 0.0368, 0.0531, 0.039, -0.0335, -0.0159, -0.0343, -0.0542, -0.0764, -0.0911, -0.0559, -0.0739, -0.0807, -0.0603, -0.0521, -0.0258, -0.0357, -0.0605, -0.0754, -0.0647, -0.0904, -0.1327, -0.1131, -0.1352, -0.1175, -0.0951, -0.1207, -0.1321, -0.1489, -0.1941, -0.2138, -0.2065, -0.2192, -0.2604, -0.2736, -0.2464, -0.2544, -0.2272, -0.2207, -0.2238, -0.2631, -0.2201, -0.2016, -0.2134, -0.2369, -0.2262, -0.2087, -0.2144, -0.2102, -0.2294, -0.2622, -0.2501, -0.2646, -0.2704, -0.2479, -0.2446, -0.2537, -0.2521, -0.2553, -0.2547, -0.2561, -0.2451, -0.2529, -0.2425, -0.2321, -0.1985, -0.1998, -0.2205, -0.2229, -0.2273, -0.2215, -0.1862, -0.1725, -0.1843, -0.1845, -0.2099, -0.2461, -0.237, -0.2363, -0.2359, -0.2465, -0.2393, -0.2386, -0.2781, -0.2818, -0.3282, -0.3543, -0.3766, -0.4647, -0.3977, -0.4014, -0.4127, -0.4281, -0.4347, -0.4122, -0.4123, -0.4238, -0.4329, -0.4284, -0.4194, -0.4484, -0.4529, -0.4198, -0.4241, -0.4376, -0.4129, -0.417, -0.3793, -0.3952, -0.4183, -0.416, -0.403, -0.4007, -0.3982, -0.3941]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985322274585821493", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T12:24:50+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CANTOR FITZGERALD RAISES IREN PRICE TARGET TO $142", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cantor Fitzgerald raises IREN price target to $142; author shares bullish analyst call.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BREAKING: CANTOR FITZGERALD RAISES IREN PRICE TARGET TO $142 https://t.co/3bnMQwYAEq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10144789894850992, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10753960993360934, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001873134261822229, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00421857672327719, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00467776843472878, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021708800495808922, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01185363741888057, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005177394642199573, "ret_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10910137849481072, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12760581931621495, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002780567351014951, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015723873470389282, "ret_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.39041393515630873, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.40629384135402347, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026488112365360417, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013231094961178691, "ret_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13541224092214355, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1471872749019133, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018659475646688017, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030434509626457773, "ret_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.39147658247833816, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3469099708193111, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417521617954206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.002850909958927117, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3930627463928448, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.39041393515630873, "alpha_c_stated": -0.40629384135402347, "price_path": [-0.7296, -0.7259, -0.7277, -0.7348, -0.7368, -0.7383, -0.7184, -0.7094, -0.6944, -0.7235, -0.7083, -0.7108, -0.6837, -0.6587, -0.6607, -0.67, -0.6599, -0.6092, -0.6092, -0.5703, -0.5836, -0.6143, -0.614, -0.6134, -0.5544, -0.5036, -0.5151, -0.4987, -0.4518, -0.462, -0.4406, -0.4639, -0.4297, -0.3815, -0.3835, -0.3042, -0.3168, -0.3821, -0.3221, -0.3073, -0.3051, -0.306, -0.2552, -0.1476, -0.0896, -0.1131, -0.0576, -0.1178, -0.0533, 0.0267, 0.0034, -0.0874, -0.1038, -0.1259, -0.1853, -0.235, -0.1755, -0.0716, -0.0407, -0.0787, -0.1082, -0.1407, -0.1033, 0.0, -0.0165, 0.1278, -0.0117, -0.0793, -0.1119, -0.1531, -0.1779, -0.2819, -0.3156, -0.3002, -0.279, -0.3235, -0.3584, -0.3762, -0.2843, -0.2993, -0.2849, -0.2849, -0.2943, -0.2843, -0.3931, -0.3511, -0.3144, -0.3401, -0.316, -0.3086, -0.3517, -0.3514, -0.4077, -0.4763, -0.4599, -0.5014, -0.4716, -0.4108, -0.3795, -0.379, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.4052, -0.4183, -0.4347, -0.4425, -0.4425, -0.3697, -0.288, -0.3224, -0.3561, -0.3258, -0.3206, -0.2571, -0.2179, -0.2195, -0.2341, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1991, -0.2106, -0.2286, -0.1634, -0.2272, -0.1145, -0.071, -0.1168, -0.2068, -0.2165, -0.1972, -0.3367, -0.4127, -0.3826, -0.3188, -0.3663, -0.3702, -0.4092, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.3953, -0.3789, -0.361, -0.4099, -0.3748, -0.3292, -0.3501, -0.347, -0.3956, -0.3891, -0.4266, -0.3529, -0.4077, -0.4583, -0.4267, -0.4373, -0.3804, -0.3894, -0.3863, -0.3367, -0.3659, -0.377, -0.3851, -0.3906, -0.3777, -0.3931, -0.3885, -0.4472, -0.4821, -0.5333, -0.494, -0.4968, -0.4868, -0.4868, -0.4815, -0.4725, -0.4564, -0.453, -0.4196, -0.3643, -0.3008, -0.2794, -0.2959, -0.2897, -0.2809, -0.3333, -0.2858, -0.2322, -0.2525, -0.2862, -0.3441]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983168514077929740", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T13:46:33+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR is likely to announce an AI co-location deal for all of Black Pearl's 300MW before Thanksgiving. This is a massive deal and it is not priced in. Fade CIFR at your own risk.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish CIFR ahead of expected 300MW AI co-location deal announcement before Thanksgiving; not priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick and friendly reminder:\n\nCIFR is likely to announce an AI co-location deal for all of Black Pearl’s 300MW before Thanksgiving. This is a massive deal and it is not priced in.\n\nIn addition, I suspect they will launch a test cloud of 20MW. \n\nFade CIFR at your own risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02905820930151659, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02905820930151659, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031707189586525186, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0388608396789053, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026489802850085953, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00980263037738871, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537021485767302, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018537021485767302, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019017302553198667, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025723378102601058, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004802810674313651, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007186356616833756, "ret_p1w": 0.12775557421707928, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12775557421707928, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14495934595512705, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15431534417574244, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01720377173804777, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02655976995866316, "ret_p1m": -0.04058113742963543, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04058113742963543, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029839752572050182, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019625526382483938, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741384857585246, "bench_c_p1m": -0.060206663812119365, "ret_p3m": -0.11973945387140184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11973945387140184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1258620074117236, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08218524622135037, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122553540321762, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03755420765005146, "ret_p6m": -0.026052032778877132, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.026052032778877132, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06709600008321948, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07603640717642901, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.041043967304342344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04998437439755188, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04058113742963543, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.029839752572050182, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019625526382483938, "price_path": [-0.7265, -0.753, -0.74, -0.749, -0.739, -0.756, -0.762, -0.7615, -0.7635, -0.7545, -0.7335, -0.739, -0.6969, -0.7114, -0.7019, -0.7044, -0.6804, -0.6673, -0.6433, -0.6498, -0.6483, -0.6172, -0.6172, -0.5832, -0.5937, -0.6293, -0.6232, -0.6132, -0.5381, -0.4865, -0.5005, -0.4564, -0.4564, -0.4233, -0.3798, -0.4063, -0.3848, -0.3006, -0.2911, -0.2916, -0.4158, -0.4254, -0.3662, -0.3692, -0.3687, -0.3081, -0.2635, -0.2315, -0.2109, -0.1182, -0.0987, -0.1498, 0.019, 0.0466, 0.0536, -0.0621, -0.0601, -0.0025, -0.0944, -0.1929, -0.1355, 0.0351, 0.0291, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0446, -0.0656, 0.1403, 0.1278, 0.238, 0.0877, 0.0366, -0.0155, -0.0646, -0.1293, -0.252, -0.2806, -0.2811, -0.2695, -0.2675, -0.2705, -0.2911, -0.1628, -0.1222, -0.0406, -0.0406, 0.0195, -0.0135, -0.1162, -0.0666, -0.0065, -0.0341, -0.024, -0.02, -0.0741, -0.0541, -0.1458, -0.2615, -0.249, -0.2791, -0.241, -0.1879, -0.1814, -0.2029, -0.1874, -0.1874, -0.239, -0.2445, -0.269, -0.2605, -0.2605, -0.1884, -0.0902, -0.1212, -0.1944, -0.1708, -0.1668, -0.1142, -0.0857, -0.0917, -0.1222, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.1022, -0.1122, -0.1288, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0606, -0.0496, -0.1132, -0.2004, -0.2079, -0.1854, -0.2861, -0.3637, -0.262, -0.1603, -0.1433, -0.1844, -0.1934, -0.1774, -0.1774, -0.2164, -0.2275, -0.2084, -0.266, -0.2375, -0.1423, -0.1678, -0.1743, -0.2184, -0.2104, -0.263, -0.1964, -0.241, -0.3176, -0.2831, -0.3006, -0.2931, -0.3131, -0.2946, -0.2415, -0.244, -0.265, -0.2665, -0.2981, -0.254, -0.2545, -0.2044, -0.2811, -0.3114, -0.398, -0.3552, -0.3667, -0.3577, -0.3577, -0.3312, -0.2981, -0.2275, -0.1804, -0.1718, -0.1102, -0.0757, -0.0982, -0.1313, -0.0296, -0.0336, -0.0962, -0.0261]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969898687234183598", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-21T22:57:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Vol will spike within 25 days", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bitcoin volatility expected to spike within 25 days, implying a significant price move.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BritishHodl Vol will spike within 25 days.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "It’s weirdly silent in Bitcoin.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BritishHodl", "ret_m1d": 0.026078851237568257, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026078851237568257, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03078762315832595, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03078762315832595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00651013327573835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00651013327573835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001066570338515982, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001066570338515982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443562937222368, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443562937222368, "ret_p1w": 0.014650969951168324, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014650969951168324, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019389735225398885, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019389735225398885, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": -0.03788624142683705, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03788624142683705, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04455943956920572, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04455943956920572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": -0.24200763743478038, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24200763743478038, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25644874497765646, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25644874497765646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441107542876086, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441107542876086, "ret_p6m": -0.34435960176579383, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34435960176579383, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35325535354412285, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35325535354412285, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.014650969951168324, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019389735225398885, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019389735225398885, "price_path": [-0.0478, -0.0513, -0.0502, -0.0498, -0.0625, -0.0345, -0.0275, -0.0418, -0.0395, -0.0337, -0.0126, 0.0287, 0.0423, 0.063, 0.0446, 0.0531, 0.058, 0.0466, 0.0416, 0.0643, 0.0533, 0.0498, 0.0433, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0451, 0.0267, 0.0051, 0.0206, 0.0124, 0.0202, 0.0421, 0.0349, 0.0531, 0.0658, 0.094, 0.0498, 0.0412, 0.0311, 0.0007, 0.0135, -0.0029, 0.0366, -0.0233, -0.0084, -0.0135, -0.0018, -0.0385, -0.031, -0.0137, -0.0091, -0.018, -0.0186, -0.006, -0.0108, 0.0107, 0.0245, 0.0297, 0.0239, 0.0363, 0.033, 0.0389, 0.0261, 0.0, -0.0065, 0.0051, -0.0328, -0.0269, 0.0147, 0.0116, 0.0523, 0.0704, 0.0844, 0.1065, 0.0772, 0.0941, 0.0794, 0.0041, 0.0224, 0.0033, -0.0174, -0.0405, -0.0557, -0.0192, -0.0379, -0.0449, -0.0238, -0.0152, 0.0122, 0.0018, -0.0239, -0.0394, -0.0283, -0.055, -0.099, -0.0786, -0.1015, -0.0832, -0.0599, -0.0865, -0.0983, -0.1158, -0.1628, -0.1832, -0.1756, -0.1888, -0.2316, -0.2453, -0.2171, -0.2253, -0.1972, -0.1904, -0.1936, -0.2344, -0.1898, -0.1705, -0.1828, -0.2072, -0.1961, -0.1779, -0.1838, -0.1795, -0.1994, -0.2335, -0.2209, -0.236, -0.242, -0.2186, -0.2152, -0.2247, -0.2229, -0.2263, -0.2257, -0.2271, -0.2157, -0.2239, -0.213, -0.2023, -0.1673, -0.1687, -0.1902, -0.1927, -0.1972, -0.1912, -0.1546, -0.1403, -0.1525, -0.1528, -0.1791, -0.2167, -0.2073, -0.2065, -0.2062, -0.2171, -0.2097, -0.209, -0.25, -0.2538, -0.3021, -0.3292, -0.3524, -0.4439, -0.3742, -0.3781, -0.3898, -0.4058, -0.4127, -0.3893, -0.3894, -0.4014, -0.4109, -0.4061, -0.3968, -0.4269, -0.4317, -0.3972, -0.4017, -0.4157, -0.39, -0.3943, -0.3551, -0.3717, -0.3957, -0.3933, -0.3798, -0.3773, -0.3748, -0.3706, -0.336, -0.3444]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985811349830844615", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T20:48:15+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think CIFR announces at least one more deal this year. Honestly, they could do 2 more. This demand environment is insane. Do NOT bet against world class teams.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR expecting 1-2 more deals this year; insane demand environment and world-class team.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I told my wife yesterday that I think CIFR announces at least one more deal this year. Honestly, they could do 2 more. This demand environment is insane. Do NOT bet against world class teams.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011106174920390899, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011106174920390899, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0008896567375002995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016008154592754842, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02711432951314574, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09773428845940546, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09773428845940546, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0942688118032513, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09382199333138752, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00391229512801794, "ret_p1w": -0.1705908535558749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1705908535558749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18208314117512603, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16742684975636024, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0031640037995146475, "ret_p1m": -0.17236788221516464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17236788221516464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18517822483655388, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.158929699844925, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013438182370239637, "ret_p3m": -0.2909817913875796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2909817913875796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31878635396137955, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27144199628744414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019539795100135482, "ret_p6m": -0.24833407799861085, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24833407799861085, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3081524667524719, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33392603543554167, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08559195743693082, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17236788221516464, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18517822483655388, "alpha_c_stated": -0.158929699844925, "price_path": [-0.7837, -0.789, -0.7885, -0.7903, -0.7823, -0.7637, -0.7685, -0.7312, -0.7441, -0.7357, -0.7379, -0.7166, -0.705, -0.6837, -0.6895, -0.6881, -0.6606, -0.6606, -0.6304, -0.6397, -0.6713, -0.6659, -0.657, -0.5904, -0.5446, -0.5571, -0.518, -0.518, -0.4887, -0.45, -0.4736, -0.4545, -0.3798, -0.3714, -0.3718, -0.482, -0.4904, -0.438, -0.4407, -0.4402, -0.3865, -0.347, -0.3185, -0.3003, -0.2181, -0.2008, -0.2461, -0.0964, -0.072, -0.0657, -0.1684, -0.1666, -0.1155, -0.197, -0.2843, -0.2335, -0.0822, -0.0875, -0.1133, -0.1297, -0.1528, -0.1715, 0.0111, 0.0, 0.0977, -0.0355, -0.0809, -0.1271, -0.1706, -0.2279, -0.3367, -0.3621, -0.3625, -0.3523, -0.3505, -0.3532, -0.3714, -0.2577, -0.2217, -0.1493, -0.1493, -0.096, -0.1253, -0.2163, -0.1724, -0.1191, -0.1435, -0.1346, -0.1311, -0.179, -0.1613, -0.2426, -0.3452, -0.3341, -0.3607, -0.327, -0.2799, -0.2741, -0.2932, -0.2794, -0.2794, -0.3252, -0.3301, -0.3518, -0.3443, -0.3443, -0.2803, -0.1932, -0.2208, -0.2857, -0.2648, -0.2612, -0.2146, -0.1892, -0.1946, -0.2217, -0.1648, -0.1648, -0.2039, -0.2128, -0.2275, -0.2195, -0.2674, -0.167, -0.1573, -0.2137, -0.291, -0.2976, -0.2777, -0.3669, -0.4358, -0.3456, -0.2554, -0.2403, -0.2768, -0.2848, -0.2705, -0.2705, -0.3052, -0.315, -0.2981, -0.3492, -0.3239, -0.2394, -0.2621, -0.2679, -0.307, -0.2999, -0.3465, -0.2874, -0.327, -0.3949, -0.3643, -0.3798, -0.3732, -0.3909, -0.3745, -0.3274, -0.3296, -0.3483, -0.3496, -0.3776, -0.3385, -0.339, -0.2945, -0.3625, -0.3894, -0.4662, -0.4283, -0.4385, -0.4305, -0.4305, -0.4069, -0.3776, -0.315, -0.2732, -0.2657, -0.211, -0.1804, -0.2004, -0.2297, -0.1395, -0.143, -0.1986, -0.1364, -0.1697, -0.1915, -0.1932, -0.2332, -0.2483]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985732040839561361", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T15:33:06+00:00", "symbol": "pharmaceuticals", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pharma is about to get hot. I can feel it deep in my bones. Do not fade this.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish pharma sector; urges not to fade the coming move.", "resolved_tickers": ["XPH"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US pharmaceuticals ETF XPH", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pharma is about to get hot. I can feel it deep in my bones. Do not fade this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007296216806661926, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007296216806661926, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004699614851229272, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004699614851229272, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014187334079405867, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014187334079405867, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01765281073556002, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01765281073556002, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "ret_p1w": 0.03465743741549909, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03465743741549909, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023165149796247952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023165149796247952, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "ret_p1m": 0.09627076300085746, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09627076300085746, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08346042037946821, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08346042037946821, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "ret_p3m": 0.12569233940322744, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12569233940322744, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09788777682942751, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09788777682942751, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "ret_p6m": 0.14956464221706978, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14956464221706978, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08974625346320875, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08974625346320875, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09627076300085746, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08346042037946821, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08346042037946821, "price_path": [-0.1397, -0.127, -0.1177, -0.0981, -0.077, -0.0724, -0.0681, -0.0687, -0.071, -0.0641, -0.055, -0.0431, -0.0607, -0.0471, -0.0435, -0.0443, -0.04, -0.04, -0.0368, -0.0396, -0.0439, -0.0323, -0.0374, -0.036, -0.0433, -0.0372, -0.0596, -0.0698, -0.07, -0.0661, -0.0473, -0.0584, -0.0537, -0.0531, -0.0563, -0.0713, -0.047, -0.0369, -0.0284, -0.0162, -0.0217, -0.0069, -0.0144, -0.0203, -0.0184, -0.0142, -0.0409, -0.0399, -0.0399, -0.0168, -0.027, -0.0231, -0.0039, -0.0063, -0.017, -0.0158, -0.0126, -0.0047, -0.0093, -0.016, -0.0006, 0.0067, 0.0073, 0.0, -0.0142, -0.0152, -0.0211, -0.002, 0.0347, 0.0318, 0.0176, 0.0288, 0.0415, 0.0567, 0.0574, 0.0369, 0.0578, 0.0801, 0.0987, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.1107, 0.09, 0.0671, 0.0963, 0.1003, 0.1017, 0.1447, 0.1336, 0.1463, 0.1431, 0.14, 0.1384, 0.1299, 0.1218, 0.12, 0.1392, 0.1594, 0.1482, 0.1689, 0.1689, 0.1657, 0.157, 0.1425, 0.1375, 0.1375, 0.1212, 0.1176, 0.1271, 0.1511, 0.1421, 0.1324, 0.1293, 0.133, 0.1545, 0.1379, 0.1314, 0.1314, 0.147, 0.158, 0.1679, 0.143, 0.1446, 0.1525, 0.1249, 0.1338, 0.1257, 0.1584, 0.159, 0.1537, 0.1306, 0.1631, 0.1574, 0.171, 0.1657, 0.1539, 0.1543, 0.1543, 0.1675, 0.1657, 0.1665, 0.1582, 0.1602, 0.1785, 0.1862, 0.183, 0.1645, 0.1689, 0.1314, 0.1497, 0.1231, 0.1147, 0.1202, 0.1306, 0.1269, 0.0893, 0.0814, 0.0922, 0.1029, 0.0778, 0.091, 0.0707, 0.0715, 0.0672, 0.0934, 0.0855, 0.0546, 0.0442, 0.0998, 0.1126, 0.1126, 0.1126, 0.105, 0.1097, 0.1296, 0.151, 0.1359, 0.1506, 0.1644, 0.1691, 0.1681, 0.2051, 0.1996, 0.1764, 0.1774, 0.163, 0.1671, 0.1772, 0.166, 0.1496]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972749819023384876", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T19:46:23+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When I said it at $1, I was told it was too high and not possible", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implicitly endorses $200+ IREN target; author was bullish from $1 and reaffirms the upside thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ChristianSotoNJ @BG2Pod When I said it at $1, I was told it was too high and not possible", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred After listening to Jensen’s recent podcast on @BG2Pod I think $IREN $200+ is low.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ChristianSotoNJ", "ret_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08581043663341836, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08362508696305726, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004988012705604783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01800551996466626, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02657552556191345, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004803263568540106, "ret_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2453996520120143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2652919863525167, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007943856235212099, "ret_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3237967716685277, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.38008495674153553, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021060402981380233, "ret_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12930444672378483, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11915728638249867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03315683489775667, "ret_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09450761674202701, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.023003504246494444, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08172110584128267, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3590245537601553, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3237967716685277, "alpha_c_stated": 0.38008495674153553, "price_path": [-0.659, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.631, -0.6323, -0.6307, -0.6292, -0.6466, -0.6238, -0.6325, -0.6231, -0.607, -0.6094, -0.6048, -0.5953, -0.5865, -0.6051, -0.6142, -0.639, -0.6562, -0.6486, -0.6492, -0.6647, -0.6412, -0.6418, -0.6011, -0.5957, -0.5983, -0.6088, -0.6118, -0.614, -0.5846, -0.5713, -0.5492, -0.5922, -0.5698, -0.5735, -0.5334, -0.4966, -0.4995, -0.5133, -0.4984, -0.4235, -0.4235, -0.3662, -0.3858, -0.4311, -0.4307, -0.4298, -0.3427, -0.2678, -0.2848, -0.2606, -0.1914, -0.2064, -0.1748, -0.2092, -0.1587, -0.0877, -0.0906, 0.0263, 0.0078, -0.0886, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.025, 0.0237, 0.0986, 0.2573, 0.3429, 0.3083, 0.3902, 0.3013, 0.3965, 0.5145, 0.4801, 0.3462, 0.322, 0.2894, 0.2017, 0.1285, 0.2162, 0.3695, 0.415, 0.359, 0.3155, 0.2676, 0.3227, 0.4751, 0.4507, 0.6636, 0.4579, 0.3582, 0.31, 0.2493, 0.2127, 0.0592, 0.0096, 0.0322, 0.0636, -0.0022, -0.0536, -0.0799, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0549, 0.0549, 0.0409, 0.0557, -0.1047, -0.0429, 0.0113, -0.0266, 0.0089, 0.0198, -0.0438, -0.0433, -0.1263, -0.2275, -0.2034, -0.2645, -0.2206, -0.1309, -0.0847, -0.084, -0.086, -0.086, -0.1226, -0.142, -0.1661, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.0703, 0.0503, -0.0004, -0.0502, -0.0054, 0.0022, 0.0958, 0.1537, 0.1513, 0.1298, 0.2589, 0.2589, 0.1814, 0.1644, 0.1378, 0.2341, 0.14, 0.3061, 0.3703, 0.3029, 0.17, 0.1557, 0.1842, -0.0216, -0.1337, -0.0893, 0.0048, -0.0653, -0.071, -0.1285, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.108, -0.0838, -0.0575, -0.1295, -0.0777, -0.0105, -0.0414, -0.0368, -0.1084, -0.0988, -0.1541, -0.0455, -0.1264, -0.201, -0.1544, -0.17, -0.086, -0.0993, -0.0947, -0.0216, -0.0647, -0.081, -0.093, -0.101, -0.0821, -0.1047]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986080751541223484", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T14:38:45+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am bidding for more ASST", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively bidding to add more ASST shares; bullish but concerned entry under $1.30 may be hard if BTC stays above $100K.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am bidding for more ASST but I am concerned that unless BTC goes back under $100,000, it may be difficult to buy a large amount of shares under $1.30 going forward.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14383563880827288, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14383563880827288, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14038213020556334, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14041364452488325, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003421994283389629, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0068493410175966, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0068493410175966, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003879932027198385, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0032372237062562315, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003612117311340368, "ret_p1w": -0.1164384053782005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1164384053782005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12499824578875607, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13678061508345996, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020342209705259462, "ret_p1m": -0.3308219039388708, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3308219039388708, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34087244592464916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3509739906161794, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02015208667730861, "ret_p3m": -0.5047945321803019, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5047945321803019, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5341413627523904, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5355708991979059, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030776367017604, "ret_p6m": -0.47397262824143116, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.47397262824143116, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5406393130729863, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.47361337646583623, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0003592517755949265, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3308219039388708, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.34087244592464916, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3509739906161794, "price_path": [1.2534, 1.9247, 1.8288, 2.113, 2.1027, 1.9315, 1.863, 1.6644, 1.7397, 1.8288, 2.0274, 2.2877, 2.8288, 3.0479, 3.5822, 3.2123, 3.2123, 3.4247, 3.4589, 2.774, 2.1096, 2.6507, 3.3014, 4.5411, 5.1027, 4.8151, 3.2603, 2.0685, 1.5205, 1.6164, 1.9452, 1.8082, 1.2945, 1.0616, 0.8836, 0.6712, 0.5753, 0.7123, 0.7192, 0.8219, 0.7808, 0.7329, 0.4384, 0.363, 0.2397, 0.0651, -0.2603, -0.3171, -0.3425, -0.3836, -0.4288, -0.4082, -0.4315, -0.4658, -0.4082, -0.2466, 0.1233, -0.0137, -0.1438, -0.1712, -0.089, -0.1301, -0.1438, 0.0, -0.0068, 0.0342, 0.0137, -0.0685, -0.1164, -0.2123, -0.2603, -0.2877, -0.2329, -0.2808, -0.3267, -0.3014, -0.226, -0.2397, -0.226, -0.226, -0.2329, -0.2808, -0.2911, -0.2808, -0.3308, -0.3829, -0.3253, -0.3014, -0.3151, -0.3685, -0.4089, -0.4596, -0.411, -0.4377, -0.4308, -0.3842, -0.4068, -0.4486, -0.4096, -0.4096, -0.4418, -0.4705, -0.4986, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.4075, -0.2945, -0.2877, -0.3014, -0.3082, -0.3521, -0.2466, -0.3356, -0.2945, -0.3349, -0.3507, -0.3507, -0.3938, -0.389, -0.4041, -0.4034, -0.4616, -0.439, -0.4514, -0.4623, -0.4377, -0.5048, -0.5329, -0.5945, -0.6623, -0.592, -0.6526, -0.6856, -0.7229, -0.7363, -0.7147, -0.7147, -0.7199, -0.7243, -0.7219, -0.7209, -0.7479, -0.7546, -0.7075, -0.7195, -0.7281, -0.701, -0.7147, -0.6705, -0.6832, -0.7021, -0.7086, -0.6925, -0.6839, -0.6976, -0.6736, -0.6281, -0.6199, -0.6563, -0.6486, -0.6568, -0.6425, -0.6599, -0.6284, -0.6435, -0.6625, -0.6791, -0.6568, -0.6521, -0.6661, -0.6661, -0.6534, -0.6827, -0.649, -0.6699, -0.636, -0.6034, -0.5743, -0.5366, -0.5212, -0.4654, -0.4651, -0.4757, -0.4295, -0.4452, -0.4589, -0.4627, -0.4767, -0.5065, -0.474]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983928966709698726", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T16:08:19+00:00", "symbol": "BMY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been accumulating both for months preparing for defensives to come back with a vengeance at some point next year", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long both BMY and MRK via ongoing accumulation; expects defensive pharma names to outperform next year.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BMY clean beat on earnings with strength in Eliquis and Opdivo. Guidance raised. MRK initially weak but has flipped green. I’ve been accumulating both for months preparing for defensives to come back with a vengeance at some point next year. https://t.co/yzRuFMXwti", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06619911072223628, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06619911072223628, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07731942106692025, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07731942106692025, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009864081560466476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009864081560466476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006583859769821787, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006583859769821787, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "ret_p1w": 0.02213945524065175, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02213945524065175, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03614294982289057, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03614294982289057, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "ret_p1m": 0.07847439892288954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07847439892288954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07323786647108932, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07323786647108932, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "ret_p3m": 0.23227951601830865, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23227951601830865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2062215050841154, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2062215050841154, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "ret_p6m": 0.3155705156133921, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3155705156133921, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25941658743102214, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.25941658743102214, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07847439892288954, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07323786647108932, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07323786647108932, "price_path": [-0.0183, -0.0086, -0.0309, -0.0192, -0.0064, -0.0069, 0.0066, 0.0347, 0.0338, 0.0474, 0.042, 0.0453, 0.0435, 0.0472, 0.0362, 0.0193, 0.0208, 0.0299, 0.0137, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0251, 0.0271, 0.0096, 0.0193, 0.0102, 0.0213, 0.0195, 0.028, -0.001, 0.0022, 0.002, -0.0021, -0.014, -0.0265, -0.0274, -0.0289, -0.0451, -0.0613, -0.046, -0.0453, -0.0248, 0.0256, -0.0112, -0.0037, -0.0105, -0.021, -0.0237, -0.0206, -0.0364, -0.0456, -0.0399, -0.0441, -0.0489, -0.0436, -0.0445, -0.0237, -0.027, -0.0392, -0.0392, -0.0489, -0.0614, -0.0662, 0.0, 0.0099, 0.0088, -0.0007, 0.0186, 0.0221, 0.0235, 0.0359, 0.068, 0.0758, 0.066, 0.0226, 0.0261, 0.0316, 0.0037, 0.007, 0.0138, 0.0469, 0.0752, 0.0796, 0.0796, 0.0785, 0.078, 0.0577, 0.1171, 0.1388, 0.1431, 0.1326, 0.1103, 0.1225, 0.1223, 0.1488, 0.19, 0.1887, 0.1738, 0.169, 0.1879, 0.1982, 0.1898, 0.1993, 0.1993, 0.1977, 0.1861, 0.1883, 0.1824, 0.1824, 0.1857, 0.1768, 0.207, 0.258, 0.2398, 0.2389, 0.2369, 0.2403, 0.2647, 0.2558, 0.2256, 0.2256, 0.2026, 0.2088, 0.2185, 0.2121, 0.211, 0.2323, 0.2114, 0.2039, 0.221, 0.2396, 0.2418, 0.278, 0.3201, 0.3749, 0.3478, 0.3498, 0.3292, 0.3277, 0.3472, 0.3472, 0.3385, 0.3248, 0.3374, 0.3454, 0.3585, 0.3662, 0.3596, 0.3552, 0.3833, 0.3827, 0.3578, 0.3824, 0.3472, 0.3372, 0.3447, 0.3336, 0.3303, 0.3075, 0.3104, 0.3243, 0.3243, 0.3168, 0.2888, 0.2749, 0.2642, 0.2729, 0.3072, 0.3181, 0.2984, 0.3248, 0.3452, 0.3691, 0.3355, 0.3355, 0.3295, 0.2923, 0.3266, 0.3326, 0.3136, 0.301, 0.3015, 0.2972, 0.3212, 0.3483, 0.325, 0.3308, 0.3176, 0.3225, 0.3156]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983928966709698726", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-30T16:08:19+00:00", "symbol": "MRK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been accumulating both for months preparing for defensives to come back with a vengeance at some point next year", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long both BMY and MRK via ongoing accumulation; expects defensive pharma names to outperform next year.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BMY clean beat on earnings with strength in Eliquis and Opdivo. Guidance raised. MRK initially weak but has flipped green. I’ve been accumulating both for months preparing for defensives to come back with a vengeance at some point next year. https://t.co/yzRuFMXwti", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0034770165361206473, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0034770165361206473, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007643293808563323, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007643293808563323, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0034770165361205363, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0034770165361205363, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006757238326765225, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006757238326765225, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "ret_p1w": -0.005795057722998931, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005795057722998931, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008208436859239887, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008208436859239887, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "ret_p1m": 0.21499770928630801, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21499770928630801, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2097611768345078, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2097611768345078, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "ret_p3m": 0.26150204761662166, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26150204761662166, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23544403668242841, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23544403668242841, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "ret_p6m": 0.31771343791559614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.31771343791559614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.26155950973322617, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26155950973322617, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21499770928630801, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2097611768345078, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2097611768345078, "price_path": [-0.0835, -0.0728, -0.0883, -0.0776, -0.0739, -0.0815, -0.0784, -0.0508, -0.0502, -0.0335, -0.0334, -0.0253, -0.0284, -0.0121, 0.0027, -0.0209, -0.0246, -0.0351, -0.045, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.019, -0.0339, -0.0354, -0.0278, -0.0349, -0.0289, -0.0356, -0.0228, -0.0496, -0.061, -0.0602, -0.0596, -0.0551, -0.0553, -0.0682, -0.0732, -0.0766, -0.1006, -0.0895, -0.0892, -0.0272, 0.0446, 0.0374, 0.0337, 0.0292, 0.0154, 0.0014, 0.0141, -0.0034, -0.0067, -0.0183, -0.0252, -0.0274, -0.0173, 0.0005, 0.0155, 0.0154, 0.0104, 0.014, 0.0199, 0.0087, 0.0035, 0.0, -0.0035, -0.0439, -0.028, -0.0219, -0.0058, 0.0, 0.0054, 0.0541, 0.0599, 0.0771, 0.077, 0.0763, 0.1176, 0.1016, 0.1007, 0.1331, 0.1637, 0.2246, 0.2127, 0.2127, 0.215, 0.1802, 0.171, 0.1853, 0.1693, 0.1558, 0.1466, 0.123, 0.1314, 0.1475, 0.1625, 0.172, 0.1487, 0.1593, 0.177, 0.1817, 0.2241, 0.2278, 0.2443, 0.2443, 0.2482, 0.2463, 0.2398, 0.2304, 0.2304, 0.2443, 0.2559, 0.2726, 0.2695, 0.2974, 0.292, 0.2763, 0.2655, 0.2976, 0.2972, 0.2721, 0.2721, 0.2794, 0.2988, 0.2762, 0.2645, 0.2554, 0.2615, 0.2496, 0.2664, 0.289, 0.3252, 0.3541, 0.3832, 0.3998, 0.4253, 0.3752, 0.3694, 0.3946, 0.3938, 0.4192, 0.4192, 0.4211, 0.4221, 0.4244, 0.4291, 0.4474, 0.4486, 0.4315, 0.3945, 0.4474, 0.4192, 0.4007, 0.406, 0.3568, 0.3535, 0.3689, 0.3687, 0.3584, 0.3549, 0.3514, 0.3593, 0.3645, 0.3483, 0.3448, 0.3446, 0.3622, 0.3704, 0.4057, 0.4005, 0.4087, 0.3907, 0.4165, 0.423, 0.4233, 0.4233, 0.4231, 0.4046, 0.4505, 0.4447, 0.4298, 0.4149, 0.4126, 0.3884, 0.3596, 0.4021, 0.3789, 0.3255, 0.3294, 0.3497, 0.3177]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1979143123411571131", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T11:11:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Healthy cleanse then higher. Patience required imo.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short-term distress/forced liquidations in BTC treasury companies will cleanse the market, then Bitcoin heads higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m hearing there is some distress in the Bitcoin treasury company group. There will be forced liquidations as part of this process. This is what happens when you have a bunch of inexperienced people trying to be Michael Saylor. Healthy cleanse then higher. Patience required imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016138683963760503, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016138683963760503, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021782944301667717, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021782944301667717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644260337907214, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644260337907214, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03870786330108489, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03870786330108489, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028307363038161615, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028307363038161615, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "ret_p1w": 0.04288745781899861, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04288745781899861, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023531354593734788, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023531354593734788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "ret_p1m": -0.1350071621573925, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1350071621573925, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13693372276735616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13693372276735616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "ret_p3m": -0.0895901100369485, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0895901100369485, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.131748895348774, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.131748895348774, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042158785311825486, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042158785311825486, "ret_p6m": -0.3004021095875755, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3004021095875755, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33895870173814946, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33895870173814946, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1350071621573925, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13693372276735616, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13693372276735616, "price_path": [0.1271, 0.1154, 0.1118, 0.1049, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1067, 0.0873, 0.0644, 0.0808, 0.0721, 0.0804, 0.1036, 0.096, 0.1152, 0.1287, 0.1585, 0.1117, 0.1027, 0.0919, 0.0598, 0.0733, 0.0559, 0.0977, 0.0343, 0.0501, 0.0447, 0.0571, 0.0183, 0.0261, 0.0445, 0.0494, 0.04, 0.0393, 0.0526, 0.0476, 0.0703, 0.0849, 0.0905, 0.0843, 0.0975, 0.0939, 0.1002, 0.0866, 0.059, 0.0521, 0.0644, 0.0242, 0.0305, 0.0745, 0.0713, 0.1144, 0.1335, 0.1484, 0.1717, 0.1407, 0.1586, 0.1431, 0.0634, 0.0827, 0.0625, 0.0405, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0387, 0.0189, 0.0115, 0.0338, 0.0429, 0.0719, 0.0609, 0.0337, 0.0173, 0.029, 0.0007, -0.0458, -0.0242, -0.0485, -0.0291, -0.0044, -0.0326, -0.0451, -0.0636, -0.1134, -0.135, -0.127, -0.1409, -0.1863, -0.2008, -0.1709, -0.1796, -0.1498, -0.1426, -0.146, -0.1892, -0.142, -0.1215, -0.1346, -0.1604, -0.1487, -0.1294, -0.1357, -0.1311, -0.1521, -0.1883, -0.1749, -0.1909, -0.1973, -0.1725, -0.1689, -0.179, -0.1771, -0.1806, -0.18, -0.1816, -0.1694, -0.1781, -0.1666, -0.1552, -0.1182, -0.1196, -0.1424, -0.145, -0.1499, -0.1435, -0.1047, -0.0896, -0.1025, -0.1028, -0.1307, -0.1705, -0.1605, -0.1597, -0.1593, -0.1709, -0.1631, -0.1623, -0.2058, -0.2098, -0.2609, -0.2896, -0.3142, -0.4111, -0.3373, -0.3414, -0.3539, -0.3708, -0.378, -0.3533, -0.3534, -0.3661, -0.3761, -0.3711, -0.3613, -0.3931, -0.3981, -0.3617, -0.3664, -0.3812, -0.354, -0.3586, -0.3171, -0.3346, -0.36, -0.3575, -0.3432, -0.3406, -0.3379, -0.3334, -0.2969, -0.3057, -0.3308, -0.3433, -0.3376, -0.3339, -0.3377, -0.3302, -0.3539, -0.3769, -0.3736, -0.3591, -0.3606, -0.3717, -0.3713, -0.3532, -0.3243, -0.332, -0.3259, -0.3145, -0.3004]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982078496878047492", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T13:35:13+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't bet against @fundstrat", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses bullish ETH cycle-target thesis by invoking Fundstrat's track record; implied long.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Freedom_By_40 Don’t bet against @fundstrat", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$ETH cycle targets. \n\nLooks great imo for continuation.\n\nThe green box I think is very realistic, the pink box is still possible extension wise but I find it less likely at least at this point. https://t.co/c8GjGMlvZT", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Freedom_By_40", "ret_m1d": -0.04503621114457079, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04503621114457079, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03337610862921392, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03337610862921392, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660102515356874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660102515356874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03346008122768285, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03346008122768285, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03611609724676268, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03611609724676268, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002656016019079832, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002656016019079832, "ret_p1w": -0.12567927745996987, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12567927745996987, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12290659934550952, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12290659934550952, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027726781144603585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027726781144603585, "ret_p1m": -0.2820755723209619, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2820755723209619, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.26716114518034717, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.26716114518034717, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01491442714061475, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01491442714061475, "ret_p3m": -0.28409079865987363, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28409079865987363, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2925198371217229, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2925198371217229, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.00842903846184928, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00842903846184928, "ret_p6m": -0.4349753674148289, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4349753674148289, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4683199807783238, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4683199807783238, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344613363494924, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344613363494924, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2820755723209619, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.26716114518034717, "alpha_c_stated": -0.26716114518034717, "price_path": [-0.0757, -0.1028, -0.1533, -0.0974, -0.1234, -0.1059, -0.0499, -0.0268, 0.0259, 0.1143, 0.1544, 0.1039, 0.0776, 0.0467, -0.0113, 0.052, 0.025, 0.1726, 0.0614, 0.1166, 0.093, 0.0939, 0.0583, 0.0472, 0.0498, 0.0802, 0.0434, 0.0454, 0.0456, 0.0459, 0.0556, 0.0828, 0.1444, 0.0987, 0.0931, 0.1147, 0.114, 0.0851, 0.0201, 0.011, 0.0081, -0.0611, -0.0204, 0.0236, 0.0063, 0.0561, 0.0893, 0.0958, 0.1378, 0.0803, 0.0989, 0.0604, -0.0673, 0.0304, 0.0013, -0.0322, -0.0547, -0.0698, -0.0338, -0.0591, -0.0757, -0.0641, -0.045, 0.0, -0.0335, -0.0526, -0.0766, -0.0663, -0.1257, -0.2009, -0.1687, -0.1961, -0.1662, -0.1339, -0.1711, -0.1716, -0.2154, -0.2467, -0.2659, -0.242, -0.2663, -0.3127, -0.3287, -0.2833, -0.2821, -0.2651, -0.2683, -0.264, -0.3204, -0.2724, -0.2254, -0.2393, -0.2659, -0.2415, -0.1939, -0.1929, -0.2143, -0.2514, -0.2806, -0.2806, -0.3128, -0.3138, -0.2772, -0.2704, -0.2808, -0.2851, -0.2953, -0.2899, -0.2878, -0.2788, -0.2799, -0.2718, -0.2417, -0.217, -0.2, -0.2314, -0.2465, -0.2517, -0.2495, -0.1937, -0.1858, -0.1949, -0.2001, -0.2266, -0.2875, -0.277, -0.2841, -0.2832, -0.2897, -0.2665, -0.2703, -0.316, -0.3441, -0.431, -0.4593, -0.4797, -0.5579, -0.4992, -0.4894, -0.5098, -0.529, -0.5275, -0.5028, -0.5151, -0.5165, -0.5257, -0.5271, -0.5221, -0.5496, -0.5503, -0.5013, -0.5081, -0.5314, -0.508, -0.5188, -0.4839, -0.4972, -0.5197, -0.5163, -0.5056, -0.5021, -0.4968, -0.4921, -0.4293, -0.4374, -0.4651, -0.4812, -0.479, -0.4776, -0.4768, -0.4738, -0.5001, -0.5167, -0.5089, -0.4892, -0.4809, -0.5008, -0.5016, -0.4884, -0.4559, -0.4684, -0.4687, -0.4551, -0.4246, -0.4361, -0.4273, -0.43, -0.4124, -0.4381, -0.435]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966952244106199131", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-13T19:48:53+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I will be here as long as it takes. Watch.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long IREN on multi-decade AI and Bitcoin compute factory buildout; committed long-term holder.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IREN is building massive AI and Bitcoin compute factories of the highest quality. It is monetizing physical assets along a multi-decade arc. Most people aren’t capable of thinking this big or staying interested this long. I can. And I will be here as long as it takes. Watch.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08562198054483816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08562198054483816, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08032639847246659, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08785748155953499, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295582072371574, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002235501014696828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018578315510185517, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018578315510185517, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017201430556925468, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016342886661967593, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013768849532600491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002235428848217924, "ret_p1w": 0.12816376452491718, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12816376452491718, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1163938538963849, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11889087716069757, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009272887364219606, "ret_p1m": 0.8729132660670245, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8729132660670245, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8681379608805586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8778450510637434, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00493178499671898, "ret_p3m": 0.18309098946716262, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18309098946716262, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13744070778746376, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15755762325959255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025533366207570074, "ret_p6m": 0.026386633234826373, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.026386633234826373, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.004107736252521699, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08748320721062708, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": -0.061096573975800705, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.7361, -0.7361, -0.7181, -0.713, -0.6893, -0.6804, -0.647, -0.623, -0.6077, -0.5899, -0.5784, -0.5471, -0.5471, -0.5436, -0.5452, -0.5433, -0.5415, -0.563, -0.5347, -0.5455, -0.5339, -0.514, -0.517, -0.5113, -0.4995, -0.4887, -0.5116, -0.5229, -0.5536, -0.5749, -0.5654, -0.5662, -0.5854, -0.5563, -0.5571, -0.5067, -0.5, -0.5032, -0.5162, -0.5199, -0.5226, -0.4863, -0.4698, -0.4425, -0.4957, -0.468, -0.4725, -0.423, -0.3775, -0.381, -0.3981, -0.3796, -0.287, -0.287, -0.2162, -0.2404, -0.2964, -0.2959, -0.2948, -0.1871, -0.0945, -0.1155, -0.0856, 0.0, -0.0186, 0.0205, -0.0221, 0.0404, 0.1282, 0.1247, 0.2693, 0.2464, 0.1271, 0.2367, 0.2636, 0.2676, 0.266, 0.3586, 0.5549, 0.6607, 0.6179, 0.7192, 0.6093, 0.727, 0.8729, 0.8304, 0.6648, 0.6349, 0.5945, 0.4861, 0.3955, 0.504, 0.6936, 0.7499, 0.6807, 0.6268, 0.5676, 0.6357, 0.8242, 0.794, 1.0574, 0.8029, 0.6796, 0.6201, 0.545, 0.4997, 0.3099, 0.2485, 0.2765, 0.3153, 0.234, 0.1704, 0.1379, 0.3056, 0.2781, 0.3045, 0.3045, 0.2873, 0.3056, 0.1072, 0.1836, 0.2507, 0.2038, 0.2477, 0.2612, 0.1826, 0.1831, 0.0805, -0.0447, -0.0148, -0.0905, -0.0361, 0.0749, 0.1319, 0.1327, 0.1303, 0.1303, 0.0851, 0.0611, 0.0312, 0.017, 0.017, 0.1497, 0.2989, 0.2361, 0.1746, 0.2299, 0.2394, 0.3551, 0.4268, 0.4238, 0.3971, 0.5568, 0.5568, 0.461, 0.44, 0.4071, 0.5261, 0.4098, 0.6152, 0.6947, 0.6112, 0.447, 0.4292, 0.4645, 0.21, 0.0714, 0.1263, 0.2426, 0.1559, 0.1489, 0.0778, 0.1368, 0.1368, 0.1031, 0.133, 0.1656, 0.0765, 0.1405, 0.2237, 0.1855, 0.1912, 0.1026, 0.1144, 0.046, 0.1804, 0.0804, -0.0118, 0.0458, 0.0264]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1972747993297436978", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T19:39:08+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I estimate CIFR will be worth $25-30 by the time they close the next 100-300MW deal and complete initial financing", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR with $25-30 price target on closing next 100-300MW deal and initial financing completion.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I estimate CIFR will be worth $25-30 by the time they close the next 100-300MW deal and complete initial financing. Markets are hard. But occasionally, it’s pretty easy to make money.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09047792092405937, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08796540332163438, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0053151806376686705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008509782957696, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010200850097915937, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005457809168927019, "ret_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20069979186913622, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1867145777053738, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025933692269052733, "ret_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5426378057645471, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5007065033805198, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0771590844756549, "ret_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2389094278819135, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2368603918220269, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045353031298929425, "ret_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18650162284439786, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20224662888616474, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.025961999387516976, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5778655878561747, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5426378057645471, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5007065033805198, "price_path": [-0.551, -0.5217, -0.5217, -0.5423, -0.5233, -0.5051, -0.5067, -0.536, -0.5233, -0.5281, -0.5043, -0.4925, -0.4972, -0.5059, -0.4514, -0.4719, -0.4743, -0.4885, -0.513, -0.551, -0.5692, -0.5684, -0.6103, -0.5897, -0.604, -0.5881, -0.615, -0.6245, -0.6237, -0.6269, -0.6126, -0.5794, -0.5881, -0.5217, -0.5447, -0.5296, -0.5336, -0.4957, -0.4751, -0.4372, -0.4474, -0.4451, -0.396, -0.396, -0.3423, -0.3589, -0.415, -0.4055, -0.3897, -0.2711, -0.1897, -0.2119, -0.1423, -0.1423, -0.0901, -0.0213, -0.0632, -0.0292, 0.1036, 0.1186, 0.1178, -0.0783, -0.0933, 0.0, -0.0047, -0.004, 0.0917, 0.1621, 0.2126, 0.2451, 0.3913, 0.4221, 0.3415, 0.6079, 0.6514, 0.6625, 0.4798, 0.483, 0.5739, 0.4289, 0.2735, 0.364, 0.6332, 0.6237, 0.5779, 0.5486, 0.5075, 0.4743, 0.7992, 0.7794, 0.9534, 0.7162, 0.6356, 0.5534, 0.4759, 0.3739, 0.1802, 0.1352, 0.1344, 0.1526, 0.1557, 0.151, 0.1186, 0.3209, 0.385, 0.5138, 0.5138, 0.6087, 0.5565, 0.3945, 0.4727, 0.5676, 0.5241, 0.5399, 0.5462, 0.4609, 0.4925, 0.3478, 0.1652, 0.185, 0.1375, 0.1976, 0.2814, 0.2917, 0.2577, 0.2822, 0.2822, 0.2008, 0.1921, 0.1534, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.2806, 0.4356, 0.3866, 0.2711, 0.3083, 0.3146, 0.3976, 0.4427, 0.4332, 0.385, 0.4862, 0.4862, 0.4166, 0.4008, 0.3747, 0.3889, 0.3036, 0.4822, 0.4996, 0.3992, 0.2617, 0.2498, 0.2854, 0.1265, 0.004, 0.1644, 0.3249, 0.3518, 0.287, 0.2727, 0.298, 0.298, 0.2364, 0.219, 0.249, 0.1581, 0.2032, 0.3534, 0.313, 0.3028, 0.2332, 0.2458, 0.1628, 0.268, 0.1976, 0.0767, 0.1312, 0.1036, 0.1154, 0.0838, 0.113, 0.1968, 0.1929, 0.1597, 0.1573, 0.1075, 0.1771, 0.1763]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1971316764740079768", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T20:51:56+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The critical thing is CIFR owns 100%. Google. High margin revenue. More deals otw. Hold!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: shakeout spooked weak hands but Google deal ownership, high-margin revenue, and more deals incoming justify holding.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They scared a lot of beginner investors and salad hands out of CIFR today. Very tricky. Now they’re walking it back up after hours as the zero coupon convert likely oversubscribed. All noise. The critical thing is CIFR owns 100%. Google. High margin revenue. More deals otw. Hold!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022261221839110723, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01957743786526911, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005696306759774172, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0030125227859325587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10006647165339522, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09753342894008377, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028105400319002882, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005343582745211739, "ret_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.27043776285637366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2605166986187226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011166375508047555, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0210874397456986, "ret_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7553712126734224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7184589806040838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387325891810706, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0722995579611494, "ret_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.36788746555131, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3631847467147802, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623624288310357, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05093896171963341, "ret_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3022612270829462, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31317230656669504, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092090494088763, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015003169977837572, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7907585385652331, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7553712126734224, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7184589806040838, "price_path": [-0.5728, -0.5048, -0.4725, -0.4725, -0.4952, -0.4743, -0.4542, -0.456, -0.4882, -0.4743, -0.4795, -0.4534, -0.4403, -0.4455, -0.4551, -0.3949, -0.4176, -0.4202, -0.4359, -0.4629, -0.5048, -0.5248, -0.524, -0.5702, -0.5475, -0.5632, -0.5458, -0.5754, -0.5859, -0.585, -0.5885, -0.5728, -0.5362, -0.5458, -0.4725, -0.4978, -0.4813, -0.4856, -0.4438, -0.4211, -0.3793, -0.3906, -0.388, -0.3339, -0.3339, -0.2746, -0.2929, -0.3548, -0.3444, -0.3269, -0.1962, -0.1064, -0.1308, -0.0541, -0.0541, 0.0035, 0.0793, 0.0331, 0.0706, 0.2171, 0.2337, 0.2328, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.1029, 0.0976, 0.0985, 0.204, 0.2816, 0.3374, 0.3731, 0.5344, 0.5684, 0.4795, 0.7733, 0.8213, 0.8335, 0.6321, 0.6356, 0.7358, 0.5759, 0.4045, 0.5044, 0.8012, 0.7908, 0.7402, 0.7079, 0.6626, 0.626, 0.9843, 0.9625, 1.1543, 0.8928, 0.8038, 0.7132, 0.6277, 0.5153, 0.3017, 0.252, 0.2511, 0.2711, 0.2746, 0.2694, 0.2337, 0.4568, 0.5275, 0.6696, 0.6696, 0.7742, 0.7167, 0.5379, 0.6242, 0.7289, 0.6809, 0.6983, 0.7053, 0.6112, 0.646, 0.4865, 0.2851, 0.3069, 0.2546, 0.3208, 0.4133, 0.4246, 0.3871, 0.4141, 0.4141, 0.3243, 0.3147, 0.272, 0.2868, 0.2868, 0.4124, 0.5833, 0.5292, 0.4019, 0.4429, 0.4499, 0.5414, 0.5911, 0.5806, 0.5275, 0.6391, 0.6391, 0.5623, 0.5449, 0.5161, 0.5318, 0.4377, 0.6347, 0.6539, 0.5432, 0.3915, 0.3784, 0.4176, 0.2424, 0.1072, 0.2842, 0.4612, 0.4908, 0.4194, 0.4037, 0.4316, 0.4316, 0.3636, 0.3444, 0.3775, 0.2772, 0.3269, 0.4926, 0.4481, 0.4368, 0.3601, 0.374, 0.2825, 0.3984, 0.3208, 0.1874, 0.2476, 0.2171, 0.2302, 0.1953, 0.2276, 0.32, 0.3156, 0.279, 0.2764, 0.2214, 0.2982]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971928594273489152", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-27T13:23:08+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are probably getting close to a bottom in MSTR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author agrees MSTR is near a bottom, implying upside from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ColeMacro Agreed. I was just thinking we are probably getting close to a bottom in MSTR on my run yesterday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "See the comments for the charts I mentioned yesterday - showing why I believe that both Bitcoin and MSTR vs. Bitcoin are looking attractive at current levels. I go over four charts - Bitcoin relative to MSTR, Bitcoin, DXY, and Bitcoin relative to Gold. All point to now being a", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ColeMacro", "ret_m1d": -0.05318306217453772, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05318306217453772, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05038039913929404, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05038039913929404, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012897560809604913, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012897560809604913, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016664302838311995, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016664302838311995, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "ret_p1w": 0.10192386387189911, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10192386387189911, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0899753857666088, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0899753857666088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "ret_p1m": -0.12799459916861522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12799459916861522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1632223812602428, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1632223812602428, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "ret_p3m": -0.5137859194132907, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5137859194132907, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5570899146523335, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5570899146523335, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "ret_p6m": -0.5825929955420329, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5825929955420329, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5723760021962828, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5723760021962828, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12799459916861522, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1632223812602428, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1632223812602428, "price_path": [0.2324, 0.2376, 0.2376, 0.2121, 0.216, 0.2726, 0.292, 0.3314, 0.3817, 0.355, 0.3967, 0.3827, 0.2966, 0.3059, 0.3063, 0.2642, 0.2711, 0.2435, 0.2371, 0.2091, 0.2102, 0.2311, 0.1232, 0.1925, 0.1502, 0.1746, 0.2316, 0.2105, 0.2262, 0.2082, 0.1945, 0.1425, 0.1222, 0.1139, 0.0311, 0.055, 0.0342, 0.0971, 0.0514, 0.0764, 0.0479, 0.038, 0.0245, 0.0245, 0.0466, 0.0118, 0.0036, 0.029, 0.0107, 0.0065, 0.0001, -0.0012, 0.0154, 0.0042, 0.0266, 0.0101, 0.0695, 0.0562, 0.0291, 0.0042, -0.0095, -0.0788, -0.0532, 0.0, -0.0129, 0.0367, 0.0794, 0.0772, 0.1019, 0.0061, 0.0134, -0.0188, -0.0663, -0.0335, -0.0789, -0.0909, -0.1304, -0.112, -0.0913, -0.0751, -0.1397, -0.1271, -0.1144, -0.0943, -0.128, -0.1564, -0.2201, -0.1743, -0.1892, -0.2433, -0.2188, -0.2733, -0.2588, -0.2682, -0.2913, -0.3119, -0.3611, -0.3881, -0.4013, -0.3665, -0.4287, -0.4574, -0.4777, -0.4515, -0.4725, -0.4619, -0.4619, -0.4572, -0.4748, -0.4445, -0.4229, -0.4302, -0.4517, -0.4373, -0.421, -0.4343, -0.4385, -0.4594, -0.5035, -0.4869, -0.5087, -0.5152, -0.4951, -0.4966, -0.5163, -0.5138, -0.5138, -0.5135, -0.524, -0.5233, -0.5345, -0.5345, -0.5185, -0.4954, -0.5161, -0.5042, -0.4885, -0.518, -0.503, -0.47, -0.4506, -0.4764, -0.4678, -0.4678, -0.5091, -0.4982, -0.5068, -0.5003, -0.5081, -0.505, -0.5146, -0.5613, -0.5414, -0.5722, -0.5918, -0.6045, -0.6722, -0.5866, -0.5759, -0.5925, -0.6138, -0.6232, -0.5899, -0.5899, -0.6058, -0.6164, -0.6034, -0.5985, -0.621, -0.6183, -0.5844, -0.5913, -0.6033, -0.5783, -0.5935, -0.5514, -0.5717, -0.5909, -0.5743, -0.5758, -0.5762, -0.5793, -0.5721, -0.5481, -0.5396, -0.5694, -0.5765, -0.5844, -0.5766, -0.5826]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986897769471365370", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T20:45:17+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin smells bear blood. Bitcoin smells the end of the shutdown. Watch and learn.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish BTC; expects it to front-run the liquidity surge from US government reopening.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin smells bear blood. Bitcoin smells the end of the shutdown. Watch and learn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitcoin is a liquidity sniffing hound. It will sniff out the US Government re-opening and the corresponding liquidity surge before any other asset. It has a long track record of doing this kind of thing. This dog can hunt!", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020035493635420676, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020035493635420676, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019051988690884647, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019051988690884647, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835049445360289, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835049445360289, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025385763911246917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025385763911246917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009781485284103608, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009781485284103608, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "ret_p1w": -0.08681830590066197, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08681830590066197, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0882490336475441, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0882490336475441, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "ret_p1m": -0.12316829593971068, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12316829593971068, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1420365856142478, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1420365856142478, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886828967453713, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01886828967453713, "ret_p3m": -0.2936248098123381, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2936248098123381, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31933039871240754, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31933039871240754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "ret_p6m": -0.22776387678409105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22776387678409105, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3039645521492229, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3039645521492229, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08681830590066197, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0882490336475441, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0882490336475441, "price_path": [0.1625, 0.1932, 0.145, 0.1357, 0.1246, 0.0915, 0.1055, 0.0875, 0.1306, 0.0653, 0.0816, 0.0759, 0.0887, 0.0487, 0.0569, 0.0757, 0.0808, 0.0711, 0.0704, 0.0842, 0.0789, 0.1024, 0.1174, 0.1231, 0.1168, 0.1303, 0.1267, 0.1332, 0.1191, 0.0907, 0.0836, 0.0963, 0.0549, 0.0613, 0.1067, 0.1034, 0.1478, 0.1674, 0.1828, 0.2068, 0.1749, 0.1933, 0.1774, 0.0952, 0.1151, 0.0943, 0.0717, 0.0466, 0.0299, 0.0698, 0.0494, 0.0418, 0.0648, 0.0741, 0.104, 0.0927, 0.0646, 0.0477, 0.0598, 0.0307, -0.0172, 0.005, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0254, -0.0036, -0.0165, -0.0356, -0.0868, -0.1091, -0.1008, -0.1152, -0.1619, -0.1769, -0.1461, -0.1551, -0.1243, -0.1169, -0.1205, -0.1649, -0.1163, -0.0952, -0.1086, -0.1353, -0.1232, -0.1033, -0.1098, -0.1051, -0.1267, -0.164, -0.1502, -0.1667, -0.1733, -0.1477, -0.144, -0.1544, -0.1525, -0.1561, -0.1555, -0.157, -0.1445, -0.1535, -0.1416, -0.1299, -0.0918, -0.0933, -0.1167, -0.1194, -0.1244, -0.1178, -0.0779, -0.0623, -0.0757, -0.0759, -0.1047, -0.1457, -0.1354, -0.1346, -0.1342, -0.1461, -0.138, -0.1372, -0.182, -0.1862, -0.2388, -0.2683, -0.2936, -0.3934, -0.3175, -0.3217, -0.3345, -0.3519, -0.3594, -0.3339, -0.334, -0.3471, -0.3574, -0.3523, -0.3421, -0.3749, -0.3801, -0.3426, -0.3475, -0.3627, -0.3347, -0.3393, -0.2966, -0.3147, -0.3409, -0.3383, -0.3235, -0.3209, -0.3181, -0.3135, -0.2758, -0.2849, -0.3108, -0.3237, -0.3178, -0.314, -0.3178, -0.3102, -0.3345, -0.3583, -0.3548, -0.3399, -0.3414, -0.3529, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3041, -0.312, -0.3057, -0.294, -0.2795, -0.2824, -0.2764, -0.273, -0.2539, -0.266, -0.2614, -0.2435, -0.2428, -0.2507, -0.2516, -0.2614, -0.267, -0.2619, -0.2437, -0.2278]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1963673688185946536", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-04T18:41:05+00:00", "symbol": "SBET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought more of both today. It's a buy and hold until at least November/December", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought more SBET and BMNR today; holding both at least through November/December.", "resolved_tickers": ["SBET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@henry35091373 I bought more of both today. It’s a buy and hold until at least November/December", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred hey Mike, your thoughts on SBET and BMNR?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "henry35091373", "ret_m1d": 0.09008421012034473, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09008421012034473, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09837245441977038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1004431209635428, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008288244299425651, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010358910843198066, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03175636520422598, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03175636520422598, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02885998123494027, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01344335465928781, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028963839692857096, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01831301054493817, "ret_p1w": 0.060272215604806334, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.060272215604806334, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04716224209398989, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06082721612003594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013109973510816442, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005550005152296089, "ret_p1m": 0.1782242349715022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1782242349715022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14441632476111654, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18124230555896859, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03380791021038565, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0030180705874663927, "ret_p3m": -0.35385611990658816, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35385611990658816, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40669606593379526, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33450627237587105, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052839946027207096, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019349847530717112, "ret_p6m": -0.5580038861455043, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5580038861455043, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6208650963426849, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5158219838488126, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0628612101971806, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04218190229669172, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1782242349715022, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14441632476111654, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18124230555896859, "price_path": [0.9073, 1.2022, 1.4025, 1.1082, -0.4031, -0.1309, -0.2255, -0.3519, -0.3519, -0.3616, -0.4167, -0.3739, -0.3338, -0.3467, -0.3934, -0.3564, -0.394, -0.2236, -0.1795, -0.1795, -0.1789, 0.0557, 0.1056, 0.1977, 0.4031, 0.5476, 0.8775, 1.4226, 1.359, 0.8782, 0.6364, 0.7758, 0.6727, 0.5113, 0.4251, 0.3564, 0.2366, 0.2677, 0.2191, 0.1108, 0.2404, 0.3111, 0.4349, 0.5139, 0.5502, 0.4478, 0.4563, 0.5243, 0.5224, 0.2865, 0.304, 0.1912, 0.2618, 0.1692, 0.3526, 0.2424, 0.291, 0.2489, 0.1964, 0.1549, 0.1549, 0.1005, 0.0901, 0.0, -0.0318, 0.0156, 0.0817, 0.0428, 0.0603, 0.1471, 0.0881, 0.0985, 0.1095, 0.116, 0.1231, 0.0765, 0.1024, 0.1393, 0.057, 0.0369, 0.1186, 0.1024, 0.1257, 0.1724, 0.1782, 0.2469, 0.1517, 0.1387, 0.0985, -0.0071, 0.0454, 0.0136, -0.0181, -0.0557, -0.0706, -0.0415, -0.0706, -0.129, -0.1244, -0.0979, -0.0726, -0.1095, -0.118, -0.1724, -0.103, -0.1517, -0.243, -0.2139, -0.2761, -0.2249, -0.2255, -0.2508, -0.2502, -0.2878, -0.2942, -0.3331, -0.3163, -0.3603, -0.3973, -0.383, -0.3467, -0.3564, -0.3357, -0.3357, -0.3117, -0.3778, -0.3539, -0.3137, -0.2767, -0.3052, -0.2832, -0.2482, -0.221, -0.2528, -0.3189, -0.3837, -0.3707, -0.3992, -0.4154, -0.3642, -0.3798, -0.4012, -0.4038, -0.4038, -0.4232, -0.4193, -0.4303, -0.4206, -0.4206, -0.372, -0.3344, -0.3299, -0.3428, -0.3338, -0.3506, -0.3351, -0.3169, -0.2949, -0.3234, -0.2871, -0.2871, -0.3552, -0.3539, -0.3662, -0.3681, -0.3921, -0.3526, -0.3539, -0.3927, -0.4245, -0.4951, -0.5036, -0.5412, -0.6066, -0.5444, -0.5392, -0.569, -0.571, -0.5762, -0.5561, -0.5561, -0.5684, -0.5723, -0.5593, -0.5645, -0.5794, -0.5755, -0.5178, -0.5327, -0.558]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1963673688185946536", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-04T18:41:05+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought more of both today. It's a buy and hold until at least November/December", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought more SBET and BMNR today; holding both at least through November/December.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@henry35091373 I bought more of both today. It’s a buy and hold until at least November/December", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred hey Mike, your thoughts on SBET and BMNR?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "henry35091373", "ret_m1d": 0.06328514133810303, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06328514133810303, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07157338563752869, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0736440521813011, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008288244299425651, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010358910843198066, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0035553399378905892, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0035553399378905892, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006589559686048796, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01475767060704758, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028963839692857096, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01831301054493817, "ret_p1w": 0.13273293219765048, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13273293219765048, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11962295868683404, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1332879327128801, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013109973510816442, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005550005152296089, "ret_p1m": 0.34273531267455626, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.34273531267455626, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3089274024641706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.34575338326202265, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03380791021038565, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0030180705874663927, "ret_p3m": -0.24365962870348667, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24365962870348667, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29649957473069377, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22430978117276956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052839946027207096, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019349847530717112, "ret_p6m": -0.5499982453931622, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5499982453931622, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6128594555903428, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5078163430964705, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0628612101971806, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04218190229669172, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.34273531267455626, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3089274024641706, "alpha_c_stated": 0.34575338326202265, "price_path": [-0.8367, -0.84, -0.8507, -0.867, -0.8824, -0.8874, -0.8858, -0.8886, -0.8886, -0.8907, -0.8957, -0.8952, -0.8964, -0.8952, -0.8989, -0.1965, 0.0903, 0.3866, 2.1998, 2.1998, 1.5475, 1.6428, 0.5814, 0.0905, -0.0372, -0.0277, -0.0529, 0.0619, -0.0069, 0.0038, -0.0621, -0.0441, -0.0638, -0.0104, -0.0566, -0.1678, -0.2415, -0.1846, -0.179, -0.2491, -0.2621, -0.2107, -0.0882, -0.0216, 0.219, 0.398, 0.48, 0.4608, 0.4328, 0.3702, 0.3005, 0.1799, 0.2339, 0.1313, 0.2678, 0.1756, 0.1839, 0.091, 0.0801, 0.0339, 0.0339, 0.0071, 0.0633, 0.0, -0.0036, 0.0379, 0.0571, 0.0808, 0.1327, 0.3058, 0.2588, 0.3257, 0.3527, 0.4212, 0.4527, 0.306, 0.2915, 0.2306, 0.1749, 0.197, 0.2614, 0.2309, 0.2411, 0.3392, 0.3427, 0.4985, 0.4032, 0.4221, 0.4008, 0.2437, 0.3475, 0.2543, 0.2752, 0.2107, 0.1816, 0.2752, 0.229, 0.1384, 0.1659, 0.1948, 0.2731, 0.2453, 0.1794, 0.0559, 0.1057, 0.0159, -0.0647, -0.0183, -0.1142, -0.0465, -0.0247, -0.0616, -0.0384, -0.1332, -0.1846, -0.2664, -0.2349, -0.3084, -0.3833, -0.3837, -0.2629, -0.3148, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.215, -0.3141, -0.2437, -0.2022, -0.1391, -0.1927, -0.1503, -0.0704, -0.0421, -0.09, -0.1735, -0.2662, -0.2558, -0.3048, -0.3259, -0.2565, -0.2629, -0.2939, -0.3041, -0.3041, -0.3288, -0.3233, -0.3428, -0.3563, -0.3563, -0.2605, -0.2093, -0.2335, -0.2802, -0.2584, -0.2873, -0.2619, -0.2598, -0.2257, -0.2681, -0.2612, -0.2612, -0.3305, -0.3041, -0.3148, -0.3172, -0.3409, -0.3046, -0.2975, -0.367, -0.4049, -0.4594, -0.4701, -0.5187, -0.5875, -0.5147, -0.4914, -0.527, -0.5384, -0.532, -0.5031, -0.5031, -0.5223, -0.5301, -0.5268, -0.5227, -0.5443, -0.5391, -0.4903, -0.5154, -0.55]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983175386197643519", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T14:13:52+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am averaging up in ASST today. Added 50,000 shares each at $1.35 and $1.37 and have bids stacked below.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Actively averaging up in ASST, adding 50k shares at $1.35 and $1.37 with more bids stacked below.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am averaging up in ASST today. Added 50,000 shares each at $1.35 and $1.37 and have bids stacked below. Please, lettuce hands, bring it down a bit further 🙏 https://t.co/jxd1BaLPT1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.13888889256818815, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13888889256818815, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14153787285319674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13247257704425452, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026489802850085953, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0064163155239336245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.13194442144882468, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.13194442144882468, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13242470251625604, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11496008683042114, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004802810674313651, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01698433461840354, "ret_p1w": -0.13194442144882468, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13194442144882468, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11474064971077691, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12118767861937929, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01720377173804777, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010756742829445387, "ret_p1m": -0.21527774374426056, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21527774374426056, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20453635888667532, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21452292167066622, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741384857585246, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0007548220735943412, "ret_p3m": -0.39513887021644567, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.39513887021644567, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40126142375676743, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40014886601643174, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122553540321762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005009995799986067, "ret_p6m": -0.42152776775168754, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42152776775168754, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4625717350560299, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4153339859291496, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.041043967304342344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006193781822537936, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13194442144882468, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11474064971077691, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12118767861937929, "price_path": [1.3125, 1.0972, 1.2292, 1.4236, 1.4306, 1.3889, 1.2847, 1.9653, 1.8681, 2.1563, 2.1458, 1.9722, 1.9028, 1.7014, 1.7778, 1.8681, 2.0694, 2.3333, 2.8819, 3.1042, 3.6458, 3.2708, 3.2708, 3.4861, 3.5208, 2.8264, 2.1528, 2.7014, 3.3611, 4.6181, 5.1875, 4.8958, 3.3194, 2.1111, 1.5556, 1.6528, 1.9861, 1.8472, 1.3264, 1.0903, 0.9097, 0.6944, 0.5972, 0.7361, 0.7431, 0.8472, 0.8056, 0.7569, 0.4583, 0.3819, 0.2569, 0.0799, -0.25, -0.3076, -0.3333, -0.375, -0.4208, -0.4, -0.4236, -0.4583, -0.4, -0.2361, 0.1389, 0.0, -0.1319, -0.1597, -0.0764, -0.1181, -0.1319, 0.0139, 0.0069, 0.0486, 0.0278, -0.0556, -0.1042, -0.2014, -0.25, -0.2778, -0.2222, -0.2708, -0.3174, -0.2917, -0.2153, -0.2292, -0.2153, -0.2153, -0.2222, -0.2708, -0.2812, -0.2708, -0.3215, -0.3743, -0.316, -0.2917, -0.3056, -0.3597, -0.4007, -0.4521, -0.4028, -0.4299, -0.4229, -0.3757, -0.3986, -0.441, -0.4014, -0.4014, -0.434, -0.4632, -0.4917, -0.4875, -0.4875, -0.3993, -0.2847, -0.2778, -0.2917, -0.2986, -0.3431, -0.2361, -0.3264, -0.2847, -0.3257, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.3854, -0.3806, -0.3958, -0.3951, -0.4542, -0.4313, -0.4437, -0.4549, -0.4299, -0.4979, -0.5264, -0.5889, -0.6576, -0.5863, -0.6477, -0.6812, -0.7191, -0.7326, -0.7108, -0.7108, -0.716, -0.7205, -0.7181, -0.717, -0.7444, -0.7512, -0.7035, -0.7156, -0.7243, -0.6969, -0.7108, -0.666, -0.6788, -0.6979, -0.7045, -0.6882, -0.6795, -0.6934, -0.6691, -0.6229, -0.6146, -0.6516, -0.6437, -0.6521, -0.6375, -0.6552, -0.6233, -0.6385, -0.6578, -0.6747, -0.6521, -0.6472, -0.6615, -0.6615, -0.6486, -0.6783, -0.6441, -0.6653, -0.6309, -0.5979, -0.5684, -0.5302, -0.5146, -0.458, -0.4576, -0.4684, -0.4215]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975323913497550960", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T22:14:55+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the stock is unlikely to fall much further because it's already pricing in the kitchen sink. There is nothing wrong with Pacifico, Modelo, or Corona in the long run", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "STZ has priced in the worst; brands fundamentally sound long-term, stock unlikely to fall further.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As I said in Spaces the other day, Constellation Brands $STZ earnings would not be great but the stock is unlikely to fall much further because it's already pricing in the kitchen sink. There is nothing wrong with Pacifico, Modelo, or Corona in the long run. Stock +3% after hours", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010204080498078971, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010204080498078971, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013925298883473047, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013925298883473047, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721218385394076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003721218385394076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018695639363091487, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018695639363091487, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012732676614731764, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012732676614731764, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005962962748359724, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005962962748359724, "ret_p1w": 0.007849335455546669, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007849335455546669, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018146515119667583, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018146515119667583, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010297179664120915, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010297179664120915, "ret_p1m": -0.06061672794066553, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06061672794066553, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07326013303759416, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07326013303759416, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643405096928628, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012643405096928628, "ret_p3m": 0.015256030434451562, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015256030434451562, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.008758520393979286, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.008758520393979286, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024014550828430847, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024014550828430847, "ret_p6m": 0.09366999656984198, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09366999656984198, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10883787033316461, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10883787033316461, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167873763322626, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015167873763322626, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06061672794066553, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07326013303759416, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07326013303759416, "price_path": [0.2211, 0.2216, 0.1676, 0.1776, 0.1927, 0.2168, 0.2101, 0.1915, 0.2441, 0.2492, 0.246, 0.2452, 0.2245, 0.2474, 0.2235, 0.192, 0.1858, 0.2151, 0.2177, 0.2071, 0.236, 0.2174, 0.2039, 0.2129, 0.2157, 0.2096, 0.2004, 0.1863, 0.1838, 0.1867, 0.1769, 0.1961, 0.168, 0.1301, 0.1453, 0.1352, 0.1556, 0.1556, 0.0793, 0.0453, 0.041, 0.0592, 0.0425, 0.0417, 0.0197, 0.0203, -0.0046, -0.0337, -0.039, -0.0507, -0.0508, -0.0515, -0.0475, -0.0597, -0.0482, -0.0534, -0.0546, -0.0262, -0.039, -0.0085, 0.0026, 0.0147, -0.0102, 0.0, 0.0187, 0.0202, 0.0085, 0.0093, 0.0078, -0.0089, -0.0059, 0.0019, 0.0078, 0.0102, 0.0004, -0.003, -0.0037, -0.0156, -0.0425, -0.0654, -0.0731, -0.0552, -0.0592, -0.071, -0.0606, -0.0798, -0.082, -0.0761, -0.0521, -0.0623, -0.0673, -0.0711, -0.0582, -0.0613, -0.0703, -0.0618, -0.0388, -0.0499, -0.0494, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0192, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.007, -0.0073, 0.0239, 0.0212, 0.0311, 0.068, 0.0755, 0.0602, 0.0318, 0.0255, 0.0048, -0.0161, -0.029, 0.0194, 0.0013, 0.0104, 0.0104, 0.0026, -0.0039, 0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0078, 0.0153, 0.0249, 0.0331, 0.0104, 0.0641, 0.0572, 0.0918, 0.1015, 0.1245, 0.1417, 0.1265, 0.1265, 0.1769, 0.175, 0.1559, 0.1419, 0.1618, 0.1597, 0.1344, 0.1202, 0.1343, 0.1268, 0.1627, 0.2065, 0.1985, 0.1895, 0.1843, 0.1989, 0.1813, 0.1752, 0.0807, 0.0807, 0.1053, 0.1313, 0.1194, 0.1322, 0.154, 0.1587, 0.1228, 0.1275, 0.1427, 0.1333, 0.1294, 0.0948, 0.0662, 0.0602, 0.0783, 0.0864, 0.0855, 0.0736, 0.0868, 0.0932, 0.0978, 0.1009, 0.0996, 0.083, 0.1036, 0.1052, 0.0971, 0.0887, 0.0959, 0.093, 0.0858, 0.0937]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973574314843840825", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T02:22:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The next 60-90", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; extends the epic outlook to 60-90 days rather than just 30.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dotkrueger The next 60-90", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The next 30 days will be epic for Bitcoin.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dotkrueger", "ret_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015689962283643055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015689962283643055, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013150750196000982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013150750196000982, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005588871828819952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005588871828819952, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "ret_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1113724654901529, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1113724654901529, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "ret_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2968588994983963, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2968588994983963, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "ret_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4032021750663245, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4032021750663245, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09218576232678011, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1113724654901529, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1113724654901529, "price_path": [-0.1026, -0.0972, -0.0775, -0.0389, -0.0262, -0.0069, -0.0241, -0.0161, -0.0115, -0.0222, -0.0269, -0.0057, -0.016, -0.0192, -0.0252, -0.0228, -0.0229, -0.0236, -0.0408, -0.061, -0.0465, -0.0542, -0.0468, -0.0264, -0.0331, -0.0162, -0.0042, 0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0272, -0.0367, -0.065, -0.0531, -0.0685, -0.0315, -0.0875, -0.0736, -0.0784, -0.0674, -0.1017, -0.0947, -0.0786, -0.0742, -0.0825, -0.0831, -0.0713, -0.0758, -0.0557, -0.0429, -0.0379, -0.0434, -0.0318, -0.0349, -0.0294, -0.0414, -0.0657, -0.0718, -0.0609, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.052, -0.0549, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0337, 0.0064, 0.0222, 0.0085, -0.0619, -0.0448, -0.0627, -0.082, -0.1035, -0.1178, -0.0836, -0.1011, -0.1077, -0.0879, -0.0799, -0.0544, -0.064, -0.088, -0.1025, -0.0922, -0.1171, -0.1582, -0.1391, -0.1606, -0.1434, -0.1217, -0.1465, -0.1576, -0.1739, -0.2178, -0.2369, -0.2298, -0.2421, -0.2821, -0.2949, -0.2686, -0.2763, -0.2499, -0.2436, -0.2466, -0.2847, -0.243, -0.225, -0.2365, -0.2593, -0.2489, -0.2319, -0.2375, -0.2334, -0.252, -0.2839, -0.2721, -0.2862, -0.2918, -0.2699, -0.2667, -0.2757, -0.274, -0.2771, -0.2766, -0.2779, -0.2672, -0.2749, -0.2647, -0.2547, -0.2221, -0.2233, -0.2434, -0.2457, -0.25, -0.2443, -0.2101, -0.1968, -0.2082, -0.2085, -0.2331, -0.2682, -0.2594, -0.2587, -0.2583, -0.2686, -0.2617, -0.261, -0.2993, -0.3029, -0.348, -0.3733, -0.3949, -0.4804, -0.4154, -0.419, -0.43, -0.4449, -0.4513, -0.4294, -0.4295, -0.4407, -0.4496, -0.4452, -0.4365, -0.4646, -0.469, -0.4369, -0.4411, -0.4541, -0.4301, -0.4341, -0.3975, -0.413, -0.4354, -0.4332, -0.4206, -0.4183, -0.4159, -0.4119, -0.3797, -0.3875, -0.4096, -0.4207, -0.4156, -0.4124, -0.4157, -0.4091, -0.43, -0.4503]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979271119611007164", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T19:39:42+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$30-50 inbound within 4-8 weeks imo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long CIFR to $30-50 within 4-8 weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow $30-50 inbound within 4-8 weeks imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I still think that there's a possibility of October being a God Candle for $CIFR. We'll see.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.0021322449381295794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021322449381295794, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003512015399777635, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0003779649636885818, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644260337907214, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017542799744409976, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06130061857674174, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06130061857674174, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.050900118313818465, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05014316574095501, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01115745283578673, "ret_p1w": 0.10127929612736053, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10127929612736053, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08192319290209671, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07121025582030827, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030069040307052264, "ret_p1m": -0.23507461586395517, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23507461586395517, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23700117647391883, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23026778768470835, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004806828179246825, "ret_p3m": -0.033582146078299124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.033582146078299124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07574093139012461, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.050525207604839806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042158785311825486, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01694306152654068, "ret_p6m": -0.05330490340082494, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05330490340082494, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09186149555139889, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07791577767918267, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02461087427835773, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.23507461586395517, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23700117647391883, "alpha_c_stated": -0.23026778768470835, "price_path": [-0.6301, -0.6439, -0.6455, -0.6551, -0.6716, -0.6972, -0.7095, -0.709, -0.7372, -0.7233, -0.7329, -0.7223, -0.7404, -0.7468, -0.7463, -0.7484, -0.7388, -0.7164, -0.7223, -0.6775, -0.693, -0.6828, -0.6855, -0.6599, -0.6461, -0.6205, -0.6274, -0.6258, -0.5928, -0.5928, -0.5565, -0.5677, -0.6055, -0.5991, -0.5885, -0.5085, -0.4536, -0.4686, -0.4216, -0.4216, -0.3865, -0.3401, -0.3683, -0.3454, -0.2559, -0.2457, -0.2463, -0.3785, -0.3886, -0.3257, -0.3289, -0.3284, -0.2639, -0.2164, -0.1823, -0.1604, -0.0618, -0.041, -0.0954, 0.0842, 0.1135, 0.121, -0.0021, 0.0, 0.0613, -0.0365, -0.1413, -0.0802, 0.1013, 0.0949, 0.064, 0.0442, 0.0165, -0.0059, 0.2132, 0.1999, 0.3172, 0.1572, 0.1029, 0.0474, -0.0048, -0.0736, -0.2042, -0.2345, -0.2351, -0.2228, -0.2207, -0.2239, -0.2457, -0.1093, -0.0661, 0.0208, 0.0208, 0.0848, 0.0496, -0.0597, -0.0069, 0.057, 0.0277, 0.0384, 0.0426, -0.0149, 0.0064, -0.0912, -0.2143, -0.201, -0.2329, -0.1924, -0.1359, -0.129, -0.1519, -0.1354, -0.1354, -0.1903, -0.1962, -0.2223, -0.2132, -0.2132, -0.1365, -0.032, -0.065, -0.1429, -0.1178, -0.1135, -0.0576, -0.0272, -0.0336, -0.0661, 0.0021, 0.0021, -0.0448, -0.0554, -0.073, -0.0634, -0.121, -0.0005, 0.0112, -0.0565, -0.1493, -0.1572, -0.1333, -0.2404, -0.323, -0.2148, -0.1066, -0.0885, -0.1322, -0.1418, -0.1247, -0.1247, -0.1663, -0.178, -0.1578, -0.2191, -0.1887, -0.0874, -0.1146, -0.1215, -0.1684, -0.1599, -0.2159, -0.145, -0.1924, -0.274, -0.2372, -0.2559, -0.2479, -0.2692, -0.2495, -0.193, -0.1956, -0.218, -0.2196, -0.2532, -0.2063, -0.2068, -0.1535, -0.2351, -0.2673, -0.3595, -0.314, -0.3262, -0.3166, -0.3166, -0.2884, -0.2532, -0.178, -0.1279, -0.1189, -0.0533]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1978526389914529850", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T18:20:25+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the crux cycle move for Bitcoin will begin in earnest in the next 7-12 days with 85% confidence. There is nothing to stop it now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "High-conviction long BTC: major cycle move begins within 7-12 days, 85% confidence, nothing stopping it.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have been meditating on this for dozens of hours on long runs in the high mountains over the last couple weeks and I believe the crux cycle move for Bitcoin will begin in earnest in the next 7-12 days with 85% confidence. There is nothing to stop it now. Hang tight.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.021081723200128133, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021081723200128133, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025501630797756247, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025501630797756247, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004419907597628114, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004419907597628114, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023443318504017374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023443318504017374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016633091422741275, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016633091422741275, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810227081276099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006810227081276099, "ret_p1w": -0.027933649947515016, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027933649947515016, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03188744709621061, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03188744709621061, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0039537971486955925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0039537971486955925, "ret_p1m": -0.10006639518569671, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10006639518569671, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11039465518095792, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11039465518095792, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328259995261213, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010328259995261213, "ret_p3m": -0.17683347502105917, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17683347502105917, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22500781254146074, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22500781254146074, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817433752040157, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04817433752040157, "ret_p6m": -0.35217748353431133, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.35217748353431133, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3801573406795079, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3801573406795079, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.027979857145196574, "bench_c_p6m": 0.027979857145196574, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.027933649947515016, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03188744709621061, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03188744709621061, "price_path": [0.0652, 0.0601, 0.0832, 0.072, 0.0685, 0.0619, 0.0645, 0.0644, 0.0636, 0.0449, 0.0229, 0.0387, 0.0303, 0.0383, 0.0606, 0.0533, 0.0717, 0.0848, 0.1134, 0.0684, 0.0597, 0.0494, 0.0185, 0.0315, 0.0148, 0.055, -0.0059, 0.0092, 0.004, 0.0159, -0.0214, -0.0138, 0.0038, 0.0085, -0.0005, -0.0012, 0.0116, 0.0067, 0.0286, 0.0426, 0.048, 0.0421, 0.0547, 0.0513, 0.0574, 0.0443, 0.0177, 0.0111, 0.023, -0.0157, -0.0097, 0.0327, 0.0295, 0.071, 0.0893, 0.1037, 0.1261, 0.0963, 0.1135, 0.0986, 0.0219, 0.0405, 0.0211, 0.0, -0.0234, -0.039, -0.0018, -0.0208, -0.0279, -0.0064, 0.0023, 0.0301, 0.0196, -0.0066, -0.0224, -0.0111, -0.0382, -0.083, -0.0622, -0.0856, -0.0669, -0.0432, -0.0703, -0.0823, -0.1001, -0.1479, -0.1687, -0.161, -0.1744, -0.218, -0.2319, -0.2032, -0.2116, -0.1829, -0.176, -0.1793, -0.2208, -0.1754, -0.1558, -0.1683, -0.1931, -0.1818, -0.1633, -0.1694, -0.1649, -0.1852, -0.2199, -0.2071, -0.2224, -0.2286, -0.2047, -0.2012, -0.2109, -0.2092, -0.2126, -0.212, -0.2134, -0.2018, -0.2101, -0.199, -0.1881, -0.1526, -0.1539, -0.1758, -0.1783, -0.183, -0.1768, -0.1396, -0.1251, -0.1375, -0.1377, -0.1646, -0.2028, -0.1932, -0.1925, -0.1921, -0.2032, -0.1957, -0.195, -0.2367, -0.2406, -0.2897, -0.3173, -0.3409, -0.434, -0.3631, -0.367, -0.379, -0.3953, -0.4022, -0.3784, -0.3786, -0.3908, -0.4004, -0.3956, -0.3861, -0.4167, -0.4216, -0.3865, -0.3911, -0.4053, -0.3792, -0.3835, -0.3437, -0.3605, -0.385, -0.3826, -0.3688, -0.3663, -0.3637, -0.3594, -0.3243, -0.3327, -0.3569, -0.3689, -0.3634, -0.3599, -0.3635, -0.3563, -0.379, -0.4012, -0.398, -0.3841, -0.3855, -0.3962, -0.3958, -0.3784, -0.3506, -0.358, -0.3522]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983686349992685963", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-30T00:04:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin inclusive", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Calls equity market bottom tomorrow/Friday with steep rally into Thanksgiving; Bitcoin included in the same bullish call.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seasonal low in equity markets occurs on Oct 27 on average. We are couple days late due to the Fed but my best guess says we bottom out intraday tomorrow or Friday and begin a very steep rally in to Thanksgiving. Bitcoin inclusive.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01615575437257588, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01615575437257588, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005035444027891911, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005035444027891911, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011547120379193476, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011547120379193476, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008266898588548788, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008266898588548788, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "ret_p1w": -0.06467127506021375, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06467127506021375, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05066778047797493, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05066778047797493, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "ret_p1m": -0.16052992438204705, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16052992438204705, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16576645683384728, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16576645683384728, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "ret_p3m": -0.1773037218921295, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1773037218921295, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20336173282632275, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20336173282632275, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "ret_p6m": -0.28484445409435544, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28484445409435544, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3409983822767254, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3409983822767254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16052992438204705, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16576645683384728, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16576645683384728, "price_path": [0.0625, 0.0539, 0.0621, 0.0849, 0.0774, 0.0963, 0.1096, 0.1389, 0.0928, 0.084, 0.0734, 0.0418, 0.0551, 0.038, 0.0791, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.0269, 0.0391, 0.001, 0.0087, 0.0267, 0.0316, 0.0223, 0.0217, 0.0348, 0.0298, 0.0522, 0.0665, 0.072, 0.0659, 0.0788, 0.0754, 0.0815, 0.0682, 0.041, 0.0342, 0.0464, 0.0069, 0.013, 0.0563, 0.0531, 0.0955, 0.1143, 0.1289, 0.1519, 0.1214, 0.139, 0.1237, 0.0453, 0.0643, 0.0444, 0.0229, -0.0011, -0.017, 0.0211, 0.0016, -0.0057, 0.0163, 0.0252, 0.0537, 0.0429, 0.0162, 0.0, 0.0115, -0.0162, -0.062, -0.0408, -0.0647, -0.0455, -0.0213, -0.049, -0.0613, -0.0795, -0.1284, -0.1497, -0.1418, -0.1555, -0.2001, -0.2143, -0.185, -0.1936, -0.1642, -0.1571, -0.1605, -0.203, -0.1566, -0.1364, -0.1492, -0.1747, -0.1631, -0.1442, -0.1504, -0.1458, -0.1665, -0.2021, -0.1889, -0.2046, -0.2109, -0.1865, -0.183, -0.1929, -0.1911, -0.1945, -0.1939, -0.1954, -0.1835, -0.192, -0.1807, -0.1695, -0.1332, -0.1346, -0.1569, -0.1595, -0.1643, -0.158, -0.1199, -0.105, -0.1178, -0.118, -0.1454, -0.1846, -0.1748, -0.174, -0.1736, -0.185, -0.1773, -0.1765, -0.2192, -0.2232, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.3258, -0.4211, -0.3486, -0.3526, -0.3648, -0.3815, -0.3886, -0.3642, -0.3644, -0.3768, -0.3867, -0.3818, -0.3721, -0.4034, -0.4083, -0.3725, -0.3772, -0.3917, -0.365, -0.3694, -0.3287, -0.3459, -0.3709, -0.3684, -0.3544, -0.3518, -0.3491, -0.3447, -0.3088, -0.3175, -0.3422, -0.3545, -0.3489, -0.3452, -0.3489, -0.3416, -0.3648, -0.3875, -0.3842, -0.37, -0.3714, -0.3824, -0.382, -0.3642, -0.3358, -0.3433, -0.3374, -0.3262, -0.3123, -0.3151, -0.3093, -0.3061, -0.2879, -0.2995, -0.295, -0.2779, -0.2773, -0.2848]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1983204731800457232", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T16:10:28+00:00", "symbol": "REGN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still like this one.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reaffirms bullish stance on Regeneron at ~$494; endorses the initial position as still attractive.", "resolved_tickers": ["REGN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Biotechnology'", "bench_c_industry": "Biotechnology", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Still like this one. https://t.co/tZwEGU7iBd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Took an initial 2,500 share position in Regeneron $REGN at the close near $494. First time back in this name since exiting in 2020. Way too cheap.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1056869403952081, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1056869403952081, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1030379601101995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1120121256169131, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0026489802850085953, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006325185221704999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023987075067373187, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0023987075067373187, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002878988574168684, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007707839600267996, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004802810674313651, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010106547107005315, "ret_p1w": -0.040459417089732996, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040459417089732996, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023255645351685228, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03805319248440231, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01720377173804777, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002406224605330687, "ret_p1m": 0.20033271065557923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20033271065557923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21107409551316447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11116118889649163, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741384857585246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0891715217590876, "ret_p3m": 0.1528157380678814, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1528157380678814, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14669318452755964, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06549632710520448, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122553540321762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08731941096267692, "ret_p6m": 0.14352669175353938, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14352669175353938, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.10248272444919704, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1286922734975986, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.041043967304342344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014834418255940784, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.20033271065557923, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.21107409551316447, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11116118889649163, "price_path": [-0.1678, -0.1474, -0.1281, -0.1306, -0.1531, -0.146, -0.1411, -0.1671, -0.1509, -0.1433, -0.1365, -0.1145, -0.1231, -0.1264, -0.097, -0.0861, -0.0993, -0.1254, -0.1021, -0.1032, -0.1144, -0.1127, -0.1127, -0.117, -0.1386, -0.1333, -0.1239, -0.1467, -0.1497, -0.1507, -0.1318, -0.1444, -0.1251, -0.1213, -0.1054, -0.0852, -0.0955, -0.0898, -0.1323, -0.1184, -0.1512, -0.1384, -0.1432, -0.1409, -0.0833, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.1054, -0.1088, -0.1385, -0.1292, -0.1373, -0.1478, -0.1251, -0.1193, -0.1303, -0.1168, -0.1187, -0.1148, -0.1066, -0.1204, -0.1169, -0.1057, 0.0, -0.0024, -0.0007, -0.0041, -0.0187, -0.0405, -0.0157, -0.0116, 0.0047, 0.0004, 0.0307, 0.0416, 0.0619, 0.0596, 0.0761, 0.1083, 0.0738, 0.1275, 0.1564, 0.1649, 0.2045, 0.2003, 0.2003, 0.1936, 0.1476, 0.1351, 0.1071, 0.1058, 0.099, 0.0759, 0.0595, 0.111, 0.1425, 0.1341, 0.1514, 0.1418, 0.1471, 0.1454, 0.1749, 0.1923, 0.2012, 0.199, 0.199, 0.2009, 0.194, 0.184, 0.1808, 0.1808, 0.1876, 0.1676, 0.188, 0.2426, 0.2254, 0.2186, 0.1749, 0.161, 0.1537, 0.135, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1226, 0.1464, 0.1558, 0.1528, 0.1667, 0.1799, 0.1491, 0.1465, 0.1343, 0.1551, 0.1614, 0.1857, 0.1728, 0.2017, 0.1937, 0.1549, 0.1917, 0.1989, 0.2287, 0.2287, 0.214, 0.2119, 0.1969, 0.1942, 0.2055, 0.1828, 0.2013, 0.1806, 0.1973, 0.2113, 0.1743, 0.2062, 0.1716, 0.1639, 0.1972, 0.1825, 0.1865, 0.1436, 0.1423, 0.1593, 0.1626, 0.1398, 0.1295, 0.1225, 0.1281, 0.136, 0.148, 0.1591, 0.1299, 0.1477, 0.1834, 0.1905, 0.1669, 0.1669, 0.1687, 0.1645, 0.1879, 0.1761, 0.147, 0.1433, 0.1572, 0.1548, 0.1426, 0.1496, 0.1479, 0.1447, 0.1435]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979329326270275707", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T23:31:00+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought more Decembers. Up to 4,750 of those little guys now. 20k of the Novembers. I don't lose any sleep. This is all part of my strategy.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Added to IBIT $90 call positions (4,750 Dec / 20k Nov contracts); remains confident in the thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pei_liu3 I bought more Decembers. Up to 4,750 of those little guys now. 20k of the Novembers. I don’t lose any sleep. This is all part of my strategy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Think we’re still good on those 11/21 and 12/19 IBIT $90 calls? 😅", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pei_liu3", "ret_m1d": -0.03909103881365039, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03909103881365039, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028797595510507756, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028797595510507756, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00889879819760564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00889879819760564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00891374107638887, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00891374107638887, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.03734305518393288, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03734305518393288, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01657740407686714, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01657740407686714, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076565110706574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076565110706574, "ret_p1m": -0.16319720972445317, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16319720972445317, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14648337062020456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14648337062020456, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": -0.14190370668791052, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14190370668791052, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1761439841450836, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1761439841450836, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": -0.3305259675225175, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3305259675225175, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3709166605475668, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3709166605475668, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16319720972445317, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14648337062020456, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14648337062020456, "price_path": [0.0693, 0.0752, 0.0545, 0.0663, 0.0601, 0.0547, 0.0539, 0.0205, 0.0361, 0.0257, 0.041, 0.062, 0.0509, 0.0748, 0.0798, 0.1098, 0.0652, 0.0558, 0.0496, 0.02, 0.0313, 0.0121, 0.0528, -0.0008, 0.0027, 0.0114, 0.0103, -0.0237, -0.0237, 0.0006, 0.0133, -0.0092, 0.0078, 0.0122, 0.0046, 0.0254, 0.0334, 0.0548, 0.0408, 0.0547, 0.0435, 0.0607, 0.0388, 0.0114, 0.0076, 0.0237, -0.0132, -0.0157, 0.0324, 0.0329, 0.0605, 0.0928, 0.1093, 0.1328, 0.0985, 0.1133, 0.0923, 0.052, 0.0458, 0.0156, 0.0038, -0.0238, -0.0391, 0.0, 0.0089, -0.0273, -0.0059, -0.0016, 0.0373, 0.0248, -0.0029, -0.0402, -0.01, -0.0381, -0.0914, -0.0637, -0.0901, -0.0644, -0.0435, -0.0728, -0.0849, -0.1166, -0.1502, -0.1721, -0.1632, -0.1939, -0.222, -0.2377, -0.1964, -0.2125, -0.1891, -0.1891, -0.1808, -0.2293, -0.1789, -0.1619, -0.1656, -0.1945, -0.1813, -0.1602, -0.1659, -0.1721, -0.1864, -0.2268, -0.2101, -0.226, -0.2379, -0.2069, -0.204, -0.211, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2117, -0.2153, -0.2082, -0.211, -0.211, -0.1905, -0.1505, -0.1665, -0.181, -0.1813, -0.187, -0.1758, -0.1487, -0.119, -0.1419, -0.1381, -0.1381, -0.1934, -0.1878, -0.1948, -0.1943, -0.211, -0.1955, -0.1974, -0.2436, -0.2454, -0.2973, -0.3119, -0.3394, -0.4263, -0.3695, -0.3626, -0.3807, -0.3915, -0.4113, -0.3807, -0.3807, -0.39, -0.4035, -0.395, -0.3895, -0.4192, -0.4195, -0.3766, -0.392, -0.409, -0.3772, -0.385, -0.3415, -0.3582, -0.3866, -0.3782, -0.369, -0.3633, -0.3652, -0.3585, -0.3335, -0.3283, -0.3602, -0.3672, -0.368, -0.3636, -0.3758, -0.3617, -0.3831, -0.4057, -0.4012, -0.3895, -0.386, -0.3966, -0.3966, -0.372, -0.3787, -0.3577, -0.3499, -0.3396, -0.3391, -0.3305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974830801251615092", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-05T13:35:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You might want to get some in case it catches on", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implicitly bullish BTC; advises getting exposure in case the rally continues.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@elerianm You might want to get some in case it catches on", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "A new record for Bitcoin prices:\nBitcoin traded above $125,000 earlier this morning before pulling back somewhat.\n#bitcoin #crypto #markets https://t.co/OL9qt1wQ8W", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "elerianm", "ret_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01635408642433056, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01635408642433056, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022754152545188755, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022754152545188755, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "ret_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06324172184046095, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06324172184046095, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1910685312545366, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1910685312545366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3070874653755761, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3070874653755761, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4268941991180939, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4268941991180939, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18566363007163433, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1910685312545366, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1910685312545366, "price_path": [-0.1076, -0.0703, -0.058, -0.0393, -0.0559, -0.0482, -0.0438, -0.0541, -0.0586, -0.0381, -0.0481, -0.0512, -0.057, -0.0547, -0.0548, -0.0555, -0.0721, -0.0916, -0.0776, -0.0851, -0.078, -0.0582, -0.0646, -0.0483, -0.0367, -0.0113, -0.0512, -0.059, -0.0681, -0.0956, -0.084, -0.0989, -0.0632, -0.1173, -0.1038, -0.1085, -0.0979, -0.131, -0.1243, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1125, -0.113, -0.1017, -0.106, -0.0865, -0.0741, -0.0693, -0.0746, -0.0634, -0.0664, -0.061, -0.0727, -0.0962, -0.1021, -0.0916, -0.1259, -0.1206, -0.083, -0.0857, -0.0489, -0.0326, -0.0199, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0112, -0.0244, -0.0925, -0.076, -0.0933, -0.112, -0.1328, -0.1466, -0.1135, -0.1305, -0.1368, -0.1177, -0.11, -0.0852, -0.0946, -0.1178, -0.1318, -0.1218, -0.1459, -0.1857, -0.1672, -0.188, -0.1714, -0.1503, -0.1744, -0.1851, -0.2008, -0.2433, -0.2618, -0.2549, -0.2668, -0.3056, -0.3179, -0.2924, -0.2999, -0.2744, -0.2683, -0.2712, -0.3081, -0.2677, -0.2503, -0.2614, -0.2835, -0.2734, -0.257, -0.2624, -0.2584, -0.2764, -0.3073, -0.2959, -0.3095, -0.3149, -0.2938, -0.2907, -0.2993, -0.2977, -0.3007, -0.3002, -0.3015, -0.2912, -0.2985, -0.2887, -0.279, -0.2474, -0.2487, -0.2681, -0.2703, -0.2745, -0.269, -0.2359, -0.223, -0.2341, -0.2343, -0.2581, -0.2921, -0.2836, -0.2829, -0.2825, -0.2925, -0.2858, -0.2851, -0.3222, -0.3256, -0.3692, -0.3937, -0.4147, -0.4974, -0.4344, -0.4379, -0.4486, -0.463, -0.4692, -0.448, -0.4482, -0.459, -0.4675, -0.4633, -0.4549, -0.482, -0.4863, -0.4552, -0.4593, -0.4719, -0.4487, -0.4526, -0.4172, -0.4321, -0.4538, -0.4517, -0.4395, -0.4372, -0.4349, -0.4311, -0.3999, -0.4074, -0.4289, -0.4396, -0.4347, -0.4316, -0.4347, -0.4284, -0.4486, -0.4682, -0.4654, -0.4531]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1979278587451838645", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T20:09:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "used the proceeds to buy more Bitcoin at $106,000", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Closed all gold positions and redeployed proceeds into Bitcoin at $106K; bullish BTC over next few months.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sold all my gold today. All my GLD, gold bars, and jewelry. All of it. And I used the proceeds to buy more Bitcoin at $106,000. Let's see how this turns out over the next few months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016138683963760503, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016138683963760503, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026432127266903138, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026432127266903138, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03870786330108489, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03870786330108489, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03872280617986812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03872280617986812, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.04288745781899861, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04288745781899861, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022121806711932868, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022121806711932868, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076565110706574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076565110706574, "ret_p1m": -0.1350071621573925, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1350071621573925, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11829332305314388, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11829332305314388, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": -0.0895901100369485, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0895901100369485, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12383038749412156, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12383038749412156, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": -0.3004021095875755, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3004021095875755, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3407928026126248, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3407928026126248, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1350071621573925, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11829332305314388, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11829332305314388, "price_path": [0.1271, 0.1154, 0.1118, 0.1049, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1067, 0.0873, 0.0644, 0.0808, 0.0721, 0.0804, 0.1036, 0.096, 0.1152, 0.1287, 0.1585, 0.1117, 0.1027, 0.0919, 0.0598, 0.0733, 0.0559, 0.0977, 0.0343, 0.0501, 0.0447, 0.0571, 0.0183, 0.0261, 0.0445, 0.0494, 0.04, 0.0393, 0.0526, 0.0476, 0.0703, 0.0849, 0.0905, 0.0843, 0.0975, 0.0939, 0.1002, 0.0866, 0.059, 0.0521, 0.0644, 0.0242, 0.0305, 0.0745, 0.0713, 0.1144, 0.1335, 0.1484, 0.1717, 0.1407, 0.1586, 0.1431, 0.0634, 0.0827, 0.0625, 0.0405, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0387, 0.0189, 0.0115, 0.0338, 0.0429, 0.0719, 0.0609, 0.0337, 0.0173, 0.029, 0.0007, -0.0458, -0.0242, -0.0485, -0.0291, -0.0044, -0.0326, -0.0451, -0.0636, -0.1134, -0.135, -0.127, -0.1409, -0.1863, -0.2008, -0.1709, -0.1796, -0.1498, -0.1426, -0.146, -0.1892, -0.142, -0.1215, -0.1346, -0.1604, -0.1487, -0.1294, -0.1357, -0.1311, -0.1521, -0.1883, -0.1749, -0.1909, -0.1973, -0.1725, -0.1689, -0.179, -0.1771, -0.1806, -0.18, -0.1816, -0.1694, -0.1781, -0.1666, -0.1552, -0.1182, -0.1196, -0.1424, -0.145, -0.1499, -0.1435, -0.1047, -0.0896, -0.1025, -0.1028, -0.1307, -0.1705, -0.1605, -0.1597, -0.1593, -0.1709, -0.1631, -0.1623, -0.2058, -0.2098, -0.2609, -0.2896, -0.3142, -0.4111, -0.3373, -0.3414, -0.3539, -0.3708, -0.378, -0.3533, -0.3534, -0.3661, -0.3761, -0.3711, -0.3613, -0.3931, -0.3981, -0.3617, -0.3664, -0.3812, -0.354, -0.3586, -0.3171, -0.3346, -0.36, -0.3575, -0.3432, -0.3406, -0.3379, -0.3334, -0.2969, -0.3057, -0.3308, -0.3433, -0.3376, -0.3339, -0.3377, -0.3302, -0.3539, -0.3769, -0.3736, -0.3591, -0.3606, -0.3717, -0.3713, -0.3532, -0.3243, -0.332, -0.3259, -0.3145, -0.3004]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982171223464247675", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T19:43:41+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I told you CIFR will be #3 soon. Tick tock", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CIFR will climb to #3 on the growth leaderboard; bullish forward claim.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@StockSavvyShay @FuturumEquities I told you CIFR will be #3 soon. Tick tock", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "THE TOP GROWTH PERFORMERS OF 2025\n\n1. $OKLO +541%\n2. $IREN +541%\n3. $OPEN +398%\n4. $MP +354%\n5. $CIFR +345%\n6. $NBIS +323%\n7. $NVTS +294%\n8. $QBTS +289%\n9. $HOOD +275%\n10. $ASTS +249%\n11. $PL +237%\n12. $EOSE +230%\n13. $QS +224%\n14. $PGY +213%\n15. $ONDS +191% https://t.co/LG1a9MyeKt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": 0.005842206744696377, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005842206744696377, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01750230926005325, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023969354695886902, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660102515356874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018127147951190525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028237673086773385, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028237673086773385, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030893689105853217, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03813734630154342, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002656016019079832, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899673214770033, "ret_p1w": 0.10808175337890424, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10808175337890424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1108544314933646, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09834931025891125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027726781144603585, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009732443119992995, "ret_p1m": -0.14703020073775575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14703020073775575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.132115773597141, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08502359740333931, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01491442714061475, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06200660333441643, "ret_p3m": -0.15335936638141245, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15335936638141245, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16178840484326173, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12392625488412823, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.00842903846184928, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029433111497284226, "ret_p6m": -0.12171372388353252, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12171372388353252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15505833724702744, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15928731357896153, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344613363494924, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03757358969542901, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14703020073775575, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.132115773597141, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08502359740333931, "price_path": [-0.7347, -0.7342, -0.76, -0.7473, -0.7561, -0.7463, -0.7629, -0.7687, -0.7683, -0.7702, -0.7614, -0.741, -0.7463, -0.7055, -0.7196, -0.7103, -0.7128, -0.6894, -0.6767, -0.6534, -0.6597, -0.6582, -0.628, -0.628, -0.5949, -0.6052, -0.6397, -0.6339, -0.6241, -0.5511, -0.501, -0.5146, -0.4718, -0.4718, -0.4396, -0.3973, -0.4231, -0.4021, -0.3204, -0.3111, -0.3116, -0.4323, -0.4416, -0.3841, -0.387, -0.3866, -0.3277, -0.2843, -0.2532, -0.2332, -0.1431, -0.1241, -0.1738, -0.0097, 0.017, 0.0239, -0.0886, -0.0867, -0.0307, -0.12, -0.2157, -0.1599, 0.0058, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0463, -0.0716, -0.092, 0.1081, 0.0959, 0.203, 0.057, 0.0073, -0.0433, -0.091, -0.1538, -0.2731, -0.3009, -0.3014, -0.2902, -0.2882, -0.2911, -0.3111, -0.1865, -0.147, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0093, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.093, -0.0346, -0.0613, -0.0516, -0.0477, -0.1003, -0.0808, -0.1699, -0.2824, -0.2702, -0.2994, -0.2624, -0.2108, -0.2045, -0.2254, -0.2103, -0.2103, -0.2605, -0.2658, -0.2897, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.2113, -0.1159, -0.1461, -0.2171, -0.1943, -0.1904, -0.1392, -0.1115, -0.1173, -0.147, -0.0847, -0.0847, -0.1276, -0.1373, -0.1534, -0.1446, -0.1972, -0.0871, -0.0764, -0.1383, -0.223, -0.2303, -0.2084, -0.3062, -0.3817, -0.2829, -0.184, -0.1675, -0.2074, -0.2162, -0.2006, -0.2006, -0.2386, -0.2493, -0.2308, -0.2868, -0.259, -0.1665, -0.1913, -0.1977, -0.2405, -0.2327, -0.2838, -0.2191, -0.2624, -0.3369, -0.3033, -0.3204, -0.313, -0.3325, -0.3145, -0.2629, -0.2653, -0.2858, -0.2872, -0.3179, -0.2751, -0.2756, -0.2269, -0.3014, -0.3308, -0.415, -0.3734, -0.3846, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.35, -0.3179, -0.2493, -0.2035, -0.1952, -0.1353, -0.1018, -0.1237, -0.1558, -0.057, -0.0609, -0.1217]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977106156834427087", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-11T20:16:55+00:00", "symbol": "crypto", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We will be higher in a few weeks and few will even remember it by December", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Dismisses recent crypto market event as a non-event; expects prices to be higher in weeks and much higher by December.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD", "ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Broad crypto: BTC+ETH as primary proxies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HodlMagoo Non-event in terms of the full cycle. We will be higher in a few weeks and few will even remember it by December.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I really don’t think people have grasped what the ramifications are of what just happened in the crypto markets. https://t.co/WIDddJ0Htu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HodlMagoo", "ret_m1d": -0.05631985446117782, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05631985446117782, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0412076202332885, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0412076202332885, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01511223422788932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02347558842252656, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02347558842252656, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02225394213488524, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02225394213488524, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216462876413203, "ret_p1w": -0.051484600692798144, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.051484600692798144, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06394238558318144, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06394238558318144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457784890383294, "ret_p1m": -0.15101118005821446, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15101118005821446, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18111498750700827, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18111498750700827, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103807448793818, "ret_p3m": -0.23954923827098762, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23954923827098762, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2825442820737176, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2825442820737176, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042995043802730004, "ret_p6m": -0.42392638503009894, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42392638503009894, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4238261435781423, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4238261435781423, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0001002414519566397, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15101118005821446, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18111498750700827, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18111498750700827, "price_path": [-0.0879, -0.0731, -0.0702, -0.0474, -0.038, -0.0574, -0.0499, -0.0508, -0.0424, -0.0417, -0.0404, -0.0625, -0.0976, -0.0629, -0.0795, -0.0672, -0.0293, -0.0216, 0.0128, 0.0619, 0.0952, 0.049, 0.0321, 0.0122, -0.0308, 0.0062, -0.015, 0.076, -0.0073, 0.0268, 0.0128, 0.019, -0.0163, -0.018, -0.0082, 0.0087, -0.0135, -0.0128, -0.0065, -0.0087, 0.0065, 0.0264, 0.0589, 0.0339, 0.0372, 0.0461, 0.0487, 0.0284, -0.016, -0.0235, -0.0193, -0.0714, -0.0488, -0.0071, -0.017, 0.0271, 0.052, 0.0621, 0.0932, 0.051, 0.0683, 0.0425, -0.0563, 0.0, -0.0235, -0.0499, -0.072, -0.0868, -0.0515, -0.0729, -0.0844, -0.0684, -0.055, -0.0198, -0.041, -0.0629, -0.0822, -0.0717, -0.1136, -0.1716, -0.146, -0.1705, -0.147, -0.12, -0.151, -0.1571, -0.1868, -0.225, -0.2443, -0.229, -0.2472, -0.2907, -0.3052, -0.2694, -0.2728, -0.2508, -0.249, -0.2485, -0.2958, -0.2507, -0.2184, -0.2312, -0.2561, -0.2388, -0.2068, -0.2092, -0.2175, -0.2452, -0.276, -0.2699, -0.2929, -0.2963, -0.2671, -0.2621, -0.2718, -0.2731, -0.2796, -0.2767, -0.2764, -0.2665, -0.271, -0.2618, -0.2419, -0.2128, -0.2053, -0.231, -0.2395, -0.2443, -0.2402, -0.1953, -0.1845, -0.1949, -0.1975, -0.2232, -0.2712, -0.2615, -0.2646, -0.264, -0.2725, -0.2576, -0.2591, -0.3013, -0.3168, -0.3826, -0.4096, -0.4308, -0.5135, -0.4509, -0.4481, -0.4638, -0.4809, -0.4835, -0.4601, -0.4661, -0.4726, -0.4817, -0.4801, -0.4731, -0.5012, -0.5038, -0.4632, -0.4687, -0.4868, -0.4629, -0.4703, -0.4342, -0.4487, -0.4714, -0.4686, -0.4568, -0.4539, -0.4501, -0.4457, -0.3984, -0.4064, -0.4314, -0.445, -0.4413, -0.4389, -0.4402, -0.4354, -0.459, -0.4777, -0.4724, -0.4562, -0.4528, -0.4676, -0.4678, -0.4531, -0.4239]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965530942568837621", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T21:41:09+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pick up some CIFR too. They are next.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends buying CIFR, calling it the next mover in the AI infrastructure/data center theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nic_carter We love having you in the cap table, Nic.\n\nPick up some CIFR too. They are next.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "aside from the obvious story of the day ORCL, pops for CRWV, IREN, GXLY, APLD, NBIS\n\ni own all the above except for oracle and nebius", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nic_carter", "ret_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09760540081681712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08268288285764713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01780489596881052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03562724295772224, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03068552253624257, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003368475417101946, "ret_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19711814843644926, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20306678894394525, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004738100269802814, "ret_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6795233156162872, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07559861327328976, "ret_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.849407041144203, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8061346777219296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09435308249624885, "ret_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42743979443513536, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4373450733784303, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04070366989281582, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6795233156162872, "price_path": [-0.6371, -0.6166, -0.641, -0.6283, -0.6283, -0.6302, -0.6556, -0.6244, -0.6244, -0.5912, -0.5844, -0.5337, -0.522, -0.4459, -0.4098, -0.4098, -0.4351, -0.4117, -0.3893, -0.3912, -0.4273, -0.4117, -0.4176, -0.3883, -0.3737, -0.3795, -0.3902, -0.3229, -0.3483, -0.3512, -0.3688, -0.399, -0.4459, -0.4683, -0.4673, -0.519, -0.4937, -0.5112, -0.4917, -0.5249, -0.5366, -0.5356, -0.5395, -0.522, -0.481, -0.4917, -0.4098, -0.438, -0.4195, -0.4244, -0.3776, -0.3522, -0.3054, -0.318, -0.3151, -0.2546, -0.2546, -0.1883, -0.2088, -0.278, -0.2663, -0.2468, -0.1005, 0.0, -0.0273, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.1229, 0.2078, 0.1561, 0.198, 0.362, 0.3805, 0.3795, 0.1376, 0.119, 0.2341, 0.2283, 0.2293, 0.3473, 0.4341, 0.4966, 0.5366, 0.7171, 0.7551, 0.6556, 0.9844, 1.038, 1.0517, 0.8263, 0.8302, 0.9424, 0.7634, 0.5717, 0.6834, 1.0156, 1.0039, 0.9473, 0.9112, 0.8605, 0.8195, 1.2205, 1.1961, 1.4107, 1.118, 1.0185, 0.9171, 0.8215, 0.6956, 0.4566, 0.401, 0.4, 0.4224, 0.4263, 0.4205, 0.3805, 0.6302, 0.7093, 0.8683, 0.8683, 0.9854, 0.921, 0.721, 0.8176, 0.9346, 0.881, 0.9005, 0.9083, 0.8029, 0.842, 0.6634, 0.438, 0.4624, 0.4039, 0.478, 0.5815, 0.5941, 0.5522, 0.5824, 0.5824, 0.482, 0.4712, 0.4234, 0.44, 0.44, 0.5805, 0.7717, 0.7112, 0.5688, 0.6146, 0.6224, 0.7249, 0.7805, 0.7688, 0.7093, 0.8341, 0.8341, 0.7483, 0.7288, 0.6966, 0.7141, 0.6088, 0.8293, 0.8507, 0.7268, 0.5571, 0.5424, 0.5863, 0.3902, 0.239, 0.4371, 0.6351, 0.6683, 0.5883, 0.5707, 0.602, 0.602, 0.5259, 0.5044, 0.5415, 0.4293, 0.4849, 0.6702, 0.6205, 0.6078, 0.522, 0.5376, 0.4351, 0.5649, 0.478]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974291094688166057", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T01:50:52+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if I had to choose I would guess we moon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reluctantly bullish on CIFR; expects a moon rather than a retrace if forced to pick a side.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow You’re saying: it’s do or die\n\nI’m saying: it’s not the binary fundamentally but if I had to choose I would guess we moon", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR\nRetrace or God candle\nI see no other way", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.04172101283941543, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04172101283941543, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03814764789189251, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03170719148831502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010013821351100405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02672749956543785, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02672749956543785, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03043492182296481, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03340338046617153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006675880900733677, "ret_p1w": 0.3259452379572818, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3259452379572818, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3387056062547714, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3343944363423549, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008449198385073076, "ret_p1m": 0.46740547620427186, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.46740547620427186, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4620005750213696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4453608792829795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022044596921292348, "ret_p3m": -0.03780964262951503, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03780964262951503, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05616110790890072, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.040510420285586934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0027007776560719066, "ret_p6m": -0.1610169649582509, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1610169649582509, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1348604869983997, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08776987640125156, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07324708855699935, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.46740547620427186, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4620005750213696, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4453608792829795, "price_path": [-0.5919, -0.5932, -0.6173, -0.6069, -0.6108, -0.5913, -0.5815, -0.5854, -0.5926, -0.5476, -0.5645, -0.5665, -0.5782, -0.5984, -0.6297, -0.6447, -0.6441, -0.6786, -0.6617, -0.6734, -0.6604, -0.6825, -0.6904, -0.6897, -0.6923, -0.6806, -0.6532, -0.6604, -0.6056, -0.6245, -0.6121, -0.6154, -0.5841, -0.5671, -0.5359, -0.5443, -0.5424, -0.502, -0.502, -0.4576, -0.4713, -0.5176, -0.5098, -0.4967, -0.399, -0.3318, -0.3501, -0.2927, -0.2927, -0.2497, -0.193, -0.2275, -0.1995, -0.09, -0.0776, -0.0782, -0.2399, -0.2523, -0.1754, -0.1793, -0.1786, -0.0997, -0.0417, 0.0, 0.0267, 0.1473, 0.1728, 0.1063, 0.3259, 0.3618, 0.3709, 0.2203, 0.2229, 0.2979, 0.1783, 0.0502, 0.1248, 0.3468, 0.339, 0.3012, 0.2771, 0.2432, 0.2158, 0.4837, 0.4674, 0.6108, 0.4153, 0.3488, 0.281, 0.2171, 0.133, -0.0267, -0.0639, -0.0645, -0.0495, -0.0469, -0.0508, -0.0776, 0.0893, 0.1421, 0.2484, 0.2484, 0.3266, 0.2836, 0.1499, 0.2145, 0.2927, 0.2568, 0.2699, 0.2751, 0.2047, 0.2308, 0.1115, -0.0391, -0.0228, -0.0619, -0.0124, 0.0567, 0.0652, 0.0372, 0.0574, 0.0574, -0.0098, -0.0169, -0.0489, -0.0378, -0.0378, 0.0561, 0.1838, 0.1434, 0.0482, 0.0789, 0.0841, 0.1525, 0.1897, 0.1819, 0.1421, 0.2256, 0.2256, 0.1682, 0.1551, 0.1336, 0.1454, 0.075, 0.2223, 0.2366, 0.1538, 0.0404, 0.0306, 0.06, -0.0711, -0.1721, -0.0398, 0.0926, 0.1147, 0.0613, 0.0495, 0.0704, 0.0704, 0.0196, 0.0052, 0.03, -0.045, -0.0078, 0.116, 0.0828, 0.0743, 0.0169, 0.0274, -0.0411, 0.0456, -0.0124, -0.1121, -0.0671, -0.09, -0.0802, -0.1063, -0.0821, -0.013, -0.0163, -0.0437, -0.0456, -0.0867, -0.0293, -0.03, 0.0352, -0.0645, -0.104, -0.2168, -0.161]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965753868614308156", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T12:26:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "own Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds Bitcoin; dismisses macro data as irrelevant to the position.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PeterLBrandt Don’t care, own Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "PPI to be released today at 08:30 ET from the U.S. Department of Ever-Being-Revised Data (aka the Statistical Bureau of Spoof)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PeterLBrandt", "ret_m1d": -0.021278617463005967, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021278617463005967, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018396239453365437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018396239453365437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013620945043858246, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013620945043858246, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0053107492052766325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0053107492052766325, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "ret_p1w": 0.022053797656236718, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022053797656236718, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011367056878937909, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011367056878937909, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "ret_p1m": 0.0680110756089658, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0680110756089658, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03610300059806559, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03610300059806559, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "ret_p3m": -0.20459903226907794, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20459903226907794, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25567975134305343, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25567975134305343, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "ret_p6m": -0.37834319168018504, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37834319168018504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4289521405162958, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4289521405162958, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0680110756089658, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03610300059806559, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03610300059806559, "price_path": [-0.069, -0.0628, -0.0821, -0.0796, -0.0814, -0.0934, -0.0735, -0.0694, -0.0579, -0.0614, -0.0603, -0.0598, -0.0725, -0.0447, -0.0378, -0.052, -0.0496, -0.0439, -0.0231, 0.0178, 0.0313, 0.0517, 0.0335, 0.042, 0.0468, 0.0355, 0.0306, 0.053, 0.0421, 0.0387, 0.0323, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.034, 0.0158, -0.0056, 0.0098, 0.0016, 0.0094, 0.0311, 0.024, 0.0419, 0.0546, 0.0824, 0.0386, 0.0302, 0.0202, -0.0099, 0.0028, -0.0135, 0.0256, -0.0336, -0.0189, -0.024, -0.0124, -0.0487, -0.0413, -0.0242, -0.0196, -0.0284, -0.029, -0.0165, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0188, 0.0131, 0.0253, 0.0221, 0.0279, 0.0152, -0.0106, -0.017, -0.0055, -0.0431, -0.0372, 0.0039, 0.0009, 0.0412, 0.059, 0.0729, 0.0947, 0.0658, 0.0825, 0.068, -0.0065, 0.0115, -0.0073, -0.0278, -0.0506, -0.0657, -0.0295, -0.0481, -0.055, -0.0341, -0.0256, 0.0014, -0.0088, -0.0342, -0.0496, -0.0386, -0.065, -0.1085, -0.0883, -0.111, -0.0929, -0.0698, -0.0962, -0.1079, -0.1251, -0.1716, -0.1918, -0.1843, -0.1974, -0.2398, -0.2533, -0.2254, -0.2335, -0.2057, -0.1989, -0.2022, -0.2425, -0.1984, -0.1793, -0.1914, -0.2156, -0.2046, -0.1866, -0.1925, -0.1882, -0.2078, -0.2416, -0.2291, -0.2441, -0.25, -0.2269, -0.2235, -0.2329, -0.2312, -0.2345, -0.2339, -0.2353, -0.224, -0.2321, -0.2213, -0.2107, -0.1761, -0.1775, -0.1987, -0.2012, -0.2057, -0.1997, -0.1635, -0.1494, -0.1615, -0.1617, -0.1878, -0.225, -0.2157, -0.2149, -0.2146, -0.2254, -0.2181, -0.2174, -0.2579, -0.2617, -0.3095, -0.3363, -0.3592, -0.4498, -0.3809, -0.3847, -0.3963, -0.4121, -0.4189, -0.3957, -0.3959, -0.4077, -0.4171, -0.4124, -0.4032, -0.433, -0.4377, -0.4036, -0.4081, -0.4219, -0.3965, -0.4007, -0.3619, -0.3783]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966350052315770923", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-12T03:56:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Tend to agree. Maybe much sooner.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Agrees BTC will hit ATH before end of September, possibly sooner.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tend to agree. Maybe much sooner.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitcoin ATH, before the end of September.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005116545977182474, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005116545977182474, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005451100628994121, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005451100628994121, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005656280781067169, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005656280781067169, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010980055338542627, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010980055338542627, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "ret_p1w": -0.0035548074080065106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0035548074080065106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015921595705878033, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015921595705878033, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "ret_p1m": -0.0071532188744742875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0071532188744742875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01851324548865363, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01851324548865363, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "ret_p3m": -0.2074100387039851, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2074100387039851, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2561865862351521, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2561865862351521, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "ret_p6m": -0.41084019772018066, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41084019772018066, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44848820342150264, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44848820342150264, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0071532188744742875, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01851324548865363, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01851324548865363, "price_path": [-0.0991, -0.0966, -0.0983, -0.1102, -0.0906, -0.0866, -0.0753, -0.0787, -0.0776, -0.0772, -0.0896, -0.0624, -0.0556, -0.0695, -0.0672, -0.0616, -0.0411, -0.001, 0.0122, 0.0323, 0.0144, 0.0227, 0.0275, 0.0164, 0.0115, 0.0335, 0.0229, 0.0195, 0.0132, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0149, -0.003, -0.024, -0.0089, -0.0169, -0.0092, 0.012, 0.0051, 0.0227, 0.0351, 0.0624, 0.0194, 0.0112, 0.0013, -0.0282, -0.0157, -0.0317, 0.0067, -0.0515, -0.037, -0.042, -0.0306, -0.0662, -0.059, -0.0422, -0.0377, -0.0463, -0.0469, -0.0347, -0.0394, -0.0185, -0.0051, 0.0, -0.0057, 0.0064, 0.0032, 0.0089, -0.0036, -0.0289, -0.0352, -0.0239, -0.0607, -0.055, -0.0147, -0.0176, 0.0219, 0.0394, 0.0531, 0.0745, 0.0461, 0.0625, 0.0483, -0.0249, -0.0072, -0.0257, -0.0458, -0.0682, -0.083, -0.0475, -0.0657, -0.0725, -0.052, -0.0436, -0.0171, -0.0271, -0.0521, -0.0671, -0.0564, -0.0823, -0.125, -0.1052, -0.1275, -0.1096, -0.087, -0.1129, -0.1244, -0.1413, -0.1869, -0.2068, -0.1994, -0.2122, -0.2538, -0.2671, -0.2397, -0.2477, -0.2204, -0.2137, -0.2169, -0.2565, -0.2132, -0.1944, -0.2064, -0.2301, -0.2193, -0.2016, -0.2074, -0.2032, -0.2225, -0.2557, -0.2434, -0.258, -0.2639, -0.2412, -0.2378, -0.2471, -0.2454, -0.2486, -0.2481, -0.2495, -0.2383, -0.2463, -0.2357, -0.2253, -0.1914, -0.1927, -0.2136, -0.216, -0.2204, -0.2145, -0.179, -0.1651, -0.177, -0.1772, -0.2028, -0.2394, -0.2302, -0.2294, -0.2291, -0.2397, -0.2325, -0.2318, -0.2717, -0.2754, -0.3222, -0.3486, -0.3711, -0.4599, -0.3923, -0.396, -0.4075, -0.423, -0.4296, -0.4069, -0.407, -0.4187, -0.4279, -0.4233, -0.4143, -0.4434, -0.4481, -0.4146, -0.419, -0.4326, -0.4076, -0.4118, -0.3737, -0.3898, -0.4131, -0.4108]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975931679660236923", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "TGT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Seems like the bottom may be in on TGT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Buying TGT, STZ (bottom may be in), adding to PEP and BMY as defensive barbell ahead of potential downturn by 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["TGT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seems like the bottom may be in on TGT and STZ. Also topping up PEP and BMY. Building out the barbell for the next major downturn (could be several years out but possibly as soon as 2026).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012281648017379743, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012281648017379743, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0063540314259412645, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017295254963249018, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005013606945869276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014162469581995296, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014162469581995296, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011265494857062075, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017376299652945182, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032138300709498857, "ret_p1w": 0.0058640352016439135, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0058640352016439135, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017660023303988304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01264739775631707, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018511432957960983, "ret_p1m": -0.013609240623305263, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013609240623305263, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009449559405723784, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014543582437544722, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028152823060849985, "ret_p3m": 0.14391422867924275, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14391422867924275, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11918992173011489, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14159317923853698, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002321049440705769, "ret_p6m": 0.3632300691575423, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3632300691575423, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3833541053164241, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.296105539574248, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06712452958329429, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.141, 0.1479, 0.1188, 0.1092, 0.1345, 0.1324, 0.1133, 0.1662, 0.1759, 0.1583, 0.1608, 0.1649, 0.1403, 0.1289, 0.1, 0.0921, 0.0923, 0.1212, 0.1536, 0.1566, 0.1537, 0.1385, 0.1631, 0.1657, 0.1535, 0.1399, 0.1612, 0.1657, 0.0919, 0.0739, 0.098, 0.0747, 0.0634, 0.0839, 0.0711, 0.062, 0.062, 0.0228, 0.0218, 0.0258, 0.0309, 0.0124, 0.0059, 0.0044, 0.0126, -0.0046, -0.0201, -0.0073, -0.016, -0.0106, -0.0249, -0.0423, -0.0368, -0.0229, -0.0358, -0.028, -0.0171, -0.0075, -0.0137, -0.0096, -0.0149, -0.0157, -0.0123, 0.0, -0.0142, -0.0537, -0.0336, -0.0157, 0.0059, -0.0034, 0.0051, 0.0127, 0.0445, 0.0403, 0.0428, 0.0429, 0.0818, 0.0745, 0.0414, 0.0281, 0.0259, 0.0118, -0.0044, 0.0173, -0.0136, 0.0095, 0.0039, 0.0133, 0.0297, 0.0153, 0.0072, -0.0087, -0.0081, -0.0356, -0.0625, -0.0183, -0.0528, -0.03, 0.0061, 0.0061, 0.0153, 0.0236, 0.0136, 0.0187, 0.0262, 0.0329, 0.0426, 0.0489, 0.0601, 0.0864, 0.0878, 0.093, 0.0943, 0.1047, 0.1097, 0.0981, 0.0666, 0.0565, 0.0815, 0.0815, 0.1153, 0.0991, 0.0916, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.1261, 0.1439, 0.1686, 0.1615, 0.1913, 0.1822, 0.1892, 0.2171, 0.2304, 0.2451, 0.2468, 0.2468, 0.225, 0.1881, 0.1932, 0.2111, 0.1648, 0.1663, 0.1399, 0.1522, 0.1817, 0.2272, 0.247, 0.2787, 0.2419, 0.2946, 0.2943, 0.2686, 0.2971, 0.2754, 0.3101, 0.3101, 0.319, 0.309, 0.309, 0.3207, 0.2828, 0.3074, 0.3178, 0.2992, 0.2879, 0.2808, 0.3672, 0.359, 0.3622, 0.3671, 0.3597, 0.3665, 0.3443, 0.31, 0.328, 0.3247, 0.3215, 0.3021, 0.2955, 0.2819, 0.3008, 0.312, 0.3171, 0.3242, 0.3563, 0.3443, 0.3717, 0.3632, 0.3632]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975931679660236923", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Seems like the bottom may be in on TGT and STZ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Buying TGT, STZ (bottom may be in), adding to PEP and BMY as defensive barbell ahead of potential downturn by 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seems like the bottom may be in on TGT and STZ. Also topping up PEP and BMY. Building out the barbell for the next major downturn (could be several years out but possibly as soon as 2026).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01835252713438562, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01835252713438562, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012424910542947143, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012424910542947143, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001470874105903075, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001470874105903075, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004367848830836296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004367848830836296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "ret_p1w": -0.02710846299440761, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02710846299440761, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015312474892063221, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015312474892063221, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "ret_p1m": -0.0967062614420875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0967062614420875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09254658022450601, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09254658022450601, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "ret_p3m": 0.0060835641170022825, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0060835641170022825, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01864074283212558, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01864074283212558, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "ret_p6m": 0.07437999480238755, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07437999480238755, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09450403096126936, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09450403096126936, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1992, 0.1462, 0.156, 0.1708, 0.1945, 0.1879, 0.1696, 0.2212, 0.2263, 0.2232, 0.2223, 0.202, 0.2245, 0.201, 0.1701, 0.1641, 0.1928, 0.1954, 0.1849, 0.2134, 0.195, 0.1818, 0.1907, 0.1934, 0.1874, 0.1784, 0.1645, 0.1621, 0.1649, 0.1553, 0.1741, 0.1465, 0.1093, 0.1243, 0.1144, 0.1344, 0.1344, 0.0595, 0.0261, 0.0219, 0.0397, 0.0234, 0.0226, 0.001, 0.0015, -0.0229, -0.0514, -0.0566, -0.0681, -0.0682, -0.0689, -0.065, -0.0769, -0.0656, -0.0708, -0.0719, -0.0441, -0.0567, -0.0267, -0.0158, -0.0039, -0.0284, -0.0184, 0.0, 0.0015, -0.01, -0.0092, -0.0106, -0.0271, -0.0241, -0.0165, -0.0107, -0.0083, -0.0179, -0.0213, -0.022, -0.0336, -0.06, -0.0825, -0.0901, -0.0725, -0.0764, -0.088, -0.0779, -0.0967, -0.0988, -0.093, -0.0695, -0.0796, -0.0844, -0.0882, -0.0755, -0.0785, -0.0874, -0.0791, -0.0564, -0.0673, -0.0668, -0.0477, -0.0477, -0.0372, -0.0267, -0.0267, -0.0252, -0.0255, 0.0051, 0.0024, 0.0122, 0.0484, 0.0558, 0.0407, 0.0129, 0.0066, -0.0136, -0.0342, -0.0469, 0.0006, -0.0171, -0.0082, -0.0082, -0.0158, -0.0222, -0.0107, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0034, 0.0061, 0.0141, -0.0082, 0.0446, 0.0378, 0.0718, 0.0813, 0.1039, 0.1207, 0.1058, 0.1058, 0.1553, 0.1534, 0.1346, 0.1209, 0.1405, 0.1384, 0.1136, 0.0996, 0.1135, 0.1061, 0.1413, 0.1844, 0.1765, 0.1677, 0.1626, 0.1769, 0.1596, 0.1537, 0.0609, 0.0609, 0.085, 0.1105, 0.0988, 0.1114, 0.1328, 0.1374, 0.1022, 0.1068, 0.1217, 0.1125, 0.1086, 0.0747, 0.0467, 0.0408, 0.0585, 0.0665, 0.0656, 0.0539, 0.0668, 0.0731, 0.0776, 0.0807, 0.0794, 0.0632, 0.0833, 0.0849, 0.0769, 0.0688, 0.0758, 0.073, 0.0659, 0.0736, 0.0744]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975931679660236923", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "topping up PEP", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Buying TGT, STZ (bottom may be in), adding to PEP and BMY as defensive barbell ahead of potential downturn by 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seems like the bottom may be in on TGT and STZ. Also topping up PEP and BMY. Building out the barbell for the next major downturn (could be several years out but possibly as soon as 2026).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014044865952599572, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014044865952599572, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01997248254403805, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01997248254403805, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04227897269833303, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04227897269833303, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04517594742326625, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04517594742326625, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "ret_p1w": 0.08873531147231217, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08873531147231217, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10053129957465656, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10053129957465656, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "ret_p1m": 0.019734886607479796, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.019734886607479796, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023894567825061275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023894567825061275, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "ret_p3m": 0.017635794098395552, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.017635794098395552, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007088512850732309, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.007088512850732309, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "ret_p6m": 0.1521331778701429, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1521331778701429, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17225721402902472, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17225721402902472, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.033, -0.0456, -0.0346, 0.0374, 0.0217, 0.0107, 0.0417, 0.039, 0.0308, 0.0232, 0.0098, 0.0263, 0.019, -0.0162, -0.0065, -0.0046, -0.0053, 0.0043, 0.0265, 0.0357, 0.0333, 0.0476, 0.0653, 0.0601, 0.0728, 0.0667, 0.0853, 0.0751, 0.0626, 0.0673, 0.0571, 0.0485, 0.0531, 0.0484, 0.0603, 0.0603, 0.0719, 0.0602, 0.0477, 0.0544, 0.0207, 0.0307, 0.0275, 0.0388, 0.0338, 0.013, 0.0086, 0.0172, 0.0136, 0.021, 0.0158, 0.022, 0.024, 0.0078, 0.0115, 0.0096, 0.0115, 0.031, 0.025, 0.0226, 0.0062, 0.014, 0.0, 0.0423, 0.081, 0.0724, 0.0915, 0.0887, 0.0996, 0.1071, 0.1066, 0.1033, 0.1022, 0.0913, 0.0915, 0.0993, 0.0812, 0.0527, 0.0627, 0.0522, 0.0343, 0.0292, 0.029, 0.0197, 0.0296, 0.0272, 0.0449, 0.04, 0.0445, 0.0505, 0.0648, 0.0715, 0.0596, 0.0523, 0.0539, 0.048, 0.0524, 0.0658, 0.0658, 0.0713, 0.0769, 0.0704, 0.0664, 0.0581, 0.0547, 0.0592, 0.052, 0.0888, 0.084, 0.0957, 0.0998, 0.0936, 0.0915, 0.0864, 0.0776, 0.0695, 0.045, 0.0454, 0.0454, 0.0457, 0.0491, 0.0485, 0.0438, 0.0438, 0.0344, 0.0176, 0.0107, -0.0035, 0.0136, 0.0176, 0.0281, 0.0435, 0.0613, 0.066, 0.0642, 0.0642, 0.0739, 0.0672, 0.0502, 0.0515, 0.0609, 0.0821, 0.08, 0.0814, 0.1173, 0.1288, 0.1844, 0.2086, 0.2184, 0.24, 0.2107, 0.2144, 0.2302, 0.216, 0.2069, 0.2069, 0.1776, 0.1956, 0.1971, 0.1996, 0.2242, 0.2331, 0.2304, 0.2188, 0.2345, 0.2166, 0.1994, 0.1922, 0.1688, 0.1699, 0.1853, 0.1798, 0.1752, 0.1657, 0.1732, 0.1573, 0.1484, 0.1267, 0.1208, 0.101, 0.1072, 0.105, 0.1134, 0.1068, 0.123, 0.1507, 0.1395, 0.1348, 0.1521]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975931679660236923", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:29:58+00:00", "symbol": "BMY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "topping up PEP and BMY", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Buying TGT, STZ (bottom may be in), adding to PEP and BMY as defensive barbell ahead of potential downturn by 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seems like the bottom may be in on TGT and STZ. Also topping up PEP and BMY. Building out the barbell for the next major downturn (could be several years out but possibly as soon as 2026).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0026940693439843066, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0026940693439843066, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008621685935422785, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008621685935422785, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927616591438478, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0031431246774247246, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0031431246774247246, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006040099402357946, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006040099402357946, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002896974724933221, "ret_p1w": -0.020880153706676396, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020880153706676396, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009084165604332006, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009084165604332006, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01179598810234439, "ret_p1m": 0.04692404976293041, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04692404976293041, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05108373098051189, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05108373098051189, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004159681217581479, "ret_p3m": 0.20536695105086733, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20536695105086733, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18064264410173947, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18064264410173947, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02472430694912786, "ret_p6m": 0.36789678994165076, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36789678994165076, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.38802082610053257, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.38802082610053257, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02012403615888181, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0378, 0.0485, 0.0283, 0.0447, 0.0644, 0.0489, 0.0341, 0.0635, 0.0848, 0.0839, 0.0726, 0.0522, 0.0378, 0.0183, -0.0408, -0.0204, 0.0055, 0.0155, -0.0074, 0.0046, 0.0177, 0.0172, 0.031, 0.0597, 0.0589, 0.0728, 0.0673, 0.0706, 0.0688, 0.0726, 0.0613, 0.044, 0.0456, 0.0549, 0.0383, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.05, 0.052, 0.0341, 0.044, 0.0347, 0.046, 0.0442, 0.0529, 0.0232, 0.0265, 0.0263, 0.0221, 0.0099, -0.0029, -0.0038, -0.0054, -0.022, -0.0386, -0.0229, -0.0222, -0.0012, 0.0504, 0.0128, 0.0204, 0.0135, 0.0027, 0.0, 0.0031, -0.013, -0.0225, -0.0166, -0.0209, -0.0258, -0.0204, -0.0213, 0.0, -0.0034, -0.0159, -0.0159, -0.0258, -0.0386, -0.0436, 0.0242, 0.0344, 0.0332, 0.0236, 0.0433, 0.0469, 0.0483, 0.0611, 0.0938, 0.1019, 0.0918, 0.0474, 0.051, 0.0566, 0.0281, 0.0314, 0.0384, 0.0723, 0.1013, 0.1057, 0.1057, 0.1046, 0.1042, 0.0833, 0.1441, 0.1664, 0.1709, 0.1601, 0.1372, 0.1498, 0.1495, 0.1767, 0.2189, 0.2176, 0.2023, 0.1974, 0.2167, 0.2272, 0.2187, 0.2283, 0.2283, 0.2268, 0.2149, 0.2171, 0.211, 0.211, 0.2145, 0.2054, 0.2363, 0.2885, 0.2699, 0.269, 0.2669, 0.2703, 0.2953, 0.2862, 0.2553, 0.2553, 0.2317, 0.2381, 0.2481, 0.2415, 0.2404, 0.2622, 0.2408, 0.2331, 0.2506, 0.2697, 0.2719, 0.309, 0.3521, 0.4082, 0.3805, 0.3826, 0.3614, 0.3598, 0.3798, 0.3798, 0.371, 0.3569, 0.3698, 0.378, 0.3914, 0.3994, 0.3926, 0.388, 0.4169, 0.4162, 0.3907, 0.416, 0.3798, 0.3696, 0.3773, 0.366, 0.3626, 0.3392, 0.3421, 0.3564, 0.3564, 0.3487, 0.3201, 0.3058, 0.2949, 0.3037, 0.3389, 0.3501, 0.3299, 0.3569, 0.3778, 0.4023, 0.3679]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976381232381379067", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-09T20:16:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like the stonk", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IREN; endorses it as a leader.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GatorDontPlay2 I like the stonk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred And iren will be the leader", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GatorDontPlay2", "ret_m1d": 0.0682616360232513, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0682616360232513, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04048297605116713, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0460224355729375, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0222392004503138, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07311358371115984, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07311358371115984, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0577694655759915, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06352776101360647, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00958582269755337, "ret_p1w": 0.01589427397797616, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01589427397797616, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0015171945249699004, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015510894368648831, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00038337960932732784, "ret_p1m": 0.006692282217134915, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006692282217134915, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03682856709189952, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008836849747471343, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015529131964606258, "ret_p3m": -0.2701187942799582, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2701187942799582, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.329225205478651, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3399876738639688, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06986887958401056, "ret_p6m": -0.41224693325977524, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41224693325977524, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42704276108908, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37681041349088973, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03543651976888551, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006692282217134915, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03682856709189952, "alpha_c_stated": -0.008836849747471343, "price_path": [-0.7176, -0.7104, -0.698, -0.6998, -0.6963, -0.689, -0.6823, -0.6965, -0.7035, -0.7226, -0.7358, -0.73, -0.7305, -0.7423, -0.7243, -0.7248, -0.6935, -0.6893, -0.6913, -0.6993, -0.7017, -0.7034, -0.6808, -0.6706, -0.6536, -0.6866, -0.6694, -0.6722, -0.6415, -0.6132, -0.6154, -0.626, -0.6145, -0.557, -0.557, -0.513, -0.528, -0.5628, -0.5625, -0.5618, -0.4949, -0.4373, -0.4504, -0.4318, -0.3786, -0.3902, -0.3659, -0.3923, -0.3535, -0.299, -0.3012, -0.2113, -0.2255, -0.2996, -0.2316, -0.2148, -0.2123, -0.2133, -0.1558, -0.0338, 0.032, 0.0054, 0.0683, 0.0, 0.0731, 0.1638, 0.1374, 0.0345, 0.0159, -0.0092, -0.0765, -0.1328, -0.0654, 0.0524, 0.0873, 0.0443, 0.0109, -0.0259, 0.0164, 0.1335, 0.1148, 0.2784, 0.1203, 0.0437, 0.0067, -0.04, -0.0681, -0.186, -0.2242, -0.2068, -0.1827, -0.2332, -0.2727, -0.293, -0.1887, -0.2058, -0.1894, -0.1894, -0.2001, -0.1887, -0.312, -0.2645, -0.2229, -0.252, -0.2247, -0.2163, -0.2652, -0.2648, -0.3286, -0.4064, -0.3878, -0.4348, -0.401, -0.3321, -0.2966, -0.2961, -0.2976, -0.2976, -0.3257, -0.3406, -0.3592, -0.3681, -0.3681, -0.2856, -0.1929, -0.2319, -0.2701, -0.2357, -0.2299, -0.1579, -0.1134, -0.1153, -0.1318, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0922, -0.1052, -0.1256, -0.0517, -0.124, 0.0037, 0.053, 0.0012, -0.1009, -0.1119, -0.09, -0.2481, -0.3343, -0.3002, -0.2279, -0.2817, -0.2861, -0.3303, -0.2936, -0.2936, -0.3145, -0.296, -0.2757, -0.3311, -0.2913, -0.2396, -0.2633, -0.2598, -0.3149, -0.3075, -0.35, -0.2665, -0.3287, -0.386, -0.3502, -0.3622, -0.2976, -0.3078, -0.3043, -0.2481, -0.2812, -0.2938, -0.303, -0.3092, -0.2946, -0.312, -0.3068, -0.3734, -0.4129, -0.471, -0.4265, -0.4296, -0.4183, -0.4183, -0.4122]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1981796954360459767", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-24T18:56:28+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have taken an initial 1M+ share stake in Strive Asset Management $ASST. Strive is one of the most promising BTC Treasury companies globally trading at an attractive level.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated 1M+ share position in ASST; views it as a top BTC Treasury company at an attractive valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have taken an initial 1M+ share stake in Strive Asset Management $ASST. Strive is one of the most promising BTC Treasury companies globally trading at an attractive level. You simply do not bet against a generational talent like ⁦@werkman⁩. ⁦@jameslavish⁩ too 💪 https://t.co/b7CsRpvaod", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.21454542333429505, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.21454542333429505, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.20643911786463565, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.20381298453201724, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008106305469659403, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01073243880227781, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.4909090562300249, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.4909090562300249, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.47911139173724027, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.48676666041042904, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011797664492784632, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0041423958195958566, "ret_p1w": 0.20909092643044214, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20909092643044214, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20198862917894767, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2230242744107388, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0071022972514944716, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013933347980296662, "ret_p1m": 0.027272744612260258, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027272744612260258, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03985306118062215, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05024392814166756, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012580316568361893, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022971183529407302, "ret_p3m": -0.18909090215509583, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18909090215509583, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20411531403018046, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1991990517070864, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015024411875084631, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010108149551990575, "ret_p6m": -0.29000000520185987, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29000000520185987, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34242579046641053, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2895373317665707, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05242578526455066, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0004626734352891626, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.027272744612260258, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03985306118062215, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05024392814166756, "price_path": [2.2091, 2.0727, 2.0273, 1.7455, 1.9182, 2.1727, 2.1818, 2.1273, 1.9909, 2.8818, 2.7545, 3.1318, 3.1182, 2.8909, 2.8, 2.5364, 2.6364, 2.7545, 3.0182, 3.3636, 4.0818, 4.3727, 5.0818, 4.5909, 4.5909, 4.8727, 4.9182, 4.0091, 3.1273, 3.8455, 4.7091, 6.3545, 7.1, 6.7182, 4.6545, 3.0727, 2.3455, 2.4727, 2.9091, 2.7273, 2.0455, 1.7364, 1.5, 1.2182, 1.0909, 1.2727, 1.2818, 1.4182, 1.3636, 1.3, 0.9091, 0.8091, 0.6455, 0.4136, -0.0182, -0.0936, -0.1273, -0.1818, -0.2418, -0.2145, -0.2455, -0.2909, -0.2145, 0.0, 0.4909, 0.3091, 0.1364, 0.1, 0.2091, 0.1545, 0.1364, 0.3273, 0.3182, 0.3727, 0.3455, 0.2364, 0.1727, 0.0455, -0.0182, -0.0545, 0.0182, -0.0455, -0.1064, -0.0727, 0.0273, 0.0091, 0.0273, 0.0273, 0.0182, -0.0455, -0.0591, -0.0455, -0.1118, -0.1809, -0.1045, -0.0727, -0.0909, -0.1618, -0.2155, -0.2827, -0.2182, -0.2536, -0.2445, -0.1827, -0.2127, -0.2682, -0.2164, -0.2164, -0.2591, -0.2973, -0.3345, -0.3291, -0.3291, -0.2136, -0.0636, -0.0545, -0.0727, -0.0818, -0.14, 0.0, -0.1182, -0.0636, -0.1173, -0.1382, -0.1382, -0.1955, -0.1891, -0.2091, -0.2082, -0.2855, -0.2555, -0.2718, -0.2864, -0.2536, -0.3427, -0.38, -0.4618, -0.5518, -0.4584, -0.5389, -0.5827, -0.6323, -0.65, -0.6214, -0.6214, -0.6282, -0.6341, -0.6309, -0.6295, -0.6655, -0.6743, -0.6118, -0.6277, -0.6391, -0.6032, -0.6214, -0.5627, -0.5795, -0.6045, -0.6132, -0.5918, -0.5805, -0.5986, -0.5668, -0.5064, -0.4955, -0.5439, -0.5336, -0.5445, -0.5255, -0.5486, -0.5068, -0.5268, -0.552, -0.5741, -0.5445, -0.5382, -0.5568, -0.5568, -0.54, -0.5789, -0.5341, -0.5618, -0.5168, -0.4736, -0.435, -0.385, -0.3645, -0.2905, -0.29]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970910031014134017", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T17:55:43+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I smash bought some CLSK right now just to be safe", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought CLSK ahead of dinner with CEO, expecting to turn bullish after the meeting.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Getting dinner with Cleanspark CEO @smatthewschultz tonight. I have a feeling I'm going to be pretty bullish after the steaks so I smash bought some CLSK right now just to be safe. Better safe than sorry.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.037370240067877813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037370240067877813, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0405619665082414, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04016814104075095, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0031917264403635848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027979009728731352, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05328716361612973, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05328716361612973, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.048673696051617976, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05067565973229282, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004613467564511753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026115038838369076, "ret_p1w": 0.009688605202125222, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009688605202125222, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.001429237244047643, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013792366152324043, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117842446172865, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00410376095019882, "ret_p1m": 0.22283739166309124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22283739166309124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20671268952311617, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24279642895813813, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124702139975078, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01995903729504689, "ret_p3m": -0.16262972033318812, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16262972033318812, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20158540851714446, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19813325211868138, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03895568818395634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03550353178549326, "ret_p6m": -0.31972317969144903, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31972317969144903, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.32070582221790156, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23673902279580472, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009826425264525263, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08298415689564431, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22283739166309124, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.20671268952311617, "alpha_c_stated": 0.24279642895813813, "price_path": [-0.2616, -0.2367, -0.2332, -0.1363, -0.1522, -0.1522, -0.2159, -0.1972, -0.137, -0.1073, -0.1246, -0.128, -0.1564, -0.1301, -0.1017, -0.1156, -0.1426, -0.1114, -0.1384, -0.146, -0.182, -0.1675, -0.1882, -0.2097, -0.2131, -0.2775, -0.2651, -0.2505, -0.2388, -0.2581, -0.3031, -0.317, -0.3135, -0.31, -0.3114, -0.3253, -0.319, -0.3522, -0.3433, -0.3543, -0.3204, -0.346, -0.3301, -0.337, -0.3391, -0.3446, -0.3446, -0.3329, -0.3467, -0.3716, -0.3606, -0.3654, -0.3308, -0.3059, -0.2941, -0.2837, -0.2879, -0.2249, -0.2083, -0.0685, -0.0574, -0.0491, -0.0374, 0.0, -0.0533, -0.1031, 0.0291, 0.0035, 0.0097, 0.0478, 0.1031, 0.2062, 0.2429, 0.3135, 0.3903, 0.3343, 0.3869, 0.5211, 0.6055, 0.3834, 0.3512, 0.4118, 0.299, 0.1668, 0.2228, 0.3401, 0.3979, 0.3253, 0.3073, 0.2242, 0.2318, 0.2055, 0.1225, 0.1474, 0.0657, 0.0775, 0.0401, -0.028, -0.0775, -0.1709, -0.2415, -0.2657, -0.2519, -0.2927, -0.3232, -0.3266, -0.2055, -0.182, -0.0692, -0.0692, 0.045, -0.0256, -0.0512, 0.0028, 0.0401, -0.0509, -0.0388, 0.0277, 0.0055, 0.0256, -0.0291, -0.1754, -0.1792, -0.2055, -0.2249, -0.1675, -0.1626, -0.2035, -0.2111, -0.2111, -0.245, -0.2581, -0.2789, -0.2997, -0.2997, -0.2007, -0.1488, -0.1702, -0.1744, -0.1702, -0.1965, -0.1723, -0.1315, -0.0768, -0.119, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.117, -0.1135, -0.0872, -0.0512, -0.1391, -0.0817, -0.0692, -0.1287, -0.1806, -0.236, -0.2138, -0.2927, -0.428, -0.3024, -0.2948, -0.3059, -0.3343, -0.3557, -0.3183, -0.3183, -0.3578, -0.3585, -0.3204, -0.3322, -0.3204, -0.2837, -0.2768, -0.2775, -0.3114, -0.2699, -0.3156, -0.2623, -0.3114, -0.3626, -0.3349, -0.3336, -0.3211, -0.3391, -0.3246, -0.3066, -0.3003, -0.3163, -0.3197]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973539712095887439", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T00:05:08+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Make it 146k and we have a deal", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Implicitly bullish BTC; counters parent's $143k October target with $146k, signaling a higher price expectation.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@stuckonstocks Make it 146k and we have a deal", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred 143k by October 20th is what i plotted 5 months ago https://t.co/aSJ4qRYjlt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "stuckonstocks", "ret_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015689962283643055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015689962283643055, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013150750196000982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013150750196000982, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005588871828819952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005588871828819952, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "ret_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1113724654901529, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1113724654901529, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "ret_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2968588994983963, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2968588994983963, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "ret_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4032021750663245, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4032021750663245, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09218576232678011, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1113724654901529, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1113724654901529, "price_path": [-0.1026, -0.0972, -0.0775, -0.0389, -0.0262, -0.0069, -0.0241, -0.0161, -0.0115, -0.0222, -0.0269, -0.0057, -0.016, -0.0192, -0.0252, -0.0228, -0.0229, -0.0236, -0.0408, -0.061, -0.0465, -0.0542, -0.0468, -0.0264, -0.0331, -0.0162, -0.0042, 0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0272, -0.0367, -0.065, -0.0531, -0.0685, -0.0315, -0.0875, -0.0736, -0.0784, -0.0674, -0.1017, -0.0947, -0.0786, -0.0742, -0.0825, -0.0831, -0.0713, -0.0758, -0.0557, -0.0429, -0.0379, -0.0434, -0.0318, -0.0349, -0.0294, -0.0414, -0.0657, -0.0718, -0.0609, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.052, -0.0549, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0337, 0.0064, 0.0222, 0.0085, -0.0619, -0.0448, -0.0627, -0.082, -0.1035, -0.1178, -0.0836, -0.1011, -0.1077, -0.0879, -0.0799, -0.0544, -0.064, -0.088, -0.1025, -0.0922, -0.1171, -0.1582, -0.1391, -0.1606, -0.1434, -0.1217, -0.1465, -0.1576, -0.1739, -0.2178, -0.2369, -0.2298, -0.2421, -0.2821, -0.2949, -0.2686, -0.2763, -0.2499, -0.2436, -0.2466, -0.2847, -0.243, -0.225, -0.2365, -0.2593, -0.2489, -0.2319, -0.2375, -0.2334, -0.252, -0.2839, -0.2721, -0.2862, -0.2918, -0.2699, -0.2667, -0.2757, -0.274, -0.2771, -0.2766, -0.2779, -0.2672, -0.2749, -0.2647, -0.2547, -0.2221, -0.2233, -0.2434, -0.2457, -0.25, -0.2443, -0.2101, -0.1968, -0.2082, -0.2085, -0.2331, -0.2682, -0.2594, -0.2587, -0.2583, -0.2686, -0.2617, -0.261, -0.2993, -0.3029, -0.348, -0.3733, -0.3949, -0.4804, -0.4154, -0.419, -0.43, -0.4449, -0.4513, -0.4294, -0.4295, -0.4407, -0.4496, -0.4452, -0.4365, -0.4646, -0.469, -0.4369, -0.4411, -0.4541, -0.4301, -0.4341, -0.3975, -0.413, -0.4354, -0.4332, -0.4206, -0.4183, -0.4159, -0.4119, -0.3797, -0.3875, -0.4096, -0.4207, -0.4156, -0.4124, -0.4157, -0.4091, -0.43, -0.4503]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965854580346175699", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T19:07:10+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You are not bullish enough", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies parent is insufficiently bullish on IREN; author is more bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@StockMKTNewz You are not bullish enough", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I just got a ad for $IREN in my Uber 😂 https://t.co/dKfNHFFOD5", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockMKTNewz", "ret_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0994072569829405, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10567572381222812, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033860888196470817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03150384939851758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03955933657797828, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01636568301804231, "ret_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11628323609290958, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10966365694595481, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017306319924253577, "ret_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8922907085380374, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006311624087446344, "ret_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32685560803851654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3686049437473511, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009331383365140944, "ret_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14252214618614611, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22288482202636983, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02975372700411294, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8922907085380374, "price_path": [-0.7077, -0.6908, -0.7095, -0.7086, -0.7086, -0.6887, -0.683, -0.6569, -0.647, -0.6102, -0.5837, -0.5668, -0.5471, -0.5343, -0.4999, -0.4999, -0.496, -0.4978, -0.4957, -0.4936, -0.5174, -0.4862, -0.4981, -0.4853, -0.4633, -0.4665, -0.4603, -0.4472, -0.4353, -0.4606, -0.4731, -0.507, -0.5305, -0.5201, -0.521, -0.5421, -0.51, -0.5109, -0.4552, -0.4478, -0.4514, -0.4657, -0.4698, -0.4728, -0.4326, -0.4145, -0.3843, -0.4431, -0.4124, -0.4175, -0.3628, -0.3125, -0.3164, -0.3353, -0.3149, -0.2126, -0.2126, -0.1344, -0.1612, -0.223, -0.2224, -0.2212, -0.1023, 0.0, -0.0232, 0.0098, 0.1044, 0.0839, 0.127, 0.08, 0.149, 0.2459, 0.242, 0.4017, 0.3764, 0.2447, 0.3657, 0.3955, 0.3999, 0.3982, 0.5004, 0.7172, 0.8341, 0.7868, 0.8986, 0.7773, 0.9072, 1.0684, 1.0214, 0.8385, 0.8055, 0.7609, 0.6412, 0.5412, 0.661, 0.8704, 0.9325, 0.8561, 0.7966, 0.7312, 0.8064, 1.0146, 0.9813, 1.2721, 0.9911, 0.8549, 0.7892, 0.7062, 0.6563, 0.4466, 0.3788, 0.4098, 0.4526, 0.3628, 0.2926, 0.2566, 0.4419, 0.4115, 0.4407, 0.4407, 0.4216, 0.4419, 0.2227, 0.3072, 0.3812, 0.3295, 0.3779, 0.3928, 0.306, 0.3066, 0.1933, 0.055, 0.088, 0.0045, 0.0645, 0.187, 0.2501, 0.251, 0.2483, 0.2483, 0.1983, 0.1719, 0.1389, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.2697, 0.4344, 0.3652, 0.2972, 0.3583, 0.3687, 0.4966, 0.5757, 0.5724, 0.543, 0.7193, 0.7193, 0.6134, 0.5902, 0.554, 0.6854, 0.5569, 0.7838, 0.8715, 0.7794, 0.598, 0.5784, 0.6173, 0.3363, 0.1832, 0.2438, 0.3723, 0.2765, 0.2688, 0.1903, 0.2554, 0.2554, 0.2183, 0.2513, 0.2872, 0.1888, 0.2596, 0.3515, 0.3092, 0.3155, 0.2177, 0.2307, 0.1552, 0.3036, 0.1931]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970184310549524971", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T17:51:58+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN is unique as it owns its own power and has the data center expertise to stand up its own GPU clusters, and given how much power IREN has, it could conceivably be one of the largest AI cloud companies in the world", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares/endorses Cantor's bullish thesis on IREN as a potential top AI cloud company given unique power ownership and GPU cluster expertise.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From Cantor: “IREN is unique as it owns its own power and has the data center expertise to stand up its own GPU clusters, and given how much power IREN has, it could conceivably be one of the largest AI cloud companies in the world”\n\n🎯\n\nYou heard it here first. https://t.co/jP4yfHeeVa", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07780434409332848, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07780434409332848, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07309557217257079, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0791375971521382, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013332530588097136, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0031026506773500495, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0031026506773500495, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023409122598723187, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0013418598680481342, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443562937222368, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004444510545398184, "ret_p1w": 0.09618135161183239, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09618135161183239, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10092011688606295, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09377397394455755, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002407377667274835, "ret_p1m": 0.31730304736943404, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31730304736943404, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3106298492270654, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3408215998653258, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023518552495891742, "ret_p3m": -0.14558477486094568, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14558477486094568, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16002588240382176, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1555848163329382, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441107542876086, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010000041471992516, "ret_p6m": 0.025298270166865144, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025298270166865144, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016402518388536125, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.104312784077215, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07901451391034986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.31730304736943404, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3106298492270654, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3408215998653258, "price_path": [-0.7167, -0.6871, -0.6659, -0.6523, -0.6365, -0.6263, -0.5986, -0.5986, -0.5955, -0.5969, -0.5952, -0.5936, -0.6126, -0.5876, -0.5971, -0.5869, -0.5692, -0.5718, -0.5668, -0.5563, -0.5468, -0.5671, -0.5771, -0.6043, -0.6232, -0.6148, -0.6155, -0.6325, -0.6067, -0.6074, -0.5628, -0.5568, -0.5597, -0.5711, -0.5745, -0.5768, -0.5446, -0.5301, -0.5058, -0.553, -0.5284, -0.5325, -0.4885, -0.4482, -0.4513, -0.4665, -0.4501, -0.368, -0.368, -0.3053, -0.3267, -0.3764, -0.3759, -0.3749, -0.2795, -0.1974, -0.216, -0.1895, -0.1136, -0.1301, -0.0955, -0.1332, -0.0778, 0.0, -0.0031, 0.1251, 0.1048, -0.001, 0.0962, 0.12, 0.1236, 0.1222, 0.2043, 0.3783, 0.4721, 0.4341, 0.5239, 0.4265, 0.5308, 0.6601, 0.6224, 0.4757, 0.4492, 0.4134, 0.3173, 0.237, 0.3332, 0.5012, 0.5511, 0.4897, 0.442, 0.3895, 0.4499, 0.6169, 0.5902, 0.8236, 0.5981, 0.4888, 0.436, 0.3695, 0.3294, 0.1611, 0.1067, 0.1315, 0.1659, 0.0938, 0.0375, 0.0086, 0.1573, 0.1329, 0.1563, 0.1563, 0.1411, 0.1573, -0.0186, 0.0492, 0.1086, 0.0671, 0.106, 0.1179, 0.0482, 0.0487, -0.0422, -0.1532, -0.1267, -0.1938, -0.1456, -0.0473, 0.0033, 0.0041, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0382, -0.0594, -0.0859, -0.0986, -0.0986, 0.0191, 0.1513, 0.0957, 0.0412, 0.0902, 0.0986, 0.2012, 0.2647, 0.2621, 0.2384, 0.38, 0.38, 0.295, 0.2764, 0.2473, 0.3527, 0.2496, 0.4317, 0.5021, 0.4282, 0.2826, 0.2668, 0.2981, 0.0726, -0.0504, -0.0017, 0.1014, 0.0246, 0.0184, -0.0446, 0.0076, 0.0076, -0.0222, 0.0043, 0.0332, -0.0458, 0.011, 0.0847, 0.0508, 0.0558, -0.0227, -0.0122, -0.0728, 0.0463, -0.0424, -0.1241, -0.073, -0.0902, 0.0019, -0.0126, -0.0076, 0.0726, 0.0253]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973532865901330472", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T23:37:56+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $NVO", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVO, citing Ozempic/Wegovy as the key driver.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gunsnrosesgirl3 Ozempic and Wegovy\n\nLong $NVO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What’s your first thought when you see this https://t.co/zzWLgq1FmA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sciencegirl", "ret_m1d": 0.007320319820412369, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007320319820412369, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00847081944310435, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00847081944310435, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015151492710245185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015151492710245185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015166206157582018, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015166206157582018, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.001021436843601231, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.001021436843601231, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00392044576418038, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00392044576418038, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "ret_p1m": -0.15798434128970607, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15798434128970607, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17717104445307885, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17717104445307885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "ret_p3m": -0.12802181237581278, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12802181237581278, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15763851052006084, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15763851052006084, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "ret_p6m": -0.3864487673212381, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3864487673212381, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33935001084663163, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33935001084663163, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15798434128970607, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17717104445307885, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17717104445307885, "price_path": [0.167, 0.1724, 0.1732, 0.1954, 0.1604, 0.1606, 0.1316, 0.1286, 0.0991, 0.0826, 0.0929, 0.1242, 0.1789, 0.1907, 0.207, 0.1616, -0.0919, -0.1578, -0.2076, -0.1887, -0.1783, -0.2051, -0.2361, -0.1792, -0.1401, -0.1605, -0.162, -0.1431, -0.1423, -0.1177, -0.085, -0.0674, -0.0756, -0.056, -0.03, -0.0409, -0.0579, -0.0392, -0.0448, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0402, -0.034, -0.0443, -0.0598, -0.0759, -0.0756, -0.0744, -0.0756, -0.0659, -0.0531, -0.0262, -0.0092, 0.0529, 0.0453, 0.0335, 0.0136, 0.0, -0.046, -0.0533, -0.0552, -0.0553, 0.0073, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.0155, 0.0048, 0.0148, -0.001, -0.0308, -0.0211, -0.0354, -0.0344, -0.0451, -0.0744, -0.0511, -0.0674, -0.0912, -0.0938, -0.0984, -0.0996, -0.1139, -0.1255, -0.1481, -0.158, -0.1639, -0.1786, -0.175, -0.2082, -0.2223, -0.2179, -0.1633, -0.1444, -0.1631, -0.1784, -0.175, -0.1905, -0.1658, -0.1896, -0.1891, -0.2344, -0.1988, -0.1708, -0.1708, -0.1599, -0.1755, -0.1925, -0.1902, -0.183, -0.1852, -0.2038, -0.2108, -0.165, -0.1439, -0.1457, -0.1425, -0.1665, -0.1868, -0.1895, -0.1813, -0.1811, -0.1214, -0.1052, -0.1052, -0.1079, -0.1238, -0.128, -0.1338, -0.1338, -0.1081, -0.0618, -0.0422, -0.0369, -0.0238, 0.0012, 0.0191, 0.0153, 0.0029, -0.0276, 0.0611, 0.0611, 0.033, 0.0099, 0.0594, 0.0599, 0.0892, 0.0707, 0.0271, 0.01, 0.0117, 0.0032, -0.1437, -0.1966, -0.2622, -0.189, -0.1595, -0.1638, -0.1702, -0.167, -0.1561, -0.1561, -0.1595, -0.1619, -0.1752, -0.1927, -0.3253, -0.343, -0.3504, -0.3596, -0.3624, -0.3572, -0.3759, -0.3446, -0.3349, -0.3432, -0.3228, -0.3408, -0.339, -0.3527, -0.3538, -0.3432, -0.3458, -0.3624, -0.3687, -0.3781, -0.3732, -0.372, -0.3815, -0.3803, -0.3864]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974092689865126111", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T12:42:28+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Almost time to shine", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Consumer Staples at multi-decade relative lows vs S&P 500; author sees a bounce incoming for STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT and the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT, etc\n\nAlmost time to shine. Healthcare hit the same level a few months back and then bounced.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Relative to the S&amp;P 500, the Consumer Staples sector is at its lowest since September 2000 https://t.co/9c6xlE7qbG", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011884668778371688, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011884668778371688, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011899382442197237, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011899382442197237, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024542845305353667, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024542845305353667, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028129024981627393, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028129024981627393, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "ret_p1w": -0.006118041950440523, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006118041950440523, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018074807834270956, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018074807834270956, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "ret_p1m": -0.07280758109914809, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07280758109914809, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09392196456996527, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09392196456996527, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "ret_p3m": -0.022202488527507058, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.022202488527507058, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04420594513498133, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04420594513498133, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "ret_p6m": 0.07718443617815951, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07718443617815951, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12745514000442937, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12745514000442937, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07280758109914809, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09392196456996527, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09392196456996527, "price_path": [0.1924, 0.1819, 0.2034, 0.2039, 0.1507, 0.1605, 0.1754, 0.1992, 0.1925, 0.1742, 0.226, 0.2311, 0.228, 0.2272, 0.2067, 0.2293, 0.2058, 0.1747, 0.1686, 0.1975, 0.2001, 0.1896, 0.2181, 0.1997, 0.1865, 0.1954, 0.1981, 0.1921, 0.1831, 0.1691, 0.1667, 0.1695, 0.1598, 0.1788, 0.1511, 0.1137, 0.1287, 0.1188, 0.1388, 0.1388, 0.0637, 0.0302, 0.0259, 0.0438, 0.0274, 0.0266, 0.0049, 0.0055, -0.0191, -0.0477, -0.0529, -0.0644, -0.0646, -0.0653, -0.0613, -0.0733, -0.062, -0.0672, -0.0683, -0.0403, -0.053, -0.0229, -0.0119, 0.0, -0.0245, -0.0145, 0.0039, 0.0054, -0.0061, -0.0053, -0.0068, -0.0233, -0.0203, -0.0126, -0.0068, -0.0044, -0.0141, -0.0174, -0.0181, -0.0298, -0.0563, -0.0789, -0.0866, -0.0688, -0.0728, -0.0844, -0.0742, -0.0931, -0.0953, -0.0895, -0.0658, -0.0759, -0.0808, -0.0846, -0.0718, -0.0749, -0.0838, -0.0754, -0.0527, -0.0637, -0.0632, -0.044, -0.044, -0.0334, -0.0228, -0.0229, -0.0214, -0.0217, 0.0091, 0.0064, 0.0161, 0.0526, 0.0599, 0.0448, 0.0168, 0.0106, -0.0097, -0.0304, -0.0431, 0.0046, -0.0132, -0.0043, -0.0043, -0.0119, -0.0183, -0.0068, -0.0222, -0.0222, 0.0005, 0.01, 0.0181, -0.0043, 0.0487, 0.0419, 0.076, 0.0855, 0.1082, 0.1251, 0.1102, 0.1102, 0.1598, 0.158, 0.1391, 0.1254, 0.145, 0.1429, 0.118, 0.1039, 0.1178, 0.1104, 0.1458, 0.189, 0.1811, 0.1723, 0.1671, 0.1816, 0.1642, 0.1582, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0893, 0.1149, 0.1032, 0.1158, 0.1373, 0.1419, 0.1066, 0.1111, 0.1261, 0.1168, 0.113, 0.0789, 0.0508, 0.0449, 0.0626, 0.0707, 0.0698, 0.0581, 0.071, 0.0773, 0.0819, 0.085, 0.0837, 0.0673, 0.0876, 0.0892, 0.0812, 0.073, 0.08, 0.0772]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974092689865126111", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-03T12:42:28+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Almost time to shine", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Consumer Staples at multi-decade relative lows vs S&P 500; author sees a bounce incoming for STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT and the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT, etc\n\nAlmost time to shine. Healthcare hit the same level a few months back and then bounced.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Relative to the S&amp;P 500, the Consumer Staples sector is at its lowest since September 2000 https://t.co/9c6xlE7qbG", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0023241898528743032, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023241898528743032, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0023094761890487536, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0023094761890487536, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016058773257941916, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016058773257941916, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019644952934215643, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019644952934215643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "ret_p1w": 0.05705030809954614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05705030809954614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08124315788425762, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08124315788425762, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "ret_p1m": 0.011409950975814542, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011409950975814542, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009704432495002635, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009704432495002635, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "ret_p3m": 0.020733707546414015, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.020733707546414015, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0012697490610602546, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0012697490610602546, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "ret_p6m": 0.12528950027373353, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12528950027373353, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1755602041000034, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1755602041000034, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011409950975814542, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.009704432495002635, "alpha_c_stated": -0.009704432495002635, "price_path": [-0.0581, -0.062, -0.0508, -0.0566, -0.0544, -0.0667, -0.0559, 0.0144, -0.0009, -0.0116, 0.0186, 0.016, 0.008, 0.0006, -0.0125, 0.0036, -0.0035, -0.038, -0.0285, -0.0266, -0.0273, -0.0179, 0.0038, 0.0128, 0.0105, 0.0244, 0.0417, 0.0366, 0.049, 0.0431, 0.0613, 0.0513, 0.0391, 0.0437, 0.0337, 0.0253, 0.0298, 0.0252, 0.0368, 0.0368, 0.0482, 0.0368, 0.0246, 0.0311, -0.0019, 0.0079, 0.0048, 0.0158, 0.0109, -0.0094, -0.0137, -0.0053, -0.0088, -0.0015, -0.0067, -0.0006, 0.0013, -0.0145, -0.0108, -0.0127, -0.0108, 0.0082, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0161, -0.0084, -0.0221, 0.0192, 0.0571, 0.0487, 0.0673, 0.0647, 0.0753, 0.0826, 0.0821, 0.0789, 0.0778, 0.0671, 0.0674, 0.075, 0.0573, 0.0294, 0.0392, 0.0289, 0.0114, 0.0065, 0.0062, -0.0028, 0.0068, 0.0045, 0.0218, 0.017, 0.0214, 0.0273, 0.0412, 0.0478, 0.0361, 0.029, 0.0306, 0.0248, 0.0291, 0.0423, 0.0423, 0.0476, 0.053, 0.0467, 0.0428, 0.0347, 0.0314, 0.0357, 0.0287, 0.0647, 0.06, 0.0714, 0.0755, 0.0695, 0.0674, 0.0623, 0.0537, 0.0458, 0.0219, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.0226, 0.0259, 0.0253, 0.0207, 0.0207, 0.0116, -0.0049, -0.0117, -0.0256, -0.0088, -0.0049, 0.0054, 0.0204, 0.0378, 0.0424, 0.0406, 0.0406, 0.0502, 0.0436, 0.027, 0.0283, 0.0374, 0.0581, 0.0562, 0.0575, 0.0926, 0.1038, 0.1582, 0.1819, 0.1915, 0.2125, 0.184, 0.1875, 0.203, 0.1891, 0.1802, 0.1802, 0.1516, 0.1692, 0.1706, 0.1731, 0.1971, 0.2058, 0.2032, 0.1919, 0.2072, 0.1897, 0.1729, 0.1658, 0.1429, 0.144, 0.1591, 0.1537, 0.1492, 0.1399, 0.1472, 0.1317, 0.123, 0.1018, 0.096, 0.0766, 0.0827, 0.0806, 0.0888, 0.0823, 0.0982, 0.1253]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974092689865126111", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-03T12:42:28+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Almost time to shine", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Consumer Staples at multi-decade relative lows vs S&P 500; author sees a bounce incoming for STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT and the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT, etc\n\nAlmost time to shine. Healthcare hit the same level a few months back and then bounced.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Relative to the S&amp;P 500, the Consumer Staples sector is at its lowest since September 2000 https://t.co/9c6xlE7qbG", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0008310837991563069, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0008310837991563069, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0008163701353307573, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0008163701353307573, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01963220865797588, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01963220865797588, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023218388334249607, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023218388334249607, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "ret_p1w": -0.006128513961870974, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006128513961870974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018064335822840505, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018064335822840505, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "ret_p1m": -0.003754951117863947, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003754951117863947, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024869334588681125, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.024869334588681125, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "ret_p3m": -0.08039743828707857, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08039743828707857, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10240089489455284, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10240089489455284, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "ret_p6m": -0.21705334338925286, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21705334338925286, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.166782639562983, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.166782639562983, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003754951117863947, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.024869334588681125, "alpha_c_stated": -0.024869334588681125, "price_path": [0.0927, 0.088, 0.0958, 0.0756, 0.0585, 0.0551, 0.0718, 0.0716, 0.0725, 0.0622, 0.096, 0.1019, 0.0963, 0.112, 0.0823, 0.0836, 0.068, 0.0175, 0.0124, 0.0197, 0.0564, 0.1111, 0.1322, 0.1371, 0.1587, 0.1576, 0.1527, 0.15, 0.1525, 0.1493, 0.1849, 0.1972, 0.1883, 0.198, 0.1804, 0.1547, 0.1637, 0.1652, 0.1616, 0.1616, 0.1499, 0.1428, 0.1399, 0.1452, 0.1052, 0.0906, 0.0834, 0.0771, 0.0566, 0.0435, 0.0395, 0.0289, 0.02, 0.0142, -0.003, 0.0006, -0.0084, -0.0273, -0.022, -0.0131, -0.0087, 0.0028, 0.0008, 0.0, -0.0196, -0.0038, -0.0052, -0.0089, -0.0061, -0.0064, -0.0152, -0.0109, 0.0249, 0.0407, 0.0443, 0.0441, 0.0427, 0.0326, 0.0258, 0.0152, 0.0025, -0.0224, -0.03, -0.0184, -0.0038, -0.008, 0.0009, -0.0698, -0.0321, 0.0132, 0.0375, 0.0339, 0.0239, 0.0084, -0.0088, -0.0277, -0.0548, -0.0542, -0.0193, -0.0323, -0.0282, -0.0338, -0.0338, -0.0235, -0.0156, -0.0219, -0.0187, -0.0461, -0.0571, -0.0626, -0.0897, -0.0825, -0.0642, -0.0503, -0.0521, -0.0471, -0.0428, -0.0578, -0.0496, -0.074, -0.0895, -0.0869, -0.0869, -0.0799, -0.0805, -0.0769, -0.0804, -0.0804, -0.0717, -0.0454, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0731, -0.0574, -0.0312, -0.0414, -0.026, -0.0476, -0.056, -0.056, -0.052, -0.0313, -0.0281, -0.0248, -0.043, -0.0537, -0.054, -0.0296, -0.0108, -0.0194, -0.0075, 0.0368, 0.035, 0.0327, 0.035, 0.0562, 0.0746, 0.0665, 0.0571, 0.0571, 0.0281, 0.0145, 0.0284, 0.0699, 0.0647, 0.0888, -0.0817, -0.0884, -0.046, -0.0776, -0.1033, -0.1231, -0.1226, -0.128, -0.1252, -0.1328, -0.1506, -0.1819, -0.1753, -0.1803, -0.1812, -0.1985, -0.2048, -0.2126, -0.2098, -0.2275, -0.2107, -0.214, -0.2104, -0.2171]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974092689865126111", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-03T12:42:28+00:00", "symbol": "TGT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Almost time to shine", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Consumer Staples at multi-decade relative lows vs S&P 500; author sees a bounce incoming for STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT and the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["TGT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT, etc\n\nAlmost time to shine. Healthcare hit the same level a few months back and then bounced.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Relative to the S&amp;P 500, the Consumer Staples sector is at its lowest since September 2000 https://t.co/9c6xlE7qbG", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00539160213636003, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00539160213636003, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00537688847253448, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00654491465630791, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00115331251994788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007862826853491933, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007862826853491933, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00437246236162292, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006518528951250824, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007304811636600017, "ret_p1w": -0.039312541527379286, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.039312541527379286, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015119691742667807, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04020956237622764, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0008970208488483511, "ret_p1m": 0.027181879148368893, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027181879148368893, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006067495677551715, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.057298346147722334, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": -0.030116466999353442, "ret_p3m": 0.11178416177496375, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11178416177496375, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08978070516748948, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10828290616533987, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003501255609623888, "ret_p6m": 0.3647141177560522, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3647141177560522, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4149848215823221, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3010016849951902, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06371243276086203, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.027181879148368893, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.006067495677551715, "alpha_c_stated": 0.057298346147722334, "price_path": [0.1335, 0.1382, 0.1638, 0.1583, 0.1653, 0.1357, 0.1261, 0.1517, 0.1496, 0.1302, 0.1838, 0.1937, 0.1758, 0.1784, 0.1826, 0.1576, 0.1461, 0.1167, 0.1086, 0.1088, 0.1382, 0.1711, 0.1742, 0.1712, 0.1557, 0.1807, 0.1834, 0.171, 0.1571, 0.1788, 0.1834, 0.1085, 0.0902, 0.1147, 0.091, 0.0795, 0.1003, 0.0874, 0.0781, 0.0781, 0.0383, 0.0373, 0.0413, 0.0465, 0.0277, 0.0211, 0.0197, 0.028, 0.0104, -0.0053, 0.0078, -0.0011, 0.0044, -0.0101, -0.0277, -0.0222, -0.0081, -0.0212, -0.0133, -0.0022, 0.0075, 0.0012, 0.0054, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0027, 0.0152, 0.0008, -0.0393, -0.019, -0.0008, 0.0211, 0.0117, 0.0203, 0.0281, 0.0603, 0.056, 0.0586, 0.0587, 0.0982, 0.0908, 0.0572, 0.0437, 0.0414, 0.0272, 0.0107, 0.0327, 0.0013, 0.0248, 0.0191, 0.0286, 0.0454, 0.0307, 0.0225, 0.0063, 0.0069, -0.0209, -0.0482, -0.0034, -0.0385, -0.0153, 0.0214, 0.0214, 0.0307, 0.0391, 0.029, 0.0341, 0.0417, 0.0485, 0.0584, 0.0648, 0.0762, 0.1029, 0.1043, 0.1096, 0.1109, 0.1215, 0.1266, 0.1147, 0.0828, 0.0725, 0.0979, 0.0979, 0.1323, 0.1158, 0.1081, 0.1118, 0.1118, 0.1432, 0.1613, 0.1863, 0.1791, 0.2094, 0.2002, 0.2072, 0.2355, 0.2491, 0.264, 0.2657, 0.2657, 0.2436, 0.2061, 0.2113, 0.2295, 0.1824, 0.184, 0.1572, 0.1697, 0.1996, 0.2458, 0.2659, 0.2981, 0.2608, 0.3142, 0.3139, 0.2878, 0.3168, 0.2947, 0.33, 0.33, 0.339, 0.3289, 0.3289, 0.3407, 0.3022, 0.3273, 0.3378, 0.3189, 0.3074, 0.3003, 0.3879, 0.3797, 0.3829, 0.3878, 0.3803, 0.3872, 0.3647, 0.3299, 0.3482, 0.3448, 0.3415, 0.3219, 0.3152, 0.3013, 0.3205, 0.3319, 0.337, 0.3443, 0.3769, 0.3647]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1974092689865126111", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-03T12:42:28+00:00", "symbol": "Consumer Staples", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Almost time to shine. Healthcare hit the same level a few months back and then bounced.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Consumer Staples at multi-decade relative lows vs S&P 500; author sees a bounce incoming for STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT and the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US Consumer Staples ETF XLP", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "STZ, PEP, DEO, TGT, etc\n\nAlmost time to shine. Healthcare hit the same level a few months back and then bounced.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Relative to the S&amp;P 500, the Consumer Staples sector is at its lowest since September 2000 https://t.co/9c6xlE7qbG", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00115331251994788, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00115331251994788, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0011680261837734296, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0011680261837734296, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007304811636600017, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007304811636600017, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010890991312873743, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010890991312873743, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "ret_p1w": 0.0008970208488483511, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0008970208488483511, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02508987063355983, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02508987063355983, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "ret_p1m": -0.030116466999353442, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.030116466999353442, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05123085047017062, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05123085047017062, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "ret_p3m": 0.003501255609623888, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003501255609623888, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.018502200997850382, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.018502200997850382, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "ret_p6m": 0.06371243276086203, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06371243276086203, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11398313658713188, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11398313658713188, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.030116466999353442, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05123085047017062, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05123085047017062, "price_path": [0.0354, 0.0287, 0.0324, 0.0286, 0.0295, 0.0192, 0.0227, 0.0324, 0.0296, 0.0295, 0.0389, 0.0393, 0.0356, 0.0374, 0.0267, 0.0334, 0.0242, 0.0155, 0.0203, 0.0253, 0.0242, 0.0389, 0.0468, 0.0498, 0.0489, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.0423, 0.044, 0.0426, 0.0533, 0.0592, 0.0497, 0.0497, 0.0318, 0.025, 0.0281, 0.0216, 0.0282, 0.0282, 0.0265, 0.0258, 0.0264, 0.0293, 0.0255, 0.0276, 0.0175, 0.0258, 0.0223, 0.0106, 0.0152, 0.0213, 0.0124, 0.0104, -0.0009, 0.0041, 0.0063, -0.0033, -0.0009, 0.001, 0.0044, 0.0028, -0.0012, 0.0, -0.0073, 0.0019, -0.0031, 0.0001, 0.0009, -0.0024, 0.0136, 0.0154, 0.0083, 0.0218, 0.0209, 0.0161, 0.0219, 0.0169, 0.0136, 0.0153, 0.0051, -0.0186, -0.0196, -0.0224, -0.0301, -0.0261, -0.0268, -0.0311, -0.0169, -0.0205, -0.0077, -0.0091, -0.0091, -0.0099, -0.0161, -0.0119, -0.0195, -0.0124, -0.0017, -0.0132, 0.0004, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0172, 0.0161, 0.0095, 0.0103, 0.0054, 0.0055, -0.0028, -0.0005, 0.0024, 0.0099, 0.0178, 0.0206, 0.016, 0.0208, 0.0149, 0.0096, 0.0061, 0.0013, 0.0092, 0.0092, 0.0106, 0.0113, 0.0096, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0036, -0.0008, 0.0008, -0.0102, 0.0133, 0.0238, 0.0358, 0.0478, 0.0623, 0.0641, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.064, 0.065, 0.0628, 0.0711, 0.0694, 0.0743, 0.0634, 0.061, 0.0788, 0.0916, 0.1093, 0.1238, 0.1229, 0.136, 0.1295, 0.1258, 0.142, 0.1525, 0.1563, 0.1563, 0.1394, 0.1373, 0.1326, 0.1354, 0.1494, 0.1593, 0.1499, 0.1479, 0.1628, 0.146, 0.1335, 0.126, 0.1034, 0.1081, 0.1106, 0.1074, 0.0928, 0.0884, 0.0947, 0.0978, 0.0942, 0.0676, 0.0589, 0.0501, 0.0546, 0.0537, 0.0589, 0.0541, 0.0624, 0.0637]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970546358085132736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T17:50:37+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The IWM is already in breakout mode and seasonality kicks in next week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish equities, crypto, and IWM breakout; sees dollar weakness and rate drops as catalysts with seasonality kicking in next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don't be fooled by this temporary weakness in equity and crypto markets. The dollar is weak and about to turnover again. The 10 year yield is resting gently at 4.1%. Rates are about to drop. The IWM is already in breakout mode and seasonality kicks in next week. Primetime. $$$", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00225561127122198, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00225561127122198, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0032177462320472916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0032177462320472916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009186370322621928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009186370322621928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00600479858888292, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00600479858888292, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "ret_p1w": -0.00770990831598406, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00770990831598406, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012187974938858814, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012187974938858814, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "ret_p1m": -0.002050578627717514, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002050578627717514, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008971311401580917, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008971311401580917, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "ret_p3m": 0.03195129856844714, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03195129856844714, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.002713074684787875, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.002713074684787875, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "ret_p6m": 0.014124492013026568, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.014124492013026568, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.013861518457643607, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.013861518457643607, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.002050578627717514, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.008971311401580917, "alpha_c_stated": -0.008971311401580917, "price_path": [-0.1191, -0.1188, -0.1175, -0.1085, -0.0961, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.1014, -0.0952, -0.0854, -0.0807, -0.0934, -0.0873, -0.1051, -0.0961, -0.0843, -0.0908, -0.0945, -0.0869, -0.073, -0.0858, -0.0824, -0.0835, -0.0893, -0.0939, -0.1028, -0.1211, -0.1014, -0.0968, -0.098, -0.101, -0.099, -0.0992, -0.0725, -0.0544, -0.0666, -0.0712, -0.0678, -0.0749, -0.0782, -0.0759, -0.0397, -0.0498, -0.0419, -0.0351, -0.034, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0435, -0.0444, -0.0325, -0.0277, -0.0257, -0.0314, -0.0331, -0.0153, -0.0253, -0.0212, -0.0228, -0.0203, 0.0041, -0.0035, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0092, -0.0187, -0.0103, -0.0091, -0.0077, -0.0055, 0.0007, 0.0082, 0.0122, 0.0013, 0.0118, 0.0053, -0.0248, 0.0023, 0.0167, 0.0266, 0.005, -0.0018, 0.0177, 0.0129, -0.0021, 0.0106, 0.0229, 0.0265, 0.021, 0.0123, 0.0041, 0.0098, 0.0066, -0.0108, 0.0034, -0.0143, -0.0091, 0.0008, 0.0016, -0.0008, -0.0289, -0.0261, -0.0454, -0.0425, -0.0427, -0.0604, -0.0338, -0.0162, 0.0053, 0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0201, 0.0073, 0.0055, 0.0237, 0.0327, 0.0284, 0.0288, 0.031, 0.045, 0.0573, 0.0411, 0.0332, 0.0283, 0.0173, 0.0234, 0.032, 0.0434, 0.0373, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.0345, 0.0282, 0.0206, 0.0129, 0.0129, 0.0237, 0.0399, 0.0537, 0.0512, 0.0627, 0.0708, 0.076, 0.0754, 0.083, 0.0925, 0.0935, 0.0935, 0.0805, 0.1019, 0.1101, 0.0896, 0.0862, 0.0893, 0.0834, 0.0837, 0.0684, 0.0788, 0.0813, 0.072, 0.0527, 0.0905, 0.0982, 0.0952, 0.0902, 0.068, 0.082, 0.082, 0.0824, 0.0863, 0.0888, 0.0888, 0.0719, 0.0836, 0.0887, 0.0945, 0.0757, 0.0855, 0.0667, 0.0771, 0.0565, 0.0324, 0.0436, 0.0425, 0.0404, 0.018, 0.0147, 0.0243, 0.0307, 0.0141]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970546358085132736", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-23T17:50:37+00:00", "symbol": "equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't be fooled by this temporary weakness in equity and crypto markets", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish equities, crypto, and IWM breakout; sees dollar weakness and rate drops as catalysts with seasonality kicking in next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Broad US equities proxy SPY", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don't be fooled by this temporary weakness in equity and crypto markets. The dollar is weak and about to turnover again. The 10 year yield is resting gently at 4.1%. Rates are about to drop. The IWM is already in breakout mode and seasonality kicks in next week. Primetime. $$$", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "ret_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "ret_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "ret_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "ret_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.006920732773863403, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.08, -0.0754, -0.071, -0.0713, -0.0671, -0.0597, -0.0597, -0.0667, -0.0672, -0.0616, -0.059, -0.0623, -0.0605, -0.0645, -0.0614, -0.0556, -0.0563, -0.0546, -0.0544, -0.0464, -0.0461, -0.042, -0.0423, -0.0448, -0.046, -0.0496, -0.0652, -0.0509, -0.0558, -0.0485, -0.0493, -0.0419, -0.0438, -0.0336, -0.0303, -0.0302, -0.0325, -0.0327, -0.038, -0.0405, -0.0444, -0.0297, -0.034, -0.0299, -0.0277, -0.0243, -0.0301, -0.0301, -0.0373, -0.032, -0.024, -0.0268, -0.0244, -0.0221, -0.0193, -0.0112, -0.0115, -0.0062, -0.0076, -0.0088, -0.0042, 0.0007, 0.0055, 0.0, -0.0032, -0.0078, -0.0021, 0.0007, 0.0045, 0.0079, 0.0091, 0.009, 0.0127, 0.0089, 0.0149, 0.012, -0.0154, -0.0003, -0.0015, 0.003, -0.0039, 0.0018, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0069, 0.0129, 0.0212, 0.0332, 0.036, 0.0365, 0.0251, 0.0284, 0.0304, 0.0181, 0.0217, 0.0107, 0.0117, 0.0275, 0.0298, 0.0304, 0.0133, 0.0131, 0.0037, -0.0047, -0.0009, -0.0161, -0.0063, 0.0083, 0.0178, 0.0248, 0.0248, 0.0304, 0.0257, 0.0276, 0.0312, 0.0319, 0.0339, 0.0308, 0.0299, 0.0367, 0.0391, 0.028, 0.0264, 0.0236, 0.0123, 0.02, 0.0292, 0.0357, 0.0404, 0.044, 0.044, 0.0439, 0.0402, 0.0389, 0.0312, 0.0312, 0.0331, 0.04, 0.0462, 0.0428, 0.0427, 0.0496, 0.0513, 0.0492, 0.044, 0.0469, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0247, 0.0365, 0.0419, 0.0423, 0.0476, 0.0518, 0.0517, 0.0496, 0.0464, 0.0516, 0.0428, 0.0377, 0.0247, 0.0444, 0.0494, 0.0467, 0.0464, 0.0303, 0.031, 0.031, 0.0327, 0.0379, 0.0351, 0.0426, 0.032, 0.0395, 0.0482, 0.0424, 0.0374, 0.038, 0.0288, 0.0361, 0.0303, 0.0168, 0.0257, 0.0241, 0.0228, 0.0073, 0.0016, 0.0118, 0.0144, 0.0003]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970546358085132736", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-23T17:50:37+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't be fooled by this temporary weakness in equity and crypto markets", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish equities, crypto, and IWM breakout; sees dollar weakness and rate drops as catalysts with seasonality kicking in next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don't be fooled by this temporary weakness in equity and crypto markets. The dollar is weak and about to turnover again. The 10 year yield is resting gently at 4.1%. Rates are about to drop. The IWM is already in breakout mode and seasonality kicks in next week. Primetime. $$$", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006552792830392562, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006552792830392562, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0010794353271232904, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0010794353271232904, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011731809832655538, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011731809832655538, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014913381566394546, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014913381566394546, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "ret_p1w": 0.0182260862432988, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0182260862432988, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013748019620424046, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013748019620424046, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "ret_p1m": -0.03861923288949198, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03861923288949198, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.045539965663355386, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.045539965663355386, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "ret_p3m": -0.21346448171888466, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21346448171888466, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24270270560254392, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24270270560254392, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "ret_p6m": -0.3639611110615144, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3639611110615144, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36422408461689737, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.36422408461689737, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03861923288949198, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.045539965663355386, "alpha_c_stated": -0.045539965663355386, "price_path": [-0.0451, -0.044, -0.0436, -0.0564, -0.0282, -0.0211, -0.0355, -0.0332, -0.0274, -0.0061, 0.0355, 0.0491, 0.0699, 0.0514, 0.06, 0.065, 0.0535, 0.0484, 0.0712, 0.0602, 0.0567, 0.0502, 0.0528, 0.0527, 0.0519, 0.0334, 0.0117, 0.0273, 0.019, 0.0269, 0.0489, 0.0417, 0.06, 0.0728, 0.1011, 0.0566, 0.0481, 0.0378, 0.0073, 0.0202, 0.0036, 0.0434, -0.0169, -0.0019, -0.0071, 0.0047, -0.0322, -0.0247, -0.0073, -0.0026, -0.0115, -0.0122, 0.0005, -0.0043, 0.0173, 0.0312, 0.0365, 0.0306, 0.0431, 0.0398, 0.0457, 0.0328, 0.0066, 0.0, 0.0117, -0.0265, -0.0205, 0.0213, 0.0182, 0.0592, 0.0774, 0.0915, 0.1137, 0.0842, 0.1012, 0.0865, 0.0107, 0.0291, 0.0099, -0.011, -0.0342, -0.0495, -0.0127, -0.0316, -0.0386, -0.0174, -0.0088, 0.0188, 0.0084, -0.0175, -0.0331, -0.0219, -0.0488, -0.0931, -0.0725, -0.0956, -0.0772, -0.0537, -0.0805, -0.0924, -0.11, -0.1573, -0.1778, -0.1702, -0.1834, -0.2266, -0.2404, -0.212, -0.2203, -0.1919, -0.1851, -0.1883, -0.2294, -0.1845, -0.165, -0.1774, -0.202, -0.1908, -0.1725, -0.1785, -0.1741, -0.1941, -0.2285, -0.2158, -0.231, -0.237, -0.2135, -0.21, -0.2196, -0.2179, -0.2212, -0.2206, -0.2221, -0.2105, -0.2188, -0.2079, -0.197, -0.1619, -0.1632, -0.1849, -0.1874, -0.192, -0.1859, -0.149, -0.1347, -0.147, -0.1472, -0.1737, -0.2116, -0.2021, -0.2013, -0.201, -0.212, -0.2045, -0.2038, -0.2451, -0.2489, -0.2975, -0.3248, -0.3481, -0.4402, -0.3701, -0.374, -0.3858, -0.4019, -0.4088, -0.3853, -0.3854, -0.3975, -0.407, -0.4022, -0.3929, -0.4231, -0.4279, -0.3933, -0.3978, -0.4118, -0.386, -0.3903, -0.3509, -0.3676, -0.3917, -0.3893, -0.3757, -0.3733, -0.3707, -0.3664, -0.3317, -0.3401, -0.364]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985704382051336257", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T13:43:11+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rosenblatt Securities raises CIFR price target to $33", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rosenblatt raises CIFR price target to $33; relayed bullish call adopted.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rosenblatt Securities raises CIFR price target to $33 https://t.co/MqpVq3UW9T", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011106174920390899, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011106174920390899, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0008896567375002995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016008154592754842, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02711432951314574, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09773428845940546, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09773428845940546, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0942688118032513, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09382199333138752, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00391229512801794, "ret_p1w": -0.1705908535558749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1705908535558749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18208314117512603, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16742684975636024, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0031640037995146475, "ret_p1m": -0.17236788221516464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17236788221516464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18517822483655388, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.158929699844925, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013438182370239637, "ret_p3m": -0.2909817913875796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2909817913875796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31878635396137955, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27144199628744414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019539795100135482, "ret_p6m": -0.24833407799861085, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24833407799861085, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3081524667524719, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33392603543554167, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08559195743693082, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17236788221516464, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18517822483655388, "alpha_c_stated": -0.158929699844925, "price_path": [-0.7837, -0.789, -0.7885, -0.7903, -0.7823, -0.7637, -0.7685, -0.7312, -0.7441, -0.7357, -0.7379, -0.7166, -0.705, -0.6837, -0.6895, -0.6881, -0.6606, -0.6606, -0.6304, -0.6397, -0.6713, -0.6659, -0.657, -0.5904, -0.5446, -0.5571, -0.518, -0.518, -0.4887, -0.45, -0.4736, -0.4545, -0.3798, -0.3714, -0.3718, -0.482, -0.4904, -0.438, -0.4407, -0.4402, -0.3865, -0.347, -0.3185, -0.3003, -0.2181, -0.2008, -0.2461, -0.0964, -0.072, -0.0657, -0.1684, -0.1666, -0.1155, -0.197, -0.2843, -0.2335, -0.0822, -0.0875, -0.1133, -0.1297, -0.1528, -0.1715, 0.0111, 0.0, 0.0977, -0.0355, -0.0809, -0.1271, -0.1706, -0.2279, -0.3367, -0.3621, -0.3625, -0.3523, -0.3505, -0.3532, -0.3714, -0.2577, -0.2217, -0.1493, -0.1493, -0.096, -0.1253, -0.2163, -0.1724, -0.1191, -0.1435, -0.1346, -0.1311, -0.179, -0.1613, -0.2426, -0.3452, -0.3341, -0.3607, -0.327, -0.2799, -0.2741, -0.2932, -0.2794, -0.2794, -0.3252, -0.3301, -0.3518, -0.3443, -0.3443, -0.2803, -0.1932, -0.2208, -0.2857, -0.2648, -0.2612, -0.2146, -0.1892, -0.1946, -0.2217, -0.1648, -0.1648, -0.2039, -0.2128, -0.2275, -0.2195, -0.2674, -0.167, -0.1573, -0.2137, -0.291, -0.2976, -0.2777, -0.3669, -0.4358, -0.3456, -0.2554, -0.2403, -0.2768, -0.2848, -0.2705, -0.2705, -0.3052, -0.315, -0.2981, -0.3492, -0.3239, -0.2394, -0.2621, -0.2679, -0.307, -0.2999, -0.3465, -0.2874, -0.327, -0.3949, -0.3643, -0.3798, -0.3732, -0.3909, -0.3745, -0.3274, -0.3296, -0.3483, -0.3496, -0.3776, -0.3385, -0.339, -0.2945, -0.3625, -0.3894, -0.4662, -0.4283, -0.4385, -0.4305, -0.4305, -0.4069, -0.3776, -0.315, -0.2732, -0.2657, -0.211, -0.1804, -0.2004, -0.2297, -0.1395, -0.143, -0.1986, -0.1364, -0.1697, -0.1915, -0.1932, -0.2332, -0.2483]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966181918455804327", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-11T16:47:53+00:00", "symbol": "risk assets", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When this happens, risk assets are going to go ballistic", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Russell 2000 breakout from multi-year consolidation to ATH; broader risk assets to rally hard on the move.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US risk assets broad proxy SPY", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Russell 2000 small cap index is on the verge of a major breakout from a 4+ year consolidation to all time highs. I have been warning about this for a year. When this happens, risk assets are going to go ballistic. Ignore the doomers and kid analysts. They are money losers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008241705650581244, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008241705650581244, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241705650581244, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008241705650581244, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0003344427624296653, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0003344427624296653, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003344427624296653, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003344427624296653, "ret_p1w": 0.007040470577106994, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007040470577106994, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040470577106994, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007040470577106994, "ret_p1m": -0.004257013444899371, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004257013444899371, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257013444899371, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004257013444899371, "ret_p3m": 0.04151838515569595, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04151838515569595, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04151838515569595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04151838515569595, "ret_p6m": 0.02829316329177267, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02829316329177267, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02829316329177267, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02829316329177267, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.004257013444899371, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.0863, -0.0941, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.0963, -0.0874, -0.0773, -0.0768, -0.0696, -0.065, -0.0605, -0.0608, -0.0565, -0.0491, -0.0491, -0.0562, -0.0567, -0.051, -0.0484, -0.0517, -0.0499, -0.054, -0.0508, -0.045, -0.0457, -0.0439, -0.0437, -0.0356, -0.0353, -0.0312, -0.0315, -0.034, -0.0352, -0.0389, -0.0546, -0.0402, -0.0451, -0.0378, -0.0386, -0.0311, -0.033, -0.0227, -0.0194, -0.0193, -0.0216, -0.0218, -0.0271, -0.0297, -0.0336, -0.0187, -0.0231, -0.019, -0.0167, -0.0132, -0.0191, -0.0191, -0.0264, -0.0211, -0.0129, -0.0158, -0.0134, -0.0111, -0.0082, 0.0, -0.0003, 0.005, 0.0036, 0.0024, 0.007, 0.012, 0.0168, 0.0113, 0.0081, 0.0034, 0.0092, 0.012, 0.0158, 0.0193, 0.0204, 0.0204, 0.0241, 0.0203, 0.0264, 0.0234, -0.0043, 0.011, 0.0098, 0.0143, 0.0074, 0.0131, 0.0236, 0.0236, 0.0183, 0.0243, 0.0327, 0.0449, 0.0476, 0.0482, 0.0366, 0.04, 0.042, 0.0296, 0.0332, 0.0221, 0.0231, 0.0391, 0.0415, 0.042, 0.0247, 0.0246, 0.015, 0.0065, 0.0104, -0.005, 0.0049, 0.0197, 0.0293, 0.0364, 0.0364, 0.0421, 0.0373, 0.0392, 0.0428, 0.0436, 0.0456, 0.0424, 0.0415, 0.0484, 0.0509, 0.0396, 0.038, 0.0352, 0.0238, 0.0315, 0.0408, 0.0473, 0.0521, 0.0558, 0.0558, 0.0557, 0.052, 0.0507, 0.0429, 0.0429, 0.0448, 0.0518, 0.058, 0.0546, 0.0545, 0.0615, 0.0631, 0.061, 0.0558, 0.0587, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.0362, 0.0482, 0.0537, 0.0541, 0.0594, 0.0636, 0.0635, 0.0614, 0.0583, 0.0635, 0.0545, 0.0494, 0.0363, 0.0562, 0.0613, 0.0585, 0.0582, 0.0419, 0.0426, 0.0426, 0.0443, 0.0496, 0.0468, 0.0544, 0.0436, 0.0512, 0.0601, 0.0542, 0.0491, 0.0497, 0.0405, 0.0478, 0.042, 0.0283]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1962248205430882498", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-31T20:16:43+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Novo Nordisk is so incredibly undervalued. Watch for the beginning of the big run.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NVO; author calls it incredibly undervalued and expects a big run to begin.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Novo Nordisk is so incredibly undervalued. Watch for the beginning of the big run.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$NVO says its obesity drug Wegovy cut the risk of heart attack, stroke, or death by 57% vs $LLY 's Zepbound in a real-world study of 20,000+ adults with obesity and heart disease (but no diabetes).\n\nEven when looking at all patients, not just those who took the drug every week,", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0014189005635409924, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0014189005635409924, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006046673911340283, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006046673911340283, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00638522789069329, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00638522789069329, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.000965681727685519, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.000965681727685519, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": -0.03689253692252259, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03689253692252259, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0526047775172549, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0526047775172549, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.049485533688349514, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.049485533688349514, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0025783973308948216, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0025783973308948216, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.12468964838074259, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12468964838074259, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19499541433873702, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19499541433873702, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.32316430046462696, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32316430046462696, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.41196374120917767, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41196374120917767, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.049485533688349514, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0025783973308948216, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0025783973308948216, "price_path": [0.2742, 0.3089, 0.3235, 0.3914, 0.3809, 0.4215, 0.4002, 0.3509, 0.3039, 0.2981, 0.2981, 0.2939, 0.2228, 0.2405, 0.1813, 0.1874, 0.2016, 0.2106, 0.2246, 0.2246, 0.2132, 0.2132, 0.2158, 0.2214, 0.2223, 0.2455, 0.209, 0.2091, 0.179, 0.1758, 0.1451, 0.1279, 0.1386, 0.1713, 0.2283, 0.2405, 0.2576, 0.2102, -0.0539, -0.1225, -0.1744, -0.1548, -0.1439, -0.1718, -0.2041, -0.1448, -0.1041, -0.1253, -0.1269, -0.1073, -0.1064, -0.0808, -0.0466, -0.0284, -0.0369, -0.0165, 0.0106, -0.0007, -0.0184, 0.0011, -0.0048, 0.0014, 0.0014, 0.0, 0.0064, -0.0043, -0.0204, -0.0372, -0.0369, -0.0357, -0.0369, -0.0268, -0.0135, 0.0145, 0.0323, 0.097, 0.089, 0.0768, 0.056, 0.0419, -0.006, -0.0137, -0.0156, -0.0158, 0.0495, 0.0419, 0.0576, 0.058, 0.0468, 0.0573, 0.0408, 0.0098, 0.0199, 0.005, 0.006, -0.0051, -0.0357, -0.0114, -0.0284, -0.0532, -0.0559, -0.0607, -0.0619, -0.0768, -0.0889, -0.1125, -0.1227, -0.1289, -0.1442, -0.1405, -0.1751, -0.1898, -0.1852, -0.1282, -0.1085, -0.1281, -0.144, -0.1405, -0.1566, -0.1309, -0.1557, -0.1552, -0.2024, -0.1653, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1247, -0.141, -0.1587, -0.1563, -0.1488, -0.1511, -0.1705, -0.1777, -0.13, -0.108, -0.11, -0.1066, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1556, -0.147, -0.1469, -0.0846, -0.0678, -0.0678, -0.0706, -0.0871, -0.0915, -0.0976, -0.0976, -0.0708, -0.0225, -0.0021, 0.0034, 0.017, 0.0431, 0.0617, 0.0578, 0.0449, 0.0131, 0.1055, 0.1055, 0.0763, 0.0521, 0.1038, 0.1043, 0.1348, 0.1155, 0.0701, 0.0523, 0.0541, 0.0452, -0.1078, -0.163, -0.2313, -0.155, -0.1243, -0.1288, -0.1355, -0.1321, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1243, -0.1268, -0.1407, -0.1589, -0.2971, -0.3155, -0.3232]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985735994826768398", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T15:48:49+00:00", "symbol": "TLT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TLT heads back to $100", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TLT to $100, short DXY to 90, long BTC to new ATH above $150K.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TLT heads back to $100\nDXY heads back to 90\nBTC heads to new all time highs above $150,000\nValhalla cometh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0022238892853364556, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0022238892853364556, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014219720943227654, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014219720943227654, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010896439243168854, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010896439243168854, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014361915899323008, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014361915899323008, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "ret_p1w": 0.00022213640185175798, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00022213640185175798, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011270151217399382, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011270151217399382, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "ret_p1m": -0.006248555046680426, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006248555046680426, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019058897668069674, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019058897668069674, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "ret_p3m": -0.024000222920105396, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024000222920105396, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.051804785493905325, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.051804785493905325, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "ret_p6m": -0.029279075508525598, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.029279075508525598, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08909746426238663, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08909746426238663, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006248555046680426, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019058897668069674, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019058897668069674, "price_path": [-0.0358, -0.04, -0.0389, -0.0437, -0.0358, -0.0429, -0.0498, -0.0525, -0.047, -0.0449, -0.0496, -0.0426, -0.0454, -0.0459, -0.047, -0.0407, -0.0476, -0.0476, -0.0546, -0.0443, -0.037, -0.0223, -0.0093, -0.0149, -0.0093, -0.0026, -0.0069, -0.0046, -0.0025, -0.0051, -0.0153, -0.0172, -0.0207, -0.0139, -0.0177, -0.0177, -0.0185, -0.0105, -0.0133, -0.0108, -0.0079, -0.0098, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.0112, -0.012, 0.0039, 0.0034, 0.0066, 0.0044, 0.0119, 0.0104, 0.0142, 0.0192, 0.0199, 0.0129, 0.0134, 0.0168, 0.0194, 0.0091, 0.0033, 0.0003, -0.0022, 0.0, -0.0109, -0.002, -0.0041, -0.0043, 0.0002, 0.002, -0.0062, -0.0119, -0.0095, -0.0098, -0.0118, -0.0079, -0.0049, 0.0008, 0.0033, 0.0078, 0.0078, 0.003, -0.0095, -0.009, -0.0062, -0.0116, -0.0162, -0.0194, -0.0184, -0.0146, -0.016, -0.0254, -0.0248, -0.0194, -0.0203, -0.0156, -0.0193, -0.0214, -0.0199, -0.0139, -0.0139, -0.0172, -0.0135, -0.0158, -0.0237, -0.0237, -0.0251, -0.0203, -0.0223, -0.0166, -0.0215, -0.015, -0.018, -0.0163, -0.0106, -0.0108, -0.0165, -0.0165, -0.0294, -0.022, -0.0177, -0.015, -0.0103, -0.0165, -0.0187, -0.0185, -0.024, -0.0268, -0.0244, -0.0269, -0.0163, -0.0157, -0.0159, -0.0045, -0.0098, 0.0033, 0.0089, 0.0089, 0.0105, 0.0067, 0.0077, 0.0054, 0.0091, 0.0109, 0.011, 0.015, 0.0212, 0.011, 0.0089, 0.0058, 0.0017, -0.002, 0.0067, -0.004, -0.0169, -0.0188, -0.0237, -0.0161, -0.0134, -0.0189, -0.0129, -0.0317, -0.0254, -0.0296, -0.0203, -0.0285, -0.0338, -0.021, -0.022, -0.0229, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0185, -0.0186, -0.0155, -0.018, -0.0203, -0.0174, -0.0122, -0.0165, -0.0227, -0.0138, -0.014, -0.0194, -0.0175, -0.0197, -0.0178, -0.0227, -0.0217, -0.0293]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985735994826768398", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-04T15:48:49+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC heads to new all time highs above $150,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TLT to $100, short DXY to 90, long BTC to new ATH above $150K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TLT heads back to $100\nDXY heads back to 90\nBTC heads to new all time highs above $150,000\nValhalla cometh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04879392124649917, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04879392124649917, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.036798089588607974, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.036798089588607974, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02265282648549194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02265282648549194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019187349829337785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019187349829337785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "ret_p1w": 0.013849178692002528, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013849178692002528, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002356891072751388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002356891072751388, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "ret_p1m": -0.07936487063146502, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07936487063146502, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09217521325285427, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09217521325285427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "ret_p3m": -0.17188480378529403, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17188480378529403, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19968936635909396, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19968936635909396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "ret_p6m": -0.25410234883651717, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25410234883651717, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3139207375903782, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3139207375903782, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07936487063146502, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09217521325285427, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09217521325285427, "price_path": [0.1566, 0.1486, 0.1687, 0.1829, 0.2141, 0.1651, 0.1556, 0.1443, 0.1106, 0.1249, 0.1066, 0.1504, 0.084, 0.1005, 0.0948, 0.1078, 0.0671, 0.0754, 0.0946, 0.0997, 0.0899, 0.0892, 0.1032, 0.0978, 0.1217, 0.137, 0.1428, 0.1364, 0.1501, 0.1465, 0.153, 0.1388, 0.1098, 0.1026, 0.1155, 0.0734, 0.08, 0.1261, 0.1227, 0.1679, 0.1879, 0.2035, 0.228, 0.1955, 0.2142, 0.198, 0.1144, 0.1347, 0.1135, 0.0905, 0.0649, 0.048, 0.0886, 0.0678, 0.06, 0.0835, 0.093, 0.1233, 0.1119, 0.0833, 0.0661, 0.0784, 0.0488, 0.0, 0.0227, -0.0028, 0.0175, 0.0434, 0.0138, 0.0007, -0.0186, -0.0708, -0.0935, -0.0851, -0.0997, -0.1472, -0.1624, -0.1311, -0.1403, -0.109, -0.1014, -0.105, -0.1503, -0.1008, -0.0794, -0.093, -0.1201, -0.1078, -0.0876, -0.0942, -0.0894, -0.1114, -0.1493, -0.1353, -0.152, -0.1588, -0.1328, -0.129, -0.1395, -0.1376, -0.1413, -0.1407, -0.1423, -0.1295, -0.1386, -0.1266, -0.1146, -0.0759, -0.0774, -0.1012, -0.104, -0.109, -0.1023, -0.0617, -0.0459, -0.0594, -0.0597, -0.089, -0.1307, -0.1202, -0.1194, -0.119, -0.1311, -0.1229, -0.1221, -0.1676, -0.1719, -0.2254, -0.2555, -0.2812, -0.3828, -0.3055, -0.3098, -0.3228, -0.3406, -0.3481, -0.3222, -0.3223, -0.3356, -0.3461, -0.3409, -0.3306, -0.3639, -0.3692, -0.331, -0.336, -0.3515, -0.323, -0.3278, -0.2843, -0.3027, -0.3293, -0.3267, -0.3117, -0.3089, -0.3061, -0.3014, -0.2631, -0.2723, -0.2987, -0.3118, -0.3058, -0.302, -0.3059, -0.2981, -0.3229, -0.347, -0.3435, -0.3283, -0.3299, -0.3416, -0.3412, -0.3222, -0.2919, -0.2999, -0.2936, -0.2816, -0.2668, -0.2698, -0.2637, -0.2602, -0.2408, -0.2532, -0.2484, -0.2302, -0.2296, -0.2376, -0.2384, -0.2484, -0.2541]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986486452956561909", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T17:30:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is a liquidity sniffing hound. It will sniff out the US Government re-opening and the corresponding liquidity surge before any other asset.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC as it will front-run the US government reopening liquidity surge before any other asset.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is a liquidity sniffing hound. It will sniff out the US Government re-opening and the corresponding liquidity surge before any other asset. It has a long track record of doing this kind of thing. This dog can hunt!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025572694078963787, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025572694078963787, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014727055213435314, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014727055213435314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845638865528473, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010845638865528473, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020445121741957006, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020445121741957006, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01946064856318186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01946064856318186, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000984473178775147, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000984473178775147, "ret_p1w": -0.015831949325052497, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015831949325052497, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018412805944333144, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018412805944333144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002580856619280647, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002580856619280647, "ret_p1m": -0.11760493237800451, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11760493237800451, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14054940966984486, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14054940966984486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294447729184035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02294447729184035, "ret_p3m": -0.25338021287827583, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25338021287827583, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28509304747796804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28509304747796804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03171283459969221, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03171283459969221, "ret_p6m": -0.22825266367769725, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22825266367769725, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.309473766640206, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.309473766640206, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122110296250873, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08122110296250873, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11760493237800451, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14054940966984486, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14054940966984486, "price_path": [0.1721, 0.1863, 0.2176, 0.1684, 0.1589, 0.1476, 0.1138, 0.1281, 0.1097, 0.1537, 0.0871, 0.1037, 0.0979, 0.111, 0.0702, 0.0785, 0.0977, 0.1029, 0.093, 0.0923, 0.1063, 0.101, 0.1249, 0.1402, 0.1461, 0.1396, 0.1534, 0.1497, 0.1563, 0.142, 0.113, 0.1058, 0.1187, 0.0765, 0.083, 0.1293, 0.1259, 0.1712, 0.1913, 0.207, 0.2315, 0.1989, 0.2177, 0.2014, 0.1176, 0.1379, 0.1167, 0.0936, 0.068, 0.051, 0.0917, 0.0708, 0.0631, 0.0866, 0.0961, 0.1265, 0.1151, 0.0864, 0.0691, 0.0815, 0.0518, 0.0029, 0.0256, 0.0, 0.0204, 0.0463, 0.0167, 0.0036, -0.0158, -0.0681, -0.0909, -0.0825, -0.0971, -0.1448, -0.16, -0.1286, -0.1378, -0.1064, -0.0989, -0.1025, -0.1479, -0.0982, -0.0767, -0.0904, -0.1176, -0.1052, -0.085, -0.0916, -0.0868, -0.1089, -0.1469, -0.1328, -0.1496, -0.1564, -0.1303, -0.1265, -0.1371, -0.1351, -0.1389, -0.1382, -0.1398, -0.1271, -0.1362, -0.1241, -0.1121, -0.0732, -0.0747, -0.0986, -0.1014, -0.1065, -0.0998, -0.059, -0.0432, -0.0568, -0.057, -0.0864, -0.1282, -0.1177, -0.1169, -0.1165, -0.1287, -0.1204, -0.1196, -0.1652, -0.1695, -0.2232, -0.2534, -0.2792, -0.381, -0.3035, -0.3078, -0.3209, -0.3387, -0.3463, -0.3203, -0.3204, -0.3337, -0.3443, -0.339, -0.3287, -0.3621, -0.3674, -0.3291, -0.3341, -0.3496, -0.3211, -0.3258, -0.2822, -0.3007, -0.3274, -0.3248, -0.3097, -0.307, -0.3041, -0.2994, -0.261, -0.2703, -0.2967, -0.3099, -0.3038, -0.3, -0.3039, -0.2961, -0.3209, -0.3451, -0.3417, -0.3264, -0.328, -0.3397, -0.3393, -0.3202, -0.2898, -0.2979, -0.2915, -0.2796, -0.2647, -0.2677, -0.2616, -0.2581, -0.2386, -0.251, -0.2463, -0.228, -0.2274, -0.2354, -0.2363, -0.2463, -0.252, -0.2468, -0.2283]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964514068435534278", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-07T02:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Otherwise it's still uninvestible for me", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "OPEN is uninvestable without governance/board improvement; bearish stance unless Eric Jackson joins.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Kal13083415 @ericjackson I’m a fan of Eric. If OPEN is smart, they will bring Eric onboard ASAP. Otherwise it’s still uninvestible for me. My investment approach requires a high functioning board and good governance to achieve long term results.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @ericjackson Are you a fan of $OPEN as well?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kal13083415", "ret_m1d": 0.10099340022632397, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10099340022632397, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10344414796736934, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09431072704026411, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006682673186059862, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011589432467463467, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011589432467463467, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009277548067200048, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012066651902792436, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00047721943532896827, "ret_p1w": 0.5720198585309404, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.5720198585309404, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.5534018987834282, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.5624733978236554, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009546460707285043, "ret_p1m": 0.5380794735970369, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5380794735970369, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5039486715585231, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5393449009372934, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012654273402564753, "ret_p3m": 0.254966882711795, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.254966882711795, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19723616079552664, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.268978034031231, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014011151319435977, "ret_p6m": -0.17715234742039776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17715234742039776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2317152731530494, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23955761813812093, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06240527071772317, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5380794735970369, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5039486715585231, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5393449009372934, "price_path": [-0.8993, -0.9005, -0.9048, -0.9079, -0.9061, -0.904, -0.904, -0.9114, -0.9123, -0.9089, -0.9152, -0.9109, -0.9076, -0.9118, -0.9065, -0.9063, -0.899, -0.899, -0.8964, -0.8788, -0.878, -0.8538, -0.871, -0.8508, -0.8278, -0.7533, -0.7268, -0.6275, -0.4685, -0.5232, -0.6209, -0.5993, -0.5795, -0.6126, -0.6606, -0.6573, -0.6954, -0.6523, -0.5927, -0.5828, -0.6854, -0.6937, -0.6772, -0.6175, -0.5911, -0.5993, -0.4967, -0.4752, -0.3742, -0.4007, -0.4669, -0.404, -0.1705, -0.2483, -0.2219, -0.3344, -0.293, -0.2632, -0.2632, -0.1573, -0.1507, -0.0132, 0.101, 0.0, 0.0116, -0.0298, 0.7417, 0.5017, 0.572, 0.4768, 0.6904, 0.6457, 0.5844, 0.3874, 0.1738, 0.3626, 0.505, 0.4586, 0.3576, 0.3195, 0.3344, 0.3262, 0.3427, 0.5364, 0.5381, 0.4056, 0.3477, 0.2533, 0.2036, 0.2649, 0.2219, 0.1772, 0.1854, 0.2202, 0.1523, 0.1291, 0.1639, 0.3195, 0.351, 0.3195, 0.2666, 0.2152, 0.2864, 0.2566, 0.1457, 0.197, 0.0861, 0.0861, 0.3195, 0.404, 0.5513, 0.4172, 0.3444, 0.298, 0.245, 0.1076, 0.0199, 0.1175, 0.2732, 0.2815, 0.2881, 0.2881, 0.2748, 0.1821, 0.1573, 0.149, 0.255, 0.1838, 0.1672, 0.2268, 0.1589, 0.1672, 0.0861, 0.0712, 0.1142, 0.0132, 0.0397, 0.053, 0.0629, 0.0381, 0.0397, 0.0397, -0.005, -0.0348, -0.0331, -0.0348, -0.0348, 0.005, 0.0464, 0.1474, 0.0132, 0.0646, 0.207, 0.1623, 0.1209, 0.0993, 0.043, 0.1043, 0.1043, 0.0579, 0.0728, 0.0629, -0.005, -0.0281, -0.0381, -0.0464, -0.0762, -0.1474, -0.202, -0.1507, -0.1722, -0.2219, -0.1921, -0.1821, -0.2235, -0.2119, -0.2748, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2831, -0.2334, -0.2301, -0.1722, -0.2086, -0.154, -0.1755, -0.1043, -0.1026, -0.1639, -0.1772]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986813876202307845", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T15:11:55+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I suspect the price will already be $25-30. That's how we get in to the $30-50 range before end of year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CIFR: expects $25-30 on next deal announcement, then $30-50 range by year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When CIFR announces another deal in the next month, I suspect the price will already be $25-30. That’s how we get in to the $30-50 range before end of year. Watch and learn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04929910701239604, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04929910701239604, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050282611956932066, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04582868750098301, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835049445360289, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034704195114130254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05026587185512188, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05026587185512188, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06587015048226519, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07584203432604353, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02557616247092165, "ret_p1w": -0.30594493542717005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.30594493542717005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3073756631740522, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.30591027376170676, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": -3.466166546328697e-05, "ret_p1m": -0.05848240505501767, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05848240505501767, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0773506947295548, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08312163931715966, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886828967453713, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024639234262141985, "ret_p3m": -0.31126149675331294, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31126149675331294, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3369670856533824, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2713497585377742, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03991173821553873, "ret_p6m": -0.13533112963434313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13533112963434313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.211531804999475, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26316016213901094, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12782903250466782, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05848240505501767, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0773506947295548, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08312163931715966, "price_path": [-0.7719, -0.7632, -0.7429, -0.7482, -0.7076, -0.7216, -0.7124, -0.7148, -0.6916, -0.6791, -0.6559, -0.6622, -0.6607, -0.6307, -0.6307, -0.5979, -0.608, -0.6423, -0.6365, -0.6269, -0.5544, -0.5046, -0.5181, -0.4756, -0.4756, -0.4437, -0.4016, -0.4273, -0.4065, -0.3253, -0.3161, -0.3166, -0.4364, -0.4456, -0.3886, -0.3915, -0.391, -0.3325, -0.2895, -0.2586, -0.2388, -0.1493, -0.1305, -0.1798, -0.0169, 0.0097, 0.0164, -0.0952, -0.0933, -0.0377, -0.1264, -0.2214, -0.166, -0.0015, -0.0072, -0.0353, -0.0532, -0.0783, -0.0986, 0.1, 0.088, 0.1943, 0.0493, 0.0, -0.0503, -0.0976, -0.16, -0.2784, -0.3059, -0.3064, -0.2953, -0.2934, -0.2963, -0.3161, -0.1924, -0.1532, -0.0744, -0.0744, -0.0164, -0.0483, -0.1474, -0.0996, -0.0416, -0.0681, -0.0585, -0.0546, -0.1068, -0.0875, -0.1759, -0.2876, -0.2755, -0.3045, -0.2678, -0.2165, -0.2102, -0.231, -0.216, -0.216, -0.2658, -0.2711, -0.2948, -0.2866, -0.2866, -0.217, -0.1223, -0.1522, -0.2228, -0.2001, -0.1962, -0.1455, -0.1179, -0.1237, -0.1532, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.1339, -0.1435, -0.1595, -0.1508, -0.203, -0.0938, -0.0831, -0.1445, -0.2286, -0.2359, -0.2141, -0.3113, -0.3862, -0.2881, -0.1899, -0.1735, -0.2131, -0.2218, -0.2064, -0.2064, -0.2441, -0.2547, -0.2363, -0.2919, -0.2644, -0.1725, -0.1972, -0.2035, -0.246, -0.2383, -0.289, -0.2247, -0.2678, -0.3417, -0.3084, -0.3253, -0.318, -0.3374, -0.3195, -0.2682, -0.2707, -0.291, -0.2924, -0.3229, -0.2803, -0.2808, -0.2325, -0.3064, -0.3357, -0.4193, -0.378, -0.3891, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.3548, -0.3229, -0.2547, -0.2093, -0.2011, -0.1416, -0.1083, -0.13, -0.1619, -0.0638, -0.0677, -0.1281, -0.0604, -0.0967, -0.1203, -0.1223, -0.1658, -0.1822, -0.1426, -0.1764, -0.1353]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965831275882876932", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T17:34:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$130,000+ pre-programmed", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC heading to $130,000+ regardless of Bollinger band compression.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Won’t matter. $130,000+ pre-programmed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC Monthly Bollinger bands are at the most extreme levels in BTCs entire history 🚨\n\nThe most compressed squeeze in 15 years: https://t.co/mEfxa05P7l", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.021278617463005967, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021278617463005967, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018396239453365437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018396239453365437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013620945043858246, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013620945043858246, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0053107492052766325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0053107492052766325, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "ret_p1w": 0.022053797656236718, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022053797656236718, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011367056878937909, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011367056878937909, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "ret_p1m": 0.0680110756089658, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0680110756089658, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03610300059806559, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03610300059806559, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "ret_p3m": -0.20459903226907794, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20459903226907794, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25567975134305343, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25567975134305343, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "ret_p6m": -0.37834319168018504, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37834319168018504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4289521405162958, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4289521405162958, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0680110756089658, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03610300059806559, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03610300059806559, "price_path": [-0.069, -0.0628, -0.0821, -0.0796, -0.0814, -0.0934, -0.0735, -0.0694, -0.0579, -0.0614, -0.0603, -0.0598, -0.0725, -0.0447, -0.0378, -0.052, -0.0496, -0.0439, -0.0231, 0.0178, 0.0313, 0.0517, 0.0335, 0.042, 0.0468, 0.0355, 0.0306, 0.053, 0.0421, 0.0387, 0.0323, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.034, 0.0158, -0.0056, 0.0098, 0.0016, 0.0094, 0.0311, 0.024, 0.0419, 0.0546, 0.0824, 0.0386, 0.0302, 0.0202, -0.0099, 0.0028, -0.0135, 0.0256, -0.0336, -0.0189, -0.024, -0.0124, -0.0487, -0.0413, -0.0242, -0.0196, -0.0284, -0.029, -0.0165, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0188, 0.0131, 0.0253, 0.0221, 0.0279, 0.0152, -0.0106, -0.017, -0.0055, -0.0431, -0.0372, 0.0039, 0.0009, 0.0412, 0.059, 0.0729, 0.0947, 0.0658, 0.0825, 0.068, -0.0065, 0.0115, -0.0073, -0.0278, -0.0506, -0.0657, -0.0295, -0.0481, -0.055, -0.0341, -0.0256, 0.0014, -0.0088, -0.0342, -0.0496, -0.0386, -0.065, -0.1085, -0.0883, -0.111, -0.0929, -0.0698, -0.0962, -0.1079, -0.1251, -0.1716, -0.1918, -0.1843, -0.1974, -0.2398, -0.2533, -0.2254, -0.2335, -0.2057, -0.1989, -0.2022, -0.2425, -0.1984, -0.1793, -0.1914, -0.2156, -0.2046, -0.1866, -0.1925, -0.1882, -0.2078, -0.2416, -0.2291, -0.2441, -0.25, -0.2269, -0.2235, -0.2329, -0.2312, -0.2345, -0.2339, -0.2353, -0.224, -0.2321, -0.2213, -0.2107, -0.1761, -0.1775, -0.1987, -0.2012, -0.2057, -0.1997, -0.1635, -0.1494, -0.1615, -0.1617, -0.1878, -0.225, -0.2157, -0.2149, -0.2146, -0.2254, -0.2181, -0.2174, -0.2579, -0.2617, -0.3095, -0.3363, -0.3592, -0.4498, -0.3809, -0.3847, -0.3963, -0.4121, -0.4189, -0.3957, -0.3959, -0.4077, -0.4171, -0.4124, -0.4032, -0.433, -0.4377, -0.4036, -0.4081, -0.4219, -0.3965, -0.4007, -0.3619, -0.3783]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1972332021004529851", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T16:06:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will start to sniff out Uptober imminently", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish BTC; expects imminent move higher as October seasonality kicks in.