XAnalytics@livermoreoption · 58 verified calls backtested
@livermoreoption's calls have trailed their sector by 3.7% per month, winning 11% of the time.
Too few price-backed calls to draw a conclusion yet.
What “return vs sector” means
Performance over time
| After | vs sector | vs S&P 500 | Hit rate | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | +2.8% | +3.0% | 64% | 56 |
| 1 month | +2.0% | -1.3% | 22% | 9 |
| 3 months | -0.3% | -0.3% | 0% | 1 |
| 6 months | -0.3% | -0.3% | 0% | 1 |
“vs sector” compares each call to the stock's own industry — the fairest test of skill.
What drives the signal
Does conviction matter?
Return by post type
Long vs short
The evidence — best & worst calls
Biggest misses (after 1 month)
Full post
Their strongest setups — best combination at each horizon
- 1 day long position disclosures +3.4% vs +2.8% overall · 10 bets
Step behind the counter — every call, every chart, every time horizon. Filter by conviction or direction and chart any single trade.
Open the data room →Help shape XAnalytics
Was this report useful?
How we measured this · download the raw data
We pull @livermoreoption's posts, use AI to extract each call (ticker, direction, conviction), and backtest it against real prices. A call wins only if it beat its own sector over the month after — not just if the stock rose. Headline numbers use deduplicated bets.
Download the full backtest data (JSONL)
Backtested results are computed from historical price data and do not predict future performance. Every signal here is extracted automatically from public posts and may misread intent, sarcasm, or context. This is not investment advice — verify everything independently before acting on it.