XAnalytics · Backtest audit File @Remzztrades · 1 Jun 2026

@Remzztrades · 3093 verified calls backtested

Inconclusive

@Remzztrades's calls have trailed their sector by 0.1% per month, winning 46% of the time.

-0.1%
Avg. return vs its sector
per call · over the timeframe it called (or 1 month)
+0.0%
1 day
-0.1%
1 month
-0.1%
3 months
the same calls held a fixed 1 day / 1 month / 3 months
46%
Calls that beat the market
based on 1099 deduplicated bets
46% beat their sector 54% didn't

The signal is indistinguishable from noise.

What “return vs sector” means
Each call's stock vs its own sector — beating the sector, not just going up, is the fair test of skill. Averaged across 1099 deduplicated bets. Calls that named their own timeframe are judged over that window (as a per-month rate); the rest over 1 month.
Indistinguishable from luck

Across 1099 bets, @Remzztrades's average call trailed its sector by 0.1%t = -0.1, not enough to tell skill from chance.

could be luckt = 2almost certain

t = -0.1 — the strength of the evidence. Above 2, there's under a 5% chance it's luck.

How the t-value works

Each call is one bet, scored by how much it beat its own sector (fairer than the whole market). The t-value is the average beat divided by its uncertainty:

t = x̄ ⁄ ( s ⁄ √M ) x̄ = avg beat · s = how much the bets vary · M = number of bets

Same-week, same-sector calls ride one move, so they prove less than fully independent wins — the 1099 bets count as 872 effective ones. That's why the honest t is -0.1, not the raw -0.2. Full breakdown on the analysis page.

Performance over time

Aftervs sectorvs S&P 500Hit rateCalls
1 day -0.0% +0.1% 48% 1192
1 month -0.1% +0.5% 46% 1099
3 months -0.1% +0.6% 43% 1000
6 months -1.3% -0.4% 42% 922

“vs sector” compares each call to the stock's own industry — the fairest test of skill.

What drives the signal

Does conviction matter?

High conviction2252 calls · 44% hit
+1.1%
Low conviction411 calls · 40% hit
-2.6%

Return by post type

Analysis25 calls · 64% hit
+15.8%
News Reaction7 calls · 71% hit
+6.4%
Prediction2348 calls · 44% hit
+0.4%
Position Disclosure282 calls · 43% hit
+0.1%

Long vs short

Long2396 calls · 44% hit
+1.1%
Short267 calls · 43% hit
-4.4%

The evidence — best & worst calls

Biggest wins (after 1 month)

Exhibit A · 2026-03-31 AEHR
“Still think this name is easily $50+”
Long · high conviction · View on X ↗
Full post
$AEHR earnings on Tuesday 4/07 Still think this name is easily $50+ Do what you want with that info
+90.3%vs sector
Exhibit B · 2024-10-11 UPST
“These will go 5x next week btw”
Long · high conviction · View on X ↗
+57.5%vs sector
Exhibit C · 2025-08-24 OPEN
“Send this b*tch to $10 … I'm positive this is just starting out and we'll see some insane money being made the next couple few weeks”
Long · high conviction · View on X ↗
Full post
$OPEN Send this b*tch to $10 If anyone deserves to win in the end its retail traders. Truly insane move the last couple months. I'm positive this is just starting out and we'll see some insane money being made the next couple few weeks Closed at the recent highs and ready to for a next leg Cult stock. You know what happens next 🍋 --- well done sir @ericjackson
+55.7%vs sector

Biggest misses (after 1 month)

Exhibit D · 2025-10-21 QURE
“$QURE 11/21 75c over $65”
Long · high conviction · View on X ↗
Full post
TRADE PLAN FOR 10/21 💰 $ASML 10/31 1150c over $1050 $LLY 10/31 950c (ER run up - $860 target) $NVTS 11/21 20c over $17.80 $PLTR 10/24 185c over $183 ($190 target) $QURE 11/21 75c over $65 drop a like if you want one everyday this week!
-60.6%vs sector
Exhibit E · 2025-12-28 SLV
“Back in October when $GLD had a similar run it ended up being one of the best shorts”
Short · high conviction · View on X ↗
Full post
$SLV Silver. Futures gapping up another +6% overnight Back in October when $GLD had a similar run it ended up being one of the best shorts Trade the chart. Ignore all the noise. Your goal is to make money https://t.co/MZLDd1nxq0
-52.8%vs sector
Exhibit F · 2025-10-27 CRCL
“$CRCL 11/21 200c over $150”
Long · high conviction · View on X ↗
Full post
TRADE PLAN FOR 10/27 💰 $ASML 10/31 1100c over $1050 $CRCL 11/21 200c over $150 $CRWV 11/21 200c @ $1 (Lotto) $PATH 1/17 20c over $16.80 $TSLA 11/21 500c over $450 Drop a like if these are helpful, ill do one everyday this week ❤️
-49.6%vs sector

Their strongest setups — best combination at each horizon

  • 1 day short analysis posts +2.9% vs -0.0% overall · 4 bets
  • 1 month long analysis posts +16.2% vs -0.1% overall · 7 bets
  • 3 months long analysis posts +12.7% vs -0.1% overall · 5 bets

Step behind the counter — every call, every chart, every time horizon. Filter by conviction or direction and chart any single trade.

Open the data room →
THE RECEIPTS
@Remzztrades · audited 1 Jun 2026

calls found3,093
independent bets1,099
beat the market46%
avg edge / month-0.1%
best callAEHR +90.3%
worst callQURE -60.6%

VERDICT: INCONCLUSIVE
SCORE 1/10

Watch out for
their long analysis posts · +16.2% after 1 month

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How we measured this · download the raw data

We pull @Remzztrades's posts, use AI to extract each call (ticker, direction, conviction), and backtest it against real prices. A call wins only if it beat its own sector over the month after — not just if the stock rose. Headline numbers use deduplicated bets.

Download the full backtest data (JSONL)

Backtested results are computed from historical price data and do not predict future performance. Every signal here is extracted automatically from public posts and may misread intent, sarcasm, or context. This is not investment advice — verify everything independently before acting on it.