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin will start to sniff out Uptober imminently. Patience.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03817232823889227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03817232823889227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00677632002604911, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00677632002604911, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "ret_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07854202710977498, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07854202710977498, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "ret_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.047852029620300995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047852029620300995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "ret_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28076509420690166, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28076509420690166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "ret_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.373370214657064, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.373370214657064, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0904905052150653, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07854202710977498, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07854202710977498, "price_path": [-0.0484, -0.0415, -0.0556, -0.0533, -0.0476, -0.0269, 0.0139, 0.0272, 0.0476, 0.0295, 0.0379, 0.0427, 0.0315, 0.0266, 0.0489, 0.0381, 0.0347, 0.0283, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.03, 0.0119, -0.0094, 0.0059, -0.0023, 0.0055, 0.0271, 0.02, 0.0379, 0.0505, 0.0782, 0.0346, 0.0262, 0.0162, -0.0137, -0.0011, -0.0173, 0.0216, -0.0374, -0.0227, -0.0278, -0.0162, -0.0524, -0.045, -0.028, -0.0234, -0.0321, -0.0328, -0.0204, -0.0251, -0.0039, 0.0097, 0.0149, 0.0091, 0.0214, 0.0181, 0.0239, 0.0113, -0.0144, -0.0209, -0.0094, -0.0468, -0.041, 0.0, -0.003, 0.0371, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.0905, 0.0616, 0.0783, 0.0639, -0.0104, 0.0076, -0.0112, -0.0316, -0.0543, -0.0693, -0.0333, -0.0518, -0.0587, -0.0379, -0.0294, -0.0025, -0.0126, -0.038, -0.0533, -0.0423, -0.0686, -0.112, -0.0919, -0.1145, -0.0964, -0.0735, -0.0997, -0.1113, -0.1285, -0.1748, -0.195, -0.1875, -0.2005, -0.2427, -0.2562, -0.2284, -0.2365, -0.2088, -0.2021, -0.2053, -0.2454, -0.2015, -0.1825, -0.1946, -0.2186, -0.2077, -0.1898, -0.1956, -0.1913, -0.2109, -0.2446, -0.2321, -0.247, -0.253, -0.2299, -0.2265, -0.2359, -0.2342, -0.2375, -0.2369, -0.2383, -0.227, -0.2351, -0.2244, -0.2138, -0.1794, -0.1807, -0.2019, -0.2043, -0.2088, -0.2029, -0.1668, -0.1527, -0.1648, -0.165, -0.191, -0.2281, -0.2187, -0.218, -0.2176, -0.2284, -0.2211, -0.2204, -0.2608, -0.2646, -0.3122, -0.3389, -0.3617, -0.4519, -0.3833, -0.3871, -0.3987, -0.4144, -0.4211, -0.3981, -0.3982, -0.41, -0.4194, -0.4147, -0.4055, -0.4352, -0.4399, -0.4059, -0.4104, -0.4241, -0.3988, -0.403, -0.3644, -0.3808, -0.4044, -0.4021, -0.3888, -0.3863, -0.3838, -0.3797, -0.3456, -0.3538, -0.3772, -0.3889, -0.3835, -0.3801, -0.3836]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965742153642238243", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T11:40:25+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Life and good fundamentals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses bullish IREN setup; cites good fundamentals supporting the monthly Bollinger band expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Life and good fundamentals", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN monthly\nAbove 0.886\nFull monthly Bollinger band expansion\nWhat is this behavior called? https://t.co/IyVgnHtIyu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0994072569829405, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10567572381222812, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033860888196470817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03150384939851758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03955933657797828, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01636568301804231, "ret_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11628323609290958, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10966365694595481, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017306319924253577, "ret_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8922907085380374, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006311624087446344, "ret_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32685560803851654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3686049437473511, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009331383365140944, "ret_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14252214618614611, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22288482202636983, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02975372700411294, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8922907085380374, "price_path": [-0.7077, -0.6908, -0.7095, -0.7086, -0.7086, -0.6887, -0.683, -0.6569, -0.647, -0.6102, -0.5837, -0.5668, -0.5471, -0.5343, -0.4999, -0.4999, -0.496, -0.4978, -0.4957, -0.4936, -0.5174, -0.4862, -0.4981, -0.4853, -0.4633, -0.4665, -0.4603, -0.4472, -0.4353, -0.4606, -0.4731, -0.507, -0.5305, -0.5201, -0.521, -0.5421, -0.51, -0.5109, -0.4552, -0.4478, -0.4514, -0.4657, -0.4698, -0.4728, -0.4326, -0.4145, -0.3843, -0.4431, -0.4124, -0.4175, -0.3628, -0.3125, -0.3164, -0.3353, -0.3149, -0.2126, -0.2126, -0.1344, -0.1612, -0.223, -0.2224, -0.2212, -0.1023, 0.0, -0.0232, 0.0098, 0.1044, 0.0839, 0.127, 0.08, 0.149, 0.2459, 0.242, 0.4017, 0.3764, 0.2447, 0.3657, 0.3955, 0.3999, 0.3982, 0.5004, 0.7172, 0.8341, 0.7868, 0.8986, 0.7773, 0.9072, 1.0684, 1.0214, 0.8385, 0.8055, 0.7609, 0.6412, 0.5412, 0.661, 0.8704, 0.9325, 0.8561, 0.7966, 0.7312, 0.8064, 1.0146, 0.9813, 1.2721, 0.9911, 0.8549, 0.7892, 0.7062, 0.6563, 0.4466, 0.3788, 0.4098, 0.4526, 0.3628, 0.2926, 0.2566, 0.4419, 0.4115, 0.4407, 0.4407, 0.4216, 0.4419, 0.2227, 0.3072, 0.3812, 0.3295, 0.3779, 0.3928, 0.306, 0.3066, 0.1933, 0.055, 0.088, 0.0045, 0.0645, 0.187, 0.2501, 0.251, 0.2483, 0.2483, 0.1983, 0.1719, 0.1389, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.2697, 0.4344, 0.3652, 0.2972, 0.3583, 0.3687, 0.4966, 0.5757, 0.5724, 0.543, 0.7193, 0.7193, 0.6134, 0.5902, 0.554, 0.6854, 0.5569, 0.7838, 0.8715, 0.7794, 0.598, 0.5784, 0.6173, 0.3363, 0.1832, 0.2438, 0.3723, 0.2765, 0.2688, 0.1903, 0.2554, 0.2554, 0.2183, 0.2513, 0.2872, 0.1888, 0.2596, 0.3515, 0.3092, 0.3155, 0.2177, 0.2307, 0.1552, 0.3036, 0.1931]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1961859752583180791", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-30T18:33:09+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is no world in which this is a major top.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Dismisses Bitcoin monthly tweezer-top as a major top; firmly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow There is zero conflict. There is no world in which this is a major top.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I see a tweezer top formation for #Bitcoin monthly, which is bearish. \nI also see $IWM and #Ethereum breaking out on higher time frame and about to get really bullish.\nI am in conflict in terms of what to think, unless if we have a strong Sunday pump to close the month. https://t.co/KBFv8EkNY2", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "price_path": [-0.0414, -0.0702, -0.0445, 0.0096, 0.0092, -0.0052, -0.0304, -0.0289, -0.0225, -0.0426, -0.04, -0.0418, -0.0544, -0.0336, -0.0293, -0.0173, -0.021, -0.0198, -0.0194, -0.0325, -0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0111, -0.0087, -0.0027, 0.019, 0.0617, 0.0757, 0.097, 0.078, 0.0868, 0.0919, 0.0801, 0.075, 0.0984, 0.087, 0.0835, 0.0768, 0.0794, 0.0794, 0.0785, 0.0596, 0.0372, 0.0533, 0.0448, 0.0529, 0.0755, 0.0681, 0.0868, 0.1, 0.129, 0.0834, 0.0746, 0.0641, 0.0328, 0.046, 0.029, 0.0698, 0.008, 0.0234, 0.018, 0.0302, -0.0077, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0226, 0.0135, 0.0128, 0.0258, 0.0209, 0.0431, 0.0573, 0.0627, 0.0567, 0.0695, 0.0661, 0.0722, 0.0589, 0.032, 0.0253, 0.0373, -0.0018, 0.0042, 0.0471, 0.044, 0.086, 0.1046, 0.1191, 0.1419, 0.1117, 0.1291, 0.114, 0.0363, 0.0551, 0.0354, 0.014, -0.0097, -0.0255, 0.0123, -0.0071, -0.0143, 0.0075, 0.0163, 0.0446, 0.0339, 0.0074, -0.0087, 0.0028, -0.0247, -0.0701, -0.0491, -0.0728, -0.0538, -0.0298, -0.0572, -0.0694, -0.0874, -0.136, -0.157, -0.1492, -0.1628, -0.207, -0.2211, -0.192, -0.2005, -0.1715, -0.1644, -0.1678, -0.2099, -0.1638, -0.1439, -0.1566, -0.1818, -0.1703, -0.1516, -0.1577, -0.1532, -0.1737, -0.209, -0.1959, -0.2115, -0.2177, -0.1936, -0.19, -0.1999, -0.1981, -0.2015, -0.2009, -0.2024, -0.1906, -0.199, -0.1878, -0.1767, -0.1407, -0.1421, -0.1642, -0.1668, -0.1715, -0.1653, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1254, -0.1256, -0.1528, -0.1917, -0.1819, -0.1811, -0.1807, -0.1921, -0.1844, -0.1837, -0.226, -0.2299, -0.2797, -0.3077, -0.3316, -0.4261, -0.3542, -0.3582, -0.3703, -0.3868, -0.3939, -0.3697, -0.3699, -0.3822, -0.392, -0.3871, -0.3775, -0.4085, -0.4135]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970014693017464888", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T06:37:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is almost certainly the $146,000 slingshot", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $146K; RSI reset seen as a slingshot setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ Loving this. This is almost certainly the $146,000 slingshot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC 4 HR RSI now lowest since April/June lows", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": 0.026078851237568257, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026078851237568257, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03078762315832595, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03078762315832595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00651013327573835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00651013327573835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001066570338515982, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001066570338515982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443562937222368, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443562937222368, "ret_p1w": 0.014650969951168324, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014650969951168324, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019389735225398885, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019389735225398885, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "ret_p1m": -0.03788624142683705, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03788624142683705, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04455943956920572, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04455943956920572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "ret_p3m": -0.24200763743478038, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24200763743478038, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25644874497765646, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25644874497765646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441107542876086, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441107542876086, "ret_p6m": -0.34435960176579383, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34435960176579383, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35325535354412285, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35325535354412285, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03788624142683705, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04455943956920572, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04455943956920572, "price_path": [-0.0478, -0.0513, -0.0502, -0.0498, -0.0625, -0.0345, -0.0275, -0.0418, -0.0395, -0.0337, -0.0126, 0.0287, 0.0423, 0.063, 0.0446, 0.0531, 0.058, 0.0466, 0.0416, 0.0643, 0.0533, 0.0498, 0.0433, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0451, 0.0267, 0.0051, 0.0206, 0.0124, 0.0202, 0.0421, 0.0349, 0.0531, 0.0658, 0.094, 0.0498, 0.0412, 0.0311, 0.0007, 0.0135, -0.0029, 0.0366, -0.0233, -0.0084, -0.0135, -0.0018, -0.0385, -0.031, -0.0137, -0.0091, -0.018, -0.0186, -0.006, -0.0108, 0.0107, 0.0245, 0.0297, 0.0239, 0.0363, 0.033, 0.0389, 0.0261, 0.0, -0.0065, 0.0051, -0.0328, -0.0269, 0.0147, 0.0116, 0.0523, 0.0704, 0.0844, 0.1065, 0.0772, 0.0941, 0.0794, 0.0041, 0.0224, 0.0033, -0.0174, -0.0405, -0.0557, -0.0192, -0.0379, -0.0449, -0.0238, -0.0152, 0.0122, 0.0018, -0.0239, -0.0394, -0.0283, -0.055, -0.099, -0.0786, -0.1015, -0.0832, -0.0599, -0.0865, -0.0983, -0.1158, -0.1628, -0.1832, -0.1756, -0.1888, -0.2316, -0.2453, -0.2171, -0.2253, -0.1972, -0.1904, -0.1936, -0.2344, -0.1898, -0.1705, -0.1828, -0.2072, -0.1961, -0.1779, -0.1838, -0.1795, -0.1994, -0.2335, -0.2209, -0.236, -0.242, -0.2186, -0.2152, -0.2247, -0.2229, -0.2263, -0.2257, -0.2271, -0.2157, -0.2239, -0.213, -0.2023, -0.1673, -0.1687, -0.1902, -0.1927, -0.1972, -0.1912, -0.1546, -0.1403, -0.1525, -0.1528, -0.1791, -0.2167, -0.2073, -0.2065, -0.2062, -0.2171, -0.2097, -0.209, -0.25, -0.2538, -0.3021, -0.3292, -0.3524, -0.4439, -0.3742, -0.3781, -0.3898, -0.4058, -0.4127, -0.3893, -0.3894, -0.4014, -0.4109, -0.4061, -0.3968, -0.4269, -0.4317, -0.3972, -0.4017, -0.4157, -0.39, -0.3943, -0.3551, -0.3717, -0.3957, -0.3933, -0.3798, -0.3773, -0.3748, -0.3706, -0.336, -0.3444]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1984327520867795214", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-31T18:32:02+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased another 50,000 shares of ASST at $1.22. Bidding for more. Averaging up. Holding more than 1.2M shares now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Averaging up, now holds 1.2M+ shares; actively bidding for more ASST.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased another 50,000 shares of ASST at $1.22. Bidding for more. Averaging up. Holding more than 1.2M shares now. https://t.co/e6vdYpwPqE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0902255482748856, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0902255482748856, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08695605115992178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08755228355421629, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032694971149638263, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026732647206693105, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.045112809989860225, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.045112809989860225, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04698945946811761, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.040911954896099445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018766494782573861, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00420085509376078, "ret_p1w": 0.13533835826474583, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13533835826474583, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15159805212158128, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.127509448386532, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259693856835455, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00782890987821383, "ret_p1m": -0.2105263271112897, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2105263271112897, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2079018690424368, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22045570140086512, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026244580688529195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00992937428957541, "ret_p3m": -0.3977443523300235, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3977443523300235, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.42034471955745634, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.41311964270232604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02260036722743286, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015375290372302564, "ret_p6m": -0.41015040017392723, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41015040017392723, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46466481633193435, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.40801815857974777, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451441615800712, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0021322415941794626, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2105263271112897, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2079018690424368, "alpha_c_stated": -0.22045570140086512, "price_path": [1.6241, 1.6316, 1.5865, 1.4737, 2.2105, 2.1053, 2.4173, 2.406, 2.218, 2.1429, 1.9248, 2.0075, 2.1053, 2.3233, 2.609, 3.203, 3.4436, 4.0301, 3.6241, 3.6241, 3.8571, 3.8947, 3.1429, 2.4135, 3.0075, 3.7218, 5.0827, 5.6992, 5.3835, 3.6767, 2.3684, 1.7669, 1.8722, 2.2331, 2.0827, 1.5188, 1.2632, 1.0677, 0.8346, 0.7293, 0.8797, 0.8872, 1.0, 0.9549, 0.9023, 0.5789, 0.4962, 0.3609, 0.1692, -0.188, -0.2504, -0.2782, -0.3233, -0.3729, -0.3504, -0.3759, -0.4135, -0.3504, -0.1729, 0.2331, 0.0827, -0.0602, -0.0902, 0.0, -0.0451, -0.0602, 0.0977, 0.0902, 0.1353, 0.1128, 0.0226, -0.0301, -0.1353, -0.188, -0.218, -0.1579, -0.2105, -0.2609, -0.2331, -0.1504, -0.1654, -0.1504, -0.1504, -0.1579, -0.2105, -0.2218, -0.2105, -0.2654, -0.3226, -0.2594, -0.2331, -0.2481, -0.3068, -0.3511, -0.4068, -0.3534, -0.3827, -0.3752, -0.3241, -0.3489, -0.3947, -0.3519, -0.3519, -0.3872, -0.4188, -0.4496, -0.4451, -0.4451, -0.3496, -0.2256, -0.218, -0.2331, -0.2406, -0.2887, -0.1729, -0.2707, -0.2256, -0.2699, -0.2872, -0.2872, -0.3346, -0.3293, -0.3459, -0.3451, -0.409, -0.3842, -0.3977, -0.4098, -0.3827, -0.4564, -0.4872, -0.5549, -0.6293, -0.5521, -0.6186, -0.6549, -0.6959, -0.7105, -0.6868, -0.6868, -0.6925, -0.6974, -0.6947, -0.6936, -0.7233, -0.7306, -0.6789, -0.6921, -0.7015, -0.6718, -0.6868, -0.6383, -0.6523, -0.6729, -0.6801, -0.6624, -0.653, -0.668, -0.6417, -0.5917, -0.5827, -0.6227, -0.6143, -0.6233, -0.6075, -0.6267, -0.5921, -0.6086, -0.6295, -0.6477, -0.6233, -0.618, -0.6335, -0.6335, -0.6195, -0.6517, -0.6147, -0.6376, -0.6004, -0.5647, -0.5327, -0.4914, -0.4744, -0.4132, -0.4128, -0.4244, -0.3737, -0.391, -0.406, -0.4102]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964040004042424358", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T18:56:41+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have never sold a single share of IREN. No plans to do so in the future.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds every share of IREN with no plans to sell; committed long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy I already have one of those.\n\nI have never sold a single share of IREN.\n\nNo plans to do so in the future.\n\nUnlike a lot of other people in this industry, I pay my taxes on the RSUs out of other income.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Don’t spend it all on some fancy record player", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.0007648358721007442, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007648358721007442, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0036696332499456252, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019419468908547288, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002904797377844881, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018654633036446544, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015296717442014884, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015296717442014884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0009270969170906973, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0007759152799513558, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024567686612921857, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007537564642501327, "ret_p1w": 0.2986615518115765, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2986615518115765, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.28294851062907056, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2849061168048226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015713041182505938, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013755435006753913, "ret_p1m": 1.2084130341278287, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.2084130341278287, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.1678839311873435, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.1932108918418793, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040529102940485284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015202142285949405, "ret_p3m": 0.6810707352103347, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6810707352103347, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6215160961585346, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6687043406605064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955463905180003, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012366394549828241, "ret_p6m": 0.5827915867470559, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5827915867470559, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.516236963808653, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6095720590091319, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655462293840286, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026780472262076027, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 1.2084130341278287, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.1678839311873435, "alpha_c_stated": 1.1932108918418793, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.6061, -0.6111, -0.6241, -0.6023, -0.6264, -0.6252, -0.6252, -0.5996, -0.5924, -0.5587, -0.5461, -0.4987, -0.4646, -0.4428, -0.4176, -0.4011, -0.3568, -0.3568, -0.3518, -0.3541, -0.3514, -0.3488, -0.3793, -0.3392, -0.3545, -0.338, -0.3098, -0.314, -0.3059, -0.2891, -0.2738, -0.3063, -0.3224, -0.366, -0.3962, -0.3828, -0.3839, -0.4111, -0.3698, -0.3709, -0.2994, -0.2899, -0.2945, -0.3128, -0.3182, -0.322, -0.2704, -0.247, -0.2082, -0.2837, -0.2444, -0.2509, -0.1805, -0.1159, -0.1208, -0.1451, -0.1189, 0.0126, 0.0126, 0.1132, 0.0788, -0.0008, 0.0, 0.0015, 0.1545, 0.286, 0.2562, 0.2987, 0.4203, 0.3939, 0.4493, 0.3889, 0.4776, 0.6023, 0.5973, 0.8027, 0.7702, 0.6008, 0.7564, 0.7946, 0.8004, 0.7981, 0.9296, 1.2084, 1.3587, 1.2979, 1.4417, 1.2857, 1.4528, 1.66, 1.5996, 1.3644, 1.322, 1.2646, 1.1107, 0.982, 1.1361, 1.4054, 1.4853, 1.387, 1.3105, 1.2264, 1.3231, 1.5908, 1.548, 1.922, 1.5606, 1.3855, 1.301, 1.1943, 1.13, 0.8604, 0.7732, 0.813, 0.8681, 0.7526, 0.6623, 0.6161, 0.8543, 0.8153, 0.8528, 0.8528, 0.8283, 0.8543, 0.5725, 0.6811, 0.7763, 0.7098, 0.7721, 0.7912, 0.6795, 0.6803, 0.5346, 0.3568, 0.3992, 0.2918, 0.369, 0.5266, 0.6076, 0.6088, 0.6054, 0.6054, 0.5411, 0.5071, 0.4646, 0.4444, 0.4444, 0.6329, 0.8447, 0.7556, 0.6683, 0.7468, 0.7602, 0.9247, 1.0264, 1.0222, 0.9843, 1.2111, 1.2111, 1.075, 1.0451, 0.9985, 1.1675, 1.0023, 1.2941, 1.4069, 1.2883, 1.0551, 1.0298, 1.0799, 0.7185, 0.5216, 0.5996, 0.7648, 0.6417, 0.6317, 0.5308, 0.6145, 0.6145, 0.5667, 0.6092, 0.6554, 0.5289, 0.6199, 0.738, 0.6837, 0.6918, 0.566, 0.5828]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962503910188593288", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-01T13:12:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is stronger. Perkier. The steep part of the bull begins now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC; expects September to be green and the steep phase of the bull market to begin now, contrary to bearish consensus.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s September 1st. You can feel that the energy in the air is different. It’s cooler. Fall is coming. Bitcoin is stronger. Perkier. The kid analysts are still in their beds, thinking September will be red. But again they will be stymied. The steep part of the bull begins now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0029211768989962916, "price_path": [-0.0414, -0.0702, -0.0445, 0.0096, 0.0092, -0.0052, -0.0304, -0.0289, -0.0225, -0.0426, -0.04, -0.0418, -0.0544, -0.0336, -0.0293, -0.0173, -0.021, -0.0198, -0.0194, -0.0325, -0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0111, -0.0087, -0.0027, 0.019, 0.0617, 0.0757, 0.097, 0.078, 0.0868, 0.0919, 0.0801, 0.075, 0.0984, 0.087, 0.0835, 0.0768, 0.0794, 0.0794, 0.0785, 0.0596, 0.0372, 0.0533, 0.0448, 0.0529, 0.0755, 0.0681, 0.0868, 0.1, 0.129, 0.0834, 0.0746, 0.0641, 0.0328, 0.046, 0.029, 0.0698, 0.008, 0.0234, 0.018, 0.0302, -0.0077, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0226, 0.0135, 0.0128, 0.0258, 0.0209, 0.0431, 0.0573, 0.0627, 0.0567, 0.0695, 0.0661, 0.0722, 0.0589, 0.032, 0.0253, 0.0373, -0.0018, 0.0042, 0.0471, 0.044, 0.086, 0.1046, 0.1191, 0.1419, 0.1117, 0.1291, 0.114, 0.0363, 0.0551, 0.0354, 0.014, -0.0097, -0.0255, 0.0123, -0.0071, -0.0143, 0.0075, 0.0163, 0.0446, 0.0339, 0.0074, -0.0087, 0.0028, -0.0247, -0.0701, -0.0491, -0.0728, -0.0538, -0.0298, -0.0572, -0.0694, -0.0874, -0.136, -0.157, -0.1492, -0.1628, -0.207, -0.2211, -0.192, -0.2005, -0.1715, -0.1644, -0.1678, -0.2099, -0.1638, -0.1439, -0.1566, -0.1818, -0.1703, -0.1516, -0.1577, -0.1532, -0.1737, -0.209, -0.1959, -0.2115, -0.2177, -0.1936, -0.19, -0.1999, -0.1981, -0.2015, -0.2009, -0.2024, -0.1906, -0.199, -0.1878, -0.1767, -0.1407, -0.1421, -0.1642, -0.1668, -0.1715, -0.1653, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1254, -0.1256, -0.1528, -0.1917, -0.1819, -0.1811, -0.1807, -0.1921, -0.1844, -0.1837, -0.226, -0.2299, -0.2797, -0.3077, -0.3316, -0.4261, -0.3542, -0.3582, -0.3703, -0.3868, -0.3939, -0.3697, -0.3699, -0.3822, -0.392, -0.3871, -0.3775, -0.4085, -0.4135]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1963614098283008323", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-04T14:44:17+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC will turn higher shortly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "BTC will turn higher shortly, preventing MSTR from falling to 170.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@noD7R @JavierHermosa21 Maybe but it won't get there because BTC will turn higher shortly. Watch and enjoy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @JavierHermosa21 No. Bring $MSTR to around 170. Then we can talk about value again. Right now still overcapitalized like most Treasury companyies except maybe $SQNS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "noD7R", "ret_m1d": 0.009027970196902935, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009027970196902935, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017316214496328586, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017316214496328586, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008288244299425651, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008288244299425651, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006558419928113235, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006558419928113235, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002240541976474386, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002240541976474386, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028963839692857096, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028963839692857096, "ret_p1w": 0.04320612256547318, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04320612256547318, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03009614905465674, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03009614905465674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013109973510816442, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013109973510816442, "ret_p1m": 0.10424994783957042, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10424994783957042, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07044203762918477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07044203762918477, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03380791021038565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03380791021038565, "ret_p3m": -0.17497081167978734, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17497081167978734, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22781075770699444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22781075770699444, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052839946027207096, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052839946027207096, "ret_p6m": -0.40498867499526026, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40498867499526026, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46784988519244086, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46784988519244086, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0628612101971806, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0628612101971806, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04320612256547318, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03009614905465674, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03009614905465674, "price_path": [-0.0039, -0.0042, -0.0184, -0.0433, -0.0418, -0.0355, -0.0553, -0.0527, -0.0545, -0.067, -0.0465, -0.0422, -0.0304, -0.034, -0.0328, -0.0324, -0.0454, -0.0168, -0.0097, -0.0243, -0.0219, -0.016, 0.0054, 0.0475, 0.0614, 0.0824, 0.0637, 0.0724, 0.0774, 0.0657, 0.0607, 0.0837, 0.0725, 0.069, 0.0624, 0.065, 0.065, 0.0642, 0.0455, 0.0235, 0.0393, 0.0309, 0.0389, 0.0612, 0.0539, 0.0723, 0.0853, 0.114, 0.069, 0.0603, 0.0499, 0.019, 0.0321, 0.0153, 0.0555, -0.0054, 0.0097, 0.0045, 0.0164, -0.0209, -0.0133, 0.0043, 0.009, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0122, 0.0073, 0.0292, 0.0432, 0.0486, 0.0426, 0.0553, 0.0519, 0.0579, 0.0448, 0.0183, 0.0117, 0.0235, -0.0151, -0.0091, 0.0332, 0.0301, 0.0716, 0.0899, 0.1042, 0.1267, 0.0969, 0.1141, 0.0992, 0.0225, 0.0411, 0.0216, 0.0005, -0.0229, -0.0384, -0.0012, -0.0203, -0.0274, -0.0059, 0.0028, 0.0307, 0.0202, -0.006, -0.0218, -0.0105, -0.0377, -0.0825, -0.0617, -0.0851, -0.0664, -0.0427, -0.0698, -0.0818, -0.0996, -0.1474, -0.1683, -0.1605, -0.1739, -0.2176, -0.2315, -0.2028, -0.2112, -0.1825, -0.1756, -0.1789, -0.2204, -0.175, -0.1553, -0.1678, -0.1927, -0.1814, -0.1629, -0.1689, -0.1645, -0.1847, -0.2195, -0.2066, -0.222, -0.2281, -0.2043, -0.2008, -0.2105, -0.2087, -0.2121, -0.2115, -0.213, -0.2013, -0.2097, -0.1986, -0.1877, -0.1521, -0.1535, -0.1754, -0.1779, -0.1825, -0.1764, -0.1391, -0.1246, -0.137, -0.1373, -0.1641, -0.2024, -0.1928, -0.192, -0.1916, -0.2028, -0.1953, -0.1945, -0.2363, -0.2402, -0.2893, -0.3169, -0.3405, -0.4337, -0.3628, -0.3667, -0.3787, -0.395, -0.4019, -0.3781, -0.3782, -0.3904, -0.4001, -0.3953, -0.3858, -0.4164, -0.4213, -0.3862, -0.3908, -0.405]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981897678221910277", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T01:36:43+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN has great fundamentals if you actually understand the company", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN on strong fundamentals; terse but decisive quality verdict.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sam_badawi IREN has great fundamentals if you actually understand the company", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "My portfolio right now leans more toward value-growth names. I consider myself a growth investor with a higher-than-average risk profile, but right now I see asymmetric opportunities in $AMZN, $RBRK, $NOW, and $TOST. Let’s set those aside and address other themes.\n\nCommoditized", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sam_Badawi", "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020498635853455238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028033431204368853, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660102515356874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125307164443259, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04220055793784383, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0331691330298558, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002656016019079832, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375408888908196, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04524078439161272, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06459451684433326, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027726781144603585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0221264105671809, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25466546544210855, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25476642122268534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01491442714061475, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813471360037966, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20430532651652267, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20840338441127226, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.00842903846184928, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012527096356598877, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33831461407607266, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2941424631396873, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344613363494924, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827537572890455, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.25466546544210855, "alpha_c_stated": -0.25476642122268534, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974570257210880417", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T20:20:09+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fundamentals say much higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; fundamentals support a move well above current all-time highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk Fundamentals say much higher", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR Trading right at previous all-time highs. \n\nA break above these highs and the 1.618 extension of the Sept '21 to Dec '22 is in play at $24.66. https://t.co/dhCkXoXucv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.04172101283941543, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04172101283941543, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03814764789189251, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03170719148831502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010013821351100405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02672749956543785, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02672749956543785, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03043492182296481, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03340338046617153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006675880900733677, "ret_p1w": 0.3259452379572818, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3259452379572818, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3387056062547714, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3343944363423549, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008449198385073076, "ret_p1m": 0.46740547620427186, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.46740547620427186, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4620005750213696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4453608792829795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022044596921292348, "ret_p3m": -0.03780964262951503, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03780964262951503, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05616110790890072, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.040510420285586934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0027007776560719066, "ret_p6m": -0.1610169649582509, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1610169649582509, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1348604869983997, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08776987640125156, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07324708855699935, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.46740547620427186, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4620005750213696, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4453608792829795, "price_path": [-0.5919, -0.5932, -0.6173, -0.6069, -0.6108, -0.5913, -0.5815, -0.5854, -0.5926, -0.5476, -0.5645, -0.5665, -0.5782, -0.5984, -0.6297, -0.6447, -0.6441, -0.6786, -0.6617, -0.6734, -0.6604, -0.6825, -0.6904, -0.6897, -0.6923, -0.6806, -0.6532, -0.6604, -0.6056, -0.6245, -0.6121, -0.6154, -0.5841, -0.5671, -0.5359, -0.5443, -0.5424, -0.502, -0.502, -0.4576, -0.4713, -0.5176, -0.5098, -0.4967, -0.399, -0.3318, -0.3501, -0.2927, -0.2927, -0.2497, -0.193, -0.2275, -0.1995, -0.09, -0.0776, -0.0782, -0.2399, -0.2523, -0.1754, -0.1793, -0.1786, -0.0997, -0.0417, 0.0, 0.0267, 0.1473, 0.1728, 0.1063, 0.3259, 0.3618, 0.3709, 0.2203, 0.2229, 0.2979, 0.1783, 0.0502, 0.1248, 0.3468, 0.339, 0.3012, 0.2771, 0.2432, 0.2158, 0.4837, 0.4674, 0.6108, 0.4153, 0.3488, 0.281, 0.2171, 0.133, -0.0267, -0.0639, -0.0645, -0.0495, -0.0469, -0.0508, -0.0776, 0.0893, 0.1421, 0.2484, 0.2484, 0.3266, 0.2836, 0.1499, 0.2145, 0.2927, 0.2568, 0.2699, 0.2751, 0.2047, 0.2308, 0.1115, -0.0391, -0.0228, -0.0619, -0.0124, 0.0567, 0.0652, 0.0372, 0.0574, 0.0574, -0.0098, -0.0169, -0.0489, -0.0378, -0.0378, 0.0561, 0.1838, 0.1434, 0.0482, 0.0789, 0.0841, 0.1525, 0.1897, 0.1819, 0.1421, 0.2256, 0.2256, 0.1682, 0.1551, 0.1336, 0.1454, 0.075, 0.2223, 0.2366, 0.1538, 0.0404, 0.0306, 0.06, -0.0711, -0.1721, -0.0398, 0.0926, 0.1147, 0.0613, 0.0495, 0.0704, 0.0704, 0.0196, 0.0052, 0.03, -0.045, -0.0078, 0.116, 0.0828, 0.0743, 0.0169, 0.0274, -0.0411, 0.0456, -0.0124, -0.1121, -0.0671, -0.09, -0.0802, -0.1063, -0.0821, -0.013, -0.0163, -0.0437, -0.0456, -0.0867, -0.0293, -0.03, 0.0352, -0.0645, -0.104, -0.2168, -0.161]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1967688481247048035", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-15T20:34:26+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'll be pleased at $200", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN with a $200 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nanotitan28 I’ll be pleased at $200", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN Wrapped day at the 2.272 fib.\n\nI’m quite pleased with the close above $36.16. https://t.co/U7GzyXPE5i", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nanotitan28", "ret_m1d": 0.0189300030800148, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0189300030800148, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017551219700665976, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016689565893878378, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013787833793488247, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022404371861364236, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03978054136047482, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03978054136047482, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041022905036143364, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03007178734544813, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012423636756685452, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009708754015026688, "ret_p1w": 0.14595334934075854, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14595334934075854, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13830365419531776, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13891502344263995, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0076496951454407824, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070383258981185914, "ret_p1m": 0.8650206291916536, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8650206291916536, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8543930761141971, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8677230263567367, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627553077456442, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002702397165083137, "ret_p3m": 0.10096022573797647, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10096022573797647, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06512653771964705, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07163064922588203, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.035833688018329424, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029329576512094446, "ret_p6m": 0.1517146409752479, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1517146409752479, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12109463539503684, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21860264146534358, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03062000558021105, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06688800049009569, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8650206291916536, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8543930761141971, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8677230263567367, "price_path": [-0.7311, -0.7128, -0.7075, -0.6834, -0.6743, -0.6403, -0.6159, -0.6003, -0.5822, -0.5704, -0.5385, -0.5385, -0.535, -0.5366, -0.5347, -0.5328, -0.5547, -0.5259, -0.5369, -0.5251, -0.5048, -0.5078, -0.5021, -0.49, -0.479, -0.5023, -0.5139, -0.5451, -0.5668, -0.5572, -0.558, -0.5775, -0.5479, -0.5487, -0.4974, -0.4905, -0.4938, -0.507, -0.5108, -0.5136, -0.4765, -0.4598, -0.432, -0.4861, -0.4579, -0.4626, -0.4121, -0.3657, -0.3693, -0.3867, -0.3679, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.2014, -0.2261, -0.2831, -0.2826, -0.2815, -0.1717, -0.0774, -0.0988, -0.0683, 0.0189, 0.0, 0.0398, -0.0036, 0.0601, 0.1495, 0.146, 0.2933, 0.27, 0.1484, 0.2601, 0.2875, 0.2916, 0.29, 0.3844, 0.5844, 0.6922, 0.6486, 0.7517, 0.6398, 0.7597, 0.9084, 0.865, 0.6963, 0.6658, 0.6247, 0.5143, 0.4219, 0.5325, 0.7257, 0.783, 0.7125, 0.6576, 0.5973, 0.6667, 0.8587, 0.828, 1.0963, 0.837, 0.7114, 0.6508, 0.5742, 0.5281, 0.3347, 0.2722, 0.3007, 0.3402, 0.2573, 0.1926, 0.1594, 0.3303, 0.3023, 0.3292, 0.3292, 0.3117, 0.3303, 0.1281, 0.206, 0.2743, 0.2266, 0.2713, 0.285, 0.2049, 0.2055, 0.101, -0.0266, 0.0038, -0.0733, -0.0178, 0.0952, 0.1534, 0.1542, 0.1517, 0.1517, 0.1056, 0.0812, 0.0508, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.1715, 0.3235, 0.2595, 0.1968, 0.2532, 0.2628, 0.3808, 0.4538, 0.4508, 0.4236, 0.5863, 0.5863, 0.4886, 0.4672, 0.4337, 0.555, 0.4365, 0.6458, 0.7267, 0.6417, 0.4743, 0.4562, 0.4922, 0.2329, 0.0916, 0.1476, 0.2661, 0.1778, 0.1706, 0.0982, 0.1583, 0.1583, 0.124, 0.1545, 0.1877, 0.0968, 0.1621, 0.2469, 0.208, 0.2137, 0.1235, 0.1355, 0.0658, 0.2027, 0.1008, 0.0069, 0.0656, 0.0458, 0.1517]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1971200435831906394", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T13:09:41+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR is a major data center player now. This is just the first of many. the Cipher deal is incredibly bullish long term", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR long-term on Google partnership/data center deal; expects more deals to follow.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The entire market is taking a little breather here but don’t be confused: the Cipher deal is incredibly bullish long term. Cipher will maintain 100% ownership of the site and gets Google as a shareholder. This is just the first of many. CIFR is a major data center player now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.212693012724273, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.212693012724273, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.20805816242825426, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.21093053561074138, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634850296018733, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001762477113531613, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01629498995452139, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01629498995452139, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022023930517148904, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01931661545612806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005728940562627516, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003021625501606673, "ret_p1w": 0.18439113210466918, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18439113210466918, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16741688133532695, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15503859226736316, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974250769342225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029352539837306013, "ret_p1m": 0.771869649895194, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.771869649895194, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.742692537825898, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7158264705284316, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177112069296074, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0560431793667624, "ret_p3m": 0.36449400133939713, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36449400133939713, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3159523612869586, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31290142935606036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854164005243855, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05159257198333678, "ret_p6m": 0.20154377463317896, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20154377463317896, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2103380196379494, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22675804201325656, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00879424500477044, "bench_c_p6m": -0.025214267380077593, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.771869649895194, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.742692537825898, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7158264705284316, "price_path": [-0.5901, -0.5798, -0.5129, -0.4811, -0.4811, -0.5034, -0.4828, -0.4631, -0.4648, -0.4966, -0.4828, -0.488, -0.4623, -0.4494, -0.4545, -0.464, -0.4048, -0.4271, -0.4297, -0.4451, -0.4717, -0.5129, -0.5326, -0.5317, -0.5772, -0.5549, -0.5703, -0.5532, -0.5823, -0.5926, -0.5918, -0.5952, -0.5798, -0.5437, -0.5532, -0.4811, -0.506, -0.4897, -0.494, -0.4528, -0.4305, -0.3894, -0.4005, -0.3979, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.2864, -0.3045, -0.3654, -0.3551, -0.3379, -0.2093, -0.1209, -0.1449, -0.0695, -0.0695, -0.0129, 0.0617, 0.0163, 0.0532, 0.1973, 0.2136, 0.2127, 0.0, -0.0163, 0.0849, 0.0798, 0.0806, 0.1844, 0.2607, 0.3156, 0.3508, 0.5094, 0.5429, 0.4554, 0.7444, 0.7916, 0.8036, 0.6055, 0.6089, 0.7075, 0.5502, 0.3816, 0.4798, 0.7719, 0.7616, 0.7118, 0.6801, 0.6355, 0.5995, 0.952, 0.9305, 1.1192, 0.8619, 0.7744, 0.6852, 0.6012, 0.4906, 0.2804, 0.2316, 0.2307, 0.2504, 0.2539, 0.2487, 0.2136, 0.4331, 0.5026, 0.6424, 0.6424, 0.7453, 0.6887, 0.5129, 0.5978, 0.7007, 0.6535, 0.6707, 0.6775, 0.5849, 0.6192, 0.4623, 0.2642, 0.2856, 0.2341, 0.2993, 0.3902, 0.4014, 0.3645, 0.3911, 0.3911, 0.3027, 0.2933, 0.2513, 0.2659, 0.2659, 0.3894, 0.5575, 0.5043, 0.3791, 0.4194, 0.4262, 0.5163, 0.5652, 0.5549, 0.5026, 0.6123, 0.6123, 0.5369, 0.5197, 0.4914, 0.5069, 0.4142, 0.6081, 0.6269, 0.518, 0.3688, 0.3559, 0.3945, 0.2221, 0.0892, 0.2633, 0.4374, 0.4666, 0.3962, 0.3808, 0.4082, 0.4082, 0.3413, 0.3225, 0.3551, 0.2564, 0.3053, 0.4683, 0.4245, 0.4134, 0.3379, 0.3516, 0.2616, 0.3756, 0.2993, 0.1681, 0.2273, 0.1973, 0.2101, 0.1758, 0.2075, 0.2985, 0.2942, 0.2581, 0.2556, 0.2015]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1979919796344074537", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-19T14:37:19+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pay attention to the people who are bearish on Bitcoin here near the lows. You can make many millions of dollars in the near future by simply doing the opposite of these people repeatedly.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish Bitcoin near current lows; doing the opposite of bears will generate massive returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pay attention to the people who are bearish on Bitcoin here near the lows. You can make many millions of dollars in the near future by simply doing the opposite of these people repeatedly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.037265399318407666, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037265399318407666, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02697195601526503, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02697195601526503, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293443303142635, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019098105646452646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019098105646452646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019083162767669415, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019083162767669415, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.494287878323064e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.031923615207020584, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031923615207020584, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011157964099954842, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011157964099954842, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076565110706574, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076565110706574, "ret_p1m": -0.15951013123417435, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15951013123417435, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14279629212992573, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14279629212992573, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713839104248618, "ret_p3m": -0.1359787297878129, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1359787297878129, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17021900724498595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17021900724498595, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424027745717306, "ret_p6m": -0.3292130633272162, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3292130633272162, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3696037563522655, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3696037563522655, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040390693025049274, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15951013123417435, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14279629212992573, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14279629212992573, "price_path": [0.0738, 0.0703, 0.0637, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.0655, 0.0467, 0.0247, 0.0405, 0.0321, 0.0401, 0.0625, 0.0552, 0.0736, 0.0867, 0.1153, 0.0703, 0.0616, 0.0512, 0.0203, 0.0333, 0.0165, 0.0568, -0.0042, 0.011, 0.0057, 0.0177, -0.0197, -0.0121, 0.0055, 0.0103, 0.0012, 0.0006, 0.0134, 0.0085, 0.0304, 0.0445, 0.0498, 0.0439, 0.0566, 0.0532, 0.0592, 0.0461, 0.0195, 0.0129, 0.0248, -0.0139, -0.0079, 0.0345, 0.0314, 0.0729, 0.0913, 0.1056, 0.1281, 0.0982, 0.1154, 0.1005, 0.0237, 0.0423, 0.0229, 0.0018, -0.0217, -0.0373, 0.0, -0.0191, -0.0262, -0.0047, 0.004, 0.0319, 0.0214, -0.0048, -0.0206, -0.0093, -0.0365, -0.0814, -0.0606, -0.084, -0.0653, -0.0415, -0.0686, -0.0807, -0.0985, -0.1464, -0.1672, -0.1595, -0.1729, -0.2166, -0.2306, -0.2018, -0.2102, -0.1815, -0.1746, -0.1779, -0.2194, -0.174, -0.1543, -0.1668, -0.1917, -0.1804, -0.1618, -0.1679, -0.1635, -0.1837, -0.2185, -0.2057, -0.221, -0.2272, -0.2033, -0.1998, -0.2096, -0.2078, -0.2112, -0.2106, -0.2121, -0.2004, -0.2087, -0.1976, -0.1867, -0.1511, -0.1525, -0.1743, -0.1769, -0.1815, -0.1754, -0.1381, -0.1235, -0.136, -0.1362, -0.1631, -0.2014, -0.1918, -0.191, -0.1907, -0.2018, -0.1943, -0.1935, -0.2354, -0.2393, -0.2885, -0.3161, -0.3397, -0.433, -0.362, -0.3659, -0.3779, -0.3942, -0.4012, -0.3774, -0.3775, -0.3897, -0.3993, -0.3945, -0.3851, -0.4157, -0.4206, -0.3855, -0.39, -0.4043, -0.3781, -0.3825, -0.3425, -0.3594, -0.3839, -0.3815, -0.3677, -0.3652, -0.3626, -0.3583, -0.3231, -0.3316, -0.3558, -0.3678, -0.3623, -0.3588, -0.3623, -0.3552, -0.378, -0.4001, -0.3969, -0.383, -0.3844, -0.3952, -0.3948, -0.3773, -0.3495, -0.3569, -0.351, -0.3401, -0.3265, -0.3292]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965430946284667180", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T15:03:48+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have and I am certain we are not bullish enough", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's CIFR bullish math; says market is not bullish enough on CIFR given its 450 MW vs NBIS's 300 MW deal adding $8B market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BitfuryGeorge I have and I am certain we are not bullish enough.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS just did a deal for 300 MW and added $8 BN to its Market Cap. $CIFR has 450 MW energised and available NOW. You do the math. 🚀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitfuryGeorge", "ret_m1d": -0.16268985177812156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16268985177812156, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1603832998592577, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16076783986266507, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002306551918863864, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019220119154564896, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11171363374625076, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11171363374625076, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10882292361730239, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09358597673010949, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028907101289483705, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018127657016141274, "ret_p1w": 0.24837309062150292, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24837309062150292, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23350391084093047, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2218788315684268, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01486917978057245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02649425905307612, "ret_p1m": 0.9088936954164986, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9088936954164986, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8709959096285289, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8119479416129984, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789778578796965, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09694575380350012, "ret_p3m": 1.0911063045835014, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0911063045835014, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0338108792843457, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9846887687683401, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05729542529915577, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10641753581516133, "ret_p6m": 0.7396963612774725, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7396963612774725, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6801426843403062, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.682697100068145, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955367693716629, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05699926120932752, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.9088936954164986, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8709959096285289, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8119479416129984, "price_path": [-0.5835, -0.5965, -0.5738, -0.6009, -0.5868, -0.5868, -0.5889, -0.6171, -0.5824, -0.5824, -0.5456, -0.538, -0.4816, -0.4685, -0.3839, -0.3438, -0.3438, -0.372, -0.346, -0.321, -0.3232, -0.3633, -0.346, -0.3525, -0.32, -0.3037, -0.3102, -0.3221, -0.2473, -0.2755, -0.2787, -0.2983, -0.3319, -0.3839, -0.4089, -0.4078, -0.4653, -0.4371, -0.4566, -0.4349, -0.4718, -0.4848, -0.4837, -0.4881, -0.4685, -0.423, -0.4349, -0.3438, -0.3753, -0.3547, -0.3601, -0.308, -0.2798, -0.2278, -0.2419, -0.2386, -0.1714, -0.1714, -0.0976, -0.1204, -0.1974, -0.1844, -0.1627, 0.0, 0.1117, 0.0813, 0.1768, 0.1768, 0.2484, 0.3427, 0.2852, 0.3319, 0.5141, 0.5347, 0.5336, 0.2646, 0.244, 0.372, 0.3655, 0.3666, 0.4978, 0.5944, 0.6638, 0.7082, 0.9089, 0.9512, 0.8406, 1.2061, 1.2657, 1.2809, 1.0304, 1.0347, 1.1594, 0.9604, 0.7473, 0.8715, 1.2408, 1.2278, 1.1649, 1.1247, 1.0683, 1.0228, 1.4685, 1.4414, 1.68, 1.3547, 1.244, 1.1312, 1.0249, 0.885, 0.6193, 0.5575, 0.5564, 0.5813, 0.5857, 0.5792, 0.5347, 0.8124, 0.9002, 1.077, 1.077, 1.2072, 1.1356, 0.9132, 1.0206, 1.1508, 1.0911, 1.1128, 1.1215, 1.0043, 1.0477, 0.8492, 0.5987, 0.6258, 0.5607, 0.6432, 0.7581, 0.7722, 0.7256, 0.7592, 0.7592, 0.6475, 0.6356, 0.5824, 0.6009, 0.6009, 0.757, 0.9696, 0.9024, 0.744, 0.795, 0.8037, 0.9176, 0.9794, 0.9664, 0.9002, 1.039, 1.039, 0.9436, 0.9219, 0.8861, 0.9056, 0.7885, 1.0336, 1.0575, 0.9197, 0.731, 0.7148, 0.7636, 0.5456, 0.3774, 0.5976, 0.8178, 0.8547, 0.7657, 0.7462, 0.7809, 0.7809, 0.6963, 0.6725, 0.7137, 0.5889, 0.6508, 0.8568, 0.8015, 0.7874, 0.692, 0.7093, 0.5954, 0.7397]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1966269114269446371", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-11T22:34:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$146,000 first then $172,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC targets $146K then $172K from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@lelowbet $146,000 first then $172,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Where are we going bro?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lelowbet", "ret_m1d": -0.013437908036982193, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013437908036982193, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01377246268879384, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01377246268879384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005142859655061782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005142859655061782, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0001809149024136758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0001809149024136758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "ret_p1w": 0.014108724640200299, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014108724640200299, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.001741936342328776, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.001741936342328776, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "ret_p1m": -0.01985300607745777, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01985300607745777, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03121303269163711, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03121303269163711, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "ret_p3m": -0.19752674422969552, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19752674422969552, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24630329176086252, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24630329176086252, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "ret_p6m": -0.4101121646212893, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4101121646212893, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4477601703226113, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4477601703226113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01985300607745777, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03121303269163711, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03121303269163711, "price_path": [-0.0754, -0.0944, -0.092, -0.0937, -0.1056, -0.086, -0.0819, -0.0705, -0.074, -0.0729, -0.0725, -0.0849, -0.0576, -0.0507, -0.0647, -0.0624, -0.0568, -0.0362, 0.0042, 0.0174, 0.0376, 0.0196, 0.028, 0.0327, 0.0216, 0.0167, 0.0389, 0.0281, 0.0248, 0.0184, 0.0209, 0.0209, 0.0201, 0.0022, -0.0189, -0.0038, -0.0118, -0.0042, 0.0172, 0.0102, 0.0279, 0.0404, 0.0678, 0.0247, 0.0164, 0.0064, -0.0232, -0.0107, -0.0267, 0.0118, -0.0466, -0.0321, -0.0371, -0.0256, -0.0614, -0.0542, -0.0373, -0.0328, -0.0414, -0.042, -0.0297, -0.0344, -0.0134, 0.0, 0.0051, -0.0005, 0.0116, 0.0083, 0.0141, 0.0016, -0.0239, -0.0302, -0.0189, -0.0559, -0.0502, -0.0096, -0.0126, 0.0272, 0.0448, 0.0585, 0.08, 0.0515, 0.0679, 0.0537, -0.0199, -0.002, -0.0207, -0.0409, -0.0634, -0.0783, -0.0426, -0.0609, -0.0677, -0.0471, -0.0387, -0.012, -0.0221, -0.0472, -0.0624, -0.0515, -0.0776, -0.1205, -0.1006, -0.123, -0.1051, -0.0823, -0.1083, -0.1199, -0.1369, -0.1828, -0.2027, -0.1953, -0.2081, -0.25, -0.2633, -0.2358, -0.2438, -0.2163, -0.2097, -0.2129, -0.2527, -0.2091, -0.1903, -0.2023, -0.2261, -0.2153, -0.1975, -0.2033, -0.1991, -0.2185, -0.2518, -0.2395, -0.2542, -0.2601, -0.2372, -0.2339, -0.2432, -0.2415, -0.2448, -0.2442, -0.2456, -0.2344, -0.2424, -0.2318, -0.2213, -0.1872, -0.1885, -0.2095, -0.2119, -0.2164, -0.2105, -0.1748, -0.1608, -0.1728, -0.173, -0.1987, -0.2355, -0.2262, -0.2255, -0.2251, -0.2358, -0.2286, -0.2279, -0.2679, -0.2717, -0.3188, -0.3452, -0.3678, -0.4572, -0.3892, -0.3929, -0.4044, -0.42, -0.4267, -0.4039, -0.404, -0.4157, -0.4249, -0.4203, -0.4112, -0.4406, -0.4452, -0.4116, -0.416, -0.4296, -0.4046, -0.4088, -0.3705, -0.3867, -0.4101]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1963984174886404133", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T15:14:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we should begin the Q4 rally promptly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish crypto into Q4; calls current selloff a manipulative liquidity sweep designed to shake out weak hands before a generational rip.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is a textbook example of a manipulative liquidity sweep. It looks like they got a lot of lettuce hands completely out here. Just a few more kid analysts and chart traders need to get stopped out and then we should begin the Q4 rally promptly. A story as old as time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This is smart. The market makers should take all the proxies down as hard as they need to insure the fewest people possible are onboard for the generational rip that’s coming over the next few months. A story as old as time. Do not cry later that you fell for this move. It’s fake", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0006562724038123857, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0006562724038123857, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0022485249740324953, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0022485249740324953, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002904797377844881, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002904797377844881, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012837168331788718, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012837168331788718, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010380399670496532, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010380399670496532, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024567686612921857, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0024567686612921857, "ret_p1w": 0.04925933357743806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04925933357743806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03354629239493212, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03354629239493212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015713041182505938, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015713041182505938, "ret_p1m": 0.12744167577587362, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12744167577587362, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08691257283538834, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08691257283538834, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040529102940485284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040529102940485284, "ret_p3m": -0.15474945644829474, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15474945644829474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21430409550009477, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21430409550009477, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955463905180003, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05955463905180003, "ret_p6m": -0.37844338257835763, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.37844338257835763, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4449980055167605, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4449980055167605, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655462293840286, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06655462293840286, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12744167577587362, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08691257283538834, "alpha_c_stated": 0.08691257283538834, "price_path": [-0.0036, -0.0178, -0.0427, -0.0412, -0.0348, -0.0547, -0.0521, -0.0539, -0.0663, -0.0458, -0.0416, -0.0297, -0.0334, -0.0322, -0.0318, -0.0448, -0.0162, -0.0091, -0.0236, -0.0212, -0.0154, 0.0061, 0.0482, 0.0621, 0.0831, 0.0644, 0.0731, 0.0781, 0.0664, 0.0614, 0.0844, 0.0732, 0.0697, 0.0631, 0.0657, 0.0657, 0.0649, 0.0462, 0.0241, 0.04, 0.0315, 0.0396, 0.0619, 0.0546, 0.073, 0.0861, 0.1147, 0.0697, 0.061, 0.0506, 0.0197, 0.0327, 0.016, 0.0562, -0.0048, 0.0104, 0.0052, 0.0171, -0.0202, -0.0127, 0.005, 0.0097, 0.0007, 0.0, 0.0128, 0.0079, 0.0299, 0.0439, 0.0493, 0.0433, 0.056, 0.0526, 0.0586, 0.0455, 0.019, 0.0123, 0.0242, -0.0145, -0.0085, 0.0339, 0.0308, 0.0723, 0.0906, 0.105, 0.1274, 0.0976, 0.1148, 0.0999, 0.0232, 0.0418, 0.0223, 0.0012, -0.0223, -0.0378, -0.0006, -0.0196, -0.0268, -0.0053, 0.0035, 0.0313, 0.0208, -0.0054, -0.0212, -0.0099, -0.0371, -0.0819, -0.0611, -0.0845, -0.0658, -0.0421, -0.0692, -0.0812, -0.099, -0.1469, -0.1677, -0.16, -0.1734, -0.2171, -0.231, -0.2023, -0.2107, -0.1819, -0.175, -0.1783, -0.2199, -0.1744, -0.1547, -0.1673, -0.1922, -0.1808, -0.1623, -0.1684, -0.1639, -0.1842, -0.219, -0.2061, -0.2215, -0.2276, -0.2038, -0.2003, -0.21, -0.2082, -0.2116, -0.211, -0.2125, -0.2008, -0.2091, -0.1981, -0.1871, -0.1515, -0.1529, -0.1748, -0.1773, -0.182, -0.1759, -0.1385, -0.124, -0.1365, -0.1367, -0.1636, -0.2019, -0.1923, -0.1915, -0.1911, -0.2023, -0.1947, -0.194, -0.2358, -0.2397, -0.2889, -0.3165, -0.3401, -0.4333, -0.3624, -0.3663, -0.3783, -0.3946, -0.4015, -0.3777, -0.3778, -0.39, -0.3997, -0.3949, -0.3854, -0.416, -0.4209, -0.3858, -0.3904, -0.4046, -0.3784]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985737830082232767", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T15:56:06+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Give it time. It will come back.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NVO; expects recovery despite weak price action and momentum-trader neglect.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@thebsar It's simple. Everyone is a MOMO trader now. If something looks weak, the bandwagon traders don't want to own it. Give it time. It will come back.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred I’m really surprised more people aren’t buying $NVO.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thebsar", "ret_m1d": 0.017823815613484895, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017823815613484895, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005827983955593696, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005827983955593696, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00435227369869251, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00435227369869251, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0008867970425383565, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0008867970425383565, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "ret_p1w": 0.018652847447733434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018652847447733434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0071605598284822936, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0071605598284822936, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "ret_p1m": -0.014093295300319775, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014093295300319775, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.026903637921709023, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.026903637921709023, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "ret_p3m": 0.23170984885721047, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23170984885721047, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20390528628341054, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20390528628341054, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "ret_p6m": -0.13434962882896528, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13434962882896528, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1941680175828263, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1941680175828263, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.014093295300319775, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.026903637921709023, "alpha_c_stated": -0.026903637921709023, "price_path": [-0.0007, 0.0469, 0.0221, 0.0202, 0.0432, 0.0442, 0.0741, 0.114, 0.1353, 0.1254, 0.1492, 0.1809, 0.1677, 0.1469, 0.1697, 0.1629, 0.1702, 0.1702, 0.1685, 0.176, 0.1635, 0.1447, 0.125, 0.1254, 0.1268, 0.1254, 0.1372, 0.1527, 0.1855, 0.2062, 0.2819, 0.2725, 0.2582, 0.234, 0.2174, 0.1615, 0.1525, 0.1503, 0.1501, 0.2263, 0.2174, 0.2359, 0.2363, 0.2232, 0.2354, 0.2162, 0.1799, 0.1917, 0.1743, 0.1755, 0.1625, 0.1268, 0.1552, 0.1353, 0.1063, 0.1032, 0.0976, 0.0962, 0.0788, 0.0647, 0.0371, 0.0251, 0.0178, 0.0, 0.0044, -0.0361, -0.0533, -0.0479, 0.0187, 0.0417, 0.0189, 0.0002, 0.0044, -0.0145, 0.0155, -0.0135, -0.0128, -0.068, -0.0247, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0228, 0.0037, -0.017, -0.0141, -0.0054, -0.0081, -0.0307, -0.0392, 0.0166, 0.0423, 0.04, 0.0439, 0.0147, -0.0099, -0.0133, -0.0033, -0.0031, 0.0696, 0.0893, 0.0893, 0.086, 0.0667, 0.0616, 0.0545, 0.0545, 0.0858, 0.1422, 0.166, 0.1724, 0.1884, 0.2189, 0.2406, 0.2361, 0.2209, 0.1838, 0.2918, 0.2918, 0.2576, 0.2294, 0.2897, 0.2904, 0.326, 0.3034, 0.2504, 0.2296, 0.2317, 0.2213, 0.0425, -0.022, -0.1018, -0.0126, 0.0232, 0.018, 0.0102, 0.0141, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0232, 0.0203, 0.0041, -0.0172, -0.1787, -0.2002, -0.2091, -0.2203, -0.2238, -0.2174, -0.2402, -0.2021, -0.1903, -0.2004, -0.1755, -0.1975, -0.1952, -0.212, -0.2133, -0.2004, -0.2035, -0.2238, -0.2315, -0.2429, -0.2369, -0.2354, -0.247, -0.2456, -0.2531, -0.2418, -0.2104, -0.2162, -0.2055, -0.2055, -0.2121, -0.207, -0.1919, -0.1956, -0.1939, -0.184, -0.1552, -0.1232, -0.1206, -0.1294, -0.1307, -0.153, -0.1588, -0.1724, -0.1154, -0.1148, -0.1154, -0.1343]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965508237517893692", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T20:10:55+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Had lunch with the CIFR CEO today in NYC and we might be too bearish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "After meeting CIFR CEO, suggests the bearish case may be too conservative — implied bullish lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson Had lunch with the CIFR CEO today in NYC and we might be too bearish", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Someone asked me so I will say it here: my long term goal (3 years) is $CIFR over $100 and $300 in 5 years (which would make it a 100-bagger).\n\nI expect deals to start getting announced with CIFR soon and before year end\n\nMy Feb 1 target (hope) is this gets to $30. I think it’s", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09760540081681712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08268288285764713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01780489596881052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03562724295772224, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03068552253624257, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003368475417101946, "ret_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19711814843644926, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20306678894394525, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004738100269802814, "ret_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6795233156162872, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07559861327328976, "ret_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.849407041144203, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8061346777219296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09435308249624885, "ret_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42743979443513536, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4373450733784303, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04070366989281582, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6795233156162872, "price_path": [-0.6371, -0.6166, -0.641, -0.6283, -0.6283, -0.6302, -0.6556, -0.6244, -0.6244, -0.5912, -0.5844, -0.5337, -0.522, -0.4459, -0.4098, -0.4098, -0.4351, -0.4117, -0.3893, -0.3912, -0.4273, -0.4117, -0.4176, -0.3883, -0.3737, -0.3795, -0.3902, -0.3229, -0.3483, -0.3512, -0.3688, -0.399, -0.4459, -0.4683, -0.4673, -0.519, -0.4937, -0.5112, -0.4917, -0.5249, -0.5366, -0.5356, -0.5395, -0.522, -0.481, -0.4917, -0.4098, -0.438, -0.4195, -0.4244, -0.3776, -0.3522, -0.3054, -0.318, -0.3151, -0.2546, -0.2546, -0.1883, -0.2088, -0.278, -0.2663, -0.2468, -0.1005, 0.0, -0.0273, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.1229, 0.2078, 0.1561, 0.198, 0.362, 0.3805, 0.3795, 0.1376, 0.119, 0.2341, 0.2283, 0.2293, 0.3473, 0.4341, 0.4966, 0.5366, 0.7171, 0.7551, 0.6556, 0.9844, 1.038, 1.0517, 0.8263, 0.8302, 0.9424, 0.7634, 0.5717, 0.6834, 1.0156, 1.0039, 0.9473, 0.9112, 0.8605, 0.8195, 1.2205, 1.1961, 1.4107, 1.118, 1.0185, 0.9171, 0.8215, 0.6956, 0.4566, 0.401, 0.4, 0.4224, 0.4263, 0.4205, 0.3805, 0.6302, 0.7093, 0.8683, 0.8683, 0.9854, 0.921, 0.721, 0.8176, 0.9346, 0.881, 0.9005, 0.9083, 0.8029, 0.842, 0.6634, 0.438, 0.4624, 0.4039, 0.478, 0.5815, 0.5941, 0.5522, 0.5824, 0.5824, 0.482, 0.4712, 0.4234, 0.44, 0.44, 0.5805, 0.7717, 0.7112, 0.5688, 0.6146, 0.6224, 0.7249, 0.7805, 0.7688, 0.7093, 0.8341, 0.8341, 0.7483, 0.7288, 0.6966, 0.7141, 0.6088, 0.8293, 0.8507, 0.7268, 0.5571, 0.5424, 0.5863, 0.3902, 0.239, 0.4371, 0.6351, 0.6683, 0.5883, 0.5707, 0.602, 0.602, 0.5259, 0.5044, 0.5415, 0.4293, 0.4849, 0.6702, 0.6205, 0.6078, 0.522, 0.5376, 0.4351, 0.5649, 0.478]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974130953644839068", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T15:14:31+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The IWM has cleanly broken out above the $244 level. Small caps will start to lead here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long IWM/small caps, BTC, ETH to new ATHs by end of next week; DXY/rates/yields all headed lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The IWM has cleanly broken out above the $244 level. Small caps will start to lead here and BTC and ETH will both make new all time highs shortly, probably by the end of next week at the latest. Rates, yields, DXY all headed lower. It's go time. Uptober is here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007362761909056159, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007362761909056159, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007377475572881709, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007377475572881709, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00398653411239569, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00398653411239569, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00040035443612196353, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00040035443612196353, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "ret_p1w": -0.03270557688893372, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03270557688893372, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00851272710422224, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00851272710422224, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "ret_p1m": -0.0015863961790409942, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0015863961790409942, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02270077964985817, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02270077964985817, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "ret_p3m": 0.004700340474502962, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.004700340474502962, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.017303116132971308, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.017303116132971308, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "ret_p6m": -0.020293826312913765, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.020293826312913765, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.029976877513356093, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.029976877513356093, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0015863961790409942, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02270077964985817, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02270077964985817, "price_path": [-0.1025, -0.0928, -0.0881, -0.1007, -0.0947, -0.1124, -0.1035, -0.0917, -0.0982, -0.1018, -0.0943, -0.0805, -0.0932, -0.0898, -0.0909, -0.0967, -0.1013, -0.1101, -0.1282, -0.1087, -0.1042, -0.1053, -0.1083, -0.1063, -0.1065, -0.08, -0.0621, -0.0742, -0.0787, -0.0753, -0.0824, -0.0857, -0.0834, -0.0474, -0.0575, -0.0497, -0.0429, -0.0418, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.0512, -0.0522, -0.0403, -0.0355, -0.0336, -0.0393, -0.041, -0.0232, -0.0332, -0.0291, -0.0307, -0.0282, -0.004, -0.0116, -0.0059, -0.0081, -0.0172, -0.0266, -0.0183, -0.0171, -0.0157, -0.0136, -0.0074, 0.0, 0.004, -0.0068, 0.0036, -0.0028, -0.0327, -0.0058, 0.0084, 0.0183, -0.0031, -0.0098, 0.0095, 0.0047, -0.0101, 0.0024, 0.0146, 0.0182, 0.0127, 0.0041, -0.004, 0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0188, -0.0047, -0.0223, -0.0172, -0.0073, -0.0065, -0.0089, -0.0368, -0.034, -0.0532, -0.0503, -0.0504, -0.068, -0.0416, -0.0241, -0.0028, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0119, -0.0009, -0.0027, 0.0155, 0.0244, 0.0201, 0.0205, 0.0226, 0.0365, 0.0487, 0.0326, 0.0248, 0.02, 0.0091, 0.0151, 0.0236, 0.035, 0.0289, 0.0314, 0.0314, 0.0262, 0.0199, 0.0123, 0.0047, 0.0047, 0.0154, 0.0315, 0.0452, 0.0427, 0.0541, 0.0621, 0.0673, 0.0667, 0.0742, 0.0837, 0.0847, 0.0847, 0.0717, 0.093, 0.1011, 0.0808, 0.0774, 0.0805, 0.0747, 0.0749, 0.0598, 0.0701, 0.0725, 0.0633, 0.0442, 0.0817, 0.0893, 0.0863, 0.0814, 0.0593, 0.0733, 0.0733, 0.0736, 0.0775, 0.08, 0.08, 0.0632, 0.0748, 0.0799, 0.0856, 0.0669, 0.0767, 0.0581, 0.0684, 0.048, 0.024, 0.0351, 0.0341, 0.032, 0.0098, 0.0065, 0.016, 0.0224, 0.0059, 0.0125, -0.0096, 0.0118, 0.0172, 0.0296, 0.0117, -0.006, -0.0203]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974130953644839068", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-03T15:14:31+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC and ETH will both make new all time highs shortly, probably by the end of next week at the latest", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long IWM/small caps, BTC, ETH to new ATHs by end of next week; DXY/rates/yields all headed lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The IWM has cleanly broken out above the $244 level. Small caps will start to lead here and BTC and ETH will both make new all time highs shortly, probably by the end of next week at the latest. Rates, yields, DXY all headed lower. It's go time. Uptober is here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012965718592756748, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012965718592756748, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012980432256582297, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012980432256582297, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020332628844412337, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020332628844412337, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01674644916813861, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01674644916813861, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "ret_p1w": -0.07403632024197138, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07403632024197138, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0498434704572599, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0498434704572599, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "ret_p1m": -0.12856345601527808, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12856345601527808, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14967783948609525, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14967783948609525, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "ret_p3m": -0.2842781484814554, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2842781484814554, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.30628160508892965, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30628160508892965, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "ret_p6m": -0.4545404647479929, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4545404647479929, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40426976092172306, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.40426976092172306, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12856345601527808, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14967783948609525, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14967783948609525, "price_path": [-0.1089, -0.0895, -0.0514, -0.0388, -0.0198, -0.0367, -0.0289, -0.0243, -0.0349, -0.0395, -0.0186, -0.0287, -0.0319, -0.0379, -0.0355, -0.0355, -0.0363, -0.0532, -0.0732, -0.0588, -0.0665, -0.0592, -0.039, -0.0456, -0.0289, -0.0171, 0.0088, -0.032, -0.0398, -0.0492, -0.0772, -0.0654, -0.0805, -0.0441, -0.0993, -0.0856, -0.0903, -0.0795, -0.1133, -0.1065, -0.0905, -0.0862, -0.0944, -0.095, -0.0834, -0.0878, -0.068, -0.0553, -0.0504, -0.0558, -0.0444, -0.0474, -0.042, -0.0538, -0.0778, -0.0838, -0.0731, -0.1081, -0.1027, -0.0643, -0.0672, -0.0296, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0203, -0.0067, 0.0089, -0.0046, -0.074, -0.0572, -0.0748, -0.0939, -0.1152, -0.1292, -0.0955, -0.1128, -0.1192, -0.0998, -0.0919, -0.0666, -0.0761, -0.0999, -0.1142, -0.104, -0.1286, -0.1691, -0.1503, -0.1715, -0.1545, -0.1331, -0.1576, -0.1685, -0.1846, -0.2279, -0.2468, -0.2398, -0.2519, -0.2915, -0.3041, -0.278, -0.2856, -0.2597, -0.2534, -0.2564, -0.294, -0.2529, -0.235, -0.2464, -0.2689, -0.2587, -0.2419, -0.2474, -0.2434, -0.2617, -0.2932, -0.2815, -0.2954, -0.301, -0.2794, -0.2763, -0.2851, -0.2834, -0.2865, -0.286, -0.2873, -0.2767, -0.2843, -0.2743, -0.2644, -0.2321, -0.2334, -0.2532, -0.2555, -0.2597, -0.2541, -0.2204, -0.2072, -0.2185, -0.2187, -0.243, -0.2777, -0.269, -0.2683, -0.268, -0.2781, -0.2712, -0.2706, -0.3084, -0.3119, -0.3564, -0.3814, -0.4028, -0.4872, -0.4229, -0.4265, -0.4373, -0.4521, -0.4584, -0.4368, -0.4369, -0.448, -0.4567, -0.4524, -0.4438, -0.4715, -0.4759, -0.4442, -0.4483, -0.4612, -0.4375, -0.4414, -0.4053, -0.4206, -0.4427, -0.4405, -0.4281, -0.4258, -0.4234, -0.4196, -0.3877, -0.3954, -0.4173, -0.4282, -0.4232, -0.42, -0.4232, -0.4168, -0.4374, -0.4574, -0.4545]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974130953644839068", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-03T15:14:31+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC and ETH will both make new all time highs shortly, probably by the end of next week at the latest", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long IWM/small caps, BTC, ETH to new ATHs by end of next week; DXY/rates/yields all headed lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The IWM has cleanly broken out above the $244 level. Small caps will start to lead here and BTC and ETH will both make new all time highs shortly, probably by the end of next week at the latest. Rates, yields, DXY all headed lower. It's go time. Uptober is here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005968449530117215, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005968449530117215, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005983163193942764, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005983163193942764, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0382958658210093, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0382958658210093, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034709686144735574, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034709686144735574, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "ret_p1w": -0.14881086859774906, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14881086859774906, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12461801881303758, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12461801881303758, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "ret_p1m": -0.2021237328251746, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2021237328251746, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22323811629599177, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22323811629599177, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "ret_p3m": -0.34282998186872704, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34282998186872704, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3648334384762013, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3648334384762013, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "ret_p6m": -0.5518110994970504, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5518110994970504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5015403956707806, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5015403956707806, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2021237328251746, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22323811629599177, "alpha_c_stated": -0.22323811629599177, "price_path": [-0.4207, -0.3863, -0.3455, -0.3449, -0.3326, -0.3045, -0.2532, -0.2299, -0.2139, -0.1664, -0.1696, -0.1961, -0.1787, -0.1744, -0.1611, -0.1598, -0.1565, -0.1812, -0.2274, -0.1763, -0.2, -0.184, -0.133, -0.1119, -0.0638, 0.0168, 0.0535, 0.0074, -0.0166, -0.0448, -0.0978, -0.04, -0.0646, 0.0701, -0.0314, 0.0189, -0.0025, -0.0017, -0.0343, -0.0444, -0.042, -0.0143, -0.0479, -0.046, -0.0458, -0.0456, -0.0367, -0.0119, 0.0444, 0.0026, -0.0025, 0.0172, 0.0166, -0.0097, -0.0691, -0.0774, -0.08, -0.1432, -0.1061, -0.0659, -0.0817, -0.0363, -0.006, 0.0, 0.0383, -0.0141, 0.0028, -0.0323, -0.1488, -0.0597, -0.0863, -0.1168, -0.1373, -0.1511, -0.1183, -0.1413, -0.1565, -0.1459, -0.1285, -0.0874, -0.118, -0.1354, -0.1574, -0.1479, -0.2021, -0.2707, -0.2414, -0.2664, -0.2391, -0.2096, -0.2435, -0.244, -0.284, -0.3125, -0.3301, -0.3083, -0.3304, -0.3728, -0.3874, -0.346, -0.3448, -0.3294, -0.3323, -0.3284, -0.3798, -0.336, -0.2931, -0.3058, -0.3301, -0.3078, -0.2644, -0.2635, -0.283, -0.3169, -0.3435, -0.3435, -0.3729, -0.3738, -0.3404, -0.3342, -0.3436, -0.3476, -0.3569, -0.352, -0.35, -0.3419, -0.3428, -0.3354, -0.308, -0.2854, -0.27, -0.2986, -0.3124, -0.3171, -0.3151, -0.2642, -0.257, -0.2653, -0.2701, -0.2942, -0.3498, -0.3402, -0.3467, -0.3459, -0.3518, -0.3306, -0.3341, -0.3758, -0.4015, -0.4807, -0.5066, -0.5252, -0.5965, -0.543, -0.5341, -0.5527, -0.5702, -0.5688, -0.5463, -0.5575, -0.5587, -0.5672, -0.5685, -0.5639, -0.589, -0.5896, -0.5449, -0.5511, -0.5724, -0.551, -0.5608, -0.529, -0.5412, -0.5617, -0.5586, -0.5488, -0.5456, -0.5408, -0.5365, -0.4792, -0.4866, -0.5119, -0.5266, -0.5246, -0.5233, -0.5225, -0.5198, -0.5438, -0.559, -0.5518]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981762418868126055", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-24T16:39:14+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses buying Bitcoin; implies a couple million is insufficient without BTC exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheBTCTherapist Agree. You can’t really buy much with it anymore. Buy Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What’s a couple million honestly.\n\nChump change.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBTCTherapist", "ret_m1d": -0.008683790468875574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008683790468875574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005774849992161712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005774849992161712, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008106305469659403, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008106305469659403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02778796063308908, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02778796063308908, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01599029614030445, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01599029614030445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011797664492784632, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011797664492784632, "ret_p1w": -0.013309066162353833, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013309066162353833, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020411363413848305, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020411363413848305, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0071022972514944716, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0071022972514944716, "ret_p1m": -0.2050126573086969, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2050126573086969, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.192432340740335, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.192432340740335, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012580316568361893, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012580316568361893, "ret_p3m": -0.1950481489961331, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1950481489961331, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21007256087121773, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21007256087121773, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015024411875084631, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015024411875084631, "ret_p6m": -0.31667257936798876, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31667257936798876, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3690983646325394, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3690983646325394, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05242578526455066, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05242578526455066, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2050126573086969, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.192432340740335, "alpha_c_stated": -0.192432340740335, "price_path": [0.062, 0.0612, 0.0425, 0.0206, 0.0364, 0.028, 0.036, 0.0582, 0.0509, 0.0693, 0.0823, 0.1109, 0.066, 0.0573, 0.047, 0.0162, 0.0292, 0.0125, 0.0526, -0.0082, 0.0069, 0.0017, 0.0136, -0.0236, -0.0161, 0.0015, 0.0062, -0.0028, -0.0034, 0.0093, 0.0045, 0.0263, 0.0403, 0.0456, 0.0397, 0.0523, 0.0489, 0.055, 0.0419, 0.0154, 0.0088, 0.0207, -0.0179, -0.0119, 0.0303, 0.0272, 0.0686, 0.0869, 0.1012, 0.1236, 0.0938, 0.111, 0.0961, 0.0196, 0.0382, 0.0188, -0.0023, -0.0256, -0.0411, -0.004, -0.023, -0.0301, -0.0087, 0.0, 0.0278, 0.0173, -0.0088, -0.0246, -0.0133, -0.0404, -0.085, -0.0643, -0.0877, -0.069, -0.0454, -0.0724, -0.0844, -0.1021, -0.1498, -0.1706, -0.1629, -0.1762, -0.2198, -0.2337, -0.205, -0.2134, -0.1848, -0.1779, -0.1812, -0.2226, -0.1773, -0.1577, -0.1701, -0.195, -0.1837, -0.1652, -0.1712, -0.1668, -0.187, -0.2217, -0.2089, -0.2242, -0.2303, -0.2065, -0.203, -0.2127, -0.2109, -0.2143, -0.2137, -0.2152, -0.2036, -0.2119, -0.2009, -0.1899, -0.1545, -0.1559, -0.1777, -0.1802, -0.1848, -0.1787, -0.1415, -0.127, -0.1394, -0.1397, -0.1664, -0.2046, -0.195, -0.1943, -0.1939, -0.205, -0.1975, -0.1968, -0.2384, -0.2423, -0.2913, -0.3188, -0.3424, -0.4353, -0.3646, -0.3685, -0.3804, -0.3967, -0.4036, -0.3798, -0.38, -0.3921, -0.4018, -0.397, -0.3875, -0.418, -0.4229, -0.3879, -0.3925, -0.4067, -0.3806, -0.3849, -0.3451, -0.362, -0.3863, -0.384, -0.3702, -0.3677, -0.3651, -0.3608, -0.3258, -0.3342, -0.3583, -0.3703, -0.3649, -0.3613, -0.3649, -0.3578, -0.3804, -0.4025, -0.3994, -0.3855, -0.3869, -0.3976, -0.3972, -0.3798, -0.3521, -0.3594, -0.3536, -0.3427, -0.3292, -0.3319, -0.3263, -0.3232, -0.3054, -0.3167]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985319514423324751", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T12:13:52+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR HAS SIGNED A 15 YEAR DEAL WITH AMAZON AWS. YOU WERE WARNED.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish CIFR on a 15-year AWS deal; author claims to have predicted this.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BREAKING: CIFR HAS SIGNED A 15 YEAR DEAL WITH AMAZON AWS.\n\nYOU WERE WARNED.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17870685558967525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17650590329892613, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001873134261822229, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004074086552571354, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0008694547525396334, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015414367849450272, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01185363741888057, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026398550515791208, "ret_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13386269183511867, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11551110436719125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002780567351014951, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021132154818942372, "ret_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22230728664329846, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18318864291642278, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026488112365360417, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04176745496341172, "ret_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24097930934868328, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19673455797403616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018659475646688017, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0255852757279591, "ret_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28906954027745524, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2902161127095446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417521617954206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04856409405004358, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2249560978798345, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22230728664329846, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18318864291642278, "price_path": [-0.7711, -0.786, -0.7913, -0.7909, -0.7926, -0.7847, -0.7663, -0.7711, -0.7342, -0.7469, -0.7386, -0.7408, -0.7197, -0.7083, -0.6872, -0.6929, -0.6916, -0.6643, -0.6643, -0.6344, -0.6437, -0.6749, -0.6696, -0.6608, -0.5949, -0.5496, -0.562, -0.5233, -0.5233, -0.4943, -0.4561, -0.4793, -0.4605, -0.3866, -0.3783, -0.3787, -0.4877, -0.496, -0.4442, -0.4468, -0.4464, -0.3932, -0.3541, -0.326, -0.308, -0.2267, -0.2096, -0.2544, -0.1063, -0.0822, -0.076, -0.1775, -0.1757, -0.1252, -0.2058, -0.2922, -0.2419, -0.0923, -0.0975, -0.123, -0.1393, -0.1621, -0.1806, 0.0, -0.011, 0.0857, -0.0461, -0.0909, -0.1366, -0.1797, -0.2364, -0.344, -0.3691, -0.3695, -0.3594, -0.3576, -0.3603, -0.3783, -0.2658, -0.2302, -0.1586, -0.1586, -0.1059, -0.1349, -0.225, -0.1815, -0.1287, -0.1529, -0.1441, -0.1406, -0.188, -0.1705, -0.2509, -0.3524, -0.3414, -0.3678, -0.3344, -0.2878, -0.2821, -0.301, -0.2873, -0.2873, -0.3326, -0.3374, -0.359, -0.3515, -0.3515, -0.2882, -0.2021, -0.2293, -0.2935, -0.2728, -0.2693, -0.2232, -0.1982, -0.2034, -0.2302, -0.174, -0.174, -0.2127, -0.2214, -0.2359, -0.228, -0.2755, -0.1762, -0.1665, -0.2223, -0.2988, -0.3054, -0.2856, -0.3739, -0.442, -0.3528, -0.2636, -0.2487, -0.2847, -0.2926, -0.2786, -0.2786, -0.3128, -0.3225, -0.3058, -0.3563, -0.3313, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2759, -0.3146, -0.3076, -0.3537, -0.2953, -0.3344, -0.4016, -0.3713, -0.3866, -0.3801, -0.3976, -0.3814, -0.3348, -0.337, -0.3554, -0.3568, -0.3844, -0.3458, -0.3462, -0.3023, -0.3695, -0.3961, -0.4721, -0.4345, -0.4446, -0.4367, -0.4367, -0.4134, -0.3844, -0.3225, -0.2812, -0.2737, -0.2197, -0.1894, -0.2091, -0.2381, -0.1489, -0.1525, -0.2074, -0.1459, -0.1788, -0.2004, -0.2021, -0.2417]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978809985057337734", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T13:07:19+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Do not bet against this team. More to come.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BKKT on share-class simplification reducing institutional barriers; decisive 'do not bet against' endorsement.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today we announced that we are collapsing the dual class share structure at Bakkt in to a single class of common. This will reduce the barriers for institutional shareholders to take positions. Akshay is an absolute wiz at this stuff. Do not bet against this team. More to come.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Major simplification underway → $BKKT moving to a single share class effective ~Nov 03 2025.\n\nStreamlined. Stronger. Shareholder-aligned.\n\nYou asked, we delivered  ✅\n\n@Bakkt to the grind ⚒️\n\n🔗 https://t.co/mHbnzes6t7", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09297571514121983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09297571514121983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08611879084843066, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08611879084843066, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856924292789168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856924292789168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08812262141698601, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08812262141698601, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09379892026333769, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09379892026333769, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056762988463516795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056762988463516795, "ret_p1w": -0.2699872590090674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2699872590090674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2868194156914968, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2868194156914968, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016832156682429433, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016832156682429433, "ret_p1m": -0.5363984952457084, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5363984952457084, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.553487848303206, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.553487848303206, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708935305749759, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708935305749759, "ret_p3m": -0.521839116635022, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.521839116635022, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5750905035951193, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5750905035951193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251386960097236, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251386960097236, "ret_p6m": -0.7923371699215176, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7923371699215176, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8266808506037875, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.8266808506037875, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343680682269895, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343680682269895, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5363984952457084, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.553487848303206, "alpha_c_stated": -0.553487848303206, "price_path": [-0.3903, -0.4281, -0.3686, -0.4628, -0.5387, -0.5614, -0.7446, -0.7453, -0.7471, -0.7617, -0.7614, -0.7566, -0.7504, -0.7456, -0.7239, -0.7466, -0.7604, -0.7504, -0.7548, -0.7448, -0.764, -0.7826, -0.7883, -0.7969, -0.7737, -0.786, -0.7729, -0.7801, -0.778, -0.776, -0.776, -0.765, -0.7806, -0.7857, -0.7824, -0.7711, -0.7515, -0.7596, -0.7461, -0.7568, -0.753, -0.7402, -0.753, -0.7418, -0.7333, -0.6245, -0.5609, -0.4891, -0.5241, -0.5415, -0.3474, -0.1405, -0.1277, 0.1218, 0.0314, 0.0473, -0.0059, 0.0156, -0.024, -0.1586, -0.0368, 0.1504, 0.093, 0.0, -0.0881, -0.0986, -0.1791, -0.2822, -0.27, -0.2633, -0.2577, -0.317, -0.3351, -0.4133, -0.2932, -0.3134, -0.4488, -0.3905, -0.4557, -0.3957, -0.4646, -0.4516, -0.448, -0.5269, -0.5364, -0.5711, -0.5627, -0.5663, -0.623, -0.6432, -0.6015, -0.6074, -0.6197, -0.6197, -0.5972, -0.6462, -0.6455, -0.6253, -0.6015, -0.6424, -0.6741, -0.6662, -0.6718, -0.6766, -0.7047, -0.7272, -0.7152, -0.7443, -0.7374, -0.7303, -0.73, -0.7359, -0.7241, -0.7241, -0.7308, -0.7338, -0.7405, -0.7436, -0.7436, -0.7126, -0.6222, -0.6051, -0.6133, -0.5796, -0.5842, -0.5093, -0.5218, -0.4633, -0.5047, -0.4531, -0.4531, -0.5872, -0.5834, -0.6036, -0.6112, -0.646, -0.6184, -0.6296, -0.6519, -0.658, -0.6868, -0.6889, -0.7034, -0.7471, -0.6958, -0.7088, -0.7287, -0.7344, -0.743, -0.7249, -0.7249, -0.7379, -0.7354, -0.7344, -0.7333, -0.7407, -0.742, -0.7221, -0.7344, -0.7558, -0.7456, -0.755, -0.7395, -0.7458, -0.7627, -0.7645, -0.764, -0.7627, -0.7648, -0.7586, -0.7538, -0.754, -0.7719, -0.7701, -0.7816, -0.7737, -0.7888, -0.786, -0.7964, -0.813, -0.8225, -0.812, -0.8151, -0.8117, -0.8117, -0.8051, -0.8051, -0.7969, -0.7857, -0.7923]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964052917692104842", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T19:48:00+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have IREN shares across 3 different accounts and I also have unvested RSUs and options", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds IREN shares in 3 accounts plus unvested RSUs and options; live long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lazarus_Capital Yes I have IREN shares across 3 different accounts and I also have unvested RSUs and options", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred lol so your position is even bigger?!?!? 🤯", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lazarus_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.0007648358721007442, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007648358721007442, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0036696332499456252, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019419468908547288, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002904797377844881, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018654633036446544, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015296717442014884, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015296717442014884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0009270969170906973, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0007759152799513558, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024567686612921857, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007537564642501327, "ret_p1w": 0.2986615518115765, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2986615518115765, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.28294851062907056, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2849061168048226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015713041182505938, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013755435006753913, "ret_p1m": 1.2084130341278287, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.2084130341278287, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.1678839311873435, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.1932108918418793, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.040529102940485284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015202142285949405, "ret_p3m": 0.6810707352103347, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6810707352103347, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6215160961585346, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6687043406605064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955463905180003, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012366394549828241, "ret_p6m": 0.5827915867470559, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5827915867470559, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.516236963808653, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6095720590091319, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655462293840286, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026780472262076027, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 1.2084130341278287, "alpha_spy_stated": 1.1678839311873435, "alpha_c_stated": 1.1932108918418793, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.6061, -0.6111, -0.6241, -0.6023, -0.6264, -0.6252, -0.6252, -0.5996, -0.5924, -0.5587, -0.5461, -0.4987, -0.4646, -0.4428, -0.4176, -0.4011, -0.3568, -0.3568, -0.3518, -0.3541, -0.3514, -0.3488, -0.3793, -0.3392, -0.3545, -0.338, -0.3098, -0.314, -0.3059, -0.2891, -0.2738, -0.3063, -0.3224, -0.366, -0.3962, -0.3828, -0.3839, -0.4111, -0.3698, -0.3709, -0.2994, -0.2899, -0.2945, -0.3128, -0.3182, -0.322, -0.2704, -0.247, -0.2082, -0.2837, -0.2444, -0.2509, -0.1805, -0.1159, -0.1208, -0.1451, -0.1189, 0.0126, 0.0126, 0.1132, 0.0788, -0.0008, 0.0, 0.0015, 0.1545, 0.286, 0.2562, 0.2987, 0.4203, 0.3939, 0.4493, 0.3889, 0.4776, 0.6023, 0.5973, 0.8027, 0.7702, 0.6008, 0.7564, 0.7946, 0.8004, 0.7981, 0.9296, 1.2084, 1.3587, 1.2979, 1.4417, 1.2857, 1.4528, 1.66, 1.5996, 1.3644, 1.322, 1.2646, 1.1107, 0.982, 1.1361, 1.4054, 1.4853, 1.387, 1.3105, 1.2264, 1.3231, 1.5908, 1.548, 1.922, 1.5606, 1.3855, 1.301, 1.1943, 1.13, 0.8604, 0.7732, 0.813, 0.8681, 0.7526, 0.6623, 0.6161, 0.8543, 0.8153, 0.8528, 0.8528, 0.8283, 0.8543, 0.5725, 0.6811, 0.7763, 0.7098, 0.7721, 0.7912, 0.6795, 0.6803, 0.5346, 0.3568, 0.3992, 0.2918, 0.369, 0.5266, 0.6076, 0.6088, 0.6054, 0.6054, 0.5411, 0.5071, 0.4646, 0.4444, 0.4444, 0.6329, 0.8447, 0.7556, 0.6683, 0.7468, 0.7602, 0.9247, 1.0264, 1.0222, 0.9843, 1.2111, 1.2111, 1.075, 1.0451, 0.9985, 1.1675, 1.0023, 1.2941, 1.4069, 1.2883, 1.0551, 1.0298, 1.0799, 0.7185, 0.5216, 0.5996, 0.7648, 0.6417, 0.6317, 0.5308, 0.6145, 0.6145, 0.5667, 0.6092, 0.6554, 0.5289, 0.6199, 0.738, 0.6837, 0.6918, 0.566, 0.5828]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978277854849732707", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T01:52:49+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not too late to study up.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; implies further upside for those who study the company now.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives No, it was inevitable if you actually understood the company in advance. Not too late to study up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN Keeps going….\n\nInsanity!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.02324204359573634, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02324204359573634, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027661951193364454, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02324204359573634, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004419907597628114, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09046780262113119, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09046780262113119, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08365757553985509, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06266914997483364, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810227081276099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02779865264629755, "ret_p1w": -0.23756988420671643, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.23756988420671643, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24152368135541202, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22235576752550867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0039537971486955925, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015214116681207757, "ret_p1m": -0.28434835064013175, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28434835064013175, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.29467661063539297, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.27946486431709905, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328259995261213, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004883486323032704, "ret_p3m": -0.25963519644455413, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25963519644455413, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3078095339649557, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3017697708111825, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817433752040157, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042134574366628375, "ret_p6m": -0.4548396654424246, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4548396654424246, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4828195225876212, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4273073940077301, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.027979857145196574, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0275322714346945, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.28434835064013175, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.29467661063539297, "alpha_c_stated": -0.27946486431709905, "price_path": [-0.7361, -0.733, -0.7265, -0.7207, -0.7332, -0.7393, -0.7561, -0.7677, -0.7626, -0.763, -0.7735, -0.7576, -0.758, -0.7305, -0.7268, -0.7286, -0.7357, -0.7377, -0.7392, -0.7193, -0.7104, -0.6954, -0.7245, -0.7093, -0.7118, -0.6848, -0.6599, -0.6618, -0.6712, -0.6611, -0.6105, -0.6105, -0.5718, -0.585, -0.6156, -0.6153, -0.6147, -0.5559, -0.5053, -0.5168, -0.5004, -0.4537, -0.4638, -0.4425, -0.4657, -0.4316, -0.3836, -0.3856, -0.3066, -0.3191, -0.3842, -0.3244, -0.3096, -0.3074, -0.3083, -0.2577, -0.1505, -0.0927, -0.1161, -0.0608, -0.1208, -0.0565, 0.0232, 0.0, -0.0905, -0.1068, -0.1289, -0.1881, -0.2376, -0.1783, -0.0747, -0.044, -0.0818, -0.1112, -0.1436, -0.1064, -0.0034, -0.0199, 0.124, -0.015, -0.0824, -0.1149, -0.1559, -0.1806, -0.2843, -0.3179, -0.3026, -0.2814, -0.3258, -0.3605, -0.3783, -0.2867, -0.3017, -0.2873, -0.2873, -0.2967, -0.2867, -0.3951, -0.3533, -0.3167, -0.3423, -0.3183, -0.311, -0.3539, -0.3536, -0.4097, -0.4781, -0.4618, -0.5031, -0.4734, -0.4128, -0.3816, -0.3811, -0.3825, -0.3825, -0.4072, -0.4203, -0.4366, -0.4444, -0.4444, -0.3719, -0.2904, -0.3247, -0.3583, -0.328, -0.3229, -0.2596, -0.2205, -0.2221, -0.2367, -0.1495, -0.1495, -0.2018, -0.2133, -0.2312, -0.1662, -0.2298, -0.1175, -0.0741, -0.1197, -0.2095, -0.2192, -0.1999, -0.3389, -0.4147, -0.3847, -0.3211, -0.3685, -0.3723, -0.4112, -0.3789, -0.3789, -0.3973, -0.381, -0.3632, -0.4119, -0.3769, -0.3314, -0.3523, -0.3492, -0.3976, -0.3911, -0.4285, -0.3551, -0.4098, -0.4601, -0.4287, -0.4392, -0.3825, -0.3914, -0.3883, -0.3389, -0.368, -0.3791, -0.3872, -0.3926, -0.3798, -0.3951, -0.3906, -0.4491, -0.4838, -0.5349, -0.4957, -0.4985, -0.4885, -0.4885, -0.4832, -0.4743, -0.4582, -0.4548]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982532687412998466", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T19:40:01+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin = apolitical\n\nChoose wisely", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implicitly bullish BTC over fiat currencies given inflation and rate-cut environment.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@philbak1 Fiat = political\nBitcoin = apolitical\n\nChoose wisely", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Stocks on all time highs\n\nGold on all time highs\n\nFederal debt on all time highs\n\nFive year cumulative CPI inflation of 24% (!!!)\n\nCan someone explain to me as if I were a young child or golden retriever how it is appropriate to CUT RATES in this environment?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "philbak1", "ret_m1d": -0.027036666800389964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027036666800389964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01537656428503309, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01537656428503309, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660102515356874, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660102515356874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01019252462848308, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01019252462848308, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012848540647562912, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012848540647562912, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002656016019079832, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002656016019079832, "ret_p1w": -0.06634988841860567, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06634988841860567, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06357721030414532, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06357721030414532, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027726781144603585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027726781144603585, "ret_p1m": -0.23464419165410333, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23464419165410333, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21972976451348858, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21972976451348858, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01491442714061475, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01491442714061475, "ret_p3m": -0.21606221667369285, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21606221667369285, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22449125513554213, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22449125513554213, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.00842903846184928, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00842903846184928, "ret_p6m": -0.33093916085917197, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.33093916085917197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3642837742226669, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3642837742226669, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344613363494924, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344613363494924, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.23464419165410333, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.21972976451348858, "alpha_c_stated": -0.21972976451348858, "price_path": [0.0325, 0.0144, -0.007, 0.0083, 0.0002, 0.008, 0.0296, 0.0225, 0.0404, 0.053, 0.0808, 0.0372, 0.0287, 0.0187, -0.0113, 0.0014, -0.0149, 0.0241, -0.035, -0.0203, -0.0254, -0.0138, -0.05, -0.0427, -0.0256, -0.021, -0.0298, -0.0304, -0.0179, -0.0227, -0.0014, 0.0122, 0.0174, 0.0116, 0.0239, 0.0206, 0.0264, 0.0138, -0.012, -0.0184, -0.0069, -0.0444, -0.0386, 0.0025, -0.0006, 0.0397, 0.0575, 0.0714, 0.0932, 0.0642, 0.0809, 0.0665, -0.0079, 0.0101, -0.0088, -0.0292, -0.052, -0.067, -0.0309, -0.0494, -0.0564, -0.0355, -0.027, 0.0, -0.0102, -0.0356, -0.0509, -0.04, -0.0663, -0.1098, -0.0896, -0.1123, -0.0942, -0.0712, -0.0975, -0.1092, -0.1264, -0.1728, -0.193, -0.1855, -0.1985, -0.2409, -0.2544, -0.2265, -0.2346, -0.2068, -0.2001, -0.2033, -0.2436, -0.1995, -0.1804, -0.1926, -0.2167, -0.2057, -0.1878, -0.1936, -0.1893, -0.209, -0.2427, -0.2302, -0.2451, -0.2511, -0.228, -0.2246, -0.234, -0.2323, -0.2356, -0.235, -0.2364, -0.2251, -0.2332, -0.2225, -0.2118, -0.1773, -0.1787, -0.1999, -0.2024, -0.2069, -0.2009, -0.1647, -0.1506, -0.1627, -0.1629, -0.189, -0.2262, -0.2168, -0.2161, -0.2157, -0.2265, -0.2192, -0.2185, -0.259, -0.2628, -0.3105, -0.3372, -0.3601, -0.4506, -0.3817, -0.3855, -0.3972, -0.413, -0.4197, -0.3966, -0.3967, -0.4086, -0.4179, -0.4133, -0.4041, -0.4338, -0.4385, -0.4045, -0.4089, -0.4227, -0.3973, -0.4016, -0.3629, -0.3792, -0.4029, -0.4006, -0.3872, -0.3848, -0.3823, -0.3781, -0.344, -0.3522, -0.3757, -0.3874, -0.382, -0.3786, -0.3821, -0.3751, -0.3972, -0.4187, -0.4156, -0.4021, -0.4034, -0.4139, -0.4135, -0.3966, -0.3696, -0.3768, -0.3711, -0.3605, -0.3473, -0.35, -0.3445, -0.3415, -0.3242, -0.3351, -0.3309]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1978804599344550138", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T12:45:55+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DEO is exactly the kind of situation I like. 👀", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish DEO at all-time low multiples; showing signs of life after trading like death.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Diageo is the largest spirits producer in the world. It owns Guinness, Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, Captain Morgan, and other global brands. It’s trading like death. But it’s showing signs of life down here at all time low multiples. DEO is exactly the kind of situation I like. 👀", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03496490549333442, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03496490549333442, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04182182978612359, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04182182978612359, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856924292789168, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856924292789168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015382144324731062, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015382144324731062, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009705845478379382, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009705845478379382, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056762988463516795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056762988463516795, "ret_p1w": 0.007477915503401933, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007477915503401933, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0093542411790275, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0093542411790275, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016832156682429433, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016832156682429433, "ret_p1m": -0.01613081751569856, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01613081751569856, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03322017057319615, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03322017057319615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708935305749759, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708935305749759, "ret_p3m": -0.06470023938146019, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06470023938146019, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11795162634155743, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11795162634155743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251386960097236, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251386960097236, "ret_p6m": -0.19449609389120026, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19449609389120026, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22883977457347016, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22883977457347016, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343680682269895, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343680682269895, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.01613081751569856, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03322017057319615, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03322017057319615, "price_path": [0.0364, 0.0693, 0.0751, 0.0696, 0.0849, 0.0559, 0.0573, 0.0421, -0.0073, -0.0123, -0.0051, 0.0307, 0.0841, 0.1047, 0.1095, 0.1305, 0.1294, 0.1247, 0.122, 0.1245, 0.1213, 0.1561, 0.168, 0.1594, 0.1688, 0.1517, 0.1266, 0.1354, 0.1368, 0.1334, 0.1334, 0.1219, 0.115, 0.1122, 0.1174, 0.0783, 0.0641, 0.0571, 0.0509, 0.0309, 0.0181, 0.0142, 0.0039, -0.0048, -0.0104, -0.0273, -0.0237, -0.0325, -0.051, -0.0458, -0.0371, -0.0328, -0.0216, -0.0235, -0.0243, -0.0435, -0.0281, -0.0294, -0.033, -0.0303, -0.0306, -0.0391, -0.035, 0.0, 0.0154, 0.0189, 0.0187, 0.0174, 0.0075, 0.0008, -0.0095, -0.0219, -0.0462, -0.0536, -0.0422, -0.028, -0.0321, -0.0234, -0.0925, -0.0557, -0.0115, 0.0123, 0.0087, -0.0011, -0.0161, -0.0329, -0.0514, -0.0778, -0.0772, -0.0432, -0.0559, -0.0518, -0.0573, -0.0573, -0.0472, -0.0395, -0.0457, -0.0425, -0.0693, -0.08, -0.0854, -0.1118, -0.1048, -0.087, -0.0734, -0.0752, -0.0703, -0.0661, -0.0807, -0.0727, -0.0965, -0.1116, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.1022, -0.1029, -0.0993, -0.1028, -0.1028, -0.0942, -0.0687, -0.0795, -0.1147, -0.0957, -0.0803, -0.0547, -0.0647, -0.0497, -0.0707, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.0751, -0.0548, -0.0517, -0.0485, -0.0663, -0.0768, -0.077, -0.0532, -0.0349, -0.0433, -0.0316, 0.0115, 0.0099, 0.0076, 0.0099, 0.0305, 0.0485, 0.0406, 0.0314, 0.0314, 0.0031, -0.0102, 0.0034, 0.0439, 0.0388, 0.0623, -0.104, -0.1106, -0.0692, -0.1001, -0.1251, -0.1445, -0.144, -0.1493, -0.1464, -0.1539, -0.1713, -0.2018, -0.1953, -0.2002, -0.2012, -0.218, -0.2241, -0.2317, -0.229, -0.2463, -0.2299, -0.2331, -0.2296, -0.2361, -0.2257, -0.2238, -0.2374, -0.2374, -0.2206, -0.2291, -0.1982, -0.1833, -0.1945]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1974601333006332025", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T22:23:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "completely out of Bitcoin to sell within 2 hours of futures opening tomorrow unless the price goes to $126,000-$129,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Relays OTC desk intel: BTC supply exhausts within 2 hours of futures open tomorrow, price needs to reach $126K–$129K to restock; implicitly bullish near-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I just got off a 20 minute call with THE guy who runs the most important OTC desk. He says at the current pace they will be completely out of Bitcoin to sell within 2 hours of futures opening tomorrow unless the price goes to $126,000-$129,000 (his estimate). Things getting wild.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01635408642433056, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01635408642433056, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022754152545188755, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022754152545188755, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "ret_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06324172184046095, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06324172184046095, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1910685312545366, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1910685312545366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3070874653755761, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3070874653755761, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4268941991180939, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4268941991180939, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07600209013795056, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06324172184046095, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06324172184046095, "price_path": [-0.1076, -0.0703, -0.058, -0.0393, -0.0559, -0.0482, -0.0438, -0.0541, -0.0586, -0.0381, -0.0481, -0.0512, -0.057, -0.0547, -0.0548, -0.0555, -0.0721, -0.0916, -0.0776, -0.0851, -0.078, -0.0582, -0.0646, -0.0483, -0.0367, -0.0113, -0.0512, -0.059, -0.0681, -0.0956, -0.084, -0.0989, -0.0632, -0.1173, -0.1038, -0.1085, -0.0979, -0.131, -0.1243, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1125, -0.113, -0.1017, -0.106, -0.0865, -0.0741, -0.0693, -0.0746, -0.0634, -0.0664, -0.061, -0.0727, -0.0962, -0.1021, -0.0916, -0.1259, -0.1206, -0.083, -0.0857, -0.0489, -0.0326, -0.0199, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0112, -0.0244, -0.0925, -0.076, -0.0933, -0.112, -0.1328, -0.1466, -0.1135, -0.1305, -0.1368, -0.1177, -0.11, -0.0852, -0.0946, -0.1178, -0.1318, -0.1218, -0.1459, -0.1857, -0.1672, -0.188, -0.1714, -0.1503, -0.1744, -0.1851, -0.2008, -0.2433, -0.2618, -0.2549, -0.2668, -0.3056, -0.3179, -0.2924, -0.2999, -0.2744, -0.2683, -0.2712, -0.3081, -0.2677, -0.2503, -0.2614, -0.2835, -0.2734, -0.257, -0.2624, -0.2584, -0.2764, -0.3073, -0.2959, -0.3095, -0.3149, -0.2938, -0.2907, -0.2993, -0.2977, -0.3007, -0.3002, -0.3015, -0.2912, -0.2985, -0.2887, -0.279, -0.2474, -0.2487, -0.2681, -0.2703, -0.2745, -0.269, -0.2359, -0.223, -0.2341, -0.2343, -0.2581, -0.2921, -0.2836, -0.2829, -0.2825, -0.2925, -0.2858, -0.2851, -0.3222, -0.3256, -0.3692, -0.3937, -0.4147, -0.4974, -0.4344, -0.4379, -0.4486, -0.463, -0.4692, -0.448, -0.4482, -0.459, -0.4675, -0.4633, -0.4549, -0.482, -0.4863, -0.4552, -0.4593, -0.4719, -0.4487, -0.4526, -0.4172, -0.4321, -0.4538, -0.4517, -0.4395, -0.4372, -0.4349, -0.4311, -0.3999, -0.4074, -0.4289, -0.4396, -0.4347, -0.4316, -0.4347, -0.4284, -0.4486, -0.4682, -0.4654, -0.4531]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968023095610057154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T18:44:04+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$146,000 first sir", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Targets $146K for Bitcoin before the $155K level cited in parent; implicitly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoJelleNL $146,000 first sir", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The weekly stochastic RSI has crossed bullish again!\n\nThis signal has flashed 9 times before in this cycle, triggering an average rally of 35% 👀\n\nIf this crossover plays out similarly, we're looking at a target of $155.000 for #Bitcoin.\n\nPump it. https://t.co/QL47pSPpWZ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoJelleNL", "ret_m1d": -0.01196742856745503, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01196742856745503, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013346211946803854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013346211946803854, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013787833793488247, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013787833793488247, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0032066883445814875, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0032066883445814875, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0019643246689129423, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0019643246689129423, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012423636756685452, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012423636756685452, "ret_p1w": -0.04132622195025282, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04132622195025282, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0489759170956936, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0489759170956936, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0076496951454407824, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0076496951454407824, "ret_p1m": -0.051864585066202507, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.051864585066202507, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06249213814365895, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06249213814365895, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627553077456442, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627553077456442, "ret_p3m": -0.22742253105256993, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22742253105256993, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26325621907089936, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26325621907089936, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.035833688018329424, "bench_c_p3m": 0.035833688018329424, "ret_p6m": -0.39915296463047967, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39915296463047967, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4297729702106907, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4297729702106907, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03062000558021105, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03062000558021105, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.051864585066202507, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06249213814365895, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06249213814365895, "price_path": [-0.1041, -0.1158, -0.0964, -0.0924, -0.0812, -0.0846, -0.0835, -0.0831, -0.0954, -0.0683, -0.0616, -0.0754, -0.0731, -0.0676, -0.0472, -0.0073, 0.0058, 0.0257, 0.008, 0.0162, 0.0209, 0.0099, 0.0051, 0.027, 0.0164, 0.0131, 0.0068, 0.0093, 0.0092, 0.0085, -0.0093, -0.0302, -0.0152, -0.0231, -0.0155, 0.0056, -0.0013, 0.0162, 0.0285, 0.0556, 0.013, 0.0048, -0.0051, -0.0343, -0.022, -0.0379, 0.0003, -0.0575, -0.0431, -0.0481, -0.0368, -0.0722, -0.065, -0.0483, -0.0438, -0.0524, -0.053, -0.0408, -0.0455, -0.0247, -0.0114, -0.0063, -0.012, 0.0, -0.0032, 0.0025, -0.0099, -0.035, -0.0413, -0.0301, -0.0667, -0.061, -0.0209, -0.0239, 0.0155, 0.0328, 0.0464, 0.0677, 0.0394, 0.0557, 0.0416, -0.0311, -0.0135, -0.0319, -0.0519, -0.0741, -0.0888, -0.0535, -0.0716, -0.0783, -0.058, -0.0497, -0.0233, -0.0333, -0.0581, -0.0731, -0.0624, -0.0881, -0.1305, -0.1108, -0.133, -0.1153, -0.0928, -0.1185, -0.1299, -0.1467, -0.1921, -0.2118, -0.2045, -0.2172, -0.2586, -0.2718, -0.2445, -0.2525, -0.2253, -0.2187, -0.2219, -0.2612, -0.2182, -0.1995, -0.2114, -0.235, -0.2243, -0.2067, -0.2124, -0.2082, -0.2274, -0.2604, -0.2482, -0.2627, -0.2686, -0.246, -0.2427, -0.2519, -0.2502, -0.2534, -0.2528, -0.2542, -0.2432, -0.2511, -0.2406, -0.2302, -0.1965, -0.1978, -0.2185, -0.2209, -0.2253, -0.2195, -0.1842, -0.1704, -0.1822, -0.1825, -0.2079, -0.2442, -0.2351, -0.2343, -0.234, -0.2446, -0.2374, -0.2367, -0.2763, -0.28, -0.3265, -0.3527, -0.3751, -0.4634, -0.3962, -0.3999, -0.4112, -0.4267, -0.4332, -0.4107, -0.4108, -0.4224, -0.4315, -0.4269, -0.418, -0.447, -0.4516, -0.4184, -0.4227, -0.4362, -0.4114, -0.4155, -0.3777, -0.3937, -0.4169, -0.4146, -0.4015, -0.3992]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962145925176136111", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-31T13:30:18+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Valhalla for shareholders is near. Hold on tight.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; high probability of a major AI co-location deal by year-end is a major catalyst for shareholders.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think the odds of CIFR signing a major AI co-location deal of at least 150-450MW by the end of September are approaching 55%, or slightly better than even money. By October end, 70%. By November end, 85-90%. In summary, Valhalla for shareholders is near. Hold on tight.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08173075159625831, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08173075159625831, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08919632607113959, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09193104014174869, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010200288545490377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0252403901261693, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0252403901261693, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03065993628917707, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03120672585586126, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005966335729691963, "ret_p1w": 0.10817314966543456, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10817314966543456, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09246090907070226, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08684893416177064, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021324215503663924, "ret_p1m": 0.5144231783215147, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5144231783215147, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46751604196406005, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.41748011209231883, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0969430662291959, "ret_p3m": 1.4459135971037642, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4459135971037642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3756078311457698, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.342803927854169, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10310966924959519, "ret_p6m": 0.9963943773561028, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9963943773561028, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9075949366115521, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8923836233804547, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10401075397564807, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5144231783215147, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.46751604196406005, "alpha_c_stated": 0.41748011209231883, "price_path": [-0.5757, -0.5312, -0.5024, -0.512, -0.5096, -0.5385, -0.5529, -0.5276, -0.5577, -0.5421, -0.5421, -0.5445, -0.5757, -0.5373, -0.5373, -0.4964, -0.488, -0.4255, -0.4111, -0.3173, -0.2728, -0.2728, -0.3041, -0.2752, -0.2476, -0.25, -0.2945, -0.2752, -0.2825, -0.2464, -0.2284, -0.2356, -0.2488, -0.1659, -0.1971, -0.2007, -0.2224, -0.2596, -0.3173, -0.345, -0.3437, -0.4075, -0.3762, -0.3978, -0.3738, -0.4147, -0.4291, -0.4279, -0.4327, -0.4111, -0.3606, -0.3738, -0.2728, -0.3077, -0.2849, -0.2909, -0.2332, -0.2019, -0.1442, -0.1599, -0.1562, -0.0817, -0.0817, 0.0, -0.0252, -0.1106, -0.0962, -0.0721, 0.1082, 0.232, 0.1983, 0.3041, 0.3041, 0.3834, 0.488, 0.4243, 0.476, 0.6779, 0.7007, 0.6995, 0.4014, 0.3786, 0.5204, 0.5132, 0.5144, 0.6599, 0.7668, 0.8438, 0.893, 1.1154, 1.1623, 1.0397, 1.4447, 1.5108, 1.5276, 1.25, 1.2548, 1.393, 1.1725, 0.9363, 1.0739, 1.4832, 1.4688, 1.399, 1.3546, 1.2921, 1.2416, 1.7356, 1.7055, 1.97, 1.6094, 1.4868, 1.3618, 1.244, 1.0889, 0.7945, 0.726, 0.7248, 0.7524, 0.7572, 0.75, 0.7007, 1.0084, 1.1058, 1.3017, 1.3017, 1.4459, 1.3666, 1.1202, 1.2392, 1.3834, 1.3173, 1.3413, 1.351, 1.2212, 1.2692, 1.0493, 0.7716, 0.8017, 0.7296, 0.8209, 0.9483, 0.9639, 0.9123, 0.9495, 0.9495, 0.8257, 0.8125, 0.7536, 0.774, 0.774, 0.9471, 1.1827, 1.1082, 0.9327, 0.9892, 0.9988, 1.125, 1.1935, 1.1791, 1.1058, 1.2596, 1.2596, 1.1538, 1.1298, 1.0901, 1.1118, 0.982, 1.2536, 1.28, 1.1274, 0.9183, 0.9002, 0.9543, 0.7127, 0.5264, 0.7704, 1.0144, 1.0553, 0.9567, 0.9351, 0.9736, 0.9736, 0.8798, 0.8534, 0.899, 0.7608, 0.8293, 1.0577, 0.9964]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973770627963376092", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T15:22:43+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think it is undervalued", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on both CLSK (undervalued) and IREN (top company in space, board member); prefers IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kletstryit I think it is undervalued but I’m already on the board of IREN and that is the top company in this space", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Damn does that mean Clsk is not undervalued since not joining board?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kletstryit", "ret_m1d": -0.03632762075711782, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03632762075711782, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03517712113442584, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0370774217812041, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007498010240862829, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0528401069299429, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0528401069299429, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05285482037727973, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04590473695560915, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006935369974333749, "ret_p1w": 0.3269484608333084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3269484608333084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.32404945191272927, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3275108116013732, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005623507680647677, "ret_p1m": 0.17569345002762438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17569345002762438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1565067468642516, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19406270662234515, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018369256594720773, "ret_p3m": -0.31175694583854396, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31175694583854396, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.341373643982792, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34967371778012113, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.037916771941577165, "ret_p6m": -0.4280053070651707, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4280053070651707, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3809065505905642, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33191758208234334, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09608772498282736, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.17569345002762438, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1565067468642516, "alpha_c_stated": 0.19406270662234515, "price_path": [-0.2517, -0.2338, -0.1764, -0.148, -0.1645, -0.1678, -0.1948, -0.1697, -0.1427, -0.1559, -0.1816, -0.1519, -0.1777, -0.1849, -0.2193, -0.2054, -0.2252, -0.2457, -0.249, -0.3104, -0.2985, -0.2847, -0.2734, -0.2919, -0.3349, -0.3481, -0.3448, -0.3415, -0.3428, -0.356, -0.3501, -0.3818, -0.3732, -0.3838, -0.3514, -0.3758, -0.3606, -0.3672, -0.3692, -0.3745, -0.3745, -0.3633, -0.3765, -0.4003, -0.3897, -0.3943, -0.3613, -0.3375, -0.3263, -0.3164, -0.3203, -0.2602, -0.2444, -0.111, -0.1004, -0.0925, -0.0812, -0.0456, -0.0964, -0.144, -0.0178, -0.0423, -0.0363, 0.0, 0.0528, 0.1513, 0.1863, 0.2536, 0.3269, 0.2734, 0.3236, 0.4518, 0.5324, 0.3203, 0.2896, 0.3474, 0.2398, 0.1136, 0.1671, 0.2791, 0.3342, 0.2649, 0.2477, 0.1684, 0.1757, 0.1506, 0.0713, 0.0951, 0.0172, 0.0284, -0.0073, -0.0723, -0.1196, -0.2087, -0.2761, -0.2992, -0.286, -0.325, -0.354, -0.3573, -0.2417, -0.2193, -0.1116, -0.1116, -0.0026, -0.07, -0.0945, -0.0429, -0.0073, -0.0941, -0.0826, -0.0192, -0.0403, -0.0211, -0.0733, -0.213, -0.2166, -0.2417, -0.2602, -0.2054, -0.2008, -0.2398, -0.247, -0.247, -0.2794, -0.2919, -0.3118, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.2371, -0.1876, -0.2081, -0.212, -0.2081, -0.2332, -0.21, -0.1711, -0.1189, -0.1592, -0.1169, -0.1169, -0.1572, -0.1539, -0.1288, -0.0945, -0.1783, -0.1235, -0.1116, -0.1684, -0.218, -0.2708, -0.2497, -0.325, -0.4541, -0.3342, -0.3269, -0.3375, -0.3646, -0.3851, -0.3494, -0.3494, -0.3871, -0.3877, -0.3514, -0.3626, -0.3514, -0.3164, -0.3098, -0.3104, -0.3428, -0.3032, -0.3468, -0.2959, -0.3428, -0.3917, -0.3653, -0.3639, -0.352, -0.3692, -0.3554, -0.3382, -0.3322, -0.3474, -0.3507, -0.3791, -0.3408, -0.3672, -0.3421, -0.3857, -0.428]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973770627963376092", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T15:22:43+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm already on the board of IREN and that is the top company in this space", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on both CLSK (undervalued) and IREN (top company in space, board member); prefers IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kletstryit I think it is undervalued but I’m already on the board of IREN and that is the top company in this space", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Damn does that mean Clsk is not undervalued since not joining board?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kletstryit", "ret_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0024265815603116137, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005262809135333502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007498010240862829, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07317504082332238, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0662249574016518, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006935369974333749, "ret_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3550337399630621, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.358495099651706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005623507680647677, "ret_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27281668706563145, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.310372646823725, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018369256594720773, "ret_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21506972102407507, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22336979482140418, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.037916771941577165, "ret_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20662306804753616, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1576340995393153, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09608772498282736, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.29200339022900423, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.27281668706563145, "alpha_c_stated": 0.310372646823725, "price_path": [-0.6395, -0.6408, -0.6393, -0.6378, -0.6548, -0.6325, -0.641, -0.6319, -0.6161, -0.6185, -0.614, -0.6046, -0.5961, -0.6142, -0.6231, -0.6474, -0.6642, -0.6567, -0.6574, -0.6725, -0.6495, -0.6501, -0.6104, -0.6051, -0.6076, -0.6178, -0.6208, -0.6229, -0.5942, -0.5812, -0.5597, -0.6017, -0.5798, -0.5834, -0.5442, -0.5083, -0.5111, -0.5246, -0.51, -0.4368, -0.4368, -0.3809, -0.4, -0.4443, -0.4439, -0.443, -0.3579, -0.2848, -0.3014, -0.2778, -0.2101, -0.2248, -0.194, -0.2276, -0.1782, -0.1089, -0.1117, 0.0026, -0.0155, -0.1097, -0.0232, -0.0019, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0732, 0.2282, 0.3118, 0.278, 0.3579, 0.2712, 0.3641, 0.4794, 0.4458, 0.315, 0.2914, 0.2595, 0.1739, 0.1023, 0.188, 0.3377, 0.3822, 0.3275, 0.285, 0.2382, 0.292, 0.4409, 0.4171, 0.6251, 0.4241, 0.3267, 0.2797, 0.2203, 0.1846, 0.0347, -0.0138, 0.0083, 0.0389, -0.0253, -0.0755, -0.1012, 0.0313, 0.0096, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0168, 0.0313, -0.1255, -0.0651, -0.0121, -0.0491, -0.0145, -0.0038, -0.0659, -0.0655, -0.1465, -0.2454, -0.2218, -0.2816, -0.2386, -0.151, -0.1059, -0.1053, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.1429, -0.1618, -0.1855, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.0919, 0.0259, -0.0236, -0.0722, -0.0285, -0.0211, 0.0704, 0.127, 0.1246, 0.1036, 0.2297, 0.2297, 0.154, 0.1374, 0.1114, 0.2054, 0.1136, 0.2758, 0.3386, 0.2726, 0.1429, 0.1289, 0.1567, -0.0442, -0.1538, -0.1104, -0.0185, -0.087, -0.0925, -0.1487, -0.1021, -0.1021, -0.1287, -0.1051, -0.0793, -0.1497, -0.0991, -0.0334, -0.0636, -0.0591, -0.1291, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0676, -0.1466, -0.2195, -0.174, -0.1893, -0.1072, -0.1202, -0.1157, -0.0442, -0.0863, -0.1023, -0.114, -0.1219, -0.1034, -0.1255, -0.1189, -0.2035, -0.2537]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978988079957352750", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T00:55:00+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am not scurrred", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish IREN view; not concerned by the pullback.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SteveUrkelDude I am not scurrred", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Charts like $IREN are exactly why I don't understand the panic today.. \nIt hit a $74-75 target, and pulled back into the 9EMA. \nHolding the 9EMA on pullbacks is still VERY strong..\nUntil there is bigger market-wide breakdowns, I just don't see the need to panic. https://t.co/AoaaQi2uMV", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SteveUrkelDude", "ret_m1d": 0.018280642095459987, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018280642095459987, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0239249024333672, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02632971245465754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644260337907214, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008049070359197552, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024703556815617422, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024703556815617422, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.035104057078540696, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03639389266996906, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011690335854351641, "ret_p1w": 0.03590250759798219, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03590250759798219, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01654640437271837, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01807956080279971, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01782294679518248, "ret_p1m": -0.2192029167606938, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2192029167606938, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22112947737065747, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20521296279967427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013989953961019541, "ret_p3m": -0.12911725946926955, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12911725946926955, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17127604478109504, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1704983238083322, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042158785311825486, "bench_c_p3m": 0.041381064339062634, "ret_p6m": -0.2906785436601894, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2906785436601894, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.32923513581076336, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2892802142409501, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0013983294192393414, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2192029167606938, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22112947737065747, "alpha_c_stated": -0.20521296279967427, "price_path": [-0.6938, -0.6873, -0.7013, -0.7082, -0.7269, -0.74, -0.7342, -0.7347, -0.7464, -0.7286, -0.7291, -0.6983, -0.6942, -0.6961, -0.7041, -0.7064, -0.708, -0.6858, -0.6757, -0.659, -0.6915, -0.6746, -0.6774, -0.6471, -0.6192, -0.6214, -0.6318, -0.6206, -0.5639, -0.5639, -0.5206, -0.5354, -0.5697, -0.5693, -0.5687, -0.5028, -0.4461, -0.459, -0.4407, -0.3883, -0.3997, -0.3758, -0.4018, -0.3636, -0.3099, -0.3121, -0.2236, -0.2376, -0.3106, -0.2436, -0.2271, -0.2246, -0.2256, -0.169, -0.0489, 0.0158, -0.0104, 0.0515, -0.0156, 0.0563, 0.1456, 0.1196, 0.0183, 0.0, -0.0247, -0.091, -0.1464, -0.08, 0.0359, 0.0703, 0.028, -0.0049, -0.0412, 0.0005, 0.1158, 0.0973, 0.2584, 0.1028, 0.0273, -0.0091, -0.055, -0.0827, -0.1988, -0.2363, -0.2192, -0.1955, -0.2452, -0.2841, -0.304, -0.2014, -0.2182, -0.2021, -0.2021, -0.2126, -0.2014, -0.3228, -0.276, -0.235, -0.2637, -0.2368, -0.2286, -0.2767, -0.2764, -0.3391, -0.4157, -0.3974, -0.4437, -0.4104, -0.3426, -0.3076, -0.3071, -0.3086, -0.3086, -0.3363, -0.351, -0.3692, -0.378, -0.378, -0.2968, -0.2055, -0.2439, -0.2815, -0.2477, -0.2419, -0.1711, -0.1273, -0.1291, -0.1454, -0.0478, -0.0478, -0.1064, -0.1192, -0.1393, -0.0665, -0.1377, -0.012, 0.0366, -0.0145, -0.115, -0.1258, -0.1042, -0.2599, -0.3447, -0.3111, -0.24, -0.293, -0.2973, -0.3407, -0.3047, -0.3047, -0.3253, -0.307, -0.2871, -0.3416, -0.3024, -0.2515, -0.2749, -0.2714, -0.3256, -0.3183, -0.3602, -0.278, -0.3392, -0.3956, -0.3603, -0.3722, -0.3086, -0.3187, -0.3152, -0.2599, -0.2925, -0.3048, -0.3139, -0.32, -0.3057, -0.3228, -0.3177, -0.3832, -0.4221, -0.4792, -0.4354, -0.4386, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.4214, -0.4114, -0.3934, -0.3897, -0.3524, -0.2907]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986480822275514580", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T17:08:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm highly confident we will all wish we had smash bought corn", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; believes the $98K-$102K buying window is closing and prices will move significantly higher soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am getting the very strong feeling deep in my bones that we are rapidly running out of time to buy Bitcoin in the $98,000-$102,000 area. Could be hours, could be weeks. Maybe up to a month. But at some point soon, I'm highly confident we will all wish we had smash bought corn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025572694078963787, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025572694078963787, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014727055213435314, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014727055213435314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845638865528473, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010845638865528473, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020445121741957006, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020445121741957006, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01946064856318186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01946064856318186, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000984473178775147, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000984473178775147, "ret_p1w": -0.015831949325052497, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015831949325052497, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018412805944333144, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018412805944333144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002580856619280647, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002580856619280647, "ret_p1m": -0.11760493237800451, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11760493237800451, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14054940966984486, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14054940966984486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294447729184035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02294447729184035, "ret_p3m": -0.25338021287827583, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25338021287827583, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28509304747796804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28509304747796804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03171283459969221, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03171283459969221, "ret_p6m": -0.22825266367769725, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22825266367769725, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.309473766640206, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.309473766640206, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122110296250873, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08122110296250873, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11760493237800451, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14054940966984486, "alpha_c_stated": -0.14054940966984486, "price_path": [0.1721, 0.1863, 0.2176, 0.1684, 0.1589, 0.1476, 0.1138, 0.1281, 0.1097, 0.1537, 0.0871, 0.1037, 0.0979, 0.111, 0.0702, 0.0785, 0.0977, 0.1029, 0.093, 0.0923, 0.1063, 0.101, 0.1249, 0.1402, 0.1461, 0.1396, 0.1534, 0.1497, 0.1563, 0.142, 0.113, 0.1058, 0.1187, 0.0765, 0.083, 0.1293, 0.1259, 0.1712, 0.1913, 0.207, 0.2315, 0.1989, 0.2177, 0.2014, 0.1176, 0.1379, 0.1167, 0.0936, 0.068, 0.051, 0.0917, 0.0708, 0.0631, 0.0866, 0.0961, 0.1265, 0.1151, 0.0864, 0.0691, 0.0815, 0.0518, 0.0029, 0.0256, 0.0, 0.0204, 0.0463, 0.0167, 0.0036, -0.0158, -0.0681, -0.0909, -0.0825, -0.0971, -0.1448, -0.16, -0.1286, -0.1378, -0.1064, -0.0989, -0.1025, -0.1479, -0.0982, -0.0767, -0.0904, -0.1176, -0.1052, -0.085, -0.0916, -0.0868, -0.1089, -0.1469, -0.1328, -0.1496, -0.1564, -0.1303, -0.1265, -0.1371, -0.1351, -0.1389, -0.1382, -0.1398, -0.1271, -0.1362, -0.1241, -0.1121, -0.0732, -0.0747, -0.0986, -0.1014, -0.1065, -0.0998, -0.059, -0.0432, -0.0568, -0.057, -0.0864, -0.1282, -0.1177, -0.1169, -0.1165, -0.1287, -0.1204, -0.1196, -0.1652, -0.1695, -0.2232, -0.2534, -0.2792, -0.381, -0.3035, -0.3078, -0.3209, -0.3387, -0.3463, -0.3203, -0.3204, -0.3337, -0.3443, -0.339, -0.3287, -0.3621, -0.3674, -0.3291, -0.3341, -0.3496, -0.3211, -0.3258, -0.2822, -0.3007, -0.3274, -0.3248, -0.3097, -0.307, -0.3041, -0.2994, -0.261, -0.2703, -0.2967, -0.3099, -0.3038, -0.3, -0.3039, -0.2961, -0.3209, -0.3451, -0.3417, -0.3264, -0.328, -0.3397, -0.3393, -0.3202, -0.2898, -0.2979, -0.2915, -0.2796, -0.2647, -0.2677, -0.2616, -0.2581, -0.2386, -0.251, -0.2463, -0.228, -0.2274, -0.2354, -0.2363, -0.2463, -0.252, -0.2468, -0.2283]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1973213833633391031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T02:30:13+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin stays open (and likes to run)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC during US government shutdowns; implies price tends to rally in that context.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When the US Government shuts down, Bitcoin stays open (and likes to run).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03870952533745331, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03870952533745331, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03531352491579576, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03531352491579576, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033960004216575523, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033960004216575523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017128920845327356, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017128920845327356, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015977096048641393, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015977096048641393, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151824796685963, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001151824796685963, "ret_p1w": 0.03966270502729863, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03966270502729863, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03269136162911623, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03269136162911623, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971343398182395, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971343398182395, "ret_p1m": -0.0871763684657132, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0871763684657132, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10420093001781816, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10420093001781816, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024561552104966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017024561552104966, "ret_p3m": -0.2655800532334659, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2655800532334659, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2976430588139839, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2976430588139839, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032063005580518, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032063005580518, "ret_p6m": -0.4202086341513168, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4202086341513168, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.390757143412362, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.390757143412362, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945149073895481, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02945149073895481, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0871763684657132, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10420093001781816, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10420093001781816, "price_path": [-0.0895, -0.0872, -0.0817, -0.0617, -0.0224, -0.0095, 0.0101, -0.0073, 0.0008, 0.0054, -0.0054, -0.0102, 0.0113, 0.0009, -0.0024, -0.0085, -0.0061, -0.0061, -0.0069, -0.0244, -0.0449, -0.0301, -0.038, -0.0305, -0.0097, -0.0165, 0.0007, 0.0128, 0.0396, -0.0024, -0.0105, -0.0202, -0.049, -0.0369, -0.0525, -0.015, -0.0718, -0.0577, -0.0626, -0.0514, -0.0863, -0.0792, -0.0628, -0.0584, -0.0668, -0.0674, -0.0554, -0.06, -0.0396, -0.0265, -0.0215, -0.027, -0.0152, -0.0184, -0.0127, -0.0249, -0.0497, -0.0559, -0.0448, -0.0809, -0.0753, -0.0358, -0.0387, 0.0, 0.0171, 0.0305, 0.0514, 0.0236, 0.0397, 0.0258, -0.0458, -0.0285, -0.0466, -0.0663, -0.0882, -0.1027, -0.0679, -0.0857, -0.0924, -0.0723, -0.0642, -0.0382, -0.048, -0.0724, -0.0872, -0.0766, -0.102, -0.1438, -0.1244, -0.1462, -0.1288, -0.1066, -0.1319, -0.1432, -0.1597, -0.2044, -0.2238, -0.2166, -0.2291, -0.2698, -0.2828, -0.256, -0.2639, -0.2371, -0.2306, -0.2337, -0.2725, -0.2301, -0.2117, -0.2234, -0.2466, -0.2361, -0.2188, -0.2244, -0.2203, -0.2392, -0.2716, -0.2596, -0.274, -0.2797, -0.2574, -0.2542, -0.2633, -0.2616, -0.2648, -0.2642, -0.2656, -0.2547, -0.2625, -0.2521, -0.2419, -0.2087, -0.21, -0.2304, -0.2328, -0.2371, -0.2314, -0.1966, -0.1831, -0.1947, -0.1949, -0.2199, -0.2557, -0.2467, -0.246, -0.2456, -0.2561, -0.249, -0.2483, -0.2873, -0.2909, -0.3368, -0.3625, -0.3846, -0.4715, -0.4053, -0.409, -0.4202, -0.4354, -0.4419, -0.4197, -0.4198, -0.4311, -0.4402, -0.4357, -0.4268, -0.4554, -0.4599, -0.4272, -0.4315, -0.4447, -0.4203, -0.4244, -0.3872, -0.4029, -0.4257, -0.4235, -0.4106, -0.4083, -0.4059, -0.4019, -0.3691, -0.377, -0.3995, -0.4108, -0.4056, -0.4023, -0.4057, -0.399, -0.4202]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966487742130573355", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-12T13:03:07+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is going to break definitively over $125,000 and then we can run hard for 3-15 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC above $125K and ETH above $5K; expects 3-15 month bull run after breakouts.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is going to break definitively over $125,000 and Ethereum is going to break definitively over $5,000 and then we can run hard for 3-15 months. This is your window of opportunity. Do not fumble the football.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005116545977182474, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005116545977182474, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005451100628994121, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005451100628994121, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005656280781067169, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005656280781067169, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010980055338542627, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010980055338542627, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "ret_p1w": -0.0035548074080065106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0035548074080065106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015921595705878033, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015921595705878033, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "ret_p1m": -0.0071532188744742875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0071532188744742875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01851324548865363, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01851324548865363, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "ret_p3m": -0.2074100387039851, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2074100387039851, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2561865862351521, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2561865862351521, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "ret_p6m": -0.41084019772018066, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41084019772018066, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44848820342150264, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44848820342150264, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0071532188744742875, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.01851324548865363, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01851324548865363, "price_path": [-0.0991, -0.0966, -0.0983, -0.1102, -0.0906, -0.0866, -0.0753, -0.0787, -0.0776, -0.0772, -0.0896, -0.0624, -0.0556, -0.0695, -0.0672, -0.0616, -0.0411, -0.001, 0.0122, 0.0323, 0.0144, 0.0227, 0.0275, 0.0164, 0.0115, 0.0335, 0.0229, 0.0195, 0.0132, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0149, -0.003, -0.024, -0.0089, -0.0169, -0.0092, 0.012, 0.0051, 0.0227, 0.0351, 0.0624, 0.0194, 0.0112, 0.0013, -0.0282, -0.0157, -0.0317, 0.0067, -0.0515, -0.037, -0.042, -0.0306, -0.0662, -0.059, -0.0422, -0.0377, -0.0463, -0.0469, -0.0347, -0.0394, -0.0185, -0.0051, 0.0, -0.0057, 0.0064, 0.0032, 0.0089, -0.0036, -0.0289, -0.0352, -0.0239, -0.0607, -0.055, -0.0147, -0.0176, 0.0219, 0.0394, 0.0531, 0.0745, 0.0461, 0.0625, 0.0483, -0.0249, -0.0072, -0.0257, -0.0458, -0.0682, -0.083, -0.0475, -0.0657, -0.0725, -0.052, -0.0436, -0.0171, -0.0271, -0.0521, -0.0671, -0.0564, -0.0823, -0.125, -0.1052, -0.1275, -0.1096, -0.087, -0.1129, -0.1244, -0.1413, -0.1869, -0.2068, -0.1994, -0.2122, -0.2538, -0.2671, -0.2397, -0.2477, -0.2204, -0.2137, -0.2169, -0.2565, -0.2132, -0.1944, -0.2064, -0.2301, -0.2193, -0.2016, -0.2074, -0.2032, -0.2225, -0.2557, -0.2434, -0.258, -0.2639, -0.2412, -0.2378, -0.2471, -0.2454, -0.2486, -0.2481, -0.2495, -0.2383, -0.2463, -0.2357, -0.2253, -0.1914, -0.1927, -0.2136, -0.216, -0.2204, -0.2145, -0.179, -0.1651, -0.177, -0.1772, -0.2028, -0.2394, -0.2302, -0.2294, -0.2291, -0.2397, -0.2325, -0.2318, -0.2717, -0.2754, -0.3222, -0.3486, -0.3711, -0.4599, -0.3923, -0.396, -0.4075, -0.423, -0.4296, -0.4069, -0.407, -0.4187, -0.4279, -0.4233, -0.4143, -0.4434, -0.4481, -0.4146, -0.419, -0.4326, -0.4076, -0.4118, -0.3737, -0.3898, -0.4131, -0.4108]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966487742130573355", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-12T13:03:07+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ethereum is going to break definitively over $5,000 and then we can run hard for 3-15 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC above $125K and ETH above $5K; expects 3-15 month bull run after breakouts.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is going to break definitively over $125,000 and Ethereum is going to break definitively over $5,000 and then we can run hard for 3-15 months. This is your window of opportunity. Do not fumble the football.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05387050649364633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05387050649364633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05420506114545798, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05420506114545798, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03996096439160535, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03996096439160535, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.045284738949080805, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.045284738949080805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "ret_p1w": -0.05181682921838482, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05181682921838482, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06418361751625634, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06418361751625634, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "ret_p1m": -0.09962965049378558, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09962965049378558, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11098967710796492, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11098967710796492, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "ret_p3m": -0.29475788313010576, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29475788313010576, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34353443066127276, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34353443066127276, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "ret_p6m": -0.5773416290904754, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5773416290904754, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6149896347917974, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6149896347917974, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09962965049378558, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11098967710796492, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11098967710796492, "price_path": [-0.4675, -0.4647, -0.4652, -0.4895, -0.4864, -0.4808, -0.4869, -0.4876, -0.486, -0.4727, -0.4898, -0.4547, -0.4505, -0.468, -0.4607, -0.4453, -0.4124, -0.3733, -0.3727, -0.3609, -0.3341, -0.285, -0.2627, -0.2473, -0.2019, -0.2049, -0.2302, -0.2136, -0.2095, -0.1968, -0.1955, -0.1924, -0.216, -0.2602, -0.2113, -0.234, -0.2187, -0.1699, -0.1496, -0.1036, -0.0264, 0.0087, -0.0354, -0.0584, -0.0854, -0.1361, -0.0807, -0.1044, 0.0246, -0.0726, -0.0244, -0.0449, -0.0441, -0.0753, -0.085, -0.0827, -0.0562, -0.0883, -0.0866, -0.0864, -0.0861, -0.0776, -0.0539, 0.0, -0.04, -0.0449, -0.026, -0.0266, -0.0518, -0.1087, -0.1166, -0.1191, -0.1796, -0.1441, -0.1056, -0.1207, -0.0772, -0.0482, -0.0425, -0.0058, -0.056, -0.0398, -0.0734, -0.185, -0.0996, -0.1251, -0.1543, -0.174, -0.1872, -0.1558, -0.1778, -0.1924, -0.1822, -0.1656, -0.1262, -0.1554, -0.1722, -0.1932, -0.1841, -0.236, -0.3017, -0.2736, -0.2975, -0.2714, -0.2432, -0.2757, -0.2762, -0.3144, -0.3418, -0.3586, -0.3377, -0.3589, -0.3994, -0.4135, -0.3738, -0.3727, -0.3579, -0.3607, -0.3569, -0.4061, -0.3642, -0.3231, -0.3353, -0.3586, -0.3372, -0.2957, -0.2948, -0.3135, -0.3459, -0.3714, -0.3714, -0.3995, -0.4004, -0.3684, -0.3625, -0.3715, -0.3753, -0.3842, -0.3795, -0.3776, -0.3698, -0.3708, -0.3637, -0.3374, -0.3158, -0.301, -0.3284, -0.3416, -0.3462, -0.3442, -0.2955, -0.2885, -0.2965, -0.3011, -0.3242, -0.3774, -0.3682, -0.3744, -0.3737, -0.3794, -0.3591, -0.3624, -0.4023, -0.4269, -0.5028, -0.5276, -0.5454, -0.6137, -0.5624, -0.5539, -0.5717, -0.5884, -0.5871, -0.5656, -0.5763, -0.5775, -0.5856, -0.5868, -0.5824, -0.6065, -0.607, -0.5643, -0.5702, -0.5905, -0.5701, -0.5795, -0.549, -0.5607, -0.5804, -0.5773]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970239996029542671", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T21:33:14+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This most recent move down in Bitcoin is little more than an expertly managed liquidation cascade. It's all technical, zero fundamentals. Just noise in the long term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bitcoin dip is technical noise with no fundamental basis; long-term bullish, pain only for levered shorts short-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Everyone calm down. This most recent move down in Bitcoin is little more than an expertly managed liquidation cascade. It’s all technical, zero fundamentals. Just noise in the long term but painful to levered longs in the short term. Let the liquidity arbs play games. Focus &amp; win", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026078851237568257, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026078851237568257, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020605493734298985, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020605493734298985, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473357503269272, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00651013327573835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00651013327573835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003328561541999342, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003328561541999342, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003181571733739008, "ret_p1w": 0.014650969951168324, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014650969951168324, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01017290332829357, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01017290332829357, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0044780666228747545, "ret_p1m": -0.03788624142683705, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03788624142683705, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.044806974200700456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.044806974200700456, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920732773863403, "ret_p3m": -0.24200763743478038, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24200763743478038, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27124586131843964, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27124586131843964, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238223883659265, "ret_p6m": -0.34435960176579383, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34435960176579383, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3446225753211768, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3446225753211768, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0002629735553829615, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03788624142683705, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.044806974200700456, "alpha_c_stated": -0.044806974200700456, "price_path": [-0.0478, -0.0513, -0.0502, -0.0498, -0.0625, -0.0345, -0.0275, -0.0418, -0.0395, -0.0337, -0.0126, 0.0287, 0.0423, 0.063, 0.0446, 0.0531, 0.058, 0.0466, 0.0416, 0.0643, 0.0533, 0.0498, 0.0433, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0451, 0.0267, 0.0051, 0.0206, 0.0124, 0.0202, 0.0421, 0.0349, 0.0531, 0.0658, 0.094, 0.0498, 0.0412, 0.0311, 0.0007, 0.0135, -0.0029, 0.0366, -0.0233, -0.0084, -0.0135, -0.0018, -0.0385, -0.031, -0.0137, -0.0091, -0.018, -0.0186, -0.006, -0.0108, 0.0107, 0.0245, 0.0297, 0.0239, 0.0363, 0.033, 0.0389, 0.0261, 0.0, -0.0065, 0.0051, -0.0328, -0.0269, 0.0147, 0.0116, 0.0523, 0.0704, 0.0844, 0.1065, 0.0772, 0.0941, 0.0794, 0.0041, 0.0224, 0.0033, -0.0174, -0.0405, -0.0557, -0.0192, -0.0379, -0.0449, -0.0238, -0.0152, 0.0122, 0.0018, -0.0239, -0.0394, -0.0283, -0.055, -0.099, -0.0786, -0.1015, -0.0832, -0.0599, -0.0865, -0.0983, -0.1158, -0.1628, -0.1832, -0.1756, -0.1888, -0.2316, -0.2453, -0.2171, -0.2253, -0.1972, -0.1904, -0.1936, -0.2344, -0.1898, -0.1705, -0.1828, -0.2072, -0.1961, -0.1779, -0.1838, -0.1795, -0.1994, -0.2335, -0.2209, -0.236, -0.242, -0.2186, -0.2152, -0.2247, -0.2229, -0.2263, -0.2257, -0.2271, -0.2157, -0.2239, -0.213, -0.2023, -0.1673, -0.1687, -0.1902, -0.1927, -0.1972, -0.1912, -0.1546, -0.1403, -0.1525, -0.1528, -0.1791, -0.2167, -0.2073, -0.2065, -0.2062, -0.2171, -0.2097, -0.209, -0.25, -0.2538, -0.3021, -0.3292, -0.3524, -0.4439, -0.3742, -0.3781, -0.3898, -0.4058, -0.4127, -0.3893, -0.3894, -0.4014, -0.4109, -0.4061, -0.3968, -0.4269, -0.4317, -0.3972, -0.4017, -0.4157, -0.39, -0.3943, -0.3551, -0.3717, -0.3957, -0.3933, -0.3798, -0.3773, -0.3748, -0.3706, -0.336, -0.3444]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974153240230179070", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T16:43:05+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's far too early to sell CIFR. Basic logic. Barely anything has even happened yet.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Too early to sell CIFR; implicitly bullish as the move hasn't materialized yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@penny_ether @Skeptical1704 You’d be surprised how well this works\n\nAnd yes it’s far too early to sell CIFR. Basic logic. Barely anything has even happened yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@Skeptical1704 Maybe I should just defer to @mikealfred ... once his landscapers talk about $CIFR it's time to sell.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "penny_ether", "ret_m1d": -0.06054417695213077, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06054417695213077, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06055889061595632, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06560167928697103, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4713663825549617e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005057502334840258, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04353743888618111, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04353743888618111, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039951259209907386, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03342232660777844, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035861796762737264, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010115112278402671, "ret_p1w": 0.15442173697571193, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15442173697571193, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1786145867604234, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17665412941783487, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419284978471148, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02223239244212294, "ret_p1m": 0.5482993553875171, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5482993553875171, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5271849719166999, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4879242980993235, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114383470817177, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06037505728819359, "ret_p3m": 0.004081661251375213, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.004081661251375213, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.017921795356099057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00876154735232948, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200345660747427, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012843208603704692, "ret_p6m": -0.18265302726399202, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18265302726399202, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13238232343772216, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08074342440151394, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.05027070382626986, "bench_c_p6m": -0.10190960286247808, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5482993553875171, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5271849719166999, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4879242980993235, "price_path": [-0.5898, -0.5741, -0.5755, -0.6007, -0.5898, -0.5939, -0.5735, -0.5633, -0.5673, -0.5748, -0.5279, -0.5456, -0.5476, -0.5599, -0.581, -0.6136, -0.6293, -0.6286, -0.6646, -0.6469, -0.6592, -0.6456, -0.6687, -0.6769, -0.6762, -0.6789, -0.6667, -0.6381, -0.6456, -0.5884, -0.6082, -0.5952, -0.5986, -0.566, -0.5483, -0.5156, -0.5245, -0.5224, -0.4803, -0.4803, -0.434, -0.4483, -0.4966, -0.4884, -0.4748, -0.3728, -0.3027, -0.3218, -0.2619, -0.2619, -0.217, -0.1578, -0.1939, -0.1646, -0.0503, -0.0374, -0.0381, -0.2068, -0.2197, -0.1395, -0.1435, -0.1429, -0.0605, 0.0, 0.0435, 0.0714, 0.1973, 0.2238, 0.1544, 0.3837, 0.4211, 0.4306, 0.2735, 0.2762, 0.3544, 0.2296, 0.0959, 0.1738, 0.4054, 0.3973, 0.3578, 0.3327, 0.2973, 0.2687, 0.5483, 0.5313, 0.681, 0.4769, 0.4075, 0.3367, 0.2701, 0.1823, 0.0156, -0.0231, -0.0238, -0.0082, -0.0054, -0.0095, -0.0374, 0.1367, 0.1918, 0.3027, 0.3027, 0.3844, 0.3395, 0.2, 0.2673, 0.349, 0.3116, 0.3252, 0.3306, 0.2571, 0.2844, 0.1599, 0.0027, 0.0197, -0.0211, 0.0306, 0.1027, 0.1116, 0.0823, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.0333, 0.0259, -0.0075, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.102, 0.2354, 0.1932, 0.0939, 0.1259, 0.1313, 0.2027, 0.2415, 0.2333, 0.1918, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.219, 0.2054, 0.183, 0.1952, 0.1218, 0.2755, 0.2905, 0.2041, 0.0857, 0.0755, 0.1061, -0.0306, -0.1361, 0.002, 0.1401, 0.1633, 0.1075, 0.0952, 0.117, 0.117, 0.0639, 0.049, 0.0748, -0.0034, 0.0354, 0.1646, 0.1299, 0.1211, 0.0612, 0.0721, 0.0007, 0.0912, 0.0306, -0.0735, -0.0265, -0.0503, -0.0401, -0.0673, -0.0422, 0.0299, 0.0265, -0.002, -0.0041, -0.0469, 0.0129, 0.0122, 0.0803, -0.0238, -0.065, -0.1827]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974464122852147272", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T13:18:25+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "PLTR is not a real leader. It's a meme stock now. Same with HIMS. Those two going down is a sign of a healthy market, nothing more.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses PLTR and HIMS as meme stocks heading lower; sees a big risk-asset rally still ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheShortBear PLTR is not a real leader. It’s a meme stock now. Same with HIMS. Those two going down is a sign of a healthy market, nothing more. The big risk asset rally is still ahead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "signs of exhaustion across the board and in leaders today. Take notice when leaders reject hard, even engulfing recent bullish behavior.\n\n$PLTR &amp; mag7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheShortBear", "ret_m1d": -0.035982796741505285, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.035982796741505285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03240943179398237, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03240943179398237, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014705059920898655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014705059920898655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018412482178425615, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018412482178425615, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "ret_p1w": -0.012922587206619096, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012922587206619096, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00016221890912948567, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00016221890912948567, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": 0.062440855512108984, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.062440855512108984, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05703595432920672, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05703595432920672, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": -0.009914770742493584, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.009914770742493584, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.028266236021879276, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.028266236021879276, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": -0.1852058164433873, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1852058164433873, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15904933848353608, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15904933848353608, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.062440855512108984, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05703595432920672, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05703595432920672, "price_path": [-0.2028, -0.2063, -0.2085, -0.1692, -0.1724, -0.1594, -0.1423, -0.1449, -0.1545, -0.1697, -0.1387, -0.1374, -0.1155, -0.1206, -0.1297, -0.1165, -0.118, -0.1407, -0.1051, -0.0349, 0.0001, 0.0149, 0.0414, 0.0175, 0.0414, 0.027, 0.0083, -0.0131, -0.0306, -0.1213, -0.131, -0.1301, -0.1158, -0.1245, -0.1039, -0.1271, -0.1193, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.125, -0.1372, -0.1303, -0.1472, -0.1305, -0.0956, -0.0712, -0.0845, -0.0451, -0.0463, -0.0516, -0.0624, -0.0143, 0.0159, -0.0011, 0.0168, 0.0002, -0.0023, -0.0109, -0.0037, 0.0161, 0.0302, 0.0419, -0.036, 0.0, 0.0147, 0.0224, 0.0331, -0.0228, -0.0129, 0.0012, 0.0005, -0.0079, -0.0077, 0.0115, 0.011, -0.0225, 0.0053, 0.0284, 0.0538, 0.0561, 0.1074, 0.0837, 0.1166, 0.154, 0.0624, 0.0466, -0.025, -0.0089, 0.0784, 0.0637, 0.0258, -0.0412, -0.0307, -0.0461, -0.068, -0.0786, -0.1325, -0.1375, -0.0963, -0.089, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0617, -0.0671, -0.0492, -0.0192, -0.009, 0.0124, 0.0109, 0.0129, 0.0467, 0.0446, 0.0225, 0.0207, 0.0458, -0.0125, 0.0343, 0.0771, 0.0805, 0.0813, 0.0815, 0.0815, 0.0511, 0.0259, 0.0073, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.065, -0.0306, 0.001, 0.012, -0.0149, -0.0114, -0.0007, -0.0032, -0.0063, -0.0137, -0.0477, -0.0477, -0.0613, -0.0791, -0.0759, -0.0553, -0.0672, -0.077, -0.1235, -0.1541, -0.1835, -0.177, -0.1206, -0.2227, -0.2758, -0.243, -0.204, -0.2229, -0.2442, -0.2807, -0.268, -0.268, -0.2591, -0.2459, -0.2486, -0.2467, -0.2725, -0.2823, -0.2525, -0.2428, -0.2358, -0.1914, -0.18, -0.1467, -0.1496, -0.1246, -0.1287, -0.1581, -0.1556, -0.145, -0.1592, -0.1493, -0.1362, -0.1491, -0.1328, -0.1607, -0.1041, -0.1379, -0.1369, -0.1781, -0.2031, -0.2338, -0.1852]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974464122852147272", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-04T13:18:25+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Same with HIMS. Those two going down is a sign of a healthy market, nothing more.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses PLTR and HIMS as meme stocks heading lower; sees a big risk-asset rally still ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheShortBear PLTR is not a real leader. It’s a meme stock now. Same with HIMS. Those two going down is a sign of a healthy market, nothing more. The big risk asset rally is still ahead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "signs of exhaustion across the board and in leaders today. Take notice when leaders reject hard, even engulfing recent bullish behavior.\n\n$PLTR &amp; mag7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheShortBear", "ret_m1d": -0.04054049441292429, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04054049441292429, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03696712946540137, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03696712946540137, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05861948498102221, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05861948498102221, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06232690723854917, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06232690723854917, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "ret_p1w": -0.0005478228673553298, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0005478228673553298, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01221254543013428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01221254543013428, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.21859017116329815, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21859017116329815, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22399507234620042, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22399507234620042, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": -0.4070489003661092, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4070489003661092, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4254003656454949, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4254003656454949, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": -0.6208911456317849, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6208911456317849, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5947346676719337, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5947346676719337, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21859017116329815, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.22399507234620042, "alpha_c_stated": 0.22399507234620042, "price_path": [-0.0643, -0.082, -0.1255, -0.0499, -0.0785, -0.0531, -0.0871, -0.08, -0.1308, -0.0867, 0.0595, 0.0467, 0.0528, 0.0716, 0.1006, 0.1967, 0.2085, 0.1423, 0.1569, 0.0139, -0.0663, -0.0678, -0.0515, -0.0873, -0.1242, -0.1174, -0.1393, -0.1596, -0.1764, -0.2297, -0.2078, -0.1972, -0.1861, -0.2149, -0.1718, -0.1963, -0.1943, -0.2266, -0.2266, -0.2416, -0.1881, -0.1214, -0.116, -0.0935, -0.1273, -0.1275, -0.0548, 0.0135, -0.0146, -0.0707, -0.0805, 0.0263, 0.0559, 0.0537, 0.0226, -0.0276, 0.002, 0.0665, 0.0796, 0.0358, 0.0283, 0.0568, -0.0405, 0.0, 0.0586, 0.0623, 0.0637, -0.0148, -0.0005, -0.0135, 0.1461, 0.0802, -0.0909, -0.0621, -0.0986, -0.1333, -0.1145, -0.1092, -0.1192, -0.1395, -0.1485, -0.1954, -0.1698, -0.1894, -0.2186, -0.2014, -0.2418, -0.2507, -0.2504, -0.2741, -0.2874, -0.3417, -0.3247, -0.3503, -0.3378, -0.3457, -0.386, -0.3661, -0.3101, -0.3227, -0.2988, -0.2988, -0.2739, -0.315, -0.3369, -0.323, -0.2692, -0.2841, -0.2856, -0.2728, -0.3083, -0.3103, -0.3205, -0.338, -0.3269, -0.3614, -0.365, -0.3506, -0.3599, -0.3645, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3734, -0.3773, -0.3966, -0.407, -0.407, -0.3899, -0.3661, -0.3524, -0.3524, -0.3815, -0.4213, -0.4094, -0.412, -0.428, -0.4297, -0.427, -0.427, -0.4436, -0.4724, -0.4427, -0.4591, -0.447, -0.458, -0.4764, -0.4545, -0.5053, -0.5172, -0.5336, -0.5544, -0.5712, -0.5796, -0.647, -0.6852, -0.6952, -0.7115, -0.7023, -0.7023, -0.7029, -0.7107, -0.7111, -0.7146, -0.7168, -0.7177, -0.7111, -0.7151, -0.7348, -0.6991, -0.7111, -0.6996, -0.71, -0.7126, -0.5953, -0.5714, -0.5274, -0.5646, -0.5477, -0.5457, -0.5438, -0.5772, -0.5588, -0.5979, -0.5898, -0.6103, -0.6194, -0.6191, -0.6461, -0.657, -0.6209]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974464122852147272", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-04T13:18:25+00:00", "symbol": "risk assets", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The big risk asset rally is still ahead.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses PLTR and HIMS as meme stocks heading lower; sees a big risk-asset rally still ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Broad risk assets proxy SPY", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheShortBear PLTR is not a real leader. It’s a meme stock now. Same with HIMS. Those two going down is a sign of a healthy market, nothing more. The big risk asset rally is still ahead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "signs of exhaustion across the board and in leaders today. Take notice when leaders reject hard, even engulfing recent bullish behavior.\n\n$PLTR &amp; mag7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheShortBear", "ret_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "ret_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.005404901182902266, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0, "price_path": [-0.0734, -0.0708, -0.074, -0.0723, -0.0762, -0.0731, -0.0675, -0.0681, -0.0664, -0.0662, -0.0583, -0.058, -0.054, -0.0542, -0.0567, -0.0579, -0.0615, -0.0768, -0.0628, -0.0676, -0.0604, -0.0612, -0.0539, -0.0558, -0.0457, -0.0424, -0.0424, -0.0446, -0.0448, -0.05, -0.0525, -0.0563, -0.0418, -0.046, -0.042, -0.0399, -0.0365, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0493, -0.0441, -0.0362, -0.039, -0.0366, -0.0344, -0.0316, -0.0235, -0.0238, -0.0187, -0.02, -0.0212, -0.0166, -0.0118, -0.0071, -0.0125, -0.0156, -0.0202, -0.0146, -0.0118, -0.0081, -0.0047, -0.0036, -0.0036, 0.0, -0.0037, 0.0022, -0.0007, -0.0277, -0.0128, -0.014, -0.0096, -0.0163, -0.0108, -0.0005, -0.0005, -0.0057, 0.0002, 0.0084, 0.0203, 0.023, 0.0235, 0.0122, 0.0156, 0.0175, 0.0054, 0.0089, -0.0019, -0.001, 0.0146, 0.017, 0.0175, 0.0006, 0.0005, -0.0088, -0.0172, -0.0134, -0.0284, -0.0187, -0.0043, 0.0051, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0175, 0.0129, 0.0148, 0.0183, 0.019, 0.021, 0.0179, 0.017, 0.0238, 0.0261, 0.0151, 0.0136, 0.0108, -0.0003, 0.0072, 0.0164, 0.0227, 0.0274, 0.031, 0.031, 0.0309, 0.0272, 0.026, 0.0184, 0.0184, 0.0202, 0.027, 0.0331, 0.0298, 0.0297, 0.0365, 0.0381, 0.036, 0.031, 0.0338, 0.0329, 0.0329, 0.0119, 0.0235, 0.0289, 0.0293, 0.0345, 0.0386, 0.0385, 0.0365, 0.0334, 0.0385, 0.0297, 0.0247, 0.0119, 0.0313, 0.0363, 0.0336, 0.0333, 0.0174, 0.0181, 0.0181, 0.0197, 0.0249, 0.0222, 0.0296, 0.0191, 0.0265, 0.0351, 0.0294, 0.0244, 0.025, 0.016, 0.0231, 0.0174, 0.0041, 0.0129, 0.0113, 0.01, -0.0053, -0.011, -0.0009, 0.0017, -0.0122, -0.0147, -0.0288, -0.0186, -0.0219, -0.0165, -0.034, -0.0505, -0.0537, -0.0262]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971627706812170380", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T17:27:31+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought more today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to position today; not selling.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Bitcoinsurfer11 I am not. I bought more today. But now you are blocked!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Your prolly selling right now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BTCSURF11", "ret_m1d": -0.006047962429188369, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006047962429188369, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.000351655669414197, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.000351655669414197, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005696306759774172, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005696306759774172, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04272567545300432, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04272567545300432, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03991513542110403, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03991513542110403, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028105400319002882, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028105400319002882, "ret_p1w": 0.11442329342469493, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11442329342469493, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10325691791664737, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10325691791664737, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011166375508047555, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011166375508047555, "ret_p1m": 0.04016394504915599, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04016394504915599, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004776619157345285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004776619157345285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387325891810706, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387325891810706, "ret_p3m": -0.20144287195221733, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20144287195221733, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2476791148353209, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2476791148353209, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623624288310357, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623624288310357, "ret_p6m": -0.35363201745010164, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.35363201745010164, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3495399269560129, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3495399269560129, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092090494088763, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092090494088763, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04016394504915599, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.004776619157345285, "alpha_c_stated": 0.004776619157345285, "price_path": [-0.0366, -0.0078, -0.0006, -0.0153, -0.0129, -0.007, 0.0147, 0.0572, 0.0711, 0.0924, 0.0735, 0.0823, 0.0873, 0.0756, 0.0704, 0.0937, 0.0824, 0.0789, 0.0722, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.074, 0.0551, 0.0329, 0.0488, 0.0404, 0.0484, 0.0709, 0.0636, 0.0822, 0.0953, 0.1242, 0.0788, 0.0701, 0.0596, 0.0284, 0.0416, 0.0247, 0.0653, 0.0038, 0.019, 0.0138, 0.0258, -0.0119, -0.0042, 0.0136, 0.0183, 0.0092, 0.0086, 0.0215, 0.0166, 0.0387, 0.0528, 0.0582, 0.0522, 0.065, 0.0616, 0.0677, 0.0545, 0.0277, 0.021, 0.033, -0.006, 0.0, 0.0427, 0.0396, 0.0814, 0.1, 0.1144, 0.1371, 0.107, 0.1243, 0.1093, 0.0319, 0.0507, 0.031, 0.0098, -0.0139, -0.0296, 0.008, -0.0113, -0.0185, 0.0033, 0.012, 0.0402, 0.0296, 0.0031, -0.0128, -0.0014, -0.0289, -0.074, -0.0531, -0.0767, -0.0578, -0.0339, -0.0612, -0.0734, -0.0913, -0.1396, -0.1606, -0.1528, -0.1663, -0.2104, -0.2244, -0.1954, -0.2039, -0.175, -0.168, -0.1713, -0.2132, -0.1674, -0.1475, -0.1602, -0.1853, -0.1738, -0.1551, -0.1613, -0.1568, -0.1772, -0.2123, -0.1993, -0.2148, -0.221, -0.197, -0.1934, -0.2032, -0.2014, -0.2049, -0.2043, -0.2058, -0.194, -0.2024, -0.1912, -0.1802, -0.1443, -0.1457, -0.1678, -0.1703, -0.175, -0.1688, -0.1312, -0.1165, -0.1291, -0.1293, -0.1564, -0.1951, -0.1854, -0.1846, -0.1842, -0.1955, -0.1879, -0.1871, -0.2292, -0.2332, -0.2828, -0.3106, -0.3344, -0.4285, -0.3569, -0.3609, -0.373, -0.3894, -0.3964, -0.3724, -0.3725, -0.3848, -0.3946, -0.3897, -0.3802, -0.411, -0.4159, -0.3806, -0.3852, -0.3995, -0.3731, -0.3775, -0.3373, -0.3543, -0.379, -0.3765, -0.3626, -0.3601, -0.3575, -0.3531, -0.3177, -0.3262, -0.3506, -0.3628, -0.3572, -0.3536]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1962708257300193748", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-02T02:44:48+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Everything is going up, including ETH", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author expects ETH to go up, pushing back on bearish ETH view.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dotkrueger Prepared to be unhappy then. Everything is going up, including ETH. Sorry to be a bearer of bad news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Nothing would make me happier than for BTC to Rip, and ETH to crumble, with the smart money moving to Solana as the preferred rails solution.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dotkrueger", "ret_m1d": -0.0025189795525103476, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0025189795525103476, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009984554027391623, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009984554027391623, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028904708992612438, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028904708992612438, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023485162829604667, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023485162829604667, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": -0.0037740667024972474, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0037740667024972474, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019486307297229555, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019486307297229555, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.0059524636024161914, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0059524636024161914, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0409546727550385, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0409546727550385, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.2989484270714554, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2989484270714554, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36925419302944984, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36925419302944984, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.5249816867680422, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5249816867680422, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.613781127512593, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.613781127512593, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0059524636024161914, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0409546727550385, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0409546727550385, "price_path": [-0.4414, -0.4273, -0.38, -0.3495, -0.3588, -0.3869, -0.4036, -0.4126, -0.4195, -0.4164, -0.417, -0.4434, -0.4401, -0.434, -0.4407, -0.4414, -0.4396, -0.4251, -0.4438, -0.4055, -0.401, -0.42, -0.4121, -0.3953, -0.3594, -0.3169, -0.3162, -0.3033, -0.2741, -0.2205, -0.1962, -0.1795, -0.1299, -0.1332, -0.1608, -0.1427, -0.1383, -0.1244, -0.123, -0.1196, -0.1453, -0.1935, -0.1402, -0.1649, -0.1483, -0.095, -0.0729, -0.0227, 0.0614, 0.0996, 0.0515, 0.0265, -0.003, -0.0582, 0.0021, -0.0236, 0.117, 0.011, 0.0636, 0.0412, 0.042, 0.008, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.0289, -0.0062, -0.0042, -0.004, -0.0038, 0.0055, 0.0314, 0.0901, 0.0466, 0.0412, 0.0618, 0.0612, 0.0337, -0.0283, -0.037, -0.0397, -0.1057, -0.0669, -0.025, -0.0415, 0.006, 0.0376, 0.0438, 0.0838, 0.0291, 0.0468, 0.0101, -0.1115, -0.0185, -0.0462, -0.0781, -0.0996, -0.1139, -0.0797, -0.1037, -0.1196, -0.1085, -0.0904, -0.0475, -0.0793, -0.0976, -0.1205, -0.1106, -0.1672, -0.2388, -0.2081, -0.2342, -0.2058, -0.175, -0.2104, -0.2109, -0.2526, -0.2824, -0.3007, -0.278, -0.3011, -0.3453, -0.3606, -0.3173, -0.3161, -0.3, -0.3031, -0.2989, -0.3526, -0.3069, -0.2621, -0.2754, -0.3008, -0.2775, -0.2322, -0.2312, -0.2516, -0.287, -0.3147, -0.3147, -0.3454, -0.3464, -0.3115, -0.305, -0.3149, -0.319, -0.3287, -0.3236, -0.3216, -0.313, -0.314, -0.3063, -0.2777, -0.2541, -0.238, -0.2678, -0.2823, -0.2872, -0.2851, -0.232, -0.2244, -0.2331, -0.2381, -0.2633, -0.3213, -0.3113, -0.3181, -0.3172, -0.3234, -0.3013, -0.3049, -0.3484, -0.3752, -0.458, -0.485, -0.5044, -0.5788, -0.523, -0.5137, -0.5331, -0.5513, -0.5499, -0.5264, -0.5381, -0.5394, -0.5483, -0.5496, -0.5448, -0.571, -0.5716, -0.525]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986875094027936011", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T19:15:11+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Up to 1.66M shares of ASST now. Not stopping the buy program until BTC is above $126,000.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Continuing to accumulate ASST shares; implicitly bullish on BTC above $126K as the exit condition.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Up to 1.66M shares of ASST now. Not stopping the buy program until BTC is above $126,000. https://t.co/ejMwpDYMhG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.039735123596819855, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.039735123596819855, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.038751618652283826, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03272492795950621, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835049445360289, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007010195637313643, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019867561798409983, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019867561798409983, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03547184042555329, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02346743351164704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035998717132370572, "ret_p1w": -0.2847682173579079, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2847682173579079, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.28619894510479005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2785159202523195, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006252297105588389, "ret_p1m": -0.34768211042184105, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.34768211042184105, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3665504000963782, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3609447494772009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886828967453713, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013262639055359848, "ret_p3m": -0.6079470247193639, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6079470247193639, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6336526136194334, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6338771037515012, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025930079032137288, "ret_p6m": -0.4584437374482885, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4584437374482885, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5346444128134203, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44416451943570323, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014279218012585249, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.34768211042184105, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3665504000963782, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3609447494772009, "price_path": [1.7351, 2.0099, 2.0, 1.8344, 1.7682, 1.5762, 1.649, 1.7351, 1.9272, 2.1788, 2.702, 2.9139, 3.4305, 3.0728, 3.0728, 3.2781, 3.3113, 2.649, 2.0066, 2.5298, 3.1589, 4.3576, 4.9007, 4.6225, 3.1192, 1.9669, 1.4371, 1.5298, 1.8477, 1.7152, 1.2185, 0.9934, 0.8212, 0.6159, 0.5232, 0.6556, 0.6623, 0.7616, 0.7219, 0.6755, 0.3907, 0.3179, 0.1987, 0.0298, -0.2848, -0.3397, -0.3642, -0.404, -0.4477, -0.4278, -0.4503, -0.4834, -0.4278, -0.2715, 0.0861, -0.0464, -0.1722, -0.1987, -0.1192, -0.1589, -0.1722, -0.0331, -0.0397, 0.0, -0.0199, -0.0993, -0.1457, -0.2384, -0.2848, -0.3113, -0.2583, -0.3046, -0.349, -0.3245, -0.2517, -0.2649, -0.2517, -0.2517, -0.2583, -0.3046, -0.3146, -0.3046, -0.353, -0.4033, -0.3477, -0.3245, -0.3377, -0.3894, -0.4285, -0.4775, -0.4305, -0.4563, -0.4497, -0.4046, -0.4265, -0.4669, -0.4291, -0.4291, -0.4603, -0.4881, -0.5152, -0.5113, -0.5113, -0.4272, -0.3179, -0.3113, -0.3245, -0.3311, -0.3735, -0.2715, -0.3576, -0.3179, -0.357, -0.3722, -0.3722, -0.4139, -0.4093, -0.4238, -0.4232, -0.4795, -0.4576, -0.4695, -0.4801, -0.4563, -0.5212, -0.5483, -0.6079, -0.6735, -0.6055, -0.6641, -0.696, -0.7321, -0.745, -0.7242, -0.7242, -0.7291, -0.7334, -0.7311, -0.7301, -0.7563, -0.7627, -0.7172, -0.7288, -0.7371, -0.7109, -0.7242, -0.6815, -0.6937, -0.7119, -0.7182, -0.7026, -0.6944, -0.7076, -0.6844, -0.6404, -0.6325, -0.6677, -0.6603, -0.6682, -0.6543, -0.6712, -0.6407, -0.6553, -0.6737, -0.6897, -0.6682, -0.6636, -0.6772, -0.6772, -0.6649, -0.6932, -0.6606, -0.6808, -0.648, -0.6166, -0.5884, -0.552, -0.5371, -0.4831, -0.4828, -0.493, -0.4483, -0.4636, -0.4768, -0.4805, -0.494, -0.5228, -0.4914, -0.4599, -0.4584]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986875094027936011", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-07T19:15:11+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not stopping the buy program until BTC is above $126,000", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Continuing to accumulate ASST shares; implicitly bullish on BTC above $126K as the exit condition.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Up to 1.66M shares of ASST now. Not stopping the buy program until BTC is above $126,000. https://t.co/ejMwpDYMhG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020035493635420676, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020035493635420676, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019051988690884647, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019051988690884647, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835049445360289, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835049445360289, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025385763911246917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025385763911246917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009781485284103608, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009781485284103608, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "ret_p1w": -0.08681830590066197, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08681830590066197, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0882490336475441, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0882490336475441, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "ret_p1m": -0.12316829593971068, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12316829593971068, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1420365856142478, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1420365856142478, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886828967453713, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01886828967453713, "ret_p3m": -0.2936248098123381, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2936248098123381, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31933039871240754, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31933039871240754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "ret_p6m": -0.22776387678409105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22776387678409105, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3039645521492229, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3039645521492229, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12316829593971068, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1420365856142478, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1420365856142478, "price_path": [0.1625, 0.1932, 0.145, 0.1357, 0.1246, 0.0915, 0.1055, 0.0875, 0.1306, 0.0653, 0.0816, 0.0759, 0.0887, 0.0487, 0.0569, 0.0757, 0.0808, 0.0711, 0.0704, 0.0842, 0.0789, 0.1024, 0.1174, 0.1231, 0.1168, 0.1303, 0.1267, 0.1332, 0.1191, 0.0907, 0.0836, 0.0963, 0.0549, 0.0613, 0.1067, 0.1034, 0.1478, 0.1674, 0.1828, 0.2068, 0.1749, 0.1933, 0.1774, 0.0952, 0.1151, 0.0943, 0.0717, 0.0466, 0.0299, 0.0698, 0.0494, 0.0418, 0.0648, 0.0741, 0.104, 0.0927, 0.0646, 0.0477, 0.0598, 0.0307, -0.0172, 0.005, -0.02, 0.0, 0.0254, -0.0036, -0.0165, -0.0356, -0.0868, -0.1091, -0.1008, -0.1152, -0.1619, -0.1769, -0.1461, -0.1551, -0.1243, -0.1169, -0.1205, -0.1649, -0.1163, -0.0952, -0.1086, -0.1353, -0.1232, -0.1033, -0.1098, -0.1051, -0.1267, -0.164, -0.1502, -0.1667, -0.1733, -0.1477, -0.144, -0.1544, -0.1525, -0.1561, -0.1555, -0.157, -0.1445, -0.1535, -0.1416, -0.1299, -0.0918, -0.0933, -0.1167, -0.1194, -0.1244, -0.1178, -0.0779, -0.0623, -0.0757, -0.0759, -0.1047, -0.1457, -0.1354, -0.1346, -0.1342, -0.1461, -0.138, -0.1372, -0.182, -0.1862, -0.2388, -0.2683, -0.2936, -0.3934, -0.3175, -0.3217, -0.3345, -0.3519, -0.3594, -0.3339, -0.334, -0.3471, -0.3574, -0.3523, -0.3421, -0.3749, -0.3801, -0.3426, -0.3475, -0.3627, -0.3347, -0.3393, -0.2966, -0.3147, -0.3409, -0.3383, -0.3235, -0.3209, -0.3181, -0.3135, -0.2758, -0.2849, -0.3108, -0.3237, -0.3178, -0.314, -0.3178, -0.3102, -0.3345, -0.3583, -0.3548, -0.3399, -0.3414, -0.3529, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3041, -0.312, -0.3057, -0.294, -0.2795, -0.2824, -0.2764, -0.273, -0.2539, -0.266, -0.2614, -0.2435, -0.2428, -0.2507, -0.2516, -0.2614, -0.267, -0.2619, -0.2437, -0.2278]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972004802772308179", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-27T18:25:57+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't think IREN and CIFR are close to done and they are best in class", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN and CIFR as best-in-class with more upside; CLSK a dark horse for a big run on pivot execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant I don’t think IREN and CIFR are close to done and they are best in class.\n\nBut agree CLSK is a dark horse here to make a big run if they can execute the pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For an asset to deliver a parabolic impulse move like we're seeing now with $IREN and like we saw in $MSTR and $PLTR in 2024 the precondition is doubt. \n\nIf everyone agreed a vertical run was coming, the market would've already priced it in. Consensus kills the potential for a", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08581043663341836, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08362508696305726, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004988012705604783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01800551996466626, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02657552556191345, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004803263568540106, "ret_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2453996520120143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2652919863525167, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007943856235212099, "ret_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3237967716685277, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.38008495674153553, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021060402981380233, "ret_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12930444672378483, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11915728638249867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03315683489775667, "ret_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09450761674202701, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.023003504246494444, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08172110584128267, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.3590245537601553, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3237967716685277, "alpha_c_stated": 0.38008495674153553, "price_path": [-0.659, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.631, -0.6323, -0.6307, -0.6292, -0.6466, -0.6238, -0.6325, -0.6231, -0.607, -0.6094, -0.6048, -0.5953, -0.5865, -0.6051, -0.6142, -0.639, -0.6562, -0.6486, -0.6492, -0.6647, -0.6412, -0.6418, -0.6011, -0.5957, -0.5983, -0.6088, -0.6118, -0.614, -0.5846, -0.5713, -0.5492, -0.5922, -0.5698, -0.5735, -0.5334, -0.4966, -0.4995, -0.5133, -0.4984, -0.4235, -0.4235, -0.3662, -0.3858, -0.4311, -0.4307, -0.4298, -0.3427, -0.2678, -0.2848, -0.2606, -0.1914, -0.2064, -0.1748, -0.2092, -0.1587, -0.0877, -0.0906, 0.0263, 0.0078, -0.0886, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.025, 0.0237, 0.0986, 0.2573, 0.3429, 0.3083, 0.3902, 0.3013, 0.3965, 0.5145, 0.4801, 0.3462, 0.322, 0.2894, 0.2017, 0.1285, 0.2162, 0.3695, 0.415, 0.359, 0.3155, 0.2676, 0.3227, 0.4751, 0.4507, 0.6636, 0.4579, 0.3582, 0.31, 0.2493, 0.2127, 0.0592, 0.0096, 0.0322, 0.0636, -0.0022, -0.0536, -0.0799, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0549, 0.0549, 0.0409, 0.0557, -0.1047, -0.0429, 0.0113, -0.0266, 0.0089, 0.0198, -0.0438, -0.0433, -0.1263, -0.2275, -0.2034, -0.2645, -0.2206, -0.1309, -0.0847, -0.084, -0.086, -0.086, -0.1226, -0.142, -0.1661, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.0703, 0.0503, -0.0004, -0.0502, -0.0054, 0.0022, 0.0958, 0.1537, 0.1513, 0.1298, 0.2589, 0.2589, 0.1814, 0.1644, 0.1378, 0.2341, 0.14, 0.3061, 0.3703, 0.3029, 0.17, 0.1557, 0.1842, -0.0216, -0.1337, -0.0893, 0.0048, -0.0653, -0.071, -0.1285, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.108, -0.0838, -0.0575, -0.1295, -0.0777, -0.0105, -0.0414, -0.0368, -0.1084, -0.0988, -0.1541, -0.0455, -0.1264, -0.201, -0.1544, -0.17, -0.086, -0.0993, -0.0947, -0.0216, -0.0647, -0.081, -0.093, -0.101, -0.0821, -0.1047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972004802772308179", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-27T18:25:57+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't think IREN and CIFR are close to done and they are best in class", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN and CIFR as best-in-class with more upside; CLSK a dark horse for a big run on pivot execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant I don’t think IREN and CIFR are close to done and they are best in class.\n\nBut agree CLSK is a dark horse here to make a big run if they can execute the pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For an asset to deliver a parabolic impulse move like we're seeing now with $IREN and like we saw in $MSTR and $PLTR in 2024 the precondition is doubt. \n\nIf everyone agreed a vertical run was coming, the market would've already priced it in. Consensus kills the potential for a", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09047792092405937, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08796540332163438, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0053151806376686705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008509782957696, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010200850097915937, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005457809168927019, "ret_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20069979186913622, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1867145777053738, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025933692269052733, "ret_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5426378057645471, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5007065033805198, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0771590844756549, "ret_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2389094278819135, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2368603918220269, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045353031298929425, "ret_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18650162284439786, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20224662888616474, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.025961999387516976, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5778655878561747, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5426378057645471, "alpha_c_stated": 0.5007065033805198, "price_path": [-0.551, -0.5217, -0.5217, -0.5423, -0.5233, -0.5051, -0.5067, -0.536, -0.5233, -0.5281, -0.5043, -0.4925, -0.4972, -0.5059, -0.4514, -0.4719, -0.4743, -0.4885, -0.513, -0.551, -0.5692, -0.5684, -0.6103, -0.5897, -0.604, -0.5881, -0.615, -0.6245, -0.6237, -0.6269, -0.6126, -0.5794, -0.5881, -0.5217, -0.5447, -0.5296, -0.5336, -0.4957, -0.4751, -0.4372, -0.4474, -0.4451, -0.396, -0.396, -0.3423, -0.3589, -0.415, -0.4055, -0.3897, -0.2711, -0.1897, -0.2119, -0.1423, -0.1423, -0.0901, -0.0213, -0.0632, -0.0292, 0.1036, 0.1186, 0.1178, -0.0783, -0.0933, 0.0, -0.0047, -0.004, 0.0917, 0.1621, 0.2126, 0.2451, 0.3913, 0.4221, 0.3415, 0.6079, 0.6514, 0.6625, 0.4798, 0.483, 0.5739, 0.4289, 0.2735, 0.364, 0.6332, 0.6237, 0.5779, 0.5486, 0.5075, 0.4743, 0.7992, 0.7794, 0.9534, 0.7162, 0.6356, 0.5534, 0.4759, 0.3739, 0.1802, 0.1352, 0.1344, 0.1526, 0.1557, 0.151, 0.1186, 0.3209, 0.385, 0.5138, 0.5138, 0.6087, 0.5565, 0.3945, 0.4727, 0.5676, 0.5241, 0.5399, 0.5462, 0.4609, 0.4925, 0.3478, 0.1652, 0.185, 0.1375, 0.1976, 0.2814, 0.2917, 0.2577, 0.2822, 0.2822, 0.2008, 0.1921, 0.1534, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.2806, 0.4356, 0.3866, 0.2711, 0.3083, 0.3146, 0.3976, 0.4427, 0.4332, 0.385, 0.4862, 0.4862, 0.4166, 0.4008, 0.3747, 0.3889, 0.3036, 0.4822, 0.4996, 0.3992, 0.2617, 0.2498, 0.2854, 0.1265, 0.004, 0.1644, 0.3249, 0.3518, 0.287, 0.2727, 0.298, 0.298, 0.2364, 0.219, 0.249, 0.1581, 0.2032, 0.3534, 0.313, 0.3028, 0.2332, 0.2458, 0.1628, 0.268, 0.1976, 0.0767, 0.1312, 0.1036, 0.1154, 0.0838, 0.113, 0.1968, 0.1929, 0.1597, 0.1573, 0.1075, 0.1771, 0.1763]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972004802772308179", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-27T18:25:57+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CLSK is a dark horse here to make a big run if they can execute the pivot", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN and CIFR as best-in-class with more upside; CLSK a dark horse for a big run on pivot execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant I don’t think IREN and CIFR are close to done and they are best in class.\n\nBut agree CLSK is a dark horse here to make a big run if they can execute the pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "For an asset to deliver a parabolic impulse move like we're seeing now with $IREN and like we saw in $MSTR and $PLTR in 2024 the precondition is doubt. \n\nIf everyone agreed a vertical run was coming, the market would've already priced it in. Consensus kills the potential for a", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": -0.12844652737805295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12844652737805295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12564386434280927, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12345851467244817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004988012705604783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02488230587805218, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02488230587805218, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028649047906759262, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020079042309512074, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004803263568540106, "ret_p1w": 0.17215873835364515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17215873835364515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16021026024835483, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18010259458885725, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007943856235212099, "ret_p1m": 0.2878278255487876, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2878278255487876, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25260004345716003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.30888822853016784, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021060402981380233, "ret_p3m": -0.23335576958535686, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23335576958535686, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2766597648243997, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26651260448311354, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03315683489775667, "ret_p6m": -0.3557498320487804, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3557498320487804, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3455328387030303, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27402872620749774, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08172110584128267, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2878278255487876, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.25260004345716003, "alpha_c_stated": 0.30888822853016784, "price_path": [-0.1607, -0.1762, -0.1762, -0.2381, -0.2199, -0.1614, -0.1325, -0.1493, -0.1527, -0.1802, -0.1547, -0.1271, -0.1406, -0.1668, -0.1365, -0.1627, -0.1701, -0.2051, -0.191, -0.2112, -0.232, -0.2354, -0.2979, -0.2858, -0.2717, -0.2603, -0.2791, -0.3228, -0.3362, -0.3329, -0.3295, -0.3309, -0.3443, -0.3383, -0.3705, -0.3618, -0.3726, -0.3396, -0.3645, -0.349, -0.3557, -0.3578, -0.3631, -0.3631, -0.3517, -0.3652, -0.3894, -0.3786, -0.3833, -0.3497, -0.3255, -0.3141, -0.304, -0.308, -0.2468, -0.2307, -0.0948, -0.0841, -0.076, -0.0646, -0.0282, -0.08, -0.1284, 0.0, -0.0249, -0.0188, 0.0182, 0.072, 0.1722, 0.2078, 0.2764, 0.351, 0.2966, 0.3477, 0.4781, 0.5602, 0.3443, 0.313, 0.3719, 0.2623, 0.1338, 0.1883, 0.3023, 0.3584, 0.2878, 0.2703, 0.1896, 0.197, 0.1715, 0.0908, 0.115, 0.0356, 0.0471, 0.0108, -0.0555, -0.1036, -0.1944, -0.2629, -0.2865, -0.273, -0.3127, -0.3423, -0.3457, -0.228, -0.2051, -0.0955, -0.0955, 0.0155, -0.0531, -0.078, -0.0256, 0.0108, -0.0777, -0.0659, -0.0013, -0.0229, -0.0034, -0.0565, -0.1987, -0.2024, -0.228, -0.2468, -0.191, -0.1863, -0.226, -0.2334, -0.2334, -0.2663, -0.2791, -0.2993, -0.3194, -0.3194, -0.2233, -0.1728, -0.1937, -0.1977, -0.1937, -0.2192, -0.1957, -0.156, -0.1029, -0.1439, -0.1009, -0.1009, -0.1419, -0.1385, -0.113, -0.078, -0.1634, -0.1076, -0.0955, -0.1533, -0.2038, -0.2576, -0.236, -0.3127, -0.4442, -0.3221, -0.3147, -0.3255, -0.3531, -0.3739, -0.3376, -0.3376, -0.3759, -0.3766, -0.3396, -0.351, -0.3396, -0.304, -0.2972, -0.2979, -0.3309, -0.2905, -0.3349, -0.2831, -0.3309, -0.3806, -0.3537, -0.3524, -0.3403, -0.3578, -0.3436, -0.3262, -0.3201, -0.3356, -0.3389, -0.3679, -0.3289, -0.3557]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972406083403886769", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T21:00:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't stress. It almost certainly will be.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Endorses bullish breakout for Bitcoin from Bollinger band squeeze.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Don’t stress. It almost certainly will be.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin 4 hour chart\nBollinger band squeeze, big move coming\nPlease let it be bullish\nPlease let it be bullish\nPlease let it be bullish https://t.co/gBcG022Avs", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03817232823889227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03817232823889227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00677632002604911, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00677632002604911, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "ret_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07854202710977498, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07854202710977498, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "ret_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.047852029620300995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047852029620300995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "ret_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28076509420690166, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28076509420690166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "ret_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.373370214657064, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.373370214657064, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0904905052150653, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07854202710977498, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07854202710977498, "price_path": [-0.0484, -0.0415, -0.0556, -0.0533, -0.0476, -0.0269, 0.0139, 0.0272, 0.0476, 0.0295, 0.0379, 0.0427, 0.0315, 0.0266, 0.0489, 0.0381, 0.0347, 0.0283, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.03, 0.0119, -0.0094, 0.0059, -0.0023, 0.0055, 0.0271, 0.02, 0.0379, 0.0505, 0.0782, 0.0346, 0.0262, 0.0162, -0.0137, -0.0011, -0.0173, 0.0216, -0.0374, -0.0227, -0.0278, -0.0162, -0.0524, -0.045, -0.028, -0.0234, -0.0321, -0.0328, -0.0204, -0.0251, -0.0039, 0.0097, 0.0149, 0.0091, 0.0214, 0.0181, 0.0239, 0.0113, -0.0144, -0.0209, -0.0094, -0.0468, -0.041, 0.0, -0.003, 0.0371, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.0905, 0.0616, 0.0783, 0.0639, -0.0104, 0.0076, -0.0112, -0.0316, -0.0543, -0.0693, -0.0333, -0.0518, -0.0587, -0.0379, -0.0294, -0.0025, -0.0126, -0.038, -0.0533, -0.0423, -0.0686, -0.112, -0.0919, -0.1145, -0.0964, -0.0735, -0.0997, -0.1113, -0.1285, -0.1748, -0.195, -0.1875, -0.2005, -0.2427, -0.2562, -0.2284, -0.2365, -0.2088, -0.2021, -0.2053, -0.2454, -0.2015, -0.1825, -0.1946, -0.2186, -0.2077, -0.1898, -0.1956, -0.1913, -0.2109, -0.2446, -0.2321, -0.247, -0.253, -0.2299, -0.2265, -0.2359, -0.2342, -0.2375, -0.2369, -0.2383, -0.227, -0.2351, -0.2244, -0.2138, -0.1794, -0.1807, -0.2019, -0.2043, -0.2088, -0.2029, -0.1668, -0.1527, -0.1648, -0.165, -0.191, -0.2281, -0.2187, -0.218, -0.2176, -0.2284, -0.2211, -0.2204, -0.2608, -0.2646, -0.3122, -0.3389, -0.3617, -0.4519, -0.3833, -0.3871, -0.3987, -0.4144, -0.4211, -0.3981, -0.3982, -0.41, -0.4194, -0.4147, -0.4055, -0.4352, -0.4399, -0.4059, -0.4104, -0.4241, -0.3988, -0.403, -0.3644, -0.3808, -0.4044, -0.4021, -0.3888, -0.3863, -0.3838, -0.3797, -0.3456, -0.3538, -0.3772, -0.3889, -0.3835, -0.3801, -0.3836]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986136279873167785", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T18:19:24+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added 19,000 shares of NVO under $47 today. Averaging down. Targeting 150,000-200,000 shares if we get additional weakness post-earnings.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Adding to long NVO position, targeting 150–200K shares; expects to buy more on post-earnings weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Added 19,000 shares of NVO under $47 today. Averaging down. Targeting 150,000-200,000 shares if we get additional weakness post-earnings. https://t.co/5UT1z0ha2H", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004333413497103589, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004333413497103589, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0008799048943940457, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0008799048943940457, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04023932924876206, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04023932924876206, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029510056203967072, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029510056203967072, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "ret_p1w": 0.037144033893688144, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037144033893688144, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02858419348313257, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02858419348313257, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "ret_p1m": -0.009698646516209553, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009698646516209553, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019749188501987924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019749188501987924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "ret_p3m": 0.21605455358096615, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21605455358096615, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1867077230088776, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1867077230088776, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "ret_p6m": -0.09681354317798296, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09681354317798296, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1634802280095381, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1634802280095381, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009698646516209553, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019749188501987924, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019749188501987924, "price_path": [0.0423, 0.0176, 0.0158, 0.0386, 0.0397, 0.0695, 0.1092, 0.1304, 0.1205, 0.1442, 0.1758, 0.1626, 0.142, 0.1647, 0.1579, 0.1651, 0.1651, 0.1634, 0.1709, 0.1585, 0.1397, 0.1201, 0.1205, 0.122, 0.1205, 0.1323, 0.1478, 0.1804, 0.201, 0.2763, 0.267, 0.2528, 0.2286, 0.2121, 0.1564, 0.1475, 0.1453, 0.1451, 0.221, 0.2121, 0.2305, 0.2309, 0.2179, 0.2301, 0.2109, 0.1748, 0.1865, 0.1692, 0.1704, 0.1574, 0.122, 0.1502, 0.1304, 0.1015, 0.0984, 0.0929, 0.0914, 0.0741, 0.06, 0.0326, 0.0206, 0.0134, -0.0043, 0.0, -0.0402, -0.0574, -0.052, 0.0142, 0.0371, 0.0144, -0.0041, 0.0, -0.0188, 0.0111, -0.0177, -0.0171, -0.072, -0.0289, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0184, -0.0006, -0.0213, -0.0184, -0.0097, -0.0124, -0.0349, -0.0433, 0.0122, 0.0378, 0.0355, 0.0394, 0.0103, -0.0142, -0.0175, -0.0076, -0.0074, 0.065, 0.0846, 0.0846, 0.0813, 0.0621, 0.057, 0.0499, 0.0499, 0.0811, 0.1372, 0.161, 0.1674, 0.1832, 0.2136, 0.2352, 0.2307, 0.2156, 0.1787, 0.2862, 0.2862, 0.2522, 0.2241, 0.2842, 0.2848, 0.3203, 0.2978, 0.2449, 0.2243, 0.2264, 0.2161, 0.038, -0.0262, -0.1057, -0.0169, 0.0188, 0.0136, 0.0058, 0.0097, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0188, 0.0159, -0.0002, -0.0215, -0.1822, -0.2037, -0.2125, -0.2237, -0.2272, -0.2208, -0.2435, -0.2055, -0.1938, -0.2039, -0.1791, -0.201, -0.1987, -0.2154, -0.2167, -0.2039, -0.207, -0.2272, -0.2348, -0.2462, -0.2402, -0.2388, -0.2503, -0.2489, -0.2563, -0.2451, -0.2138, -0.2196, -0.2089, -0.2089, -0.2155, -0.2104, -0.1954, -0.1991, -0.1974, -0.1875, -0.1589, -0.127, -0.1244, -0.1332, -0.1345, -0.1567, -0.1625, -0.176, -0.1193, -0.1186, -0.1193, -0.1381, -0.0968]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1986556306258600284", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T22:08:26+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is an absolute beast in the making", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish IREN: 140k GPUs and $3.4B ARR by 2026, sole scaled vertically integrated AI cloud; decisive quality verdict.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IREN is growing aggressively.\n\n140k GPUs and $3.4B ARR by year end 2026.\n\nWorld class customers like Microsoft. \n\nIREN will be the only scaled up, fully vertically integrated, AI cloud built to serve external customers.\n\nThis is an absolute beast in the making.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07342093520255544, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07342093520255544, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07440444014709147, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08043113083986908, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835049445360289, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007010195637313643, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035428067671187335, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035428067671187335, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051032346298330644, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03902793938442439, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604278627143309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035998717132370572, "ret_p1w": -0.25665280317562844, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25665280317562844, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2580835309225106, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.25040050607004005, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014307277468821322, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006252297105588389, "ret_p1m": -0.2571337069714478, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2571337069714478, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2760019966459849, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2703963460268076, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01886828967453713, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013262639055359848, "ret_p3m": -0.27957682178239796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27957682178239796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3052824106824674, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30550690081453524, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705588900069465, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025930079032137288, "ret_p6m": -0.20679707125674585, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20679707125674585, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2829977466218777, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1925178532441606, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620067536513186, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014279218012585249, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.7142, -0.7158, -0.6941, -0.6844, -0.6681, -0.6997, -0.6832, -0.686, -0.6565, -0.6294, -0.6315, -0.6416, -0.6307, -0.5755, -0.5755, -0.5333, -0.5478, -0.5811, -0.5808, -0.5802, -0.516, -0.4609, -0.4734, -0.4556, -0.4046, -0.4157, -0.3924, -0.4178, -0.3806, -0.3283, -0.3304, -0.2443, -0.2579, -0.329, -0.2637, -0.2477, -0.2453, -0.2462, -0.1911, -0.0742, -0.0112, -0.0367, 0.0236, -0.0418, 0.0282, 0.1151, 0.0898, -0.0088, -0.0266, -0.0507, -0.1152, -0.1691, -0.1045, 0.0083, 0.0418, 0.0006, -0.0314, -0.0667, -0.0261, 0.0861, 0.0681, 0.2249, 0.0734, 0.0, -0.0354, -0.0802, -0.1071, -0.2201, -0.2567, -0.24, -0.2169, -0.2653, -0.3031, -0.3225, -0.2227, -0.239, -0.2233, -0.2233, -0.2336, -0.2227, -0.3408, -0.2953, -0.2554, -0.2833, -0.2571, -0.2491, -0.2959, -0.2956, -0.3567, -0.4312, -0.4134, -0.4585, -0.4261, -0.3601, -0.3261, -0.3256, -0.327, -0.327, -0.354, -0.3682, -0.386, -0.3945, -0.3945, -0.3155, -0.2267, -0.264, -0.3007, -0.2677, -0.2621, -0.1932, -0.1505, -0.1523, -0.1682, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.1302, -0.1427, -0.1622, -0.0914, -0.1606, -0.0383, 0.009, -0.0407, -0.1385, -0.1491, -0.1281, -0.2796, -0.3621, -0.3294, -0.2602, -0.3118, -0.316, -0.3583, -0.3232, -0.3232, -0.3432, -0.3254, -0.306, -0.3591, -0.3209, -0.2714, -0.2942, -0.2908, -0.3435, -0.3365, -0.3772, -0.2972, -0.3568, -0.4117, -0.3774, -0.3889, -0.327, -0.3368, -0.3334, -0.2796, -0.3113, -0.3233, -0.3322, -0.3381, -0.3241, -0.3408, -0.3358, -0.3996, -0.4375, -0.4931, -0.4505, -0.4535, -0.4426, -0.4426, -0.4368, -0.4271, -0.4096, -0.4059, -0.3697, -0.3096, -0.2406, -0.2174, -0.2353, -0.2286, -0.219, -0.2759, -0.2243, -0.1661, -0.1882, -0.2248, -0.2876, -0.3129, -0.2704, -0.268, -0.2068]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985799958382198960", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T20:02:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The game theory optimal strategy on BTC is to hold spot/ETFs for 97%+ of your allocation so you're not time dependent. If BTC runs Q4 2025, great you win. If not, it should run Q1 2026. Only the impatient lose here.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long BTC via spot/ETFs; expects a run in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026 with call options for added convexity.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The game theory optimal strategy on BTC is to hold spot/ETFs for 97%+ of your allocation so you’re not time dependent. Advanced players can use call options for 2-3% to add convexity. If BTC runs Q4 2025, great you win. If not, it should run Q1 2026. Only the impatient lose here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04879392124649917, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04879392124649917, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.036798089588607974, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.036798089588607974, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011995831657891198, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02265282648549194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02265282648549194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019187349829337785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019187349829337785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003465476656154154, "ret_p1w": 0.013849178692002528, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013849178692002528, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002356891072751388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002356891072751388, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01149228761925114, "ret_p1m": -0.07936487063146502, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07936487063146502, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09217521325285427, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09217521325285427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012810342621389248, "ret_p3m": -0.17188480378529403, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17188480378529403, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19968936635909396, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19968936635909396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02780456257379993, "ret_p6m": -0.25410234883651717, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25410234883651717, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3139207375903782, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3139207375903782, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05981838875386103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17188480378529403, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19968936635909396, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19968936635909396, "price_path": [0.1566, 0.1486, 0.1687, 0.1829, 0.2141, 0.1651, 0.1556, 0.1443, 0.1106, 0.1249, 0.1066, 0.1504, 0.084, 0.1005, 0.0948, 0.1078, 0.0671, 0.0754, 0.0946, 0.0997, 0.0899, 0.0892, 0.1032, 0.0978, 0.1217, 0.137, 0.1428, 0.1364, 0.1501, 0.1465, 0.153, 0.1388, 0.1098, 0.1026, 0.1155, 0.0734, 0.08, 0.1261, 0.1227, 0.1679, 0.1879, 0.2035, 0.228, 0.1955, 0.2142, 0.198, 0.1144, 0.1347, 0.1135, 0.0905, 0.0649, 0.048, 0.0886, 0.0678, 0.06, 0.0835, 0.093, 0.1233, 0.1119, 0.0833, 0.0661, 0.0784, 0.0488, 0.0, 0.0227, -0.0028, 0.0175, 0.0434, 0.0138, 0.0007, -0.0186, -0.0708, -0.0935, -0.0851, -0.0997, -0.1472, -0.1624, -0.1311, -0.1403, -0.109, -0.1014, -0.105, -0.1503, -0.1008, -0.0794, -0.093, -0.1201, -0.1078, -0.0876, -0.0942, -0.0894, -0.1114, -0.1493, -0.1353, -0.152, -0.1588, -0.1328, -0.129, -0.1395, -0.1376, -0.1413, -0.1407, -0.1423, -0.1295, -0.1386, -0.1266, -0.1146, -0.0759, -0.0774, -0.1012, -0.104, -0.109, -0.1023, -0.0617, -0.0459, -0.0594, -0.0597, -0.089, -0.1307, -0.1202, -0.1194, -0.119, -0.1311, -0.1229, -0.1221, -0.1676, -0.1719, -0.2254, -0.2555, -0.2812, -0.3828, -0.3055, -0.3098, -0.3228, -0.3406, -0.3481, -0.3222, -0.3223, -0.3356, -0.3461, -0.3409, -0.3306, -0.3639, -0.3692, -0.331, -0.336, -0.3515, -0.323, -0.3278, -0.2843, -0.3027, -0.3293, -0.3267, -0.3117, -0.3089, -0.3061, -0.3014, -0.2631, -0.2723, -0.2987, -0.3118, -0.3058, -0.302, -0.3059, -0.2981, -0.3229, -0.347, -0.3435, -0.3283, -0.3299, -0.3416, -0.3412, -0.3222, -0.2919, -0.2999, -0.2936, -0.2816, -0.2668, -0.2698, -0.2637, -0.2602, -0.2408, -0.2532, -0.2484, -0.2302, -0.2296, -0.2376, -0.2384, -0.2484, -0.2541]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969488269353357690", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-20T19:46:09+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The company is playing game theory optimal poker. This means \"overplaying\" is actually impossible.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN; author argues their negotiating strategy with hyperscalers is game-theory optimal, making overplaying impossible.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jiahanjimliu The company is playing game theory optimal poker. This means “overplaying” is actually impossible.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN Secured Power Advantage (Hand Written)\n\nA fair skeptical question I’ve been asked on IREN is: If IREN overplays their hand, could hyperscalers can simply say, “Forget it, we’ll build ourselves.”? The answer is that hyperscalers are definitely acquiring power and building", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jiahanjimliu", "ret_m1d": -0.07780434409332848, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07780434409332848, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07309557217257079, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0791375971521382, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004708771920757693, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013332530588097136, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0031026506773500495, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0031026506773500495, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023409122598723187, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0013418598680481342, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443562937222368, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004444510545398184, "ret_p1w": 0.09618135161183239, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09618135161183239, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10092011688606295, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09377397394455755, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738765274230561, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002407377667274835, "ret_p1m": 0.31730304736943404, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31730304736943404, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3106298492270654, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3408215998653258, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006673198142368664, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023518552495891742, "ret_p3m": -0.14558477486094568, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14558477486094568, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16002588240382176, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1555848163329382, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441107542876086, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010000041471992516, "ret_p6m": 0.025298270166865144, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025298270166865144, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.016402518388536125, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.104312784077215, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00889575177832902, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07901451391034986, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.31730304736943404, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.3106298492270654, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3408215998653258, "price_path": [-0.7167, -0.6871, -0.6659, -0.6523, -0.6365, -0.6263, -0.5986, -0.5986, -0.5955, -0.5969, -0.5952, -0.5936, -0.6126, -0.5876, -0.5971, -0.5869, -0.5692, -0.5718, -0.5668, -0.5563, -0.5468, -0.5671, -0.5771, -0.6043, -0.6232, -0.6148, -0.6155, -0.6325, -0.6067, -0.6074, -0.5628, -0.5568, -0.5597, -0.5711, -0.5745, -0.5768, -0.5446, -0.5301, -0.5058, -0.553, -0.5284, -0.5325, -0.4885, -0.4482, -0.4513, -0.4665, -0.4501, -0.368, -0.368, -0.3053, -0.3267, -0.3764, -0.3759, -0.3749, -0.2795, -0.1974, -0.216, -0.1895, -0.1136, -0.1301, -0.0955, -0.1332, -0.0778, 0.0, -0.0031, 0.1251, 0.1048, -0.001, 0.0962, 0.12, 0.1236, 0.1222, 0.2043, 0.3783, 0.4721, 0.4341, 0.5239, 0.4265, 0.5308, 0.6601, 0.6224, 0.4757, 0.4492, 0.4134, 0.3173, 0.237, 0.3332, 0.5012, 0.5511, 0.4897, 0.442, 0.3895, 0.4499, 0.6169, 0.5902, 0.8236, 0.5981, 0.4888, 0.436, 0.3695, 0.3294, 0.1611, 0.1067, 0.1315, 0.1659, 0.0938, 0.0375, 0.0086, 0.1573, 0.1329, 0.1563, 0.1563, 0.1411, 0.1573, -0.0186, 0.0492, 0.1086, 0.0671, 0.106, 0.1179, 0.0482, 0.0487, -0.0422, -0.1532, -0.1267, -0.1938, -0.1456, -0.0473, 0.0033, 0.0041, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0382, -0.0594, -0.0859, -0.0986, -0.0986, 0.0191, 0.1513, 0.0957, 0.0412, 0.0902, 0.0986, 0.2012, 0.2647, 0.2621, 0.2384, 0.38, 0.38, 0.295, 0.2764, 0.2473, 0.3527, 0.2496, 0.4317, 0.5021, 0.4282, 0.2826, 0.2668, 0.2981, 0.0726, -0.0504, -0.0017, 0.1014, 0.0246, 0.0184, -0.0446, 0.0076, 0.0076, -0.0222, 0.0043, 0.0332, -0.0458, 0.011, 0.0847, 0.0508, 0.0558, -0.0227, -0.0122, -0.0728, 0.0463, -0.0424, -0.1241, -0.073, -0.0902, 0.0019, -0.0126, -0.0076, 0.0726, 0.0253]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964453935256846626", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-06T22:21:30+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Got some there. Closed over $42.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought BMNR at the dip under $40; shares closed over $42.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TomLeeTracker Thanks for the bottom call. Got some there. Closed over $42.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BMNR just dropped back under $40 https://t.co/zdTW0lK3ls", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TomLeeTracker", "ret_m1d": -0.03996352012336091, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03996352012336091, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03751277238231554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03921033137999497, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007531887433659401, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01849725982657935, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01849725982657935, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01618537542631593, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014166606904719714, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004330652921859635, "ret_p1w": 0.21283390362913068, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21283390362913068, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19421594388161845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2021015110936497, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010732392535480972, "ret_p1m": 0.35190672361143105, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.35190672361143105, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31777592157291723, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.33614687280203026, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01575985080940079, "ret_p3m": -0.17058699279430067, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17058699279430067, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22831771471056905, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1842688275171478, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01368183472284712, "ret_p6m": -0.5529630924450823, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5529630924450823, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.607526018177734, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.52374351225116, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029219580193922345, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.35190672361143105, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.31777592157291723, "alpha_c_stated": 0.33614687280203026, "price_path": [-0.8561, -0.8719, -0.8867, -0.8915, -0.8899, -0.8927, -0.8927, -0.8947, -0.8995, -0.8991, -0.9002, -0.8991, -0.9026, -0.2259, 0.0505, 0.3359, 2.0829, 2.0829, 1.4544, 1.5462, 0.5236, 0.0507, -0.0724, -0.0633, -0.0875, 0.0231, -0.0432, -0.0329, -0.0964, -0.079, -0.098, -0.0466, -0.0911, -0.1982, -0.2692, -0.2144, -0.209, -0.2765, -0.2891, -0.2396, -0.1215, -0.0573, 0.1745, 0.3469, 0.4259, 0.4074, 0.3805, 0.3202, 0.253, 0.1368, 0.1889, 0.09, 0.2215, 0.1327, 0.1407, 0.0512, 0.0406, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0297, 0.0244, -0.0365, -0.04, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.0413, 0.0913, 0.258, 0.2128, 0.2772, 0.3033, 0.3693, 0.3996, 0.2583, 0.2443, 0.1857, 0.132, 0.1532, 0.2153, 0.1859, 0.1957, 0.2902, 0.2937, 0.4437, 0.3519, 0.3702, 0.3496, 0.1982, 0.2982, 0.2085, 0.2286, 0.1665, 0.1384, 0.2286, 0.1841, 0.0968, 0.1233, 0.1512, 0.2265, 0.1998, 0.1363, 0.0174, 0.0653, -0.0212, -0.0989, -0.0541, -0.1466, -0.0813, -0.0603, -0.0959, -0.0735, -0.1649, -0.2144, -0.2932, -0.2628, -0.3336, -0.4058, -0.4063, -0.2898, -0.3398, -0.2752, -0.2752, -0.2437, -0.3391, -0.2713, -0.2313, -0.1706, -0.2222, -0.1813, -0.1043, -0.0771, -0.1233, -0.2037, -0.293, -0.283, -0.3302, -0.3506, -0.2836, -0.2898, -0.3197, -0.3296, -0.3296, -0.3533, -0.3481, -0.3668, -0.3798, -0.3798, -0.2875, -0.2382, -0.2615, -0.3065, -0.2855, -0.3133, -0.2889, -0.2868, -0.2539, -0.2948, -0.2882, -0.2882, -0.3549, -0.3296, -0.3398, -0.3421, -0.365, -0.33, -0.3232, -0.3901, -0.4266, -0.4792, -0.4895, -0.5363, -0.6025, -0.5324, -0.51, -0.5443, -0.5552, -0.5491, -0.5212, -0.5212, -0.5397, -0.5473, -0.5441, -0.5402, -0.561, -0.5559, -0.5089, -0.5331, -0.5664, -0.534, -0.553]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1972431124354994177", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T22:40:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will break $124,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC >$124K, ETH >$5K, IWM >244 all converging in October, triggering a massive global risk-asset rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick and friendly reminder:\n\nBitcoin will break $124,000, Ethereum will break $5,000, and the IWM will break 244 decisively, and all will happen around the same time in October, both corresponding with and triggering a massive global rally in all risk assets. Buckle up, cowboys.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03817232823889227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03817232823889227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00677632002604911, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00677632002604911, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "ret_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07854202710977498, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07854202710977498, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "ret_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.047852029620300995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047852029620300995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "ret_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28076509420690166, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28076509420690166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "ret_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.373370214657064, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.373370214657064, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.012624247528673416, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.047852029620300995, "alpha_c_stated": -0.047852029620300995, "price_path": [-0.0484, -0.0415, -0.0556, -0.0533, -0.0476, -0.0269, 0.0139, 0.0272, 0.0476, 0.0295, 0.0379, 0.0427, 0.0315, 0.0266, 0.0489, 0.0381, 0.0347, 0.0283, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.03, 0.0119, -0.0094, 0.0059, -0.0023, 0.0055, 0.0271, 0.02, 0.0379, 0.0505, 0.0782, 0.0346, 0.0262, 0.0162, -0.0137, -0.0011, -0.0173, 0.0216, -0.0374, -0.0227, -0.0278, -0.0162, -0.0524, -0.045, -0.028, -0.0234, -0.0321, -0.0328, -0.0204, -0.0251, -0.0039, 0.0097, 0.0149, 0.0091, 0.0214, 0.0181, 0.0239, 0.0113, -0.0144, -0.0209, -0.0094, -0.0468, -0.041, 0.0, -0.003, 0.0371, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.0905, 0.0616, 0.0783, 0.0639, -0.0104, 0.0076, -0.0112, -0.0316, -0.0543, -0.0693, -0.0333, -0.0518, -0.0587, -0.0379, -0.0294, -0.0025, -0.0126, -0.038, -0.0533, -0.0423, -0.0686, -0.112, -0.0919, -0.1145, -0.0964, -0.0735, -0.0997, -0.1113, -0.1285, -0.1748, -0.195, -0.1875, -0.2005, -0.2427, -0.2562, -0.2284, -0.2365, -0.2088, -0.2021, -0.2053, -0.2454, -0.2015, -0.1825, -0.1946, -0.2186, -0.2077, -0.1898, -0.1956, -0.1913, -0.2109, -0.2446, -0.2321, -0.247, -0.253, -0.2299, -0.2265, -0.2359, -0.2342, -0.2375, -0.2369, -0.2383, -0.227, -0.2351, -0.2244, -0.2138, -0.1794, -0.1807, -0.2019, -0.2043, -0.2088, -0.2029, -0.1668, -0.1527, -0.1648, -0.165, -0.191, -0.2281, -0.2187, -0.218, -0.2176, -0.2284, -0.2211, -0.2204, -0.2608, -0.2646, -0.3122, -0.3389, -0.3617, -0.4519, -0.3833, -0.3871, -0.3987, -0.4144, -0.4211, -0.3981, -0.3982, -0.41, -0.4194, -0.4147, -0.4055, -0.4352, -0.4399, -0.4059, -0.4104, -0.4241, -0.3988, -0.403, -0.3644, -0.3808, -0.4044, -0.4021, -0.3888, -0.3863, -0.3838, -0.3797, -0.3456, -0.3538, -0.3772, -0.3889, -0.3835, -0.3801, -0.3836]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1972431124354994177", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-28T22:40:00+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ethereum will break $5,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC >$124K, ETH >$5K, IWM >244 all converging in October, triggering a massive global risk-asset rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick and friendly reminder:\n\nBitcoin will break $124,000, Ethereum will break $5,000, and the IWM will break 244 decisively, and all will happen around the same time in October, both corresponding with and triggering a massive global rally in all risk assets. Buckle up, cowboys.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.043025646523677574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043025646523677574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.040222983488433894, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040222983488433894, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016926367551390986, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016926367551390986, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020693109580098068, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020693109580098068, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "ret_p1w": 0.11154649306550946, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11154649306550946, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09959801496021914, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09959801496021914, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "ret_p1m": -0.055741117752731384, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.055741117752731384, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09096889984435896, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09096889984435896, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "ret_p3m": -0.3115142832399148, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3115142832399148, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35481827847895764, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.35481827847895764, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "ret_p6m": -0.48884760839150476, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.48884760839150476, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.47863061504575466, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.47863061504575466, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.055741117752731384, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09096889984435896, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09096889984435896, "price_path": [-0.3903, -0.3856, -0.4052, -0.397, -0.3798, -0.343, -0.2994, -0.2986, -0.2855, -0.2555, -0.2006, -0.1756, -0.1585, -0.1076, -0.111, -0.1393, -0.1208, -0.1162, -0.1019, -0.1005, -0.097, -0.1235, -0.1729, -0.1182, -0.1436, -0.1265, -0.0718, -0.0492, 0.0023, 0.0886, 0.1278, 0.0784, 0.0528, 0.0226, -0.0341, 0.0278, 0.0014, 0.1456, 0.0369, 0.0908, 0.0678, 0.0687, 0.0339, 0.023, 0.0256, 0.0553, 0.0193, 0.0213, 0.0215, 0.0217, 0.0313, 0.0578, 0.1181, 0.0734, 0.0679, 0.089, 0.0883, 0.0601, -0.0034, -0.0123, -0.0151, -0.0828, -0.043, 0.0, -0.0169, 0.0317, 0.0642, 0.0705, 0.1115, 0.0554, 0.0736, 0.036, -0.0888, 0.0067, -0.0218, -0.0545, -0.0765, -0.0912, -0.0561, -0.0808, -0.097, -0.0857, -0.0671, -0.0231, -0.0557, -0.0745, -0.0979, -0.0878, -0.1458, -0.2193, -0.1878, -0.2146, -0.1854, -0.1539, -0.1902, -0.1907, -0.2335, -0.264, -0.2828, -0.2595, -0.2832, -0.3285, -0.3442, -0.2999, -0.2986, -0.2821, -0.2852, -0.281, -0.336, -0.2891, -0.2432, -0.2568, -0.2829, -0.259, -0.2125, -0.2115, -0.2324, -0.2687, -0.2971, -0.2971, -0.3286, -0.3297, -0.2939, -0.2872, -0.2973, -0.3016, -0.3115, -0.3063, -0.3042, -0.2954, -0.2965, -0.2886, -0.2591, -0.235, -0.2185, -0.2491, -0.2639, -0.269, -0.2668, -0.2123, -0.2045, -0.2135, -0.2186, -0.2444, -0.3039, -0.2937, -0.3006, -0.2997, -0.3061, -0.2834, -0.2871, -0.3318, -0.3592, -0.4441, -0.4718, -0.4917, -0.568, -0.5107, -0.5012, -0.5211, -0.5398, -0.5383, -0.5143, -0.5263, -0.5276, -0.5367, -0.538, -0.5331, -0.56, -0.5606, -0.5128, -0.5194, -0.5422, -0.5193, -0.5299, -0.4958, -0.5088, -0.5308, -0.5274, -0.517, -0.5135, -0.5084, -0.5038, -0.4425, -0.4504, -0.4775, -0.4932, -0.491, -0.4897, -0.4888]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1972431124354994177", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-28T22:40:00+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the IWM will break 244 decisively", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC >$124K, ETH >$5K, IWM >244 all converging in October, triggering a massive global risk-asset rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Quick and friendly reminder:\n\nBitcoin will break $124,000, Ethereum will break $5,000, and the IWM will break 244 decisively, and all will happen around the same time in October, both corresponding with and triggering a massive global rally in all risk assets. Buckle up, cowboys.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001158846831282756, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001158846831282756, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0016438162039609239, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016438162039609239, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00280266303524368, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014072484141811614, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0014072484141811614, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0023594936145259204, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0023594936145259204, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003766742028707082, "ret_p1w": 0.021480056037971762, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021480056037971762, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009531577932681445, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009531577932681445, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948478105290317, "ret_p1m": 0.030378355568795756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030378355568795756, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004849426522831823, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004849426522831823, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522778209162758, "ret_p3m": 0.04940595499528322, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04940595499528322, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.006101959756240394, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006101959756240394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303995239042825, "ret_p6m": 0.034923837300526284, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.034923837300526284, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.045140830646276386, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.045140830646276386, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010216993345750103, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.030378355568795756, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.004849426522831823, "alpha_c_stated": -0.004849426522831823, "price_path": [-0.0878, -0.0793, -0.0793, -0.0932, -0.0869, -0.077, -0.0722, -0.085, -0.0789, -0.0969, -0.0878, -0.0759, -0.0824, -0.0862, -0.0786, -0.0645, -0.0774, -0.074, -0.0751, -0.081, -0.0856, -0.0946, -0.113, -0.0932, -0.0885, -0.0897, -0.0927, -0.0907, -0.0909, -0.0639, -0.0457, -0.058, -0.0626, -0.0592, -0.0664, -0.0697, -0.0674, -0.0309, -0.041, -0.0331, -0.0263, -0.0251, -0.0294, -0.0294, -0.0347, -0.0356, -0.0236, -0.0187, -0.0167, -0.0225, -0.0242, -0.0062, -0.0164, -0.0122, -0.0138, -0.0113, 0.0133, 0.0056, 0.0115, 0.0092, -0.0001, -0.0096, -0.0012, 0.0, 0.0014, 0.0036, 0.0099, 0.0174, 0.0215, 0.0105, 0.0211, 0.0145, -0.0159, 0.0115, 0.026, 0.036, 0.0142, 0.0074, 0.0271, 0.0222, 0.0071, 0.0199, 0.0323, 0.0359, 0.0304, 0.0216, 0.0134, 0.0191, 0.0158, -0.0017, 0.0127, -0.0053, -0.0, 0.01, 0.0108, 0.0084, -0.02, -0.0171, -0.0367, -0.0337, -0.0339, -0.0518, -0.0249, -0.0071, 0.0145, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0295, 0.0166, 0.0147, 0.0332, 0.0422, 0.0379, 0.0383, 0.0404, 0.0546, 0.067, 0.0506, 0.0427, 0.0377, 0.0267, 0.0328, 0.0414, 0.053, 0.0468, 0.0494, 0.0494, 0.044, 0.0377, 0.03, 0.0222, 0.0222, 0.0331, 0.0495, 0.0634, 0.0609, 0.0725, 0.0806, 0.0859, 0.0853, 0.0929, 0.1026, 0.1036, 0.1036, 0.0904, 0.112, 0.1203, 0.0997, 0.0962, 0.0993, 0.0934, 0.0937, 0.0782, 0.0887, 0.0912, 0.0818, 0.0624, 0.1005, 0.1082, 0.1053, 0.1002, 0.0778, 0.092, 0.092, 0.0923, 0.0962, 0.0988, 0.0988, 0.0817, 0.0935, 0.0987, 0.1046, 0.0855, 0.0955, 0.0765, 0.087, 0.0662, 0.0418, 0.0532, 0.0521, 0.05, 0.0274, 0.024, 0.0337, 0.0402, 0.0234, 0.0301, 0.0076, 0.0294, 0.0349]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971566609165905974", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T13:24:44+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The odds of a 2nd CIFR colo deal in 2025 sit around 80% in my estimation.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction long CIFR: 80% probability of a 2nd co-location deal in 2025, possibly two or more across multiple sites.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The odds of a 2nd CIFR colo deal in 2025 sit around 80% in my estimation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about it this week and I am becoming increasingly convinced that CIFR will sign not one, but possibly two or more major co-location agreements across multiple sites before the end of 2025. It’s a hunch at this stage but I’m gaining confidence.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022261221839110723, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01957743786526911, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005696306759774172, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0030125227859325587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10006647165339522, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09753342894008377, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028105400319002882, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005343582745211739, "ret_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.27043776285637366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2605166986187226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011166375508047555, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0210874397456986, "ret_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7553712126734224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7184589806040838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387325891810706, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0722995579611494, "ret_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.36788746555131, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3631847467147802, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623624288310357, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05093896171963341, "ret_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3022612270829462, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31317230656669504, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092090494088763, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015003169977837572, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.7907585385652331, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7553712126734224, "alpha_c_stated": 0.7184589806040838, "price_path": [-0.5728, -0.5048, -0.4725, -0.4725, -0.4952, -0.4743, -0.4542, -0.456, -0.4882, -0.4743, -0.4795, -0.4534, -0.4403, -0.4455, -0.4551, -0.3949, -0.4176, -0.4202, -0.4359, -0.4629, -0.5048, -0.5248, -0.524, -0.5702, -0.5475, -0.5632, -0.5458, -0.5754, -0.5859, -0.585, -0.5885, -0.5728, -0.5362, -0.5458, -0.4725, -0.4978, -0.4813, -0.4856, -0.4438, -0.4211, -0.3793, -0.3906, -0.388, -0.3339, -0.3339, -0.2746, -0.2929, -0.3548, -0.3444, -0.3269, -0.1962, -0.1064, -0.1308, -0.0541, -0.0541, 0.0035, 0.0793, 0.0331, 0.0706, 0.2171, 0.2337, 0.2328, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.1029, 0.0976, 0.0985, 0.204, 0.2816, 0.3374, 0.3731, 0.5344, 0.5684, 0.4795, 0.7733, 0.8213, 0.8335, 0.6321, 0.6356, 0.7358, 0.5759, 0.4045, 0.5044, 0.8012, 0.7908, 0.7402, 0.7079, 0.6626, 0.626, 0.9843, 0.9625, 1.1543, 0.8928, 0.8038, 0.7132, 0.6277, 0.5153, 0.3017, 0.252, 0.2511, 0.2711, 0.2746, 0.2694, 0.2337, 0.4568, 0.5275, 0.6696, 0.6696, 0.7742, 0.7167, 0.5379, 0.6242, 0.7289, 0.6809, 0.6983, 0.7053, 0.6112, 0.646, 0.4865, 0.2851, 0.3069, 0.2546, 0.3208, 0.4133, 0.4246, 0.3871, 0.4141, 0.4141, 0.3243, 0.3147, 0.272, 0.2868, 0.2868, 0.4124, 0.5833, 0.5292, 0.4019, 0.4429, 0.4499, 0.5414, 0.5911, 0.5806, 0.5275, 0.6391, 0.6391, 0.5623, 0.5449, 0.5161, 0.5318, 0.4377, 0.6347, 0.6539, 0.5432, 0.3915, 0.3784, 0.4176, 0.2424, 0.1072, 0.2842, 0.4612, 0.4908, 0.4194, 0.4037, 0.4316, 0.4316, 0.3636, 0.3444, 0.3775, 0.2772, 0.3269, 0.4926, 0.4481, 0.4368, 0.3601, 0.374, 0.2825, 0.3984, 0.3208, 0.1874, 0.2476, 0.2171, 0.2302, 0.1953, 0.2276, 0.32, 0.3156, 0.279, 0.2764, 0.2214, 0.2982]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965073983357043068", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-08T15:25:21+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin always starts its biggest runs like this. It lulls people asleep, seemingly doing nothing for weeks, and then quietly and stealthily begins a steady climb. You look at it one day and then you blink and it's 30% higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC: expects a stealthy +30% surge by November, shocking retail investors.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin always starts its biggest runs like this. It lulls people asleep, seemingly doing nothing for weeks, and then quietly and stealthily begins a steady climb. You look at it one day and then you blink and it’s 30% higher. A lot of normies are going to be shocked in November.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "ret_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "ret_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "ret_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "ret_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08369620295872959, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.049565400920215774, "alpha_c_stated": 0.049565400920215774, "price_path": [-0.0302, -0.0548, -0.0534, -0.0471, -0.0667, -0.0641, -0.0659, -0.0782, -0.0579, -0.0538, -0.042, -0.0456, -0.0445, -0.044, -0.0569, -0.0287, -0.0216, -0.036, -0.0337, -0.0278, -0.0066, 0.0349, 0.0486, 0.0694, 0.0509, 0.0595, 0.0644, 0.0529, 0.0479, 0.0707, 0.0596, 0.0562, 0.0497, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0514, 0.0329, 0.0111, 0.0268, 0.0185, 0.0264, 0.0484, 0.0412, 0.0594, 0.0723, 0.1006, 0.0561, 0.0475, 0.0373, 0.0068, 0.0197, 0.0031, 0.0429, -0.0174, -0.0024, -0.0076, 0.0042, -0.0327, -0.0252, -0.0078, -0.0031, -0.012, -0.0127, 0.0, -0.0048, 0.0168, 0.0307, 0.036, 0.0301, 0.0426, 0.0392, 0.0452, 0.0323, 0.006, -0.0005, 0.0112, -0.027, -0.021, 0.0208, 0.0177, 0.0587, 0.0768, 0.091, 0.1132, 0.0837, 0.1007, 0.086, 0.0102, 0.0286, 0.0093, -0.0115, -0.0347, -0.05, -0.0132, -0.0321, -0.0391, -0.0179, -0.0093, 0.0183, 0.0079, -0.018, -0.0336, -0.0224, -0.0493, -0.0935, -0.073, -0.0961, -0.0776, -0.0542, -0.081, -0.0929, -0.1104, -0.1577, -0.1783, -0.1706, -0.1839, -0.227, -0.2407, -0.2124, -0.2207, -0.1923, -0.1855, -0.1887, -0.2298, -0.1849, -0.1655, -0.1778, -0.2024, -0.1912, -0.1729, -0.1789, -0.1745, -0.1945, -0.2289, -0.2162, -0.2313, -0.2374, -0.2139, -0.2104, -0.22, -0.2182, -0.2216, -0.221, -0.2225, -0.2109, -0.2192, -0.2083, -0.1974, -0.1623, -0.1637, -0.1853, -0.1878, -0.1924, -0.1863, -0.1495, -0.1351, -0.1474, -0.1476, -0.1742, -0.212, -0.2025, -0.2017, -0.2014, -0.2124, -0.2049, -0.2042, -0.2455, -0.2493, -0.2979, -0.3251, -0.3485, -0.4405, -0.3704, -0.3743, -0.3862, -0.4022, -0.4091, -0.3856, -0.3857, -0.3978, -0.4073, -0.4025, -0.3932, -0.4234, -0.4282, -0.3936, -0.3981, -0.4121, -0.3863, -0.3906]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1963383544174317764", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-03T23:28:09+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We will be at $130,000+ in a few weeks no matter what the charts say", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC to $130K+ in a few weeks regardless of chart signals.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatthewHyland_ You say that like it matters. We will be at $130,000+ in a few weeks no matter what the charts say.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#BTC Weekly RSI has opportunity to make hidden bullish divergence going forward: https://t.co/1ZGRm1nITV", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatthewHyland_", "ret_m1d": -0.0046778551709578675, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0046778551709578675, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0036103891284677836, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0036103891284677836, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008288244299425651, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008288244299425651, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008947195185422974, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008947195185422974, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006050811216137264, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006050811216137264, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028963839692857096, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028963839692857096, "ret_p1w": 0.01997927215633566, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01997927215633566, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006869298645519217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006869298645519217, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013109973510816442, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013109973510816442, "ret_p1m": 0.08018071446238051, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08018071446238051, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04637280425199486, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04637280425199486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03380791021038565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03380791021038565, "ret_p3m": -0.22736225008078348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22736225008078348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2802021961079906, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2802021961079906, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.052839946027207096, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052839946027207096, "ret_p6m": -0.39624208012393347, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39624208012393347, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4591032903211141, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4591032903211141, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0628612101971806, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0628612101971806, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08018071446238051, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04637280425199486, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04637280425199486, "price_path": [-0.0656, -0.0128, -0.0131, -0.0272, -0.0519, -0.0504, -0.0441, -0.0637, -0.0612, -0.063, -0.0753, -0.055, -0.0508, -0.039, -0.0426, -0.0415, -0.0411, -0.0539, -0.0256, -0.0186, -0.033, -0.0306, -0.0248, -0.0036, 0.0382, 0.0519, 0.0727, 0.0542, 0.0628, 0.0677, 0.0562, 0.0512, 0.074, 0.0629, 0.0595, 0.0529, 0.0555, 0.0555, 0.0547, 0.0361, 0.0143, 0.03, 0.0216, 0.0296, 0.0517, 0.0444, 0.0627, 0.0756, 0.104, 0.0594, 0.0508, 0.0405, 0.0099, 0.0228, 0.0062, 0.0461, -0.0143, 0.0007, -0.0045, 0.0074, -0.0296, -0.0221, -0.0047, 0.0, -0.0089, -0.0096, 0.0031, -0.0017, 0.02, 0.0339, 0.0392, 0.0333, 0.0458, 0.0425, 0.0485, 0.0355, 0.0092, 0.0026, 0.0144, -0.0239, -0.018, 0.024, 0.0209, 0.062, 0.0802, 0.0944, 0.1166, 0.0871, 0.1041, 0.0893, 0.0133, 0.0318, 0.0125, -0.0084, -0.0317, -0.047, -0.0102, -0.0291, -0.0361, -0.0148, -0.0062, 0.0214, 0.011, -0.0149, -0.0306, -0.0194, -0.0463, -0.0907, -0.0701, -0.0933, -0.0747, -0.0513, -0.0781, -0.09, -0.1076, -0.1551, -0.1757, -0.168, -0.1813, -0.2246, -0.2384, -0.2099, -0.2182, -0.1898, -0.1829, -0.1862, -0.2274, -0.1824, -0.1629, -0.1753, -0.1999, -0.1887, -0.1703, -0.1763, -0.172, -0.192, -0.2265, -0.2137, -0.229, -0.2351, -0.2114, -0.208, -0.2176, -0.2158, -0.2192, -0.2186, -0.2201, -0.2085, -0.2167, -0.2058, -0.1949, -0.1597, -0.1611, -0.1827, -0.1852, -0.1898, -0.1838, -0.1468, -0.1324, -0.1448, -0.145, -0.1716, -0.2096, -0.2, -0.1992, -0.1989, -0.2099, -0.2025, -0.2017, -0.2431, -0.247, -0.2957, -0.323, -0.3464, -0.4388, -0.3685, -0.3724, -0.3842, -0.4004, -0.4073, -0.3837, -0.3838, -0.3959, -0.4054, -0.4007, -0.3913, -0.4216, -0.4264, -0.3917, -0.3962]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965859101302526415", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T19:25:08+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You are not bullish enough on IREN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IREN; author implies market/consensus is underestimating it in the context of the Oracle-OpenAI cloud buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@amitisinvesting You are not bullish enough on IREN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "BREAKING: Oracle and OpenAI have signed a deal worth $300B, the largest cloud computing contract in history as per the Wall Street Journal.\n\nLooks like we found the customer responsible for Oracle’s 350% increase in remaining performance obligations.\n\nMy goodness. \n\n$ORCL https://t.co/DdOsO3ot07", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10228963499258104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0994072569829405, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10567572381222812, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033860888196470817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023193653559935967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03150384939851758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03955933657797828, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01636568301804231, "ret_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1269699768702084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11628323609290958, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10966365694595481, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017306319924253577, "ret_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8922907085380374, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006311624087446344, "ret_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37793632711249203, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32685560803851654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3686049437473511, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009331383365140944, "ret_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1931310950222569, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14252214618614611, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22288482202636983, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02975372700411294, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.8986023326254837, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8666942576145835, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8922907085380374, "price_path": [-0.7077, -0.6908, -0.7095, -0.7086, -0.7086, -0.6887, -0.683, -0.6569, -0.647, -0.6102, -0.5837, -0.5668, -0.5471, -0.5343, -0.4999, -0.4999, -0.496, -0.4978, -0.4957, -0.4936, -0.5174, -0.4862, -0.4981, -0.4853, -0.4633, -0.4665, -0.4603, -0.4472, -0.4353, -0.4606, -0.4731, -0.507, -0.5305, -0.5201, -0.521, -0.5421, -0.51, -0.5109, -0.4552, -0.4478, -0.4514, -0.4657, -0.4698, -0.4728, -0.4326, -0.4145, -0.3843, -0.4431, -0.4124, -0.4175, -0.3628, -0.3125, -0.3164, -0.3353, -0.3149, -0.2126, -0.2126, -0.1344, -0.1612, -0.223, -0.2224, -0.2212, -0.1023, 0.0, -0.0232, 0.0098, 0.1044, 0.0839, 0.127, 0.08, 0.149, 0.2459, 0.242, 0.4017, 0.3764, 0.2447, 0.3657, 0.3955, 0.3999, 0.3982, 0.5004, 0.7172, 0.8341, 0.7868, 0.8986, 0.7773, 0.9072, 1.0684, 1.0214, 0.8385, 0.8055, 0.7609, 0.6412, 0.5412, 0.661, 0.8704, 0.9325, 0.8561, 0.7966, 0.7312, 0.8064, 1.0146, 0.9813, 1.2721, 0.9911, 0.8549, 0.7892, 0.7062, 0.6563, 0.4466, 0.3788, 0.4098, 0.4526, 0.3628, 0.2926, 0.2566, 0.4419, 0.4115, 0.4407, 0.4407, 0.4216, 0.4419, 0.2227, 0.3072, 0.3812, 0.3295, 0.3779, 0.3928, 0.306, 0.3066, 0.1933, 0.055, 0.088, 0.0045, 0.0645, 0.187, 0.2501, 0.251, 0.2483, 0.2483, 0.1983, 0.1719, 0.1389, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.2697, 0.4344, 0.3652, 0.2972, 0.3583, 0.3687, 0.4966, 0.5757, 0.5724, 0.543, 0.7193, 0.7193, 0.6134, 0.5902, 0.554, 0.6854, 0.5569, 0.7838, 0.8715, 0.7794, 0.598, 0.5784, 0.6173, 0.3363, 0.1832, 0.2438, 0.3723, 0.2765, 0.2688, 0.1903, 0.2554, 0.2554, 0.2183, 0.2513, 0.2872, 0.1888, 0.2596, 0.3515, 0.3092, 0.3155, 0.2177, 0.2307, 0.1552, 0.3036, 0.1931]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964181178275287286", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-06T04:17:40+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agree it's going up, maybe substantially.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Ethereum; expects a substantial move up from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Agree it’s going up, maybe substantially.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Ethereum https://t.co/3MlUMQev1A", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.0002515036951434846, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0002515036951434846, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0021992440459018825, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021992440459018825, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00022498189944109015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00022498189944109015, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0020869025008223296, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0020869025008223296, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "ret_p1w": 0.050776317895230294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.050776317895230294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03215835814771806, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03215835814771806, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "ret_p1m": 0.03321197533881026, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03321197533881026, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0009188266997035566, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0009188266997035566, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "ret_p3m": -0.272455007020342, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.272455007020342, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33018572893661036, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33018572893661036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "ret_p6m": -0.5397549533420409, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5397549533420409, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5943178790746926, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5943178790746926, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03321197533881026, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0009188266997035566, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0009188266997035566, "price_path": [-0.3562, -0.3845, -0.4012, -0.4103, -0.4172, -0.4141, -0.4147, -0.4412, -0.4378, -0.4318, -0.4384, -0.4392, -0.4374, -0.4228, -0.4416, -0.4031, -0.3986, -0.4177, -0.4097, -0.3929, -0.3568, -0.3141, -0.3134, -0.3005, -0.2712, -0.2174, -0.193, -0.1762, -0.1264, -0.1297, -0.1575, -0.1393, -0.1348, -0.1209, -0.1195, -0.116, -0.1419, -0.1903, -0.1367, -0.1616, -0.1449, -0.0914, -0.0692, -0.0188, 0.0657, 0.104, 0.0557, 0.0306, 0.001, -0.0545, 0.0061, -0.0197, 0.1215, 0.0151, 0.0679, 0.0453, 0.0462, 0.0121, 0.0015, 0.004, 0.033, -0.0022, -0.0003, 0.0, 0.0002, 0.0095, 0.0356, 0.0945, 0.0508, 0.0454, 0.0661, 0.0654, 0.0378, -0.0244, -0.0331, -0.0359, -0.1021, -0.0632, -0.0211, -0.0376, 0.01, 0.0417, 0.048, 0.0881, 0.0332, 0.051, 0.0142, -0.108, -0.0145, -0.0424, -0.0744, -0.0959, -0.1104, -0.076, -0.1001, -0.116, -0.1049, -0.0867, -0.0436, -0.0756, -0.0939, -0.1169, -0.107, -0.1638, -0.2357, -0.2049, -0.2312, -0.2026, -0.1717, -0.2072, -0.2077, -0.2496, -0.2795, -0.2979, -0.2751, -0.2983, -0.3427, -0.358, -0.3146, -0.3134, -0.2972, -0.3003, -0.2961, -0.35, -0.3041, -0.2592, -0.2725, -0.298, -0.2746, -0.2291, -0.2281, -0.2486, -0.2841, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3428, -0.3438, -0.3087, -0.3022, -0.3121, -0.3163, -0.326, -0.3209, -0.3188, -0.3103, -0.3113, -0.3035, -0.2748, -0.2511, -0.2349, -0.2649, -0.2794, -0.2844, -0.2822, -0.2289, -0.2213, -0.23, -0.235, -0.2603, -0.3186, -0.3085, -0.3153, -0.3145, -0.3207, -0.2985, -0.3021, -0.3458, -0.3727, -0.4558, -0.4829, -0.5024, -0.5771, -0.521, -0.5117, -0.5312, -0.5495, -0.5481, -0.5245, -0.5362, -0.5376, -0.5464, -0.5478, -0.5429, -0.5693, -0.5699, -0.5231, -0.5295, -0.5518, -0.5294, -0.5398]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978990831110337006", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T01:05:56+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am not uncertain that we will be much higher by Thanksgiving. Put this down in your book so you don't forget.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; expects major upward cycle move to begin within 7-12 days, much higher by Thanksgiving.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They may try one or two more good hard shakes to get a few more lettuce hands out but then that will probably be it. This buying opportunity is almost finished. I am not uncertain that we will be much higher by Thanksgiving. Put this down in your book so you don’t forget.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I have been meditating on this for dozens of hours on long runs in the high mountains over the last couple weeks and I believe the crux cycle move for Bitcoin will begin in earnest in the next 7-12 days with 85% confidence. There is nothing to stop it now. Hang tight.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016138683963760503, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016138683963760503, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021782944301667717, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021782944301667717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644260337907214, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644260337907214, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03870786330108489, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03870786330108489, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028307363038161615, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028307363038161615, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400500262923273, "ret_p1w": 0.04288745781899861, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04288745781899861, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023531354593734788, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023531354593734788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01935610322526382, "ret_p1m": -0.1350071621573925, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1350071621573925, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13693372276735616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13693372276735616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0019265606099636567, "ret_p3m": -0.0895901100369485, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0895901100369485, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.131748895348774, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.131748895348774, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.042158785311825486, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042158785311825486, "ret_p6m": -0.3004021095875755, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3004021095875755, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33895870173814946, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33895870173814946, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03855659215057394, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1350071621573925, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13693372276735616, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13693372276735616, "price_path": [0.1271, 0.1154, 0.1118, 0.1049, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1067, 0.0873, 0.0644, 0.0808, 0.0721, 0.0804, 0.1036, 0.096, 0.1152, 0.1287, 0.1585, 0.1117, 0.1027, 0.0919, 0.0598, 0.0733, 0.0559, 0.0977, 0.0343, 0.0501, 0.0447, 0.0571, 0.0183, 0.0261, 0.0445, 0.0494, 0.04, 0.0393, 0.0526, 0.0476, 0.0703, 0.0849, 0.0905, 0.0843, 0.0975, 0.0939, 0.1002, 0.0866, 0.059, 0.0521, 0.0644, 0.0242, 0.0305, 0.0745, 0.0713, 0.1144, 0.1335, 0.1484, 0.1717, 0.1407, 0.1586, 0.1431, 0.0634, 0.0827, 0.0625, 0.0405, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0387, 0.0189, 0.0115, 0.0338, 0.0429, 0.0719, 0.0609, 0.0337, 0.0173, 0.029, 0.0007, -0.0458, -0.0242, -0.0485, -0.0291, -0.0044, -0.0326, -0.0451, -0.0636, -0.1134, -0.135, -0.127, -0.1409, -0.1863, -0.2008, -0.1709, -0.1796, -0.1498, -0.1426, -0.146, -0.1892, -0.142, -0.1215, -0.1346, -0.1604, -0.1487, -0.1294, -0.1357, -0.1311, -0.1521, -0.1883, -0.1749, -0.1909, -0.1973, -0.1725, -0.1689, -0.179, -0.1771, -0.1806, -0.18, -0.1816, -0.1694, -0.1781, -0.1666, -0.1552, -0.1182, -0.1196, -0.1424, -0.145, -0.1499, -0.1435, -0.1047, -0.0896, -0.1025, -0.1028, -0.1307, -0.1705, -0.1605, -0.1597, -0.1593, -0.1709, -0.1631, -0.1623, -0.2058, -0.2098, -0.2609, -0.2896, -0.3142, -0.4111, -0.3373, -0.3414, -0.3539, -0.3708, -0.378, -0.3533, -0.3534, -0.3661, -0.3761, -0.3711, -0.3613, -0.3931, -0.3981, -0.3617, -0.3664, -0.3812, -0.354, -0.3586, -0.3171, -0.3346, -0.36, -0.3575, -0.3432, -0.3406, -0.3379, -0.3334, -0.2969, -0.3057, -0.3308, -0.3433, -0.3376, -0.3339, -0.3377, -0.3302, -0.3539, -0.3769, -0.3736, -0.3591, -0.3606, -0.3717, -0.3713, -0.3532, -0.3243, -0.332, -0.3259, -0.3145, -0.3004]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972851256529203457", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-30T02:29:28+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm pretty confident we will make money", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses bullish CLSK thesis with moderate confidence of positive returns over next few months.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Micro2Macr0 @CleanSpark Not sure it will be easy. But I’m pretty confident we will make money.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": ".@Cleanspark $CLSK is some of the easiest money you can make over the next few months. #HPC https://t.co/tJgXva1xGP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Micro2Macr0", "ret_m1d": 0.025517233486833213, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025517233486833213, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.029269840413313042, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020690787224797003, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752606926479829, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00482644626203621, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006206907075027024, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006206907075027024, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002799334535588782, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015117236323712868, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034075725394382417, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008910329248685844, "ret_p1w": 0.23862062651535565, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23862062651535565, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23420723485781592, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24047696302782984, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413391657539734, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0018563365124741882, "ret_p1m": 0.30275857859644395, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30275857859644395, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27092026494346566, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3358010674793185, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831365297829, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03304248888287453, "ret_p3m": -0.24758621741985454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24758621741985454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28686969878079205, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28368038333099654, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03928348136093751, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03609416591114201, "ret_p6m": -0.31310344564503634, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31310344564503634, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.30466723940851437, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23693781303595784, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00843620623652197, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07616563260907849, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.30275857859644395, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.27092026494346566, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3358010674793185, "price_path": [-0.1552, -0.1552, -0.2186, -0.2, -0.14, -0.1103, -0.1276, -0.131, -0.1593, -0.1331, -0.1048, -0.1186, -0.1455, -0.1145, -0.1414, -0.149, -0.1848, -0.1703, -0.191, -0.2124, -0.2159, -0.28, -0.2676, -0.2531, -0.2414, -0.2607, -0.3055, -0.3193, -0.3159, -0.3124, -0.3138, -0.3276, -0.3214, -0.3545, -0.3455, -0.3566, -0.3228, -0.3483, -0.3324, -0.3393, -0.3414, -0.3469, -0.3469, -0.3352, -0.349, -0.3738, -0.3628, -0.3676, -0.3331, -0.3083, -0.2966, -0.2862, -0.2903, -0.2276, -0.211, -0.0717, -0.0607, -0.0524, -0.0407, -0.0034, -0.0566, -0.1062, 0.0255, 0.0, 0.0062, 0.0441, 0.0993, 0.2021, 0.2386, 0.309, 0.3855, 0.3297, 0.3821, 0.5159, 0.6, 0.3786, 0.3466, 0.4069, 0.2945, 0.1628, 0.2186, 0.3355, 0.3931, 0.3207, 0.3028, 0.22, 0.2276, 0.2014, 0.1186, 0.1434, 0.0621, 0.0738, 0.0366, -0.0314, -0.0807, -0.1738, -0.2441, -0.2683, -0.2545, -0.2952, -0.3255, -0.329, -0.2083, -0.1848, -0.0724, -0.0724, 0.0414, -0.029, -0.0545, -0.0007, 0.0366, -0.0541, -0.0421, 0.0241, 0.0021, 0.0221, -0.0324, -0.1783, -0.1821, -0.2083, -0.2276, -0.1703, -0.1655, -0.2062, -0.2138, -0.2138, -0.2476, -0.2607, -0.2814, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2034, -0.1517, -0.1731, -0.1772, -0.1731, -0.1993, -0.1752, -0.1345, -0.08, -0.1221, -0.0779, -0.0779, -0.12, -0.1166, -0.0903, -0.0545, -0.1421, -0.0848, -0.0724, -0.1317, -0.1834, -0.2386, -0.2166, -0.2952, -0.43, -0.3048, -0.2972, -0.3083, -0.3366, -0.3579, -0.3207, -0.3207, -0.36, -0.3607, -0.3228, -0.3345, -0.3228, -0.2862, -0.2793, -0.28, -0.3138, -0.2724, -0.3179, -0.2648, -0.3138, -0.3648, -0.3372, -0.3359, -0.3234, -0.3414, -0.3269, -0.309, -0.3028, -0.3186, -0.3221, -0.3517, -0.3117, -0.3393, -0.3131]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1966956464351871274", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-13T20:05:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "coming days/weeks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC: expects new highs in coming days/weeks, compressing the parent's 'months' timeline.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MacroScope17 *coming days/weeks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Two weeks ago at BTC 109k.\n\nStarting to develop as expected. If it continues to play out like April, BTC would see new highs in coming months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroScope17", "ret_m1d": 0.005688456287037402, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005688456287037402, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010984038359408976, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010984038359408976, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295582072371574, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295582072371574, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012112382641498831, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012112382641498831, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01348926759475888, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01348926759475888, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013768849532600491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013768849532600491, "ret_p1w": -0.023356317788035152, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023356317788035152, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03512622841656743, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03512622841656743, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769910628532276, "ret_p1m": -0.02014997146906694, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02014997146906694, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02492527665553279, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02492527665553279, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00477530518646585, "ret_p3m": -0.19865359170339958, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19865359170339958, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24430387338309845, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24430387338309845, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565028167969887, "ret_p6m": -0.39428301277990907, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39428301277990907, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.42477738226725714, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.42477738226725714, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494369487348072, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02014997146906694, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02492527665553279, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02492527665553279, "price_path": [-0.0915, -0.0932, -0.1051, -0.0855, -0.0814, -0.07, -0.0735, -0.0724, -0.072, -0.0844, -0.057, -0.0502, -0.0642, -0.0619, -0.0563, -0.0357, 0.0047, 0.0179, 0.0382, 0.0202, 0.0285, 0.0333, 0.0222, 0.0173, 0.0394, 0.0287, 0.0253, 0.019, 0.0215, 0.0215, 0.0207, 0.0027, -0.0184, -0.0032, -0.0113, -0.0036, 0.0178, 0.0108, 0.0285, 0.041, 0.0684, 0.0252, 0.0169, 0.007, -0.0226, -0.0101, -0.0262, 0.0124, -0.0461, -0.0315, -0.0366, -0.0251, -0.0609, -0.0537, -0.0368, -0.0322, -0.0409, -0.0415, -0.0292, -0.0339, -0.0129, 0.0005, 0.0057, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0089, 0.0147, 0.0021, -0.0234, -0.0297, -0.0183, -0.0554, -0.0497, -0.009, -0.012, 0.0278, 0.0454, 0.0591, 0.0806, 0.052, 0.0685, 0.0542, -0.0193, -0.0015, -0.0201, -0.0404, -0.0629, -0.0778, -0.0421, -0.0604, -0.0672, -0.0466, -0.0382, -0.0115, -0.0216, -0.0467, -0.0618, -0.051, -0.0771, -0.12, -0.1001, -0.1225, -0.1046, -0.0818, -0.1078, -0.1194, -0.1364, -0.1823, -0.2023, -0.1949, -0.2077, -0.2496, -0.2629, -0.2354, -0.2434, -0.2159, -0.2093, -0.2124, -0.2523, -0.2087, -0.1898, -0.2019, -0.2257, -0.2149, -0.1971, -0.2029, -0.1987, -0.2181, -0.2514, -0.2391, -0.2538, -0.2597, -0.2368, -0.2335, -0.2428, -0.2411, -0.2444, -0.2438, -0.2452, -0.234, -0.242, -0.2314, -0.2209, -0.1868, -0.1881, -0.2091, -0.2115, -0.216, -0.2101, -0.1743, -0.1604, -0.1723, -0.1725, -0.1983, -0.235, -0.2258, -0.2251, -0.2247, -0.2354, -0.2282, -0.2275, -0.2675, -0.2713, -0.3184, -0.3449, -0.3675, -0.4569, -0.3888, -0.3926, -0.4041, -0.4197, -0.4264, -0.4035, -0.4037, -0.4154, -0.4246, -0.42, -0.4109, -0.4403, -0.4449, -0.4113, -0.4157, -0.4293, -0.4043, -0.4084, -0.3702, -0.3864, -0.4098, -0.4075, -0.3943]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966496174275244358", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-12T13:36:38+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am upgrading my September odds of a CIFR deal to 60% and October to 80%.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Raising odds of CIFR landing a major AI co-location deal to 60% by Sept and 80% by Oct; bullish stance on upcoming catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am upgrading my September odds of a CIFR deal to 60% and October to 80%.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I think the odds of CIFR signing a major AI co-location deal of at least 150-450MW by the end of September are approaching 55%, or slightly better than even money. By October end, 70%. By November end, 85-90%. In summary, Valhalla for shareholders is near. Hold on tight.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08110599847939493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08110599847939493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08144055313120657, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08177056197850519, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00066456349911026, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005323774557475458, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009007847919603629, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009007847919603629, "ret_p1w": 0.13179717061980045, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13179717061980045, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11943038232192893, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10211593912519845, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029681231494602, "ret_p1m": 0.87465432603355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.87465432603355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8632942994193706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8205472148870034, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05410711114654654, "ret_p3m": 0.7032257043785515, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7032257043785515, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6544491568473845, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6036896530544982, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0995360513240533, "ret_p6m": 0.318894001520605, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.318894001520605, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.281245995819283, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28410453270027536, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03478946882032963, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.87465432603355, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.8632942994193706, "alpha_c_stated": 0.8205472148870034, "price_path": [-0.6608, -0.6488, -0.6488, -0.6507, -0.6747, -0.6452, -0.6452, -0.6138, -0.6074, -0.5594, -0.5484, -0.4765, -0.4424, -0.4424, -0.4664, -0.4442, -0.423, -0.4249, -0.459, -0.4442, -0.4498, -0.4221, -0.4083, -0.4138, -0.424, -0.3604, -0.3843, -0.3871, -0.4037, -0.4323, -0.4765, -0.4977, -0.4968, -0.5456, -0.5217, -0.5382, -0.5198, -0.5512, -0.5622, -0.5613, -0.565, -0.5484, -0.5097, -0.5198, -0.4424, -0.4691, -0.4516, -0.4562, -0.412, -0.388, -0.3438, -0.3558, -0.353, -0.2959, -0.2959, -0.2332, -0.2525, -0.318, -0.3069, -0.2885, -0.1502, -0.0553, -0.0811, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0608, 0.141, 0.0922, 0.1318, 0.2866, 0.3041, 0.3032, 0.0747, 0.0571, 0.1659, 0.1604, 0.1613, 0.2728, 0.3548, 0.4138, 0.4516, 0.6221, 0.6581, 0.5641, 0.8747, 0.9253, 0.9382, 0.7253, 0.729, 0.835, 0.6659, 0.4848, 0.5903, 0.9041, 0.8931, 0.8396, 0.8055, 0.7576, 0.7189, 1.0977, 1.0747, 1.2774, 1.0009, 0.9069, 0.8111, 0.7207, 0.6018, 0.376, 0.3235, 0.3226, 0.3438, 0.3475, 0.3419, 0.3041, 0.5401, 0.6147, 0.765, 0.765, 0.8756, 0.8147, 0.6258, 0.7171, 0.8276, 0.777, 0.7954, 0.8028, 0.7032, 0.7401, 0.5714, 0.3585, 0.3816, 0.3263, 0.3963, 0.494, 0.506, 0.4664, 0.4949, 0.4949, 0.4, 0.3899, 0.3447, 0.3604, 0.3604, 0.4931, 0.6737, 0.6166, 0.482, 0.5253, 0.5327, 0.6295, 0.682, 0.671, 0.6147, 0.7327, 0.7327, 0.6516, 0.6332, 0.6028, 0.6194, 0.5198, 0.7281, 0.7484, 0.6313, 0.471, 0.4571, 0.4986, 0.3134, 0.1705, 0.3576, 0.5447, 0.576, 0.5005, 0.4839, 0.5134, 0.5134, 0.4415, 0.4212, 0.4562, 0.3502, 0.4028, 0.5779, 0.5309, 0.5189, 0.4378, 0.4525, 0.3558, 0.4783, 0.3963, 0.2553, 0.3189]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976035929119944965", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:24:13+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Game over for the bears. $20, then $25, then $30…", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish price target sequence $20→$25→$30 after closing above $17; bears capitulating.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@lovejklmn Game over for the bears. $20, then $25, then $30…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Closed above $17, what now 😁", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lovejklmn", "ret_m1d": 0.032813946634781876, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.032813946634781876, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.029908555063901776, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029908555063901776, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0029053915708801004, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029053915708801004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.048393641969715295, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.048393641969715295, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02136577979086962, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02136577979086962, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.027027862178845674, "bench_c_p1d": -0.027027862178845674, "ret_p1w": -0.1138031510025046, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1138031510025046, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09812883580648879, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09812883580648879, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01567431519601581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01567431519601581, "ret_p1m": -0.24465332598144518, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24465332598144518, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24437017729840294, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24437017729840294, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0002831486830422447, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0002831486830422447, "ret_p3m": -0.5067907302561165, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5067907302561165, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5406041662663021, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5406041662663021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033813436010185605, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033813436010185605, "ret_p6m": -0.6258703093004911, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6258703093004911, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6085931965074614, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6085931965074614, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017277112793029792, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017277112793029792, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.24465332598144518, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24437017729840294, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24437017729840294, "price_path": [0.4082, 0.381, 0.4234, 0.4092, 0.3214, 0.3309, 0.3313, 0.2884, 0.2955, 0.2673, 0.2607, 0.2322, 0.2334, 0.2547, 0.1447, 0.2153, 0.1723, 0.1971, 0.2551, 0.2337, 0.2496, 0.2314, 0.2173, 0.1644, 0.1437, 0.1352, 0.0508, 0.0752, 0.054, 0.1181, 0.0715, 0.097, 0.068, 0.0579, 0.0441, 0.0441, 0.0666, 0.0311, 0.0228, 0.0486, 0.03, 0.0257, 0.0192, 0.0179, 0.0348, 0.0234, 0.0462, 0.0294, 0.09, 0.0764, 0.0488, 0.0234, 0.0094, -0.0612, -0.0351, 0.0191, 0.006, 0.0566, 0.1, 0.0978, 0.123, 0.0253, 0.0328, 0.0, -0.0484, -0.015, -0.0613, -0.0735, -0.1138, -0.095, -0.0739, -0.0574, -0.1233, -0.1104, -0.0974, -0.077, -0.1113, -0.1403, -0.2052, -0.1585, -0.1737, -0.2289, -0.2038, -0.2594, -0.2447, -0.2542, -0.2777, -0.2987, -0.3489, -0.3763, -0.3899, -0.3543, -0.4177, -0.447, -0.4677, -0.441, -0.4624, -0.4516, -0.4516, -0.4468, -0.4648, -0.4339, -0.4118, -0.4192, -0.4412, -0.4265, -0.4099, -0.4235, -0.4277, -0.4491, -0.494, -0.477, -0.4993, -0.5059, -0.4854, -0.487, -0.5071, -0.5045, -0.5045, -0.5042, -0.5148, -0.5142, -0.5256, -0.5256, -0.5093, -0.4857, -0.5068, -0.4947, -0.4787, -0.5088, -0.4935, -0.4599, -0.4401, -0.4664, -0.4576, -0.4576, -0.4997, -0.4886, -0.4974, -0.4907, -0.4986, -0.4955, -0.5053, -0.5529, -0.5326, -0.5641, -0.5839, -0.597, -0.666, -0.5787, -0.5678, -0.5848, -0.6064, -0.616, -0.582, -0.582, -0.5983, -0.6091, -0.5958, -0.5908, -0.6138, -0.6109, -0.5765, -0.5835, -0.5957, -0.5702, -0.5858, -0.5428, -0.5635, -0.5831, -0.5662, -0.5677, -0.5681, -0.5712, -0.5639, -0.5394, -0.5308, -0.5611, -0.5684, -0.5764, -0.5685, -0.5746, -0.5656, -0.585, -0.6065, -0.6208, -0.6104, -0.6167, -0.6259, -0.6259]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1983857438110691705", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T11:24:06+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Coreweave's 3x in 1 month is just the appetizer. Every company controlling high quality compute will re-rate massively", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Coreweave and all high-quality compute operators; 3x is just the start as every idle megawatt gets absorbed by AI/Bitcoin demand over 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "EVERY SINGLE MEGAWATT. NO EXCEPTIONS. WATCH.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "EVERY single spare or idle megawatt in the United States will be used for AI and Bitcoin compute over the next 5 years and we're still short 50 GW (GIGAWATTS!!). Coreweave's 3x in 1 month is just the appetizer. Every company controlling high quality compute will re-rate massively", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0676788896873124, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0676788896873124, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05655857934262842, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05655857934262842, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112031034468397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020219816913155997, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020219816913155997, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01693959512251131, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01693959512251131, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032802217906446884, "ret_p1w": -0.18411412866561383, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18411412866561383, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.170110634083375, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.170110634083375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003494582238818, "ret_p1m": -0.4420875621190833, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4420875621190833, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4473240945708835, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4473240945708835, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236532451800224, "ret_p3m": -0.1693880464046027, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1693880464046027, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19544605733879594, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19544605733879594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026058010934193243, "ret_p6m": -0.15962153638521537, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15962153638521537, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21577546456758534, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21577546456758534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392818236997, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.1911, -0.1467, -0.1589, -0.0761, -0.0115, 0.0665, 0.135, -0.1015, -0.2408, -0.2372, -0.2614, -0.2912, -0.3017, -0.3073, -0.2828, -0.2951, -0.3027, -0.2604, -0.2157, -0.2138, -0.2138, -0.2878, -0.3142, -0.3325, -0.3202, -0.2862, -0.2353, -0.1062, -0.1402, -0.1457, -0.0808, -0.0939, -0.0778, -0.0738, -0.0473, 0.0166, -0.0013, 0.0179, -0.0336, -0.0818, -0.0652, 0.0442, 0.0457, 0.053, 0.0285, 0.0213, -0.017, 0.0681, 0.0917, 0.0562, 0.0806, 0.0229, 0.0624, 0.0815, 0.0443, -0.0305, -0.0458, -0.0727, -0.0589, 0.0114, 0.0382, 0.0285, 0.0677, 0.0, 0.0202, -0.0362, -0.1168, -0.127, -0.1841, -0.2064, -0.1942, -0.3256, -0.3482, -0.4023, -0.4097, -0.4252, -0.4285, -0.4284, -0.4719, -0.4533, -0.4384, -0.4561, -0.4332, -0.4332, -0.4421, -0.412, -0.4199, -0.3945, -0.3457, -0.3263, -0.342, -0.3083, -0.3273, -0.3333, -0.4004, -0.448, -0.4697, -0.5075, -0.4836, -0.3667, -0.3527, -0.3876, -0.3982, -0.3982, -0.4169, -0.4284, -0.4361, -0.4536, -0.4536, -0.3948, -0.4136, -0.4053, -0.4111, -0.4118, -0.3885, -0.3138, -0.3325, -0.3148, -0.2751, -0.2276, -0.2276, -0.2735, -0.2824, -0.2996, -0.2906, -0.2499, -0.1694, -0.1911, -0.2406, -0.289, -0.3214, -0.3128, -0.3708, -0.4304, -0.3137, -0.2615, -0.2743, -0.274, -0.2698, -0.2672, -0.2672, -0.3057, -0.2717, -0.2588, -0.319, -0.3069, -0.2423, -0.2522, -0.2551, -0.3929, -0.4045, -0.4371, -0.3934, -0.4291, -0.4431, -0.4322, -0.4284, -0.3746, -0.3907, -0.3811, -0.3449, -0.3734, -0.3681, -0.3846, -0.3784, -0.3746, -0.3665, -0.3318, -0.3862, -0.4292, -0.4724, -0.4089, -0.4015, -0.3725, -0.3725, -0.3824, -0.3496, -0.3217, -0.298, -0.2217, -0.1586, -0.1058, -0.0944, -0.0877, -0.1084, -0.104, -0.1213, -0.065, -0.1041, -0.1596]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965839842589450717", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T18:08:36+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yup probably higher with 2+ colo deals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish CIFR thesis; sees additional upside from 2+ colocation deals.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wliang Yup probably higher with 2+ colo deals", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Echo blue diamond came in for $CIFR.\n\nWe all know what happens now...\n\nWe're heading towards $17.40.\n\nThere'll inevitably be volatility along the way,\n\nBut those who know what's coming will be rewarded. https://t.co/CDoAfd8qsM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wliang", "ret_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10048777882645765, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09760540081681712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08268288285764713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028823780096405294, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01780489596881052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027317047119140625, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03562724295772224, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03068552253624257, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310195838581613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003368475417101946, "ret_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20780488921374807, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19711814843644926, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20306678894394525, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686740777298809, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004738100269802814, "ret_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6795233156162872, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031908075010900205, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07559861327328976, "ret_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9004877602181784, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.849407041144203, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8061346777219296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05108071907397549, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09435308249624885, "ret_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.47804874327124613, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.42743979443513536, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4373450733784303, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060894883611078, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04070366989281582, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.755121928889577, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.7232138538786768, "alpha_c_stated": 0.6795233156162872, "price_path": [-0.6371, -0.6166, -0.641, -0.6283, -0.6283, -0.6302, -0.6556, -0.6244, -0.6244, -0.5912, -0.5844, -0.5337, -0.522, -0.4459, -0.4098, -0.4098, -0.4351, -0.4117, -0.3893, -0.3912, -0.4273, -0.4117, -0.4176, -0.3883, -0.3737, -0.3795, -0.3902, -0.3229, -0.3483, -0.3512, -0.3688, -0.399, -0.4459, -0.4683, -0.4673, -0.519, -0.4937, -0.5112, -0.4917, -0.5249, -0.5366, -0.5356, -0.5395, -0.522, -0.481, -0.4917, -0.4098, -0.438, -0.4195, -0.4244, -0.3776, -0.3522, -0.3054, -0.318, -0.3151, -0.2546, -0.2546, -0.1883, -0.2088, -0.278, -0.2663, -0.2468, -0.1005, 0.0, -0.0273, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.1229, 0.2078, 0.1561, 0.198, 0.362, 0.3805, 0.3795, 0.1376, 0.119, 0.2341, 0.2283, 0.2293, 0.3473, 0.4341, 0.4966, 0.5366, 0.7171, 0.7551, 0.6556, 0.9844, 1.038, 1.0517, 0.8263, 0.8302, 0.9424, 0.7634, 0.5717, 0.6834, 1.0156, 1.0039, 0.9473, 0.9112, 0.8605, 0.8195, 1.2205, 1.1961, 1.4107, 1.118, 1.0185, 0.9171, 0.8215, 0.6956, 0.4566, 0.401, 0.4, 0.4224, 0.4263, 0.4205, 0.3805, 0.6302, 0.7093, 0.8683, 0.8683, 0.9854, 0.921, 0.721, 0.8176, 0.9346, 0.881, 0.9005, 0.9083, 0.8029, 0.842, 0.6634, 0.438, 0.4624, 0.4039, 0.478, 0.5815, 0.5941, 0.5522, 0.5824, 0.5824, 0.482, 0.4712, 0.4234, 0.44, 0.44, 0.5805, 0.7717, 0.7112, 0.5688, 0.6146, 0.6224, 0.7249, 0.7805, 0.7688, 0.7093, 0.8341, 0.8341, 0.7483, 0.7288, 0.6966, 0.7141, 0.6088, 0.8293, 0.8507, 0.7268, 0.5571, 0.5424, 0.5863, 0.3902, 0.239, 0.4371, 0.6351, 0.6683, 0.5883, 0.5707, 0.602, 0.602, 0.5259, 0.5044, 0.5415, 0.4293, 0.4849, 0.6702, 0.6205, 0.6078, 0.522, 0.5376, 0.4351, 0.5649, 0.478]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976637304614863070", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T13:13:52+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am becoming increasingly convinced that the next major CIFR deal will involve ALL 300MW at Black Pearl. Wait for it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Highly confident CIFR will sign major co-location deal(s) by end-2025, with next deal covering all 300MW at Black Pearl site.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am becoming increasingly convinced that the next major CIFR deal will involve ALL 300MW at Black Pearl. Wait for it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about it this week and I am becoming increasingly convinced that CIFR will sign not one, but possibly two or more major co-location agreements across multiple sites before the end of 2025. It’s a hunch at this stage but I’m gaining confidence.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06010609894138219, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06010609894138219, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03232743896929802, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01768365809264716, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778659972084174, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04242244084873503, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19858579702954882, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19858579702954882, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.18324167889438048, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.17423150101783969, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344118135168339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02435429601170913, "ret_p1w": 0.10548031749881726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10548031749881726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0880688489958712, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08170073141102363, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01741146850294606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023779586087793625, "ret_p1m": 0.15792577569916366, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15792577569916366, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11440492639012922, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09635752636442185, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04352084930903444, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06156824933474181, "ret_p3m": -0.052445458200346295, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052445458200346295, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11155186939903905, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10673793712719049, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059106411198692754, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05429247892684419, "ret_p6m": -0.21331756501816812, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21331756501816812, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2281133928474729, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19868183172979614, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795827829304775, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014635733288371977, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15792577569916366, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11440492639012922, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09635752636442185, "price_path": [-0.6482, -0.6305, -0.6217, -0.6252, -0.6317, -0.591, -0.6064, -0.6081, -0.6187, -0.637, -0.6653, -0.6788, -0.6783, -0.7095, -0.6942, -0.7048, -0.693, -0.713, -0.7201, -0.7195, -0.7219, -0.7113, -0.6865, -0.693, -0.6435, -0.6606, -0.6494, -0.6523, -0.624, -0.6087, -0.5804, -0.5881, -0.5863, -0.5498, -0.5498, -0.5097, -0.5221, -0.5639, -0.5569, -0.5451, -0.4567, -0.396, -0.4125, -0.3606, -0.3606, -0.3217, -0.2705, -0.3017, -0.2764, -0.1774, -0.1662, -0.1668, -0.3129, -0.3241, -0.2546, -0.2581, -0.2575, -0.1862, -0.1338, -0.0961, -0.0719, 0.0371, 0.0601, 0.0, 0.1986, 0.231, 0.2392, 0.1031, 0.1055, 0.1732, 0.0651, -0.0507, 0.0168, 0.2174, 0.2104, 0.1762, 0.1544, 0.1237, 0.099, 0.3412, 0.3265, 0.4561, 0.2793, 0.2192, 0.1579, 0.1002, 0.0242, -0.1202, -0.1538, -0.1544, -0.1408, -0.1385, -0.142, -0.1662, -0.0153, 0.0324, 0.1285, 0.1285, 0.1992, 0.1603, 0.0395, 0.0978, 0.1685, 0.1361, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.089, 0.1126, 0.0047, -0.1314, -0.1167, -0.152, -0.1072, -0.0448, -0.0371, -0.0625, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.1049, -0.1114, -0.1402, -0.1302, -0.1302, -0.0454, 0.0701, 0.0336, -0.0524, -0.0247, -0.02, 0.0418, 0.0754, 0.0684, 0.0324, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.056, 0.0442, 0.0247, 0.0354, -0.0283, 0.1049, 0.1179, 0.043, -0.0595, -0.0684, -0.0418, -0.1603, -0.2516, -0.132, -0.0124, 0.0077, -0.0407, -0.0513, -0.0324, -0.0324, -0.0784, -0.0913, -0.0689, -0.1367, -0.1031, 0.0088, -0.0212, -0.0289, -0.0807, -0.0713, -0.1332, -0.0548, -0.1072, -0.1974, -0.1567, -0.1774, -0.1685, -0.1921, -0.1703, -0.1078, -0.1108, -0.1355, -0.1373, -0.1744, -0.1226, -0.1232, -0.0642, -0.1544, -0.19, -0.292, -0.2416, -0.2552, -0.2445, -0.2445, -0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974463588892021173", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T13:16:18+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR will crack the top 5 at least once by end of year. Mark it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "CIFR will reach top-5 YTD performer by year-end, implying significant further upside from current #11 rank.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@StockSavvyShay @FuturumEquities CIFR will crack the top 5 at least once by end of year. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "HERE ARE THE TOP 15 GROWTH PERFORMERS OF 2025\n\n1. $OKLO +500%\n2. $IREN +414%\n3. $OPEN +407%\n4. $NBIS +362%\n5. $MP +358%\n6. $HOOD +299%\n7. $QBTS +218%\n8. $ONDS +287%\n9. $PL +279%\n10. $ASTS +221%\n11. $CIFR +217%\n12. $PGY +216%\n13. $QS +207%\n14. $JMIA +198%\n15. $TEM +172% https://t.co/tMnnp2w4Rw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": -0.04172101283941543, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04172101283941543, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03814764789189251, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03170719148831502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010013821351100405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02672749956543785, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02672749956543785, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03043492182296481, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03340338046617153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006675880900733677, "ret_p1w": 0.3259452379572818, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3259452379572818, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3387056062547714, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3343944363423549, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008449198385073076, "ret_p1m": 0.46740547620427186, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.46740547620427186, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4620005750213696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4453608792829795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022044596921292348, "ret_p3m": -0.03780964262951503, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03780964262951503, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05616110790890072, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.040510420285586934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0027007776560719066, "ret_p6m": -0.1610169649582509, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1610169649582509, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1348604869983997, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08776987640125156, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07324708855699935, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.46740547620427186, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4620005750213696, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4453608792829795, "price_path": [-0.5919, -0.5932, -0.6173, -0.6069, -0.6108, -0.5913, -0.5815, -0.5854, -0.5926, -0.5476, -0.5645, -0.5665, -0.5782, -0.5984, -0.6297, -0.6447, -0.6441, -0.6786, -0.6617, -0.6734, -0.6604, -0.6825, -0.6904, -0.6897, -0.6923, -0.6806, -0.6532, -0.6604, -0.6056, -0.6245, -0.6121, -0.6154, -0.5841, -0.5671, -0.5359, -0.5443, -0.5424, -0.502, -0.502, -0.4576, -0.4713, -0.5176, -0.5098, -0.4967, -0.399, -0.3318, -0.3501, -0.2927, -0.2927, -0.2497, -0.193, -0.2275, -0.1995, -0.09, -0.0776, -0.0782, -0.2399, -0.2523, -0.1754, -0.1793, -0.1786, -0.0997, -0.0417, 0.0, 0.0267, 0.1473, 0.1728, 0.1063, 0.3259, 0.3618, 0.3709, 0.2203, 0.2229, 0.2979, 0.1783, 0.0502, 0.1248, 0.3468, 0.339, 0.3012, 0.2771, 0.2432, 0.2158, 0.4837, 0.4674, 0.6108, 0.4153, 0.3488, 0.281, 0.2171, 0.133, -0.0267, -0.0639, -0.0645, -0.0495, -0.0469, -0.0508, -0.0776, 0.0893, 0.1421, 0.2484, 0.2484, 0.3266, 0.2836, 0.1499, 0.2145, 0.2927, 0.2568, 0.2699, 0.2751, 0.2047, 0.2308, 0.1115, -0.0391, -0.0228, -0.0619, -0.0124, 0.0567, 0.0652, 0.0372, 0.0574, 0.0574, -0.0098, -0.0169, -0.0489, -0.0378, -0.0378, 0.0561, 0.1838, 0.1434, 0.0482, 0.0789, 0.0841, 0.1525, 0.1897, 0.1819, 0.1421, 0.2256, 0.2256, 0.1682, 0.1551, 0.1336, 0.1454, 0.075, 0.2223, 0.2366, 0.1538, 0.0404, 0.0306, 0.06, -0.0711, -0.1721, -0.0398, 0.0926, 0.1147, 0.0613, 0.0495, 0.0704, 0.0704, 0.0196, 0.0052, 0.03, -0.045, -0.0078, 0.116, 0.0828, 0.0743, 0.0169, 0.0274, -0.0411, 0.0456, -0.0124, -0.1121, -0.0671, -0.09, -0.0802, -0.1063, -0.0821, -0.013, -0.0163, -0.0437, -0.0456, -0.0867, -0.0293, -0.03, 0.0352, -0.0645, -0.104, -0.2168, -0.161]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985406405214683144", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T17:59:08+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased another 50,000 shares of ASST at $1.25. Now holding more than 1.25M shares and still looking to add on weakness. I will not relent.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added 50K shares of ASST at $1.25; now holds 1.25M+ shares and plans to keep buying on weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased another 50,000 shares of ASST at $1.25. Now holding more than 1.25M shares and still looking to add on weakness. I will not relent. https://t.co/dReC6K7ugt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04724412523471089, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04724412523471089, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04911725949653312, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0430255485114337, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.001873134261822229, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00421857672327719, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015748016714081325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015748016714081325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003894379295200756, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0209254113562809, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01185363741888057, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005177394642199573, "ret_p1w": 0.16535436322902108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16535436322902108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16813493058003603, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1496304897586318, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002780567351014951, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015723873470389282, "ret_p1m": -0.1850393278022725, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1850393278022725, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18239051656573646, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1982704227634512, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026488112365360417, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013231094961178691, "ret_p3m": -0.3818897620056898, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3818897620056898, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4005492376523778, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4123242716321476, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018659475646688017, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030434509626457773, "ret_p6m": -0.3984251983285919, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3984251983285919, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4458427199465461, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.40127610828751903, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417521617954206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.002850909958927117, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1850393278022725, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18239051656573646, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1982704227634512, "price_path": [1.7559, 1.7087, 1.5906, 2.3622, 2.252, 2.5787, 2.5669, 2.3701, 2.2913, 2.063, 2.1496, 2.252, 2.4803, 2.7795, 3.4016, 3.6535, 4.2677, 3.8425, 3.8425, 4.0866, 4.126, 3.3386, 2.5748, 3.1969, 3.9449, 5.3701, 6.0157, 5.685, 3.8976, 2.5276, 1.8976, 2.0079, 2.3858, 2.2283, 1.6378, 1.3701, 1.1654, 0.9213, 0.811, 0.9685, 0.9764, 1.0945, 1.0472, 0.9921, 0.6535, 0.5669, 0.4252, 0.2244, -0.1496, -0.215, -0.2441, -0.2913, -0.3433, -0.3197, -0.3465, -0.3858, -0.3197, -0.1339, 0.2913, 0.1339, -0.0157, -0.0472, 0.0472, 0.0, -0.0157, 0.1496, 0.1417, 0.189, 0.1654, 0.0709, 0.0157, -0.0945, -0.1496, -0.1811, -0.1181, -0.1732, -0.226, -0.1969, -0.1102, -0.126, -0.1102, -0.1102, -0.1181, -0.1732, -0.185, -0.1732, -0.2307, -0.2906, -0.2244, -0.1969, -0.2126, -0.274, -0.3205, -0.3787, -0.3228, -0.3535, -0.3457, -0.2921, -0.3181, -0.3661, -0.3213, -0.3213, -0.3583, -0.3913, -0.4236, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.3189, -0.189, -0.1811, -0.1969, -0.2047, -0.2551, -0.1339, -0.2362, -0.189, -0.2354, -0.2535, -0.2535, -0.3031, -0.2976, -0.315, -0.3142, -0.3811, -0.3551, -0.3693, -0.3819, -0.3535, -0.4307, -0.463, -0.5339, -0.6118, -0.5309, -0.6006, -0.6386, -0.6815, -0.6969, -0.672, -0.672, -0.678, -0.6831, -0.6803, -0.6791, -0.7102, -0.7179, -0.6638, -0.6776, -0.6874, -0.6563, -0.672, -0.6213, -0.6358, -0.6575, -0.665, -0.6465, -0.6366, -0.6524, -0.6248, -0.5724, -0.563, -0.6049, -0.5961, -0.6055, -0.589, -0.6091, -0.5728, -0.5902, -0.612, -0.6311, -0.6055, -0.6, -0.6161, -0.6161, -0.6016, -0.6352, -0.5965, -0.6205, -0.5815, -0.5441, -0.5106, -0.4673, -0.4496, -0.3854, -0.385, -0.3972, -0.3441, -0.3622, -0.378, -0.3823, -0.3984]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1964319822290047031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-06T13:28:35+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I will be pounding the table on its gross systemic undervaluation. In the longer term, the targets are $1M, $5M, and $10M per coin. All will happen before 2045.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; short-term undervalued below $146K, long-term targets $1M/$5M/$10M by 2045.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As long as Bitcoin is trading under $146,000 in the short term, I will be pounding the table on its gross systemic undervaluation. In the longer term, the targets are $1M, $5M, and $10M per coin. All will happen before 2045. It’s just math.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "ret_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "ret_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "ret_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "ret_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0302, -0.0548, -0.0534, -0.0471, -0.0667, -0.0641, -0.0659, -0.0782, -0.0579, -0.0538, -0.042, -0.0456, -0.0445, -0.044, -0.0569, -0.0287, -0.0216, -0.036, -0.0337, -0.0278, -0.0066, 0.0349, 0.0486, 0.0694, 0.0509, 0.0595, 0.0644, 0.0529, 0.0479, 0.0707, 0.0596, 0.0562, 0.0497, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0514, 0.0329, 0.0111, 0.0268, 0.0185, 0.0264, 0.0484, 0.0412, 0.0594, 0.0723, 0.1006, 0.0561, 0.0475, 0.0373, 0.0068, 0.0197, 0.0031, 0.0429, -0.0174, -0.0024, -0.0076, 0.0042, -0.0327, -0.0252, -0.0078, -0.0031, -0.012, -0.0127, 0.0, -0.0048, 0.0168, 0.0307, 0.036, 0.0301, 0.0426, 0.0392, 0.0452, 0.0323, 0.006, -0.0005, 0.0112, -0.027, -0.021, 0.0208, 0.0177, 0.0587, 0.0768, 0.091, 0.1132, 0.0837, 0.1007, 0.086, 0.0102, 0.0286, 0.0093, -0.0115, -0.0347, -0.05, -0.0132, -0.0321, -0.0391, -0.0179, -0.0093, 0.0183, 0.0079, -0.018, -0.0336, -0.0224, -0.0493, -0.0935, -0.073, -0.0961, -0.0776, -0.0542, -0.081, -0.0929, -0.1104, -0.1577, -0.1783, -0.1706, -0.1839, -0.227, -0.2407, -0.2124, -0.2207, -0.1923, -0.1855, -0.1887, -0.2298, -0.1849, -0.1655, -0.1778, -0.2024, -0.1912, -0.1729, -0.1789, -0.1745, -0.1945, -0.2289, -0.2162, -0.2313, -0.2374, -0.2139, -0.2104, -0.22, -0.2182, -0.2216, -0.221, -0.2225, -0.2109, -0.2192, -0.2083, -0.1974, -0.1623, -0.1637, -0.1853, -0.1878, -0.1924, -0.1863, -0.1495, -0.1351, -0.1474, -0.1476, -0.1742, -0.212, -0.2025, -0.2017, -0.2014, -0.2124, -0.2049, -0.2042, -0.2455, -0.2493, -0.2979, -0.3251, -0.3485, -0.4405, -0.3704, -0.3743, -0.3862, -0.4022, -0.4091, -0.3856, -0.3857, -0.3978, -0.4073, -0.4025, -0.3932, -0.4234, -0.4282, -0.3936, -0.3981, -0.4121, -0.3863, -0.3906]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962636875543552476", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-01T22:01:09+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin trading shenanigans will come to an end by Friday at the latest. Path is higher. Mark it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bitcoin's near-term volatility ends by Friday; path is higher from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Equity futures open green. Bitcoin trading shenanigans will come to an end by Friday at the latest. Path is higher. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007686528591520858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015152103066402134, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465574474881276, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017848801737061493, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012429255574053721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005419546163007771, "ret_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025819868255864797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01010762766113249, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015712240594732307, "ret_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0439859594584584, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0029211768989962916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04690713635745469, "ret_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16444046785786914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23474623381586357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030576595799443, "ret_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41345817199506063, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5022576127396113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0887994407445507, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.025819868255864797, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01010762766113249, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01010762766113249, "price_path": [-0.0414, -0.0702, -0.0445, 0.0096, 0.0092, -0.0052, -0.0304, -0.0289, -0.0225, -0.0426, -0.04, -0.0418, -0.0544, -0.0336, -0.0293, -0.0173, -0.021, -0.0198, -0.0194, -0.0325, -0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0111, -0.0087, -0.0027, 0.019, 0.0617, 0.0757, 0.097, 0.078, 0.0868, 0.0919, 0.0801, 0.075, 0.0984, 0.087, 0.0835, 0.0768, 0.0794, 0.0794, 0.0785, 0.0596, 0.0372, 0.0533, 0.0448, 0.0529, 0.0755, 0.0681, 0.0868, 0.1, 0.129, 0.0834, 0.0746, 0.0641, 0.0328, 0.046, 0.029, 0.0698, 0.008, 0.0234, 0.018, 0.0302, -0.0077, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0226, 0.0135, 0.0128, 0.0258, 0.0209, 0.0431, 0.0573, 0.0627, 0.0567, 0.0695, 0.0661, 0.0722, 0.0589, 0.032, 0.0253, 0.0373, -0.0018, 0.0042, 0.0471, 0.044, 0.086, 0.1046, 0.1191, 0.1419, 0.1117, 0.1291, 0.114, 0.0363, 0.0551, 0.0354, 0.014, -0.0097, -0.0255, 0.0123, -0.0071, -0.0143, 0.0075, 0.0163, 0.0446, 0.0339, 0.0074, -0.0087, 0.0028, -0.0247, -0.0701, -0.0491, -0.0728, -0.0538, -0.0298, -0.0572, -0.0694, -0.0874, -0.136, -0.157, -0.1492, -0.1628, -0.207, -0.2211, -0.192, -0.2005, -0.1715, -0.1644, -0.1678, -0.2099, -0.1638, -0.1439, -0.1566, -0.1818, -0.1703, -0.1516, -0.1577, -0.1532, -0.1737, -0.209, -0.1959, -0.2115, -0.2177, -0.1936, -0.19, -0.1999, -0.1981, -0.2015, -0.2009, -0.2024, -0.1906, -0.199, -0.1878, -0.1767, -0.1407, -0.1421, -0.1642, -0.1668, -0.1715, -0.1653, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1254, -0.1256, -0.1528, -0.1917, -0.1819, -0.1811, -0.1807, -0.1921, -0.1844, -0.1837, -0.226, -0.2299, -0.2797, -0.3077, -0.3316, -0.4261, -0.3542, -0.3582, -0.3703, -0.3868, -0.3939, -0.3697, -0.3699, -0.3822, -0.392, -0.3871, -0.3775, -0.4085, -0.4135]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973691589261414774", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T10:08:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is the best time in history to spend your dollars on Bitcoin.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; now is the best time to allocate dollars to BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ThinkingUSD This is the best time in history to spend your dollars on Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This is the best time in history to spend your time in Crypto", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThinkingUSD", "ret_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015689962283643055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015689962283643055, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504996226919806, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013150750196000982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013150750196000982, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4713447336833774e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005588871828819952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005588871828819952, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002899008920579149, "ret_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1113724654901529, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1113724654901529, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186703163372787, "ret_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2968588994983963, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2968588994983963, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616698144248055, "ret_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4032021750663245, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4032021750663245, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "bench_c_p6m": -0.047098756474606485, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09218576232678011, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1113724654901529, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1113724654901529, "price_path": [-0.1026, -0.0972, -0.0775, -0.0389, -0.0262, -0.0069, -0.0241, -0.0161, -0.0115, -0.0222, -0.0269, -0.0057, -0.016, -0.0192, -0.0252, -0.0228, -0.0229, -0.0236, -0.0408, -0.061, -0.0465, -0.0542, -0.0468, -0.0264, -0.0331, -0.0162, -0.0042, 0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0272, -0.0367, -0.065, -0.0531, -0.0685, -0.0315, -0.0875, -0.0736, -0.0784, -0.0674, -0.1017, -0.0947, -0.0786, -0.0742, -0.0825, -0.0831, -0.0713, -0.0758, -0.0557, -0.0429, -0.0379, -0.0434, -0.0318, -0.0349, -0.0294, -0.0414, -0.0657, -0.0718, -0.0609, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.052, -0.0549, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0337, 0.0064, 0.0222, 0.0085, -0.0619, -0.0448, -0.0627, -0.082, -0.1035, -0.1178, -0.0836, -0.1011, -0.1077, -0.0879, -0.0799, -0.0544, -0.064, -0.088, -0.1025, -0.0922, -0.1171, -0.1582, -0.1391, -0.1606, -0.1434, -0.1217, -0.1465, -0.1576, -0.1739, -0.2178, -0.2369, -0.2298, -0.2421, -0.2821, -0.2949, -0.2686, -0.2763, -0.2499, -0.2436, -0.2466, -0.2847, -0.243, -0.225, -0.2365, -0.2593, -0.2489, -0.2319, -0.2375, -0.2334, -0.252, -0.2839, -0.2721, -0.2862, -0.2918, -0.2699, -0.2667, -0.2757, -0.274, -0.2771, -0.2766, -0.2779, -0.2672, -0.2749, -0.2647, -0.2547, -0.2221, -0.2233, -0.2434, -0.2457, -0.25, -0.2443, -0.2101, -0.1968, -0.2082, -0.2085, -0.2331, -0.2682, -0.2594, -0.2587, -0.2583, -0.2686, -0.2617, -0.261, -0.2993, -0.3029, -0.348, -0.3733, -0.3949, -0.4804, -0.4154, -0.419, -0.43, -0.4449, -0.4513, -0.4294, -0.4295, -0.4407, -0.4496, -0.4452, -0.4365, -0.4646, -0.469, -0.4369, -0.4411, -0.4541, -0.4301, -0.4341, -0.3975, -0.413, -0.4354, -0.4332, -0.4206, -0.4183, -0.4159, -0.4119, -0.3797, -0.3875, -0.4096, -0.4207, -0.4156, -0.4124, -0.4157, -0.4091, -0.43, -0.4503]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966269638985343116", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-11T22:36:28+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought more Nov $90 IBIT calls today. Up to 17,000 contracts. Also added Dec $90 IBIT calls for the first time. I want maximum convexity.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Aggressively buying Nov and Dec $90 IBIT calls (17,000 contracts) for maximum convexity into Bitcoin ETF upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Btw, I bought more Nov $90 IBIT calls today. Up to 17,000 contracts.\n\nAlso added Dec $90 IBIT calls for the first time.\n\nIf we are going to go hard, we will go hard in this window.\n\nI want maximum convexity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020337428893936638, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020337428893936638, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020671983545748285, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020671983545748285, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0003345546518116471, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01325696429390344, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01325696429390344, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018580738851378897, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018580738851378897, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005323774557475458, "ret_p1w": -0.015215344209492776, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015215344209492776, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0275821325073643, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0275821325073643, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366788297871523, "ret_p1m": -0.008586919530112924, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008586919530112924, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019946946144292266, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019946946144292266, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360026614179342, "ret_p3m": -0.20924971602399345, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20924971602399345, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25802626355516045, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25802626355516045, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048776547531167, "ret_p6m": -0.4105151749445064, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4105151749445064, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4481631806458284, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4481631806458284, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "bench_c_p6m": 0.037648005701321985, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.008586919530112924, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019946946144292266, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019946946144292266, "price_path": [-0.1036, -0.1116, -0.1116, -0.1161, -0.1161, -0.0952, -0.0769, -0.0789, -0.0853, -0.0779, -0.0985, -0.0597, -0.0631, -0.0631, -0.075, -0.0687, -0.0422, -0.0283, 0.0125, 0.0271, -0.0033, 0.0218, 0.0191, 0.0045, -0.0008, 0.0217, 0.0137, 0.0193, -0.0003, 0.0108, 0.005, -0.0002, -0.0009, -0.0325, -0.0178, -0.0276, -0.0131, 0.0068, -0.0038, 0.019, 0.0237, 0.0521, 0.0098, 0.0009, -0.005, -0.033, -0.0223, -0.0405, -0.002, -0.0527, -0.0494, -0.0411, -0.0422, -0.0744, -0.0744, -0.0514, -0.0393, -0.0607, -0.0446, -0.0404, -0.0476, -0.0279, -0.0203, 0.0, -0.0133, -0.0002, -0.0107, 0.0056, -0.0152, -0.0411, -0.0447, -0.0295, -0.0645, -0.0669, -0.0212, -0.0208, 0.0054, 0.036, 0.0517, 0.074, 0.0414, 0.0554, 0.0356, -0.0027, -0.0086, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.0746, -0.089, -0.052, -0.0435, -0.0779, -0.0575, -0.0535, -0.0166, -0.0285, -0.0547, -0.0901, -0.0615, -0.0881, -0.1386, -0.1124, -0.1374, -0.113, -0.0933, -0.121, -0.1324, -0.1625, -0.1944, -0.2151, -0.2067, -0.2358, -0.2624, -0.2773, -0.2382, -0.2534, -0.2312, -0.2312, -0.2234, -0.2694, -0.2216, -0.2055, -0.2089, -0.2364, -0.2239, -0.2038, -0.2092, -0.2151, -0.2287, -0.2669, -0.2511, -0.2662, -0.2775, -0.2481, -0.2454, -0.252, -0.2549, -0.2549, -0.2526, -0.2561, -0.2493, -0.252, -0.252, -0.2326, -0.1946, -0.2099, -0.2236, -0.2239, -0.2293, -0.2186, -0.193, -0.1648, -0.1865, -0.1829, -0.1829, -0.2353, -0.23, -0.2367, -0.2362, -0.252, -0.2373, -0.2391, -0.2829, -0.2846, -0.3338, -0.3477, -0.3738, -0.4562, -0.4022, -0.3958, -0.4129, -0.4232, -0.4418, -0.4129, -0.4129, -0.4217, -0.4345, -0.4265, -0.4212, -0.4494, -0.4497, -0.409, -0.4236, -0.4397, -0.4095, -0.417, -0.3757, -0.3915, -0.4185, -0.4105]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974831179678523588", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-05T13:36:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Are we going to break $130,000 too fast for you? Get ready", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; expects price to break above $130,000.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoeCarlasare Uh oh Joe. Are we going to break $130,000 too fast for you? Get ready 😂🙏💪🚀", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "All price action when CME is closed is suspect. 🧐", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoeCarlasare", "ret_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01635408642433056, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01635408642433056, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035733649475229168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022754152545188755, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022754152545188755, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00370742225752696, "ret_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06324172184046095, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06324172184046095, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01276036829748961, "ret_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1910685312545366, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1910685312545366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404901182902266, "ret_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3070874653755761, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3070874653755761, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018351465279385692, "ret_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4268941991180939, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4268941991180939, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02615647795985121, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18566363007163433, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1910685312545366, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1910685312545366, "price_path": [-0.1076, -0.0703, -0.058, -0.0393, -0.0559, -0.0482, -0.0438, -0.0541, -0.0586, -0.0381, -0.0481, -0.0512, -0.057, -0.0547, -0.0548, -0.0555, -0.0721, -0.0916, -0.0776, -0.0851, -0.078, -0.0582, -0.0646, -0.0483, -0.0367, -0.0113, -0.0512, -0.059, -0.0681, -0.0956, -0.084, -0.0989, -0.0632, -0.1173, -0.1038, -0.1085, -0.0979, -0.131, -0.1243, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1125, -0.113, -0.1017, -0.106, -0.0865, -0.0741, -0.0693, -0.0746, -0.0634, -0.0664, -0.061, -0.0727, -0.0962, -0.1021, -0.0916, -0.1259, -0.1206, -0.083, -0.0857, -0.0489, -0.0326, -0.0199, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0112, -0.0244, -0.0925, -0.076, -0.0933, -0.112, -0.1328, -0.1466, -0.1135, -0.1305, -0.1368, -0.1177, -0.11, -0.0852, -0.0946, -0.1178, -0.1318, -0.1218, -0.1459, -0.1857, -0.1672, -0.188, -0.1714, -0.1503, -0.1744, -0.1851, -0.2008, -0.2433, -0.2618, -0.2549, -0.2668, -0.3056, -0.3179, -0.2924, -0.2999, -0.2744, -0.2683, -0.2712, -0.3081, -0.2677, -0.2503, -0.2614, -0.2835, -0.2734, -0.257, -0.2624, -0.2584, -0.2764, -0.3073, -0.2959, -0.3095, -0.3149, -0.2938, -0.2907, -0.2993, -0.2977, -0.3007, -0.3002, -0.3015, -0.2912, -0.2985, -0.2887, -0.279, -0.2474, -0.2487, -0.2681, -0.2703, -0.2745, -0.269, -0.2359, -0.223, -0.2341, -0.2343, -0.2581, -0.2921, -0.2836, -0.2829, -0.2825, -0.2925, -0.2858, -0.2851, -0.3222, -0.3256, -0.3692, -0.3937, -0.4147, -0.4974, -0.4344, -0.4379, -0.4486, -0.463, -0.4692, -0.448, -0.4482, -0.459, -0.4675, -0.4633, -0.4549, -0.482, -0.4863, -0.4552, -0.4593, -0.4719, -0.4487, -0.4526, -0.4172, -0.4321, -0.4538, -0.4517, -0.4395, -0.4372, -0.4349, -0.4311, -0.3999, -0.4074, -0.4289, -0.4396, -0.4347, -0.4316, -0.4347, -0.4284, -0.4486, -0.4682, -0.4654, -0.4531]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1973369771870818471", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T12:49:51+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ARETE RAISES CIFR PRICE TARGET TO $42", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Arete raises CIFR price target to $42; author shares/endorses the bullish call.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "BREAKING: ARETE RAISES CIFR PRICE TARGET TO $42", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0007936689348472248, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007936689348472248, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0026023314868103276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008903454598818472, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0033960004216575523, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009697123533665697, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09603174615188648, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09603174615188648, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09487992135520051, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09062100031420162, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151824796685963, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0054107458376848605, "ret_p1w": 0.3968253848113594, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3968253848113594, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.38985404141317703, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.37549866700397305, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971343398182395, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021326717807386375, "ret_p1m": 0.5134919934502256, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5134919934502256, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4964674318981206, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4580845954200281, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024561552104966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05540739803019745, "ret_p3m": 0.19682535453598526, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19682535453598526, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16476234895546726, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17025474303257426, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032063005580518, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026570611503411, "ret_p6m": 0.13888888468397576, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13888888468397576, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16834037542293057, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20525125610287132, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945149073895481, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06636237141889556, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.5134919934502256, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.4964674318981206, "alpha_c_stated": 0.4580845954200281, "price_path": [-0.5198, -0.5405, -0.5214, -0.5032, -0.5048, -0.5341, -0.5214, -0.5262, -0.5024, -0.4905, -0.4952, -0.504, -0.4492, -0.4698, -0.4722, -0.4865, -0.5111, -0.5492, -0.5675, -0.5667, -0.6087, -0.5881, -0.6024, -0.5865, -0.6135, -0.623, -0.6222, -0.6254, -0.6111, -0.5778, -0.5865, -0.5198, -0.5429, -0.5278, -0.5317, -0.4937, -0.473, -0.4349, -0.4452, -0.4429, -0.3937, -0.3937, -0.3397, -0.3563, -0.4127, -0.4032, -0.3873, -0.2683, -0.1865, -0.2087, -0.1389, -0.1389, -0.0865, -0.0175, -0.0595, -0.0254, 0.1079, 0.123, 0.1222, -0.0746, -0.0897, 0.004, -0.0008, 0.0, 0.096, 0.1667, 0.2175, 0.25, 0.3968, 0.4278, 0.3468, 0.6143, 0.6579, 0.669, 0.4857, 0.4889, 0.5802, 0.4345, 0.2786, 0.3694, 0.6397, 0.6302, 0.5841, 0.5548, 0.5135, 0.4802, 0.8063, 0.7865, 0.9611, 0.723, 0.6421, 0.5595, 0.4817, 0.3794, 0.1849, 0.1397, 0.1389, 0.1571, 0.1603, 0.1556, 0.123, 0.3262, 0.3905, 0.5198, 0.5198, 0.6151, 0.5627, 0.4, 0.4786, 0.5738, 0.5302, 0.546, 0.5524, 0.4667, 0.4984, 0.3532, 0.1698, 0.1897, 0.1421, 0.2024, 0.2865, 0.2968, 0.2627, 0.2873, 0.2873, 0.2056, 0.1968, 0.1579, 0.1714, 0.1714, 0.2857, 0.4413, 0.3921, 0.2762, 0.3135, 0.3198, 0.4032, 0.4484, 0.4389, 0.3905, 0.4921, 0.4921, 0.4222, 0.4063, 0.3802, 0.3944, 0.3087, 0.4881, 0.5056, 0.4048, 0.2667, 0.2548, 0.2905, 0.131, 0.0079, 0.169, 0.3302, 0.3571, 0.2921, 0.2778, 0.3032, 0.3032, 0.2413, 0.2238, 0.254, 0.1627, 0.2079, 0.3587, 0.3183, 0.3079, 0.2381, 0.2508, 0.1675, 0.273, 0.2024, 0.081, 0.1357, 0.1079, 0.1198, 0.0881, 0.1175, 0.2016, 0.1976, 0.1643, 0.1619, 0.1119, 0.1817, 0.181, 0.2603, 0.1389]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964539926646837659", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-07T04:03:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish macro-liquidity thesis; crypto going higher from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@antiprosynth This is exactly how I’ve been talking about it for the last few months. We are going higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "There is no 4-year crypto cycle.\n\nMacro liquidity cycles just so happened to align to ~4 years in the past 10-15y.\n\nBear markets were consistently triggered by macro liquidity turning negative.\n\nFor the first time ever, macro liquidity is about to turn *positive* instead.\n\nSo,", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "antiprosynth", "ret_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012674464102588545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010223716361543178, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004826232823193166, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007138117223456586, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "ret_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03010085016231634, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011482890414804103, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "ret_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08369620295872959, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.049565400920215774, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "ret_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17783127013791356, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23556199205418193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "ret_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39062392058413076, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4451868463167824, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08369620295872959, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.049565400920215774, "alpha_c_stated": 0.049565400920215774, "price_path": [-0.0302, -0.0548, -0.0534, -0.0471, -0.0667, -0.0641, -0.0659, -0.0782, -0.0579, -0.0538, -0.042, -0.0456, -0.0445, -0.044, -0.0569, -0.0287, -0.0216, -0.036, -0.0337, -0.0278, -0.0066, 0.0349, 0.0486, 0.0694, 0.0509, 0.0595, 0.0644, 0.0529, 0.0479, 0.0707, 0.0596, 0.0562, 0.0497, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0514, 0.0329, 0.0111, 0.0268, 0.0185, 0.0264, 0.0484, 0.0412, 0.0594, 0.0723, 0.1006, 0.0561, 0.0475, 0.0373, 0.0068, 0.0197, 0.0031, 0.0429, -0.0174, -0.0024, -0.0076, 0.0042, -0.0327, -0.0252, -0.0078, -0.0031, -0.012, -0.0127, 0.0, -0.0048, 0.0168, 0.0307, 0.036, 0.0301, 0.0426, 0.0392, 0.0452, 0.0323, 0.006, -0.0005, 0.0112, -0.027, -0.021, 0.0208, 0.0177, 0.0587, 0.0768, 0.091, 0.1132, 0.0837, 0.1007, 0.086, 0.0102, 0.0286, 0.0093, -0.0115, -0.0347, -0.05, -0.0132, -0.0321, -0.0391, -0.0179, -0.0093, 0.0183, 0.0079, -0.018, -0.0336, -0.0224, -0.0493, -0.0935, -0.073, -0.0961, -0.0776, -0.0542, -0.081, -0.0929, -0.1104, -0.1577, -0.1783, -0.1706, -0.1839, -0.227, -0.2407, -0.2124, -0.2207, -0.1923, -0.1855, -0.1887, -0.2298, -0.1849, -0.1655, -0.1778, -0.2024, -0.1912, -0.1729, -0.1789, -0.1745, -0.1945, -0.2289, -0.2162, -0.2313, -0.2374, -0.2139, -0.2104, -0.22, -0.2182, -0.2216, -0.221, -0.2225, -0.2109, -0.2192, -0.2083, -0.1974, -0.1623, -0.1637, -0.1853, -0.1878, -0.1924, -0.1863, -0.1495, -0.1351, -0.1474, -0.1476, -0.1742, -0.212, -0.2025, -0.2017, -0.2014, -0.2124, -0.2049, -0.2042, -0.2455, -0.2493, -0.2979, -0.3251, -0.3485, -0.4405, -0.3704, -0.3743, -0.3862, -0.4022, -0.4091, -0.3856, -0.3857, -0.3978, -0.4073, -0.4025, -0.3932, -0.4234, -0.4282, -0.3936, -0.3981, -0.4121, -0.3863, -0.3906]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964416427101999523", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-06T19:52:27+00:00", "symbol": "crypto", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Top unlikely into mid to late 2026.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Crypto cycle top not expected until mid-to-late 2026; implicitly bullish on crypto through that period.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD", "ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Broad crypto: BTC+ETH as primary proxies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LayahHeilpern Yes it’s stretched out. Top unlikely into mid to late 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Not gonna lie this has been one of the strangest crypto cycles yet…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LayahHeilpern", "ret_m1d": -0.006462983898866015, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006462983898866015, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004012236157820648, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004012236157820648, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002450747741045367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002300625461876038, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002300625461876038, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004612509862139458, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004612509862139458, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00231188440026342, "ret_p1w": 0.04043858402877332, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04043858402877332, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02182062428126108, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02182062428126108, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018617959747512236, "ret_p1m": 0.05845408914876993, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05845408914876993, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02432328711025611, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02432328711025611, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413080203851382, "ret_p3m": -0.22514313857912777, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22514313857912777, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28287386049539615, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28287386049539615, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773072191626838, "ret_p6m": -0.46518943696308585, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.46518943696308585, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5197523626957374, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5197523626957374, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "bench_c_p6m": 0.054562925732651646, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.1932, -0.2196, -0.2273, -0.2287, -0.2419, -0.2391, -0.2403, -0.2597, -0.2479, -0.2428, -0.2402, -0.2424, -0.2409, -0.2334, -0.2492, -0.2159, -0.2101, -0.2269, -0.2217, -0.2104, -0.1817, -0.1396, -0.1324, -0.1156, -0.1101, -0.079, -0.0643, -0.0616, -0.0393, -0.0295, -0.0489, -0.0416, -0.0426, -0.0343, -0.0336, -0.0323, -0.0545, -0.0896, -0.055, -0.0716, -0.0592, -0.0215, -0.014, 0.0203, 0.069, 0.1023, 0.0559, 0.0391, 0.0192, -0.0238, 0.0129, -0.0083, 0.0822, -0.0012, 0.0327, 0.0189, 0.0252, -0.0103, -0.0118, -0.0019, 0.015, -0.0071, -0.0065, 0.0, -0.0023, 0.0132, 0.0331, 0.0652, 0.0404, 0.044, 0.0527, 0.0553, 0.035, -0.0092, -0.0168, -0.0123, -0.0645, -0.0421, -0.0001, -0.01, 0.0343, 0.0593, 0.0695, 0.1006, 0.0585, 0.0758, 0.0501, -0.0489, 0.007, -0.0165, -0.043, -0.0653, -0.0802, -0.0446, -0.0661, -0.0776, -0.0614, -0.048, -0.0127, -0.0339, -0.056, -0.0753, -0.0647, -0.1066, -0.1646, -0.139, -0.1636, -0.1401, -0.1129, -0.1441, -0.1503, -0.18, -0.2186, -0.2381, -0.2229, -0.2411, -0.2848, -0.2994, -0.2635, -0.267, -0.2447, -0.2429, -0.2424, -0.2899, -0.2445, -0.2123, -0.2251, -0.2502, -0.2329, -0.201, -0.2035, -0.2116, -0.2393, -0.2704, -0.2641, -0.2871, -0.2906, -0.2613, -0.2563, -0.2661, -0.2673, -0.2738, -0.2709, -0.2707, -0.2606, -0.2652, -0.2559, -0.2361, -0.2067, -0.1993, -0.2251, -0.2336, -0.2384, -0.2342, -0.1892, -0.1782, -0.1887, -0.1913, -0.2172, -0.2653, -0.2555, -0.2585, -0.2579, -0.2666, -0.2517, -0.2532, -0.2956, -0.311, -0.3768, -0.404, -0.4254, -0.5088, -0.4457, -0.443, -0.4587, -0.4759, -0.4786, -0.455, -0.461, -0.4677, -0.4769, -0.4752, -0.4681, -0.4964, -0.4991, -0.4583, -0.4638, -0.482, -0.4579, -0.4652]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1985850939555926209", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T23:25:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buy Bitcoin while you still have a job", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends buying Bitcoin as AI/robotics erode labor value; buy now while income still available.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The value of an average hour of human labor is plummeting to zero as AI and robotics take over everything. The value of an exceptional hour of human labor (@elonmusk, @sama, etc) is trending towards infinity. It’s feast or famine. My advice: buy Bitcoin while you still have a job", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04879392124649917, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04879392124649917, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052247429849208715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.052247429849208715, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02265282648549194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02265282648549194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033382099530286924, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033382099530286924, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "ret_p1w": 0.013849178692002528, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013849178692002528, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005289338281446954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005289338281446954, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "ret_p1m": -0.07936487063146502, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07936487063146502, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0894154126172434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0894154126172434, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "ret_p3m": -0.17188480378529403, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17188480378529403, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20123163435738256, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20123163435738256, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "ret_p6m": -0.25410234883651717, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25410234883651717, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3207690336680723, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3207690336680723, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07936487063146502, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0894154126172434, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0894154126172434, "price_path": [0.1566, 0.1486, 0.1687, 0.1829, 0.2141, 0.1651, 0.1556, 0.1443, 0.1106, 0.1249, 0.1066, 0.1504, 0.084, 0.1005, 0.0948, 0.1078, 0.0671, 0.0754, 0.0946, 0.0997, 0.0899, 0.0892, 0.1032, 0.0978, 0.1217, 0.137, 0.1428, 0.1364, 0.1501, 0.1465, 0.153, 0.1388, 0.1098, 0.1026, 0.1155, 0.0734, 0.08, 0.1261, 0.1227, 0.1679, 0.1879, 0.2035, 0.228, 0.1955, 0.2142, 0.198, 0.1144, 0.1347, 0.1135, 0.0905, 0.0649, 0.048, 0.0886, 0.0678, 0.06, 0.0835, 0.093, 0.1233, 0.1119, 0.0833, 0.0661, 0.0784, 0.0488, 0.0, 0.0227, -0.0028, 0.0175, 0.0434, 0.0138, 0.0007, -0.0186, -0.0708, -0.0935, -0.0851, -0.0997, -0.1472, -0.1624, -0.1311, -0.1403, -0.109, -0.1014, -0.105, -0.1503, -0.1008, -0.0794, -0.093, -0.1201, -0.1078, -0.0876, -0.0942, -0.0894, -0.1114, -0.1493, -0.1353, -0.152, -0.1588, -0.1328, -0.129, -0.1395, -0.1376, -0.1413, -0.1407, -0.1423, -0.1295, -0.1386, -0.1266, -0.1146, -0.0759, -0.0774, -0.1012, -0.104, -0.109, -0.1023, -0.0617, -0.0459, -0.0594, -0.0597, -0.089, -0.1307, -0.1202, -0.1194, -0.119, -0.1311, -0.1229, -0.1221, -0.1676, -0.1719, -0.2254, -0.2555, -0.2812, -0.3828, -0.3055, -0.3098, -0.3228, -0.3406, -0.3481, -0.3222, -0.3223, -0.3356, -0.3461, -0.3409, -0.3306, -0.3639, -0.3692, -0.331, -0.336, -0.3515, -0.323, -0.3278, -0.2843, -0.3027, -0.3293, -0.3267, -0.3117, -0.3089, -0.3061, -0.3014, -0.2631, -0.2723, -0.2987, -0.3118, -0.3058, -0.302, -0.3059, -0.2981, -0.3229, -0.347, -0.3435, -0.3283, -0.3299, -0.3416, -0.3412, -0.3222, -0.2919, -0.2999, -0.2936, -0.2816, -0.2668, -0.2698, -0.2637, -0.2602, -0.2408, -0.2532, -0.2484, -0.2302, -0.2296, -0.2376, -0.2384, -0.2484, -0.2541]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985858450744848754", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T23:55:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "YOU SHOULD ALWAYS OWN BITCOIN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Decisive buy/own instruction on Bitcoin; always own it.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SelfMadeMastery YOU SHOULD ALWAYS OWN BITCOIN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Ok should I buy $BTC now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SelfMadeMastery", "ret_m1d": 0.04879392124649917, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04879392124649917, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052247429849208715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.052247429849208715, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003453508602709543, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02265282648549194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02265282648549194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033382099530286924, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033382099530286924, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729273044794985, "ret_p1w": 0.013849178692002528, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013849178692002528, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005289338281446954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005289338281446954, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559840410555575, "ret_p1m": -0.07936487063146502, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07936487063146502, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0894154126172434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0894154126172434, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050541985778372, "ret_p3m": -0.17188480378529403, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17188480378529403, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20123163435738256, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20123163435738256, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346830572088534, "ret_p6m": -0.25410234883651717, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25410234883651717, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3207690336680723, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3207690336680723, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668483155513, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07936487063146502, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0894154126172434, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0894154126172434, "price_path": [0.1566, 0.1486, 0.1687, 0.1829, 0.2141, 0.1651, 0.1556, 0.1443, 0.1106, 0.1249, 0.1066, 0.1504, 0.084, 0.1005, 0.0948, 0.1078, 0.0671, 0.0754, 0.0946, 0.0997, 0.0899, 0.0892, 0.1032, 0.0978, 0.1217, 0.137, 0.1428, 0.1364, 0.1501, 0.1465, 0.153, 0.1388, 0.1098, 0.1026, 0.1155, 0.0734, 0.08, 0.1261, 0.1227, 0.1679, 0.1879, 0.2035, 0.228, 0.1955, 0.2142, 0.198, 0.1144, 0.1347, 0.1135, 0.0905, 0.0649, 0.048, 0.0886, 0.0678, 0.06, 0.0835, 0.093, 0.1233, 0.1119, 0.0833, 0.0661, 0.0784, 0.0488, 0.0, 0.0227, -0.0028, 0.0175, 0.0434, 0.0138, 0.0007, -0.0186, -0.0708, -0.0935, -0.0851, -0.0997, -0.1472, -0.1624, -0.1311, -0.1403, -0.109, -0.1014, -0.105, -0.1503, -0.1008, -0.0794, -0.093, -0.1201, -0.1078, -0.0876, -0.0942, -0.0894, -0.1114, -0.1493, -0.1353, -0.152, -0.1588, -0.1328, -0.129, -0.1395, -0.1376, -0.1413, -0.1407, -0.1423, -0.1295, -0.1386, -0.1266, -0.1146, -0.0759, -0.0774, -0.1012, -0.104, -0.109, -0.1023, -0.0617, -0.0459, -0.0594, -0.0597, -0.089, -0.1307, -0.1202, -0.1194, -0.119, -0.1311, -0.1229, -0.1221, -0.1676, -0.1719, -0.2254, -0.2555, -0.2812, -0.3828, -0.3055, -0.3098, -0.3228, -0.3406, -0.3481, -0.3222, -0.3223, -0.3356, -0.3461, -0.3409, -0.3306, -0.3639, -0.3692, -0.331, -0.336, -0.3515, -0.323, -0.3278, -0.2843, -0.3027, -0.3293, -0.3267, -0.3117, -0.3089, -0.3061, -0.3014, -0.2631, -0.2723, -0.2987, -0.3118, -0.3058, -0.302, -0.3059, -0.2981, -0.3229, -0.347, -0.3435, -0.3283, -0.3299, -0.3416, -0.3412, -0.3222, -0.2919, -0.2999, -0.2936, -0.2816, -0.2668, -0.2698, -0.2637, -0.2602, -0.2408, -0.2532, -0.2484, -0.2302, -0.2296, -0.2376, -0.2384, -0.2484, -0.2541]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013001289500868653", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-18T21:31:21+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $DEO", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed long position in Diageo.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Geiger_Capital Long $DEO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Have yourself a Sunday. 🤝 https://t.co/2b1pZ8q6Y0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Geiger_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.00416058297382893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00416058297382893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02494039343108123, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02494039343108123, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02192737801728284, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02192737801728284, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01038626873562154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01038626873562154, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": -0.0017991756998799735, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0017991756998799735, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028231454655570976, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028231454655570976, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.07016750566672747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07016750566672747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0573129597215285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0573129597215285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.06998032622776496, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06998032622776496, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1208960100053913, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1208960100053913, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07016750566672747, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0573129597215285, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0573129597215285, "price_path": [0.0893, 0.0821, 0.071, 0.0576, 0.0313, 0.0233, 0.0355, 0.0509, 0.0464, 0.0559, -0.0188, 0.021, 0.0688, 0.0945, 0.0906, 0.0801, 0.0638, 0.0457, 0.0256, -0.0029, -0.0022, 0.0345, 0.0208, 0.0252, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0301, 0.0385, 0.0318, 0.0352, 0.0063, -0.0053, -0.0111, -0.0397, -0.0322, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0001, 0.0052, 0.0098, -0.0061, 0.0026, -0.0232, -0.0395, -0.0368, -0.0368, -0.0293, -0.03, -0.0262, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0207, 0.007, -0.0047, -0.0428, -0.0223, -0.0056, 0.022, 0.0112, 0.0274, 0.0047, -0.0042, -0.0042, 0.0, 0.0219, 0.0253, 0.0288, 0.0096, -0.0018, -0.002, 0.0237, 0.0435, 0.0344, 0.047, 0.0937, 0.0919, 0.0894, 0.0919, 0.1141, 0.1336, 0.125, 0.1151, 0.1151, 0.0846, 0.0702, 0.0849, 0.1286, 0.1231, 0.1485, -0.0313, -0.0383, 0.0064, -0.027, -0.0541, -0.075, -0.0744, -0.0802, -0.0771, -0.0852, -0.104, -0.137, -0.13, -0.1353, -0.1363, -0.1545, -0.1611, -0.1693, -0.1664, -0.1851, -0.1673, -0.1708, -0.1671, -0.1741, -0.1628, -0.1608, -0.1755, -0.1755, -0.1573, -0.1665, -0.1331, -0.1169, -0.1291, -0.1088, -0.0948, -0.1042, -0.1, -0.07, -0.0668, -0.0732, -0.0919, -0.0985, -0.0994, -0.1027, -0.1033, -0.1209, -0.084, -0.0947, -0.1083, -0.0875, -0.039, -0.0524, -0.0425, -0.0685, -0.0787, -0.0835, -0.0847, -0.0721, -0.0484, -0.0426, -0.0332, -0.0234, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0344, -0.0168, -0.0392, -0.0634, -0.0928, -0.0995, -0.1064, -0.1034, -0.0864, -0.0886, -0.0867, -0.0938, -0.0786, -0.071, -0.088, -0.0852, -0.1045, -0.0862, -0.0862, -0.096, -0.0659, -0.0576, -0.0617, -0.0515, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002822744556392554", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T19:25:27+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$140,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Targets $140,000 for Bitcoin, endorsing the parent's bullish breakout thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@SteveUrkelDude $140,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "A significant, directional move is coming for #Bitcoin, soon. Consolidation range is tightening after 5 weeks of basing, and a big break out of consolidation generally follows - this should resolve in the coming days/weeks. This is what I've been talking about recently $BTC https://t.co/rktQ1KD5td", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SteveUrkelDude", "ret_m1d": -0.0043692252710006985, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0043692252710006985, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018220084080202703, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0018220084080202703, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006191233679020969, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006191233679020969, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01215974047919599, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01215974047919599, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016730232826526636, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016730232826526636, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570492347330646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570492347330646, "ret_p1w": -0.015277147262906299, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015277147262906299, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019686990088001233, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019686990088001233, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409842825094934, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409842825094934, "ret_p1m": -0.0020240630961013695, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0020240630961013695, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008562498504165017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008562498504165017, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586561600266386, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586561600266386, "ret_p3m": -0.2099358490479417, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2099358490479417, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17338660436949072, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17338660436949072, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.036549244678451, "bench_c_p3m": -0.036549244678451, "ret_p6m": -0.25866618779908257, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25866618779908257, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35730266489931295, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35730266489931295, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09863647710023038, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09863647710023038, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0020240630961013695, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008562498504165017, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008562498504165017, "price_path": [0.2807, 0.2323, 0.2398, 0.2928, 0.2889, 0.3408, 0.3638, 0.3817, 0.4098, 0.3725, 0.394, 0.3754, 0.2794, 0.3026, 0.2783, 0.2519, 0.2226, 0.2032, 0.2497, 0.2259, 0.217, 0.2439, 0.2548, 0.2896, 0.2765, 0.2437, 0.2239, 0.2381, 0.2041, 0.148, 0.1741, 0.1448, 0.1682, 0.1978, 0.1639, 0.1489, 0.1267, 0.0668, 0.0407, 0.0504, 0.0336, -0.021, -0.0384, -0.0025, -0.013, 0.0229, 0.0316, 0.0275, -0.0245, 0.0323, 0.0569, 0.0413, 0.0101, 0.0243, 0.0475, 0.0399, 0.0454, 0.0201, -0.0234, -0.0073, -0.0265, -0.0342, -0.0044, 0.0, -0.0122, -0.0099, -0.0142, -0.0134, -0.0153, -0.0007, -0.0111, 0.0027, 0.0164, 0.0609, 0.0592, 0.0318, 0.0287, 0.0229, 0.0305, 0.0772, 0.0954, 0.0798, 0.0795, 0.0459, -0.002, 0.01, 0.011, 0.0115, -0.0025, 0.0069, 0.0078, -0.0444, -0.0493, -0.1108, -0.1453, -0.1748, -0.2914, -0.2027, -0.2076, -0.2226, -0.2429, -0.2516, -0.2219, -0.222, -0.2373, -0.2493, -0.2433, -0.2315, -0.2698, -0.2759, -0.232, -0.2377, -0.2555, -0.2228, -0.2282, -0.1783, -0.1994, -0.23, -0.227, -0.2098, -0.2066, -0.2034, -0.198, -0.154, -0.1646, -0.1949, -0.2099, -0.203, -0.1986, -0.2031, -0.1941, -0.2226, -0.2503, -0.2463, -0.2289, -0.2307, -0.2441, -0.2436, -0.2218, -0.187, -0.1963, -0.189, -0.1753, -0.1583, -0.1617, -0.1546, -0.1507, -0.1284, -0.1426, -0.1372, -0.1162, -0.1155, -0.1247, -0.1257, -0.1372, -0.1437, -0.1377, -0.1165, -0.0979, -0.0855, -0.0798, -0.0958, -0.0938, -0.0764, -0.0905, -0.1041, -0.0841, -0.1065, -0.1304, -0.1327, -0.1247, -0.1238, -0.1469, -0.1267, -0.1431, -0.1599, -0.169, -0.1708, -0.194, -0.2462, -0.2766, -0.279, -0.3115, -0.287, -0.3034, -0.3056, -0.2817, -0.2819, -0.2509, -0.2587]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990056978832646617", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-16T13:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN is far better positioned. You will understand this soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly favors IREN over alternatives in the datacenter/neocloud space; confident in its positioning.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@optionscjp It’s not close. IREN is far better positioned. You will understand this soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "With all of the datacenter / neocloud plays getting hosed this week,\n\nI think $NBIS is the best buy out of all at this time\n\nThat’s where I’m putting anymore cash that I can allocate to this sector \n\nSecond in line IMO $CIFR\n\nThen $IREN\n\nNebius is not financing anything with a", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "optionscjp", "ret_m1d": -0.021936319740024524, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021936319740024524, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03134027779681847, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.041372679709984594, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01943635996996007, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030373310089508276, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030373310089508276, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03877086343330316, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031928365979887574, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015550558903792977, "ret_p1w": 0.022780042913534082, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022780042913534082, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018183178909818354, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014228098560834956, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008551944352699126, "ret_p1m": -0.22822188841274238, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22822188841274238, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24805155584803373, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2902237476354935, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06200185922275114, "ret_p3m": -0.15566338519020417, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15566338519020417, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18212260268696523, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1638394174269383, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008176032236734132, "ret_p6m": 0.19299729076836014, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19299729076836014, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07775526088167184, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1817953498640863, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011201940904273844, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22822188841274238, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24805155584803373, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2902237476354935, "price_path": [-0.5832, -0.5868, -0.548, -0.5123, -0.5151, -0.5285, -0.514, -0.4415, -0.4415, -0.386, -0.405, -0.4489, -0.4484, -0.4476, -0.3632, -0.2907, -0.3071, -0.2837, -0.2166, -0.2312, -0.2006, -0.2339, -0.185, -0.1162, -0.119, -0.0057, -0.0236, -0.1171, -0.0312, -0.0101, -0.007, -0.0082, 0.0643, 0.2181, 0.301, 0.2675, 0.3468, 0.2607, 0.3529, 0.4672, 0.4339, 0.3042, 0.2807, 0.2491, 0.1642, 0.0932, 0.1782, 0.3267, 0.3708, 0.3166, 0.2744, 0.228, 0.2814, 0.429, 0.4054, 0.6117, 0.4124, 0.3158, 0.2691, 0.2103, 0.1749, 0.0262, -0.0219, 0.0, 0.0304, -0.0333, -0.0831, -0.1086, 0.0228, 0.0013, 0.0219, 0.0219, 0.0084, 0.0228, -0.1327, -0.0728, -0.0202, -0.057, -0.0226, -0.012, -0.0736, -0.0732, -0.1536, -0.2516, -0.2282, -0.2875, -0.2449, -0.158, -0.1133, -0.1126, -0.1145, -0.1145, -0.15, -0.1687, -0.1922, -0.2033, -0.2033, -0.0993, 0.0175, -0.0316, -0.0798, -0.0365, -0.0291, 0.0616, 0.1177, 0.1154, 0.0945, 0.2196, 0.2196, 0.1445, 0.128, 0.1023, 0.1955, 0.1044, 0.2653, 0.3276, 0.2622, 0.1335, 0.1196, 0.1472, -0.0521, -0.1607, -0.1177, -0.0266, -0.0945, -0.1, -0.1557, -0.1095, -0.1095, -0.1358, -0.1124, -0.0869, -0.1567, -0.1065, -0.0413, -0.0713, -0.0669, -0.1363, -0.127, -0.1806, -0.0753, -0.1537, -0.2259, -0.1808, -0.196, -0.1145, -0.1274, -0.123, -0.0521, -0.0939, -0.1097, -0.1213, -0.1291, -0.1107, -0.1327, -0.1261, -0.2101, -0.2599, -0.3331, -0.2769, -0.281, -0.2666, -0.2666, -0.259, -0.2462, -0.2232, -0.2183, -0.1706, -0.0915, -0.0008, 0.0297, 0.0061, 0.015, 0.0276, -0.0472, 0.0207, 0.0972, 0.0681, 0.02, -0.0626, -0.096, -0.0401, -0.0369, 0.0437, 0.1546, 0.2862, 0.1991, 0.2909, 0.1633, 0.193]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1996673559465546054", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-04T20:10:47+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have added 250,000 shares of ASST at 98 cents. Now holding 2.25M shares and looking to add on weakness until sentiment improves.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding to ASST position, now 2.25M shares; plans to continue buying on weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have added 250,000 shares of ASST at 98 cents. Now holding 2.25M shares and looking to add on weakness until sentiment improves. https://t.co/MCmoimK3Hh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07471847574543755, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07471847574543755, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07544908135859285, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07676837254182622, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007306056131552996, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0020498967963886727, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0777891702428638, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0777891702428638, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07968856499568566, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07816190491729846, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001899394752821859, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00037273467443466046, "ret_p1w": -0.05629479682345451, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05629479682345451, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06327902680245534, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07884423723573641, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006984229979000833, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022549440412281907, "ret_p1m": -0.11463672331185992, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11463672331185992, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11580362411701883, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1418821169265121, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0011669008051589103, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02724539361465217, "ret_p3m": -0.5736950085254771, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5736950085254771, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.570700109996031, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5313726412429467, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948985294460106, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04232236728253036, "ret_p6m": -0.09570116436112419, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09570116436112419, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20732951926837961, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06525658471840978, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162835490725542, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03044457964271441, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11463672331185992, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11580362411701883, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1418821169265121, "price_path": [4.4555, 5.4278, 7.2805, 8.1198, 7.6899, 5.3664, 3.5855, 2.7666, 2.9099, 3.4012, 3.1965, 2.4289, 2.0809, 1.8147, 1.4974, 1.3541, 1.5589, 1.5691, 1.7226, 1.6612, 1.5896, 1.1494, 1.0368, 0.8526, 0.5916, 0.1054, 0.0205, -0.0174, -0.0788, -0.1464, -0.1157, -0.1505, -0.2016, -0.1157, 0.1259, 0.6786, 0.4739, 0.2794, 0.2385, 0.3613, 0.2999, 0.2794, 0.4944, 0.4841, 0.5455, 0.5148, 0.392, 0.3204, 0.1771, 0.1054, 0.0645, 0.1464, 0.0747, 0.0061, 0.044, 0.1566, 0.1361, 0.1566, 0.1566, 0.1464, 0.0747, 0.0594, 0.0747, 0.0, -0.0778, 0.0082, 0.044, 0.0235, -0.0563, -0.1167, -0.1924, -0.1198, -0.1597, -0.1494, -0.0798, -0.1136, -0.176, -0.1177, -0.1177, -0.1658, -0.2088, -0.2508, -0.2446, -0.2446, -0.1146, 0.0542, 0.0645, 0.044, 0.0338, -0.0317, 0.1259, -0.0072, 0.0542, -0.0061, -0.0297, -0.0297, -0.0942, -0.087, -0.1095, -0.1085, -0.1955, -0.1617, -0.1801, -0.1965, -0.1597, -0.26, -0.3019, -0.3941, -0.4954, -0.3902, -0.4808, -0.5302, -0.586, -0.6059, -0.5737, -0.5737, -0.5814, -0.588, -0.5844, -0.5829, -0.6233, -0.6333, -0.5629, -0.5809, -0.5937, -0.5532, -0.5737, -0.5077, -0.5266, -0.5548, -0.5645, -0.5404, -0.5276, -0.5481, -0.5123, -0.4442, -0.4319, -0.4864, -0.4749, -0.4872, -0.4657, -0.4918, -0.4447, -0.4672, -0.4956, -0.5205, -0.4872, -0.48, -0.501, -0.501, -0.4821, -0.5258, -0.4754, -0.5067, -0.456, -0.4074, -0.3639, -0.3076, -0.2845, -0.2011, -0.2006, -0.2165, -0.1474, -0.1709, -0.1914, -0.197, -0.218, -0.2625, -0.2139, -0.1653, -0.163, -0.1551, -0.1668, -0.2088, -0.1853, -0.0814, -0.1264, -0.1433, -0.0937, -0.1407, -0.1919, -0.173, -0.131, -0.0517, -0.0681, -0.0681, -0.0737, -0.088, -0.089, -0.0957]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995519256688209972", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T15:44:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was able to buy some BTC under $84,000", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought BTC under $84K; live long position disclosed.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh thank god I was able to buy some BTC under $84,000. Thank you lettuce hands! 🙏", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04867600571102382, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04867600571102382, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05640246297425855, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05640246297425855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "ret_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.045090366422747774, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045090366422747774, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "ret_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011534894557498232, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011534894557498232, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "ret_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.234843883634127, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.234843883634127, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "ret_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23124329934601617, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23124329934601617, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.024426832046342772, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011534894557498232, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011534894557498232, "price_path": [0.2943, 0.2827, 0.2818, 0.2983, 0.292, 0.3201, 0.3381, 0.345, 0.3374, 0.3536, 0.3492, 0.357, 0.3402, 0.3061, 0.2976, 0.3129, 0.2633, 0.271, 0.3253, 0.3213, 0.3745, 0.398, 0.4164, 0.4452, 0.407, 0.429, 0.4099, 0.3115, 0.3354, 0.3104, 0.2834, 0.2533, 0.2334, 0.2811, 0.2567, 0.2475, 0.2751, 0.2863, 0.322, 0.3086, 0.2749, 0.2547, 0.2692, 0.2343, 0.1769, 0.2035, 0.1735, 0.1975, 0.2279, 0.1932, 0.1777, 0.155, 0.0936, 0.0669, 0.0768, 0.0596, 0.0036, -0.0143, 0.0226, 0.0118, 0.0486, 0.0575, 0.0533, 0.0, 0.0583, 0.0835, 0.0674, 0.0355, 0.05, 0.0738, 0.066, 0.0717, 0.0457, 0.0011, 0.0176, -0.0021, -0.01, 0.0206, 0.0251, 0.0127, 0.0149, 0.0106, 0.0114, 0.0095, 0.0244, 0.0138, 0.0279, 0.042, 0.0876, 0.0858, 0.0578, 0.0545, 0.0486, 0.0564, 0.1043, 0.1229, 0.1069, 0.1066, 0.0722, 0.023, 0.0354, 0.0364, 0.0369, 0.0225, 0.0322, 0.0332, -0.0204, -0.0254, -0.0884, -0.1238, -0.1541, -0.2736, -0.1826, -0.1877, -0.2031, -0.2239, -0.2328, -0.2023, -0.2025, -0.2181, -0.2305, -0.2243, -0.2122, -0.2514, -0.2577, -0.2127, -0.2186, -0.2368, -0.2033, -0.2088, -0.1577, -0.1793, -0.2107, -0.2076, -0.1899, -0.1867, -0.1834, -0.1779, -0.1328, -0.1436, -0.1746, -0.1901, -0.183, -0.1785, -0.1831, -0.1739, -0.2031, -0.2315, -0.2274, -0.2095, -0.2113, -0.2251, -0.2246, -0.2023, -0.1666, -0.1761, -0.1686, -0.1546, -0.1371, -0.1406, -0.1334, -0.1294, -0.1065, -0.121, -0.1155, -0.094, -0.0933, -0.1027, -0.1037, -0.1155, -0.1222, -0.116, -0.0943, -0.0752, -0.0625, -0.0567, -0.0731, -0.0711, -0.0532, -0.0677, -0.0816, -0.0611, -0.0841, -0.1085, -0.1109, -0.1027, -0.1017, -0.1255, -0.1047, -0.1216]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2005025694657773690", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T21:19:11+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "All the worst traders and investors I know piled in to silver this week so who is left to buy?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Contrarian: worst traders piled into silver (exhausted buyers → bearish) and sold BTC/MSTR (exhausted sellers → bullish).", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SI=F is silver futures; SLV ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All the worst traders and investors I know piled in to silver this week so who is left to buy?\n\nAll the worst traders and investors I know sold Bitcoin, MSTR, and other proxies this week so who is left to sell?\n\nWhat happens next will be obvious to anyone who isn’t a vegetable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07741251999667598, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04499319988770312, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04650809870432049, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07938193469002708, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.1557340139571337, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1557340139571337, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04650809870432049, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04669703445546047, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04669703445546047, "price_path": [-0.3499, -0.3557, -0.3407, -0.3325, -0.3427, -0.325, -0.3227, -0.3118, -0.284, -0.291, -0.2678, -0.2551, -0.2881, -0.2771, -0.3366, -0.3353, -0.3307, -0.3336, -0.3577, -0.3531, -0.3451, -0.3283, -0.3333, -0.3371, -0.3525, -0.3387, -0.3403, -0.3346, -0.3063, -0.2963, -0.268, -0.2816, -0.3037, -0.3112, -0.3016, -0.2963, -0.3065, -0.3137, -0.2936, -0.293, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.2242, -0.2044, -0.1951, -0.196, -0.2159, -0.1978, -0.2015, -0.1642, -0.1506, -0.1271, -0.1501, -0.1197, -0.1254, -0.0871, -0.1013, -0.077, -0.0536, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.012, 0.0774, 0.0, 0.045, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0039, 0.0465, 0.1166, 0.075, 0.0561, 0.0965, 0.17, 0.1907, 0.281, 0.2622, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2936, 0.2719, 0.32, 0.4075, 0.4898, 0.539, 0.5998, 0.5993, 0.1429, 0.0974, 0.1659, 0.1995, 0.0103, 0.0633, 0.1519, 0.1121, 0.1598, 0.0261, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0055, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.1607, 0.2206, 0.198, 0.2125, 0.2188, 0.2875, 0.2357, 0.1313, 0.1413, 0.1251, 0.1504, 0.1856, 0.2133, 0.1803, 0.1586, 0.1012, 0.1092, 0.0856, 0.0408, -0.005, -0.068, -0.0536, -0.0464, -0.0121, -0.0794, -0.0389, -0.0377, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0012, -0.0011, 0.0221, 0.0361, 0.0465, 0.0344, 0.0913, 0.0883, 0.0792, 0.1154, 0.093, 0.0376, 0.0661, 0.0359, 0.0421, 0.0351, 0.0029, -0.0177, 0.0098, 0.0345, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0624, 0.0847, 0.106, 0.1816, 0.19, 0.2021, 0.1439, 0.0459, 0.0595, 0.0135, 0.0412, 0.0521, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0562, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0351, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.003, 0.0147, -0.0673, -0.0671, -0.106, -0.1265, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.0385, -0.0397, -0.0818, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.1076, -0.1557]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2005025694657773690", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-27T21:19:11+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "All the worst traders and investors I know sold Bitcoin, MSTR, and other proxies this week so who is left to sell?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Contrarian: worst traders piled into silver (exhausted buyers → bearish) and sold BTC/MSTR (exhausted sellers → bullish).", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All the worst traders and investors I know piled in to silver this week so who is left to buy?\n\nAll the worst traders and investors I know sold Bitcoin, MSTR, and other proxies this week so who is left to sell?\n\nWhat happens next will be obvious to anyone who isn’t a vegetable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07739910461854649, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07758804036968647, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07758804036968647, "price_path": [0.3616, 0.3849, 0.4031, 0.4317, 0.3938, 0.4156, 0.3967, 0.2993, 0.3229, 0.2982, 0.2714, 0.2415, 0.2218, 0.2691, 0.2449, 0.2358, 0.2632, 0.2742, 0.3096, 0.2963, 0.263, 0.2429, 0.2573, 0.2227, 0.1659, 0.1923, 0.1625, 0.1863, 0.2164, 0.182, 0.1667, 0.1441, 0.0833, 0.0569, 0.0667, 0.0497, -0.0058, -0.0235, 0.013, 0.0023, 0.0388, 0.0476, 0.0434, -0.0094, 0.0483, 0.0733, 0.0574, 0.0258, 0.0402, 0.0637, 0.056, 0.0617, 0.0359, -0.0082, 0.0081, -0.0114, -0.0192, 0.0111, 0.0155, 0.0032, 0.0054, 0.0011, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0043, 0.0183, 0.0322, 0.0774, 0.0756, 0.0479, 0.0446, 0.0387, 0.0465, 0.0939, 0.1124, 0.0965, 0.0962, 0.0621, 0.0135, 0.0257, 0.0267, 0.0271, 0.013, 0.0225, 0.0235, -0.0296, -0.0345, -0.097, -0.132, -0.162, -0.2804, -0.1903, -0.1953, -0.2105, -0.2312, -0.24, -0.2098, -0.21, -0.2254, -0.2377, -0.2316, -0.2196, -0.2585, -0.2646, -0.2201, -0.2259, -0.2439, -0.2107, -0.2163, -0.1656, -0.187, -0.2181, -0.215, -0.1975, -0.1943, -0.191, -0.1856, -0.1409, -0.1517, -0.1824, -0.1977, -0.1907, -0.1862, -0.1907, -0.1816, -0.2105, -0.2387, -0.2346, -0.217, -0.2187, -0.2324, -0.2319, -0.2098, -0.1744, -0.1838, -0.1764, -0.1625, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1415, -0.1376, -0.1149, -0.1293, -0.1238, -0.1025, -0.1018, -0.1111, -0.1121, -0.1238, -0.1304, -0.1243, -0.1028, -0.0839, -0.0713, -0.0655, -0.0818, -0.0798, -0.0621, -0.0764, -0.0902, -0.0699, -0.0926, -0.1169, -0.1192, -0.1111, -0.1102, -0.1337, -0.1131, -0.1298, -0.1468, -0.1561, -0.158, -0.1815, -0.2345, -0.2654, -0.2678, -0.3008, -0.276, -0.2926, -0.2948, -0.2706, -0.2708, -0.2393, -0.2472, -0.2607, -0.2782, -0.2708, -0.2661, -0.2808]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2005025694657773690", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-27T21:19:11+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "All the worst traders and investors I know sold Bitcoin, MSTR, and other proxies this week so who is left to sell?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Contrarian: worst traders piled into silver (exhausted buyers → bearish) and sold BTC/MSTR (exhausted sellers → bullish).", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All the worst traders and investors I know piled in to silver this week so who is left to buy?\n\nAll the worst traders and investors I know sold Bitcoin, MSTR, and other proxies this week so who is left to sell?\n\nWhat happens next will be obvious to anyone who isn’t a vegetable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022009126600029738, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022009126600029738, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018432728047288238, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018432728047288238, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014158003833404376, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0014158003833404376, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026370139967054618, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026370139967054618, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.06004248579510718, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06004248579510718, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060231421546247166, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060231421546247166, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.03983526910174251, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03983526910174251, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02872820194123804, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02872820194123804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.14453958943360035, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14453958943360035, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08493615826045031, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08493615826045031, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.33174595053889877, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.33174595053889877, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4038961250234735, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4038961250234735, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06004248579510718, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.060231421546247166, "alpha_c_stated": 0.060231421546247166, "price_path": [1.1778, 1.2674, 1.2629, 1.3148, 1.1134, 1.1288, 1.0612, 0.9615, 1.0302, 0.9349, 0.9098, 0.8266, 0.8654, 0.9088, 0.9429, 0.8071, 0.8336, 0.8604, 0.9025, 0.8318, 0.7721, 0.6383, 0.7344, 0.7033, 0.5895, 0.641, 0.5265, 0.5569, 0.5373, 0.4888, 0.4455, 0.342, 0.2855, 0.2576, 0.3308, 0.2002, 0.1399, 0.0972, 0.1522, 0.1081, 0.1303, 0.1303, 0.1402, 0.1032, 0.1669, 0.2124, 0.1971, 0.1519, 0.1821, 0.2162, 0.1882, 0.1796, 0.1355, 0.0431, 0.0779, 0.0321, 0.0183, 0.0607, 0.0575, 0.016, 0.0214, 0.0214, 0.022, 0.0, 0.0014, -0.0221, -0.0221, 0.0114, 0.06, 0.0166, 0.0414, 0.0745, 0.0125, 0.044, 0.1133, 0.1541, 0.0999, 0.1179, 0.1179, 0.0311, 0.0542, 0.036, 0.0497, 0.0334, 0.0398, 0.0197, -0.0785, -0.0366, -0.1014, -0.1424, -0.1693, -0.3115, -0.1317, -0.1091, -0.1441, -0.1887, -0.2084, -0.1384, -0.1384, -0.172, -0.1943, -0.1669, -0.1566, -0.2039, -0.1981, -0.127, -0.1415, -0.1666, -0.1142, -0.1461, -0.0576, -0.1003, -0.1407, -0.1058, -0.109, -0.1098, -0.1162, -0.1012, -0.0506, -0.0329, -0.0954, -0.1104, -0.127, -0.1106, -0.1232, -0.1046, -0.1445, -0.1889, -0.2185, -0.1969, -0.2099, -0.2288, -0.2288, -0.1783, -0.2038, -0.1743, -0.1707, -0.1721, -0.1482, -0.1157, -0.0763, -0.0415, 0.0716, 0.0992, 0.0552, 0.1543, 0.1099, 0.1006, 0.0889, 0.0664, 0.018, 0.0647, 0.1402, 0.1828, 0.2028, 0.2023, 0.1573, 0.2072, 0.261, 0.1868, 0.1457, 0.2032, 0.1418, 0.0723, 0.0595, 0.0671, 0.0609, 0.029, 0.029, 0.0292, -0.0077, -0.0241, 0.0238, -0.0361, -0.1243, -0.1856, -0.1674, -0.2249, -0.1814, -0.2469, -0.2577, -0.2268, -0.2022, -0.1561, -0.2097, -0.2499, -0.2758, -0.2758, -0.2956, -0.3317]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017714095848624188", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T21:38:22+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm just going to hold my 1M shares and be patient and sticky", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding 1M shares of Opendoor long-term; patient despite ~$5 price.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ericjackson I have barely even thought about it tbh. I’m just going to hold my 1M shares and be patient and sticky.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "OPEN is back near $5. This is where most people quit — and why I’m not. https://t.co/lgvnRxLB9x", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ericjackson", "ret_m1d": 0.06846471202350779, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06846471202350779, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07341134395145721, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05699009913870978, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011474612884798008, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0643153385350792, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0643153385350792, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07277072443625177, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06797746915359337, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00366213061851417, "ret_p1w": 0.02489624093057241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02489624093057241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02699570509691729, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0065978932290102765, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03149413415958269, "ret_p1m": 0.031120251698781853, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.031120251698781853, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05280515595672175, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.035774257753525385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06689450945230724, "ret_p3m": 0.11618255660487198, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11618255660487198, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07992669691691345, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0249122739625387, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09127028264233328, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.031120251698781853, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05280515595672175, "alpha_c_stated": -0.035774257753525385, "price_path": [0.5, 0.361, 0.361, 0.6535, 0.7593, 0.944, 0.7759, 0.6846, 0.6266, 0.5602, 0.388, 0.278, 0.4004, 0.5954, 0.6058, 0.6141, 0.6141, 0.5975, 0.4813, 0.4502, 0.4398, 0.5726, 0.4834, 0.4627, 0.5373, 0.4523, 0.4627, 0.361, 0.3423, 0.3963, 0.2697, 0.3029, 0.3195, 0.332, 0.3008, 0.3029, 0.3029, 0.2469, 0.2095, 0.2116, 0.2095, 0.2095, 0.2593, 0.3112, 0.4378, 0.2697, 0.334, 0.5124, 0.4564, 0.4046, 0.3776, 0.3071, 0.3838, 0.3838, 0.3257, 0.3444, 0.332, 0.2469, 0.2178, 0.2054, 0.195, 0.1577, 0.0685, 0.0, 0.0643, 0.0373, -0.0249, 0.0124, 0.0249, -0.027, -0.0124, -0.0913, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.1017, -0.0394, -0.0353, 0.0373, -0.0083, 0.0602, 0.0332, 0.1224, 0.1245, 0.0477, 0.0311, 0.0124, 0.0747, 0.0373, 0.0539, 0.0394, 0.0934, 0.0041, 0.027, 0.0747, 0.1535, 0.0954, 0.0664, 0.0187, 0.0809, 0.0747, 0.0581, 0.0166, -0.0041, -0.0809, -0.029, -0.0519, -0.0166, -0.0166, -0.0436, -0.056, -0.0373, -0.1058, -0.1037, -0.0954, -0.0643, 0.0, 0.0934, 0.0975, 0.11, 0.1307, 0.1266, 0.083, 0.1432, 0.1183, 0.1369, 0.1577, 0.1162, 0.1286, 0.0643, 0.0851, 0.1328, 0.1037, 0.0394, 0.0062, -0.0228, -0.0498, -0.0726, -0.0913, -0.112, -0.1079, -0.0871, -0.0519, -0.0602, -0.0602, -0.0705, -0.0145, 0.0519, 0.0456, 0.1017, 0.1224, 0.0104, 0.027, -0.083, -0.1058, -0.0996, -0.0705, -0.0726, -0.0788, -0.0436, -0.0145, -0.0768, -0.0726, -0.0726, -0.112, -0.1286, -0.112, -0.1079, -0.0934, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1987362867579093234", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-09T03:33:25+00:00", "symbol": "OKLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It will take OKLO next. This is basically child's play. Mark it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Predicts CIFR will surpass OKLO next on the growth leaderboard; bullish on OKLO moving up.", "resolved_tickers": ["OKLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I warned you CIFR would move up. It will take OKLO next. This is basically child’s play. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "THE TOP GROWTH PERFORMERS OF 2025\n\n1. $IREN +535%\n2. $OKLO +431%\n3. $CIFR +346%\n4. $OPEN +310%\n5. $NBIS +302%\n6. $EOSE +276%\n7. $MP +276%\n8. $QBTS +251%\n9. $HOOD +250%\n10. $ASTS +228%\n11. $QS +220%\n12. $PL +217%\n13. $SYM +194%\n14. $JMIA +185%\n15. $MU +183% https://t.co/5lx7KXTteE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010132755710432928, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010132755710432928, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025497281988558385, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025497281988558385, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06545907139620732, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06545907139620732, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06774842925074576, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06774842925074576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "ret_p1w": -0.14490671197235516, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14490671197235516, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12176460037704206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12176460037704206, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "ret_p1m": -0.0680595101000886, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0680595101000886, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07040756943807669, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07040756943807669, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "ret_p3m": -0.44279051954659554, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.44279051954659554, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44012312413864096, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.44012312413864096, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "ret_p6m": -0.38683644806521433, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38683644806521433, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4550026877764247, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4550026877764247, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0680595101000886, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07040756943807669, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07040756943807669, "price_path": [-0.3058, -0.3395, -0.3628, -0.3814, -0.4135, -0.4031, -0.3975, -0.3689, -0.3616, -0.3337, -0.3436, -0.3016, -0.3397, -0.3397, -0.3401, -0.3523, -0.3758, -0.3742, -0.3659, -0.3367, -0.3387, -0.2829, -0.2583, -0.142, -0.1407, -0.1455, -0.0587, 0.2126, 0.2581, 0.2791, 0.1762, 0.0682, -0.0089, 0.0447, 0.001, 0.0395, 0.1549, 0.142, 0.2425, 0.2027, 0.2085, 0.2386, 0.3196, 0.5334, 0.5615, 0.5384, 0.4539, 0.4651, 0.4262, 0.2504, 0.0771, 0.1182, 0.22, 0.2323, 0.1862, 0.286, 0.232, 0.1905, 0.1359, 0.0064, 0.0871, -0.0428, 0.0101, 0.0, -0.0655, -0.0031, -0.0886, -0.1251, -0.1449, -0.1335, -0.0777, -0.2109, -0.2094, -0.197, -0.2309, -0.2044, -0.2044, -0.1806, -0.2166, -0.1765, -0.1339, 0.0012, -0.0614, -0.062, -0.0681, -0.0979, -0.0764, -0.2161, -0.2617, -0.2512, -0.319, -0.3031, -0.2537, -0.2518, -0.2658, -0.2709, -0.2709, -0.3103, -0.3356, -0.3578, -0.3565, -0.3565, -0.3024, -0.1989, -0.1428, -0.1248, -0.1248, -0.0557, -0.0809, -0.1294, -0.1394, -0.18, -0.1486, -0.1486, -0.1936, -0.186, -0.1846, -0.2142, -0.2619, -0.2354, -0.1536, -0.2285, -0.286, -0.3398, -0.3006, -0.3882, -0.4428, -0.3624, -0.327, -0.3771, -0.4061, -0.4268, -0.411, -0.411, -0.3935, -0.3957, -0.3935, -0.4276, -0.4343, -0.4166, -0.4053, -0.3806, -0.4355, -0.42, -0.4324, -0.4113, -0.4438, -0.4777, -0.446, -0.4496, -0.4372, -0.4657, -0.4766, -0.4648, -0.4572, -0.4916, -0.5096, -0.5161, -0.4955, -0.5072, -0.5044, -0.5354, -0.5496, -0.5913, -0.5553, -0.569, -0.5684, -0.5684, -0.5628, -0.5822, -0.5498, -0.5718, -0.5494, -0.5163, -0.4747, -0.4319, -0.4242, -0.4009, -0.3891, -0.4386, -0.3507, -0.3144, -0.3633, -0.3191, -0.3805, -0.4173, -0.3499, -0.3687, -0.3849, -0.3868]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002464823288922401", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-20T19:43:12+00:00", "symbol": "AI infrastructure", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Only people who have no idea what they're doing think demand is slowing. It's still accelerating.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AI infrastructure demand is still accelerating, not slowing; strongly bullish on the AI trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA", "ANET", "VRT", "EQIX", "SMCI"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US AI infrastructure basket", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@thejefflutz This is what I’ve been saying for 6+ months\n\nOnly people who have no idea what they’re doing think demand is slowing. It’s still accelerating.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "AI trade… Demand is off the charts.\n\nI’m not sure what else people need to hear. 🤷🏻‍♂️ \n\nhttps://t.co/bLLKoJBBUM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thejefflutz", "ret_m1d": -0.008406875174066492, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008406875174066492, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0022156414950455228, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003040427673166396, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006191233679020969, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005366447500900096, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006220616995112893, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006220616995112893, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005192554046841935, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006064167174524848, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570492347330646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005442105475013559, "ret_p1w": -3.771586374401448e-05, "ret_signed_p1w": -3.771586374401448e-05, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0044475586888389484, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004928824755695005, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409842825094934, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00489110889195099, "ret_p1m": 0.018694177502438153, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.018694177502438153, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02928073910270454, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04156564630084722, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586561600266386, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022871468798409067, "ret_p3m": 0.2364626403057918, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2364626403057918, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2730118849842428, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.28282538320029094, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.036549244678451, "bench_c_p3m": -0.046362742894499154, "ret_p6m": 0.371977500005215, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.371977500005215, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27334102290498463, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08600479398818273, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09863647710023038, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2859727060170323, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.018694177502438153, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02928073910270454, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04156564630084722, "price_path": [0.1163, 0.1124, 0.1087, 0.1189, 0.148, 0.2037, 0.195, 0.1925, 0.2291, 0.2178, 0.2882, 0.288, 0.2366, 0.2559, 0.224, 0.2491, 0.2462, 0.2219, 0.2577, 0.2525, 0.2325, 0.2259, 0.2376, 0.2811, 0.2751, 0.2949, 0.2727, 0.2869, 0.2705, 0.2189, 0.1629, 0.1246, 0.1181, 0.1397, 0.1087, 0.0904, 0.0354, 0.0588, 0.023, 0.0202, 0.019, -0.0291, -0.0272, 0.0065, 0.0022, 0.0145, 0.0145, 0.041, 0.0252, 0.0201, 0.0261, 0.0353, 0.0539, 0.0547, 0.043, 0.0496, 0.0481, -0.0113, -0.0125, -0.0124, -0.0539, -0.0478, -0.0084, 0.0, -0.0006, -0.0029, -0.0029, 0.0024, -0.0, -0.0071, -0.0176, -0.0176, 0.0207, 0.0205, 0.0223, 0.0043, -0.0231, -0.0123, -0.0074, 0.0026, -0.0128, 0.0104, 0.0414, 0.0414, 0.0187, 0.0381, 0.0596, 0.0512, 0.0612, 0.0831, 0.0988, 0.0915, 0.056, 0.0567, 0.0557, 0.0599, 0.028, 0.1134, 0.1275, 0.1253, 0.1866, 0.1749, 0.1846, 0.1846, 0.1952, 0.1765, 0.1895, 0.1875, 0.1718, 0.1914, 0.2373, 0.213, 0.2223, 0.2114, 0.1751, 0.2198, 0.2176, 0.1805, 0.2305, 0.246, 0.2464, 0.2262, 0.2138, 0.2398, 0.2357, 0.2255, 0.2365, 0.1191, 0.1392, 0.1563, 0.1874, 0.1122, 0.1047, 0.0636, 0.12, 0.1403, 0.1539, 0.1539, 0.145, 0.1666, 0.2257, 0.2409, 0.2706, 0.3014, 0.3318, 0.3169, 0.334, 0.3672, 0.3899, 0.3922, 0.3992, 0.399, 0.4265, 0.4003, 0.3511, 0.3561, 0.404, 0.4019, 0.4118, 0.4201, 0.4608, 0.4068, 0.4226, 0.4443, 0.447, 0.4403, 0.4724, 0.4306, 0.3826, 0.3496, 0.3677, 0.3992, 0.4333, 0.4333, 0.447, 0.4401, 0.4582, 0.5066, 0.5402, 0.5993, 0.5725, 0.5451, 0.4423, 0.4593, 0.4067, 0.2944, 0.3521, 0.3647, 0.3956, 0.372]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1991565379056128068", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T17:52:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am confident this current situation will resolve to the upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Confident BTC bull market resolves to the upside despite unusual crosscurrents and volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is undoubtedly the trickiest Bitcoin bull market in the history of the asset. There are a lot of new factors, crosscurrents, and players. I am confident this current situation will resolve to the upside. Not everyone will make it. Volatility is the price of greatness. Focus.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.055800390354916685, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.055800390354916685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.040322241576141726, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.040322241576141726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478148778774958, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015478148778774958, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017790340109098413, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017790340109098413, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027751478278063457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027751478278063457, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961138168965045, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009961138168965045, "ret_p1w": 0.05371550948819648, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05371550948819648, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012108282391033676, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012108282391033676, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0416072270971628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0416072270971628, "ret_p1m": 0.016985479962228878, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016985479962228878, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029098317711795385, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029098317711795385, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04608379767402426, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04608379767402426, "ret_p3m": -0.22090800308741643, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22090800308741643, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2704653728112527, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2704653728112527, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049557369723836286, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049557369723836286, "ret_p6m": -0.08733756141173099, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08733756141173099, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22656299945377223, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22656299945377223, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543804204124, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13922543804204124, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.016985479962228878, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.029098317711795385, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029098317711795385, "price_path": [0.2712, 0.2905, 0.2838, 0.2991, 0.2514, 0.2611, 0.2836, 0.2896, 0.2781, 0.2773, 0.2937, 0.2874, 0.3154, 0.3333, 0.3402, 0.3326, 0.3487, 0.3444, 0.3521, 0.3354, 0.3015, 0.293, 0.3082, 0.2588, 0.2664, 0.3205, 0.3166, 0.3696, 0.393, 0.4113, 0.44, 0.4019, 0.4239, 0.4049, 0.3068, 0.3306, 0.3057, 0.2788, 0.2488, 0.229, 0.2765, 0.2522, 0.2431, 0.2705, 0.2817, 0.3173, 0.3039, 0.2704, 0.2502, 0.2646, 0.2299, 0.1727, 0.1992, 0.1693, 0.1932, 0.2235, 0.1889, 0.1735, 0.1508, 0.0896, 0.063, 0.0729, 0.0558, 0.0, -0.0178, 0.0189, 0.0082, 0.0449, 0.0537, 0.0495, -0.0036, 0.0545, 0.0796, 0.0636, 0.0318, 0.0463, 0.0699, 0.0622, 0.0679, 0.042, -0.0024, 0.014, -0.0056, -0.0135, 0.017, 0.0214, 0.009, 0.0113, 0.007, 0.0077, 0.0058, 0.0208, 0.0101, 0.0242, 0.0382, 0.0837, 0.0819, 0.054, 0.0507, 0.0448, 0.0526, 0.1003, 0.1189, 0.103, 0.1027, 0.0684, 0.0194, 0.0317, 0.0327, 0.0332, 0.0189, 0.0285, 0.0295, -0.0239, -0.0289, -0.0917, -0.127, -0.1571, -0.2762, -0.1856, -0.1906, -0.2059, -0.2267, -0.2356, -0.2052, -0.2053, -0.2209, -0.2332, -0.2271, -0.215, -0.2541, -0.2603, -0.2155, -0.2214, -0.2395, -0.2061, -0.2117, -0.1607, -0.1823, -0.2135, -0.2104, -0.1928, -0.1896, -0.1863, -0.1808, -0.1359, -0.1467, -0.1776, -0.193, -0.186, -0.1814, -0.186, -0.1769, -0.2059, -0.2343, -0.2302, -0.2124, -0.2142, -0.2279, -0.2274, -0.2051, -0.1696, -0.179, -0.1716, -0.1576, -0.1402, -0.1437, -0.1365, -0.1325, -0.1097, -0.1242, -0.1187, -0.0973, -0.0965, -0.1059, -0.1069, -0.1187, -0.1253, -0.1192, -0.0976, -0.0785, -0.0659, -0.0601, -0.0764, -0.0744, -0.0566, -0.071, -0.0849, -0.0644, -0.0873]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004266331483656360", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-25T19:01:45+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bubble. I would sell it all ASAP if I owned any.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Decisively bearish silver; calls it a bubble and recommends selling immediately.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity ETF SLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DeepInference Bubble. I would sell it all ASAP if I owned any.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What does Mr. Alfred think about Silver?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepInference", "ret_m1d": -0.08295839845369601, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08295839845369601, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08305981840411125, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08305981840411125, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07185039950799421, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07185039950799421, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06828674600049944, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06828674600049944, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "ret_p1w": -0.07550622242966809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07550622242966809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06516298745146498, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06516298745146498, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "ret_p1m": 0.3827333034322298, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3827333034322298, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3792276041821152, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3792276041821152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "ret_p3m": -0.0830990359093231, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0830990359093231, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03718308664880876, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03718308664880876, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "ret_p6m": -0.17168169892621, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17168169892621, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2557539490411407, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2557539490411407, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3827333034322298, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3792276041821152, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3792276041821152, "price_path": [-0.4042, -0.3967, -0.402, -0.3881, -0.3805, -0.3899, -0.3735, -0.3713, -0.3612, -0.3355, -0.342, -0.3204, -0.3086, -0.3393, -0.329, -0.3843, -0.383, -0.3788, -0.3815, -0.4038, -0.3996, -0.3922, -0.3765, -0.3812, -0.3847, -0.399, -0.3862, -0.3877, -0.3825, -0.3562, -0.3469, -0.3206, -0.3332, -0.3538, -0.3607, -0.3518, -0.3469, -0.3563, -0.363, -0.3443, -0.3438, -0.3195, -0.3195, -0.2799, -0.2615, -0.253, -0.2538, -0.2722, -0.2555, -0.2589, -0.2243, -0.2116, -0.1898, -0.2112, -0.1829, -0.1883, -0.1527, -0.1659, -0.1433, -0.1216, -0.0883, -0.083, -0.083, 0.0, -0.0719, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.0755, -0.0287, 0.0364, -0.0022, -0.0198, 0.0177, 0.0859, 0.1052, 0.189, 0.1715, 0.1392, 0.1392, 0.2006, 0.1805, 0.2251, 0.3064, 0.3827, 0.4284, 0.4848, 0.4844, 0.0607, 0.0186, 0.0821, 0.1133, -0.0623, -0.0131, 0.0692, 0.0322, 0.0765, -0.0477, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0668, -0.0145, -0.0015, 0.0773, 0.1329, 0.1119, 0.1254, 0.1312, 0.195, 0.1469, 0.0501, 0.0593, 0.0443, 0.0678, 0.1004, 0.1261, 0.0955, 0.0754, 0.0221, 0.0295, 0.0076, -0.034, -0.0765, -0.135, -0.1216, -0.1149, -0.0831, -0.1455, -0.108, -0.1069, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0749, -0.0749, -0.0707, -0.0728, -0.0513, -0.0384, -0.0287, -0.0399, 0.0129, 0.0101, 0.0017, 0.0353, 0.0145, -0.037, -0.0105, -0.0385, -0.0328, -0.0392, -0.0692, -0.0883, -0.0627, -0.0398, -0.0728, -0.0733, -0.0139, 0.0067, 0.0266, 0.0967, 0.1045, 0.1157, 0.0617, -0.0292, -0.0166, -0.0593, -0.0336, -0.0235, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0197, -0.0509, -0.0388, -0.0392, -0.0485, -0.044, -0.069, -0.0582, -0.1343, -0.1341, -0.1703, -0.1893, -0.1448, -0.1382, -0.1076, -0.1087, -0.1478, -0.1632, -0.1632, -0.1717]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1997680798439481770", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-07T14:53:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitty could start the next real bull market out of this exact gap", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: low-volume Sunday dip could be launchpad for the next real bull market off the CME gap.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Never trust a low volume Sunday dip. Bears have to be really worried about opening up a CME gap here. Bitty could start the next real bull market out of this exact gap. Imagine the smell 🤣", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013817768157169508, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013817768157169508, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01683102973083328, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01683102973083328, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030132615736637725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030132615736637725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022633530616329445, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022633530616329445, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023496558689902636, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023496558689902636, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000863028073573191, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000863028073573191, "ret_p1w": -0.04656236117630608, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04656236117630608, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04232031758488142, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04232031758488142, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00424204359142466, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00424204359142466, "ret_p1m": 0.03407790382751297, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019122141330462306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019122141330462306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014955762497050662, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014955762497050662, "ret_p3m": -0.21843594169460878, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21843594169460878, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2179870986806487, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2179870986806487, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004488430139600874, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0004488430139600874, "ret_p6m": -0.2640831115745582, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2640831115745582, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.38149309834062095, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38149309834062095, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11740998676606273, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11740998676606273, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019122141330462306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019122141330462306, "price_path": [0.2572, 0.2744, 0.2809, 0.2737, 0.2891, 0.285, 0.2923, 0.2764, 0.2439, 0.2358, 0.2503, 0.2031, 0.2104, 0.2621, 0.2583, 0.309, 0.3314, 0.3489, 0.3763, 0.3399, 0.3609, 0.3427, 0.2491, 0.2717, 0.248, 0.2222, 0.1936, 0.1746, 0.2201, 0.1968, 0.1881, 0.2144, 0.225, 0.259, 0.2462, 0.2142, 0.1949, 0.2087, 0.1755, 0.1208, 0.1462, 0.1176, 0.1405, 0.1694, 0.1363, 0.1216, 0.0999, 0.0415, 0.016, 0.0255, 0.0091, -0.0442, -0.0612, -0.0261, -0.0364, -0.0013, 0.0071, 0.0031, -0.0476, 0.0078, 0.0319, 0.0166, -0.0138, 0.0, 0.0226, 0.0152, 0.0206, -0.0041, -0.0466, -0.0308, -0.0496, -0.0571, -0.028, -0.0237, -0.0356, -0.0334, -0.0376, -0.0368, -0.0386, -0.0244, -0.0345, -0.0211, -0.0077, 0.0358, 0.0341, 0.0074, 0.0043, -0.0014, 0.0061, 0.0517, 0.0694, 0.0542, 0.0539, 0.0211, -0.0257, -0.0139, -0.013, -0.0125, -0.0262, -0.017, -0.0161, -0.0671, -0.0718, -0.1319, -0.1656, -0.1944, -0.3082, -0.2216, -0.2264, -0.241, -0.2609, -0.2694, -0.2403, -0.2405, -0.2554, -0.2672, -0.2613, -0.2497, -0.2871, -0.293, -0.2502, -0.2558, -0.2732, -0.2412, -0.2465, -0.1978, -0.2184, -0.2483, -0.2453, -0.2285, -0.2255, -0.2223, -0.217, -0.1741, -0.1844, -0.214, -0.2287, -0.222, -0.2176, -0.222, -0.2133, -0.241, -0.2681, -0.2642, -0.2472, -0.2489, -0.262, -0.2616, -0.2403, -0.2063, -0.2153, -0.2082, -0.1948, -0.1782, -0.1816, -0.1747, -0.1709, -0.1491, -0.1629, -0.1576, -0.1372, -0.1365, -0.1455, -0.1464, -0.1577, -0.164, -0.1582, -0.1375, -0.1193, -0.1072, -0.1016, -0.1173, -0.1153, -0.0983, -0.1121, -0.1254, -0.1058, -0.1277, -0.151, -0.1532, -0.1454, -0.1445, -0.1672, -0.1474, -0.1634, -0.1798, -0.1887, -0.1905, -0.2132, -0.2641]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989330470794895716", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T13:51:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the odds still favor a move higher in Bitcoin before year end", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Despite ugly 2025 action, odds favor Bitcoin moving higher before year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is approaching the yearly open near $93,000 and about to put in yet another “death cross”. Ethereum is down 7% and Solana is down a whopping 27% ytd. Crypto has been pretty ugly in 2025. All that said, the odds still favor a move higher in Bitcoin before year end.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05614223783876038, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05614223783876038, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05597838662262533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05597838662262533, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024406440928130158, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024406440928130158, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015090093412614691, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015090093412614691, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "ret_p1w": -0.09859448674521232, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09859448674521232, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0793961432452881, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0793961432452881, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "ret_p1m": -0.08451477404007657, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08451477404007657, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09761151439918636, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09761151439918636, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "ret_p3m": -0.29032269277360756, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29032269277360756, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.32317545693171734, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.32317545693171734, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "ret_p6m": -0.13421386574119476, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13421386574119476, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24074225138449445, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24074225138449445, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08451477404007657, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09761151439918636, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09761151439918636, "price_path": [0.1953, 0.2106, 0.1909, 0.2381, 0.1666, 0.1844, 0.1782, 0.1922, 0.1484, 0.1573, 0.178, 0.1835, 0.1729, 0.1722, 0.1872, 0.1815, 0.2072, 0.2236, 0.2299, 0.223, 0.2378, 0.2338, 0.2409, 0.2255, 0.1944, 0.1866, 0.2005, 0.1552, 0.1622, 0.2119, 0.2082, 0.2569, 0.2784, 0.2952, 0.3216, 0.2866, 0.3068, 0.2893, 0.1993, 0.2211, 0.1983, 0.1736, 0.1461, 0.1279, 0.1715, 0.1491, 0.1408, 0.166, 0.1762, 0.2089, 0.1966, 0.1659, 0.1473, 0.1606, 0.1287, 0.0762, 0.1006, 0.0731, 0.0951, 0.1229, 0.0911, 0.077, 0.0561, 0.0, -0.0244, -0.0153, -0.0311, -0.0823, -0.0986, -0.0649, -0.0747, -0.0411, -0.033, -0.0368, -0.0856, -0.0323, -0.0092, -0.0239, -0.0531, -0.0398, -0.0181, -0.0252, -0.02, -0.0437, -0.0845, -0.0694, -0.0874, -0.0947, -0.0667, -0.0626, -0.074, -0.0719, -0.0759, -0.0752, -0.0769, -0.0632, -0.073, -0.06, -0.0472, -0.0055, -0.0071, -0.0327, -0.0357, -0.0412, -0.0339, 0.0098, 0.0268, 0.0122, 0.0119, -0.0195, -0.0645, -0.0532, -0.0523, -0.0518, -0.0649, -0.0561, -0.0552, -0.1042, -0.1088, -0.1664, -0.1988, -0.2265, -0.3358, -0.2526, -0.2572, -0.2712, -0.2903, -0.2985, -0.2706, -0.2707, -0.285, -0.2963, -0.2907, -0.2796, -0.3155, -0.3212, -0.2801, -0.2854, -0.3021, -0.2714, -0.2765, -0.2297, -0.2495, -0.2782, -0.2754, -0.2592, -0.2563, -0.2532, -0.2482, -0.207, -0.2169, -0.2453, -0.2594, -0.2529, -0.2488, -0.253, -0.2446, -0.2713, -0.2972, -0.2935, -0.2772, -0.2788, -0.2914, -0.291, -0.2705, -0.2379, -0.2466, -0.2397, -0.2269, -0.2109, -0.2142, -0.2076, -0.2039, -0.183, -0.1962, -0.1912, -0.1716, -0.1709, -0.1795, -0.1804, -0.1912, -0.1973, -0.1917, -0.1718, -0.1543, -0.1427, -0.1374, -0.1524, -0.1505, -0.1342]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1992308148242379000", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T19:04:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Monetary debasement is 100% certain. Buy BTC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy BTC as a hedge against certain monetary debasement under fiscal dominance; Fed has lost control.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It may surprise you to hear this but I have empathy for the Fed. They have lost control of the situation. They have little power in a world of fiscal dominance. They are trying their best but as Lyn Alden says nothing stops this train. Monetary debasement is 100% certain. Buy BTC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "ret_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "ret_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "price_path": [0.26, 0.275, 0.2282, 0.2377, 0.2598, 0.2657, 0.2544, 0.2535, 0.2696, 0.2635, 0.291, 0.3086, 0.3153, 0.3079, 0.3237, 0.3194, 0.327, 0.3106, 0.2773, 0.269, 0.2839, 0.2354, 0.2429, 0.296, 0.2921, 0.3442, 0.3672, 0.3851, 0.4133, 0.3759, 0.3975, 0.3788, 0.2826, 0.3059, 0.2815, 0.255, 0.2256, 0.2062, 0.2528, 0.2289, 0.22, 0.247, 0.2579, 0.2928, 0.2797, 0.2468, 0.227, 0.2411, 0.2071, 0.1509, 0.177, 0.1476, 0.1711, 0.2008, 0.1668, 0.1517, 0.1295, 0.0694, 0.0433, 0.053, 0.0362, -0.0186, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0255, 0.0342, 0.03, -0.0221, 0.0349, 0.0596, 0.0439, 0.0127, 0.0268, 0.0501, 0.0425, 0.048, 0.0227, -0.021, -0.0048, -0.0241, -0.0318, -0.0019, 0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0075, -0.0117, -0.011, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0086, 0.0052, 0.019, 0.0636, 0.0618, 0.0344, 0.0312, 0.0254, 0.0331, 0.0799, 0.0981, 0.0825, 0.0822, 0.0485, 0.0005, 0.0125, 0.0135, 0.014, -0.0, 0.0094, 0.0104, -0.042, -0.0469, -0.1086, -0.1432, -0.1728, -0.2897, -0.2007, -0.2056, -0.2206, -0.2411, -0.2498, -0.2199, -0.2201, -0.2354, -0.2475, -0.2415, -0.2296, -0.268, -0.274, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.2536, -0.2209, -0.2263, -0.1763, -0.1975, -0.2281, -0.2251, -0.2078, -0.2047, -0.2014, -0.196, -0.1519, -0.1625, -0.1929, -0.208, -0.2011, -0.1966, -0.2011, -0.1921, -0.2207, -0.2485, -0.2445, -0.227, -0.2288, -0.2422, -0.2418, -0.2199, -0.185, -0.1943, -0.187, -0.1732, -0.1562, -0.1596, -0.1525, -0.1486, -0.1262, -0.1405, -0.135, -0.1141, -0.1133, -0.1225, -0.1235, -0.135, -0.1415, -0.1356, -0.1143, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0775, -0.0936, -0.0916, -0.0741, -0.0883, -0.1019, -0.0818, -0.1043, -0.1282, -0.1305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006874540241203213", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-01T23:45:50+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will absolutely smoke silver in 2026. It won't be remotely close.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bitcoin will massively outperform silver in 2026; implicitly bearish silver relative to BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@generousfarm Bitcoin will absolutely smoke silver in 2026. It won’t be remotely close.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Yall gunna miss another 100% in silver while bitcoin stagnates and interest fades", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "generousfarm", "ret_m1d": -0.013784840479062033, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013784840479062033, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0119552010934314, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0119552010934314, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013667122921255048, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013667122921255048, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007006915813010384, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007006915813010384, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "ret_p1w": 0.02586599005044521, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02586599005044521, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009910916674460202, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009910916674460202, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "ret_p1m": -0.05187901699059683, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05187901699059683, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06979548965495275, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06979548965495275, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "ret_p3m": -0.23101784570001627, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23101784570001627, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1927543029016695, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1927543029016695, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "ret_p6m": -0.32362123860706227, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32362123860706227, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.4059, 0.3687, 0.3902, 0.3716, 0.2759, 0.2991, 0.2748, 0.2485, 0.2192, 0.1999, 0.2463, 0.2225, 0.2136, 0.2405, 0.2513, 0.2861, 0.273, 0.2403, 0.2206, 0.2347, 0.2008, 0.1449, 0.1708, 0.1417, 0.165, 0.1946, 0.1608, 0.1457, 0.1236, 0.0639, 0.0379, 0.0475, 0.0308, -0.0237, -0.041, -0.0052, -0.0157, 0.0201, 0.0288, 0.0247, -0.0272, 0.0295, 0.054, 0.0384, 0.0074, 0.0215, 0.0446, 0.0371, 0.0426, 0.0173, -0.0261, -0.01, -0.0292, -0.0368, -0.0071, -0.0027, -0.0149, -0.0126, -0.0169, -0.0161, -0.018, -0.0034, -0.0138, 0.0, 0.0137, 0.058, 0.0563, 0.029, 0.0259, 0.0201, 0.0277, 0.0743, 0.0924, 0.0769, 0.0766, 0.0431, -0.0047, 0.0073, 0.0082, 0.0087, -0.0052, 0.0042, 0.0051, -0.047, -0.0519, -0.1132, -0.1476, -0.1771, -0.2934, -0.2048, -0.2097, -0.2247, -0.245, -0.2537, -0.224, -0.2241, -0.2393, -0.2514, -0.2454, -0.2336, -0.2718, -0.2778, -0.2341, -0.2398, -0.2575, -0.2249, -0.2303, -0.1806, -0.2016, -0.2321, -0.2291, -0.2119, -0.2088, -0.2055, -0.2002, -0.1563, -0.1669, -0.1971, -0.2121, -0.2052, -0.2008, -0.2053, -0.1963, -0.2247, -0.2524, -0.2484, -0.231, -0.2328, -0.2462, -0.2457, -0.224, -0.1892, -0.1984, -0.1912, -0.1775, -0.1606, -0.164, -0.157, -0.153, -0.1308, -0.1449, -0.1395, -0.1187, -0.1179, -0.1271, -0.1281, -0.1395, -0.146, -0.1401, -0.1189, -0.1003, -0.088, -0.0823, -0.0983, -0.0963, -0.0789, -0.093, -0.1066, -0.0866, -0.1089, -0.1327, -0.135, -0.1271, -0.1261, -0.1493, -0.1291, -0.1455, -0.1621, -0.1713, -0.1731, -0.1962, -0.2483, -0.2786, -0.281, -0.3134, -0.289, -0.3053, -0.3075, -0.2837, -0.2839, -0.2529, -0.2607, -0.274, -0.2912, -0.2839, -0.2793, -0.2937, -0.3126, -0.3269, -0.3236]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006874540241203213", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-01T23:45:50+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will absolutely smoke silver in 2026. It won't be remotely close.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bitcoin will massively outperform silver in 2026; implicitly bearish silver relative to BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity ETF SLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@generousfarm Bitcoin will absolutely smoke silver in 2026. It won’t be remotely close.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Yall gunna miss another 100% in silver while bitcoin stagnates and interest fades", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "generousfarm", "ret_m1d": -0.020228164730869747, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020228164730869747, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018398525345239114, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018398525345239114, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05064641568144013, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05064641568144013, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04398620857319546, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04398620857319546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "ret_p1w": 0.10083646012803005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10083646012803005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08488138675204504, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08488138675204504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "ret_p1m": 0.10174908656131176, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10174908656131176, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08383261389695584, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08383261389695584, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "ret_p3m": 0.03634980060301807, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03634980060301807, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07461334340136483, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07461334340136483, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.3401, -0.3223, -0.32, -0.309, -0.2812, -0.2882, -0.2649, -0.2522, -0.2853, -0.2742, -0.334, -0.3326, -0.3281, -0.331, -0.3551, -0.3506, -0.3425, -0.3256, -0.3306, -0.3344, -0.35, -0.3361, -0.3376, -0.332, -0.3036, -0.2935, -0.2651, -0.2788, -0.301, -0.3084, -0.2989, -0.2935, -0.3037, -0.311, -0.2908, -0.2902, -0.2639, -0.2639, -0.2211, -0.2012, -0.1919, -0.1929, -0.2128, -0.1947, -0.1983, -0.1609, -0.1472, -0.1237, -0.1468, -0.1162, -0.122, -0.0835, -0.0978, -0.0733, -0.0499, -0.0138, -0.0081, -0.0081, 0.0817, 0.004, 0.0491, -0.0202, -0.0202, 0.0, 0.0506, 0.1211, 0.0792, 0.0602, 0.1008, 0.1746, 0.1954, 0.2861, 0.2672, 0.2322, 0.2322, 0.2987, 0.277, 0.3252, 0.4131, 0.4957, 0.5451, 0.6061, 0.6056, 0.1474, 0.1017, 0.1705, 0.2043, 0.0143, 0.0675, 0.1565, 0.1165, 0.1644, 0.0301, 0.0604, 0.0604, 0.0094, 0.066, 0.08, 0.1653, 0.2254, 0.2027, 0.2173, 0.2236, 0.2926, 0.2406, 0.1358, 0.1459, 0.1296, 0.155, 0.1903, 0.2181, 0.1849, 0.1632, 0.1056, 0.1136, 0.0899, 0.0449, -0.0011, -0.0643, -0.0499, -0.0426, -0.0082, -0.0757, -0.0351, -0.0339, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0006, 0.0006, 0.0052, 0.0029, 0.0262, 0.0402, 0.0506, 0.0385, 0.0957, 0.0926, 0.0835, 0.1198, 0.0973, 0.0417, 0.0703, 0.04, 0.0462, 0.0392, 0.0068, -0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0386, 0.0029, 0.0024, 0.0666, 0.089, 0.1104, 0.1863, 0.1947, 0.2068, 0.1484, 0.05, 0.0637, 0.0175, 0.0453, 0.0563, 0.0397, 0.0397, 0.0604, 0.0266, 0.0397, 0.0392, 0.0292, 0.0341, 0.007, 0.0187, -0.0636, -0.0634, -0.1025, -0.123, -0.075, -0.0678, -0.0347, -0.0359, -0.0782, -0.0949, -0.0949, -0.104, -0.1524, -0.2125, -0.2037, -0.1897, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013397808301367616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T23:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They will divest, divest, divest until morale and share price improves", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish DEO under new CEO; divestiture strategy expected to lift share price.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Tplon2 @leevalueroach Dave is a beast\n\nThey will divest, divest, divest until morale and share price improves", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @leevalueroach Good things starting with the new CEO at DEO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tplon2", "ret_m1d": -0.00416058297382893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00416058297382893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02494039343108123, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02494039343108123, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02192737801728284, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02192737801728284, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01038626873562154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01038626873562154, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": -0.0017991756998799735, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0017991756998799735, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028231454655570976, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028231454655570976, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.07016750566672747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07016750566672747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0573129597215285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0573129597215285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.06998032622776496, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06998032622776496, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1208960100053913, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1208960100053913, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07016750566672747, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0573129597215285, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0573129597215285, "price_path": [0.0893, 0.0821, 0.071, 0.0576, 0.0313, 0.0233, 0.0355, 0.0509, 0.0464, 0.0559, -0.0188, 0.021, 0.0688, 0.0945, 0.0906, 0.0801, 0.0638, 0.0457, 0.0256, -0.0029, -0.0022, 0.0345, 0.0208, 0.0252, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0301, 0.0385, 0.0318, 0.0352, 0.0063, -0.0053, -0.0111, -0.0397, -0.0322, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0001, 0.0052, 0.0098, -0.0061, 0.0026, -0.0232, -0.0395, -0.0368, -0.0368, -0.0293, -0.03, -0.0262, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0207, 0.007, -0.0047, -0.0428, -0.0223, -0.0056, 0.022, 0.0112, 0.0274, 0.0047, -0.0042, -0.0042, 0.0, 0.0219, 0.0253, 0.0288, 0.0096, -0.0018, -0.002, 0.0237, 0.0435, 0.0344, 0.047, 0.0937, 0.0919, 0.0894, 0.0919, 0.1141, 0.1336, 0.125, 0.1151, 0.1151, 0.0846, 0.0702, 0.0849, 0.1286, 0.1231, 0.1485, -0.0313, -0.0383, 0.0064, -0.027, -0.0541, -0.075, -0.0744, -0.0802, -0.0771, -0.0852, -0.104, -0.137, -0.13, -0.1353, -0.1363, -0.1545, -0.1611, -0.1693, -0.1664, -0.1851, -0.1673, -0.1708, -0.1671, -0.1741, -0.1628, -0.1608, -0.1755, -0.1755, -0.1573, -0.1665, -0.1331, -0.1169, -0.1291, -0.1088, -0.0948, -0.1042, -0.1, -0.07, -0.0668, -0.0732, -0.0919, -0.0985, -0.0994, -0.1027, -0.1033, -0.1209, -0.084, -0.0947, -0.1083, -0.0875, -0.039, -0.0524, -0.0425, -0.0685, -0.0787, -0.0835, -0.0847, -0.0721, -0.0484, -0.0426, -0.0332, -0.0234, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0344, -0.0168, -0.0392, -0.0634, -0.0928, -0.0995, -0.1064, -0.1034, -0.0864, -0.0886, -0.0867, -0.0938, -0.0786, -0.071, -0.088, -0.0852, -0.1045, -0.0862, -0.0862, -0.096, -0.0659, -0.0576, -0.0617, -0.0515, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1987961903721967717", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-10T19:13:47+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$126 per share for STZ will look money good in 3-6 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Confident STZ at $126 is a buying opportunity that will pay off in 3-6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There is never a firm guarantee of a bottom at any level but I feel pretty confident in saying that $126 per share for STZ will look money good in 3-6 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006382799103750947, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006382799103750947, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00898172717437451, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00898172717437451, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02599819087033972, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02599819087033972, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02370883301580129, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02370883301580129, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "ret_p1w": 0.019382044968780043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019382044968780043, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04252415656409314, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04252415656409314, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "ret_p1m": 0.11598039862829634, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11598039862829634, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11363233929030825, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11363233929030825, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "ret_p3m": 0.29717135904532643, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29717135904532643, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.299838754453281, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.299838754453281, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "ret_p6m": 0.18145120407368864, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18145120407368864, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11328496436247826, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11328496436247826, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11598039862829634, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11363233929030825, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11363233929030825, "price_path": [0.3158, 0.3092, 0.2993, 0.284, 0.2813, 0.2844, 0.2738, 0.2946, 0.2641, 0.2231, 0.2396, 0.2287, 0.2507, 0.2507, 0.1682, 0.1314, 0.1267, 0.1464, 0.1284, 0.1274, 0.1037, 0.1043, 0.0773, 0.0459, 0.0402, 0.0275, 0.0274, 0.0266, 0.0309, 0.0178, 0.0302, 0.0245, 0.0233, 0.054, 0.0401, 0.0732, 0.0852, 0.0983, 0.0713, 0.0823, 0.1026, 0.1042, 0.0915, 0.0924, 0.0908, 0.0727, 0.076, 0.0844, 0.0908, 0.0934, 0.0828, 0.0791, 0.0783, 0.0655, 0.0364, 0.0116, 0.0032, 0.0227, 0.0183, 0.0055, 0.0167, -0.004, -0.0064, 0.0, 0.026, 0.0149, 0.0095, 0.0054, 0.0194, 0.016, 0.0062, 0.0154, 0.0404, 0.0283, 0.0289, 0.05, 0.05, 0.0616, 0.0732, 0.0731, 0.0748, 0.0744, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.116, 0.156, 0.1641, 0.1475, 0.1168, 0.1099, 0.0876, 0.0649, 0.0509, 0.1033, 0.0838, 0.0936, 0.0936, 0.0852, 0.0782, 0.0908, 0.0739, 0.0739, 0.0989, 0.1093, 0.1182, 0.0936, 0.1517, 0.1442, 0.1818, 0.1922, 0.2171, 0.2357, 0.2193, 0.2193, 0.2738, 0.2717, 0.251, 0.2359, 0.2575, 0.2552, 0.2278, 0.2124, 0.2277, 0.2195, 0.2584, 0.3059, 0.2972, 0.2875, 0.2818, 0.2976, 0.2786, 0.272, 0.1697, 0.1697, 0.1963, 0.2245, 0.2115, 0.2254, 0.249, 0.2541, 0.2153, 0.2203, 0.2368, 0.2266, 0.2224, 0.1849, 0.154, 0.1475, 0.167, 0.1759, 0.1749, 0.162, 0.1763, 0.1832, 0.1882, 0.1916, 0.1902, 0.1722, 0.1945, 0.1962, 0.1874, 0.1784, 0.1862, 0.183, 0.1752, 0.1837, 0.1846, 0.1846, 0.2163, 0.2052, 0.1772, 0.2776, 0.3017, 0.2896, 0.2888, 0.2845, 0.2868, 0.2714, 0.2521, 0.2296, 0.2291, 0.2481, 0.2222, 0.215, 0.2174, 0.1862, 0.2349, 0.2053, 0.1684, 0.1815]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2021771832224100633", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-12T02:22:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is looking for an obvious capitulation point before it bounces and runs to $300,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects BTC to capitulate on bad news then bounce and run to $300K+.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s just speculation now but it feels like Bitcoin is looking for an obvious capitulation point before it bounces and runs to $300,000+. Could be something like Binance closing withdrawals or CZ getting arrested again and bunking with SBF. Any obvious “bad” news should do it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011629470826988175, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011629470826988175, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004061801129840559, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004061801129840559, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039805596623848194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039805596623848194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0391010975207291, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0391010975207291, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "ret_p1w": 0.011109320517823873, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011109320517823873, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006397588725369996, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006397588725369996, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "ret_p1m": 0.07167456546390705, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07167456546390705, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09953434366287517, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09953434366287517, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "ret_p3m": 0.2152710892695433, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2152710892695433, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12877684685196034, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12877684685196034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07167456546390705, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09953434366287517, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09953434366287517, "price_path": [0.3907, 0.4036, 0.3812, 0.3082, 0.2849, 0.333, 0.3189, 0.3669, 0.3785, 0.3729, 0.3035, 0.3795, 0.4123, 0.3914, 0.3498, 0.3687, 0.3997, 0.3896, 0.397, 0.3632, 0.305, 0.3265, 0.3008, 0.2905, 0.3304, 0.3363, 0.32, 0.323, 0.3173, 0.3183, 0.3159, 0.3354, 0.3214, 0.3399, 0.3582, 0.4177, 0.4154, 0.3788, 0.3746, 0.3668, 0.3771, 0.4394, 0.4637, 0.4429, 0.4425, 0.3976, 0.3336, 0.3497, 0.351, 0.3516, 0.3329, 0.3455, 0.3468, 0.2769, 0.2704, 0.1883, 0.1421, 0.1027, -0.0532, 0.0654, 0.0589, 0.0388, 0.0116, 0.0, 0.0398, 0.0396, 0.0192, 0.0031, 0.0111, 0.0269, -0.0242, -0.0323, 0.0262, 0.0186, -0.0051, 0.0386, 0.0313, 0.098, 0.0698, 0.0289, 0.0329, 0.0559, 0.0601, 0.0645, 0.0717, 0.1305, 0.1163, 0.0759, 0.0557, 0.0649, 0.0709, 0.0649, 0.0768, 0.0388, 0.0018, 0.0071, 0.0304, 0.028, 0.0101, 0.0107, 0.0398, 0.0864, 0.074, 0.0837, 0.102, 0.1248, 0.1202, 0.1296, 0.1349, 0.1647, 0.1457, 0.153, 0.1809, 0.1819, 0.1696, 0.1683, 0.153, 0.1443, 0.1523, 0.1806, 0.2055, 0.2221, 0.2296, 0.2082, 0.2109, 0.2342, 0.2153, 0.1971, 0.2239, 0.194, 0.1621, 0.159, 0.1697, 0.1709, 0.1399, 0.167, 0.145, 0.1227, 0.1105, 0.108, 0.077, 0.0073, -0.0333, -0.0365, -0.08, -0.0473, -0.0691, -0.0721, -0.0402, -0.0404, 0.001, -0.0094, -0.0272, -0.0502, -0.0405, -0.0343, -0.0537, -0.0789, -0.0982, -0.0937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988242831820140650", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T13:50:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "At some point, you won't be able to buy Bitcoin for less than $500,000 per coin. Then later the minimum price will be well over $1,000,000 per coin.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; sees $500K then $1M+ as future price floors; urges buying now.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I woke up this morning and I am absolutely thrilled to see Bitcoin back under $105,000. At some point, you won’t be able to buy Bitcoin for less than $500,000 per coin. Then later the minimum price will be well over $1,000,000 per coin. These are halcyon days. Lean in and enjoy!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029118434039186125, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029118434039186125, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03140256270582087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03140256270582087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002284128666634744, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002284128666634744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012954505253314763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012954505253314763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013510805465851372, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013510805465851372, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000556300212536609, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000556300212536609, "ret_p1w": -0.09756156022038165, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09756156022038165, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06400370049309312, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06400370049309312, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03355785972728853, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03355785972728853, "ret_p1m": -0.10657080771705862, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10657080771705862, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11326181799933188, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11326181799933188, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0066910102822732576, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0066910102822732576, "ret_p3m": -0.3149793729760956, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3149793729760956, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3291238510071929, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3291238510071929, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144478031097307, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014144478031097307, "ret_p6m": -0.20942201552890105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20942201552890105, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28996138345508515, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28996138345508515, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0805393679261841, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0805393679261841, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1492, 0.1398, 0.1287, 0.0955, 0.1095, 0.0915, 0.1347, 0.0692, 0.0855, 0.0799, 0.0927, 0.0526, 0.0607, 0.0796, 0.0847, 0.075, 0.0743, 0.0881, 0.0828, 0.1064, 0.1215, 0.1272, 0.1209, 0.1344, 0.1308, 0.1373, 0.1232, 0.0947, 0.0875, 0.1003, 0.0588, 0.0652, 0.1107, 0.1074, 0.152, 0.1717, 0.1871, 0.2112, 0.1792, 0.1976, 0.1816, 0.0992, 0.1192, 0.0983, 0.0756, 0.0504, 0.0337, 0.0737, 0.0532, 0.0455, 0.0687, 0.078, 0.108, 0.0967, 0.0685, 0.0515, 0.0637, 0.0345, -0.0137, 0.0087, -0.0165, 0.0036, 0.0291, 0.0, -0.013, -0.032, -0.0835, -0.1059, -0.0976, -0.112, -0.1589, -0.1739, -0.143, -0.152, -0.1212, -0.1137, -0.1173, -0.1619, -0.1131, -0.0919, -0.1054, -0.1321, -0.12, -0.1001, -0.1066, -0.1018, -0.1236, -0.161, -0.1471, -0.1636, -0.1702, -0.1446, -0.1409, -0.1513, -0.1494, -0.153, -0.1524, -0.154, -0.1414, -0.1504, -0.1385, -0.1267, -0.0885, -0.09, -0.1135, -0.1162, -0.1212, -0.1146, -0.0745, -0.0589, -0.0723, -0.0725, -0.1014, -0.1426, -0.1322, -0.1314, -0.131, -0.143, -0.1349, -0.1341, -0.179, -0.1832, -0.236, -0.2657, -0.2911, -0.3912, -0.315, -0.3192, -0.3321, -0.3496, -0.3571, -0.3315, -0.3316, -0.3447, -0.3551, -0.3499, -0.3397, -0.3726, -0.3778, -0.3402, -0.3451, -0.3604, -0.3323, -0.3369, -0.2941, -0.3122, -0.3385, -0.3359, -0.3211, -0.3184, -0.3156, -0.311, -0.2732, -0.2823, -0.3083, -0.3212, -0.3153, -0.3115, -0.3153, -0.3077, -0.3321, -0.3559, -0.3525, -0.3375, -0.339, -0.3506, -0.3502, -0.3314, -0.3015, -0.3095, -0.3032, -0.2914, -0.2768, -0.2798, -0.2737, -0.2703, -0.2512, -0.2634, -0.2587, -0.2407, -0.2401, -0.248, -0.2488, -0.2587, -0.2643, -0.2592, -0.241, -0.225, -0.2143, -0.2094]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003923875965608090", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-24T20:20:57+00:00", "symbol": "QQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bet someone $1M that the QQQ would be positive on Friday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Placed a $1M bet that QQQ closes positive on December 26 (Friday).", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RyanDetrick Yes, I know. I bet someone $1M that the QQQ would be positive on Friday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "December 26 is coming up and it is one of the most bullish days of the year. https://t.co/KbR7VFbEgg", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RyanDetrick", "ret_m1d": -0.002917029632526269, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002917029632526269, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0005883141058001806, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005883141058001806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035053437383264496, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035053437383264496, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.015418417106703552, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015418417106703552, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0031642899955094395, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0031642899955094395, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012254127111194113, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012254127111194113, "ret_p1m": -0.005080704911403666, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005080704911403666, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003052867113897184, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003052867113897184, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.002027837797506482, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002027837797506482, "ret_p3m": -0.05639822685702878, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05639822685702878, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.00829404988978566, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00829404988978566, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04810417696724312, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04810417696724312, "ret_p6m": 0.18852097017685532, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18852097017685532, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1011366791828423, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1011366791828423, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08738429099401301, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08738429099401301, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015418417106703552, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0031642899955094395, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0031642899955094395, "price_path": [-0.046, -0.0416, -0.039, -0.0344, -0.0304, -0.0345, -0.0272, -0.0324, -0.0213, -0.0225, -0.0564, -0.0364, -0.0428, -0.036, -0.0396, -0.0333, -0.0211, -0.0214, -0.0308, -0.0227, -0.0122, 0.0054, 0.0131, 0.0177, 0.0021, 0.0069, 0.0118, -0.0088, -0.0023, -0.0209, -0.024, -0.0024, -0.0051, -0.0058, -0.0261, -0.0254, -0.0337, -0.0455, -0.0398, -0.0625, -0.0555, -0.0313, -0.0254, -0.0167, -0.0167, -0.0088, -0.0121, -0.0044, -0.0019, -0.0029, 0.0012, -0.0007, 0.0005, 0.0046, 0.0014, -0.0178, -0.0227, -0.0208, -0.0389, -0.025, -0.0123, -0.0076, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0001, -0.0049, -0.0072, -0.0154, -0.0154, -0.0173, -0.0095, -0.0008, 0.0001, -0.0055, 0.0044, 0.0052, 0.0037, -0.007, -0.0034, -0.0043, -0.0043, -0.0254, -0.0123, -0.0051, -0.0019, 0.0025, 0.0115, 0.0149, 0.0088, -0.0033, 0.0035, -0.0119, -0.0291, -0.0431, -0.0229, -0.0154, -0.02, -0.0173, -0.0373, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.0363, -0.0291, -0.0328, -0.0242, -0.0361, -0.0257, -0.0116, -0.0235, -0.0267, -0.0254, -0.0358, -0.0211, -0.0241, -0.0388, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.026, -0.0427, -0.0484, -0.0377, -0.033, -0.0465, -0.0495, -0.0671, -0.0564, -0.0628, -0.0567, -0.0792, -0.0972, -0.1041, -0.0738, -0.0623, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0556, -0.0555, -0.0274, -0.0208, -0.0194, -0.0092, 0.0088, 0.0229, 0.0278, 0.0413, 0.0379, 0.034, 0.0513, 0.0454, 0.0654, 0.0659, 0.0552, 0.0617, 0.0716, 0.0819, 0.0798, 0.0938, 0.1165, 0.1152, 0.1414, 0.1447, 0.135, 0.1469, 0.1551, 0.1377, 0.1328, 0.1258, 0.1444, 0.1466, 0.1515, 0.1515, 0.1719, 0.1706, 0.1805, 0.1848, 0.1919, 0.1974, 0.1943, 0.1885, 0.1315, 0.1491, 0.1359, 0.1132, 0.1508, 0.1576, 0.1939, 0.1713, 0.1595, 0.1885]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017361074442670248", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T22:15:35+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I only have 1M shares with an average in the high $5s so not a lot. I think it will be higher in 3-6 months.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds 1M shares of Opendoor (OPEN) avg high-$5s; expects price higher in 3–6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@j0anski I only have 1M shares with an average in the high $5s so not a lot. I think it will be higher in 3-6 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred How much down r u in open sir? @mikealfred", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "j0anski", "ret_m1d": 0.06846471202350779, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06846471202350779, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07341134395145721, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05699009913870978, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011474612884798008, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0643153385350792, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0643153385350792, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07277072443625177, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06797746915359337, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00366213061851417, "ret_p1w": 0.02489624093057241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02489624093057241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02699570509691729, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0065978932290102765, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03149413415958269, "ret_p1m": 0.031120251698781853, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.031120251698781853, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05280515595672175, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.035774257753525385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06689450945230724, "ret_p3m": 0.11618255660487198, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11618255660487198, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07992669691691345, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0249122739625387, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09127028264233328, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.031120251698781853, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05280515595672175, "alpha_c_stated": -0.035774257753525385, "price_path": [0.5, 0.361, 0.361, 0.6535, 0.7593, 0.944, 0.7759, 0.6846, 0.6266, 0.5602, 0.388, 0.278, 0.4004, 0.5954, 0.6058, 0.6141, 0.6141, 0.5975, 0.4813, 0.4502, 0.4398, 0.5726, 0.4834, 0.4627, 0.5373, 0.4523, 0.4627, 0.361, 0.3423, 0.3963, 0.2697, 0.3029, 0.3195, 0.332, 0.3008, 0.3029, 0.3029, 0.2469, 0.2095, 0.2116, 0.2095, 0.2095, 0.2593, 0.3112, 0.4378, 0.2697, 0.334, 0.5124, 0.4564, 0.4046, 0.3776, 0.3071, 0.3838, 0.3838, 0.3257, 0.3444, 0.332, 0.2469, 0.2178, 0.2054, 0.195, 0.1577, 0.0685, 0.0, 0.0643, 0.0373, -0.0249, 0.0124, 0.0249, -0.027, -0.0124, -0.0913, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.1017, -0.0394, -0.0353, 0.0373, -0.0083, 0.0602, 0.0332, 0.1224, 0.1245, 0.0477, 0.0311, 0.0124, 0.0747, 0.0373, 0.0539, 0.0394, 0.0934, 0.0041, 0.027, 0.0747, 0.1535, 0.0954, 0.0664, 0.0187, 0.0809, 0.0747, 0.0581, 0.0166, -0.0041, -0.0809, -0.029, -0.0519, -0.0166, -0.0166, -0.0436, -0.056, -0.0373, -0.1058, -0.1037, -0.0954, -0.0643, 0.0, 0.0934, 0.0975, 0.11, 0.1307, 0.1266, 0.083, 0.1432, 0.1183, 0.1369, 0.1577, 0.1162, 0.1286, 0.0643, 0.0851, 0.1328, 0.1037, 0.0394, 0.0062, -0.0228, -0.0498, -0.0726, -0.0913, -0.112, -0.1079, -0.0871, -0.0519, -0.0602, -0.0602, -0.0705, -0.0145, 0.0519, 0.0456, 0.1017, 0.1224, 0.0104, 0.027, -0.083, -0.1058, -0.0996, -0.0705, -0.0726, -0.0788, -0.0436, -0.0145, -0.0768, -0.0726, -0.0726, -0.112, -0.1286, -0.112, -0.1079, -0.0934, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011264870860386457", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T02:31:27+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like the stonk.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses IREN after double-upgrade to Buy with $80 PT from HC Wainwright.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel I like the stonk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN double-upgrade SELL --&gt; BUY at HC Wainwright.\n\nPrice target $56 --&gt; $80 https://t.co/mg5Ep3Xfs1", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": 0.0020801930432994276, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0020801930432994276, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002859338908606235, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006029177159858623, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014772753273135653, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018721665250943653, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018721665250943653, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02144496275893082, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02278435004359136, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004062684792647708, "ret_p1w": 0.011346415695949519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011346415695949519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018530979363072242, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024088927956482098, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012742512260532579, "ret_p1m": -0.24300306409347738, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24300306409347738, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22983613395547975, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19757361468443724, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "bench_c_p1m": -0.045429449409040146, "ret_p3m": -0.18551439438616235, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18551439438616235, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18205792190613246, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14443491327858815, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0410794811075742, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.24300306409347738, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22983613395547975, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19757361468443724, "price_path": [0.1483, 0.1199, 0.0438, -0.0199, 0.0564, 0.1895, 0.229, 0.1804, 0.1426, 0.101, 0.1488, 0.2812, 0.26, 0.445, 0.2663, 0.1797, 0.1379, 0.0851, 0.0533, -0.08, -0.1231, -0.1034, -0.0762, -0.1333, -0.178, -0.2008, -0.083, -0.1023, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.0959, -0.083, -0.2224, -0.1687, -0.1216, -0.1545, -0.1237, -0.1142, -0.1694, -0.1691, -0.2411, -0.329, -0.3081, -0.3612, -0.323, -0.2451, -0.205, -0.2044, -0.2061, -0.2061, -0.2379, -0.2547, -0.2757, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.1925, -0.0877, -0.1318, -0.175, -0.1362, -0.1295, -0.0482, 0.0021, 0.0, -0.0187, 0.0934, 0.0934, 0.0261, 0.0113, -0.0117, 0.0719, -0.0098, 0.1345, 0.1902, 0.1316, 0.0163, 0.0038, 0.0286, -0.1502, -0.2475, -0.209, -0.1273, -0.1882, -0.1931, -0.243, -0.2016, -0.2016, -0.2252, -0.2042, -0.1814, -0.2439, -0.1989, -0.1405, -0.1674, -0.1634, -0.2256, -0.2173, -0.2653, -0.171, -0.2412, -0.306, -0.2655, -0.2791, -0.2061, -0.2177, -0.2137, -0.1502, -0.1876, -0.2018, -0.2122, -0.2192, -0.2027, -0.2224, -0.2165, -0.2918, -0.3364, -0.402, -0.3517, -0.3553, -0.3425, -0.3425, -0.3357, -0.3241, -0.3035, -0.2992, -0.2564, -0.1855, -0.1042, -0.0768, -0.098, -0.09, -0.0787, -0.1458, -0.0849, -0.0163, -0.0424, -0.0855, -0.1596, -0.1895, -0.1394, -0.1365, -0.0643, 0.0352, 0.1532, 0.0751, 0.1573, 0.0429, 0.0696, 0.0433, 0.1044, 0.0011, -0.0458, -0.0972, -0.0032, 0.098, 0.0747, 0.0747, 0.1305, 0.2829, 0.2112, 0.2016, 0.2354, 0.2595, 0.2383, 0.1698, 0.0278, 0.1193, 0.0216, -0.0257, 0.0724, 0.1303, 0.1507, 0.1191, 0.0989, 0.1339, 0.1339, 0.0755, 0.0348, -0.0488, -0.0972, -0.1072, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989320382029963747", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T13:11:53+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cipher is very well funded for its next phase of growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Cipher Mining: $1.4B notes offering funds Barber Lake buildout, positioning for next growth phase.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Cipher has completed its $1.4B notes offering to fund the Barber Lake buildout. This is not a convertible note and this kind of financing was not available to BTC miners previously. Cipher is very well funded for its next phase of growth. https://t.co/gujsHaGokL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03952978820769948, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045107426334604295, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005413786910769769, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008620019141797886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014955125653804524, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651454027522105, "ret_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004574385062061426, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0372586977627446, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05188265620060739, "ret_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013365663786159221, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03878228881787027, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319884672601256, "ret_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10085204613939469, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1398691652380316, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "bench_c_p3m": -0.006164354940527139, "ret_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30572796334731644, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17421144951984147, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23804489947077467, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013365663786159221, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03878228881787027, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.5857, -0.5891, -0.5557, -0.5376, -0.5042, -0.5132, -0.5111, -0.468, -0.468, -0.4206, -0.4352, -0.4847, -0.4763, -0.4624, -0.3579, -0.2862, -0.3057, -0.2444, -0.2444, -0.1985, -0.1379, -0.1748, -0.1448, -0.0279, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.188, -0.2013, -0.1191, -0.1233, -0.1226, -0.0383, 0.0237, 0.0682, 0.0968, 0.2256, 0.2528, 0.1818, 0.4164, 0.4547, 0.4645, 0.3036, 0.3064, 0.3865, 0.2587, 0.1219, 0.2016, 0.4387, 0.4304, 0.39, 0.3642, 0.328, 0.2987, 0.585, 0.5675, 0.7208, 0.5118, 0.4408, 0.3684, 0.3001, 0.2103, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0139, -0.0146, 0.1636, 0.2201, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.4171, 0.3712, 0.2284, 0.2974, 0.3809, 0.3426, 0.3565, 0.3621, 0.2869, 0.3148, 0.1873, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0021, 0.055, 0.1288, 0.1379, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.0578, 0.0501, 0.016, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.1281, 0.2646, 0.2214, 0.1198, 0.1525, 0.1581, 0.2312, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2201, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.2479, 0.234, 0.211, 0.2235, 0.1483, 0.3057, 0.321, 0.2326, 0.1114, 0.101, 0.1323, -0.0077, -0.1156, 0.0258, 0.1671, 0.1908, 0.1337, 0.1212, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.0891, 0.0738, 0.1003, 0.0202, 0.0599, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.1476, 0.0864, 0.0975, 0.0244, 0.117, 0.055, -0.0515, -0.0035, -0.0279, -0.0174, -0.0453, -0.0195, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0216, 0.0195, -0.0244, 0.0369, 0.0362, 0.1058, -0.0007, -0.0428, -0.1633, -0.1038, -0.1198, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.0703, -0.0244, 0.0738, 0.1393, 0.1511, 0.2368, 0.2848, 0.2535, 0.2075, 0.3489, 0.3433, 0.2563, 0.3538, 0.3015, 0.2674, 0.2646, 0.2019, 0.1783, 0.2354, 0.1866, 0.2458, 0.539, 0.5258, 0.4405, 0.4311, 0.4123]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2001368401525248318", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-17T19:06:25+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Only the strong will make it to $1,000,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC with a $1,000,000+ target; dismisses current frustration as noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am seeing more frustration on X than I have in the 8+ years of owning Bitcoin. In that period, Bitcoin has gone from $1500 to $85,000 with numerous drawdowns and crashes. Humans are frail and weak and most simply won't make it. Only the strong will make it to $1,000,000+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0197370837501738, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0197370837501738, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008611063557927068, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008611063557927068, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126020192246733, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011126020192246733, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007908292107279613, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007908292107279613, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015459554817031873, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015459554817031873, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00755126270975226, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00755126270975226, "ret_p1w": 0.017043639171113067, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017043639171113067, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014264086860573455, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014264086860573455, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03130772603168652, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03130772603168652, "ret_p1m": 0.10920616799624838, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10920616799624838, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07511993879618095, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07511993879618095, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03408622920006743, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03408622920006743, "ret_p3m": -0.1309749210100376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1309749210100376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13038948572694298, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13038948572694298, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005854352830946263, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005854352830946263, "ret_p6m": -0.26215135836253367, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26215135836253367, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3672463868739744, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3672463868739744, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1050950285114407, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1050950285114407, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10920616799624838, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07511993879618095, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07511993879618095, "price_path": [0.343, 0.3088, 0.3003, 0.3156, 0.2659, 0.2736, 0.328, 0.324, 0.3773, 0.4009, 0.4193, 0.4482, 0.4099, 0.432, 0.4128, 0.3142, 0.3381, 0.3131, 0.286, 0.2559, 0.2359, 0.2838, 0.2593, 0.2501, 0.2777, 0.2889, 0.3248, 0.3113, 0.2776, 0.2573, 0.2718, 0.2369, 0.1793, 0.206, 0.176, 0.2, 0.2305, 0.1956, 0.1802, 0.1573, 0.0958, 0.0691, 0.079, 0.0618, 0.0057, -0.0122, 0.0247, 0.0139, 0.0508, 0.0597, 0.0554, 0.0021, 0.0604, 0.0857, 0.0696, 0.0377, 0.0522, 0.076, 0.0682, 0.0739, 0.0479, 0.0032, 0.0197, 0.0, -0.0079, 0.0227, 0.0272, 0.0147, 0.017, 0.0127, 0.0134, 0.0115, 0.0265, 0.0158, 0.03, 0.0441, 0.0898, 0.0881, 0.0599, 0.0567, 0.0507, 0.0586, 0.1065, 0.1252, 0.1092, 0.1089, 0.0744, 0.0252, 0.0375, 0.0385, 0.039, 0.0246, 0.0343, 0.0353, -0.0184, -0.0234, -0.0865, -0.122, -0.1524, -0.2721, -0.181, -0.186, -0.2014, -0.2223, -0.2313, -0.2007, -0.2008, -0.2165, -0.2289, -0.2227, -0.2106, -0.2499, -0.2561, -0.2111, -0.217, -0.2352, -0.2016, -0.2072, -0.1559, -0.1776, -0.209, -0.206, -0.1883, -0.185, -0.1817, -0.1762, -0.131, -0.1419, -0.1729, -0.1884, -0.1813, -0.1768, -0.1814, -0.1722, -0.2014, -0.2299, -0.2258, -0.2079, -0.2097, -0.2235, -0.223, -0.2006, -0.1649, -0.1744, -0.1669, -0.1528, -0.1353, -0.1389, -0.1316, -0.1276, -0.1047, -0.1192, -0.1137, -0.0922, -0.0914, -0.1009, -0.1019, -0.1137, -0.1204, -0.1142, -0.0925, -0.0733, -0.0606, -0.0547, -0.0712, -0.0692, -0.0513, -0.0658, -0.0797, -0.0591, -0.0822, -0.1067, -0.109, -0.1008, -0.0999, -0.1237, -0.1029, -0.1198, -0.137, -0.1464, -0.1483, -0.1721, -0.2257, -0.2569, -0.2594, -0.2928, -0.2676, -0.2844, -0.2867, -0.2622]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003930915073151022", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-24T20:48:56+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm adding for the first time since January 2023 down here.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding to COIN position at current levels for the first time since Jan 2023.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthughes13 I’m adding for the first time since January 2023 down here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$COIN 6 month conversion line of the Ichimoku is at 238.10\n\nMore confluence of support\n\nhttps://t.co/TTsGhB2oAE https://t.co/Cq6TZlHMNG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthughes13", "ret_m1d": 0.010720424519339966, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010720424519339966, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014225768257666416, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016103528829551683, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035053437383264496, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005383104310211717, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.05668876060606154, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05668876060606154, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.044434633494867426, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03946279919639084, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012254127111194113, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017225961409670698, "ret_p1m": -0.06920283916721748, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06920283916721748, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.067175001369711, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03475105443284188, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.002027837797506482, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0344517847343756, "ret_p3m": -0.16314187338826536, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16314187338826536, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11503769642102224, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05177034170287487, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04810417696724312, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11137153168539049, "ret_p6m": -0.3189838676158563, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3189838676158563, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4063681586098693, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28516665234222294, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08738429099401301, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03381721527363335, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06920283916721748, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.067175001369711, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03475105443284188, "price_path": [0.3039, 0.3932, 0.4078, 0.444, 0.552, 0.5852, 0.6104, 0.5675, 0.6154, 0.6143, 0.4892, 0.4891, 0.4247, 0.4028, 0.3776, 0.4017, 0.434, 0.4125, 0.3362, 0.3463, 0.4786, 0.5077, 0.4818, 0.4542, 0.3703, 0.434, 0.3783, 0.2819, 0.3319, 0.2315, 0.2895, 0.3262, 0.2681, 0.2681, 0.1811, 0.1847, 0.101, 0.092, 0.0732, -0.0065, 0.0028, 0.0677, 0.06, 0.1053, 0.1053, 0.138, 0.0839, 0.0982, 0.1551, 0.1432, 0.1251, 0.1438, 0.157, 0.1475, 0.1222, 0.1157, 0.0446, 0.0537, 0.0186, -0.0022, 0.0225, 0.0341, 0.0107, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0118, -0.0249, -0.0339, -0.0567, -0.0567, -0.0133, 0.0634, 0.0452, 0.0259, 0.0244, 0.0044, 0.0136, 0.0541, 0.0673, -0.0019, 0.0059, 0.0059, -0.0501, -0.0534, -0.0692, -0.095, -0.1095, -0.1206, -0.1264, -0.1691, -0.1877, -0.2164, -0.2506, -0.2966, -0.3905, -0.3112, -0.3023, -0.3221, -0.3609, -0.4115, -0.3146, -0.3146, -0.3075, -0.3157, -0.3078, -0.2852, -0.3316, -0.3241, -0.2327, -0.2447, -0.2665, -0.2273, -0.2393, -0.1285, -0.1419, -0.1773, -0.1666, -0.1802, -0.1714, -0.194, -0.1844, -0.1519, -0.1231, -0.1562, -0.1536, -0.1762, -0.1631, -0.2448, -0.2446, -0.2768, -0.3278, -0.3293, -0.2716, -0.2784, -0.2848, -0.2848, -0.2709, -0.2693, -0.2696, -0.295, -0.2998, -0.272, -0.2308, -0.1828, -0.1664, -0.1393, -0.1172, -0.1826, -0.1397, -0.1744, -0.1667, -0.1796, -0.1903, -0.2419, -0.2167, -0.2022, -0.1533, -0.1751, -0.1742, -0.1951, -0.1609, -0.0965, -0.1339, -0.1582, -0.1156, -0.1848, -0.2098, -0.1931, -0.2021, -0.1926, -0.2283, -0.2283, -0.2491, -0.2751, -0.2398, -0.2115, -0.2383, -0.2742, -0.3192, -0.3154, -0.3643, -0.3238, -0.3514, -0.3577, -0.3308, -0.3335, -0.2925, -0.2939, -0.3121, -0.319]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016154724165443911", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T14:21:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin should be worth approximately $172,000 right now, an undervaluation of 95%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "46-method re-underwrite implies BTC fair value ~$172K, currently ~95% undervalued vs metals and other benchmarks.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I stayed up all night and re-underwrote Bitcoin using 46 different methods. The process was arduous but worth it. The average result implies that Bitcoin should be worth approximately $172,000 right now, an undervaluation of 95%. The discrepancy between BTC and metals is extreme.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009376044760212698, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009376044760212698, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005407689963532247, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005407689963532247, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003968354796680451, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003968354796680451, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0009202877056453396, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009202877056453396, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010209522859702114, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0010209522859702114, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001006645803248718, "ret_p1w": -0.15116313020220995, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15116313020220995, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14259367181823557, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14259367181823557, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569458383974382, "ret_p1m": -0.23728210351675982, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23728210351675982, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2339176479771553, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2339176479771553, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "bench_c_p1m": -0.003364455539604516, "ret_p3m": -0.13071741669910086, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13071741669910086, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1600490109437337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1600490109437337, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02933159424463283, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.23728210351675982, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2339176479771553, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2339176479771553, "price_path": [0.2155, 0.2296, 0.1958, 0.1402, 0.166, 0.1369, 0.1602, 0.1896, 0.1559, 0.141, 0.1189, 0.0594, 0.0336, 0.0432, 0.0265, -0.0277, -0.045, -0.0093, -0.0198, 0.0159, 0.0245, 0.0204, -0.0312, 0.0252, 0.0497, 0.0341, 0.0032, 0.0173, 0.0403, 0.0328, 0.0383, 0.0131, -0.0301, -0.0141, -0.0332, -0.0409, -0.0112, -0.0069, -0.019, -0.0167, -0.021, -0.0202, -0.022, -0.0075, -0.0179, -0.0042, 0.0095, 0.0536, 0.0519, 0.0248, 0.0216, 0.0158, 0.0235, 0.0698, 0.0878, 0.0724, 0.0721, 0.0387, -0.0089, 0.0031, 0.004, 0.0045, -0.0094, 0.0, 0.0009, -0.051, -0.0558, -0.1169, -0.1512, -0.1805, -0.2963, -0.2082, -0.213, -0.2279, -0.2481, -0.2568, -0.2272, -0.2274, -0.2425, -0.2545, -0.2485, -0.2368, -0.2748, -0.2808, -0.2373, -0.243, -0.2606, -0.2281, -0.2335, -0.184, -0.2049, -0.2353, -0.2323, -0.2152, -0.2121, -0.2089, -0.2035, -0.1598, -0.1704, -0.2004, -0.2154, -0.2085, -0.2041, -0.2086, -0.1997, -0.228, -0.2555, -0.2515, -0.2342, -0.236, -0.2493, -0.2488, -0.2272, -0.1926, -0.2018, -0.1945, -0.181, -0.1641, -0.1675, -0.1605, -0.1566, -0.1344, -0.1485, -0.1431, -0.1223, -0.1216, -0.1307, -0.1317, -0.1431, -0.1496, -0.1436, -0.1226, -0.1041, -0.0918, -0.0861, -0.102, -0.1001, -0.0828, -0.0968, -0.1103, -0.0904, -0.1126, -0.1363, -0.1386, -0.1307, -0.1298, -0.1528, -0.1327, -0.149, -0.1656, -0.1747, -0.1765, -0.1996, -0.2514, -0.2816, -0.284, -0.3163, -0.2919, -0.3082, -0.3104, -0.2867, -0.2869, -0.256, -0.2638, -0.277, -0.2941, -0.2869, -0.2823, -0.2967, -0.3155, -0.3297, -0.3264, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1999004747098169644", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T06:34:06+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is the kind of sentiment backdrop you will typically see just before a face ripping rally in BTC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: extreme bearish sentiment signals an imminent sharp rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Almost everyone, including bulls, has turned bearish. This is the kind of sentiment backdrop you will typically see just before a face ripping rally in BTC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005300870644991074, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005300870644991074, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0029792374239279162, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0029792374239279162, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023216332210631574, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023216332210631574, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024223213861206738, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024223213861206738, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013471227582944056, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013471227582944056, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010751986278262682, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010751986278262682, "ret_p1w": -0.07619420964542267, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07619420964542267, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.057766162237277596, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.057766162237277596, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018428047408145076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018428047408145076, "ret_p1m": -0.02159988670307378, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02159988670307378, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03168580650970654, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03168580650970654, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01008591980663276, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01008591980663276, "ret_p3m": -0.2441259099074936, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2441259099074936, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2296316641181606, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2296316641181606, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494245789333005, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494245789333005, "ret_p6m": -0.34145726735684667, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34145726735684667, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.41775139102357517, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41775139102357517, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0762941236667285, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0762941236667285, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02159988670307378, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03168580650970654, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03168580650970654, "price_path": [0.2479, 0.263, 0.259, 0.2662, 0.2505, 0.2188, 0.2108, 0.225, 0.1788, 0.1859, 0.2366, 0.2329, 0.2825, 0.3045, 0.3216, 0.3485, 0.3128, 0.3334, 0.3156, 0.2238, 0.246, 0.2228, 0.1975, 0.1694, 0.1509, 0.1954, 0.1726, 0.1641, 0.1898, 0.2002, 0.2336, 0.221, 0.1896, 0.1707, 0.1842, 0.1517, 0.0981, 0.123, 0.095, 0.1174, 0.1458, 0.1133, 0.0989, 0.0777, 0.0204, -0.0045, 0.0047, -0.0113, -0.0636, -0.0802, -0.0458, -0.0559, -0.0215, -0.0133, -0.0172, -0.0669, -0.0126, 0.011, -0.004, -0.0338, -0.0202, 0.0019, -0.0053, 0.0, -0.0242, -0.0658, -0.0505, -0.0688, -0.0762, -0.0476, -0.0435, -0.0551, -0.053, -0.057, -0.0563, -0.0581, -0.0441, -0.0541, -0.0409, -0.0277, 0.0148, 0.0132, -0.013, -0.016, -0.0216, -0.0143, 0.0304, 0.0478, 0.0329, 0.0326, 0.0005, -0.0454, -0.0339, -0.033, -0.0325, -0.0459, -0.0368, -0.036, -0.0859, -0.0906, -0.1494, -0.1824, -0.2107, -0.3222, -0.2373, -0.242, -0.2564, -0.2759, -0.2842, -0.2557, -0.2558, -0.2704, -0.282, -0.2762, -0.2649, -0.3015, -0.3073, -0.2654, -0.2709, -0.2879, -0.2566, -0.2618, -0.214, -0.2342, -0.2635, -0.2606, -0.2441, -0.2411, -0.238, -0.2329, -0.1908, -0.2009, -0.2299, -0.2443, -0.2377, -0.2334, -0.2377, -0.2292, -0.2564, -0.2829, -0.2791, -0.2624, -0.2641, -0.277, -0.2765, -0.2557, -0.2224, -0.2312, -0.2242, -0.2111, -0.1949, -0.1981, -0.1914, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.1799, -0.1747, -0.1547, -0.154, -0.1627, -0.1637, -0.1747, -0.1809, -0.1752, -0.1549, -0.1371, -0.1252, -0.1198, -0.1351, -0.1332, -0.1166, -0.1301, -0.1431, -0.1239, -0.1453, -0.1682, -0.1704, -0.1627, -0.1618, -0.184, -0.1646, -0.1804, -0.1964, -0.2051, -0.2069, -0.2291, -0.279, -0.308, -0.3103, -0.3415]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990446353630249443", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T15:46:06+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you think Bitcoin has already topped for the cycle, you are dumb as a doornail", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bitcoin has not yet topped this cycle; further upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you think Bitcoin has already topped for the cycle, you are dumb as a doornail. Sorry if this is difficult to process.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025017017282636944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025017017282636944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015613059225842996, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015613059225842996, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009284005043766586, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009284005043766586, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01768155838756147, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01768155838756147, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "ret_p1w": -0.04151538308057945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04151538308057945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04611224708429518, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04611224708429518, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "ret_p1m": -0.04614737543620573, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04614737543620573, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06597704287149708, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06597704287149708, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "ret_p3m": -0.28093107440641407, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28093107440641407, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.30739029190317513, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30739029190317513, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "ret_p6m": -0.12613632353400261, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12613632353400261, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24137835342069092, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24137835342069092, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04614737543620573, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06597704287149708, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06597704287149708, "price_path": [0.2409, 0.2207, 0.2691, 0.1958, 0.214, 0.2077, 0.2221, 0.1772, 0.1863, 0.2075, 0.2131, 0.2023, 0.2015, 0.2169, 0.2111, 0.2374, 0.2542, 0.2607, 0.2536, 0.2687, 0.2647, 0.2719, 0.2562, 0.2243, 0.2163, 0.2306, 0.1841, 0.1913, 0.2422, 0.2385, 0.2883, 0.3104, 0.3276, 0.3546, 0.3188, 0.3394, 0.3215, 0.2293, 0.2517, 0.2283, 0.2029, 0.1747, 0.1561, 0.2008, 0.1779, 0.1693, 0.1952, 0.2057, 0.2392, 0.2265, 0.195, 0.176, 0.1896, 0.1569, 0.1031, 0.1281, 0.1, 0.1225, 0.151, 0.1184, 0.1039, 0.0826, 0.025, 0.0, 0.0093, -0.0068, -0.0593, -0.076, -0.0415, -0.0516, -0.0171, -0.0088, -0.0128, -0.0627, -0.0081, 0.0156, 0.0005, -0.0294, -0.0158, 0.0065, -0.0008, 0.0045, -0.0198, -0.0616, -0.0461, -0.0646, -0.072, -0.0433, -0.0391, -0.0508, -0.0487, -0.0528, -0.052, -0.0538, -0.0398, -0.0498, -0.0365, -0.0233, 0.0194, 0.0178, -0.0085, -0.0116, -0.0172, -0.0098, 0.0351, 0.0525, 0.0375, 0.0373, 0.005, -0.0411, -0.0295, -0.0286, -0.0281, -0.0416, -0.0325, -0.0316, -0.0818, -0.0865, -0.1456, -0.1787, -0.2071, -0.3192, -0.2339, -0.2386, -0.253, -0.2726, -0.2809, -0.2523, -0.2525, -0.2671, -0.2787, -0.2729, -0.2616, -0.2984, -0.3042, -0.2621, -0.2676, -0.2846, -0.2532, -0.2584, -0.2105, -0.2308, -0.2601, -0.2573, -0.2407, -0.2377, -0.2345, -0.2294, -0.1871, -0.1973, -0.2264, -0.2409, -0.2342, -0.23, -0.2343, -0.2257, -0.253, -0.2797, -0.2758, -0.2591, -0.2608, -0.2737, -0.2732, -0.2523, -0.2188, -0.2277, -0.2207, -0.2076, -0.1912, -0.1945, -0.1877, -0.184, -0.1625, -0.1761, -0.1709, -0.1508, -0.1501, -0.159, -0.1599, -0.1709, -0.1772, -0.1715, -0.1511, -0.1332, -0.1213, -0.1158, -0.1312, -0.1293, -0.1126, -0.1261]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019870453905649947", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T20:26:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I got more bullish at $60,000 then I was at $120,000", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is more bullish on BTC at current levels than at $120K, signaling a strong long conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cvpayne @saylor Happy to sit in for him sir. I got more bullish at $60,000 then I was at $120,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Lots of people are asking me to get @saylor on the show, but the problem is that when there is a sense of urgency, he does other shows and networks that hate Bitcoin and have ridiculed him and investors. I asked, and he doesn't have the time, so I will not ask again.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cvpayne", "ret_m1d": -0.11130677470825778, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11130677470825778, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09248311610250182, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09248311610250182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823658605755966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823658605755966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006159832312600089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006159832312600089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010981559029177412, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010981559029177412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821726716577324, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821726716577324, "ret_p1w": -0.02405977573028284, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02405977573028284, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011216231033489232, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011216231033489232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843544696793607, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843544696793607, "ret_p1m": -0.03051514269041722, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03051514269041722, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012632640360848879, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012632640360848879, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788250232956834, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788250232956834, "ret_p3m": 0.154093691902085, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.154093691902085, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08862482495722057, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08862482495722057, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546886694486442, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546886694486442, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03051514269041722, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012632640360848879, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012632640360848879, "price_path": [0.4598, 0.4409, 0.413, 0.3379, 0.3053, 0.3174, 0.2964, 0.2279, 0.206, 0.2511, 0.2379, 0.2829, 0.2938, 0.2886, 0.2235, 0.2947, 0.3256, 0.3059, 0.2669, 0.2847, 0.3137, 0.3042, 0.3112, 0.2794, 0.2249, 0.245, 0.2209, 0.2113, 0.2487, 0.2542, 0.2389, 0.2417, 0.2364, 0.2373, 0.235, 0.2533, 0.2403, 0.2576, 0.2748, 0.3306, 0.3284, 0.2941, 0.2902, 0.2829, 0.2925, 0.351, 0.3738, 0.3543, 0.3539, 0.3118, 0.2517, 0.2668, 0.268, 0.2686, 0.251, 0.2629, 0.264, 0.1985, 0.1924, 0.1153, 0.072, 0.0349, -0.1113, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.025, -0.0505, -0.0614, -0.0241, -0.0243, -0.0434, -0.0585, -0.051, -0.0361, -0.0842, -0.0918, -0.0368, -0.044, -0.0662, -0.0252, -0.0321, 0.0305, 0.004, -0.0343, -0.0305, -0.0089, -0.005, -0.0009, 0.0059, 0.061, 0.0477, 0.0098, -0.0091, -0.0005, 0.0051, -0.0005, 0.0107, -0.025, -0.0598, -0.0548, -0.0329, -0.0351, -0.052, -0.0514, -0.024, 0.0196, 0.008, 0.0172, 0.0344, 0.0557, 0.0514, 0.0602, 0.0652, 0.0931, 0.0754, 0.0822, 0.1084, 0.1093, 0.0978, 0.0965, 0.0821, 0.074, 0.0815, 0.1081, 0.1314, 0.147, 0.1541, 0.134, 0.1365, 0.1584, 0.1406, 0.1236, 0.1488, 0.1206, 0.0907, 0.0878, 0.0978, 0.099, 0.0699, 0.0953, 0.0747, 0.0537, 0.0423, 0.0399, 0.0108, -0.0546, -0.0927, -0.0957, -0.1365, -0.1058, -0.1263, -0.1291, -0.0991, -0.0994, -0.0605, -0.0702, -0.087, -0.1086, -0.0994, -0.0936, -0.1118, -0.1355, -0.1535, -0.1494, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011237218678112408", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T00:41:34+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cipher is actively marketing 370MW and says they are in dialogue with multiple hyperscalers for multiple sites with terms \"as least as good\" as the deals already signed. Bullish.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR on 370MW marketing pipeline and multiple hyperscaler dialogues with favorable deal terms.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Cipher is actively marketing 370MW and says they are in dialogue with multiple hyperscalers for multiple sites with terms “as least as good” as the deals already signed. Bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just found the $CIFR interview with @rftylerpage! \n\nIf you have 30 minutes and want to know everything going on with @CipherInc I HIGHLY encourage you to listen \n\n2026 is looking good. Lots of sites coming online, new acquisitions, and an amazing team behind it! https://t.co/oYVH1ifMBH", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0066189103578713215, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0066189103578713215, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0016793784059656591, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00568235424003638, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012301264597907702, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0336458208074808, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0336458208074808, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03636911831546796, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038898144723234385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005252323915753587, "ret_p1w": -0.02261444381637645, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02261444381637645, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015429880149253727, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0164638115174226, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006150632298953851, "ret_p1m": -0.11196904982156874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11196904982156874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09880211968357111, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07402857559550347, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03794047422606528, "ret_p3m": -0.02040810529574899, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02040810529574899, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.016951632815719098, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.027948166329556212, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007540061033807222, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11196904982156874, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09880211968357111, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07402857559550347, "price_path": [0.0347, 0.0982, -0.003, -0.1114, -0.0483, 0.1395, 0.1329, 0.1009, 0.0805, 0.0518, 0.0287, 0.2554, 0.2416, 0.3629, 0.1975, 0.1412, 0.0838, 0.0298, -0.0414, -0.1765, -0.2079, -0.2085, -0.1958, -0.1936, -0.1969, -0.2195, -0.0783, -0.0336, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.1224, 0.086, -0.027, 0.0276, 0.0938, 0.0634, 0.0745, 0.0789, 0.0193, 0.0414, -0.0596, -0.187, -0.1732, -0.2063, -0.1644, -0.1059, -0.0987, -0.1224, -0.1054, -0.1054, -0.1622, -0.1682, -0.1953, -0.1859, -0.1859, -0.1065, 0.0017, -0.0325, -0.1131, -0.0871, -0.0827, -0.0248, 0.0066, 0.0, -0.0336, 0.037, 0.037, -0.0116, -0.0226, -0.0408, -0.0309, -0.0905, 0.0342, 0.0463, -0.0237, -0.1197, -0.128, -0.1031, -0.214, -0.2995, -0.1875, -0.0756, -0.0568, -0.102, -0.112, -0.0943, -0.0943, -0.1373, -0.1495, -0.1285, -0.1919, -0.1605, -0.0557, -0.0838, -0.091, -0.1395, -0.1307, -0.1886, -0.1153, -0.1644, -0.2488, -0.2107, -0.23, -0.2217, -0.2438, -0.2234, -0.1649, -0.1677, -0.1908, -0.1925, -0.2272, -0.1787, -0.1793, -0.1241, -0.2085, -0.2419, -0.3373, -0.2901, -0.3028, -0.2929, -0.2929, -0.2637, -0.2272, -0.1495, -0.0976, -0.0883, -0.0204, 0.0177, -0.0072, -0.0436, 0.0684, 0.064, -0.005, 0.0723, 0.0309, 0.0039, 0.0017, -0.048, -0.0667, -0.0215, -0.0601, -0.0132, 0.219, 0.2085, 0.1409, 0.1335, 0.1186, 0.1065, 0.1715, 0.2295, 0.1213, 0.0546, 0.037, 0.0745, 0.187, 0.2118, 0.2118, 0.2697, 0.3878, 0.3563, 0.3045, 0.3243, 0.4501, 0.4473, 0.4093, 0.2383, 0.3398, 0.2705, 0.1594, 0.2482, 0.3514, 0.4357, 0.4457, 0.4534, 0.6095, 0.6095, 0.5521, 0.5245, 0.4462, 0.4164, 0.4308, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993017053499081056", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-24T18:01:08+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$92,000 - possible by Thanksgiving\n$104,000 - likely by early December", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC likely to reach $92K by Thanksgiving and $104K by early December.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$88,000 ✅\n$92,000 - possible by Thanksgiving\n$104,000 - likely by early December", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "ret_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "ret_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "price_path": [0.26, 0.275, 0.2282, 0.2377, 0.2598, 0.2657, 0.2544, 0.2535, 0.2696, 0.2635, 0.291, 0.3086, 0.3153, 0.3079, 0.3237, 0.3194, 0.327, 0.3106, 0.2773, 0.269, 0.2839, 0.2354, 0.2429, 0.296, 0.2921, 0.3442, 0.3672, 0.3851, 0.4133, 0.3759, 0.3975, 0.3788, 0.2826, 0.3059, 0.2815, 0.255, 0.2256, 0.2062, 0.2528, 0.2289, 0.22, 0.247, 0.2579, 0.2928, 0.2797, 0.2468, 0.227, 0.2411, 0.2071, 0.1509, 0.177, 0.1476, 0.1711, 0.2008, 0.1668, 0.1517, 0.1295, 0.0694, 0.0433, 0.053, 0.0362, -0.0186, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0255, 0.0342, 0.03, -0.0221, 0.0349, 0.0596, 0.0439, 0.0127, 0.0268, 0.0501, 0.0425, 0.048, 0.0227, -0.021, -0.0048, -0.0241, -0.0318, -0.0019, 0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0075, -0.0117, -0.011, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0086, 0.0052, 0.019, 0.0636, 0.0618, 0.0344, 0.0312, 0.0254, 0.0331, 0.0799, 0.0981, 0.0825, 0.0822, 0.0485, 0.0005, 0.0125, 0.0135, 0.014, -0.0, 0.0094, 0.0104, -0.042, -0.0469, -0.1086, -0.1432, -0.1728, -0.2897, -0.2007, -0.2056, -0.2206, -0.2411, -0.2498, -0.2199, -0.2201, -0.2354, -0.2475, -0.2415, -0.2296, -0.268, -0.274, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.2536, -0.2209, -0.2263, -0.1763, -0.1975, -0.2281, -0.2251, -0.2078, -0.2047, -0.2014, -0.196, -0.1519, -0.1625, -0.1929, -0.208, -0.2011, -0.1966, -0.2011, -0.1921, -0.2207, -0.2485, -0.2445, -0.227, -0.2288, -0.2422, -0.2418, -0.2199, -0.185, -0.1943, -0.187, -0.1732, -0.1562, -0.1596, -0.1525, -0.1486, -0.1262, -0.1405, -0.135, -0.1141, -0.1133, -0.1225, -0.1235, -0.135, -0.1415, -0.1356, -0.1143, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0775, -0.0936, -0.0916, -0.0741, -0.0883, -0.1019, -0.0818, -0.1043, -0.1282, -0.1305]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988023902547964110", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-10T23:20:08+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin knows this. Watch.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC: government re-opening liquidity drain is temporary, will be replenished by Thanksgiving and accelerate into year-end.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The actual US Government re-opening may not happen until Tuesday or Wednesday next week but it doesn't really matter now because it's a fait accompli. Any loss of liquidity will quickly be replenished by Thanksgiving and then accelerate in to year-end. Bitcoin knows this. Watch.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024757281410281218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024757281410281218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022473152743646474, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022473152743646474, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002284128666634744, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002284128666634744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028294541304540788, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028294541304540788, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028850841517077397, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028850841517077397, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000556300212536609, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000556300212536609, "ret_p1w": -0.13116193887126681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13116193887126681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09760407914397828, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09760407914397828, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03355785972728853, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03355785972728853, "ret_p1m": -0.12552179595393842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12552179595393842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13221280623621168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13221280623621168, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0066910102822732576, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0066910102822732576, "ret_p3m": -0.40845176776022574, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40845176776022574, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.42259624579132304, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.42259624579132304, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144478031097307, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014144478031097307, "ret_p6m": -0.2365126856965628, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2365126856965628, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3170520536227469, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3170520536227469, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0805393679261841, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0805393679261841, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12552179595393842, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13221280623621168, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13221280623621168, "price_path": [0.1637, 0.1166, 0.1076, 0.0968, 0.0645, 0.0781, 0.0606, 0.1026, 0.0389, 0.0548, 0.0493, 0.0618, 0.0228, 0.0307, 0.0491, 0.054, 0.0446, 0.0439, 0.0573, 0.0522, 0.0751, 0.0897, 0.0953, 0.0891, 0.1023, 0.0988, 0.1051, 0.0914, 0.0637, 0.0568, 0.0692, 0.0288, 0.0351, 0.0793, 0.076, 0.1194, 0.1385, 0.1535, 0.1769, 0.1458, 0.1638, 0.1482, 0.0681, 0.0875, 0.0672, 0.0452, 0.0207, 0.0044, 0.0433, 0.0234, 0.016, 0.0384, 0.0475, 0.0766, 0.0657, 0.0383, 0.0218, 0.0336, 0.0052, -0.0416, -0.0199, -0.0443, -0.0248, 0.0, -0.0283, -0.0409, -0.0594, -0.1094, -0.1312, -0.1231, -0.1371, -0.1827, -0.1972, -0.1672, -0.176, -0.146, -0.1388, -0.1422, -0.1856, -0.1382, -0.1176, -0.1307, -0.1567, -0.1449, -0.1255, -0.1318, -0.1272, -0.1484, -0.1847, -0.1713, -0.1873, -0.1937, -0.1688, -0.1652, -0.1753, -0.1734, -0.177, -0.1764, -0.1779, -0.1657, -0.1744, -0.1629, -0.1514, -0.1143, -0.1157, -0.1386, -0.1412, -0.1461, -0.1397, -0.1007, -0.0855, -0.0985, -0.0988, -0.1268, -0.1669, -0.1568, -0.156, -0.1556, -0.1673, -0.1594, -0.1586, -0.2022, -0.2063, -0.2576, -0.2865, -0.3111, -0.4085, -0.3344, -0.3385, -0.351, -0.368, -0.3752, -0.3504, -0.3505, -0.3632, -0.3733, -0.3683, -0.3584, -0.3904, -0.3955, -0.3588, -0.3636, -0.3785, -0.3512, -0.3557, -0.314, -0.3317, -0.3572, -0.3547, -0.3403, -0.3377, -0.3349, -0.3305, -0.2937, -0.3026, -0.3279, -0.3404, -0.3347, -0.331, -0.3347, -0.3272, -0.351, -0.3741, -0.3708, -0.3563, -0.3577, -0.369, -0.3686, -0.3504, -0.3213, -0.329, -0.3229, -0.3115, -0.2973, -0.3002, -0.2943, -0.291, -0.2724, -0.2842, -0.2797, -0.2622, -0.2616, -0.2693, -0.2701, -0.2797, -0.2851, -0.2801, -0.2624, -0.2469, -0.2365]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017272693935280445", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T16:24:24+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been here since before the IPO. Now is always the time.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IREN; author is a long-term holder and says now is always the time to be bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Bro, I’ve been here since before the IPO. Now is always the time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Dear $IREN bulls\nNot yet https://t.co/NF5BsEs5b9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.11350945819872038, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11350945819872038, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11051805227251776, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11145101923979839, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991405926202617, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002058438958921993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012281351447678945, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012281351447678945, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017252574184740466, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02332178149574693, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00497122273706152, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011040430048067984, "ret_p1w": -0.22162261770424085, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.22162261770424085, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2196716198329407, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.23696698448351716, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950997871300153, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015344366779276308, "ret_p1m": -0.2298102326589042, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2298102326589042, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22173179619544392, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1897653183833935, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008078436463460292, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04004491427551071, "ret_p3m": -0.20245628448639896, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20245628448639896, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23360406038252168, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17900733181415074, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03114777589612272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023448952672248224, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2298102326589042, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22173179619544392, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1897653183833935, "price_path": [0.2399, 0.4218, 0.246, 0.1608, 0.1197, 0.0677, 0.0365, -0.0947, -0.1371, -0.1178, -0.091, -0.1472, -0.1911, -0.2136, -0.0977, -0.1167, -0.0984, -0.0984, -0.1103, -0.0977, -0.2348, -0.182, -0.1357, -0.168, -0.1377, -0.1284, -0.1827, -0.1824, -0.2533, -0.3398, -0.3191, -0.3714, -0.3338, -0.2572, -0.2177, -0.2172, -0.2188, -0.2188, -0.2501, -0.2667, -0.2873, -0.2972, -0.2972, -0.2054, -0.1023, -0.1457, -0.1882, -0.15, -0.1435, -0.0635, -0.014, -0.016, -0.0344, 0.0759, 0.0759, 0.0097, -0.0048, -0.0275, 0.0547, -0.0257, 0.1163, 0.1712, 0.1135, 0.0, -0.0123, 0.0121, -0.1638, -0.2596, -0.2216, -0.1412, -0.2012, -0.206, -0.2551, -0.2144, -0.2144, -0.2376, -0.217, -0.1945, -0.256, -0.2118, -0.1543, -0.1807, -0.1768, -0.238, -0.2298, -0.2771, -0.1842, -0.2533, -0.3171, -0.2773, -0.2907, -0.2188, -0.2302, -0.2263, -0.1638, -0.2006, -0.2146, -0.2248, -0.2317, -0.2155, -0.2348, -0.2291, -0.3031, -0.347, -0.4116, -0.3621, -0.3656, -0.353, -0.353, -0.3463, -0.3349, -0.3147, -0.3104, -0.2683, -0.1985, -0.1185, -0.0916, -0.1124, -0.1046, -0.0934, -0.1595, -0.0996, -0.032, -0.0577, -0.1001, -0.1731, -0.2025, -0.1531, -0.1504, -0.0793, 0.0186, 0.1347, 0.0579, 0.1388, 0.0262, 0.0525, 0.0266, 0.0867, -0.0149, -0.061, -0.1116, -0.0192, 0.0804, 0.0575, 0.0575, 0.1124, 0.2624, 0.1918, 0.1824, 0.2157, 0.2393, 0.2185, 0.1511, 0.0114, 0.1014, 0.0052, -0.0413, 0.0553, 0.1122, 0.1323, 0.1012, 0.0813, 0.1157, 0.1157, 0.0582, 0.0182, -0.064, -0.1116, -0.1215, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022453478946410574", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T23:30:59+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have 1.6M now", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 1.6M shares of OPEN as a current live position.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mudirshin That’s how many I had at the end of December. I have 1.6M now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Just a quick note: If you only see 25,000 shares of $OPEN in the filing, it’s because Form 13F doesn’t show all holdings. Right @mikealfred ??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mudirshin", "ret_m1d": 0.02655894918743873, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02655894918743873, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02816983307269616, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03657260425176778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010013655064329052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06928410993552458, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06928410993552458, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06424640238494783, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08271144291666632, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013427332981141737, "ret_p1w": 0.18013861975792977, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18013861975792977, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17354861572061098, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18491780410764613, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004779184349716359, "ret_p1m": 0.21939960804645642, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21939960804645642, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25076812790502356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2630955494030335, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04369594135657706, "ret_p3m": 0.011547388363939648, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.011547388363939648, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07388678694159778, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0210929730736531, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00954558470971345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21939960804645642, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.25076812790502356, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2630955494030335, "price_path": [0.4226, 0.5589, 0.776, 0.7875, 0.7968, 0.7968, 0.7783, 0.649, 0.6143, 0.6028, 0.7506, 0.6513, 0.6282, 0.7113, 0.6166, 0.6282, 0.515, 0.4942, 0.5543, 0.4134, 0.4503, 0.4688, 0.4827, 0.448, 0.4503, 0.4503, 0.388, 0.3464, 0.3487, 0.3464, 0.3464, 0.4018, 0.4596, 0.6005, 0.4134, 0.485, 0.6836, 0.6212, 0.5635, 0.5335, 0.455, 0.5404, 0.5404, 0.4758, 0.4965, 0.4827, 0.388, 0.3557, 0.3418, 0.3303, 0.2887, 0.1894, 0.1132, 0.1848, 0.1547, 0.0855, 0.127, 0.1409, 0.0831, 0.0993, 0.0115, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.0, 0.0693, 0.0739, 0.1547, 0.1039, 0.1801, 0.1501, 0.2494, 0.2517, 0.1663, 0.1478, 0.127, 0.1963, 0.1547, 0.1732, 0.157, 0.2171, 0.1178, 0.1432, 0.1963, 0.2841, 0.2194, 0.1871, 0.1339, 0.2032, 0.1963, 0.1778, 0.1316, 0.1085, 0.0231, 0.0808, 0.0554, 0.0947, 0.0947, 0.0647, 0.0508, 0.0716, -0.0046, -0.0023, 0.0069, 0.0416, 0.1132, 0.2171, 0.2217, 0.2356, 0.2587, 0.254, 0.2055, 0.2725, 0.2448, 0.2656, 0.2887, 0.2425, 0.2564, 0.1848, 0.2079, 0.261, 0.2286, 0.157, 0.1201, 0.0878, 0.0577, 0.0323, 0.0115, -0.0115, -0.0069, 0.0162, 0.0554, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0346, 0.097, 0.1709, 0.164, 0.2263, 0.2494, 0.1247, 0.1432, 0.0208, -0.0046, 0.0023, 0.0346, 0.0323, 0.0254, 0.0647, 0.097, 0.0277, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0115, -0.03, -0.0115, -0.0069, 0.0092, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017714838022275096", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T21:41:19+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$158,000 is definitely coming. Thanks for the confidence Peter!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses $158K BTC target with high confidence.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PeterLBrandt $158,000 is definitely coming. Thanks for the confidence Peter!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Next stop is 58th street\nThe conductor will be coming through the train collecting tickets so make sure you are on the right train \nChoo choo $BTC\nSo done with Silver. It is yesterday's story https://t.co/h5V0fDdV5L", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PeterLBrandt", "ret_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "ret_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "ret_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "ret_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11041930534472533, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11041930534472533, "price_path": [0.3203, 0.2874, 0.3137, 0.347, 0.3089, 0.292, 0.267, 0.1996, 0.1704, 0.1812, 0.1624, 0.1009, 0.0814, 0.1218, 0.11, 0.1503, 0.1601, 0.1554, 0.097, 0.1609, 0.1886, 0.171, 0.136, 0.1519, 0.178, 0.1694, 0.1757, 0.1472, 0.0982, 0.1163, 0.0947, 0.0861, 0.1196, 0.1246, 0.1109, 0.1134, 0.1086, 0.1095, 0.1074, 0.1238, 0.1121, 0.1276, 0.143, 0.1931, 0.1911, 0.1604, 0.1568, 0.1503, 0.1589, 0.2114, 0.2318, 0.2143, 0.214, 0.1762, 0.1223, 0.1358, 0.1369, 0.1374, 0.1217, 0.1323, 0.1334, 0.0746, 0.0691, 0.0, -0.0388, -0.072, -0.2032, -0.1034, -0.1089, -0.1257, -0.1486, -0.1584, -0.1249, -0.1251, -0.1423, -0.1558, -0.1491, -0.1358, -0.1788, -0.1857, -0.1363, -0.1428, -0.1628, -0.126, -0.1321, -0.076, -0.0997, -0.1341, -0.1307, -0.1113, -0.1078, -0.1041, -0.0981, -0.0486, -0.0606, -0.0946, -0.1115, -0.1038, -0.0988, -0.1038, -0.0938, -0.1258, -0.157, -0.1525, -0.1329, -0.1348, -0.15, -0.1494, -0.1249, -0.0858, -0.0961, -0.088, -0.0726, -0.0534, -0.0573, -0.0494, -0.0449, -0.0198, -0.0358, -0.0297, -0.0062, -0.0053, -0.0157, -0.0168, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0303, -0.0065, 0.0145, 0.0284, 0.0348, 0.0168, 0.019, 0.0386, 0.0227, 0.0075, 0.03, 0.0048, -0.022, -0.0246, -0.0156, -0.0146, -0.0407, -0.0179, -0.0364, -0.0552, -0.0655, -0.0676, -0.0936, -0.1523, -0.1865, -0.1892, -0.2258, -0.1982, -0.2166, -0.2191, -0.1922, -0.1925, -0.1576, -0.1663, -0.1814, -0.2007, -0.1925, -0.1873, -0.2036, -0.2249, -0.241, -0.2373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004669419931460093", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-26T21:43:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Digital gold has wildly outperformed gold. Great point.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implicitly bullish on Bitcoin (digital gold) over physical gold, endorsing its superior performance track record as a forward lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BobEUnlimited Correct. Digital gold has wildly outperformed gold. Great point.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Your irregular reminder that gold and \"digital gold\" are not the same. https://t.co/UtC3gjRj7M", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BobEUnlimited", "ret_m1d": -0.000763876379100692, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.000763876379100692, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004340274931842192, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004340274931842192, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0018704053654620134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0018704053654620134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006491917520969892, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0006491917520969892, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.0302774609128591, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0302774609128591, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030466396663999085, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030466396663999085, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.011061799800493599, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011061799800493599, "alpha_spy_p1m": -4.526736001086995e-05, "alpha_c_p1m": -4.526736001086995e-05, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.1831762312741334, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1831762312741334, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12357280010098337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12357280010098337, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.26745637846172876, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26745637846172876, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3396065529463035, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3396065529463035, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011061799800493599, "alpha_spy_stated": -4.526736001086995e-05, "alpha_c_stated": -4.526736001086995e-05, "price_path": [0.3065, 0.3591, 0.3824, 0.4005, 0.429, 0.3912, 0.413, 0.3941, 0.2968, 0.3204, 0.2957, 0.269, 0.2392, 0.2195, 0.2667, 0.2426, 0.2335, 0.2608, 0.2718, 0.3072, 0.2939, 0.2606, 0.2406, 0.2549, 0.2205, 0.1637, 0.19, 0.1604, 0.1841, 0.2141, 0.1798, 0.1645, 0.142, 0.0813, 0.0549, 0.0647, 0.0477, -0.0077, -0.0253, 0.0111, 0.0005, 0.0368, 0.0456, 0.0414, -0.0112, 0.0464, 0.0713, 0.0554, 0.0239, 0.0382, 0.0617, 0.0541, 0.0597, 0.034, -0.0101, 0.0062, -0.0133, -0.0211, 0.0092, 0.0136, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0008, 0.0, -0.0019, 0.0129, 0.0024, 0.0164, 0.0303, 0.0754, 0.0736, 0.0459, 0.0427, 0.0368, 0.0446, 0.0919, 0.1103, 0.0945, 0.0942, 0.0602, 0.0116, 0.0238, 0.0248, 0.0252, 0.0111, 0.0206, 0.0216, -0.0314, -0.0363, -0.0987, -0.1337, -0.1636, -0.2818, -0.1918, -0.1968, -0.212, -0.2326, -0.2415, -0.2113, -0.2114, -0.2269, -0.2391, -0.233, -0.221, -0.2598, -0.266, -0.2215, -0.2273, -0.2454, -0.2122, -0.2177, -0.1671, -0.1885, -0.2195, -0.2165, -0.199, -0.1958, -0.1925, -0.1871, -0.1425, -0.1533, -0.1839, -0.1992, -0.1922, -0.1877, -0.1922, -0.1832, -0.212, -0.2401, -0.2361, -0.2184, -0.2202, -0.2338, -0.2333, -0.2112, -0.176, -0.1853, -0.1779, -0.1641, -0.1468, -0.1503, -0.1431, -0.1392, -0.1165, -0.1309, -0.1254, -0.1042, -0.1035, -0.1128, -0.1138, -0.1254, -0.132, -0.126, -0.1045, -0.0856, -0.073, -0.0673, -0.0835, -0.0815, -0.0638, -0.0782, -0.0919, -0.0716, -0.0943, -0.1185, -0.1209, -0.1128, -0.1118, -0.1353, -0.1148, -0.1314, -0.1484, -0.1577, -0.1595, -0.1831, -0.2359, -0.2667, -0.2692, -0.3022, -0.2773, -0.2939, -0.2961, -0.2719, -0.2721, -0.2407, -0.2486, -0.2621, -0.2795, -0.2722, -0.2675]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019137728500338891", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T19:55:22+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "See you at $42", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: $13B demand for $2B bonds signals falling cost of capital for AI data center developers; targets $42.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$13B of demand for $2B of CIFR bonds\n\nCost of capital coming down for the best AI data center developers \n\nYeah, sure, bears, we are headed lower. See you at $42. https://t.co/enGoKGQVvU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1410526476408307, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1410526476408307, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1361852167917832, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11238188159608464, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004867430849047505, "bench_c_m1d": 0.028670766044746054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10877194320946404, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10877194320946404, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0962826591491398, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0907441298243763, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489284060324235, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018027813385087743, "ret_p1w": 0.14245618853652697, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14245618853652697, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13404743415368858, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10734177602022688, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00840875438283839, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0351144125163001, "ret_p1m": 0.06315786796703682, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06315786796703682, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07026966614620112, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04824340395472215, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111798179164297, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014914464012314665, "ret_p3m": 0.2554385536595394, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2554385536595394, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2062089433195864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08072464724385586, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04922961033995299, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17471390641568352, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06315786796703682, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07026966614620112, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04824340395472215, "price_path": [0.4519, 0.3789, 0.3102, 0.2196, 0.0477, 0.0077, 0.007, 0.0232, 0.026, 0.0218, -0.007, 0.1726, 0.2295, 0.3439, 0.3439, 0.4281, 0.3818, 0.2379, 0.3074, 0.3916, 0.353, 0.367, 0.3726, 0.2968, 0.3249, 0.1965, 0.0344, 0.0519, 0.0098, 0.0632, 0.1375, 0.1467, 0.1165, 0.1382, 0.1382, 0.066, 0.0582, 0.0239, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.1368, 0.2744, 0.2309, 0.1284, 0.1614, 0.167, 0.2407, 0.2807, 0.2723, 0.2295, 0.3193, 0.3193, 0.2575, 0.2435, 0.2204, 0.233, 0.1572, 0.3158, 0.3312, 0.2421, 0.12, 0.1095, 0.1411, 0.0, -0.1088, 0.0337, 0.1761, 0.2, 0.1425, 0.1298, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0975, 0.0821, 0.1088, 0.0281, 0.0681, 0.2014, 0.1656, 0.1565, 0.0947, 0.106, 0.0323, 0.1256, 0.0632, -0.0442, 0.0042, -0.0204, -0.0098, -0.0379, -0.0119, 0.0625, 0.0589, 0.0295, 0.0274, -0.0168, 0.0449, 0.0442, 0.1144, 0.007, -0.0354, -0.1568, -0.0968, -0.113, -0.1004, -0.1004, -0.0632, -0.0168, 0.0821, 0.1481, 0.16, 0.2463, 0.2947, 0.2632, 0.2168, 0.3593, 0.3537, 0.266, 0.3642, 0.3116, 0.2772, 0.2744, 0.2112, 0.1874, 0.2449, 0.1958, 0.2554, 0.5509, 0.5375, 0.4516, 0.4421, 0.4232, 0.4077, 0.4905, 0.5642, 0.4267, 0.3418, 0.3193, 0.367, 0.5102, 0.5418, 0.5418, 0.6154, 0.7656, 0.7256, 0.6596, 0.6849, 0.8449, 0.8414, 0.793, 0.5754, 0.7046, 0.6165, 0.4751, 0.5881, 0.7193, 0.8267, 0.8393, 0.8491, 1.0477, 1.0477, 0.9747, 0.9396, 0.84, 0.8021, 0.8204, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2004315948233511280", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-25T22:18:55+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If Bitcoin isn't $1,000,000+ per coin by December 31, 2033, I will sell all my Bitcoin and delete this account.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Committed long BTC to $1M+ by end of 2033, staking account on it.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You only live once and I think it’s important to take a stand, believe in something, and put your money where your mouth is:\n\nIf Bitcoin isn’t $1,000,000+ per coin by December 31, 2033, I will sell all my Bitcoin and delete this account.\n\nNo excuses. Play like a champion.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004324180258241883, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004324180258241883, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004222760307826645, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004222760307826645, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007644603322913834, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007644603322913834, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004328113839786152, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004328113839786152, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "ret_p1w": 0.017163370349417395, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017163370349417395, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027506605327620504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027506605327620504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "ret_p1m": 0.02601180166983008, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02601180166983008, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.022506102419715512, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.022506102419715512, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "ret_p3m": -0.19163102215134864, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19163102215134864, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1457150728908343, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1457150728908343, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "ret_p6m": -0.27161089327315213, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27161089327315213, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3556831433880828, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3556831433880828, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3114, 0.3075, 0.3601, 0.3834, 0.4016, 0.4301, 0.3922, 0.4141, 0.3952, 0.2978, 0.3214, 0.2967, 0.2699, 0.2402, 0.2205, 0.2677, 0.2435, 0.2345, 0.2618, 0.2728, 0.3082, 0.2949, 0.2616, 0.2415, 0.2559, 0.2214, 0.1646, 0.1909, 0.1612, 0.185, 0.2151, 0.1807, 0.1654, 0.1429, 0.0821, 0.0557, 0.0655, 0.0485, -0.0069, -0.0246, 0.0119, 0.0012, 0.0376, 0.0464, 0.0422, -0.0105, 0.0472, 0.0721, 0.0562, 0.0247, 0.039, 0.0626, 0.0549, 0.0605, 0.0348, -0.0093, 0.007, -0.0125, -0.0203, 0.01, 0.0144, 0.0021, 0.0043, 0.0, 0.0008, -0.0011, 0.0137, 0.0031, 0.0172, 0.0311, 0.0762, 0.0744, 0.0467, 0.0435, 0.0376, 0.0454, 0.0927, 0.1111, 0.0953, 0.095, 0.061, 0.0123, 0.0246, 0.0255, 0.026, 0.0118, 0.0214, 0.0224, -0.0306, -0.0356, -0.098, -0.133, -0.163, -0.2812, -0.1912, -0.1962, -0.2114, -0.232, -0.2409, -0.2107, -0.2108, -0.2263, -0.2385, -0.2324, -0.2204, -0.2593, -0.2654, -0.221, -0.2268, -0.2448, -0.2116, -0.2171, -0.1665, -0.1879, -0.2189, -0.2159, -0.1984, -0.1952, -0.1919, -0.1865, -0.1418, -0.1526, -0.1833, -0.1986, -0.1916, -0.1871, -0.1916, -0.1826, -0.2114, -0.2395, -0.2355, -0.2178, -0.2196, -0.2332, -0.2327, -0.2106, -0.1753, -0.1847, -0.1773, -0.1634, -0.1462, -0.1496, -0.1425, -0.1385, -0.1159, -0.1302, -0.1247, -0.1035, -0.1028, -0.1121, -0.1131, -0.1248, -0.1314, -0.1253, -0.1038, -0.0849, -0.0723, -0.0666, -0.0828, -0.0808, -0.0631, -0.0775, -0.0912, -0.0709, -0.0936, -0.1178, -0.1202, -0.1121, -0.1111, -0.1347, -0.1141, -0.1308, -0.1478, -0.157, -0.1589, -0.1824, -0.2354, -0.2662, -0.2686, -0.3016, -0.2768, -0.2934, -0.2956, -0.2714, -0.2716, -0.2401, -0.248, -0.2616, -0.279, -0.2716]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1995619808940097818", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T22:23:33+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My grandkids will ask me decades later how I knew today was the bottom in MSTR. I will show them this tweet.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish MSTR; author claims today is the bottom, mocking Schiff's bearish call as a contrarian buy signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My grandkids will ask me decades later how I knew today was the bottom in MSTR. I will show them this tweet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Today is the beginning of the end of $MSTR. Saylor was forced to sell stock not to buy Bitcoin, but to buy U.S. dollars merely to fund MSTR's interest and dividend obligations. The stock is broken. The business model is a fraud, and @Saylor is the biggest con man on Wall Street.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05465175956564838, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05465175956564838, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05280299741187022, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05280299741187022, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018487621537781607, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018487621537781607, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.038934525380811325, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.038934525380811325, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03547168568972814, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03547168568972814, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003462839691083186, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003462839691083186, "ret_p1w": 0.04224344336160213, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04224344336160213, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04002780025486907, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04002780025486907, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002215643106733056, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002215643106733056, "ret_p1m": -0.16202506251660376, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16202506251660376, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16555391007788378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16555391007788378, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528847561280024, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003528847561280024, "ret_p3m": -0.28583246736711965, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28583246736711965, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2953507841899071, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2953507841899071, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518316822787476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009518316822787476, "ret_p6m": -0.1496167463125575, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1496167463125575, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25702672119435066, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25702672119435066, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740997488179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10740997488179316, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.8066, 0.8523, 0.8193, 0.8118, 0.8003, 0.7979, 0.8278, 0.8077, 0.848, 0.8183, 0.9253, 0.9012, 0.8526, 0.8076, 0.783, 0.6583, 0.7044, 0.8001, 0.7769, 0.8663, 0.943, 0.9392, 0.9836, 0.8111, 0.8243, 0.7663, 0.6809, 0.7398, 0.6581, 0.6366, 0.5653, 0.5986, 0.6357, 0.665, 0.5486, 0.5713, 0.5942, 0.6303, 0.5697, 0.5186, 0.4039, 0.4863, 0.4596, 0.3621, 0.4063, 0.3081, 0.3342, 0.3174, 0.2759, 0.2387, 0.1501, 0.1016, 0.0777, 0.1405, 0.0285, -0.0232, -0.0597, -0.0126, -0.0504, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.0229, -0.0547, 0.0, 0.0389, 0.0258, -0.0129, 0.013, 0.0422, 0.0183, 0.0109, -0.0269, -0.1062, -0.0763, -0.1155, -0.1273, -0.091, -0.0938, -0.1293, -0.1247, -0.1247, -0.1242, -0.1431, -0.1418, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1333, -0.0916, -0.1288, -0.1075, -0.0792, -0.1324, -0.1053, -0.046, -0.011, -0.0575, -0.042, -0.042, -0.1164, -0.0966, -0.1122, -0.1005, -0.1144, -0.1089, -0.1262, -0.2103, -0.1744, -0.23, -0.2651, -0.2881, -0.41, -0.2559, -0.2365, -0.2665, -0.3047, -0.3217, -0.2617, -0.2617, -0.2904, -0.3095, -0.2861, -0.2773, -0.3178, -0.3128, -0.2519, -0.2643, -0.2858, -0.2409, -0.2683, -0.1924, -0.229, -0.2636, -0.2337, -0.2364, -0.2371, -0.2426, -0.2297, -0.1865, -0.1712, -0.2248, -0.2376, -0.2519, -0.2379, -0.2486, -0.2327, -0.2669, -0.305, -0.3303, -0.3118, -0.3229, -0.3392, -0.3392, -0.2958, -0.3177, -0.2925, -0.2894, -0.2906, -0.2701, -0.2422, -0.2084, -0.1786, -0.0817, -0.058, -0.0957, -0.0109, -0.0489, -0.0569, -0.0669, -0.0861, -0.1276, -0.0876, -0.0229, 0.0136, 0.0307, 0.0303, -0.0082, 0.0345, 0.0806, 0.017, -0.0182, 0.0311, -0.0216, -0.0811, -0.0921, -0.0856, -0.0909, -0.1182, -0.1182, -0.118, -0.1496]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007469488644432349", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-03T15:09:57+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my long BTC / short SLV call", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author restates his live pair trade: long BTC / short SLV, claiming the parent is now agreeing with it.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoKaleo So you’re getting onboard with my long BTC / short SLV call?\n\nWelcome!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Such a clean bounce for the BTC / SILVER ratio.\n\nWe're about to see a V reversal for Bitcoin strength back to the highs but you wouldn't bullieve it. https://t.co/eHO1qoCY6R", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoKaleo", "ret_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03532838503642444, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03532838503642444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007582429495505694, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007582429495505694, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "ret_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03946646405527887, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03946646405527887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "ret_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1970131046824748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1970131046824748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "ret_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24376303803799793, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24376303803799793, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19438124445211513, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1970131046824748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1970131046824748, "price_path": [0.3139, 0.2964, 0.2059, 0.2278, 0.2049, 0.18, 0.1524, 0.1341, 0.1779, 0.1555, 0.1471, 0.1724, 0.1827, 0.2156, 0.2032, 0.1723, 0.1536, 0.1669, 0.1349, 0.0821, 0.1066, 0.079, 0.1011, 0.129, 0.0971, 0.0829, 0.0619, 0.0055, -0.0191, -0.0099, -0.0257, -0.0772, -0.0936, -0.0598, -0.0697, -0.0358, -0.0277, -0.0316, -0.0805, -0.027, -0.0038, -0.0185, -0.0479, -0.0345, -0.0127, -0.0198, -0.0146, -0.0385, -0.0795, -0.0643, -0.0824, -0.0897, -0.0616, -0.0574, -0.0689, -0.0668, -0.0708, -0.0701, -0.0718, -0.0581, -0.0679, -0.0549, -0.0419, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0274, -0.0304, -0.0359, -0.0286, 0.0153, 0.0325, 0.0178, 0.0175, -0.0142, -0.0593, -0.048, -0.0471, -0.0466, -0.0598, -0.0509, -0.05, -0.0993, -0.1039, -0.1618, -0.1944, -0.2222, -0.3321, -0.2485, -0.2531, -0.2672, -0.2864, -0.2946, -0.2666, -0.2667, -0.2811, -0.2925, -0.2868, -0.2756, -0.3117, -0.3174, -0.2761, -0.2815, -0.2983, -0.2674, -0.2726, -0.2255, -0.2454, -0.2742, -0.2714, -0.2552, -0.2522, -0.2491, -0.2441, -0.2026, -0.2126, -0.2411, -0.2553, -0.2488, -0.2446, -0.2489, -0.2404, -0.2673, -0.2934, -0.2896, -0.2732, -0.2749, -0.2875, -0.2871, -0.2665, -0.2337, -0.2424, -0.2356, -0.2227, -0.2066, -0.2098, -0.2032, -0.1995, -0.1785, -0.1918, -0.1867, -0.167, -0.1663, -0.175, -0.1759, -0.1867, -0.1929, -0.1872, -0.1673, -0.1497, -0.138, -0.1327, -0.1478, -0.1459, -0.1295, -0.1428, -0.1556, -0.1367, -0.1578, -0.1803, -0.1825, -0.175, -0.1741, -0.1959, -0.1768, -0.1923, -0.2081, -0.2167, -0.2185, -0.2403, -0.2895, -0.3181, -0.3204, -0.3511, -0.328, -0.3434, -0.3455, -0.323, -0.3232, -0.2939, -0.3012, -0.3138, -0.3301, -0.3232, -0.3188, -0.3325, -0.3503, -0.3639, -0.3607, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007469488644432349", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-03T15:09:57+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my long BTC / short SLV call", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author restates his live pair trade: long BTC / short SLV, claiming the parent is now agreeing with it.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoKaleo So you’re getting onboard with my long BTC / short SLV call?\n\nWelcome!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Such a clean bounce for the BTC / SILVER ratio.\n\nWe're about to see a V reversal for Bitcoin strength back to the highs but you wouldn't bullieve it. https://t.co/eHO1qoCY6R", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoKaleo", "ret_m1d": -0.048205004962198705, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048205004962198705, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.041588862731468335, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.041588862731468335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0670236990546309, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0670236990546309, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06107654075525981, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06107654075525981, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "ret_p1w": 0.11797917356474508, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11797917356474508, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10716087006445485, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10716087006445485, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "ret_p1m": 0.11407059995003554, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11407059995003554, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11143873971967588, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11143873971967588, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "ret_p3m": -0.047625952928801674, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047625952928801674, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0038597000899918132, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0038597000899918132, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.11407059995003554, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11143873971967588, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11143873971967588, "price_path": [-0.355, -0.3528, -0.3424, -0.3159, -0.3225, -0.3004, -0.2882, -0.3198, -0.3092, -0.3661, -0.3648, -0.3605, -0.3632, -0.3862, -0.3819, -0.3742, -0.3581, -0.3629, -0.3665, -0.3813, -0.3681, -0.3696, -0.3642, -0.3371, -0.3276, -0.3005, -0.3135, -0.3347, -0.3418, -0.3327, -0.3276, -0.3373, -0.3442, -0.325, -0.3244, -0.2994, -0.2994, -0.2587, -0.2397, -0.2309, -0.2318, -0.2507, -0.2335, -0.237, -0.2014, -0.1883, -0.1659, -0.1879, -0.1588, -0.1643, -0.1277, -0.1413, -0.118, -0.0957, -0.0614, -0.0559, -0.0559, 0.0295, -0.0444, -0.0014, -0.0675, -0.0675, -0.0482, 0.0, 0.067, 0.0272, 0.0091, 0.0478, 0.118, 0.1378, 0.2241, 0.2061, 0.1728, 0.1728, 0.2361, 0.2154, 0.2613, 0.345, 0.4236, 0.4706, 0.5287, 0.5282, 0.0921, 0.0486, 0.1141, 0.1462, -0.0346, 0.0161, 0.1008, 0.0627, 0.1083, -0.0195, 0.0093, 0.0093, -0.0392, 0.0146, 0.0279, 0.1091, 0.1663, 0.1448, 0.1587, 0.1646, 0.2303, 0.1808, 0.0811, 0.0906, 0.0751, 0.0993, 0.1329, 0.1594, 0.1278, 0.1071, 0.0523, 0.0599, 0.0373, -0.0055, -0.0492, -0.1094, -0.0957, -0.0887, -0.056, -0.1203, -0.0816, -0.0805, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0476, -0.0476, -0.0433, -0.0455, -0.0233, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0116, 0.0428, 0.04, 0.0313, 0.0659, 0.0444, -0.0085, 0.0187, -0.0101, -0.0042, -0.0109, -0.0417, -0.0614, -0.035, -0.0114, -0.0455, -0.0459, 0.0152, 0.0365, 0.0569, 0.1291, 0.1371, 0.1487, 0.0931, -0.0006, 0.0124, -0.0316, -0.0051, 0.0054, -0.0104, -0.0104, 0.0093, -0.0229, -0.0104, -0.0109, -0.0204, -0.0158, -0.0415, -0.0304, -0.1087, -0.1086, -0.1458, -0.1653, -0.1196, -0.1128, -0.0812, -0.0824, -0.1226, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1472, -0.1933, -0.2504, -0.242, -0.2287, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2005694917184741394", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-29T17:38:26+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Should be easy money in 2026 from these levels", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long CIFR into 2026; signed AI deals price in but team/strategy/future sites valued at zero, sees easy upside from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CIFR trading at the value of its 2 signed AI deals with Amazon and Fluidstack/Google. The value of the team, strategy, and future sites basically being priced at zero. I love this market. Should be easy money in 2026 from these levels.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0072944069783664744, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0072944069783664744, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0037180084256249746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002769893042742, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004524513935624475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032493353686817605, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032493353686817605, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03127214007345258, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029339888692239913, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031534649945776927, "ret_p1w": 0.2042440278042863, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2042440278042863, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20443296355542628, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2128134244819332, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00856939667764689, "ret_p1m": 0.24336870655580256, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24336870655580256, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2322616393952981, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22842380122686312, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01494490532893944, "ret_p3m": -0.04840845795289128, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04840845795289128, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011194973220258753, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.042119151040518665, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09052760899340995, "ret_p6m": 0.8328912154832189, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8328912154832189, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7607410409986441, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5671140860685724, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2657771294146465, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04840845795289128, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011194973220258753, "alpha_c_stated": 0.042119151040518665, "price_path": [-0.1645, -0.0842, -0.0252, 0.0172, 0.0444, 0.1671, 0.193, 0.1253, 0.3488, 0.3853, 0.3946, 0.2414, 0.244, 0.3203, 0.1986, 0.0683, 0.1442, 0.37, 0.3621, 0.3236, 0.2991, 0.2646, 0.2367, 0.5093, 0.4927, 0.6386, 0.4397, 0.372, 0.3031, 0.2381, 0.1525, -0.0099, -0.0477, -0.0484, -0.0332, -0.0305, -0.0345, -0.0617, 0.1081, 0.1618, 0.2699, 0.2699, 0.3495, 0.3057, 0.1698, 0.2354, 0.315, 0.2785, 0.2918, 0.2971, 0.2255, 0.252, 0.1306, -0.0225, -0.006, -0.0458, 0.0046, 0.0749, 0.0836, 0.055, 0.0756, 0.0756, 0.0073, 0.0, -0.0325, -0.0212, -0.0212, 0.0743, 0.2042, 0.1631, 0.0663, 0.0975, 0.1028, 0.1724, 0.2102, 0.2023, 0.1618, 0.2467, 0.2467, 0.1883, 0.1751, 0.1532, 0.1651, 0.0935, 0.2434, 0.258, 0.1737, 0.0584, 0.0484, 0.0782, -0.055, -0.1578, -0.0232, 0.1114, 0.134, 0.0796, 0.0676, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.0371, 0.0225, 0.0477, -0.0285, 0.0093, 0.1353, 0.1015, 0.0928, 0.0345, 0.0451, -0.0245, 0.0637, 0.0046, -0.0968, -0.0511, -0.0743, -0.0643, -0.0908, -0.0663, 0.004, 0.0007, -0.0272, -0.0292, -0.071, -0.0126, -0.0133, 0.0531, -0.0484, -0.0885, -0.2032, -0.1466, -0.1618, -0.1499, -0.1499, -0.1147, -0.071, 0.0225, 0.0849, 0.0962, 0.1777, 0.2235, 0.1936, 0.1499, 0.2845, 0.2792, 0.1963, 0.2891, 0.2394, 0.2069, 0.2042, 0.1446, 0.122, 0.1764, 0.13, 0.1863, 0.4655, 0.4529, 0.3717, 0.3627, 0.3448, 0.3302, 0.4085, 0.4781, 0.3481, 0.2679, 0.2467, 0.2918, 0.4271, 0.4569, 0.4569, 0.5265, 0.6684, 0.6306, 0.5683, 0.5922, 0.7434, 0.7401, 0.6943, 0.4887, 0.6107, 0.5275, 0.3939, 0.5007, 0.6247, 0.7261, 0.7381, 0.7473, 0.935, 0.935, 0.866, 0.8329]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995142048878600295", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T14:45:07+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "excessive money printing leads to increasingly higher Bitcoin prices over time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC: money printing drives increasingly higher prices over time.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B1A1F1 Only a child doesn’t understand that excessive money printing leads to increasingly higher Bitcoin prices over time. Grow up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Yawn..what's the point of these imagining exercises..it's like a child dreaming of treasures and fortunes..embarrassing.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B1A1F1", "ret_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04867600571102382, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04867600571102382, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05640246297425855, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05640246297425855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "ret_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.045090366422747774, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045090366422747774, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "ret_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011534894557498232, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011534894557498232, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "ret_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.234843883634127, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.234843883634127, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "ret_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23124329934601617, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23124329934601617, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2943, 0.2827, 0.2818, 0.2983, 0.292, 0.3201, 0.3381, 0.345, 0.3374, 0.3536, 0.3492, 0.357, 0.3402, 0.3061, 0.2976, 0.3129, 0.2633, 0.271, 0.3253, 0.3213, 0.3745, 0.398, 0.4164, 0.4452, 0.407, 0.429, 0.4099, 0.3115, 0.3354, 0.3104, 0.2834, 0.2533, 0.2334, 0.2811, 0.2567, 0.2475, 0.2751, 0.2863, 0.322, 0.3086, 0.2749, 0.2547, 0.2692, 0.2343, 0.1769, 0.2035, 0.1735, 0.1975, 0.2279, 0.1932, 0.1777, 0.155, 0.0936, 0.0669, 0.0768, 0.0596, 0.0036, -0.0143, 0.0226, 0.0118, 0.0486, 0.0575, 0.0533, 0.0, 0.0583, 0.0835, 0.0674, 0.0355, 0.05, 0.0738, 0.066, 0.0717, 0.0457, 0.0011, 0.0176, -0.0021, -0.01, 0.0206, 0.0251, 0.0127, 0.0149, 0.0106, 0.0114, 0.0095, 0.0244, 0.0138, 0.0279, 0.042, 0.0876, 0.0858, 0.0578, 0.0545, 0.0486, 0.0564, 0.1043, 0.1229, 0.1069, 0.1066, 0.0722, 0.023, 0.0354, 0.0364, 0.0369, 0.0225, 0.0322, 0.0332, -0.0204, -0.0254, -0.0884, -0.1238, -0.1541, -0.2736, -0.1826, -0.1877, -0.2031, -0.2239, -0.2328, -0.2023, -0.2025, -0.2181, -0.2305, -0.2243, -0.2122, -0.2514, -0.2577, -0.2127, -0.2186, -0.2368, -0.2033, -0.2088, -0.1577, -0.1793, -0.2107, -0.2076, -0.1899, -0.1867, -0.1834, -0.1779, -0.1328, -0.1436, -0.1746, -0.1901, -0.183, -0.1785, -0.1831, -0.1739, -0.2031, -0.2315, -0.2274, -0.2095, -0.2113, -0.2251, -0.2246, -0.2023, -0.1666, -0.1761, -0.1686, -0.1546, -0.1371, -0.1406, -0.1334, -0.1294, -0.1065, -0.121, -0.1155, -0.094, -0.0933, -0.1027, -0.1037, -0.1155, -0.1222, -0.116, -0.0943, -0.0752, -0.0625, -0.0567, -0.0731, -0.0711, -0.0532, -0.0677, -0.0816, -0.0611, -0.0841, -0.1085, -0.1109, -0.1027, -0.1017, -0.1255, -0.1047, -0.1216]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026005818899038587", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-23T18:46:43+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It has been red for weeks even though the business is firing on all cylinders. Stay focused on what matters for long term returns.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR long-term; recent red price action doesn't reflect strong business fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RB50525258 It has been red for weeks even though the business is firing on all cylinders. Stay focused on what matters for long term returns.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred I don’t like the fact that cifr is 3.5% green before earnings, that spells red tomorrow, i like it red today \nThoughts ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RB50525258", "ret_m1d": -0.037450764684500815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037450764684500815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.047767478463986546, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05448802461509916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017037259930598347, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1248357778495297, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1248357778495297, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11756730257933135, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11184115275394357, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012994625095586132, "ret_p1w": 0.035479628934227625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.035479628934227625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02963258594588214, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028116092705384288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007363536228843337, "ret_p1m": -0.022339037228825465, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022339037228825465, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017852302231017636, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00645162587886039, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015887411349965075, "ret_p3m": 0.4139290460055114, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4139290460055114, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32254681191284296, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12298135677271205, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.29094768923279934, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.022339037228825465, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.017852302231017636, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00645162587886039, "price_path": [0.2582, 0.2582, 0.3371, 0.2937, 0.159, 0.224, 0.3029, 0.2668, 0.2799, 0.2852, 0.2142, 0.2405, 0.1202, -0.0315, -0.0151, -0.0545, -0.0046, 0.065, 0.0736, 0.0453, 0.0657, 0.0657, -0.002, -0.0092, -0.0414, -0.0302, -0.0302, 0.0644, 0.1932, 0.1524, 0.0565, 0.0874, 0.0926, 0.1616, 0.1991, 0.1912, 0.1511, 0.2352, 0.2352, 0.1774, 0.1643, 0.1426, 0.1544, 0.0834, 0.2319, 0.2464, 0.1629, 0.0486, 0.0388, 0.0683, -0.0637, -0.1656, -0.0322, 0.1012, 0.1235, 0.0696, 0.0578, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.0276, 0.0131, 0.0381, -0.0375, 0.0, 0.1248, 0.0913, 0.0828, 0.025, 0.0355, -0.0335, 0.0539, -0.0046, -0.1051, -0.0598, -0.0828, -0.0729, -0.0992, -0.0749, -0.0053, -0.0085, -0.0361, -0.0381, -0.0795, -0.0217, -0.0223, 0.0434, -0.0572, -0.0969, -0.2106, -0.1544, -0.1695, -0.1577, -0.1577, -0.1229, -0.0795, 0.0131, 0.0749, 0.0861, 0.1669, 0.2122, 0.1827, 0.1393, 0.2727, 0.2674, 0.1853, 0.2773, 0.228, 0.1958, 0.1932, 0.134, 0.1117, 0.1656, 0.1196, 0.1754, 0.452, 0.4396, 0.3591, 0.3502, 0.3325, 0.318, 0.3955, 0.4645, 0.3357, 0.2562, 0.2352, 0.2799, 0.4139, 0.4435, 0.4435, 0.5125, 0.6531, 0.6156, 0.5539, 0.5775, 0.7273, 0.724, 0.6787, 0.475, 0.5959, 0.5135, 0.3811, 0.4869, 0.6097, 0.7102, 0.7221, 0.7313, 0.9172, 0.9172, 0.8489, 0.816, 0.7227, 0.6873, 0.7043, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2010435921439855023", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-11T19:37:30+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "no one will ever catch @saylor's MSTR. The lead too great, the unmined coins too few, and the market impact of any large player chasing would enable MSTR to add even more coins. It's game over.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish MSTR and BTC on absolute scarcity thesis; Saylor's lead insurmountable as supply constraints compound any large buyer's market impact.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The math of absolute scarcity is stark. Tradfi doesn't see it yet, but no one will ever catch @saylor's MSTR. The lead too great, the unmined coins too few, and the market impact of any large player chasing would enable MSTR to add even more coins. It's game over. Fait accompli.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03020399448640676, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03020399448640676, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028636023878529482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028636023878529482, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06632564907229699, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06632564907229699, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06832515583767884, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06832515583767884, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.0707638000903883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0707638000903883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07579862397261783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07579862397261783, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.18017627132672842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18017627132672842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17580318329494105, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17580318329494105, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.2056955926524927, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2056955926524927, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18642925531496757, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18642925531496757, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.8293, 0.7496, 0.7868, 0.8283, 0.861, 0.7309, 0.7563, 0.7819, 0.8223, 0.7545, 0.6973, 0.5692, 0.6613, 0.6314, 0.5225, 0.5718, 0.4621, 0.4913, 0.4725, 0.4261, 0.3845, 0.2855, 0.2313, 0.2046, 0.2747, 0.1496, 0.0918, 0.051, 0.1036, 0.0614, 0.0827, 0.0827, 0.0922, 0.0566, 0.1177, 0.1613, 0.1466, 0.1033, 0.1323, 0.165, 0.1381, 0.1299, 0.0877, -0.0009, 0.0325, -0.0114, -0.0246, 0.016, 0.0129, -0.0268, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0211, -0.0422, -0.0408, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0313, 0.0153, -0.0263, -0.0025, 0.0292, -0.0302, 0.0, 0.0663, 0.1054, 0.0535, 0.0708, 0.0708, -0.0123, 0.0097, -0.0077, 0.0054, -0.0102, -0.004, -0.0233, -0.1174, -0.0772, -0.1393, -0.1786, -0.2043, -0.3405, -0.1683, -0.1466, -0.1802, -0.2229, -0.2418, -0.1748, -0.1748, -0.2069, -0.2283, -0.2021, -0.1922, -0.2374, -0.2319, -0.1638, -0.1777, -0.2018, -0.1515, -0.1821, -0.0973, -0.1382, -0.1769, -0.1435, -0.1465, -0.1473, -0.1534, -0.1391, -0.0907, -0.0737, -0.1336, -0.1479, -0.1638, -0.1481, -0.1601, -0.1424, -0.1806, -0.2231, -0.2514, -0.2307, -0.2432, -0.2614, -0.2614, -0.2129, -0.2374, -0.2091, -0.2057, -0.2071, -0.1841, -0.153, -0.1152, -0.0819, 0.0264, 0.0529, 0.0107, 0.1056, 0.0631, 0.0542, 0.043, 0.0215, -0.0249, 0.0198, 0.0921, 0.133, 0.1521, 0.1516, 0.1085, 0.1563, 0.2078, 0.1368, 0.0974, 0.1525, 0.0936, 0.0271, 0.0148, 0.0221, 0.0161, -0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0142, -0.0495, -0.0653, -0.0194, -0.0767, -0.1612, -0.2199, -0.2026, -0.2576, -0.2159, -0.2787, -0.289, -0.2594, -0.2358, -0.1916, -0.243, -0.2815, -0.3064, -0.3064, -0.3253, -0.3599, -0.4198, -0.474, -0.4926, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2010435921439855023", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-11T19:37:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The math of absolute scarcity is stark. Tradfi doesn't see it yet", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish MSTR and BTC on absolute scarcity thesis; Saylor's lead insurmountable as supply constraints compound any large buyer's market impact.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The math of absolute scarcity is stark. Tradfi doesn't see it yet, but no one will ever catch @saylor's MSTR. The lead too great, the unmined coins too few, and the market impact of any large player chasing would enable MSTR to add even more coins. It's game over. Fait accompli.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2148, 0.1863, 0.1675, 0.2127, 0.1895, 0.1809, 0.207, 0.2176, 0.2514, 0.2386, 0.2068, 0.1877, 0.2014, 0.1684, 0.114, 0.1393, 0.1108, 0.1336, 0.1623, 0.1294, 0.1148, 0.0933, 0.0351, 0.0099, 0.0193, 0.003, -0.05, -0.0669, -0.032, -0.0422, -0.0074, 0.001, -0.003, -0.0534, 0.0017, 0.0256, 0.0104, -0.0198, -0.0061, 0.0164, 0.0091, 0.0145, -0.0101, -0.0523, -0.0367, -0.0554, -0.0628, -0.0339, -0.0296, -0.0414, -0.0393, -0.0434, -0.0427, -0.0445, -0.0303, -0.0404, -0.027, -0.0137, 0.0295, 0.0278, 0.0013, -0.0018, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0453, 0.0629, 0.0478, 0.0475, 0.0149, -0.0316, -0.0199, -0.019, -0.0185, -0.0321, -0.0229, -0.022, -0.0727, -0.0775, -0.1371, -0.1706, -0.1993, -0.3124, -0.2263, -0.2311, -0.2456, -0.2654, -0.2738, -0.2449, -0.2451, -0.2599, -0.2716, -0.2658, -0.2543, -0.2914, -0.2973, -0.2548, -0.2603, -0.2776, -0.2458, -0.2511, -0.2027, -0.2232, -0.2528, -0.2499, -0.2332, -0.2302, -0.227, -0.2218, -0.1791, -0.1894, -0.2187, -0.2334, -0.2267, -0.2224, -0.2267, -0.218, -0.2456, -0.2725, -0.2687, -0.2518, -0.2535, -0.2665, -0.266, -0.2449, -0.2111, -0.2201, -0.213, -0.1997, -0.1832, -0.1865, -0.1797, -0.1759, -0.1542, -0.168, -0.1627, -0.1424, -0.1417, -0.1506, -0.1516, -0.1628, -0.1691, -0.1633, -0.1427, -0.1246, -0.1126, -0.1071, -0.1226, -0.1207, -0.1038, -0.1175, -0.1307, -0.1112, -0.133, -0.1561, -0.1584, -0.1506, -0.1497, -0.1722, -0.1526, -0.1685, -0.1848, -0.1936, -0.1954, -0.2179, -0.2685, -0.298, -0.3004, -0.3319, -0.3082, -0.324, -0.3262, -0.303, -0.3032, -0.2731, -0.2806, -0.2936, -0.3103, -0.3032, -0.2987, -0.3128, -0.3311, -0.3451, -0.3419, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003254964513308921", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-23T00:02:56+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NVO will be one of the biggest", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVO as one of the long-term winners in weight loss and diabetes.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@danielnewmanUV There won’t be one winner long term in weight loss and diabetes. NVO will be one of the biggest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred $VKTX is the winner here. I’m well down the rabbit hole. Until $LLY launches Retatrutide then it’s game over for GLP-1", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "danielnewmanUV", "ret_m1d": -0.06801009177953354, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06801009177953354, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0634603937920375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0634603937920375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549697987496049, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549697987496049, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018407321888565864, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018407321888565864, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014889647492321023, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014889647492321023, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003517674396244841, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003517674396244841, "ret_p1w": -0.0075566513228257914, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0075566513228257914, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00617571438882325, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00617571438882325, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013809369340025412, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013809369340025412, "ret_p1m": 0.14938966127438214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14938966127438214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15311077926337124, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15311077926337124, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003721117988989109, "bench_c_p1m": -0.003721117988989109, "ret_p3m": -0.29219143731233654, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29219143731233654, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23750988450882404, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23750988450882404, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0546815528035125, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0546815528035125, "ret_p6m": -0.12582656979874218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12582656979874218, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20580737242964875, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20580737242964875, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07998080263090657, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07998080263090657, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14938966127438214, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15311077926337124, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15311077926337124, "price_path": [0.0858, 0.0775, 0.0754, 0.0752, 0.1465, 0.1382, 0.1554, 0.1558, 0.1436, 0.155, 0.137, 0.1031, 0.1141, 0.0978, 0.099, 0.0868, 0.0535, 0.08, 0.0614, 0.0343, 0.0314, 0.0262, 0.0248, 0.0085, -0.0047, -0.0304, -0.0417, -0.0484, -0.0651, -0.061, -0.0988, -0.1149, -0.1099, -0.0477, -0.0262, -0.0475, -0.0649, -0.061, -0.0787, -0.0506, -0.0777, -0.0771, -0.1287, -0.0882, -0.0562, -0.0562, -0.0438, -0.0616, -0.081, -0.0783, -0.0701, -0.0727, -0.0938, -0.1017, -0.0496, -0.0256, -0.0277, -0.024, -0.0513, -0.0744, -0.0775, -0.0682, -0.068, 0.0, 0.0184, 0.0184, 0.0153, -0.0027, -0.0076, -0.0141, -0.0141, 0.0151, 0.0678, 0.0901, 0.0961, 0.111, 0.1395, 0.1599, 0.1556, 0.1414, 0.1068, 0.2077, 0.2077, 0.1757, 0.1494, 0.2058, 0.2064, 0.2397, 0.2186, 0.169, 0.1496, 0.1515, 0.1418, -0.0254, -0.0856, -0.1602, -0.0769, -0.0434, -0.0482, -0.0556, -0.0519, -0.0395, -0.0395, -0.0434, -0.0461, -0.0612, -0.0812, -0.2321, -0.2523, -0.2606, -0.2711, -0.2744, -0.2684, -0.2897, -0.254, -0.243, -0.2525, -0.2292, -0.2498, -0.2476, -0.2633, -0.2645, -0.2525, -0.2554, -0.2744, -0.2815, -0.2922, -0.2866, -0.2852, -0.2961, -0.2947, -0.3017, -0.2911, -0.2618, -0.2672, -0.2572, -0.2572, -0.2634, -0.2586, -0.2445, -0.248, -0.2463, -0.2371, -0.2102, -0.1803, -0.1779, -0.1861, -0.1873, -0.2082, -0.2136, -0.2263, -0.173, -0.1724, -0.173, -0.1907, -0.1519, -0.1186, -0.1084, -0.0987, -0.0808, -0.08, -0.0746, -0.068, -0.0559, -0.0543, -0.08, -0.1013, -0.1106, -0.1106, -0.0947, -0.1084, -0.0969, -0.0969, -0.1124, -0.1051, -0.0859, -0.0844, -0.1148, -0.1379, -0.1564, -0.1212, -0.1371, -0.176, -0.1525, -0.1401, -0.117, -0.1186, -0.1178, -0.1252, -0.1258]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021938581611380919", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-12T13:24:58+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "452,000 shares. Nothing has changed.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holds 452K shares of ASST; expects Bitcoin to move to $315K.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheTurtle1111 452,000 shares. Nothing has changed. Waiting for Bitcoin to move towards $315,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred update on your $ASST holdings please and thanks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheTurtle1111", "ret_m1d": 0.05064939649134548, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05064939649134548, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.034958124534516744, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030335961820110002, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020313434671235475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08181819870733786, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08181819870733786, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08111369960421877, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08259206368799721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007738649806593445, "ret_p1w": 0.054545465804891835, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.054545465804891835, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04983373401243796, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045646241843483315, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00889922396140852, "ret_p1m": 0.2376623336411101, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2376623336411101, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.26552211184007823, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29183139351277176, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05416905987166165, "ret_p3m": 1.2168831321637819, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2168831321637819, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1303888897461989, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2138817627890046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0030013693747772408, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2376623336411101, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.26552211184007823, "alpha_c_stated": 0.29183139351277176, "price_path": [1.7013, 1.9091, 1.7273, 1.5532, 1.6494, 1.9351, 1.8831, 1.9351, 1.9351, 1.9091, 1.7273, 1.6883, 1.7273, 1.5377, 1.3403, 1.5584, 1.6494, 1.5974, 1.3948, 1.2416, 1.0494, 1.2338, 1.1325, 1.1584, 1.3351, 1.2494, 1.0909, 1.239, 1.239, 1.1169, 1.0078, 0.9013, 0.9169, 0.9169, 1.2468, 1.6753, 1.7013, 1.6494, 1.6234, 1.4571, 1.8571, 1.5195, 1.6753, 1.5221, 1.4623, 1.4623, 1.2987, 1.3169, 1.2597, 1.2623, 1.0416, 1.1273, 1.0805, 1.039, 1.1325, 0.8779, 0.7714, 0.5377, 0.2805, 0.5474, 0.3175, 0.1922, 0.0506, 0.0, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0623, 0.0455, 0.0545, 0.0584, -0.0442, -0.0695, 0.1091, 0.0636, 0.0312, 0.1338, 0.0818, 0.2494, 0.2013, 0.1299, 0.1052, 0.1662, 0.1987, 0.1468, 0.2377, 0.4104, 0.4416, 0.3032, 0.3325, 0.3013, 0.3558, 0.2896, 0.4091, 0.3519, 0.2799, 0.2169, 0.3013, 0.3195, 0.2662, 0.2662, 0.3143, 0.2032, 0.3312, 0.2519, 0.3805, 0.5039, 0.6143, 0.7571, 0.8156, 1.0273, 1.0286, 0.9883, 1.1636, 1.1039, 1.0519, 1.0377, 0.9844, 0.8714, 0.9948, 1.1182, 1.124, 1.1442, 1.1143, 1.0078, 1.0675, 1.3312, 1.2169, 1.174, 1.3, 1.1805, 1.0506, 1.0987, 1.2052, 1.4065, 1.3649, 1.3649, 1.3506, 1.3143, 1.3117, 1.2948, 1.2338, 1.0935, 0.9143, 0.9506, 0.8078, 0.9753, 0.8455, 0.874, 0.8935, 0.9675, 1.1649, 1.0506, 1.0052, 0.9286, 0.9286, 0.9234, 0.8117, 0.6299, 0.4805, 0.4727, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021938581611380919", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-12T13:24:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Waiting for Bitcoin to move towards $315,000", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holds 452K shares of ASST; expects Bitcoin to move to $315K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheTurtle1111 452,000 shares. Nothing has changed. Waiting for Bitcoin to move towards $315,000.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred update on your $ASST holdings please and thanks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheTurtle1111", "ret_m1d": 0.011629470826988175, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011629470826988175, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004061801129840559, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004061801129840559, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039805596623848194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039805596623848194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0391010975207291, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0391010975207291, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "ret_p1w": 0.011109320517823873, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011109320517823873, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006397588725369996, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006397588725369996, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "ret_p1m": 0.07167456546390705, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07167456546390705, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09953434366287517, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09953434366287517, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "ret_p3m": 0.2152710892695433, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2152710892695433, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12877684685196034, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12877684685196034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07167456546390705, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09953434366287517, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09953434366287517, "price_path": [0.3907, 0.4036, 0.3812, 0.3082, 0.2849, 0.333, 0.3189, 0.3669, 0.3785, 0.3729, 0.3035, 0.3795, 0.4123, 0.3914, 0.3498, 0.3687, 0.3997, 0.3896, 0.397, 0.3632, 0.305, 0.3265, 0.3008, 0.2905, 0.3304, 0.3363, 0.32, 0.323, 0.3173, 0.3183, 0.3159, 0.3354, 0.3214, 0.3399, 0.3582, 0.4177, 0.4154, 0.3788, 0.3746, 0.3668, 0.3771, 0.4394, 0.4637, 0.4429, 0.4425, 0.3976, 0.3336, 0.3497, 0.351, 0.3516, 0.3329, 0.3455, 0.3468, 0.2769, 0.2704, 0.1883, 0.1421, 0.1027, -0.0532, 0.0654, 0.0589, 0.0388, 0.0116, 0.0, 0.0398, 0.0396, 0.0192, 0.0031, 0.0111, 0.0269, -0.0242, -0.0323, 0.0262, 0.0186, -0.0051, 0.0386, 0.0313, 0.098, 0.0698, 0.0289, 0.0329, 0.0559, 0.0601, 0.0645, 0.0717, 0.1305, 0.1163, 0.0759, 0.0557, 0.0649, 0.0709, 0.0649, 0.0768, 0.0388, 0.0018, 0.0071, 0.0304, 0.028, 0.0101, 0.0107, 0.0398, 0.0864, 0.074, 0.0837, 0.102, 0.1248, 0.1202, 0.1296, 0.1349, 0.1647, 0.1457, 0.153, 0.1809, 0.1819, 0.1696, 0.1683, 0.153, 0.1443, 0.1523, 0.1806, 0.2055, 0.2221, 0.2296, 0.2082, 0.2109, 0.2342, 0.2153, 0.1971, 0.2239, 0.194, 0.1621, 0.159, 0.1697, 0.1709, 0.1399, 0.167, 0.145, 0.1227, 0.1105, 0.108, 0.077, 0.0073, -0.0333, -0.0365, -0.08, -0.0473, -0.0691, -0.0721, -0.0402, -0.0404, 0.001, -0.0094, -0.0272, -0.0502, -0.0405, -0.0343, -0.0537, -0.0789, -0.0982, -0.0937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1994160841013465148", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T21:46:08+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$92,000 soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC to $92K soon; retail tipping point signaled by lifelong skeptic finally opening a crypto account.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My Uncle Joe who has refused to buy Bitcoin every Thanksgiving for the last 8 years just asked if he should use Coinbase or Kraken. That’s it. We’ve reached the tipping point. $92,000 soon. He’s opening the account as I type this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00840230773549433, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00840230773549433, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00297350626195092, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00297350626195092, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00542880147354341, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00542880147354341, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004010602738938163, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004010602738938163, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005548675622263355, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005548675622263355, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565470301164498, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004565470301164498, "ret_p1w": 0.009379925316623794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009379925316623794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006014401596448948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006014401596448948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0033655237201748456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0033655237201748456, "ret_p1m": -0.0436427556166582, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0436427556166582, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05314318070842827, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05314318070842827, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00950042509177007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00950042509177007, "ret_p3m": -0.29802508924622373, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29802508924622373, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3153039598033709, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3153039598033709, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278870557147163, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017278870557147163, "ret_p6m": -0.17305217634807324, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17305217634807324, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2703548315124227, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2703548315124227, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09730265516434944, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09730265516434944, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0436427556166582, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05314318070842827, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05314318070842827, "price_path": [0.1968, 0.2182, 0.2239, 0.2129, 0.2121, 0.2277, 0.2218, 0.2483, 0.2653, 0.2719, 0.2647, 0.28, 0.2759, 0.2832, 0.2673, 0.2351, 0.2271, 0.2415, 0.1946, 0.2019, 0.2532, 0.2494, 0.2998, 0.322, 0.3394, 0.3666, 0.3305, 0.3513, 0.3332, 0.2402, 0.2628, 0.2392, 0.2136, 0.1851, 0.1663, 0.2115, 0.1883, 0.1797, 0.2058, 0.2163, 0.2501, 0.2374, 0.2056, 0.1865, 0.2002, 0.1672, 0.1129, 0.1381, 0.1097, 0.1324, 0.1612, 0.1283, 0.1137, 0.0922, 0.0341, 0.0089, 0.0182, 0.002, -0.051, -0.0679, -0.033, -0.0432, -0.0084, 0.0, -0.004, -0.0544, 0.0007, 0.0246, 0.0094, -0.0208, -0.0071, 0.0154, 0.0081, 0.0134, -0.0111, -0.0533, -0.0377, -0.0563, -0.0638, -0.0349, -0.0306, -0.0424, -0.0402, -0.0444, -0.0436, -0.0454, -0.0313, -0.0414, -0.028, -0.0147, 0.0285, 0.0268, 0.0002, -0.0028, -0.0085, -0.001, 0.0442, 0.0618, 0.0467, 0.0464, 0.0139, -0.0326, -0.0209, -0.02, -0.0195, -0.0331, -0.0239, -0.023, -0.0737, -0.0784, -0.138, -0.1715, -0.2001, -0.3131, -0.2271, -0.2319, -0.2464, -0.2661, -0.2746, -0.2457, -0.2458, -0.2606, -0.2723, -0.2665, -0.255, -0.2921, -0.298, -0.2555, -0.2611, -0.2783, -0.2466, -0.2519, -0.2035, -0.224, -0.2536, -0.2507, -0.234, -0.2309, -0.2278, -0.2226, -0.1799, -0.1902, -0.2195, -0.2341, -0.2274, -0.2232, -0.2275, -0.2188, -0.2464, -0.2733, -0.2694, -0.2525, -0.2542, -0.2673, -0.2668, -0.2457, -0.2119, -0.2209, -0.2138, -0.2005, -0.184, -0.1874, -0.1805, -0.1767, -0.1551, -0.1688, -0.1636, -0.1433, -0.1426, -0.1515, -0.1525, -0.1636, -0.1699, -0.1641, -0.1436, -0.1255, -0.1135, -0.108, -0.1235, -0.1216, -0.1047, -0.1184, -0.1315, -0.1121, -0.1339, -0.157, -0.1592, -0.1515, -0.1506, -0.1731]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988755241731543192", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T23:46:13+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's what they said when Bitcoin was $25,000 too", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses the 'already priced in' thesis on Bitcoin, implying more upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DavidJPete That’s what they said when Bitcoin was $25,000 too", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Feels like reopening may be mostly priced in. Futures not moving and Bitcoin not sniffing out anything special right now.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DavidJPete", "ret_m1d": 0.013124527007379205, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013124527007379205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0037493834437825058, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0037493834437825058, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01687391045116171, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01687391045116171, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01933536967351135, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01933536967351135, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019171545300199044, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019171545300199044, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001638243733123046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001638243733123046, "ret_p1w": -0.10030371428694385, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10030371428694385, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07127273499721998, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07127273499721998, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903097928972387, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02903097928972387, "ret_p1m": -0.0900212927368621, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0900212927368621, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10448472304341883, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10448472304341883, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463430306556724, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014463430306556724, "ret_p3m": -0.3102637938634375, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3102637938634375, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.343186082778388, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.343186082778388, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032922288914950526, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032922288914950526, "ret_p6m": -0.21298953775672236, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21298953775672236, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31682259769840315, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31682259769840315, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1038330599416808, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1038330599416808, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0900212927368621, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10448472304341883, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10448472304341883, "price_path": [0.1548, 0.1435, 0.1099, 0.1241, 0.1058, 0.1496, 0.0832, 0.0997, 0.094, 0.107, 0.0664, 0.0746, 0.0938, 0.099, 0.0891, 0.0884, 0.1024, 0.0971, 0.1209, 0.1362, 0.142, 0.1356, 0.1493, 0.1456, 0.1522, 0.138, 0.109, 0.1018, 0.1147, 0.0727, 0.0792, 0.1253, 0.1219, 0.1671, 0.1871, 0.2027, 0.2271, 0.1946, 0.2134, 0.1971, 0.1136, 0.1339, 0.1127, 0.0897, 0.0642, 0.0473, 0.0878, 0.067, 0.0593, 0.0827, 0.0922, 0.1225, 0.1111, 0.0825, 0.0653, 0.0776, 0.048, -0.0007, 0.0219, -0.0036, 0.0168, 0.0426, 0.0131, 0.0, -0.0193, -0.0715, -0.0941, -0.0857, -0.1003, -0.1479, -0.163, -0.1317, -0.1409, -0.1096, -0.1021, -0.1057, -0.1509, -0.1014, -0.08, -0.0937, -0.1207, -0.1084, -0.0882, -0.0948, -0.09, -0.1121, -0.1499, -0.1359, -0.1527, -0.1594, -0.1334, -0.1296, -0.1402, -0.1382, -0.1419, -0.1413, -0.1429, -0.1302, -0.1392, -0.1272, -0.1153, -0.0765, -0.078, -0.1019, -0.1046, -0.1097, -0.103, -0.0624, -0.0466, -0.0601, -0.0604, -0.0896, -0.1313, -0.1209, -0.12, -0.1196, -0.1318, -0.1236, -0.1227, -0.1682, -0.1725, -0.226, -0.256, -0.2817, -0.3832, -0.306, -0.3103, -0.3233, -0.341, -0.3486, -0.3227, -0.3228, -0.3361, -0.3466, -0.3414, -0.3311, -0.3644, -0.3697, -0.3315, -0.3365, -0.352, -0.3235, -0.3282, -0.2848, -0.3032, -0.3298, -0.3272, -0.3122, -0.3094, -0.3066, -0.3019, -0.2636, -0.2729, -0.2992, -0.3123, -0.3063, -0.3025, -0.3064, -0.2986, -0.3233, -0.3475, -0.344, -0.3288, -0.3304, -0.3421, -0.3416, -0.3227, -0.2924, -0.3004, -0.2941, -0.2821, -0.2673, -0.2703, -0.2642, -0.2608, -0.2413, -0.2537, -0.249, -0.2308, -0.2301, -0.2381, -0.239, -0.249, -0.2546, -0.2494, -0.231, -0.2148, -0.204, -0.199, -0.213]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998196753024356444", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-09T01:03:25+00:00", "symbol": "PEP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I added over the last couple weeks.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed buying PEP over the past couple weeks; live long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["PEP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Non-Alcoholic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk I added over the last couple weeks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$PEP Inverse head and shoulders starting to look intriguing on the longer-term chart. https://t.co/YtxtB5eMoY", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": 0.006844731359513467, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006844731359513467, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0059809578251308615, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0059809578251308615, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008637735343826058, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008637735343826058, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034983549111200274, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034983549111200274, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028351494652833154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028351494652833154, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663205445836712, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00663205445836712, "ret_p1w": 0.039615719284055606, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039615719284055606, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04572078809492042, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04572078809492042, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "ret_p1m": -0.052751584587899636, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.052751584587899636, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06530959220193666, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06530959220193666, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "ret_p3m": 0.11210159432183509, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11210159432183509, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12479961487760893, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12479961487760893, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012698020555773848, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012698020555773848, "ret_p6m": -0.005714411709978218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.005714411709978218, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1162417451373744, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1162417451373744, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.052751584587899636, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06530959220193666, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06530959220193666, "price_path": [-0.0125, -0.0173, -0.0371, -0.0412, -0.033, -0.0365, -0.0294, -0.0344, -0.0284, -0.0266, -0.042, -0.0384, -0.0403, -0.0384, -0.02, -0.0256, -0.0279, -0.0435, -0.036, -0.0494, -0.0092, 0.0276, 0.0194, 0.0376, 0.035, 0.0453, 0.0524, 0.0519, 0.0488, 0.0478, 0.0374, 0.0376, 0.045, 0.0278, 0.0007, 0.0102, 0.0002, -0.0168, -0.0216, -0.0219, -0.0306, -0.0213, -0.0235, -0.0067, -0.0114, -0.0071, -0.0014, 0.0122, 0.0186, 0.0072, 0.0003, 0.0019, -0.0038, 0.0004, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0184, 0.0237, 0.0175, 0.0137, 0.0059, 0.0026, 0.0068, 0.0, 0.035, 0.0304, 0.0416, 0.0455, 0.0396, 0.0376, 0.0327, 0.0243, 0.0167, -0.0066, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0059, -0.0028, -0.0033, -0.0077, -0.0077, -0.0167, -0.0326, -0.0393, -0.0528, -0.0364, -0.0327, -0.0227, -0.008, 0.0088, 0.0133, 0.0116, 0.0116, 0.0209, 0.0145, -0.0017, -0.0004, 0.0085, 0.0286, 0.0267, 0.028, 0.0622, 0.073, 0.1259, 0.1489, 0.1583, 0.1787, 0.1509, 0.1544, 0.1695, 0.156, 0.1473, 0.1473, 0.1195, 0.1365, 0.1379, 0.1403, 0.1637, 0.1722, 0.1696, 0.1586, 0.1735, 0.1565, 0.1401, 0.1333, 0.111, 0.1121, 0.1268, 0.1215, 0.1171, 0.1081, 0.1152, 0.1002, 0.0917, 0.071, 0.0654, 0.0466, 0.0525, 0.0504, 0.0584, 0.0521, 0.0675, 0.0939, 0.0832, 0.0788, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0933, 0.0687, 0.0798, 0.0986, 0.0956, 0.0873, 0.0862, 0.0802, 0.1048, 0.0998, 0.0951, 0.0806, 0.0728, 0.0861, 0.0843, 0.0749, 0.0902, 0.0832, 0.1055, 0.098, 0.0783, 0.0815, 0.0879, 0.0902, 0.0785, 0.0422, 0.0592, 0.0412, 0.037, 0.0402, 0.0398, 0.0489, 0.0414, 0.0383, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0162, 0.0306, 0.0204, 0.0058, -0.0128, -0.0095, -0.0057]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021773292588388565", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-12T02:28:10+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "All roads lead to $20+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses OPEN going to $20+, agreeing with macro chain from jobs data → mortgage rates → housing.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jeffye888 Exactly. All roads lead to $20+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "All-in on $OPEN \n\nRealize housing tracks mortgage rates\n\nRealize mortgage rates track the 10-year yield\n\nRealize 10-year yield tracks unemployment\n\nRealize unemployment comes from the BLS jobs report\n\nRealize jobs reports are heavily adjusted based on BLS births-deaths report", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jeffye888", "ret_m1d": 0.0867580147288245, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0867580147288245, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07106674277199576, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0883908376780973, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016328229492728052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014840195324687944, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014840195324687944, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01413569622156885, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00014460804926663684, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014695587275421307, "ret_p1w": 0.06164382965112725, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06164382965112725, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05693209785867337, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05394609374372483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007697735907402414, "ret_p1m": 0.13013691322630838, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13013691322630838, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1579966914252765, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14459917553327417, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01446226230696579, "ret_p3m": 0.07534244636616338, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07534244636616338, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.011151796051419582, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.028464821516746897, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04687762484941649, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13013691322630838, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1579966914252765, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14459917553327417, "price_path": [0.79, 0.7169, 0.5274, 0.4064, 0.5411, 0.7557, 0.7671, 0.7763, 0.7763, 0.758, 0.6301, 0.5959, 0.5845, 0.7306, 0.6324, 0.6096, 0.6918, 0.5982, 0.6096, 0.4977, 0.4772, 0.5365, 0.3973, 0.4338, 0.4521, 0.4658, 0.4315, 0.4338, 0.4338, 0.3721, 0.3311, 0.3333, 0.3311, 0.3311, 0.3858, 0.4429, 0.5822, 0.3973, 0.468, 0.6644, 0.6027, 0.5457, 0.516, 0.4384, 0.5228, 0.5228, 0.4589, 0.4795, 0.4658, 0.3721, 0.3402, 0.3265, 0.3151, 0.274, 0.1758, 0.1005, 0.1712, 0.1416, 0.0731, 0.1142, 0.1279, 0.0708, 0.0868, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0148, -0.0114, 0.0571, 0.0616, 0.1416, 0.0913, 0.1667, 0.137, 0.2352, 0.2374, 0.153, 0.1347, 0.1142, 0.1826, 0.1416, 0.1598, 0.1438, 0.2032, 0.105, 0.1301, 0.1826, 0.2694, 0.2055, 0.1735, 0.121, 0.1895, 0.1826, 0.1644, 0.1187, 0.0959, 0.0114, 0.0685, 0.0434, 0.0822, 0.0822, 0.0525, 0.0388, 0.0594, -0.016, -0.0137, -0.0046, 0.0297, 0.1005, 0.2032, 0.2078, 0.2215, 0.2443, 0.2397, 0.1918, 0.258, 0.2306, 0.2511, 0.274, 0.2283, 0.242, 0.1712, 0.1941, 0.2466, 0.2146, 0.1438, 0.1073, 0.0753, 0.0457, 0.0205, 0.0, -0.0228, -0.0183, 0.0046, 0.0434, 0.0342, 0.0342, 0.0228, 0.0845, 0.1575, 0.1507, 0.2123, 0.2352, 0.1119, 0.1301, 0.0091, -0.016, -0.0091, 0.0228, 0.0205, 0.0137, 0.0525, 0.0845, 0.016, 0.0205, 0.0205, -0.0228, -0.0411, -0.0228, -0.0183, -0.0023, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018510920566370448", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T02:24:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$140,000 is inevitable homie", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC to $140K is inevitable; decisively bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SuperBitcoinBro $140,000 is inevitable homie", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC monthly channel\n\nbulls are still in the game https://t.co/bPtuKCuVx1", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SuperBitcoinBro", "ret_m1d": 0.040395021471746784, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040395021471746784, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031867532359360906, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031867532359360906, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527489112385878, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527489112385878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03455931736640505, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03455931736640505, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029715463640411666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029715463640411666, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843853725993386, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843853725993386, "ret_p1w": -0.0904305856342269, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0904305856342269, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0941867457902752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0941867457902752, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003756160156048294, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003756160156048294, "ret_p1m": -0.03864645875765693, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03864645875765693, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03226534687729876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03226534687729876, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00638111188035817, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00638111188035817, "ret_p3m": 0.0336550807171172, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0336550807171172, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.014331400309869124, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.014331400309869124, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04798648102698633, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04798648102698633, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03864645875765693, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03226534687729876, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03226534687729876, "price_path": [0.3394, 0.3668, 0.4014, 0.3618, 0.3442, 0.3182, 0.2481, 0.2176, 0.2289, 0.2093, 0.1454, 0.125, 0.1671, 0.1548, 0.1968, 0.2069, 0.2021, 0.1413, 0.2078, 0.2366, 0.2183, 0.1819, 0.1984, 0.2255, 0.2167, 0.2232, 0.1935, 0.1426, 0.1614, 0.139, 0.13, 0.1649, 0.17, 0.1558, 0.1584, 0.1534, 0.1543, 0.1521, 0.1692, 0.157, 0.1732, 0.1892, 0.2413, 0.2393, 0.2072, 0.2035, 0.1967, 0.2057, 0.2603, 0.2816, 0.2633, 0.263, 0.2237, 0.1676, 0.1817, 0.1828, 0.1834, 0.167, 0.1781, 0.1792, 0.118, 0.1123, 0.0404, 0.0, -0.0346, -0.171, -0.0671, -0.0729, -0.0904, -0.1143, -0.1244, -0.0896, -0.0898, -0.1076, -0.1217, -0.1147, -0.1009, -0.1457, -0.1528, -0.1015, -0.1082, -0.1289, -0.0907, -0.097, -0.0386, -0.0634, -0.0991, -0.0956, -0.0755, -0.0718, -0.068, -0.0617, -0.0102, -0.0226, -0.058, -0.0756, -0.0676, -0.0624, -0.0676, -0.0572, -0.0905, -0.1229, -0.1182, -0.0978, -0.0999, -0.1156, -0.1151, -0.0896, -0.0488, -0.0596, -0.0511, -0.0351, -0.0152, -0.0192, -0.011, -0.0064, 0.0197, 0.0032, 0.0095, 0.034, 0.0348, 0.0241, 0.0229, 0.0095, 0.0019, 0.0089, 0.0337, 0.0555, 0.07, 0.0766, 0.0579, 0.0602, 0.0806, 0.064, 0.0482, 0.0716, 0.0454, 0.0175, 0.0148, 0.0241, 0.0252, -0.0019, 0.0218, 0.0025, -0.017, -0.0277, -0.0299, -0.057, -0.1181, -0.1536, -0.1564, -0.1945, -0.1658, -0.185, -0.1875, -0.1596, -0.1599, -0.1235, -0.1327, -0.1483, -0.1684, -0.1599, -0.1544, -0.1714, -0.1935, -0.2104, -0.2065, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011283366629556720", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T03:44:57+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agree and ASST", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish repricing of MSTR on crypto breakout and below-NAV trade with positive beta.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheShortBear Agree and ASST", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$MSTR about to get repriced as we broke out on major volume on Crypto and as it trades below NAV.\n\nPositive beta.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheShortBear", "ret_m1d": -0.035353796203400956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035353796203400956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04029332815530662, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04029332815530662, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04695253489640694, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04695253489640694, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.049675832404394105, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.049675832404394105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "ret_p1w": -0.08654438250149687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08654438250149687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07935981883437415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07935981883437415, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "ret_p1m": -0.314113652238306, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.314113652238306, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3009467221003084, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3009467221003084, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "ret_p3m": -0.26191937066366155, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26191937066366155, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25846289818363166, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25846289818363166, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.314113652238306, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3009467221003084, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3009467221003084, "price_path": [0.6164, 0.654, 0.6835, 0.5659, 0.5888, 0.612, 0.6485, 0.5872, 0.5355, 0.4196, 0.5029, 0.4759, 0.3773, 0.422, 0.3227, 0.3491, 0.3321, 0.2901, 0.2525, 0.1629, 0.1139, 0.0897, 0.1532, 0.04, -0.0123, -0.0492, -0.0016, -0.0398, -0.0206, -0.0206, -0.012, -0.0441, 0.0112, 0.0505, 0.0372, -0.0019, 0.0243, 0.0539, 0.0296, 0.0221, -0.0161, -0.0962, -0.066, -0.1057, -0.1176, -0.0809, -0.0837, -0.1196, -0.115, -0.115, -0.1144, -0.1335, -0.1323, -0.1527, -0.1527, -0.1236, -0.0815, -0.1191, -0.0976, -0.0689, -0.1227, -0.0954, -0.0354, 0.0, -0.047, -0.0313, -0.0313, -0.1065, -0.0865, -0.1023, -0.0904, -0.1046, -0.099, -0.1164, -0.2015, -0.1652, -0.2214, -0.2569, -0.2802, -0.4034, -0.2476, -0.228, -0.2584, -0.297, -0.3141, -0.2534, -0.2534, -0.2825, -0.3018, -0.2781, -0.2692, -0.3102, -0.3051, -0.2436, -0.2561, -0.2779, -0.2324, -0.2601, -0.1834, -0.2204, -0.2554, -0.2252, -0.2279, -0.2286, -0.2341, -0.2212, -0.1774, -0.162, -0.2162, -0.2291, -0.2435, -0.2294, -0.2402, -0.2242, -0.2587, -0.2972, -0.3228, -0.3041, -0.3153, -0.3318, -0.3318, -0.288, -0.3101, -0.2846, -0.2814, -0.2827, -0.2619, -0.2338, -0.1996, -0.1695, -0.0714, -0.0475, -0.0857, 0.0002, -0.0383, -0.0463, -0.0565, -0.0759, -0.1179, -0.0774, -0.012, 0.0249, 0.0422, 0.0418, 0.0028, 0.0461, 0.0926, 0.0284, -0.0072, 0.0426, -0.0107, -0.0708, -0.082, -0.0754, -0.0807, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.1082, -0.1401, -0.1544, -0.1129, -0.1648, -0.2412, -0.2943, -0.2786, -0.3284, -0.2907, -0.3475, -0.3568, -0.33, -0.3087, -0.2687, -0.3152, -0.35, -0.3725, -0.3725, -0.3896, -0.421, -0.4751, -0.5242, -0.541, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007701962935206234", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-04T06:33:43+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*$315,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author raises the BTC target to $315K, above the parent's $300K call.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@TheCryptoKazi *$315,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$300,000 for One Bitcoin.\n\nComing soon. https://t.co/oOFzOgu1ei", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheCryptoKazi", "ret_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03532838503642444, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03532838503642444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007582429495505694, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007582429495505694, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "ret_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03946646405527887, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03946646405527887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "ret_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1970131046824748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1970131046824748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "ret_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24376303803799793, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24376303803799793, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19438124445211513, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1970131046824748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1970131046824748, "price_path": [0.3139, 0.2964, 0.2059, 0.2278, 0.2049, 0.18, 0.1524, 0.1341, 0.1779, 0.1555, 0.1471, 0.1724, 0.1827, 0.2156, 0.2032, 0.1723, 0.1536, 0.1669, 0.1349, 0.0821, 0.1066, 0.079, 0.1011, 0.129, 0.0971, 0.0829, 0.0619, 0.0055, -0.0191, -0.0099, -0.0257, -0.0772, -0.0936, -0.0598, -0.0697, -0.0358, -0.0277, -0.0316, -0.0805, -0.027, -0.0038, -0.0185, -0.0479, -0.0345, -0.0127, -0.0198, -0.0146, -0.0385, -0.0795, -0.0643, -0.0824, -0.0897, -0.0616, -0.0574, -0.0689, -0.0668, -0.0708, -0.0701, -0.0718, -0.0581, -0.0679, -0.0549, -0.0419, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0274, -0.0304, -0.0359, -0.0286, 0.0153, 0.0325, 0.0178, 0.0175, -0.0142, -0.0593, -0.048, -0.0471, -0.0466, -0.0598, -0.0509, -0.05, -0.0993, -0.1039, -0.1618, -0.1944, -0.2222, -0.3321, -0.2485, -0.2531, -0.2672, -0.2864, -0.2946, -0.2666, -0.2667, -0.2811, -0.2925, -0.2868, -0.2756, -0.3117, -0.3174, -0.2761, -0.2815, -0.2983, -0.2674, -0.2726, -0.2255, -0.2454, -0.2742, -0.2714, -0.2552, -0.2522, -0.2491, -0.2441, -0.2026, -0.2126, -0.2411, -0.2553, -0.2488, -0.2446, -0.2489, -0.2404, -0.2673, -0.2934, -0.2896, -0.2732, -0.2749, -0.2875, -0.2871, -0.2665, -0.2337, -0.2424, -0.2356, -0.2227, -0.2066, -0.2098, -0.2032, -0.1995, -0.1785, -0.1918, -0.1867, -0.167, -0.1663, -0.175, -0.1759, -0.1867, -0.1929, -0.1872, -0.1673, -0.1497, -0.138, -0.1327, -0.1478, -0.1459, -0.1295, -0.1428, -0.1556, -0.1367, -0.1578, -0.1803, -0.1825, -0.175, -0.1741, -0.1959, -0.1768, -0.1923, -0.2081, -0.2167, -0.2185, -0.2403, -0.2895, -0.3181, -0.3204, -0.3511, -0.328, -0.3434, -0.3455, -0.323, -0.3232, -0.2939, -0.3012, -0.3138, -0.3301, -0.3232, -0.3188, -0.3325, -0.3503, -0.3639, -0.3607, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020172622538109348", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T16:27:40+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "1.5M shares long. Should go to $20+", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 1.5M shares long; targets $20+.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk 1.5M shares long. Should go to $20+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OPEN #OPEN Lower indicators setting up for a potential reversal. https://t.co/QykVlzeodN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.012145737264080192, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012145737264080192, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00734714803339831, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005991916501880801, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006153820762199391, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05060728686320404, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05060728686320404, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04797022909250459, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06457171217864766, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013964425315443618, "ret_p1w": -0.1002024048229665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1002024048229665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08262190179075679, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1297881309369563, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029585726113989796, "ret_p1m": 0.01417007507096324, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01417007507096324, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03833606045644289, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0016877912365149683, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015857866307478208, "ret_p3m": 0.07692309919824747, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07692309919824747, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019818118939928242, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01897206825859632, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05795103093965115, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01417007507096324, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03833606045644289, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0016877912365149683, "price_path": [0.8968, 0.7328, 0.6437, 0.587, 0.5223, 0.3543, 0.247, 0.3664, 0.5567, 0.5668, 0.5749, 0.5749, 0.5587, 0.4453, 0.415, 0.4049, 0.5344, 0.4474, 0.4271, 0.5, 0.417, 0.4271, 0.3279, 0.3097, 0.3623, 0.2389, 0.2713, 0.2874, 0.2996, 0.2692, 0.2713, 0.2713, 0.2166, 0.1802, 0.1822, 0.1802, 0.1802, 0.2287, 0.2794, 0.4028, 0.2389, 0.3016, 0.4757, 0.4211, 0.3704, 0.3441, 0.2753, 0.3502, 0.3502, 0.2935, 0.3117, 0.2996, 0.2166, 0.1883, 0.1761, 0.166, 0.1296, 0.0425, -0.0243, 0.0385, 0.0121, -0.0486, -0.0121, 0.0, -0.0506, -0.0364, -0.1134, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.1235, -0.0628, -0.0587, 0.0121, -0.0324, 0.0344, 0.0081, 0.0951, 0.0972, 0.0223, 0.0061, -0.0121, 0.0486, 0.0121, 0.0283, 0.0142, 0.0668, -0.0202, 0.002, 0.0486, 0.1255, 0.0688, 0.0405, -0.0061, 0.0547, 0.0486, 0.0324, -0.0081, -0.0283, -0.1032, -0.0526, -0.0749, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0668, -0.0789, -0.0607, -0.1275, -0.1255, -0.1174, -0.087, -0.0243, 0.0668, 0.0709, 0.083, 0.1032, 0.0992, 0.0567, 0.1154, 0.0911, 0.1093, 0.1296, 0.0891, 0.1012, 0.0385, 0.0587, 0.1053, 0.0769, 0.0142, -0.0182, -0.0466, -0.0729, -0.0951, -0.1134, -0.1336, -0.1296, -0.1093, -0.0749, -0.083, -0.083, -0.0931, -0.0385, 0.0263, 0.0202, 0.0749, 0.0951, -0.0142, 0.002, -0.1053, -0.1275, -0.1215, -0.0931, -0.0951, -0.1012, -0.0668, -0.0385, -0.0992, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.1336, -0.1498, -0.1336, -0.1296, -0.1154, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002822644643868853", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T19:25:03+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I believe CIFR can trade at $60-80 in 12-18 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CIFR to $60-80 and IREN to $150-200 in 12-18 months on data center build speed, quality, and operating metrics.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Cipher $CIFR is one of the top data center developer-operators on the planet in terms of build speed, quality, costs, and operating metrics. I believe CIFR can trade at $60-80 in 12-18 months. IREN can probably trade to $150-200. This is my personal opinion as an investor, not FA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007956001646343025, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007956001646343025, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017647679673220562, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0025895541454429294, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006191233679020969, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005366447500900096, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026315807904547572, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026315807904547572, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030886300251878218, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03175791337956113, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570492347330646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005442105475013559, "ret_p1w": -0.07711139639630171, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07711139639630171, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08152123922139665, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0820025052882527, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409842825094934, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00489110889195099, "ret_p1m": 0.09669522086606697, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09669522086606697, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10728178246633335, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11956668966447603, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586561600266386, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022871468798409067, "ret_p3m": -0.10403915504222894, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10403915504222894, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06748991036377794, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05767641214772978, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.036549244678451, "bench_c_p3m": -0.046362742894499154, "ret_p6m": 0.6040390966778282, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6040390966778282, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5054026195775978, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3180663906607959, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09863647710023038, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2859727060170323, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09669522086606697, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10728178246633335, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11956668966447603, "price_path": [-0.1346, -0.2864, -0.298, -0.2258, -0.2295, -0.2289, -0.1548, -0.1004, -0.0612, -0.0361, 0.0771, 0.101, 0.0386, 0.2448, 0.2785, 0.287, 0.1457, 0.1481, 0.2185, 0.1062, -0.0141, 0.056, 0.2644, 0.257, 0.2215, 0.1989, 0.1671, 0.1414, 0.3929, 0.3776, 0.5122, 0.3286, 0.2662, 0.2026, 0.1426, 0.0636, -0.0863, -0.1212, -0.1218, -0.1077, -0.1053, -0.1089, -0.134, 0.0226, 0.0722, 0.172, 0.172, 0.2454, 0.205, 0.0796, 0.1401, 0.2136, 0.1799, 0.1922, 0.1971, 0.131, 0.1554, 0.0435, -0.0979, -0.0826, -0.1193, -0.0728, -0.008, 0.0, -0.0263, -0.0073, -0.0073, -0.0704, -0.0771, -0.1071, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0086, 0.1114, 0.0734, -0.0159, 0.0129, 0.0177, 0.082, 0.1169, 0.1095, 0.0722, 0.1506, 0.1506, 0.0967, 0.0845, 0.0643, 0.0753, 0.0092, 0.1475, 0.161, 0.0832, -0.0233, -0.0324, -0.0049, -0.1279, -0.2228, -0.0985, 0.0257, 0.0465, -0.0037, -0.0147, 0.0049, 0.0049, -0.0428, -0.0563, -0.033, -0.1034, -0.0685, 0.0477, 0.0165, 0.0086, -0.0453, -0.0355, -0.0998, -0.0184, -0.0728, -0.1665, -0.1242, -0.1457, -0.1365, -0.161, -0.1383, -0.0734, -0.0765, -0.1022, -0.104, -0.1426, -0.0887, -0.0894, -0.0282, -0.1218, -0.1588, -0.2647, -0.2124, -0.2264, -0.2154, -0.2154, -0.183, -0.1426, -0.0563, 0.0012, 0.0116, 0.0869, 0.1291, 0.1016, 0.0612, 0.1854, 0.1805, 0.104, 0.1897, 0.1438, 0.1138, 0.1114, 0.0563, 0.0355, 0.0857, 0.0428, 0.0949, 0.3525, 0.3409, 0.2659, 0.2576, 0.2411, 0.2277, 0.2999, 0.3641, 0.2442, 0.1701, 0.1506, 0.1922, 0.317, 0.3446, 0.3446, 0.4088, 0.5398, 0.5049, 0.4474, 0.4694, 0.6089, 0.6059, 0.5636, 0.3739, 0.4865, 0.4097, 0.2864, 0.3849, 0.4994, 0.593, 0.604]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002822644643868853", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-21T19:25:03+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN can probably trade to $150-200", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CIFR to $60-80 and IREN to $150-200 in 12-18 months on data center build speed, quality, and operating metrics.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Cipher $CIFR is one of the top data center developer-operators on the planet in terms of build speed, quality, costs, and operating metrics. I believe CIFR can trade at $60-80 in 12-18 months. IREN can probably trade to $150-200. This is my personal opinion as an investor, not FA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05042822788804968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05042822788804968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04423699420902871, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038298743034169136, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006191233679020969, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129484853880546, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007135770371926586, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007135770371926586, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003856915310137987, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012748380176716978, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570492347330646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019884150548643564, "ret_p1w": -0.06255949121884652, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06255949121884652, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06696933404394145, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06255949121884652, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409842825094934, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": 0.2906754790648076, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2906754790648076, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.301262040665074, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3289979573082584, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586561600266386, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247824345081, "ret_p3m": -0.009039035676492668, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009039035676492668, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02751020900195833, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10538615462375889, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.036549244678451, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442519030025156, "ret_p6m": 0.4077069223687346, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4077069223687346, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30907044526850425, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4201910640144423, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09863647710023038, "bench_c_p6m": -0.012484141645707658, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2906754790648076, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.301262040665074, "alpha_c_stated": 0.3289979573082584, "price_path": [0.1213, 0.1011, -0.0043, 0.0925, 0.1163, 0.1199, 0.1185, 0.2003, 0.3737, 0.4672, 0.4294, 0.5188, 0.4217, 0.5257, 0.6546, 0.617, 0.4707, 0.4443, 0.4087, 0.3129, 0.2329, 0.3287, 0.4962, 0.5459, 0.4848, 0.4372, 0.3849, 0.4451, 0.6116, 0.5849, 0.8176, 0.5928, 0.4838, 0.4313, 0.3649, 0.3249, 0.1572, 0.103, 0.1277, 0.162, 0.0902, 0.034, 0.0052, 0.1534, 0.1292, 0.1525, 0.1525, 0.1373, 0.1534, -0.0219, 0.0457, 0.1049, 0.0635, 0.1023, 0.1142, 0.0447, 0.0452, -0.0454, -0.156, -0.1296, -0.1965, -0.1484, -0.0504, 0.0, 0.0007, -0.0014, -0.0014, -0.0414, -0.0626, -0.089, -0.1016, -0.1016, 0.0157, 0.1475, 0.0921, 0.0377, 0.0866, 0.0949, 0.1972, 0.2605, 0.2578, 0.2343, 0.3754, 0.3754, 0.2907, 0.2721, 0.2431, 0.3482, 0.2455, 0.427, 0.4971, 0.4234, 0.2783, 0.2626, 0.2938, 0.069, -0.0535, -0.005, 0.0978, 0.0212, 0.015, -0.0478, 0.0043, 0.0043, -0.0255, 0.001, 0.0297, -0.049, 0.0076, 0.0811, 0.0473, 0.0523, -0.0259, -0.0155, -0.0759, 0.0428, -0.0456, -0.127, -0.0761, -0.0932, -0.0014, -0.0159, -0.0109, 0.069, 0.0219, 0.004, -0.009, -0.0178, 0.0029, -0.0219, -0.0145, -0.1092, -0.1653, -0.2479, -0.1846, -0.1891, -0.1729, -0.1729, -0.1644, -0.1499, -0.1239, -0.1185, -0.0647, 0.0245, 0.1268, 0.1613, 0.1346, 0.1446, 0.1589, 0.0745, 0.151, 0.2374, 0.2046, 0.1503, 0.0571, 0.0195, 0.0825, 0.0861, 0.177, 0.3021, 0.4505, 0.3523, 0.4558, 0.3118, 0.3454, 0.3123, 0.3892, 0.2593, 0.2003, 0.1356, 0.2538, 0.3811, 0.3518, 0.3518, 0.422, 0.6137, 0.5235, 0.5114, 0.554, 0.5842, 0.5576, 0.4715, 0.2928, 0.4079, 0.285, 0.2255, 0.349, 0.4217, 0.4474, 0.4077]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989318799355420812", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T13:05:36+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still holding 1.66M shares. Still focused on a 2-3 year minimum timeframe as always.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still holding 1.66M shares of ASST with a 2-3 year minimum horizon; long-term thesis intact despite market volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No change in ASST. Still holding 1.66M shares. Still focused on a 2-3 year minimum timeframe as always. Lots of emotional people running around right now that shouldn’t be in stocks or Bitcoin. Has nothing to do with the longer term thesis. Stay focused. https://t.co/L4qqLmlnXj", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0648147960095089, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0648147960095089, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06465094479337385, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05470997420966062, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010104821799848285, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.037037089364844955, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037037089364844955, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02772074184932949, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017971298960299475, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01906579040454548, "ret_p1w": -0.05555558989567955, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05555558989567955, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03635724639575533, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04068424687819361, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014871343017485938, "ret_p1m": -0.2694444697089642, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2694444697089642, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.282541210068074, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3178714654394279, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04842699573046372, "ret_p3m": -0.6254629625132708, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6254629625132708, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6583157266713806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6345063815992764, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009043419086005589, "ret_p6m": -0.168981460836526, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.168981460836526, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2755098464798257, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15321170203878354, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01576975879774245, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [2.6019, 2.7037, 2.8241, 3.0926, 3.4444, 4.1759, 4.4722, 5.1944, 4.6944, 4.6944, 4.9815, 5.0278, 4.1019, 3.2037, 3.9352, 4.8148, 6.4907, 7.25, 6.8611, 4.7593, 3.1481, 2.4074, 2.537, 2.9815, 2.7963, 2.1019, 1.787, 1.5463, 1.2593, 1.1296, 1.3148, 1.3241, 1.463, 1.4074, 1.3426, 0.9444, 0.8426, 0.6759, 0.4398, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1111, -0.1667, -0.2278, -0.2, -0.2315, -0.2778, -0.2, 0.0185, 0.5185, 0.3333, 0.1574, 0.1204, 0.2315, 0.1759, 0.1574, 0.3519, 0.3426, 0.3981, 0.3704, 0.2593, 0.1944, 0.0648, 0.0, -0.037, 0.037, -0.0278, -0.0898, -0.0556, 0.0463, 0.0278, 0.0463, 0.0463, 0.037, -0.0278, -0.0417, -0.0278, -0.0954, -0.1657, -0.088, -0.0556, -0.0741, -0.1463, -0.2009, -0.2694, -0.2037, -0.2398, -0.2306, -0.1676, -0.1981, -0.2546, -0.2019, -0.2019, -0.2454, -0.2843, -0.3222, -0.3167, -0.3167, -0.1991, -0.0463, -0.037, -0.0556, -0.0648, -0.1241, 0.0185, -0.1019, -0.0463, -0.1009, -0.1222, -0.1222, -0.1806, -0.1741, -0.1944, -0.1935, -0.2722, -0.2417, -0.2583, -0.2731, -0.2398, -0.3306, -0.3685, -0.4519, -0.5435, -0.4484, -0.5303, -0.575, -0.6255, -0.6435, -0.6144, -0.6144, -0.6213, -0.6273, -0.6241, -0.6227, -0.6593, -0.6683, -0.6046, -0.6208, -0.6324, -0.5958, -0.6144, -0.5546, -0.5718, -0.5972, -0.606, -0.5843, -0.5727, -0.5912, -0.5588, -0.4972, -0.4861, -0.5354, -0.525, -0.5361, -0.5167, -0.5403, -0.4977, -0.5181, -0.5438, -0.5662, -0.5361, -0.5296, -0.5486, -0.5486, -0.5315, -0.5711, -0.5255, -0.5537, -0.5079, -0.4639, -0.4245, -0.3736, -0.3528, -0.2773, -0.2769, -0.2912, -0.2287, -0.25, -0.2685, -0.2736, -0.2926, -0.3329, -0.2889, -0.2449, -0.2428, -0.2356, -0.2463, -0.2843, -0.263, -0.169]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021387083877859797", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T00:53:31+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$42-55", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Endorses bullish CIFR setup ahead of earnings with a $42–55 price target range.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@TheBronxViking $42-55", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Hell of a setup for $CIFR ahead of earnings next week.\n\nIf it finally breaks this 3.5 month bull flag its running to $50 minimum https://t.co/eSa3zEzbAG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBronxViking", "ret_m1d": 0.05036852949870352, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05036852949870352, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05013735392524499, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05330618734512149, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002311755734585308, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029376578464179737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011056529335618293, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011056529335618293, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004392330362267938, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015242665841564529, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01544885969788623, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02629919517718282, "ret_p1w": -0.052825588088397435, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.052825588088397435, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.044631402734890746, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03841696371210679, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194185353506689, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014408624376290646, "ret_p1m": -0.15786244103826774, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15786244103826774, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1204324820495416, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12198071252544074, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03742995898872614, "bench_c_p1m": -0.035881728512827005, "ret_p3m": 0.24570023533728724, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24570023533728724, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17436807257230313, "alpha_c_p3m": -2.37489304413252e-05, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133216276498411, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24572398426772857, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15786244103826774, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1204324820495416, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12198071252544074, "price_path": [-0.1179, -0.1186, -0.1044, -0.102, -0.1057, -0.1308, 0.0264, 0.0762, 0.1763, 0.1763, 0.25, 0.2095, 0.0835, 0.1443, 0.2181, 0.1843, 0.1966, 0.2015, 0.1351, 0.1597, 0.0473, -0.0946, -0.0792, -0.1161, -0.0694, -0.0043, 0.0037, -0.0227, -0.0037, -0.0037, -0.067, -0.0737, -0.1038, -0.0934, -0.0934, -0.0049, 0.1155, 0.0774, -0.0123, 0.0166, 0.0215, 0.086, 0.121, 0.1136, 0.0762, 0.1548, 0.1548, 0.1007, 0.0885, 0.0682, 0.0792, 0.0129, 0.1517, 0.1652, 0.0872, -0.0197, -0.0289, -0.0012, -0.1247, -0.2199, -0.0952, 0.0295, 0.0504, 0.0, -0.0111, 0.0086, 0.0086, -0.0393, -0.0528, -0.0295, -0.1001, -0.0651, 0.0516, 0.0203, 0.0123, -0.0418, -0.0319, -0.0964, -0.0147, -0.0694, -0.1634, -0.121, -0.1425, -0.1333, -0.1579, -0.1351, -0.07, -0.0731, -0.0989, -0.1007, -0.1394, -0.0854, -0.086, -0.0246, -0.1186, -0.1557, -0.262, -0.2095, -0.2236, -0.2125, -0.2125, -0.18, -0.1394, -0.0528, 0.0049, 0.0154, 0.0909, 0.1333, 0.1057, 0.0651, 0.1898, 0.1849, 0.1081, 0.1941, 0.148, 0.1179, 0.1155, 0.0602, 0.0393, 0.0897, 0.0467, 0.0989, 0.3575, 0.3458, 0.2706, 0.2623, 0.2457, 0.2322, 0.3047, 0.3692, 0.2488, 0.1744, 0.1548, 0.1966, 0.3219, 0.3495, 0.3495, 0.414, 0.5455, 0.5104, 0.4527, 0.4748, 0.6149, 0.6118, 0.5694, 0.379, 0.492, 0.4149, 0.2912, 0.39, 0.5049, 0.5989, 0.61, 0.6186, 0.7924, 0.7924, 0.7285, 0.6978, 0.6106, 0.5774, 0.5934, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1991192920083583074", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T17:12:41+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased another 100,000 shares of ASST at $1.05 and $1.06. Now holding 1.76M shares and looking to add on further weakness.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added 100K shares of ASST; holding 1.76M shares and willing to buy more on weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased another 100,000 shares of ASST at $1.05 and $1.06. Now holding 1.76M shares and looking to add on further weakness. https://t.co/24Lr9yyxI1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06666664850144155, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06666664850144155, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07051495844363331, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07035184895807389, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483099421917633, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036852004566323426, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06380953107561382, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06380953107561382, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.048567303758965785, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05508172427986757, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242227316648038, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008727806795746251, "ret_p1w": 0.07619049435570124, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07619049435570124, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05045968138861667, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04923161672951859, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02573081296708457, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026958877626182653, "ret_p1m": -0.20857138860793345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20857138860793345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22945772954092658, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2663681524612467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088634093299313, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05779676385331323, "ret_p3m": -0.6033333369663784, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6033333369663784, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6352281698886532, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6085799361127239, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894832922274796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00524659914634551, "ret_p6m": -0.1566667102632069, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1566667102632069, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.292187383737879, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16003813323735017, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13552067347467212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.003371422974143279, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.20857138860793345, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22945772954092658, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2663681524612467, "price_path": [3.2095, 3.5714, 4.3238, 4.6286, 5.3714, 4.8571, 4.8571, 5.1524, 5.2, 4.2476, 3.3238, 4.0762, 4.981, 6.7048, 7.4857, 7.0857, 4.9238, 3.2667, 2.5048, 2.6381, 3.0952, 2.9048, 2.1905, 1.8667, 1.619, 1.3238, 1.1905, 1.381, 1.3905, 1.5333, 1.4762, 1.4095, 1.0, 0.8952, 0.7238, 0.481, 0.0286, -0.0505, -0.0857, -0.1429, -0.2057, -0.1771, -0.2095, -0.2571, -0.1771, 0.0476, 0.5619, 0.3714, 0.1905, 0.1524, 0.2667, 0.2095, 0.1905, 0.3905, 0.381, 0.4381, 0.4095, 0.2952, 0.2286, 0.0952, 0.0286, -0.0095, 0.0667, 0.0, -0.0638, -0.0286, 0.0762, 0.0571, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0667, 0.0, -0.0143, 0.0, -0.0695, -0.1419, -0.0619, -0.0286, -0.0476, -0.1219, -0.1781, -0.2486, -0.181, -0.2181, -0.2086, -0.1438, -0.1752, -0.2333, -0.179, -0.179, -0.2238, -0.2638, -0.3029, -0.2971, -0.2971, -0.1762, -0.019, -0.0095, -0.0286, -0.0381, -0.099, 0.0476, -0.0762, -0.019, -0.0752, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.1571, -0.1505, -0.1714, -0.1705, -0.2514, -0.22, -0.2371, -0.2524, -0.2181, -0.3114, -0.3505, -0.4362, -0.5305, -0.4326, -0.5169, -0.5629, -0.6148, -0.6333, -0.6033, -0.6033, -0.6105, -0.6167, -0.6133, -0.6119, -0.6495, -0.6588, -0.5933, -0.61, -0.6219, -0.5843, -0.6033, -0.5419, -0.5595, -0.5857, -0.5948, -0.5724, -0.5605, -0.5795, -0.5462, -0.4829, -0.4714, -0.5221, -0.5114, -0.5229, -0.5029, -0.5271, -0.4833, -0.5043, -0.5307, -0.5538, -0.5229, -0.5162, -0.5357, -0.5357, -0.5181, -0.5588, -0.5119, -0.541, -0.4938, -0.4486, -0.4081, -0.3557, -0.3343, -0.2567, -0.2562, -0.271, -0.2067, -0.2286, -0.2476, -0.2529, -0.2724, -0.3138, -0.2686, -0.2233, -0.2212, -0.2138, -0.2248, -0.2638, -0.2419, -0.1452, -0.1871, -0.2029, -0.1567]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1992668859191755014", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-23T18:57:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Global liquidity factors are heading sharply higher. Ignore the noise.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: the dip was a fakeout; rising global liquidity supports higher prices from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This dip was so tricky that it didn’t just trick the kid analysts and chart squigglers who are always fooled. It also tricked seasoned vets who still don’t understand that Bitcoin is now a global macro asset. Global liquidity factors are heading sharply higher. Ignore the noise.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "ret_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "ret_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "price_path": [0.26, 0.275, 0.2282, 0.2377, 0.2598, 0.2657, 0.2544, 0.2535, 0.2696, 0.2635, 0.291, 0.3086, 0.3153, 0.3079, 0.3237, 0.3194, 0.327, 0.3106, 0.2773, 0.269, 0.2839, 0.2354, 0.2429, 0.296, 0.2921, 0.3442, 0.3672, 0.3851, 0.4133, 0.3759, 0.3975, 0.3788, 0.2826, 0.3059, 0.2815, 0.255, 0.2256, 0.2062, 0.2528, 0.2289, 0.22, 0.247, 0.2579, 0.2928, 0.2797, 0.2468, 0.227, 0.2411, 0.2071, 0.1509, 0.177, 0.1476, 0.1711, 0.2008, 0.1668, 0.1517, 0.1295, 0.0694, 0.0433, 0.053, 0.0362, -0.0186, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0255, 0.0342, 0.03, -0.0221, 0.0349, 0.0596, 0.0439, 0.0127, 0.0268, 0.0501, 0.0425, 0.048, 0.0227, -0.021, -0.0048, -0.0241, -0.0318, -0.0019, 0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0075, -0.0117, -0.011, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0086, 0.0052, 0.019, 0.0636, 0.0618, 0.0344, 0.0312, 0.0254, 0.0331, 0.0799, 0.0981, 0.0825, 0.0822, 0.0485, 0.0005, 0.0125, 0.0135, 0.014, -0.0, 0.0094, 0.0104, -0.042, -0.0469, -0.1086, -0.1432, -0.1728, -0.2897, -0.2007, -0.2056, -0.2206, -0.2411, -0.2498, -0.2199, -0.2201, -0.2354, -0.2475, -0.2415, -0.2296, -0.268, -0.274, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.2536, -0.2209, -0.2263, -0.1763, -0.1975, -0.2281, -0.2251, -0.2078, -0.2047, -0.2014, -0.196, -0.1519, -0.1625, -0.1929, -0.208, -0.2011, -0.1966, -0.2011, -0.1921, -0.2207, -0.2485, -0.2445, -0.227, -0.2288, -0.2422, -0.2418, -0.2199, -0.185, -0.1943, -0.187, -0.1732, -0.1562, -0.1596, -0.1525, -0.1486, -0.1262, -0.1405, -0.135, -0.1141, -0.1133, -0.1225, -0.1235, -0.135, -0.1415, -0.1356, -0.1143, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0775, -0.0936, -0.0916, -0.0741, -0.0883, -0.1019, -0.0818, -0.1043, -0.1282, -0.1305]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990536650989187099", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T21:44:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "Today I sold all my Bitcoin and bought gold", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastic post mocking gold vs BTC; actual stance is bullish BTC, bearish gold.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Guys, bad news. Today I sold all my Bitcoin and bought gold. Gold is faster, cheaper, easier to verify, harder to mine, more scarce, easy to transport, and shinier. Also, my wife likes it. It was a no brainer. I should have done this sooner. I feel so much better already. Join me", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025017017282636944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025017017282636944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01654834783540804, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01654834783540804, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009284005043766586, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009284005043766586, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005420828400489963, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005420828400489963, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "ret_p1w": -0.04151538308057945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04151538308057945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0641490335531556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0641490335531556, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02263365047257615, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02263365047257615, "ret_p1m": -0.04614737543620573, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04614737543620573, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06329681798119602, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06329681798119602, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "ret_p3m": -0.28093107440641407, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28093107440641407, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3168122993455519, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3168122993455519, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "ret_p6m": -0.12613632353400261, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12613632353400261, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2571154089020392, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2571154089020392, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04614737543620573, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06329681798119602, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06329681798119602, "price_path": [0.2409, 0.2207, 0.2691, 0.1958, 0.214, 0.2077, 0.2221, 0.1772, 0.1863, 0.2075, 0.2131, 0.2023, 0.2015, 0.2169, 0.2111, 0.2374, 0.2542, 0.2607, 0.2536, 0.2687, 0.2647, 0.2719, 0.2562, 0.2243, 0.2163, 0.2306, 0.1841, 0.1913, 0.2422, 0.2385, 0.2883, 0.3104, 0.3276, 0.3546, 0.3188, 0.3394, 0.3215, 0.2293, 0.2517, 0.2283, 0.2029, 0.1747, 0.1561, 0.2008, 0.1779, 0.1693, 0.1952, 0.2057, 0.2392, 0.2265, 0.195, 0.176, 0.1896, 0.1569, 0.1031, 0.1281, 0.1, 0.1225, 0.151, 0.1184, 0.1039, 0.0826, 0.025, 0.0, 0.0093, -0.0068, -0.0593, -0.076, -0.0415, -0.0516, -0.0171, -0.0088, -0.0128, -0.0627, -0.0081, 0.0156, 0.0005, -0.0294, -0.0158, 0.0065, -0.0008, 0.0045, -0.0198, -0.0616, -0.0461, -0.0646, -0.072, -0.0433, -0.0391, -0.0508, -0.0487, -0.0528, -0.052, -0.0538, -0.0398, -0.0498, -0.0365, -0.0233, 0.0194, 0.0178, -0.0085, -0.0116, -0.0172, -0.0098, 0.0351, 0.0525, 0.0375, 0.0373, 0.005, -0.0411, -0.0295, -0.0286, -0.0281, -0.0416, -0.0325, -0.0316, -0.0818, -0.0865, -0.1456, -0.1787, -0.2071, -0.3192, -0.2339, -0.2386, -0.253, -0.2726, -0.2809, -0.2523, -0.2525, -0.2671, -0.2787, -0.2729, -0.2616, -0.2984, -0.3042, -0.2621, -0.2676, -0.2846, -0.2532, -0.2584, -0.2105, -0.2308, -0.2601, -0.2573, -0.2407, -0.2377, -0.2345, -0.2294, -0.1871, -0.1973, -0.2264, -0.2409, -0.2342, -0.23, -0.2343, -0.2257, -0.253, -0.2797, -0.2758, -0.2591, -0.2608, -0.2737, -0.2732, -0.2523, -0.2188, -0.2277, -0.2207, -0.2076, -0.1912, -0.1945, -0.1877, -0.184, -0.1625, -0.1761, -0.1709, -0.1508, -0.1501, -0.159, -0.1599, -0.1709, -0.1772, -0.1715, -0.1511, -0.1332, -0.1213, -0.1158, -0.1312, -0.1293, -0.1126, -0.1261]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010477807676395848", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-11T22:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long STZ, DEO, BFA, BUD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long alcohol majors STZ, DEO, BF-A, BUD on thesis that booze demand is recovering.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ZachCPG Long STZ, DEO, BFA, BUD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Booze is coming back. For the bravest CPG entrepreneurs, it is one of the most interesting places to look in 2026 and beyond.\n\nI firmly believe the “decline in drinking” among the early 20s crowd has way more to do with the cost of going out than not wanting to drink. \n\nSurging", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ZachCPG", "ret_m1d": -0.031748157347990524, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031748157347990524, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030180186740113246, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030180186740113246, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008826134588699963, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008826134588699963, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010825641354081816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010825641354081816, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.03174805551306781, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03174805551306781, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03678287939529734, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03678287939529734, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": 0.09806336454030595, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09806336454030595, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10243645257209333, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10243645257209333, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": 0.08109155631664722, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08109155631664722, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10035789365417236, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10035789365417236, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09806336454030595, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10243645257209333, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10243645257209333, "price_path": [-0.0923, -0.0895, -0.0824, -0.077, -0.0748, -0.0837, -0.0869, -0.0875, -0.0984, -0.123, -0.144, -0.1511, -0.1346, -0.1383, -0.1491, -0.1396, -0.1572, -0.1592, -0.1538, -0.1318, -0.1412, -0.1458, -0.1493, -0.1374, -0.1402, -0.1485, -0.1408, -0.1196, -0.1298, -0.1294, -0.1115, -0.1115, -0.1017, -0.0919, -0.092, -0.0905, -0.0908, -0.0622, -0.0647, -0.0557, -0.0218, -0.015, -0.029, -0.055, -0.0608, -0.0797, -0.0989, -0.1107, -0.0664, -0.0829, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0877, -0.077, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.0701, -0.0613, -0.0538, -0.0746, -0.0254, -0.0317, 0.0, 0.0088, 0.0299, 0.0456, 0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0779, 0.0761, 0.0586, 0.0458, 0.0641, 0.0621, 0.039, 0.0259, 0.0389, 0.032, 0.0648, 0.105, 0.0977, 0.0894, 0.0847, 0.0981, 0.082, 0.0764, -0.0102, -0.0102, 0.0123, 0.0361, 0.0252, 0.0369, 0.0569, 0.0612, 0.0284, 0.0326, 0.0466, 0.0379, 0.0344, 0.0027, -0.0235, -0.029, -0.0125, -0.005, -0.0058, -0.0167, -0.0046, 0.0012, 0.0054, 0.0083, 0.0071, -0.0081, 0.0108, 0.0122, 0.0048, -0.0028, 0.0037, 0.0011, -0.0056, 0.0017, 0.0024, 0.0024, 0.0292, 0.0198, -0.0038, 0.0811, 0.1015, 0.0912, 0.0906, 0.0869, 0.0889, 0.0759, 0.0595, 0.0405, 0.0401, 0.0562, 0.0342, 0.0281, 0.0302, 0.0037, 0.045, 0.0199, -0.0113, -0.0003, 0.0164, 0.0027, -0.0109, -0.0496, -0.0488, -0.0622, -0.0616, -0.05, -0.0151, -0.0225, 0.009, 0.0066, -0.0023, -0.0023, -0.0147, -0.0408, -0.0514, -0.0735, -0.0907, -0.0873, -0.0964, -0.0805, -0.0596, -0.06, -0.0651, -0.0505, -0.0448, -0.0089, -0.0114, -0.0382, -0.0726, -0.0578, -0.0578, -0.0556, -0.0431, -0.0455, -0.036, -0.0236, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010477807676395848", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-11T22:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long STZ, DEO, BFA, BUD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long alcohol majors STZ, DEO, BF-A, BUD on thesis that booze demand is recovering.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ZachCPG Long STZ, DEO, BFA, BUD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Booze is coming back. For the bravest CPG entrepreneurs, it is one of the most interesting places to look in 2026 and beyond.\n\nI firmly believe the “decline in drinking” among the early 20s crowd has way more to do with the cost of going out than not wanting to drink. \n\nSurging", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ZachCPG", "ret_m1d": -0.027065653885828267, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027065653885828267, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02549768327795099, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02549768327795099, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010562179510333225, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010562179510333225, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008562672744951372, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008562672744951372, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": -0.025635357860591235, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025635357860591235, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0206005339783617, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0206005339783617, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": 0.09010898874365769, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09010898874365769, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09448207677544507, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09448207677544507, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.13598851693335168, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13598851693335168, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11672217959582654, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11672217959582654, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09010898874365769, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09448207677544507, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09448207677544507, "price_path": [0.0209, 0.0579, 0.0742, 0.0779, 0.0777, 0.0762, 0.0658, 0.0588, 0.0479, 0.0348, 0.009, 0.0012, 0.0132, 0.0283, 0.0239, 0.0331, -0.0399, -0.001, 0.0458, 0.0709, 0.0671, 0.0568, 0.0408, 0.0231, 0.0035, -0.0244, -0.0238, 0.0122, -0.0012, 0.0031, -0.0028, -0.0028, 0.0079, 0.0161, 0.0096, 0.0129, -0.0154, -0.0267, -0.0325, -0.0604, -0.053, -0.0341, -0.0198, -0.0217, -0.0165, -0.012, -0.0275, -0.019, -0.0442, -0.0602, -0.0575, -0.0575, -0.0503, -0.0509, -0.0472, -0.0508, -0.0508, -0.0418, -0.0147, -0.0262, -0.0635, -0.0433, -0.0271, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.0053, -0.0169, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0216, -0.0001, 0.0032, 0.0066, -0.0122, -0.0233, -0.0235, 0.0017, 0.021, 0.0121, 0.0244, 0.0701, 0.0683, 0.0659, 0.0683, 0.0901, 0.1091, 0.1008, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.0612, 0.0471, 0.0615, 0.1043, 0.0989, 0.1238, -0.0522, -0.0591, -0.0153, -0.048, -0.0745, -0.0949, -0.0944, -0.1, -0.097, -0.105, -0.1233, -0.1556, -0.1488, -0.1539, -0.1549, -0.1727, -0.1792, -0.1873, -0.1844, -0.2027, -0.1853, -0.1887, -0.1851, -0.1919, -0.1809, -0.1789, -0.1933, -0.1933, -0.1755, -0.1845, -0.1518, -0.136, -0.1479, -0.1281, -0.1143, -0.1236, -0.1194, -0.09, -0.0869, -0.0931, -0.1115, -0.1179, -0.1188, -0.122, -0.1226, -0.1398, -0.1037, -0.1143, -0.1275, -0.1072, -0.0597, -0.0728, -0.0631, -0.0886, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1045, -0.0921, -0.0689, -0.0633, -0.054, -0.0445, -0.0428, -0.0428, -0.0553, -0.038, -0.0599, -0.0836, -0.1124, -0.1189, -0.1257, -0.1227, -0.1062, -0.1083, -0.1064, -0.1134, -0.0985, -0.091, -0.1077, -0.1049, -0.1238, -0.1059, -0.1059, -0.1155, -0.086, -0.0779, -0.0819, -0.0719, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010477807676395848", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-11T22:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "BF-A", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long STZ, DEO, BFA, BUD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long alcohol majors STZ, DEO, BF-A, BUD on thesis that booze demand is recovering.", "resolved_tickers": ["BF-A"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ZachCPG Long STZ, DEO, BFA, BUD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Booze is coming back. For the bravest CPG entrepreneurs, it is one of the most interesting places to look in 2026 and beyond.\n\nI firmly believe the “decline in drinking” among the early 20s crowd has way more to do with the cost of going out than not wanting to drink. \n\nSurging", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ZachCPG", "ret_m1d": -0.026815771460497517, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026815771460497517, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02524780085262024, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02524780085262024, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005959092456231163, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005959092456231163, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00395958569084931, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00395958569084931, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": -0.008566168294730447, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008566168294730447, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003531344412500914, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003531344412500914, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": 0.12923645305239195, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12923645305239195, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13360954108417933, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13360954108417933, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": 0.14246883958411716, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14246883958411716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1617351769216423, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1617351769216423, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12923645305239195, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13360954108417933, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13360954108417933, "price_path": [-0.0012, 0.0476, 0.0539, 0.0628, 0.0557, 0.0232, 0.0247, 0.0199, 0.0402, 0.0362, -0.0145, -0.0167, 0.0022, 0.0059, 0.0029, -0.0108, -0.0241, -0.0167, 0.0018, 0.0284, 0.0096, 0.0332, 0.0258, 0.014, 0.0177, -0.0008, 0.0184, 0.0343, 0.0365, 0.0461, 0.0465, 0.0465, 0.0535, 0.0787, 0.0805, 0.0912, 0.0923, 0.1266, 0.1169, 0.1013, 0.1173, 0.1363, 0.1274, 0.1155, 0.1173, 0.0629, 0.0596, 0.0525, 0.0339, -0.0067, -0.0045, -0.0045, -0.0264, -0.0279, -0.0119, -0.0201, -0.0201, -0.0235, -0.0317, -0.0223, -0.0492, -0.0369, -0.0268, 0.0, -0.006, 0.0194, 0.0298, -0.0086, -0.0086, 0.0231, 0.0488, 0.0514, 0.0376, 0.0313, 0.0104, -0.0037, 0.0175, 0.0365, 0.0272, 0.0655, 0.1073, 0.0957, 0.111, 0.1162, 0.1292, 0.1389, 0.1486, 0.1255, 0.1255, 0.0968, 0.1106, 0.1143, 0.13, 0.1434, 0.1497, 0.0678, 0.0823, 0.0935, 0.0909, 0.0611, -0.0004, -0.0056, -0.0413, -0.0447, -0.0308, -0.0729, -0.1138, -0.1037, -0.1168, -0.1153, -0.1274, -0.1135, -0.1232, -0.1217, -0.1281, -0.1029, -0.0233, 0.0218, 0.0121, 0.0068, 0.0094, 0.0181, 0.0181, 0.02, 0.0027, 0.0252, 0.1425, 0.1162, 0.112, 0.115, 0.1304, 0.1192, 0.1173, 0.1218, 0.1038, 0.0891, 0.0872, 0.0861, 0.0568, 0.0673, -0.0454, -0.0124, -0.0161, -0.0545, 0.0091, 0.0354, 0.0598, 0.0658, 0.032, 0.0278, 0.0154, 0.0098, 0.0282, 0.0192, 0.003, -0.0067, 0.0091, 0.0143, 0.0143, -0.0176, 0.0042, 0.0049, 0.0045, -0.0274, -0.0308, -0.0402, -0.0116, 0.003, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0177, 0.0333, 0.0386, 0.0291, 0.012, -0.0327, 0.0098, 0.0098, 0.0344, 0.0329, 0.064, 0.0666, 0.0848, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010477807676395848", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-11T22:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "BUD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long STZ, DEO, BFA, BUD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long alcohol majors STZ, DEO, BF-A, BUD on thesis that booze demand is recovering.", "resolved_tickers": ["BUD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ZachCPG Long STZ, DEO, BFA, BUD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Booze is coming back. For the bravest CPG entrepreneurs, it is one of the most interesting places to look in 2026 and beyond.\n\nI firmly believe the “decline in drinking” among the early 20s crowd has way more to do with the cost of going out than not wanting to drink. \n\nSurging", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ZachCPG", "ret_m1d": -0.01288583967186141, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01288583967186141, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011317869063984132, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011317869063984132, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017230966201890352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017230966201890352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019230472967272205, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019230472967272205, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.027419866789980096, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027419866789980096, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03245469067220963, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03245469067220963, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": 0.134551934784354, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.134551934784354, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13892502281614139, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13892502281614139, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": 0.1266107734636137, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1266107734636137, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14587711080113885, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14587711080113885, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.134551934784354, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13892502281614139, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13892502281614139, "price_path": [-0.0971, -0.0779, -0.0689, -0.0704, -0.0734, -0.074, -0.0772, -0.0817, -0.0766, -0.0739, -0.0794, -0.1008, -0.0875, -0.0838, -0.0725, -0.0581, -0.0578, -0.0518, -0.0508, -0.0297, -0.0328, -0.0324, -0.0436, -0.0692, -0.0836, -0.0907, -0.0896, -0.064, -0.065, -0.0628, -0.0733, -0.0733, -0.0781, -0.0701, -0.0764, -0.0772, -0.0865, -0.0836, -0.0933, -0.0944, -0.0673, -0.0503, -0.045, -0.0264, -0.0328, -0.0219, -0.0328, -0.0337, -0.0502, -0.0418, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0375, -0.0364, -0.0319, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0454, -0.052, -0.0448, -0.0539, -0.0312, -0.0129, 0.0, 0.0172, 0.0307, 0.0297, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0322, 0.0378, 0.0438, 0.047, 0.0399, 0.0526, 0.0461, 0.068, 0.074, 0.0856, 0.1017, 0.116, 0.1236, 0.1359, 0.1393, 0.1346, 0.1576, 0.2017, 0.2045, 0.2045, 0.188, 0.182, 0.1803, 0.1765, 0.1987, 0.2086, 0.1776, 0.1909, 0.2129, 0.1794, 0.1471, 0.1326, 0.1044, 0.1035, 0.0962, 0.096, 0.0887, 0.0779, 0.0847, 0.0927, 0.0868, 0.0478, 0.0379, 0.0111, 0.0271, 0.0198, 0.0369, 0.018, 0.0124, 0.0223, 0.0394, 0.0604, 0.0683, 0.0683, 0.0868, 0.0721, 0.1146, 0.1266, 0.1347, 0.1335, 0.1326, 0.1278, 0.1299, 0.1352, 0.1245, 0.0905, 0.0812, 0.0821, 0.0874, 0.0984, 0.1151, 0.0909, 0.132, 0.1322, 0.1074, 0.2042, 0.23, 0.2024, 0.2148, 0.2143, 0.2136, 0.2188, 0.2277, 0.2305, 0.2365, 0.2455, 0.2546, 0.2676, 0.2689, 0.2689, 0.2539, 0.2767, 0.2466, 0.2163, 0.2168, 0.2253, 0.2019, 0.1848, 0.1937, 0.1961, 0.232, 0.2356, 0.251, 0.2607, 0.239, 0.2522, 0.2268, 0.2277, 0.2277, 0.2291, 0.2619, 0.2838, 0.2785, 0.2939, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020197833601913004", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T18:07:51+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$42-$55 soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR, targeting $42–$55 soon, far above the parent's near-term $15.75–$16.50 retest range.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk $42-$55 soon", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR #CIFR A big breakdown through the trend zone this week. The logical move into Monday-Tuesday would be a move back up to test this trend zone ranging from $15.75 up to $16.50. https://t.co/ZSCbCJVkFf", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.12112175769229938, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12112175769229938, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1163231684616175, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10563520742871457, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015486550263584808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020286405008633768, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020286405008633768, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022923462779333215, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02586711596481106, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005580710956177293, "ret_p1w": -0.020286405008633657, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020286405008633657, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0027059019764239522, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00615242788748116, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026438832896114817, "ret_p1m": -0.1670644482396686, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1670644482396686, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14289846285418895, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1420207664066695, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0250436818329991, "ret_p3m": 0.2341884954331177, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2341884954331177, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17708351517479848, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.048970587775579055, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18521790765753865, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1670644482396686, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14289846285418895, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1420207664066695, "price_path": [0.037, -0.1092, -0.1432, -0.1438, -0.1301, -0.1277, -0.1313, -0.1557, -0.003, 0.0453, 0.1426, 0.1426, 0.2142, 0.1748, 0.0525, 0.1116, 0.1832, 0.1504, 0.1623, 0.1671, 0.1026, 0.1265, 0.0173, -0.1205, -0.1056, -0.1414, -0.0961, -0.0328, -0.0251, -0.0507, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0937, -0.1002, -0.1295, -0.1193, -0.1193, -0.0334, 0.0835, 0.0465, -0.0406, -0.0125, -0.0078, 0.0549, 0.0889, 0.0817, 0.0453, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.0692, 0.0573, 0.0376, 0.0483, -0.0161, 0.1187, 0.1319, 0.0561, -0.0477, -0.0567, -0.0298, -0.1498, -0.2422, -0.1211, 0.0, 0.0203, -0.0286, -0.0394, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.0668, -0.08, -0.0573, -0.1259, -0.0919, 0.0215, -0.0089, -0.0167, -0.0692, -0.0597, -0.1223, -0.043, -0.0961, -0.1874, -0.1462, -0.1671, -0.1581, -0.182, -0.1599, -0.0967, -0.0996, -0.1247, -0.1265, -0.1641, -0.1116, -0.1122, -0.0525, -0.1438, -0.1799, -0.2831, -0.2321, -0.2458, -0.2351, -0.2351, -0.2035, -0.1641, -0.08, -0.0239, -0.0137, 0.0597, 0.1008, 0.074, 0.0346, 0.1557, 0.151, 0.0764, 0.1599, 0.1152, 0.0859, 0.0835, 0.0298, 0.0095, 0.0585, 0.0167, 0.0674, 0.3186, 0.3073, 0.2342, 0.2261, 0.21, 0.1969, 0.2673, 0.33, 0.213, 0.1408, 0.1217, 0.1623, 0.284, 0.3109, 0.3109, 0.3735, 0.5012, 0.4672, 0.4111, 0.4326, 0.5686, 0.5656, 0.5245, 0.3395, 0.4493, 0.3744, 0.2542, 0.3502, 0.4618, 0.5531, 0.5638, 0.5722, 0.7411, 0.7411, 0.679, 0.6492, 0.5644, 0.5322, 0.5477, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010474166114529489", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-11T22:09:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*$315,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish Bitcoin thesis with own target of $315,000.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@saylordocs *$315,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This chart says Bitcoin is going to $327,000 soon 🚀 https://t.co/5T0U3iWEPI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "saylordocs", "ret_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24124919842577086, "price_path": [0.2148, 0.1863, 0.1675, 0.2127, 0.1895, 0.1809, 0.207, 0.2176, 0.2514, 0.2386, 0.2068, 0.1877, 0.2014, 0.1684, 0.114, 0.1393, 0.1108, 0.1336, 0.1623, 0.1294, 0.1148, 0.0933, 0.0351, 0.0099, 0.0193, 0.003, -0.05, -0.0669, -0.032, -0.0422, -0.0074, 0.001, -0.003, -0.0534, 0.0017, 0.0256, 0.0104, -0.0198, -0.0061, 0.0164, 0.0091, 0.0145, -0.0101, -0.0523, -0.0367, -0.0554, -0.0628, -0.0339, -0.0296, -0.0414, -0.0393, -0.0434, -0.0427, -0.0445, -0.0303, -0.0404, -0.027, -0.0137, 0.0295, 0.0278, 0.0013, -0.0018, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0453, 0.0629, 0.0478, 0.0475, 0.0149, -0.0316, -0.0199, -0.019, -0.0185, -0.0321, -0.0229, -0.022, -0.0727, -0.0775, -0.1371, -0.1706, -0.1993, -0.3124, -0.2263, -0.2311, -0.2456, -0.2654, -0.2738, -0.2449, -0.2451, -0.2599, -0.2716, -0.2658, -0.2543, -0.2914, -0.2973, -0.2548, -0.2603, -0.2776, -0.2458, -0.2511, -0.2027, -0.2232, -0.2528, -0.2499, -0.2332, -0.2302, -0.227, -0.2218, -0.1791, -0.1894, -0.2187, -0.2334, -0.2267, -0.2224, -0.2267, -0.218, -0.2456, -0.2725, -0.2687, -0.2518, -0.2535, -0.2665, -0.266, -0.2449, -0.2111, -0.2201, -0.213, -0.1997, -0.1832, -0.1865, -0.1797, -0.1759, -0.1542, -0.168, -0.1627, -0.1424, -0.1417, -0.1506, -0.1516, -0.1628, -0.1691, -0.1633, -0.1427, -0.1246, -0.1126, -0.1071, -0.1226, -0.1207, -0.1038, -0.1175, -0.1307, -0.1112, -0.133, -0.1561, -0.1584, -0.1506, -0.1497, -0.1722, -0.1526, -0.1685, -0.1848, -0.1936, -0.1954, -0.2179, -0.2685, -0.298, -0.3004, -0.3319, -0.3082, -0.324, -0.3262, -0.303, -0.3032, -0.2731, -0.2806, -0.2936, -0.3103, -0.3032, -0.2987, -0.3128, -0.3311, -0.3451, -0.3419, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1991528643915641201", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T15:26:44+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Somebody is not bullish enough. Give it time.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; author thinks Cantor's new note is insufficiently bullish and expects the stock to be re-rated higher over time.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "New Cantor note on CIFR just hit. Somebody is not bullish enough. Give it time. https://t.co/SBrfFn8n9c", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004120842322335783, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004120842322335783, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011357306456439176, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02828782013177711, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478148778774958, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03240866245411289, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028159394867463883, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028159394867463883, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03812053303642893, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03201758773230079, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961138168965045, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003858192864836907, "ret_p1w": 0.3152471886422108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3152471886422108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.273639961545048, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.27251334867362487, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0416072270971628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04273383996858593, "ret_p1m": 0.11332408085874168, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11332408085874168, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06724028318471742, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.050674688604893214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04608379767402426, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06264939225384847, "ret_p3m": 0.07417581679812102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07417581679812102, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.024618447074284733, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04759818055959064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049557369723836286, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026577636238530378, "ret_p6m": 0.3962911633103685, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3962911633103685, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25706572526832727, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09739835467295199, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543804204124, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2988928086374165, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11332408085874168, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06724028318471742, "alpha_c_stated": 0.050674688604893214, "price_path": [-0.544, -0.511, -0.5199, -0.5179, -0.4753, -0.4753, -0.4286, -0.443, -0.4918, -0.4835, -0.4698, -0.3668, -0.296, -0.3152, -0.2548, -0.2548, -0.2095, -0.1497, -0.1861, -0.1566, -0.0412, -0.0282, -0.0288, -0.1992, -0.2122, -0.1312, -0.1353, -0.1346, -0.0515, 0.0096, 0.0536, 0.0817, 0.2088, 0.2356, 0.1655, 0.397, 0.4348, 0.4444, 0.2857, 0.2885, 0.3674, 0.2414, 0.1065, 0.1851, 0.419, 0.4107, 0.3709, 0.3455, 0.3098, 0.2809, 0.5632, 0.546, 0.6971, 0.4911, 0.421, 0.3496, 0.2823, 0.1937, 0.0254, -0.0137, -0.0144, 0.0014, 0.0041, 0.0, -0.0282, 0.1477, 0.2033, 0.3152, 0.3152, 0.3977, 0.3523, 0.2115, 0.2795, 0.362, 0.3242, 0.3379, 0.3434, 0.2692, 0.2967, 0.171, 0.0124, 0.0295, -0.0117, 0.0405, 0.1133, 0.1223, 0.0927, 0.114, 0.114, 0.0433, 0.0357, 0.0021, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.1126, 0.2473, 0.2047, 0.1044, 0.1367, 0.1422, 0.2143, 0.2534, 0.2452, 0.2033, 0.2912, 0.2912, 0.2308, 0.217, 0.1944, 0.2067, 0.1326, 0.2878, 0.3029, 0.2157, 0.0962, 0.0859, 0.1168, -0.0213, -0.1277, 0.0117, 0.1511, 0.1745, 0.1181, 0.1058, 0.1277, 0.1277, 0.0742, 0.0591, 0.0852, 0.0062, 0.0453, 0.1758, 0.1408, 0.1319, 0.0714, 0.0824, 0.0103, 0.1016, 0.0405, -0.0646, -0.0172, -0.0412, -0.0309, -0.0584, -0.033, 0.0398, 0.0364, 0.0076, 0.0055, -0.0378, 0.0227, 0.022, 0.0907, -0.0144, -0.056, -0.1748, -0.1161, -0.1319, -0.1195, -0.1195, -0.0831, -0.0378, 0.0591, 0.1236, 0.1353, 0.2198, 0.2672, 0.2363, 0.1909, 0.3304, 0.3249, 0.239, 0.3352, 0.2837, 0.25, 0.2473, 0.1854, 0.1621, 0.2184, 0.1703, 0.2287, 0.5179, 0.5048, 0.4207, 0.4114, 0.3929, 0.3777, 0.4588, 0.5309, 0.3963]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022773230248063164", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-14T20:41:34+00:00", "symbol": "crypto", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Neither has real EUPHORIA. This is mid-cycle, boss. Zoom out.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish crypto broadly; calls current phase mid-cycle with more upside ahead before peak euphoria.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD", "ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Broad crypto: BTC+ETH as primary proxies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LayahHeilpern Neither has real EUPHORIA. This is mid-cycle, boss. Zoom out.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Everyone wants to know if now is a good time to buy crypto\n\nMy view is that yes these are very good prices to get in at.\n\nHowever ask yourself:\n\nCan I stomach a potential 30-50% draw down from here?\n\nBecause real fear, panic, hysteria, anguish, DESPAIR and DEPRESSION hasn't set", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LayahHeilpern", "ret_m1d": 0.012772265048843656, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012772265048843656, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014383148934101087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014383148934101087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011229517796911836, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011229517796911836, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01626722534748859, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01626722534748859, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "ret_p1w": -0.06633682842407479, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06633682842407479, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07292683246139359, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07292683246139359, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "ret_p1m": 0.11700787344135966, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11700787344135966, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1483763932999268, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1483763932999268, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "ret_p3m": 0.15949400811822578, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15949400811822578, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07405983281268835, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07405983281268835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11700787344135966, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1483763932999268, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1483763932999268, "price_path": [0.4209, 0.3379, 0.3101, 0.38, 0.3746, 0.4152, 0.4174, 0.4192, 0.3277, 0.4137, 0.478, 0.4536, 0.4061, 0.4404, 0.5044, 0.5006, 0.482, 0.4275, 0.3695, 0.3798, 0.3342, 0.3282, 0.3852, 0.395, 0.3765, 0.3735, 0.3602, 0.3663, 0.3673, 0.3859, 0.3781, 0.3953, 0.4352, 0.4892, 0.5056, 0.4557, 0.438, 0.429, 0.4362, 0.5237, 0.5435, 0.5241, 0.5185, 0.4697, 0.3761, 0.3946, 0.3879, 0.3891, 0.3735, 0.4035, 0.4002, 0.3195, 0.2873, 0.1582, 0.1068, 0.0668, -0.0887, 0.0288, 0.0357, 0.005, -0.0278, -0.0318, 0.0128, 0.0, -0.0112, -0.0286, -0.0261, -0.0133, -0.0663, -0.0709, 0.0078, -0.0029, -0.0383, 0.0069, -0.0078, 0.0603, 0.033, -0.0099, -0.0044, 0.0177, 0.0233, 0.0308, 0.0391, 0.1321, 0.117, 0.0689, 0.0427, 0.0494, 0.0536, 0.0517, 0.0605, 0.0151, -0.0199, -0.0092, 0.0223, 0.0297, 0.0006, -0.0, 0.0276, 0.0835, 0.0647, 0.0691, 0.0919, 0.1343, 0.1202, 0.1338, 0.1336, 0.1661, 0.1305, 0.1371, 0.1626, 0.1519, 0.1421, 0.1383, 0.1275, 0.1143, 0.1188, 0.1422, 0.167, 0.1787, 0.1797, 0.1545, 0.1597, 0.179, 0.1538, 0.1408, 0.1595, 0.1307, 0.0916, 0.0855, 0.0949, 0.0966, 0.065, 0.0897, 0.069, 0.046, 0.0365, 0.0364, 0.0193, -0.0506, -0.0817, -0.0938, -0.1619, -0.1188, -0.1424, -0.1482, -0.1199, -0.1218, -0.0693, -0.0755, -0.0947, -0.1154, -0.1103, -0.1034, -0.1281, -0.1516, -0.1746, -0.1695, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010064977181413842", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-10T19:03:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stablecoins, crypto, Bitcoin, etc are going to win big here. Watch.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC and MSTR on Trump admin plan to cap credit card rates and de-fund banks, boosting crypto broadly.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am being told by my source that Trump's plan to cap credit card interest rates at 10% is part of his plan to de-fund the banks. Stablecoins, crypto, Bitcoin, etc are going to win big here. Watch.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, and allies are working on a multi-step plan to bolster Bitcoin, MSTR, and stablecoins while simultaneously de-funding JP Morgan, the Fed, and the US banking cabal to protect US citizens. The administration views it as a “defining battle”", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24124919842577086, "price_path": [0.2148, 0.1863, 0.1675, 0.2127, 0.1895, 0.1809, 0.207, 0.2176, 0.2514, 0.2386, 0.2068, 0.1877, 0.2014, 0.1684, 0.114, 0.1393, 0.1108, 0.1336, 0.1623, 0.1294, 0.1148, 0.0933, 0.0351, 0.0099, 0.0193, 0.003, -0.05, -0.0669, -0.032, -0.0422, -0.0074, 0.001, -0.003, -0.0534, 0.0017, 0.0256, 0.0104, -0.0198, -0.0061, 0.0164, 0.0091, 0.0145, -0.0101, -0.0523, -0.0367, -0.0554, -0.0628, -0.0339, -0.0296, -0.0414, -0.0393, -0.0434, -0.0427, -0.0445, -0.0303, -0.0404, -0.027, -0.0137, 0.0295, 0.0278, 0.0013, -0.0018, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0453, 0.0629, 0.0478, 0.0475, 0.0149, -0.0316, -0.0199, -0.019, -0.0185, -0.0321, -0.0229, -0.022, -0.0727, -0.0775, -0.1371, -0.1706, -0.1993, -0.3124, -0.2263, -0.2311, -0.2456, -0.2654, -0.2738, -0.2449, -0.2451, -0.2599, -0.2716, -0.2658, -0.2543, -0.2914, -0.2973, -0.2548, -0.2603, -0.2776, -0.2458, -0.2511, -0.2027, -0.2232, -0.2528, -0.2499, -0.2332, -0.2302, -0.227, -0.2218, -0.1791, -0.1894, -0.2187, -0.2334, -0.2267, -0.2224, -0.2267, -0.218, -0.2456, -0.2725, -0.2687, -0.2518, -0.2535, -0.2665, -0.266, -0.2449, -0.2111, -0.2201, -0.213, -0.1997, -0.1832, -0.1865, -0.1797, -0.1759, -0.1542, -0.168, -0.1627, -0.1424, -0.1417, -0.1506, -0.1516, -0.1628, -0.1691, -0.1633, -0.1427, -0.1246, -0.1126, -0.1071, -0.1226, -0.1207, -0.1038, -0.1175, -0.1307, -0.1112, -0.133, -0.1561, -0.1584, -0.1506, -0.1497, -0.1722, -0.1526, -0.1685, -0.1848, -0.1936, -0.1954, -0.2179, -0.2685, -0.298, -0.3004, -0.3319, -0.3082, -0.324, -0.3262, -0.303, -0.3032, -0.2731, -0.2806, -0.2936, -0.3103, -0.3032, -0.2987, -0.3128, -0.3311, -0.3451, -0.3419, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010064977181413842", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-10T19:03:30+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "working on a multi-step plan to bolster Bitcoin, MSTR, and stablecoins", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC and MSTR on Trump admin plan to cap credit card rates and de-fund banks, boosting crypto broadly.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am being told by my source that Trump's plan to cap credit card interest rates at 10% is part of his plan to de-fund the banks. Stablecoins, crypto, Bitcoin, etc are going to win big here. Watch.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, and allies are working on a multi-step plan to bolster Bitcoin, MSTR, and stablecoins while simultaneously de-funding JP Morgan, the Fed, and the US banking cabal to protect US citizens. The administration views it as a “defining battle”", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03020399448640676, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03020399448640676, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028636023878529482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028636023878529482, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06632564907229699, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06632564907229699, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06832515583767884, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06832515583767884, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.0707638000903883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0707638000903883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07579862397261783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07579862397261783, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.18017627132672842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18017627132672842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17580318329494105, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17580318329494105, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.2056955926524927, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2056955926524927, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18642925531496757, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18642925531496757, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18017627132672842, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17580318329494105, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17580318329494105, "price_path": [0.8293, 0.7496, 0.7868, 0.8283, 0.861, 0.7309, 0.7563, 0.7819, 0.8223, 0.7545, 0.6973, 0.5692, 0.6613, 0.6314, 0.5225, 0.5718, 0.4621, 0.4913, 0.4725, 0.4261, 0.3845, 0.2855, 0.2313, 0.2046, 0.2747, 0.1496, 0.0918, 0.051, 0.1036, 0.0614, 0.0827, 0.0827, 0.0922, 0.0566, 0.1177, 0.1613, 0.1466, 0.1033, 0.1323, 0.165, 0.1381, 0.1299, 0.0877, -0.0009, 0.0325, -0.0114, -0.0246, 0.016, 0.0129, -0.0268, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0211, -0.0422, -0.0408, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0313, 0.0153, -0.0263, -0.0025, 0.0292, -0.0302, 0.0, 0.0663, 0.1054, 0.0535, 0.0708, 0.0708, -0.0123, 0.0097, -0.0077, 0.0054, -0.0102, -0.004, -0.0233, -0.1174, -0.0772, -0.1393, -0.1786, -0.2043, -0.3405, -0.1683, -0.1466, -0.1802, -0.2229, -0.2418, -0.1748, -0.1748, -0.2069, -0.2283, -0.2021, -0.1922, -0.2374, -0.2319, -0.1638, -0.1777, -0.2018, -0.1515, -0.1821, -0.0973, -0.1382, -0.1769, -0.1435, -0.1465, -0.1473, -0.1534, -0.1391, -0.0907, -0.0737, -0.1336, -0.1479, -0.1638, -0.1481, -0.1601, -0.1424, -0.1806, -0.2231, -0.2514, -0.2307, -0.2432, -0.2614, -0.2614, -0.2129, -0.2374, -0.2091, -0.2057, -0.2071, -0.1841, -0.153, -0.1152, -0.0819, 0.0264, 0.0529, 0.0107, 0.1056, 0.0631, 0.0542, 0.043, 0.0215, -0.0249, 0.0198, 0.0921, 0.133, 0.1521, 0.1516, 0.1085, 0.1563, 0.2078, 0.1368, 0.0974, 0.1525, 0.0936, 0.0271, 0.0148, 0.0221, 0.0161, -0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0142, -0.0495, -0.0653, -0.0194, -0.0767, -0.1612, -0.2199, -0.2026, -0.2576, -0.2159, -0.2787, -0.289, -0.2594, -0.2358, -0.1916, -0.243, -0.2815, -0.3064, -0.3064, -0.3253, -0.3599, -0.4198, -0.474, -0.4926, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007663915053002999", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-04T04:02:32+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bodes well for IBIT calls next week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on IBIT calls next week as Bitcoin volatility rises.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jamieminer @dotkrueger Bodes well for IBIT calls next week", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@dotkrueger Highlighting @mikealfred earlier discussion regarding #Bitcoin volatility Bitcoin DVOL has increased almost 10% in this latest price move 🎯\n@dotkrueger https://t.co/zbjw9tuNbo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jamieminer", "ret_m1d": -0.04713805650804059, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04713805650804059, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04052191427731022, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04052191427731022, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018892598930600357, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018892598930600357, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02483975722997145, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02483975722997145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "ret_p1w": -0.02974186643878385, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02974186643878385, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040560169939074076, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040560169939074076, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "ret_p1m": -0.19004863489350599, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19004863489350599, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19268049512386565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19268049512386565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "ret_p3m": -0.2897493103075748, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2897493103075748, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24598305746876492, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24598305746876492, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19004863489350599, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19268049512386565, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19268049512386565, "price_path": [0.3105, 0.2858, 0.2383, 0.231, 0.1955, 0.1816, 0.1491, 0.1311, 0.1771, 0.1876, 0.145, 0.1702, 0.1753, 0.2211, 0.2063, 0.1738, 0.1298, 0.1654, 0.1322, 0.0696, 0.1021, 0.0711, 0.1014, 0.1259, 0.0915, 0.0773, 0.0398, 0.0003, -0.0254, -0.015, -0.0511, -0.0842, -0.1027, -0.0541, -0.073, -0.0455, -0.0455, -0.0357, -0.0928, -0.0335, -0.0135, -0.0178, -0.0518, -0.0363, -0.0114, -0.0181, -0.0254, -0.0423, -0.0898, -0.0701, -0.0889, -0.1029, -0.0664, -0.063, -0.0713, -0.0748, -0.0748, -0.072, -0.0763, -0.0679, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0471, 0.0, -0.0189, -0.0359, -0.0363, -0.043, -0.0297, 0.0021, 0.037, 0.0101, 0.0146, 0.0146, -0.0505, -0.044, -0.0522, -0.0516, -0.0713, -0.0529, -0.0552, -0.1096, -0.1117, -0.1728, -0.19, -0.2224, -0.3247, -0.2578, -0.2497, -0.271, -0.2838, -0.307, -0.271, -0.271, -0.2819, -0.2978, -0.2879, -0.2813, -0.3163, -0.3167, -0.2662, -0.2843, -0.3043, -0.2668, -0.2761, -0.2248, -0.2445, -0.278, -0.2681, -0.2572, -0.2505, -0.2527, -0.2449, -0.2155, -0.2093, -0.2469, -0.2551, -0.2561, -0.2508, -0.2652, -0.2486, -0.2738, -0.3004, -0.2952, -0.2813, -0.2772, -0.2897, -0.2897, -0.2608, -0.2686, -0.2439, -0.2348, -0.2226, -0.222, -0.2119, -0.2039, -0.2007, -0.1781, -0.191, -0.2048, -0.1629, -0.176, -0.1766, -0.1852, -0.1906, -0.2003, -0.1897, -0.1682, -0.1508, -0.1343, -0.136, -0.1508, -0.1498, -0.1308, -0.1433, -0.156, -0.1364, -0.1616, -0.1857, -0.1863, -0.1771, -0.177, -0.1964, -0.1964, -0.1958, -0.2059, -0.2226, -0.2213, -0.2426, -0.2883, -0.3079, -0.3262, -0.3614, -0.3287, -0.3427, -0.3438, -0.3257, -0.3259, -0.2941, -0.3047, -0.3199, -0.3337, -0.3337, -0.3172, -0.3395, -0.3664, -0.373, -0.3668, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "DGX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["DGX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Diagnostics & Research'", "bench_c_industry": "Diagnostics & Research", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": 0.0028579196395432938, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0028579196395432938, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017921890817709007, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006699752783325685, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0021879443612107252, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0227573490289108, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0227573490289108, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0342984583105721, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04116147267123704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018404123642326242, "ret_p1w": -0.0249272299494665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0249272299494665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0513595089051575, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02524897482271604, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00032174487324954093, "ret_p1m": 0.08171471609622905, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08171471609622905, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06886017015103008, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0671071621524677, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014607553943761342, "ret_p3m": 0.03662697027426165, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03662697027426165, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.014288713503364692, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07516158825000607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03853461797574442, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08171471609622905, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06886017015103008, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0671071621524677, "price_path": [-0.0347, -0.0402, -0.0503, -0.0608, -0.0792, -0.0741, -0.073, -0.0578, -0.0621, -0.0609, -0.0701, -0.0543, -0.029, -0.0051, -0.0156, -0.0118, -0.0151, -0.0191, -0.0237, -0.0203, -0.0116, 0.0076, 0.004, 0.0134, -0.0006, -0.0006, -0.0033, -0.0318, -0.0383, -0.0379, -0.0297, -0.0385, -0.0421, -0.0537, -0.0543, -0.0434, -0.0382, -0.03, -0.0588, -0.0564, -0.072, -0.0725, -0.071, -0.0776, -0.0732, -0.0732, -0.0731, -0.0753, -0.0755, -0.0858, -0.0858, -0.0844, -0.086, -0.0493, -0.0615, -0.0636, -0.081, -0.0731, -0.0476, -0.0115, 0.0069, 0.0029, 0.0029, 0.0, -0.0228, -0.0359, -0.042, -0.034, -0.0249, -0.0329, -0.0349, -0.0102, -0.0209, -0.02, 0.0015, 0.0177, 0.0093, 0.0122, 0.0868, 0.1078, 0.0948, 0.0948, 0.0948, 0.0875, 0.0817, 0.0714, 0.0712, 0.0978, 0.109, 0.0998, 0.1172, 0.1215, 0.1127, 0.1027, 0.1032, 0.0795, 0.0543, 0.0668, 0.0632, 0.0614, 0.0631, 0.0569, 0.0529, 0.0511, 0.0332, 0.0276, 0.0334, 0.0352, 0.0377, 0.0397, 0.0487, 0.0347, 0.0435, 0.0372, 0.0463, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0576, 0.0461, 0.0568, 0.0515, 0.018, 0.0254, 0.0321, 0.0175, 0.0177, 0.0366, 0.0435, 0.0899, 0.0844, 0.0606, 0.0433, 0.0452, 0.0368, 0.0063, 0.0323, 0.0241, 0.0179, 0.0144, 0.0053, 0.0144, -0.0039, 0.0089, 0.0109, 0.0145, -0.001, -0.0081, 0.0091, 0.012, 0.0299, 0.0302, 0.0376, 0.0376, 0.0253, 0.0312, 0.0429, 0.036, 0.0216, 0.0267, 0.0295, 0.0425, 0.0646, 0.0483, 0.0872, 0.0832, 0.0835, 0.0794, 0.0747, 0.0686, 0.0512, 0.0365, 0.0365, 0.029, 0.0481, 0.0796, 0.0963, 0.1156, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "ONDS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONDS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": -0.07387663812447054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07387663812447054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09465644858172284, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09465644858172284, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04417364193836881, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04417364193836881, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05571475122003011, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05571475122003011, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": -0.06626046290755327, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06626046290755327, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09269274186324428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09269274186324428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.15689264292930394, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15689264292930394, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1697471888745029, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1697471888745029, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.23838538363746198, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23838538363746198, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2893010674150883, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2893010674150883, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15689264292930394, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1697471888745029, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1697471888745029, "price_path": [-0.4623, -0.4318, -0.4265, -0.4829, -0.4859, -0.5209, -0.5095, -0.5316, -0.5461, -0.543, -0.6002, -0.5575, -0.5522, -0.5583, -0.5804, -0.5004, -0.4532, -0.5236, -0.4029, -0.4288, -0.5225, -0.4871, -0.3359, -0.3572, -0.3724, -0.3724, -0.3983, -0.4227, -0.3854, -0.3206, -0.3001, -0.3092, -0.313, -0.297, -0.366, -0.313, -0.3336, -0.4143, -0.3839, -0.4387, -0.4059, -0.2978, -0.294, -0.3176, -0.3046, -0.3046, -0.3542, -0.3557, -0.3153, -0.2567, -0.2567, -0.1607, -0.0457, -0.0221, -0.0724, 0.067, 0.0427, 0.0046, 0.0579, 0.0327, -0.0236, -0.0739, -0.0739, 0.0, -0.0442, -0.0388, -0.0731, -0.15, -0.0663, -0.0655, -0.1417, -0.211, -0.1896, -0.1333, -0.2628, -0.3542, -0.262, -0.2125, -0.2628, -0.297, -0.3168, -0.2909, -0.2909, -0.2346, -0.1569, -0.1325, -0.2361, -0.2239, -0.2079, -0.2155, -0.2041, -0.2323, -0.1874, -0.2369, -0.1995, -0.2011, -0.2513, -0.2597, -0.2376, -0.2513, -0.2133, -0.2262, -0.198, -0.1409, -0.1752, -0.1813, -0.2338, -0.1698, -0.1866, -0.2148, -0.281, -0.3298, -0.3793, -0.3115, -0.329, -0.2688, -0.2688, -0.2749, -0.2742, -0.2803, -0.3039, -0.3046, -0.2788, -0.2841, -0.2361, -0.2232, -0.2384, -0.1828, -0.1721, -0.1577, -0.1973, -0.1965, -0.166, -0.2018, -0.2772, -0.2353, -0.214, -0.2589, -0.2894, -0.2887, -0.3229, -0.31, -0.2826, -0.3115, -0.3252, -0.1462, -0.1912, -0.2612, -0.305, -0.2871, -0.3008, -0.31, -0.31, -0.2559, -0.1775, 0.0091, 0.0069, 0.0251, 0.0343, -0.1158, -0.0883, -0.2056, -0.2155, -0.265, -0.2909, -0.2513, -0.2894, -0.2757, -0.2986, -0.3054, -0.294, -0.294, -0.3229, -0.3503, -0.4151, -0.4155, -0.4037, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": 0.04910709581584971, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04910709581584971, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02832728535859741, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02245732403156131, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0266497717842884, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011160756812943928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011160756812943928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022701866094605228, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025049752043734275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013888995230790346, "ret_p1w": 0.046316959831046445, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.046316959831046445, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019884680875355443, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002535022437369694, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04378193739367675, "ret_p1m": -0.13950892797747283, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13950892797747283, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1523634739226718, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13295238359201067, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00655654438546216, "ret_p3m": 0.08091522080168034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08091522080168034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.029999537024054, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.008635923512068322, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08955114431374867, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13950892797747283, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1523634739226718, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13295238359201067, "price_path": [-0.0371, 0.1529, 0.1462, 0.1138, 0.0932, 0.0642, 0.0407, 0.2701, 0.2561, 0.3789, 0.2115, 0.1546, 0.0965, 0.0419, -0.0301, -0.1669, -0.1987, -0.1992, -0.1864, -0.1842, -0.1875, -0.2104, -0.0675, -0.0223, 0.0686, 0.0686, 0.1356, 0.0988, -0.0156, 0.0396, 0.1066, 0.0759, 0.0871, 0.0915, 0.0312, 0.0536, -0.0485, -0.1775, -0.1635, -0.197, -0.1546, -0.0954, -0.0882, -0.1122, -0.0949, -0.0949, -0.1523, -0.1585, -0.1858, -0.1763, -0.1763, -0.096, 0.0134, -0.0212, -0.1027, -0.0765, -0.072, -0.0134, 0.0184, 0.0117, -0.0223, 0.0491, 0.0491, 0.0, -0.0112, -0.0296, -0.0195, -0.0798, 0.0463, 0.0586, -0.0123, -0.1094, -0.1177, -0.0926, -0.2048, -0.2913, -0.178, -0.0647, -0.0458, -0.0915, -0.1016, -0.0837, -0.0837, -0.1272, -0.1395, -0.1183, -0.1825, -0.1507, -0.0446, -0.0731, -0.0804, -0.1295, -0.1205, -0.1791, -0.1049, -0.1546, -0.24, -0.2015, -0.221, -0.2126, -0.2349, -0.2143, -0.1551, -0.1579, -0.1814, -0.183, -0.2182, -0.1691, -0.1696, -0.1138, -0.1992, -0.233, -0.3295, -0.2818, -0.2946, -0.2846, -0.2846, -0.255, -0.2182, -0.1395, -0.0871, -0.0776, -0.0089, 0.0296, 0.0045, -0.0324, 0.0809, 0.0765, 0.0067, 0.0848, 0.043, 0.0156, 0.0134, -0.0368, -0.0558, -0.01, -0.0491, -0.0017, 0.2333, 0.2227, 0.1543, 0.1468, 0.1317, 0.1194, 0.1853, 0.2439, 0.1345, 0.067, 0.0491, 0.0871, 0.2009, 0.226, 0.226, 0.2846, 0.404, 0.3722, 0.3198, 0.3398, 0.4671, 0.4643, 0.4258, 0.2528, 0.3555, 0.2854, 0.173, 0.2628, 0.3672, 0.4526, 0.4626, 0.4704, 0.6283, 0.6283, 0.5703, 0.5424, 0.4632, 0.433, 0.4475, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "MARA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": 0.09546767425685365, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09546767425685365, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07468786379960135, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07215949803886579, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023308176217987864, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018322134633984577, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018322134633984577, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006781025352323278, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013435001721342044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004887132912642533, "ret_p1w": 0.014464857652841001, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014464857652841001, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011967421302850001, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018224285242579907, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0037594275897389062, "ret_p1m": -0.27675987630007104, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27675987630007104, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28961442224527, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.26529369086096577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01146618543910527, "ret_p3m": 0.11861142810845182, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11861142810845182, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06769574433082548, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12801921863415044, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": -0.009407790525698623, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.27675987630007104, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.28961442224527, "alpha_c_stated": -0.26529369086096577, "price_path": [0.8534, 0.8843, 0.8862, 0.8206, 0.8206, 0.7126, 0.7618, 0.7175, 0.6027, 0.6519, 0.5391, 0.5304, 0.5024, 0.4108, 0.3896, 0.2324, 0.1562, 0.1099, 0.1456, 0.0704, -0.0125, -0.0289, 0.081, 0.0771, 0.0714, 0.0714, 0.1389, 0.1109, 0.1485, 0.2025, 0.1996, 0.1321, 0.162, 0.1813, 0.1495, 0.1418, 0.1109, 0.0318, 0.0309, -0.0424, -0.0656, -0.0183, -0.0231, -0.0492, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.0752, -0.0849, -0.1003, -0.134, -0.134, -0.0444, 0.0212, -0.0058, -0.028, 0.0068, -0.0145, 0.027, 0.0559, 0.0714, 0.028, 0.0955, 0.0955, 0.0, 0.0183, -0.0077, 0.0125, -0.0376, 0.0145, 0.0, -0.0492, -0.0839, -0.1205, -0.1273, -0.2015, -0.351, -0.2054, -0.2228, -0.2613, -0.271, -0.3009, -0.2363, -0.2363, -0.2758, -0.2768, -0.2324, -0.2314, -0.2401, -0.2237, -0.1736, -0.1851, -0.1379, -0.0887, -0.1649, -0.1041, -0.1543, -0.2276, -0.1649, -0.1736, -0.1755, -0.1553, -0.1013, -0.1099, -0.109, -0.1398, -0.1109, -0.1842, -0.1408, -0.2044, -0.2015, -0.1726, -0.2266, -0.2478, -0.2131, -0.2247, -0.1601, -0.1601, -0.1466, -0.136, -0.0839, -0.0675, -0.08, -0.001, 0.0116, 0.0096, 0.1138, 0.1186, 0.1215, 0.0829, 0.1418, 0.1379, 0.1225, 0.0781, 0.0627, 0.0338, 0.1562, 0.1051, 0.1408, 0.1726, 0.2565, 0.2247, 0.2478, 0.2912, 0.2266, 0.2295, 0.2816, 0.1996, 0.1745, 0.1996, 0.2681, 0.3067, 0.3317, 0.3317, 0.377, 0.3819, 0.3568, 0.3867, 0.432, 0.377, 0.3462, 0.3385, 0.188, 0.3288, 0.2835, 0.217, 0.3124, 0.3578, 0.4118, 0.3905, 0.3423, 0.3713, 0.3713, 0.432, 0.4176, 0.35, 0.3385, 0.4021, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": 0.10339943696742915, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10339943696742915, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08261962651017685, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08009126074944128, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023308176217987864, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03930597094008448, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03930597094008448, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02776486165842318, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034418838027441945, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004887132912642533, "ret_p1w": 0.03859773942713218, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03859773942713218, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01216546047144118, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04235716701687109, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0037594275897389062, "ret_p1m": -0.2981586453447962, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2981586453447962, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.31101319128999516, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2866924599056909, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01146618543910527, "ret_p3m": -0.18732291257271683, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18732291257271683, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23823859635034317, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1779151220470182, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": -0.009407790525698623, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2981586453447962, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.31101319128999516, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2866924599056909, "price_path": [0.7413, 0.7845, 0.9014, 0.8599, 0.7615, 0.5771, 0.6514, 0.5173, 0.3969, 0.4663, 0.3229, 0.4242, 0.4567, 0.4015, 0.4362, 0.2946, 0.2178, 0.0956, 0.1427, 0.033, -0.0789, -0.0796, 0.101, 0.0234, 0.1236, 0.1236, 0.1725, 0.0245, 0.1296, 0.1916, 0.2857, 0.2057, 0.2691, 0.3885, 0.4306, 0.3591, 0.2344, 0.096, 0.1115, 0.0382, 0.0067, 0.1105, 0.1009, 0.0545, 0.0393, 0.0393, 0.0025, 0.0106, -0.0184, -0.0386, -0.0386, 0.1045, 0.1809, 0.1448, 0.0751, 0.1076, 0.0644, 0.1023, 0.1055, 0.1565, 0.0931, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.0, 0.0393, 0.0234, 0.0198, -0.0156, 0.0386, 0.0492, -0.0545, -0.1112, -0.1926, -0.2086, -0.2812, -0.3839, -0.2751, -0.2404, -0.2936, -0.3106, -0.301, -0.2578, -0.2578, -0.2865, -0.2982, -0.2932, -0.2872, -0.3194, -0.3116, -0.2387, -0.2762, -0.3279, -0.2776, -0.307, -0.2521, -0.2794, -0.3314, -0.267, -0.2659, -0.2546, -0.2723, -0.2727, -0.1717, -0.1774, -0.2419, -0.2514, -0.2585, -0.2468, -0.2635, -0.2479, -0.3106, -0.3488, -0.352, -0.2996, -0.3028, -0.3113, -0.3113, -0.2705, -0.2858, -0.238, -0.2535, -0.2465, -0.2383, -0.2394, -0.2089, -0.2054, -0.1873, -0.2022, -0.2312, -0.1746, -0.221, -0.216, -0.2369, -0.2394, -0.2684, -0.2422, -0.2252, -0.193, -0.182, -0.1887, -0.221, -0.2149, -0.1848, -0.2326, -0.25, -0.221, -0.2964, -0.3368, -0.3403, -0.3134, -0.3056, -0.3314, -0.3314, -0.3201, -0.3336, -0.3183, -0.3176, -0.3325, -0.3637, -0.4016, -0.3665, -0.437, -0.4033, -0.4263, -0.4462, -0.415, -0.4295, -0.3941, -0.426, -0.4441, -0.4285, -0.4285, -0.4384, -0.4642, -0.5035, -0.5283, -0.5198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": 0.0656100531407171, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0656100531407171, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044830242683464805, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04230187692272924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023308176217987864, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014375208319667987, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014375208319667987, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025916317601329286, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01926234123231052, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004887132912642533, "ret_p1w": 0.10560271902293139, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10560271902293139, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07917044006724039, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1093621466126703, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0037594275897389062, "ret_p1m": -0.2244746934620685, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2244746934620685, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23732923940726747, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21300850802296323, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01146618543910527, "ret_p3m": -0.11315885697718064, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11315885697718064, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16407454075480699, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10375106645148202, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": -0.009407790525698623, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2244746934620685, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23732923940726747, "alpha_c_stated": -0.21300850802296323, "price_path": [0.0295, 0.1592, 0.1978, 0.1504, 0.1135, 0.073, 0.1196, 0.2486, 0.228, 0.4082, 0.2341, 0.1496, 0.1089, 0.0575, 0.0265, -0.1034, -0.1454, -0.1262, -0.0997, -0.1554, -0.1989, -0.2212, -0.1063, -0.1251, -0.1071, -0.1071, -0.1189, -0.1063, -0.2422, -0.1898, -0.1439, -0.176, -0.146, -0.1367, -0.1906, -0.1902, -0.2604, -0.3461, -0.3257, -0.3774, -0.3402, -0.2643, -0.2252, -0.2247, -0.2263, -0.2263, -0.2573, -0.2737, -0.2941, -0.3039, -0.3039, -0.213, -0.1109, -0.1539, -0.196, -0.1581, -0.1517, -0.0724, -0.0234, -0.0254, -0.0437, 0.0656, 0.0656, 0.0, -0.0144, -0.0369, 0.0446, -0.035, 0.1056, 0.16, 0.1028, -0.0096, -0.0217, 0.0024, -0.1718, -0.2667, -0.2291, -0.1495, -0.2088, -0.2136, -0.2623, -0.2219, -0.2219, -0.2449, -0.2245, -0.2022, -0.2632, -0.2193, -0.1624, -0.1885, -0.1847, -0.2453, -0.2372, -0.284, -0.192, -0.2605, -0.3236, -0.2842, -0.2975, -0.2263, -0.2376, -0.2337, -0.1718, -0.2083, -0.2221, -0.2322, -0.239, -0.223, -0.2422, -0.2365, -0.3098, -0.3533, -0.4173, -0.3682, -0.3717, -0.3592, -0.3592, -0.3526, -0.3413, -0.3212, -0.317, -0.2753, -0.2062, -0.127, -0.1003, -0.1209, -0.1132, -0.1021, -0.1675, -0.1082, -0.0413, -0.0667, -0.1087, -0.181, -0.2101, -0.1613, -0.1585, -0.0881, 0.0088, 0.1238, 0.0477, 0.1279, 0.0164, 0.0424, 0.0168, 0.0763, -0.0243, -0.07, -0.1202, -0.0286, 0.07, 0.0474, 0.0474, 0.1017, 0.2503, 0.1804, 0.171, 0.204, 0.2274, 0.2068, 0.1401, 0.0017, 0.0909, -0.0044, -0.0505, 0.0452, 0.1015, 0.1215, 0.0907, 0.071, 0.105, 0.105, 0.0481, 0.0085, -0.073, -0.1202, -0.1299, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "ADUR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["ADUR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Pollution & Treatment Controls'", "bench_c_industry": "Pollution & Treatment Controls", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": 0.07608696929148007, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07608696929148007, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.055307158834227765, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.055479220036355414, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020607749255124652, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032608681380110416, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032608681380110416, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.044149790661771715, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04991434686025442, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017305665480144006, "ret_p1w": 0.04057967088423364, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04057967088423364, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01414739192854264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03122356361918044, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009356107265053204, "ret_p1m": -0.18478261996307066, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18478261996307066, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19763716590826963, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25516719739427596, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0703845774312053, "ret_p3m": -0.18623192847663872, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18623192847663872, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23714761225426506, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2502417761022113, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0640098476255726, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18478261996307066, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19763716590826963, "alpha_c_stated": -0.25516719739427596, "price_path": [0.0413, 0.0659, 0.0464, 0.0565, 0.0239, 0.0638, 0.0333, 0.008, 0.0094, -0.042, -0.1268, -0.108, -0.1438, -0.1536, -0.142, -0.2, -0.1957, -0.2424, -0.25, -0.2833, -0.2283, -0.2101, -0.0786, -0.1029, -0.1007, -0.1007, -0.0391, -0.0848, -0.1457, -0.0094, 0.0087, 0.0058, -0.0486, -0.0844, -0.1094, -0.0014, -0.0746, -0.0826, -0.071, -0.0804, -0.1181, -0.1464, -0.1507, -0.1616, -0.1848, -0.1848, -0.1783, -0.2341, -0.2181, -0.2493, -0.2493, -0.2341, -0.1413, -0.1514, -0.1246, -0.0312, -0.0572, -0.0355, -0.0486, 0.0572, 0.0138, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0, -0.0326, -0.0507, 0.0507, 0.021, 0.0406, 0.0565, 0.0413, -0.0594, -0.092, -0.1239, -0.1652, -0.2442, -0.1594, -0.1652, -0.1638, -0.1703, -0.229, -0.2109, -0.2109, -0.213, -0.1848, -0.1862, -0.2196, -0.2529, -0.2014, -0.1609, -0.1428, -0.2138, -0.1986, -0.2507, -0.1877, -0.1862, -0.2094, -0.2036, -0.1993, -0.163, -0.1978, -0.1913, -0.1638, -0.1217, -0.1558, -0.1801, -0.2152, -0.2123, -0.2232, -0.2152, -0.258, -0.2804, -0.3341, -0.2399, -0.2529, -0.2486, -0.2486, -0.2341, -0.2594, -0.2522, -0.2551, -0.2507, -0.2029, -0.2022, -0.2101, -0.1688, -0.1862, -0.1645, -0.1935, -0.1326, -0.1464, -0.1341, -0.1036, -0.133, -0.1471, 0.0232, 0.0442, -0.0051, -0.0029, 0.0149, -0.0486, -0.0217, 0.0043, -0.0399, -0.0761, 0.0341, -0.0029, 0.0254, -0.0029, 0.0522, 0.0348, 0.0572, 0.0572, 0.1, 0.1326, 0.2225, 0.221, 0.2435, 0.2022, 0.1406, 0.1536, 0.0159, 0.0435, 0.2232, 0.1203, 0.0942, 0.029, 0.0732, 0.0543, 0.0667, 0.0957, 0.0957, 0.063, 0.0333, 0.0181, 0.0442, 0.1022, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": 0.04381850010309085, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04381850010309085, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02303868964583855, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0242534517563624, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019565048346728453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01408453121570874, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01408453121570874, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0025434219340474407, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010461509277795322, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0036230219379134176, "ret_p1w": -0.09076681311811141, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09076681311811141, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11719909207380241, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08714351045635338, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003623302661758032, "ret_p1m": -0.27543032688866886, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27543032688866886, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28828487283386783, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3225316707230703, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.047101343834401455, "ret_p3m": -0.1721439636332186, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1721439636332186, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22305964741084494, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2537613334772456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08161736984402701, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.27543032688866886, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.28828487283386783, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3225316707230703, "price_path": [0.1002, 0.2473, 0.277, 0.2473, 0.1972, 0.1487, 0.216, 0.1878, 0.0829, 0.1315, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.2473, 0.3271, 0.4664, 0.3396, 0.2707, 0.2269, 0.1768, 0.0469, -0.036, 0.0563, 0.2034, 0.2113, 0.2175, 0.2175, 0.205, 0.1174, 0.0939, 0.0861, 0.1862, 0.1189, 0.1033, 0.1596, 0.0955, 0.1033, 0.0266, 0.0125, 0.0532, -0.0423, -0.0172, -0.0047, 0.0047, -0.0188, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0595, -0.0876, -0.0861, -0.0876, -0.0876, -0.0501, -0.011, 0.0845, -0.0423, 0.0063, 0.1408, 0.0986, 0.0595, 0.0391, -0.0141, 0.0438, 0.0438, 0.0, 0.0141, 0.0047, -0.0595, -0.0814, -0.0908, -0.0986, -0.1268, -0.1941, -0.2457, -0.1972, -0.2175, -0.2645, -0.2363, -0.2269, -0.266, -0.2551, -0.3146, -0.3044, -0.3044, -0.3224, -0.2754, -0.2723, -0.2175, -0.252, -0.2003, -0.2207, -0.1534, -0.1518, -0.2097, -0.2222, -0.2363, -0.1894, -0.2175, -0.205, -0.216, -0.1753, -0.2426, -0.2254, -0.1894, -0.1299, -0.1737, -0.1956, -0.2316, -0.1847, -0.1894, -0.2019, -0.2332, -0.2488, -0.3067, -0.2676, -0.2848, -0.2582, -0.2582, -0.2786, -0.2879, -0.2739, -0.3255, -0.3239, -0.3177, -0.2942, -0.2457, -0.1753, -0.1721, -0.1628, -0.1471, -0.1502, -0.1831, -0.1377, -0.1565, -0.1424, -0.1268, -0.1581, -0.1487, -0.1972, -0.1815, -0.1455, -0.1674, -0.216, -0.241, -0.2629, -0.2833, -0.3005, -0.3146, -0.3302, -0.3271, -0.3114, -0.2848, -0.2911, -0.2911, -0.2989, -0.2567, -0.2066, -0.2113, -0.169, -0.1534, -0.2379, -0.2254, -0.3083, -0.3255, -0.3208, -0.2989, -0.3005, -0.3052, -0.2786, -0.2567, -0.3036, -0.3005, -0.3005, -0.3302, -0.3427, -0.3302, -0.3271, -0.3161, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 8, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": 0.029615742879367524, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029615742879367524, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008835932422115222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008835932422115222, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07950909149139329, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07950909149139329, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09105020077305459, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09105020077305459, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": -0.00978304944531505, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00978304944531505, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03621532840100605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03621532840100605, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.24911065037397873, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24911065037397873, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2619651963191777, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2619651963191777, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.23932766878169076, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23932766878169076, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2902433525593171, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2902433525593171, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.24911065037397873, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2619651963191777, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2619651963191777, "price_path": [-0.3621, -0.3445, -0.2934, -0.3083, -0.288, -0.318, -0.2863, -0.3673, -0.377, -0.3741, -0.4194, -0.3846, -0.389, -0.3962, -0.4264, -0.4536, -0.4539, -0.4966, -0.4822, -0.4841, -0.5491, -0.5431, -0.5109, -0.5063, -0.5062, -0.5062, -0.5002, -0.5321, -0.494, -0.4536, -0.3539, -0.3426, -0.3419, -0.3522, -0.297, -0.2463, -0.3179, -0.3969, -0.3919, -0.4498, -0.4136, -0.3255, -0.2309, -0.2381, -0.3059, -0.3059, -0.3601, -0.3644, -0.3358, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.2576, -0.1914, -0.133, -0.2375, -0.1946, -0.1314, -0.125, -0.1754, -0.1531, -0.0995, 0.0296, 0.0296, 0.0, -0.0795, 0.035, 0.01, -0.0681, -0.0098, 0.0782, 0.0858, -0.0109, -0.0702, 0.0295, -0.0795, -0.1705, -0.0947, -0.0918, -0.1438, -0.138, -0.2688, -0.2662, -0.2662, -0.2616, -0.2491, -0.2316, -0.2867, -0.2538, -0.2367, -0.2675, -0.2373, -0.2957, -0.227, -0.1757, -0.0671, -0.1652, -0.2042, -0.2017, -0.2215, -0.2155, -0.2255, -0.2321, -0.2075, -0.1489, -0.193, -0.1632, -0.2002, -0.2136, -0.2264, -0.1457, -0.2186, -0.3003, -0.3435, -0.263, -0.253, -0.1763, -0.1763, -0.1568, -0.1767, -0.1421, -0.1853, -0.156, -0.1198, -0.2123, -0.2271, -0.1912, -0.2393, -0.2796, -0.2884, -0.2471, -0.2996, -0.3205, -0.3134, -0.3607, -0.3788, -0.3428, -0.3695, -0.3914, -0.432, -0.3714, -0.4188, -0.3325, -0.2658, -0.3511, -0.3347, -0.2617, -0.2559, -0.2278, -0.2165, -0.2033, -0.1442, -0.0585, -0.0585, 0.0646, 0.1526, 0.1837, 0.0086, -0.0604, 0.051, -0.0419, -0.0458, -0.1676, -0.1813, -0.211, -0.2234, -0.1323, -0.2671, -0.2212, -0.2685, -0.2402, -0.2826, -0.2826, -0.3491, -0.3519, -0.3951, -0.4164, -0.3646, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013283556748153270", "ticker_idx": 9, "ts": "2026-01-19T16:12:59+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Let them sell before we rocket higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses European selling as temporary; expects all tagged tickers to rocket higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@retail_mourinho Europeans are idiots. Let them sell before we rocket higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Updated live footage from the European stock exchange on Monday afternoon.\n$DGX $ONDS $CIFR $MARA $BMNR $IREN $ADUR $OPEN $ASTS $NBIS https://t.co/SMqwZm9oiR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": 0.09507505644437941, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09507505644437941, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07429524598712711, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08009314197134576, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014981914473033653, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004230014755490119, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004230014755490119, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01577112403715142, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014452871891391217, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010222857135901098, "ret_p1w": -0.014301522367326847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014301522367326847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04073380132301785, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.044529705817044185, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03022818344971734, "ret_p1m": 0.025279505620771303, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025279505620771303, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012424959675572333, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01540912115640336, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009870384464367943, "ret_p3m": 0.5826366999768482, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5826366999768482, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5317210161992219, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5296706478560678, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05296605212078043, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.025279505620771303, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012424959675572333, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01540912115640336, "price_path": [0.0692, 0.181, 0.2633, 0.227, 0.2599, 0.2507, 0.3176, 0.2133, 0.1133, 0.1784, 0.1022, 0.1208, 0.1074, 0.0295, -0.0497, -0.1074, -0.1586, -0.1341, -0.0881, -0.0425, -0.1475, -0.1614, -0.0744, -0.1048, -0.0463, -0.0463, -0.0445, 0.0087, -0.0286, -0.0037, 0.0354, -0.0126, 0.0105, -0.029, -0.0574, -0.0505, -0.1168, -0.1828, -0.1847, -0.2401, -0.2135, -0.099, -0.061, -0.0933, -0.0822, -0.0822, -0.1178, -0.1334, -0.1422, -0.157, -0.157, -0.0941, -0.0651, 0.0096, -0.031, -0.02, -0.0137, 0.081, 0.0618, 0.0271, 0.0463, 0.0951, 0.0951, 0.0, -0.0042, -0.0246, -0.0482, -0.0789, -0.0143, 0.0115, -0.0441, -0.142, -0.1121, -0.0941, -0.1702, -0.256, -0.1328, -0.0646, -0.0755, -0.1076, -0.0963, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.0178, 0.0253, 0.0838, -0.0138, 0.0133, 0.0331, 0.0688, 0.0563, -0.0816, -0.0834, -0.1258, -0.0152, -0.0367, -0.1003, -0.0438, -0.0288, 0.128, 0.0881, 0.1376, 0.3078, 0.1716, 0.1941, 0.2239, 0.1846, 0.1497, 0.1573, 0.1591, 0.0673, 0.0154, -0.0708, 0.045, 0.0268, 0.096, 0.096, 0.1334, 0.1824, 0.2589, 0.373, 0.4601, 0.5567, 0.631, 0.6796, 0.6652, 0.5826, 0.603, 0.5767, 0.5726, 0.582, 0.4821, 0.46, 0.3648, 0.422, 0.3922, 0.5559, 0.7768, 0.7718, 0.9649, 0.8609, 0.7832, 0.8743, 0.8039, 1.0875, 1.2273, 1.2151, 1.0129, 0.9914, 0.9319, 1.215, 1.1631, 1.1631, 1.0955, 1.0986, 1.2796, 1.3274, 1.664, 1.6244, 1.5348, 1.6153, 1.2944, 1.1956, 1.2169, 1.132, 1.2383, 1.3402, 1.6193, 1.67, 1.8292, 1.8874, 1.8874, 1.8564, 1.7722, 1.6152, 1.5847, 1.4202, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005043882485317686", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-27T22:31:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long stocks and Bitcoin, short silver", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long stocks and Bitcoin, short silver in response to precious metals topping and ISM picking up.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheShortBear 100%\n\nLong stocks and Bitcoin, short silver", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Precious metals topping and ISM picking up back up is the best combination we could hope for. \n\nHere are a few models to illustrate it.\n\nThe ISM is pointing higher, not lower. https://t.co/5UIsVOw4EF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheShortBear", "ret_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01143678876079579, "price_path": [0.3616, 0.3849, 0.4031, 0.4317, 0.3938, 0.4156, 0.3967, 0.2993, 0.3229, 0.2982, 0.2714, 0.2415, 0.2218, 0.2691, 0.2449, 0.2358, 0.2632, 0.2742, 0.3096, 0.2963, 0.263, 0.2429, 0.2573, 0.2227, 0.1659, 0.1923, 0.1625, 0.1863, 0.2164, 0.182, 0.1667, 0.1441, 0.0833, 0.0569, 0.0667, 0.0497, -0.0058, -0.0235, 0.013, 0.0023, 0.0388, 0.0476, 0.0434, -0.0094, 0.0483, 0.0733, 0.0574, 0.0258, 0.0402, 0.0637, 0.056, 0.0617, 0.0359, -0.0082, 0.0081, -0.0114, -0.0192, 0.0111, 0.0155, 0.0032, 0.0054, 0.0011, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0043, 0.0183, 0.0322, 0.0774, 0.0756, 0.0479, 0.0446, 0.0387, 0.0465, 0.0939, 0.1124, 0.0965, 0.0962, 0.0621, 0.0135, 0.0257, 0.0267, 0.0271, 0.013, 0.0225, 0.0235, -0.0296, -0.0345, -0.097, -0.132, -0.162, -0.2804, -0.1903, -0.1953, -0.2105, -0.2312, -0.24, -0.2098, -0.21, -0.2254, -0.2377, -0.2316, -0.2196, -0.2585, -0.2646, -0.2201, -0.2259, -0.2439, -0.2107, -0.2163, -0.1656, -0.187, -0.2181, -0.215, -0.1975, -0.1943, -0.191, -0.1856, -0.1409, -0.1517, -0.1824, -0.1977, -0.1907, -0.1862, -0.1907, -0.1816, -0.2105, -0.2387, -0.2346, -0.217, -0.2187, -0.2324, -0.2319, -0.2098, -0.1744, -0.1838, -0.1764, -0.1625, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1415, -0.1376, -0.1149, -0.1293, -0.1238, -0.1025, -0.1018, -0.1111, -0.1121, -0.1238, -0.1304, -0.1243, -0.1028, -0.0839, -0.0713, -0.0655, -0.0818, -0.0798, -0.0621, -0.0764, -0.0902, -0.0699, -0.0926, -0.1169, -0.1192, -0.1111, -0.1102, -0.1337, -0.1131, -0.1298, -0.1468, -0.1561, -0.158, -0.1815, -0.2345, -0.2654, -0.2678, -0.3008, -0.276, -0.2926, -0.2948, -0.2706, -0.2708, -0.2393, -0.2472, -0.2607, -0.2782, -0.2708, -0.2661, -0.2808]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005043882485317686", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-27T22:31:28+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "short silver", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long stocks and Bitcoin, short silver in response to precious metals topping and ISM picking up.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity ETF SLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheShortBear 100%\n\nLong stocks and Bitcoin, short silver", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Precious metals topping and ISM picking up back up is the best combination we could hope for. \n\nHere are a few models to illustrate it.\n\nThe ISM is pointing higher, not lower. https://t.co/5UIsVOw4EF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheShortBear", "ret_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07741251999667598, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04499319988770312, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04650809870432049, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07938193469002708, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.1557340139571337, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1557340139571337, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "price_path": [-0.3499, -0.3557, -0.3407, -0.3325, -0.3427, -0.325, -0.3227, -0.3118, -0.284, -0.291, -0.2678, -0.2551, -0.2881, -0.2771, -0.3366, -0.3353, -0.3307, -0.3336, -0.3577, -0.3531, -0.3451, -0.3283, -0.3333, -0.3371, -0.3525, -0.3387, -0.3403, -0.3346, -0.3063, -0.2963, -0.268, -0.2816, -0.3037, -0.3112, -0.3016, -0.2963, -0.3065, -0.3137, -0.2936, -0.293, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.2242, -0.2044, -0.1951, -0.196, -0.2159, -0.1978, -0.2015, -0.1642, -0.1506, -0.1271, -0.1501, -0.1197, -0.1254, -0.0871, -0.1013, -0.077, -0.0536, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.012, 0.0774, 0.0, 0.045, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0039, 0.0465, 0.1166, 0.075, 0.0561, 0.0965, 0.17, 0.1907, 0.281, 0.2622, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2936, 0.2719, 0.32, 0.4075, 0.4898, 0.539, 0.5998, 0.5993, 0.1429, 0.0974, 0.1659, 0.1995, 0.0103, 0.0633, 0.1519, 0.1121, 0.1598, 0.0261, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0055, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.1607, 0.2206, 0.198, 0.2125, 0.2188, 0.2875, 0.2357, 0.1313, 0.1413, 0.1251, 0.1504, 0.1856, 0.2133, 0.1803, 0.1586, 0.1012, 0.1092, 0.0856, 0.0408, -0.005, -0.068, -0.0536, -0.0464, -0.0121, -0.0794, -0.0389, -0.0377, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0012, -0.0011, 0.0221, 0.0361, 0.0465, 0.0344, 0.0913, 0.0883, 0.0792, 0.1154, 0.093, 0.0376, 0.0661, 0.0359, 0.0421, 0.0351, 0.0029, -0.0177, 0.0098, 0.0345, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0624, 0.0847, 0.106, 0.1816, 0.19, 0.2021, 0.1439, 0.0459, 0.0595, 0.0135, 0.0412, 0.0521, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0562, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0351, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.003, 0.0147, -0.0673, -0.0671, -0.106, -0.1265, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.0385, -0.0397, -0.0818, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.1076, -0.1557]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995588759182868693", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T20:20:11+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bottom is in on MSTR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Calls the bottom on MSTR; bullish from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The bottom is in on MSTR. Even if I’m right, will delete so no crying on the feed. Thanks for your understanding.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03360164839786717, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03360164839786717, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02901523898071967, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02901523898071967, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05781124587542252, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05781124587542252, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.055959059469515404, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055959059469515404, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "ret_p1w": 0.07157860461746157, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07157860461746157, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06663938055818086, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06663938055818086, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "ret_p1m": -0.09222959822349308, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09222959822349308, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10512153571233762, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10512153571233762, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "ret_p3m": -0.22179445034755985, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22179445034755985, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23806264303103453, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23806264303103453, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "ret_p6m": -0.06702838417860635, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06702838417860635, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1766817275089576, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1766817275089576, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09222959822349308, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10512153571233762, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10512153571233762, "price_path": [0.9266, 0.911, 0.9593, 0.9245, 0.9165, 0.9044, 0.9019, 0.9335, 0.9122, 0.9548, 0.9234, 1.0366, 1.0111, 0.9597, 0.9121, 0.8861, 0.7542, 0.8029, 0.9042, 0.8797, 0.9742, 1.0554, 1.0513, 1.0983, 0.9158, 0.9298, 0.8685, 0.778, 0.8403, 0.754, 0.7312, 0.6558, 0.691, 0.7303, 0.7612, 0.6381, 0.6621, 0.6864, 0.7246, 0.6605, 0.6063, 0.4851, 0.5722, 0.544, 0.4408, 0.4876, 0.3837, 0.4113, 0.3935, 0.3496, 0.3103, 0.2165, 0.1653, 0.14, 0.2064, 0.088, 0.0333, -0.0054, 0.0445, 0.0045, 0.0246, 0.0246, 0.0336, 0.0, 0.0578, 0.099, 0.0851, 0.0442, 0.0716, 0.1025, 0.0771, 0.0693, 0.0293, -0.0545, -0.0229, -0.0644, -0.0769, -0.0385, -0.0414, -0.079, -0.0741, -0.0741, -0.0736, -0.0935, -0.0922, -0.1136, -0.1136, -0.0832, -0.0391, -0.0785, -0.0559, -0.026, -0.0822, -0.0536, 0.0092, 0.0461, -0.003, 0.0134, 0.0134, -0.0653, -0.0444, -0.0609, -0.0485, -0.0632, -0.0574, -0.0757, -0.1647, -0.1266, -0.1855, -0.2226, -0.2469, -0.3759, -0.2129, -0.1924, -0.2241, -0.2646, -0.2825, -0.219, -0.219, -0.2494, -0.2696, -0.2448, -0.2355, -0.2783, -0.2731, -0.2087, -0.2218, -0.2445, -0.197, -0.226, -0.1457, -0.1844, -0.221, -0.1894, -0.1923, -0.193, -0.1988, -0.1852, -0.1394, -0.1233, -0.18, -0.1936, -0.2086, -0.1938, -0.2052, -0.1884, -0.2245, -0.2648, -0.2916, -0.272, -0.2837, -0.301, -0.301, -0.2551, -0.2783, -0.2515, -0.2483, -0.2496, -0.2279, -0.1984, -0.1626, -0.1311, -0.0286, -0.0036, -0.0435, 0.0463, 0.0061, -0.0023, -0.013, -0.0333, -0.0772, -0.0348, 0.0335, 0.0722, 0.0903, 0.0898, 0.0491, 0.0943, 0.143, 0.0758, 0.0386, 0.0907, 0.035, -0.0279, -0.0396, -0.0327, -0.0383, -0.0673, -0.0673, -0.067]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1987681697354424608", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-10T00:40:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This could finally be the springboard/slingshot move that takes us to $130,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC could spring to $130,000; move may happen fast when it triggers.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This could finally be the springboard/slingshot move that takes us to $130,000. Keep an eye on it. When it’s ready, it can go very fast.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024757281410281218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024757281410281218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009392755132155761, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009392755132155761, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028294541304540788, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028294541304540788, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03058389915907922, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03058389915907922, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "ret_p1w": -0.13116193887126681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13116193887126681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10801982727595372, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10801982727595372, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "ret_p1m": -0.12552179595393842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12552179595393842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12786985529192652, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12786985529192652, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "ret_p3m": -0.40845176776022574, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40845176776022574, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40578437235227116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40578437235227116, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "ret_p6m": -0.2365126856965628, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2365126856965628, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3046789254077732, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3046789254077732, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12552179595393842, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12786985529192652, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12786985529192652, "price_path": [0.1637, 0.1166, 0.1076, 0.0968, 0.0645, 0.0781, 0.0606, 0.1026, 0.0389, 0.0548, 0.0493, 0.0618, 0.0228, 0.0307, 0.0491, 0.054, 0.0446, 0.0439, 0.0573, 0.0522, 0.0751, 0.0897, 0.0953, 0.0891, 0.1023, 0.0988, 0.1051, 0.0914, 0.0637, 0.0568, 0.0692, 0.0288, 0.0351, 0.0793, 0.076, 0.1194, 0.1385, 0.1535, 0.1769, 0.1458, 0.1638, 0.1482, 0.0681, 0.0875, 0.0672, 0.0452, 0.0207, 0.0044, 0.0433, 0.0234, 0.016, 0.0384, 0.0475, 0.0766, 0.0657, 0.0383, 0.0218, 0.0336, 0.0052, -0.0416, -0.0199, -0.0443, -0.0248, 0.0, -0.0283, -0.0409, -0.0594, -0.1094, -0.1312, -0.1231, -0.1371, -0.1827, -0.1972, -0.1672, -0.176, -0.146, -0.1388, -0.1422, -0.1856, -0.1382, -0.1176, -0.1307, -0.1567, -0.1449, -0.1255, -0.1318, -0.1272, -0.1484, -0.1847, -0.1713, -0.1873, -0.1937, -0.1688, -0.1652, -0.1753, -0.1734, -0.177, -0.1764, -0.1779, -0.1657, -0.1744, -0.1629, -0.1514, -0.1143, -0.1157, -0.1386, -0.1412, -0.1461, -0.1397, -0.1007, -0.0855, -0.0985, -0.0988, -0.1268, -0.1669, -0.1568, -0.156, -0.1556, -0.1673, -0.1594, -0.1586, -0.2022, -0.2063, -0.2576, -0.2865, -0.3111, -0.4085, -0.3344, -0.3385, -0.351, -0.368, -0.3752, -0.3504, -0.3505, -0.3632, -0.3733, -0.3683, -0.3584, -0.3904, -0.3955, -0.3588, -0.3636, -0.3785, -0.3512, -0.3557, -0.314, -0.3317, -0.3572, -0.3547, -0.3403, -0.3377, -0.3349, -0.3305, -0.2937, -0.3026, -0.3279, -0.3404, -0.3347, -0.331, -0.3347, -0.3272, -0.351, -0.3741, -0.3708, -0.3563, -0.3577, -0.369, -0.3686, -0.3504, -0.3213, -0.329, -0.3229, -0.3115, -0.2973, -0.3002, -0.2943, -0.291, -0.2724, -0.2842, -0.2797, -0.2622, -0.2616, -0.2693, -0.2701, -0.2797, -0.2851, -0.2801, -0.2624, -0.2469, -0.2365]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1996981611133640835", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T16:34:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "See you at $100,000+ Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $100K+; views current bearishness as a trap that will flush out the shorts.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is a trap. They are circling up all the \"end of cycle\" bears in to the middle of the clearing where they will loudly declare victory and dance on Bitcoin's gravestone only to be summarily slaughtered one by one. I've seen this movie a few times. See you at $100,000+ Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03080810230497688, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03080810230497688, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03270389619682823, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03270389619682823, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018957938918513495, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018957938918513495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01401137407571107, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01401137407571107, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01701558318151708, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01701558318151708, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042091058060105, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042091058060105, "ret_p1w": 0.009874464597841914, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009874464597841914, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01560582388107512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01560582388107512, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005731359283233206, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005731359283233206, "ret_p1m": 0.050284255752653495, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050284255752653495, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.044360023247170144, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.044360023247170144, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924232505483351, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924232505483351, "ret_p3m": -0.18657118262751482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18657118262751482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18870705835720647, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18870705835720647, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021358757296916497, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021358757296916497, "ret_p6m": -0.2021304126779805, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2021304126779805, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31467270073777287, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31467270073777287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11254228805979238, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11254228805979238, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.050284255752653495, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.044360023247170144, "alpha_c_stated": 0.044360023247170144, "price_path": [0.2477, 0.2748, 0.2922, 0.2989, 0.2915, 0.3071, 0.303, 0.3104, 0.2942, 0.2613, 0.2531, 0.2678, 0.22, 0.2274, 0.2798, 0.276, 0.3274, 0.3501, 0.3678, 0.3956, 0.3587, 0.38, 0.3615, 0.2666, 0.2896, 0.2655, 0.2394, 0.2103, 0.1911, 0.2372, 0.2136, 0.2047, 0.2314, 0.2422, 0.2767, 0.2637, 0.2312, 0.2116, 0.2256, 0.192, 0.1365, 0.1623, 0.1333, 0.1564, 0.1858, 0.1523, 0.1373, 0.1153, 0.056, 0.0303, 0.0398, 0.0232, -0.0308, -0.0481, -0.0125, -0.0229, 0.0126, 0.0212, 0.0171, -0.0343, 0.022, 0.0463, 0.0308, 0.0, 0.014, 0.037, 0.0295, 0.0349, 0.0099, -0.0332, -0.0173, -0.0363, -0.0439, -0.0144, -0.01, -0.0221, -0.0199, -0.0241, -0.0233, -0.0252, -0.0107, -0.021, -0.0073, 0.0062, 0.0503, 0.0486, 0.0215, 0.0183, 0.0126, 0.0202, 0.0664, 0.0844, 0.069, 0.0687, 0.0354, -0.012, -0.0001, 0.0008, 0.0013, -0.0125, -0.0032, -0.0023, -0.054, -0.0588, -0.1197, -0.1539, -0.1831, -0.2985, -0.2107, -0.2155, -0.2304, -0.2505, -0.2592, -0.2297, -0.2298, -0.2449, -0.2569, -0.2509, -0.2392, -0.2771, -0.2831, -0.2397, -0.2454, -0.263, -0.2306, -0.236, -0.1866, -0.2075, -0.2377, -0.2348, -0.2177, -0.2146, -0.2114, -0.2061, -0.1625, -0.173, -0.203, -0.2179, -0.211, -0.2067, -0.2111, -0.2022, -0.2304, -0.2579, -0.2539, -0.2367, -0.2384, -0.2517, -0.2512, -0.2297, -0.1952, -0.2043, -0.1971, -0.1836, -0.1667, -0.1701, -0.1631, -0.1593, -0.1372, -0.1512, -0.1458, -0.1251, -0.1244, -0.1335, -0.1345, -0.1458, -0.1523, -0.1464, -0.1254, -0.1069, -0.0947, -0.0891, -0.1049, -0.1029, -0.0857, -0.0997, -0.1131, -0.0933, -0.1155, -0.1391, -0.1414, -0.1335, -0.1326, -0.1555, -0.1355, -0.1517, -0.1683, -0.1773, -0.1792, -0.2021]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990059198667980942", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-16T14:07:41+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is no \"final leg up\" in Bitcoin until governments stop printing money. Zoom out.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC on structural basis: as long as governments keep printing money, Bitcoin has no final top — zoom out.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BitQua There is no “final leg up” in Bitcoin until governments stop printing money. Zoom out.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The final leg up is coming. https://t.co/RiiQSkWlfk", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitQua", "ret_m1d": 0.025017017282636944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025017017282636944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015613059225842996, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015613059225842996, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009284005043766586, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009284005043766586, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01768155838756147, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01768155838756147, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "ret_p1w": -0.04151538308057945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04151538308057945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04611224708429518, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04611224708429518, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "ret_p1m": -0.04614737543620573, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04614737543620573, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06597704287149708, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06597704287149708, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "ret_p3m": -0.28093107440641407, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28093107440641407, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.30739029190317513, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30739029190317513, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "ret_p6m": -0.12613632353400261, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12613632353400261, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24137835342069092, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24137835342069092, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2409, 0.2207, 0.2691, 0.1958, 0.214, 0.2077, 0.2221, 0.1772, 0.1863, 0.2075, 0.2131, 0.2023, 0.2015, 0.2169, 0.2111, 0.2374, 0.2542, 0.2607, 0.2536, 0.2687, 0.2647, 0.2719, 0.2562, 0.2243, 0.2163, 0.2306, 0.1841, 0.1913, 0.2422, 0.2385, 0.2883, 0.3104, 0.3276, 0.3546, 0.3188, 0.3394, 0.3215, 0.2293, 0.2517, 0.2283, 0.2029, 0.1747, 0.1561, 0.2008, 0.1779, 0.1693, 0.1952, 0.2057, 0.2392, 0.2265, 0.195, 0.176, 0.1896, 0.1569, 0.1031, 0.1281, 0.1, 0.1225, 0.151, 0.1184, 0.1039, 0.0826, 0.025, 0.0, 0.0093, -0.0068, -0.0593, -0.076, -0.0415, -0.0516, -0.0171, -0.0088, -0.0128, -0.0627, -0.0081, 0.0156, 0.0005, -0.0294, -0.0158, 0.0065, -0.0008, 0.0045, -0.0198, -0.0616, -0.0461, -0.0646, -0.072, -0.0433, -0.0391, -0.0508, -0.0487, -0.0528, -0.052, -0.0538, -0.0398, -0.0498, -0.0365, -0.0233, 0.0194, 0.0178, -0.0085, -0.0116, -0.0172, -0.0098, 0.0351, 0.0525, 0.0375, 0.0373, 0.005, -0.0411, -0.0295, -0.0286, -0.0281, -0.0416, -0.0325, -0.0316, -0.0818, -0.0865, -0.1456, -0.1787, -0.2071, -0.3192, -0.2339, -0.2386, -0.253, -0.2726, -0.2809, -0.2523, -0.2525, -0.2671, -0.2787, -0.2729, -0.2616, -0.2984, -0.3042, -0.2621, -0.2676, -0.2846, -0.2532, -0.2584, -0.2105, -0.2308, -0.2601, -0.2573, -0.2407, -0.2377, -0.2345, -0.2294, -0.1871, -0.1973, -0.2264, -0.2409, -0.2342, -0.23, -0.2343, -0.2257, -0.253, -0.2797, -0.2758, -0.2591, -0.2608, -0.2737, -0.2732, -0.2523, -0.2188, -0.2277, -0.2207, -0.2076, -0.1912, -0.1945, -0.1877, -0.184, -0.1625, -0.1761, -0.1709, -0.1508, -0.1501, -0.159, -0.1599, -0.1709, -0.1772, -0.1715, -0.1511, -0.1332, -0.1213, -0.1158, -0.1312, -0.1293, -0.1126, -0.1261]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002491396482347215", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-20T21:28:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are about to rocket out of it to definitive new highs above $140,000. $315,000 within 12 months. Mark it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC to $315K within 12 months; claims inflation-adjusted ATH not yet hit and a new bull breakout is imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are still below the inflation adjusted all time high of $69,420 from 2021. There has been no bull market whatsoever. We have been in a deep bear market for 4 years and we are about to rocket out of it to definitive new highs above $140,000. $315,000 within 12 months. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0043692252710006985, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0043692252710006985, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018220084080202703, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0018220084080202703, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006191233679020969, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006191233679020969, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01215974047919599, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01215974047919599, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016730232826526636, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016730232826526636, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570492347330646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570492347330646, "ret_p1w": -0.015277147262906299, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015277147262906299, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019686990088001233, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019686990088001233, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409842825094934, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409842825094934, "ret_p1m": -0.0020240630961013695, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0020240630961013695, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008562498504165017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008562498504165017, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586561600266386, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586561600266386, "ret_p3m": -0.2099358490479417, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2099358490479417, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17338660436949072, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17338660436949072, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.036549244678451, "bench_c_p3m": -0.036549244678451, "ret_p6m": -0.25866618779908257, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25866618779908257, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35730266489931295, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35730266489931295, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09863647710023038, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09863647710023038, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0020240630961013695, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008562498504165017, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008562498504165017, "price_path": [0.2807, 0.2323, 0.2398, 0.2928, 0.2889, 0.3408, 0.3638, 0.3817, 0.4098, 0.3725, 0.394, 0.3754, 0.2794, 0.3026, 0.2783, 0.2519, 0.2226, 0.2032, 0.2497, 0.2259, 0.217, 0.2439, 0.2548, 0.2896, 0.2765, 0.2437, 0.2239, 0.2381, 0.2041, 0.148, 0.1741, 0.1448, 0.1682, 0.1978, 0.1639, 0.1489, 0.1267, 0.0668, 0.0407, 0.0504, 0.0336, -0.021, -0.0384, -0.0025, -0.013, 0.0229, 0.0316, 0.0275, -0.0245, 0.0323, 0.0569, 0.0413, 0.0101, 0.0243, 0.0475, 0.0399, 0.0454, 0.0201, -0.0234, -0.0073, -0.0265, -0.0342, -0.0044, 0.0, -0.0122, -0.0099, -0.0142, -0.0134, -0.0153, -0.0007, -0.0111, 0.0027, 0.0164, 0.0609, 0.0592, 0.0318, 0.0287, 0.0229, 0.0305, 0.0772, 0.0954, 0.0798, 0.0795, 0.0459, -0.002, 0.01, 0.011, 0.0115, -0.0025, 0.0069, 0.0078, -0.0444, -0.0493, -0.1108, -0.1453, -0.1748, -0.2914, -0.2027, -0.2076, -0.2226, -0.2429, -0.2516, -0.2219, -0.222, -0.2373, -0.2493, -0.2433, -0.2315, -0.2698, -0.2759, -0.232, -0.2377, -0.2555, -0.2228, -0.2282, -0.1783, -0.1994, -0.23, -0.227, -0.2098, -0.2066, -0.2034, -0.198, -0.154, -0.1646, -0.1949, -0.2099, -0.203, -0.1986, -0.2031, -0.1941, -0.2226, -0.2503, -0.2463, -0.2289, -0.2307, -0.2441, -0.2436, -0.2218, -0.187, -0.1963, -0.189, -0.1753, -0.1583, -0.1617, -0.1546, -0.1507, -0.1284, -0.1426, -0.1372, -0.1162, -0.1155, -0.1247, -0.1257, -0.1372, -0.1437, -0.1377, -0.1165, -0.0979, -0.0855, -0.0798, -0.0958, -0.0938, -0.0764, -0.0905, -0.1041, -0.0841, -0.1065, -0.1304, -0.1327, -0.1247, -0.1238, -0.1469, -0.1267, -0.1431, -0.1599, -0.169, -0.1708, -0.194, -0.2462, -0.2766, -0.279, -0.3115, -0.287, -0.3034, -0.3056, -0.2817, -0.2819, -0.2509, -0.2587]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002486895008452808", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-20T21:10:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "No, we are about to exit a 4 year bear market.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly disagrees with bear market framing; expects crypto to exit multi-year bear and move significantly higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@crypto_birb No, we are about to exit a 4 year bear market.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bounce scenario.\n\nFrom contrarian standpoint, current extreme fear (denial) can theoretically lead into a $100k+ bounce.\n\nThe problem is we're in confirmed bear market. So every bounce is more likely to fail and dip even lower.\n\nNot seeing much demand.\n\nI'm hopeful but skeptical. https://t.co/e2khZujzdB", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crypto_birb", "ret_m1d": -0.0043692252710006985, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0043692252710006985, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018220084080202703, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0018220084080202703, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006191233679020969, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006191233679020969, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01215974047919599, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01215974047919599, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016730232826526636, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016730232826526636, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570492347330646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570492347330646, "ret_p1w": -0.015277147262906299, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015277147262906299, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019686990088001233, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019686990088001233, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409842825094934, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409842825094934, "ret_p1m": -0.0020240630961013695, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0020240630961013695, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008562498504165017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008562498504165017, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586561600266386, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586561600266386, "ret_p3m": -0.2099358490479417, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2099358490479417, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17338660436949072, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17338660436949072, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.036549244678451, "bench_c_p3m": -0.036549244678451, "ret_p6m": -0.25866618779908257, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25866618779908257, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35730266489931295, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35730266489931295, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09863647710023038, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09863647710023038, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0020240630961013695, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008562498504165017, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008562498504165017, "price_path": [0.2807, 0.2323, 0.2398, 0.2928, 0.2889, 0.3408, 0.3638, 0.3817, 0.4098, 0.3725, 0.394, 0.3754, 0.2794, 0.3026, 0.2783, 0.2519, 0.2226, 0.2032, 0.2497, 0.2259, 0.217, 0.2439, 0.2548, 0.2896, 0.2765, 0.2437, 0.2239, 0.2381, 0.2041, 0.148, 0.1741, 0.1448, 0.1682, 0.1978, 0.1639, 0.1489, 0.1267, 0.0668, 0.0407, 0.0504, 0.0336, -0.021, -0.0384, -0.0025, -0.013, 0.0229, 0.0316, 0.0275, -0.0245, 0.0323, 0.0569, 0.0413, 0.0101, 0.0243, 0.0475, 0.0399, 0.0454, 0.0201, -0.0234, -0.0073, -0.0265, -0.0342, -0.0044, 0.0, -0.0122, -0.0099, -0.0142, -0.0134, -0.0153, -0.0007, -0.0111, 0.0027, 0.0164, 0.0609, 0.0592, 0.0318, 0.0287, 0.0229, 0.0305, 0.0772, 0.0954, 0.0798, 0.0795, 0.0459, -0.002, 0.01, 0.011, 0.0115, -0.0025, 0.0069, 0.0078, -0.0444, -0.0493, -0.1108, -0.1453, -0.1748, -0.2914, -0.2027, -0.2076, -0.2226, -0.2429, -0.2516, -0.2219, -0.222, -0.2373, -0.2493, -0.2433, -0.2315, -0.2698, -0.2759, -0.232, -0.2377, -0.2555, -0.2228, -0.2282, -0.1783, -0.1994, -0.23, -0.227, -0.2098, -0.2066, -0.2034, -0.198, -0.154, -0.1646, -0.1949, -0.2099, -0.203, -0.1986, -0.2031, -0.1941, -0.2226, -0.2503, -0.2463, -0.2289, -0.2307, -0.2441, -0.2436, -0.2218, -0.187, -0.1963, -0.189, -0.1753, -0.1583, -0.1617, -0.1546, -0.1507, -0.1284, -0.1426, -0.1372, -0.1162, -0.1155, -0.1247, -0.1257, -0.1372, -0.1437, -0.1377, -0.1165, -0.0979, -0.0855, -0.0798, -0.0958, -0.0938, -0.0764, -0.0905, -0.1041, -0.0841, -0.1065, -0.1304, -0.1327, -0.1247, -0.1238, -0.1469, -0.1267, -0.1431, -0.1599, -0.169, -0.1708, -0.194, -0.2462, -0.2766, -0.279, -0.3115, -0.287, -0.3034, -0.3056, -0.2817, -0.2819, -0.2509, -0.2587]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1987503914221240825", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-09T12:53:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Over a long enough time horizon, this is more true than most people are capable of understanding. This is your advantage.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Endorses low long-term risk in Bitcoin; implicitly bullish over a long time horizon.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AUKM_42 Over a long enough time horizon, this is more true than most people are capable of understanding. This is your advantage.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred No risk in Bitcoin. Believe me", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AUKM_42", "ret_m1d": -0.024757281410281218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024757281410281218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009392755132155761, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009392755132155761, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028294541304540788, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028294541304540788, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03058389915907922, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03058389915907922, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "ret_p1w": -0.13116193887126681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13116193887126681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10801982727595372, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10801982727595372, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "ret_p1m": -0.12552179595393842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12552179595393842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12786985529192652, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12786985529192652, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "ret_p3m": -0.40845176776022574, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40845176776022574, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40578437235227116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40578437235227116, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "ret_p6m": -0.2365126856965628, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2365126856965628, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3046789254077732, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3046789254077732, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1637, 0.1166, 0.1076, 0.0968, 0.0645, 0.0781, 0.0606, 0.1026, 0.0389, 0.0548, 0.0493, 0.0618, 0.0228, 0.0307, 0.0491, 0.054, 0.0446, 0.0439, 0.0573, 0.0522, 0.0751, 0.0897, 0.0953, 0.0891, 0.1023, 0.0988, 0.1051, 0.0914, 0.0637, 0.0568, 0.0692, 0.0288, 0.0351, 0.0793, 0.076, 0.1194, 0.1385, 0.1535, 0.1769, 0.1458, 0.1638, 0.1482, 0.0681, 0.0875, 0.0672, 0.0452, 0.0207, 0.0044, 0.0433, 0.0234, 0.016, 0.0384, 0.0475, 0.0766, 0.0657, 0.0383, 0.0218, 0.0336, 0.0052, -0.0416, -0.0199, -0.0443, -0.0248, 0.0, -0.0283, -0.0409, -0.0594, -0.1094, -0.1312, -0.1231, -0.1371, -0.1827, -0.1972, -0.1672, -0.176, -0.146, -0.1388, -0.1422, -0.1856, -0.1382, -0.1176, -0.1307, -0.1567, -0.1449, -0.1255, -0.1318, -0.1272, -0.1484, -0.1847, -0.1713, -0.1873, -0.1937, -0.1688, -0.1652, -0.1753, -0.1734, -0.177, -0.1764, -0.1779, -0.1657, -0.1744, -0.1629, -0.1514, -0.1143, -0.1157, -0.1386, -0.1412, -0.1461, -0.1397, -0.1007, -0.0855, -0.0985, -0.0988, -0.1268, -0.1669, -0.1568, -0.156, -0.1556, -0.1673, -0.1594, -0.1586, -0.2022, -0.2063, -0.2576, -0.2865, -0.3111, -0.4085, -0.3344, -0.3385, -0.351, -0.368, -0.3752, -0.3504, -0.3505, -0.3632, -0.3733, -0.3683, -0.3584, -0.3904, -0.3955, -0.3588, -0.3636, -0.3785, -0.3512, -0.3557, -0.314, -0.3317, -0.3572, -0.3547, -0.3403, -0.3377, -0.3349, -0.3305, -0.2937, -0.3026, -0.3279, -0.3404, -0.3347, -0.331, -0.3347, -0.3272, -0.351, -0.3741, -0.3708, -0.3563, -0.3577, -0.369, -0.3686, -0.3504, -0.3213, -0.329, -0.3229, -0.3115, -0.2973, -0.3002, -0.2943, -0.291, -0.2724, -0.2842, -0.2797, -0.2622, -0.2616, -0.2693, -0.2701, -0.2797, -0.2851, -0.2801, -0.2624, -0.2469, -0.2365]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020883895844262384", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-09T15:34:01+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Morgan Stanley initiated on CIFR at overweight with a $38 price target. They are still behind me but coming up the curve quickly now.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares/endorses MS Overweight initiation on CIFR with $38 PT, noting MS is catching up to the author's own bullish view.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m on vacation but couldn’t help notice that Morgan Stanley initiated on CIFR at overweight with a $38 price target. They are still behind me but coming up the curve quickly now. Stock +10% https://t.co/xpyEcb08OY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12112175769229938, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12112175769229938, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1163231684616175, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10563520742871457, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015486550263584808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020286405008633768, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020286405008633768, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022923462779333215, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02586711596481106, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005580710956177293, "ret_p1w": -0.020286405008633657, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020286405008633657, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0027059019764239522, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00615242788748116, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026438832896114817, "ret_p1m": -0.1670644482396686, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1670644482396686, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14289846285418895, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1420207664066695, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0250436818329991, "ret_p3m": 0.2341884954331177, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2341884954331177, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17708351517479848, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.048970587775579055, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18521790765753865, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1670644482396686, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14289846285418895, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1420207664066695, "price_path": [0.037, -0.1092, -0.1432, -0.1438, -0.1301, -0.1277, -0.1313, -0.1557, -0.003, 0.0453, 0.1426, 0.1426, 0.2142, 0.1748, 0.0525, 0.1116, 0.1832, 0.1504, 0.1623, 0.1671, 0.1026, 0.1265, 0.0173, -0.1205, -0.1056, -0.1414, -0.0961, -0.0328, -0.0251, -0.0507, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0937, -0.1002, -0.1295, -0.1193, -0.1193, -0.0334, 0.0835, 0.0465, -0.0406, -0.0125, -0.0078, 0.0549, 0.0889, 0.0817, 0.0453, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.0692, 0.0573, 0.0376, 0.0483, -0.0161, 0.1187, 0.1319, 0.0561, -0.0477, -0.0567, -0.0298, -0.1498, -0.2422, -0.1211, 0.0, 0.0203, -0.0286, -0.0394, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.0668, -0.08, -0.0573, -0.1259, -0.0919, 0.0215, -0.0089, -0.0167, -0.0692, -0.0597, -0.1223, -0.043, -0.0961, -0.1874, -0.1462, -0.1671, -0.1581, -0.182, -0.1599, -0.0967, -0.0996, -0.1247, -0.1265, -0.1641, -0.1116, -0.1122, -0.0525, -0.1438, -0.1799, -0.2831, -0.2321, -0.2458, -0.2351, -0.2351, -0.2035, -0.1641, -0.08, -0.0239, -0.0137, 0.0597, 0.1008, 0.074, 0.0346, 0.1557, 0.151, 0.0764, 0.1599, 0.1152, 0.0859, 0.0835, 0.0298, 0.0095, 0.0585, 0.0167, 0.0674, 0.3186, 0.3073, 0.2342, 0.2261, 0.21, 0.1969, 0.2673, 0.33, 0.213, 0.1408, 0.1217, 0.1623, 0.284, 0.3109, 0.3109, 0.3735, 0.5012, 0.4672, 0.4111, 0.4326, 0.5686, 0.5656, 0.5245, 0.3395, 0.4493, 0.3744, 0.2542, 0.3502, 0.4618, 0.5531, 0.5638, 0.5722, 0.7411, 0.7411, 0.679, 0.6492, 0.5644, 0.5322, 0.5477, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1993733899638485351", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T17:29:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$92,000 inbound.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC heading to $92K by Thanksgiving, endorsing and restating the price target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$92,000 inbound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$88,000 ✅\n$92,000 - possible by Thanksgiving\n$104,000 - likely by early December", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.035092066518613185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035092066518613185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02823590732953818, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02823590732953818, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006856159189075006, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006856159189075006, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008473504729832548, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008473504729832548, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008473504729832548, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008473504729832548, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.033246705541718935, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033246705541718935, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027052602769412015, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027052602769412015, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "ret_p1m": -0.03627578691513833, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03627578691513833, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05501989703960353, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05501989703960353, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "ret_p3m": -0.2861477699061594, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2861477699061594, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2931016258777417, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2931016258777417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "ret_p6m": -0.143387421976082, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.143387421976082, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2423589709345746, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2423589709345746, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03627578691513833, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05501989703960353, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05501989703960353, "price_path": [0.1977, 0.2069, 0.2285, 0.2343, 0.2232, 0.2224, 0.2381, 0.2321, 0.2589, 0.2761, 0.2826, 0.2754, 0.2908, 0.2867, 0.2941, 0.2781, 0.2456, 0.2375, 0.252, 0.2047, 0.2121, 0.2638, 0.26, 0.3108, 0.3332, 0.3507, 0.3782, 0.3417, 0.3628, 0.3445, 0.2507, 0.2735, 0.2497, 0.2239, 0.1952, 0.1762, 0.2217, 0.1984, 0.1897, 0.216, 0.2266, 0.2607, 0.2479, 0.2158, 0.1965, 0.2103, 0.1771, 0.1223, 0.1477, 0.1191, 0.142, 0.171, 0.1379, 0.1231, 0.1014, 0.0429, 0.0174, 0.0269, 0.0105, -0.0429, -0.06, -0.0248, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0085, 0.0044, -0.0464, 0.0092, 0.0332, 0.0179, -0.0125, 0.0013, 0.024, 0.0166, 0.022, -0.0027, -0.0453, -0.0295, -0.0483, -0.0559, -0.0267, -0.0224, -0.0343, -0.0321, -0.0363, -0.0355, -0.0373, -0.0231, -0.0332, -0.0197, -0.0063, 0.0372, 0.0355, 0.0087, 0.0056, -0.0001, 0.0075, 0.0531, 0.0708, 0.0556, 0.0553, 0.0225, -0.0244, -0.0126, -0.0117, -0.0112, -0.0249, -0.0156, -0.0147, -0.0658, -0.0706, -0.1307, -0.1644, -0.1933, -0.3073, -0.2205, -0.2253, -0.24, -0.2599, -0.2684, -0.2393, -0.2395, -0.2544, -0.2662, -0.2603, -0.2487, -0.2861, -0.2921, -0.2492, -0.2548, -0.2722, -0.2402, -0.2455, -0.1967, -0.2174, -0.2473, -0.2443, -0.2275, -0.2244, -0.2212, -0.216, -0.173, -0.1833, -0.2129, -0.2276, -0.2209, -0.2166, -0.221, -0.2122, -0.24, -0.2671, -0.2632, -0.2462, -0.2479, -0.261, -0.2606, -0.2393, -0.2052, -0.2143, -0.2071, -0.1938, -0.1771, -0.1805, -0.1736, -0.1698, -0.1479, -0.1618, -0.1565, -0.1361, -0.1353, -0.1443, -0.1453, -0.1565, -0.1629, -0.157, -0.1363, -0.1181, -0.106, -0.1004, -0.1161, -0.1141, -0.0971, -0.1109, -0.1242, -0.1046, -0.1265, -0.1499, -0.1521, -0.1443, -0.1434]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003689904048652755", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-24T04:51:14+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm pretty damn bullish Kaweo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's bullish BTC thesis; author is pretty damn bullish on Bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoKaleo I’m pretty damn bullish Kaweo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin / $BTC\n\nI still believe the market is in a similar place to where it was in the Fall of 2020.\n\nIn both scenarios, BTC lost a key support line it had held dating back to the recovery from a major crash. This led to a mini-bart scenario where the price found a base for a https://t.co/nlUPGusPZr", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoKaleo", "ret_m1d": -0.0022595195379911948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0022595195379911948, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0012458242003352549, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0012458242003352549, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035053437383264496, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035053437383264496, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004305562231041726, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004305562231041726, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004305562231041726, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004305562231041726, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.0011771544820640134, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0011771544820640134, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0110769726291301, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0110769726291301, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012254127111194113, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012254127111194113, "ret_p1m": 0.021121456108259995, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021121456108259995, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023149293905766477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023149293905766477, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.002027837797506482, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002027837797506482, "ret_p3m": -0.19058016033234615, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19058016033234615, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14247598336510303, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14247598336510303, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04810417696724312, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04810417696724312, "ret_p6m": -0.2821017589011774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2821017589011774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3694860498951904, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3694860498951904, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08738429099401301, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08738429099401301, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.021121456108259995, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.023149293905766477, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023149293905766477, "price_path": [0.2523, 0.3058, 0.3018, 0.3543, 0.3775, 0.3955, 0.4239, 0.3862, 0.408, 0.3891, 0.2922, 0.3157, 0.2911, 0.2645, 0.2348, 0.2152, 0.2623, 0.2382, 0.2292, 0.2563, 0.2673, 0.3026, 0.2893, 0.2562, 0.2362, 0.2505, 0.2161, 0.1596, 0.1858, 0.1562, 0.1799, 0.2098, 0.1756, 0.1604, 0.1379, 0.0775, 0.0512, 0.0609, 0.044, -0.0112, -0.0288, 0.0075, -0.0031, 0.0332, 0.0419, 0.0377, -0.0147, 0.0427, 0.0675, 0.0517, 0.0203, 0.0346, 0.058, 0.0503, 0.0559, 0.0303, -0.0136, 0.0026, -0.0168, -0.0245, 0.0056, 0.01, -0.0023, 0.0, -0.0043, -0.0035, -0.0054, 0.0093, -0.0012, 0.0128, 0.0266, 0.0716, 0.0698, 0.0422, 0.039, 0.0331, 0.0409, 0.088, 0.1063, 0.0906, 0.0903, 0.0564, 0.008, 0.0201, 0.0211, 0.0216, 0.0075, 0.017, 0.0179, -0.0348, -0.0398, -0.1018, -0.1367, -0.1666, -0.2843, -0.1947, -0.1996, -0.2148, -0.2354, -0.2441, -0.2141, -0.2142, -0.2296, -0.2418, -0.2357, -0.2238, -0.2625, -0.2686, -0.2243, -0.2301, -0.248, -0.215, -0.2205, -0.1701, -0.1914, -0.2223, -0.2193, -0.2019, -0.1987, -0.1954, -0.19, -0.1455, -0.1563, -0.1868, -0.202, -0.1951, -0.1906, -0.1951, -0.1861, -0.2148, -0.2428, -0.2388, -0.2212, -0.223, -0.2365, -0.2361, -0.214, -0.1789, -0.1882, -0.1808, -0.167, -0.1498, -0.1533, -0.1462, -0.1422, -0.1197, -0.134, -0.1285, -0.1074, -0.1066, -0.1159, -0.1169, -0.1285, -0.1351, -0.1291, -0.1077, -0.0888, -0.0763, -0.0706, -0.0868, -0.0848, -0.0672, -0.0814, -0.0951, -0.0749, -0.0975, -0.1216, -0.124, -0.1159, -0.115, -0.1384, -0.1179, -0.1345, -0.1514, -0.1607, -0.1625, -0.186, -0.2386, -0.2693, -0.2718, -0.3046, -0.2799, -0.2964, -0.2986, -0.2745, -0.2747, -0.2434, -0.2512, -0.2647, -0.2821]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025285016478273572", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T19:02:30+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still long $DEO", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ongoing long position in Diageo (DEO).", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Geiger_Capital Still long $DEO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Have yourself a Saturday. 🤝 https://t.co/ueqeQtoK6H", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Geiger_Capital", "ret_m1d": 0.004905937384795278, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004905937384795278, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005410776394690453, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005410776394690453, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02262715477698518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02262715477698518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015358679506786821, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015358679506786821, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "ret_p1w": -0.13366040611322516, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13366040611322516, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13950744910157065, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13950744910157065, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "ret_p1m": -0.27442926736077944, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27442926736077944, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23423792790093634, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23423792790093634, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "ret_p3m": -0.13047606820104773, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13047606820104773, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22185830229371617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22185830229371617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.27442926736077944, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23423792790093634, "alpha_c_stated": -0.23423792790093634, "price_path": [-0.0925, -0.0925, -0.0828, -0.0754, -0.0813, -0.0783, -0.104, -0.1143, -0.1195, -0.145, -0.1383, -0.121, -0.108, -0.1097, -0.105, -0.1009, -0.115, -0.1073, -0.1303, -0.1448, -0.1424, -0.1424, -0.1358, -0.1364, -0.133, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1281, -0.1034, -0.1138, -0.1478, -0.1295, -0.1146, -0.09, -0.0996, -0.0852, -0.1054, -0.1133, -0.1133, -0.1096, -0.0901, -0.0871, -0.084, -0.1011, -0.1112, -0.1114, -0.0885, -0.0709, -0.079, -0.0678, -0.0262, -0.0278, -0.03, -0.0278, -0.008, 0.0093, 0.0017, -0.0071, -0.0071, -0.0343, -0.0472, -0.034, 0.0049, 0.0, 0.0226, -0.1375, -0.1438, -0.1039, -0.1337, -0.1578, -0.1764, -0.1759, -0.181, -0.1783, -0.1855, -0.2022, -0.2316, -0.2254, -0.2301, -0.231, -0.2472, -0.2531, -0.2604, -0.2578, -0.2744, -0.2586, -0.2617, -0.2584, -0.2646, -0.2546, -0.2528, -0.2659, -0.2659, -0.2497, -0.2579, -0.2282, -0.2138, -0.2246, -0.2065, -0.194, -0.2024, -0.1986, -0.1719, -0.1691, -0.1748, -0.1915, -0.1973, -0.1981, -0.2011, -0.2016, -0.2172, -0.1844, -0.194, -0.206, -0.1875, -0.1443, -0.1563, -0.1475, -0.1706, -0.1797, -0.184, -0.1851, -0.1739, -0.1527, -0.1476, -0.1392, -0.1305, -0.129, -0.129, -0.1403, -0.1246, -0.1445, -0.1661, -0.1923, -0.1982, -0.2044, -0.2017, -0.1866, -0.1885, -0.1868, -0.1932, -0.1796, -0.1728, -0.188, -0.1855, -0.2027, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1951, -0.1683, -0.1609, -0.1646, -0.1555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013851586729255410", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T05:50:08+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought 70,000 shares today.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed purchase of 70,000 BMNR shares today; live long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Bought 70,000 shares today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BMNR keeps falling back into the daily buy order block and the right inverted shoulder\nIt will never break out of this bullish formation https://t.co/h6l3mdWILS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": -0.037819441087720285, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037819441087720285, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026410009305103732, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032956076086242625, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409431782616553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00486336500147766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015332223410244428, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015332223410244428, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020555481082958904, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02187927960290703, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223257672714476, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006547056192662604, "ret_p1w": 0.009539992356308646, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009539992356308646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005079131042381668, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018331562283725567, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619123398690315, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00879156992741692, "ret_p1m": -0.3199318969319501, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3199318969319501, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.31858957924329334, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.29542765124906734, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00134231768865678, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024504245682882786, "ret_p3m": -0.23236795932479992, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23236795932479992, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2692157168288517, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2219029185348923, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03684775750405178, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01046504078990762, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3199318969319501, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.31858957924329334, "alpha_c_stated": -0.29542765124906734, "price_path": [0.717, 0.8294, 0.7896, 0.6949, 0.5174, 0.589, 0.4599, 0.3441, 0.4108, 0.2729, 0.3703, 0.4016, 0.3485, 0.3819, 0.2456, 0.1717, 0.0542, 0.0995, -0.0061, -0.1137, -0.1144, 0.0593, -0.0153, 0.0811, 0.0811, 0.1281, -0.0143, 0.0869, 0.1465, 0.2371, 0.1601, 0.2211, 0.3359, 0.3765, 0.3077, 0.1877, 0.0545, 0.0695, -0.001, -0.0313, 0.0685, 0.0593, 0.0147, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0354, -0.0276, -0.0555, -0.075, -0.075, 0.0627, 0.1363, 0.1015, 0.0344, 0.0658, 0.0242, 0.0606, 0.0637, 0.1128, 0.0518, 0.0617, 0.0617, -0.0378, 0.0, -0.0153, -0.0187, -0.0528, -0.0007, 0.0095, -0.0903, -0.1448, -0.2232, -0.2385, -0.3083, -0.4072, -0.3026, -0.2692, -0.3203, -0.3366, -0.3274, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.3135, -0.3247, -0.3199, -0.3141, -0.3451, -0.3376, -0.2675, -0.3036, -0.3533, -0.3049, -0.3332, -0.2804, -0.3066, -0.3567, -0.2947, -0.2937, -0.2828, -0.2998, -0.3002, -0.2031, -0.2085, -0.2705, -0.2797, -0.2865, -0.2753, -0.2913, -0.2763, -0.3366, -0.3734, -0.3765, -0.3261, -0.3291, -0.3373, -0.3373, -0.2981, -0.3128, -0.2668, -0.2818, -0.275, -0.2671, -0.2681, -0.2388, -0.2354, -0.2181, -0.2324, -0.2603, -0.2058, -0.2504, -0.2457, -0.2658, -0.2681, -0.2961, -0.2709, -0.2545, -0.2235, -0.2129, -0.2194, -0.2504, -0.2446, -0.2157, -0.2617, -0.2784, -0.2504, -0.323, -0.3618, -0.3652, -0.3394, -0.3319, -0.3567, -0.3567, -0.3458, -0.3588, -0.3441, -0.3434, -0.3578, -0.3877, -0.4242, -0.3905, -0.4583, -0.4259, -0.448, -0.4671, -0.4371, -0.4511, -0.417, -0.4477, -0.4651, -0.4501, -0.4501, -0.4596, -0.4845, -0.5223, -0.5462, -0.538, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017077869277856126", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T03:30:14+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm sticky. I still think it breaks down next.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Maintaining short silver position; expects it breaks down next despite pushback.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity ETF SLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@livefreeortroll @cantonmeow The trade isn’t down much. I’m sticky. I still think it breaks down next.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @cantonmeow Mike plz exit your silver short. You don’t understand the market, just admit that.\n\nIt’s acting independent of the debasement trade, there are realities in the physical markets that are coming to fruition. It’s going to gap up to $135 by Monday.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "livefreeortroll", "ret_m1d": 0.39939019456978064, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.39939019456978064, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.396398788643578, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.396398788643578, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991405926202617, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002991405926202617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039766700727907334, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039766700727907334, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.044737923464968854, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.044737923464968854, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00497122273706152, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00497122273706152, "ret_p1w": -0.0695917262738378, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0695917262738378, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06764072840253765, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06764072840253765, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950997871300153, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001950997871300153, "ret_p1m": 0.08125658874652197, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08125658874652197, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08933502520998227, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08933502520998227, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008078436463460292, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008078436463460292, "ret_p3m": -0.14050909014416557, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14050909014416557, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1716568660402883, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1716568660402883, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03114777589612272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03114777589612272, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0695917262738378, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06764072840253765, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06764072840253765, "price_path": [-0.4335, -0.4214, -0.4227, -0.4178, -0.393, -0.3843, -0.3595, -0.3714, -0.3908, -0.3973, -0.3889, -0.3843, -0.3932, -0.3995, -0.3819, -0.3814, -0.3584, -0.3584, -0.3212, -0.3038, -0.2957, -0.2965, -0.3139, -0.2981, -0.3013, -0.2687, -0.2568, -0.2362, -0.2564, -0.2297, -0.2348, -0.2012, -0.2137, -0.1923, -0.1719, -0.1405, -0.1355, -0.1355, -0.0573, -0.125, -0.0856, -0.1461, -0.1461, -0.1284, -0.0843, -0.0229, -0.0594, -0.076, -0.0406, 0.0237, 0.0419, 0.1209, 0.1045, 0.074, 0.074, 0.1319, 0.1129, 0.155, 0.2316, 0.3036, 0.3466, 0.3998, 0.3994, 0.0, -0.0398, 0.0201, 0.0496, -0.116, -0.0696, 0.008, -0.0269, 0.0148, -0.1022, -0.0758, -0.0758, -0.1202, -0.0709, -0.0587, 0.0156, 0.068, 0.0483, 0.061, 0.0664, 0.1266, 0.0813, -0.0101, -0.0013, -0.0155, 0.0066, 0.0374, 0.0616, 0.0327, 0.0138, -0.0365, -0.0294, -0.0501, -0.0893, -0.1294, -0.1845, -0.1719, -0.1656, -0.1356, -0.1945, -0.1591, -0.158, -0.0968, -0.0968, -0.1279, -0.1279, -0.1239, -0.1259, -0.1056, -0.0935, -0.0843, -0.0949, -0.0451, -0.0477, -0.0557, -0.024, -0.0436, -0.0921, -0.0672, -0.0936, -0.0881, -0.0942, -0.1225, -0.1405, -0.1164, -0.0948, -0.1259, -0.1263, -0.0704, -0.0509, -0.0322, 0.0339, 0.0412, 0.0518, 0.0009, -0.0848, -0.0729, -0.1132, -0.0889, -0.0794, -0.0938, -0.0938, -0.0758, -0.1052, -0.0938, -0.0942, -0.103, -0.0988, -0.1223, -0.1121, -0.1839, -0.1837, -0.2178, -0.2357, -0.1938, -0.1876, -0.1587, -0.1597, -0.1966, -0.2112, -0.2112, -0.2191, -0.2613, -0.3136, -0.3059, -0.2937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020307595781894404", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-08T01:24:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This will be the most powerful slingshot move ever. Mark it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin will fake out weak hands with a brief dip mimicking the 4-year cycle, then launch the most powerful slingshot rally ever.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin will go down just far enough to convince the least skilled, lowest IQ market participants that it’s following the 4 year cycle template perfectly despite all other macro conditions being completely different. This will be the most powerful slingshot move ever. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006198011021162131, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006198011021162131, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010996600251844013, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010996600251844013, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018921927121284043, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018921927121284043, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016284869350584597, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016284869350584597, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "ret_p1w": -0.018220347480797594, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018220347480797594, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0006398444485878896, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0006398444485878896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "ret_p1m": -0.002764649388443563, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002764649388443563, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021401335997036086, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021401335997036086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "ret_p3m": 0.1410311003558593, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1410311003558593, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08392612009754008, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08392612009754008, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.002764649388443563, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.021401335997036086, "alpha_c_stated": 0.021401335997036086, "price_path": [0.4498, 0.4218, 0.3462, 0.3134, 0.3256, 0.3044, 0.2355, 0.2135, 0.2588, 0.2456, 0.2909, 0.3018, 0.2966, 0.231, 0.3028, 0.3338, 0.314, 0.2748, 0.2926, 0.3219, 0.3123, 0.3193, 0.2874, 0.2324, 0.2528, 0.2285, 0.2188, 0.2565, 0.262, 0.2466, 0.2494, 0.2441, 0.245, 0.2427, 0.2611, 0.248, 0.2654, 0.2827, 0.3389, 0.3367, 0.3022, 0.2981, 0.2908, 0.3005, 0.3594, 0.3823, 0.3627, 0.3623, 0.3199, 0.2594, 0.2746, 0.2758, 0.2764, 0.2588, 0.2707, 0.2719, 0.2059, 0.1998, 0.1222, 0.0786, 0.0413, -0.1058, 0.0062, 0.0, -0.0189, -0.0446, -0.0556, -0.018, -0.0182, -0.0375, -0.0527, -0.0451, -0.0302, -0.0785, -0.0861, -0.0308, -0.038, -0.0605, -0.0192, -0.0261, 0.0369, 0.0103, -0.0283, -0.0245, -0.0028, 0.0012, 0.0053, 0.0121, 0.0676, 0.0542, 0.016, -0.003, 0.0057, 0.0113, 0.0057, 0.017, -0.019, -0.0539, -0.0489, -0.0269, -0.0291, -0.0461, -0.0455, -0.018, 0.026, 0.0143, 0.0235, 0.0408, 0.0622, 0.0579, 0.0668, 0.0718, 0.0999, 0.082, 0.0889, 0.1153, 0.1162, 0.1046, 0.1033, 0.0888, 0.0807, 0.0882, 0.1149, 0.1384, 0.1541, 0.1612, 0.141, 0.1436, 0.1655, 0.1477, 0.1306, 0.1559, 0.1276, 0.0975, 0.0946, 0.1046, 0.1058, 0.0765, 0.1021, 0.0814, 0.0602, 0.0487, 0.0464, 0.0171, -0.0487, -0.0871, -0.0901, -0.1312, -0.1003, -0.1209, -0.1237, -0.0935, -0.0938, -0.0546, -0.0645, -0.0813, -0.103, -0.0938, -0.088, -0.1063, -0.1301, -0.1483, -0.1441, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1997351385092735222", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-06T17:04:13+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The longer we hold down here under $100,000, the more explosive the move will ultimately be when it happens. I'm hunkering down. This is when all the biggest wealth is made in markets.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: consolidation under $100K sets up explosive upside; doubling down amid bearish sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The longer we hold down here under $100,000, the more explosive the move will ultimately be when it happens. People are tired, bored, confused, sad. Some are even dumb enough to turn bearish. Wild times. I’m hunkering down. This is when all the biggest wealth is made in markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013817768157169508, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013817768157169508, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01683102973083328, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01683102973083328, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030132615736637725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030132615736637725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022633530616329445, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022633530616329445, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023496558689902636, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023496558689902636, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000863028073573191, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000863028073573191, "ret_p1w": -0.04656236117630608, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04656236117630608, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04232031758488142, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04232031758488142, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00424204359142466, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00424204359142466, "ret_p1m": 0.03407790382751297, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019122141330462306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019122141330462306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014955762497050662, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014955762497050662, "ret_p3m": -0.21843594169460878, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21843594169460878, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2179870986806487, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2179870986806487, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004488430139600874, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0004488430139600874, "ret_p6m": -0.2640831115745582, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2640831115745582, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.38149309834062095, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38149309834062095, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11740998676606273, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11740998676606273, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019122141330462306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019122141330462306, "price_path": [0.2572, 0.2744, 0.2809, 0.2737, 0.2891, 0.285, 0.2923, 0.2764, 0.2439, 0.2358, 0.2503, 0.2031, 0.2104, 0.2621, 0.2583, 0.309, 0.3314, 0.3489, 0.3763, 0.3399, 0.3609, 0.3427, 0.2491, 0.2717, 0.248, 0.2222, 0.1936, 0.1746, 0.2201, 0.1968, 0.1881, 0.2144, 0.225, 0.259, 0.2462, 0.2142, 0.1949, 0.2087, 0.1755, 0.1208, 0.1462, 0.1176, 0.1405, 0.1694, 0.1363, 0.1216, 0.0999, 0.0415, 0.016, 0.0255, 0.0091, -0.0442, -0.0612, -0.0261, -0.0364, -0.0013, 0.0071, 0.0031, -0.0476, 0.0078, 0.0319, 0.0166, -0.0138, 0.0, 0.0226, 0.0152, 0.0206, -0.0041, -0.0466, -0.0308, -0.0496, -0.0571, -0.028, -0.0237, -0.0356, -0.0334, -0.0376, -0.0368, -0.0386, -0.0244, -0.0345, -0.0211, -0.0077, 0.0358, 0.0341, 0.0074, 0.0043, -0.0014, 0.0061, 0.0517, 0.0694, 0.0542, 0.0539, 0.0211, -0.0257, -0.0139, -0.013, -0.0125, -0.0262, -0.017, -0.0161, -0.0671, -0.0718, -0.1319, -0.1656, -0.1944, -0.3082, -0.2216, -0.2264, -0.241, -0.2609, -0.2694, -0.2403, -0.2405, -0.2554, -0.2672, -0.2613, -0.2497, -0.2871, -0.293, -0.2502, -0.2558, -0.2732, -0.2412, -0.2465, -0.1978, -0.2184, -0.2483, -0.2453, -0.2285, -0.2255, -0.2223, -0.217, -0.1741, -0.1844, -0.214, -0.2287, -0.222, -0.2176, -0.222, -0.2133, -0.241, -0.2681, -0.2642, -0.2472, -0.2489, -0.262, -0.2616, -0.2403, -0.2063, -0.2153, -0.2082, -0.1948, -0.1782, -0.1816, -0.1747, -0.1709, -0.1491, -0.1629, -0.1576, -0.1372, -0.1365, -0.1455, -0.1464, -0.1577, -0.164, -0.1582, -0.1375, -0.1193, -0.1072, -0.1016, -0.1173, -0.1153, -0.0983, -0.1121, -0.1254, -0.1058, -0.1277, -0.151, -0.1532, -0.1454, -0.1445, -0.1672, -0.1474, -0.1634, -0.1798, -0.1887, -0.1905, -0.2132, -0.2641]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1987527567671496849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-09T14:27:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is ruthless in sniffing out liquidity. Watch and learn.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Bullish BTC: expects it to front-run US government reopening liquidity surge before any other asset.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Senate isn’t even meeting to resolve this for another 150 minutes but Bitcoin is ruthless in sniffing out liquidity. Watch and learn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitcoin is a liquidity sniffing hound. It will sniff out the US Government re-opening and the corresponding liquidity surge before any other asset. It has a long track record of doing this kind of thing. This dog can hunt!", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024757281410281218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024757281410281218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009392755132155761, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009392755132155761, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028294541304540788, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028294541304540788, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03058389915907922, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03058389915907922, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "ret_p1w": -0.13116193887126681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13116193887126681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10801982727595372, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10801982727595372, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "ret_p1m": -0.12552179595393842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12552179595393842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12786985529192652, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12786985529192652, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "ret_p3m": -0.40845176776022574, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40845176776022574, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40578437235227116, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40578437235227116, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "ret_p6m": -0.2365126856965628, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2365126856965628, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3046789254077732, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3046789254077732, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.028294541304540788, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03058389915907922, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03058389915907922, "price_path": [0.1637, 0.1166, 0.1076, 0.0968, 0.0645, 0.0781, 0.0606, 0.1026, 0.0389, 0.0548, 0.0493, 0.0618, 0.0228, 0.0307, 0.0491, 0.054, 0.0446, 0.0439, 0.0573, 0.0522, 0.0751, 0.0897, 0.0953, 0.0891, 0.1023, 0.0988, 0.1051, 0.0914, 0.0637, 0.0568, 0.0692, 0.0288, 0.0351, 0.0793, 0.076, 0.1194, 0.1385, 0.1535, 0.1769, 0.1458, 0.1638, 0.1482, 0.0681, 0.0875, 0.0672, 0.0452, 0.0207, 0.0044, 0.0433, 0.0234, 0.016, 0.0384, 0.0475, 0.0766, 0.0657, 0.0383, 0.0218, 0.0336, 0.0052, -0.0416, -0.0199, -0.0443, -0.0248, 0.0, -0.0283, -0.0409, -0.0594, -0.1094, -0.1312, -0.1231, -0.1371, -0.1827, -0.1972, -0.1672, -0.176, -0.146, -0.1388, -0.1422, -0.1856, -0.1382, -0.1176, -0.1307, -0.1567, -0.1449, -0.1255, -0.1318, -0.1272, -0.1484, -0.1847, -0.1713, -0.1873, -0.1937, -0.1688, -0.1652, -0.1753, -0.1734, -0.177, -0.1764, -0.1779, -0.1657, -0.1744, -0.1629, -0.1514, -0.1143, -0.1157, -0.1386, -0.1412, -0.1461, -0.1397, -0.1007, -0.0855, -0.0985, -0.0988, -0.1268, -0.1669, -0.1568, -0.156, -0.1556, -0.1673, -0.1594, -0.1586, -0.2022, -0.2063, -0.2576, -0.2865, -0.3111, -0.4085, -0.3344, -0.3385, -0.351, -0.368, -0.3752, -0.3504, -0.3505, -0.3632, -0.3733, -0.3683, -0.3584, -0.3904, -0.3955, -0.3588, -0.3636, -0.3785, -0.3512, -0.3557, -0.314, -0.3317, -0.3572, -0.3547, -0.3403, -0.3377, -0.3349, -0.3305, -0.2937, -0.3026, -0.3279, -0.3404, -0.3347, -0.331, -0.3347, -0.3272, -0.351, -0.3741, -0.3708, -0.3563, -0.3577, -0.369, -0.3686, -0.3504, -0.3213, -0.329, -0.3229, -0.3115, -0.2973, -0.3002, -0.2943, -0.291, -0.2724, -0.2842, -0.2797, -0.2622, -0.2616, -0.2693, -0.2701, -0.2797, -0.2851, -0.2801, -0.2624, -0.2469, -0.2365]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1996961113280598139", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:13:25+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IWM at all time highs. Dollar weak. Bitcoin primed. All the conditions are in place for a massive end of year rally.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish into year-end: IWM at ATH, weak dollar, Bitcoin primed — all conditions set for massive rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Inflation more or less in line. Consumer sentiment turned up for the first time in 5 months. 25 basis point cut next Wednesday. IWM at all time highs. Dollar weak. Bitcoin primed. All the conditions are in place for a massive end of year rally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004187127490396403, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004187127490396403, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006082921382247752, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006082921382247752, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018957938918513495, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018957938918513495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0003987331761452495, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0003987331761452495, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00340294228195126, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00340294228195126, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042091058060105, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042091058060105, "ret_p1w": 0.012282134375042109, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012282134375042109, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018013493658275315, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018013493658275315, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005731359283233206, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005731359283233206, "ret_p1m": 0.011195488380704388, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011195488380704388, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005271255875221037, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005271255875221037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924232505483351, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924232505483351, "ret_p3m": 0.0473254101667151, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0473254101667151, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04518953443702345, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04518953443702345, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021358757296916497, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021358757296916497, "ret_p6m": 0.1582919212391627, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1582919212391627, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04574963317937031, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04574963317937031, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11254228805979238, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11254228805979238, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011195488380704388, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005271255875221037, "alpha_c_stated": 0.005271255875221037, "price_path": [-0.0582, -0.0599, -0.0425, -0.0523, -0.0482, -0.0498, -0.0474, -0.0236, -0.0311, -0.0254, -0.0276, -0.0366, -0.0458, -0.0376, -0.0365, -0.0351, -0.033, -0.0269, -0.0197, -0.0158, -0.0264, -0.0162, -0.0225, -0.0518, -0.0254, -0.0114, -0.0018, -0.0228, -0.0293, -0.0104, -0.0151, -0.0296, -0.0173, -0.0053, -0.0019, -0.0072, -0.0157, -0.0236, -0.0181, -0.0213, -0.0382, -0.0243, -0.0416, -0.0365, -0.0269, -0.026, -0.0284, -0.0557, -0.053, -0.0718, -0.069, -0.0691, -0.0864, -0.0605, -0.0433, -0.0225, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0081, -0.0205, -0.0223, -0.0045, 0.0042, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0025, 0.0161, 0.028, 0.0123, 0.0046, -0.0001, -0.0108, -0.0049, 0.0034, 0.0146, 0.0086, 0.0111, 0.0111, 0.006, -0.0002, -0.0076, -0.0151, -0.0151, -0.0046, 0.0112, 0.0246, 0.0222, 0.0334, 0.0412, 0.0463, 0.0457, 0.053, 0.0623, 0.0633, 0.0633, 0.0506, 0.0715, 0.0795, 0.0595, 0.0562, 0.0592, 0.0535, 0.0538, 0.0389, 0.049, 0.0514, 0.0424, 0.0236, 0.0604, 0.0678, 0.0649, 0.0601, 0.0384, 0.0521, 0.0521, 0.0524, 0.0562, 0.0587, 0.0587, 0.0422, 0.0536, 0.0586, 0.0642, 0.0459, 0.0555, 0.0372, 0.0473, 0.0273, 0.0038, 0.0148, 0.0137, 0.0117, -0.0101, -0.0134, -0.004, 0.0023, -0.0139, -0.0074, -0.0291, -0.0082, -0.0028, 0.0093, -0.0082, -0.0256, -0.0396, -0.006, 0.0003, 0.0072, 0.0072, 0.0115, 0.0137, 0.044, 0.05, 0.0473, 0.0625, 0.0771, 0.0798, 0.082, 0.1054, 0.1117, 0.1003, 0.1082, 0.1043, 0.1089, 0.1108, 0.0979, 0.0906, 0.1142, 0.1194, 0.1138, 0.1326, 0.1496, 0.1314, 0.139, 0.1437, 0.1326, 0.133, 0.1401, 0.1127, 0.1061, 0.0942, 0.1218, 0.1323, 0.1428, 0.1428, 0.1644, 0.1639, 0.1705, 0.1641, 0.1583]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1996961113280598139", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:13:25+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin primed. All the conditions are in place for a massive end of year rally.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish into year-end: IWM at ATH, weak dollar, Bitcoin primed — all conditions set for massive rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Inflation more or less in line. Consumer sentiment turned up for the first time in 5 months. 25 basis point cut next Wednesday. IWM at all time highs. Dollar weak. Bitcoin primed. All the conditions are in place for a massive end of year rally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03080810230497688, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03080810230497688, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03270389619682823, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03270389619682823, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018957938918513495, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018957938918513495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01401137407571107, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01401137407571107, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01701558318151708, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01701558318151708, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042091058060105, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042091058060105, "ret_p1w": 0.009874464597841914, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009874464597841914, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01560582388107512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01560582388107512, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005731359283233206, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005731359283233206, "ret_p1m": 0.050284255752653495, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050284255752653495, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.044360023247170144, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.044360023247170144, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924232505483351, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924232505483351, "ret_p3m": -0.18657118262751482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18657118262751482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18870705835720647, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18870705835720647, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021358757296916497, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021358757296916497, "ret_p6m": -0.2021304126779805, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2021304126779805, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31467270073777287, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31467270073777287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11254228805979238, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11254228805979238, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.050284255752653495, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.044360023247170144, "alpha_c_stated": 0.044360023247170144, "price_path": [0.2477, 0.2748, 0.2922, 0.2989, 0.2915, 0.3071, 0.303, 0.3104, 0.2942, 0.2613, 0.2531, 0.2678, 0.22, 0.2274, 0.2798, 0.276, 0.3274, 0.3501, 0.3678, 0.3956, 0.3587, 0.38, 0.3615, 0.2666, 0.2896, 0.2655, 0.2394, 0.2103, 0.1911, 0.2372, 0.2136, 0.2047, 0.2314, 0.2422, 0.2767, 0.2637, 0.2312, 0.2116, 0.2256, 0.192, 0.1365, 0.1623, 0.1333, 0.1564, 0.1858, 0.1523, 0.1373, 0.1153, 0.056, 0.0303, 0.0398, 0.0232, -0.0308, -0.0481, -0.0125, -0.0229, 0.0126, 0.0212, 0.0171, -0.0343, 0.022, 0.0463, 0.0308, 0.0, 0.014, 0.037, 0.0295, 0.0349, 0.0099, -0.0332, -0.0173, -0.0363, -0.0439, -0.0144, -0.01, -0.0221, -0.0199, -0.0241, -0.0233, -0.0252, -0.0107, -0.021, -0.0073, 0.0062, 0.0503, 0.0486, 0.0215, 0.0183, 0.0126, 0.0202, 0.0664, 0.0844, 0.069, 0.0687, 0.0354, -0.012, -0.0001, 0.0008, 0.0013, -0.0125, -0.0032, -0.0023, -0.054, -0.0588, -0.1197, -0.1539, -0.1831, -0.2985, -0.2107, -0.2155, -0.2304, -0.2505, -0.2592, -0.2297, -0.2298, -0.2449, -0.2569, -0.2509, -0.2392, -0.2771, -0.2831, -0.2397, -0.2454, -0.263, -0.2306, -0.236, -0.1866, -0.2075, -0.2377, -0.2348, -0.2177, -0.2146, -0.2114, -0.2061, -0.1625, -0.173, -0.203, -0.2179, -0.211, -0.2067, -0.2111, -0.2022, -0.2304, -0.2579, -0.2539, -0.2367, -0.2384, -0.2517, -0.2512, -0.2297, -0.1952, -0.2043, -0.1971, -0.1836, -0.1667, -0.1701, -0.1631, -0.1593, -0.1372, -0.1512, -0.1458, -0.1251, -0.1244, -0.1335, -0.1345, -0.1458, -0.1523, -0.1464, -0.1254, -0.1069, -0.0947, -0.0891, -0.1049, -0.1029, -0.0857, -0.0997, -0.1131, -0.0933, -0.1155, -0.1391, -0.1414, -0.1335, -0.1326, -0.1555, -0.1355, -0.1517, -0.1683, -0.1773, -0.1792, -0.2021]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006865231956570311", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-01T23:08:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "People are starting to understand my argument that there has been no bull market yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses view that Bitcoin's real bull market hasn't happened yet, implying a major rally lies ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheBTCTherapist @sminston_with People are starting to understand my argument that there has been no bull market yet", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin hasn’t had a real rally yet. This business cycle has been suppressed for the longest period since Bitcoin emerged.\n\nWhen we finally rip we’re going to Valhalla. https://t.co/XM0dgSCKug", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBTCTherapist", "ret_m1d": -0.013784840479062033, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013784840479062033, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0119552010934314, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0119552010934314, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013667122921255048, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013667122921255048, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007006915813010384, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007006915813010384, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "ret_p1w": 0.02586599005044521, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02586599005044521, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009910916674460202, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009910916674460202, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "ret_p1m": -0.05187901699059683, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05187901699059683, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06979548965495275, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06979548965495275, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "ret_p3m": -0.23101784570001627, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23101784570001627, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1927543029016695, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1927543029016695, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "ret_p6m": -0.32362123860706227, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32362123860706227, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05187901699059683, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06979548965495275, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06979548965495275, "price_path": [0.4059, 0.3687, 0.3902, 0.3716, 0.2759, 0.2991, 0.2748, 0.2485, 0.2192, 0.1999, 0.2463, 0.2225, 0.2136, 0.2405, 0.2513, 0.2861, 0.273, 0.2403, 0.2206, 0.2347, 0.2008, 0.1449, 0.1708, 0.1417, 0.165, 0.1946, 0.1608, 0.1457, 0.1236, 0.0639, 0.0379, 0.0475, 0.0308, -0.0237, -0.041, -0.0052, -0.0157, 0.0201, 0.0288, 0.0247, -0.0272, 0.0295, 0.054, 0.0384, 0.0074, 0.0215, 0.0446, 0.0371, 0.0426, 0.0173, -0.0261, -0.01, -0.0292, -0.0368, -0.0071, -0.0027, -0.0149, -0.0126, -0.0169, -0.0161, -0.018, -0.0034, -0.0138, 0.0, 0.0137, 0.058, 0.0563, 0.029, 0.0259, 0.0201, 0.0277, 0.0743, 0.0924, 0.0769, 0.0766, 0.0431, -0.0047, 0.0073, 0.0082, 0.0087, -0.0052, 0.0042, 0.0051, -0.047, -0.0519, -0.1132, -0.1476, -0.1771, -0.2934, -0.2048, -0.2097, -0.2247, -0.245, -0.2537, -0.224, -0.2241, -0.2393, -0.2514, -0.2454, -0.2336, -0.2718, -0.2778, -0.2341, -0.2398, -0.2575, -0.2249, -0.2303, -0.1806, -0.2016, -0.2321, -0.2291, -0.2119, -0.2088, -0.2055, -0.2002, -0.1563, -0.1669, -0.1971, -0.2121, -0.2052, -0.2008, -0.2053, -0.1963, -0.2247, -0.2524, -0.2484, -0.231, -0.2328, -0.2462, -0.2457, -0.224, -0.1892, -0.1984, -0.1912, -0.1775, -0.1606, -0.164, -0.157, -0.153, -0.1308, -0.1449, -0.1395, -0.1187, -0.1179, -0.1271, -0.1281, -0.1395, -0.146, -0.1401, -0.1189, -0.1003, -0.088, -0.0823, -0.0983, -0.0963, -0.0789, -0.093, -0.1066, -0.0866, -0.1089, -0.1327, -0.135, -0.1271, -0.1261, -0.1493, -0.1291, -0.1455, -0.1621, -0.1713, -0.1731, -0.1962, -0.2483, -0.2786, -0.281, -0.3134, -0.289, -0.3053, -0.3075, -0.2837, -0.2839, -0.2529, -0.2607, -0.274, -0.2912, -0.2839, -0.2793, -0.2937, -0.3126, -0.3269, -0.3236]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016519826722988339", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T14:32:46+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR is headed to $42-$55 this year and there is literally nothing they can do to stop it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "CIFR to reach $42–$55 this year; author sees the move as inevitable.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CIFR is headed to $42-$55 this year and there is literally nothing they can do to stop it. It’s pre-programmed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011597223053119277, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011597223053119277, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01169789776782204, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0036901153481300186, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007907107704989258, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06694773834393264, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06694773834393264, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06496336118909884, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051133317935245115, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015814420408687524, "ret_p1w": -0.24881388952037065, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24881388952037065, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2355414151255858, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17436512336147558, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07444876615889506, "ret_p1m": -0.13125987671308215, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13125987671308215, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1224594419677234, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0761771335966569, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05508274311642525, "ret_p3m": -0.042698971811356845, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.042698971811356845, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07390769220043958, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12002694483844678, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07732797302708994, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13125987671308215, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1224594419677234, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0761771335966569, "price_path": [-0.0169, 0.1998, 0.1866, 0.3026, 0.1444, 0.0907, 0.0358, -0.0158, -0.0838, -0.213, -0.243, -0.2435, -0.2314, -0.2293, -0.2325, -0.2541, -0.1191, -0.0764, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0727, 0.038, -0.0701, -0.0179, 0.0453, 0.0163, 0.0269, 0.0311, -0.0258, -0.0047, -0.1012, -0.223, -0.2098, -0.2414, -0.2014, -0.1455, -0.1386, -0.1613, -0.145, -0.145, -0.1993, -0.2051, -0.2309, -0.2219, -0.2219, -0.146, -0.0427, -0.0754, -0.1523, -0.1276, -0.1234, -0.068, -0.038, -0.0443, -0.0764, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0554, -0.0659, -0.0833, -0.0738, -0.1307, -0.0116, 0.0, -0.0669, -0.1587, -0.1666, -0.1429, -0.2488, -0.3305, -0.2235, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.1418, -0.1513, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1755, -0.1871, -0.1671, -0.2277, -0.1977, -0.0975, -0.1244, -0.1313, -0.1776, -0.1692, -0.2246, -0.1545, -0.2014, -0.282, -0.2457, -0.2641, -0.2562, -0.2773, -0.2578, -0.2019, -0.2045, -0.2267, -0.2283, -0.2615, -0.2151, -0.2156, -0.1629, -0.2435, -0.2754, -0.3666, -0.3216, -0.3337, -0.3242, -0.3242, -0.2963, -0.2615, -0.1871, -0.1376, -0.1286, -0.0638, -0.0274, -0.0511, -0.0859, 0.0211, 0.0169, -0.049, 0.0248, -0.0148, -0.0406, -0.0427, -0.0901, -0.1081, -0.0648, -0.1017, -0.0569, 0.165, 0.155, 0.0904, 0.0833, 0.0691, 0.0575, 0.1197, 0.175, 0.0717, 0.0079, -0.009, 0.0269, 0.1344, 0.1581, 0.1581, 0.2135, 0.3263, 0.2963, 0.2467, 0.2657, 0.3859, 0.3832, 0.3469, 0.1834, 0.2804, 0.2143, 0.1081, 0.1929, 0.2915, 0.3722, 0.3817, 0.389, 0.5382, 0.5382, 0.4834, 0.457, 0.3822, 0.3537, 0.3674, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008912862794928562", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T14:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC $180,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish multi-asset targets: BTC $180K+, ETH $6K+, CIFR $55, NVO $90, ASST $5; early-year moves are noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All these early year headfake moves are little more than games. Noise. Static. They have nothing to do with where we're probably headed:\n\nBTC $180,000+\nETH $6,000+\nCIFR $55\nNVO $90\nASST $5\n\nEtc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02651438113303084, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02651438113303084, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023280544864288766, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023280544864288766, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003076724046541912, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003076724046541912, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002975196732268648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002975196732268648, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "ret_p1w": 0.06156382869768384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06156382869768384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06043279128162071, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06043279128162071, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "ret_p1m": -0.31329061964087745, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31329061964087745, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2959467112129981, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2959467112129981, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "ret_p3m": -0.24585154770111584, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24585154770111584, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20401384102607312, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20401384102607312, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.31329061964087745, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2959467112129981, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2959467112129981, "price_path": [0.2399, 0.2624, 0.2389, 0.2133, 0.1848, 0.166, 0.2112, 0.188, 0.1794, 0.2055, 0.216, 0.2498, 0.2371, 0.2053, 0.1862, 0.1999, 0.1669, 0.1126, 0.1378, 0.1094, 0.1321, 0.1609, 0.128, 0.1134, 0.0919, 0.0338, 0.0086, 0.018, 0.0017, -0.0512, -0.0681, -0.0333, -0.0434, -0.0086, -0.0002, -0.0043, -0.0546, 0.0005, 0.0243, 0.0091, -0.021, -0.0073, 0.0152, 0.0078, 0.0132, -0.0114, -0.0535, -0.0379, -0.0566, -0.064, -0.0351, -0.0309, -0.0426, -0.0405, -0.0446, -0.0439, -0.0457, -0.0315, -0.0416, -0.0282, -0.0149, 0.0282, 0.0265, 0.0, -0.0031, -0.0087, -0.0013, 0.044, 0.0616, 0.0465, 0.0462, 0.0136, -0.0328, -0.0211, -0.0202, -0.0198, -0.0333, -0.0242, -0.0233, -0.0739, -0.0786, -0.1382, -0.1717, -0.2003, -0.3133, -0.2273, -0.232, -0.2466, -0.2663, -0.2747, -0.2459, -0.246, -0.2608, -0.2725, -0.2667, -0.2552, -0.2923, -0.2982, -0.2557, -0.2613, -0.2785, -0.2468, -0.2521, -0.2037, -0.2242, -0.2538, -0.2509, -0.2342, -0.2311, -0.228, -0.2228, -0.1801, -0.1904, -0.2197, -0.2343, -0.2276, -0.2233, -0.2277, -0.219, -0.2466, -0.2735, -0.2696, -0.2527, -0.2544, -0.2674, -0.267, -0.2459, -0.2121, -0.2211, -0.214, -0.2007, -0.1842, -0.1876, -0.1807, -0.1769, -0.1553, -0.169, -0.1638, -0.1435, -0.1428, -0.1517, -0.1527, -0.1638, -0.1701, -0.1643, -0.1438, -0.1257, -0.1137, -0.1082, -0.1237, -0.1218, -0.1049, -0.1186, -0.1318, -0.1123, -0.1341, -0.1572, -0.1594, -0.1517, -0.1508, -0.1733, -0.1536, -0.1696, -0.1858, -0.1946, -0.1964, -0.2189, -0.2695, -0.2989, -0.3012, -0.3328, -0.309, -0.3249, -0.327, -0.3039, -0.3041, -0.274, -0.2815, -0.2945, -0.3112, -0.3041, -0.2996, -0.3137, -0.332, -0.3459, -0.3427, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008912862794928562", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-07T14:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ETH $6,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish multi-asset targets: BTC $180K+, ETH $6K+, CIFR $55, NVO $90, ASST $5; early-year moves are noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All these early year headfake moves are little more than games. Noise. Static. They have nothing to do with where we're probably headed:\n\nBTC $180,000+\nETH $6,000+\nCIFR $55\nNVO $90\nASST $5\n\nEtc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04076701708135744, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04076701708135744, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03753318081261536, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03753318081261536, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01972355629036915, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01972355629036915, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019622028976095884, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019622028976095884, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "ret_p1w": 0.059326781634015724, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.059326781634015724, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.058195744217952594, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058195744217952594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "ret_p1m": -0.4247638630638976, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4247638630638976, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4074199546360182, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4074199546360182, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "ret_p3m": -0.33442838406021624, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.33442838406021624, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2925906773851735, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2925906773851735, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.4247638630638976, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4074199546360182, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4074199546360182, "price_path": [0.2135, 0.3406, 0.3027, 0.2591, 0.2299, 0.2102, 0.257, 0.2242, 0.2025, 0.2176, 0.2424, 0.301, 0.2575, 0.2326, 0.2013, 0.2148, 0.1375, 0.0397, 0.0816, 0.0459, 0.0848, 0.1268, 0.0784, 0.0778, 0.0208, -0.0199, -0.0449, -0.0139, -0.0454, -0.1058, -0.1267, -0.0676, -0.066, -0.0439, -0.0481, -0.0425, -0.1158, -0.0533, 0.0078, -0.0103, -0.045, -0.0132, 0.0487, 0.0501, 0.0222, -0.0261, -0.064, -0.064, -0.1059, -0.1073, -0.0596, -0.0508, -0.0643, -0.0699, -0.0831, -0.0761, -0.0734, -0.0617, -0.0631, -0.0526, -0.0134, 0.0187, 0.0408, 0.0, -0.0197, -0.0265, -0.0235, 0.049, 0.0593, 0.0474, 0.0406, 0.0062, -0.073, -0.0593, -0.0686, -0.0674, -0.0759, -0.0457, -0.0506, -0.1101, -0.1467, -0.2597, -0.2966, -0.3231, -0.4248, -0.3484, -0.3358, -0.3623, -0.3872, -0.3852, -0.3531, -0.3691, -0.3709, -0.383, -0.3848, -0.3782, -0.4141, -0.4149, -0.3512, -0.36, -0.3903, -0.3598, -0.3739, -0.3285, -0.3458, -0.3752, -0.3707, -0.3567, -0.3522, -0.3454, -0.3392, -0.2576, -0.268, -0.3041, -0.3251, -0.3222, -0.3204, -0.3193, -0.3154, -0.3496, -0.3712, -0.361, -0.3354, -0.3246, -0.3505, -0.3516, -0.3344, -0.2921, -0.3084, -0.3087, -0.291, -0.2514, -0.2664, -0.255, -0.2584, -0.2355, -0.2689, -0.2649, -0.2497, -0.2638, -0.2688, -0.2728, -0.2771, -0.2884, -0.2875, -0.2753, -0.2591, -0.2544, -0.2577, -0.2765, -0.2715, -0.2613, -0.2817, -0.2871, -0.2797, -0.2979, -0.3279, -0.3337, -0.3284, -0.327, -0.348, -0.3333, -0.3461, -0.3614, -0.3661, -0.3647, -0.3674, -0.4134, -0.4279, -0.4412, -0.5008, -0.4663, -0.4829, -0.4884, -0.4719, -0.4742, -0.4332, -0.4346, -0.4481, -0.4602, -0.4597, -0.4548, -0.4741, -0.4885, -0.5059, -0.5021, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008912862794928562", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-07T14:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR $55", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish multi-asset targets: BTC $180K+, ETH $6K+, CIFR $55, NVO $90, ASST $5; early-year moves are noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All these early year headfake moves are little more than games. Noise. Static. They have nothing to do with where we're probably headed:\n\nBTC $180,000+\nETH $6,000+\nCIFR $55\nNVO $90\nASST $5\n\nEtc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09079608201172151, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09079608201172151, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08756224574297944, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08997715788073624, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008189241309852768, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02922881315823833, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02922881315823833, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029330340472511596, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.044856954585652864, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015628141427414532, "ret_p1w": 0.12748751534745484, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12748751534745484, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1263564779313917, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13997639541207518, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012488880064620345, "ret_p1m": -0.21019901308941724, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21019901308941724, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19285510466153788, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1358115777343173, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07438743535509995, "ret_p3m": -0.16977609174062291, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16977609174062291, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1279383850655802, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1043974481545682, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06537864358605472, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21019901308941724, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.19285510466153788, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1358115777343173, "price_path": [0.0553, 0.2649, 0.2991, 0.3078, 0.1642, 0.1667, 0.2382, 0.1241, 0.0019, 0.0731, 0.2848, 0.2774, 0.2413, 0.2183, 0.1859, 0.1598, 0.4154, 0.3999, 0.5367, 0.3501, 0.2867, 0.222, 0.1611, 0.0808, -0.0715, -0.107, -0.1076, -0.0933, -0.0908, -0.0945, -0.12, 0.0392, 0.0896, 0.1909, 0.1909, 0.2655, 0.2245, 0.097, 0.1586, 0.2332, 0.199, 0.2114, 0.2164, 0.1493, 0.1741, 0.0603, -0.0833, -0.0678, -0.1051, -0.0578, 0.0081, 0.0162, -0.0106, 0.0087, 0.0087, -0.0553, -0.0622, -0.0927, -0.0821, -0.0821, 0.0075, 0.1294, 0.0908, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0342, 0.0995, 0.135, 0.1275, 0.0896, 0.1692, 0.1692, 0.1144, 0.102, 0.0815, 0.0927, 0.0255, 0.166, 0.1797, 0.1007, -0.0075, -0.0168, 0.0112, -0.1138, -0.2102, -0.084, 0.0423, 0.0634, 0.0124, 0.0012, 0.0211, 0.0211, -0.0274, -0.041, -0.0174, -0.0889, -0.0535, 0.0647, 0.033, 0.0249, -0.0299, -0.0199, -0.0852, -0.0025, -0.0578, -0.153, -0.1101, -0.1318, -0.1225, -0.1474, -0.1244, -0.0585, -0.0616, -0.0877, -0.0896, -0.1287, -0.074, -0.0746, -0.0124, -0.1076, -0.1452, -0.2528, -0.1996, -0.2139, -0.2027, -0.2027, -0.1698, -0.1287, -0.041, 0.0174, 0.028, 0.1045, 0.1474, 0.1194, 0.0784, 0.2046, 0.1996, 0.1219, 0.209, 0.1623, 0.1318, 0.1294, 0.0734, 0.0522, 0.1032, 0.0597, 0.1126, 0.3744, 0.3626, 0.2864, 0.278, 0.2612, 0.2475, 0.3209, 0.3862, 0.2643, 0.1891, 0.1692, 0.2114, 0.3383, 0.3663, 0.3663, 0.4316, 0.5647, 0.5292, 0.4708, 0.4932, 0.635, 0.6318, 0.5889, 0.3961, 0.5106, 0.4325, 0.3072, 0.4073, 0.5236, 0.6188, 0.63, 0.6387, 0.8147, 0.8147, 0.75, 0.7189, 0.6306, 0.597, 0.6132, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008912862794928562", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-07T14:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NVO $90", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish multi-asset targets: BTC $180K+, ETH $6K+, CIFR $55, NVO $90, ASST $5; early-year moves are noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All these early year headfake moves are little more than games. Noise. Static. They have nothing to do with where we're probably headed:\n\nBTC $180,000+\nETH $6,000+\nCIFR $55\nNVO $90\nASST $5\n\nEtc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0054799565294531005, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0054799565294531005, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008713792798195175, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008713792798195175, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013611459827143957, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013611459827143957, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013712987141417221, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013712987141417221, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "ret_p1w": 0.0413646888350796, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0413646888350796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04023365141901647, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04023365141901647, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "ret_p1m": -0.23386957074303005, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23386957074303005, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2165256623151507, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2165256623151507, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "ret_p3m": -0.3280031161441799, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3280031161441799, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28616540946913716, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28616540946913716, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.23386957074303005, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2165256623151507, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2165256623151507, "price_path": [0.0064, 0.0164, 0.0016, 0.0027, -0.0085, -0.0389, -0.0147, -0.0316, -0.0564, -0.059, -0.0638, -0.0651, -0.0799, -0.0919, -0.1154, -0.1257, -0.1319, -0.1471, -0.1434, -0.1778, -0.1925, -0.1879, -0.1312, -0.1115, -0.131, -0.1469, -0.1434, -0.1594, -0.1338, -0.1586, -0.158, -0.2051, -0.1681, -0.1389, -0.1389, -0.1276, -0.1439, -0.1616, -0.1591, -0.1517, -0.154, -0.1732, -0.1805, -0.1329, -0.111, -0.113, -0.1096, -0.1345, -0.1556, -0.1584, -0.1499, -0.1497, -0.0877, -0.0709, -0.0709, -0.0737, -0.0902, -0.0946, -0.1006, -0.1006, -0.0739, -0.0258, -0.0055, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0396, 0.0582, 0.0543, 0.0414, 0.0097, 0.1018, 0.1018, 0.0727, 0.0486, 0.1001, 0.1006, 0.131, 0.1117, 0.0665, 0.0488, 0.0506, 0.0417, -0.1108, -0.1658, -0.2339, -0.1579, -0.1273, -0.1317, -0.1384, -0.1351, -0.1237, -0.1237, -0.1273, -0.1298, -0.1435, -0.1617, -0.2995, -0.3178, -0.3254, -0.335, -0.338, -0.3325, -0.352, -0.3194, -0.3094, -0.318, -0.2968, -0.3155, -0.3136, -0.3279, -0.329, -0.318, -0.3207, -0.338, -0.3445, -0.3543, -0.3491, -0.3479, -0.3578, -0.3565, -0.3629, -0.3533, -0.3265, -0.3315, -0.3223, -0.3223, -0.328, -0.3236, -0.3108, -0.3139, -0.3124, -0.304, -0.2794, -0.2521, -0.2499, -0.2574, -0.2585, -0.2776, -0.2826, -0.2941, -0.2455, -0.245, -0.2455, -0.2617, -0.2263, -0.1959, -0.1865, -0.1777, -0.1614, -0.1607, -0.1557, -0.1497, -0.1387, -0.1372, -0.1607, -0.1801, -0.1885, -0.1885, -0.1741, -0.1865, -0.1761, -0.1761, -0.1902, -0.1836, -0.166, -0.1647, -0.1924, -0.2135, -0.2303, -0.1983, -0.2127, -0.2483, -0.2268, -0.2155, -0.1944, -0.1959, -0.1951, -0.2019, -0.2025, -0.2085, -0.2085, -0.1592, -0.131, -0.1312, -0.127, -0.1191, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008912862794928562", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-07T14:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ASST $5", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish multi-asset targets: BTC $180K+, ETH $6K+, CIFR $55, NVO $90, ASST $5; early-year moves are noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All these early year headfake moves are little more than games. Noise. Static. They have nothing to do with where we're probably headed:\n\nBTC $180,000+\nETH $6,000+\nCIFR $55\nNVO $90\nASST $5\n\nEtc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01960782480441492, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01960782480441492, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016373988535672845, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005401709371873897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014206115432541022, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009803865653465582, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009803865653465582, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009702338339192318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015018757400992344, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005214891747526762, "ret_p1w": 0.009803959150949337, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009803959150949337, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008672921734886208, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03605817732230321, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02625421817135387, "ret_p1m": -0.5166666744581236, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5166666744581236, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4993227660302443, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4749474712864421, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04171920317168154, "ret_p3m": -0.503921564960883, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.503921564960883, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4620838582858403, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40549324223610084, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09842832272478219, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5166666744581236, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.4993227660302443, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4749474712864421, "price_path": [0.5245, 0.0588, -0.0225, -0.0588, -0.1176, -0.1824, -0.1529, -0.1863, -0.2353, -0.1529, 0.0784, 0.6078, 0.4118, 0.2255, 0.1863, 0.3039, 0.2451, 0.2255, 0.4314, 0.4216, 0.4804, 0.451, 0.3333, 0.2647, 0.1275, 0.0588, 0.0196, 0.098, 0.0294, -0.0363, 0.0, 0.1078, 0.0882, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.098, 0.0294, 0.0147, 0.0294, -0.0422, -0.1167, -0.0343, 0.0, -0.0196, -0.0961, -0.1539, -0.2265, -0.1569, -0.1951, -0.1853, -0.1186, -0.151, -0.2108, -0.1549, -0.1549, -0.201, -0.2422, -0.2824, -0.2765, -0.2765, -0.152, 0.0098, 0.0196, 0.0, -0.0098, -0.0725, 0.0784, -0.049, 0.0098, -0.048, -0.0706, -0.0706, -0.1324, -0.1255, -0.1471, -0.1461, -0.2294, -0.1971, -0.2147, -0.2304, -0.1951, -0.2912, -0.3314, -0.4196, -0.5167, -0.4159, -0.5027, -0.55, -0.6034, -0.6225, -0.5917, -0.5917, -0.599, -0.6054, -0.602, -0.6005, -0.6392, -0.6488, -0.5814, -0.5985, -0.6108, -0.5721, -0.5917, -0.5284, -0.5466, -0.5735, -0.5828, -0.5598, -0.5475, -0.5672, -0.5328, -0.4676, -0.4559, -0.5081, -0.4971, -0.5088, -0.4882, -0.5132, -0.4681, -0.4897, -0.5169, -0.5407, -0.5088, -0.502, -0.5221, -0.5221, -0.5039, -0.5458, -0.4975, -0.5275, -0.4789, -0.4324, -0.3907, -0.3368, -0.3147, -0.2348, -0.2343, -0.2495, -0.1833, -0.2059, -0.2255, -0.2309, -0.251, -0.2936, -0.2471, -0.2005, -0.1983, -0.1907, -0.202, -0.2422, -0.2196, -0.1201, -0.1632, -0.1794, -0.1319, -0.177, -0.226, -0.2078, -0.1676, -0.0917, -0.1074, -0.1074, -0.1127, -0.1265, -0.1275, -0.1338, -0.1569, -0.2098, -0.2775, -0.2637, -0.3176, -0.2544, -0.3034, -0.2926, -0.2853, -0.2574, -0.1828, -0.226, -0.2431, -0.2721, -0.2721, -0.274, -0.3162, -0.3848, -0.4412, -0.4441, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002008630250647890", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-19T13:30:27+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Time is up. We go higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: bears failed to break $86K despite multiple attempts; price goes higher from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The bears had numerous opportunities to push Bitcoin sustainably below $86,000. They’ve had the cycle narrative and chart squiggler brigade on their side. They tried to scare folks with the supposed Japanese yen carry trade unwind. And still we are here. Time is up. We go higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029974728729999622, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029974728729999622, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02099263179785793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02099263179785793, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982096932141692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008982096932141692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004388399175577984, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004388399175577984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018414046748556068, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018414046748556068, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006229803850433591, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006229803850433591, "ret_p1w": -0.009102410139082862, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009102410139082862, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023384077692587546, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023384077692587546, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014281667553504684, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014281667553504684, "ret_p1m": 0.05051123799605817, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05051123799605817, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03424604056536995, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03424604056536995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016265197430688216, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016265197430688216, "ret_p3m": -0.19134117385000382, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19134117385000382, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16318904185966354, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16318904185966354, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02815213199034028, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02815213199034028, "ret_p6m": -0.2475941571837702, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2475941571837702, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35970484177520234, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35970484177520234, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11211068459143214, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11211068459143214, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05051123799605817, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03424604056536995, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03424604056536995, "price_path": [0.2714, 0.2863, 0.2377, 0.2453, 0.2985, 0.2946, 0.3467, 0.3698, 0.3878, 0.416, 0.3785, 0.4001, 0.3814, 0.285, 0.3084, 0.2839, 0.2574, 0.2279, 0.2084, 0.2552, 0.2312, 0.2223, 0.2493, 0.2603, 0.2953, 0.2821, 0.2492, 0.2293, 0.2435, 0.2093, 0.1531, 0.1792, 0.1498, 0.1733, 0.2031, 0.1691, 0.1539, 0.1316, 0.0714, 0.0453, 0.055, 0.0382, -0.0167, -0.0342, 0.0019, -0.0086, 0.0274, 0.0361, 0.032, -0.0202, 0.0369, 0.0616, 0.0458, 0.0146, 0.0288, 0.0521, 0.0445, 0.05, 0.0246, -0.0191, -0.0029, -0.0222, -0.03, 0.0, 0.0044, -0.0078, -0.0056, -0.0099, -0.0091, -0.011, 0.0037, -0.0067, 0.0071, 0.0209, 0.0656, 0.0639, 0.0364, 0.0332, 0.0274, 0.0351, 0.0819, 0.1002, 0.0845, 0.0842, 0.0505, 0.0024, 0.0145, 0.0154, 0.0159, 0.0019, 0.0113, 0.0123, -0.0402, -0.0451, -0.1069, -0.1415, -0.1712, -0.2883, -0.1992, -0.2041, -0.2192, -0.2396, -0.2484, -0.2184, -0.2186, -0.2339, -0.2461, -0.24, -0.2281, -0.2666, -0.2727, -0.2286, -0.2344, -0.2522, -0.2194, -0.2248, -0.1747, -0.1959, -0.2266, -0.2236, -0.2063, -0.2032, -0.1999, -0.1945, -0.1503, -0.161, -0.1913, -0.2065, -0.1995, -0.1951, -0.1996, -0.1906, -0.2192, -0.247, -0.243, -0.2255, -0.2273, -0.2408, -0.2403, -0.2184, -0.1835, -0.1927, -0.1854, -0.1717, -0.1546, -0.158, -0.1509, -0.147, -0.1246, -0.1388, -0.1334, -0.1124, -0.1116, -0.1209, -0.1219, -0.1334, -0.1399, -0.1339, -0.1126, -0.0939, -0.0815, -0.0758, -0.0919, -0.0899, -0.0724, -0.0866, -0.1002, -0.08, -0.1026, -0.1265, -0.1289, -0.1208, -0.1199, -0.1432, -0.1228, -0.1394, -0.1562, -0.1653, -0.1672, -0.1905, -0.2429, -0.2734, -0.2758, -0.3085, -0.2839, -0.3003, -0.3025, -0.2786, -0.2788, -0.2476]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1989678626363658317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-15T12:55:25+00:00", "symbol": "MARA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if we aren't, it will probably bounce", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MARA trades below BTC book value; if no deep bear market, likely bounces from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MARA has been an absolute disaster. It’s trading for less than the value of its balance sheet Bitcoin. The mining business is effectively trading at a negative value. This makes sense if we are heading in to a deep bear market. But if we aren’t, it will probably bounce. https://t.co/AwaYKe9VWm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.041702826471877286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041702826471877286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03229886841508334, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022266466501917215, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01943635996996007, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03214594945277649, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03214594945277649, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04054350279657137, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03370100534315579, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015550558903792977, "ret_p1w": -0.026064307972998857, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026064307972998857, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030661171976714585, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03461625232569798, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008551944352699126, "ret_p1m": -0.07124245284035025, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07124245284035025, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0910721202756416, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1332443120631014, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06200185922275114, "ret_p3m": -0.37011295779059106, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.37011295779059106, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3965721752873521, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3782889900273252, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008176032236734132, "ret_p6m": 0.10512597863471296, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10512597863471296, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.010116051251975344, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09392403773043911, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011201940904273844, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07124245284035025, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0910721202756416, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1332443120631014, "price_path": [0.3423, 0.3475, 0.4153, 0.338, 0.3762, 0.3771, 0.3866, 0.3884, 0.3884, 0.3953, 0.3805, 0.3128, 0.3197, 0.3206, 0.384, 0.3779, 0.3649, 0.417, 0.4109, 0.523, 0.5065, 0.6073, 0.5891, 0.5943, 0.5387, 0.5326, 0.3962, 0.4014, 0.6212, 0.5864, 0.6169, 0.6325, 0.6351, 0.7871, 0.7593, 0.755, 0.755, 0.6203, 0.7585, 0.9322, 0.9844, 0.7611, 0.7003, 0.801, 0.7437, 0.6638, 0.6699, 0.6977, 0.6994, 0.6403, 0.6403, 0.543, 0.5873, 0.5474, 0.444, 0.4883, 0.3866, 0.3788, 0.3536, 0.2711, 0.252, 0.1103, 0.0417, 0.0, 0.0321, -0.0356, -0.1103, -0.1251, -0.0261, -0.0295, -0.0348, -0.0348, 0.0261, 0.0009, 0.0348, 0.0834, 0.0808, 0.02, 0.0469, 0.0643, 0.0356, 0.0287, 0.0009, -0.0704, -0.0712, -0.1373, -0.1581, -0.1156, -0.1199, -0.1434, -0.1364, -0.1364, -0.1668, -0.1755, -0.1894, -0.2198, -0.2198, -0.139, -0.0799, -0.1043, -0.1242, -0.093, -0.1121, -0.0747, -0.0487, -0.0348, -0.0738, -0.013, -0.013, -0.099, -0.0825, -0.106, -0.0877, -0.1329, -0.086, -0.099, -0.1434, -0.1746, -0.2076, -0.2137, -0.2806, -0.4153, -0.2841, -0.2997, -0.3345, -0.3432, -0.3701, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3475, -0.3484, -0.3084, -0.3076, -0.3154, -0.3006, -0.2554, -0.2659, -0.2233, -0.179, -0.2476, -0.1929, -0.2381, -0.3041, -0.2476, -0.2554, -0.2572, -0.2389, -0.1903, -0.1981, -0.1972, -0.225, -0.199, -0.265, -0.2259, -0.2832, -0.2806, -0.2546, -0.3032, -0.3223, -0.2911, -0.3015, -0.2433, -0.2433, -0.2311, -0.2215, -0.1746, -0.1599, -0.1712, -0.0999, -0.0886, -0.0904, 0.0035, 0.0078, 0.0104, -0.0243, 0.0287, 0.0252, 0.0113, -0.0287, -0.0426, -0.0686, 0.0417, -0.0043, 0.0278, 0.0565, 0.1321, 0.1034, 0.1242, 0.1633, 0.1051]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2019665827059101819", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T06:53:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the bear market is probably over now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bear market in BTC is probably over; implied bullish from here, though less aggressive than the quoted $315K target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There has been no bull market but the good news is the bear market is probably over now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We are still below the inflation adjusted all time high of $69,420 from 2021. There has been no bull market whatsoever. We have been in a deep bear market for 4 years and we are about to rocket out of it to definitive new highs above $140,000. $315,000 within 12 months. Mark it.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11130677470825778, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11130677470825778, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09248311610250182, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09248311610250182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823658605755966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823658605755966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006159832312600089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006159832312600089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010981559029177412, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010981559029177412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821726716577324, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821726716577324, "ret_p1w": -0.02405977573028284, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02405977573028284, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011216231033489232, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011216231033489232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843544696793607, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843544696793607, "ret_p1m": -0.03051514269041722, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03051514269041722, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012632640360848879, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012632640360848879, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788250232956834, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788250232956834, "ret_p3m": 0.154093691902085, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.154093691902085, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08862482495722057, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08862482495722057, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546886694486442, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546886694486442, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03051514269041722, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012632640360848879, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012632640360848879, "price_path": [0.4598, 0.4409, 0.413, 0.3379, 0.3053, 0.3174, 0.2964, 0.2279, 0.206, 0.2511, 0.2379, 0.2829, 0.2938, 0.2886, 0.2235, 0.2947, 0.3256, 0.3059, 0.2669, 0.2847, 0.3137, 0.3042, 0.3112, 0.2794, 0.2249, 0.245, 0.2209, 0.2113, 0.2487, 0.2542, 0.2389, 0.2417, 0.2364, 0.2373, 0.235, 0.2533, 0.2403, 0.2576, 0.2748, 0.3306, 0.3284, 0.2941, 0.2902, 0.2829, 0.2925, 0.351, 0.3738, 0.3543, 0.3539, 0.3118, 0.2517, 0.2668, 0.268, 0.2686, 0.251, 0.2629, 0.264, 0.1985, 0.1924, 0.1153, 0.072, 0.0349, -0.1113, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.025, -0.0505, -0.0614, -0.0241, -0.0243, -0.0434, -0.0585, -0.051, -0.0361, -0.0842, -0.0918, -0.0368, -0.044, -0.0662, -0.0252, -0.0321, 0.0305, 0.004, -0.0343, -0.0305, -0.0089, -0.005, -0.0009, 0.0059, 0.061, 0.0477, 0.0098, -0.0091, -0.0005, 0.0051, -0.0005, 0.0107, -0.025, -0.0598, -0.0548, -0.0329, -0.0351, -0.052, -0.0514, -0.024, 0.0196, 0.008, 0.0172, 0.0344, 0.0557, 0.0514, 0.0602, 0.0652, 0.0931, 0.0754, 0.0822, 0.1084, 0.1093, 0.0978, 0.0965, 0.0821, 0.074, 0.0815, 0.1081, 0.1314, 0.147, 0.1541, 0.134, 0.1365, 0.1584, 0.1406, 0.1236, 0.1488, 0.1206, 0.0907, 0.0878, 0.0978, 0.099, 0.0699, 0.0953, 0.0747, 0.0537, 0.0423, 0.0399, 0.0108, -0.0546, -0.0927, -0.0957, -0.1365, -0.1058, -0.1263, -0.1291, -0.0991, -0.0994, -0.0605, -0.0702, -0.087, -0.1086, -0.0994, -0.0936, -0.1118, -0.1355, -0.1535, -0.1494, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019899556079734955", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T22:22:36+00:00", "symbol": "railroads", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Watch the railroads. They just woke up. I am long.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US railroad stocks; author holds a live position tied to ISM recovery thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNP", "CSX", "NSC", "CP", "CNI"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US railroad sector basket: UNP, CSX, NSC, CP, CNI", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Railroads'", "bench_c_industry": "Railroads", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AndreasSteno Watch the railroads. They just woke up. I am long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Nothing in the US equity market is priced for ISM &gt;60 https://t.co/6uBlHDWUag", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AndreasSteno", "ret_m1d": -0.006986889580387246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006986889580387246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0021883003497053634, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003993118736099932, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029937708442873134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022754691296562025, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022754691296562025, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025391749067261472, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021545738084022804, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208953212539221, "ret_p1w": 0.026455902194224824, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026455902194224824, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.044036405226434525, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02375010771415158, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0027057944800732425, "ret_p1m": 0.00872825555739185, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00872825555739185, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0328942409428715, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029914167128425186, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021185911571033333, "ret_p3m": 0.05979690859714624, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05979690859714624, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0026919283388270113, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05525507713811715, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541831459029089, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00872825555739185, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0328942409428715, "alpha_c_stated": 0.029914167128425186, "price_path": [-0.0976, -0.1092, -0.1096, -0.1194, -0.1251, -0.1255, -0.1319, -0.1164, -0.1234, -0.1062, -0.0984, -0.0984, -0.0904, -0.096, -0.0937, -0.075, -0.0716, -0.0733, -0.0727, -0.0815, -0.0662, -0.0653, -0.0596, -0.0595, -0.074, -0.0732, -0.0702, -0.0738, -0.0725, -0.0715, -0.0691, -0.0691, -0.0719, -0.0684, -0.0736, -0.0793, -0.0793, -0.0745, -0.0823, -0.0738, -0.1055, -0.0866, -0.0925, -0.0905, -0.0945, -0.0906, -0.0806, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.1075, -0.0822, -0.082, -0.0795, -0.0746, -0.0702, -0.0845, -0.0589, -0.0706, -0.0665, -0.0479, -0.0203, -0.0181, -0.007, 0.0, 0.0228, 0.0296, 0.0255, 0.0265, 0.0265, 0.0316, 0.0339, 0.0375, 0.0474, 0.0415, 0.0531, 0.0415, 0.051, 0.0587, 0.0704, 0.0594, 0.0579, 0.0342, 0.0069, 0.0141, 0.0087, 0.0035, -0.021, -0.0204, -0.0135, -0.022, -0.0392, -0.0569, -0.0579, -0.0414, -0.0415, -0.0336, -0.038, -0.0397, -0.0415, -0.0238, -0.0221, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0121, -0.0086, 0.0083, 0.0161, 0.0136, 0.0192, 0.0258, 0.0124, 0.017, 0.0258, 0.032, 0.0283, 0.0214, 0.0872, 0.0831, 0.0848, 0.0797, 0.0523, 0.0766, 0.0703, 0.0508, 0.0561, 0.0751, 0.0598, 0.065, 0.0578, 0.0645, 0.0614, 0.0815, 0.0742, 0.0877, 0.0839, 0.0782, 0.0771, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.1011, 0.1235, 0.0942, 0.0842, 0.0881, 0.0991, 0.091, 0.0938, 0.1111, 0.1076, 0.1128, 0.0992, 0.1035, 0.1135, 0.1011, 0.0991, 0.0623, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0698, 0.0686, 0.0702, 0.1029, 0.1075, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005014994996597148", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T20:36:40+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Will be the best short of 2026. Watch.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Short BTC; author calls it the best short of 2026, implying a major drawdown ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@btcjvs Will be the best short of 2026. Watch.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If Bitcoin were doing what silver is currently doing, I would be 100% confident in a 70% drawdown.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "btcjvs", "ret_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018739103374114663, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017024882153300336, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0017024882153300336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014826942349620564, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01604815596298559, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01604815596298559, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07739910461854649, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07758804036968647, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07758804036968647, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01143678876079579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2105451814028766, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15094175022972656, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15094175022972656, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28081986737653086, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3529700418611056, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3529700418611056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3616, 0.3849, 0.4031, 0.4317, 0.3938, 0.4156, 0.3967, 0.2993, 0.3229, 0.2982, 0.2714, 0.2415, 0.2218, 0.2691, 0.2449, 0.2358, 0.2632, 0.2742, 0.3096, 0.2963, 0.263, 0.2429, 0.2573, 0.2227, 0.1659, 0.1923, 0.1625, 0.1863, 0.2164, 0.182, 0.1667, 0.1441, 0.0833, 0.0569, 0.0667, 0.0497, -0.0058, -0.0235, 0.013, 0.0023, 0.0388, 0.0476, 0.0434, -0.0094, 0.0483, 0.0733, 0.0574, 0.0258, 0.0402, 0.0637, 0.056, 0.0617, 0.0359, -0.0082, 0.0081, -0.0114, -0.0192, 0.0111, 0.0155, 0.0032, 0.0054, 0.0011, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0043, 0.0183, 0.0322, 0.0774, 0.0756, 0.0479, 0.0446, 0.0387, 0.0465, 0.0939, 0.1124, 0.0965, 0.0962, 0.0621, 0.0135, 0.0257, 0.0267, 0.0271, 0.013, 0.0225, 0.0235, -0.0296, -0.0345, -0.097, -0.132, -0.162, -0.2804, -0.1903, -0.1953, -0.2105, -0.2312, -0.24, -0.2098, -0.21, -0.2254, -0.2377, -0.2316, -0.2196, -0.2585, -0.2646, -0.2201, -0.2259, -0.2439, -0.2107, -0.2163, -0.1656, -0.187, -0.2181, -0.215, -0.1975, -0.1943, -0.191, -0.1856, -0.1409, -0.1517, -0.1824, -0.1977, -0.1907, -0.1862, -0.1907, -0.1816, -0.2105, -0.2387, -0.2346, -0.217, -0.2187, -0.2324, -0.2319, -0.2098, -0.1744, -0.1838, -0.1764, -0.1625, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1415, -0.1376, -0.1149, -0.1293, -0.1238, -0.1025, -0.1018, -0.1111, -0.1121, -0.1238, -0.1304, -0.1243, -0.1028, -0.0839, -0.0713, -0.0655, -0.0818, -0.0798, -0.0621, -0.0764, -0.0902, -0.0699, -0.0926, -0.1169, -0.1192, -0.1111, -0.1102, -0.1337, -0.1131, -0.1298, -0.1468, -0.1561, -0.158, -0.1815, -0.2345, -0.2654, -0.2678, -0.3008, -0.276, -0.2926, -0.2948, -0.2706, -0.2708, -0.2393, -0.2472, -0.2607, -0.2782, -0.2708, -0.2661, -0.2808]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020197885544132901", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T18:08:04+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sub $10 coming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish HIMS; expects price to fall below $10 from current ~$19.72 level.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@optionscjp Sub $10 coming", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bought 2k $HIMS shares in after hours @$19.72 \n\n$HIMS down 14% after hours and heading into Super Bowl weekend in which they will be running an ad to 127m Americans focusing on their new early cancer detection tests  🏈", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "optionscjp", "ret_m1d": 0.19089501027531042, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19089501027531042, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1956935995059923, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1956935995059923, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1081220983361072, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1081220983361072, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10548504056540775, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10548504056540775, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "ret_p1w": -0.15675120013474786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15675120013474786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13917069710253815, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13917069710253815, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "ret_p1m": 0.21417482700407042, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21417482700407042, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23834081238955007, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23834081238955007, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "ret_p3m": 0.32695290842052493, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32695290842052493, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2698479281622057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2698479281622057, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21417482700407042, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23834081238955007, "alpha_c_stated": -0.23834081238955007, "price_path": [1.0186, 0.865, 0.9131, 0.8407, 0.8758, 0.8536, 0.7393, 0.7957, 0.9545, 0.9188, 0.9865, 0.9865, 1.0569, 0.9405, 0.8784, 0.9177, 1.0704, 1.0279, 1.0238, 1.06, 0.9596, 0.954, 0.925, 0.8753, 0.9069, 0.8091, 0.7988, 0.8396, 0.8132, 0.8003, 0.7936, 0.7936, 0.775, 0.7641, 0.7093, 0.6798, 0.6798, 0.7284, 0.7957, 0.8345, 0.8345, 0.7522, 0.6394, 0.673, 0.6658, 0.6203, 0.6156, 0.6234, 0.6234, 0.5763, 0.4946, 0.5789, 0.5323, 0.5665, 0.5354, 0.4832, 0.5453, 0.4014, 0.3678, 0.3213, 0.2623, 0.2147, 0.1909, 0.0, -0.1081, -0.1366, -0.1826, -0.1568, -0.1568, -0.1583, -0.1805, -0.1816, -0.1914, -0.1976, -0.2002, -0.1816, -0.193, -0.2488, -0.1474, -0.1816, -0.149, -0.1785, -0.1857, 0.1464, 0.2142, 0.3389, 0.2333, 0.2814, 0.2871, 0.2923, 0.1976, 0.2499, 0.1392, 0.1619, 0.104, 0.0781, 0.0792, 0.0026, -0.0285, 0.074, 0.0264, -0.0098, -0.0098, 0.0517, 0.0088, 0.0031, 0.0217, 0.0052, 0.0942, 0.105, 0.2566, 0.3963, 0.4909, 0.6042, 0.5396, 0.5008, 0.4563, 0.581, 0.5204, 0.4439, 0.3621, 0.4056, 0.418, 0.4108, 0.3621, 0.3906, 0.327, 0.4625, 0.5075, 0.2949, 0.2488, 0.254, 0.2959, 0.1531, 0.1609, 0.1919, 0.2421, 0.2287, 0.2287, 0.2338, 0.3037, 0.313, 0.3528, 0.4361, 0.4232, 0.4232, 0.449, 0.3549, 0.4056, 0.4992, 0.4371, 0.4935, 0.3875, 0.5608, 0.628, 0.6498, 0.835, 0.835, 0.7351, 0.7051, 0.6917, 0.6922, 0.7558, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015442916492415359", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-25T15:13:31+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agree. 2-4 deal coming this year.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; endorses parent's long thesis and expects a significant deal catalyst this year.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheSkayeth Agree. 2-4 deal coming this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Starting a BIG position in $CIFR.\n\nBoth momentum indicators flipped blue - and the last two times, $CIFR jumped +206% and +225%.\n\nThis should make a BIG move after back-testing the wedge.\n\nWatching closely, don't miss out! https://t.co/pF5pv7Ne99", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheSkayeth", "ret_m1d": 0.06549423521506936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06549423521506936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07054680883709552, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07227135445092381, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050525736220261575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006777119235854445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1370527750303654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1370527750303654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1330686096518945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1235669119253886, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984165378470905, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013485863104976792, "ret_p1w": -0.041237074647658134, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041237074647658134, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04510573643223126, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03562359316141428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003868661784573124, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005613481486243854, "ret_p1m": 0.038205038014534454, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.038205038014534454, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04597150321128207, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07763542618452801, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766465196747618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03943038816999356, "ret_p3m": 0.1334142385370254, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1334142385370254, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10792842368928635, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06527509665520759, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02548581484773904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0681391418818178, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.038205038014534454, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04597150321128207, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07763542618452801, "price_path": [0.188, 0.1565, 0.131, 0.3802, 0.3651, 0.4985, 0.3166, 0.2547, 0.1916, 0.1322, 0.054, -0.0946, -0.1292, -0.1298, -0.1158, -0.1134, -0.117, -0.1419, 0.0133, 0.0625, 0.1613, 0.1613, 0.2341, 0.1941, 0.0697, 0.1298, 0.2025, 0.1692, 0.1813, 0.1862, 0.1207, 0.1449, 0.034, -0.1061, -0.091, -0.1273, -0.0813, -0.017, -0.0091, -0.0352, -0.0164, -0.0164, -0.0788, -0.0855, -0.1152, -0.1049, -0.1049, -0.0176, 0.1013, 0.0637, -0.0249, 0.0036, 0.0085, 0.0722, 0.1067, 0.0995, 0.0625, 0.1401, 0.1401, 0.0867, 0.0746, 0.0546, 0.0655, 0.0, 0.1371, 0.1504, 0.0734, -0.0321, -0.0412, -0.0139, -0.1358, -0.2298, -0.1067, 0.0164, 0.037, -0.0127, -0.0237, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0515, -0.0649, -0.0418, -0.1116, -0.077, 0.0382, 0.0073, -0.0006, -0.054, -0.0443, -0.1079, -0.0273, -0.0813, -0.174, -0.1322, -0.1534, -0.1443, -0.1686, -0.1461, -0.0819, -0.0849, -0.1104, -0.1122, -0.1504, -0.097, -0.0976, -0.037, -0.1298, -0.1665, -0.2714, -0.2195, -0.2335, -0.2226, -0.2226, -0.1904, -0.1504, -0.0649, -0.0079, 0.0024, 0.077, 0.1189, 0.0916, 0.0515, 0.1747, 0.1698, 0.094, 0.1789, 0.1334, 0.1037, 0.1013, 0.0467, 0.0261, 0.0758, 0.0334, 0.0849, 0.3402, 0.3287, 0.2544, 0.2462, 0.2298, 0.2165, 0.2881, 0.3517, 0.2329, 0.1595, 0.1401, 0.1813, 0.305, 0.3323, 0.3323, 0.396, 0.5258, 0.4912, 0.4342, 0.456, 0.5943, 0.5913, 0.5494, 0.3614, 0.473, 0.3969, 0.2747, 0.3723, 0.4857, 0.5785, 0.5894, 0.5979, 0.7696, 0.7696, 0.7065, 0.6762, 0.5901, 0.5573, 0.5731, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1991510420306423897", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T14:14:19+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Do not fall for it. They are running one of the biggest scams I've ever seen in markets, period", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Hold Bitcoin; alleged manipulation via derivatives is a scam — do not sell.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They are pulling out all the stops to try to manipulate Bitcoin lower using perps and futures and other derivatives. They are working overtime to try to scare people out of their corn. Do not fall for it. They are running one of the biggest scams I’ve ever seen in markets, period", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.055800390354916685, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.055800390354916685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.040322241576141726, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.040322241576141726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478148778774958, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015478148778774958, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017790340109098413, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017790340109098413, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027751478278063457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027751478278063457, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961138168965045, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009961138168965045, "ret_p1w": 0.05371550948819648, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05371550948819648, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012108282391033676, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012108282391033676, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0416072270971628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0416072270971628, "ret_p1m": 0.016985479962228878, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016985479962228878, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029098317711795385, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029098317711795385, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04608379767402426, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04608379767402426, "ret_p3m": -0.22090800308741643, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22090800308741643, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2704653728112527, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2704653728112527, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049557369723836286, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049557369723836286, "ret_p6m": -0.08733756141173099, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08733756141173099, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22656299945377223, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22656299945377223, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543804204124, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13922543804204124, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.016985479962228878, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.029098317711795385, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029098317711795385, "price_path": [0.2712, 0.2905, 0.2838, 0.2991, 0.2514, 0.2611, 0.2836, 0.2896, 0.2781, 0.2773, 0.2937, 0.2874, 0.3154, 0.3333, 0.3402, 0.3326, 0.3487, 0.3444, 0.3521, 0.3354, 0.3015, 0.293, 0.3082, 0.2588, 0.2664, 0.3205, 0.3166, 0.3696, 0.393, 0.4113, 0.44, 0.4019, 0.4239, 0.4049, 0.3068, 0.3306, 0.3057, 0.2788, 0.2488, 0.229, 0.2765, 0.2522, 0.2431, 0.2705, 0.2817, 0.3173, 0.3039, 0.2704, 0.2502, 0.2646, 0.2299, 0.1727, 0.1992, 0.1693, 0.1932, 0.2235, 0.1889, 0.1735, 0.1508, 0.0896, 0.063, 0.0729, 0.0558, 0.0, -0.0178, 0.0189, 0.0082, 0.0449, 0.0537, 0.0495, -0.0036, 0.0545, 0.0796, 0.0636, 0.0318, 0.0463, 0.0699, 0.0622, 0.0679, 0.042, -0.0024, 0.014, -0.0056, -0.0135, 0.017, 0.0214, 0.009, 0.0113, 0.007, 0.0077, 0.0058, 0.0208, 0.0101, 0.0242, 0.0382, 0.0837, 0.0819, 0.054, 0.0507, 0.0448, 0.0526, 0.1003, 0.1189, 0.103, 0.1027, 0.0684, 0.0194, 0.0317, 0.0327, 0.0332, 0.0189, 0.0285, 0.0295, -0.0239, -0.0289, -0.0917, -0.127, -0.1571, -0.2762, -0.1856, -0.1906, -0.2059, -0.2267, -0.2356, -0.2052, -0.2053, -0.2209, -0.2332, -0.2271, -0.215, -0.2541, -0.2603, -0.2155, -0.2214, -0.2395, -0.2061, -0.2117, -0.1607, -0.1823, -0.2135, -0.2104, -0.1928, -0.1896, -0.1863, -0.1808, -0.1359, -0.1467, -0.1776, -0.193, -0.186, -0.1814, -0.186, -0.1769, -0.2059, -0.2343, -0.2302, -0.2124, -0.2142, -0.2279, -0.2274, -0.2051, -0.1696, -0.179, -0.1716, -0.1576, -0.1402, -0.1437, -0.1365, -0.1325, -0.1097, -0.1242, -0.1187, -0.0973, -0.0965, -0.1059, -0.1069, -0.1187, -0.1253, -0.1192, -0.0976, -0.0785, -0.0659, -0.0601, -0.0764, -0.0744, -0.0566, -0.071, -0.0849, -0.0644, -0.0873]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005013667017011256", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T20:31:24+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "LMK when I should take another larger crack at a SLV short. I think this will be the killer trade of 2026.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Plans to short SLV; calls it the killer trade of 2026, anticipating a significant decline in silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk LMK when I should take another larger crack at a SLV short. I think this will be the killer trade of 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Silver Technically speaking, this should magnet to the 1.618 extension of the 2011-2020 measured move at $122. \n\n$SLV $SIVR $SIL $SILJ https://t.co/vERQv0FbQ9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07741251999667598, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04499319988770312, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04650809870432049, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07938193469002708, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.1557340139571337, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1557340139571337, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "price_path": [-0.3499, -0.3557, -0.3407, -0.3325, -0.3427, -0.325, -0.3227, -0.3118, -0.284, -0.291, -0.2678, -0.2551, -0.2881, -0.2771, -0.3366, -0.3353, -0.3307, -0.3336, -0.3577, -0.3531, -0.3451, -0.3283, -0.3333, -0.3371, -0.3525, -0.3387, -0.3403, -0.3346, -0.3063, -0.2963, -0.268, -0.2816, -0.3037, -0.3112, -0.3016, -0.2963, -0.3065, -0.3137, -0.2936, -0.293, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.2242, -0.2044, -0.1951, -0.196, -0.2159, -0.1978, -0.2015, -0.1642, -0.1506, -0.1271, -0.1501, -0.1197, -0.1254, -0.0871, -0.1013, -0.077, -0.0536, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.012, 0.0774, 0.0, 0.045, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0039, 0.0465, 0.1166, 0.075, 0.0561, 0.0965, 0.17, 0.1907, 0.281, 0.2622, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2936, 0.2719, 0.32, 0.4075, 0.4898, 0.539, 0.5998, 0.5993, 0.1429, 0.0974, 0.1659, 0.1995, 0.0103, 0.0633, 0.1519, 0.1121, 0.1598, 0.0261, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0055, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.1607, 0.2206, 0.198, 0.2125, 0.2188, 0.2875, 0.2357, 0.1313, 0.1413, 0.1251, 0.1504, 0.1856, 0.2133, 0.1803, 0.1586, 0.1012, 0.1092, 0.0856, 0.0408, -0.005, -0.068, -0.0536, -0.0464, -0.0121, -0.0794, -0.0389, -0.0377, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0012, -0.0011, 0.0221, 0.0361, 0.0465, 0.0344, 0.0913, 0.0883, 0.0792, 0.1154, 0.093, 0.0376, 0.0661, 0.0359, 0.0421, 0.0351, 0.0029, -0.0177, 0.0098, 0.0345, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0624, 0.0847, 0.106, 0.1816, 0.19, 0.2021, 0.1439, 0.0459, 0.0595, 0.0135, 0.0412, 0.0521, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0562, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0351, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.003, 0.0147, -0.0673, -0.0671, -0.106, -0.1265, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.0385, -0.0397, -0.0818, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.1076, -0.1557]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991208549511491933", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T18:14:47+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WULF is well positioned and trading well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish WULF; well positioned and trading well.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BlueOyster14 WULF is well positioned and trading well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred No doubt, fundamental backdrop supports your view.  The question is - how much more downside do you believe we will have to sit through (probabilistically)?  Maybe a test of the recent low?\nAnd, you haven't mentioned WULF?  Any thoughts to share?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BlueOyster14", "ret_m1d": -0.018806177501644594, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018806177501644594, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014957867559452831, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015120977045012252, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483099421917633, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036852004566323426, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05478325001614148, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05478325001614148, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.039541022699493444, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04605544322039523, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242227316648038, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008727806795746251, "ret_p1w": 0.21340970629949085, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21340970629949085, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18767889333240628, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1864508286733082, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02573081296708457, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026958877626182653, "ret_p1m": -0.03597707251449689, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03597707251449689, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05686341344749002, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09377383636781012, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088634093299313, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05779676385331323, "ret_p3m": 0.3295176482000586, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3295176482000586, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2976228152777838, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.32427104905371307, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894832922274796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00524659914634551, "ret_p6m": 0.9762878970536999, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9762878970536999, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8407672235790278, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9729164740795566, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13552067347467212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.003371422974143279, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03597707251449689, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05686341344749002, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09377383636781012, "price_path": [-0.251, -0.2698, -0.2445, -0.2535, -0.2281, -0.2273, -0.2273, -0.2126, -0.2657, -0.2747, -0.2535, -0.2478, -0.1578, -0.1374, -0.13, -0.1202, -0.1423, -0.1055, -0.072, -0.0867, -0.1022, -0.0605, -0.0809, -0.0679, -0.103, -0.1145, -0.0515, -0.0662, -0.0621, -0.0531, -0.0253, -0.0213, -0.0106, 0.0057, 0.1112, 0.1047, 0.1447, 0.2641, 0.2649, 0.1333, 0.139, 0.1325, 0.0744, 0.0319, 0.0531, 0.121, 0.1153, 0.3034, 0.1856, 0.2118, 0.2674, 0.3164, 0.2273, 0.2559, 0.1676, 0.1398, 0.1693, 0.0114, 0.0335, -0.045, -0.1014, -0.0965, -0.0188, 0.0, -0.0548, -0.0769, 0.0327, 0.1398, 0.2134, 0.2134, 0.2682, 0.251, 0.1627, 0.1799, 0.2347, 0.1856, 0.2232, 0.2747, 0.2886, 0.2944, 0.1717, 0.0213, 0.0621, -0.054, -0.036, 0.0237, 0.0196, 0.0155, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0392, -0.0662, -0.0883, -0.0605, -0.0605, 0.0417, 0.1137, 0.0777, 0.0213, 0.0499, 0.0711, 0.1292, 0.1562, 0.1619, 0.1308, 0.1325, 0.1325, 0.0899, 0.0728, 0.054, 0.1545, 0.1276, 0.2518, 0.2355, 0.1889, 0.0932, 0.0989, 0.2101, 0.1349, -0.0253, 0.1684, 0.3614, 0.3598, 0.3107, 0.3009, 0.3295, 0.3295, 0.323, 0.2576, 0.2649, 0.2273, 0.2821, 0.4358, 0.4652, 0.462, 0.3262, 0.3099, 0.2052, 0.2567, 0.2453, 0.1243, 0.1325, 0.1733, 0.2445, 0.1995, 0.1995, 0.3418, 0.3115, 0.251, 0.287, 0.2347, 0.3238, 0.3262, 0.3786, 0.2551, 0.2175, 0.1202, 0.1799, 0.184, 0.2167, 0.2167, 0.2715, 0.3549, 0.4759, 0.556, 0.5429, 0.5904, 0.713, 0.6083, 0.5789, 0.6877, 0.6762, 0.6165, 0.6803, 0.6656, 0.6361, 0.7522, 0.7007, 0.637, 0.7768, 0.7424, 0.8226, 0.9207, 1.1047, 0.964, 0.9125, 0.9109, 0.8643, 0.8904, 0.9763]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992305668712526067", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T18:54:21+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You guys will both be heroes when Bitcoin is over $150,000. Patience.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to above $150,000; urging patience.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JoshMandell6 Hey, homie, go easy on my bud Ben. You guys will both be heroes when Bitcoin is over $150,000. Patience.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Ben loves the word \"unencumbered\".    He dresses in tuxedos which are unencumberbunned.  His nickname is high school was unBencumbered.   Sorority girls at his college made up t-shirts with ✔️DoneBencumbered.  He was such a male slut.  This post just took a hard left turn.  Bye", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JoshMandell6", "ret_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "ret_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "ret_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "price_path": [0.26, 0.275, 0.2282, 0.2377, 0.2598, 0.2657, 0.2544, 0.2535, 0.2696, 0.2635, 0.291, 0.3086, 0.3153, 0.3079, 0.3237, 0.3194, 0.327, 0.3106, 0.2773, 0.269, 0.2839, 0.2354, 0.2429, 0.296, 0.2921, 0.3442, 0.3672, 0.3851, 0.4133, 0.3759, 0.3975, 0.3788, 0.2826, 0.3059, 0.2815, 0.255, 0.2256, 0.2062, 0.2528, 0.2289, 0.22, 0.247, 0.2579, 0.2928, 0.2797, 0.2468, 0.227, 0.2411, 0.2071, 0.1509, 0.177, 0.1476, 0.1711, 0.2008, 0.1668, 0.1517, 0.1295, 0.0694, 0.0433, 0.053, 0.0362, -0.0186, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0255, 0.0342, 0.03, -0.0221, 0.0349, 0.0596, 0.0439, 0.0127, 0.0268, 0.0501, 0.0425, 0.048, 0.0227, -0.021, -0.0048, -0.0241, -0.0318, -0.0019, 0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0075, -0.0117, -0.011, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0086, 0.0052, 0.019, 0.0636, 0.0618, 0.0344, 0.0312, 0.0254, 0.0331, 0.0799, 0.0981, 0.0825, 0.0822, 0.0485, 0.0005, 0.0125, 0.0135, 0.014, -0.0, 0.0094, 0.0104, -0.042, -0.0469, -0.1086, -0.1432, -0.1728, -0.2897, -0.2007, -0.2056, -0.2206, -0.2411, -0.2498, -0.2199, -0.2201, -0.2354, -0.2475, -0.2415, -0.2296, -0.268, -0.274, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.2536, -0.2209, -0.2263, -0.1763, -0.1975, -0.2281, -0.2251, -0.2078, -0.2047, -0.2014, -0.196, -0.1519, -0.1625, -0.1929, -0.208, -0.2011, -0.1966, -0.2011, -0.1921, -0.2207, -0.2485, -0.2445, -0.227, -0.2288, -0.2422, -0.2418, -0.2199, -0.185, -0.1943, -0.187, -0.1732, -0.1562, -0.1596, -0.1525, -0.1486, -0.1262, -0.1405, -0.135, -0.1141, -0.1133, -0.1225, -0.1235, -0.135, -0.1415, -0.1356, -0.1143, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0775, -0.0936, -0.0916, -0.0741, -0.0883, -0.1019, -0.0818, -0.1043, -0.1282, -0.1305]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993342989314535473", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T15:36:17+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin and AI are the two defining megatrends of our lifetimes… if you don't own direct exposure, you will rapidly fall behind those that do", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Must-own long exposure to Bitcoin and AI as the two defining megatrends; falling behind is inevitable without direct positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin and AI are the two defining megatrends of our lifetimes and two of the most important technological developments in all of human history. As an investor, if you don’t own direct exposure, you will rapidly fall behind those that do. Nothing you can do to stop it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010632605595718436, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010632605595718436, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019950886580787364, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019950886580787364, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318280985068927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009318280985068927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03636830551491177, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03636830551491177, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029464814895187708, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029464814895187708, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903490619724062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006903490619724062, "ret_p1w": 0.04589221130109933, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04589221130109933, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.036248092706420376, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.036248092706420376, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644118594678952, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009644118594678952, "ret_p1m": 0.0030921051807721867, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0030921051807721867, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.022684895351836376, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.022684895351836376, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025777000532608563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025777000532608563, "ret_p3m": -0.2213882549556958, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2213882549556958, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24575377874740267, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24575377874740267, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024365523791706867, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024365523791706867, "ret_p6m": -0.11316582589146351, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11316582589146351, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21753405557579863, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21753405557579863, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436822968433512, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10436822968433512, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2886, 0.2412, 0.2508, 0.2732, 0.2791, 0.2677, 0.2669, 0.2831, 0.2769, 0.3047, 0.3225, 0.3293, 0.3218, 0.3378, 0.3335, 0.3411, 0.3246, 0.2909, 0.2825, 0.2975, 0.2485, 0.2561, 0.3098, 0.3059, 0.3584, 0.3817, 0.3999, 0.4283, 0.3905, 0.4123, 0.3934, 0.2962, 0.3198, 0.2951, 0.2684, 0.2387, 0.219, 0.2662, 0.242, 0.233, 0.2602, 0.2713, 0.3066, 0.2933, 0.2601, 0.24, 0.2543, 0.2199, 0.1631, 0.1895, 0.1598, 0.1835, 0.2136, 0.1792, 0.164, 0.1415, 0.0808, 0.0544, 0.0642, 0.0472, -0.0081, -0.0258, 0.0106, 0.0, 0.0364, 0.0451, 0.041, -0.0117, 0.0459, 0.0708, 0.055, 0.0234, 0.0378, 0.0613, 0.0536, 0.0592, 0.0335, -0.0106, 0.0057, -0.0137, -0.0215, 0.0087, 0.0131, 0.0008, 0.0031, -0.0012, -0.0005, -0.0023, 0.0125, 0.0019, 0.0159, 0.0298, 0.0749, 0.0731, 0.0454, 0.0422, 0.0363, 0.0441, 0.0914, 0.1098, 0.094, 0.0937, 0.0597, 0.0111, 0.0233, 0.0243, 0.0248, 0.0106, 0.0202, 0.0211, -0.0318, -0.0368, -0.0991, -0.1341, -0.164, -0.2821, -0.1922, -0.1972, -0.2124, -0.233, -0.2418, -0.2116, -0.2118, -0.2272, -0.2395, -0.2334, -0.2214, -0.2602, -0.2663, -0.2219, -0.2277, -0.2457, -0.2126, -0.2181, -0.1675, -0.1889, -0.2199, -0.2168, -0.1994, -0.1962, -0.1929, -0.1875, -0.1429, -0.1536, -0.1843, -0.1996, -0.1926, -0.1881, -0.1926, -0.1836, -0.2124, -0.2405, -0.2364, -0.2188, -0.2206, -0.2342, -0.2337, -0.2116, -0.1763, -0.1857, -0.1783, -0.1644, -0.1472, -0.1507, -0.1435, -0.1396, -0.117, -0.1313, -0.1258, -0.1046, -0.1039, -0.1132, -0.1142, -0.1258, -0.1324, -0.1264, -0.1049, -0.086, -0.0734, -0.0677, -0.0839, -0.0819, -0.0643, -0.0786, -0.0923, -0.072, -0.0948, -0.1189, -0.1213, -0.1132]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993342989314535473", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-25T15:36:17+00:00", "symbol": "AI", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin and AI are the two defining megatrends of our lifetimes… if you don't own direct exposure, you will rapidly fall behind those that do", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Must-own long exposure to Bitcoin and AI as the two defining megatrends; falling behind is inevitable without direct positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["BOTZ", "IRBO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Broad AI sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin and AI are the two defining megatrends of our lifetimes and two of the most important technological developments in all of human history. As an investor, if you don’t own direct exposure, you will rapidly fall behind those that do. Nothing you can do to stop it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010086344691970173, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010086344691970173, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0007680637069012453, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0007680637069012453, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318280985068927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009318280985068927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01166863716527633, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01166863716527633, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004765146545552268, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004765146545552268, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903490619724062, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006903490619724062, "ret_p1w": 0.030770538962847427, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030770538962847427, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021126420368168475, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021126420368168475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644118594678952, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009644118594678952, "ret_p1m": 0.05605222194954873, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05605222194954873, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030275221416940168, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030275221416940168, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025777000532608563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025777000532608563, "ret_p3m": 0.12202097158410019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12202097158410019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09765544779239332, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09765544779239332, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024365523791706867, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024365523791706867, "ret_p6m": 0.2887462048297299, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2887462048297299, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18437797514539478, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18437797514539478, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436822968433512, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10436822968433512, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0365, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0622, -0.0635, -0.0581, -0.0514, -0.0399, -0.039, -0.0322, -0.0229, -0.0286, -0.0171, -0.0181, -0.0222, -0.0016, -0.0001, 0.0202, 0.0107, -0.0014, -0.0069, -0.0079, -0.0005, 0.0084, 0.0213, 0.0345, 0.0391, 0.0656, 0.0517, 0.0725, 0.0765, 0.027, 0.056, 0.0439, 0.0605, 0.0515, 0.0435, 0.0658, 0.0618, 0.0512, 0.0633, 0.0686, 0.0987, 0.0968, 0.1097, 0.0891, 0.1008, 0.1091, 0.0747, 0.0718, 0.0426, 0.0426, 0.063, 0.0498, 0.0477, 0.0183, 0.019, -0.0046, -0.0207, -0.0146, -0.0424, -0.0341, -0.0101, 0.0, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.0238, 0.0245, 0.0308, 0.0439, 0.0665, 0.0683, 0.0707, 0.0696, 0.0771, 0.0733, 0.0446, 0.0362, 0.0307, 0.005, 0.0184, 0.0364, 0.0507, 0.0541, 0.0561, 0.0561, 0.0558, 0.0583, 0.0586, 0.0482, 0.0482, 0.0708, 0.0858, 0.1026, 0.0996, 0.0843, 0.1008, 0.112, 0.1011, 0.099, 0.1092, 0.1162, 0.1162, 0.0866, 0.1042, 0.1103, 0.1136, 0.1181, 0.1359, 0.1416, 0.1296, 0.1001, 0.0988, 0.0897, 0.0592, 0.0373, 0.0935, 0.1144, 0.1143, 0.1157, 0.1016, 0.1101, 0.1101, 0.1091, 0.1119, 0.1148, 0.122, 0.1012, 0.1203, 0.144, 0.1348, 0.1194, 0.1029, 0.0574, 0.0743, 0.0598, 0.044, 0.0576, 0.0595, 0.0684, 0.04, 0.0304, 0.0533, 0.0586, 0.0444, 0.0497, 0.0056, 0.0292, 0.0165, 0.0311, -0.0106, -0.0318, -0.0565, -0.0134, 0.008, 0.0022, 0.0022, 0.0089, 0.0091, 0.0614, 0.061, 0.081, 0.1081, 0.1409, 0.1479, 0.1577, 0.1787, 0.1836, 0.1746, 0.2066, 0.1847, 0.2152, 0.2264, 0.1952, 0.1991, 0.2295, 0.2412, 0.2449, 0.2691, 0.3141, 0.2966, 0.3428, 0.3508, 0.3164, 0.3388, 0.3401, 0.2971, 0.2769, 0.2559, 0.2887]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993710303352328649", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T15:55:52+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added 50,000 shares of ASST at $1.06. Holding 1.9M shares and have limit orders in to go up to 2M shares today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Actively accumulating ASST, holding 1.9M shares with limit orders to reach 2M shares.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Added 50,000 shares of ASST at $1.06. Holding 1.9M shares and have limit orders in to go up to 2M shares today if the lettuce hands will oblige. https://t.co/KY0p6lEEcq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017699097866309854, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017699097866309854, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010842938677234848, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009955871439321085, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006856159189075006, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00774322642698877, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.07079647586119531, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07079647586119531, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07699057863350223, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08212787021584311, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011331394354647806, "ret_p1m": -0.23716816459641976, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23716816459641976, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25591227472088496, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.29334903287822145, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05618086828180169, "ret_p3m": -0.6743362827750639, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6743362827750639, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6812901387466461, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6357584095189324, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03857787325613149, "ret_p6m": -0.18008847903212022, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18008847903212022, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2790600279906128, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16550180271066683, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014586676321453385, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07079647586119531, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07699057863350223, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08212787021584311, "price_path": [4.4425, 4.4425, 4.7168, 4.7611, 3.8761, 3.0177, 3.7168, 4.5575, 6.1593, 6.885, 6.5133, 4.5044, 2.9646, 2.2566, 2.3805, 2.8053, 2.6283, 1.9646, 1.6637, 1.4336, 1.1593, 1.0354, 1.2124, 1.2212, 1.354, 1.3009, 1.2389, 0.8584, 0.7611, 0.6018, 0.3761, -0.0442, -0.1177, -0.1504, -0.2035, -0.2619, -0.2354, -0.2655, -0.3097, -0.2354, -0.0265, 0.4513, 0.2743, 0.1062, 0.0708, 0.177, 0.1239, 0.1062, 0.292, 0.2832, 0.3363, 0.3097, 0.2035, 0.1416, 0.0177, -0.0442, -0.0796, -0.0088, -0.0708, -0.1301, -0.0973, 0.0, -0.0177, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0708, -0.0841, -0.0708, -0.1354, -0.2027, -0.1283, -0.0973, -0.115, -0.1841, -0.2363, -0.3018, -0.2389, -0.2735, -0.2646, -0.2044, -0.2336, -0.2876, -0.2372, -0.2372, -0.2788, -0.3159, -0.3522, -0.3469, -0.3469, -0.2345, -0.0885, -0.0796, -0.0973, -0.1062, -0.1628, -0.0265, -0.1416, -0.0885, -0.1407, -0.1611, -0.1611, -0.2168, -0.2106, -0.2301, -0.2292, -0.3044, -0.2752, -0.2912, -0.3053, -0.2735, -0.3602, -0.3965, -0.4761, -0.5637, -0.4728, -0.5511, -0.5938, -0.642, -0.6593, -0.6314, -0.6314, -0.6381, -0.6438, -0.6407, -0.6394, -0.6743, -0.683, -0.6221, -0.6376, -0.6487, -0.6137, -0.6314, -0.5743, -0.5907, -0.615, -0.6235, -0.6027, -0.5916, -0.6093, -0.5783, -0.5195, -0.5088, -0.556, -0.546, -0.5566, -0.5381, -0.5606, -0.5199, -0.5394, -0.5639, -0.5854, -0.5566, -0.5504, -0.5686, -0.5686, -0.5522, -0.59, -0.5465, -0.5735, -0.5296, -0.4876, -0.45, -0.4013, -0.3814, -0.3093, -0.3088, -0.3226, -0.2628, -0.2832, -0.3009, -0.3058, -0.3239, -0.3624, -0.3204, -0.2783, -0.2763, -0.2695, -0.2796, -0.3159, -0.2956, -0.2058, -0.2447, -0.2593, -0.2164, -0.2571, -0.3013, -0.285, -0.2487, -0.1801]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993685476365025284", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T14:17:13+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is almost certainly wrong", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disagrees with bearish BTC view; implicitly bullish on BTC from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SHMB1111 This is almost certainly wrong", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred BTC isn't going anywhere but down until the DATs are cleaned up", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SHMB1111", "ret_m1d": -0.035092066518613185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035092066518613185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02823590732953818, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02823590732953818, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006856159189075006, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006856159189075006, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008473504729832548, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008473504729832548, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008473504729832548, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008473504729832548, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.033246705541718935, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033246705541718935, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027052602769412015, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027052602769412015, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "ret_p1m": -0.03627578691513833, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03627578691513833, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05501989703960353, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05501989703960353, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "ret_p3m": -0.2861477699061594, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2861477699061594, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2931016258777417, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2931016258777417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "ret_p6m": -0.143387421976082, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.143387421976082, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2423589709345746, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2423589709345746, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03627578691513833, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05501989703960353, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05501989703960353, "price_path": [0.1977, 0.2069, 0.2285, 0.2343, 0.2232, 0.2224, 0.2381, 0.2321, 0.2589, 0.2761, 0.2826, 0.2754, 0.2908, 0.2867, 0.2941, 0.2781, 0.2456, 0.2375, 0.252, 0.2047, 0.2121, 0.2638, 0.26, 0.3108, 0.3332, 0.3507, 0.3782, 0.3417, 0.3628, 0.3445, 0.2507, 0.2735, 0.2497, 0.2239, 0.1952, 0.1762, 0.2217, 0.1984, 0.1897, 0.216, 0.2266, 0.2607, 0.2479, 0.2158, 0.1965, 0.2103, 0.1771, 0.1223, 0.1477, 0.1191, 0.142, 0.171, 0.1379, 0.1231, 0.1014, 0.0429, 0.0174, 0.0269, 0.0105, -0.0429, -0.06, -0.0248, -0.0351, 0.0, 0.0085, 0.0044, -0.0464, 0.0092, 0.0332, 0.0179, -0.0125, 0.0013, 0.024, 0.0166, 0.022, -0.0027, -0.0453, -0.0295, -0.0483, -0.0559, -0.0267, -0.0224, -0.0343, -0.0321, -0.0363, -0.0355, -0.0373, -0.0231, -0.0332, -0.0197, -0.0063, 0.0372, 0.0355, 0.0087, 0.0056, -0.0001, 0.0075, 0.0531, 0.0708, 0.0556, 0.0553, 0.0225, -0.0244, -0.0126, -0.0117, -0.0112, -0.0249, -0.0156, -0.0147, -0.0658, -0.0706, -0.1307, -0.1644, -0.1933, -0.3073, -0.2205, -0.2253, -0.24, -0.2599, -0.2684, -0.2393, -0.2395, -0.2544, -0.2662, -0.2603, -0.2487, -0.2861, -0.2921, -0.2492, -0.2548, -0.2722, -0.2402, -0.2455, -0.1967, -0.2174, -0.2473, -0.2443, -0.2275, -0.2244, -0.2212, -0.216, -0.173, -0.1833, -0.2129, -0.2276, -0.2209, -0.2166, -0.221, -0.2122, -0.24, -0.2671, -0.2632, -0.2462, -0.2479, -0.261, -0.2606, -0.2393, -0.2052, -0.2143, -0.2071, -0.1938, -0.1771, -0.1805, -0.1736, -0.1698, -0.1479, -0.1618, -0.1565, -0.1361, -0.1353, -0.1443, -0.1453, -0.1565, -0.1629, -0.157, -0.1363, -0.1181, -0.106, -0.1004, -0.1161, -0.1141, -0.0971, -0.1109, -0.1242, -0.1046, -0.1265, -0.1499, -0.1521, -0.1443, -0.1434]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016293700398440870", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T23:34:13+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$42-$55 inbound", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Price target $42–$55 on CIFR; bullish continuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Freedom_By_40 $42-$55 inbound", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR bullish continuation patterns after bullish continuation patterns. https://t.co/nLqBNMQBGS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Freedom_By_40", "ret_m1d": -0.011597223053119277, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011597223053119277, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01169789776782204, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0036901153481300186, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007907107704989258, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06694773834393264, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06694773834393264, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06496336118909884, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051133317935245115, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015814420408687524, "ret_p1w": -0.24881388952037065, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24881388952037065, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2355414151255858, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17436512336147558, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07444876615889506, "ret_p1m": -0.13125987671308215, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13125987671308215, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1224594419677234, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0761771335966569, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05508274311642525, "ret_p3m": -0.042698971811356845, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.042698971811356845, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07390769220043958, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12002694483844678, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07732797302708994, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13125987671308215, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1224594419677234, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0761771335966569, "price_path": [-0.0169, 0.1998, 0.1866, 0.3026, 0.1444, 0.0907, 0.0358, -0.0158, -0.0838, -0.213, -0.243, -0.2435, -0.2314, -0.2293, -0.2325, -0.2541, -0.1191, -0.0764, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0727, 0.038, -0.0701, -0.0179, 0.0453, 0.0163, 0.0269, 0.0311, -0.0258, -0.0047, -0.1012, -0.223, -0.2098, -0.2414, -0.2014, -0.1455, -0.1386, -0.1613, -0.145, -0.145, -0.1993, -0.2051, -0.2309, -0.2219, -0.2219, -0.146, -0.0427, -0.0754, -0.1523, -0.1276, -0.1234, -0.068, -0.038, -0.0443, -0.0764, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0554, -0.0659, -0.0833, -0.0738, -0.1307, -0.0116, 0.0, -0.0669, -0.1587, -0.1666, -0.1429, -0.2488, -0.3305, -0.2235, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.1418, -0.1513, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1755, -0.1871, -0.1671, -0.2277, -0.1977, -0.0975, -0.1244, -0.1313, -0.1776, -0.1692, -0.2246, -0.1545, -0.2014, -0.282, -0.2457, -0.2641, -0.2562, -0.2773, -0.2578, -0.2019, -0.2045, -0.2267, -0.2283, -0.2615, -0.2151, -0.2156, -0.1629, -0.2435, -0.2754, -0.3666, -0.3216, -0.3337, -0.3242, -0.3242, -0.2963, -0.2615, -0.1871, -0.1376, -0.1286, -0.0638, -0.0274, -0.0511, -0.0859, 0.0211, 0.0169, -0.049, 0.0248, -0.0148, -0.0406, -0.0427, -0.0901, -0.1081, -0.0648, -0.1017, -0.0569, 0.165, 0.155, 0.0904, 0.0833, 0.0691, 0.0575, 0.1197, 0.175, 0.0717, 0.0079, -0.009, 0.0269, 0.1344, 0.1581, 0.1581, 0.2135, 0.3263, 0.2963, 0.2467, 0.2657, 0.3859, 0.3832, 0.3469, 0.1834, 0.2804, 0.2143, 0.1081, 0.1929, 0.2915, 0.3722, 0.3817, 0.389, 0.5382, 0.5382, 0.4834, 0.457, 0.3822, 0.3537, 0.3674, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005052648245133343", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T23:06:18+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Wrong question. It will work the only real question is \"how big?\"", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish NVO thesis; pill Wegovy approval + near-record-low P/E will work, only question is magnitude of upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@chitchatstocks Wrong question. It will work the only real question is “how big?”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Novo Nordisk just had the pill version of Wegovy approved in the United States $NVO\n\nThe stock is trading at close to its lowest P/E ever: 13\n\nWhy doesn't this work from here? https://t.co/ccpZoTWt6t", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "chitchatstocks", "ret_m1d": 0.018068767330189806, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018068767330189806, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014492368777448306, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014492368777448306, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004857236000833209, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004857236000833209, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003636022387468185, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003636022387468185, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.07072081219366155, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07072081219366155, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07090974794480154, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07090974794480154, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.22187675491641667, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22187675491641667, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2107696877559122, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2107696877559122, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.29279187806338436, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29279187806338436, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23318844689023432, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23318844689023432, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.04489766251375982, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04489766251375982, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11704783699833454, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11704783699833454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22187675491641667, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2107696877559122, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2107696877559122, "price_path": [0.1496, 0.1412, 0.1585, 0.1589, 0.1467, 0.1582, 0.1401, 0.1061, 0.1172, 0.1008, 0.102, 0.0898, 0.0563, 0.083, 0.0643, 0.0371, 0.0342, 0.0289, 0.0276, 0.0113, -0.0019, -0.0278, -0.0391, -0.0459, -0.0626, -0.0585, -0.0964, -0.1125, -0.1074, -0.0451, -0.0235, -0.0449, -0.0624, -0.0585, -0.0762, -0.048, -0.0752, -0.0746, -0.1263, -0.0857, -0.0536, -0.0536, -0.0412, -0.0591, -0.0785, -0.0758, -0.0676, -0.0701, -0.0913, -0.0993, -0.047, -0.0229, -0.0251, -0.0214, -0.0488, -0.0719, -0.075, -0.0657, -0.0655, 0.0027, 0.0212, 0.0212, 0.0181, 0.0, -0.0049, -0.0115, -0.0115, 0.0179, 0.0707, 0.0931, 0.0991, 0.114, 0.1426, 0.163, 0.1587, 0.1446, 0.1098, 0.211, 0.211, 0.1789, 0.1525, 0.2091, 0.2096, 0.2431, 0.2219, 0.1721, 0.1527, 0.1547, 0.1449, -0.0227, -0.0832, -0.158, -0.0744, -0.0408, -0.0457, -0.053, -0.0493, -0.0369, -0.0369, -0.0408, -0.0435, -0.0587, -0.0787, -0.23, -0.2502, -0.2586, -0.2691, -0.2724, -0.2664, -0.2877, -0.252, -0.2409, -0.2504, -0.2271, -0.2477, -0.2456, -0.2613, -0.2625, -0.2504, -0.2534, -0.2724, -0.2796, -0.2903, -0.2846, -0.2833, -0.2942, -0.2928, -0.2998, -0.2892, -0.2598, -0.2652, -0.2552, -0.2552, -0.2614, -0.2566, -0.2425, -0.2459, -0.2443, -0.235, -0.208, -0.178, -0.1756, -0.1839, -0.1851, -0.206, -0.2115, -0.2242, -0.1708, -0.1702, -0.1708, -0.1885, -0.1496, -0.1162, -0.1059, -0.0963, -0.0783, -0.0775, -0.0721, -0.0654, -0.0534, -0.0517, -0.0775, -0.0989, -0.1081, -0.1081, -0.0922, -0.1059, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.11, -0.1027, -0.0834, -0.082, -0.1124, -0.1355, -0.1541, -0.1188, -0.1347, -0.1738, -0.1502, -0.1377, -0.1146, -0.1162, -0.1154, -0.1228, -0.1234, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.0759, -0.0449]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020520946704986261", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-08T15:31:47+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This move down is not justified by the fundamentals so it will mean revert", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC dip unjustified by fundamentals; expects mean reversion upward.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@scottmelker This move down is not justified by the fundamentals so it will mean revert", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC WEEKLY\n\nThis is currently the longest wick on a weekly chart in history. A $12,000 wick at the moment, without the candle having closed.\n\nThat's a LOT of buying interest in the 60Ks,\n\nBears have to be rethinking their position for now. https://t.co/d0tTzk8n8R", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "scottmelker", "ret_m1d": 0.006198011021162131, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006198011021162131, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010996600251844013, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010996600251844013, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018921927121284043, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018921927121284043, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016284869350584597, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016284869350584597, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "ret_p1w": -0.018220347480797594, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018220347480797594, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0006398444485878896, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0006398444485878896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "ret_p1m": -0.002764649388443563, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002764649388443563, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021401335997036086, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021401335997036086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "ret_p3m": 0.1410311003558593, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1410311003558593, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08392612009754008, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08392612009754008, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.002764649388443563, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.021401335997036086, "alpha_c_stated": 0.021401335997036086, "price_path": [0.4498, 0.4218, 0.3462, 0.3134, 0.3256, 0.3044, 0.2355, 0.2135, 0.2588, 0.2456, 0.2909, 0.3018, 0.2966, 0.231, 0.3028, 0.3338, 0.314, 0.2748, 0.2926, 0.3219, 0.3123, 0.3193, 0.2874, 0.2324, 0.2528, 0.2285, 0.2188, 0.2565, 0.262, 0.2466, 0.2494, 0.2441, 0.245, 0.2427, 0.2611, 0.248, 0.2654, 0.2827, 0.3389, 0.3367, 0.3022, 0.2981, 0.2908, 0.3005, 0.3594, 0.3823, 0.3627, 0.3623, 0.3199, 0.2594, 0.2746, 0.2758, 0.2764, 0.2588, 0.2707, 0.2719, 0.2059, 0.1998, 0.1222, 0.0786, 0.0413, -0.1058, 0.0062, 0.0, -0.0189, -0.0446, -0.0556, -0.018, -0.0182, -0.0375, -0.0527, -0.0451, -0.0302, -0.0785, -0.0861, -0.0308, -0.038, -0.0605, -0.0192, -0.0261, 0.0369, 0.0103, -0.0283, -0.0245, -0.0028, 0.0012, 0.0053, 0.0121, 0.0676, 0.0542, 0.016, -0.003, 0.0057, 0.0113, 0.0057, 0.017, -0.019, -0.0539, -0.0489, -0.0269, -0.0291, -0.0461, -0.0455, -0.018, 0.026, 0.0143, 0.0235, 0.0408, 0.0622, 0.0579, 0.0668, 0.0718, 0.0999, 0.082, 0.0889, 0.1153, 0.1162, 0.1046, 0.1033, 0.0888, 0.0807, 0.0882, 0.1149, 0.1384, 0.1541, 0.1612, 0.141, 0.1436, 0.1655, 0.1477, 0.1306, 0.1559, 0.1276, 0.0975, 0.0946, 0.1046, 0.1058, 0.0765, 0.1021, 0.0814, 0.0602, 0.0487, 0.0464, 0.0171, -0.0487, -0.0871, -0.0901, -0.1312, -0.1003, -0.1209, -0.1237, -0.0935, -0.0938, -0.0546, -0.0645, -0.0813, -0.103, -0.0938, -0.088, -0.1063, -0.1301, -0.1483, -0.1441, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022694213234888733", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-14T15:27:34+00:00", "symbol": "LEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do like it over the next few years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish LEN over the next few years.", "resolved_tickers": ["LEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Residential Construction", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EagleCongr51301 Not currently but I do like it over the next few years", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred I didn’t know you were in $LEN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EagleCongr51301", "ret_m1d": 0.0069170060328014316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0069170060328014316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008527889918058862, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008527889918058862, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001482179488475066, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001482179488475066, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006519887039051819, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006519887039051819, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "ret_p1w": -0.04150197303933956, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04150197303933956, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048091977076658354, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048091977076658354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "ret_p1m": -0.21977927727644786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21977927727644786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18841075741788071, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18841075741788071, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "ret_p3m": -0.3187061055588678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3187061055588678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40414028086440523, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40414028086440523, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.047, 0.0097, 0.008, 0.0746, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0764, 0.0676, 0.0635, 0.0914, 0.0391, 0.0158, -0.0104, -0.0393, -0.016, -0.0232, -0.0214, -0.0185, -0.0362, -0.0799, -0.1119, -0.1147, -0.1229, -0.1413, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.14, -0.1481, -0.1483, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1456, -0.1359, -0.1281, -0.148, -0.1019, -0.0224, -0.0089, 0.011, -0.0049, 0.0022, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0559, -0.0326, -0.0596, -0.0831, -0.0935, -0.0977, -0.0918, -0.0881, -0.1036, -0.1081, -0.0775, -0.0508, -0.05, -0.0611, -0.0606, -0.0168, -0.0037, -0.005, 0.0069, 0.0069, 0.0, -0.0015, -0.0438, -0.041, -0.0431, -0.0415, -0.0882, -0.0777, -0.0583, -0.0892, -0.1073, -0.1228, -0.1411, -0.1669, -0.177, -0.1871, -0.2048, -0.238, -0.2181, -0.2099, -0.201, -0.2198, -0.2283, -0.2544, -0.2304, -0.2393, -0.2409, -0.2498, -0.2568, -0.3011, -0.2849, -0.2964, -0.2878, -0.2878, -0.2707, -0.295, -0.2702, -0.2677, -0.2674, -0.2606, -0.2685, -0.2717, -0.2688, -0.2359, -0.225, -0.2193, -0.2181, -0.2204, -0.2214, -0.2281, -0.2358, -0.2656, -0.2525, -0.2678, -0.3017, -0.2864, -0.2505, -0.2737, -0.2684, -0.2791, -0.2892, -0.2966, -0.2943, -0.3187, -0.3061, -0.3129, -0.2772, -0.2646, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2608, -0.247, -0.257, -0.2568, -0.2541, -0.2475, -0.2594, -0.2394, -0.2509, -0.2488, -0.2338, -0.2562, -0.214, -0.2525, -0.257, -0.2568, -0.2841, -0.2572, -0.2572, -0.2762, -0.2769, -0.2305, -0.223, -0.2258, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1987649987225022966", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-09T22:34:20+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes I like IREN and CIFR sir", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IREN and CIFR in the context of AI Revolution plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DivesTech Yes I like IREN and CIFR sir", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We view this as short lived white knuckle moment for tech stocks as tech stocks will up another 8%-10% into the rest of the year as investors look to play the AI Revolution and the 2nd/3rd/4th derivatives playing out across consumer/enterprise. AI Revolution early days🐂🏆🍿🎯", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivesTech", "ret_m1d": 0.036729316377319465, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036729316377319465, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05209384265544492, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04031627549788175, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003586959120562283, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04636857546507356, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04636857546507356, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04865793331961199, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05089943666765828, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004530861202584724, "ret_p1w": -0.21206579208637633, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21206579208637633, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18892368049106323, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18337033780333956, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02869545428303677, "ret_p1m": -0.22153894668451635, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22153894668451635, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22388700602250444, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22739129995946072, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005852353274944377, "ret_p3m": -0.3387069615025584, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3387069615025584, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33603956609460384, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34826421609968006, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009557254597121645, "ret_p6m": -0.0902442522140714, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0902442522140714, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15841049192528178, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07261969271142887, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017624559502642523, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22153894668451635, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22388700602250444, "alpha_c_stated": -0.22739129995946072, "price_path": [-0.7053, -0.6829, -0.6728, -0.6559, -0.6887, -0.6716, -0.6744, -0.6438, -0.6158, -0.6179, -0.6285, -0.6171, -0.5599, -0.5599, -0.5162, -0.5312, -0.5657, -0.5654, -0.5647, -0.4983, -0.4411, -0.454, -0.4356, -0.3827, -0.3942, -0.3701, -0.3964, -0.3578, -0.3036, -0.3058, -0.2166, -0.2307, -0.3043, -0.2367, -0.22, -0.2176, -0.2185, -0.1614, -0.0402, 0.0251, -0.0013, 0.0612, -0.0066, 0.066, 0.1561, 0.1298, 0.0276, 0.0091, -0.0158, -0.0827, -0.1386, -0.0716, 0.0454, 0.0801, 0.0374, 0.0042, -0.0324, 0.0096, 0.126, 0.1074, 0.2699, 0.1128, 0.0367, 0.0, -0.0464, -0.0743, -0.1915, -0.2294, -0.2121, -0.1881, -0.2383, -0.2775, -0.2977, -0.1941, -0.2111, -0.1948, -0.1948, -0.2054, -0.1941, -0.3166, -0.2694, -0.228, -0.2569, -0.2298, -0.2215, -0.2701, -0.2697, -0.3331, -0.4103, -0.3919, -0.4386, -0.405, -0.3365, -0.3013, -0.3008, -0.3023, -0.3023, -0.3302, -0.345, -0.3635, -0.3723, -0.3723, -0.2903, -0.1983, -0.237, -0.275, -0.2408, -0.235, -0.1635, -0.1193, -0.1212, -0.1376, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0982, -0.1112, -0.1315, -0.058, -0.1298, -0.003, 0.046, -0.0055, -0.1069, -0.1178, -0.0961, -0.2531, -0.3387, -0.3048, -0.233, -0.2865, -0.2908, -0.3347, -0.2983, -0.2983, -0.3191, -0.3006, -0.2805, -0.3355, -0.296, -0.2446, -0.2682, -0.2647, -0.3194, -0.3121, -0.3543, -0.2714, -0.3331, -0.3901, -0.3545, -0.3665, -0.3023, -0.3124, -0.309, -0.2531, -0.286, -0.2985, -0.3076, -0.3138, -0.2993, -0.3166, -0.3115, -0.3776, -0.4168, -0.4745, -0.4303, -0.4334, -0.4221, -0.4221, -0.4162, -0.406, -0.3879, -0.3841, -0.3465, -0.2842, -0.2127, -0.1886, -0.2072, -0.2003, -0.1903, -0.2493, -0.1958, -0.1354, -0.1584, -0.1963, -0.2614, -0.2877, -0.2436, -0.2412, -0.1777, -0.0902]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1987649987225022966", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-09T22:34:20+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes I like IREN and CIFR sir", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IREN and CIFR in the context of AI Revolution plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DivesTech Yes I like IREN and CIFR sir", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We view this as short lived white knuckle moment for tech stocks as tech stocks will up another 8%-10% into the rest of the year as investors look to play the AI Revolution and the 2nd/3rd/4th derivatives playing out across consumer/enterprise. AI Revolution early days🐂🏆🍿🎯", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivesTech", "ret_m1d": 0.05292625627059078, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05292625627059078, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06829078254871623, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0778645918197527, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024938335549161916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049872751209225075, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049872751209225075, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05216210906376351, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0413456814690949, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008527069740130178, "ret_p1w": -0.2697200681908696, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2697200681908696, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24657795659555648, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22948733154161716, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04023273664925242, "ret_p1m": -0.004580160525958443, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004580160525958443, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006928219863946539, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006305790627167851, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0017256301012094077, "ret_p3m": -0.35368956458966916, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35368956458966916, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3510221691817146, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27295817112236875, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0807313934673004, "ret_p6m": 0.1246819750891528, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1246819750891528, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05651573537794241, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0006845926144634085, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12399738247468939, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.004580160525958443, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.006928219863946539, "alpha_c_stated": -0.006305790627167851, "price_path": [-0.7506, -0.7293, -0.7349, -0.6921, -0.7069, -0.6972, -0.6997, -0.6753, -0.6621, -0.6377, -0.6443, -0.6427, -0.6112, -0.6112, -0.5766, -0.5873, -0.6234, -0.6173, -0.6071, -0.5308, -0.4784, -0.4926, -0.4478, -0.4478, -0.4142, -0.37, -0.3969, -0.3751, -0.2896, -0.2799, -0.2804, -0.4066, -0.4163, -0.3562, -0.3593, -0.3588, -0.2972, -0.2519, -0.2193, -0.1985, -0.1043, -0.0845, -0.1364, 0.0351, 0.0631, 0.0702, -0.0473, -0.0453, 0.0132, -0.0802, -0.1802, -0.1219, 0.0514, 0.0453, 0.0158, -0.0031, -0.0295, -0.0509, 0.1583, 0.1455, 0.2575, 0.1048, 0.0529, 0.0, -0.0499, -0.1155, -0.2402, -0.2692, -0.2697, -0.258, -0.256, -0.259, -0.2799, -0.1496, -0.1084, -0.0254, -0.0254, 0.0356, 0.002, -0.1023, -0.0519, 0.0092, -0.0188, -0.0087, -0.0046, -0.0595, -0.0392, -0.1323, -0.2499, -0.2372, -0.2677, -0.229, -0.1751, -0.1684, -0.1903, -0.1746, -0.1746, -0.227, -0.2326, -0.2575, -0.2489, -0.2489, -0.1756, -0.0758, -0.1074, -0.1817, -0.1578, -0.1537, -0.1003, -0.0712, -0.0774, -0.1084, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.088, -0.0982, -0.115, -0.1059, -0.1608, -0.0458, -0.0346, -0.0992, -0.1878, -0.1954, -0.1725, -0.2748, -0.3537, -0.2504, -0.1471, -0.1298, -0.1715, -0.1807, -0.1644, -0.1644, -0.2041, -0.2153, -0.1959, -0.2545, -0.2254, -0.1288, -0.1547, -0.1613, -0.2061, -0.198, -0.2514, -0.1837, -0.229, -0.3069, -0.2718, -0.2896, -0.2819, -0.3023, -0.2835, -0.2295, -0.2321, -0.2534, -0.255, -0.287, -0.2422, -0.2427, -0.1919, -0.2697, -0.3005, -0.3885, -0.345, -0.3567, -0.3476, -0.3476, -0.3206, -0.287, -0.2153, -0.1674, -0.1588, -0.0962, -0.0611, -0.084, -0.1176, -0.0142, -0.0183, -0.0819, -0.0107, -0.0489, -0.0738, -0.0758, -0.1216, -0.1389, -0.0972, -0.1328, -0.0896, 0.1247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011594804355056127", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T00:22:29+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is going up boss", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin will go up regardless of geopolitical escalation; not too late to get in.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LayahHeilpern Bitcoin is going up boss\n\nThere was no cycle\n\nNot too late for our to get on the winning team 🏆", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The US is expected to attack Iran in the next 24 hours.\n\nRussia says a US attack on Iran would be the 'gravest mistake.'\n\nIf WW3 break outs, how do you think crypto will do?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LayahHeilpern", "ret_m1d": 0.014423061199527298, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014423061199527298, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01713896250027025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01713896250027025, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715901300742951, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002715901300742951, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00027284132392391136, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00027284132392391136, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005650638652381357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005650638652381357, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000837905189162047, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000837905189162047, "ret_p1w": -0.0637222261104814, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0637222261104814, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05901292062069108, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05901292062069108, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709305489790316, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004709305489790316, "ret_p1m": -0.2793617164621842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2793617164621842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.264207979961694, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.264207979961694, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153736500490234, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015153736500490234, "ret_p3m": -0.2236453432355302, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2236453432355302, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22959213887087115, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22959213887087115, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946795635340951, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005946795635340951, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2793617164621842, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.264207979961694, "alpha_c_stated": -0.264207979961694, "price_path": [0.1574, 0.1353, 0.127, 0.1519, 0.162, 0.1943, 0.1822, 0.1518, 0.1335, 0.1466, 0.1151, 0.0632, 0.0873, 0.0602, 0.0819, 0.1093, 0.0779, 0.064, 0.0434, -0.0121, -0.0362, -0.0272, -0.0428, -0.0933, -0.1095, -0.0762, -0.0859, -0.0527, -0.0446, -0.0485, -0.0966, -0.044, -0.0212, -0.0357, -0.0645, -0.0514, -0.0299, -0.0369, -0.0318, -0.0553, -0.0956, -0.0807, -0.0985, -0.1056, -0.0779, -0.0739, -0.0852, -0.0831, -0.087, -0.0863, -0.088, -0.0745, -0.0842, -0.0714, -0.0587, -0.0175, -0.0191, -0.0444, -0.0473, -0.0527, -0.0456, -0.0024, 0.0144, 0.0, -0.0003, -0.0314, -0.0758, -0.0646, -0.0637, -0.0633, -0.0762, -0.0675, -0.0666, -0.115, -0.1195, -0.1765, -0.2084, -0.2358, -0.3438, -0.2616, -0.2661, -0.28, -0.2989, -0.3069, -0.2794, -0.2795, -0.2936, -0.3048, -0.2992, -0.2883, -0.3237, -0.3294, -0.2888, -0.2941, -0.3105, -0.2802, -0.2853, -0.239, -0.2586, -0.2869, -0.2841, -0.2682, -0.2653, -0.2622, -0.2573, -0.2165, -0.2264, -0.2544, -0.2683, -0.2619, -0.2578, -0.262, -0.2537, -0.2801, -0.3057, -0.302, -0.2859, -0.2875, -0.3, -0.2995, -0.2793, -0.2471, -0.2557, -0.2489, -0.2362, -0.2205, -0.2236, -0.2171, -0.2135, -0.1928, -0.2059, -0.2009, -0.1816, -0.1809, -0.1894, -0.1903, -0.2009, -0.207, -0.2014, -0.1818, -0.1646, -0.1531, -0.1478, -0.1626, -0.1608, -0.1447, -0.1578, -0.1703, -0.1518, -0.1725, -0.1946, -0.1968, -0.1894, -0.1885, -0.21, -0.1912, -0.2064, -0.2219, -0.2304, -0.2321, -0.2536, -0.3019, -0.3301, -0.3323, -0.3624, -0.3397, -0.3549, -0.3569, -0.3348, -0.335, -0.3062, -0.3135, -0.3258, -0.3418, -0.335, -0.3307, -0.3441, -0.3616, -0.375, -0.3719, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1994768127599809016", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-29T13:59:17+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bull for everything else (small caps, crypto etc) starts now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bull market starting now for small caps and crypto beyond BTC/Mag7; Fed overtightening reversing.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For everything but Bitcoin and Mag 7/AI we have been in a bear market since Q1 2022. Market cap weighted indices and ETFs/Treasury Cos have hidden this from the unsophisticated. The Fed has been too restrictive. The bull for everything else (small caps, crypto etc) starts now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04867600571102382, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04867600571102382, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05640246297425855, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05640246297425855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "ret_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.045090366422747774, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045090366422747774, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "ret_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011534894557498232, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011534894557498232, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "ret_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.234843883634127, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.234843883634127, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "ret_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23124329934601617, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23124329934601617, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.024426832046342772, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011534894557498232, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011534894557498232, "price_path": [0.2943, 0.2827, 0.2818, 0.2983, 0.292, 0.3201, 0.3381, 0.345, 0.3374, 0.3536, 0.3492, 0.357, 0.3402, 0.3061, 0.2976, 0.3129, 0.2633, 0.271, 0.3253, 0.3213, 0.3745, 0.398, 0.4164, 0.4452, 0.407, 0.429, 0.4099, 0.3115, 0.3354, 0.3104, 0.2834, 0.2533, 0.2334, 0.2811, 0.2567, 0.2475, 0.2751, 0.2863, 0.322, 0.3086, 0.2749, 0.2547, 0.2692, 0.2343, 0.1769, 0.2035, 0.1735, 0.1975, 0.2279, 0.1932, 0.1777, 0.155, 0.0936, 0.0669, 0.0768, 0.0596, 0.0036, -0.0143, 0.0226, 0.0118, 0.0486, 0.0575, 0.0533, 0.0, 0.0583, 0.0835, 0.0674, 0.0355, 0.05, 0.0738, 0.066, 0.0717, 0.0457, 0.0011, 0.0176, -0.0021, -0.01, 0.0206, 0.0251, 0.0127, 0.0149, 0.0106, 0.0114, 0.0095, 0.0244, 0.0138, 0.0279, 0.042, 0.0876, 0.0858, 0.0578, 0.0545, 0.0486, 0.0564, 0.1043, 0.1229, 0.1069, 0.1066, 0.0722, 0.023, 0.0354, 0.0364, 0.0369, 0.0225, 0.0322, 0.0332, -0.0204, -0.0254, -0.0884, -0.1238, -0.1541, -0.2736, -0.1826, -0.1877, -0.2031, -0.2239, -0.2328, -0.2023, -0.2025, -0.2181, -0.2305, -0.2243, -0.2122, -0.2514, -0.2577, -0.2127, -0.2186, -0.2368, -0.2033, -0.2088, -0.1577, -0.1793, -0.2107, -0.2076, -0.1899, -0.1867, -0.1834, -0.1779, -0.1328, -0.1436, -0.1746, -0.1901, -0.183, -0.1785, -0.1831, -0.1739, -0.2031, -0.2315, -0.2274, -0.2095, -0.2113, -0.2251, -0.2246, -0.2023, -0.1666, -0.1761, -0.1686, -0.1546, -0.1371, -0.1406, -0.1334, -0.1294, -0.1065, -0.121, -0.1155, -0.094, -0.0933, -0.1027, -0.1037, -0.1155, -0.1222, -0.116, -0.0943, -0.0752, -0.0625, -0.0567, -0.0731, -0.0711, -0.0532, -0.0677, -0.0816, -0.0611, -0.0841, -0.1085, -0.1109, -0.1027, -0.1017, -0.1255, -0.1047, -0.1216]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1994768127599809016", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-29T13:59:17+00:00", "symbol": "small caps", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bull for everything else (small caps, crypto etc) starts now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bull market starting now for small caps and crypto beyond BTC/Mag7; Fed overtightening reversing.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US small caps sector ETF IWM", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For everything but Bitcoin and Mag 7/AI we have been in a bear market since Q1 2022. Market cap weighted indices and ETFs/Treasury Cos have hidden this from the unsophisticated. The Fed has been too restrictive. The bull for everything else (small caps, crypto etc) starts now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012743204592295498, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012743204592295498, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008156795175148002, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008156795175148002, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0018321087145057868, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0018321087145057868, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003684295120412906, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003684295120412906, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "ret_p1w": 0.021374413895459687, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021374413895459687, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016435189836178976, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016435189836178976, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "ret_p1m": 0.013198180447091756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.013198180447091756, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0003062429582472159, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0003062429582472159, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "ret_p3m": 0.08656446098411474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08656446098411474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07029626830064006, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07029626830064006, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "ret_p6m": 0.1888393277398448, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1888393277398448, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07918598440949354, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07918598440949354, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.013198180447091756, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0003062429582472159, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0003062429582472159, "price_path": [-0.0513, -0.0395, -0.0347, -0.0327, -0.0384, -0.0401, -0.0224, -0.0324, -0.0283, -0.0299, -0.0274, -0.0032, -0.0107, -0.005, -0.0072, -0.0164, -0.0258, -0.0174, -0.0163, -0.0149, -0.0127, -0.0065, 0.0009, 0.0048, -0.0059, 0.0045, -0.002, -0.0319, -0.0049, 0.0093, 0.0192, -0.0023, -0.009, 0.0103, 0.0056, -0.0093, 0.0033, 0.0155, 0.0191, 0.0136, 0.005, -0.0031, 0.0025, -0.0007, -0.018, -0.0038, -0.0215, -0.0163, -0.0065, -0.0056, -0.0081, -0.0359, -0.0331, -0.0524, -0.0495, -0.0496, -0.0672, -0.0408, -0.0233, -0.002, 0.0068, 0.0068, 0.0127, 0.0, -0.0018, 0.0163, 0.0252, 0.021, 0.0214, 0.0235, 0.0374, 0.0496, 0.0335, 0.0257, 0.0208, 0.01, 0.016, 0.0245, 0.0359, 0.0297, 0.0323, 0.0323, 0.027, 0.0208, 0.0132, 0.0056, 0.0056, 0.0163, 0.0324, 0.0461, 0.0436, 0.055, 0.063, 0.0682, 0.0676, 0.0751, 0.0846, 0.0856, 0.0856, 0.0726, 0.0939, 0.1021, 0.0817, 0.0784, 0.0814, 0.0756, 0.0759, 0.0607, 0.071, 0.0735, 0.0642, 0.0451, 0.0826, 0.0902, 0.0873, 0.0823, 0.0602, 0.0742, 0.0742, 0.0745, 0.0784, 0.0809, 0.0809, 0.0641, 0.0757, 0.0808, 0.0866, 0.0679, 0.0777, 0.059, 0.0693, 0.0489, 0.0249, 0.036, 0.035, 0.0329, 0.0107, 0.0073, 0.0168, 0.0233, 0.0068, 0.0134, -0.0088, 0.0126, 0.0181, 0.0305, 0.0126, -0.0052, -0.0195, 0.0149, 0.0213, 0.0283, 0.0283, 0.0327, 0.035, 0.0659, 0.072, 0.0693, 0.0847, 0.0997, 0.1024, 0.1047, 0.1286, 0.135, 0.1234, 0.1314, 0.1275, 0.1321, 0.1341, 0.1209, 0.1134, 0.1375, 0.1429, 0.1372, 0.1563, 0.1737, 0.1551, 0.1629, 0.1676, 0.1563, 0.1568, 0.164, 0.136, 0.1293, 0.1172, 0.1453, 0.156, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.1888]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019078784062726182", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T16:01:09+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I know there isn't a lot of juice left to squeeze to the downside so we will be higher within weeks/months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Agrees downside is limited; crypto will be higher within weeks/months.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PatrikBatCrypto View checks out. Not 100% sure when but I know there isn't a lot of juice left to squeeze to the downside so we will be higher within weeks/months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Looking at the Fear &amp; Greed Index, we are back to FTX-crash levels. I expect us to sideways for another week before a massive breakout starting next Monday or Tuesday.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PatrikBatCrypto", "ret_m1d": 0.03579641710574255, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03579641710574255, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030928986256695046, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030928986256695046, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004867430849047505, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004867430849047505, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.14129892381358544, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.14129892381358544, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1288096397532612, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1288096397532612, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489284060324235, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012489284060324235, "ret_p1w": -0.08254942319720637, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08254942319720637, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09095817758004476, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09095817758004476, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00840875438283839, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00840875438283839, "ret_p1m": -0.029835483188291878, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029835483188291878, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02272368500912758, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02272368500912758, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111798179164297, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007111798179164297, "ret_p3m": 0.09323789105722957, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09323789105722957, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04400828071727658, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04400828071727658, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04922961033995299, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04922961033995299, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.029835483188291878, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.02272368500912758, "alpha_c_stated": -0.02272368500912758, "price_path": [0.4157, 0.4516, 0.4105, 0.3923, 0.3654, 0.2928, 0.2612, 0.2729, 0.2526, 0.1864, 0.1653, 0.2089, 0.1961, 0.2396, 0.2501, 0.2451, 0.1822, 0.251, 0.2809, 0.2619, 0.2242, 0.2413, 0.2694, 0.2602, 0.2669, 0.2362, 0.1835, 0.203, 0.1797, 0.1704, 0.2066, 0.2119, 0.1971, 0.1998, 0.1947, 0.1956, 0.1934, 0.211, 0.1984, 0.2152, 0.2318, 0.2857, 0.2836, 0.2505, 0.2466, 0.2396, 0.2489, 0.3054, 0.3274, 0.3086, 0.3082, 0.2675, 0.2094, 0.224, 0.2252, 0.2257, 0.2088, 0.2203, 0.2214, 0.1581, 0.1521, 0.0776, 0.0358, 0.0, -0.1413, -0.0337, -0.0397, -0.0579, -0.0825, -0.0931, -0.057, -0.0572, -0.0757, -0.0903, -0.083, -0.0687, -0.1151, -0.1224, -0.0693, -0.0762, -0.0978, -0.0581, -0.0647, -0.0042, -0.0298, -0.0669, -0.0632, -0.0424, -0.0385, -0.0346, -0.0281, 0.0252, 0.0124, -0.0243, -0.0425, -0.0342, -0.0288, -0.0343, -0.0234, -0.0579, -0.0915, -0.0867, -0.0655, -0.0677, -0.084, -0.0834, -0.057, -0.0148, -0.026, -0.0171, -0.0006, 0.0201, 0.0159, 0.0245, 0.0292, 0.0562, 0.0391, 0.0456, 0.071, 0.0719, 0.0607, 0.0595, 0.0456, 0.0377, 0.045, 0.0707, 0.0932, 0.1083, 0.1151, 0.0957, 0.0982, 0.1193, 0.1021, 0.0857, 0.11, 0.0828, 0.0539, 0.0511, 0.0608, 0.0619, 0.0338, 0.0583, 0.0384, 0.0181, 0.0071, 0.0048, -0.0233, -0.0865, -0.1233, -0.1262, -0.1657, -0.136, -0.1558, -0.1585, -0.1295, -0.1298, -0.0922, -0.1016, -0.1178, -0.1386, -0.1298, -0.1242, -0.1418, -0.1647, -0.1821, -0.1781, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002011548567708130", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-19T13:42:03+00:00", "symbol": "crypto", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The largest constituents are about to accelerate", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on largest crypto assets; expects acceleration from here following Wave 3 setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD", "ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Broad crypto: BTC+ETH as primary proxies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AlemzadehC Agree. The largest constituents are about to accelerate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#WGMI-This took far longer than expected but ended up producing the massive wave 3 move but that’s how it goes…the market moves when it’s ready not when I am \n\nNow, where most get bucked off the bull is just prior to the massive Wave 3 and that requires a capitulation “C” leg https://t.co/4Cg7umeWXV", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AlemzadehC", "ret_m1d": -0.040323679992580186, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040323679992580186, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031341583060438494, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031341583060438494, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982096932141692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008982096932141692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006912685789526862, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006912685789526862, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0006828819390932717, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0006828819390932717, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006229803850433591, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006229803850433591, "ret_p1w": -0.013319776499986724, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013319776499986724, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02760144405349141, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02760144405349141, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014281667553504684, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014281667553504684, "ret_p1m": 0.060287929827354536, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.060287929827354536, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04402273239666632, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04402273239666632, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016265197430688216, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016265197430688216, "ret_p3m": -0.22567506807270038, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22567506807270038, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1975229360823601, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1975229360823601, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02815213199034028, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02815213199034028, "ret_p6m": -0.32242386834555153, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32242386834555153, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4345345529369837, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4345345529369837, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11211068459143214, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11211068459143214, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.060287929827354536, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.04402273239666632, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04402273239666632, "price_path": [0.3351, 0.3405, 0.2684, 0.3003, 0.3573, 0.3434, 0.4039, 0.4384, 0.4519, 0.4951, 0.4366, 0.4602, 0.4243, 0.2877, 0.367, 0.3346, 0.2982, 0.2679, 0.2477, 0.296, 0.2665, 0.2505, 0.2721, 0.2907, 0.3394, 0.3097, 0.28, 0.2534, 0.2677, 0.2095, 0.1294, 0.1647, 0.131, 0.1634, 0.2007, 0.158, 0.15, 0.1086, 0.0568, 0.0305, 0.0518, 0.0267, -0.0329, -0.0527, -0.0033, -0.0077, 0.0221, 0.0242, 0.0251, -0.04, 0.0218, 0.0666, 0.0492, 0.0151, 0.0391, 0.0837, 0.0806, 0.0685, 0.0301, -0.0119, -0.0038, -0.0357, -0.0403, 0.0, 0.0069, -0.0064, -0.0082, -0.0174, -0.0133, -0.0128, 0.0008, -0.0052, 0.0073, 0.035, 0.0745, 0.0853, 0.0499, 0.0378, 0.0313, 0.0367, 0.0987, 0.1133, 0.0992, 0.0954, 0.0603, -0.0059, 0.0074, 0.003, 0.0038, -0.0077, 0.0131, 0.0109, -0.0469, -0.0688, -0.1598, -0.1968, -0.2257, -0.3383, -0.2531, -0.2489, -0.2705, -0.294, -0.2973, -0.2653, -0.2739, -0.2825, -0.295, -0.2929, -0.2835, -0.3218, -0.3252, -0.2693, -0.2769, -0.3019, -0.2693, -0.2795, -0.2303, -0.2501, -0.2811, -0.2772, -0.2611, -0.2571, -0.2519, -0.2459, -0.1804, -0.1913, -0.2257, -0.2444, -0.2394, -0.2362, -0.2379, -0.2313, -0.2638, -0.2892, -0.2818, -0.2594, -0.2546, -0.2751, -0.2754, -0.2553, -0.2153, -0.2286, -0.2252, -0.2089, -0.1792, -0.1889, -0.1793, -0.1792, -0.1558, -0.1807, -0.1758, -0.1572, -0.1644, -0.1716, -0.1742, -0.1823, -0.1916, -0.1881, -0.171, -0.153, -0.1443, -0.1432, -0.1613, -0.1576, -0.1434, -0.1614, -0.171, -0.1571, -0.178, -0.2059, -0.2102, -0.2033, -0.2021, -0.2249, -0.2069, -0.222, -0.2386, -0.2456, -0.2458, -0.2589, -0.3095, -0.3325, -0.3408, -0.3888, -0.3582, -0.3752, -0.3792, -0.3585, -0.3598, -0.3224]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012675045982708011", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T23:54:59+00:00", "symbol": "Bitcoin miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's only going to get worse for the shorts", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI; shorts will continue to lose as funding structure reduces short asymmetry.", "resolved_tickers": ["WGMI"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "WGMI Bitcoin miner ETF; AI optionality context fits", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel It’s only going to get worse for the shorts", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI are exhibit A+ here.\nFunding evolves from equity dilution, to converts, to contracts/prepays, to straight debt.\nSurvival gets underwritten outside the equity, the short loses asymmetry, and the “junk” basket levitates.\nSI remains elevated. Fuel.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": 0.05911641449784377, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05911641449784377, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03833660404059147, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03833660404059147, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006222759650646226, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006222759650646226, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017763868932307525, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017763868932307525, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.05579760407572043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05579760407572043, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02936532512002943, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02936532512002943, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.16946688081511874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16946688081511874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1823214267603177, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1823214267603177, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.017838635691419302, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.017838635691419302, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03307704808620704, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03307704808620704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16946688081511874, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1823214267603177, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1823214267603177, "price_path": [0.1205, 0.2369, 0.262, 0.2338, 0.2166, 0.1763, 0.1904, 0.2748, 0.2122, 0.2898, 0.173, 0.1427, 0.1114, 0.0382, -0.01, -0.1294, -0.1591, -0.1512, -0.1323, -0.162, -0.196, -0.211, -0.1056, -0.0946, -0.0434, -0.0434, 0.0046, -0.0197, -0.094, -0.0568, -0.0191, -0.0556, -0.0369, -0.0162, -0.0477, -0.0388, -0.1135, -0.2132, -0.2043, -0.2427, -0.2224, -0.1475, -0.1251, -0.139, -0.1328, -0.1328, -0.1755, -0.1834, -0.2062, -0.2062, -0.2062, -0.1278, -0.0467, -0.0668, -0.1015, -0.077, -0.0662, -0.0141, 0.0137, 0.0151, -0.0048, 0.0591, 0.0591, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0266, 0.0193, -0.0338, 0.0558, 0.0655, 0.011, -0.0653, -0.0782, -0.0604, -0.1643, -0.2692, -0.1614, -0.0909, -0.116, -0.1363, -0.1682, -0.1425, -0.1425, -0.1703, -0.1695, -0.156, -0.1943, -0.1753, -0.1141, -0.1218, -0.1253, -0.1728, -0.1614, -0.2143, -0.1454, -0.1859, -0.2518, -0.2257, -0.2251, -0.1927, -0.2126, -0.2061, -0.161, -0.1676, -0.189, -0.189, -0.2184, -0.1827, -0.1937, -0.1641, -0.2309, -0.2701, -0.3294, -0.2777, -0.2769, -0.2582, -0.2582, -0.2387, -0.2207, -0.1597, -0.1421, -0.1249, -0.0736, -0.0141, -0.0189, -0.0338, 0.0178, 0.0253, -0.0151, 0.0388, 0.0409, 0.0292, 0.0176, -0.0338, -0.0587, -0.0008, -0.0004, 0.0475, 0.1437, 0.2603, 0.1942, 0.2035, 0.2128, 0.1975, 0.2213, 0.2767, 0.1867, 0.1523, 0.1377, 0.189, 0.2775, 0.2846, 0.2846, 0.3447, 0.4271, 0.4366, 0.4124, 0.4677, 0.4833, 0.4668, 0.4387, 0.2775, 0.3638, 0.3095, 0.2317, 0.3259, 0.3684, 0.4314, 0.4366, 0.4258, 0.4955, 0.4955, 0.4931, 0.4723, 0.3848, 0.3468, 0.3634, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019474495095074927", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-05T18:13:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My conviction has increased.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Increased conviction in Bitcoin; implicitly bullish from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Cole_Walmsley Don’t follow me. My conviction has increased.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If your conviction in Bitcoin remains the same, I want to follow you.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Cole_Walmsley", "ret_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15190236704340343, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15190236704340343, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647239021036816, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012647239021036816, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10606290478550262, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10606290478550262, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01918478647681998, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01918478647681998, "ret_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05074787613712406, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05074787613712406, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005386547196624791, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005386547196624791, "ret_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09440306795285514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09440306795285514, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733008506952244, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007733008506952244, "ret_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21963636525055796, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21963636525055796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102308176131378, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07102308176131378, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08667005944590289, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09440306795285514, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09440306795285514, "price_path": [0.6905, 0.6426, 0.6214, 0.59, 0.5055, 0.4688, 0.4824, 0.4587, 0.3816, 0.3571, 0.4078, 0.393, 0.4436, 0.4559, 0.45, 0.3767, 0.4569, 0.4916, 0.4695, 0.4256, 0.4456, 0.4783, 0.4676, 0.4754, 0.4397, 0.3783, 0.401, 0.3739, 0.363, 0.4051, 0.4113, 0.3941, 0.3973, 0.3913, 0.3923, 0.3897, 0.4103, 0.3956, 0.4151, 0.4345, 0.4973, 0.4948, 0.4562, 0.4517, 0.4435, 0.4544, 0.5202, 0.5459, 0.5239, 0.5235, 0.4761, 0.4084, 0.4254, 0.4268, 0.4274, 0.4077, 0.421, 0.4224, 0.3486, 0.3417, 0.255, 0.2062, 0.1645, 0.0, 0.1252, 0.1183, 0.0972, 0.0684, 0.0561, 0.0982, 0.0979, 0.0764, 0.0594, 0.0679, 0.0846, 0.0305, 0.022, 0.0839, 0.0758, 0.0507, 0.0969, 0.0892, 0.1596, 0.1298, 0.0867, 0.0909, 0.1152, 0.1197, 0.1243, 0.1318, 0.1939, 0.1789, 0.1363, 0.115, 0.1247, 0.131, 0.1246, 0.1373, 0.0971, 0.058, 0.0636, 0.0882, 0.0857, 0.0668, 0.0674, 0.0982, 0.1473, 0.1343, 0.1446, 0.1639, 0.1879, 0.1831, 0.193, 0.1986, 0.2301, 0.21, 0.2177, 0.2472, 0.2483, 0.2353, 0.2339, 0.2177, 0.2085, 0.2169, 0.2468, 0.2731, 0.2907, 0.2986, 0.276, 0.2789, 0.3034, 0.2835, 0.2643, 0.2926, 0.261, 0.2273, 0.2241, 0.2353, 0.2366, 0.2039, 0.2325, 0.2093, 0.1857, 0.1728, 0.1702, 0.1374, 0.0638, 0.0209, 0.0175, -0.0284, 0.0062, -0.0169, -0.02, 0.0137, 0.0134, 0.0572, 0.0462, 0.0274, 0.0031, 0.0134, 0.0199, -0.0005, -0.0272, -0.0475, -0.0428, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003255212740608429", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-23T00:03:56+00:00", "symbol": "NKE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think NKE can go to $45-50 and I will probably buy it when it gets there", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects NKE to fall further to $45-50 before buying; implicitly bearish from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["NKE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@OB03153 I think NKE can go to $45-50 and I will probably buy it when it gets there.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Mike! Love this buy for you! Is Nike in the same bucket as a value from your lens?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OB03153", "ret_m1d": -0.0020927992583681387, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0020927992583681387, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00245689872912791, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0034842185800612047, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549697987496049, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001391419321693066, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04638989931955129, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04638989931955129, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.042872224923306446, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.042952105456518064, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003517674396244841, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034377938630332228, "ret_p1w": 0.0671432948902333, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0671432948902333, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06852423182423584, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08195878824907765, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013809369340025412, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014815493358844356, "ret_p1m": 0.14073944943156302, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14073944943156302, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14446056742055213, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1470421551126444, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.003721117988989109, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0063027056810813775, "ret_p3m": -0.0806138193130378, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0806138193130378, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.025932266509525292, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03750032597667052, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0546815528035125, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11811414528970832, "ret_p6m": -0.21727679336098915, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21727679336098915, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2972575959918957, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.164497848334216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07998080263090657, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05277894502677316, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14073944943156302, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14446056742055213, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1470421551126444, "price_path": [0.1999, 0.2011, 0.2052, 0.2084, 0.2858, 0.2922, 0.2465, 0.2333, 0.1942, 0.1973, 0.1794, 0.1302, 0.1676, 0.1721, 0.1864, 0.1583, 0.1675, 0.1718, 0.1846, 0.1971, 0.2075, 0.1976, 0.1886, 0.1685, 0.1325, 0.1247, 0.1193, 0.0857, 0.0611, 0.0763, 0.0725, 0.0586, 0.0536, 0.0943, 0.1125, 0.1442, 0.112, 0.09, 0.0829, 0.0855, 0.0645, 0.0883, 0.0732, 0.1035, 0.1148, 0.1148, 0.12, 0.1404, 0.1324, 0.1449, 0.1456, 0.1486, 0.1081, 0.1045, 0.1474, 0.1814, 0.1767, 0.1821, 0.1706, 0.1456, 0.1446, 0.0239, -0.0021, 0.0, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0626, 0.0675, 0.0671, 0.1111, 0.1111, 0.1036, 0.1254, 0.1397, 0.1025, 0.1381, 0.1496, 0.1448, 0.1563, 0.1435, 0.1264, 0.1228, 0.1228, 0.1097, 0.1407, 0.1416, 0.1343, 0.1334, 0.1003, 0.0855, 0.0917, 0.078, 0.0844, 0.0626, 0.12, 0.0935, 0.1148, 0.0884, 0.0994, 0.0874, 0.0656, 0.101, 0.101, 0.1304, 0.1432, 0.1442, 0.1406, 0.1003, 0.1177, 0.1057, 0.1153, 0.0844, 0.0711, 0.0426, 0.0295, 0.0186, 0.0008, -0.0076, -0.0155, -0.0222, -0.0497, -0.0523, -0.0381, -0.0323, -0.0613, -0.0618, -0.0806, -0.0746, -0.061, -0.0699, -0.0859, -0.0982, -0.1005, -0.0727, -0.2165, -0.2242, -0.2242, -0.227, -0.2506, -0.2428, -0.2276, -0.2518, -0.2467, -0.224, -0.2023, -0.1977, -0.1919, -0.184, -0.1856, -0.1981, -0.2139, -0.2154, -0.2075, -0.2095, -0.2207, -0.2212, -0.2205, -0.2435, -0.2441, -0.2297, -0.2204, -0.2251, -0.2558, -0.2565, -0.2567, -0.2623, -0.2648, -0.2527, -0.2553, -0.2242, -0.2207, -0.2158, -0.2158, -0.2111, -0.1928, -0.1684, -0.1884, -0.1865, -0.2254, -0.224, -0.2274, -0.2387, -0.2343, -0.2091, -0.2214, -0.1859, -0.2042, -0.1994, -0.2022, -0.2173]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019195365485084720", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T23:44:24+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is where I bought today $12.75-$12.85", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed long position in CIFR, bought today at $12.75–$12.85.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow lol this is where I bought today $12.75-$12.85", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR breaking down, support below at around $11-$12 range https://t.co/5cFYNkWSuw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.12204726094594731, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12204726094594731, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1094000219249105, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10368847886349974, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647239021036816, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018358782082447567, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1598425010597424, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1598425010597424, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.14065771458292242, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11929096168982656, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01918478647681998, "bench_c_p1d": 0.040551539369915846, "ret_p1w": 0.2677165845092502, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2677165845092502, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2623300373126254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24132118320439488, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005386547196624791, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026395401304855293, "ret_p1m": 0.07244095197724087, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07244095197724087, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08017396048419312, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06020191429193522, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733008506952244, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012239037685305654, "ret_p3m": 0.740157536486491, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.740157536486491, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6691344547251772, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5174492067479324, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102308176131378, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22270832973855859, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07244095197724087, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08017396048419312, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06020191429193522, "price_path": [0.5472, 0.4701, 0.3685, 0.1756, 0.1307, 0.1299, 0.148, 0.1512, 0.1465, 0.1142, 0.3157, 0.3795, 0.5079, 0.5079, 0.6024, 0.5504, 0.389, 0.4669, 0.5614, 0.5181, 0.5339, 0.5402, 0.4551, 0.4866, 0.3425, 0.1606, 0.1803, 0.1331, 0.1929, 0.2764, 0.2866, 0.2528, 0.2772, 0.2772, 0.1961, 0.1874, 0.1488, 0.1622, 0.1622, 0.2756, 0.4299, 0.3811, 0.2661, 0.3031, 0.3094, 0.3921, 0.437, 0.4276, 0.3795, 0.4803, 0.4803, 0.411, 0.3953, 0.3693, 0.3835, 0.2984, 0.4764, 0.4937, 0.3937, 0.2567, 0.2449, 0.2803, 0.122, 0.0, 0.1598, 0.3197, 0.3465, 0.2819, 0.2677, 0.2929, 0.2929, 0.2315, 0.2142, 0.2441, 0.1535, 0.1984, 0.348, 0.3079, 0.2976, 0.2283, 0.2409, 0.1583, 0.263, 0.1929, 0.0724, 0.1268, 0.0992, 0.111, 0.0795, 0.1087, 0.1921, 0.1882, 0.1551, 0.1528, 0.1031, 0.1724, 0.1717, 0.2504, 0.1299, 0.0823, -0.0539, 0.0134, -0.0047, 0.0094, 0.0094, 0.0512, 0.1031, 0.2142, 0.2882, 0.3016, 0.3984, 0.4528, 0.4173, 0.3654, 0.5252, 0.5189, 0.4205, 0.5307, 0.4717, 0.4331, 0.4299, 0.3591, 0.3323, 0.3969, 0.3417, 0.4087, 0.7402, 0.7252, 0.6287, 0.6181, 0.5969, 0.5795, 0.6724, 0.7551, 0.6008, 0.5055, 0.4803, 0.5339, 0.6945, 0.7299, 0.7299, 0.8126, 0.9811, 0.9362, 0.8622, 0.8906, 1.0701, 1.0661, 1.0118, 0.7677, 0.9126, 0.8138, 0.6551, 0.7819, 0.9291, 1.0496, 1.0638, 1.0748, 1.2976, 1.2976, 1.2157, 1.1764, 1.0646, 1.022, 1.0425, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010530225445101644", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T01:52:14+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "working on a multi-step plan to bolster Bitcoin, MSTR, and stablecoins", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trump admin plan to bolster Bitcoin and MSTR while attacking Fed/banks; author endorses by sharing and noting acceleration.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Even CNN now confirming that this is happening. Trump’s attack on the Fed and the banking cabal starting to accelerate as predicted. https://t.co/ZSKUa7rfJM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, and allies are working on a multi-step plan to bolster Bitcoin, MSTR, and stablecoins while simultaneously de-funding JP Morgan, the Fed, and the US banking cabal to protect US citizens. The administration views it as a “defining battle”", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24124919842577086, "price_path": [0.2148, 0.1863, 0.1675, 0.2127, 0.1895, 0.1809, 0.207, 0.2176, 0.2514, 0.2386, 0.2068, 0.1877, 0.2014, 0.1684, 0.114, 0.1393, 0.1108, 0.1336, 0.1623, 0.1294, 0.1148, 0.0933, 0.0351, 0.0099, 0.0193, 0.003, -0.05, -0.0669, -0.032, -0.0422, -0.0074, 0.001, -0.003, -0.0534, 0.0017, 0.0256, 0.0104, -0.0198, -0.0061, 0.0164, 0.0091, 0.0145, -0.0101, -0.0523, -0.0367, -0.0554, -0.0628, -0.0339, -0.0296, -0.0414, -0.0393, -0.0434, -0.0427, -0.0445, -0.0303, -0.0404, -0.027, -0.0137, 0.0295, 0.0278, 0.0013, -0.0018, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0453, 0.0629, 0.0478, 0.0475, 0.0149, -0.0316, -0.0199, -0.019, -0.0185, -0.0321, -0.0229, -0.022, -0.0727, -0.0775, -0.1371, -0.1706, -0.1993, -0.3124, -0.2263, -0.2311, -0.2456, -0.2654, -0.2738, -0.2449, -0.2451, -0.2599, -0.2716, -0.2658, -0.2543, -0.2914, -0.2973, -0.2548, -0.2603, -0.2776, -0.2458, -0.2511, -0.2027, -0.2232, -0.2528, -0.2499, -0.2332, -0.2302, -0.227, -0.2218, -0.1791, -0.1894, -0.2187, -0.2334, -0.2267, -0.2224, -0.2267, -0.218, -0.2456, -0.2725, -0.2687, -0.2518, -0.2535, -0.2665, -0.266, -0.2449, -0.2111, -0.2201, -0.213, -0.1997, -0.1832, -0.1865, -0.1797, -0.1759, -0.1542, -0.168, -0.1627, -0.1424, -0.1417, -0.1506, -0.1516, -0.1628, -0.1691, -0.1633, -0.1427, -0.1246, -0.1126, -0.1071, -0.1226, -0.1207, -0.1038, -0.1175, -0.1307, -0.1112, -0.133, -0.1561, -0.1584, -0.1506, -0.1497, -0.1722, -0.1526, -0.1685, -0.1848, -0.1936, -0.1954, -0.2179, -0.2685, -0.298, -0.3004, -0.3319, -0.3082, -0.324, -0.3262, -0.303, -0.3032, -0.2731, -0.2806, -0.2936, -0.3103, -0.3032, -0.2987, -0.3128, -0.3311, -0.3451, -0.3419, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010530225445101644", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-12T01:52:14+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "working on a multi-step plan to bolster Bitcoin, MSTR, and stablecoins", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trump admin plan to bolster Bitcoin and MSTR while attacking Fed/banks; author endorses by sharing and noting acceleration.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Even CNN now confirming that this is happening. Trump’s attack on the Fed and the banking cabal starting to accelerate as predicted. https://t.co/ZSKUa7rfJM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, and allies are working on a multi-step plan to bolster Bitcoin, MSTR, and stablecoins while simultaneously de-funding JP Morgan, the Fed, and the US banking cabal to protect US citizens. The administration views it as a “defining battle”", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03020399448640676, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03020399448640676, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028636023878529482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028636023878529482, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06632564907229699, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06632564907229699, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06832515583767884, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06832515583767884, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.0707638000903883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0707638000903883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07579862397261783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07579862397261783, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.18017627132672842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18017627132672842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17580318329494105, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17580318329494105, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.2056955926524927, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2056955926524927, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18642925531496757, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18642925531496757, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18017627132672842, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17580318329494105, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17580318329494105, "price_path": [0.8293, 0.7496, 0.7868, 0.8283, 0.861, 0.7309, 0.7563, 0.7819, 0.8223, 0.7545, 0.6973, 0.5692, 0.6613, 0.6314, 0.5225, 0.5718, 0.4621, 0.4913, 0.4725, 0.4261, 0.3845, 0.2855, 0.2313, 0.2046, 0.2747, 0.1496, 0.0918, 0.051, 0.1036, 0.0614, 0.0827, 0.0827, 0.0922, 0.0566, 0.1177, 0.1613, 0.1466, 0.1033, 0.1323, 0.165, 0.1381, 0.1299, 0.0877, -0.0009, 0.0325, -0.0114, -0.0246, 0.016, 0.0129, -0.0268, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0211, -0.0422, -0.0408, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0313, 0.0153, -0.0263, -0.0025, 0.0292, -0.0302, 0.0, 0.0663, 0.1054, 0.0535, 0.0708, 0.0708, -0.0123, 0.0097, -0.0077, 0.0054, -0.0102, -0.004, -0.0233, -0.1174, -0.0772, -0.1393, -0.1786, -0.2043, -0.3405, -0.1683, -0.1466, -0.1802, -0.2229, -0.2418, -0.1748, -0.1748, -0.2069, -0.2283, -0.2021, -0.1922, -0.2374, -0.2319, -0.1638, -0.1777, -0.2018, -0.1515, -0.1821, -0.0973, -0.1382, -0.1769, -0.1435, -0.1465, -0.1473, -0.1534, -0.1391, -0.0907, -0.0737, -0.1336, -0.1479, -0.1638, -0.1481, -0.1601, -0.1424, -0.1806, -0.2231, -0.2514, -0.2307, -0.2432, -0.2614, -0.2614, -0.2129, -0.2374, -0.2091, -0.2057, -0.2071, -0.1841, -0.153, -0.1152, -0.0819, 0.0264, 0.0529, 0.0107, 0.1056, 0.0631, 0.0542, 0.043, 0.0215, -0.0249, 0.0198, 0.0921, 0.133, 0.1521, 0.1516, 0.1085, 0.1563, 0.2078, 0.1368, 0.0974, 0.1525, 0.0936, 0.0271, 0.0148, 0.0221, 0.0161, -0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0142, -0.0495, -0.0653, -0.0194, -0.0767, -0.1612, -0.2199, -0.2026, -0.2576, -0.2159, -0.2787, -0.289, -0.2594, -0.2358, -0.1916, -0.243, -0.2815, -0.3064, -0.3064, -0.3253, -0.3599, -0.4198, -0.474, -0.4926, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007181810204324258", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T20:06:49+00:00", "symbol": "CRM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That would be huge news and would necessitate a material re-rating in CRM", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "If Salesforce leads agentic AI, CRM would deserve a material re-rating upward.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BitWhitman @milomarkets That would be huge news and would necessitate a material re-rating in CRM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @milomarkets Salesforce will lead agentic", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitWhitman", "ret_m1d": 0.04451544443243094, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04451544443243094, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04634508381806157, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04634508381806157, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01040932710539444, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01040932710539444, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0037491199971497746, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0037491199971497746, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "ret_p1w": 0.024919133303485275, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024919133303485275, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008964059927500267, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008964059927500267, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "ret_p1m": -0.16879581972453195, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16879581972453195, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18671229238888787, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18671229238888787, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "ret_p3m": -0.26567300949888895, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26567300949888895, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22740946670054218, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22740946670054218, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16879581972453195, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18671229238888787, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18671229238888787, "price_path": [-0.0563, -0.0535, -0.0342, -0.0486, -0.0208, -0.0561, -0.0687, -0.0316, -0.0431, 0.001, 0.0369, 0.0103, 0.004, 0.0032, 0.0057, 0.0009, -0.0101, 0.0103, 0.0251, 0.0288, 0.0016, -0.0053, -0.0581, -0.0557, -0.0485, -0.0375, -0.0315, -0.0535, -0.0408, -0.0669, -0.0808, -0.1029, -0.1128, -0.106, -0.1071, -0.0784, -0.1019, -0.1019, -0.0925, -0.0835, -0.0761, -0.0603, -0.0259, 0.0257, 0.0217, 0.0275, 0.04, 0.0328, 0.0323, 0.0022, 0.0035, 0.0162, 0.0167, 0.0248, 0.0434, 0.0387, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0491, 0.0497, 0.0485, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0, 0.0104, 0.0366, 0.0493, 0.0272, 0.0249, 0.0228, -0.0495, -0.0554, -0.0792, -0.1045, -0.1045, -0.1323, -0.1263, -0.1007, -0.1008, -0.0955, -0.0989, -0.1012, -0.1559, -0.163, -0.1688, -0.2257, -0.2136, -0.251, -0.2455, -0.235, -0.2372, -0.2706, -0.2689, -0.252, -0.252, -0.2734, -0.2596, -0.2694, -0.2699, -0.2975, -0.2689, -0.2439, -0.2135, -0.232, -0.2392, -0.227, -0.2387, -0.2059, -0.2031, -0.2162, -0.2315, -0.2346, -0.2143, -0.2397, -0.218, -0.2299, -0.2337, -0.2312, -0.2296, -0.2304, -0.2784, -0.2825, -0.268, -0.293, -0.2704, -0.264, -0.2657, -0.262, -0.262, -0.2704, -0.2786, -0.3046, -0.3247, -0.348, -0.3169, -0.3229, -0.298, -0.2837, -0.28, -0.2637, -0.2604, -0.2498, -0.315, -0.2958, -0.2878, -0.2833, -0.2837, -0.3022, -0.2734, -0.2668, -0.2609, -0.2838, -0.2634, -0.2813, -0.2984, -0.3229, -0.3445, -0.3376, -0.3142, -0.2906, -0.2908, -0.2881, -0.3031, -0.2882, -0.2882, -0.2921, -0.2983, -0.3036, -0.2446, -0.1715, -0.2061, -0.2466, -0.2539, -0.2661, -0.2784, -0.3069, -0.3244, -0.3404, -0.3426, -0.3479, -0.3591, -0.3857, -0.3985, -0.3985, -0.4051, -0.392, -0.3946, -0.4048, -0.3724, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012347682577363010", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T02:14:09+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Going to $55 this year.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR to $55 this year.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@salmaogs That’s plenty of time. Going to $55 this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Holy cow\n\nSomeone just bought $CIFR 35 C 06/18/2026 for $2.1M\n\nThis is an 81% OTM contract https://t.co/oQzONrmxX6", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "salmaogs", "ret_m1d": 0.04910709581584971, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04910709581584971, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02832728535859741, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02245732403156131, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0266497717842884, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011160756812943928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011160756812943928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022701866094605228, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025049752043734275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013888995230790346, "ret_p1w": 0.046316959831046445, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.046316959831046445, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019884680875355443, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002535022437369694, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04378193739367675, "ret_p1m": -0.13950892797747283, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13950892797747283, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1523634739226718, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13295238359201067, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00655654438546216, "ret_p3m": 0.08091522080168034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08091522080168034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.029999537024054, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.008635923512068322, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08955114431374867, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13950892797747283, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1523634739226718, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13295238359201067, "price_path": [-0.0371, 0.1529, 0.1462, 0.1138, 0.0932, 0.0642, 0.0407, 0.2701, 0.2561, 0.3789, 0.2115, 0.1546, 0.0965, 0.0419, -0.0301, -0.1669, -0.1987, -0.1992, -0.1864, -0.1842, -0.1875, -0.2104, -0.0675, -0.0223, 0.0686, 0.0686, 0.1356, 0.0988, -0.0156, 0.0396, 0.1066, 0.0759, 0.0871, 0.0915, 0.0312, 0.0536, -0.0485, -0.1775, -0.1635, -0.197, -0.1546, -0.0954, -0.0882, -0.1122, -0.0949, -0.0949, -0.1523, -0.1585, -0.1858, -0.1763, -0.1763, -0.096, 0.0134, -0.0212, -0.1027, -0.0765, -0.072, -0.0134, 0.0184, 0.0117, -0.0223, 0.0491, 0.0491, 0.0, -0.0112, -0.0296, -0.0195, -0.0798, 0.0463, 0.0586, -0.0123, -0.1094, -0.1177, -0.0926, -0.2048, -0.2913, -0.178, -0.0647, -0.0458, -0.0915, -0.1016, -0.0837, -0.0837, -0.1272, -0.1395, -0.1183, -0.1825, -0.1507, -0.0446, -0.0731, -0.0804, -0.1295, -0.1205, -0.1791, -0.1049, -0.1546, -0.24, -0.2015, -0.221, -0.2126, -0.2349, -0.2143, -0.1551, -0.1579, -0.1814, -0.183, -0.2182, -0.1691, -0.1696, -0.1138, -0.1992, -0.233, -0.3295, -0.2818, -0.2946, -0.2846, -0.2846, -0.255, -0.2182, -0.1395, -0.0871, -0.0776, -0.0089, 0.0296, 0.0045, -0.0324, 0.0809, 0.0765, 0.0067, 0.0848, 0.043, 0.0156, 0.0134, -0.0368, -0.0558, -0.01, -0.0491, -0.0017, 0.2333, 0.2227, 0.1543, 0.1468, 0.1317, 0.1194, 0.1853, 0.2439, 0.1345, 0.067, 0.0491, 0.0871, 0.2009, 0.226, 0.226, 0.2846, 0.404, 0.3722, 0.3198, 0.3398, 0.4671, 0.4643, 0.4258, 0.2528, 0.3555, 0.2854, 0.173, 0.2628, 0.3672, 0.4526, 0.4626, 0.4704, 0.6283, 0.6283, 0.5703, 0.5424, 0.4632, 0.433, 0.4475, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005042206969934210", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T22:24:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We are going much higher soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; expects price to go much higher soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GrantCardone @saylor Don’t borrow the conviction. Be the conviction. We are going much higher soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Seems like concerted effort to hold  BTC at lower levels.  Hey @saylor whats happening I need inspiration for my conviction!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GrantCardone", "ret_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01143678876079579, "price_path": [0.3616, 0.3849, 0.4031, 0.4317, 0.3938, 0.4156, 0.3967, 0.2993, 0.3229, 0.2982, 0.2714, 0.2415, 0.2218, 0.2691, 0.2449, 0.2358, 0.2632, 0.2742, 0.3096, 0.2963, 0.263, 0.2429, 0.2573, 0.2227, 0.1659, 0.1923, 0.1625, 0.1863, 0.2164, 0.182, 0.1667, 0.1441, 0.0833, 0.0569, 0.0667, 0.0497, -0.0058, -0.0235, 0.013, 0.0023, 0.0388, 0.0476, 0.0434, -0.0094, 0.0483, 0.0733, 0.0574, 0.0258, 0.0402, 0.0637, 0.056, 0.0617, 0.0359, -0.0082, 0.0081, -0.0114, -0.0192, 0.0111, 0.0155, 0.0032, 0.0054, 0.0011, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0043, 0.0183, 0.0322, 0.0774, 0.0756, 0.0479, 0.0446, 0.0387, 0.0465, 0.0939, 0.1124, 0.0965, 0.0962, 0.0621, 0.0135, 0.0257, 0.0267, 0.0271, 0.013, 0.0225, 0.0235, -0.0296, -0.0345, -0.097, -0.132, -0.162, -0.2804, -0.1903, -0.1953, -0.2105, -0.2312, -0.24, -0.2098, -0.21, -0.2254, -0.2377, -0.2316, -0.2196, -0.2585, -0.2646, -0.2201, -0.2259, -0.2439, -0.2107, -0.2163, -0.1656, -0.187, -0.2181, -0.215, -0.1975, -0.1943, -0.191, -0.1856, -0.1409, -0.1517, -0.1824, -0.1977, -0.1907, -0.1862, -0.1907, -0.1816, -0.2105, -0.2387, -0.2346, -0.217, -0.2187, -0.2324, -0.2319, -0.2098, -0.1744, -0.1838, -0.1764, -0.1625, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1415, -0.1376, -0.1149, -0.1293, -0.1238, -0.1025, -0.1018, -0.1111, -0.1121, -0.1238, -0.1304, -0.1243, -0.1028, -0.0839, -0.0713, -0.0655, -0.0818, -0.0798, -0.0621, -0.0764, -0.0902, -0.0699, -0.0926, -0.1169, -0.1192, -0.1111, -0.1102, -0.1337, -0.1131, -0.1298, -0.1468, -0.1561, -0.158, -0.1815, -0.2345, -0.2654, -0.2678, -0.3008, -0.276, -0.2926, -0.2948, -0.2706, -0.2708, -0.2393, -0.2472, -0.2607, -0.2782, -0.2708, -0.2661, -0.2808]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021763814812004804", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-12T01:50:30+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "See you at sub $10 HIMS.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish HIMS with explicit sub-$10 price target.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DoctorBradberry @LoveMy7Wood Poor guy. See you at sub $10 HIMS.\n\nStick to your day job.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @LoveMy7Wood https://t.co/SraPiK1nnf", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DoctorBradberry", "ret_m1d": 0.05632913497334324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05632913497334324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04063786301651451, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04063786301651451, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.031645508879100115, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031645508879100115, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03094100977598102, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03094100977598102, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "ret_p1w": 0.001265791382780046, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.001265791382780046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003445940409673831, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003445940409673831, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "ret_p1m": 0.5677215290344633, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5677215290344633, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5955813072334314, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5955813072334314, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "ret_p3m": 0.5841772395245366, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5841772395245366, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.49768299710695363, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.49768299710695363, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5677215290344633, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5955813072334314, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5955813072334314, "price_path": [1.2519, 1.2949, 1.2677, 1.1278, 1.1968, 1.3911, 1.3475, 1.4304, 1.4304, 1.5165, 1.3741, 1.2981, 1.3462, 1.5329, 1.481, 1.4759, 1.5203, 1.3975, 1.3905, 1.3551, 1.2943, 1.3329, 1.2133, 1.2006, 1.2506, 1.2184, 1.2025, 1.1943, 1.1943, 1.1715, 1.1582, 1.0911, 1.0551, 1.0551, 1.1146, 1.1968, 1.2443, 1.2443, 1.1437, 1.0057, 1.0468, 1.038, 0.9823, 0.9766, 0.9861, 0.9861, 0.9285, 0.8285, 0.9316, 0.8747, 0.9165, 0.8785, 0.8146, 0.8905, 0.7146, 0.6734, 0.6165, 0.5443, 0.4861, 0.457, 0.2234, 0.0911, 0.0563, 0.0, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.0297, 0.0025, 0.0013, -0.0108, -0.0184, -0.0215, 0.0013, -0.0127, -0.081, 0.043, 0.0013, 0.0411, 0.0051, -0.0038, 0.4025, 0.4854, 0.638, 0.5089, 0.5677, 0.5747, 0.581, 0.4652, 0.5291, 0.3937, 0.4215, 0.3506, 0.319, 0.3203, 0.2266, 0.1886, 0.3139, 0.2557, 0.2114, 0.2114, 0.2867, 0.2342, 0.2272, 0.25, 0.2297, 0.3386, 0.3519, 0.5373, 0.7082, 0.8241, 0.9627, 0.8835, 0.8361, 0.7816, 0.9342, 0.8601, 0.7665, 0.6665, 0.7196, 0.7348, 0.7259, 0.6665, 0.7013, 0.6234, 0.7892, 0.8443, 0.5842, 0.5278, 0.5342, 0.5854, 0.4108, 0.4203, 0.4582, 0.5196, 0.5032, 0.5032, 0.5095, 0.5949, 0.6063, 0.6551, 0.757, 0.7411, 0.7411, 0.7728, 0.6576, 0.7196, 0.8342, 0.7582, 0.8272, 0.6975, 0.9095, 0.9918, 1.0184, 1.2449, 1.2449, 1.1228, 1.0861, 1.0696, 1.0703, 1.1481, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005045932874940575", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T22:39:37+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the silver rally won't last", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Silver rally won't last; bearish on silver price.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity ETF SLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BritshBullDoge @TheShortBear Because the silver rally won’t last and equities holders are smarter than rock holders", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @TheShortBear Gotta ask the question... why haven't the silver miners moved with silver?  🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BritshBullDoge", "ret_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07741251999667598, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04499319988770312, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04650809870432049, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07938193469002708, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.1557340139571337, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1557340139571337, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "price_path": [-0.3499, -0.3557, -0.3407, -0.3325, -0.3427, -0.325, -0.3227, -0.3118, -0.284, -0.291, -0.2678, -0.2551, -0.2881, -0.2771, -0.3366, -0.3353, -0.3307, -0.3336, -0.3577, -0.3531, -0.3451, -0.3283, -0.3333, -0.3371, -0.3525, -0.3387, -0.3403, -0.3346, -0.3063, -0.2963, -0.268, -0.2816, -0.3037, -0.3112, -0.3016, -0.2963, -0.3065, -0.3137, -0.2936, -0.293, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.2242, -0.2044, -0.1951, -0.196, -0.2159, -0.1978, -0.2015, -0.1642, -0.1506, -0.1271, -0.1501, -0.1197, -0.1254, -0.0871, -0.1013, -0.077, -0.0536, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.012, 0.0774, 0.0, 0.045, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0039, 0.0465, 0.1166, 0.075, 0.0561, 0.0965, 0.17, 0.1907, 0.281, 0.2622, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2936, 0.2719, 0.32, 0.4075, 0.4898, 0.539, 0.5998, 0.5993, 0.1429, 0.0974, 0.1659, 0.1995, 0.0103, 0.0633, 0.1519, 0.1121, 0.1598, 0.0261, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0055, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.1607, 0.2206, 0.198, 0.2125, 0.2188, 0.2875, 0.2357, 0.1313, 0.1413, 0.1251, 0.1504, 0.1856, 0.2133, 0.1803, 0.1586, 0.1012, 0.1092, 0.0856, 0.0408, -0.005, -0.068, -0.0536, -0.0464, -0.0121, -0.0794, -0.0389, -0.0377, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0012, -0.0011, 0.0221, 0.0361, 0.0465, 0.0344, 0.0913, 0.0883, 0.0792, 0.1154, 0.093, 0.0376, 0.0661, 0.0359, 0.0421, 0.0351, 0.0029, -0.0177, 0.0098, 0.0345, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0624, 0.0847, 0.106, 0.1816, 0.19, 0.2021, 0.1439, 0.0459, 0.0595, 0.0135, 0.0412, 0.0521, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0562, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0351, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.003, 0.0147, -0.0673, -0.0671, -0.106, -0.1265, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.0385, -0.0397, -0.0818, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.1076, -0.1557]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018739602161574342", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T17:33:22+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have 1.3M shares and I'm still adding.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long OPEN with 1.3M shares and continuing to add.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ni29219 @runfrombear @ericjackson @nejatian @rabois I have 1.3M shares and I’m still adding.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@runfrombear @ericjackson They don’t care bro. @nejatian already said he doesn’t check SP . That gave shorts more reason to short us down. @rabois tells everyone to short $OPEN publicly and intel shows @ericjackson has zero shares. It’s a public company not their startup like someone said. We are doomed.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ni29219", "ret_m1d": -0.06042883740039173, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06042883740039173, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06895632651277761, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06410442851366305, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527489112385878, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003675591113271315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025341152347144846, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025341152347144846, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02049729862115146, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04126865055301587, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843853725993386, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015927498205871027, "ret_p1w": -0.08576998974753658, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08576998974753658, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08952614990358487, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1355126414131338, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003756160156048294, "bench_c_p1w": 0.049742651665597215, "ret_p1m": -0.04873294238264281, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04873294238264281, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04235183050228464, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12101906133054285, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00638111188035817, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07228611894790005, "ret_p3m": 0.06042883740039162, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06042883740039162, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.012442356373405294, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03287896677565705, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04798648102698633, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09330780417604867, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04873294238264281, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04235183050228464, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12101906133054285, "price_path": [0.2788, 0.2788, 0.5536, 0.653, 0.8265, 0.6686, 0.5828, 0.5283, 0.4659, 0.3041, 0.2008, 0.3158, 0.499, 0.5088, 0.5166, 0.5166, 0.501, 0.3918, 0.3626, 0.3528, 0.4776, 0.3938, 0.3743, 0.4444, 0.3645, 0.3743, 0.2788, 0.2612, 0.3119, 0.193, 0.2242, 0.2398, 0.2515, 0.2222, 0.2242, 0.2242, 0.1715, 0.1365, 0.1384, 0.1365, 0.1365, 0.1832, 0.232, 0.3509, 0.193, 0.2534, 0.4211, 0.3684, 0.3197, 0.2943, 0.2281, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.2456, 0.2632, 0.2515, 0.1715, 0.1442, 0.1326, 0.1228, 0.0877, 0.0039, -0.0604, 0.0, -0.0253, -0.0838, -0.0487, -0.037, -0.0858, -0.0721, -0.1462, -0.1335, -0.1335, -0.1559, -0.0975, -0.0936, -0.0253, -0.0682, -0.0039, -0.0292, 0.0546, 0.0565, -0.0156, -0.0312, -0.0487, 0.0097, -0.0253, -0.0097, -0.0234, 0.0273, -0.0565, -0.0351, 0.0097, 0.0838, 0.0292, 0.0019, -0.0429, 0.0156, 0.0097, -0.0058, -0.0448, -0.0643, -0.1365, -0.0877, -0.1092, -0.076, -0.076, -0.1014, -0.1131, -0.0955, -0.1598, -0.1579, -0.1501, -0.1209, -0.0604, 0.0273, 0.0312, 0.0429, 0.0624, 0.0585, 0.0175, 0.0741, 0.0507, 0.0682, 0.0877, 0.0487, 0.0604, 0.0, 0.0195, 0.0643, 0.037, -0.0234, -0.0546, -0.0819, -0.1072, -0.1287, -0.1462, -0.1657, -0.1618, -0.1423, -0.1092, -0.117, -0.117, -0.1267, -0.0741, -0.0117, -0.0175, 0.0351, 0.0546, -0.0507, -0.0351, -0.1384, -0.1598, -0.154, -0.1267, -0.1287, -0.1345, -0.1014, -0.0741, -0.1326, -0.1287, -0.1287, -0.1657, -0.1813, -0.1657, -0.1618, -0.1481, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1997422403778183582", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-06T21:46:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see $150,000-$160,000 by the end of February", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $150K–$160K by end of February; overdue for a 50%+ move.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are way way overdue for a 50%+ move.\n\nI see $150,000-$160,000 by the end of February.\n\nWhen it happens you won’t care how long it took. This is the way it always goes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013817768157169508, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013817768157169508, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01683102973083328, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01683102973083328, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030132615736637725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030132615736637725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022633530616329445, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022633530616329445, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023496558689902636, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023496558689902636, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000863028073573191, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000863028073573191, "ret_p1w": -0.04656236117630608, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04656236117630608, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04232031758488142, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04232031758488142, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00424204359142466, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00424204359142466, "ret_p1m": 0.03407790382751297, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019122141330462306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019122141330462306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014955762497050662, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014955762497050662, "ret_p3m": -0.21843594169460878, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21843594169460878, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2179870986806487, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2179870986806487, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004488430139600874, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0004488430139600874, "ret_p6m": -0.2640831115745582, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2640831115745582, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.38149309834062095, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38149309834062095, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11740998676606273, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11740998676606273, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019122141330462306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019122141330462306, "price_path": [0.2572, 0.2744, 0.2809, 0.2737, 0.2891, 0.285, 0.2923, 0.2764, 0.2439, 0.2358, 0.2503, 0.2031, 0.2104, 0.2621, 0.2583, 0.309, 0.3314, 0.3489, 0.3763, 0.3399, 0.3609, 0.3427, 0.2491, 0.2717, 0.248, 0.2222, 0.1936, 0.1746, 0.2201, 0.1968, 0.1881, 0.2144, 0.225, 0.259, 0.2462, 0.2142, 0.1949, 0.2087, 0.1755, 0.1208, 0.1462, 0.1176, 0.1405, 0.1694, 0.1363, 0.1216, 0.0999, 0.0415, 0.016, 0.0255, 0.0091, -0.0442, -0.0612, -0.0261, -0.0364, -0.0013, 0.0071, 0.0031, -0.0476, 0.0078, 0.0319, 0.0166, -0.0138, 0.0, 0.0226, 0.0152, 0.0206, -0.0041, -0.0466, -0.0308, -0.0496, -0.0571, -0.028, -0.0237, -0.0356, -0.0334, -0.0376, -0.0368, -0.0386, -0.0244, -0.0345, -0.0211, -0.0077, 0.0358, 0.0341, 0.0074, 0.0043, -0.0014, 0.0061, 0.0517, 0.0694, 0.0542, 0.0539, 0.0211, -0.0257, -0.0139, -0.013, -0.0125, -0.0262, -0.017, -0.0161, -0.0671, -0.0718, -0.1319, -0.1656, -0.1944, -0.3082, -0.2216, -0.2264, -0.241, -0.2609, -0.2694, -0.2403, -0.2405, -0.2554, -0.2672, -0.2613, -0.2497, -0.2871, -0.293, -0.2502, -0.2558, -0.2732, -0.2412, -0.2465, -0.1978, -0.2184, -0.2483, -0.2453, -0.2285, -0.2255, -0.2223, -0.217, -0.1741, -0.1844, -0.214, -0.2287, -0.222, -0.2176, -0.222, -0.2133, -0.241, -0.2681, -0.2642, -0.2472, -0.2489, -0.262, -0.2616, -0.2403, -0.2063, -0.2153, -0.2082, -0.1948, -0.1782, -0.1816, -0.1747, -0.1709, -0.1491, -0.1629, -0.1576, -0.1372, -0.1365, -0.1455, -0.1464, -0.1577, -0.164, -0.1582, -0.1375, -0.1193, -0.1072, -0.1016, -0.1173, -0.1153, -0.0983, -0.1121, -0.1254, -0.1058, -0.1277, -0.151, -0.1532, -0.1454, -0.1445, -0.1672, -0.1474, -0.1634, -0.1798, -0.1887, -0.1905, -0.2132, -0.2641]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1989384961409929356", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T17:28:30+00:00", "symbol": "AI/HPC sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You are simply not bullish enough", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares Cantor bullish view on AI/HPC pullback; market not bullish enough; specific upside commentary on IREN and CIFR.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA", "AMD", "AVGO", "SMCI", "ALAB"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "AI/HPC sector basket", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Comments from Cantor on the recent pullback in the AI/HPC. Summary: You are simply not bullish enough. https://t.co/pKxYh94l7V\n\n---\n\nCantor values the equity value of every MW of critical IT load dedicated to a hyperscaler customer at as much as $20M https://t.co/fKvQbTTARq\n\n---\n\nIREN/CIFR specific commentary https://t.co/2sfvm989Vg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00954995524243063, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00954995524243063, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009713806458565677, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009086126270822947, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00046382897160768266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027267366767919604, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027267366767919604, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017951019252404138, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013701234535399925, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013566132232519679, "ret_p1w": -0.0786715076879562, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0786715076879562, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.059473164188031974, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024030644595147838, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "bench_c_p1w": -0.054640863092808356, "ret_p1m": -0.07751433186820125, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07751433186820125, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09061107222731105, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10047213558877169, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022957803720570436, "ret_p3m": -0.06411873931541465, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06411873931541465, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09697150347352443, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.270190399871051, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2060716605556363, "ret_p6m": 0.3679628326789679, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3679628326789679, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2614344470356682, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.307795781034113, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6757586137130809, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07751433186820125, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09061107222731105, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10047213558877169, "price_path": [-0.0233, -0.0293, -0.0252, -0.0044, -0.016, -0.0003, 0.0057, 0.0251, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0365, -0.0343, -0.0081, 0.0057, 0.0544, 0.0693, 0.1314, 0.1248, 0.1293, 0.1407, 0.1468, 0.1536, 0.1632, 0.15, 0.1419, 0.1315, 0.0833, 0.0736, 0.0628, 0.0654, 0.0729, 0.106, 0.1422, 0.1182, 0.2086, 0.2052, 0.2736, 0.2762, 0.1747, 0.201, 0.1165, 0.1481, 0.149, 0.1261, 0.1472, 0.1404, 0.1102, 0.1017, 0.1319, 0.1763, 0.1844, 0.2119, 0.1724, 0.2093, 0.2078, 0.1461, 0.1253, 0.0593, 0.0512, 0.0856, 0.0542, 0.0551, -0.0095, 0.0, -0.0273, -0.0369, -0.0373, -0.0802, -0.0787, -0.0216, -0.0364, -0.0003, -0.0003, 0.0198, 0.0199, -0.0299, -0.0064, -0.004, 0.023, 0.064, 0.0509, 0.0499, 0.0553, -0.044, -0.0775, -0.0706, -0.1136, -0.1013, -0.037, -0.0203, -0.0233, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.0247, -0.025, -0.0266, -0.0409, -0.0409, 0.0041, -0.029, -0.0429, -0.0429, -0.0728, -0.0532, -0.0264, -0.0078, -0.0327, -0.0141, 0.0314, 0.0314, 0.0121, 0.0197, 0.0233, 0.0086, -0.0137, 0.0089, 0.0048, -0.018, -0.0572, -0.0404, -0.0422, -0.0896, -0.1188, -0.0152, 0.0256, 0.0108, -0.0641, -0.1211, -0.1185, -0.1185, -0.1302, -0.125, -0.0993, -0.1068, -0.1263, -0.1093, -0.0908, -0.1209, -0.1353, -0.1383, -0.1763, -0.1419, -0.1254, -0.142, -0.1104, -0.1236, -0.1085, -0.1342, -0.149, -0.1237, -0.1289, -0.1397, -0.1283, -0.227, -0.1956, -0.1952, -0.1697, -0.2176, -0.2294, -0.2681, -0.221, -0.2186, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.1908, -0.1691, -0.1305, -0.1166, -0.0479, -0.0045, 0.0197, 0.0376, 0.0647, 0.0775, 0.0737, 0.1106, 0.1536, 0.1428, 0.2304, 0.1772, 0.125, 0.1603, 0.1904, 0.211, 0.1914, 0.2377, 0.3471, 0.2858, 0.3651, 0.368]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1989384961409929356", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T17:28:30+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN/CIFR specific commentary", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares Cantor bullish view on AI/HPC pullback; market not bullish enough; specific upside commentary on IREN and CIFR.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Comments from Cantor on the recent pullback in the AI/HPC. Summary: You are simply not bullish enough. https://t.co/pKxYh94l7V\n\n---\n\nCantor values the equity value of every MW of critical IT load dedicated to a hyperscaler customer at as much as $20M https://t.co/fKvQbTTARq\n\n---\n\nIREN/CIFR specific commentary https://t.co/2sfvm989Vg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04916977887671181, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04916977887671181, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049005927660576765, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03906495707686353, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010104821799848285, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022428314416290007, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022428314416290007, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03174466193180547, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04149410482083549, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01906579040454548, "ret_p1w": -0.08863490845425614, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08863490845425614, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06943656495433193, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0737635654367702, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014871343017485938, "ret_p1m": -0.23485011085821472, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23485011085821472, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24794685121732452, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.28327710658867844, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04842699573046372, "ret_p3m": -0.07979298788370837, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07979298788370837, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11264575204181815, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08883640696971395, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009043419086005589, "ret_p6m": 0.1893466205787826, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1893466205787826, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0828182349354829, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20511637937652505, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01576975879774245, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.23485011085821472, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24794685121732452, "alpha_c_stated": -0.28327710658867844, "price_path": [-0.5961, -0.5739, -0.5775, -0.5378, -0.5014, -0.5042, -0.5179, -0.5031, -0.4289, -0.4289, -0.3722, -0.3916, -0.4365, -0.4361, -0.4352, -0.3489, -0.2747, -0.2916, -0.2676, -0.1991, -0.2139, -0.1827, -0.2167, -0.1667, -0.0964, -0.0992, 0.0166, -0.0017, -0.0973, -0.0095, 0.0121, 0.0153, 0.014, 0.0882, 0.2454, 0.3302, 0.2959, 0.377, 0.289, 0.3832, 0.5001, 0.466, 0.3334, 0.3095, 0.2771, 0.1903, 0.1177, 0.2047, 0.3565, 0.4016, 0.3461, 0.303, 0.2556, 0.3101, 0.4611, 0.4369, 0.6478, 0.444, 0.3453, 0.2976, 0.2374, 0.2012, 0.0492, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0535, -0.0116, -0.0625, -0.0886, 0.0457, 0.0237, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0311, 0.0457, -0.1132, -0.052, 0.0017, -0.0358, -0.0006, 0.0101, -0.0528, -0.0524, -0.1346, -0.2349, -0.2109, -0.2715, -0.2279, -0.1391, -0.0934, -0.0927, -0.0947, -0.0947, -0.1309, -0.1501, -0.174, -0.1855, -0.1855, -0.0791, 0.0403, -0.0099, -0.0592, -0.0149, -0.0073, 0.0854, 0.1428, 0.1404, 0.119, 0.2469, 0.2469, 0.1702, 0.1533, 0.127, 0.2223, 0.1292, 0.2937, 0.3573, 0.2905, 0.1589, 0.1447, 0.173, -0.0308, -0.1419, -0.0979, -0.0047, -0.0742, -0.0798, -0.1367, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.1165, -0.0925, -0.0664, -0.1378, -0.0865, -0.0198, -0.0505, -0.0459, -0.1169, -0.1074, -0.1622, -0.0546, -0.1347, -0.2085, -0.1624, -0.1779, -0.0947, -0.1078, -0.1033, -0.0308, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.1016, -0.1096, -0.0908, -0.1132, -0.1065, -0.1924, -0.2433, -0.3181, -0.2607, -0.2648, -0.2502, -0.2502, -0.2424, -0.2292, -0.2057, -0.2008, -0.152, -0.0712, 0.0216, 0.0528, 0.0287, 0.0377, 0.0507, -0.0259, 0.0436, 0.1218, 0.0921, 0.0429, -0.0416, -0.0757, -0.0185, -0.0153, 0.0671, 0.1805, 0.3151, 0.226, 0.3198, 0.1893]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1989384961409929356", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-14T17:28:30+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN/CIFR specific commentary", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares Cantor bullish view on AI/HPC pullback; market not bullish enough; specific upside commentary on IREN and CIFR.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Comments from Cantor on the recent pullback in the AI/HPC. Summary: You are simply not bullish enough. https://t.co/pKxYh94l7V\n\n---\n\nCantor values the equity value of every MW of critical IT load dedicated to a hyperscaler customer at as much as $20M https://t.co/fKvQbTTARq\n\n---\n\nIREN/CIFR specific commentary https://t.co/2sfvm989Vg", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03952978820769948, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045107426334604295, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016385121613504694, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005413786910769769, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008620019141797886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014955125653804524, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316347515515466, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651454027522105, "ret_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004574385062061426, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0372586977627446, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01919834349992422, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05188265620060739, "ret_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013365663786159221, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03878228881787027, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096740359109793, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319884672601256, "ret_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10085204613939469, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1398691652380316, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03285276415810978, "bench_c_p3m": -0.006164354940527139, "ret_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30572796334731644, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17421144951984147, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1065283856432997, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23804489947077467, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.013365663786159221, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03878228881787027, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.5857, -0.5891, -0.5557, -0.5376, -0.5042, -0.5132, -0.5111, -0.468, -0.468, -0.4206, -0.4352, -0.4847, -0.4763, -0.4624, -0.3579, -0.2862, -0.3057, -0.2444, -0.2444, -0.1985, -0.1379, -0.1748, -0.1448, -0.0279, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.188, -0.2013, -0.1191, -0.1233, -0.1226, -0.0383, 0.0237, 0.0682, 0.0968, 0.2256, 0.2528, 0.1818, 0.4164, 0.4547, 0.4645, 0.3036, 0.3064, 0.3865, 0.2587, 0.1219, 0.2016, 0.4387, 0.4304, 0.39, 0.3642, 0.328, 0.2987, 0.585, 0.5675, 0.7208, 0.5118, 0.4408, 0.3684, 0.3001, 0.2103, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0139, -0.0146, 0.1636, 0.2201, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.4171, 0.3712, 0.2284, 0.2974, 0.3809, 0.3426, 0.3565, 0.3621, 0.2869, 0.3148, 0.1873, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0021, 0.055, 0.1288, 0.1379, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.0578, 0.0501, 0.016, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.1281, 0.2646, 0.2214, 0.1198, 0.1525, 0.1581, 0.2312, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2201, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.2479, 0.234, 0.211, 0.2235, 0.1483, 0.3057, 0.321, 0.2326, 0.1114, 0.101, 0.1323, -0.0077, -0.1156, 0.0258, 0.1671, 0.1908, 0.1337, 0.1212, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.0891, 0.0738, 0.1003, 0.0202, 0.0599, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.1476, 0.0864, 0.0975, 0.0244, 0.117, 0.055, -0.0515, -0.0035, -0.0279, -0.0174, -0.0453, -0.0195, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0216, 0.0195, -0.0244, 0.0369, 0.0362, 0.1058, -0.0007, -0.0428, -0.1633, -0.1038, -0.1198, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.0703, -0.0244, 0.0738, 0.1393, 0.1511, 0.2368, 0.2848, 0.2535, 0.2075, 0.3489, 0.3433, 0.2563, 0.3538, 0.3015, 0.2674, 0.2646, 0.2019, 0.1783, 0.2354, 0.1866, 0.2458, 0.539, 0.5258, 0.4405, 0.4311, 0.4123]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000302907514929191", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-14T20:32:31+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$100,000 to $110,000 will come quickly and force short covering and liquidations", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish BTC: bears failing to hold price below $86K will trigger short squeeze to $100K–$110K quickly.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The bears are getting increasingly desperate and manic. They know they are on the clock and must push Bitcoin below $86,000 within days otherwise $100,000 to $110,000 will come quickly and force short covering and liquidations. These guys never make money so they are hurting bad.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.044557308023734477, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.044557308023734477, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04304421361412869, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04304421361412869, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01648005936140917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01648005936140917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019212434663788525, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019212434663788525, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "ret_p1w": 0.023955561389482183, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023955561389482183, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014959985949833277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014959985949833277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995575439648906, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008995575439648906, "ret_p1m": 0.10300882357301733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10300882357301733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0808414525675476, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0808414525675476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "ret_p3m": -0.1842902178429201, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1842902178429201, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16563098022842548, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16563098022842548, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "ret_p6m": -0.28669362085431105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28669362085431105, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37559336426922696, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37559336426922696, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.023955561389482183, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.014959985949833277, "alpha_c_stated": 0.014959985949833277, "price_path": [0.3477, 0.3554, 0.3387, 0.3047, 0.2962, 0.3114, 0.2619, 0.2695, 0.3238, 0.3198, 0.3729, 0.3965, 0.4148, 0.4436, 0.4054, 0.4274, 0.4083, 0.3101, 0.3339, 0.3089, 0.2819, 0.2519, 0.232, 0.2797, 0.2552, 0.2461, 0.2737, 0.2848, 0.3205, 0.3071, 0.2735, 0.2532, 0.2677, 0.2329, 0.1755, 0.2022, 0.1722, 0.1962, 0.2265, 0.1918, 0.1764, 0.1536, 0.0923, 0.0657, 0.0756, 0.0584, 0.0025, -0.0154, 0.0214, 0.0107, 0.0474, 0.0563, 0.0521, -0.0011, 0.0571, 0.0822, 0.0662, 0.0343, 0.0488, 0.0726, 0.0648, 0.0705, 0.0446, 0.0, 0.0165, -0.0032, -0.0111, 0.0195, 0.024, 0.0115, 0.0138, 0.0094, 0.0102, 0.0083, 0.0233, 0.0126, 0.0268, 0.0408, 0.0864, 0.0846, 0.0566, 0.0533, 0.0474, 0.0552, 0.103, 0.1216, 0.1057, 0.1054, 0.071, 0.0219, 0.0342, 0.0352, 0.0357, 0.0214, 0.031, 0.032, -0.0215, -0.0265, -0.0895, -0.1248, -0.1551, -0.2744, -0.1836, -0.1886, -0.204, -0.2248, -0.2337, -0.2032, -0.2034, -0.219, -0.2314, -0.2252, -0.2131, -0.2523, -0.2585, -0.2136, -0.2195, -0.2377, -0.2042, -0.2097, -0.1586, -0.1803, -0.2116, -0.2085, -0.1908, -0.1876, -0.1843, -0.1788, -0.1338, -0.1446, -0.1756, -0.191, -0.184, -0.1794, -0.184, -0.1748, -0.204, -0.2324, -0.2283, -0.2104, -0.2122, -0.226, -0.2255, -0.2032, -0.1675, -0.177, -0.1695, -0.1555, -0.1381, -0.1416, -0.1344, -0.1304, -0.1075, -0.122, -0.1165, -0.0951, -0.0943, -0.1037, -0.1048, -0.1165, -0.1232, -0.1171, -0.0954, -0.0763, -0.0636, -0.0578, -0.0742, -0.0721, -0.0543, -0.0688, -0.0827, -0.0621, -0.0851, -0.1095, -0.1119, -0.1037, -0.1028, -0.1265, -0.1058, -0.1226, -0.1397, -0.1491, -0.151, -0.1747, -0.2281, -0.2593, -0.2617, -0.295, -0.27, -0.2867]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014467311982543338", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T22:36:48+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if I had room in my crypto equity bucket right now I would buy more of this at $225", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Would buy more COIN at $225 given room in crypto equity allocation; soft bullish lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CyclesWithBach I was just thinking if I had room in my crypto equity bucket right now I would buy more of this at $225", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Bitcoin\n\nIn May 2025 we gave a freebie trade for $COIN which ended up given 100%\n\nNow we're sharing it again, as the boombust has triggered bullish again after latest \"Cautionary\" signal\n\nBull signal triggered - Current price $225 https://t.co/xaKjLEqluR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CyclesWithBach", "ret_m1d": 0.028531931451849735, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028531931451849735, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028894535111716246, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014587996623406596, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036260365986651166, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013943934828443139, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01599447462325143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01599447462325143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02107270638512415, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02240113562501178, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00507823176187272, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00640666100176035, "ret_p1w": -0.1023737809057299, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1023737809057299, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10634933431476523, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1093456758168847, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975553409035326, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971894911154797, "ret_p1m": -0.2613965994597707, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2613965994597707, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25147258331042033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21730393183993035, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009924016149350345, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04409266761984032, "ret_p3m": -0.04936617472104976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04936617472104976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08407508134593356, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03821824816375641, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.034708906624883795, "bench_c_p3m": -0.011147926557293353, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2613965994597707, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.25147258331042033, "alpha_c_stated": -0.21730393183993035, "price_path": [0.6373, 0.6069, 0.5142, 0.5846, 0.523, 0.4165, 0.4718, 0.3608, 0.4249, 0.4655, 0.4013, 0.4012, 0.3051, 0.3091, 0.2166, 0.2067, 0.1859, 0.0978, 0.1081, 0.1799, 0.1713, 0.2213, 0.2213, 0.2575, 0.1977, 0.2135, 0.2764, 0.2632, 0.2433, 0.2639, 0.2785, 0.268, 0.24, 0.2328, 0.1543, 0.1644, 0.1256, 0.1026, 0.1298, 0.1427, 0.1168, 0.105, 0.105, 0.092, 0.0775, 0.0675, 0.0424, 0.0424, 0.0903, 0.175, 0.1549, 0.1336, 0.132, 0.1098, 0.12, 0.1647, 0.1794, 0.1029, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.0497, 0.046, 0.0285, 0.0, -0.016, -0.0282, -0.0347, -0.0819, -0.1024, -0.1341, -0.1719, -0.2228, -0.3265, -0.2389, -0.2291, -0.2509, -0.2938, -0.3497, -0.2426, -0.2426, -0.2348, -0.2438, -0.2351, -0.2102, -0.2614, -0.2531, -0.1522, -0.1654, -0.1894, -0.1462, -0.1594, -0.037, -0.0518, -0.0909, -0.0791, -0.0942, -0.0844, -0.1093, -0.0987, -0.0628, -0.031, -0.0676, -0.0647, -0.0897, -0.0753, -0.1655, -0.1652, -0.2008, -0.2572, -0.2589, -0.1952, -0.2026, -0.2097, -0.2097, -0.1943, -0.1925, -0.1929, -0.2209, -0.2263, -0.1955, -0.15, -0.097, -0.0789, -0.049, -0.0245, -0.0968, -0.0494, -0.0877, -0.0792, -0.0934, -0.1053, -0.1623, -0.1345, -0.1185, -0.0643, -0.0885, -0.0875, -0.1106, -0.0728, -0.0016, -0.0429, -0.0698, -0.0228, -0.0992, -0.1268, -0.1083, -0.1183, -0.1078, -0.1473, -0.1473, -0.1703, -0.199, -0.1599, -0.1287, -0.1583, -0.198, -0.2477, -0.2435, -0.2975, -0.2528, -0.2832, -0.2903, -0.2605, -0.2635, -0.2182, -0.2198, -0.2398, -0.2475, -0.2475, -0.2402, -0.2709, -0.3081, -0.3431, -0.3129, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022453105200390624", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T23:29:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm always a buyer of Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ongoing buyer of Bitcoin; endorses parent's lows-are-in call.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KHerriage I’m always a buyer of Bitcoin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Our call: the lows are in for Bitcoin. \nBelow we see that $IBIT had a clear selling climax, with a record level of volume just as BTC hit its 3rd most oversold levels in history (RSI) and as the Fear &amp; Greed index for BTC hit its most oversold level in history (5). \nIn addition, https://t.co/7q8fnMNXDH", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KHerriage", "ret_m1d": -0.03828176800845584, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03828176800845584, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03667088412319841, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03667088412319841, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0002133017707224294, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0002133017707224294, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005251009321299183, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005251009321299183, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "ret_p1w": -0.012379444789105798, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012379444789105798, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018969448826424595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018969448826424595, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "ret_p1m": 0.08718312773916925, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08718312773916925, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1185516475977364, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1185516475977364, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "ret_p3m": 0.1513157088585133, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1513157088585133, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06588153355297588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06588153355297588, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08718312773916925, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1185516475977364, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1185516475977364, "price_path": [0.3499, 0.3283, 0.2581, 0.2357, 0.2819, 0.2684, 0.3146, 0.3257, 0.3204, 0.2536, 0.3266, 0.3583, 0.3381, 0.2981, 0.3163, 0.3461, 0.3364, 0.3435, 0.311, 0.255, 0.2757, 0.251, 0.2411, 0.2795, 0.2851, 0.2695, 0.2724, 0.2669, 0.2679, 0.2655, 0.2842, 0.2709, 0.2886, 0.3062, 0.3634, 0.3612, 0.326, 0.322, 0.3145, 0.3244, 0.3843, 0.4077, 0.3877, 0.3873, 0.3441, 0.2825, 0.298, 0.2992, 0.2998, 0.2819, 0.294, 0.2952, 0.2281, 0.2218, 0.1428, 0.0984, 0.0604, -0.0894, 0.0247, 0.0183, -0.0009, -0.0271, -0.0383, 0.0, -0.0002, -0.0198, -0.0353, -0.0276, -0.0124, -0.0616, -0.0694, -0.013, -0.0204, -0.0432, -0.0012, -0.0082, 0.056, 0.0288, -0.0105, -0.0066, 0.0155, 0.0196, 0.0238, 0.0306, 0.0872, 0.0736, 0.0347, 0.0153, 0.0242, 0.0299, 0.0241, 0.0356, -0.001, -0.0366, -0.0315, -0.0091, -0.0113, -0.0286, -0.028, 0.0, 0.0448, 0.0329, 0.0423, 0.0599, 0.0817, 0.0773, 0.0864, 0.0914, 0.1201, 0.1019, 0.1088, 0.1357, 0.1367, 0.1249, 0.1236, 0.1088, 0.1005, 0.1081, 0.1354, 0.1593, 0.1753, 0.1825, 0.162, 0.1645, 0.1869, 0.1687, 0.1513, 0.1771, 0.1482, 0.1176, 0.1146, 0.1249, 0.1261, 0.0963, 0.1223, 0.1012, 0.0797, 0.0679, 0.0656, 0.0358, -0.0313, -0.0703, -0.0734, -0.1152, -0.0838, -0.1048, -0.1076, -0.0769, -0.0772, -0.0373, -0.0473, -0.0645, -0.0866, -0.0772, -0.0712, -0.0899, -0.1142, -0.1327, -0.1284, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995877042194448514", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T15:25:43+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "20-30k seems likely in the next 24 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC likely to reach 20-30k within 24 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sports_lamb 20-30k seems likely in the next 24 months", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred 30k incoming", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sports_lamb", "ret_m1d": -0.0550478558391273, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0550478558391273, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05319909368534914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05319909368534914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018487621537781607, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018487621537781607, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023837949867722363, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023837949867722363, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020375110176639177, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020375110176639177, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003462839691083186, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003462839691083186, "ret_p1w": 0.014685329277969172, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014685329277969172, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012469686171236116, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012469686171236116, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002215643106733056, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002215643106733056, "ret_p1m": -0.042051083288163205, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.042051083288163205, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04557993084944323, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04557993084944323, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528847561280024, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003528847561280024, "ret_p3m": -0.27879966742000606, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27879966742000606, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28831798424279353, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28831798424279353, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518316822787476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009518316822787476, "ret_p6m": -0.18615722153053504, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18615722153053504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2935671964123282, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2935671964123282, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740997488179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10740997488179316, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.042051083288163205, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04557993084944323, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04557993084944323, "price_path": [0.2121, 0.2113, 0.2268, 0.2209, 0.2475, 0.2644, 0.271, 0.2638, 0.2791, 0.275, 0.2823, 0.2664, 0.2342, 0.2262, 0.2406, 0.1937, 0.201, 0.2523, 0.2486, 0.2988, 0.3211, 0.3384, 0.3657, 0.3295, 0.3504, 0.3323, 0.2393, 0.2619, 0.2383, 0.2127, 0.1843, 0.1655, 0.2106, 0.1875, 0.1789, 0.2049, 0.2155, 0.2493, 0.2365, 0.2048, 0.1856, 0.1993, 0.1664, 0.1121, 0.1373, 0.1089, 0.1316, 0.1603, 0.1275, 0.1129, 0.0914, 0.0334, 0.0081, 0.0175, 0.0013, -0.0517, -0.0685, -0.0337, -0.0439, -0.0091, -0.0007, -0.0047, -0.055, 0.0, 0.0238, 0.0087, -0.0215, -0.0078, 0.0147, 0.0073, 0.0127, -0.0118, -0.054, -0.0384, -0.057, -0.0645, -0.0355, -0.0313, -0.0431, -0.0409, -0.0451, -0.0443, -0.0461, -0.032, -0.0421, -0.0287, -0.0154, 0.0277, 0.026, -0.0005, -0.0035, -0.0092, -0.0017, 0.0435, 0.0611, 0.046, 0.0457, 0.0132, -0.0333, -0.0216, -0.0207, -0.0202, -0.0337, -0.0246, -0.0237, -0.0743, -0.0791, -0.1386, -0.172, -0.2007, -0.3136, -0.2276, -0.2324, -0.2469, -0.2666, -0.2751, -0.2462, -0.2464, -0.2611, -0.2728, -0.267, -0.2556, -0.2926, -0.2985, -0.256, -0.2616, -0.2788, -0.2471, -0.2524, -0.204, -0.2245, -0.2541, -0.2512, -0.2345, -0.2315, -0.2283, -0.2231, -0.1805, -0.1908, -0.2201, -0.2347, -0.228, -0.2237, -0.228, -0.2194, -0.2469, -0.2738, -0.2699, -0.2531, -0.2548, -0.2678, -0.2673, -0.2462, -0.2125, -0.2214, -0.2144, -0.2011, -0.1846, -0.1879, -0.1811, -0.1773, -0.1557, -0.1694, -0.1642, -0.1439, -0.1432, -0.1521, -0.1531, -0.1642, -0.1705, -0.1647, -0.1442, -0.1261, -0.1141, -0.1086, -0.1241, -0.1222, -0.1053, -0.119, -0.1322, -0.1127, -0.1345, -0.1576, -0.1598, -0.1521, -0.1512, -0.1736, -0.154, -0.1699, -0.1862]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990625627398156685", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T03:38:28+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased 12 new Bitcoins at $89,869. I am bullish.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought 12 BTC at $89,869; explicitly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased 12 new Bitcoins at $89,869. I am bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009198605147184402, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009198605147184402, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017667274594413307, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017667274594413307, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015953746750565823, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015953746750565823, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019816923393842445, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019816923393842445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "ret_p1w": -0.06032331617784503, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06032331617784503, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08295696665042118, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08295696665042118, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02263365047257615, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02263365047257615, "ret_p1m": -0.0732135508633106, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0732135508633106, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0903629934083009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0903629934083009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "ret_p3m": -0.2591858293067022, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2591858293067022, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29506705424584, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29506705424584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "ret_p6m": -0.14708900793581414, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14708900793581414, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27806809330385074, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27806809330385074, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0732135508633106, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0903629934083009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0903629934083009, "price_path": [0.2095, 0.2574, 0.1848, 0.2028, 0.1966, 0.2108, 0.1663, 0.1754, 0.1964, 0.202, 0.1912, 0.1904, 0.2057, 0.1999, 0.226, 0.2427, 0.2491, 0.242, 0.2571, 0.253, 0.2602, 0.2447, 0.213, 0.2051, 0.2193, 0.1732, 0.1804, 0.2308, 0.2271, 0.2765, 0.2984, 0.3154, 0.3422, 0.3066, 0.3271, 0.3094, 0.218, 0.2402, 0.217, 0.1919, 0.1639, 0.1454, 0.1898, 0.1671, 0.1586, 0.1842, 0.1946, 0.2278, 0.2153, 0.184, 0.1652, 0.1787, 0.1463, 0.093, 0.1177, 0.0899, 0.1121, 0.1404, 0.1081, 0.0938, 0.0726, 0.0156, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.016, -0.068, -0.0845, -0.0503, -0.0603, -0.0261, -0.0179, -0.0218, -0.0713, -0.0172, 0.0062, -0.0087, -0.0383, -0.0248, -0.0028, -0.01, -0.0047, -0.0288, -0.0702, -0.0549, -0.0732, -0.0805, -0.0521, -0.048, -0.0595, -0.0574, -0.0615, -0.0608, -0.0625, -0.0486, -0.0585, -0.0454, -0.0323, 0.01, 0.0084, -0.0177, -0.0207, -0.0262, -0.0189, 0.0255, 0.0428, 0.028, 0.0277, -0.0043, -0.0499, -0.0384, -0.0375, -0.0371, -0.0504, -0.0414, -0.0405, -0.0902, -0.0949, -0.1534, -0.1863, -0.2144, -0.3254, -0.2409, -0.2456, -0.2599, -0.2793, -0.2875, -0.2592, -0.2593, -0.2739, -0.2854, -0.2796, -0.2684, -0.3048, -0.3106, -0.2688, -0.2743, -0.2912, -0.2601, -0.2653, -0.2177, -0.2378, -0.2669, -0.2641, -0.2477, -0.2447, -0.2416, -0.2365, -0.1946, -0.2047, -0.2335, -0.2478, -0.2413, -0.2371, -0.2413, -0.2328, -0.2599, -0.2863, -0.2825, -0.2659, -0.2676, -0.2804, -0.2799, -0.2592, -0.226, -0.2348, -0.2279, -0.2148, -0.1986, -0.2019, -0.1952, -0.1915, -0.1702, -0.1837, -0.1786, -0.1586, -0.1579, -0.1667, -0.1676, -0.1786, -0.1848, -0.1791, -0.1589, -0.1412, -0.1293, -0.124, -0.1392, -0.1373, -0.1207, -0.1342, -0.1471]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018328203979534401", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T14:18:37+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ethereum is not going to zero and @fundstrat will come back stronger than ever. This is when you buy, not sell.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETH; dismisses loss narrative and calls current levels a buy, not a sell.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is silly. Ethereum is not going to zero and @fundstrat will come back stronger than ever. This is when you buy, not sell.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING: BitMine's, $BMNR, unrealized ETH losses rise to -$6.6 billion, now on track to become the 5th largest documented principal trading loss in history if sold.\n\nUnrealized losses are now at ~66% of the size of Archegos in 2021, the largest loss ever recorded. https://t.co/JLHqMDLL1M", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1576616843336549, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1576616843336549, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04136546776326955, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04136546776326955, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "ret_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10061061556822382, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10061061556822382, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "ret_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13255261863327006, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13255261863327006, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "ret_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0738377981132724, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0738377981132724, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15423752289120995, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13255261863327006, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13255261863327006, "price_path": [0.461, 0.4129, 0.4653, 0.5221, 0.4568, 0.4559, 0.379, 0.3239, 0.2901, 0.3321, 0.2895, 0.2079, 0.1797, 0.2595, 0.2617, 0.2915, 0.2859, 0.2934, 0.1944, 0.2788, 0.3614, 0.337, 0.2901, 0.3331, 0.4166, 0.4185, 0.3808, 0.3156, 0.2644, 0.2644, 0.2078, 0.2059, 0.2703, 0.2823, 0.264, 0.2565, 0.2385, 0.248, 0.2517, 0.2675, 0.2656, 0.2798, 0.3327, 0.3761, 0.4059, 0.3508, 0.3242, 0.3151, 0.3191, 0.4171, 0.431, 0.4149, 0.4057, 0.3593, 0.2522, 0.2707, 0.2582, 0.2597, 0.2483, 0.2891, 0.2825, 0.2021, 0.1527, 0.0, -0.0498, -0.0857, -0.2229, -0.1198, -0.1027, -0.1386, -0.1722, -0.1695, -0.1262, -0.1478, -0.1502, -0.1665, -0.169, -0.1601, -0.2085, -0.2096, -0.1236, -0.1355, -0.1764, -0.1353, -0.1542, -0.0929, -0.1163, -0.156, -0.1499, -0.1311, -0.1249, -0.1157, -0.1074, 0.0029, -0.0112, -0.06, -0.0883, -0.0844, -0.082, -0.0805, -0.0752, -0.1215, -0.1506, -0.1369, -0.1022, -0.0877, -0.1226, -0.1241, -0.1009, -0.0437, -0.0657, -0.0662, -0.0423, 0.0112, -0.009, 0.0064, 0.0018, 0.0327, -0.0124, -0.007, 0.0135, -0.0055, -0.0122, -0.0176, -0.0234, -0.0388, -0.0376, -0.021, 0.0009, 0.0072, 0.0027, -0.0227, -0.0159, -0.0021, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0271, -0.0516, -0.0921, -0.1, -0.0927, -0.0908, -0.1193, -0.0994, -0.1167, -0.1374, -0.1437, -0.1418, -0.1455, -0.2076, -0.2272, -0.2452, -0.3257, -0.2791, -0.3014, -0.3089, -0.2867, -0.2897, -0.2343, -0.2363, -0.2544, -0.2708, -0.2702, -0.2635, -0.2896, -0.309, -0.3325, -0.3275, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019833658589450514", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T18:00:45+00:00", "symbol": "RR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's bigger now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long RR and has added to the position.", "resolved_tickers": ["RR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DrJebaim It’s bigger now. Will post about it again next week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred How's $RR position holding on? That was a brave purchase ngl.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheBigBerbowski", "ret_m1d": -0.10588238924019788, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10588238924019788, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08705873063444192, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07810794038327251, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823658605755966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02777444885692537, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02352938866532872, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02352938866532872, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018707661948751397, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02052662824444096, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821726716577324, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0030027604208877623, "ret_p1w": -0.12352943073919431, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12352943073919431, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1106858860424007, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12924611049272716, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843544696793607, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0057166797535328495, "ret_p1m": -0.2882352916427138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2882352916427138, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27035278931314544, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2753008619355717, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788250232956834, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012934429707142092, "ret_p3m": -0.19117649327512365, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19117649327512365, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2566453602199881, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21535367040043285, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546886694486442, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0241771771253092, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2882352916427138, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.27035278931314544, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2753008619355717, "price_path": [0.0676, 0.0441, -0.0412, -0.0147, -0.0824, -0.0471, -0.0559, -0.1059, -0.1176, -0.0382, 0.0529, 0.0176, 0.0176, 0.0441, -0.0147, 0.0471, 0.2412, 0.35, 0.3118, 0.2882, 0.2765, 0.2206, 0.3765, 0.2118, 0.0353, 0.0676, 0.0088, 0.0029, 0.0412, 0.0235, -0.0088, 0.0735, 0.0735, -0.0118, -0.0662, -0.0912, -0.05, -0.05, 0.0235, 0.1147, 0.0618, 0.0059, 0.1559, 0.1147, 0.15, 0.15, 0.2, 0.1147, 0.1412, 0.1412, 0.1353, 0.2824, 0.2853, 0.2147, 0.1206, 0.6206, 0.4941, 0.1824, 0.0529, 0.0618, 0.0882, 0.0176, -0.1059, 0.0, 0.0235, -0.0265, -0.0765, -0.1515, -0.1235, -0.1235, -0.1882, -0.1794, -0.1824, -0.2324, -0.2294, -0.2441, -0.2147, -0.1941, -0.2676, -0.2382, -0.2912, -0.2559, -0.2882, -0.3059, -0.2882, -0.2735, -0.2853, -0.3118, -0.3206, -0.3206, -0.3088, -0.3176, -0.3412, -0.3647, -0.3706, -0.3735, -0.3588, -0.3824, -0.4118, -0.4471, -0.3853, -0.4059, -0.3941, -0.3941, -0.4059, -0.4353, -0.3853, -0.4147, -0.4088, -0.3882, -0.3441, -0.2912, -0.2971, -0.2912, -0.2441, -0.2559, -0.1853, -0.2471, -0.2765, -0.2588, -0.2912, -0.3029, -0.2765, -0.2559, -0.2794, -0.2912, -0.1912, -0.2118, -0.2235, -0.1912, -0.2441, -0.1706, -0.1676, -0.2118, -0.2559, -0.3015, -0.2765, -0.2118, -0.2118, -0.2118, -0.0676, -0.0412, -0.0441, -0.1118, -0.0882, -0.1206, -0.2074, -0.1971, -0.2926, -0.2838, -0.3235, -0.3529, -0.3235, -0.3735, -0.3706, -0.3912, -0.3882, -0.3706, -0.3706, -0.3676, -0.4059, -0.4382, -0.4441, -0.4294, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021736558173495712", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-12T00:02:12+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It goes sub $10", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Predicts BMNR goes below $10, extending its -70% decline further.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@StockTrader_Max It goes sub $10", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "90% of fintwit were bullish on $BMNR at $60 a share, the stock is now -70% from those levels \n\n90% of fintwit were bullish on $MSTR at $500 a share, the stock is now -79% from those levels \n\n90% of fintwit were bullish on $BTC at $120,000, the asset is now -50% from those levels", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockTrader_Max", "ret_m1d": -0.013677834898393137, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013677834898393137, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02936910685522187, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03399126956962861, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020313434671235475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.061803410714294404, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.061803410714294404, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06109891161117531, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06257727569495375, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007738649806593445, "ret_p1w": 0.011144848830058063, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011144848830058063, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006433117037604186, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002245624868649543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00889922396140852, "ret_p1m": 0.04052690748151222, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04052690748151222, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06838668568048034, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09469596735317387, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05416905987166165, "ret_p3m": 0.09777103989634228, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09777103989634228, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.011276797478759315, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09476967052156504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0030013693747772408, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04052690748151222, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06838668568048034, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09469596735317387, "price_path": [0.5674, 0.6348, 0.4778, 0.3177, 0.3167, 0.575, 0.4641, 0.6074, 0.6074, 0.6773, 0.4656, 0.616, 0.7047, 0.8394, 0.7249, 0.8156, 0.9863, 1.0466, 0.9443, 0.766, 0.5679, 0.5902, 0.4853, 0.4402, 0.5887, 0.575, 0.5086, 0.4868, 0.4868, 0.4341, 0.4458, 0.4043, 0.3754, 0.3754, 0.58, 0.6895, 0.6378, 0.538, 0.5846, 0.5228, 0.577, 0.5816, 0.6545, 0.5638, 0.5785, 0.5785, 0.4306, 0.4868, 0.464, 0.459, 0.4083, 0.4858, 0.501, 0.3526, 0.2715, 0.155, 0.1322, 0.0284, -0.1185, 0.037, 0.0866, 0.0106, -0.0137, 0.0, 0.0618, 0.0618, 0.0208, 0.0041, 0.0111, 0.0198, -0.0263, -0.0152, 0.0892, 0.0355, -0.0385, 0.0334, -0.0086, 0.0699, 0.0309, -0.0436, 0.0486, 0.0502, 0.0664, 0.041, 0.0405, 0.1849, 0.1768, 0.0846, 0.0709, 0.0608, 0.0775, 0.0537, 0.076, -0.0137, -0.0684, -0.0729, 0.002, -0.0025, -0.0147, -0.0147, 0.0436, 0.0218, 0.0902, 0.0679, 0.078, 0.0897, 0.0881, 0.1317, 0.1368, 0.1626, 0.1413, 0.0998, 0.1809, 0.1145, 0.1216, 0.0917, 0.0881, 0.0466, 0.0841, 0.1084, 0.1545, 0.1702, 0.1606, 0.1145, 0.1231, 0.1662, 0.0978, 0.0729, 0.1145, 0.0066, -0.0512, -0.0562, -0.0177, -0.0066, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0274, -0.0466, -0.0248, -0.0238, -0.0451, -0.0897, -0.1439, -0.0937, -0.1945, -0.1464, -0.1793, -0.2077, -0.1631, -0.1839, -0.1332, -0.1788, -0.2047, -0.1824, -0.1824, -0.1966, -0.2335, -0.2898, -0.3252, -0.3131, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017602737152917807", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T14:15:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC catches up homie. Don't overthink it and get too cute.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC will converge upward with QQQ; author endorses the long side of the correlation catch-up.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives BTC catches up homie. Don’t overthink it and get too cute.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC and $QQQ correlation Chart Update today:\n\nI'm not saying they will converge anytime soon. But I think they will converge at some point down the road...\n\nI just cannot envision an environment where QQQ continues to drift higher and Bitcoin continues to drift lower into https://t.co/XF2AKZHnZb", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "ret_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "ret_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "ret_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11041930534472533, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11041930534472533, "price_path": [0.3203, 0.2874, 0.3137, 0.347, 0.3089, 0.292, 0.267, 0.1996, 0.1704, 0.1812, 0.1624, 0.1009, 0.0814, 0.1218, 0.11, 0.1503, 0.1601, 0.1554, 0.097, 0.1609, 0.1886, 0.171, 0.136, 0.1519, 0.178, 0.1694, 0.1757, 0.1472, 0.0982, 0.1163, 0.0947, 0.0861, 0.1196, 0.1246, 0.1109, 0.1134, 0.1086, 0.1095, 0.1074, 0.1238, 0.1121, 0.1276, 0.143, 0.1931, 0.1911, 0.1604, 0.1568, 0.1503, 0.1589, 0.2114, 0.2318, 0.2143, 0.214, 0.1762, 0.1223, 0.1358, 0.1369, 0.1374, 0.1217, 0.1323, 0.1334, 0.0746, 0.0691, 0.0, -0.0388, -0.072, -0.2032, -0.1034, -0.1089, -0.1257, -0.1486, -0.1584, -0.1249, -0.1251, -0.1423, -0.1558, -0.1491, -0.1358, -0.1788, -0.1857, -0.1363, -0.1428, -0.1628, -0.126, -0.1321, -0.076, -0.0997, -0.1341, -0.1307, -0.1113, -0.1078, -0.1041, -0.0981, -0.0486, -0.0606, -0.0946, -0.1115, -0.1038, -0.0988, -0.1038, -0.0938, -0.1258, -0.157, -0.1525, -0.1329, -0.1348, -0.15, -0.1494, -0.1249, -0.0858, -0.0961, -0.088, -0.0726, -0.0534, -0.0573, -0.0494, -0.0449, -0.0198, -0.0358, -0.0297, -0.0062, -0.0053, -0.0157, -0.0168, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0303, -0.0065, 0.0145, 0.0284, 0.0348, 0.0168, 0.019, 0.0386, 0.0227, 0.0075, 0.03, 0.0048, -0.022, -0.0246, -0.0156, -0.0146, -0.0407, -0.0179, -0.0364, -0.0552, -0.0655, -0.0676, -0.0936, -0.1523, -0.1865, -0.1892, -0.2258, -0.1982, -0.2166, -0.2191, -0.1922, -0.1925, -0.1576, -0.1663, -0.1814, -0.2007, -0.1925, -0.1873, -0.2036, -0.2249, -0.241, -0.2373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010543630625177624", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T02:45:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "when BTC goes to $200,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $200K+; Metaplanet is best BTC equity exposure and will outperform MSTR on that move.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@USKWCG8 @valerijatrades1 It had the potential to surprise the market most. Metaplanet is a great BTC exposure and will probably outperform MSTR when BTC goes to $200,000+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @valerijatrades1 Better than MTPLF?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "USKWCG8", "ret_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24124919842577086, "price_path": [0.2148, 0.1863, 0.1675, 0.2127, 0.1895, 0.1809, 0.207, 0.2176, 0.2514, 0.2386, 0.2068, 0.1877, 0.2014, 0.1684, 0.114, 0.1393, 0.1108, 0.1336, 0.1623, 0.1294, 0.1148, 0.0933, 0.0351, 0.0099, 0.0193, 0.003, -0.05, -0.0669, -0.032, -0.0422, -0.0074, 0.001, -0.003, -0.0534, 0.0017, 0.0256, 0.0104, -0.0198, -0.0061, 0.0164, 0.0091, 0.0145, -0.0101, -0.0523, -0.0367, -0.0554, -0.0628, -0.0339, -0.0296, -0.0414, -0.0393, -0.0434, -0.0427, -0.0445, -0.0303, -0.0404, -0.027, -0.0137, 0.0295, 0.0278, 0.0013, -0.0018, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0453, 0.0629, 0.0478, 0.0475, 0.0149, -0.0316, -0.0199, -0.019, -0.0185, -0.0321, -0.0229, -0.022, -0.0727, -0.0775, -0.1371, -0.1706, -0.1993, -0.3124, -0.2263, -0.2311, -0.2456, -0.2654, -0.2738, -0.2449, -0.2451, -0.2599, -0.2716, -0.2658, -0.2543, -0.2914, -0.2973, -0.2548, -0.2603, -0.2776, -0.2458, -0.2511, -0.2027, -0.2232, -0.2528, -0.2499, -0.2332, -0.2302, -0.227, -0.2218, -0.1791, -0.1894, -0.2187, -0.2334, -0.2267, -0.2224, -0.2267, -0.218, -0.2456, -0.2725, -0.2687, -0.2518, -0.2535, -0.2665, -0.266, -0.2449, -0.2111, -0.2201, -0.213, -0.1997, -0.1832, -0.1865, -0.1797, -0.1759, -0.1542, -0.168, -0.1627, -0.1424, -0.1417, -0.1506, -0.1516, -0.1628, -0.1691, -0.1633, -0.1427, -0.1246, -0.1126, -0.1071, -0.1226, -0.1207, -0.1038, -0.1175, -0.1307, -0.1112, -0.133, -0.1561, -0.1584, -0.1506, -0.1497, -0.1722, -0.1526, -0.1685, -0.1848, -0.1936, -0.1954, -0.2179, -0.2685, -0.298, -0.3004, -0.3319, -0.3082, -0.324, -0.3262, -0.303, -0.3032, -0.2731, -0.2806, -0.2936, -0.3103, -0.3032, -0.2987, -0.3128, -0.3311, -0.3451, -0.3419, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010543630625177624", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-12T02:45:30+00:00", "symbol": "Metaplanet", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Metaplanet is a great BTC exposure and will probably outperform MSTR when BTC goes to $200,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $200K+; Metaplanet is best BTC equity exposure and will outperform MSTR on that move.", "resolved_tickers": ["3350.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Metaplanet Tokyo Stock Exchange 3350.T", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@USKWCG8 @valerijatrades1 It had the potential to surprise the market most. Metaplanet is a great BTC exposure and will probably outperform MSTR when BTC goes to $200,000+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @valerijatrades1 Better than MTPLF?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "USKWCG8", "ret_m1d": 0.022727272727272707, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022727272727272707, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024295243335149985, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023610640390553606, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008833676632808984, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14583333333333326, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14583333333333326, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1478328400987151, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.14832287994426496, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024895466109317033, "ret_p1w": -0.013257575757575801, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013257575757575801, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008222751875346268, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004570826013785556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017828401771361357, "ret_p1m": -0.321969696969697, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.321969696969697, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.31759660893790964, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2722588583929574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.049710838576739635, "ret_p3m": -0.3977272727272727, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3977272727272727, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37846093538974757, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3049427871240741, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09278448560319863, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.321969696969697, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.31759660893790964, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2722588583929574, "price_path": [-0.1856, -0.2386, -0.1402, -0.197, -0.2045, -0.1932, -0.1117, -0.0758, -0.0549, -0.1004, -0.0777, -0.0701, -0.0701, -0.1477, -0.1648, -0.197, -0.214, -0.1913, -0.2178, -0.1951, -0.2481, -0.2424, -0.2746, -0.3598, -0.2898, -0.267, -0.3239, -0.3239, -0.3087, -0.3068, -0.2614, -0.2424, -0.2803, -0.3239, -0.2576, -0.25, -0.2557, -0.2311, -0.2045, -0.108, -0.2045, -0.1629, -0.1723, -0.2462, -0.2348, -0.2311, -0.1799, -0.1458, -0.1269, -0.1231, -0.1705, -0.1591, -0.1667, -0.233, -0.233, -0.233, -0.233, -0.1136, -0.0341, 0.0057, -0.0644, 0.0227, 0.0227, 0.0, 0.1458, 0.161, 0.1193, 0.0246, -0.0133, -0.0246, -0.0341, -0.0303, -0.0985, -0.0625, -0.1004, -0.1364, -0.178, -0.2386, -0.2311, -0.2614, -0.3182, -0.3561, -0.3277, -0.322, -0.322, -0.3617, -0.3845, -0.3826, -0.3598, -0.3826, -0.4129, -0.3958, -0.3958, -0.4318, -0.4337, -0.3731, -0.3864, -0.3902, -0.3693, -0.4015, -0.3106, -0.3542, -0.3807, -0.3295, -0.3011, -0.3333, -0.2936, -0.2595, -0.3485, -0.3277, -0.3939, -0.3939, -0.4091, -0.4148, -0.3977, -0.4148, -0.4242, -0.4318, -0.4432, -0.4167, -0.428, -0.4356, -0.428, -0.4375, -0.3996, -0.4186, -0.3977, -0.4148, -0.3807, -0.3807, -0.3504, -0.3466, -0.3693, -0.358, -0.3636, -0.3333, -0.358, -0.339, -0.3788, -0.3788, -0.3826, -0.3845, -0.3845, -0.3845, -0.3845, -0.3144, -0.3485, -0.3428, -0.3561, -0.3807, -0.4148, -0.3788, -0.4242, -0.4072, -0.4223, -0.4167, -0.3883, -0.4205, -0.447, -0.4508, -0.4602, -0.4489, -0.4413, -0.4943, -0.5189, -0.5341, -0.5549, -0.5511, -0.5398, -0.5663, -0.5758, -0.5606, -0.5076, -0.5076, -0.517, -0.5606, -0.5549, -0.536, -0.5606, -0.5606, -0.5833, -0.6269, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007636300384612815", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-04T02:12:48+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm continuing to bet on you more than I'm betting on pretty much anything else on the planet", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Highest-conviction long on IREN; author says it's his top position above virtually everything else.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@danroberts0101 And I’m continuing to bet on you more than I’m betting on pretty much anything else on the planet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "At $IREN, we’re continuing to bet that demand for energy-intensive compute compounds faster than real-world infrastructure can be built - and we’re positioning the business accordingly.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "danroberts0101", "ret_m1d": -0.11484246937744758, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11484246937744758, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1082263271467172, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09346356716790838, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "bench_c_m1d": -0.021378902209539197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04830020211410457, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04830020211410457, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.054247360413475665, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.053110525375478, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004810323261373428, "ret_p1w": 0.043325043115013395, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.043325043115013395, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03250673961472317, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05829029522683049, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014965252111817096, "ret_p1m": 0.12748751030675964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12748751030675964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12485565007639998, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1738085679197927, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04632105761303307, "ret_p3m": -0.2792288713106703, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2792288713106703, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23546261847186045, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1661805849797634, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11304828633090691, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12748751030675964, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12485565007639998, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1738085679197927, "price_path": [0.2456, 0.3236, 0.239, 0.3296, 0.442, 0.4092, 0.2817, 0.2587, 0.2276, 0.1442, 0.0744, 0.158, 0.3039, 0.3472, 0.2939, 0.2525, 0.2069, 0.2593, 0.4044, 0.3812, 0.584, 0.3881, 0.2931, 0.2473, 0.1895, 0.1546, 0.0085, -0.0388, -0.0172, 0.0126, -0.05, -0.0989, -0.124, 0.0052, -0.016, 0.0044, 0.0044, -0.0089, 0.0052, -0.1476, -0.0887, -0.0371, -0.0732, -0.0394, -0.029, -0.0896, -0.0891, -0.1681, -0.2645, -0.2415, -0.2998, -0.2579, -0.1725, -0.1285, -0.1279, -0.1298, -0.1298, -0.1646, -0.183, -0.2061, -0.217, -0.217, -0.1148, 0.0, -0.0483, -0.0957, -0.0531, -0.0458, 0.0433, 0.0985, 0.0962, 0.0757, 0.1986, 0.1986, 0.1248, 0.1086, 0.0833, 0.175, 0.0854, 0.2436, 0.3047, 0.2405, 0.114, 0.1003, 0.1275, -0.0684, -0.1752, -0.1329, -0.0433, -0.1101, -0.1155, -0.1702, -0.1248, -0.1248, -0.1507, -0.1277, -0.1026, -0.1712, -0.1219, -0.0578, -0.0873, -0.0829, -0.1511, -0.142, -0.1947, -0.0912, -0.1682, -0.2392, -0.1949, -0.2098, -0.1298, -0.1424, -0.1381, -0.0684, -0.1095, -0.125, -0.1364, -0.1441, -0.126, -0.1476, -0.1412, -0.2237, -0.2726, -0.3445, -0.2894, -0.2933, -0.2792, -0.2792, -0.2718, -0.2591, -0.2365, -0.2318, -0.1849, -0.1072, -0.018, 0.012, -0.0112, -0.0025, 0.01, -0.0636, 0.0031, 0.0784, 0.0498, 0.0025, -0.0788, -0.1115, -0.0566, -0.0535, 0.0257, 0.1347, 0.2641, 0.1785, 0.2687, 0.1432, 0.1725, 0.1437, 0.2106, 0.0974, 0.046, -0.0104, 0.0927, 0.2036, 0.1781, 0.1781, 0.2392, 0.4063, 0.3277, 0.3172, 0.3543, 0.3806, 0.3574, 0.2823, 0.1267, 0.227, 0.1198, 0.068, 0.1756, 0.239, 0.2614, 0.2268, 0.2046, 0.243, 0.243, 0.1789, 0.1343, 0.0427, -0.0104, -0.0214, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990863624483844347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T19:24:11+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "nearly 100% certain that we are about to see a major upturn in the fortunes of the entire Bitcoin ecosystem", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long Bitcoin: author sees a clear, familiar pattern signaling a major upturn for the entire BTC ecosystem.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I index way above average at pattern recognition and I’m nearly 100% certain that we are about to see a major upturn in the fortunes of the entire Bitcoin ecosystem. I’ve seen this pattern before and it has rarely been this obvious.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009198605147184402, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009198605147184402, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017667274594413307, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017667274594413307, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015953746750565823, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015953746750565823, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019816923393842445, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019816923393842445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "ret_p1w": -0.06032331617784503, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06032331617784503, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08295696665042118, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08295696665042118, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02263365047257615, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02263365047257615, "ret_p1m": -0.0732135508633106, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0732135508633106, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0903629934083009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0903629934083009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "ret_p3m": -0.2591858293067022, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2591858293067022, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29506705424584, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29506705424584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "ret_p6m": -0.14708900793581414, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14708900793581414, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27806809330385074, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27806809330385074, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0732135508633106, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0903629934083009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0903629934083009, "price_path": [0.2095, 0.2574, 0.1848, 0.2028, 0.1966, 0.2108, 0.1663, 0.1754, 0.1964, 0.202, 0.1912, 0.1904, 0.2057, 0.1999, 0.226, 0.2427, 0.2491, 0.242, 0.2571, 0.253, 0.2602, 0.2447, 0.213, 0.2051, 0.2193, 0.1732, 0.1804, 0.2308, 0.2271, 0.2765, 0.2984, 0.3154, 0.3422, 0.3066, 0.3271, 0.3094, 0.218, 0.2402, 0.217, 0.1919, 0.1639, 0.1454, 0.1898, 0.1671, 0.1586, 0.1842, 0.1946, 0.2278, 0.2153, 0.184, 0.1652, 0.1787, 0.1463, 0.093, 0.1177, 0.0899, 0.1121, 0.1404, 0.1081, 0.0938, 0.0726, 0.0156, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.016, -0.068, -0.0845, -0.0503, -0.0603, -0.0261, -0.0179, -0.0218, -0.0713, -0.0172, 0.0062, -0.0087, -0.0383, -0.0248, -0.0028, -0.01, -0.0047, -0.0288, -0.0702, -0.0549, -0.0732, -0.0805, -0.0521, -0.048, -0.0595, -0.0574, -0.0615, -0.0608, -0.0625, -0.0486, -0.0585, -0.0454, -0.0323, 0.01, 0.0084, -0.0177, -0.0207, -0.0262, -0.0189, 0.0255, 0.0428, 0.028, 0.0277, -0.0043, -0.0499, -0.0384, -0.0375, -0.0371, -0.0504, -0.0414, -0.0405, -0.0902, -0.0949, -0.1534, -0.1863, -0.2144, -0.3254, -0.2409, -0.2456, -0.2599, -0.2793, -0.2875, -0.2592, -0.2593, -0.2739, -0.2854, -0.2796, -0.2684, -0.3048, -0.3106, -0.2688, -0.2743, -0.2912, -0.2601, -0.2653, -0.2177, -0.2378, -0.2669, -0.2641, -0.2477, -0.2447, -0.2416, -0.2365, -0.1946, -0.2047, -0.2335, -0.2478, -0.2413, -0.2371, -0.2413, -0.2328, -0.2599, -0.2863, -0.2825, -0.2659, -0.2676, -0.2804, -0.2799, -0.2592, -0.226, -0.2348, -0.2279, -0.2148, -0.1986, -0.2019, -0.1952, -0.1915, -0.1702, -0.1837, -0.1786, -0.1586, -0.1579, -0.1667, -0.1676, -0.1786, -0.1848, -0.1791, -0.1589, -0.1412, -0.1293, -0.124, -0.1392, -0.1373, -0.1207, -0.1342, -0.1471]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2014484541310992464", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T23:45:16+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am thinking about buying more Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is considering adding to a Bitcoin position; soft but real forward bullish lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is going to surprise many of you so I am deliberating a bit over it and having second thoughts about sharing this thought publicly. But it’s ultimately too important and probably needs to be said out loud: I am thinking about buying more Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0009556208723736637, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009556208723736637, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.000593017212507152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.000593017212507152, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036260365986651166, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00036260365986651166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00046300848627667257, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00046300848627667257, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004615223275596048, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004615223275596048, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00507823176187272, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00507823176187272, "ret_p1w": -0.05478127433698177, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05478127433698177, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05875682774601709, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05875682774601709, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975553409035326, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003975553409035326, "ret_p1m": -0.2398439848281323, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2398439848281323, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22991996867878195, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22991996867878195, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.009924016149350345, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009924016149350345, "ret_p3m": -0.14653834351247563, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14653834351247563, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18124725013735943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18124725013735943, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.034708906624883795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034708906624883795, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2398439848281323, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.22991996867878195, "alpha_c_stated": -0.22991996867878195, "price_path": [0.2756, 0.2626, 0.2302, 0.2106, 0.2246, 0.191, 0.1356, 0.1613, 0.1323, 0.1555, 0.1848, 0.1513, 0.1364, 0.1144, 0.0552, 0.0294, 0.039, 0.0224, -0.0316, -0.0489, -0.0133, -0.0237, 0.0118, 0.0204, 0.0163, -0.0351, 0.0211, 0.0454, 0.0299, -0.0008, 0.0132, 0.0361, 0.0286, 0.0341, 0.009, -0.034, -0.0181, -0.0371, -0.0447, -0.0152, -0.0109, -0.0229, -0.0207, -0.0249, -0.0242, -0.026, -0.0115, -0.0218, -0.0082, 0.0054, 0.0494, 0.0477, 0.0206, 0.0175, 0.0117, 0.0193, 0.0655, 0.0835, 0.0681, 0.0678, 0.0346, -0.0129, -0.001, 0.0, 0.0005, -0.0134, -0.004, -0.0031, -0.0548, -0.0596, -0.1204, -0.1546, -0.1838, -0.2991, -0.2113, -0.2162, -0.231, -0.2512, -0.2598, -0.2303, -0.2305, -0.2456, -0.2575, -0.2516, -0.2398, -0.2777, -0.2837, -0.2404, -0.246, -0.2636, -0.2312, -0.2366, -0.1873, -0.2081, -0.2384, -0.2354, -0.2184, -0.2153, -0.212, -0.2067, -0.1632, -0.1737, -0.2036, -0.2185, -0.2117, -0.2073, -0.2118, -0.2029, -0.2311, -0.2585, -0.2545, -0.2373, -0.239, -0.2523, -0.2519, -0.2303, -0.1959, -0.205, -0.1978, -0.1842, -0.1674, -0.1708, -0.1638, -0.16, -0.1379, -0.1519, -0.1465, -0.1259, -0.1251, -0.1342, -0.1352, -0.1466, -0.153, -0.1471, -0.1261, -0.1077, -0.0954, -0.0898, -0.1057, -0.1037, -0.0865, -0.1004, -0.1139, -0.094, -0.1162, -0.1398, -0.1421, -0.1342, -0.1333, -0.1562, -0.1362, -0.1524, -0.169, -0.178, -0.1799, -0.2028, -0.2544, -0.2845, -0.2868, -0.319, -0.2948, -0.311, -0.3131, -0.2895, -0.2897, -0.259, -0.2667, -0.2799, -0.297, -0.2897, -0.2852, -0.2995, -0.3182, -0.3324, -0.3291, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1993767765690450236", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T19:44:12+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I really don't want Google to acquire Cipher because I think we will make more money if CIFR remains independent for the next decade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CIFR as independent company; believes it will appreciate more over the next decade than if acquired by Google.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'll be honest. I really don't want Google to acquire Cipher because I think we will make more money if CIFR remains independent for the next decade. But I wouldn't blame them for trying to do a deal now before things get a lot more expensive.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08511745134393378, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08511745134393378, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07826129215485877, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07341834510123624, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006856159189075006, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011699106242697543, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.027154071442408778, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027154071442408778, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0333481742147157, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0490372086426083, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02188313720019952, "ret_p1m": -0.15300262994995573, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15300262994995573, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17174674007442092, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1856469799272723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03264434997731658, "ret_p3m": -0.20522190233876803, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20522190233876803, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2121757583103503, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18295181795534743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "bench_c_p3m": -0.022270084383420596, "ret_p6m": 0.12375983741222085, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12375983741222085, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02478828845372827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13843833784678217, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.262198175259003, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.601, -0.601, -0.5655, -0.5765, -0.6136, -0.6073, -0.5969, -0.5185, -0.4648, -0.4794, -0.4334, -0.4334, -0.399, -0.3535, -0.3812, -0.3587, -0.271, -0.2611, -0.2616, -0.3911, -0.401, -0.3394, -0.3426, -0.342, -0.2789, -0.2324, -0.199, -0.1775, -0.0809, -0.0606, -0.1138, 0.0621, 0.0909, 0.0982, -0.0225, -0.0204, 0.0397, -0.0561, -0.1587, -0.099, 0.0789, 0.0726, 0.0423, 0.023, -0.0042, -0.0261, 0.1885, 0.1755, 0.2903, 0.1337, 0.0804, 0.0261, -0.0251, -0.0924, -0.2204, -0.2501, -0.2507, -0.2386, -0.2366, -0.2397, -0.2611, -0.1274, -0.0851, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0627, 0.0282, -0.0789, -0.0272, 0.0355, 0.0068, 0.0172, 0.0214, -0.035, -0.0141, -0.1097, -0.2303, -0.2172, -0.2486, -0.2089, -0.1535, -0.1467, -0.1692, -0.153, -0.153, -0.2068, -0.2125, -0.2381, -0.2292, -0.2292, -0.154, -0.0517, -0.0841, -0.1603, -0.1358, -0.1316, -0.0768, -0.047, -0.0533, -0.0851, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0642, -0.0747, -0.0919, -0.0825, -0.1389, -0.0209, -0.0094, -0.0757, -0.1666, -0.1744, -0.1509, -0.2559, -0.3368, -0.2308, -0.1248, -0.107, -0.1499, -0.1593, -0.1426, -0.1426, -0.1833, -0.1948, -0.1749, -0.235, -0.2052, -0.106, -0.1326, -0.1394, -0.1854, -0.177, -0.2319, -0.1624, -0.2089, -0.2888, -0.2527, -0.271, -0.2632, -0.2841, -0.2648, -0.2094, -0.212, -0.2339, -0.2355, -0.2684, -0.2225, -0.223, -0.1708, -0.2507, -0.2822, -0.3726, -0.3279, -0.3399, -0.3305, -0.3305, -0.3029, -0.2684, -0.1948, -0.1457, -0.1368, -0.0726, -0.0366, -0.0601, -0.0945, 0.0115, 0.0073, -0.058, 0.0151, -0.024, -0.0496, -0.0517, -0.0987, -0.1164, -0.0736, -0.1102, -0.0658, 0.154, 0.1441, 0.0802, 0.0731, 0.059, 0.0475, 0.1091, 0.164, 0.0616, -0.0016, -0.0183, 0.0172, 0.1238]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019150383445340250", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T20:45:40+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought more today. 7.2M shares now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively adding to position; now holds 7.2M shares, confirming continued bullish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jessica__Elle I bought more today. 7.2M shares now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I highly doubt @mikealfred is still buying $ASST", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jessica__Elle", "ret_m1d": 0.15202704117714338, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.15202704117714338, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14715961032809588, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15999583770510895, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004867430849047505, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00796879652796556, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.16722976945890256, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.16722976945890256, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.15474048539857832, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15481318465293237, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489284060324235, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012416584805970188, "ret_p1w": -0.31672296889120866, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.31672296889120866, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.32513172327404705, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.29411372907188404, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00840875438283839, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02260923981932461, "ret_p1m": -0.21875001006835204, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21875001006835204, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21163821188918774, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1681571047381083, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111798179164297, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05059290533024374, "ret_p3m": 0.3813344029950527, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3813344029950527, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33210479265509973, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4205274219604932, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04922961033995299, "bench_c_p3m": -0.039193018965440474, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21875001006835204, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.21163821188918774, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1681571047381083, "price_path": [1.5507, 1.5, 1.2973, 1.1791, 0.9426, 0.8243, 0.7568, 0.8919, 0.7736, 0.6605, 0.723, 0.9088, 0.875, 0.9088, 0.9088, 0.8919, 0.7736, 0.7483, 0.7736, 0.6503, 0.522, 0.6639, 0.723, 0.6892, 0.5574, 0.4578, 0.3328, 0.4527, 0.3868, 0.4037, 0.5186, 0.4628, 0.3598, 0.4561, 0.4561, 0.3767, 0.3057, 0.2365, 0.2466, 0.2466, 0.4611, 0.7399, 0.7568, 0.723, 0.7061, 0.598, 0.8581, 0.6385, 0.7399, 0.6402, 0.6014, 0.6014, 0.4949, 0.5068, 0.4696, 0.4713, 0.3277, 0.3834, 0.353, 0.326, 0.3868, 0.2213, 0.152, 0.0, -0.1672, 0.0063, -0.1432, -0.2247, -0.3167, -0.3497, -0.2965, -0.2965, -0.3091, -0.3201, -0.3142, -0.3117, -0.3784, -0.3948, -0.2787, -0.3083, -0.3294, -0.2627, -0.2965, -0.1875, -0.2188, -0.2652, -0.2812, -0.2416, -0.2204, -0.2542, -0.1951, -0.0828, -0.0625, -0.1524, -0.1334, -0.1537, -0.1182, -0.1613, -0.0836, -0.1208, -0.1677, -0.2086, -0.1537, -0.1419, -0.1765, -0.1765, -0.1453, -0.2175, -0.1343, -0.1858, -0.1022, -0.022, 0.0498, 0.1427, 0.1807, 0.3184, 0.3193, 0.2931, 0.4071, 0.3682, 0.3345, 0.3252, 0.2905, 0.2171, 0.2973, 0.3775, 0.3813, 0.3944, 0.375, 0.3057, 0.3446, 0.516, 0.4417, 0.4139, 0.4958, 0.4181, 0.3336, 0.3649, 0.4341, 0.565, 0.538, 0.538, 0.5287, 0.5051, 0.5034, 0.4924, 0.4527, 0.3615, 0.2449, 0.2686, 0.1757, 0.2846, 0.2002, 0.2188, 0.2314, 0.2796, 0.4079, 0.3336, 0.3041, 0.2542, 0.2542, 0.2508, 0.1782, 0.06, -0.0372, -0.0422, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011483588014063720", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T17:00:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC and small caps holding up nicely", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Broadening cycle rotation: QQQ weak while BTC and small caps lead; bullish on the rotation trade for the year.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "QQQ looking extremely weak but BTC and small caps holding up nicely. This is EXACTLY the macro rotation you want to see to confirm my thesis that this is a broadening cycle in its early stages. So much freaking money is going to be made this year if positioned correctly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016584731433678224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016584731433678224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021524263385583886, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021524263385583886, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01421799419905967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01421799419905967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016941291707046835, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016941291707046835, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "ret_p1w": -0.07791622343405158, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07791622343405158, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07073165976692886, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07073165976692886, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "ret_p1m": -0.316802818806292, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.316802818806292, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3036358886682944, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3036358886682944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "ret_p3m": -0.23155723798121597, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23155723798121597, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22810076550118608, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22810076550118608, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.316802818806292, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3036358886682944, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3036358886682944, "price_path": [0.0984, 0.1409, 0.1191, 0.111, 0.1356, 0.1455, 0.1773, 0.1653, 0.1354, 0.1174, 0.1303, 0.0992, 0.0481, 0.0718, 0.0451, 0.0665, 0.0935, 0.0626, 0.0488, 0.0286, -0.0261, -0.0499, -0.0411, -0.0564, -0.1062, -0.1221, -0.0893, -0.0989, -0.0661, -0.0582, -0.062, -0.1094, -0.0576, -0.0351, -0.0494, -0.0778, -0.0649, -0.0437, -0.0506, -0.0456, -0.0687, -0.1084, -0.0937, -0.1113, -0.1183, -0.0911, -0.0871, -0.0982, -0.0961, -0.1, -0.0993, -0.101, -0.0877, -0.0972, -0.0846, -0.0721, -0.0314, -0.033, -0.058, -0.0609, -0.0662, -0.0592, -0.0166, 0.0, -0.0142, -0.0145, -0.0451, -0.0889, -0.0779, -0.077, -0.0766, -0.0894, -0.0807, -0.0799, -0.1276, -0.1321, -0.1882, -0.2197, -0.2467, -0.3531, -0.2721, -0.2766, -0.2903, -0.3089, -0.3168, -0.2896, -0.2898, -0.3037, -0.3147, -0.3092, -0.2984, -0.3334, -0.3389, -0.2989, -0.3041, -0.3203, -0.2905, -0.2954, -0.2499, -0.2691, -0.297, -0.2943, -0.2786, -0.2757, -0.2727, -0.2678, -0.2277, -0.2374, -0.265, -0.2787, -0.2724, -0.2684, -0.2725, -0.2643, -0.2903, -0.3156, -0.312, -0.2961, -0.2976, -0.3099, -0.3095, -0.2896, -0.2578, -0.2662, -0.2596, -0.2471, -0.2316, -0.2347, -0.2283, -0.2247, -0.2043, -0.2172, -0.2123, -0.1932, -0.1925, -0.2009, -0.2018, -0.2123, -0.2182, -0.2128, -0.1934, -0.1764, -0.1651, -0.1599, -0.1746, -0.1727, -0.1568, -0.1697, -0.1821, -0.1638, -0.1843, -0.2061, -0.2082, -0.2009, -0.2, -0.2212, -0.2027, -0.2177, -0.233, -0.2413, -0.243, -0.2642, -0.3118, -0.3396, -0.3418, -0.3715, -0.3491, -0.364, -0.366, -0.3443, -0.3444, -0.3161, -0.3232, -0.3354, -0.3511, -0.3445, -0.3402, -0.3535, -0.3707, -0.3839, -0.3808, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011483588014063720", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-14T17:00:33+00:00", "symbol": "small caps", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC and small caps holding up nicely", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Broadening cycle rotation: QQQ weak while BTC and small caps lead; bullish on the rotation trade for the year.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US small caps sector ETF IWM", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "QQQ looking extremely weak but BTC and small caps holding up nicely. This is EXACTLY the macro rotation you want to see to confirm my thesis that this is a broadening cycle in its early stages. So much freaking money is going to be made this year if positioned correctly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006991115532541725, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006991115532541725, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011930647484447388, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011930647484447388, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008814955675468195, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008814955675468195, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006091658167481029, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006091658167481029, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "ret_p1w": 0.017477847048927853, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017477847048927853, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024662410716050576, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024662410716050576, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "ret_p1m": -0.013868357491297667, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013868357491297667, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0007014273533000326, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0007014273533000326, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "ret_p3m": 0.008934651006605066, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.008934651006605066, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.012391123486634958, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012391123486634958, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.013868357491297667, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0007014273533000326, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0007014273533000326, "price_path": [-0.0782, -0.0603, -0.0647, -0.0785, -0.0668, -0.0554, -0.0522, -0.0572, -0.0653, -0.0728, -0.0676, -0.0706, -0.0866, -0.0734, -0.0898, -0.0851, -0.0759, -0.0751, -0.0774, -0.1033, -0.1007, -0.1186, -0.1159, -0.116, -0.1324, -0.1078, -0.0915, -0.0717, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.058, -0.0699, -0.0716, -0.0547, -0.0464, -0.0504, -0.05, -0.048, -0.0351, -0.0238, -0.0387, -0.046, -0.0505, -0.0606, -0.055, -0.0471, -0.0365, -0.0422, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.0447, -0.0506, -0.0576, -0.0647, -0.0647, -0.0548, -0.0397, -0.027, -0.0293, -0.0187, -0.0112, -0.0064, -0.007, 0.0, 0.0088, 0.0098, 0.0098, -0.0023, 0.0175, 0.0251, 0.0062, 0.003, 0.0059, 0.0004, 0.0007, -0.0135, -0.0038, -0.0016, -0.0101, -0.028, 0.007, 0.014, 0.0113, 0.0067, -0.0139, -0.0009, -0.0009, -0.0006, 0.003, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0103, 0.0005, 0.0053, 0.0106, -0.0068, 0.0024, -0.015, -0.0054, -0.0244, -0.0467, -0.0364, -0.0373, -0.0393, -0.06, -0.0631, -0.0542, -0.0482, -0.0636, -0.0574, -0.078, -0.0581, -0.0531, -0.0415, -0.0582, -0.0747, -0.088, -0.056, -0.0501, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.0394, -0.0373, -0.0086, -0.0029, -0.0054, 0.0089, 0.0228, 0.0254, 0.0275, 0.0497, 0.0557, 0.0449, 0.0524, 0.0487, 0.053, 0.0549, 0.0426, 0.0356, 0.058, 0.063, 0.0577, 0.0755, 0.0916, 0.0744, 0.0816, 0.0861, 0.0755, 0.0759, 0.0827, 0.0566, 0.0504, 0.0391, 0.0653, 0.0752, 0.0853, 0.0853, 0.1058, 0.1052, 0.1116, 0.1055, 0.0999, 0.1101, 0.095, 0.1115, 0.072, 0.0814, 0.0849, 0.0736, 0.1054, 0.1151, 0.1242, 0.1144, 0.106, 0.1278, 0.1278, 0.1377, 0.1267, 0.132, 0.1404, 0.144, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995976126947361275", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T21:59:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "YOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC; wealth advisors now pushing ETFs is a multi-year known catalyst and even the parent's bullish view is not bullish enough.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Andre_Dragosch You just heard this today? I’ve known this for 4 years. YOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "You won’t believe what I have just heard.\n\n10s of thousands of wealth advisors have just been unleashed to promote Bitcoin ETFs in the US starting today! \n\nYou are very far away from being as bullish as I am right now.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Andre_Dragosch", "ret_m1d": -0.0550478558391273, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0550478558391273, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05159696602625774, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05159696602625774, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450889812869562, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003450889812869562, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023837949867722363, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023837949867722363, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02310681007973403, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02310681007973403, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000731139787988333, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000731139787988333, "ret_p1w": 0.014685329277969172, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014685329277969172, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009304410397681151, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009304410397681151, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0053809188802880215, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0053809188802880215, "ret_p1m": -0.042051083288163205, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.042051083288163205, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04211686337247322, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04211686337247322, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57800843100187e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 6.57800843100187e-05, "ret_p3m": -0.27879966742000606, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27879966742000606, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2854062015510511, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2854062015510511, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606534131045061, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006606534131045061, "ret_p6m": -0.18615722153053504, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18615722153053504, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29583367890135104, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29583367890135104, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.109676457370816, "bench_c_p6m": 0.109676457370816, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.042051083288163205, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04211686337247322, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04211686337247322, "price_path": [0.2121, 0.2113, 0.2268, 0.2209, 0.2475, 0.2644, 0.271, 0.2638, 0.2791, 0.275, 0.2823, 0.2664, 0.2342, 0.2262, 0.2406, 0.1937, 0.201, 0.2523, 0.2486, 0.2988, 0.3211, 0.3384, 0.3657, 0.3295, 0.3504, 0.3323, 0.2393, 0.2619, 0.2383, 0.2127, 0.1843, 0.1655, 0.2106, 0.1875, 0.1789, 0.2049, 0.2155, 0.2493, 0.2365, 0.2048, 0.1856, 0.1993, 0.1664, 0.1121, 0.1373, 0.1089, 0.1316, 0.1603, 0.1275, 0.1129, 0.0914, 0.0334, 0.0081, 0.0175, 0.0013, -0.0517, -0.0685, -0.0337, -0.0439, -0.0091, -0.0007, -0.0047, -0.055, 0.0, 0.0238, 0.0087, -0.0215, -0.0078, 0.0147, 0.0073, 0.0127, -0.0118, -0.054, -0.0384, -0.057, -0.0645, -0.0355, -0.0313, -0.0431, -0.0409, -0.0451, -0.0443, -0.0461, -0.032, -0.0421, -0.0287, -0.0154, 0.0277, 0.026, -0.0005, -0.0035, -0.0092, -0.0017, 0.0435, 0.0611, 0.046, 0.0457, 0.0132, -0.0333, -0.0216, -0.0207, -0.0202, -0.0337, -0.0246, -0.0237, -0.0743, -0.0791, -0.1386, -0.172, -0.2007, -0.3136, -0.2276, -0.2324, -0.2469, -0.2666, -0.2751, -0.2462, -0.2464, -0.2611, -0.2728, -0.267, -0.2556, -0.2926, -0.2985, -0.256, -0.2616, -0.2788, -0.2471, -0.2524, -0.204, -0.2245, -0.2541, -0.2512, -0.2345, -0.2315, -0.2283, -0.2231, -0.1805, -0.1908, -0.2201, -0.2347, -0.228, -0.2237, -0.228, -0.2194, -0.2469, -0.2738, -0.2699, -0.2531, -0.2548, -0.2678, -0.2673, -0.2462, -0.2125, -0.2214, -0.2144, -0.2011, -0.1846, -0.1879, -0.1811, -0.1773, -0.1557, -0.1694, -0.1642, -0.1439, -0.1432, -0.1521, -0.1531, -0.1642, -0.1705, -0.1647, -0.1442, -0.1261, -0.1141, -0.1086, -0.1241, -0.1222, -0.1053, -0.119, -0.1322, -0.1127, -0.1345, -0.1576, -0.1598, -0.1521, -0.1512, -0.1736, -0.154, -0.1699, -0.1862]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1992684963901378920", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-23T20:01:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if they aren't able to do it today, it means the spot demand is simply too strong and we may gap and go this week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "If manipulation fails to push BTC to $84-85k, spot demand dominates and BTC gaps up this week.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Watch for Binance, Wintermute, and other members of the offshore syndicate to bring Bitcoin back to $84-85k within the next 3 hours (by 6pm ET). This is their game. If they aren’t able to do it today, it means the spot demand is simply too strong and we may gap and go this week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "ret_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "ret_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.022079752663862307, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03933636234623772, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03933636234623772, "price_path": [0.26, 0.275, 0.2282, 0.2377, 0.2598, 0.2657, 0.2544, 0.2535, 0.2696, 0.2635, 0.291, 0.3086, 0.3153, 0.3079, 0.3237, 0.3194, 0.327, 0.3106, 0.2773, 0.269, 0.2839, 0.2354, 0.2429, 0.296, 0.2921, 0.3442, 0.3672, 0.3851, 0.4133, 0.3759, 0.3975, 0.3788, 0.2826, 0.3059, 0.2815, 0.255, 0.2256, 0.2062, 0.2528, 0.2289, 0.22, 0.247, 0.2579, 0.2928, 0.2797, 0.2468, 0.227, 0.2411, 0.2071, 0.1509, 0.177, 0.1476, 0.1711, 0.2008, 0.1668, 0.1517, 0.1295, 0.0694, 0.0433, 0.053, 0.0362, -0.0186, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0255, 0.0342, 0.03, -0.0221, 0.0349, 0.0596, 0.0439, 0.0127, 0.0268, 0.0501, 0.0425, 0.048, 0.0227, -0.021, -0.0048, -0.0241, -0.0318, -0.0019, 0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0075, -0.0117, -0.011, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0086, 0.0052, 0.019, 0.0636, 0.0618, 0.0344, 0.0312, 0.0254, 0.0331, 0.0799, 0.0981, 0.0825, 0.0822, 0.0485, 0.0005, 0.0125, 0.0135, 0.014, -0.0, 0.0094, 0.0104, -0.042, -0.0469, -0.1086, -0.1432, -0.1728, -0.2897, -0.2007, -0.2056, -0.2206, -0.2411, -0.2498, -0.2199, -0.2201, -0.2354, -0.2475, -0.2415, -0.2296, -0.268, -0.274, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.2536, -0.2209, -0.2263, -0.1763, -0.1975, -0.2281, -0.2251, -0.2078, -0.2047, -0.2014, -0.196, -0.1519, -0.1625, -0.1929, -0.208, -0.2011, -0.1966, -0.2011, -0.1921, -0.2207, -0.2485, -0.2445, -0.227, -0.2288, -0.2422, -0.2418, -0.2199, -0.185, -0.1943, -0.187, -0.1732, -0.1562, -0.1596, -0.1525, -0.1486, -0.1262, -0.1405, -0.135, -0.1141, -0.1133, -0.1225, -0.1235, -0.135, -0.1415, -0.1356, -0.1143, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0775, -0.0936, -0.0916, -0.0741, -0.0883, -0.1019, -0.0818, -0.1043, -0.1282, -0.1305]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2004547217814856136", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-26T13:37:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long BTC / short SLV will be the equal weighted pair trade of the year in 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Pair trade: long BTC / short SLV as top pair trade of 2026 and possibly the decade.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Long BTC / short SLV will be the equal weighted pair trade of the year in 2026 and possibly the trade of the decade. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.000763876379100692, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.000763876379100692, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0008652963295159299, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0008652963295159299, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0018704053654620134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0018704053654620134, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001693248142032755, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001693248142032755, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "ret_p1w": 0.0302774609128591, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0302774609128591, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04062069589106221, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04062069589106221, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "ret_p1m": 0.011061799800493599, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011061799800493599, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00755610055037903, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00755610055037903, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "ret_p3m": -0.1831762312741334, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1831762312741334, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13726028201361906, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13726028201361906, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "ret_p6m": -0.26745637846172876, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26745637846172876, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35152862857665945, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35152862857665945, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3065, 0.3591, 0.3824, 0.4005, 0.429, 0.3912, 0.413, 0.3941, 0.2968, 0.3204, 0.2957, 0.269, 0.2392, 0.2195, 0.2667, 0.2426, 0.2335, 0.2608, 0.2718, 0.3072, 0.2939, 0.2606, 0.2406, 0.2549, 0.2205, 0.1637, 0.19, 0.1604, 0.1841, 0.2141, 0.1798, 0.1645, 0.142, 0.0813, 0.0549, 0.0647, 0.0477, -0.0077, -0.0253, 0.0111, 0.0005, 0.0368, 0.0456, 0.0414, -0.0112, 0.0464, 0.0713, 0.0554, 0.0239, 0.0382, 0.0617, 0.0541, 0.0597, 0.034, -0.0101, 0.0062, -0.0133, -0.0211, 0.0092, 0.0136, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0008, 0.0, -0.0019, 0.0129, 0.0024, 0.0164, 0.0303, 0.0754, 0.0736, 0.0459, 0.0427, 0.0368, 0.0446, 0.0919, 0.1103, 0.0945, 0.0942, 0.0602, 0.0116, 0.0238, 0.0248, 0.0252, 0.0111, 0.0206, 0.0216, -0.0314, -0.0363, -0.0987, -0.1337, -0.1636, -0.2818, -0.1918, -0.1968, -0.212, -0.2326, -0.2415, -0.2113, -0.2114, -0.2269, -0.2391, -0.233, -0.221, -0.2598, -0.266, -0.2215, -0.2273, -0.2454, -0.2122, -0.2177, -0.1671, -0.1885, -0.2195, -0.2165, -0.199, -0.1958, -0.1925, -0.1871, -0.1425, -0.1533, -0.1839, -0.1992, -0.1922, -0.1877, -0.1922, -0.1832, -0.212, -0.2401, -0.2361, -0.2184, -0.2202, -0.2338, -0.2333, -0.2112, -0.176, -0.1853, -0.1779, -0.1641, -0.1468, -0.1503, -0.1431, -0.1392, -0.1165, -0.1309, -0.1254, -0.1042, -0.1035, -0.1128, -0.1138, -0.1254, -0.132, -0.126, -0.1045, -0.0856, -0.073, -0.0673, -0.0835, -0.0815, -0.0638, -0.0782, -0.0919, -0.0716, -0.0943, -0.1185, -0.1209, -0.1128, -0.1118, -0.1353, -0.1148, -0.1314, -0.1484, -0.1577, -0.1595, -0.1831, -0.2359, -0.2667, -0.2692, -0.3022, -0.2773, -0.2939, -0.2961, -0.2719, -0.2721, -0.2407, -0.2486, -0.2621, -0.2795, -0.2722, -0.2675]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2004547217814856136", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-26T13:37:54+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "short SLV will be the equal weighted pair trade of the year in 2026 and possibly the trade of the decade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Pair trade: long BTC / short SLV as top pair trade of 2026 and possibly the decade.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Long BTC / short SLV will be the equal weighted pair trade of the year in 2026 and possibly the trade of the decade. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08295839845369601, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08295839845369601, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08305981840411125, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08305981840411125, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07185039950799421, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07185039950799421, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06828674600049944, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06828674600049944, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "ret_p1w": -0.07550622242966809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07550622242966809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06516298745146498, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06516298745146498, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "ret_p1m": 0.3827333034322298, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3827333034322298, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3792276041821152, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3792276041821152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "ret_p3m": -0.0830990359093231, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0830990359093231, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03718308664880876, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03718308664880876, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "ret_p6m": -0.17168169892621, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17168169892621, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2557539490411407, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2557539490411407, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4042, -0.3967, -0.402, -0.3881, -0.3805, -0.3899, -0.3735, -0.3713, -0.3612, -0.3355, -0.342, -0.3204, -0.3086, -0.3393, -0.329, -0.3843, -0.383, -0.3788, -0.3815, -0.4038, -0.3996, -0.3922, -0.3765, -0.3812, -0.3847, -0.399, -0.3862, -0.3877, -0.3825, -0.3562, -0.3469, -0.3206, -0.3332, -0.3538, -0.3607, -0.3518, -0.3469, -0.3563, -0.363, -0.3443, -0.3438, -0.3195, -0.3195, -0.2799, -0.2615, -0.253, -0.2538, -0.2722, -0.2555, -0.2589, -0.2243, -0.2116, -0.1898, -0.2112, -0.1829, -0.1883, -0.1527, -0.1659, -0.1433, -0.1216, -0.0883, -0.083, -0.083, 0.0, -0.0719, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.0755, -0.0287, 0.0364, -0.0022, -0.0198, 0.0177, 0.0859, 0.1052, 0.189, 0.1715, 0.1392, 0.1392, 0.2006, 0.1805, 0.2251, 0.3064, 0.3827, 0.4284, 0.4848, 0.4844, 0.0607, 0.0186, 0.0821, 0.1133, -0.0623, -0.0131, 0.0692, 0.0322, 0.0765, -0.0477, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0668, -0.0145, -0.0015, 0.0773, 0.1329, 0.1119, 0.1254, 0.1312, 0.195, 0.1469, 0.0501, 0.0593, 0.0443, 0.0678, 0.1004, 0.1261, 0.0955, 0.0754, 0.0221, 0.0295, 0.0076, -0.034, -0.0765, -0.135, -0.1216, -0.1149, -0.0831, -0.1455, -0.108, -0.1069, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0749, -0.0749, -0.0707, -0.0728, -0.0513, -0.0384, -0.0287, -0.0399, 0.0129, 0.0101, 0.0017, 0.0353, 0.0145, -0.037, -0.0105, -0.0385, -0.0328, -0.0392, -0.0692, -0.0883, -0.0627, -0.0398, -0.0728, -0.0733, -0.0139, 0.0067, 0.0266, 0.0967, 0.1045, 0.1157, 0.0617, -0.0292, -0.0166, -0.0593, -0.0336, -0.0235, -0.0388, -0.0388, -0.0197, -0.0509, -0.0388, -0.0392, -0.0485, -0.044, -0.069, -0.0582, -0.1343, -0.1341, -0.1703, -0.1893, -0.1448, -0.1382, -0.1076, -0.1087, -0.1478, -0.1632, -0.1632, -0.1717]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018132088789315923", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-02T01:19:19+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I predict a bounce in equities and crypto tomorrow during the regular US market session", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Predicts a bounce in US equities and crypto during tomorrow's regular session based on unspecified signs.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I predict a bounce in equities and crypto tomorrow during the regular US market session. I am seeing signs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "ret_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "ret_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "ret_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03882661934945053, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.030371233448277968, "alpha_c_stated": -0.030371233448277968, "price_path": [0.3203, 0.2874, 0.3137, 0.347, 0.3089, 0.292, 0.267, 0.1996, 0.1704, 0.1812, 0.1624, 0.1009, 0.0814, 0.1218, 0.11, 0.1503, 0.1601, 0.1554, 0.097, 0.1609, 0.1886, 0.171, 0.136, 0.1519, 0.178, 0.1694, 0.1757, 0.1472, 0.0982, 0.1163, 0.0947, 0.0861, 0.1196, 0.1246, 0.1109, 0.1134, 0.1086, 0.1095, 0.1074, 0.1238, 0.1121, 0.1276, 0.143, 0.1931, 0.1911, 0.1604, 0.1568, 0.1503, 0.1589, 0.2114, 0.2318, 0.2143, 0.214, 0.1762, 0.1223, 0.1358, 0.1369, 0.1374, 0.1217, 0.1323, 0.1334, 0.0746, 0.0691, 0.0, -0.0388, -0.072, -0.2032, -0.1034, -0.1089, -0.1257, -0.1486, -0.1584, -0.1249, -0.1251, -0.1423, -0.1558, -0.1491, -0.1358, -0.1788, -0.1857, -0.1363, -0.1428, -0.1628, -0.126, -0.1321, -0.076, -0.0997, -0.1341, -0.1307, -0.1113, -0.1078, -0.1041, -0.0981, -0.0486, -0.0606, -0.0946, -0.1115, -0.1038, -0.0988, -0.1038, -0.0938, -0.1258, -0.157, -0.1525, -0.1329, -0.1348, -0.15, -0.1494, -0.1249, -0.0858, -0.0961, -0.088, -0.0726, -0.0534, -0.0573, -0.0494, -0.0449, -0.0198, -0.0358, -0.0297, -0.0062, -0.0053, -0.0157, -0.0168, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0303, -0.0065, 0.0145, 0.0284, 0.0348, 0.0168, 0.019, 0.0386, 0.0227, 0.0075, 0.03, 0.0048, -0.022, -0.0246, -0.0156, -0.0146, -0.0407, -0.0179, -0.0364, -0.0552, -0.0655, -0.0676, -0.0936, -0.1523, -0.1865, -0.1892, -0.2258, -0.1982, -0.2166, -0.2191, -0.1922, -0.1925, -0.1576, -0.1663, -0.1814, -0.2007, -0.1925, -0.1873, -0.2036, -0.2249, -0.241, -0.2373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001054085051769132", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-16T22:17:26+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Max pain just before max gain. Same story, different day.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's view that crypto miners WULF and RIOT are near a bottom, with gains imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Freedom_By_40 Max pain just before max gain. Same story, different day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "These are all in the last little move down imo.\n\nAll the miners I mean. Here are a few $WULF $RIOT. https://t.co/iQDLwjoINI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Freedom_By_40", "ret_m1d": 0.12273121121422115, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12273121121422115, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11160519102197441, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12254815297830746, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126020192246733, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001830582359136912, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019014716752950633, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019014716752950633, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011463454043198373, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020662028839607438, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00755126270975226, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016473120866568047, "ret_p1w": 0.06395857772783842, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06395857772783842, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.032650851696151895, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.040257625054612056, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03130772603168652, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02370095267322636, "ret_p1m": 0.19533278206505367, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19533278206505367, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16124655286498624, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19661362428560525, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03408622920006743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012808422205515813, "ret_p3m": 0.41832327400605207, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.41832327400605207, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4189087092891467, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5127346050140039, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005854352830946263, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09441133100795185, "ret_p6m": 1.191011326716795, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.191011326716795, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0859162982053543, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2194692490849777, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1050950285114407, "bench_c_p6m": -0.028457922368182675, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19533278206505367, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.16124655286498624, "alpha_c_stated": 0.19661362428560525, "price_path": [-0.051, -0.0069, -0.0285, -0.0147, -0.0519, -0.064, 0.0026, -0.013, -0.0086, 0.0009, 0.0303, 0.0346, 0.0458, 0.0631, 0.1746, 0.1677, 0.21, 0.3362, 0.3371, 0.1979, 0.204, 0.1971, 0.1357, 0.0908, 0.1132, 0.185, 0.1789, 0.3777, 0.2532, 0.2809, 0.3397, 0.3915, 0.2973, 0.3276, 0.2342, 0.2048, 0.236, 0.0691, 0.0925, 0.0095, -0.0501, -0.0449, 0.0372, 0.057, -0.0009, -0.0242, 0.0916, 0.2048, 0.2826, 0.2826, 0.3405, 0.3224, 0.229, 0.2472, 0.3051, 0.2532, 0.293, 0.3475, 0.3621, 0.3682, 0.2385, 0.0795, 0.1227, 0.0, 0.019, 0.0821, 0.0778, 0.0735, 0.064, 0.064, 0.0156, -0.013, -0.0363, -0.0069, -0.0069, 0.1011, 0.1772, 0.1392, 0.0795, 0.1098, 0.1322, 0.1936, 0.2221, 0.2282, 0.1953, 0.1971, 0.1971, 0.1521, 0.134, 0.1141, 0.2204, 0.1919, 0.3232, 0.306, 0.2567, 0.1556, 0.1616, 0.2792, 0.1997, 0.0303, 0.2351, 0.4391, 0.4373, 0.3855, 0.3751, 0.4054, 0.4054, 0.3984, 0.3293, 0.3371, 0.2973, 0.3552, 0.5177, 0.5488, 0.5454, 0.4019, 0.3846, 0.274, 0.3284, 0.3163, 0.1884, 0.1971, 0.2403, 0.3155, 0.2679, 0.2679, 0.4183, 0.3863, 0.3224, 0.3604, 0.3051, 0.3993, 0.4019, 0.4572, 0.3267, 0.2869, 0.1841, 0.2472, 0.2515, 0.2861, 0.2861, 0.344, 0.4322, 0.5601, 0.6448, 0.6309, 0.6811, 0.8107, 0.7001, 0.669, 0.7839, 0.7718, 0.7087, 0.7761, 0.7606, 0.7295, 0.8522, 0.7978, 0.7303, 0.8781, 0.8418, 0.9265, 1.0303, 1.2247, 1.0761, 1.0216, 1.0199, 0.9706, 0.9983, 1.089, 0.9291, 0.8271, 0.8444, 0.8695, 0.981, 0.9723, 0.9723, 1.1763, 1.3111, 1.2818, 1.2092, 1.2178, 1.2895, 1.261, 1.2636, 1.0743, 1.2351, 1.1867, 1.0043, 1.191]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001054085051769132", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-16T22:17:26+00:00", "symbol": "RIOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Max pain just before max gain. Same story, different day.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses parent's view that crypto miners WULF and RIOT are near a bottom, with gains imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["RIOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Freedom_By_40 Max pain just before max gain. Same story, different day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "These are all in the last little move down imo.\n\nAll the miners I mean. Here are a few $WULF $RIOT. https://t.co/iQDLwjoINI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Freedom_By_40", "ret_m1d": 0.03935186939665747, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03935186939665747, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028225849204410736, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03916881116074378, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126020192246733, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001830582359136912, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03240741319889673, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03240741319889673, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02485615048914447, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03405472528555353, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00755126270975226, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016473120866568047, "ret_p1w": 0.07407407679948075, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07407407679948075, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.042766350767794226, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05037312412625439, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03130772603168652, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02370095267322636, "ret_p1m": 0.278549355405203, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.278549355405203, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24446312620513555, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27983019762575456, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03408622920006743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012808422205515813, "ret_p3m": 0.11111107840623058, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11111107840623058, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1116965136893252, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20552240941418243, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005854352830946263, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09441133100795185, "ret_p6m": 1.0169752556101033, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0169752556101033, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9118802270986626, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.045433177978286, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1050950285114407, "bench_c_p6m": -0.028457922368182675, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.278549355405203, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.24446312620513555, "alpha_c_stated": 0.27983019762575456, "price_path": [0.3472, 0.3503, 0.3171, 0.3881, 0.2917, 0.365, 0.5262, 0.4684, 0.4606, 0.4853, 0.5, 0.6636, 0.6566, 0.6968, 0.7191, 0.6211, 0.6744, 0.7122, 0.7076, 0.5085, 0.5455, 0.6983, 0.5949, 0.4653, 0.581, 0.6528, 0.7747, 0.6632, 0.7106, 0.6273, 0.5262, 0.5988, 0.4873, 0.4637, 0.338, 0.3125, 0.3364, 0.2454, 0.1929, 0.071, 0.0764, 0.071, 0.0756, 0.0301, -0.0139, -0.0193, 0.071, 0.1103, 0.1543, 0.1543, 0.2446, 0.1944, 0.1744, 0.2068, 0.2029, 0.1528, 0.1543, 0.1968, 0.2014, 0.2153, 0.1806, 0.0579, 0.0394, 0.0, 0.0324, 0.1188, 0.1111, 0.0548, 0.0741, 0.0741, 0.037, 0.0193, -0.0201, -0.0224, -0.0224, 0.0926, 0.1412, 0.1559, 0.1782, 0.1674, 0.1821, 0.2693, 0.2924, 0.3356, 0.2785, 0.4846, 0.4846, 0.3966, 0.331, 0.3179, 0.3333, 0.2523, 0.3542, 0.3542, 0.3094, 0.1937, 0.1821, 0.1836, 0.091, -0.0694, 0.115, 0.1551, 0.1443, 0.142, 0.0957, 0.1744, 0.1744, 0.1304, 0.1952, 0.2515, 0.2099, 0.2076, 0.2731, 0.3179, 0.3187, 0.2569, 0.2677, 0.1798, 0.2755, 0.2037, 0.093, 0.1343, 0.1296, 0.1427, 0.1188, 0.0833, 0.1111, 0.1327, 0.088, 0.091, 0.0324, 0.1088, 0.1057, 0.1698, 0.0806, -0.0123, -0.0872, -0.0463, -0.0316, -0.0077, -0.0077, 0.0432, 0.0949, 0.2431, 0.2878, 0.2809, 0.3403, 0.3981, 0.3441, 0.3056, 0.3974, 0.3974, 0.3434, 0.4259, 0.4051, 0.436, 0.4105, 0.2785, 0.233, 0.3302, 0.4275, 0.4414, 0.5702, 0.8287, 0.8603, 0.858, 0.9552, 0.8912, 0.9228, 0.8997, 0.8125, 0.7886, 0.7473, 0.8264, 0.8881, 0.8897, 0.8897, 1.0123, 1.0787, 1.1404, 1.0918, 1.1798, 1.108, 1.1335, 1.1196, 0.9028, 0.9823, 0.9518, 0.858, 1.017]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992308739584729262", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T19:06:33+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IBIT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names IBIT as next best buy after BTC; implicit long on Bitcoin ETF.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Baba_Yaga_1969 IBIT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Curious, if you couldn’t buy BTC, let’s just say you were unable.  Whats the next thing you’d buy?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Baba_Yaga_1969", "ret_m1d": -0.051413851884741124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051413851884741124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03690874004733713, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03690874004733713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0199722825317038, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0199722825317038, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02937821059741441, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02937821059741441, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "ret_p1w": -0.04093335391172803, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04093335391172803, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.058189963594103444, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.058189963594103444, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": -0.0181925682123244, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0181925682123244, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049988431532849265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049988431532849265, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": -0.24718212528048245, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24718212528048245, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2737587103549939, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2737587103549939, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "ret_p6m": -0.13980620402392108, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13980620402392108, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24325282341048216, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24325282341048216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0181925682123244, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.049988431532849265, "alpha_c_stated": -0.049988431532849265, "price_path": [0.2587, 0.2573, 0.2149, 0.2149, 0.2452, 0.261, 0.2329, 0.2541, 0.2596, 0.2501, 0.2761, 0.2859, 0.3126, 0.2952, 0.3124, 0.2986, 0.32, 0.2927, 0.2587, 0.2539, 0.2739, 0.228, 0.2248, 0.2848, 0.2853, 0.3198, 0.3599, 0.3805, 0.4097, 0.367, 0.3854, 0.3593, 0.3091, 0.3014, 0.2638, 0.2492, 0.2148, 0.1958, 0.2444, 0.2555, 0.2104, 0.2371, 0.2424, 0.2909, 0.2753, 0.2409, 0.1944, 0.232, 0.197, 0.1307, 0.1651, 0.1323, 0.1643, 0.1902, 0.1538, 0.1388, 0.0993, 0.0574, 0.0303, 0.0413, 0.0032, -0.0318, -0.0514, 0.0, -0.02, 0.0091, 0.0091, 0.0194, -0.0409, 0.0218, 0.0429, 0.0384, 0.0024, 0.0188, 0.0451, 0.038, 0.0303, 0.0125, -0.0378, -0.017, -0.0368, -0.0516, -0.0131, -0.0095, -0.0182, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.019, -0.0235, -0.0146, -0.0182, -0.0182, 0.0073, 0.0571, 0.0372, 0.0192, 0.0188, 0.0117, 0.0257, 0.0593, 0.0963, 0.0678, 0.0726, 0.0726, 0.0038, 0.0107, 0.002, 0.0026, -0.0182, 0.0012, -0.0012, -0.0587, -0.0609, -0.1256, -0.1438, -0.178, -0.2861, -0.2153, -0.2068, -0.2294, -0.2428, -0.2674, -0.2294, -0.2294, -0.2409, -0.2577, -0.2472, -0.2403, -0.2772, -0.2776, -0.2242, -0.2434, -0.2646, -0.2249, -0.2347, -0.1805, -0.2013, -0.2367, -0.2262, -0.2148, -0.2076, -0.21, -0.2017, -0.1707, -0.1641, -0.2039, -0.2126, -0.2136, -0.208, -0.2233, -0.2057, -0.2324, -0.2604, -0.2549, -0.2403, -0.2359, -0.2492, -0.2492, -0.2185, -0.2268, -0.2007, -0.191, -0.1782, -0.1776, -0.1669, -0.1584, -0.155, -0.1311, -0.1447, -0.1594, -0.1151, -0.1289, -0.1295, -0.1386, -0.1444, -0.1546, -0.1434, -0.1206, -0.1022, -0.0848, -0.0866, -0.1022, -0.1012, -0.0811, -0.0943, -0.1078, -0.087, -0.1137, -0.1392, -0.1398]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1991705697604772252", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-21T03:10:17+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN is unlike any other company in this ecosystem and a viable candidate for the trillion dollar club in the future", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish IREN as a unique hyperscaler-in-the-making with trillion-dollar potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This piece “IREN - a hyperscaler in the making” by @Agrippa_Inv is fantastic and I highly recommend you read it if you want to understand why IREN is unlike any other company in this ecosystem and a viable candidate for the trillion dollar club in the future.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve published a very comprehensive deep dive on exactly this topic, breaking down what makes $IREN unique not just as a cloud provider, but as a full-scale data center conglomerate.\n\nYou can read it for free below. Cheers! ✌️\n\nhttps://t.co/CAVu7gihHe", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028632346124665586, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028632346124665586, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03849523865835691, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03947041844623422, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009862892533691325, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010838072321568637, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14742081411203345, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14742081411203345, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13270220723579884, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.14316304802500546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014718606876234608, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004257766087027992, "ret_p1w": 0.13132994018435307, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13132994018435307, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09436650460327267, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0992029626998403, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.036963435581080395, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032126977484512764, "ret_p1m": -0.005205807258486406, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005205807258486406, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04742481427195355, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07958836877815112, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04221900701346715, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07438256151966471, "ret_p3m": -0.004259264023368403, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.004259264023368403, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04870017659398995, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025621850801030743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04444091257062155, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02136258677766234, "ret_p6m": 0.1940369400999531, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1940369400999531, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06684111116408276, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.184017062504096, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12719582893587034, "bench_c_p6m": 0.010019877595857096, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.456, -0.471, -0.4548, -0.3734, -0.3734, -0.3112, -0.3325, -0.3817, -0.3812, -0.3803, -0.2856, -0.2042, -0.2227, -0.1964, -0.1212, -0.1375, -0.1032, -0.1406, -0.0857, -0.0085, -0.0116, 0.1155, 0.0954, -0.0095, 0.0868, 0.1105, 0.1141, 0.1126, 0.194, 0.3665, 0.4595, 0.4219, 0.5109, 0.4143, 0.5177, 0.646, 0.6086, 0.4631, 0.4368, 0.4013, 0.3061, 0.2265, 0.3218, 0.4884, 0.5379, 0.477, 0.4297, 0.3777, 0.4375, 0.6032, 0.5767, 0.8081, 0.5845, 0.4761, 0.4238, 0.3578, 0.318, 0.1512, 0.0973, 0.1219, 0.1559, 0.0845, 0.0286, 0.0, 0.1474, 0.1233, 0.1465, 0.1465, 0.1313, 0.1474, -0.027, 0.0402, 0.0991, 0.058, 0.0965, 0.1084, 0.0393, 0.0398, -0.0504, -0.1604, -0.1342, -0.2007, -0.1529, -0.0554, -0.0052, -0.0045, -0.0066, -0.0066, -0.0464, -0.0674, -0.0937, -0.1062, -0.1062, 0.0104, 0.1415, 0.0864, 0.0323, 0.0809, 0.0892, 0.191, 0.2539, 0.2513, 0.2279, 0.3682, 0.3682, 0.284, 0.2655, 0.2366, 0.3412, 0.239, 0.4195, 0.4894, 0.416, 0.2717, 0.256, 0.287, 0.0634, -0.0584, -0.0102, 0.092, 0.0159, 0.0097, -0.0528, -0.0009, -0.0009, -0.0305, -0.0043, 0.0244, -0.054, 0.0024, 0.0755, 0.0419, 0.0469, -0.031, -0.0206, -0.0807, 0.0374, -0.0505, -0.1316, -0.0809, -0.098, -0.0066, -0.0211, -0.0161, 0.0634, 0.0166, -0.0012, -0.0142, -0.023, -0.0024, -0.027, -0.0196, -0.1138, -0.1697, -0.2518, -0.1888, -0.1933, -0.1772, -0.1772, -0.1687, -0.1543, -0.1285, -0.123, -0.0696, 0.0192, 0.1209, 0.1552, 0.1287, 0.1387, 0.1529, 0.0689, 0.1451, 0.231, 0.1983, 0.1443, 0.0516, 0.0142, 0.0769, 0.0805, 0.1708, 0.2953, 0.443, 0.3452, 0.4482, 0.305, 0.3384, 0.3055, 0.3819, 0.2527, 0.194]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995213013503361211", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T19:27:06+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nobody who actually understands it is dumb enough to not own it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Anyone who truly understands Bitcoin owns it; strong implicit endorsement that BTC is a must-own.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GuyTalksFinance Incorrect. Nobody who actually understands it is dumb enough to not own it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "There’s some smart Bitcoin critics out there that understand Bitcoin, but choose not to get it.\n\nEventually all Bitcoin critics will get it — it just depends what price they will get it at.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GuyTalksFinance", "ret_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04867600571102382, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04867600571102382, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05640246297425855, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05640246297425855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "ret_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.045090366422747774, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045090366422747774, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "ret_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011534894557498232, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011534894557498232, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "ret_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.234843883634127, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.234843883634127, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "ret_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23124329934601617, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23124329934601617, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.024426832046342772, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011534894557498232, "alpha_c_stated": 0.011534894557498232, "price_path": [0.2943, 0.2827, 0.2818, 0.2983, 0.292, 0.3201, 0.3381, 0.345, 0.3374, 0.3536, 0.3492, 0.357, 0.3402, 0.3061, 0.2976, 0.3129, 0.2633, 0.271, 0.3253, 0.3213, 0.3745, 0.398, 0.4164, 0.4452, 0.407, 0.429, 0.4099, 0.3115, 0.3354, 0.3104, 0.2834, 0.2533, 0.2334, 0.2811, 0.2567, 0.2475, 0.2751, 0.2863, 0.322, 0.3086, 0.2749, 0.2547, 0.2692, 0.2343, 0.1769, 0.2035, 0.1735, 0.1975, 0.2279, 0.1932, 0.1777, 0.155, 0.0936, 0.0669, 0.0768, 0.0596, 0.0036, -0.0143, 0.0226, 0.0118, 0.0486, 0.0575, 0.0533, 0.0, 0.0583, 0.0835, 0.0674, 0.0355, 0.05, 0.0738, 0.066, 0.0717, 0.0457, 0.0011, 0.0176, -0.0021, -0.01, 0.0206, 0.0251, 0.0127, 0.0149, 0.0106, 0.0114, 0.0095, 0.0244, 0.0138, 0.0279, 0.042, 0.0876, 0.0858, 0.0578, 0.0545, 0.0486, 0.0564, 0.1043, 0.1229, 0.1069, 0.1066, 0.0722, 0.023, 0.0354, 0.0364, 0.0369, 0.0225, 0.0322, 0.0332, -0.0204, -0.0254, -0.0884, -0.1238, -0.1541, -0.2736, -0.1826, -0.1877, -0.2031, -0.2239, -0.2328, -0.2023, -0.2025, -0.2181, -0.2305, -0.2243, -0.2122, -0.2514, -0.2577, -0.2127, -0.2186, -0.2368, -0.2033, -0.2088, -0.1577, -0.1793, -0.2107, -0.2076, -0.1899, -0.1867, -0.1834, -0.1779, -0.1328, -0.1436, -0.1746, -0.1901, -0.183, -0.1785, -0.1831, -0.1739, -0.2031, -0.2315, -0.2274, -0.2095, -0.2113, -0.2251, -0.2246, -0.2023, -0.1666, -0.1761, -0.1686, -0.1546, -0.1371, -0.1406, -0.1334, -0.1294, -0.1065, -0.121, -0.1155, -0.094, -0.0933, -0.1027, -0.1037, -0.1155, -0.1222, -0.116, -0.0943, -0.0752, -0.0625, -0.0567, -0.0731, -0.0711, -0.0532, -0.0677, -0.0816, -0.0611, -0.0841, -0.1085, -0.1109, -0.1027, -0.1017, -0.1255, -0.1047, -0.1216]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1991504433583464488", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T13:50:31+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think it's possible and perhaps even likely that they sign at least one more by the end of the year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects Cipher Mining to sign at least one more AI/HPC deal by year-end, bullish on deal momentum.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When Cipher had signed zero AI/HPC deals just a couple months ago, I predicted that they would sign at least 2 deals by end of year. They have signed 3 but hear me out. I think it’s possible and perhaps even likely that they sign at least one more by the end of the year. Mark it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004120842322335783, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004120842322335783, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011357306456439176, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02828782013177711, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478148778774958, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03240866245411289, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028159394867463883, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028159394867463883, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03812053303642893, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03201758773230079, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961138168965045, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003858192864836907, "ret_p1w": 0.3152471886422108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3152471886422108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.273639961545048, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.27251334867362487, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0416072270971628, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04273383996858593, "ret_p1m": 0.11332408085874168, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11332408085874168, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06724028318471742, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.050674688604893214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04608379767402426, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06264939225384847, "ret_p3m": 0.07417581679812102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07417581679812102, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.024618447074284733, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04759818055959064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049557369723836286, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026577636238530378, "ret_p6m": 0.3962911633103685, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3962911633103685, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.25706572526832727, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09739835467295199, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543804204124, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2988928086374165, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11332408085874168, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06724028318471742, "alpha_c_stated": 0.050674688604893214, "price_path": [-0.544, -0.511, -0.5199, -0.5179, -0.4753, -0.4753, -0.4286, -0.443, -0.4918, -0.4835, -0.4698, -0.3668, -0.296, -0.3152, -0.2548, -0.2548, -0.2095, -0.1497, -0.1861, -0.1566, -0.0412, -0.0282, -0.0288, -0.1992, -0.2122, -0.1312, -0.1353, -0.1346, -0.0515, 0.0096, 0.0536, 0.0817, 0.2088, 0.2356, 0.1655, 0.397, 0.4348, 0.4444, 0.2857, 0.2885, 0.3674, 0.2414, 0.1065, 0.1851, 0.419, 0.4107, 0.3709, 0.3455, 0.3098, 0.2809, 0.5632, 0.546, 0.6971, 0.4911, 0.421, 0.3496, 0.2823, 0.1937, 0.0254, -0.0137, -0.0144, 0.0014, 0.0041, 0.0, -0.0282, 0.1477, 0.2033, 0.3152, 0.3152, 0.3977, 0.3523, 0.2115, 0.2795, 0.362, 0.3242, 0.3379, 0.3434, 0.2692, 0.2967, 0.171, 0.0124, 0.0295, -0.0117, 0.0405, 0.1133, 0.1223, 0.0927, 0.114, 0.114, 0.0433, 0.0357, 0.0021, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.1126, 0.2473, 0.2047, 0.1044, 0.1367, 0.1422, 0.2143, 0.2534, 0.2452, 0.2033, 0.2912, 0.2912, 0.2308, 0.217, 0.1944, 0.2067, 0.1326, 0.2878, 0.3029, 0.2157, 0.0962, 0.0859, 0.1168, -0.0213, -0.1277, 0.0117, 0.1511, 0.1745, 0.1181, 0.1058, 0.1277, 0.1277, 0.0742, 0.0591, 0.0852, 0.0062, 0.0453, 0.1758, 0.1408, 0.1319, 0.0714, 0.0824, 0.0103, 0.1016, 0.0405, -0.0646, -0.0172, -0.0412, -0.0309, -0.0584, -0.033, 0.0398, 0.0364, 0.0076, 0.0055, -0.0378, 0.0227, 0.022, 0.0907, -0.0144, -0.056, -0.1748, -0.1161, -0.1319, -0.1195, -0.1195, -0.0831, -0.0378, 0.0591, 0.1236, 0.1353, 0.2198, 0.2672, 0.2363, 0.1909, 0.3304, 0.3249, 0.239, 0.3352, 0.2837, 0.25, 0.2473, 0.1854, 0.1621, 0.2184, 0.1703, 0.2287, 0.5179, 0.5048, 0.4207, 0.4114, 0.3929, 0.3777, 0.4588, 0.5309, 0.3963]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995876587460514276", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T15:23:54+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If Ethereum continues to recover, the bears are very screwed", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Ethereum recovery; bears will be squeezed if recovery continues.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If Ethereum continues to recover, the bears are very screwed. Watch.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06596221151554194, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06596221151554194, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06411344936176377, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06411344936176377, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018487621537781607, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018487621537781607, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06458838390069488, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06458838390069488, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06112554420961169, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06112554420961169, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003462839691083186, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003462839691083186, "ret_p1w": 0.10779913060409885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10779913060409885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10558348749736579, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10558348749736579, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002215643106733056, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002215643106733056, "ret_p1m": -0.010307778918155153, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010307778918155153, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013836626479435177, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013836626479435177, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528847561280024, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003528847561280024, "ret_p3m": -0.3559704210924153, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3559704210924153, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36548873791520275, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36548873791520275, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518316822787476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009518316822787476, "ret_p6m": -0.3254706743995164, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3254706743995164, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.43288064928130954, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.43288064928130954, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740997488179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10740997488179316, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.010307778918155153, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013836626479435177, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013836626479435177, "price_path": [0.4339, 0.4366, 0.437, 0.4373, 0.4507, 0.4881, 0.5728, 0.51, 0.5022, 0.532, 0.531, 0.4913, 0.4019, 0.3895, 0.3854, 0.2903, 0.3462, 0.4067, 0.3829, 0.4514, 0.497, 0.506, 0.5637, 0.4847, 0.5103, 0.4574, 0.2819, 0.4161, 0.3761, 0.3301, 0.2991, 0.2784, 0.3278, 0.2931, 0.2702, 0.2862, 0.3124, 0.3743, 0.3283, 0.302, 0.269, 0.2832, 0.2016, 0.0983, 0.1425, 0.1048, 0.1459, 0.1903, 0.1392, 0.1385, 0.0783, 0.0353, 0.0089, 0.0417, 0.0084, -0.0554, -0.0775, -0.0151, -0.0133, 0.01, 0.0055, 0.0115, -0.066, 0.0, 0.0646, 0.0455, 0.0088, 0.0424, 0.1078, 0.1092, 0.0798, 0.0288, -0.0113, -0.0113, -0.0556, -0.057, -0.0067, 0.0027, -0.0115, -0.0175, -0.0315, -0.0241, -0.0211, -0.0088, -0.0103, 0.0008, 0.0422, 0.0761, 0.0994, 0.0563, 0.0355, 0.0284, 0.0315, 0.1081, 0.119, 0.1065, 0.0992, 0.0629, -0.0208, -0.0064, -0.0161, -0.0149, -0.0238, 0.0081, 0.0029, -0.0599, -0.0986, -0.218, -0.257, -0.285, -0.3924, -0.3117, -0.2983, -0.3264, -0.3527, -0.3506, -0.3167, -0.3336, -0.3355, -0.3482, -0.3502, -0.3432, -0.3811, -0.3819, -0.3147, -0.3239, -0.356, -0.3238, -0.3386, -0.2907, -0.309, -0.34, -0.3352, -0.3205, -0.3157, -0.3085, -0.302, -0.2157, -0.2268, -0.2649, -0.287, -0.284, -0.2821, -0.2809, -0.2768, -0.313, -0.3358, -0.325, -0.2979, -0.2866, -0.3139, -0.3151, -0.2969, -0.2522, -0.2694, -0.2698, -0.2511, -0.2092, -0.225, -0.213, -0.2166, -0.1924, -0.2277, -0.2235, -0.2074, -0.2223, -0.2276, -0.2318, -0.2363, -0.2483, -0.2474, -0.2344, -0.2173, -0.2124, -0.2159, -0.2358, -0.2305, -0.2197, -0.2413, -0.247, -0.2392, -0.2584, -0.29, -0.2962, -0.2905, -0.289, -0.3113, -0.2957, -0.3092, -0.3255]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1987367248923897990", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-09T03:50:50+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't believe this is priced in at all", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish NVO: CEO confidence in FDA approval and 2026 Wegovy pill launch not yet priced in by the market.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The CEO of NVO seems extremely confident that the FDA will approve the Wegovy weight loss pill and that they will launch it to the market in early 2026. What does he know that the market doesn’t understand yet? I don’t believe this is priced in at all.\nhttps://t.co/7rlXLwEPNT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005659538141539078, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005659538141539078, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009704988136586379, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009704988136586379, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015364526278125457, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06987376697415959, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06987376697415959, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06758440911962116, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06758440911962116, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002289357854538432, "ret_p1w": 0.054854117497782795, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.054854117497782795, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07799622909309589, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07799622909309589, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023142111595313097, "ret_p1m": 0.009142410304205484, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009142410304205484, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006794350966217388, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006794350966217388, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023480593379880954, "ret_p3m": -0.05659555357911594, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05659555357911594, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05392815817116137, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05392815817116137, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "bench_c_p3m": -0.002667395407954576, "ret_p6m": 0.01252938727188413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.01252938727188413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.055636852439326256, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.055636852439326256, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06816623971121039, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05659555357911594, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05392815817116137, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05392815817116137, "price_path": [0.0956, 0.0967, 0.1281, 0.17, 0.1924, 0.182, 0.207, 0.2403, 0.2264, 0.2046, 0.2286, 0.2214, 0.229, 0.229, 0.2273, 0.2351, 0.222, 0.2022, 0.1815, 0.182, 0.1835, 0.182, 0.1944, 0.2107, 0.2451, 0.2669, 0.3463, 0.3365, 0.3215, 0.296, 0.2786, 0.2199, 0.2105, 0.2081, 0.2079, 0.288, 0.2786, 0.298, 0.2984, 0.2847, 0.2976, 0.2773, 0.2392, 0.2516, 0.2333, 0.2347, 0.2209, 0.1835, 0.2133, 0.1924, 0.162, 0.1587, 0.1528, 0.1513, 0.133, 0.1182, 0.0892, 0.0766, 0.069, 0.0503, 0.0549, 0.0124, -0.0057, 0.0, 0.0699, 0.094, 0.0701, 0.0505, 0.0549, 0.035, 0.0666, 0.0361, 0.0368, -0.0211, 0.0244, 0.0603, 0.0603, 0.0742, 0.0542, 0.0324, 0.0355, 0.0446, 0.0418, 0.0181, 0.0091, 0.0677, 0.0947, 0.0923, 0.0964, 0.0657, 0.0398, 0.0364, 0.0468, 0.047, 0.1234, 0.1441, 0.1441, 0.1406, 0.1204, 0.1149, 0.1075, 0.1075, 0.1404, 0.1996, 0.2246, 0.2314, 0.2481, 0.2801, 0.303, 0.2982, 0.2823, 0.2434, 0.3568, 0.3568, 0.3209, 0.2912, 0.3546, 0.3552, 0.3927, 0.369, 0.3132, 0.2915, 0.2936, 0.2828, 0.0949, 0.0272, -0.0566, 0.037, 0.0747, 0.0692, 0.0609, 0.0651, 0.079, 0.079, 0.0747, 0.0716, 0.0546, 0.0322, -0.1374, -0.16, -0.1694, -0.1811, -0.1848, -0.1781, -0.202, -0.162, -0.1495, -0.1602, -0.1341, -0.1572, -0.1548, -0.1724, -0.1737, -0.1602, -0.1635, -0.1848, -0.1929, -0.2048, -0.1985, -0.197, -0.2092, -0.2077, -0.2155, -0.2037, -0.1707, -0.1768, -0.1655, -0.1655, -0.1725, -0.1671, -0.1513, -0.1551, -0.1533, -0.1429, -0.1127, -0.0791, -0.0764, -0.0856, -0.087, -0.1105, -0.1165, -0.1308, -0.071, -0.0703, -0.071, -0.0908, -0.0473, -0.0098, 0.0017, 0.0125]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024609974266319154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T22:20:07+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I love that and the early results are starting to demonstrate the benefits. Bullish.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Opendoor on AI transformation under new leadership team with early positive results.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Opendoor CEO @nejatian says the company is the “most AI-pilled” company in public markets with a new leadership team as good as any other major tech company.\n\nI love that and the early results are starting to demonstrate the benefits. Bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06999998092651372, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06999998092651372, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06282005577402716, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06173547034183391, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007179925152486555, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008264510584679807, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04399995803833012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04399995803833012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033788591999563855, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04514783637549935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010211366038766267, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001147878337169228, "ret_p1w": 0.08400001525878897, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08400001525878897, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08898973082346373, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07757218116122622, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004989715564674757, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006427834097562757, "ret_p1m": 0.04200000762939449, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04200000762939449, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0887925641030084, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10322549204036713, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04679255647361391, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06122548441097264, "ret_p3m": -0.11999998092651365, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11999998092651365, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1980997451556893, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14682797962415595, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809976422917564, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026827998697642297, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04200000762939449, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0887925641030084, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10322549204036713, "price_path": [0.548, 0.556, 0.556, 0.54, 0.428, 0.398, 0.388, 0.516, 0.43, 0.41, 0.482, 0.4, 0.41, 0.312, 0.294, 0.346, 0.224, 0.256, 0.272, 0.284, 0.254, 0.256, 0.256, 0.202, 0.166, 0.168, 0.166, 0.166, 0.214, 0.264, 0.386, 0.224, 0.286, 0.458, 0.404, 0.354, 0.328, 0.26, 0.334, 0.334, 0.278, 0.296, 0.284, 0.202, 0.174, 0.162, 0.152, 0.116, 0.03, -0.036, 0.026, 0.0, -0.06, -0.024, -0.012, -0.062, -0.048, -0.124, -0.111, -0.111, -0.134, -0.074, -0.07, 0.0, -0.044, 0.022, -0.004, 0.082, 0.084, 0.01, -0.006, -0.024, 0.036, 0.0, 0.016, 0.002, 0.054, -0.032, -0.01, 0.036, 0.112, 0.056, 0.028, -0.018, 0.042, 0.036, 0.02, -0.02, -0.04, -0.114, -0.064, -0.086, -0.052, -0.052, -0.078, -0.09, -0.072, -0.138, -0.136, -0.128, -0.098, -0.036, 0.054, 0.058, 0.07, 0.09, 0.086, 0.044, 0.102, 0.078, 0.096, 0.116, 0.076, 0.088, 0.026, 0.046, 0.092, 0.064, 0.002, -0.03, -0.058, -0.084, -0.106, -0.124, -0.144, -0.14, -0.12, -0.086, -0.094, -0.094, -0.104, -0.05, 0.014, 0.008, 0.062, 0.082, -0.026, -0.01, -0.116, -0.138, -0.132, -0.104, -0.106, -0.112, -0.078, -0.05, -0.11, -0.106, -0.106, -0.144, -0.16, -0.144, -0.14, -0.126, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020294590847390001", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-08T00:32:20+00:00", "symbol": "railroads", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Railroads breaking out", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish US railroads as freight volumes surge and money rotates beyond tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNP", "CSX", "NSC", "CP", "CNI"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US railroad sector basket: UNP, CSX, NSC, CP, CNI", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Railroads'", "bench_c_industry": "Railroads", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FreightAlley ISM PMI over 50. Railroads breaking out. Money rotating to other sectors beyond tech. It’s happening.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Trucking volumes continued to surge as we close out the week and are now at the highest levels they've been since October 2022. \n\nThis is a remarkable freight market, with no signs of slowing. \n\nIt continues to reinforce the narrative that market tightness is not just a weather https://t.co/GFD56CCtix", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FreightAlley", "ret_m1d": -0.006986889580387246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006986889580387246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0021883003497053634, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003993118736099932, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029937708442873134, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022754691296562025, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022754691296562025, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025391749067261472, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021545738084022804, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208953212539221, "ret_p1w": 0.026455902194224824, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026455902194224824, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.044036405226434525, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02375010771415158, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0027057944800732425, "ret_p1m": 0.00872825555739185, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00872825555739185, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0328942409428715, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029914167128425186, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021185911571033333, "ret_p3m": 0.05979690859714624, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05979690859714624, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0026919283388270113, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05525507713811715, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541831459029089, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.00872825555739185, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0328942409428715, "alpha_c_stated": 0.029914167128425186, "price_path": [-0.0976, -0.1092, -0.1096, -0.1194, -0.1251, -0.1255, -0.1319, -0.1164, -0.1234, -0.1062, -0.0984, -0.0984, -0.0904, -0.096, -0.0937, -0.075, -0.0716, -0.0733, -0.0727, -0.0815, -0.0662, -0.0653, -0.0596, -0.0595, -0.074, -0.0732, -0.0702, -0.0738, -0.0725, -0.0715, -0.0691, -0.0691, -0.0719, -0.0684, -0.0736, -0.0793, -0.0793, -0.0745, -0.0823, -0.0738, -0.1055, -0.0866, -0.0925, -0.0905, -0.0945, -0.0906, -0.0806, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.1075, -0.0822, -0.082, -0.0795, -0.0746, -0.0702, -0.0845, -0.0589, -0.0706, -0.0665, -0.0479, -0.0203, -0.0181, -0.007, 0.0, 0.0228, 0.0296, 0.0255, 0.0265, 0.0265, 0.0316, 0.0339, 0.0375, 0.0474, 0.0415, 0.0531, 0.0415, 0.051, 0.0587, 0.0704, 0.0594, 0.0579, 0.0342, 0.0069, 0.0141, 0.0087, 0.0035, -0.021, -0.0204, -0.0135, -0.022, -0.0392, -0.0569, -0.0579, -0.0414, -0.0415, -0.0336, -0.038, -0.0397, -0.0415, -0.0238, -0.0221, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0121, -0.0086, 0.0083, 0.0161, 0.0136, 0.0192, 0.0258, 0.0124, 0.017, 0.0258, 0.032, 0.0283, 0.0214, 0.0872, 0.0831, 0.0848, 0.0797, 0.0523, 0.0766, 0.0703, 0.0508, 0.0561, 0.0751, 0.0598, 0.065, 0.0578, 0.0645, 0.0614, 0.0815, 0.0742, 0.0877, 0.0839, 0.0782, 0.0771, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.1011, 0.1235, 0.0942, 0.0842, 0.0881, 0.0991, 0.091, 0.0938, 0.1111, 0.1076, 0.1128, 0.0992, 0.1035, 0.1135, 0.1011, 0.0991, 0.0623, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0698, 0.0686, 0.0702, 0.1029, 0.1075, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000961316614496606", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-16T16:08:48+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am long term bullish", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long-term bullish on ASST after insider open-market purchase by leadership.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Kudos to @ColeMacro for putting his money where his mouth is and picking up ASST shares in the open market. This is EXACTLY what a good leader does in times of turmoil and very few have been willing to do it in this sector historically. Very good sign. I am long term bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08255819575473011, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08255819575473011, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08529805738736629, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08896377870157379, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0027398616326361758, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00640558294684368, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0453488751190152, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0453488751190152, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03434528113561497, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.045165850387286044, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011003593983400228, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00018302473172915334, "ret_p1w": -0.06395350771378328, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06395350771378328, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08033783313798415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08195741737645024, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016384325424200874, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01800390966266696, "ret_p1m": 0.19767438765794676, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19767438765794676, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1777443962716858, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20317834413678548, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019929991386260948, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005503956478838723, "ret_p3m": -0.4459302726599107, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4459302726599107, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.42439003239261097, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3438233188012936, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.021540240267299726, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10210695385861712, "ret_p6m": -0.16104653109854183, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16104653109854183, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23571555664731636, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1252113486147577, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07466902554877453, "bench_c_p6m": -0.035835182483784145, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [3.4419, 4.0, 3.7674, 2.8953, 2.5, 2.1977, 1.8372, 1.6744, 1.907, 1.9186, 2.093, 2.0233, 1.9419, 1.4419, 1.314, 1.1047, 0.8081, 0.2558, 0.1593, 0.1163, 0.0465, -0.0302, 0.0047, -0.0349, -0.093, 0.0047, 0.2791, 0.907, 0.6744, 0.4535, 0.407, 0.5465, 0.4767, 0.4535, 0.6977, 0.686, 0.7558, 0.7209, 0.5814, 0.5, 0.3372, 0.2558, 0.2093, 0.3023, 0.2209, 0.143, 0.186, 0.314, 0.2907, 0.314, 0.314, 0.3023, 0.2209, 0.2035, 0.2209, 0.136, 0.0477, 0.1453, 0.186, 0.1628, 0.0721, 0.0035, -0.0826, 0.0, -0.0453, -0.0337, 0.0453, 0.007, -0.064, 0.0023, 0.0023, -0.0523, -0.1012, -0.1488, -0.1419, -0.1419, 0.0058, 0.1977, 0.2093, 0.186, 0.1744, 0.1, 0.2791, 0.1279, 0.1977, 0.1291, 0.1023, 0.1023, 0.0291, 0.0372, 0.0116, 0.0128, -0.086, -0.0477, -0.0686, -0.0872, -0.0453, -0.1593, -0.207, -0.3116, -0.4267, -0.3073, -0.4102, -0.4663, -0.5297, -0.5523, -0.5157, -0.5157, -0.5244, -0.532, -0.5279, -0.5262, -0.5721, -0.5834, -0.5035, -0.5238, -0.5384, -0.4924, -0.5157, -0.4407, -0.4622, -0.4942, -0.5052, -0.4779, -0.4634, -0.4866, -0.4459, -0.3686, -0.3547, -0.4166, -0.4035, -0.4174, -0.393, -0.4227, -0.3692, -0.3948, -0.427, -0.4552, -0.4174, -0.4093, -0.4331, -0.4331, -0.4116, -0.4613, -0.4041, -0.4395, -0.382, -0.3267, -0.2773, -0.2134, -0.1872, -0.0924, -0.0919, -0.1099, -0.0314, -0.0581, -0.0814, -0.0878, -0.1116, -0.1622, -0.107, -0.0517, -0.0491, -0.0401, -0.0535, -0.1012, -0.0744, 0.0436, -0.0076, -0.0267, 0.0297, -0.0238, -0.082, -0.0605, -0.0128, 0.0773, 0.0587, 0.0587, 0.0523, 0.036, 0.0349, 0.0273, 0.0, -0.0628, -0.143, -0.1267, -0.1907, -0.1157, -0.1738, -0.161]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004934248986538129", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T15:15:49+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was a little too early but I will ultimately be right", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Maintains short SLV thesis; believes the bearish call will prove correct despite early timing.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pforce810 I was a little too early but I will ultimately be right. In the meantime, I’m green on SLV trading.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Regardless if you made money or not, the main point here is that you're overall thesis was to short the momentum of $SLV.\n\nMaybe you got lucky and we're able to get out in the green on a couple red candles, but let's be honest, you thought you were a smart guy shorting silver", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pforce810", "ret_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07741251999667598, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04499319988770312, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04650809870432049, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07938193469002708, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.1557340139571337, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1557340139571337, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "price_path": [-0.3499, -0.3557, -0.3407, -0.3325, -0.3427, -0.325, -0.3227, -0.3118, -0.284, -0.291, -0.2678, -0.2551, -0.2881, -0.2771, -0.3366, -0.3353, -0.3307, -0.3336, -0.3577, -0.3531, -0.3451, -0.3283, -0.3333, -0.3371, -0.3525, -0.3387, -0.3403, -0.3346, -0.3063, -0.2963, -0.268, -0.2816, -0.3037, -0.3112, -0.3016, -0.2963, -0.3065, -0.3137, -0.2936, -0.293, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.2242, -0.2044, -0.1951, -0.196, -0.2159, -0.1978, -0.2015, -0.1642, -0.1506, -0.1271, -0.1501, -0.1197, -0.1254, -0.0871, -0.1013, -0.077, -0.0536, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.012, 0.0774, 0.0, 0.045, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0039, 0.0465, 0.1166, 0.075, 0.0561, 0.0965, 0.17, 0.1907, 0.281, 0.2622, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2936, 0.2719, 0.32, 0.4075, 0.4898, 0.539, 0.5998, 0.5993, 0.1429, 0.0974, 0.1659, 0.1995, 0.0103, 0.0633, 0.1519, 0.1121, 0.1598, 0.0261, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0055, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.1607, 0.2206, 0.198, 0.2125, 0.2188, 0.2875, 0.2357, 0.1313, 0.1413, 0.1251, 0.1504, 0.1856, 0.2133, 0.1803, 0.1586, 0.1012, 0.1092, 0.0856, 0.0408, -0.005, -0.068, -0.0536, -0.0464, -0.0121, -0.0794, -0.0389, -0.0377, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0012, -0.0011, 0.0221, 0.0361, 0.0465, 0.0344, 0.0913, 0.0883, 0.0792, 0.1154, 0.093, 0.0376, 0.0661, 0.0359, 0.0421, 0.0351, 0.0029, -0.0177, 0.0098, 0.0345, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0624, 0.0847, 0.106, 0.1816, 0.19, 0.2021, 0.1439, 0.0459, 0.0595, 0.0135, 0.0412, 0.0521, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0562, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0351, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.003, 0.0147, -0.0673, -0.0671, -0.106, -0.1265, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.0385, -0.0397, -0.0818, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.1076, -0.1557]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998149238707065238", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-08T21:54:36+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If it can't go to zero, it can only go one direction", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies ASST can't go to zero and therefore must go up; endorses the bullish leg of the parent's binary trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheSkayeth If it can’t go to zero, it can only go one direction", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I'm not worried about $ASST.\n\nI think the trade is insane, we either go:\n\nA: $1 -&gt; $0.\nB: $1 -&gt; $12.\n\nThe bollinger bands are squeezing, and I think we are about to find out which direction VERY soon.\n\nWatching closely, don't miss out! https://t.co/LRqWZy1H6j", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheSkayeth", "ret_m1d": -0.03431367003335528, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03431367003335528, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03517744356773789, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038067455669425376, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008637735343826058, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003753785636070095, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01960782480441492, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01960782480441492, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02623987926278204, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031056733301994877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00663205445836712, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011448908497579957, "ret_p1w": -0.15686269193280333, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15686269193280333, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15075762312193852, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18238818786109312, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105068810864811, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025525495928289788, "ret_p1m": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012558007614037026, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04737916945373066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558007614037026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04737916945373066, "ret_p3m": -0.5735294131396689, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5735294131396689, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.560831392583895, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.525983273492002, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.012698020555773848, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04754613964766685, "ret_p6m": -0.27745097810055186, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27745097810055186, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.38797831152794804, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24048019715979363, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11052733342739618, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03697078094075823, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012558007614037026, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04737916945373066, "price_path": [7.7353, 7.3235, 5.098, 3.3922, 2.6078, 2.7451, 3.2157, 3.0196, 2.2843, 1.951, 1.6961, 1.3922, 1.2549, 1.451, 1.4608, 1.6078, 1.549, 1.4804, 1.0588, 0.951, 0.7745, 0.5245, 0.0588, -0.0225, -0.0588, -0.1176, -0.1824, -0.1529, -0.1863, -0.2353, -0.1529, 0.0784, 0.6078, 0.4118, 0.2255, 0.1863, 0.3039, 0.2451, 0.2255, 0.4314, 0.4216, 0.4804, 0.451, 0.3333, 0.2647, 0.1275, 0.0588, 0.0196, 0.098, 0.0294, -0.0363, 0.0, 0.1078, 0.0882, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.098, 0.0294, 0.0147, 0.0294, -0.0422, -0.1167, -0.0343, 0.0, -0.0196, -0.0961, -0.1539, -0.2265, -0.1569, -0.1951, -0.1853, -0.1186, -0.151, -0.2108, -0.1549, -0.1549, -0.201, -0.2422, -0.2824, -0.2765, -0.2765, -0.152, 0.0098, 0.0196, 0.0, -0.0098, -0.0725, 0.0784, -0.049, 0.0098, -0.048, -0.0706, -0.0706, -0.1324, -0.1255, -0.1471, -0.1461, -0.2294, -0.1971, -0.2147, -0.2304, -0.1951, -0.2912, -0.3314, -0.4196, -0.5167, -0.4159, -0.5027, -0.55, -0.6034, -0.6225, -0.5917, -0.5917, -0.599, -0.6054, -0.602, -0.6005, -0.6392, -0.6488, -0.5814, -0.5985, -0.6108, -0.5721, -0.5917, -0.5284, -0.5466, -0.5735, -0.5828, -0.5598, -0.5475, -0.5672, -0.5328, -0.4676, -0.4559, -0.5081, -0.4971, -0.5088, -0.4882, -0.5132, -0.4681, -0.4897, -0.5169, -0.5407, -0.5088, -0.502, -0.5221, -0.5221, -0.5039, -0.5458, -0.4975, -0.5275, -0.4789, -0.4324, -0.3907, -0.3368, -0.3147, -0.2348, -0.2343, -0.2495, -0.1833, -0.2059, -0.2255, -0.2309, -0.251, -0.2936, -0.2471, -0.2005, -0.1983, -0.1907, -0.202, -0.2422, -0.2196, -0.1201, -0.1632, -0.1794, -0.1319, -0.177, -0.226, -0.2078, -0.1676, -0.0917, -0.1074, -0.1074, -0.1127, -0.1265, -0.1275, -0.1338, -0.1569, -0.2098, -0.2775]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010354394945175595", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-11T14:13:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We will be going up sustainably by January 15 or so. This view is not loosely held.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC from now through ~Jan 15, sustainably up; high conviction, no chart needed.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@willywoo We will be going up sustainably by January 15 or so. This view is not loosely held. Didn’t even need a chart.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m bullish BTC late Jan through Feb but presently bearish for 2026.\n\nThis is a data informed opinion which I hold lightly.\n\nOur internal models of investor flows put in a bottom on 24th December and has steadily strengthened. Typically it takes around 2-3 weeks for this to", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "willywoo", "ret_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007455513945655912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0058875433377786335, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04527528885126264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047274795616644494, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01492002323712005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019954847119349584, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24562228645755824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24124919842577086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21301158780446994, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1937452504669448, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01492002323712005, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019954847119349584, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019954847119349584, "price_path": [0.2148, 0.1863, 0.1675, 0.2127, 0.1895, 0.1809, 0.207, 0.2176, 0.2514, 0.2386, 0.2068, 0.1877, 0.2014, 0.1684, 0.114, 0.1393, 0.1108, 0.1336, 0.1623, 0.1294, 0.1148, 0.0933, 0.0351, 0.0099, 0.0193, 0.003, -0.05, -0.0669, -0.032, -0.0422, -0.0074, 0.001, -0.003, -0.0534, 0.0017, 0.0256, 0.0104, -0.0198, -0.0061, 0.0164, 0.0091, 0.0145, -0.0101, -0.0523, -0.0367, -0.0554, -0.0628, -0.0339, -0.0296, -0.0414, -0.0393, -0.0434, -0.0427, -0.0445, -0.0303, -0.0404, -0.027, -0.0137, 0.0295, 0.0278, 0.0013, -0.0018, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0453, 0.0629, 0.0478, 0.0475, 0.0149, -0.0316, -0.0199, -0.019, -0.0185, -0.0321, -0.0229, -0.022, -0.0727, -0.0775, -0.1371, -0.1706, -0.1993, -0.3124, -0.2263, -0.2311, -0.2456, -0.2654, -0.2738, -0.2449, -0.2451, -0.2599, -0.2716, -0.2658, -0.2543, -0.2914, -0.2973, -0.2548, -0.2603, -0.2776, -0.2458, -0.2511, -0.2027, -0.2232, -0.2528, -0.2499, -0.2332, -0.2302, -0.227, -0.2218, -0.1791, -0.1894, -0.2187, -0.2334, -0.2267, -0.2224, -0.2267, -0.218, -0.2456, -0.2725, -0.2687, -0.2518, -0.2535, -0.2665, -0.266, -0.2449, -0.2111, -0.2201, -0.213, -0.1997, -0.1832, -0.1865, -0.1797, -0.1759, -0.1542, -0.168, -0.1627, -0.1424, -0.1417, -0.1506, -0.1516, -0.1628, -0.1691, -0.1633, -0.1427, -0.1246, -0.1126, -0.1071, -0.1226, -0.1207, -0.1038, -0.1175, -0.1307, -0.1112, -0.133, -0.1561, -0.1584, -0.1506, -0.1497, -0.1722, -0.1526, -0.1685, -0.1848, -0.1936, -0.1954, -0.2179, -0.2685, -0.298, -0.3004, -0.3319, -0.3082, -0.324, -0.3262, -0.303, -0.3032, -0.2731, -0.2806, -0.2936, -0.3103, -0.3032, -0.2987, -0.3128, -0.3311, -0.3451, -0.3419, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017699066935971851", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T20:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They can go down quickly but they can also go back up just as quickly. Focus. This is when real money is made.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Frames the selloff as a routine risk-off dip with a fast recovery; encourages buying across BTC, ETH, SOL, and silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin -13%\n\nSolana and Ethereum -21%\n\nSilver -27%\n\nThis is a run of the mill risk off move where lowest quality goes down the hardest and then everything bounces.\n\nThey can go down quickly but they can also go back up just as quickly.\n\nFocus. This is when real money is made.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "ret_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "ret_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "ret_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10888446790272044, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10678500373637556, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10678500373637556, "price_path": [0.3203, 0.2874, 0.3137, 0.347, 0.3089, 0.292, 0.267, 0.1996, 0.1704, 0.1812, 0.1624, 0.1009, 0.0814, 0.1218, 0.11, 0.1503, 0.1601, 0.1554, 0.097, 0.1609, 0.1886, 0.171, 0.136, 0.1519, 0.178, 0.1694, 0.1757, 0.1472, 0.0982, 0.1163, 0.0947, 0.0861, 0.1196, 0.1246, 0.1109, 0.1134, 0.1086, 0.1095, 0.1074, 0.1238, 0.1121, 0.1276, 0.143, 0.1931, 0.1911, 0.1604, 0.1568, 0.1503, 0.1589, 0.2114, 0.2318, 0.2143, 0.214, 0.1762, 0.1223, 0.1358, 0.1369, 0.1374, 0.1217, 0.1323, 0.1334, 0.0746, 0.0691, 0.0, -0.0388, -0.072, -0.2032, -0.1034, -0.1089, -0.1257, -0.1486, -0.1584, -0.1249, -0.1251, -0.1423, -0.1558, -0.1491, -0.1358, -0.1788, -0.1857, -0.1363, -0.1428, -0.1628, -0.126, -0.1321, -0.076, -0.0997, -0.1341, -0.1307, -0.1113, -0.1078, -0.1041, -0.0981, -0.0486, -0.0606, -0.0946, -0.1115, -0.1038, -0.0988, -0.1038, -0.0938, -0.1258, -0.157, -0.1525, -0.1329, -0.1348, -0.15, -0.1494, -0.1249, -0.0858, -0.0961, -0.088, -0.0726, -0.0534, -0.0573, -0.0494, -0.0449, -0.0198, -0.0358, -0.0297, -0.0062, -0.0053, -0.0157, -0.0168, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0303, -0.0065, 0.0145, 0.0284, 0.0348, 0.0168, 0.019, 0.0386, 0.0227, 0.0075, 0.03, 0.0048, -0.022, -0.0246, -0.0156, -0.0146, -0.0407, -0.0179, -0.0364, -0.0552, -0.0655, -0.0676, -0.0936, -0.1523, -0.1865, -0.1892, -0.2258, -0.1982, -0.2166, -0.2191, -0.1922, -0.1925, -0.1576, -0.1663, -0.1814, -0.2007, -0.1925, -0.1873, -0.2036, -0.2249, -0.241, -0.2373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017699066935971851", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-31T20:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "SOL-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They can go down quickly but they can also go back up just as quickly. Focus. This is when real money is made.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Frames the selloff as a routine risk-off dip with a fast recovery; encourages buying across BTC, ETH, SOL, and silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOL-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin -13%\n\nSolana and Ethereum -21%\n\nSilver -27%\n\nThis is a run of the mill risk off move where lowest quality goes down the hardest and then everything bounces.\n\nThey can go down quickly but they can also go back up just as quickly.\n\nFocus. This is when real money is made.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12340137394772, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12340137394772, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1283480058756694, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1283480058756694, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0661163319748288, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0661163319748288, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05766094607365624, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05766094607365624, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "ret_p1w": -0.17008878028382324, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.17008878028382324, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16798931611747836, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16798931611747836, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "ret_p1m": -0.16704516234758993, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16704516234758993, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14536025808965003, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14536025808965003, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "ret_p3m": -0.20529490347903712, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20529490347903712, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24155076316699564, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24155076316699564, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17008878028382324, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16798931611747836, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16798931611747836, "price_path": [0.5561, 0.4843, 0.5479, 0.602, 0.4795, 0.467, 0.389, 0.3274, 0.2525, 0.3469, 0.3091, 0.278, 0.23, 0.3245, 0.3295, 0.3689, 0.3482, 0.3151, 0.2129, 0.3274, 0.387, 0.3306, 0.2762, 0.2757, 0.32, 0.3063, 0.3054, 0.2666, 0.2229, 0.2372, 0.1785, 0.1445, 0.2079, 0.2042, 0.1856, 0.1722, 0.1481, 0.1697, 0.1786, 0.1958, 0.1916, 0.2134, 0.2648, 0.3208, 0.3506, 0.3048, 0.3237, 0.2995, 0.3318, 0.3914, 0.4047, 0.3624, 0.3866, 0.2763, 0.2033, 0.2384, 0.228, 0.2191, 0.1883, 0.2162, 0.1976, 0.1257, 0.1234, 0.0, -0.0661, -0.1191, -0.2516, -0.1628, -0.1701, -0.2063, -0.2414, -0.25, -0.1929, -0.1727, -0.1845, -0.2192, -0.2113, -0.1899, -0.2557, -0.2435, -0.1585, -0.1777, -0.2156, -0.1707, -0.167, -0.1305, -0.151, -0.1894, -0.187, -0.1784, -0.1714, -0.1685, -0.1562, -0.0789, -0.0935, -0.1379, -0.1489, -0.1399, -0.1249, -0.1306, -0.1222, -0.1726, -0.2053, -0.2108, -0.2045, -0.2228, -0.2443, -0.2307, -0.2328, -0.1802, -0.2095, -0.2027, -0.188, -0.1705, -0.1981, -0.1872, -0.1481, -0.1493, -0.1832, -0.1765, -0.168, -0.1755, -0.1746, -0.1881, -0.1956, -0.2053, -0.2053, -0.1986, -0.1951, -0.1738, -0.1467, -0.1538, -0.1199, -0.0682, -0.0975, -0.1281, -0.118, -0.1462, -0.1835, -0.194, -0.1764, -0.1657, -0.193, -0.1863, -0.1999, -0.2116, -0.2152, -0.2157, -0.2238, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3422, -0.3923, -0.3606, -0.3782, -0.3954, -0.3604, -0.3611, -0.2919, -0.2973, -0.3115, -0.3335, -0.3326, -0.3117, -0.3334, -0.3493, -0.3532, -0.3124, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017699066935971851", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-31T20:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They can go down quickly but they can also go back up just as quickly. Focus. This is when real money is made.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Frames the selloff as a routine risk-off dip with a fast recovery; encourages buying across BTC, ETH, SOL, and silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin -13%\n\nSolana and Ethereum -21%\n\nSilver -27%\n\nThis is a run of the mill risk off move where lowest quality goes down the hardest and then everything bounces.\n\nThey can go down quickly but they can also go back up just as quickly.\n\nFocus. This is when real money is made.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1576616843336549, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1576616843336549, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04136546776326955, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04136546776326955, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "ret_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10061061556822382, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10061061556822382, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "ret_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13255261863327006, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13255261863327006, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "ret_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0738377981132724, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0738377981132724, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1027100797345687, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10061061556822382, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10061061556822382, "price_path": [0.461, 0.4129, 0.4653, 0.5221, 0.4568, 0.4559, 0.379, 0.3239, 0.2901, 0.3321, 0.2895, 0.2079, 0.1797, 0.2595, 0.2617, 0.2915, 0.2859, 0.2934, 0.1944, 0.2788, 0.3614, 0.337, 0.2901, 0.3331, 0.4166, 0.4185, 0.3808, 0.3156, 0.2644, 0.2644, 0.2078, 0.2059, 0.2703, 0.2823, 0.264, 0.2565, 0.2385, 0.248, 0.2517, 0.2675, 0.2656, 0.2798, 0.3327, 0.3761, 0.4059, 0.3508, 0.3242, 0.3151, 0.3191, 0.4171, 0.431, 0.4149, 0.4057, 0.3593, 0.2522, 0.2707, 0.2582, 0.2597, 0.2483, 0.2891, 0.2825, 0.2021, 0.1527, 0.0, -0.0498, -0.0857, -0.2229, -0.1198, -0.1027, -0.1386, -0.1722, -0.1695, -0.1262, -0.1478, -0.1502, -0.1665, -0.169, -0.1601, -0.2085, -0.2096, -0.1236, -0.1355, -0.1764, -0.1353, -0.1542, -0.0929, -0.1163, -0.156, -0.1499, -0.1311, -0.1249, -0.1157, -0.1074, 0.0029, -0.0112, -0.06, -0.0883, -0.0844, -0.082, -0.0805, -0.0752, -0.1215, -0.1506, -0.1369, -0.1022, -0.0877, -0.1226, -0.1241, -0.1009, -0.0437, -0.0657, -0.0662, -0.0423, 0.0112, -0.009, 0.0064, 0.0018, 0.0327, -0.0124, -0.007, 0.0135, -0.0055, -0.0122, -0.0176, -0.0234, -0.0388, -0.0376, -0.021, 0.0009, 0.0072, 0.0027, -0.0227, -0.0159, -0.0021, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0271, -0.0516, -0.0921, -0.1, -0.0927, -0.0908, -0.1193, -0.0994, -0.1167, -0.1374, -0.1437, -0.1418, -0.1455, -0.2076, -0.2272, -0.2452, -0.3257, -0.2791, -0.3014, -0.3089, -0.2867, -0.2897, -0.2343, -0.2363, -0.2544, -0.2708, -0.2702, -0.2635, -0.2896, -0.309, -0.3325, -0.3275, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017699066935971851", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-31T20:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They can go down quickly but they can also go back up just as quickly. Focus. This is when real money is made.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Frames the selloff as a routine risk-off dip with a fast recovery; encourages buying across BTC, ETH, SOL, and silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity ETF SLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin -13%\n\nSolana and Ethereum -21%\n\nSilver -27%\n\nThis is a run of the mill risk off move where lowest quality goes down the hardest and then everything bounces.\n\nThey can go down quickly but they can also go back up just as quickly.\n\nFocus. This is when real money is made.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.046360214187648685, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.046360214187648685, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07085180349823783, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07085180349823783, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "ret_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05179574181394686, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05179574181394686, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "ret_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05260701618886343, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05260701618886343, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "ret_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11604601132374948, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11604601132374948, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.04969627764760198, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.05179574181394686, "alpha_c_stated": 0.05179574181394686, "price_path": [-0.3974, -0.3988, -0.3937, -0.3679, -0.3588, -0.333, -0.3454, -0.3655, -0.3723, -0.3636, -0.3588, -0.368, -0.3747, -0.3563, -0.3557, -0.3319, -0.3319, -0.2931, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2674, -0.2855, -0.2691, -0.2724, -0.2384, -0.226, -0.2046, -0.2256, -0.1978, -0.2031, -0.1681, -0.1811, -0.1589, -0.1376, -0.1049, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0182, -0.0888, -0.0478, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0924, -0.0464, 0.0175, -0.0204, -0.0377, -0.0008, 0.0661, 0.085, 0.1673, 0.1502, 0.1184, 0.1184, 0.1788, 0.159, 0.2028, 0.2826, 0.3575, 0.4024, 0.4578, 0.4573, 0.0414, 0.0, 0.0624, 0.093, -0.0794, -0.0311, 0.0497, 0.0134, 0.0569, -0.065, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0838, -0.0324, -0.0197, 0.0577, 0.1122, 0.0917, 0.1049, 0.1106, 0.1732, 0.126, 0.0309, 0.04, 0.0253, 0.0483, 0.0803, 0.1056, 0.0755, 0.0558, 0.0035, 0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0516, -0.0933, -0.1507, -0.1376, -0.131, -0.0998, -0.1611, -0.1242, -0.1231, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0877, -0.0897, -0.0686, -0.0559, -0.0464, -0.0574, -0.0055, -0.0083, -0.0166, 0.0164, -0.004, -0.0545, -0.0286, -0.056, -0.0504, -0.0567, -0.0861, -0.1049, -0.0798, -0.0573, -0.0897, -0.0901, -0.0319, -0.0116, 0.0079, 0.0768, 0.0843, 0.0954, 0.0424, -0.0469, -0.0345, -0.0765, -0.0512, -0.0413, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0375, -0.0682, -0.0563, -0.0567, -0.0658, -0.0614, -0.086, -0.0754, -0.1501, -0.1499, -0.1854, -0.204, -0.1604, -0.1539, -0.1238, -0.1249, -0.1633, -0.1785, -0.1785, -0.1868, -0.2307, -0.2852, -0.2772, -0.2645, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990106322231234842", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-16T17:14:56+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we bottom between $88,000 and $94,000 as the liquidity injections start to come fast and furious in the next 4-6 weeks and then we catapult straight to $140,000-$160,000 by February 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "BTC bottoms $88-94K, then rallies to $140-160K by Feb 2026 on liquidity injections.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think we bottom between $88,000 and $94,000 as the liquidity injections start to come fast and furious in the next 4-6 weeks and then we catapult straight to $140,000-$160,000 by February 2026. It’s basically written in the stars at this point.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025017017282636944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025017017282636944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015613059225842996, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015613059225842996, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009284005043766586, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009284005043766586, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01768155838756147, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01768155838756147, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "ret_p1w": -0.04151538308057945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04151538308057945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04611224708429518, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04611224708429518, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "ret_p1m": -0.04614737543620573, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04614737543620573, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06597704287149708, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06597704287149708, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "ret_p3m": -0.28093107440641407, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28093107440641407, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.30739029190317513, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30739029190317513, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "ret_p6m": -0.12613632353400261, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12613632353400261, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24137835342069092, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24137835342069092, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04614737543620573, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06597704287149708, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06597704287149708, "price_path": [0.2409, 0.2207, 0.2691, 0.1958, 0.214, 0.2077, 0.2221, 0.1772, 0.1863, 0.2075, 0.2131, 0.2023, 0.2015, 0.2169, 0.2111, 0.2374, 0.2542, 0.2607, 0.2536, 0.2687, 0.2647, 0.2719, 0.2562, 0.2243, 0.2163, 0.2306, 0.1841, 0.1913, 0.2422, 0.2385, 0.2883, 0.3104, 0.3276, 0.3546, 0.3188, 0.3394, 0.3215, 0.2293, 0.2517, 0.2283, 0.2029, 0.1747, 0.1561, 0.2008, 0.1779, 0.1693, 0.1952, 0.2057, 0.2392, 0.2265, 0.195, 0.176, 0.1896, 0.1569, 0.1031, 0.1281, 0.1, 0.1225, 0.151, 0.1184, 0.1039, 0.0826, 0.025, 0.0, 0.0093, -0.0068, -0.0593, -0.076, -0.0415, -0.0516, -0.0171, -0.0088, -0.0128, -0.0627, -0.0081, 0.0156, 0.0005, -0.0294, -0.0158, 0.0065, -0.0008, 0.0045, -0.0198, -0.0616, -0.0461, -0.0646, -0.072, -0.0433, -0.0391, -0.0508, -0.0487, -0.0528, -0.052, -0.0538, -0.0398, -0.0498, -0.0365, -0.0233, 0.0194, 0.0178, -0.0085, -0.0116, -0.0172, -0.0098, 0.0351, 0.0525, 0.0375, 0.0373, 0.005, -0.0411, -0.0295, -0.0286, -0.0281, -0.0416, -0.0325, -0.0316, -0.0818, -0.0865, -0.1456, -0.1787, -0.2071, -0.3192, -0.2339, -0.2386, -0.253, -0.2726, -0.2809, -0.2523, -0.2525, -0.2671, -0.2787, -0.2729, -0.2616, -0.2984, -0.3042, -0.2621, -0.2676, -0.2846, -0.2532, -0.2584, -0.2105, -0.2308, -0.2601, -0.2573, -0.2407, -0.2377, -0.2345, -0.2294, -0.1871, -0.1973, -0.2264, -0.2409, -0.2342, -0.23, -0.2343, -0.2257, -0.253, -0.2797, -0.2758, -0.2591, -0.2608, -0.2737, -0.2732, -0.2523, -0.2188, -0.2277, -0.2207, -0.2076, -0.1912, -0.1945, -0.1877, -0.184, -0.1625, -0.1761, -0.1709, -0.1508, -0.1501, -0.159, -0.1599, -0.1709, -0.1772, -0.1715, -0.1511, -0.1332, -0.1213, -0.1158, -0.1312, -0.1293, -0.1126, -0.1261]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995628543964053523", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T22:58:16+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*$315,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses BTC pre-halving euphoria thesis with a $315,000 cycle-top target.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@GertvanLagen *$315,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC pre-halving sequence:\n1 Red: Euphoria — blow-off to channel top\n2 Green: Dead-cat bounce on the midline\n3 Neon-green: Cycle bottom at the channel floor\n\nThis time, BTC has rejected the midline three times while holding higher lows on the 0.382.\n\nEuphoria comes first at https://t.co/JCF4l5lAuM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GertvanLagen", "ret_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053262415128171314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.055111177281949475, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.055111177281949475, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018487621537781607, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018487621537781607, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05825464938016567, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05479180968908248, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05479180968908248, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003462839691083186, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003462839691083186, "ret_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.050029590482028485, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04781394737529543, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04781394737529543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.002215643106733056, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002215643106733056, "ret_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024426832046342772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02089798448506275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02089798448506275, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528847561280024, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003528847561280024, "ret_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21857569095065232, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2280940077734398, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2280940077734398, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518316822787476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009518316822787476, "ret_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12158995601566491, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22899993089745807, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22899993089745807, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740997488179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10740997488179316, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.024426832046342772, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02089798448506275, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02089798448506275, "price_path": [0.2943, 0.2827, 0.2818, 0.2983, 0.292, 0.3201, 0.3381, 0.345, 0.3374, 0.3536, 0.3492, 0.357, 0.3402, 0.3061, 0.2976, 0.3129, 0.2633, 0.271, 0.3253, 0.3213, 0.3745, 0.398, 0.4164, 0.4452, 0.407, 0.429, 0.4099, 0.3115, 0.3354, 0.3104, 0.2834, 0.2533, 0.2334, 0.2811, 0.2567, 0.2475, 0.2751, 0.2863, 0.322, 0.3086, 0.2749, 0.2547, 0.2692, 0.2343, 0.1769, 0.2035, 0.1735, 0.1975, 0.2279, 0.1932, 0.1777, 0.155, 0.0936, 0.0669, 0.0768, 0.0596, 0.0036, -0.0143, 0.0226, 0.0118, 0.0486, 0.0575, 0.0533, 0.0, 0.0583, 0.0835, 0.0674, 0.0355, 0.05, 0.0738, 0.066, 0.0717, 0.0457, 0.0011, 0.0176, -0.0021, -0.01, 0.0206, 0.0251, 0.0127, 0.0149, 0.0106, 0.0114, 0.0095, 0.0244, 0.0138, 0.0279, 0.042, 0.0876, 0.0858, 0.0578, 0.0545, 0.0486, 0.0564, 0.1043, 0.1229, 0.1069, 0.1066, 0.0722, 0.023, 0.0354, 0.0364, 0.0369, 0.0225, 0.0322, 0.0332, -0.0204, -0.0254, -0.0884, -0.1238, -0.1541, -0.2736, -0.1826, -0.1877, -0.2031, -0.2239, -0.2328, -0.2023, -0.2025, -0.2181, -0.2305, -0.2243, -0.2122, -0.2514, -0.2577, -0.2127, -0.2186, -0.2368, -0.2033, -0.2088, -0.1577, -0.1793, -0.2107, -0.2076, -0.1899, -0.1867, -0.1834, -0.1779, -0.1328, -0.1436, -0.1746, -0.1901, -0.183, -0.1785, -0.1831, -0.1739, -0.2031, -0.2315, -0.2274, -0.2095, -0.2113, -0.2251, -0.2246, -0.2023, -0.1666, -0.1761, -0.1686, -0.1546, -0.1371, -0.1406, -0.1334, -0.1294, -0.1065, -0.121, -0.1155, -0.094, -0.0933, -0.1027, -0.1037, -0.1155, -0.1222, -0.116, -0.0943, -0.0752, -0.0625, -0.0567, -0.0731, -0.0711, -0.0532, -0.0677, -0.0816, -0.0611, -0.0841, -0.1085, -0.1109, -0.1027, -0.1017, -0.1255, -0.1047, -0.1216]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003623487777468845", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-24T00:27:19+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought more today. Now at 2.75M shares.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to ASST position today, now holding 2.75M shares; Ontario also added.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dannycheng2022 I bought more today. Now at 2.75M shares. Ontario added too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$ASST (Dec 23, 2025-daily chart)\n\nFor retail who like adventures. https://t.co/09GB0Y0drI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dannycheng2022", "ret_m1d": -0.06612525549787163, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06612525549787163, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06261991175954518, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06074215118765991, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035053437383264496, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005383104310211717, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.14385148347803478, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14385148347803478, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13159735636684067, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12662552206836408, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012254127111194113, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017225961409670698, "ret_p1m": 0.009280733731803936, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009280733731803936, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011308571529310418, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04373251846617954, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.002027837797506482, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0344517847343756, "ret_p3m": -0.3944315708244249, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3944315708244249, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3463273938571818, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28306003913903444, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04810417696724312, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11137153168539049, "ret_p6m": -0.13863105692451094, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13863105692451094, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22601534791852396, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10481384165087759, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08738429099401301, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03381721527363335, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009280733731803936, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.011308571529310418, "alpha_c_stated": 0.04373251846617954, "price_path": [1.8306, 1.6682, 1.9002, 1.9118, 2.0858, 2.0162, 1.935, 1.4362, 1.3086, 1.0998, 0.8039, 0.2529, 0.1566, 0.1137, 0.0441, -0.0325, 0.0023, -0.0371, -0.0951, 0.0023, 0.2761, 0.9026, 0.6705, 0.4501, 0.4037, 0.5429, 0.4733, 0.4501, 0.6937, 0.6821, 0.7517, 0.7169, 0.5777, 0.4965, 0.3341, 0.2529, 0.2065, 0.2993, 0.2181, 0.1404, 0.1833, 0.3109, 0.2877, 0.3109, 0.3109, 0.2993, 0.2181, 0.2007, 0.2181, 0.1334, 0.0452, 0.1427, 0.1833, 0.1601, 0.0696, 0.0012, -0.0847, -0.0023, -0.0476, -0.036, 0.0429, 0.0046, -0.0661, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0545, -0.1032, -0.1508, -0.1439, -0.1439, 0.0035, 0.1949, 0.2065, 0.1833, 0.1717, 0.0974, 0.2761, 0.1253, 0.1949, 0.1265, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.0267, 0.0348, 0.0093, 0.0104, -0.0882, -0.0499, -0.0708, -0.0893, -0.0476, -0.1613, -0.2088, -0.3132, -0.4281, -0.3089, -0.4115, -0.4675, -0.5307, -0.5534, -0.5168, -0.5168, -0.5255, -0.5331, -0.529, -0.5273, -0.5731, -0.5844, -0.5046, -0.5249, -0.5394, -0.4936, -0.5168, -0.442, -0.4635, -0.4954, -0.5064, -0.4791, -0.4646, -0.4878, -0.4472, -0.3701, -0.3561, -0.4179, -0.4049, -0.4188, -0.3944, -0.424, -0.3706, -0.3962, -0.4284, -0.4565, -0.4188, -0.4107, -0.4345, -0.4345, -0.413, -0.4626, -0.4055, -0.4408, -0.3834, -0.3283, -0.279, -0.2152, -0.1891, -0.0945, -0.094, -0.1119, -0.0336, -0.0603, -0.0835, -0.0899, -0.1137, -0.1642, -0.109, -0.0539, -0.0513, -0.0423, -0.0557, -0.1032, -0.0766, 0.0412, -0.0099, -0.029, 0.0273, -0.0261, -0.0841, -0.0626, -0.0151, 0.0748, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.0499, 0.0336, 0.0325, 0.0249, -0.0023, -0.065, -0.145, -0.1288, -0.1926, -0.1177, -0.1758, -0.163, -0.1543, -0.1212, -0.0331, -0.0841, -0.1044, -0.1386]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020202813335433399", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T18:27:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That has been my forecast on when Bitcoin will hit $1M since I first modeled it in 2017 at $1500 per coin. Nothing major has changed.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC to $1M by 2033; forecast unchanged since 2017 model.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives That has been my forecast on when Bitcoin will hit $1M since I first modeled it in 2017 at $1500 per coin. Nothing major has changed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred why 2033? curious?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.006198011021162131, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006198011021162131, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010996600251844013, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010996600251844013, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018921927121284043, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018921927121284043, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016284869350584597, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016284869350584597, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "ret_p1w": -0.018220347480797594, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018220347480797594, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0006398444485878896, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0006398444485878896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "ret_p1m": -0.002764649388443563, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002764649388443563, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021401335997036086, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021401335997036086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "ret_p3m": 0.1410311003558593, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1410311003558593, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08392612009754008, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08392612009754008, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.4498, 0.4218, 0.3462, 0.3134, 0.3256, 0.3044, 0.2355, 0.2135, 0.2588, 0.2456, 0.2909, 0.3018, 0.2966, 0.231, 0.3028, 0.3338, 0.314, 0.2748, 0.2926, 0.3219, 0.3123, 0.3193, 0.2874, 0.2324, 0.2528, 0.2285, 0.2188, 0.2565, 0.262, 0.2466, 0.2494, 0.2441, 0.245, 0.2427, 0.2611, 0.248, 0.2654, 0.2827, 0.3389, 0.3367, 0.3022, 0.2981, 0.2908, 0.3005, 0.3594, 0.3823, 0.3627, 0.3623, 0.3199, 0.2594, 0.2746, 0.2758, 0.2764, 0.2588, 0.2707, 0.2719, 0.2059, 0.1998, 0.1222, 0.0786, 0.0413, -0.1058, 0.0062, 0.0, -0.0189, -0.0446, -0.0556, -0.018, -0.0182, -0.0375, -0.0527, -0.0451, -0.0302, -0.0785, -0.0861, -0.0308, -0.038, -0.0605, -0.0192, -0.0261, 0.0369, 0.0103, -0.0283, -0.0245, -0.0028, 0.0012, 0.0053, 0.0121, 0.0676, 0.0542, 0.016, -0.003, 0.0057, 0.0113, 0.0057, 0.017, -0.019, -0.0539, -0.0489, -0.0269, -0.0291, -0.0461, -0.0455, -0.018, 0.026, 0.0143, 0.0235, 0.0408, 0.0622, 0.0579, 0.0668, 0.0718, 0.0999, 0.082, 0.0889, 0.1153, 0.1162, 0.1046, 0.1033, 0.0888, 0.0807, 0.0882, 0.1149, 0.1384, 0.1541, 0.1612, 0.141, 0.1436, 0.1655, 0.1477, 0.1306, 0.1559, 0.1276, 0.0975, 0.0946, 0.1046, 0.1058, 0.0765, 0.1021, 0.0814, 0.0602, 0.0487, 0.0464, 0.0171, -0.0487, -0.0871, -0.0901, -0.1312, -0.1003, -0.1209, -0.1237, -0.0935, -0.0938, -0.0546, -0.0645, -0.0813, -0.103, -0.0938, -0.088, -0.1063, -0.1301, -0.1483, -0.1441, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008691885536375065", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T00:07:19+00:00", "symbol": "AI data centers", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI data centers are wildly undervalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AI data centers are wildly undervalued due to severe infrastructure shortage that Vera Rubin launch will worsen.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQIX", "DLR", "VRT", "SMCI", "CORZ"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US AI data center operators/enablers basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "REIT - Specialty", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "People don’t understand. There isn’t enough high quality infrastructure to run the Blackwells now. The largest companies have chips in warehouses because there is nowhere to plug them in. Launching Vera Rubin makes the infra shortage worse. AI data centers are wildly undervalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01971231160016811, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01971231160016811, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016478475331426035, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016478475331426035, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008992142140375314, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008992142140375314, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00889061482610205, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00889061482610205, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "ret_p1w": 0.019757134140337373, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019757134140337373, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018626096724274243, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018626096724274243, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "ret_p1m": 0.015905737434145317, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015905737434145317, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03324964586202468, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03324964586202468, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "ret_p3m": 0.14903446010162452, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14903446010162452, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19087216677666724, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19087216677666724, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015905737434145317, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03324964586202468, "alpha_c_stated": 0.03324964586202468, "price_path": [0.1982, 0.2363, 0.2208, 0.2504, 0.2392, 0.2142, 0.236, 0.2362, 0.2022, 0.193, 0.2214, 0.2572, 0.2504, 0.2575, 0.249, 0.2712, 0.2768, 0.2224, 0.1946, 0.1611, 0.152, 0.1531, 0.1068, 0.0753, 0.0152, 0.0296, 0.0045, 0.0187, 0.0143, -0.0212, -0.0221, 0.0125, -0.0, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0423, 0.0251, 0.013, 0.0301, 0.0446, 0.0643, 0.0704, 0.056, 0.0515, 0.047, -0.0029, -0.0206, -0.031, -0.0751, -0.0623, -0.0252, -0.0112, -0.016, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0153, -0.0227, -0.0307, -0.0396, -0.0396, 0.005, 0.0092, 0.0197, 0.0, -0.009, 0.0137, 0.02, 0.0279, 0.0198, 0.0338, 0.0742, 0.0742, 0.0478, 0.0608, 0.0592, 0.0648, 0.0675, 0.0933, 0.0949, 0.0892, 0.0584, 0.0615, 0.0568, 0.0587, 0.0159, 0.1042, 0.1306, 0.1216, 0.1749, 0.1734, 0.1766, 0.1766, 0.1743, 0.1596, 0.184, 0.1792, 0.1698, 0.198, 0.2329, 0.2121, 0.2032, 0.1967, 0.1596, 0.1924, 0.182, 0.1438, 0.1847, 0.1983, 0.2136, 0.1999, 0.1945, 0.2206, 0.2127, 0.1971, 0.2083, 0.1036, 0.1264, 0.1485, 0.1718, 0.1135, 0.1023, 0.0622, 0.1164, 0.1334, 0.1546, 0.1546, 0.149, 0.1623, 0.2059, 0.2234, 0.2505, 0.2764, 0.3018, 0.2952, 0.3078, 0.3399, 0.3544, 0.3547, 0.3579, 0.3586, 0.3753, 0.359, 0.3156, 0.3083, 0.3537, 0.3559, 0.3705, 0.3914, 0.4942, 0.4254, 0.446, 0.4715, 0.4611, 0.4706, 0.4961, 0.457, 0.4123, 0.3759, 0.4016, 0.439, 0.4608, 0.4608, 0.482, 0.4902, 0.5107, 0.531, 0.5551, 0.6046, 0.5777, 0.5628, 0.4705, 0.4914, 0.4574, 0.3444, 0.4049, 0.4104, 0.436, 0.4242, 0.4332, 0.4824, 0.4824, 0.5583, 0.4981, 0.4652, 0.4616, 0.4302, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2011489919567355959", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T17:25:43+00:00", "symbol": "RSP", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The real bull market is just beginning now. Lock in.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on equal-weighted S&P (broad market ex-mega-cap tech); real bull market is just beginning as non-AI sectors start to benefit.", "resolved_tickers": ["RSP"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "RSP equal-weight S&P500 ETF, pass-through", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The S&amp;P 500 is down 1% today. The equal weighted S&amp;P is flat. All the other industries outside of technology that are not touching AI directly or indirectly are starting to benefit. The real bull market is just beginning now. Lock in.\n\n---\n\nUpdate: equal weighted finished +.46% and the regular market cap weighted finished -.49%\n\nLooking good.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004529867517015673, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004529867517015673, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009469399468921336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009469399468921336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939531951905662, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004429288105272766, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004429288105272766, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0017059905972856004, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0017059905972856004, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232975079871657, "ret_p1w": 0.003623955956283398, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003623955956283398, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010808519623406121, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010808519623406121, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184563667122723, "ret_p1m": 0.010620070911969481, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010620070911969481, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023787001049967116, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023787001049967116, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013166930137997634, "ret_p3m": 0.005039423412843025, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005039423412843025, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.008495895892872918, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008495895892872918, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003456472480029893, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010620070911969481, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.023787001049967116, "alpha_c_stated": 0.023787001049967116, "price_path": [-0.0575, -0.048, -0.0437, -0.0483, -0.0438, -0.0412, -0.0369, -0.0452, -0.0558, -0.0599, -0.0579, -0.0602, -0.0664, -0.0609, -0.0675, -0.0597, -0.0543, -0.0488, -0.0466, -0.0574, -0.0608, -0.0731, -0.0726, -0.0754, -0.0867, -0.0687, -0.0649, -0.0516, -0.045, -0.045, -0.0398, -0.0464, -0.0473, -0.04, -0.0397, -0.0374, -0.0432, -0.045, -0.0316, -0.0238, -0.0304, -0.0292, -0.036, -0.0386, -0.0365, -0.033, -0.0259, -0.0281, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0244, -0.026, -0.0275, -0.0358, -0.0358, -0.0293, -0.0203, -0.0085, -0.0196, -0.0112, -0.0054, -0.0045, -0.0045, 0.0, 0.0044, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0131, 0.0036, 0.0049, 0.0005, 0.0028, 0.0013, -0.0021, -0.0008, -0.003, 0.0021, -0.0006, 0.0082, -0.0006, 0.018, 0.0186, 0.0222, 0.0241, 0.0106, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0193, 0.0246, 0.0224, 0.0272, 0.016, 0.0241, 0.0247, 0.0305, 0.0317, 0.0297, 0.0171, 0.0212, 0.0094, -0.0027, 0.0002, -0.0073, -0.0106, -0.0259, -0.026, -0.0187, -0.0132, -0.0262, -0.027, -0.0413, -0.0311, -0.0299, -0.0252, -0.0341, -0.0474, -0.0493, -0.0299, -0.0268, -0.024, -0.024, -0.0198, -0.022, 0.0006, 0.0012, -0.006, 0.005, 0.0092, 0.0096, 0.0142, 0.0269, 0.0302, 0.0238, 0.0234, 0.0233, 0.0212, 0.02, 0.0148, 0.013, 0.0283, 0.0252, 0.0192, 0.0273, 0.0355, 0.0288, 0.0317, 0.0311, 0.0302, 0.0257, 0.0295, 0.0188, 0.0251, 0.0191, 0.0303, 0.0348, 0.0442, 0.0442, 0.0496, 0.0488, 0.0527, 0.0556, 0.0575, 0.0617, 0.0577, 0.0657, 0.0505, 0.0494, 0.0574, 0.044, 0.0602, 0.0698, 0.0761, 0.0725, 0.0564, 0.0613, 0.0613, 0.0636, 0.06, 0.0675, 0.0745, 0.0672, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006415788417151268", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-31T17:22:56+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am raising my price target for 2026 from $42 to $55. Should be a big year for the company.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Raising CIFR price target for 2026 from $42 to $55; expects a big year ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have spent the entire morning so far doing an updated analysis on CIFR and I am raising my price target for 2026 from $42 to $55. Should be a big year for the company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011517620166515696, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011517620166515696, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018981773953296255, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0215197684243551, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0074641537867805585, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010002148257839405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.08943087224628155, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08943087224628155, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07819788452511278, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07164941700239691, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011232987721168763, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017781455243884636, "ret_p1m": 0.19918702496391094, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19918702496391094, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18141371341905965, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17904386727137367, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01777331154485129, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020143157692537272, "ret_p3m": -0.18597559911874295, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18597559911874295, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11525748171270489, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07267789371735123, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071811740603806, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11329770540139172, "ret_p6m": 0.7398373920703663, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7398373920703663, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6573024033714692, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.45470960472706845, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08253498869889708, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2851277873432978, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0041, 0.0393, 0.0671, 0.1924, 0.2188, 0.1497, 0.378, 0.4153, 0.4248, 0.2683, 0.271, 0.3489, 0.2246, 0.0915, 0.169, 0.3997, 0.3916, 0.3523, 0.3272, 0.292, 0.2636, 0.542, 0.5251, 0.6741, 0.4709, 0.4018, 0.3313, 0.2649, 0.1775, 0.0115, -0.0271, -0.0278, -0.0122, -0.0095, -0.0136, -0.0413, 0.1321, 0.187, 0.2974, 0.2974, 0.3787, 0.334, 0.1951, 0.2622, 0.3435, 0.3062, 0.3198, 0.3252, 0.252, 0.2791, 0.1551, -0.0014, 0.0156, -0.0251, 0.0264, 0.0982, 0.107, 0.0779, 0.0989, 0.0989, 0.0291, 0.0217, -0.0115, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0976, 0.2304, 0.1883, 0.0894, 0.1213, 0.1267, 0.1978, 0.2364, 0.2283, 0.187, 0.2737, 0.2737, 0.2141, 0.2005, 0.1782, 0.1904, 0.1172, 0.2703, 0.2852, 0.1992, 0.0813, 0.0711, 0.1016, -0.0346, -0.1396, -0.002, 0.1355, 0.1585, 0.103, 0.0908, 0.1125, 0.1125, 0.0596, 0.0447, 0.0705, -0.0075, 0.0312, 0.1599, 0.1253, 0.1165, 0.0569, 0.0678, -0.0034, 0.0867, 0.0264, -0.0772, -0.0305, -0.0542, -0.044, -0.0711, -0.0461, 0.0257, 0.0224, -0.0061, -0.0081, -0.0508, 0.0088, 0.0081, 0.0759, -0.0278, -0.0688, -0.186, -0.128, -0.1436, -0.1314, -0.1314, -0.0955, -0.0508, 0.0447, 0.1084, 0.1199, 0.2033, 0.25, 0.2195, 0.1748, 0.3123, 0.3069, 0.2222, 0.3171, 0.2663, 0.2331, 0.2304, 0.1694, 0.1463, 0.2019, 0.1545, 0.2121, 0.4973, 0.4844, 0.4014, 0.3923, 0.374, 0.3591, 0.439, 0.5102, 0.3774, 0.2954, 0.2737, 0.3198, 0.458, 0.4885, 0.4885, 0.5596, 0.7046, 0.666, 0.6023, 0.6267, 0.7812, 0.7778, 0.731, 0.521, 0.6457, 0.5606, 0.4241, 0.5332, 0.6599, 0.7636, 0.7757, 0.7852, 0.977, 0.977, 0.9065, 0.8726, 0.7764, 0.7398]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019767334538236308", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T13:37:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we are more than 10% off the lows and will begin a quiet recovery that will build in to euphoria in the spring", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish BTC: fear climax is in, quiet recovery underway building to spring euphoria.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The multi-week buildup in fear reached a climax yesterday after hours culminating with a large whoosh down in Bitcoin and other risk assets. Now we are more than 10% off the lows and will begin a quiet recovery that will build in to euphoria in the spring. I’ve seen this movie.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11130677470825778, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11130677470825778, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09248311610250182, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09248311610250182, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823658605755966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823658605755966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006159832312600089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006159832312600089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010981559029177412, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010981559029177412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821726716577324, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821726716577324, "ret_p1w": -0.02405977573028284, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02405977573028284, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011216231033489232, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011216231033489232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843544696793607, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843544696793607, "ret_p1m": -0.03051514269041722, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03051514269041722, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012632640360848879, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012632640360848879, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788250232956834, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788250232956834, "ret_p3m": 0.154093691902085, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.154093691902085, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08862482495722057, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08862482495722057, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546886694486442, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546886694486442, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03051514269041722, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.012632640360848879, "alpha_c_stated": -0.012632640360848879, "price_path": [0.4598, 0.4409, 0.413, 0.3379, 0.3053, 0.3174, 0.2964, 0.2279, 0.206, 0.2511, 0.2379, 0.2829, 0.2938, 0.2886, 0.2235, 0.2947, 0.3256, 0.3059, 0.2669, 0.2847, 0.3137, 0.3042, 0.3112, 0.2794, 0.2249, 0.245, 0.2209, 0.2113, 0.2487, 0.2542, 0.2389, 0.2417, 0.2364, 0.2373, 0.235, 0.2533, 0.2403, 0.2576, 0.2748, 0.3306, 0.3284, 0.2941, 0.2902, 0.2829, 0.2925, 0.351, 0.3738, 0.3543, 0.3539, 0.3118, 0.2517, 0.2668, 0.268, 0.2686, 0.251, 0.2629, 0.264, 0.1985, 0.1924, 0.1153, 0.072, 0.0349, -0.1113, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.025, -0.0505, -0.0614, -0.0241, -0.0243, -0.0434, -0.0585, -0.051, -0.0361, -0.0842, -0.0918, -0.0368, -0.044, -0.0662, -0.0252, -0.0321, 0.0305, 0.004, -0.0343, -0.0305, -0.0089, -0.005, -0.0009, 0.0059, 0.061, 0.0477, 0.0098, -0.0091, -0.0005, 0.0051, -0.0005, 0.0107, -0.025, -0.0598, -0.0548, -0.0329, -0.0351, -0.052, -0.0514, -0.024, 0.0196, 0.008, 0.0172, 0.0344, 0.0557, 0.0514, 0.0602, 0.0652, 0.0931, 0.0754, 0.0822, 0.1084, 0.1093, 0.0978, 0.0965, 0.0821, 0.074, 0.0815, 0.1081, 0.1314, 0.147, 0.1541, 0.134, 0.1365, 0.1584, 0.1406, 0.1236, 0.1488, 0.1206, 0.0907, 0.0878, 0.0978, 0.099, 0.0699, 0.0953, 0.0747, 0.0537, 0.0423, 0.0399, 0.0108, -0.0546, -0.0927, -0.0957, -0.1365, -0.1058, -0.1263, -0.1291, -0.0991, -0.0994, -0.0605, -0.0702, -0.087, -0.1086, -0.0994, -0.0936, -0.1118, -0.1355, -0.1535, -0.1494, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004997063030046857", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T19:25:25+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "Yes this is the argument they will make just before it crashes again", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses the silver bull case as a contrarian signal; implies silver will crash.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity ETF SLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KennyZufall Yes this is the argument they will make just before it crashes again.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Dug into silver today.Silver is mined at a ratio of 7:1 to gold. I had Gemini throw together a list of current supply and consumption + annual production. We're running at a deficit and silver will become more valuable. if we base FMV at existing gold standrd then its undervalued https://t.co/79oaplOYZD", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KennyZufall", "ret_m1d": 0.07741251999667598, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07741251999667598, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07383612144393448, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04499319988770312, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04499319988770312, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04621441350106814, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.04650809870432049, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04650809870432049, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04669703445546047, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.5390091357402276, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5279020685797231, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.07938193469002708, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07938193469002708, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.019778503516877044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.1557340139571337, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1557340139571337, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22788418844170844, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.5390091357402276, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "alpha_c_stated": -0.5279020685797231, "price_path": [-0.3499, -0.3557, -0.3407, -0.3325, -0.3427, -0.325, -0.3227, -0.3118, -0.284, -0.291, -0.2678, -0.2551, -0.2881, -0.2771, -0.3366, -0.3353, -0.3307, -0.3336, -0.3577, -0.3531, -0.3451, -0.3283, -0.3333, -0.3371, -0.3525, -0.3387, -0.3403, -0.3346, -0.3063, -0.2963, -0.268, -0.2816, -0.3037, -0.3112, -0.3016, -0.2963, -0.3065, -0.3137, -0.2936, -0.293, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.2242, -0.2044, -0.1951, -0.196, -0.2159, -0.1978, -0.2015, -0.1642, -0.1506, -0.1271, -0.1501, -0.1197, -0.1254, -0.0871, -0.1013, -0.077, -0.0536, -0.0177, -0.012, -0.012, 0.0774, 0.0, 0.045, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.0039, 0.0465, 0.1166, 0.075, 0.0561, 0.0965, 0.17, 0.1907, 0.281, 0.2622, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2936, 0.2719, 0.32, 0.4075, 0.4898, 0.539, 0.5998, 0.5993, 0.1429, 0.0974, 0.1659, 0.1995, 0.0103, 0.0633, 0.1519, 0.1121, 0.1598, 0.0261, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.0055, 0.0618, 0.0757, 0.1607, 0.2206, 0.198, 0.2125, 0.2188, 0.2875, 0.2357, 0.1313, 0.1413, 0.1251, 0.1504, 0.1856, 0.2133, 0.1803, 0.1586, 0.1012, 0.1092, 0.0856, 0.0408, -0.005, -0.068, -0.0536, -0.0464, -0.0121, -0.0794, -0.0389, -0.0377, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0012, -0.0011, 0.0221, 0.0361, 0.0465, 0.0344, 0.0913, 0.0883, 0.0792, 0.1154, 0.093, 0.0376, 0.0661, 0.0359, 0.0421, 0.0351, 0.0029, -0.0177, 0.0098, 0.0345, -0.0011, -0.0015, 0.0624, 0.0847, 0.106, 0.1816, 0.19, 0.2021, 0.1439, 0.0459, 0.0595, 0.0135, 0.0412, 0.0521, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0562, 0.0226, 0.0356, 0.0351, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.003, 0.0147, -0.0673, -0.0671, -0.106, -0.1265, -0.0786, -0.0715, -0.0385, -0.0397, -0.0818, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.1076, -0.1557]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005014146941943934", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T20:33:18+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Business and liquidity cycles turning higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; business and liquidity cycles turning higher support upside from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Micro2Macr0 Business and liquidity cycles turning higher", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If we do drop it'll probably be over in a month or two. So, maybe $70,000's (Red line) for #Bitcoin isn't so bad? https://t.co/KmS9oPQfvU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Micro2Macr0", "ret_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01143678876079579, "price_path": [0.3616, 0.3849, 0.4031, 0.4317, 0.3938, 0.4156, 0.3967, 0.2993, 0.3229, 0.2982, 0.2714, 0.2415, 0.2218, 0.2691, 0.2449, 0.2358, 0.2632, 0.2742, 0.3096, 0.2963, 0.263, 0.2429, 0.2573, 0.2227, 0.1659, 0.1923, 0.1625, 0.1863, 0.2164, 0.182, 0.1667, 0.1441, 0.0833, 0.0569, 0.0667, 0.0497, -0.0058, -0.0235, 0.013, 0.0023, 0.0388, 0.0476, 0.0434, -0.0094, 0.0483, 0.0733, 0.0574, 0.0258, 0.0402, 0.0637, 0.056, 0.0617, 0.0359, -0.0082, 0.0081, -0.0114, -0.0192, 0.0111, 0.0155, 0.0032, 0.0054, 0.0011, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0043, 0.0183, 0.0322, 0.0774, 0.0756, 0.0479, 0.0446, 0.0387, 0.0465, 0.0939, 0.1124, 0.0965, 0.0962, 0.0621, 0.0135, 0.0257, 0.0267, 0.0271, 0.013, 0.0225, 0.0235, -0.0296, -0.0345, -0.097, -0.132, -0.162, -0.2804, -0.1903, -0.1953, -0.2105, -0.2312, -0.24, -0.2098, -0.21, -0.2254, -0.2377, -0.2316, -0.2196, -0.2585, -0.2646, -0.2201, -0.2259, -0.2439, -0.2107, -0.2163, -0.1656, -0.187, -0.2181, -0.215, -0.1975, -0.1943, -0.191, -0.1856, -0.1409, -0.1517, -0.1824, -0.1977, -0.1907, -0.1862, -0.1907, -0.1816, -0.2105, -0.2387, -0.2346, -0.217, -0.2187, -0.2324, -0.2319, -0.2098, -0.1744, -0.1838, -0.1764, -0.1625, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1415, -0.1376, -0.1149, -0.1293, -0.1238, -0.1025, -0.1018, -0.1111, -0.1121, -0.1238, -0.1304, -0.1243, -0.1028, -0.0839, -0.0713, -0.0655, -0.0818, -0.0798, -0.0621, -0.0764, -0.0902, -0.0699, -0.0926, -0.1169, -0.1192, -0.1111, -0.1102, -0.1337, -0.1131, -0.1298, -0.1468, -0.1561, -0.158, -0.1815, -0.2345, -0.2654, -0.2678, -0.3008, -0.276, -0.2926, -0.2948, -0.2706, -0.2708, -0.2393, -0.2472, -0.2607, -0.2782, -0.2708, -0.2661, -0.2808]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000362690251038826", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T00:30:04+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the heavy manipulation in BTC is super bullish 🚀", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: outperformance vs stocks/gold signals no macro stress; manipulation paradoxically bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The performance differential between Bitcoin and stocks/gold is getting so wide that it’s increasingly obvious that nothing is wrong with macro or liquidity. Bitcoin is not signaling broader issues in the economy. Paradoxically, the heavy manipulation in BTC is super bullish. 🚀", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.044557308023734477, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.044557308023734477, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04304421361412869, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04304421361412869, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01648005936140917, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01648005936140917, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019212434663788525, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019212434663788525, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "ret_p1w": 0.023955561389482183, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023955561389482183, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014959985949833277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014959985949833277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995575439648906, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008995575439648906, "ret_p1m": 0.10300882357301733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10300882357301733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0808414525675476, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0808414525675476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "ret_p3m": -0.1842902178429201, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1842902178429201, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16563098022842548, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16563098022842548, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "ret_p6m": -0.28669362085431105, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28669362085431105, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37559336426922696, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37559336426922696, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10300882357301733, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0808414525675476, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0808414525675476, "price_path": [0.3477, 0.3554, 0.3387, 0.3047, 0.2962, 0.3114, 0.2619, 0.2695, 0.3238, 0.3198, 0.3729, 0.3965, 0.4148, 0.4436, 0.4054, 0.4274, 0.4083, 0.3101, 0.3339, 0.3089, 0.2819, 0.2519, 0.232, 0.2797, 0.2552, 0.2461, 0.2737, 0.2848, 0.3205, 0.3071, 0.2735, 0.2532, 0.2677, 0.2329, 0.1755, 0.2022, 0.1722, 0.1962, 0.2265, 0.1918, 0.1764, 0.1536, 0.0923, 0.0657, 0.0756, 0.0584, 0.0025, -0.0154, 0.0214, 0.0107, 0.0474, 0.0563, 0.0521, -0.0011, 0.0571, 0.0822, 0.0662, 0.0343, 0.0488, 0.0726, 0.0648, 0.0705, 0.0446, 0.0, 0.0165, -0.0032, -0.0111, 0.0195, 0.024, 0.0115, 0.0138, 0.0094, 0.0102, 0.0083, 0.0233, 0.0126, 0.0268, 0.0408, 0.0864, 0.0846, 0.0566, 0.0533, 0.0474, 0.0552, 0.103, 0.1216, 0.1057, 0.1054, 0.071, 0.0219, 0.0342, 0.0352, 0.0357, 0.0214, 0.031, 0.032, -0.0215, -0.0265, -0.0895, -0.1248, -0.1551, -0.2744, -0.1836, -0.1886, -0.204, -0.2248, -0.2337, -0.2032, -0.2034, -0.219, -0.2314, -0.2252, -0.2131, -0.2523, -0.2585, -0.2136, -0.2195, -0.2377, -0.2042, -0.2097, -0.1586, -0.1803, -0.2116, -0.2085, -0.1908, -0.1876, -0.1843, -0.1788, -0.1338, -0.1446, -0.1756, -0.191, -0.184, -0.1794, -0.184, -0.1748, -0.204, -0.2324, -0.2283, -0.2104, -0.2122, -0.226, -0.2255, -0.2032, -0.1675, -0.177, -0.1695, -0.1555, -0.1381, -0.1416, -0.1344, -0.1304, -0.1075, -0.122, -0.1165, -0.0951, -0.0943, -0.1037, -0.1048, -0.1165, -0.1232, -0.1171, -0.0954, -0.0763, -0.0636, -0.0578, -0.0742, -0.0721, -0.0543, -0.0688, -0.0827, -0.0621, -0.0851, -0.1095, -0.1119, -0.1037, -0.1028, -0.1265, -0.1058, -0.1226, -0.1397, -0.1491, -0.151, -0.1747, -0.2281, -0.2593, -0.2617, -0.295, -0.27, -0.2867]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1991949280387715508", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-21T19:18:11+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Feels like a big December coming up for CIFR. Possible fat pitch moment.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish CIFR into December; sees a potential fat-pitch buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like a big December coming up for CIFR. Possible fat pitch moment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02897532241269496, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02897532241269496, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038838214946386285, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03281868683633549, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009862892533691325, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038433644236405273, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18091869504999214, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18091869504999214, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.16620008817375753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15708997019893078, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.014718606876234608, "bench_c_p1d": 0.023828724851061356, "ret_p1w": 0.43816260990001576, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.43816260990001576, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.40119917431893537, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.39050516019789305, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.036963435581080395, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04765744970212271, "ret_p1m": 0.154770359936242, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.154770359936242, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11255135292277485, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09049373190059695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04221900701346715, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06427662803564504, "ret_p3m": 0.08975268494710975, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08975268494710975, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0453117723764882, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05663600697049298, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04444091257062155, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03311667797661677, "ret_p6m": 0.3512368448543708, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3512368448543708, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22404101591850045, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07128378479231134, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.12719582893587034, "bench_c_p6m": 0.27995306006205944, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.154770359936242, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11255135292277485, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09049373190059695, "price_path": [-0.4968, -0.506, -0.5039, -0.4601, -0.4601, -0.412, -0.4269, -0.477, -0.4686, -0.4544, -0.3484, -0.2756, -0.2954, -0.2332, -0.2332, -0.1866, -0.1251, -0.1625, -0.1322, -0.0134, 0.0, -0.0007, -0.176, -0.1894, -0.106, -0.1102, -0.1095, -0.024, 0.0389, 0.0841, 0.1131, 0.2438, 0.2714, 0.1993, 0.4375, 0.4763, 0.4862, 0.323, 0.3258, 0.4071, 0.2774, 0.1385, 0.2194, 0.4601, 0.4516, 0.4106, 0.3845, 0.3477, 0.318, 0.6085, 0.5908, 0.7463, 0.5343, 0.4622, 0.3887, 0.3194, 0.2283, 0.0551, 0.0148, 0.0141, 0.0304, 0.0332, 0.029, 0.0, 0.1809, 0.2382, 0.3534, 0.3534, 0.4382, 0.3915, 0.2466, 0.3166, 0.4014, 0.3625, 0.3767, 0.3823, 0.306, 0.3343, 0.2049, 0.0417, 0.0594, 0.017, 0.0707, 0.1456, 0.1548, 0.1244, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.0735, 0.0657, 0.0311, 0.0431, 0.0431, 0.1449, 0.2834, 0.2396, 0.1364, 0.1696, 0.1753, 0.2495, 0.2898, 0.2813, 0.2382, 0.3286, 0.3286, 0.2664, 0.2523, 0.229, 0.2417, 0.1654, 0.3251, 0.3406, 0.2509, 0.1279, 0.1173, 0.1491, 0.0071, -0.1025, 0.041, 0.1845, 0.2085, 0.1505, 0.1378, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.1053, 0.0898, 0.1166, 0.0353, 0.0756, 0.2099, 0.1739, 0.1647, 0.1025, 0.1138, 0.0396, 0.1336, 0.0707, -0.0375, 0.0113, -0.0134, -0.0028, -0.0311, -0.0049, 0.07, 0.0664, 0.0367, 0.0346, -0.0099, 0.0523, 0.0516, 0.1223, 0.0141, -0.0286, -0.1509, -0.0905, -0.1067, -0.094, -0.094, -0.0565, -0.0099, 0.0898, 0.1562, 0.1682, 0.2551, 0.3039, 0.2721, 0.2254, 0.3689, 0.3633, 0.2749, 0.3739, 0.3208, 0.2862, 0.2834, 0.2198, 0.1958, 0.2537, 0.2042, 0.2643, 0.5618, 0.5484, 0.4618, 0.4523, 0.4332, 0.4177, 0.5011, 0.5753, 0.4367, 0.3512]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995533148021792998", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T16:39:12+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added 100,000 shares of ASST at $1.03. Now holding just over 2M shares. Focused, committed, long term oriented.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Added to ASST position; now holding 2M+ shares with long-term conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Added 100,000 shares of ASST at $1.03. Now holding just over 2M shares. Focused, committed, long term oriented. You can't stop me. Valhalla is coming.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06666664850144155, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06666664850144155, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06208023908429405, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.058347468833661154, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586409417147497, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008319179667780396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014285677955264142, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014285677955264142, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01613786436117126, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013340348153868087, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018521864059071191, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009453298013960554, "ret_p1w": -0.0619047255743117, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0619047255743117, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06684394963359241, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07305996765035783, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939224059280711, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011155242076046124, "ret_p1m": -0.3028571265084403, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3028571265084403, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.31574906399728486, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3498009385550622, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01289193748884454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0469438120466219, "ret_p3m": -0.6100000199817476, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6100000199817476, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6262682126652223, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6060954698931024, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01626819268347468, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003904550088645209, "ret_p6m": -0.13809521993001306, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13809521993001306, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24774856326036432, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12691493745533544, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965334333035126, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011180282474677616, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [5.2, 4.2476, 3.3238, 4.0762, 4.981, 6.7048, 7.4857, 7.0857, 4.9238, 3.2667, 2.5048, 2.6381, 3.0952, 2.9048, 2.1905, 1.8667, 1.619, 1.3238, 1.1905, 1.381, 1.3905, 1.5333, 1.4762, 1.4095, 1.0, 0.8952, 0.7238, 0.481, 0.0286, -0.0505, -0.0857, -0.1429, -0.2057, -0.1771, -0.2095, -0.2571, -0.1771, 0.0476, 0.5619, 0.3714, 0.1905, 0.1524, 0.2667, 0.2095, 0.1905, 0.3905, 0.381, 0.4381, 0.4095, 0.2952, 0.2286, 0.0952, 0.0286, -0.0095, 0.0667, 0.0, -0.0638, -0.0286, 0.0762, 0.0571, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0667, 0.0, -0.0143, 0.0, -0.0695, -0.1419, -0.0619, -0.0286, -0.0476, -0.1219, -0.1781, -0.2486, -0.181, -0.2181, -0.2086, -0.1438, -0.1752, -0.2333, -0.179, -0.179, -0.2238, -0.2638, -0.3029, -0.2971, -0.2971, -0.1762, -0.019, -0.0095, -0.0286, -0.0381, -0.099, 0.0476, -0.0762, -0.019, -0.0752, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.1571, -0.1505, -0.1714, -0.1705, -0.2514, -0.22, -0.2371, -0.2524, -0.2181, -0.3114, -0.3505, -0.4362, -0.5305, -0.4326, -0.5169, -0.5629, -0.6148, -0.6333, -0.6033, -0.6033, -0.6105, -0.6167, -0.6133, -0.6119, -0.6495, -0.6588, -0.5933, -0.61, -0.6219, -0.5843, -0.6033, -0.5419, -0.5595, -0.5857, -0.5948, -0.5724, -0.5605, -0.5795, -0.5462, -0.4829, -0.4714, -0.5221, -0.5114, -0.5229, -0.5029, -0.5271, -0.4833, -0.5043, -0.5307, -0.5538, -0.5229, -0.5162, -0.5357, -0.5357, -0.5181, -0.5588, -0.5119, -0.541, -0.4938, -0.4486, -0.4081, -0.3557, -0.3343, -0.2567, -0.2562, -0.271, -0.2067, -0.2286, -0.2476, -0.2529, -0.2724, -0.3138, -0.2686, -0.2233, -0.2212, -0.2138, -0.2248, -0.2638, -0.2419, -0.1452, -0.1871, -0.2029, -0.1567, -0.2005, -0.2481, -0.2305, -0.1914, -0.1176, -0.1329, -0.1329, -0.1381]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023979304246517765", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-18T04:34:04+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When Ethereum goes to $6000, many will wish they did", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ethereum will reach $6000; most investors won't hold through the downtrend to get there.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PierR36676906 @Mr_Derivatives When Ethereum goes to $6000, many will wish they did. The challenge is that it’s impossible to know when that will happen in advance and most investors find it extremely challenging to hold a stock like that when it’s in a nasty downtrend.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @Mr_Derivatives Like all in in $BMNR for example?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PierR36676906", "ret_m1d": 0.01956024618297203, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01956024618297203, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024572702444791705, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024572702444791705, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050124562618196755, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050124562618196755, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002954528018943803, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002954528018943803, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00031718369539424085, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00031718369539424085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637344323549562, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637344323549562, "ret_p1w": 0.05151235500366225, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05151235500366225, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0415164999383304, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0415164999383304, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995855065331849, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009995855065331849, "ret_p1m": 0.09388543330786936, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09388543330786936, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13248428803273726, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13248428803273726, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.038598854724867904, "bench_c_p1m": -0.038598854724867904, "ret_p3m": 0.08932666523229016, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08932666523229016, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.010092966734623232, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.010092966734623232, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923369849766693, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07923369849766693, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09388543330786936, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13248428803273726, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13248428803273726, "price_path": [0.4154, 0.5111, 0.5138, 0.5496, 0.5428, 0.5519, 0.4331, 0.5343, 0.6334, 0.6041, 0.5478, 0.5994, 0.6997, 0.7019, 0.6567, 0.5784, 0.517, 0.517, 0.449, 0.4468, 0.5241, 0.5384, 0.5166, 0.5075, 0.486, 0.4973, 0.5018, 0.5207, 0.5185, 0.5355, 0.599, 0.6511, 0.6868, 0.6207, 0.5888, 0.5778, 0.5826, 0.7002, 0.7169, 0.6976, 0.6866, 0.6308, 0.5024, 0.5245, 0.5096, 0.5114, 0.4977, 0.5467, 0.5387, 0.4423, 0.383, 0.1998, 0.14, 0.097, -0.0677, 0.056, 0.0766, 0.0335, -0.0068, -0.0036, 0.0484, 0.0225, 0.0196, 0.0, -0.003, 0.0077, -0.0504, -0.0517, 0.0515, 0.0373, -0.0119, 0.0375, 0.0147, 0.0883, 0.0602, 0.0127, 0.0199, 0.0426, 0.0499, 0.061, 0.0709, 0.2033, 0.1863, 0.1278, 0.0939, 0.0985, 0.1014, 0.1032, 0.1095, 0.054, 0.0191, 0.0356, 0.0771, 0.0946, 0.0527, 0.0509, 0.0787, 0.1473, 0.121, 0.1204, 0.149, 0.2133, 0.189, 0.2075, 0.202, 0.2391, 0.1849, 0.1914, 0.216, 0.1932, 0.1851, 0.1787, 0.1717, 0.1532, 0.1547, 0.1746, 0.2008, 0.2084, 0.2031, 0.1725, 0.1807, 0.1972, 0.1641, 0.1554, 0.1673, 0.1378, 0.0893, 0.0798, 0.0885, 0.0908, 0.0566, 0.0806, 0.0598, 0.0349, 0.0274, 0.0297, 0.0252, -0.0493, -0.0728, -0.0944, -0.191, -0.135, -0.1619, -0.1708, -0.1442, -0.1478, -0.0814, -0.0837, -0.1055, -0.1251, -0.1244, -0.1164, -0.1477, -0.171, -0.1992, -0.1931, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014178266782093544", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T03:28:15+00:00", "symbol": "ETHA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still adding. 221,000 shares of ETHA now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still accumulating ETHA; position now at 221,000 shares.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETHA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Still adding. 221,000 shares of ETHA now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Ethereum weekly, Gann Square\nTouched the 45 degree angle today and tested it as support https://t.co/rqtCT8mRJc", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.03202521795351032, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03202521795351032, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0372213349681596, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0372213349681596, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005196117014649282, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0013532109401113157, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0013532109401113157, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009904757511376427, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009904757511376427, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00036273518897367296, "ret_p1w": -0.04781233479001312, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04781233479001312, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05515645328338936, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05515645328338936, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007344118493376239, "ret_p1m": -0.3283716602579352, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3283716602579352, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3290248151501356, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3290248151501356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0006531548922004138, "ret_p3m": -0.21741090113834383, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21741090113834383, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24211821712326342, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24211821712326342, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024707315984919598, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3283716602579352, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.3290248151501356, "alpha_c_stated": -0.3290248151501356, "price_path": [0.4321, 0.3798, 0.3315, 0.2553, 0.3243, 0.2219, 0.0952, 0.1764, 0.1276, 0.1813, 0.217, 0.1723, 0.1633, 0.0798, 0.0686, 0.0244, 0.0641, 0.0032, -0.0343, -0.0663, 0.0126, -0.0018, 0.0329, 0.0329, 0.0352, -0.0631, 0.0153, 0.0699, 0.0722, 0.0307, 0.0699, 0.1353, 0.1452, 0.0997, 0.0496, -0.0023, 0.005, -0.0383, -0.0528, 0.0212, 0.014, 0.0113, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0014, -0.0032, 0.0072, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.0636, 0.106, 0.1051, 0.0681, 0.0577, 0.046, 0.0573, 0.0925, 0.1543, 0.12, 0.1222, 0.1222, 0.0226, 0.032, 0.0, 0.0014, -0.0122, 0.0298, 0.0257, -0.0478, -0.0902, -0.2106, -0.2179, -0.263, -0.3658, -0.3004, -0.277, -0.3144, -0.3347, -0.3478, -0.3036, -0.3036, -0.3212, -0.3401, -0.336, -0.3284, -0.3663, -0.3672, -0.2927, -0.3103, -0.3451, -0.3067, -0.3266, -0.267, -0.2873, -0.3266, -0.3067, -0.3054, -0.2923, -0.295, -0.2833, -0.2057, -0.2088, -0.2558, -0.2711, -0.2738, -0.2657, -0.2797, -0.2598, -0.3027, -0.323, -0.3112, -0.286, -0.2711, -0.295, -0.295, -0.2693, -0.2806, -0.2458, -0.2436, -0.2309, -0.2296, -0.2111, -0.1894, -0.1962, -0.171, -0.2052, -0.2174, -0.1822, -0.2111, -0.2097, -0.221, -0.2165, -0.24, -0.2296, -0.2143, -0.1985, -0.1926, -0.2007, -0.2197, -0.2115, -0.203, -0.2224, -0.2323, -0.217, -0.244, -0.2783, -0.2815, -0.272, -0.2715, -0.2977, -0.2977, -0.2954, -0.3015, -0.3148, -0.3144, -0.3184, -0.3514, -0.3875, -0.396, -0.4646, -0.4263, -0.4371, -0.4461, -0.4272, -0.433, -0.3793, -0.3893, -0.4105, -0.419, -0.419, -0.4109, -0.4353, -0.4623, -0.4705, -0.4637, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019869674775933274", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T20:23:52+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I AM LONG 440,000 SHARES. MAKE ME PROUD.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Discloses long position of 440,000 shares in Strive Asset Management ASST.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PunterJeff I AM LONG 440,000 SHARES. MAKE ME PROUD.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "With Bitcoin at $69,500, Strive $ASST has: \n\nBTC USD Value: $912M\n\nDebt: $10M \n\nLeverage Ratio: 1.1% \nEven at the low of $60,000 BTC yesterday, our leverage ratio was 1.27%\n\nPreferred Equity $SATA: $426.6M\n\nBTC USD Capital Dividend Coverage: ~17.4 years \n\nAmplification: 47.8% https://t.co/EQlLA5TI68", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PunterJeff", "ret_m1d": -0.17247170052497307, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17247170052497307, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1536480419192171, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15459475395512912, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823658605755966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017876946569843954, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1485522039241437, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1485522039241437, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.15337393064072102, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.14265465600240068, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821726716577324, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005897547921743018, "ret_p1w": -0.30088124629665813, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.30088124629665813, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2880377015998645, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2527794907255758, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843544696793607, "bench_c_p1w": -0.048101755571082316, "ret_p1m": -0.28577421266240977, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28577421266240977, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2678917103328414, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2133451960118321, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788250232956834, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07242901665057766, "ret_p3m": 0.36634500535186176, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36634500535186176, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30087613840699734, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4060340009285235, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546886694486442, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03968899557666172, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.28577421266240977, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2678917103328414, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2133451960118321, "price_path": [1.2828, 1.1653, 0.9303, 0.8128, 0.7457, 0.88, 0.7625, 0.65, 0.7121, 0.8968, 0.8632, 0.8968, 0.8968, 0.88, 0.7625, 0.7373, 0.7625, 0.6399, 0.5124, 0.6534, 0.7121, 0.6786, 0.5476, 0.4486, 0.3244, 0.4436, 0.3781, 0.3949, 0.509, 0.4536, 0.3512, 0.4469, 0.4469, 0.368, 0.2975, 0.2287, 0.2388, 0.2388, 0.452, 0.7289, 0.7457, 0.7121, 0.6953, 0.5879, 0.8464, 0.6282, 0.7289, 0.6299, 0.5913, 0.5913, 0.4855, 0.4973, 0.4603, 0.462, 0.3193, 0.3747, 0.3445, 0.3177, 0.3781, 0.2136, 0.1448, -0.0063, -0.1725, 0.0, -0.1486, -0.2295, -0.321, -0.3538, -0.3009, -0.3009, -0.3135, -0.3244, -0.3185, -0.316, -0.3823, -0.3987, -0.2833, -0.3126, -0.3336, -0.2673, -0.3009, -0.1926, -0.2237, -0.2698, -0.2858, -0.2463, -0.2253, -0.2589, -0.2002, -0.0885, -0.0684, -0.1578, -0.1389, -0.159, -0.1238, -0.1666, -0.0894, -0.1263, -0.1729, -0.2136, -0.159, -0.1473, -0.1817, -0.1817, -0.1507, -0.2224, -0.1397, -0.1909, -0.1078, -0.0281, 0.0432, 0.1355, 0.1733, 0.3101, 0.311, 0.2849, 0.3982, 0.3596, 0.3261, 0.3168, 0.2824, 0.2094, 0.2891, 0.3689, 0.3726, 0.3856, 0.3663, 0.2975, 0.3361, 0.5065, 0.4326, 0.405, 0.4864, 0.4091, 0.3252, 0.3563, 0.4251, 0.5552, 0.5283, 0.5283, 0.5191, 0.4956, 0.4939, 0.483, 0.4436, 0.3529, 0.2371, 0.2606, 0.1683, 0.2765, 0.1926, 0.2111, 0.2237, 0.2715, 0.3991, 0.3252, 0.2958, 0.2463, 0.2463, 0.243, 0.1708, 0.0533, -0.0432, -0.0483, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993676036471755015", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T13:39:42+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "YOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses and amplifies bullish view on WULF and CIFR, saying the market isn't bullish enough.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@iTzAnthonyNap YOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I hope you’re paying attention to $WULF and $CIFR and what they just did with their warrants ❗️\n\nThey’re cleaning up the capital structure and getting ready to execute more deals 🔥", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iTzAnthonyNap", "ret_m1d": -0.060646938204218404, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.060646938204218404, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0537907790151434, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052903711777229634, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006856159189075006, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00774322642698877, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.02762802177873369, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02762802177873369, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03382212455104061, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0389594161333815, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011331394354647806, "ret_p1m": -0.17048515545533838, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17048515545533838, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18922926557980357, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22666602373714007, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05618086828180169, "ret_p3m": 0.056603783285096965, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.056603783285096965, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0496499273135147, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09518165654122845, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03857787325613149, "ret_p6m": 0.5444743827914997, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5444743827914997, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.44550283383300715, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5590610591129531, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014586676321453385, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17048515545533838, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18922926557980357, "alpha_c_stated": -0.22666602373714007, "price_path": [-0.3632, -0.3632, -0.3511, -0.3949, -0.4023, -0.3848, -0.3801, -0.3059, -0.2891, -0.283, -0.2749, -0.2931, -0.2628, -0.2352, -0.2473, -0.2601, -0.2257, -0.2426, -0.2318, -0.2608, -0.2702, -0.2183, -0.2305, -0.2271, -0.2197, -0.1968, -0.1934, -0.1846, -0.1712, -0.0842, -0.0896, -0.0566, 0.0418, 0.0425, -0.066, -0.0613, -0.0667, -0.1146, -0.1496, -0.1321, -0.0761, -0.0809, 0.0741, -0.0229, -0.0013, 0.0445, 0.0849, 0.0115, 0.035, -0.0377, -0.0606, -0.0364, -0.1664, -0.1482, -0.2129, -0.2594, -0.2554, -0.1914, -0.1759, -0.221, -0.2392, -0.1489, -0.0606, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0451, 0.031, -0.0418, -0.0276, 0.0175, -0.0229, 0.0081, 0.0505, 0.062, 0.0667, -0.0344, -0.1584, -0.1247, -0.2204, -0.2055, -0.1563, -0.1597, -0.1631, -0.1705, -0.1705, -0.2082, -0.2305, -0.2487, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.1415, -0.0822, -0.1119, -0.1584, -0.1348, -0.1173, -0.0694, -0.0472, -0.0425, -0.0681, -0.0667, -0.0667, -0.1018, -0.1159, -0.1314, -0.0485, -0.0708, 0.0317, 0.0182, -0.0202, -0.0991, -0.0943, -0.0027, -0.0647, -0.1968, -0.0371, 0.122, 0.1206, 0.0802, 0.0721, 0.0957, 0.0957, 0.0903, 0.0364, 0.0425, 0.0115, 0.0566, 0.1833, 0.2075, 0.2049, 0.093, 0.0795, -0.0067, 0.0357, 0.0263, -0.0735, -0.0667, -0.033, 0.0256, -0.0115, -0.0115, 0.1058, 0.0809, 0.031, 0.0606, 0.0175, 0.091, 0.093, 0.1361, 0.0344, 0.0034, -0.0768, -0.0276, -0.0243, 0.0027, 0.0027, 0.0478, 0.1166, 0.2163, 0.2823, 0.2716, 0.3106, 0.4117, 0.3255, 0.3012, 0.3908, 0.3814, 0.3322, 0.3848, 0.3726, 0.3484, 0.4441, 0.4016, 0.3491, 0.4643, 0.436, 0.502, 0.5829, 0.7345, 0.6186, 0.5761, 0.5748, 0.5364, 0.558, 0.6287, 0.504, 0.4245, 0.438, 0.4575, 0.5445]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993676036471755015", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-26T13:39:42+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "YOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author endorses and amplifies bullish view on WULF and CIFR, saying the market isn't bullish enough.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@iTzAnthonyNap YOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I hope you’re paying attention to $WULF and $CIFR and what they just did with their warrants ❗️\n\nThey’re cleaning up the capital structure and getting ready to execute more deals 🔥", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iTzAnthonyNap", "ret_m1d": -0.08511745134393378, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08511745134393378, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07826129215485877, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07341834510123624, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006856159189075006, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011699106242697543, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.027154071442408778, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027154071442408778, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0333481742147157, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0490372086426083, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00619410277230692, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02188313720019952, "ret_p1m": -0.15300262994995573, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15300262994995573, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17174674007442092, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1856469799272723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744110124465196, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03264434997731658, "ret_p3m": -0.20522190233876803, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20522190233876803, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2121757583103503, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18295181795534743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953855971582268, "bench_c_p3m": -0.022270084383420596, "ret_p6m": 0.12375983741222085, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12375983741222085, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02478828845372827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13843833784678217, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154895849258, "bench_c_p6m": 0.262198175259003, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15300262994995573, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17174674007442092, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1856469799272723, "price_path": [-0.601, -0.601, -0.5655, -0.5765, -0.6136, -0.6073, -0.5969, -0.5185, -0.4648, -0.4794, -0.4334, -0.4334, -0.399, -0.3535, -0.3812, -0.3587, -0.271, -0.2611, -0.2616, -0.3911, -0.401, -0.3394, -0.3426, -0.342, -0.2789, -0.2324, -0.199, -0.1775, -0.0809, -0.0606, -0.1138, 0.0621, 0.0909, 0.0982, -0.0225, -0.0204, 0.0397, -0.0561, -0.1587, -0.099, 0.0789, 0.0726, 0.0423, 0.023, -0.0042, -0.0261, 0.1885, 0.1755, 0.2903, 0.1337, 0.0804, 0.0261, -0.0251, -0.0924, -0.2204, -0.2501, -0.2507, -0.2386, -0.2366, -0.2397, -0.2611, -0.1274, -0.0851, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0627, 0.0282, -0.0789, -0.0272, 0.0355, 0.0068, 0.0172, 0.0214, -0.035, -0.0141, -0.1097, -0.2303, -0.2172, -0.2486, -0.2089, -0.1535, -0.1467, -0.1692, -0.153, -0.153, -0.2068, -0.2125, -0.2381, -0.2292, -0.2292, -0.154, -0.0517, -0.0841, -0.1603, -0.1358, -0.1316, -0.0768, -0.047, -0.0533, -0.0851, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0642, -0.0747, -0.0919, -0.0825, -0.1389, -0.0209, -0.0094, -0.0757, -0.1666, -0.1744, -0.1509, -0.2559, -0.3368, -0.2308, -0.1248, -0.107, -0.1499, -0.1593, -0.1426, -0.1426, -0.1833, -0.1948, -0.1749, -0.235, -0.2052, -0.106, -0.1326, -0.1394, -0.1854, -0.177, -0.2319, -0.1624, -0.2089, -0.2888, -0.2527, -0.271, -0.2632, -0.2841, -0.2648, -0.2094, -0.212, -0.2339, -0.2355, -0.2684, -0.2225, -0.223, -0.1708, -0.2507, -0.2822, -0.3726, -0.3279, -0.3399, -0.3305, -0.3305, -0.3029, -0.2684, -0.1948, -0.1457, -0.1368, -0.0726, -0.0366, -0.0601, -0.0945, 0.0115, 0.0073, -0.058, 0.0151, -0.024, -0.0496, -0.0517, -0.0987, -0.1164, -0.0736, -0.1102, -0.0658, 0.154, 0.1441, 0.0802, 0.0731, 0.059, 0.0475, 0.1091, 0.164, 0.0616, -0.0016, -0.0183, 0.0172, 0.1238]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022694438561288221", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-14T15:28:28+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I own more than 9M of pre split shares in ASST as of the close yesterday", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Discloses holding >9M pre-split shares in ASST as of yesterday's close.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KhanBab71272785 I own more than 9M of pre split shares in ASST as of the close yesterday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Based on the numbers you provided:\n\nPrevious holding: 2,324,955 shares\n\nCurrent holding: 3,150,345 shares\n\nThat’s an increase of 825,390 shares (3,150,345 − 2,324,955).\n\nSo, Strive bought more shares rather than sold. They increased their position in this stock.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KhanBab71272785", "ret_m1d": 0.018337360994395535, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018337360994395535, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019948244879652965, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02887382258254989, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010536461588154356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015892433935321804, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015892433935321804, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020930141485898557, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023363678731478044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00747124479615624, "ret_p1w": -0.12408316692610954, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12408316692610954, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13067317096342834, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10071147857869511, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023371688347414432, "ret_p1m": 0.22677255171526123, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22677255171526123, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2581410715738284, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2886499203404558, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06187736862519455, "ret_p3m": 1.0525672725102106, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0525672725102106, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9671330972046732, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.068608062655639, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": -0.016040790145428252, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.22677255171526123, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2581410715738284, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2886499203404558, "price_path": [1.4034, 1.4939, 1.7628, 1.7139, 1.7628, 1.7628, 1.7384, 1.5672, 1.5306, 1.5672, 1.3888, 1.2029, 1.4083, 1.4939, 1.445, 1.2543, 1.11, 0.9291, 1.1027, 1.0073, 1.0318, 1.198, 1.1174, 0.9682, 1.1076, 1.1076, 0.9927, 0.89, 0.7897, 0.8044, 0.8044, 1.1149, 1.5183, 1.5428, 1.4939, 1.4694, 1.313, 1.6895, 1.3716, 1.5183, 1.3741, 1.3178, 1.3178, 1.1638, 1.1809, 1.1271, 1.1296, 0.9218, 1.0024, 0.9584, 0.9193, 1.0073, 0.7677, 0.6675, 0.4474, 0.2054, 0.4566, 0.2402, 0.1222, -0.011, -0.0587, 0.0183, 0.0183, 0.0, -0.0159, -0.0073, -0.0037, -0.1002, -0.1241, 0.044, 0.0012, -0.0293, 0.0672, 0.0183, 0.176, 0.1308, 0.0636, 0.0403, 0.0978, 0.1284, 0.0795, 0.165, 0.3276, 0.357, 0.2268, 0.2543, 0.2249, 0.2763, 0.2139, 0.3264, 0.2726, 0.2048, 0.1455, 0.2249, 0.2421, 0.1919, 0.1919, 0.2372, 0.1326, 0.2531, 0.1785, 0.2995, 0.4156, 0.5196, 0.654, 0.709, 0.9083, 0.9095, 0.8716, 1.0367, 0.9804, 0.9315, 0.9181, 0.868, 0.7616, 0.8778, 0.9939, 0.9994, 1.0183, 0.9902, 0.89, 0.9462, 1.1944, 1.0868, 1.0465, 1.165, 1.0526, 0.9303, 0.9756, 1.0758, 1.2653, 1.2262, 1.2262, 1.2127, 1.1785, 1.176, 1.1601, 1.1027, 0.9707, 0.802, 0.8362, 0.7017, 0.8594, 0.7372, 0.7641, 0.7824, 0.8521, 1.0379, 0.9303, 0.8875, 0.8154, 0.8154, 0.8105, 0.7054, 0.5342, 0.3936, 0.3863, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019256626742706681", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-05T03:47:50+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Upside in the short term to $315,000. Long term upside only limited by how many dollars they can print. This is asymmetry in its finest form.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC with short-term target ~$315k and limited downside of $1k–$13k; asymmetric risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Most likely downside target is $1k to $2.5k away. Max downside $13k.\n\nUpside in the short term to $315,000.\n\nLong term upside only limited by how many dollars they can print.\n\nThis is asymmetry in its finest form.\n\nDo the math.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15190236704340343, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15190236704340343, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647239021036816, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012647239021036816, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10606290478550262, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10606290478550262, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01918478647681998, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01918478647681998, "ret_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05074787613712406, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05074787613712406, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005386547196624791, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005386547196624791, "ret_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09440306795285514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09440306795285514, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733008506952244, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007733008506952244, "ret_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21963636525055796, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21963636525055796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102308176131378, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07102308176131378, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08667005944590289, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09440306795285514, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09440306795285514, "price_path": [0.6905, 0.6426, 0.6214, 0.59, 0.5055, 0.4688, 0.4824, 0.4587, 0.3816, 0.3571, 0.4078, 0.393, 0.4436, 0.4559, 0.45, 0.3767, 0.4569, 0.4916, 0.4695, 0.4256, 0.4456, 0.4783, 0.4676, 0.4754, 0.4397, 0.3783, 0.401, 0.3739, 0.363, 0.4051, 0.4113, 0.3941, 0.3973, 0.3913, 0.3923, 0.3897, 0.4103, 0.3956, 0.4151, 0.4345, 0.4973, 0.4948, 0.4562, 0.4517, 0.4435, 0.4544, 0.5202, 0.5459, 0.5239, 0.5235, 0.4761, 0.4084, 0.4254, 0.4268, 0.4274, 0.4077, 0.421, 0.4224, 0.3486, 0.3417, 0.255, 0.2062, 0.1645, 0.0, 0.1252, 0.1183, 0.0972, 0.0684, 0.0561, 0.0982, 0.0979, 0.0764, 0.0594, 0.0679, 0.0846, 0.0305, 0.022, 0.0839, 0.0758, 0.0507, 0.0969, 0.0892, 0.1596, 0.1298, 0.0867, 0.0909, 0.1152, 0.1197, 0.1243, 0.1318, 0.1939, 0.1789, 0.1363, 0.115, 0.1247, 0.131, 0.1246, 0.1373, 0.0971, 0.058, 0.0636, 0.0882, 0.0857, 0.0668, 0.0674, 0.0982, 0.1473, 0.1343, 0.1446, 0.1639, 0.1879, 0.1831, 0.193, 0.1986, 0.2301, 0.21, 0.2177, 0.2472, 0.2483, 0.2353, 0.2339, 0.2177, 0.2085, 0.2169, 0.2468, 0.2731, 0.2907, 0.2986, 0.276, 0.2789, 0.3034, 0.2835, 0.2643, 0.2926, 0.261, 0.2273, 0.2241, 0.2353, 0.2366, 0.2039, 0.2325, 0.2093, 0.1857, 0.1728, 0.1702, 0.1374, 0.0638, 0.0209, 0.0175, -0.0284, 0.0062, -0.0169, -0.02, 0.0137, 0.0134, 0.0572, 0.0462, 0.0274, 0.0031, 0.0134, 0.0199, -0.0005, -0.0272, -0.0475, -0.0428, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2004265774249398343", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-25T18:59:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "to buy Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Selling all gold (GLD) to buy Bitcoin; gold seen as inferior store of value vs BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Gold is up nearly 70% year to date. It is a shiny rock that is hard to transport, hard to store, hard to audit, and hardly scarce. I consider myself lucky that I made a profit. Consequently, today I am selling all my gold exposure, including coins, bars, and GLD, to buy Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004324180258241883, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004324180258241883, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004222760307826645, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004222760307826645, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010141995041523799, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007644603322913834, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007644603322913834, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004328113839786152, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004328113839786152, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035636535074947684, "ret_p1w": 0.017163370349417395, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017163370349417395, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027506605327620504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027506605327620504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010343234978203109, "ret_p1m": 0.02601180166983008, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02601180166983008, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.022506102419715512, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.022506102419715512, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003505699250114569, "ret_p3m": -0.19163102215134864, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19163102215134864, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1457150728908343, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1457150728908343, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.045915949260514344, "ret_p6m": -0.27161089327315213, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27161089327315213, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3556831433880828, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3556831433880828, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08407225011493069, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02601180166983008, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.022506102419715512, "alpha_c_stated": 0.022506102419715512, "price_path": [0.3114, 0.3075, 0.3601, 0.3834, 0.4016, 0.4301, 0.3922, 0.4141, 0.3952, 0.2978, 0.3214, 0.2967, 0.2699, 0.2402, 0.2205, 0.2677, 0.2435, 0.2345, 0.2618, 0.2728, 0.3082, 0.2949, 0.2616, 0.2415, 0.2559, 0.2214, 0.1646, 0.1909, 0.1612, 0.185, 0.2151, 0.1807, 0.1654, 0.1429, 0.0821, 0.0557, 0.0655, 0.0485, -0.0069, -0.0246, 0.0119, 0.0012, 0.0376, 0.0464, 0.0422, -0.0105, 0.0472, 0.0721, 0.0562, 0.0247, 0.039, 0.0626, 0.0549, 0.0605, 0.0348, -0.0093, 0.007, -0.0125, -0.0203, 0.01, 0.0144, 0.0021, 0.0043, 0.0, 0.0008, -0.0011, 0.0137, 0.0031, 0.0172, 0.0311, 0.0762, 0.0744, 0.0467, 0.0435, 0.0376, 0.0454, 0.0927, 0.1111, 0.0953, 0.095, 0.061, 0.0123, 0.0246, 0.0255, 0.026, 0.0118, 0.0214, 0.0224, -0.0306, -0.0356, -0.098, -0.133, -0.163, -0.2812, -0.1912, -0.1962, -0.2114, -0.232, -0.2409, -0.2107, -0.2108, -0.2263, -0.2385, -0.2324, -0.2204, -0.2593, -0.2654, -0.221, -0.2268, -0.2448, -0.2116, -0.2171, -0.1665, -0.1879, -0.2189, -0.2159, -0.1984, -0.1952, -0.1919, -0.1865, -0.1418, -0.1526, -0.1833, -0.1986, -0.1916, -0.1871, -0.1916, -0.1826, -0.2114, -0.2395, -0.2355, -0.2178, -0.2196, -0.2332, -0.2327, -0.2106, -0.1753, -0.1847, -0.1773, -0.1634, -0.1462, -0.1496, -0.1425, -0.1385, -0.1159, -0.1302, -0.1247, -0.1035, -0.1028, -0.1121, -0.1131, -0.1248, -0.1314, -0.1253, -0.1038, -0.0849, -0.0723, -0.0666, -0.0828, -0.0808, -0.0631, -0.0775, -0.0912, -0.0709, -0.0936, -0.1178, -0.1202, -0.1121, -0.1111, -0.1347, -0.1141, -0.1308, -0.1478, -0.157, -0.1589, -0.1824, -0.2354, -0.2662, -0.2686, -0.3016, -0.2768, -0.2934, -0.2956, -0.2714, -0.2716, -0.2401, -0.248, -0.2616, -0.279, -0.2716]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990061062109254132", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-16T14:15:05+00:00", "symbol": "crypto ex-Bitcoin", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "is about to finally come out of it right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Altcoins (crypto ex-BTC) poised to exit 4-year bear market as Fed policy eases and global liquidity improves.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD", "SOL-USD", "XRP-USD", "ADA-USD"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Crypto ex-BTC basket: ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ok, hear me out, what if “crypto” ex Bitcoin has actually been in a 4 year bear market due primarily to restrictive Fed policy and insufficient global liquidity and is about to finally come out of it right now?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04863687179757403, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04863687179757403, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.039232913740780084, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.039232913740780084, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.038348864727520915, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.038348864727520915, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0467464180713158, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0467464180713158, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "ret_p1w": -0.004428709595380886, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004428709595380886, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009025573599096615, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009025573599096615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "ret_p1m": -0.07772594602111363, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07772594602111363, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09755561345640498, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09755561345640498, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "ret_p3m": -0.3899903759784782, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3899903759784782, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41644959347523924, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.41644959347523924, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "ret_p6m": -0.3203034166170947, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3203034166170947, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.435545446503783, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.435545446503783, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07772594602111363, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09755561345640498, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09755561345640498, "price_path": [0.5309, 0.4801, 0.6377, 0.4999, 0.5683, 0.5595, 0.5859, 0.523, 0.4813, 0.5369, 0.5487, 0.5005, 0.5167, 0.5733, 0.5765, 0.6073, 0.6376, 0.7045, 0.6322, 0.6493, 0.6945, 0.7052, 0.6497, 0.542, 0.5134, 0.5232, 0.414, 0.4735, 0.5222, 0.5042, 0.5805, 0.6385, 0.6352, 0.6457, 0.5602, 0.5956, 0.5457, 0.2918, 0.442, 0.3933, 0.3384, 0.2905, 0.2654, 0.3361, 0.3008, 0.2674, 0.3066, 0.3372, 0.3833, 0.3491, 0.333, 0.2721, 0.2929, 0.1787, 0.1047, 0.1582, 0.1108, 0.1698, 0.2253, 0.153, 0.1438, 0.0992, 0.0486, 0.0, 0.0383, 0.0037, -0.0475, -0.0806, -0.0044, -0.0095, 0.0146, 0.0057, -0.009, -0.0845, -0.005, 0.0373, 0.0032, -0.0361, -0.0152, 0.0342, 0.0156, -0.0081, -0.0402, -0.0829, -0.0777, -0.1186, -0.1401, -0.0899, -0.092, -0.107, -0.116, -0.1347, -0.1239, -0.119, -0.1103, -0.1254, -0.1014, -0.0459, 0.0285, 0.0341, -0.0114, -0.0213, -0.0341, -0.034, 0.0288, 0.0277, -0.0023, 0.0007, -0.0534, -0.1105, -0.0852, -0.0961, -0.0972, -0.1118, -0.0926, -0.0995, -0.1543, -0.18, -0.2587, -0.2913, -0.3186, -0.4282, -0.3438, -0.3496, -0.3723, -0.3928, -0.39, -0.3604, -0.3445, -0.3512, -0.3713, -0.3726, -0.3573, -0.4009, -0.4009, -0.3371, -0.3521, -0.378, -0.3574, -0.3714, -0.337, -0.3526, -0.3779, -0.3786, -0.3666, -0.3639, -0.3612, -0.3542, -0.2874, -0.2966, -0.3293, -0.3425, -0.3409, -0.3414, -0.3417, -0.3369, -0.3705, -0.3915, -0.3917, -0.3826, -0.379, -0.3981, -0.3921, -0.3877, -0.3497, -0.3713, -0.3682, -0.3589, -0.3458, -0.3617, -0.3498, -0.3286, -0.3203, -0.3475, -0.3436, -0.3387, -0.342, -0.3436, -0.3523, -0.358, -0.3655, -0.3646, -0.357, -0.3502, -0.3357, -0.3274, -0.3403, -0.3229, -0.2992, -0.3203]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020390867010510989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-08T06:54:54+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This stock is going to go a lot lower.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects HIMS to drop significantly following the news catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives Really, bro? This stock is going to go a lot lower.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Is $HIMS gonna react positively or negatively to this news on Monday?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.19089501027531042, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19089501027531042, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1956935995059923, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1956935995059923, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1081220983361072, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1081220983361072, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10548504056540775, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10548504056540775, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "ret_p1w": -0.15675120013474786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15675120013474786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13917069710253815, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13917069710253815, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "ret_p1m": 0.21417482700407042, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21417482700407042, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23834081238955007, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23834081238955007, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "ret_p3m": 0.32695290842052493, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32695290842052493, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2698479281622057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2698479281622057, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15675120013474786, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13917069710253815, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13917069710253815, "price_path": [1.0186, 0.865, 0.9131, 0.8407, 0.8758, 0.8536, 0.7393, 0.7957, 0.9545, 0.9188, 0.9865, 0.9865, 1.0569, 0.9405, 0.8784, 0.9177, 1.0704, 1.0279, 1.0238, 1.06, 0.9596, 0.954, 0.925, 0.8753, 0.9069, 0.8091, 0.7988, 0.8396, 0.8132, 0.8003, 0.7936, 0.7936, 0.775, 0.7641, 0.7093, 0.6798, 0.6798, 0.7284, 0.7957, 0.8345, 0.8345, 0.7522, 0.6394, 0.673, 0.6658, 0.6203, 0.6156, 0.6234, 0.6234, 0.5763, 0.4946, 0.5789, 0.5323, 0.5665, 0.5354, 0.4832, 0.5453, 0.4014, 0.3678, 0.3213, 0.2623, 0.2147, 0.1909, 0.0, -0.1081, -0.1366, -0.1826, -0.1568, -0.1568, -0.1583, -0.1805, -0.1816, -0.1914, -0.1976, -0.2002, -0.1816, -0.193, -0.2488, -0.1474, -0.1816, -0.149, -0.1785, -0.1857, 0.1464, 0.2142, 0.3389, 0.2333, 0.2814, 0.2871, 0.2923, 0.1976, 0.2499, 0.1392, 0.1619, 0.104, 0.0781, 0.0792, 0.0026, -0.0285, 0.074, 0.0264, -0.0098, -0.0098, 0.0517, 0.0088, 0.0031, 0.0217, 0.0052, 0.0942, 0.105, 0.2566, 0.3963, 0.4909, 0.6042, 0.5396, 0.5008, 0.4563, 0.581, 0.5204, 0.4439, 0.3621, 0.4056, 0.418, 0.4108, 0.3621, 0.3906, 0.327, 0.4625, 0.5075, 0.2949, 0.2488, 0.254, 0.2959, 0.1531, 0.1609, 0.1919, 0.2421, 0.2287, 0.2287, 0.2338, 0.3037, 0.313, 0.3528, 0.4361, 0.4232, 0.4232, 0.449, 0.3549, 0.4056, 0.4992, 0.4371, 0.4935, 0.3875, 0.5608, 0.628, 0.6498, 0.835, 0.835, 0.7351, 0.7051, 0.6917, 0.6922, 0.7558, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010484826164584780", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-11T22:51:50+00:00", "symbol": "alcohol beverage sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am adding to my investments in the sector", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding to investments in the alcohol/beverage sector on view that anti-drinking sentiment has overshot.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO", "BUD", "STZ", "BF-B"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Alcohol beverage sector basket: Diageo,AB InBev,Constellation,BF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Important contrarian article. The anti-drinking sentiment has swung too far in one direction, especially on X. I am adding to my investments in the sector.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I went sober to prioritize my health. But then slowly but surely I realized the best parts of life were passing me by. https://t.co/EggCysmmWl", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02412328439924294, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02412328439924294, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02255531379136566, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02255531379136566, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679706078772782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0013380261863989718, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0013380261863989718, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003337532951780825, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003337532951780825, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995067653818532, "ret_p1w": 0.006317023298224478, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006317023298224478, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011351847180454011, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011351847180454011, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034823882229533, "ret_p1m": 0.11157888911449287, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11157888911449287, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11595197714628025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11595197714628025, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043730880317873755, "ret_p3m": 0.05520998916729419, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05520998916729419, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07447632650481933, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07447632650481933, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01926633733752514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11157888911449287, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11595197714628025, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11595197714628025, "price_path": [-0.039, -0.0139, -0.0018, 0.0022, -0.0002, -0.0086, -0.0126, -0.0172, -0.0162, -0.0276, -0.054, -0.0642, -0.0485, -0.0419, -0.0445, -0.0389, -0.0665, -0.0551, -0.0351, -0.0134, -0.0219, -0.019, -0.0283, -0.037, -0.0471, -0.062, -0.0535, -0.0277, -0.033, -0.0289, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0229, -0.0095, -0.0112, -0.0083, -0.0214, -0.0076, -0.0145, -0.0242, -0.0002, 0.0152, 0.0154, 0.0095, 0.0081, -0.0075, -0.0188, -0.0232, -0.0263, -0.046, -0.0414, -0.0414, -0.0464, -0.0485, -0.0418, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.0438, -0.0396, -0.0361, -0.0599, -0.0337, -0.0241, 0.0, 0.0013, 0.0219, 0.0221, 0.0063, 0.0063, 0.0275, 0.0415, 0.0387, 0.0338, 0.0304, 0.0243, 0.0125, 0.0265, 0.0405, 0.0371, 0.0621, 0.0978, 0.0945, 0.0994, 0.0999, 0.1116, 0.1216, 0.1327, 0.1026, 0.1026, 0.0902, 0.0926, 0.093, 0.1111, 0.1222, 0.1341, 0.0523, 0.0586, 0.0821, 0.0633, 0.0409, 0.0067, -0.0081, -0.0191, -0.0175, -0.0127, -0.0306, -0.0549, -0.0445, -0.0462, -0.0463, -0.0617, -0.0626, -0.08, -0.0693, -0.0766, -0.0633, -0.0494, -0.0345, -0.039, -0.0362, -0.0279, -0.0271, -0.0271, -0.0115, -0.0215, -0.0058, 0.0552, 0.0516, 0.0516, 0.0541, 0.0531, 0.0541, 0.0565, 0.0516, 0.032, 0.0229, 0.0243, 0.019, 0.0126, 0.0185, -0.0256, 0.0126, 0.0016, -0.0241, 0.0231, 0.0524, 0.0426, 0.0476, 0.0233, 0.0183, 0.0113, 0.0127, 0.0221, 0.0369, 0.0356, 0.0454, 0.0542, 0.0543, 0.0543, 0.0365, 0.0453, 0.0299, 0.0086, -0.0081, -0.0088, -0.0204, -0.0133, 0.0049, 0.0076, 0.0185, 0.0216, 0.032, 0.0484, 0.0375, 0.0317, 0.0015, 0.0207, 0.0207, 0.0251, 0.0436, 0.0559, 0.0548, 0.0669, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020188183263342837", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T17:29:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will not go up if the best run Treasury companies aren't going up. They are linked.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; argues BTC and Bitcoin-treasury companies are linked and rise together.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Paco514 @WallStBlend Are you dumb? Bitcoin will not go up if the best run Treasury companies aren’t going up. They are linked.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @WallStBlend Nothing will happen.  DAT companies are dead.  Glad I only invested $5K and not millions like you.  Nothing is better than bitcoin if you want bitcoin exposure.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Paco514", "ret_m1d": 0.006198011021162131, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006198011021162131, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010996600251844013, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010996600251844013, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798589230681882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018921927121284043, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018921927121284043, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016284869350584597, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016284869350584597, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637057770699447, "ret_p1w": -0.018220347480797594, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018220347480797594, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0006398444485878896, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0006398444485878896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580503032209704, "ret_p1m": -0.002764649388443563, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002764649388443563, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021401335997036086, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021401335997036086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416598538547965, "ret_p3m": 0.1410311003558593, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1410311003558593, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08392612009754008, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08392612009754008, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710498025831923, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.002764649388443563, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.021401335997036086, "alpha_c_stated": 0.021401335997036086, "price_path": [0.4498, 0.4218, 0.3462, 0.3134, 0.3256, 0.3044, 0.2355, 0.2135, 0.2588, 0.2456, 0.2909, 0.3018, 0.2966, 0.231, 0.3028, 0.3338, 0.314, 0.2748, 0.2926, 0.3219, 0.3123, 0.3193, 0.2874, 0.2324, 0.2528, 0.2285, 0.2188, 0.2565, 0.262, 0.2466, 0.2494, 0.2441, 0.245, 0.2427, 0.2611, 0.248, 0.2654, 0.2827, 0.3389, 0.3367, 0.3022, 0.2981, 0.2908, 0.3005, 0.3594, 0.3823, 0.3627, 0.3623, 0.3199, 0.2594, 0.2746, 0.2758, 0.2764, 0.2588, 0.2707, 0.2719, 0.2059, 0.1998, 0.1222, 0.0786, 0.0413, -0.1058, 0.0062, 0.0, -0.0189, -0.0446, -0.0556, -0.018, -0.0182, -0.0375, -0.0527, -0.0451, -0.0302, -0.0785, -0.0861, -0.0308, -0.038, -0.0605, -0.0192, -0.0261, 0.0369, 0.0103, -0.0283, -0.0245, -0.0028, 0.0012, 0.0053, 0.0121, 0.0676, 0.0542, 0.016, -0.003, 0.0057, 0.0113, 0.0057, 0.017, -0.019, -0.0539, -0.0489, -0.0269, -0.0291, -0.0461, -0.0455, -0.018, 0.026, 0.0143, 0.0235, 0.0408, 0.0622, 0.0579, 0.0668, 0.0718, 0.0999, 0.082, 0.0889, 0.1153, 0.1162, 0.1046, 0.1033, 0.0888, 0.0807, 0.0882, 0.1149, 0.1384, 0.1541, 0.1612, 0.141, 0.1436, 0.1655, 0.1477, 0.1306, 0.1559, 0.1276, 0.0975, 0.0946, 0.1046, 0.1058, 0.0765, 0.1021, 0.0814, 0.0602, 0.0487, 0.0464, 0.0171, -0.0487, -0.0871, -0.0901, -0.1312, -0.1003, -0.1209, -0.1237, -0.0935, -0.0938, -0.0546, -0.0645, -0.0813, -0.103, -0.0938, -0.088, -0.1063, -0.1301, -0.1483, -0.1441, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1994405693588472235", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-28T13:59:06+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$126,000 - new all time highs within 4-12 weeks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC hitting $126K new all-time highs within 4–12 weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$88,000 ✅\n$92,000 ✅\n$104,000 - on deck\n$126,000 - new all time highs within 4-12 weeks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004026752443316406, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004026752443316406, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009455553916859816, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009455553916859816, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00542880147354341, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00542880147354341, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05056898866147219, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05056898866147219, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.046003518360307694, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046003518360307694, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565470301164498, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004565470301164498, "ret_p1w": -0.016844700647019817, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016844700647019817, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020210224367194662, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020210224367194662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0033655237201748456, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0033655237201748456, "ret_p1m": -0.0415877204243531, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0415877204243531, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05108814551612317, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05108814551612317, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00950042509177007, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00950042509177007, "ret_p3m": -0.25252228410748345, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25252228410748345, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2698011546646306, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2698011546646306, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278870557147163, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017278870557147163, "ret_p6m": -0.15001590525110442, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15001590525110442, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24731856041545386, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24731856041545386, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09730265516434944, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09730265516434944, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.0415877204243531, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05108814551612317, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05108814551612317, "price_path": [0.2231, 0.2288, 0.2178, 0.217, 0.2326, 0.2267, 0.2534, 0.2704, 0.277, 0.2698, 0.2851, 0.281, 0.2884, 0.2724, 0.2401, 0.232, 0.2465, 0.1994, 0.2067, 0.2583, 0.2545, 0.305, 0.3273, 0.3448, 0.3721, 0.3358, 0.3568, 0.3386, 0.2452, 0.2678, 0.2442, 0.2185, 0.1899, 0.171, 0.2163, 0.1931, 0.1844, 0.2106, 0.2212, 0.2552, 0.2424, 0.2105, 0.1912, 0.205, 0.1719, 0.1174, 0.1427, 0.1142, 0.137, 0.1658, 0.1328, 0.1182, 0.0965, 0.0383, 0.0129, 0.0223, 0.006, -0.0472, -0.0641, -0.0291, -0.0393, -0.0044, 0.004, 0.0, -0.0506, 0.0047, 0.0287, 0.0134, -0.0168, -0.0031, 0.0195, 0.0121, 0.0175, -0.0071, -0.0495, -0.0338, -0.0525, -0.06, -0.031, -0.0267, -0.0386, -0.0364, -0.0405, -0.0398, -0.0416, -0.0274, -0.0375, -0.0241, -0.0107, 0.0326, 0.0309, 0.0043, 0.0012, -0.0045, 0.003, 0.0484, 0.0661, 0.0509, 0.0507, 0.018, -0.0287, -0.017, -0.016, -0.0156, -0.0292, -0.02, -0.0191, -0.0699, -0.0747, -0.1345, -0.1681, -0.1969, -0.3104, -0.224, -0.2288, -0.2434, -0.2632, -0.2716, -0.2426, -0.2428, -0.2576, -0.2694, -0.2635, -0.252, -0.2893, -0.2952, -0.2525, -0.2581, -0.2754, -0.2436, -0.2489, -0.2003, -0.2208, -0.2506, -0.2477, -0.2309, -0.2278, -0.2247, -0.2194, -0.1766, -0.1869, -0.2164, -0.231, -0.2243, -0.22, -0.2244, -0.2157, -0.2434, -0.2704, -0.2665, -0.2495, -0.2512, -0.2643, -0.2638, -0.2426, -0.2087, -0.2177, -0.2106, -0.1973, -0.1808, -0.1841, -0.1772, -0.1734, -0.1517, -0.1655, -0.1602, -0.1399, -0.1391, -0.1481, -0.1491, -0.1602, -0.1666, -0.1607, -0.1401, -0.122, -0.1099, -0.1044, -0.12, -0.118, -0.1011, -0.1148, -0.128, -0.1085, -0.1304, -0.1536, -0.1558, -0.1481, -0.1472, -0.1697, -0.15]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006875037769543963", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-01T23:47:49+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I really like STZ to bounce back strongly here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on STZ for a strong bounce-back; FDS flagged as a potentially attractive business.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@charliebilello I really like STZ to bounce back strongly here.\n\nFDS is also a good business that may be worth a look.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The worst performing stocks in the S&amp;P 500 last year... https://t.co/dZefG7h3w0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "charliebilello", "ret_m1d": -0.02273845346449732, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02273845346449732, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02090881407886669, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02090881407886669, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009492097438999814, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009492097438999814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002831890330755149, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002831890330755149, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "ret_p1w": 0.0412978301086282, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0412978301086282, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02534275673264319, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02534275673264319, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "ret_p1m": 0.10981874422021587, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10981874422021587, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09190227155585995, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09190227155585995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "ret_p3m": 0.07723565660756093, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07723565660756093, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1154991994059077, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1154991994059077, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10981874422021587, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09190227155585995, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09190227155585995, "price_path": [-0.015, 0.0034, 0.0049, -0.0067, -0.0059, -0.0073, -0.0238, -0.0208, -0.0131, -0.0074, -0.005, -0.0146, -0.018, -0.0187, -0.0303, -0.0568, -0.0794, -0.0871, -0.0693, -0.0733, -0.0849, -0.0747, -0.0936, -0.0958, -0.09, -0.0663, -0.0764, -0.0813, -0.0851, -0.0723, -0.0754, -0.0843, -0.0759, -0.0532, -0.0642, -0.0637, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.0339, -0.0234, -0.0234, -0.0219, -0.0222, 0.0085, 0.0058, 0.0156, 0.052, 0.0594, 0.0443, 0.0163, 0.0101, -0.0103, -0.0309, -0.0436, 0.004, -0.0137, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.0125, -0.0188, -0.0074, -0.0227, -0.0227, 0.0, 0.0095, 0.0176, -0.0048, 0.0481, 0.0413, 0.0754, 0.0849, 0.1076, 0.1245, 0.1096, 0.1096, 0.1592, 0.1573, 0.1385, 0.1247, 0.1444, 0.1422, 0.1174, 0.1033, 0.1172, 0.1098, 0.1452, 0.1884, 0.1805, 0.1716, 0.1665, 0.1809, 0.1636, 0.1576, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.0887, 0.1143, 0.1025, 0.1152, 0.1366, 0.1413, 0.106, 0.1105, 0.1255, 0.1162, 0.1124, 0.0783, 0.0502, 0.0443, 0.062, 0.0701, 0.0692, 0.0575, 0.0705, 0.0767, 0.0813, 0.0844, 0.0831, 0.0668, 0.087, 0.0886, 0.0806, 0.0724, 0.0794, 0.0766, 0.0695, 0.0772, 0.078, 0.078, 0.1069, 0.0968, 0.0713, 0.1627, 0.1846, 0.1736, 0.1728, 0.1689, 0.1711, 0.157, 0.1395, 0.119, 0.1185, 0.1358, 0.1122, 0.1057, 0.1079, 0.0795, 0.1238, 0.0968, 0.0633, 0.0752, 0.093, 0.0784, 0.0638, 0.0221, 0.023, 0.0086, 0.0092, 0.0217, 0.0592, 0.0513, 0.0851, 0.0826, 0.073, 0.073, 0.0597, 0.0315, 0.0201, -0.0036, -0.0221, -0.0184, -0.0282, -0.0111, 0.0114, 0.0109, 0.0055, 0.0211, 0.0272, 0.0659, 0.0632, 0.0343, -0.0026, 0.0133, 0.0133, 0.0157, 0.0291, 0.0265, 0.0368, 0.05, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006875037769543963", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-01T23:47:49+00:00", "symbol": "FDS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "FDS is also a good business that may be worth a look", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on STZ for a strong bounce-back; FDS flagged as a potentially attractive business.", "resolved_tickers": ["FDS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@charliebilello I really like STZ to bounce back strongly here.\n\nFDS is also a good business that may be worth a look.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The worst performing stocks in the S&amp;P 500 last year... https://t.co/dZefG7h3w0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "charliebilello", "ret_m1d": 0.018567975608542175, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018567975608542175, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020397614994172808, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02148085226897789, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002912876660435715, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005124543147043248, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005124543147043248, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0015356639612014167, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016721401374088174, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021845944521131422, "ret_p1w": 0.03352061870170453, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03352061870170453, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017565545325719523, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01895665568761684, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014563963014087689, "ret_p1m": -0.12685153928881332, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12685153928881332, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14476801195316924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11046695831393827, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01638458097487505, "ret_p3m": -0.20666788926901358, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20666788926901358, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16840434647066682, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11134907203255062, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09531881723646296, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12685153928881332, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14476801195316924, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11046695831393827, "price_path": [-0.0318, -0.016, -0.0103, -0.0102, -0.0002, -0.001, -0.0073, -0.0281, 0.0022, 0.0153, 0.0282, 0.0136, 0.0028, -0.0026, 0.015, 0.0083, -0.0669, -0.0594, -0.0672, -0.075, -0.075, -0.087, -0.1133, -0.0819, -0.0732, -0.0506, -0.0495, -0.0283, -0.0424, -0.0433, -0.0487, -0.0665, -0.0454, -0.0315, -0.0499, -0.0255, -0.0302, -0.0302, -0.0268, -0.0273, -0.0232, -0.0202, -0.021, 0.0201, 0.007, 0.0093, 0.0116, 0.0233, 0.0266, 0.025, 0.0284, 0.0394, -0.0404, 0.0128, 0.0212, 0.021, 0.0182, 0.0182, 0.0254, 0.0299, 0.0228, 0.0186, 0.0186, 0.0, 0.0051, 0.0277, 0.0283, 0.0325, 0.0335, 0.0422, 0.0241, 0.0364, 0.0168, 0.013, 0.013, -0.0276, -0.0027, 0.0137, 0.0062, 0.005, -0.057, -0.0528, -0.1127, -0.1072, -0.1269, -0.2186, -0.2087, -0.2658, -0.2723, -0.2867, -0.2811, -0.3199, -0.2912, -0.2777, -0.2777, -0.3329, -0.3053, -0.3019, -0.3154, -0.3322, -0.2928, -0.2748, -0.2479, -0.2351, -0.224, -0.2137, -0.2048, -0.2065, -0.2031, -0.2201, -0.252, -0.2748, -0.2817, -0.2744, -0.2681, -0.2626, -0.2668, -0.2632, -0.2617, -0.2645, -0.3035, -0.316, -0.3075, -0.3003, -0.2783, -0.2344, -0.2067, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.1852, -0.197, -0.2133, -0.2467, -0.2535, -0.2012, -0.2113, -0.1859, -0.182, -0.1789, -0.1678, -0.1521, -0.1437, -0.1953, -0.2093, -0.205, -0.1901, -0.1803, -0.1971, -0.1971, -0.2081, -0.2259, -0.2528, -0.2098, -0.2111, -0.2267, -0.2382, -0.2878, -0.2949, -0.25, -0.2085, -0.217, -0.2108, -0.2061, -0.1815, -0.1815, -0.1853, -0.1683, -0.1571, -0.1297, -0.0397, -0.093, -0.1015, -0.0959, -0.0937, -0.1265, -0.1276, -0.1169, -0.161, -0.145, -0.1638, -0.1578, -0.1906, -0.2155, -0.2155, -0.2249, -0.2266, -0.2326, -0.2596, -0.1784, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015076113186476130", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-24T14:55:58+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm finally shorting in size starting yesterday", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shorting silver in size starting yesterday; decisive bearish position.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SI=F is silver futures; SLV ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives I’m finally shorting in size starting yesterday", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SILVER\n\nAre you Team A, where we could go up another 100% from current levels?\n\nOr...\n\nAre you Team B, where we are exactly at the top right now?\n\nOr...\n\nSomewhere in the middle of A and B? So let's call it Team C. https://t.co/y7gZoe4l9V", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": -0.055216523062743494, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.055216523062743494, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05016394944071734, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05016394944071734, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050525736220261575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050525736220261575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033048608104816024, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.033048608104816024, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02906444272634512, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02906444272634512, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984165378470905, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984165378470905, "ret_p1w": -0.2633719225237051, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2633719225237051, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26724058430827824, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26724058430827824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003868661784573124, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003868661784573124, "ret_p1m": -0.19585108017148678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19585108017148678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18808461497473916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18808461497473916, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766465196747618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766465196747618, "ret_p3m": -0.30465731340411895, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30465731340411895, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.330143128251858, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.330143128251858, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02548581484773904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02548581484773904, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19585108017148678, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18808461497473916, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18808461497473916, "price_path": [-0.5604, -0.5491, -0.5525, -0.555, -0.5654, -0.5561, -0.5571, -0.5534, -0.5344, -0.5277, -0.5086, -0.5178, -0.5326, -0.5376, -0.5312, -0.5277, -0.5345, -0.5394, -0.5258, -0.5254, -0.5078, -0.5078, -0.4793, -0.4659, -0.4597, -0.4603, -0.4737, -0.4616, -0.464, -0.439, -0.4298, -0.4141, -0.4295, -0.4091, -0.413, -0.3872, -0.3968, -0.3804, -0.3648, -0.3407, -0.3368, -0.3368, -0.2768, -0.3288, -0.2986, -0.3449, -0.3449, -0.3314, -0.2975, -0.2505, -0.2784, -0.2911, -0.264, -0.2147, -0.2007, -0.1401, -0.1527, -0.1761, -0.1761, -0.1317, -0.1462, -0.114, -0.0552, 0.0, 0.033, 0.0738, 0.0735, -0.2329, -0.2634, -0.2174, -0.1948, -0.3218, -0.2863, -0.2268, -0.2535, -0.2215, -0.3113, -0.291, -0.291, -0.3251, -0.2873, -0.2779, -0.2209, -0.1807, -0.1959, -0.1861, -0.1819, -0.1358, -0.1705, -0.2406, -0.2339, -0.2448, -0.2278, -0.2042, -0.1856, -0.2077, -0.2223, -0.2608, -0.2554, -0.2713, -0.3014, -0.3321, -0.3744, -0.3648, -0.3599, -0.3369, -0.382, -0.3549, -0.3541, -0.3071, -0.3071, -0.331, -0.331, -0.3279, -0.3295, -0.3139, -0.3046, -0.2975, -0.3057, -0.2674, -0.2695, -0.2756, -0.2513, -0.2663, -0.3035, -0.2844, -0.3047, -0.3005, -0.3052, -0.3268, -0.3407, -0.3221, -0.3056, -0.3295, -0.3298, -0.2869, -0.2719, -0.2576, -0.2068, -0.2012, -0.1931, -0.2322, -0.2979, -0.2888, -0.3197, -0.3011, -0.2938, -0.3049, -0.3049, -0.291, -0.3136, -0.3049, -0.3052, -0.3119, -0.3086, -0.3267, -0.3189, -0.3739, -0.3738, -0.3999, -0.4137, -0.3815, -0.3768, -0.3546, -0.3554, -0.3837, -0.3949, -0.3949, -0.401, -0.4333, -0.4735, -0.4676, -0.4582, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2025997975911297217", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-23T18:15:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long BTC / short generic software", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pair trade: long BTC / short software ETF (IGV); expects violent decoupling as market corrects its BTC-as-software mispricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is software but it is NOT a software company. This is a key distinction that the market is currently getting wrong. The longer BTC trades with IGV, the better for long term BTC bulls as the decoupling will be violent and explosive. Long BTC / short generic software.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05244281410492224, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05244281410492224, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04212610032543651, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04212610032543651, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008305824880296298, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008305824880296298, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015574300150494658, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015574300150494658, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "ret_p1w": 0.06436588091381368, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06436588091381368, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05851883792546819, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05851883792546819, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "ret_p1m": 0.09132496084938335, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09132496084938335, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13151630030922645, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13151630030922645, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "ret_p3m": 0.1999858540909938, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1999858540909938, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10860361999832535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10860361999832535, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09132496084938335, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13151630030922645, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13151630030922645, "price_path": [0.4009, 0.4127, 0.4071, 0.3359, 0.4137, 0.4474, 0.426, 0.3834, 0.4027, 0.4345, 0.4241, 0.4317, 0.397, 0.3374, 0.3595, 0.3331, 0.3226, 0.3635, 0.3695, 0.3528, 0.3559, 0.35, 0.3511, 0.3485, 0.3685, 0.3543, 0.3732, 0.392, 0.4529, 0.4505, 0.4131, 0.4087, 0.4008, 0.4113, 0.4752, 0.5001, 0.4787, 0.4783, 0.4323, 0.3667, 0.3832, 0.3845, 0.3851, 0.366, 0.3789, 0.3802, 0.3087, 0.302, 0.2178, 0.1705, 0.13, -0.0296, 0.0919, 0.0852, 0.0646, 0.0368, 0.0248, 0.0656, 0.0654, 0.0445, 0.028, 0.0362, 0.0524, 0.0, -0.0083, 0.0517, 0.0439, 0.0196, 0.0644, 0.0569, 0.1253, 0.0963, 0.0545, 0.0586, 0.0822, 0.0865, 0.0909, 0.0983, 0.1585, 0.144, 0.1026, 0.082, 0.0914, 0.0975, 0.0913, 0.1036, 0.0646, 0.0266, 0.0321, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0352, 0.0358, 0.0657, 0.1133, 0.1007, 0.1107, 0.1294, 0.1527, 0.148, 0.1577, 0.163, 0.1936, 0.1742, 0.1816, 0.2103, 0.2113, 0.1987, 0.1973, 0.1816, 0.1727, 0.1809, 0.2099, 0.2354, 0.2524, 0.2602, 0.2382, 0.241, 0.2648, 0.2455, 0.2269, 0.2543, 0.2236, 0.1909, 0.1878, 0.1987, 0.2, 0.1682, 0.196, 0.1735, 0.1505, 0.138, 0.1355, 0.1037, 0.0323, -0.0093, -0.0126, -0.0572, -0.0236, -0.046, -0.049, -0.0163, -0.0166, 0.0259, 0.0152, -0.0031, -0.0266, -0.0167, -0.0103, -0.0302, -0.056, -0.0758, -0.0712, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2025997975911297217", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-23T18:15:33+00:00", "symbol": "IGV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long BTC / short generic software", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pair trade: long BTC / short software ETF (IGV); expects violent decoupling as market corrects its BTC-as-software mispricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["IGV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is software but it is NOT a software company. This is a key distinction that the market is currently getting wrong. The longer BTC trades with IGV, the better for long term BTC bulls as the decoupling will be violent and explosive. Long BTC / short generic software.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.049908904182274894, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049908904182274894, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03959219040278916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03959219040278916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019105723713376932, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019105723713376932, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011837248443178572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011837248443178572, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "ret_p1w": 0.07577317389333715, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07577317389333715, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06992613090499167, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06992613090499167, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "ret_p1m": 0.05042879996508898, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05042879996508898, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09062013942493208, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09062013942493208, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "ret_p3m": 0.20197554446735477, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20197554446735477, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11059331037468634, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11059331037468634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05042879996508898, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09062013942493208, "alpha_c_stated": -0.09062013942493208, "price_path": [0.3383, 0.3383, 0.3529, 0.3526, 0.3676, 0.3865, 0.403, 0.4227, 0.4219, 0.429, 0.4307, 0.4268, 0.4033, 0.3698, 0.3817, 0.3608, 0.38, 0.4006, 0.416, 0.4046, 0.4067, 0.4067, 0.405, 0.3958, 0.3906, 0.3737, 0.3737, 0.3338, 0.3469, 0.3637, 0.3808, 0.3574, 0.3647, 0.3692, 0.3433, 0.3136, 0.2969, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.2468, 0.2399, 0.2599, 0.27, 0.2842, 0.2706, 0.2615, 0.1992, 0.1738, 0.1635, 0.1098, 0.0897, 0.0355, 0.0717, 0.1055, 0.1101, 0.0818, 0.0522, 0.0758, 0.0758, 0.0522, 0.0658, 0.0629, 0.0499, 0.0, 0.0191, 0.0508, 0.0736, 0.0602, 0.0758, 0.0933, 0.1132, 0.1388, 0.1434, 0.14, 0.1132, 0.1144, 0.1046, 0.0942, 0.1041, 0.1116, 0.0962, 0.0977, 0.0786, 0.0975, 0.0504, 0.045, 0.0365, -0.0006, 0.0088, 0.0404, 0.0368, 0.0442, 0.0442, 0.0457, 0.0463, 0.0365, -0.0039, -0.0295, 0.0229, 0.033, 0.0785, 0.0964, 0.1058, 0.1217, 0.1266, 0.1534, 0.0862, 0.1074, 0.1103, 0.1048, 0.0983, 0.0906, 0.1259, 0.1495, 0.1473, 0.1414, 0.1808, 0.1847, 0.1787, 0.1625, 0.1515, 0.1781, 0.1929, 0.207, 0.1951, 0.2129, 0.202, 0.2219, 0.2219, 0.2224, 0.2094, 0.2436, 0.3213, 0.3998, 0.3612, 0.3023, 0.3005, 0.2458, 0.2432, 0.2081, 0.1903, 0.1817, 0.1788, 0.2048, 0.1878, 0.159, 0.1581, 0.1581, 0.135, 0.1351, 0.1202, 0.1018, 0.1466, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009413113616257184", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T23:53:14+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's a lot of return for us to take back on the way to new ATHs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; expects it to recover -32% drawdown and make new all-time highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ilzmcfly That’s a lot of return for us to take back on the way to new ATHs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR is down -32% from its ATH. https://t.co/TwTtBXWrQB", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ilzmcfly", "ret_m1d": -0.004810578938259313, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004810578938259313, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017593545720615555, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00825814181661999, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569933510320869, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013068720754879304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06313897759455922, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06313897759455922, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06156854459389538, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0587599215830199, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00157043300066384, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004379056011539317, "ret_p1w": 0.13048708273019027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13048708273019027, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13395938046533307, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13411353264295134, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472297735142793, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003626449912761065, "ret_p1m": 0.007817262457952001, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007817262457952001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007990183362551084, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026975593261143183, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017292090459908316, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01915833080319118, "ret_p3m": -0.07276002077782895, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07276002077782895, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04939960887952699, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04344888613229636, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.023360411898301958, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02931113464553259, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.007817262457952001, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.007990183362551084, "alpha_c_stated": 0.026975593261143183, "price_path": [0.2562, 0.2646, 0.1257, 0.1281, 0.1972, 0.0869, -0.0313, 0.0376, 0.2423, 0.2351, 0.2002, 0.178, 0.1467, 0.1215, 0.3686, 0.3536, 0.4859, 0.3055, 0.2441, 0.1816, 0.1227, 0.0451, -0.1022, -0.1365, -0.1371, -0.1233, -0.1209, -0.1245, -0.1491, 0.0048, 0.0535, 0.1515, 0.1515, 0.2237, 0.184, 0.0607, 0.1203, 0.1924, 0.1594, 0.1714, 0.1762, 0.1112, 0.1353, 0.0253, -0.1136, -0.0986, -0.1347, -0.089, -0.0253, -0.0174, -0.0433, -0.0247, -0.0247, -0.0866, -0.0932, -0.1227, -0.1124, -0.1124, -0.0259, 0.092, 0.0547, -0.0331, -0.0048, 0.0, 0.0631, 0.0974, 0.0902, 0.0535, 0.1305, 0.1305, 0.0776, 0.0655, 0.0457, 0.0565, -0.0084, 0.1275, 0.1407, 0.0643, -0.0403, -0.0493, -0.0222, -0.1431, -0.2363, -0.1143, 0.0078, 0.0283, -0.021, -0.0319, -0.0126, -0.0126, -0.0595, -0.0728, -0.0499, -0.1191, -0.0848, 0.0295, -0.0012, -0.009, -0.0619, -0.0523, -0.1155, -0.0355, -0.089, -0.181, -0.1395, -0.1606, -0.1515, -0.1756, -0.1533, -0.0896, -0.0926, -0.1179, -0.1197, -0.1575, -0.1046, -0.1052, -0.0451, -0.1371, -0.1735, -0.2775, -0.2261, -0.2399, -0.2291, -0.2291, -0.1972, -0.1575, -0.0728, -0.0162, -0.006, 0.0679, 0.1094, 0.0824, 0.0427, 0.1648, 0.16, 0.0848, 0.169, 0.1239, 0.0944, 0.092, 0.0379, 0.0174, 0.0667, 0.0247, 0.0758, 0.3289, 0.3175, 0.2438, 0.2357, 0.2195, 0.2063, 0.2772, 0.3403, 0.2225, 0.1497, 0.1305, 0.1714, 0.294, 0.3211, 0.3211, 0.3842, 0.5129, 0.4787, 0.4221, 0.4438, 0.5809, 0.5779, 0.5364, 0.35, 0.4606, 0.3851, 0.264, 0.3608, 0.4732, 0.5652, 0.5761, 0.5845, 0.7547, 0.7547, 0.6921, 0.6621, 0.5767, 0.5442, 0.5598, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013351363988636104", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T20:42:26+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "May make a INCY style move back towards $100 soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish BMNR; sees potential move back toward $100 like INCY.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow This is an interesting case. May make a INCY style move back towards $100 soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BMNR seems to be forming a nice bottoming formation on the daily chart, as it looks to be breaking a key diagonal bearish trendline with some volume coming in.\nI particularly like it when people get bitter about earning calls which changes nothing about their fundamentals. https://t.co/hP6qkj7EiK", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.10339943696742915, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10339943696742915, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08261962651017685, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08009126074944128, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023308176217987864, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03930597094008448, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03930597094008448, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02776486165842318, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034418838027441945, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004887132912642533, "ret_p1w": 0.03859773942713218, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03859773942713218, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01216546047144118, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04235716701687109, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0037594275897389062, "ret_p1m": -0.2981586453447962, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2981586453447962, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.31101319128999516, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2866924599056909, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01146618543910527, "ret_p3m": -0.18732291257271683, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18732291257271683, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23823859635034317, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1779151220470182, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": -0.009407790525698623, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2981586453447962, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.31101319128999516, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2866924599056909, "price_path": [0.7413, 0.7845, 0.9014, 0.8599, 0.7615, 0.5771, 0.6514, 0.5173, 0.3969, 0.4663, 0.3229, 0.4242, 0.4567, 0.4015, 0.4362, 0.2946, 0.2178, 0.0956, 0.1427, 0.033, -0.0789, -0.0796, 0.101, 0.0234, 0.1236, 0.1236, 0.1725, 0.0245, 0.1296, 0.1916, 0.2857, 0.2057, 0.2691, 0.3885, 0.4306, 0.3591, 0.2344, 0.096, 0.1115, 0.0382, 0.0067, 0.1105, 0.1009, 0.0545, 0.0393, 0.0393, 0.0025, 0.0106, -0.0184, -0.0386, -0.0386, 0.1045, 0.1809, 0.1448, 0.0751, 0.1076, 0.0644, 0.1023, 0.1055, 0.1565, 0.0931, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.0, 0.0393, 0.0234, 0.0198, -0.0156, 0.0386, 0.0492, -0.0545, -0.1112, -0.1926, -0.2086, -0.2812, -0.3839, -0.2751, -0.2404, -0.2936, -0.3106, -0.301, -0.2578, -0.2578, -0.2865, -0.2982, -0.2932, -0.2872, -0.3194, -0.3116, -0.2387, -0.2762, -0.3279, -0.2776, -0.307, -0.2521, -0.2794, -0.3314, -0.267, -0.2659, -0.2546, -0.2723, -0.2727, -0.1717, -0.1774, -0.2419, -0.2514, -0.2585, -0.2468, -0.2635, -0.2479, -0.3106, -0.3488, -0.352, -0.2996, -0.3028, -0.3113, -0.3113, -0.2705, -0.2858, -0.238, -0.2535, -0.2465, -0.2383, -0.2394, -0.2089, -0.2054, -0.1873, -0.2022, -0.2312, -0.1746, -0.221, -0.216, -0.2369, -0.2394, -0.2684, -0.2422, -0.2252, -0.193, -0.182, -0.1887, -0.221, -0.2149, -0.1848, -0.2326, -0.25, -0.221, -0.2964, -0.3368, -0.3403, -0.3134, -0.3056, -0.3314, -0.3314, -0.3201, -0.3336, -0.3183, -0.3176, -0.3325, -0.3637, -0.4016, -0.3665, -0.437, -0.4033, -0.4263, -0.4462, -0.415, -0.4295, -0.3941, -0.426, -0.4441, -0.4285, -0.4285, -0.4384, -0.4642, -0.5035, -0.5283, -0.5198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990793649182138397", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T14:46:07+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SOMEONE HUGE IS BUYING BITCOIN HERE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Implies large buyer is accumulating BTC now; bullish signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "SOMEONE HUGE IS BUYING BITCOIN HERE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009198605147184402, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009198605147184402, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017667274594413307, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017667274594413307, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008468669447228905, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015953746750565823, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015953746750565823, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019816923393842445, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019816923393842445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0038631766432766224, "ret_p1w": -0.06032331617784503, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06032331617784503, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08295696665042118, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08295696665042118, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02263365047257615, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02263365047257615, "ret_p1m": -0.0732135508633106, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0732135508633106, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0903629934083009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0903629934083009, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01714944254499029, "ret_p3m": -0.2591858293067022, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2591858293067022, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29506705424584, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29506705424584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03588122493913781, "ret_p6m": -0.14708900793581414, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14708900793581414, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27806809330385074, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27806809330385074, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1309790853680366, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 1, "stated_label": "p1d", "ret_signed_stated": -0.015953746750565823, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.019816923393842445, "alpha_c_stated": -0.019816923393842445, "price_path": [0.2095, 0.2574, 0.1848, 0.2028, 0.1966, 0.2108, 0.1663, 0.1754, 0.1964, 0.202, 0.1912, 0.1904, 0.2057, 0.1999, 0.226, 0.2427, 0.2491, 0.242, 0.2571, 0.253, 0.2602, 0.2447, 0.213, 0.2051, 0.2193, 0.1732, 0.1804, 0.2308, 0.2271, 0.2765, 0.2984, 0.3154, 0.3422, 0.3066, 0.3271, 0.3094, 0.218, 0.2402, 0.217, 0.1919, 0.1639, 0.1454, 0.1898, 0.1671, 0.1586, 0.1842, 0.1946, 0.2278, 0.2153, 0.184, 0.1652, 0.1787, 0.1463, 0.093, 0.1177, 0.0899, 0.1121, 0.1404, 0.1081, 0.0938, 0.0726, 0.0156, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.016, -0.068, -0.0845, -0.0503, -0.0603, -0.0261, -0.0179, -0.0218, -0.0713, -0.0172, 0.0062, -0.0087, -0.0383, -0.0248, -0.0028, -0.01, -0.0047, -0.0288, -0.0702, -0.0549, -0.0732, -0.0805, -0.0521, -0.048, -0.0595, -0.0574, -0.0615, -0.0608, -0.0625, -0.0486, -0.0585, -0.0454, -0.0323, 0.01, 0.0084, -0.0177, -0.0207, -0.0262, -0.0189, 0.0255, 0.0428, 0.028, 0.0277, -0.0043, -0.0499, -0.0384, -0.0375, -0.0371, -0.0504, -0.0414, -0.0405, -0.0902, -0.0949, -0.1534, -0.1863, -0.2144, -0.3254, -0.2409, -0.2456, -0.2599, -0.2793, -0.2875, -0.2592, -0.2593, -0.2739, -0.2854, -0.2796, -0.2684, -0.3048, -0.3106, -0.2688, -0.2743, -0.2912, -0.2601, -0.2653, -0.2177, -0.2378, -0.2669, -0.2641, -0.2477, -0.2447, -0.2416, -0.2365, -0.1946, -0.2047, -0.2335, -0.2478, -0.2413, -0.2371, -0.2413, -0.2328, -0.2599, -0.2863, -0.2825, -0.2659, -0.2676, -0.2804, -0.2799, -0.2592, -0.226, -0.2348, -0.2279, -0.2148, -0.1986, -0.2019, -0.1952, -0.1915, -0.1702, -0.1837, -0.1786, -0.1586, -0.1579, -0.1667, -0.1676, -0.1786, -0.1848, -0.1791, -0.1589, -0.1412, -0.1293, -0.124, -0.1392, -0.1373, -0.1207, -0.1342, -0.1471]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1992448966685082087", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-23T04:23:46+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is easily worth $140,000 right now just on fundamentals so it's not surprising that it won't stay down at $84,000 when the manipulation stops", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC fundamentally worth $140K; expects price to rise from $84K once manipulation ends.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin is easily worth $140,000 right now just on fundamentals so it’s not surprising that it won’t stay down at $84,000 when the manipulation stops. Not rocket science.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036024184166720374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02151907232931638, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010520742688141405, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019926670753852016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "ret_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022079752663862307, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03933636234623772, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04149969295228917, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24145126595856914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2680278510330806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "ret_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13050394065405435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23395056004061543, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.009703829631764305, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04149969295228917, "price_path": [0.26, 0.275, 0.2282, 0.2377, 0.2598, 0.2657, 0.2544, 0.2535, 0.2696, 0.2635, 0.291, 0.3086, 0.3153, 0.3079, 0.3237, 0.3194, 0.327, 0.3106, 0.2773, 0.269, 0.2839, 0.2354, 0.2429, 0.296, 0.2921, 0.3442, 0.3672, 0.3851, 0.4133, 0.3759, 0.3975, 0.3788, 0.2826, 0.3059, 0.2815, 0.255, 0.2256, 0.2062, 0.2528, 0.2289, 0.22, 0.247, 0.2579, 0.2928, 0.2797, 0.2468, 0.227, 0.2411, 0.2071, 0.1509, 0.177, 0.1476, 0.1711, 0.2008, 0.1668, 0.1517, 0.1295, 0.0694, 0.0433, 0.053, 0.0362, -0.0186, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0255, 0.0342, 0.03, -0.0221, 0.0349, 0.0596, 0.0439, 0.0127, 0.0268, 0.0501, 0.0425, 0.048, 0.0227, -0.021, -0.0048, -0.0241, -0.0318, -0.0019, 0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0075, -0.0117, -0.011, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0086, 0.0052, 0.019, 0.0636, 0.0618, 0.0344, 0.0312, 0.0254, 0.0331, 0.0799, 0.0981, 0.0825, 0.0822, 0.0485, 0.0005, 0.0125, 0.0135, 0.014, -0.0, 0.0094, 0.0104, -0.042, -0.0469, -0.1086, -0.1432, -0.1728, -0.2897, -0.2007, -0.2056, -0.2206, -0.2411, -0.2498, -0.2199, -0.2201, -0.2354, -0.2475, -0.2415, -0.2296, -0.268, -0.274, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.2536, -0.2209, -0.2263, -0.1763, -0.1975, -0.2281, -0.2251, -0.2078, -0.2047, -0.2014, -0.196, -0.1519, -0.1625, -0.1929, -0.208, -0.2011, -0.1966, -0.2011, -0.1921, -0.2207, -0.2485, -0.2445, -0.227, -0.2288, -0.2422, -0.2418, -0.2199, -0.185, -0.1943, -0.187, -0.1732, -0.1562, -0.1596, -0.1525, -0.1486, -0.1262, -0.1405, -0.135, -0.1141, -0.1133, -0.1225, -0.1235, -0.135, -0.1415, -0.1356, -0.1143, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0775, -0.0936, -0.0916, -0.0741, -0.0883, -0.1019, -0.0818, -0.1043, -0.1282, -0.1305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008992148415492138", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T20:00:28+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For CIFR and IREN those cash flows start in 2026 and there is a severe shortage until at least 2029 or 2030", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CIFR and IREN: cash flows begin 2026 with severe data center shortage persisting to 2029-2030, unlike generic data center co.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JohnHuber72 I think you missed the point. For a generic data center company that might be true. For CIFR and IREN those cash flows start in 2026 and there is a severe shortage until at least 2029 or 2030.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Most of the value of the datacenters comes from cash flow years from now. The value doesn’t come from today’s shortage; it depends on the supply reaction over the coming years, and there is inevitably an overbuild in these situations because profits are currently available (due", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JohnHuber72", "ret_m1d": 0.09079608201172151, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09079608201172151, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08756224574297944, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08997715788073624, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008189241309852768, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02922881315823833, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02922881315823833, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029330340472511596, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.044856954585652864, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015628141427414532, "ret_p1w": 0.12748751534745484, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12748751534745484, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1263564779313917, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13997639541207518, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012488880064620345, "ret_p1m": -0.21019901308941724, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21019901308941724, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19285510466153788, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1358115777343173, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07438743535509995, "ret_p3m": -0.16977609174062291, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16977609174062291, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1279383850655802, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1043974481545682, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.06537864358605472, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0553, 0.2649, 0.2991, 0.3078, 0.1642, 0.1667, 0.2382, 0.1241, 0.0019, 0.0731, 0.2848, 0.2774, 0.2413, 0.2183, 0.1859, 0.1598, 0.4154, 0.3999, 0.5367, 0.3501, 0.2867, 0.222, 0.1611, 0.0808, -0.0715, -0.107, -0.1076, -0.0933, -0.0908, -0.0945, -0.12, 0.0392, 0.0896, 0.1909, 0.1909, 0.2655, 0.2245, 0.097, 0.1586, 0.2332, 0.199, 0.2114, 0.2164, 0.1493, 0.1741, 0.0603, -0.0833, -0.0678, -0.1051, -0.0578, 0.0081, 0.0162, -0.0106, 0.0087, 0.0087, -0.0553, -0.0622, -0.0927, -0.0821, -0.0821, 0.0075, 0.1294, 0.0908, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0342, 0.0995, 0.135, 0.1275, 0.0896, 0.1692, 0.1692, 0.1144, 0.102, 0.0815, 0.0927, 0.0255, 0.166, 0.1797, 0.1007, -0.0075, -0.0168, 0.0112, -0.1138, -0.2102, -0.084, 0.0423, 0.0634, 0.0124, 0.0012, 0.0211, 0.0211, -0.0274, -0.041, -0.0174, -0.0889, -0.0535, 0.0647, 0.033, 0.0249, -0.0299, -0.0199, -0.0852, -0.0025, -0.0578, -0.153, -0.1101, -0.1318, -0.1225, -0.1474, -0.1244, -0.0585, -0.0616, -0.0877, -0.0896, -0.1287, -0.074, -0.0746, -0.0124, -0.1076, -0.1452, -0.2528, -0.1996, -0.2139, -0.2027, -0.2027, -0.1698, -0.1287, -0.041, 0.0174, 0.028, 0.1045, 0.1474, 0.1194, 0.0784, 0.2046, 0.1996, 0.1219, 0.209, 0.1623, 0.1318, 0.1294, 0.0734, 0.0522, 0.1032, 0.0597, 0.1126, 0.3744, 0.3626, 0.2864, 0.278, 0.2612, 0.2475, 0.3209, 0.3862, 0.2643, 0.1891, 0.1692, 0.2114, 0.3383, 0.3663, 0.3663, 0.4316, 0.5647, 0.5292, 0.4708, 0.4932, 0.635, 0.6318, 0.5889, 0.3961, 0.5106, 0.4325, 0.3072, 0.4073, 0.5236, 0.6188, 0.63, 0.6387, 0.8147, 0.8147, 0.75, 0.7189, 0.6306, 0.597, 0.6132, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008992148415492138", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-07T20:00:28+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For CIFR and IREN those cash flows start in 2026 and there is a severe shortage until at least 2029 or 2030", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CIFR and IREN: cash flows begin 2026 with severe data center shortage persisting to 2029-2030, unlike generic data center co.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JohnHuber72 I think you missed the point. For a generic data center company that might be true. For CIFR and IREN those cash flows start in 2026 and there is a severe shortage until at least 2029 or 2030.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Most of the value of the datacenters comes from cash flow years from now. The value doesn’t come from today’s shortage; it depends on the supply reaction over the coming years, and there is inevitably an overbuild in these situations because profits are currently available (due", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JohnHuber72", "ret_m1d": 0.05237821999798542, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05237821999798542, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049144383729243346, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0381721045654444, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233836268742074, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014206115432541022, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04710602418741039, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04710602418741039, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04720755150168365, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04189113243988363, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010152731427326422, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005214891747526762, "ret_p1w": 0.21214902161868743, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21214902161868743, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2110179842026243, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2384032397900413, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310374160631298, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02625421817135387, "ret_p1m": -0.08790828846928722, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08790828846928722, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07056438004140786, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04618908529760568, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343908427879362, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04171920317168154, "ret_p3m": -0.1947277692122582, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1947277692122582, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1528900625372155, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09629944648747601, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183770667504272, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09842832272478219, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3701, 0.4703, 0.5945, 0.5583, 0.4173, 0.3919, 0.3575, 0.2652, 0.1881, 0.2805, 0.4418, 0.4897, 0.4308, 0.385, 0.3346, 0.3926, 0.553, 0.5273, 0.7515, 0.5349, 0.4299, 0.3793, 0.3153, 0.2768, 0.1152, 0.0629, 0.0868, 0.1198, 0.0505, -0.0036, -0.0313, 0.1115, 0.0881, 0.1106, 0.1106, 0.0959, 0.1115, -0.0574, 0.0077, 0.0648, 0.0249, 0.0622, 0.0737, 0.0068, 0.0072, -0.0801, -0.1867, -0.1613, -0.2257, -0.1794, -0.0849, -0.0363, -0.0356, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.0762, -0.0966, -0.1221, -0.1342, -0.1342, -0.0212, 0.1058, 0.0524, 0.0, 0.0471, 0.0551, 0.1537, 0.2147, 0.2121, 0.1895, 0.3254, 0.3254, 0.2438, 0.2259, 0.1979, 0.2993, 0.2002, 0.3751, 0.4428, 0.3717, 0.2319, 0.2167, 0.2468, 0.0301, -0.0879, -0.0411, 0.0579, -0.0159, -0.0219, -0.0824, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0609, -0.0354, -0.0077, -0.0836, -0.029, 0.0418, 0.0093, 0.0141, -0.0613, -0.0512, -0.1095, 0.0049, -0.0802, -0.1587, -0.1097, -0.1262, -0.0377, -0.0517, -0.0469, 0.0301, -0.0152, -0.0324, -0.045, -0.0535, -0.0336, -0.0574, -0.0503, -0.1415, -0.1956, -0.2752, -0.2142, -0.2186, -0.203, -0.203, -0.1947, -0.1807, -0.1558, -0.1505, -0.0987, -0.0127, 0.0858, 0.1191, 0.0934, 0.103, 0.1168, 0.0354, 0.1092, 0.1924, 0.1608, 0.1085, 0.0187, -0.0175, 0.0432, 0.0466, 0.1342, 0.2548, 0.3978, 0.3032, 0.4029, 0.2642, 0.2965, 0.2646, 0.3387, 0.2135, 0.1567, 0.0943, 0.2083, 0.3309, 0.3027, 0.3027, 0.3703, 0.5551, 0.4682, 0.4565, 0.4975, 0.5266, 0.501, 0.418, 0.2458, 0.3568, 0.2383, 0.181, 0.2999, 0.3701, 0.3948, 0.3566, 0.332, 0.3744, 0.3744, 0.3036, 0.2543, 0.153, 0.0943, 0.0822, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013397426262958453", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T23:45:28+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Holding almost $12M of DEO alone at the moment", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DEO ($12M position), plus AB InBev, Constellation, and Brown-Forman at current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@leevalueroach I like Diageo, AB, Constellation, and Brown Forman the best at current prices. Holding almost $12M of DEO alone at the moment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What stocks do you like in the space?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "leevalueroach", "ret_m1d": -0.00416058297382893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00416058297382893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02494039343108123, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02494039343108123, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02192737801728284, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02192737801728284, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01038626873562154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01038626873562154, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": -0.0017991756998799735, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0017991756998799735, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028231454655570976, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028231454655570976, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.07016750566672747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07016750566672747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0573129597215285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0573129597215285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.06998032622776496, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06998032622776496, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1208960100053913, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1208960100053913, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07016750566672747, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0573129597215285, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0573129597215285, "price_path": [0.0893, 0.0821, 0.071, 0.0576, 0.0313, 0.0233, 0.0355, 0.0509, 0.0464, 0.0559, -0.0188, 0.021, 0.0688, 0.0945, 0.0906, 0.0801, 0.0638, 0.0457, 0.0256, -0.0029, -0.0022, 0.0345, 0.0208, 0.0252, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0301, 0.0385, 0.0318, 0.0352, 0.0063, -0.0053, -0.0111, -0.0397, -0.0322, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0001, 0.0052, 0.0098, -0.0061, 0.0026, -0.0232, -0.0395, -0.0368, -0.0368, -0.0293, -0.03, -0.0262, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0207, 0.007, -0.0047, -0.0428, -0.0223, -0.0056, 0.022, 0.0112, 0.0274, 0.0047, -0.0042, -0.0042, 0.0, 0.0219, 0.0253, 0.0288, 0.0096, -0.0018, -0.002, 0.0237, 0.0435, 0.0344, 0.047, 0.0937, 0.0919, 0.0894, 0.0919, 0.1141, 0.1336, 0.125, 0.1151, 0.1151, 0.0846, 0.0702, 0.0849, 0.1286, 0.1231, 0.1485, -0.0313, -0.0383, 0.0064, -0.027, -0.0541, -0.075, -0.0744, -0.0802, -0.0771, -0.0852, -0.104, -0.137, -0.13, -0.1353, -0.1363, -0.1545, -0.1611, -0.1693, -0.1664, -0.1851, -0.1673, -0.1708, -0.1671, -0.1741, -0.1628, -0.1608, -0.1755, -0.1755, -0.1573, -0.1665, -0.1331, -0.1169, -0.1291, -0.1088, -0.0948, -0.1042, -0.1, -0.07, -0.0668, -0.0732, -0.0919, -0.0985, -0.0994, -0.1027, -0.1033, -0.1209, -0.084, -0.0947, -0.1083, -0.0875, -0.039, -0.0524, -0.0425, -0.0685, -0.0787, -0.0835, -0.0847, -0.0721, -0.0484, -0.0426, -0.0332, -0.0234, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0344, -0.0168, -0.0392, -0.0634, -0.0928, -0.0995, -0.1064, -0.1034, -0.0864, -0.0886, -0.0867, -0.0938, -0.0786, -0.071, -0.088, -0.0852, -0.1045, -0.0862, -0.0862, -0.096, -0.0659, -0.0576, -0.0617, -0.0515, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013397426262958453", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-19T23:45:28+00:00", "symbol": "Anheuser-Busch InBev", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like Diageo, AB, Constellation, and Brown Forman the best at current prices", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DEO ($12M position), plus AB InBev, Constellation, and Brown-Forman at current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["BUD"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "AB InBev US ADR listed as BUD", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@leevalueroach I like Diageo, AB, Constellation, and Brown Forman the best at current prices. Holding almost $12M of DEO alone at the moment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What stocks do you like in the space?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "leevalueroach", "ret_m1d": -0.004645036658801449, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004645036658801449, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02542484711605375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02542484711605375, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005370862271386834, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005370862271386834, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0061702470102744655, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0061702470102744655, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": 0.019741602485385146, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019741602485385146, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006690676470305856, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006690676470305856, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.1451589409734515, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1451589409734515, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13230439502825253, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13230439502825253, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.09972425819790698, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09972425819790698, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04880857442028064, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04880857442028064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1451589409734515, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13230439502825253, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13230439502825253, "price_path": [-0.106, -0.1103, -0.1054, -0.1028, -0.1081, -0.1289, -0.116, -0.1124, -0.1015, -0.0875, -0.0872, -0.0814, -0.0804, -0.06, -0.063, -0.0626, -0.0735, -0.0983, -0.1122, -0.119, -0.118, -0.0932, -0.0942, -0.092, -0.1022, -0.1022, -0.1068, -0.0991, -0.1052, -0.106, -0.115, -0.1122, -0.1216, -0.1227, -0.0964, -0.08, -0.0748, -0.0568, -0.063, -0.0524, -0.063, -0.0639, -0.0798, -0.0717, -0.0735, -0.0735, -0.0675, -0.0665, -0.0621, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.0752, -0.0816, -0.0746, -0.0835, -0.0614, -0.0437, -0.0312, -0.0145, -0.0015, -0.0025, -0.0046, -0.0046, 0.0, 0.0054, 0.0112, 0.0144, 0.0074, 0.0197, 0.0135, 0.0347, 0.0405, 0.0517, 0.0674, 0.0811, 0.0885, 0.1004, 0.1038, 0.0991, 0.1215, 0.1642, 0.1669, 0.1669, 0.151, 0.1452, 0.1434, 0.1398, 0.1613, 0.1709, 0.1408, 0.1537, 0.1751, 0.1425, 0.1113, 0.0973, 0.07, 0.0691, 0.062, 0.0618, 0.0547, 0.0443, 0.0508, 0.0586, 0.0528, 0.0151, 0.0055, -0.0205, -0.0049, -0.012, 0.0045, -0.0138, -0.0192, -0.0096, 0.007, 0.0273, 0.035, 0.035, 0.0528, 0.0386, 0.0798, 0.0915, 0.0993, 0.0981, 0.0973, 0.0926, 0.0946, 0.0997, 0.0894, 0.0565, 0.0475, 0.0483, 0.0534, 0.0642, 0.0803, 0.0569, 0.0967, 0.0968, 0.0729, 0.1666, 0.1916, 0.1649, 0.1769, 0.1765, 0.1757, 0.1807, 0.1894, 0.1921, 0.198, 0.2066, 0.2155, 0.228, 0.2293, 0.2293, 0.2148, 0.2368, 0.2077, 0.1784, 0.1788, 0.1871, 0.1644, 0.1479, 0.1564, 0.1588, 0.1935, 0.1971, 0.212, 0.2214, 0.2003, 0.2131, 0.1885, 0.1894, 0.1894, 0.1907, 0.2226, 0.2438, 0.2386, 0.2535, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013397426262958453", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-19T23:45:28+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like Diageo, AB, Constellation, and Brown Forman the best at current prices", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DEO ($12M position), plus AB InBev, Constellation, and Brown-Forman at current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@leevalueroach I like Diageo, AB, Constellation, and Brown Forman the best at current prices. Holding almost $12M of DEO alone at the moment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What stocks do you like in the space?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "leevalueroach", "ret_m1d": -0.042776789630112, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.042776789630112, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0635566000873643, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0635566000873643, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0015888570451926265, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0015888570451926265, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013129966326853926, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013129966326853926, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": -0.014605164725465136, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014605164725465136, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04103744368115614, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04103744368115614, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": -0.038699633363938335, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.038699633363938335, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.051554179309137305, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.051554179309137305, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": -0.001856611155085952, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.001856611155085952, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.052772294932712294, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.052772294932712294, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.038699633363938335, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.051554179309137305, "alpha_c_stated": -0.051554179309137305, "price_path": [-0.1528, -0.1534, -0.1635, -0.1864, -0.2058, -0.2124, -0.1971, -0.2006, -0.2106, -0.2018, -0.2181, -0.2199, -0.2149, -0.1945, -0.2033, -0.2075, -0.2107, -0.1997, -0.2023, -0.21, -0.2028, -0.1832, -0.1927, -0.1923, -0.1757, -0.1757, -0.1666, -0.1575, -0.1575, -0.1562, -0.1565, -0.13, -0.1323, -0.1239, -0.0925, -0.0861, -0.0991, -0.1233, -0.1286, -0.1462, -0.164, -0.175, -0.1338, -0.1492, -0.1415, -0.1415, -0.1481, -0.1536, -0.1437, -0.1569, -0.1569, -0.1373, -0.1291, -0.1222, -0.1415, -0.0958, -0.1017, -0.0722, -0.064, -0.0445, -0.0299, -0.0428, -0.0428, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0178, -0.0297, -0.0128, -0.0146, -0.0361, -0.0482, -0.0362, -0.0426, -0.0121, 0.0252, 0.0184, 0.0108, 0.0063, 0.0187, 0.0038, -0.0014, -0.0817, -0.0817, -0.0608, -0.0387, -0.0488, -0.038, -0.0194, -0.0154, -0.0459, -0.042, -0.029, -0.037, -0.0404, -0.0698, -0.094, -0.0991, -0.0838, -0.0768, -0.0776, -0.0877, -0.0765, -0.0711, -0.0672, -0.0645, -0.0656, -0.0797, -0.0623, -0.0609, -0.0678, -0.0749, -0.0688, -0.0712, -0.0774, -0.0707, -0.07, -0.07, -0.0451, -0.0538, -0.0758, 0.003, 0.0219, 0.0124, 0.0118, 0.0084, 0.0103, -0.0019, -0.017, -0.0346, -0.0351, -0.0201, -0.0405, -0.0461, -0.0442, -0.0688, -0.0305, -0.0538, -0.0827, -0.0725, -0.0571, -0.0697, -0.0823, -0.1182, -0.1175, -0.1299, -0.1294, -0.1186, -0.0862, -0.0931, -0.0639, -0.0661, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0858, -0.1101, -0.12, -0.1405, -0.1564, -0.1532, -0.1616, -0.1469, -0.1275, -0.1279, -0.1326, -0.1191, -0.1138, -0.0805, -0.0828, -0.1077, -0.1396, -0.1258, -0.1258, -0.1238, -0.1122, -0.1145, -0.1056, -0.0941, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013397426262958453", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-19T23:45:28+00:00", "symbol": "BF-B", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like Diageo, AB, Constellation, and Brown Forman the best at current prices", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DEO ($12M position), plus AB InBev, Constellation, and Brown-Forman at current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["BF-B"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@leevalueroach I like Diageo, AB, Constellation, and Brown Forman the best at current prices. Holding almost $12M of DEO alone at the moment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What stocks do you like in the space?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "leevalueroach", "ret_m1d": -0.029054787634527846, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029054787634527846, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04983459809178015, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04983459809178015, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0207798104572523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03015812586468325, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03015812586468325, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01861701658302195, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01861701658302195, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0115411092816613, "ret_p1w": -0.015446806635654675, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015446806635654675, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04187908559134568, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04187908559134568, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026432278955691002, "ret_p1m": 0.08201545116285769, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08201545116285769, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06916090521765872, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06916090521765872, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01285454594519897, "ret_p3m": 0.08197988725097316, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08197988725097316, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03106420347334682, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03106420347334682, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091568377762634, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08201545116285769, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.06916090521765872, "alpha_c_stated": 0.06916090521765872, "price_path": [0.0258, 0.02, 0.04, 0.0298, -0.0224, -0.0268, -0.0063, 0.0046, -0.0016, -0.0122, -0.0319, -0.0293, -0.003, 0.0152, -0.0019, 0.0236, 0.017, 0.0138, 0.0105, -0.0056, 0.0181, 0.0382, 0.0419, 0.051, 0.0451, 0.0451, 0.0575, 0.0845, 0.0908, 0.098, 0.0838, 0.1181, 0.1089, 0.0905, 0.1173, 0.1357, 0.1313, 0.117, 0.1184, 0.0607, 0.0614, 0.0482, 0.0335, -0.0202, -0.011, -0.011, -0.0368, -0.0397, -0.0316, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.0386, -0.0508, -0.0401, -0.0677, -0.0552, -0.0452, -0.021, -0.0309, 0.0004, 0.0085, -0.0291, -0.0291, 0.0, 0.0302, 0.0272, 0.014, 0.0081, -0.0154, -0.0324, -0.0107, 0.0066, -0.0026, 0.0353, 0.0772, 0.0655, 0.0831, 0.0842, 0.1, 0.1136, 0.128, 0.1015, 0.1015, 0.0761, 0.082, 0.082, 0.103, 0.1107, 0.1188, 0.0335, 0.0474, 0.0614, 0.0611, 0.0346, -0.0342, -0.0394, -0.071, -0.0765, -0.0572, -0.101, -0.1437, -0.1281, -0.1433, -0.1407, -0.1485, -0.1348, -0.1537, -0.1489, -0.1537, -0.1281, -0.0446, 0.0092, -0.0086, -0.0186, -0.016, -0.0071, -0.0071, -0.0078, -0.0145, -0.0034, 0.125, 0.0946, 0.0864, 0.0842, 0.0976, 0.0935, 0.082, 0.0861, 0.0671, 0.059, 0.0541, 0.0508, 0.0241, 0.0293, -0.0769, -0.0435, -0.0516, -0.0847, -0.0253, 0.0014, 0.0163, 0.0274, -0.0041, -0.0142, -0.029, -0.0316, -0.0208, -0.0257, -0.0379, -0.0483, -0.0335, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.058, -0.0372, -0.0364, -0.0453, -0.0661, -0.0743, -0.081, -0.055, -0.029, -0.0186, -0.0078, -0.0067, -0.0011, 0.0113, 0.0087, -0.0037, -0.0449, -0.0026, -0.0026, 0.0206, 0.0199, 0.0409, 0.0364, 0.0469, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024667511917334855", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-20T02:08:46+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm holding my 1.6M shares for the duration and may add with continued great execution", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding 1.6M shares and may add more on continued execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Robinhood Markets NASDAQ ticker HOOD", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nejatian @pulte I’ll take one too. Good job on the earnings call today. I’m holding my 1.6M shares for the duration and may add with continued great execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@pulte @mikealfred Happy to give you a demo soon!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nejatian", "ret_m1d": -0.006043871774849108, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006043871774849108, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001136053377637447, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0004335806226857253, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007179925152486555, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006477452397534833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05689136508121084, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05689136508121084, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.046679999042444575, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023361143995008216, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010211366038766267, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03353022108620263, "ret_p1w": -0.003416136304630446, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003416136304630446, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.001573579260044311, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016778218055059968, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004989715564674757, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020194354359690414, "ret_p1m": -0.047562773847746875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.047562773847746875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0007702173741329643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008957257294809784, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04679255647361391, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05652003114255666, "ret_p3m": -0.00459858719372408, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.00459858719372408, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08269835142289972, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0061549191477856535, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809976422917564, "bench_c_p3m": -0.010753506341509733, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.047562773847746875, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0007702173741329643, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008957257294809784, "price_path": [0.5185, 0.6844, 0.6844, 0.6882, 0.6192, 0.6548, 0.7559, 0.8011, 0.7337, 0.7925, 0.7831, 0.7824, 0.6211, 0.5701, 0.5144, 0.5688, 0.5215, 0.5394, 0.5944, 0.6078, 0.5798, 0.5824, 0.5824, 0.5521, 0.5429, 0.5169, 0.486, 0.486, 0.5137, 0.6192, 0.599, 0.5369, 0.5161, 0.5145, 0.5441, 0.5798, 0.5723, 0.4499, 0.4287, 0.4287, 0.3898, 0.3917, 0.396, 0.4057, 0.4059, 0.3827, 0.3586, 0.3302, 0.3071, 0.1813, 0.144, 0.0593, -0.0451, 0.0882, 0.1373, 0.1247, 0.0244, -0.0656, -0.0018, -0.0018, -0.0088, -0.0118, -0.006, 0.0, -0.0569, -0.0357, 0.0187, 0.0439, -0.0034, 0.0351, -0.0005, 0.0801, 0.0585, 0.0129, 0.0426, 0.0318, 0.0339, 0.0001, -0.0357, -0.0105, 0.0163, -0.0159, -0.0256, -0.0686, -0.0476, -0.0924, -0.0469, -0.0757, -0.1326, -0.1439, -0.0895, -0.0788, -0.0947, -0.0947, -0.0832, -0.0849, -0.0562, -0.0787, -0.0909, -0.0583, 0.0392, 0.1473, 0.1411, 0.1924, 0.1993, 0.1356, 0.1619, 0.0976, 0.113, 0.103, 0.0783, -0.0645, -0.0423, -0.0322, 0.0058, 0.0121, 0.0386, 0.0022, 0.0121, 0.0614, 0.0284, 0.0084, 0.0603, 0.0135, 0.0137, -0.0256, -0.0046, -0.0025, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.0265, 0.0016, 0.1147, 0.239, 0.1921, 0.1583, 0.0886, 0.1606, 0.0836, 0.1173, 0.1006, 0.1347, 0.2118, 0.2244, 0.2892, 0.2707, 0.3822, 0.421, 0.421, 0.3889, 0.3566, 0.277, 0.2281, 0.2967, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1997826150018720142", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-08T00:30:46+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin was not in a bull market since 2021. I am bullish. I have longs on. I've added numerous long positions. I don't think we will be seeing new lows this cycle.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Explicitly long BTC; bull market just starting, no new cycle lows expected, stage 1 uptrend.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The bull market is just starting. Bitcoin was not in a bull market since 2021. I am bullish. I have longs on. I’ve added numerous long positions. I don’t think we will be seeing new lows this cycle. This is a stage 1 uptrend\n\nI just want to be absolutely CLEAR what my position is", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013817768157169508, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013817768157169508, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01683102973083328, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01683102973083328, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030132615736637725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030132615736637725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022633530616329445, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022633530616329445, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023496558689902636, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023496558689902636, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.000863028073573191, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000863028073573191, "ret_p1w": -0.04656236117630608, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04656236117630608, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04232031758488142, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04232031758488142, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00424204359142466, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00424204359142466, "ret_p1m": 0.03407790382751297, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019122141330462306, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019122141330462306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014955762497050662, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014955762497050662, "ret_p3m": -0.21843594169460878, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21843594169460878, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2179870986806487, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2179870986806487, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004488430139600874, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0004488430139600874, "ret_p6m": -0.2640831115745582, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2640831115745582, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.38149309834062095, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38149309834062095, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11740998676606273, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11740998676606273, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03407790382751297, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.019122141330462306, "alpha_c_stated": 0.019122141330462306, "price_path": [0.2572, 0.2744, 0.2809, 0.2737, 0.2891, 0.285, 0.2923, 0.2764, 0.2439, 0.2358, 0.2503, 0.2031, 0.2104, 0.2621, 0.2583, 0.309, 0.3314, 0.3489, 0.3763, 0.3399, 0.3609, 0.3427, 0.2491, 0.2717, 0.248, 0.2222, 0.1936, 0.1746, 0.2201, 0.1968, 0.1881, 0.2144, 0.225, 0.259, 0.2462, 0.2142, 0.1949, 0.2087, 0.1755, 0.1208, 0.1462, 0.1176, 0.1405, 0.1694, 0.1363, 0.1216, 0.0999, 0.0415, 0.016, 0.0255, 0.0091, -0.0442, -0.0612, -0.0261, -0.0364, -0.0013, 0.0071, 0.0031, -0.0476, 0.0078, 0.0319, 0.0166, -0.0138, 0.0, 0.0226, 0.0152, 0.0206, -0.0041, -0.0466, -0.0308, -0.0496, -0.0571, -0.028, -0.0237, -0.0356, -0.0334, -0.0376, -0.0368, -0.0386, -0.0244, -0.0345, -0.0211, -0.0077, 0.0358, 0.0341, 0.0074, 0.0043, -0.0014, 0.0061, 0.0517, 0.0694, 0.0542, 0.0539, 0.0211, -0.0257, -0.0139, -0.013, -0.0125, -0.0262, -0.017, -0.0161, -0.0671, -0.0718, -0.1319, -0.1656, -0.1944, -0.3082, -0.2216, -0.2264, -0.241, -0.2609, -0.2694, -0.2403, -0.2405, -0.2554, -0.2672, -0.2613, -0.2497, -0.2871, -0.293, -0.2502, -0.2558, -0.2732, -0.2412, -0.2465, -0.1978, -0.2184, -0.2483, -0.2453, -0.2285, -0.2255, -0.2223, -0.217, -0.1741, -0.1844, -0.214, -0.2287, -0.222, -0.2176, -0.222, -0.2133, -0.241, -0.2681, -0.2642, -0.2472, -0.2489, -0.262, -0.2616, -0.2403, -0.2063, -0.2153, -0.2082, -0.1948, -0.1782, -0.1816, -0.1747, -0.1709, -0.1491, -0.1629, -0.1576, -0.1372, -0.1365, -0.1455, -0.1464, -0.1577, -0.164, -0.1582, -0.1375, -0.1193, -0.1072, -0.1016, -0.1173, -0.1153, -0.0983, -0.1121, -0.1254, -0.1058, -0.1277, -0.151, -0.1532, -0.1454, -0.1445, -0.1672, -0.1474, -0.1634, -0.1798, -0.1887, -0.1905, -0.2132, -0.2641]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008367144946303145", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T02:36:55+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very early days", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN long-term; dismisses chart technicals, calling it very early days for the company.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nanotitan28 There will be key moments for the company but I can assure you they will have nothing to do with a chart. Very early days.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN Okay, one last chart bc I’m not seeing this anywhere and then I really do need a break from socials. \n\nGetting above $49.30 decisively, above the all time high AVWAP and shelf is important. Could be heavy resistance here. Key moment / area. https://t.co/tJHoDyOvT7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nanotitan28", "ret_m1d": 0.05075151032016456, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05075151032016456, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05666350902735828, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553880514587872, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005911998707193722, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004787294825714161, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049771288499381505, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049771288499381505, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04654787621818335, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03576415995186488, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003223412281198157, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014007128547516623, "ret_p1w": 0.15421480842051838, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15421480842051838, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15138165049469188, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19269006743498596, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028331579258265016, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03847525901446758, "ret_p1m": -0.021128321148487283, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021128321148487283, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013004733270568059, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.022134232691694455, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008123587877919225, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04326255384018174, "ret_p3m": -0.24264864793451713, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24264864793451713, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19322914241871525, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12535426225410373, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.049419505515801876, "bench_c_p3m": -0.1172943856804134, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.021128321148487283, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013004733270568059, "alpha_c_stated": 0.022134232691694455, "price_path": [0.3908, 0.3019, 0.3971, 0.5151, 0.4807, 0.3468, 0.3226, 0.2899, 0.2022, 0.1289, 0.2167, 0.3701, 0.4156, 0.3596, 0.3161, 0.2681, 0.3232, 0.4757, 0.4513, 0.6643, 0.4585, 0.3587, 0.3106, 0.2498, 0.2132, 0.0597, 0.01, 0.0327, 0.064, -0.0017, -0.0531, -0.0795, 0.0562, 0.034, 0.0553, 0.0553, 0.0414, 0.0562, -0.1043, -0.0425, 0.0118, -0.0261, 0.0094, 0.0203, -0.0433, -0.0429, -0.1259, -0.2272, -0.203, -0.2642, -0.2202, -0.1305, -0.0843, -0.0836, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.1222, -0.1416, -0.1658, -0.1773, -0.1773, -0.0699, 0.0508, 0.0, -0.0498, -0.005, 0.0026, 0.0963, 0.1542, 0.1518, 0.1303, 0.2594, 0.2594, 0.1819, 0.1649, 0.1383, 0.2346, 0.1405, 0.3067, 0.3709, 0.3034, 0.1706, 0.1562, 0.1847, -0.0211, -0.1333, -0.0889, 0.0052, -0.0649, -0.0706, -0.1281, -0.0804, -0.0804, -0.1076, -0.0834, -0.0571, -0.1292, -0.0773, -0.01, -0.0409, -0.0364, -0.108, -0.0985, -0.1538, -0.0451, -0.126, -0.2006, -0.154, -0.1697, -0.0856, -0.0989, -0.0943, -0.0211, -0.0643, -0.0806, -0.0926, -0.1006, -0.0817, -0.1043, -0.0976, -0.1843, -0.2357, -0.3113, -0.2533, -0.2575, -0.2426, -0.2426, -0.2348, -0.2215, -0.1978, -0.1928, -0.1435, -0.0619, 0.0318, 0.0634, 0.039, 0.0481, 0.0612, -0.0161, 0.054, 0.1331, 0.103, 0.0534, -0.032, -0.0664, -0.0087, -0.0054, 0.0778, 0.1923, 0.3283, 0.2383, 0.333, 0.2013, 0.232, 0.2017, 0.2721, 0.1531, 0.0991, 0.0399, 0.1481, 0.2646, 0.2379, 0.2379, 0.3021, 0.4777, 0.3951, 0.384, 0.423, 0.4507, 0.4263, 0.3474, 0.1838, 0.2893, 0.1766, 0.1222, 0.2352, 0.3019, 0.3254, 0.289, 0.2657, 0.306, 0.306, 0.2387, 0.1919, 0.0956, 0.0399, 0.0283, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025416415436833125", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T03:44:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is cheaper than it will be for the rest of your life", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bitcoin will be higher from here for the rest of your life; decisively bullish long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PeterDiamandis And Bitcoin is cheaper than it will be for the rest of your life", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Here's something to remember: AI is the slowest and most incorrect it will EVER be now.\nToday is the dumbest AI you'll use for the rest of your life.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PeterDiamandis", "ret_m1d": 0.05244281410492224, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05244281410492224, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04212610032543651, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04212610032543651, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008305824880296298, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008305824880296298, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015574300150494658, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015574300150494658, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "ret_p1w": 0.06436588091381368, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06436588091381368, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05851883792546819, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05851883792546819, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "ret_p1m": 0.09132496084938335, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09132496084938335, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13151630030922645, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13151630030922645, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "ret_p3m": 0.1999858540909938, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1999858540909938, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10860361999832535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10860361999832535, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.4009, 0.4127, 0.4071, 0.3359, 0.4137, 0.4474, 0.426, 0.3834, 0.4027, 0.4345, 0.4241, 0.4317, 0.397, 0.3374, 0.3595, 0.3331, 0.3226, 0.3635, 0.3695, 0.3528, 0.3559, 0.35, 0.3511, 0.3485, 0.3685, 0.3543, 0.3732, 0.392, 0.4529, 0.4505, 0.4131, 0.4087, 0.4008, 0.4113, 0.4752, 0.5001, 0.4787, 0.4783, 0.4323, 0.3667, 0.3832, 0.3845, 0.3851, 0.366, 0.3789, 0.3802, 0.3087, 0.302, 0.2178, 0.1705, 0.13, -0.0296, 0.0919, 0.0852, 0.0646, 0.0368, 0.0248, 0.0656, 0.0654, 0.0445, 0.028, 0.0362, 0.0524, 0.0, -0.0083, 0.0517, 0.0439, 0.0196, 0.0644, 0.0569, 0.1253, 0.0963, 0.0545, 0.0586, 0.0822, 0.0865, 0.0909, 0.0983, 0.1585, 0.144, 0.1026, 0.082, 0.0914, 0.0975, 0.0913, 0.1036, 0.0646, 0.0266, 0.0321, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0352, 0.0358, 0.0657, 0.1133, 0.1007, 0.1107, 0.1294, 0.1527, 0.148, 0.1577, 0.163, 0.1936, 0.1742, 0.1816, 0.2103, 0.2113, 0.1987, 0.1973, 0.1816, 0.1727, 0.1809, 0.2099, 0.2354, 0.2524, 0.2602, 0.2382, 0.241, 0.2648, 0.2455, 0.2269, 0.2543, 0.2236, 0.1909, 0.1878, 0.1987, 0.2, 0.1682, 0.196, 0.1735, 0.1505, 0.138, 0.1355, 0.1037, 0.0323, -0.0093, -0.0126, -0.0572, -0.0236, -0.046, -0.049, -0.0163, -0.0166, 0.0259, 0.0152, -0.0031, -0.0266, -0.0167, -0.0103, -0.0302, -0.056, -0.0758, -0.0712, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022764001621610618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-14T20:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It was never a short term idea for me. All good things take time.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long NVO; a long-term hold, not shaken by near-term concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@operationdanish It was never a short term idea for me. All good things take time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred what’s the plan on $NVO? Still believe in management?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "operationdanish", "ret_m1d": 0.004051042786666237, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004051042786666237, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005661926671923667, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005661926671923667, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0028356658696321313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0028356658696321313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007873373420208885, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007873373420208885, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "ret_p1w": -0.21835115814053818, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21835115814053818, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22494116217785698, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22494116217785698, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "ret_p1m": -0.24144211804479476, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24144211804479476, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21007359818622762, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21007359818622762, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "ret_p3m": -0.06054616425747339, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06054616425747339, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14598033956301082, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14598033956301082, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.24144211804479476, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.21007359818622762, "alpha_c_stated": -0.21007359818622762, "price_path": [-0.0359, -0.0352, -0.0891, -0.0468, -0.0134, -0.0134, -0.0004, -0.019, -0.0393, -0.0365, -0.028, -0.0306, -0.0527, -0.061, -0.0065, 0.0186, 0.0164, 0.0203, -0.0083, -0.0324, -0.0356, -0.0259, -0.0257, 0.0454, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.0614, 0.0425, 0.0375, 0.0306, 0.0306, 0.0612, 0.1163, 0.1396, 0.1458, 0.1614, 0.1912, 0.2125, 0.208, 0.1932, 0.157, 0.2625, 0.2625, 0.2291, 0.2015, 0.2605, 0.2611, 0.2959, 0.2739, 0.222, 0.2017, 0.2038, 0.1936, 0.0188, -0.0442, -0.1221, -0.035, 0.0, -0.0051, -0.0128, -0.0089, 0.0041, 0.0041, 0.0, -0.0028, -0.0186, -0.0395, -0.1973, -0.2184, -0.2271, -0.238, -0.2414, -0.2352, -0.2574, -0.2202, -0.2086, -0.2186, -0.1942, -0.2157, -0.2135, -0.2299, -0.2311, -0.2186, -0.2216, -0.2414, -0.2489, -0.2601, -0.2542, -0.2528, -0.2641, -0.2627, -0.27, -0.259, -0.2283, -0.234, -0.2235, -0.2235, -0.23, -0.225, -0.2103, -0.2138, -0.2122, -0.2025, -0.1744, -0.1431, -0.1405, -0.1492, -0.1504, -0.1723, -0.1779, -0.1912, -0.1355, -0.1349, -0.1355, -0.154, -0.1135, -0.0786, -0.0679, -0.0578, -0.0391, -0.0383, -0.0326, -0.0257, -0.0131, -0.0114, -0.0383, -0.0605, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0536, -0.0679, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0721, -0.0645, -0.0444, -0.0429, -0.0746, -0.0988, -0.1181, -0.0813, -0.0979, -0.1387, -0.1141, -0.1011, -0.0769, -0.0786, -0.0778, -0.0855, -0.0862, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.0366, -0.0043, -0.0045, 0.0003, 0.0094, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006923956142608889", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T03:02:12+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DEO and NVO are two of my next favorites after STZ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names DEO and NVO as top favorites after STZ; decisive bullish lean on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jilasi24 @charliebilello DEO and NVO are two of my next favorites after STZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @charliebilello My “laggard” basket does include STZ fwiw……also DEO, TFX, ARE, and NVO.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jilasi24", "ret_m1d": -0.009415565942277326, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009415565942277326, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007585926556646694, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007585926556646694, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02824669782683209, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02824669782683209, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021586490718587426, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021586490718587426, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "ret_p1w": 0.01538638242196444, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01538638242196444, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0005686909540205676, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0005686909540205676, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "ret_p1m": 0.056263592310286326, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.056263592310286326, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.038347119645930405, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.038347119645930405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "ret_p3m": -0.14307041158513245, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14307041158513245, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10480686878678569, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10480686878678569, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.056263592310286326, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.038347119645930405, "alpha_c_stated": 0.038347119645930405, "price_path": [0.073, 0.0716, 0.0676, 0.0706, 0.0703, 0.0609, 0.0654, 0.104, 0.121, 0.1249, 0.1247, 0.1232, 0.1123, 0.1049, 0.0936, 0.0799, 0.053, 0.0449, 0.0574, 0.0731, 0.0685, 0.0782, 0.002, 0.0426, 0.0914, 0.1176, 0.1137, 0.1029, 0.0862, 0.0677, 0.0473, 0.0181, 0.0188, 0.0564, 0.0424, 0.0468, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0519, 0.0604, 0.0536, 0.0571, 0.0276, 0.0157, 0.0098, -0.0194, -0.0117, 0.008, 0.023, 0.021, 0.0264, 0.0311, 0.0149, 0.0238, -0.0025, -0.0192, -0.0164, -0.0164, -0.0088, -0.0095, -0.0056, -0.0094, -0.0094, 0.0, 0.0282, 0.0163, -0.0226, -0.0016, 0.0154, 0.0436, 0.0326, 0.0491, 0.026, 0.0169, 0.0169, 0.0211, 0.0435, 0.047, 0.0505, 0.0309, 0.0193, 0.0191, 0.0454, 0.0656, 0.0563, 0.0691, 0.1168, 0.1149, 0.1124, 0.1149, 0.1377, 0.1575, 0.1488, 0.1387, 0.1387, 0.1075, 0.0928, 0.1078, 0.1525, 0.1469, 0.1728, -0.0108, -0.018, 0.0277, -0.0064, -0.0341, -0.0555, -0.0549, -0.0607, -0.0576, -0.0659, -0.0851, -0.1187, -0.1116, -0.117, -0.118, -0.1366, -0.1434, -0.1518, -0.1488, -0.1679, -0.1497, -0.1533, -0.1495, -0.1566, -0.1451, -0.1431, -0.1581, -0.1581, -0.1395, -0.1489, -0.1148, -0.0983, -0.1107, -0.09, -0.0757, -0.0853, -0.081, -0.0503, -0.0471, -0.0536, -0.0727, -0.0794, -0.0804, -0.0837, -0.0843, -0.1023, -0.0646, -0.0756, -0.0894, -0.0682, -0.0187, -0.0324, -0.0223, -0.0488, -0.0593, -0.0641, -0.0654, -0.0525, -0.0283, -0.0224, -0.0128, -0.0028, -0.001, -0.001, -0.014, 0.0039, -0.0189, -0.0436, -0.0736, -0.0805, -0.0876, -0.0844, -0.0671, -0.0694, -0.0674, -0.0747, -0.0591, -0.0514, -0.0688, -0.0659, -0.0856, -0.0669, -0.0669, -0.0769, -0.0462, -0.0377, -0.0419, -0.0314, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006923956142608889", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-02T03:02:12+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DEO and NVO are two of my next favorites after STZ", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names DEO and NVO as top favorites after STZ; decisive bullish lean on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jilasi24 @charliebilello DEO and NVO are two of my next favorites after STZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @charliebilello My “laggard” basket does include STZ fwiw……also DEO, TFX, ARE, and NVO.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jilasi24", "ret_m1d": -0.02882231327759255, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02882231327759255, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026992673891961916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026992673891961916, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296393856306326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.051918343648080345, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.051918343648080345, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04525813653983568, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04525813653983568, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066602071082446646, "ret_p1w": 0.1225424995023725, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1225424995023725, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1065874261263875, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1065874261263875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015955073375985007, "ret_p1m": 0.12483298247166097, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12483298247166097, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10691650980730505, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10691650980730505, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01791647266435592, "ret_p3m": -0.2781466381629457, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2781466381629457, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23988309536459895, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23988309536459895, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826354279834676, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12483298247166097, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.10691650980730505, "alpha_c_stated": 0.10691650980730505, "price_path": [0.1266, 0.1378, 0.1201, 0.0867, 0.0975, 0.0815, 0.0826, 0.0706, 0.0378, 0.0639, 0.0456, 0.0189, 0.016, 0.0109, 0.0095, -0.0065, -0.0195, -0.0449, -0.0559, -0.0626, -0.079, -0.075, -0.1122, -0.1281, -0.1231, -0.0618, -0.0407, -0.0617, -0.0788, -0.075, -0.0924, -0.0647, -0.0914, -0.0909, -0.1416, -0.1017, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.058, -0.0756, -0.0947, -0.092, -0.084, -0.0865, -0.1073, -0.1151, -0.0638, -0.0401, -0.0422, -0.0386, -0.0655, -0.0882, -0.0912, -0.0821, -0.0819, -0.0149, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0002, -0.0176, -0.0223, -0.0288, -0.0288, 0.0, 0.0519, 0.0739, 0.0798, 0.0945, 0.1225, 0.1426, 0.1384, 0.1245, 0.0903, 0.1897, 0.1897, 0.1582, 0.1323, 0.1878, 0.1884, 0.2212, 0.2004, 0.1516, 0.1325, 0.1344, 0.1248, -0.0399, -0.0993, -0.1727, -0.0907, -0.0576, -0.0624, -0.0697, -0.066, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.0576, -0.0603, -0.0752, -0.0949, -0.2436, -0.2634, -0.2716, -0.2819, -0.2852, -0.2793, -0.3002, -0.2651, -0.2542, -0.2636, -0.2407, -0.2609, -0.2588, -0.2743, -0.2754, -0.2636, -0.2665, -0.2852, -0.2922, -0.3027, -0.2972, -0.2959, -0.3065, -0.3052, -0.3121, -0.3017, -0.2728, -0.2781, -0.2683, -0.2683, -0.2744, -0.2696, -0.2558, -0.2592, -0.2576, -0.2485, -0.2219, -0.1925, -0.1901, -0.1982, -0.1994, -0.22, -0.2253, -0.2378, -0.1853, -0.1847, -0.1853, -0.2028, -0.1646, -0.1317, -0.1216, -0.1121, -0.0945, -0.0937, -0.0884, -0.0819, -0.07, -0.0684, -0.0937, -0.1147, -0.1238, -0.1238, -0.1082, -0.1216, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1256, -0.1185, -0.0995, -0.0981, -0.128, -0.1507, -0.1689, -0.1343, -0.1499, -0.1883, -0.1652, -0.1529, -0.1301, -0.1317, -0.1309, -0.1382, -0.1388, -0.1454, -0.1454, -0.0921, -0.0617, -0.0619, -0.0573, -0.0488, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024234718053748744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-18T21:28:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do not want the other side. I think it could be 5 or 6x.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish BTC; expects 5–6x from current levels within ~2 years, exceeding parent's 4x call.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TimDraper @Polymarket I do not want the other side. I think it could be 5 or 6x.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Prediction: Bitcoin 4x in less than 2 years from here. #bitcoin #opportunity Maybe a @Polymarket bet?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TimDraper", "ret_m1d": 0.016091731774439788, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016091731774439788, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013447413473028469, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013447413473028469, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644318301411319, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002644318301411319, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008012052068341324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008012052068341324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.000780202779244954, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.000780202779244954, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00723184928909637, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00723184928909637, "ret_p1w": 0.0231057175227678, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0231057175227678, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016063913484162695, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016063913484162695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007041804038605104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007041804038605104, "ret_p1m": 0.052502099103069355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.052502099103069355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10237750292681569, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10237750292681569, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.049875403823746334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.049875403823746334, "ret_p3m": 0.1585065982815994, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1585065982815994, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08362661813236372, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08362661813236372, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998014923569, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998014923569, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.281, 0.3289, 0.3149, 0.3627, 0.3743, 0.3687, 0.2995, 0.3752, 0.408, 0.3871, 0.3457, 0.3645, 0.3954, 0.3853, 0.3927, 0.359, 0.301, 0.3224, 0.2969, 0.2866, 0.3264, 0.3322, 0.316, 0.319, 0.3133, 0.3143, 0.3118, 0.3313, 0.3174, 0.3358, 0.3541, 0.4134, 0.411, 0.3746, 0.3704, 0.3626, 0.3729, 0.435, 0.4592, 0.4385, 0.4381, 0.3933, 0.3295, 0.3455, 0.3468, 0.3474, 0.3288, 0.3414, 0.3426, 0.273, 0.2665, 0.1846, 0.1386, 0.0993, -0.0561, 0.0622, 0.0556, 0.0357, 0.0085, -0.0031, 0.0366, 0.0364, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.008, 0.0238, -0.0272, -0.0353, 0.0231, 0.0155, -0.0082, 0.0354, 0.0281, 0.0946, 0.0665, 0.0258, 0.0298, 0.0527, 0.0569, 0.0612, 0.0684, 0.127, 0.1129, 0.0726, 0.0525, 0.0617, 0.0676, 0.0616, 0.0735, 0.0356, -0.0013, 0.004, 0.0272, 0.0249, 0.007, 0.0076, 0.0367, 0.083, 0.0707, 0.0804, 0.0987, 0.1213, 0.1168, 0.1262, 0.1314, 0.1611, 0.1422, 0.1495, 0.1773, 0.1783, 0.1661, 0.1647, 0.1494, 0.1408, 0.1487, 0.1769, 0.2018, 0.2183, 0.2259, 0.2045, 0.2072, 0.2304, 0.2115, 0.1935, 0.2202, 0.1903, 0.1585, 0.1554, 0.1661, 0.1673, 0.1364, 0.1634, 0.1415, 0.1192, 0.1071, 0.1046, 0.0737, 0.0042, -0.0363, -0.0395, -0.0828, -0.0502, -0.072, -0.0749, -0.0431, -0.0434, -0.002, -0.0124, -0.0302, -0.0531, -0.0434, -0.0372, -0.0566, -0.0817, -0.1009, -0.0965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1992978949870399671", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-24T15:29:44+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "These are my NVO buys today pre-market. My thesis does not change based on a single Alzheimer's study. I am focused on diabetes and weight loss over 3-5 years.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Adding to NVO long pre-market; thesis unchanged on diabetes/weight loss over 3-5 year horizon despite Alzheimer's study noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These are my NVO buys today pre-market. My thesis does not change based on a single Alzheimer’s study. I am focused on diabetes and weight loss over 3-5 years. Patience. https://t.co/BMKGR4wU6g", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.059150516296524236, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.059150516296524236, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07365562813392823, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07365562813392823, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505111837403994, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04647539309889237, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04647539309889237, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03706946503318176, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03706946503318176, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405928065710611, "ret_p1w": 0.07694015054742676, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07694015054742676, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05968354086505134, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05968354086505134, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017256609682375412, "ret_p1m": 0.14765389393158346, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14765389393158346, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1158580306110586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1158580306110586, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795863320524864, "ret_p3m": 0.07738485622824509, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07738485622824509, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05080827115373365, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05080827115373365, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657658507451144, "ret_p6m": 0.020768467597162887, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.020768467597162887, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08267815178939819, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08267815178939819, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344661938656108, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2551, 0.2477, 0.2555, 0.2555, 0.2537, 0.2617, 0.2484, 0.2282, 0.207, 0.2075, 0.209, 0.2075, 0.2201, 0.2368, 0.272, 0.2942, 0.3754, 0.3654, 0.35, 0.324, 0.3062, 0.2462, 0.2366, 0.2342, 0.2339, 0.3158, 0.3062, 0.326, 0.3264, 0.3124, 0.3256, 0.3049, 0.266, 0.2786, 0.26, 0.2613, 0.2473, 0.209, 0.2395, 0.2181, 0.187, 0.1837, 0.1777, 0.1761, 0.1574, 0.1423, 0.1127, 0.0998, 0.0921, 0.0729, 0.0776, 0.0342, 0.0158, 0.0216, 0.093, 0.1176, 0.0932, 0.0732, 0.0776, 0.0574, 0.0896, 0.0585, 0.0592, 0.0, 0.0465, 0.0832, 0.0832, 0.0974, 0.0769, 0.0547, 0.0578, 0.0672, 0.0643, 0.04, 0.0309, 0.0907, 0.1183, 0.1159, 0.1201, 0.0887, 0.0623, 0.0587, 0.0694, 0.0696, 0.1477, 0.1688, 0.1688, 0.1652, 0.1445, 0.139, 0.1314, 0.1314, 0.165, 0.2255, 0.2511, 0.2579, 0.2751, 0.3078, 0.3311, 0.3262, 0.31, 0.2702, 0.386, 0.386, 0.3493, 0.3191, 0.3838, 0.3845, 0.4227, 0.3985, 0.3416, 0.3193, 0.3215, 0.3104, 0.1185, 0.0494, -0.0362, 0.0594, 0.0978, 0.0923, 0.0838, 0.0881, 0.1023, 0.1023, 0.0978, 0.0947, 0.0774, 0.0545, -0.1187, -0.1419, -0.1514, -0.1634, -0.1672, -0.1603, -0.1848, -0.1439, -0.1312, -0.1421, -0.1154, -0.139, -0.1365, -0.1545, -0.1559, -0.1421, -0.1454, -0.1672, -0.1755, -0.1877, -0.1812, -0.1797, -0.1921, -0.1906, -0.1986, -0.1865, -0.1528, -0.159, -0.1475, -0.1475, -0.1547, -0.1491, -0.133, -0.1369, -0.1351, -0.1245, -0.0936, -0.0592, -0.0565, -0.0659, -0.0673, -0.0913, -0.0975, -0.112, -0.0509, -0.0502, -0.0509, -0.0712, -0.0267, 0.0115, 0.0233, 0.0344, 0.0549, 0.0558, 0.062, 0.0696, 0.0835, 0.0853, 0.0558, 0.0314, 0.0208, 0.0208]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990430764899651874", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T14:44:09+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Picked up a small initial 1,000 contract position in IBIT March $80 calls. Still confident we see a 40-60% move within several months.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long IBIT via March $80 calls; expects 40-60% upside in Bitcoin ETF within several months.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Picked up a small initial 1,000 contract position in IBIT March $80 calls. Still confident we see a 40-60% move within several months. You only need one big winner to pay for the smaller losers and then some. Timing it perfectly is impossible.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026391555475437922, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026391555475437922, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016987597418643974, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016987597418643974, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010748587134204568, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010748587134204568, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01914614047799945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01914614047799945, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "ret_p1w": -0.029366580117211494, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029366580117211494, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03396344412092722, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03396344412092722, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "ret_p1m": -0.04587331016594154, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04587331016594154, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06570297760123289, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06570297760123289, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "ret_p3m": -0.2888675561964963, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2888675561964963, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31532677369325735, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31532677369325735, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "ret_p6m": -0.1209212940800729, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1209212940800729, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2361633239667612, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2361633239667612, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04587331016594154, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06570297760123289, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06570297760123289, "price_path": [0.2457, 0.2225, 0.2716, 0.2069, 0.2111, 0.2217, 0.2203, 0.1793, 0.1793, 0.2086, 0.224, 0.1967, 0.2173, 0.2226, 0.2134, 0.2386, 0.2482, 0.2741, 0.2572, 0.2739, 0.2605, 0.2812, 0.2547, 0.2217, 0.2171, 0.2365, 0.1919, 0.1889, 0.247, 0.2476, 0.281, 0.32, 0.3399, 0.3683, 0.3269, 0.3447, 0.3194, 0.2706, 0.2631, 0.2267, 0.2125, 0.1791, 0.1607, 0.2079, 0.2186, 0.1749, 0.2008, 0.206, 0.253, 0.2378, 0.2044, 0.1593, 0.1958, 0.1618, 0.0975, 0.1309, 0.099, 0.1301, 0.1553, 0.12, 0.1054, 0.067, 0.0264, 0.0, 0.0107, -0.0263, -0.0603, -0.0793, -0.0294, -0.0488, -0.0205, -0.0205, -0.0106, -0.0691, -0.0083, 0.0123, 0.0079, -0.0271, -0.0111, 0.0144, 0.0075, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.066, -0.0459, -0.0651, -0.0795, -0.042, -0.0386, -0.047, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0478, -0.0522, -0.0436, -0.047, -0.047, -0.0223, 0.0261, 0.0067, -0.0107, -0.0111, -0.018, -0.0044, 0.0282, 0.0641, 0.0365, 0.0411, 0.0411, -0.0257, -0.019, -0.0274, -0.0269, -0.047, -0.0282, -0.0305, -0.0864, -0.0885, -0.1512, -0.1689, -0.2021, -0.3071, -0.2384, -0.2301, -0.252, -0.2651, -0.2889, -0.252, -0.252, -0.2631, -0.2795, -0.2693, -0.2626, -0.2985, -0.2988, -0.247, -0.2656, -0.2862, -0.2477, -0.2572, -0.2046, -0.2248, -0.2591, -0.2489, -0.2378, -0.2309, -0.2332, -0.2251, -0.195, -0.1887, -0.2273, -0.2357, -0.2367, -0.2313, -0.2461, -0.229, -0.2549, -0.2821, -0.2768, -0.2626, -0.2583, -0.2712, -0.2712, -0.2415, -0.2495, -0.2242, -0.2148, -0.2023, -0.2017, -0.1914, -0.1831, -0.1798, -0.1566, -0.1699, -0.1841, -0.1411, -0.1545, -0.1551, -0.1639, -0.1695, -0.1795, -0.1685, -0.1464, -0.1286, -0.1117, -0.1134, -0.1286, -0.1276, -0.1081, -0.1209]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016511457459060893", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T13:59:31+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "OPEN is a turnaround. New CEO, new board, new strategy. They are offloading legacy unprofitable flips. They are launching a mortgage strategy. They are focused on tech, execution, and profitability.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Opendoor as a turnaround story: new leadership, mortgage pivot, shedding unprofitable legacy business, focused on profitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OPEN is a turnaround. New CEO, new board, new strategy. They are offloading legacy unprofitable flips. They are launching a mortgage strategy. They are focused on tech, execution, and profitability. If you are looking at a spreadsheet with backwards looking data, you won’t get it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008680505540086036, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008680505540086036, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008579830825383272, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0011114417774487073, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010067471470276423, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009791947317534744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03125005174014095, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03125005174014095, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029265674585307155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04397949790188027, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001984377154833794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012729446161739322, "ret_p1w": -0.13194447893787176, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13194447893787176, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1186720045430869, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1468772151931511, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01327247439478485, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014932736255279355, "ret_p1m": -0.06076395270172941, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06076395270172941, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.051963517956370664, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12881785853201255, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008800434745358743, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06805390583028315, "ret_p3m": -0.06423617147460892, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06423617147460892, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09544489186369165, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13601868560376507, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208720389082734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07178251412915615, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06076395270172941, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.051963517956370664, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12881785853201255, "price_path": [0.349, 0.3177, 0.2014, 0.2552, 0.1389, 0.1389, 0.3837, 0.4722, 0.6267, 0.4861, 0.4097, 0.3611, 0.3056, 0.1615, 0.0694, 0.1719, 0.3351, 0.3437, 0.3507, 0.3507, 0.3368, 0.2396, 0.2135, 0.2049, 0.316, 0.2413, 0.224, 0.2865, 0.2153, 0.224, 0.1389, 0.1233, 0.1684, 0.0625, 0.0903, 0.1042, 0.1146, 0.0885, 0.0903, 0.0903, 0.0434, 0.0122, 0.0139, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0538, 0.0972, 0.2031, 0.0625, 0.1163, 0.2656, 0.2187, 0.1753, 0.1528, 0.0937, 0.158, 0.158, 0.1094, 0.125, 0.1146, 0.0434, 0.0191, 0.0087, 0.0, -0.0313, -0.1059, -0.1632, -0.1094, -0.1319, -0.184, -0.1528, -0.1424, -0.1858, -0.1736, -0.2396, -0.2283, -0.2283, -0.2483, -0.1962, -0.1927, -0.1319, -0.1701, -0.1128, -0.1354, -0.0608, -0.059, -0.1233, -0.1372, -0.1528, -0.1007, -0.1319, -0.1181, -0.1302, -0.0851, -0.1597, -0.1406, -0.1007, -0.0347, -0.0833, -0.1076, -0.1476, -0.0955, -0.1007, -0.1146, -0.1493, -0.1667, -0.2309, -0.1875, -0.2066, -0.1771, -0.1771, -0.1997, -0.2101, -0.1944, -0.2517, -0.25, -0.2431, -0.217, -0.1632, -0.0851, -0.0816, -0.0712, -0.0538, -0.0573, -0.0938, -0.0434, -0.0642, -0.0486, -0.0313, -0.066, -0.0556, -0.1094, -0.092, -0.0521, -0.0764, -0.1302, -0.158, -0.1823, -0.2049, -0.224, -0.2396, -0.2569, -0.2535, -0.2361, -0.2066, -0.2135, -0.2135, -0.2222, -0.1753, -0.1198, -0.125, -0.0781, -0.0608, -0.1545, -0.1406, -0.2326, -0.2517, -0.2465, -0.2222, -0.224, -0.2292, -0.1997, -0.1753, -0.2274, -0.224, -0.224, -0.2569, -0.2708, -0.2569, -0.2535, -0.2413, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988267106740347377", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T15:26:33+00:00", "symbol": "STZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Two of my favorite value ideas - STZ and NVO - waking up a bit here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long STZ and NVO as favorite value ideas showing upward momentum.", "resolved_tickers": ["STZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Brewers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Two of my favorite value ideas - STZ and NVO - waking up a bit here. https://t.co/DzWRUgSVdT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025339412000605743, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025339412000605743, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023055283333971, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023055283333971, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002284128666634744, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002284128666634744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010848797726082937, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010848797726082937, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011405097938619546, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011405097938619546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000556300212536609, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000556300212536609, "ret_p1w": -0.009710924323618642, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009710924323618642, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02384693540366989, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02384693540366989, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03355785972728853, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03355785972728853, "ret_p1m": 0.1266975878280272, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1266975878280272, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12000657754575395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12000657754575395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0066910102822732576, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0066910102822732576, "ret_p3m": 0.25483308824659234, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25483308824659234, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24068861021549504, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24068861021549504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144478031097307, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014144478031097307, "ret_p6m": 0.17065450182527742, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17065450182527742, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09011513389909331, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09011513389909331, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0805393679261841, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0805393679261841, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1266975878280272, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12000657754575395, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12000657754575395, "price_path": [0.276, 0.2664, 0.2515, 0.2488, 0.2518, 0.2415, 0.2618, 0.2321, 0.1921, 0.2082, 0.1976, 0.219, 0.219, 0.1386, 0.1027, 0.0981, 0.1173, 0.0998, 0.0989, 0.0757, 0.0763, 0.05, 0.0194, 0.0138, 0.0015, 0.0013, 0.0006, 0.0048, -0.008, 0.0041, -0.0015, -0.0027, 0.0273, 0.0137, 0.046, 0.0577, 0.0704, 0.0442, 0.0549, 0.0746, 0.0762, 0.0639, 0.0647, 0.0632, 0.0455, 0.0487, 0.057, 0.0631, 0.0657, 0.0554, 0.0518, 0.051, 0.0385, 0.0101, -0.014, -0.0222, -0.0033, -0.0075, -0.02, -0.009, -0.0293, -0.0316, -0.0253, 0.0, -0.0108, -0.0161, -0.0201, -0.0064, -0.0097, -0.0193, -0.0103, 0.014, 0.0023, 0.0028, 0.0234, 0.0234, 0.0347, 0.046, 0.0459, 0.0476, 0.0472, 0.0801, 0.0772, 0.0877, 0.1267, 0.1346, 0.1184, 0.0885, 0.0818, 0.06, 0.0379, 0.0243, 0.0753, 0.0563, 0.0659, 0.0659, 0.0577, 0.0508, 0.0631, 0.0467, 0.0467, 0.071, 0.0812, 0.0898, 0.0659, 0.1225, 0.1152, 0.1518, 0.162, 0.1863, 0.2044, 0.1884, 0.1884, 0.2415, 0.2395, 0.2193, 0.2046, 0.2256, 0.2234, 0.1967, 0.1817, 0.1966, 0.1886, 0.2265, 0.2728, 0.2643, 0.2548, 0.2493, 0.2648, 0.2462, 0.2398, 0.1401, 0.1401, 0.166, 0.1934, 0.1808, 0.1944, 0.2173, 0.2223, 0.1845, 0.1894, 0.2054, 0.1955, 0.1914, 0.1549, 0.1248, 0.1185, 0.1375, 0.1461, 0.1451, 0.1326, 0.1465, 0.1532, 0.1581, 0.1614, 0.16, 0.1425, 0.1642, 0.1659, 0.1573, 0.1485, 0.1561, 0.153, 0.1454, 0.1537, 0.1546, 0.1546, 0.1855, 0.1747, 0.1474, 0.2452, 0.2687, 0.2569, 0.2561, 0.2519, 0.2542, 0.2392, 0.2204, 0.1985, 0.1979, 0.2165, 0.1912, 0.1842, 0.1866, 0.1561, 0.2036, 0.1747, 0.1388, 0.1515, 0.1707]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1988267106740347377", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-11T15:26:33+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Two of my favorite value ideas - STZ and NVO - waking up a bit here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long STZ and NVO as favorite value ideas showing upward momentum.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Two of my favorite value ideas - STZ and NVO - waking up a bit here. https://t.co/DzWRUgSVdT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06531029092504825, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06531029092504825, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06302616225841351, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06302616225841351, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002284128666634744, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002284128666634744, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02258386770730203, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02258386770730203, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02202756749476542, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02202756749476542, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.000556300212536609, "bench_c_p1d": 0.000556300212536609, "ret_p1w": -0.03255340400603057, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03255340400603057, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0010044557212579575, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0010044557212579575, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03355785972728853, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03355785972728853, "ret_p1m": -0.002034587750376904, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002034587750376904, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008725598032650161, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008725598032650161, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0066910102822732576, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0066910102822732576, "ret_p3m": -0.030722299168640776, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030722299168640776, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.044866777199738084, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.044866777199738084, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144478031097307, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014144478031097307, "ret_p6m": -0.034827279294257885, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.034827279294257885, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11536664722044199, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11536664722044199, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0805393679261841, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0805393679261841, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.002034587750376904, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.008725598032650161, "alpha_c_stated": -0.008725598032650161, "price_path": [0.0251, 0.0544, 0.0936, 0.1145, 0.1048, 0.1282, 0.1593, 0.1463, 0.1259, 0.1483, 0.1416, 0.1487, 0.1487, 0.1471, 0.1544, 0.1422, 0.1237, 0.1044, 0.1048, 0.1062, 0.1048, 0.1164, 0.1316, 0.1638, 0.1841, 0.2584, 0.2492, 0.2352, 0.2114, 0.1951, 0.1402, 0.1314, 0.1292, 0.129, 0.2039, 0.1951, 0.2132, 0.2136, 0.2008, 0.2128, 0.1939, 0.1583, 0.1699, 0.1528, 0.154, 0.1412, 0.1062, 0.1341, 0.1145, 0.0861, 0.083, 0.0775, 0.0761, 0.059, 0.0452, 0.0181, 0.0063, -0.0008, -0.0183, -0.014, -0.0537, -0.0706, -0.0653, 0.0, 0.0226, 0.0002, -0.0181, -0.014, -0.0326, -0.0031, -0.0315, -0.0309, -0.085, -0.0425, -0.009, -0.009, 0.0041, -0.0146, -0.035, -0.0321, -0.0236, -0.0262, -0.0484, -0.0568, -0.002, 0.0232, 0.021, 0.0248, -0.0039, -0.0281, -0.0313, -0.0216, -0.0214, 0.0501, 0.0694, 0.0694, 0.0661, 0.0472, 0.0421, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0659, 0.1213, 0.1447, 0.151, 0.1666, 0.1965, 0.2179, 0.2134, 0.1986, 0.1622, 0.2682, 0.2682, 0.2346, 0.2069, 0.2661, 0.2667, 0.3017, 0.2796, 0.2275, 0.2071, 0.2092, 0.199, 0.0234, -0.0399, -0.1182, -0.0307, 0.0045, -0.0006, -0.0083, -0.0045, 0.0085, 0.0085, 0.0045, 0.0016, -0.0142, -0.0352, -0.1937, -0.2149, -0.2236, -0.2346, -0.238, -0.2317, -0.2541, -0.2167, -0.2051, -0.2151, -0.1906, -0.2122, -0.21, -0.2264, -0.2277, -0.2151, -0.2181, -0.238, -0.2456, -0.2568, -0.2509, -0.2494, -0.2608, -0.2594, -0.2667, -0.2557, -0.2249, -0.2306, -0.22, -0.22, -0.2266, -0.2215, -0.2067, -0.2103, -0.2086, -0.1989, -0.1707, -0.1392, -0.1367, -0.1453, -0.1466, -0.1686, -0.1742, -0.1875, -0.1316, -0.131, -0.1316, -0.1502, -0.1095, -0.0745, -0.0637, -0.0536, -0.0348]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023912893864178089", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-18T00:10:11+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm cool with $20 to start", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish OPEN but expects $20 first before any larger move; a soft long stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Alice_MiaX I’m cool with $20 to start", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OPEN is going to $80. I don’t care what anyone says 🤡 https://t.co/SgeIh4WC1i", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alice_MiaX", "ret_m1d": -0.06479485600857027, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06479485600857027, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05978239974675059, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07840493606655063, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050124562618196755, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013610080057980367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004319650201332292, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004319650201332292, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006956994524881854, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007779877913270172, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637344323549562, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00346022771193788, "ret_p1w": 0.07559393001760895, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07559393001760895, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0655980749522771, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07351788275583138, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995855065331849, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0020760472617775694, "ret_p1m": 0.11015113162826795, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11015113162826795, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14874998635313585, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14313857623848514, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.038598854724867904, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03298744461021719, "ret_p3m": -0.07559393001760895, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07559393001760895, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15482762851527587, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09160454305074617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923369849766693, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016010613033137222, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.11015113162826795, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14874998635313585, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14313857623848514, "price_path": [0.4579, 0.6609, 0.6717, 0.6803, 0.6803, 0.6631, 0.5421, 0.5097, 0.4989, 0.6371, 0.5443, 0.5227, 0.6004, 0.5119, 0.5227, 0.4168, 0.3974, 0.4536, 0.3218, 0.3564, 0.3737, 0.3866, 0.3542, 0.3564, 0.3564, 0.2981, 0.2592, 0.2613, 0.2592, 0.2592, 0.311, 0.365, 0.4968, 0.3218, 0.3888, 0.5745, 0.5162, 0.4622, 0.4341, 0.3607, 0.4406, 0.4406, 0.3801, 0.3996, 0.3866, 0.2981, 0.2678, 0.2549, 0.2441, 0.2052, 0.1123, 0.041, 0.108, 0.0799, 0.0151, 0.054, 0.067, 0.013, 0.0281, -0.054, -0.04, -0.04, -0.0648, 0.0, 0.0043, 0.0799, 0.0324, 0.1037, 0.0756, 0.1685, 0.1706, 0.0907, 0.0734, 0.054, 0.1188, 0.0799, 0.0972, 0.0821, 0.1382, 0.0454, 0.0691, 0.1188, 0.2009, 0.1404, 0.1102, 0.0605, 0.1253, 0.1188, 0.1015, 0.0583, 0.0367, -0.0432, 0.0108, -0.013, 0.0238, 0.0238, -0.0043, -0.0173, 0.0022, -0.0691, -0.067, -0.0583, -0.0259, 0.041, 0.1382, 0.1425, 0.1555, 0.1771, 0.1728, 0.1274, 0.1901, 0.1641, 0.1836, 0.2052, 0.162, 0.1749, 0.108, 0.1296, 0.1793, 0.149, 0.0821, 0.0475, 0.0173, -0.0108, -0.0346, -0.054, -0.0756, -0.0713, -0.0497, -0.013, -0.0216, -0.0216, -0.0324, 0.0259, 0.095, 0.0886, 0.1469, 0.1685, 0.0518, 0.0691, -0.0454, -0.0691, -0.0626, -0.0324, -0.0346, -0.041, -0.0043, 0.0259, -0.0389, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0756, -0.0929, -0.0756, -0.0713, -0.0562, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017018644392489248", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-29T23:34:53+00:00", "symbol": "crypto", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nah it's a likely headfake. I'm pretty certain we will be higher in February.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disagrees with bearish breakdown narrative; high conviction crypto market will be higher by end of February.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD", "ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Broad crypto: BTC+ETH as primary proxies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheShortBear Nah it's a likely headfake. I'm pretty certain we will be higher in February.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "RIP crypto market. \n\nWe went from a breakout and reclaim of the range to a breakdown.\n\nEven worse we cracked on what many believed would be the catalyst for the bottom, metals topping.\n\nThat said we have the Monday Crypto meeting at the white house and I would highly caution that https://t.co/DOdwQSuRO9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheShortBear", "ret_m1d": 0.06075573926506117, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06075573926506117, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05776433333885855, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05776433333885855, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991405926202617, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002991405926202617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02311482661225933, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02311482661225933, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028086049349320852, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028086049349320852, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00497122273706152, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00497122273706152, "ret_p1w": -0.30605587221883956, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.30605587221883956, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3041048743475394, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3041048743475394, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950997871300153, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001950997871300153, "ret_p1m": -0.26790245701055776, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.26790245701055776, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25982402054709747, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25982402054709747, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008078436463460292, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008078436463460292, "ret_p3m": -0.14236987223448405, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14236987223448405, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17351764813060677, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17351764813060677, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03114777589612272, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03114777589612272, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.26790245701055776, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.25982402054709747, "alpha_c_stated": -0.25982402054709747, "price_path": [0.2691, 0.1848, 0.222, 0.1866, 0.2207, 0.2598, 0.2149, 0.2067, 0.163, 0.1088, 0.0811, 0.1037, 0.0772, 0.0146, -0.0062, 0.0458, 0.0412, 0.0724, 0.0746, 0.0756, 0.0072, 0.072, 0.1193, 0.1009, 0.0651, 0.0904, 0.1373, 0.1341, 0.1213, 0.0809, 0.0369, 0.0453, 0.0117, 0.0069, 0.0493, 0.0566, 0.0426, 0.0406, 0.0309, 0.0353, 0.0359, 0.0501, 0.0438, 0.057, 0.0862, 0.1275, 0.139, 0.1017, 0.089, 0.0822, 0.0878, 0.153, 0.1683, 0.1535, 0.1495, 0.1126, 0.043, 0.057, 0.0523, 0.0532, 0.0411, 0.063, 0.0608, 0.0, -0.0231, -0.1188, -0.1576, -0.188, -0.3061, -0.2167, -0.2122, -0.2349, -0.2596, -0.263, -0.2294, -0.2385, -0.2475, -0.2606, -0.2584, -0.2486, -0.2887, -0.2924, -0.2336, -0.2416, -0.2679, -0.2337, -0.2444, -0.1928, -0.2136, -0.2461, -0.242, -0.2251, -0.2209, -0.2154, -0.2091, -0.1402, -0.1516, -0.1878, -0.2074, -0.2022, -0.1989, -0.2006, -0.1937, -0.2278, -0.2545, -0.2467, -0.2231, -0.218, -0.2396, -0.2399, -0.2189, -0.1769, -0.1909, -0.1873, -0.1702, -0.139, -0.1492, -0.1391, -0.1389, -0.1144, -0.1406, -0.1355, -0.116, -0.1236, -0.1312, -0.1339, -0.1424, -0.1522, -0.1485, -0.1306, -0.1117, -0.1026, -0.1015, -0.1204, -0.1166, -0.1017, -0.1206, -0.1307, -0.1161, -0.138, -0.1673, -0.1718, -0.1646, -0.1634, -0.1873, -0.1685, -0.1843, -0.2016, -0.209, -0.2092, -0.2229, -0.276, -0.3001, -0.3088, -0.3593, -0.3271, -0.345, -0.3492, -0.3275, -0.3289, -0.2896, -0.2945, -0.309, -0.3248, -0.3207, -0.3155, -0.334, -0.3519, -0.3693, -0.3654, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2001440187952644322", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-17T23:51:40+00:00", "symbol": "AI data center", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the AI data center complex will bottom in the next 2-3 trading days and then rally aggressively in to at least late Q1 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AI data center sector to bottom in 2-3 days then rally aggressively into at least late Q1 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQIX", "DLR", "VRT", "SMCI", "CORZ"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US AI data center sector basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "REIT - Specialty", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After talking to several of the leading companies and doing extensive analysis, I believe that the AI data center complex will bottom in the next 2-3 trading days and then rally aggressively in to at least late Q1 2026. This is not financial advice. It is my independent view.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014662182447577133, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014662182447577133, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007167513948583193, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007167513948583193, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007494668498993939, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007494668498993939, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03983240676503219, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03983240676503219, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0307689005414451, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0307689005414451, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009063506223587092, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009063506223587092, "ret_p1w": 0.05182635017543347, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05182635017543347, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02824793367080569, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02824793367080569, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023578416504627775, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023578416504627775, "ret_p1m": 0.14763918318122315, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14763918318122315, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12216305980880704, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12216305980880704, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025476123372416115, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025476123372416115, "ret_p3m": 0.2974599551975773, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2974599551975773, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30292636987982424, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30292636987982424, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005466414682246956, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005466414682246956, "ret_p6m": 0.5164714168863044, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5164714168863044, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.413726874249125, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.413726874249125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10274454263717936, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10274454263717936, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14763918318122315, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12216305980880704, "alpha_c_stated": 0.12216305980880704, "price_path": [0.1993, 0.1863, 0.1734, 0.1662, 0.1641, 0.1763, 0.2094, 0.2496, 0.2549, 0.2506, 0.2771, 0.2608, 0.3055, 0.3123, 0.2731, 0.314, 0.2976, 0.3296, 0.3176, 0.2908, 0.3131, 0.3136, 0.277, 0.2691, 0.3002, 0.338, 0.3308, 0.3395, 0.3304, 0.354, 0.3612, 0.303, 0.2756, 0.2392, 0.2291, 0.2301, 0.1796, 0.1456, 0.0813, 0.0965, 0.0702, 0.0854, 0.0814, 0.0436, 0.0422, 0.0797, 0.0666, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.1126, 0.0944, 0.0813, 0.0995, 0.1153, 0.1364, 0.1429, 0.1272, 0.1226, 0.1178, 0.0639, 0.0444, 0.033, -0.0147, 0.0, 0.0398, 0.0551, 0.0498, 0.0518, 0.0518, 0.0505, 0.0426, 0.0338, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.0729, 0.078, 0.089, 0.0678, 0.0579, 0.0822, 0.0896, 0.0988, 0.0901, 0.1048, 0.1476, 0.1476, 0.1196, 0.1334, 0.1316, 0.1382, 0.1414, 0.1697, 0.1713, 0.165, 0.1315, 0.135, 0.1299, 0.1293, 0.0835, 0.1784, 0.2081, 0.1981, 0.2578, 0.2549, 0.2585, 0.2585, 0.2563, 0.241, 0.2668, 0.2611, 0.2513, 0.2822, 0.3192, 0.2973, 0.2867, 0.2798, 0.2393, 0.2742, 0.2634, 0.222, 0.2667, 0.2816, 0.2984, 0.2837, 0.2779, 0.3058, 0.2975, 0.2809, 0.2931, 0.1836, 0.2079, 0.2323, 0.257, 0.1934, 0.181, 0.137, 0.1954, 0.2143, 0.2373, 0.2373, 0.2315, 0.246, 0.2936, 0.3127, 0.3416, 0.3693, 0.3964, 0.3891, 0.4019, 0.4367, 0.4524, 0.4535, 0.4565, 0.4586, 0.4758, 0.4591, 0.4116, 0.4038, 0.4531, 0.4558, 0.4718, 0.4954, 0.6052, 0.5301, 0.5518, 0.5809, 0.5699, 0.5813, 0.609, 0.5675, 0.5178, 0.4779, 0.5041, 0.5452, 0.5682, 0.5682, 0.5909, 0.5997, 0.6207, 0.6404, 0.6676, 0.7201, 0.692, 0.6751, 0.5758, 0.5985, 0.5625, 0.4444, 0.5098, 0.5165]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988354821678920163", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T21:15:05+00:00", "symbol": "EPD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That is a name you never sell imo.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Never sell EPD; decisive hold/long stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["EPD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CollarEscape Of course. That is a name you never sell imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Been holding $NVO since 2014. Been a wild ride. Looking forward to them getting the ship turned around ! Are you still holding $EPD?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CollarEscape", "ret_m1d": -0.0034843687398716794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0034843687398716794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0029283778251990578, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017667205822427312, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005559909146726216, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014182837082555633, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006018381480883406, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006018381480883406, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022612287842071477, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0034699117209382457, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01659390636118807, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00254846975994516, "ret_p1w": 0.004751343965460508, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004751343965460508, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03511507585140439, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008851108799222684, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036373188594388, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004099764833762176, "ret_p1m": 0.020272413377265153, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020272413377265153, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01179981065357616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.001768284311727708, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472602723688993, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018504129065537445, "ret_p3m": 0.13196774084239782, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13196774084239782, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11349990915833619, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06686311786355859, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846783168406163, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1988308587059564, "ret_p6m": 0.2321792522030668, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2321792522030668, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15555183509695358, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.026449329656703435, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0766274171061132, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2586285818597702, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.020272413377265153, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01179981065357616, "alpha_c_stated": 0.001768284311727708, "price_path": [-0.0194, -0.0247, -0.0222, -0.0191, -0.016, -0.007, -0.0135, -0.0138, -0.0157, -0.0051, 0.0005, 0.0005, -0.0039, -0.0089, -0.0101, -0.0141, -0.0204, -0.0179, -0.0148, -0.0061, -0.0107, -0.0117, -0.011, -0.0017, -0.0095, -0.0135, -0.0235, -0.0207, -0.0132, -0.0185, -0.0154, -0.0269, -0.0266, -0.0303, -0.0219, -0.0145, -0.0194, -0.0129, -0.0145, -0.0269, -0.0415, -0.0372, -0.0415, -0.0506, -0.0583, -0.0602, -0.0453, -0.0425, -0.0338, -0.0366, -0.0353, -0.0297, -0.0282, -0.0313, -0.0169, -0.0247, -0.032, -0.0428, -0.0285, -0.019, -0.0098, -0.0092, -0.0035, 0.0, 0.006, 0.0219, 0.0057, 0.0041, 0.0048, 0.0101, 0.0276, 0.031, 0.0301, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0371, 0.0304, 0.0133, 0.0177, 0.0329, 0.0329, 0.0361, 0.0241, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0177, 0.0234, 0.0067, 0.0143, 0.0133, 0.0117, 0.0149, 0.0174, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0095, 0.0111, 0.0171, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.0051, 0.0041, 0.0092, 0.0149, 0.0165, 0.025, 0.0291, 0.0333, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0374, 0.0443, 0.0513, 0.0466, 0.0469, 0.0507, 0.0599, 0.0805, 0.0685, 0.0656, 0.1149, 0.1333, 0.1294, 0.1239, 0.132, 0.1329, 0.1413, 0.1403, 0.198, 0.198, 0.1832, 0.1626, 0.1648, 0.1703, 0.1706, 0.1683, 0.1564, 0.1584, 0.1635, 0.1877, 0.2034, 0.1967, 0.2005, 0.2096, 0.1941, 0.1822, 0.1976, 0.178, 0.1909, 0.2015, 0.2086, 0.1925, 0.2057, 0.2092, 0.2269, 0.236, 0.2556, 0.2588, 0.2646, 0.2582, 0.2182, 0.205, 0.2096, 0.2096, 0.2179, 0.2366, 0.2244, 0.2079, 0.2025, 0.2047, 0.1993, 0.1944, 0.2018, 0.1806, 0.1883, 0.198, 0.215, 0.2182, 0.2234, 0.2305, 0.2385, 0.2488, 0.2639, 0.242, 0.2629, 0.2573, 0.2266, 0.2322]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005023877492342798", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T21:11:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Next major move is higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish view that crypto's next major move is higher after bears failed to push prices down during thin holiday markets.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@0xBossman This is what I’ve been saying for some time now. Next major move is higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The bears are kinda fucked \n\nThey had all Christmas to nuke us \n\nEveryone was offline, orderbooks were thin and volume non-existent \n\nIf there was real demand to go lower - how were they unable to achieve that here? \n\nAll that bear slop and we’re still in the high 80s", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xBossman", "ret_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018739103374114663, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017024882153300336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035763985527415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014826942349620564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01604815596298559, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012212136133650242, "ret_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07739910461854649, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07758804036968647, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00018893575113998473, "ret_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01143678876079579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107067160504469, "ret_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2105451814028766, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15094175022972656, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "bench_c_p3m": -0.059603431173150034, "ret_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28081986737653086, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3529700418611056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07215017448457473, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02254385592130026, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01143678876079579, "alpha_c_stated": 0.01143678876079579, "price_path": [0.3616, 0.3849, 0.4031, 0.4317, 0.3938, 0.4156, 0.3967, 0.2993, 0.3229, 0.2982, 0.2714, 0.2415, 0.2218, 0.2691, 0.2449, 0.2358, 0.2632, 0.2742, 0.3096, 0.2963, 0.263, 0.2429, 0.2573, 0.2227, 0.1659, 0.1923, 0.1625, 0.1863, 0.2164, 0.182, 0.1667, 0.1441, 0.0833, 0.0569, 0.0667, 0.0497, -0.0058, -0.0235, 0.013, 0.0023, 0.0388, 0.0476, 0.0434, -0.0094, 0.0483, 0.0733, 0.0574, 0.0258, 0.0402, 0.0637, 0.056, 0.0617, 0.0359, -0.0082, 0.0081, -0.0114, -0.0192, 0.0111, 0.0155, 0.0032, 0.0054, 0.0011, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0043, 0.0183, 0.0322, 0.0774, 0.0756, 0.0479, 0.0446, 0.0387, 0.0465, 0.0939, 0.1124, 0.0965, 0.0962, 0.0621, 0.0135, 0.0257, 0.0267, 0.0271, 0.013, 0.0225, 0.0235, -0.0296, -0.0345, -0.097, -0.132, -0.162, -0.2804, -0.1903, -0.1953, -0.2105, -0.2312, -0.24, -0.2098, -0.21, -0.2254, -0.2377, -0.2316, -0.2196, -0.2585, -0.2646, -0.2201, -0.2259, -0.2439, -0.2107, -0.2163, -0.1656, -0.187, -0.2181, -0.215, -0.1975, -0.1943, -0.191, -0.1856, -0.1409, -0.1517, -0.1824, -0.1977, -0.1907, -0.1862, -0.1907, -0.1816, -0.2105, -0.2387, -0.2346, -0.217, -0.2187, -0.2324, -0.2319, -0.2098, -0.1744, -0.1838, -0.1764, -0.1625, -0.1452, -0.1487, -0.1415, -0.1376, -0.1149, -0.1293, -0.1238, -0.1025, -0.1018, -0.1111, -0.1121, -0.1238, -0.1304, -0.1243, -0.1028, -0.0839, -0.0713, -0.0655, -0.0818, -0.0798, -0.0621, -0.0764, -0.0902, -0.0699, -0.0926, -0.1169, -0.1192, -0.1111, -0.1102, -0.1337, -0.1131, -0.1298, -0.1468, -0.1561, -0.158, -0.1815, -0.2345, -0.2654, -0.2678, -0.3008, -0.276, -0.2926, -0.2948, -0.2706, -0.2708, -0.2393, -0.2472, -0.2607, -0.2782, -0.2708, -0.2661, -0.2808]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003624909386518920", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-24T00:32:58+00:00", "symbol": "ETHA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added to ETHA today. Taking share count back up.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to Ethereum ETF ETHA, increasing share count; bullish ETH via ETF.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETHA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Added to ETHA today. Taking share count back up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "#Ethereum 2 day chart shows that price continues to try to get to the upper part of the Bollinger band as the basis line is not as negatively sloped as it was over the last 2 weeks. Downward momentum seems to be decelerated significantly. https://t.co/csdsvwlFeP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.011276499735664025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011276499735664025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014781843473990475, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014781843473990475, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035053437383264496, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035053437383264496, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.011727570049034464, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011727570049034464, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023981697160228577, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023981697160228577, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012254127111194113, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012254127111194113, "ret_p1m": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.002027837797506482, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.002027837797506482, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.002027837797506482, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002027837797506482, "ret_p3m": -0.2656743062417274, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2656743062417274, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21757012927448427, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21757012927448427, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04810417696724312, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04810417696724312, "ret_p6m": -0.4190347284566177, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4190347284566177, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5064190194506307, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5064190194506307, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08738429099401301, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08738429099401301, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.0, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.002027837797506482, "alpha_c_stated": 0.002027837797506482, "price_path": [0.3739, 0.4308, 0.4213, 0.4795, 0.5359, 0.5453, 0.6143, 0.5291, 0.5413, 0.4799, 0.3622, 0.4515, 0.4019, 0.3599, 0.3189, 0.3054, 0.3595, 0.3658, 0.2972, 0.3166, 0.3401, 0.4321, 0.3798, 0.3315, 0.2553, 0.3243, 0.2219, 0.0952, 0.1764, 0.1276, 0.1813, 0.217, 0.1723, 0.1633, 0.0798, 0.0686, 0.0244, 0.0641, 0.0032, -0.0343, -0.0663, 0.0126, -0.0018, 0.0329, 0.0329, 0.0352, -0.0631, 0.0153, 0.0699, 0.0722, 0.0307, 0.0699, 0.1353, 0.1452, 0.0997, 0.0496, -0.0023, 0.005, -0.0383, -0.0528, 0.0212, 0.014, 0.0113, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0014, -0.0032, 0.0072, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.0636, 0.106, 0.1051, 0.0681, 0.0577, 0.046, 0.0573, 0.0925, 0.1543, 0.12, 0.1222, 0.1222, 0.0226, 0.032, 0.0, 0.0014, -0.0122, 0.0298, 0.0257, -0.0478, -0.0902, -0.2106, -0.2179, -0.263, -0.3658, -0.3004, -0.277, -0.3144, -0.3347, -0.3478, -0.3036, -0.3036, -0.3212, -0.3401, -0.336, -0.3284, -0.3663, -0.3672, -0.2927, -0.3103, -0.3451, -0.3067, -0.3266, -0.267, -0.2873, -0.3266, -0.3067, -0.3054, -0.2923, -0.295, -0.2833, -0.2057, -0.2088, -0.2558, -0.2711, -0.2738, -0.2657, -0.2797, -0.2598, -0.3027, -0.323, -0.3112, -0.286, -0.2711, -0.295, -0.295, -0.2693, -0.2806, -0.2458, -0.2436, -0.2309, -0.2296, -0.2111, -0.1894, -0.1962, -0.171, -0.2052, -0.2174, -0.1822, -0.2111, -0.2097, -0.221, -0.2165, -0.24, -0.2296, -0.2143, -0.1985, -0.1926, -0.2007, -0.2197, -0.2115, -0.203, -0.2224, -0.2323, -0.217, -0.244, -0.2783, -0.2815, -0.272, -0.2715, -0.2977, -0.2977, -0.2954, -0.3015, -0.3148, -0.3144, -0.3184, -0.3514, -0.3875, -0.396, -0.4646, -0.4263, -0.4371, -0.4461, -0.4272, -0.433, -0.3793, -0.3893, -0.4105, -0.419]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2007465452986138670", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-03T14:53:55+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is heading to $1M sooner than I expected", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC to $1M, accelerated timeline on geopolitical shift in US foreign policy.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump just unilaterally removed a foreign head of state. No international law, no proxy war, no clandestine operations, no compromises, no excuses. This is a massive shift in the playbook. Bitcoin is heading to $1M sooner than I expected.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03532838503642444, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03532838503642444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007582429495505694, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007582429495505694, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "ret_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03946646405527887, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03946646405527887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "ret_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1970131046824748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1970131046824748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "ret_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24376303803799793, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24376303803799793, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.19438124445211513, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.1970131046824748, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1970131046824748, "price_path": [0.3139, 0.2964, 0.2059, 0.2278, 0.2049, 0.18, 0.1524, 0.1341, 0.1779, 0.1555, 0.1471, 0.1724, 0.1827, 0.2156, 0.2032, 0.1723, 0.1536, 0.1669, 0.1349, 0.0821, 0.1066, 0.079, 0.1011, 0.129, 0.0971, 0.0829, 0.0619, 0.0055, -0.0191, -0.0099, -0.0257, -0.0772, -0.0936, -0.0598, -0.0697, -0.0358, -0.0277, -0.0316, -0.0805, -0.027, -0.0038, -0.0185, -0.0479, -0.0345, -0.0127, -0.0198, -0.0146, -0.0385, -0.0795, -0.0643, -0.0824, -0.0897, -0.0616, -0.0574, -0.0689, -0.0668, -0.0708, -0.0701, -0.0718, -0.0581, -0.0679, -0.0549, -0.0419, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0274, -0.0304, -0.0359, -0.0286, 0.0153, 0.0325, 0.0178, 0.0175, -0.0142, -0.0593, -0.048, -0.0471, -0.0466, -0.0598, -0.0509, -0.05, -0.0993, -0.1039, -0.1618, -0.1944, -0.2222, -0.3321, -0.2485, -0.2531, -0.2672, -0.2864, -0.2946, -0.2666, -0.2667, -0.2811, -0.2925, -0.2868, -0.2756, -0.3117, -0.3174, -0.2761, -0.2815, -0.2983, -0.2674, -0.2726, -0.2255, -0.2454, -0.2742, -0.2714, -0.2552, -0.2522, -0.2491, -0.2441, -0.2026, -0.2126, -0.2411, -0.2553, -0.2488, -0.2446, -0.2489, -0.2404, -0.2673, -0.2934, -0.2896, -0.2732, -0.2749, -0.2875, -0.2871, -0.2665, -0.2337, -0.2424, -0.2356, -0.2227, -0.2066, -0.2098, -0.2032, -0.1995, -0.1785, -0.1918, -0.1867, -0.167, -0.1663, -0.175, -0.1759, -0.1867, -0.1929, -0.1872, -0.1673, -0.1497, -0.138, -0.1327, -0.1478, -0.1459, -0.1295, -0.1428, -0.1556, -0.1367, -0.1578, -0.1803, -0.1825, -0.175, -0.1741, -0.1959, -0.1768, -0.1923, -0.2081, -0.2167, -0.2185, -0.2403, -0.2895, -0.3181, -0.3204, -0.3511, -0.328, -0.3434, -0.3455, -0.323, -0.3232, -0.2939, -0.3012, -0.3138, -0.3301, -0.3232, -0.3188, -0.3325, -0.3503, -0.3639, -0.3607, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025212986647085124", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T14:16:17+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have been moving long with urgency too.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively adding to long BTC position with urgency, echoing smart-money COT signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@McClellanOsc I have been moving long with urgency too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The non-commercial traders of Bitcoin futures are usually the smart money. This week's COT Report shows that they are moving net long with some urgency. Look back at what the last two similar excursions led to. But remember, this is \"a condition, not a signal\". https://t.co/sykurNKz7f", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "McClellanOsc", "ret_m1d": 0.05244281410492224, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05244281410492224, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04212610032543651, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04212610032543651, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008305824880296298, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008305824880296298, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015574300150494658, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015574300150494658, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "ret_p1w": 0.06436588091381368, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06436588091381368, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05851883792546819, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05851883792546819, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "ret_p1m": 0.09132496084938335, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09132496084938335, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13151630030922645, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13151630030922645, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "ret_p3m": 0.1999858540909938, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1999858540909938, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10860361999832535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10860361999832535, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09132496084938335, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.13151630030922645, "alpha_c_stated": 0.13151630030922645, "price_path": [0.4009, 0.4127, 0.4071, 0.3359, 0.4137, 0.4474, 0.426, 0.3834, 0.4027, 0.4345, 0.4241, 0.4317, 0.397, 0.3374, 0.3595, 0.3331, 0.3226, 0.3635, 0.3695, 0.3528, 0.3559, 0.35, 0.3511, 0.3485, 0.3685, 0.3543, 0.3732, 0.392, 0.4529, 0.4505, 0.4131, 0.4087, 0.4008, 0.4113, 0.4752, 0.5001, 0.4787, 0.4783, 0.4323, 0.3667, 0.3832, 0.3845, 0.3851, 0.366, 0.3789, 0.3802, 0.3087, 0.302, 0.2178, 0.1705, 0.13, -0.0296, 0.0919, 0.0852, 0.0646, 0.0368, 0.0248, 0.0656, 0.0654, 0.0445, 0.028, 0.0362, 0.0524, 0.0, -0.0083, 0.0517, 0.0439, 0.0196, 0.0644, 0.0569, 0.1253, 0.0963, 0.0545, 0.0586, 0.0822, 0.0865, 0.0909, 0.0983, 0.1585, 0.144, 0.1026, 0.082, 0.0914, 0.0975, 0.0913, 0.1036, 0.0646, 0.0266, 0.0321, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0352, 0.0358, 0.0657, 0.1133, 0.1007, 0.1107, 0.1294, 0.1527, 0.148, 0.1577, 0.163, 0.1936, 0.1742, 0.1816, 0.2103, 0.2113, 0.1987, 0.1973, 0.1816, 0.1727, 0.1809, 0.2099, 0.2354, 0.2524, 0.2602, 0.2382, 0.241, 0.2648, 0.2455, 0.2269, 0.2543, 0.2236, 0.1909, 0.1878, 0.1987, 0.2, 0.1682, 0.196, 0.1735, 0.1505, 0.138, 0.1355, 0.1037, 0.0323, -0.0093, -0.0126, -0.0572, -0.0236, -0.046, -0.049, -0.0163, -0.0166, 0.0259, 0.0152, -0.0031, -0.0266, -0.0167, -0.0103, -0.0302, -0.056, -0.0758, -0.0712, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021385071144604142", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T00:45:31+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There will be convexity on up moves that will be impossible to model when sentiment is this negative", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ASST: expects outsized upside convexity when sentiment recovers from current negative extreme.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AdamBLiv There will be convexity on up moves that will be impossible to model when sentiment is this negative", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Further capitulation on ASST today. Second day in a row with a solid drop while MSTR/BTC remain mostly flat.\n\nLiking the entry even more now. \n\n-6% on a -1% Bitcoin move.\n\nEV mNAV is now only at 6% premium and MC mNAV is now at 0.65x.\n\n48% amplification of Bitcoin. \n\nBitcoin move https://t.co/aLPzFiUoZH", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AdamBLiv", "ret_m1d": 0.13473425612225887, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13473425612225887, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13450308054880034, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11937591750442689, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002311755734585308, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01535833861783198, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0482077053111053, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0482077053111053, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03275884561321907, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02829869109942751, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01544885969788623, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01990901421167779, "ret_p1w": -0.004944370963977263, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004944370963977263, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0032498143895294263, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002100226076594769, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194185353506689, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0028441448873824937, "ret_p1m": 0.09147092177513083, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09147092177513083, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12890088076385697, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16560815745657143, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03742995898872614, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0741372356814406, "ret_p3m": 1.2187886803929753, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2187886803929753, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1474565176279912, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2433794734296355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133216276498411, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02459079303666012, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09147092177513083, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.12890088076385697, "alpha_c_stated": 0.16560815745657143, "price_path": [1.67, 1.5711, 1.7689, 1.5958, 1.4302, 1.5216, 1.7936, 1.7441, 1.7936, 1.7936, 1.7689, 1.5958, 1.5587, 1.5958, 1.4153, 1.2274, 1.4351, 1.5216, 1.4722, 1.2794, 1.1335, 0.9506, 1.1261, 1.0297, 1.0544, 1.2225, 1.1409, 0.9901, 1.131, 1.131, 1.0148, 0.911, 0.8096, 0.8245, 0.8245, 1.1384, 1.5464, 1.5711, 1.5216, 1.4969, 1.3387, 1.7194, 1.398, 1.5464, 1.4005, 1.3436, 1.3436, 1.1879, 1.2052, 1.1508, 1.1533, 0.9431, 1.0247, 0.9802, 0.9407, 1.0297, 0.7874, 0.686, 0.4635, 0.2188, 0.4728, 0.254, 0.1347, 0.0, -0.0482, 0.0297, 0.0297, 0.0111, -0.0049, 0.0037, 0.0074, -0.0902, -0.1143, 0.0556, 0.0124, -0.0185, 0.0791, 0.0297, 0.1891, 0.1434, 0.0754, 0.0519, 0.11, 0.1409, 0.0915, 0.178, 0.3424, 0.3721, 0.2404, 0.2682, 0.2386, 0.2905, 0.2274, 0.3412, 0.2868, 0.2182, 0.1582, 0.2386, 0.2559, 0.2052, 0.2052, 0.2509, 0.1452, 0.267, 0.1916, 0.314, 0.4314, 0.5365, 0.6724, 0.7281, 0.9295, 0.9308, 0.8925, 1.0593, 1.0025, 0.953, 0.9394, 0.8888, 0.7812, 0.8986, 1.0161, 1.0216, 1.0408, 1.0124, 0.911, 0.9679, 1.2188, 1.11, 1.0692, 1.1891, 1.0754, 0.9518, 0.9975, 1.0989, 1.2905, 1.2509, 1.2509, 1.2373, 1.2027, 1.2002, 1.1842, 1.1261, 0.9926, 0.822, 0.8566, 0.7206, 0.8801, 0.7565, 0.7837, 0.8022, 0.8727, 1.0606, 0.9518, 0.9085, 0.8356, 0.8356, 0.8307, 0.7244, 0.5513, 0.4091, 0.4017, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018059567733801323", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-01T20:31:09+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm looking for one more tap above $75,600 to put in a higher lower before we return to $80,000+... up, up, up until May/June", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BTC: expects short-term dip then rally to $80K+ by May/June; would add bids at $74K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "On Bitcoin I'm looking for one more tap above $75,600 to put in a higher lower before we return to $80,000+. If we break lower to $74,000, I want to stack some bids. I think we've got a few days up to 1-2 weeks of downside before go, go, go, up, up, up until May/June. Come at me.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07407836352638886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946631927949419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030371233448277968, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008455385901172563, "ret_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10678500373637556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994641663448776, "ret_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11041930534472533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684904257939897, "ret_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06655809271399604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036255859687958525, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11041930534472533, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11041930534472533, "price_path": [0.3203, 0.2874, 0.3137, 0.347, 0.3089, 0.292, 0.267, 0.1996, 0.1704, 0.1812, 0.1624, 0.1009, 0.0814, 0.1218, 0.11, 0.1503, 0.1601, 0.1554, 0.097, 0.1609, 0.1886, 0.171, 0.136, 0.1519, 0.178, 0.1694, 0.1757, 0.1472, 0.0982, 0.1163, 0.0947, 0.0861, 0.1196, 0.1246, 0.1109, 0.1134, 0.1086, 0.1095, 0.1074, 0.1238, 0.1121, 0.1276, 0.143, 0.1931, 0.1911, 0.1604, 0.1568, 0.1503, 0.1589, 0.2114, 0.2318, 0.2143, 0.214, 0.1762, 0.1223, 0.1358, 0.1369, 0.1374, 0.1217, 0.1323, 0.1334, 0.0746, 0.0691, 0.0, -0.0388, -0.072, -0.2032, -0.1034, -0.1089, -0.1257, -0.1486, -0.1584, -0.1249, -0.1251, -0.1423, -0.1558, -0.1491, -0.1358, -0.1788, -0.1857, -0.1363, -0.1428, -0.1628, -0.126, -0.1321, -0.076, -0.0997, -0.1341, -0.1307, -0.1113, -0.1078, -0.1041, -0.0981, -0.0486, -0.0606, -0.0946, -0.1115, -0.1038, -0.0988, -0.1038, -0.0938, -0.1258, -0.157, -0.1525, -0.1329, -0.1348, -0.15, -0.1494, -0.1249, -0.0858, -0.0961, -0.088, -0.0726, -0.0534, -0.0573, -0.0494, -0.0449, -0.0198, -0.0358, -0.0297, -0.0062, -0.0053, -0.0157, -0.0168, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0303, -0.0065, 0.0145, 0.0284, 0.0348, 0.0168, 0.019, 0.0386, 0.0227, 0.0075, 0.03, 0.0048, -0.022, -0.0246, -0.0156, -0.0146, -0.0407, -0.0179, -0.0364, -0.0552, -0.0655, -0.0676, -0.0936, -0.1523, -0.1865, -0.1892, -0.2258, -0.1982, -0.2166, -0.2191, -0.1922, -0.1925, -0.1576, -0.1663, -0.1814, -0.2007, -0.1925, -0.1873, -0.2036, -0.2249, -0.241, -0.2373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019405482444931164", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-05T13:39:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Crypto has been in a bear market since 2022. It was very long but now it's almost over.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bear market nearly over; implicitly bullish on crypto/BTC from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant Crypto has been in a bear market since 2022. It was very long but now it’s almost over.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Ok. We are in a Bitcoin $BTC bear market if you can convince me that,\n\nGovernments will stop overspending to consider rebalancing fiscal budgets to prevent fiat debasement\n\nLooser global financial conditions result in liquidity contraction rather than expansion\n\nEnergy scarcity", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15190236704340343, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15190236704340343, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647239021036816, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012647239021036816, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10606290478550262, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10606290478550262, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01918478647681998, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01918478647681998, "ret_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05074787613712406, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05074787613712406, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005386547196624791, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005386547196624791, "ret_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09440306795285514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09440306795285514, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733008506952244, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007733008506952244, "ret_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21963636525055796, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21963636525055796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102308176131378, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07102308176131378, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.08667005944590289, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09440306795285514, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09440306795285514, "price_path": [0.6905, 0.6426, 0.6214, 0.59, 0.5055, 0.4688, 0.4824, 0.4587, 0.3816, 0.3571, 0.4078, 0.393, 0.4436, 0.4559, 0.45, 0.3767, 0.4569, 0.4916, 0.4695, 0.4256, 0.4456, 0.4783, 0.4676, 0.4754, 0.4397, 0.3783, 0.401, 0.3739, 0.363, 0.4051, 0.4113, 0.3941, 0.3973, 0.3913, 0.3923, 0.3897, 0.4103, 0.3956, 0.4151, 0.4345, 0.4973, 0.4948, 0.4562, 0.4517, 0.4435, 0.4544, 0.5202, 0.5459, 0.5239, 0.5235, 0.4761, 0.4084, 0.4254, 0.4268, 0.4274, 0.4077, 0.421, 0.4224, 0.3486, 0.3417, 0.255, 0.2062, 0.1645, 0.0, 0.1252, 0.1183, 0.0972, 0.0684, 0.0561, 0.0982, 0.0979, 0.0764, 0.0594, 0.0679, 0.0846, 0.0305, 0.022, 0.0839, 0.0758, 0.0507, 0.0969, 0.0892, 0.1596, 0.1298, 0.0867, 0.0909, 0.1152, 0.1197, 0.1243, 0.1318, 0.1939, 0.1789, 0.1363, 0.115, 0.1247, 0.131, 0.1246, 0.1373, 0.0971, 0.058, 0.0636, 0.0882, 0.0857, 0.0668, 0.0674, 0.0982, 0.1473, 0.1343, 0.1446, 0.1639, 0.1879, 0.1831, 0.193, 0.1986, 0.2301, 0.21, 0.2177, 0.2472, 0.2483, 0.2353, 0.2339, 0.2177, 0.2085, 0.2169, 0.2468, 0.2731, 0.2907, 0.2986, 0.276, 0.2789, 0.3034, 0.2835, 0.2643, 0.2926, 0.261, 0.2273, 0.2241, 0.2353, 0.2366, 0.2039, 0.2325, 0.2093, 0.1857, 0.1728, 0.1702, 0.1374, 0.0638, 0.0209, 0.0175, -0.0284, 0.0062, -0.0169, -0.02, 0.0137, 0.0134, 0.0572, 0.0462, 0.0274, 0.0031, 0.0134, 0.0199, -0.0005, -0.0272, -0.0475, -0.0428, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2022018314088951887", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-12T18:41:48+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When Bitcoin bounces, everything will go ballistic to the upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long Bitcoin; expects a bounce that will send crypto broadly ballistic, hold weeks to months.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I will lay this out simply. When Bitcoin bounces, everything will go ballistic to the upside. The name of the game in this is to stay positioned. Be prepared to hold for a few weeks to a few months, adding if you can. It’s really that simple. I’ve been doing this for a long time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011629470826988175, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011629470826988175, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004061801129840559, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004061801129840559, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015691271956828734, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039805596623848194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039805596623848194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0391010975207291, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0391010975207291, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007044991031190939, "ret_p1w": 0.011109320517823873, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011109320517823873, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006397588725369996, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006397588725369996, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004711731792453877, "ret_p1m": 0.07167456546390705, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07167456546390705, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09953434366287517, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09953434366287517, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02785977819896812, "ret_p3m": 0.2152710892695433, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2152710892695433, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12877684685196034, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12877684685196034, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08649424241758297, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07167456546390705, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.09953434366287517, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09953434366287517, "price_path": [0.3907, 0.4036, 0.3812, 0.3082, 0.2849, 0.333, 0.3189, 0.3669, 0.3785, 0.3729, 0.3035, 0.3795, 0.4123, 0.3914, 0.3498, 0.3687, 0.3997, 0.3896, 0.397, 0.3632, 0.305, 0.3265, 0.3008, 0.2905, 0.3304, 0.3363, 0.32, 0.323, 0.3173, 0.3183, 0.3159, 0.3354, 0.3214, 0.3399, 0.3582, 0.4177, 0.4154, 0.3788, 0.3746, 0.3668, 0.3771, 0.4394, 0.4637, 0.4429, 0.4425, 0.3976, 0.3336, 0.3497, 0.351, 0.3516, 0.3329, 0.3455, 0.3468, 0.2769, 0.2704, 0.1883, 0.1421, 0.1027, -0.0532, 0.0654, 0.0589, 0.0388, 0.0116, 0.0, 0.0398, 0.0396, 0.0192, 0.0031, 0.0111, 0.0269, -0.0242, -0.0323, 0.0262, 0.0186, -0.0051, 0.0386, 0.0313, 0.098, 0.0698, 0.0289, 0.0329, 0.0559, 0.0601, 0.0645, 0.0717, 0.1305, 0.1163, 0.0759, 0.0557, 0.0649, 0.0709, 0.0649, 0.0768, 0.0388, 0.0018, 0.0071, 0.0304, 0.028, 0.0101, 0.0107, 0.0398, 0.0864, 0.074, 0.0837, 0.102, 0.1248, 0.1202, 0.1296, 0.1349, 0.1647, 0.1457, 0.153, 0.1809, 0.1819, 0.1696, 0.1683, 0.153, 0.1443, 0.1523, 0.1806, 0.2055, 0.2221, 0.2296, 0.2082, 0.2109, 0.2342, 0.2153, 0.1971, 0.2239, 0.194, 0.1621, 0.159, 0.1697, 0.1709, 0.1399, 0.167, 0.145, 0.1227, 0.1105, 0.108, 0.077, 0.0073, -0.0333, -0.0365, -0.08, -0.0473, -0.0691, -0.0721, -0.0402, -0.0404, 0.001, -0.0094, -0.0272, -0.0502, -0.0405, -0.0343, -0.0537, -0.0789, -0.0982, -0.0937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007228017383498169", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T23:10:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am still long Bitcoin vol and was adding as recently as Wednesday", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long Bitcoin volatility and adding to the position as recently as Wednesday.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@IIICapital I am still long Bitcoin vol and was adding as recently as Wednesday", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "A few days ago, bitcoin's 10 day historical volatility hit 10%. The last two times that happened?\n\n1. January 2023 ($17,000 BTC)\n2. July 2020 ($9,000 BTC) https://t.co/861vD06hA9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "IIICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.013482851137430751, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013482851137430751, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006866708906700381, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006866708906700381, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616142230730371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.043780896264292934, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.043780896264292934, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03783373796492184, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03783373796492184, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947158299371091, "ret_p1w": 0.0063195083159173215, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0063195083159173215, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004498795184372906, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004498795184372906, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818303500290227, "ret_p1m": -0.12514278522366307, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12514278522366307, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12777464545402273, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12777464545402273, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0026318602303596617, "ret_p3m": -0.24310650615947071, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24310650615947071, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19934025332066085, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19934025332066085, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04376625283880986, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12514278522366307, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.12777464545402273, "alpha_c_stated": -0.12777464545402273, "price_path": [0.3503, 0.3715, 0.3531, 0.2587, 0.2816, 0.2576, 0.2317, 0.2028, 0.1837, 0.2295, 0.206, 0.1973, 0.2237, 0.2345, 0.2688, 0.2558, 0.2236, 0.2041, 0.218, 0.1846, 0.1295, 0.1551, 0.1263, 0.1493, 0.1785, 0.1451, 0.1303, 0.1084, 0.0495, 0.0239, 0.0334, 0.0169, -0.0368, -0.054, -0.0186, -0.0289, 0.0064, 0.0149, 0.0108, -0.0403, 0.0156, 0.0398, 0.0244, -0.0062, 0.0077, 0.0305, 0.0231, 0.0285, 0.0036, -0.0392, -0.0234, -0.0423, -0.0498, -0.0205, -0.0162, -0.0281, -0.0259, -0.0301, -0.0294, -0.0312, -0.0168, -0.0271, -0.0135, 0.0, 0.0438, 0.0421, 0.0152, 0.012, 0.0063, 0.0139, 0.0598, 0.0777, 0.0623, 0.062, 0.029, -0.0182, -0.0063, -0.0054, -0.0049, -0.0187, -0.0094, -0.0085, -0.0598, -0.0647, -0.1251, -0.1591, -0.1882, -0.3029, -0.2156, -0.2204, -0.2352, -0.2552, -0.2637, -0.2344, -0.2346, -0.2496, -0.2615, -0.2556, -0.2439, -0.2816, -0.2876, -0.2444, -0.2501, -0.2675, -0.2354, -0.2407, -0.1916, -0.2124, -0.2425, -0.2395, -0.2226, -0.2195, -0.2163, -0.211, -0.1677, -0.1781, -0.2079, -0.2227, -0.2159, -0.2116, -0.216, -0.2072, -0.2352, -0.2625, -0.2585, -0.2414, -0.2431, -0.2563, -0.2559, -0.2344, -0.2002, -0.2093, -0.2021, -0.1886, -0.1719, -0.1753, -0.1683, -0.1645, -0.1425, -0.1565, -0.1511, -0.1305, -0.1298, -0.1389, -0.1398, -0.1511, -0.1575, -0.1517, -0.1308, -0.1125, -0.1003, -0.0947, -0.1105, -0.1085, -0.0913, -0.1053, -0.1186, -0.0989, -0.121, -0.1444, -0.1467, -0.1388, -0.1379, -0.1607, -0.1408, -0.157, -0.1734, -0.1824, -0.1842, -0.2071, -0.2584, -0.2883, -0.2907, -0.3227, -0.2986, -0.3146, -0.3168, -0.2933, -0.2935, -0.263, -0.2707, -0.2838, -0.3007, -0.2936, -0.289, -0.3033, -0.3219, -0.336, -0.3327, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2015446791433646474", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-25T15:28:54+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bottom in Bitcoin and the top in silver are very close.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC near bottom (long) and silver near top (short); both inflection points imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The bottom in Bitcoin and the top in silver are very close.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The coming week is significant in that it marks the end of the bottoming phase.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014011265871341827, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014011265871341827, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019063839493367984, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019063839493367984, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050525736220261575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050525736220261575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009464787027023913, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009464787027023913, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005480621648553008, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005480621648553008, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984165378470905, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984165378470905, "ret_p1w": -0.10851575039338146, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10851575039338146, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11238441217795458, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11238441217795458, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003868661784573124, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003868661784573124, "ret_p1m": -0.2740215383095741, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2740215383095741, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2662550731128265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2662550731128265, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766465196747618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766465196747618, "ret_p3m": -0.11327190876701176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11327190876701176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1387577236147508, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1387577236147508, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02548581484773904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02548581484773904, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2740215383095741, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2662550731128265, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2662550731128265, "price_path": [0.2468, 0.227, 0.2412, 0.2071, 0.1509, 0.177, 0.1477, 0.1711, 0.2009, 0.1669, 0.1518, 0.1295, 0.0695, 0.0434, 0.053, 0.0362, -0.0185, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0105, 0.0255, 0.0342, 0.03, -0.022, 0.0349, 0.0596, 0.0439, 0.0127, 0.0269, 0.0501, 0.0425, 0.0481, 0.0227, -0.0209, -0.0048, -0.0241, -0.0318, -0.0019, 0.0025, -0.0097, -0.0074, -0.0117, -0.0109, -0.0128, 0.0018, -0.0086, 0.0053, 0.019, 0.0636, 0.0619, 0.0345, 0.0313, 0.0254, 0.0331, 0.0799, 0.0981, 0.0825, 0.0822, 0.0486, 0.0005, 0.0126, 0.0135, 0.014, 0.0, 0.0095, 0.0104, -0.042, -0.0469, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1727, -0.2896, -0.2007, -0.2056, -0.2206, -0.241, -0.2498, -0.2199, -0.2201, -0.2353, -0.2475, -0.2414, -0.2295, -0.2679, -0.274, -0.2301, -0.2358, -0.2536, -0.2208, -0.2263, -0.1762, -0.1974, -0.2281, -0.2251, -0.2078, -0.2046, -0.2014, -0.196, -0.1519, -0.1625, -0.1928, -0.2079, -0.201, -0.1966, -0.2011, -0.1921, -0.2206, -0.2484, -0.2444, -0.227, -0.2287, -0.2422, -0.2417, -0.2199, -0.185, -0.1942, -0.1869, -0.1732, -0.1561, -0.1596, -0.1525, -0.1486, -0.1262, -0.1404, -0.135, -0.114, -0.1133, -0.1225, -0.1235, -0.135, -0.1415, -0.1355, -0.1143, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0775, -0.0935, -0.0915, -0.0741, -0.0883, -0.1019, -0.0818, -0.1042, -0.1282, -0.1305, -0.1225, -0.1215, -0.1448, -0.1245, -0.141, -0.1577, -0.1669, -0.1687, -0.192, -0.2443, -0.2748, -0.2772, -0.3098, -0.2852, -0.3016, -0.3038, -0.2799, -0.2801, -0.249, -0.2568, -0.2702, -0.2874, -0.2801, -0.2755, -0.29, -0.309, -0.3234, -0.3201, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2015446791433646474", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-25T15:28:54+00:00", "symbol": "SI=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bottom in Bitcoin and the top in silver are very close.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC near bottom (long) and silver near top (short); both inflection points imminent.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SI=F is silver futures; SLV ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The bottom in Bitcoin and the top in silver are very close.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The coming week is significant in that it marks the end of the bottoming phase.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.055216523062743494, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.055216523062743494, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05016394944071734, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05016394944071734, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050525736220261575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050525736220261575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033048608104816024, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.033048608104816024, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02906444272634512, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02906444272634512, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984165378470905, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984165378470905, "ret_p1w": -0.2633719225237051, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2633719225237051, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26724058430827824, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26724058430827824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003868661784573124, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003868661784573124, "ret_p1m": -0.19585108017148678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19585108017148678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18808461497473916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18808461497473916, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766465196747618, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766465196747618, "ret_p3m": -0.30465731340411895, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30465731340411895, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.330143128251858, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.330143128251858, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02548581484773904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02548581484773904, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.19585108017148678, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.18808461497473916, "alpha_c_stated": 0.18808461497473916, "price_path": [-0.5604, -0.5491, -0.5525, -0.555, -0.5654, -0.5561, -0.5571, -0.5534, -0.5344, -0.5277, -0.5086, -0.5178, -0.5326, -0.5376, -0.5312, -0.5277, -0.5345, -0.5394, -0.5258, -0.5254, -0.5078, -0.5078, -0.4793, -0.4659, -0.4597, -0.4603, -0.4737, -0.4616, -0.464, -0.439, -0.4298, -0.4141, -0.4295, -0.4091, -0.413, -0.3872, -0.3968, -0.3804, -0.3648, -0.3407, -0.3368, -0.3368, -0.2768, -0.3288, -0.2986, -0.3449, -0.3449, -0.3314, -0.2975, -0.2505, -0.2784, -0.2911, -0.264, -0.2147, -0.2007, -0.1401, -0.1527, -0.1761, -0.1761, -0.1317, -0.1462, -0.114, -0.0552, 0.0, 0.033, 0.0738, 0.0735, -0.2329, -0.2634, -0.2174, -0.1948, -0.3218, -0.2863, -0.2268, -0.2535, -0.2215, -0.3113, -0.291, -0.291, -0.3251, -0.2873, -0.2779, -0.2209, -0.1807, -0.1959, -0.1861, -0.1819, -0.1358, -0.1705, -0.2406, -0.2339, -0.2448, -0.2278, -0.2042, -0.1856, -0.2077, -0.2223, -0.2608, -0.2554, -0.2713, -0.3014, -0.3321, -0.3744, -0.3648, -0.3599, -0.3369, -0.382, -0.3549, -0.3541, -0.3071, -0.3071, -0.331, -0.331, -0.3279, -0.3295, -0.3139, -0.3046, -0.2975, -0.3057, -0.2674, -0.2695, -0.2756, -0.2513, -0.2663, -0.3035, -0.2844, -0.3047, -0.3005, -0.3052, -0.3268, -0.3407, -0.3221, -0.3056, -0.3295, -0.3298, -0.2869, -0.2719, -0.2576, -0.2068, -0.2012, -0.1931, -0.2322, -0.2979, -0.2888, -0.3197, -0.3011, -0.2938, -0.3049, -0.3049, -0.291, -0.3136, -0.3049, -0.3052, -0.3119, -0.3086, -0.3267, -0.3189, -0.3739, -0.3738, -0.3999, -0.4137, -0.3815, -0.3768, -0.3546, -0.3554, -0.3837, -0.3949, -0.3949, -0.401, -0.4333, -0.4735, -0.4676, -0.4582, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025256582632931417", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T17:09:31+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am completely unconcerned. We will be in a completely different place in a few months.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Dismisses Friday's drop in IREN and CIFR as noise; expects both to be materially higher in a few months.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@scludweed I am completely unconcerned. We will be in a completely different place in a few months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN $CIFR\n\nFinal thoughts on Friday's PA.  In retrospect, this drop in AI \"connected\" names was so telegraphed. First by normal OPEX Friday fuckery, then Anthropic dropping another product that sent shockwaves through several high-flyer security AI names (feared AI disruption", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "scludweed", "ret_m1d": -0.05618510467003235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05618510467003235, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06650181844951808, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.090878606544335, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.034693501874302646, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07294617818850502, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07294617818850502, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06567770291830666, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06801814635444936, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004928031834055657, "ret_p1w": -0.02289898977164051, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02289898977164051, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028746032759985995, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03413486898044016, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011235879208799648, "ret_p1m": -0.02927293816336196, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02927293816336196, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01091840129648114, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005683644445823255, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023589293717538706, "ret_p3m": 0.3706326850029087, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3706326850029087, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.27925045091024026, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34567882106810277, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02495386393480592, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.02927293816336196, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.01091840129648114, "alpha_c_stated": -0.005683644445823255, "price_path": [0.1438, 0.1438, 0.1287, 0.1447, -0.0293, 0.0378, 0.0966, 0.0555, 0.094, 0.1058, 0.0368, 0.0373, -0.0526, -0.1624, -0.1362, -0.2025, -0.1549, -0.0576, -0.0076, -0.0068, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0486, -0.0696, -0.0958, -0.1084, -0.1084, 0.008, 0.1388, 0.0838, 0.0299, 0.0784, 0.0866, 0.1881, 0.2509, 0.2483, 0.225, 0.365, 0.365, 0.2809, 0.2625, 0.2337, 0.3381, 0.2361, 0.4162, 0.4858, 0.4127, 0.2686, 0.2531, 0.284, 0.0609, -0.0607, -0.0125, 0.0895, 0.0135, 0.0073, -0.055, -0.0033, -0.0033, -0.0328, -0.0066, 0.022, -0.0562, 0.0, 0.0729, 0.0394, 0.0444, -0.0333, -0.0229, -0.0829, 0.0349, -0.0528, -0.1336, -0.0831, -0.1001, -0.009, -0.0234, -0.0184, 0.0609, 0.0142, -0.0035, -0.0165, -0.0253, -0.0047, -0.0293, -0.022, -0.1159, -0.1716, -0.2535, -0.1907, -0.1952, -0.1792, -0.1792, -0.1707, -0.1563, -0.1305, -0.1251, -0.0718, 0.0168, 0.1183, 0.1525, 0.1261, 0.136, 0.1501, 0.0663, 0.1424, 0.228, 0.1955, 0.1416, 0.0491, 0.0118, 0.0744, 0.0779, 0.1681, 0.2923, 0.4396, 0.3421, 0.4448, 0.3019, 0.3352, 0.3024, 0.3787, 0.2498, 0.1912, 0.127, 0.2443, 0.3706, 0.3416, 0.3416, 0.4112, 0.6015, 0.512, 0.5, 0.5423, 0.5722, 0.5458, 0.4603, 0.283, 0.3973, 0.2753, 0.2162, 0.3388, 0.411, 0.4365, 0.3971, 0.3718, 0.4155, 0.4155, 0.3425, 0.2918, 0.1874, 0.127, 0.1145, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025256582632931417", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-21T17:09:31+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am completely unconcerned. We will be in a completely different place in a few months.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Dismisses Friday's drop in IREN and CIFR as noise; expects both to be materially higher in a few months.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@scludweed I am completely unconcerned. We will be in a completely different place in a few months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN $CIFR\n\nFinal thoughts on Friday's PA.  In retrospect, this drop in AI \"connected\" names was so telegraphed. First by normal OPEX Friday fuckery, then Anthropic dropping another product that sent shockwaves through several high-flyer security AI names (feared AI disruption", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "scludweed", "ret_m1d": -0.037450764684500815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037450764684500815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.047767478463986546, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05448802461509916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316713779485731, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017037259930598347, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1248357778495297, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1248357778495297, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11756730257933135, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11184115275394357, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726847527019836, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012994625095586132, "ret_p1w": 0.035479628934227625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.035479628934227625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02963258594588214, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028116092705384288, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0058470429883454855, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007363536228843337, "ret_p1m": -0.022339037228825465, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022339037228825465, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017852302231017636, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00645162587886039, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0401913394598431, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015887411349965075, "ret_p3m": 0.4139290460055114, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4139290460055114, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32254681191284296, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12298135677271205, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138223409266844, "bench_c_p3m": 0.29094768923279934, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.022339037228825465, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.017852302231017636, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00645162587886039, "price_path": [0.2582, 0.2582, 0.3371, 0.2937, 0.159, 0.224, 0.3029, 0.2668, 0.2799, 0.2852, 0.2142, 0.2405, 0.1202, -0.0315, -0.0151, -0.0545, -0.0046, 0.065, 0.0736, 0.0453, 0.0657, 0.0657, -0.002, -0.0092, -0.0414, -0.0302, -0.0302, 0.0644, 0.1932, 0.1524, 0.0565, 0.0874, 0.0926, 0.1616, 0.1991, 0.1912, 0.1511, 0.2352, 0.2352, 0.1774, 0.1643, 0.1426, 0.1544, 0.0834, 0.2319, 0.2464, 0.1629, 0.0486, 0.0388, 0.0683, -0.0637, -0.1656, -0.0322, 0.1012, 0.1235, 0.0696, 0.0578, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.0276, 0.0131, 0.0381, -0.0375, 0.0, 0.1248, 0.0913, 0.0828, 0.025, 0.0355, -0.0335, 0.0539, -0.0046, -0.1051, -0.0598, -0.0828, -0.0729, -0.0992, -0.0749, -0.0053, -0.0085, -0.0361, -0.0381, -0.0795, -0.0217, -0.0223, 0.0434, -0.0572, -0.0969, -0.2106, -0.1544, -0.1695, -0.1577, -0.1577, -0.1229, -0.0795, 0.0131, 0.0749, 0.0861, 0.1669, 0.2122, 0.1827, 0.1393, 0.2727, 0.2674, 0.1853, 0.2773, 0.228, 0.1958, 0.1932, 0.134, 0.1117, 0.1656, 0.1196, 0.1754, 0.452, 0.4396, 0.3591, 0.3502, 0.3325, 0.318, 0.3955, 0.4645, 0.3357, 0.2562, 0.2352, 0.2799, 0.4139, 0.4435, 0.4435, 0.5125, 0.6531, 0.6156, 0.5539, 0.5775, 0.7273, 0.724, 0.6787, 0.475, 0.5959, 0.5135, 0.3811, 0.4869, 0.6097, 0.7102, 0.7221, 0.7313, 0.9172, 0.9172, 0.8489, 0.816, 0.7227, 0.6873, 0.7043, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009631216606331263", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T14:19:53+00:00", "symbol": "ETHA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have 142,500 shares. I'm not going anywhere.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 142,500 shares of ETHA and is staying long.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETHA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MMasaai8 I have 142,500 shares. I’m not going anywhere.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Are you still buying ETHA too? What do you think happens with it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMasaai8", "ret_m1d": 0.011211738805266158, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011211738805266158, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017781672315587027, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017781672315587027, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569933510320869, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006569933510320869, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010780508591745841, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010780508591745841, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009210075591082001, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009210075591082001, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00157043300066384, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00157043300066384, "ret_p1w": 0.07287617886109987, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07287617886109987, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07634847659624266, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07634847659624266, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472297735142793, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003472297735142793, "ret_p1m": -0.3087537594877021, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3087537594877021, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.30858083858310303, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.30858083858310303, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017292090459908316, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00017292090459908316, "ret_p3m": -0.27899961499358583, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27899961499358583, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2556392030952839, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2556392030952839, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.023360411898301958, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023360411898301958, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.3087537594877021, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.30858083858310303, "alpha_c_stated": -0.30858083858310303, "price_path": [0.3402, 0.3001, 0.2609, 0.248, 0.2997, 0.3057, 0.2402, 0.2587, 0.2812, 0.3691, 0.3191, 0.273, 0.2001, 0.2661, 0.1682, 0.047, 0.1246, 0.0781, 0.1294, 0.1634, 0.1207, 0.1121, 0.0323, 0.0216, -0.0207, 0.0172, -0.041, -0.0768, -0.1074, -0.0319, -0.0457, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.0103, -0.1044, -0.0293, 0.0229, 0.025, -0.0147, 0.0229, 0.0854, 0.0949, 0.0513, 0.0034, -0.0461, -0.0392, -0.0806, -0.0944, -0.0237, -0.0306, -0.0332, -0.044, -0.044, -0.0453, -0.047, -0.0371, -0.0328, -0.0328, 0.0168, 0.0574, 0.0565, 0.0211, 0.0112, 0.0, 0.0108, 0.0444, 0.1035, 0.0707, 0.0729, 0.0729, -0.0224, -0.0134, -0.044, -0.0427, -0.0556, -0.0155, -0.0194, -0.0897, -0.1302, -0.2454, -0.2523, -0.2954, -0.3937, -0.3312, -0.3088, -0.3445, -0.3639, -0.3765, -0.3342, -0.3342, -0.351, -0.3691, -0.3652, -0.3579, -0.3941, -0.395, -0.3238, -0.3407, -0.3739, -0.3372, -0.3562, -0.2993, -0.3187, -0.3562, -0.3372, -0.3359, -0.3234, -0.326, -0.3148, -0.2406, -0.2436, -0.2885, -0.3031, -0.3057, -0.298, -0.3113, -0.2924, -0.3333, -0.3527, -0.3415, -0.3174, -0.3031, -0.326, -0.326, -0.3014, -0.3122, -0.279, -0.2768, -0.2648, -0.2635, -0.2458, -0.2251, -0.2316, -0.2074, -0.2402, -0.2518, -0.2182, -0.2458, -0.2445, -0.2553, -0.251, -0.2734, -0.2635, -0.2488, -0.2337, -0.2281, -0.2359, -0.254, -0.2462, -0.238, -0.2566, -0.2661, -0.2514, -0.2773, -0.31, -0.3131, -0.304, -0.3036, -0.3286, -0.3286, -0.3264, -0.3323, -0.345, -0.3445, -0.3484, -0.3799, -0.4144, -0.4226, -0.4881, -0.4515, -0.4618, -0.4705, -0.4524, -0.458, -0.4066, -0.4161, -0.4364, -0.4446, -0.4446, -0.4368, -0.4601, -0.486, -0.4937, -0.4873, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022795874930491647", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-14T22:11:32+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am interested in money so I am greatly interested in this stock at this time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Opendoor (OPEN) at current levels after 0.618 retrace on low volume.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow I am interested in money so I am greatly interested in this stock at this time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OPEN retraced 0.618 of its recent leg up, and often that's quite enough for a pull back, and on low volume too. While I'm not interested in this stock at this time, it just seems like the risk reward ratio is decent here. https://t.co/EpAQ5s7qrm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.02655894918743873, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02655894918743873, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02816983307269616, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03657260425176778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108838852574303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010013655064329052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06928410993552458, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06928410993552458, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06424640238494783, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08271144291666632, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037707550576753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013427332981141737, "ret_p1w": 0.18013861975792977, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18013861975792977, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17354861572061098, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18491780410764613, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006590004037318797, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004779184349716359, "ret_p1m": 0.21939960804645642, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21939960804645642, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25076812790502356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2630955494030335, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.031368519858567145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04369594135657706, "ret_p3m": 0.011547388363939648, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.011547388363939648, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07388678694159778, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0210929730736531, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543417530553743, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00954558470971345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.21939960804645642, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.25076812790502356, "alpha_c_stated": 0.2630955494030335, "price_path": [0.4226, 0.5589, 0.776, 0.7875, 0.7968, 0.7968, 0.7783, 0.649, 0.6143, 0.6028, 0.7506, 0.6513, 0.6282, 0.7113, 0.6166, 0.6282, 0.515, 0.4942, 0.5543, 0.4134, 0.4503, 0.4688, 0.4827, 0.448, 0.4503, 0.4503, 0.388, 0.3464, 0.3487, 0.3464, 0.3464, 0.4018, 0.4596, 0.6005, 0.4134, 0.485, 0.6836, 0.6212, 0.5635, 0.5335, 0.455, 0.5404, 0.5404, 0.4758, 0.4965, 0.4827, 0.388, 0.3557, 0.3418, 0.3303, 0.2887, 0.1894, 0.1132, 0.1848, 0.1547, 0.0855, 0.127, 0.1409, 0.0831, 0.0993, 0.0115, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.0, 0.0693, 0.0739, 0.1547, 0.1039, 0.1801, 0.1501, 0.2494, 0.2517, 0.1663, 0.1478, 0.127, 0.1963, 0.1547, 0.1732, 0.157, 0.2171, 0.1178, 0.1432, 0.1963, 0.2841, 0.2194, 0.1871, 0.1339, 0.2032, 0.1963, 0.1778, 0.1316, 0.1085, 0.0231, 0.0808, 0.0554, 0.0947, 0.0947, 0.0647, 0.0508, 0.0716, -0.0046, -0.0023, 0.0069, 0.0416, 0.1132, 0.2171, 0.2217, 0.2356, 0.2587, 0.254, 0.2055, 0.2725, 0.2448, 0.2656, 0.2887, 0.2425, 0.2564, 0.1848, 0.2079, 0.261, 0.2286, 0.157, 0.1201, 0.0878, 0.0577, 0.0323, 0.0115, -0.0115, -0.0069, 0.0162, 0.0554, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0346, 0.097, 0.1709, 0.164, 0.2263, 0.2494, 0.1247, 0.1432, 0.0208, -0.0046, 0.0023, 0.0346, 0.0323, 0.0254, 0.0647, 0.097, 0.0277, 0.0323, 0.0323, -0.0115, -0.03, -0.0115, -0.0069, 0.0092, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990168964677411009", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-16T21:23:51+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I might buy some $80s and $90s for March/April timeframe now. I will keep adding them further out.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Considering buying IBIT call options at $80/$90 strikes for March/April, planning to keep adding further-dated calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gas_biz Probably dead but I might buy some $80s and $90s for March/April timeframe now. I will keep adding them further out. When one hits, it will dwarf the previous losses if structured correctly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What about those dec 90 ibit calls?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gas_biz", "ret_m1d": 0.026391555475437922, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026391555475437922, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016987597418643974, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016987597418643974, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009403958056793948, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010748587134204568, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010748587134204568, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01914614047799945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01914614047799945, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008397553343794883, "ret_p1w": -0.029366580117211494, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029366580117211494, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03396344412092722, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03396344412092722, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596864003715728, "ret_p1m": -0.04587331016594154, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04587331016594154, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06570297760123289, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06570297760123289, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829667435291354, "ret_p3m": -0.2888675561964963, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2888675561964963, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31532677369325735, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31532677369325735, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459217496761056, "ret_p6m": -0.1209212940800729, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1209212940800729, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2361633239667612, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2361633239667612, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1152420298866883, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04587331016594154, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06570297760123289, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06570297760123289, "price_path": [0.2457, 0.2225, 0.2716, 0.2069, 0.2111, 0.2217, 0.2203, 0.1793, 0.1793, 0.2086, 0.224, 0.1967, 0.2173, 0.2226, 0.2134, 0.2386, 0.2482, 0.2741, 0.2572, 0.2739, 0.2605, 0.2812, 0.2547, 0.2217, 0.2171, 0.2365, 0.1919, 0.1889, 0.247, 0.2476, 0.281, 0.32, 0.3399, 0.3683, 0.3269, 0.3447, 0.3194, 0.2706, 0.2631, 0.2267, 0.2125, 0.1791, 0.1607, 0.2079, 0.2186, 0.1749, 0.2008, 0.206, 0.253, 0.2378, 0.2044, 0.1593, 0.1958, 0.1618, 0.0975, 0.1309, 0.099, 0.1301, 0.1553, 0.12, 0.1054, 0.067, 0.0264, 0.0, 0.0107, -0.0263, -0.0603, -0.0793, -0.0294, -0.0488, -0.0205, -0.0205, -0.0106, -0.0691, -0.0083, 0.0123, 0.0079, -0.0271, -0.0111, 0.0144, 0.0075, 0.0, -0.0173, -0.066, -0.0459, -0.0651, -0.0795, -0.042, -0.0386, -0.047, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0478, -0.0522, -0.0436, -0.047, -0.047, -0.0223, 0.0261, 0.0067, -0.0107, -0.0111, -0.018, -0.0044, 0.0282, 0.0641, 0.0365, 0.0411, 0.0411, -0.0257, -0.019, -0.0274, -0.0269, -0.047, -0.0282, -0.0305, -0.0864, -0.0885, -0.1512, -0.1689, -0.2021, -0.3071, -0.2384, -0.2301, -0.252, -0.2651, -0.2889, -0.252, -0.252, -0.2631, -0.2795, -0.2693, -0.2626, -0.2985, -0.2988, -0.247, -0.2656, -0.2862, -0.2477, -0.2572, -0.2046, -0.2248, -0.2591, -0.2489, -0.2378, -0.2309, -0.2332, -0.2251, -0.195, -0.1887, -0.2273, -0.2357, -0.2367, -0.2313, -0.2461, -0.229, -0.2549, -0.2821, -0.2768, -0.2626, -0.2583, -0.2712, -0.2712, -0.2415, -0.2495, -0.2242, -0.2148, -0.2023, -0.2017, -0.1914, -0.1831, -0.1798, -0.1566, -0.1699, -0.1841, -0.1411, -0.1545, -0.1551, -0.1639, -0.1695, -0.1795, -0.1685, -0.1464, -0.1286, -0.1117, -0.1134, -0.1286, -0.1276, -0.1081, -0.1209]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999978820275986777", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-13T23:04:43+00:00", "symbol": "DEO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "LONG DEO.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Declares a long position in Diageo (DEO).", "resolved_tickers": ["DEO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Geiger_Capital LONG DEO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Have yourself a Saturday. 🤝 https://t.co/nJ9iLQWYw3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Geiger_Capital", "ret_m1d": 0.0019118717267538887, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019118717267538887, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0003987773171481024, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0003987773171481024, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015130944096057863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005285727322891676, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005285727322891676, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008018102625271029, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008018102625271029, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002732375302379353, "ret_p1w": -0.023054347683840182, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023054347683840182, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03204992312348909, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03204992312348909, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008995575439648906, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008995575439648906, "ret_p1m": 0.011358563395664545, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011358563395664545, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010808807609805182, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010808807609805182, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167371005469727, "ret_p3m": -0.1368645355681375, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1368645355681375, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11820529795364287, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11820529795364287, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "bench_c_p3m": -0.018659237614494617, "ret_p6m": -0.08657424913317935, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08657424913317935, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17547399254809526, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.17547399254809526, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08889974341491591, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011358563395664545, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.010808807609805182, "alpha_c_stated": -0.010808807609805182, "price_path": [0.0855, 0.0762, 0.07, 0.0518, 0.0557, 0.0461, 0.0262, 0.0318, 0.0412, 0.0458, 0.058, 0.0559, 0.055, 0.0343, 0.051, 0.0495, 0.0456, 0.0486, 0.0482, 0.039, 0.0435, 0.0813, 0.098, 0.1018, 0.1016, 0.1001, 0.0894, 0.0822, 0.0711, 0.0577, 0.0314, 0.0234, 0.0356, 0.0511, 0.0466, 0.056, -0.0187, 0.0211, 0.0689, 0.0946, 0.0908, 0.0802, 0.0639, 0.0458, 0.0258, -0.0028, -0.0021, 0.0346, 0.0209, 0.0253, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0303, 0.0386, 0.0319, 0.0353, 0.0064, -0.0052, -0.011, -0.0396, -0.0321, -0.0127, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0053, 0.0099, -0.006, 0.0027, -0.0231, -0.0394, -0.0367, -0.0367, -0.0292, -0.0299, -0.0261, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0206, 0.0071, -0.0046, -0.0427, -0.0222, -0.0055, 0.0222, 0.0114, 0.0276, 0.0048, -0.004, -0.004, 0.0001, 0.022, 0.0254, 0.0289, 0.0097, -0.0017, -0.0019, 0.0238, 0.0436, 0.0345, 0.0471, 0.0938, 0.092, 0.0895, 0.092, 0.1143, 0.1337, 0.1252, 0.1153, 0.1153, 0.0847, 0.0703, 0.085, 0.1288, 0.1233, 0.1487, -0.0312, -0.0382, 0.0065, -0.0269, -0.054, -0.0749, -0.0743, -0.0801, -0.077, -0.0851, -0.1039, -0.1369, -0.1299, -0.1352, -0.1362, -0.1544, -0.161, -0.1693, -0.1663, -0.185, -0.1672, -0.1707, -0.167, -0.174, -0.1627, -0.1607, -0.1754, -0.1754, -0.1572, -0.1664, -0.133, -0.1168, -0.129, -0.1087, -0.0947, -0.1041, -0.0999, -0.0699, -0.0667, -0.0731, -0.0918, -0.0984, -0.0993, -0.1026, -0.1032, -0.1208, -0.0838, -0.0946, -0.1082, -0.0874, -0.0389, -0.0523, -0.0424, -0.0684, -0.0786, -0.0834, -0.0846, -0.072, -0.0483, -0.0425, -0.0331, -0.0233, -0.0216, -0.0216, -0.0343, -0.0167, -0.0391, -0.0633, -0.0927, -0.0994, -0.1063, -0.1033, -0.0863, -0.0885, -0.0866]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028125542311182360", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T15:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I want more Bitcoin and AI exposure through the next part of the cycle", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Wants to increase Bitcoin and AI-related equity exposure into the next part of the market cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ramahluwalia I trimmed STZ, CP, DEO, PEP, BMY, TGT, etc after nice moves ytd and now I want more Bitcoin and AI exposure through the next part of the cycle", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The hard question is this… markets will\nbottom in the next 1 to 14 days, and probably on the sooner side. \n\nYou’ll want to be fully long then. \n\nWhat to buy? Do you have a shopping list ready?\n\nOld themes or new themes?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ramahluwalia", "ret_m1d": -0.04207951805394994, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04207951805394994, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.041511318102634864, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.041511318102634864, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005681999513150737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005681999513150737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007011227255569463, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007011227255569463, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0018030236569162028, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0018030236569162028, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008814250912485666, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008814250912485666, "ret_p1w": -0.005430230837063621, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005430230837063621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006385395966776786, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006385395966776786, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815626803840407, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815626803840407, "ret_p1m": -0.007888511013301902, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007888511013301902, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.042031198114093726, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.042031198114093726, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991970912739563, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991970912739563, "ret_p3m": 0.0692205624044322, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0692205624044322, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03317289496443543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03317289496443543, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239345736886762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239345736886762, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.007888511013301902, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.042031198114093726, "alpha_c_stated": 0.042031198114093726, "price_path": [0.3599, 0.3397, 0.2997, 0.3179, 0.3477, 0.338, 0.3451, 0.3125, 0.2565, 0.2773, 0.2525, 0.2426, 0.281, 0.2866, 0.271, 0.2739, 0.2684, 0.2694, 0.267, 0.2858, 0.2724, 0.2902, 0.3078, 0.3651, 0.3628, 0.3276, 0.3235, 0.3161, 0.3259, 0.386, 0.4094, 0.3893, 0.3889, 0.3457, 0.284, 0.2995, 0.3008, 0.3014, 0.2834, 0.2956, 0.2967, 0.2295, 0.2232, 0.1441, 0.0997, 0.0617, -0.0883, 0.0259, 0.0196, 0.0003, -0.0259, -0.0371, 0.0012, 0.001, -0.0186, -0.0342, -0.0264, -0.0112, -0.0605, -0.0683, -0.0119, -0.0192, -0.0421, 0.0, -0.007, 0.0572, 0.03, -0.0093, -0.0054, 0.0167, 0.0208, 0.025, 0.0319, 0.0885, 0.0748, 0.0359, 0.0165, 0.0254, 0.0311, 0.0253, 0.0368, 0.0002, -0.0354, -0.0303, -0.0079, -0.0101, -0.0274, -0.0268, 0.0012, 0.046, 0.0341, 0.0435, 0.0611, 0.083, 0.0786, 0.0877, 0.0927, 0.1214, 0.1032, 0.1102, 0.1371, 0.138, 0.1262, 0.1249, 0.1101, 0.1018, 0.1095, 0.1367, 0.1607, 0.1767, 0.184, 0.1633, 0.1659, 0.1883, 0.1701, 0.1527, 0.1785, 0.1496, 0.1189, 0.116, 0.1262, 0.1274, 0.0976, 0.1236, 0.1025, 0.081, 0.0692, 0.0668, 0.037, -0.0301, -0.0692, -0.0723, -0.1142, -0.0827, -0.1037, -0.1065, -0.0758, -0.0761, -0.0362, -0.0462, -0.0634, -0.0855, -0.0761, -0.0701, -0.0888, -0.1131, -0.1316, -0.1274, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028125542311182360", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-01T15:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "AI", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I want more Bitcoin and AI exposure through the next part of the cycle", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Wants to increase Bitcoin and AI-related equity exposure into the next part of the market cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["BOTZ", "IRBO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Broad AI sector ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ramahluwalia I trimmed STZ, CP, DEO, PEP, BMY, TGT, etc after nice moves ytd and now I want more Bitcoin and AI exposure through the next part of the cycle", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The hard question is this… markets will\nbottom in the next 1 to 14 days, and probably on the sooner side. \n\nYou’ll want to be fully long then. \n\nWhat to buy? Do you have a shopping list ready?\n\nOld themes or new themes?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ramahluwalia", "ret_m1d": 0.014918150130185492, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014918150130185492, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015486350081500566, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015486350081500566, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005681999513150737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005681999513150737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.041296270944079616, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041296270944079616, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03248202003159395, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03248202003159395, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008814250912485666, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008814250912485666, "ret_p1w": -0.041031617430831224, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041031617430831224, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029215990626990818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029215990626990818, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815626803840407, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815626803840407, "ret_p1m": -0.10528674383561432, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10528674383561432, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05536703470821869, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05536703470821869, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991970912739563, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991970912739563, "ret_p3m": 0.24584148810765794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24584148810765794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1434480307387903, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1434480307387903, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239345736886762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239345736886762, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10528674383561432, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.05536703470821869, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05536703470821869, "price_path": [-0.0534, -0.033, -0.0313, -0.0292, -0.0302, -0.0233, -0.0268, -0.0529, -0.0605, -0.0655, -0.0888, -0.0766, -0.0603, -0.0473, -0.0442, -0.0425, -0.0425, -0.0427, -0.0405, -0.0401, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0291, -0.0155, -0.0002, -0.0031, -0.0169, -0.0019, 0.0082, -0.0016, -0.0036, 0.0057, 0.0121, 0.0121, -0.0147, 0.0012, 0.0068, 0.0098, 0.0139, 0.0301, 0.0353, 0.0244, -0.0024, -0.0035, -0.0118, -0.0397, -0.0595, -0.0085, 0.0105, 0.0103, 0.0116, -0.0011, 0.0065, 0.0065, 0.0055, 0.0082, 0.0107, 0.0173, -0.0016, 0.0157, 0.0372, 0.0289, 0.0149, 0.0, -0.0413, -0.0259, -0.0391, -0.0534, -0.041, -0.0393, -0.0312, -0.057, -0.0656, -0.0448, -0.04, -0.0528, -0.048, -0.0881, -0.0666, -0.0782, -0.0649, -0.1028, -0.122, -0.1444, -0.1053, -0.0859, -0.0911, -0.0911, -0.085, -0.0848, -0.0373, -0.0377, -0.0195, 0.0051, 0.035, 0.0413, 0.0503, 0.0693, 0.0738, 0.0657, 0.0948, 0.0749, 0.1026, 0.1126, 0.0843, 0.088, 0.1155, 0.1261, 0.1296, 0.1516, 0.1925, 0.1765, 0.2184, 0.2257, 0.1944, 0.2147, 0.2159, 0.1769, 0.1585, 0.1395, 0.1694, 0.1921, 0.2071, 0.2071, 0.244, 0.2271, 0.2458, 0.2634, 0.3028, 0.33, 0.3179, 0.2994, 0.1952, 0.2318, 0.2039, 0.1521, 0.2041, 0.21, 0.2658, 0.2381, 0.2404, 0.2825, 0.2825, 0.2871, 0.2155, 0.2101, 0.2185, 0.1861, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2067712966057963776", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-18T20:56:02+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "YOU WERE WARNED from $2", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses CIFR bullish thesis, implying strong upside from $2 entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Alleyesonmela1 YOU WERE WARNED from $2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If $cifr keeps executing they have a legit shot at $100-$150 a share this or next year. They will achieve the landlord premium and use proceeds to keep buying land and power. Insane business model. \n\nLONG IT.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alleyesonmela1", "ret_m1d": 0.0369581001451591, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0369581001451591, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.033801185705559345, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04183964222709802, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003156914439599756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004881542081938917, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017768301735782144, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017768301735782144, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0032463477252905326, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02365762440484709, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014521954010491611, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04142592614062923, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4357, -0.49, -0.5115, -0.573, -0.5426, -0.5508, -0.5444, -0.5444, -0.5256, -0.5021, -0.452, -0.4186, -0.4126, -0.3689, -0.3443, -0.3603, -0.3838, -0.3117, -0.3145, -0.3589, -0.3092, -0.3358, -0.3532, -0.3547, -0.3866, -0.3987, -0.3696, -0.3945, -0.3643, -0.2146, -0.2214, -0.2649, -0.2697, -0.2793, -0.2871, -0.2452, -0.2079, -0.2775, -0.3205, -0.3319, -0.3077, -0.2353, -0.2193, -0.2193, -0.1819, -0.1059, -0.1262, -0.1596, -0.1468, -0.0657, -0.0675, -0.092, -0.2022, -0.1368, -0.1814, -0.253, -0.1958, -0.1294, -0.075, -0.0686, -0.0636, 0.037, 0.037, 0.0, -0.0178, -0.0682, -0.0874, -0.0782, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2065175160341328369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-11T20:51:41+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased an additional 280,000 shares of BKKT via my affiliated entity Alpine Fox LP", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author discloses purchase of 280K additional BKKT shares; affiliated entity Alpine Fox LP now holds 905K shares as 4th largest institutional shareholder.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased an additional 280,000 shares of BKKT via my affiliated entity Alpine Fox LP. Alpine Fox LP now holds 905,000 shares in total and has become the 4th largest institutional shareholder in the company.  See SEC Form 4 filing here: https://t.co/ADd32fLoVX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009489907569390832, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009489907569390832, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0041107514775072795, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0041107514775072795, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005379156091883552, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005379156091883552, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06287066592936963, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06287066592936963, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04523669603561631, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04523669603561631, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01763396989375332, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01763396989375332, "ret_p1w": 0.09371292209420079, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09371292209420079, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08439204343820772, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08439204343820772, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00932087865599307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00932087865599307, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1423, 0.0593, 0.0676, 0.0142, 0.051, -0.019, -0.0059, -0.0546, -0.1317, -0.1756, -0.1269, -0.1412, -0.1257, -0.1257, -0.0949, -0.0949, -0.0569, -0.0047, -0.0356, 0.0344, 0.0652, 0.0961, 0.134, 0.0902, 0.0641, 0.0285, 0.083, 0.0297, 0.0474, 0.0676, 0.0178, -0.0676, 0.0225, 0.0166, 0.0629, 0.0783, 0.0842, 0.0142, 0.1684, 0.1767, 0.0522, -0.0486, 0.0297, -0.0178, 0.0344, 0.1483, 0.2076, 0.4614, 0.4093, 0.4093, 0.4009, 0.363, 0.3049, 0.2894, 0.2456, 0.1625, 0.0581, 0.089, -0.0712, -0.038, -0.0866, -0.089, -0.0095, 0.0, 0.0629, 0.0391, 0.0688, 0.0937, 0.0937, 0.0735, 0.0522, -0.0166, -0.0712, 0.0012, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2062521898689515837", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-04T13:08:35+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This Bitcoin and crypto selloff is clearly a bit overdone at this point. I think we bounce soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects near-term bounce in Bitcoin, crypto broadly, and crypto equities as leveraged shorts set up a violent reversal.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This Bitcoin and crypto selloff is clearly a bit overdone at this point. Shorts are pressing their bets with leverage which is always a good sign because it makes the reversals more violent. Some crypto equities look like they don’t want to go much lower. I think we bounce soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0033352306954121946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0033352306954121946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007099691742191827, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007099691742191827, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0037644610467796324, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0037644610467796324, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04512280904119048, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04512280904119048, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019313437792264798, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019313437792264798, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.025809371248925683, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025809371248925683, "ret_p1w": -0.003769805591714026, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003769805591714026, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0217621715549563, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0217621715549563, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025531977146670326, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025531977146670326, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003769805591714026, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0217621715549563, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0217621715549563, "price_path": [0.0721, 0.096, 0.1004, 0.1049, 0.1123, 0.1733, 0.1586, 0.1167, 0.0958, 0.1053, 0.1115, 0.1053, 0.1177, 0.0782, 0.0398, 0.0453, 0.0695, 0.067, 0.0484, 0.0491, 0.0793, 0.1276, 0.1148, 0.1249, 0.1438, 0.1674, 0.1627, 0.1725, 0.1779, 0.2089, 0.1892, 0.1967, 0.2257, 0.2268, 0.214, 0.2126, 0.1967, 0.1877, 0.196, 0.2253, 0.2512, 0.2684, 0.2763, 0.254, 0.2568, 0.281, 0.2614, 0.2426, 0.2704, 0.2392, 0.2061, 0.203, 0.214, 0.2153, 0.1832, 0.2113, 0.1885, 0.1652, 0.1526, 0.15, 0.1178, 0.0455, 0.0033, 0.0, -0.0451, -0.0111, -0.0338, -0.0369, -0.0038, -0.004, 0.039, 0.0282, 0.0097, -0.0142, -0.0041, 0.0024, -0.0178, -0.044, -0.0639, -0.0593, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2062521898689515837", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-04T13:08:35+00:00", "symbol": "crypto equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Some crypto equities look like they don't want to go much lower. I think we bounce soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects near-term bounce in Bitcoin, crypto broadly, and crypto equities as leveraged shorts set up a violent reversal.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR", "COIN", "MARA", "RIOT", "CLSK"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Crypto equity basket: treasury, exchange, miners", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This Bitcoin and crypto selloff is clearly a bit overdone at this point. Shorts are pressing their bets with leverage which is always a good sign because it makes the reversals more violent. Some crypto equities look like they don’t want to go much lower. I think we bounce soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006887529377991508, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006887529377991508, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01065199042477114, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03217971877829171, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0037644610467796324, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025292189400300202, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08521954289874485, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08521954289874485, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05941017164981917, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08732721312401355, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.025809371248925683, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0021076702252686985, "ret_p1w": -0.03960667174469092, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03960667174469092, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014074694598020597, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04784583961433477, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.025531977146670326, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008239167869643849, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.03960667174469092, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014074694598020597, "alpha_c_stated": -0.04784583961433477, "price_path": [-0.1954, -0.2016, -0.1962, -0.2066, -0.193, -0.1669, -0.151, -0.1873, -0.1861, -0.2183, -0.1899, -0.2314, -0.2158, -0.2468, -0.2968, -0.3203, -0.2853, -0.2894, -0.2819, -0.2819, -0.2552, -0.2549, -0.2164, -0.2124, -0.2188, -0.1787, -0.1455, -0.1275, -0.1005, -0.0495, -0.035, -0.082, -0.0207, -0.0438, -0.0369, -0.0586, -0.0873, -0.1277, -0.0678, -0.0482, -0.0092, 0.0131, 0.0632, 0.0383, 0.0662, 0.1147, 0.0604, 0.0448, 0.0848, 0.019, -0.0071, 0.0094, 0.0348, 0.052, 0.0402, 0.0402, 0.0664, 0.0678, 0.0774, 0.0989, 0.0979, 0.0366, 0.0069, 0.0, -0.0852, -0.0233, -0.0633, -0.0993, -0.0396, -0.0206, 0.024, 0.0093, -0.0186, -0.0121, -0.0121, 0.0005, -0.0211, -0.0768, -0.1032, -0.079, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2044066329343426643", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-14T14:52:44+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin on a mission to re-take $100,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Melt-up conditions in place: VIX falling, DXY retreating, oil equities declining, yields softening, BTC targeting $100K.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Everything is falling in to place. VIX back at 18 and dropping hard. DXY pulling back towards 98. Oil equities in full scale retreat. The 10 year yield is softening. Bitcoin on a mission to re-take $100,000. All the conditions are in play for a major springtime melt-up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004084991584209607, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004084991584209607, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01612318488682951, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01612318488682951, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012038193302619904, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012038193302619904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008404626904874313, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008404626904874313, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005136576778304036, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005136576778304036, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007890969227043909, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007890969227043909, "ret_p1w": 0.029268225383523472, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029268225383523472, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015415742706065938, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015415742706065938, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013852482677457534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013852482677457534, "ret_p1m": 0.06868963689829632, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06868963689829632, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00021273829639389952, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.00021273829639389952, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890237519469022, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890237519469022, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.06868963689829632, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.00021273829639389952, "alpha_c_stated": -0.00021273829639389952, "price_path": [0.2881, 0.2877, 0.2477, 0.1905, 0.2048, 0.206, 0.2066, 0.1899, 0.2011, 0.2022, 0.1399, 0.1341, 0.0608, 0.0196, -0.0157, -0.1547, -0.0489, -0.0547, -0.0726, -0.0969, -0.1073, -0.0718, -0.072, -0.0901, -0.1046, -0.0974, -0.0833, -0.1289, -0.1362, -0.0839, -0.0907, -0.1119, -0.0729, -0.0794, -0.0198, -0.045, -0.0815, -0.0779, -0.0574, -0.0536, -0.0497, -0.0433, 0.0092, -0.0035, -0.0396, -0.0575, -0.0493, -0.044, -0.0494, -0.0387, -0.0727, -0.1057, -0.101, -0.0802, -0.0823, -0.0983, -0.0977, -0.0717, -0.0302, -0.0412, -0.0325, -0.0162, 0.0041, 0.0, 0.0084, 0.0131, 0.0397, 0.0228, 0.0293, 0.0542, 0.0551, 0.0441, 0.0429, 0.0292, 0.0215, 0.0286, 0.0539, 0.0761, 0.0909, 0.0977, 0.0786, 0.081, 0.1017, 0.0849, 0.0687, 0.0926, 0.0658, 0.0374, 0.0346, 0.0442, 0.0453, 0.0176, 0.0418, 0.0222, 0.0022, -0.0087, -0.0109, -0.0386, -0.1008, -0.1371, -0.1399, -0.1787, -0.1495, -0.169, -0.1716, -0.1432, -0.1434, -0.1064, -0.1157, -0.1316, -0.1521, -0.1434, -0.1379, -0.1552, -0.1778, -0.1949, -0.191, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2044066329343426643", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-14T14:52:44+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil equities in full scale retreat", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Melt-up conditions in place: VIX falling, DXY retreating, oil equities declining, yields softening, BTC targeting $100K.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Oil commodity ETF USO", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Everything is falling in to place. VIX back at 18 and dropping hard. DXY pulling back towards 98. Oil equities in full scale retreat. The 10 year yield is softening. Bitcoin on a mission to re-take $100,000. All the conditions are in play for a major springtime melt-up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03730321197821729, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03730321197821729, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04934140528083719, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04934140528083719, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012038193302619904, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012038193302619904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010173614467130943, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010173614467130943, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01806458369417485, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01806458369417485, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007890969227043909, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007890969227043909, "ret_p1w": 0.03552685975041259, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03552685975041259, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021674377072955053, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021674377072955053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013852482677457534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013852482677457534, "ret_p1m": 0.14687117509987369, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14687117509987369, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07796879990518346, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07796879990518346, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890237519469022, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890237519469022, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.14687117509987369, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07796879990518346, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07796879990518346, "price_path": [-0.4257, -0.4215, -0.4215, -0.4198, -0.4078, -0.4201, -0.4029, -0.4067, -0.3891, -0.3813, -0.361, -0.3579, -0.3918, -0.3745, -0.3712, -0.3808, -0.3784, -0.37, -0.37, -0.363, -0.3833, -0.3846, -0.3846, -0.3885, -0.3589, -0.3444, -0.3472, -0.3468, -0.3479, -0.3562, -0.3559, -0.3383, -0.296, -0.2717, -0.2607, -0.2224, -0.1218, -0.1576, -0.1453, -0.1276, -0.0441, -0.032, -0.0712, -0.0405, -0.0176, -0.0524, -0.0195, -0.1073, -0.0752, -0.0845, -0.0532, 0.0028, 0.0483, 0.0275, 0.0019, 0.1136, 0.1136, 0.1218, 0.1149, 0.0059, 0.0251, 0.0078, 0.0373, 0.0, -0.0102, 0.0161, -0.0631, -0.0204, 0.0355, 0.0448, 0.0878, 0.069, 0.0878, 0.1272, 0.2162, 0.1876, 0.153, 0.1918, 0.1641, 0.0816, 0.0898, 0.0786, 0.1196, 0.1651, 0.1469, 0.1546, 0.1969, 0.2054, 0.235, 0.1649, 0.1509, 0.1378, 0.1378, 0.1062, 0.058, 0.056, 0.0423, 0.0941, 0.1084, 0.1373, 0.1041, 0.074, 0.0912, 0.0602, 0.0844, 0.0402, 0.0128, -0.0213, -0.0677, -0.0777, -0.0725, -0.0725, -0.0901, -0.1017, -0.1418, -0.1174, -0.1483, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030440675737796642", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T00:29:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The first Bitcoin bull market since 2021 started on February 6, 2026. Strap in. The next bull market could be more like 2017. DO NOT F IT UP.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bitcoin bull market has started; expects 2017-style run from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The first Bitcoin bull market since 2021 started on February 6, 2026. Strap in. The next bull market could be more like 2017. DO NOT F IT UP.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003887154424559225, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003887154424559225, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004796736546978653, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004796736546978653, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683890971537878, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683890971537878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022287806357257578, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022287806357257578, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023894821933747257, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023894821933747257, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016070155764896787, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016070155764896787, "ret_p1w": 0.09442219495049109, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09442219495049109, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10804500820295981, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10804500820295981, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622813252468724, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622813252468724, "ret_p1m": 0.05172802710980129, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05172802710980129, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07715992611569333, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07715992611569333, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431899005892045, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431899005892045, "ret_p3m": -0.06726094040263808, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06726094040263808, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1865168028115638, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1865168028115638, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11925586240892572, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11925586240892572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05172802710980129, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07715992611569333, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07715992611569333, "price_path": [0.3453, 0.3525, 0.3197, 0.2634, 0.2842, 0.2594, 0.2494, 0.288, 0.2937, 0.2779, 0.2808, 0.2753, 0.2763, 0.2739, 0.2928, 0.2793, 0.2972, 0.3149, 0.3725, 0.3703, 0.3349, 0.3308, 0.3232, 0.3332, 0.3935, 0.417, 0.3969, 0.3965, 0.3531, 0.2911, 0.3066, 0.3079, 0.3085, 0.2904, 0.3026, 0.3038, 0.2362, 0.2299, 0.1504, 0.1057, 0.0675, -0.0833, 0.0315, 0.0251, 0.0057, -0.0206, -0.0319, 0.0067, 0.0064, -0.0133, -0.0289, -0.0211, -0.0058, -0.0553, -0.0632, -0.0065, -0.0139, -0.0368, 0.0055, -0.0016, 0.063, 0.0357, -0.0039, 0.0, 0.0223, 0.0264, 0.0306, 0.0375, 0.0944, 0.0807, 0.0416, 0.0221, 0.031, 0.0367, 0.0309, 0.0425, 0.0057, -0.0302, -0.025, -0.0025, -0.0047, -0.0221, -0.0215, 0.0067, 0.0517, 0.0398, 0.0492, 0.0669, 0.0889, 0.0845, 0.0936, 0.0987, 0.1275, 0.1092, 0.1162, 0.1433, 0.1442, 0.1323, 0.1311, 0.1162, 0.1078, 0.1155, 0.1429, 0.167, 0.1831, 0.1904, 0.1697, 0.1723, 0.1948, 0.1765, 0.159, 0.1849, 0.1559, 0.125, 0.1221, 0.1324, 0.1336, 0.1036, 0.1298, 0.1085, 0.0869, 0.0751, 0.0727, 0.0427, -0.0248, -0.0642, -0.0673, -0.1093, -0.0777, -0.0988, -0.1016, -0.0708, -0.071, -0.0309, -0.041, -0.0582, -0.0805, -0.0711, -0.0651, -0.0838, -0.1083, -0.1269, -0.1226, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035354104139309470", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-21T13:53:28+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN positions itself to make a run at being one of the largest companies on the planet. There are no guarantees of anything in life but IREN has all the right ingredients. Let's freaking go.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish IREN; author sees it becoming one of the largest companies in the world with all the right ingredients.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Most can't see it yet but I am watching up close as IREN positions itself to make a run at being one of the largest companies on the planet. There are no guarantees of anything in life but IREN has all the right ingredients. Let's freaking go.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020635648364172532, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020635648364172532, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010244761361053789, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01168504261465475, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008950605749517782, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02466795349362838, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02466795349362838, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021311139016450875, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024870894285962897, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00020294079233451612, "ret_p1w": -0.2499999773796414, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2499999773796414, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21428022955902182, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.23153034519273452, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018469632186906892, "ret_p1m": 0.07139464735358536, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07139464735358536, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002913434490989353, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009896827762821747, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "bench_c_p1m": 0.061497819590763614, "ret_p3m": 0.4222011219516917, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4222011219516917, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.279865726961106, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3349269469988587, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08727417495283296, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0043, -0.0043, -0.0441, -0.0652, -0.0916, -0.1041, -0.1041, 0.0128, 0.1442, 0.0889, 0.0347, 0.0835, 0.0918, 0.1938, 0.2569, 0.2543, 0.2308, 0.3714, 0.3714, 0.287, 0.2685, 0.2396, 0.3444, 0.2419, 0.4229, 0.4929, 0.4194, 0.2747, 0.259, 0.2901, 0.0659, -0.0562, -0.0078, 0.0946, 0.0183, 0.0121, -0.0505, 0.0014, 0.0014, -0.0282, -0.0019, 0.0268, -0.0517, 0.0047, 0.078, 0.0444, 0.0493, -0.0287, -0.0183, -0.0785, 0.0398, -0.0483, -0.1295, -0.0787, -0.0958, -0.0043, -0.0187, -0.0138, 0.0659, 0.019, 0.0012, -0.0119, -0.0206, 0.0, -0.0247, -0.0173, -0.1117, -0.1677, -0.25, -0.1869, -0.1914, -0.1753, -0.1753, -0.1667, -0.1523, -0.1264, -0.121, -0.0674, 0.0216, 0.1236, 0.158, 0.1314, 0.1414, 0.1556, 0.0714, 0.1478, 0.2339, 0.2011, 0.1471, 0.0541, 0.0166, 0.0795, 0.083, 0.1736, 0.2984, 0.4464, 0.3484, 0.4516, 0.3081, 0.3416, 0.3086, 0.3852, 0.2557, 0.1969, 0.1324, 0.2502, 0.3771, 0.348, 0.348, 0.4179, 0.6091, 0.5192, 0.5071, 0.5496, 0.5797, 0.5531, 0.4673, 0.2891, 0.4039, 0.2813, 0.222, 0.3451, 0.4177, 0.4433, 0.4037, 0.3783, 0.4222, 0.4222, 0.3489, 0.2979, 0.1931, 0.1324, 0.1198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049494105470959726", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T14:20:47+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MSTR is the gold standard and I will continue to hold it personally", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds MSTR long-term; also bullish ASST for potentially higher return due to small size and ability to beat expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheStockGuyTy @phongle No. I told him MSTR is the gold standard and I will continue to hold it personally but that I thought ASST has the possibility of providing a higher return due largely to its smaller size and ability to shock consensus expectations.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @phongle dang did @phongle convince you to pick up some $MSTR? Or still going with the $ASST participation trophy?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ty_Bitcoin", "ret_m1d": 0.0475377973095763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0475377973095763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04738326410776961, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04738326410776961, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015453320180669472, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00015453320180669472, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04589414245394585, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04589414245394585, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.035944508926381014, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035944508926381014, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949633527564838, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009949633527564838, "ret_p1w": 0.18098491965961694, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18098491965961694, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14971649789594155, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14971649789594155, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126842176367539, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03126842176367539, "ret_p1m": -0.04140592294499734, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04140592294499734, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10186288888809825, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10186288888809825, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.060456965943100904, "bench_c_p1m": 0.060456965943100904, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04140592294499734, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10186288888809825, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10186288888809825, "price_path": [-0.0536, -0.1173, -0.1576, -0.184, -0.3237, -0.147, -0.1248, -0.1592, -0.203, -0.2225, -0.1537, -0.1537, -0.1866, -0.2085, -0.1817, -0.1716, -0.218, -0.2123, -0.1425, -0.1567, -0.1814, -0.1298, -0.1613, -0.0743, -0.1162, -0.1559, -0.1216, -0.1247, -0.1255, -0.1318, -0.1171, -0.0675, -0.05, -0.1114, -0.1261, -0.1424, -0.1264, -0.1387, -0.1205, -0.1597, -0.2033, -0.2323, -0.2111, -0.2238, -0.2425, -0.2425, -0.1928, -0.2179, -0.1889, -0.1854, -0.1868, -0.1633, -0.1314, -0.0926, -0.0585, 0.0527, 0.0798, 0.0365, 0.1338, 0.0903, 0.0811, 0.0696, 0.0475, 0.0, 0.0459, 0.12, 0.1619, 0.1815, 0.181, 0.1369, 0.1859, 0.2386, 0.1658, 0.1254, 0.1819, 0.1216, 0.0534, 0.0407, 0.0482, 0.0421, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.011, -0.0252, -0.0414, 0.0057, -0.0532, -0.1398, -0.2, -0.1822, -0.2386, -0.1959, -0.2603, -0.2708, -0.2405, -0.2163, -0.171, -0.2237, -0.2632, -0.2886, -0.2886, -0.308, -0.3436, -0.405, -0.4606, -0.4797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049494105470959726", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-29T14:20:47+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ASST has the possibility of providing a higher return due largely to its smaller size and ability to shock consensus expectations", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds MSTR long-term; also bullish ASST for potentially higher return due to small size and ability to beat expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheStockGuyTy @phongle No. I told him MSTR is the gold standard and I will continue to hold it personally but that I thought ASST has the possibility of providing a higher return due largely to its smaller size and ability to shock consensus expectations.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @phongle dang did @phongle convince you to pick up some $MSTR? Or still going with the $ASST participation trophy?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ty_Bitcoin", "ret_m1d": 0.06037473246159153, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06037473246159153, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060220199259784835, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06172295875805012, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015453320180669472, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013482262964585878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06592642743405341, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06592642743405341, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.055976793906488576, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06188167481470397, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949633527564838, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004044752619349445, "ret_p1w": 0.12977105198021444, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12977105198021444, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09850263021653904, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13131186096760328, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126842176367539, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001540808987388842, "ret_p1m": 0.2352532564569907, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2352532564569907, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17479629051388978, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24777245850697882, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.060456965943100904, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012519202049988132, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.2352532564569907, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.17479629051388978, "alpha_c_stated": 0.24777245850697882, "price_path": [0.1395, 0.0035, -0.0534, -0.1783, -0.3158, -0.1731, -0.296, -0.3629, -0.4386, -0.4656, -0.4219, -0.4219, -0.4323, -0.4414, -0.4365, -0.4344, -0.4892, -0.5028, -0.4074, -0.4316, -0.449, -0.3942, -0.4219, -0.3324, -0.3581, -0.3963, -0.4094, -0.3768, -0.3595, -0.3872, -0.3387, -0.2464, -0.2297, -0.3036, -0.288, -0.3046, -0.2755, -0.3109, -0.2471, -0.2776, -0.3161, -0.3498, -0.3046, -0.2949, -0.3234, -0.3234, -0.2977, -0.357, -0.2887, -0.331, -0.2623, -0.1964, -0.1374, -0.0611, -0.0298, 0.0833, 0.084, 0.0625, 0.1561, 0.1242, 0.0965, 0.0888, 0.0604, 0.0, 0.0659, 0.1319, 0.135, 0.1457, 0.1298, 0.0729, 0.1048, 0.2457, 0.1846, 0.1617, 0.229, 0.1652, 0.0958, 0.1214, 0.1783, 0.2859, 0.2637, 0.2637, 0.2561, 0.2366, 0.2353, 0.2262, 0.1936, 0.1187, 0.0229, 0.0423, -0.034, 0.0555, -0.0139, 0.0014, 0.0118, 0.0514, 0.1568, 0.0958, 0.0715, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.0278, -0.0319, -0.1291, -0.2089, -0.213, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035911821870444979", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-23T02:49:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "completely foolish to be bearish unless you're 100% certain you will die in the next few months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long crypto/BTC long-term; global money printing post-war makes being bearish foolish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@VinnyLingham You just explained why it’s completely foolish to bearish unless you’re 100% certain you will die in the next few months", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m not sure when this war ends, but when it does, they’re going to have to print money like they’ve never printed before on a global scale…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VinnyLingham", "ret_m1d": -0.0055316113006111944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0055316113006111944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004859275702507548, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004859275702507548, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390887003118743, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005598262529164066, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005598262529164066, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002241448051986561, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002241448051986561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568144771775055, "ret_p1w": -0.05955612264795529, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05955612264795529, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023836374827335693, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023836374827335693, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719747820619596, "ret_p1m": 0.0766822935337732, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0766822935337732, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.002374211689198491, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.002374211689198491, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430808184457471, "ret_p3m": -0.11307061438771981, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11307061438771981, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2554060093783055, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2554060093783055, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14233539499058567, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2355, 0.2301, 0.2311, 0.2288, 0.247, 0.234, 0.2512, 0.2683, 0.3239, 0.3217, 0.2876, 0.2836, 0.2764, 0.286, 0.3442, 0.3668, 0.3474, 0.347, 0.3051, 0.2453, 0.2603, 0.2615, 0.2621, 0.2447, 0.2565, 0.2576, 0.1924, 0.1863, 0.1096, 0.0665, 0.0297, -0.1158, -0.0051, -0.0112, -0.0299, -0.0553, -0.0662, -0.029, -0.0292, -0.0482, -0.0633, -0.0558, -0.041, -0.0888, -0.0964, -0.0417, -0.0488, -0.071, -0.0302, -0.037, 0.0253, -0.001, -0.0392, -0.0354, -0.0139, -0.01, -0.0059, 0.0008, 0.0556, 0.0424, 0.0047, -0.0141, -0.0055, 0.0, -0.0056, 0.0056, -0.0299, -0.0645, -0.0596, -0.0378, -0.04, -0.0568, -0.0562, -0.029, 0.0145, 0.0029, 0.012, 0.0291, 0.0503, 0.0461, 0.0549, 0.0598, 0.0876, 0.0699, 0.0767, 0.1028, 0.1037, 0.0922, 0.091, 0.0767, 0.0686, 0.076, 0.1024, 0.1257, 0.1412, 0.1482, 0.1283, 0.1307, 0.1525, 0.1348, 0.1179, 0.1429, 0.1149, 0.0852, 0.0823, 0.0923, 0.0934, 0.0645, 0.0898, 0.0693, 0.0484, 0.037, 0.0347, 0.0057, -0.0594, -0.0973, -0.1003, -0.1409, -0.1103, -0.1307, -0.1335, -0.1037, -0.104, -0.0652, -0.0749, -0.0916, -0.1131, -0.104, -0.0982, -0.1163, -0.1399, -0.1578, -0.1537, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2053104741648109885", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-09T13:28:09+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is. Not 100% your fault. There has been a lot of false information spread by crypto founders and VCs and you had to be smart to see through it.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin as the only legitimate asset in the space; dismisses broader crypto as noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@andyperbonie Crypto was never a serious industry. Bitcoin is. Not 100% your fault. There has been a lot of false information spread by crypto founders and VCs and you had to be smart to see through it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Dejé crypto, por fin. \n\nDespués de meses pensándolo, por fin tomé la decisión. \n\nObviamente seguiré usándolo para lo realmente importante: solucionar barreras de pago, inversión a largo plazo, intereses más altos y merch cool. \n\nDesde hace un tiempo para acá la industria ha https://t.co/I2CpTq6plJ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "andyperbonie", "ret_m1d": -0.018861658800472858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018861658800472858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016589271263956484, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016589271263956484, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022723875365163737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022723875365163737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015304426194186482, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015304426194186482, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01378947357959992, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01378947357959992, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149526145865622, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015149526145865622, "ret_p1w": -0.05841459057077658, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05841459057077658, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05753539990956591, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05753539990956591, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791906612106715, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008791906612106715, "ret_p1m": -0.2457473897408926, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2457473897408926, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24270399288323363, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24270399288323363, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0030433968576589754, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0030433968576589754, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2457473897408926, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24270399288323363, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24270399288323363, "price_path": [-0.1803, -0.1897, -0.1575, -0.1577, -0.1742, -0.1872, -0.1807, -0.1679, -0.2094, -0.2159, -0.1685, -0.1747, -0.1939, -0.1585, -0.1644, -0.1103, -0.1332, -0.1663, -0.1631, -0.1444, -0.141, -0.1375, -0.1317, -0.084, -0.0955, -0.1283, -0.1446, -0.1371, -0.1323, -0.1372, -0.1275, -0.1583, -0.1883, -0.184, -0.1651, -0.167, -0.1816, -0.1811, -0.1575, -0.1198, -0.1298, -0.1219, -0.1071, -0.0886, -0.0923, -0.0847, -0.0805, -0.0563, -0.0716, -0.0658, -0.0431, -0.0423, -0.0523, -0.0534, -0.0658, -0.0728, -0.0664, -0.0434, -0.0233, -0.0098, -0.0037, -0.021, -0.0189, 0.0, -0.0153, -0.03, -0.0083, -0.0326, -0.0584, -0.0609, -0.0523, -0.0513, -0.0764, -0.0544, -0.0722, -0.0903, -0.1002, -0.1022, -0.1274, -0.1838, -0.2167, -0.2193, -0.2546, -0.228, -0.2457, -0.2481, -0.2223, -0.2225, -0.1889, -0.1973, -0.2118, -0.2304, -0.2225, -0.2175, -0.2332, -0.2537, -0.2693, -0.2657, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2067735425142427860", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-18T22:25:16+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It has been my largest position, non-stop, without interruption, since January 2023.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CIFR has been author's largest position continuously since January 2023; ongoing long.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow It has been my largest position, non-stop, without interruption, since January 2023.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR has now taken over as my #2 largest position.\n\nThe last time I bought was in March 2025 for around $3.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.0369581001451591, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0369581001451591, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.033801185705559345, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04183964222709802, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003156914439599756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004881542081938917, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017768301735782144, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017768301735782144, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0032463477252905326, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02365762440484709, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014521954010491611, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04142592614062923, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4357, -0.49, -0.5115, -0.573, -0.5426, -0.5508, -0.5444, -0.5444, -0.5256, -0.5021, -0.452, -0.4186, -0.4126, -0.3689, -0.3443, -0.3603, -0.3838, -0.3117, -0.3145, -0.3589, -0.3092, -0.3358, -0.3532, -0.3547, -0.3866, -0.3987, -0.3696, -0.3945, -0.3643, -0.2146, -0.2214, -0.2649, -0.2697, -0.2793, -0.2871, -0.2452, -0.2079, -0.2775, -0.3205, -0.3319, -0.3077, -0.2353, -0.2193, -0.2193, -0.1819, -0.1059, -0.1262, -0.1596, -0.1468, -0.0657, -0.0675, -0.092, -0.2022, -0.1368, -0.1814, -0.253, -0.1958, -0.1294, -0.075, -0.0686, -0.0636, 0.037, 0.037, 0.0, -0.0178, -0.0682, -0.0874, -0.0782, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029914226937209021", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T13:37:20+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is now higher after initially moving below $70,000. Bad news is good news. The Fed is behind the curve. Lower rates and additional liquidity are on the way.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC: bad jobs news signals Fed rate cuts and liquidity expansion ahead, supporting crypto prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The US economy is shedding jobs. Bitcoin is now higher after initially moving below $70,000. Bad news is good news. The Fed is behind the curve. Lower rates and additional liquidity are on the way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0396943359669486, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0396943359669486, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026413127531753178, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026413127531753178, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281208435195424, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281208435195424, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0039023233580666172, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0039023233580666172, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004857638164246003, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004857638164246003, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996152231262, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00875996152231262, "ret_p1w": 0.04156030559523738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04156030559523738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05656664021405011, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05656664021405011, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006334618812733, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006334618812733, "ret_p1m": 0.010615984390706545, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010615984390706545, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.027943080963368838, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027943080963368838, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327096572662293, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327096572662293, "ret_p3m": -0.06049805130350139, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06049805130350139, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18530824772641985, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18530824772641985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481019642291846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12481019642291846, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.010615984390706545, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.027943080963368838, "alpha_c_stated": 0.027943080963368838, "price_path": [0.3604, 0.3505, 0.3577, 0.3248, 0.2683, 0.2892, 0.2643, 0.2543, 0.293, 0.2987, 0.2829, 0.2858, 0.2803, 0.2813, 0.2789, 0.2978, 0.2843, 0.3023, 0.3201, 0.3779, 0.3756, 0.3401, 0.336, 0.3284, 0.3384, 0.399, 0.4226, 0.4023, 0.402, 0.3584, 0.2961, 0.3117, 0.313, 0.3136, 0.2954, 0.3077, 0.3089, 0.2411, 0.2347, 0.1549, 0.11, 0.0717, -0.0798, 0.0355, 0.0291, 0.0096, -0.0168, -0.0281, 0.0106, 0.0104, -0.0094, -0.0251, -0.0173, -0.0019, -0.0517, -0.0595, -0.0026, -0.01, -0.0331, 0.0094, 0.0023, 0.0671, 0.0397, 0.0, 0.0039, 0.0263, 0.0304, 0.0346, 0.0416, 0.0987, 0.0849, 0.0456, 0.0261, 0.035, 0.0408, 0.0349, 0.0466, 0.0096, -0.0264, -0.0212, 0.0014, -0.0009, -0.0183, -0.0177, 0.0106, 0.0558, 0.0438, 0.0533, 0.0711, 0.0932, 0.0887, 0.0979, 0.103, 0.1319, 0.1135, 0.1206, 0.1477, 0.1487, 0.1368, 0.1355, 0.1206, 0.1121, 0.1199, 0.1474, 0.1716, 0.1877, 0.1951, 0.1743, 0.1769, 0.1995, 0.1811, 0.1635, 0.1895, 0.1604, 0.1294, 0.1264, 0.1368, 0.138, 0.1079, 0.1342, 0.1129, 0.0911, 0.0793, 0.0768, 0.0467, -0.021, -0.0605, -0.0636, -0.1059, -0.0741, -0.0953, -0.0981, -0.0672, -0.0674, -0.0271, -0.0372, -0.0546, -0.0769, -0.0674, -0.0614, -0.0803, -0.1048, -0.1235, -0.1192, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2057111291085660253", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-20T14:48:45+00:00", "symbol": "BBBY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am bullish and have purchased 160,000 shares in the open market", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BBBY; purchased 160,000 shares in open market after meeting CEO; confident in strategy for home space.", "resolved_tickers": ["BBBY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fantastic conversation with BBBY CEO @marcuslemonis. I think Marcus and his team have the right idea for how to build a really big business in the home space. I am bullish and have purchased 160,000 shares in the open market.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12927761893279133, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12927761893279133, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11913260058828068, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11913260058828068, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010145018344510648, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010145018344510648, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08935356839168085, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08935356839168085, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0873704806906137, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0873704806906137, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019830877010671433, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019830877010671433, "ret_p1w": 0.21673000320913216, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21673000320913216, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2043050366451531, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2043050366451531, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012424966563979067, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012424966563979067, "ret_p1m": 0.127376344164003, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.127376344164003, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11737463779389312, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11737463779389312, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010001706370109886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010001706370109886, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.127376344164003, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.11737463779389312, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11737463779389312, "price_path": [-0.0057, -0.0361, 0.0456, 0.0875, 0.0646, 0.0133, -0.0152, -0.038, -0.0323, -0.0095, -0.0475, -0.0323, -0.0665, -0.0741, -0.1255, -0.0684, -0.076, -0.0589, -0.0722, -0.0913, -0.1122, -0.0875, -0.1122, -0.0875, -0.1274, -0.1692, -0.1692, -0.1179, -0.1141, -0.1217, -0.1217, -0.1122, -0.173, -0.0837, -0.0913, -0.1084, -0.1198, -0.0627, 0.0038, -0.0095, 0.0913, 0.1673, 0.1217, 0.1369, 0.0494, 0.0665, 0.0152, -0.0989, -0.0837, -0.0684, 0.0342, -0.0114, -0.0532, 0.0038, 0.019, 0.0076, -0.0684, -0.1084, -0.1008, -0.1084, -0.1312, -0.1217, -0.1293, 0.0, 0.0894, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.1369, 0.2167, 0.2205, 0.1654, 0.1996, 0.23, 0.1768, 0.1844, 0.1103, 0.0418, 0.1065, 0.0551, 0.1331, 0.1179, 0.1597, 0.1445, 0.076, 0.1274, 0.1274, 0.1084, 0.2567, 0.2738, 0.1996, 0.1958, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2059462625210311035", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-27T02:32:07+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agreed. I have 2.73M shares now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 2.73M shares of Opendoor; endorses parent's multi-bagger thesis on margin improvement.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SultanAmeerali Agreed. I have 2.73M shares now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m buying $OPEN below $4.60. Brookfield would be proud of the aggressive use of non-recourse debt. \n\nIf Kaz is anywhere close to what he’s promised on margin improvement, this should be a multi-bagger without accounting for the growth initiatives like insurance. \n\nUltimately, I https://t.co/3Wv8NdXnG6", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SultanAmeerali", "ret_m1d": -0.05684210124768707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05684210124768707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05701537343048113, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.058634587566495866, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017327218279405976, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017924863188087947, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0673684571918689, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0673684571918689, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061851878590958975, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07229790234712474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005516578600909927, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049294451552558405, "ret_p1w": 0.02526313380191203, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02526313380191203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02022625414282686, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05035845960218699, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0050368796590851694, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02509532580027496, "ret_p1m": -0.09473680195055512, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09473680195055512, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.075724073416777, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10259549515568767, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01901272853377811, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00785869320513255, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09473680195055512, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.075724073416777, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10259549515568767, "price_path": [0.1411, 0.0632, 0.0463, 0.0274, 0.0905, 0.0526, 0.0695, 0.0547, 0.1095, 0.0189, 0.0421, 0.0905, 0.1705, 0.1116, 0.0821, 0.0337, 0.0968, 0.0905, 0.0737, 0.0316, 0.0105, -0.0674, -0.0147, -0.0379, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0295, -0.0421, -0.0232, -0.0926, -0.0905, -0.0821, -0.0505, 0.0147, 0.1095, 0.1137, 0.1263, 0.1474, 0.1432, 0.0989, 0.16, 0.1347, 0.1537, 0.1747, 0.1326, 0.1453, 0.08, 0.1011, 0.1495, 0.12, 0.0547, 0.0211, -0.0084, -0.0358, -0.0589, -0.0779, -0.0989, -0.0947, -0.0737, -0.0379, -0.0463, -0.0463, -0.0568, 0.0, 0.0674, 0.0611, 0.1179, 0.1389, 0.0253, 0.0421, -0.0695, -0.0926, -0.0863, -0.0568, -0.0589, -0.0653, -0.0295, 0.0, -0.0632, -0.0589, -0.0589, -0.0989, -0.1158, -0.0989, -0.0947, -0.08, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035073292638486581", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T19:17:37+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin signaled the coming weakness before the broader market. It bottomed first. Soon big UP move.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "BTC bottomed first; equities to follow with a major V recovery soon; gold and silver overhyped and bleeding.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the price action you want to see in Bitcoin and stocks before a major V recovery move. Bitcoin signaled the coming weakness before the broader market. It bottomed first. Gold and silver got overhyped and are bleeding out. Now equities fall near the end. Soon big UP move.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008646830896706259, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008646830896706259, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023191028360850074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023191028360850074, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014544197464143815, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014544197464143815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005562380225927255, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005562380225927255, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004937610999549147, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004937610999549147, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010499991225476402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010499991225476402, "ret_p1w": -0.059331501842661005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059331501842661005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03700543412937918, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03700543412937918, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326067713281827, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326067713281827, "ret_p1m": 0.07586133476077195, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07586133476077195, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016881039753633642, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016881039753633642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274237451440559, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274237451440559, "ret_p3m": -0.08655582525589378, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08655582525589378, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2290076686889555, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2290076686889555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14245184343306172, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14245184343306172, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.059331501842661005, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03700543412937918, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03700543412937918, "price_path": [0.2395, 0.2423, 0.237, 0.2379, 0.2356, 0.2539, 0.2409, 0.2582, 0.2754, 0.3312, 0.3291, 0.2947, 0.2908, 0.2835, 0.2931, 0.3516, 0.3744, 0.3549, 0.3545, 0.3124, 0.2522, 0.2674, 0.2686, 0.2692, 0.2516, 0.2635, 0.2646, 0.1991, 0.1929, 0.1158, 0.0725, 0.0354, -0.1109, 0.0005, -0.0057, -0.0245, -0.0501, -0.061, -0.0236, -0.0238, -0.0429, -0.0581, -0.0506, -0.0357, -0.0837, -0.0914, -0.0363, -0.0435, -0.0658, -0.0248, -0.0316, 0.031, 0.0045, -0.0338, -0.0301, -0.0084, -0.0045, -0.0004, 0.0063, 0.0615, 0.0482, 0.0103, -0.0086, 0.0, 0.0056, -0.0001, 0.0112, -0.0245, -0.0593, -0.0543, -0.0325, -0.0347, -0.0515, -0.0509, -0.0236, 0.0201, 0.0085, 0.0177, 0.0348, 0.0562, 0.0519, 0.0607, 0.0656, 0.0936, 0.0759, 0.0827, 0.1089, 0.1098, 0.0983, 0.097, 0.0826, 0.0745, 0.082, 0.1086, 0.1319, 0.1475, 0.1546, 0.1345, 0.137, 0.1589, 0.1412, 0.1241, 0.1493, 0.1211, 0.0912, 0.0883, 0.0983, 0.0995, 0.0704, 0.0958, 0.0752, 0.0542, 0.0427, 0.0404, 0.0113, -0.0542, -0.0923, -0.0953, -0.1361, -0.1054, -0.1259, -0.1287, -0.0987, -0.099, -0.06, -0.0698, -0.0866, -0.1081, -0.099, -0.0932, -0.1114, -0.1351, -0.1532, -0.149, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035073292638486581", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-20T19:17:37+00:00", "symbol": "gold", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold and silver got overhyped and are bleeding out", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "BTC bottomed first; equities to follow with a major V recovery soon; gold and silver overhyped and bleeding.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Gold commodity ETF GLD", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the price action you want to see in Bitcoin and stocks before a major V recovery move. Bitcoin signaled the coming weakness before the broader market. It bottomed first. Gold and silver got overhyped and are bleeding out. Now equities fall near the end. Soon big UP move.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.031520631441742664, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031520631441742664, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016976433977598848, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016976433977598848, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014544197464143815, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014544197464143815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02259421410703788, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02259421410703788, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03309420533251428, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03309420533251428, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010499991225476402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010499991225476402, "ret_p1w": 0.003193205546051958, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003193205546051958, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025519273259333786, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025519273259333786, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326067713281827, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326067713281827, "ret_p1m": 0.06945181459179905, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06945181459179905, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023290559922606535, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023290559922606535, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274237451440559, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274237451440559, "ret_p3m": -0.05994484127581756, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05994484127581756, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20239668470887928, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20239668470887928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14245184343306172, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14245184343306172, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.003193205546051958, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025519273259333786, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025519273259333786, "price_path": [0.0006, -0.0035, -0.0035, 0.0081, -0.0358, -0.0351, -0.0413, -0.0413, -0.0365, -0.0112, -0.0005, -0.01, -0.0046, 0.0026, 0.0214, 0.02, 0.0304, 0.0241, 0.0191, 0.0191, 0.0577, 0.0731, 0.0929, 0.1079, 0.1241, 0.1517, 0.1964, 0.1996, 0.0764, 0.0333, 0.099, 0.0982, 0.0689, 0.1018, 0.1298, 0.1186, 0.1312, 0.0919, 0.1191, 0.1191, 0.0842, 0.1086, 0.1117, 0.1336, 0.1643, 0.1481, 0.1452, 0.1551, 0.1702, 0.1854, 0.1325, 0.1413, 0.1276, 0.1455, 0.1431, 0.156, 0.1521, 0.1294, 0.1148, 0.1138, 0.111, 0.0759, 0.0315, 0.0, -0.0226, -0.0224, 0.007, -0.0308, 0.0032, 0.0029, 0.0409, 0.0591, 0.0388, 0.0388, 0.0345, 0.0446, 0.0512, 0.0593, 0.0575, 0.0532, 0.0767, 0.0655, 0.0646, 0.0787, 0.0695, 0.0392, 0.0529, 0.0427, 0.0481, 0.0399, 0.0206, 0.0097, 0.0249, 0.0237, 0.0032, 0.0118, 0.0425, 0.0443, 0.0493, 0.0515, 0.0473, 0.0414, 0.0335, 0.0095, 0.0122, -0.0045, 0.0097, 0.0087, 0.0011, 0.0011, 0.0015, -0.0118, -0.0015, 0.009, -0.0051, -0.0035, -0.0133, -0.0051, -0.0415, -0.039, -0.0547, -0.0939, -0.0655, -0.0649, -0.0407, -0.0381, -0.0599, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.0696, -0.0872, -0.1148, -0.1062, -0.0962, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035073292638486581", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-20T19:17:37+00:00", "symbol": "silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gold and silver got overhyped and are bleeding out", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "BTC bottomed first; equities to follow with a major V recovery soon; gold and silver overhyped and bleeding.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver commodity ETF SLV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the price action you want to see in Bitcoin and stocks before a major V recovery move. Bitcoin signaled the coming weakness before the broader market. It bottomed first. Gold and silver got overhyped and are bleeding out. Now equities fall near the end. Soon big UP move.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06762028310237311, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06762028310237311, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0530760856382293, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0530760856382293, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014544197464143815, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014544197464143815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015442144926375079, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015442144926375079, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004942153700898677, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004942153700898677, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010499991225476402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010499991225476402, "ret_p1w": 0.031209332813049606, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031209332813049606, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.053535400526331434, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.053535400526331434, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326067713281827, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326067713281827, "ret_p1m": 0.1727893528774147, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1727893528774147, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08004697836300911, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08004697836300911, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274237451440559, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274237451440559, "ret_p3m": -0.014791934990911915, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.014791934990911915, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15724377842397363, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15724377842397363, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14245184343306172, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14245184343306172, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.031209332813049606, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.053535400526331434, "alpha_c_stated": -0.053535400526331434, "price_path": [0.054, 0.0601, 0.0601, 0.156, 0.073, 0.1213, 0.0471, 0.0471, 0.0688, 0.1229, 0.1981, 0.1534, 0.1331, 0.1765, 0.2554, 0.2776, 0.3745, 0.3544, 0.317, 0.317, 0.388, 0.3648, 0.4163, 0.5102, 0.5985, 0.6513, 0.7165, 0.716, 0.2263, 0.1775, 0.251, 0.2871, 0.084, 0.1409, 0.236, 0.1933, 0.2445, 0.1009, 0.1333, 0.1333, 0.0788, 0.1393, 0.1543, 0.2454, 0.3097, 0.2854, 0.301, 0.3077, 0.3815, 0.3259, 0.2139, 0.2246, 0.2072, 0.2344, 0.2721, 0.3019, 0.2664, 0.2432, 0.1816, 0.1902, 0.1648, 0.1167, 0.0676, 0.0, 0.0154, 0.0232, 0.06, -0.0122, 0.0312, 0.0325, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.0694, 0.0694, 0.0743, 0.0718, 0.0967, 0.1117, 0.1229, 0.1099, 0.171, 0.1678, 0.158, 0.1968, 0.1728, 0.1133, 0.1439, 0.1115, 0.1182, 0.1107, 0.0761, 0.054, 0.0836, 0.11, 0.0718, 0.0714, 0.14, 0.1638, 0.1868, 0.2679, 0.2768, 0.2898, 0.2274, 0.1222, 0.1369, 0.0875, 0.1172, 0.1289, 0.1112, 0.1112, 0.1333, 0.0972, 0.1112, 0.1107, 0.1, 0.1052, 0.0762, 0.0888, 0.0008, 0.001, -0.0408, -0.0627, -0.0114, -0.0037, 0.0317, 0.0304, -0.0148, -0.0327, -0.0327, -0.0424, -0.0941, -0.1583, -0.1489, -0.1339, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029199021705970178", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T14:15:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agreed. Lots of barriers to success from Trump and the US Government which have extended the length and velocity of the cycle.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses higher BTC target this cycle; barriers have extended cycle length and upside velocity.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CyclesWithBach Agreed. Lots of barriers to success from Trump and the US Government which have extended the length and velocity of the cycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred My BTC target this cycle has also increased given the shutdowns we had, it created some short term pain, but the focus should be on the extra upside we have gained from that in coming months \n\nHigher not lower 🚀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CyclesWithBach", "ret_m1d": -0.06074672766191813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06074672766191813, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05374080100996781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05374080100996781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005926651950323, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005926651950323, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025710882421896564, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025710882421896564, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020135211929988794, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020135211929988794, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575670491907769, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575670491907769, "ret_p1w": -0.03446122114711214, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03446122114711214, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02161694765275901, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02161694765275901, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844273494353131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844273494353131, "ret_p1m": -0.08007098777967525, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08007098777967525, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03991956870047009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03991956870047009, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.040151419079205164, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040151419079205164, "ret_p3m": -0.01912795529020561, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01912795529020561, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12929905584052725, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12929905584052725, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11017110055032164, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11017110055032164, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08007098777967525, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03991956870047009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03991956870047009, "price_path": [0.2294, 0.2466, 0.2748, 0.2656, 0.2723, 0.2415, 0.1885, 0.2081, 0.1847, 0.1754, 0.2117, 0.217, 0.2022, 0.2049, 0.1998, 0.2007, 0.1984, 0.2162, 0.2035, 0.2203, 0.237, 0.2912, 0.2891, 0.2558, 0.2519, 0.2448, 0.2542, 0.311, 0.3331, 0.3141, 0.3138, 0.2729, 0.2146, 0.2292, 0.2304, 0.231, 0.214, 0.2254, 0.2266, 0.163, 0.157, 0.0822, 0.0402, 0.0043, -0.1376, -0.0296, -0.0356, -0.0539, -0.0786, -0.0892, -0.053, -0.0532, -0.0717, -0.0864, -0.0791, -0.0647, -0.1113, -0.1187, -0.0653, -0.0723, -0.0939, -0.0541, -0.0607, 0.0, -0.0257, -0.0629, -0.0593, -0.0383, -0.0345, -0.0305, -0.024, 0.0296, 0.0167, -0.0201, -0.0385, -0.0301, -0.0247, -0.0302, -0.0193, -0.0539, -0.0876, -0.0828, -0.0616, -0.0637, -0.0801, -0.0795, -0.053, -0.0106, -0.0218, -0.013, 0.0037, 0.0244, 0.0202, 0.0288, 0.0336, 0.0607, 0.0435, 0.0501, 0.0755, 0.0764, 0.0653, 0.064, 0.0501, 0.0422, 0.0494, 0.0752, 0.0979, 0.113, 0.1199, 0.1004, 0.1028, 0.124, 0.1068, 0.0903, 0.1147, 0.0874, 0.0584, 0.0556, 0.0653, 0.0664, 0.0382, 0.0628, 0.0428, 0.0225, 0.0114, 0.0091, -0.0191, -0.0826, -0.1196, -0.1225, -0.1621, -0.1323, -0.1522, -0.1549, -0.1258, -0.1261, -0.0883, -0.0978, -0.114, -0.135, -0.1261, -0.1205, -0.1381, -0.1611, -0.1786, -0.1746, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031509708197302698", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T23:17:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's exactly what's about to happen", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Endorses the monster BTC bull-run thesis; next cycle expected to be a major run like 2017/2021.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoJelleNL That’s exactly what’s about to happen", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC has spent the past 8 years inside this rising channel - and I don't think that changes anytime soon.\n\nLooking at this channel again, something just crossed my mind... \n\nWhat if the past cycle was an echo bubble like 2019, and the next run is a monster like 2017 and 2021? 👀 https://t.co/VHv7B7tNdE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoJelleNL", "ret_m1d": -0.0218018900535224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0218018900535224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023058601944700552, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023058601944700552, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567118911781527, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567118911781527, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003975020350486469, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003975020350486469, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019159986621489655, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019159986621489655, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184966271003186, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184966271003186, "ret_p1w": 0.0571390042685187, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0571390042685187, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07916974798484588, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07916974798484588, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022030743716327184, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022030743716327184, "ret_p1m": 0.01710982648626702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01710982648626702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009071207000428405, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009071207000428405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038619485838616, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038619485838616, "ret_p3m": -0.12876662757079205, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12876662757079205, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22473860830278236, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22473860830278236, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09597198073199031, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09597198073199031, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01710982648626702, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.009071207000428405, "alpha_c_stated": 0.009071207000428405, "price_path": [0.323, 0.2909, 0.2359, 0.2562, 0.2319, 0.2222, 0.2599, 0.2655, 0.2501, 0.2529, 0.2475, 0.2485, 0.2461, 0.2646, 0.2514, 0.2689, 0.2863, 0.3426, 0.3404, 0.3058, 0.3017, 0.2944, 0.3041, 0.3632, 0.3862, 0.3664, 0.3661, 0.3236, 0.2629, 0.2781, 0.2794, 0.28, 0.2623, 0.2742, 0.2754, 0.2093, 0.2031, 0.1253, 0.0816, 0.0442, -0.1033, 0.009, 0.0028, -0.0162, -0.042, -0.053, -0.0153, -0.0155, -0.0348, -0.0501, -0.0425, -0.0275, -0.0759, -0.0836, -0.0281, -0.0354, -0.0578, -0.0165, -0.0234, 0.0398, 0.0131, -0.0256, -0.0218, 0.0, 0.004, 0.0081, 0.0149, 0.0706, 0.0571, 0.0189, -0.0002, 0.0085, 0.0141, 0.0085, 0.0198, -0.0162, -0.0513, -0.0463, -0.0242, -0.0264, -0.0435, -0.0428, -0.0153, 0.0288, 0.0171, 0.0263, 0.0436, 0.0652, 0.0608, 0.0698, 0.0747, 0.103, 0.085, 0.0919, 0.1184, 0.1193, 0.1077, 0.1064, 0.0919, 0.0836, 0.0912, 0.118, 0.1416, 0.1573, 0.1645, 0.1442, 0.1467, 0.1688, 0.1509, 0.1337, 0.1591, 0.1307, 0.1005, 0.0976, 0.1077, 0.1089, 0.0795, 0.1052, 0.0844, 0.0632, 0.0516, 0.0493, 0.0199, -0.0461, -0.0846, -0.0876, -0.1288, -0.0978, -0.1185, -0.1212, -0.091, -0.0913, -0.052, -0.0619, -0.0788, -0.1005, -0.0913, -0.0854, -0.1038, -0.1277, -0.1459, -0.1417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2053961443947753769", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-11T22:12:23+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought exactly 40,100 shares. Had orders in for more but they did not fill.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought 40,100 shares of Opendoor; tried to buy even more but orders didn't fill.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nejatian I bought exactly 40,100 shares. Had orders in for more but they did not fill.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today, my wife and I bought 100,000 more shares of $OPEN.  I don't look at the stock price that frequently. I  did today and I thought it was worth my family becoming even more invested in Opendoor.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nejatian", "ret_m1d": 0.029723962919685043, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029723962919685043, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028206711741459056, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029948393694185338, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015172511782259868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00022443077450029492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02760087333079153, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02760087333079153, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03319571114540265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019301078011657924, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00559483781461112, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008299795319133607, "ret_p1w": -0.08704879917016162, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08704879917016162, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08102049654590482, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07269248044255294, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006028302624256798, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014356318727608675, "ret_p1m": -0.04883227541628088, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04883227541628088, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03156008297547941, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05802918959671488, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01727219244080147, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009196914180434002, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04883227541628088, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03156008297547941, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05802918959671488, "price_path": [-0.0701, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0807, -0.017, -0.0127, 0.0616, 0.0149, 0.0849, 0.0573, 0.1486, 0.1507, 0.0722, 0.0552, 0.0361, 0.0998, 0.0616, 0.0786, 0.0637, 0.1189, 0.0276, 0.051, 0.0998, 0.1805, 0.121, 0.0913, 0.0425, 0.1062, 0.0998, 0.0828, 0.0403, 0.0191, -0.0594, -0.0064, -0.0297, 0.0064, 0.0064, -0.0212, -0.034, -0.0149, -0.0849, -0.0828, -0.0743, -0.0425, 0.0234, 0.1189, 0.1231, 0.1359, 0.1571, 0.1529, 0.1083, 0.1699, 0.1444, 0.1635, 0.1847, 0.1423, 0.155, 0.0892, 0.1104, 0.1592, 0.1295, 0.0637, 0.0297, 0.0, -0.0276, -0.051, -0.0701, -0.0913, -0.087, -0.0658, -0.0297, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.0488, 0.0085, 0.0764, 0.0701, 0.1274, 0.1486, 0.034, 0.051, -0.0616, -0.0849, -0.0786, -0.0488, -0.051, -0.0573, -0.0212, 0.0085, -0.0552, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0913, -0.1083, -0.0913, -0.087, -0.0722, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2063752763444756951", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-07T22:39:36+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is bouncing. Tomorrow is green.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bitcoin is bouncing and tomorrow will be green.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@optionscjp Bitcoin is bouncing. Tomorrow is green.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If the premarket is deep red tomorrow I’ll probably spend the first couple hours of the morning surfing\n\nIf I’m gonna lose a couple hundred thousand more dollars i might as well do it while doing something I love right? https://t.co/FBaQk6SBRF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "optionscjp", "ret_m1d": -0.034362047975285526, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034362047975285526, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03210299026310748, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03210299026310748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022590577121780475, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022590577121780475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022932240724538477, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022932240724538477, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019996790173730683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019996790173730683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029354505508077944, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0029354505508077944, "ret_p1w": 0.05070344347980282, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05070344347980282, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029586510381188535, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029586510381188535, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021116933098614288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021116933098614288, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05070344347980282, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.029586510381188535, "alpha_c_stated": 0.029586510381188535, "price_path": [0.1128, 0.1173, 0.1249, 0.1866, 0.1717, 0.1293, 0.1081, 0.1178, 0.124, 0.1177, 0.1303, 0.0904, 0.0515, 0.0571, 0.0815, 0.0791, 0.0602, 0.0609, 0.0914, 0.1403, 0.1273, 0.1375, 0.1567, 0.1806, 0.1758, 0.1857, 0.1912, 0.2225, 0.2026, 0.2102, 0.2395, 0.2406, 0.2277, 0.2263, 0.2102, 0.2011, 0.2094, 0.2392, 0.2653, 0.2827, 0.2906, 0.2682, 0.271, 0.2954, 0.2756, 0.2566, 0.2847, 0.2532, 0.2197, 0.2165, 0.2277, 0.229, 0.1965, 0.2249, 0.2019, 0.1784, 0.1656, 0.163, 0.1304, 0.0573, 0.0146, 0.0113, -0.0344, 0.0, -0.0229, -0.026, 0.0075, 0.0072, 0.0507, 0.0398, 0.021, -0.0031, 0.0071, 0.0137, -0.0067, -0.0332, -0.0534, -0.0487, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2070633449334161799", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-26T22:20:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You will be fine if you hold it for a few years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Implicitly bullish on Bitcoin; holding for a few years will work out fine.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@leevalueroach You will be fine if you hold it for a few years", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The contrarian in me wants to buy this. Read the comment section of Saylor’s tweet. Just absolute hate. FinTwit is a contradictor. You can literally just do the opposite of the crowd on here and create a money machine. https://t.co/PiYhpQWwcg", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "leevalueroach", "ret_m1d": -0.004911220273927541, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004911220273927541, "alpha_spy_m1d": null, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": null, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": null, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": null, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1369, 0.1343, 0.1145, 0.1152, 0.1473, 0.1987, 0.1851, 0.1958, 0.216, 0.2411, 0.236, 0.2464, 0.2522, 0.2851, 0.2642, 0.2722, 0.303, 0.3041, 0.2906, 0.2891, 0.2722, 0.2626, 0.2714, 0.3026, 0.3301, 0.3484, 0.3568, 0.3331, 0.3361, 0.3618, 0.3409, 0.3209, 0.3505, 0.3174, 0.2822, 0.2788, 0.2906, 0.292, 0.2578, 0.2876, 0.2634, 0.2387, 0.2253, 0.2225, 0.1883, 0.1114, 0.0666, 0.0631, 0.0151, 0.0512, 0.0271, 0.0239, 0.0591, 0.0588, 0.1045, 0.093, 0.0733, 0.048, 0.0587, 0.0656, 0.0442, 0.0163, -0.0049, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2069126759677845736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-22T18:33:56+00:00", "symbol": "Opendoor Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought more shares today. Over 4.3M now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to Opendoor position today; holds over 4.3M shares.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Opendoor Technologies NASDAQ ticker OPEN", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nejatian @vu0tran Bought more shares today. Over 4.3M now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’ve been trying to recruit @vu0tran for 11 years. Today it finally happened. Vu is joining Opendoor as our Chief AI Officer.\n\nVu is one of the most respected founder-engineers in tech — the rare person who has built at the highest level and earned the trust of everyone around", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nejatian", "ret_m1d": 0.04439242314705605, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04439242314705605, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04123550870745629, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05668229958015647, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003156914439599756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012289876433100422, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018691681453631315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018691681453631315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0041697274431397036, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03277616408510342, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014521954010491611, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014084482631472106, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1916, 0.1449, 0.1215, 0.035, 0.0935, 0.0678, 0.1075, 0.1075, 0.0771, 0.0631, 0.0841, 0.007, 0.0093, 0.0187, 0.0537, 0.1262, 0.2313, 0.236, 0.25, 0.2734, 0.2687, 0.2196, 0.2874, 0.2593, 0.2804, 0.3037, 0.257, 0.271, 0.1986, 0.222, 0.2757, 0.243, 0.1706, 0.1332, 0.1005, 0.0701, 0.0444, 0.0234, 0.0, 0.0047, 0.028, 0.0678, 0.0584, 0.0584, 0.0467, 0.1098, 0.1846, 0.1776, 0.2407, 0.264, 0.1379, 0.1565, 0.0327, 0.007, 0.014, 0.0467, 0.0444, 0.0374, 0.0771, 0.1098, 0.0397, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0, -0.0187, 0.0, 0.0047, 0.021, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2044414216556429377", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T13:55:07+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think it rips once the 10 year yield moves lower with more authority. $20-30 still very possible this year imo.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long OPEN to $20-30 this year on anticipated decline in 10-year yields.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OPEN starting to show some strength today. I think it rips once the 10 year yield moves lower with more authority. $20-30 still very possible this year imo. 👀", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06431533853507909, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06431533853507909, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.056486149200149716, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0647760320361449, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007829189334929376, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00046069350106581197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0933609529540802, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0933609529540802, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09090360530714259, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08414646241044155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457347646937613, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009214490543638654, "ret_p1w": 0.12655594086151023, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12655594086151023, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11045449125545259, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12540416278582267, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610144960605764, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011517780756875595, "ret_p1m": -0.07261418444080403, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07261418444080403, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14152010783936453, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08413223113581803, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0689059233985605, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011518046695013995, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07261418444080403, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.14152010783936453, "alpha_c_stated": -0.08413223113581803, "price_path": [0.3838, 0.3838, 0.3257, 0.3444, 0.332, 0.2469, 0.2178, 0.2054, 0.195, 0.1577, 0.0685, 0.0, 0.0643, 0.0373, -0.0249, 0.0124, 0.0249, -0.027, -0.0124, -0.0913, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.1017, -0.0394, -0.0353, 0.0373, -0.0083, 0.0602, 0.0332, 0.1224, 0.1245, 0.0477, 0.0311, 0.0124, 0.0747, 0.0373, 0.0539, 0.0394, 0.0934, 0.0041, 0.027, 0.0747, 0.1535, 0.0954, 0.0664, 0.0187, 0.0809, 0.0747, 0.0581, 0.0166, -0.0041, -0.0809, -0.029, -0.0519, -0.0166, -0.0166, -0.0436, -0.056, -0.0373, -0.1058, -0.1037, -0.0954, -0.0643, 0.0, 0.0934, 0.0975, 0.11, 0.1307, 0.1266, 0.083, 0.1432, 0.1183, 0.1369, 0.1577, 0.1162, 0.1286, 0.0643, 0.0851, 0.1328, 0.1037, 0.0394, 0.0062, -0.0228, -0.0498, -0.0726, -0.0913, -0.112, -0.1079, -0.0871, -0.0519, -0.0602, -0.0602, -0.0705, -0.0145, 0.0519, 0.0456, 0.1017, 0.1224, 0.0104, 0.027, -0.083, -0.1058, -0.0996, -0.0705, -0.0726, -0.0788, -0.0436, -0.0145, -0.0768, -0.0726, -0.0726, -0.112, -0.1286, -0.112, -0.1079, -0.0934, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2059663576412131369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-27T15:50:37+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "During expansion periods ETH expanded more than 10x and 4x BTC. We haven't had a true expansion period since 2020/2021. Watch and learn.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETH: expects next expansion period to replicate 10x+ gains seen in prior cycles, implying significant upside from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@thepowerfulHRV During expansion periods ETH expanded more than 10x and 4x BTC. We haven't had a true expansion period since 2020/2021. Watch and learn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Peaked in 2017! https://t.co/LXBINSTt1Q", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thepowerfulHRV", "ret_m1d": 0.024062879244093116, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024062879244093116, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023889607061299056, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023889607061299056, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017327218279405976, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00017327218279405976, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007242369965002715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007242369965002715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012758948565912642, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012758948565912642, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005516578600909927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005516578600909927, "ret_p1w": -0.10407779909606796, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10407779909606796, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10911467875515313, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10911467875515313, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0050368796590851694, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0050368796590851694, "ret_p1m": -0.22618039233488074, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22618039233488074, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20716766380110263, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20716766380110263, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01901272853377811, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01901272853377811, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.22618039233488074, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.20716766380110263, "alpha_c_stated": -0.20716766380110263, "price_path": [-0.0452, 0.0025, -0.0195, 0.0516, 0.0244, -0.0215, -0.0145, 0.0074, 0.0145, 0.0252, 0.0348, 0.1627, 0.1463, 0.0897, 0.057, 0.0615, 0.0643, 0.066, 0.0721, 0.0185, -0.0153, 0.0007, 0.0408, 0.0576, 0.0171, 0.0154, 0.0423, 0.1086, 0.0831, 0.0826, 0.1103, 0.1723, 0.1489, 0.1668, 0.1614, 0.1972, 0.1449, 0.1512, 0.175, 0.153, 0.1451, 0.1389, 0.1321, 0.1143, 0.1157, 0.1349, 0.1603, 0.1676, 0.1625, 0.133, 0.1408, 0.1568, 0.1248, 0.1164, 0.1279, 0.0995, 0.0526, 0.0434, 0.0518, 0.054, 0.021, 0.0441, 0.0241, 0.0, -0.0072, -0.0051, -0.0094, -0.0813, -0.1041, -0.1249, -0.2182, -0.1642, -0.1901, -0.1988, -0.173, -0.1766, -0.1124, -0.1146, -0.1357, -0.1546, -0.1539, -0.1462, -0.1764, -0.1989, -0.2262, -0.2203, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027434099598848367", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T17:22:11+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agree. This has been a nasty risk off period. Feels like we flip soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Agrees small caps are extremely bullish; expects risk-on flip soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HenrikZeberg Agree. This has been a nasty risk off period. Feels like we flip soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Small Caps\n\nExtremely Bullish\n\nRISK-ON COMING! https://t.co/2rMmj4fZeW", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HenrikZeberg", "ret_m1d": 0.017520307109161637, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017520307109161637, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012695196354068017, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012695196354068017, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00482511075509362, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00482511075509362, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009180826145402277, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009180826145402277, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008612303159354351, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008612303159354351, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685229860479257, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685229860479257, "ret_p1w": -0.04024330900813766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04024330900813766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020403323720324718, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020403323720324718, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839985287812945, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839985287812945, "ret_p1m": -0.08176346512766652, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08176346512766652, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005531920992939088, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005531920992939088, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623154413472744, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623154413472744, "ret_p3m": 0.11275971418412789, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11275971418412789, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.015791034737977938, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.015791034737977938, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696867944614995, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696867944614995, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04024330900813766, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.020403323720324718, "alpha_c_stated": -0.020403323720324718, "price_path": [-0.0653, -0.0483, -0.0399, -0.0439, -0.0435, -0.0415, -0.0285, -0.0171, -0.0322, -0.0395, -0.044, -0.0542, -0.0486, -0.0406, -0.03, -0.0357, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.0382, -0.0441, -0.0512, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0483, -0.0332, -0.0204, -0.0227, -0.012, -0.0045, 0.0003, -0.0002, 0.0068, 0.0157, 0.0166, 0.0166, 0.0045, 0.0244, 0.0321, 0.013, 0.0098, 0.0127, 0.0072, 0.0075, -0.0067, 0.0029, 0.0052, -0.0034, -0.0213, 0.0138, 0.0209, 0.0182, 0.0135, -0.0072, 0.0059, 0.0059, 0.0062, 0.0099, 0.0122, 0.0122, -0.0035, 0.0073, 0.0121, 0.0175, 0.0, 0.0092, -0.0083, 0.0013, -0.0178, -0.0402, -0.0298, -0.0308, -0.0327, -0.0536, -0.0567, -0.0478, -0.0418, -0.0572, -0.051, -0.0718, -0.0517, -0.0466, -0.035, -0.0518, -0.0684, -0.0818, -0.0496, -0.0436, -0.037, -0.037, -0.0329, -0.0308, -0.0018, 0.0039, 0.0014, 0.0158, 0.0298, 0.0324, 0.0345, 0.0568, 0.0629, 0.052, 0.0595, 0.0559, 0.0602, 0.0621, 0.0497, 0.0427, 0.0652, 0.0703, 0.0649, 0.0828, 0.0991, 0.0817, 0.089, 0.0934, 0.0829, 0.0833, 0.0901, 0.0638, 0.0576, 0.0462, 0.0725, 0.0826, 0.0926, 0.0926, 0.1133, 0.1128, 0.1191, 0.113, 0.1074, 0.1177, 0.1024, 0.119, 0.0793, 0.0888, 0.0923, 0.0809, 0.1129, 0.1226, 0.1318, 0.122, 0.1135, 0.1355, 0.1355, 0.1454, 0.1344, 0.1397, 0.1482, 0.1517, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2057919772625629209", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-22T20:21:22+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "betting on the three layers of the best run AI cloud business has been far more impactful in my life", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IREN; author vouches it's the best-run AI cloud business and has been a major personal win.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@danroberts0101 I have always enjoyed the flavor of three layer dip. But the fact is that betting on the three layers of the best run AI cloud business has been far more impactful in my life.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "𝐓𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐋𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐫𝐬. 𝐎𝐧𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐠𝐞. 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐈𝐑𝐄𝐍 𝐓𝐡𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐬.\n\nThere's been a lot happening at IREN recently.\n\nExpansion across North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific.\n\nThe NVIDIA partnership.\nThe Mirantis acquisition.\nNew GPU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "danroberts0101", "ret_m1d": -0.049347557853477886, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.049347557853477886, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.042752697414512375, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05108336352061649, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017358056671386013, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1348276634857528, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1348276634857528, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13500090565049883, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.143120784959886, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008293121474133192, "ret_p1w": 0.11408497547822183, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11408497547822183, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10212107539517157, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12160665237679757, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0075216768985757465, "ret_p1m": -0.15858146095378411, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15858146095378411, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13798292680261737, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19827641512743654, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020598534151166747, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03969495417365243, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.15858146095378411, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13798292680261737, "alpha_c_stated": -0.19827641512743654, "price_path": [-0.26, -0.315, -0.3076, -0.3501, -0.2666, -0.3288, -0.3861, -0.3503, -0.3623, -0.2978, -0.308, -0.3044, -0.2482, -0.2814, -0.2939, -0.3031, -0.3093, -0.2947, -0.3121, -0.307, -0.3735, -0.413, -0.4711, -0.4266, -0.4297, -0.4184, -0.4184, -0.4123, -0.4021, -0.3839, -0.3801, -0.3423, -0.2795, -0.2076, -0.1833, -0.2021, -0.195, -0.185, -0.2444, -0.1905, -0.1298, -0.1529, -0.191, -0.2566, -0.283, -0.2387, -0.2362, -0.1723, -0.0843, 0.0201, -0.049, 0.0238, -0.0775, -0.0539, -0.0771, -0.0231, -0.1144, -0.1559, -0.2014, -0.1183, -0.0288, -0.0493, -0.0493, 0.0, 0.1348, 0.0714, 0.0629, 0.0928, 0.1141, 0.0953, 0.0348, -0.0908, -0.0099, -0.0964, -0.1382, -0.0514, -0.0002, 0.0179, -0.01, -0.0279, 0.003, 0.003, -0.0487, -0.0846, -0.1586, -0.2014, -0.2103, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041208124124934453", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-06T17:35:15+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think anything under $20 will look smart when it trades for 3 figures", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR; expects it to eventually trade in the hundreds, making anything under $20 a smart buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthughes13 I really liked the $1-2 zone where I got my first 7,000,000 shares when no one liked the stock or chart but I think anything under $20 will look smart when it trades for 3 figures.\n\nThere are levels.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If $CIFR got back to the $11.50 zone or below that would be amazing for accumulation https://t.co/afY0gAqGpU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthughes13", "ret_m1d": -0.03970042483153535, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03970042483153535, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034995817696876985, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.033924813545554655, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704607134658367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005775611285980697, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04943818940471445, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04943818940471445, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04899818884008722, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.044686106997013475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400005646272298, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004752082407700975, "ret_p1w": 0.33033705778266076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.33033705778266076, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2891035814847427, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2657807995469055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04123347629791807, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06455625823575528, "ret_p1m": 0.6554306928818752, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6554306928818752, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5570287177269555, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.444508018009107, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840197515491966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21092267487276817, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.6554306928818752, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.5570287177269555, "alpha_c_stated": 0.444508018009107, "price_path": [0.2045, 0.2397, 0.2457, 0.3243, 0.367, 0.3581, 0.3124, 0.4082, 0.4082, 0.3423, 0.3273, 0.3026, 0.3161, 0.2352, 0.4045, 0.421, 0.3258, 0.1955, 0.1843, 0.218, 0.0674, -0.0487, 0.1034, 0.2554, 0.2809, 0.2195, 0.206, 0.23, 0.23, 0.1715, 0.1551, 0.1835, 0.0974, 0.1401, 0.2824, 0.2442, 0.2345, 0.1685, 0.1805, 0.1019, 0.2015, 0.1348, 0.0202, 0.0719, 0.0457, 0.0569, 0.027, 0.0547, 0.1341, 0.1303, 0.0989, 0.0966, 0.0494, 0.1154, 0.1146, 0.1895, 0.0749, 0.0296, -0.1, -0.036, -0.0532, -0.0397, -0.0397, 0.0, 0.0494, 0.1551, 0.2255, 0.2382, 0.3303, 0.382, 0.3483, 0.2989, 0.4509, 0.4449, 0.3513, 0.4562, 0.4, 0.3633, 0.3603, 0.2929, 0.2674, 0.3288, 0.2764, 0.3401, 0.6554, 0.6412, 0.5494, 0.5393, 0.5191, 0.5026, 0.591, 0.6697, 0.5228, 0.4322, 0.4082, 0.4592, 0.612, 0.6457, 0.6457, 0.7243, 0.8846, 0.8419, 0.7715, 0.7985, 0.9693, 0.9655, 0.9139, 0.6816, 0.8195, 0.7255, 0.5745, 0.6951, 0.8352, 0.9498, 0.9633, 0.9738, 1.1858, 1.1858, 1.1079, 1.0704, 0.964, 0.9236, 0.9431, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2066864017407414703", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-16T12:42:36+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR should be worth at least $125-150 right now. Give it time. Markets always figure out these puzzles in time.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Conditional on SPCX valuation, CIFR is worth $125-150; markets will eventually close the gap.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A lot of investors don���t understand this yet but if SPCX is really worth $200 (and I’m not sure that it is), then it would imply that CIFR should be worth at least $125-150 right now. Give it time. Markets always figure out these puzzles in time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006867546894871235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006867546894871235, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012864863116658243, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03556310359031001, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005997316221787008, "bench_c_m1d": 0.028695556695438773, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005341522391735243, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005341522391735243, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017829393276786676, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008774254992083619, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012487870885051433, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003432732600348376, "ret_p1w": 0.054559342049841586, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.054559342049841586, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07436415402796748, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06544955983125389, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01980481197812589, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010890217781412304, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4414, -0.4655, -0.4319, -0.4323, -0.3941, -0.4525, -0.4756, -0.5416, -0.509, -0.5177, -0.5109, -0.5109, -0.4907, -0.4655, -0.4117, -0.3758, -0.3693, -0.3224, -0.2961, -0.3132, -0.3384, -0.261, -0.264, -0.3117, -0.2583, -0.2869, -0.3056, -0.3071, -0.3415, -0.3544, -0.3232, -0.3499, -0.3174, -0.1568, -0.1641, -0.2108, -0.2159, -0.2262, -0.2346, -0.1896, -0.1496, -0.2243, -0.2705, -0.2827, -0.2568, -0.1789, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1217, -0.0401, -0.0618, -0.0977, -0.0839, 0.0031, 0.0011, -0.0252, -0.1435, -0.0733, -0.1211, -0.198, -0.1366, -0.0652, -0.0069, 0.0, 0.0053, 0.1133, 0.1133, 0.0736, 0.0546, 0.0004, -0.0202, -0.0103, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031729199095140591", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T13:49:23+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "*$42", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sets a $42 price target on CIFR, above the parent's $30 target.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@bazingacapital @KBWfinthink *$42", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR That is a conservative target. @KBWfinthink \n\nTarget should be $30 https://t.co/1jpEwaM0kC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bazingacapital", "ret_m1d": -0.010630731550676509, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010630731550676509, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011887443441854662, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005859710498581472, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567118911781527, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004771021052095037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028348662527499235, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028348662527499235, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013163696256496049, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009905369078661685, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184966271003186, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01844329344883755, "ret_p1w": 0.0396881951270418, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0396881951270418, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06171893884336899, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.057276883051594285, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022030743716327184, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017588687924552482, "ret_p1m": 0.15946144637994752, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15946144637994752, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1514228268941089, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1465250540395484, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038619485838616, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012936392340399117, "ret_p3m": 0.7214742385930986, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7214742385930986, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6255022578611082, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4083003081788579, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09597198073199031, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3131739304142407, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.15946144637994752, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1514228268941089, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1465250540395484, "price_path": [0.2084, 0.0446, 0.0624, 0.0198, 0.0737, 0.1488, 0.158, 0.1276, 0.1495, 0.1495, 0.0765, 0.0687, 0.034, 0.0461, 0.0461, 0.1481, 0.287, 0.2431, 0.1396, 0.1729, 0.1786, 0.253, 0.2934, 0.2849, 0.2417, 0.3324, 0.3324, 0.27, 0.2558, 0.2325, 0.2452, 0.1687, 0.3288, 0.3444, 0.2544, 0.1311, 0.1205, 0.1524, 0.0099, -0.0999, 0.0439, 0.1878, 0.2119, 0.1538, 0.141, 0.1637, 0.1637, 0.1084, 0.0928, 0.1198, 0.0383, 0.0787, 0.2133, 0.1772, 0.168, 0.1056, 0.1169, 0.0425, 0.1368, 0.0737, -0.0347, 0.0142, -0.0106, 0.0, -0.0283, -0.0021, 0.073, 0.0695, 0.0397, 0.0376, -0.0071, 0.0553, 0.0546, 0.1254, 0.017, -0.0259, -0.1485, -0.0879, -0.1042, -0.0914, -0.0914, -0.0539, -0.0071, 0.0928, 0.1595, 0.1715, 0.2587, 0.3076, 0.2757, 0.2289, 0.3728, 0.3671, 0.2785, 0.3777, 0.3246, 0.2899, 0.287, 0.2232, 0.1991, 0.2573, 0.2077, 0.2679, 0.5663, 0.5528, 0.466, 0.4564, 0.4373, 0.4217, 0.5053, 0.5797, 0.4408, 0.3551, 0.3324, 0.3806, 0.5252, 0.5571, 0.5571, 0.6315, 0.7831, 0.7427, 0.6761, 0.7016, 0.8632, 0.8597, 0.8108, 0.5911, 0.7215, 0.6325, 0.4897, 0.6038, 0.7364, 0.8448, 0.8575, 0.8675, 1.068, 1.068, 0.9943, 0.9589, 0.8583, 0.82, 0.8384, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031869890022580603", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T23:08:26+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The bear market is almost over.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC bear market nearly over; bullish forward stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin doesn’t care about oil prices. The bear market is almost over.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003959282123472296, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003959282123472296, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019378386981676488, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019378386981676488, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004110513591636167, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004110513591636167, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009770649344245097, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009770649344245097, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "ret_p1w": 0.014823688478754926, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014823688478754926, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02422227199387783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02422227199387783, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "ret_p1m": 0.022262629747196394, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022262629747196394, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.000641661715571118, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.000641661715571118, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "ret_p3m": -0.1013361561723638, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1013361561723638, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21094026633685892, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21094026633685892, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.022262629747196394, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.000641661715571118, "alpha_c_stated": -0.000641661715571118, "price_path": [0.2858, 0.231, 0.2513, 0.227, 0.2173, 0.2549, 0.2605, 0.2451, 0.2479, 0.2426, 0.2435, 0.2412, 0.2596, 0.2465, 0.2639, 0.2812, 0.3373, 0.3351, 0.3006, 0.2966, 0.2893, 0.299, 0.3578, 0.3807, 0.361, 0.3607, 0.3183, 0.2579, 0.2731, 0.2743, 0.2749, 0.2573, 0.2692, 0.2703, 0.2045, 0.1983, 0.1208, 0.0773, 0.0401, -0.1069, 0.005, -0.0012, -0.0201, -0.0458, -0.0567, -0.0192, -0.0194, -0.0386, -0.0538, -0.0463, -0.0313, -0.0796, -0.0872, -0.032, -0.0392, -0.0616, -0.0204, -0.0272, 0.0357, 0.0091, -0.0295, -0.0257, -0.004, 0.0, 0.0041, 0.0109, 0.0663, 0.053, 0.0148, -0.0042, 0.0045, 0.0101, 0.0045, 0.0157, -0.0201, -0.0551, -0.05, -0.0281, -0.0303, -0.0472, -0.0466, -0.0192, 0.0247, 0.0131, 0.0223, 0.0395, 0.061, 0.0566, 0.0655, 0.0705, 0.0986, 0.0807, 0.0876, 0.1139, 0.1149, 0.1033, 0.102, 0.0875, 0.0794, 0.0869, 0.1136, 0.1371, 0.1527, 0.1599, 0.1397, 0.1422, 0.1641, 0.1463, 0.1292, 0.1545, 0.1262, 0.0961, 0.0932, 0.1033, 0.1045, 0.0753, 0.1008, 0.0801, 0.059, 0.0475, 0.0451, 0.0159, -0.0499, -0.0882, -0.0912, -0.1322, -0.1013, -0.1219, -0.1247, -0.0946, -0.0949, -0.0558, -0.0656, -0.0824, -0.1041, -0.0949, -0.0891, -0.1074, -0.1312, -0.1493, -0.1451, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029200724442398787", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T14:22:08+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the stock will go up when Bitcoin goes up sustainably", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ASST will rise when Bitcoin sustains an uptrend; bullish on the stock as a Bitcoin proxy.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PDPhilaPhil Your timing is probably good. As I’ve said from the very beginning, the stock will go up when Bitcoin goes up sustainably. A lot of people are incapable of hearing or understanding even basic ideas.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Followed you in here on #ASST. \n\nIt’s almost like risk-parity type trade for Bitcoin. Few.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PDPhilaPhil", "ret_m1d": -0.13409563172547345, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13409563172547345, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12708970507352313, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12846456089183378, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005926651950323, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005631070833639673, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.038461527022937037, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.038461527022937037, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03288585653102927, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03321889092060726, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575670491907769, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0052426361023297785, "ret_p1w": -0.04054057671125311, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04054057671125311, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027696303216899976, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004424141028393946, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844273494353131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03611643568285916, "ret_p1m": 0.01351352557041774, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01351352557041774, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0536649446496229, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.046822233382027734, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.040151419079205164, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033308707811609994, "ret_p3m": 0.7879418885190399, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7879418885190399, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6777707879687183, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7841676686908328, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11017110055032164, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003774219828207137, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01351352557041774, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0536649446496229, "alpha_c_stated": 0.046822233382027734, "price_path": [0.8732, 1.0478, 1.1206, 1.079, 0.9168, 0.7942, 0.6403, 0.7879, 0.7069, 0.7277, 0.869, 0.8004, 0.6736, 0.7921, 0.7921, 0.6944, 0.6071, 0.5218, 0.5343, 0.5343, 0.7983, 1.1414, 1.1622, 1.1206, 1.0998, 0.9667, 1.2869, 1.0166, 1.1414, 1.0187, 0.9709, 0.9709, 0.8399, 0.8545, 0.8087, 0.8108, 0.6341, 0.7027, 0.6653, 0.632, 0.7069, 0.5031, 0.4179, 0.2308, 0.0249, 0.2386, 0.0546, -0.0457, -0.159, -0.1996, -0.1341, -0.1341, -0.1497, -0.1632, -0.1559, -0.1528, -0.2349, -0.2552, -0.1123, -0.1486, -0.1746, -0.0925, -0.1341, 0.0, -0.0385, -0.0956, -0.1154, -0.0665, -0.0405, -0.0821, -0.0094, 0.1289, 0.1538, 0.0431, 0.0665, 0.0416, 0.0852, 0.0322, 0.1279, 0.0821, 0.0244, -0.026, 0.0416, 0.0561, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.052, -0.0369, 0.0655, 0.0021, 0.105, 0.2037, 0.2921, 0.4064, 0.4532, 0.6227, 0.6237, 0.5915, 0.7318, 0.684, 0.6424, 0.631, 0.5884, 0.4979, 0.5967, 0.6954, 0.7001, 0.7162, 0.6923, 0.6071, 0.6549, 0.8659, 0.7744, 0.7401, 0.841, 0.7453, 0.6414, 0.6798, 0.7651, 0.9262, 0.8929, 0.8929, 0.8815, 0.8524, 0.8503, 0.8368, 0.7879, 0.6757, 0.5322, 0.5613, 0.447, 0.5811, 0.4771, 0.5, 0.5156, 0.5748, 0.7328, 0.6414, 0.605, 0.5437, 0.5437, 0.5395, 0.4501, 0.3046, 0.185, 0.1788, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041250764644073611", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-06T20:24:41+00:00", "symbol": "MARA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The underperformance over the last few years is completely unsurprising and will continue without significant change to governance.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MARA underperformance will continue absent governance changes; bearish forward stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel Yup. The underperformance over the last few years is completely unsurprising and will continue without significant change to governance.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "1) Lead director touted as \"fintech\" exec. $MARA is not a fintech company.\n2) Janet George's \"large-scale AI acquisition\" experience consisted of being General Manager of the Intel division that bought Granulate (who?) for $650M. Less than three years later, Intel shut the https://t.co/23wzuoQxSA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": -0.012276747344746153, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012276747344746153, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011836940295469, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012276747344746153, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398070492771522, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06026785262879364, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06026785262879364, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03479821611660272, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03380435453871766, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02546963651219092, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026463498090075976, "ret_p1w": 0.17075889804210442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.17075889804210442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11730164147642008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13266755276529563, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05345725656568434, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0380913452768088, "ret_p1m": 0.4542410354348547, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4542410354348547, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34106173172608756, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4149467829506641, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317930370876716, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039294252484190606, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.4542410354348547, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.34106173172608756, "alpha_c_stated": -0.4149467829506641, "price_path": [0.1652, 0.1406, 0.1886, 0.2221, 0.24, 0.1897, 0.2679, 0.2679, 0.1574, 0.1786, 0.1484, 0.1719, 0.1138, 0.1741, 0.1574, 0.1004, 0.0603, 0.0179, 0.01, -0.0759, -0.2489, -0.0804, -0.1004, -0.1451, -0.1563, -0.1908, -0.1161, -0.1161, -0.1618, -0.1629, -0.1116, -0.1105, -0.1205, -0.1016, -0.0435, -0.0569, -0.0022, 0.0547, -0.0335, 0.0368, -0.0212, -0.106, -0.0335, -0.0435, -0.0458, -0.0223, 0.0402, 0.0301, 0.0312, -0.0045, 0.029, -0.0558, -0.0056, -0.0792, -0.0759, -0.0424, -0.1049, -0.1295, -0.0893, -0.1027, -0.0279, -0.0279, -0.0123, 0.0, 0.0603, 0.0792, 0.0647, 0.1562, 0.1708, 0.1685, 0.2891, 0.2946, 0.298, 0.2533, 0.3214, 0.317, 0.2991, 0.2478, 0.2299, 0.1964, 0.3382, 0.279, 0.3203, 0.3571, 0.4542, 0.4174, 0.4442, 0.4944, 0.4196, 0.423, 0.4833, 0.3884, 0.3594, 0.3884, 0.4676, 0.5123, 0.5413, 0.5413, 0.5937, 0.5993, 0.5703, 0.6049, 0.6574, 0.5937, 0.558, 0.5491, 0.375, 0.5379, 0.4855, 0.4085, 0.519, 0.5714, 0.6339, 0.6094, 0.5536, 0.5871, 0.5871, 0.6574, 0.6406, 0.5625, 0.5491, 0.6228, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2065511715715027160", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-12T19:09:03+00:00", "symbol": "SPCX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it could go a lot higher than $270 in the short term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short-term higher than $270 but long-term expects SPCX to trade well below IPO price.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPCX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GrindeOptions No Cole, it could go a lot higher than $270 in the short term.\n\nBut that doesn't invalidate my point. Eventually it could trade well below the IPO price.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "No Mike, the stock is heading towards $270. \n\n$SPCX will continue to trade at an extreme valuation.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GrindeOptions", "ret_m1d": null, "ret_signed_m1d": null, "alpha_spy_m1d": null, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005379156091883552, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005846344721363805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1960236324944049, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1960236324944049, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1783896626006516, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.18183367686487695, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01763396989375332, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014189955629527962, "ret_p1w": 0.14942530915046692, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14942530915046692, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14010443049447385, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1225777224379061, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00932087865599307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026847586712560823, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.0, 0.196, 0.3134, 0.1918, 0.1494, 0.1494, -0.0395, -0.0301, -0.0398, -0.0494, -0.048, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2065511715715027160", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-12T19:09:03+00:00", "symbol": "SPCX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Eventually it could trade well below the IPO price", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short-term higher than $270 but long-term expects SPCX to trade well below IPO price.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPCX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GrindeOptions No Cole, it could go a lot higher than $270 in the short term.\n\nBut that doesn't invalidate my point. Eventually it could trade well below the IPO price.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "No Mike, the stock is heading towards $270. \n\n$SPCX will continue to trade at an extreme valuation.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GrindeOptions", "ret_m1d": null, "ret_signed_m1d": null, "alpha_spy_m1d": null, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005379156091883552, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005846344721363805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1960236324944049, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1960236324944049, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1783896626006516, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.18183367686487695, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01763396989375332, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014189955629527962, "ret_p1w": 0.14942530915046692, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14942530915046692, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14010443049447385, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1225777224379061, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00932087865599307, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026847586712560823, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.0, 0.196, 0.3134, 0.1918, 0.1494, 0.1494, -0.0395, -0.0301, -0.0398, -0.0494, -0.048, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027517994407235679", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T22:55:33+00:00", "symbol": "data center stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They can't have any of my data centers or any of my data center stocks! Hands off!", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding data center stocks; dismissing bearish pressure to sell.", "resolved_tickers": ["EQIX", "DLR", "VRT", "SMCI", "CORZ"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Data center stocks basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "REIT - Specialty", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel They can’t have any of my data centers or any of my data center stocks! Hands off!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Don't let the chart squigglers chase you out of the trade, anon https://t.co/TqBaUdR7KY", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": 0.007142761106237993, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007142761106237993, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007710961057553067, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007710961057553067, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005681999513150737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005681999513150737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03139001893113964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03139001893113964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022575768018653977, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022575768018653977, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008814250912485666, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008814250912485666, "ret_p1w": -0.013379503222045109, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013379503222045109, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0015638764182047023, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0015638764182047023, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815626803840407, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815626803840407, "ret_p1m": -0.07499953398330365, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07499953398330365, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025079824855908026, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025079824855908026, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991970912739563, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991970912739563, "ret_p3m": 0.27824351438073985, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27824351438073985, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17585005701187223, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17585005701187223, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239345736886762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239345736886762, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07499953398330365, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.025079824855908026, "alpha_c_stated": -0.025079824855908026, "price_path": [-0.1207, -0.1078, -0.0922, -0.085, -0.0962, -0.1011, -0.105, -0.1462, -0.1642, -0.1734, -0.2116, -0.2003, -0.1673, -0.1564, -0.1612, -0.1598, -0.1598, -0.1613, -0.1679, -0.1755, -0.1829, -0.1829, -0.1444, -0.1399, -0.131, -0.1481, -0.1529, -0.1334, -0.1287, -0.1227, -0.1297, -0.1172, -0.0803, -0.0803, -0.1039, -0.0941, -0.0954, -0.0903, -0.0879, -0.066, -0.0664, -0.0734, -0.0997, -0.0975, -0.1017, -0.0985, -0.138, -0.0616, -0.0383, -0.0463, -0.0124, -0.0142, -0.0103, -0.0103, -0.0155, -0.0278, -0.0042, -0.0096, -0.02, 0.0043, 0.0337, 0.0157, 0.0071, 0.0, -0.0314, -0.0027, -0.0111, -0.0442, -0.0134, -0.0028, 0.0122, 0.0001, -0.0027, 0.0195, 0.011, -0.0024, 0.0067, -0.0868, -0.0656, -0.0492, -0.029, -0.0767, -0.0873, -0.1202, -0.075, -0.0622, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0476, -0.0358, -0.001, 0.0128, 0.0361, 0.0579, 0.078, 0.0751, 0.0885, 0.1136, 0.1244, 0.1264, 0.1317, 0.1265, 0.1419, 0.128, 0.0929, 0.085, 0.1203, 0.1226, 0.1362, 0.1536, 0.2453, 0.1867, 0.2061, 0.2205, 0.2111, 0.2202, 0.2426, 0.2083, 0.1758, 0.1474, 0.1728, 0.2055, 0.2251, 0.2251, 0.2468, 0.2567, 0.2782, 0.2966, 0.3189, 0.3612, 0.3369, 0.3238, 0.2438, 0.2653, 0.2365, 0.1333, 0.1853, 0.1884, 0.2094, 0.2005, 0.204, 0.2455, 0.2455, 0.3074, 0.2635, 0.2334, 0.2271, 0.2043, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2053611197661093939", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-10T23:00:38+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC and ETH are cheap and many equities are overvalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC and ETH on cheapness; bearish US equities as overvalued; expects crypto to decouple upward from stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin and ETH look like they want to decouple from US equities. Many will attribute this to specific news like the Clarity Act or some trade the scammers over at Binance are putting on. But I think it’s much more simple. BTC and ETH are cheap and many equities are overvalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018861658800472858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018861658800472858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016589271263956484, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016589271263956484, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022723875365163737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022723875365163737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015304426194186482, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015304426194186482, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01378947357959992, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01378947357959992, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149526145865622, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015149526145865622, "ret_p1w": -0.05841459057077658, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05841459057077658, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05753539990956591, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05753539990956591, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791906612106715, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008791906612106715, "ret_p1m": -0.2457473897408926, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2457473897408926, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24270399288323363, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24270399288323363, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0030433968576589754, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0030433968576589754, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.2457473897408926, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.24270399288323363, "alpha_c_stated": -0.24270399288323363, "price_path": [-0.1803, -0.1897, -0.1575, -0.1577, -0.1742, -0.1872, -0.1807, -0.1679, -0.2094, -0.2159, -0.1685, -0.1747, -0.1939, -0.1585, -0.1644, -0.1103, -0.1332, -0.1663, -0.1631, -0.1444, -0.141, -0.1375, -0.1317, -0.084, -0.0955, -0.1283, -0.1446, -0.1371, -0.1323, -0.1372, -0.1275, -0.1583, -0.1883, -0.184, -0.1651, -0.167, -0.1816, -0.1811, -0.1575, -0.1198, -0.1298, -0.1219, -0.1071, -0.0886, -0.0923, -0.0847, -0.0805, -0.0563, -0.0716, -0.0658, -0.0431, -0.0423, -0.0523, -0.0534, -0.0658, -0.0728, -0.0664, -0.0434, -0.0233, -0.0098, -0.0037, -0.021, -0.0189, 0.0, -0.0153, -0.03, -0.0083, -0.0326, -0.0584, -0.0609, -0.0523, -0.0513, -0.0764, -0.0544, -0.0722, -0.0903, -0.1002, -0.1022, -0.1274, -0.1838, -0.2167, -0.2193, -0.2546, -0.228, -0.2457, -0.2481, -0.2223, -0.2225, -0.1889, -0.1973, -0.2118, -0.2304, -0.2225, -0.2175, -0.2332, -0.2537, -0.2693, -0.2657, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2053611197661093939", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-10T23:00:38+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC and ETH are cheap and many equities are overvalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC and ETH on cheapness; bearish US equities as overvalued; expects crypto to decouple upward from stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin and ETH look like they want to decouple from US equities. Many will attribute this to specific news like the Clarity Act or some trade the scammers over at Binance are putting on. But I think it’s much more simple. BTC and ETH are cheap and many equities are overvalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013845094490494758, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013845094490494758, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011572706953978384, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011572706953978384, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022723875365163737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022723875365163737, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027664515902802167, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027664515902802167, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026149563288215605, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026149563288215605, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149526145865622, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015149526145865622, "ret_p1w": -0.09012920237503108, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09012920237503108, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08925001171382041, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08925001171382041, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791906612106715, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008791906612106715, "ret_p1m": -0.29993413707461747, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29993413707461747, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2968907402169585, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2968907402169585, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0030433968576589754, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0030433968576589754, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.29993413707461747, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2968907402169585, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2968907402169585, "price_path": [-0.1704, -0.1677, -0.1243, -0.146, -0.1484, -0.1647, -0.1672, -0.1583, -0.2068, -0.2079, -0.1217, -0.1336, -0.1747, -0.1334, -0.1524, -0.091, -0.1145, -0.1541, -0.1481, -0.1292, -0.123, -0.1138, -0.1055, 0.0051, -0.0091, -0.058, -0.0863, -0.0824, -0.08, -0.0785, -0.0732, -0.1196, -0.1488, -0.135, -0.1003, -0.0858, -0.1208, -0.1222, -0.099, -0.0417, -0.0637, -0.0642, -0.0403, 0.0134, -0.0069, 0.0086, 0.004, 0.0349, -0.0103, -0.0049, 0.0157, -0.0034, -0.0101, -0.0155, -0.0213, -0.0367, -0.0355, -0.0189, 0.003, 0.0093, 0.0049, -0.0206, -0.0138, 0.0, -0.0277, -0.035, -0.025, -0.0496, -0.0901, -0.0981, -0.0908, -0.0889, -0.1174, -0.0975, -0.1148, -0.1356, -0.1418, -0.1399, -0.1437, -0.2059, -0.2255, -0.2436, -0.3242, -0.2775, -0.2999, -0.3074, -0.2852, -0.2882, -0.2327, -0.2347, -0.2528, -0.2692, -0.2686, -0.262, -0.2881, -0.3075, -0.3311, -0.326, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2057649111529292183", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-22T02:25:52+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've got almost 2.5M shares homie", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds ~2.5M shares of Opendoor; confirms large ongoing long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RickySeeWorld I’ve got almost 2.5M shares homie", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Value investors, you should be taking a look at $OPEN right now. Triple bottom YTD, low RSI and MAs starting to align. Tons of upside on this one and solid Q1 earnings despite larger housing market decline. https://t.co/o1usijM3v5", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RickySeeWorld", "ret_m1d": 0.008830013245125112, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008830013245125112, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012746165776061469, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010176511494729201, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161525309363565, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001346498249604089, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.11258272150637594, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11258272150637594, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09804489053243981, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12537445487761478, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537830973936128, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012791733371238845, "ret_p1m": -0.055187635413062486, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.055187635413062486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.056083149912896424, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05172579117679521, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0008955144998339382, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0034618442362672752, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.055187635413062486, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.056083149912896424, "alpha_c_stated": -0.05172579117679521, "price_path": [0.128, 0.0993, 0.1943, 0.1965, 0.1148, 0.0971, 0.0773, 0.1435, 0.1038, 0.1214, 0.106, 0.1634, 0.0684, 0.0927, 0.1435, 0.2274, 0.1656, 0.1347, 0.0839, 0.1501, 0.1435, 0.1258, 0.0817, 0.0596, -0.0221, 0.0331, 0.0088, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0177, 0.0044, 0.0243, -0.0486, -0.0464, -0.0375, -0.0044, 0.064, 0.1634, 0.1678, 0.181, 0.2031, 0.1987, 0.1523, 0.2163, 0.1898, 0.2097, 0.2318, 0.1876, 0.2009, 0.1325, 0.1545, 0.2053, 0.1744, 0.106, 0.0706, 0.0397, 0.011, -0.0132, -0.0331, -0.0552, -0.0508, -0.0287, 0.0088, 0.0, 0.0, -0.011, 0.0486, 0.1192, 0.1126, 0.1722, 0.1943, 0.0751, 0.0927, -0.0243, -0.0486, -0.0419, -0.011, -0.0132, -0.0199, 0.0177, 0.0486, -0.0177, -0.0132, -0.0132, -0.0552, -0.0728, -0.0552, -0.0508, -0.0353, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030713036521304532", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T18:31:31+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This makes me so freaking bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian bullish on BTC and ETH; extended red months seen as a sentiment extreme that signals a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives This makes me so freaking bullish", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC Back to red for the month. Making it 6 red months in a row for now.\n\n$ETH Back to red for the month. Making it 7 red months in a row for now.\n\nThough prior crypto winters had larger drawdowns, this crypto winter for some reason feels particularly more damaging. \n\nMaybe all", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": -0.003887154424559225, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003887154424559225, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004796736546978653, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004796736546978653, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683890971537878, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683890971537878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022287806357257578, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022287806357257578, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023894821933747257, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023894821933747257, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016070155764896787, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016070155764896787, "ret_p1w": 0.09442219495049109, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09442219495049109, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10804500820295981, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10804500820295981, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622813252468724, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622813252468724, "ret_p1m": 0.05172802710980129, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05172802710980129, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07715992611569333, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07715992611569333, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431899005892045, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431899005892045, "ret_p3m": -0.06726094040263808, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06726094040263808, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1865168028115638, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1865168028115638, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11925586240892572, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11925586240892572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.05172802710980129, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07715992611569333, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07715992611569333, "price_path": [0.3453, 0.3525, 0.3197, 0.2634, 0.2842, 0.2594, 0.2494, 0.288, 0.2937, 0.2779, 0.2808, 0.2753, 0.2763, 0.2739, 0.2928, 0.2793, 0.2972, 0.3149, 0.3725, 0.3703, 0.3349, 0.3308, 0.3232, 0.3332, 0.3935, 0.417, 0.3969, 0.3965, 0.3531, 0.2911, 0.3066, 0.3079, 0.3085, 0.2904, 0.3026, 0.3038, 0.2362, 0.2299, 0.1504, 0.1057, 0.0675, -0.0833, 0.0315, 0.0251, 0.0057, -0.0206, -0.0319, 0.0067, 0.0064, -0.0133, -0.0289, -0.0211, -0.0058, -0.0553, -0.0632, -0.0065, -0.0139, -0.0368, 0.0055, -0.0016, 0.063, 0.0357, -0.0039, 0.0, 0.0223, 0.0264, 0.0306, 0.0375, 0.0944, 0.0807, 0.0416, 0.0221, 0.031, 0.0367, 0.0309, 0.0425, 0.0057, -0.0302, -0.025, -0.0025, -0.0047, -0.0221, -0.0215, 0.0067, 0.0517, 0.0398, 0.0492, 0.0669, 0.0889, 0.0845, 0.0936, 0.0987, 0.1275, 0.1092, 0.1162, 0.1433, 0.1442, 0.1323, 0.1311, 0.1162, 0.1078, 0.1155, 0.1429, 0.167, 0.1831, 0.1904, 0.1697, 0.1723, 0.1948, 0.1765, 0.159, 0.1849, 0.1559, 0.125, 0.1221, 0.1324, 0.1336, 0.1036, 0.1298, 0.1085, 0.0869, 0.0751, 0.0727, 0.0427, -0.0248, -0.0642, -0.0673, -0.1093, -0.0777, -0.0988, -0.1016, -0.0708, -0.071, -0.0309, -0.041, -0.0582, -0.0805, -0.0711, -0.0651, -0.0838, -0.1083, -0.1269, -0.1226, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030713036521304532", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-08T18:31:31+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This makes me so freaking bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian bullish on BTC and ETH; extended red months seen as a sentiment extreme that signals a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives This makes me so freaking bullish", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$BTC Back to red for the month. Making it 6 red months in a row for now.\n\n$ETH Back to red for the month. Making it 7 red months in a row for now.\n\nThough prior crypto winters had larger drawdowns, this crypto winter for some reason feels particularly more damaging. \n\nMaybe all", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": -0.007118640953317268, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007118640953317268, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0015652500182206097, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0015652500182206097, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683890971537878, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683890971537878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022169403074209226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022169403074209226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023776418650698905, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023776418650698905, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016070155764896787, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016070155764896787, "ret_p1w": 0.17975358550546217, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17975358550546217, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1933763987579309, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1933763987579309, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622813252468724, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622813252468724, "ret_p1m": 0.12487512365132014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12487512365132014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15030702265721219, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15030702265721219, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431899005892045, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431899005892045, "ret_p3m": -0.11207455523806897, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11207455523806897, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2313304176469947, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2313304176469947, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11925586240892572, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11925586240892572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.12487512365132014, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.15030702265721219, "alpha_c_stated": 0.15030702265721219, "price_path": [0.6686, 0.6243, 0.5476, 0.4873, 0.4873, 0.4207, 0.4185, 0.4943, 0.5084, 0.4869, 0.478, 0.4569, 0.4681, 0.4725, 0.491, 0.4888, 0.5055, 0.5677, 0.6188, 0.6538, 0.589, 0.5577, 0.547, 0.5516, 0.6669, 0.6833, 0.6644, 0.6536, 0.599, 0.473, 0.4947, 0.48, 0.4819, 0.4684, 0.5165, 0.5086, 0.4141, 0.356, 0.1763, 0.1177, 0.0755, -0.0859, 0.0353, 0.0555, 0.0133, -0.0263, -0.0231, 0.0279, 0.0025, -0.0004, -0.0196, -0.0224, -0.012, -0.069, -0.0702, 0.031, 0.017, -0.0312, 0.0172, -0.0051, 0.067, 0.0395, -0.0071, 0.0, 0.0222, 0.0294, 0.0402, 0.05, 0.1798, 0.1631, 0.1057, 0.0725, 0.0771, 0.0799, 0.0817, 0.0879, 0.0334, -0.0008, 0.0153, 0.0561, 0.0732, 0.0321, 0.0303, 0.0576, 0.1249, 0.099, 0.0985, 0.1266, 0.1896, 0.1658, 0.1839, 0.1785, 0.2148, 0.1617, 0.1681, 0.1923, 0.1699, 0.1619, 0.1556, 0.1488, 0.1307, 0.1321, 0.1516, 0.1774, 0.1848, 0.1796, 0.1496, 0.1576, 0.1738, 0.1414, 0.1328, 0.1445, 0.1156, 0.068, 0.0587, 0.0673, 0.0695, 0.036, 0.0594, 0.0391, 0.0147, 0.0073, 0.0096, 0.0052, -0.0679, -0.0909, -0.1121, -0.2068, -0.1519, -0.1782, -0.1871, -0.1609, -0.1645, -0.0993, -0.1016, -0.123, -0.1422, -0.1415, -0.1337, -0.1643, -0.1872, -0.2148, -0.2089, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2056907601993167293", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-20T01:19:22+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I got the call", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Implies insider confirmation of imminent Strategic Bitcoin Reserve announcement; bullish BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@zerohedge @RyanTheGentry I got the call", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\"A Breakthrough\": White House Says Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Announcement Is Imminent https://t.co/MwVsDuKTWp", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "zerohedge", "ret_m1d": -0.009125839229943367, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009125839229943367, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0010191791145672813, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0010191791145672813, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010145018344510648, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010145018344510648, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0010508749979196708, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0010508749979196708, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0009322127031474725, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0009322127031474725, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019830877010671433, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019830877010671433, "ret_p1w": -0.04019054736981187, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04019054736981187, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052615513933790936, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052615513933790936, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012424966563979067, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012424966563979067, "ret_p1m": -0.1879901801334296, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1879901801334296, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1979918865035395, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1979918865035395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010001706370109886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010001706370109886, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04019054736981187, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.052615513933790936, "alpha_c_stated": -0.052615513933790936, "price_path": [-0.122, -0.1658, -0.1727, -0.1226, -0.1292, -0.1494, -0.1121, -0.1183, -0.0613, -0.0854, -0.1203, -0.1169, -0.0972, -0.0936, -0.0899, -0.0838, -0.0335, -0.0456, -0.0802, -0.0974, -0.0895, -0.0845, -0.0896, -0.0794, -0.1119, -0.1436, -0.139, -0.1191, -0.1211, -0.1365, -0.1359, -0.111, -0.0712, -0.0818, -0.0735, -0.0578, -0.0384, -0.0423, -0.0342, -0.0298, -0.0043, -0.0205, -0.0143, 0.0096, 0.0105, -0.0, -0.0012, -0.0143, -0.0217, -0.0149, 0.0093, 0.0306, 0.0448, 0.0513, 0.0329, 0.0352, 0.0551, 0.039, 0.0235, 0.0464, 0.0208, -0.0065, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.0011, -0.0254, -0.0023, -0.0211, -0.0402, -0.0506, -0.0527, -0.0792, -0.1388, -0.1736, -0.1763, -0.2135, -0.1855, -0.2042, -0.2067, -0.1794, -0.1796, -0.1442, -0.1531, -0.1683, -0.188, -0.1797, -0.1744, -0.1909, -0.2125, -0.229, -0.2252, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2054940613653803400", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-14T15:03:15+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am holding 2M shares now", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds 2M shares of Opendoor, up from 1.67M as of March 31; ongoing long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@YeeTak8 This is as of March 31. I am holding 2M shares now. Thanks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OPEN \n\nMike disclosed his position. \n\n$7,816,531\n1,670,199Shares.\n\n👀👀🔥🔥🤯🤯 https://t.co/2LeKVYKzOK", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YeeTak8", "ret_m1d": 0.024608532142612827, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024608532142612827, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03244101496131213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01777637945013466, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832482818699305, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006832152692478166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02013415659397011, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02013415659397011, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008104812837173903, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004647973036567388, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029343756796207, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015486183557402722, "ret_p1w": 0.02237145104327598, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02237145104327598, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029655944691877045, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934825656973677, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007284493648601065, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013436625386302303, "ret_p1m": -0.006711349972995273, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006711349972995273, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0018695879047441188, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03973345053218724, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008580937877739392, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03302210055919197, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006711349972995273, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0018695879047441188, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03973345053218724, "price_path": [-0.0056, -0.0313, 0.0358, 0.0403, 0.1186, 0.0694, 0.1432, 0.1141, 0.2103, 0.2125, 0.1298, 0.1119, 0.0917, 0.1588, 0.1186, 0.1365, 0.1208, 0.179, 0.0828, 0.1074, 0.1588, 0.2438, 0.1812, 0.1499, 0.0984, 0.1655, 0.1588, 0.1409, 0.0962, 0.0738, -0.0089, 0.047, 0.0224, 0.0604, 0.0604, 0.0313, 0.0179, 0.038, -0.0358, -0.0336, -0.0246, 0.0089, 0.0783, 0.179, 0.1834, 0.1969, 0.2192, 0.2148, 0.1678, 0.2327, 0.2058, 0.226, 0.2483, 0.2036, 0.217, 0.1477, 0.17, 0.2215, 0.1902, 0.1208, 0.085, 0.0537, 0.0246, 0.0, -0.0201, -0.0425, -0.038, -0.0157, 0.0224, 0.0134, 0.0134, 0.0022, 0.0626, 0.1342, 0.1275, 0.1879, 0.2103, 0.0895, 0.1074, -0.0112, -0.0358, -0.0291, 0.0022, 0.0, -0.0067, 0.0313, 0.0626, -0.0045, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0425, -0.0604, -0.0425, -0.038, -0.0224, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028189683205984507", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T19:24:37+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's not close", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses Zacks' view that OPEN is the more asymmetric upside play vs Z on housing recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Nugget_Trades @ZacksResearch @Opendoor It’s not close", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "LATEST⚡️: @ZacksResearch  names $OPEN the more asymmetric upside play vs. $Z, citing acquisition ramp, expanding ecosystem, and improving contribution margins under “@Opendoor 2.0.”\n\nWith a wider valuation gap and higher sensitivity to housing recovery, $OPEN is positioned for https://t.co/0wOnTcxJqr", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Nugget_Trades", "ret_m1d": 0.07326730130385206, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07326730130385206, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07383550125516714, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07508874688951028, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005681999513150737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018214455856582212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015841662875575313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015841662875575313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007027411963089647, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010832643412216458, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008814250912485666, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005009019463358855, "ret_p1w": 0.005940540958044194, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005940540958044194, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0177561677618846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02734301172031428, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815626803840407, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021402470762270087, "ret_p1m": -0.07326739572704821, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07326739572704821, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023347686599652584, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009160802438029969, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991970912739563, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06410659328901824, "ret_p3m": 0.003960392113094846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003960392113094846, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09843306525577278, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013992710558485166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239345736886762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017953102671580012, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07326739572704821, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.023347686599652584, "alpha_c_stated": -0.009160802438029969, "price_path": [0.3743, 0.501, 0.4158, 0.396, 0.4673, 0.3861, 0.396, 0.299, 0.2812, 0.3327, 0.2119, 0.2436, 0.2594, 0.2713, 0.2416, 0.2436, 0.2436, 0.1901, 0.1545, 0.1564, 0.1545, 0.1545, 0.202, 0.2515, 0.3723, 0.2119, 0.2733, 0.4436, 0.3901, 0.3406, 0.3149, 0.2475, 0.3208, 0.3208, 0.2653, 0.2832, 0.2713, 0.1901, 0.1624, 0.1505, 0.1406, 0.105, 0.0198, -0.0455, 0.0158, -0.0099, -0.0693, -0.0337, -0.0218, -0.0713, -0.0574, -0.1327, -0.1198, -0.1198, -0.1426, -0.0832, -0.0792, -0.0099, -0.0535, 0.0119, -0.0139, 0.0713, 0.0733, 0.0, -0.0158, -0.0337, 0.0257, -0.0099, 0.0059, -0.0079, 0.0436, -0.0416, -0.0198, 0.0257, 0.101, 0.0455, 0.0178, -0.0277, 0.0317, 0.0257, 0.0099, -0.0297, -0.0495, -0.1228, -0.0733, -0.095, -0.0614, -0.0614, -0.0871, -0.099, -0.0812, -0.1465, -0.1446, -0.1366, -0.1069, -0.0455, 0.0436, 0.0475, 0.0594, 0.0792, 0.0752, 0.0337, 0.0911, 0.0673, 0.0851, 0.105, 0.0653, 0.0772, 0.0158, 0.0356, 0.0812, 0.0535, -0.0079, -0.0396, -0.0673, -0.0931, -0.1149, -0.1327, -0.1525, -0.1485, -0.1287, -0.095, -0.103, -0.103, -0.1129, -0.0594, 0.004, -0.002, 0.0515, 0.0713, -0.0356, -0.0198, -0.1248, -0.1465, -0.1406, -0.1129, -0.1149, -0.1208, -0.0871, -0.0594, -0.1188, -0.1149, -0.1149, -0.1525, -0.1683, -0.1525, -0.1485, -0.1347, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2057812362158317742", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-22T13:14:34+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author discloses a live long position in ETH.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthughes13 @Mr_Derivatives I’m long", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@Mr_Derivatives Still looks like its bottoming though\n$ETH / $QQQ https://t.co/AXqob2A78S", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthughes13", "ret_m1d": 0.03234160912586659, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03234160912586659, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.036257761656802945, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.036257761656802945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161525309363565, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039161525309363565, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022635165056848594, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022635165056848594, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022635165056848594, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022635165056848594, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.025504942618047366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025504942618047366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040042773591983494, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040042773591983494, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537830973936128, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537830973936128, "ret_p1m": -0.16377024373302618, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16377024373302618, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16466575823286012, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16466575823286012, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0008955144998339382, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0008955144998339382, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16377024373302618, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16466575823286012, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16466575823286012, "price_path": [-0.1025, -0.0048, -0.0183, -0.0648, -0.0181, -0.0397, 0.03, 0.0034, -0.0416, -0.0347, -0.0133, -0.0063, 0.0041, 0.0135, 0.1388, 0.1227, 0.0673, 0.0353, 0.0396, 0.0424, 0.0441, 0.0501, -0.0025, -0.0355, -0.0199, 0.0194, 0.0359, -0.0038, -0.0054, 0.0209, 0.0858, 0.0609, 0.0603, 0.0874, 0.1482, 0.1253, 0.1428, 0.1376, 0.1726, 0.1214, 0.1275, 0.1509, 0.1293, 0.1216, 0.1155, 0.1089, 0.0914, 0.0928, 0.1116, 0.1365, 0.1436, 0.1386, 0.1097, 0.1174, 0.1331, 0.1017, 0.0934, 0.1048, 0.0769, 0.0309, 0.022, 0.0302, 0.0323, 0.0, 0.0226, 0.003, -0.0206, -0.0276, -0.0255, -0.0297, -0.1002, -0.1225, -0.1429, -0.2343, -0.1814, -0.2068, -0.2153, -0.19, -0.1935, -0.1306, -0.1328, -0.1534, -0.172, -0.1713, -0.1638, -0.1934, -0.2154, -0.2421, -0.2364, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031374201509261481", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T14:18:45+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I agree. If you want to be long Bitcoin treasury companies, you want to do it near the peak of bearish sentiment when the model is actually starting to work", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees with B. Riley Buy ratings on ASST and MSTR; bullish on Bitcoin treasury companies near peak bearish sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "B. Riley initiated ASST and MSTR with buy ratings yesterday. I agree. If you want to be long Bitcoin treasury companies, you want to do it near the peak of bearish sentiment when the model is actually starting to work. https://t.co/rcETYR7x6x", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05233845627095057, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05233845627095057, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.053948058503299645, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05773197582319867, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005393519552248094, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027839645071712438, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027839645071712438, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02909477962037821, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03622957291548912, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008389927843776679, "ret_p1w": 0.23608028366396172, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23608028366396172, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24551653597645107, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24606826006071314, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009987976396751419, "ret_p1m": 0.14142544794021195, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14142544794021195, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14042683128840383, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11339537963172619, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028030068308485756, "ret_p3m": 0.5501114460889369, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5501114460889369, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.45798781406734856, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4999948571827959, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05011658890614101, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14142544794021195, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.14042683128840383, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11339537963172619, "price_path": [1.0535, 0.922, 0.7572, 0.9154, 0.8285, 0.8508, 1.0022, 0.9287, 0.7929, 0.9198, 0.9198, 0.8151, 0.7216, 0.6303, 0.6437, 0.6437, 0.9265, 1.294, 1.3163, 1.2717, 1.2494, 1.1069, 1.4499, 1.1604, 1.294, 1.1626, 1.1114, 1.1114, 0.971, 0.9866, 0.9376, 0.9399, 0.7506, 0.8241, 0.784, 0.7483, 0.8285, 0.6102, 0.5189, 0.3185, 0.098, 0.3268, 0.1297, 0.0223, -0.0991, -0.1425, -0.0724, -0.0724, -0.0891, -0.1036, -0.0958, -0.0924, -0.1804, -0.2021, -0.049, -0.088, -0.1158, -0.0278, -0.0724, 0.0713, 0.0301, -0.0312, -0.0523, 0.0, 0.0278, -0.0167, 0.0612, 0.2094, 0.2361, 0.1175, 0.1425, 0.1158, 0.1626, 0.1058, 0.2082, 0.1592, 0.0974, 0.0434, 0.1158, 0.1314, 0.0857, 0.0857, 0.1269, 0.0317, 0.1414, 0.0735, 0.1837, 0.2895, 0.3842, 0.5067, 0.5568, 0.7383, 0.7394, 0.7049, 0.8552, 0.804, 0.7595, 0.7472, 0.7016, 0.6047, 0.7105, 0.8163, 0.8213, 0.8385, 0.8129, 0.7216, 0.7728, 0.9989, 0.9009, 0.8641, 0.9722, 0.8697, 0.7584, 0.7996, 0.8909, 1.0635, 1.0278, 1.0278, 1.0156, 0.9844, 0.9822, 0.9677, 0.9154, 0.7951, 0.6414, 0.6726, 0.5501, 0.6938, 0.5824, 0.6069, 0.6236, 0.6871, 0.8563, 0.7584, 0.7194, 0.6537, 0.6537, 0.6492, 0.5535, 0.3976, 0.2695, 0.2628, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031374201509261481", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-10T14:18:45+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I agree. If you want to be long Bitcoin treasury companies, you want to do it near the peak of bearish sentiment when the model is actually starting to work", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees with B. Riley Buy ratings on ASST and MSTR; bullish on Bitcoin treasury companies near peak bearish sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "B. Riley initiated ASST and MSTR with buy ratings yesterday. I agree. If you want to be long Bitcoin treasury companies, you want to do it near the peak of bearish sentiment when the model is actually starting to work. https://t.co/rcETYR7x6x", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0035388575084180918, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0035388575084180918, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0019292552760690196, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0019292552760690196, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0009389345407238014, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0009389345407238014, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0003162000079419691, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0003162000079419691, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "ret_p1w": 0.08536755375042082, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08536755375042082, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09480380606291017, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09480380606291017, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "ret_p1m": -0.07337861598624218, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07337861598624218, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0743772326380503, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0743772326380503, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "ret_p3m": -0.130145915056179, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.130145915056179, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22226954707776736, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22226954707776736, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07337861598624218, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0743772326380503, "alpha_c_stated": -0.0743772326380503, "price_path": [0.3238, 0.2744, 0.1706, 0.2097, 0.1583, 0.1429, 0.1904, 0.1868, 0.1403, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.147, 0.1223, 0.1239, 0.0974, 0.0974, 0.1351, 0.1897, 0.1409, 0.1688, 0.2059, 0.1363, 0.1717, 0.2494, 0.2952, 0.2344, 0.2546, 0.2546, 0.1572, 0.1831, 0.1626, 0.178, 0.1598, 0.167, 0.1444, 0.0342, 0.0813, 0.0085, -0.0376, -0.0677, -0.2273, -0.0255, -0.0001, -0.0394, -0.0895, -0.1117, -0.0331, -0.0331, -0.0707, -0.0958, -0.0651, -0.0535, -0.1065, -0.1, -0.0203, -0.0365, -0.0647, -0.0059, -0.0417, 0.0576, 0.0098, -0.0356, 0.0035, 0.0, -0.0009, -0.0081, 0.0087, 0.0654, 0.0854, 0.0152, -0.0016, -0.0202, -0.0019, -0.016, 0.0048, -0.0399, -0.0898, -0.1229, -0.0987, -0.1132, -0.1346, -0.1346, -0.0778, -0.1065, -0.0734, -0.0693, -0.0709, -0.0441, -0.0076, 0.0367, 0.0757, 0.2027, 0.2336, 0.1842, 0.2954, 0.2456, 0.2352, 0.222, 0.1968, 0.1425, 0.1949, 0.2796, 0.3275, 0.3498, 0.3493, 0.2989, 0.3548, 0.4151, 0.3319, 0.2858, 0.3504, 0.2814, 0.2035, 0.189, 0.1975, 0.1906, 0.1548, 0.1548, 0.1551, 0.1137, 0.0952, 0.149, 0.0818, -0.0172, -0.086, -0.0657, -0.1301, -0.0813, -0.1548, -0.1669, -0.1322, -0.1047, -0.0529, -0.113, -0.1582, -0.1873, -0.1873, -0.2094, -0.25, -0.3202, -0.3837, -0.4055, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027921245732556959", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T01:37:56+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bullish.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Opendoor after receiving first-ever direct mail offer, seeing it as positive progress in outreach.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I got an offer in the mail from Opendoor today. It’s the first time I’ve ever received any mail from Opendoor. It’s for about $600,000-$800,000 less than what I would sell this house for but it’s still great progress by the team to reach out directly to more homeowners. Bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07326730130385206, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07326730130385206, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07383550125516714, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07508874688951028, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005681999513150737, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018214455856582212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015841662875575313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015841662875575313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007027411963089647, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010832643412216458, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.008814250912485666, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005009019463358855, "ret_p1w": 0.005940540958044194, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005940540958044194, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0177561677618846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02734301172031428, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815626803840407, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021402470762270087, "ret_p1m": -0.07326739572704821, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07326739572704821, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023347686599652584, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009160802438029969, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991970912739563, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06410659328901824, "ret_p3m": 0.003960392113094846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003960392113094846, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09843306525577278, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013992710558485166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239345736886762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017953102671580012, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07326739572704821, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.023347686599652584, "alpha_c_stated": -0.009160802438029969, "price_path": [0.3743, 0.501, 0.4158, 0.396, 0.4673, 0.3861, 0.396, 0.299, 0.2812, 0.3327, 0.2119, 0.2436, 0.2594, 0.2713, 0.2416, 0.2436, 0.2436, 0.1901, 0.1545, 0.1564, 0.1545, 0.1545, 0.202, 0.2515, 0.3723, 0.2119, 0.2733, 0.4436, 0.3901, 0.3406, 0.3149, 0.2475, 0.3208, 0.3208, 0.2653, 0.2832, 0.2713, 0.1901, 0.1624, 0.1505, 0.1406, 0.105, 0.0198, -0.0455, 0.0158, -0.0099, -0.0693, -0.0337, -0.0218, -0.0713, -0.0574, -0.1327, -0.1198, -0.1198, -0.1426, -0.0832, -0.0792, -0.0099, -0.0535, 0.0119, -0.0139, 0.0713, 0.0733, 0.0, -0.0158, -0.0337, 0.0257, -0.0099, 0.0059, -0.0079, 0.0436, -0.0416, -0.0198, 0.0257, 0.101, 0.0455, 0.0178, -0.0277, 0.0317, 0.0257, 0.0099, -0.0297, -0.0495, -0.1228, -0.0733, -0.095, -0.0614, -0.0614, -0.0871, -0.099, -0.0812, -0.1465, -0.1446, -0.1366, -0.1069, -0.0455, 0.0436, 0.0475, 0.0594, 0.0792, 0.0752, 0.0337, 0.0911, 0.0673, 0.0851, 0.105, 0.0653, 0.0772, 0.0158, 0.0356, 0.0812, 0.0535, -0.0079, -0.0396, -0.0673, -0.0931, -0.1149, -0.1327, -0.1525, -0.1485, -0.1287, -0.095, -0.103, -0.103, -0.1129, -0.0594, 0.004, -0.002, 0.0515, 0.0713, -0.0356, -0.0198, -0.1248, -0.1465, -0.1406, -0.1129, -0.1149, -0.1208, -0.0871, -0.0594, -0.1188, -0.1149, -0.1149, -0.1525, -0.1683, -0.1525, -0.1485, -0.1347, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036795481490411557", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T13:20:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The 4 year bear market is ending now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Crypto bear market is ending; implied bullish on crypto broadly.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@willywoo Everything is fine. The 4 year bear market is ending now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I'm seeing crypto folk falling into the trough of dispair after an abysmal bull market with mainly losers and BTC outperforming their \"beta\".\n\nLet me tell you a story that tells you why you got screwed. It starts with the end of FTX.\n\nWhen the bankruptcy folk came in to liquidate", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "willywoo", "ret_m1d": -0.011106783607855886, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011106783607855886, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005564978118110853, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005564978118110853, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541805489745033, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541805489745033, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03531428903229905, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03531428903229905, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017455559048955016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017455559048955016, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858729983344035, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858729983344035, "ret_p1w": -0.04531388914908685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04531388914908685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.042908378125194435, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042908378125194435, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405511023892415, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405511023892415, "ret_p1m": 0.09758914245866834, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09758914245866834, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018983060633654958, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018983060633654958, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860608182501339, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860608182501339, "ret_p3m": -0.10318033144292649, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10318033144292649, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23942430206028953, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23942430206028953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.13624397061736304, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13624397061736304, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.09758914245866834, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.018983060633654958, "alpha_c_stated": 0.018983060633654958, "price_path": [0.2243, 0.222, 0.2401, 0.2272, 0.2443, 0.2613, 0.3165, 0.3144, 0.2804, 0.2765, 0.2693, 0.2788, 0.3367, 0.3593, 0.3399, 0.3396, 0.2979, 0.2384, 0.2534, 0.2546, 0.2551, 0.2378, 0.2495, 0.2507, 0.1858, 0.1798, 0.1035, 0.0606, 0.024, -0.1207, -0.0106, -0.0167, -0.0353, -0.0606, -0.0714, -0.0344, -0.0346, -0.0535, -0.0685, -0.061, -0.0463, -0.0939, -0.1014, -0.047, -0.0541, -0.0761, -0.0355, -0.0423, 0.0196, -0.0066, -0.0445, -0.0408, -0.0194, -0.0155, -0.0114, -0.0048, 0.0498, 0.0366, -0.0009, -0.0196, -0.011, -0.0055, -0.0111, 0.0, -0.0353, -0.0697, -0.0648, -0.0431, -0.0453, -0.062, -0.0614, -0.0344, 0.0088, -0.0026, 0.0064, 0.0234, 0.0445, 0.0403, 0.049, 0.0539, 0.0816, 0.064, 0.0707, 0.0967, 0.0976, 0.0862, 0.0849, 0.0707, 0.0626, 0.07, 0.0963, 0.1195, 0.1349, 0.1419, 0.122, 0.1245, 0.1461, 0.1286, 0.1117, 0.1366, 0.1088, 0.0792, 0.0763, 0.0862, 0.0874, 0.0586, 0.0837, 0.0633, 0.0426, 0.0312, 0.0289, 0.0001, -0.0646, -0.1023, -0.1053, -0.1457, -0.1153, -0.1356, -0.1383, -0.1087, -0.1089, -0.0704, -0.0801, -0.0966, -0.118, -0.1089, -0.1032, -0.1212, -0.1446, -0.1625, -0.1584, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058308482978504750", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-23T22:05:58+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stocks like OPEN will go up 2-3x", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on OPEN (2-3x), BTC ($100K), and CIFR ($42) once Iran tensions resolve and yields plummet.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When there is a permanent solution to this minor flare-up in Iran, yields will plummet and stocks like OPEN will go up 2-3x, BTC is headed to $100,000, CIFR to $42, etc. The main people on X who are saying this can’t or won’t happen are completely broke financially/spiritually.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011160756812943928, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011160756812943928, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01775561725190944, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014515708844359598, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00335495203141567, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06026785262879364, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06026785262879364, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06044109479353965, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.062057131689365774, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017892790605721354, "ret_p1w": 0.2075892465132081, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2075892465132081, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19562534643015783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2348761610125396, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027286914499331516, "ret_p1m": -0.04464281437804518, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04464281437804518, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024044280226878434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.048893137522411645, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020598534151166747, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0042503231443664635, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.04464281437804518, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.024044280226878434, "alpha_c_stated": -0.048893137522411645, "price_path": [0.2076, 0.2098, 0.1272, 0.1094, 0.0893, 0.1562, 0.1161, 0.1339, 0.1183, 0.1763, 0.0804, 0.1049, 0.1562, 0.2411, 0.1786, 0.1473, 0.096, 0.1629, 0.1562, 0.1384, 0.0938, 0.0714, -0.0112, 0.0446, 0.0201, 0.058, 0.058, 0.029, 0.0156, 0.0357, -0.0379, -0.0357, -0.0268, 0.0067, 0.0759, 0.1763, 0.1808, 0.1942, 0.2165, 0.2121, 0.1652, 0.2299, 0.2031, 0.2232, 0.2455, 0.2009, 0.2143, 0.1451, 0.1674, 0.2188, 0.1875, 0.1183, 0.0826, 0.0513, 0.0223, -0.0022, -0.0223, -0.0446, -0.0402, -0.0179, 0.0201, 0.0112, 0.0112, 0.0, 0.0603, 0.1317, 0.125, 0.1853, 0.2076, 0.0871, 0.1049, -0.0134, -0.0379, -0.0312, 0.0, -0.0022, -0.0089, 0.029, 0.0603, -0.0067, -0.0022, -0.0022, -0.0446, -0.0625, -0.0446, -0.0402, -0.0246, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058308482978504750", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-23T22:05:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC is headed to $100,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on OPEN (2-3x), BTC ($100K), and CIFR ($42) once Iran tensions resolve and yields plummet.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When there is a permanent solution to this minor flare-up in Iran, yields will plummet and stocks like OPEN will go up 2-3x, BTC is headed to $100,000, CIFR to $42, etc. The main people on X who are saying this can’t or won’t happen are completely broke financially/spiritually.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023184383154140065, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023184383154140065, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016589522715174554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016589522715174554, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01881724424932052, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01881724424932052, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018644002084574507, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018644002084574507, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "ret_p1w": -0.07712424524842776, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07712424524842776, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08908814533147802, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08908814533147802, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "ret_p1m": -0.1890776844044343, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1890776844044343, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16847915025326754, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16847915025326754, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020598534151166747, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020598534151166747, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.1890776844044343, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.16847915025326754, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16847915025326754, "price_path": [-0.1206, -0.1272, -0.1475, -0.11, -0.1163, -0.0591, -0.0833, -0.1183, -0.1149, -0.0951, -0.0916, -0.0878, -0.0817, -0.0313, -0.0434, -0.0781, -0.0953, -0.0874, -0.0824, -0.0875, -0.0773, -0.1098, -0.1416, -0.137, -0.1171, -0.1191, -0.1345, -0.1339, -0.109, -0.0691, -0.0797, -0.0713, -0.0557, -0.0362, -0.0401, -0.032, -0.0275, -0.002, -0.0182, -0.012, 0.0119, 0.0128, 0.0023, 0.0011, -0.012, -0.0195, -0.0126, 0.0116, 0.033, 0.0472, 0.0537, 0.0353, 0.0376, 0.0576, 0.0414, 0.0258, 0.0488, 0.0231, -0.0042, -0.0068, 0.0023, 0.0034, -0.0232, 0.0, -0.0188, -0.038, -0.0484, -0.0506, -0.0771, -0.1369, -0.1717, -0.1744, -0.2117, -0.1836, -0.2023, -0.2048, -0.1775, -0.1778, -0.1422, -0.1511, -0.1664, -0.1861, -0.1778, -0.1725, -0.1891, -0.2107, -0.2272, -0.2234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058308482978504750", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-23T22:05:58+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR to $42", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on OPEN (2-3x), BTC ($100K), and CIFR ($42) once Iran tensions resolve and yields plummet.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When there is a permanent solution to this minor flare-up in Iran, yields will plummet and stocks like OPEN will go up 2-3x, BTC is headed to $100,000, CIFR to $42, etc. The main people on X who are saying this can’t or won’t happen are completely broke financially/spiritually.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04561255966678568, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04561255966678568, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03901769922782017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01995623897391663, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02565632069286905, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09296261281900664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09296261281900664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09313585498375265, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09679761909227358, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038350062732669388, "ret_p1w": 0.14205040802511526, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14205040802511526, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.130086507942065, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07145513461506137, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0705952734100539, "ret_p1m": 0.13900950442907556, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13900950442907556, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1596080385802423, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14911934539216742, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020598534151166747, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010109840963091865, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13900950442907556, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1596080385802423, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14911934539216742, "price_path": [-0.2841, -0.3223, -0.3154, -0.361, -0.3032, -0.3419, -0.4083, -0.3784, -0.3936, -0.3871, -0.4044, -0.3884, -0.3423, -0.3445, -0.3627, -0.364, -0.3914, -0.3532, -0.3536, -0.3102, -0.3766, -0.4029, -0.4781, -0.4409, -0.4509, -0.4431, -0.4431, -0.4201, -0.3914, -0.3301, -0.2893, -0.2819, -0.2285, -0.1985, -0.2181, -0.2467, -0.1586, -0.162, -0.2163, -0.1555, -0.1881, -0.2094, -0.2111, -0.2502, -0.265, -0.2294, -0.2598, -0.2228, -0.04, -0.0482, -0.1014, -0.1073, -0.119, -0.1286, -0.0773, -0.0317, -0.1169, -0.1694, -0.1833, -0.1538, -0.0652, -0.0456, -0.0456, 0.0, 0.093, 0.0682, 0.0274, 0.043, 0.1421, 0.1399, 0.1099, -0.0248, 0.0552, 0.0007, -0.0869, -0.0169, 0.0643, 0.1308, 0.1386, 0.1447, 0.2676, 0.2676, 0.2224, 0.2007, 0.139, 0.1156, 0.1268, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041722053267747120", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-08T03:37:25+00:00", "symbol": "AI infrastructure", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think the greater risk is that it accelerates higher.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Believes AI capex spend risk is to the upside, not a slowdown — implicitly bullish on AI infrastructure buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA", "ANET", "VRT", "EQIX", "SMCI"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "AI infrastructure basket: GPU, networking, DC, power", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@meggmcnulty I think the greater risk is that it accelerates higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Early innings maybe, but this kind of spend only holds if utilization stays high. If demand or efficiency shifts even a bit, that capex curve can flatten faster than expected.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "meggmcnulty", "ret_m1d": -0.04639507740796425, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04639507740796425, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021558031428896812, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016329319209106435, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.02483704597906744, "bench_c_m1d": -0.030065758198857817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00938150712348576, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00938150712348576, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003612489424300175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006699598191728412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005769017699185586, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026819089317573486, "ret_p1w": 0.0844760291532875, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0844760291532875, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04907720547819178, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02370956213648684, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398823675095725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06076646701680066, "ret_p1m": 0.16845744455168593, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16845744455168593, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08625455457543113, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029157107753139455, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0822028899762548, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19761455230482539, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16845744455168593, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08625455457543113, "alpha_c_stated": -0.029157107753139455, "price_path": [-0.1246, -0.1224, -0.1207, -0.1348, -0.1109, -0.0738, -0.0738, -0.0968, -0.08, -0.0596, -0.0703, -0.0646, -0.0474, -0.0356, -0.0471, -0.0782, -0.0767, -0.0774, -0.056, -0.0928, -0.0141, -0.0078, -0.0094, 0.0181, 0.0028, 0.0129, 0.0129, 0.017, 0.0004, 0.021, 0.0192, -0.0026, 0.0126, 0.0576, 0.0332, 0.0426, 0.0299, -0.0009, 0.0432, 0.0414, 0.0092, 0.0457, 0.0557, 0.056, 0.0362, 0.0276, 0.0514, 0.0452, 0.0338, 0.0431, -0.091, -0.0697, -0.0589, -0.0271, -0.09, -0.0969, -0.1294, -0.0811, -0.0686, -0.0551, -0.0551, -0.0668, -0.0464, 0.0, 0.0094, 0.0398, 0.0663, 0.093, 0.0845, 0.106, 0.1294, 0.1466, 0.1488, 0.1607, 0.1437, 0.1761, 0.1497, 0.1121, 0.1122, 0.149, 0.146, 0.1567, 0.1594, 0.2108, 0.1685, 0.1885, 0.1878, 0.1885, 0.1786, 0.208, 0.167, 0.1375, 0.1155, 0.1438, 0.1679, 0.2039, 0.2039, 0.2234, 0.2231, 0.2529, 0.3124, 0.3427, 0.401, 0.3685, 0.3448, 0.2455, 0.2699, 0.2162, 0.0809, 0.134, 0.1373, 0.1617, 0.1389, 0.1327, 0.1864, 0.1864, 0.2742, 0.1947, 0.1777, 0.1822, 0.1391, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031829676310872343", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T20:28:39+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This company will inevitably be a $20 or even $100B company as long as Kaz is able to serve as CEO", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish OPEN; sees it reaching $20–$100B market cap under current CEO.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FuturisticKab @nejatian It is never too early to take security seriously. This is a very bad take. This company will inevitably be a $20 or even $100B company as long as Kaz is able to serve as CEO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@nejatian @mikealfred Get $OPEN to a $20B company first then we might actually need mandatory security to protect us shareholders from your premium. Right now it feels a bit early… lol 😄", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FuturisticKab", "ret_m1d": 0.08884293693848488, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08884293693848488, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0734238320802807, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08243568538886614, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006407251549618742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022727201076311987, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022727201076311987, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028387336828920917, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020116808690071375, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002610392386240612, "ret_p1w": 0.06198341000822061, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06198341000822061, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07138199352334351, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06720419478070183, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005220784772481224, "ret_p1m": -0.10743800920098645, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10743800920098645, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13034230066375396, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13040458983517522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02296658063418877, "ret_p3m": -0.10330578186710504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10330578186710504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21290989203160016, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17763572829407592, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07432994642697088, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10743800920098645, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13034230066375396, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13040458983517522, "price_path": [0.3368, 0.3905, 0.2645, 0.2975, 0.314, 0.3264, 0.2955, 0.2975, 0.2975, 0.2417, 0.2045, 0.2066, 0.2045, 0.2045, 0.2541, 0.3058, 0.4318, 0.2645, 0.3285, 0.5062, 0.4504, 0.3988, 0.3719, 0.3017, 0.3781, 0.3781, 0.3202, 0.3388, 0.3264, 0.2417, 0.2128, 0.2004, 0.1901, 0.1529, 0.064, -0.0041, 0.0599, 0.0331, -0.0289, 0.0083, 0.0207, -0.031, -0.0165, -0.095, -0.0816, -0.0816, -0.1054, -0.0434, -0.0393, 0.0331, -0.0124, 0.0558, 0.0289, 0.1178, 0.1198, 0.0434, 0.0269, 0.0083, 0.0702, 0.0331, 0.0496, 0.0351, 0.0888, 0.0, 0.0227, 0.0702, 0.1488, 0.0909, 0.062, 0.0145, 0.0764, 0.0702, 0.0537, 0.0124, -0.0083, -0.0847, -0.0331, -0.0558, -0.0207, -0.0207, -0.0475, -0.0599, -0.0413, -0.1095, -0.1074, -0.0992, -0.0682, -0.0041, 0.0888, 0.093, 0.1054, 0.126, 0.1219, 0.0785, 0.1384, 0.1136, 0.1322, 0.1529, 0.1116, 0.124, 0.0599, 0.0806, 0.1281, 0.0992, 0.0351, 0.0021, -0.0269, -0.0537, -0.0764, -0.095, -0.1157, -0.1116, -0.0909, -0.0558, -0.064, -0.064, -0.0744, -0.0186, 0.0475, 0.0413, 0.0971, 0.1178, 0.0062, 0.0227, -0.0868, -0.1095, -0.1033, -0.0744, -0.0764, -0.0826, -0.0475, -0.0186, -0.0806, -0.0764, -0.0764, -0.1157, -0.1322, -0.1157, -0.1116, -0.0971, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059097293899563480", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-26T02:20:25+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Someone big is walking CIFR up in the overnight market again. Whoever this is never seems to miss. Big week likely.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: smart money walking it up overnight, big week expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Someone big is walking CIFR up in the overnight market again. Whoever this is never seems to miss. Big week likely.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04561255966678568, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04561255966678568, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03901769922782017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01995623897391663, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02565632069286905, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09296261281900664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09296261281900664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09313585498375265, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09679761909227358, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038350062732669388, "ret_p1w": 0.14205040802511526, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14205040802511526, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.130086507942065, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07145513461506137, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0705952734100539, "ret_p1m": 0.13900950442907556, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13900950442907556, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1596080385802423, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14911934539216742, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020598534151166747, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010109840963091865, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": 0.14205040802511526, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.130086507942065, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07145513461506137, "price_path": [-0.2841, -0.3223, -0.3154, -0.361, -0.3032, -0.3419, -0.4083, -0.3784, -0.3936, -0.3871, -0.4044, -0.3884, -0.3423, -0.3445, -0.3627, -0.364, -0.3914, -0.3532, -0.3536, -0.3102, -0.3766, -0.4029, -0.4781, -0.4409, -0.4509, -0.4431, -0.4431, -0.4201, -0.3914, -0.3301, -0.2893, -0.2819, -0.2285, -0.1985, -0.2181, -0.2467, -0.1586, -0.162, -0.2163, -0.1555, -0.1881, -0.2094, -0.2111, -0.2502, -0.265, -0.2294, -0.2598, -0.2228, -0.04, -0.0482, -0.1014, -0.1073, -0.119, -0.1286, -0.0773, -0.0317, -0.1169, -0.1694, -0.1833, -0.1538, -0.0652, -0.0456, -0.0456, 0.0, 0.093, 0.0682, 0.0274, 0.043, 0.1421, 0.1399, 0.1099, -0.0248, 0.0552, 0.0007, -0.0869, -0.0169, 0.0643, 0.1308, 0.1386, 0.1447, 0.2676, 0.2676, 0.2224, 0.2007, 0.139, 0.1156, 0.1268, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2070356509880639643", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-26T04:00:31+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been panic buying Bitcoin for the last hour... do not want to be caught underexposed", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Aggressively buying Bitcoin; fears missing mid-cycle continuation and wants more exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve been panic buying Bitcoin for the last hour. Started at $58,400 and stopped at $59,600 when I realized I might be moving the price too much. I am deeply concerned that this mid-cycle blip might end sooner than the doomers think and do not want to be caught underexposed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004911220273927541, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004911220273927541, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012195267558152367, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012195267558152367, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007284047284224826, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007284047284224826, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1369, 0.1343, 0.1145, 0.1152, 0.1473, 0.1987, 0.1851, 0.1958, 0.216, 0.2411, 0.236, 0.2464, 0.2522, 0.2851, 0.2642, 0.2722, 0.303, 0.3041, 0.2906, 0.2891, 0.2722, 0.2626, 0.2714, 0.3026, 0.3301, 0.3484, 0.3568, 0.3331, 0.3361, 0.3618, 0.3409, 0.3209, 0.3505, 0.3174, 0.2822, 0.2788, 0.2906, 0.292, 0.2578, 0.2876, 0.2634, 0.2387, 0.2253, 0.2225, 0.1883, 0.1114, 0.0666, 0.0631, 0.0151, 0.0512, 0.0271, 0.0239, 0.0591, 0.0588, 0.1045, 0.093, 0.0733, 0.048, 0.0587, 0.0656, 0.0442, 0.0163, -0.0049, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2054943019351372071", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-14T15:12:49+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's more like 885,000 shares if you include all personal RSUs and options", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds ~885,000 shares of IREN including RSUs and options — ongoing long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@solidasarock77 @YeeTak8 It's more like 885,000 shares if you include all personal RSUs and options", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @YeeTak8 I read where he said you had 800,000 shares or you controlled 800,000 shares of IREN then here your disclosing 750k did you trim 50,000 or you have some options or something? Any changes there?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "solidasarock77", "ret_m1d": -0.0553082752147237, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0553082752147237, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0474757923960244, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04945915794488198, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832482818699305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005849117269841719, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09349319788545585, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09349319788545585, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08146385412865964, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0897887345572097, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029343756796207, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037044633282461437, "ret_p1w": -0.005821920268910041, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005821920268910041, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0014625733796910234, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014400536035292344, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007284493648601065, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008578615766382303, "ret_p1m": 0.02345888520700945, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02345888520700945, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03203982308474884, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01650989621457777, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008580937877739392, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03996878142158722, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02345888520700945, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.03203982308474884, "alpha_c_stated": -0.01650989621457777, "price_path": [-0.2771, -0.2985, -0.2795, -0.2587, -0.3154, -0.2747, -0.2217, -0.2461, -0.2425, -0.2988, -0.2913, -0.3348, -0.2493, -0.3129, -0.3716, -0.3349, -0.3473, -0.2812, -0.2916, -0.288, -0.2305, -0.2644, -0.2772, -0.2866, -0.293, -0.2781, -0.2959, -0.2906, -0.3587, -0.3991, -0.4586, -0.413, -0.4163, -0.4046, -0.4046, -0.3985, -0.388, -0.3693, -0.3654, -0.3267, -0.2625, -0.1889, -0.164, -0.1832, -0.176, -0.1658, -0.2265, -0.1714, -0.1092, -0.1329, -0.1719, -0.239, -0.2661, -0.2207, -0.2182, -0.1527, -0.0627, 0.0442, -0.0265, 0.0479, -0.0557, -0.0315, -0.0553, 0.0, -0.0935, -0.136, -0.1825, -0.0974, -0.0058, -0.0269, -0.0269, 0.0236, 0.1616, 0.0967, 0.088, 0.1187, 0.1404, 0.1212, 0.0592, -0.0693, 0.0135, -0.075, -0.1178, -0.0289, 0.0235, 0.042, 0.0134, -0.005, 0.0267, 0.0267, -0.0262, -0.063, -0.1387, -0.1825, -0.1916, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051776682630238642", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-05T21:30:55+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR: $22.10\nYou were warned. Tick tock.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Both WULF and CIFR expected to re-converge and meet at $40-50; progress update reinforces the call.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Update:\nWULF: $23.49\nCIFR: $22.10\n\nYou were warned. Tick tock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "WULF has become untethered from CIFR despite having a very similar business and operating model. Interesting relative value opportunity. I expect them to re-converge as they have several times since 2024. WULF is currently $22.53 and CIFR is $18.22. Likely meet at $40-50. Mark it", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008671863778221711, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008671863778221711, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02238071861824409, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03454965240274066, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013708854840022378, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02587778862451895, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05591056093112734, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05591056093112734, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05284447851205676, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.053910976930854226, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030660824190705815, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019995840002731136, "ret_p1w": -0.030579647693292022, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030579647693292022, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04213543206470227, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07069028744786121, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01155578437141025, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04011063975456919, "ret_p1m": 0.16613415860330893, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16613415860330893, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1344374089892273, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030040521826776745, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03169674961408164, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1360936367765322, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.16613415860330893, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1344374089892273, "alpha_c_stated": 0.030040521826776745, "price_path": [-0.3277, -0.2351, -0.2195, -0.257, -0.2652, -0.2506, -0.2506, -0.2862, -0.2962, -0.2789, -0.3314, -0.3053, -0.2186, -0.2419, -0.2478, -0.288, -0.2807, -0.3286, -0.2679, -0.3085, -0.3784, -0.3469, -0.3628, -0.356, -0.3743, -0.3574, -0.309, -0.3113, -0.3304, -0.3318, -0.3606, -0.3204, -0.3209, -0.2752, -0.345, -0.3727, -0.4516, -0.4126, -0.4231, -0.4149, -0.4149, -0.3907, -0.3606, -0.2962, -0.2533, -0.2455, -0.1894, -0.1579, -0.1785, -0.2086, -0.1159, -0.1196, -0.1766, -0.1127, -0.147, -0.1693, -0.1712, -0.2122, -0.2277, -0.1903, -0.2223, -0.1835, 0.0087, 0.0, -0.0559, -0.0621, -0.0744, -0.0844, -0.0306, 0.0173, -0.0721, -0.1273, -0.1419, -0.1109, -0.0178, 0.0027, 0.0027, 0.0507, 0.1483, 0.1223, 0.0794, 0.0958, 0.1999, 0.1976, 0.1661, 0.0246, 0.1086, 0.0513, -0.0406, 0.0329, 0.1182, 0.188, 0.1963, 0.2026, 0.3318, 0.3318, 0.2843, 0.2615, 0.1967, 0.1721, 0.1839, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051776682630238642", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-05T21:30:55+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WULF: $23.49\nYou were warned. Tick tock.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Both WULF and CIFR expected to re-converge and meet at $40-50; progress update reinforces the call.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Update:\nWULF: $23.49\nCIFR: $22.10\n\nYou were warned. Tick tock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "WULF has become untethered from CIFR despite having a very similar business and operating model. Interesting relative value opportunity. I expect them to re-converge as they have several times since 2024. WULF is currently $22.53 and CIFR is $18.22. Likely meet at $40-50. Mark it", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08741258818986608, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08741258818986608, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0737037333498437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0825900742339507, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.013708854840022378, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004822513955915375, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06682204074004827, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06682204074004827, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06375595832097769, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06122793341243671, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030660824190705815, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005594107327611564, "ret_p1w": -0.10178706119588088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10178706119588088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11334284556729113, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08539049897701789, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01155578437141025, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016396562218862987, "ret_p1m": 0.017482547278200977, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017482547278200977, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014214202335880666, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.010731012971168852, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03169674961408164, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006751534307032125, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.017482547278200977, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.014214202335880666, "alpha_c_stated": 0.010731012971168852, "price_path": [-0.4448, -0.3531, -0.3539, -0.3772, -0.3819, -0.3683, -0.3683, -0.3714, -0.4025, -0.399, -0.4169, -0.3908, -0.3178, -0.3038, -0.3054, -0.3699, -0.3776, -0.4274, -0.4029, -0.4083, -0.4658, -0.4619, -0.4425, -0.4087, -0.4301, -0.4301, -0.3625, -0.3768, -0.4056, -0.3885, -0.4134, -0.371, -0.3699, -0.345, -0.4037, -0.4215, -0.4678, -0.4394, -0.4375, -0.4219, -0.4219, -0.3959, -0.3563, -0.2988, -0.2607, -0.2669, -0.2444, -0.1861, -0.2358, -0.2498, -0.1981, -0.2036, -0.2319, -0.2016, -0.2086, -0.2226, -0.1674, -0.1919, -0.2222, -0.1558, -0.1721, -0.134, -0.0874, 0.0, -0.0668, -0.0913, -0.0921, -0.1142, -0.1018, -0.061, -0.1329, -0.1787, -0.1709, -0.1597, -0.1096, -0.1134, -0.1134, -0.0218, 0.0389, 0.0256, -0.007, -0.0031, 0.0291, 0.0163, 0.0175, -0.0676, 0.0047, -0.0171, -0.0991, -0.0152, 0.0124, 0.0944, 0.0882, 0.0824, 0.1259, 0.1259, 0.0998, 0.1181, 0.0478, 0.0124, 0.0035, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2040619674128224281", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-05T02:36:57+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "Why settle for $6 when you might get 75 cents?", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastic dismissal of parent's $6 buy-zone; implies CIFR could fall to $0.75, effectively bearish.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Cantal_Capital Why settle for $6 when you might get 75 cents?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR has broken below the wedge and is now trading sub Wave C. I’m waiting for the $6 gap to get filled before entering. My buy zone remains $6–$8. https://t.co/GCehrbOLPB", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Cantal_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.03970042483153535, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03970042483153535, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.034995817696876985, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.033924813545554655, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704607134658367, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005775611285980697, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04943818940471445, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04943818940471445, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04899818884008722, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044686106997013475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400005646272298, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004752082407700975, "ret_p1w": 0.33033705778266076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.33033705778266076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2891035814847427, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2657807995469055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04123347629791807, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06455625823575528, "ret_p1m": 0.6554306928818752, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.6554306928818752, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5570287177269555, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.444508018009107, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840197515491966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21092267487276817, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.6554306928818752, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.5570287177269555, "alpha_c_stated": -0.444508018009107, "price_path": [0.2045, 0.2397, 0.2457, 0.3243, 0.367, 0.3581, 0.3124, 0.4082, 0.4082, 0.3423, 0.3273, 0.3026, 0.3161, 0.2352, 0.4045, 0.421, 0.3258, 0.1955, 0.1843, 0.218, 0.0674, -0.0487, 0.1034, 0.2554, 0.2809, 0.2195, 0.206, 0.23, 0.23, 0.1715, 0.1551, 0.1835, 0.0974, 0.1401, 0.2824, 0.2442, 0.2345, 0.1685, 0.1805, 0.1019, 0.2015, 0.1348, 0.0202, 0.0719, 0.0457, 0.0569, 0.027, 0.0547, 0.1341, 0.1303, 0.0989, 0.0966, 0.0494, 0.1154, 0.1146, 0.1895, 0.0749, 0.0296, -0.1, -0.036, -0.0532, -0.0397, -0.0397, 0.0, 0.0494, 0.1551, 0.2255, 0.2382, 0.3303, 0.382, 0.3483, 0.2989, 0.4509, 0.4449, 0.3513, 0.4562, 0.4, 0.3633, 0.3603, 0.2929, 0.2674, 0.3288, 0.2764, 0.3401, 0.6554, 0.6412, 0.5494, 0.5393, 0.5191, 0.5026, 0.591, 0.6697, 0.5228, 0.4322, 0.4082, 0.4592, 0.612, 0.6457, 0.6457, 0.7243, 0.8846, 0.8419, 0.7715, 0.7985, 0.9693, 0.9655, 0.9139, 0.6816, 0.8195, 0.7255, 0.5745, 0.6951, 0.8352, 0.9498, 0.9633, 0.9738, 1.1858, 1.1858, 1.1079, 1.0704, 0.964, 0.9236, 0.9431, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045189239135170766", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-17T17:14:47+00:00", "symbol": "crypto", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is almost certainly the time to buy it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees now is the time to buy crypto broadly.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD", "ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Broad crypto: BTC+ETH as primary proxies", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LayahHeilpern Agreed. I almost never talk about \"crypto\" but this is almost certainly the time to buy it. Well said.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "It’s happening…\n\nPeople who don’t usually talk about crypto are asking me if now is a good time to buy\n\nYou know what that typically means...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LayahHeilpern", "ret_m1d": -0.02775948886391455, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02775948886391455, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01581812236934843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01581812236934843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011941366494566119, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011941366494566119, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029993830466738647, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029993830466738647, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02799409535171915, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02799409535171915, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019997351150194964, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019997351150194964, "ret_p1w": -0.01963421481078048, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01963421481078048, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024985253329658008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024985253329658008, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005351038518877527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005351038518877527, "ret_p1m": -0.061538230803624805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.061538230803624805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10168519457461495, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10168519457461495, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04014696377099014, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04014696377099014, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.061538230803624805, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.10168519457461495, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10168519457461495, "price_path": [0.1788, 0.1946, 0.1891, 0.1901, 0.1766, 0.2018, 0.1991, 0.1302, 0.1035, -0.0057, -0.0496, -0.0839, -0.2173, -0.1165, -0.111, -0.137, -0.1649, -0.1686, -0.1305, -0.1411, -0.151, -0.1658, -0.1636, -0.1525, -0.1979, -0.2019, -0.1351, -0.1441, -0.1742, -0.1355, -0.1478, -0.0895, -0.1129, -0.1496, -0.145, -0.126, -0.1212, -0.1149, -0.1078, -0.0291, -0.042, -0.083, -0.1053, -0.0995, -0.0958, -0.0976, -0.09, -0.1287, -0.1587, -0.1498, -0.123, -0.117, -0.1416, -0.142, -0.1183, -0.0706, -0.0866, -0.0826, -0.0632, -0.0275, -0.0393, -0.0278, -0.0278, 0.0, -0.03, -0.0242, -0.0023, -0.0111, -0.0196, -0.0228, -0.0322, -0.0434, -0.0394, -0.0192, 0.0021, 0.0123, 0.0134, -0.0081, -0.0037, 0.013, -0.0085, -0.0198, -0.0035, -0.0283, -0.0615, -0.0667, -0.0586, -0.0571, -0.0842, -0.063, -0.0808, -0.1004, -0.1087, -0.1088, -0.1239, -0.1839, -0.2108, -0.2209, -0.2786, -0.2419, -0.2622, -0.267, -0.2426, -0.2442, -0.1996, -0.205, -0.2214, -0.2392, -0.2347, -0.2289, -0.2498, -0.27, -0.2897, -0.2853, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2059346655695319395", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-26T18:51:18+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long term they can't stop the fundamentals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR long-term; short-term manipulation can't override the fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Freedom_By_40 So much short term manipulation in this name but long term they can’t stop the fundamentals", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR no changes, still crispy. \n\nWill post this ones brother $IREN next. https://t.co/1L5vOyAQEM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Freedom_By_40", "ret_m1d": -0.04561255966678568, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04561255966678568, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03901769922782017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01995623897391663, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02565632069286905, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09296261281900664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09296261281900664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09313585498375265, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09679761909227358, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038350062732669388, "ret_p1w": 0.14205040802511526, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14205040802511526, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.130086507942065, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07145513461506137, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0705952734100539, "ret_p1m": 0.13900950442907556, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13900950442907556, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1596080385802423, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14911934539216742, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020598534151166747, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010109840963091865, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.13900950442907556, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1596080385802423, "alpha_c_stated": 0.14911934539216742, "price_path": [-0.2841, -0.3223, -0.3154, -0.361, -0.3032, -0.3419, -0.4083, -0.3784, -0.3936, -0.3871, -0.4044, -0.3884, -0.3423, -0.3445, -0.3627, -0.364, -0.3914, -0.3532, -0.3536, -0.3102, -0.3766, -0.4029, -0.4781, -0.4409, -0.4509, -0.4431, -0.4431, -0.4201, -0.3914, -0.3301, -0.2893, -0.2819, -0.2285, -0.1985, -0.2181, -0.2467, -0.1586, -0.162, -0.2163, -0.1555, -0.1881, -0.2094, -0.2111, -0.2502, -0.265, -0.2294, -0.2598, -0.2228, -0.04, -0.0482, -0.1014, -0.1073, -0.119, -0.1286, -0.0773, -0.0317, -0.1169, -0.1694, -0.1833, -0.1538, -0.0652, -0.0456, -0.0456, 0.0, 0.093, 0.0682, 0.0274, 0.043, 0.1421, 0.1399, 0.1099, -0.0248, 0.0552, 0.0007, -0.0869, -0.0169, 0.0643, 0.1308, 0.1386, 0.1447, 0.2676, 0.2676, 0.2224, 0.2007, 0.139, 0.1156, 0.1268, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036425872899715258", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T12:52:17+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$78,000-$85,000 by early April", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "BTC reaches $78k–$85k by early April, extending the higher-high pattern.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr_Derivatives $78,000-$85,000 by early April", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Since $BTC hit $60,000 early last month, it has made a series of higher lows and higher highs.\n\nSitting right above the 50dma currently, another higher high above $76,000 would really get things going.\n\nJust need a nice 5-6% godlike candlestick here…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr_Derivatives", "ret_m1d": 0.005629779512858368, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005629779512858368, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002261658879578299, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002261658879578299, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033681206332800695, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033681206332800695, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011231529778693128, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011231529778693128, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005658841534644576, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005658841534644576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055726882440485515, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055726882440485515, "ret_p1w": -0.03239671333259331, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03239671333259331, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028048753644365543, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028048753644365543, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347959688227765, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347959688227765, "ret_p1m": 0.10898291944217142, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10898291944217142, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020140587247221342, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020140587247221342, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884233219495008, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884233219495008, "ret_p3m": -0.09893980757977316, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09893980757977316, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2451227259843527, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2451227259843527, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14618291840457953, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14618291840457953, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10898291944217142, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.020140587247221342, "alpha_c_stated": 0.020140587247221342, "price_path": [0.2371, 0.238, 0.2357, 0.254, 0.2409, 0.2583, 0.2755, 0.3313, 0.3292, 0.2948, 0.2908, 0.2835, 0.2932, 0.3517, 0.3745, 0.355, 0.3546, 0.3125, 0.2523, 0.2674, 0.2686, 0.2692, 0.2517, 0.2635, 0.2647, 0.1992, 0.193, 0.1159, 0.0725, 0.0355, -0.1108, 0.0005, -0.0056, -0.0244, -0.05, -0.0609, -0.0235, -0.0237, -0.0429, -0.058, -0.0505, -0.0356, -0.0837, -0.0913, -0.0363, -0.0435, -0.0657, -0.0247, -0.0315, 0.0311, 0.0046, -0.0338, -0.03, -0.0084, -0.0044, -0.0003, 0.0064, 0.0616, 0.0483, 0.0103, -0.0086, 0.0001, 0.0056, 0.0, 0.0112, -0.0245, -0.0593, -0.0543, -0.0324, -0.0346, -0.0515, -0.0509, -0.0235, 0.0202, 0.0086, 0.0177, 0.0349, 0.0563, 0.052, 0.0608, 0.0657, 0.0937, 0.0759, 0.0827, 0.109, 0.1099, 0.0984, 0.0971, 0.0827, 0.0746, 0.0821, 0.1086, 0.132, 0.1476, 0.1547, 0.1346, 0.1371, 0.159, 0.1412, 0.1242, 0.1494, 0.1212, 0.0913, 0.0884, 0.0984, 0.0996, 0.0705, 0.0959, 0.0753, 0.0543, 0.0428, 0.0405, 0.0114, -0.0541, -0.0922, -0.0952, -0.1361, -0.1053, -0.1258, -0.1286, -0.0987, -0.0989, -0.06, -0.0697, -0.0865, -0.1081, -0.0989, -0.0931, -0.1113, -0.135, -0.1531, -0.1489, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2054700410011844763", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-13T23:08:46+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agreed. At 2 million shares now. I'm sticky AF.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 2 million shares of OPEN and endorses the bullish monthly setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Agreed. At 2 million shares now. I’m sticky AF.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OPEN monthly set-up is still extremely bullish. https://t.co/PpTm5B9jbo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.024608532142612827, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024608532142612827, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03244101496131213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01777637945013466, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832482818699305, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006832152692478166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02013415659397011, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02013415659397011, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008104812837173903, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004647973036567388, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029343756796207, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015486183557402722, "ret_p1w": 0.02237145104327598, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02237145104327598, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029655944691877045, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934825656973677, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007284493648601065, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013436625386302303, "ret_p1m": -0.006711349972995273, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006711349972995273, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0018695879047441188, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03973345053218724, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.008580937877739392, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03302210055919197, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.006711349972995273, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.0018695879047441188, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03973345053218724, "price_path": [-0.0056, -0.0313, 0.0358, 0.0403, 0.1186, 0.0694, 0.1432, 0.1141, 0.2103, 0.2125, 0.1298, 0.1119, 0.0917, 0.1588, 0.1186, 0.1365, 0.1208, 0.179, 0.0828, 0.1074, 0.1588, 0.2438, 0.1812, 0.1499, 0.0984, 0.1655, 0.1588, 0.1409, 0.0962, 0.0738, -0.0089, 0.047, 0.0224, 0.0604, 0.0604, 0.0313, 0.0179, 0.038, -0.0358, -0.0336, -0.0246, 0.0089, 0.0783, 0.179, 0.1834, 0.1969, 0.2192, 0.2148, 0.1678, 0.2327, 0.2058, 0.226, 0.2483, 0.2036, 0.217, 0.1477, 0.17, 0.2215, 0.1902, 0.1208, 0.085, 0.0537, 0.0246, 0.0, -0.0201, -0.0425, -0.038, -0.0157, 0.0224, 0.0134, 0.0134, 0.0022, 0.0626, 0.1342, 0.1275, 0.1879, 0.2103, 0.0895, 0.1074, -0.0112, -0.0358, -0.0291, 0.0022, 0.0, -0.0067, 0.0313, 0.0626, -0.0045, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0425, -0.0604, -0.0425, -0.038, -0.0224, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032182265510576469", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T19:49:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "with a recovery in the asset you will probably also see a quick double or triple", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian buy on BTC miners BTDR and ABTC when sentiment is maximally bearish; expects quick 2–3x on Bitcoin recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm not saying you should but it there was ever a time to buy Bitcoin miners it's when literally everyone is bearish on the sector. Everyone hates BTC miners here but with a recovery in the asset you will probably also see a quick double or triple in names like BTDR and ABTC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004093686437893207, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004093686437893207, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019512791296097398, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019512791296097398, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006735442992662266, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006735442992662266, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012395578745271196, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012395578745271196, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "ret_p1w": -0.008237244522790954, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008237244522790954, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0011613389923319506, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0011613389923319506, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "ret_p1m": 0.03525980856158761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03525980856158761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012355517098820101, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012355517098820101, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "ret_p3m": -0.12553901553147162, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12553901553147162, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23514312569596674, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23514312569596674, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03525980856158761, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.012355517098820101, "alpha_c_stated": 0.012355517098820101, "price_path": [0.2259, 0.2461, 0.222, 0.2123, 0.2498, 0.2553, 0.24, 0.2428, 0.2375, 0.2384, 0.2361, 0.2544, 0.2414, 0.2587, 0.2759, 0.3318, 0.3296, 0.2953, 0.2913, 0.284, 0.2936, 0.3522, 0.375, 0.3555, 0.3551, 0.3129, 0.2528, 0.2679, 0.2691, 0.2697, 0.2521, 0.264, 0.2651, 0.1996, 0.1934, 0.1163, 0.0729, 0.0358, -0.1105, 0.0009, -0.0053, -0.0241, -0.0497, -0.0606, -0.0232, -0.0234, -0.0425, -0.0577, -0.0502, -0.0353, -0.0834, -0.091, -0.0359, -0.0431, -0.0654, -0.0244, -0.0312, 0.0315, 0.0049, -0.0334, -0.0297, -0.008, -0.0041, 0.0, 0.0067, 0.062, 0.0486, 0.0107, -0.0082, 0.0004, 0.006, 0.0003, 0.0116, -0.0241, -0.0589, -0.0539, -0.0321, -0.0343, -0.0511, -0.0505, -0.0232, 0.0205, 0.0089, 0.0181, 0.0353, 0.0566, 0.0523, 0.0612, 0.0661, 0.0941, 0.0763, 0.0831, 0.1094, 0.1103, 0.0988, 0.0975, 0.0831, 0.0749, 0.0824, 0.109, 0.1324, 0.148, 0.1551, 0.135, 0.1375, 0.1594, 0.1416, 0.1246, 0.1498, 0.1216, 0.0916, 0.0888, 0.0988, 0.0999, 0.0709, 0.0963, 0.0756, 0.0546, 0.0432, 0.0408, 0.0117, -0.0538, -0.0919, -0.0949, -0.1358, -0.105, -0.1255, -0.1283, -0.0983, -0.0986, -0.0596, -0.0694, -0.0862, -0.1078, -0.0986, -0.0928, -0.111, -0.1347, -0.1528, -0.1486, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032182265510576469", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-12T19:49:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTDR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a quick double or triple in names like BTDR and ABTC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian buy on BTC miners BTDR and ABTC when sentiment is maximally bearish; expects quick 2–3x on Bitcoin recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTDR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm not saying you should but it there was ever a time to buy Bitcoin miners it's when literally everyone is bearish on the sector. Everyone hates BTC miners here but with a recovery in the asset you will probably also see a quick double or triple in names like BTDR and ABTC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06948225360252414, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06948225360252414, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.054063148744319944, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.054063148744319944, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021798343880919058, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021798343880919058, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027458479633527988, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027458479633527988, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "ret_p1w": 0.16757486603084915, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16757486603084915, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17697344954597205, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17697344954597205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "ret_p1m": 0.46525884071664336, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.46525884071664336, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.44235454925387585, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.44235454925387585, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "ret_p3m": 1.3719345348070329, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3719345348070329, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2623304246425378, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2623304246425378, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.46525884071664336, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.44235454925387585, "alpha_c_stated": 0.44235454925387585, "price_path": [0.342, 0.3638, 0.3297, 0.3638, 0.5, 0.5368, 0.5409, 0.5654, 0.5654, 0.4632, 0.4986, 0.4782, 0.5272, 0.5272, 0.5736, 0.7003, 0.6308, 0.5668, 0.5981, 0.5681, 0.6717, 0.7398, 1.0109, 1.079, 1.158, 1.158, 0.985, 0.9332, 0.9128, 0.9796, 0.8937, 0.9605, 0.9033, 0.8065, 0.7766, 0.797, 0.7657, 0.7003, 0.4993, 0.7153, 0.8079, 0.6621, 0.6335, 0.4128, 0.3733, 0.3733, 0.2916, 0.3093, 0.0817, 0.0599, 0.0926, 0.1417, 0.1649, 0.0845, 0.049, 0.0586, 0.03, 0.0777, 0.0627, -0.0082, 0.0109, 0.0354, 0.0695, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.1172, 0.2602, 0.1866, 0.1676, 0.1049, 0.1757, 0.1213, 0.1717, 0.1866, 0.1403, 0.0736, 0.1785, 0.2725, 0.2732, 0.2732, 0.3093, 0.282, 0.4114, 0.4074, 0.4653, 0.532, 0.6308, 0.718, 0.6921, 0.7561, 0.7752, 0.6458, 0.7139, 0.6567, 0.6431, 0.5681, 0.5395, 0.4755, 0.5381, 0.6131, 0.6567, 0.7003, 1.0572, 0.8856, 0.8351, 0.7943, 0.748, 0.8011, 1.0095, 0.8188, 0.7916, 0.748, 0.8093, 1.0327, 0.9959, 0.9959, 1.0586, 1.1172, 1.5041, 1.3828, 1.5218, 1.5559, 1.6853, 1.6744, 1.3801, 1.5191, 1.3719, 1.1935, 1.4046, 1.4292, 1.4959, 1.4864, 1.4414, 1.4428, 1.4428, 1.3747, 1.3474, 1.3869, 1.233, 1.3365, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032182265510576469", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-12T19:49:42+00:00", "symbol": "ABTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a quick double or triple in names like BTDR and ABTC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian buy on BTC miners BTDR and ABTC when sentiment is maximally bearish; expects quick 2–3x on Bitcoin recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["ABTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm not saying you should but it there was ever a time to buy Bitcoin miners it's when literally everyone is bearish on the sector. Everyone hates BTC miners here but with a recovery in the asset you will probably also see a quick double or triple in names like BTDR and ABTC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07619052052227748, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07619052052227748, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06077141566407329, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059602383262933545, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016588137259343938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00952380087370197, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00952380087370197, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0038636651210930406, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010752508004781447, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012287071310794762, "ret_p1w": -0.028571402621105912, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028571402621105912, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019172819105983008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03184800750307537, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003276604881969458, "ret_p1m": -0.09333327126881152, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09333327126881152, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11623756273157904, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13840743063511285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045074159366301325, "ret_p3m": -0.18761902480438886, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18761902480438886, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.297223134968884, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2674809695941246, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07986194478973574, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.09333327126881152, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11623756273157904, "alpha_c_stated": -0.13840743063511285, "price_path": [0.5714, 0.5714, 0.5714, 0.5143, 0.6952, 0.8571, 0.7714, 0.7905, 0.7905, 0.8, 0.7238, 0.6381, 0.619, 0.619, 0.6952, 0.9238, 0.8762, 0.819, 0.819, 0.7429, 0.7333, 0.781, 0.6762, 0.6, 0.5619, 0.5619, 0.4857, 0.4952, 0.4857, 0.4571, 0.4381, 0.5143, 0.4857, 0.4667, 0.4381, 0.3619, 0.2857, 0.219, 0.0905, 0.2476, 0.2, 0.1429, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.0381, -0.0095, -0.0286, -0.0476, -0.0714, -0.0286, 0.0, 0.0286, -0.0286, -0.0286, -0.019, 0.0952, 0.1143, 0.0381, 0.0476, 0.1048, 0.0762, 0.0, -0.0095, -0.0095, 0.0095, -0.019, -0.0286, -0.0981, -0.081, -0.0962, -0.0638, -0.1305, -0.181, -0.2476, -0.12, -0.1257, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1571, -0.1695, -0.0819, -0.1029, -0.0933, -0.0571, -0.019, 0.0476, 0.0762, 0.2381, 0.2, 0.181, 0.2762, 0.2, 0.181, 0.1524, 0.1143, 0.0857, 0.0952, 0.1524, 0.1143, 0.1714, 0.1905, 0.1048, 0.1333, 0.1333, 0.0857, 0.0667, 0.1143, 0.0571, -0.019, -0.0286, 0.0571, 0.0762, 0.0571, 0.0571, 0.0286, 0.019, 0.0, 0.0762, 0.0286, -0.0514, -0.1105, -0.1295, -0.1781, -0.1419, -0.1876, -0.219, -0.2057, -0.1838, -0.1867, -0.2048, -0.1971, -0.1905, -0.1905, -0.2267, -0.2638, -0.2943, -0.3276, -0.3162, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047053786611699772", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T20:43:49+00:00", "symbol": "SATA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm not selling my shares.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding SATA shares; not a seller at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["SATA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ColeMacro @IIICapital Cool. Wasn’t me. I’m not selling my shares.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today 100,000 shares of $SATA traded at $100. https://t.co/Wp5sHYJ7m8", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ColeMacro", "ret_m1d": -0.0006002029212698323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0006002029212698323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00449606261158586, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008515271422114279, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895859690316028, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007915068500844447, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0011003720223279334, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0011003720223279334, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008849681259559539, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006235536112506712, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749309237231605, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0073359081348346455, "ret_p1w": -0.00020014603683404797, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00020014603683404797, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014611821039699602, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006570836162168248, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411675002865554, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0063706901253342, "ret_p1m": 0.011358542378669512, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011358542378669512, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041136318522538184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008655843271139663, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052494860901207696, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002702699107529849, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.011358542378669512, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.041136318522538184, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008655843271139663, "price_path": [-0.0637, -0.0616, -0.0579, -0.0679, -0.0716, -0.0893, -0.1085, -0.1182, -0.1924, -0.1316, -0.1608, -0.1385, -0.141, -0.1276, -0.0978, -0.0978, -0.0825, -0.0959, -0.088, -0.0758, -0.0866, -0.0891, -0.0671, -0.0564, -0.0617, -0.0678, -0.0747, -0.0637, -0.0604, -0.0641, -0.062, -0.0613, -0.0499, -0.0519, -0.0425, -0.0326, -0.0232, -0.0345, -0.0325, -0.0391, -0.0313, -0.0277, -0.0203, -0.0203, -0.0246, -0.016, -0.013, -0.0199, -0.027, -0.027, -0.0225, -0.0255, -0.0196, -0.0184, -0.0176, -0.0247, -0.0202, -0.0027, -0.0071, -0.0039, -0.0042, -0.0043, -0.0006, 0.0, -0.0011, 0.0002, 0.0002, 0.0005, -0.0002, 0.0037, 0.004, 0.0071, 0.0043, 0.0039, 0.0064, 0.0052, 0.0048, 0.0042, 0.0104, 0.0113, 0.0109, 0.0114, 0.0113, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.0114, 0.0113, 0.0114, 0.0178, -0.0051, -0.0093, -0.0135, -0.0354, -0.0003, -0.0063, -0.0049, 0.0046, 0.0115, 0.023, 0.0233, 0.0241, 0.0011, 0.0011, -0.0017, -0.0307, -0.0911, -0.1422, -0.0983, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2056885361658519885", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-19T23:50:59+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm at 2.2M shares now after buying more today and yesterday", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to OPEN position; now holds 2.2M shares after buying more today and yesterday.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jake__Wujastyk I’m at 2.2M shares now after buying more today and yesterday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OPEN #OPEN Third time's a charm? https://t.co/RxcRUJ8AEV", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jake__Wujastyk", "ret_m1d": -0.022727250560256596, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022727250560256596, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012582232215745948, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011698644086416521, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010145018344510648, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011028606473840075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0386363801384757, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0386363801384757, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03665329243740856, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03706084018193878, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019830877010671433, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00157553995653692, "ret_p1w": 0.07954543114693746, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07954543114693746, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0671204645829584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07504391315996317, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012424966563979067, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0045015179869742905, "ret_p1m": 0.015909021206140128, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.015909021206140128, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005907314836030242, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02873818290819441, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010001706370109886, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012829161702054281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.015909021206140128, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.005907314836030242, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02873818290819441, "price_path": [0.1364, 0.0864, 0.1614, 0.1318, 0.2295, 0.2318, 0.1477, 0.1295, 0.1091, 0.1773, 0.1364, 0.1545, 0.1386, 0.1977, 0.1, 0.125, 0.1773, 0.2636, 0.2, 0.1682, 0.1159, 0.1841, 0.1773, 0.1591, 0.1136, 0.0909, 0.0068, 0.0636, 0.0386, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0477, 0.0341, 0.0545, -0.0205, -0.0182, -0.0091, 0.025, 0.0955, 0.1977, 0.2023, 0.2159, 0.2386, 0.2341, 0.1864, 0.2523, 0.225, 0.2455, 0.2682, 0.2227, 0.2364, 0.1659, 0.1886, 0.2409, 0.2091, 0.1386, 0.1023, 0.0705, 0.0409, 0.0159, -0.0045, -0.0273, -0.0227, 0.0, 0.0386, 0.0295, 0.0295, 0.0182, 0.0795, 0.1523, 0.1455, 0.2068, 0.2295, 0.1068, 0.125, 0.0045, -0.0205, -0.0136, 0.0182, 0.0159, 0.0091, 0.0477, 0.0795, 0.0114, 0.0159, 0.0159, -0.0273, -0.0455, -0.0273, -0.0227, -0.0068, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2069831844259070202", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-24T17:15:41+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "at these levels the bounce could be explosive", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSTR extremely oversold with potential explosive bounce; Bitcoin fundamentals intact and fear will fade.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MSTR getting extremely oversold. If you were listening to me since Q4 2024 you never got overly exposed to this. All that said, at these levels the bounce could be explosive. Nothing fundamentally wrong with Bitcoin. Fear always fades. Don’t get sucked in to the mania either way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10315520416229562, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10315520416229562, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1026914721509522, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1026914721509522, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0004637320113434207, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004637320113434207, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09348768383230499, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09348768383230499, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09493331905775826, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09493331905775826, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014456352254532678, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014456352254532678, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.3389, 0.2901, 0.3258, 0.3044, 0.273, 0.273, 0.3565, 0.3144, 0.363, 0.369, 0.3666, 0.4061, 0.4598, 0.5249, 0.5823, 0.769, 0.8146, 0.742, 0.9054, 0.8323, 0.8168, 0.7975, 0.7604, 0.6805, 0.7577, 0.8822, 0.9526, 0.9856, 0.9847, 0.9105, 0.9929, 1.0816, 0.9592, 0.8913, 0.9863, 0.8848, 0.7702, 0.749, 0.7615, 0.7513, 0.6986, 0.6986, 0.699, 0.6382, 0.611, 0.6901, 0.5912, 0.4457, 0.3444, 0.3744, 0.2795, 0.3513, 0.2432, 0.2254, 0.2764, 0.317, 0.3932, 0.3047, 0.2383, 0.1955, 0.1955, 0.1629, 0.1032, 0.0, -0.0935, -0.1256, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2069831844259070202", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-24T17:15:41+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nothing fundamentally wrong with Bitcoin. Fear always fades.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MSTR extremely oversold with potential explosive bounce; Bitcoin fundamentals intact and fear will fade.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MSTR getting extremely oversold. If you were listening to me since Q4 2024 you never got overly exposed to this. All that said, at these levels the bounce could be explosive. Nothing fundamentally wrong with Bitcoin. Fear always fades. Don’t get sucked in to the mania either way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027426560802686906, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027426560802686906, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026962828791343485, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026962828791343485, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0004637320113434207, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004637320113434207, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02087801063020267, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02087801063020267, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022323645855655938, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022323645855655938, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0014456352254532678, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014456352254532678, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0876, 0.0934, 0.1187, 0.1161, 0.0966, 0.0973, 0.1289, 0.1794, 0.166, 0.1766, 0.1965, 0.2212, 0.2162, 0.2264, 0.2321, 0.2645, 0.2439, 0.2518, 0.2821, 0.2832, 0.2699, 0.2684, 0.2518, 0.2423, 0.251, 0.2817, 0.3088, 0.3268, 0.335, 0.3117, 0.3146, 0.3399, 0.3194, 0.2997, 0.3288, 0.2963, 0.2616, 0.2583, 0.2699, 0.2712, 0.2376, 0.267, 0.2431, 0.2189, 0.2056, 0.2029, 0.1693, 0.0936, 0.0495, 0.046, -0.0012, 0.0344, 0.0106, 0.0074, 0.0421, 0.0418, 0.0868, 0.0755, 0.0561, 0.0312, 0.0417, 0.0485, 0.0274, 0.0, -0.0209, -0.016, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029379804508967369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T02:13:44+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN Raising Targets after GPU Purchase", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares Cantor note raising price targets on IREN following GPU purchase; implied bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "New Cantor note: IREN Raising Targets after GPU Purchase https://t.co/ElITmI5kAn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09258567358474501, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09258567358474501, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.086978740682504, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08731540739461785, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606932902241013, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00527026619012716, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08535823643764606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08535823643764606, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07225110652678401, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0724750380642859, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107129910862048, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01288319837336016, "ret_p1w": 0.03102801076348327, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03102801076348327, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05341134225806943, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07787554737782587, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383331494586156, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0468475366143426, "ret_p1m": -0.13345793251679328, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13345793251679328, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09868832002712213, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10524394513869395, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476961248967114, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028213987378099326, "ret_p3m": 0.6598130460840148, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6598130460840148, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5419012924371038, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6501601295771384, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11791175364691098, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009652916506876386, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.13345793251679328, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.09868832002712213, "alpha_c_stated": -0.10524394513869395, "price_path": [0.1549, 0.1674, 0.0946, 0.0951, 0.0001, -0.1158, -0.0881, -0.1581, -0.1078, -0.0051, 0.0477, 0.0485, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0044, -0.0178, -0.0455, -0.0587, -0.0587, 0.0642, 0.2022, 0.1442, 0.0872, 0.1384, 0.1472, 0.2543, 0.3206, 0.3179, 0.2932, 0.441, 0.441, 0.3523, 0.3328, 0.3024, 0.4126, 0.3049, 0.4951, 0.5686, 0.4913, 0.3393, 0.3229, 0.3555, 0.12, -0.0083, 0.0425, 0.1502, 0.0699, 0.0634, -0.0024, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0211, 0.0487, 0.0789, -0.0036, 0.0557, 0.1327, 0.0973, 0.1026, 0.0206, 0.0315, -0.0318, 0.0926, 0.0, -0.0854, -0.032, -0.05, 0.0462, 0.031, 0.0363, 0.12, 0.0707, 0.052, 0.0383, 0.029, 0.0507, 0.0248, 0.0325, -0.0667, -0.1255, -0.212, -0.1457, -0.1504, -0.1335, -0.1335, -0.1245, -0.1093, -0.0821, -0.0764, -0.0201, 0.0734, 0.1806, 0.2167, 0.1888, 0.1993, 0.2142, 0.1257, 0.206, 0.2964, 0.2621, 0.2052, 0.1075, 0.0682, 0.1342, 0.1379, 0.2331, 0.3642, 0.5198, 0.4168, 0.5252, 0.3745, 0.4096, 0.375, 0.4555, 0.3194, 0.2576, 0.1898, 0.3136, 0.447, 0.4163, 0.4163, 0.4898, 0.6907, 0.5963, 0.5836, 0.6282, 0.6598, 0.6319, 0.5417, 0.3545, 0.4751, 0.3463, 0.284, 0.4133, 0.4896, 0.5165, 0.4749, 0.4482, 0.4943, 0.4943, 0.4173, 0.3637, 0.2536, 0.1898, 0.1766, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039377144388649093", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T16:19:35+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah $25-30 still looks likely", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish setup in OPEN, targeting $25-30.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow @Invst_Informant Yeah $25-30 still looks likely", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OPEN still looks like a good set-up at 0.5 fib and selling off for months on significantly declined volume https://t.co/XkkZY85ofl", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.02406994585237765, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02406994585237765, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03154809322553309, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02700034685516417, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781473731554415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00293040100278652, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03719903568296479, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03719903568296479, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.036298576151625905, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02108183016763876, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004595313388819, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016117205515326027, "ret_p1w": 0.015317219298652818, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015317219298652818, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016381160191714317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021068561828846866, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698379490367135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03638578112749968, "ret_p1m": 0.1772428692240231, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1772428692240231, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08045392920553573, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09299374642261093, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678894001848737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08424912280141217, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.1772428692240231, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.08045392920553573, "alpha_c_stated": 0.09299374642261093, "price_path": [0.3282, 0.3829, 0.5164, 0.3392, 0.407, 0.5952, 0.5361, 0.4814, 0.453, 0.3786, 0.4595, 0.4595, 0.3982, 0.4179, 0.4048, 0.3151, 0.2845, 0.2713, 0.2604, 0.221, 0.1269, 0.0547, 0.1225, 0.0941, 0.0284, 0.0678, 0.081, 0.0263, 0.0416, -0.0416, -0.0274, -0.0274, -0.0525, 0.0131, 0.0175, 0.0941, 0.046, 0.1182, 0.0897, 0.1838, 0.186, 0.105, 0.0875, 0.0678, 0.1335, 0.0941, 0.1116, 0.0963, 0.1532, 0.0591, 0.0832, 0.1335, 0.2166, 0.1554, 0.1247, 0.0744, 0.14, 0.1335, 0.116, 0.0722, 0.0503, -0.0306, 0.0241, 0.0, 0.0372, 0.0372, 0.0088, -0.0044, 0.0153, -0.0569, -0.0547, -0.046, -0.0131, 0.0547, 0.1532, 0.1575, 0.1707, 0.1926, 0.1882, 0.1422, 0.2057, 0.1794, 0.1991, 0.221, 0.1772, 0.1904, 0.1225, 0.1444, 0.1947, 0.1641, 0.0963, 0.0613, 0.0306, 0.0022, -0.0219, -0.0416, -0.0635, -0.0591, -0.0372, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0197, 0.0394, 0.1094, 0.1028, 0.1619, 0.1838, 0.0656, 0.0832, -0.0328, -0.0569, -0.0503, -0.0197, -0.0219, -0.0284, 0.0088, 0.0394, -0.0263, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.0635, -0.081, -0.0635, -0.0591, -0.0438, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2057187608175022461", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-20T19:52:01+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This I why I bought 500,000+ shares. I eat convexity for breakfast, lunch, and dinner every single day.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 500,000+ shares of STRIVE ($ASST); bullish on its structural convexity vs MSTR.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Z06Z07 This I why I bought 500,000+ shares. I eat convexity for breakfast, lunch, and dinner every single day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The smart money knows this. \n- Liquidity is the enemy of convexity.\n- Scarcity is the friend of convexity.\nSTRIVE ($ASST) vs STRATEGY ($MSTR)\n\nPeople are massively underestimating how structurally different these two setups now are.\n\nASST:\n• ~$1.24B market cap\n• ~15.4k BTC\n•", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GrainofSaltSF", "ret_m1d": -0.048292091692024974, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048292091692024974, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.038147073347514326, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037451997749681776, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010145018344510648, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010840093942343199, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09128393322707007, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09128393322707007, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08930084552600293, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08992892148427711, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019830877010671433, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013550117427929553, "ret_p1w": 0.049469974984301945, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049469974984301945, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03704500842032288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05411574011688425, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012424966563979067, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004645765132582302, "ret_p1m": -0.12544165007003727, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12544165007003727, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13544335644014716, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16241414509526342, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010001706370109886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03697249502522615, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.12544165007003727, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.13544335644014716, "alpha_c_stated": -0.16241414509526342, "price_path": [-0.52, -0.5665, -0.578, -0.4971, -0.5177, -0.5324, -0.4859, -0.5094, -0.4335, -0.4552, -0.4876, -0.4988, -0.4711, -0.4564, -0.48, -0.4388, -0.3604, -0.3463, -0.409, -0.3958, -0.4099, -0.3852, -0.4152, -0.361, -0.3869, -0.4196, -0.4482, -0.4099, -0.4016, -0.4258, -0.4258, -0.404, -0.4544, -0.3963, -0.4323, -0.374, -0.318, -0.268, -0.2032, -0.1767, -0.0807, -0.0801, -0.0984, -0.0188, -0.0459, -0.0695, -0.076, -0.1001, -0.1514, -0.0954, -0.0395, -0.0368, -0.0277, -0.0412, -0.0895, -0.0624, 0.0571, 0.0053, -0.0141, 0.043, -0.0112, -0.0701, -0.0483, 0.0, 0.0913, 0.0724, 0.0724, 0.066, 0.0495, 0.0483, 0.0406, 0.013, -0.0506, -0.1319, -0.1154, -0.1802, -0.1042, -0.1631, -0.1502, -0.1413, -0.1078, -0.0183, -0.0701, -0.0907, -0.1254, -0.1254, -0.1278, -0.1784, -0.2609, -0.3286, -0.3322, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058917608028803440", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-25T14:26:25+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "So bullish.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on BKKT after extended time with CEO; impressed by his intelligence and global connections.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Spent more time with BKKT CEO Akshay Naheta in the last 48 hours than I had cumulatively up until this weekend. Lunch Saturday. Whole afternoon plus dinner yesterday. The guy is insanely smart AND connected at the highest levels globally. Still manages to be humble. So bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005927154304579574, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005927154304579574, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012522014743545085, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012522014743545085, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006594860438965511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027095735573980706, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027095735573980706, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026922493409234693, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026922493409234693, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0001732421647460125, "ret_p1w": -0.17019476354490015, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.17019476354490015, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1821586636279504, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1821586636279504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01196390008305026, "ret_p1m": -0.29805252605384036, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29805252605384036, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2774539919026736, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2774539919026736, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.020598534151166747, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020598534151166747, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.29805252605384036, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2774539919026736, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2774539919026736, "price_path": [-0.1194, -0.1905, -0.1566, -0.188, -0.1363, -0.1575, -0.2134, -0.2193, -0.2176, -0.2134, -0.2202, -0.1998, -0.1837, -0.1846, -0.2439, -0.2379, -0.276, -0.2498, -0.2997, -0.2904, -0.3251, -0.3802, -0.4115, -0.3768, -0.387, -0.376, -0.376, -0.3539, -0.3539, -0.3268, -0.2896, -0.3116, -0.2616, -0.2396, -0.2176, -0.1905, -0.2218, -0.2405, -0.2659, -0.2269, -0.265, -0.2523, -0.2379, -0.2735, -0.3345, -0.2701, -0.2743, -0.2413, -0.2303, -0.2261, -0.276, -0.166, -0.16, -0.2489, -0.3209, -0.265, -0.2989, -0.2616, -0.1804, -0.138, 0.0432, 0.0059, 0.0059, 0.0, -0.0271, -0.0686, -0.0796, -0.1109, -0.1702, -0.2447, -0.2227, -0.337, -0.3133, -0.348, -0.3497, -0.293, -0.2862, -0.2413, -0.2583, -0.2371, -0.2193, -0.2193, -0.2337, -0.2489, -0.2981, -0.337, -0.2854, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2055486448749736350", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-16T03:12:13+00:00", "symbol": "EPD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We own a lot of EPD in my family", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds EPD (core position), ET, and ENB in family portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["EPD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RIPBall_ @LeaT_Design We own a lot of EPD in my family\n\nAlso some ET and ENB as well", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @LeaT_Design Which ones are your favorite", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RIPBall_", "ret_m1d": -0.005828675812788675, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005828675812788675, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00653268040431032, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01298945392876738, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007040045915216453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018818129741556056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008616324391190311, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008616324391190311, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015277112478683685, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003103741650642977, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0066607880874933745, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011720066041833288, "ret_p1w": 0.004308210531851486, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004308210531851486, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005155009577528569, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02230094420506823, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009463220109380055, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017992733673216743, "ret_p1m": -0.07627973622324857, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07627973622324857, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0920924183133982, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009887325869063823, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.015812682090149632, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0861670620923124, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07627973622324857, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.0920924183133982, "alpha_c_stated": 0.009887325869063823, "price_path": [-0.0979, -0.0961, -0.0919, -0.0916, -0.0934, -0.1026, -0.1011, -0.0971, -0.0784, -0.0661, -0.0714, -0.0684, -0.0614, -0.0734, -0.0826, -0.0706, -0.0859, -0.0759, -0.0676, -0.0621, -0.0746, -0.0644, -0.0616, -0.0479, -0.0409, -0.0257, -0.0232, -0.0187, -0.0237, -0.0547, -0.0649, -0.0614, -0.0614, -0.0549, -0.0404, -0.0499, -0.0626, -0.0669, -0.0651, -0.0694, -0.0731, -0.0674, -0.0839, -0.0779, -0.0704, -0.0571, -0.0547, -0.0507, -0.0452, -0.0389, -0.0309, -0.0193, -0.0362, -0.02, -0.0243, -0.0481, -0.0438, -0.0575, -0.0395, -0.0329, -0.0297, -0.0058, -0.0058, 0.0, 0.0086, -0.0018, 0.0003, 0.0043, 0.0043, -0.0269, -0.0373, -0.0497, -0.0677, -0.057, -0.0443, -0.0373, -0.0324, -0.0418, -0.0492, -0.0535, -0.0403, -0.0552, -0.056, -0.075, -0.0763, -0.0745, -0.0725, -0.0725, -0.077, -0.059, -0.0854, -0.0664, -0.0732, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2055486448749736350", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-16T03:12:13+00:00", "symbol": "ET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "some ET and ENB as well", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds EPD (core position), ET, and ENB in family portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["ET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RIPBall_ @LeaT_Design We own a lot of EPD in my family\n\nAlso some ET and ENB as well", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @LeaT_Design Which ones are your favorite", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RIPBall_", "ret_m1d": -0.001981224094564471, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001981224094564471, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026852286860861163, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016836905646991585, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007040045915216453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018818129741556056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009905837062928802, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009905837062928802, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016566625150422176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018142289789044863, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0066607880874933745, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011720066041833288, "ret_p1w": -0.005943577813728895, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005943577813728895, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01540679792310895, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012049155859487848, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009463220109380055, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017992733673216743, "ret_p1m": -0.06339775397659508, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06339775397659508, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07921043606674472, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.022769308115717313, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.015812682090149632, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0861670620923124, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06339775397659508, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07921043606674472, "alpha_c_stated": 0.022769308115717313, "price_path": [-0.0817, -0.0798, -0.0759, -0.0837, -0.0846, -0.0949, -0.09, -0.0827, -0.07, -0.0817, -0.0866, -0.091, -0.0876, -0.0949, -0.109, -0.0871, -0.0963, -0.0871, -0.0876, -0.0851, -0.0915, -0.0769, -0.0744, -0.072, -0.0647, -0.0681, -0.0535, -0.0423, -0.0462, -0.0603, -0.0739, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0769, -0.0691, -0.071, -0.0705, -0.0657, -0.0822, -0.0881, -0.089, -0.0812, -0.0817, -0.0793, -0.0769, -0.0715, -0.0676, -0.071, -0.0725, -0.0549, -0.0379, -0.017, -0.0291, -0.0223, -0.0072, -0.0325, -0.0301, -0.0421, -0.0287, -0.0094, -0.0045, 0.0084, -0.002, 0.0, 0.0099, -0.0015, -0.0089, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0292, -0.0426, -0.0381, -0.0505, -0.0456, -0.0322, -0.0317, -0.0282, -0.0396, -0.0421, -0.056, -0.057, -0.0708, -0.0555, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0644, -0.048, -0.0619, -0.05, -0.0505, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2055486448749736350", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-16T03:12:13+00:00", "symbol": "ENB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "some ET and ENB as well", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds EPD (core position), ET, and ENB in family portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["ENB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RIPBall_ @LeaT_Design We own a lot of EPD in my family\n\nAlso some ET and ENB as well", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred @LeaT_Design Which ones are your favorite", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RIPBall_", "ret_m1d": -0.01880428558947833, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01880428558947833, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019508290180999976, "alpha_c_m1d": 1.3844152077724381e-05, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007040045915216453, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018818129741556056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007450807017933325, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007450807017933325, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0141115951054267, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004269259023899963, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0066607880874933745, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011720066041833288, "ret_p1w": 0.029625723173430263, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029625723173430263, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020162503064050208, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.047618456846647006, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009463220109380055, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017992733673216743, "ret_p1m": -0.012240529355743823, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012240529355743823, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028053211445893456, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07392653273656857, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.015812682090149632, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0861670620923124, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.012240529355743823, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.028053211445893456, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07392653273656857, "price_path": [-0.1086, -0.0963, -0.0975, -0.083, -0.0821, -0.0819, -0.0847, -0.0692, -0.0548, -0.0483, -0.0511, -0.0562, -0.053, -0.0551, -0.0593, -0.0604, -0.0606, -0.0527, -0.0446, -0.0532, -0.0674, -0.0529, -0.0635, -0.0513, -0.0464, -0.0457, -0.0453, -0.0439, -0.0483, -0.0516, -0.0602, -0.0515, -0.0515, -0.0586, -0.0474, -0.0457, -0.0453, -0.0485, -0.0634, -0.0718, -0.0784, -0.0791, -0.0774, -0.0849, -0.0918, -0.0926, -0.0804, -0.0664, -0.0812, -0.0709, -0.0643, -0.0292, -0.0396, -0.0415, -0.0382, -0.0506, -0.0543, -0.0613, -0.046, -0.0394, -0.0332, -0.0152, -0.0188, 0.0, 0.0075, 0.0126, 0.0252, 0.0296, 0.0296, 0.0114, -0.0039, -0.0144, -0.0289, -0.0255, -0.0009, -0.0099, 0.0066, -0.0011, -0.0184, -0.0147, 0.0012, 0.0016, 0.0023, -0.0076, -0.0122, -0.0337, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0279, -0.0112, -0.0192, -0.0032, -0.0023, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030659197302624288", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T14:57:35+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil should soften this week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Firsthand Strait of Hormuz transit shows no conflict; oil should soften this week.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Oil commodity ETF USO", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I just sailed through the Straight of Hormuz. Light wind, good visibility, saw a few other yachts. No sign of conflict. The trading lane is open for business. Oil should soften this week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04255721972670501, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04255721972670501, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05124111069824289, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05124111069824289, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683890971537878, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683890971537878, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014664993313950658, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014664993313950658, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016272008890440337, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016272008890440337, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016070155764896787, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016070155764896787, "ret_p1w": 0.10255915614349442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10255915614349442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11618196939596315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11618196939596315, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622813252468724, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622813252468724, "ret_p1m": 0.3234927576695781, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3234927576695781, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3489246566754701, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3489246566754701, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431899005892045, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431899005892045, "ret_p3m": 0.3106489321699817, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3106489321699817, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19139306976105597, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19139306976105597, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11925586240892572, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11925586240892572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 5, "stated_label": "p1w", "ret_signed_stated": -0.10255915614349442, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.11618196939596315, "alpha_c_stated": -0.11618196939596315, "price_path": [-0.3239, -0.3362, -0.3405, -0.3493, -0.3658, -0.3484, -0.356, -0.3479, -0.3316, -0.3262, -0.3271, -0.3271, -0.3436, -0.3328, -0.3315, -0.3371, -0.3371, -0.339, -0.3269, -0.3433, -0.3502, -0.3239, -0.3216, -0.3132, -0.2957, -0.304, -0.3182, -0.3132, -0.3132, -0.3112, -0.297, -0.3116, -0.2912, -0.2957, -0.2748, -0.2656, -0.2414, -0.2378, -0.278, -0.2575, -0.2535, -0.2649, -0.2621, -0.2522, -0.2521, -0.2438, -0.2679, -0.2694, -0.2694, -0.2741, -0.239, -0.2218, -0.2251, -0.2246, -0.2259, -0.2358, -0.2354, -0.2145, -0.1643, -0.1354, -0.1224, -0.0769, 0.0426, 0.0, 0.0147, 0.0357, 0.1348, 0.1491, 0.1026, 0.1391, 0.1662, 0.1249, 0.1639, 0.0597, 0.0979, 0.0868, 0.1239, 0.1905, 0.2444, 0.2197, 0.1894, 0.322, 0.322, 0.3317, 0.3235, 0.1941, 0.2169, 0.1964, 0.2314, 0.1871, 0.175, 0.2062, 0.1122, 0.1628, 0.2293, 0.2403, 0.2913, 0.2691, 0.2913, 0.3381, 0.4438, 0.4099, 0.3687, 0.4148, 0.3819, 0.2839, 0.2937, 0.2805, 0.3291, 0.3831, 0.3614, 0.3707, 0.4208, 0.4309, 0.4661, 0.3828, 0.3662, 0.3507, 0.3507, 0.3131, 0.2559, 0.2535, 0.2373, 0.2988, 0.3157, 0.3501, 0.3106, 0.275, 0.2954, 0.2585, 0.2873, 0.2348, 0.2022, 0.1618, 0.1068, 0.0949, 0.101, 0.101, 0.0801, 0.0664, 0.0188, 0.0477, 0.011, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2063972100935987275", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-08T13:11:10+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The ENTIRE reason they couldn't disclose it from the beginning is because the terms were too good.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR; author claims the AWS deal terms are exceptionally favorable, validating prior call.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel The ENTIRE reason they couldn’t disclose it from the beginning is because the terms were too good.\n\nI told you when it happened.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR discloses terms for 70MW Stingray lease announced last month, offers $800M senior notes.\n\n&gt;Tenant is AWS\n&gt;15-year triple-net lease (100% margins)\n&gt;Starts April 27\n&gt;Implies $1.9B NOI/MW (high end of what we've seen)\n&gt;We had been modeling lower margins; NNN adds ~$1/share https://t.co/nmA9mMQyVL", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": -0.07575134142591466, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07575134142591466, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07349228371373662, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05468498011090628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022590577121780475, "bench_c_m1d": -0.021066361315008386, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.051667394846122705, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.051667394846122705, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04873194429531491, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03315294835890403, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029354505508077944, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018514446487218672, "ret_p1w": 0.07163440533284926, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07163440533284926, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05051747223423497, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030316128899740447, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021116933098614288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041318276433108814, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4191, -0.4356, -0.4203, -0.3767, -0.3788, -0.396, -0.3973, -0.4232, -0.387, -0.3874, -0.3462, -0.4092, -0.4341, -0.5054, -0.4702, -0.4796, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4504, -0.4232, -0.3652, -0.3265, -0.3195, -0.2688, -0.2404, -0.259, -0.2861, -0.2026, -0.2058, -0.2573, -0.1997, -0.2305, -0.2507, -0.2524, -0.2894, -0.3034, -0.2697, -0.2985, -0.2635, -0.0902, -0.098, -0.1484, -0.154, -0.1651, -0.1741, -0.1256, -0.0823, -0.163, -0.2128, -0.226, -0.198, -0.114, -0.0955, -0.0955, -0.0523, 0.0358, 0.0124, -0.0263, -0.0115, 0.0823, 0.0803, 0.0519, -0.0758, 0.0, -0.0517, -0.1346, -0.0683, 0.0086, 0.0716, 0.079, 0.0848, 0.2013, 0.2013, 0.1585, 0.1379, 0.0795, 0.0572, 0.0679, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047711648190808175", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-24T16:17:56+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Super early especially if you plan to hold Bitcoin to $1,000,000 to $10,000,000 per coin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC with a $1M–$10M price target; author endorses holding through the cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LayahHeilpern Super early especially if you plan to hold Bitcoin to $1,000,000 to $10,000,000 per coin", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Sell in May and go away is a real thing.\n\nApril has historically been bitcoin’s stronger month.\n\nMay through October is where most cycles break.\n\nDon’t get fomo, stay level headed, we’re still early.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LayahHeilpern", "ret_m1d": 0.010504645824003456, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010504645824003456, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01819436504901295, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01819436504901295, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007689719225009495, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007689719225009495, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0011450150691729721, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0011450150691729721, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002867802906736605, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002867802906736605, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001722787837563633, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001722787837563633, "ret_p1w": 0.009343290687775507, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009343290687775507, "alpha_spy_p1w": -5.524550825408703e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": -5.524550825408703e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009398536196029594, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009398536196029594, "ret_p1m": -0.0022643096624263004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0022643096624263004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04666578059753845, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04666578059753845, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04440147093511215, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04440147093511215, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1504, 0.1514, 0.0917, 0.0862, 0.0159, -0.0235, -0.0573, -0.1905, -0.0891, -0.0947, -0.1118, -0.1351, -0.145, -0.111, -0.1112, -0.1286, -0.1424, -0.1355, -0.122, -0.1658, -0.1727, -0.1226, -0.1291, -0.1494, -0.1121, -0.1183, -0.0613, -0.0854, -0.1203, -0.1169, -0.0972, -0.0936, -0.0899, -0.0838, -0.0335, -0.0456, -0.0802, -0.0974, -0.0895, -0.0844, -0.0896, -0.0793, -0.1119, -0.1435, -0.139, -0.1191, -0.1211, -0.1364, -0.1359, -0.111, -0.0712, -0.0817, -0.0734, -0.0578, -0.0384, -0.0423, -0.0342, -0.0297, -0.0042, -0.0204, -0.0142, 0.0097, 0.0105, 0.0, -0.0011, -0.0143, -0.0217, -0.0149, 0.0093, 0.0306, 0.0448, 0.0513, 0.033, 0.0353, 0.0552, 0.039, 0.0235, 0.0464, 0.0208, -0.0065, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.0011, -0.0254, -0.0023, -0.021, -0.0402, -0.0506, -0.0527, -0.0792, -0.1388, -0.1735, -0.1763, -0.2134, -0.1855, -0.2041, -0.2066, -0.1794, -0.1796, -0.1442, -0.1531, -0.1683, -0.188, -0.1796, -0.1743, -0.1909, -0.2125, -0.229, -0.2251, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037953106873557323", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T18:00:58+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I now have 606,000 shares (12M pre-split) and ready for the next few years of gains", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holding 606K shares of ASST, accumulated at lower prices, bullish over the next few years.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MoshPitAlpha This was meant to be snarky but it's treating me fantastically. When you're buying a stock, you want it to give you plenty of time at lower prices so you can accumulate. I now have 606,000 shares (12M pre-split) and ready for the next few years of gains. You are now muted. Bye.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred How's $ASST treating you ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MoshPitAlpha", "ret_m1d": 0.05176090315910464, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05176090315910464, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0484062967117147, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0631339457804676, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546064473899406, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011373042621362961, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06937039275810042, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06937039275810042, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.040302526973343245, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04848538107721412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.029067865784757174, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0208850116808863, "ret_p1w": 0.08004269041196999, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08004269041196999, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03738239890155959, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04861175352912683, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0426602915104104, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03143093688284315, "ret_p1m": 0.6307363841615965, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6307363841615965, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5045911750663477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5585693800594138, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614520909524884, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07216700410218269, "ret_p3m": 0.21664885355012653, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21664885355012653, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.051733224637669606, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10752492280064918, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.16491562891245692, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10912393074947735, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.5752, 0.5752, 0.8463, 1.1985, 1.2199, 1.1772, 1.1558, 1.0192, 1.3479, 1.0704, 1.1985, 1.0726, 1.0235, 1.0235, 0.889, 0.9039, 0.857, 0.8591, 0.6777, 0.7481, 0.7097, 0.6756, 0.7524, 0.5432, 0.4557, 0.2636, 0.0523, 0.2716, 0.0827, -0.0203, -0.1366, -0.1782, -0.111, -0.111, -0.127, -0.1409, -0.1334, -0.1302, -0.2145, -0.2353, -0.0886, -0.1259, -0.1526, -0.0683, -0.111, 0.0267, -0.0128, -0.0715, -0.0918, -0.0416, -0.0149, -0.0576, 0.0171, 0.159, 0.1846, 0.071, 0.095, 0.0694, 0.1142, 0.0598, 0.158, 0.111, 0.0518, 0.0, 0.0694, 0.0843, 0.0406, 0.0406, 0.08, -0.0112, 0.0939, 0.0288, 0.1345, 0.2359, 0.3266, 0.444, 0.492, 0.666, 0.667, 0.6339, 0.778, 0.7289, 0.6862, 0.6745, 0.6307, 0.5379, 0.6393, 0.7407, 0.7455, 0.762, 0.7375, 0.6499, 0.699, 0.9157, 0.8218, 0.7866, 0.8901, 0.7919, 0.6852, 0.7247, 0.8122, 0.9776, 0.9434, 0.9434, 0.9317, 0.9018, 0.8997, 0.8858, 0.8356, 0.7204, 0.5731, 0.603, 0.4856, 0.6233, 0.5165, 0.54, 0.556, 0.6169, 0.7791, 0.6852, 0.6478, 0.5848, 0.5848, 0.5806, 0.4888, 0.3394, 0.2166, 0.2102, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2063628337055178872", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-07T14:25:10+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The actual bull run will take us from $60,000 to at least the $315,000 area", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "BTC to at least $315K; prior move was re-basing, not the real bull run — actual cycle still ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The move from $16,000 to $126,000 to $60,000 was not a full cycle move. It was just a re-basing before the actual bull run. The actual bull run will take us from $60,000 to at least the $315,000 area. It will correspond with an actual economic and business cycle. Newbs will see.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034362047975285526, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034362047975285526, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03210299026310748, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03210299026310748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022590577121780475, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022590577121780475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022932240724538477, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022932240724538477, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019996790173730683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019996790173730683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029354505508077944, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0029354505508077944, "ret_p1w": 0.05070344347980282, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05070344347980282, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029586510381188535, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029586510381188535, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.021116933098614288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021116933098614288, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.1128, 0.1173, 0.1249, 0.1866, 0.1717, 0.1293, 0.1081, 0.1178, 0.124, 0.1177, 0.1303, 0.0904, 0.0515, 0.0571, 0.0815, 0.0791, 0.0602, 0.0609, 0.0914, 0.1403, 0.1273, 0.1375, 0.1567, 0.1806, 0.1758, 0.1857, 0.1912, 0.2225, 0.2026, 0.2102, 0.2395, 0.2406, 0.2277, 0.2263, 0.2102, 0.2011, 0.2094, 0.2392, 0.2653, 0.2827, 0.2906, 0.2682, 0.271, 0.2954, 0.2756, 0.2566, 0.2847, 0.2532, 0.2197, 0.2165, 0.2277, 0.229, 0.1965, 0.2249, 0.2019, 0.1784, 0.1656, 0.163, 0.1304, 0.0573, 0.0146, 0.0113, -0.0344, 0.0, -0.0229, -0.026, 0.0075, 0.0072, 0.0507, 0.0398, 0.021, -0.0031, 0.0071, 0.0137, -0.0067, -0.0332, -0.0534, -0.0487, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036946075970658403", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T23:19:23+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR's new hyperscaler tenant is either Meta or Microsoft and that they are taking the entire 100MW gross at Stingray under a 15 year triple net lease", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: believes a hyperscaler (Meta or Microsoft) is taking all 100MW at Stingray on a 15-year triple-net lease, a major positive catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After putting in some additional work, I now believe CIFR's new hyperscaler tenant is either Meta or Microsoft and that they are taking the entire 100MW gross at Stingray under a 15 year triple net lease. Final answer. Many more to come across the space.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10662018761664238, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10662018761664238, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08843672406761427, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07446922749568086, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01818346354902811, "bench_c_m1d": 0.032150960120961525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04216031218311933, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04216031218311933, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02510841802569408, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022688672145292355, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01705189415742525, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019471640037826976, "ret_p1w": -0.10662025407478104, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10662025407478104, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12326909363040228, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1329599648474643, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016648839555621242, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026339710772683267, "ret_p1m": 0.26829270237799174, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26829270237799174, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1615633884985328, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.059085073986184344, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672931387945894, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2092076283918074, "ret_p3m": 0.926132310445106, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.926132310445106, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7860280076166852, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5343614970246966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1401043028284208, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3917708134204094, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.26829270237799174, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1615633884985328, "alpha_c_stated": 0.059085073986184344, "price_path": [0.0509, 0.0167, 0.0286, 0.0286, 0.1289, 0.2655, 0.2223, 0.1206, 0.1533, 0.1589, 0.2321, 0.2718, 0.2634, 0.2209, 0.3101, 0.3101, 0.2488, 0.2348, 0.2118, 0.2244, 0.1491, 0.3066, 0.322, 0.2334, 0.1122, 0.1017, 0.1331, -0.007, -0.115, 0.0265, 0.1679, 0.1916, 0.1345, 0.122, 0.1443, 0.1443, 0.0899, 0.0746, 0.101, 0.0209, 0.0606, 0.193, 0.1575, 0.1484, 0.0871, 0.0983, 0.0251, 0.1178, 0.0557, -0.0509, -0.0028, -0.0272, -0.0167, -0.0446, -0.0188, 0.0551, 0.0516, 0.0223, 0.0202, -0.0237, 0.0376, 0.0369, 0.1066, 0.0, -0.0422, -0.1627, -0.1031, -0.1192, -0.1066, -0.1066, -0.0697, -0.0237, 0.0746, 0.1401, 0.1519, 0.2376, 0.2857, 0.2544, 0.2084, 0.3498, 0.3443, 0.2571, 0.3547, 0.3024, 0.2683, 0.2655, 0.2028, 0.1791, 0.2362, 0.1875, 0.2467, 0.5401, 0.5268, 0.4415, 0.4321, 0.4132, 0.3979, 0.4801, 0.5533, 0.4167, 0.3324, 0.3101, 0.3575, 0.4997, 0.531, 0.531, 0.6042, 0.7533, 0.7136, 0.6481, 0.6732, 0.8321, 0.8286, 0.7805, 0.5645, 0.6927, 0.6052, 0.4648, 0.577, 0.7073, 0.8139, 0.8265, 0.8362, 1.0334, 1.0334, 0.961, 0.9261, 0.8272, 0.7895, 0.8077, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034444934988939659", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T01:40:45+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You're going to severely regret not being one", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; implies those without exposure will regret missing it.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SparkingFIRENC You’re going to severely regret not being one", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m not a huge Bitcoin guy  \n\nBut I often think about how only 210 million people can own .1 bitcoin at the same time  \n\nThat is less than the population of the US", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SparkingFIRENC", "ret_m1d": 0.019063594520718263, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019063594520718263, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01659312529989121, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01659312529989121, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470469220827054, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470469220827054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008722250723753211, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008722250723753211, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023057946990605926, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023057946990605926, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014335696266852715, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014335696266852715, "ret_p1w": -0.016036609002935243, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016036609002935243, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0035878350368683254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0035878350368683254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624444039803568, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624444039803568, "ret_p1m": 0.10318692808909136, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10318692808909136, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02395159155380422, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02395159155380422, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923533653528714, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923533653528714, "ret_p3m": -0.06167896454030841, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06167896454030841, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20199306054572763, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20199306054572763, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14031409600541922, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14031409600541922, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10318692808909136, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02395159155380422, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02395159155380422, "price_path": [0.2657, 0.2503, 0.2532, 0.2478, 0.2487, 0.2464, 0.2649, 0.2517, 0.2692, 0.2865, 0.3429, 0.3407, 0.306, 0.302, 0.2947, 0.3044, 0.3634, 0.3864, 0.3667, 0.3663, 0.3238, 0.2632, 0.2784, 0.2796, 0.2802, 0.2625, 0.2745, 0.2757, 0.2095, 0.2033, 0.1255, 0.0818, 0.0444, -0.1031, 0.0092, 0.003, -0.016, -0.0418, -0.0528, -0.0151, -0.0153, -0.0346, -0.0499, -0.0423, -0.0273, -0.0758, -0.0834, -0.0279, -0.0352, -0.0577, -0.0163, -0.0232, 0.04, 0.0133, -0.0254, -0.0216, 0.0002, 0.0042, 0.0083, 0.0151, 0.0708, 0.0574, 0.0191, 0.0, 0.0087, 0.0143, 0.0087, 0.02, -0.016, -0.0511, -0.0461, -0.024, -0.0262, -0.0433, -0.0426, -0.0151, 0.029, 0.0173, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0654, 0.0611, 0.07, 0.0749, 0.1032, 0.0852, 0.0921, 0.1186, 0.1195, 0.1079, 0.1066, 0.0921, 0.0839, 0.0914, 0.1182, 0.1418, 0.1575, 0.1647, 0.1444, 0.147, 0.169, 0.1511, 0.1339, 0.1593, 0.1309, 0.1007, 0.0978, 0.1079, 0.1091, 0.0797, 0.1054, 0.0846, 0.0634, 0.0518, 0.0495, 0.0201, -0.0459, -0.0844, -0.0874, -0.1286, -0.0976, -0.1183, -0.1211, -0.0909, -0.0911, -0.0518, -0.0617, -0.0786, -0.1004, -0.0911, -0.0853, -0.1036, -0.1276, -0.1458, -0.1416, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029689992990314691", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T22:46:18+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "Oh thank god. We will definitely go up now.", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastic dismissal of Culper's ETH short thesis; actual implied stance is bullish ETH from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CulperResearch Oh thank god. We will definitely go up now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "NEW: We are short Ether $ETH, and ETH-linked securities, incl. $BMNR. \nWe think ETH tokenomics are impaired following the December 2025 Fusaka upgrade. Vitalik knows it and is selling, while $ETH's most ardent bull, Tom Lee, is throwing good money after bad.\n$ETH is going lower. https://t.co/WQnQVJWkED", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CulperResearch", "ret_m1d": 0.026501137968551802, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026501137968551802, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013219929533356378, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013219929533356378, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281208435195424, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281208435195424, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04482236094062009, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04482236094062009, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05358232246293271, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05358232246293271, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996152231262, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00875996152231262, "ret_p1w": 0.0007389253126821593, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0007389253126821593, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015745259931494893, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015745259931494893, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006334618812733, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006334618812733, "ret_p1m": -0.008795214686676767, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008795214686676767, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008531881885985526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008531881885985526, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327096572662293, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327096572662293, "ret_p3m": -0.10324801869021427, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10324801869021427, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22805821511313273, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22805821511313273, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481019642291846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12481019642291846, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.008795214686676767, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.008531881885985526, "alpha_c_stated": 0.008531881885985526, "price_path": [0.5086, 0.6032, 0.6052, 0.5626, 0.4888, 0.4309, 0.4309, 0.3668, 0.3647, 0.4375, 0.4511, 0.4305, 0.4219, 0.4016, 0.4123, 0.4166, 0.4344, 0.4322, 0.4483, 0.5082, 0.5573, 0.591, 0.5287, 0.4985, 0.4882, 0.4927, 0.6036, 0.6194, 0.6012, 0.5908, 0.5382, 0.4171, 0.438, 0.4238, 0.4256, 0.4127, 0.4589, 0.4513, 0.3604, 0.3045, 0.1317, 0.0753, 0.0347, -0.1206, -0.004, 0.0154, -0.0252, -0.0632, -0.0602, -0.0111, -0.0356, -0.0383, -0.0568, -0.0596, -0.0495, -0.1043, -0.1055, -0.0082, -0.0216, -0.068, -0.0214, -0.0429, 0.0265, 0.0, -0.0448, -0.038, -0.0166, -0.0097, 0.0007, 0.0101, 0.135, 0.119, 0.0638, 0.0318, 0.0362, 0.0389, 0.0406, 0.0465, -0.0058, -0.0388, -0.0232, 0.016, 0.0324, -0.0071, -0.0088, 0.0175, 0.0822, 0.0573, 0.0567, 0.0838, 0.1444, 0.1215, 0.1389, 0.1337, 0.1687, 0.1176, 0.1238, 0.147, 0.1255, 0.1178, 0.1117, 0.1051, 0.0878, 0.0891, 0.1079, 0.1326, 0.1398, 0.1348, 0.106, 0.1136, 0.1293, 0.098, 0.0898, 0.101, 0.0732, 0.0275, 0.0185, 0.0267, 0.0289, -0.0034, 0.0192, -0.0004, -0.0238, -0.0309, -0.0288, -0.033, -0.1032, -0.1254, -0.1458, -0.2369, -0.1841, -0.2095, -0.2179, -0.1928, -0.1962, -0.1335, -0.1357, -0.1563, -0.1748, -0.1741, -0.1666, -0.1961, -0.218, -0.2446, -0.2389, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026344736286716411", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T17:13:27+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought some today at $38.51", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought NVO at $38.51; live long position initiated.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@plantsyMN I bought some today at $38.51", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Any material change in your long term view of NVO?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "plantsyMN", "ret_m1d": 0.026950002843746157, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026950002843746157, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03416602860911988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03416602860911988, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216025765373724, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216025765373724, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01114287339283504, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01114287339283504, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019581179693373474, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019581179693373474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438306300538434, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438306300538434, "ret_p1w": -0.05001304024131359, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05001304024131359, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.039800052591149715, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.039800052591149715, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010212987650163874, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010212987650163874, "ret_p1m": -0.05856436422290667, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05856436422290667, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016757138716700704, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016757138716700704, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180722550620597, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180722550620597, "ret_p3m": 0.20779729572551653, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20779729572551653, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12003064382703155, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12003064382703155, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776665189848498, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776665189848498, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05856436422290667, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.016757138716700704, "alpha_c_stated": -0.016757138716700704, "price_path": [0.2622, 0.2788, 0.255, 0.2291, 0.2327, 0.2436, 0.2402, 0.212, 0.2013, 0.2711, 0.3032, 0.3003, 0.3053, 0.2687, 0.2379, 0.2337, 0.2462, 0.2464, 0.3374, 0.362, 0.362, 0.3579, 0.3338, 0.3273, 0.3185, 0.3185, 0.3576, 0.4281, 0.4579, 0.4659, 0.4859, 0.524, 0.5512, 0.5455, 0.5266, 0.4802, 0.6152, 0.6152, 0.5724, 0.5372, 0.6126, 0.6134, 0.6579, 0.6297, 0.5634, 0.5374, 0.54, 0.5271, 0.3034, 0.2229, 0.1231, 0.2345, 0.2793, 0.2729, 0.263, 0.2679, 0.2845, 0.2845, 0.2793, 0.2757, 0.2555, 0.2288, 0.027, 0.0, -0.0111, -0.0251, -0.0295, -0.0215, -0.05, -0.0023, 0.0124, -0.0003, 0.0308, 0.0034, 0.0062, -0.0148, -0.0163, -0.0003, -0.0041, -0.0295, -0.0391, -0.0534, -0.0459, -0.0441, -0.0586, -0.0568, -0.0661, -0.052, -0.0128, -0.02, -0.0066, -0.0066, -0.0149, -0.0085, 0.0103, 0.0058, 0.0079, 0.0203, 0.0563, 0.0963, 0.0995, 0.0885, 0.0869, 0.059, 0.0517, 0.0348, 0.106, 0.1068, 0.106, 0.0823, 0.1342, 0.1788, 0.1925, 0.2054, 0.2293, 0.2304, 0.2376, 0.2465, 0.2626, 0.2647, 0.2304, 0.2019, 0.1895, 0.1895, 0.2108, 0.1925, 0.2078, 0.2078, 0.1871, 0.1968, 0.2226, 0.2245, 0.1839, 0.153, 0.1283, 0.1753, 0.1541, 0.102, 0.1334, 0.15, 0.1809, 0.1788, 0.1799, 0.1699, 0.1691, 0.1602, 0.1602, 0.2325, 0.2739, 0.2736, 0.2798, 0.2913, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2065901060737343793", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-13T20:56:10+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like BKKT.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses Gurley's thesis: long BKKT on stablecoin payments; implicitly bearish V and MA as threatened by stablecoins.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@StockSavvyShay Agreed. I like BKKT.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bill Gurley says $V &amp; $MA are “heavily threatened” by stablecoins because there is “zero reason” digital payments should still cost 2% to 3%.\n\nUSDC can move money in seconds for pennies while earning yield and stablecoins may modernize payments faster than the government can. https://t.co/3kl2TvH0sv", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": -0.059151755660126204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.059151755660126204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04182335427471018, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04182335427471018, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.017328401385416026, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017328401385416026, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022321407189022646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022321407189022646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016359844344788543, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016359844344788543, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005961562844234103, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005961562844234103, "ret_p1w": 0.010044659844276493, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010044659844276493, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021334970395508246, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021334970395508246, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011290310551231753, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011290310551231753, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0033, 0.0045, -0.0458, -0.0112, -0.077, -0.0647, -0.1105, -0.183, -0.2243, -0.1786, -0.192, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.1484, -0.1484, -0.1127, -0.0636, -0.0926, -0.0268, 0.0022, 0.0312, 0.067, 0.0257, 0.0011, -0.0324, 0.019, -0.0312, -0.0145, 0.0045, -0.0424, -0.1228, -0.0379, -0.0435, 0.0, 0.0145, 0.0201, -0.0458, 0.0993, 0.1071, -0.01, -0.1049, -0.0312, -0.0759, -0.0268, 0.0804, 0.1362, 0.375, 0.3259, 0.3259, 0.3181, 0.2824, 0.2277, 0.2132, 0.1719, 0.0938, -0.0045, 0.0246, -0.1261, -0.0949, -0.1406, -0.1429, -0.0681, -0.0592, 0.0, -0.0223, 0.0056, 0.029, 0.029, 0.01, -0.01, -0.0748, -0.1261, -0.058, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032217206604583400", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T22:08:33+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is going up forever", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; claims it goes up forever as equities sell off.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@laurashin I loved it, Laura. Bitcoin is going up forever.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This is the stock market today. Nearly $1 trillion wiped out\n\nYet, Bitcoin and ETH barely moved 👀🧐 https://t.co/0LnBjQycgM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "laurashin", "ret_m1d": -0.004093686437893207, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004093686437893207, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009786041694003766, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009786041694003766, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0056923552561105595, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0056923552561105595, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006735442992662266, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006735442992662266, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0034414220177942934, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0034414220177942934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01017686501045656, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01017686501045656, "ret_p1w": -0.008237244522790954, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008237244522790954, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00980428175588588, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00980428175588588, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041526278676834, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041526278676834, "ret_p1m": 0.03525980856158761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03525980856158761, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003520398114609913, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003520398114609913, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780206676197526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780206676197526, "ret_p3m": -0.12553901553147162, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12553901553147162, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22386627412241988, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22386627412241988, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09832725859094826, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09832725859094826, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.2259, 0.2461, 0.222, 0.2123, 0.2498, 0.2553, 0.24, 0.2428, 0.2375, 0.2384, 0.2361, 0.2544, 0.2414, 0.2587, 0.2759, 0.3318, 0.3296, 0.2953, 0.2913, 0.284, 0.2936, 0.3522, 0.375, 0.3555, 0.3551, 0.3129, 0.2528, 0.2679, 0.2691, 0.2697, 0.2521, 0.264, 0.2651, 0.1996, 0.1934, 0.1163, 0.0729, 0.0358, -0.1105, 0.0009, -0.0053, -0.0241, -0.0497, -0.0606, -0.0232, -0.0234, -0.0425, -0.0577, -0.0502, -0.0353, -0.0834, -0.091, -0.0359, -0.0431, -0.0654, -0.0244, -0.0312, 0.0315, 0.0049, -0.0334, -0.0297, -0.008, -0.0041, 0.0, 0.0067, 0.062, 0.0486, 0.0107, -0.0082, 0.0004, 0.006, 0.0003, 0.0116, -0.0241, -0.0589, -0.0539, -0.0321, -0.0343, -0.0511, -0.0505, -0.0232, 0.0205, 0.0089, 0.0181, 0.0353, 0.0566, 0.0523, 0.0612, 0.0661, 0.0941, 0.0763, 0.0831, 0.1094, 0.1103, 0.0988, 0.0975, 0.0831, 0.0749, 0.0824, 0.109, 0.1324, 0.148, 0.1551, 0.135, 0.1375, 0.1594, 0.1416, 0.1246, 0.1498, 0.1216, 0.0916, 0.0888, 0.0988, 0.0999, 0.0709, 0.0963, 0.0756, 0.0546, 0.0432, 0.0408, 0.0117, -0.0538, -0.0919, -0.0949, -0.1358, -0.105, -0.1255, -0.1283, -0.0983, -0.0986, -0.0596, -0.0694, -0.0862, -0.1078, -0.0986, -0.0928, -0.111, -0.1347, -0.1528, -0.1486, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031219423491809288", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T04:03:43+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fundamentally it's good. 1.75M shares long. I see $20-50 soon.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long 1.75M shares of OPEN with $20-50 price target seen soon; fundamentally bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cantonmeow Fundamentally it’s good. 1.75M shares long. I see $20-50 soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OPEN still looks good to me here and is setting up for a monthly Ichimoku cloud penetration \nThis is just how I'm reading the room\nI think they're about to do it\nI don't know if it'll happen for sure\nBut the chemistry is brewing https://t.co/yIZXwpWVdU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cantonmeow", "ret_m1d": 0.013971994336583471, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013971994336583471, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012362392104234399, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012573946116240409, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013980482203430622, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.051896155721874226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.051896155721874226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05315129027054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06377861785727845, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011882462135404226, "ret_p1w": 0.10978037700019372, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10978037700019372, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11921662931268306, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1144400864310936, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004659709430899883, "ret_p1m": -0.07385236436981546, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07385236436981546, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07485098102162357, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06931504846895531, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0045373159008601505, "ret_p3m": -0.11776449613447837, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11776449613447837, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20988812815606672, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16623720810883502, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04847271197435665, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.07385236436981546, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07485098102162357, "alpha_c_stated": -0.06931504846895531, "price_path": [0.4072, 0.3094, 0.2914, 0.3433, 0.2216, 0.2535, 0.2695, 0.2814, 0.2515, 0.2535, 0.2535, 0.1996, 0.1637, 0.1657, 0.1637, 0.1637, 0.2116, 0.2615, 0.3832, 0.2216, 0.2834, 0.4551, 0.4012, 0.3513, 0.3253, 0.2575, 0.3313, 0.3313, 0.2754, 0.2934, 0.2814, 0.1996, 0.1717, 0.1597, 0.1497, 0.1138, 0.0279, -0.0379, 0.024, -0.002, -0.0619, -0.0259, -0.014, -0.0639, -0.0499, -0.1257, -0.1128, -0.1128, -0.1357, -0.0758, -0.0719, -0.002, -0.0459, 0.02, -0.006, 0.0798, 0.0818, 0.008, -0.008, -0.0259, 0.0339, -0.002, 0.014, 0.0, 0.0519, -0.0339, -0.012, 0.0339, 0.1098, 0.0539, 0.0259, -0.02, 0.0399, 0.0339, 0.018, -0.022, -0.0419, -0.1158, -0.0659, -0.0878, -0.0539, -0.0539, -0.0798, -0.0918, -0.0739, -0.1397, -0.1377, -0.1297, -0.0998, -0.0379, 0.0519, 0.0559, 0.0679, 0.0878, 0.0838, 0.0419, 0.0998, 0.0758, 0.0938, 0.1138, 0.0739, 0.0858, 0.024, 0.0439, 0.0898, 0.0619, 0.0, -0.0319, -0.0599, -0.0858, -0.1078, -0.1257, -0.1457, -0.1417, -0.1218, -0.0878, -0.0958, -0.0958, -0.1058, -0.0519, 0.012, 0.006, 0.0599, 0.0798, -0.0279, -0.012, -0.1178, -0.1397, -0.1337, -0.1058, -0.1078, -0.1138, -0.0798, -0.0519, -0.1118, -0.1078, -0.1078, -0.1457, -0.1617, -0.1457, -0.1417, -0.1277, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035046606001905669", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T17:31:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$140,000 Bitcoin is coming. Sooner than most expect.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin heading to $140,000 sooner than most expect.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I know it doesn’t feel like it today but $140,000 Bitcoin is coming. Sooner than most expect.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008646830896706259, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008646830896706259, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023191028360850074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023191028360850074, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014544197464143815, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014544197464143815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005562380225927255, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005562380225927255, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004937610999549147, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004937610999549147, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010499991225476402, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010499991225476402, "ret_p1w": -0.059331501842661005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059331501842661005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03700543412937918, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03700543412937918, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326067713281827, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326067713281827, "ret_p1m": 0.07586133476077195, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07586133476077195, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016881039753633642, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016881039753633642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274237451440559, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274237451440559, "ret_p3m": -0.08655582525589378, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08655582525589378, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2290076686889555, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2290076686889555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14245184343306172, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14245184343306172, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.07586133476077195, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.016881039753633642, "alpha_c_stated": -0.016881039753633642, "price_path": [0.2395, 0.2423, 0.237, 0.2379, 0.2356, 0.2539, 0.2409, 0.2582, 0.2754, 0.3312, 0.3291, 0.2947, 0.2908, 0.2835, 0.2931, 0.3516, 0.3744, 0.3549, 0.3545, 0.3124, 0.2522, 0.2674, 0.2686, 0.2692, 0.2516, 0.2635, 0.2646, 0.1991, 0.1929, 0.1158, 0.0725, 0.0354, -0.1109, 0.0005, -0.0057, -0.0245, -0.0501, -0.061, -0.0236, -0.0238, -0.0429, -0.0581, -0.0506, -0.0357, -0.0837, -0.0914, -0.0363, -0.0435, -0.0658, -0.0248, -0.0316, 0.031, 0.0045, -0.0338, -0.0301, -0.0084, -0.0045, -0.0004, 0.0063, 0.0615, 0.0482, 0.0103, -0.0086, 0.0, 0.0056, -0.0001, 0.0112, -0.0245, -0.0593, -0.0543, -0.0325, -0.0347, -0.0515, -0.0509, -0.0236, 0.0201, 0.0085, 0.0177, 0.0348, 0.0562, 0.0519, 0.0607, 0.0656, 0.0936, 0.0759, 0.0827, 0.1089, 0.1098, 0.0983, 0.097, 0.0826, 0.0745, 0.082, 0.1086, 0.1319, 0.1475, 0.1546, 0.1345, 0.137, 0.1589, 0.1412, 0.1241, 0.1493, 0.1211, 0.0912, 0.0883, 0.0983, 0.0995, 0.0704, 0.0958, 0.0752, 0.0542, 0.0427, 0.0404, 0.0113, -0.0542, -0.0923, -0.0953, -0.1361, -0.1054, -0.1259, -0.1287, -0.0987, -0.099, -0.06, -0.0698, -0.0866, -0.1081, -0.099, -0.0932, -0.1114, -0.1351, -0.1532, -0.149, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050227231570702554", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-01T14:53:58+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WULF is currently $22.53 and CIFR is $18.22. Likely meet at $40-50. Mark it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both WULF and CIFR expected to re-converge higher at $40-50; relative value long on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "WULF has become untethered from CIFR despite having a very similar business and operating model. Interesting relative value opportunity. I expect them to re-converge as they have several times since 2024. WULF is currently $22.53 and CIFR is $18.22. Likely meet at $40-50. Mark it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019709060854984584, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019709060854984584, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0224705094330776, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015664308235635138, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614485780930176, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004044752619349445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04598786833154067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04598786833154067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.049651260478297154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05253634339293012, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633921467564834, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006548475061389447, "ret_p1w": 0.09760675625685988, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09760675625685988, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0740585737724988, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11070378010961224, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354818248436108, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013097023852752354, "ret_p1m": 0.20412953967558245, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20412953967558245, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1515520546393374, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21356705002081933, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05257748503624504, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009437510345236877, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.20412953967558245, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1515520546393374, "alpha_c_stated": 0.21356705002081933, "price_path": [-0.3055, -0.3487, -0.4406, -0.3294, -0.2187, -0.2196, -0.2478, -0.2534, -0.237, -0.237, -0.2407, -0.2783, -0.274, -0.2956, -0.2642, -0.176, -0.1591, -0.161, -0.2389, -0.2482, -0.3083, -0.2787, -0.2853, -0.3548, -0.3501, -0.3266, -0.2858, -0.3116, -0.3116, -0.2299, -0.2473, -0.282, -0.2614, -0.2914, -0.2403, -0.2389, -0.2088, -0.2797, -0.3013, -0.3571, -0.3229, -0.3205, -0.3017, -0.3017, -0.2703, -0.2224, -0.153, -0.107, -0.1145, -0.0873, -0.0169, -0.077, -0.0939, -0.0314, -0.038, -0.0723, -0.0357, -0.0441, -0.061, 0.0056, -0.0239, -0.0605, 0.0197, 0.0, 0.046, 0.1023, 0.2079, 0.1272, 0.0976, 0.0967, 0.0699, 0.0849, 0.1342, 0.0474, -0.008, 0.0014, 0.015, 0.0756, 0.0709, 0.0709, 0.1816, 0.2548, 0.2389, 0.1994, 0.2041, 0.2431, 0.2276, 0.229, 0.1262, 0.2135, 0.1872, 0.0882, 0.1896, 0.2229, 0.3219, 0.3144, 0.3074, 0.3599, 0.3599, 0.3285, 0.3505, 0.2656, 0.2229, 0.2121, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050227231570702554", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-01T14:53:58+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WULF is currently $22.53 and CIFR is $18.22. Likely meet at $40-50. Mark it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both WULF and CIFR expected to re-converge higher at $40-50; relative value long on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "WULF has become untethered from CIFR despite having a very similar business and operating model. Interesting relative value opportunity. I expect them to re-converge as they have several times since 2024. WULF is currently $22.53 and CIFR is $18.22. Likely meet at $40-50. Mark it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04107974283927196, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04107974283927196, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04384119141736498, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05572108999987835, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614485780930176, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014641347160606388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04988253688100164, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04988253688100164, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05354592902775812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04877047968183046, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633921467564834, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011120571991711792, "ret_p1w": 0.20598580592415283, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20598580592415283, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18243762343979175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12165878126372043, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354818248436108, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0843270246604324, "ret_p1m": 0.40903749641252807, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40903749641252807, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.356460011376283, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1996719418911468, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05257748503624504, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20936555452138128, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.40903749641252807, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.356460011376283, "alpha_c_stated": 0.1996719418911468, "price_path": [-0.0458, -0.1637, -0.2547, -0.1356, -0.0164, 0.0035, -0.0446, -0.0552, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0822, -0.0951, -0.0728, -0.1403, -0.1068, 0.0047, -0.0252, -0.0329, -0.0845, -0.0751, -0.1367, -0.0587, -0.1109, -0.2007, -0.1602, -0.1808, -0.1719, -0.1954, -0.1737, -0.1115, -0.1144, -0.1391, -0.1408, -0.1778, -0.1262, -0.1268, -0.0681, -0.1579, -0.1934, -0.2949, -0.2447, -0.2582, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2165, -0.1778, -0.0951, -0.0399, -0.0299, 0.0423, 0.0827, 0.0563, 0.0176, 0.1367, 0.132, 0.0587, 0.1408, 0.0968, 0.0681, 0.0657, 0.0129, -0.007, 0.0411, 0.0, 0.0499, 0.2969, 0.2858, 0.2139, 0.206, 0.1901, 0.1772, 0.2465, 0.3081, 0.1931, 0.1221, 0.1033, 0.1432, 0.2629, 0.2893, 0.2893, 0.3509, 0.4765, 0.4431, 0.3879, 0.409, 0.5428, 0.5399, 0.4994, 0.3175, 0.4255, 0.3518, 0.2336, 0.3281, 0.4378, 0.5276, 0.5381, 0.5464, 0.7124, 0.7124, 0.6514, 0.6221, 0.5387, 0.507, 0.5223, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039165623373029861", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T02:19:05+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$315,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Targets BTC at $315,000, a decisive bullish price call against prevailing bearish narratives.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "und", "tweet_text": "@Invst_Informant $315,000", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bitcoin $BTC \n\nAll I continue to hear are bearish narratives, yet the monthly close in 1.5hrs shows that Bitcoin will close ABOVE its 55 EMA for the 2nd month in a row (deviated below it last month, but still closed above 55EMA)\n\nWhen I look at the strength indicators like TMO + https://t.co/DyAzzn30H8", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Invst_Informant", "ret_m1d": 0.002273224118966466, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002273224118966466, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009751371492121907, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009751371492121907, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781473731554415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781473731554415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017479577533077273, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017479577533077273, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018380037064416155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018380037064416155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004595313388819, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004595313388819, "ret_p1w": 0.04472487263392311, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04472487263392311, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013026493143555973, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013026493143555973, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698379490367135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698379490367135, "ret_p1m": 0.120827559614898, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.120827559614898, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024038619596410626, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024038619596410626, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678894001848737, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678894001848737, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.120827559614898, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.024038619596410626, "alpha_c_stated": 0.024038619596410626, "price_path": [0.3212, 0.379, 0.3768, 0.3412, 0.3371, 0.3295, 0.3395, 0.4002, 0.4238, 0.4035, 0.4032, 0.3595, 0.2972, 0.3129, 0.3141, 0.3147, 0.2965, 0.3088, 0.31, 0.2421, 0.2358, 0.1559, 0.111, 0.0726, -0.079, 0.0364, 0.03, 0.0105, -0.016, -0.0273, 0.0114, 0.0112, -0.0086, -0.0243, -0.0165, -0.0011, -0.0509, -0.0587, -0.0017, -0.0092, -0.0323, 0.0102, 0.0032, 0.068, 0.0406, 0.0009, 0.0048, 0.0272, 0.0312, 0.0355, 0.0424, 0.0996, 0.0858, 0.0465, 0.0269, 0.0359, 0.0417, 0.0358, 0.0475, 0.0105, -0.0256, -0.0204, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0175, -0.0169, 0.0115, 0.0567, 0.0447, 0.0542, 0.072, 0.0941, 0.0896, 0.0988, 0.1039, 0.1329, 0.1145, 0.1215, 0.1487, 0.1497, 0.1377, 0.1364, 0.1215, 0.1131, 0.1208, 0.1484, 0.1726, 0.1887, 0.1961, 0.1753, 0.1779, 0.2005, 0.1821, 0.1645, 0.1906, 0.1614, 0.1304, 0.1274, 0.1378, 0.139, 0.1088, 0.1352, 0.1138, 0.092, 0.0802, 0.0778, 0.0476, -0.0202, -0.0597, -0.0628, -0.1051, -0.0733, -0.0945, -0.0974, -0.0664, -0.0666, -0.0263, -0.0364, -0.0538, -0.0761, -0.0667, -0.0606, -0.0795, -0.104, -0.1228, -0.1184, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031869446076449263", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T23:06:40+00:00", "symbol": "STRC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It should trade at $100 and the chart doesn't matter", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish STRC with $100 price target; frames it as a revolutionary Bitcoin-yield product, not merely a chart pattern.", "resolved_tickers": ["STRC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@udiWertheimer It’s not an important chart. It’s a revolutionary approach to bringing the power of Bitcoin’s long term returns to people who need high current dollar yields. It’s a critical difference. It should trade at $100 and the chart doesn’t matter.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "i’ve been telling everyone every day last year that STRC was the most important chart in crypto\n\ni’m glad everyone agrees now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "udiWertheimer", "ret_m1d": 0.00019997328401344383, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00019997328401344383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015219131574190747, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015219131574190747, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015419104858204191, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007046817386713311, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007046817386713311, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012706953139322241, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012706953139322241, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00566013575260893, "ret_p1w": 0.004321041123898972, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004321041123898972, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013719624639021877, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013719624639021877, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398583515122905, "ret_p1m": 0.009570795936504783, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009570795936504783, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013333495526262729, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013333495526262729, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904291462767512, "ret_p3m": -0.010119552453285885, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.010119552453285885, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.119723662617781, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.119723662617781, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10960411016449512, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.009570795936504783, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.013333495526262729, "alpha_c_stated": -0.013333495526262729, "price_path": [-0.0411, -0.0398, -0.0448, -0.0392, -0.0309, -0.029, -0.0284, -0.0288, -0.0288, -0.0269, -0.0304, -0.0286, -0.0304, -0.0304, -0.0218, -0.0192, -0.0188, -0.0187, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0179, -0.0184, -0.0181, -0.0096, -0.0094, -0.0094, -0.0182, -0.0139, -0.0123, -0.0144, -0.0189, -0.0178, -0.0195, -0.0274, -0.0195, -0.0189, -0.0248, -0.0294, -0.0722, -0.0218, -0.0122, -0.0127, -0.0095, -0.0092, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0068, -0.0051, -0.0035, -0.0019, -0.0017, -0.001, -0.0005, -0.0001, -0.0001, -0.0001, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0, 0.0001, 0.0005, 0.0001, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.007, 0.0079, 0.0083, 0.0052, 0.0043, 0.005, 0.0082, 0.0091, 0.009, 0.0093, 0.0087, 0.0092, 0.0098, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.0124, 0.0098, 0.0113, 0.0124, 0.0121, 0.0136, 0.0153, 0.0145, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0139, 0.0168, 0.0179, 0.0188, 0.0189, 0.019, 0.0189, 0.0192, 0.0193, 0.0192, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0209, 0.0149, 0.0188, 0.0206, 0.0222, 0.022, 0.022, 0.0237, 0.0207, 0.0145, 0.0188, 0.0093, -0.0047, -0.0259, -0.0179, -0.0387, -0.0032, -0.0101, -0.0139, -0.0069, -0.0243, -0.0102, -0.0457, -0.0747, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.0768, -0.0922, -0.1595, -0.213, -0.2247, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2051638244891390207", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-05T12:20:49+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The demand is INSANE.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: analyst notes new hyperscaler lease priced 15% above prior AWS deal, author endorses with 'demand is INSANE'.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "KBW analyst Stephen Glagola put out a note this morning estimating that CIFR’s new hyperscaler lease at Stingray was priced 15% above the AWS/Black Pearl lease signed just months earlier. The demand is INSANE.\n\n---\n\nSOURCE https://t.co/fdEsQzTFHY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.19049777914715627, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19049777914715627, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.18253939440588152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16888337932424868, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958384741274749, "bench_c_m1d": -0.021614399822907582, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008597309084977578, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008597309084977578, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022496708777751673, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0351625473295496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899399692774095, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02656523824457202, "ret_p1w": -0.09230773214093835, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09230773214093835, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1122173060194448, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1500871599112349, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019909573878506448, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05777942777029654, "ret_p1m": 0.18733028589084189, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18733028589084189, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1452313352596286, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0025811667408852657, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04209895063121327, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18474911914995662, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.18733028589084189, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1452313352596286, "alpha_c_stated": 0.0025811667408852657, "price_path": [-0.4253, -0.3335, -0.2416, -0.2262, -0.2633, -0.2715, -0.257, -0.257, -0.2923, -0.3023, -0.2851, -0.3371, -0.3113, -0.2253, -0.2484, -0.2543, -0.2941, -0.2869, -0.3344, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3837, -0.3525, -0.3683, -0.3615, -0.3796, -0.3629, -0.3149, -0.3172, -0.3362, -0.3376, -0.3661, -0.3262, -0.3267, -0.2814, -0.3507, -0.3781, -0.4563, -0.4176, -0.4281, -0.4199, -0.4199, -0.3959, -0.3661, -0.3023, -0.2597, -0.252, -0.1964, -0.1652, -0.1855, -0.2154, -0.1235, -0.1271, -0.1837, -0.1204, -0.1543, -0.1765, -0.1783, -0.219, -0.2344, -0.1973, -0.229, -0.1905, 0.0, -0.0086, -0.064, -0.0701, -0.0824, -0.0923, -0.0389, 0.0086, -0.0801, -0.1348, -0.1493, -0.1186, -0.0262, -0.0059, -0.0059, 0.0416, 0.1385, 0.1127, 0.0701, 0.0864, 0.1896, 0.1873, 0.1561, 0.0158, 0.0991, 0.0423, -0.0489, 0.024, 0.1086, 0.1778, 0.186, 0.1923, 0.3204, 0.3204, 0.2733, 0.2507, 0.1864, 0.162, 0.1738, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045677163148668963", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-19T01:33:37+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It has never required the \"wider market\" to make a move before", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses CIFR breakout thesis; argues it can rally independently of broader market conditions.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Thomas_james_1 It has never required the “wider market” to make a move before", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "WOW what an incredible weekly setup for $CIFR\n\nNot really too much more to say is there? I told you to watch for this falling wedge/flag breakout.\n\nThe breakout started last week and continued into this week just been.\n\nIf momentum in the wider market can stay strong, I don’t see https://t.co/nUQixVUyJO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Thomas_james_1", "ret_m1d": 0.004147222390314065, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004147222390314065, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0021434803219189114, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0055058025480260175, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020037420683951535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013585801577119527, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06480041164714623, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06480041164714623, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05825351879860674, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06564155512783942, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546892848539487, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008411434806931961, "ret_p1w": -0.05857962750046575, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05857962750046575, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06768060722474067, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09746427717557293, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009100979724274927, "bench_c_p1w": 0.038884649675107186, "ret_p1m": -0.025401848377952785, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025401848377952785, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06069091754923228, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1462611194396517, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0352890691712795, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12085927106169891, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.025401848377952785, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.06069091754923228, "alpha_c_stated": -0.1462611194396517, "price_path": [-0.0814, -0.0985, -0.0892, -0.1452, -0.028, -0.0166, -0.0824, -0.1726, -0.1804, -0.1571, -0.2613, -0.3416, -0.2364, -0.1312, -0.1135, -0.156, -0.1654, -0.1488, -0.1488, -0.1892, -0.2006, -0.1809, -0.2405, -0.211, -0.1125, -0.1389, -0.1457, -0.1913, -0.183, -0.2374, -0.1685, -0.2146, -0.2939, -0.2582, -0.2763, -0.2685, -0.2893, -0.2701, -0.2151, -0.2177, -0.2395, -0.2411, -0.2737, -0.2281, -0.2286, -0.1768, -0.2561, -0.2875, -0.3771, -0.3328, -0.3447, -0.3354, -0.3354, -0.3079, -0.2737, -0.2006, -0.1519, -0.1431, -0.0793, -0.0435, -0.0669, -0.1011, 0.0041, 0.0, -0.0648, 0.0078, -0.0311, -0.0565, -0.0586, -0.1052, -0.1229, -0.0804, -0.1166, -0.0726, 0.1457, 0.1358, 0.0723, 0.0653, 0.0513, 0.0399, 0.1011, 0.1555, 0.0539, -0.0088, -0.0254, 0.0098, 0.1156, 0.1389, 0.1389, 0.1934, 0.3043, 0.2748, 0.226, 0.2447, 0.3629, 0.3603, 0.3245, 0.1638, 0.2592, 0.1941, 0.0897, 0.1731, 0.2701, 0.3494, 0.3587, 0.366, 0.5127, 0.5127, 0.4588, 0.4329, 0.3593, 0.3313, 0.3447, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026833278544785450", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T01:34:45+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am holding 567,000 shares of ASST and 60,000 shares of SATA. Very BULLISH 🐂", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 567K shares ASST and 60K shares SATA; explicitly very bullish on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So bummed. Had a chef’s table dinner scheduled with the Strive team - @Werkman @ColeMacro @PunterJeff - but got a nasty cold/flu and had to rain check. When you have small kids, it happens. That said, I am holding 567,000 shares of ASST and 60,000 shares of SATA. Very BULLISH 🐂", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0427350915020861, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0427350915020861, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037149621735023564, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05473504958006703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585469767062534, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011999958077980932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03052497386710995, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03052497386710995, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025723033008498652, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010144056623594078, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801940858611298, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020380917243515873, "ret_p1w": 0.12942618729256283, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12942618729256283, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1410176438186812, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15361658479025808, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591456526118371, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419039749769525, "ret_p1m": 0.20329670905491093, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20329670905491093, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2808801357004663, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.28794884534456744, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0775834266455554, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08465213628965651, "ret_p3m": 1.2100123698202467, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2100123698202467, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1181221076638652, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2173166220248723, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189026215638152, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007304252204625494, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.20329670905491093, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.2808801357004663, "alpha_c_stated": 0.28794884534456744, "price_path": [1.5641, 1.5275, 1.5641, 1.3858, 1.2002, 1.4054, 1.4908, 1.442, 1.2515, 1.1074, 0.9267, 1.1001, 1.0049, 1.0293, 1.1954, 1.1148, 0.9658, 1.105, 1.105, 0.9902, 0.8877, 0.7875, 0.8022, 0.8022, 1.1123, 1.5153, 1.5397, 1.4908, 1.4664, 1.3101, 1.6862, 1.3687, 1.5153, 1.3712, 1.315, 1.315, 1.1612, 1.1783, 1.1245, 1.127, 0.9194, 1.0, 0.956, 0.917, 1.0049, 0.7656, 0.6654, 0.4457, 0.2039, 0.4548, 0.2387, 0.1209, -0.0122, -0.0598, 0.0171, 0.0171, -0.0012, -0.0171, -0.0085, -0.0049, -0.1013, -0.1252, 0.0427, 0.0, -0.0305, 0.0659, 0.0171, 0.1746, 0.1294, 0.0623, 0.0391, 0.0965, 0.127, 0.0781, 0.1636, 0.326, 0.3553, 0.2253, 0.2527, 0.2234, 0.2747, 0.2125, 0.3248, 0.2711, 0.2033, 0.1441, 0.2234, 0.2405, 0.1905, 0.1905, 0.2357, 0.1313, 0.2515, 0.177, 0.2979, 0.4139, 0.5177, 0.652, 0.707, 0.906, 0.9072, 0.8694, 1.0342, 0.978, 0.9292, 0.9158, 0.8657, 0.7595, 0.8755, 0.9915, 0.9969, 1.0159, 0.9878, 0.8877, 0.9438, 1.1917, 1.0842, 1.044, 1.1624, 1.0501, 0.928, 0.9731, 1.0733, 1.2625, 1.2234, 1.2234, 1.21, 1.1758, 1.1734, 1.1575, 1.1001, 0.9683, 0.7998, 0.8339, 0.6996, 0.8571, 0.735, 0.7619, 0.7802, 0.8498, 1.0354, 0.928, 0.8852, 0.8132, 0.8132, 0.8083, 0.7033, 0.5324, 0.3919, 0.3846, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026833278544785450", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-26T01:34:45+00:00", "symbol": "SATA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am holding 567,000 shares of ASST and 60,000 shares of SATA. Very BULLISH 🐂", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds 567K shares ASST and 60K shares SATA; explicitly very bullish on both.", "resolved_tickers": ["SATA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So bummed. Had a chef’s table dinner scheduled with the Strive team - @Werkman @ColeMacro @PunterJeff - but got a nasty cold/flu and had to rain check. When you have small kids, it happens. That said, I am holding 567,000 shares of ASST and 60,000 shares of SATA. Very BULLISH 🐂", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011308159134083562, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011308159134083562, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016893628901146096, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006917989438973704, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585469767062534, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011999958077980932, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0056423649695316325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0056423649695316325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008404241109203348, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01473855227398424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801940858611298, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020380917243515873, "ret_p1w": -0.004278985216759512, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004278985216759512, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007312471309358859, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019911412280935736, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591456526118371, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419039749769525, "ret_p1m": 0.03368719449098201, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03368719449098201, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1112706211365374, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11833933078063852, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0775834266455554, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08465213628965651, "ret_p3m": 0.07180857184516953, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07180857184516953, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.020081690311211986, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07911282404979503, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189026215638152, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007304252204625494, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.03368719449098201, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.1112706211365374, "alpha_c_stated": 0.11833933078063852, "price_path": [-0.0693, -0.0669, -0.0683, -0.0698, -0.0694, -0.0753, -0.0744, -0.0841, -0.07, -0.0758, -0.0839, -0.0708, -0.0734, -0.0635, -0.056, -0.048, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0371, -0.0369, -0.0354, -0.024, -0.024, -0.0342, -0.0326, -0.0249, -0.0213, -0.0192, -0.0033, -0.0043, -0.0047, 0.0063, 0.0059, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0254, 0.0213, -0.0221, -0.011, -0.0077, -0.0055, -0.0016, -0.0121, -0.0161, -0.0349, -0.0552, -0.0655, -0.1441, -0.0797, -0.1106, -0.087, -0.0896, -0.0754, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.0277, -0.0419, -0.0335, -0.0205, -0.032, -0.0347, -0.0113, 0.0, -0.0056, -0.012, -0.0194, -0.0077, -0.0043, -0.0082, -0.006, -0.0052, 0.0068, 0.0047, 0.0147, 0.0252, 0.0352, 0.0232, 0.0253, 0.0184, 0.0266, 0.0304, 0.0383, 0.0383, 0.0337, 0.0428, 0.046, 0.0387, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.0359, 0.0327, 0.039, 0.0403, 0.0411, 0.0336, 0.0384, 0.0569, 0.0522, 0.0556, 0.0553, 0.0552, 0.0591, 0.0598, 0.0586, 0.06, 0.06, 0.0603, 0.0596, 0.0637, 0.064, 0.0673, 0.0643, 0.0639, 0.0666, 0.0653, 0.0648, 0.0642, 0.0708, 0.0717, 0.0713, 0.0718, 0.0717, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0717, 0.0718, 0.0787, 0.0544, 0.05, 0.0455, 0.0222, 0.0595, 0.0531, 0.0546, 0.0647, 0.0719, 0.0841, 0.0845, 0.0853, 0.0609, 0.0609, 0.0579, 0.0272, -0.0368, -0.091, -0.0444, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2056507220209307966", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-18T22:48:24+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have purchased 585,000 shares in BKKT via Alpine Fox LP. I joined the BKKT board 8 months ago with the firm belief that we could build something great", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Discloses 625K-share long position in BKKT via Alpine Fox LP (5th largest institutional holder) plus personal RSUs; bullish on cap structure cleanup and stablecoin buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have purchased 585,000 shares in BKKT via Alpine Fox LP. I joined the BKKT board 8 months ago with the firm belief that we could build something great. We have cleaned up the cap structure, balance sheet, and board, added stablecoin capabilities, and now it's time to accelerate\n\n---\n\nPlease note that Alpine Fox LP now holds 625,000 shares which makes it the 5th largest institutional holder as of the last reporting period.\n\nI also hold RSUs personally due to my board service.\n\n---\n\nhttps://t.co/Pblx8qLto8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09917355453322374, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09917355453322374, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10587900621338964, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10587900621338964, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705451680165897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006705451680165897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05165289093355252, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05165289093355252, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04140389635098907, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04140389635098907, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010248994582563453, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010248994582563453, "ret_p1w": 0.22004132719934244, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22004132719934244, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19706279962319107, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19706279962319107, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022978527576151375, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022978527576151375, "ret_p1m": -0.06921488173256607, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06921488173256607, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07906864814279169, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07906864814279169, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009853766410225617, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009853766410225617, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.06921488173256607, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.07906864814279169, "alpha_c_stated": -0.07906864814279169, "price_path": [0.0744, 0.0785, 0.0486, 0.0434, 0.124, 0.0744, -0.0124, 0.0289, -0.0093, 0.0537, 0.0279, -0.0403, -0.0475, -0.0455, -0.0403, -0.0486, -0.0238, -0.0041, -0.0052, -0.0775, -0.0702, -0.1167, -0.0847, -0.1457, -0.1343, -0.1767, -0.2438, -0.282, -0.2397, -0.2521, -0.2386, -0.2386, -0.2118, -0.2118, -0.1787, -0.1333, -0.1601, -0.0992, -0.0723, -0.0455, -0.0124, -0.0506, -0.0733, -0.1043, -0.0568, -0.1033, -0.0878, -0.0702, -0.1136, -0.188, -0.1095, -0.1147, -0.0744, -0.061, -0.0558, -0.1167, 0.0176, 0.0248, -0.0837, -0.1715, -0.1033, -0.1446, -0.0992, 0.0, 0.0517, 0.2727, 0.2273, 0.2273, 0.22, 0.187, 0.1364, 0.1229, 0.0847, 0.0124, -0.0785, -0.0517, -0.1911, -0.1622, -0.2045, -0.2066, -0.1374, -0.1291, -0.0744, -0.095, -0.0692, -0.0475, -0.0475, -0.0651, -0.0837, -0.1436, -0.1911, -0.1281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2055047347764449728", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-14T22:07:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you think Bitcoin is going to go up a lot quickly at some point in the future and you want a highly convex exposure with no expiration. In any event, I own both for completely different reasons", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Owns leveraged Bitcoin exposure (via MSTR common) expecting a large rapid Bitcoin price increase; bullish BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel Because you think Bitcoin is going to go up a lot quickly at some point in the future and you want a highly convex exposure with no expiration. In any event, I own both for completely different reasons.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred Daily dividends are a gift to pref holders at the expense of mNAV. Not sure why you'd own the common.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": -0.021889024691167602, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021889024691167602, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03406483546123473, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03406483546123473, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01217581077006713, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01217581077006713, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024497713637975926, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024497713637975926, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02379420432024415, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02379420432024415, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007035093177317764, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007035093177317764, "ret_p1w": -0.04333157261609166, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04333157261609166, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052084625944217144, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.052084625944217144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753053328125482, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008753053328125482, "ret_p1m": -0.21601210075415245, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21601210075415245, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23719801314977462, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23719801314977462, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021185912395622175, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021185912395622175, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.21601210075415245, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.23719801314977462, "alpha_c_stated": -0.23719801314977462, "price_path": [-0.1506, -0.1673, -0.1805, -0.1739, -0.161, -0.2028, -0.2094, -0.1615, -0.1678, -0.1872, -0.1515, -0.1574, -0.1029, -0.126, -0.1593, -0.1561, -0.1373, -0.1338, -0.1303, -0.1244, -0.0764, -0.088, -0.121, -0.1374, -0.1299, -0.1251, -0.13, -0.1202, -0.1513, -0.1815, -0.1772, -0.1581, -0.1601, -0.1747, -0.1742, -0.1504, -0.1124, -0.1225, -0.1145, -0.0996, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0771, -0.0728, -0.0484, -0.0639, -0.058, -0.0351, -0.0343, -0.0444, -0.0455, -0.058, -0.0651, -0.0586, -0.0354, -0.0151, -0.0015, 0.0046, -0.0128, -0.0107, 0.0084, -0.0071, -0.0219, 0.0, -0.0245, -0.0505, -0.0531, -0.0443, -0.0433, -0.0686, -0.0465, -0.0645, -0.0827, -0.0927, -0.0947, -0.1201, -0.177, -0.2102, -0.2128, -0.2483, -0.2216, -0.2394, -0.2418, -0.2158, -0.216, -0.1821, -0.1906, -0.2052, -0.224, -0.216, -0.211, -0.2268, -0.2474, -0.2632, -0.2595, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2029691640177381568", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T22:52:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin should go higher with re-acceleration", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bitcoin should go higher as the business cycle re-accelerates; author endorses quoted thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "THERE HAS BEEN NO BUSINESS CYCLE…YET", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Don't fade the business cycle. Can't call it failed until it has actually played out. \n\nBitcoin should go higher with re-acceleration. https://t.co/86Y7HBOFsF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026389376580340906, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026389376580340906, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013108168145145482, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013108168145145482, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281208435195424, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281208435195424, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03817885179689062, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03817885179689062, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04693881331920324, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04693881331920324, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00875996152231262, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00875996152231262, "ret_p1w": -0.0049076586869561956, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0049076586869561956, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010098675931856538, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010098675931856538, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006334618812733, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006334618812733, "ret_p1m": -0.05519425951380641, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05519425951380641, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03786716294114412, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03786716294114412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327096572662293, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327096572662293, "ret_p3m": -0.05840489899052281, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05840489899052281, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18321509541344128, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18321509541344128, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.12481019642291846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12481019642291846, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.05519425951380641, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03786716294114412, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03786716294114412, "price_path": [0.2795, 0.3084, 0.299, 0.3059, 0.2743, 0.2199, 0.24, 0.216, 0.2064, 0.2437, 0.2491, 0.2339, 0.2367, 0.2314, 0.2324, 0.2301, 0.2483, 0.2353, 0.2525, 0.2697, 0.3253, 0.3231, 0.2889, 0.2849, 0.2777, 0.2873, 0.3456, 0.3683, 0.3488, 0.3484, 0.3065, 0.2466, 0.2617, 0.2629, 0.2634, 0.246, 0.2578, 0.2589, 0.1937, 0.1876, 0.1108, 0.0677, 0.0308, -0.1149, -0.004, -0.0102, -0.0289, -0.0543, -0.0652, -0.028, -0.0282, -0.0472, -0.0623, -0.0548, -0.04, -0.0879, -0.0954, -0.0407, -0.0478, -0.07, -0.0292, -0.036, 0.0264, 0.0, -0.0382, -0.0344, -0.0129, -0.009, -0.0049, 0.0018, 0.0567, 0.0435, 0.0057, -0.0131, -0.0045, 0.001, -0.0046, 0.0066, -0.0289, -0.0636, -0.0586, -0.0368, -0.039, -0.0558, -0.0552, -0.028, 0.0155, 0.004, 0.0131, 0.0302, 0.0514, 0.0472, 0.056, 0.0609, 0.0887, 0.071, 0.0778, 0.1039, 0.1049, 0.0934, 0.0921, 0.0778, 0.0697, 0.0771, 0.1036, 0.1269, 0.1424, 0.1494, 0.1294, 0.1319, 0.1537, 0.136, 0.1191, 0.1441, 0.1161, 0.0863, 0.0834, 0.0934, 0.0946, 0.0656, 0.0909, 0.0704, 0.0495, 0.038, 0.0357, 0.0068, -0.0584, -0.0964, -0.0994, -0.14, -0.1094, -0.1298, -0.1326, -0.1028, -0.103, -0.0643, -0.074, -0.0907, -0.1121, -0.1031, -0.0972, -0.1154, -0.139, -0.157, -0.1528, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041557798644019588", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T16:44:44+00:00", "symbol": "AI infrastructure", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The spending will continue in a parabolic fashion for at least the next 24-36 months. People who flipped bearish on this sector will get absolutely destroyed.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI/data-center capex infrastructure spend is parabolic for next 24-36 months; bears will get destroyed.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA", "ANET", "VRT", "EQIX", "SMCI"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "AI infrastructure basket: GPU, networking, DC, power", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What the OpenAI and Anthropic S-1s will clearly show is that the capex infrastructure cycle is in the very early innings. The spending will continue in a parabolic fashion for at least the next 24-36 months. People who flipped bearish on this sector will get absolutely destroyed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021882653974590327, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021882653974590327, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021442846925313175, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017153047048756975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398070492771522, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004729606925833352, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04952698526732435, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04952698526732435, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024057348755133434, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018529256861503196, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02546963651219092, "bench_c_p1d": 0.030997728405821157, "ret_p1w": 0.1471141506773888, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1471141506773888, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09365689411170447, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07063873997571807, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.05345725656568434, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07647541070167074, "ret_p1m": 0.26943873692214254, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26943873692214254, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15625943321337538, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03222694508620877, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317930370876716, "bench_c_p1m": 0.23721179183593377, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 252, "stated_label": "p1y", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.0926, -0.0841, -0.0815, -0.0792, -0.0942, -0.0689, -0.0307, -0.0307, -0.0546, -0.0371, -0.015, -0.0262, -0.0198, -0.0014, 0.0112, -0.0009, -0.0338, -0.0324, -0.0329, -0.012, -0.0504, 0.0321, 0.0391, 0.0376, 0.0674, 0.0502, 0.0612, 0.0612, 0.0658, 0.0486, 0.0696, 0.0673, 0.0443, 0.0604, 0.1074, 0.0819, 0.0916, 0.0783, 0.0456, 0.0922, 0.0908, 0.0569, 0.0957, 0.1064, 0.1064, 0.0855, 0.0764, 0.1011, 0.0947, 0.0832, 0.0929, -0.0462, -0.0238, -0.0126, 0.0207, -0.0462, -0.0535, -0.088, -0.0371, -0.0238, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.0219, 0.0, 0.0495, 0.0595, 0.0912, 0.119, 0.1471, 0.138, 0.1605, 0.1853, 0.2035, 0.2063, 0.2187, 0.2012, 0.2351, 0.2076, 0.1676, 0.1679, 0.2071, 0.204, 0.2151, 0.218, 0.2694, 0.2248, 0.2454, 0.2451, 0.2464, 0.2361, 0.2673, 0.2244, 0.1928, 0.1696, 0.1983, 0.2242, 0.2619, 0.2619, 0.2822, 0.2815, 0.3121, 0.3739, 0.4066, 0.4674, 0.4337, 0.4081, 0.3038, 0.3292, 0.2731, 0.1335, 0.1892, 0.1933, 0.2194, 0.1952, 0.1891, 0.2454, 0.2454, 0.3372, 0.2527, 0.2352, 0.2405, 0.1946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2057533740122030145", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-21T18:47:25+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Larry Fink likes Bitcoin. Donald Trump likes Bitcoin. Kevin Warsh likes Bitcoin. Scott Bessent likes Bitcoin. Stan Druckenmiller likes Bitcoin. Paul Tudor Jones likes Bitcoin. Elon Musk likes Bitcoin. And you and your uncle Joe think you're smart for not liking it? Get real.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Bitcoin; argues that elite consensus of top financiers and political figures makes non-believers foolish.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Larry Fink likes Bitcoin. Donald Trump likes Bitcoin. Kevin Warsh likes Bitcoin. Scott Bessent likes Bitcoin. Stan Druckenmiller likes Bitcoin. Paul Tudor Jones likes Bitcoin. Elon Musk likes Bitcoin. And you and your uncle Joe think you're smart for not liking it? Get real.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.001049771818961709, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001049771818961709, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0009293910286038987, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0009293910286038987, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019791628475656076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019791628475656076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02645023976792371, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02645023976792371, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030381788844727642, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030381788844727642, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003931549076803931, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003931549076803931, "ret_p1w": -0.05162058209691189, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05162058209691189, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0676158628209188, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0676158628209188, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01599528072400691, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01599528072400691, "ret_p1m": -0.18053244055877404, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18053244055877404, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18853518907565836, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18853518907565836, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008002748516884317, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008002748516884317, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.18053244055877404, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.18853518907565836, "alpha_c_stated": -0.18853518907565836, "price_path": [-0.1667, -0.1736, -0.1235, -0.1301, -0.1503, -0.113, -0.1192, -0.0623, -0.0864, -0.1213, -0.1178, -0.0982, -0.0946, -0.0909, -0.0847, -0.0345, -0.0466, -0.0812, -0.0984, -0.0905, -0.0854, -0.0906, -0.0803, -0.1128, -0.1445, -0.1399, -0.12, -0.122, -0.1374, -0.1368, -0.1119, -0.0722, -0.0827, -0.0744, -0.0588, -0.0394, -0.0433, -0.0353, -0.0308, -0.0053, -0.0215, -0.0153, 0.0086, 0.0094, -0.0011, -0.0022, -0.0153, -0.0227, -0.0159, 0.0083, 0.0295, 0.0437, 0.0501, 0.0319, 0.0341, 0.054, 0.0379, 0.0224, 0.0453, 0.0197, -0.0075, -0.0102, -0.001, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0033, -0.0221, -0.0412, -0.0516, -0.0537, -0.0802, -0.1397, -0.1744, -0.1772, -0.2143, -0.1863, -0.205, -0.2075, -0.1803, -0.1805, -0.1451, -0.154, -0.1692, -0.1888, -0.1805, -0.1752, -0.1918, -0.2134, -0.2298, -0.226, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031381909625016684", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-10T14:49:23+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Oil will fade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "VIX plummets to mid-July, dollar softens, oil fades, risk assets skyrocket; BTC to $150K+, IWM to $300 on Fed-encouraged blow-off top.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "CL=F is crude oil futures; USO as ETF proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The VIX will plummet unrelentingly in to mid July. The dollar will soften. Oil will fade. The bears will completely disappear and risk assets will skyrocket. Do not be surprised if we get a major blow-off top this year. The Fed will encourage it. Bitcoin to $150,000+. IWM to $300", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014453039585069383, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014453039585069383, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016062641817418455, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016062641817418455, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020687723680138603, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020687723680138603, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021942858228804374, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021942858228804374, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "ret_p1w": 0.12261473316362137, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12261473316362137, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13205098547611072, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13205098547611072, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "ret_p1m": 0.17683734283742836, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17683734283742836, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17583872618562024, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17583872618562024, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "ret_p3m": 0.2565653080059922, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2565653080059922, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16444167598440385, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16444167598440385, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.17683734283742836, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.17583872618562024, "alpha_c_stated": -0.17583872618562024, "price_path": [-0.3458, -0.35, -0.3587, -0.3749, -0.3578, -0.3653, -0.3574, -0.3413, -0.3359, -0.3369, -0.3369, -0.3531, -0.3424, -0.3412, -0.3467, -0.3467, -0.3486, -0.3367, -0.3528, -0.3596, -0.3336, -0.3314, -0.3232, -0.3059, -0.3141, -0.3281, -0.3232, -0.3232, -0.3212, -0.3072, -0.3216, -0.3014, -0.3059, -0.2853, -0.2762, -0.2524, -0.2488, -0.2884, -0.2682, -0.2643, -0.2756, -0.2727, -0.263, -0.2629, -0.2548, -0.2785, -0.28, -0.28, -0.2846, -0.25, -0.233, -0.2363, -0.2358, -0.2371, -0.2468, -0.2465, -0.2259, -0.1764, -0.1479, -0.1351, -0.0902, 0.0275, -0.0145, 0.0, 0.0207, 0.1184, 0.1325, 0.0866, 0.1226, 0.1493, 0.1086, 0.1471, 0.0444, 0.082, 0.0711, 0.1077, 0.1732, 0.2264, 0.2021, 0.1722, 0.3029, 0.3029, 0.3125, 0.3044, 0.1768, 0.1993, 0.1791, 0.2136, 0.1699, 0.158, 0.1887, 0.0962, 0.146, 0.2115, 0.2224, 0.2726, 0.2507, 0.2726, 0.3187, 0.4229, 0.3895, 0.349, 0.3944, 0.3619, 0.2654, 0.275, 0.2619, 0.3098, 0.3631, 0.3418, 0.3508, 0.4002, 0.4103, 0.4449, 0.3628, 0.3465, 0.3312, 0.3312, 0.2942, 0.2378, 0.2354, 0.2194, 0.28, 0.2967, 0.3306, 0.2917, 0.2566, 0.2767, 0.2403, 0.2687, 0.217, 0.1849, 0.145, 0.0908, 0.0791, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.0645, 0.051, 0.0041, 0.0326, -0.0036, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031381909625016684", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-10T14:49:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin to $150,000+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "VIX plummets to mid-July, dollar softens, oil fades, risk assets skyrocket; BTC to $150K+, IWM to $300 on Fed-encouraged blow-off top.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The VIX will plummet unrelentingly in to mid July. The dollar will soften. Oil will fade. The bears will completely disappear and risk assets will skyrocket. Do not be surprised if we get a major blow-off top this year. The Fed will encourage it. Bitcoin to $150,000+. IWM to $300", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0218018900535224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0218018900535224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02341149228587147, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02341149228587147, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003975020350486469, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003975020350486469, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0052301548991522395, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0052301548991522395, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "ret_p1w": 0.0571390042685187, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0571390042685187, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06657525658100805, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06657525658100805, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "ret_p1m": 0.01710982648626702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01710982648626702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.016111209834458906, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016111209834458906, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "ret_p3m": -0.12876662757079205, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12876662757079205, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2208902595923804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2208902595923804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.01710982648626702, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.016111209834458906, "alpha_c_stated": 0.016111209834458906, "price_path": [0.323, 0.2909, 0.2359, 0.2562, 0.2319, 0.2222, 0.2599, 0.2655, 0.2501, 0.2529, 0.2475, 0.2485, 0.2461, 0.2646, 0.2514, 0.2689, 0.2863, 0.3426, 0.3404, 0.3058, 0.3017, 0.2944, 0.3041, 0.3632, 0.3862, 0.3664, 0.3661, 0.3236, 0.2629, 0.2781, 0.2794, 0.28, 0.2623, 0.2742, 0.2754, 0.2093, 0.2031, 0.1253, 0.0816, 0.0442, -0.1033, 0.009, 0.0028, -0.0162, -0.042, -0.053, -0.0153, -0.0155, -0.0348, -0.0501, -0.0425, -0.0275, -0.0759, -0.0836, -0.0281, -0.0354, -0.0578, -0.0165, -0.0234, 0.0398, 0.0131, -0.0256, -0.0218, 0.0, 0.004, 0.0081, 0.0149, 0.0706, 0.0571, 0.0189, -0.0002, 0.0085, 0.0141, 0.0085, 0.0198, -0.0162, -0.0513, -0.0463, -0.0242, -0.0264, -0.0435, -0.0428, -0.0153, 0.0288, 0.0171, 0.0263, 0.0436, 0.0652, 0.0608, 0.0698, 0.0747, 0.103, 0.085, 0.0919, 0.1184, 0.1193, 0.1077, 0.1064, 0.0919, 0.0836, 0.0912, 0.118, 0.1416, 0.1573, 0.1645, 0.1442, 0.1467, 0.1688, 0.1509, 0.1337, 0.1591, 0.1307, 0.1005, 0.0976, 0.1077, 0.1089, 0.0795, 0.1052, 0.0844, 0.0632, 0.0516, 0.0493, 0.0199, -0.0461, -0.0846, -0.0876, -0.1288, -0.0978, -0.1185, -0.1212, -0.091, -0.0913, -0.052, -0.0619, -0.0788, -0.1005, -0.0913, -0.0854, -0.1038, -0.1277, -0.1459, -0.1417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031381909625016684", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-10T14:49:23+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IWM to $300", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "VIX plummets to mid-July, dollar softens, oil fades, risk assets skyrocket; BTC to $150K+, IWM to $300 on Fed-encouraged blow-off top.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The VIX will plummet unrelentingly in to mid July. The dollar will soften. Oil will fade. The bears will completely disappear and risk assets will skyrocket. Do not be surprised if we get a major blow-off top this year. The Fed will encourage it. Bitcoin to $150,000+. IWM to $300", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001026222901008511, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001026222901008511, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005833793313405611, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005833793313405611, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016096022323490722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002012894279991184, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002012894279991184, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0007577597313254136, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0007577597313254136, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551345486657706, "ret_p1w": -0.011308771959107844, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011308771959107844, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.001872519646618498, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.001872519646618498, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436252312489346, "ret_p1m": 0.02989163729633537, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02989163729633537, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028893020644527256, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028893020644527256, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009986166518081152, "ret_p3m": 0.11363672374543965, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11363672374543965, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.021513091723851296, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.021513091723851296, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09212363202158835, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.02989163729633537, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.028893020644527256, "alpha_c_stated": 0.028893020644527256, "price_path": [0.0141, -0.0014, -0.009, -0.0137, -0.0242, -0.0184, -0.0101, 0.0009, -0.0051, -0.0026, -0.0026, -0.0077, -0.0137, -0.021, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.0181, -0.0025, 0.0107, 0.0084, 0.0194, 0.0271, 0.0321, 0.0315, 0.0388, 0.048, 0.0489, 0.0489, 0.0364, 0.057, 0.0648, 0.0452, 0.0419, 0.0449, 0.0392, 0.0395, 0.0248, 0.0348, 0.0372, 0.0283, 0.0097, 0.046, 0.0534, 0.0505, 0.0457, 0.0244, 0.0379, 0.0379, 0.0382, 0.042, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0281, 0.0394, 0.0443, 0.0499, 0.0318, 0.0412, 0.0232, 0.0332, 0.0134, -0.0097, 0.001, 0.0, -0.002, -0.0235, -0.0267, -0.0175, -0.0113, -0.0272, -0.0209, -0.0423, -0.0216, -0.0163, -0.0043, -0.0216, -0.0388, -0.0526, -0.0194, -0.0132, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0022, -0.0, 0.0299, 0.0358, 0.0332, 0.0481, 0.0625, 0.0652, 0.0674, 0.0904, 0.0966, 0.0854, 0.0932, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.0958, 0.083, 0.0758, 0.0991, 0.1043, 0.0987, 0.1172, 0.134, 0.116, 0.1236, 0.1282, 0.1173, 0.1177, 0.1247, 0.0976, 0.0912, 0.0794, 0.1066, 0.117, 0.1274, 0.1274, 0.1487, 0.1481, 0.1547, 0.1484, 0.1426, 0.1532, 0.1374, 0.1546, 0.1136, 0.1234, 0.127, 0.1152, 0.1483, 0.1583, 0.1678, 0.1576, 0.1489, 0.1715, 0.1715, 0.1818, 0.1705, 0.1759, 0.1847, 0.1883, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2069229957902147971", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-23T01:24:01+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR has been a buy since I called it out at $1 and has been a buy every day since. When it breaks $100 a lot of chart squigglers will realize how dumb their lines were.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long CIFR; has been a buy all along and expects it to break $100.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheValueTrade Wrong. CIFR has been a buy since I called it out at $1 and has been a buy every day since. When it breaks $100 a lot of chart squigglers will realize how dumb their lines were.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$CIFR I really like this move from $CIFR today...\n\nIf the price can now retest the black line at the top of Wave 1 at $25, I am a buyer.\n\nRemember, I bought $IREN at $13 and $NBIS at $51..\n\nLook at the $NBIS move below... Between April and May...\n\nThe price broke above the top of https://t.co/cAVc2aXYhS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheValueTrade", "ret_m1d": 0.018089725435640025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018089725435640025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003353776654649865, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025126471695419372, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01473594878099016, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0432161971310594, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.051374822997490965, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.051374822997490965, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05091130593384785, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04518556530414197, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0004635170636431152, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006189257693348993, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [-0.4808, -0.5027, -0.5653, -0.5344, -0.5427, -0.5362, -0.5362, -0.517, -0.4931, -0.4421, -0.4081, -0.402, -0.3575, -0.3325, -0.3488, -0.3726, -0.2992, -0.3021, -0.3473, -0.2967, -0.3238, -0.3415, -0.343, -0.3755, -0.3878, -0.3582, -0.3835, -0.3527, -0.2004, -0.2073, -0.2516, -0.2565, -0.2663, -0.2742, -0.2315, -0.1936, -0.2645, -0.3082, -0.3198, -0.2952, -0.2214, -0.2051, -0.2051, -0.1671, -0.0897, -0.1103, -0.1444, -0.1313, -0.0488, -0.0507, -0.0756, -0.1878, -0.1212, -0.1666, -0.2395, -0.1813, -0.1136, -0.0582, -0.0517, -0.0467, 0.0557, 0.0557, 0.0181, 0.0, -0.0514, -0.0709, -0.0615, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029188368958144922", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T13:33:02+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin when it runs to $315,000", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC to $315,000; author expects latecomers to be caught short in the next run.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The kids will be caught short of Bitcoin when it runs to $315,000. I’ve seen this movie a few times. One of the only good things about getting older is that you also get smarter as well. See you there.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06074672766191813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06074672766191813, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05374080100996781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05374080100996781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005926651950323, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005926651950323, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025710882421896564, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025710882421896564, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020135211929988794, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020135211929988794, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575670491907769, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575670491907769, "ret_p1w": -0.03446122114711214, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03446122114711214, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02161694765275901, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02161694765275901, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844273494353131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844273494353131, "ret_p1m": -0.08007098777967525, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08007098777967525, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03991956870047009, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03991956870047009, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.040151419079205164, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040151419079205164, "ret_p3m": -0.01912795529020561, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01912795529020561, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12929905584052725, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12929905584052725, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11017110055032164, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11017110055032164, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.08007098777967525, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.03991956870047009, "alpha_c_stated": -0.03991956870047009, "price_path": [0.2294, 0.2466, 0.2748, 0.2656, 0.2723, 0.2415, 0.1885, 0.2081, 0.1847, 0.1754, 0.2117, 0.217, 0.2022, 0.2049, 0.1998, 0.2007, 0.1984, 0.2162, 0.2035, 0.2203, 0.237, 0.2912, 0.2891, 0.2558, 0.2519, 0.2448, 0.2542, 0.311, 0.3331, 0.3141, 0.3138, 0.2729, 0.2146, 0.2292, 0.2304, 0.231, 0.214, 0.2254, 0.2266, 0.163, 0.157, 0.0822, 0.0402, 0.0043, -0.1376, -0.0296, -0.0356, -0.0539, -0.0786, -0.0892, -0.053, -0.0532, -0.0717, -0.0864, -0.0791, -0.0647, -0.1113, -0.1187, -0.0653, -0.0723, -0.0939, -0.0541, -0.0607, 0.0, -0.0257, -0.0629, -0.0593, -0.0383, -0.0345, -0.0305, -0.024, 0.0296, 0.0167, -0.0201, -0.0385, -0.0301, -0.0247, -0.0302, -0.0193, -0.0539, -0.0876, -0.0828, -0.0616, -0.0637, -0.0801, -0.0795, -0.053, -0.0106, -0.0218, -0.013, 0.0037, 0.0244, 0.0202, 0.0288, 0.0336, 0.0607, 0.0435, 0.0501, 0.0755, 0.0764, 0.0653, 0.064, 0.0501, 0.0422, 0.0494, 0.0752, 0.0979, 0.113, 0.1199, 0.1004, 0.1028, 0.124, 0.1068, 0.0903, 0.1147, 0.0874, 0.0584, 0.0556, 0.0653, 0.0664, 0.0382, 0.0628, 0.0428, 0.0225, 0.0114, 0.0091, -0.0191, -0.0826, -0.1196, -0.1225, -0.1621, -0.1323, -0.1522, -0.1549, -0.1258, -0.1261, -0.0883, -0.0978, -0.114, -0.135, -0.1261, -0.1205, -0.1381, -0.1611, -0.1786, -0.1746, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051061768987029507", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-03T22:10:07+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "See you at $1M.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish BTC to $1M; dismisses all bearish counterarguments as lazy or dishonest.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Instead of asking \"what is the thesis for $1,000,000 Bitcoin?\", ask instead \"what is going to stop BTC from going to $1M per coin\"?\n\nIf you're smart and intellectually honest, you won't come up with much. Low IQ/dishonest people will say:\n\n1. Only criminals use it\n2. The Government will stop it\n3. I can just create a better \"crypto\"\n\nOr some variation of these bogus arguments. Don't fall for this garbage. This is lazy or intentionally dishonest thinking.\n\nFocus on the prize. Execute. Win.\n\nSee you at $1M.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020655762219743745, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020655762219743745, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024332624153633575, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024332624153633575, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367686193388983, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367686193388983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013768974900303155, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013768974900303155, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005746746176360729, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005746746176360729, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022228723942426, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022228723942426, "ret_p1w": 0.02380609381196197, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02380609381196197, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005845301018647886, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005845301018647886, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029651394830609856, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029651394830609856, "ret_p1m": -0.16440679226758503, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16440679226758503, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2222890517219559, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2222890517219559, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.057882259454370866, "bench_c_p1m": 0.057882259454370866, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": -0.16440679226758503, "alpha_spy_stated": -0.2222890517219559, "alpha_c_stated": -0.2222890517219559, "price_path": [-0.0853, -0.2145, -0.1162, -0.1216, -0.1382, -0.1608, -0.1704, -0.1374, -0.1376, -0.1545, -0.1679, -0.1612, -0.1481, -0.1905, -0.1973, -0.1487, -0.155, -0.1747, -0.1384, -0.1445, -0.0892, -0.1126, -0.1465, -0.1431, -0.124, -0.1205, -0.1169, -0.111, -0.0622, -0.074, -0.1075, -0.1242, -0.1166, -0.1117, -0.1166, -0.1067, -0.1383, -0.169, -0.1646, -0.1452, -0.1472, -0.1621, -0.1616, -0.1374, -0.0988, -0.109, -0.101, -0.0858, -0.0669, -0.0707, -0.0629, -0.0586, -0.0338, -0.0495, -0.0435, -0.0204, -0.0195, -0.0297, -0.0308, -0.0436, -0.0508, -0.0441, -0.0207, 0.0, 0.0138, 0.02, 0.0023, 0.0045, 0.0238, 0.0081, -0.0069, 0.0153, -0.0095, -0.036, -0.0385, -0.0297, -0.0287, -0.0544, -0.0319, -0.0501, -0.0687, -0.0788, -0.0809, -0.1066, -0.1644, -0.1981, -0.2008, -0.2368, -0.2097, -0.2278, -0.2302, -0.2038, -0.204, -0.1696, -0.1782, -0.193, -0.2121, -0.204, -0.1989, -0.215, -0.2359, -0.2519, -0.2482, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034620656432865676", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T13:19:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can carry $1B of it across a border using only my seed phrase. I can send it to you instantly at nearly zero cost. I can forecast with perfect certainty how many new Bitcoin will be created over the next year. You can't do any of that with gold or silver.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC on unique utility (portability, low-cost transfer, supply predictability) superior to gold/silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JOptionEngineer I can carry $1B of it across a border using only my seed phrase. I can send it to you instantly at nearly zero cost. I can forecast with perfect certainty how many new Bitcoin will be created over the next year. You can’t do any of that with gold or silver. Sorry if this is hard.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@mikealfred What utility does $BTC have?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JOptionEngineer", "ret_m1d": 0.019063594520718263, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019063594520718263, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01659312529989121, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01659312529989121, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470469220827054, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470469220827054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008722250723753211, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008722250723753211, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023057946990605926, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023057946990605926, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.014335696266852715, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014335696266852715, "ret_p1w": -0.016036609002935243, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016036609002935243, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0035878350368683254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0035878350368683254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624444039803568, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624444039803568, "ret_p1m": 0.10318692808909136, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10318692808909136, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02395159155380422, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02395159155380422, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923533653528714, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923533653528714, "ret_p3m": -0.06167896454030841, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06167896454030841, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20199306054572763, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20199306054572763, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.14031409600541922, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14031409600541922, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.10318692808909136, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.02395159155380422, "alpha_c_stated": 0.02395159155380422, "price_path": [0.2657, 0.2503, 0.2532, 0.2478, 0.2487, 0.2464, 0.2649, 0.2517, 0.2692, 0.2865, 0.3429, 0.3407, 0.306, 0.302, 0.2947, 0.3044, 0.3634, 0.3864, 0.3667, 0.3663, 0.3238, 0.2632, 0.2784, 0.2796, 0.2802, 0.2625, 0.2745, 0.2757, 0.2095, 0.2033, 0.1255, 0.0818, 0.0444, -0.1031, 0.0092, 0.003, -0.016, -0.0418, -0.0528, -0.0151, -0.0153, -0.0346, -0.0499, -0.0423, -0.0273, -0.0758, -0.0834, -0.0279, -0.0352, -0.0577, -0.0163, -0.0232, 0.04, 0.0133, -0.0254, -0.0216, 0.0002, 0.0042, 0.0083, 0.0151, 0.0708, 0.0574, 0.0191, 0.0, 0.0087, 0.0143, 0.0087, 0.02, -0.016, -0.0511, -0.0461, -0.024, -0.0262, -0.0433, -0.0426, -0.0151, 0.029, 0.0173, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0654, 0.0611, 0.07, 0.0749, 0.1032, 0.0852, 0.0921, 0.1186, 0.1195, 0.1079, 0.1066, 0.0921, 0.0839, 0.0914, 0.1182, 0.1418, 0.1575, 0.1647, 0.1444, 0.147, 0.169, 0.1511, 0.1339, 0.1593, 0.1309, 0.1007, 0.0978, 0.1079, 0.1091, 0.0797, 0.1054, 0.0846, 0.0634, 0.0518, 0.0495, 0.0201, -0.0459, -0.0844, -0.0874, -0.1286, -0.0976, -0.1183, -0.1211, -0.0909, -0.0911, -0.0518, -0.0617, -0.0786, -0.1004, -0.0911, -0.0853, -0.1036, -0.1276, -0.1458, -0.1416, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026695284819157401", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T16:26:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin smells the prosecution of the criminal scammers who caused the 2022 and 2026 crypto \"crashes\"... Hopefully you were smart too and took advantage of these artificially depressed prices.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC; prices were artificially depressed by criminal actors and Bitcoin is now recovering.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bitcoin smells the prosecution of the criminal scammers who caused the 2022 and 2026 crypto \"crashes\". There are two major players involved and several minor accomplices. Bitcoin is smart. Hopefully you were smart too and took advantage of these artificially depressed prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05709350933727686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05709350933727686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.048725812227976895, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.048725812227976895, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367697109299965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007450715585058165, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007450715585058165, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018962700058510196, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018962700058510196, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554445579207146, "ret_p1w": 0.06990059428230899, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06990059428230899, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08147095429617868, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08147095429617868, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570360013869685, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011570360013869685, "ret_p1m": 0.012235115812397446, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012235115812397446, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07902912533938788, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07902912533938788, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06679400952699044, "ret_p3m": 0.13713636764941217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13713636764941217, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.058471817619611066, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.058471817619611066, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0786645500298011, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 21, "stated_label": "p1m", "ret_signed_stated": 0.012235115812397446, "alpha_spy_stated": 0.07902912533938788, "alpha_c_stated": 0.07902912533938788, "price_path": [0.3378, 0.2702, 0.3442, 0.3762, 0.3558, 0.3153, 0.3337, 0.3639, 0.354, 0.3613, 0.3283, 0.2716, 0.2926, 0.2676, 0.2575, 0.2964, 0.3021, 0.2863, 0.2892, 0.2836, 0.2846, 0.2822, 0.3012, 0.2876, 0.3056, 0.3235, 0.3814, 0.3792, 0.3436, 0.3394, 0.3319, 0.3419, 0.4026, 0.4263, 0.406, 0.4056, 0.3619, 0.2995, 0.3151, 0.3164, 0.317, 0.2988, 0.3111, 0.3123, 0.2443, 0.2379, 0.1579, 0.1129, 0.0744, -0.0774, 0.0382, 0.0318, 0.0123, -0.0142, -0.0256, 0.0132, 0.013, -0.0069, -0.0226, -0.0148, 0.0007, -0.0492, -0.0571, 0.0, -0.0075, -0.0306, 0.012, 0.0049, 0.0699, 0.0424, 0.0026, 0.0065, 0.0289, 0.033, 0.0373, 0.0443, 0.1015, 0.0877, 0.0483, 0.0287, 0.0377, 0.0435, 0.0376, 0.0493, 0.0122, -0.0239, -0.0187, 0.004, 0.0017, -0.0158, -0.0151, 0.0132, 0.0586, 0.0465, 0.056, 0.0739, 0.096, 0.0915, 0.1007, 0.1058, 0.1349, 0.1164, 0.1235, 0.1507, 0.1517, 0.1397, 0.1384, 0.1235, 0.115, 0.1228, 0.1504, 0.1746, 0.1908, 0.1982, 0.1773, 0.1799, 0.2026, 0.1842, 0.1665, 0.1926, 0.1634, 0.1323, 0.1294, 0.1398, 0.141, 0.1108, 0.1371, 0.1157, 0.0939, 0.0821, 0.0796, 0.0494, -0.0185, -0.0581, -0.0612, -0.1036, -0.0717, -0.0929, -0.0958, -0.0647, -0.065, -0.0246, -0.0347, -0.0521, -0.0745, -0.065, -0.059, -0.0779, -0.1025, -0.1212, -0.1169, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2067283173990629782", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-06-17T16:28:11+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "short SPCX / long BTC probably prints over the coming quarters", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Pair trade: short SPCX / long BTC as a value-arbitrage play over the coming quarters.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "crypto_spy_fallback (SPY)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "short SPCX / long BTC probably prints over the coming quarters. Watch and learn how value arbitrage works at massive scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018351813781985138, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018351813781985138, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005706023905719393, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005706023905719393, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012645789876265745, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012645789876265745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0236263487711752, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0236263487711752, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03402334121313477, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03402334121313477, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010396992441959574, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010396992441959574, "ret_p1w": -0.05314180563335835, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05314180563335835, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.045272253392629525, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.045272253392629525, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007869552240728828, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007869552240728828, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "ret_p1y": null, "ret_signed_p1y": null, "alpha_spy_p1y": null, "alpha_c_p1y": null, "bench_spy_p1y": null, "bench_c_p1y": null, "stated_td": 63, "stated_label": "p3m", "ret_signed_stated": null, "alpha_spy_stated": null, "alpha_c_stated": null, "price_path": [0.0948, 0.1008, 0.0947, 0.107, 0.0679, 0.0298, 0.0353, 0.0592, 0.0568, 0.0383, 0.039, 0.0689, 0.1168, 0.1041, 0.1141, 0.1329, 0.1563, 0.1516, 0.1612, 0.1666, 0.1973, 0.1778, 0.1853, 0.214, 0.215, 0.2024, 0.201, 0.1852, 0.1763, 0.1845, 0.2136, 0.2392, 0.2563, 0.264, 0.242, 0.2448, 0.2687, 0.2493, 0.2307, 0.2582, 0.2274, 0.1946, 0.1914, 0.2024, 0.2037, 0.1718, 0.1997, 0.1771, 0.1541, 0.1415, 0.139, 0.1071, 0.0355, -0.0063, -0.0096, -0.0543, -0.0206, -0.0431, -0.0461, -0.0133, -0.0136, 0.029, 0.0184, 0.0, -0.0236, -0.0136, -0.0072, -0.0272, -0.0531, -0.0729, -0.0683, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}